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+[{"audio_id": "lJJYyn5uiFy", "text": {"lJJYyn5uiFy-00000-00000624-00001445": "Good morning, yes it's 11 here and as I say in these cases, certainly not a very early", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00001-00001445-00001545": "morning,", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00002-00001545-00003032": "a late morning but still morning, mr, master, maestro or simply or", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00003-00003032-00003847": "simply David Lynch?", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00004-00003847-00004908": "It's April 5, 2022 and  it's a Tuesday.", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00005-00004908-00005208": "Here in Naples, mh, not", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00006-00005208-00005787": "I understand well, a clear morning but also cloudy, a middle morning in my opinion, but", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00007-00005787-00005887": "very", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00008-00005887-00006469": "still right now, 57 fahrenheit 14 celsius and this means that is that day really, really,", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00009-00006469-00006569": "really,", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00010-00006569-00006861": "really soft like in these days and in this period.", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00011-00006861-00007070": "As for the video-thoughts it", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00012-00007070-00008097": "I always separate from this, so in case it interests eye.", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00013-00008097-00008378": "Anyway as he and you all", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00014-00008378-00008686": "just see from the window:", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00015-00008686-00010071": "I don't know if he sees so well from this tent but I think that this afternoon the temperature", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00016-00010071-00010622": "it could go up a few degrees or stay on the same level, as we always are not", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00017-00010622-00011372": "wizards about this but with this atmosphere we're going to be enjoying those beautiful", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00018-00011372-00011917": "blue skies and golden sunshine but I don't say it with emphasis because I don't trust", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00019-00011917-00012053": "it, but we'll see,", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00020-00012053-00012153": "I think yes.", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00021-00012153-00012552": "But precisely I do not feel like saying the sentences with emphasis for this reason, but", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00022-00012552-00013109": "actually we hope that sun and sky are really strong.", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00023-00013109-00013276": "So, said this:", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00024-00013276-00013788": "so from the mythical wind ... no so from this other mythical window with the pink flowers,", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00025-00013788-00014269": "the white courtain and the gray roller shooter, not visible but also from the mythical window", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00026-00014269-00014722": "with the colored courtain, as if I were always there, certainly not sublime but still beautiful,", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00027-00014722-00015304": "always thanks to the effect created by the frame and by the same colors of the curtain", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00028-00015304-00015404": "and its", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00029-00015404-00016197": "green roller shooter, behind me, on the top not visible and in fact here in the shot", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00030-00016197-00017068": "and finally from my mythical keyboard Yamaha DGX640 YPG-625", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00031-00017068-00018003": "have a great day him, all the people who follow the channel and the reports and have also", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00032-00018003-00018103": "a", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00033-00018103-00018857": "great breakfast everyone, I'll make it soon, my stomach rumbles I don't know yours.", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00034-00018857-00018957": "Yup,", "lJJYyn5uiFy-00035-00018957-00019256": "see you at the video-thoughts in case I do or tomorrow!"}}, {"audio_id": "lJQngxEsDtI", "text": {"lJQngxEsDtI-00000-00000010-00000063": "ABOUT A HALF BILLION POUNDS OF", "lJQngxEsDtI-00001-00000063-00000070": "ABOUT A HALF BILLION POUNDS OF", "lJQngxEsDtI-00002-00000070-00000437": "ABOUT A HALF BILLION POUNDS OF  ALUMINUM ANNUALLY.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00003-00000437-00000443": "ABOUT A HALF BILLION POUNDS OF  ALUMINUM ANNUALLY.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00004-00000443-00000633": "ABOUT A HALF BILLION POUNDS OF  ALUMINUM ANNUALLY.  >>> A GROUND BREAKING EVENT TOOK", "lJQngxEsDtI-00005-00000633-00000640": "ALUMINUM ANNUALLY.  >>> A GROUND BREAKING EVENT TOOK", "lJQngxEsDtI-00006-00000640-00000887": "ALUMINUM ANNUALLY.  >>> A GROUND BREAKING EVENT TOOK PLACE TO CELEBRATE A NEW HOME", "lJQngxEsDtI-00007-00000887-00000894": ">>> A GROUND BREAKING EVENT TOOK PLACE TO CELEBRATE A NEW HOME", "lJQngxEsDtI-00008-00000894-00001101": ">>> A GROUND BREAKING EVENT TOOK PLACE TO CELEBRATE A NEW HOME  BEING BUILT FOR A SPECIAL", "lJQngxEsDtI-00009-00001101-00001107": "PLACE TO CELEBRATE A NEW HOME  BEING BUILT FOR A SPECIAL", "lJQngxEsDtI-00010-00001107-00001134": "PLACE TO CELEBRATE A NEW HOME  BEING BUILT FOR A SPECIAL  FAMILY.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00011-00001134-00001141": "BEING BUILT FOR A SPECIAL  FAMILY.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00012-00001141-00001314": "BEING BUILT FOR A SPECIAL  FAMILY. OUR ANTHONY SCOTT WAS ON THE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00013-00001314-00001321": "FAMILY. OUR ANTHONY SCOTT WAS ON THE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00014-00001321-00001347": "FAMILY. OUR ANTHONY SCOTT WAS ON THE  SCENE.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00015-00001347-00001354": "OUR ANTHONY SCOTT WAS ON THE  SCENE.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00016-00001354-00001491": "OUR ANTHONY SCOTT WAS ON THE  SCENE. >> IN JUST A FEW MONTHS THIS", "lJQngxEsDtI-00017-00001491-00001498": "SCENE. >> IN JUST A FEW MONTHS THIS", "lJQngxEsDtI-00018-00001498-00001624": "SCENE. >> IN JUST A FEW MONTHS THIS  WILL BE THE LOT FOR A NEW HOME.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00019-00001624-00001631": ">> IN JUST A FEW MONTHS THIS  WILL BE THE LOT FOR A NEW HOME.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00020-00001631-00001738": ">> IN JUST A FEW MONTHS THIS  WILL BE THE LOT FOR A NEW HOME. THROUGH FUND-RAISING AND", "lJQngxEsDtI-00021-00001738-00001745": "WILL BE THE LOT FOR A NEW HOME. THROUGH FUND-RAISING AND", "lJQngxEsDtI-00022-00001745-00001895": "WILL BE THE LOT FOR A NEW HOME. THROUGH FUND-RAISING AND  DONATIONS HABITAT FOR HUMANITY", "lJQngxEsDtI-00023-00001895-00001901": "THROUGH FUND-RAISING AND  DONATIONS HABITAT FOR HUMANITY", "lJQngxEsDtI-00024-00001901-00002005": "THROUGH FUND-RAISING AND  DONATIONS HABITAT FOR HUMANITY  HAS BEEN ABLE TO BUILD", "lJQngxEsDtI-00025-00002005-00002012": "DONATIONS HABITAT FOR HUMANITY  HAS BEEN ABLE TO BUILD", "lJQngxEsDtI-00026-00002012-00002178": "DONATIONS HABITAT FOR HUMANITY  HAS BEEN ABLE TO BUILD  INEXPENSIVE HOMES FOR OVER 30", "lJQngxEsDtI-00027-00002178-00002185": "HAS BEEN ABLE TO BUILD  INEXPENSIVE HOMES FOR OVER 30", "lJQngxEsDtI-00028-00002185-00002208": "HAS BEEN ABLE TO BUILD  INEXPENSIVE HOMES FOR OVER 30  YEARS.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00029-00002208-00002215": "INEXPENSIVE HOMES FOR OVER 30  YEARS.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00030-00002215-00002338": "INEXPENSIVE HOMES FOR OVER 30  YEARS. AND THEY ALWAYS HAVE THREE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00031-00002338-00002345": "YEARS. AND THEY ALWAYS HAVE THREE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00032-00002345-00002425": "YEARS. AND THEY ALWAYS HAVE THREE  THINGS IN MIND.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00033-00002425-00002432": "AND THEY ALWAYS HAVE THREE  THINGS IN MIND.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00034-00002432-00002665": "AND THEY ALWAYS HAVE THREE  THINGS IN MIND. >> BUILD AFFORDABLE, VERY", "lJQngxEsDtI-00035-00002665-00002672": "THINGS IN MIND. >> BUILD AFFORDABLE, VERY", "lJQngxEsDtI-00036-00002672-00002702": "THINGS IN MIND. >> BUILD AFFORDABLE, VERY  EFFICIENT.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00037-00002702-00002709": ">> BUILD AFFORDABLE, VERY  EFFICIENT.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00038-00002709-00002949": ">> BUILD AFFORDABLE, VERY  EFFICIENT. THESE ARE ALL GREEN HOMES ARE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00039-00002949-00002956": "EFFICIENT. THESE ARE ALL GREEN HOMES ARE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00040-00002956-00003149": "EFFICIENT. THESE ARE ALL GREEN HOMES ARE  GREAT LEVELS OF INSULATION AND", "lJQngxEsDtI-00041-00003149-00003156": "THESE ARE ALL GREEN HOMES ARE  GREAT LEVELS OF INSULATION AND", "lJQngxEsDtI-00042-00003156-00003199": "THESE ARE ALL GREEN HOMES ARE  GREAT LEVELS OF INSULATION AND  HIGH QUALITY.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00043-00003199-00003206": "GREAT LEVELS OF INSULATION AND  HIGH QUALITY.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00044-00003206-00003349": "GREAT LEVELS OF INSULATION AND  HIGH QUALITY. WE TRY NOT TO CUT ANY CORNERS IF", "lJQngxEsDtI-00045-00003349-00003356": "HIGH QUALITY. WE TRY NOT TO CUT ANY CORNERS IF", "lJQngxEsDtI-00046-00003356-00003453": "HIGH QUALITY. WE TRY NOT TO CUT ANY CORNERS IF WE CAN HANDLE IT.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00047-00003453-00003460": "WE TRY NOT TO CUT ANY CORNERS IF WE CAN HANDLE IT.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00048-00003460-00003596": "WE TRY NOT TO CUT ANY CORNERS IF WE CAN HANDLE IT. >> YOUNG AND OLD CAME OUT WITH", "lJQngxEsDtI-00049-00003596-00003603": "WE CAN HANDLE IT. >> YOUNG AND OLD CAME OUT WITH", "lJQngxEsDtI-00050-00003603-00003717": "WE CAN HANDLE IT. >> YOUNG AND OLD CAME OUT WITH  THEIR SHOVELS FOR THE GROUND", "lJQngxEsDtI-00051-00003717-00003723": ">> YOUNG AND OLD CAME OUT WITH  THEIR SHOVELS FOR THE GROUND", "lJQngxEsDtI-00052-00003723-00003897": ">> YOUNG AND OLD CAME OUT WITH  THEIR SHOVELS FOR THE GROUND  BREAKING EVENT.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00053-00003897-00003903": "THEIR SHOVELS FOR THE GROUND  BREAKING EVENT.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00054-00003903-00004270": "THEIR SHOVELS FOR THE GROUND  BREAKING EVENT. >> THIS IS A BIGGER ATTENDANCE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00055-00004270-00004277": "BREAKING EVENT. >> THIS IS A BIGGER ATTENDANCE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00056-00004277-00004501": "BREAKING EVENT. >> THIS IS A BIGGER ATTENDANCE  THAN WE HAVE HAD ANY OF OUR", "lJQngxEsDtI-00057-00004501-00004507": ">> THIS IS A BIGGER ATTENDANCE  THAN WE HAVE HAD ANY OF OUR", "lJQngxEsDtI-00058-00004507-00004564": ">> THIS IS A BIGGER ATTENDANCE  THAN WE HAVE HAD ANY OF OUR  HOMES.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00059-00004564-00004571": "THAN WE HAVE HAD ANY OF OUR  HOMES.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00060-00004571-00004697": "THAN WE HAVE HAD ANY OF OUR  HOMES. I THINK PART OF IT IS THE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00061-00004697-00004704": "HOMES. I THINK PART OF IT IS THE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00062-00004704-00004791": "HOMES. I THINK PART OF IT IS THE  VISIBILITY, THE SIGNS WE HAVE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00063-00004791-00004798": "I THINK PART OF IT IS THE  VISIBILITY, THE SIGNS WE HAVE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00064-00004798-00004984": "I THINK PART OF IT IS THE  VISIBILITY, THE SIGNS WE HAVE  HAD UP, AND THINGS WE HAVE BEEN", "lJQngxEsDtI-00065-00004984-00004991": "VISIBILITY, THE SIGNS WE HAVE  HAD UP, AND THINGS WE HAVE BEEN", "lJQngxEsDtI-00066-00004991-00005198": "VISIBILITY, THE SIGNS WE HAVE  HAD UP, AND THINGS WE HAVE BEEN  BUILDING ON FOR THE LAST NINE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00067-00005198-00005205": "HAD UP, AND THINGS WE HAVE BEEN  BUILDING ON FOR THE LAST NINE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00068-00005205-00005228": "HAD UP, AND THINGS WE HAVE BEEN  BUILDING ON FOR THE LAST NINE  YEARS.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00069-00005228-00005235": "BUILDING ON FOR THE LAST NINE  YEARS.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00070-00005235-00005548": "BUILDING ON FOR THE LAST NINE  YEARS. >> THE NEW HOMEOWNER CAN'T THANK", "lJQngxEsDtI-00071-00005548-00005555": "YEARS. >> THE NEW HOMEOWNER CAN'T THANK", "lJQngxEsDtI-00072-00005555-00005769": "YEARS. >> THE NEW HOMEOWNER CAN'T THANK THE VOLUNTEERS ENOUGH.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00073-00005769-00005775": ">> THE NEW HOMEOWNER CAN'T THANK THE VOLUNTEERS ENOUGH.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00074-00005775-00006039": ">> THE NEW HOMEOWNER CAN'T THANK THE VOLUNTEERS ENOUGH. >> I'M GRATEFUL AND SO HAPPY", "lJQngxEsDtI-00075-00006039-00006046": "THE VOLUNTEERS ENOUGH. >> I'M GRATEFUL AND SO HAPPY", "lJQngxEsDtI-00076-00006046-00006172": "THE VOLUNTEERS ENOUGH. >> I'M GRATEFUL AND SO HAPPY  THAT SO MANY PEOPLE ARE HERE TO", "lJQngxEsDtI-00077-00006172-00006179": ">> I'M GRATEFUL AND SO HAPPY  THAT SO MANY PEOPLE ARE HERE TO", "lJQngxEsDtI-00078-00006179-00006342": ">> I'M GRATEFUL AND SO HAPPY  THAT SO MANY PEOPLE ARE HERE TO  SUPPORT ME AND HELP ME AND", "lJQngxEsDtI-00079-00006342-00006349": "THAT SO MANY PEOPLE ARE HERE TO  SUPPORT ME AND HELP ME AND", "lJQngxEsDtI-00080-00006349-00006383": "THAT SO MANY PEOPLE ARE HERE TO  SUPPORT ME AND HELP ME AND  VOLUNTEER", "lJQngxEsDtI-00081-00006383-00006389": "SUPPORT ME AND HELP ME AND  VOLUNTEER", "lJQngxEsDtI-00082-00006389-00006509": "SUPPORT ME AND HELP ME AND  VOLUNTEER  >> THIS PIECE OF WOOD WAS SIGNED", "lJQngxEsDtI-00083-00006509-00006516": "VOLUNTEER  >> THIS PIECE OF WOOD WAS SIGNED", "lJQngxEsDtI-00084-00006516-00006606": "VOLUNTEER  >> THIS PIECE OF WOOD WAS SIGNED BY EVERYONE WHO HELPED AT THE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00085-00006606-00006613": ">> THIS PIECE OF WOOD WAS SIGNED BY EVERYONE WHO HELPED AT THE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00086-00006613-00006740": ">> THIS PIECE OF WOOD WAS SIGNED BY EVERYONE WHO HELPED AT THE  EVENT AND IT WILL EVENTUALLY BE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00087-00006740-00006746": "BY EVERYONE WHO HELPED AT THE  EVENT AND IT WILL EVENTUALLY BE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00088-00006746-00006890": "BY EVERYONE WHO HELPED AT THE  EVENT AND IT WILL EVENTUALLY BE  USED TO HELP BUILD THE NEW HOME.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00089-00006890-00006896": "EVENT AND IT WILL EVENTUALLY BE  USED TO HELP BUILD THE NEW HOME.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00090-00006896-00007343": "EVENT AND IT WILL EVENTUALLY BE  USED TO HELP BUILD THE NEW HOME. THIS IS THE FIFTH HABITAT FOR", "lJQngxEsDtI-00091-00007343-00007350": "USED TO HELP BUILD THE NEW HOME. THIS IS THE FIFTH HABITAT FOR", "lJQngxEsDtI-00092-00007350-00007567": "USED TO HELP BUILD THE NEW HOME. THIS IS THE FIFTH HABITAT FOR  HUMANITY HOME IN AITKIN COUNTY", "lJQngxEsDtI-00093-00007567-00007574": "THIS IS THE FIFTH HABITAT FOR  HUMANITY HOME IN AITKIN COUNTY", "lJQngxEsDtI-00094-00007574-00007754": "THIS IS THE FIFTH HABITAT FOR  HUMANITY HOME IN AITKIN COUNTY  AND IT WILL SOON BE NAMED THE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00095-00007754-00007761": "HUMANITY HOME IN AITKIN COUNTY  AND IT WILL SOON BE NAMED THE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00096-00007761-00007854": "HUMANITY HOME IN AITKIN COUNTY  AND IT WILL SOON BE NAMED THE  RYAN RESIDENCE AND THEY CAN'T", "lJQngxEsDtI-00097-00007854-00007861": "AND IT WILL SOON BE NAMED THE  RYAN RESIDENCE AND THEY CAN'T", "lJQngxEsDtI-00098-00007861-00008001": "AND IT WILL SOON BE NAMED THE  RYAN RESIDENCE AND THEY CAN'T  WAIT TO MOVE IN.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00099-00008001-00008007": "RYAN RESIDENCE AND THEY CAN'T  WAIT TO MOVE IN.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00100-00008007-00008168": "RYAN RESIDENCE AND THEY CAN'T  WAIT TO MOVE IN. >> JUST BEING IN MY OWN HOME AND", "lJQngxEsDtI-00101-00008168-00008174": "WAIT TO MOVE IN. >> JUST BEING IN MY OWN HOME AND", "lJQngxEsDtI-00102-00008174-00008288": "WAIT TO MOVE IN. >> JUST BEING IN MY OWN HOME AND MY KIDS HAVING A PLACE TO CALL", "lJQngxEsDtI-00103-00008288-00008294": ">> JUST BEING IN MY OWN HOME AND MY KIDS HAVING A PLACE TO CALL", "lJQngxEsDtI-00104-00008294-00008348": ">> JUST BEING IN MY OWN HOME AND MY KIDS HAVING A PLACE TO CALL  THEIR HOME", "lJQngxEsDtI-00105-00008348-00008355": "MY KIDS HAVING A PLACE TO CALL  THEIR HOME", "lJQngxEsDtI-00106-00008355-00008575": "MY KIDS HAVING A PLACE TO CALL  THEIR HOME  >> A NEW HOME NOT ONLY OFFERS A", "lJQngxEsDtI-00107-00008575-00008581": "THEIR HOME  >> A NEW HOME NOT ONLY OFFERS A", "lJQngxEsDtI-00108-00008581-00008822": "THEIR HOME  >> A NEW HOME NOT ONLY OFFERS A  FAMILY A PLACE TO LIVE BUT ALSO", "lJQngxEsDtI-00109-00008822-00008828": ">> A NEW HOME NOT ONLY OFFERS A  FAMILY A PLACE TO LIVE BUT ALSO", "lJQngxEsDtI-00110-00008828-00008928": ">> A NEW HOME NOT ONLY OFFERS A  FAMILY A PLACE TO LIVE BUT ALSO  ALLOWS CHILDREN TO BLOSSOM INTO", "lJQngxEsDtI-00111-00008928-00008935": "FAMILY A PLACE TO LIVE BUT ALSO  ALLOWS CHILDREN TO BLOSSOM INTO", "lJQngxEsDtI-00112-00008935-00008992": "FAMILY A PLACE TO LIVE BUT ALSO  ALLOWS CHILDREN TO BLOSSOM INTO  THEIR OWN PERSON.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00113-00008992-00008998": "ALLOWS CHILDREN TO BLOSSOM INTO  THEIR OWN PERSON.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00114-00008998-00009095": "ALLOWS CHILDREN TO BLOSSOM INTO  THEIR OWN PERSON. >> I HAVE SEEN KIDS THAT BEFORE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00115-00009095-00009102": "THEIR OWN PERSON. >> I HAVE SEEN KIDS THAT BEFORE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00116-00009102-00009285": "THEIR OWN PERSON. >> I HAVE SEEN KIDS THAT BEFORE  AND AFTER MOVING INTO THEIR", "lJQngxEsDtI-00117-00009285-00009292": ">> I HAVE SEEN KIDS THAT BEFORE  AND AFTER MOVING INTO THEIR", "lJQngxEsDtI-00118-00009292-00009432": ">> I HAVE SEEN KIDS THAT BEFORE  AND AFTER MOVING INTO THEIR  HOUSE, THEY'RE COMPLETELY", "lJQngxEsDtI-00119-00009432-00009439": "AND AFTER MOVING INTO THEIR  HOUSE, THEY'RE COMPLETELY", "lJQngxEsDtI-00120-00009439-00009652": "AND AFTER MOVING INTO THEIR  HOUSE, THEY'RE COMPLETELY  DIFFERENT PERSONALITIES.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00121-00009652-00009659": "HOUSE, THEY'RE COMPLETELY  DIFFERENT PERSONALITIES.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00122-00009659-00009776": "HOUSE, THEY'RE COMPLETELY  DIFFERENT PERSONALITIES. THEY WANT TO GRAB YOU BY THE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00123-00009776-00009783": "DIFFERENT PERSONALITIES. THEY WANT TO GRAB YOU BY THE", "lJQngxEsDtI-00124-00009783-00009946": "DIFFERENT PERSONALITIES. THEY WANT TO GRAB YOU BY THE  HAND AND SHOW YOU THEIR BEDROOM.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00125-00009946-00009953": "THEY WANT TO GRAB YOU BY THE  HAND AND SHOW YOU THEIR BEDROOM.", "lJQngxEsDtI-00126-00009953-00010230": "THEY WANT TO GRAB YOU BY THE  HAND AND SHOW YOU THEIR BEDROOM. >> REPORTING FROM AITKIN COUNTY,", "lJQngxEsDtI-00127-00010230-00010236": "HAND AND SHOW YOU THEIR BEDROOM. >> REPORTING FROM AITKIN COUNTY,", "lJQngxEsDtI-00128-00010236-00010330": "HAND AND SHOW YOU THEIR BEDROOM. >> REPORTING FROM AITKIN COUNTY, ANTHONY SCOTT, LAKELAND NEWS."}}, {"audio_id": "lJVD2FOfauy", "text": {"lJVD2FOfauy-00000-00000000-00000200": "FREE DOWNLOAD IN DESCRIPTION"}}, {"audio_id": "lL8k5WOSRfA", "text": {"lL8k5WOSRfA-00000-00002608-00002770": "Jon: The fun never end!", "lL8k5WOSRfA-00001-00007639-00007700": "THREE? TWO?", "lL8k5WOSRfA-00002-00007703-00007772": "ONE... GO!"}}, {"audio_id": "lLLK9z3iYZc", "text": {"lLLK9z3iYZc-00000-00001142-00001334": "Item #: SCP-772", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00001-00001334-00001602": "Object Class: Euclid", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00002-00001602-00002266": "Special Containment Procedures: All SCP-772 specimens are to be contained in their 18", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00003-00002266-00003036": "m x 18 m x 9 m enclosure, which is contained within a 20 m x 20 m x 10 m hermetically sealed", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00004-00003036-00003778": "chamber located at Sector-07. A maximum capacity of fifteen (15) specimens per this enclosure", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00005-00003778-00004457": "is advised, as exceeding this number could result in heightened levels of SCP-772 aggression.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00006-00004457-00005025": "This chamber is fitted with a pneumatic fluoridated aluminum dispenser that may be activated remotely", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00007-00005025-00005654": "if an emergency euthanisation of SCP-772 is necessary, resulting in the suffocation and", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00008-00005654-00006369": "incineration of all SCP-772 specimens. This emergency euthanisation mechanism and all", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00009-00006369-00006952": "related equipment must undergo routine maintenance checks to ensure adequate performance. The", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00010-00006952-00007531": "interval between maintenance checks is not to exceed seven (7) days. SCP-772 eggs are", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00011-00007531-00008393": "to be stored in a well-lit freezer at a temperature no higher than -10º C (14º F). Surplus/unwanted", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00012-00008393-00008886": "eggs are to be incinerated immediately and the resulting debris must be examined for", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00013-00008886-00009548": "any signs of life. If signs of life are present a second round of incineration is authorised.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00014-00009548-00010042": "The same procedure should be applied to all expired/unneeded subjects who are, or could", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00015-00010042-00010450": "possibly be, SCP-772 hosts.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00016-00010450-00011122": "NOTE: Personnel intending to use SCP-772 for purposes not qualifying as research-oriented", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00017-00011122-00011484": "must obtain O5 authorisation. – Dr. Woodside", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00018-00011484-00012225": "Description: SCP-772 is a wasp of unknown species, superficially resembling members", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00019-00012225-00012900": "of the Megarhyssa genus. A mature adult is typically 60 cm in length, from head to abdomen,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00020-00012900-00013519": "excluding antennae and ovipositor. This barbed ovipositor, reaching a length of up to 70", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00021-00013519-00014138": "cm, is used to penetrate its host and deposit anywhere from 5 to 20 eggs. Eggs are typically", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00022-00014138-00015087": "6 cm long and 2.5 cm in diameter. SCP-772 is meticulous and almost surgical during oviposition:", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00023-00015087-00015637": "it makes an incision no longer than 3 cm, and the host is paralysed and/or comatose", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00024-00015637-00016287": "for several hours until the wound can heal sufficiently. Injected along with the eggs", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00025-00016287-00016734": "is a polydnavirus uniquely adapted to suppress the immune system of mammals, analogous to", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00026-00016734-00017201": "the smaller parasitoid wasps which do the same to their caterpillar hosts.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00027-00017201-00017868": "Female specimens of SCP-772 pose a significant safety hazard, as the ovipositor is extremely", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00028-00017868-00018401": "sharp and manoeuvrable. When threatened, females will use this organ as a weapon and stab the", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00029-00018401-00018887": "offender repeatedly. While these wounds are not always fatal, they have been reported", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00030-00018887-00019459": "to be acutely painful, and cases of bone penetration have been documented. Although caution should", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00031-00019459-00020073": "be exercised around all specimens of SCP-772, males lack the ovipositor which serves as", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00032-00020073-00020299": "the female’s weapon and method of host infiltration.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00033-00020299-00020974": "Females are capable of reproducing asexually via thelytokous parthenogenesis and will do", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00034-00020974-00021731": "so in the absence of males. SCP-772 requires a warm, dark, nutrient-rich cavity in which", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00035-00021731-00022296": "to lay its eggs. It habitually deposits eggs in the abdominal subcutaneous fat of large", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00036-00022296-00023005": "mammals, but has been known to utilise subcutaneous fat in other regions, including the shoulder,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00037-00023005-00023522": "back, hip, thigh, and [DATA EXPUNGED]. See extensive testing conducted on D-class personnel", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00038-00023522-00024148": "in Document [ADDITIONAL CLEARANCE REQUIRED]. SCP-772 eggs have an incubation period of", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00039-00024148-00024673": "4 to 12 days, and length of incubation period is speculated to share an inversely proportional", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00040-00024673-00025385": "relationship with levels of host stress hormone. Upon hatching, SCP-772 larvae begin their", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00041-00025385-00025922": "consumption of host tissue, gradually working their way into the depths of the host's body.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00042-00025922-00026702": "The larvae may be easily mistaken for abscesses/tumors, but as SCP-772 progresses away from the hypodermis,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00043-00026702-00027283": "it appears to the observer that said abscesses/tumors are diminishing of their own accord.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00044-00027283-00028116": "SCP-772 was discovered on the fourth of ████, 19██, when Professor ████████, a", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00045-00028116-00028715": "noted entomologist of ███████ University, was found disemboweled and partially devoured", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00046-00028715-00029362": "on his bathroom floor. Several adult SCP-772's were found feeding on his remains and that", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00047-00029362-00029981": "of his two cats, indicating that SCP-772 is carnivorous even after pupation. Interviews", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00048-00029981-00030438": "with his colleagues revealed that Professor ████████ had apparently returned", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00049-00030438-00030983": "from the Azores islands about two weeks before his death. He did not contact anyone following", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00050-00030983-00031646": "his arrival in the U.K. and did not return to the university. Professor ████████ had", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00051-00031646-00032137": "been conducting research in remote areas of the Azores for months at a time and had little", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00052-00032137-00032644": "contact with anyone during his absence. He recorded data and personal reflections in", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00053-00032644-00033203": "a series of journals, two of which were found on-site. Relevant and/or noteworthy excerpts", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00054-00033203-00033593": "have been transcribed and included for post-mortem analysis.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00055-00033593-00033880": "Journal 772-B:", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00056-00033880-00034112": "Page 52", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00057-00034112-00034686": "12/██/19██ Finally, after months of fruitless searching", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00058-00034686-00035268": "and conducting the same mundane tests on local vegetation and perfectly ordinary insect life,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00059-00035268-00035700": "I have found something. And it could be a discovery the likes of which I have sought", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00060-00035700-00036269": "after all my life. Something undocumented, something unheard of. That rare moment which", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00061-00036269-00036715": "I’m sure Steller and Darwin and all the rest took for granted, the feeling that you", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00062-00036715-00037234": "might actually be witnessing something new. Well, not new. Something ancient, really,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00063-00037234-00037904": "but new to human eyes, looking back in time, or into the future of natural selection. It’s", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00064-00037904-00038372": "like what Arthur Conan Doyle or Jules Verne wrote about in their stories, only it’s", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00065-00038372-00038852": "bloody real. Lord, I know I’m a scientist, but even George would be excited about this.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00066-00038852-00039309": "You see this George? I hope by the time you read this lovely little memento I’ve won", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00067-00039309-00039853": "an award I can wave in your face. Passion and dedication matter, it’s not just about", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00068-00039853-00040416": "lab work! It’s about risking malaria and dysentery and sleep deprivation and even death.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00069-00040416-00040972": "I daresay it's all worth it now. Those larvae are at least ten centimetres long!", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00070-00040972-00041178": "Page 58", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00071-00041178-00041369": "13/██/19██", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00072-00041369-00042046": "I’ve taken the carcass back to my campsite. It may not be entirely hygienic to keep about,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00073-00042046-00042566": "but this will allow me full-time observation of the larvae. I almost feel guilty dragging", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00074-00042566-00043054": "the thing back here, but there’s nothing for it. Reminds me a bit of how I felt back", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00075-00043054-00043649": "in my undergraduate studies, when I didn’t want to drown those helpless rats. Ah well.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00076-00043649-00044036": "This fellow was already dead, and must have been for some time without anyone going to", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00077-00044036-00044146": "look for him.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00078-00044146-00044340": "Page 60", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00079-00044340-00044512": "15/██/19██", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00080-00044512-00045040": "I’ve examined it all very closely, and it seems I’m fortunate to have stumbled upon", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00081-00045040-00045493": "the larvae at all. They’ve all retreated as deep as they can within the body, seeking", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00082-00045493-00045988": "the darkest, tightest nooks and crannies, as if prematurely exposed. And I’ve folded", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00083-00045988-00046496": "the skin back into place, at least what’s left of it, and now I see he’s split open", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00084-00046496-00047063": "by a very even, clean-cut slash. The larvae weren’t the ones responsible for the wound,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00085-00047063-00047519": "a knife was, or some sort of blade. I’m going to be well pissed off if this corpse", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00086-00047519-00047931": "is a piece of murder evidence. I don’t think they bother with that sort of thing as much", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00087-00047931-00048413": "out here, but I’m going to make certain no one finds this body. Not about to lose", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00088-00048413-00048546": "my discovery.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00089-00048546-00048708": "Page 75", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00090-00048708-00048843": "21/██/19██", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00091-00048843-00049506": "They’re in cocoons now, and I think my original suspicion is correct, they’re some sort", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00092-00049506-00050062": "of ichneumonoid. [Text scribbled and illegible.] Although this is fairly uncharacteristic of", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00093-00050062-00050555": "me, I’m spending more energy on worrying than data collection. I returned to the place", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00094-00050555-00051047": "I found the body originally, and what do you know, the murder weapon sitting right there.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00095-00051047-00051554": "I hadn’t noticed it before. It’s a big machete, still has dried blood on it. I’m", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00096-00051554-00051944": "frightened because if anyone finds me, they might think I killed him, and then I might", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00097-00051944-00052391": "not be the one awarded all the recognition. Definitely not contacting the authorities.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00098-00052391-00052863": "Well, can you blame me? One murder investigation is nothing compared to the implications this", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00099-00052863-00053108": "wasp has for science.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00100-00053108-00053219": "Page 82", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00101-00053219-00053329": "7/██/19██", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00102-00053329-00054066": "It’s been a fortnight already, I’m dying of anticipation, and it’s not exactly smelling", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00103-00054066-00054551": "like roses in camp with this corpse lying about. When will the buggers pupate?", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00104-00054551-00054812": "Page 85", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00105-00054812-00055074": "15/██/19██", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00106-00055074-00055591": "Good lord I’m thrilled! I feel like a proud father, they’ve finally emerged. Luckily", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00107-00055591-00055985": "I’d constructed an enclosure around the carcass a week ago, because they’re bloody", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00108-00055985-00056627": "ENORMOUS. This is of truly prehistoric calibre. They’re colourful, yellow and red, positively", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00109-00056627-00057129": "stunning. Their exoskeleton is unlike any I’ve ever encountered. When they fly against", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00110-00057129-00057648": "the walls of their enclosure, the wire actually bends, and it’s really thick wire, too.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00111-00057648-00058179": "They use such force and don’t seem to suffer any injuries, the exoskeleton must be extraordinarily", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00112-00058179-00058877": "tough. And the ovipositor of the females is incredible. 60-70 cm, if you can believe it.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00113-00058877-00059320": "But I can’t record all this in two places, consult my data notebook.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00114-00059320-00059588": "Page 89", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00115-00059588-00059854": "18/██/19██", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00116-00059854-00060305": "Rather worried, nights have been particularly windy as of late, and they have finished off", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00117-00060305-00060749": "the corpse. Confound it, I don’t know how it’s possible, but they’ve eaten the hair", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00118-00060749-00061185": "and bones. They act with extreme aggression toward anything that moves, including myself,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00119-00061185-00061666": "and the thudding as they bang against the walls is becoming rather unnerving. [This", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00120-00061666-00062186": "portion of text stricken out] I don’t honestly know how much longer the enclosure will hold", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00121-00062186-00062719": "[End portion of stricken text] I’m surprised the enclosure has held up this long, especially", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00122-00062719-00063166": "with the wind blowing like this. I don’t know what to do. I can’t risk losing them,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00123-00063166-00063582": "but if I leave to get help in town, they could break free while I’m gone and they’ll", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00124-00063582-00063952": "be gone forever and [Text scribbled and illegible.]", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00125-00063952-00064154": "Page 91", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00126-00064154-00064332": "11/██/19██", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00127-00064332-00065008": "Fuck. Bloody fuck, [Erratic scribbling across several pages, at times so forceful the pages", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00128-00065008-00065527": "are torn.] Well damn it all, I have some written data and some photographs, sketches and things,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00129-00065527-00065989": "but it’s all rubbish compared to the real thing, isn’t it? I suppose I’m lucky I", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00130-00065989-00066433": "survived, but the devil can take me for all I care, because I’ve lost my evidence and", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00131-00066433-00066976": "now no one will believe me, they’ll say I’m mad, tampered with a photo of an ordinary", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00132-00066976-00067438": "wasp. I feel ill just writing this, and not only because I’ve lost the discovery of", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00133-00067438-00067893": "a lifetime, I seem to have contracted some wretched disease there, either from the water", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00134-00067893-00068375": "or from contamination from the bloody corpse, or from mosquitoes, or parasites, or who knows", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00135-00068375-00068904": "what the devil [Text scribbled and illegible.] Vomiting, stomach pains and chest pains the", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00136-00068904-00069383": "likes of which you cannot imagine, I suppose whatever I’ve come down with has only exacerbated", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00137-00069383-00069595": "my acid reflux.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00138-00069595-00069939": "It would have been better if I could have killed them all, so no one else could find", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00139-00069939-00070450": "them, but can you believe my pistol wasn’t enough? Thud, bloody thud, I heard the bullets", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00140-00070450-00070876": "flatten as they struck, completely useless. I woke up in the middle of the night and my", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00141-00070876-00071423": "side was aching and the enclosure was just a pile of wood and wire and the air was alive", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00142-00071423-00071808": "with humming. I grabbed this journal and jumped into my truck, but I don’t know how I managed", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00143-00071808-00072286": "to escape. I just remember shooting as I ran, and even inside the truck they punctured the", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00144-00072286-00072942": "glass. I saw stingers, huge and thick at one end, fine and sharp as needles at the other,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00145-00072942-00073462": "jabbing just inches from my face, wings beating wildly against the windows as the glass weakened", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00146-00073462-00073920": "and cracked. I nearly crashed into a dozen trees trying to find the path leading to the", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00147-00073920-00074369": "road, but I found it. To think I cleared that path because I was too lazy to walk to the", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00148-00074369-00074917": "road. It saved my life. At some point I heard a sickening noise and my stomach churned,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00149-00074917-00075445": "but I managed to duck my head below the steering wheel. I was showered with glass and was stabbed", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00150-00075445-00076005": "a few times on my back and arms, by both shards and stingers, but I put the pedal to the floor", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00151-00076005-00076564": "and I managed to outpace the wasps. Bloody poetic. Now I can be a fiction writer instead", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00152-00076564-00077135": "of a God-damned world-renowned scientist [Text is scribbled manically; illegible.]", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00153-00077135-00077286": "Page 95", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00154-00077286-00077419": "20/██/19██", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00155-00077419-00078058": "I don’t want to believe it, but I can’t sleep at night and I know why I feel this", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00156-00078058-00078558": "way. How could I not know? It should have been obvious earlier on, and I considered", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00157-00078558-00078970": "the possibility, but I didn’t want to write it down and admit it might be happening. If", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00158-00078970-00079422": "it truly is happening, and I go to hospital, I could die on the table, and someone else", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00159-00079422-00079861": "might take the credit for discovering them. I think it is happening, though, I’m taking", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00160-00079861-00080337": "loads of painkillers each day now and drinking myself silly. [Text scribbled and illegible.]", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00161-00080337-00080931": "It is happening, you dim-witted sod. Lord, the pain, the pain, remember me as a weeping", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00162-00080931-00081606": "child but know that humans are not meant to endure this pain.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00163-00081606-00081706": "Page 97", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00164-00081706-00081806": "22/██/19██", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00165-00081806-00082357": "I discovered them, they are MINE, I will DIE for science but not in OBSCURITY. Name them", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00166-00082357-00082897": "after ME, YOU did not bear them like children you pathetic, spineless [DATA EXPUNGED].", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00167-00082897-00083087": "Page 144", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00168-00083087-00083256": "27/██/19██", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00169-00083256-00083866": "Wasn’t murdered, cut himself open. Me too.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00170-00083866-00084631": "Addendum 772-01: After conducting numerous tests on SCP-772's larval stage, we have concluded", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00171-00084631-00084731": "the following:", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00172-00084731-00085481": "Larvae are sensitive to bright light and temperatures lower than 21º C (70º F). When confronted", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00173-00085481-00085889": "with either for a prolonged period of time, the organism retreats into a state of deep", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00174-00085889-00086367": "hibernation and near-death. It is able to live for months at a time in this manner,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00175-00086367-00086961": "possibly indefinitely, until conditions once again prove favourable for its development.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00176-00086961-00087399": "Larvae saliva contains a digestive enzyme which aids in the decomposition and consumption", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00177-00087399-00087912": "of host tissue. Larvae respond positively to host stress hormone,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00178-00087912-00088464": "exhibiting increased energy levels, accelerated consumption rate, and expedited growth.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00179-00088464-00089233": "Addendum 772-02: After conducting numerous tests on SCP-772's adult stage, we have concluded", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00180-00089233-00089394": "the following:", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00181-00089394-00089948": "When given the choice between a live cow and a human corpse, SCP-772 deposits its eggs", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00182-00089948-00090467": "in the live cow 100% of the time. Whether the larvae require living tissue to survive", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00183-00090467-00090937": "or the choice is merely preferential on the part of the mother is not yet known.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00184-00090937-00091511": "When given the choice between a live cow and a live human, SCP-772 deposits its eggs in", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00185-00091511-00092008": "the live human 84% of the time, tapping its antennae vigorously against both subjects'", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00186-00092008-00092662": "skin before making a decision. SCP-772 will do the same when confronted with", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00187-00092662-00093182": "several human subjects, sometimes performing its \"tapping ritual\" up to five times on each", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00188-00093182-00093735": "individual. The criteria for which subject SCP-772 selects are not yet known, but there", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00189-00093735-00094296": "seems to be a correlation between its preference and [CLEARANCE LEVEL 3/772 REQUIRED]. Further", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00190-00094296-00094972": "research is planned. NOTE: Spheksophobic D-class personnel may prove instrumental in SCP-772", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00191-00094972-00095637": "data collection. – Dr. Woodside SCP-772 appears to be carnivorous, and in", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00192-00095637-00096213": "resource-deficient environments, cannibalistic. Males will attack and kill small mammals (e.g.,", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00193-00096213-00096727": "rabbits, cats) but mainly scavenge whatever remains they can find, including larger prey", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00194-00096727-00097431": "items killed by females. SCP-772 males can be seen \"swarming\" to the location of a female's", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00195-00097431-00097958": "kill, and she may tolerate their presence (in limited numbers). When a critical threshold", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00196-00097958-00098362": "has been reached, she will attack the males until they retreat, sometimes killing and", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00197-00098362-00099083": "eating individuals too slow to escape. Consult Document 772-11W for more information and", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00198-00099083-00099641": "hypotheses concerning SCP-772 intraspecies interaction.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00199-00099641-00100250": "Both sexes are highly resilient to firearms, incendiary devices, and insecticides. Asphyxiation", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00200-00100250-00100587": "by oxygen-deficient air has proven uniformly successful.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00201-00100587-00101089": "Microscopic analysis has revealed that the exoskeleton is not primarily chitin, as with", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00202-00101089-00101829": "other insects, but a complex matrix of chitin, hydroxyapatite, and a fullerene hitherto undocumented.", "lLLK9z3iYZc-00203-00101829-00101939": "Further research is planned."}}, {"audio_id": "lLbmfyiLQuY", "text": {"lLbmfyiLQuY-00000-00000170-00000616": "We just left Miami. We've been on the road for two hours now.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00001-00000640-00001056": "Now we're heading towards Cape Canaveral to watch a rocket launch a 5 am.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00002-00001144-00001464": "We might get a hotel room and wait.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00003-00001646-00002224": "We're going to watch from Playa Linda Beach.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00004-00002344-00002948": "We're going to get as close as possible to the launch site which is the complex 41.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00005-00003052-00003311": "There you go! See you later!", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00006-00003838-00004326": "I still have 5 hours to wait so I crossed the bridge and I'm visiting this little town on the other side.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00007-00004384-00004776": "It's midnight and nobody's here but I saw raccoons earlier!", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00008-00005062-00005260": "Well there's one car...", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00009-00005264-00005986": "As I was saying I saw raccoons and I tried to film them but I'm not sure if the video will be bright enough.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00010-00006078-00006420": "So right now I'm exploring, I must be in the middle of the town right now.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00011-00006509-00006852": "There's nothing to see really but I still have about 4 hours to wait...", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00012-00006908-00007028": "And then the rocket!", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00013-00007164-00007720": "The little yellow dot over there is the rocket with a huge building next to it.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00014-00007816-00008104": "It should take off soon.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00015-00028113-00028266": "There you go, it's gone!", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00016-00028314-00028839": "It was awesome, first there was nothing but a little dot and then bam! Fireworks!", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00017-00028924-00029083": "Well it didn't explode or anything", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00018-00029132-00029383": "but it was beautiful when it breached the atmosphere.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00019-00029482-00029995": "So I filmed with the camera and the gopro and I took pictures with my phone so everything should be ok.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00020-00030074-00030194": "I hope it will look good.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00021-00030286-00031174": "It took off there, did a large arc and a big cloud and went down over there.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00022-00031308-00031548": "Basically it went straight  but the earth is round.", "lLbmfyiLQuY-00023-00031950-00032712": "So now we go back on the road at 6 am towards Miami"}}, {"audio_id": "lMo0qsDNcUI", "text": {"lMo0qsDNcUI-00000-00000000-00000200": "Subscribe"}}, {"audio_id": "lMoPCIUdTfo", "text": {"lMoPCIUdTfo-00000-00000003-00003369": "here we go girls let's go over this with Jan oh no I'm talking about I think I should just do it", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00001-00003369-00004035": "one time okay and then put some front here and the other two times and still even though I like this", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00002-00004212-00004458": "I don't think we should renowned", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00003-00005790-00006465": "girls go to your position after you just like the guys down for this start the", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00004-00006465-00008613": "slide right away you're coming up and then you're sliding let's try to you know what", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00005-00008613-00009480": "you're doing wrong there okay also watch your hands they go shot uh imagine my body undress", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00006-00009480-00010011": "that come here it's continuous rather than here freeze here freeze here freeze", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00007-00012124-00012952": "my not traveling fast enough she's probably", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00008-00012952-00013309": "trumping up the right speed and we're not what it is yeah", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00009-00016263-00017431": "but I'm not so I can't", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00010-00017431-00020467": "so I can't so I can't make you call out my name", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00011-00020467-00022495": "but I'm not so I can't and I won't but if I was your girl I'm really kind of", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00012-00022495-00022963": "looking at the guy this way boom as I'm pushing him down ask who it belongs to", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00013-00023218-00023755": "if I was your woman slide down the things I'd do to you and keep looking at him and you come", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00014-00023755-00024184": "straight up to his ear you should be able to feel that the inside of your thigh as you go down you", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00015-00024184-00025378": "keep it like right here and I'm pushing full oh yeah", "lMoPCIUdTfo-00016-00025561-00027241": "here we go five six seven and one yeah yeah okay cool so let's do it with Jesus"}}, {"audio_id": "lN3a1-MISYy", "text": {"lN3a1-MISYy-00000-00000427-00000554": "Hi everyone, welcome to Pass-it", "lN3a1-MISYy-00001-00000554-00000724": "here we're again with integer arithmetic", "lN3a1-MISYy-00002-00000724-00001085": "today we're going to explain the concept of coprime integers", "lN3a1-MISYy-00003-00001085-00001865": "we know that there're prime numbers like 1, 2, 5, 7, etc...", "lN3a1-MISYy-00004-00001865-00002195": "but not everyone knows that they're coprime integers", "lN3a1-MISYy-00005-00002195-00003159": "ok, the only thing you must know to recognise coprime numbers", "lN3a1-MISYy-00006-00003159-00003613": "with other, of course, because these numbers always come in pairs", "lN3a1-MISYy-00007-00003613-00003985": "a number by himself can't be coprime, he needs another number to take this property", "lN3a1-MISYy-00008-00003985-00005218": "so, i'm going to say that 6 and 25 are coprime", "lN3a1-MISYy-00009-00005218-00005616": "and you say: \"¿How we know that?\"", "lN3a1-MISYy-00010-00005616-00006135": "very easy, to know if two numbers are coprime integers the only thing we have to do", "lN3a1-MISYy-00011-00006135-00006785": "is their maximum common divisor", "lN3a1-MISYy-00012-00006785-00007952": "this is the fatorization, that we all know", "lN3a1-MISYy-00013-00007952-00008895": "and then, you know that for MCD we pick up the prime factors that are repeated up to the minimum exponent,", "lN3a1-MISYy-00014-00008895-00009356": "but we realise that there isn't any prime factor that satisfy that condition", "lN3a1-MISYy-00015-00009356-00010494": "so their MCD is one", "lN3a1-MISYy-00016-00010494-00010894": "then, 6 and 25 are coprime numbers", "lN3a1-MISYy-00017-00011300-00011600": "Subtitles by the Amara.org community"}}, {"audio_id": "lNesDmBbbSc", "text": {"lNesDmBbbSc-00000-00000126-00000434": "Students should learn about register.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00001-00000434-00001066": "They need to know vocabulary choice is contingent on the register of language use.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00002-00001066-00001573": "There are certain situations where words are used.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00003-00001573-00002177": "Different words are used for talking among friends than in a classroom or business meeting,", "lNesDmBbbSc-00004-00002177-00002474": "for example.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00005-00002474-00002991": "Teachers need to teach students to be aware of the contexts where they find words, and", "lNesDmBbbSc-00006-00002991-00003944": "provide students with words in a variety of contexts, always with attention to the context.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00007-00003944-00004587": "Students should learn about all aspects of word knowledge: written and spoken forms,", "lNesDmBbbSc-00008-00004587-00004794": "context of use and collocations.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00009-00004794-00005298": "And teachers should provide students with a lot of exposure to vocabulary while raising", "lNesDmBbbSc-00010-00005298-00005866": "their awareness of their important features.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00011-00005866-00006498": "Professor Ranalli’s insights into how vocabulary is learned are very informative to us as we", "lNesDmBbbSc-00012-00006498-00006833": "think about how technology can help.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00013-00006833-00007545": "Based on what he said, I would suggest the following: We can show students how to use", "lNesDmBbbSc-00014-00007545-00007989": "vocabulary tools to look up words while reading.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00015-00007989-00008602": "We can teach students to search the Internet to find images and examples of vocabulary", "lNesDmBbbSc-00016-00008602-00008875": "in use.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00017-00008875-00009350": "We can use a corpus to help show students word patterns.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00018-00009350-00009795": "We can also encourage students to use spellcheckers to learn correct spelling.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00019-00009795-00010431": "And we can introduce students to online communities outside the classroom, such as fanfiction", "lNesDmBbbSc-00020-00010431-00010531": "communities.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00021-00010531-00011339": "Let’s take a look at some examples of each of these types of technology uses for vocabulary.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00022-00011339-00012099": "Here’s an example of one vocabulary tool that students can use while they’re reading.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00023-00012099-00012737": "It’s called “Lingro” and it allows students to attach the text they are reading to the", "lNesDmBbbSc-00024-00012737-00012926": "Lingro program.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00025-00012926-00013797": "And the Lingro program becomes a dictionary for every word in the text!", "lNesDmBbbSc-00026-00013797-00014320": "Where the arrow appears is the place where the student can type in a website and the", "lNesDmBbbSc-00027-00014320-00014965": "lingro program will attach to that text in that website in order to provide definitions", "lNesDmBbbSc-00028-00014965-00015068": "for the words.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00029-00015068-00015320": "Let’s see how it works.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00030-00015320-00016170": "Here’s a story in The New York Times about Donald Trump’s tough talk on trade.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00031-00016170-00016851": "The story is about some of the things Trump said shortly after he was elected president.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00032-00016851-00017670": "The Lingro program makes the text look different.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00033-00017670-00018148": "The Lingro program allows the students to move the cursor to any word that he or she", "lNesDmBbbSc-00034-00018148-00018868": "want to see defined and then click, and the dictionary definition comes up for each of", "lNesDmBbbSc-00035-00018868-00019100": "the words.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00036-00019100-00019870": "So there is “secure” in the first sentence: “Donald J. Trump secured the White House", "lNesDmBbbSc-00037-00019870-00020529": "in part with his vow to bring manufacturing jobs back to America.”", "lNesDmBbbSc-00038-00020529-00021123": "If we want to look up the word “secured,” we just move the cursor there and click on", "lNesDmBbbSc-00039-00021123-00021960": "it and then it gives dictionary definition of that word.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00040-00021960-00022585": "The dictionary definition of the word “deem” is shown on the slide.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00041-00022585-00023464": "There’s another example from the same text.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00042-00023464-00024163": "In this case we clicked on the word “vulnerable” and “vulnerable” then appears defined", "lNesDmBbbSc-00043-00024163-00024735": "so that the student can see, literally, any word in the text defined.", "lNesDmBbbSc-00044-00024735-00025384": "It’s like having a mobile electronic dictionary with the text that the student wishes to read."}}, {"audio_id": "lNI-nYhylky", "text": {"lNI-nYhylky-00000-00001171-00001555": "Losing weight can be a challenging process, especially as we get older.", "lNI-nYhylky-00001-00001555-00002005": "If you have a sluggish metabolism, struggle with food cravings, or have stubborn fat that", "lNI-nYhylky-00002-00002005-00002499": "just won’t go away, there are a variety of weight loss pills that can help.", "lNI-nYhylky-00003-00002499-00002972": "The best weight loss pills can help you burn stubborn body fat, boost metabolism, reduce", "lNI-nYhylky-00004-00002972-00003290": "food cravings, and increase energy levels.", "lNI-nYhylky-00005-00003290-00003769": "Best of all, these diet pills contain 100% natural ingredients and are guaranteed to", "lNI-nYhylky-00006-00003769-00003950": "work, or your money back.", "lNI-nYhylky-00007-00003950-00004383": "However, with dozens of different weight loss supplements on the market to choose from,", "lNI-nYhylky-00008-00004383-00004790": "picking the best diet pills can feel like an overwhelming task.", "lNI-nYhylky-00009-00004790-00005161": "To help you find a weight loss product that actually works, we’ve reviewed the best", "lNI-nYhylky-00010-00005161-00005410": "weight loss pills on the market today.", "lNI-nYhylky-00011-00005410-00005919": "We evaluated each weight loss pill on a variety of factors including ingredients, dosage,", "lNI-nYhylky-00012-00005919-00006175": "effectiveness, reviews, and price.", "lNI-nYhylky-00013-00006175-00006581": "If you’re ready to finally lose weight and feel more confident than ever, here are the", "lNI-nYhylky-00014-00006581-00006718": "6 best weight loss supplements", "lNI-nYhylky-00015-00006718-00007145": "1: Okinawa Flat Belly Tonic", "lNI-nYhylky-00016-00007145-00007623": "The Okinawa Flat Belly Tonic is based on a formula inspired by ancient Japan’s Okinawa", "lNI-nYhylky-00017-00007623-00007723": "region.", "lNI-nYhylky-00018-00007723-00008093": "It’s a known fact that the Okinawa region didn’t have a single obese person in the", "lNI-nYhylky-00019-00008093-00008269": "entirety of the place.", "lNI-nYhylky-00020-00008269-00008780": "Their fit body and robust immune system resulted in the longest life expectancy in the region.", "lNI-nYhylky-00021-00008780-00009194": "Over the years, it was observed that the ingredients they used in their daily meals were passed", "lNI-nYhylky-00022-00009194-00009618": "down to them by their ancestors and were the reason behind their fit and slim body.", "lNI-nYhylky-00023-00009618-00010172": "One of the prime causes of obesity and fat retention is when the C Reactive Protein (CRP)", "lNI-nYhylky-00024-00010172-00010647": "disturbs the ordinary functioning of the mitochondria inside the body and deactivates it, the entire", "lNI-nYhylky-00025-00010647-00011047": "process is also responsible for low metabolic activity.", "lNI-nYhylky-00026-00011047-00011475": "Without an active metabolism, the body loses its efficiency of burning fat and calories", "lNI-nYhylky-00027-00011475-00011686": "at its most optimum levels.", "lNI-nYhylky-00028-00011686-00012119": "Some studies have also shown that many people have toxic molecules in their bodies, and", "lNI-nYhylky-00029-00012119-00012536": "due to increased weight, it is difficult to flush them out of the system.", "lNI-nYhylky-00030-00012536-00012948": "According to the official website, Okinawa Flat Belly Tonic is a unique blend of berries", "lNI-nYhylky-00031-00012948-00013391": "and foods that creates a chain reaction within the body after food consumption.", "lNI-nYhylky-00032-00013391-00013879": "The formula used in this weight loss supplement may help the body to start expelling the CRP,", "lNI-nYhylky-00033-00013879-00014288": "which in return gives your body a natural fat-burning capability, and it also may help", "lNI-nYhylky-00034-00014288-00014453": "boost metabolism.", "lNI-nYhylky-00035-00014453-00014916": "The entire process is designed in a way that helps users lose weight rapidly, even while", "lNI-nYhylky-00036-00014916-00015079": "resting.", "lNI-nYhylky-00037-00015079-00015240": "2: Biofit", "lNI-nYhylky-00038-00015240-00015679": "BioFit is a new weight loss supplement designed to boost your metabolism by improving gut", "lNI-nYhylky-00039-00015679-00015951": "health and balancing your metabolic hormones.", "lNI-nYhylky-00040-00015951-00016472": "It was developed by Christina Miller, a former housewife who dealt with obesity herself.", "lNI-nYhylky-00041-00016472-00016871": "After years of struggling to lose weight, she researched the root causes of obesity", "lNI-nYhylky-00042-00016871-00017196": "and developed BioFit to help others like her get slimmer & healthier.", "lNI-nYhylky-00043-00017196-00017680": "If you’re someone struggling to lose weight, need to shed extra pounds, or just need that", "lNI-nYhylky-00044-00017680-00018141": "additional push to get rid of stubborn belly fat, then BioFit could be right for you.", "lNI-nYhylky-00045-00018141-00018681": "In short, BioFit is a Nature’s Formula’s weight loss probiotic that contains 7 scientifically", "lNI-nYhylky-00046-00018681-00019165": "studied ingredients known to help with slimming down due to its gut healing properties.", "lNI-nYhylky-00047-00019165-00019598": "According to Chrissie Miller's official introduction, the BioFit probiotic regimen involves eating", "lNI-nYhylky-00048-00019598-00020116": "brownies, burgers, ice cream, and other delicious foods while losing significant amounts of", "lNI-nYhylky-00049-00020116-00020531": "weight, all thanks to the ability of the seven healing strains that it contains and work", "lNI-nYhylky-00050-00020531-00020727": "against digestive problems.", "lNI-nYhylky-00051-00020727-00021198": "Indeed, the BioFit official website says you can indeed eat anything and also become slimmer", "lNI-nYhylky-00052-00021198-00021697": "due to the formula's unique capacity to naturally balance your gut's bacteria.", "lNI-nYhylky-00053-00021697-00022120": "BioFit's website is brimming with positive reviews and customer testimonials from individuals", "lNI-nYhylky-00054-00022120-00022674": "who say they have lost between 30 and 70 pounds while adhering to the BioFit probiotic diet.", "lNI-nYhylky-00055-00022674-00023279": "The supplement is said to also relieve stomach problems such as bloating, constipation, or", "lNI-nYhylky-00056-00023279-00023379": "gas.", "lNI-nYhylky-00057-00023379-00023509": "3: Resurge", "lNI-nYhylky-00058-00023509-00024026": "Resurge is an all-natural supplement that promotes fat burn, which leads to weight loss.", "lNI-nYhylky-00059-00024026-00024481": "The product works by boosting and optimizing the metabolism, which in turn encourages excess", "lNI-nYhylky-00060-00024481-00024615": "fat to melt.", "lNI-nYhylky-00061-00024615-00025031": "When your body is burning fat instead of storing it, you’ll see the number on the scale start", "lNI-nYhylky-00062-00025031-00025131": "to decrease.", "lNI-nYhylky-00063-00025131-00025537": "A faster, more active metabolism also boosts energy levels.", "lNI-nYhylky-00064-00025537-00025887": "This means you’ll have the energy you need to hit the gym or even just go for a walk", "lNI-nYhylky-00065-00025887-00026060": "around the community.", "lNI-nYhylky-00066-00026060-00026437": "Having energy means less time sitting on the couch and more time moving!", "lNI-nYhylky-00067-00026437-00026788": "Resurge also contains ingredients that promote quality sleep.", "lNI-nYhylky-00068-00026788-00027208": "Not getting enough sleep increases hunger levels, which can lead to unhealthy snacking", "lNI-nYhylky-00069-00027208-00027352": "and weight gain.", "lNI-nYhylky-00070-00027352-00027741": "By getting the sleep you need each night, you’ll feel more rested, and you’ll notice", "lNI-nYhylky-00071-00027741-00028056": "that you experience less hunger pangs throughout the day.", "lNI-nYhylky-00072-00028056-00028475": "The supplement contains just 8 ingredients, but each of them is formulated to help you", "lNI-nYhylky-00073-00028475-00028729": "obtain a healthier, happier life.", "lNI-nYhylky-00074-00028729-00029208": "Each ingredient has been thoroughly tested for safety, potency, and efficacy.", "lNI-nYhylky-00075-00029208-00029619": "There are no artificial ingredients, so you can try Resurge without having to worry about", "lNI-nYhylky-00076-00029619-00029881": "potential harmful side effects.", "lNI-nYhylky-00077-00029881-00030141": "4: Revitaa Pro", "lNI-nYhylky-00078-00030141-00030552": "Revitaa Pro is a health booster created for middle-aged people who find it impossible", "lNI-nYhylky-00079-00030552-00030861": "to diet or exercise in their busy schedules.", "lNI-nYhylky-00080-00030861-00031372": "According to revitaapro.com, it helps everyone who wants to lose and maintain a healthy weight,", "lNI-nYhylky-00081-00031372-00031727": "improves hormonal and stress levels, and adds years to life.", "lNI-nYhylky-00082-00031727-00032158": "This multi-action nature saves the body from premature aging and obesity, the two most", "lNI-nYhylky-00083-00032158-00032489": "common issues that a majority of the population is facing these days.", "lNI-nYhylky-00084-00032489-00032938": "It is based on a plant that locally grows in Japan, called Knotweed.", "lNI-nYhylky-00085-00032938-00033391": "Although this plant is available in native areas, not everyone has access to it.", "lNI-nYhylky-00086-00033391-00033836": "Plus, dosage planning and keeping the plant extract with you seems like a hassle, so the", "lNI-nYhylky-00087-00033836-00034036": "use of the supplement is better.", "lNI-nYhylky-00088-00034036-00034537": "As the name may suggest, the Revitaa Pro weight loss supplement works on revitalizing physical", "lNI-nYhylky-00089-00034537-00034966": "and mental health, making a person healthy, lean, and active.", "lNI-nYhylky-00090-00034966-00035427": "It works on cortisol levels, a hormone that is behind stress response and fat deposition", "lNI-nYhylky-00091-00035427-00035731": "inside the body, especially around belly thighs and hips.", "lNI-nYhylky-00092-00035731-00035831": "Interestingly, it does not require you to follow strict dietary or lifestyle changes,", "lNI-nYhylky-00093-00035831-00035931": "so people prefer taking it over all other popular weight loss products.", "lNI-nYhylky-00094-00035931-00036247": "This formula is 100% pure, organic, and non-GMO.", "lNI-nYhylky-00095-00036247-00036413": "The company ensures there are no toxins, fillers, or stimulants inside.", "lNI-nYhylky-00096-00036413-00036513": "So, there are no chances for it to cause addiction and show withdrawal effects when you stop", "lNI-nYhylky-00097-00036513-00036613": "using it.", "lNI-nYhylky-00098-00036613-00036713": "If you are a person who is worried about the drastic weight changes that are affecting", "lNI-nYhylky-00099-00036713-00036813": "your confidence, work, and personal life, it is high time you start taking care of yourself", "lNI-nYhylky-00100-00036813-00036913": "and use something that helps to reach a healthy weight.", "lNI-nYhylky-00101-00036913-00037013": "Obesity itself is a risk for a number of chronic conditions, and many times, these obesity-linked", "lNI-nYhylky-00102-00037013-00037113": "conditions bring you closer to death.", "lNI-nYhylky-00103-00037113-00037213": "This is something no one would like, so start finding something that offers genuine help,", "lNI-nYhylky-00104-00037213-00037327": "such as Revitaa Pro weight loss pills.", "lNI-nYhylky-00105-00037327-00037640": "5: Lean Belly 3x", "lNI-nYhylky-00106-00037640-00038178": "Lean Belly 3X is a natural fat-burning weight loss diet pill sold exclusively online through", "lNI-nYhylky-00107-00038178-00038293": "Beyond40.com.", "lNI-nYhylky-00108-00038293-00038630": "The diet pill is marketed as “a 10-second daily fat hack.”", "lNI-nYhylky-00109-00038630-00039161": "By taking Lean Belly 3X daily, you can purportedly “incinerate 7 pounds of belly fat every", "lNI-nYhylky-00110-00039161-00039438": "7 days,” according to Beyond 40.", "lNI-nYhylky-00111-00039438-00039927": "If Lean Belly 3X could genuinely help you lose 7 pounds every 7 days, it would be one", "lNI-nYhylky-00112-00039927-00040258": "of the most powerful diet pills sold online today.", "lNI-nYhylky-00113-00040258-00040644": "That would mean losing roughly 30 pounds of weight per month, helping you quickly reach", "lNI-nYhylky-00114-00040644-00040769": "your target goal.", "lNI-nYhylky-00115-00040769-00041182": "Even better, Beyond 40 claims you can lose all of this weight with the limited diet or", "lNI-nYhylky-00116-00041182-00041359": "exercise required.", "lNI-nYhylky-00117-00041359-00041728": "In fact, the company claims “it’s not your diet or exercise that’s to blame”", "lNI-nYhylky-00118-00041728-00042163": "for your weight gain; instead, the company blames your aging metabolism.", "lNI-nYhylky-00119-00042163-00042616": "Obviously, you should be skeptical of any diet pills that claim to offer quick and easy", "lNI-nYhylky-00120-00042616-00042878": "weight loss with zero effort required.", "lNI-nYhylky-00121-00042878-00043090": "Does Lean Belly 3X really work?", "lNI-nYhylky-00122-00043090-00043487": "Let’s take a closer look at its methods of action and see what users can expect while", "lNI-nYhylky-00123-00043487-00043915": "consuming the Beyond 40 weight loss supplement to see if it actually lives up to the hype", "lNI-nYhylky-00124-00043915-00044235": "surrounding this fat burner.", "lNI-nYhylky-00125-00044235-00044397": "6: Carbofix", "lNI-nYhylky-00126-00044397-00044902": "CarboFix is a brand-new dietary formula that aids the body in natural weight loss.", "lNI-nYhylky-00127-00044902-00045258": "Have you ever thought about why some people never gain weight, no matter what they eat", "lNI-nYhylky-00128-00045258-00045406": "and how much they eat?", "lNI-nYhylky-00129-00045406-00045862": "The real secret lies in metabolism, which determines the fate of food inside the human", "lNI-nYhylky-00130-00045862-00045962": "body.", "lNI-nYhylky-00131-00045962-00046316": "People who are naturally blessed with a good metabolism do not need anything to maintain", "lNI-nYhylky-00132-00046316-00046684": "or lose weight, as their bodies are programmed to do it on their own.", "lNI-nYhylky-00133-00046684-00047169": "However, other people that are experiencing a slow metabolism fall prey to obesity, weight", "lNI-nYhylky-00134-00047169-00047636": "gain, and related medical conditions, which affect their confidence and quality of life.", "lNI-nYhylky-00135-00047636-00047866": "Unfortunately, everybody has a different capacity for fat burning, but if metabolism is slow", "lNI-nYhylky-00136-00047866-00047966": "for a reason, there is still a chance to improve it.", "lNI-nYhylky-00137-00047966-00048066": "The traditional way to improve metabolic rate is by changing the diet, activity level, and", "lNI-nYhylky-00138-00048066-00048166": "calorie planning for the day.", "lNI-nYhylky-00139-00048166-00048266": "But people with long working hours and hectic routines can’t possibly do it, and this", "lNI-nYhylky-00140-00048266-00048366": "frustration of not losing weight adds to their stress.", "lNI-nYhylky-00141-00048366-00048466": "Interestingly, using a dietary supplement that fixes the metabolism issues makes it", "lNI-nYhylky-00142-00048466-00048566": "easy for a person to manage weight with minimal dietary and lifestyle changes.", "lNI-nYhylky-00143-00048566-00048666": "CarboFix is one such option that can help losing extra weight without spending too much", "lNI-nYhylky-00144-00048666-00048667": "money or going anywhere."