|
<html> |
|
<title> - GSE REFORM: IMMEDIATE STEPS TO PROTECT TAXPAYERS AND END THE BAILOUT</title> |
|
<body><pre> |
|
[House Hearing, 112 Congress] |
|
[From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GSE REFORM: IMMEDIATE STEPS TO PROTECT |
|
TAXPAYERS AND END THE BAILOUT |
|
|
|
======================================================================= |
|
|
|
HEARING |
|
|
|
BEFORE THE |
|
|
|
SUBCOMMITTEE ON CAPITAL MARKETS AND |
|
|
|
GOVERNMENT SPONSORED ENTERPRISES |
|
|
|
OF THE |
|
|
|
COMMITTEE ON FINANCIAL SERVICES |
|
|
|
U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES |
|
|
|
ONE HUNDRED TWELFTH CONGRESS |
|
|
|
FIRST SESSION |
|
|
|
__________ |
|
|
|
FEBRUARY 9, 2011 |
|
|
|
__________ |
|
|
|
Printed for the use of the Committee on Financial Services |
|
|
|
Serial No. 112-2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE |
|
64-551 WASHINGTON : 2011 |
|
----------------------------------------------------------------------- |
|
For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, |
|
http://bookstore.gpo.gov. For more information, contact the GPO Customer Contact Center, U.S. Government Printing Office. Phone 202�09512�091800, or 866�09512�091800 (toll-free). E-mail, <a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection" class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="7c1b0c133c1f090f081419100c521f1311">[email protected]</a>. |
|
|
|
HOUSE COMMITTEE ON FINANCIAL SERVICES |
|
|
|
SPENCER BACHUS, Alabama, Chairman |
|
|
|
JEB HENSARLING, Texas, Vice BARNEY FRANK, Massachusetts, |
|
Chairman Ranking Member |
|
PETER T. KING, New York MAXINE WATERS, California |
|
EDWARD R. ROYCE, California CAROLYN B. MALONEY, New York |
|
FRANK D. LUCAS, Oklahoma LUIS V. GUTIERREZ, Illinois |
|
RON PAUL, Texas NYDIA M. VELAZQUEZ, New York |
|
DONALD A. MANZULLO, Illinois MELVIN L. WATT, North Carolina |
|
WALTER B. JONES, North Carolina GARY L. ACKERMAN, New York |
|
JUDY BIGGERT, Illinois BRAD SHERMAN, California |
|
GARY G. MILLER, California GREGORY W. MEEKS, New York |
|
SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO, West Virginia MICHAEL E. CAPUANO, Massachusetts |
|
SCOTT GARRETT, New Jersey RUBEN HINOJOSA, Texas |
|
RANDY NEUGEBAUER, Texas WM. LACY CLAY, Missouri |
|
PATRICK T. McHENRY, North Carolina CAROLYN McCARTHY, New York |
|
JOHN CAMPBELL, California JOE BACA, California |
|
MICHELE BACHMANN, Minnesota STEPHEN F. LYNCH, Massachusetts |
|
KENNY MARCHANT, Texas BRAD MILLER, North Carolina |
|
THADDEUS G. McCOTTER, Michigan DAVID SCOTT, Georgia |
|
KEVIN McCARTHY, California AL GREEN, Texas |
|
STEVAN PEARCE, New Mexico EMANUEL CLEAVER, Missouri |
|
BILL POSEY, Florida GWEN MOORE, Wisconsin |
|
MICHAEL G. FITZPATRICK, KEITH ELLISON, Minnesota |
|
Pennsylvania ED PERLMUTTER, Colorado |
|
LYNN A. WESTMORELAND, Georgia JOE DONNELLY, Indiana |
|
BLAINE LUETKEMEYER, Missouri ANDRE CARSON, Indiana |
|
BILL HUIZENGA, Michigan JAMES A. HIMES, Connecticut |
|
SEAN P. DUFFY, Wisconsin GARY C. PETERS, Michigan |
|
NAN A. S. HAYWORTH, New York JOHN C. CARNEY, Jr., Delaware |
|
JAMES B. RENACCI, Ohio |
|
ROBERT HURT, Virginia |
|
ROBERT J. DOLD, Illinois |
|
DAVID SCHWEIKERT, Arizona |
|
MICHAEL G. GRIMM, New York |
|
FRANCISCO R. CANSECO, Texas |
|
STEVE STIVERS, Ohio |
|
|
|
Larry C. Lavender, Chief of Staff |
|
Subcommittee on Capital Markets and Government Sponsored Enterprises |
|
|
|
SCOTT GARRETT, New Jersey, Chairman |
|
|
|
DAVID SCHWEIKERT, Arizona, Vice MAXINE WATERS, California, Ranking |
|
Chairman Member |
|
PETER T. KING, New York GARY L. ACKERMAN, New York |
|
EDWARD R. ROYCE, California BRAD SHERMAN, California |
|
FRANK D. LUCAS, Oklahoma RUBEN HINOJOSA, Texas |
|
DONALD A. MANZULLO, Illinois STEPHEN F. LYNCH, Massachusetts |
|
JUDY BIGGERT, Illinois BRAD MILLER, North Carolina |
|
JEB HENSARLING, Texas CAROLYN B. MALONEY, New York |
|
RANDY NEUGEBAUER, Texas GWEN MOORE, Wisconsin |
|
JOHN CAMPBELL, California ED PERLMUTTER, Colorado |
|
THADDEUS G. McCOTTER, Michigan JOE DONNELLY, Indiana |
|
KEVIN McCARTHY, California ANDRE CARSON, Indiana |
|
STEVAN PEARCE, New Mexico JAMES A. HIMES, Connecticut |
|
BILL POSEY, Florida GARY C. PETERS, Michigan |
|
MICHAEL G. FITZPATRICK, AL GREEN, Texas |
|
Pennsylvania KEITH ELLISON, Minnesota |
|
NAN A. S. HAYWORTH, New York |
|
ROBERT HURT, Virginia |
|
MICHAEL G. GRIMM, New York |
|
STEVE STIVERS, Ohio |
|
|
|
|
|
C O N T E N T S |
|
|
|
---------- |
|
Page |
|
Hearing held on: |
|
February 9, 2011............................................. 1 |
|
Appendix: |
|
February 9, 2011............................................. 55 |
|
|
|
WITNESSES |
|
Wednesday, February 9, 2011 |
|
|
|
Calabria, Mark A., Director of Financial Regulation Studies, Cato |
|
Institute...................................................... 13 |
|
Pollock, Alex J., Resident Fellow, American Enterprise Institute. 17 |
|
Randazzo, Anthony, Director of Economic Research, Reason |
|
Foundation..................................................... 15 |
|
Wartell, Sarah Rosen, Executive Vice President, Center for |
|
American Progress Action Fund.................................. 19 |
|
|
|
APPENDIX |
|
|
|
Prepared statements: |
|
Calabria, Mark A............................................. 56 |
|
Pollock, Alex J.............................................. 63 |
|
Randazzo, Anthony............................................ 70 |
|
Wartell, Sarah Rosen......................................... 86 |
|
|
|
Additional Material Submitted for the Record |
|
|
|
Garrett, Hon. Scott: |
|
Letter to Hon. Timothy Geithner, Secretary of the Treasury, |
|
and Hon. Shaun Donovan, Secretary of HUD, from the American |
|
Bankers Association (ABA), dated February 9, 2011.......... 105 |
|
Letter from the National Association of Federal Credit Unions |
|
(NAFCU), dated February 8, 2011............................ 109 |
|
Written statement of the National Association of Realtors |
|
(NAR)...................................................... 112 |
|
Written statement of the National Multi Housing Council |
|
(NMHC) and the National Apartment Association (NAA)........ 117 |
|
Schweikert, Hon. David: |
|
``Taking the Government Out of Housing Finance: Principles |
|
for Reforming the Housing Finance Market,'' An American |
|
Enterprise Institute Policy White Paper, by Peter J. |
|
Wallison, Alex J. Pollock, and Edward J. Pinto, Preliminary |
|
draft dated January 20, 2011............................... 122 |
|
|
|
|
|
GSE REFORM: IMMEDIATE STEPS TO |
|
PROTECT TAXPAYERS AND |
|
END THE BAILOUT |
|
|
|
---------- |
|
|
|
|
|
Wednesday, February 9, 2011 |
|
|
|
U.S. House of Representatives, |
|
Subcommittee on Capital Markets and |
|
Government Sponsored Enterprises, |
|
Committee on Financial Services, |
|
Washington, D.C. |
|
The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 2:12 p.m., in |
|
room 2128, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Scott Garrett |
|
[chairman of the subcommittee] presiding. |
|
Members present: Representatives Garrett, Schweikert, |
|
Royce, Lucas, Manzullo, Biggert, Hensarling, Neugebauer, |
|
Campbell, Marchant, McCotter, Pearce, Posey, Fitzpatrick, |
|
Hayworth, Hurt, Grimm, Stivers; Waters, Ackerman, Sherman, |
|
Miller of North Carolina, Maloney, Moore, Perlmutter, Donnelly, |
|
Carson, Himes, Peters, Green, and Ellison. |
|
Ex officio present: Representative Frank. |
|
Also present: Representatives Gary Miller of California and |
|
Carney. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Greetings. This hearing of the |
|
Subcommittee on Capital Markets and Government Sponsored |
|
Enterprises will now come to order. |
|
And we have just conferred with the other side. Maxine is |
|
on her way, but we thought that since we have the panel here, |
|
and a number of esteemed Members from both sides of the aisle, |
|
we would begin the proceedings. So we will begin, without |
|
objection. |
|
Also, without objection, all Members' opening statements |
|
will be made a part of the record. |
|
And so we begin with opening statements. |
|
It was on September 7, 2008, that Fannie Mae and Freddie |
|
Mac were put into conservatorship by the Federal Government. |
|
Over $150 billion and 885 days later, the government-backed |
|
mortgage twins remain in conservatorship. The Federal |
|
Government now underwrites 95 percent of the housing market. |
|
And still the American taxpayer continues to hemorrhage |
|
billions of dollars every quarter to keep them afloat. |
|
So I am pleased to hear that the Department of the Treasury |
|
is getting closer with their much anticipated reform proposal, |
|
which I understand can be out here now. If I had known that |
|
simply scheduling a GSE reform hearing would facilitate such a |
|
swift response, we would have held one even sooner. |
|
While I know a lot of attention has been given to the |
|
Treasury's proposal and what the future of U.S. housing finance |
|
will look like, I believe that there are other areas of this |
|
debate that we can focus on right now. |
|
In particular, I believe the question we need to be asking |
|
ourselves is this: What are the immediate steps that Congress |
|
can take right now, this very instant, to protect taxpayers, to |
|
end the bailout, to get private capital off the sidelines, and |
|
to reduce the government exposures to the housing market? I |
|
believe it is these four objectives that should be the driving |
|
force behind our immediate reform efforts. |
|
And so I look forward to discussing a number of reform |
|
proposals in greater detail with our esteemed panel. As I can |
|
see from their written testimony, there are many ways to |
|
protect taxpayers and begin the end of the bailouts. |
|
Now, I say that on one hand. It is also unfortunate that |
|
some of my colleagues on the other side of the aisle have |
|
resisted any attempts, at least in the last Congress, to |
|
address the most expensive and explosive component of the |
|
Federal Government's intervention during the financial crisis. |
|
But I assure you, it will be a top priority of mine, as |
|
chairman of this subcommittee. |
|
The Federal Government's housing policy has been a |
|
monumental disaster, and we must find new ways forward. |
|
Secretary Geithner said just the other day that the new policy |
|
should leave us with a system that will not be vulnerable to |
|
the really tragic colossal failures of the past. I couldn't |
|
agree with him more. |
|
Even in The Washington Post, they are on board, too, with |
|
wholesale changes to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In an |
|
editorial this Monday, the Post wrote, ``Homeownership does |
|
help instill thrifty habits and solidify communities, but it |
|
can be taken too far.'' They said the national homeownership |
|
rate slipped back to 1998 levels, according to the Census |
|
Bureau. |
|
So, in terms of building a community, etc., it is as if the |
|
last 13 years have never happened, except, of course, for the |
|
catastrophic losses to the taxpayers and also to the home |
|
buyers. They conclude by saying, ``It might be more accurate to |
|
say that the Federal housing policy has helped to destroy |
|
communities.'' |
|
It will be the goal of this subcommittee to ensure that we |
|
put an end to this destructive and costly housing finance |
|
policy and then replace it with a system, going forward, that |
|
protects taxpayers and actually strengthens communities instead |
|
of, as the Post says, destroying them. |
|
I thank the witnesses for being here today, and I look |
|
forward to their testimony. |
|
And, with that, I recognize Mr. Miller. |
|
Mr. Miller of North Carolina. I think Ms. Waters had |
|
allocated 2 minutes to me. So I will now take 2 minutes. |
|
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
The wrong lesson to draw from the financial crisis is that |
|
homeownership should not be a goal, a public policy goal. It |
|
undoubtedly can be taken too far, but the financial crisis was |
|
by no means caused by the goal of homeownership. Seventy |
|
percent of the people who got subprime mortgages were not |
|
getting those mortgages to buy a home. They already owned their |
|
home, but they needed to borrow money. |
|
More than half, well more than half--the Wall Street |
|
Journal estimated 55 percent; other estimates have been much |
|
higher than that--of the people who got subprime mortgages |
|
qualified for prime mortgages. So it was not about making |
|
mortgages available to people who would not have qualified in |
|
ordinary circumstances. It was entirely about making as much |
|
money as possible as quickly as possible without regard to the |
|
consequences. |
|
Fannie and Freddie were certainly guilty of that, to some |
|
extent, but the private-label securitizers, their competitors, |
|
were also guilty of that and probably even more guilty of that. |
|
We do need to recreate, to reinvent our housing finance |
|
system. But a principal goal should still be to make |
|
homeownership available, on reasonable terms, for middle-class |
|
families. We got away from that in the last decade. And as we |
|
reinvent our housing finance system, that is what we need to |
|
get back to. |
|
I yield back my time. |
|
Chairman Garrett. The gentleman yields back. |
|
The gentleman from California, Mr. Royce, for 1 minute. |
|
Mr. Royce. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
It appears, after months of preparing, we finally got to |
|
the point here where Treasury is set to release their proposal |
|
for GSE reform. But I think, for us, the vexing part is, |
|
instead of coming out with one definitive plan, they are going |
|
to provide three options: no government role in the secondary |
|
mortgage market will be their first option; government support |
|
only sometimes looks like their second; and permanent |
|
government support as their third. |
|
Unfortunately, three options doesn't equal one plan. And I |
|
think the time for debating the merits of options is long past. |
|
Now is the time to act. |
|
A permanent government guarantee will inevitably lead to |
|
politicians and bureaucrats putting their proverbial thumb on |
|
the scale. Human nature is not going to change here. |
|
Politicians will insist that underwriting standards be relaxed, |
|
guaranteeing fees being lowered, and downpayments being waived, |
|
so just one more group can get into homes they otherwise could |
|
not afford if you were depending on the market. |
|
So this scenario has happened before, and it will happen |
|
again. And when it does, we will again face a boom-bust cycle |
|
in our financial markets, followed by a massive taxpayer |
|
bailout. |
|
I think we can do better. I think we should confront the |
|
reality of not putting in place that type of permanent |
|
government guarantee in the future. |
|
I yield back. |
|
Chairman Garrett. The gentleman yields back. |
|
And before I yield the microphone to the gentlelady from |
|
California, I am pleased to be joined by her today and pleased |
|
to see her beside me as a ranking member, and I look forward to |
|
working with her on so many very important issues, issues that |
|
we worked on collaboratively in the past, in the area of |
|
housing finance and the area of FHA reform. So, obviously, |
|
there are commonalities in our interest in making sure that we |
|
can get the economy back on track again. I look forward to your |
|
comments, but also our collegiality moving forward, as well. |
|
Ms. Waters. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman-- |
|
Chairman Garrett. I yield you 4 minutes. |
|
Ms. Waters. --first, for organizing this first hearing of |
|
the Subcommittee on Capital Markets and Government Sponsored |
|
Enterprises for the 112th Congress. I, too, look forward to |
|
working with you. You are absolutely correct; we have worked |
|
together on issues in the past, and I think we can do that for |
|
the future. |
|
Today's hearing is an opportunity to address one of the |
|
most critical questions facing our economy: How do we continue |
|
to move forward from the crisis and organize a secondary |
|
mortgage market that ensures access to sustainable |
|
homeownership at affordable rates for the American middle |
|
class? And how do we do this while protecting all taxpayers? |
|
For many years, we did a fairly good job of providing the |
|
opportunity for homeownership to the average American who |
|
worked hard and acted responsibly. But over the course of the |
|
last decade, we saw the creation and evolution of toxic |
|
financial products that pulled Americans further and further |
|
away from the mortgages that we grew up with--30-year, fixed- |
|
rate loans with sensible downpayments for homes we could |
|
reasonably afford. |
|
Now, what caused these products to develop was the subject |
|
of many fights in this committee during the last Congress. I |
|
continue to believe that an unregulated shadow banking system |
|
created the crisis and that casino-style betting magnified and |
|
lengthened it. Unfortunately, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, |
|
hungry for profits and market share, hopped on the bandwagon, |
|
albeit late. The result has been enormously consequential for |
|
American taxpayers. |
|
Our objective, moving forward, should not be to continue |
|
arguing over the facts that led us to this point. I sincerely |
|
want to begin the next phase, negotiating a plan for the |
|
future. |
|
I have not committed yet to any one proposal, and I am open |
|
to any plan coming from any Member or group or institution that |
|
can advance the following goals: Can the plan preserve the 30- |
|
year, fixed-rate mortgage, whose availability I believe is |
|
vital for American borrowers? Does the plan provide for |
|
stability and liquidity, particularly in times of severe credit |
|
constriction, as we experienced over the last few years? Are |
|
there features in the plan that allow for access for all |
|
qualified borrowers, as well as the small and community banks |
|
that seek liquidity? Does the plan ensure that there is a |
|
secondary market for multifamily loans and a market for |
|
individuals who seek affordable rental housing? Is there |
|
transparency for investors and regulators? Does the plan |
|
protect taxpayers and ensure that a small number of |
|
institutions don't again become ``too-big-to-fail?'' |
|
So these are the criteria by which I will evaluate |
|
proposals, moving forward. |
|
I understand that some details of the Administration's |
|
options paper were released to reporters last night. I am |
|
looking forward to reading the full report and studying the |
|
options they propose. But what I am more interested in hearing |
|
about are the principles the Administration thinks are |
|
important for GSE reform, such as whether they think the |
|
preservation of the 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is essential. |
|
While it is important that we get the technical details |
|
right as we develop a new housing finance system, I think it is |
|
more important that we make clear what values underpin our |
|
vision for the future. |
|
I look forward to working with the Administration and all |
|
of my colleagues in Congress on developing a plan that best |
|
meets the needs of all market participants. I believe that all |
|
of us need to seriously consider every option on the table. |
|
And, Mr. Chairman, I do thank you. And I yield back the |
|
balance of my time. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank the gentlelady. |
|
And now, I yield 1 minute to the gentleman from Arizona. |
|
Mr. Schweikert. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and fellow Members |
|
and, obviously, our witnesses. |
|
I know there is a certain frustration here because the |
|
Administration had an obligation to provide us their proposal, |
|
what was it, last week, and something for to us discuss and |
|
build around, and here we are blind once again. |
|
Having read much of the literature that is out there in |
|
regards to Fannie and Freddie and some of the distortions they |
|
may have created in the price of money and also the amount of |
|
debt and nonperforming assets they are currently holding, Mr. |
|
Chairman, witnesses, I desperately hope, as you testify, you |
|
give us some sense of how bad it is out there and how much we |
|
have in nonperforming assets that have to be unwound if we are |
|
ever going to see a recovery in our housing market. |
|
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And the gentleman yields back. |
|
I yield now to the gentleman from Connecticut, Mr. Himes. |
|
Mr. Himes. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I join in welcoming our |
|
witnesses today. |
|
I am grateful for the opportunity to finally begin |
|
examining reasonably and seriously the future role of the GSEs |
|
in our housing market. This has been the subject of much |
|
demagoguery for a long time. And while there is no question |
|
that the GSEs meaningfully contributed to our financial crisis |
|
through irresponsibility and the way they went in the years |
|
beginning in the 1990s, there are some things that we can't |
|
ignore. |
|
First, they operated for decades safely and soundly and |
|
helped to really bulwark and assist the creation of an American |
|
middle class. Secondly, a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage may not |
|
exist without them, or if it did exist, it could perhaps be |
|
priced out of the range of American middle-class families. And |
|
third, multifamily lending, which is so important to smart |
|
growth and creating vibrant cities, might be severely damaged |
|
were Fannie and Freddie to not exist in any form at all. |
|
These are tough issues involving political decisions, and I |
|
hope that the panel today will address them and give us some |
|
guidance on how we can best secure our public policy goals |
|
without taking on the risks that were incurred in the 1990s. |
|
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And I thank the gentleman. |
|
The gentlelady from Illinois, Ms. Biggert, please, for 1 |
|
minute, |
|
Mrs. Biggert. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have received the largest |
|
taxpayer-backed bailout to date, over $150 billion. They are |
|
responsible for over $5.4 trillion in outstanding mortgage |
|
applications and were at the root of the greatest financial |
|
crisis since the Great Depression. And yet the Administration |
|
has failed to meet its deadline to produce a required report on |
|
reform. Moreover, GSE reform was intentionally omitted in the |
|
Dodd-Frank Act. |
|
Fortunately, this is a new Congress, and housing finance |
|
reform is at the top of our agenda. Certainly, we must take |
|
care not to disrupt an already-fragile market. However, it is |
|
time to move toward a market with less reliance on government |
|
guarantees and more private-sector participation. |
|
I thank Chairman Garrett for convening today's hearing, and |
|
next week, the Subcommittee on Insurance and Housing will hold |
|
a hearing to examine government barriers to the housing market |
|
recovery. |
|
The bottom line is that never again should taxpayers be on |
|
the hook for risky housing finance policies. I look forward to |
|
working with my colleagues to examine the future of housing |
|
finance. |
|
I yield back. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank the gentlelady for yielding back. |
|
Two minutes to the gentleman from Texas, Mr. Green. |
|
Mr. Green. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I thank the |
|
witnesses, as well. |
|
This is about homeownership, it is about the American |
