diff --git "a/data/CHRG-106/CHRG-106hhrg55644.txt" "b/data/CHRG-106/CHRG-106hhrg55644.txt" new file mode 100644--- /dev/null +++ "b/data/CHRG-106/CHRG-106hhrg55644.txt" @@ -0,0 +1,6143 @@ + + - THE IRAQI OIL FOR FOOD PROGRAM AND ITS IMPACT +
+[House Hearing, 106 Congress]
+[From the U.S. Government Publishing Office]
+
+
+
+ 
+             THE IRAQI OIL FOR FOOD PROGRAM AND ITS IMPACT
+
+=======================================================================
+
+                                HEARING
+
+                               before the
+
+                    SUBCOMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND POWER
+
+                                 of the
+
+                         COMMITTEE ON COMMERCE
+                        HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
+
+                       ONE HUNDRED SIXTH CONGRESS
+
+                             FIRST SESSION
+
+                               __________
+
+                             MARCH 26, 1999
+
+                               __________
+
+                           Serial No. 106-27
+
+                               __________
+
+            Printed for the use of the Committee on Commerce
+
+
+                                
+
+
+                      U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
+ 55-644CC                    WASHINGTON : 1999
+------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+                   For sale by the U.S. Government Printing Office
+ Superintendent of Documents, Congressional Sales Office, Washington, DC 20402
+
+
+
+                         COMMITTEE ON COMMERCE
+
+                     TOM BLILEY, Virginia, Chairman
+
+W.J. ``BILLY'' TAUZIN, Louisiana     JOHN D. DINGELL, Michigan
+MICHAEL G. OXLEY, Ohio               HENRY A. WAXMAN, California
+MICHAEL BILIRAKIS, Florida           EDWARD J. MARKEY, Massachusetts
+JOE BARTON, Texas                    RALPH M. HALL, Texas
+FRED UPTON, Michigan                 RICK BOUCHER, Virginia
+CLIFF STEARNS, Florida               EDOLPHUS TOWNS, New York
+PAUL E. GILLMOR, Ohio                FRANK PALLONE, Jr., New Jersey
+  Vice Chairman                      SHERROD BROWN, Ohio
+JAMES C. GREENWOOD, Pennsylvania     BART GORDON, Tennessee
+CHRISTOPHER COX, California          PETER DEUTSCH, Florida
+NATHAN DEAL, Georgia                 BOBBY L. RUSH, Illinois
+STEVE LARGENT, Oklahoma              ANNA G. ESHOO, California
+RICHARD BURR, North Carolina         RON KLINK, Pennsylvania
+BRIAN P. BILBRAY, California         BART STUPAK, Michigan
+ED WHITFIELD, Kentucky               ELIOT L. ENGEL, New York
+GREG GANSKE, Iowa                    THOMAS C. SAWYER, Ohio
+CHARLIE NORWOOD, Georgia             ALBERT R. WYNN, Maryland
+TOM A. COBURN, Oklahoma              GENE GREEN, Texas
+RICK LAZIO, New York                 KAREN McCARTHY, Missouri
+BARBARA CUBIN, Wyoming               TED STRICKLAND, Ohio
+JAMES E. ROGAN, California           DIANA DeGETTE, Colorado
+JOHN SHIMKUS, Illinois               THOMAS M. BARRETT, Wisconsin
+                                     BILL LUTHER, Minnesota
+                                     LOIS CAPPS, California
+
+                   James E. Derderian, Chief of Staff
+                   James D. Barnette, General Counsel
+      Reid P.F. Stuntz, Minority Staff Director and Chief Counsel
+
+                                 ______
+
+                    Subcommittee on Energy and Power
+
+                      JOE BARTON, Texas, Chairman
+
+MICHAEL BILIRAKIS, Florida           RALPH M. HALL, Texas
+CLIFF STEARNS, Florida               KAREN McCARTHY, Missouri
+  Vice Chairman                      THOMAS C. SAWYER, Ohio
+STEVE LARGENT, Oklahoma              EDWARD J. MARKEY, Massachusetts
+RICHARD BURR, North Carolina         RICK BOUCHER, Virginia
+ED WHITFIELD, Kentucky               FRANK PALLONE, Jr., New Jersey
+CHARLIE NORWOOD, Georgia             SHERROD BROWN, Ohio
+TOM A. COBURN, Oklahoma              BART GORDON, Tennessee
+JAMES E. ROGAN, California           BOBBY L. RUSH, Illinois
+JOHN SHIMKUS, Illinois               ALBERT R. WYNN, Maryland
+HEATHER WILSON, New Mexico           TED STRICKLAND, Ohio
+JOHN B. SHADEGG, Arizona             PETER DEUTSCH, Florida
+CHARLES W. ``CHIP'' PICKERING,       RON KLINK, Pennsylvania
+Mississippi                          JOHN D. DINGELL, Michigan,
+VITO FOSSELLA, New York                (Ex Officio)
+ED BRYANT, Tennessee
+ROBERT L. EHRLICH, Jr., Maryland
+TOM BLILEY, Virginia,
+  (Ex Officio)
+
+                                  (ii)
+
+
+
+                            C O N T E N T S
+
+                               __________
+                                                                   Page
+
+Testimony of:
+    Bole, David L., Corporate Research and Development, Randall 
+      and Dewey, Inc.............................................    85
+    Brown, F.W.``Pete'', Co-owner, Cimarron Production Company...    80
+    Hakes, Hon. Jay, Administrator, Energy Information 
+      Administration, Department of Energy.......................    21
+    Sieminski, Adam E., Principal and Senior Oil Analyst, BT Alex 
+      Brown......................................................    66
+    Smith, Hon. Carl Michael, Secretary of Energy, State of 
+      Oklahoma...................................................    26
+    Taylor, Tom, Regional Vice President, Texas Independent 
+      Producers and Royalty Owners Association...................    73
+    Watkins, Hon. Wes, a Representative in Congress from the 
+      State of Oklahoma..........................................     7
+    Williams, Hon. Michael L., Commissioner, Texas Railroad 
+      Commission.................................................    39
+    Wood, Hon. William B., Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary, 
+      Office of International Organizations, Department of State.    34
+Material submitted for the record by:
+    Larkin, Barbara, Assistant Secretary, Legislative Affairs, 
+      letter dated April 16, 1999, on behalf of Wood, Hon. 
+      William B., Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary, Office of 
+      International Organizations, Department of State, enclosing 
+      material for the record....................................    97
+
+                                 (iii)
+
+
+
+             THE IRAQI OIL FOR FOOD PROGRAM AND ITS IMPACT
+
+                              ----------                              
+
+
+                         FRIDAY, MARCH 26, 1999
+
+                  House of Representatives,
+                             Committee on Commerce,
+                          Subcommittee on Energy and Power,
+                                                    Washington, DC.
+    The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 10 a.m., in 
+room 2322, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Joe Barton 
+(chairman) presiding.
+    Members present: Representatives Barton, Largent, Burr, 
+Shimkus, Bryant, and Hall.
+    Staff present: Catherine Van Way, majority counsel; and 
+Rick Kessler, minority professional staff member.
+    Mr. Barton. The Subcommittee on Energy and Power of the 
+Commerce Committee hearing on the Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program 
+will come to order.
+    I would like to welcome everyone. I believe that this is an 
+issue which impacts our national energy security and which 
+everyone, not just individuals from the oil-producing States, 
+should pay attention to.
+    After Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in 1990, the United Nations 
+imposed sanctions which prohibited all trade with Iraq. 
+However, in April 1995, in recognition of the humanitarian 
+needs of the people of Iraq, Security Council Resolution 986 
+was passed, which authorized the sale of oil from Iraq to be 
+used to purchase goods authorized by the United Nations 
+Security Council.
+    Under this program, Iraq is currently allowed to sell up to 
+$5.2 billion worth of oil every 6 months. The money generated 
+from the sale is deposited in the bank of the choosing of the 
+government of Iraq and is supposed to be used to provide 
+humanitarian goods to the Iraqi people under United Nations 
+supervision.
+    Under this program, Iraqi oil sales have risen over the 
+past year from 1.47 million barrels per day to 2.1 million 
+barrels per day. The revenue received for those sales has been 
+approximately $3 billion every 6 months.
+    The United States recently proposed that the Security 
+Council consider lifting the ceiling on oil sales permitted 
+under the Oil-For-Food Program. It is worth noting that the 
+Oil-For-Food Program is not the only way Iraq currently sells 
+its oil. Some oil is exported to Jordan under a long-standing 
+program; some oil we are told is smuggled into Turkey and sold 
+on the black market. In addition, other oil is exported through 
+Iran and from seaports in the south, again for what we believe 
+to be black market sales.
+    Since the Oil-For-Food Program was begun, $2.75 billion 
+worth of food, over $500 million worth of medicine, and $400 
+million worth of supplies for things such as water, sanitation, 
+electricity and education projects have been delivered to the 
+people of Iraq. The program has been criticized for its 
+slowness. In February of this year, the U.N. Secretary General 
+reported that there are $275 million worth of medicine sitting 
+in Iraqi warehouses that have been undistributed.
+    All that being said, the question arises, is this a 
+worthwhile program? Two-thirds of the world's proven reserves 
+of oil reside in the Middle East. In fact, Saudi Arabia and 
+Iraq are first and second in proven reserves of oil and Iraq, 
+which is largely unexplored, might ultimately have more oil 
+than Saudi Arabia. For the past several months, oil prices have 
+languished at historic lows. The precipitous and sustained drop 
+in oil prices have been attributed in part to the Asian 
+economic crisis, which caused a drop in anticipated demand, 
+while oil production has continued to grow. Many also attribute 
+growing Iraqi oil exports as a factor for today's low oil 
+prices. Some argue that Iraqi oil is not impacting prices, but 
+I find it interesting that oil prices rose slightly this week 
+because of an announcement by OPEC that its member countries 
+would be cutting production by 2.1 million barrels a day. It 
+may be a coincidence, but Iraq is exporting 2.1 million barrels 
+a day.
+    Low oil prices pose the greatest threat to domestic 
+producers of oil and gas, because in the United States, our 
+small independent oil and gas producers have the highest cost 
+of production. We are beginning to see the impact as U.S. oil 
+production has begun to decline in the wake of these sustained 
+and abnormally low prices. The U.S. is now dependent on imports 
+to meet more than 50 percent of our daily petroleum needs. That 
+number is likely to grow dramatically as more marginal wells 
+are shut in and domestic exploration activities are slowed in 
+the wake of these continued low oil prices.
+    I believe that we should not ignore the humanitarian needs 
+of the people of Iraq, but I also believe that we should not 
+ignore the needs of our own people here in the United States, 
+and these low oil prices, which I believe are caused in part by 
+the Iraqi oil production, are having an impact on our energy 
+security.
+    I will be most interested to hear from our administration 
+witnesses today to see if they can explain this apparent policy 
+disconnect.
+    Finally, I want to note that I hope today's hearing will be 
+the first of a number of hearings that this subcommittee will 
+be having on the domestic oil and gas industry. I am deeply 
+concerned that the current situation in the Oil Patch in the 
+United States in the long term does cause a national security 
+risk to our country. If we cannot maintain existing production 
+and to some extent encourage new exploration for domestic 
+resources, we will be in a situation where we are more and more 
+dependent on foreign oil.
+    I want to welcome everyone, especially our witnesses, to 
+this hearing. I am sure they are going to find it very 
+informative.
+    With that, I would like to recognize the ranking member 
+from Rockwall, Texas, Mr. Ralph Hall, for an opening statement.
+    Mr. Hall. Mr. Chairman, I thank you, and members of the 
+committee, I thank you for having this hearing, but not much to 
+have it on Friday. I would have rather had it on Tuesday or 
+Wednesday or Thursday.
+    Mr. Barton. I understand.
+    Mr. Hall. I see folks on the committee that would be 
+strapped to an airplane right now.
+    Mr. Barton. You and me, that's right.
+    Mr. Hall. My folks over here, Democrats are poorer than 
+Republicans, they all caught the bus out last night.
+    Seriously, Joe, thank you for the good hard work you do and 
+the very successful work you do as chairman of this committee. 
+You do a great job and I am very proud to work with you as our 
+chairman. Few live in the Oil Patch, as I do. It is, I guess, 
+stunningly apparent to you that when you talk to anyone in or 
+even near the oil business, that these days are about the 
+toughest and the most frightening in the history of the people 
+that are in the oil business. Regrettably, this is not an idle 
+boast, considering the market calamities of the 1980's and the 
+1950's, because we have some pretty bad times to compare it 
+with.
+    We are here today to examine one of the most often cited 
+reasons for today's low oil prices, and the Iraqi Oil-For-Food 
+Program, as the chairman has pointed out, is considered one of 
+the big problems of it. I am a big believer in the unfettered 
+operation of markets, and I also believe in being compassionate 
+to people, particularly those who are unfortunate enough in 
+life to have to live under a regressive regime of a Saddam 
+Hussein. At the same time, it is important for us to think 
+about this country and for us to examine how the world oil 
+market is doing and whether or not it is working, and then to 
+get our own assessment of how well it is working. If it is not 
+working properly we need to make some changes in it, and we can 
+only change that over which we have some control. So we have 
+very good panelists today and I am sure we will know a lot more 
+about it after we hear them.
+    I, for one, am suspicious of this program. It seems to be 
+borne out of an appropriate humane consideration, but it may be 
+disruptive of the worldwide crude oil market and could spawn a 
+lot of abuse.
+    We have good witnesses here today who can help us better 
+understand the impact of the Oil-For-Food Program. I want to 
+extend a special welcome to my old friend, Congressman Wes 
+Watkins, whose district lies just across the Red River from 
+mine. I don't know of anybody that works harder, day and night, 
+than Wes Watkins. You know, Wes was a Democrat at one time and 
+we worked together then. He, when he switched over to the 
+Republican Party, they asked me about it. We have a mutual 
+television station that comes into Oklahoma and Texas and they 
+asked me about Wes. And they said well, what do you think about 
+him switching over to the Republican Party? I said, well, I 
+would be for him, and he could win even with the laundry 
+ticket. And they tell me that he used that for a commercial. 
+But I got a few ugly letters from Democrats. But I got my 
+friend back up here, and I am glad to work with Wes.
+    I also want to welcome a fine group of Texans. The newest 
+member of the Texas Railroad Commission, Mike Williams, whom I 
+had the pleasure of having lunch with yesterday. He is on the 
+Railroad Commission, and I think that is one of the most 
+dignified and prestigious offices that we have in the State of 
+Texas, and the most important. Tom Taylor, who represents 
+TIPRO, and Dave Bole of Randall and Dewey. We have good, 
+outstanding--Joe, you invited some good Texans up here, and I 
+am proud of you.
+    Mr. Barton. There is no such thing as a bad Texan, though.
+    Mr. Hall. Well, I don't know.
+    I thank the chairman. I thank you for having them here, and 
+I hope this hearing is only one of however many it takes to 
+determine what remedies exist to deal with the current price 
+situation. It is a situation that is helping to destroy the 
+domestic onshore petroleum industry, even as we sit here today. 
+And while we have seen some upward pressure on prices lately, 
+we need not to be lulled by any underlying factors which remain 
+unchanged that we can change.
+    I guess that is the testimony we are going to hear today. 
+Seriously, thank you for having this hearing. It is a very 
+important hearing, and it can yield an awful lot to folks that 
+are hurting. Thank you.
+    Mr. Barton. Thank you, Congressman Hall. I might point out 
+we wanted to do this hearing yesterday, but we had a full 
+committee markup of the satellite bill, and Chairman Bliley 
+thought that we ought to do the markup.
+    Mr. Hall. Well, I haven't had anything to fuss at you about 
+this year yet, and this gave me a first shot.
+    Mr. Barton. Okay. But you and myself and Mr. Largent are 
+normally on the first plane out of town after the first vote, 
+so we are all in the same boat on that.
+    The chairman recognizes the distinguished gentleman from 
+Illinois, Mr. Shimkus, for an opening statement.
+    Mr. Shimkus. I would like to ask permission to submit my 
+statement for the record and just say that it seems like we are 
+in a Catch-22 where consumers all love the low oil prices, but 
+what it does is shut down marginal wells. I have the two 
+largest fields in Illinois in my district. Most of the 
+operating wells are in my colleague David Phelps' district, and 
+we all know what this does is it closes down those wells, the 
+low prices, thus making us more dependent on foreign oil. And 
+national security and energy security is one of my main focuses 
+on this subcommittee.
+    So I appreciate this, and I am also looking forward to 
+talking with the folks from the administration, with the, Iraqi 
+intransitives on the inspections and stuff. I think it is time 
+that we reopen this debate on this program, and I look forward 
+to this hearing.
+    I yield back my time.
+    Mr. Barton. Good. We thank you, Mr. Shimkus. Without 
+objection, his statement will be inserted in the record in its 
+entirety.
+    We welcome Mr. Largent from Oklahoma to give an opening 
+statement. Congressman Largent has put a lot of emphasis in the 
+last year or so on this issue and is one of our congressional 
+experts on it.
+    Mr. Largent for an opening statement.
+    Mr. Largent. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I, too, will submit 
+my entire statement and just make some brief opening remarks. 
+First, I want to thank you for having this hearing. I wish we 
+could draw even more attention to this issue, because as you 
+know, it is very serious. I also want to recognize two 
+Oklahomans that are also on our panels today. Mike Smith, who 
+is our Oklahoma State Department of Energy Secretary, and Pete 
+Brown, an independent producer from Oklahoma City. Thanks for 
+coming.
+    There is a number of questions that I hope that we can get 
+some answers to, and I would like to verbalize those right now. 
+One is, why is the Iraqi oil export quota measured on a revenue 
+basis, currently $5.2 billion worth of oil over 6 months, 
+rather than measured on a quantity basis? The second question I 
+would like to ask is what assurances do we have that the money 
+is being spent in the manner intended; in other words, for 
+food, and are we relying on Iraqi government entities to verify 
+this. I am glad to see that there is somebody from the State 
+Department that hopefully will answer that question for us 
+today.
+    Why are the funds allowed to be spent by the Iraqis for oil 
+production equipment? Has this policy been revisited since we 
+began responding to the Iraqi military aggression by bombing 
+their missile defenses on almost a daily basis? And what about 
+the 5 percent of the Oil-For-Food funds that are going to fund 
+the U.N. investigations and costs. Currently, as we know, there 
+are no inspectors there. Also, I think it would pose an 
+interesting question to try to figure out why one of the 
+military targets, when we are exchanging oil for food, why one 
+of the military targets in the latest round of bombing was an 
+oil refinery in Iraq. That seems a small irony to me. Can the 
+U.S. truly determine what the oil production export capacity of 
+Iraq is, given their ability to sell oil on various black 
+markets? And how can the U.S. propose that the U.N. Security 
+Council could consider lifting the ceiling on oil sales 
+permitted under the Oil-For-Food Program while conceding that 
+increased U.S. dependence on foreign oil imports is a threat to 
+our national security?
+    Mr. Chairman, one thing that I think that is imperative for 
+this Congress and this administration to come to terms with, we 
+had a vote last week on the import of steel, and I think many 
+of the arguments that were made during that debate were about 
+the importance of the steel industry for national security 
+reasons. If we don't have the ability, the capacity to make 
+steel in this country anymore, we can't build tanks and 
+airplanes and ships to protect this country, and the same is 
+equally true of our ability to produce energy domestically.
+    I know that back in the 1980's there was a push to develop 
+a national energy policy, and included in that was to say that 
+we should cap imports at 50 percent, this was back in the 
+1980's, because anything beyond that would pose a very critical 
+national security risk. And now, as you know, we have well 
+exceeded 50 percent, it has even gone up as high as 58 percent 
+in recent years, and I think this is a very important question 
+that Congress, the American people, the President, and the 
+Pentagon need to address, is that at what point, what is the 
+threshold that we are going to say enough is enough. How much 
+oil can we import without severely and critically undermining 
+our national security interest?
+    Mr. Chairman, I appreciate you having this hearing, and 
+hopefully, this is the first in many steps toward resolving a 
+number of these questions. I yield back.
+    [The prepared statement of Hon. Steve Largent follows:]
+Prepared Statement of Hon. Steve Largent, a Representative in Congress 
+                       from the State of Oklahoma
+    I want to thank the Chairman for holding this hearing on the impact 
+of foreign oil imports on our domestic oil industry, specifically the 
+Iraqi Oil for Food Program.
+    At the outset, I want to acknowledge the Chairman's efforts to 
+include two Oklahomans on the panels of experts testifying today. I 
+doubt that there is anybody more qualified to speak on the current 
+state of our domestic oil industry and the impact of increased U.S. 
+dependence on foreign oil than Secretary Mike Smith of the Oklahoma 
+Department of Energy and Pete Brown, an independent oil and gas 
+producer from Oklahoma City. I would encourage the committee to pay 
+close attention to their testimony because I believe it will shed some 
+light on the seriousness of the state of our domestic oil industry.
+    It is my hope that the hearing today on the Iraqi Oil for Food 
+Program will address some concerns I have about the goals and merits of 
+the program. These concerns include:
+
+1) Why is the Iraqi oil export quota measured on a revenue basis 
+        (currently $5.2 billion worth of oil over 6 months) rather than 
+        measured on a quantity basis?
+2) What assurances do we have that the money is being spent in the 
+        manner intended? Are we relying on Iraqi government entities to 
+        verify this?
+3) Why are funds allowed to be spent by the Iraqis for oil production 
+        equipment?
+4) Has this policy been revisited since we began responding to Iraqi 
+        military aggression by bombing their missile defenses on almost 
+        a daily basis? What about the 5% of the Oil for Food funds that 
+        are going to fund the U.N. investigations and costs?
+5) Can the U.S. truly determine what the oil production and export 
+        capacity of Iraq is given their ability to sell oil on various 
+        black markets and transport it by other than pipeline means?
+6) How can the U.S. propose that the U.N. Security Council consider 
+        lifting the ceiling on oil sales permitted under the oil for 
+        food program, while conceding that increased U.S. dependence on 
+        foreign oil imports is a threat to our national security?
+    Our domestic petroleum industry is currently facing a severe 
+crisis: one that if not addressed expeditiously could prove disastrous 
+economically, yet more importantly, threatens our national security. 
+Since October of 1997, it is estimated that our domestic oil and gas 
+industry has lost 57,000 jobs--5 times the number of jobs lost in the 
+American steel industry! And each barrel of domestic oil lost will be 
+replaced by imported oil.
+    In December of 1994, the Secretary of Commerce issued the results 
+of an investigation conducted under the Trade Expansion Act which 
+studied the impact of crude oil imports on the national security of the 
+United States. The investigation determined that oil imports threaten 
+to impair our national security.
+    In February of 1995, President Clinton concurred with the Commerce 
+Department's finding that ``the nation's growing reliance on imports of 
+crude oil and refined petroleum products threaten the nation's security 
+because they increase U.S. vulnerability to oil supply interruptions.'' 
+At that time (1995), imports comprised about 50 percent of the United 
+States consumption. In 1998, gross imports had risen to 53 percent!
+    Unfortunately, little has been done over the past four years to 
+heed this ominous warning. Now, the domestic petroleum industry faces a 
+more complicated and potentially devastating set of problems than it 
+did four years ago. According to recent figures released by the 
+Independent Petroleum Association of America (IPAA), preliminary 
+employment data for the exploration and production sector of the oil 
+and natural gas industry, as of December 1998, stood at 309,300, 
+compared to 339,800 in the same month last year. Since the early 
+1980's, roughly half a million jobs relating to the oil and natural gas 
+industry have been lost. And rather than attempting to decrease our 
+reliance on foreign imports--the U.S. has become more dependent on 
+imported oil.
+    The hardest hit by this latest crisis has been the independent 
+producer. The Energy Information Agency recently released a report that 
+indicated that about 60 percent of oil production in the lower 48 
+states comes from independents, a percentage that increased by ten 
+percent over the past ten years. This reflects an irreversible trend. 
+Major oil companies are leaving the onshore lower 48 states. They have 
+concluded that these wells do not produce the volumes they need to meet 
+the return on capital that they seek. Majors now operate in the United 
+States primarily offshore and Alaska, but more and more they are 
+seeking their new production overseas. At current prices, most--if not 
+all--of the onshore lower 48 production is at risk of loss.
+    If we lose our independent producers, our reliance on foreign oil 
+will likely increase from about 55 percent to over 70 percent. If we 
+continue on this course, we will systematically degrade our ability to 
+produce a sufficient amount of oil to maintain a secure energy source 
+vital to our national security policy.
+    Simply put, we can't fight a war, even a defensive war, if we are 
+counting on Saddam Hussein to ship us oil to fuel our tanks, aircraft 
+and ships. And notwithstanding the fact that domestic oil producers are 
+suffering now because of low oil prices, once they are gone we cannot 
+revive their wells or industrial expertise or hope the market will 
+rebound. It will not. The national security impact of losing our 
+ability to produce oil domestically is no different than losing our 
+industrial base to build nuclear submarines. If more than half of our 
+nuclear submarines were imported from foreign countries, I think we 
+could agree that the United States would be in grave danger.
+    I look forward to the testimony of our expert panelists today. Our 
+domestic oil industry, and the current impact of Iraqi imports, must 
+begin to appear on the nation's radar screen so all Americans can 
+understand the threat that exists. I am committed to making this case 
+so that we can move quickly to look for viable solutions to a very real 
+problem.
+
+    Mr. Barton. I thank the Congressman from Oklahoma for that 
+statement.
+    We would now like to hear from our first panelist, the 
+Honorable Wes Watkins from the great State of Oklahoma, 
+representing very well with a distinguished career the Third 
+Congressional District.
+    So, Mr. Watkins, if you will come forward. We will put your 
+statement in the record in its entirety, and being from 
+Oklahoma, which we think is a great State, we will recognize 
+you for such time as you may consume.
+
+  STATEMENT OF HON. WES WATKINS, A REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS 
+                   FROM THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA
+
+    Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate the 
+distinguished members being here. Even though short in number, 
+I know we are high in quality, and I can also tell the States 
+that are hurting out there and the districts that are hurting 
+concerning not only this policy that we are talking about 
+today, but the entire failed policy of this administration and 
+the U.N. Security Council dealing with the Oil-For-Food Program 
+and all. I want to acknowledge that I know each of you well and 
+I know some of the things that you are working on, and I 
+appreciate the commitments you have made.
+    My colleague from Oklahoma, Congressman Largent, Steve, you 
+asked some very logical questions. It reminds me of a guy who 
+says, you know, common sense is not common anymore, you know, 
+and there is not much of it around, and this is something that 
+I think the Oil-For-Food Program is not a--Ralph, my good 
+friend across the river, it is not one of those things that our 
+people in our area find that has much common sense, and I would 
+like to talk about that a little bit.
+    I call it a failed policy because the sanctions, you might 
+as well not have them. My members of the committee, I will say 
+to friends that I work closely with, Saddam Hussein has won. 
+Saddam Hussein has won. We are bombing Iraq. At the same time, 
+we have opened up for him, for his people, a lot that we are 
+not willing to do for ourselves. Today it is at $5.2, it is 
+actually at about $10.5 billion/year worth of oil that can be 
+sold, and it is a question why net barrels. That is more oil 
+than Iraq exported before the Gulf War in 1991. It is not just 
+being utilized on food or hospitals and medicine, it is being 
+used to help rebuild their infrastructure. Our CRS reports have 
+pointed that out. So when you look at the system we have there 
+and the policies that we have, and I wonder why we are not 
+willing to do it as a State Department, as a country, as the 
+U.N. Security Council, why don't we insist that they abide by 
+what is legal in what they sell.
+    You know, I have never understood that. We close our eyes 
+just to illegal things that go on. And there is around 300,000 
+barrels a day that is being sold illegally over the black 
+market to Jordan and to Iran, Syria, and Turkey. And you know, 
+also part of the fallacy of this lack of common sense that I 
+look at and wonder about, on the emergency programs that just 
+passed yesterday, it had $100 million in there for Jordan, but 
+Jordan is also buying about $100 million of illegal oil from 
+Iraq. It is hard for me to explain why the policy of this 
+administration is to allow that to happen that way, destroying 
+our oil patches, destroying our means of making a living. I 
+hear in their voices the pain of people I have never heard 
+before, the fact that they are losing everything. I know in my 
+area the oil patches are a war zone. They are yanking up pipe, 
+they are closing down oil wells, and there is going to be a lot 
+more of that, and I cannot stand idly by, and I know you cannot 
+either. I know every one of you right here are the same way I 
+am. We have to try to do something. I don't understand the 
+administration and our country willing to go along with that.
+    In the last 14 months, we have allowed Iraq to go from 
+700,000 barrels a day up to 2.3 million barrels a day. Mr. 
+Chairman, as you rightly said, the irony is that the OPEC is 
+dropping production, and I was going to be at OPEC Tuesday. 
+They have dropped, have a policy of 2.1 million drop per day in 
+the oil, and Iraq has gone up about 2.1. Now, I may not be a 
+rocket scientist, but let me tell you, it doesn't take much 
+more than common sense to recognize the fact that literally, 
+OPEC has staggered the market and it has gone up a little bit 
+when they dropped to 2.1 or even the discussion that that is 
+what is happening. We know that it hasn't gotten there yet, but 
+it has cut production, and it has increased the price. Does it 
+stand to reason that the 2.1 million that Iraq has increased 
+affects the market the same way? Am I thinking, Ralph, wrong? I 
+mean is that logic there? Is that is wrong, if 2.1 over here on 
+OPEC affects it like we have seen it, is the 2.1 in there, or 
+are we just seeing something a lot differently? I think we need 
+to look at that. We have allowed it. It is common sense to me.
+    If our policy, if our policy in the United States in 
+dealing with Iraq is to allow a dissatisfied group of people in 
+Iraq, the Iraqis, to overthrow Saddam Hussein, we have gone 
+about it the wrong way. Because our reports show that they are 
+basically importing anything and everything they want to, and 
+why worry about it? In fact, as I tell them, we have a mental 
+institution in Oklahoma, and the old boy told me one time, he 
+said I have proof that I am sane, that I have got good sense. I 
+submit to you Iraq has got it better than OPEC, OPEC should be 
+mad, we should be mad. They are having to come down; Iraq is 
+out of the box. Even though they belong, they don't have to 
+abide by that reduction.
+    In fact, I am going to follow up on the statement that as I 
+prepared for this, under the new program they have a standard 
+or a statement I saw there, I want to check it out, they have a 
+higher price they are going to be able to get. I hope that is a 
+wrong statement I am reading, because I think that also is 
+something we need to be concerned about.
+    Let me share with you and close on two things, and I think 
+we have to reevaluate this. It is again something that deeply 
+disturbs me. Thomas Pickering, the Under Secretary, said this 
+is in the newspaper of March 18, told the Senators, that is the 
+Senators across on the other side, as we all know, ``The 
+humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people must be addressed. The 
+Oil-For-Food Program,'' he said, ``has had a tremendous 
+positive impact on the conditions of the average Iraqi.'' I 
+don't disagree with that.
+    With regard to the program's effectiveness on crude prices 
+and domestic energy industry, Pickering agreed with Richardson, 
+our Secretary of Energy, that Iraqi's exports are just one 
+factor. Well, yeah, it is just one factor. It is 2.1 million 
+barrels a day. They said the policy toward Iraq has never been 
+linked to the world oil market. I don't care. ``Allowing oil 
+price consideration to drive our sanctions decisions or seeking 
+to use sanctions to target oil prices would undermine our 
+ability to provide for the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi 
+people.''
+    I don't think I am looking in the face of any person here 
+that is not against trying to help with some humanitarian aid. 
+But I want to know how much is for their military buildup, how 
+much money are they using there? How much money are they 
+getting from illegal sources?
+    The infrastructure, I have infrastructure needs, I think 
+many of you know, in my district, and I have a need to try to 
+rebuild that area.
+    Then I read over here, in closing my statement, a statement 
+that--you know, it is kind of like our welfare program, a 
+failed program. It is kind of like a giveaway program. What it 
+states here, supporters of increased oil sales, on the other 
+hand, say that the tactic would reduce suffering among Iraqis 
+and make it more difficult for the Iraqi government to maintain 
+anti-government, or anti-American and British sentiment because 
+of being in favor because we give them stuff.
+    You know, members of the committee, there is one man who 
+stands between us and the Iraqi people and his name is Saddam 
+Hussein. Do you think we are going to have favor of being able 
+to do all of these things, or Saddam Hussein? We are dealing 
+with failed policy that is coming from our administration and 
+the U.N. Security Council and we have to correct it. It is not 
+taking any consideration in for the American people.
+    I thank you so much for letting me come by to just share 
+with you a little bit, because we need the common sense of this 
+committee at work in trying to shape, Mr. Chairman, some of the 
+policy. I too plan to be strapped on that airplane heading 
+toward Oklahoma, but I delayed it until about 1 o'clock because 
+of wanting to come here and be with you. I just thank you so 
+much.
+    [The prepared statement of Hon. Wes Watkins follows:]
+ Prepared Statement of Hon. Wes Watkins, a Representative in Congress 
+                       from the State of Oklahoma
+    Chairman Barton, Ranking Member Hall, I would like to thank you for 
+calling this hearing and allowing me the opportunity to testify before 
+the Subcommittee on Energy and Power. Those of us from oil producing 
+states need to do a better job of educating the American public about 
+the importance of our domestic oil industry. I believe this hearing is 
+a step in the right direction, but we need to do more. I would like to 
+encourage our colleagues in the Congress and the Administration to 
+reduce Iraqi oil sales to pre-Persian Gulf War levels--not increase 
+them.
+    As we all know, we are facing a crisis in our domestic oil and gas 
+industry. World oil prices have dropped from above $20 a barrel in 1997 
+to less than $9 a barrel this year. When adjusted for inflation, these 
+are the lowest prices seen since the Great Depression. This crisis is 
+having a devastating effect on our domestic industry. Since October of 
+1997, our domestic oil and gas industry has lost 57,000 jobs. That is 
+more than five times the number of jobs lost in the American steel 
+industry.
+    This subcommittee knows that the backbone of our domestic oil and 
+gas industry is the small, marginal well. Marginal wells are defined as 
+those wells which produce less than 15 barrels a day. At these low 
+prices, it is impossible to keep many of our small, marginal wells 
+open. These marginal wells account for 1.3 million barrels of daily 
+production--equivalent to the amount of oil the Unites States imports 
+from Saudi Arabia. Marginal wells also contribute 80,000 jobs and 
+generate close to $14 billion each year in economic activity. However 
+at these low prices, it is becoming impossible to keep many of our 
+marginal wells open. When we lose these marginal wells, the backbone of 
+our domestic oil industry, we become more dependent on foreign oil. We 
+must not lose sight of the fact that the economic health and national 
+security of our country are tied to the strength and stability of the 
+domestic petroleum industry.
+    There is a general consensus that the current crisis in the 
+domestic oil patch has been caused by a combination of several factors. 
+Certainly the Asian financial crisis, warmer than expected winters, and 
+increased oil production by certain countries have played an important 
+part in driving down prices. However we should not minimize, as some 
+have done, the impact that the resumption of Iraqi oil sales under the 
+oil-for-food program has played in driving down prices.
+    We are here today because the Clinton Administration is currently 
+considering asking the United Nations to remove the U.N. imposed 
+ceiling on Iraqi oil sales. I am strongly opposed to this proposal 
+because, I believe it would severely damage our already devastated 
+domestic oil and gas industry and would not accomplish the objective of 
+alleviating the suffering of the Iraqi people. Iraq should not be 
+allowed to sell greater quantities of oil then they were prior to the 
+Persian Gulf War, as they are doing now. The extended period of below 
+cost prices is causing more and more of our small, independent 
+producers to plug their marginal wells. Allowing Iraq to sell 
+additional quantities of oil on the world market will only drive down 
+these already depressed prices and force our marginal producers to plug 
+their wells. Once these wells are plugged, we have basically lost this 
+valuable resource for secondary recovery.
+    It is important that Members understand the flaws inherent in the 
+oil-for-food program's structure and how that effects the amount of oil 
+Iraq can sell on the world market. Iraq's quota is based on a dollar 
+amount rather than on quantitative limits. Currently, the oil-for-food 
+program allows Iraq to sell $5.2 billion worth of oil every six months. 
+As the price of oil fell through late 1997 and 1998, Iraq was allowed, 
+under this flawed structure, to drastically increase its production. 
+Under this expanded oil-for-food program, Iraq has increased its daily 
+oil production from around 700,000 barrels to 2,300,000 barrels during 
+the last 14 months. This excess Iraqi production has exacerbated the 
+current glut on the market and caused the price of oil to slide even 
+lower. In fact, the 2.3 million barrels a day more than offsets the 
+recent decision by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries 
+(OPEC) to reduce oil production by 2.1 million barrels a day in an 
+effort to prop up prices.
+    The Administration will likely argue today that Iraq is already 
+producing at capacity and therefore increasing the amount of oil Iraq 
+is allowed to sell will not have an effect on world prices. This 
+argument is flawed in several aspects. First, if Iraq is already 
+producing at capacity, then there is no need to raise the dollar 
+ceiling on Iraqi oil sales because Iraq cannot sell any more oil than 
+it is currently selling. Second, while Iraq is currently producing at 
+capacity, the UN allows Iraq to use $600 million annually from the oil-
+for-food program (which is supposed to be for humanitarian supplies) to 
+improve its oil production capability. This will allow Iraq to improve 
+its production facilities and to further flood the world market with 
+cheap oil.