}}, {"audio_id": "lpfc9oVb6co", "text": {"lpfc9oVb6co-00000-00000000-00000216": "Rescue operation in Darayya.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00001-00000516-00001716": "ANNA-News reporters have been examining the most terrorist-damaged districts of Darayya on April 12.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00002-00002716-00003515": "Keep your money in a bank.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00003-00006716-00007316": "Someone has re-parked my car.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00004-00009016-00009416": "On the floor lies tiny Teddy.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00005-00009516-00010416": "Still the Teddy wasn't less lucky than everyone.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00006-00012716-00013716": "The trip didn't stop at just the damage examination.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00007-00013816-00014816": "We let a cat escape from a locked balcony...", "lpfc9oVb6co-00008-00015216-00015916": "...and then took part in the rescue operation.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00009-00016516-00017216": "In a kindergarten room near a dud grenade", "lpfc9oVb6co-00010-00017316-00017816": "we have found and rescued the victims of the battle action", "lpfc9oVb6co-00011-00017916-00018716": "who have been locked up captive in stone for quite some time without food and water.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00012-00019216-00019916": "A dud. Do not touch.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00013-00021316-00022116": "Today's rescued totals: a cat - one piece, tortoises - 2 pcs.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00014-00022316-00022716": "Maybe put it next to the grenade?", "lpfc9oVb6co-00015-00023416-00024416": "Yes, tortoises. It's not a safe harbour but there's nothing to be done with it.", "lpfc9oVb6co-00016-00024716-00026216": "ANNA-News Agency. Andrew Filatov, Vasily Pavlov, Victor Kuznetsov. Darayya. Syria."}}, {"audio_id": "lpv45BBPRs8", "text": {"lpv45BBPRs8-00000-00000567-00001094": "Amelia has arrived for Christmas lunch with the Queen at Buckingham Palace", "lpv45BBPRs8-00001-00001211-00001827": "The rising model, 22, is the granddaughter of the Duke and Duchess of Kent", "lpv45BBPRs8-00002-00001944-00002488": "She arrived in a private car along with her parents, George and Sylvana", "lpv45BBPRs8-00003-00002605-00003213": "She was closely followed by her sister, Marina, who sat with their grandparents", "lpv45BBPRs8-00004-00003329-00004140": "She has been jetting back and forth between Paris and London as her fashion career continues to go from strength to strength.", "lpv45BBPRs8-00005-00004257-00005151": "And the fun continued for Lady Amelia Windsor on Wednesday when she joined her family for the Queen's annual Christmas lunch at Buckingham Palace.", "lpv45BBPRs8-00006-00005268-00006013": "Amelia, 22, was spotted arriving at the palace in a private car with her parents George and Sylvana.", "lpv45BBPRs8-00007-00006130-00007151": "The granddaughter of the Duke and Duchess of Kent, who is known to friends as 'Mel', wore a grey tweed dress paired with a smart black cardigan and understated gold jewellery.", "lpv45BBPRs8-00008-00007268-00008378": "Scroll down for video  Looking slightly downcast, the society beauty, who is 36th in line to the throne, appeared to be sitting next to a pink bag full of presents.", "lpv45BBPRs8-00009-00008495-00009771": "She was closely followed by her sister Lady Marina with their grandparents the Duke and Duchess of Kent, although it is not clear whether their older brother, Edward Windsor, Lord Downpatrick, was in attendance.", "lpv45BBPRs8-00010-00009888-00011113": "As well as the Queen and Prince Philip, the sisters will rub shoulders with the Duke and Duchess of Cambridge with their children, along with newly-engaged Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, at the meal this afternoon.", "lpv45BBPRs8-00011-00011230-00012419": "Amelia, who was once dubbed 'Britain's most beautiful royal' by society magazine Tatler, is signed with Storm modelling agency and has walked the runway for the likes of Dolce & Gabbana", "lpv45BBPRs8-00012-00012536-00013308": "The University of Edinburgh graduate also recently appeared in new British Vogue editor Edward Enninful first ever issue.", "lpv45BBPRs8-00013-00013425-00014782": "Industry experts have predicted that Amelia - who has all the kudos of royalty without any of the restraints placed on more high profile members of the family - could make £1 million a year through brand collaborations alone", "lpv45BBPRs8-00014-00014899-00015704": "Amelia's first foray into the world of modelling came in 2010, when she and her siblings posed for Hardy Amies", "lpv45BBPRs8-00015-00015821-00016377": "She's now signed to Storm - the same agency that represents Kate Moss", "lpv45BBPRs8-00016-00016494-00017282": "But she's previously hinted that her interest in fashion extends beyond appearing in front of the camera in previous interviews.", "lpv45BBPRs8-00017-00017399-00018127": "She told Vogue she wanted to understand 'every aspect' of a fashion house - down to how fabrics are made.", "lpv45BBPRs8-00018-00018244-00019248": "The rising star has also completed an internship at Chanel and said of her time with the fashion house: 'It was one of the best experiences I've ever had", "lpv45BBPRs8-00019-00019365-00019887": "To see how much goes into making a fashion business is quite exciting.'"}}, {"audio_id": "lpvUePMx7i8", "text": {"lpvUePMx7i8-00000-00000040-00000896": "welcome back to lecture 15 of statistical rethinking 2022. let's take a trip to a first", "lpvUePMx7i8-00001-00000896-00001864": "order of approximation humans are 50 of all the mammal biomass on the earth the other 50 percent", "lpvUePMx7i8-00002-00001864-00002560": "to a first order approximation is our livestock all other mammals are rounding error and that's", "lpvUePMx7i8-00003-00002560-00003296": "a testament to the extraordinary success overwhelmingly powerful and terrifying success", "lpvUePMx7i8-00004-00003296-00003992": "of our species in almost any environment we thrive and we dominate in difficult conditions", "lpvUePMx7i8-00005-00004336-00004840": "the community of aaron doc you're seeing scenes from here it's like all others makes a great", "lpvUePMx7i8-00006-00004840-00005560": "living making gardens in jungle territories uh domesticated animals like chickens and pigs", "lpvUePMx7i8-00007-00005736-00006512": "and hunting which requires a tremendous amount of skill and practice and most of all patience", "lpvUePMx7i8-00008-00006584-00007184": "and then all of this production to survive under high levels of self-sufficiency", "lpvUePMx7i8-00009-00007359-00007936": "is shared human communities are incredibly cooperative and that is a kind of technology", "lpvUePMx7i8-00010-00007936-00008432": "as well that helps us thrive as a species households are not independent", "lpvUePMx7i8-00011-00008432-00008992": "they're extensive and that extensive cooperation among households is something that varies", "lpvUePMx7i8-00012-00008992-00009584": "tremendously cross-culturally and is a huge topic of scientific research because it helps", "lpvUePMx7i8-00013-00009584-00010304": "us understand how societies function and how we can sustain cooperation to adapt to changing times", "lpvUePMx7i8-00014-00010672-00011152": "we're going to spend this lecture in r doc or rather we're going to spend this lecture in", "lpvUePMx7i8-00015-00011152-00011976": "some data from r duck the data we're going to look at are relevant to the problem of sharing", "lpvUePMx7i8-00016-00012040-00012744": "a particular slice through the lives of these people and of all peoples really the literature", "lpvUePMx7i8-00017-00012744-00013408": "in the behavioral sciences the human sciences is taken up in a large section by the study", "lpvUePMx7i8-00018-00013408-00013984": "of sharing and cooperation because it's found in a very conspicuous way in all human societies", "lpvUePMx7i8-00019-00014040-00014647": "here's one of the most famous quotes from the anthropological literature on exchange and sharing", "lpvUePMx7i8-00020-00014712-00015400": "from peter freusen's 1961 book on the inuit up in our country we are human and since we are human", "lpvUePMx7i8-00021-00015400-00016063": "we help each other we don't like to hear anybody say thanks for that when i what i get today you", "lpvUePMx7i8-00022-00016063-00017016": "may get tomorrow up here we say by gifts one makes slaves and by whips one makes dogs this passage", "lpvUePMx7i8-00023-00017016-00017672": "echoes a sentiment we find in many societies is that there is both generalized reciprocity", "lpvUePMx7i8-00024-00017736-00018496": "generalized exchange those who are in need receive aid at the same time we know empirically that", "lpvUePMx7i8-00025-00018496-00019056": "there are favored trading partners and that people are jealous and selfish at the same time that they", "lpvUePMx7i8-00026-00019056-00019696": "are generous and so cooperation and exchange is a social technology that allows communities", "lpvUePMx7i8-00027-00019696-00020336": "to thrive if they were less cooperative they would be less successful but that cooperative", "lpvUePMx7i8-00028-00020336-00020992": "technology is always under threat from internal individual forces and so it's a big important", "lpvUePMx7i8-00029-00020992-00021544": "topic in the behavioral sciences to understand how societies sustain this kind of cooperation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00030-00021792-00022400": "the data set we have to look at today is focused on the motivations for sharing and the people of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00031-00022400-00023264": "r doc like all human societies share a lot these data are in the koster leki data frame that you'll", "lpvUePMx7i8-00032-00023264-00024040": "find in my rethinking package and it's a year of food transfers among 25 households in r dock so", "lpvUePMx7i8-00033-00024040-00024544": "for 25 households we're going to look at all of the dyads among those households and we have data", "lpvUePMx7i8-00034-00024664-00025384": "from dr jeremy koster's field work there for all 300 dyads", "lpvUePMx7i8-00035-00025512-00026088": "our focus our estimand as it were is going to be how much sharing can we explain by", "lpvUePMx7i8-00036-00026088-00026800": "dyad level reciprocity that is to what extent are exchanges balanced within dyads that is that", "lpvUePMx7i8-00037-00026800-00027320": "there are friends who exchange with one another and what sustaining cooperation plausibly in", "lpvUePMx7i8-00038-00027320-00028080": "those circumstances is that balance and how much instead by generalized giving as well and in the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00039-00028080-00028680": "data as you can anticipate or a mix of these things and how do we statistically unmix them", "lpvUePMx7i8-00040-00028680-00029216": "in a principled way so that we can make causal inferences about these different causes of giving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00041-00029327-00029720": "on top of this is the question of which diets and which households", "lpvUePMx7i8-00042-00029816-00030168": "what is actually causing some to give and others not to", "lpvUePMx7i8-00043-00030416-00031024": "if you just plot the outcome variable of interest here it's very difficult unsurprisingly to see", "lpvUePMx7i8-00044-00031024-00031800": "what's going on and what i'm plotting is a gives b on the bottom where a is just some household in", "lpvUePMx7i8-00045-00031800-00032368": "the data and b is another household and on the vertical b gives to a so this shows you in the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00046-00032368-00032944": "crudus form a visual inspection for balance and you'll see that there's really no pattern here", "lpvUePMx7i8-00047-00033032-00033808": "there's no strong positive correlation in the data but what does this mean now if you've been", "lpvUePMx7i8-00048-00033808-00034360": "with me through the course this far you're prepared to hear that we cannot possibly", "lpvUePMx7i8-00049-00034360-00034912": "see the causes in the data this way we need a generative model and then we need", "lpvUePMx7i8-00050-00034912-00035480": "to follow the logic that allows us to build a statistical model from that generative principles", "lpvUePMx7i8-00051-00035616-00036224": "and that's what we're going to do we're going to draw the social sharing owl today so let's start", "lpvUePMx7i8-00052-00036328-00037160": "the first thing to understand is that when a household a gives to household b g a b is going", "lpvUePMx7i8-00053-00037160-00037792": "to be our outcome variable today they're in the center of this tiny little dag it is influenced", "lpvUePMx7i8-00054-00037792-00038504": "both by some features of household a and household b this is not necessarily just their identity", "lpvUePMx7i8-00055-00038656-00039136": "but it's everything except their relationship it could be how generous household a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00056-00039136-00039656": "is it could be how needy household bee is uh or some other aspects of them", "lpvUePMx7i8-00057-00039888-00040416": "and then there are things that have to do with the social relationships between households a and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00058-00040416-00041120": "b i'm going to call this a social tie and this is the the t sub a b node at the bottom of this dag", "lpvUePMx7i8-00059-00041120-00041696": "now this is a social tie and it's directed from a to b it's a's relationship from a's perspective", "lpvUePMx7i8-00060-00041696-00042272": "with household b and this is also a cause of giving if there they're friends for example", "lpvUePMx7i8-00061-00042272-00042976": "or their family that's a kind of tie and it motivates giving and also this is symmetric", "lpvUePMx7i8-00062-00042976-00043584": "so from household b's perspective there's another tie from b to a now drawn at the top on this slide", "lpvUePMx7i8-00063-00043760-00044288": "and can also be a cause for household a to give the household b if reciprocity matters", "lpvUePMx7i8-00064-00044448-00045328": "and both of these ties the tab on the bottom and tba on the top are influenced by the identities", "lpvUePMx7i8-00065-00045328-00045872": "and features of household a and b the reasons household a and b might be friends share social", "lpvUePMx7i8-00066-00045872-00046456": "relationships be kin be in-laws any of those number of things can be partially influenced", "lpvUePMx7i8-00067-00046456-00047248": "by their wealth or their locations or any number of other things their hobbies for example so this", "lpvUePMx7i8-00068-00047248-00047888": "dag on the screen is the quintessential kind of social network dag and it exhibits some basic", "lpvUePMx7i8-00069-00048032-00048448": "problems in social network analysis that we're going to explore in the lecture today", "lpvUePMx7i8-00070-00048448-00048728": "and develop some statistical solutions too", "lpvUePMx7i8-00071-00049024-00049528": "oh yeah i should have done this already so when we say features of household day and household b", "lpvUePMx7i8-00072-00049528-00049984": "we could mean anything from their wealth to their locations because households that are closer to", "lpvUePMx7i8-00073-00049984-00050584": "one another are more likely to exchange with one another and also to share ties with one another", "lpvUePMx7i8-00074-00050656-00051272": "and then there are other reasons that households can share ties which have to do with dyadic", "lpvUePMx7i8-00075-00051272-00051744": "features of those households instead of individual features of those households things like kinship", "lpvUePMx7i8-00076-00051744-00052208": "and friendship which are not properties of individual households but of pairs of households", "lpvUePMx7i8-00077-00052640-00053400": "okay so this is just a dag and we can apply our standard logic to it and and build up to", "lpvUePMx7i8-00078-00053400-00053808": "a generative model and then make a statistical model and that's what we're going to do today", "lpvUePMx7i8-00079-00053808-00054376": "but there's a problem to observe from the beginning and that is that the things we", "lpvUePMx7i8-00080-00054376-00055128": "want to make inference about tab and tba and their influence the social ties and their influence on", "lpvUePMx7i8-00081-00055128-00055728": "giving they're not observable entities it's impossible to observe a social network tie", "lpvUePMx7i8-00082-00055824-00056479": "what do i mean by that a social network is just a statistical concept it means a pattern of directed", "lpvUePMx7i8-00083-00056479-00057079": "exchange social networks are abstractions they're not data and that's not to insult", "lpvUePMx7i8-00084-00057079-00057584": "them abstractions are great there is essential in fact you can't do data analysis without them", "lpvUePMx7i8-00085-00057648-00058055": "but it's important to to note that these are things that are always uncertain", "lpvUePMx7i8-00086-00058055-00058576": "they're latent variables and we're going to treat them properly that way today so what", "lpvUePMx7i8-00087-00058576-00059064": "is a principled approach when you can't see the social network but it's a target of inference", "lpvUePMx7i8-00088-00059272-00059791": "well we'll get to that but first let me say there are a lot of unprincipled approaches", "lpvUePMx7i8-00089-00059791-00060279": "and unfortunately unprincipled approaches to social network analysis are incredibly common", "lpvUePMx7i8-00090-00060360-00060904": "i call these sorts of approaches ad hockery as a pun on the latin phrase ad hoc", "lpvUePMx7i8-00091-00060904-00061440": "meaning they're not principled they don't start from any generative model of the phenomenon and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00092-00061440-00062104": "so they're incapable of successfully justifying any causal analysis of the system and they", "lpvUePMx7i8-00093-00062224-00062832": "examples of these sorts of ad hoc approaches involve are for example permutation approaches", "lpvUePMx7i8-00094-00062832-00063279": "to social networks where social networks are randomized in some particular way", "lpvUePMx7i8-00095-00063279-00064016": "in an attempt to have a null model of the network that you can reject by looking at the data", "lpvUePMx7i8-00096-00064016-00064472": "unfortunately this is not going to get us anywhere near an effective causal inference for", "lpvUePMx7i8-00097-00064472-00064976": "all the reasons we've been talking about since the beginning of this course these methods have other", "lpvUePMx7i8-00098-00064976-00065496": "problems beyond that they don't even have the type 1 error control properties that they claim to have", "lpvUePMx7i8-00099-00065640-00066392": "so what do we do instead well the field of social networks has lots of solutions that do work", "lpvUePMx7i8-00100-00066392-00066952": "and i'm going to tell you about a kind of central example today but we're going to build it up", "lpvUePMx7i8-00101-00066952-00067424": "logically i'm not going to justify it because it's common i'm going to justify it because it", "lpvUePMx7i8-00102-00067424-00067904": "makes sense from a causal perspective we're going to draw the social owl we're going to go through", "lpvUePMx7i8-00103-00067904-00068520": "our four steps here focusing on the estimand we've established this we'd like to estimate", "lpvUePMx7i8-00104-00068608-00069232": "the extent to which giving is motivated by social ties that is that it's there's reciprocity within", "lpvUePMx7i8-00105-00069232-00070024": "dyads they share their ties and we'd also like to look at what explains that level of reciprocity", "lpvUePMx7i8-00106-00070024-00070752": "what are the features of dyads that are associated with reciprocity and are they plausibly causing", "lpvUePMx7i8-00107-00070752-00071232": "reciprocity we're going to build up a generative model next and go forward", "lpvUePMx7i8-00108-00071520-00072248": "first thing to note is we've got confounding um so if you look at this dag you've seen a lot of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00109-00072248-00072816": "dags in this course let's analyze it with our eyes we've done this a lot so i've highlighted in red", "lpvUePMx7i8-00110-00072816-00073472": "the causal inference we're after we'd like to know the causal effects of the social ties on giving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00111-00073472-00074000": "and in particular the extent to which when those both social ties are present you get more giving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00112-00074296-00074656": "but there are these backdoor paths that are connecting", "lpvUePMx7i8-00113-00074744-00075216": "through the left and right of this graph the the social network ties at the top and bottom", "lpvUePMx7i8-00114-00075216-00075608": "you'll see that there are those back door paths the household features aj", "lpvUePMx7i8-00115-00075720-00076584": "and hb are confounds literally they're forks that are common causes of the social ties on both sides", "lpvUePMx7i8-00116-00076584-00077192": "and so we have to stratify by these as well in order to do the analysis we can't only focus on", "lpvUePMx7i8-00117-00077192-00077744": "the social network we have to deal with individual properties of the households at the same time in", "lpvUePMx7i8-00118-00077744-00078408": "order to get at our estimand however that's going to be complicated so in this course we're going to", "lpvUePMx7i8-00119-00078408-00078984": "do it like real research has done when we have a complicated model to build we're not going to go", "lpvUePMx7i8-00120-00078984-00079464": "straight to the end to the analysis we intend to arrive at we're going to build it up incrementally", "lpvUePMx7i8-00121-00079464-00080144": "and slowly we're going to climb the ladder so we're going to leave out some effects to start", "lpvUePMx7i8-00122-00080144-00080632": "now what i'm saying is we're going to get into the middle of our drawing the aisle steps and we're", "lpvUePMx7i8-00123-00080632-00081096": "going to bounce back and forth between steps two and steps three and we're going to gradually fold", "lpvUePMx7i8-00124-00081096-00081672": "in all the complexity of the dag and get us where we want to go to analyze the data from our undock", "lpvUePMx7i8-00125-00081736-00082232": "but we're not going to do it all at once and the reason is because for projects like this one", "lpvUePMx7i8-00126-00082232-00082768": "you can almost never get it right if you try to do it all at once instead you build in one layer of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00127-00082768-00083480": "complexity start with a simple generative model that has only one force in it then you design a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00128-00083480-00083976": "statistical model appropriate for that you test it with the synthetic data and then you back", "lpvUePMx7i8-00129-00083976-00084480": "up to step two and you fold in another force in the generative model and then you proceed", "lpvUePMx7i8-00130-00084480-00084952": "to step three and you add that force into your statistical analysis you test with the synthetic", "lpvUePMx7i8-00131-00084952-00085504": "data and you iterate back and forth between two and three until you've reached the complexity of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00132-00085504-00086008": "the project you intended but by under no means should you try to do a mature research project", "lpvUePMx7i8-00133-00086008-00086536": "all at once with all the features i'm going to emphasize this now because in this course up to", "lpvUePMx7i8-00134-00086536-00087168": "this point that's the way i've made it look the examples have sprung forth uh sort of from my", "lpvUePMx7i8-00135-00087168-00087784": "forehead fully formed as it were but that's not how scientific projects actually work that's not", "lpvUePMx7i8-00136-00087784-00088456": "how i work when i do my own science i do really small steps and i test each one very aggressively", "lpvUePMx7i8-00137-00088456-00088928": "make sure it works before moving on to the next so i want to show you how that looks in a stylized", "lpvUePMx7i8-00138-00088928-00089784": "way in this lecture so that means to begin i'm just going to delete arrows from the household", "lpvUePMx7i8-00139-00089784-00090240": "features to giving and we're going to start here we're going to make a generative model of this", "lpvUePMx7i8-00140-00090240-00090792": "now this is not a realistic dag and it's not the dag that i want to convince you is appropriate", "lpvUePMx7i8-00141-00090792-00091240": "for the research problem but it's where we're going to start because it's a simpler place to", "lpvUePMx7i8-00142-00091240-00091800": "start and it's already complicated enough just to model the social network ties so let's start there", "lpvUePMx7i8-00143-00091864-00092376": "let's write the generative simulation i'm going to simulate 25 households just like in the real data", "lpvUePMx7i8-00144-00092376-00093232": "set this gives us 300 dyads if it's not obvious to you how to produce a list of all those diads", "lpvUePMx7i8-00145-00093232-00093936": "and their memberships well that's fine there's a function in our called combn combinations which", "lpvUePMx7i8-00146-00093936-00094688": "will give you all the combinations of in objects taken in this case two at a time and so i make", "lpvUePMx7i8-00147-00094784-00095440": "a matrix in this case the columns are going to be the members they're going to be two columns in the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00148-00095440-00096048": "result dyads here and each row is a dyad i'll show you what it looks like just for the first", "lpvUePMx7i8-00149-00096048-00096784": "91 of the 300 dyads implied in this analysis you can see that it starts the first diad contains", "lpvUePMx7i8-00150-00096784-00097408": "households one and two the second one and three and so on and by the time we get to dyad 91 it's", "lpvUePMx7i8-00151-00097408-00097944": "households five and six and on and on and on this is the kind of thing computers are really good at", "lpvUePMx7i8-00152-00097944-00098672": "listing combinations great there are 300 of those then the first thing i do is i simulate", "lpvUePMx7i8-00153-00098672-00099112": "some friendships between the households now i'm going to say just for the sake of this", "lpvUePMx7i8-00154-00099112-00099624": "example that 10 of the households are friendships meaning they're going to share reciprocal ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00155-00099944-00100568": "there are also going to be ties in the simulation that are not reciprocal that just have to do with", "lpvUePMx7i8-00156-00100640-00101088": "other forces that cause social relationships but these relationships will be directed there", "lpvUePMx7i8-00157-00101088-00101872": "will be cases for example in families where sons bring their mothers resources but not vice versa", "lpvUePMx7i8-00158-00101928-00102440": "so sharing may only flow in one direction these are also very important in real data sets", "lpvUePMx7i8-00159-00102440-00102944": "they're omnipresent in human societies i'm just going to set a base rate of these for our data", "lpvUePMx7i8-00160-00103016-00103983": "across the 300 dyads there will be 600 directed ties and we're going to set approximately five", "lpvUePMx7i8-00161-00103983-00104696": "percent of these to be present then i make an empty matrix y to hold the social network all the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00162-00104696-00105296": "ties this is an n by n matrix and we fill it up we just loop over all the entries in this matrix", "lpvUePMx7i8-00163-00105352-00105792": "we skip the diagonal because that's self to self and we assume all household has a good sharing", "lpvUePMx7i8-00164-00105792-00106888": "relationship with itself and we simulate ties from household i to j in each case there's a bunch of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00165-00106983-00107688": "annoying index uh witchcraft in this kind of code you do it different ways in different languages", "lpvUePMx7i8-00166-00107688-00108192": "it's never pleasurable i'm not going to spend time explaining that instead i want to focus on", "lpvUePMx7i8-00167-00108264-00109111": "the important line here the probability of a tie and it comes from two possible options either the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00168-00109111-00109792": "the dyad are friends that's what f bracket the dyad means we look up the particular dyad in", "lpvUePMx7i8-00169-00109792-00110328": "the friend vector and if they are friend then they're going to share a tie with the other", "lpvUePMx7i8-00170-00110424-00110959": "or they're not friends and that's the second part after the plus on this line in which case", "lpvUePMx7i8-00171-00110959-00111616": "we roll the dice and we give them a directed tie about five percent of the time and then", "lpvUePMx7i8-00172-00111616-00112111": "we sample ties as a one zero bernoulli variable just to keep the concept simple but this could", "lpvUePMx7i8-00173-00112111-00112535": "be weighted these these ties don't have to be on and off they can they can have intensities", "lpvUePMx7i8-00174-00112752-00113368": "okay now we have a network a simulated network that contains both reciprocal friendships and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00175-00113368-00113968": "directed ties and we're going to simulate some gifts some giving within this", "lpvUePMx7i8-00176-00114032-00114600": "so i'm going to make gifts from a to b within the diad and gifts from b to a within each diad", "lpvUePMx7i8-00177-00114600-00115096": "and these are just empty vectors of the lengths of the number of diads and then", "lpvUePMx7i8-00178-00115096-00115808": "i set some base rates for giving in the absence and presence of a tie and that's this 0.5 and 2", "lpvUePMx7i8-00179-00115952-00116456": "these are going to be poisson rates so gifts are given at an average rate of a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00180-00116456-00116872": "half when there's not a tie because there's some giving in the absence of social ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00181-00116952-00117528": "and then at a rate of two substantially higher when there is a tie and then we just loop through", "lpvUePMx7i8-00182-00117528-00118248": "all the dyads and simulate some poisson results for each by looking up the means in that lambda", "lpvUePMx7i8-00183-00118248-00118864": "vector there and that's degenerative simulation and now we have some synthetic gift giving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00184-00119000-00119280": "before we move on to design the statistical model from this", "lpvUePMx7i8-00185-00119424-00119904": "uh let's plot this there's a network that we've simulated and you can take a look at it if you", "lpvUePMx7i8-00186-00119904-00120696": "want we'll take a look at a number of of network plots in this lecture and so i've simulated one uh", "lpvUePMx7i8-00187-00120696-00121232": "simula i've plotted rather one simulated network here from the code that i've just given you and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00188-00121232-00121720": "you can see it there on the right of this slide try running this code if you don't want to copy", "lpvUePMx7i8-00189-00121720-00122280": "it out of the lecture you'll find the script on the on the course website and play around with", "lpvUePMx7i8-00190-00122280-00122735": "the variation you can get change the simulation settings and look at how it changes the shape of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00191-00122735-00123216": "the network you can see that in some parts of the network there are reciprocal ties where the arrows", "lpvUePMx7i8-00192-00123216-00123816": "go back and forth between the different nodes and those are those friendships that we've simulated", "lpvUePMx7i8-00193-00124040-00124488": "one thing to notice maybe this network looks pretty dense there's lots of lines", "lpvUePMx7i8-00194-00124544-00124840": "most of the connections are missing there are", "lpvUePMx7i8-00195-00124904-00125383": "300 dyads here and most of them don't have relationships with one another", "lpvUePMx7i8-00196-00125735-00126456": "okay let's move on to the statistical model we need a statistical model that models the social", "lpvUePMx7i8-00197-00126456-00127072": "network ties what does that mean we're going to make a model and i think this may be the first", "lpvUePMx7i8-00198-00127072-00127576": "or second time in the course it's been this way which is not exactly like the generative model", "lpvUePMx7i8-00199-00127576-00128232": "and the reason is the generative model had things like friendships and directed relationships in it", "lpvUePMx7i8-00200-00128296-00128704": "and we're going to represent this in a way that tries to uncover that structure", "lpvUePMx7i8-00201-00128759-00129192": "but does it in a different way a more anonymous way it's not going to posit friendships and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00202-00129192-00129688": "such specific things it's going to take a more well statistical approach so the first thing we", "lpvUePMx7i8-00203-00129688-00130224": "need to do unsurprisingly is we need a poisson glm we've got a poisson outcome variable it's", "lpvUePMx7i8-00204-00130224-00130800": "obviously poisson it's a count starts at zero has no obvious upper limit that's a poisson variable", "lpvUePMx7i8-00205-00130856-00131392": "and so we have this observation g sub a b the gifs from household a to b it's a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00206-00131392-00131936": "poisson variable with some rate lambda a b that we're going to model with a log link", "lpvUePMx7i8-00207-00132064-00132440": "and we're going to have a parameter alpha which is the average rate of giving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00208-00132552-00133312": "over the whole community across all dyads and then we're going to have a parameter here", "lpvUePMx7i8-00209-00133312-00134072": "t capital t a b you remember this from our dag which represents the social tie between", "lpvUePMx7i8-00210-00134072-00134712": "households a and b or rather from household a to b it's a directed tie so this is the tendency", "lpvUePMx7i8-00211-00134712-00135232": "for household a to give the household b on the log scale and we're going to estimate this", "lpvUePMx7i8-00212-00135576-00136000": "we have the same symmetric thing to do with the other outcome the other", "lpvUePMx7i8-00213-00136000-00136632": "direction within each diad the gifts from b to a everything here is the same except you'll notice", "lpvUePMx7i8-00214-00136632-00137224": "that it's tba now the other direction so for each diad we have two parameters to estimate", "lpvUePMx7i8-00215-00137224-00137896": "tab and tba and these are parameters they're latent variables but they're they're structural", "lpvUePMx7i8-00216-00137896-00138224": "aspects of the social network and we're going to try to estimate them from the data", "lpvUePMx7i8-00217-00138448-00139072": "we need some statistical machinery to do that and you will be completely unsurprised to learn", "lpvUePMx7i8-00218-00139072-00139904": "that we're going to use varying effects to do this and why because we want to model the correlation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00219-00139904-00140616": "within dyads between the tie strengths i'll say that again we want to model the correlation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00220-00140616-00141264": "within each within diodes that is within diads looking across the whole population of diads", "lpvUePMx7i8-00221-00141264-00142144": "how correlated is the strength of ties within each diet so for example if tab is a large value is tba", "lpvUePMx7i8-00222-00142144-00142816": "also a large value if tab is a small value is tba also a small value and that would correspond to", "lpvUePMx7i8-00223-00142816-00143640": "friendships being important in driving exchange in the network if instead the correlation between the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00224-00143640-00144472": "the t parameters here is small near zero within the community that would indicate that reciprocity", "lpvUePMx7i8-00225-00144472-00145080": "within dyads is not important for driving exchange instead it's generalized exchange of some kind", "lpvUePMx7i8-00226-00145328-00145928": "okay so what we're going to construct is a varying effects population prior just like in the lectures", "lpvUePMx7i8-00227-00145928-00146568": "last week well not just like in the lectures last week this one's actually simpler it's a it's", "lpvUePMx7i8-00228-00146568-00147120": "a covariance prior though because we've got two parameters to draw from multivariate normal from a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00229-00147120-00147848": "bivariate normal so for each diad we need to have two parameters tab and tba these are just the ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00230-00147848-00148376": "in each direction and we're going to give them a covariance matrix on the right hand side here", "lpvUePMx7i8-00231-00148504-00149080": "that has a correlation in it the row parameter there that'll help us estimate the correlation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00232-00149080-00149584": "and therefore the covariance within dyads between the social network ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00233-00149752-00150216": "the thing about this covariance matrix that's different than the the general ones we used last", "lpvUePMx7i8-00234-00150216-00150912": "week is it's simpler because it's symmetric so a and b are just labels and so everything about", "lpvUePMx7i8-00235-00150912-00151568": "the statistics of dyads has to be symmetric so the sigma squareds here are the variance among ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00236-00151568-00151944": "and they have to apply equally to household and household b within each diad you can't", "lpvUePMx7i8-00237-00151944-00152416": "have different variances for household a different variance for household a than you do for household", "lpvUePMx7i8-00238-00152416-00153112": "b it would make no sense and so this actually lets us have fewer parameters in this than we", "lpvUePMx7i8-00239-00153112-00153696": "would in a generalized application and this is a good thing it's also scientifically correct", "lpvUePMx7i8-00240-00153960-00154648": "okay so to complete our partial pooling for the network ties we need to define some priors", "lpvUePMx7i8-00241-00154648-00155304": "for the correlation and i'm going to use the lkj core family of priors that i introduced last week", "lpvUePMx7i8-00242-00155304-00155904": "and and there's much more detail on that in the book and for the sigma here the standard deviation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00243-00155968-00156528": "in ties that is a measure of how much ties vary in the community", "lpvUePMx7i8-00244-00156712-00157160": "we're going to use an exponential and then we use a normal zero one for alpha", "lpvUePMx7i8-00245-00157504-00158016": "let's code it up so in the code here there's a little bit of complexity but i introduced this", "lpvUePMx7i8-00246-00158016-00158560": "complexity last week because we're going to use a non-centered parameterization", "lpvUePMx7i8-00247-00158560-00158992": "that works much much better in this problem and the reason is because", "lpvUePMx7i8-00248-00159272-00159952": "there's not a lot of data for each dyad to inform the dyad parameters and there are a lot of dyads", "lpvUePMx7i8-00249-00159952-00160632": "and in that sort of situation typically the prior is very important and we'll get", "lpvUePMx7i8-00250-00160632-00161320": "much better sampling if we use a non-centered form of it so that's what we do in contrast if", "lpvUePMx7i8-00251-00161320-00161976": "if you've got cases analyses where you have a very small number of clusters and lots of data for each", "lpvUePMx7i8-00252-00161976-00162504": "then quite often the centered parameterization is better not always but quite often but this is kind", "lpvUePMx7i8-00253-00162504-00163080": "of a quintessential case here we're looking at we have 300 dyads and 600 parameters to estimate", "lpvUePMx7i8-00254-00163080-00163656": "and we have two observations for each diad right so we have 600 observations and more than 600", "lpvUePMx7i8-00255-00163656-00164064": "parameters to estimate the non-centered parameterization is going to be better", "lpvUePMx7i8-00256-00164320-00164856": "so the code here in the middle you saw some examples of this last week and it looks quite", "lpvUePMx7i8-00257-00164856-00165704": "messy but it's just the non-centered kolesky magic that we use to express the mass stats", "lpvUePMx7i8-00258-00165888-00166120": "by variant normal that you see there in the upper right", "lpvUePMx7i8-00259-00166192-00166880": "in code so that the markov chain can sample it efficient efficiently and it does sample it", "lpvUePMx7i8-00260-00166880-00167480": "efficiently and you get a lot of parameters and here's just one screen of some trace rank plots", "lpvUePMx7i8-00261-00167480-00168040": "for all these t parameters that you get you get 600 of them right and this is because there are", "lpvUePMx7i8-00262-00168040-00168728": "300 dyads and there's a social network tie going in each direction within the dyad so there are 600", "lpvUePMx7i8-00263-00168728-00169256": "social network parameters that are estimated by this model and it does it with grace and style", "lpvUePMx7i8-00264-00169480-00170184": "uh we know the truth under these data and these estimates because we wrote the truth here we", "lpvUePMx7i8-00265-00170184-00170744": "made the generative model so let's take a little look at this and think about a casual validation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00266-00170744-00171304": "of what's going on in this model the first thing to note on the left here i'm plotting the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00267-00171304-00171904": "posterior distributions of the mean tie strength i remember these are parameters that are estimated", "lpvUePMx7i8-00268-00171968-00172680": "for the additional giving or reduced giving in a particular direction within each dyad and i've", "lpvUePMx7i8-00269-00172680-00173360": "i've have two densities here the blue and the red and the red are those ties where in the simulation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00270-00173360-00173968": "we know there's really no tie so the the true social network value there is zero no tie and i'm", "lpvUePMx7i8-00271-00173968-00174376": "showing you the posterior densities in that case you'll see this is quite jagged and that's because", "lpvUePMx7i8-00272-00174376-00174848": "the simulation is still piling up on particular values that correspond to observed counts in the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00273-00174848-00175440": "outcome variable the outcome is discrete and so at the latent level it creates this jagged comb-like", "lpvUePMx7i8-00274-00175440-00175912": "structure in the posterior distribution this is extremely common in poisson models", "lpvUePMx7i8-00275-00176104-00176632": "it's common because it's correct it's what the it's what probability theory demands", "lpvUePMx7i8-00276-00176632-00177088": "and then the blue density are those ties where there is in truth a tie and you'll", "lpvUePMx7i8-00277-00177088-00177488": "see that on average the model is assigning greater weight to the cases with their ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00278-00177592-00178024": "i'm not showing you the contrast between particular ties but i'm sure you can believe that", "lpvUePMx7i8-00279-00178024-00178528": "the discrimination is not a hundred percent uh if we had more data and you can try that experiment", "lpvUePMx7i8-00280-00178528-00179120": "yourself because you have the simulation then you can eventually separate these cases very cleanly", "lpvUePMx7i8-00281-00179120-00179616": "but in any particular analysis there is typically a lot of uncertainty at the end", "lpvUePMx7i8-00282-00179616-00180112": "about the values of particular social network ties i'm going to revisit that point multiple", "lpvUePMx7i8-00283-00180112-00180824": "times this lecture social networks are not observable and often they are largely uncertain", "lpvUePMx7i8-00284-00180824-00181328": "nevertheless we can often still get good answers to research questions despite that uncertainty", "lpvUePMx7i8-00285-00181448-00181960": "what we must not do is discard or ignore that uncertainty by treating the social network", "lpvUePMx7i8-00286-00181960-00182608": "as data on the right of this slide we have a parameter for the correlation within dyads", "lpvUePMx7i8-00287-00182608-00182992": "that row parameter and i'm showing its posterior distribution here and you'll", "lpvUePMx7i8-00288-00182992-00183680": "see almost all the mass is above zero there's a strong positive association across dyads", "lpvUePMx7i8-00289-00183680-00184144": "that's the influence of the friendships remember there was 10 percent of the ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00290-00184144-00184728": "are friendships and they end up being reciprocal and so a lot of the giving in this simulation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00291-00184728-00185208": "is reciprocal and that's what we're picking up here by recovering that reciprocity but notice", "lpvUePMx7i8-00292-00185208-00185688": "our model doesn't know anything about friendships it's just estimating the correlation within dyads", "lpvUePMx7i8-00293-00185992-00186504": "you can look at the household a tie values plotted against household b within each diad", "lpvUePMx7i8-00294-00186504-00187024": "i'm just showing posterior means here on the plot on the right you'll see this positive correlation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00295-00187024-00187608": "that's that in the plot that arises from the positive correlation on the left of this slide", "lpvUePMx7i8-00296-00187680-00188168": "and in purple here i've colored the dyads that are actually friends in", "lpvUePMx7i8-00297-00188168-00188600": "in the truth in the generative simulation and you can see they tend to be assigned", "lpvUePMx7i8-00298-00188704-00189104": "higher tie values and the correlation between their ties is quite obvious here", "lpvUePMx7i8-00299-00189176-00189712": "okay if you were really going to validate this you'd run a bunch of simulations and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00300-00189896-00190576": "move the parameter settings around a lot and make sure that you can recover the true effects", "lpvUePMx7i8-00301-00190576-00191040": "under various scenarios you'll probably find some scenarios where the data are", "lpvUePMx7i8-00302-00191040-00191504": "insufficient to recover the truth for certain strengths or weaknesses of the generative model", "lpvUePMx7i8-00303-00191616-00192304": "but we're going to keep moving ahead and fold in the next bit now before we do that why don't", "lpvUePMx7i8-00304-00192304-00192792": "we go ahead and analyze the real sample i think that'll be useful to do we're going to take the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00305-00192792-00193416": "actual rndoc data now the real 25 households and feed it directly into the model we just designed", "lpvUePMx7i8-00306-00193416-00194072": "no modifications and look at what it says now we know it's going to give us the wrong answer", "lpvUePMx7i8-00307-00194072-00194544": "whatever answer it gives us because we know the analysis is confounded or rather we believe it", "lpvUePMx7i8-00308-00194544-00195096": "is because we know in the real data there are back door paths to the features of the households that", "lpvUePMx7i8-00309-00195096-00195656": "we have not accounted for yet in this model so even though our statistical model just", "lpvUePMx7i8-00310-00195656-00196152": "validated on the synthetic data the synthetic data is still missing important causes that we", "lpvUePMx7i8-00311-00196152-00196712": "eventually want to fold in but it'll be nice to see what happens in the real data set right now", "lpvUePMx7i8-00312-00196712-00197224": "so you can later on appreciate how the estimates change when we account for the backdoor pass", "lpvUePMx7i8-00313-00197392-00198112": "so we just set up a new data list with the real koster lucky data and then put it right into", "lpvUePMx7i8-00314-00198112-00198488": "the same formula and i'm not repeating the big formula here because i have it", "lpvUePMx7i8-00315-00198488-00199040": "saved in an object f underscore dyad so i can just pass that formula list to oolong as you see here", "lpvUePMx7i8-00316-00199120-00199744": "and run the thing now i don't like to look at pricey tables for models of this sort", "lpvUePMx7i8-00317-00199744-00200384": "because they have hundreds of parameters and huge amounts of clutter but in this case", "lpvUePMx7i8-00318-00200544-00200856": "i wanted to show you one example at least to show you what's going on", "lpvUePMx7i8-00319-00201000-00201592": "the correlation matrix parameter here you're going to get four entries and you saw this already in", "lpvUePMx7i8-00320-00201592-00202176": "the examples last week and it's just the the one two two one entries that are the correlation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00321-00202176-00202632": "parameter that are being estimated and the other things that have the nan r hats and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00322-00202632-00203128": "n f's they're constant and that's why they have the not a number results for number of effective", "lpvUePMx7i8-00323-00203128-00203584": "parameters in our half 4. that's that's okay there's nothing wrong that's supposed to happen", "lpvUePMx7i8-00324-00203672-00204312": "just look at the the off diagonal elements in the correlation matrix and you'll see here that", "lpvUePMx7i8-00325-00204312-00205136": "we have this positive posterior means at 0.35 and the whole posterior distribution is above zero so", "lpvUePMx7i8-00326-00205136-00205632": "indicating a positive result it's not nearly as positive as our simulation was but this is not a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00327-00205632-00206080": "simulation this is real data so the question is how is this going to change when we account for", "lpvUePMx7i8-00328-00206080-00206688": "the confounding from household features uh it's going to change so keep this in your mind 0.35", "lpvUePMx7i8-00329-00206688-00207296": "and we'll come back to this after we revisit the statistical model and what does that mean revisit", "lpvUePMx7i8-00330-00207296-00207888": "the statistical model what that means is the blue paths on this slide are the backdoor paths", "lpvUePMx7i8-00331-00207888-00208496": "and we block them by stratifying or conditioning on the features of household a and household b", "lpvUePMx7i8-00332-00208496-00209160": "within each diad to and that to think causally about that and what that does is that's gonna not", "lpvUePMx7i8-00333-00209160-00209767": "just block the backdoor pass but it'll also allow us to estimate the direct effects on giving of the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00334-00209767-00210336": "household features themselves that is dispositions of the households and things of that kind", "lpvUePMx7i8-00335-00210336-00211080": "generalized giving that has nothing to do with the other household yeah and their social ties and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00336-00211080-00211623": "that's going to turn out to be really important in this data set but let's take a break that was", "lpvUePMx7i8-00337-00211623-00212200": "already a lot i encourage you to take a quick review of the slides up to this point and then", "lpvUePMx7i8-00338-00212200-00213008": "take a break uh have a beverage relax go for a walk and whenever you come back i'll still be here", "lpvUePMx7i8-00339-00213944-00214640": "welcome back let's get back into the model we're going to draw the social owl and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00340-00214696-00215248": "fold in another aspect of the generative model first we'll do it in the simulation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00341-00215319-00215784": "and then we'll incorporate the same assumptions into the statistical model", "lpvUePMx7i8-00342-00215967-00216488": "our goal here is to modify the generative simulation so that we can account for the features", "lpvUePMx7i8-00343-00216488-00217000": "of households which will block the backdoor pass through the households as well as give", "lpvUePMx7i8-00344-00217000-00217848": "us estimates of the household features as well so this simulation code here is exactly the same", "lpvUePMx7i8-00345-00217848-00218488": "as in the first half of this lecture we're still generating a social network there are", "lpvUePMx7i8-00346-00218488-00219048": "reciprocal ties among friends and then there are non-reciprocal ties as well", "lpvUePMx7i8-00347-00219176-00219944": "nothing has changed in this what we're going to add to it is that households vary in their overall", "lpvUePMx7i8-00348-00219944-00220696": "levels of wealth this is what we're simulating at the top of this block and wealth will influence", "lpvUePMx7i8-00349-00220696-00221223": "how much they give and how much they receive so you can see at the top part of highlighted in", "lpvUePMx7i8-00350-00221223-00221752": "red we're simulating a standardized relative wealth in the community with the variable w", "lpvUePMx7i8-00351-00221808-00222719": "it's for each household and we're defining two effects bwg is the effect of wealth on giving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00352-00222719-00223719": "and this is positive 0.5 so this means that richer households give more in general and then there's", "lpvUePMx7i8-00353-00223719-00224312": "bwr the effective wealth on receiving and this is negative which means that richer households", "lpvUePMx7i8-00354-00224312-00224992": "receive less in general or another way to say this poorer households receive more", "lpvUePMx7i8-00355-00225144-00225696": "and then we simulate the gifts as before except there's a modification as we've added", "lpvUePMx7i8-00356-00225696-00226392": "these causal effects of wealth to the random poisson sampling at the bottom down there", "lpvUePMx7i8-00357-00226392-00226808": "and you'll see that for household a in when it's gifts a to b", "lpvUePMx7i8-00358-00226896-00227800": "it's the giving effect that matters for households aids wealth affects giving and how sold b their", "lpvUePMx7i8-00359-00227800-00228496": "wealth affects receiving and then the reverse when it's gifts b to a so these are general", "lpvUePMx7i8-00360-00228496-00228992": "causal effects which are not features of the dyads but features of the households independent of one", "lpvUePMx7i8-00361-00228992-00229560": "another and this is the back door that we talked about before or it's an example of the way that a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00362-00229560-00230248": "household feature creates a confound for trying to understand the effects of the social network ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00363-00230488-00231064": "let's modify the statistical model to incorporate this here's the statistical model from the first", "lpvUePMx7i8-00364-00231064-00231840": "half of the lecture now just as it was then to remind you uh it's essentially two simultaneous", "lpvUePMx7i8-00365-00231840-00232719": "poisson regressions for each direction in the dyad and we have a um population distribution", "lpvUePMx7i8-00366-00232719-00233312": "of varying effects for each dyad the the social network ties in each dyad which allows us to", "lpvUePMx7i8-00367-00233312-00233984": "estimate the correlation uh within each diet as well and and to do so with partial pooling", "lpvUePMx7i8-00368-00234048-00234496": "to account for the fact that there's often not much evidence for each individual diet", "lpvUePMx7i8-00369-00234496-00235000": "but there's a lot of total evidence in the whole sample and through partial pooling through the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00370-00235000-00235656": "varying effects strategy we can leverage the total evidence to improve each estimate within each dyad", "lpvUePMx7i8-00371-00236071-00236688": "what we're going to do to modify this is modify the linear model and then add a few", "lpvUePMx7i8-00372-00236688-00237496": "more distributions to support it first thing we need to do is augment the linear model to include", "lpvUePMx7i8-00373-00237560-00238240": "generalized giving g sub a and generalized receiving r sub b this is generalized giving of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00374-00238240-00238832": "household a because this is lambda a b refers to the rate at which household a gives the household", "lpvUePMx7i8-00375-00238832-00239488": "b and generalized receiving b so when i say these are generalized is they don't depend upon", "lpvUePMx7i8-00376-00239488-00240119": "b or rather the giving from a doesn't depend upon b and the receiving of b does not depend upon a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00377-00240176-00240952": "this is what the expectation of the deviation and giving and receiving that these households", "lpvUePMx7i8-00378-00241064-00241640": "cause for any dyad they're in and that's what we mean by generalized there are aspects of the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00379-00241640-00242448": "households and not of the particular dyad these will be parameters we insert them as well in", "lpvUePMx7i8-00380-00242576-00243112": "the giving of b to a but of course it's reversed now it's the giving of b and the receiving of a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00381-00243112-00243832": "as you see in the two linear models highlighted in red and then we're going to need to define a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00382-00243832-00244423": "prior distribution for these g and r the giving and receiving parameters they're going to be", "lpvUePMx7i8-00383-00244423-00245016": "varying effects that are clustered on households so they're very much like the kinds of varying", "lpvUePMx7i8-00384-00245016-00246008": "effects we did last week ordinary multivariate normal prior where each household a for example", "lpvUePMx7i8-00385-00246088-00246600": "has two parameters associated with it and there's some covariance structure between", "lpvUePMx7i8-00386-00246600-00247192": "them and this is a typical covariance structure where the variation in g and the variation in r", "lpvUePMx7i8-00387-00247192-00247792": "can be different so they have their own standard deviation parameters sigma sub g and sigma sub r", "lpvUePMx7i8-00388-00247880-00248536": "there's still a correlation between them it'll be convenient to write this prior distribute prior", "lpvUePMx7i8-00389-00248536-00249208": "distribution like the ones i wrote last week oh sorry i should have put this text up uh the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00390-00249208-00249632": "vector on the left is a's giving and receiving vector and then we have a covariance matrix", "lpvUePMx7i8-00391-00249632-00250152": "for the household giving and receiving it'll be convenient to rewrite this like we did last week", "lpvUePMx7i8-00392-00250152-00250736": "because we'll write the stat model using a separate correlation matrix and vector of standard", "lpvUePMx7i8-00393-00250736-00251280": "deviations and so this is just another way to think about parameterizing a multivariate normal", "lpvUePMx7i8-00394-00251632-00252104": "and we can put it all together we need prior distributions for that correlation matrix", "lpvUePMx7i8-00395-00252104-00252544": "and vector standard deviations and i'll use the conventional ones that i've been using in all the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00396-00252544-00253271": "examples so far okay this is a pretty big model at least by parameter count one of the biggest", "lpvUePMx7i8-00397-00253271-00254088": "ones in the course to summarize it going from the top there are 25 households that implies 300 diets", "lpvUePMx7i8-00398-00254088-00254664": "all the pairwise combinations of the households and 600 gift observations that we're analyzing", "lpvUePMx7i8-00399-00254664-00255184": "and each of these observations is the number of gift transfers from particular household a to b", "lpvUePMx7i8-00400-00255264-00255888": "in a year in our undock and then in blue we have all the social network parameters", "lpvUePMx7i8-00401-00255888-00256688": "there are 602 social network parameters there's 300 dyads each diad has two directed network ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00402-00256688-00257312": "the t parameters there on the left and then there are two parameters for the social network that", "lpvUePMx7i8-00403-00257312-00257864": "manage the partial pooling and this is the sigma and the row that's the way to use the whole sample", "lpvUePMx7i8-00404-00257864-00258664": "to improve the estimate of each social network tie and then at the bottom in red there are 53", "lpvUePMx7i8-00405-00258664-00259264": "household parameters 25 households each of them has a g and r parameter it's generalized giving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00406-00259264-00259752": "and generalized receiving and then there are three parameters that manage the partial pooling", "lpvUePMx7i8-00407-00259832-00260256": "for the household features two standard deviations and a correlation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00408-00260567-00261200": "we can make the code and as you might expect this means we need to add yet another population prior", "lpvUePMx7i8-00409-00261200-00261856": "for partial pooling and we're going to do it again with the non-centered parameterization", "lpvUePMx7i8-00410-00261856-00262408": "going from the top we have the code that corresponds to the linear models and the poisson", "lpvUePMx7i8-00411-00262520-00263152": "prior probabilities for the giving observations you'll see i've just added the gr", "lpvUePMx7i8-00412-00263280-00264080": "parameters to this line the thing that's a bit different is gr is a vector of length two for", "lpvUePMx7i8-00413-00264080-00264768": "each household in the code and so you'll see that i'm pulling out for household a element one of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00414-00264768-00265392": "that vector that's the g part the giving and then for household b just after it there in lambda a b", "lpvUePMx7i8-00415-00265512-00266072": "element two which is the r part i understand it's a bit confusing but this is a very convenient way", "lpvUePMx7i8-00416-00266072-00266576": "to do vectors of varying effects is to use their indexes to pull them into the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00417-00266576-00267192": "right part of the model then we have the diet effects this is completely unchanged", "lpvUePMx7i8-00418-00267192-00267920": "from the first half of the lecture and now another partial pooling prior distribution", "lpvUePMx7i8-00419-00267920-00268384": "for the giving and receiving parameters and this is the same as the examples from", "lpvUePMx7i8-00420-00268384-00268984": "last week no new tricks it's just this odd looking non-centered parameterization code", "lpvUePMx7i8-00421-00269200-00269472": "okay let's analyze the simulated data and this", "lpvUePMx7i8-00422-00269472-00269792": "is now simulated data that has generalized giving and receiving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00423-00269912-00270376": "and what comes out of this when i'm plotting on the left of the slide are the individual", "lpvUePMx7i8-00424-00270376-00270936": "households the posterior means for the households and the ellipses show the i think that's a 50", "lpvUePMx7i8-00425-00271048-00271576": "compatibility region for each household estimate of the combination of the generalized giving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00426-00271576-00272136": "that's the g parameters and they're generalized receiving on the vertical that's the r parameters", "lpvUePMx7i8-00427-00272344-00273064": "and you'll see that these are negatively correlated because the the generative simulation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00428-00273064-00273672": "that i wrote implies that it didn't have the covariance matrix as part of the simulation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00429-00273744-00274360": "but what the simulation had was simulated wealth and the effects of the wealth work in opposite", "lpvUePMx7i8-00430-00274360-00275224": "directions for rich households wealth leads them to give more and so yeah and for poor households", "lpvUePMx7i8-00431-00275224-00275744": "wealth leads them to receive more and that results in this negative association between giving and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00432-00275744-00276296": "receiving that you're seeing in the posterior distribution here where the household there", "lpvUePMx7i8-00433-00276392-00277096": "near the bottom of the plot to the farthest to the right and generalized giving that's one of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00434-00277096-00277680": "the wealthiest households and it receives the least on average of all the households", "lpvUePMx7i8-00435-00277680-00278328": "because it's wealthy and so we just assumed that in the simulation and then there are a larger", "lpvUePMx7i8-00436-00278328-00279200": "number of poorer households they tend to give less but the poorest ones receive a lot and you can see", "lpvUePMx7i8-00437-00279200-00279776": "in the blue density i'm just showing you the correlation parameter between giving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00438-00279776-00280200": "and receiving that we estimated as a consequence of the partial pooling between the generalized", "lpvUePMx7i8-00439-00280200-00280736": "giving and receiving parameters and you'll see it's pushed up against the bottom against -1", "lpvUePMx7i8-00440-00280792-00281224": "and again this parameter wasn't part of the generalized simulation but it was implied", "lpvUePMx7i8-00441-00281312-00281816": "it's measuring the association between generalized giving and receiving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00442-00282080-00282448": "we can look at the other aspects of the simulation as we did", "lpvUePMx7i8-00443-00282568-00283248": "previously in the first half of the lecture look at the discrimination of true ties and false ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00444-00283248-00283736": "in red and blue and again this is very similar to what we had before i think it's marginally better", "lpvUePMx7i8-00445-00284048-00284672": "the model's recovering friends with some accuracy they're shown in purple it's doing much better", "lpvUePMx7i8-00446-00284672-00285240": "with the correlation now between within households showing the nature of the importance of friendship", "lpvUePMx7i8-00447-00285328-00286040": "on the data and then in the bottom right the rest amount of reciprocity implied by the simulation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00448-00286128-00286536": "is pushed all the way up against one very very high levels of reciprocity", "lpvUePMx7i8-00449-00286536-00287224": "why is it so high the reason is because once you account for generalized giving and receiving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00450-00287224-00287544": "that's what that red density in the lower right is i'll say that again", "lpvUePMx7i8-00451-00287632-00288232": "the the red density in the lower right is having stratified by gen by general giving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00452-00288232-00288888": "and receiving how much reciprocity is there within diaz and the answer is almost all of the exchange", "lpvUePMx7i8-00453-00288888-00289392": "after you account for generalized giving and receiving is due to friendships and that's", "lpvUePMx7i8-00454-00289392-00289984": "exactly what the simulation assumed and that's what we're getting back from the statistical model", "lpvUePMx7i8-00455-00290232-00290840": "okay and now the real data we can look at it very similarly but in this case we don't know the truth", "lpvUePMx7i8-00456-00290840-00291104": "right we don't we don't know the gener generative", "lpvUePMx7i8-00457-00291104-00291424": "process that produces the real patterns of exchange in r duck", "lpvUePMx7i8-00458-00291632-00292200": "but we will interpret it through the light of imagining a range of generative models so you see", "lpvUePMx7i8-00459-00292200-00292744": "the analogous plot for the households here there's also a negative distribution between giving and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00460-00292744-00293240": "receiving but it's not as extreme as it was in our particular synthetic example that i used", "lpvUePMx7i8-00461-00293360-00293896": "and you can see the blue posterior distribution again negative almost all of the posterior mass", "lpvUePMx7i8-00462-00293896-00294800": "is below zero so the um households that give the most received the least and vice versa", "lpvUePMx7i8-00463-00294864-00295280": "we haven't put wealth in this model right so we don't know if this is due to wealth", "lpvUePMx7i8-00464-00295280-00295632": "in this case we're going to take a look at that in a little bit though so hang on", "lpvUePMx7i8-00465-00295808-00296216": "i show you we don't know the true ties in this case instead i'm just showing", "lpvUePMx7i8-00466-00296216-00296576": "you the social network and we'll think about that a little bit more in a moment", "lpvUePMx7i8-00467-00296744-00297384": "you can see the dyadic ties now show a huge amount of reciprocity almost all the posterior mass is", "lpvUePMx7i8-00468-00297384-00298048": "right up against the maximum so what we're finding here very similar to the synthetic simulation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00469-00298048-00298472": "the model seems to think that after you account for generalized giving and receiving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00470-00298472-00299184": "all of the remaining exchange is is uh reciprocal it's due to these quote-unquote friendships of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00471-00299184-00299576": "course we don't know if they're friendships but it's very balanced after you account", "lpvUePMx7i8-00472-00299640-00300096": "for households that in general give a lot to all other households and households that in", "lpvUePMx7i8-00473-00300096-00300552": "general receive a lot from other households once you've stratified by those differences", "lpvUePMx7i8-00474-00300552-00301184": "accounted for them the remaining exchange is extremely balanced in this community", "lpvUePMx7i8-00475-00301400-00301976": "let's think a little bit more about this social network what i'm showing you here is just the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00476-00301976-00302488": "posterior mean network because of course we don't know the network the network is not data i keep", "lpvUePMx7i8-00477-00302488-00303032": "saying that there's a posterior distribution of networks that we get as a result of running a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00478-00303032-00303656": "model like this a large number of networks an infinite number in fact each of them weighted", "lpvUePMx7i8-00479-00303656-00304192": "by its relative plausibility compared to all the others and we can sample networks", "lpvUePMx7i8-00480-00304192-00304672": "from the posterior distribution and think about their compatibility regions and so on", "lpvUePMx7i8-00481-00304880-00305296": "here this is not an easy thing to do because the network is a complicated structure", "lpvUePMx7i8-00482-00305296-00305808": "here i'm animating some draws from the posterior distribution to show you the variation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00483-00305808-00306288": "and what i want you to see on the right hand part of the slide as the animation plays", "lpvUePMx7i8-00484-00306288-00306656": "is that there are components of the network which are extremely stable", "lpvUePMx7i8-00485-00306656-00307208": "these little cliques of reciprocal households in the lower left and the bottom in the upper right", "lpvUePMx7i8-00486-00307448-00307848": "and then there are ties between those little cliques", "lpvUePMx7i8-00487-00307944-00308656": "but the model has much less confidence about those what does that mean it has much less confidence", "lpvUePMx7i8-00488-00308656-00309064": "that those are really regular features of the community's pattern of exchange", "lpvUePMx7i8-00489-00309232-00309648": "remember the social network here doesn't really exist it is a latent construct", "lpvUePMx7i8-00490-00309648-00310144": "that is meant to capture regular features of patterns of exchange in the community", "lpvUePMx7i8-00491-00310304-00310880": "and help us make better predictions and causal inferences the real patterns of exchange aren't", "lpvUePMx7i8-00492-00310880-00311488": "due to this abstraction