|
dream, but it is also about the economy. It is about what |
|
happens once we start to build housing and we have buyers. |
|
Because, once you lay that foundation, you know that at some |
|
point you will sell carpet or you will sell a washer, a dryer. |
|
This economy has been driven in great part due to the |
|
success of our housing market. So, as we move forward, we want |
|
to make sure that market is still in place such that we can |
|
utilize it to again help us with our economic recovery. |
|
I think that if we don't consider the impact on the |
|
economy, we are making a mistake. So let's be sure that, as we |
|
move forward, we don't develop unintended consequences |
|
associated with our desire to make things right. |
|
I thank you for the time, Mr. Chairman. And I yield back. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And I thank you. |
|
And the other gentleman from Texas, Mr. Hensarling, for 1 |
|
minute, please. |
|
Mr. Hensarling. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
We all know that the classic definition of ``insanity'' is |
|
doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different |
|
result. Those who want to foster a system of continuing |
|
government guarantees in the secondary mortgage market |
|
certainly bear the burden of persuasion that somehow we can |
|
expect a different result--a different result than $150 billion |
|
of taxpayer bailout money, $8 trillion of debt that ultimately |
|
the taxpayer is responsible for. That is a strong burden of |
|
persuasion. |
|
For 2 years now, we have had the Administration, which has |
|
discussed, studied, ruminated, cogitated, and done everything |
|
but acted upon the GSEs. I hope that very soon, they will |
|
release a plan. |
|
But I think the real question is, how do we transition to a |
|
competitive market without taxpayer guarantees and how soon can |
|
we get there? It is time for us, at three trillion-plus |
|
deficits in our Nation's history in a row, to end the taxpayer |
|
bailouts. |
|
I yield back. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Mr. Frank? |
|
Mr. Frank. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
I have, actually, a question which will be addressed. |
|
Chairman Garrett. For 2 minutes. |
|
Mr. Frank. I have heard criticism of the Administration for |
|
missing its deadline. And I must say, this is a newly |
|
discovered attitude of deference towards the Obama |
|
Administration on these matters. I had not previously thought |
|
that the Majority was waiting around for the President to |
|
suggest to them what to do. I had thought that, frankly, the |
|
Majority knew what it wanted to do. |
|
Last year, in July, in the conference, an amendment was |
|
offered to the conference report that we were told, as I |
|
recall, resolved this problem, got rid of them. And I didn't |
|
think it was germane; we ruled it was not germane. But when the |
|
election happened, I had assumed--in fact, I am surprised that |
|
we are now having a hearing on what the Administration hasn't |
|
done. I assumed this would be a hearing on the amendment Mr. |
|
Hensarling offered last year. |
|
It did seem to me that the Majority knew what it wanted to |
|
do in July when it was in the Minority. And, apparently, there |
|
was something about transitioning from the Minority to the |
|
Majority that induces a kind of legislative amnesia. |
|
People on the Majority side were very sure what we should |
|
do. So I had expected to be coming to a hearing in which we |
|
would be considering the amendment. There was a great deal of |
|
unhappiness on the Minority side that we couldn't vote on the |
|
amendment. The Majority is in charge of that, so I assumed we |
|
would go forward. And, again, I had not expected them to wait |
|
for the Administration. |
|
So my question is, why are we not--and I know it has been |
|
introduced as part of the RSC package, the amendment of the |
|
gentleman of Texas. So can we anticipate a legislative hearing |
|
on this and a markup of that legislation? And if not, what |
|
impediment intervened? Why was this a very good idea in July |
|
and not in February? |
|
Chairman Garrett. Would the gentleman yield? |
|
Mr. Frank. Yes. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I appreciate that, and I appreciate the |
|
gentleman's recollection of the history of what we had proposed |
|
in the past. And I assume the gentleman also remembers, as |
|
well, that we had also called on the Majority at that time to |
|
do what we are doing right now, and that is to call in the |
|
interested parties, call in the academics, call in the |
|
stakeholders to elaborate, to elucidate, and to explain what |
|
some of the ramifications of these proposals are. |
|
That was never done. And now we have a whole slew of new |
|
freshmen from--actually, we only have one freshmen new-- |
|
Mr. Frank. I take back my time to say, no, these aren't new |
|
questions. There is nothing new here that wasn't known then. In |
|
July, people said, ``Adopt this amendment. We know what to |
|
do.'' And I am surprised that there was a certainty then and |
|
such uncertainty now. There aren't any new questions about |
|
this. At least, there aren't questions that weren't there |
|
before. |
|
So, again, I am struck by the contrast between the |
|
certainty that was expressed when the Majority was the Minority |
|
and the uncertainty that has overtaken them in the Majority. |
|
And I yield back. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And the gentleman yields back. I assume |
|
the gentleman will be interested in the contrast as we go ahead |
|
in the next 2 years, as well. |
|
And, with that, I yield to the gentleman from Texas, Mr. |
|
Neugebauer. |
|
Mr. Neugebauer. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank you for |
|
holding this very important meeting. As has been said, we have |
|
been waiting for 2 years for some action to happen on this |
|
issue, and finally we are about to start down that road. |
|
One of the things that concerns me is, while we are in this |
|
very hearing today, Freddie and Fannie will take on additional |
|
taxpayer liability. And so, the time to act is not later but is |
|
now. We need to start to make sure that we are doing everything |
|
we can and the conservator is doing everything they can to |
|
minimize additional exposure while, at the same time, making |
|
space for private securitization to begin to take place |
|
immediately so that we can begin to reduce that exposure. |
|
There are a lot of things that should be discussed today, |
|
and I look forward to this important dialogue. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And now for 2 minutes, the gentleman from |
|
Minnesota, Mr. Ellison. |
|
Mr. Ellison. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and also Ranking |
|
Member Waters, for this important hearing. I am looking forward |
|
to this dialogue, and I would like to express a few ideas as we |
|
go forward. |
|
First of all, I think it is important to learn the right |
|
lessons from the recent housing market crisis. And these |
|
lessons point to the private sector's role in creating private- |
|
label mortgage-backed securities as we start this new Congress. |
|
Let's not forget that the subprime mortgage securities were |
|
created by Wall Street firms, not Fannie and Freddie. |
|
Now, I am not advocating that Fannie and Freddie were |
|
perfect actors during the housing bubble, but let's be clear; |
|
Fannie and Freddie did not start this crisis, and Fannie and |
|
Freddie's affordable housing mission did not cause the |
|
collapse. |
|
Let's also be clear that the Community Reinvestment Act did |
|
not cause the housing collapse either. |
|
Reforming mortgage finance systems is a big responsibility |
|
because homeownership has sustained the middle class of this |
|
country. Calls to eliminate all government involvement in the |
|
secondary mortgage market are not responsible. We can't go back |
|
to the pre-depression housing market when government played no |
|
role in housing finance and homeownership was restricted to the |
|
very wealthy. |
|
As this subcommittee addresses the important work of GSE |
|
reform, I also hope that equal attention is given to the |
|
important role that Fannie and Freddie have played in the |
|
affordable rental housing market. |
|
So I look forward to the testimony of the witnesses here, |
|
and I thank all of you. |
|
I yield back. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank the gentleman for yielding back. |
|
And now the gentleman from Illinois, Mr. Manzullo, for 1 |
|
minute. |
|
Mr. Manzullo. Thank you. |
|
It is very simple. Whoever came up with the great idea to |
|
allow people who couldn't make the first mortgage payment to |
|
buy a house made the mistake. It took the Fed until, I believe, |
|
October of last year to come up with a simple rule that said, |
|
whenever you apply for a home mortgage, you must have written |
|
proof of what your earnings are. |
|
That is how we got in this mess. People bought homes, |
|
couldn't make the first mortgage payment, everything got |
|
behind, and derivatives were soured because of the underlying |
|
securities on it. |
|
So now, we need to find our way out of this mess. Fannie |
|
Mae and Freddie Mac could have done it a long time ago. They |
|
simply could have passed a rule that said, we will not accept |
|
any loan unless there is written proof of what a person earns. |
|
I look forward to hearing from the witnesses. |
|
Chairman Garrett. The gentleman from New Mexico, Mr. |
|
Pearce, for 1 minute. |
|
Mr. Pearce. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
I appreciate the opportunity to take a little closer look |
|
at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. I hope that we are taking the |
|
first step today towards significant reform of these failed |
|
institutions. |
|
We are titling the hearing, ``Immediate Steps to Protect |
|
Taxpayers and End the Bailout.'' And it is time for someone to |
|
speak up for the taxpayers, who have now dished out $150 |
|
billion to save these institutions which were declared ``too- |
|
big-to-fail.'' It is reason enough to put the country on notice |
|
that servicing foreign obligations over obligations to American |
|
citizens will not be the norm any longer. |
|
While the priority of this committee is to protect |
|
taxpayers, the conservatorship that took over Fannie and |
|
Freddie created several other victims whose investments and, in |
|
some cases, financial health were destroyed by the manner in |
|
which the mortgage giants were seized. Prior to the |
|
conservatorship, about 1,000 community banks held an estimated |
|
$15 billion to $25 billion in Fannie and Freddie preferred |
|
stock. That stock was wiped out by the government when the GSEs |
|
were taken over and placed in conservatorship. |
|
Former Secretary of the Treasury Hank Paulson acknowledged |
|
in his book on the crisis, ``On the Brink,'' that the action |
|
constituted an ambush. More concerning, Secretary Paulson also |
|
mentioned in his book that the decision to wipe out preferred |
|
stockholders in this country was done in part to satisfy |
|
America's debt obligations to the Chinese. |
|
As we move forward with proposals to reform the GSEs, it is |
|
time for Congress to do the right thing and prioritize the |
|
Federal Government's obligations to the citizens in this |
|
country. |
|
I look forward to the panel. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And I thank the gentleman. |
|
The gentlelady from New York, Ms. Hayworth, for 1 minute. |
|
Dr. Hayworth. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
The figures we are dealing with are stunning because, to |
|
date, the GSEs have consumed approximately $150 billion from |
|
our taxpayers, and most experts believe these losses will be |
|
much higher. The CBO says that if we do nothing to stem the |
|
lawsuits, the taxpayers will end up paying nearly $400 billion |
|
to bail out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. |
|
And as we wait for the Administration to come up with a |
|
plan to wind down the GSEs, and protect our taxpayers, we know |
|
that it becomes ever more urgent. So I want to commend our |
|
chairman for holding this hearing, and I look forward to |
|
hearing what you have to say. |
|
I can tell you that my constituents in the Hudson Valley of |
|
New York have become convinced that the more government |
|
intervenes, the less common sense prevails. So I submit that |
|
the task before us is to return common sense, in the form of |
|
free enterprise principles, to the mortgage and housing |
|
marketplaces. |
|
I yield back the remainder of my time. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank the gentlelady. |
|
The gentleman from Virginia, Mr. Hurt, please. |
|
Mr. Hurt. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Mr. Chairman, thank you for holding this subcommittee |
|
hearing on this important issue. With $150 billion in taxpayer |
|
funds already spent propping up Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and |
|
hundreds of billions more a possibility, it is clear that this |
|
will be the most expensive Federal bailout in response to the |
|
financial crisis. |
|
As it has been said, we must end the limitless bailouts of |
|
Fannie and Freddie and effectively reform them in order to |
|
protect the American taxpayer and give true stability to the |
|
marketplace. |
|
The previous Congress failed to address GSE reform while |
|
passing one of the most sweeping regulatory overhauls of the |
|
financial services industry. Today's hearing makes it clear |
|
that this committee and this new Congress are prepared to act. |
|
I look forward to hearing from the witnesses, and I thank |
|
them for their appearance. |
|
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back my time. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank the gentleman. |
|
The gentleman from New York, Mr. Grimm, for 1 minute. |
|
Mr. Grimm. Thank you, Chairman Garrett. Thank you for |
|
calling this hearing. |
|
And thank you to those testifying. |
|
This is obviously one of the most important issues facing |
|
this committee and our entire Nation. Ending the enormous and |
|
ongoing taxpayer bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is, in |
|
my opinion, an absolute must. |
|
And this conservatorship started in September 2008. These |
|
two failed firms have cost the American people over $150 |
|
billion. And this sum is almost guaranteed to go higher in the |
|
coming months and years. And, shockingly, the recently-passed |
|
2,300-page Dodd-Frank financial reform bill did not address |
|
these two firms, and they are continuing to hemorrhage money. |
|
So, as we move forward on deciding what the future of |
|
housing finance will look like in the United States, there are |
|
certain points that we should keep in the forefront of our |
|
discussion. |
|
For many years, homeownership has been considered the |
|
cornerstone of the American dream and has led Congress to |
|
support homeownership through various initiatives. I know that |
|
back in my district in Staten Island in Brooklyn, the ability |
|
to own your own home is unbelievably important to my |
|
constituents for them to build a strong financial foundation to |
|
improve the lives of their families. |
|
And with that being said, we must give serious |
|
consideration as to how to continue to make homeownership |
|
affordable to middle-class Americans while, at the same time, |
|
ensuring that the American taxpayer is never again left to |
|
shoulder a burden the size of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. |
|
Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for holding this hearing. |
|
I yield back the remainder of my time. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank the gentleman. |
|
The gentleman from Ohio, Mr. Stivers. |
|
Mr. Stivers. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I would like to thank |
|
the chairman for calling this hearing today. |
|
The gentleman from New Mexico focused his comments on the |
|
American taxpayer, and I think that is appropriate because |
|
these GSEs should be an issue for all American taxpayers across |
|
the country. The gentlelady from New York mentioned that the |
|
taxpayers are already on the hook for $150 billion and |
|
counting. |
|
So finding a solution where the American taxpayer is not |
|
left holding the bag for these gigantic losses while, at the |
|
same time, continuing to ensure that home loans are still |
|
available and accessible is a priority for me. I hope we act |
|
quickly and prudently as we propose and implement reforms. |
|
I look forward to hearing the panel discuss ideas on the |
|
way forward for GSE reform. I would like to thank the chairman, |
|
and I yield back the balance of my time. |
|
Ms. Waters. Mr. Chairman, I have an unanimous consent |
|
request. |
|
Chairman Garrett. What is your request? |
|
Ms. Waters. I request that Mr. Carney be allowed to |
|
participate, to sit in on the subcommittee hearing today. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Without objection, it is so ordered. |
|
Ms. Waters. Thank you. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Mr. Miller from California? |
|
Mr. Gary Miller of California. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Over 10 years ago, we tried to reform Freddie and Fannie. |
|
We worked on it for years. We tried to put a strong regulator |
|
in place. We tried to create strong underwriting standards. |
|
And, as you know, it all got killed in the Senate. |
|
I have read some of the testimony, and I agree we all need |
|
to protect taxpayers, and a $150 billion loss is outrageous. |
|
There is just no excuse for that. But 66.5 percent of the |
|
families in this country own their homes, and many of those are |
|
two-taxpayer homes also. |
|
So we need to look and say, what do we have to do? And when |
|
we look at the overall marketplace, I think we need to look at |
|
the marketplace and say, what is wrong with the marketplace and |
|
how do we reform everything? |
|
If you look at the default rates on subprime loans, it is |
|
38.7 percent--38.7 percent. The default rate on Fannie and |
|
Freddie is 3.1 percent. If you look at the default rate on |
|
subprimes, it is 26.5 percent. The all-loan seriously |
|
delinquent rate is at 8 percent and Fannie Mae is at 4.2 |
|
percent. So are the default rates on Fannie and Freddie high at |
|
3.1 and 4.2 percent? They are high, but they are better than |
|
the private sector. |
|
So how do we address that? And we need to get to the bottom |
|
of it. We can't put taxpayers at risk. I am not arguing with |
|
that. But what is wrong with the overall marketplace? |
|
I know some data says we need to eliminate high-cost areas. |
|
But they are the best-performing loans with Fannie and Freddie. |
|
If there is data other than that, I would like to see it, |
|
because I have just not seen that. |
|
So I look forward to the testimony. And, Mr. Chairman, I |
|
thank you for the time. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And I thank the gentleman. |
|
And, finally, Mr. Fitzpatrick from Pennsylvania for 1 |
|
minute. |
|
Mr. Fitzpatrick. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
I believe the government has a role to play in encouraging |
|
homeownership, but this laudable goal has led to interference |
|
in the market, and now the taxpayers are writing checks to the |
|
tune of hundreds of billions of dollars. |
|
I believe that the government has overstepped its bounds, |
|
Mr. Chairman. The United States Government went from being a |
|
facilitator to now backing over 90 percent of all the loans in |
|
the United States. There is no question that Fannie Mae and |
|
Freddie Mac must be weaned off the government in a responsible |
|
way that protects our economy but gets the American taxpayer |
|
out of the bailout business. |
|
We can argue about how we got here, but the fact remains |
|
that Fannie and Freddie are now bloated with bad loans and |
|
toxic assets. And while too fast of a wind-down could damage |
|
our housing economy, we cannot allow prudence to be the enemy |
|
of progress. The system must be reformed, the system must be |
|
stabilized, American families protected, and the government be |
|
relegated back to its proper role. |
|
The path forward will not be easy, but we were sent to |
|
Congress to fix the system and to fight for the taxpayers. I |
|
look forward to the testimony and the solutions. |
|
And, Mr. Chairman, I yield back the balance of my time. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank the gentleman. |
|
And I thank all of the witnesses. As you heard, we are all |
|
very much looking forward to your testimony. |
|
And we do have a great panel of esteemed witnesses, so let |
|
me just run through them. And then I will refer to each of you |
|
for 5 minutes. |
|
On our left, Mr. Mark Calabria, director, financial |
|
regulation studies at the Cato Institute. Next to him, Anthony |
|
Randazzo, director of economic research at the Reason |
|
Foundation. Next, Alex Pollock, resident fellow of AEI, |
|
American Enterprise Institute. Following, last but certainly |
|
not least, Ms. Sarah Wartell, executive vice president of the |
|
Center for American Progress. |
|
I welcome you all here today for our very first hearing. |
|
And I do, indeed, look forward to your testimony and your ideas |
|
and your expertise to help us solve this problem. |
|
Sir, 5 minutes. |
|
|
|
STATEMENT OF MARK A. CALABRIA, DIRECTOR OF FINANCIAL REGULATION |
|
STUDIES, CATO INSTITUTE |
|
|
|
Mr. Calabria. Chairman Garrett, Ranking Member Waters, full |
|
committee Ranking Member Frank, and distinguished members of |
|
the subcommittee, I thank you for the invitation to be here at |
|
today's hearing. |
|
Given the central role of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the |
|
financial crisis, the need for reform is beyond dispute. While |
|
I believe a major overhaul of our Federal mortgage policy |
|
should happen sooner rather than later, reform should be done |
|
in a deliberate and thoughtful matter. The need for deliberate |
|
and thoughtful process, however, does not preclude the |
|
necessity of taking immediate steps to protect the taxpayer. |
|
The most immediate and important step that can be taken to |
|
protect the taxpayer is to change the role of the Federal |
|
Housing Finance Agency from that of conservator to receiver. |
|
The Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 establishes a |
|
resolution or reorganization process for the GSEs. |
|
It should be noted that there is little, if anything, that |
|
a conservator can do that a receiver cannot. There is, however, |
|
a considerable amount that a receiver can do which a |
|
conservator cannot, the most important difference being that a |
|
receiver can impose losses on creditors. |
|
Some might object to receivership on the basis that it |
|
would end the GSEs. Such a position would be mistaken. HERA |
|
specifically prohibits the receiver from revoking, annulling, |
|
or terminating the charters of an Enterprise. Quite simply, the |
|
charters of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would remain in place |
|
under receivership. |
|
Another potential objection to receivership would be that |
|
it forces a solution upon Congress before it has had sufficient |
|
time to deliberate. Such an objection would also be false. |
|
Again, under HERA, a limited-life regulated entity, essentially |