+    I am also opposed to this proposal because I do not believe that 
+expanding the oil-for-food program would help alleviate the suffering 
+of the Iraqi people. Iraq has failed to meet the conditions of the 1991 
+cease-fire agreement and the 1996 oil-for-food program. I am concerned 
+that the oil-for-food program itself is flawed and that many Iraqis 
+will never see the benefit of the oil sales. The State Department has 
+acknowledged that Iraq has not distributed much of the humanitarian 
+supplies they have already acquired through the oil-for-food program. 
+According to U.S. officials cited in the press, ``Iraq has kept large 
+supplies of food and medicine in storehouses, refusing to distribute 
+them to the needy'' (Associated Press Wire, 1/4/99). State Department 
+Spokesman Jamie Rubin was quoted in the January 14, 1999 State 
+Department Briefing as saying:
+        ``The facts are that (the Iraqis) are failing to order and 
+        distribute food and medicine as quickly as they could. The 
+        facts are that they are failing to order and distribute food 
+        and medicine that would alleviate the problem, and that Iraq 
+        plans to order less food and medicine for the Iraqi people than 
+        in previous times. So those are the facts.''
+    Why would the Administration even consider a policy which would 
+further damage our domestic oil industry and, according to their own 
+spokesman, do little to alleviate the suffering of the Iraqi people?
+    I also have concerns about the manner in which humanitarian 
+supplies are distributed. If the Iraqi people are starving, as Saddam 
+Hussein claims, why is the oil-for-food money being spent on oil field 
+and telecommunications equipment. Are these not the same 
+telecommunications facilities we have bombed because they are an 
+important part of Saddam Hussein's command and control complex? I am 
+also concerned that Iraq is allowed to use $600 million annually in its 
+oil-for-food receipts for oil production equipment. If Iraq can allow 
+food and medicine to sit in warehouses, than why should we allow the 
+Iraqis to expand their oil production and further flood the world 
+market with cheap oil? The oil-for-food program also allows Iraq to 
+spend $250 million to rehabilitate the agricultural sector. While I 
+have nothing against the Iraqi people growing their own agricultural 
+commodities, does anyone honestly believe that Saddam Hussein will use 
+those crops to feed the Iraqi people at the expense of his treasured 
+military?
+    The Administration will likely say that Iraq's increased production 
+is necessary to lessen anti-American and anti-British sentiments among 
+the Iraqi people. However, does anyone believe that Saddam Hussein and 
+his regime will allow the United States to claim credit for these 
+humanitarian supplies? I believe it is more realistic to expect that he 
+will continue to let food and medicine sit in warehouses while the 
+Iraqi people starve. Instead, we are rewarding Saddam Hussein for his 
+lawlessness. We are rewarding him for shooting at our planes. We are 
+rewarding him for illegally smuggling oil through Turkey, Jordan, and 
+Iran and we are punishing hard working American families in the 
+domestic oil patch.
+    Mr. Chairman, a tremendous disconnect between a policy where we 
+bomb Iraq on almost a daily basis yet remain the largest consumer of 
+Iraqi oil. That is why I, along with our colleague from Texas Mr. 
+Thornberry, have introduced H. Con. Res. 39. This resolution urges the 
+Administration to oppose the unmerited expansion of the oil-for-food 
+program.
+
+    Mr. Barton. Does that conclude your oral statement?
+    Mr. Watkins. I have a lot more to say, but I better 
+conclude.
+    Mr. Barton. I thought you were a little bit moderate today, 
+Congressman. I have heard you be in the Republican Conference 
+what we would call excited. We appreciate your moderate tone.
+    We are a real high-tech committee, so this is our timer. It 
+is a little egg timer. The Chair is going to recognize himself 
+for 5 minutes. I don't think I will take the 5 minutes.
+    I want to make sure I understand you, though, Congressman 
+Watkins. You are not opposed to food supplies and medicines 
+going to the people of Iraq, isn't that correct?
+    Mr. Watkins. I do not. I do not like the attitude about 
+saying they are not going to buy American food with it. It is a 
+slap in our face again. We are hurting the farmers, as well as 
+the oil patches. It is a double whammy.
+    Mr. Barton. Your problem is the producers in your district 
+and in the State of Oklahoma, some of the small, marginal 
+producers that are going out of business, and it doesn't appear 
+that anybody in the U.S. Government cares about that?
+    Mr. Watkins. That is correct. I feel strongly about it. I 
+have a tax credit bill coming through my committee, and I hope 
+the leadership and the administration will back that in order 
+to help us have some kind--as we all say, greater national 
+security.
+    Mr. Barton. So if we could come up with a program that 
+maintains the current level of humanitarian supplies to Iraq, 
+but cutoff the oil exports, or if not totally cut it off, 
+substantially reduced it, you would support such a program?
+    Mr. Watkins. Yes, I would. I think we need to definitely do 
+that. The food, I don't think it should be more than the 
+essential food and medicine. If our policy is for a 
+dissatisfied society over there that would overthrow Saddam 
+Hussein, we have the wrong policy. He is laughing, he is 
+laughing at us.
+    Mr. Barton. I would assume that there are corn growers and 
+wheat growers and cattle producers in Oklahoma that would be 
+willing to provide that food for a reasonable price to the 
+people of Iraq.
+    Mr. Watkins. I am quite sure we would be happy to do that.
+    Mr. Barton. I am going to yield back the balance of my time 
+and recognize the gentleman from Texas, Mr. Hall, for 5 
+minutes.
+    Mr. Hall. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I will try to be brief, 
+too, because I know we have other witnesses that we are very 
+anxious to hear from, and perhaps soon the gentleman from the 
+Department of State will be able to give us a little more input 
+as to some of the whys of what has taken place.
+    As I said in my opening statement, I am troubled and 
+suspicious of this program. I am not unlike anyone else in that 
+I care about little children and old people, but you know, 
+MacArthur made a great statement one time. He said ``The object 
+of war is victory,'' and I think the President right now today 
+while we are here dispatching men and women of our armed forces 
+to inflict pain and hopefully disgrace on the Yugoslav 
+leadership over there, Milosevic, in an effort to cause the 
+people to drive him out, the easier you make it on people, the 
+more you help the people that need the leadership of even a 
+dictator, the longer he is going to be there. The program 
+doesn't make that much sense to me. But, who cannot feed little 
+hungry kids? And of course, you know, Hiroshima and Nagasaki 
+would have been a lot better off if they had given them a 
+couple of weeks notice to move all the young people and old 
+people offshore and just put the folks that were fighting the 
+war there under the bomb, but that is not the way it works, not 
+the way it can work, not the way it works over there today.
+    I asked George Bush one time why they didn't destroy Iraq's 
+ability to produce war, and he said well, it wasn't totally his 
+decision, it was a U.N. decision. Besides, they were afraid of 
+Iran. Didn't want to weaken Iraq and then have Iran. And I said 
+well, while we are over there, why can't we take care of them 
+too while we are there. Of course, that is not the way we do 
+it. I think we missed out when Iran and Iraq were fighting each 
+other, why we didn't just arm the hell out of both of them.
+    How can we impress on people that are voters and are 
+interested citizens the importance of people outside the 
+producing areas that they ought to care about domestic oil 
+producers? If everyone could hear you speak today, that would 
+get through to them. But how do we get that message over to 
+them?
+    Mr. Watkins. Are you really asking me that question?
+    Mr. Hall. Yes, yes.
+    Mr. Watkins. If I knew the answer to that, we would solve 
+all of our problems. Because right here, the members who are 
+not here are the ones that need to be listening and hearing 
+your feelings and the chairman's and other members from the Oil 
+Patch. We do bring in national security.
+    But I went to Venezuela. I went down and met with the new 
+President the week before, a couple of weeks before, who is 
+probably one of the most dynamic men I ever met in my life. I 
+mean he can look you right in the eye. And I talked to him 
+about the oversupply of production, and he is sincere in 
+wanting to lower it in helping the price, and I think he has 
+followed up on that. There is a lot of hope there. There is 80 
+percent poverty in Venezuela.
+    I want to get to this point, right to what you are talking 
+about. There is a lot of hope in Venezuela, but they don't know 
+anything about the new President. All they know is that 6 years 
+ago he tried to overthrow their government and he ended up in 
+jail for 2 years. Less than 2 years ago, we would not even give 
+him a visa to come to this country.
+    Now, he has his hand on the spigot of the greatest supply 
+of crude oil to the United States. He chased out the president 
+for PdVSA, but yet we have now relied more on Venezuela and 
+Mexico and Canada and of course Saudi Arabia. The Saudi 
+Arabians will produce as much oil as we consume or we produce 
+out of our marginal wells, 1.3 million barrels a day.
+    So if people understand, we have become more dependent than 
+ever before in the history of our country. And I thought about 
+that when we celebrate Independence Day. I said, we are not 
+independent anymore.
+    Mr. Hall. You were here when we tried to get an import fee 
+put on, and we have not been able to muster the votes, and the 
+reason given by those that voted against it was the hardship of 
+the people in the Northeast for their heating oil and things 
+like that, and you know, they had a good, sensible argument 
+there. The effort was made at one time by Charlie Cooke back 
+here that worked for me and worked with the committee back at 
+that time to try to produce a paper that would be a good 
+position for one of the Presidential aspirants to use on 
+supporting an oil import fee, and I think Charlie had to write 
+about 300 pages, and that is not good for a one-line quip for a 
+Presidential runner. Finally, we decided that there ought to be 
+an import fee on all oil-related goods. You can imagine how 
+long that takes to put together and explain, and finally the 
+Presidential aspirant was told just to forget it. He didn't put 
+part of that in his program. Yes, it was Al Gore. He wasn't 
+running too fast then. I don't know how he is going to do now, 
+but he hasn't asked us to put that together for him again, and 
+I doubt that he will.
+    I thank you. You know, once again I will leave you with 
+this. This is not a question that you can answer. People 
+outside the Oil Patch want cheap gasoline. People in the Oil 
+Patch want to make some money producing the basic ingredient.
+    Mr. Watkins. Just trying to make a living this time.
+    Mr. Hall. I thank you, Wes. Appreciate it.
+    Mr. Barton. I recognize the gentleman from Illinois for 5 
+minutes.
+    Mr. Shimkus. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and Wes, welcome. As 
+you know, I am a cosponsor of your bill and I appreciate all 
+the good work you do.
+    One question that hasn't been asked, and we have been 
+talking about it in Illinois, the problem with the base 
+closings and the people who say there is a savings, we never 
+take in the environmental cost of cleanup. When we have 
+marginal wells that are going bankrupt, the State has to assume 
+the cost of cleanup, not only in closing down the well, but 
+also the cleanup of the surrounding area, and that is also a 
+taxpayer issue in Illinois that with these historically low 
+prices, because of the oversupply, that we will have to address 
+as citizens of the State of Illinois. Is that a similar effect 
+on the taxpayers in your district and the State of Oklahoma?
+    Mr. Watkins. I am delighted with the vision and commitment 
+and dedication of our independent oil producers in Oklahoma. We 
+established the first checkoff program per barrel, which helps 
+a great deal with environmental and also educational matters. 
+Even in Oklahoma we try to educate the people about the value 
+and the importance, et cetera, of the oil industry. But also, 
+it helps a great deal in matching some money, but also helping 
+in the environmental cleanups. And it has been very good, 
+because the industry itself is helping clean up old wells that 
+they have no connection with.
+    So I know exactly what you are saying. It is costly to plug 
+a well. It is very expensive, the environmental requirements to 
+do that today. As well as if you ever tried to open one of them 
+back up, it becomes--a marginal well, it is not conducive.
+    I would just say, I do have--I am cosponsoring with Charlie 
+Stenholm, or we offered it together and are working on it right 
+now, is the Environmental Equalization Act, trying to do 
+exactly what Ralph was talking about. It is a fee. I don't know 
+how we want to work it, but we may want to try to say all the 
+money coming in from this goes to offset the heating oil cost 
+or we do something like that, but it helps us get maybe the 
+offset of $3 to $4 where we are paying for the environmental 
+requirements put upon us in this country, but the other 
+countries do not have to do that. They just shift oil to us. 
+And there should be some equalization to that. We should look 
+back also, I might say, at some research in the 1950's and 
+1960's, where we had a tariff against Venezuela, we had one 
+against Mexico and also Canada. We don't talk about tariffs 
+nowadays basically, but I think as late as the 1960's, in the 
+research, Mr. Chairman, I think we had some tariffs on.
+    Mr. Shimkus. My last question is I am really concerned with 
+our foreign policy with respect to Iraq and Saddam Hussein. The 
+fact that we bombed them and now we have no inspectors in the 
+area, so they can continue to develop their weapons of mass 
+destruction, nuclear, biological and chemical, and I fully 
+believe that they are doing that.
+    Mr. Watkins. It is crazy.
+    Mr. Shimkus. How do we know that the revenue generated from 
+the Oil-For-Food Program is not going into those developmental 
+programs?
+    Mr. Watkins. I think, I believe and feel, the research I 
+have done indicates some of it is. Let me say the money has 
+been agreed to by the U.N. Security Council to go into an Iraqi 
+bank of their choice. I just think about that just a little 
+bit. Also, if we look at it and see the breakdown, they can 
+have chemicals and everything like this they can buy for 
+agriculture, fertilizers. The biggest bombing ever in this 
+country in domestic is Oklahoma City and it is from fertilizer, 
+and moneys from this program is going to do exactly that. You 
+have every right to be concerned, and I hope you will just get 
+as mad as I am about this thing, because it is the wrong 
+policy. It is a failed policy for our people and for our 
+country.
+    Mr. Shimkus. Thank you. Mr. Chairman, I yield back my time.
+    Mr. Barton. The gentleman from Oklahoma, Mr. Largent, is 
+recognized for 5 minutes.
+    Mr. Largent. Wes, I want you to give us a little domestic 
+production 101 course here this morning for our friends that 
+may not be aware of some of these facts.
+    Tell us what a stripper well is. That is not a Demi Moore 
+movie, but what is a stripper well?
+    Mr. Watkins. In Oklahoma we call it 10 barrels or less. A 
+marginal well is considered 15 barrels or less.
+    Mr. Largent. And what percent of our domestic oil 
+production comes from stripper wells, approximately?
+    Mr. Watkins. About 25 percent of the overall production. 
+Eighty-five percent of the wells in Oklahoma are stripper 
+wells.
+    Mr. Largent. Okay. And what percent of our domestic 
+production actually comes from our small oil independent 
+producers?
+    Mr. Watkins. Small oil independent--oh, from independent 
+wells? About 20 percent. Wouldn't that be about right? Sixty 
+percent of our--did I get the question correctly?
+    Mr. Largent. I think it is closer to 60, 60 to 70 percent 
+of the oil that is produced in this country is done so by our 
+small independents.
+    Mr. Watkins. Yes, well over 50 percent.
+    Mr. Largent. Let me ask you a couple of questions here. A 
+lot of times when we hear oil prices, we hear that Nynex 
+Mercantile figure, but how does that differ from what the 
+producers are making at the wellhead? In other words, if we 
+hear $16 a barrel or $17 barrel, what are they actually making, 
+the producers, what are they actually getting at the wellhead.
+    Mr. Watkins. Well, the various ones, like Oklahoma or Texas 
+Intermediate and all, most of the time is a couple dollars less 
+than what we are hearing out of New York. And also the futures 
+have a play on some of that today now, some of the prices.
+    Mr. Largent. And what would you say approximately is the 
+cost of production for a small independent with stripper wells 
+or marginal wells?
+    Mr. Watkins. Of course that would vary, but I would say 
+$13, $14 would be an amount that just, if you call it break 
+even. Some would not break even at that amount.
+    Mr. Largent. What are they getting----
+    Mr. Watkins. We are up to close to 15, give or take? Twelve 
+at the wellhead.
+    Mr. Largent. So a dollar or 2 less than it costs them to 
+produce the oil?
+    Mr. Watkins. That's right. So it is kind of like an artery 
+that has been cut. It is flowing and you can't stop it unless 
+you plug it.
+    Mr. Largent. Well, this is 101. So what we have established 
+here is that it costs them more to produce it than they are 
+making. And what is the result now that you are seeing in your 
+district in terms of personnel and equipment? What is taking 
+place in the oil and gas industry, especially the small 
+producers today?
+    Mr. Watkins. They are yanking up pipe, they are plugging up 
+wells, they are stopping the production, and some on the verge 
+I think of suicide.
+    Mr. Largent. And once you close a stripper well or marginal 
+well, what happens to it?
+    Mr. Watkins. 90 percent of them are not worthy of opening 
+back up.
+    Mr. Largent. You have lost them.
+    Mr. Barton. Will the gentleman yield on that?
+    Mr. Largent. Yes.
+    Mr. Barton. It may be different in Oklahoma than in Texas, 
+but you can suspend production with permission of--in our State 
+it is the Railroad Commission. I am not sure what it is called, 
+it may be the corporation----
+    Mr. Watkins. Corporation commission.
+    Mr. Barton. For what, up to 90 days without having to plug 
+it, but after a certain amount of time, if you are not going to 
+resume production, you do have to go ahead and plug the well.
+    Mr. Watkins. I would ask Mike or Pete, they would probably 
+know exactly that on the corporation commission. Do they give 
+you forgiveness time and not plug it?
+    Mr. Smith. Two years, Mr. Chairman. Two-year moratorium 
+now, unless it is a health or environmental situation.
+    Mr. Watkins. By the way, the way your colleague Ralph Hall 
+described the railroad commissioner, I think I want to leave 
+this job, because that sounds like a very honorable job and a 
+very nice job. Excuse me, Steve.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, you have already tried to quit Congress 
+once and we didn't let you.
+    I yield back to Mr. Largent.
+    Mr. Largent. Wes, just a couple of other questions. There 
+has been--we are seeing the same thing obviously in the First 
+Congressional District where people are leaving the industry. I 
+think the number is close to 50,000 since November have left 
+the industry. I think the number is about a half a million in 
+the last 10 years have left the industry. Those people don't 
+come back. The equipment is rusting, the drilling equipment 
+lays dormant. It is irretrievable at that point. You shut up 
+the stripper wells at some point in time and they are 
+irretrievable.
+    I guess I would just like to throw out one other question, 
+if I could have an additional minute.
+    There has been a lot of remedies suggested, some of them 
+that you have proposed. Some people are suggesting an oil 
+import fee. There has been suggestions of regulatory relief. 
+There is a loan program I just learned of yesterday that the 
+Senate is talking about putting into effect; capping imports 
+and tax relief. You have a tax relief bill. What do we need to 
+do, Wes?
+    Mr. Watkins. My feeling is this. Maybe it is just the way 
+I--I have always taken a full court press. You understand that 
+term. I mean take everything we can and move it as quickly as 
+we can and move forward. Do I expect everything I am trying to 
+do to get done? No. I hope a few of those things are sending a 
+message to the Arabs and others, and what we are doing today I 
+hope sends a message, and what you do after this can send a 
+message one way or the other. But yes, we need some immediate 
+relief, and I think the income-averaging that Bill Thomas and I 
+are on, trying to go back and pick up some good years they have 
+had where they have paid in some taxes, they could carry that 
+forward. The tax credit bill that I have is one of the quickest 
+things we can do. All of those things, if we can do it, would 
+help secure the industry here in America so we can have a--in 
+agriculture we say we need to have a domestic food basket. I 
+agree that we have to have. I think we have to have a domestic 
+energy basket for national security. We are walking into a trap 
+if we don't. I think common sense tells us that.
+    So Steve, all of the above is what I would say. Let us try 
+everything we can, knowing full well we have to try to come out 
+with one or two of those things if we possibly can.
+    The other thing, and this committee could address that. You 
+remember we got a trade adjustment, the displaced workers, I 
+would encourage you to revisit that and make sure that we can 
+get our oil field workers in that, so they can get that kind of 
+training. Because Steve, as you indicated, we are displacing 
+those workers too and they are not going to come back. They are 
+going to go into some computer work, technology, other things 
+out there, and we are losing that infrastructure, and you 
+cannot gear it back up overnight. Even if we had to, we 
+couldn't get it to.
+    Mr. Largent. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back.
+    Mr. Barton. Thank you, Congressman.
+    I recognize the gentleman from North Carolina, Mr. Burr, 
+for 5 minutes.
+    Mr. Burr. Wes, I wasn't going to ask a question and I may 
+not ask one, but I may make a statement. You are right, we 
+probably ought to include them in that displaced worker list. 
+What alarms me is how long that list could be if we actually 
+looked at displaced workers that we have had policy that has 
+displaced them, whether it is inadequacies in trade 
+negotiations or decisions as it related to foreign policy, and 
+I guess what you are here saying is our foreign policy 
+decisions do affect the livelihood of the American people.
+    Mr. Watkins. Exactly right.
+    Mr. Burr. It doesn't seem to play a part necessarily in the 
+formation of that policy or those negotiations, and I think 
+maybe we ought to raise that question a little louder. I thank 
+you for your willingness.
+    Mr. Watkins. If I can respond to that, I have a sinking 
+feeling, because I think a lot of our State Department people 
+and some of our international people literally are more 
+concerned about getting and having a favorable feeling from 
+where they may be stationed, Ambassadors and others, than our 
+concern about the people on the farms and in the oil patches of 
+this country or other industries. I have detected that. Maybe I 
+am a little harder nosed than what I should be, but I mostly 
+think I have a warm heart.
+    Mr. Burr. I hope the workers in the oil fields don't find 
+the same end results as the textile workers in the mills across 
+the South.
+    I thank the chairman, and I yield back.
+    Mr. Watkins. By the way, I married a Presbyterian 
+minister's daughter.
+    Mr. Barton. We are not going to ask you a second round of 
+questions, but I think Congressman Hall has one final question 
+and then we will excuse you.
+    Mr. Hall. Wes, just for the record, are you in favor of 
+continuing the Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program?
+    Mr. Watkins. Limited to the necessities of food and 
+medicine.
+    Mr. Hall. And being able to check on them.
+    Mr. Watkins. And being able to check on them. You bet. You 
+bet.
+    Mr. Hall. Somebody said trust, but verify?
+    Mr. Watkins. If we go what was above the 700,000 barrel 
+area, then we are just handing them over everything they need 
+and more.
+    Mr. Hall. I thank you.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, Congressman Watkins, we really 
+appreciate, on behalf of this subcommittee, the leadership that 
+you have shown in this area. Almost single-handedly you have 
+raised the visibility of this, and as I said in my opening 
+statement, this is not the only hearing we are going to do on 
+the domestic oil and gas industry. It is unfortunate that this 
+is on a Friday and that we don't have any television coverage 
+for it, at least we don't have now, but I can assure you, and 
+you can assure the people of the Third Congressional District 
+of Oklahoma that if there is something that can be done to 
+change this program and this subcommittee can do it, we will do 
+it, and we will continue to work with you. I just hope that the 
+people of your district appreciate the efforts that you are 
+making on their behalf.
+    Mr. Watkins. I thank you, Mr. Chairman, members of the 
+committee, my neighbors in Oklahoma and Texas. I appreciate it.
+    Mr. Hall. See you out at National.
+    Mr. Barton. Save a seat on the plane for Congressman Hall.
+    We want to recognize our second panel now. We have Mr. Bill 
+Wood, who is the Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of the 
+Office of International Organizations, the United States 
+Department of State; we have the Honorable Jay Hakes, who is 
+the Administrator of the Energy Information Agency within the 
+United States Department of Energy; we have the Honorable Carl 
+Michael Smith, the Secretary of Energy from the great State of 
+Oklahoma; and we have, not to be outdone, the Honorable Michael 
+Williams, who is the Commissioner of the Texas Railroad 
+Commission.
+    Gentlemen, we want to welcome you. Your statements are in 
+the record in their entirety. I am going to recognize you to 
+speak in a second, but before I do that, I want to direct some 
+comments to our representative from the State Department.
+    We don't call State Department witnesses too frequently to 
+this subcommittee. We have fairly frequent testifiers from our 
+friends at the Department of Energy. It is not normal that we 
+would ask a representative of the State Department. But we have 
+a rule that we like testimony 2 days in advance so our members 
+can actually study it. I won't swear to you that every member 
+uses that time to study, but some do. We got the State 
+Department's testimony I believe this morning, and you were the 
+first people we asked.
+    Now, if you were me, what kind of--what would your attitude 
+be if you were me and you are the, in some ways, the most 
+important government, Federal Government witness we are going 
+to hear from because you all are in charge of this program and 
+we get your testimony some time this morning.
+    Mr. Wood. Mr. Barton, I can only apologize for the lateness 
+of the arrival of the testimony. We don't testify before the 
+subcommittee very often. We are very, very pleased at this 
+opportunity to do so and we thank you very much for inviting us 
+here. If the opportunity arises again in the future, we assure 
+you we will do better.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, we had the ability to look at some 
+testimony. I don't know if you are the individual that gave it, 
+but a representative gave similar testimony on a similar issue 
+over in the Senate several weeks ago. I guess it is possible 
+that whoever prepares it is on vacation. I guess it is possible 
+you all don't think very much of the House of Representatives. 
+I guess it is possible that you all don't think it is a very 
+important issue. But I am going to send a letter to the 
+Secretary of State and I may send a letter to the 
+Appropriations Subcommittee chairman asking that we dock your 
+part of the State Department $100,000, maybe take it out of the 
+Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program, just to send a signal.
+    We have problems with our friends at DOE, not EIA. EIA has 
+been pretty good, but there are others in the Department of 
+Energy that are almost as bad, but I don't think we have ever 
+had an administration witness, and I was chairman of the 
+Oversight and Investigation Subcommittee for 4 years, that had 
+the effrontery to send in the testimony the day they were 
+testifying. I just don't appreciate it. I really don't.
+    Mr. Burr. Mr. Chairman, I ask that the witness be excused 
+and not have the ability to testify.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, unfortunately, we have to have their 
+testimony. They have us between a rock and a hard place.
+    Mr. Burr. We have his testimony, Mr. Chairman, but we don't 
+need to hear from him verbally.
+    Mr. Barton. I think if I send a letter to the Secretary of 
+State and we dock them $100,000, I think that will get their 
+attention.
+    I mean we are going to be doing a series of hearings on the 
+oil and gas industry and some of it is domestic, but a lot is 
+international, so we are going to be calling other State 
+Department witnesses, and I really want you to go back, I don't 
+know if this was in your chain of control or not, Mr. Wood, but 
+I want you to let folks know, we don't expect the State 
+Department to turn cartwheels when they are asked to testify, 
+but we do expect reasonable courtesy and we would like to get 
+it in what the notice requires, which is 2 days ahead of time. 
+But we at least want to get it a day ahead of time so that we 
+can copy it and send it around to the staffs and let everybody 
+review it.
+    Mr. Burr. Mr. Chairman, could I at least ask the witness to 
+tell the committee why we received the testimony so late, why 
+he couldn't fulfill the rules of the committee.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, sure. I mean I tried to ask him that. Why 
+did it take the day of the hearing to get it?
+    Mr. Wood. Mr. Chairman, I don't want to try to offer an 
+excuse. All I can say is we were wrong not to get it to you on 
+time. It won't happen again. We apologize. We do consider it 
+both a lack of courtesy and a lack of professionalism. We are 
+very grateful for your suggestion that in the future it has to 
+be, at a minimum, 1 day in advance. We will get it here 2 days 
+in advance.
+    Mr. Barton. Again, I am new on this subcommittee, but I 
+have been chairman of the oversight, and Mr. Burr has been one 
+of my distinguished members on the oversight, and we have had 
+this problem with the FDA and we have had it with the EPA. We 
+finally got their attention. We didn't let them testify one 
+time. You know, we just said go home and sit in the corner for 
+the day. We don't want to start out that way. But we do want to 
+let you know that we need to get the testimony on time.
+    Mr. Wood. You got our attention, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. All right.
+    We are going to start with Mr. Hakes. Your testimony is in 
+the record in its entirety. We are just going to go right down 
+the line, Mr. Hakes, Mr. Smith, Mr. Wood and Mr. Williams and 
+then we will let our committee members ask questions.
+    Mr. Hall. Can I ask Mr. Hakes a question before we start?
+    Mr. Barton. Yes, sir.
+    Mr. Hall. Aren't you glad you submitted yours this morning?
+    Mr. Hakes. I am going to try to get it in 3 days early next 
+time.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, my good friend from Texas, it does help 
+the minority staff, too, to help prepare the questions and to 
+read it. I actually read it. I may be the only member, but I 
+read the testimony ahead of time as the chairman so I can know 
+a little bit about where you all are coming from. So I was very 
+upset.
+    Mr. Hall. I withdraw my question.
+    Mr. Barton. Okay. We will give each of you 7 minutes, and 
+if you need a little more time, so be it. So, Mr. Hakes, you 
+are recognized for 7 minutes.
+
+STATEMENTS OF HON. JAY HAKES, ADMINISTRATOR, ENERGY INFORMATION 
+ADMINISTRATION, DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY; HON. CARL MICHAEL SMITH, 
+ SECRETARY OF ENERGY, STATE OF OKLAHOMA; HON. WILLIAM B. WOOD, 
+ PRINCIPAL DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY, OFFICE OF INTERNATIONAL 
+    ORGANIZATIONS, DEPARTMENT OF STATE; AND HON. MICHAEL L. 
+       WILLIAMS, COMMISSIONER, TEXAS RAILROAD COMMISSION
+
+    Mr. Hakes. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and members of the 
+committee. As you know, the Energy Information Administration 
+is an independent analytical and statistical agency within the 
+Department of Energy. I would like to talk a little bit today 
+about the role that Iraq plays in world oil markets.
+    We have identified four factors that influenced world oil 
+markets since the end of 1996 and the interaction between these 
+factors make it difficult to assess the impact of each 
+individually, but I would like to discuss them and sort of put 
+them in some context.
+    One factor that has clearly influenced the world oil market 
+has been the increase in Iraqi oil production and the 
+consequent exports that have occurred since the beginning of 
+the United Nations Oil-For-Food Program. Iraq's oil production 
+is currently 2.5 million barrels per day, which is about 2 
+million barrels per day higher than it was prior to the Oil-
+For-Food Program, although it is still lower than it was prior 
+to their invasion of Kuwait in 1990. You can basically follow 
+the movement of price there with that blue line, and you can 
+see where the program started, it sort of zigzagged up to the 
+2.5 million level.
+    Even with the current oil exports of about 2 million 
+barrels per day, Iraq is still below the ceiling of $5.3 
+billion per 6 months imposed under the current phase of the 
+Oil-For-Food Program. In order for Iraq to approach the ceiling 
+during the next year or 2, the price of West Texas Intermediate 
+crude would have to average about $18 to $19 per barrel day.
+    Mr. Barton. $18 per barrel?
+    Mr. Hakes. Yes, excuse me. $18 to $19 per barrel, which are 
+prices that we are not currently forecasting, incidentally.
+    Another factor that is important in terms of its impact on 
+the world oil market is the dramatic slowdown in oil demand 
+growth in Asia as a result of the economic crisis. I think 
+after the Persian Gulf War most oil producers around the world 
+realized that eventually at some point Iraq would come back, 
+and that this would pose a problem for the market. And a number 
+of them, including Saudi Arabia and others, made the comment 
+that they thought that the increased demand in Asia would 
+probably help soak up the Iraq increased production when that 
+happened. But you can see that almost at the same time that 
+Iraq is coming back onto the world market, there is an economic 
+collapse in Asia, and the demand sort of stops.
+    Demand in Asia was growing roughly 850 thousand barrels a 
+day each year, and that is adding a lot of demand into the 
+world market. Then you can see for 1998, demand growth was 
+virtually negligible. So at the very time when there was a hope 
+that Asian demand would soak up the Iraqi extra production, 
+that demand was not there.
+    EIA is estimating that Asian oil demand will grow by only 
+1.5 million barrels per day during the entire period from 1997 
+to 2000, instead of the 3.4 million barrels per day that would 
+have been expected before this economic crisis occurred.
+    Added on top of this have been three warm winters in a row, 
+which has reduced the demand for heating oil, and this has 
+further thrown the world market out of balance and created 
+excess supply.
+    Another factor that contributed to it is as Iraq was coming 
+back on the market in 1997, other areas of the world instead of 
+cutting back on their production actually were increasing 
+production. There was quite a bullish market internationally in 
+oil, and OPEC, which some thought might cut back because they 
+had increased after the Persian Gulf War to cover the absence 
+of Iraq, they actually had an increase in 1997, and it was not 
+until 1998 that they began to cut.
+    Let me just speak briefly, Mr. Chairman, about the outlook 
+for Iraqi oil production in the world oil market. We feel that 
+Iraq is currently producing at pretty much its full capacity 
+since its oil revenues are significantly less than allowed and 
+they would be producing more today if they could. Our current 
+forecast assumes that Iraqi crude oil production capacity 
+increases only by 100,000 to 200,000 barrels per day between 
+now and the year 2000. Currently, the United Nations is 
+allowing Iraq to import about $300 million worth of parts that 
+are used to improve their oil infrastructure. How fast Iraq 
+receives these parts and how well these parts are used will 
+determine how quickly Iraqi oil production might increase. Some 
+analysts believe that the capacity would be somewhat higher in 
+the year 2000 than the EIA is estimating, but most of them 
+expect the increases to be fairly modest.
+    Now, the newest issue on the block of course is the recent 
+announcement by OPEC that they are setting targets for reducing 
+production. OPEC itself has pledged 1.7 million barrels per day 
+of cuts and some nations outside of OPEC have joined into the 
+agreement and pledged another 0.4 million barrels per day cuts. 
+The cartel in the past has had a difficult time fully enforcing 
+these cuts. However, Saudi Arabia has already put them into 
+effect for April orders, so at least a part of this seems to be 
+quite real. We have been predicting up until the OPEC action 
+that the price of oil would probably, for West Texas 
+Intermediate, get to slightly below $15 a barrel at the end of 
+this year. I am sure we will raise that estimate when we come 
+out with our next update, which is scheduled for April 8. At 
+that time we will do a fairly detailed analysis of the 
+estimated impact of the OPEC actions. But that is where it 
+stands for now, and I of course will be glad to answer any 
+questions the members of the committee may have.
+    [The prepared statement of Hon. Jay Hakes follows:]
+Prepared Statement of Hon. Jay Hakes, Administrator, Energy Information 
+                  Administration, Department of Energy
+Short-Term World Oil Market Outlook
+    Mr. Chairman and members of the Committee, I wish to thank you for 
+the opportunity to testify today on our short-term world oil outlook, 
+paying particular attention to Iraq's role in the international oil 
+market. As Administrator for the Energy Information Administration 
+(EIA), which is an independent analytical and statistical agency within 
+the Department of Energy, I have been asked to provide an overview of 
+the world oil market--how we got here and where we think we are headed. 
+As part of this discussion, I will highlight Iraq's oil production 
+history thus far in the 1990s and provide our assessment of the short-
+term outlook for Iraqi crude oil production.
+    EIA has identified four factors that have influenced the world oil 
+market since the end of 1996. The interaction between these factors 
+makes it difficult to assess the impact of each individually. 
+Nevertheless, I will discuss each factor separately and try to put the 
+oil market impact of each in context.
+    One factor influencing the world oil market has been the increase 
+in Iraqi oil production (and exports) that have occurred since the 
+beginning of the United Nations' ``oil-for-food'' program. Iraq's oil 
+production is currently 2.5 million barrels per day, which is about 2 
+million barrels per day higher than it was prior to the ``oil-for-
+food'' program, although it is still lower than it was just prior to 
+their invasion of Kuwait in 1990 (figure 1). But even with current oil 
+exports of about 2 million barrels per day, Iraq is still well below 
+the ceiling of $5.256 billion imposed under the current phase of the 
+``oil-for-food'' program. In order for Iraq to approach the ceiling 
+during the next year or two, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude 
+oil would have to average about $19 per barrel during a 180-day phase 
+of the United Nations' ``oil-for-food'' program. I would like to point 
+out, however, that EIA is not forecasting prices at this level in the 
+short-term.
+    Another factor that is equally important in terms of its impact on 
+the world oil market is the dramatic slowdown in oil demand growth in 
+Asia as a result of the economic crisis, which began in the summer of 
+1997. Between 1991 and 1996, Asian oil demand was increasing on average 
+by about 850,000 barrels per day each year (figure 2). If Asian oil 
+demand had continued to grow at this pace, EIA would have expected oil 
+demand to be about 2 million barrels per day more in 2000 than in our 
+current forecast, which would have helped soak up the increased 
+production from Iraq. Instead, EIA is estimating that Asian oil demand 
+will grow by only 1.5 million barrels per day during the 1997-2000 
+period, instead of the 3.4 million barrels per day that would have been 
+expected before the Asia crisis occurred.
+    Weather has also been a major factor influencing the world oil 
+market in recent years. Oil demand typically peaks in the winter, along 
+with the demand for heating oil. Weather patterns in the northeast 
+United States and Western Europe are particularly important to the 
+world oil market since these are the regions where oil is used 
+significantly as a fuel for heating. The winters of 1996-97 and 1997-98 
+were particularly warm compared to ``normal'' temperatures, and now it 
+is apparent that this winter will be the third significantly warmer 
+than normal winter in a row. As a result, global oil inventories are 
+much higher than they would have been had temperatures been more 
+``normal'' during the past three heating seasons.
+    The last major factor that EIA has identified as a major influence 
+in the world oil market was oil production increases from many 
+countries outside of Iraq, particularly in 1997. Global oil supply 
+increased by about 2.3 million barrels per day in 1997, much more than 
+the 1.7 million barrels per day of global oil demand growth that year. 
