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+[House Hearing, 106 Congress] +[From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] + + + + + THE IRAQI OIL FOR FOOD PROGRAM AND ITS IMPACT + +======================================================================= + + HEARING + + before the + + SUBCOMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND POWER + + of the + + COMMITTEE ON COMMERCE + HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES + + ONE HUNDRED SIXTH CONGRESS + + FIRST SESSION + + __________ + + MARCH 26, 1999 + + __________ + + Serial No. 106-27 + + __________ + + Printed for the use of the Committee on Commerce + + ++ + + U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE + 55-644CC WASHINGTON : 1999 +------------------------------------------------------------------------------ + For sale by the U.S. Government Printing Office + Superintendent of Documents, Congressional Sales Office, Washington, DC 20402 + + + + COMMITTEE ON COMMERCE + + TOM BLILEY, Virginia, Chairman + +W.J. ``BILLY'' TAUZIN, Louisiana JOHN D. DINGELL, Michigan +MICHAEL G. OXLEY, Ohio HENRY A. WAXMAN, California +MICHAEL BILIRAKIS, Florida EDWARD J. MARKEY, Massachusetts +JOE BARTON, Texas RALPH M. HALL, Texas +FRED UPTON, Michigan RICK BOUCHER, Virginia +CLIFF STEARNS, Florida EDOLPHUS TOWNS, New York +PAUL E. GILLMOR, Ohio FRANK PALLONE, Jr., New Jersey + Vice Chairman SHERROD BROWN, Ohio +JAMES C. GREENWOOD, Pennsylvania BART GORDON, Tennessee +CHRISTOPHER COX, California PETER DEUTSCH, Florida +NATHAN DEAL, Georgia BOBBY L. RUSH, Illinois +STEVE LARGENT, Oklahoma ANNA G. ESHOO, California +RICHARD BURR, North Carolina RON KLINK, Pennsylvania +BRIAN P. BILBRAY, California BART STUPAK, Michigan +ED WHITFIELD, Kentucky ELIOT L. ENGEL, New York +GREG GANSKE, Iowa THOMAS C. SAWYER, Ohio +CHARLIE NORWOOD, Georgia ALBERT R. WYNN, Maryland +TOM A. COBURN, Oklahoma GENE GREEN, Texas +RICK LAZIO, New York KAREN McCARTHY, Missouri +BARBARA CUBIN, Wyoming TED STRICKLAND, Ohio +JAMES E. ROGAN, California DIANA DeGETTE, Colorado +JOHN SHIMKUS, Illinois THOMAS M. BARRETT, Wisconsin + BILL LUTHER, Minnesota + LOIS CAPPS, California + + James E. Derderian, Chief of Staff + James D. Barnette, General Counsel + Reid P.F. Stuntz, Minority Staff Director and Chief Counsel + + ______ + + Subcommittee on Energy and Power + + JOE BARTON, Texas, Chairman + +MICHAEL BILIRAKIS, Florida RALPH M. HALL, Texas +CLIFF STEARNS, Florida KAREN McCARTHY, Missouri + Vice Chairman THOMAS C. SAWYER, Ohio +STEVE LARGENT, Oklahoma EDWARD J. MARKEY, Massachusetts +RICHARD BURR, North Carolina RICK BOUCHER, Virginia +ED WHITFIELD, Kentucky FRANK PALLONE, Jr., New Jersey +CHARLIE NORWOOD, Georgia SHERROD BROWN, Ohio +TOM A. COBURN, Oklahoma BART GORDON, Tennessee +JAMES E. ROGAN, California BOBBY L. RUSH, Illinois +JOHN SHIMKUS, Illinois ALBERT R. WYNN, Maryland +HEATHER WILSON, New Mexico TED STRICKLAND, Ohio +JOHN B. SHADEGG, Arizona PETER DEUTSCH, Florida +CHARLES W. ``CHIP'' PICKERING, RON KLINK, Pennsylvania +Mississippi JOHN D. DINGELL, Michigan, +VITO FOSSELLA, New York (Ex Officio) +ED BRYANT, Tennessee +ROBERT L. EHRLICH, Jr., Maryland +TOM BLILEY, Virginia, + (Ex Officio) + + (ii) + + + + C O N T E N T S + + __________ + Page + +Testimony of: + Bole, David L., Corporate Research and Development, Randall + and Dewey, Inc............................................. 85 + Brown, F.W.``Pete'', Co-owner, Cimarron Production Company... 80 + Hakes, Hon. Jay, Administrator, Energy Information + Administration, Department of Energy....................... 21 + Sieminski, Adam E., Principal and Senior Oil Analyst, BT Alex + Brown...................................................... 66 + Smith, Hon. Carl Michael, Secretary of Energy, State of + Oklahoma................................................... 26 + Taylor, Tom, Regional Vice President, Texas Independent + Producers and Royalty Owners Association................... 73 + Watkins, Hon. Wes, a Representative in Congress from the + State of Oklahoma.......................................... 7 + Williams, Hon. Michael L., Commissioner, Texas Railroad + Commission................................................. 39 + Wood, Hon. William B., Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary, + Office of International Organizations, Department of State. 34 +Material submitted for the record by: + Larkin, Barbara, Assistant Secretary, Legislative Affairs, + letter dated April 16, 1999, on behalf of Wood, Hon. + William B., Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary, Office of + International Organizations, Department of State, enclosing + material for the record.................................... 97 + + (iii) + + + + THE IRAQI OIL FOR FOOD PROGRAM AND ITS IMPACT + + ---------- + + + FRIDAY, MARCH 26, 1999 + + House of Representatives, + Committee on Commerce, + Subcommittee on Energy and Power, + Washington, DC. + The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 10 a.m., in +room 2322, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Joe Barton +(chairman) presiding. + Members present: Representatives Barton, Largent, Burr, +Shimkus, Bryant, and Hall. + Staff present: Catherine Van Way, majority counsel; and +Rick Kessler, minority professional staff member. + Mr. Barton. The Subcommittee on Energy and Power of the +Commerce Committee hearing on the Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program +will come to order. + I would like to welcome everyone. I believe that this is an +issue which impacts our national energy security and which +everyone, not just individuals from the oil-producing States, +should pay attention to. + After Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in 1990, the United Nations +imposed sanctions which prohibited all trade with Iraq. +However, in April 1995, in recognition of the humanitarian +needs of the people of Iraq, Security Council Resolution 986 +was passed, which authorized the sale of oil from Iraq to be +used to purchase goods authorized by the United Nations +Security Council. + Under this program, Iraq is currently allowed to sell up to +$5.2 billion worth of oil every 6 months. The money generated +from the sale is deposited in the bank of the choosing of the +government of Iraq and is supposed to be used to provide +humanitarian goods to the Iraqi people under United Nations +supervision. + Under this program, Iraqi oil sales have risen over the +past year from 1.47 million barrels per day to 2.1 million +barrels per day. The revenue received for those sales has been +approximately $3 billion every 6 months. + The United States recently proposed that the Security +Council consider lifting the ceiling on oil sales permitted +under the Oil-For-Food Program. It is worth noting that the +Oil-For-Food Program is not the only way Iraq currently sells +its oil. Some oil is exported to Jordan under a long-standing +program; some oil we are told is smuggled into Turkey and sold +on the black market. In addition, other oil is exported through +Iran and from seaports in the south, again for what we believe +to be black market sales. + Since the Oil-For-Food Program was begun, $2.75 billion +worth of food, over $500 million worth of medicine, and $400 +million worth of supplies for things such as water, sanitation, +electricity and education projects have been delivered to the +people of Iraq. The program has been criticized for its +slowness. In February of this year, the U.N. Secretary General +reported that there are $275 million worth of medicine sitting +in Iraqi warehouses that have been undistributed. + All that being said, the question arises, is this a +worthwhile program? Two-thirds of the world's proven reserves +of oil reside in the Middle East. In fact, Saudi Arabia and +Iraq are first and second in proven reserves of oil and Iraq, +which is largely unexplored, might ultimately have more oil +than Saudi Arabia. For the past several months, oil prices have +languished at historic lows. The precipitous and sustained drop +in oil prices have been attributed in part to the Asian +economic crisis, which caused a drop in anticipated demand, +while oil production has continued to grow. Many also attribute +growing Iraqi oil exports as a factor for today's low oil +prices. Some argue that Iraqi oil is not impacting prices, but +I find it interesting that oil prices rose slightly this week +because of an announcement by OPEC that its member countries +would be cutting production by 2.1 million barrels a day. It +may be a coincidence, but Iraq is exporting 2.1 million barrels +a day. + Low oil prices pose the greatest threat to domestic +producers of oil and gas, because in the United States, our +small independent oil and gas producers have the highest cost +of production. We are beginning to see the impact as U.S. oil +production has begun to decline in the wake of these sustained +and abnormally low prices. The U.S. is now dependent on imports +to meet more than 50 percent of our daily petroleum needs. That +number is likely to grow dramatically as more marginal wells +are shut in and domestic exploration activities are slowed in +the wake of these continued low oil prices. + I believe that we should not ignore the humanitarian needs +of the people of Iraq, but I also believe that we should not +ignore the needs of our own people here in the United States, +and these low oil prices, which I believe are caused in part by +the Iraqi oil production, are having an impact on our energy +security. + I will be most interested to hear from our administration +witnesses today to see if they can explain this apparent policy +disconnect. + Finally, I want to note that I hope today's hearing will be +the first of a number of hearings that this subcommittee will +be having on the domestic oil and gas industry. I am deeply +concerned that the current situation in the Oil Patch in the +United States in the long term does cause a national security +risk to our country. If we cannot maintain existing production +and to some extent encourage new exploration for domestic +resources, we will be in a situation where we are more and more +dependent on foreign oil. + I want to welcome everyone, especially our witnesses, to +this hearing. I am sure they are going to find it very +informative. + With that, I would like to recognize the ranking member +from Rockwall, Texas, Mr. Ralph Hall, for an opening statement. + Mr. Hall. Mr. Chairman, I thank you, and members of the +committee, I thank you for having this hearing, but not much to +have it on Friday. I would have rather had it on Tuesday or +Wednesday or Thursday. + Mr. Barton. I understand. + Mr. Hall. I see folks on the committee that would be +strapped to an airplane right now. + Mr. Barton. You and me, that's right. + Mr. Hall. My folks over here, Democrats are poorer than +Republicans, they all caught the bus out last night. + Seriously, Joe, thank you for the good hard work you do and +the very successful work you do as chairman of this committee. +You do a great job and I am very proud to work with you as our +chairman. Few live in the Oil Patch, as I do. It is, I guess, +stunningly apparent to you that when you talk to anyone in or +even near the oil business, that these days are about the +toughest and the most frightening in the history of the people +that are in the oil business. Regrettably, this is not an idle +boast, considering the market calamities of the 1980's and the +1950's, because we have some pretty bad times to compare it +with. + We are here today to examine one of the most often cited +reasons for today's low oil prices, and the Iraqi Oil-For-Food +Program, as the chairman has pointed out, is considered one of +the big problems of it. I am a big believer in the unfettered +operation of markets, and I also believe in being compassionate +to people, particularly those who are unfortunate enough in +life to have to live under a regressive regime of a Saddam +Hussein. At the same time, it is important for us to think +about this country and for us to examine how the world oil +market is doing and whether or not it is working, and then to +get our own assessment of how well it is working. If it is not +working properly we need to make some changes in it, and we can +only change that over which we have some control. So we have +very good panelists today and I am sure we will know a lot more +about it after we hear them. + I, for one, am suspicious of this program. It seems to be +borne out of an appropriate humane consideration, but it may be +disruptive of the worldwide crude oil market and could spawn a +lot of abuse. + We have good witnesses here today who can help us better +understand the impact of the Oil-For-Food Program. I want to +extend a special welcome to my old friend, Congressman Wes +Watkins, whose district lies just across the Red River from +mine. I don't know of anybody that works harder, day and night, +than Wes Watkins. You know, Wes was a Democrat at one time and +we worked together then. He, when he switched over to the +Republican Party, they asked me about it. We have a mutual +television station that comes into Oklahoma and Texas and they +asked me about Wes. And they said well, what do you think about +him switching over to the Republican Party? I said, well, I +would be for him, and he could win even with the laundry +ticket. And they tell me that he used that for a commercial. +But I got a few ugly letters from Democrats. But I got my +friend back up here, and I am glad to work with Wes. + I also want to welcome a fine group of Texans. The newest +member of the Texas Railroad Commission, Mike Williams, whom I +had the pleasure of having lunch with yesterday. He is on the +Railroad Commission, and I think that is one of the most +dignified and prestigious offices that we have in the State of +Texas, and the most important. Tom Taylor, who represents +TIPRO, and Dave Bole of Randall and Dewey. We have good, +outstanding--Joe, you invited some good Texans up here, and I +am proud of you. + Mr. Barton. There is no such thing as a bad Texan, though. + Mr. Hall. Well, I don't know. + I thank the chairman. I thank you for having them here, and +I hope this hearing is only one of however many it takes to +determine what remedies exist to deal with the current price +situation. It is a situation that is helping to destroy the +domestic onshore petroleum industry, even as we sit here today. +And while we have seen some upward pressure on prices lately, +we need not to be lulled by any underlying factors which remain +unchanged that we can change. + I guess that is the testimony we are going to hear today. +Seriously, thank you for having this hearing. It is a very +important hearing, and it can yield an awful lot to folks that +are hurting. Thank you. + Mr. Barton. Thank you, Congressman Hall. I might point out +we wanted to do this hearing yesterday, but we had a full +committee markup of the satellite bill, and Chairman Bliley +thought that we ought to do the markup. + Mr. Hall. Well, I haven't had anything to fuss at you about +this year yet, and this gave me a first shot. + Mr. Barton. Okay. But you and myself and Mr. Largent are +normally on the first plane out of town after the first vote, +so we are all in the same boat on that. + The chairman recognizes the distinguished gentleman from +Illinois, Mr. Shimkus, for an opening statement. + Mr. Shimkus. I would like to ask permission to submit my +statement for the record and just say that it seems like we are +in a Catch-22 where consumers all love the low oil prices, but +what it does is shut down marginal wells. I have the two +largest fields in Illinois in my district. Most of the +operating wells are in my colleague David Phelps' district, and +we all know what this does is it closes down those wells, the +low prices, thus making us more dependent on foreign oil. And +national security and energy security is one of my main focuses +on this subcommittee. + So I appreciate this, and I am also looking forward to +talking with the folks from the administration, with the, Iraqi +intransitives on the inspections and stuff. I think it is time +that we reopen this debate on this program, and I look forward +to this hearing. + I yield back my time. + Mr. Barton. Good. We thank you, Mr. Shimkus. Without +objection, his statement will be inserted in the record in its +entirety. + We welcome Mr. Largent from Oklahoma to give an opening +statement. Congressman Largent has put a lot of emphasis in the +last year or so on this issue and is one of our congressional +experts on it. + Mr. Largent for an opening statement. + Mr. Largent. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I, too, will submit +my entire statement and just make some brief opening remarks. +First, I want to thank you for having this hearing. I wish we +could draw even more attention to this issue, because as you +know, it is very serious. I also want to recognize two +Oklahomans that are also on our panels today. Mike Smith, who +is our Oklahoma State Department of Energy Secretary, and Pete +Brown, an independent producer from Oklahoma City. Thanks for +coming. + There is a number of questions that I hope that we can get +some answers to, and I would like to verbalize those right now. +One is, why is the Iraqi oil export quota measured on a revenue +basis, currently $5.2 billion worth of oil over 6 months, +rather than measured on a quantity basis? The second question I +would like to ask is what assurances do we have that the money +is being spent in the manner intended; in other words, for +food, and are we relying on Iraqi government entities to verify +this. I am glad to see that there is somebody from the State +Department that hopefully will answer that question for us +today. + Why are the funds allowed to be spent by the Iraqis for oil +production equipment? Has this policy been revisited since we +began responding to the Iraqi military aggression by bombing +their missile defenses on almost a daily basis? And what about +the 5 percent of the Oil-For-Food funds that are going to fund +the U.N. investigations and costs. Currently, as we know, there +are no inspectors there. Also, I think it would pose an +interesting question to try to figure out why one of the +military targets, when we are exchanging oil for food, why one +of the military targets in the latest round of bombing was an +oil refinery in Iraq. That seems a small irony to me. Can the +U.S. truly determine what the oil production export capacity of +Iraq is, given their ability to sell oil on various black +markets? And how can the U.S. propose that the U.N. Security +Council could consider lifting the ceiling on oil sales +permitted under the Oil-For-Food Program while conceding that +increased U.S. dependence on foreign oil imports is a threat to +our national security? + Mr. Chairman, one thing that I think that is imperative for +this Congress and this administration to come to terms with, we +had a vote last week on the import of steel, and I think many +of the arguments that were made during that debate were about +the importance of the steel industry for national security +reasons. If we don't have the ability, the capacity to make +steel in this country anymore, we can't build tanks and +airplanes and ships to protect this country, and the same is +equally true of our ability to produce energy domestically. + I know that back in the 1980's there was a push to develop +a national energy policy, and included in that was to say that +we should cap imports at 50 percent, this was back in the +1980's, because anything beyond that would pose a very critical +national security risk. And now, as you know, we have well +exceeded 50 percent, it has even gone up as high as 58 percent +in recent years, and I think this is a very important question +that Congress, the American people, the President, and the +Pentagon need to address, is that at what point, what is the +threshold that we are going to say enough is enough. How much +oil can we import without severely and critically undermining +our national security interest? + Mr. Chairman, I appreciate you having this hearing, and +hopefully, this is the first in many steps toward resolving a +number of these questions. I yield back. + [The prepared statement of Hon. Steve Largent follows:] +Prepared Statement of Hon. Steve Largent, a Representative in Congress + from the State of Oklahoma + I want to thank the Chairman for holding this hearing on the impact +of foreign oil imports on our domestic oil industry, specifically the +Iraqi Oil for Food Program. + At the outset, I want to acknowledge the Chairman's efforts to +include two Oklahomans on the panels of experts testifying today. I +doubt that there is anybody more qualified to speak on the current +state of our domestic oil industry and the impact of increased U.S. +dependence on foreign oil than Secretary Mike Smith of the Oklahoma +Department of Energy and Pete Brown, an independent oil and gas +producer from Oklahoma City. I would encourage the committee to pay +close attention to their testimony because I believe it will shed some +light on the seriousness of the state of our domestic oil industry. + It is my hope that the hearing today on the Iraqi Oil for Food +Program will address some concerns I have about the goals and merits of +the program. These concerns include: + +1) Why is the Iraqi oil export quota measured on a revenue basis + (currently $5.2 billion worth of oil over 6 months) rather than + measured on a quantity basis? +2) What assurances do we have that the money is being spent in the + manner intended? Are we relying on Iraqi government entities to + verify this? +3) Why are funds allowed to be spent by the Iraqis for oil production + equipment? +4) Has this policy been revisited since we began responding to Iraqi + military aggression by bombing their missile defenses on almost + a daily basis? What about the 5% of the Oil for Food funds that + are going to fund the U.N. investigations and costs? +5) Can the U.S. truly determine what the oil production and export + capacity of Iraq is given their ability to sell oil on various + black markets and transport it by other than pipeline means? +6) How can the U.S. propose that the U.N. Security Council consider + lifting the ceiling on oil sales permitted under the oil for + food program, while conceding that increased U.S. dependence on + foreign oil imports is a threat to our national security? + Our domestic petroleum industry is currently facing a severe +crisis: one that if not addressed expeditiously could prove disastrous +economically, yet more importantly, threatens our national security. +Since October of 1997, it is estimated that our domestic oil and gas +industry has lost 57,000 jobs--5 times the number of jobs lost in the +American steel industry! And each barrel of domestic oil lost will be +replaced by imported oil. + In December of 1994, the Secretary of Commerce issued the results +of an investigation conducted under the Trade Expansion Act which +studied the impact of crude oil imports on the national security of the +United States. The investigation determined that oil imports threaten +to impair our national security. + In February of 1995, President Clinton concurred with the Commerce +Department's finding that ``the nation's growing reliance on imports of +crude oil and refined petroleum products threaten the nation's security +because they increase U.S. vulnerability to oil supply interruptions.'' +At that time (1995), imports comprised about 50 percent of the United +States consumption. In 1998, gross imports had risen to 53 percent! + Unfortunately, little has been done over the past four years to +heed this ominous warning. Now, the domestic petroleum industry faces a +more complicated and potentially devastating set of problems than it +did four years ago. According to recent figures released by the +Independent Petroleum Association of America (IPAA), preliminary +employment data for the exploration and production sector of the oil +and natural gas industry, as of December 1998, stood at 309,300, +compared to 339,800 in the same month last year. Since the early +1980's, roughly half a million jobs relating to the oil and natural gas +industry have been lost. And rather than attempting to decrease our +reliance on foreign imports--the U.S. has become more dependent on +imported oil. + The hardest hit by this latest crisis has been the independent +producer. The Energy Information Agency recently released a report that +indicated that about 60 percent of oil production in the lower 48 +states comes from independents, a percentage that increased by ten +percent over the past ten years. This reflects an irreversible trend. +Major oil companies are leaving the onshore lower 48 states. They have +concluded that these wells do not produce the volumes they need to meet +the return on capital that they seek. Majors now operate in the United +States primarily offshore and Alaska, but more and more they are +seeking their new production overseas. At current prices, most--if not +all--of the onshore lower 48 production is at risk of loss. + If we lose our independent producers, our reliance on foreign oil +will likely increase from about 55 percent to over 70 percent. If we +continue on this course, we will systematically degrade our ability to +produce a sufficient amount of oil to maintain a secure energy source +vital to our national security policy. + Simply put, we can't fight a war, even a defensive war, if we are +counting on Saddam Hussein to ship us oil to fuel our tanks, aircraft +and ships. And notwithstanding the fact that domestic oil producers are +suffering now because of low oil prices, once they are gone we cannot +revive their wells or industrial expertise or hope the market will +rebound. It will not. The national security impact of losing our +ability to produce oil domestically is no different than losing our +industrial base to build nuclear submarines. If more than half of our +nuclear submarines were imported from foreign countries, I think we +could agree that the United States would be in grave danger. + I look forward to the testimony of our expert panelists today. Our +domestic oil industry, and the current impact of Iraqi imports, must +begin to appear on the nation's radar screen so all Americans can +understand the threat that exists. I am committed to making this case +so that we can move quickly to look for viable solutions to a very real +problem. + + Mr. Barton. I thank the Congressman from Oklahoma for that +statement. + We would now like to hear from our first panelist, the +Honorable Wes Watkins from the great State of Oklahoma, +representing very well with a distinguished career the Third +Congressional District. + So, Mr. Watkins, if you will come forward. We will put your +statement in the record in its entirety, and being from +Oklahoma, which we think is a great State, we will recognize +you for such time as you may consume. + + STATEMENT OF HON. WES WATKINS, A REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS + FROM THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA + + Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate the +distinguished members being here. Even though short in number, +I know we are high in quality, and I can also tell the States +that are hurting out there and the districts that are hurting +concerning not only this policy that we are talking about +today, but the entire failed policy of this administration and +the U.N. Security Council dealing with the Oil-For-Food Program +and all. I want to acknowledge that I know each of you well and +I know some of the things that you are working on, and I +appreciate the commitments you have made. + My colleague from Oklahoma, Congressman Largent, Steve, you +asked some very logical questions. It reminds me of a guy who +says, you know, common sense is not common anymore, you know, +and there is not much of it around, and this is something that +I think the Oil-For-Food Program is not a--Ralph, my good +friend across the river, it is not one of those things that our +people in our area find that has much common sense, and I would +like to talk about that a little bit. + I call it a failed policy because the sanctions, you might +as well not have them. My members of the committee, I will say +to friends that I work closely with, Saddam Hussein has won. +Saddam Hussein has won. We are bombing Iraq. At the same time, +we have opened up for him, for his people, a lot that we are +not willing to do for ourselves. Today it is at $5.2, it is +actually at about $10.5 billion/year worth of oil that can be +sold, and it is a question why net barrels. That is more oil +than Iraq exported before the Gulf War in 1991. It is not just +being utilized on food or hospitals and medicine, it is being +used to help rebuild their infrastructure. Our CRS reports have +pointed that out. So when you look at the system we have there +and the policies that we have, and I wonder why we are not +willing to do it as a State Department, as a country, as the +U.N. Security Council, why don't we insist that they abide by +what is legal in what they sell. + You know, I have never understood that. We close our eyes +just to illegal things that go on. And there is around 300,000 +barrels a day that is being sold illegally over the black +market to Jordan and to Iran, Syria, and Turkey. And you know, +also part of the fallacy of this lack of common sense that I +look at and wonder about, on the emergency programs that just +passed yesterday, it had $100 million in there for Jordan, but +Jordan is also buying about $100 million of illegal oil from +Iraq. It is hard for me to explain why the policy of this +administration is to allow that to happen that way, destroying +our oil patches, destroying our means of making a living. I +hear in their voices the pain of people I have never heard +before, the fact that they are losing everything. I know in my +area the oil patches are a war zone. They are yanking up pipe, +they are closing down oil wells, and there is going to be a lot +more of that, and I cannot stand idly by, and I know you cannot +either. I know every one of you right here are the same way I +am. We have to try to do something. I don't understand the +administration and our country willing to go along with that. + In the last 14 months, we have allowed Iraq to go from +700,000 barrels a day up to 2.3 million barrels a day. Mr. +Chairman, as you rightly said, the irony is that the OPEC is +dropping production, and I was going to be at OPEC Tuesday. +They have dropped, have a policy of 2.1 million drop per day in +the oil, and Iraq has gone up about 2.1. Now, I may not be a +rocket scientist, but let me tell you, it doesn't take much +more than common sense to recognize the fact that literally, +OPEC has staggered the market and it has gone up a little bit +when they dropped to 2.1 or even the discussion that that is +what is happening. We know that it hasn't gotten there yet, but +it has cut production, and it has increased the price. Does it +stand to reason that the 2.1 million that Iraq has increased +affects the market the same way? Am I thinking, Ralph, wrong? I +mean is that logic there? Is that is wrong, if 2.1 over here on +OPEC affects it like we have seen it, is the 2.1 in there, or +are we just seeing something a lot differently? I think we need +to look at that. We have allowed it. It is common sense to me. + If our policy, if our policy in the United States in +dealing with Iraq is to allow a dissatisfied group of people in +Iraq, the Iraqis, to overthrow Saddam Hussein, we have gone +about it the wrong way. Because our reports show that they are +basically importing anything and everything they want to, and +why worry about it? In fact, as I tell them, we have a mental +institution in Oklahoma, and the old boy told me one time, he +said I have proof that I am sane, that I have got good sense. I +submit to you Iraq has got it better than OPEC, OPEC should be +mad, we should be mad. They are having to come down; Iraq is +out of the box. Even though they belong, they don't have to +abide by that reduction. + In fact, I am going to follow up on the statement that as I +prepared for this, under the new program they have a standard +or a statement I saw there, I want to check it out, they have a +higher price they are going to be able to get. I hope that is a +wrong statement I am reading, because I think that also is +something we need to be concerned about. + Let me share with you and close on two things, and I think +we have to reevaluate this. It is again something that deeply +disturbs me. Thomas Pickering, the Under Secretary, said this +is in the newspaper of March 18, told the Senators, that is the +Senators across on the other side, as we all know, ``The +humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people must be addressed. The +Oil-For-Food Program,'' he said, ``has had a tremendous +positive impact on the conditions of the average Iraqi.'' I +don't disagree with that. + With regard to the program's effectiveness on crude prices +and domestic energy industry, Pickering agreed with Richardson, +our Secretary of Energy, that Iraqi's exports are just one +factor. Well, yeah, it is just one factor. It is 2.1 million +barrels a day. They said the policy toward Iraq has never been +linked to the world oil market. I don't care. ``Allowing oil +price consideration to drive our sanctions decisions or seeking +to use sanctions to target oil prices would undermine our +ability to provide for the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi +people.'' + I don't