|
a bridge bank for the GSEs, has an initial life of 2 years, |
|
which can be extended by FHFA for 3 additional 1-year periods. |
|
This would give Congress and the Administration 5 years to |
|
arrive at a suitable solution to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. |
|
Another important feature of receivership is that it would |
|
help lessen the perception that certain entities, including our |
|
largest banks, are ``too-big-to-fail.'' The Dodd-Frank Act |
|
establishes a resolution process for both non-banks and bank |
|
holding companies. This resolution process mirrors, in many |
|
ways, the receivership provisions of HERA. |
|
Market participants have questioned whether the resolution |
|
powers of Dodd-Frank would ever be used to impose losses on |
|
creditors. Quite simply, if we are unwilling to take Fannie Mae |
|
into receivership, then most market participants will conclude |
|
that we are also unwilling to take Citibank or Goldman into a |
|
receivership. Moving Fannie and Freddie into receivership adds |
|
credibility to the resolution process established in Dodd- |
|
Frank. |
|
In transitioning from a government-dominated to a market- |
|
driven mortgage system, we face the choice of either a gradual |
|
transition or a big bang. While I am comfortable with believing |
|
that the remainder of the financial services industry could |
|
assume the functions of Fannie and Freddie, I recognize this is |
|
a Minority viewpoint. Practical concerns as to the state of the |
|
housing market point toward a gradual transition. The question |
|
is then, what form should this transition take? |
|
One element of this transition should be a gradual step- |
|
rise reduction in the maximum loan limits for the GSEs. I would |
|
recommend an immediate reduction of the loan limit to $500,000, |
|
followed by annual decreases of $50,000. Of course, the details |
|
can differ. |
|
The hallmark of a private corporation is that its owners |
|
bear the benefits and costs of its activities. This situation |
|
no longer holds for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Any revenue |
|
going forward will help reduce the size of the hole, while |
|
expenses will dig it deeper. |
|
Given that the taxpayer is now the residual claimant to |
|
these entities, it should be clear that the employees of Fannie |
|
Mae and Freddie Mac are working not on behalf of the |
|
shareholders but on behalf of the taxpayers. Accordingly, they |
|
should be paid like other government employees. I recommend |
|
that all GSE employees be transitioned to the GS pay scale as |
|
soon as possible. This should also include the executive |
|
officers. Quite simply, if FHA can adequately manage its |
|
mortgage risk by paying its employees on the GS scale, then I |
|
see no reason that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac cannot do the |
|
same. |
|
Credit losses suffered by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have, |
|
in some instances, been caused by the violation of |
|
representations and warranties by the originating lender. While |
|
the GSEs have made some efforts to recover losses from the |
|
originating lenders, there is simply not enough public |
|
information to gauge the aggressiveness of these efforts. |
|
Congress should examine in detail the agreements reached |
|
between the GSEs and the banks in regard to loan repurchase and |
|
recovery for losses, both on private-label securities and on |
|
mortgages bought from these lenders by the GSEs. |
|
I believe a GAO audit of these agreements, along with |
|
detailed information by lenders, would help stem some of the |
|
losses. |
|
The TARP directed the President to submit a plan to |
|
Congress for recoupment of any shortfalls experienced under the |
|
TARP. Unfortunately, assistance to the GSEs lacked a similar |
|
requirement. Now is the time to rectify that oversight. |
|
Congress should establish a recoupment fee on all mortgages |
|
purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Such a fee could be |
|
used to directly reduce the deficit and structured to recoup as |
|
much of the losses as possible. I believe a reasonable starting |
|
point would be 1 percentage point per unpaid principal balance |
|
of loans purchased. |
|
It is important to note that the structural flaws in our |
|
mortgage finance system were not limited to Fannie Mae and |
|
Freddie Mac, but also included the treatment of GSE debt within |
|
the bank capital standards. One of the rationales for the |
|
rescue of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac was the concern over the |
|
impact their failure would have on the rest of the financial |
|
system. I believe we need to change the bank capital standards |
|
away from encouraging the holding of GSE securities over |
|
mortgages. So I believe Congress should direct the regulators |
|
to end this preferential treatment. |
|
Lastly, the bulk of losses suffered by Fannie Mae and |
|
Freddie Mac were the direct result of declines in credit |
|
quality. In order to limit future losses, Fannie Mae and |
|
Freddie Mac should be restricted to the quality of loans they |
|
can purchase. Under current law, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac |
|
essentially set their own credit standards. Going forward, the |
|
GSEs should be limited to purchasing only those mortgages that |
|
meet the definition of a qualified residential mortgage as will |
|
be determined by regulations promulgated under Dodd-Frank. |
|
Each of these recommendations, as well as others, is |
|
detailed in my written testimony. I again thank the committee |
|
for holding this important hearing and look forward to your |
|
questions. |
|
[The prepared statement of Dr. Calabria can be found on |
|
page 56 of the appendix.] |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank you for your testimony. |
|
And, Mr. Randazzo, you are recognized for 5 minutes. |
|
I should also add that, without objection, the written |
|
testimony of all of the witnesses will be added to the record |
|
as well. |
|
|
|
STATEMENT OF ANTHONY RANDAZZO, DIRECTOR OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, |
|
REASON FOUNDATION |
|
|
|
Mr. Randazzo. Thank you. Chairman Garrett, Ranking Member |
|
Waters, and distinguished members of the subcommittee, thank |
|
you for the opportunity to join you in discussing the important |
|
matter of reforming the Nation's mortgage finance system. |
|
My name is Anthony Randazzo, and I am director of economic |
|
research at Reason Foundation. |
|
It is important at the outset of this debate to frame the |
|
issue properly. Mortgage finance policy and affordable housing |
|
policy are two different things. Whether we should or how we |
|
should subsidize low-income Americans' putting a roof over |
|
their heads must not cloud the analysis and the debate about |
|
the consequences of government policy distorting mortgage |
|
prices for nearly the entire housing market. |
|
That being said, now is the time for major reform of the |
|
government's role in the mortgage finance market. Ideally, a |
|
fully reformed system would have no explicit or implicit |
|
government guarantee for mortgage finance. Such financial |
|
support only subjects taxpayers to high risks and eventual |
|
losses. |
|
Ultimately, the goal of housing finance reform should be to |
|
allow private investors to replace the government, i.e., |
|
taxpayers, as financers in the housing market while ensuring |
|
that any subsidies remaining in the system are explicit, |
|
direct, narrow, on-budget, and properly accounted for. |
|
Now, realistically, a robust overhaul of the housing |
|
finance sector will take time to accomplish. And in the near |
|
term, there is still a need to protect taxpayers from |
|
additional future losses while ending the ongoing bailout of |
|
the GSEs. The government's role in housing must be reduced, and |
|
private capital must be allowed to return. |
|
The following are 10 ideas that will help achieve these |
|
goals. And while they are focused on addressing short-term |
|
needs, they can also be extended beyond the near term as the |
|
basis for a robust overhaul. |
|
One, lower all conforming loan limits for Fannie Mae and |
|
Freddie Mac by 20 percent by the end of September 2011. A 20 |
|
percent reduction would still leave conforming loan limits |
|
above national average and median housing prices. And this |
|
would be a very modest reform to create room for private |
|
lenders and investors to begin re-entering the mortgage market |
|
as Congress debates how to reform the system as a whole. |
|
Two, increasing downpayment requirements for mortgages |
|
backed by government agencies to 20 percent over the next 3 |
|
years. This would decrease government, i.e., taxpayer, exposure |
|
to risky mortgages and prevent the government from supporting |
|
mortgages for those without the resources to become a homeowner |
|
right now. Both those who want to prevent future bailouts and |
|
those who are looking to protect consumers from loans that |
|
would hurt them in the future should support this idea. And |
|
Fannie and Freddie should also be prevented from buying or |
|
guaranteeing any loan originated outside the yet-to-be- |
|
established qualified residential mortgage guidelines. |
|
Three, instruct FHFA to begin slowly increasing the |
|
guarantee fee charged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Over time, |
|
this would increase the cost of doing business with the GSEs |
|
and create room for private capital to be more competitive with |
|
government agencies. And, in the meantime, the GSEs would be |
|
collecting more revenue to put back towards the cost of bailing |
|
them out. |
|
Four, end all affordable housing goals. Again, mortgage |
|
finance policy should not be considered the same as affordable |
|
housing policy. And as I outlined in my written testimony, |
|
while I would argue that we should have no subsidies for |
|
mortgages at all, it is possible that aid for low-income |
|
families can be pursued in more effective ways than affordable |
|
housing goals which distort the entire mortgage market. |
|
Five, raise capital requirements for Fannie and Freddie. |
|
Six, create a legal framework for covered bonds. |
|
Seven, cap expansion of Fannie and Freddie's portfolios at |
|
a certain date and have the Treasury Department buy the |
|
combined portfolio to be run off over time. And having the GSE |
|
portfolios run down on the government's balance sheet would |
|
allow Treasury to take advantage of Uncle Sam's debt funding |
|
advantage and save the taxpayers money. |
|
Eight, p`ut the staffs of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac on the |
|
Federal pay scale. |
|
Nine, require the Treasury Department to formally approve |
|
new debt issuance by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. And this would |
|
help protect taxpayers by providing more accountability and |
|
transparency to the GSEs while their fate is being further |
|
considered. |
|
And, 10, wipe out the remaining stock of Fannie Mae and |
|
Freddie Mac. And it is also critical that mortgage finance |
|
reform be paralleled by FHA reform. |
|
To close, these 10 ideas should not be considered an |
|
adequate fix of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac or as sufficient to |
|
reform the housing market. They are merely a starting point, a |
|
first step towards a robust overhaul, and should open the door |
|
to further mortgage finance reform discussion. |
|
Thank you for the opportunity to discuss this important |
|
issue with you, and I look forward to answering any questions |
|
you may have. |
|
[The prepared statement of Mr. Randazzo can be found on |
|
page 70 of the appendix.] |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank you for your testimony. |
|
Mr. Pollock for 5 minutes. Thank you. |
|
|
|
STATEMENT OF ALEX J. POLLOCK, RESIDENT FELLOW, AMERICAN |
|
ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE |
|
|
|
Mr. Pollock. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member |
|
Waters, and members of the subcommittee. |
|
In the same lead editorial cited by the chairman, The |
|
Washington Post recently wrote about Fannie and Freddie, |
|
``Advertised as a new way to stabilize the housing market, the |
|
government-backed mortgage securitization ended up distorting |
|
and destabilizing the market.'' The Washington Post is |
|
absolutely right about this. |
|
To avoid this distortion and destabilization, we should aim |
|
in the long run for a housing finance sector in which you can |
|
be either a private company or you can be a government agency, |
|
but you can't be both. In other words, in the long run, there |
|
should be no GSEs. |
|
This is consistent with the GSE reform bill introduced by |
|
Congressman Hensarling in the last Congress, and also with the |
|
AEI White Paper recently published by Peter Wallison, Ed Pinto, |
|
and me. |
|
May I just remind us that the old GSE charters meant not |
|
only that Fannie and Freddie had a taxpayer guarantee, but also |
|
that they were granted many privileges and large economic |
|
subsidies. They were highly politicized, exercised duopoly |
|
market power, discriminated against small lenders, and |
|
transferred a portion of their taxpayer subsidies without |
|
appropriation to politically directed housing programs. |
|
They were accurately described as ``masters of Beltway |
|
capitalism.'' Fannie, in particular, was genuinely feared as a |
|
hardball political operator. Fannie and Freddie had especially |
|
low capital ratios because their real capital was known by the |
|
bond market to be the credit card of the U.S. Treasury. We |
|
certainly don't want those GSEs back. |
|
My view is that, in the long run, Fannie and Freddie need |
|
to be restructured into a private company, a government agency |
|
and a liquidating trust, but this can't be done just yet. There |
|
are, nonetheless, a number of focused, specific actions we |
|
could take now consistent with our long-term aim. My written |
|
testimony suggests a dozen of them, and I will touch on a |
|
number of these briefly. |
|
We should enable covered bonds as an alternate long-term |
|
mortgage funding option. A lesson everybody has learned from |
|
the bubble is the importance of whether mortgage lenders retain |
|
``skin in the game'' for mortgage credit. With covered bonds, |
|
the issuing bank has 100 percent skin in the game for their |
|
credit responsibility, and this is a major advantage over the |
|
GSE originate-and-sell model. |
|
Granting perpetual charters to GSEs was a major historical |
|
mistake. We should set a 5-year sunset on Fannie and Freddie's |
|
charters, thus having them expire in 2016. Before then, we will |
|
be ready for their long-term restructuring. |
|
Congress should instruct the GSE regulator to set Fannie |
|
and Freddie's capital requirements at no less than those |
|
applied to national banks for the same assets and the same |
|
risks. |
|
We should mandate the runoff of the GSE's investment |
|
portfolios, both loans and securities. As these assets run off, |
|
GSE unsecured debt will be correspondingly reduced, as will the |
|
complex derivatives activity and portfolios associated with |
|
these assets. |
|
As my colleagues on the panel have recommended, we should |
|
set a regular, predictable reduction in GSE conforming loan |
|
limits. |
|
We should mandate clear Federal budget accounting for |
|
Fannie and Freddie, as proposed in the Accurate Accounting of |
|
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bill introduced in 2010. |
|
We should eliminate all GSE affordable housing goals and |
|
transfer such goals to HUD. Public subsidies for affordable |
|
housing and non-market, higher-risk lending should be |
|
explicitly governmental activities. So all affordable housing |
|
goals, assets, and related funding should be ended for the GSEs |
|
and, as appropriate, become the responsibility of the housing |
|
finance operations of the Department of Housing and Urban |
|
Development. |
|
One of the big mistakes made by bank regulation was to |
|
encourage the banking system to increase the systemic risk of |
|
the GSEs. Congressman Pearce previously raised the issue of the |
|
preferred stock of Fannie and Freddie held by banks. It is |
|
essential for us to understand and to correct the risk |
|
interaction between the GSEs and the banking system. This |
|
interaction caused a hyper-leveraging of mortgage risk for the |
|
financial system as a whole, as discussed in my written |
|
testimony. |
|
Something everyone agrees on is the need to provide clear, |
|
simply stated, straightforward key information to prospective |
|
mortgage borrowers. We should mandate that no loan can be |
|
guaranteed by Fannie or Freddie which has not provided the |
|
borrower with the appropriate one-page information form. |
|
And, finally, an outrageous part of the GSE bailout was the |
|
full protection, so far, at the expense of the taxpayers, of |
|
the holders of Fannie and Freddie's subordinated debt. The |
|
investors in this subordinated debt should be put on a path |
|
toward market discipline. |
|
In sum, Mr. Chairman, there is a lot we could do now to |
|
move in the right direction. Thank you again for the |
|
opportunity to share these views. |
|
[The prepared statement of Mr. Pollock can be found on page |
|
63 of the appendix.] |
|
Chairman Garrett. Thank you. |
|
And finally, Ms. Wartell for 5 minutes. |
|
|
|
STATEMENT OF SARAH ROSEN WARTELL, EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT, |
|
CENTER FOR AMERICAN PROGRESS ACTION FUND |
|
|
|
Ms. Wartell. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, and thank |
|
you, Ranking Member Waters, and all of you, for the opportunity |
|
to share my thoughts on reform of housing finance. |
|
We all agree today that we find ourselves in an |
|
unsustainable situation. Government now bears the credit risk |
|
on the bulk of residential mortgage loans, and private capital |
|
must be attracted back into the market to bear as much of the |
|
load as possible in our housing finance system going forward. |
|
That said, our housing policy should have other goals, as |
|
well: decent and affordable housing rental options and |
|
homeownership so that American families have appropriate |
|
choices; access to homeownership for creditworthy borrowers who |
|
are ready to sustain the responsibilities of a mortgage; |
|
equitable and nondiscriminatory access to credit; the |
|
opportunity to rebuild, based on sound and sustainable lending |
|
principles, communities hard hit by the foreclosure crisis; and |
|
a diverse system not dependent on a handful of large financial |
|
institutions, but which includes local institutions that can |
|
meet the needs of the communities they know best. |
|
Those are all part of our goals. Thoughtful evolution, not |
|
overnight revolution, is the best way to reform the housing |
|
finance system, provide stability, and protect the taxpayers. |
|
So let me touch on just three topics that I mention in my |
|
written testimony. |
|
First, there are important conditions that must be in place |
|
if we are going to pull back government support from parts of |
|
the housing market in an attempt to try to crowd in private |
|
capital. |
|
Investors won't return unless the rules of the game are |
|
clear. And given the mess that the private-label securities |
|
market made in the past, we shouldn't want them to. Most will |
|
wait to see what regulators do in implementing the provisions |
|
of the Dodd-Frank Act regarding mortgages. And those who would |
|
delay these regulatory efforts undermine the certainty that |
|
they claim private markets need for investment. |
|
The return of private securitization also requires |
|
restoring confidence in servicing. Investors, as well as |
|
consumers, are deeply frustrated by the servicing standards of |
|
the lenders. A new servicing standard process is just |
|
beginning, and it should be a priority also for those who want |
|
to see private at-risk capital return. |
|
Withdrawing the GSEs from market segments before these |
|
steps, such as through loan-limit increases, risks a shock to |
|
the housing market already struggling from an inventory |
|
overhang and weak employment. We must ensure the private market |
|
is ready to pick up the slack or risk restarting the vicious |
|
cycle of falling home values, a shrinking economy, which would |
|
also leave taxpayer losses for its GSE obligations larger than |
|
is required. |
|
Second, I have concerns that accelerating the liquidation |
|
of the GSE portfolio may be directly counter to the taxpayers' |
|
interest. Asset sales can sometimes yield higher returns, but |
|
it also can allow buyers to benefit from market recoveries, |
|
rather than the taxpayer, who is currently backing the GSEs. |
|
The sales should be dictated by maximizing expected recoveries |
|
and not a mandated schedule of sales. |
|
Finally, a few quick reactions to some of the more radical |
|
privatization proposals that have been advanced about the end- |
|
state. These would take us to unchartered territories--truly |
|
unchartered--because, despite assertions to the contrary, no |
|
developed country has a purely private housing finance market |
|
without some government support in one form or the other. |
|
Moody's Mark Zandi made this point in a paper that he released |
|
this week, as well. |
|
The oft-cited Canadian market has significant government |
|
insurance and support. In any event that purely private |
|
intermediaries were able to finance all of the U.S. mortgage |
|
market debt, their obligations would surely be considered |
|
systemically important, given the high degree of concentration |
|
in U.S. mortgage activity in a few financial institutions. |
|
So instead of a private system, we might create a new set |
|
of implicit but unmonitored and unpriced government |
|
guarantees--exactly the opposite of the solution that any of us |
|
seek. |
|
These problems would be exacerbated if we relied entirely |
|
on the covered bond model. While a useful product as a |
|
replacement for a mortgage finance system, covered bonds |
|
encourage the dominance of a few institutions, which receive |
|
the benefit of implicit government guarantees in Europe. I talk |
|
a little bit more about this in my written statement. |
|
While these privatization schemes are unlikely to protect |
|
the taxpayers and avoid moral hazard, they would result in some |
|
stark consequences for American households. The availability of |
|
mortgage finance would be sharply reduced, and middle-income |
|
households would be shut out of homeownership. To the extent |
|
that mortgage finance remained available for working |
|
households, it would be directed into loans of shorter |
|
durations, higher costs, and very high downpayments. Products |
|
that help families fix their housing costs over time like the |
|
long-term, fixed-rate mortgage would not be available at prices |
|
affordable to most families. |
|
Lack of long-term private finance would reduce the |
|
availability and raise the costs of rental housing, even as |
|
constrained homeownership access would create greater demand |
|
for rental units and upward pressure on rents. |
|
Finally, fewer families would have access to the forced |
|
savings that homeownership represents and the opportunity for |
|
economic mobility that is the American dream. After the sorry |
|
consequences of private-market innovation over the previous |
|
decade, we should think carefully before going down that path |