+This followed a period of 32 months in which the price of West Texas 
+Intermediate crude oil averaged above $17 per barrel each month. While 
+oil production from Iraq increased more than any other single country 
+in 1997 (about 600,000 barrels per day) as a result of the ``oil-for-
+food'' program which began in December 1996, other OPEC and non-OPEC 
+countries also increased oil production significantly in 1997 (world 
+production increased by 2.3 million barrels per day, making Iraq's 
+increase about 25 percent of the total). Within OPEC, Saudi Arabia oil 
+production increased by 370,000 barrels per day, Venezuela increased by 
+227,000 barrels per day, Qatar increased by 139,000 barrels per day, 
+and Nigeria increased by 129,000 barrels per day. Outside of OPEC, most 
+of the growth was in the Americas (North, Central, and South America, 
+but excluding Venezuela, an OPEC member), which increased by over 
+500,000 barrels per day. Since demand growth did not keep pace with the 
+supply growth in 1997, much of this oil found its way into inventories.
+    Turning to the future, let's look at where EIA thinks the oil 
+market is headed in the short-term (through 2000). In 1998, OPEC and 
+some non-OPEC countries agreed to cut oil production in order to help 
+increase oil prices. In part because of these agreements and the 
+beginning of an expected gradual recovery in Asia, EIA's most recent 
+forecast had prices increasing by about $3.50 per barrel by December 
+1999 from the historical low point in December 1998, and by an 
+additional $1-$1.50 by the end of 2000. Now that OPEC and some non-OPEC 
+countries have agreed to cut production by about 2 million barrels a 
+day (figure 3), we would expect prices to increase even more. EIA's 
+next Short-Term Energy Outlook, which is updated monthly, is scheduled 
+for release on April 8, 1999. At that time, EIA will incorporate a 
+detailed analysis of the new OPEC cuts into our price forecast. I can 
+say now, however, that our forecast for oil prices will be higher. This 
+forecast will be based on the assumption that demand growth will 
+outstrip supply growth in both 1999 and 2000, even if producers only 
+partially implement the planned cuts.
+    Let me spend a little time discussing our outlook for Iraqi oil 
+production. As I stated before, Iraq's crude oil production has 
+increased by about 2 million barrels per day since late 1996. However, 
+we feel that they are currently producing at full capacity since their 
+oil revenues are significantly less than allowed and would produce more 
+if they could, and that their oil production capacity is not expected 
+to increase substantially through 2000. Our current forecast assumes 
+that Iraqi crude oil production capacity increases by only 100,000-
+200,000 barrels per day between now and 2000 (figure 1). Currently, the 
+United Nations is allowing Iraq to import $300 million worth of parts 
+that are to be used to improve their oil infrastructure. How fast Iraq 
+receives these parts and how well these parts are used will help 
+determine how quickly Iraqi oil production capacity might increase. 
+There are some analysts that expect Iraqi oil production capacity to be 
+somewhat higher by the end of 2000 than EIA is estimating. However, 
+most analysts expect Iraq's oil production increases this year and next 
+to be far less than what they were in 1997 and 1998.
+    This concludes my testimony before the Committee. I would be glad 
+to answer questions at the appropriate time.
+
+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.001
+
+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.002
+
+    Mr. Barton. Just before we recognize Mr. Smith, Iraq is 
+part of OPEC, is it not?
+    Mr. Hakes. Yes.
+    Mr. Barton. Mr. Smith, we will recognize you for 7 minutes. 
+Mr. Largent, do you want to formally introduce Mr. Smith.
+    Mr. Largent. Yes, I did in my opening statement. This is 
+our Secretary of Energy from the great State of Oklahoma. We 
+are glad to have him here.
+    Mr. Barton. You are recognized for 7 minutes.
+
+                 STATEMENT OF CARL MICHAEL SMITH
+
+    Mr. Smith. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and members of the 
+subcommittee. As Congressman Largent mentioned, I serve as 
+Secretary of Energy for the State of Oklahoma, and this year I 
+am vice chairman of the Interstate Oil and Gas Compact 
+Commission. I have been a member of Oklahoma's oil and gas 
+community my entire adult life, either as a producer, as an 
+attorney for operators, and currently in my public service. I 
+have experienced firsthand the Arab embargo of 1973, the 
+oilfield pipe and equipment shortage of the mid-1970's, the 
+ill-conceived Natural Gas Policy Act of 1978, the misguided 
+Fuel Use Act of 1978, the plunderous windfall profits tax of 
+1980, the Middle East turmoil of the late 1970's and early 
+1980's, the collapse of our domestic oil and gas industry in 
+the mid-1980's, precipitating, as Congressman Largent mentioned 
+earlier, a loss of about a half a million jobs, the advent of 
+computer technology into the industry, the Gulf War, and now, 
+Operation Desert Fox. In short, I have seen a lot of success, a 
+lot of failure, and an abundance of public policy, most of 
+which has, unfortunately, been poorly conceived and missed the 
+mark.
+    Since entering public life in 1990, I have been assisting 
+in the conception and implementation of energy policy. Most of 
+this work has involved assisting the IOGCC Governors in 
+drafting and implementing A Dependent Nation: How Federal Oil 
+and Gas Policy is Eroding America's Economic Independents. 
+Recently, I have assisted my Governor, Frank Keating, as he has 
+led the other oil and gas producing State Governors in 
+addressing an unprecedented oil price trough which is 
+approaching its 18th month.
+    Today's hearing focuses on the Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program 
+and its impacts. Mr. Chairman, the American people, and the 
+people of my State, are very confused. Occasionally a 
+constituent asks for my explanation of our Iraqi policy, and a 
+rational answer is impossible. I overhear comments in elevators 
+and discussions in coffee shops throughout my home state. No 
+one can understand why, according to press reports, 3 days of 
+Operation Desert Fox cost the American taxpayers almost $1 
+billion, yet the rogue of the world, Saddam Hussein, is 
+seemingly stronger than ever. Our proposed response is not to 
+isolate him or cutoff his funding for weapons of mass 
+destruction, rather to allow his continuing military threat to 
+be enhanced through unlimited oil production, or so it seems. 
+No one can argue that the Iraqi people have suffered a mighty 
+hardship under his reign of terror, or that they deserve 
+humanitarian aid. What is hard to explain to my constituents, 
+who are losing their jobs due to less than break-even oil 
+prices, is why our government would put our military at risk, 
+spend balances of tax dollars, and then allow Saddam to flood 
+the world oil market. Even more puzzling was America's 
+acquiescence in the United Nations formula allowing Iraqi oil 
+sales to be limited by a dollar amount rather than by volumes 
+of oil. The Oklahoma Geological Survey, which is in my cabinet 
+policy area, has reported that the almost singular contributor 
+to the 1997 and 1998 world oil glut has been Iraq. As the 
+attached data attached to my testimony which, by the way, Mr. 
+Hakes, was from your agency, demonstrates that most of the 
+world oil production, both OPEC and non-OPEC, has been 
+relatively stable. The exception to that has been Iraq. Even 
+more shocking is Iraq's rise to No. 4 source of U.S. imports 
+last year, and in 1 month, Mr. Chairman, they were actually No. 
+3, almost nosing out Kuwait. They have sort of been neck and 
+neck for the three and four spot.
+    Certain facts are not in dispute. America is importing 
+nearly 60 percent of its daily crude oil needs. Current 
+wellhead prices are far below the break-even point for most 
+domestic producers. The world is awash in over-produced oil. 
+Allowing Iraq to produce unlimited oil impairs America's 
+economic and military security, and the lifting of limitations 
+helps finance Saddam's almost certain future mischief.
+    Long before the current crisis, President Clinton approved 
+1994 findings by the U.S. Department of Commerce that oil 
+imports, which were then at a much lower level, threatened U.S. 
+security. Can you imagine our response if this morning we 
+awakened to 60 percent of our air, water or food controlled by 
+foreign sources? Oil is the lifeblood of our Nation and we 
+cannot permit Iraq to further the disintegration of our 
+domestic oil industry.
+    Mr. Chairman and subcommittee members, I cannot count the 
+number of times I have wanted to shout from the rooftops, 
+America, wake up. We need America's oil to protect our shores 
+and our way of life. I am proud to say, my constituents have 
+always been first in line on both counts, and on their behalf I 
+thank you for this opportunity to testify.
+    [The prepared statement of Carl Michael Smith follows:]
+Prepared Statement of Carl Michael Smith, Secretary of Energy, State of 
+                                Oklahoma
+    Mr. Chairman and members of the subcommittee, I serve as Secretary 
+of Energy for the State of Oklahoma and as Vice-Chairman of the 
+Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission (IOGCC).
+    I have been a member of Oklahoma's oil and gas community my entire 
+adult life. I experienced first hand the Arab embargo of 1973, the 
+oilfield pipe and equipment shortage of the mid-1970s, the ill-
+conceived Natural Gas Policy Act of 1978, the misguided Fuel Use Act of 
+1978, the plunderous windfall profits tax of 1980, the Middle East 
+turmoil of the late 70s and early 80s, the collapse of our domestic oil 
+and gas industry in the middle 1980s (precipitating a loss of 
+approximately 500,000 jobs), the advent of computer technology into the 
+industry, the Gulf War, and now, Operation Desert Fox. In short, I've 
+seen a lot of success, failure, and lots of public policy, 
+unfortunately, most of which has been ill conceived. Since entering 
+public life in 1995, I have been assisting in the conception and 
+implementation of energy policy. Most of this work has involved 
+assisting the IOGCC governors in drafting and implementing A Dependant 
+Nation: How Federal Oil and Gas Policy is Eroding America's 
+Independence. Recently, I have assisted my Governor, Frank Keating, as 
+he has led the other oil and gas producing state governors in 
+addressing an unprecedented oil price trough which is approaching its 
+18th month.
+    Today's hearing focuses on the Iraqi Oil for Food Program and its 
+impacts. Mr. Chairman, the American people are confused. Occasionally, 
+a constituent asks for my explanation, and a rational answer is 
+impossible. I overhear comments in elevators and discussions in coffee 
+shops throughout my home state. No one can understand why, according to 
+NBC News on December 23, 1998, three days of Operation Desert Fox cost 
+the American taxpayer almost $1 billion, yet the rogue of the world, 
+Saddam Hussein, is seemingly stronger than ever. Our response is not to 
+isolate him or cut off his funding for weapons of mass destruction, 
+rather allow his continuing military threat to be enhanced through 
+unlimited oil production. No one can argue that the Iraqi people have 
+suffered a mighty hardship under his reign of terror or that they 
+deserve humanitarian aid. What is hard to explain to my constituents, 
+who are losing their jobs due to an oil market producing a dollar price 
+per barrel less than break-even cost, why our government would put our 
+military at risk, spend billions in tax dollars, and then willingly 
+allow Saddam to flood the world oil market. Even more puzzling was 
+America's acquiescence in the United Nations formula allowing Iraqi oil 
+sales, under current sanctions, to be limited by a dollar amount rather 
+than volumes of oil. The Oklahoma Geological Survey, which is in my 
+cabinet policy area, has reported that the almost singular contributor 
+to the 1997 and 1998 world oil glut has been Iraq. As the attached data 
+demonstrates, most world oil producers (both OPEC and non-OPEC) have 
+been relatively stable--the exception being Iraq. Even more shocking 
+is, during 1998, Iraq rose to the number 4 source of U.S. imports, 
+almost nosing out Kuwait for the number 3 spot.
+    Certain facts are not in dispute:
+
+ America is importing nearly 60% of its daily crude oil needs
+ Current wellhead prices are far below the break-even point for 
+        most domestic producers
+ The world is awash in overproduced oil
+ Allowing Iraq to produce unlimited oil impairs America's 
+        economic and military security, and a lifting of monetary 
+        limitations helps finance Saddam's almost certain future 
+        mischief
+Long before the current crisis, President Clinton approved 1994 
+findings by the U.S. Department of Commerce that oil imports (then at a 
+much lower level) threatened U.S. security.
+    Mr. Chairman and subcommittee members, I cannot count the number of 
+times I have wanted to shout from the rooftops, ``America, wake up--we 
+need America's oil to protect our shores and our way of life.'' I am 
+proud to say, my constituents have always been first in line on both 
+counts, and on their behalf, I thank you for this opportunity to 
+testify.
+
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+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.004
+
+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.005
+
+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.006
+
+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.007
+
+    Mr. Barton. Thank you, Mr. Smith. We would now like to hear 
+from Mr. Wood. We do have your testimony, so you are recognized 
+for 7 minutes to elaborate on it.
+    Mr. Wood. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Let me again 
+repeat how pleased I am to be here to discuss----
+    Mr. Barton. You need to speak into the microphone so that 
+we can hear you.
+
+                  STATEMENT OF WILLIAM B. WOOD
+
+    Mr. Wood. Okay. I am pleased to be here today and I want to 
+reiterate that fact. Thank you for inviting me.
+    The U.S. policy is to contain Saddam Hussein until he can 
+be removed from power.
+    In the meantime, U.S. sanctions on Iraq and the Oil-For-
+Food Program are critical to the containment of Iraq. We must 
+maintain broad international support for these programs in 
+order to keep Saddam Hussein contained. Sanctions on Iraq were 
+put in place by the international community following the 
+brutal invasion by Iraq of its peaceful neighbor, Kuwait. The 
+sanctions deprived Saddam of the revenue he would otherwise use 
+to reconstitute his weapons of mass destruction.
+    It is essential that we address the humanitarian needs of 
+the Iraqi people. Doing so is right in itself, but also crucial 
+to maintaining Security Council, regional and other support for 
+the international sanctions regime while we continue our 
+efforts to change the Iraqi regime. It is also consistent with 
+our message to the Iraqi people that the United States is not 
+against the people of Iraq, only the regime that is responsible 
+for their plight. By meeting Iraq's general humanitarian needs, 
+Oil-For-Food allows us to maintain a tough sanctions regime 
+against Iraq.
+    In 1991, the Bush Administration first proposed an Oil-For-
+Food Program to meet the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi 
+people. Iraq rejected the program. In 1995, the Security 
+Council, with full U.S. leadership and support, adopted a 
+revised Oil-For-Food Program, which Iraq finally accepted at 
+the end of 1996. The first food shipments under this program 
+arrived in Iraq in March 1997. In February 1998, based on the 
+Secretary General's recommendations that additional funds were 
+needed to meet the needs of the Iraqi people, the legitimate 
+humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people, the Security Council 
+expanded the Oil-For-Food Program. That program has most 
+recently renewed last November.
+    I might add that that is the reason why the Oil-For-Food 
+Program is accounted for in dollars, because it is based on 
+estimates of what it would cost to take care of the 
+humanitarian needs of Iraq. It is not an effort to promote 
+Iraqi exports, it is an effort to raise money for the specific 
+humanitarian needs of Iraq.
+    The current Oil-For-Food Program permits Iraq to sell up to 
+$5.2 billion worth of oil every 6 months, two-thirds of which 
+goes toward the purchase of food, medicine and other 
+humanitarian goods such as water and sanitation infrastructure 
+supplies. The remaining one-third goes to pay claims arising 
+from Iraq's occupation of Kuwait, and to pay U.N. 
+administrative and UNSCOM disarmament costs. All revenues of 
+Iraq's oil sales are deposited in a U.N. escrow account to 
+which Baghdad has no access. Although it is true that Iraq's 
+agreement as to which bank was selected was necessary, Iraq did 
+not get to choose the bank and, indeed, its first choices were 
+refused under the memorandum of understanding between Iraq and 
+the United Nations. We are assured that the bank in which the 
+escrow account exists is functioning in a transparent and 
+effective manner and funds cannot be released from that account 
+without U.N. agreement.
+    All contracts are reviewed by the U.N. sanctions committee, 
+of which the U.S. is a member. Because the committee operates 
+by consensus, we can hold or block any contract that is 
+inappropriate or ill-advised. U.N. monitors on Iraq's borders 
+and inside Iraq oversee importation and distribution within 
+Iraq, and in northern Iraq, the three northern governments, 
+distribution is actually carried out by the U.N. itself.
+    Oil-For-Food, the largest humanitarian program in the 
+U.N.'s history, requires that Saddam spend his own money on the 
+thing he cares least about: his own people.
+    Oil-For-Food is not a step toward lifting sanctions, nor 
+does it reward Saddam Hussein. In fact, it makes sanctions, his 
+worst enemy, sustainable. Without an Oil-For-Food Program, 
+history has shown that Saddam Hussein would starve his own 
+people to buy weapons and build palaces and to force the 
+international community to lift sanctions. Although we could 
+use our veto at the U.N. to prevent the lifting of sanctions, 
+the pressure of a sympathetic international community, absent 
+Oil-For-Food, could well lead to a de facto breakdown of the 
+implementation of the sanctions regime. So it is not simply a 
+distribution problem, it is also an implementation problem.
+    Sanctions have slowed considerably Iraq's ability to expand 
+oil exports. We estimate that sanctions have prevented Iraq 
+from exporting more than $120 billion of oil from 1991 to 1996. 
+In the last two phases of the Oil-For-Food Program, the 
+Security Council earmarked limited funds for the importation of 
+spare parts and equipment to improve Iraq's crumbling oil 
+infrastructure so that funds can be made available for 
+legitimate, necessary humanitarian needs. Those spare parts 
+have just begun to arrive in Iraq, and it will be many more 
+months before there will be an appreciable growth in the Iraqi 
+ability to export oil as a result of them.
+    We are also discussing in Security Council capitals and in 
+the Security Council itself how to keep Oil-For-Food viable and 
+effective. We have proposed that the Security Council consider 
+raising the ceiling on oil sales consistent with Iraq's 
+legitimate humanitarian needs. In the short run, Iraq would be 
+unable to expand oil exports. Over time, allowing increased 
+Iraqi oil exports would address concerns regarding the 
+shortfall in revenues needed for humanitarian purchases. Saddam 
+would not benefit from these increased oil export revenues. The 
+revenues would be put into the escrow account and released only 
+for the purchase of humanitarian goods.
+    Raising the ceiling on revenue available for the purchase 
+of humanitarian goods would also serve to counter growing calls 
+from Arab states and Security Council members to lift sanctions 
+outright. By removing the root cause of calls for lifting 
+sanctions, we free our allies in the Arab world and elsewhere 
+to support our broader Iraqi policy goals. We also draw 
+Security Council support away from more radical French and 
+Russian proposals to lift sanctions altogether.
+    We also understand your concerns about the current oil 
+market. However, Iraq is only one among several factors which 
+has adversely impacted oil prices. Our sanction--our Iraq 
+sanctions policy, frankly, has never been linked to the price 
+of oil on world markets. This was true in the early 1990's, 
+when Iraqi oil was completely cutoff the world market, putting 
+upward pressure on oil prices, and it remains the case today. 
+Allowing oil price considerations to drive our sanctions 
+decisions or seeking to use sanctions to target oil prices 
+would undermine our ability to maintain an international 
+consensus aimed at containing Saddam Hussein, as well as 
+provide for the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people.
+    Were international support for an effective U.N. sanctions 
+regime to erode, Saddam Hussein would be a much greater threat 
+to the world community. He would quickly regain the free use of 
+$10 billion to $15 billion per year to put into his weapons of 
+mass destruction programs. But we have promoted raising the 
+ceiling under monitoring. Moreover, the prospect of Iraq 
+without U.N. sanctions would also have a negative effect on oil 
+prices.
+    Over the long term, the only way to ensure that Saddam no 
+longer threatens either his people or his neighbors is to work 
+for a new government of Iraq, one that will maintain the 
+territorial integrity and unity of Iraq, respect the rights of 
+Iraq's people and neighbors and fulfill Iraq's international 
+obligations. We are committed to helping the Iraqis achieve 
+this regime change or transition.
+    Mr. Chairman, I realize I am over my time, but let me only 
+make one sort of summary comment. The Oil-For-Food Program has 
+been characterized repeatedly as a humanitarian program. It is 
+certainly a humanitarian program. We are a humane Nation. We 
+are not making war on the population of Iraq. That is Saddam's 
+strategy. But it is not the policy of the administration to 
+benefit the populations of other countries at cost to our own 
+population. That is not our goal, and that is not what we 
+believe we are achieving here.
+    Mr. Barton. That may not be the goal, but that is certainly 
+the result. And I am not going to get in a debate right now. We 
+still need to hear from Mr. Williams, but I guarantee you when 
+we get to the question and answer period, we are going to have 
+a dialog.
+    Mr. Wood. We do believe, however, that this is a national 
+security requirement. That is my last comment.
+    [The prepared statement of William B. Wood follows:]
+Prepared Statement of Hon. William B. Wood, Deputy Assistant Secretary 
+                                of State
+    Mr. Chairman: I am pleased to be here today to discuss US policy 
+toward Iraq and the role the Oil-for-Food program plays within it.
+    The Administration's policy is to contain Saddam Hussein until he 
+can be removed from power. We will contain Iraq by maintaining 
+sanctions on Iraq, enforcing the no-fly zones in the North and South, 
+and by maintaining a robust military presence in the region and a 
+readiness to use force if Iraq reconstitutes its prohibited weapons 
+programs, threatens its neighbors, or moves against the Kurds in the 
+north.
+    In addition to these elements of containment, we are also working 
+at the United Nations to build consensus in the Security Council in 
+support of an effective disarmament and monitoring presence in Iraq.
+    Over the long-term, however, the only way to ensure that Saddam no 
+longer threatens either his people or his neighbors is to work for a 
+new government in Iraq--one that will maintain the territorial 
+integrity and unity of Iraq, respect the rights of Iraq's people and 
+Iraq's neighbors, and fulfill Iraq's international obligations. We are 
+committed to helping Iraqis achieve this regime change or transition. 
+There are many tools we can use to help them, including both the $8 
+million in Economic Support Funds Congress has appropriated for this 
+purpose, and the Iraq Liberation Act. In the final analysis, change has 
+to come from the Iraqi people themselves. We cannot impose ideas or 
+initiatives on them.
+    In the meantime, UN sanctions on Iraq and the Oil-for-Food program 
+are critical to the containment of the Iraqi regime. We must maintain 
+broad international support for these programs in order to keep Saddam 
+contained.
+    Sanctions on Iraq were put in place by the international community 
+following the brutal invasion by Iraq of its peaceful neighbor Kuwait. 
+The sanctions deprive Saddam of the revenue he would otherwise use to 
+reconstitute weapons of mass destruction.
+    It is also essential that we address the humanitarian needs of the 
+Iraqi people. Doing so is right in itself, and crucial to maintaining 
+Security Council and regional support for sanctions while we continue 
+our efforts for regime change. It is also consistent with our message 
+to the Iraqi people that the United States is not against the people of 
+Iraq--only the regime that is responsible for their plight. By meeting 
+Iraq's genuine humanitarian needs, oil-for-food allows us to maintain a 
+tough sanctions regime against Iraq.
+    The current oil-for-food program permits Iraq to sell up to $5.2 
+billion worth of oil every six months, two-thirds of which goes towards 
+the purchase of food, medicine and other humanitarian goods such as 
+water and sanitation infrastructure supplies. The remaining one-third 
+goes to pay claims arising from Iraq's occupation of Kuwait, and to pay 
+UN administrative and UNSCOM disarmament costs. All revenues from 
+Iraq's oil sales are deposited in a UN escrow account to which Baghdad 
+has no access. All contracts are reviewed by the UN Sanctions 
+Committee, of which the U.S. is a member. Because the Committee 
+operates by consensus, we can hold or block any contract that is 
+inappropriate or ill-advised. UN monitors on Iraq's borders and inside 
+Iraq oversee their import and distribution. In northern Iraq, the 
+distribution is carried out directly by UN personnel.
+    Sanctions have never prohibited the import of food or medicine to 
+Iraq. However, the regime in Baghdad has been unwilling to take full 
+advantage of this exemption, and, therefore, in 1991, the Bush 
+Administration first proposed an oil-for-food program to meet the 
+humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people. Iraq rejected the program. In 
+1995, the Security Council, with full US leadership and support, 
+adopted a revised oil-for-food program, which Iraq finally accepted at 
+the end of 1996. The first food shipments under this program arrived in 
+Iraq in March 1997. In February 1998, based on the Secretary General's 
+recommendations that additional funds were needed to meet the needs of 
+the Iraqi people, the Security Council adopted an expanded oil-for-food 
+program. That program was renewed again in November.
+    Oil-for-food is not a step towards lifting sanctions, nor does it 
+reward Saddam. In fact, it makes sanctions--his worst enemy--
+sustainable. Without an oil-for-food program, history has shown that 
+Saddam Hussein would starve his own people to force the international 
+community to lift sanctions. Although we could use our veto at the UN 
+to prevent the lifting of sanctions, the pressure of a sympathetic 
+international community--absent oil-for-food--could well lead to the de 
+facto breakdown of the sanctions regime.
+    The oil-for-food program has had a tremendous positive impact on 
+conditions for the average Iraqi. Since the beginning of the program, 
+$2.75 billion worth of food, over $500 million of medicine and $400 
+million worth of supplies for such things as water, sanitation, 
+electricity and education projects, has been delivered to Iraq. The 
+average daily food ration has increased from 1275 calories per day in 
+1996 to 2100 calories per day now. However, problems remain. Although 
+malnutrition rates have declined, they are still too high. Significant 
+work on the sanitation and water, electrical, education, agriculture 
+and other sectors is still required.
+    Sanctions have slowed considerably Iraq's ability to expand oil 
+exports. We estimate that sanctions have prevented Iraq from exporting 
+more than $120 billion worth of oil from 1991 to 1996. We have in the 
+last two phases of the program permitted funds to be earmarked for the 
+importation of carefully screened spare parts and equipment to improve 
+Iraq's crumbling oil infrastructure to fund needed humanitarian 
+purchases. Those spire parts have just begun to arrive and it will be 
+many months before there will be significant growth in Iraqi ability to 
+export oil.
+    We are also discussing in Security Council capitals how to keep 
+Oil-for-Food viable and effective. We have proposed that the Security 
+Council consider raising the ceiling on oil sales consistent with 
+Iraq's legitimate humanitarian needs. In the short run, Iraq would be 
+unable to expand oil exports. Over time, allowing increased Iraqi oil 
+exports would address concerns regarding the shortfall in revenues 
+needed for humanitarian purchases. Saddam would not benefit from these 
+increased oil export revenues. The revenues would be put in an escrow 
+account and released only for the purchase of humanitarian goods.
+    Raising the ceiling on revenue available for the purchase of 
+humanitarian goods also would serve to counter growing calls from Arab 
+states and Security Council members to lift sanctions outright. By 
+removing the root cause of calls for lifting sanctions, we free our 
+allies in the Arab world and elsewhere to support our broader Iraq 
+policy objectives. We also draw Security Council support away from more 
+radical French and Russian proposals to lift sanctions altogether.
+    We also understand your concerns about the current oil market 
+situation. However, Iraq is only one among several factors which has 
+adversely impacted oil prices over the last year. Our Iraq sanctions 
+policy, moreover, has never been linked to the price of oil on world 
+markets. This was true in the early 1990s when Iraqi oil was completely 
+off the world market, putting upward pressure on oil prices, and it 
+remains the case today. Allowing oil price considerations to drive our 
+sanctions decisions, or seeking to use sanctions to target oil prices, 
+would undermine our ability to maintain an international consensus 
+aimed at containing Saddam Hussein as well as to provide for the 
+humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people.
+    The US will continue to work to improve the oil-for-food program, 
+and to ensure that it serves its intended purpose. In February, the UN 
+Secretary General reported that there are $275 million worth of 
+medicine sitting in Iraqi warehouses undistributed. This is 
+unacceptable, and we will work to change it. We will continue to 
+scrutinize every contract for goods under the oil-for-food program and 
+can veto any contract that we judge to be inappropriate or ill-advised. 
+Given the absence of UNSCOM and IAEA, which have a role in monitoring 
+dual-use goods, we have tightened our standards for contract approval. 
+In January, the Security Council formed three panels to examine 
+disarmament, humanitarian and Kuwait-related issues. We expect that the 
+humanitarian panel's report, due in mid-April, will suggest additional 
+changes that may enhance the program's effectiveness.
+    Were international support for effective UN sanctions regimes to 
+erode, Saddam Hussein would be a much greater threat to the world 
+community. He would quickly regain the free use of ten to fifteen 
+billion dollars per year to put into his WMD programs. Moreover, the 
+prospect of Iraq without UN sanctions would also have a much greater 
+negative impact on oil prices.
+    We remain concerned about the illegal traffic of oil and petroleum 
+products out of Iraq--to Turkey, Jordan, Syria and the Persian Gulf. 
+Each of these avenues presents unique problems, and we are addressing 
+each of them differently. We continue to work with Turkey to find a way 
+to bring illicit trade over the Turkish border within the framework of 
+the oil-for-food program. We believe a similar approach should also be 
+taken regarding Syria. With respect to the smuggling of Iraqi gasoil 
+through Iranian territorial waters, we have had considerable success 
+over the past year in combining efforts to bring third-country pressure 
+to bear on Tehran to end the trade with more direct military actions. 
+This has included bombing of the section of the Basra refinery devoted 
+to this trade during Desert Fox, and the conduct of ``surge 
+operations'' by the multi-national Maritime Interception Force or 
+``MIF,'' in areas of the northern Gulf known to be used by the Iraqis 
+and others as routes for smuggled cargoes. As for Jordan, although the 
+UN has taken note of Jordan's trade of bartered humanitarian goods in 
+exchange for Iraqi oil at concessionary prices, we continue to work to 
+reduce Jordan's dependence on Iraqi oil.
+    Although the oil-for-food program is not perfect, it is essential 
+to our policy of containing Saddam until there is a new government in 
+Baghdad. Without it, sanctions would be much more difficult to sustain. 
+Saddam Hussein would once again have control over tens of billions of 
+dollars a year to spend on weapons of mass destruction.
+    Over the long-term, however, the only way to ensure that Saddam no 
+longer threatens either his people or his neighbors is to work for a 
+new government in Iraq--one that will maintain the territorial 
+integrity and unity of Iraq, respect the rights of Iraq's people and 
+Iraq's neighbors, and fulfill Iraq's international obligations. We are 
+committed to helping Iraqis achieve this regime change or transition.
+    Thank you, and I welcome any questions you may have.
+
+    Mr. Barton. Thank you. Mr. Williams, your statement is in 
+the record in its entirety and we will recognize you for up to 
+7 minutes to elaborate on it. We welcome you as one of the 
+members of the Railroad Commission from Texas. I believe you 
+are the newest member. You have a distinguished background. I 
+won't put that all in the record, but you are a former 
+administration official in the Bush Administration, you have a 
+distinguished record in the private sector and public sector in 
+Texas. We are very glad that you could testify today.
+
+                STATEMENT OF MICHAEL L. WILLIAMS
+
+    Mr. Williams. Chairman Barton, thank you, and members of 
+the committee, thank you for the opportunity to be with you. 
+Before I go any further, Congressman Hall, thank you for the 
+kind words earlier this morning.
+    I appreciate this opportunity to testify on behalf of the 
+Texas Railroad Commission on the impact of the United Nations 
+sponsored Oil-For-Food Program and the impact that it has on 
+the vital interests of Texans, as well as the Nation.
+    Admittedly, the goal of the Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program is 
+quite laudable. However, I must admit that as presently 
+structured, that program is adverse to the interests of Texans 
+and Americans. No Texan would take issue, and quite frankly no 
+American would take issue with a responsible attempt to provide 
+food and medicine and other necessities for the Iraqi people. 
+Arguably, however, we do have some serious doubts that the 
+program is actually meeting the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi 
+people, and nonetheless quite frankly it is more troublesome 
+that Iraq is being permitted to sell oil and make money out of 
+the pockets of Texas producers and, I might add, Oklahoma 
+producers and other domestic producers, their workers and their 
+families at the same time that Iraqi ground troops are firing 
+at American fighter pilots who are protecting the no-fly zone. 
+Moreover, by allowing Iraq to sell $10.4 billion of oil during 
+a 12-month period, irrespective of linking it to the impact 
+that Iraqi production is having on worldwide crude oil supplies 
+and price, provides no incentive for the Iraqis to be proper 
+stewards of their crude oil reserves, nor is there any 
+incentive whatsoever for the Iraqis to concern themselves with 
+the harmful impact that their behavior might be having on 
+producers worldwide, particularly those producers here in the 
+U.S.
+    Quite the contrary, the Oil-For-Food Program places a 
+premium on how much money Iraq is allowed to generate, rather 
+than how many barrels of crude oil it is being allowed to sell. 
+So the program encourages them to provide and dump as much 
+crude oil as possible on the market during the 6-month period 
+to reach that $5 plus billion mark with no regard to the price 
+per barrel.
+    The Oil-For-Food Program doesn't just permit Iraq to act in 
+a way that is adverse to American interests, but to some extent 
+it encourages them to do so and that puts domestic production 
+at great risk. We have already heard today about the cost and 
+what happens to domestic production when prices are running at 
+somewhere below $15 a barrel. What is happening in Texas is 
+that we are now at an all-time low for oil rig count. We have 
+191 oil rigs presently in service compared to 377 at this time 
+last year. Between February 1998 and 1999, some 9,500 wells in 
+Texas were plugged.
+    In the same time period, some 2,200 wells were shut in. So 
+wells in Texas and across the country have been placed at great 
+risk because of the impact of Iraqi production on the world 
+market depressing prices.
+    And what is the impact in terms of what is happening to 
+real people? In Texas we have had since December 1997 the loss 
+of some 11,000 jobs. Unemployment claims in Texas has risen 
+some 304 percent compared to this time last year. And I might 
+add that I grew up in the oil patch in Midland--and most people 
+typically think of folks in the oil business as being, as we 
+frequently say, a bunch of J.R. Ewings with cowboy boots and 
+exotic gold cuff links. The oil patch is comprised of a wide 
+variety of folks; and of those 11,000 folks who have lost jobs, 
+many of the people who have lost jobs in the oil fields are 
+Hispanic, and many of the people in the accounting departments 
+and the personnel departments and the H.R. departments and 
+otherwise are African-American. This is an industry that 
+represents the bulk and the diversity of Texas, and it is being 
+hurt.
+    What is happening to our schoolchildren? In Texas, about 
+two-thirds of the 1,000 school districts in the State of Texas 
+receive some funding from oil and gas revenues, particularly 
+from ad valorem and tax revenues. Ninety-five of those school 
+districts receive half of their funding from that source, and 
+we are estimating in Texas that we lose anywhere from $150 
+million to $160 million because of the depressed prices.
+    This is also affecting those royalty interests owners in 
+Texas, many of those who are living on fixed incomes who look 
+for that royalty check each and every month in order to make 
+payments. But obviously with depressed prices, they are not in 
+a position to do so.
+    And so what might be done? While I am the newest member of 
+the Texas Railroad Commission and have not been around a long 
+time, I will take the liberty to make some suggestions. And the 
+first might be that Congress and the administration might press 
+the United Nations to conduct a thorough investigation to 
+determine whether the Iraqis, indeed, are using the designated 
+amount of oil-for-food funds to provide food and medicines and 
+other necessities for the Iraqi people.
+    The second thing, frankly, you might look to restructure 
+the oil-for-food production formula. Currently the cap allows 
+for $5.26 billion of Iraqi oil production every 6 months 
+without regard to the number of barrels it would take to reach 
+that target. And I have heard that this program has never 
+linked the production to the barrels; and, quite frankly, I 
+think that would be helpful to do so, so that we would not 
+encourage overproduction and a depression on prices.
+    And the third would be that we look at and revisit the 
+notion of allowing the Iraqis to use the oil-for-food funds in 
+a way to rebuild Iraq's oil infrastructure. I just want you to 
+think about the irony of producers in Texas and Oklahoma and 
+elsewhere who have to look for refinancing and have to find 
+money and capital in order to go out and work rigs; and we are 
+providing an opportunity for the Iraqis who are now assisting 
+in providing the oversupply to the industry. We are providing 
+dollars for them to buildup and retrofit their infrastructure.
+    Mr. Chairman and members of the committee, I thank you 
+again for the opportunity of being with you this morning; and I 
+stand to answer any questions that you might have.
+    [The prepared statement of Michael L. Williams follows:]
+Prepared Statement of Michael L. Williams, Commissioner, Texas Railroad 
+                               Commission
+    Mr. Chairman, and members of the committee, I appreciate this 
+opportunity to testify on the impact of the United Nations sponsored 
+oil-for-food program on our vital national energy interests. For time 
+purposes, I have summarized my testimony and have submitted additional 
+written testimony for the record.
+    Founded in 1891, the Texas Railroad Commission's chief 
+responsibility is to protect and conserve one of Texas and America's 
+most precious natural resources: oil. As America's number one producer 
+of oil, Texas' proper resource management of oil has yielded profound 
+contributions for both our state and the nation:
+
+ The discovery of crude oil at Spindletop in Beaumont, Texas in 
+        1901 changed the face of the American transportation industry 
+        and gave way to thousands of oil and related service companies 
+        that have employed untold millions of Americans.
+ Plentiful supplies of Texas crude oil made possible our modern 
+        automobile industry. World War II may well have taken a 
+        different course.
+ Allied Forces would not have sailed to victory on a sea of oil 
+        if it were not for Texas' extra production capacity and 
+        Hitler's lack of oil during World War II.
+ And today, petrochemicals derived from oil and natural gas 
+        have enabled us to create everything from Teflon to 
+        televisions.
+    Crude oil exploration and production have been central to the 
+modern industrial age. As we approach the 21st Century, we must 
+continue to protect and conserve this precious natural resource that 
+has proven a powerful economic, military, political, and strategic 
+tool. And with the proper stewardship of the 120 billion barrels of 
+crude oil still locked underground in Texas, our nation's energy future 
+could be just as bright.
+   the iraqi oil-for-food program as presently structured threatens 
+                           american interests
+    The Iraqi oil-for-food program is another matter. The goal of the 
+program is quite laudable. No Texan would take issue with a responsible 
+attempt to provide food and medicine for the Iraqi people. Arguably, 
+there are some serious doubts that the program is actually meeting the 
+humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people.