think I am looking in the face of any person here +that is not against trying to help with some humanitarian aid. +But I want to know how much is for their military buildup, how +much money are they using there? How much money are they +getting from illegal sources? + The infrastructure, I have infrastructure needs, I think +many of you know, in my district, and I have a need to try to +rebuild that area. + Then I read over here, in closing my statement, a statement +that--you know, it is kind of like our welfare program, a +failed program. It is kind of like a giveaway program. What it +states here, supporters of increased oil sales, on the other +hand, say that the tactic would reduce suffering among Iraqis +and make it more difficult for the Iraqi government to maintain +anti-government, or anti-American and British sentiment because +of being in favor because we give them stuff. + You know, members of the committee, there is one man who +stands between us and the Iraqi people and his name is Saddam +Hussein. Do you think we are going to have favor of being able +to do all of these things, or Saddam Hussein? We are dealing +with failed policy that is coming from our administration and +the U.N. Security Council and we have to correct it. It is not +taking any consideration in for the American people. + I thank you so much for letting me come by to just share +with you a little bit, because we need the common sense of this +committee at work in trying to shape, Mr. Chairman, some of the +policy. I too plan to be strapped on that airplane heading +toward Oklahoma, but I delayed it until about 1 o'clock because +of wanting to come here and be with you. I just thank you so +much. + [The prepared statement of Hon. Wes Watkins follows:] + Prepared Statement of Hon. Wes Watkins, a Representative in Congress + from the State of Oklahoma + Chairman Barton, Ranking Member Hall, I would like to thank you for +calling this hearing and allowing me the opportunity to testify before +the Subcommittee on Energy and Power. Those of us from oil producing +states need to do a better job of educating the American public about +the importance of our domestic oil industry. I believe this hearing is +a step in the right direction, but we need to do more. I would like to +encourage our colleagues in the Congress and the Administration to +reduce Iraqi oil sales to pre-Persian Gulf War levels--not increase +them. + As we all know, we are facing a crisis in our domestic oil and gas +industry. World oil prices have dropped from above $20 a barrel in 1997 +to less than $9 a barrel this year. When adjusted for inflation, these +are the lowest prices seen since the Great Depression. This crisis is +having a devastating effect on our domestic industry. Since October of +1997, our domestic oil and gas industry has lost 57,000 jobs. That is +more than five times the number of jobs lost in the American steel +industry. + This subcommittee knows that the backbone of our domestic oil and +gas industry is the small, marginal well. Marginal wells are defined as +those wells which produce less than 15 barrels a day. At these low +prices, it is impossible to keep many of our small, marginal wells +open. These marginal wells account for 1.3 million barrels of daily +production--equivalent to the amount of oil the Unites States imports +from Saudi Arabia. Marginal wells also contribute 80,000 jobs and +generate close to $14 billion each year in economic activity. However +at these low prices, it is becoming impossible to keep many of our +marginal wells open. When we lose these marginal wells, the backbone of +our domestic oil industry, we become more dependent on foreign oil. We +must not lose sight of the fact that the economic health and national +security of our country are tied to the strength and stability of the +domestic petroleum industry. + There is a general consensus that the current crisis in the +domestic oil patch has been caused by a combination of several factors. +Certainly the Asian financial crisis, warmer than expected winters, and +increased oil production by certain countries have played an important +part in driving down prices. However we should not minimize, as some +have done, the impact that the resumption of Iraqi oil sales under the +oil-for-food program has played in driving down prices. + We are here today because the Clinton Administration is currently +considering asking the United Nations to remove the U.N. imposed +ceiling on Iraqi oil sales. I am strongly opposed to this proposal +because, I believe it would severely damage our already devastated +domestic oil and gas industry and would not accomplish the objective of +alleviating the suffering of the Iraqi people. Iraq should not be +allowed to sell greater quantities of oil then they were prior to the +Persian Gulf War, as they are doing now. The extended period of below +cost prices is causing more and more of our small, independent +producers to plug their marginal wells. Allowing Iraq to sell +additional quantities of oil on the world market will only drive down +these already depressed prices and force our marginal producers to plug +their wells. Once these wells are plugged, we have basically lost this +valuable resource for secondary recovery. + It is important that Members understand the flaws inherent in the +oil-for-food program's structure and how that effects the amount of oil +Iraq can sell on the world market. Iraq's quota is based on a dollar +amount rather than on quantitative limits. Currently, the oil-for-food +program allows Iraq to sell $5.2 billion worth of oil every six months. +As the price of oil fell through late 1997 and 1998, Iraq was allowed, +under this flawed structure, to drastically increase its production. +Under this expanded oil-for-food program, Iraq has increased its daily +oil production from around 700,000 barrels to 2,300,000 barrels during +the last 14 months. This excess Iraqi production has exacerbated the +current glut on the market and caused the price of oil to slide even +lower. In fact, the 2.3 million barrels a day more than offsets the +recent decision by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries +(OPEC) to reduce oil production by 2.1 million barrels a day in an +effort to prop up prices. + The Administration will likely argue today that Iraq is already +producing at capacity and therefore increasing the amount of oil Iraq +is allowed to sell will not have an effect on world prices. This +argument is flawed in several aspects. First, if Iraq is already +producing at capacity, then there is no need to raise the dollar +ceiling on Iraqi oil sales because Iraq cannot sell any more oil than +it is currently selling. Second, while Iraq is currently producing at +capacity, the UN allows Iraq to use $600 million annually from the oil- +for-food program (which is supposed to be for humanitarian supplies) to +improve its oil production capability. This will allow Iraq to improve +its production facilities and to further flood the world market with +cheap oil. + I am also opposed to this proposal because I do not believe that +expanding the oil-for-food program would help alleviate the suffering +of the Iraqi people. Iraq has failed to meet the conditions of the 1991 +cease-fire agreement and the 1996 oil-for-food program. I am concerned +that the oil-for-food program itself is flawed and that many Iraqis +will never see the benefit of the oil sales. The State Department has +acknowledged that Iraq has not distributed much of the humanitarian +supplies they have already acquired through the oil-for-food program. +According to U.S. officials cited in the press, ``Iraq has kept large +supplies of food and medicine in storehouses, refusing to distribute +them to the needy'' (Associated Press Wire, 1/4/99). State Department +Spokesman Jamie Rubin was quoted in the January 14, 1999 State +Department Briefing as saying: + ``The facts are that (the Iraqis) are failing to order and + distribute food and medicine as quickly as they could. The + facts are that they are failing to order and distribute food + and medicine that would alleviate the problem, and that Iraq + plans to order less food and medicine for the Iraqi people than + in previous times. So those are the facts.'' + Why would the Administration even consider a policy which would +further damage our domestic oil industry and, according to their own +spokesman, do little to alleviate the suffering of the Iraqi people? + I also have concerns about the manner in which humanitarian +supplies are distributed. If the Iraqi people are starving, as Saddam +Hussein claims, why is the oil-for-food money being spent on oil field +and telecommunications equipment. Are these not the same +telecommunications facilities we have bombed because they are an +important part of Saddam Hussein's command and control complex? I am +also concerned that Iraq is allowed to use $600 million annually in its +oil-for-food receipts for oil production equipment. If Iraq can allow +food and medicine to sit in warehouses, than why should we allow the +Iraqis to expand their oil production and further flood the world +market with cheap oil? The oil-for-food program also allows Iraq to +spend $250 million to rehabilitate the agricultural sector. While I +have nothing against the Iraqi people growing their own agricultural +commodities, does anyone honestly believe that Saddam Hussein will use +those crops to feed the Iraqi people at the expense of his treasured +military? + The Administration will likely say that Iraq's increased production +is necessary to lessen anti-American and anti-British sentiments among +the Iraqi people. However, does anyone believe that Saddam Hussein and +his regime will allow the United States to claim credit for these +humanitarian supplies? I believe it is more realistic to expect that he +will continue to let food and medicine sit in warehouses while the +Iraqi people starve. Instead, we are rewarding Saddam Hussein for his +lawlessness. We are rewarding him for shooting at our planes. We are +rewarding him for illegally smuggling oil through Turkey, Jordan, and +Iran and we are punishing hard working American families in the +domestic oil patch. + Mr. Chairman, a tremendous disconnect between a policy where we +bomb Iraq on almost a daily basis yet remain the largest consumer of +Iraqi oil. That is why I, along with our colleague from Texas Mr. +Thornberry, have introduced H. Con. Res. 39. This resolution urges the +Administration to oppose the unmerited expansion of the oil-for-food +program. + + Mr. Barton. Does that conclude your oral statement? + Mr. Watkins. I have a lot more to say, but I better +conclude. + Mr. Barton. I thought you were a little bit moderate today, +Congressman. I have heard you be in the Republican Conference +what we would call excited. We appreciate your moderate tone. + We are a real high-tech committee, so this is our timer. It +is a little egg timer. The Chair is going to recognize himself +for 5 minutes. I don't think I will take the 5 minutes. + I want to make sure I understand you, though, Congressman +Watkins. You are not opposed to food supplies and medicines +going to the people of Iraq, isn't that correct? + Mr. Watkins. I do not. I do not like the attitude about +saying they are not going to buy American food with it. It is a +slap in our face again. We are hurting the farmers, as well as +the oil patches. It is a double whammy. + Mr. Barton. Your problem is the producers in your district +and in the State of Oklahoma, some of the small, marginal +producers that are going out of business, and it doesn't appear +that anybody in the U.S. Government cares about that? + Mr. Watkins. That is correct. I feel strongly about it. I +have a tax credit bill coming through my committee, and I hope +the leadership and the administration will back that in order +to help us have some kind--as we all say, greater national +security. + Mr. Barton. So if we could come up with a program that +maintains the current level of humanitarian supplies to Iraq, +but cutoff the oil exports, or if not totally cut it off, +substantially reduced it, you would support such a program? + Mr. Watkins. Yes, I would. I think we need to definitely do +that. The food, I don't think it should be more than the +essential food and medicine. If our policy is for a +dissatisfied society over there that would overthrow Saddam +Hussein, we have the wrong policy. He is laughing, he is +laughing at us. + Mr. Barton. I would assume that there are corn growers and +wheat growers and cattle producers in Oklahoma that would be +willing to provide that food for a reasonable price to the +people of Iraq. + Mr. Watkins. I am quite sure we would be happy to do that. + Mr. Barton. I am going to yield back the balance of my time +and recognize the gentleman from Texas, Mr. Hall, for 5 +minutes. + Mr. Hall. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I will try to be brief, +too, because I know we have other witnesses that we are very +anxious to hear from, and perhaps soon the gentleman from the +Department of State will be able to give us a little more input +as to some of the whys of what has taken place. + As I said in my opening statement, I am troubled and +suspicious of this program. I am not unlike anyone else in that +I care about little children and old people, but you know, +MacArthur made a great statement one time. He said ``The object +of war is victory,'' and I think the President right now today +while we are here dispatching men and women of our armed forces +to inflict pain and hopefully disgrace on the Yugoslav +leadership over there, Milosevic, in an effort to cause the +people to drive him out, the easier you make it on people, the +more you help the people that need the leadership of even a +dictator, the longer he is going to be there. The program +doesn't make that much sense to me. But, who cannot feed little +hungry kids? And of course, you know, Hiroshima and Nagasaki +would have been a lot better off if they had given them a +couple of weeks notice to move all the young people and old +people offshore and just put the folks that were fighting the +war there under the bomb, but that is not the way it works, not +the way it can work, not the way it works over there today. + I asked George Bush one time why they didn't destroy Iraq's +ability to produce war, and he said well, it wasn't totally his +decision, it was a U.N. decision. Besides, they were afraid of +Iran. Didn't want to weaken Iraq and then have Iran. And I said +well, while we are over there, why can't we take care of them +too while we are there. Of course, that is not the way we do +it. I think we missed out when Iran and Iraq were fighting each +other, why we didn't just arm the hell out of both of them. + How can we impress on people that are voters and are +interested citizens the importance of people outside the +producing areas that they ought to care about domestic oil +producers? If everyone could hear you speak today, that would +get through to them. But how do we get that message over to +them? + Mr. Watkins. Are you really asking me that question? + Mr. Hall. Yes, yes. + Mr. Watkins. If I knew the answer to that, we would solve +all of our problems. Because right here, the members who are +not here are the ones that need to be listening and hearing +your feelings and the chairman's and other members from the Oil +Patch. We do bring in national security. + But I went to Venezuela. I went down and met with the new +President the week before, a couple of weeks before, who is +probably one of the most dynamic men I ever met in my life. I +mean he can look you right in the eye. And I talked to him +about the oversupply of production, and he is sincere in +wanting to lower it in helping the price, and I think he has +followed up on that. There is a lot of hope there. There is 80 +percent poverty in Venezuela. + I want to get to this point, right to what you are talking +about. There is a lot of hope in Venezuela, but they don't know +anything about the new President. All they know is that 6 years +ago he tried to overthrow their government and he ended up in +jail for 2 years. Less than 2 years ago, we would not even give +him a visa to come to this country. + Now, he has his hand on the spigot of the greatest supply +of crude oil to the United States. He chased out the president +for PdVSA, but yet we have now relied more on Venezuela and +Mexico and Canada and of course Saudi Arabia. The Saudi +Arabians will produce as much oil as we consume or we produce +out of our marginal wells, 1.3 million barrels a day. + So if people understand, we have become more dependent than +ever before in the history of our country. And I thought about +that when we celebrate Independence Day. I said, we are not +independent anymore. + Mr. Hall. You were here when we tried to get an import fee +put on, and we have not been able to muster the votes, and the +reason given by those that voted against it was the hardship of +the people in the Northeast for their heating oil and things +like that, and you know, they had a good, sensible argument +there. The effort was made at one time by Charlie Cooke back +here that worked for me and worked with the committee back at +that time to try to produce a paper that would be a good +position for one of the Presidential aspirants to use on +supporting an oil import fee, and I think Charlie had to write +about 300 pages, and that is not good for a one-line quip for a +Presidential runner. Finally, we decided that there ought to be +an import fee on all oil-related goods. You can imagine how +long that takes to put together and explain, and finally the +Presidential aspirant was told just to forget it. He didn't put +part of that in his program. Yes, it was Al Gore. He wasn't +running too fast then. I don't know how he is going to do now, +but he hasn't asked us to put that together for him again, and +I doubt that he will. + I thank you. You know, once again I will leave you with +this. This is not a question that you can answer. People +outside the Oil Patch want cheap gasoline. People in the Oil +Patch want to make some money producing the basic ingredient. + Mr. Watkins. Just trying to make a living this time. + Mr. Hall. I thank you, Wes. Appreciate it. + Mr. Barton. I recognize the gentleman from Illinois for 5 +minutes. + Mr. Shimkus. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and Wes, welcome. As +you know, I am a cosponsor of your bill and I appreciate all +the good work you do. + One question that hasn't been asked, and we have been +talking about it in Illinois, the problem with the base +closings and the people who say there is a savings, we never +take in the environmental cost of cleanup. When we have +marginal wells that are going bankrupt, the State has to assume +the cost of cleanup, not only in closing down the well, but +also the cleanup of the surrounding area, and that is also a +taxpayer issue in Illinois that with these historically low +prices, because of the oversupply, that we will have to address +as citizens of the State of Illinois. Is that a similar effect +on the taxpayers in your district and the State of Oklahoma? + Mr. Watkins. I am delighted with the vision and commitment +and dedication of our independent oil producers in Oklahoma. We +established the first checkoff program per barrel, which helps +a great deal with environmental and also educational matters. +Even in Oklahoma we try to educate the people about the value +and the importance, et cetera, of the oil industry. But also, +it helps a great deal in matching some money, but also helping +in the environmental cleanups. And it has been very good, +because the industry itself is helping clean up old wells that +they have no connection with. + So I know exactly what you are saying. It is costly to plug +a well. It is very expensive, the environmental requirements to +do that today. As well as if you ever tried to open one of them +back up, it becomes--a marginal well, it is not conducive. + I would just say, I do have--I am cosponsoring with Charlie +Stenholm, or we offered it together and are working on it right +now, is the Environmental Equalization Act, trying to do +exactly what Ralph was talking about. It is a fee. I don't know +how we want to work it, but we may want to try to say all the +money coming in from this goes to offset the heating oil cost +or we do something like that, but it helps us get maybe the +offset of $3 to $4 where we are paying for the environmental +requirements put upon us in this country, but the other +countries do not have to do that. They just shift oil to us. +And there should be some equalization to that. We should look +back also, I might say, at some research in the 1950's and +1960's, where we had a tariff against Venezuela, we had one +against Mexico and also Canada. We don't talk about tariffs +nowadays basically, but I think as late as the 1960's, in the +research, Mr. Chairman, I think we had some tariffs on. + Mr. Shimkus. My last question is I am really concerned with +our foreign policy with respect to Iraq and Saddam Hussein. The +fact that we bombed them and now we have no inspectors in the +area, so they can continue to develop their weapons of mass +destruction, nuclear, biological and chemical, and I fully +believe that they are doing that. + Mr. Watkins. It is crazy. + Mr. Shimkus. How do we know that the revenue generated from +the Oil-For-Food Program is not going into those developmental +programs? + Mr. Watkins. I think, I believe and feel, the research I +have done indicates some of it is. Let me say the money has +been agreed to by the U.N. Security Council to go into an Iraqi +bank of their choice. I just think about that just a little +bit. Also, if we look at it and see the breakdown, they can +have chemicals and everything like this they can buy for +agriculture, fertilizers. The biggest bombing ever in this +country in domestic is Oklahoma City and it is from fertilizer, +and moneys from this program is going to do exactly that. You +have every right to be concerned, and I hope you will just get +as mad as I am about this thing, because it is the wrong +policy. It is a failed policy for our people and for our +country. + Mr. Shimkus. Thank you. Mr. Chairman, I yield back my time. + Mr. Barton. The gentleman from Oklahoma, Mr. Largent, is +recognized for 5 minutes. + Mr. Largent. Wes, I want you to give us a little domestic +production 101 course here this morning for our friends that +may not be aware of some of these facts. + Tell us what a stripper well is. That is not a Demi Moore +movie, but what is a stripper well? + Mr. Watkins. In Oklahoma we call it 10 barrels or less. A +marginal well is considered 15 barrels or less. + Mr. Largent. And what percent of our domestic oil +production comes from stripper wells, approximately? + Mr. Watkins. About 25 percent of the overall production. +Eighty-five percent of the wells in Oklahoma are stripper +wells. + Mr. Largent. Okay. And what percent of our domestic +production actually comes from our small oil independent +producers? + Mr. Watkins. Small oil independent--oh, from independent +wells? About 20 percent. Wouldn't that be about right? Sixty +percent of our--did I get the question correctly? + Mr. Largent. I think it is closer to 60, 60 to 70 percent +of the oil that is produced in this country is done so by our +small independents. + Mr. Watkins. Yes, well over 50 percent. + Mr. Largent. Let me ask you a couple of questions here. A +lot of times when we hear oil prices, we hear that Nynex +Mercantile figure, but how does that differ from what the +producers are making at the wellhead? In other words, if we +hear $16 a barrel or $17 barrel, what are they actually making, +the producers, what are they actually getting at the wellhead. + Mr. Watkins. Well, the various ones, like Oklahoma or Texas +Intermediate and all, most of the time is a couple dollars less +than what we are hearing out of New York. And also the futures +have a play on some of that today now, some of the prices. + Mr. Largent. And what would you say approximately is the +cost of production for a small independent with stripper wells +or marginal wells? + Mr. Watkins. Of course that would vary, but I would say +$13, $14 would be an amount that just, if you call it break +even. Some would not break even at that amount. + Mr. Largent. What are they getting---- + Mr. Watkins. We are up to close to 15, give or take? Twelve +at the wellhead. + Mr. Largent. So a dollar or 2 less than it costs them to +produce the oil? + Mr. Watkins. That's right. So it is kind of like an artery +that has been cut. It is flowing and you can't stop it unless +you plug it. + Mr. Largent. Well, this is 101. So what we have established +here is that it costs them more to produce it than they are +making. And what is the result now that you are seeing in your +district in terms of personnel and equipment? What is taking +place in the oil and gas industry, especially the small +producers today? + Mr. Watkins. They are yanking up pipe, they are plugging up +wells, they are stopping the production, and some on the verge +I think of suicide. + Mr. Largent. And once you close a stripper well or marginal +well, what happens to it? + Mr. Watkins. 90 percent of them are not worthy of opening +back up. + Mr. Largent. You have lost them. + Mr. Barton. Will the gentleman yield on that? + Mr. Largent. Yes. + Mr. Barton. It may be different in Oklahoma than in Texas, +but you can suspend production with permission of--in our State +it is the Railroad Commission. I am not sure what it is called, +it may be the corporation---- + Mr. Watkins. Corporation commission. + Mr. Barton. For what, up to 90 days without having to plug +it, but after a certain amount of time, if you are not going to +resume production, you do have to go ahead and plug the well. + Mr. Watkins. I would ask Mike or Pete, they would probably +know exactly that on the corporation commission. Do they give +you forgiveness time and not plug it? + Mr. Smith. Two years, Mr. Chairman. Two-year moratorium +now, unless it is a health or environmental situation. + Mr. Watkins. By the way, the way your colleague Ralph Hall +described the railroad commissioner, I think I want to leave +this job, because that sounds like a very honorable job and a +very nice job. Excuse me, Steve. + Mr. Barton. Well, you have already tried to quit Congress +once and we didn't let you. + I yield back to Mr. Largent. + Mr. Largent. Wes, just a couple of other questions. There +has been--we are seeing the same thing obviously in the First +Congressional District where people are leaving the industry. I +think the number is close to 50,000 since November have left +the industry. I think the number is about a half a million in +the last 10 years have left the industry. Those people don't +come back. The equipment is rusting, the drilling equipment +lays dormant. It is irretrievable at that point. You shut up +the stripper wells at some point in time and they are +irretrievable. + I guess I would just like to throw out one other question, +if I could have an additional minute. + There has been a lot of remedies suggested, some of them +that you have proposed. Some people are suggesting an oil +import fee. There has been suggestions of regulatory relief. +There is a loan program I just learned of yesterday that the +Senate is talking about putting into effect; capping imports +and tax relief. You have a tax relief bill. What do we need to +do, Wes? + Mr. Watkins. My feeling is this. Maybe it is just the way +I--I have always taken a full court press. You understand that +term. I mean take everything we can and move it as quickly as +we can and move forward. Do I expect everything I am trying to +do to get done? No. I hope a few of those things are sending a +message to the Arabs and others, and what we are doing today I +hope sends a message, and what you do after this can send a +message one way or the other. But yes, we need some immediate +relief, and I think the income-averaging that Bill Thomas and I +are on, trying to go back and pick up some good years they have +had where they have paid in some taxes, they could carry that +forward. The tax credit bill that I have is one of the quickest +things we can do. All of those things, if we can do it, would +help secure the industry here in America so we can have a--in +agriculture we say we need to have a domestic food basket. I +agree that we have to have. I think we have to have a domestic +energy basket for national security. We are walking into a trap +if we don't. I think common sense tells us that. + So Steve, all of the above is what I would say. Let us try +everything we can, knowing full well we have to try to come out +with one or two of those things if we possibly can. + The other thing, and this committee could address that. You +remember we got a trade adjustment, the displaced workers, I +would encourage you to revisit that and make sure that we can +get our oil field workers in that, so they can get that kind of +training. Because Steve, as you indicated, we are displacing +those workers too and they are not going to come back. They are +going to go into some computer work, technology, other things +out there, and we are losing that infrastructure, and you +cannot gear it back up overnight. Even if we had to, we +couldn't get it to. + Mr. Largent. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back. + Mr. Barton. Thank you, Congressman. + I recognize the gentleman from North Carolina, Mr. Burr, +for 5 minutes. + Mr. Burr. Wes, I wasn't going to ask a question and I may +not ask one, but I may make a statement. You are right, we +probably ought to include them in that displaced worker list. +What alarms me is how long that list could be if we actually +looked at displaced workers that we have had policy that has +displaced them, whether it is inadequacies in trade +negotiations or decisions as it related to foreign policy, and +I guess what you are here saying is our foreign policy +decisions do affect the livelihood of the American people. + Mr. Watkins. Exactly right. + Mr. Burr. It doesn't seem to play a part necessarily in the +formation of that policy or those negotiations, and I think +maybe we ought to raise that question a little louder. I thank +you for your willingness. + Mr. Watkins. If I can respond to that, I have a sinking +feeling, because I think a lot of our State Department people +and some of our international people literally are more +concerned about getting and having a favorable feeling from +where they may be stationed, Ambassadors and others, than our +concern about the people on the farms and in the oil patches of +this country or other industries. I have detected that. Maybe I +am a little harder nosed than what I should be, but I mostly +think I have a warm heart. + Mr. Burr. I hope the workers in the oil fields don't find +the same end results as the textile workers in the mills across +the South. + I thank the chairman, and I yield back. + Mr. Watkins. By the way, I married a Presbyterian +minister's daughter. + Mr. Barton. We are not going to ask you a second round of +questions, but I think Congressman Hall has one final question +and then we will excuse you. + Mr. Hall. Wes, just for the record, are you in favor of +continuing the Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program? + Mr. Watkins. Limited to the necessities of food and +medicine. + Mr. Hall. And being able to check on them. + Mr. Watkins. And being able to check on them. You bet. You +bet. + Mr. Hall. Somebody said trust, but verify? + Mr. Watkins. If we go what was above the 700,000 barrel +area, then we are just handing them over everything they need +and more. + Mr. Hall. I thank you. + Mr. Barton. Well, Congressman Watkins, we really +appreciate, on behalf of this subcommittee, the leadership that +you have shown in this area. Almost single-handedly you have +raised the visibility of this, and as I said in my opening +statement, this is not the only hearing we are going to do on +the domestic oil and gas industry. It is unfortunate that this +is on a Friday and that we don't have any television coverage +for it, at least we don't have now, but I can assure you, and +you can assure the people of the Third Congressional District +of Oklahoma that if there is something that can be done to +change this program and this subcommittee can do it, we will do +it, and we will continue to work with you. I just hope that the +people of your district appreciate the efforts that you are +making on their behalf. + Mr. Watkins. I thank you, Mr. Chairman, members of the +committee, my neighbors in Oklahoma and Texas. I appreciate it. + Mr. Hall. See you out at National. + Mr. Barton. Save a seat on the plane for Congressman Hall. + We want to recognize our second panel now. We have Mr. Bill +Wood, who is the Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of the +Office of International Organizations, the United States +Department of State; we have the Honorable Jay Hakes, who is +the Administrator of the Energy Information Agency within the +United States Department of Energy; we have the Honorable Carl +Michael Smith, the Secretary of Energy from the great State of +Oklahoma; and we have, not to be outdone, the Honorable Michael +Williams, who is the Commissioner of the Texas Railroad +Commission. + Gentlemen, we want to welcome you. Your statements are in +the record in their entirety. I am going to recognize you to +speak in a second, but before I do that, I want to direct some +comments to our representative from the State Department. + We