|
again, leaving American families who have already suffered the |
|
worst economy in our lifetime to once again pay the price. |
|
Thank you. |
|
[The prepared statement of Ms. Wartell can be found on page |
|
86 of the appendix.] |
|
Chairman Garrett. Thank you. |
|
This is very interesting, so I will begin with the |
|
questioning for 5 minutes. Mr. Pollock, you use the expression |
|
in your written testimony about double leveraging of the GSEs |
|
by the banking system. |
|
Could you give me just briefly, in about a minute or less, |
|
a little more detail on this and discuss what steps? You sort |
|
of touched on how we could curtail that double leveraging. |
|
Mr. Pollock. Yes. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
As I mentioned, the interaction between the way that |
|
lending money and investing in the GSEs was encouraged by |
|
regulation in the banking system and the GSEs themselves |
|
resulted in double leverage or hyper-leverage. One example is |
|
with preferred stock. A large amount of the capital of the GSEs |
|
was in the form of preferred stock. Preferred stock could get |
|
leveraged 60 to 1, 60 in debt to 1 in stock by the GSEs. |
|
Among the biggest buyers of the preferred stock, and |
|
encouraged by regulation, were commercial banks. And the banks |
|
themselves owned that stock on a leveraged basis, or a margin |
|
basis, with a risk-based capital requirement of only 20 percent |
|
risk weighting, which is equivalent to 1.6 percent capital. In |
|
other words, they owned the equity of the GSEs on a 98 percent |
|
margined basis, like buying stock on 98 percent margin. |
|
So if you combine the banking system with the GSEs and |
|
think about that as a total system, there was virtually no real |
|
equity. You had a leverage of 60 squared, or over 3,000 to 1. |
|
That thinking about the interaction between the banks and the |
|
GSEs is, I think, critical. I will just mention quickly, if I |
|
may, that banks were also encouraged to hold GSE debt and |
|
mortgage-backed securities without limit, so that you got over- |
|
concentration in GSE risk by the banks. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Thank you. |
|
And Ms. Wartell, right now we are trying to take actions. |
|
What can we do today? Looking at the GSEs today, they are in |
|
conservatorship, lots of money going out the door. A couple of |
|
things are going to be coming up. The FHFA is soon to announce |
|
that executive compensation is going to be due with the |
|
executives of Fannie and Freddie. |
|
What is your position on exec compensation packages that we |
|
have seen over there? Should the taxpayer basically be funding |
|
these quite high compensation packages in your view? |
|
Ms. Wartell. I think what is important for the GSEs is that |
|
because they do represent a significant contingent liability, |
|
potential liability for the taxpayers, it is very important |
|
that they be able to continue to attract the talent to manage |
|
their obligations. And I do in their current situation believe |
|
that it is difficult for them--they are seeing a great deal of |
|
runoff already of their senior leadership into private |
|
institutions--and the ability to attract people, for example, |
|
to manage servicing and retain assets. So I don't have a |
|
position particularly on the current compensation packages. I |
|
understand the difficulty that they present. I also think it is |
|
really important that we don't let them lose talent to manage |
|
and protect the taxpayers' ultimate outcomes. |
|
Chairman Garrett. We have to be careful of that because |
|
over at Ginnie Mae and FHA, they are having to deal with the |
|
same problems over there, and they are not getting the same |
|
compensation package. So we may be getting a call for giving |
|
them bonuses if we are not willing do it here. |
|
Let me just ask you one other question. With them in |
|
conservatorship right now, is now a good time to address the |
|
issue or have them issuing affordable housing goals? Do you |
|
think that should be something they should be doing right now? |
|
Ms. Wartell. I think what is important, and what we would |
|
suggest for both the near term and the long term, is that the |
|
secondary market serve what the primary market is doing. |
|
Chairman Garrett. How much is the near term? Because I am |
|
looking at what we could do for them. |
|
Ms. Wartell. In the near term, the affordable housing |
|
goals, as written in the statute that the conservator is now |
|
still implementing, require the GSEs to lead the market. The |
|
rulemaking by the Bush Administration that really forced them |
|
to stretch out ahead of the market is where I think the goals |
|
really got out of bounds. Requiring the secondary market to |
|
continue to serve the primary market, the loans that lenders |
|
are making, and not cherry-pick those loans so that we end up |
|
with communities without access to capital, communities that |
|
are effectively credit deserts, seems to me an important |
|
ongoing obligation. We just don't want to make them stretch in |
|
ways that have them make unsafe loans. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Okay. And in my 30 seconds' time, because |
|
someone is trying to keep the time here, Mr. Randazzo, Mr. |
|
Calabria, you both discussed variations of how to treat their |
|
outstanding debt. |
|
Mr. Randazzo, could you expound on your idea to bring that |
|
debt online with the Treasury and Treasury's balance sheet, and |
|
the potential taxpayers' savings there? Have you had any |
|
discussions, I should say, also with Treasury on this as well? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. You are speaking specifically to how to bring |
|
the debt of the GSEs in line? |
|
Chairman Garrett. Right. And onto the Treasury's balance |
|
sheet, and then the tax savings that results there--in 15 |
|
seconds. |
|
Mr. Randazzo. Sure. In short, the GSEs, because they are |
|
not technically government agencies right now, pay more to |
|
issue debt than the Treasury Department does. By bringing those |
|
portfolios onto the Treasury's debt, you would have roughly 25 |
|
basis points cheaper borrowing when you reissue short-term |
|
debt. And given that over the next year, about 40 percent of |
|
their debt is going to come up for renewal, that has potential |
|
savings of anywhere between $4 billion and $12 billion for |
|
taxpayers just by having those portfolios run off on the |
|
Treasury's balance sheet as opposed to in a separate holding |
|
company. |
|
Chairman Garrett. My time has expired. Ms. Waters for 5 |
|
minutes. |
|
Ms. Waters. Thank you very much. Let me direct my first |
|
question to, I believe, Mr. Pollock, of American Enterprise |
|
Institute. Could there be a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage product |
|
available on the market for the median-income family without |
|
any government involvement in the housing finance system? If |
|
so, how many basis points more expensive would it be compared |
|
to what borrowers pay now? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Congresswoman, there could certainly be one |
|
and would certainly be one. I guess it would be somewhat more |
|
expensive. I doubt that it would be very much more expensive. |
|
It is hard to say until we run the market experiment, of |
|
course. But that it would be available, I think is beyond |
|
doubt. |
|
Ms. Waters. I would like to ask Ms. Wartell that same |
|
question. |
|
Ms. Wartell. I agree that it would probably be available. |
|
But I disagree that it would be available at a rate that would |
|
be competitive in the marketplace and that would be able to |
|
attract middle-income families. I think the reality is with the |
|
economic uncertainty people have, they are not going to pay one |
|
dime more than they can for their housing costs. And the |
|
reality is that we are adding economic volatility into the |
|
system by moving people to adjustable rate mortgages, as we saw |
|
during the crisis. And you are also I think putting limitations |
|
on central bank regulators' capacity to manage interest rates |
|
if we know that so many families' housing costs will vary up |
|
and down with adjustable rate mortgages. |
|
Ms. Waters. Mr. Calabria, what do you make of the fact that |
|
William Gross, the co-founder and managing director of the |
|
investment firm Pimco, has said his funds wouldn't buy pools of |
|
private label mortgages unless homeowners made a downpayment of |
|
at least 30 percent? I know that as an investor, he is not |
|
exactly an impartial party. He has an interest in there being a |
|
government guarantee. Do you think he is bluffing, or do you |
|
think his statement is an accurate picture of what investment |
|
firms would actually do? |
|
Mr. Calabria. I think he is doing what they call on Wall |
|
Street ``talking your book.'' As you mention, Pimco is a very |
|
large holder of GSE securities. Were a government guarantee to |
|
end, his book of business would take a very large loss. I can't |
|
blame him for trying to protect that. I think his statement as |
|
to the effect of 3 percentage points strikes me as absolutely |
|
ridiculous. I think that is outside of the realm of reason. |
|
We don't see that kind of difference between--I think a |
|
more reasonable--I will be willing to guess, where Alex would |
|
not, and put an estimate, which is, I think, if we were to move |
|
our conforming mortgage market to resemble our jumbo mortgage |
|
market, we would see interest rates increase somewhere on the |
|
range of 30 to 40 basis points at most, which I will note is |
|
not large enough to impact the homeownership rate. And while |
|
that might make mortgages more affordable, I think a constant |
|
theme that we need to keep in mind is that homeowners are also |
|
taxpayers. So taking a dollar out of one pocket just to put 90 |
|
cents back in the other does not make someone better off, and |
|
we need to look at the whole picture. |
|
Ms. Waters. Thank you very much. |
|
Mr. Randazzo, I don't know if your expertise extends to |
|
servicing. But given all of the expertise we have had over the |
|
past year or so in housing finance, can you explain why we are |
|
seeing a breakdown in the mortgage servicing industry? Today, |
|
the Veterans Affairs Committee is holding a hearing on improper |
|
military foreclosures by JPMorgan Chase. Do we need national |
|
standards for mortgage servicing? If so, what should be |
|
included in these standards? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. Thank you for the question. I will say my |
|
expertise is not mainly focused in the servicing market. I |
|
would say that there are a number of outside factors that have |
|
impacted the way that banks have put together their own |
|
specific servicing standards. Without the right incentives for |
|
private companies to track their risk, things can get out of |
|
whack. And I think that has happened with a lot of these |
|
companies. |
|
I don't know that national servicing standards are |
|
necessarily needed. But as long as there are misaligned |
|
incentives in the marketplace, it would be natural that that |
|
would be the route to go. I would say that-- |
|
Ms. Waters. Ms. Wartell, on the same issue of servicers, |
|
there is a big problem--robo signing, all of this we are coming |
|
up with. What happened? Do we need national standards? |
|
Ms. Wartell. I think we absolutely need it, not only |
|
because consumers don't have the ability to be dealt with |
|
fairly, but also because investors need to know how servicers |
|
are going to act and whether they are going to have an |
|
incentive to act in the investors' best interests in trying to |
|
maximize returns in the mortgage. And they are, I think, |
|
without that confidence today. There are multiple ways of |
|
getting to an effective set of best practices that are applied |
|
across the entire market, either voluntarily or through |
|
legislation. But if we don't see it happen voluntarily, then it |
|
needs to happen in another way. |
|
Ms. Waters. Anyone else on servicing? Yes, Mr. Calabria? |
|
Mr. Calabria. I will make a comment and show that there are |
|
certainly some issues on which Sarah and I agree. And I think, |
|
given that the taxpayer is on the hook for much of the |
|
servicing industry, there certainly is a national interest. I |
|
would say the place to start is certainly with Freddie and |
|
Fannie's book. They have a large amount that they are |
|
servicing. So there is definitely a Federal interest. There is |
|
definitely a reason do this. The details will differ, but I do |
|
think it is something worth looking at. |
|
Ms. Waters. Thank you. I yield back. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Thank you. The gentleman from New Mexico, |
|
Mr. Pearce, for 5 minutes. |
|
Mr. Pearce. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
I think I would go to Mr. Randazzo first. When we consider |
|
the preferred stocks that were basically allowed to not be |
|
exercised, do you know what the process was in which these were |
|
suspended? The banks were being encouraged to buy the stock; |
|
isn't that correct? Do you know anything about that? Do you |
|
know anything about the process? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. In 2008, when the-- |
|
Mr. Pearce. Yes. In other words, prior to the government |
|
taking conservatorship, banks were encouraged to buy these--if |
|
it is not something you are familiar with, you can yield to Mr. |
|
Pollock. I think he might have-- |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I think Mr. Pollock and Mr. Calabria could |
|
speak more to this. |
|
Mr. Pearce. Okay. |
|
Mr. Pollock. Thanks, Congressman. I would be glad to |
|
address that. |
|
By the regulatory capital treatment, banks were certainly |
|
given an incentive to own this equity on a highly leveraged |
|
basis. And when the GSEs were put into conservatorship, the |
|
dividends on the preferred stock were suspended. That strikes |
|
me as an appropriate thing to do under the circumstances. But |
|
the valuation then of the stocks, looking forward to how much |
|
could be recovered ever, of course, was extremely low. And the |
|
write-offs were very high. It troubled many banks and it put |
|
several banks into failure. |
|
The fault, as I see it, is the design of the system in the |
|
beginning, which encouraged the banking system running on what |
|
you might think of as double-dipping of the government |
|
guarantee. That is to say, you took government-guaranteed |
|
deposits and used them to leverage investments in equity of the |
|
GSE. That, in my view, was a big mistake. |
|
Mr. Pearce. The term ``preferred stock'' means basically |
|
just that. Were there lower-level creditors who were given |
|
their value while preferred stockholders lost theirs? |
|
Mr. Pollock. No. There were common shareholders, of course. |
|
There still are legally common shareholders who saw the price |
|
of their stock go down more than 99 percent to pennies on a |
|
share. Then you have the preferred. Above the preferred you |
|
have the subordinated debt, which I mentioned in my testimony, |
|
which has been protected. And that is something I believe we |
|
need to fix going forward; that the subordinated debt holders |
|
should share in the realization of the risks which they |
|
knowingly undertook by buying subordinated debt. |
|
Mr. Pearce. Ms. Wartell, you mentioned on page 17 that we |
|
need to bring people and families and home back into the |
|
conversation about housing finance reform. Would you kind of |
|
elaborate on that? In other words, when I hear that--I am not |
|
saying that everybody who took out a subprime mortgage knew |
|
that they could never pay a payment on it and they were being |
|
encouraged into it, but also they were willing participants. So |
|
when I hear that, I kind of hear that we need some personal |
|
accountability and responsibility. |
|
Is that what you intended in your comment, or did you have |
|
a different direction? I would like for you to expand on that |
|
just a bit. |
|
Ms. Wartell. Sure. That was not what I intended by my |
|
comment, but I certainly agree with that. |
|
Mr. Pearce. You would agree with it? |
|
Ms. Wartell. I certainly agree that individuals who take |
|
out loans should have the ability to repay them. And I think we |
|
have a responsibility as individuals and as a society to ensure |
|
that lenders are making loans available to people who have the |
|
ability to repay them. Some of them were lured or tricked |
|
through predatory practices into taking on obligations they |
|
didn't have the capacity to pay, and others were simply part of |
|
a crowd that--kind of a crazy frenzy. |
|
But what I had in mind by my comment was that I think there |
|
are serious economic consequences for American families if we |
|
don't care about the stability of the housing market and the |
|
role that the housing market plays in creating economic |
|
opportunity and mobility for families. |
|
Mr. Pearce. Okay. That is fair enough, as long as we take |
|
both sides of the equation. I mean that seems reasonable |
|
enough. |
|
Mr. Calabria, you mentioned on page, I think it is 3, that |
|
you do not think there is much--that we have experienced most |
|
of the risk in the financial sector; that if we start bringing |
|
accountability in the system, there is not much downside risk. |
|
Am I reading that correctly? |
|
Mr. Calabria. For starters, yes, I believe we are past the |
|
point where you could say we are in a financial panic. And my |
|
point about I think it is time to consider start imposing |
|
losses on creditors. Now, the concern about, I think during the |
|
crisis the Treasury had, was there would be a run in these |
|
markets. And of course the bazooka that Secretary Paulson was |
|
given to back up Freddie and Fannie was to calm those markets |
|
and provide liquidity. We are past that point. |
|
We are at a point where I think we can start thinking about |
|
where should we allocate the losses. And in my opinion, they |
|
should be allocated on creditors. I do believe that creditors |
|
can bear those losses. As I indicated in my testimony, I think |
|
creditors would get at least 94, 95 cents on the dollar, which |
|
if the Chinese central bank is not happy with that, they can go |
|
invest somewhere else in my opinion. |
|
Mr. Pearce. So all the instruments of risk, the MBS, CDOs, |
|
whatever you are talking about, you are saying that a large |
|
percent now resides in the U.S. Government to where there is |
|
not much left out there. We have bought most of the bad assets. |
|
Is that right? |
|
Mr. Calabria. There are still a number of bad assets. The |
|
concern is really if you start with the observation that 80 |
|
percent of the funding for Freddie and Fannie comes from the |
|
rest of the U.S. financial services system, so about a trillion |
|
of that, a little more than a trillion, trillion and a half of |
|
that is in the commercial banking system, so we do need to be |
|
concerned that if you impose losses such as were imposed on the |
|
preferred shares, what would happen to the banking system. |
|
Now, the FDIC has looked at this. And the number of banks |
|
that would actually fail is quite small. You have other things. |
|
The money market mutual fund system holds about a trillion in |
|
unsecured debt. We have to remember the priorities would be |
|
preferred shareholders get hit, subordinated debt would |
|
essentially get wiped out, and the unsecured debt would take a |
|
significant haircut. The MBS would largely, in my opinion, be |
|
whole. That would pose significant risk I think to the money |
|
market mutual fund. You would see dozens probably break the |
|
buck. |
|
We still at post-crisis do not have a solution, in my |
|
opinion, into the issue of money market mutual funds, even |
|
post-reserves primary. So I think that issue needs to be |
|
directly addressed, but I think we can allocate those losses. |
|
Mr. Pearce. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Thank you. The gentleman from |
|
Massachusetts for 5 minutes. |
|
Mr. Frank. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
I would like to ask all the witnesses if they have views on |
|
H.R. 4889. That is the comprehensive bill for phasing out and |
|
reforming and then phasing out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. It |
|
was introduced by the gentleman from Texas, Mr. Hensarling, |
|
about a year ago. It has been offered on the Floor in the |
|
committee. And again, I had assumed that from what I had heard |
|
my Republican colleagues say, that they were ready to deal with |
|
legislation. They had a fairly well-developed bill. It is been |
|
reintroduced this year, I understand, as part of the Republican |
|
Study Committee package. |
|
So I am wondering, the Majority having invited these |
|
witnesses, if they called your attention to H.R. 4889, to |
|
establish a term certain for the conservatorships of Fannie Mae |
|
and Freddie Mac, to provide conditions for continued operation |
|
and the wind-down, etc.; do any of the witnesses have views on |
|
this? |
|
Mr. Calabria. I will preface by saying I haven't read the |
|
bill, but I understand-- |
|
Mr. Frank. You haven't read it? |
|
Mr. Calabria. I haven't read the bill. |
|
Mr. Frank. Were you asked when the Majority invited you on |
|
this topic? Did they call your attention to the bill? |
|
Mr. Calabria. I was not asked. |
|
Mr. Frank. Next. Did they ask you to read the bill and give |
|
your opinions on it? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I have read the bill. And I read the bill |
|
when it was introduced last year. I think that it is a good |
|
basis for where we need to go in terms of comprehensive reform. |
|
I think that it is going to be difficult to get that specific |
|
piece of legislation passed through both Houses of Congress |
|
immediately, and so this hearing does have some value. |
|
Mr. Frank. Okay. But let me ask you--I appreciate your view |
|
on the strategy. It sounds like you not only read the bill, but |
|
might even have been involved in it. You say it would be |
|
difficult. But do you think, would you urge us to pass this |
|
bill right now? The Majority controls the House. So would you |
|
urge that this 4889 be passed right now? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I would not urge that the bill as it is |
|
currently written be passed. |
|
Mr. Frank. Why not? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I think that there are certain things that |
|
can be adjusted. I think that there needs to be a more |
|
comprehensive approach. I think that-- |
|
Mr. Frank. Can you tell me specifically? You obviously are |
|
familiar with this. Again, we were asked to pass it. If the |
|
Majority had its way, it would have been part of the financial |
|
reform law as is. But since they didn't have their way, we have |
|
a chance. |
|
What changes would you make in this bill? You say it is a |
|
good general framework but not ready to be passed. What changes |
|
would you recommend in it? Because I like to think in |
|
legislative terms. |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I think the biggest thing that can be added |
|
to the bill, or can be an additional piece of legislation, is |
|
reform for rules with FHA. If we were to lower conforming loan |
|
limits by 20 percent over, say, 5 years-- |
|
Mr. Frank. I appreciate that. But that is the FHA. With |
|
regard to Fannie and Freddie, do you think it is ready to be |