+    U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan, someone who knows the ins-and-
+outs of the program, admitted in February, ``Only half of the $540 
+million worth of drugs and medical supplies delivered to Iraq since the 
+program was launched in 1995 have reached hospitals and clinics.''
+    The Iraqi oil-for-food program, as presently structured, is adverse 
+to American interests. It is more than troublesome that Iraq is being 
+permitted to sell oil and take money out of the pockets of Texas 
+producers, workers and families at the same time that Iraqi ground 
+troops are firing at American fighter pilots who are protecting the 
+``no-fly zone.''
+    Moreover, by allowing Iraq to sell $5.26 billion of oil during a 
+six month period (irrespective of the impact that Iraqi production has 
+on worldwide crude oil supplies or price), there is no incentive for 
+Iraq to properly steward its crude oil reserves. Nor is there an 
+incentive for Iraqis to concern themselves with the harmful impact 
+their behavior might have on producers worldwide.
+    Quite the contrary, the oil-for-food program places a premium on 
+how much money Iraq is allowed to generate rather than how many barrels 
+of crude oil it is allowed to sell. In so doing, the program encourages 
+Iraq to sell as much crude oil as possible during the six-month 
+interval to reach the more than $5 billion mark, with no regard to 
+price per barrel. Oil for food doesn't just permit Iraq to act in a way 
+that is adverse to American interests, it encourages it to do so.
+    While there is no certain number, there appears to be developing a 
+consensus in the industry, that the amount of excess oil on the world 
+market is roughly between one and two million barrels a day. That said, 
+on average, Iraqi oil production accounts for more than 2.3 million 
+barrels a day. Furthermore, evidence indicates that Saddam may be 
+illegally exporting an additional 100,000 barrels a day. Even the U.S. 
+Department of Energy admitted in late 1998, ``[The] increase in Iraqi 
+oil exports has been playing a significant role in the world oil glut 
+which is responsible for the sharp decline in world oil prices.''
+    We may be dropping bombs on Iraq without visible retaliation; 
+however, Saddam Hussein is engaged in a clandestine campaign of full-
+scale economic terrorism. His conduct is keeping world oil prices low 
+by pouring even more oil onto an already saturated market under the 
+guise of the oil-for-food program.
+         the oversupply of crude oil hurts domestic production
+    In his letter to Congress earlier this month, President Clinton 
+stated that ``The United States has expressed its support for [once 
+again] lifting the cap on Iraqi oil exports under the oil-for-food 
+program.'' In fact, the Clinton Administration advocates eliminating 
+the cap. In light of Secretary Annan's recent report, however, that dog 
+simply won't hunt.
+    More oil on the already flooded world market would adversely affect 
+oil prices across the globe. It's Supply and Demand 101: the more 
+product on the market, the cheaper it is. In the United States where 
+production costs are relatively high and production is relatively low, 
+drastic price declines have sent the rig count and production 
+spiraling. Since last year, U.S. production has fallen by 4.7%. In 
+Texas, production has fallen by 7.4%. The rig count, the historical 
+barometer of industry vitality, is down 78% since a year ago. Texas' 
+rig count has plunged 97% during the same period.
+             less domestic production means less for texans
+    The Iraqi people are not the only ones who stand to lose something 
+under Oil for Food. Texans like the Ryder family from our state's 
+Permian Basin have seen their lives fall apart during the past year. In 
+their early fifties, Ronnie Ryder and his wife, Inatte, used to think 
+retirement might not be so far off. After working in the oil business 
+for 30 years, Ronnie is now looking for ``any job he can get.'' Inatte 
+is back in school and working nights at an elderly care facility. 
+Unfortunately, the Ryder's story doesn't stop there.
+    Until the price crisis hit, Ronnie's son was working in a 
+roustabout gang for Phillips Petroleum. Today, with their first child 
+on the way, Rusty and Priscilla Ryder don't get to spend much time 
+together as Rusty has been forced to take a job driving trucks cross-
+country. I wish the Ryder's story was the exception, but I'm afraid 
+that in the oil patch, it's become the rule.
+    The overwhelming majority of producing wells in Texas are marginal 
+wells--or wells that produce 10 barrels or less per day. Those wells 
+are placed in jeopardy by low and unstable prices. With profits falling 
+and the amount of oil on the market increasing, thousands of Texans who 
+operate marginal wells have been forced to shut in wells--an 
+irreversible process. When those wells get shut in workers get shut 
+out.
+    Economic studies have shown that for each dollar invested in the 
+oil and gas industry at the wellhead, there is a positive economic 
+effect of $2.91 on the Texas economy. Without marginal well production, 
+millions of dollars and thousands of Texas jobs will be severely 
+impacted. State unemployment will increase, sales tax revenues will 
+drop, and property tax revenues used to fund schools will plummet.
+    As the number of producing marginal wells decline because they are 
+no longer economically viable to produce, royalty and interest owners 
+are directly impacted by a loss in revenue. Royalty income has 
+sustained countless families, small farms and ranches and rural towns 
+for decades. In turn, royalty dollars circulate many times through a 
+local economy by way of the grocer, the doctor, the pharmacist, small 
+shops, retail stores, and service providers. In many rural communities 
+people are dependent on royalty payments for their daily existence. 
+Shutting in or reducing marginal well production could mean financial 
+devastation to some.
+    The importance of marginal well production and its rippling effect 
+on the state economy is reinforced in a recent article published by the 
+Texas Workforce Commission. According to their December 1998 
+publication of the Texas Labor Market Review, mining (oil & gas 
+extraction) continued its trend of declining employment and loss of 
+jobs. The article states that persistently low crude oil prices are 
+placing tremendous pressure on mining employment counts and are 
+affecting other industries that support drilling and explorations 
+activities in Texas. Employment in all three of the major industries 
+within the goods producing sector (mining, construction, and 
+manufacturing) declined in December, for a total loss of 2,400 jobs. As 
+of January 1999 release, mining was suffering the seventh straight 
+month of declining employment. Employment estimates in the mining 
+sector alone decreased from 169,300 in January 1998 to 160,600 for 
+January 1999--a 75% decrease of some 8,700 jobs. Additional workforce 
+impact information can be found on the Texas Workforce Commission web 
+site at www.twc.state.tx.us.
+    Low oil prices are also taking a toll on Texas' greatest resource: 
+our children. It is estimated that Texas' statewide Fiscal Year 2000 
+school district losses will be between $150-$160 million. The impact is 
+already been being felt by many cities and counties across our state as 
+jobs are lost, related services are cut, and state and local revenues 
+plunge. I think David Goodman, superintendent of Andrews Independent 
+School District in West Texas summed it up best when he asked, ``Do you 
+know of any businesses that could stand to lose one-third of its 
+operating budget and still open its doors the next year?''
+    The Texas Comptroller's Office recently surveyed appraisal 
+districts and contract firms that appraise oil and gas reserves for 
+property tax purposes. Although the appraisals are not complete, the 
+appraisers' consensus is that oil properties will decline in value from 
+January 1, 1998 to January 1, 1999 by about 40% and gas properties will 
+decline about 15%. In school districts where oil and gas reserves 
+comprise more than $250 million, these value losses were translated 
+into property tax levy losses and are available on the Comptroller's 
+web site at www.window.state.tx.us/taxinfo/proptax/levyloss.html.
+    According to the American Petroleum Institute, at least 51,000 
+Americans have lost their jobs since December of 1997 because of low 
+oil prices--nearly 9,000 of them are in Texas. Compared to a year ago, 
+oil-related unemployment claims are up 304%. Contrary to the impression 
+left by popular culture, those are not men and women who wear exotic 
+cowboy boots and wear gold watches. Rather, they are Americans like you 
+and me, like the Ryders with real car payments, real mortgages, and 
+real families to feed.
+                               what to do
+    Like the families of America's steelworkers or farmers, oil 
+families are suffering in ways that they have not felt before. And, 
+like we have to the steel and farming industries, we should reach out 
+and correct policies like Oil for Food that make bad times even worse. 
+For the sake of American families and schoolchildren, the oil-for-food 
+program should be revisited and restructured. To that end, I would urge 
+you to consider the following.
+
+ First, Congress and the Administration might press the United 
+        Nations to conduct a thorough investigation to determine 
+        whether Iraq is using the designated amount of oil-for-food 
+        funds to provide food and medicines for the Iraqi people. 
+        According to U.S. National Security Adviser Sandy Burger, 
+        ``Saddam is so indifferent to the suffering of his people that 
+        he still refuses to make full use of this allowance.''
+ Secondly, while the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people 
+        might necessitate additional revenues, we should seek to insure 
+        that any attempt to eliminate the crude oil production cap 
+        takes into account and does not exacerbate the negative impact 
+        that additional Iraqi production might have on domestic 
+        producers.
+ Third, the United States should call on the United Nations to 
+        revise the resolution so that oil-for-food funds are not used 
+        to rebuild Iraq's oil infrastructure. Common sense says that it 
+        is not in the United States' best interest to rebuild a 
+        competitor's economic and industrial arsenal.
+ Fourth, we should urge the United Nations to restructure the 
+        oil-for-food production formula. Currently, the cap allows for 
+        $5.26 billion dollars of Iraqi oil production every six months 
+        without regard to the number of barrels it would take to reach 
+        that target. Nor does it take into account the impact Iraqi 
+        production has on world oil prices. During every six-month 
+        period the U.N. should designate the number of barrels of oil 
+        Iraq would be allowed to produce to reach a designated revenue 
+        target. We must urge that the target be placed at a level that 
+        neither fosters price instability nor that is harmful to the 
+        preservation of domestic production.
+ Fifth, members of Congress from producing and non-producing 
+        states should band together--as they have recently for other 
+        vital U.S. industries--to boycott the sale of Iraqi oil within 
+        the United States, thereby mitigating the insult to our men and 
+        women in uniform stationed in the Persian Gulf and working in 
+        the oil patch.
+    It's a disgrace that hard-working Texans have been forced to bear 
+the brunt of a skewed foreign policy that does more harm than good. 
+Congress and the Clinton Administration should revisit and revise the 
+United State's support of the oil-for-food program as it stands--if not 
+for our oil producers, for the sake of the coming addition to the Ryder 
+family.
+                                 ______
+                                 
+                       Railroad Commission of Texas
+                                              Austin, Texas
+                                                     March 22, 1999
+The Honorable Joe Barton
+2264 Rayburn House Office Building
+Washington, D.C. 20515
+    Dear Mr. Barton, there's a clear and urgent need to evaluate our 
+nation's domestic energy policy. Texas Railroad Commissioner Michael 
+Williams will testify before the House Subcommittee on Energy and Power 
+on Friday, March 26th. He'll offer his insight into our nation's 
+domestic energy policy and the U.N.-sponsored ``Oil for Food'' program 
+with Iraq. I want you to know that as Chairman of the Railroad 
+Commission of Texas, I'm in complete support of Commissioner Williams' 
+testimony.
+    When the energy industry in Texas suffers, we all feel its effects 
+through decreased state revenues and fewer dollars for our state's 
+public schools. The Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts estimates that 
+with every dollar drop in the price of oil, approximately 10,000 Texas 
+jobs are lost. Lower prices and an increasing dependence on foreign oil 
+means many of those jobs are going abroad. These losses are 
+particularly staggering when you consider that the U.S. already imports 
+more than 50% of the oil we use, placing our nation more and more at 
+the mercy of foreign--and often unfriendly--governments.
+    In Texas, Governor George W. Bush recently signed emergency 
+legislation that gives certain oil and gas producers temporary 
+exemptions from severance taxes when prices fall below set levels. It's 
+not a silver bullet, but it's a step in the right direction and shows 
+that Texas is committed to helping one of our state's most important 
+industries. Now it's time for Washington to step up to the plate for 
+domestic producers.
+    The Independent Petroleum Association of America will hold Crude 
+Awakening rallies in Washington, D.C., Austin, Texas and across the 
+nation this week where members will sign the ``Oil Price Crisis Relief 
+Resolution.'' The IPAA and its members make it very clear: the federal 
+government needs to respond to this downturn in prices. The resolution 
+states that Washington should support the filling of the Strategic 
+Petroleum Reserve (SPR), get behind a reduction of taxes on marginal 
+wells, work to encourage domestic production, investigate improper 
+trade practices in the U.S. market by foreign suppliers, and offer much 
+needed regulatory reform for the industry.
+    Your actions in the coming weeks will show just how committed 
+Washington is to a strong domestic energy policy. It's more than simple 
+economics. It's an issue of critical importance for our national 
+security. With best wishes, I am,
+            Sincerely,
+                                                 Tony Garza
+                                                           Chairman
+
+    Mr. Barton. We thank you, Mr. Williams. The Chair is going 
+to recognize himself for 5 minutes. We are going to be very 
+flexible. We have got four members here. We are going to use 
+the 5-minute rule, but we are going to give additional time and 
+probably do additional questions; and if people want to 
+interrupt, that is fine.
+    If the staff would put the first chart there, the EIA, the 
+Iraq crude oil production chart. Let's put that back up on the 
+easel.
+    I want to start off--this is off of the CNN news line that 
+we get on the Internet: March 4, the headline is ``British jets 
+attack Iraqis in the southern no-fly zone.'' March 6, ``U.S. 
+launches new attacks in Iraq no-fly zone.'' March 14, ``U.S. 
+jets strike at Iraqi northern no-fly zone.'' March 15, ``U.S. 
+war planes attack Iraq's northern no-fly zone.'' March 16, 
+``Iraq breaks sanctions by flying pilgrims to Saudi Arabia.'' 
+March 17, ``Sanctions-busting Iraqi pilgrims snub no-fly zone 
+rules again.''
+    This chart shows that right before the Kuwaiti invasion by 
+Iraq, they were producing about 3.5 million barrels. Once the 
+invasion occurred and President Bush declared that would not 
+stand, their production fell to about 500,000 barrels per day. 
+And then when the oil-for-food program began in January or late 
+November 1996, it started ratcheting back up; and it is 
+currently up to 2.6 million barrels a day.
+    Mr. Wood, does the State Department dispute any of those 
+figures?
+    Mr. Wood. I don't believe we do.
+    Mr. Barton. Okay. If it is true that Mr. Hakes' statement 
+that they--I mean, at least before the invasion they were 
+producing for a short spike period up to 3.5 million. But I 
+believe, Mr. Hakes, you said you don't believe they could get 
+much higher than what they are doing right now?
+    Mr. Hakes. They would need a lot more spare parts and 
+capital development to repair the equipment to get back up to 
+that level.
+    Mr. Barton. So for all intents and purposes, is it fair to 
+say that we are allowing Iraq to produce as much oil as they 
+are capable of producing? Is that a fair statement?
+    Mr. Wood. It is certainly true at the moment, yes, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. I can only characterize the current policy, 
+after listening very intently and scanning the testimony, that 
+our Iraqi policy is designed to maximize Iraqi production at 
+the expense of the marginal producer in the United States, 
+which is a small independent oil and gas producer. And I don't, 
+quite frankly, think that makes a lot of sense. Do you disagree 
+that if it is not the intent, that is the effect of this 
+policy, Mr. Wood?
+    Mr. Wood. The intent of the policy, sir, is to maximize 
+international support for the continued isolation and 
+containment of Iraq.
+    Mr. Barton. And it seems to be working really well. 
+``Sanctions-busting Iraqi pilgrims snub no-fly zone rules 
+again.'' Now, that is not some political headline. That is the 
+CNN news line March 17, 1999. Could you explain to me how these 
+sanctions are working when Iraq can produce as much oil as they 
+are capable of, regardless of the price; they can fly pilgrims 
+to wherever they want to in the world; they have thrown our 
+inspectors out. So please explain to me and the American people 
+how effective these sanctions are. I think the sanctions are 
+driving constituents in the oil producing States with marginal 
+producers out of business. I think that is what the sanctions 
+are doing.
+    Mr. Wood. Mr. Chairman, there is no question that Iraq is, 
+as it always has, resisting sanctions implementation. At the 
+same time, first, the sanctions are being very effective in 
+controlling Iraqi exports and the revenues that come from those 
+exports.
+    Mr. Barton. But the only export they have, Mr. Wood, is 
+oil. Maybe some olives, I don't know.
+    Mr. Wood. I understand and we are controlling with a high 
+degree of confidence where the revenues from those exports go.
+    Mr. Barton. I see.
+    Mr. Wood. We are also--we are preventing, through this 
+regime, the use of those revenues for the purposes that Saddam 
+Hussein would most like to use them for.
+    Mr. Barton. Let me ask this question, because my first 5 
+minutes is about out. Where did this determination that they 
+needed $5.2 billion every 6 months come from? Who made that 
+determination?
+    Mr. Wood. That was the result of an extensive United 
+Nations study that was completed in February 1998, I think.
+    Mr. Barton. And did the Iraqi government have any input 
+into that study?
+    Mr. Wood. The Iraqi government refused to cooperate with 
+that study in large part. It was conducted, for the most part, 
+by organizations like the World Food Program and others.
+    Mr. Barton. Okay. Now, do we have any confidence that the 
+food that is being purchased is actually getting to the Iraqi 
+people?
+    Mr. Wood. We do have, obviously, some problems. The papers 
+reported very recently that the Iraqis were--that the 
+government was not distributing medicines, for instance, that 
+were supposed to be distributed. But at the same time, we know 
+that Iraq has imported an average of 3.8 billion metric tons of 
+food a year, which is more than 50 percent higher than the 
+annual average for the 6 years prior to the program's 
+implementation.
+    We know that the malnutrition rate in the government-
+controlled south has stabilized over the past year at about 15 
+percent for infants and 25 percent for children between 1 and 4 
+years of age; and that is an improvement over the previous 
+years. We know that UNICEF reports that malnutrition in the 
+north for the Kurds has dropped--for children under 5 has 
+dropped to 25 percent last year from 30 percent in 1997 and 37 
+percent in 1994.
+    So we have got some clear indications that the goal of the 
+oil-for-food program, which is to take care of the Iraqi 
+population in spite of Saddam Hussein's intentions, is being 
+achieved.
+    Mr. Barton. Now, is it true--one of my briefing papers said 
+that Saddam Hussein has refused to let any of this money be 
+spent on food that is purchased or manufactured in the United 
+States. Is that true?
+    Mr. Wood. That is only true very recently, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. But it is true right now?
+    Mr. Wood. Right, it is true. We have under the oil-for-food 
+program roughly $240 million of U.S. products have been 
+purchased, of which----
+    Mr. Barton. I want you all to listen to this. This program 
+has been in effect since what, November 1996?
+    Mr. Wood. Right.
+    Mr. Barton. And we allow up to $5 billion every 6 months, 
+so that is potentially $10 billion a year. So that is 
+potentially maybe $12, $13 billion since we are just into 1999; 
+but I am told that it has not been that much. We have spent how 
+many billions of dollars? Do you know the exact number? I am 
+going to guess it is $8 or $9 billion, but I don't know that.
+    Mr. Wood. Well, it is important to remember again that the 
+proceeds for the oil-for-food, a large part of it, a third of 
+it goes to the compensation commission to compensate Kuwaitis 
+for their losses--Kuwaitis, Americans, and others for their 
+losses during the Gulf War. So not all of that program goes for 
+the purchase of food.
+    Mr. Barton. Give me your best number for how much of the 
+billions of dollars that they have collected has been spent on 
+food that actually went into Iraq.
+    Mr. Wood. Our best understanding is that $902 million have 
+been approved for food.
+    Mr. Barton. Only $902 million?
+    Mr. Wood. Let me keep going. $172 million for health.
+    Mr. Barton. Let's just focus on food right now. A little 
+less than a billion dollars on food? Is that your best number?
+    Mr. Wood. That is right.
+    Mr. Barton. Less than a billion, and of that billion, $240 
+million was purchased from the United States sources?
+    Mr. Wood. That is right.
+    Mr. Barton. Okay. Well, I think I could equate that to how 
+many jobs have been lost and how many millions of barrels of 
+production have been lost in the United States. But that would 
+be hitting a little bit below the belt. But I think you get my 
+drift.
+    Mr. Hall is recognized for 5 minutes.
+    Mr. Hall. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Williams, I will 
+start with you. You have--one of your cures for the dilemma is 
+that we get the U.N. to do some searching and see what is 
+happening with the food when it gets there, who it goes to. I 
+know you are highly educated, and I also know that you have got 
+an awful lot of street sense, street smarts. Doesn't your 
+street sense tell you that if they couldn't find the dang 
+nuclear plants, that they are going to have a hard time 
+catching those guys stealing that food?
+    Mr. Williams. It probably does and it should. The import of 
+that suggestion goes to the fact that we need to have--someone 
+needs to do the investigation and make the----
+    Mr. Hall. You pointed out by your answer now the dilemma 
+that we are in. And my thrust probably is going to be to see 
+what we can do to kill the policy. I don't think it is a good 
+policy. I don't think it is a sensible policy. We used the 
+Space Station for foreign policy and wound up putting money 
+galore into Russia; and still apparently we are not saving the 
+Space Station. Here we are using food-for-oil as another--
+really a kind of a--I don't know why we would try to have a 
+good foreign policy with Iraq, but apparently somehow we are 
+trying to keep our foot in the door.
+    It seems to me--I am not saying cut all the trees and kill 
+all the whales and everything is bad and we ought to disconnect 
+everybody in the world. But I don't see any sense in dealing 
+with Iraq. I don't like to starve children, but war is war; and 
+we are in a state of war with those people. We are bombing them 
+probably today or tonight or tomorrow or whenever we are going 
+to.
+    Mr. Wood, what do you mean by saying you are controlling 
+where the revenue goes? That thought occurred to me--I heard 
+you say that a moment ago. Where does the revenue go? I will 
+come back to you, Mr. Williams.
+    Mr. Wood. As I indicated, the revenue goes into an escrow 
+account that is only released for authorized purposes.
+    Mr. Hall. Now, this is food for oil.
+    Mr. Barton. But it is really not food for oil. That is what 
+is so frustrating about this. They have collected somewhere 
+between $5 and $6 billion and they have spent a little less 
+than a billion on food. So it is called food for oil, but it is 
+really not food for oil.
+    Mr. Wood. Let me correct what I said earlier because I was 
+giving you the most recent statistics. Since the beginning of 
+the program, a total of $2.75 billion has been used to purchase 
+food. Over $500 million has been used to purchase medicine and 
+$400 million for supplies in areas of water, sanitation, 
+electricity, and education projects.
+    Mr. Barton. So that gets us up to about $3 billion, but a 
+little over $2.5 billion for food?
+    Mr. Wood. And, again, don't forget the oil-for-food program 
+has only been at the $5.2 billion level for a year or so.
+    Mr. Barton. Right. I am going to give Mr. Hall additional 
+time; and I don't want to dominate this, but that infuriates 
+me. This study that was done apparently was done with a great 
+degree of effort to find out what the true needs were, but you 
+have doubled the program; and the population of Iraq has not 
+doubled in the last year. I mean, I can draw no conclusion to 
+that, sir, but that that is just a pure political judgment on 
+behalf of the bureaucrats in the United Nations to appease 
+Saddam Hussein. I may be wrong, and the studies may show it 
+different; but if the first study was an accurate study, the 
+Iraqi population is not that fertile that they are expanding 
+the population so greatly that they need to double the amount 
+of flood and supplies that they need. But, Mr. Hall?
+    Mr. Hall. Go ahead and get your answer from him.
+    Mr. Wood. Mr. Chairman, I think that the easiest example I 
+can give you is that OPEC has just cut back its sale of oil.
+    Mr. Barton. Yes, they did. And Iraq did not and Iraq is a 
+member of OPEC.
+    Mr. Wood. This is following in December Baghdad's call for 
+the overthrow of the regime of Saudi Arabia and the leadership 
+in some of the other Persian Gulf OPEC members.
+    Mr. Barton. Which have the full faith and credit of the 
+United States of America to guarantee that this will not happen 
+by military means.
+    Mr. Wood. I understand. But the OPEC nations themselves 
+believed it was better for them to cut back their oil sales 
+than to seek a reduction in the oil-for-food program. And the 
+reason for that, we believe, is a combination of humanitarian 
+concern for people of Iraq and the recognition that taking care 
+of the humanitarian needs of the people of Iraq is an absolute 
+prerequisite to maintaining the integrity of sanctions 
+implementation and to returning, as we hope will occur soon, 
+the weapons-of-mass-destruction inspectors and the other 
+elements of the policy for containing Iraq.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, hopes are one thing, sir, but reality is 
+another. And I don't believe anybody on this subcommittee 
+opposes providing in some way food and medicine for the people 
+of Iraq. That is not the message we are sending. But it really 
+does not appear, so far as this hearing is going along, that 
+that is what is happening. And with all due respect, I don't 
+think appeasement works; and I don't think it works with Saddam 
+Hussein, and I would disagree with the collective wisdom of the 
+OPEC nations to think it is okay to appease Saddam Hussein and 
+let him produce as much oil as he wants.
+    Mr. Hall, I have used almost your entire 5 minutes, so I 
+will give you another 5 minutes. We will give you an additional 
+2 or 3 minutes.
+    Mr. Hall. You are the Chairman. It makes a difference.
+    Mr. Barton. I am just a little riled up about this.
+    Mr. Hall. To reclaim my 7 minutes--and you have covered 
+some of the ground I wanted to cover, and of course we have 
+talked about the economic advantages that the Iraqi government 
+and Saddam Hussein has taken. I think, Mr. Hakes, you can tell 
+us another advantage that he has taken. Our research and 
+development expert from Randall and Dewey, Dave Bole, is going 
+to be testifying in a little bit; but we have read his 
+testimony and he has indicated that not only do the Iraqis have 
+this advantage, the two advantages that the Chairman drew out 
+there, they have also made Iraq the swing oil producer, have 
+they not, in that whole part of the country?
+    Mr. Hakes. Not as I understand that term.
+    Mr. Hall. Well, let me tell you how I understand the term. 
+It may be wrong. They sell the last barrel into the market. And 
+doesn't that define the market price?
+    Mr. Hakes. Well, everybody that sells into the market is in 
+a sense selling the last barrel.
+    Mr. Hall. The last seller getting the most price for it.
+    Mr. Hakes. The swing producer, as I have normally seen it 
+used, is referred to Saudi Arabia who has the ability to raise 
+and lower production because they have more excess capacity 
+than they use.
+    Mr. Hall. They have a bigger hole in their well than 
+anybody else.
+    Mr. Hakes. Right. For instance, a year ago before they made 
+these cuts, they still had the capacity to almost immediately 
+increase production by 2 billion barrels; and they also have 
+been more willing to cut back. So they sort of have been the 
+only swing producer that is able to raise and lower. The Iraqis 
+don't have any ability right now to go above the 2.5.
+    Mr. Barton. But they do have the ability to go below 2.5.
+    Mr. Hakes. As does any producer.
+    Mr. Barton. I mean, there is no structural impediment to 
+the Iraqis reducing their oil production if they wanted to.
+    Mr. Hakes. Right. Particularly the state-owned companies 
+have that option if they are willing to.
+    Mr. Barton. And all the oil in Iraq is state owned.
+    Mr. Hakes. Right. I think the four or five largest 
+companies in the world right now are state-owned companies 
+including Iraq.
+    Mr. Hall. Mr. Hakes, to where we are on the same line, his 
+testimony will be--it says, ``Let me explain what allows Iraq 
+to become the swing producer.'' I guess that is why we ran 
+across that. ``Currently many industry analysts estimate that 
+worldwide oil productive capacity that is, production that 
+could quickly be added to the world market exceeds demand by 
+only about 4 percent.'' And says, ``This increase has allowed 
+Iraq to become the world's swing producer, the producer that 
+sells the last barrels into the market and thereby defines the 
+market for the entire market.'' Is that not your understanding 
+of what a swing producer is?
+    Mr. Hakes. No.
+    Mr. Hall. Okay. I am sorry that I hadn't set that out for 
+you.
+    Mr. Hakes. I have heard that discussed, but I am not sure 
+that is the way it works.
+    Mr. Hall. That is a good thing to allude to. Call it 
+whatever type producer you want to; he in the position of 
+selling the last and defining the market.
+    Mr. Hakes. The market is set by all producers and all 
+buyers.
+    Mr. Hall. In diamonds or whatever.
+    Mr. Barton. Mr. Hall, could you ask one more question and 
+then let us go to Mr. Shimkus. We will come back and give you 
+additional time after the other three.
+    Mr. Hall. I would like to just ask a quick yes-or-no from 
+Mr. Wood. Are we the only Nation supporting the oil-for-food 
+program?
+    Mr. Wood. By no means, sir.
+    Mr. Hall. A number of other nations? With Iraq?
+    Mr. Wood. Absolutely, sir. Both in the Security Council and 
+around the world.
+    Mr. Hall. You have answered. What would be the impact on 
+our foreign policy and our relations with our allies if the 
+U.S. were to successfully push for an end to the oil-for-food 
+program?
+    Mr. Wood. We believe that the sanctions, all of the 
+programs aimed at containment of Iraq, would be seriously 
+eroded. While we retain the ability within the Security Council 
+to veto any legal change in these programs, we believe that 
+their observance by other nations would erode quickly. We would 
+face growing international pressure to lift sanctions. We would 
+have less support for a hard line on maintaining inspections of 
+Iraq's weapons-of-mass-destruction programs. We believe that 
+this would seriously weaken our ability to take a tough line 
+with Iraq while we are pursuing the other track--the two other 
+tracks, which are the enforcement of the no-fly zones and our 
+efforts to replace the regime of Saddam Hussein.
+    Mr. Hall. Last question. Are you all talking to the oil 
+producers about the impact it has on them?
+    Mr. Wood. Absolutely, sir. And I might add----
+    Mr. Hall. Are you listening to them?
+    Mr. Wood. We are, sir. Oman was one of the original 
+sponsors in the United Nations of the first oil-for-food 
+program proposal back in the early 1990's.
+    Mr. Barton. Could I just--Mr. Hakes and Mr. Wood, before we 
+go to Mr. Shimkus, are either one of you aware of any other 
+Nation in the world that is permanently shutting in production 
+that will never come back as a result of this program? You say 
+that the other nations support the program. I am not aware of 
+any other nation in the world that has the marginal-well 
+situation like we have in the United States that is being 
+permanently lost because of this. Are there other nations?
+    Mr. Hakes. I am not as familiar with--Canada might possibly 
+have some, but I would agree with the drift of your question 
+that the United States is in a rather unique position on this 
+issue.
+    Mr. Barton. I am told we have lost about 600,000 barrels a 
+day just within the last year. It is never going to come back.
+    Mr. Hakes. The December-to-December figures going to 
+December 1998, we had lost about 500,000 barrels a day; and it 
+is higher than that now, I am sure; and there is also a leg 
+effect because it discourages new investments, and sometimes 
+that doesn't show up in production losses that you otherwise 
+would have had.
+    Mr. Barton. So with the exception of Canada, when the 
+deputy under special assistant secretary talks about the rest 
+of the world supporting this program, it is really the domestic 
+small oil and gas producer in the United States that is 
+supporting it by losing their job and losing their resources. 
+There is no other----
+    Mr. Hakes. The point, I think, is very valid that the small 
+producers have a very limited ability to come back once they 
+are shut down. In other words, when the price goes down like 
+this and then the price goes back up, that won't necessarily 
+bring those--a higher price won't necessarily bring all of 
+those producers back.
+    Mr. Barton. I want to correct the record. It is the 
+principal assistant deputy secretary. I am not trying to be 
+facetious about that, sir.
+    Mr. Shimkus.
+    Mr. Shimkus. Mr. Chairman, I yield my time to my colleague 
+from Oklahoma so he can catch his plane.
+    Mr. Largent. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Wood, I am 
+reading in your testimony that we got at 9:30 this morning. The 
+second paragraph says that the administration's policy is to 
+contain Saddam Hussein until he can be removed from power. It 
+sounds to me that it is the administration's policy to sustain 
+Saddam Hussein until he can be removed from power, and I want 
+to make a statement and get you to respond to it.
+    As I have studied history throughout the world, the most 
+motivating thing--if you want to foment change in a country, 
+hunger is the most motivating factor to foment political change 
+that we are trying to see in Iraq. And yet we are moving in the 
+opposite direction. Would you like to comment on that? I mean, 
+I am striking at the very fundamental policy decision that is 
+being made.
+    And I want to say, too, just parenthetically here, that I 
+understand that if we can see this change take place and we get 
+a new regime in there and Iraq comes back on with their oil 
+production and begins increasing their oil production, that we 
+are in the same boat. So what I am really talking about is a 
+foreign policy decision that currently is affecting independent 
+producers; but if we are successful in our foreign policy, we 
+still have the same problem that we have to deal with, and I 
+understand that. So don't think that I am saying--or anybody up 
+here is saying that the problem that we are having in Oklahoma 
+is all because of our foreign policy. But this foreign policy 
+is important, and I am just thinking that we are doing the 
+exact opposite of what we need to be doing if our policy goal 
+is to remove Saddam Hussein from power.
+    Mr. Wood. We certainly agree with you that this is a very 
+important foreign policy, and, indeed, in fact there is no 
+issue on which the Secretary of State and our people in New 
+York and others spend more time.
+    It is not our assessment that withholding humanitarian 
+assistance under the oil-for-food program would be a better way 
+to drive out Saddam Hussein. And I might add that it is not his 
+assessment either. He has not cooperated with this program. In 
+spite of the program, he has tried to keep food from his 
+population. He has tried to keep medicine from his population. 
+That is why we received these press reports a month ago. He 
+finds it more useful to blame the world for the poverty and the 
+malnutrition and the unhappiness of his own people than to 
+allow them to be adequately nourished.
+    He has consistently failed to cooperate with the oil-for-
+food program. He sees it as a threat. He does not see it as a 
+bolster for his regime, and in this assessment, frankly, we 
+agree with him.
+    Mr. Barton. If he really felt that, he wouldn't have to 
+sell any oil. If that were literally a true statement, he would 
+refuse to let his state-owned oil company sell any oil. So it 
+can't be true.
+    Mr. Wood. During the life of the program, Saddam Hussein 
+has interrupted the flow of oil on several occasions for 
+periods of more than a month at a time. And, again, it is 
+because his assessment is that--we believe that his assessment 
+is that the world will take responsibility for his population 
+even if he won't. And that may extend, as it has in some cases, 
+to proposals to lift sanctions.
+    Mr. Largent. So in this world, we literally cannot force 
+Saddam Hussein to do anything, including allow us to inspect 
+weapons sites. We cannot force him to not fly in the no-fly 
+zone. But what we can do, what we have been effective in doing 
+is forcing food on him. Is that what you are telling us? That 
+is the one thing that we have been effective in doing is 
+forcing food on him when he didn't want it?
+    Mr. Wood. I would have to say that I don't think that he is 
+happy with what is happening in the no-fly zones.
+    Mr. Largent. Who distributes the food under this program?
+    Mr. Wood. The Iraqi regime distributes it in the south 
+under U.N. monitoring, and the U.N. itself distributes it in 
+the north.
+    Mr. Largent. And where in the pecking order does the 
+Republican Guard fall in? Who gets fed first?
+    Mr. Wood. Again, I think that they are--they tend to be 
+less malnourished than anybody else to begin with.
+    Mr. Largent. I think so. We are making them fat.
+    Mr. Wood. I am not saying that it is the U.N. that is 
+feeding them. I am not saying that it is this program that is 
+feeding them. They have always been cared for better than the 
+population at large.
+    Mr. Largent. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    Mr. Barton. We have been everywhere liberal in the use of 
+time. I have consumed probably three times my 5 minutes, so if 
+you have some additional questions.
+    Mr. Largent. It just seems to me that the administration's 
+policy or our foreign policy in this issue right now is that we 
+want to overthrow this evil empire, but we don't want to make 
+anybody mad doing it. I don't understand that. That just really 
+baffles me. We are going to kill them with kindness.
+    Mr. Hall. Will the gentleman yield?
+    Mr. Largent. Yes, sir.
+    Mr. Hall. Does it ever occur to you that we won't ask 
+ourselves the question of whatever happened to consorting with 
+the enemy? You know, they used to shoot you for that. I think 
+it is a sorry policy, and I think this is a sorry program. And 
+I think you are bringing it out very well. So give him 7 more 
+minutes.
+    Mr. Largent. I will yield back, Mr. Chairman.
+    Mr. Barton. Mr. Shimkus, do you want to reclaim original 
+order or do you want me to go to Mr. Burr?
+    Mr. Shimkus. I would rather go original order, unless Mr. 
+Burr has a pressing----
+    Mr. Barton. Mr. Burr's plane is not until 4:15.
+    Mr. Shimkus. I imagine mine is too, or close to it.
+    Mr. Wood, I am sorry that I missed the initial fireworks, 
+so welcome. And we are learning a lot, and I appreciate you 
+being here, along with the other panelists. But it seems like 
+you are getting the brunt of the fire right now.
+    I am trying to follow up on a statement that you said that 
+our allies want this program and they are willing to curtail 
+their own production while allowing Saddam Hussein to produce 
+more, both on the food-to-oil program and through the black 
+market, thus undercutting their prices on the world market. Our 
+allies support this policy?
+    Mr. Wood. What I am saying is that we have not received 
+approaches from OPEC nations, and in particular the Gulf OPEC 
+nations, seeking to curtail the oil-for-food program. Just the 
+opposite. They have indicated strong support for the oil-for-
+food program.
+    Mr. Barton. Would the gentleman yield on that?
+    Mr. Shimkus. I will.
