Upload gdp-forecaster (1).ipynb
Browse files- gdp-forecaster (1).ipynb +328 -0
gdp-forecaster (1).ipynb
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{
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"text": [
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"/kaggle/input/africa-gdp/Africa_GDP.csv\n"
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"source": [
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"# This Python 3 environment comes with many helpful analytics libraries installed\n",
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"# It is defined by the kaggle/python Docker image: https://github.com/kaggle/docker-python\n",
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"# For example, here's several helpful packages to load\n",
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"\n",
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"import numpy as np # linear algebra\n",
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"import pandas as pd # data processing, CSV file I/O (e.g. pd.read_csv)\n",
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"\n",
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"# Input data files are available in the read-only \"../input/\" directory\n",
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"# For example, running this (by clicking run or pressing Shift+Enter) will list all files under the input directory\n",
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"\n",
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"import os\n",
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"for dirname, _, filenames in os.walk('/kaggle/input'):\n",
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" for filename in filenames:\n",
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" print(os.path.join(dirname, filename))\n",
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"\n",
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"# You can write up to 20GB to the current directory (/kaggle/working/) that gets preserved as output when you create a version using \"Save & Run All\" \n",
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"# You can also write temporary files to /kaggle/temp/, but they won't be saved outside of the current session"
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"source": [
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"data = pd.read_csv('/kaggle/input/africa-gdp/Africa_GDP.csv')"
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"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
|
154 |
+
" Year Algeria Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Burundi \\\n",
|
155 |
+
"0 1960 2.723615e+09 226195578.4 30411413.66 330442815.8 195999990.0 \n",
|
156 |
+
"1 1961 2.434747e+09 235668220.5 32902612.87 350247234.3 202999992.0 \n",
|
157 |
+
"2 1962 2.001445e+09 236434954.0 35644956.64 379567099.2 213500006.0 \n",
|
158 |
+
"3 1963 2.702982e+09 253927697.3 38091842.85 394040667.1 232749998.0 \n",
|
159 |
+
"4 1964 2.909316e+09 269819005.9 41616347.79 410321645.0 260750008.0 \n",
|
160 |
+
"\n",
|
161 |
+
" Cameroon Central African Republic Chad Eswatini ... \\\n",
|
162 |
+
"0 614206068.5 112155598.5 313582728.1 35076845.97 ... \n",
|
163 |
+
"1 652777608.3 123134583.5 333975336.1 43026042.79 ... \n",
|
164 |
+
"2 694247864.4 124482773.8 357635713.4 45927961.63 ... \n",
|
165 |
+
"3 718320845.0 129379123.8 371767002.2 54129438.35 ... \n",
|
166 |
+
"4 776650176.9 142025078.7 392247517.7 64980554.01 ... \n",
|
167 |
+
"\n",
|
168 |
+
" Seychelles Sierra Leone Somalia South Africa Sudan \\\n",
|
169 |
+
"0 12012024.62 322151470.6 180459936.8 8.748597e+09 1.127011e+09 \n",
|
170 |
+
"1 11592023.76 327979248.4 191659914.4 9.225996e+09 1.223563e+09 \n",
|
171 |
+
"2 12642025.92 342872712.4 203531927.5 9.813996e+09 1.329023e+09 \n",
|
172 |
+
"3 13923028.54 348700653.6 216145935.9 1.085420e+10 1.352011e+09 \n",
|
173 |
+
"4 15393031.56 372012091.5 229529912.7 1.195600e+10 1.389080e+09 \n",
|
174 |
+
"\n",
|
175 |
+
" Tanzania Togo Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe \n",
|
176 |
+
"0 2.651730e+09 171057069.1 423008385.7 713000000.0 1.052990e+09 \n",
|
177 |
+
"1 2.826179e+09 178497098.3 441524109.0 696285714.3 1.096647e+09 \n",
|
178 |
+
"2 3.101590e+09 186745757.9 449012578.6 693142857.1 1.117602e+09 \n",
|
179 |
+
"3 3.456579e+09 202305865.2 516147798.7 718714285.7 1.159512e+09 \n",
|
180 |
+
"4 3.748841e+09 234572186.5 589056603.8 839428571.4 1.217138e+09 \n",
|
181 |
+
"\n",
|
182 |
+
"[5 rows x 34 columns]\n"
|
183 |
+
]
|
184 |
+
}
|
185 |
+
],
|
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+
"source": [
|
187 |
+
"from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split\n",
|
188 |
+
"print(data.head())\n",
|
189 |
+
"X = data.drop('Algeria',axis=1)\n",
|
190 |
+
"y = data['Algeria']\n",
|
191 |
+
"\n",
|
192 |
+
"X_train, X_test,y_train,y_test = train_test_split(X,y,test_size=0.2,random_state=42)\n"
|
193 |
+
]
|
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+
},
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{
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"data": {