|
passed now with regard to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I think that the principal underlying issue |
|
of beginning a process of winding down Fannie Mae and Freddie |
|
Mac through all of the different pieces that are in there |
|
should be pursued. |
|
Mr. Frank. Okay. But that is not what I asked you. I |
|
appreciate that. Again, we were told, we were criticized for |
|
not passing this into law. And I just wonder why, if that was |
|
something that we should have done last year, the Majority |
|
wouldn't do it now. So we can't vote on--we don't vote on |
|
general principles here, we vote on legislation. |
|
Would you recommend that with regard--you said separate |
|
stuff on FHA. I understand that. I hope we will get to that. We |
|
have some pending--in fact, Ms. Capito and Ms. Waters, they |
|
came to some good agreements on FHA. I hope we will pass the |
|
rest of that. So I agree with that. |
|
But with regard to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, do you think |
|
the bill as it now stands is ready to be passed? And if not, |
|
what changes would you recommend? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. Once again, I think that there are pieces and |
|
minutia that maybe we don't want to spend 5 minutes to an hour |
|
going through and nitpicking. |
|
Mr. Frank. Be my guest. I have nothing else to do this |
|
afternoon. There are no more votes. I appreciate your concern |
|
for my time. |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I was not a part of putting the bill |
|
together, so that I have a particular way that I think would be |
|
best to-- |
|
Mr. Frank. So you would not recommend that we pass this |
|
bill, as is, with regard to Fannie and Freddie? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I would say not immediately. I think that |
|
there are some things that can be changed. It is a good base. |
|
Mr. Frank. Thank you. Mr. Pollock? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Congressman, I did read the bill when it was |
|
introduced. I supported it then. As I said in my testimony, all |
|
of the points in my testimony are consistent with Congressman |
|
Hensarling's bill. And when reintroduced, I will support it. |
|
Mr. Frank. It has been reintroduced. Would you urge the |
|
committee then to just have a markup and vote on it fairly |
|
soon? |
|
Mr. Pollock. I think that would be a good idea. |
|
Mr. Frank. Okay. Thank you. Mr. Hensarling is back in |
|
minority status on the panel of his invitees. It is one to two. |
|
But one out of three I suppose ain't bad. |
|
Let me just--one other thing to say, and I do appreciate |
|
the point that was made about separating mortgages and |
|
affordable housing. And in my case, in my view what we ought to |
|
be doing is affordable rental housing primarily. The great |
|
mistake, I have consistently felt, was pushing people into |
|
homeownership when they weren't ready. So I appreciate that |
|
separation. And I hope as we go forward, what I would hope |
|
would be we would find a way to get a revenue stream for |
|
affordable rental housing and separate that out from the |
|
decisions made on mortgages. |
|
So I appreciate that separation. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And I appreciate those comments. Now for |
|
the rest of the story, the gentleman from Texas. |
|
Mr. Hensarling. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I certainly am |
|
fascinated by the ranking member's fascination with my |
|
particular bill. I would wonder where the fascination was when |
|
he was committee chairman. He certainly had the ability to give |
|
a vote on the bill. I think I heard the gentleman say the bill |
|
has been reintroduced. As the author of the bill, I can say it |
|
has not been reintroduced. As with many pieces of legislation, |
|
it is being refined through the process. I do intend to |
|
reintroduce the bill. It will be quite similar to the one that |
|
was introduced in the last Congress. But at least, there will |
|
be a bill. |
|
I recall on September 29th, during a full committee |
|
hearing, where the now-ranking member, then-chairman, told us |
|
that he was disappointed that we were not dealing with, quote, |
|
a piece of legislation, but there is no point in rushing that |
|
pace. It is not going to be possible now, I know, until |
|
November when we come back, because we lost 7 days. Apparently, |
|
we are now in the process of losing 133 days. I don't think I |
|
have seen the gentleman from Massachusetts introduce the bill |
|
that was committed in September. |
|
Mr. Frank. Would the gentleman yield? |
|
Mr. Hensarling. I would yield to the gentleman from |
|
Massachusetts. |
|
Mr. Frank. The gentleman is not accurately representing me. |
|
I was not for passing it. I agreed with that. The gentleman |
|
said it needs to be refined. You know how important refinement |
|
is to me. I wouldn't have wanted to pass something that was |
|
unrefined. |
|
Mr. Hensarling. Reclaiming my time for one point, did the |
|
gentleman make a commitment that he was going to introduce |
|
legislation in the last Congress or have I been given an |
|
incorrect record? |
|
Mr. Frank. I thank the gentleman for yielding. |
|
Chairman Garrett. It is the gentleman from Texas's time. |
|
Mr. Frank. I thank the gentleman. I would ask unanimous |
|
consent that the gentleman have an additional minute since I |
|
have taken his time, Mr. Chairman. |
|
I would just say after the election, when control changed |
|
hands, it didn't seem to me that there would be any chance of |
|
getting that done in the lame duck session. So I just want to |
|
say, no, I was not for passing this bill last year. I was being |
|
criticized for not being for passing it last year. And I am |
|
very sensitive, so I was just glad to have some support for my |
|
position for last year from your witnesses from this year. |
|
Mr. Hensarling. Reclaiming my time, I am not sure I heard |
|
the answer on where the gentleman from Massachusetts' bill is. |
|
Mr. Frank. Would the gentleman yield 30 seconds? The answer |
|
is, I have not filed one because it is not my expectation that |
|
the Majority would pay any attention to it. And if I wanted to |
|
do academic exercises, I would go back to school. |
|
Mr. Hensarling. Reclaiming my time, I appreciate that |
|
sentiment. I would note again, the gentleman certainly had time |
|
on his shift to introduce a bill before the House switched. |
|
Let me take time now to speak to the members of the panel. |
|
I think I heard Mr. Randazzo--maybe it was in your testimony, I |
|
am not sure. Let me ask the question this way. Do any of you |
|
believe, as we know what has happened to home price values, we |
|
know about the cratering, you can look at the Case-Schiller |
|
index, did Fannie and Freddie play a role in the housing |
|
bubble, in the housing price inflation? Mr. Pollock, do you |
|
agree with that? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Without question, they played a significant |
|
role in inflating housing prices, inflating the bubble, and |
|
therefore in making the collapse worse. |
|
Mr. Hensarling. Do others agree? Perhaps just a show of |
|
hands. At least, I see two nodding heads with Mr. Calabria and |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I don't know about Ms. Wartell. |
|
Ms. Wartell. Only a very small and-- |
|
Mr. Hensarling. Okay. All the panelists agree that Fannie |
|
and Freddie played some role in price inflation. So when I |
|
write out my mortgage check each month, I have principal, I |
|
have interest. In the studies that I have seen, the GSEs may |
|
have helped on the interest side anywhere from 7 basis points |
|
to 30 basis points. Now, granted, I think the 7 basis points is |
|
a several-year-old study from the Federal Reserve. I have seen |
|
a number of academic studies. I don't know, maybe the median is |
|
15 basis points, 20, I don't know. So they helped me on the one |
|
hand by, say, a median of 15 basis points; but on the other |
|
hand, is my principal perhaps not higher because of the |
|
artificial demand? Meaning at the end of the day, as a |
|
consumer, was I really better off? Can we make the case? Can we |
|
make the case that I was better off? We know the taxpayer |
|
wasn't better off. So Mr. Calabria, do you have a comment? |
|
Mr. Calabria. To start with, the outcome of any price is |
|
clearly the interaction of supply and demand. And what you are |
|
referring to are the demand factors. So my answer would be it |
|
really depends on the housing market. I think in housing |
|
markets with relatively tight supply, places like California, |
|
you ended up running up the house price. The seller was better |
|
off in those instances. |
|
Mr. Hensarling. So the consumer, maybe he benefited, maybe |
|
he didn't benefit. We know the taxpayer did not benefit. We |
|
have heard some discussion of the fact, or some have made the |
|
assertion that there would no longer be a 30-year fixed-rate |
|
mortgage in America without Fannie and Freddie. Yet were there |
|
not 30-year fixed-rate mortgages in subprime? Were there not |
|
30-year fixed-rate mortgages in jumbo? You gentlemen and lady |
|
have researched the market. Am I correct in that assertion? |
|
Mr. Pollock. You are correct, there were 30-year, fixed- |
|
rate mortgages without Fannie and Freddie in the parts of the |
|
market where they don't exist. |
|
Mr. Hensarling. So they have existed in America in parts of |
|
the market where Fannie and Freddie didn't exist. Isn't it also |
|
true, perhaps not common, but in OECD nations in Europe you can |
|
also find 30-year fixed? At least I think in Sweden and |
|
Denmark? I have tripped across a few other countries. Is it |
|
also true you can find examples of 30-year fixed overseas? |
|
Mr. Pollock. You certainly find it in Denmark. |
|
Ms. Wartell. I think Denmark. |
|
Mr. Hensarling. I see my time has expired. I thank the |
|
chairman. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank the gentleman from Texas. The |
|
gentleman from California for 5 minutes. |
|
Mr. Sherman. Just responding to the gentleman from Texas, I |
|
think 3 to 30 basis points is absurd. The fact is that if you |
|
try to get a loan today that barely qualifies, and then you |
|
say, what is a loan going to cost that Fannie and Freddie won't |
|
touch because it is a little over that amount, the difference |
|
is hundreds of basis points, if it is available at all. |
|
The fact is that we would see a collapse in home prices if |
|
it wasn't for Fannie and Freddie. And that means a collapse of |
|
our economy. We already had one mortgage/home value collapse of |
|
our economy. I am not looking for a second. And to say that in |
|
2012, non-GSE financing is going to be just as available as it |
|
was in 2002 assumes that all the lenders have been asleep with |
|
Rip Van Winkle over the last decade. The fact is almost nobody |
|
is willing to lend money to middle-class home buyers except if |
|
it qualifies for Fannie, Freddie, or FHA. |
|
The banks are not lending now because the future of |
|
mortgage financing is uncertain. Home buyers need a reliable |
|
flow of mortgage financing. GSE reform is needed. But |
|
eliminating all Federal involvement would harm this economic |
|
recovery, put the housing market at risk, and put the economy |
|
at risk. |
|
Today, private capital is nonexistent outside the GSE |
|
mortgage financing limits. And to assume that it will suddenly |
|
become available if we eliminate the GSEs because everybody |
|
will go back and do what they did in 2005 assumes a level of |
|
amnesia among investors that I don't see. |
|
What we don't need is a precipitous decline in housing |
|
prices. That is how we got the first dip. That would give us a |
|
second, or double-dip recession, if not a depression. And it is |
|
particularly important in regions like mine, where middle-class |
|
homes go for $600,000 to $800,000. Certainly, all the upper |
|
middle-class homes do. And without GSE financing, you would see |
|
not only a collapse of home values, but a collapse of the local |
|
economy. |
|
Ms. Wartell, under Dodd-Frank, when defining a qualified |
|
residential mortgage which is exempt from the Act's risk |
|
retention requirements, regulators must take into account |
|
consideration, underwriting criteria that historically |
|
indicates a lower profile of risk and default such as mortgage |
|
insurance. To the extent that such insurance reduces the risk |
|
of default, the data seems clear that loans with PMI have lower |
|
default rates. |
|
Do you agree that mortgages should not have to meet the |
|
risk retention requirements in Dodd-Frank as long as they meet |
|
other underwriting criteria and PMI is also part of the loan? |
|
Ms. Wartell. Congressman, I want to be careful not to speak |
|
to the precise regulatory question today. And if I could send |
|
you written comments on this, because I don't have all the |
|
details in front of me. But I would agree with your general |
|
proposition that there are many ways to ensure that the |
|
borrower has adequate equity to protect the investors. And PMI |
|
is certainly one of the ways to do that. |
|
Mr. Sherman. Okay. We have Bill Gross, the co-founder of |
|
Pimco, saying that without a government guarantee, if he was |
|
going to invest in mortgages, he would demand a 30 percent |
|
downpayment. There are proposals to go for a 20 percent |
|
downpayment. Wouldn't such a requirement push more business to |
|
FHA, further constraining that agency's resources? And wouldn't |
|
it have a dramatic impact on the ability of the average family |
|
to buy a home in many regions of the country? |
|
Ms. Wartell. Yes. I completely agree with you. And to your |
|
FHA point, I think it is important to understand that in the |
|
case of the GSEs when they were functioning, or some future |
|
system, it is possible to put private capital at risk ahead of |
|
the taxpayer. In FHA, we do not have that. So when you shift |
|
market to FHA by imposing high downpayment requirements like |
|
that, you actually are having the taxpayer stand at a much more |
|
extensive risk position than they would otherwise. |
|
Mr. Sherman. So it is worse for home buyers, worse for home |
|
sellers, worse for communities, and worse for the taxpayer. |
|
Ms. Wartell. And unnecessary for us to take risks that the |
|
private sector could take on their own. |
|
Mr. Sherman. I yield back. |
|
Chairman Garrett. All right. Thank you. The gentleman from |
|
California, Mr. Royce. |
|
Mr. Royce. Thank you. I think one of the vexing things for |
|
us is that the Federal Reserve has come to us in the past with |
|
concerns about the model that we have set up, especially since |
|
1992, the GSE Act that passed the Congress here. Under that |
|
model, they were able to dive into the junk mortgage market, |
|
and they purchased over $1 trillion worth. They wracked up |
|
leverage of 100 to 1. Part of the concern here is that once you |
|
establish a GSE, you have established a huge quasi-governmental |
|
monopoly that comes in and lobbies the Members. |
|
So the Fed came to us, they asked us to take some action in |
|
the Congress. I offered an amendment, endorsed by the Fed, that |
|
would authorize the regulator to rein in Fannie and Freddie on |
|
these mortgage portfolios based on the systemic risk that they |
|
posed. That was opposed by Fannie and Freddie, and of course it |
|
was defeated, as was Jim Leach's amendment. |
|
Jim Leach, the former chairman of this committee, offered |
|
an amendment to strengthen the minimum capital requirements for |
|
Fannie and Freddie. And Ron Paul offered an amendment to |
|
eliminate the ability of Fannie and Freddie to borrow from the |
|
Treasury. Any one of these the Fed recognized would have helped |
|
the situation. |
|
But once we create these entities, they come in, they lobby |
|
against those kinds of reforms. And indeed, the only reform we |
|
ever passed out of the House is one that was opposed by the |
|
Treasury and the Fed. Why? Because it made the situation worse. |
|
It tied the hands of the regulators even more. |
|
So here is the problem. We now have the president of the |
|
Richmond Federal Reserve--and Mr. Calabria, I will ask you |
|
about this--he comes to us and he says, ``We should phase out |
|
government guarantees for home mortgage debt.'' Clearly, he |
|
doesn't mean tomorrow. He means phasing it out over a long |
|
period of time in order to make sure that we bring private |
|
capital back into the market. And he says otherwise, financial |
|
stability will be elusive, and fiscal balance will be |
|
threatened by repeated boom-bust cycles in housing. |
|
I was going to ask you, do you think government guarantees |
|
on mortgages exacerbate or mitigate the boom-bust cycle that we |
|
have experienced in the market? |
|
Mr. Calabria. I would 100 percent agree with the remarks of |
|
President Lacker. I think that our current system of mortgage |
|
finance is procyclical rather than countercyclical. And I think |
|
the point that you make, and I say this from having spent 7 |
|
years working on staff in the other body, I think any system we |
|
set up will erode over time. The reality is there will be |
|
another housing boom at some point in the future. We will all |
|
again think that housing is the best thing since sliced bread, |
|
and we will want to get everybody in, and we will push |
|
underwriting standards again down. It has happened time and |
|
time again. So I would 100 percent agree with that. |
|
While you could design a system today that, if it just |
|
stayed that way, might reduce the risk, I have very little |
|
confidence that it would stay that way over time. |
|
Mr. Royce. Let me ask you another question. In your |
|
testimony, you call for shifting the FHFA from conservator to |
|
receiver for the GSEs. Right? |
|
Mr. Calabria. Yes. |
|
Mr. Royce. And I think among the points that you make, your |
|
argument is that it could be an instrumental step in combating |
|
the perception that other entities out there are ``too-big-to- |
|
fail.'' I know some think we have solved the ``too-big-to- |
|
fail'' problem with the legislation passed last year, but a lot |
|
of economists think otherwise. And I would ask you to expand on |
|
that point and maybe explain to us how that transition process |
|
might occur, how you would envision us getting from point A to |
|
point B. |
|
Mr. Calabria. Sure. Let me start with a broader point about |
|
``too-big-to-fail.'' We have to recall that essentially every |
|
financial institution, whether it is Fannie Mae or Citibank, is |
|
primarily funded with debt. Ninety percent-plus of their |
|
funding is debt. And so it is all good and well to fire |
|
management and wipe out shareholders, but you will not have |
|
sufficient market discipline in that absence. |
|
So to me, to end ``too-big-to-fail,'' again whether it is |
|
Citi or whether it is Fannie, you have to set up a process |
|
where creditors take haircuts. And I think because we have not |
|
done that, and because in the last crisis under this |
|
Administration and the last Administration, the proposal was |
|
always to protect creditors, I think that has been a mistake. |
|
While you can argue maybe in a panic, I think going forward |
|
post-panic creditors need to take losses. And why? That is |
|
because as companies begin to take risk, whether it is |
|
incompetent management, whether it is a business strategy, |
|
those who provide funding will raise the cost of that funding |
|
and constrain them. I was always puzzled, working on GSE |
|
issues, that the more debt Fannie and Freddie issued, the lower |
|
their funding costs were. It is certainly contrary to-- |
|
Mr. Royce. The bigger the share of the market they would |
|
take-- |
|
Mr. Calabria. Exactly. |
|
Mr. Royce. And I would argue--during the conference, I |
|
actually had an amendment to sort of guarantee a larger |
|
haircut. That was defeated in the markup in the conference |
|
committee. I think we need to revisit that issue on the ``too- |
|
big-to-fail'' front. |
|
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank the gentleman from California. |
|
The gentleman from North Carolina, Mr. Miller, please, for 5 |
|
minutes. |
|
Mr. Miller of North Carolina. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
There is no doubt that we would not have much of a mortgage |
|
market now without Fannie and Freddie. They are buying, the |
|
vast, vast majority, well more than 90 percent of mortgages. |
|
Five years ago, they certainly were not in a duopoly position. |
|
In fact, they were rapidly losing market share. |
|
What the three of you seem to imply is that the reason |
|
their market share is now so enormous is that they are crowding |
|
out the private securitization market somehow. I have talked to |
|
mortgage investors, and they don't say that at all. The pension |
|
funds, the insurance companies that bought the private-label |
|
mortgage-backed securities 5 years ago, say there is no way |
|
they are going to buy that stuff again unless there is a |
|
serious reform of the private securitization market. They are |
|
not going to buy mortgages based on a AAA rating from a rating |
|
agency. Unless there is the kind of disclosure that an investor |
|
in a new stock issue gets, so they can actually do due |
|
diligence themselves and figure out what they are buying, they |
|
are not touching that stuff again. |
|
Do any of you have any basis, any evidence for the idea |
|
that the private-label securitization market is going to come |
|
back without reforms if we simply hobble Freddie and Fannie, |
|
limit what they can do, but don't reform the private-label |
|
securitization market? |
|
Mr. Calabria. If I could touch on this, and this might be |
|
where I differ from some of my colleagues, while I would like |
|
to see the private securitization market come back, I don't |
|
think that should be the ultimate objective. The vast majority |
|
of mortgage lending in this country can be funded by a |
|
portfolio of various financial services institutions, whether |
|
it is banks or insurance companies. And it is important to keep |
|
in mind, as I mentioned earlier, 80 percent of the funding for |
|
Freddie and Fannie--so when people ask me, if Freddie and |
|
Fannie aren't going to fund it, who is? The parties that fund |
|
Freddie and Fannie. If the banking system can hold a trillion |
|
and a half in Freddie and Fannie securities, then the banking |
|
system can certainly hold a trillion and a half in mortgages. |
|
So it is just moving it around from different institutions. |
|
Are there problems with those other institutions? Absolutely. |
|
And we should address those problems. But I don't think our |
|
objective should simply be let's bring back the private |
|
securitization. I think it should be how do we set up a system |
|
that has substantially more capital? And it is important to |
|
remember the very existence of Freddie and Fannie is to a large |
|
degree a capital arbitrage, it is a massive subsidy for |
|
lenders. |
|
Mr. Miller of North Carolina. My understanding is about |
|
half of all lending 5 years ago was the securitization market. |
|
And you are saying if we simply let that go away, it would be |
|
replaced by portfolio mortgages. |
|
Mr. Calabria. First, we need to remember that in 2005, |
|
2006, 40 percent of private-label mortgage-backed securities |
|
were bought by Freddie and Fannie. So if you add what they |
|