+    Mr. Barton. Surely you have got people in the State 
+Department that understand if we drive the American marginal 
+producer out of production, it helps every producer in the 
+Middle East over time. And Iraq is part of OPEC. So they are 
+crying with crocodile tears when they support this because 
+every marginal well in Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Illinois, 
+West Virginia, California, Colorado, on and on and on that goes 
+out of production is never coming back. And their wells in the 
+Middle East are there just waiting to resume production. Surely 
+you all understand that. Do you?
+    Mr. Wood. Yes, I mean--I am certainly not an expert in our 
+domestic oil industry, but it is obvious from the testimony 
+here today, and from your own comments, sir, that marginal 
+wells once shut down stay shut down.
+    Mr. Shimkus. Maybe that message ought to get back to the 
+State Department.
+    Mr. Wood. It will.
+    Mr. Shimkus. Following up on a question I asked to my 
+colleague, Wes, from Oklahoma--and you have kind of 
+elaborated--but you said an escrow--how do we know that the 
+revenue from the oil-for-food program is going for food only? 
+Mr. Watkins said that it is going to an Iraqi bank account. You 
+mentioned an escrow. What bank or banks is this money flowing 
+to, and who controls the account?
+    Mr. Wood. I am not sure what--I am told that, I think, it 
+is Banque Nationale of Paris, one of the world's largest and 
+most reputable. Let me just say, though, that within the oil-
+for-food program there are a series of checks and maybe it 
+would be useful if I went through those.
+    A U.N. contractor monitors outflow of Iraqi oil through 
+pipelines. This does not mean that there is not a smuggling 
+problem. I will get to that in a second because we are trying 
+to address that.
+    Then roughly 50 employees of another contractor, a Swiss 
+company, are stationed at the four points of entry for products 
+that are allowed. And they are responsible for verifying the 
+arrival of humanitarian goods. Within Iraq itself, the U.N. 
+Office of the Iraq Program has roughly 150 inspectors whose job 
+it is to ensure that the goods sent into Iraq under our oil for 
+food reach their proper destinations. There are 50 sector 
+observers and 50 geographic observers and 20 of sort of a 
+multidisciplinary unit.
+    That is how distribution within a particular southern part 
+is tracked. Every contract is approved--every contract is 
+approved by the sanctions committee, of which we are a member. 
+We review every contract. We approve every contract.
+    In addition, UNSCOM, the weapons-inspection agency, when it 
+is functioning--and I admit it is not functioning now--but when 
+it is functioning, they also receive reports of all imports 
+into Iraq and do their own analysis as to whether or not there 
+is any diversion away from the intended----
+    Mr. Shimkus. But that is not being done now, so there could 
+be diversions?
+    Mr. Wood. And as a result, we on the sanctions committee 
+are being more scrupulous in the contracts that we are allowing 
+to go through. So there is an offset there. Maybe--that is the 
+general framework.
+    Mr. Shimkus. Okay. So you would take--so you would not 
+accept Congressman Watkins' premise that there is no control of 
+the money and that the money is going totally for the needs of 
+the food and the medicine?
+    Mr. Wood. Sir, I would never say totally. I would say with 
+a high degree of confidence, we are absolutely sure that the 
+vast, vast majority of this revenue is going for what it is----
+    Mr. Shimkus. Does State Department believe that money is 
+fungible?
+    Mr. Wood. Yes, sir.
+    Mr. Shimkus. In other words, that if this money is being 
+used to feed the populous and the medicine needs, then that is 
+saving revenue for the Iraqi government to fully feed the Guard 
+and also the people in high places and authority?
+    Mr. Wood. That is true. However, Iraq is under the most 
+sweeping sanctions regime in the history of the world. And it 
+is not clear where they will develop new hard currency in order 
+to buy imports, in order to do that.
+    Now, we have talked about the smuggling program; and this 
+continues to be a problem. There has been smuggling of gas oil 
+products through the Gulf; and we estimate that that has been 
+reduced from roughly 55,000 barrels a day a year ago to 
+approximately 5,000 barrels per day now. And we have done this 
+through a combination of third-party pressure on Iran, which is 
+where the smuggling was destined; the bombing of the Basrah oil 
+refinery which was responsible for producing this oil; and 
+through the activities of the maritime interception force and 
+other activities there. So there is a dramatic decrease in that 
+smuggling.
+    Trade through Turkey we also believe has decreased 
+significantly by about 50 percent. We estimate that the current 
+trade is roughly 20,000 barrels per day compared to 45,000 
+barrels a day a year ago. We are continuing to work hard with 
+Turkey on reducing this.
+    So much for the good news. The bad news is that there seems 
+to be a growing illicit trade through Syria, and we are looking 
+into that; but I assure you that we take the smuggling problem 
+seriously. We take--it is of particular concern because it is 
+the way of raising hard currency for use by the Iraqi regime, 
+which is not under our control. It is the principal way that 
+they can raise hard currency that is not under our control. And 
+what they can buy with hard currency are things that we don't 
+want them to buy.
+    Mr. Shimkus. I would love to follow this line of 
+questioning more, but I want to go to my last one. And this is 
+a little bit more touchy and generic.
+    How can we as a Nation continue to follow the line of the 
+U.N. position that gives us the authority to patrol the no-fly 
+zone, to do the oil-for-food program, when we are now engaged 
+in activities in Kosovo without any negotiation of the United 
+Nations, no U.N. Security Council. Do you not think that we are 
+now in a position of not legitimizing our presence in that 
+region under the U.N. when we have totally disregarded U.N. 
+negotiations in our current activities?
+    Mr. Wood. I think I would make a couple of quick points. 
+First, our policy is to pursue U.S. objectives. And to the 
+degree that the U.N. assists us to do that, it is a valuable 
+tool in the----
+    Mr. Shimkus. It is a U.N. no-fly zone. It is not a U.S. no-
+fly zone.
+    Mr. Wood. The no-fly zone is carried out within the 
+framework of U.N. resolutions. They are not explicitly 
+authorized by U.N. resolutions.
+    Mr. Shimkus. Is it a U.N. no-fly zone or a U.S. no-fly 
+zone?
+    Mr. Wood. Again, the no-fly zones were put in place 
+following the Gulf War after Saddam Hussein began to attack his 
+own people----
+    Mr. Shimkus. Who authorized it?
+    Mr. Wood. It is not authorized explicitly in any U.N. 
+resolution, but it is within the framework of U.N. resolutions 
+that calls upon nations to assist--to help prevent Iraq from 
+brutalizing its own population. But there is nothing--but the 
+pilots of the no-fly zones don't wear blue helmets. They don't 
+fly U.N. planes. There is no U.N. chain of commands whatsoever. 
+That is a green-hatted operation.
+    Mr. Barton. What is a green hat?
+    Mr. Wood. It is under the national chain of command.
+    Mr. Shimkus. So go ahead and continue with the answer, 
+then.
+    Mr. Wood. Again, we utilize the United Nations, as every 
+nation does----
+    Mr. Shimkus. No, we don't. We haven't in our recent 
+activities in Kosovo. We pick and choose when we need to use 
+the U.N. and when we do not.
+    Mr. Wood. We certainly believe that our actions in Kosovo 
+are entirely in keeping with international law. There is, in 
+fact, a vote taking place just about now, I hope, in the 
+Security Council on a resolution to be introduced by Russia 
+criticizing the NATO action. And we believe that it will fail 
+both for lack of votes and because it will have no fewer than 
+three vetoes on it. So we will have to see.
+    Mr. Barton. We will have to reclaim somewhat regular order 
+so that we can let Mr. Burr get a question in. Mr. Burr is 
+recognized for 5 minutes.
+    Mr. Burr. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Wood, just keep that 
+mike next to you. I want to ask you about your testimony. Did 
+you really mean it when you said you are pleased to be here 
+today?
+    Mr. Wood. Absolutely, sir.
+    Mr. Burr. Did you write this testimony?
+    Mr. Wood. No, sir.
+    Mr. Burr. When were you told that you were testifying in 
+front of this committee?
+    Mr. Wood. Wednesday, sir.
+    Mr. Burr. Who told you?
+    Mr. Wood. I was asked if I was available to do it.
+    Mr. Burr. Who asked you?
+    Mr. Wood. Our normal legislative----
+    Mr. Burr. Name?
+    Mr. Wood. I don't think I have a name.
+    Mr. Burr. You don't know who asked you?
+    Mr. Wood. I can't recall, sir.
+    Mr. Burr. Who would have approved it?
+    Mr. Wood. My boss approved it.
+    Mr. Burr. Your boss is who?
+    Mr. Wood. Assistant Secretary Welch.
+    Mr. Burr. Did he write your testimony?
+    Mr. Wood. No.
+    Mr. Burr. Who wrote your testimony?
+    Mr. Wood. It was written in our office.
+    Mr. Burr. Who did that?
+    Mr. Wood. Some of the people behind me, but----
+    Mr. Burr. When did you read it?
+    Mr. Wood [continuing]. I take full responsibility for it.
+    Mr. Burr. When did you read your testimony for the first 
+time?
+    Mr. Wood. Wednesday evening.
+    Mr. Burr. Did you have the ability to change your 
+testimony?
+    Mr. Wood. Yes, sir.
+    Mr. Burr. Did your boss sign off on your testimony?
+    Mr. Wood. He reviewed it. He didn't sign off on it.
+    Mr. Barton. Who is your direct supervisor?
+    Mr. Wood. Assistant Secretary Welch.
+    Mr. Burr. Is he the final sign-off on it, or did it have to 
+go somewhere else?
+    Mr. Wood. It had to be cleared fairly widely.
+    Mr. Burr. To what degree, as far as the hierarchy at State?
+    Mr. Wood. Well, because it reflected--because the principal 
+task in writing it was to update the testimony that I think has 
+been mentioned here earlier that Under Secretary Pickering gave 
+in the Senate, there was a wide, wide clearance.
+    Mr. Barton. Would the gentleman yield?
+    Mr. Burr. Let me make one statement, and I would be happy 
+to yield. Would you disagree with the statement that your 
+testimony was to support what the State Department's policy is?
+    Mr. Wood. Yes, sir, that is exactly what my testimony is 
+for.
+    Mr. Barton. I just want to follow up on this same line. We 
+had some concern, Mr. Wood--and we are not personally offended 
+that you are here. I think you are doing a good job in a 
+difficult situation, so I want to let you know that. But we had 
+a concern that we were not getting the appropriate level of 
+testifier that should have been here.
+    That was expressed to me early in the week, and did I want 
+to call the Secretary of State and demand that there be a 
+higher-level official than yourself; and I said no, that the 
+main thing was to get the meat of the issue before the 
+subcommittee. Of course, then when we didn't get testimony 
+until this morning, that kind of inflamed opinion about that.
+    How many people in the State Department have direct impact 
+on this policy that Mr. Burr and I and every other member of 
+the subcommittee is concerned about? Could you elaborate the 
+chain of command of the people who are directly involved in 
+this policy?
+    Mr. Wood. By ``this policy,'' you mean our policy toward 
+Iraq?
+    Mr. Barton. No, the great oil-for-food policy that you are 
+trying with some difficulty to defend.
+    Mr. Wood. Starting with the Secretary of State. There are 
+officials at the Under Secretary level--well, at the----
+    Mr. Barton. I am with Mr. Burr on this one. We want names 
+of people. We want names and titles: Secretary Madeleine 
+Albright, the Secretary of State----
+    Mr. Wood. Deputy Secretary of State Strobe Talbott, Under 
+Secretary for Political Affairs Thomas Pickering, Under 
+Secretary for Economic Affairs Stuart Eizenstat, Assistant 
+Secretary for Near East/Middle East Affairs, Martin Indyk, 
+Assistant Secretary for International Organization Affairs, 
+David Welch.
+    Mr. Barton. That is six so far.
+    Mr. Wood. There are also people in our intelligence----
+    Mr. Barton. Give us the name of the person or at least the 
+title. I know the State Department is a massive bureaucracy, so 
+I may even get beyond your mental ability here.
+    Mr. Wood. Getting beyond my mental ability is not a high 
+threshold.
+    Mr. Barton. No, I think so you are an intelligent man.
+    Mr. Wood. But perhaps I can cut this--can help by saying 
+that it is routine State Department practice--and I can't speak 
+for other departments of the government--that officials at the 
+Deputy Assistant Secretary level, my level, are often the 
+testifiers on a variety of subjects. It is not our policy, 
+however, to fail to provide testimony on a timely basis.
+    Mr. Barton. Who is your direct report? I forgot.
+    Mr. Wood. David Welch, assistant secretary.
+    Mr. Barton. But you are the principal deputy assistant.
+    Mr. Wood. That is right.
+    Mr. Barton. Which would indicate that there is a deputy 
+probably below you.
+    Mr. Wood. That is right.
+    Mr. Barton. Is it safe to say that you are the lowest level 
+State Department official that they could comfortably get away 
+with sending before this subcommittee?
+    Mr. Wood. No, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. No, sir? There is somebody lower than you?
+    Mr. Wood. I hope so, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. Okay. If we want to pursue this, though--and I 
+think we will. I have heard nothing yet to indicate that this 
+is a policy that the Congress should support with any 
+enthusiasm. So if we want to continue this, we should ask up to 
+probably the Under Secretary and just have a State Department 
+panel so that we get every player in the State Department that 
+has put this policy together before this subcommittee.
+    Mr. Wood. Well, I----
+    Mr. Barton. And probably the U.N. Ambassador.
+    Mr. Wood. We very much hope that everybody from the State 
+Department would speak with one voice on the policy. And I 
+believe that I can adequately represent that voice.
+    Mr. Barton. Oh, I think you are making the best of a bad 
+deal before this subcommittee.
+    Mr. Wood. And at the same time, my initial statement that 
+we were genuinely grateful for this opportunity to testify 
+before the subcommittee, a subcommittee that you yourself 
+pointed out we don't testify before very often----
+    Mr. Barton. But you will.
+    Mr. Wood. And we look forward to it, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. There is a new beginning. We will recognize Mr. 
+Burr for another 5 minutes because I took 3 minutes and didn't 
+even let you get started.
+    Mr. Burr. Mr. Wood, how long will it take for Saddam to be 
+removed?
+    Mr. Wood. Difficult to say, sir. Sooner the better.
+    Mr. Burr. Who will remove him?
+    Mr. Wood. We are working--we, including our new Special 
+Coordinator for Transition in Iraq, Mr. Frank Ricciardone, is 
+working with regional groups, with dissident groups.
+    Mr. Burr. Outside Iraq? Inside Iraq? Who will actually 
+bring him down?
+    Mr. Wood. Don't know.
+    Mr. Burr. We don't know?
+    Mr. Wood. Don't know yet.
+    Mr. Burr. Will we?
+    Mr. Wood. Yes, although not necessarily much before it 
+actually happens. I just don't--this isn't the kind of thing 
+that lends itself to speculation or to, really, public 
+analysis. But it is certainly the case that there are dissident 
+groups outside of Iraq. There are groups inside of Iraq that 
+have been oppressed by Saddam Hussein. This includes the Kurds 
+in the north, the Shiites in the south, it includes numbers of 
+groups. And we believe that every day and every way Saddam 
+Hussein is alienating his own population. This is one of the 
+reasons that we do not wish to provide him the additional lever 
+of claiming that he is protecting his population.
+    Mr. Burr. So the State Department has determined that 
+hunger does not mobilize his people to be upset with him? Is 
+that what you are saying?
+    Mr. Wood. Yes, and he has made that statement.
+    Mr. Burr. If he gives them the food, they will be angrier 
+at him?
+    Mr. Wood. He has concluded that with his control of the 
+media and other things, it is easier for him to blame the 
+outside world if his----
+    Mr. Burr. I am trying to determine what mobilizes his 
+people, because I think your whole policy is based on an 
+overthrow from within. And I guess I would ask you where have 
+we used this policy before and it worked?
+    Mr. Wood. I think that there are numbers of cases where we 
+have supported dissident groups, both inside and outside of 
+countries, and it has produced an overthrow. I wouldn't like to 
+go into specifics in this forum.
+    Mr. Barton. I think that it is working really well in Cuba. 
+I think Fidel Castro came into being in 1959.
+    Mr. Hall. Haiti.
+    Mr. Barton. Haiti. We have a number of sterling examples of 
+this policy.
+    Mr. Burr. Clearly, if we adopt the same definition for the 
+term ``removal'' being death by old age, then we have quite a 
+few years that we would live with this policy.
+    Let me just make one comment and then I will quit, Mr. 
+Chairman. Thomas Pickering testified in front of the Senate 
+Foreign Relations Committee on March 17, a little over a week 
+ago, I guess. I don't think there was anything real difficult 
+in preparation for you to testify. I think, in fact, there was 
+intent at the State Department to make sure that we were as ill 
+prepared for your testimony as we possibly could be.
+    I will push next time a State Department official is here 
+to refuse that they testify. When we find out that we can get 
+the same information from other sources, maybe we will take 
+that opportunity to grow a larger surplus by our reductions at 
+the State Department in personnel.
+    I am confident that this is not the last time somebody from 
+the State Department will be in front of this committee and 
+many other committees to try to defend this program, the 
+policies that we have got, and ultimately put all the policies 
+of this State Department under scrutiny.
+    Mr. Chairman, I thank you and the ranking member for your 
+willingness to hold it; and I feel confident that next time, if 
+we don't do it on the last day before a break, that we will 
+have a full subcommittee of members here to pursue this policy 
+further. And I yield back.
+    Mr. Barton. The Chair is going to recognize himself for 5 
+minutes.
+    Mr. Williams, can you give me right now a verbal 
+approximation, and then within a week or so in writing, the 
+number of wells in Texas that have been shut in since the oil-
+for-food program began in late 1996?
+    Mr. Williams. I will do that, Mr. Chairman. But since 
+February 1998 through about February 1999, we have shut in 
+about 2,200 wells in Texas; and I will provide that additional 
+information.
+    Mr. Barton. 2,200?
+    Mr. Williams. Right. And we have plugged about 9,500.
+    Mr. Barton. Plugged about 9,500. Mr. Smith, can you again 
+give me an approximation now and within a week or so the 
+numbers for that same question in Oklahoma.
+    Mr. Smith. Happy, to Mr. Chairman. Thank you. We have about 
+70,000 wells in Oklahoma that produce oil and some gas. As 
+Congressman Watkins mentioned, most of those are marginal. We 
+are plugging wells right and left. I don't know the number. I 
+can get it for you. Maybe Mr. Brown, who is a producer here 
+with me, will know. I am going to guess--and then I will 
+substantiate my number later--that we have plugged since this 
+oil-for-food program started probably about 10 to 15,000 wells.
+    Mr. Barton. 10 to 15,000 wells in Oklahoma?
+    Mr. Smith. Yes, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. So many more in Oklahoma than in Texas?
+    Mr. Smith. I think so. Again, that is off the top of my 
+head. I will verify that.
+    Mr. Barton. There are different terms for stopping 
+production. But the term ``plug'' means it is literally 
+cemented in and you cannot resume production from that well.
+    Mr. Smith. That is correct.
+    Mr. Barton. So it is gone.
+    Mr. Smith. That is correct.
+    Mr. Barton. Mr. Hakes, I asked those two gentlemen because 
+they represent States. You represent the United States. Could 
+you give us your best approximation for domestically--the 
+number of wells that have been plugged and again, as soon as we 
+can get the exact number, get it to us for the record since 
+this oil-for-food program began.
+    [The following was received for the record:]
+
+    The EIA estimates that as many as 33,000 oil and gas wells 
+were plugged in 1998 in the United States. This estimate is 
+based on two pieces of information and certain assumptions. The 
+Interstate Off and Gas Compact Commission (IOGCC), in a recent 
+report entitled ``A Battle for Survival?: The Real Story Behind 
+Low Oil Prices'' (Updated Report--April 1999), reported the 
+results of a survey of States that showed that (excluding 
+Texas) at least 48,000 oil and gas wells were abandoned or 
+idled in 1998. It is unlikely that as many as 50 percent of 
+these wells were plugged. Plugging costs can be high and 
+operators generally try to avoid incurring them as long as 
+possible. On the other hand, it is noted that both Pennsylvania 
+and Colorado did report higher plugging percentages. Assuming, 
+for the purpose of determining a rough upper estimate, that 50 
+percent of the abandoned or idled wells were plugged, the total 
+wells plugged outside of Texas would be 24,000. For Texas, a 
+precise number (8,951) of plugged wells was made available by 
+the Texas Railroad Commission. Combining the two estimates 
+yields the 33,000 wells for the total United States. While it 
+was not possible to determine the exact distribution of total 
+plugged wells between off wells and gas wells, it is clear that 
+the large majority of these were oil wells.
+
+    Mr. Hakes. If you are using the term ``plug'' in the 
+literal sense, that would be data we would get from the States, 
+but we would be glad to assist in the preparation of that 
+number for you.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, give me an estimate. And I am not going 
+to hold you to a great degree of accuracy. I am just trying to 
+get a feel for how many wells we have lost forever since this 
+program began. And we have got 10 to 15,000 in Oklahoma and 
+around 2,000 in Texas. So can you give us--fill in the blank 
+for the rest of the country?
+    Mr. Hakes. Well, I think those are the two largest States 
+for those kinds of wells, so you could extrapolate from that 
+data and say all the other States maybe it is twice that or 
+something.
+    Mr. Barton. So kind of a back-of-the-envelope, you would 
+say 20 to 30,000 wells?
+    Mr. Hakes. I am extrapolating from their data. I would have 
+to go back and check.
+    Mr. Barton. You can get us--to the extent such data is 
+available, you can compile that and get it within the next 2 
+weeks?
+    Mr. Hakes. Yes, we will certainly do that.
+    Mr. Barton. Mr. Smith?
+    Mr. Smith. Mr. Chairman, just a correction. I misread Mr. 
+Hakes' chart. I read it as January 1996 for the oil-for-food 
+program start date rather than 1997. I think I was probably 
+high, but I will get those for you.
+    Mr. Barton. Okay. We are going to make a good faith effort 
+to either terminate this program or substantially change it. 
+And in order to do that, we need to have factual data that we 
+can show our friends at the State Department these losses have 
+occurred. And while there are other factors, we are not going 
+to deny that the Asian situation and the Caspian Sea and all of 
+that, there is a fairly substantial good correlation between 
+this program starting and the problems in the other area.
+    Mr. Wood, do you know how many barrels a day the Iraq 
+Nation needs just for internal consumption? And Mr. Hakes may 
+know that number.
+    Mr. Hakes. The number we use is about 550,000 barrels a 
+day.
+    Mr. Barton. 550?
+    Mr. Hakes. So the exports are roughly 2 million.
+    Mr. Barton. I want to be sure. If they are producing 2.5 
+million barrels or 2.6 million barrels a day, that is for 
+export; and then on top of that they are using half a million.
+    Mr. Hakes. I believe that is the production number.
+    Mr. Barton. That is the total production number and not the 
+export number?
+    Mr. Hakes. Yes, the exports are about 2 million, I believe.
+    Mr. Barton. Okay. So is it the Department of Energy's 
+energy information estimate that they are basically at maximum 
+production right now?
+    Mr. Hakes. Yes, because of their difficulty getting spare 
+parts and capital investment. You know, I think if they had 
+full access to parts and capital investment, they could quickly 
+get back to prewar levels; and I think just in terms of the 
+physical potential there, if you had full investment there, 
+they could probably get up to, maybe, 5, 6 million barrels. But 
+right now they have limited access to capital and parts.
+    Mr. Barton. But given the infrastructure in place, we can 
+assume that they are at maximum production and they are using 
+half a million barrels a day for internal consumption and then 
+they are exporting as much as they can?
+    Mr. Hakes. Right. Just to be a little bit more precise, we 
+are estimating that they may go up 50,000 to 100,000 barrels a 
+day over the next year or so, so that there would be some 
+addition. And I would say that there are a couple of respected 
+firms who think they might be able to increase a little bit 
+more than that. But somewhere in that range.
+    Mr. Barton. Now, Mr. Wood, as this program was put together 
+at the State Department, and I guess the White House and in the 
+United Nations, my understanding is that Iraq has financial 
+assets that have been frozen in western banks since the 
+invasion; is that correct or not correct?
+    Mr. Wood. That is correct, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. Do you know the amount of those assets in terms 
+of dollars?
+    Mr. Wood. I don't think I do.
+    Mr. Barton. Can you get that for us?
+    Mr. Wood. We can look for it for the number, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. Can you do more than look for it? Can you find 
+it?
+    Mr. Wood. We will get you a number, sir. My best 
+understanding is that there are--that there are substantial 
+claims by Americans and by others against those frozen assets 
+just for your----
+    [The following was received for the record:]
+
+    Question. Into which bank are the revenues from sales of 
+Iraqi oil under the Oil-for-Food program are deposited?
+    Answer. Revenues from sales of Iraqi oil under the Oil-for-
+Food program are deposited into an account at the New York 
+branch of the Banque Nationale de Paris. Iraq does not have 
+access to the bank account, nor can Iraq change banks.
+    Question. What is the value of Iraqi frozen assets in the 
+United States? Please provide background on this matter as it 
+relates to the Oil-for-Food program.
+    Answer. Blocked Iraqi assets in the United States total 
+between $1.2 and 1.3 billion. The asserted value of prewar 
+claims against Iraq by U.S. citizens, corporations, and the 
+U.S. government totals approximately $5 billion.
+    In 1992, the U.N. Security Council adopted resolution 778 
+which required states to transfer to the U.N. limited blocked 
+assets representing the proceeds from the sale of Iraqi oil 
+paid after sanctions were imposed on Iraq on August 6, 1990 to 
+fund UNSCOM and the UN Compensation Commission. The USG 
+transferred to the U.N. a total of $211 million. Few other 
+countries made such transfers.
+    The U.S. opposes making further transfers of blocked Iraqi 
+assets to the U.N. because of the potential damage to the 
+interests of U.S. claimants against Iraq.
+
+    Mr. Barton. I understand. But here is my point. Instead of 
+letting the Iraqis export oil, if we have assets that are in 
+western banks, why couldn't we use those assets to buy the food 
+and to send it to the Iraqis and put a liability against future 
+oil production when we have a new government in Iraq so that 
+you still have a contingent claim by the current claimants, but 
+you don't decimate our domestic oil and gas industry in the 
+short-term?
+    Use the money in the bank, buy them the food and the 
+medical equipment, send it over there, put a voucher in there, 
+put a marker in place. Then when we get a new government, then 
+future oil revenues can go back into those funds, into those 
+accounts that we borrowed against or drawn against. I mean does 
+that seem to be a possible rational policy?
+    Mr. Wood. I believe that such an idea has been considered. 
+I think that the lawyers tell us----
+    Mr. Barton. Well, God help me if I have suggested something 
+that the lawyers might have a problem with.
+    Mr. Wood. I think that the lawyers have some concerns about 
+substituting current claims against current assets for current 
+claims against future assets. But I will certainly ask the 
+questions, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. Lawyers have concerns about the sun rising in 
+the east every morning. It may not come up tomorrow, so.
+    The gentleman from Texas is recognized for 5 minutes.
+    Mr. Hall. I am entitled to the same amount of time to talk 
+about the engineers. Joe is an engineer, the engineer of the 
+year in Texas the year before last, I think.
+    You know, as I have been listening--and I thank you for 
+your testimony--and questions that have been asked, and I don't 
+want to ask any of you to comment on what I am about to say, 
+but it seems like we are aiding the enemy. I don't think there 
+is any question that we are aiding the enemy. It seems, while I 
+don't subscribe to anybody lying to a grand jury or anybody 
+else, the Senate committee, it seemed like this dwarfs Oliver 
+North's being charged with aiding the Contras when they were 
+our friends. And here we are aiding a country that is 
+absolutely our enemy, and we are feeding its children and we 
+are doctoring them.
+    And while that maybe makes a lot of us feel good, we are 
+putting off the time that those same people are going to rise 
+up and put him out. That is the goal. That is why we are 
+bombing Yugoslavia today, to encourage the people to rise up 
+and fight their own war. Just to get the scenario in Baghdad, 
+it is a sunny afternoon; and Saddam looks up and sees a truck 
+driving up and tells all of his buddies there, Let's tie our 
+camels over in front of the Long Branch. We have this truck 
+coming in. I hate this stuff but we are going to unload it. You 
+have told us, Mr. Wood, that he doesn't like the program. That 
+is the kind of scenario that could take place. And then get 
+back to this country and the oil hits here. All of us--all the 
+testimony I have heard is that this program is hurting our 
+domestic Nation's oil industry. But it hits over here, and they 
+say, Well, we don't like it. We don't like this program. I know 
+this committee doesn't like the program. But let us unload it 
+and put it in the pipeline.
+    Two of you got bad deals there. I always thought somebody 
+had the best of a contract. You know, marriage isn't anything 
+but a contract; and I didn't marry until I thought I had the 
+best of the contract. Here it looks like they both got the 
+worst of the contract.
+    Why are we putting up with this? Why are we continuing with 
+this? In February 1998 the U.N. secretary general criticized 
+this oil-for-food program basically for delays and 
+inefficiency. And it seems if this is hurting our Nation's oil 
+industry, at the same time being criticized by the General 
+Secretary of the U.N.; and Saddam says he doesn't want it, what 
+would it take to kill a program like this? Not to fund it? Let 
+me ask a more pointed question: How much money is in our budget 
+to support this program?
+    Mr. Wood. Mr. Hall, this program does not directly cost the 
+United States a nickel because it is using Iraq's money 
+exclusively.
+    Mr. Hall. The money that is in their banks over here?
+    Mr. Barton. Are we are paying the unemployment claims for 
+all the displaced workers out of this program?
+    Mr. Hall. I will take all the help I can get. Thank you, 
+Joe.
+    Mr. Wood. I understand the point, but the fact is this uses 
+the proceeds from Iraqi oil sales to fund humanitarian supplies 
+for Iraq to ensure that those revenues are not used for weapons 
+of mass destruction or other nefarious means; to fund, in fact, 
+inspections against weapons of mass destruction, which I admit 
+are temporarily suspended and we are working hard to get them 
+back into place. And roughly a third of it goes to the U.N. 
+compensation commission to pay the just claims of poor 
+Kuwaitis, poor Saudis, poor Americans, for losses that they 
+suffered during the Gulf War.
+    Saddam Hussein doesn't like this because he is only getting 
+a share of the total value of his oil revenues, because he is 
+not controlling the share that he gets; and the share that he 
+is not controlling is going to fund inspections of his weapons-
+of-mass-destruction program; and it is going to feed his 
+population so that he cannot blame their unhappiness on the 
+outside world.
+    This in our view is--this program is absolutely fundamental 
+to maintaining the solidarity of the international community 
+behind a continued tough line on Iraq. And as you know, we have 
+been facing some problems in that regard. We think that oil for 
+food is absolutely fundamental to maintaining that tough line.
+    When he was interviewed by David Frost, George Bush said 
+that his most important accomplishment was not winning the Gulf 
+War; it was forming the coalition that won the Gulf War. We are 
+trying to maintain that kind of coalition. We are trying to 
+maintain that kind of international consensus, in spite of the 
+fact that a potentially very rich, potentially very powerful 
+country is doing everything it can to get out of the box. And 
+we are trying to keep them in the box.
+    Mr. Hall. Well, I must admit we don't have all the 
+information that you have at your disposal, and that is the 
+purpose of these hearings. And I want to reread the record 
+myself.
+    At best, it seems to me that we are helping to keep Saddam 
+in charge over there by feeding his children and doctoring his 
+people. And if you have another part of your body that hasn't 
+been beat on, if you will turn toward me, I will ask you some 
+more questions. But without that, I have had all the time I 
+need, Mr. Chairman.
+    Mr. Barton. I just have a few wrap-up questions for this 
+panel.
+    And I don't know if this would be Mr. Wood or Mr. Hakes, 
+but we understand that there are currently $380 million in 
+spare-parts contracts that have been signed with the Iraqi 
+government for additional infrastructure improvement, but only 
+$11 million worth of that equipment has arrived in the country. 
+If and when that equipment arrives, how much additional export 
+or production capacity does that give the Iraqi oil industry?
+    Mr. Wood. I could begin to answer that question. I am not 
+sure what the incremental effect on Iraqi exports will be. But 
+the delay--I mean, we are now in the second 6 months in which 
+up to $300 million in each phase has been made available for 
+the Iraqi infrastructure improvements. The delay is the result 
+of close scrutiny by the sanctions committee of the proposed 
+contracts, making sure that they go to the right things and 
+they don't go to the wrong things.
+    For instance, we continue to keep on hold contracts that 
+the Iraqis want to use to improve the Basrah refinery, which is 
+the one that we bombed which was heavily implicated in illegal 
+smuggling. And I am not sure what, frankly, this rash of 
+improvements in the Iraqi infrastructure, what the marginal 
+impact----
+    Mr. Barton. Do you know, Mr. Hakes?
+    Mr. Hakes. Well, I think our analysts in arriving at their 
+projection have assumed a sort of moderate speed in the arrival 
+of these parts. And, I believe, in my written testimony we say 
+that there is some uncertainty that the parts will arrive very 
+quickly and fully. We might raise our estimates a little bit if 
+they increase more--are delivered more slowly we might lower a 
+little bit. But we have sort of assumed that they would arrive 
+at a moderate pace.
+    Mr. Barton. Okay. Well, you are going to get a letter next 
+week--the Secretary of State is going to get a letter. We are 
+going to ask that no contracts be signed. You are also going to 
+be asked to give all information that is not classified as to 
+the contents of those contracts. And I am going to sign that 
+letter as subcommittee chairman, and I am going to ask Mr. Hall 
+and every other member of the subcommittee to sign it. Whether 
+I can get them all to sign it, I don't know. I see absolutely 
+no sense in continuing to give the Iraqis the ability to 
+increase their production, even if it is marginal, while our 
+industry is being decimated in the United States.
+    The other thing we are going to ask you, Mr. Wood, is we 
+want a complete itemization of all revenues that have been 
+collected under this program. We want a complete record of all 
+disbursements that have been made under this program. We want 
+an estimate of the expected revenues for the fiscal year that 
+we are currently in and the fiscal year that will begin in 
+October and an expected disbursement from those same funds. And 
+we are going to want that in the next 2 weeks. And we have got 
+to get you the official request in writing for what I just 
+itemized. I understand you can't act on anything until we make 
+it official. But we are going to take a very, very serious look 
+at this program. And I am going to do everything I can--and I 
+mean everything--to either stop it or at least change it so 
+that we provide for the legitimate humanitarian needs of the 
+Iraqi people, but we do it in a way that is different than is 
+currently being done. And there are some things that can be 
+done differently through our food-for-peace program, using the 
+existing Iraqi assets that are in western banks. There are all 
+kinds of ways to help the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi 
+people that don't involve, basically, letting Iraq produce as 
+much oil as it can and export as much as it can. I mean, that, 
+to me is a flawed policy; and it is a failed policy, and it is 
+not in the national security interest of the United States of 
+America.
+    Does this panel wish any final comments before we go to the 
+third panel? Anybody? Well, gentlemen, we want to thank you for 
+your attendance. There will be additional questions for the 
+record in addition to the ones that I have itemized; but we do 
+appreciate it, and this is an important hearing of this 
+subcommittee; and your input has been very valuable, so you are 
+excused.
+    Mr. Hall. And you might tell them that their long tenure at 
+the table will shorten the tenure of the next panel. You have 
+done some good for somebody.
+    Mr. Barton. We would like to call forward our third and 
+final panel, but not the least important. Mr. Adam Sieminski, a 
+principal and senior oil analyst from Baltimore, Maryland; we 
+have Mr. Tom Taylor, who is the regional Vice President for the 
+Texas Independent Producers and Royalty Owners Association; we 
+have Mr. F.W. Pete Brown, co-owner of the Cimarron Production 
+Company in Oklahoma; and Mr. David Bole, who is in corporate 
+research and development, Randall and Dewey, Incorporated, in 
+Houston, Texas; and I believe we have Mr. Scott Anderson, who 
+is the executive director of TIPRO who wishes to appear at the 
+table with the TIPRO witness.
+    Mr. Anderson. I will just sit right behind him.
+    Mr. Barton. Gentlemen, your statements are in the record. 
+We want to thank you for getting your testimony in on time. It 
+is good to know the private sector pays more attention than 
+some of our public officials. We are going to start with Mr. 
+Sieminski. How close am I?
+    Mr. Sieminski. That was very good, Mr. Barton. Thank you 
+very much.
+    Mr. Barton. We will give each of you 5 minutes and then we 
+will have questions. Starting with you, sir.
+
+   STATEMENTS OF ADAM E. SIEMINSKI, PRINCIPAL AND SENIOR OIL 
+ ANALYST, BT ALEX BROWN; TOM TAYLOR, REGIONAL VICE PRESIDENT, 
+  TEXAS INDEPENDENT PRODUCERS AND ROYALTY OWNERS ASSOCIATION; 
+  F.W. ``PETE'' BROWN, CO-OWNER, CIMARRON PRODUCTION COMPANY; 
+DAVID L. BOLE, CORPORATE RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT, RANDALL AND 
+                          DEWEY, INC.
+
+    Mr. Sieminski. Thank you, Mr. Barton. I appreciate the 
+opportunity to come in and provide a statement on some of the 
+factual aspects associated with the Iraqi exports.
+    Let me first try to answer a question that you just asked, 
+sir. What does $300 million worth of spare parts and equipment 
+do for production? Let me just take a quick crack at that.
+    U.N. personnel experts who were sent to Iraq said that 
+production would fall somewhere between 4 to 8 percent a year 
+if they did not get $300 million in spare parts. So if we just 
+said 5 percent or 6 percent, that would be somewhere between 
+125,000 barrels a day, up to 150,000 barrels a day that, 
+presumably, would be able to stay on line with those funds 
+coming in.