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"<style>#sk-container-id-1 {color: black;background-color: white;}#sk-container-id-1 pre{padding: 0;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-toggleable {background-color: white;}#sk-container-id-1 label.sk-toggleable__label {cursor: pointer;display: block;width: 100%;margin-bottom: 0;padding: 0.3em;box-sizing: border-box;text-align: center;}#sk-container-id-1 label.sk-toggleable__label-arrow:before {content: \"▸\";float: left;margin-right: 0.25em;color: #696969;}#sk-container-id-1 label.sk-toggleable__label-arrow:hover:before {color: black;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-estimator:hover label.sk-toggleable__label-arrow:before {color: black;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-toggleable__content {max-height: 0;max-width: 0;overflow: hidden;text-align: left;background-color: #f0f8ff;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-toggleable__content pre {margin: 0.2em;color: black;border-radius: 0.25em;background-color: #f0f8ff;}#sk-container-id-1 input.sk-toggleable__control:checked~div.sk-toggleable__content {max-height: 200px;max-width: 100%;overflow: auto;}#sk-container-id-1 input.sk-toggleable__control:checked~label.sk-toggleable__label-arrow:before {content: \"▾\";}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-estimator input.sk-toggleable__control:checked~label.sk-toggleable__label {background-color: #d4ebff;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-label input.sk-toggleable__control:checked~label.sk-toggleable__label {background-color: #d4ebff;}#sk-container-id-1 input.sk-hidden--visually {border: 0;clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px);clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);height: 1px;margin: -1px;overflow: hidden;padding: 0;position: absolute;width: 1px;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-estimator {font-family: monospace;background-color: #f0f8ff;border: 1px dotted black;border-radius: 0.25em;box-sizing: border-box;margin-bottom: 0.5em;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-estimator:hover {background-color: #d4ebff;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-parallel-item::after {content: \"\";width: 100%;border-bottom: 1px solid gray;flex-grow: 1;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-label:hover label.sk-toggleable__label {background-color: #d4ebff;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-serial::before {content: \"\";position: absolute;border-left: 1px solid gray;box-sizing: border-box;top: 0;bottom: 0;left: 50%;z-index: 0;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-serial {display: flex;flex-direction: column;align-items: center;background-color: white;padding-right: 0.2em;padding-left: 0.2em;position: relative;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-item {position: relative;z-index: 1;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-parallel {display: flex;align-items: stretch;justify-content: center;background-color: white;position: relative;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-item::before, #sk-container-id-1 div.sk-parallel-item::before {content: \"\";position: absolute;border-left: 1px solid gray;box-sizing: border-box;top: 0;bottom: 0;left: 50%;z-index: -1;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-parallel-item {display: flex;flex-direction: column;z-index: 1;position: relative;background-color: white;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-parallel-item:first-child::after {align-self: flex-end;width: 50%;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-parallel-item:last-child::after {align-self: flex-start;width: 50%;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-parallel-item:only-child::after {width: 0;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-dashed-wrapped {border: 1px dashed gray;margin: 0 0.4em 0.5em 0.4em;box-sizing: border-box;padding-bottom: 0.4em;background-color: white;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-label label {font-family: monospace;font-weight: bold;display: inline-block;line-height: 1.2em;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-label-container {text-align: center;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-container {/* jupyter's `normalize.less` sets `[hidden] { display: none; }` but bootstrap.min.css set `[hidden] { display: none !important; }` so we also need the `!important` here to be able to override the default hidden behavior on the sphinx rendered scikit-learn.org. See: https://github.com/scikit-learn/scikit-learn/issues/21755 */display: inline-block !important;position: relative;}#sk-container-id-1 div.sk-text-repr-fallback {display: none;}</style><div id=\"sk-container-id-1\" class=\"sk-top-container\"><div class=\"sk-text-repr-fallback\"><pre>LinearRegression()</pre><b>In a Jupyter environment, please rerun this cell to show the HTML representation or trust the notebook. <br />On GitHub, the HTML representation is unable to render, please try loading this page with nbviewer.org.</b></div><div class=\"sk-container\" hidden><div class=\"sk-item\"><div class=\"sk-estimator sk-toggleable\"><input class=\"sk-toggleable__control sk-hidden--visually\" id=\"sk-estimator-id-1\" type=\"checkbox\" checked><label for=\"sk-estimator-id-1\" class=\"sk-toggleable__label sk-toggleable__label-arrow\">LinearRegression</label><div class=\"sk-toggleable__content\"><pre>LinearRegression()</pre></div></div></div></div></div>"
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"LinearRegression()"
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]
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},
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"execution_count": 6,
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"metadata": {},
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"output_type": "execute_result"
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}
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],
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"source": [
|
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"from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression\n",
|
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"from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error , mean_absolute_error, r2_score\n",
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+
"\n",
|
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"model = LinearRegression()\n",
|
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"model.fit(X_train,y_train)"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 7,