bought, what they originated, they maintained a majority of the |
|
market share, which was still very close to--they dominate what |
|
they can do. And if you look at it today in terms of how much |
|
the housing stock is next to the jumbo market, they dominate |
|
what they can do. |
|
Mr. Miller of North Carolina. That strikes me as a |
|
remarkable leap of faith upon which the entire economy depends. |
|
Mr. Calabria. I would be happy to sit down with you at any |
|
time. |
|
Mr. Miller of North Carolina. Ms. Wartell? |
|
Ms. Wartell. I would agree with you. I think that the |
|
capacity of our financial institutions, which right now with |
|
the new capital standards are already severely |
|
undercapitalized, to provide the kind of ongoing support for |
|
the housing market in the near term is an enormous leap of |
|
faith. |
|
I would also note that the durations that those--the big |
|
thing that the secondary market provided, by creating a market |
|
that was liquid, was it allowed longer term obligations to be |
|
made available into the capital markets. If you don't have that |
|
mechanism, banks will not make long-term mortgages available, |
|
and we will have driven the entire housing market to an |
|
adjustable rate regime in which you will see people's economic |
|
costs of living varying with interest rates. And that, in and |
|
of itself, will limit the ability of central bankers to be able |
|
to adjust interest rates as they need to for monetary policy |
|
purposes. |
|
Mr. Miller of North Carolina. Let me move on to another |
|
topic. I am sorry. You certainly can supplement your answers. |
|
You are more than welcome to do that. |
|
I have raised many questions before about the conflicts of |
|
interest of having the servicers be affiliated with the |
|
securitizers. And I have talked to investors who say that the |
|
barriers they now face in pursuing their legal claims against |
|
the securitizers is like doing business in Russia and trying to |
|
bring a lawsuit against an oligarch. And they will not play |
|
unless that is reformed as well. |
|
I have talked to the small banks and the credit unions, and |
|
they say one of the reasons they did business with Freddie and |
|
Fannie, and not Wall Street, is they knew that their mortgages |
|
would end up being serviced by a big bank, and the big bank |
|
would try to use that relationship to steal their customers. |
|
When the servicers sat there a month or two ago, I asked |
|
them why on Earth, what is the reason for having a servicer be |
|
affiliated with a securitizer? And they said, ``cross- |
|
marketing.'' Which seems to support the concerns about the |
|
small banks. What possible reason should servicers--should they |
|
not be separate entities not affiliated with a bank? Is there a |
|
reason that has not occurred to me? Because I have been |
|
thinking a lot about it and been drawing a blank. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I think what we will on that is do just |
|
what you said, to ask them to provide that answer in more |
|
detail not only to Mr. Miller, but to all of us as well. It |
|
would be interesting to see the answer to that. |
|
With that, I yield to the gentleman from Texas. |
|
Mr. Neugebauer. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Again, thank you |
|
for having this hearing. One of the things I think we need to |
|
point out is that, prior to securitization, as Mr. Calabria |
|
said, is there were people who bought mortgages that didn't go |
|
through Freddie and Fannie. In fact, I originated and actually |
|
was in the banking business for a while, and we sold those |
|
loans to other financial institutions, the insurance companies. |
|
But securitization does provide a certain amount of |
|
liquidity opportunity for investors to hold those mortgages and |
|
some other ability to manage interest rate risk. And so, |
|
certainly, we don't want to do away with securitization. |
|
Back to what I think Mr. Pollock has said and maybe Mr. |
|
Randazzo has said and the other panelists, probably where the |
|
big mistake is here is we have had the government setting the |
|
risk premium. And the government doesn't have a very good |
|
record on setting the risk premium. All you have to do is look |
|
at our National Flood Insurance Program and realize we haven't |
|
been charging the appropriate amount of money for the risk that |
|
the government is taking. |
|
And so there is really not much space for private market |
|
right now because the risk premium is so low that getting these |
|
loans sanitized by Freddie and Fannie makes more sense than |
|
doing it outside. |
|
So, isn't it a way to make some space for private |
|
securitization or for private investment--I don't want to get-- |
|
is to lower these conforming loan limits and, at the same time, |
|
increase the risk premium that Freddie and Fannie are charging |
|
for buying those loans and securitizing them? |
|
At some point in time, the private market is going to say, |
|
I am not willing to give up 50, 75, 100 basis points, whatever |
|
that is; I would rather have that yield than go through that. |
|
If I knew that those loans were being underwritten in a fashion |
|
that gave me some sense that these are good-quality residential |
|
loans, good old underwritten residential loans is a good |
|
investment. |
|
Is there consensus that that has to be some of the initial |
|
steps if you are going to bring the private market in, is you |
|
have to take away the competitive advantage of Freddie and |
|
Fannie? |
|
Mr. Calabria? |
|
Mr. Calabria. I would say, absolutely. And, as I mentioned |
|
in my testimony, I do think you need to institute a fee to try |
|
to recoup some of the money we have put in. Obviously, one |
|
benefit of that is you recoup some taxpayer money. The other |
|
benefit is you reduce the competitive advantage that Freddie |
|
and Fannie have. |
|
I would also emphasize--and I know Alex has made this |
|
point--we really do need to change the incentives facing the |
|
banking industry. If you hold a Fannie Mae security, it is only |
|
a 20 percent risk rating, where if you are holding a whole |
|
loan, it is 50 percent. So, to some extent, the existence of |
|
Freddie and Fannie has reduced the capital behind mortgages by |
|
about 60 percent of the system. |
|
I don't think a public policy objective should be how do we |
|
get less capital into the system behind mortgages. So making |
|
that a little more equal and treating Freddie and Fannie |
|
securities as if they were any other corporate securities, I |
|
think, would shift the incentives of banks. |
|
Mr. Neugebauer. Mr. Pollock? |
|
Mr. Pollock. I think you make a very good point, |
|
Congressman. We might ask, looking back historically, why did a |
|
private securitization market for middle-class prime loans not |
|
develop? It is a natural market. It doesn't need a government |
|
guarantee. The reason it didn't was because nobody could |
|
compete with subsidized providers, namely Fannie and Freddie, |
|
who effectively enjoyed tens of billions of dollars of taxpayer |
|
subsidy. |
|
And so, one way I have thought about the question of how |
|
could you make that move with guarantee fees is to consider |
|
that Fannie and Freddie, historically, had much lower capital |
|
than other people. Now they have no capital at all, literally |
|
zero, counting the government's capital, and their own capital |
|
is very negative. |
|
So one might do a calculation and say, if Fannie and |
|
Freddie had to have the same capital as everybody else for a |
|
risk and they had to have a reasonable return on that capital, |
|
what would their price have to be? |
|
You remember, with the Federal Reserve some years ago, the |
|
Congress put in what they called the ``private-sector |
|
adjustment factor'' for the Fed (the Fed is kind of a GSE) in |
|
order to take away the Fed's pricing advantage. You might think |
|
about that same kind of calculation for Fannie and Freddie. |
|
Mr. Neugebauer. Kind of risk-based pricing basically is |
|
what you are saying? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Yes. |
|
Mr. Neugebauer. And I think I agree totally, is that |
|
whatever we do over at Freddie and Fannie, we can't make FHA |
|
the new subprime lender. And so we are going to have to go over |
|
there and determine what the lending limits and the credit |
|
underwriting standards are going to be over there, as well. |
|
Otherwise, we just move that market. |
|
Mr. Randazzo? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. The one thing I would add to what my |
|
colleagues have said is I think the approach that you |
|
mentioned, with a few other steps, addresses the concerns on |
|
the other side of the aisle that this is not jumping into |
|
privatization. You are not ending Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac |
|
tomorrow. You are incrementally dropping the conforming loan |
|
levels, and you are raising your G fees to let private capital |
|
begin to step in slowly over time. |
|
It is not this leap of faith and just trusting that capital |
|
is going to be there from the private sector. It is, we are |
|
going to take these short-term steps, and, along the way, the |
|
private sector can adjust, can look at the new rules of the |
|
game, and we can begin to back the government out slowly. |
|
Mr. Neugebauer. Thank you. |
|
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank you. |
|
And now, my good friend from New York, Mrs. Maloney. |
|
Mrs. Maloney. Thank you. And I yield 30 seconds to the |
|
ranking member. |
|
Mr. Frank. I thank the gentlewoman. |
|
I want to make it very clear, I did not think that we were |
|
ready to pass the bill last year, including the one, 4889, the |
|
Republicans offered. I thought it needed more time. My |
|
Republican colleagues said, ``No, it is taking too long to get |
|
to it. We are ready. Here is the bill.'' |
|
I mentioned earlier that it had been introduced this year |
|
and I was surprised that the witnesses weren't asked to talk |
|
about it. The gentleman from Texas said it hadn't been |
|
introduced, but I was not hallucinating. It was introduced. It |
|
was introduced as part of a package, the Spending Reduction Act |
|
of 2011, introduced by the prime sponsor, Mr. Jordan. The |
|
chairman of the subcommittee was a cosponsor. |
|
So 4889, the late, lamented 4899, which was so popular last |
|
year but has withered on the vine of popularity, was, in fact, |
|
introduced. |
|
And I only stress that to say, yes, I did think it was more |
|
complicated and needed more time. It was my Republican |
|
colleagues who were very critical of that, said, ``No, let's |
|
move now; we can't wait.'' And I am, therefore, surprised at |
|
this change of heart and their lack of enthusiasm for the bill |
|
they were ready to have enacted last year. |
|
I thank the gentlewoman. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Mrs. Maloney? |
|
Mrs. Maloney. Reclaiming my time, we have been discussing |
|
how to restructure, what to do in the future. But irrespective |
|
of any future policy, how should we address the literally |
|
trillions of dollars of existing debt from the GSEs that are in |
|
the mortgage-backed securities and in corporate bonds that were |
|
purchased with the expectation that there was an implicit |
|
government guarantee? |
|
Much of this debt is now in pension funds, it is in |
|
401(k)s, it is in assets that benefit the overall American |
|
public. And I have read in some press reports that many central |
|
banks across the world are also holding large packages of these |
|
mortgage-backed securities. |
|
So my question, really, to Ms. Wartell and then to Mr. |
|
Pollock and just down the line is, how do we address what is |
|
there now? And are these bonds government-guaranteed, at this |
|
point? It is always an implicit guarantee? Are they guaranteed |
|
or not? |
|
Many of my constituents are holding them in their 401(k)s, |
|
and they are very anxious to find out what the future holds for |
|
them. |
|
Ms. Wartell? |
|
Ms. Wartell. I understand that the Treasury Department has |
|
been very careful not to say that they are a full-faith-and- |
|
credit obligation of the United States Treasury. That said, I |
|
believe it has been the policy of this Administration and the |
|
former to treat them as if they were--that the outstanding |
|
debt--many of us talk about that, in a system in the future |
|
when we have a new design, most of us would agree that the debt |
|
of any future institutions should not be guaranteed, that any |
|
liquidity backstop ought to be on the MBS. |
|
But for the outstanding obligations, much like our |
|
discussion about the debt ceiling in this country, it seems to |
|
us very important that we give investors here at home and |
|
around the world confidence that the United States stands |
|
behind those obligations. |
|
Mrs. Maloney. Mr. Pollock? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Congresswoman, the question you raised focuses |
|
on an essential point. Bond salesmen all over the world, when |
|
they sold Fannie and Freddie unsecured debt and Fannie and |
|
Freddie mortgage-backed securities, said to the investors |
|
something along these lines: ``You have nothing to worry about. |
|
This is a government debt. But it has a higher yield, it has |
|
more spread, as we say. But it is a government credit. Don't |
|
worry.'' |
|
Legally, as a technicality, that wasn't true, but, in fact, |
|
the bond salesmen were absolutely right. It always was really |
|
guaranteed, and it is guaranteed. Many of us could agree in a |
|
theoretical world it shouldn't be. But I think we are stuck |
|
with that on the existing debt. |
|
In my view, that existing debt should, on the restructuring |
|
of Fannie and Freddie, go into a liquidating trust, in a very |
|
similar way as to what was done with the privatization of |
|
Sallie Mae, and that debt be honored by the U.S. Government as |
|
it runs off. |
|
Mrs. Maloney. Mr. Randazzo? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. This is where I disagree with one of my |
|
colleagues, is technically, legally, this debt was not |
|
guaranteed by the U.S. Government. And just as there has been a |
|
lot of discussion in this Chamber and previous Congresses about |
|
the importance for institutions that take on too much risk to |
|
be able to fail, I believe that investors should also be able |
|
to fail. |
|
They knew, or they should have known, that, by law, they |
|
were not explicitly guaranteed by the U.S. Government. And we |
|
should not extend this explicit guarantee to honor what was an |
|
implicit guarantee. It would be bad for the taxpayers. |
|
Mrs. Maloney. Mr. Calabria? |
|
Mr. Calabria. I would also add, I think an important part |
|
is, not only by statute--and this was not changed in HERA--that |
|
not only is it not guaranteed, it is explicitly rejected. The |
|
Federal law says, you will not be paid. |
|
And so, any commitments that Treasury Secretaries, previous |
|
or current, or that bond managers or that GSE CEOs made, they |
|
had no authority to. And they were making those commitments in |
|
contradiction of statute. |
|
And so, to me, a very important principle we should always |
|
carry with us is the rule of law. It is not what a Treasury |
|
Secretary says; it is what the statute says that should be |
|
important and that should govern here. |
|
Mrs. Maloney. Thank you. |
|
My time has expired. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Thank you. |
|
I yield now to the vice chair of the subcommittee, the |
|
gentleman from Arizona. |
|
Mr. Schweikert. Mr. Chairman, fellow Members, and |
|
witnesses, first off, in my opening remarks, I hope I didn't |
|
cause a little bit of fussing when I complained that the |
|
Administration hadn't met its obligation. Being a freshman |
|
Member, I have actually really, really been killing myself to |
|
read everything I get my hands on, Mr. Chairman. And, with |
|
that, I was trying to be fair-minded and read stuff that was |
|
coming from all directions. And, apparently, I annoyed the |
|
ranking member with my fairness. |
|
Mr. Pollock, I absolutely love this. Having now read binder |
|
after binder after binder, yours is one of the best white |
|
papers I have read so far. But one of your premises in there is |
|
that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac distort the true price of risk. |
|
Am I fair in that assumption or in that interpretation or of |
|
what am I reading out of that? |
|
Mr. Pollock. That is exactly right. It is what we say, and |
|
I think it is quite indubitably the case. |
|
Mr. Chairman, may I request that the white paper that the |
|
Congressman refers to be entered in the record, if that is all |
|
right? |
|
Chairman Garrett. Does the vice chair wish to-- |
|
Mr. Schweikert. Mr. Chairman, I would actually be elated. |
|
There are some terrific items in there. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Without objection, it will be entered |
|
into the record. |
|
Mr. Pollock. Thank you. |
|
So when you push credit at an asset, at a market, the |
|
credit flow gets capitalized into the prices in that market. |
|
And when you separate the risk of the providers of the funds by |
|
telling them they are guaranteed by the government so they |
|
don't suffer the results of their putting a large flow of money |
|
into a real estate market and driving up the prices, I think |
|
the only fair way to describe that is as a distortion of |
|
prices. The result will always be unhappy. |
|
Mr. Schweikert. Mr. Chairman, I know I have very limited |
|
time, and I have a handful of questions, so can I bounce on to |
|
the next one? This one is for all the witnesses. |
|
In also reading your white paper, the belief that if we |
|
were to move to a much more true either private market or some |
|
sort of bifurcated, that we would also have to reach out and |
|
touch FHA and Ginnie Mae and those, so we didn't create a push |
|
from one side of the bubble to the other. |
|
Mr. Chairman, witnesses, is there an agreement that if we |
|
are going to approach a GSE government-insured market that we |
|
have to do something holistic? |
|
Mr. Pollock. I think we all agree on that. |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I do. |
|
Mr. Calabria. I agree, absolutely, with that. And I think |
|
we should keep in mind that a lot of that already is happening. |
|
FHA is about half of new homebuyers now. So it is already a |
|
considerable push of risk on to FHA as it is. But we need to |
|
avoid that further erosion of credit quality on FHA. |
|
Mr. Randazzo. It would be very irresponsible to just look |
|
at Fannie and Freddie and not address all the components that |
|
impact housing in the United States. |
|
Ms. Wartell. I would agree that we need to--one of the |
|
reasons I would argue against a fully private market is |
|
because, in fact, it will push and create enormous pressure for |
|
us to keep FHA taking on risks that I think otherwise the |
|
private sector could be bearing if the government were standing |
|
behind with a limited liquidity backstop. So we are taking on |
|
more risk than we need to. |
|
Mr. Schweikert. Mr. Chairman, you actually hit an issue. I |
|
am concerned that if we are going to do something, we need to |
|
be looking at everything together. |
|
Mr. Chairman, witnesses, do I have a prediction on the |
|
total loss in Fannie and Freddie? When we look back a decade |
|
from now, how much taxpayer money will have bled? |
|
Mr. Pollock. It is very hard to know, even if you are |
|
inside and poring over the numbers. But informed estimates |
|
range from $180 billion to $300 billion or $400 billion. It is |
|
highly uncertain, of course. |
|
Ms. Wartell. I agree with that; like he said, it is highly |
|
uncertain. But the one thing I would say is that our actions |
|
now can very much affect the size of that obligation, both in |
|
how quickly we liquidate their portfolios--if we sell at fire |
|
sale prices, that actually potentially increases the amount of |
|
the losses. |
|
And, similarly, the GSEs have an obligation to repay the |
|
taxpayers, in effect, in the form of these dividend payments. |
|
And if we, sort of, withdraw them from the market too quickly, |
|
their ability to continue to make those payments might be |
|
mitigated. |
|
Mr. Schweikert. Okay. Mr. Chairman--and it is, Ms. Wartell? |
|
Ms. Wartell. Yes. |
|
Mr. Schweikert. Forgive me. To that point, if I am holding |
|
huge amounts of nonperforming paper and I am waiting for the |
|
market to come up to sell it, don't I perpetuate a 5-year real |
|
estate depression to last a decade? Because when do you hit |
|
bottom? If prices move, and the expectation--and there is |
|
always an expectation of this huge overhang. And, Mr. Chairman |
|
and Ms. Wartell, maybe it is because I come from the Phoenix |
|
area, where there are 50,000 foreclosures in process, and a |
|
year ago, there were 50,000 foreclosures in process, and the |
|
year before, 50,000, there is no change in expectation. |
|
I almost wish we would take our lumps, process through |
|
those. We may come down substantially more, but at least we |
|
start to build a base back up. |
|
Give me your comment. |
|
Ms. Wartell. My comment is, I guess, the question of, who |
|
gets the benefit of the upside and having taken the losses on |
|
the taxpayers? If we sell them at fire sale prices, then |
|
private investors will get the market when it comes up, and we |
|
will end up having larger obligations. It seems to me that the |
|
taxpayers ought to be able to make a sensible, staggered sale. |
|
And the other thing I would say is, not all those assets |
|
they hold are nonperforming. In fact, the majority of them are |
|
performing assets. |
|
Mr. Schweikert. Mr. Chairman, Ms. Wartell, I was only |
|
speaking to the nonperforming portion of the portfolio. And |
|
being at foreclosure central, I don't know how you get the |
|
chicken and the egg. We are going to wait until it gets better |
|
to sell, but it never gets better to sell because I always have |
|
an anticipation of all these foreclosures that are in process |
|
that never go to the actual sale. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And, with that-- |
|
Mr. Schweikert. Sorry, Mr. Chairman. Does that mean I am |
|
beyond my time? |
|
Chairman Garrett. Just a smidge. |
|
Mr. Schweikert. Thank you. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And I thank the gentleman. |
|
The gentleman from Colorado. |
|
Mr. Perlmutter. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Mr. Pollock, you and I have had a chance to talk about this |
|
subject on a couple of occasions. And so my first question to |
|
you is, when was Fannie Mae created? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Fannie Mae was created in 1938. |
|
Mr. Perlmutter. Okay. When was Freddie Mac created? |
|
Mr. Pollock. By the Emergency Housing Finance Act of 1970. |
|
Mr. Perlmutter. Okay. And just so we understand that we are |
|
all talking the same language, we are not talking about Federal |
|
Home Loan Banks? Are any of you? When we talk GSEs, you are not |
|
talking about the Federal Home Loan Banks, are you? |
|
Are you, Mr. Pollock? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Congressman, I understood the hearing to be |
|
about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. |
|
Mr. Perlmutter. Okay. But it also says ``GSEs,'' and the |
|
Federal Home Loan Banks are GSEs, are they not? |
|
Mr. Pollock. That is true, Congressman. |
|
Mr. Perlmutter. Okay. What about--we are not talking Ginnie |