that we've drawn this is like a compression of the complex patterns of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00493-00311488-00312088": "behavioral exchange that we have measured in the data but you can see that there are things that we", "lpvUePMx7i8-00494-00312088-00312672": "can be confident about it in terms of reciprocal exchange between certain sets of households", "lpvUePMx7i8-00495-00312944-00313520": "it's very important to keep in mind if you want to do calculate anything from the social network", "lpvUePMx7i8-00496-00313640-00314168": "like centrality or in degree and out degree or betweenness and there's a huge number of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00497-00314168-00314672": "network statistics that people like to calculate from networks since we don't know the network", "lpvUePMx7i8-00498-00314672-00315232": "we don't know those statistics the network is uncertain and so are all of the network statistics", "lpvUePMx7i8-00499-00315232-00315672": "you might want to calculate from it the network has a posterior distribution", "lpvUePMx7i8-00500-00315672-00316160": "and so does its centrality and its betweenness and everything else that you might want to calculate", "lpvUePMx7i8-00501-00316160-00316832": "so any analysis which is treating the network is known is discarding uncertainty and risking", "lpvUePMx7i8-00502-00316896-00317360": "quite damaging overconfidence we have the technology to do better now and we should", "lpvUePMx7i8-00503-00317640-00318152": "okay let me try to summarize that little a little bit and make some progressive points about what", "lpvUePMx7i8-00504-00318152-00318568": "we're going to do next i keep saying or i just said social networks don't exist", "lpvUePMx7i8-00505-00318648-00319016": "that's not a really shocking claim of course they don't exist they're abstractions they're", "lpvUePMx7i8-00506-00319016-00319656": "structural abstractions there are networks that do exist like the internet or the plumbing in the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00507-00319656-00320168": "building you live in those are actual networks in the sense that for anything to travel along", "lpvUePMx7i8-00508-00320168-00320632": "the network it really has to go along the edges and through the nodes that are in its structure", "lpvUePMx7i8-00509-00320688-00321200": "social networks aren't like that there are statistical abstractions that represent", "lpvUePMx7i8-00510-00321200-00321800": "at the minimum dyadic connections possibly also triadic or higher order connections but", "lpvUePMx7i8-00511-00321800-00322520": "they're they're data compression schemes they're varying effects and like all varying effects", "lpvUePMx7i8-00512-00322520-00323296": "they're placeholders for other causes they're like anonymous bookmarks for for entities that generate", "lpvUePMx7i8-00513-00323352-00324000": "variation in the data and what we'd like to do having estimated a social network like with all", "lpvUePMx7i8-00514-00324000-00324544": "varying effects and social networks for varying effects their structured varying effects is to try", "lpvUePMx7i8-00515-00324544-00325248": "to explain them away through measured things about the community so in this case for example we can", "lpvUePMx7i8-00516-00325248-00325888": "model the network ties the t's that represent friendships and directed unreciprocated ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00517-00325968-00326584": "using features of the dyads why do some dyads have reciprocal ties is there something we can", "lpvUePMx7i8-00518-00326584-00327208": "learn about the relationships about those dyads to explain away these varying effects in a sense", "lpvUePMx7i8-00519-00327384-00327768": "and then for the features of the households that is the generalized giving and receiving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00520-00327768-00328288": "what explains all the variation in that and there's a lot and we're going to look at", "lpvUePMx7i8-00521-00328288-00329040": "wealth because that's what we suggested in the generative model there are things about social", "lpvUePMx7i8-00522-00329040-00329776": "networks though that are in a sense endogenously causal relationships do exist that is people have", "lpvUePMx7i8-00523-00329856-00330304": "states in their brains which lead them to treat other people differently and those states are", "lpvUePMx7i8-00524-00330304-00331096": "often shared between brains and relationships can cause other relationships so for example if i'm", "lpvUePMx7i8-00525-00331096-00331664": "friends with somebody and somebody else is also friends with that person then there's a greatly", "lpvUePMx7i8-00526-00331664-00332096": "increased chance that i will become friends with the other person who was friends with my friend", "lpvUePMx7i8-00527-00332184-00332664": "i know that sounded a bit funny i'll explain that again later in the in the lecture so i", "lpvUePMx7i8-00528-00332664-00333160": "don't want to dismiss the idea that just because social networks don't exist in their abstractions", "lpvUePMx7i8-00529-00333160-00333648": "that social relationships themselves can't be causes because of course they can and that's worth", "lpvUePMx7i8-00530-00333648-00334016": "studying and that's a different issue than what we're going to do in the remainder of the lecture", "lpvUePMx7i8-00531-00334240-00334864": "okay we need to modify this model one last time and what we're going to do is we're going to take", "lpvUePMx7i8-00532-00334864-00335472": "the linear model again and we're going to expand it to try to explain away some of the variation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00533-00335472-00335856": "that's explained by the varying effects on the idea that the varying effects are just", "lpvUePMx7i8-00534-00335856-00336464": "placeholders anonymous placeholders for other causes that are generating variation so i'm going", "lpvUePMx7i8-00535-00336464-00337168": "to take each of the parameters in this other than alpha alpha will remain the same and i'm going", "lpvUePMx7i8-00536-00337168-00337888": "to just turn them into their own linear models so now we have fancy t sub a b and fancy g sub a and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00537-00337888-00338536": "fancy r sub b and these are going to represent linear models for the ties between a and b and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00538-00338536-00339256": "the generalized giving of a and the generalized receiving of b let's just start with the tie from", "lpvUePMx7i8-00539-00339256-00339856": "a to b this is going to be a function now of a varying effect the same parameter we had before", "lpvUePMx7i8-00540-00339856-00340512": "just this partially pooled tie parameter from a to b parameterized exactly as it was before", "lpvUePMx7i8-00541-00340656-00341088": "but now we're going to add to this linear model for the tie strength from a to b", "lpvUePMx7i8-00542-00341144-00341616": "the effect of what's called the association index between a and b", "lpvUePMx7i8-00543-00341616-00342224": "this is a variable in the koster lucky data the association index speaking crudely is a measure", "lpvUePMx7i8-00544-00342224-00342760": "of how much time individuals from household a spend with individuals from household b", "lpvUePMx7i8-00545-00342896-00343320": "it's it's independent of the gifts it's the gifts are not included in this measure it's", "lpvUePMx7i8-00546-00343320-00343752": "other things it's socialization it's working together it's other kinds of activities", "lpvUePMx7i8-00547-00343888-00344160": "and we might expect that this has something to do", "lpvUePMx7i8-00548-00344232-00344768": "with causing gifts or at least generating an association but we're going to look and and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00549-00344768-00345560": "we have a coefficient beta sub a for that we'll attempt to measure the association uh between the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00550-00345560-00346144": "size of an association index for a particular diet a b and uh the ties within that dyad", "lpvUePMx7i8-00551-00346320-00346872": "same kind of strategy for generalized giving of household a here we have a linear model now", "lpvUePMx7i8-00552-00346872-00347416": "for the generalized giving of household a and it's a function of the same parameter as before g", "lpvUePMx7i8-00553-00347416-00347904": "sub a parameterized exactly as before with the same partial pooling prior there on the left", "lpvUePMx7i8-00554-00347976-00348800": "and again we have added something to this linear model to try to explain away some of the variation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00555-00348800-00349344": "from the varying effect now we're adding wealth so w sub a is the wealth of household a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00556-00349416-00350216": "and beta sub wg is the effect of wealth on giving and then we have the analogous", "lpvUePMx7i8-00557-00350280-00350848": "thing for generalized receiving for household b there's the varying effect r sub b again", "lpvUePMx7i8-00558-00350848-00351520": "parameterized exactly as before and now the wealth of household b its effect is we're going to try to", "lpvUePMx7i8-00559-00351520-00352128": "measure it with a different beta coefficient beta sub w r this is the effective wealth on receiving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00560-00352336-00352784": "and we can put all this right back in the model and we need to do the same", "lpvUePMx7i8-00561-00352784-00353288": "thing for the other direction in the dyad from b to a with all of the uh", "lpvUePMx7i8-00562-00353472-00354176": "necessary mutations made to flip a's to b's in the right places right because uh b becomes a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00563-00354248-00354656": "everywhere in the bottom and a becomes b everywhere on the bottom so that's symmetric", "lpvUePMx7i8-00564-00354656-00354968": "this model is everywhere symmetric because a and b are just labels", "lpvUePMx7i8-00565-00355184-00356280": "and we also add priors for the new wealth and association coefficients and i'm just showing", "lpvUePMx7i8-00566-00356280-00356728": "you the part of the new model code that's relevant here the rest is unchanged where", "lpvUePMx7i8-00567-00356728-00357288": "to make it convenient in oolong you can define little temporary symbols in your linear model", "lpvUePMx7i8-00568-00357376-00357784": "that represent other linear models and so you'll see in the code block here", "lpvUePMx7i8-00569-00357912-00358584": "the a to b code block in the log lambda line we have a which is alpha plus tab", "lpvUePMx7i8-00570-00358656-00359264": "plus ga plus rb and then each of those symbols tab ga and rb is its own linear model just below", "lpvUePMx7i8-00571-00359264-00359712": "in which i have the parameters the coefficients in the data that are relevant to each case", "lpvUePMx7i8-00572-00359712-00360312": "and then the same for b to a you don't have to do it that way you could put it all in the same", "lpvUePMx7i8-00573-00360312-00360976": "long linear model but for me at least this makes things simpler to read and it helps reduce error", "lpvUePMx7i8-00574-00361344-00362000": "okay we can run this model and uh i give you the full code for it in the script file", "lpvUePMx7i8-00575-00362000-00362472": "for this lecture i encourage you to give it a try it doesn't actually take that long to run", "lpvUePMx7i8-00576-00362544-00363088": "and um what you can get out of it are well uh posterior distributions for all the relevant", "lpvUePMx7i8-00577-00363088-00363752": "bits the first thing i want to do is make a comparison between this model and the previous one", "lpvUePMx7i8-00578-00363752-00364440": "before we added the before we added wealth and the association index and so what we're looking", "lpvUePMx7i8-00579-00364440-00365200": "at here is the standard deviation sigma of the ties within dyads right so this is how much the", "lpvUePMx7i8-00580-00365200-00365792": "strength of ties varies in the community and in red i show you the previous result before adding", "lpvUePMx7i8-00581-00365792-00366264": "the association index to the model now we've added the association index and and the standard", "lpvUePMx7i8-00582-00366264-00366816": "deviation has gone down and that doesn't mean of course that there's any less variation in the data", "lpvUePMx7i8-00583-00366896-00367528": "what it means is the associated association index has has statistically explained only statistically", "lpvUePMx7i8-00584-00367528-00368144": "uh variation in ties and so there's less for the varying effect parameters t to explain that's", "lpvUePMx7i8-00585-00368144-00368584": "all it means it's the standard effect that has happened in earlier models with varying", "lpvUePMx7i8-00586-00368584-00369248": "effects as we add predictors you expect the variation components of the model to get smaller", "lpvUePMx7i8-00587-00369528-00369824": "let's look at the receiving and giving effects from the new model", "lpvUePMx7i8-00588-00369952-00370688": "and these are the beta coefficients for giving and receiving so in red that's beta wg", "lpvUePMx7i8-00589-00370688-00371168": "the effect of wealth on giving you'll see it's slightly positive but it's incredibly", "lpvUePMx7i8-00590-00371168-00371648": "uncertain it spans a huge range it could be mildly negative or it could be hugely positive", "lpvUePMx7i8-00591-00371736-00372032": "not a lot of certainty but it tends towards being slightly positive", "lpvUePMx7i8-00592-00372104-00372800": "and then in contrast receiving in blue there that's beta wr the effect of wealth on receiving", "lpvUePMx7i8-00593-00372800-00373632": "in general is is negative almost all the posterior mass is below zero and so as it really looks like", "lpvUePMx7i8-00594-00373632-00374208": "um in our undock some of the differences in how much households receive is due to the fact that", "lpvUePMx7i8-00595-00374208-00374776": "they need more that they have less wealth than others and wealthier households appear to give", "lpvUePMx7i8-00596-00374776-00375624": "a little more although it's quite quite variable and poor households certainly receive more", "lpvUePMx7i8-00597-00376040-00376544": "okay so things that we haven't done in this model and we're not going to have", "lpvUePMx7i8-00598-00376544-00377104": "time to do in this lecture unfortunately i apologize but are but are equally important", "lpvUePMx7i8-00599-00377104-00377648": "are the other structural features of the model all we've analyzed are dyads", "lpvUePMx7i8-00600-00377752-00378392": "but uh it's something of a truism in parts of sociology that uh society is built out of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00601-00378392-00379048": "triangles which is to say that two people is not a society but three is yeah then you have a society", "lpvUePMx7i8-00602-00379048-00379664": "that's a bit of a joke but it makes a lot of sense in in the sense that um triatic and higher", "lpvUePMx7i8-00603-00379664-00380120": "order relationships are much more complicated and social networks can contain a lot of that", "lpvUePMx7i8-00604-00380120-00380656": "structure as well and human societies definitely reflect much more social complexity than dyadic", "lpvUePMx7i8-00605-00380656-00381168": "relationships we're aware of other people's relationships and that's triadic awareness", "lpvUePMx7i8-00606-00381248-00381832": "so sometimes what you'll see and this can arise for all the reasons i i briefly", "lpvUePMx7i8-00607-00381832-00382280": "mentioned before that relationships can really be causal you can become friends with somebody", "lpvUePMx7i8-00608-00382448-00382864": "simply because your friends are friends with them and this is something that sometimes called", "lpvUePMx7i8-00609-00382864-00383344": "triangle closure and i try to represent this schematically on this slide on the left there", "lpvUePMx7i8-00610-00383344-00384216": "in the middle if if a is friends with c and b is also friends with c then it's more likely that a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00611-00384216-00384792": "and b will become friends yeah or maybe enemies but they'll have some kind of relationship", "lpvUePMx7i8-00612-00384984-00385384": "and there are a number of ways that social network models try to get at these things", "lpvUePMx7i8-00613-00385384-00385824": "because they're just as important as the dyadic relationships when you you want some sort of", "lpvUePMx7i8-00614-00385824-00386304": "partially pooled estimate of triangles as well and higher order relationships", "lpvUePMx7i8-00615-00386304-00386760": "and cliques and clustering in the data and there are a number of different strategies", "lpvUePMx7i8-00616-00386912-00387480": "one of them increasingly common and easy to work with statistically is called a block model or a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00617-00387480-00388224": "stochastic block model in in block models ties are more common within certain groups within the data", "lpvUePMx7i8-00618-00388224-00388872": "and those groups can represent things you've observed like families or offices or stamptish", "lpvUePMx7i8-00619-00388944-00389344": "but they can also be unobserved latent things you can simply assert that there are a certain", "lpvUePMx7i8-00620-00389344-00390032": "number of blocks in the community and then try to detect them this is a sometimes called", "lpvUePMx7i8-00621-00390032-00390784": "community detection as well and those things are also done using partial pooling estimators", "lpvUePMx7i8-00622-00390960-00391688": "okay let me say just a couple more things before ending this lecture i keep saying that the social", "lpvUePMx7i8-00623-00391688-00392144": "network is partially pooled and it'd be nice to have a little bit more intuition about that so", "lpvUePMx7i8-00624-00392144-00392592": "on this slide i'm showing you on the left and the blue network this is the raw data", "lpvUePMx7i8-00625-00392592-00393176": "i've just taken the counts of gifs and built a network out of it and you'll see that it has a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00626-00393176-00393704": "bunch of connections and some of them are darker than the others because the counts are higher and", "lpvUePMx7i8-00627-00393960-00394552": "but it's it's completely unregularized in the sense that this is just a raw empirical estimate", "lpvUePMx7i8-00628-00394624-00395256": "to build a network out of just the sample is to take for granted that there's no variation", "lpvUePMx7i8-00629-00395312-00395864": "to be expected in the exact gifts that have been observed that represents the expectation and those", "lpvUePMx7i8-00630-00395864-00396416": "are the true relationships and that furthermore all of the gifts observed are due to social ties", "lpvUePMx7i8-00631-00396472-00396952": "but i think i've i've convinced you i hope i have through the modeling in this lecture that", "lpvUePMx7i8-00632-00396952-00397584": "that's not a good assumption that there are also features of the nodes that are general to behavior", "lpvUePMx7i8-00633-00397584-00398024": "with other nodes that have nothing to do with the particular dyadic relationships among", "lpvUePMx7i8-00634-00398024-00398640": "among the nodes among the households i should say and so what we've inferred instead on the right is", "lpvUePMx7i8-00635-00398640-00399256": "a regularized network and this is just a posterior mean i've had the animations up before so you know", "lpvUePMx7i8-00636-00399256-00399952": "it varies but all the samples from the posterior are much sparser than the raw data because that's", "lpvUePMx7i8-00637-00399952-00400536": "what regularization does it's skeptical and for the cases where there's only a couple gifts", "lpvUePMx7i8-00638-00400536-00401136": "between a pair of households in the whole year what regularization does what partial pooling does", "lpvUePMx7i8-00639-00401192-00401648": "is it it says that well i'm going to bet that that's not a regular feature of exchange in", "lpvUePMx7i8-00640-00401648-00402112": "this community it's just something that happens once in a while those communities don't share", "lpvUePMx7i8-00641-00402112-00402672": "a social tie in terms of what we're trying to estimate which is stable exchange relationships", "lpvUePMx7i8-00642-00403136-00403720": "let me try to summarize that a bit here is what i've just said social networks are abstractions", "lpvUePMx7i8-00643-00403720-00404256": "i keep saying that they don't exist but they're incredibly important statistical technologies", "lpvUePMx7i8-00644-00404256-00405000": "we try to use them to discover and express the regularities of the data the data is very high", "lpvUePMx7i8-00645-00405000-00405600": "dimension and complicated and it contains noise and irregular features that will not", "lpvUePMx7i8-00646-00405600-00406248": "help us predict future samples nor help us learn causal effects about how the community functions", "lpvUePMx7i8-00647-00406248-00406904": "and so we use regularization skeptical forms of estimation when we infer the networks", "lpvUePMx7i8-00648-00406968-00407560": "in this sense the social network is regularized just like varying effects last week but it's a", "lpvUePMx7i8-00649-00407560-00408256": "very complicated structured varying effect right it's it's uh has a much more uh structure to it", "lpvUePMx7i8-00650-00408256-00408792": "than the examples we looked at last week there are lots of varying effect problems that are", "lpvUePMx7i8-00651-00408792-00409528": "analogous to this like phylogenies phylogenies are simpler than social networks because they", "lpvUePMx7i8-00652-00409528-00410200": "branch but they're also networks and they're also not observable and they're also uncertain", "lpvUePMx7i8-00653-00410296-00410664": "and if we estimate them with partial pooling we expect to do better", "lpvUePMx7i8-00654-00410752-00411408": "um spatial problems are analogous in a number of ways as well entities in your data", "lpvUePMx7i8-00655-00411408-00411896": "can share unobserved confounds because they're close to one another and this is called spatial", "lpvUePMx7i8-00656-00411896-00412488": "confounding we're going to work on that in the next lecture actually talk about that", "lpvUePMx7i8-00657-00412488-00413216": "heritability how organisms who are closely related can share complex", "lpvUePMx7i8-00658-00413216-00413912": "patterns of phenotypic covariance this is also a problem that has to do with with regularization", "lpvUePMx7i8-00659-00414112-00414600": "knowledge something we often want to do is give tests to people to see how much", "lpvUePMx7i8-00660-00414600-00415072": "they know we do it with students but we also do with when we do research because we're trying", "lpvUePMx7i8-00661-00415072-00415560": "to assess how much people have learned about a topic or how much they believe about a topic", "lpvUePMx7i8-00662-00415696-00416239": "this is also not an observable thing and knowledge is highly structured at least sometimes", "lpvUePMx7i8-00663-00416239-00416896": "it has different latent dimensions to it and when we try to estimate how much people know", "lpvUePMx7i8-00664-00417024-00417688": "or what they believe we also use regularization and varying effects families of models known as", "lpvUePMx7i8-00665-00417688-00418424": "item response models or irt item response theory and personality measurement likewise personality", "lpvUePMx7i8-00666-00418480-00419032": "like social networks doesn't really exist it's just a set of statistical regularities that we", "lpvUePMx7i8-00667-00419104-00419464": "that we compress out of high dimensional data", "lpvUePMx7i8-00668-00419464-00419928": "and use to try to predict the behavior of people and other animals in the future", "lpvUePMx7i8-00669-00419928-00420639": "and also try to understand the causes of variation between people in these statistical abstractions", "lpvUePMx7i8-00670-00420800-00421320": "okay but we've got more statistical problems that arise from these analogies what happens", "lpvUePMx7i8-00671-00421320-00422016": "when the clusters in the data are not discrete but instead continuous so households are discrete", "lpvUePMx7i8-00672-00422072-00422504": "tadpole tanks are discrete departments are discrete and all the examples we've looked", "lpvUePMx7i8-00673-00422504-00423120": "at so far the varying effects are clustered by discrete entities like that dyads households", "lpvUePMx7i8-00674-00423120-00423743": "departments tanks but there are kinds of clusters implied by some of the examples i just gave", "lpvUePMx7i8-00675-00423743-00424656": "which are actually continuous instead like age or distance or time or just similarity", "lpvUePMx7i8-00676-00424760-00425608": "and in these cases there are no clear discrete categories and also the closer values are", "lpvUePMx7i8-00677-00425608-00426247": "together the more partial pooling you'd like to do so for example ages that are closer together", "lpvUePMx7i8-00678-00426247-00426912": "will share more unobserved causes locations that are closer together will be more similar than", "lpvUePMx7i8-00679-00426912-00427672": "locations further apart times closer together and obviously objects more similar may share similar", "lpvUePMx7i8-00680-00427672-00428272": "confounds in these cases we want some kind of structured partial pooling that takes that into", "lpvUePMx7i8-00681-00428272-00428824": "account takes distance into account somehow and that's what we're going to do in the next lecture", "lpvUePMx7i8-00682-00429016-00429656": "okay this has been lecture 15 on social networks for statistical rethinking 2022", "lpvUePMx7i8-00683-00429728-00430192": "and week 8. in the next lecture we'll look at gaussian processes", "lpvUePMx7i8-00684-00430192-00430800": "this is material that's covered in chapter 14. it's good to follow along in the book because", "lpvUePMx7i8-00685-00430800-00431432": "there's a lot of detail that i just can't get to in the lectures they'd be too long i apologize", "lpvUePMx7i8-00686-00431432-00431904": "anyway i hope you'll join me for the next lecture and we'll talk about gaussian processes which are", "lpvUePMx7i8-00687-00431904-00432976": "an increasingly popular and powerful form of statistical inference i'll see you there you"}}, {"audio_id": "lpy-s3FLtT0", "text": {"lpy-s3FLtT0-00000-00000000-00000496": "superheroes for the first time really is an epic global film the scope and the scale", "lpy-s3FLtT0-00001-00000496-00001280": "of it is huge it's so exciting to be part of something that really feels new the impact that", "lpy-s3FLtT0-00002-00001280-00002984": "eternals will have on the mcu will be nothing less than redefining the cinematic universe", "lpy-s3FLtT0-00003-00003080-00003664": "we're eternals we came here 7000 years ago"}}, {"audio_id": "lpLVloq4tQY", "text": {"lpLVloq4tQY-00000-00000011-00000538": "If you had to say of all the areas of human life, where can data bring the biggest improvements,", "lpLVloq4tQY-00001-00000538-00000782": "what would your answer be? NATE SILVER: That’s a pretty heavy question.", "lpLVloq4tQY-00002-00000782-00001755": "I should have taken half an hour to think about that. The answers are probably obvious", "lpLVloq4tQY-00003-00001755-00002297": "in some sense where health is an area where I’ve not done a lot of work personally,", "lpLVloq4tQY-00004-00002297-00002984": "but I’m sure it’s incredibly valuable. Doctors are not known for being terribly analytics", "lpLVloq4tQY-00005-00002984-00003478": "driven. I don’t know the culture enough as to know why.", "lpLVloq4tQY-00006-00003478-00003971": "In terms of areas that I would like us to focus on at FiveThirtyEight a little bit more", "lpLVloq4tQY-00007-00003971-00004558": "than we do now, criminality and criminal justice is an interesting area, in part because you", "lpLVloq4tQY-00008-00004558-00005142": "have lots of issues with data. If you want to know how many police officers are killed,", "lpLVloq4tQY-00009-00005142-00005643": "how many people are killed by police officers, you don’t really know that very well.", "lpLVloq4tQY-00010-00005643-00006254": "Education is an area where I suspect you have a lot of data used poorly as well as data", "lpLVloq4tQY-00011-00006254-00006747": "used well. Urban planning is something we’re fascinated", "lpLVloq4tQY-00012-00006747-00007411": "by. We did a big analysis of Uber data that New York City spent like $2 million to conclude,", "lpLVloq4tQY-00013-00007411-00007834": "but we concluded on our own in a week or two of work, which is that Uber, by and large", "lpLVloq4tQY-00014-00007834-00008381": "in New York, was not adding cars to the streets, at least not in Manhattan.", "lpLVloq4tQY-00015-00008381-00008876": "COWEN: We’re in a law school right now. If we applied a lot more data to the law,", "lpLVloq4tQY-00016-00008876-00009232": "what kind of improvement could you imagine we might come up with, just tentatively?", "lpLVloq4tQY-00017-00009232-00009567": "SILVER: See, I think that might be the last field where —", "lpLVloq4tQY-00018-00009567-00009868": "[laughter] SILVER: Where you would have a lot of — and", "lpLVloq4tQY-00019-00009868-00010497": "I don’t say that in a pejorative way at all. But a lot of the advantage of working", "lpLVloq4tQY-00020-00010497-00011113": "with data sets and becoming more adept at it is that you get an answer that’s at least", "lpLVloq4tQY-00021-00011113-00011752": "approximately right. Whereas, the legal sector, I think, relies", "lpLVloq4tQY-00022-00011752-00012365": "more on precision. You want a very precise and possibly wrong answer, which is what you’re", "lpLVloq4tQY-00023-00012365-00012875": "trying to avoid sometimes when you’re doing statistical analysis.", "lpLVloq4tQY-00024-00012875-00013444": "COWEN: I sometimes wonder how much data do people want. As part of my prep for this,", "lpLVloq4tQY-00025-00013444-00013969": "I went back to your high school yearbook, and I took a look at the quotation you left.", "lpLVloq4tQY-00026-00013969-00014375": "It’s from Macbeth. It goes as follows: “Then the liars and", "lpLVloq4tQY-00027-00014375-00014997": "swearers are fools, for there are liars and swearers enough to beat the honest men and", "lpLVloq4tQY-00028-00014997-00015272": "hang up them.” SILVER: It’s a little self-righteous, but", "lpLVloq4tQY-00029-00015272-00015452": "you’re entitled to that when you’re in high school, I think. [laughs]", "lpLVloq4tQY-00030-00015452-00015904": "COWEN: I have no objection to the sentiment, but I’ve read papers which show when you", "lpLVloq4tQY-00031-00015904-00016358": "give a lot of people the chance to view the quality of their hospital or doctor, they’re", "lpLVloq4tQY-00032-00016358-00016912": "not interested. As a citizenry, how much data do you think people want?", "lpLVloq4tQY-00033-00016912-00017241": "Do you think it’s a kind of entertainment where sports, betting, politics, that kind", "lpLVloq4tQY-00034-00017241-00017667": "of horse race, it’s fine, but real data, do people want to see data on how good or", "lpLVloq4tQY-00035-00017667-00017996": "how honest they actually are, or is it more like the Macbeth quotation?", "lpLVloq4tQY-00036-00017996-00018479": "SILVER: I’m like that. My partner got really into 23andMe and wanted all this detail. They", "lpLVloq4tQY-00037-00018479-00019131": "don’t actually tell you all that much. But I don’t want to have to stress about a bunch", "lpLVloq4tQY-00038-00019131-00019909": "of things that I can’t necessarily affect. I don’t know.", "lpLVloq4tQY-00039-00019909-00020640": "The notion of empowering people to make better decisions with their own health is a noble", "lpLVloq4tQY-00040-00020640-00021301": "notion. I guess I’m enough of a free marketer that I say you should give people the information", "lpLVloq4tQY-00041-00021301-00021731": "whether they use it well or not. It’s their right to have it. I’m not sure I have a", "lpLVloq4tQY-00042-00021731-00022182": "firm conclusion about whether it leads to better decisions or not.", "lpLVloq4tQY-00043-00022182-00022859": "Again, my impression is that among doctors and hospital administrators, they’re not", "lpLVloq4tQY-00044-00022859-00023375": "terribly data driven either, despite their obviously rigorous work in other respects."}}, {"audio_id": "lpb5sICdAp4", "text": {"lpb5sICdAp4-00000-00011458-00011658": "Wow", "lpb5sICdAp4-00001-00025340-00025540": "So i spend the my  weekends!!!!", "lpb5sICdAp4-00002-00026754-00026954": "However, I prefer to ride a tank", "lpb5sICdAp4-00003-00028542-00028742": "You"}}, {"audio_id": "lO2SmEO6q2M", "text": {"lO2SmEO6q2M-00000-00000199-00000509": "DARTH VADER: Greetings, Mr. White.", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00001-00000509-00000828": "I'm here to buy the so known \"Minion Meth\"", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00002-00000828-00001100": "I heard that can give a lot of power,", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00003-00001100-00001285": "to use against the Jedi", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00004-00001308-00001469": "WALTER WHITE: I heard about your Sith affair too.", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00005-00001502-00001552": "Lord Vader", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00006-00001552-00001738": "I'm happy I'm doing business with you", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00007-00001748-00001798": "Now", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00008-00001798-00001991": "What type of minion meth you'd want?", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00009-00002039-00002273": "DARTH VADER: Of course I want the banana taste", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00010-00002339-00002511": "WALTER WHITE: Sure, banana taste", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00011-00002511-00002722": "It'll be a minion-million per 10 grams", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00012-00002816-00003077": "DARTH VADER: I can only pay in Imperial Credits.", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00013-00003097-00003325": "I have a minion-hundred thousand", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00014-00003407-00003517": "WALTER WHITE: It'll be fine", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00015-00003613-00003692": "*notification*", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00016-00003714-00003819": "Payment done", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00017-00003819-00004130": "I am delighted to have you among my clients, Dark Lord", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00018-00004303-00004387": "DART VADER: Wait", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00019-00004419-00004788": "I'm feeling something's different in the force", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00020-00004902-00005198": "Remember what we were talking about?", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00021-00005230-00005346": "Power", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00022-00005346-00005579": "The force runs strong in you.", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00023-00005723-00006067": "You can join me in the fight against the Jedi,", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00024-00006067-00006325": "the fight to keep the galaxy still and safe.", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00025-00006461-00006784": "But before the training you must take me to watch", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00026-00006784-00006987": "Minions: The Rise of Gru,", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00027-00007027-00007136": "my apprentice", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00028-00007543-00007644": "WALTER WHITE: It'll be done,", "lO2SmEO6q2M-00029-00007644-00007750": "my Master"}}, {"audio_id": "lOGC5wA1T6c", "text": {"lOGC5wA1T6c-00000-00000010-00000053": "16 BEDS FOR MENTAL HEALTH", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00001-00000053-00000060": "16 BEDS FOR MENTAL HEALTH", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00002-00000060-00000223": "16 BEDS FOR MENTAL HEALTH PATIENTS SEEKING TREATMENT.", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00003-00000223-00000230": "16 BEDS FOR MENTAL HEALTH PATIENTS SEEKING TREATMENT.", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00004-00000230-00000400": "16 BEDS FOR MENTAL HEALTH PATIENTS SEEKING TREATMENT. >>> A SCHOOL BUS CRASH NEAR", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00005-00000400-00000407": "PATIENTS SEEKING TREATMENT. >>> A SCHOOL BUS CRASH NEAR", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00006-00000407-00000553": "PATIENTS SEEKING TREATMENT. >>> A SCHOOL BUS CRASH NEAR ROSEAU SENT SEVERAL CHILDREN TO", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00007-00000553-00000560": ">>> A SCHOOL BUS CRASH NEAR ROSEAU SENT SEVERAL CHILDREN TO", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00008-00000560-00000697": ">>> A SCHOOL BUS CRASH NEAR ROSEAU SENT SEVERAL CHILDREN TO THE HOSPITAL LAST NIGHT.", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00009-00000697-00000704": "ROSEAU SENT SEVERAL CHILDREN TO THE HOSPITAL LAST NIGHT.", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00010-00000704-00000897": "ROSEAU SENT SEVERAL CHILDREN TO THE HOSPITAL LAST NIGHT. THE CHILDREN WERE TREATED AND", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00011-00000897-00000904": "THE HOSPITAL LAST NIGHT. THE CHILDREN WERE TREATED AND", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00012-00000904-00001081": "THE HOSPITAL LAST NIGHT. THE CHILDREN WERE TREATED AND RELEASED FOR UNKNOWN INJURIES.", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00013-00001081-00001087": "THE CHILDREN WERE TREATED AND RELEASED FOR UNKNOWN INJURIES.", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00014-00001087-00001274": "THE CHILDREN WERE TREATED AND RELEASED FOR UNKNOWN INJURIES. THE CRASH HAPPENED AROUND 3:30", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00015-00001274-00001281": "RELEASED FOR UNKNOWN INJURIES. THE CRASH HAPPENED AROUND 3:30", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00016-00001281-00001421": "RELEASED FOR UNKNOWN INJURIES. THE CRASH HAPPENED AROUND 3:30 ABOUT THREE MILES EAST OF ROSEAU", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00017-00001421-00001428": "THE CRASH HAPPENED AROUND 3:30 ABOUT THREE MILES EAST OF ROSEAU", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00018-00001428-00001551": "THE CRASH HAPPENED AROUND 3:30 ABOUT THREE MILES EAST OF ROSEAU ON HIGHWAY 11.", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00019-00001551-00001558": "ABOUT THREE MILES EAST OF ROSEAU ON HIGHWAY 11.", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00020-00001558-00001698": "ABOUT THREE MILES EAST OF ROSEAU ON HIGHWAY 11. THE ROSEAU COUNTY SHERIFF'S", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00021-00001698-00001705": "ON HIGHWAY 11. THE ROSEAU COUNTY SHERIFF'S", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00022-00001705-00001871": "ON HIGHWAY 11. THE ROSEAU COUNTY SHERIFF'S OFFICE SAYS A VEHICLE DRIVEN BY", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00023-00001871-00001878": "THE ROSEAU COUNTY SHERIFF'S OFFICE SAYS A VEHICLE DRIVEN BY", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00024-00001878-00002005": "THE ROSEAU COUNTY SHERIFF'S OFFICE SAYS A VEHICLE DRIVEN BY GARRETT RASMUSSEN OF WARROAD", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00025-00002005-00002012": "OFFICE SAYS A VEHICLE DRIVEN BY GARRETT RASMUSSEN OF WARROAD", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00026-00002012-00002125": "OFFICE SAYS A VEHICLE DRIVEN BY GARRETT RASMUSSEN OF WARROAD REAR-ENDED THE BUS.", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00027-00002125-00002132": "GARRETT RASMUSSEN OF WARROAD REAR-ENDED THE BUS.", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00028-00002132-00002275": "GARRETT RASMUSSEN OF WARROAD REAR-ENDED THE BUS. RASMUSSEN WAS ALSO TAKEN TO", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00029-00002275-00002282": "REAR-ENDED THE BUS. RASMUSSEN WAS ALSO TAKEN TO", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00030-00002282-00002459": "REAR-ENDED THE BUS. RASMUSSEN WAS ALSO TAKEN TO LIFECARE MEDICAL CENTER IN", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00031-00002459-00002465": "RASMUSSEN WAS ALSO TAKEN TO LIFECARE MEDICAL CENTER IN", "lOGC5wA1T6c-00032-00002465-00002519": "RASMUSSEN WAS ALSO TAKEN TO LIFECARE MEDICAL CENTER IN ROSEAU WHERE HE WAS TREATED AND"}}, {"audio_id": "lP2qAbI438g", "text": {"lP2qAbI438g-00000-00000000-00006200": "🌟 🇺🇸 Lady Bug 🐞 Costume for Girls — Shop GrandStart.ru 🌟"}}, {"audio_id": "lP9D5BXviMY", "text": {"lP9D5BXviMY-00000-00000000-00004000": "ARIES 2020 FORECAST EXPECT FIRE WORKS | ALL BLOCKS ARE BEING REMOVED", "lP9D5BXviMY-00001-00004548-00005405": "welcome Happy New Year you Aries this is the energy vibration for the year well", "lP9D5BXviMY-00002-00005405-00005869": "for the year 2020 I want to say thank you for being here thank you for being", "lP9D5BXviMY-00003-00005869-00006597": "back thank you for supporting my channel and this year is the air of an air air", "lP9D5BXviMY-00004-00006597-00007200": "energy and you guys are fires so be aware of that", "lP9D5BXviMY-00005-00007200-00007993": "okay so let's go in it's a year of new beginnings okay so let's go and see what", "lP9D5BXviMY-00006-00007993-00008569": "is coming out for you Aries okay so in the month of January I", "lP9D5BXviMY-00007-00008569-00008911": "see you overcome an issue I see you're moving forward", "lP9D5BXviMY-00008-00008911-00009334": "I'm moving forward in a positive direction so this is good you have your", "lP9D5BXviMY-00009-00009334-00009789": "own fire energy that is coming out some of you could be buying new cars or some", "lP9D5BXviMY-00010-00009789-00010369": "of you could be overcome in situation that was transpired but I see that you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00011-00010369-00011074": "are moving forward in January so a lovely fire energy that comes up in", "lP9D5BXviMY-00012-00011074-00011503": "February the energy of the magician this is the energy of any air energy this is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00013-00011503-00012139": "giving you an opening of doors of opportunity", "lP9D5BXviMY-00014-00012139-00012709": "some of you were right about something in February if you're trying to do make", "lP9D5BXviMY-00015-00012709-00013162": "changes in your life January and February is going to be good okay so you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00016-00013162-00013669": "have fire in here beginning the year in a month of March I see the energy of the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00017-00013669-00014013": "tower whatever the issue in situation you were dealing with or you are going", "lP9D5BXviMY-00018-00014013-00014428": "to be dealing with in March I see a tower moment come in where something is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00019-00014428-00014881": "leap in your life so this is another fire energy and this is this could", "lP9D5BXviMY-00020-00014881-00015507": "affect a lot of you because it is all about the ending of issues and situation", "lP9D5BXviMY-00021-00015507-00016036": "balance is going to be coming back in your life the energy of the tower is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00022-00016036-00016704": "fire and it's moving away things and situation that no longer serves you so", "lP9D5BXviMY-00023-00016704-00017488": "this is wonderful because the first quarter from January till February we", "lP9D5BXviMY-00024-00017488-00017870": "have you begin the year with a fire where you're moving for", "lP9D5BXviMY-00025-00017870-00018423": "where you have this fire within you you overcome things moving forward and then", "lP9D5BXviMY-00026-00018423-00019004": "you're going to be receiving help and whatever that was in your way that was", "lP9D5BXviMY-00027-00019004-00019531": "blocking you automatically it's going to be moving out of your way as we look at", "lP9D5BXviMY-00028-00019531-00020156": "the second portal we have in the month of April the hangman this is a water", "lP9D5BXviMY-00029-00020156-00020864": "energy where you're going within the hangman is always a self searching self", "lP9D5BXviMY-00030-00020864-00021311": "searching so whatever is transpiring I see you cell searching in the month of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00031-00021311-00021770": "April and whenever we go within we're trying to figure out we're trying to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00032-00021770-00022367": "take time to balance out situations in our lives so another water energy comes", "lP9D5BXviMY-00033-00022367-00022814": "up in the month of May so light is going to be shed on something whatever that", "lP9D5BXviMY-00034-00022814-00023245": "was during sparring you're going to be finding out by going in with in in the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00035-00023245-00023684": "month of April you're going to be seeing the truth about the situation whatever", "lP9D5BXviMY-00036-00023684-00024125": "that was happening in Turin spine the truth is going to come out because I see", "lP9D5BXviMY-00037-00024125-00024866": "that you went within to to look at yourself and look at situation around", "lP9D5BXviMY-00038-00024866-00025562": "you and you're coming out seeing the truth in the month of May as we move", "lP9D5BXviMY-00039-00025562-00026104": "forward the energy of the Sun is in June a wonderful situation because it's as if", "lP9D5BXviMY-00040-00026104-00026558": "you went and you did serve a self searching you saw the truth you make the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00041-00026558-00027200": "changes and you're coming out on top okay it is not a success it is more", "lP9D5BXviMY-00042-00027200-00027566": "awful balancing out your energy understanding", "lP9D5BXviMY-00043-00027566-00028226": "yourself this is not the Sun energy is not a matter of success it is seen with", "lP9D5BXviMY-00044-00028226-00028813": "the hangman and the hermit is that you go within in search of the truth in", "lP9D5BXviMY-00045-00028813-00029419": "yourself and you come out finding it so the first six months in January and", "lP9D5BXviMY-00046-00029419-00030038": "January February and June is going to be wonderful for you a January is fire that", "lP9D5BXviMY-00047-00030038-00030737": "is helping you to move forward February is the magician which is an air energy", "lP9D5BXviMY-00048-00030737-00031520": "that is helping you to build on whatever it is that you want to change and June", "lP9D5BXviMY-00049-00031520-00032072": "is the energy of the Sun as we move forward July is the energy of the lover", "lP9D5BXviMY-00050-00032072-00032497": "so whatever it's to inspire some of you could be getting married in July or you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00051-00032497-00032939": "could be meeting your twin flame or soulmate whatever and however this is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00052-00032939-00033488": "coming up for you it is very important it's another water sign so it's a third", "lP9D5BXviMY-00053-00033488-00033944": "water sign that you have that is coming up and whatever is happening in July", "lP9D5BXviMY-00054-00033944-00034303": "some of you could be getting married some of you could be meeting twin flame", "lP9D5BXviMY-00055-00034303-00035108": "soulmate except in the month of August a lot of Secrets", "lP9D5BXviMY-00056-00035108-00035620": "this is the energy of the Moon the energy of the Moon have secrets see", "lP9D5BXviMY-00057-00035620-00036095": "around you in the month of August so be aware of this there's a lot of secrecy", "lP9D5BXviMY-00058-00036095-00036565": "around you in the month of August whatever is happening and transpired be", "lP9D5BXviMY-00059-00036565-00037214": "aware of the situations around you the energy of the Tower comes up in the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00060-00037214-00037741": "month of September so I see the eagle coming up in September it's a fire", "lP9D5BXviMY-00061-00037741-00038231": "energy whatever is happening insurance for in this fire energy however you're", "lP9D5BXviMY-00062-00038231-00038728": "going to be using it I see there it could be secrecy with partnerships of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00063-00038728-00039464": "secrecy that is going on around you with people around you so the Ego is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00064-00039464-00040187": "playing and whatever that is transpired with this energy of the Ego I see some", "lP9D5BXviMY-00065-00040187-00040655": "of you are going to be realizing that your partners have some secrets and", "lP9D5BXviMY-00066-00040655-00041180": "holds some secrets okay the end of the cycle is coming up in the month of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00067-00041180-00041834": "October the end of the cycle and this is good because whatever the secrecy", "lP9D5BXviMY-00068-00041834-00042431": "whatever that was happening in your relationship whatever that you started", "lP9D5BXviMY-00069-00042431-00042988": "here with or you have brought over in the year 2020 I see a cycle the end of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00070-00042988-00043468": "the cycle is coming in and this is very good because it's bringing in elin okay", "lP9D5BXviMY-00071-00043468-00043909": "and this is wonderful when it said I'm bringing in healing", "lP9D5BXviMY-00072-00043909-00044359": "I see transition is coming up so the end is going to come to all the secret", "lP9D5BXviMY-00073-00044359-00044769": "because I see all the secrets are coming out transition is definitely coming up", "lP9D5BXviMY-00074-00044769-00045313": "this energy of the transition is showing up because whatever the cycle is that", "lP9D5BXviMY-00075-00045313-00045741": "was broken a new beginning is about to begin", "lP9D5BXviMY-00076-00045741-00046309": "and this is going to be going on in the month of December that I princess comes", "lP9D5BXviMY-00077-00046309-00047044": "up the energy of this year has to do with the I princess and the fool now the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00078-00047044-00047662": "energy of the I princess is the divine female that is coming in to help and the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00079-00047662-00048424": "divine female is going to be coming up in the month of December 2020 so this is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00080-00048424-00048966": "really good wonderful this is really positive because you're ending the year", "lP9D5BXviMY-00081-00048966-00049681": "with the divine female it's a lot of emotional situation in this year for you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00082-00049681-00050224": "Aries be aware of this but at the end of this year you guys are really going to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00083-00050224-00050847": "be having a new start okay so whatever that has happened and transpired I see", "lP9D5BXviMY-00084-00050847-00051813": "you coming out and there is going to be so much new possibilities after the year", "lP9D5BXviMY-00085-00051813-00052519": "2024 you Ares remember that this year is the is an year where there's a lot of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00086-00052519-00053754": "air images okay so Wow okay Wow so so remember whatever is happening in", "lP9D5BXviMY-00087-00053754-00054310": "transpired and this year is a lot of air images that is happening insurance fine", "lP9D5BXviMY-00088-00054310-00054904": "so what I'm seeing happening is some of you are going to be seen some of you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00089-00054904-00055423": "you could have car issue in January you're seeing the truth there was some", "lP9D5BXviMY-00090-00055423-00055882": "deceptiveness around your car so be aware of that what we're also seeing is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00091-00055882-00056355": "that at our moment is coming down and you're seeing the truth about your", "lP9D5BXviMY-00092-00056355-00056779": "partner whatever and however that is affecting your I see", "lP9D5BXviMY-00093-00056779-00057180": "transition is going to be coming up between you and your part now whatever", "lP9D5BXviMY-00094-00057180-00057628": "lower images and things that was blocking Hill I see at our moment coming", "lP9D5BXviMY-00095-00057628-00058186": "up this year is not a year of success for you guys it's a year of moving away", "lP9D5BXviMY-00096-00058186-00060136": "okay so let's see what is coming out in the first month going in January going", "lP9D5BXviMY-00097-00060136-00060704": "in February so January going in February I see the energy of at our moment so", "lP9D5BXviMY-00098-00060704-00061216": "this is good because whatever you are dealing with as you move out of January", "lP9D5BXviMY-00099-00061216-00061636": "into February I tell a moment came in release you from", "lP9D5BXviMY-00100-00061636-00062152": "something and I see a new start is going to be coming out because the energy of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00101-00062152-00062700": "the magician is here so you have twice the tower energy and the tower energy is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00102-00062700-00063364": "seven and sixteen that is coming up for you that is two of your numbers I see a", "lP9D5BXviMY-00103-00063364-00064123": "situation would work whatever is there will work I see in March if you had a", "lP9D5BXviMY-00104-00064123-00064854": "job this could be leaving your life okay so whatever that is happening with you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00105-00064854-00065371": "and work if you had a job in March if it's going to be leap in your life okay", "lP9D5BXviMY-00106-00065371-00066034": "so you have ended a cycle with that that situation those people because there's a", "lP9D5BXviMY-00107-00066034-00066601": "towel moment coming down towards your work so whatever you were doing I see a", "lP9D5BXviMY-00108-00066601-00067158": "total moment coming down towards your work I see new love is coming in in", "lP9D5BXviMY-00109-00067158-00067741": "April going in May I see new love so I see that some of you could be pregnant", "lP9D5BXviMY-00110-00067741-00068575": "you could be having the baby in yeah you could be having the baby in April going", "lP9D5BXviMY-00111-00068575-00069148": "in May whatever is to inspire I see you could be having the baby in April going", "lP9D5BXviMY-00112-00069148-00069841": "in me so it's definitely a baby that is coming in and I see it could be", "lP9D5BXviMY-00113-00069841-00070272": "happening in May then we see the end two burdens", "lP9D5BXviMY-00114-00070272-00070837": "your burdens is going to be over in May going in June whatever the issue is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00115-00070837-00071493": "whatever the situation is in May going into June I see your burdens is going to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00116-00071493-00072030": "be over so this is going to be good okay your virtus is definitely going to be", "lP9D5BXviMY-00117-00072030-00072651": "over now what is that lit and transparent is that as we look at July", "lP9D5BXviMY-00118-00072651-00073101": "going into August I see the energy of the eight of Wands I see a lot of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00119-00073101-00073579": "communication between you and your partner whatever that was there whatever", "lP9D5BXviMY-00120-00073579-00074080": "that was happening I see a lot of communication coming in between you and", "lP9D5BXviMY-00121-00074080-00074706": "maybe a new lover that is coming in in the month of July August so some of you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00122-00074706-00075154": "could be going on vacation but however you are meeting someone new and I see a", "lP9D5BXviMY-00123-00075154-00075675": "lot of communication coming up between you and this person", "lP9D5BXviMY-00124-00075675-00076318": "as we look at August going into September I see the energy of the ten of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00125-00076318-00076776": "Pentacles but I see there is some deceptiveness coming with this money", "lP9D5BXviMY-00126-00076776-00077483": "whatever and however this money is coming I see lives and deceptiveness", "lP9D5BXviMY-00127-00077535-00078079": "with this money because the energy of the ego is with this money so however", "lP9D5BXviMY-00128-00078079-00078691": "this money is coming in I see secrecy around some money secrecy and where own", "lP9D5BXviMY-00129-00078691-00079820": "some money and the energy and a lot secrecy around some money but it's like", "lP9D5BXviMY-00130-00079820-00080566": "some of you if you there is something there's some secrecy around some money", "lP9D5BXviMY-00131-00080566-00080980": "whatever is happening and transpiring there's definitely some secrecy around", "lP9D5BXviMY-00132-00080980-00082062": "some money a whole lot of money when you leave when you leave the month of August", "lP9D5BXviMY-00133-00082062-00082723": "going in September so there is in September the energy so if a lot of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00134-00082723-00083244": "money was stolen from you I see it is returning because there was some secret", "lP9D5BXviMY-00135-00083244-00083775": "secretly around some money and I see this is returning because it was as if", "lP9D5BXviMY-00136-00083775-00084381": "it was taken from you and now it's being returned yeah I see the energy of the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00137-00084381-00084837": "Empress so this is good whatever that is transpiring I see a", "lP9D5BXviMY-00138-00084837-00085445": "situation where um this the cycle with a situation the cycle with your mom the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00139-00085445-00085935": "cycle with your grandmother but this has to do with your financial situation so", "lP9D5BXviMY-00140-00085935-00086489": "there's a cycle been broken so this could be if you were blocked if you're", "lP9D5BXviMY-00141-00086489-00087013": "financially if you were financially blocked I see that this is going to be", "lP9D5BXviMY-00142-00087013-00087735": "resolved okay so that is good the energy of the magician comes up again so you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00143-00087735-00088467": "guys are dealing with one seven and sixteen one seven sixteen and ten one", "lP9D5BXviMY-00144-00088467-00089106": "seven sixteen and tango what is transpiring here is that a magician is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00145-00089106-00089594": "coming up so as something is transforming in your life and this could", "lP9D5BXviMY-00146-00089594-00090131": "be very spiritually whatever it is and whatever is transpiring this is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00147-00090131-00090650": "extremely spiritually because it comes up with the energy of transformation and", "lP9D5BXviMY-00148-00090650-00091197": "I princess so whatever has happened whatever s transpired the energy of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00149-00091197-00091733": "transition with the I princess is here and it is very beautiful because", "lP9D5BXviMY-00150-00091733-00092144": "whatever that is happening in transpiring I'm seeing positive", "lP9D5BXviMY-00151-00092144-00092906": "alignment of energies is coming out so that is good so let's move all the tower", "lP9D5BXviMY-00152-00092906-00093597": "moment is something is leaving your life in January February April and made ok", "lP9D5BXviMY-00153-00093597-00094043": "whatever is transpiring I see for some of you could be in January some of you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00154-00094043-00094461": "it could be February some of you it could be April some of you could be made", "lP9D5BXviMY-00155-00094461-00095229": "but babies are going to be born for you guys in the month of lot in the month of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00156-00095229-00095868": "April and May then we see something live in your life in a month of March", "lP9D5BXviMY-00157-00095868-00096340": "okay so that's I see work is going to be good for some", "lP9D5BXviMY-00158-00096340-00096919": "of you in February I see some of you seen the truth about your work and I see", "lP9D5BXviMY-00159-00096919-00097564": "that some issues with work is going to be cleared up and I see the burden is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00160-00097564-00097996": "going to be over all right let's see what it's coming up for January for the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00161-00097996-00098812": "area set the area for January 22 20 January till December 2020 for the Ares", "lP9D5BXviMY-00162-00098812-00099334": "ok in January I see multiple opportunities coming in so whatever that", "lP9D5BXviMY-00163-00099334-00099844": "was happening and transpire in January I see multiple opportunities is going to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00164-00099844-00100333": "be coming in if you guys are looking for a car January is going to be good", "lP9D5BXviMY-00165-00100333-00100819": "because I see you're going to be having to choose from a lot ok", "lP9D5BXviMY-00166-00100819-00101368": "I see you're overcome a situation with a Gemini whoever this Gemini is or you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00167-00101368-00101854": "overcome a situation that was transpiring with a man this could be", "lP9D5BXviMY-00168-00101854-00102373": "someone who have affected you in your work life or in your private life but I", "lP9D5BXviMY-00169-00102373-00102943": "see you have the tools to overcome a situation with a man that has affected", "lP9D5BXviMY-00170-00102943-00103405": "you ok so however that is coming up definitely", "lP9D5BXviMY-00171-00103405-00104404": "I see you resolve in that situation with that person ok so in the month of March", "lP9D5BXviMY-00172-00104404-00105100": "I see something leaving your life but it's as if your spirit guides remove it", "lP9D5BXviMY-00173-00105100-00105799": "ok whenever the star comes up with a tower is like fireworks it can be good", "lP9D5BXviMY-00174-00105799-00106282": "it can have something to do with your work if you work for yourself but", "lP9D5BXviMY-00175-00106282-00106954": "fireworks as if something really is leaving your life and it is creating", "lP9D5BXviMY-00176-00106954-00107521": "fireworks because it is as if it's broken something is being broken and", "lP9D5BXviMY-00177-00107521-00108106": "this is coming up and some of you had some blockages in your life ok", "lP9D5BXviMY-00178-00108106-00108706": "that's how blockages is removed so if you you were blocked by someone who", "lP9D5BXviMY-00179-00108706-00109085": "blocks your finance who blocked your way and that's", "lP9D5BXviMY-00180-00109085-00109655": "of a thing if so it says the angels and guides is coming in and just extreme", "lP9D5BXviMY-00181-00109655-00110196": "with extrem power because these are the angels and guides that is coming in with", "lP9D5BXviMY-00182-00110196-00110708": "extreme power to remove that blockages out of your life and this is going to be", "lP9D5BXviMY-00183-00110708-00111410": "extremely good because this is a move to the universal angels and guides moves", "lP9D5BXviMY-00184-00111410-00112017": "that blockage then we have some secrets you're going to be going within will be", "lP9D5BXviMY-00185-00112017-00112452": "a meditation however you go within and connect with yourself you are going to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00186-00112452-00112965": "be finding out something that you weren't aware of so be aware of this in", "lP9D5BXviMY-00187-00112965-00113415": "the month of April and that is good because it's something about yourself", "lP9D5BXviMY-00188-00113415-00114004": "you're seeing where the blockage is in your life who at place these blockage um", "lP9D5BXviMY-00189-00114004-00114530": "some of you are going to be seen why you were blocked from work some of you are", "lP9D5BXviMY-00190-00114530-00115032": "going to the tower moment is there that is going to be removing the blocks and", "lP9D5BXviMY-00191-00115032-00115632": "you are seeing it clearly because it fell on the Sun so that means whatever", "lP9D5BXviMY-00192-00115632-00116229": "the blockage was it is going to be removal I see an end coming in but is a", "lP9D5BXviMY-00193-00116229-00116904": "positive end this hand had to be done this end in must happen so that you can", "lP9D5BXviMY-00194-00116904-00117434": "move forward okay whatever the end end that is coming in June it needs to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00195-00117434-00118061": "happen so that you can move forward okay so the energy with the lovers I see", "lP9D5BXviMY-00196-00118061-00118488": "conflicts with the lovers whatever is transpiring I see people who are already", "lP9D5BXviMY-00197-00118488-00119133": "married there's a lot of conflicts okay so expect up this year with marriages", "lP9D5BXviMY-00198-00119133-00119751": "conflicts is going to be there between you and your partner okay so whatever is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00199-00119751-00120078": "transpiring people who are already married there's gonna be a lot of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00200-00120078-00120594": "conflicts people are going to be getting married and I see a long term stability", "lP9D5BXviMY-00201-00120594-00121289": "for those people I see some good news coming in there was some secrets and", "lP9D5BXviMY-00202-00121289-00121829": "organization and I see some good news is going to be coming in I see the offer of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00203-00121829-00122604": "an apology is coming in I see this information coming in also so this is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00204-00122604-00123267": "good because whatever it is in the month of August there was some secrecy in an", "lP9D5BXviMY-00205-00123267-00123795": "organization and whatever the secrecy was in an organization it's all coming", "lP9D5BXviMY-00206-00123795-00124548": "out now I see the end to the energy of the Eagle that is coming up in September", "lP9D5BXviMY-00207-00124548-00124974": "and end to the energy of the ego and this is good because what is transpiring", "lP9D5BXviMY-00208-00124974-00125532": "is that whatever the issue in the situation is I see a end coming up to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00209-00125532-00126083": "this ego okay and definitely in August going into", "lP9D5BXviMY-00210-00126083-00127034": "September I see that an organization is going to have to pay you some money some", "lP9D5BXviMY-00211-00127034-00127979": "of you for a deceptive situation I see love coming at you this is good because", "lP9D5BXviMY-00212-00127979-00128705": "it's as if an cycle is broken some of you could be divorce in a cycle has", "lP9D5BXviMY-00213-00128705-00129230": "broken because there was some conflicts but then in the month of October I see", "lP9D5BXviMY-00214-00129230-00129822": "love coming in where the energy of an infinity love is going to be coming in", "lP9D5BXviMY-00215-00129822-00130599": "to you in the month of October infinity love okay because it's the world with", "lP9D5BXviMY-00216-00130599-00131445": "the energy of love oh no transition I see transition with friendship coming", "lP9D5BXviMY-00217-00131445-00132000": "up a whole lot of you transition with friendship transition with your", "lP9D5BXviMY-00218-00132000-00132612": "financial stability transition with money I see that in November if you have", "lP9D5BXviMY-00219-00132612-00133089": "a business this is going to be very good but I see transition with your business", "lP9D5BXviMY-00220-00133089-00133590": "transition with information transition and communicator and with friendship and", "lP9D5BXviMY-00221-00133590-00134301": "that sort of a thing is Adnan so that is something that we need to look out for", "lP9D5BXviMY-00222-00134301-00134934": "okay the energy of the eye princess is here and I see long-term stability that", "lP9D5BXviMY-00223-00134934-00135628": "is coming in so in December as said December you end a cypher in your", "lP9D5BXviMY-00224-00135628-00136234": "life I see a new beginning coming in for 2020 for you because you have the energy", "lP9D5BXviMY-00225-00136234-00136807": "of a new start in this year just like the energy vibration of the year", "lP9D5BXviMY-00226-00136807-00137755": "I see long term stability is coming in with especially for you know you is as", "lP9D5BXviMY-00227-00137755-00138499": "if you found spirituality and this is going to be what you're going to be", "lP9D5BXviMY-00228-00138499-00139110": "working with going forward so whatever is transpiring is as if you have found", "lP9D5BXviMY-00229-00139110-00139692": "spirituality and by finding for spirituality you're going to be working", "lP9D5BXviMY-00230-00139692-00140140": "with this going forward some of you if you have found new love", "lP9D5BXviMY-00231-00140140-00140725": "in the month of October I see this person it's not only become going to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00232-00140725-00141304": "become I love and a friend but I see this having a long-term stability in", "lP9D5BXviMY-00233-00141304-00142180": "your life okay so I see whether you meet and what whatever new love come in your", "lP9D5BXviMY-00234-00142180-00142753": "life it's eternity and this person is going to be in your law your life for a", "lP9D5BXviMY-00235-00142753-00143326": "very very long time okay so that is beautiful and I see you and this person", "lP9D5BXviMY-00236-00143326-00143926": "is going to be working together to build financial stability and build a good", "lP9D5BXviMY-00237-00143926-00144493": "foundation in your life this is really a positive let's go ahead and look at the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00238-00144493-00145075": "energy for the animal totem to see which animals are coming out for you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00239-00145075-00145735": "Aries Leo the Aries I always say inversely as the Aries for the year 2020", "lP9D5BXviMY-00240-00145735-00146635": "but two animals are coming up to work with two animals they're coming up to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00241-00146635-00147775": "work okay to animals so we have the auto and the auto is here and this is just so", "lP9D5BXviMY-00242-00147775-00148554": "powerful the utter is really really really a powerful sign", "lP9D5BXviMY-00243-00148735-00149497": "this energy comes out and the author is really one of those just such a", "lP9D5BXviMY-00244-00149497-00150382": "fantastic animal that you can find okay the utter is incredible it's just one of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00245-00150382-00150952": "those beautiful animal and alone you guys have the otter and the lamb and I", "lP9D5BXviMY-00246-00150952-00151423": "can see the energy of the lamb because that's coming in the third quartile okay", "lP9D5BXviMY-00247-00151423-00152052": "so let me give you your your best month your best months is going to be January", "lP9D5BXviMY-00248-00152052-00152863": "June July and October okay so January June and July and", "lP9D5BXviMY-00249-00152863-00153289": "October or your best month now the energy of the lamb is so mean the author", "lP9D5BXviMY-00250-00153289-00154191": "and the lamb is so make the lamb is an earth and Otto so what if what is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00251-00154191-00155146": "transpiring with the energy of the hotel the altar is really quiet really just", "lP9D5BXviMY-00252-00155146-00156042": "keeping to itself and it's kind of where that Otto is a water animal okay so the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00253-00156042-00156538": "altar is a water animal so you have water in hurt animal that is coming in", "lP9D5BXviMY-00254-00156538-00157372": "to help you balance out your situation okay so the altar is very very powerful", "lP9D5BXviMY-00255-00157372-00158035": "because it is very common this Otto and it just stayed by itself and work of the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00256-00158035-00158509": "altar is a water anymore so I see you have a water animal that is going to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00257-00158509-00158950": "help because you're a fire person so you're going to receive this energy of", "lP9D5BXviMY-00258-00158950-00159382": "this water animal that is going to be helping you to push you further and it's", "lP9D5BXviMY-00259-00159382-00159826": "like you're taking your time but you're working on yourself and you're preparing", "lP9D5BXviMY-00260-00159826-00160467": "for the for a new start okay and the energy from the lamb the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00261-00160467-00161122": "energy from the lamb is an earth day the animal the is is hurt okay energy from", "lP9D5BXviMY-00262-00161122-00161490": "the lamb is the hurt side and what is happening", "lP9D5BXviMY-00263-00161490-00162030": "is that with this hurt sign you are seen that you're taking on the energy of the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00264-00162030-00162417": "Lamb and as you take on the energy of the Lamb what is happening is that", "lP9D5BXviMY-00265-00162417-00162930": "you're me you're finding inner peace and you're being a weak and that is what the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00266-00162930-00163587": "energy in octal in April and May is where you're finding in a piece to deal", "lP9D5BXviMY-00267-00163587-00164019": "with issues and situation and this is very good okay", "lP9D5BXviMY-00268-00164019-00164523": "so wonderful all right let's see what is the energy that is coming up for you", "lP9D5BXviMY-00269-00164523-00165195": "guys in the year 2020 the energy is action so whatever is transpiring the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00270-00165195-00165680": "energy is action so I see a lot of you guys taken a lot of action in this year", "lP9D5BXviMY-00271-00165680-00166041": "and this is going to be good because it's going to be coming out very", "lP9D5BXviMY-00272-00166041-00166557": "positive for you a lot of actions it's going to be taken but this action is", "lP9D5BXviMY-00273-00166557-00167412": "going to be in a positive way then I see simply love so a lot of you are going to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00274-00167412-00167883": "be going back to basis and understand what it's all about what is love what it", "lP9D5BXviMY-00275-00167883-00168510": "is loving myself well what it is understanding what is love how do I know", "lP9D5BXviMY-00276-00168510-00169002": "how many different types of love there is love for my child first love for", "lP9D5BXviMY-00277-00169002-00169671": "myself love for my parents love for my siblings love for my family on a whole", "lP9D5BXviMY-00278-00169671-00170172": "but then you know loving yourself is going to be the first thing so I see", "lP9D5BXviMY-00279-00170172-00170838": "you're going back to think about all these love and how you you focus on this", "lP9D5BXviMY-00280-00170838-00171291": "love because you're gonna realize that not love in your city it's not all about", "lP9D5BXviMY-00281-00171291-00171861": "loving yourself but it's about loving other people too so it's as if you're", "lP9D5BXviMY-00282-00171861-00172404": "going back to understand the different levels of love and how that works in", "lP9D5BXviMY-00283-00172404-00173058": "your life then we have Archangel Raziel and we have hurt so you have Archangel", "lP9D5BXviMY-00284-00173058-00173490": "Raziel coming in with the earth energy that is going to be balancing you out", "lP9D5BXviMY-00285-00173490-00173855": "and this is going to be wonderful and positive because what is happening and", "lP9D5BXviMY-00286-00173855-00174432": "transpiring is that this earth energy is balanced you out because you are", "lP9D5BXviMY-00287-00174432-00174970": "vibrating in a year that is air okay you're vibrating", "lP9D5BXviMY-00288-00174970-00175546": "in a year that's his hair and what has happened and transpired is that this", "lP9D5BXviMY-00289-00175546-00176275": "energy of hair you could be like up in the sky because air and fire so what it", "lP9D5BXviMY-00290-00176275-00176839": "is is that Archangel Raziel is coming in and is using the energy of her to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00291-00176839-00177412": "balance you guys out okay so um this is wonderful I want to say", "lP9D5BXviMY-00292-00177412-00178060": "thank you please remember to connect to my channel and become a member in order", "lP9D5BXviMY-00293-00178060-00178609": "to receive these a year reading and these extended reading you have to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00294-00178609-00179229": "connect and become a member to my channel and then you'll be able to", "lP9D5BXviMY-00295-00179229-00179986": "access the extended reading you have to use the super extended membership in", "lP9D5BXviMY-00296-00179986-00180601": "order to get the extended of this year reading and the court of readings ok the", "lP9D5BXviMY-00297-00180601-00181120": "monkey readings or in the first extended I want to say thank you so much and wish", "lP9D5BXviMY-00298-00181120-00181604": "you a wonderful year nameste until next time", "lP9D5BXviMY-00299-00181815-00182021": "you"}}, {"audio_id": "lPmCuA1PFoo", "text": {"lPmCuA1PFoo-00000-00001096-00001642": "[JL:] My name is Josef Löffl, I am a Professor at the Ostwestfalen-Lippe University of Applied", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00001-00001642-00002111": "Sciences and Head of the Institute for Science Dialog here.