don't call State Department witnesses too frequently to +this subcommittee. We have fairly frequent testifiers from our +friends at the Department of Energy. It is not normal that we +would ask a representative of the State Department. But we have +a rule that we like testimony 2 days in advance so our members +can actually study it. I won't swear to you that every member +uses that time to study, but some do. We got the State +Department's testimony I believe this morning, and you were the +first people we asked. + Now, if you were me, what kind of--what would your attitude +be if you were me and you are the, in some ways, the most +important government, Federal Government witness we are going +to hear from because you all are in charge of this program and +we get your testimony some time this morning. + Mr. Wood. Mr. Barton, I can only apologize for the lateness +of the arrival of the testimony. We don't testify before the +subcommittee very often. We are very, very pleased at this +opportunity to do so and we thank you very much for inviting us +here. If the opportunity arises again in the future, we assure +you we will do better. + Mr. Barton. Well, we had the ability to look at some +testimony. I don't know if you are the individual that gave it, +but a representative gave similar testimony on a similar issue +over in the Senate several weeks ago. I guess it is possible +that whoever prepares it is on vacation. I guess it is possible +you all don't think very much of the House of Representatives. +I guess it is possible that you all don't think it is a very +important issue. But I am going to send a letter to the +Secretary of State and I may send a letter to the +Appropriations Subcommittee chairman asking that we dock your +part of the State Department $100,000, maybe take it out of the +Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program, just to send a signal. + We have problems with our friends at DOE, not EIA. EIA has +been pretty good, but there are others in the Department of +Energy that are almost as bad, but I don't think we have ever +had an administration witness, and I was chairman of the +Oversight and Investigation Subcommittee for 4 years, that had +the effrontery to send in the testimony the day they were +testifying. I just don't appreciate it. I really don't. + Mr. Burr. Mr. Chairman, I ask that the witness be excused +and not have the ability to testify. + Mr. Barton. Well, unfortunately, we have to have their +testimony. They have us between a rock and a hard place. + Mr. Burr. We have his testimony, Mr. Chairman, but we don't +need to hear from him verbally. + Mr. Barton. I think if I send a letter to the Secretary of +State and we dock them $100,000, I think that will get their +attention. + I mean we are going to be doing a series of hearings on the +oil and gas industry and some of it is domestic, but a lot is +international, so we are going to be calling other State +Department witnesses, and I really want you to go back, I don't +know if this was in your chain of control or not, Mr. Wood, but +I want you to let folks know, we don't expect the State +Department to turn cartwheels when they are asked to testify, +but we do expect reasonable courtesy and we would like to get +it in what the notice requires, which is 2 days ahead of time. +But we at least want to get it a day ahead of time so that we +can copy it and send it around to the staffs and let everybody +review it. + Mr. Burr. Mr. Chairman, could I at least ask the witness to +tell the committee why we received the testimony so late, why +he couldn't fulfill the rules of the committee. + Mr. Barton. Well, sure. I mean I tried to ask him that. Why +did it take the day of the hearing to get it? + Mr. Wood. Mr. Chairman, I don't want to try to offer an +excuse. All I can say is we were wrong not to get it to you on +time. It won't happen again. We apologize. We do consider it +both a lack of courtesy and a lack of professionalism. We are +very grateful for your suggestion that in the future it has to +be, at a minimum, 1 day in advance. We will get it here 2 days +in advance. + Mr. Barton. Again, I am new on this subcommittee, but I +have been chairman of the oversight, and Mr. Burr has been one +of my distinguished members on the oversight, and we have had +this problem with the FDA and we have had it with the EPA. We +finally got their attention. We didn't let them testify one +time. You know, we just said go home and sit in the corner for +the day. We don't want to start out that way. But we do want to +let you know that we need to get the testimony on time. + Mr. Wood. You got our attention, sir. + Mr. Barton. All right. + We are going to start with Mr. Hakes. Your testimony is in +the record in its entirety. We are just going to go right down +the line, Mr. Hakes, Mr. Smith, Mr. Wood and Mr. Williams and +then we will let our committee members ask questions. + Mr. Hall. Can I ask Mr. Hakes a question before we start? + Mr. Barton. Yes, sir. + Mr. Hall. Aren't you glad you submitted yours this morning? + Mr. Hakes. I am going to try to get it in 3 days early next +time. + Mr. Barton. Well, my good friend from Texas, it does help +the minority staff, too, to help prepare the questions and to +read it. I actually read it. I may be the only member, but I +read the testimony ahead of time as the chairman so I can know +a little bit about where you all are coming from. So I was very +upset. + Mr. Hall. I withdraw my question. + Mr. Barton. Okay. We will give each of you 7 minutes, and +if you need a little more time, so be it. So, Mr. Hakes, you +are recognized for 7 minutes. + +STATEMENTS OF HON. JAY HAKES, ADMINISTRATOR, ENERGY INFORMATION +ADMINISTRATION, DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY; HON. CARL MICHAEL SMITH, + SECRETARY OF ENERGY, STATE OF OKLAHOMA; HON. WILLIAM B. WOOD, + PRINCIPAL DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY, OFFICE OF INTERNATIONAL + ORGANIZATIONS, DEPARTMENT OF STATE; AND HON. MICHAEL L. + WILLIAMS, COMMISSIONER, TEXAS RAILROAD COMMISSION + + Mr. Hakes. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and members of the +committee. As you know, the Energy Information Administration +is an independent analytical and statistical agency within the +Department of Energy. I would like to talk a little bit today +about the role that Iraq plays in world oil markets. + We have identified four factors that influenced world oil +markets since the end of 1996 and the interaction between these +factors make it difficult to assess the impact of each +individually, but I would like to discuss them and sort of put +them in some context. + One factor that has clearly influenced the world oil market +has been the increase in Iraqi oil production and the +consequent exports that have occurred since the beginning of +the United Nations Oil-For-Food Program. Iraq's oil production +is currently 2.5 million barrels per day, which is about 2 +million barrels per day higher than it was prior to the Oil- +For-Food Program, although it is still lower than it was prior +to their invasion of Kuwait in 1990. You can basically follow +the movement of price there with that blue line, and you can +see where the program started, it sort of zigzagged up to the +2.5 million level. + Even with the current oil exports of about 2 million +barrels per day, Iraq is still below the ceiling of $5.3 +billion per 6 months imposed under the current phase of the +Oil-For-Food Program. In order for Iraq to approach the ceiling +during the next year or 2, the price of West Texas Intermediate +crude would have to average about $18 to $19 per barrel day. + Mr. Barton. $18 per barrel? + Mr. Hakes. Yes, excuse me. $18 to $19 per barrel, which are +prices that we are not currently forecasting, incidentally. + Another factor that is important in terms of its impact on +the world oil market is the dramatic slowdown in oil demand +growth in Asia as a result of the economic crisis. I think +after the Persian Gulf War most oil producers around the world +realized that eventually at some point Iraq would come back, +and that this would pose a problem for the market. And a number +of them, including Saudi Arabia and others, made the comment +that they thought that the increased demand in Asia would +probably help soak up the Iraq increased production when that +happened. But you can see that almost at the same time that +Iraq is coming back onto the world market, there is an economic +collapse in Asia, and the demand sort of stops. + Demand in Asia was growing roughly 850 thousand barrels a +day each year, and that is adding a lot of demand into the +world market. Then you can see for 1998, demand growth was +virtually negligible. So at the very time when there was a hope +that Asian demand would soak up the Iraqi extra production, +that demand was not there. + EIA is estimating that Asian oil demand will grow by only +1.5 million barrels per day during the entire period from 1997 +to 2000, instead of the 3.4 million barrels per day that would +have been expected before this economic crisis occurred. + Added on top of this have been three warm winters in a row, +which has reduced the demand for heating oil, and this has +further thrown the world market out of balance and created +excess supply. + Another factor that contributed to it is as Iraq was coming +back on the market in 1997, other areas of the world instead of +cutting back on their production actually were increasing +production. There was quite a bullish market internationally in +oil, and OPEC, which some thought might cut back because they +had increased after the Persian Gulf War to cover the absence +of Iraq, they actually had an increase in 1997, and it was not +until 1998 that they began to cut. + Let me just speak briefly, Mr. Chairman, about the outlook +for Iraqi oil production in the world oil market. We feel that +Iraq is currently producing at pretty much its full capacity +since its oil revenues are significantly less than allowed and +they would be producing more today if they could. Our current +forecast assumes that Iraqi crude oil production capacity +increases only by 100,000 to 200,000 barrels per day between +now and the year 2000. Currently, the United Nations is +allowing Iraq to import about $300 million worth of parts that +are used to improve their oil infrastructure. How fast Iraq +receives these parts and how well these parts are used will +determine how quickly Iraqi oil production might increase. Some +analysts believe that the capacity would be somewhat higher in +the year 2000 than the EIA is estimating, but most of them +expect the increases to be fairly modest. + Now, the newest issue on the block of course is the recent +announcement by OPEC that they are setting targets for reducing +production. OPEC itself has pledged 1.7 million barrels per day +of cuts and some nations outside of OPEC have joined into the +agreement and pledged another 0.4 million barrels per day cuts. +The cartel in the past has had a difficult time fully enforcing +these cuts. However, Saudi Arabia has already put them into +effect for April orders, so at least a part of this seems to be +quite real. We have been predicting up until the OPEC action +that the price of oil would probably, for West Texas +Intermediate, get to slightly below $15 a barrel at the end of +this year. I am sure we will raise that estimate when we come +out with our next update, which is scheduled for April 8. At +that time we will do a fairly detailed analysis of the +estimated impact of the OPEC actions. But that is where it +stands for now, and I of course will be glad to answer any +questions the members of the committee may have. + [The prepared statement of Hon. Jay Hakes follows:] +Prepared Statement of Hon. Jay Hakes, Administrator, Energy Information + Administration, Department of Energy +Short-Term World Oil Market Outlook + Mr. Chairman and members of the Committee, I wish to thank you for +the opportunity to testify today on our short-term world oil outlook, +paying particular attention to Iraq's role in the international oil +market. As Administrator for the Energy Information Administration +(EIA), which is an independent analytical and statistical agency within +the Department of Energy, I have been asked to provide an overview of +the world oil market--how we got here and where we think we are headed. +As part of this discussion, I will highlight Iraq's oil production +history thus far in the 1990s and provide our assessment of the short- +term outlook for Iraqi crude oil production. + EIA has identified four factors that have influenced the world oil +market since the end of 1996. The interaction between these factors +makes it difficult to assess the impact of each individually. +Nevertheless, I will discuss each factor separately and try to put the +oil market impact of each in context. + One factor influencing the world oil market has been the increase +in Iraqi oil production (and exports) that have occurred since the +beginning of the United Nations' ``oil-for-food'' program. Iraq's oil +production is currently 2.5 million barrels per day, which is about 2 +million barrels per day higher than it was prior to the ``oil-for- +food'' program, although it is still lower than it was just prior to +their invasion of Kuwait in 1990 (figure 1). But even with current oil +exports of about 2 million barrels per day, Iraq is still well below +the ceiling of $5.256 billion imposed under the current phase of the +``oil-for-food'' program. In order for Iraq to approach the ceiling +during the next year or two, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude +oil would have to average about $19 per barrel during a 180-day phase +of the United Nations' ``oil-for-food'' program. I would like to point +out, however, that EIA is not forecasting prices at this level in the +short-term. + Another factor that is equally important in terms of its impact on +the world oil market is the dramatic slowdown in oil demand growth in +Asia as a result of the economic crisis, which began in the summer of +1997. Between 1991 and 1996, Asian oil demand was increasing on average +by about 850,000 barrels per day each year (figure 2). If Asian oil +demand had continued to grow at this pace, EIA would have expected oil +demand to be about 2 million barrels per day more in 2000 than in our +current forecast, which would have helped soak up the increased +production from Iraq. Instead, EIA is estimating that Asian oil demand +will grow by only 1.5 million barrels per day during the 1997-2000 +period, instead of the 3.4 million barrels per day that would have been +expected before the Asia crisis occurred. + Weather has also been a major factor influencing the world oil +market in recent years. Oil demand typically peaks in the winter, along +with the demand for heating oil. Weather patterns in the northeast +United States and Western Europe are particularly important to the +world oil market since these are the regions where oil is used +significantly as a fuel for heating. The winters of 1996-97 and 1997-98 +were particularly warm compared to ``normal'' temperatures, and now it +is apparent that this winter will be the third significantly warmer +than normal winter in a row. As a result, global oil inventories are +much higher than they would have been had temperatures been more +``normal'' during the past three heating seasons. + The last major factor that EIA has identified as a major influence +in the world oil market was oil production increases from many +countries outside of Iraq, particularly in 1997. Global oil supply +increased by about 2.3 million barrels per day in 1997, much more than +the 1.7 million barrels per day of global oil demand growth that year. +This followed a period of 32 months in which the price of West Texas +Intermediate crude oil averaged above $17 per barrel each month. While +oil production from Iraq increased more than any other single country +in 1997 (about 600,000 barrels per day) as a result of the ``oil-for- +food'' program which began in December 1996, other OPEC and non-OPEC +countries also increased oil production significantly in 1997 (world +production increased by 2.3 million barrels per day, making Iraq's +increase about 25 percent of the total). Within OPEC, Saudi Arabia oil +production increased by 370,000 barrels per day, Venezuela increased by +227,000 barrels per day, Qatar increased by 139,000 barrels per day, +and Nigeria increased by 129,000 barrels per day. Outside of OPEC, most +of the growth was in the Americas (North, Central, and South America, +but excluding Venezuela, an OPEC member), which increased by over +500,000 barrels per day. Since demand growth did not keep pace with the +supply growth in 1997, much of this oil found its way into inventories. + Turning to the