|
Mae here? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Ginnie Mae is not a GSE. It is a wholly owned |
|
government corporation whose credit is the full faith and |
|
credit of the United States. |
|
Mr. Perlmutter. Okay. But your premise is that Fannie Mae |
|
more or less has been treated as something that is backed by |
|
the full faith and credit--rightly or wrongly, it has been |
|
promoted as being backed by the full faith and credit of the |
|
United States, right? |
|
Mr. Pollock. That is correct. I don't think there is any |
|
doubt that is the way the markets looked at them. |
|
Mr. Perlmutter. Okay. So here is my question. Initially, |
|
was Fannie Mae simply government owned and then it became |
|
partially privatized? |
|
Mr. Pollock. That is correct, Congressman. Fannie Mae |
|
originally was a 100-percent government-owned corporation. It |
|
was actually owned by the Reconstruction Finance Corporation |
|
when it was first set up. It had an extremely limited function; |
|
it was to buy FHA loans. That is all it was allowed to do for a |
|
portfolio. |
|
Mr. Perlmutter. Right. |
|
Mr. Pollock. Probably the original sin was the 1968 |
|
restructuring, which most people think was done in order to get |
|
Fannie Mae off the Federal budget because President Johnson was |
|
running outsize deficits at that point and he wanted Fannie's |
|
debt off the budget. That unleashed the much wider activity of |
|
GSEs, and we are now living with the results. |
|
Mr. Perlmutter. Okay. And so, I guess the thing that |
|
concerns me is that from--and I am to not going to be their |
|
defender, but I want to understand really what is going on |
|
here. You all have given us several proposals. We can do an |
|
FDIC kind of a proposal and have a guarantee fund if everything |
|
fails. We can have a Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae kind of proposal, |
|
which is you just go out and buy these mortgages, and you |
|
provide liquidity in that fashion. Or you can do nothing at |
|
all. I think there are sort of three--there is a guarantee, |
|
there is the buy, there is just let the market handle it. |
|
Given the history, what I see--and, I have my apple, and I |
|
have--it really was a crash of the housing market starting in |
|
really, oh, the end of 2007, beginning of 2008. It is about as |
|
big a picture of a crash as you could have. |
|
Prior to that, was the full faith and credit of the country |
|
being called upon in Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac? Had it ever |
|
occurred before? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Congressman, the answer to that is ``yes.'' In |
|
fact, Fannie Mae was in serious trouble in the early 1980s, |
|
1981-1982, just as the savings and loans of the day were. They |
|
were losing tens of millions of dollars. But they were always |
|
able to keep borrowing because their debt was viewed by the |
|
market as government debt. |
|
Mr. Gary Miller of California. Would the gentleman yield on |
|
that question? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Sure. |
|
Mr. Gary Miller of California. The first time they lost |
|
money was 1985. |
|
Mr. Perlmutter. Okay. In 1985 though 1990, the model that |
|
was used as a guarantee model, the Federal Savings and Loan |
|
Insurance Corporation--which is one of the proposals here, |
|
something like that--failed, and the government had to pick it |
|
up through the RTC. |
|
So, I harken back to Mr. Oxley and the effort of the |
|
Republican Congress in 2005 to put some limits on Fannie Mae |
|
and Freddie Mac. And, I have said to you his quote. He was |
|
upset because the House passed it, and the Senate wouldn't. He |
|
said, ``All the hand-wringing and bed-wetting is going on |
|
without remembering how the House stepped up on this. What did |
|
we get from the White House? We got a one-finger salute.'' |
|
Okay? The White House, under the Bush Administration, |
|
opposed any limitations on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac because |
|
it is my opinion, whether it was because of the government- |
|
backed guarantee being promoted or that real estate only goes |
|
up in the United States, we were repatriating a lot of money |
|
that had gone overseas. |
|
And so, Mr. Calabria, or Doctor, you said that China was |
|
one of the owners of this debt. So in a perfect world those |
|
creditors should just get hammered. Why did Mr. Paulson not |
|
want to take that step? |
|
Mr. Calabria. I think, to some extent, Secretaries Paulson |
|
and Geithner were both concerned about, if you impose haircuts |
|
on foreign holdings of GSE debt, then there would be questions |
|
about how that would bleed over to the response by Treasuries, |
|
so that you might see an increase in Treasury costs. |
|
Now, I don't think that was ever explicitly made, but that |
|
is an important part of it. So I do think it is looked it as |
|
the credibility of the American public. |
|
Mr. Perlmutter. Thank you. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I thank the gentleman. |
|
I now turn to the gentleman from Virginia, Mr. Hurt, for 5 |
|
minutes. |
|
Mr. Hurt. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
This is for Mr. Pollock. I was wondering, going back to, |
|
kind of, the history of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, if you look |
|
back at the time that it was established and formed, how come, |
|
since that time, we haven't seen a private market for these |
|
mortgages develop over that time? |
|
And it sounds like from the question that was just asked |
|
that, from its founding in 1938 to 1968, that, really, it had a |
|
very narrow mission. Why didn't the private sector step in |
|
during that period? And how does that inform us as we go |
|
forward? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Congressman, that is a very good question. And |
|
the answer is, of course, the private sector was acting in the |
|
market all during that period. |
|
If I could put in a historical footnote, as I think one of |
|
the other Congressmen said, there always was a secondary |
|
mortgage loan market. Going back to the 1920s, there was a |
|
channel of mortgage bankers who placed loans with insurance |
|
companies, for example. So that is a classic idea. |
|
But as the GSEs developed in their post-1968 form, which |
|
was really the invention of the GSE form, wherever they could |
|
operate they dominated the market, because no one could compete |
|
with their government advantages and subsidies. |
|
So, as I said a little bit ago, the market where it would |
|
be most likely to have a private securitization market in |
|
addition to a private portfolio lending market didn't develop. |
|
It didn't develop because it was dominated by the subsidies |
|
given to Fannie and Freddie. Of course, the subsidies include |
|
the government guarantee--real, though not formal. |
|
Mr. Hurt. Thank you. |
|
I yield back my time. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Mr. Green? |
|
Mr. Green. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Just as a follow-up to the questions that were asked about |
|
the private loan market in the 1920s, is it true that market |
|
had balloons? And is it true that market had interest-only |
|
loans? Is it true that market was very much akin to what we |
|
just went through, with what we are calling ``exotic products'' |
|
now? |
|
Is that true, Ms. Wartell? |
|
Ms. Wartell. Yes, Congressman, that is absolutely true. |
|
Mr. Green. So you had a private loan market in the 1920s, |
|
but did it make homes available? Let's not talk about |
|
affordable, since that has become a negative term now. I marvel |
|
at how ``affordable'' can be negative for middle-class people. |
|
But did it make those homes available to middle-class |
|
people? Were middle-class people able to buy homes and fulfill |
|
the American dream to the extent that they were before the |
|
bubble and before the crash? |
|
Ms. Wartell. In that period, most people who were able to |
|
buy homes had been able to accumulate very significant amounts |
|
of savings, sometimes up to 50 percent. And so the availability |
|
of homeownership was very limited compared to modern-- |
|
Mr. Green. Seems like somebody ought to say that, that we |
|
had that problem--that it was a circumstance. Let's not call it |
|
a problem, but it was a circumstance. And we have |
|
metamorphosed. It is no longer a circumstance. |
|
But let's move forward to something else. Ms. Wartell, you |
|
indicated that all governments, I believe, have some kind of |
|
government involvement in the loans. Is that correct? |
|
Ms. Wartell. Either explicitly or implicitly. In many of |
|
the European countries, which are often cited as a comparison, |
|
there are a relatively small number of financial institutions |
|
that serve those markets that benefit very significantly from |
|
an implied ``too-big-to-fail.'' And, in fact, many of them have |
|
been supported by their countries as they have gotten in |
|
trouble. |
|
Mr. Green. Let me intercede because I have limited time. |
|
My assumption is that the three other persons at the |
|
table--all of whom I have great respect for, by the way; I |
|
appreciate your commentary--but that all of you are in favor of |
|
no government involvement at all. Is that a fair statement, or |
|
did I miss something? |
|
Mr. Pollock. I will speak for myself, Congressman. |
|
My long-term objective for American housing finance is a |
|
market that is principally a private market. I estimate about |
|
85 percent. And about 15 percent-- |
|
Mr. Green. Mr. Pollock, you know I love you. We have been |
|
together before here. And, I have a deep, abiding affinity for |
|
you. |
|
But the three of you, in essence, would have no government |
|
involvement. |
|
Now, let me ask you, Mr. Pollock, do you speak for the |
|
banks when you say this? |
|
Mr. Pollock. No, sir. I speak only for myself. |
|
Mr. Green. All right. Let's go to your next colleague. |
|
Do you speak for the banks, sir? |
|
Mr. Randazzo. No, I do not speak-- |
|
Mr. Green. Do you speak for the banks, sir? |
|
Mr. Calabria. I only speak for myself. |
|
Mr. Green. Okay. Is it not true that, generally speaking, |
|
we consider what those in the industry have to say about this? |
|
Does someone have some plethora of evidence, empirical |
|
evidence, if you will, connoting that the banks entirely |
|
support this type of circumstance that you have called to my |
|
attention? |
|
Mr. Calabria. I will react-- |
|
Mr. Green. Is it yes or no? |
|
Mr. Calabria. It is no. I put-- |
|
Mr. Green. No. Okay, here is why I bring this up. We put a |
|
lot of thought on this committee into what those who actually |
|
have to do what we say will be done, what they think about it. |
|
It seems to me that, given that you are talking about what |
|
is revolutionary--and I think Ms. Wartell said that we should |
|
be thoughtful and have a resolution, not an overnight |
|
revolution. |
|
Is that your phrase? |
|
Ms. Wartell. Evolution, not revolution. |
|
Mr. Green. Evolution, not revolution. |
|
It seems to me that the banks ought to have some say in |
|
this process, as well, since they had a pretty good say in all |
|
of the other aspects of things and since they are going to do |
|
the lending, they will do the lending. |
|
How is it that we conclude that banks will do all of these |
|
things that you say and not what they are saying they will do? |
|
Because the bankers who talk to me, they tell me they would |
|
like to see a Federal backstop. That is what the bankers |
|
talking to me say. And if you tell me that you speak for them |
|
and that is not what they are saying, I will put that into my |
|
computer and let that be a part of my processing of this |
|
intelligence. |
|
One more thing before we go, and I have to do this. I |
|
apologize to you. But you indicated that it would be bad for |
|
taxpayers--I believe this was indicated by Mr. Randazzo--bad |
|
for taxpayers, but you didn't say what it would be like for the |
|
economy to allow the default. |
|
``Bad for taxpayers.'' Taxpayers have to be a part of the |
|
economy. What is it going to be like for the economy if we just |
|
allow the collapse? What would it be like if we allow all of |
|
this bad paper to just go under? |
|
Ms. Wartell, would you respond, please? |
|
And I thank you, Mr. Chairman. I know that will be my last |
|
question. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Was that Mr. Randazzo's question? |
|
Mr. Green. No. It is to Ms. Wartell, please. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Okay. If you will keep that to 10 |
|
seconds, because we are over time. |
|
Ms. Wartell. Too rapid a withdrawal of support from the |
|
housing market could cause us to take the fragile economic |
|
growth we are currently seeing back in the wrong direction. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And I thank you. |
|
The gentleman from Ohio, Mr. Stivers, for 5 minutes. |
|
Mr. Stivers. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
I would like to thank the panelists for coming today. |
|
The thing that I was struck by is that there does seem to |
|
be some similarities, commonality, that all of you agree on at |
|
least some of the steps that we might want to consider moving |
|
forward, or at least there is a consensus among you. And I know |
|
that there are clearly some differences. |
|
My first question is for Ms. Wartell. You talked about a |
|
yield spread analysis, and you used that to conclude that |
|
investors in Europe view covered bonds as having essentially a |
|
government guarantee. But I guess the part I am trying to |
|
understand is that yield spread was actually smaller than the |
|
yield spread between U.S. Treasuries and the Fannie and Freddie |
|
debt, which does have a government guarantee. |
|
Isn't it really a statement by those investors that they |
|
are admitting that there is less risk in those covered bonds |
|
because the banks that originated them have continued to have |
|
skin in the game, and they believe when somebody who originates |
|
a mortgage has skin in the game, they are not going to let |
|
themselves lose money, versus the system we have, where you can |
|
originate and sell off 100 percent? Isn't that another way to |
|
look at the view? |
|
And, obviously, there is no--it is all speculation, too, |
|
because we are just looking at a yield analysis instead of |
|
really interviewing investors who have invested in these. |
|
Ms. Wartell. It is my--let's put aside the analysis of the |
|
spreads, because I think obviously different people can |
|
interpret it different ways. But I do think that it is safe to |
|
say both, as you said, that there is particular collateral |
|
behind the covered bonds, and the investors understand they |
|
have that, and that they believe that those institutions in |
|
most of those countries benefit from an implied government |
|
guarantee |
|
Mr. Stivers. Thank you. Do you think, Ms. Wartell, that the |
|
retention of risk leads to less risky behavior by those |
|
institutions that have skin in the game? |
|
Ms. Wartell. I generally have supported that lending |
|
institutions should retain risk, have skin in the game, in |
|
their loans, as the Dodd-Frank legislation also would require. |
|
Mr. Stivers. Sure. Thank you. |
|
And the second question I have, also for Ms. Wartell, how |
|
do you explain the 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage in Denmark if |
|
you think that a covered bond won't lead to a fixed-rate |
|
mortgage here in the United States? |
|
Clearly, it seems that it is a market requirement that |
|
consumers in Denmark, consumers in the United States, have |
|
demanded those products, and, therefore, the market has |
|
provided them. |
|
Ms. Wartell. Actually, I think there are two different |
|
arguments that I have made that are being conflated in this |
|
case. Denmark has provided, through the covered bond mechanism, |
|
long-term, fixed-rate mortgages. |
|
My point is that I think that if you have a purely private |
|
market, the appeal of covered bonds for most of our financial |
|
institutions under the U.S. regulatory scheme is very |
|
different. It won't likely be the primary mechanism of funding. |
|
And I also think that here we will end up with short-term debt. |
|
But it is not the covered bond that I argue won't produce |
|
30-year, fixed-rate mortgages. It is the fact that if we have-- |
|
Mr. Stivers. The problem with the FDIC. |
|
Ms. Wartell. If we don't have the backstop for the |
|
investments. |
|
Mr. Stivers. Okay. Thank you. |
|
Could the other panelists comment on their thoughts, |
|
quickly, on retention of risk and what that would mean for the |
|
marketplace? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Congressman, I have worked on introducing |
|
credit risk retention into the mortgage markets for 15 years. I |
|
think it is an extremely useful and important idea. It is one |
|
of many ideas, but it is a very useful one. |
|
I think the advantage of the covered bond, which you cite, |
|
is that there is 100-percent credit risk ``skin in the game'' |
|
for the covered bond issuer. This is also extremely important |
|
in understanding how these bonds work. |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I would just echo the comments of my |
|
colleague. |
|
Mr. Stivers. Thank you. |
|
Mr. Calabria. And I would say, I think retention of risk is |
|
an important thing in the marketplace, but I also believe there |
|
was considerable retention of risk prior to the crisis. In |
|
fact, most of the 400-some subprime lenders that went out of |
|
business were because they were forced to buy back the piece |
|
that they had. So skin in the game is important, but it isn't a |
|
cure-all. |
|
Mr. Stivers. Sure. |
|
Mr. Calabria. I would also argue that one of the things |
|
that should be considered going forward, if we are going to |
|
keep a Fannie and Freddie model, is to get them out of the |
|
guarantee basis, where they simply sell off the MBS, they don't |
|
guarantee the credit risk, because three-fourths of their |
|
losses have come about because they retained that risk and the |
|
investor did not take it. |
|
So we have lots of retention of risk. It hasn't always |
|
worked that well. Sometimes it has; sometimes it hasn't. But it |
|
is not a cure-all. |
|
Mr. Stivers. Thank you. |
|
Now for the whole panel, just going across, the focus of a |
|
lot of your testimony was on covered bonds. Are there |
|
approaches somewhere between what we are doing today and |
|
covered bonds? Are there other approaches that people are |
|
talking about, reinsurance or any other approach outside of |
|
just the two approaches that we have heard today? |
|
And I know that we don't have much time, so-- |
|
Chairman Garrett. Ten seconds. |
|
Mr. Calabria. I will say very quickly that I think that you |
|
can have a large amount of money that is portfolio-based not in |
|
a covered bond way, even though that is portfolio-based. |
|
Mr. Pollock. My answer is yes. |
|
Mr. Stivers. Thank you. |
|
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Thank you. |
|
The gentlewoman from New York. |
|
Dr. Hayworth. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I will make this |
|
brief. |
|
I was thinking about the comments that Ms. Waters made |
|
regarding the PIMCO chair reflecting his comments about how |
|
increasing the downpayment on houses might be burdensome for |
|
homebuyers. But isn't it true that it would also help to, if |
|
you will, rationalize home prices? I would appreciate the |
|
panel's assessment of that. |
|
Mr. Calabria. Yes, it largely would. I do think that we |
|
need to get back to a point where housing prices reflect |
|
fundamentals rather than availability of credit driving prices, |
|
necessarily. There should be credit there. |
|
I do want to note, as well, there was an earlier discussion |
|
about very large downpayments in the 1920s. And I will note |
|
that the homeownership rate for working males aged 55 to 64 in |
|
1920 was 66 percent. So in no way was the 1920's homeownership |
|
limited only to the wealthy. That is false. |
|
Mr. Pollock. Congresswoman, I would say I have spent a lot |
|
of time around bond markets in my career. The head of PIMCO's |
|
comments have been widely cited. I never take too seriously |
|
what bond traders say. |
|
When it comes to downpayments, there is no doubt--and this |
|
is just an unquestionable regularity of housing finance--that |
|
size of downpayments or, inversely, the extent of the loan-to- |
|
value ratio, is one of the most reliable indicators of credit |
|
performance, either good or bad. |
|
Ms. Wartell. I think that it is true that downpayment is a |
|
relevant factor, but I think we overemphasize it in the |
|
conversation. In the late 1990s, there was a great deal of very |
|
positive experimentation that was going on, demonstrating |
|
positive ways to mitigate the risk of low-downpayment lending. |
|
And all of those good practices were wiped out by the abusive |
|
practices in the subprime market. |
|
And there are enormous disparities of wealth in our |
|
society, and communities with low homeownership rates have |
|
other social costs. So if we go to a system where we mandate |
|
very high downpayments, there will be consequences that I think |
|
we will all be very sorry to see. |
|
So we need to make sure that there are ways to mitigate |
|
risk, but downpayment should not be our only measure. |
|
Dr. Hayworth. Is it fair to ask, on a very fundamental |
|
level, whether or not all that these GSEs have done and all |
|
that the Federal intervention in the housing and mortgage |
|
markets has done, is it fair to conclude that those most |
|
vulnerable have actually benefited from these interventions? |
|
Because, certainly, the state of our economy would suggest |
|
otherwise. |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I would say, in large part, no. And if you |
|
just look at the waves of foreclosures that have basically been |
|
besieging the United States over the past several years, any |
|
gains that were established turned out to be faulty and have |
|
been wiped away. And, in large part, there are a number of |
|
individuals who seemingly thought that we were helping that are |
|
now worse off than when we started. |
|
Mr. Calabria. If I could make a comment, I have worked on |
|
housing policy and mortgage finance policy for a very long |
|
time. And one of the things that has constantly puzzled me is |
|
that proposals that have the aim of running up housing prices |
|
are presented as enhancing affordability. That kind of confuses |
|
me. Usually, that is a transfer to the seller. |
|
I look at it as, housing is a basic necessity of life. |
|
Everybody needs shelter. And when housing becomes more |
|
affordable--that is, when prices come down--I think that is a |
|
great thing. |
|
Now, currently, the impact of that certainly helps the |
|
poor, hurts maybe the middle class and the rich, but that is a |
|
policy outcome I can live with. |
|
Ms. Wartell. I think it is important, as we look backwards, |
|
though, not to conflate the role that the GSEs played in the |
|
housing market with the consequence of the subprime crisis that |
|
we had. |
|
The reality is, if you look at the Financial Crisis Inquiry |
|
Commission report and others, the preponderance of the evidence |
|
here is that there was an intervening factor. There was this |
|
unregulated market, the shadow banking that was accelerated |
|