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00002-00002111-00002734": "I deal with the topics of Industry 4.0 and the digital revolution, especially in the", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00003-00002734-00003272": "context of a Master's Degree program called Applied Entrepreneurship.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00004-00003272-00004173": "This course allows students to study their own start-up and innovation project.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00005-00004173-00004479": "This course of study also focuses on ways of thinking about the digital revolution,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00006-00004479-00005051": "and there is a topic area that I think is ground-breaking for the question:", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00007-00005051-00005487": "‘What competencies do people need in the 21st century in order to be able to lead successful", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00008-00005487-00005930": "and happy lives under the framework conditions of a system architecture that is undergoing", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00009-00005930-00006030": "revolutionary change?’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00010-00006030-00006458": "[00:00:56] We can best describe this new world with an", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00011-00006458-00007013": "acronym called VUKA which stands for 'volatility', 'uncertainty', 'complexity' and 'ambiguity'.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00012-00007013-00007590": "Of course, you can say the world has always been VUKA in some way,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00013-00007590-00008090": "but the dynamics behind the development we are currently experiencing have no precedent", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00014-00008090-00008190": "in history.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00015-00008190-00008431": "Innovation cycles are getting shorter and shorter, product life cycles are getting shorter", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00016-00008431-00008651": "and shorter, and of course that changes the question:", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00017-00008651-00009431": "‘what do we actually have to be able to do in the future in order to be successful", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00018-00009431-00010636": "in a world that is changing in a way that it probably hasn't in the last twelve thousand", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00019-00010636-00010736": "years?’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00020-00010736-00010963": "[00:01:40] Ultimately, the evolution of the world's system", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00021-00010963-00011118": "architecture can be divided into three levels.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00022-00011118-00011585": "Sometime 1.4 million years ago, man started to use fire and then it was clear that Homo", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00023-00011585-00011895": "Sapiens are the dominant species on this planet.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00024-00011895-00012358": "Twelve thousand years ago, after living very dynamically, very agilely, with all the things", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00025-00012358-00012633": "that we are reclaiming today, man started to become sedentary.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00026-00012633-00012736": "We don't know why.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00027-00012736-00013226": "And within this framework, all the ways of thinking that move us today came into being.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00028-00013226-00013526": "Politics, religion, military, economics, and even thinking in systems like a State.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00029-00013526-00013922": "And the last twelve thousand years, those systems have been evolving.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00030-00013922-00014310": "[00:02:24] And now we have entered a stage where everyone", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00031-00014310-00014753": "is networked with everyone, everything with everything, and everyone with everything.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00032-00014753-00014994": "And there is no past experience value for that.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00033-00014994-00015672": "For we humans, this is a very big challenge, because a lot of what we do happens on experiential", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00034-00015672-00015772": "knowledge.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00035-00015772-00016085": "And now, if yesterday's experience value has relatively little relevance for tomorrow,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00036-00016085-00016213": "then that raises questions.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00037-00016213-00016840": "And one of those key questions associated with that is ‘What do I need to learn today,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00038-00016840-00017648": "or what can I actually learn so that I can really have a successful professional life", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00039-00017648-00017950": "in the next twenty or thirty years?’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00040-00017950-00018228": "[00:03:14] In the past, there were terms such as: someone", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00041-00018228-00018328": "has \"learned enough\".", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00042-00018328-00018854": "Of course, this term is in clear contradiction to what is ultimately there today as a demand", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00043-00018854-00018954": "chain.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00044-00018954-00019610": "A decisive attribute that can and must be attached to the skills of the future is this", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00045-00019610-00019710": "attribute of dynamism and robustness.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00046-00019710-00020221": "It is relatively difficult to predict what is in store for us.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00047-00020221-00020995": "This has a lot to do with the topic of digitization.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00048-00020995-00021800": "We all think that technologies such as AI and Big Data will help us to derive the future", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00049-00021800-00022315": "from what already exists, based on numbers.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00050-00022315-00023454": "What we forget is that digitization itself is massively changing the architecture of", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00051-00023454-00023676": "the society we live in.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00052-00023676-00024443": "And thus, also the prediction of the future, everything that is to come, actually leads", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00053-00024443-00024544": "ad absurdum.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00054-00024544-00025380": "So, we live in very deceptive security and the crucial thing is what we have to learn:", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00055-00025380-00026014": "to be able to react relatively agilely and dynamically robustly to things that can arise", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00056-00026014-00026158": "out of nowhere.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00057-00026158-00026569": "And that, of course, begs the question: ‘How can we learn to respond spontaneously to things", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00058-00026569-00026669": "that are unpredictable?’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00059-00026669-00026964": "[00:04:32] The most important thing here is that you", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00060-00026964-00027402": "are very closely involved with practical problems in organizations, in companies.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00061-00027402-00028264": "This means, that academic studies and professional experience merge into a single unit in which", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00062-00028264-00028694": "topics, current topics from the profession or from companies, from institutions, are", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00063-00028694-00029133": "used as a vehicle for teaching academic content.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00064-00029133-00029924": "So it is no longer at this linear level that one assumes that one does vocational training,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00065-00029924-00030328": "then comes the course of academic study, certain competencies are taught during the academic", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00066-00030328-00030781": "study and these competencies are then applied in the profession.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00067-00030781-00031785": "Rather, it is combined into a dynamic process by saying that actual company projects and", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00068-00031785-00032402": "projects from institutions form the means by which academic content is taught.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00069-00032402-00033263": "This is something that allows us to quickly acquire a wealth of experience as young people:", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00070-00033263-00033930": "‘How do I make the right decisions and what do transparent decision-making processes look", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00071-00033930-00034030": "like?’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00072-00034030-00034596": "In my opinion, this is also the key competence that will be important in the future.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00073-00034596-00035369": "How can I make decisions in a world where it's becoming more and more unpredictable,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00074-00035369-00036425": "because of the lack of experience - how can I make decisions in such a world, for example", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00075-00036425-00036599": "in a middle management company?", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00076-00036599-00036878": "[00:06:08] Many students are then always taken aback", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00077-00036878-00037459": "by this assessment of why this decision-making is so important for the VUKA world.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00078-00037459-00037912": "They are always dazzled by statements from company advertisements that say: ‘Our company", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00079-00037912-00038055": "is characterized by flat hierarchies.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00080-00038055-00038343": "Our company is also characterized by eye level with the bosses.’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00081-00038343-00039130": "And then, of course, you think: Well, great, in this company I can do whatever I want right", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00082-00039130-00039230": "from the start.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00083-00039230-00039597": "What people forget is that this statement ultimately requires everyone to take responsibility", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00084-00039597-00039731": "right from the start.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00085-00039731-00040165": "And you can't learn to take responsibility from PowerPoint slides.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00086-00040165-00040349": "It's clearly experience-based knowledge.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00087-00040349-00041108": "You can perhaps gain this experience even better in a sports club or on an adventure", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00088-00041108-00041609": "vacation than in a traditional course of study.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00089-00041609-00041824": "And we need to focus clearly on this competence.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00090-00041824-00042175": "So, towards this taking over of responsibility, setting up decision-making processes that", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00091-00042175-00042671": "are comprehensible, so that we can actually take people along in unplanned situations,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00092-00042671-00043351": "in unplannable situations, and make decisions that are comprehensible to a strongly heterogeneous,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00093-00043351-00043627": "strongly diversified audience.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00094-00043627-00044437": "You don't expect those decisions, ultimately, to be right, to be good decisions.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00095-00044437-00045409": "But what you expect someone to do is make decisions and not lark around and try to avoid", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00096-00045409-00045509": "responsibility.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00097-00045509-00045965": "[00:07:50] We come from a world that is strongly characterized", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00098-00045965-00046813": "by hierarchical thinking, a world of organizational charts where I can delegate responsibility", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00099-00046813-00047540": "upwards and delegate decisions downwards, and delegate the consequences of decisions", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00100-00047540-00047640": "downwards.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00101-00047640-00047997": "And these clear, hierarchical structures are dissolving.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00102-00047997-00048984": "This has a lot to do with people's objectives and individual desires, which is why there", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00103-00048984-00049469": "are buzzwords such as Generation Z or Generation Y. Ultimately, it's always a matter of realizing", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00104-00049469-00050184": "that the needs of young people have changed massively.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00105-00050184-00050815": "That it's much more about sovereignty, about this factor of time, for example.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00106-00050815-00051723": "Do I really spend 40 hours a week selling my lifetime to someone, or do I find a meaning,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00107-00051723-00052072": "possibly a deeper meaning, in what I do that makes me happier?", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00108-00052072-00052569": "Do I have enough time for family and friends, or even for such things as caring for parents?", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00109-00052569-00053136": "Are there also individual opportunities in the area of skills development?", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00110-00053136-00053827": "And that, of course, often brings medium-sized companies in particular to the edge of their", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00111-00053827-00053927": "imaginations.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00112-00053927-00054755": "In some cases, they are still looking for people who no longer exist in terms of their", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00113-00054755-00055057": "mental structure and mindset, but then they realize", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00114-00055057-00055774": "that the time has actually come when they really have to pay attention right from the", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00115-00055774-00056116": "start: ‘How do I manage to adapt to these new mindsets?’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00116-00056116-00056369": "[00:09:32] So, it's not just about the skills that schoolchildren,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00117-00056369-00056615": "trainees and students bring with them; it's also about developing skills on the part", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00118-00056615-00057308": "of current decision-makers in terms of a fundamental understanding of what makes this target group", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00119-00057308-00057408": "tick.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00120-00057408-00057809": "You can go there and say, ‘We demand dynamism and robustness from you.’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00121-00057809-00058274": "In other words, flexibility, agility, joy in taking on responsibility, but you have", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00122-00058274-00058716": "to ask the question: How can I ensure that I don't overtax this", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00123-00058716-00058816": "target group?", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00124-00058816-00059588": "And that brings me back to the point: In principle, you have to motivate young people,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00125-00059588-00060321": "even at school age, to implement their own projects and take on responsibility.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00126-00060321-00061528": "This doesn't have to take place in an entrepreneurial context at all, but this taking on responsibility,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00127-00061528-00061862": "making decisions, not feeling uncomfortable when you're in a situation that's characterized", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00128-00061862-00062221": "by a great deal of vagueness.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00129-00062221-00062622": "You can learn that outside of school, you can learn that outside of college.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00130-00062622-00063350": "I hope that universities, including school education, will develop in the direction that", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00131-00063350-00063887": "there is more freedom for this in the form of project semesters, in the form of idea", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00132-00063887-00064240": "funds at universities that allow students, also pupils, to implement their own ideas.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00133-00064240-00064566": "And then you get to this point: It's always easier to talk about ‘you should’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00134-00064566-00064764": "or ‘we should’, ‘someone could’.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00135-00064764-00064864": "In the end, it's about doing it.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00136-00064864-00065265": "That you then also realize: ‘How do I deal with it when the great plan", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00137-00065265-00065494": "that you've spun doesn't work?’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00138-00065494-00065803": "‘How do I learn to justify myself and admit defeat?’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00139-00065803-00065934": "‘How do I generate enthusiasm for issues?’", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00140-00065934-00066101": "[00:11:33] I don't think there's any topic, even in a", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00141-00066101-00066446": "business context, that you can't get people excited about if you find the right way to", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00142-00066446-00066546": "address them.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00143-00066546-00066815": "The use of digital media then also plays a central role.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00144-00066815-00067379": "And also, this handling, this digital communication, that's far more than creating pictures for", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00145-00067379-00068233": "Instagram and the like, but it's also a means of conveying to people the meaning behind", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00146-00068233-00068490": "projects that move yourself, to convey this meaning.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00147-00068490-00068712": "[00:12:03] I can, of course, start world-spanning movements", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00148-00068712-00068949": "with these media from the children's room.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00149-00068949-00069480": "Friday for Future is a good example of this.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00150-00069480-00069929": "The question often arises as to why this one subject area is all there is to it, and why", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00151-00069929-00070294": "not many subject areas, placed in a similar context.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00152-00070294-00070963": "For me, media literacy is part of data literacy, that is, the basic competence of dealing with", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00153-00070963-00071138": "information and data.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00154-00071138-00071808": "Again, it must be said that it is a decisive characteristic of the VUKA world that we live", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00155-00071808-00072723": "in the first era of our history in which the key resource does not have a physical character.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00156-00072723-00073419": "So, in ancient times ,grain, then in the industrial revolution access to coal, in the 20th-century,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00157-00073419-00073798": "access to oil and to gas, which is also moving us right now in the wake", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00158-00073798-00073898": "of the Ukraine war.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00159-00073898-00074771": "And, we all know, that the key resource of our time is data and information.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00160-00074771-00075195": "[00:13:07] And that's why it's important that people", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00161-00075195-00076224": "in Germany learn how to deal with this information and this data right from the start, from childhood.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00162-00076224-00077007": "It is also important to know how to process it, what advantages and disadvantages are", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00163-00077007-00077745": "associated with it, and what it has to do with societies and their fundamental structure", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00164-00077745-00077845": "of freedom.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00165-00077845-00078513": "And this key competence, in my opinion, is even one that is superior to all others.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00166-00078513-00080236": "And we need to spend a lot more time communicating that to young people, but also picking up", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00167-00080236-00080973": "those who belong to the generation that was not born as digital natives.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00168-00080973-00081721": "Raising awareness there as well about how these kinds of echo chambers of digital communication", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00169-00081721-00081821": "work.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00170-00081821-00082231": "[00:13:58] This results in a very broad range of different", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00171-00082231-00082683": "topics, which at first glance may not appear to be so interconnected.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00172-00082683-00083215": "And a canon of competencies emerges: What will people need to be able to do in the future?", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00173-00083215-00083986": "And the crucial thing is not to wait for the big plan that comes from somewhere above,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00174-00083986-00084417": "from the government or from other institutions, but", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00175-00084417-00085298": "for everyone to think about it on a decentralized basis in their own small organizations", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00176-00085298-00085635": "and institutions: How do I deal with this?", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00177-00085635-00085878": "And then get into action themselves.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00178-00085878-00086203": "So, win the low-hanging grapes, really try it out.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00179-00086203-00087167": "In this case, trial and error is a wonderful concept", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00180-00087167-00087857": "on a small scale to gather experience, but also to generate experience spaces for employees", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00181-00087857-00088113": "so that they can learn to deal with it.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00182-00088113-00088885": "And, in this overall view, I would say that we should not be afraid of the future,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00183-00088885-00089511": "we should always approach it with the mentality that doing is always better than 'would have,", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00184-00089511-00090175": "could have, should have' and if we act in this way, I", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00185-00090175-00090737": "believe that nothing will stand in the way of a successful future for everyone.", "lPmCuA1PFoo-00186-00090737-00090788": "[00:15:09]"}}, {"audio_id": "lPDkOxso5aY", "text": {"lPDkOxso5aY-00000-00000327-00000766": "Hi everybody and welcome to today's class on the Models of Treatment for", "lPDkOxso5aY-00001-00000766-00001396": "Co-occurring Disorders. Over the next little while we're going to identify the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00002-00001396-00001692": "most common settings for co-occurring disorders treatment", "lPDkOxso5aY-00003-00001692-00002098": "now you remember co-occurring disorders are means that person has an addiction", "lPDkOxso5aY-00004-00002098-00002569": "and a mental health issue among other things a lot of times there's also", "lPDkOxso5aY-00005-00002569-00003037": "physical stuff going on but we want to look at the fact that addiction and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00006-00003037-00003565": "mental health are both co-occurring is the as the name implies well", "lPDkOxso5aY-00007-00003565-00003847": "differentiate between the levels of treatment from intervention to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00008-00003847-00004339": "residential level for identify specific characteristics of treatment in problem", "lPDkOxso5aY-00009-00004339-00004855": "solving courts and jails and we're going to talk about you know the caveats the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00010-00004855-00005326": "the benefits and the drawbacks to each type of treatment and each treatment", "lPDkOxso5aY-00011-00005326-00006102": "setting so settings health departments and social services centers a lot of", "lPDkOxso5aY-00012-00006102-00006702": "times that is just your regular outpatient now I've had the privilege of", "lPDkOxso5aY-00013-00006702-00007227": "working in all of these settings so we're going to talk about some of the my", "lPDkOxso5aY-00014-00007227-00007737": "experiences that you know may help you figure out where you might want to work", "lPDkOxso5aY-00015-00007737-00008362": "in health departments and social services I was stationed at the food", "lPDkOxso5aY-00016-00008362-00009072": "stamps office the in order to be able to connect with people who were receiving", "lPDkOxso5aY-00017-00009072-00009814": "services you know food stamps any TANF services who also needed counseling so", "lPDkOxso5aY-00018-00009814-00010285": "that was really rewarding and I enjoyed working with those people they came in", "lPDkOxso5aY-00019-00010285-00010611": "like we'll talk about when we get down to jails", "lPDkOxso5aY-00020-00010611-00011353": "there was a reason there was an emphasis there was a consequence if they didn't", "lPDkOxso5aY-00021-00011353-00012007": "come see me so it helped a little bit to ensure people were coming now whether we", "lPDkOxso5aY-00022-00012007-00012406": "we were ensuring that they were interactive is a little bit of a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00023-00012406-00012886": "different story and if you like working with involuntary clients then jails and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00024-00012886-00013333": "social services are really good places to be and I happen to enjoy that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00025-00013333-00013883": "population because it's it's always sort of but I don't want to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00026-00013883-00014354": "say game because this is people's lives but it's always sort of a puzzle to me", "lPDkOxso5aY-00027-00014354-00014930": "to try to figure out what's gonna motivate somebody to continue to do the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00028-00014930-00015551": "next right thing at least for as long as they're required to behavioral health", "lPDkOxso5aY-00029-00015551-00016061": "care centers now this is by far the most common most of you have probably done", "lPDkOxso5aY-00030-00016061-00016496": "internships at some sort of behavioral health care center residential treatment", "lPDkOxso5aY-00031-00016496-00017114": "facility and obviously you can serve a whole bunch of different types of", "lPDkOxso5aY-00032-00017114-00017666": "services where I worked we had a crisis stabilization unit a detoxification unit", "lPDkOxso5aY-00033-00017666-00018245": "a methadone clinic residential intensive outpatient regular outpatient and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00034-00018245-00018842": "regular outpatient mental health so we had a whole range of services that we", "lPDkOxso5aY-00035-00018842-00019325": "offered and you could kind of move between the different departments if you", "lPDkOxso5aY-00036-00019325-00019847": "decided you wanted to change a pace for a while private practice offices are", "lPDkOxso5aY-00037-00019847-00020282": "another place that you can see clients and a lot of clinicians in private", "lPDkOxso5aY-00038-00020282-00020981": "practice LMH sees LCSW lmf teas see people who present primarily for", "lPDkOxso5aY-00039-00020981-00021250": "depression or anxiety or something like that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00040-00021250-00021770": "but there is a strong rate of co-occurrence between mental health", "lPDkOxso5aY-00041-00021770-00022292": "issues and substance abuse issues so you know it's important that clinicians and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00042-00022292-00022808": "private practice at least be aware of the fact that there is a good chance", "lPDkOxso5aY-00043-00022808-00023288": "that the person you're working with has an addiction of some sort or will", "lPDkOxso5aY-00044-00023288-00023879": "struggle with that during some period in their life what does that mean that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00045-00023879-00024251": "means clinicians ideally should have a general understanding of addiction", "lPDkOxso5aY-00046-00024251-00024710": "addiction treatment recovery principles because they work together", "lPDkOxso5aY-00047-00024710-00025502": "cognitive behavioral works really well with addiction as well as sub as well as", "lPDkOxso5aY-00048-00025502-00026014": "mental health so what we want to do with addiction is help people identify the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00049-00026014-00026552": "reasons that they're using and find better ways because a lot of times", "lPDkOxso5aY-00050-00026552-00027198": "addictive behaviors are ways of dealing with emotional or physical pain now that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00051-00027198-00027677": "emotional pain can come when people start using you know but maybe they're", "lPDkOxso5aY-00052-00027677-00028110": "using recreationally then they start using a little bit more when things get", "lPDkOxso5aY-00053-00028110-00028701": "tough for whatever their brain chemistry changes so now their brain is used to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00054-00028701-00029252": "having that substance in in their body in order to regulate the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00055-00029252-00029829": "neurotransmitters so in order for the person to feel what they consider to be", "lPDkOxso5aY-00056-00029829-00030354": "normal baseline for them they need to have that substance which is going to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00057-00030354-00030951": "prompt them to want to use and to crave the drug until the body gets used to not", "lPDkOxso5aY-00058-00030951-00031482": "having it anymore so it's important to help people figure out you know what's", "lPDkOxso5aY-00059-00031482-00031892": "prompting these cravings some of its physiological but some of it is often", "lPDkOxso5aY-00060-00031892-00032529": "psychological different people places things emotional states may trigger", "lPDkOxso5aY-00061-00032529-00033354": "people to want to use but that's a whole different presentation hospitals provide", "lPDkOxso5aY-00062-00033354-00033888": "co-occurring disorders treatment a lot of hospitals have a wing for patients", "lPDkOxso5aY-00063-00033888-00034517": "with psychiatric or addictive issues that have to be monitored 24 hours a day", "lPDkOxso5aY-00064-00034517-00035050": "seven days a week by medical staff because they are that medically unstable", "lPDkOxso5aY-00065-00035050-00035817": "schools when I worked at the schools it was great I would go in and meet with", "lPDkOxso5aY-00066-00035817-00036146": "the guidance counselor who would set me up in an office they'd go get the kid", "lPDkOxso5aY-00067-00036146-00036741": "the kid would come we would talk for a while and you know do our thing now", "lPDkOxso5aY-00068-00036741-00037160": "schools are wonderful and providing co-occurring disorders treatment in", "lPDkOxso5aY-00069-00037160-00037796": "schools is helpful because a lot of times juveniles can't drive so even if", "lPDkOxso5aY-00070-00037796-00038313": "they want to get to appointments they can't because you know a lot of times", "lPDkOxso5aY-00071-00038313-00038717": "mom and dad are busy they're working they're doing something else so this", "lPDkOxso5aY-00072-00038717-00039248": "removes one of the accessibility barriers and I found that when I would", "lPDkOxso5aY-00073-00039248-00039654": "go to work with kids in schools they enjoyed it because number one they were", "lPDkOxso5aY-00074-00039654-00040142": "getting pulled out of class so bonus and number two they didn't feel", "lPDkOxso5aY-00075-00040142-00040699": "like okay mom's on the other side of the wall is she listening in so they felt a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00076-00040699-00041186": "little bit more relaxed than they would in a clinic sort of setting so schools", "lPDkOxso5aY-00077-00041186-00041783": "can be a really good place to provide interventions and jails now I really", "lPDkOxso5aY-00078-00041783-00042221": "happen to like working with the correctional population people who are", "lPDkOxso5aY-00079-00042221-00042814": "in jail or who are on probation and parole you know they're on what we call", "lPDkOxso5aY-00080-00042814-00043189": "papers they have to participate they have to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00081-00043189-00043864": "stay clean they cannot test dirty but when people are in was let's talk about", "lPDkOxso5aY-00082-00043864-00044141": "jail and prison specifically when they're still on lockdown", "lPDkOxso5aY-00083-00044141-00044852": "a lot of jails in prisons unfortunately will discontinue medication when", "lPDkOxso5aY-00084-00044852-00045488": "somebody is admitted to the jail or prison just to see how they make it when", "lPDkOxso5aY-00085-00045488-00045842": "they're not on meds because the jail or prison does not want to pay for their", "lPDkOxso5aY-00086-00045842-00046382": "medicine which means people tend to destabilize pretty quickly in jail", "lPDkOxso5aY-00087-00046382-00046876": "so okay let's say this is a good jail and the people who came in on meds stay", "lPDkOxso5aY-00088-00046876-00047464": "on meds even if that's the case you can imagine what it's like living with the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00089-00047464-00047905": "same people day in and day out and most of the people there probably have some", "lPDkOxso5aY-00090-00047905-00048473": "interpersonal skills deficits so there's going to be tension there's going to be", "lPDkOxso5aY-00091-00048473-00048854": "occasional anger there's going to be depression when you because the person", "lPDkOxso5aY-00092-00048854-00049304": "who's incarcerated may be missing their kids graduation or whatever so there are", "lPDkOxso5aY-00093-00049304-00050078": "a lot of situational mental health issues that come up as well as just the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00094-00050078-00050563": "fact that people may have already been depressed or anxious on top of that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00095-00050563-00051143": "you've got substances and I would like to say that jails are substance free but", "lPDkOxso5aY-00096-00051143-00051659": "I'm a realist and I've worked in them long enough to know that substances do", "lPDkOxso5aY-00097-00051659-00052361": "get in you know sometimes it's cocaine PCP LSD morphine you know there I've", "lPDkOxso5aY-00098-00052361-00052837": "seen pretty much every drug get into the jail you know they can't have the things", "lPDkOxso5aY-00099-00052837-00053238": "that can be so they have to be smoked so it has to either be able to be", "lPDkOxso5aY-00100-00053238-00053724": "snorted or eaten most of the time because it's hard for them to get access", "lPDkOxso5aY-00101-00053724-00054273": "to needles as well so smoking and injecting methods are out but the point", "lPDkOxso5aY-00102-00054273-00054938": "being when people are in jail it doesn't mean they're necessarily clean the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00103-00054938-00055438": "people who are clean the people who aren't using you know their brain maybe", "lPDkOxso5aY-00104-00055438-00055941": "restabilizing and getting used to being without the drug but they've got a lot", "lPDkOxso5aY-00105-00055941-00056366": "of stuff to deal with they need to develop alternate coping skills so when", "lPDkOxso5aY-00106-00056366-00056778": "life hands them lemons they don't want to relapse they need to be provided the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00107-00056778-00057378": "skills and tools that they need so when they get out when they do have access to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00108-00057378-00057987": "those substances again freely they're not tempted to use them and so while", "lPDkOxso5aY-00109-00057987-00058440": "they're in jail when they do have access to the substances they're not tempted to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00110-00058440-00059259": "use them so jails provide an opportunity to provide in a control ative lis", "lPDkOxso5aY-00111-00059259-00059784": "controlled environment to provide people with the skills and tools they need know", "lPDkOxso5aY-00112-00059784-00060204": "well we'll talk about these when we get a little bit further but I will say with", "lPDkOxso5aY-00113-00060204-00060742": "residential treatment and a behavioral health care center hospitals and jails", "lPDkOxso5aY-00114-00060742-00061212": "the skills people are learning are wonderful but when they're in those", "lPDkOxso5aY-00115-00061212-00061632": "environments those are very controlled environments they're not having to pay", "lPDkOxso5aY-00116-00061632-00061991": "bills they're not dealing with traffic they're not dealing with landlords or", "lPDkOxso5aY-00117-00061991-00062457": "significant others or other things that could trigger them so going from a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00118-00062457-00063087": "controlled environment to being released like once a week outpatient is really", "lPDkOxso5aY-00119-00063087-00063707": "not a good idea people need to step down and the best analogy I can make for most", "lPDkOxso5aY-00120-00063707-00064122": "people is think about when you went from high school to college you know that was", "lPDkOxso5aY-00121-00064122-00064607": "just culture shock and you went from having a curfew and having mom and dad", "lPDkOxso5aY-00122-00064607-00065150": "supervising you living under their roof having teachers you know henpeck you for", "lPDkOxso5aY-00123-00065150-00065592": "your homework every day and all that kind of stuff - nobody really took", "lPDkOxso5aY-00124-00065592-00066072": "attendance it didn't matter if you went to class or not and you could stay up", "lPDkOxso5aY-00125-00066072-00066591": "until 2:00 or 3:00 in the morning partying if you wanted so it was very", "lPDkOxso5aY-00126-00066591-00067200": "tempting and it was very easy to not do what you were supposed to do when you", "lPDkOxso5aY-00127-00067200-00067934": "got to college if you didn't have some structure going into it when I was a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00128-00067934-00068553": "freshman in my sorority we had to put in a certain number of study hours every", "lPDkOxso5aY-00129-00068553-00069107": "week and we had to maintain a certain GPA so that helped me learn better study", "lPDkOxso5aY-00130-00069107-00069569": "habits and you know eventually when I got out of my sorority I didn't have", "lPDkOxso5aY-00131-00069569-00070157": "somebody telling me you have to study - for two hours today but I already had", "lPDkOxso5aY-00132-00070157-00070635": "those habits ingrained so it didn't it wasn't a big deal to me to continue with", "lPDkOxso5aY-00133-00070635-00071103": "those things we want to see the same thing with people who are coming out of", "lPDkOxso5aY-00134-00071103-00071622": "jails or residential facilities we want them to step down it may only be for a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00135-00071622-00072021": "month or so where they're in intensive outpatient and they're checking in every", "lPDkOxso5aY-00136-00072021-00072462": "single day and then they can step down and maybe check in twice a week and then", "lPDkOxso5aY-00137-00072462-00072954": "step down again to one once a week individual therapy or something but it's", "lPDkOxso5aY-00138-00072954-00073665": "always good to scaffold that step down to make sure that they can deal with", "lPDkOxso5aY-00139-00073665-00074262": "life on life's terms in the world out there so prevention is one level of", "lPDkOxso5aY-00140-00074262-00074744": "treatment and is not really treatment it's obviously prevention but there are", "lPDkOxso5aY-00141-00074744-00075111": "multiple types of prevention now prevention like most people think", "lPDkOxso5aY-00142-00075111-00075693": "about it is don't ever get the problem okay that's your traditional prevention", "lPDkOxso5aY-00143-00075693-00076311": "and yes it's great the goal is to avert problems before they begin through", "lPDkOxso5aY-00144-00076311-00076809": "modifying risk and protective factors in the following domains individual risk", "lPDkOxso5aY-00145-00076809-00077249": "and protective factors like we want to modify the depression we want to make", "lPDkOxso5aY-00146-00077249-00077604": "sure they've got good coping and interpersonal skills we want to make", "lPDkOxso5aY-00147-00077604-00078156": "sure we screen for any learning disabilities etc family risk and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00148-00078156-00078696": "protective factors they found that families that are closer knit wear their", "lPDkOxso5aY-00149-00078696-00079187": "stability where there's consistency in parenting and where there's adequate", "lPDkOxso5aY-00150-00079187-00079869": "social support is obviously a protective factor schools we want schools that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00151-00079869-00080269": "encourage interaction we want schools that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00152-00080269-00080812": "encourage students to partake in activities and feel like they're", "lPDkOxso5aY-00153-00080812-00081316": "connected with the school and we want schools that emphasize helping students", "lPDkOxso5aY-00154-00081316-00082021": "learn and in the community prevention can start out with working with law", "lPDkOxso5aY-00155-00082021-00082678": "enforcement and legal officials to make sure that the community enforces the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00156-00082678-00083194": "drug-free standard in the community it can work to clean up drug ridden areas", "lPDkOxso5aY-00157-00083194-00083659": "in the community not only getting rid of the drugs but we want to give some", "lPDkOxso5aY-00158-00083659-00084160": "people something else to do we can start having social events we can start having", "lPDkOxso5aY-00159-00084160-00084690": "movies on the lawn at the you know downtown plaza we can start having", "lPDkOxso5aY-00160-00084690-00085177": "activities at the library in order to get people engaged and again feel", "lPDkOxso5aY-00161-00085177-00085687": "connected those are all ways that we can help prevent problems along with this we", "lPDkOxso5aY-00162-00085687-00086134": "can do some education about drugs and substances and how easy it is to get", "lPDkOxso5aY-00163-00086134-00086614": "addicted and that it's not just willpower once people start using it", "lPDkOxso5aY-00164-00086614-00087235": "actually changes their brain chemistry which can revert but it takes time so", "lPDkOxso5aY-00165-00087235-00087862": "it's important that people are aware of that so that's prevention and you can", "lPDkOxso5aY-00166-00087862-00088329": "use this you other examples or educating children about drugs and their effects", "lPDkOxso5aY-00167-00088329-00088924": "improving communication among families ensuring children are able to engage in", "lPDkOxso5aY-00168-00088924-00089395": "school that doesn't mean just go that means engage they are they've got enough", "lPDkOxso5aY-00169-00089395-00089803": "clothing they're warm enough or cool enough as the case may be and they've", "lPDkOxso5aY-00170-00089803-00090097": "got enough food in their bellies that they're not hungry", "lPDkOxso5aY-00171-00090097-00090613": "and they're able to there they have a safe home environment so they're not", "lPDkOxso5aY-00172-00090613-00090973": "exhausted when they get to school because they were just too terrified to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00173-00090973-00091273": "sleep all night long because they were sleeping in the car", "lPDkOxso5aY-00174-00091273-00091869": "or in the middle of a domestic violent out", "lPDkOxso5aY-00175-00091935-00092400": "violence episode or something so we want to make sure that children are happy", "lPDkOxso5aY-00176-00092400-00092979": "healthy and engaged and we can improve community stability organization and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00177-00092979-00093711": "attachment by offering things that the community can do and we can also make", "lPDkOxso5aY-00178-00093711-00094197": "sure that things like transportation are available to help people get to work and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00179-00094197-00094613": "that there are jobs available I know around here right now there are jobs", "lPDkOxso5aY-00180-00094613-00095055": "just everywhere I go there are signs up saying you know hi now hiring and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00181-00095055-00095522": "they're almost always are unfortunately in this community where I live now", "lPDkOxso5aY-00182-00095522-00096072": "there's no transportation so and it's a pretty rural community so unless you've", "lPDkOxso5aY-00183-00096072-00096531": "got a friend who can drive you or you live in close and there aren't very many", "lPDkOxso5aY-00184-00096531-00097260": "apartments so you know it's a is a double whammy but you know we want to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00185-00097260-00097752": "make sure people not only can earn a living to keep a roof over their head", "lPDkOxso5aY-00186-00097752-00098156": "but they can also get to that job to earn a living so those are all things we", "lPDkOxso5aY-00187-00098156-00098732": "can do for primary prevention we can also educate the community about mental", "lPDkOxso5aY-00188-00098732-00099344": "health issues the chances of somebody developing an addiction increase if they", "lPDkOxso5aY-00189-00099344-00099872": "have depression or anxiety or bipolar disorder so these are things that we", "lPDkOxso5aY-00190-00099872-00100371": "want to make sure that the community is aware of and that they know where", "lPDkOxso5aY-00191-00100371-00100898": "resources are another type of prevention is called secondary prevention which", "lPDkOxso5aY-00192-00100898-00101391": "means okay we didn't prevent the first thing from happening that stinks but we", "lPDkOxso5aY-00193-00101391-00101871": "can keep it from getting any worse you know let's stop it in its tracks prevent", "lPDkOxso5aY-00194-00101871-00102363": "it from getting worse and this is when we have intervention level services", "lPDkOxso5aY-00195-00102363-00102828": "outpatient services available hotlines available you know this is when the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00196-00102828-00103385": "services at the Social Services offices as well as schools can become really", "lPDkOxso5aY-00197-00103385-00103980": "helpful to stop it in its tracks before it becomes a big problem the third type", "lPDkOxso5aY-00198-00103980-00104445": "of prevention is called tertiary prevention and that means we're going to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00199-00104445-00105110": "prevent this problem from causing more problems in other areas of the person's", "lPDkOxso5aY-00200-00105110-00105396": "life so okay maybe have developed a full-blown addiction", "lPDkOxso5aY-00201-00105396-00105705": "and you know they're really struggling with it all right", "lPDkOxso5aY-00202-00105705-00106209": "that's a problem but tertiary prevention would say let's make sure we prevent you", "lPDkOxso5aY-00203-00106209-00106663": "from getting hepatitis because that's gonna be a whole nother ballgame let's", "lPDkOxso5aY-00204-00106663-00107220": "make sure we prevent you from going to jail because legal issues are going to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00205-00107220-00107622": "complicate the picture let's make sure we prevent you from becoming homeless", "lPDkOxso5aY-00206-00107622-00108006": "because again that'll complicate the picture let's deal with this addiction", "lPDkOxso5aY-00207-00108006-00108447": "you know we didn't prevent it we didn't stop it in its tracks but let's prevent", "lPDkOxso5aY-00208-00108447-00109008": "other problems from happening because you've developed this addiction now so", "lPDkOxso5aY-00209-00109008-00109844": "prevention has primary tertiary primary secondary and tertiary aspects to it", "lPDkOxso5aY-00210-00109844-00110271": "intervention provides resources to prevent worsening of an addiction or", "lPDkOxso5aY-00211-00110271-00110778": "other biopsychosocial issues that could lead to addiction methods include", "lPDkOxso5aY-00212-00110778-00111204": "psycho-educational groups and classes when you do the groups on self-esteem", "lPDkOxso5aY-00213-00111204-00111780": "development and coping skills and dialectical behavior therapy acceptance", "lPDkOxso5aY-00214-00111780-00112221": "and commitment therapy and those can be done they don't have to be clinic based", "lPDkOxso5aY-00215-00112221-00112689": "things a lot of times people don't feel comfortable going to a clinic so if you", "lPDkOxso5aY-00216-00112689-00113211": "offer workshops and you call them workshops in community education offer", "lPDkOxso5aY-00217-00113211-00113904": "workshops at libraries offer go to different festivals and have tables", "lPDkOxso5aY-00218-00113904-00114538": "where you provide handouts that help people learn about resources that are", "lPDkOxso5aY-00219-00114538-00115002": "available early identification of persons with risk factors for mental", "lPDkOxso5aY-00220-00115002-00115634": "health stress-related or substance abuse issues are also effective methods of", "lPDkOxso5aY-00221-00115634-00116094": "intervention early intervention this is when you know they might be using but", "lPDkOxso5aY-00222-00116094-00116505": "it's not a problem yet or they might be getting kind of blue but they're not", "lPDkOxso5aY-00223-00116505-00116976": "clinically depressed yet early identification can happen at the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00224-00116976-00117507": "doctor's office it can happen at schools you know the school counselors or even", "lPDkOxso5aY-00225-00117507-00118089": "the teachers it can happen at wellness fairs at employers employers wellness", "lPDkOxso5aY-00226-00118089-00118584": "fairs it can happen at you know any sort of festival that the community has if", "lPDkOxso5aY-00227-00118584-00119018": "you have a table out there then people are", "lPDkOxso5aY-00228-00119018-00119546": "able to you know come up and get information you can also identify people", "lPDkOxso5aY-00229-00119546-00120305": "early nowadays online if your facility has a online screening that people can", "lPDkOxso5aY-00230-00120305-00120968": "take and if they score a certain level it sends a referral to you know whomever", "lPDkOxso5aY-00231-00120968-00121561": "or it gives them a referral so they know that they can call a clinic in town and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00232-00121561-00122147": "get services intervention services are typically either once like in a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00233-00122147-00122608": "screening or once a week you're not gonna have something that's meeting a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00234-00122608-00123160": "whole lot and it's generally in a group situation so it's affordable for people", "lPDkOxso5aY-00235-00123160-00123548": "whether it's free you know offered at a library or a church or a community", "lPDkOxso5aY-00236-00123548-00124490": "center or it is you know something that is low cost and you know generally five", "lPDkOxso5aY-00237-00124490-00125072": "to fifteen dollars per group is seems to be the steady going rate I know around", "lPDkOxso5aY-00238-00125072-00125533": "here sometimes they charge like forty dollars per group but for intervention", "lPDkOxso5aY-00239-00125533-00126058": "we really want people to come we don't want finances to be a barrier so you", "lPDkOxso5aY-00240-00126058-00126665": "know it's better to have fifteen people in a group at $15 and per group than to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00241-00126665-00127190": "have six people in a group at forty dollars per group as far as reaching", "lPDkOxso5aY-00242-00127190-00127679": "people and actually doing prevention you know the money you could I didn't check", "lPDkOxso5aY-00243-00127679-00128264": "the math on that but either way you can you can kind of make it work you can", "lPDkOxso5aY-00244-00128264-00128986": "also do intervention via the phone or online you know via telehealth so if you", "lPDkOxso5aY-00245-00128986-00129398": "have people if you live in a rural area like I do you know you can reach out to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00246-00129398-00129929": "people this way and obviously you have to have their account you know you have", "lPDkOxso5aY-00247-00129929-00130265": "to be able to connect with them so they would have had to reach out to you", "lPDkOxso5aY-00248-00130265-00130673": "because they got a referral from their doctor or their pharmacist or somebody", "lPDkOxso5aY-00249-00130673-00131117": "but you can provide intervention services that way you can even do", "lPDkOxso5aY-00250-00131117-00131726": "psycho-educational groups online through something like zoom or GoToMeeting as", "lPDkOxso5aY-00251-00131726-00132281": "long as you get a business associate agreement sign in", "lPDkOxso5aY-00252-00132281-00132956": "order to ensure HIPAA compliance outpatient is individual and group", "lPDkOxso5aY-00253-00132956-00133483": "counseling sessions and this typically meets one to three times per week and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00254-00133483-00133943": "depending on the level of impairment of the individual sometimes you can get", "lPDkOxso5aY-00255-00133943-00134597": "insurance companies to pay for up to three times per week but a lot of times", "lPDkOxso5aY-00256-00134597-00134906": "they want you to move them down to traditional once a week outpatient", "lPDkOxso5aY-00257-00134906-00135353": "pretty quickly now but caveat with that is you can often", "lPDkOxso5aY-00258-00135353-00135914": "get group 1 one-hour groups three times a week so if somebody really needs to be", "lPDkOxso5aY-00259-00135914-00136364": "checking in a couple times a week trying to implement groups in your practice can", "lPDkOxso5aY-00260-00136364-00136875": "be a way to do it to make sure you can serve the most people and get reimbursed", "lPDkOxso5aY-00261-00136875-00137381": "for it and all that kind of stuff outpatient groups can be held in a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00262-00137381-00138017": "clinic at a school online like I said you can do groups or in the person's", "lPDkOxso5aY-00263-00138017-00138624": "home now group in the home is going to be more like a family multi family group", "lPDkOxso5aY-00264-00138624-00139103": "where the primary family mom and dad are there and then maybe Grandma and Grandpa", "lPDkOxso5aY-00265-00139103-00139802": "come and you have that kind of counseling session but there you can do", "lPDkOxso5aY-00266-00139802-00140262": "outpatient counseling in a variety of ways I even know one therapist who got", "lPDkOxso5aY-00267-00140262-00140720": "an RV and converted it to an office and she drives around to different", "lPDkOxso5aY-00268-00140720-00141300": "neighborhoods and provides training or provides counseling so people don't have", "lPDkOxso5aY-00269-00141300-00142010": "to worry about finding transportation issues that can be handled in outpatient", "lPDkOxso5aY-00270-00142010-00142502": "include coping skills maladaptive emotions or reactions thoughts or", "lPDkOxso5aY-00271-00142502-00142985": "behaviors so pretty much anything that you qualify as a mental illness or a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00272-00142985-00143538": "mental health issue relationships and interpersonal issues and past traumas", "lPDkOxso5aY-00273-00143538-00144162": "and losses in addition to addiction outpatient counseling can address", "lPDkOxso5aY-00274-00144162-00144762": "addiction everything from internet addiction to smoking cessation to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00275-00144762-00145141": "alcohol and drug addiction", "lPDkOxso5aY-00276-00145180-00145620": "tensive outpatient involves both individual and group counseling sessions", "lPDkOxso5aY-00277-00145620-00146035": "generally it meets three to five times per week for a minimum of three hours", "lPDkOxso5aY-00278-00146035-00146803": "per day so how does that work well generally in IOP it's you start out at", "lPDkOxso5aY-00279-00146803-00147370": "five days a week for three hours a day plus an individual with your primary", "lPDkOxso5aY-00280-00147370-00148042": "therapist each week and then as you have a certain number of clean urines", "lPDkOxso5aY-00281-00148042-00148588": "it's the longer you're clean then you get to step down so you're not having to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00282-00148588-00149136": "come as often so if you go a month and you haven't relapsed then you may get", "lPDkOxso5aY-00283-00149136-00149593": "step-down so you're only coming four days a week and then the individual with", "lPDkOxso5aY-00284-00149593-00150154": "your therapist and then three days a week and two days a week etc the biggest", "lPDkOxso5aY-00285-00150154-00150895": "thing is the clinician wants to see and make sure that you are that the person", "lPDkOxso5aY-00286-00150895-00151564": "is safe this can be done in a clinic or online the substance abuse and mental", "lPDkOxso5aY-00287-00151564-00152014": "health services administration has done a lot of research with the effectiveness", "lPDkOxso5aY-00288-00152014-00152578": "of online counseling and they found that for doing I owe P if you do it online", "lPDkOxso5aY-00289-00152578-00153037": "you want to have video for every single participant that way you can see how", "lPDkOxso5aY-00290-00153037-00153307": "people are doing and how they're reacting and you're not losing the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00291-00153307-00153754": "nonverbals and they have to have a good internet connection so there's not a big", "lPDkOxso5aY-00292-00153754-00154471": "lag but other than that online can work pretty well issues for intensive", "lPDkOxso5aY-00293-00154471-00154876": "outpatient the same things that you would treat in regular outpatient just", "lPDkOxso5aY-00294-00154876-00155590": "for people who are struggling and and have a more acute problem coping skills", "lPDkOxso5aY-00295-00155590-00156103": "mental health issues substance abuse issues relationship and personal issues", "lPDkOxso5aY-00296-00156103-00156907": "and past traumas and losses partial hospitalization now this is a little bit", "lPDkOxso5aY-00297-00156907-00157492": "more intense so instead of being five days a week for three hours this is five", "lPDkOxso5aY-00298-00157492-00158203": "days a week for typically six to eight hours the patient sleeps on campus this", "lPDkOxso5aY-00299-00158203-00158504": "is always offered either in a hospital or a clinic", "lPDkOxso5aY-00300-00158504-00159116": "setting and it treats mental health and substance abuse issues interpersonal", "lPDkOxso5aY-00301-00159116-00159835": "issues and trauma short-term residential has individual and group counseling", "lPDkOxso5aY-00302-00159835-00160250": "sessions now if you've been in residential or if you've worked in that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00303-00160250-00160745": "residential you know that their residential facilities are required to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00304-00160745-00161234": "provide a certain number of group hours per day where I worked it was four hours", "lPDkOxso5aY-00305-00161234-00161864": "of group per day seven days a week and one individual counseling session", "lPDkOxso5aY-00306-00161864-00162458": "minimum per week with their primary therapist short-term residential is", "lPDkOxso5aY-00307-00162458-00163001": "considered short term up to sixty days the patient sleeps on campus in short", "lPDkOxso5aY-00308-00163001-00163565": "term residential there is awake staff 24/7 but a lot of times the night time", "lPDkOxso5aY-00309-00163565-00164165": "staff are technicians there is not counseling staff it's not a doctor some", "lPDkOxso5aY-00310-00164165-00164860": "states require that there's an LPN on the premises during that period of time", "lPDkOxso5aY-00311-00164860-00165464": "other states only require that the medical staff be reachable during during", "lPDkOxso5aY-00312-00165464-00165935": "the night so if depending on your situation but short-term residential is", "lPDkOxso5aY-00313-00165935-00166497": "just what it sounds like the person is living there for up to 60 days", "lPDkOxso5aY-00314-00166497-00167177": "short-term residential is really helpful for people who are struggling to stay", "lPDkOxso5aY-00315-00167177-00167677": "clean and sober who are struggling with suicidal ideation or their anxiety", "lPDkOxso5aY-00316-00167677-00168365": "issues we want to make sure that they're in a safe environment and this provides", "lPDkOxso5aY-00317-00168365-00168805": "supervision 24 hours a day seven days a week", "lPDkOxso5aY-00318-00168805-00169313": "long-term residential provides individual and group counseling sessions", "lPDkOxso5aY-00319-00169313-00169763": "with the same frequency you know about four hours a group a day seven days a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00320-00169763-00170204": "week and at least one meeting with a primary therapist every week it can last", "lPDkOxso5aY-00321-00170204-00170782": "for up to a year and places like Oh golly", "lPDkOxso5aY-00322-00170782-00171308": "Phoenix house and some other therapeutic communities qualify under long term", "lPDkOxso5aY-00323-00171308-00171692": "residential and there are some non therapeutic community long term", "lPDkOxso5aY-00324-00171692-00172142": "residential program they're fewer and farther between", "lPDkOxso5aY-00325-00172142-00172731": "long-term residential is really good for people who have had difficulty they've", "lPDkOxso5aY-00326-00172731-00173187": "been in other programs before they haven't succeeded they really need that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00327-00173187-00173631": "kind of structure it's beneficial for people who have cognitive difficulties", "lPDkOxso5aY-00328-00173631-00174129": "in addition to their mental other mental health and substance abuse issues in", "lPDkOxso5aY-00329-00174129-00174825": "long-term residential the person can get their medication managed a little bit", "lPDkOxso5aY-00330-00174825-00175251": "better short-term residential you know a lot of your SSRIs and things are just", "lPDkOxso5aY-00331-00175251-00175680": "really getting into your system and getting stabilized in 60 days so the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00332-00175680-00176205": "docs really not sure at this point whether it's the right set of", "lPDkOxso5aY-00333-00176205-00176799": "medications for the person if they're on medication in long term residential the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00334-00176799-00177450": "doctor has a much longer period to see is this the right set of medications for", "lPDkOxso5aY-00335-00177450-00178053": "this person and will it work long term and in long term residential people are", "lPDkOxso5aY-00336-00178053-00178515": "also able to establish wraparound services generally after about the sixth", "lPDkOxso5aY-00337-00178515-00178995": "month the person is encouraged to go out and start looking for part-time", "lPDkOxso5aY-00338-00178995-00179508": "employment and establishing themselves they have time to figure out where", "lPDkOxso5aY-00339-00179508-00179880": "they're going to live and do those sorts of things so there are a lot of other", "lPDkOxso5aY-00340-00179880-00180240": "things that can be accomplished in long-term residential because you're not", "lPDkOxso5aY-00341-00180240-00180780": "having to cram you know so much treatment like we do in short term", "lPDkOxso5aY-00342-00180780-00181218": "residential short term residential is a lot of treatment in a very short period", "lPDkOxso5aY-00343-00181218-00181742": "of time long term residential can space it out a little bit more so people can", "lPDkOxso5aY-00344-00181742-00182502": "solidify their skills in the criminal justice environment individual and group", "lPDkOxso5aY-00345-00182502-00183240": "counseling sessions can be offered its daily is sometimes appropriate sometimes", "lPDkOxso5aY-00346-00183240-00183555": "you meet with the person once a week a lot of times in the criminal justice", "lPDkOxso5aY-00347-00183555-00184194": "environment the criminal justice system is paying for this kind of service so", "lPDkOxso5aY-00348-00184194-00184758": "it's not what the insurance company is saying it's is warranted it's what the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00349-00184758-00185134": "probation officers or the or the jail is saying is warranted", "lPDkOxso5aY-00350-00185134-00185632": "this can happen in the jail or intensive outpatient like with problem solving", "lPDkOxso5aY-00351-00185632-00186196": "courts or even just regular outpatient in the jails we talked about a little", "lPDkOxso5aY-00352-00186196-00186796": "bit earlier groups can be done one of the caveats in with providing treatment", "lPDkOxso5aY-00353-00186796-00187327": "in the jail is the fact that not everybody's getting the treatment so", "lPDkOxso5aY-00354-00187327-00188068": "you're going to have you know 90% of the population in the jail who is not", "lPDkOxso5aY-00355-00188068-00188458": "functioning healthfully and then you're going to have this other 10% that's", "lPDkOxso5aY-00356-00188458-00188896": "trying not to adopt criminogenic behaviors and they're trying to change", "lPDkOxso5aY-00357-00188896-00189244": "their ways and they're trying to improve their life and so it's they're they're", "lPDkOxso5aY-00358-00189244-00189772": "kind of fighting against the milieu that exists so providing treatment in jail", "lPDkOxso5aY-00359-00189772-00190252": "can be a real challenge so you want to make sure you set reasonable achievable", "lPDkOxso5aY-00360-00190252-00190906": "goals and help the person embrace those goals you also want to make sure that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00361-00190906-00191497": "they know that what they're learning now it may be hard to apply in jail you know", "lPDkOxso5aY-00362-00191497-00192124": "hopefully it'll help them be put in solitary less often but a lot of it will", "lPDkOxso5aY-00363-00192124-00192673": "be extremely useful when they get when they get out intensive outpatient you", "lPDkOxso5aY-00364-00192673-00192973": "know problem solving courts are like your mental health court your domestic", "lPDkOxso5aY-00365-00192973-00193819": "violence court and your drug courts they are courts that basically require the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00366-00193819-00194368": "person to go to intensive outpatient stay clean and if they don't when they", "lPDkOxso5aY-00367-00194368-00195025": "report for their their weekly report in front of the judge if they haven't", "lPDkOxso5aY-00368-00195025-00195373": "stayed clean then they can go to jail for a certain period of time to be", "lPDkOxso5aY-00369-00195373-00195868": "determined by the judge so it has some teeth to it for mental health courts", "lPDkOxso5aY-00370-00195868-00196432": "generally the requirement is the person stay on their medication and attend all", "lPDkOxso5aY-00371-00196432-00197062": "of their sessions for domestic violence courts obviously it's avoiding having", "lPDkOxso5aY-00372-00197062-00197467": "another domestic violence incident a lot of times domestic violence and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00373-00197467-00197932": "substances go hand in hand so domestic violence may also require the person to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00374-00197932-00198705": "be staying clean and sober in regular outpatient and I worked with", "lPDkOxso5aY-00375-00198705-00199176": "people in probation and parole in regular outpatient and you know most of", "lPDkOxso5aY-00376-00199176-00199569": "them did not want to be in my program and I don't blame them you know they", "lPDkOxso5aY-00377-00199569-00199857": "didn't want to be in my program because they didn't see where they had a problem", "lPDkOxso5aY-00378-00199857-00200481": "or they didn't think I understood or didn't think I could help them so what I", "lPDkOxso5aY-00379-00200481-00201129": "did was tell them you know what in order for you to get off probation which is", "lPDkOxso5aY-00380-00201129-00201627": "what you want you have to go through this and you know it's just one of those", "lPDkOxso5aY-00381-00201627-00202019": "things so let's make it as pleasurable as possible you know tell me what it is", "lPDkOxso5aY-00382-00202019-00202611": "if anything you want to work on you know we don't have to focus on drugs do you", "lPDkOxso5aY-00383-00202611-00203069": "want to work on your self-esteem your parenting skills communication skills", "lPDkOxso5aY-00384-00203069-00203559": "what is it you know since the court is paying for you to see a therapist for 16", "lPDkOxso5aY-00385-00203559-00204135": "weeks what is it that I can help you with and how can I help this benefit", "lPDkOxso5aY-00386-00204135-00204624": "your life when we would talk about staying clean you know I'm not talking", "lPDkOxso5aY-00387-00204624-00205107": "about stopping using forever if that's not what you want to do what I am", "lPDkOxso5aY-00388-00205107-00205646": "talking about is you need to stay clean while you're on probation or you're", "lPDkOxso5aY-00389-00205646-00206031": "going to get violated and go back to jail so let me help you stay clean while", "lPDkOxso5aY-00390-00206031-00206390": "you're on probation and then when you're off papers you can make whatever", "lPDkOxso5aY-00391-00206390-00207006": "decision you want to make and putting the power back into their court really", "lPDkOxso5aY-00392-00207006-00207627": "helped a lot in the criminal justice system issues like everything else it", "lPDkOxso5aY-00393-00207627-00207989": "can work with coping skills mental health substance abuse issues", "lPDkOxso5aY-00394-00207989-00208517": "relationship and interpersonal issues traumas and losses now in the criminal", "lPDkOxso5aY-00395-00208517-00208838": "justice system there's also that the additional issue of changing", "lPDkOxso5aY-00396-00208838-00209390": "criminogenic thinking and there are a lot of thinking styles and cognitive", "lPDkOxso5aY-00397-00209390-00209901": "distortions that go along with being involved in the criminal justice system", "lPDkOxso5aY-00398-00209901-00210432": "so that's something else that needs to be addressed and reintegration services", "lPDkOxso5aY-00399-00210432-00210878": "are another huge part of providing services to the criminal justice", "lPDkOxso5aY-00400-00210878-00211419": "population they need case management and linkages with wraparound services a lot", "lPDkOxso5aY-00401-00211419-00211806": "of times people are discharged charged from jail and they've got $10 in", "lPDkOxso5aY-00402-00211806-00212273": "their pocket they've got no job they may not have anywhere to go back to or if", "lPDkOxso5aY-00403-00212273-00212867": "they do it may be a problematic situation so we want to make sure we try", "lPDkOxso5aY-00404-00212867-00213363": "to get people started off right we want to make sure they've got a good resume", "lPDkOxso5aY-00405-00213363-00213767": "we want to make sure they've got good interviewing skills we want to make sure", "lPDkOxso5aY-00406-00213767-00214266": "that they've connected somewhere so they've got decent clothes to go", "lPDkOxso5aY-00407-00214266-00214758": "interview for a job we want to make sure that they know where they're gonna go to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00408-00214758-00215214": "start interviewing for a job we want to make sure they've got transportation we", "lPDkOxso5aY-00409-00215214-00215706": "want to you know all those things that a person needs you know you basically have", "lPDkOxso5aY-00410-00215706-00216204": "to think of somebody coming out of jail as starting with nothing and you've got", "lPDkOxso5aY-00411-00216204-00216663": "to say okay what do you need to function you need food you need shelter you need", "lPDkOxso5aY-00412-00216663-00217131": "employment to pay for electricity and shelter and all that stuff so let's", "lPDkOxso5aY-00413-00217131-00217689": "figure out how to get you signed up that way they have everything they need when", "lPDkOxso5aY-00414-00217689-00218010": "they walk out instead of just ten dollars in their pocket and a wish in a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00415-00218010-00218634": "prayer along with reintegration services and case management we want to provide", "lPDkOxso5aY-00416-00218634-00219141": "job and life skills they may not know how to manage their money very well", "lPDkOxso5aY-00417-00219141-00219507": "people who've been in and out of the criminal justice system most of their", "lPDkOxso5aY-00418-00219507-00220284": "life have become institutionalized if you will and they may not know how to", "lPDkOxso5aY-00419-00220284-00220830": "function as well on the outside they may feel more comfortable in jail because", "lPDkOxso5aY-00420-00220830-00221436": "they know the routines and they know how to get three hots and a cot and it's", "lPDkOxso5aY-00421-00221436-00222123": "important that we make sure that we help people figure out you know what's gonna", "lPDkOxso5aY-00422-00222123-00222690": "make living you know not in jail beneficial and productive and a good", "lPDkOxso5aY-00423-00222690-00223281": "experience for you and how can I help you achieve that problem solving courts", "lPDkOxso5aY-00424-00223281-00223719": "were created to assist consumers whose illegal behaviors or problematic", "lPDkOxso5aY-00425-00223719-00224112": "behaviors are thought to be the result of an underlying substance abuse or", "lPDkOxso5aY-00426-00224112-00224616": "mental health issue it involves weekly monitoring by the court daily contact", "lPDkOxso5aY-00427-00224616-00224963": "with a counselor provision of sanctions based on noncom", "lPDkOxso5aY-00428-00224963-00225323": "remember I said if they weren't compliant the judge could sentence them", "lPDkOxso5aY-00429-00225323-00225986": "to 30 days in up to 30 days in jail and progression through phases based on", "lPDkOxso5aY-00430-00225986-00226487": "demonstrated improvements and behaviors reactions and relationships the nice", "lPDkOxso5aY-00431-00226487-00227056": "thing with problem solving courts is it that tends to have some teeth to it and", "lPDkOxso5aY-00432-00227056-00227732": "so you get a little bit more compliance and buy-in consumers should be placed in", "lPDkOxso5aY-00433-00227732-00228152": "the least restrictive environment and when you do the ACM checklist you know", "lPDkOxso5aY-00434-00228152-00228546": "there are a lot of dimensions that you're look looking at from relapse", "lPDkOxso5aY-00435-00228546-00229123": "potential to recovery environment to behavioral issues emotional issues", "lPDkOxso5aY-00436-00229123-00229664": "physical issues you know all of those things add up and you want to figure out", "lPDkOxso5aY-00437-00229664-00230327": "at what level can this person be managed and you know start out with the lowest", "lPDkOxso5aY-00438-00230327-00230876": "level and say you know can we do it with early intervention you know a group a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00439-00230876-00231371": "couple of times a week for a few weeks will that do it if not do we need to go", "lPDkOxso5aY-00440-00231371-00232046": "with individual if we meet once a week for individual counseling will this", "lPDkOxso5aY-00441-00232046-00232823": "person be able to stay okay you know clean sober and you know their mental", "lPDkOxso5aY-00442-00232823-00233378": "health stuff stable the other six days of the week if not move up to intensive", "lPDkOxso5aY-00443-00233378-00234125": "outpatient can they do it if they're meeting three three hours a day for five", "lPDkOxso5aY-00444-00234125-00234863": "days a week if so great if not and a lot of my clients really would benefit from", "lPDkOxso5aY-00445-00234863-00235400": "partial hospitalization initially because the weekends used to be their", "lPDkOxso5aY-00446-00235400-00235913": "Bugaboo the two days they didn't come in where they're Bugaboo and they would end", "lPDkOxso5aY-00447-00235913-00236609": "up relapsing getting into some drama whatever that would trigger problems so", "lPDkOxso5aY-00448-00236609-00237236": "you know we really want to look at can this person get get by on the weekends", "lPDkOxso5aY-00449-00237236-00237776": "because most programs don't offer IOP services on the weekend so clients are", "lPDkOxso5aY-00450-00237776-00238267": "not only not at work but they're also not in treatment so they've got a lot of", "lPDkOxso5aY-00451-00238267-00238582": "free time if you don't think they can make that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00452-00238582-00239089": "then look at partial hospitalization or short-term residential if they've been", "lPDkOxso5aY-00453-00239089-00239654": "through short-term residential multiple times and haven't succeeded then you may", "lPDkOxso5aY-00454-00239654-00240187": "consider long-term residential and long-term residential isn't you know an", "lPDkOxso5aY-00455-00240187-00240687": "option for a lot of people because insurance often doesn't cover it but", "lPDkOxso5aY-00456-00240687-00241162": "especially for the criminally criminal-justice involved long-term", "lPDkOxso5aY-00457-00241162-00241888": "residential often is an option so look at what may be available sometimes you", "lPDkOxso5aY-00458-00241888-00242557": "can get sentences reduced for people if they do their last year at a long-term", "lPDkOxso5aY-00459-00242557-00243200": "residential facility instead of doing it in jail which means you know they're", "lPDkOxso5aY-00460-00243200-00243535": "getting out of jail a year early but they're going to this facility that's", "lPDkOxso5aY-00461-00243535-00244111": "going to set them up for success there are benefits and drawbacks to all levels", "lPDkOxso5aY-00462-00244111-00244735": "of care and outpatient you know it's cheaper it's less travelling for the", "lPDkOxso5aY-00463-00244735-00245467": "person it is less imposition on them but it may not be enough intensity intensive", "lPDkOxso5aY-00464-00245467-00245996": "outpatient a lot of people struggle because it requires so much time that", "lPDkOxso5aY-00465-00245996-00246517": "they don't feel like they can do it in addition to their family and their jobs", "lPDkOxso5aY-00466-00246517-00247015": "and everything else short term residential it's great because it", "lPDkOxso5aY-00467-00247015-00247387": "provides people a break from the stresses out there where they can just", "lPDkOxso5aY-00468-00247387-00247831": "focus on their recovery but the bad thing is it doesn't transition them", "lPDkOxso5aY-00469-00247831-00248308": "unless they step down to intensive outpatient it doesn't transition them", "lPDkOxso5aY-00470-00248308-00248784": "and prepare them as well to handle life on life's terms", "lPDkOxso5aY-00471-00248784-00249331": "long-term residential does a better job of transitioning people but a lot of", "lPDkOxso5aY-00472-00249331-00249769": "people don't want to be away from their families for an entire year so you want", "lPDkOxso5aY-00473-00249769-00250108": "to look at the benefits and the drawbacks and again really consider what", "lPDkOxso5aY-00474-00250108-00250819": "is the least restrictive environment that your client can maintain sobriety", "lPDkOxso5aY-00475-00250819-00251450": "and men and their mental health issues problem solving courts have demonstrated", "lPDkOxso5aY-00476-00251450-00251896": "a lot of success so if you have a client who has done okay and intensive", "lPDkOxso5aY-00477-00251896-00252478": "outpatient before but you know not wonderfully if they can get involved in", "lPDkOxso5aY-00478-00252478-00252921": "a problem-solving court and obviously this is only if they're it criminally", "lPDkOxso5aY-00479-00252921-00253482": "just involved in the criminal justice system but if they are then a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00480-00253482-00253951": "problem-solving court might be the next step before residential if they don't", "lPDkOxso5aY-00481-00253951-00254694": "want to go to residential alrighty well that is our summary of models of", "lPDkOxso5aY-00482-00254694-00255301": "treatment or basically where you can get treatment and hopefully you learned a", "lPDkOxso5aY-00483-00255301-00255802": "few things and you've started to figure out what might be a good fit for you as", "lPDkOxso5aY-00484-00255802-00256879": "a clinician if you enjoy this podcast please like and subscribe either in your", "lPDkOxso5aY-00485-00256879-00257281": "podcast player or on youtube you can attend and participate in our live", "lPDkOxso5aY-00486-00257281-00257688": "webinars with doctor Snipes by subscribing at all CEUs dot-com /", "lPDkOxso5aY-00487-00257688-00258223": "counselor toolbox this episode has been brought to you in part by all CEUs comm", "lPDkOxso5aY-00488-00258223-00258703": "providing 24/7 multimedia continuing education and pre certification training", "lPDkOxso5aY-00489-00258703-00259311": "to counselors therapists and nurses since 2006 use coupon code consular", "lPDkOxso5aY-00490-00259311-00259844": "toolbox to get a 20% discount off your order this month"}}, {"audio_id": "lPMwG5CCmYy", "text": {"lPMwG5CCmYy-00000-00000022-00000616": "let's continue with the second part of the video about the Yokai", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00001-00000616-00000942": "the monsters of japanese folclore.