+    And so that would--if we are now up to $600 million, I 
+think we could be talking about this possibility of 250,000 
+barrels a day of oil that would be available to the Iraqis to 
+export.
+    Let me, in light of, I think, that 7-minute rule, let me 
+make seven quick points. Again, putting the Iraqi oil exports 
+into perspective, they were the greatest source of OPEC's 
+difficulty in meeting their own compliance rule. Second point, 
+exports have gone up quite a bit. We went from about 1.5 
+million barrels a day in 1998, and that number should hit 2.1 
+to 2.2 in 1999. That is a little bit less than the growth that 
+occurred between 1997 and 1998.
+    The third point I had in my written statement said that 
+Iraq's exports were the second largest influence in 1998 in 
+driving oil prices lower. Listening to Mr. Hakes, I might want 
+to revise that. He said that, I believe, that the incremental 
+loss of demand in Asia was about a million barrels a day. And 
+Iraq's exports went up just a little under 900,000. Mr. Hakes 
+said that in his chart, he had the incremental amount in Asia 
+was about 850,000. If we took his number, then Iraq was No. 1 
+in terms of its impact on the market in 1998.
+    Fourth point. Production capacity in Iraq looks like it is 
+stuck. Looks like it is stuck at 2.7 million barrels a day. 
+That means that imports would presumably be capped at somewhere 
+near 2.1. But the Iraqis have managed to somehow keep 
+production growing faster than the U.N. technical experts 
+thought they could. And it was only about a year ago that the 
+U.N. said that exports would be limited to about 1.6 or 1.7 
+million barrels a day, and they have gotten well over that 
+level. So I don't know how that is being accomplished, and that 
+might be a question that you might want to ask somebody.
+    Fifth point----
+    Mr. Barton. Our staff actually had that in the prepared 
+questions. So it will be asked for the record.
+    Mr. Sieminski. The fifth point is that while taking the 
+ceiling off of the $5.265 billion ceiling actually could become 
+more than just a technical kind of thing very soon. Oil prices 
+have already gone up quite a bit since the beginning of the 
+year. Iraq sold oil last week for $12 a barrel. All they need 
+is another $2 on top of that $12 number that they got last 
+year, and they will hit their cap. And they will not do this 
+during this fifth phase, but if you projected that $2 increment 
+into the next phase which starts May 25, they would actually 
+collect, if they exported 2.1 million barrels a day, $5.3 
+billion. And if they can export more than 2.1, that cap could 
+actually come into effect at a price $2 above current WTI.
+    Sixth point is kind of, I think, an interesting one and 
+this is--you are going to have to ask somebody else because I 
+don't know the answer to this question, but I would love to 
+know the answer to it. The last two times that Iraq has gone to 
+war--in late 1979 just before their invasion of Iran and then 
+in 1990, in the first half of 1990, just before the invasion of 
+Kuwait--there was a sharp rise in production in Iraq. And we 
+have seen just recently another sharp rise in production.
+    And I heard the comment made earlier that oil or funds are 
+fungible. Even if the sources--with more revenue coming into 
+Iraq from these exports, that would give Saddam the ability to 
+use his own internal funds for possible mischief, and I am kind 
+of wondering what this big increase that we have seen in 
+production exports just in the past month or so really means.
+    Final point is one that I really wish that Deputy Secretary 
+Wood would have made and that is that if Iraq is allowed to 
+rebuild its facilities--and this would be a lot easier done if 
+the overall sanctions were moved or if the oil-for-food program 
+was changed in some way, as there have been recommendations on 
+the Security Council to allow companies to go in and invest to 
+help Iraq rebuild its--and repair its equipment and facilities, 
+I would think that Iraq would be quite capable of getting up to 
+3.5 million barrels a day of production pretty quickly, and all 
+of that increment would be available for export.
+    So I would conclude, Mr. Chairman, with sort of a kind of a 
+recommendation, which is that one of the key focuses of this 
+committee and the questions that I think you should pursue with 
+the State Department is how do we keep direct foreign 
+investment by other countries into the Iraqi oil industry 
+limited during the period that sanctions are on and Iraq is 
+still misbehaving. And I thank you for your time.
+    [The prepared statement of Adam E. Sieminski follows:]
+   Prepared Statement of Adam E. Sieminski, Principal and Senior Oil 
+                  Analyst, BT Alex. Brown Incorporated
+                iraq's oil exports and world oil markets
+Iraqi exports were a major reason for the drop in oil prices in 1998
+    The rise in Iraqi production from an average of 1.15 mmb/d in 1997 
+and 2.11 mmb/d in 1998, to about 2.5 mmb/d currently has been the 
+greatest source of OPEC's difficulty in meeting quota compliance under 
+agreements reached in March and June of 1998. Iraq's oil exports, which 
+rose along with production, were a major contributor to the oil price 
+weakness of 1998 and early 1999. Two key factors played a role in this 
+situation. First, the UN's Oil for Food Program sets a monetary (not 
+oil volume) target for humanitarian relief. If oil prices decline for 
+any reason, the amount of oil Iraq is allowed to sell under the program 
+can rise. Low oil prices allowed Iraq to sell more barrels under the 
+`old' $2 billion per six months plan. Second, in early 1998 the UN 
+raised the oil-for-food revenue ceiling to $5.265 billion every 180 
+days.
+Iraqi oil exports increased from 0.59 mmb/d in 1997 to 1.47 mmb/d in 
+        1998
+    During the recent period of low oil prices, the level of exports 
+from Iraq was limited only by Iraq's wellhead production and pipeline/
+terminal capacities. A UN rule requiring at least 50% of exports to 
+transit via the 1.0 mmb/d capacity Ceyhan (Turkey) route is being 
+ignored, since all export amounts over that level are now exiting 
+mainly via the Gulf port of Mina al-Bakr. Exports are currently 
+averaging about 2.1 mmb/d and have exceeded 2.5 mmb/d for short periods 
+of time since January 1999.
+How the rise in Iraqi exports influenced the oil markets in 1998
+    There is little doubt that the rise in exports from Iraq, a 0.87 
+mmb/d increment between 1998 and 1999, had a significant impact on the 
+oil markets. Of course there were other factors, but in our opinion, 
+Iraq's exports were the second largest influence pushing oil prices 
+lower in 1998.
+
+ The crisis in Asia reduced oil demand by 1.0 mmb/d against 
+        expectations
+ Warm weather dropped demand by 0.5 mmb/d compared to `normal'
+ Russian exports rose contra-seasonally by 0.2 mmb/d in 4Q 1998
+ China curtailed oil imports (by about 0.3 mmb/d) in 2H 1998
+ OPEC's efforts to trim production in 1998 were neither timely 
+        nor sufficient
+ OECD inventories rose some 200-300 mb above industry norms
+Production history
+    Iraq's oil production climbed from about 1.5 mmb/d in 1972 to an 
+annual peak of 3.5 mmb/d in 1979. In the last quarter of 1979, Iraq 
+managed to produce 3.7 mmb/d. The Iran-Iraq war, which started in 
+September 1980, lead to a significant decline in export capacity and 
+wellhead production. From a low of 1.0 mmb/d production in 1981-83, 
+Iraq's output climbed back to 3.5 mmb/d just before the invasion of 
+Kuwait in August 1990. In 1991-92 Iraq produced about 0.4 mmb/d (which 
+is probably a good estimate of actual internal consumption). More 
+recently, Iraq's internal use has appeared to be about 0.65 mmb/d, but 
+this includes UN-approved exports of 0.1 mmb/d of products to Jordan, 
+and probably reflects some level of smuggling.
+The main physical constraint on exports is now wellhead capacity
+    Production capacity in Iraq appears to be limited to about 2.7 mmb/
+d. The UN has been slow to approve imports of the equipment, expertise 
+and capital required to boost Iraq much beyond this level. 
+Nevertheless, Iraqi engineers have surprised the UN inspectors with 
+their ability to keep output climbing. In March 1998 UN technical 
+experts estimated that Iraq's wellhead production capability was 
+unlikely to exceed 2.2 mmb/d (mid-1998) or 2.4 mmb/d (start 1999). In 
+fact, Iraq has managed to exceed these estimates by about 0.2 mmb/d.
+Status of oil spare parts and equipment authorizations and repairs
+    In view of Iraq's inability to take full advantage of the $5.3 
+billion oil-for-food allowance, in June 1998 the UN authorized Iraq to 
+purchase up to $300 million in spare parts and equipment to repair its 
+oil facilities. Later in 1998, an additional $300 million in purchase 
+authority was granted. To date, UN's Office for the Iraq Programme has 
+approved 395 contracts worth $237 million. Another $28 million in 
+contracts is on hold. UN Security Council members (including the US) 
+have argued that some of the requested equipment is either 
+inappropriate or has military use potential. Several members of the 
+Security Council are arguing for more active involvement of outside 
+companies in the needed repairs and expansion of Iraq's oil 
+infrastructure.
+Near term production difficulties
+    The Iraqi oil Ministry, UN technical experts and outside 
+consultants all seem to agree that Iraq is experiencing production 
+difficulties. According to a UN report, production in the north has 
+been lost because of water encroachment problems. In the south, 
+production water problems are coupled with pressure maintenance 
+difficulties resulting from lack of water injection facilities. Some 
+experts believe that without a significant increase in investment, 
+Iraq's basic production capacity could fall by 4-8% per year. Many 
+believe that the recent rise in production is related to very 
+aggressive petroleum engineering practices--pushing output beyond 
+normal levels in order to maximize near-term production and exports. 
+There have been some reports that domestic use has been officially 
+constrained as part of this policy.
+With higher oil prices, a new volumetric constraint could come into 
+        force
+    During January and February, Iraq's oil sold for about $9 per 
+barrel, a $2 discount to Brent, and a $3+ discount to WTI. With Brent 
+prices now at $14 and WTI at $15, Iraq's exports are likely selling at 
+close to $12 per barrel. This raises an interesting policy question if 
+oil prices continue to rise. At a $14/bbl Iraqi sales price, Iraq would 
+hit the UN's $5.3b ceiling at an export level of 2.1 mmb/d.
+    This potential limit to oil exports is more of an issue for the 
+UN's Phase 6 program, which starts May 25, and not for the current 
+Phase 5, because low prices in December-February make it highly 
+unlikely that the $5.3b cumulative revenue ceiling would be achieved 
+during the current Phase. The Clinton administration has proposed 
+removing the ceiling on oil exports, but still opposes allowing direct 
+foreign investment in the Iraqi oil industry--which may be necessary to 
+significantly boost Iraq's production. Studies are underway now at the 
+UN (with reports due in mid-April) which are intended to review the 
+status of the oil-for-food program.
+Could there be an Iraqi-instigated interruption?
+    Although the US and Iraq are still at odds over weapons 
+inspections, and Iraq has experienced some erosion of its support in 
+the UN Security Council, there have been several new proposals advanced 
+to alter the sanctions policy. Despite the US proposal to remove the 
+ceiling, the Iraqi regime does not appear to favor expansion or 
+indefinite continuation of the oil-for-food program. This suggests that 
+some interruption in the program could occur when the current Phase 5 
+expires May 24. Such an interruption does have precedent--in July 1997 
+and December 1997 the Iraqi regime temporarily halted exports. However, 
+in those two situations, Iraq's exports were constrained by the earlier 
+monetary limit (and thus Iraq was able to `make up' its lost production 
+by physically increasing the level of exports. At this time that option 
+does not appear to be available to Iraq.
+What about longer-term production and export capability?
+    With investment in both production and pipeline/terminal 
+facilities, Iraq could probably continue to increase its output and 
+exports. Repairs to the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline could boost its capacity 
+from the current 1.0-1.1 mmb/d level to its 1.5 mmb/d pre-Gulf war 
+level. Iraq has had discussions with Syria about re-opening the 0.65 
+mmb/d capacity Banias line that was closed in 1982 during the Iran-Iraq 
+war. The IPSA pipeline through Saudi Arabia to the Red Sea could be 
+opened if currently unfriendly relations between the two governments 
+were to improve.
+Upstream production could rise significantly with access to outside 
+        capital and expertise
+    Iraqi official have claimed that 3.0-3.5 mmb/d of production 
+capacity could be reached fairly quickly once sanctions are removed. 
+Iraq's NIOC believes that this can be accomplished by a development 
+effort that includes: re-working and upgrading existing upstream 
+facilities; attracting foreign investment for new fields; and 
+establishing an E&P effort in Iraq's Western desert region. In 1997, 
+former Iraqi oil minister al-Chalabi estimated that Iraq would require 
+a least $5 billion of foreign capital during the first two or three 
+years after sanctions to lift production capacity to 3.5 mmb/d. There 
+does not seem to be any shortage of potential investors as seen in the 
+material prepared by the Energy Intelligence Group (attached as an 
+exhibit), although the incremental 2.8 mmb/d of production is estimated 
+by EIG to cost about $18 billion.
+What is the most likely near-term impact on the oil markets?
+    Downside risk to oil prices: The UN allows more upstream 
+investment, perhaps due to a change of regime in Iraq, or a further 
+softening in the US stance. Upside potential: Iraq carries out its 
+recurring threat to cease cooperation with oil-for-food when it expires 
+in May, or some form of conflict (with the US or internal) physically 
+interferes with exports. Most likely outcome: an extension of the 
+status quo with no monetary ceiling. This implies no interruption in 
+exports, a likely gradual rise in the overall level of production and 
+exports, but no large-scale near-term expansion of production.
+
+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.008
+
+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.009
+
+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.010
+
+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.011
+
+    Mr. Barton. Mr. Taylor, we will put your statement in the 
+record and delighted to hear from you. My understanding is that 
+you actually are an independent producer. Is that correct?
+    Mr. Taylor. I am trying to be.
+    Mr. Barton. Trying to be. That is the right answer. Welcome 
+to the committee.
+
+                    STATEMENT OF TOM TAYLOR
+
+    Mr. Taylor. I want to thank you for allowing me to be here 
+to testify, Mr. Chairman.
+    Yes, I am trying to be an oil producer in West Texas. I 
+also am the regional vice president for the Texas Independent 
+Producers and Royalty Owners Association, TIPRO, which I am 
+representing here today, consists of approximately 1,600 
+members with petroleum interests in the State of Texas making 
+us the largest statewide group in our industry.
+    We are not here to advocate making life even more 
+unbearable for the Iraqi people. It would be unreasonable, as 
+well as unrealistic, for Americans whose jobs depend on the 
+American oil industry to expect our economic problems to be 
+solved through a ``beggar thy neighbor'' policy. We are having 
+a humanitarian crisis out in West Texas right now. We are 
+plugging wells. These wells are not shut in; they are plugging 
+wells. Because we don't have--we have 2 years in order to not 
+plug wells. But in all due respect there might have been an 
+attorney or two here in the room. Landowners who don't get 
+royalty checks to provide for their food are concerned. They 
+call their attorneys. They ask them why. The attorneys say 
+those wells are not producing. We have 90 days in most 
+situations to produce those wells. In the event we don't 
+produce those wells, our leases are expired. Then we have 2 
+years to plug those wells.
+    By virtue of that, those wells become worthless; and the 
+school systems, as Commissioner Williams pointed out, are 
+losing a tremendous amount of money. Up to 40 percent of our 
+revenues to run our school systems in West Texas are being lost 
+because of this.
+    Our knowledge is limited about the Iraqi situation, but we 
+know that anyone who thinks the world oil market is a free 
+market is kidding themselves. War, threat of war, political 
+instability, sanctions, government fiats--these are not exactly 
+what one thinks of when one thinks of a willing buyer and 
+willing seller with each other in a properly functioning 
+marketplace. We know that Mr. Wood and the U.S. policymakers 
+like to tell themselves that our Iraq policy is neutral in 
+terms of effect on oil prices, but they are kidding themselves 
+once again. The sanctions policy, in particular the oil-for-
+food program, represents significant government intervention 
+into the world oil market and, as presently structured, has a 
+depressing effect on prices.
+    Finally, we know that low oil prices are bad for any 
+program that depends on revenues for oil, whether the program 
+is a small drilling venture in West Texas, a major development 
+such as that down in the Caspian Sea, or the oil-for-food 
+program in Iraq. If policymakers want to increase the amount of 
+oil revenues available to each of the suffering people in Iraq, 
+the policy focus should be shifted from increasing production 
+to increasing price in order to reach whatever revenue target 
+they may be seeking.
+    I will elaborate briefly. As has been discussed here, 
+certainly world events other than the Iraq situation have an 
+impact on this. As we discussed, the Asian energy demand, 
+increasing oil production from OPEC, and recent warm winters 
+have all contributed to the current crisis. But increased Iraq 
+production must also be recognized as a material influence on 
+the price. As you have stated, in our records 1.3 million 
+barrels of exports is a direct reflection of this. You have 
+Saudi Arabia that is decreasing by 2 million barrels; and, 
+therefore, they are basically subsidizing the production from 
+Iraq. And as we discussed, there has been a 20 percent rise 
+just off of this speculation.
+    Now, before a reporter would take that and inflate that, 
+oil prices are back up. They have increased 20 percent from an 
+all-time low, which still causes an uneconomic situation as a 
+producer. The surplus capacity dictates that producers reduce 
+supply, yet our government is encouraging the United Nations to 
+allow Iraq, a distressed seller if there ever was one, to 
+increase supply.
+    Basically, we are going to be the next 2 million barrels is 
+what we are afraid of as independent producers. We have lost 
+almost 250,000 barrels in Texas alone. I think we have lost, as 
+we stated earlier, 600,000 barrels in the United States as 
+independent producers, and we don't have the luxury of turning 
+those wells back on like they do over there.
+    The effect of low oil prices in the U.S. has been 
+staggering, as we discussed. The charts prepared by the 
+Independent Petroleum Association is included as an appendices 
+to my testimony, and this will illustrate all too well. It 
+shows the workover rigs, not the drilling rigs, but the 
+workover rigs, which is a key indicator of the industry's 
+efforts to maintain production, has declined almost 50 percent. 
+So we are not even able to be able to work over these wells, 
+because their economics, it doesn't justify the expenditure.
+    Appendix 2 shows that oil and gas extraction employment has 
+fallen by over 50,000 jobs. In Texas I might also add 
+unemployment claims in my industry quadrupled in 1998 and in 
+1999 it is even worse. Low oil prices are troublesome for the 
+Oil-For-Food Program, and Appendix 3 outlines the difference in 
+price and pro-
+
+duction scenarios facing this program. At current prices, Iraq 
+will raise over $3 billion during phase 5. So far, it is far 
+short of the $5 billion target. The table also shows that at 
+current price average, Iraq will need to export 3 million 
+barrels at the current price to raise $5 billion. The 
+Department of Energy Secretary Bill Richardson testified last 
+week that Iraq appears unable to increase production to this 
+level. So it appears Iraq will not raise $5 billion--the $5.2 
+billion target price for the foreseeable future. Put simply, 
+the Oil-For-Food Program simply does not work in a world of $10 
+oil.
+    I will conclude with two suggestions for policymakers, and 
+it should be noted that it is important that these suggestions 
+be pursued in concert. First, we suggest that the U.S. press 
+the United Nations to restructure the Oil-For-Food Program so 
+that it no longer gives Iraq an incentive to depress world oil 
+prices. We submit that production increases measured in 
+hundreds of thousands of barrels per day would cause prices to 
+fall further, and the Oil-For-Food Program would still come up 
+short. Put simply, humanitarian needs in Iraq will not be met 
+in a world of $10 oil.
+    We believe that the way to restructure the Oil-For-Food 
+Program so that it no longer serves to depress oil prices is 
+for the United Nations to establish an oil quota for Iraq. The 
+quota would be equal to the number of barrels per day that can 
+be reasonably expected to yield the revenues that are believed 
+necessary. The production quota could be adjusted every 80 days 
+as revenue targets and oil price forecasts change. A potential 
+quota table is attached as Appendix 4. As you can see, a slight 
+increase in the dollar amount makes a significant difference.
+    This proposal may have some flaws and I present it only as 
+a potential option. However, by maintaining Iraq's production 
+at a level that bears some relation to market demand, we can 
+eliminate the downward pressure Iraq's increased production has 
+on price.
+    In summary, if the United Nations wants to increase the 
+amount of oil revenue available to ease the suffering of the 
+Iraq population, the policy focus should be shifted from 
+increasing production to increasing price. What we are saying 
+is give price a chance.
+    Our second suggestion is to couple the restructuring of the 
+Oil-For-Food Program with meaningful efforts to stabilize the 
+price of oil at levels that reflect its hidden environmental 
+and military cost. The United States can help achieve this 
+through variable import fees such as fees on tankers that move 
+oil in environmentally sensitive coastal waters, fees 
+designated to recoup some of our Nation's enormous military 
+cost devoted to protecting Middle East oil supplies and/or fees 
+that offset the advantage that imported oil currently enjoys 
+over domestic production due to minimal environmental 
+regulations of foreign production practices.
+    I close in saying that I would be honored to assist Mr. 
+Woods in explaining to the State Department the effect this has 
+on the small independent producer. I would like to take this 
+opportunity to thank you again, and we would be more than happy 
+to answer any questions.
+    [The prepared statement of Tom Taylor follows:]
+   Prepared Statement of Tom Taylor, Regional Vice President, Texas 
+          Independent Producer and Royalty Owners Association
+    Mr. Chairman and Members, my name is Tom Taylor from Abilene, 
+Texas. I am an oil producer and serve as a Regional Vice President for 
+the Texas Independent Producers and Royalty Owners Association (TIPRO). 
+TIPRO, which I am representing here today, consists of 1600 members 
+with petroleum interests in the State of Texas, making us the largest 
+statewide group in our industry.
+    We come to you today with a sense of humility. My association has 
+no magic solution to the difficulties in Iraq, and I am not a foreign 
+policy expert. It is tempting to say that the experts don't have the 
+answers either, but we are not here to make a wholesale indictment of 
+Iraq policy.
+    Neither are we here to advocate making life even more unbearable 
+for the Iraqi people. It would be unreasonable, as well as unrealistic, 
+for Americans whose jobs depend on the domestic oil and gas industry to 
+expect our economic problems to be solved through a ``beggar thy 
+neighbor'' policy. In other words, and we want to be quite clear about 
+this, Texas oil producers are not here to ask for elimination of the 
+oil-for-food program or even to suggest that Iraqi oil production 
+levels should return to those that prevailed a year or two ago.
+    While our knowledge about Iraq is limited, we do know a few things:
+
+ We know that anyone who thinks the world oil market is a free 
+        market is kidding themselves. War and threat of war, political 
+        instability and intrigue, sanctions and governmental fiats--
+        these are not exactly what one thinks of when one thinks of 
+        willing buyers and willing sellers dealing with each other in a 
+        properly functioning marketplace.
+ We know that U.S. policymakers like to tell themselves that 
+        our Iraq policy is neutral in terms of effects on oil prices, 
+        but they are kidding themselves once again. The sanctions 
+        policy, in particular the oil-for-food program, represents 
+        significant government intervention in the world oil market 
+        and, as presently structured, has a depressing effect on 
+        prices.
+ Finally, we know that low oil prices are bad for any program 
+        that depends on oil revenues, whether the program is a small 
+        drilling venture in West Texas, a major development such as 
+        that found in the Caspian Sea, or the oil-for-food program in 
+        Iraq. If policymakers want to increase the amount of oil 
+        revenue available to ease the suffering of the Iraqi people, 
+        the policy focus should be shifted from increasing production 
+        to increasing price in order to reach whatever the revenue 
+        target may be.
+    I want to elaborate on the two latter points, that is, how the 
+present design of the oil-for-food program depresses prices and how 
+higher oil prices would further both the Iraq program and domestic 
+energy production.
+(1) The oil-for-food program, as presently structured, depresses world 
+        oil prices.
+    Certainly, world events other than what is taking place in Iraq 
+have had an impact on oil prices. Reduced Asian energy demand, 
+increased OPEC production and recent warm winters have all contributed 
+to the current price crisis. But, increased Iraqi production must also 
+be recognized as a material influence on prices. Iraq has added at 
+least 1.3 million barrels per day to the market since 1997--1.3 million 
+barrels of new supply compared to a global surplus of approximately one 
+to two million barrels per day.
+    What kind of impact has this had? A big impact. To put the impact 
+of 1.3 million barrels in perspective, note that oil prices in recent 
+weeks have risen over 20 percent merely upon OPEC's declaration that it 
+will reduce production by a total of about 2 million barrels. Surplus 
+capacity dictates that producers reduce supply. Yet our government is 
+encouraging the United Nations to allow Iraq, a distressed seller if 
+ever there was one, to increase supply.
+    The sanctions policy, if it is enforced as intended, gives Saddam 
+only one way to raise meaningful revenue--taking whatever is available 
+to him under the oil-for-food program. Since the program is structured 
+only in terms of revenue limits, with no limits on the amount of Iraqi 
+production, Saddam's incentive is to produce whatever it takes to 
+generate permitted revenue. And if the limits on the revenues were 
+simply removed, his incentive would be to produce even more, without 
+regard to the glut in the marketplace that motivates producers who are 
+under less duress to curtail production.
+(2) Low oil prices are bad for both U.S. producers and the oil-for-food 
+        program.
+    The effect of low oil prices in the U.S. has been staggering. Two 
+charts prepared by the Independent Petroleum Association of America 
+(IPAA), included as appendices to my testimony, illustrate this all too 
+well. Appendix One shows that the workover rig count, a key indicator 
+of the industry's efforts to maintain production, has declined 
+dramatically; from 1,459 in December 1997 to 766 in January 1999. 
+Appendix Two shows that oil and gas extraction employment has also 
+fallen from 339,000 employees in December 1997 to 288,000 in February 
+1999. In Texas, I might add, unemployment claims from my industry 
+quadrupled in 1998 and 1999 is even worse.
+    Low oil prices are also troublesome for the oil-for-food program. 
+Appendix Three outlines different price and production scenarios facing 
+the program. According to the United Nations, since the beginning of 
+Phase V (which runs from November 26, 1998 to May 24, 1999) Iraq has so 
+far exported an average of 1.9 million barrels per day at $9.31 a 
+barrel. At this price, Iraq will raise $3.18 billion during Phase V--
+far short of the $5.26 billion target. The table also shows that at the 
+current average price, Iraq will need to export 3.1 million barrels of 
+oil per day to raise $5.2 billion. Department of Energy Secretary Bill 
+Richardson testified last week that Iraq appears unable to increase 
+production to this level, so it appears Iraq will not raise the $5.26 
+billion target for the foreseeable future. The oil-for-food program 
+simply does not work in a world of $10 oil.
+                     recomnendations and conclusion
+    I will conclude with two suggestions for policymakers, and it 
+should be noted that it is important that these suggestions be pursued 
+in concert.
+(1) Restructure the Oil-for-Food Program so it does not depress world 
+        oil prices.
+    First, we suggest that the U.S. press the United Nations to 
+restructure the oil-for-food program so that it no longer gives Iraq an 
+incentive to depress world oil prices. TIPRO is concerned that to 
+simply lift the ceiling on oil sales, as the Administration has 
+recently proposed to the United Nations Security Council, would depress 
+oil prices further. In a world of $10 oil, Iraq would need to produce 
+almost 3 million barrels per day--which is almost half a million 
+barrels per day more than it produces currently--to generate $5.26 
+billion every 180 days, as the current ceiling allows. Given that a 
+world oil surplus of perhaps 2 million barrels a day (half of which can 
+be attributed to increased production by Iraq) yields oil prices that 
+are only slightly above historic lows, what will happen if Iraq 
+increases production by a half million barrels per day in the next 
+year?
+    We submit that production increases measured in hundreds of 
+thousands of barrels per day would cause prices to fall further, and 
+the oil-for-food program would still come up short. Put simply, 
+humanitarian needs in Iraq will not be met in a world of $10 oil.
+    We believe that the way to restructure the oil-for-food program so 
+that it no longer serves to depress oil prices is for the United 
+Nations to establish an oil quota for Iraq. The quota would be equal to 
+the number of barrels per day that can be reasonably expected to yield 
+the revenues that are believed necessary.
+    The production quota could be adjusted every 180 days as revenue 
+targets and oil price forecasts change. A potential quota table is 
+attached as Appendix Four. For example, if the forecast is that Iraq 
+will receive an average of $12 per barrel during the next United 
+Nations reporting period, and $5.25 billion is the target revenue for 
+the period, the quota would only need to be 2.43 million barrels per 
+day. If the United Nations determines that more revenue is needed, $6 
+billion for example, the quota for the period would be 2.78 million 
+barrels per day. If the price of Iraqi crude should rise to $16 per 
+barrel, a 2.43 million barrels per day quota would provide $7 billion 
+of revenue in 180 days, should the United Nations want to provide that 
+much revenue to the program.
+    This proposal may have some flaws, and I present it only as a 
+potential option. However, by maintaining Iraq's production at a level 
+that bears some relation to market demand, we can eliminate the 
+downward pressure Iraqi increased production has on price.
+    In summary, if the United Nations wants to increase the amount of 
+oil revenue available to ease the suffering of the Iraqi population, 
+the policy focus should be shifted from increasing production, to 
+increasing price, in order to reach the revenue target.
+(2) Seek to stabilize oil prices at reasonable levels.
+    Our second suggestion is to couple the restructuring of the oil-
+for-food program with meaningful efforts to stabilize the price of oil 
+at levels that reflect its hidden environmental and military costs. The 
+United States can help achieve this through variable import fees, such 
+as fees on tankers that move oil in environmentally sensitive coastal 
+waters, fees designed to recoup some of our nation's enormous military 
+costs devoted to protecting Middle Eastern oil supplies, and/or fees 
+that offset the advantage that imported oil currently enjoys over 
+domestic production due to minimal environmental regulation of foreign 
+production practices.
+    I appreciate the opportunity to be with you today and would be 
+happy to try to answer any questions.
+
+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.012
+
+[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.013
+
+                             Appendix Three
+
+                                                    Price and Production Scenarios Under Oil-for-Food
+                                                       Total Revenues Derived from Iraqi Oil Sales
+                                                          (Billions of Dollars Every 180 Days)
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+                                                                                                Dollars per barrel
+                          MMB/D                          -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+                                                           9.31     10      11      12      13      14      15      16      17      18      19      20
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+5.0.....................................................    8.38    9.00    9.90   10.80   11.70   12.60   13.50   14.40   15.30   16.20   17.10   18.00
+4.5.....................................................    7.54    8.10    8.91    9.72   10.53   11.34   12.15   12.96   13.77   14.58   15.39   16.20
+4.0.....................................................    6.70    7.20    7.92    8.64    9.36   10.08   10.80   11.52   12.24   12.96   13.68   14.40
+3.5.....................................................    5.87    6.30    6.93    7.56    8.19    8.82    9.45   10.08   10.71   11.34   11.97   12.60
+3.1.....................................................  \1\ 5.    5.63    6.20    6.76    7.32    7.89    8.45    9.01    9.58   10.14   10.70   11.27
+                                                              25
+2.5.....................................................    4.19    4.50    4.95    5.40    5.85    6.30    6.75    7.20    7.65    8.10    8.55    9.00
+2.0.....................................................    3.35    3.60    3.96    4.32    4.68    5.04    5.40    5.76    6.12    6.48    6.84    7.20
+1.9.....................................................  \2\ 3.    3.42    3.76    4.10    4.45    4.79    5.13    5.47    5.81    6.16    6.50    6.84
+                                                              18
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+\1\ According to the United Nations Office of the Iraq Programme Weekly Update for 13 to 19 March, since the beginning of Phase V, which runs from
+  November 26, 1998 to May 24, 1999, Iraq has exported an average of 1.9 mb/d at $9.31 a barrel. At this rate Iraq will raise $3.18 billion during Phase
+  V.
+\2\ At the current average price, Iraq will need to export 3.13 million barrels of oil per day to raise 5.25 billion.
+
+                             Appendix Four
+
+                                                            Potential Iraq Production Quotas
+                                                                (Million Barrels Per Day)
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+                                                                                                Dollars per barrel
+          Total Revenue ($billion per 180 days)          -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+                                                           9.31     10      11      12      13      14      15      16      17      18      19      20
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+3.25....................................................    1.94    1.81    1.64    1.50    1.39    1.29    1.20    1.13    1.06    1.00    0.95    0.90
+3.50....................................................    2.09    1.94    1.77    1.62    1.50    1.39    1.30    1.22    1.14    1.08    1.02    0.97
+3.75....................................................    2.24    2.08    1.89    1.74    1.60    1.49    1.39    1.30    1.23    1.16    1.10    1.04
+4.00....................................................    2.39    2.22    2.02    1.85    1.71    1.59    1.48    1.39    1.31    1.23    1.17    1.11
+4.25....................................................    2.54    2.36    2.15    1.97    1.82    1.69    1.57    1.48    1.39    1.31    1.24    1.18
+4.50....................................................    2.69    2.50    2.27    2.08    1.92    1.79    1.67    1.56    1.47    1.39    1.32    1.25
+4.75....................................................    2.83    2.64    2.40    2.20    2.03    1.88    1.76    1.65    1.55    1.47    1.39    1.32
+5.00....................................................    2.98    2.78    2.53    2.31    2.14    1.98    1.85    1.74    1.63    1.54    1.46    1.39
+5.25....................................................    3.13    2.92    2.65    2.43    2.24    2.08    1.94    1.82    1.72    1.62    1.54    1.46
+5.50....................................................    3.28    3.06    2.78    2.55    2.35    2.18    2.04    1.91    1.80    1.70    1.61    1.53
+5.75....................................................    3.43    3.19    2.90    2.66    2.46    2.28    2.13    2.00    1.88    1.77    1.68    1.60
+6.00....................................................    3.58    3.33    3.03    2.78    2.56    2.38    2.22    2.08    1.96    1.85    1.75    1.67
+6.25....................................................    3.73    3.47    3.16    2.89    2.67    2.48    2.31    2.17    2.04    1.93    1.83    1.74
+6.50....................................................    3.88    3.61    3.28    3.01    2.78    2.58    2.41    2.26    2.12    2.01    1.90    1.81
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+This chart reflects the number of barrels that Iraq would need to produce per day to reach a 180 day revenue target at a given price. As the price of
+  oil price or revenue target changes, the amount of oil Iraq would be allowed to produce in subsequent phases would change accordingly.
+
+
+    Mr. Barton. We want to thank you, Mr. Taylor, for your 
+testimony, and the appendices especially will be used as we 
+pursue this. Our friends in the State Department I don't think 
+have enough personnel to do some of the basic math that you 
+have done.
+    Mr. Taylor. Thank you, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. We appreciate that.
+    Mr. Brown, we appreciate you being here on behalf of 
+Congressman Largent. He recommended that you be asked to 
+testify and we appreciate you coming up. We will put your 
+statement in the record, and give you such time as you may 
+consume to elaborate on it. But try to do it within 5 to 7 
+minutes.
+
+                STATEMENT OF F.W. ``PETE'' BROWN
+
+    Mr. Brown. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Chairman and 
+Representative Hall and members of the audience, I believe 
+myself to be a very typical independent oil and gas producer, 
+not only in Oklahoma, but throughout the entire Nation.
+    In 1998, 32 percent of the wells in which I own an interest 
+lost money due to low oil prices. In the month of December 
+alone, that same year, 57 percent of my wells were losing money 
+for the same reason. I accepted these losses in the hopes that 
+oil prices would rebound.
+    In the past 17 months, the price of oil has plummeted to 
+levels far below the lifting cost of independent producers 
+throughout the United States. To understand the reason for this 
+drop, we first must understand why exporting countries until 
+recently have not taken the initiative to curtail production.
+    First of all, it needs to be noted the world's so-called 
+oversupply of crude oil is based on the ability of a country to 
+produce oil versus worldwide consumption. In order to maintain 
+stability in the marketplace, those of us who import oil, like 
+the United States, should also want supply to exceed demand. 
+Excess production capacity is not actually produced. Aside from 
+above ground storage, there is very little ability to store 
+large quantities of oil once it is produced. Saudi Arabia, for 
+example, is estimated to have the capability of producing up to 
+10 million barrels of oil per day, and yet it actually produces 
+just a little over 8 million barrels of oil per day. This can 
+be misleading in that the ability to produce oil in the field 
+does not necessarily mean that it can be transported to 
+terminals and loaded into tankers at the same rate.
+    Actually, no one really knows how much surplus production 
+capacity exists in the world today. Some believe the world's 
+ability to produce oil exceeds demand by about 3.5 million 
+barrels a day, but that compares to estimates of 10 million 
+barrels a day of surplus capacity in 1981, the year in which 
+the price of oil reached $38 a barrel. Today we are actually 
+closer than ever before to a point where demand will exceed the 
+world's ability to produce. Part of the reason for this 
+reduction in surplus production capacity is increased demand, 
+but part of the reason is reduction of production.
+    Why, then, is the price of crude at such low levels? The 
+price of crude first started to drop when the Saudis began to 
+lose market share as a result of Venezuelan production. 
+Venezuela began increasing exports about the same time that 
+crude oil prices began their downward spiral. As production 
+increased in Venezuela, it began to capture market share from 
+Saudi Arabia. The Saudis had two choices. They could curtail 
+production even further, causing the price to rise, or they 
+could keep production levels the same, allowing the price to 
+drop below Venezuela's cost of production, which was 
+significantly higher than the Saudis.
+    This strategy discourages drilling in areas that have 
+associated high cost of drilling such as the North Sea, 
+Siberia, deep offshore drilling, the Caspian Sea, which is an 
+area estimated to contain reserves equivalent to the Persian 
+Gulf, and of course U.S. domestic onshore production. In 
+addition, it has had the side benefit to the Saudis, that is, 
+of shutting down much of the stripper production in the United 
+States. It is not the intention of the Saudis to maintain the 
+low prices; rather, they want to create market volatility, 
+which has the affect of discouraging high drilling in high-cost 
+regions.