future, let's look at where EIA thinks the oil +market is headed in the short-term (through 2000). In 1998, OPEC and +some non-OPEC countries agreed to cut oil production in order to help +increase oil prices. In part because of these agreements and the +beginning of an expected gradual recovery in Asia, EIA's most recent +forecast had prices increasing by about $3.50 per barrel by December +1999 from the historical low point in December 1998, and by an +additional $1-$1.50 by the end of 2000. Now that OPEC and some non-OPEC +countries have agreed to cut production by about 2 million barrels a +day (figure 3), we would expect prices to increase even more. EIA's +next Short-Term Energy Outlook, which is updated monthly, is scheduled +for release on April 8, 1999. At that time, EIA will incorporate a +detailed analysis of the new OPEC cuts into our price forecast. I can +say now, however, that our forecast for oil prices will be higher. This +forecast will be based on the assumption that demand growth will +outstrip supply growth in both 1999 and 2000, even if producers only +partially implement the planned cuts. + Let me spend a little time discussing our outlook for Iraqi oil +production. As I stated before, Iraq's crude oil production has +increased by about 2 million barrels per day since late 1996. However, +we feel that they are currently producing at full capacity since their +oil revenues are significantly less than allowed and would produce more +if they could, and that their oil production capacity is not expected +to increase substantially through 2000. Our current forecast assumes +that Iraqi crude oil production capacity increases by only 100,000- +200,000 barrels per day between now and 2000 (figure 1). Currently, the +United Nations is allowing Iraq to import $300 million worth of parts +that are to be used to improve their oil infrastructure. How fast Iraq +receives these parts and how well these parts are used will help +determine how quickly Iraqi oil production capacity might increase. +There are some analysts that expect Iraqi oil production capacity to be +somewhat higher by the end of 2000 than EIA is estimating. However, +most analysts expect Iraq's oil production increases this year and next +to be far less than what they were in 1997 and 1998. + This concludes my testimony before the Committee. I would be glad +to answer questions at the appropriate time. + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.001 + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.002 + + Mr. Barton. Just before we recognize Mr. Smith, Iraq is +part of OPEC, is it not? + Mr. Hakes. Yes. + Mr. Barton. Mr. Smith, we will recognize you for 7 minutes. +Mr. Largent, do you want to formally introduce Mr. Smith. + Mr. Largent. Yes, I did in my opening statement. This is +our Secretary of Energy from the great State of Oklahoma. We +are glad to have him here. + Mr. Barton. You are recognized for 7 minutes. + + STATEMENT OF CARL MICHAEL SMITH + + Mr. Smith. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and members of the +subcommittee. As Congressman Largent mentioned, I serve as +Secretary of Energy for the State of Oklahoma, and this year I +am vice chairman of the Interstate Oil and Gas Compact +Commission. I have been a member of Oklahoma's oil and gas +community my entire adult life, either as a producer, as an +attorney for operators, and currently in my public service. I +have experienced firsthand the Arab embargo of 1973, the +oilfield pipe and equipment shortage of the mid-1970's, the +ill-conceived Natural Gas Policy Act of 1978, the misguided +Fuel Use Act of 1978, the plunderous windfall profits tax of +1980, the Middle East turmoil of the late 1970's and early +1980's, the collapse of our domestic oil and gas industry in +the mid-1980's, precipitating, as Congressman Largent mentioned +earlier, a loss of about a half a million jobs, the advent of +computer technology into the industry, the Gulf War, and now, +Operation Desert Fox. In short, I have seen a lot of success, a +lot of failure, and an abundance of public policy, most of +which has, unfortunately, been poorly conceived and missed the +mark. + Since entering public life in 1990, I have been assisting +in the conception and implementation of energy policy. Most of +this work has involved assisting the IOGCC Governors in +drafting and implementing A Dependent Nation: How Federal Oil +and Gas Policy is Eroding America's Economic Independents. +Recently, I have assisted my Governor, Frank Keating, as he has +led the other oil and gas producing State Governors in +addressing an unprecedented oil price trough which is +approaching its 18th month. + Today's hearing focuses on the Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program +and its impacts. Mr. Chairman, the American people, and the +people of my State, are very confused. Occasionally a +constituent asks for my explanation of our Iraqi policy, and a +rational answer is impossible. I overhear comments in elevators +and discussions in coffee shops throughout my home state. No +one can understand why, according to press reports, 3 days of +Operation Desert Fox cost the American taxpayers almost $1 +billion, yet the rogue of the world, Saddam Hussein, is +seemingly stronger than ever. Our proposed response is not to +isolate him or cutoff his funding for weapons of mass +destruction, rather to allow his continuing military threat to +be enhanced through unlimited oil production, or so it seems. +No one can argue that the Iraqi people have suffered a mighty +hardship under his reign of terror, or that they deserve +humanitarian aid. What is hard to explain to my constituents, +who are losing their jobs due to less than break-even oil +prices, is why our government would put our military at risk, +spend balances of tax dollars, and then allow Saddam to flood +the world oil market. Even more puzzling was America's +acquiescence in the United Nations formula allowing Iraqi oil +sales to be limited by a dollar amount rather than by volumes +of oil. The Oklahoma Geological Survey, which is in my cabinet +policy area, has reported that the almost singular contributor +to the 1997 and 1998 world oil glut has been Iraq. As the +attached data attached to my testimony which, by the way, Mr. +Hakes, was from your agency, demonstrates that most of the +world oil production, both OPEC and non-OPEC, has been +relatively stable. The exception to that has been Iraq. Even +more shocking is Iraq's rise to No. 4 source of U.S. imports +last year, and in 1 month, Mr. Chairman, they were actually No. +3, almost nosing out Kuwait. They have sort of been neck and +neck for the three and four spot. + Certain facts are not in dispute. America is importing +nearly 60 percent of its daily crude oil needs. Current +wellhead prices are far below the break-even point for most +domestic producers. The world is awash in over-produced oil. +Allowing Iraq to produce unlimited oil impairs America's +economic and military security, and the lifting of limitations +helps finance Saddam's almost certain future mischief. + Long before the current crisis, President Clinton approved +1994 findings by the U.S. Department of Commerce that oil +imports, which were then at a much lower level, threatened U.S. +security. Can you imagine our response if this morning we +awakened to 60 percent of our air, water or food controlled by +foreign sources? Oil is the lifeblood of our Nation and we +cannot permit Iraq to further the disintegration of our +domestic oil industry. + Mr. Chairman and subcommittee members, I cannot count the +number of times I have wanted to shout from the rooftops, +America, wake up. We need America's oil to protect our shores +and our way of life. I am proud to say, my constituents have +always been first in line on both counts, and on their behalf I +thank you for this opportunity to testify. + [The prepared statement of Carl Michael Smith follows:] +Prepared Statement of Carl Michael Smith, Secretary of Energy, State of + Oklahoma + Mr. Chairman and members of the subcommittee, I serve as Secretary +of Energy for the State of Oklahoma and as Vice-Chairman of the +Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission (IOGCC). + I have been a member of Oklahoma's oil and gas community my entire +adult life. I experienced first hand the Arab embargo of 1973, the +oilfield pipe and equipment shortage of the mid-1970s, the ill- +conceived Natural Gas Policy Act of 1978, the misguided Fuel Use Act of +1978, the plunderous windfall profits tax of 1980, the Middle East +turmoil of the late 70s and early 80s, the collapse of our domestic oil +and gas industry in the middle 1980s (precipitating a loss of +approximately 500,000 jobs), the advent of computer technology into the +industry, the Gulf War, and now, Operation Desert Fox. In short, I've +seen a lot of success, failure, and lots of public policy, +unfortunately, most of which has been ill conceived. Since entering +public life in 1995, I have been assisting in the conception and +implementation of energy policy. Most of this work has involved +assisting the IOGCC governors in drafting and implementing A Dependant +Nation: How Federal Oil and Gas Policy is Eroding America's +Independence. Recently, I have assisted my Governor, Frank Keating, as +he has led the other oil and gas producing state governors in +addressing an unprecedented oil price trough which is approaching its +18th month. + Today's hearing focuses on the Iraqi Oil for Food Program and its +impacts. Mr. Chairman, the American people are confused. Occasionally, +a constituent asks for my explanation, and a rational answer is +impossible. I overhear comments in elevators and discussions in coffee +shops throughout my home state. No one can understand why, according to +NBC News on December 23, 1998, three days of Operation Desert Fox cost +the American taxpayer almost $1 billion, yet the rogue of the world, +Saddam Hussein, is seemingly stronger than ever. Our response is not to +isolate him or cut off his funding for weapons of mass destruction, +rather allow his continuing military threat to be enhanced through +unlimited oil production. No one can argue that the Iraqi people have +suffered a mighty hardship under his reign of terror or that they +deserve humanitarian aid. What is hard to explain to my constituents, +who are losing their jobs due to an oil market producing a dollar price +per barrel less than break-even cost, why our government would put our +military at risk, spend billions in tax dollars, and then willingly +allow Saddam to flood the world oil market. Even more puzzling was +America's acquiescence in the United Nations formula allowing Iraqi oil +sales, under current sanctions, to be limited by a dollar amount rather +than volumes of oil. The Oklahoma Geological Survey, which is in my +cabinet policy area, has reported that the almost singular contributor +to the 1997 and 1998 world oil glut has been Iraq. As the attached data +demonstrates, most world oil producers (both OPEC and non-OPEC) have +been relatively stable--the exception being Iraq. Even more shocking +is, during 1998, Iraq rose to the number 4 source of U.S. imports, +almost nosing out Kuwait for the number 3 spot. + Certain facts are not in dispute: + + America is importing nearly 60% of its daily crude oil needs + Current wellhead prices are far below the break-even point for + most domestic producers + The world is awash in overproduced oil + Allowing Iraq to produce unlimited oil impairs America's + economic and military security, and a lifting of monetary + limitations helps finance Saddam's almost certain future + mischief +Long before the current crisis, President Clinton approved 1994 +findings by the U.S. Department of Commerce that oil imports (then at a +much lower level) threatened U.S. security. + Mr. Chairman and subcommittee members, I cannot count the number of +times I have wanted to shout from the rooftops, ``America, wake up--we +need America's oil to protect our shores and our way of life.'' I am +proud to say, my constituents have always been first in line on both +counts, and on their behalf, I thank you for this opportunity to +testify. + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.003 + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.004 + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.005 + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.006 + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.007 + + Mr. Barton. Thank you, Mr. Smith. We would now like to hear +from Mr. Wood. We do have your testimony, so you are recognized +for 7 minutes to elaborate on it. + Mr. Wood. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Let me again +repeat how pleased I am to be here to discuss---- + Mr. Barton. You need to speak into the microphone so that +we can hear you. + + STATEMENT OF WILLIAM B. WOOD + + Mr. Wood. Okay. I am pleased to be here today and I want to +reiterate that fact. Thank you for inviting me. + The U.S. policy is to contain Saddam Hussein until he can +be removed from power. + In the meantime, U.S. sanctions on Iraq and the Oil-For- +Food Program are critical to the containment of Iraq. We must +maintain broad international support for these programs in +order to keep Saddam Hussein contained. Sanctions on Iraq were +put in place by the international community following the +brutal invasion by Iraq of its peaceful neighbor, Kuwait. The +sanctions deprived Saddam of the revenue he would otherwise use +to reconstitute his weapons of mass destruction. + It is essential that we address the humanitarian needs of +the Iraqi people. Doing so is right in itself, but also crucial +to maintaining Security Council, regional and other support for +the international sanctions regime while we continue our +efforts to change the Iraqi regime. It is also consistent with +our message to the Iraqi people that the United States is not +against the people of Iraq, only the regime that is responsible +for their plight. By meeting Iraq's general humanitarian needs, +Oil-For-Food allows us to maintain a tough sanctions regime +against Iraq. + In 1991, the Bush Administration first proposed an Oil-For- +Food Program to meet the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi +people. Iraq rejected the program. In 1995, the Security +Council, with full U.S. leadership and support, adopted a +revised Oil-For-Food Program, which Iraq finally accepted at +the end of 1996. The first food shipments under this program +arrived in Iraq in March 1997. In February 1998, based on the +Secretary General's recommendations that additional funds were +needed to meet the needs of the Iraqi people, the legitimate +humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people, the Security Council +expanded the Oil-For-Food Program. That program has most +recently renewed last November. + I might add that that is the reason why the Oil-For-Food +Program is accounted for in dollars, because it is based on +estimates of what it would cost to take care of the +humanitarian needs of Iraq. It is not an effort to promote +Iraqi exports, it is an effort to raise money for the specific +humanitarian needs of Iraq. + The current Oil-For-Food Program permits Iraq to sell up to +$5.2 billion worth of oil every 6 months, two-thirds of which +goes toward the purchase of food, medicine and other +humanitarian goods such as water and sanitation infrastructure +supplies. The remaining one-third goes to pay claims arising +from Iraq's occupation of Kuwait, and to pay U.N. +administrative and UNSCOM disarmament costs. All revenues of +Iraq's oil sales are deposited in a U.N. escrow account to +which Baghdad has no access. Although it is true that Iraq's +agreement as to which bank was selected was necessary, Iraq did +not get to choose the bank and, indeed, its first choices were +refused under the memorandum of understanding between Iraq and +the United Nations. We are assured that the bank in which the +escrow account exists is functioning in a transparent and +effective manner and funds cannot be released from that account +without U.N. agreement. + All contracts are reviewed by the U.N. sanctions committee, +of which the U.S. is a member. Because the committee operates +by consensus, we can hold or block any contract that is +inappropriate or ill-advised. U.N. monitors on Iraq's borders +and inside Iraq oversee importation and distribution within +Iraq, and in northern Iraq, the three northern governments, +distribution is actually carried out by the U.N. itself. + Oil-For-Food, the largest humanitarian program in the +U.N.'s history, requires that Saddam spend his own money on the +thing he cares least about: his own people. + Oil-For-Food is not a step toward lifting sanctions, nor +does it reward Saddam Hussein. In fact, it makes sanctions, his +worst enemy, sustainable. Without an Oil-For-Food Program, +history has shown that Saddam Hussein would starve his own +people to buy weapons and build palaces and to force the +international community to lift sanctions. Although we could +use our veto at the U.N. to prevent the lifting of sanctions, +the pressure of a sympathetic international community, absent +Oil-For-Food, could well lead to a de facto breakdown of the +implementation of the sanctions regime. So it is not simply a +distribution problem, it is also an implementation problem. + Sanctions have slowed considerably Iraq's ability to expand +oil exports. We estimate that sanctions have prevented Iraq +from exporting more than $120 billion of oil from 1991 to 1996. +In the last two phases of the Oil-For-Food Program, the +Security Council earmarked limited funds for the importation of +spare parts and equipment to improve Iraq's crumbling oil +infrastructure so that funds can be made available for +legitimate, necessary humanitarian needs. Those spare parts +have just begun to arrive in Iraq, and it will be many more +months before there will be an appreciable growth in the Iraqi +ability to export oil as a result of them. + We are also discussing in Security Council capitals and in +the Security Council itself how to keep Oil-For-Food viable and +effective. We have proposed that the Security Council consider +raising the ceiling on oil sales consistent with Iraq's +legitimate humanitarian needs. In the short run, Iraq would be +unable to expand oil exports. Over time, allowing increased +Iraqi oil exports would address concerns regarding the +shortfall in revenues needed for humanitarian purchases. Saddam +would not benefit from these increased oil export revenues. The +revenues would be put into the escrow account and released only +for the purchase of humanitarian goods. + Raising the ceiling on revenue available for the purchase +of humanitarian goods would also serve to counter growing calls +from Arab states and Security Council members to lift sanctions +outright. By removing the root cause of calls for lifting +sanctions, we free our allies in the Arab world and elsewhere +to support our broader Iraqi policy goals. We also draw +Security Council support away from more radical French and +Russian proposals to lift sanctions altogether. + We also understand your concerns about the current oil +market. However, Iraq is only one among several factors which +has adversely impacted oil prices. Our sanction--our Iraq +sanctions policy, frankly, has never been linked to the price +of oil on world markets. This was true in the early 1990's, +when Iraqi oil was completely cutoff the world market, putting +upward pressure on oil prices, and it remains the case today. +Allowing oil price considerations to drive our sanctions +decisions or seeking to use sanctions to target oil prices +would undermine our ability to maintain an international +consensus aimed at containing Saddam Hussein, as well as +provide for the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people. + Were international support for an effective U.N. sanctions +regime to erode, Saddam Hussein would be a much greater threat +to the world community. He would quickly regain the free use of +$10 billion to $15 billion per year to put into his weapons of +mass destruction programs. But we have promoted raising the +ceiling under monitoring. Moreover, the prospect of Iraq +without U.N. sanctions would also have a negative effect on oil +prices. + Over the long term, the only way to ensure that Saddam no +longer threatens either his people or his neighbors is to work +for a new government of Iraq, one that will maintain the +territorial integrity and unity of Iraq, respect the rights of +Iraq's people and neighbors and fulfill Iraq's international +obligations. We are committed to helping the Iraqis achieve +this regime change or transition. + Mr. Chairman, I realize I am over my time, but let me only +make one sort of summary comment. The Oil-For-Food Program has +been characterized repeatedly as a humanitarian program. It is +certainly a humanitarian program. We are a humane Nation. We +are not making war on the population of Iraq. That is Saddam's +strategy. But it is not the policy of the administration to +benefit the populations of other countries at cost to our own +population. That is not our goal, and that is not what we +believe we are achieving here. + Mr. Barton. That may not be the goal, but that is certainly +the result. And I am not going to get in a debate right now. We +still need to hear from Mr. Williams, but I guarantee you when +we get to the question and answer period, we are going to have +a dialog. + Mr. Wood. We do believe, however, that this is a national +security requirement. That is my last comment. + [The prepared statement of William B. Wood follows:] +Prepared Statement of Hon. William B. Wood, Deputy Assistant Secretary + of State + Mr. Chairman: I am pleased to be here today to discuss US policy +toward Iraq and the role the Oil-for-Food program plays within it. + The Administration's policy is to contain Saddam Hussein until he +can be removed from power. We will contain Iraq by maintaining +sanctions on Iraq, enforcing the no-fly zones in the North and South, +and by maintaining a robust military presence in the region and a +readiness to use force if Iraq reconstitutes its prohibited weapons +programs, threatens its neighbors, or moves against the Kurds in the +north. + In addition to these elements of containment, we are also working +at the United Nations to build consensus in the Security Council in +support of an effective disarmament and monitoring presence in Iraq. + Over the long-term, however, the only way to ensure that Saddam no +longer threatens either his people or his neighbors is to work for a +new government in Iraq--one that will maintain the territorial +integrity and unity of Iraq, respect the rights of Iraq's people and +Iraq's neighbors, and fulfill Iraq's international obligations. We are +committed to helping Iraqis achieve this regime change or transition. +There are many tools we can use to help them, including both the $8 +million in Economic Support Funds Congress has appropriated for this +purpose, and the Iraq Liberation Act. In the final analysis, change has +to come from the Iraqi people themselves. We cannot impose ideas or +initiatives on them. + In the meantime, UN sanctions on Iraq and the Oil-for-Food program +are critical to the containment of the Iraqi regime. We must maintain +broad international support for these programs in order to keep Saddam +contained. + Sanctions on Iraq were put in place by the international community +following the brutal invasion by Iraq of its peaceful neighbor Kuwait. +The sanctions deprive Saddam of the revenue he would otherwise use to +reconstitute weapons of mass destruction. + It is also essential that we address the humanitarian needs of the +Iraqi people. Doing so is right in itself, and crucial to maintaining +Security Council and regional support for sanctions while we continue +our efforts for regime change. It is also consistent with our message +to the Iraqi people that the United States is not against the people of +Iraq--only the regime that is responsible for their plight. By meeting +Iraq's genuine humanitarian needs, oil-for-food allows us to maintain a +tough sanctions regime against Iraq. + The current oil-for-food program permits Iraq to sell up to $5.2 +billion worth of oil every six months, two-thirds of which goes towards +the purchase of food, medicine and other humanitarian goods such as +water and sanitation infrastructure supplies. The remaining one-third +goes to pay claims arising from Iraq's occupation of Kuwait, and to pay +UN administrative and UNSCOM disarmament costs. All revenues from +Iraq's oil sales are deposited in a UN escrow account to which Baghdad +has no access. All contracts are reviewed by the UN Sanctions +Committee, of which the U.S. is a member. Because the Committee +operates by consensus, we can hold or block any contract that is +inappropriate or ill-advised. UN monitors on Iraq's borders and inside +Iraq oversee their import and distribution. In northern Iraq, the +distribution is carried out directly by UN personnel. + Sanctions have never prohibited the import of food or medicine to +Iraq. However, the regime in Baghdad has been unwilling to take full +advantage of this exemption, and, therefore, in 1991, the Bush +Administration first proposed an oil-for-food program to meet the +humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people. Iraq rejected the program. In +1995, the Security Council, with full US leadership and support, +adopted a revised oil-for-food program, which Iraq finally accepted at +the end of 1996. The first food shipments under this program arrived in +Iraq in March 1997. In February 1998, based on the Secretary General's +recommendations that additional funds were needed to meet the needs of +the Iraqi people, the Security Council adopted an expanded oil-for-food +program. That program was renewed again in November. + Oil-for-food is not a step towards lifting sanctions, nor does it +reward Saddam. In fact, it makes sanctions--his worst enemy-- +sustainable. Without an oil-for-food program, history has shown that +Saddam Hussein would starve his own people to force the international +community to lift sanctions. Although we could use our veto at the UN +to prevent the lifting of sanctions, the pressure of a sympathetic +international community--absent oil-for-food--could well lead to the de +facto breakdown of the sanctions regime. + The oil-for-food program has had a tremendous positive impact on +conditions for the average Iraqi. Since the beginning of the program, +$2.75 billion worth of food, over $500 million of medicine and $400 +million worth of supplies for such things as water, sanitation, +electricity and education projects, has been delivered to Iraq. The +average daily food ration has increased from 1275 calories per day in +1996 to 2100 calories per day now. However, problems remain. Although +malnutrition rates have declined, they are still too high. Significant +work on the sanitation and water, electrical, education, agriculture +and other sectors is still required. + Sanctions have slowed considerably Iraq's ability to expand oil +exports. We estimate that sanctions have prevented Iraq from exporting +more than $120 billion worth of oil from 1991 to 1996. We have in the +last two phases of the program permitted funds to be earmarked for the +importation of carefully screened spare parts and equipment to improve +Iraq's crumbling oil infrastructure to fund needed humanitarian +purchases. Those spire parts have just begun to arrive and it will be +many months before there will be significant growth in Iraqi ability to +export oil. + We are also discussing in Security Council capitals how to keep +Oil-for-Food viable and effective. We have proposed that the Security +Council consider raising the ceiling on oil sales consistent with +Iraq's legitimate humanitarian needs. In the short run, Iraq would be +unable to expand oil exports. Over time, allowing increased Iraqi oil +exports would address concerns regarding the shortfall in revenues +needed for humanitarian purchases. Saddam would not benefit from these +increased oil export revenues. The revenues would be put in an escrow +account and released only for the purchase of humanitarian goods. + Raising the ceiling on revenue available for the purchase of +humanitarian goods also would serve to counter growing calls from Arab +states and Security Council members to lift sanctions outright. By +removing the root cause of calls for lifting sanctions, we free our +allies in the Arab world and elsewhere to support our broader Iraq +policy objectives. We also draw Security Council support away from more +radical French and Russian proposals to lift sanctions altogether. + We also understand your concerns about the current oil market +situation. However, Iraq is only one among several factors which has +adversely impacted oil prices over the last year. Our Iraq sanctions +policy, moreover, has never been linked to the price of oil on world +markets. This was true in the early 1990s when Iraqi oil was completely +off the world market, putting upward pressure on oil prices, and it +remains the case today. Allowing oil price considerations to drive our +sanctions decisions, or seeking to use sanctions to target oil prices, +would undermine our ability to maintain an international consensus +aimed at containing Saddam Hussein as well as to provide for the +humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people. + The US will continue to work to improve the oil-for-food program, +and to ensure that it serves its intended purpose. In February, the UN +Secretary General reported that there are $275 million worth of +medicine sitting in Iraqi warehouses undistributed. This is +unacceptable, and we will work to change it. We will continue to +scrutinize every contract for goods under the oil-for-food program and +can veto any contract that we judge to be inappropriate or ill-advised. +Given the absence of UNSCOM and IAEA, which have a role in monitoring +dual-use goods, we have tightened our standards for contract approval. +In January, the Security Council formed three panels to examine +disarmament, humanitarian and Kuwait-related issues. We expect that the +humanitarian panel's report, due in mid-April, will suggest additional +changes that may enhance the program's effectiveness. + Were international support for effective UN sanctions regimes to +erode, Saddam Hussein would be a much greater threat to the world +community. He would quickly regain the free use of ten to fifteen +billion dollars per year to put into his WMD programs. Moreover, the +prospect of Iraq without UN sanctions would also have a much greater +negative impact on oil prices. + We remain concerned about the illegal traffic of oil and petroleum +products out of Iraq--to Turkey, Jordan, Syria and the Persian Gulf. +Each of these avenues presents unique problems, and we are addressing +each of them differently. We continue to work with Turkey to find a way +to bring illicit trade over the Turkish border within the framework of +the oil-for-food program. We believe a similar approach should also be +taken regarding Syria. With respect to the smuggling of Iraqi gasoil +through Iranian territorial waters, we have had considerable success +over the past year in combining efforts to bring third-country pressure +to bear on Tehran to end the trade with more direct military actions. +This has included bombing of the section of the Basra refinery devoted +to this trade during Desert Fox, and the conduct of ``surge +operations'' by the multi-national Maritime Interception Force or +``MIF,'' in areas of the northern Gulf known to be used by the Iraqis +and others as routes for smuggled cargoes. As for Jordan, although the +UN has taken note of Jordan's trade of bartered humanitarian goods in +exchange for Iraqi oil at concessionary prices, we continue to work to +reduce Jordan's dependence on Iraqi oil. + Although the oil-for-food program is not perfect, it is essential +to our policy of containing Saddam until there is a new government in +Baghdad. Without it, sanctions would be much more difficult to sustain. +Saddam Hussein would once again have control over tens of billions of +dollars a year to spend on weapons of mass destruction. + Over the long-term, however, the only way to ensure that Saddam no +longer threatens either his people or his neighbors is to work for a +new government in Iraq--one that will maintain the territorial +integrity and unity of Iraq, respect the rights of Iraq's people and +Iraq's neighbors, and fulfill Iraq's international obligations. We are +committed to helping Iraqis achieve this regime change or transition. + Thank you, and I welcome any questions you may have. + + Mr. Barton. Thank you. Mr. Williams, your statement is in +the record in its entirety and we will recognize you for up to +7 minutes to elaborate on it. We welcome you as one of the +members of the Railroad Commission from Texas. I believe you +are the newest member. You have a distinguished background. I +won't put that all in the record, but you are a former +administration official in the Bush Administration, you have a +distinguished record in the private sector and public sector in +Texas. We are very glad that you could testify today. + + STATEMENT OF MICHAEL L. WILLIAMS + + Mr. Williams. Chairman Barton, thank you, and members of +the committee, thank you for the opportunity to be with you. +Before I go any further, Congressman Hall, thank you for the +kind words earlier this morning. + I appreciate this opportunity to testify on