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00002-00001014-00001408": "The nue is a mix of different animals,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00003-00001408-00001582": "it has a monkey face,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00004-00001582-00001854": "tiger legs, snake tail,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00005-00001854-00002180": "he is able to whistle like a bird, and also to fly,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00006-00002180-00002446": "also if there is no trace of wings.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00007-00002446-00002750": "In the heyan period, the emperor Tobe started to hear", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00008-00002750-00003182": "every night some noises from the Nue", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00009-00003198-00003374": "and because of that, he became ill.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00010-00003374-00003608": "Minamoto Yonorimasa a well-known archer,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00011-00003608-00003847": "was the one that needed to resolve that problem,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00012-00003847-00004146": "he stayed at night in the garden of the palace,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00013-00004146-00004574": "and when he heard the noise of the yokai, he shooted him with an arrow", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00014-00004616-00004826": "The dead body fell down, and", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00015-00004826-00005246": "the assistant Hino Ayata did shoot him afterwards with his katana", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00016-00005246-00005576": "the Nue was killed and his body was putted on a ship", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00017-00005576-00005790": "and it navigated on the Kamogawa river,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00018-00006010-00006745": "the ship did not arrive at the end and it stopped in the yogo perfecture.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00019-00006745-00007242": "right between the two lakes: ----", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00020-00007254-00007668": "everywhere, where this ship did pass or strand,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00021-00007668-00007958": "the people did build santuaries, called Nuezuka,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00022-00007958-00008446": "to keep the yokai inattentive, through prayers, until the end of his life.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00023-00008446-00008848": "The Nue appears sometimes in the videogame of Final Fantasy", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00024-00008848-00009146": "this is the Nue in FF4.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00025-00009262-00009708": "it's a really thin guy, but with a very big belly", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00026-00009708-00009928": "like the one, when we eat to much.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00027-00009942-00010428": "It's dangerous for the people that hike in mountains/forests...", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00028-00010428-00011044": "he is able to let people starve for hunger and then they die, because they're to hungry.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00029-00011044-00011216": "The verb HIDARU,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00030-00011216-00011526": "it means literally- having an empty stomach", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00031-00011820-00012312": "It's told that the monster lives from the people that starve and die", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00032-00012332-00012800": "to be able to escape from his glance, you always need to bring food,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00033-00012810-00013088": "and when these effects of hunger are coming,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00034-00013108-00013394": "you need to eat very slowly and with calm,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00035-00013394-00013663": "taking a lot of time until the yokai doesn't give up.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00036-00013663-00013934": "The most dangerous Hidarugami", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00037-00013934-00014050": "appeared in the Shige perfecture,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00038-00014050-00014341": "in the mountain that connected Coga and Iga.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00039-00014354-00014872": "He stopped the people and asked if they had eaten the Shazuge,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00040-00014872-00015124": "a typical local dish (rice boiled in tea)", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00041-00015124-00015632": "if the person said yes, the yokai opened his stomach", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00042-00015632-00016040": "and he eated all of the Shazuge from the stomach of the person.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00043-00016040-00016584": "Until now if anybody asks this question, nobody is answering to you.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00044-00016592-00017020": "We can find this monster in the first volume of the manga \"hoshe no hidarugami)", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00046-00017150-00017350": "The yokai known as --", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00047-00017350-00017576": "it has the form of a small insect", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00048-00017576-00017876": "this insects go in the bodies of people and they get sick.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00049-00017876-00018294": "The first symptoms, as told, are fever and stomach ache,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00050-00018328-00018604": "the fever can last also 10 days,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00051-00018604-00018982": "and like on the stomach a new mounth is growing", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00052-00018988-00019386": "this mouth behaves independently,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00053-00019386-00019692": "and it never stops to eat", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00054-00019692-00019986": "so, you need to feed it very often,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00055-00019986-00020342": "She is able to speak, but only says easy sentences,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00056-00020342-00020600": "like the ones that a parrot can say.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00057-00020600-00020898": "She will always food", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00058-00020898-00021336": "the only known method to escape from it's possession,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00059-00021336-00021580": "is to feed it with stones,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00060-00021580-00021882": "the mouth will disappear in a few hours,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00061-00021882-00022206": "and the yokai will try to escape through the anus,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00062-00022206-00022356": "but it dies.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00063-00022356-00022732": "It's said that it can't live outside the body.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00064-00022732-00023202": "Also a intestinal parasite in japanese it's called --", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00066-00023316-00023844": "This is one of the most mysterious yokai, where there is no specific image of it.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00067-00023916-00024386": "But the effects of it's possessions are well-known.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00068-00024408-00024640": "The body is getting fatter without any stop,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00069-00024680-00025168": "and the person that is possessed wants only to sleep on his futon.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00070-00025168-00025554": "It's told that this yokai affects only women,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00071-00025558-00025894": "other say that this nebutori has a female aspect,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00072-00025894-00026118": "where during the day she's beautiful and thin,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00073-00026118-00026456": "and during the night she's fat like a cow.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00074-00026456-00026998": "Some say that this nebutori is not real and that it's just a farce for those that are too lazy", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00075-00026998-00027488": "in the manga -- the nebutori possesses a youn lady.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00077-00027627-00028068": "This yokai is pictured as a single eye in the middle of a storm", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00078-00028068-00028250": "or often at a typhoon.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00079-00028250-00028566": "The description in the legends is very different", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00080-00028586-00028827": "a big dragon that can be over 100 meters long,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00081-00028844-00029266": "brings over 20 typhoons from above.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00082-00029266-00029783": "In all descriptions that you see, this yokai has only one eye", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00083-00029804-00030037": "many say that it wasn't like that in the beginning.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00084-00030038-00030238": "Very often it's described without an eye", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00085-00030238-00030422": "and the other has a empty orbit.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00086-00030422-00030886": "to let it be understood that in an unknown world it has lost its second eye.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00087-00030888-00031210": "His presence activates thunder, lightning", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00088-00031210-00031467": "and rain, it happens 20 times,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00089-00031468-00031704": "that destroys houses and ships,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00090-00031704-00031958": "in the city of Kuwana, Mie perfecture,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00091-00031958-00032412": "you can find a shinto sanctuary that is called --", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00092-00032412-00032884": "it's dedicated to the yokai, to be able to prevent it's fury and hate.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00093-00032902-00033778": "This sanctuary has no type of door, so that it's easier for the one eye dragon to go in and out without any problems.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00094-00033778-00033988": "In japanese --", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00095-00033988-00034336": "it means, also if it's in a archaic term, - without looking -", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00096-00034336-00034812": "it referrs to someone that doesn't look when he/she does something", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00097-00034812-00034952": "or where he/she puts the feet.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00098-00034952-00035302": "It is a sign that you need to escape, when the yokai appears.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00099-00035302-00035654": "Some think that the yokai is the physical manifestation of a typhoon", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00100-00035670-00035854": "and the link between his missing eye  and", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00101-00035854-00036128": "the famous cyclone eye.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00102-00036174-00036440": "is one of the Co-protagonists of the anime --", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00104-00036676-00037118": "Some time ago it was told that someone tried to seize the Meiji castle,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00105-00037122-00037620": "but a woman called Okiku (- a secret spy of the castle owner)", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00106-00037630-00037844": "betrayed the owner", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00107-00037844-00038216": "but she was discovered and executed", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00108-00038216-00038470": "with tied hands and feet, she was thrown in a water well,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00109-00038470-00038618": "right behind the castle,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00110-00038618-00039086": "so this woman became a yurei (ghost) and she scared all the people around", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00111-00039086-00039246": "but after some time", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00112-00039246-00039486": "the yurei became a yokai,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00113-00039486-00039958": "and it's previous form did change into a young tied lady", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00114-00039958-00040128": "and she began to multiply.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00115-00040128-00040554": "A lot of simultaneous appearances talked about a woman as big as the palm of a hand", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00116-00040632-00040922": "and at first sight she seemed to be tied by hands and feet", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00117-00040922-00041202": "but when you looked closely it was a deformed body", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00118-00041202-00041338": "similar to an insect body,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00119-00041338-00041604": "Mushi (japanese word for insect)", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00120-00041604-00041904": "(type of butterfly)", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00121-00041904-00042206": "is inspired by this type Mushi", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00123-00042296-00042680": "it's a yokai that you can see as very instructive", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00124-00042680-00042918": "in fact its appearence, in some way,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00125-00042920-00043226": "should go and cure own human faults and to carry the sinner on the right path.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00126-00043226-00043516": "Its form is humanoid", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00127-00043516-00043884": "also if only the upper body is visible", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00128-00043884-00044124": "while the rest remains under the ground", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00129-00044124-00044516": "it has only one eye and maybe the other one is covered by mud.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00130-00044516-00044798": "It hides its face and body, it has 3 fingers in each hand", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00131-00044798-00045026": "and also its hight is like a human,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00132-00045026-00045328": "it appears every night in every rice field,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00133-00045328-00045556": "and it screams \"give back my field!\"", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00134-00045560-00046018": "Typical for the tohoku this yokai appears when the fiel is neglected", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00135-00046018-00046540": "In previous generations, they took great care of these fields", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00136-00046540-00047106": "for a better future.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00137-00047106-00047362": "It appeared in the past, but mostly nowadays,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00138-00047362-00047934": "where younger generations did neglected those given fields", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00139-00048120-00048300": "and so the Dorotobo appeared.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00140-00048300-00048972": "Some think that this dorotobo descends from a yurei, that arises from the anguish of parents who see their efforts fading.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00141-00048972-00049134": "or mostly,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00142-00049134-00049652": "it's the field that inherent in the profound dedication of years and years, seeing itself abandoned", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00143-00049666-00049858": "gives birth to this yokai.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00144-00049858-00050208": "it also appears in some episodes of Dragon Ball.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00146-00050362-00050604": "It's maybe the most known yokai in the world,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00147-00050604-00050780": "half human and half fish,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00148-00050780-00051226": "there are a lot of variants of this yokai,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00149-00051260-00051779": "(mermaid look)", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00150-00051808-00052229": "and some say its lenght goes from 1 meter to 10/15 meters...", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00151-00052236-00052724": "and sometimes it's portrayed with human legs and a fish head,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00152-00052724-00053010": "or with the whole body as a fish and only the head is human,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00153-00053010-00053317": "and then also arms and hands did appear, but that's rare.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00154-00053317-00053748": "It sounds unusual but there are no legends in Japan that speak of Ningyo,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00155-00053766-00054064": "and it's not portrayed like the ones that we know.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00157-00054367-00054628": "sometimes also men where mentioned, not only women.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00158-00054628-00055046": "Some say that these Ningyo stir the ocean,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00159-00055046-00055444": "and if somebody succeeds eating its meat, will live forever", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00160-00055444-00055729": "the oldest testimony about a Ningyo in Japan,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00161-00055729-00056020": "dates back to 619 in Osaka.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00162-00056020-00056338": "Where a fishersman did find her kidnapped in the fishing net", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00163-00056338-00056529": "The emperor official --", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00164-00056529-00056924": "did meet a ningyo in the Shiga perfecture,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00165-00056924-00057848": "the ninghyo did punish a man for fishing too much, she killed him and after his death, he was reincarnated in a Ningyo.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00166-00057898-00058124": "When the emperor official did hear about this story,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00167-00058124-00058929": "he decided to build a buddhist temple, to prevent these kind of attacks", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00168-00058929-00059190": "It's the Kanunshoji temple", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00169-00059190-00059441": "this temple still exists", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00170-00059441-00059848": "and until 1993 it was possibly to see the death body of a Ningyo.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00171-00059848-00060224": "But because of a fire, it's body was lost forever,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00172-00060224-00060304": "Shutoku Taishi,", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00174-00060520-00060874": "is told that he had some relationships with these creatures.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00175-00060888-00061582": "And with the help of buddhist teachings and diplomacy, he managed to make the creatures meek and friendly.", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00176-00061626-00061838": "The mangaka --", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00177-00061852-00062191": "did publish a manga that talks about Ningyo", "lPMwG5CCmYy-00178-00062241-00062714": "If you want to know more, go and read Sasori's book."}}, {"audio_id": "lPVoCVV8xm0", "text": {"lPVoCVV8xm0-00000-00000089-00000802": "I’d like to organize the 40 minutes that we’ll have prepared remarks, by talking about two problems", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00001-00000853-00001509": "to which the solution is Bitcoin and Blockchain and I’m going to frame them in an Austrian way, but do it in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00002-00001565-00002125": "maybe a little bit non-Austrian, not precise Austrian methods because I believe that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00003-00002168-00002944": "some of the Austrian methods have been a little too narrow and we’ve missed some things and I’ll explain that as I go through.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00004-00003005-00003237": "But, the problems I’m talking about are, the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00005-00003335-00003509": "moneyness of credit and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00006-00003509-00004284": "inaccuracies in Wall Street ledger systems. The moneyness of credit is a phrase that Doug Noland, one of my favorite", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00007-00004328-00004864": "economists, uses. He’s not strictly Austrian, but he writes the Credit Bubble Bulletin and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00008-00005080-00005643": "history will be very kind to his chronicling of the credit bubble that we’ve been in for the last 30 years. And", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00009-00005687-00005959": "what he means by moneyness of credit is that debt", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00010-00005978-00006690": "instruments in the fixed income markets, things like bonds, treasury bonds, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac bonds, actually function as money and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00011-00006767-00007417": "in institutional markets and I’ll go into that and explain why that has helped proliferate the debt bubble that we’re in.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00012-00007435-00007725": "The second problem is Wall Street’s ledgers are inaccurate.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00013-00007795-00008484": "Inherently, they lose track of who really owns what and we should not trust our brokerage statements. The solution to both of these problems,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00014-00008485-00009273": "which of course, both stem from the fact that we have unsound money, is creating sound money, creating an honest ledger system.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00015-00009338-00009870": "The current system creates more claims to wealth than there is real wealth in the economy", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00016-00009934-00010134": "and yet, the solution is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00017-00010147-00010500": "fixing that. It’s right in front of our faces with this new technology.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00018-00010500-00010574": "I'm", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00019-00010574-00011229": "not going to give you a downer of a speech, though, when talking about these problems because I’m actually quite optimistic.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00020-00011239-00011808": "Bitcoin is what makes me optimistic that the future is not bleak. It is history’s first", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00021-00011878-00012038": "universally honest ledger.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00022-00012038-00012723": "It’s the only one that truly exists in many ways and it has fomented the rise of a parallel financial system", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00023-00012723-00013490": "that is now quite large and I’ll explain. All of us have read Murray Rothbard’s Mystery of Banking. That book was written in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00024-00013537-00013772": "1983. Hold that date in your mind.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00025-00013804-00014285": "I believe, and he explains how fractional reserve banking works in this book.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00026-00014319-00014625": "We all understand how it works in the traditional banking system.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00027-00014629-00015140": "You take a dollar of monetary base and it gets multiplied up into $10 of M2,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00028-00015190-00015576": "but the reality is, that’s not how the financial system works anymore and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00029-00015643-00015975": "most of the credit that has been created in the last 25 years,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00030-00016044-00016529": "has been created outside of the traditional banking system. It still exists, but it’s just not that meaningful.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00031-00016560-00017057": "What’s more meaningful is the shadow banking system and I believe that if Rothbard were alive,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00032-00017057-00017639": "he would have written a sequel to The Mystery of Banking, which would be called the Mystery of Shadow Banking.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00033-00017643-00017999": "That’s a book that I very much hope that an academic picks up and writes.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00034-00018057-00018395": "And that’s because money has taken on a much broader definition", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00035-00018435-00018896": "in the securities markets, than the traditional definitions of", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00036-00018957-00019107": "fiat money.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00037-00019107-00019577": "Effectively, money is anything that can be financed in the securities financing markets,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00038-00019681-00020273": "especially that which the primary dealers can finance at the Fed, either through the repo market or through", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00039-00020307-00020840": "the discount window. And that means Treasury bonds, Fannie Mae and Freddie backed bonds,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00040-00020913-00021179": "mortgage backed securities, even corporate bonds,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00041-00021268-00021876": "effectively become money because they can be financed at the discount window and in the repo market. A", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00042-00021940-00022104": "repurchase agreement is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00043-00022104-00022316": "an agreement to pledge a", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00044-00022356-00023057": "security in exchange for a loan of cash and then repurchase it later at an agreed price, so that’s an implicit discount rate.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00045-00023057-00023432": "Most of the repo market is overnight and in fact actually, instead of", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00046-00023490-00024011": "the Fed injecting monetary base into the traditional banking system, the Fed creates money by injecting", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00047-00024025-00024251": "monetary base into the repo market.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00048-00024251-00024947": "It is a very important market that is not well understood by Austrians and I think that that’s one of the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00049-00025006-00025607": "reasons, as I’ll talk in a little bit, why some of the Austrians miss the impact of the financial crisis,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00050-00025672-00026207": "predicting that we would see hyper inflation and we didn’t. I’ll explain a little bit more about that in a moment.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00051-00026233-00026597": "But, the degree of moneyness of fixed income assets", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00052-00026715-00027221": "fluctuates. It ebbs and flows. Sometimes the repo market will finance non-investment grade bonds.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00053-00027291-00027797": "Sometimes there’s no bid for those. But, what got me down this path was,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00054-00027864-00028448": "scratching my head, wondering why sometimes in the repo market treasury bonds are more valuable than cash.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00055-00028555-00028916": "You actually have a negative interest rate to borrow a treasury bond.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00056-00028916-00029363": "It’s what’s called the general collateral financing rate, GCF rate, when periodically", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00057-00029418-00029660": "that goes negative. What that means is that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00058-00029733-00030461": "in the institutional money markets, treasuries are more valuable than cash and the reason is, that they can be", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00059-00030531-00031304": "repoed, they can be rehypothecated and leveraged multiple times whereas cash cannot be. The impact of all of this,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00060-00031305-00031500": "I want to spend more time on the definition of it,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00061-00031500-00031910": "but I wanted to lay it out because the impact of all of this is ballooning debt, particularly", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00062-00031977-00032177": "since 1983", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00063-00032224-00032489": "when Rothbard happened to write his book and again", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00064-00032489-00032735": "I think if he were alive,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00065-00032755-00033018": "he would have known this, he would have been all on top of it.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00066-00033043-00033437": "But, let’s explain, let’s dive into now some of the numbers", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00067-00033490-00034076": "explaining why the moneyness of credit has resulted in this monstrosity that’s on the graph right here,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00068-00034077-00034668": "which is nonfinancial sector debt. We’re now in the United States at 72 trillion of nonfinancial sector debt.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00069-00034725-00035105": "And as you see, there’s been no deleveraging, has not actually declined", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00070-00035163-00035630": "and I’m focusing on non-financial sector debt instead of total debt", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00071-00035658-00036101": "for one simple reason. The financial sector intermediates debt out into the real economy.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00072-00036102-00036615": "And so, if you look at total debt where you count financial sector and non-financial sector debt,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00073-00036615-00036768": "you’re actually double counting.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00074-00036768-00036850": "The real", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00075-00036850-00037505": "borrowers in the economy are of course, outside of the financial sector and that’s why I focus on this. And it turns out, this", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00076-00037531-00037581": "analysis,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00077-00037581-00037925": "if you define money and credit more broadly to", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00078-00037950-00038570": "include the entire fixed income market, effectively, what you’re picking up is some very interesting things about the economy.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00079-00038640-00038864": "Of course in here in this, you see that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00080-00038908-00039243": "the federal government was the bulk of the increase in the borrowing,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00081-00039262-00039650": "as well as the state and local governments and the Fed itself, since the financial crisis.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00082-00039737-00040449": "We’re going to track this area in this graph as a single red line, in the next couple of charts and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00083-00040538-00040924": "there’s our red line, our total nonfinancial sector debt", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00084-00040976-00041665": "is now 72 trillion, that’s just the sum of all of the different colors in the previous graph.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00085-00041684-00041904": "But, what I've added to this chart is,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00086-00041966-00042163": "cumulative private sector savings.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00087-00042163-00042457": "This is an Austrian analysis, in effect, by saying", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00088-00042506-00043161": "that we need to compare the amount of debt that’s been borrowed to the amount of savings that was saved because, as you know, Mises", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00089-00043178-00043729": "would say that the amount of debt that was borrowed from real savings is legitimate debt.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00090-00043729-00044248": "he called that commodity credit and the amount of debt that was borrowed in excess of real savings", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00091-00044258-00044916": "was the illegitimate debt, the circulation credit. And in effect this chart puts some numbers to that.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00092-00044957-00045177": "Everything from zero up until the green line is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00093-00045230-00045505": "commodity credit, in effect. That’s the legitimate amount of debt.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00094-00045566-00045895": "Everything between the green line and the red line is the circulation credit and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00095-00045917-00046411": "it turns out that, as you see, the red line is significantly above the green line and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00096-00046454-00046936": "that’s cumulatively since World War II, almost entirely since we went off the gold standard,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00097-00046979-00047292": "we’ve borrowed $40 and a half trillion of excess debt, in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00098-00047300-00047821": "effect, $2 of debt for every $1 of savings in the US economy since World War II.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00099-00047852-00048565": "We’re now going to look at this exact same dataset, except instead of looking at the stock,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00100-00048599-00049053": "we’re going to look at the flow. Instead of looking at the period end amounts outstanding,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00101-00049054-00049546": "we’re going to look at the change and it turns out, we’re going to follow that in the next three slides, it turns out that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00102-00049546-00049634": "there’s some", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00103-00049634-00050373": "tremendously interesting observations that you can pull out both about the economy and about financial markets, by looking at it this way.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00104-00050432-00050908": "So, there’s our red line, except now we’re looking at the change in debt borrowed and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00105-00050942-00051534": "the green line is just the amount of savings in each of those quarterly periods dating back to", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00106-00051587-00052003": "just after World War II. But, what I wanted to share with you here, is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00107-00052030-00052552": "that if you look at the left hand side of the chart, the red and green lines are basically right on top of each other.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00108-00052613-00052830": "That's not a function of the scale", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00109-00052863-00053417": "of the chart. That is a function of the fact that we actually had a tether on the amount of debt that could be created in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00110-00053417-00053684": "the financial system. It was called the gold standard. And", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00111-00053770-00054009": "before 1968, it turns out,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00112-00054136-00054747": "that those two lines in any given year were, one might be a little bit ahead of the other, but they’d always", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00113-00054775-00054984": "equal out. It was just a timing difference.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00114-00055024-00055251": "If you if you dive into the numbers,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00115-00055270-00055839": "we really truly were an equity financed economy, where the amount of debt that was borrowed, was", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00116-00055849-00056309": "actually equal to the amount of savings saved in the economy prior to 1968.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00117-00056379-00056820": "1968, we started cheating, as we know, because of guns and butter and then", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00118-00056872-00057086": "afterwards, every year except for one,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00119-00057109-00057878": "you see where the financial crisis was, right there, a little itty bitty bit of deleveraging in one year, in one quarter actually,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00120-00057910-00058677": "but debt has increased savings every year since we broke the tether on debt growth, which was the gold standard. And", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00121-00058789-00059352": "now, let’s look at that same graph in highlighting two different things, which is monetary policy decisions.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00122-00059404-00059759": "The first one, of course, we just talked about. We all know in 1971,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00123-00059782-00060410": "we broke the tether on debt growth by abandoning Bretton Woods, after having been cheating since 1968.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00124-00060451-00060864": "But, it turns out I think the bigger…maybe not the bigger mistake, but a", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00125-00060916-00061250": "tremendous mistake that I haven't seen anyone write about,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00126-00061312-00061650": "happened in 1982. Remember Rothbard wrote his book in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00127-00061675-00062391": "1983 and that was when the Fed shifted from targeting the quantity of credit to targeting the price of credit.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00128-00062440-00062966": "When they did that, they gave the keys to the kingdom to the financial sector", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00129-00063004-00063549": "to create as much debt as it wanted as long as the price of credit, the Fed funds rate,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00130-00063607-00064196": "remained in the target area and that’s when we really started to see, you see it on the chart,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00131-00064252-00064752": "beginning in 1983, under Volker, you really started to see that red line", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00132-00064798-00065436": "start to take off, relative to the green line and ever since then the financial sector has gone to town creating debt.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00133-00065449-00065649": "That was a tremendously", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00134-00065767-00065976": "colossal error. It happened again under Volker", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00135-00066039-00066279": "and what’s interesting is, they never announced it.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00136-00066280-00066499": "So, Rothbard wouldn’t have been able to pick it up at the time", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00137-00066524-00066924": "unless he were reading the Fed minutes, which were released several years later.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00138-00066931-00067320": "I only found it because of an academic who was writing about it,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00139-00067420-00067701": "understanding that it just happened in one meeting,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00140-00067701-00067868": "it was never publicly announced. But,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00141-00067868-00068437": "you can see how that was a meaningful change. Instead of targeting the quantity of credit and trying to control M1,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00142-00068461-00069084": "they were now targeting the price of credit and ever since then, have targeted the Fed Fund’s rate. Now,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00143-00069085-00069369": "let’s look at that same dataset, but highlight different things.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00144-00069382-00069768": "It turns out, that every time that red line grows a lot faster than the green line,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00145-00069768-00070227": "we have a financial market bubble. And I’m tracing five bubbles here,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00146-00070237-00070662": "only the first of which happened before that fateful 1983 decision.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00147-00070730-00070924": "And you see in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00148-00070924-00071490": "1974, we had a financial market bubble. The S&P went from 68 to 107 between", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00149-00071533-00071739": "1974 and 1976 and then it crashed.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00150-00071818-00072588": "And then, we had that fateful decision beginning in 1983 where you really start to see the debt numbers take off", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00151-00072641-00072910": "and that culminated in the ’87 crash.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00152-00072986-00073399": "Then you see, in the late 90s, the third bubble is the tech stock bubble", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00153-00073414-00073608": "and then of course, the housing bubble,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00154-00073608-00074238": "which is the biggest one to date, at least by these metrics. And then I believe we are in a government finance bubble and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00155-00074332-00074784": "we are not at the end of that bubble yet and that is probably the granddaddy of them all.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00156-00074827-00075246": "So, how much debt capacity remains? If you look at it on this basis,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00157-00075355-00075903": "it’s an interesting question because it helps to explain why we haven’t had the collapse yet. A lot of", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00158-00075974-00076422": "Austrians were saying when we abandoned the gold standard in 1971,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00159-00076423-00076863": "the dollar was going to collapse, but I think what was missed at that point in time,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00160-00076916-00077283": "was an understanding that we had a tremendous balance sheet.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00161-00077283-00077757": "There was basically no debt…no net debt on the balance sheet of the United States at that point in time.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00162-00077792-00078255": "Because our grandparents and their grandparents and their grandparents had bequeathed us a tremendous", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00163-00078287-00078822": "balance sheet with which, against we could start to borrow. And we really started borrowing beginning in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00164-00078856-00079359": "1968, as you saw and we haven’t stopped. We’ve gone to town.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00165-00079409-00080004": "But, the blue line I’ve introduced in this chart is US net wealth and you notice it’s always above the red line.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00166-00080072-00080677": "U.S. net wealth is the amount of unencumbered assets owned by Americans, unencumbered by debt.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00167-00080732-00081159": "The red line is the total amount of nonfinancial sector debt. You may be thinking", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00168-00081182-00081332": "aren't I double counting because I'm", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00169-00081332-00081940": "pulling out the debt from net wealth and then I’ comparing it again, to the debt. What I’m really trying to get at is, at", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00170-00081940-00082140": "a macro level, I know we hate that word,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00171-00082148-00082438": "but when you aggregate all the borrowings", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00172-00082457-00082692": "of individuals and aggregate all the assets of", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00173-00082700-00083158": "individuals, how many unencumbered assets are there that can support all that dollar denominated debt", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00174-00083158-00083529": "and it turns out that there are more. The total amount of", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00175-00083602-00084168": "US net wealth right now is $92 trillion and the total amount of nonfinancial sector debt is $72 trillion.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00176-00084169-00084666": "We’re adding about 2 and a half to 3 trillion of nonfinancial sector debt a year. So, what this suggests", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00177-00084733-00085281": "potentially is that it could keep going. I think it more specifically explains why the dollar hasn’t collapsed yet", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00178-00085282-00085743": "because there’s asset value implicitly supporting the dollar. That’s the spread between the blue and red lines.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00179-00085858-00086604": "But, here’s the fly in the ointment of this analysis, it’s circular because the asset value is supported by the debt itself.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00180-00086690-00086890": "And so, at some point,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00181-00087002-00087246": "this is not to say that we’re going to continue forever,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00182-00087323-00087544": "being able to support asset values with", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00183-00087617-00087933": "issuing more debt and pushing interest rates down. And", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00184-00088064-00088443": "there’s a $20 trillion spread right now between total US", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00185-00088444-00088644": "net wealth and nonfinancial sector debt,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00186-00088646-00089403": "but remember the circulation credit that will in theory be liquidated, is $40 and a half trillion. So, it does suggest that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00187-00089462-00089602": "unfortunately this is not going to end well.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00188-00089636-00089991": "This doesn’t help tell us when it’s going to end, but it helps, I think explain why", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00189-00090005-00090337": "we didn’t see the crash and the end of the dollar, yet.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00190-00090407-00091108": "Let me turn now to the second problem, which is issues in Wall Street’s ledger systems, that are prone to inaccuracies and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00191-00091199-00091620": "it’s related to the earlier problem. I’ll connect them in a moment,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00192-00091620-00091914": "but the way securities used to work was very simple.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00193-00091945-00092610": "Issuers issued this stock certificates in paper form to the investor. When I say by investor there, is either you", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00194-00092656-00093141": "individually or through your agent, like a pension fund or a mutual fund or an insurance company.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00195-00093155-00093885": "But, you always owned the stock certificate in paper form, that’s how it used to work. Since 1994, we’ve got this very", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00196-00093937-00094075": "convoluted", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00197-00094075-00094515": "procedure here, where you see that the issuer issues securities to a", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00198-00094568-00095103": "company called Cede & Co, which is owned by the Depository Trust Corporation and then", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00199-00095137-00095898": "the custodians hold the securities on your behalf. So, there are a minimum of three, sometimes five or six layers between you and the issuer.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00200-00095960-00096201": "When I first figured this out, it was amazing.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00201-00096201-00096456": "I was working in capital markets and looking at a bond", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00202-00096473-00097156": "prospectus and in the prospectus, is language that says that the issuer of the bond has no obligation to pay interest and principal to the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00203-00097162-00097312": "investor.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00204-00097312-00097710": "Think about that. That is expressly in the bond prospectus,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00205-00097711-00098190": "you are buying a bond and you are not getting an obligation to pay interest and principal from the issuer.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00206-00098222-00098445": "What's happening is the issuer is paying", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00207-00098486-00099286": "Cede & Co., who has an obligation to pay the custodian, who has an obligation to pay you. These layers of intermediaries", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00208-00099331-00099531": "create unnecessary", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00209-00099550-00099686": "counter party risk,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00210-00099686-00100326": "operational risk and the risk that the system gets out of sync because each one of those layers is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00211-00100373-00100659": "reconciling against each other until", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00212-00100712-00101325": "five…probably more like 10 years ago, all of these companies batch processed their transactions overnight.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00213-00101360-00101800": "That’s part of the reason why it took three days, now it’s two days, to settle securities", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00214-00101810-00102195": "transactions because it’s got to go through layers of intermediaries each one of them needing a day,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00215-00102250-00102870": "overnight, to process the transactions. And so, you can see that this system inherently foments", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00216-00102923-00103359": "inaccuracies because they’re not all going to be in sync at the same time and it also", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00217-00103424-00103927": "creates settlement delays where it takes, it requires two days to settle securities transactions.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00218-00103976-00104764": "However, the technology no longer requires that. We’ve long past moved the need to have this crazy system, but we’re stuck with the legacy.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00219-00104890-00105077": "What are the problems?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00220-00105077-00105447": "Some of you are probably skeptical and thinking, I trust my brokerage account.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00221-00105469-00105859": "I trust my broker. I’ve never found a mistake. They’re honest.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00222-00105859-00106529": "Well, let me give you some examples. The first one was just about a year ago, in litigation in Delaware, Dole Food,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00223-00106575-00107165": "there was a class action lawsuit and the details aren’t important, but here’s what matters.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00224-00107196-00107678": "There were 36.7 million shares of Dole Food outstanding and in a class action", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00225-00107729-00108031": "lawsuit, there were 49.2 million", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00226-00108114-00108784": "claimants to the consideration in the class action lawsuit. Again, 49.2 million people", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00227-00108854-00109588": "had valid brokerage statements showing that they owned Dole Food shares, all of whom had valid brokerage statements,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00228-00109665-00110185": "49.2 million, but there really were only 36.7 million Dole Food shares outstanding.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00229-00110216-00110740": "That’s what Patrick Byrne will call the bezel, when he talks in a moment.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00230-00110780-00111439": "If that makes you not trust your brokerage statement, good, because I don’t trust mine. All of those 49.2 million", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00231-00111483-00111728": "showed up on valid valid brokerage statements.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00232-00111728-00112222": "And again, it’s because of these layers of intermediaries that can get out of whack at any given moment in time.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00233-00112302-00112594": "Procter and Gamble, you might have read there was a big proxy fight.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00234-00112595-00112940": "It was all over the business newspapers at the end of last year.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00235-00112971-00113233": "Well, in the first count in the proxy vote,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00236-00113277-00113719": "it came out that Procter and Gamble’s candidate won by 6.2 million votes.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00237-00113745-00114497": "They did a second count and it turned out that the challenger, Nelson Peltz, won by 42,780 votes. And", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00238-00114513-00115154": "then they did a third count and it swung back, Procter and Gamble won by 498,312 votes.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00239-00115188-00115633": "Let me go through that again. The first vote was plus 6.2 million.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00240-00115677-00116443": "The second was minus 42,780 and the third was plus 498,312.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00241-00116444-00116765": "If this doesn’t give you any confidence in financial", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00242-00116804-00117583": "systems, good because it shows you how wildly inaccurate the accounting systems are that you can’t even get an accurate proxy vote count.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00243-00117635-00117779": "The reality is,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00244-00117779-00118336": "Procter and Gamble after that third count, threw in the towel and said, and invited Nelson Peltz on the board.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00245-00118341-00119020": "They had already spent $125 million between them fighting over that board seat. And they knew there was no", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00246-00119051-00119504": "possibility of getting an accurate vote count and so they just decided to stop fighting and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00247-00119547-00120323": "invited Nelson Peltz on the board. Yahoo had a similar situation. There was a recount of a proxy contest that revealed", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00248-00120381-00120601": "20% of the votes had been miscounted.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00249-00120654-00120946": "I won’t go into the details about Dell, they’re a little more complicated,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00250-00120947-00121694": "but the gist is, it cost T. Rowe Price $194 million because of something that wasn’t even their fault, related to the fact that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00251-00121728-00122371": "they were no longer the record owner of the securities. I personally ran into a situation where I observed unauthorized", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00252-00122424-00123089": "securities lending happening in a pension fund that would not have been discoverable because it wasn’t showing up on the brokerage statements.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00253-00123089-00123658": "There’s a lot of shenanigans that happen behind the scenes in the accounting systems and they’re inherently…", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00254-00123798-00124108": "they inherently don’t stay in sync with each other.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00255-00124125-00124546": "But, here’s the granddaddy of them all. By the way, on the bottom right,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00256-00124547-00124829": "I actually put the title of a speech, the Blockchain Plunger.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00257-00124829-00125197": "There’s a judge in Delaware who’s been a huge supporter of Blockchain technology", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00258-00125234-00125642": "and his speech that he gave to the Council of Institutional Investors is called, the Blockchain Plunger:", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00259-00125664-00126283": "Using Technology to Clean up Proxy Voting and Take Back the Vote. He’s as huge believer that the current system is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00260-00126339-00126447": "fundamentally", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00261-00126447-00126830": "broken and we need to deploy Blockchain in order to fix it.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00262-00126908-00127325": "But, on the upper right is the granddaddy of them all. The market that most", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00263-00127436-00127720": "over issued securities through the ledgers,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00264-00127791-00128059": "accounting systems of Wall Street and that’s the US Treasury market.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00265-00128139-00128369": "There’s an IMF economist who’s done a", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00266-00128418-00129175": "study to try to estimate how much treasures have been overissued. And he doesn’t call it that, he calls it collateral velocity.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00267-00129176-00129310": "It's back to that repo market", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00268-00129310-00129997": "I was talking about. The repo market is how most funding happens and how most money and credit is created in the financial system.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00269-00130026-00130139": "It's a huge market.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00270-00130139-00130798": "It trades, on average, $4.6 trillion a day in the United States. And he estimates how", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00271-00130839-00131521": "many times as single treasury bond has been posted as collateral, the very same treasury bond has been", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00272-00131550-00132068": "posted two times as collateral, down from three times, since the financial crisis,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00273-00132068-00132475": "so there’s been as little bit of deleveraging, but in plain English what that means, is that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00274-00132507-00133102": "one in every three parties who thinks they own a US Treasury security actually does", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00275-00133152-00133600": "because there's really only one Treasury security and even though all those financial institutions", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00276-00133620-00134209": "are reporting that they own the Treasury security because that’s how repo accounting works, the way it works is, you put a dollar of debt", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00277-00134226-00134768": "against that asset and then you turn around and repledge that asset and the other party puts a dollar of debt against that same asset", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00278-00134768-00134928": "and that keeps happening.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00279-00134928-00135298": "That’s how fractional reserve banking happens in the shadow banking system", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00280-00135315-00136019": "and it happens on a much larger base because remember, money in the shadow banking system includes every Treasury bond and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00281-00136053-00136744": "Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bonds too, whereas the Fed’s balance sheet in the traditional banking system is a much smaller number. So,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00282-00136803-00137282": "what effectively he’s saying, when you think about in the traditional banking system and zero", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00283-00137379-00137647": "typically gets multiplied by 10 to become M2", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00284-00137721-00138281": "well, the M zero of the shadow banking system is a much larger base and that gets multiplied by two", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00285-00138381-00138806": "to get a much, much bigger number. In effect, this is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00286-00138879-00139090": "a money creation", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00287-00139191-00139948": "regime that we don’t really understand and it’s very opaque, but this economist has done a tremendous amount of work identifying", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00288-00140046-00140246": "just how over issued", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00289-00140265-00140753": "government bonds, it’s not just in the US, but all over the world is. So, that ties back", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00290-00140769-00141196": "that moneyness of credit point to the fact that the accounting systems of Wall Street", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00291-00141197-00141815": "don’t keep track, keep accurate track of who owns what. It’s a game of musical chairs and it’s not going to end well.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00292-00141815-00142048": "If I’d given this speech to you in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00293-00142095-00142715": "2014 or 2013, I would have ended here and it would have been a downer because it would have made everybody feel really uncomfortable.