+    Saudi Arabia, like many Middle Eastern countries, has 
+social costs associated with their crude production. Crude oil 
+funds social programs set up for the Saudi citizens such as 
+free medical care, no taxes, low-cost housing and many more 
+programs that once established cannot be easily discontinued. 
+In recent months, OPEC has dropped production levels that would 
+ordinarily be sufficient to bolster the price of crude oil to 
+1997 levels. This has failed to produce the desired results for 
+very important reasons. Iraq has been allowed to produce 
+additional volumes of oil to offset the drop in production, 
+even while men and women of our armed forces are in a shooting 
+war with Iraq. Allowing Iraq to produce this oil has had a 
+devastating effect on U.S. independent producers and threatens 
+to drop U.S. crude production as much as 1 to 2 million barrels 
+per day. The 4-week average of domestic crude oil production is 
+already down 416,000 barrels a day from 1 year ago, according 
+to figures published in the Oil and Gas Journal.
+    It is argued that it is necessary to allow the Iraqi 
+government to increase production so that they can have 
+sufficient revenue to feed their people. Yet, grain and food 
+purchased with these funds sits in warehouses undistributed. We 
+also might want to consider the fact that the Iraqi government 
+has never provided their citizens with free food, and probably 
+has no intention of doing so now.
+    By allowing the sale of crude oil for humanitarian reasons, 
+we have, in effect, taken the pressure off the Iraqi government 
+to provide for its own people. In doing so, we provide them the 
+means by which they can fund their continued production of 
+biological and chemical weapons. At the same time, we eliminate 
+a valuable natural resource in this country which will 
+ultimately give countries with surplus oil production such as 
+Iraq an enormous amount of power in the not too distant future. 
+If, in fact, we feel it necessary to reward Iraqi's 
+noncompliance for humanitarian reasons by allowing 
+overproduction of crude oil, steps should and must be taken to 
+protect our domestic producers.
+    The paramount tragedy here is allowing a viable, important 
+industry to be systematically dismantled, causing the loss of 
+thousands of jobs, as well as causing economic depression in 
+oil producing States. All the while, our government continues 
+to subsidize foreign governments and ignores its own domestic 
+oil and gas producers. By spending billions of dollars to 
+ensure the free flow of oil out of the Persian Gulf, my 
+government and yours, in effect, is subsidizing my foreign 
+competition.
+    Those of us in the oil and gas industry believe in a free 
+market economy. World crude oil production is far from a free 
+market. When foreign governments control the flow of oil, our 
+own government has not only the right, but the obligation to 
+protect its domestic industry. This can be accomplished by 
+allowing the defense equalization fee to be charged on crude 
+oil from the Middle East. Revenues from such a fee could be 
+used to offset the cost of subsidizing their production and 
+maintaining a military presence in the Persian Gulf.
+    Another disadvantage we face as domestic producers is our 
+environmental costs. The crude oil purchased from foreign 
+countries is subject to barely a fraction of our environmental 
+regulations protections and the associated environmental costs 
+in terms of dollars. Thus, an environmental equalization fee 
+would be appropriate to level the playing field for domestic 
+oil and gas producers. This fee should be put in place 
+regardless of price, as long as America continues to allow 
+foreign governments to have a competitive advantage.
+    At normal prices, the wells in which I own an interest that 
+are daily losing money still have thousands of barrels of 
+recoverable oil. But as anyone, I can only lose money for so 
+long. My wells that are losing money must now be plugged and 
+abandoned. I have no choice. Once these wells are plugged, they 
+will never be brought back on, as the remaining reserves would 
+not justify the additional substantial investment required to 
+do so.
+    If Congress fails to act, the United States of America 
+stands to lose a substantial portion of a precious national 
+asset, as well as turning over an even greater share of our 
+future energy requirements to foreign governments that don't 
+have America's best interests at heart.
+    Mr. Chairman, members of the subcommittee, we citizens of 
+the United States face a crisis that will have far-reaching 
+consequences if left unabated. I urge each of you on behalf of 
+our domestic oil and gas industry and our country to take 
+action to curb production from Iraq. The energy future of 
+America now and for generations to come is in your hands. It 
+has been my honor to address you and I thank you for the 
+opportunity to be heard on this issue, and I would be glad to 
+answer any questions.
+    [The prepared statement of F.W. ``Pete'' Brown follows:]
+  Prepared Statement of F.W. ``Pete'' Brown, Independent Oil and Gas 
+                                Producer
+    Mr. Chairman, members of the subcommittee and distinguished guests, 
+thank you for the opportunity to provide testimony on this vital issue. 
+I come before you, as a very typical and average independent oil & gas 
+producer, not only in Oklahoma but throughout the entire nation. In 
+1998 32% of the wells from which I receive production lost money due to 
+low crude oil prices. By the month of December in 1998, 57% of my wells 
+were losing money. I have continued to accept these losses in the hope 
+that crude oil prices would rebound.
+    In the past 17 months, the price of domestic crude oil has 
+plummeted to levels far below the average lifting cost for the majority 
+of independent producers in the United States. To understand the reason 
+for this drop, one must first understand why the oil exporting 
+countries have not taken the initiative to curtail production.
+    First of all it should be noted that the world's ``so-called 
+oversupply'' of crude oil is based on the ability of countries to 
+produce oil versus worldwide consumption. In order to maintain 
+stability in the market place, those of us who rely on imports should 
+always want supply to exceed demand. Excess production capacity is not 
+actually produced. Aside from above ground storage (782,955,000 bbls 
+crude and refined product or roughly a 42 day supply according to the 
+Oil & Gas Journal dated March 22, 1999), there is very little ability 
+to store large quantities of oil once it is produced. Saudi Arabia, for 
+example, is estimated to have the capability of producing up to 10 
+million barrels of oil per day and yet they actually produce a little 
+over 8 million barrels per day. This can be misleading in that the 
+ability to produce oil in the field does not necessarily mean that it 
+can be transported to terminals and loaded into tankers at the same 
+rate.
+    Actually, no one really knows how much surplus production capacity 
+exists in the world today. Some believe the world's ability to produce 
+& market oil exceeds demand by about 3.5 million barrels per day 
+compared to estimates of 10 million barrels per day of surplus 
+production capability in 1981, a year in which crude oil prices reached 
+$38.00 per barrel. Today we are actually coming closer to the point 
+where demand will exceed the world's ability to produce. Part of the 
+reason for this reduction in surplus production capacity is increased 
+demand.
+    Why then is the price of crude at such low levels? The price of 
+crude first started to drop when the Saudis began to lose market share 
+as a result of an increase in Venezuelan production. Venezuela began 
+increasing exports about the time that crude oil prices began their 
+downward spiral. As production increased in Venezuela, it began to 
+capture market share from Saudi Arabia. The Saudis had two choices; 
+they could curtail production even further, causing the price to rise, 
+or they could keep production levels the same, allowing the price to 
+drop below Venezuela's cost of production, which was significantly 
+higher than the Saudi's. This strategy discourages drilling in areas 
+that have associated high costs such as the North Sea, Siberia, the 
+Caspian Sea (an area estimated to contain reserves equivalent to the 
+Persian Gulf), deep offshore and U.S. domestic onshore. In addition, it 
+has the side benefit (to the Saudis) of shutting down much of the 
+stripper production in the U.S.
+    It is not the intention of the Saudis to maintain such low prices, 
+rather they want to create market volatility, which has the effect of 
+discouraging drilling in high cost regions. Saudi Arabia, like many 
+Middle East countries, has ``social'' cost associated with their crude 
+oil production. Crude oil funds these social programs, set up for Saudi 
+citizens, such as free medical care, no taxes, low cost housing and 
+many more programs that, once established, can not be easily 
+discontinued.
+    In recent months, OPEC has dropped production to levels that would 
+ordinarily be sufficient to bolster the price of crude oil to 1997 
+levels. This has failed to produce the desired results for one very 
+important reason. Iraq has been allowed to produce additional volumes 
+of oil to offset the drop in prices, even while men and women of our 
+Armed Forces are engaged in a shooting war with Iraq. Allowing Iraq to 
+produce this oil has had a devastating effect on U.S. independent 
+producers and threatens to drop U.S. crude production as much as 1 to 2 
+million barrels per day. The four-week average of domestic crude oil 
+production is already down 416,000 barrels per day from one year ago 
+according to figures published in the Oil & Gas Journal dated March 22, 
+1999. It is argued that it is necessary to allow the Iraqi government 
+to increase production so that they can have sufficient revenue to feed 
+their people. Yet grain purchased with these funds sits in warehouses 
+undistributed. We might want to consider the fact that the Iraqi 
+government has never provided its citizens with free food, and probably 
+has no intention of doing so now. By allowing the sale of crude oil for 
+humanitarian reasons, we in effect have taken the pressure off the 
+Iraqi government to provide for its own people. In doing so we provide 
+them the means by which they can fund their continued production of 
+biological and chemical weapons.
+    At the same time we eliminate a valuable natural resource in this 
+country which will ultimately give countries with surplus oil 
+production, such as Iraq, an enormous amount of power in the not too 
+distant future. If in fact we feel it necessary to reward Iraqs non-
+compliance, for humanitarian reasons, by allowing overproduction of 
+crude oil, steps should and must be taken to protect our own domestic 
+producers.
+    The paramount tragedy here is allowing a viable and important 
+industry to be systematically dismantled causing the loss of thousands 
+of jobs, as well as causing an economic depression in oil producing 
+states. All the while our Government continues to subsidize foreign 
+governments and ignores its own domestic oil and gas producers. By 
+spending billions of dollars to insure the free flow of oil from the 
+Persian Gulf my government and yours, in effect, is subsidizing my 
+foreign competition. Those of us in the oil and gas industry believe in 
+a free market economy. World crude oil production is far from a free 
+market. When foreign governments control the flow of oil, our own 
+government has not only the right, but also the obligation, to protect 
+its domestic industry. This can be accomplished by allowing a defense 
+equalization fee to be charged on crude oil from the Middle East. 
+Revenues from such a fee would be used to offset the cost of 
+subsidizing their production by maintaining a military presence in the 
+Persian Gulf.
+    Another disadvantage we face as domestic producers is our 
+environmental cost. The crude oil we purchase from foreign countries is 
+subject to barely a fraction of our environmental regulations and 
+protections, and the associated environmental cost in terms of dollars. 
+Thus an environmental equalization fee would be appropriate to level 
+the playing field for domestic producers. This fee should be put in 
+place, regardless of price, as long as America continues to allow 
+foreign governments have a competitive advantage.
+    At normal prices the wells in which I own an interest, and that are 
+losing money today, still have thousands of barrels of recoverable oil. 
+But I, as anyone, can only lose money for so long. My wells that are 
+losing money must now be plugged and abandoned. I have no choice. Once 
+these wells are plugged they can never be brought back on production, 
+as the remaining reserves would not justify the substantial investment 
+required to do so. If Congress fails to act, the United States of 
+America stands to lose a substantial portion of a precious national 
+asset as well as turning over an even greater share of our future 
+energy requirements to foreign governments that don't have America's 
+best interest at heart.
+    Mr. Chairman and members of the sub-committee, we, as citizens of 
+the United States, face a crisis that will have far reaching 
+consequences if left unabated. I urge each of you, on behalf of our 
+domestic oil and gas industry and your country, to take action to curb 
+excess production from Iraq. The Energy future of America, now and for 
+generations to come, is in your hands.
+    It has been my honor to address you and I thank you for the 
+opportunity to be heard on this issue.
+
+    Mr. Barton. Thank you. We want to hear from Mr. Bole. Mr. 
+Hall has a plane at 1:45, so Ralph, do you want to ask a 
+question?
+    Mr. Hall. May I say something here? I am the loser by not 
+getting to stay here and talk to you for another hour, because 
+this is the group I would listen to more than all the others 
+put together, because you are my folks, and your testimony 
+means more to me than any that I have heard or will hear. I 
+think you can gather from the things that the chairman has said 
+and I have said--by the way, you are not just talking to the 
+two of us. This goes into the record and it is read by 
+certainly the committees and by the members. So I thank you for 
+your time. I will have some questions. I have questions built 
+around whether or not the State Department has consulted with 
+any of you or the domestic industry on this food program, and 
+you know, I am pretty sure they haven't listened to you, but I 
+would like to know if they have even made any effort, and that 
+will be part of my questions. But I do have to be on a plane in 
+34 minutes and I have to clear off my desk and put the fire out 
+and call the dogs and get out.
+    Mr. Barton. Actually, he is leaving a little early. I have 
+seen Ralph make it in less than 10 minutes.
+    Mr. Hall. Well, they close the door on you now. But I thank 
+you very much. And Joe, thank you for holding the hearing.
+    Mr. Barton. We appreciate you, Congressman Hall. 
+Congressman Hall has agreed to sign some of the letters that I 
+just talked to the Deputy Assistant Secretary of State about, 
+so we are going to be working on this in a bipartisan way.
+    Mr. Bole, we are delighted to have you up from Houston. We 
+will put your testimony in the record again in its entirety and 
+give you 5 to 7 minutes to elaborate on it.
+
+                   STATEMENT OF DAVID L. BOLE
+
+    Mr. Bole. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and also my thanks to 
+Mr. Hall. My name is David Bole. I am Vice President of 
+Corporate Research and Development for Randall and Dewey, Inc., 
+a Houston-based company that facilitates transactions in the 
+upstream part of the petroleum industry for all segments of the 
+industry, major companies, large and small interests, both 
+public and private. In this business we have seen the 
+disruptive effects of the current price crisis not only on the 
+stability of this critical portion of the industry, but in the 
+direct loss of producers' equity value. Today, I am 
+representing the Independent Petroleum Association of America. 
+IPAA submits that the current problems facing domestic 
+producers are related in large part to the abuse of the U.N. 
+Oil-For-Food sanctions program by Saddam Hussein.
+    The industry has faced low oil prices for more than a year, 
+beginning with a combination of events: the collapse of Asian 
+economies, which we have heard a lot about this morning, a 
+warmer than normal winter in the Northern Hemisphere, and 
+OPEC's decision to increase production quotas. However, as 1998 
+progressed, key OPEC countries and other significant non-OPEC 
+countries curtailed production to try to diminish surplus 
+inventories around the world and stabilize oil prices at levels 
+that permit profitable operation. As other countries cut 
+production, the U.N. sanctions program created an opportunity 
+for Iraq's leaders to influence the price of oil in ways that 
+no one would have expected. The U.N. sanctions structure was 
+changed in two significant ways in early 1998. First, the Oil-
+For-Food Program has always been based on a dollar amount 
+rather than a volume allowance, and we have heard a lot about 
+that this morning. The dollar amount has increased to $5.3 
+billion per 6 months, which we have talked about, an amount at 
+current prices that effectively allows Iraq to pump unlimited 
+volumes.
+    Second, the $400 million every 6 months allocated to 
+improve Iraq's oil production capacity allows them to increase 
+their production. Thus, as other countries were making economic 
+decisions to reduce production as prices fell, Iraq was given a 
+perverse incentive to increase production.
+    At the beginning of 1998, Iraq was exporting approximately 
+700,000 barrels of oil per day. By the beginning of 1999, it 
+was exporting as much as 2.5 million barrels per day. In 1998, 
+Iraq was the only country to increase its oil production. This 
+more than threefold increase, coupled with OPEC's decision to 
+curtail production, has allowed Iraq to become the world's 
+swing producer. That is, the producer that sells the last 
+barrels into the market and thereby defines the price for the 
+entire market.
+    Let me explain what allows Iraq to become the swing 
+producer. Currently, many industry analysts estimate that 
+worldwide oil productive capacity exceeds demand by only about 
+4 percent. As forecast demand increases at a rate of 1.5 to 2 
+percent per year, this excess capacity will rapidly disappear. 
+Current low oil prices have decimated upstream capital 
+development budgets by an estimated 40 percent. My good friend 
+Pete here knows that. There is just not enough money out there 
+to continue drilling.
+    Simply put, without the expenditure of enormous development 
+funds, current capacity will not be expanded to keep pace with 
+increasing demand. This is the situation we now face. As a 
+result, any country with exports matching the excess productive 
+capacity, has the ability to be the world's swing producer. 
+Iraq now supplies about 3 percent of the world's demand, and 
+has the ability to dramatically influence prices by either 
+cutting or increasing its production. As demand increases and 
+excess capacity drops, the export volume needed to drive prices 
+will decrease. In the not too distant future, if not already, 
+Saddam Hussein will be in the position to drive prices upward 
+and punish consumer countries, perhaps when sanctions are 
+lifted and all the money from Iraqi oil sales goes to him.
+    We submit that Iraq is using this position for its leader's 
+own political purposes. Saddam's objectives differ from other 
+oil producers. We have heard a lot about that this morning. He 
+wanted higher oil prices when he invaded Kuwait, money he 
+needed to build his military forces. Now, he can't spend money 
+to buy arms. But, he can, by keeping oil prices low, punish his 
+enemies, first by reducing the income to Saudi Arabia, Kuwait 
+and all the exporting countries; and second, to increase market 
+share by driving down prices and causing critical U.S. 
+production to be shut down and plugged forever, and that hurts 
+the guys sitting right here. Thus, while condemning the U.N. 
+sanctions and thwarting efforts to deliver to his people the 
+humanitarian aid the sanctions purchase, Saddam is effectively 
+manipulating the world oil markets for his own political 
+purposes. This is where we stand today, and that is why we are 
+here.
+    At issue, then, is what will happen next. Last week, the 
+Secretary of Energy argued that Iraq's ability to increase its 
+production is limited and is not expected to go up measurably 
+this year. As a result, EIA believes that whatever effect Iraqi 
+production has had on prices has already occurred, because Iraq 
+cannot increase oil production much more over the next year or 
+two.
+    While we agree with the Secretary that Iraqi production has 
+impacted prices, the statement that Iraq cannot increase 
+production is a costly assumption that must be proven. Given 
+that the current sanctions program continues to fund additional 
+improvements to the oil export capabilities of Iraq, there is 
+no certainty that exports will not increase further. Clearly, 
+today's crude market is forcing other major oil exporting 
+nations to develop elaborate plans to limit their production. 
+The success of these efforts is limited by the ability of Iraq 
+to add more oil to the market. If the current Oil-For-Food 
+Program results in further Iraqi oil production increases, it 
+will allow Iraq to continue to hurt the other oil producing 
+countries and the strategically essential domestic production 
+of the United States. If it does, the U.N. sanctions will 
+continue to be fatally flawed at two levels. First, they will 
+have failed in its primary mission to provide humanitarian aid 
+to the Iraqi people. Second, they will have handed Saddam 
+Hussein the victory he lost in the Gulf War.
+    For the United States these options reflect policies we 
+must change. They make no sense. The world fought a war to 
+prevent Saddam Hussein from controlling world oil prices. Now, 
+we have, however inadvertently, handed him this ability without 
+a fight, and we are handing him control of the future of our 
+domestic resources, an unbelievable policy choice. Current 
+national policy on Iraq is flawed. Today, domestic production 
+is at risk, while tomorrow the U.S. consumer may soon feel the 
+shock of higher energy prices brought on by the actions of a 
+rogue nation, a policy that hurts producers and consumers 
+alike.
+    Our domestic oil production resource is the true national 
+strategic petroleum reserve. We must value that resource. With 
+respect to Iraq, we must recognize that its role in oil pricing 
+may not have been planned, but it is now significant and it is 
+not benign. If we fail to act in the short term, precious 
+domestic resources will be lost forever. As we have heard this 
+morning, in the last year we have lost nearly 600,000 barrels 
+per day of domestic production, which has reduced the U.S. 
+crude production to a level that has not been seen since 1950. 
+Since 1986, when the last price free-fall crippled the 
+industry, domestic oil production has dropped 2 million barrels 
+per day. We need to act now to prevent a similar consequence 
+from the current price crisis.
+    We thank you for your interest, we thank you for your time 
+today, and God bless you for being on the side of the 
+producers.
+    [The prepared statement of David L. Bole follows:]
+Prepared Statement of David L. Bole, Vice President, Corporate Research 
+                 and Development, Randall & Dewey, Inc.
+    Mr. Chairman, my name is David Bole. I am Vice President of 
+Corporate Research and Development for Randall & Dewey, Inc., a 
+Houston-based company that facilitates transactions in the upstream 
+part of the petroleum industry for all segments of the industry--major 
+companies, large and small independents, both public and private. In 
+this business, we have seen the disruptive effects of the current price 
+crisis not only on the stability of this critical portion of the 
+industry but in the direct loss of producers' equity value. Today, I am 
+representing the Independent Petroleum Association of America. IPAA 
+submits that the current problems facing domestic producers, and 
+potentially significant future problems, are related in large part to 
+the abuse of the UN ``oil for food'' sanctions program by Saddam 
+Hussein.
+    The industry has faced a low oil price crisis for more than a year, 
+but today's problems are very different. Just over a year ago, the 
+price crisis was started by a combination of events--the collapse of 
+Asian economies, a warmer than normal winter in the Northern 
+Hemisphere, and OPEC's decision to increase production quotas. The 
+production most at risk was marginal oil wells in the United States--
+wells that produce about 20 percent of America's domestic production, 
+an amount equivalent to our imports from Saudi Arabia.
+    However, as 1998 progressed, key OPEC countries and other 
+significant non-OPEC countries curtailed production to try to diminish 
+surplus inventories around the world and stabilize oil prices at levels 
+that permit profitable operation. As other countries cut production, 
+the UN sanctions program created an opportunity for Iraq's leaders to 
+influence the price of oil in ways that no one would have expected. The 
+UN sanctions structure was changed in two significant ways in early 
+1998. First, the ``oil-for-food'' program has always been based on a 
+dollar amount rather than a volume allowance. The dollar amount was 
+increased to $5.265 billion per six months--an amount at current prices 
+that effectively allows Iraq to pump unlimited volumes. Second, $300 
+million every six months was allocated to improve Iraq's oil production 
+capacity. Thus, as other countries were making the economic decisions 
+to reduce production as prices fell, Iraq was given a perverse 
+incentive to increase production.
+    And, increase it did. At the beginning of 1998 Iraq was exporting 
+approximately 700,000 barrels of oil per day. By the beginning of 1999 
+it was exporting as much as 2.5 million barrels per day. In 1998 Iraq 
+was the only country to increase its production of oil. This increase 
+has allowed Iraq to become the world's swing producer--the producer 
+that sells the last barrels into the market and thereby defines the 
+price for the entire market.
+    Let me explain what allows Iraq to become the swing producer. 
+Currently, many industry analysts estimate that worldwide oil 
+productive capacity, that is production that could quickly be added to 
+the world market, exceeds demand by only about 4 percent. As demand 
+increases at a rate of 1.5 to 2 percent per year, this excess capacity 
+is rapidly disappearing. Current low oil prices have decimated upstream 
+capital development budgets by an estimated 40 percent. Simply put, 
+without the expenditure of enormous development funds current capacity 
+will not be expanded to keep pace with increasing demand. This is the 
+situation we now face. As a result any country with exports matching 
+the excess productive capacity, has the ability to be the world's swing 
+producer. Iraq now has about three percent of the world's demand and 
+has the ability to dramatically influence prices by either cutting or 
+increasing its production. As demand increases and excess capacity 
+drops, the export volume needed to drive prices will decrease. In the 
+not too distant future--if not already--Saddam Hussein will be in the 
+position to drive prices upward and punish consuming countries--perhaps 
+when sanctions are lifted and all the money from Iraqi oil sales goes 
+to him.
+    We submit that Iraq is using this position for its leader's own 
+political purposes. Saddam's objectives differ from other oil 
+producers. He wanted higher oil prices when he invaded Kuwait--money he 
+needed to build his military forces. Now, he can't spend money to buy 
+arms. But, he can--by keeping oil prices low--punish his enemies, first 
+by reducing the income to Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE, Iran, and all the 
+exporting countries; second, to increase market share by driving down 
+prices and causing critical U.S. production to be shutdown and plugged 
+forever. Thus, while condemning the UN sanctions and thwarting efforts 
+to deliver to his people the humanitarian aid the sanctions purchase, 
+Saddam is effectively manipulating the world oil markets for his own 
+political purposes. This is where we stand today. And that is why we 
+are here.
+    At issue then is what will happen next. Last week, the Secretary of 
+Energy argued that ``Iraq's ability to increase its production is 
+limited and is not expected to go up measurably this year. As a result, 
+EIA believes that whatever effect Iraqi production has had on prices 
+has already occurred, because Iraq cannot increase oil production much 
+more over the next year or two.'' While we agree Iraqi production has 
+impacted prices, the statement that Iraq cannot increase production is 
+a costly assumption that must be proven. Given that the current 
+sanctions program continues to fund additional improvements to the oil 
+export capabilities of Iraq, there is no certainty that exports will 
+not increase further. In the middle of 1998 most experts believed that 
+Iraq could not reach the export levels it is currently sustaining. 
+Clearly, today's crude market is forcing other major oil exporting 
+nations to develop elaborate plans to manage their production, the 
+success of these efforts is limited by the ability of Iraq to add more 
+oil to the market. If the current ``oil-for-food'' program results in 
+further Iraqi oil production increases, it will allow Iraq to continue 
+to hurt the other oil producing countries--Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, 
+Venezuela, Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, and the strategically essential 
+domestic production of the United States. If it does, the UN sanctions 
+will continue to be fatally flawed at two levels. First, they will have 
+failed in its primary mission to provide humanitarian aid to the Iraqi 
+people. Second, they will have handed Saddam Hussein the victory he 
+lost in the Gulf War.
+    For the United States these options reflect policies we must 
+change. They make no sense. The world fought a war to prevent Saddam 
+Hussein from controlling world oil prices. Now, we have--however 
+inadvertently--handed him this ability. And, we are handing him control 
+of the future of our domestic resources--an unbelievable policy choice. 
+Current national policy on Iraq is faulty. Today, domestic production 
+is at risk, while tomorrow the U.S. consumer may soon feel the shock of 
+higher energy prices brought on by the actions of a rogue nation--a 
+policy that hurts producers and consumers alike.
+    Our domestic oil production resource is our true national strategic 
+petroleum reserve. We must value that resource. IPAA has presented an 
+array of options for Congress to address in response to the current 
+price crisis. With respect to Iraq we must recognize that its role in 
+oil pricing may not have been planned, but it is now significant and it 
+is not benign. If we fail to act in the short term, precious domestic 
+resources will be lost forever. Then, in the longer term when Saddam 
+shuts in production, we will not have the production needed to respond. 
+In the past year we have lost nearly 600,000 barrels per day of 
+domestic production, which has reduced the U.S. crude production to a 
+level that has not been seen since 1950. Since 1986, when the last 
+price crisis crippled the industry, domestic oil production has dropped 
+by 2 million barrels per day. We need to act now to prevent a similar 
+consequence from the current price crisis.
+
+    Mr. Barton. Thank you. Seeing no other member present, the 
+Chair is going to recognize himself for questions. And I am not 
+going to use the clock.
+    I am going to ask Mr. Hall's question since he had to 
+leave. Was anybody at TIPRO or IPAA or any other producer, 
+maybe the API, consulted before this Oil-For-Food Program was 
+put in place last year? Does anybody know?
+    Mr. Taylor. Not that I am aware of.
+    Mr. Brown. No.
+    Mr. Barton. Mr. Sieminski, do you remember?
+    Mr. Sieminski. Well, I do talk to people at the State 
+Department and elsewhere, but it seems to me that that program 
+was being driven mainly out of the United Nations and some of 
+the issues there I don't think that that domestic oil 
+consideration has gotten a lot of attention as part of that 
+program.
+    Mr. Barton. As far as anybody on this panel knows, there 
+was no formal attempt by the State Department or the Energy 
+Department or the United Nations directorate to contact the 
+production sector of the United States?
+    Mr. Bole. Not at all.
+    Mr. Barton. That is a fair statement.
+    Is there anybody on this panel that is opposed to providing 
+in some way food and medicine for the Iraqi people?
+    Mr. Bole. No.
+    Mr. Taylor. No.
+    Mr. Brown. No.
+    Mr. Sieminski. Not at all.
+    Mr. Barton. So we are not in opposition to at least the 
+publicized purpose of the program, which is to provide for 
+basic food, nutrition and medicine and humanitarian programs.
+    Is it in the national interest for us not only to allow 
+this production that is currently under way, but to give them 
+spare parts to increase production? Does anybody think that 
+makes sense from a national security standpoint, or even in the 
+interests of the United States standpoint?
+    Mr. Bole. Well, it makes absolutely no sense to allow Iraq 
+to increase production, while other OPEC nations are working in 
+concert to lower production so that we have a viable supply of 
+oil at a reasonable price to continue development.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, you all heard one of my final questions 
+to the gentleman from the State Department. Congressman Hall 
+and I are going to send a letter next week asking that they not 
+go forward with the spare parts program while we review it. I 
+would assume that you all would support that position that we, 
+at a minimum, while we review the larger program, we at least 
+stop the ability to increase production in Iraq.
+    Mr. Sieminski. Absolutely.
+    Mr. Taylor. Mr. Barton, I might even go a step further and 
+ask if you could somehow get through to them that a very 
+minuscule amount of that money would help restructure our own 
+industry here, and that they might consider the cost--it is bad 
+enough that Mr. Brown and I have to plug our wells. We lose the 
+production, and we have been taking a loss for quite a time on 
+these. When you decide to finally plug them on top of that, you 
+get a golden ring of about another $5,000 or $10,000 hit that 
+you have to pay to plug these wells in accordance with the 
+environmental regulations. So I would like for them to consider 
+our industry here that you know, maybe they would consider, 
+since they are encouraging them to dump all this oil on the 
+market over this, for the humanitarian reasons over there, that 
+they would consider the humanitarian reasons over here in the 
+United States and possibly give us some of that money for our 
+plugging costs. Maybe that will make them realize just how much 
+oil we are losing.
+    Mr. Barton. Interestingly enough, we didn't get--at least I 
+didn't understand the State Department's answer on how much 
+money had been collected, but I did understand that a large 
+portion that had been collected had not been spent for food. 
+Its label is oil for food, but in practical effect, they are 
+paying reparations to the Kuwaiti government and they are 
+paying for the cost of the U.N. bureaucracy, and they are 
+paying for the cost of the inspections which are not even going 
+on, and he upped his ante from $900 million I think to about 
+$2.5 billion for food, so I would guess about half the money so 
+far collected has gone for food. There are numerous ways to get 
+$2.5 billion worth of food to the Iraq people without allowing 
+the Iraqi government to produce oil.
+    Mr. Taylor. I have a tip from all the other oil producers. 
+We would like to get on that list of helping Kuwait and the 
+other oil countries that have gotten hurt.
+    Mr. Barton. We are going to give you an opportunity, I 
+think, to consult with the State Department, and if you want to 
+divert the spare parts to west Texas, that is fine with me. My 
+daughter is a teacher at South Elementary in Midland, Texas, 
+and she has seen the negative effects of what has happened, so 
+I don't think it would be a burden to reverse some of those 
+parts.
+    Yes, sir.
+    Mr. Sieminski. Mr. Barton, as bad as this Oil-For-Food 
+Program seems to you today, there are two ways that it could 
+get worse. The first one is if our policy of getting rid of 
+Saddam Hussein were to be successful and there were a new, 
+let's say, politically friendly regime in Iraq that somehow 
+changed the political course over there that would allow that 
+country to come out from under sanctions, and at that point 
+they would be like every other producer. They would produce 
+whatever they could economically want to do.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, they would be within the OPEC cartel.
+    Mr. Sieminski. Right.
+    Mr. Barton. Which although they are now, they are being 
+given a free ride apparently for political considerations 
+within the Arab world. The rest of the cartel is trying to 
+limit production, but they are not requesting even a 
+proportionate cut of Iraqi production.
+    Mr. Sieminski. I think the Iraqis are making the assumption 
+that their production was held down for so long that they have 
+a lot of catch-up to do before they are going to cooperate with 
+their other cartel members.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, they can assume whatever they want. That 
+doesn't mean the U.S. Congress----
+    Mr. Sieminski. Has to give it to them.
+    The second way that I think that again is worth more 
+questioning, that where things could get worse is there are 
+proposals that have been advanced on the Security Council to 
+allow foreign investment in the Iraqi industry, even as the 
+full sanctions are still on. There are a number of companies 
+and countries that are eagerly awaiting the opportunity to go 
+in and develop fields in Iraq, and one way perhaps to get at 
+the head of that line would be to assist the Iraqis in 
+rebuilding current facilities.
+    I think that you might want to look into the issue of how 
+the Oil-For-Food Program could be structured in such a way as 
+to delay that kind of activity, which I think would be 
+detrimental to U.S. foreign policy, certainly as long as that 
+regime in Iraq is in place, that there is a very definite 
+danger that the level of Iraqi production exports could rise 
+fairly dramatically and fairly quickly if companies were 
+allowed to go in and make investments in Iraq, and then again, 
+you would be back to, there wouldn't be any way--I mean if the 
+Oil-For-Food Program were to be revamped to allow for that, it 
+would be a considerably worse situation for domestic production 
+here in the United States than we are looking at now.
+    Mr. Barton. I understand that, and I don't advocate this, 
+but I don't buy the argument that you have to allow this 
+program to continue in order to keep sanctions being enforced. 
+Because--and again I am not an advocate of this, so I don't 
+want this to be the headline coming out of the hearing, but in 
+a worst-case situation, the United States Air Force could bomb 
+the oil terminals. We can enforce the ability not to let Iraq 
+export oil very easily. Again, that is not the purpose of this, 
+but there are ways to prevent the oil from being shipped, and 
+we have the military ability to do that. We don't choose to act 
+unilaterally, and I am not advocating that we should, but I 
+don't buy the argument that we are somehow helpless in the U.N. 
+and the world community while our domestic industry is 
+decimated. Because it was pointed out in a question that I 
+asked, there is no other nation that is losing permanently 
+domestic production because of this program except the United 
+States and perhaps to a smaller extent Canada.
+    If we can get the State Department's attention and the 
+Energy Department's attention and the United Nations' attention 
+to review this program, I assume that your trade associations 
+would be willing to participate in a dialog about how to revamp 
+it, is that correct?
+    Mr. Bole. Yes, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. There is not anybody that is opposed to that.
+    Mr. Bole. Mr. Chairman, I just have one comment. Tom made a 
+good point here a minute ago about a little financial help to 
+the producers as our stripper and marginal production is made 
+irrelevant by the sales of Iraq crude. A point of comparison is 
+Wes Watkins' marginal well tax credit bill is estimated to cost 
+only $600 million over 10 years, compared to billions of 
+dollars that we are funneling into Iraq. And I think there are 
+other measures that could benefit the plight of the domestic 
+producers when compared in dollar amounts to others are 
+insignificant, but significant to the producer.
+    Mr. Barton. Right. We know that, as a Nation, we are 
+importing more oil than we ever have. We know what the Iraqi 
+oil production is, and we know the number of barrels that they 
+are exporting. We didn't ask the prior panel how much of that 
+Iraqi oil is imported into the United States. Now, I have been 
+told that it is about 700,000 barrels a day of Iraqi oil into 
+the United States. Is that a number that anybody here is 
+familiar with, or if that is the wrong number, are any of you 
+gentlemen able to tell us approximately how much Iraqi oil is 
+coming into the United States?
+    Mr. Taylor. Maybe that is just a sheer coincidence of the 6 
+to 700,000 barrels we have lost as independent producers. That 
+would be a good number.
+    Mr. Barton. I am not putting that on the record that that 
+is a valid number, but I have been told that. Mr. Sieminski, do 
+you know how much Iraqi oil we are importing?
+    Mr. Sieminski. I don't have that number available right 
+now, but I think you would get that really quick.
+    Mr. Barton. Mr. Bole, do you----
+    Mr. Bole. Yes. Our staff says that that number has ranged 
+from 500, 600, 700,000 barrels and it varies on a month-to-
+month basis.
+    Mr. Barton. So it is verifiable that not only are we 
+importing more oil than we ever have into this country, but 
+that between 500,000 and 700,000 barrels per day is coming from 
+Iraq.
+    Mr. Brown. Mr. Chairman, added to Mr. Smith's testimony are 
+some graphs indicating select imports to the United States 
+which indicates that in August Iraqi oil was in the range of 
+650,000 barrels, and that, from January, steadily increased 
+upward. If you will look at, I think it is this lower chart 
+here. It is in Mr. Smith's testimony.
+    Mr. Barton. I have it right here in front of me.
+    Mr. Brown. I will be glad to pass this up to you.
+    Mr. Barton. No. We have it. We appreciate your offer to 
+help the chairman do his job, but I think I have it right here 
+in front of me.
+    We are going to do a number of hearings on the domestic oil 
+and gas industry on this subcommittee this year. We are 
+obviously going to look at this issue very closely and very 
+skeptically based on what testimony we heard from the 
+administration representative today.
+    Are there any other items? Mr. Bole, you mentioned the 
+Watkins bill. Are there any other items that would be of 
+immediate benefit that we should address in our hearings that 
+you would like to put on the agenda today?
+    Mr. Bole. Yes, and it is not a specific item, it is more of 
+a question. In listening to the testimony today and the 
+interests of you and the committee members, I am impressed by 
+the agreement, the majority agreement here that we, as a 
+Nation, our oil and gas-producing States are in trouble, that 
+the Iraqi policies and other things are hurting us. But the 
+question that I would like to have answered, not today but 
+perhaps in the future, is if you are not from a producing oil 
+and gas State, why should you care?