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"id": "447cddae",
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"metadata": {
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"execution": {
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"iopub.execute_input": "2025-01-09T23:35:12.220052Z",
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"iopub.status.busy": "2025-01-09T23:35:12.219685Z",
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"iopub.status.idle": "2025-01-09T23:35:12.230343Z",
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"shell.execute_reply": "2025-01-09T23:35:12.229397Z"
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},
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"papermill": {
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"duration": 0.015608,
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"end_time": "2025-01-09T23:35:12.231921",
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"exception": false,
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"start_time": "2025-01-09T23:35:12.216313",
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"status": "completed"
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},
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"tags": []
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},
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"outputs": [
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{
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+
"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
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+
"Mean Squared error:9.904758040019183e+19\n",
|
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+
"Mean Absolute Error:5989398763.378249\n",
|
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+
"r2:0.9849119641737768\n"
|
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+
]
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}
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],
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"source": [
|
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+
"y_pred = model.predict(X_test)\n",
|
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+
"mse = mean_squared_error(y_test,y_pred)\n",
|
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+
"mae = mean_absolute_error(y_test,y_pred)\n",
|
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+
"r2 = r2_score(y_test,y_pred)\n",
|
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+
"print(f\"Mean Squared error:{mse}\")\n",
|
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+
"print(f\"Mean Absolute Error:{mae}\")\n",
|
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+
"print(f\"r2:{r2}\")"
|
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]
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}
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],
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"metadata": {
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"kaggle": {
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"accelerator": "none",
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"dataSources": [
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{
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"datasetId": 6455551,
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"sourceId": 10415885,
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"sourceType": "datasetVersion"
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}
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],
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"dockerImageVersionId": 30822,
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"isGpuEnabled": false,
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"language": "python",
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"sourceType": "notebook"
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"kernelspec": {
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"display_name": "Python 3",
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"language": "python",
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"name": "python3"
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"language_info": {
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"codemirror_mode": {
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"name": "ipython",
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"version": 3
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},
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"file_extension": ".py",
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"name": "python",
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"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
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"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
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"version": "3.10.12"
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},
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"papermill": {
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"default_parameters": {},
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"duration": 4.759216,
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"end_time": "2025-01-09T23:35:12.854678",
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"environment_variables": {},
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"exception": null,
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"input_path": "__notebook__.ipynb",
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"output_path": "__notebook__.ipynb",
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"parameters": {},
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}
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