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00294-00142731-00143413": "But, the good news is, we have a solution and that is history’s first honest ledger and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00295-00143454-00144097": "that is as blockchain, a universally honest ledger. It is a ledger system that is governed by the laws of math,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00296-00144165-00144365": "not the laws of man and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00297-00144375-00144965": "therefore it can’t be tampered with because the laws of math are immutable and there is no subjectivity in it. A", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00298-00145023-00145511": "blockchain allows multiple parties to see the same data at the same time and trust that it’s valid.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00299-00145600-00146397": "Again, a blockchain, in simple terms, allows multiple parties to see the same data at the same time and trust that it’s valid. It is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00300-00146398-00147108": "a new form of database technology that creates a single golden copy that all of the parties can share, shared infrastructure.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00301-00147109-00147645": "That’s why the banks are all interested in this. They all keep their own copies of ledgers and then reconcile against each other.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00302-00147646-00148081": "Well, if there’s as a way that they can keep only one ledger and not have to reconcile, they can cut a lot of costs out.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00303-00148091-00148627": "maybe they can cut all the time to settlement of securities transactions and payments out to.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00304-00148727-00149302": "Bitcoin was the first blockchain. It was created in October 2008, by Satoshi Nakamoto.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00305-00149302-00149622": "We don’t know who he, she or they is or were,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00306-00149714-00150234": "but what Satoshi did was create the first truly denationalized money that wasn’t", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00307-00150344-00150567": "specie. It has a finite number.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00308-00150632-00151285": "It will never have more than 21 million Bitcoins issued, by algorithm, that really can’t be changed.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00309-00151337-00152040": "I’ll talk about that in a minute. But, what Satoshi’s breakthrough was, was he solved what’s called the Byzantine General’s problem,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00310-00152041-00152241": "which is the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00311-00152336-00152682": "computer science problem that computer scientists had been grappling with for", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00312-00152777-00153210": "almost 40 years. Which is, when information moves across time and space,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00313-00153275-00153913": "how do you know that it hasn’t been tampered with in between where it was sent and where it was received?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00314-00153932-00154132": "They called it the Byzantine General’s", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00315-00154148-00154617": "problem because in Byzantine times, the generals were sending messages back and forth to each other on the battlefield,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00316-00154691-00155179": "information moving across time and space. How do you know that the information that was received is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00317-00155213-00155733": "exactly the information that was sent? And Satoshi solved that by creating a brilliant system,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00318-00155855-00156133": "that is not just about technology.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00319-00156143-00156784": "In fact, the brilliance of the system is that it’s a combination of technology and game theory.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00320-00156842-00157363": "And this is a very important thing to understand. It’s built on both cryptography and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00321-00157442-00158101": "incentives, economic incentives. I’ll talk about that more in a bit, but it’s not just about technology.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00322-00158129-00158368": "It's very much about understanding", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00323-00158432-00159125": "incentives. And because of that beautiful balance of technology and incentives, it’s never been hacked.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00324-00159202-00159360": "You may think gosh, wait a minute,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00325-00159360-00159920": "I read about hacks all the time. The hacks that have happened have happened on applications that were built on top of the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00326-00159931-00160102": "underlying Bitcoin blockchain,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00327-00160102-00160719": "but the underlying Bitcoin blockchain has never been hacked and it’s been out there for almost 10 years now and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00328-00160762-00161082": "no one’s figured out how to hack it and it’s got a heck of a hacker’s bounty,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00329-00161082-00161390": "it’s now worth about $140 billion and keep in mind", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00330-00161391-00161880": "mind it’s sitting out there with no firewall in the wilds of the internet with everybody attacking it every day.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00331-00161941-00162263": "Because of its balance, beautiful balance between", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00332-00162322-00162866": "technology and economic incentives, it has withstood all of those attacks.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00333-00162892-00163151": "It’s also a marvel of technology, though.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00334-00163156-00163356": "Let me give you the network uptime", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00335-00163387-00164123": "statistics since the first Bitcoin was mined on January 3, 2009 and that is,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00336-00164124-00164433": "99.9922904%.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00337-00164494-00165135": "That is in excess of six sigma quality control and the crazy thing about it is there’s no system administrator.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00338-00165151-00165477": "They do network upgrades on the fly. They don’t take the network down.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00339-00165478-00166037": "It is an incredible piece of software, but it’s an even more incredible piece of", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00340-00166090-00166872": "money because of, again, the incentives that are built into the system. In general, the Bitcoin network has had everything go up into", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00341-00166872-00167306": "the right in terms of the number of users, the number of wallets, the hash rate,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00342-00167307-00167871": "which is the computer processing power supporting the network and in general the price. Obviously, it fluctuates wildly,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00343-00167881-00168239": "but it is still in a bull market uptrend technically", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00344-00168286-00168705": "and the things that have happened in this market are just crazy. Coinbase,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00345-00168705-00169032": "which is the largest player in the market, was opening", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00346-00169096-00169727": "100,000 accounts a day in November and December of last year and that company’s not even five years old and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00347-00169738-00169956": "it now has more customers than Schwab.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00348-00170041-00170327": "So, it’s crazy what’s happened in this sector.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00349-00170328-00170951": "It does indicate, of course, a speculative frenzy, but it also indicates a desire for something other than", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00350-00171004-00171287": "a financial system that I think most people understand,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00351-00171343-00171696": "isn’t fair and doesn’t quite work the way we want it to.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00352-00171785-00172087": "Let me talk about the two Austrian objections to Bitcoin.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00353-00172087-00172323": "I put the regression theorem on this slide,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00354-00172324-00172935": "but there’s another one that’s more general that I hear and it’s related, which is, Bitcoin’s not backed by anything.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00355-00172976-00173257": "That’s what Peter Schiff’s big", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00356-00173360-00173555": "critique of Bitcoin is.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00357-00173555-00173973": "But, a lot of Austrian scholars critique it and stayed away from it because of", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00358-00174059-00174691": "thinking that it violated the regression theorem and in fact, the answer to both of these critiques is the same, which is that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00359-00174743-00175168": "Bitcoin is really a payment system inextricably intertwined", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00360-00175220-00175322": "with", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00361-00175322-00175885": "the token. It’s not right to compare Bitcoin against the dollar, yen or euro.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00362-00175943-00176196": "It’s apples-to-apples to compare Bitcoin", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00363-00176249-00176524": "against the dollar, yen, euro, etc.,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00364-00176524-00177178": "plus Visa and Mastercard and Pfizer and Fidelity National and all of the companies in the payment’s ecosystem that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00365-00177239-00177466": "process and confirm transactions. And so,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00366-00177569-00177769": "what's backing Bitcoin?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00367-00177779-00178081": "What’s backing Bitcoin is that payment system.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00368-00178081-00178788": "It’s the service that people are willing to pay for in the form of, in the case of Bitcoin, being", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00369-00178808-00179574": "diluted by the inflation that happens as the miners are paid new Bitcoins as they confirm transactions. transactions", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00370-00179606-00180195": "That is what backs Bitcoin. There is a utility to it, there is a user value to it.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00371-00180196-00180688": "It is the payment processing system. In fact, the US payment system,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00372-00180688-00181279": "I looked it up, has a market value of $600 billion and that’s just the S&P payment sector.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00373-00181279-00181608": "There are a lot of other technology companies that make", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00374-00181609-00182179": "the hardware and the payment system, like the ATMs and the point of system swipe machines for credit cards and the like,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00375-00182213-00182503": "that are not included in that $600 billion number.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00376-00182564-00183280": "So, there’s clearly value to payment systems and what I think these critics are missing is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00377-00183299-00183994": "that the value of Bitcoin is that the payment system is intertwined, you cannot separate it from the token. And", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00378-00184103-00184563": "indeed, that’s how I would answer the critique of the regression theorem.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00379-00184628-00185330": "The regression theorem says that the origin of money is that it was a commodity that became valuable in exchange and we can trace", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00380-00185349-00185549": "money back to the actual", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00381-00185611-00186182": "commodity that was used in exchange, in barter transactions and that money’s initial value must have use value.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00382-00186220-00186270": "Well,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00383-00186270-00186389": "in fact, actually,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00384-00186389-00187112": "I would argue that Bitcoin’s use value is that payment system and in the beginning, Bitcoin didn’t have value", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00385-00187234-00187607": "because it was just simply a unit of account in as ledger,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00386-00187608-00188334": "but then people started using that ledger to confirm transactions and keep track of value. Once people started using that ledger,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00387-00188376-00189173": "then Bitcoin started to have value. That is the utility, that is how we can trace that it spontaneously arose as a commodity, it had", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00388-00189235-00189794": "utility and that’s how I would answer that it doesn’t violate the regression theorem and hopefully", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00389-00189847-00190307": "walking through that made you think a little bit, if there are skeptics among us,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00390-00190308-00190739": "which I’m sure there are. I’m actually in the process of doing some research digging into", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00391-00190764-00191192": "valuing Bitcoin as if you were valuing it the same way you’d value Visa or Mastercard.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00392-00191229-00191912": "Looking at all the cash flows in terms of transaction fees and that block reward that’s thrown off of the Bitcoin network", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00393-00192111-00192353": "and valuing those cash flows, using as discounted cash flow model,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00394-00192417-00192659": "just the way an equity research analyst would or", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00395-00192724-00193374": "looking at the return on invested capital relative to the invested capital, Bitcoin has as much, much, much lower invested capital in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00396-00193488-00193790": "confirming payments than the existing payment system does.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00397-00193812-00194198": "Think about all the bricks and mortar in the existing payment system,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00398-00194205-00194717": "all that hardware and every merchant that has a credit card machine. You don’t need any of that in Bitcoin,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00399-00194717-00195026": "none of it. So, it's a very capital light", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00400-00195153-00195821": "technology, a payment system and therefore the return on invested capital is going to be a lot higher and so, per transaction,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00401-00195898-00196433": "the Bitcoin system in theory, if you looked at it the way an equity analyst would, is worth a lot more and so you pay", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00402-00196434-00196722": "a much higher multiple than you would for a Visa and Mastercard,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00403-00196722-00197249": "which has to have all that bricks and mortar and all that hardware. Haven’t done that analysis yet,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00404-00197249-00197645": "so that’s a theory. I’ll report back at some point when I get that done,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00405-00197722-00198129": "but I’m almost positive that that’s going to justify Bitcoin’s value", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00406-00198214-00198485": "in some zip code. Again, if the total payment", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00407-00198514-00199209": "system in the US is worth $600 billion and Bitcoin, which is much more efficient, is worth $140 billion, that tells you,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00408-00199267-00199784": "it’s actually not that far off and that $600 billion payment system value I think is understated.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00409-00199885-00200466": "And by the way, that’s just the US as well. So, more to come on that.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00410-00200518-00200640": "I just have two more slides,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00411-00200640-00201066": "but this one I need to spend some time on because there is a tour de force book,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00412-00201082-00201243": "some of you have probably read it,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00413-00201243-00201650": "but as I’ve chitchatted with folks, a lot of you didn’t know this existed. It’s been out for three weeks.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00414-00201682-00202103": "It’s called the Bitcoin Standard and it’s written by an Austrian. I’ve never met him,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00415-00202174-00202363": "Ammous, I assume, is how you pronounce his name.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00416-00202363-00202997": "It’s called The Bitcoin Standard: The Decentralized Alternative to Central Banking and he’s a professor of economics at Lebanese American", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00417-00203050-00203601": "University. This should be in everyone’s library, every Austrian’s library.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00418-00203659-00204257": "It is a tour de force. The first seven chapters get into the history of money leading up to why Bitcoin is so", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00419-00204274-00204645": "special and so unique. And to me, there’s so many things you can take away from this book,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00420-00204645-00204705": "but to me,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00421-00204705-00205400": "the big thing is that money historically has been supplanted by new versions of money, when technological", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00422-00205438-00205664": "innovations come in and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00423-00205723-00206123": "necessitate the move to a different form of money.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00424-00206188-00206540": "He goes through the Rai Stones in Yap Island.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00425-00206540-00207002": "Some of you are probably very familiar with that and how they suddenly cease being money", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00426-00207058-00207320": "when somebody figured out a way to produce them,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00427-00207328-00207906": "but the reason why they retain their value for so many years in that economy was because they had", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00428-00207906-00208027": "a high", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00429-00208027-00208595": "stock to flow ratio and were so expensive to produce, which is analogous to what Bitcoin is.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00430-00208596-00208863": "I want to read a few quotes from his", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00431-00208900-00209318": "book because I think that’ll help you understand just how special the book is,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00432-00209319-00209877": "but more importantly how special Bitcoin is. One is: “Whereas in a modern central bank,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00433-00209905-00210314": "the new money created goes to finance lending and government spending,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00434-00210382-00210954": "in Bitcoin, the new money goes only to those who spend resources on updating the ledger.” That’s pretty interesting.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00435-00210956-00211285": "There’s never been money created where those who", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00436-00211340-00211777": "who create the new money, who mine the gold or silver or", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00437-00211880-00212000": "collect the sea shells,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00438-00212000-00212578": "there’s never been money where the seigniorage went back into the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00439-00212615-00213328": "money itself and that’s how Bitcoin was designed. The people who get the benefit of the inflation are the ones who are securing the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00440-00213328-00213549": "network and confirming the transactions.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00441-00213581-00214237": "Here’s another one. “Bitcoin is the hardest money ever invented. Growth in the value cannot possibly increase its supply.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00442-00214313-00215055": "It can only make the network more secure and immune to attack”. As more people come into Bitcoin, the incentive for more", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00443-00215084-00215386": "computer power to process the transactions", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00444-00215446-00216058": "increases because the miners can make more money, so you get more and more secure as more and more people come into Bitcoin,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00445-00216058-00216267": "but that does not change the supply of Bitcoin.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00446-00216319-00216664": "So again, the incentives are very nicely aligned.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00447-00216742-00217423": "The difficulty adjustment, which is essentially that the math problem becomes harder as Bitcoin goes up and more people come into the network…", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00448-00217466-00217882": "the math problem that the miners have to solve. “The difficulty adjustment is the most reliable", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00449-00217898-00218533": "technology for making hard money and limiting the stock to flow ratio from rising and it makes Bitcoin", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00450-00218594-00218794": "fundamentally different from any other money.”", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00451-00218825-00218942": "Again,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00452-00218942-00219694": "if we get a big discovery of gold, that’s going to cause the value of gold to drop because it’s becoming cheaper to produce,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00453-00219746-00219926": "but in Bitcoin,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00454-00219926-00220497": "if you get a big discovery as in a whole bunch of people come into the network, Bitcoin becomes more expensive to produce.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00455-00220505-00221052": "That’s in part what keeps it so valuable and there is no other money like it.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00456-00221146-00221640": "Bitcoin and cryptography in general, are defensive technologies that make the cost of defending", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00457-00221657-00222003": "property and information far lower than the cost of attacking them.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00458-00222059-00222259": "That's an incredible statement", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00459-00222275-00222634": "because it means that the cost of defending your property right, is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00460-00222656-00223221": "a lot cheaper than the cost of somebody trying to take it away from you. And again, that’s the design of Bitcoin.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00461-00223221-00223411": "I really hope you dig into this book.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00462-00223411-00223833": "But, the last char…the last comment that I’ll share is, I think", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00463-00223862-00224317": "the most pointed, which is, “The Bitcoin ledger of transactions might just be the only", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00464-00224453-00225082": "objective set of facts in the world.” And that is because of the verification methodology in Bitcoin.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00465-00225152-00225570": "You hear the phrase, lies, damn lies and statistics.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00466-00225671-00226167": "There is no such thing in Bitcoin because everything on the Bitcoin network has been verified", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00467-00226196-00226576": "using math and it’s immutable, it cannot be changed.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00468-00226576-00227029": "It is the first honest ledger in history and that is why it’s so powerful.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00469-00227087-00227685": "Let me end by talking about how this sector has flourished and Patrick Byrne", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00470-00227686-00228169": "I’m sure is going to pick this up in talking about something called utility tokens or securities tokens.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00471-00228251-00228564": "Blockchain has now been used to effectively issue", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00472-00228623-00229191": "what are securities-like instruments, but they’re not securities. They are something called utility tokens.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00473-00229192-00229563": "They are issued and traded and settled on a blockchain, but they’re redeemable for", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00474-00229604-00230271": "consumptive goods. So, you can now download music on a blockchain called Ujo or you can", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00475-00230342-00230698": "trade photographs on Kodak Coins blockchain", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00476-00230767-00231498": "or airline miles, I suspect will probably eventually be on blockchains, issued and traded on blockchains. And", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00477-00231598-00232231": "my native state of Wyoming, as Jeff said, did something really interesting. We passed five blockchain bills.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00478-00232231-00232689": "I spent the entire month of February in Wyoming with this gentleman, Tyler Lindholm.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00479-00232808-00232967": "He's my hero.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00480-00232967-00233404": "By the way, it’s funny, when I was at the Satoshi roundtable, right before I went to Wyoming,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00481-00233404-00233772": "I predicted, I said, there’s this guy who’s very Ron Paul-like in Wyoming and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00482-00233798-00234216": "he’s going to help us get these bills passed and the skeptics in the room said, well then of course", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00483-00234217-00234389": "they’re going to fail. But, in fact,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00484-00234389-00234439": "actually", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00485-00234439-00234933": "we got them all through and two of them were passed unanimously in the House and the Senate. And", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00486-00234977-00235729": "the most important one in some respects is the Utility Token Bill, which exempts utility tokens from securities and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00487-00235787-00235984": "money transmission laws in the state of Wyoming.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00488-00235984-00236659": "We also exempted crypto assets from the money transmission laws generally and we exempted crypto assets from property tax.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00489-00236659-00236962": "There’s already no income tax, so we made Wyoming", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00490-00236962-00237383": "this really, really interesting state from the perspective of the crypto industry", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00491-00237383-00237901": "and, by the way, Tyler got through as bill independent of this, that recognizes specie as legal tender.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00492-00237969-00238583": "We’re going to be working on getting crypto assets recognized as legal tender in Wyoming next. So,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00493-00238635-00238969": "we can always come back to those who say that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00494-00239042-00239375": "the dollar has to exist because we have to pay our taxes in it.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00495-00239375-00240067": "Well, legal tender in these states that recognize specie as legal tender, can be something other than the US dollar and the same thing", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00496-00240096-00240401": "is true if we can get crypto assets recognized as legal tender.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00497-00240401-00240755": "But, I wanted to share with you, there’s a parallel", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00498-00240777-00241328": "financial system that is arising as a result of these utility tokens and some of you probably have never heard of them and some of you probably", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00499-00241328-00241832": "have. There’s as frenzy in the market right now, but this market is huge. It’s huge.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00500-00241851-00242587": "It’s a whole new form of venture capital where startups are now funding their businesses through issuing utility tokens on as blockchain.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00501-00242664-00243061": "And again, these tokens are redeemable for consumptive goods in their network,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00502-00243062-00243575": "but they’re also a way to finance the company in a way that traditional venture capital…", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00503-00243639-00244079": "it’s supplanting traditional venture capital. And folks, here’s the number. In the first quarter,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00504-00244137-00244492": "$6.3 billion was raised in the initial point offering market.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00505-00244548-00245177": "That is 40% of the initial public offering market and traditional stock markets. That only raised", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00506-00245214-00245891": "15.6 billion in the first quarter and it’s 30% of the venture capital raised in the first quarter.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00507-00245891-00246173": "So, you’ve got a market that didn’t even exist three years ago", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00508-00246173-00246634": "that’s now 40% of the size of the IPO market and 30% of the size of the venture capital market.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00509-00246729-00246961": "This Bitcoin thing is a thing and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00510-00247019-00247577": "I think it’s fantastic because it’s all happening in parallel and completely outside of the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00511-00247632-00248221": "traditional financial system and all of the tokens that are issued and traded on blockchains, are", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00512-00248580-00248824": "traceable back to the owner. And in conclusion", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00513-00248825-00249155": "let me say, I think capital markets won’t be fair unless", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00514-00249180-00249901": "and until they use honest ledgers and the great thing about the utility tokens is that they are using honest ledgers,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00515-00249915-00250702": "where the real owner is the record owner that’s recorded in the ledger. The assets are issued, traded and settled on a blockchain. I", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00516-00250767-00251204": "really do believe that the future of money to make reference to the theme of this event,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00517-00251214-00251906": "the future of money is Bitcoin and also believe that the future of capital markets is blockchain. Thank you.  With that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00518-00251906-00251956": "I think we’ll take some questions. [Applause]", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00519-00252813-00253280": "Throw box microphones? Clay are they back there? They're right here. You can throw it.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00520-00253280-00253789": "It's soft sided If you care to. So, we're asking for to give a short succinct question", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00521-00253832-00254113": "to Caitlyn rather than a monologue or a soliloquy.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00522-00254207-00254476": "So, just to get started. Caitlin, should I buy Dole pineapple?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00523-00254739-00254939": "Well,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00524-00254946-00255442": "that was, dole was acquired in a management buyout, it's actually now a private company.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00525-00255442-00255982": "So, technically I don't think you can buy securities in Dole right now. I'll find something else.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00526-00256073-00256492": "Yeah, and it's unfortunate what recognize that what happened to Dole was not its fault.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00527-00256508-00257302": "It was the accounting system of Wall Street and it happened completely independent of dole. So, doles general counsel got stuck with this mess of", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00528-00257367-00257669": "them not knowing who owned their securities. It's kind of crazy.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00529-00257673-00257836": "It's kind of, if you think about it", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00530-00257836-00258295": "the most basic thing in capitalism is who owns the companies and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00531-00258335-00258691": "we've really screwed up that accounting system on Wall Street for sure.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00532-00258828-00259028": "Yes. Hi Caitlin.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00533-00259073-00259714": "So, my name is Brenda and I'm a trader and have a question for you. Yeah, what do you think about the feds", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00534-00259791-00260188": "creating their own tokens and their own block?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00535-00260292-00260611": "Yes, yes. I think it's coming.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00536-00260611-00261019": "But, ironically the Fed is way behind. Maybe you can say that's good.", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00537-00261019-00261204": "But the People's Bank of China,", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00538-00261204-00261622": "the Bank of Canada, and the Bank of England are way ahead and I think they'll be the first ones that issue", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00539-00261702-00262205": "Fiat money on a blockchain that's not really going to be on a blockchain because of course there's a central counterparty", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00540-00262227-00262660": "So it's not a true blockchain because they're gonna be controlling the the value of it", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00541-00262660-00263125": "But at least you'll have what that would do is pull the banking system out of the process of money creation", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00542-00263139-00263552": "And essentially just have it all done at the central bank. So it will be a lot more parent", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00543-00263571-00263825": "We all know the drawbacks of fiat money", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00544-00263871-00264650": "But having more transparency in actually looking at all of those transactions happening in a transparent blockchain coming in and out of a central bank", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00545-00264681-00265337": "Would be an improvement over what it is today and it would take a lot of that intermediary counterparty risk and settlement delay", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00546-00265338-00265631": "I wouldn't be shocked if central banks go there first", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00547-00265661-00266249": "but by the same token the speed with which things are moving in this block cane industry is staggering and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00548-00266277-00266930": "The government's can't shut it down it they'd have to shut down the entire internet and the core developers of the Bitcoin blockchain", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00549-00266979-00267533": "Have made sure that even if they shut down the Internet the Bitcoin blockchain will keep going. You know, how they did it", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00550-00267561-00267761": "They sent up satellites", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00551-00267793-00268001": "So they're outside of the traditional", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00552-00268086-00268286": "isp infrastructure", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00553-00268288-00268550": "These guys the cypherpunks are hardcore", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00554-00268666-00269442": "Mises Institute supporter types, they've thought of everything right and and Godspeed because the Bitcoin blockchain cannot be shut down", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00555-00269545-00269747": "Yes Caitlyn in your time in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00556-00269802-00270002": "Wyoming do you get the sense that the people", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00557-00270027-00270263": "Surrounding this gentleman who appears to be a force of nature", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00558-00270273-00270411": "Do you get the sense that?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00559-00270411-00271058": "The people in the legislature actually get it. I mean and how did that how did they achieve that? Yeah, good question", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00560-00271090-00271811": "Wyoming is special for a whole lot of reasons. It's a pretty libertarian place. Anyway, it's the place that created the limited liability company in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00561-00271915-00272017": "1977", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00562-00272017-00272217": "So it's actually the place where?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00563-00272232-00272579": "It's third behind Delaware and Nevada for new business registrations", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00564-00272579-00272981": "Anyway, so it already had that franchise and it's also kind of a you know", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00565-00272981-00273512": "It likes to take on the feds every now and then so we had some interesting ethos of in the legislature", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00566-00273513-00273995": "It's a citizen legislature and it was constitutionally restricted to meeting for no more than 20 days", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00567-00274107-00274772": "And it takes a minimum of 13 days to get a bill through so it's designed not to get legislation passed", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00568-00274773-00275255": "It's just awesome. Everybody after the legislature had to go back to their break it to the real job", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00569-00275346-00275864": "And so how many people understood it? A lot of folks didn't understand the depth of it", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00570-00275865-00276484": "But what they did understand was that there is something special here and they're looking to diversify Wyoming's economy", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00571-00276484-00276913": "It cost them nothing to pass these bills. We net we didn't ask for anything from the state", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00572-00276917-00277513": "We just asked for enabling legislation that would allow software companies to come in once you made the pitch on that basis", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00573-00277514-00277735": "It was very easy to get this to get this through", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00574-00277796-00278407": "And it's also interesting a lot of the ranchers have now picked up blockchain technology, Wyoming", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00575-00278407-00279040": "It's the least populous state and and it has something like five times the number of cattle as people in the state", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00576-00279068-00279538": "So the ranching industry is a big industry and one of the big senators who is who was a big supporter", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00577-00279539-00280258": "Just tagged his all his calves with RFID chips so that he can verify the provenance of the Wyoming beef", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00578-00280263-00280613": "That's important because why they're there are not FDA approved", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00579-00280676-00280847": "slaughterhouses in Wyoming", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00580-00280847-00281272": "And so the cattle go outside of the state and they get mixed in with cattle in other states", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00581-00281272-00281782": "So any sort of branding of Wyoming beef is impossible, but there are places in the world", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00582-00281783-00282010": "Like we think of Kobe beef as a premium beef", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00583-00282138-00282772": "Taiwan loves Wyoming beef and it's really hard to get the beef to Taiwan because it gets mixed up with other cattle", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00584-00282772-00282985": "So there's a real problem to which?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00585-00283004-00283525": "Having a blockchain which would allow people to track the provenance of those calves saw is a solution", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00586-00283525-00283762": "It doesn't require a utility token", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00587-00283763-00284288": "But what it did was this these ranchers would never have understood that as a solution to their problem", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00588-00284316-00284896": "Until we came in and got these watch-chain bills passed and now that there are so many ranchers trying to trying to get in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00589-00284927-00285050": "to this", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00590-00285050-00285613": "To this pilot project. It's just it's just awesome what's happened? So the state's really behind it and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00591-00285680-00286165": "Yeah, it's a special place interestingly. It's also a place where that respects privacy", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00592-00286242-00286426": "When you register a Wyoming LLC", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00593-00286426-00286759": "You just have to give the name and address of the probe the primary member", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00594-00286759-00287209": "You don't have to disclose everybody else who's invested in it. And of course because there's no income tax", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00595-00287231-00287707": "The state doesn't doesn't collect any information about the revenues of the LLC as well", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00596-00287707-00288097": "So you can kind of see how the ethos matches with the ethos of privacy", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00597-00288149-00288349": "and self sovereignty in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00598-00288402-00288636": "In the in the crypto market, it's really interesting", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00599-00288754-00288898": "Yes", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00600-00288898-00289137": "Here we are I have", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00601-00289189-00289460": "one question, which this relates to", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00602-00289513-00289922": "Australia and the electrical demands of the Bitcoin", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00603-00289978-00290229": "the fact that they actually had to turn on a", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00604-00290293-00290458": "the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00605-00290458-00290658": "non", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00606-00290665-00291369": "An extra power plan in order to meet the electrical demands and so if we're at a very", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00607-00291484-00292139": "nascent point in the development of this technology and given how tapped out our electrical", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00608-00292168-00292368": "Resources are now already", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00609-00292450-00292694": "This is I think a question I would like", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00610-00292756-00293235": "Perhaps to be addressed. The other issue is I was one of the victims of MF Global", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00611-00293308-00293564": "Where I discovered this issue of rehire?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00612-00293668-00293818": "rehypothecation", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00613-00293818-00294156": "Which was a term. I never heard before and yet", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00614-00294156-00294558": "I understand that this is widespread and I wish", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00615-00294595-00295289": "You would go into greater detail on how this actually comes about and how it's been legitimately", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00616-00295483-00295877": "Sanctified within our legal system on the first question on Bitcoin mining cost", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00617-00295878-00296562": "This book handles that brilliantly and he takes it head-on and says you should want it to be difficult to produce", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00618-00296611-00296745": "Your monetary unit", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00619-00296745-00297105": "You should want it to be expensive and the fact that it is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00620-00297121-00297569": "Expensive is what gives Bitcoin its value in part because you cannot", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00621-00297592-00297909": "Easily create more it is expensive to create more now", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00622-00297909-00298523": "The reality is it's very easy to criticize Bitcoin for the utility for the energy cost", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00623-00298624-00299178": "Nobody asks the question. What do Visa and MasterCard and all these other payment processors use?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00624-00299257-00299937": "Computing it requires electricity and all the data centers around the world. Think about. What's what's the majority of", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00625-00299998-00300198": "computing power", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00626-00300205-00300438": "Being applied to its financial", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00627-00300496-00300711": "transactions if you really look at", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00628-00300793-00301008": "the computer power used in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00629-00301075-00301530": "Existing networks, which is opaque and not out there for the world to see and compare it to Bitcoin", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00630-00301534-00301738": "My guest Bitcoin doesn't look so bad", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00631-00301833-00302326": "But this guy's defense is fantastic. We have five minutes left and I would encourage you to read it on the rehypothecation", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00632-00302439-00303071": "Look, I think that I don't it's it's fractional reserve banking. Okay III do think that it's fraud", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00633-00303071-00303356": "I think it should be disclosed to people that this is happening", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00634-00303434-00303724": "I personally moved my brokerage account to a broker where I", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00635-00303732-00304234": "Didn't think an MF Global would happen because he didn't have an incentive to grab my securities if they needed them", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00636-00304323-00304625": "but I'm nervous about my securities for all of these reasons and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00637-00304716-00305081": "That's why I put some of my wealth into the into into crypto", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00638-00305186-00305506": "And of course other things like gold, too, but in any event", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00639-00305649-00306010": "It this is not widely known and understood. It's part of the reason why", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00640-00306171-00306398": "It's certainly MF Global ref Co", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00641-00306453-00307063": "Lehman Brothers, they all had they all were a lot more leverage than anybody thought because of rehypothecation", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00642-00307098-00307382": "It is fractional reserve banking. We all understand that that's not", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00643-00307434-00307584": "That that's fraud", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00644-00307584-00308215": "Common common law fraud and the Fed sanctions it this is how monetary policy is is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00645-00308328-00308974": "Affected it's through the repo market. So this is openly sanctioned policy. I think we have time for one more question", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00646-00309083-00309622": "In the 1980s personal computers came into our lives", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00647-00309686-00310309": "The IBM PC emerged as the leader largely because it was one of the first to market. Yep", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00648-00310365-00310565": "Bitcoin was the first", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00649-00310586-00311047": "Cryptocurrency to market now there are many others. Yeah, do you see that?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00650-00311190-00311390": "Bitcoin will be the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00651-00311408-00312022": "winner in this contest or do you think any of the other cryptos are worthy nobody knows but I'm", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00652-00312081-00312727": "Aiman Jerian in the way, I think about money. I think money is whatever people use as a medium of exchange and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00653-00312792-00312992": "It shouldn't be you know", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00654-00313233-00313825": "Dictated by Fiat and I don't think it should necessarily be gold. It's whatever emerges as as money", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00655-00313872-00314528": "My thought on Bitcoin is that it probably will be the one that stays because it's so far ahead on its network effects", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00656-00314547-00314852": "There are superior technologies out there that have been built on", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00657-00314909-00315172": "That have built on this solution to the Byzantine generals problem", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00658-00315177-00315857": "But bitcoin has a huge head start on all of them. And the other thing that bitcoin can do is they can adopt", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00659-00315942-00316582": "The the architectural changes the improvements in technology if they work so the way I think about you know", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00660-00316587-00317221": "litecoin and Manero and some of these other cryptocurrencies that are out there that have that have gotten some traction, but they're a lot", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00661-00317280-00317674": "Earlier in the adoption phase than Bitcoin they may supplant Bitcoin", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00662-00317675-00318317": "But I think they probably won't because if those technologies work, the Bitcoin core developers will adopt them into Bitcoin", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00663-00318336-00318775": "So in 20 years Bitcoin won't be what it what it looks like today", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00664-00318828-00319154": "most of the lines of code that Satoshi wrote have been rewritten", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00665-00319173-00319523": "It's gonna be written a rewritten again and again and again in 20 years", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00666-00319523-00320042": "It won't look like it but it will still be called Bitcoin and it'll just evolve with with with new technologies", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00667-00320097-00320702": "One of the questions earlier. I didn't answer very well with implicit was the scaling question and using all of it power", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00668-00320702-00320902": "What's happening now is?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00669-00320988-00321427": "There's something called lightning Network, which is hat which is which was adopted by litecoin first", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00670-00321428-00321941": "So again, the laboratory where the Bitcoin developers could look at it and say yeah, this actually is something that will help us scale", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00671-00321966-00322445": "Where essentially they're creating digital escrow, so you're not actually trading the bitcoins on the blockchain", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00672-00322445-00322563": "but you're actually", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00673-00322563-00323206": "Validating that they're that they haven't been spent yet using the blockchain and so that can allow us to have a lot of small value", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00674-00323253-00323497": "Transactions using your Bitcoin you on your phone to buy a cup of coffee", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00675-00323574-00324236": "If you don't want to use the main chain for that, you can use what's called the Lightning Network and have second layer", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00676-00324441-00325171": "Transactions in small value and then those are all netted when you close the escrow and report it to the to the main blockchain", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00677-00325172-00325372": "So that's one of the ways I think it will scale", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00678-00325428-00325913": "Maybe do you have time for one more question? Yeah. Yes, man. Thank you. Can you hear me? Yes. Okay good", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00679-00326118-00326449": "Fascinating thank you very much. The one question I have is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00680-00326718-00327388": "Do you see and I guess if you just read The Wall Street Journal generally you you can gauge", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00681-00327462-00328207": "financial acceptance at large financial institutions to a certain degree evidently by because it is a phenomenon that is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00682-00328250-00328475": "Can't stop ya at the same time", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00683-00328596-00328952": "Because of largely you've just shown us the massive", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00684-00329022-00329324": "interest that the financial institutions have in", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00685-00329388-00329957": "Maintaining the system the way it is. Do you see major pushback from the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00686-00330012-00330541": "effort and the grand concern that I typically have and I think we all have in this room as as", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00687-00330708-00331039": "Being Austrians is some knucklehead", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00688-00331086-00331705": "At an institutional level will try to usurp and command and control the system itself. Yeah", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00689-00331827-00331989": "Technologically they can't okay", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00690-00331989-00332714": "they can't it because you have to amass all of the computing power to do that and that would cost billions and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00691-00332748-00333011": "Because of the specialized chips that are used in the industry", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00692-00333039-00333608": "it would be evident to everybody if somebody new was coming in and trying to amass those chips because", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00693-00333636-00334165": "They're being manufactured as fast as they can now if and if that happens and the price goes up", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00694-00334203-00334450": "New manufacturers will start manufacturing them", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00695-00334451-00335065": "So everyone will know if there's a big new player trying to come in and take over the the processing power", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00696-00335066-00335357": "It's very distributed that processing power there", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00697-00335357-00336022": "I looked this morning 10,000 260 nodes running the Bitcoin network all around the world very distributed", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00698-00336023-00336224": "So goldman sachs can't to co-opt it", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00699-00336270-00336947": "But they can and will get in and try to financial eyes it by creating moneyness of it", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00700-00336996-00337286": "And goldman just hired a bitcoin trader part of me", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00701-00337368-00337816": "first of all, I take my hat off to them because they weren't they had the guts to be early and and they always were", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00702-00337905-00338341": "From my perspective. They had people hanging around this in the early years when I was afraid at Morgan Stanley", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00703-00338342-00338759": "I'd get fired for putting my head up. Goldman folks were not afraid of getting fired", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00704-00338759-00339205": "They were encouraged was my experience to you know to be curious about this", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00705-00339206-00339496": "So I'm not surprised that they were the first to hire a crypto currency trader", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00706-00339552-00339758": "But I think what they're gonna do is try to create", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00707-00339858-00340165": "Financialized versions of this they're going to create fractional reserved", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00708-00340272-00340676": "Yeah, I know you see your face cringe create fractional reserve Bitcoin", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00709-00340692-00341150": "But the great thing about Bitcoin is were we have ways to fight back on that?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00710-00341214-00341685": "The vast majority of us bitcoiners are what we affectionately call ourself", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00711-00341758-00342414": "pablor's which is a misspelling of the word hold we are not going to make our Bitcoin available as collateral and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00712-00342494-00342765": "There will be some who can fractionally reserve it", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00713-00342779-00343566": "But this is this is the the genius of Satoshi the decentralized alternative to central banking the holders of it", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00714-00343664-00344200": "Control it and we are not going to be making our bitcoins available to Wall Street to fractionalize it", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00715-00344200-00344658": "Let me let me follow up with that when you say we're not going to collateralize it", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00716-00344785-00345321": "Meaning that it wouldn't be an asset to be hypothecated to be pledged we hypothecated", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00717-00345322-00346044": "Yeah, it it do you is there any school that would characterize that as a restriction? Of course?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00718-00346301-00346903": "Okay, okay accepting that but but put the knuckleheads aside let's let's say is", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00719-00346960-00347400": "there some school of thought that would characterize that as a restriction on the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00720-00347434-00347856": "On the marketability so to speak of that type of money. Yeah", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00721-00347856-00348465": "Yep, and and and there will be some percentage of these coins. That folks will make available for rehypothecation", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00722-00348491-00348732": "It's not everybody who holds it that", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00723-00348835-00349500": "Has the cypherpunk mentality but the vast majority of bitcoins are held by people who have that mentality. And so", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00724-00349631-00350001": "They're literally in cold storage. I'm never giving mine up to", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00725-00350066-00350323": "to use us as securities lending and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00726-00350405-00350787": "unlike in the ref KO situation or MF Global", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00727-00350860-00351501": "nobody's going to be able to grab those because if you if you custody your own private keys you own your Bitcoin and you're", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00728-00351542-00351670": "You're in control of your destiny", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00729-00351670-00352143": "If you keep your private keys at a company like coinbase, you're in no different position than you are", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00730-00352159-00352569": "Putting a bank deposit at Wells Fargo. You have an IOU from them?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00731-00352631-00353010": "but that company becomes the central administrator and", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00732-00353056-00353466": "And they're yeah and then what about concerns of regulatory?", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00733-00353525-00354052": "Application to that. Yeah, no question the regulators if this really takes off are going to", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00734-00354152-00354778": "Restrict it a lot more but they'll never be able to shut it down and the fact that goldman sachs and now JP morgan hired", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00735-00354794-00355526": "cryptocurrency trader part of the reason why I think that that's actually good is because the establishment now is creating some", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00736-00355578-00355789": "vested interest in keeping this thing going", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00737-00355830-00356323": "that doesn't mean that they'll succeed against the regulator's but I think if Bitcoin if the", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00738-00356334-00356632": "Regulator's wanted to shut Bitcoin down. They would have done so already I", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00739-00356688-00357128": "Have to stop there cuz I gotta hop to the airport. I afraid I'm afraid I'm not gonna be able to chitchat afterwards", "lPVoCVV8xm0-00740-00357128-00357481": "Thank you very much. You've been a great audience great question. Thank you"}}, {"audio_id": "lQt6B6Llew4", "text": {"lQt6B6Llew4-00000-00002532-00002656": "Hi people my name is Vika", "lQt6B6Llew4-00001-00002660-00003164": "and I'm sorry so much about my voice because I am ill", "lQt6B6Llew4-00002-00003164-00003686": "so I got out of my bad, make up and now moving video for you", "lQt6B6Llew4-00003-00003686-00004078": "so thumps up and let's start it to the video.", "lQt6B6Llew4-00004-00004354-00004720": "I ask you, do you want video about unboxing.", "lQt6B6Llew4-00005-00004732-00005326": "you say yes so today is kawaii box unboxing.", "lQt6B6Llew4-00006-00005368-00005870": "These box is monthly and very cute.", "lQt6B6Llew4-00007-00005870-00006486": "Watch these video to the end because in the end will be the big giveaway", "lQt6B6Llew4-00008-00006712-00007670": "Subscribe to my channel thumbs up and let's get started to the video."}}, {"audio_id": "lQ_CZBzdDaA", "text": {"lQ_CZBzdDaA-00000-00000000-00000390": "Welcome to the New Mexico SMART Grid Center project team! We're happy to have you!", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00001-00000390-00000788": "For this training, you will need a pencil and a paper. Please pause and grab them now.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00002-00000924-00001144": "There will be a short quiz.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00003-00001154-00001318": "Got em? Great.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00004-00001338-00001506": "There are so many things we want to tell you", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00005-00001556-00001726": "but there isn't enough time and you are busy.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00006-00001794-00001936": "therefore we are only asking", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00007-00001962-00002088": "you to know the following", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00008-00002096-00002294": "key concepts by the end of this training", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00009-00002294-00002650": "mainly how what and where.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00010-00002660-00002802": "how it all fits together", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00011-00002802-00003148": "what is the main goal of the New Mexico SMART Grid Center", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00012-00003150-00003464": "and where can you find more project resources", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00013-00003520-00003840": "To make sure you learn the main points we've also", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00014-00003840-00004034": "included little keys on the most important slides.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00015-00004114-00004250": "so let's go", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00016-00004250-00004421": "how it all fits together.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00017-00004421-00004711": "First we want you to know that the New Mexico SMART Grid Center", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00018-00004712-00004838": "does not exist in a vacuum. It's part of", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00019-00004852-00005056": "something much much bigger.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00020-00005072-00005290": "Here's a brief overview of what's going on.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00021-00005300-00005504": "The New Mexico SMART Grid Center", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00022-00005504-00005652": "is the project that you just joined.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00023-00005754-00005938": "This project is managed by the", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00024-00005938-00006258": "New Mexico EPSCoR State Office", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00025-00006258-00006642": "EPSCoR stands for the Established Program to Stimulate Competitive Research.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00026-00006670-00006902": "It's not critical that you know this acronym,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00027-00006945-00007164": "but if you are wondering, now you know.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00028-00007164-00007356": "The New Mexico EPSCoR state office does", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00029-00007356-00007522": "everything from budget and reporting to", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00030-00007536-00007709": "meeting planning and public relations.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00031-00007722-00007916": "We're the ones who send out the newsletters each month.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00032-00007948-00008168": "We're the ones who help you with workshops and outreach.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00033-00008168-00008424": "We organize trainings and we're the ones who made this video.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00034-00008540-00008684": "We also meet with lawmakers,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00035-00008698-00008841": "National Science Foundation officials,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00036-00008841-00009003": "and the public.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00037-00009003-00009220": "We are responsible for making the project run smoothly", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00038-00009238-00009396": "and supporting you.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00039-00009432-00009802": "Our office is funded by the National Science Foundation", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00040-00009850-00010104": "NSF funds basic research and science and", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00041-00010122-00010390": "engineering education across the U.S.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00042-00010390-00010686": "They fund state EPSCoR programs like ours", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00043-00010686-00010912": "nationwide.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00044-00010912-00011184": "to enhance research competitiveness by", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00045-00011184-00011430": "strengthening STEM  capacity and capability.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00046-00011430-00011832": "Bottom line - you are part of the nationwide National", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00047-00011832-00012074": "Science Foundation EPSCoR program.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00048-00012074-00012216": "This is a key point.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00049-00012230-00012306": "Great.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00050-00012316-00012466": "So that was a quick and dirty explanation", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00051-00012480-00012628": "of the broader picture,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00052-00012646-00012928": "but you may be wondering... what is a smart grid?", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00053-00012952-00013176": "and what is the SMART Grid Center?", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00054-00013213-00013382": "First, let's look at a super simplified", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00055-00013404-00013660": "explanation of a traditional electric grid.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00056-00013662-00013991": "Electricity is sent along power lines from the utility.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00057-00013991-00014138": "Usually to your house.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00058-00014280-00014522": "In a smart grid, the same thing happens,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00059-00014524-00014782": "but information is also allowed to travel along the lines", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00060-00014863-00015088": "A smart grid is a grid that can support the two-way flow", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00061-00015100-00015332": "of electricity and information.