with the Wall Street inventions. The result of that was chasing |
|
horrible loans. And it is those lending practices, and not the |
|
lending practices of the GSEs. They reacted to those; they |
|
joined in the party. They have cost a significant amount of |
|
money to the taxpayers. |
|
I have no book to protect their record. But I think we |
|
should be very careful here not to conflate the role the GSEs |
|
played in the housing market prior to the year 2000 with the |
|
consequences of the subprime crisis. |
|
Dr. Hayworth. May I have 30 more seconds, Mr. Chairman? |
|
Chairman Garrett. No, I am sorry, no. Your time has |
|
expired. |
|
Dr. Hayworth. Thank you. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Your colleague from New York is up next. |
|
If he wants to yield you-- |
|
Mr. Grimm. I will yield my time. |
|
Dr. Hayworth. Oh, thank you, Mr. Grimm. |
|
I would simply submit to you that there were, as we all |
|
know, dissenting opinions regarding that Financial Crisis |
|
Inquiry Commission report. And the clear message that someone |
|
like me would take from it is that it is, in fact, the implicit |
|
Federal guarantee, indemnification of bad risk, that created |
|
the impetus for all of these risky investments. |
|
Thank you. |
|
Mr. Grimm. On that note, I think, Mr. Pollock, if you would |
|
like to comment on the last comments, please, I will give you a |
|
minute to do so. |
|
Mr. Pollock. Thank you very much, Congressman. |
|
I want only to make two points. One, when it comes to |
|
subprime mortgage-backed securities, of course Fannie Mae and |
|
Freddie Mac were among the biggest buyers and the richest bids |
|
for subprime securities. |
|
But on a more general point, having to do with credit |
|
policy and housing finance policy everywhere, the worst thing |
|
you can do for somebody is to make them a loan they can't |
|
afford. |
|
Ms. Wartell. No disagreement. |
|
Mr. Grimm. I think we are getting ready to wrap up, and I |
|
will be very brief. |
|
Overall, I think to bring this all together at where we are |
|
at, the Federal debt stands at $14 trillion. GSE debt stands at |
|
$8 trillion. |
|
I will ask Mr. Pollock, what are the implications of this |
|
unsustainable debt load, in a nutshell? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Unsustainable debt can't be sustained, and it |
|
has to be addressed and adjusted to. It usually involves |
|
finding ways to reschedule, restructure, or inflate your way |
|
out of it. We are faced with a really tough problem, as you |
|
suggest, Congressman. |
|
Mr. Grimm. My last question: Mr. Calabria, you have |
|
proposed that Congress establish a recoupment fee on all |
|
mortgages purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to reduce the |
|
deficit and to recoup as much of the losses as possible. Just |
|
very briefly, how would that work? |
|
Mr. Calabria. Essentially, it could be a fee that the GSEs |
|
charge to any lender that sells them the mortgage, and then |
|
that fee is recovered just like the way the guaranteed fee |
|
structures work now. Essentially, you would layer it on top of |
|
the guarantee fee that the GSEs already require from lenders, |
|
and then you put it off to pay down the amount of money we put |
|
in. |
|
So I certainly would not suggest that we charge them any |
|
more than we have already put in, but just as an attempt to |
|
recoup what we have put in. |
|
Mr. Grimm. Okay. |
|
And, in closing, I would just like to say that we have |
|
heard both sides and that, on one hand, we need the government |
|
to make sure that we still have mortgages. And, without it, |
|
there will be the collapse of our economy and the collapse of |
|
home housing. My inclination innately is always that, where |
|
there is a need, the market will fill that need and that this |
|
country was founded on private-sector principles that have |
|
really risen to the occasion time and time again. |
|
And if the government were to, say, step aside and move out |
|
of the way of our free market, it would thrive. And a lot of |
|
the answers to this insurmountable debt is that free market, |
|
the enterprise, the entrepreneurial spirit that has made us |
|
great and will continue to make us the greatest nation in the |
|
world. |
|
And, with that, I yield back the rest of my time. |
|
Chairman Garrett. The gentleman yields back, but the |
|
gentlelady from New York could have 1 minute left of his time |
|
to use for any other questions that she has. |
|
Dr. Hayworth. Would the panel agree that, in fact--and I |
|
thank you, Mr. Chairman. I am sorry. |
|
Would the panel agree that the mobility issue created by |
|
the challenges that mortgage holders face because of the bad |
|
risks they undertook with Federal help, if you will, actually |
|
affects our unemployment rate materially today? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Many economists, Congresswoman, have pointed |
|
out the labor mobility problem entailed by having houses that |
|
are underwater on their mortgage. |
|
There is something else we should point out. For all the |
|
advantages of a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage, there are also |
|
disadvantages to it. For example, if you are underwater and you |
|
have what is now a high-rate mortgage, you can't refinance it. |
|
I call that the ``dark side of the 30-year, fixed-rate |
|
mortgage,'' and we have to take that into account. It relates |
|
to this mobility problem. |
|
Mr. Calabria. Responding to the Congresswoman's question, |
|
there are a number of empirical studies that have looked both |
|
across countries and across States and have reached the |
|
conclusion that the higher your homeownership rate, the higher |
|
structural unemployment you have. And this is something that is |
|
very well-founded, in peer-reviewed journals. |
|
My back-of-the-envelope is that at least a percentage point |
|
of the unemployment rate we are seeing today is due to the high |
|
homeownership rate we had going into the crisis. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Thank you. And the gentlelady yields |
|
back. |
|
The gentleman from California. |
|
Mr. Gary Miller of California. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
This has been a very interesting hearing. I have heard so |
|
many different sides. |
|
I heard one of my good friends from the other side of the |
|
aisle say that the Bush Administration did not support |
|
reforming GSEs. That is fallacious. I met with the President |
|
many times on this issue. We probably sent the bill to the |
|
Senate 3, 4, maybe 5 times. And there was a filibuster that |
|
occurred, and it wasn't by the Republicans, that stopped the |
|
bill from being heard. So that is the fact on there. I |
|
corrected one thing on you earlier, but that was just wrong on |
|
that. |
|
And I am having trouble with a lot of facts out here. I am |
|
not taking sides on the issue. No doubt we have serious, |
|
serious problems. But I am hearing a lot of the debate that |
|
doesn't make sense when it is applied to reality, in some way. |
|
Mr. Calabria, you made a great statement on mortgage-backed |
|
securities because the only mortgage-backed securities worth a |
|
darn are GSEs out there. The alternative, when the market got |
|
really good in 2004, 2005, and 2006 was the private sector. |
|
Countrywide did come in and be major players in the |
|
marketplace. Now, if we had defined predatory versus subprime, |
|
they would have never been in the marketplace. But they played |
|
a huge part in the marketplace, made a tremendous number of |
|
loans to people who could never pay them back, sold them off to |
|
the private sector. And the way those loans are bundled, they |
|
can't be debundled. |
|
Now, GSEs--I will say that if you buy a mortgage-backed |
|
security from the GSEs, you will get what you are promised. |
|
Because they bundle them in a way where a nonperforming loan is |
|
removed and replaced with a loan that is performing. And many |
|
of the loans that the GSEs are eating today is because they are |
|
taking those loans out and replacing them. |
|
The problem we have is--let's go back to 2008. When you |
|
look at the total losses in the marketplace in 2008, the |
|
lending sector lost about $2.7 trillion in losses. Now, |
|
understanding at that point in time that Fannie and Freddie |
|
represented 70 percent of the marketplace, or 31 million loans, |
|
Fannie lost $117 billion, Freddie lost $67 billion--a lot of |
|
money, but let's put it in perspective. They had 70 percent of |
|
the marketplace. Out of $2.7 trillion lost, they lost less than |
|
$200 billion of it. Unacceptable numbers, no argument. |
|
There have been statements made that the problem is that we |
|
made loans to people with low downpayments. But VA and FHA do |
|
that today. Let's look at the reality. In my district alone, LA |
|
County, VA and FHA loan defaults are 2.6 percent; Freddie and |
|
Fannie are 3.9; the jumbos, 10.1. Obviously, VA and FHA are |
|
doing very well making low-downpayment loans. |
|
In Orange County, the FHA/VA default rate is 1.4 percent; |
|
Freddie and Fannie, 2.1 percent; the jumbo private sector is |
|
2.89 percent. San Bernardino County--a high default rate in San |
|
Bernardino County overall. VA and FHA is 3.5 percent; Freddie |
|
and Fannie, 7.8 percent; jumbo is 18.4 percent. |
|
So if the logic is that a low downpayment means necessarily |
|
a high default rate, the numbers don't verify that argument. |
|
To make a loan to somebody that they cannot repay, it |
|
doesn't matter what they put in, they are going to default. If |
|
they can't make the payments and they put 20 percent down, they |
|
are still going to lose the house. If they put zero down and |
|
they can't make the payments, they are still going to lose the |
|
house. |
|
So if we would have taken at some point in time and said, |
|
let's define predatory versus subprime--which I know I put in |
|
at least five bills going to the Senate, and my good Democrat |
|
friends filibustered it--a matter of record, not fallacious--we |
|
would probably not have some of the problems we have today. |
|
And if you look at the chart, a great example of that is |
|
delinquencies today. Had we taken and fixed the problem in 2000 |
|
when we tried to fix predatory versus subprime, the subprime |
|
ARMs had a default rate of about 5 percent. Now, you go from |
|
2000, when we did not fix it, to 2008; they had a default rate |
|
of 38.7 percent. Why? Because nobody bothered to define |
|
predatory versus subprime. |
|
The default rate also, if you look at the middle-range |
|
market, an average in 2000 was about 2 percent. An average in |
|
2009 was 8 percent. The default rate for Freddie and Fannie in |
|
basically 2000 were nonexistent. They had no default rate. It |
|
rose in 2009 on the Freddie side to 3.1 percent and the Fannie |
|
side to 4.2 percent. It is too high. But the average market is |
|
8 percent. Subprime is 26.5. The better subprime, the ARM |
|
subprime, is 38.7. |
|
So when you look at the numbers, you say, is there a |
|
problem? A serious problem with the entire industry. I remember |
|
when I was a young man in my 20s, if I went to borrow money |
|
from a lender for a construction loan, if I didn't meet |
|
conforming standards, they would not make me the construction |
|
loan. Why? Because at the end of the day, there was probably |
|
not going to be a lender to make them the loan to do the |
|
takeout on the house I had just built. |
|
So, Freddie and Fannie were basically created to provide |
|
liquidity to the marketplace. Had Freddie and Fannie not been |
|
there in 2007, you could not have given a house away, period. |
|
Wall Street was shut down. Private sector was shut down. Wells |
|
Fargo, Bank of America didn't know if they could survive the |
|
next day. |
|
So what did we do to the taxpayers in this country who own |
|
a home? Sixty-five percent of the families own a home. Many of |
|
those homes have double--I ran out of time, didn't I? |
|
I hate this when I am preaching. I love to preach. I should |
|
have been a preacher. If I was a Baptist, I would be a preacher |
|
today, but I am not. |
|
But, in closing-- |
|
Chairman Garrett. Was there a question in there? |
|
Mr. Gary Miller of California. Yes, there was. I never got |
|
to the question. |
|
My question was, I heard a lot of great information today, |
|
but I heard it from a lot of different perspectives. And when |
|
you put it together in reality, you see there are some basic |
|
problems that should have been corrected. Was low downpayment |
|
the problem? According to FHA and VA, no. Were underwriting |
|
standards a problem? Absolutely. And guidelines were a problem. |
|
Predatory versus subprimes were a problem. |
|
And, Mr. Chairman, I hope we have a lot of these because |
|
there is so much we need to get on the table, because I know |
|
you have a passion on this issue, and so do I and many other |
|
Members. But we have to figure out what we are going to do to |
|
fix the housing market in this country without destroying it. |
|
And if Fannie and Freddie don't make sense, let's get rid of |
|
them. If they can make sense with modifications, let's look at |
|
that. But let's just don't make assumptions based on an entity |
|
that has 70 percent of the marketplace and is performing better |
|
than any lender sector out there today other than FHA and VA. |
|
So when we move into getting an answer for this, let's move |
|
with that understanding and move cautiously. |
|
I yield back the balance of my time. |
|
Chairman Garrett. I appreciate that. |
|
Mr. Gary Miller of California. Thank you for your |
|
generosity. |
|
Chairman Garrett. And I will seek unanimous consent to |
|
allow the witnesses, even though it is over time, just to give |
|
a short-- |
|
Mr. Gary Miller of California. --answer to my question. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Yes, answer his global, and then they |
|
will be our last-- |
|
Mr. Calabria. There was an awful lot there, but let me |
|
first react to--in 2007, Fannie and Freddie were actually |
|
pulling back. And one of the reasons that Secretary Paulson |
|
gave for taking the conservatorship was to get them to make |
|
more lending. Now, the fact is today that the reason they are |
|
making lending is because their losses and their debt are |
|
essentially backed by the government. And I would put it this |
|
way: You cover all my losses, guarantee all my debt, and I will |
|
go out and buy a whole lot of mortgages, too. So we have to |
|
remember what is the important part here that is keeping them |
|
together. |
|
I 100 percent agree that downpayment alone is certainly not |
|
the determinative factor. I think FICO score is far more |
|
predictive of default than downpayment. So, certainly, that |
|
could be a tradeoff. |
|
I do think we need to keep in mind the vintages of loans |
|
that we are looking at. As you are very well aware, in about |
|
2005-- |
|
Mr. Gary Miller of California. Can I ask one question? |
|
Mr. Calabria. Sure. |
|
Mr. Gary Miller of California. Yes, on Freddie and Fannie's |
|
making loans today, but the underwriting standards are |
|
tremendously different than they were 3 or 4 years ago. |
|
Mr. Calabria. Yes. |
|
Mr. Gary Miller of California. Especially in the high-cost |
|
areas, they are very stringent. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Yes. Let's let the panel complete, |
|
because otherwise we will-- |
|
Mr. Calabria. So, but what I was going to say, in comparing |
|
FHA to jumbo or any other part of the market, you do have to |
|
look at vintages. As you are well aware, FHA's market share in |
|
California in 2005 was about 2 or 3 percent. So there was very |
|
little lending, where they have picked up since when the loan |
|
limits were raised. So my point would be, you have to make sure |
|
you are comparing 2005 to 2005 loans. And that is an important |
|
part of it. |
|
I do think you can offset the downpayment if you put other |
|
factors in the require good credit quality. |
|
Mr. Randazzo. I would be happy to submit comments in |
|
writing. |
|
Chairman Garrett. All right. |
|
Mr. Pollock? |
|
Mr. Pollock. Mr. Chairman, I look forward to the discussion |
|
of this at another hearing, should you ever want to invite me |
|
back. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Oh, okay. |
|
Ms. Wartell. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, for having |
|
us. |
|
Chairman Garrett. Thank you. |
|
And I thank all the witnesses and the members here today. |
|
I seek unanimous consent to enter into the record the |
|
statements of the National Association of Realtors, the |
|
American Bankers Association, the National Multi Housing |
|
Council, and the National Association of Federal Credit Unions. |
|
And, with that, the Chair also notes that some members may |
|
have additional questions for this panel, which apparently they |
|
do, which they may wish to submit in writing. Without |
|
objection, the hearing record will remain open for 30 days for |
|
members to submit questions to these witnesses and to place |
|
their responses in the record. |
|
This hearing is thereby adjourned. |
|
[Whereupon, at 4:50 p.m., the hearing was adjourned.] |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A P P E N D I X |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
February 9, 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.001 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.002 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.003 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.004 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.005 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.006 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.007 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.008 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.009 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.010 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.011 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.012 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.013 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.014 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.015 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.016 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.017 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.018 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.019 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.020 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.021 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.022 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.023 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.024 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.025 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.026 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.027 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.028 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.029 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.030 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.031 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.032 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.033 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.034 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.035 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.036 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.037 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.038 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.039 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.040 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.041 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.042 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.043 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.044 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.045 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.046 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.047 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.048 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.049 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.050 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.051 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.052 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.053 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.054 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.055 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.056 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.057 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.058 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.059 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.060 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.061 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.062 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.063 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.064 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.065 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.066 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.067 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.068 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.069 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.070 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.071 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.072 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.073 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.074 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.075 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.076 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.077 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.078 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.079 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.080 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.081 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.082 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.083 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.084 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.085 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.086 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.087 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.088 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.089 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.090 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.091 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.092 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.093 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.094 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.095 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.096 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.097 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.098 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.099 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.100 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.101 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.102 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.103 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.104 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.105 |
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T4551.106 |
|
|
|
|
|
</pre><script data-cfasync="false" src="/cdn-cgi/scripts/5c5dd728/cloudflare-static/email-decode.min.js"></script></body></html> |
|
|