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What's next for the stock? We take a look at earnings estimates for some clues.\n\nArticle Content:\n\nDK Quick QuoteDK\nYou follow Realtime BLOG - edit\nRealtime BLOG\nA month has gone by since the last earnings report for Delek US Holdings (DK Quick QuoteDK - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 10.3% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.\nWill the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Delek US Holdings due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.\nDelek US Holdings reported fourth-quarter 2022 adjusted net income of 88 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 82 cents. The bottom line was also better than the year-ago quarter\u2019s loss of 61 cents. The outperformance could be attributed to record contributions from the Refining segment.The diversified downstream energy company said that its adjusted EBITDA was $220.9 million compared with $32.8 million in the year-ago period.Meanwhile, Delek\u2019s revenues surged 44.1% year over year to $4.5 billion. It also beat the consensus mark of $3.9 billion, primarily due to the outperformance of the Refining and Logistics segments.In good news for investors, DK\u2019s board of directors approved an increase of 1 cent per share in the regular dividend, bringing the quarterly dividend to 22 cents per share. The dividend will be paid out on Mar 17, 2023, to shareholders of record as on Mar 10, 2023.\nRefining: In the fourth quarter of 2022, this segment of Delek recorded an adjusted EBITDA of $182.0 million, showing a remarkable improvement from the year-ago quarter\u2019s loss of $3.3 million.The significant year-over-year surge in earnings can be attributed mainly to the higher refining crack spreads, with Delek\u2019s benchmark crack spreads soaring an average of 76.0% during the period.Logistics: This unit represents Delek\u2019s majority interest in Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. \u2014 a publicly traded master limited partnership that owns, operates, develops, and acquires pipelines and other midstream assets.During the fourth quarter of 2022, the logistics sector achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $90.6 million, indicating an increase of $22.5 million from the year-ago quarter\u2019s $68.1 million.This substantial growth is attributed to the exceptional performance of the Delek Permian Gathering system, and the successful acquisition of 3 Bear Delaware, both of which made significant contributions to the sector's overall profitability.Retail: Adjusted EBITDA for the retail segment in the fourth quarter of 2022 amounted to $7.8 million, indicating a decline from the year-ago quarter\u2019s $10.0 million.The decrease was largely due to a reduction in volumes and lower average margins during the fourth quarter of 2022, as compared with the year-ago quarter\u2019s levels.Meanwhile, merchandise sales of $77.4 million were more than the year-ago quarter\u2019s sales of $75.5 million. Sales also beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.7%. However, the merchandise margin of 32.1% declined from 33.6% in the year-ago period.In the fourth quarter, DK\u2019s retail stations sold 41,523 thousand gallons of gasoline compared with 42,303 in the year-ago period.\nThe company\u2019s total operating costs and expenses were $4.59 million in the fourth quarter of 2022, up 48.7% from the year-ago quarter. This rise was primarily due to higher cost of sales.As of Dec 31, 2022, Delek US Holdings had cash and cash equivalents of $841.3 million and a long-term debt of $2.98 million, with debt-to-total capital of about 73%.\nFor full-year 2023, Delek expects capital expenditures of approximately $350 million as it plans to spend $202 million on Refining, $81 million on Logistics, $31 million on Retail and $36 million on Corporate/Other.Delek plans to reduce costs and improve processes, expecting a $30-$40 million improvement in the first quarter of 2023 and an additional $50-$60 million in 2023. The annual run rate is projected to be $90-$100 million, possibly through lower costs or better markets.\nHow Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?\nIn the past month, investors have witnessed an upward trend in estimates revision.\nThe consensus estimate has shifted 79.49% due to these changes.\nVGM Scores\nCurrently, Delek US Holdings has a strong Growth Score of A, a grade with the same score on the momentum front. Following the exact same course, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top 20% for this investment strategy.\nOverall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.\nOutlook\nEstimates have been trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. Notably, Delek US Holdings has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.\nDelek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) - free report >>\nOur experts picked 7 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy stocks with the best chance to skyrocket within the next 30-90 days.\nRecent stocks from this report have soared up to +178.7% in 3 months - this month's picks could be even better. See our report's 7 new picks today, absolutely FREE.\nThis page has not been authorized, sponsored, or otherwise approved or endorsed by the companies represented herein. Each of the company logos represented herein are trademarks of Microsoft Corporation; Dow Jones & Company; Nasdaq, Inc.; Forbes Media, LLC; Investor's Business Daily, Inc.; and Morningstar, Inc.\nAt the center of everything we do is a strong commitment to independent research and sharing its profitable discoveries with investors. This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system. Since 1988 it has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +23.96% per year. These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through October 2, 2023. Zacks Rank stock-rating system returns are computed monthly based on the beginning of the month and end of the month Zacks Rank stock prices plus any dividends received during that particular month. A simple, equally-weighted average return of all Zacks Rank stocks is calculated to determine the monthly return. The monthly returns are then compounded to arrive at the annual return. Only Zacks Rank stocks included in Zacks hypothetical portfolios at the beginning of each month are included in the return calculations. Zacks Ranks stocks can, and often do, change throughout the month. Certain Zacks Rank stocks for which no month-end price was available, pricing information was not collected, or for certain other reasons have been excluded from these return calculations.\n\nSource: Zacks Investment Research\n", "timestamp_ms": 1680190234000, "published_utc": "2023-03-30T15:30:34Z", "article_url": "https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2072525/why-is-delek-us-holdings-dk-down-103-since-last-earnings-report", "label_type": [ "[1][c] Company-Specific News", "[2][a] Fundamental Analysis", "[3][c] Short Selling & Market Manipulation" ], "label_time": [ "[1][a] Short-Term Retrospective (\u2264 3 months)", "[2][a] Real-Time Market Developments", "[3][a] Short-Term Outlook (Next 3\u20136 months)" ], "label_sentiment": [ "[2][b] Mixed Outlook" ] }, "trend": { "input_percentage_change": -12.600873664232356, "input_bin_label": "<-4%", "output_percentage_change": 0.27714097496707557, "output_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%", "overall_percentage_change": -12.866691422205717, 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