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00062-00015436-00015697": "This project is looking at ways to transform our current", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00063-00015706-00016034": "electricity grid (the one powering your computer right now)", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00064-00016052-00016294": "into a smart grid. We are specifically looking at", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00065-00016310-00016534": "a type of smart grid technology called", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00066-00016546-00016712": "Distribution Feeder Microgrids", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00067-00016736-00016912": "but these are a bit too complicated to explain", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00068-00016942-00017162": "in less than 10 minutes.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00069-00017162-00017464": "aaaaaand what is the New Mexico SMART grid Center?", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00070-00017486-00017736": "Let's clear something up right off the bat.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00071-00017766-00018036": "There's no physical center. It is confusing - we know.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00072-00018050-00018264": "If it helps, you can pretend the word isn't there.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00073-00018288-00018452": "Even better, when you see the word,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00074-00018452-00018692": "replace it with 'collaborative'", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00075-00018754-00018928": "This is a collaborative project among organizations", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00076-00018940-00019274": "from across the state with a shared goal.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00077-00019296-00019554": "To enable the development of a modern secure and", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00078-00019648-00019864": "sustainable electric grid, supported by a diverse", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00079-00019906-00020032": "next-generation workforce.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00080-00020054-00020244": "You're gonna want to write this down.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00081-00020322-00020552": "also the SMART in SMART Grid Center stands for", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00082-00020552-00020920": "Sustainable. Modular. Adaptive. Resilient. Transactive.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00083-00020938-00021256": "It is another clever acronym we do not expect you to memorize.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00084-00021257-00021535": "but...curious minds may have been wondering.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00085-00021536-00021746": "To review: the National Science Foundation", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00086-00021766-00022045": "funds the New Mexico EPSCoR state office", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00087-00022046-00022340": "which manages the New Mexico SMART Grid Center", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00088-00022364-00022558": "and the New Mexico SMART Grid Center", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00089-00022560-00022868": "is trying to enable the development of a modern, secure,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00090-00022868-00023162": "and sustainable electric grid, supported by a", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00091-00023162-00023337": "diverse next-generation workforce.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00092-00023338-00023804": "This sounds great, but how are we going to do this?", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00093-00023834-00024144": "This is a massive project with a lot of questions to answer.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00094-00024190-00024481": "Therefore we have broken it down into smaller problems", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00095-00024482-00024712": "to be solved by teams of experts.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00096-00024726-00025192": "Here's a brief rundown on the focus of each team...", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00097-00025192-00025606": "The Architecture Team is investigating how to turn the current electric grid", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00098-00025606-00026089": "into a smart grid. Specifically - a bunch of interconnected micro-grids.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00099-00026089-00026539": "The Networking Team is trying to design an Internet networking system", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00100-00026539-00026750": "that is scalable and can support this", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00101-00026758-00026972": "overwhelming amount of communication", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00102-00026980-00027433": "The Decision-Support Team is looking to enable more system automation by", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00103-00027450-00027870": "exploring data-driven and computer-aided decision-making options.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00104-00027882-00028206": "The Deployment Team will test it all out in models,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00105-00028206-00028414": "simulations and real-life.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00106-00028414-00028845": "The Cyberinfrastructure Team is tasked with providing computing and", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00107-00028856-00029020": "storage and data preservation support", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00108-00029033-00029177": "for the entire project", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00109-00029244-00029492": "and finally there's the Human Infrastructure team", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00110-00029492-00029713": "these are the people who are focusing on workforce", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00111-00029713-00029976": "development, the next generation STEM workforce,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00112-00029980-00030266": "cultivating the people who are going to run this grid, and", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00113-00030276-00030548": "informing the public about what's going on.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00114-00030562-00030786": "So what does being a member of the team mean?", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00115-00030806-00031008": "Working with New Mexico EPSCoR and the National", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00116-00031008-00031277": "Science Foundation means you agreed to abide by the", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00117-00031282-00031672": "following standards. There are two main categories of responsibilities", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00118-00031688-00031902": "and at the end of this training you will have to digitally", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00119-00031910-00032086": "acknowledge you will honor them.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00120-00032104-00032282": "But don't worry this should be really easy to do.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00121-00032342-00032598": "First there's the research related responsibilities.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00122-00032664-00033006": "Do good research. We cannot build a foundation on", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00123-00033006-00033158": "poorly formed information.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00124-00033176-00033548": "Acknowledge support. You need to acknowledge funding support", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00125-00033548-00033896": "from the New Mexico SMART Grid Center in any work funded by the project.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00126-00033948-00034272": "Share your work. Specifically, your research work and data.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00127-00034326-00034560": "Then there are the project related responsibilities.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00128-00034610-00034898": "We are devoted to diversity and inclusion on this team.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00129-00034924-00035286": "This means leveraging and encouraging diversity of all", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00130-00035298-00035750": "types including individual, institutional, geographic, and disciplinary.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00131-00035764-00036076": "Inclusion means you help create a collaborative environment where", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00132-00036088-00036346": "each team member can contribute to their full potential.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00133-00036430-00036628": "Participate in meetings and evaluations.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00134-00036678-00036900": "This means team meetings, project meetings,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00135-00036900-00037070": "the annual All-Hands meeting,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00136-00037090-00037462": "and filling out evaluations sent by our external evaluator.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00137-00037508-00037984": "Stay informed. Read the monthly newsletter...and your email.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00138-00037984-00038440": "And finally. Help us brag about you! This is one of the cool things about this project -", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00139-00038440-00038746": "we insist on sharing information with each other and", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00140-00038746-00039050": "highlighting your work to people outside of the project.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00141-00039064-00039208": "Help us promote you!", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00142-00039246-00039624": "So that's a lot of responsibility, but there are also a lot of", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00143-00039638-00039852": "benefits you receive as a team member of this project.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00144-00039886-00040093": "After the completion of this training we will send you", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00145-00040094-00040316": "information about the benefits specific to you.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00146-00040316-00040618": "There just isn't enough time to cover them all now.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00147-00040668-00041086": "What if you forget everything in this video?", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00148-00041102-00041462": "Just go to the resources section of the New Mexico EPSCoR website.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00149-00041516-00041592": "Go to the website.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00150-00041676-00041752": "Go to the website.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00151-00041794-00042045": "Just go to the resources section of the website.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00152-00042045-00042397": "Alright! The three things that you need to remember!", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00153-00042398-00042564": "How it all fits together.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00154-00042586-00042850": "You are part of a large nationwide", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00155-00042862-00043136": "National Science Foundation EPSCoR project.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00156-00043136-00043368": "What is the goal of the New Mexico SMART Grid Center?", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00157-00043368-00043568": "We are trying to enable the development of a modern,", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00158-00043568-00043921": "secure, and sustainable electric grid supported by a", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00159-00043922-00044146": "diverse next-generation workforce.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00160-00044200-00044432": "and where can you find more project resources?", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00161-00044476-00044732": "The resources section of the website.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00162-00044750-00044812": "Alright!", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00163-00044846-00044948": "That's all from us.", "lQ_CZBzdDaA-00164-00044962-00045132": "Hey, thanks for watching."}}, {"audio_id": "lQDbw6cAGVc", "text": {"lQDbw6cAGVc-00000-00000000-00000200": "PLEASE AMERICA TIME HAS CHANGED, TAKE NOTE.   YouTube: Click, Subscribe, Listen, Like, and Share.   JESUS ONLY IS OUR MESSAGE.   Please join our online prayer meeting on Thursday.   USA: 5.00pm - 6.00pm 667 770 1476 Access Code 344823#   Nigeria; 11.00 pm - 12.00 pm From Nigeria +234 1 440 5221 Access Code 344823#   United Arab Emirates +971 600 521269 344823#   KINDLY PRAY FOR US FOR SOULS THAT ARE THIRSTY FOR WORDS OF GOD AND COMMITTED WORKERS @ DLBC CHARLOTTESVILLE, VIRGINIA, USA.   We need devoted Christian workers @ DLBC, Charlottesville. Please come and join us. (molufemi2001@yahoo.co.uk ;009 1 434 9626622) Always Fellowship with us @ Deeperlife Charlottesville 4656 Briarwood Dr. Charlottesville, VA 22911.   Sunday Worship: 8.50am- 11.30am,  Monday Bible Study 6.50pm- 8.30pm, Thursday Conference Payer Meetings :5.00pm-6.00pm. (Sub. Prayer Request @ http://www.deeperlifecharlottesville.org.,   USA: 5.00pm - 6.00pm 667 770 1476 Access Code 344823#   Nigeria; 5.00 pm - 6.00  From Nigeria +234 1 440 5221 Access Code 344823#   United Arab Emirates +971 600 521269 344823#   DLBC CHARLOTTESVILLE PRAYER REQUEST 1) PROVISION OF PLACE OF WORSHIP MIRACULOUSLY 2)PROVISION OF CHURCH VAN 3)CHURCH'S WORKERS.   I am using this medium to encourage whosoever loves to serve God and want to settle down in or visit USA (either from Africa, any part of the world or within the USA) to come to Charlottesville. (LEGAL DOCUMENTS IS NEEDED). Apply to below school for associate degree nursing program in USA https://www.pvcc.edu/programs/nursing.   Apply to below school for degree nursing program in USA https://www.nursing.virginia.edu/?   Apply @ below website to practice as a Registered Nurse in USA. 1) https://brilliantnurse.com/foreign-in... 2) https://avanthealthcare.com/contact-us/   What I request from you is to come one come all to join us in Deeper Life Bible Church, Charlottesville, VA, USA to work for God together.   Donate https://www.paypal.com/donate?hosted_button_id=SQCL6Y7D3LNHQ   Pas. Matthew Akanmu (Eph.6:9)//www.deeperlifecharlottesville.org"}}, {"audio_id": "lQP-_Pfm7S4", "text": {"lQP-_Pfm7S4-00000-00005591-00005762": "I WANT TO KILL MYS***", "lQP-_Pfm7S4-00001-00009118-00009232": "DROWNED ANGER", "lQP-_Pfm7S4-00002-00009232-00009392": "ABANDON AND FORGIVENESS", "lQP-_Pfm7S4-00003-00009534-00009751": "GRAVE OUTWARD", "lQP-_Pfm7S4-00004-00009801-00010209": "ICON DESTROYED IN MELANCOLY AND FLAME", "lQP-_Pfm7S4-00005-00011415-00011490": "KILL MYS***", "lQP-_Pfm7S4-00006-00013791-00013962": "LIBERATIO"}}, {"audio_id": "lQaUT7Emo9c", "text": {"lQaUT7Emo9c-00000-00000942-00001451": "- Nicholas Mallos: Well, I think the short answer is that everyone has a role to play.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00001-00001451-00002019": "Plastic is a pervasive issue that starts at the very top of the chemical industry all", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00002-00002019-00002476": "the way down to us as individual consumers making choices to buy plastic.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00003-00002476-00002868": "So, all of us have a role that we can play in intervening.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00004-00002868-00003340": "Certainly, we as individuals as we touched on earlier through our buying habits can send", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00005-00003340-00003785": "messages to those companies that might be doing the wrong things as well as to those", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00006-00003785-00004160": "companies that are being rewarded for doing the right things.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00007-00004160-00004921": "At the state and national government level, looking up policies that address the systemic", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00008-00004921-00005417": "plastic issue and make producers responsible for the end of life impacts in recovering", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00009-00005417-00006045": "those materials and then at the industry themselves changing their manufacturing processes, changing", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00010-00006045-00006547": "the actual materials they are using so that at the end of the day by chance there is potential", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00011-00006547-00007395": "products enter the marine environment there is no possibility for negative impacts.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00012-00007395-00007876": "I'll pass it over to Bill in a second but essentially trash PC is an alliance, it is", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00013-00007876-00008408": "an entity that ocean conservancy found a little over a year ago that brings together industry", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00014-00008408-00008950": "members, government members and other nonprofits that are out there to the same table to really", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00015-00008950-00009524": "address the issue of plastic in packaging in trying devised innovative solutions that", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00016-00009524-00009990": "will actually have a demonstrable impact on the marine environment in our ocean.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00017-00009990-00010611": "- Bill (William) Francis: When I get asked that question I answer it in a couple of different", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00018-00010611-00010711": "ways.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00019-00010711-00011477": "But it would be kind of sifting the Sahara desert by using a kitchen strainer and having", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00020-00011477-00011722": "one person go out and do that.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00021-00011722-00011950": "The oceans are so huge.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00022-00011950-00012747": "Unless you've been far out at sea as Nick has or on an island a remote island even like", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00023-00012747-00013347": "Hawaii where you have to travel over those thousands of miles of nothing but water in", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00024-00013347-00013847": "order to reach land, do you get a perspective for how much water there really is on this", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00025-00013847-00013947": "planet.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00026-00013947-00014512": "Unfortunately plastic breaks down in a very small pieces and is carried with water, currents", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00027-00014512-00015016": "and winds throughout the ocean and so the concentration and the distribution of this", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00028-00015016-00015790": "is so widespread and the particles are so small that to try to clean it up is just not", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00029-00015790-00015890": "practical.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00030-00015890-00016533": "The concentration I mentioned earlier, a tenth of a gram per cubic meter would probably not", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00031-00016533-00017107": "even be enough for a gold mining operation to set up.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00032-00017107-00017454": "And the economics when you look at the price of gold as you know what a thousand dollars", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00033-00017454-00018101": "an ounce (I'm not an investor of gold) a huge number all plastics you looking at probably", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00034-00018101-00018554": "for hundredth of a cent per ounce for recovered plastic.", "lQaUT7Emo9c-00035-00018554-00018706": "So there's no economic stimulus to do there."}}, {"audio_id": "lR3bVjm_n5o", "text": {"lR3bVjm_n5o-00000-00000291-00000506": "This is a librivox recording all", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00001-00000568-00000777": "librivox recordings are in the public domain", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00002-00000832-00001142": "for more information or to volunteer please visit", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00003-00001198-00001398": "librivox.org", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00004-00001560-00001760": "Recorded by Thomas wells", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00005-00002083-00002564": "The Count of Monte Cristo by Alexandre Dumas", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00006-00002755-00002955": "Chapter 80", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00007-00003031-00003231": "the accusation", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00008-00003411-00004089": "Mdf Ernie soon restored the magistrate to consciousness who looked like a second corpse in that chamber of death Oh", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00009-00004201-00004430": "Death is in my house cried veal fall", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00010-00004537-00004737": "say rather crime", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00011-00004768-00004927": "reply the doctor", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00012-00004927-00005420": "MD of heard nay cried veal fall. I cannot tell you all I feel at this moment", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00013-00005478-00005659": "terror grief", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00014-00005659-00005827": "madness", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00015-00005827-00005932": "Yes", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00016-00005932-00006318": "said MD ever nay with an imposing calmness, but", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00017-00006379-00006956": "I think it is now time to act. I think it is time to stop this torrent of mortality", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00018-00006956-00007629": "I can no longer bear to be in possession of these secrets without the hope of seeing the victims in society generally", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00019-00007678-00008136": "Revenged before cast a gloomy look around him in my house", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00020-00008215-00008498": "Murmured he in my house", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00021-00008622-00008888": "Come magistrate said Andy every knee", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00022-00008935-00009650": "Show yourself a man as an interpreter of the law do honor to your profession by sacrificing your selfish interest to it", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00023-00009747-00010244": "You make me shudder doctor do you talk of a sacrifice I do?", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00024-00010399-00010599": "Do you suspect anyone I", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00025-00010684-00011400": "Suspect no one death raps at your door it enters. It goes not blindfolded, but circumspectly from room to room", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00026-00011454-00011789": "Well, I follow its course. I track its passage", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00027-00011789-00012398": "I adopt the wisdom of the Ancients and feel my way for my friendship for your family in my respect for you are a", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00028-00012409-00012668": "Tula bandage over my eyes. Well Oh", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00029-00012729-00013025": "Speak speak doctor. I shall have courage", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00030-00013159-00013953": "Well, sir you having your establishment or your family perhaps one of the frightful monstrosity, zuv which each country produces only one", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00031-00014091-00014291": "Luke ustah and Agrippina", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00032-00014404-00015075": "Living at the same time word exception and prove the determination of Providence to affect the entire ruin of the Roman Empire", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00033-00015109-00015675": "sullied by so many crimes Brunhilde and fredag on day with the results of the painful struggle of", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00034-00015700-00016397": "Civilization in its infancy when man was learning to control mind were even it by an emissary from the realms of darkness", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00035-00016522-00017207": "All these women had been or were beautiful the same flower of innocence had flourished, or was still flourishing on their brow", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00036-00017223-00017450": "That is seen on the brow of this culprit in your house", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00037-00017479-00018038": "Before shrieked clasped his hands and looked at the doctor with a supplicating air, but the latter went on without pity", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00038-00018090-00018377": "Seek whom the crime will profit says an axiom of", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00039-00018429-00018579": "jurisprudence", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00040-00018579-00019187": "Doctor cried field for a last doctor how often has a man's justice been deceived by these fatal words", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00041-00019187-00019439": "I know not why but I feel that this crime you", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00042-00019498-00019794": "Acknowledged that the existence of the crime", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00043-00019831-00020108": "Yes, I see too plainly that it does exist", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00044-00020109-00020807": "but it seems that it is intended to affect me personally I fear and attack myself after all these disasters o", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00045-00020968-00021069": "Man", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00046-00021069-00021854": "Murdered de Burgh nay the most selfish of all animals the most personal law of all creatures who believes the earth turns the Sun shines", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00047-00021862-00022376": "And death strikes for him alone an ant cursing dot from the top of a blade of grass", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00048-00022431-00023045": "And those who have lost their lives lost nothing M. De saint-meran Madame de saint-meran and no ta", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00049-00023118-00023318": "how M no ta", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00050-00023385-00023497": "Yes", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00051-00023497-00023990": "Think it was the poor servants life was coveted no no like Shakespeare's Polonius", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00052-00023994-00024581": "He died for another there was no ta the lemonade was intended for it is nor T", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00053-00024581-00024935": "a Logically speaking who drank it the other drank it only by accident", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00054-00024941-00025340": "And although borrow us is dead there was no ta whose deaths was wished for", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00055-00025416-00025688": "But but why did it God kill my father I?", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00056-00025788-00026114": "Told you what evening in the garden after Madame de saint-mars death", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00057-00026139-00026626": "Because his system accustomed to that very poison and the dose was trifling to him", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00058-00026627-00027232": "Which would be fatal to another because no one knows not even the assassin that for the last 12 months", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00059-00027233-00027428": "I've given em nor ta", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00060-00027428-00028168": "brucine for his paralytic affection while the assassin is not ignorant and for he has proved that brucine is a violent poison Oh", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00061-00028313-00028513": "Have pity have pity", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00062-00028683-00028883": "Muirfield for wringing his hands", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00063-00028964-00029419": "Follow the culprit steps. He first kills M. De saint-meran Oh", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00064-00029493-00029658": "doctor I", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00065-00029658-00030163": "Would swear to it what I heard of his systems agrees to well with what I have seen in other cases", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00066-00030194-00030469": "The afore ceased to content he only groaned", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00067-00030527-00031273": "He first kills M. De saint-meran repeated the doctor then Madame de saint-meran a double fortune to inherit", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00068-00031340-00031573": "vo4 wiped the perspiration from his forehead", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00069-00031670-00031870": "Listen attentively", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00070-00031902-00032444": "uh-uh-uh last stab at view for I do not lose a single word and", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00071-00032534-00032959": "nor ta resumed in the Avenue and the same pitiless tone and", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00072-00033024-00033646": "Nor TA had once made a will against you against your family in favor of the poor in fact M", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00073-00033646-00033952": "Nor ta is spared because nothing is expected from it", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00074-00033969-00034538": "But he has no sooner destroyed his first will it made a second then for fear. He should make a third he is struck down", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00075-00034611-00035191": "The will hat was made the day before yesterday. I believe you see there's been no time lost oh", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00076-00035265-00035465": "Mercy MD. Ever nay", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00077-00035508-00035600": "No mercy", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00078-00035600-00036229": "sir the physician has a sacred mission on earth and to fulfill it he begins at the source of life and", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00079-00036255-00036494": "Goes down to the mysterious darkness of the tomb", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00080-00036519-00036931": "And when crime has been committed and God doubtless and anger turns away his face", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00081-00036931-00037255": "It is for the physician to bring the culprit to justice", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00082-00037403-00038191": "Have mercy on my child sir, but beautiful you see it as yourself who were first named her you her father", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00083-00038331-00038900": "Have pity on Valentin listen it is impossible. I would as willingly a Cleo's myself", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00084-00038958-00039227": "Valentin whose heart is pure as a diamond or Lily", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00085-00039359-00039654": "No pity procure the crime is pregnant", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00086-00039728-00040305": "Mademoiselle herself picked all the medicines, which were sent to M de saint-meran and M de saint-meran is dead", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00087-00040361-00040972": "Mademoiselle de Villefort prepared all the cooling drops which Madame de saint-meran took and Madame de saint-meran is dead", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00088-00041036-00041572": "Mademoiselle de Villefort took from the hands of Burroughs who was sent out to the lemonade to which M", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00089-00041609-00041961": "Norte had every morning, and he has escaped by a miracle", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00090-00042016-00042597": "Mademoiselle de Villa for is the culprit she is the poisoner to you as the Kings attorney, I denounce", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00091-00042632-00042891": "Mademoiselle de ville for do your duty", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00092-00043088-00043507": "Doctor I can resist no longer I can no longer defend myself I", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00093-00043568-00043963": "Believe you, but for pity's sake spare my life my honour", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00094-00044111-00044701": "MD Villa for replied the doctor with increased vitamins there are occasions when I dispense with all foolish human", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00095-00044713-00045426": "Circumspection if your daughter had committed only one crime and I saw her meditating another I would say warn her punish her", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00096-00045466-00045960": "Let her past the remainder of her life in a convent weeping and praying she had committed two crimes", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00097-00045961-00046572": "I would say here MD Villa for is a poison that the prisoner is not acquainted with one that has no known antidote", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00098-00046616-00047035": "Quickest thought rapid is lightning mortal is the thunderbolt give her that poison?", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00099-00047066-00047460": "Recommending her soul to God and save your honour in your life for it is yours", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00100-00047461-00047941": "She aims at and I can picture her approaching your pillow with her. Hypocritical smiles and her sweet exhortation", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00101-00048014-00048414": "Woe to you and evil for if you do not strike first", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00102-00048443-00048706": "This is what I would say if she'd only killed two persons", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00103-00048706-00049173": "But she has seen three deaths as contemplated three murdered persons has knelt by three", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00104-00049222-00049608": "Corpses to the scaffold with the poisoner to the scaffold", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00105-00049609-00050028": "Do you talk of your honor do what I tell you and immortality awaits you?", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00106-00050135-00050335": "via for fell upon his knees", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00107-00050428-00050994": "Listen said he I am NOT the strength of mine you have or rather that which you would not have of it", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00108-00050995-00051474": "If instead of my daughter Valentin your daughter Madeline unconcerned the doctor turned pale", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00109-00051529-00052024": "Doctor every son of woman is born to suffer and die I'm content to suffer in a way death", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00110-00052108-00052827": "Beware said MD ever may it may. Come slowly. You will see an approach after having struck your father your wife", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00111-00052910-00053066": "perhaps your son", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00112-00053066-00053608": "Feel for suffocating press the doctors arm listen cried he pity me help me", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00113-00053622-00053969": "No, my daughter is not guilty if you drag us both before a tribunal", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00114-00053969-00054427": "I will still say no my daughter is not guilty. There is no crime in my house I", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00115-00054486-00054686": "Will not acknowledge a crime in my house", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00116-00054735-00055192": "For when a crime interest of Delhi dwelling it is like death. It does not come alone", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00117-00055313-00055933": "Listen what does it signify to you if I am murdered? Are you my friend? Are you a man? Have you a heart?", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00118-00055941-00056150": "No, you are a physician well", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00119-00056150-00056542": "I will tell you not to drag my daughter before a tribunal and give her up to the executioner the", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00120-00056567-00056995": "Bare idea would kill me would drive me like a madman to dig my heart out with my fingernails", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00121-00057000-00057229": "And if you are aware a mistaken doctor", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00122-00057229-00057875": "But we're not my daughter if I should come one day peláez inspector to say to you assassin you have killed my child hold", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00123-00057924-00058375": "If that should happen though, I am a Christian MD ever nay I should kill myself", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00124-00058569-00059344": "Well said the doctor after a moment's silence, I will wait via for looked at him as if he had doubted his words only", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00125-00059438-00059830": "continued MD a bird neh with a slow and solemn tone if", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00126-00059894-00060451": "Anyone falls ill in your house if you feel yourself attacked do not send for me for I will come no more", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00127-00060454-00060706": "I will consent to share this dreadful secret with you", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00128-00060706-00061216": "But I will not allow shame and remorse to grow and increase in my conscious as crime and misery will in your house", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00129-00061329-00061529": "And you abandoned me doctor", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00130-00061583-00061792": "Yes for I can follow you no farther", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00131-00061792-00062005": "And I only stopped at the foot of the scaffold", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00132-00062042-00062638": "some further discovery will be made which will bring this thread 'full tragedy to a close I do I", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00133-00062738-00062913": "entreat you doctor", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00134-00062913-00063433": "All the whores that disturb my thoughts make your house odious and fatal adieu sir", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00135-00063530-00063687": "one word one", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00136-00063687-00064090": "Single word more doctor you go leaving me in all the horror of my situation", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00137-00064113-00064393": "After increasing ended by what you have real revealed to me", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00138-00064425-00064831": "But what will be reported to the sudden death of the poor old servant true", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00139-00064943-00065143": "Said I am ever nay", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00140-00065154-00065330": "We will return", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00141-00065330-00065825": "The doctor went out first followed by MD Villa for the terrified servants were on the stairs", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00142-00065825-00066110": "And then the present where the doctor would pass sir", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00143-00066165-00066668": "Said and said the avek made to feel for so loud that all might hear poor burro", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00144-00066693-00067295": "has led to sit in Terraria life of late the custom formerly to ride on horseback or the carriage to the four corners of the", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00145-00067295-00067714": "Europe the monotonous walk around that armchair has killed him his blood is thickened", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00146-00067718-00067988": "He was stout at a short thick neck he was attacked with", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00147-00068043-00068347": "Apoplexy and I was called in too late by the way", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00148-00068409-00068839": "How did he in a low tone take care to throw away that cup of syrup and violets in the ashes?", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00149-00068853-00069350": "the doctor without shaking hands with me up for without adding a word to what he said went out amid the tears and", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00150-00069360-00069992": "limitations of the whole household the same evening all ville forest servants who had assemble in the kitchen and had a long consultation", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00151-00070032-00070526": "Came to tell Madame de Villa for that a wish to leave no entreaty no proposition of increased wages", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00152-00070548-00071059": "Could induce them to remain to every argument. They replied. We must go for death is in this house", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00153-00071079-00071351": "They all left in spite of prayers and entreaties", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00154-00071394-00072034": "Testifying their regret to leaving so good a master and Mistress and especially Madame ozera valantine so good so kind and so gentle", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00155-00072102-00072415": "before looked at valentin as they said this she was in tears and", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00156-00072462-00072821": "Strange as it was in spite of the emotion. She felt at the side of those tears", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00157-00072842-00073514": "He looked also at Madame du Vin for and it appeared to him is if a slight gloomy smile and passed her thin lips like", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00158-00073514-00073924": "A meat-eor scenes fast passing in auspiciously between two clouds in a stormy sky", "lR3bVjm_n5o-00159-00074076-00074276": "End of chapter"}}, {"audio_id": "lRra1UiGJO8", "text": {"lRra1UiGJO8-00000-00000567-00001144": "Judi James says the three official royal portraits show the couple are 'so in love'", "lRra1UiGJO8-00001-00001261-00001877": "Harry wants to 'let the world how happy and in love he is', Judi told MailOnline", "lRra1UiGJO8-00002-00001994-00002562": "Contrast between couple engagement photos compared to William and Kate's", "lRra1UiGJO8-00003-00002679-00003213": "She said: 'Harry has raised the bar by wrapping Meghan into his coat'", "lRra1UiGJO8-00004-00003329-00004382": "Harry and Meghan are tearing up the royal rulebook yet again with the most intimate engagement photographs in history, Britain's best-known body language told MailOnline today.", "lRra1UiGJO8-00005-00004499-00005388": "Judi James says the couple look 'so in love' in the three new official royal portraits viewers might fell like they're 'intruding' on a private moment.", "lRra1UiGJO8-00006-00005505-00006572": "The pictures were taken by celebrated fashion photographer Alexi Lubomirski, who has also captured the 'high levels of sexual attraction' between them, she says.", "lRra1UiGJO8-00007-00006689-00007631": "There is also a marked contrast between Meghan and Harry's pictures and the ones released by Kate and William when they got engaged in 2010.", "lRra1UiGJO8-00008-00007748-00008644": "Judi told MailOnline: 'William and Kate opted for some polite snuggling - Harry has raised the bar by wrapping Meghan into his coat", "lRra1UiGJO8-00009-00008761-00009641": "She's looking down in a flirtatious way but the way their heads are nuzzling makes you feel like clearing your throat to let them know you're still watching'.", "lRra1UiGJO8-00010-00009758-00010393": "Here is Judi's expert view on what the photographs tell us about Harry and Meghan's relationship", "lRra1UiGJO8-00011-00010510-00011889": "By Judi James  If there were any protocol about the intimacy levels of royal engagement photos Harry and Meghan have cut right through it with the stunningly sexy poses that show a couple so much in love that the viewer might seem to be intruding.", "lRra1UiGJO8-00012-00012006-00013409": "The new royal couple did take time out in the full-length shot to throw some eye contact towards the camera but its clear from Harry's soft and dreamy eye expression in particular that he's only real concern is the woman sitting between his legs", "lRra1UiGJO8-00013-00013526-00014156": "This is a very intimate pose and a world away from anything the royals have released before", "lRra1UiGJO8-00014-00014272-00015166": "William and Kate were cutely cuddled together for their engagement photos but their poses were far less exclusive in terms of locking out the viewer", "lRra1UiGJO8-00015-00015284-00016075": "They giggled towards the camera to share their happiness and their bodies were close but not to the extent that Harry and Meghan's are", "lRra1UiGJO8-00016-00016191-00017048": "Harry has enclosed his bride-to-be between his legs here in a gesture that shows loving protection along with high levels of sexual attraction.", "lRra1UiGJO8-00017-00017165-00017905": "William and Kate's poses always looked like shared and sharing shots with the couple speaking to the camera with their eyes", "lRra1UiGJO8-00018-00018022-00018933": "This made their poses sweet and rather cute whereas the black and white shot of Harry and Meghan shows a couple almost isolated in their own love", "lRra1UiGJO8-00019-00019050-00019939": "Harry's besotted smile makes him look almost unrecognisable and an expression like this just has to be authentic rather than posed for the camera", "lRra1UiGJO8-00020-00020056-00020856": "While William and Kate opted for some polite snuggling in their photos Harry has raised the bar by wrapping Meghan into his coat", "lRra1UiGJO8-00021-00020973-00021853": "She's looking down in a flirtatious way but the way their heads are nuzzling makes you feel like clearing your throat to let them know you're still watching.", "lRra1UiGJO8-00022-00021970-00023445": "Harry is clearly openly happy to let the rest of the world know how happy and in love he is and Meghan's high levels of confidence seem to have allowed him to sidestep the normal formality of a royal romance and show a far more intimate side of their relationship."}}, {"audio_id": "lRQWtgrfryI", "text": {"lRQWtgrfryI-00000-00000042-00000996": "My name is Natalia, I'm eighteen. I live in Kamianets Podilskyi. Now I finished my last", "lRQWtgrfryI-00001-00000996-00001452": "year in college. My previous place of work was a company Prime class year. I held a position", "lRQWtgrfryI-00002-00001452-00001986": "of lead generation manager there. My duties included section clean with accent on criteria,", "lRQWtgrfryI-00003-00001986-00002280": "correspond with them and, and send emails and events.", "lRQWtgrfryI-00004-00002280-00002796": "There are work with the HubSpot CRM system. I also have experience in work with LinkedIn", "lRQWtgrfryI-00005-00002796-00003228": "sales navigator and salesQL. Now I'm looking for a full-time job. I prefer", "lRQWtgrfryI-00006-00003228-00003714": "a remote job because in this case it's not tied to an office, and I can work anywhere", "lRQWtgrfryI-00007-00003714-00004182": "in the world. About my online experience: I'm developing a design for a print.", "lRQWtgrfryI-00008-00004182-00004680": "I consider it as my hobby. I'm a confident PC user, but I used it mostly for study. I", "lRQWtgrfryI-00009-00004680-00005154": "prefer working in a team where everyone takes their place and fulfills their open duties.", "lRQWtgrfryI-00010-00005154-00005778": "And about the future, I don't have any plans yet, but I would like to build my career with", "lRQWtgrfryI-00011-00005778-00006228": "the perspective of its future growth. And that's all. Thank you for your attention."}}, {"audio_id": "lRVdtAzKsc8", "text": {"lRVdtAzKsc8-00000-00000130-00005018": "thank you hello guys good morning welcome to my Vlog as them uh", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00001-00005018-00006184": "let's go  foreign", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00002-00006184-00006856": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00003-00006856-00008875": "[Music] [Applause] [Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00004-00008875-00009990": "furniture [Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00005-00009990-00011025": "everybody", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00006-00011025-00012061": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00007-00012061-00015783": "okay", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00008-00015783-00015883": "okay", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00009-00015883-00015983": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00010-00015983-00016083": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00011-00016083-00016311": "William again [Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00012-00016311-00016411": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00013-00016411-00016511": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00014-00016511-00016611": "tomato", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00015-00016611-00016711": "sauce", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00016-00016711-00016919": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00017-00016919-00017550": "you're noon", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00018-00017550-00018759": "party Masala okay", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00019-00018759-00019743": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00020-00019743-00020728": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00021-00020728-00021581": "obligates me [Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00022-00021581-00023470": "it's me", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00023-00023470-00026157": "different", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00024-00026157-00029533": "light into a lot of fun [Music] finally saying", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00025-00029533-00031677": "yeah [Music] [Applause] [Music] [Applause] [Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00026-00031677-00031777": "foreign", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00027-00031777-00032288": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00028-00032288-00032869": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00029-00032869-00033450": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00030-00033450-00033550": "foreign", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00031-00033550-00035649": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00032-00035649-00035749": "foreign", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00033-00035749-00035937": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00034-00035937-00036183": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00035-00036183-00036428": "together", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00036-00036428-00036584": "Ness [Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00037-00036584-00036684": "foreign", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00038-00036684-00036825": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00039-00036825-00037419": "[Music] Facebook honey [Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00040-00037419-00037916": "your main team", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00041-00037916-00038150": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00042-00038150-00038821": "all right [Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00043-00038821-00039630": "foreign [Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00044-00039630-00040034": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00045-00040034-00040134": "together", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00046-00040134-00041200": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00047-00041200-00042304": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00048-00042304-00048578": "[Music] good", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00049-00048578-00049875": "night [Music] videos [Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00050-00049875-00050303": "[Music]", "lRVdtAzKsc8-00051-00050303-00050500": "thank you foreign"}}, {"audio_id": "lSdMsHc9QJk", "text": {"lSdMsHc9QJk-00000-00000000-00000527": "Hi everyone!  Continuity and limit laws are the topic for this video.  Now the", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00001-00000527-00000902": "reason why we want to learn this stuff is because it gives us a quick way of doing", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00002-00000902-00001353": "limits, by plugging in some numbers.  It's going to be much quicker.  The", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00003-00001353-00001814": "numerical method is time intensive and requires that you have a calculator, it's", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00004-00001814-00002294": "really tedious.  From the previous videos the much better method is the graphical", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00005-00002294-00002636": "method.  If you can just graph the function and see what the height of the", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00006-00002636-00003077": "function approaches then it's a very quick easy way to figure out limits.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00007-00003077-00003515": "What you're going to find by the end of this video is that using continuity and limit", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00008-00003515-00003887": "laws you'll be able to do more complicated things quicker.  So we're", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00009-00003887-00004245": "going to spend a bunch of slides here talking about what is continuity.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00010-00004245-00004737": "A function is called continuous at x=a ... you have to like pick an x-value", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00011-00004737-00005175": "and say whether it's continuous at that x-value.  Okay, f(x) is called", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00012-00005175-00005751": "continuous at x=a if the limit exists and the limit is", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00013-00005751-00006057": "actually equal to the height of the function.  Remember from the previous", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00014-00006057-00006561": "video this number one here there's a lot built in there.  The plus minus is not", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00015-00006561-00007184": "included.  What we really mean is that the left limit exists, the right limit exists,", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00016-00007184-00007661": "and they're equal to each other.  So in addition to all of those things", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00017-00007661-00008268": "happening the height of the function at x = a is also equal to the value of", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00018-00008268-00008640": "the limit.  There's actually four different conditions built into these", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00019-00008640-00009165": "two little statements.  In this first picture the height of the function from", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00020-00009165-00009668": "the left matches up with the height approaching from the right, that means", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00021-00009668-00010188": "that the limit exists so the first condition is true.  However f(a) is this", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00022-00010188-00010739": "dot way up here and f(a) is not the same as the height of the left limit and", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00023-00010739-00011124": "the right limit, so number two is false.  So for this picture this function is not", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00024-00011124-00011595": "continuous at x = a, as opposed to this other one over here example B the", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00025-00011595-00012050": "one is true, two is true, so this one is continuous.  A little fluffy way to think", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00026-00012050-00012438": "about it is that in order to be continuous you have to be able to draw", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00027-00012438-00012914": "this line without picking up your pen from the paper.  You see I can't do that", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00028-00012914-00013326": "on the left one.  If I'm going to draw the function I have to pick my pen up", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00029-00013326-00013776": "off the paper in order to get up at this dot and draw the dot.  So the left one is", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00030-00013776-00014213": "not continuous.  With the right one, this dot is filled in.  I don't need to pick up", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00031-00014213-00014586": "my pen from the paper and I can just keep on drawing.  Okay so that is the", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00032-00014586-00015104": "difference between not continuous at x = a and continuous and x = a.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00033-00015104-00015534": "If you pick another x value, say if we were to jump over on this picture here", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00034-00015534-00015975": "to like x = b it actually is continuous over here at x = b", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00035-00015975-00016506": "because I'm at a different x-value.  Each x-value has its own continuity property.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00036-00016506-00016887": "A function is called continuous from the left if the height that the function", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00037-00016887-00017354": "approaches from the left is equal to f(a),  but not from the right.   There's a", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00038-00017354-00017723": "jump.  Or you could be continuous from the right, a function is called continuous", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00039-00017723-00018245": "from the right at x = a if the height approaching from the right is the", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00040-00018245-00018693": "same as f(a).  The height of the function at that dot so it's filled in", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00041-00018693-00019073": "kind of on the right and this is called continuous from the right.  So in order to", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00042-00019073-00019463": "be continuous you would be both continuous from the left and continuous", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00043-00019463-00019763": "from the right.  I know that a lot of students coming into this class have a", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00044-00019763-00020210": "hard time understanding what piecewise functions are.  I want to make sure to put", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00045-00020210-00020573": "an example here make sure within the first week of class do you understand", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00046-00020573-00021116": "what a piecewise function is.  We're going to draw cosine but only for x-values", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00047-00021116-00021548": "that are negative.  Remember at the origin it starts at 1 and it kind of oscillates.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00048-00021548-00021978": "Notice that here I only need it for x less than or equal to zero, so I only", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00049-00021978-00022473": "need the cosine graph to be drawn over here where the x-values are negative.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00050-00022473-00022848": "Moving on to the next part of the function I need to draw a straight line", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00051-00022848-00023534": "with slope 1 and y-intercept 1, when the x-values are between 0 and 1.  We've got", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00052-00023534-00024041": "the exponential function happening now in between x equals 1 and x equals 5, and", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00053-00024041-00024404": "finally we've got this polynomial here.  Like you might look at this and be like", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00054-00024404-00024768": "oh shoot how do I graph that?  I don't remember!  Maybe I'm going to do it as a", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00055-00024768-00025190": "little side computation, right.  One great way of graphing parabolas is to factor", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00056-00025190-00025628": "it.  I can just pull an x out.  If x is equal to zero the height of the function", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00057-00025628-00026019": "is zero and if x is equal to five then the height of the function is", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00058-00026019-00026445": "zero.  Notice that there's this minus sign out in front that got factored out as", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00059-00026445-00026883": "well so we're talking about a downwards parabola.  Okay this is like", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00060-00026883-00027377": "review from precalculus.  We want this parabola when the x-values are greater", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00061-00027377-00027801": "than five, actually so we only want this little piece over here.  So we've", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00062-00027801-00028358": "got our function graphed.  Remember this is all prerequisite skills!  I'm assuming", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00063-00028358-00028743": "that you know this coming into the class. Now let's actually do a calculus", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00064-00028743-00029189": "question.  Is the function continuous at x equals zero?   One of the biggest parts", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00065-00029189-00029598": "here is to defend your answer.  Tell me why,  tell me what do you understand about", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00066-00029598-00029994": "continuity.  What does continuity mean? Does it have anything to do with limits?", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00067-00029994-00030375": "Can you explain it to me?  So here's the explanation that you would need to", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00068-00030375-00030894": "provide say on an exam.  If the x-values are approaching zero from the left...", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00069-00030894-00031344": "that's over here... and we're using the cosine function.  On the cosine function", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00070-00031344-00031893": "the height of the cosine function approaches one.  Now let's separately talk", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00071-00031893-00032358": "about the right limit.  The right limit is using this straight line.  The x+1", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00072-00032358-00032841": "thing, as x approaches zero from the right the height of that function", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00073-00032841-00033354": "approaches a height of one as the x values approach zero from the right.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00074-00033354-00033861": "Finally well at x equals zero cosine of zero is equal to one.  The left limit is 1,", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00075-00033861-00034260": "the right limit is 1, and the height of the function is 1.  Because all of these", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00076-00034260-00034740": "three things exist and they're all equal to the same number we can conclude yes", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00077-00034740-00035232": "it is continuous.  This is defending your answer!  For part (b) what type of", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00078-00035232-00035697": "continuity is happening at x equals one? I hope that you'll conclude looking at", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00079-00035697-00036041": "the picture this is continuous from the right.  Here's what you would write down.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00080-00036041-00036621": "From the left the height here approaches a height of two.  The height approaching", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00081-00036621-00037128": "from the right is approaching a height of e.  And then at x =1 we're", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00082-00037128-00037485": "talking about e-to-the-one, which is e.  So as you can see these two agree with each", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00083-00037485-00037884": "other. The limit from the right agrees with f(1) but this one doesn't agree.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00084-00037884-00038298": "So it is continuous from the right but it's not continuous from the left, at", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00085-00038298-00038760": "x equals one.  What we're going to do now is list out continuity properties that", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00086-00038760-00039116": "you should know from this point forward in the course.  Polynomials are continuous", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00087-00039116-00039543": "for all real numbers.  These are kind of typical polynomials.  If", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00088-00039543-00039936": "you pick a point on the graph, does the height from the left agree with the", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00089-00039936-00040322": "height approaching from the right, and does that further agree with the actual", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00090-00040322-00040659": "height of the function at that particular point?  Yes of course it does,", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00091-00040659-00041150": "because polynomials are just you know smooth squiggly things that go from left", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00092-00041150-00041577": "to right.  There's no holes, there's no jump, there's no asymptotes even.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00093-00041577-00042036": "They're continuous everywhere.  Next fact is exponential functions are also", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00094-00042036-00042509": "continuous on all of the real numbers. Also sines and cosines these are also", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00095-00042509-00043065": "continuous on all real numbers. The domain of the function for logarithms is", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00096-00043065-00043518": "x being greater than zero so logarithms are continuous as long as you stay on", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00097-00043518-00043913": "the domain.  And finally is irrational functions.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00098-00043913-00044303": "Remember from precalculus, a rational function is a polynomial", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00099-00044303-00044822": "divided by a polynomial.  So rational functions are continuous everywhere", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00100-00044822-00045318": "on the real line except ... so this little slash line means except... for the", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00101-00045318-00045815": "zeros of the denominator. 1/x is continuous everywhere except for", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00102-00045815-00046368": "at x equals 0.  So 1/x is continuous at x = 1, it's continuous at x = 2,", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00103-00046368-00047096": "everywhere except for x equals zero.  For 2/(x-3), x equals 3 is not", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00104-00047096-00047519": "allowed.  That's not part of the domain, so x equals 3 needs to be excluded.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00105-00047519-00047946": "Finally down the bottom here the denominator is 0 if x is either plus or", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00106-00047946-00048396": "minus 5 so negative 5 needs to be excluded and also positive 5.  This is", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00107-00048396-00048780": "stuff that you need to know, this is the calculus material that you need to know", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00108-00048780-00049208": "for this week.  How can we use it to actually find limits.  This is a", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00109-00049208-00049674": "polynomial divided by a polynomial.  Here x is approaching 1.  Is this function", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00110-00049674-00050228": "continuous at x equals 1?  Well sure it is! Therefore what we get to do is actually", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00111-00050228-00050741": "just plug in 1.  Isn't this great right? Continuity is awesome because we can", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00112-00050741-00051041": "just plug in 1, and the answer is negative 4.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00113-00051041-00051462": "Remember from the previous slide that the sine function is continuous actually", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00114-00051462-00051929": "everywhere so we can actually just plug in x equals pi.  Remember that sine of pi", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00115-00051929-00052406": "is equal to 0.  So here the value of the limit is 0.  Okay let's do another one.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00116-00052406-00052876": "Because the denominator is not 0, it IS continuous and we can just plug it in.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00117-00052876-00053322": "Finally one more example.  Exponential functions are continuous on the whole", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00118-00053322-00053691": "real line.  We can actually just plug in x=ln(2).", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00119-00053691-00054188": "Don't forget basic stuff right?  e-to-the-ln(2) power simplifies to just 2,", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00120-00054188-00054614": "because the e and ln cancel each other.  They are inverse functions.  Now wasn't that great?", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00121-00054614-00055052": "We didn't have to graph anything.  You can do more complicated stuff and you can", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00122-00055052-00055466": "just like plug in numbers as long as things are continuous.  What we're", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00123-00055466-00055877": "covering next is limit laws.  You can take a limit where two things are added", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00124-00055877-00056322": "together and separate it and just do the limit of the first piece and then add it", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00125-00056322-00056720": "to the limit of the second piece.  This actually works with minus signs as well.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00126-00056720-00057198": "If you're taking the limit as x approaches a of like 6 times a function,", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00127-00057198-00057626": "you can actually just take that 6 and pull it out and just do the limit of the", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00128-00057626-00058035": "function.  Linear is a word that's used all over the place in mathematics.  In the", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00129-00058035-00058491": "context of limits this is what it means. You can separate over plus signs and you", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00130-00058491-00058875": "can pull constants out in front.  The next limit law is that limits are", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00131-00058875-00059301": "multiplicative.  If you have two things multiplied together it's okay as long as", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00132-00059301-00059789": "they each individually exist then you can multiply and do each separately.  And", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00133-00059789-00060225": "the same thing for division, as long as the denominator is not 0 right... because", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00134-00060225-00060644": "remember if the denominator is 0 then like that would NOT exist.  Now that we", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00135-00060644-00061041": "know what limit laws are this is going to make finding limits of complicated", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00136-00061041-00061388": "expressions easier because we can break it down into pieces.  You're going to take", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00137-00061388-00061832": "the limit of the tangent just like by itself and the limit of the number 1 and", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00138-00061832-00062219": "the limit of the x squared and the limit of the 5 like individual pieces breaking", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00139-00062219-00062738": "it up.  Don't forget that tangent is sine over cosine so this is sine of 0 over", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00140-00062738-00063377": "cosine of 0, that's 0 over 1.  0 over 1 is equal to 0.  The next piece over here,", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00141-00063377-00063857": "we've just got a constant here which is the number 1.  There's no x's ... this is just", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00142-00063857-00064376": "1 ... so it stays 1.  Same thing down here for the 5.   x can go to 0 all day, 5 is still 5.