+    Mr. Barton. Well, that is a dilemma that we have. If you 
+are from a producing State or a producing region, you see the 
+negative effect of low prices, and again, my daughter is a 
+sixth grade social studies teacher in Midland, Texas. She has 
+lived out there this year and she teaches in a lower-income 
+school, and she has firsthand knowledge of people who have lost 
+their jobs and who have been thrown out of work and children 
+who have had to go on food stamps because their parents do not 
+have a job. So it is a real problem. But the other side of 
+these low oil prices is gasoline, and in my part of Texas, just 
+south of Dallas, for 75 cents a gallon, and people get used to 
+that.
+    Mr. Bole. Yes, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. Gas prices have gone back up a little bit in 
+the last couple of weeks to about 89 cents a gallon or 85 
+cents, and people are complaining of price gouging. They get 
+used to 75 cents, and of course up here it is a little bit 
+higher. So we do have to have a very good answer to that.
+    The question why should Congressman Markey from 
+Massachusetts or Congressman Pallone from New Jersey care as 
+members of the subcommittee what is happening, and the long-
+term answer is national security and the best interests long 
+term of the people of the United States of America. But we are 
+going to have to do some research to make sure that we give a 
+good short-term answer. I agree with that.
+    We have had a good hearing today. Most of our members who 
+stayed for the hearing come from regions of the country that 
+see the negative side of this issue. But it is not going to be 
+easy to convince a majority of the Congress and the Senate and 
+the President to make some of these changes that I think need 
+to be made.
+    Mr. Bole. Would it be appropriate to suggest a partial 
+answer to why they should care?
+    Mr. Barton. You can--my plane doesn't leave until 4:15. I 
+am going to have to take a personal convenience break at some 
+time, but I will listen as long as you want to talk.
+    Mr. Bole. You have a great constituency, and I will be 
+uncharacteristically brief.
+    The oil and gas industry is no longer an oil and gas 
+industry, it is an energy industry. As you know, Congress is 
+deregulating electricity.
+    Mr. Barton. We are trying to.
+    Mr. Bole. We are trying to.
+    Mr. Barton. This same subcommittee.
+    Mr. Bole. Absolutely. And so what we are looking at is a 
+domestic energy industry which is made up of electricity, oil, 
+gas and all the other fuels. The utility business, and I have a 
+background of working for the utility companies, estimates that 
+it is going to take Pete and others to invest $180 billion over 
+the next 10 years in domestic drilling to allow us to grow from 
+a 21.5 TCF market to a 30 TCF market. There are 1,300 
+independent power projects on the drawing boards; 1,150 are 
+supposed to be powered by natural gas, a 3-year backlog from 
+General Electric and General Electric's turbines to build the 
+cogen plants.
+    Mr. Barton. I am aware of them.
+    Mr. Bole. The utility industry only has to invest $40 
+billion to reconfigure the pipe to get this gas to the markets 
+to fuel the power plants. They are making 15 to 17 percent 
+return on their investment. These guys are making no money on 
+their investment. As an industry, the Oil and Gas Journal 200 
+gets 6 percent return on total capital.
+    Now, I don't think it is going to happen that our industry 
+is going to invest $180 billion for a 6 percent return to get 
+from 21 to 30 TCF.
+    The second thing that has happened in our business is we do 
+a lot of transactions. We sell to Mobil, Exxon, Amoco and BP. 
+We are seeing the major companies divest properties in the 
+United States.
+    Mr. Barton. Right.
+    Mr. Bole. We have seen the total amount of sales, property 
+sales in the 1990's go from an average of $7 billion a year, 2 
+years ago, $23 billion, last year, $82 billion. These 
+properties are being sold to the independents. Where are the 
+independents going to get the money to develop these properties 
+and continue to drill them to keep our production up to satisfy 
+the total energy demands of the U.S. if the price of oil is at 
+$12 to $14, and gas is, you know, under $2.
+    Mr. Barton. What is a reasonable price that brings some 
+stability, yet protects consumers against price spikes, if we 
+could somehow come up with a policy that kept oil prices within 
+a certain range, what would that range be, so that we would 
+have reasonable prices at the pump for our motorists, and yet 
+enough revenue so that we could do some of the things that Mr. 
+Bole just talked about?
+    Mr. Bole. Well, I would stick my neck out and let the other 
+guys comment, but the number that seems to be most prevalent is 
+oil staying in the range of say $18 to $22 a barrel and gas 
+closer to $3 than $2.
+    Mr. Barton. In MCF.
+    Mr. Bole. In MCF, yes, sir.
+    Mr. Barton. Do you agree with that, Mr. Brown?
+    Mr. Brown. My company just did a study on that to find out 
+what would it take for us to go back out and drill for oil 
+again. I mean right now all we do is drill for gas. But to 
+drill for oil it would take $22 a barrel plus in a stable 
+market. The problem is the volatility in the market. And you 
+have to understand that when oil prices are low, gas prices are 
+competitive with oil; in other words, home heating oil versus 
+natural gas. So gas gets pushed down at the same time, and it 
+just takes revenue out of our ability to go out and drill for 
+more oil. I am like a grocery store owner. I mean I have to 
+restock my shelves. I am going out of business if I don't drill 
+for oil.
+    Mr. Barton. Right. Mr. Taylor.
+    Mr. Taylor. I don't know about Mr. Brown, but in our area, 
+and I am taking in quite a bit of Texas, our lifting costs are 
+anywhere from $12 to $15 a barrel, and that is not taking into 
+consideration if you have to pull a down hole pump or your rods 
+part, your maintenance and repairs. One of the big fields in 
+Texas, the Kelly Snyder field, that thing produces a tremendous 
+amount of oil and lifting costs are at $15 per barrel.
+    Mr. Barton. So we need kind of a floor at the $15 range and 
+it would be nice to go to the $25, so kind of a $10 range.
+    Mr. Taylor. Of course we get nervous when the price gets 
+over $20 a barrel, because this is what happens. I mean all of 
+a sudden we realize that we are basically the stepchildren of 
+this booming economy. Mr. Brown and I, I have four little kids 
+I am trying to raise, and I am trying to make a living, and if 
+I can get $18 to $20 a barrel, you know, I think I can do it. 
+But if I am making less than $15 I am losing money.
+    Mr. Barton. Do any of you know what the OPEC model is for, 
+what is their optimal target price that they shoot for in their 
+5-year program?
+    Mr. Brown. I asked Dr. Mankin, who is in charge of the 
+Oklahoma Geological Survey, that very question and he said that 
+OPEC would probably shoot for something around $17 a barrel.
+    Mr. Barton. Okay.
+    Mr. Taylor. It would equate to us to be $21. I think there 
+is maybe $3 between tanker charges, et cetera.
+    Mr. Barton. How many wells, Mr. Taylor, that you have had 
+an interest in have had to be plugged in the last year? That 
+you had personal financial interest?
+    Mr. Taylor. Personal interest, I would say probably 28 to 
+32 percent, and then of the remaining wells that I have 
+interest in, we continue to lose money or we shut them in. But 
+as far as wells that have been plugged, I live on a small ranch 
+south of Abilene, and we had 12 wells out there and they all 
+made a barrel or two a day. And the company that was operating 
+those wells turned them over to the pumper. Because he couldn't 
+make any money, the pumper just recently turned them over to a 
+salvage company. So they pulled the pumping units off of them. 
+They haven't plugged them yet.
+    Mr. Barton. Now, if we hadn't had the collapse in prices, 
+how many more years would those wells have produced?
+    Mr. Taylor. They have been out there for approximately 18 
+years and they would produce for another 10 years. Once they 
+get down to a level of a barrel or 2 to 5 barrels a day, they 
+will maintain that level. You have a low-fluid entry, but when 
+you pump them for a few hours, you turn them off, you nurse 
+those wells, you can pump them for another 10 years.
+    Mr. Barton. There were substantial amounts of oil yet to be 
+obtained if, in fact, we could have kept the wells flowing and 
+the fact that, you know, at one time west Texas, the actual 
+price at the well had gotten down to about $6.50 a barrel.
+    Mr. Taylor. That is correct.
+    Mr. Barton. And nobody, I mean God couldn't keep those 
+wells going at $6.50 a barrel for very long.
+    Mr. Taylor. In the event you have a landowner such as 
+myself that was encouraging that operator to go ahead and 
+continue those wells, I gave them an extension on the lease, 
+they kept the wells shut in, but when you do that for an 
+extended amount of time, your down hole pumps start corroding, 
+your rods start corroding, so the equipment starts rotting and 
+you can't keep them shut in for so long.
+    Mr. Barton. Mr. Brown, you said you are principally looking 
+at gas now, but have you had to plug some oil wells that you 
+had an interest in in the last year?
+    Mr. Brown. In my testimony I talked about 57 percent of the 
+wells in December lost money, and one of my problems is getting 
+the operators to plug them. They don't want to give them up, 
+and they know they are losing money, but they just think well, 
+the price, it is just around the corner, it is going to go back 
+up and they are going to start making money again, but we keep 
+losing money every month. And as I say, you can only lose money 
+for so long.
+    So I think a lot of the wells that need to be plugged are 
+yet to be plugged. We have shut a lot of them in, but at some 
+point in time, like you said, your equipment starts to 
+deteriorate and when you try to start it back up, it means a 
+sizable investment, so you are better off plugging the well 
+than spending the money trying to put it back on production.
+    Mr. Barton. I am going to conclude the hearing.
+    I want to thank you all for coming. The issues that we are 
+going to look at, we are going to continue to look at the Iraqi 
+Oil-For-Food Program. We have a possibility to reauthorize the 
+Strategic Petroleum Reserve this year in this subcommittee, we 
+are going to look at that to use the petroleum stripper well 
+production. I have had one suggestion from an independent in 
+Texas that we might relax some of the antitrust rules that 
+would allow small producers to form co-ops in which they could 
+pool their oil for transportation at the refinery. That is not 
+allowed under current antitrust laws. If you have any other 
+suggestions, a number of the tax issues are not before this 
+subcommittee's jurisdiction. They go to the Ways and Means, but 
+Bill Archer of Texas and Wes Watkins of Oklahoma are very 
+interested.
+    Did you want to put something else in the record, Mr. 
+Chairman?
+    Mr. Smith. Thank you. Mike Smith again. One thing I forgot 
+to mention in my testimony----
+    Mr. Barton. We don't normally have witnesses want to come 
+back.
+    Mr. Smith. I know of at least one that doesn't want to come 
+back that was on my panel. But there has been a lot of 
+conversation about the cost to produce a barrel of oil, and the 
+Oklahoma Marginal Well Commission, which is a State agency in 
+Oklahoma that is in my cabinet jurisdiction, in concert with 
+Oklahoma State University, spent about a year making an 
+exhaustive study in Oklahoma on the true cost of producing a 
+barrel of oil. And the average well in Oklahoma costs about $14 
+a barrel simply in lifting costs. That is electric, pumper, 
+environmental costs. That does not include if you have rods 
+part, or you have a pump problem or any down hole problem. And 
+no rework. It is strictly day-to-day production.
+    Mr. Barton. Well, thank you. As I said at the top of the 
+hearing, this is the first, but it is not the last. We are 
+going to be working with the State Department on the specific 
+issue, but we are going to look at a wide range of issues in 
+the domestic oil and gas industry, and your input will be 
+appreciated as we continue these hearings.
+    This hearing is adjourned.
+    [Whereupon, at 1:50 p.m., the subcommittee was adjourned.]
+    [Additional material submitted for the record follows:]
+
+                  United States Department of State
+                                     Washington, D.C. 20520
+                                                     April 16, 1999
+The Honorable Joe Barton, Chairman,
+Subcommittee on Energy and Power,
+House of Representatives.
+    Dear Mr. Chairman, thank you for your letter of April 2 concerning 
+the recent testimony before the Subcommittee on Energy and Power by 
+William B. Wood of the Bureau of International Organization Affairs.
+    Your letter requested information on revenues and disbursements 
+under the UN Oil-for-Food program in Iraq, which is included in the 
+attachments to this letter. As the Oil-for-Food program runs in six 
+month phases, some of the information is presented by program phase. 
+The material attached includes information on:
+
+ actual Oil-for-Food sale revenues by phase;
+ approved contracts from phases I-IV (12/96 to 11/98) and 
+        projected allocations in phase V (11/98 to 5/99); and
+ purchases of spare parts and equipment for the Iraqi oil 
+        infrastructure from Phase IV, when the special set-aside of 
+        funds for this purpose began, to date.
+    With respect to these figures, it is worth noting that only two-
+thirds of the Iraqi oil revenue is available for humanitarian 
+purchases.
+    Of the remaining funds, thirty percent goes to the United Nations 
+Compensation Commission, which compensates those who suffered economic 
+losses--including U.S. citizens and corporations--as a result of the 
+Iraqi invasion and occupation of Kuwait, and the remainder goes to fund 
+UNSCOM disarmament activities in Iraq and UN Oil-for-Food management 
+expenses.
+    I hope you find this information useful. We appreciate the 
+Subcommittee's interest in the Oil-for-Food program, which is a 
+critical element of our Iraq policy. The program is crucial to 
+maintaining Security Council and wider international support, including 
+the support of other oil-producing nations, for the UN sanctions which 
+contain Iraq's ability to threaten its neighbors while we continue our 
+efforts for regime change. The Oil-for-Food program helps meet the 
+genuine humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people and our support for it 
+reinforces the message that the United States is not against the people 
+of Iraq-only the regime that is responsible for their plight.
+            Sincerely,
+                                             Barbara Larkin
+                           Assistant Secretary, Legislative Affairs
+Attachments:
+Tab 1: Oil-for-Food revenues
+Tab 2: Oil-for-Food Contracts by phase
+Tab 3: Contracts for oil spare parts and equipment
+
+                                     Oil-for-Food Oil Sale Revenues By Phase
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+                                                                    Approved                           Ave Price
+                              Phase                                   Oil       Barrels    $ Revenue      per
+                                                                   Contracts   (million)   (million)     Barrel
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+I (12/96-6/97)..................................................          51        121      $2150       $17.99
+II (6/97-12/97).................................................          34      127.3      $2125       $16.74
+III (12/97-5/98)................................................          52      183.9      $2092       $11.49
+IV (5/98-11/98).................................................          59      308.1      $3040        $9.36
+V (11/98-5/99)..................................................          82      274.9       $983*
+  TOTAL.........................................................         278       1015     $10390**
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+*Sales through mid-April
+**One third of this total is used for UNCC and UN Oil-for-Food management operations.
+
+
+                     Oil-for-Food Contracts by Phase
+                       [in millions of US dollars]
+------------------------------------------------------------------------
+                                                  Phases I-
+                                                     IV        Phase V
+                     Sector                       Approved    Projected
+                                                  Contracts  Allocations
+------------------------------------------------------------------------
+Food...........................................    3797.12        1,026
+Medicine & Health..............................        744          240
+Water & Sanitation.............................     152.25          150
+Electricity....................................     351.54          409
+Agriculture....................................     273.70          180
+Education......................................     115.99          100
+Settlement Rehabilitation......................      41.10           40
+Mines..........................................       2.99            9
+Nutrition......................................      23.92           16
+Infrastructure Support.........................          *          126
+Oil............................................     114.31          300
+  Total........................................    5616.92        2,596
+------------------------------------------------------------------------
+*The UN did not report funding for this category
+
+
+               United Nations Office of the Iraq Programme
+  All Oil Spare Parts Contracts Approved as at 16 April 1999 under the
+ terms of resolutions 1175 and 1210--funded under Phases IV and V of the
+                         oil for food programme
+------------------------------------------------------------------------
+             Country                 Nature of Spares     Contract Value
+------------------------------------------------------------------------
+Denmark..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $1,043,090
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Spain............................  Pipeline Equip &             $630,280
+                                    Spares.
+Germany..........................  Pipeline Equip &             $189,349
+                                    Spares.
+Germany..........................  Pipeline Equip &           $8,746,858
+                                    Spares.
+Belgium..........................  Pipeline Equip &             $287,508
+                                    Spares.
+Denmark..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $2,270,804
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Denmark..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $100,580
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Denmark..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $20,139
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Russian Federation...............  Pipeline Equip &             $976,191
+                                    Spares.
+Turkey...........................  Pipeline Equip &           $8,600,426
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &           $1,140,000
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &           $1,283,966
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $5,000,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &             $177,793
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &             $287,622
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &             $158,930
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &             $148,240
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &              $98,478
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &             $260,328
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &             $276,606
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &              $23,520
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &              $72,176
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &              $82,030
+                                    Spares.
+China............................  Tug Boats...........       $9,350,000
+Italy............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $2,885,039
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Italy............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $221,100
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Italy............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $1,036,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $4,338,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+The Netherlands..................  Demulsifier.........       $1,750,000
+Turkey...........................  Pipeline Equip &             $580,000
+                                    Spares.
+Turkey...........................  N/A.................         $226,500
+China............................  Pipeline Equip &             $456,000
+                                    Spares.
+Jordan...........................  Pipeline Equip &             $914,924
+                                    Spares.
+Jordan...........................  Pipeline Equip &             $914,924
+                                    Spares.
+Russian Federation...............  Pipeline Equip &             $700,000
+                                    Spares.
+Denmark..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $92,298
+Denmark..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $84,370
+Denmark..........................  N/A.................         $193,349
+Denmark..........................  N/A.................         $374,115
+Turkey...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $555,606
+Turkey...........................  N/A.................         $919,260
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &              $32,960
+                                    Spares.
+Belgium..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $45,323
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &          $16,692,147
+                                    Spares.
+France...........................  Pipeline Equip &             $132,288
+                                    Spares.
+Russian Federation...............  Pipeline Equip &             $383,758
+                                    Spares.
+Russian Federation...............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $454,800
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Russian Federation...............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $1,367,800
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Belgium..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $277,500
+Russian Federation...............  STORAGE TANKS/SPARE        $3,000,000
+                                    PARTS.
+France...........................  VALVE/PARTS.........          $86,472
+France...........................  VALVE/PARTS.........         $153,259
+France...........................  VALVE/PARTS.........          $65,507
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $27,019
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $539,240
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $94,346
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Russian Federation...............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $41,603
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Russian Federation...............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $329,497
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  VALVE/PARTS.........          $18,500
+China............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $80,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  VALVE/PARTS.........          $27,853
+France...........................  DEMULSIFIER.........       $1,067,500
+Singapore........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $3,270,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Turkey...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $91,280
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $185,693
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $28,982
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $165,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  FIRE FIGHTING TRUCKS/        $954,600
+                                    SPARES.
+France...........................  VEHICLE.............         $488,000
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $95,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $62,910
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+The Netherlands..................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $50,357
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Turkey...........................  FIRE FIGHTING TRUCKS/        $218,000
+                                    SPARES.
+Spain............................  BATTERIES...........         $949,980
+China............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $945,800
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $133,000
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $322,839
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Belgium..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $23,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Belgium..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $118,500
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+UAE..............................  DIESEL ENGINE MOTOR            $7,496
+                                    SPARE PARTS.
+UAE..............................  CABLE...............          $26,500
+UAE..............................  COMPRESSOR..........          $78,696
+UAE..............................  COMPRESSOR..........          $62,511
+Cyprus...........................  BATTERY/ACCESSORIES.         $191,440
+UAE..............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $173,969
+UAE..............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $119,670
+UAE..............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $203,500
+Belgium..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $347,605
+Jordan...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....       $1,450,000
+Jordan...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $166,491
+Turkey...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $160,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Russian Federation...............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $117,765
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Jordan...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $271,585
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Turkey...........................  ELECTRICAL SPARE             $336,951
+                                    PARTS FOR OIL
+                                    SECTOR.
+Egypt............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $97,834
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Egypt............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $186,192
+The United Kingdom...............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $413,991
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Cyprus...........................  BATTERY/ACCESSORIES.         $270,686
+Turkey...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $650,100
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $158,243
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  DRILL EQUIPMENT/             $189,872
+                                    SPARES.
+Turkey...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $2,115,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Turkey...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $173,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Turkey...........................  CESSPIT EQUIPMENT...          $95,230
+Belgium..........................  ROTATING MACHINE             $261,902
+                                    SPARES.
+Italy............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $890,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Jordan...........................  AIR COMPRESSOR PARTS         $180,000
+Russian Federation...............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $418,806
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Russian Federation...............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $105,190
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+The United Kingdom...............  AIR COMPRESSOR PARTS         $176,940
+The United Kingdom...............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $597,593
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Jordan...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $58,148
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  OIL SPARES FOR WASTE          $18,575
+                                    WATER TREATMENT.
+France...........................  PUMP/PARTS..........          $41,385
+France...........................  VALVES/PUMPS/PARTS           $555,340
+                                    FOR UNDERGROUND
+                                    STORAGE.
+China............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $226,477
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $12,024
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $44,480
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $1,441,686
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  FERROCHROME                   $25,024
+                                    LIGNOSULFONATE.
+China............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $155,000
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $178,132
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $1,200,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Denmark..........................  PUMP/PARTS..........         $676,000
+The Netherlands..................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $209,032
+The Netherlands..................  PUMP/PARTS..........         $177,264
+The Netherlands..................  PUMP/PARTS..........         $137,847
+UAE..............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $73,752
+Jordan...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $10,147
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+UAE..............................  WASTE WATER                   $74,952
+                                    EQUIPMENT PARTS.
+Jordan...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $120,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $273,176
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $360,473
+Turkey...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $75,558
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Switzerland......................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $230,192
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $195,093
+China............................  FORKLIFT............         $188,000
+China............................  CEMENT..............          $52,137
+Russian Federation...............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $24,308
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $123,625
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $1,479,132
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+UAE..............................  AIR CONDITIONER.....          $44,250
+Russian Federation...............  PASSENGER BOAT......       $2,650,000
+France...........................  PUMPS AND SPARE               $77,254
+                                    PARTS.
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $85,758
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $119,760
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $135,468
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $50,159
+China............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $25,130
+China............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $80,779
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $23,272
+China............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $106,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $68,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Bahrain..........................  ZINC SULPHATE.......          $69,000
+UAE..............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $145,161
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+UAE..............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $118,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+UAE..............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $304,510
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Jordan...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $103,765
+Turkey...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $212,700
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+UAE..............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $39,880
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Russian Federation...............  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $162,723
+The United Kingdom...............  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $41,987
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $620,000
+Italy............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $75,960
+Finland..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $123,643
+France...........................  MOTOR...............         $130,937
+Italy............................  MOTOR...............         $376,100
+Italy............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $71,731
+Italy............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $61,436
+Germany..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $750,319
+Jordan...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $32,634
+Belgium..........................  FIRE FIGHTING                $119,150
+                                    CHEMICALS.
+Russian Federation...............  TRANSFORMERS........         $195,400
+UK...............................  LABORATORY SUPPLIES.          $18,658
+Korea............................  FORKLIFTS...........         $206,176
+Finland..........................  INSTRUMENTATION               $25,884
+                                    SPARES.
+UAE..............................  GENERATOR SPARE              $100,083
+                                    PARTS.
+Cyprus...........................  CABLE/SPARE PARTS...         $110,000
+Belgium..........................  FIRE FIGHTING                $313,976
+                                    CHEMICALS.
+Belgium..........................  SAFETY & FIRE                 $29,494
+                                    FIGHTING EQUIPMENT.
+Belgium..........................  SAFETY & FIRE                 $11,332
+                                    FIGHTING EQUIPMENT.
+Belgium..........................  SAFETY & FIRE                 $60,479
+                                    FIGHTING EQUIPMENT.
+Belgium..........................  SAFETY & FIRE                 $45,593
+                                    FIGHTING EQUIPMENT.
+Belgium..........................  SAFETY & FIRE                $150,952
+                                    FIGHTING EQUIPMENT.
+Belgium..........................  SAFETY & FIRE                 $90,082
+                                    FIGHTING EQUIPMENT.
+Belgium..........................  FIRE EXTINGUISHER...         $173,938
+France...........................  Seals...............          $54,506
+Sweden...........................  GAS TURBINE SPARE            $123,743
+                                    PARTS.
+Ireland..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $78,580
+Ireland..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $251,772
+Ireland..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $103,220
+Ireland..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $119,729
+Ireland..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $393,310
+UAE..............................  COMPRESSOR..........         $161,000
+UAE..............................  GENERATOR SPARE               $50,142
+                                    PARTS.
+China............................  ELECTRIC MOTORS.....           $1,650
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $319,719
+France...........................  PUMP/PARTS..........         $343,640
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $71,115
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....       $1,150,382
+France...........................  WATER PUMPING                $386,795
+                                    STATION PARTS.
+France...........................  PUMPS AND SPARE              $412,079
+                                    PARTS.
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $54,768
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $105,324
+France...........................  INSTRUMENTATION              $130,569
+                                    SPARES.
+France...........................  VALVE/PARTS.........         $325,096
+Jordan...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $526,649
+Jordan...........................  AIR COMPRESSOR PARTS         $655,563
+UAE..............................  VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS.         $750,000
+UAE..............................  VEHICLE.............       $1,404,000
+UAE..............................  AMBULANCE...........          $54,000
+UAE..............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $619,788
+Jordan...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $91,855
+Jordan...........................  INSTRUMENTATION               $56,949
+                                    SPARES.
+Jordan...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $66,000
+Italy............................  PUMPS AND SPARE               $53,524
+                                    PARTS.
+Italy............................  CENTRIFUGE/SPARE             $115,989
+                                    PARTS.
+Italy............................  ROTATING MACHINES...         $123,343
+Italy............................  INSTRUMENTATION              $140,185
+                                    SPARES.
+Russian Federation...............  SEALS...............          $41,210
+Russian Federation...............  GASKETS.............         $281,129
+UAE..............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $163,000
+China............................  WORK VEHICLES.......       $1,179,136
+France...........................  VALVE/PARTS.........          $42,713
+France...........................  PUMPS AND SPARE               $40,346
+                                    PARTS.
+France...........................  AIR COMPRESSOR PARTS          $24,908
+France...........................  MOTOR...............          $14,270
+Austria..........................  PUMP/PARTS..........         $221,459
+Italy............................  FIELD                        $163,242
+                                    INSTRUMENTATION/
+                                    SPARE PARTS.
+China............................  FORKLIFT............         $140,250
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $31,206
+Germany..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $508,011
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $167,885
+UAE..............................  VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS.       $1,180,000
+Belgium..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....       $1,361,475
+Cyprus...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $25,000
+Italy............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $214,230
+Belgium..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $330,000
+Belgium..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $427,000
+Egypt............................  BOILER TUBES........          $98,000
+Switzerland......................  MOTOR...............          $18,300
+France*..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $331,320
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Turkey*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....           $7,260
+China*...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $43,716
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+China*...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $25,115
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Jordan*..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $61,666
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France*..........................  FORKLIFT/SPARES.....       $2,000,000
+Jordan*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $74,602
+France*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $53,462
+Jordan*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $664,213
+Jordan*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $68,000
+France*..........................  VALVE/PARTS.........         $755,650
+France*..........................  CHEMICALS...........          $78,810
+France*..........................  GENERATING SETS AND           $79,000
+                                    PARTS.
+France*..........................  SPARE PARTS FOR              $138,252
+                                    COOLING TOWER.
+Italy*...........................  CHEMICALS...........         $122,033
+France*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $112,227
+China............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....       $1,180,000
+Jordan*..........................  CONTROL                       $99,363
+                                    INSTRUMENTATION.
+UAE..............................  PUMP/PARTS..........          $41,152
+Italy............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $297,035
+UK...............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $93,642
+UK...............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....           $8,387
+UK...............................  SPARE PARTS FOR              $184,494
+                                    GLYCOL PUMPS.
+Malaysia.........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &      $10,299,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL.
+Malaysia.........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....       $5,406,000
+France...........................  ELECTRIC MOTORS.....          $65,190
+Russian Federation*..............  COMPRESSOR/PARTS....         $383,944
+France*..........................  OIL SPARES/PARTS FOR         $191,104
+                                    LPG FILLING PLANT.
+Russian Federation*..............  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $298,000
+Russian Federation*..............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $596,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France*..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $245,911
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+UAE*.............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $74,355
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $626,742
+France*..........................  CENTRIFUGAL PUMPING          $235,460
+                                    SYSTEM.
+France*..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $25,549
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Jordan*..........................  PUMPS AND SPARE              $605,010
+                                    PARTS.
+Jordan*..........................  PUMPS AND SPARE              $188,782
+                                    PARTS.
+Jordan*..........................  COMPRESSOR/                  $253,516
+                                    ACCESSORIES.
+Egypt*...........................  TRANSFORMERS........          $42,500
+Jordan*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $212,105
+Belgium*.........................  BEARING UNITS.......          $58,463
+Italy*...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....           $8,845
+France*..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $284,200
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France*..........................  PUMP/PARTS..........         $128,420
+Italy*...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $312,500
+Italy*...........................  ROTATING MACHINES...          $41,877
+Belgium*.........................  BEARINGS............          $56,633
+France*..........................  PUMP/PARTS..........         $252,868
+France*..........................  COMPRESSOR/PARTS;          $1,295,895
+                                    TURBINE SPARE PARTS.
+France*..........................  CENTRIFUGAL PUMPING          $138,850
+                                    SYSTEM.
+France*..........................  EXCAVATORS & SPARE           $408,160
+                                    PARTS.
+France*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $29,419
+Turkey*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $223,150
+Italy*...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $457,485
+France*..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $561,127
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Turkey*..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $110,640
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Turkey*..........................  VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS.          $65,983
+UAE*.............................  VALVE/PARTS.........          $88,400
+France*..........................  ROTATING MACHINE              $69,345
+                                    SPARES.
+France*..........................  PUMP/PARTS..........         $111,600
+France...........................  ELECTRIC MOTORS.....          $65,190
+Italy............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $49,792
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $146,560
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $228,760
+France...........................  ROTATING MACHINES...         $109,431
+France...........................  VALVES & PIPE                 $65,087
+                                    FITTINGS.
+France...........................  VALVE/PARTS.........         $357,138
+Italy............................  CHEMICALS...........         $656,370
+France...........................  FLOW CONTROL VALVES.         $654,301
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $350,065
+Italy............................  CHEMICALS...........          $24,000
+Russian Federation...............  GAS TURBINE SPARE          $2,909,000
+                                    PARTS.
+France*..........................  CENTRIFUGAL PUMPING        $1,454,600
+                                    SYSTEM.
+Italy*...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....       $2,492,260
+France*..........................  CABLE...............          $18,000
+Italy*...........................  GAS TURBINE SPARE            $165,932
+                                    PARTS.
+Italy*...........................  ROTATING MACHINES...         $210,059
+UAE*.............................  VALVE/PARTS.........          $31,580
+Russian Federation*..............  OIL SPARE PARTS.....       $1,368,712
+Italy*...........................  PUMP/PARTS..........         $304,500
+Italy*...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $98,660
+Korea*...........................  EXCAVATORS & SPARE           $294,000
+                                    PARTS.
+France*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $568,578
+UAE*.............................  DRILL EQUIPMENT/             $867,082
+                                    SPARES.
+France*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $284,372
+UAE*.............................  VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS$         $880,112
+France*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....       $6,725,937
+Turkey*..........................  REHABILITATION SPARE        $2118,000
+                                    PARTS FOR IT.
+China............................  CHEMICALS...........          $16,618
+Austria..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $52,122
+Austria..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $53,510
+Austria..........................  PUMP/PARTS..........          $11,562
+Austria..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $14,499
+Jordan...........................  BATTERY CHARGER.....          $10,824
+Jordan...........................  UPS.................          $42,509
+Jordan...........................  ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT         $223,968
+Italy............................  ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT         $166,682
+Lebanon..........................  TURBINE.............       $1,353,767
+Italy*...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $253,000
+Italy*...........................  PUMP/PARTS..........         $818,900
+Italy*...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $238,298
+Italy*...........................  SWITCH GEAR.........          $66,060
+Italy*...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $38,770
+Jordan*..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $139,425
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Turkey*..........................  REHABILITATION SPARE       $5,880,656
+                                    PARTS FOR IT2.
+Italy*...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $122,400
+Italy*...........................  SPARES FOR FUEL PUMP          $21,155
+                                    DISPENSERS.
+France*..........................  VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS.         $576,278
+France*..........................  VEHICLES/CREW-CAB...         $257,244
+France*..........................  PICK-UP TRUCKS &             $153,915
+                                    PARTS.
+France*..........................  PICK-UP TRUCKS &             $407,518
+                                    PARTS.
+China*...........................  TRANSFORMERS........          $25,000
+France*..........................  FORKLIFT/SPARES.....         $227,748
+Korea*...........................  STREET LIGHTING              $364,400
+                                    BULBS.
+The Netherlands*.................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $55,126
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+The Netherlands*.................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $46,300
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France*..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $303,361
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $3,645,424
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Italy*...........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &       $3,800,999
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Greece*..........................  OIL SPARES/NOZZLES            $16,446
+                                    FOR FUEL DISPENSERS.
+France*..........................  OIL SPARES/LIGHTING           $12,315
+                                    FIXTURES.
+Turkey*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $50,050
+Italy*...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $694,300
+France...........................  PIPE FITTINGS.......         $514,115
+France...........................  PARTS FOR LOADING            $422,966
+                                    ARMS.
+Germany..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $309,393
+France...........................  VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS.         $839,183
+France...........................  SAFETY RELIEF VALVES          $58,761
+Ireland..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $362,981
+Jordan...........................  MAINTENANCE.........         $130,119
+France...........................  CHEMICALS...........         $437,210
+France...........................  PIPE, CARBON STEEL..         $521,693
+Sweden...........................  GAS TURBINE SPARE             $25,163
+                                    PARTS.
+France...........................  COMPLETE PUMPS WITH          $198,748
+                                    MOTORS.
+Turkey*..........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $54,940
+Russian Federation*..............  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &         $330,900
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Belgium*.........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $38,000
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+Jordan*..........................  SPARE PARTS FOR              $737,671
+                                    DRILLING EQUIPMENT.
+Austria*.........................  SAFETY & FIRE                $118,779
+                                    FIGHTING EQUIPMENT.
+France*..........................   GAS TURBINE SPARE        $15,083,472
+                                    PARTS.
+France*..........................   PUMP/PARTS.........       230,511.52
+UK...............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $38,613
+Germany..........................  GENERATING SETS AND        $1,343,042
+                                    PARTS.
+France*..........................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $68,850
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+France*..........................  WATER TREATMENT/              $68,952
+                                    SPARE PARTS.
+France...........................  EQUIPMENT &                $6,105,691
+                                    MATERIALS-WET CRUDE
+                                    PRODUCTION.
+UK...............................  PIPELINE EQUIPMENT &          $45,961
+                                    SPARES (OIL).
+UK...............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $90,323
+Italy............................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $163,204
+India*...........................  CHEMICALS...........         $119,017
+Germany..........................  STEAM BOILER/PARTS..         $582,840
+Jordan...........................  SPARE PARTS FOR              $198,054
+                                    ENGINES.
+Italy............................  MEASURING & CONTROL          $107,345
+                                    INSTALLATION &
+                                    SPARE PARTS.
+UK...............................  PUMPS AND SPARE              $359,616
+                                    PARTS.
+China*...........................  PUMPS AND SPARE               $83,678
+                                    PARTS.
+Finland*.........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $60,075
+France...........................  PUMP/PARTS..........         $277,575
+Jordan...........................  SPARE PARTS FOR AIR           $22,422
+                                    COMPRESSOR.
+France...........................  ELECTRIC MOTOR......          $57,621
+France...........................  ELECTRIC MOTOR......          $33,508
+Portugal.........................  DESLUDING EQIPMENT..         $329,664
+France...........................  VALVE/PARTS.........         $143,199
+Russian Federation...............  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $23,005
+Jordan...........................  CRANE...............         $594,000
+Russian Federation...............  PIPE FITTINGS.......         $125,173
+Turkey*..........................  TRANSFORMERS........         $104,000
+Turkey...........................  FIRE FIGHTING TRUCKS/        $356,705
+                                    SPARES.
+Belgium..........................  SOLAR GAS TURBINE...         $926,852
+Russian Federation*..............   SPARE PARTS FOR             $500,020
+                                    EXCITER.
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $181,750
+Cyprus...........................  BATTERY CHARGER.....          $47,000
+Russian Federation...............  INSTRUMENTATION.....         $217,298
+Russian Federation...............  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $432,000
+Jordan...........................  PUMPS,COMPRESSORS            $297,598
+                                    AND ROTARY MACHINES.
+Turkey...........................  AIR COMPRESSORS.....         $301,148
+China*...........................  FILTERS.............          $44,748
+Turkey...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....          $27,075
+France...........................  COMPRESSOR/PARTS....         $559,386
+Russian Federation...............  FIRE FIGHTING                 $66,500
+                                    EQUIPMENT.
+Italy............................  HEAT EXCHANGERS AND        $2,270,780
+                                    PARTS.
+Turkey...........................  CABLE TERMINATIONS..         $195,000
+Syria............................  CABLE...............         $312,700
+France...........................  ELECTRIC MOTORS.....          $15,803
+Cyprus...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $383,825
+France...........................  PUMP/PARTS..........          $92,065
+France...........................  ELECTRICAL AND                $62,821
+                                    CONTROL INSTRUMENTS.
+France...........................  ROTORK ACTUATORS &           $215,323
+                                    SPARES.
+France...........................  OIL SPARE PARTS.....         $293,280
+Jordan...........................  PUMPS AND SPARE              $889,681
+                                    PARTS.
+Cyprus...........................  BATTERIES...........         $302,475
+Portugal.........................  OIL.................        $223,750
+------------------------------------------------------------------------
+*Released from hold
+
+
+