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00143-00064376-00064866": "Polynomials are continuous everywhere, I can just plug in any number.  Putting", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00144-00064866-00065286": "everything together and my final answer is 1/5.  One more example here.  We're", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00145-00065286-00065638": "going to use the limit laws because polynomials are continuous.  So", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00146-00065638-00066103": "it's okay for me to just plug in x approaching negative one, we get 1/6.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00147-00066103-00066541": "In order to use the graphical method you have to be able to graph the function.  If", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00148-00066541-00066829": "you don't know what the graph of the function is this method isn't going to", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00149-00066829-00067171": "help you.  Numerical method like we said at the beginning of the video is pretty", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00150-00067171-00067492": "tedious.  The numerical method we probably don't want to use very often,", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00151-00067492-00067882": "Continuity and limit laws, if you use them correctly, you can actually just", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00152-00067882-00068290": "plug in numbers as long as you don't get a zero in the denominator.  Now I hope", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00153-00068290-00068620": "that you'll challenge yourself and go look for more problems in the book.", "lSdMsHc9QJk-00154-00068620-00069045": "Check out the homework online and we'll see you in class soon!"}}, {"audio_id": "lS3FaP4czyE", "text": {"lS3FaP4czyE-00000-00001519-00002017": "The friendship journey to Hongcheon in Korea", "lS3FaP4czyE-00001-00002273-00002743": "Driving from Seoul to Hongcheon takes about 2 hours", "lS3FaP4czyE-00002-00002751-00003458": "Today, it's a concept of hip older sisters wearing a leather jacket", "lS3FaP4czyE-00003-00004388-00004588": "Another car is coming behind us", "lS3FaP4czyE-00004-00004603-00004723": "Okay!", "lS3FaP4czyE-00005-00004728-00004876": "lol", "lS3FaP4czyE-00006-00004885-00005040": "I'll go quickly!", "lS3FaP4czyE-00007-00005055-00005760": "Arrived at a pension with spa, water park, and barbecue facilities", "lS3FaP4czyE-00008-00005894-00006437": "Each of the two buildings has rooms with different concept name", "lS3FaP4czyE-00009-00006513-00007017": "Each room can accommodate up to 6 people", "lS3FaP4czyE-00010-00007266-00007466": "Where is my room?", "lS3FaP4czyE-00011-00008452-00008652": "The room name is 'Autumn'", "lS3FaP4czyE-00012-00009540-00010024": "When you open the middle entrance door, you can see the sink right away", "lS3FaP4czyE-00013-00010108-00010308": "We all have to wash our hands more these days", "lS3FaP4czyE-00014-00010639-00011158": "If you go to the bathroom, there's a spa machine", "lS3FaP4czyE-00015-00011183-00011303": "Preview", "lS3FaP4czyE-00016-00011447-00011781": "A clean interior with a duplex structure", "lS3FaP4czyE-00017-00011886-00012242": "The kitchen also has all the basic kitchen utensils", "lS3FaP4czyE-00018-00012658-00012841": "I've been shopping nearby", "lS3FaP4czyE-00019-00012860-00013158": "If you go up to the second floor...", "lS3FaP4czyE-00020-00013755-00014088": "There are dressing table and bed on the second floor", "lS3FaP4czyE-00021-00014619-00014672": "ha~", "lS3FaP4czyE-00022-00014682-00014840": "???? lol", "lS3FaP4czyE-00023-00014922-00015076": "She ignores lightly", "lS3FaP4czyE-00024-00015100-00015520": "Like an idol pictorial... (Sorry)", "lS3FaP4czyE-00025-00015532-00015732": "one", "lS3FaP4czyE-00026-00015732-00015932": "???", "lS3FaP4czyE-00027-00015932-00016041": "two three", "lS3FaP4czyE-00028-00016064-00016221": "ha~", "lS3FaP4czyE-00029-00016262-00016390": "ha~", "lS3FaP4czyE-00030-00016458-00016516": "one", "lS3FaP4czyE-00031-00016516-00016578": "two", "lS3FaP4czyE-00032-00016578-00016778": "three", "lS3FaP4czyE-00033-00016778-00016956": "ha~", "lS3FaP4czyE-00034-00017070-00017264": "hello (Preparing dinner)", "lS3FaP4czyE-00035-00017423-00017623": "Ah...I put too much...", "lS3FaP4czyE-00036-00017821-00018021": "We prepared green onions and ssam radish as side dishes", "lS3FaP4czyE-00037-00018132-00018305": "Kimchi, a traditional Korean food", "lS3FaP4czyE-00038-00018329-00018652": "When I eat, I must eat kimchi.", "lS3FaP4czyE-00039-00018673-00018873": "You are really Korean!", "lS3FaP4czyE-00040-00019007-00019406": "While the pension owner prepares the charcoal fire,", "lS3FaP4czyE-00041-00019564-00020018": "We have prepared various side dishes with pickled onions", "lS3FaP4czyE-00042-00020166-00020680": "While making kimchi stew, I changed it to ramen", "lS3FaP4czyE-00043-00020790-00020963": "Really good", "lS3FaP4czyE-00044-00021195-00021326": "sweet potato? sweet potato...", "lS3FaP4czyE-00045-00021904-00022104": "The fire is so strong, meat is going to be burned", "lS3FaP4czyE-00046-00022369-00022522": "Oh... my god...", "lS3FaP4czyE-00047-00023101-00023221": "Shall we drink now?", "lS3FaP4czyE-00048-00023221-00023318": "OK!", "lS3FaP4czyE-00049-00023318-00023518": "Then get ready to drink!", "lS3FaP4czyE-00050-00023589-00023789": "(Soju bottles with labels of our name)", "lS3FaP4czyE-00051-00023998-00024143": "(Is it really grilling or burning?)", "lS3FaP4czyE-00052-00024143-00024335": "Cook other meat", "lS3FaP4czyE-00053-00024465-00024606": "All the meat is burning...", "lS3FaP4czyE-00054-00025055-00025621": "Chicken feet were also grilled", "lS3FaP4czyE-00055-00025703-00025979": "Let's eat sweet potatoes at the end!", "lS3FaP4czyE-00056-00026347-00026511": "(We are crazy about sweet potatoes)", "lS3FaP4czyE-00057-00026511-00026681": "Sweet potato from hell.jpg", "lS3FaP4czyE-00058-00026682-00027092": "The sweet potato is burnt on the outside, but the taste is sweet", "lS3FaP4czyE-00059-00027237-00027488": "Interpretation: We ate well", "lS3FaP4czyE-00060-00027834-00028226": "The pension owner came to light the fireplace in the room", "lS3FaP4czyE-00061-00028364-00028564": "Firewood was layered in the shape of an \"x\"", "lS3FaP4czyE-00062-00028698-00029166": "She made the fire come up from below", "lS3FaP4czyE-00063-00029239-00029634": "Gently open the door of the fireplace where the fire weakens", "lS3FaP4czyE-00064-00029733-00029892": "If you keep it open like this ...", "lS3FaP4czyE-00065-00029900-00030081": "You can see it getting brighter?", "lS3FaP4czyE-00066-00030081-00030281": "The tree underneath was lit and brightened", "lS3FaP4czyE-00067-00030497-00030582": "When I close the door ...", "lS3FaP4czyE-00068-00030583-00030783": "Then more light burns", "lS3FaP4czyE-00069-00030793-00030993": "Can you hear the sound?", "lS3FaP4czyE-00070-00031019-00031200": "Because it is an oak tree, it sounds like this", "lS3FaP4czyE-00071-00031237-00031768": "* Listen to ASMR *", "lS3FaP4czyE-00072-00031887-00032087": "(Situation at the North Pole)", "lS3FaP4czyE-00073-00032279-00032479": "Interpretation: It's warm", "lS3FaP4czyE-00074-00033332-00033841": "Healing with a spa", "lS3FaP4czyE-00075-00034002-00034111": "In what country is the wine made?", "lS3FaP4czyE-00076-00034112-00034247": "It's wine from Chile", "lS3FaP4czyE-00077-00034276-00034427": "Good", "lS3FaP4czyE-00078-00034429-00034528": "Let's drink~", "lS3FaP4czyE-00079-00034528-00034609": "Good!", "lS3FaP4czyE-00080-00034609-00034809": "(Sound of wine hitting)", "lS3FaP4czyE-00081-00035158-00035536": "How about a cup of coffee in the morning while looking at the mountains?", "lS3FaP4czyE-00082-00035583-00035947": "A cafe located in the next building.", "lS3FaP4czyE-00083-00036349-00036549": "(She drinking coffee like drinking alcohol)", "lS3FaP4czyE-00084-00036784-00037192": "The water park swimming pool is scheduled to open around June", "lS3FaP4czyE-00085-00037417-00037617": "Come to the pension to rest", "lS3FaP4czyE-00086-00038062-00038335": "The friendship journey to Hongcheon in Korea"}}, {"audio_id": "lSwWNWzx6cQ", "text": {"lSwWNWzx6cQ-00000-00000756-00001472": "The online \"Euro Run\" competition took place between 25 November and 25 February in the whole euro area.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00001-00001472-00001939": "Pupils from classes 3 to 6 in 19 countries participated in the competition.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00002-00002004-00002312": "\"Euro Run\" is an educational and exciting computer game", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00003-00002312-00002752": "with its heroes Anna and Alex helping the police to arrest a banknote forger.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00004-00002836-00003352": "Through these events players get to know their money better and acquire knowledge about safety of Money.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00005-00003447-00004264": "I'm used to playing computer games like these at home; it's quite cool.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00006-00004352-00004982": "Each banknote has its own level where one has to collect coins un answer different questions.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00007-00005032-00005518": "Points are given for the speed at which one completes the level", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00008-00005518-00006186": "and for the collected coins and answered questions.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00009-00006804-00007016": "In the game, one can learn many new things,", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00010-00007016-00007295": "for example, what the euro coins of other countries look like.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00011-00007668-00007988": "We know that the Latvian euro coin depicts Milda while, say, the German coin depicts an eagle", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00012-00007988-00008320": "but their cent coin has oak leaves.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00013-00008564-00008890": "One can also learn more about how to tell counterfeit banknotes from real ones", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00014-00008890-00009190": "or which countries have introduced the euro and so on.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00015-00009292-00010016": "Of the 100 players submitting the highest score in the online competition, 47 were from Latvia.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00016-00010124-00010566": "Our country was represented by the best eight of the top 10 players.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00017-00010724-00010940": "I would like to express my sincere gratitude", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00018-00011338-00011530": "to the teachers of all schools.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00019-00011550-00011680": "Applause.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00020-00011824-00012002": "I think, this is a wonderful beginning.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00021-00012052-00012360": "When I see the fantastic energy and interest in these matters,", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00022-00012400-00012682": "I know the teachers have done a great job.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00023-00012816-00013194": "The final competition took place in Latvijas Banka on 4 April", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00024-00013240-00013546": "It was organised to find out the most knowledgeable euro area students", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00025-00013546-00013804": "in the field of money design and safety.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00026-00013860-00014002": "The following teams participated in the game:", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00027-00014002-00014213": "the team of Class 6.a, Krustpils Elementary School,", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00028-00014241-00014466": "the team of Class 5.a, Krustpils Elementary School,", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00029-00014516-00014719": "the team of Class 4, Dzelzava Elementary School", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00030-00014788-00015118": "and the team of Class 5.c, Riga Secondary School No. 34.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00031-00015276-00015466": "Facing a stiff competition in four rounds,", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00032-00015496-00015824": "the winning European team most knowledgeable in euro matters is...", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00033-00015972-00016106": "[Moderator:] Are you ready?", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00034-00016141-00016326": "Yes!", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00035-00016380-00016746": "[Moderator:] Let's say it all together – the first prize goes to", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00036-00016790-00017264": "Class 5.a of Krustpils Elementary School.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00037-00017432-00017588": "Fantastic achievement.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00038-00017622-00018054": "We congratulate Paula Krūmiņa, the captain of the team.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00039-00018128-00018394": "We could win with the support of our parents and teachers and with our own effort.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00040-00018590-00018758": "We are overwhelmed with joy and tears.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00041-00018758-00018888": "Tears of joy.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00042-00018942-00019406": "One should know that it is possible to counterfeit the euro.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00043-00019406-00020266": "Knowing the features of euro money will help you to recognise the coins, etc.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00044-00020448-00020688": "I really enjoyed answering the questions,", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00045-00020688-00020932": "finding out more about the euro and simply participating.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00046-00020970-00021580": "The “Euro Run” players submitting the best results in the euro area were also awarded in the event.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00047-00021630-00021836": "The Eurosystem, including Latvijas Banka,", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00048-00021836-00022240": "strives to ensure stronger protection of banknotes against counterfeiting:", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00049-00022282-00022520": "it produces different informative and educational materials", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00050-00022528-00022744": "and organises events inviting citizens to know their money", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00051-00022758-00022978": "and protect themselves against counterfeits.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00052-00023024-00023250": "Latvia is among the countries", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00053-00023280-00023514": "whose citizens feel well informed about the safety of money.", "lSwWNWzx6cQ-00054-00023536-00023880": "This awareness and knowledge will be strengthened further by Latvijas Banka."}}, {"audio_id": "lTC5vw2fw2y", "text": {"lTC5vw2fw2y-00000-00000120-00000616": "so we do have just started mountain biking or europe helped to and you'd", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00001-00000616-00000844": "like some helpful tips that get you don't", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00002-00000844-00001212": "if you have an r_t_c_ my primary video on the subject i'd suggest you check out", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00003-00001212-00001629": "binder first mountain bike for beginners newton two beats", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00004-00001629-00001932": "is to seek the inside", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00005-00001932-00002523": "the proper hate is waiters leg is fully extended down to the title", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00006-00002523-00003046": "this means that uh... with your rob on the seat you are likely unable to touch", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00007-00003046-00003196": "the ground with your toes", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00008-00003196-00003769": "if you are downhill biking then you want the lower seat that's preferable", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00009-00003769-00004296": "however house since you are a beginner pay hi-eight seat is not the best", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00010-00004296-00004502": "position to start off with", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00011-00004502-00004887": "set the height at the highest you can still keep your bike upright without", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00012-00004887-00005028": "being in motion", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00013-00005028-00005424": "this will help you when you have those seven stops and you need to keep", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00014-00005424-00005676": "yourself from falling off the bike", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00015-00005676-00006155": "however there is a downside with dec being lower relays will work harder in", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00016-00006155-00006330": "uh... peddling motion", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00017-00006330-00006770": "essentially when the c_s_ hyatt the promotion as a lot like walking and one", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00018-00006770-00007187": "seat is low the panel motion is more like doing school rocks", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00019-00007187-00007520": "suppositions next using the adjustment bracket", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00020-00007520-00007734": "start with the saddle level", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00021-00007734-00007859": "pent-up arise and", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00022-00007859-00008259": "make sure your but bones are centered on the to cushioned areas", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00023-00008259-00008746": "can you need to make adjustment three or four times before you get a quick break", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00024-00008746-00008843": "now", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00025-00008843-00009269": "make sure that when you're writing in the standing position you can drop", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00026-00009269-00009443": "behind deceit", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00027-00009443-00009946": "when going downhill or on a drop the most common mistake is leaning forward", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00028-00009946-00010286": "this will guarantee that you go over the front of your handlebars", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00029-00010286-00010559": "how the proper method is to treat her weight", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00030-00010559-00010763": "to do rear tire", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00031-00010763-00011174": "uh... if your seat is to wide look into something fenner", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00032-00011174-00011564": "if you're a dude remains from growing pain the best solution for this is a", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00033-00011564-00011875": "saddle with a special groove for the man parts", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00034-00011875-00012164": "uh... for more information on these types of seats uh... check out my other", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00035-00012164-00012416": "video i'll put the link in the description", "lTC5vw2fw2y-00036-00012416-00012523": "thanks and have fun out there"}}, {"audio_id": "lUvOJsYhei4", "text": {"lUvOJsYhei4-00000-00000400-00000510": "Hey, what's your angle of elevation?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00001-00000607-00000737": "Katoro: my elevation angle is ...", "lUvOJsYhei4-00002-00000894-00000987": "Katoro: The angle of elevation is 0 degrees.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00003-00001207-00001361": "Are you currently flying at a low altitude?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00004-00001411-00001491": "Katoro: No?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00005-00001514-00001578": "Then what?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00006-00001578-00001654": "Katoro: Ahh", "lUvOJsYhei4-00007-00001654-00001885": "Katoro: My flight altitude is 3...", "lUvOJsYhei4-00008-00001958-00002025": "Katoro: 3000", "lUvOJsYhei4-00009-00002025-00002155": "Katoro: 3000 meters.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00010-00002475-00002959": "Katoro: My flight altitude is 3000m and 700 km/h.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00011-00002959-00003019": "MKP: faaaak Katoro: My flight altitude is 3000m and 700 km/h.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00012-00003019-00003069": "Katoro: My flight altitude is 3000m and 700 km/h.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00013-00003106-00003259": "Robbang: Then 6000 feet... And...", "lUvOJsYhei4-00014-00003350-00003486": "Robbang: 700 km/h... 390 knots.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00015-00003486-00003606": "Katoro: Human AWACS LOL. Robbang: 700 km/h... 390 knots.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00016-00003606-00003740": "Robbang: 700 km/h... 390 knots.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00017-00004077-00004307": "Robbang: MKP. do you want me to tell you a better way?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00018-00004307-00004541": "If you lock-on him, you can see the speed.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00019-00004831-00005065": "And let the sparrow fly away.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00020-00005198-00005575": "If you lock-on in TWS mode, he won't know. So don't forget to launch it in TWS mode.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00021-00005598-00005835": "Katoro: If you shoot friendly,  you can be blocked on this server.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00022-00006049-00006266": "Robbang: Then I'll do it.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00023-00007807-00007981": "*Open the Door*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00024-00008518-00008588": "G_Soda_Latte: HOLY S***", "lUvOJsYhei4-00025-00008995-00009135": "Do you want me to explode the door using this C2??", "lUvOJsYhei4-00026-00009362-00009436": "Nah, It's too lat-", "lUvOJsYhei4-00027-00010990-00011114": "Murser: They're behind me!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00028-00011164-00011287": "Murser: My shield saved me!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00029-00012098-00012148": "*scream*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00030-00012342-00012475": "Do we have to open this door? Or not?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00031-00012485-00012605": "I am removing wedges on the door.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00032-00012872-00012942": "Breaching?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00033-00012986-00013036": "No.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00034-00013056-00013179": "it possible to use a Shotgun  on this door?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00035-00013286-00013346": "Is it impossible?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00036-00013713-00013763": "OOPS.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00037-00015719-00016036": "Murser: It is possible that booby trap have been installed on most doors.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00038-00016036-00016139": "Murser: That's why you have to be careful.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00039-00016139-00016216": "Murser: OK, Let's go inside the room.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00040-00016216-00016342": "Just think that there  is a trap in place.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00041-00016479-00016573": "Murser: WHAT?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00042-00017377-00017811": "Katoro: MKP, can you see me? I'm dropping the flare right now.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00043-00017837-00018054": "No. I'm flying over the mountain now.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00044-00018074-00018148": "Katoro: oh.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00045-00018962-00019069": "Katoro: THE ____ IS THIS!?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00046-00019189-00019292": "Katoro: SAM! SAM! SAM!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00047-00019305-00019479": "Katoro: MUD SPIKE! MUD SPIKE!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00048-00019502-00019632": "Katoro: REHU, REHU, REHU! *RWR Warning sound*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00049-00020123-00020343": "Katoro: *scream*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00050-00020393-00020537": "Katoro: *scream*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00051-00020613-00020787": "Katoro: It's coming!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00052-00021010-00021184": "Katoro: *Over G*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00053-00021204-00021294": "Katoro: *Over G*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00054-00021317-00021411": "Katoro: *Over G*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00055-00021491-00021581": "Katoro: *Over G*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00056-00021624-00021761": "Katoro: *Over G*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00057-00021808-00021921": "Katoro: OK, ahhh!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00058-00022449-00022685": "You shouldn't try to talk to that harrier now. (Because he's very focused right now)", "lUvOJsYhei4-00059-00023049-00023203": "It's amazing that you can fly in formation.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00060-00023343-00023393": "one.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00061-00023466-00023516": "Two.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00062-00023573-00023623": "Three!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00063-00024577-00024748": "G_Soda_Latte: Guys, are you shooting  the same time?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00064-00024771-00024834": "*yep*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00065-00025755-00025869": "Horang: How did this hap-", "lUvOJsYhei4-00066-00026002-00026222": "G_Soda_Latte: I told you that there  would be a collision.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00067-00026456-00026559": "Come in, come in, come in", "lUvOJsYhei4-00068-00026559-00026643": "Let's go. Let's escape quickly.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00069-00026720-00026796": "Come on, Hurry up.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00070-00026796-00026906": "I can hear footsteps. Hurry up!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00071-00027090-00027293": "Hurry up and come in here!  Double time! Quick!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00072-00027440-00027500": "Close that door.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00073-00027827-00027927": "They're coming.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00074-00028171-00028328": "Shoot!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00075-00028882-00028925": "wha...t", "lUvOJsYhei4-00076-00028925-00029075": "We'rE wIpED oUt.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00077-00029075-00029275": "Wait. Are you all dead?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00078-00029436-00029579": "Are... are you dead too?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00079-00029579-00029686": "No. I'm alive.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00080-00030323-00030473": "I did catch him, but...", "lUvOJsYhei4-00081-00032312-00032482": "I should have come in a bit  more slowly.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00082-00032482-00032639": "I think I came in too quickly.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00083-00034130-00034254": "I think the tire will be broken.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00084-00034624-00034748": "I came in too quickly.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00085-00034854-00035024": "-What the ___ is that?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00086-00035375-00035448": "Huh?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00087-00035518-00035592": "oh?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00088-00035692-00035809": "Hold on. I'll move.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00089-00035809-00035892": "No, it's not! I already turned around", "lUvOJsYhei4-00090-00035892-00035949": "Don't come this way!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00091-00035949-00036012": "Don't come this way!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00092-00037283-00037404": "*FBI, OPEN UP!*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00093-00038855-00038955": "whAt, what is...", "lUvOJsYhei4-00094-00038955-00039032": "hold on, wait a sec", "lUvOJsYhei4-00095-00039275-00039512": "Don't you have gas masks  and CS grenade?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00096-00039512-00039692": "I only brought flash-bang!", "lUvOJsYhei4-00097-00039933-00040113": "Hold on. I can't go outside.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00098-00040306-00040470": "Who threw this CS grenade?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00099-00040623-00040754": "WHO IS IT!?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00100-00042025-00042075": "ooh?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00101-00042202-00042332": "*painful scream*", "lUvOJsYhei4-00102-00044130-00044234": "wat was that?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00103-00044763-00044875": "-OOPS -Oh sh__", "lUvOJsYhei4-00104-00045110-00045248": "- Latte Kun,", "lUvOJsYhei4-00105-00045248-00045373": "Were you shot down by him?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00106-00045440-00045586": "Nah, it's just that  the engine is on fire.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00107-00045625-00045731": "If I turn off the engine...", "lUvOJsYhei4-00108-00046025-00046150": "Hey, Latte.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00109-00046266-00046436": "You seem to have forgotten  something about the hurrica-", "lUvOJsYhei4-00110-00046661-00046831": "Let's go back to the Hangar.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00111-00047165-00047265": "ow, what is this?", "lUvOJsYhei4-00112-00048336-00048436": "oh, it's empty.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00113-00048460-00048560": "my screen is red", "lUvOJsYhei4-00114-00050268-00050408": "That scared me.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00115-00050885-00051125": "MKP, you died of natural death.", "lUvOJsYhei4-00116-00051178-00051258": "wat?"}}, {"audio_id": "lVnHWvesbgE", "text": {"lVnHWvesbgE-00000-00000028-00000601": "Hi everyone Louis here with an all new episode of Louis' Adventures which is Episode 3: Surfing", "lVnHWvesbgE-00001-00000601-00000733": "in Wildwood.", "lVnHWvesbgE-00002-00000733-00001257": "In this episode I will be in Wildwood Crest taking a 1 day surf camp with Ocean Outfitters.", "lVnHWvesbgE-00003-00001257-00001760": "I hope you will join me as I learn to surf with one of the best surf camps on the east", "lVnHWvesbgE-00004-00001760-00001860": "coast.", "lVnHWvesbgE-00005-00001860-00001892": "It's Time for Adventure!"}}, {"audio_id": "lVnPBudr9Mo", "text": {"lVnPBudr9Mo-00000-00000000-00000400": "Hi¡ my name´s Isma .I want to talk to you about kawasaki disease", "lVnPBudr9Mo-00002-00000640-00000790": "It´s very important¡", "lVnPBudr9Mo-00003-00000790-00001090": "At 18 months, I was diagnosed with this disease ...My parents did not know it was.", "lVnPBudr9Mo-00004-00001140-00001540": "I'm going to tell you why it's important for you to know this disease", "lVnPBudr9Mo-00006-00001739-00001939": "Kawasaki disease has been known since 1967", "lVnPBudr9Mo-00007-00001939-00002440": "Doctor Tomisaku Kawasaki discovered that this disease", "lVnPBudr9Mo-00008-00002440-00002640": "Of unknown cause", "lVnPBudr9Mo-00009-00002640-00002840": "Affected children under 5 in Japan"}}, {"audio_id": "lVQfqRC7Nju", "text": {"lVQfqRC7Nju-00000-00000573-00001137": "The CRISPR-Cas9 genome editing system has revolutionized biomedical science, providing", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00001-00001137-00001483": "a fast and easy way to modify genes.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00002-00001483-00001864": "The version of the technique that allows for the most precise edits, though, doesn’t", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00003-00001864-00002173": "work in cells that are no longer dividing.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00004-00002173-00002575": "Since that includes most of the neurons in the brain, this has limited the technology", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00005-00002575-00002780": "for neuroscientists.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00006-00002780-00003257": "But now, a group at the Max Planck Florida Institute for Neuroscience has figured out", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00007-00003257-00003921": "a way to make CRISPR work in these cells, opening up new possibilities for the field.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00008-00003921-00004512": "CRISPR-based editing uses a guide RNA to direct the cas9 endonuclease to a specific spot in", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00009-00004512-00004839": "the genome and make a cut in the DNA.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00010-00004839-00005339": "Cellular repair mechanisms then kick into action, either in the form of non-homologous", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00011-00005339-00006039": "end joining, which causes unpredictable insertions or deletions, or with homology-directed repair,", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00012-00006039-00006414": "which uses a donor template to make a precise change.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00013-00006414-00006970": "Unfortunately, because homology-directed repair has been thought to only happen in the S and", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00014-00006970-00007639": "G2 phases of the cell cycle, this more desirable method does not work in postmitotic cells,", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00015-00007639-00007868": "such as neurons in the brain.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00016-00007868-00008458": "To overcome this problem, neuroscientists added adeno-associated virus, or AAV, to the", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00017-00008458-00008583": "mix.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00018-00008583-00009107": "This virus can effectively provide the donor template necessary for homology-directed repair.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00019-00009107-00009506": "Therefore, it seems to increase gene targeting.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00020-00009506-00010114": "The team tested the approach in mouse brain slices, using CRISPR to add HA or GFP to a", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00021-00010114-00010353": "protein found in neurons.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00022-00010353-00010864": "The gene editing beautifully lit up neurons -- many of which were no longer dividing -- in", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00023-00010864-00011264": "genetically engineered mice expressing the cas9 protein.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00024-00011264-00011672": "But the success rate depended on the dose of the virus.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00025-00011672-00012153": "To more carefully study this phenomenon, the scientists set up cultures of mitotic and", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00026-00012153-00012767": "postmitotic hippocampal cells, and found that postmitotic cells need about 100 times more", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00027-00012767-00013066": "virus to get CRISPR to work.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00028-00013066-00013566": "The group then created a dual-viral system so they could use the technology in many animals", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00029-00013566-00013941": "that have not been engineered to express cas9.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00030-00013941-00014281": "This worked in both rat and mouse brain slices.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00031-00014281-00014927": "Finally, the team tested the dual-viral system in living mice, including an aged Alzheimer’s", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00032-00014927-00015419": "disease mouse model by directly injecting AAVs into the brain.", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00033-00015419-00015956": "The new method, which the team calls vSLENDR, is capable of working in virtually any brain", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00034-00015956-00016494": "area, cell type, and age -- regardless of whether cell division is still happening -- greatly", "lVQfqRC7Nju-00035-00016494-00017025": "expanding the types of experiments neuroscientists can do to probe the function of the brain."}}, {"audio_id": "lW6qMk8jK_0", "text": {"lW6qMk8jK_0-00000-00002190-00002486": "How To Set Your Channel Up For Success🔐🔓🔑", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00001-00002486-00004026": "Hello welcome I'm glad that you decided to become a Subscriber👬 and you have", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00002-00004040-00004856": "arrived at this next video which is the Feature Video and that is what this", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00003-00004857-00006057": "the tutorial 📰is about it's about how important that the Second Video that we", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00004-00006057-00006981": "make it's about how important that the the second video that you make is one of the", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00005-00006981-00008256": "most Important Key Elements that you are going to have to do in order to build", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00006-00008256-00009335": "your channel on a solid foundation so why do I say that", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00007-00009335-00010260": "well the reason that I say that you need to not only have your YouTube Introductory Channel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00008-00010260-00010790": "Trailer which is an  Introduction to your Business so that should be no longer", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00009-00010790-00011354": "than three minutes⌛ and yes there is a lot of hype that's", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00010-00011354-00011810": "involved because people need to feel that energy💥  they need to feel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00011-00011810-00011993": "Feel The Energy💥💥💥💥💥", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00012-00011993-00012778": "energy 💥coming out from you so that you can make a connection with people and", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00013-00012778-00013390": "when you make this connection😎 this is when you know that you are going", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00014-00013390-00014106": "to have a person who is interested in your channel and who is going to stay a", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00015-00014106-00015100": "subscriber👬 to your channel and what I do because my channel is still growing", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00016-00015100-00016044": "is when someone subscribes to my channel I go to their channel and I check out", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00017-00016044-00016906": "their channel to see whether it would be a fit with my channel I find a video", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00018-00016906-00017578": "that I like or a couple of videos or something that's on the channel and I", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00019-00017578-00018336": "like it and then I subscribe to their channel to help them to grow online", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00020-00019242-00020323": "this video is about the Feature Video it is about creating the next video that", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00021-00020323-00020923": "you need to create for your YouTube Channel the first one is the", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00022-00020923-00021772": "Introductory Channel Trailer in which you introduce yourself and you don't", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00023-00021772-00022633": "spend longer than 3 minutes and this is where people start to make a decision as", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00024-00022633-00023076": "to do they want to even subscribe to your channel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00025-00023076-00023595": "have you given them something that is interesting to them to subscribe to your", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00026-00023595-00024844": "channel so the second video that you do is going to be almost the same as your", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00027-00024844-00025470": "introductory channel trailer however you are going to expand on all of the points", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00028-00025470-00026491": "that you hit and I am doing this I am going to do another", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00029-00026491-00027493": "tutorial inside the computer so that I show you step by step👣👣 on what you need", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00030-00027493-00028693": "to be able to do and say in order to create your feature video so without", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00031-00028693-00030616": "further information without further anything let's jump right in very", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00032-00030616-00030666": "Step Number One Be Welcoming👬", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00033-00030666-00031858": "video ok you need to be welcoming you need to show people that you are", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00034-00031858-00033333": "genuinely interested in them that they are not just a number so in", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00035-00033333-00034628": "the first thing that you do is you say welcome I'm glad that you can make it or", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00036-00034628-00035069": "you could say I am excited that you're here", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00037-00035069-00035805": "Put Your Own Personality into your Welcome Message", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00038-00035805-00036621": "into your video you cannot pretend to be someone else or to be something that", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00039-00036621-00037137": "you're not because even though you may look like you're excited and you're", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00040-00037137-00038122": "Be Happy they are visiting  Your Channel  Be Yourself Your True You", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00041-00038122-00039233": "and just say welcome and for me it's", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00042-00039305-00040443": "kind of like welcome thank you for Welcome Thank You for checking out my Channel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00043-00040443-00040971": "What I am doing                        I'm opening myself up and I'm putting my energy out there and I'm", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00044-00040971-00042002": "saying I'm welcoming you to my channel because whether people realize it or not", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00045-00042194-00042899": "Being Online", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00046-00043112-00043671": "Having A Connection👭", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00047-00043671-00043949": "Need To Make that Connection😎🥰👨‍👩‍👧‍👧", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00048-00045053-00045913": "Put Your Energy Outut 💥💥💥💥", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00049-00045913-00046925": "who have just Subscribed👭 to your Channel so they are interested i🧐in what you are", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00050-00046925-00047630": "showing them or what you're presenting to them okay so that is the first thing", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00051-00047630-00048341": "Put Yourself Out There Welcome People and Thank Them", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00052-00048341-00049169": "For Taking Thier Time⌚⌚⌚ for coming to Visit Your Channel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00053-00049169-00050210": "think well well why because a lot of the really big youtubers do different do", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00054-00050210-00051391": "You Need To Put Your Own Personality Out", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00055-00051391-00052408": "into it so that way you are being Original you are being Yourself but yet", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00056-00052408-00053527": "you are still being Unique so that is the first thing back to the computer", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00057-00053742-00054488": "Number Two  Ask A Question That is Relevant  To Your Channel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00058-00054488-00055448": "relevant to your channel for me it's do you want to get on the fast track to", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00059-00055448-00056411": "Build Your Channel Using Free  Apps and Online Tools", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00060-00056411-00057283": "Learn  How To Build Your Online Presence On  All Social Media Sites For Free", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00061-00057320-00058125": "now remember when you're making your Introductory Channel Trailer that it", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00062-00059006-00059532": "When You are making your Feature Video  Expand on the Information in the Introductory Video", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00063-00059532-00060666": "Ask  A Question     Answer the Same Question", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00064-00060666-00061476": "People look to different Channels to Solve A Problem", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00065-00061476-00062067": "They have come to your channel to Solve A Problem", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00066-00062067-00062775": "They are interested in finding something on your Channel that will  solve Thier Problem", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00067-00062775-00063639": "Ask The Most Relevant Question To Your Channel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00068-00063639-00064923": "for my Channel, it is all about Saving Time And Money", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00069-00064923-00066288": "For Your Channel is going to depend what your Channel is about.", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00070-00066288-00067149": "you are doing on your channel and that is something that isn't another one of", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00071-00067149-00068487": "my videos and I go into it more into detail into the hard questions so pretty", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00072-00068487-00069057": "much what you have to do is you just have to figure out a question that is", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00073-00069057-00069598": "Relevant To Your Channel How Can You Help Someone", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00074-00069598-00070048": "Share Your Knowledge", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00075-00070048-00071214": "you have that you are willing to share somebody else in order to develop a", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00076-00071238-00072054": "psychological connection because most of the time what we are doing is we are", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00077-00072054-00072712": "mostly in our subconscious a lot of people would argue with me on that and", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00078-00072712-00073686": "that's okay but things appeal to us even though we don't realize that they do and", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00079-00073686-00074470": "when you make these connections all the time even when we don't realize we are", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00080-00074470-00075151": "making the connections and you need to figure out a question that you can", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00081-00075151-00075922": "answer that makes a connection with your new subscriber so that they want to stay", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00082-00075922-00076540": "on your channel they want to watch your videos and they're interested in the", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00083-00076540-00077799": "information that you are putting out so that is number two back to the laptop", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00084-00079174-00079845": "okay so number three you want to", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00085-00080180-00081048": "Number three you need to Introduce yourself and tell people what Value you", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00086-00082735-00083347": "people what value you can add to their business or their life Who am I", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00087-00083347-00084981": "I am Rochelle the DIY Affiliate so that is my name my Brand is that the DIY", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00088-00084981-00086268": "Affiliate and what can I do that will benefit them I love sharing my knowledge", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00089-00086268-00087213": "and helping people and this is where you really need to I think this is where you", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00090-00087213-00088203": "really need to make the connection with people when you are talking to someone", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00091-00088203-00089136": "and you are saying what can you do for me right that is what they are thinking", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00092-00089136-00090156": "what can you do for me so when I am speaking to someone and I am saying to", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00093-00090156-00091301": "them what benefit I can be for them for their life or their business I am saying", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00094-00091301-00091890": "people like you because I'm talking to you", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00095-00091890-00092547": "I'm talking to the person who is watching", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00096-00092671-00094087": "so get back to the computer oops so what I say is I love sharing my knowledge and", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00097-00094087-00094723": "helping people like you build your own blueprint of success for business or", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00098-00094723-00095701": "life goals that is the first part the second part is what is your background", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00099-00095701-00096414": "and experience on your channel because people are going to want to know what", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00100-00096414-00096988": "your background is and what your experience on your channel is because", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00101-00096988-00098613": "they're going to want to see if there is a connection so with me I am a I am a", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00102-00098613-00099148": "self-made Marketing Strategist and have many tips tricks and secrets I give away", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00103-00099148-00100360": "all the time see all this everything that you say needs to be true I'm just", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00104-00100360-00101262": "making this larger everything that you say about yourself needs to be the truth", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00105-00101262-00102252": "okay if we examine this Who am I I am a self-made marketing strategist who are", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00106-00102252-00102659": "you on your channel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00107-00102855-00104022": "and what can I offer people I have many tips tricks and secrets that I give away", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00108-00104022-00104820": "all the time okay so this is what you are saying in your introductory channel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00109-00104820-00105630": "however in your future video you are going to expand on that you are going to", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00110-00105630-00106953": "expand on what you are saying so that is number three number four is you after", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00111-00106953-00107763": "you expand on what you are saying to what you are saying in your statement by", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00112-00107763-00108126": "any self many marketing strategies I have many tips tricks and secrets that", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00113-00108126-00108903": "give away all the time and then I would expand on that and the best way to do it", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00114-00108903-00110133": "is to type it out I am NOT going to type everything out right now but you just", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00115-00110133-00111315": "expand on your statement number four is you tell them what to expect from your", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00116-00111315-00112044": "channel now remember we are following the script chew your introductory", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00117-00112044-00112799": "channel trailer and the reason we are following this script is because you are", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00118-00112799-00113450": "expanding on everything that you've said in your introductory trail at it", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00119-00113450-00114011": "introductory channel trailer so you need to be able to have this information in", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00120-00114011-00114784": "front of you so you tell them what to expect now you can show them some clips", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00121-00114784-00115597": "on which you can put overlays on on your video", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00122-00115597-00116441": "so now in order to keep them engaged okay so number four when you tell them", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00123-00116441-00117323": "what to expect from your channel you can show them some clips or parts of videos", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00124-00117323-00118232": "or different things but you did but you also need to try to keep them engaged", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00125-00118232-00119345": "and they have to be entertained so add new clips or if you listen to some of", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00126-00119345-00120125": "the other youtubers and I do because that's how I have learned all of these", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00127-00120125-00120689": "tips tricks and secrets that I'm sharing with you is from other youtubers and", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00128-00120689-00121384": "also by trial and error so to keep people entertained what do you do right", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00129-00121384-00122321": "do you move your hands around or do you put your energy out there or do you have", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00130-00122321-00122879": "a plot or something say I pick up my mouse and they say oh look at this mess", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00131-00122879-00123638": "okay I've now taken your attention away from whatever you're thinking of if", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00132-00123638-00124346": "you're not focused on actually listening to the video you become focused on this", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00133-00124346-00125447": "so then all of a sudden oh look mouse oh let's go back to the video okay all", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00134-00125447-00126200": "right so you want to try to keep them engaged and you want to try to make them", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00135-00126200-00126742": "understand what they can expect so basically what people can expect is", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00136-00126742-00127631": "building a greater online presence from me what can they expect from you and I", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00137-00127631-00128300": "encourage you to use this script here change it change the words do whatever", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00138-00128300-00129050": "you you to do just just use it as a template", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00139-00129356-00129656": "okay", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00140-00129766-00130682": "so for me it is opening a whole new world of creation using content building", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00141-00130682-00131594": "apps online tools that you can use with all your devices and of course you need", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00142-00131594-00132670": "to make it relevant to your channel okay for me for me what is relevant to my", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00143-00132670-00133363": "channel is not relevant to your channel okay so if you're using the script you", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00144-00133363-00134298": "need to change it and make it relevant to your channel and the next step is", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00145-00134298-00135213": "what are you passionate about what are you passionate what is it that you feel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00146-00135213-00135958": "that you can do to add value to a person's life or business what knowledge", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00147-00135958-00136682": "do you have and I talked about this in the hard questions about how knowledge", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00148-00136682-00137848": "is power and power is knowledge and you need to off but you put this information", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00149-00137848-00138736": "across so that people think that not emotional connection well it is an", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00150-00138736-00139386": "emotional connection but it's more of a of an unconscious sort of subconscious", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00151-00139386-00139939": "connection with you it's like an invisible little thread that's going out", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00152-00139939-00140788": "and all of a sudden you know someone's got it and that is when you know that", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00153-00140788-00141453": "you have reached someone and you will have a subscriber who will be permanent", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00154-00141453-00142134": "because that is important it's very important you can go out and you can buy", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00155-00142134-00142954": "subscriptions and I have done that but what happens is the YouTube will take", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00156-00142954-00143239": "that away from you because they don't feel that", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00157-00143239-00143759": "that is part of their algorithm there's a lot of companies that are out there", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00158-00143759-00144746": "that do do it and sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't but it's not really", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00159-00144746-00145436": "part of the growth algorithm algorithm and that is what's important right right", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00160-00145436-00146251": "now and especially for YouTube so you need to put across what your passion is", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00161-00146251-00147286": "like for instance my passion is helping people like you to be able to have the", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00162-00147286-00148267": "knowledge to be able to not have to pay for the knowledge to grow your online", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00163-00148267-00149399": "presence because yes you can grow your online presence with and I talked about", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00164-00149399-00150687": "this in the hard questions that I'm asking but as part of the growth", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00165-00150687-00151480": "algorithm and I'm not just talking about YouTube's algorithm because all of the", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00166-00151480-00151914": "social media sites have different algorithms to them", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00167-00151914-00152563": "Facebook is different Instagram is different Twitter is different reddit is", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00168-00152563-00153559": "different but pretty much it is all the same so I'm just gonna call it the", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00169-00153559-00154213": "online algorithm and for people who don't know what an algorithm is and have", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00170-00154213-00154716": "probably heard this word and it is a it is one of the buzz words algorithm", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00171-00154716-00155594": "algorithm is simply put just a set of rules or instructions that you use in", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00172-00155594-00156602": "order to arrive at a conclusion for instance a one plus one equals two", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00173-00156602-00157544": "is an algorithm and if you are baking a cake you need the ingredients all the", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00174-00157544-00158323": "ingredients together are an algorithm to the finished product which is the cake", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00175-00158323-00159116": "so when people talk about an algorithm that is what it is and having the", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00176-00159116-00159785": "knowledge and knowing what the key elements are in the algorithm in order", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00177-00159785-00160708": "to have the type of growth that YouTube is looking for is very important and", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00178-00160708-00161429": "that is why the first videos that you need to do is the introductory channel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00179-00161429-00162095": "trailer video and then the future video because this will help you to start to", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00180-00162095-00162902": "show the proper algorithm and growth that YouTube is looking for in order to", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00181-00162902-00163480": "promote your videos because let's face it if YouTube does not like your videos", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00182-00163480-00164092": "or your channel or something about your business they are not going to promote", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00183-00164092-00165191": "you and 70% is YouTube promotions and it's always changing but basically 70%", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00184-00165191-00166165": "is YouTube the promotion and 30% is organic traffic so this is all part of", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00185-00166165-00166877": "what you need to do in order or to build your channel what I call us on a solid", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00186-00166877-00167644": "basis and the reason I say solid basis is because you need to build the", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00187-00167644-00168559": "foundation properly and firm and also", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00188-00168767-00169525": "there are other elements that I do talk about but right now we are talking about", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00189-00169525-00171288": "the future video so let's get back to it so another really important whoops", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00190-00173341-00174039": "so another really important feature another key element that you you really", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00191-00174039-00174753": "need is you need to tell people when they can expect you to post and this is", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00192-00174753-00175491": "very important because when you are posting right on a regular basis then", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00193-00175491-00176259": "people are seeing that your channel is constantly being updated and they are", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00194-00176259-00176901": "more interested in getting your content rather if you are posting maybe once a", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00195-00176901-00177501": "week or once every two weeks or even once a month you know depending on what", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00196-00177501-00177800": "your content is", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00197-00178282-00179041": "so when you do when you tell people when to what they can expect and when you", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00198-00179041-00179754": "post then you say as part of number six", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00199-00179784-00180712": "specifically what is it that you post okay", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00200-00180712-00181275": "so specifically what is it that you post", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00201-00181338-00182152": "so you need to make sure when you answer this question about specifically what is", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00202-00182152-00182941": "it that you post that you are giving them the quickest easiest to understand", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00203-00182941-00184081": "and most relevant answer so I post step-by-step tutorial videos giving you", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00204-00184081-00184782": "the knowledge you need to save you time and money so specifically I have said I", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00205-00184782-00185913": "am solving a problem because I am saving your time and your money and I am", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00206-00185913-00186541": "showing you that what I post is something that you're interested in", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00207-00186541-00187267": "because it is for me it is a step-by-step tutorial for you it can be", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00208-00187267-00188086": "anything else it all depends on what your channel is and I basically check", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00209-00188086-00188695": "back every day for new up-to-date information now this is an important", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00210-00188695-00189952": "thing this may not be important to you but it is important to me and it's up to", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00211-00189952-00190705": "you whether you want to add that or not but I am thankful and grateful for all", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00212-00190705-00191255": "my subscribers now and I put and I get my knowledge", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00213-00191255-00192159": "because that is what I do you can say whatever is relevant to your channel so", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00214-00192159-00193829": "now so now we come to the part where a person is going to be interested or", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00215-00193829-00194847": "they're not but you as the presenter you as having the belief in what you do and", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00216-00194847-00195711": "in your channel need to assume that they are interested because if they watch the", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00217-00195711-00196265": "video that the introductory channel trailer this far then there is a level", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00218-00196265-00197085": "of interest so you know basically you are saying interested do you want to get", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00219-00197085-00197936": "started now or whatever is relevant to your channel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00220-00198751-00200337": "now this is where we get we and I am a little leery about this part but things", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00221-00200337-00201435": "have been changing with YouTube and um it is important that when you're talking", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00222-00201435-00202027": "to somebody and they aren't interested and they are interested in subscribing", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00223-00202027-00202986": "to your channel now they need to be able to click the notification bell because", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00224-00202986-00203669": "if they do not click the notification bell the bell icon", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00225-00203669-00204578": "they will not be notified of all your new uploads that are coming out so that", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00226-00204578-00205080": "is a way to know whether somebody is interested or not is that if they click", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00227-00205080-00205610": "the notification bell then you know that they are getting your updates if they", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00228-00205610-00206339": "don't then you know that they are not getting your updates and even if you're", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00229-00206339-00206789": "talking to the community or you're putting out a video anything that you're", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00230-00206789-00207565": "doing they do not get that information so that is really important", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00231-00207933-00209139": "let's get back to the computer so then the next thing that we do is we thank", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00232-00209139-00209898": "them for their time this is important one of the most important things is to", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00233-00209898-00210942": "thank somebody for their time because they have taken their time and you just", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00234-00210942-00211323": "thank them for their time you can add anything else you throw irrelevant", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00235-00211323-00211821": "thank you for your time looking forward for you to become a member of the DIY", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00236-00211821-00212405": "family and hanging out with you soon that's me", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00237-00212877-00213654": "you need to put your own personality in it when you're thanking somebody and you", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00238-00213654-00214602": "want them to honestly feel that you mean it you need to put your personality in", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00239-00214602-00215955": "it so any way that you do it is going to be fine because it's you so I hope this", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00240-00215955-00217298": "has been helpful and there is another part there is another part that I am", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00241-00217298-00218073": "going to be putting up and that part is of processing everything that we've done", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00242-00218073-00218750": "so far has allowed us to", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00243-00220256-00221223": "okay so that wraps up this video tutorial on actually doing the feature", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00244-00221223-00222042": "video and what to do the next video coming out is going to be on processing", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00245-00222042-00223257": "your video and we've already started it because we open the Google Doc and we", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00246-00223257-00223830": "have all the information so the next video coming out is going to be actually", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00247-00223830-00224902": "processing your feature video so thank you for staying with me for this whole", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00248-00224902-00226248": "video and I hope you are excited about learning and gaining the knowledge that", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00249-00226248-00227307": "you need in order to as I say save you time and money if you have any comments", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00250-00227307-00228396": "or if if you have any comments please leave me your comments and also if I", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00251-00228396-00228978": "notice that you subscribe to my channel I will go and I will check your channel", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00252-00228978-00229653": "out I will find a video that I like and subscribe to your channel to help you to", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00253-00229653-00230590": "grow I also have a playlist in which I feature all of the channels that are", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00254-00230590-00231676": "growing on YouTube who are part of the DIY community and I have a lot more that", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00255-00231676-00232398": "I would like to talk to you about and I look forward to hanging out with", "lW6qMk8jK_0-00256-00232398-00233369": "you soon and it didn't click off again"}}, {"audio_id": "lW7FtZ55Y_Y", "text": {"lW7FtZ55Y_Y-00000-00000000-00001200": "Piano music for sleep is music for deep sleep and for relieving anxiety and stress, music that will help you relax, calm the nervous system and relieve fatigue. This music is ideal as: music for deep sleep, background music for study, music for meditation or relaxing music to relieve anxiety and stress."}}]