behalf of the +Texas Railroad Commission on the impact of the United Nations +sponsored Oil-For-Food Program and the impact that it has on +the vital interests of Texans, as well as the Nation. + Admittedly, the goal of the Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program is +quite laudable. However, I must admit that as presently +structured, that program is adverse to the interests of Texans +and Americans. No Texan would take issue, and quite frankly no +American would take issue with a responsible attempt to provide +food and medicine and other necessities for the Iraqi people. +Arguably, however, we do have some serious doubts that the +program is actually meeting the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi +people, and nonetheless quite frankly it is more troublesome +that Iraq is being permitted to sell oil and make money out of +the pockets of Texas producers and, I might add, Oklahoma +producers and other domestic producers, their workers and their +families at the same time that Iraqi ground troops are firing +at American fighter pilots who are protecting the no-fly zone. +Moreover, by allowing Iraq to sell $10.4 billion of oil during +a 12-month period, irrespective of linking it to the impact +that Iraqi production is having on worldwide crude oil supplies +and price, provides no incentive for the Iraqis to be proper +stewards of their crude oil reserves, nor is there any +incentive whatsoever for the Iraqis to concern themselves with +the harmful impact that their behavior might be having on +producers worldwide, particularly those producers here in the +U.S. + Quite the contrary, the Oil-For-Food Program places a +premium on how much money Iraq is allowed to generate, rather +than how many barrels of crude oil it is being allowed to sell. +So the program encourages them to provide and dump as much +crude oil as possible on the market during the 6-month period +to reach that $5 plus billion mark with no regard to the price +per barrel. + The Oil-For-Food Program doesn't just permit Iraq to act in +a way that is adverse to American interests, but to some extent +it encourages them to do so and that puts domestic production +at great risk. We have already heard today about the cost and +what happens to domestic production when prices are running at +somewhere below $15 a barrel. What is happening in Texas is +that we are now at an all-time low for oil rig count. We have +191 oil rigs presently in service compared to 377 at this time +last year. Between February 1998 and 1999, some 9,500 wells in +Texas were plugged. + In the same time period, some 2,200 wells were shut in. So +wells in Texas and across the country have been placed at great +risk because of the impact of Iraqi production on the world +market depressing prices. + And what is the impact in terms of what is happening to +real people? In Texas we have had since December 1997 the loss +of some 11,000 jobs. Unemployment claims in Texas has risen +some 304 percent compared to this time last year. And I might +add that I grew up in the oil patch in Midland--and most people +typically think of folks in the oil business as being, as we +frequently say, a bunch of J.R. Ewings with cowboy boots and +exotic gold cuff links. The oil patch is comprised of a wide +variety of folks; and of those 11,000 folks who have lost jobs, +many of the people who have lost jobs in the oil fields are +Hispanic, and many of the people in the accounting departments +and the personnel departments and the H.R. departments and +otherwise are African-American. This is an industry that +represents the bulk and the diversity of Texas, and it is being +hurt. + What is happening to our schoolchildren? In Texas, about +two-thirds of the 1,000 school districts in the State of Texas +receive some funding from oil and gas revenues, particularly +from ad valorem and tax revenues. Ninety-five of those school +districts receive half of their funding from that source, and +we are estimating in Texas that we lose anywhere from $150 +million to $160 million because of the depressed prices. + This is also affecting those royalty interests owners in +Texas, many of those who are living on fixed incomes who look +for that royalty check each and every month in order to make +payments. But obviously with depressed prices, they are not in +a position to do so. + And so what might be done? While I am the newest member of +the Texas Railroad Commission and have not been around a long +time, I will take the liberty to make some suggestions. And the +first might be that Congress and the administration might press +the United Nations to conduct a thorough investigation to +determine whether the Iraqis, indeed, are using the designated +amount of oil-for-food funds to provide food and medicines and +other necessities for the Iraqi people. + The second thing, frankly, you might look to restructure +the oil-for-food production formula. Currently the cap allows +for $5.26 billion of Iraqi oil production every 6 months +without regard to the number of barrels it would take to reach +that target. And I have heard that this program has never +linked the production to the barrels; and, quite frankly, I +think that would be helpful to do so, so that we would not +encourage overproduction and a depression on prices. + And the third would be that we look at and revisit the +notion of allowing the Iraqis to use the oil-for-food funds in +a way to rebuild Iraq's oil infrastructure. I just want you to +think about the irony of producers in Texas and Oklahoma and +elsewhere who have to look for refinancing and have to find +money and capital in order to go out and work rigs; and we are +providing an opportunity for the Iraqis who are now assisting +in providing the oversupply to the industry. We are providing +dollars for them to buildup and retrofit their infrastructure. + Mr. Chairman and members of the committee, I thank you +again for the opportunity of being with you this morning; and I +stand to answer any questions that you might have. + [The prepared statement of Michael L. Williams follows:] +Prepared Statement of Michael L. Williams, Commissioner, Texas Railroad + Commission + Mr. Chairman, and members of the committee, I appreciate this +opportunity to testify on the impact of the United Nations sponsored +oil-for-food program on our vital national energy interests. For time +purposes, I have summarized my testimony and have submitted additional +written testimony for the record. + Founded in 1891, the Texas Railroad Commission's chief +responsibility is to protect and conserve one of Texas and America's +most precious natural resources: oil. As America's number one producer +of oil, Texas' proper resource management of oil has yielded profound +contributions for both our state and the nation: + + The discovery of crude oil at Spindletop in Beaumont, Texas in + 1901 changed the face of the American transportation industry + and gave way to thousands of oil and related service companies + that have employed untold millions of Americans. + Plentiful supplies of Texas crude oil made possible our modern + automobile industry. World War II may well have taken a + different course. + Allied Forces would not have sailed to victory on a sea of oil + if it were not for Texas' extra production capacity and + Hitler's lack of oil during World War II. + And today, petrochemicals derived from oil and natural gas + have enabled us to create everything from Teflon to + televisions. + Crude oil exploration and production have been central to the +modern industrial age. As we approach the 21st Century, we must +continue to protect and conserve this precious natural resource that +has proven a powerful economic, military, political, and strategic +tool. And with the proper stewardship of the 120 billion barrels of +crude oil still locked underground in Texas, our nation's energy future +could be just as bright. + the iraqi oil-for-food program as presently structured threatens + american interests + The Iraqi oil-for-food program is another matter. The goal of the +program is quite laudable. No Texan would take issue with a responsible +attempt to provide food and medicine for the Iraqi people. Arguably, +there are some serious doubts that the program is actually meeting the +humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people. + U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan, someone who knows the ins-and- +outs of the program, admitted in February, ``Only half of the $540 +million worth of drugs and medical supplies delivered to Iraq since the +program was launched in 1995 have reached hospitals and clinics.'' + The Iraqi oil-for-food program, as presently structured, is adverse +to American interests. It is more than troublesome that Iraq is being +permitted to sell oil and take money out of the pockets of Texas +producers, workers and families at the same time that Iraqi ground +troops are firing at American fighter pilots who are protecting the +``no-fly zone.'' + Moreover, by allowing Iraq to sell $5.26 billion of oil during a +six month period (irrespective of the impact that Iraqi production has +on worldwide crude oil supplies or price), there is no incentive for +Iraq to properly steward its crude oil reserves. Nor is there an +incentive for Iraqis to concern themselves with the harmful impact +their behavior might have on producers worldwide. + Quite the contrary, the oil-for-food program places a premium on +how much money Iraq is allowed to generate rather than how many barrels +of crude oil it is allowed to sell. In so doing, the program encourages +Iraq to sell as much crude oil as possible during the six-month +interval to reach the more than $5 billion mark, with no regard to +price per barrel. Oil for food doesn't just permit Iraq to act in a way +that is adverse to American interests, it encourages it to do so. + While there is no certain number, there appears to be developing a +consensus in the industry, that the amount of excess oil on the world +market is roughly between one and two million barrels a day. That said, +on average, Iraqi oil production accounts for more than 2.3 million +barrels a day. Furthermore, evidence indicates that Saddam may be +illegally exporting an additional 100,000 barrels a day. Even the U.S. +Department of Energy admitted in late 1998, ``[The] increase in Iraqi +oil exports has been playing a significant role in the world oil glut +which is responsible for the sharp decline in world oil prices.'' + We may be dropping bombs on Iraq without visible retaliation; +however, Saddam Hussein is engaged in a clandestine campaign of full- +scale economic terrorism. His conduct is keeping world oil prices low +by pouring even more oil onto an already saturated market under the +guise of the oil-for-food program. + the oversupply of crude oil hurts domestic production + In his letter to Congress earlier this month, President Clinton +stated that ``The United States has expressed its support for [once +again] lifting the cap on Iraqi oil exports under the oil-for-food +program.'' In fact, the Clinton Administration advocates eliminating +the cap. In light of Secretary Annan's recent report, however, that dog +simply won't hunt. + More oil on the already flooded world market would adversely affect +oil prices across the globe. It's Supply and Demand 101: the more +product on the market, the cheaper it is. In the United States where +production costs are relatively high and production is relatively low, +drastic price declines have sent the rig count and production +spiraling. Since last year, U.S. production has fallen by 4.7%. In +Texas, production has fallen by 7.4%. The rig count, the historical +barometer of industry vitality, is down 78% since a year ago. Texas' +rig count has plunged 97% during the same period. + less domestic production means less for texans + The Iraqi people are not the only ones who stand to lose something +under Oil for Food. Texans like the Ryder family from our state's +Permian Basin have seen their lives fall apart during the past year. In +their early fifties, Ronnie Ryder and his wife, Inatte, used to think +retirement might not be so far off. After working in the oil business +for 30 years, Ronnie is now looking for ``any job he can get.'' Inatte +is back in school and working nights at an elderly care facility. +Unfortunately, the Ryder's story doesn't stop there. + Until the price crisis hit, Ronnie's son was working in a +roustabout gang for Phillips Petroleum. Today, with their first child +on the way, Rusty and Priscilla Ryder don't get to spend much time +together as Rusty has been forced to take a job driving trucks cross- +country. I wish the Ryder's story was the exception, but I'm afraid +that in the oil patch, it's become the rule. + The overwhelming majority of producing wells in Texas are marginal +wells--or wells that produce 10 barrels or less per day. Those wells +are placed in jeopardy by low and unstable prices. With profits falling +and the amount of oil on the market increasing, thousands of Texans who +operate marginal wells have been forced to shut in wells--an +irreversible process. When those wells get shut in workers get shut +out. + Economic studies have shown that for each dollar invested in the +oil and gas industry at the wellhead, there is a positive economic +effect of $2.91 on the Texas economy. Without marginal well production, +millions of dollars and thousands of Texas jobs will be severely +impacted. State unemployment will increase, sales tax revenues will +drop, and property tax revenues used to fund schools will plummet. + As the number of producing marginal wells decline because they are +no longer economically viable to produce, royalty and interest owners +are directly impacted by a loss in revenue. Royalty income has +sustained countless families, small farms and ranches and rural towns +for decades. In turn, royalty dollars circulate many times through a +local economy by way of the grocer, the doctor, the pharmacist, small +shops, retail stores, and service providers. In many rural communities +people are dependent on royalty payments for their daily existence. +Shutting in or reducing marginal well production could mean financial +devastation to some. + The importance of marginal well production and its rippling effect +on the state economy is reinforced in a recent article published by the +Texas Workforce Commission. According to their December 1998 +publication of the Texas Labor Market Review, mining (oil & gas +extraction) continued its trend of declining employment and loss of +jobs. The article states that persistently low crude oil prices are +placing tremendous pressure on mining employment counts and are +affecting other industries that support drilling and explorations +activities in Texas. Employment in all three of the major industries +within the goods producing sector (mining, construction, and +manufacturing) declined in December, for a total loss of 2,400 jobs. As +of January 1999 release, mining was suffering the seventh straight +month of declining employment. Employment estimates in the mining +sector alone decreased from 169,300 in January 1998 to 160,600 for +January 1999--a 75% decrease of some 8,700 jobs. Additional workforce +impact information can be found on the Texas Workforce Commission web +site at www.twc.state.tx.us. + Low oil prices are also taking a toll on Texas' greatest resource: +our children. It is estimated that Texas' statewide Fiscal Year 2000 +school district losses will be between $150-$160 million. The impact is +already been being felt by many cities and counties across our state as +jobs are lost, related services are cut, and state and local revenues +plunge. I think David Goodman, superintendent of Andrews Independent +School District in West Texas summed it up best when he asked, ``Do you +know of any businesses that could stand to lose one-third of its +operating budget and still open its doors the next year?'' + The Texas Comptroller's Office recently surveyed appraisal +districts and contract firms that appraise oil and gas reserves for +property tax purposes. Although the appraisals are not complete, the +appraisers' consensus is that oil properties will decline in value from +January 1, 1998 to January 1, 1999 by about 40% and gas properties will +decline about 15%. In school districts where oil and gas reserves +comprise more than $250 million, these value losses were translated +into property tax levy losses and are available on the Comptroller's +web site at www.window.state.tx.us/taxinfo/proptax/levyloss.html. + According to the American Petroleum Institute, at least 51,000 +Americans have lost their jobs since December of 1997 because of low +oil prices--nearly 9,000 of them are in Texas. Compared to a year ago, +oil-related unemployment claims are up 304%. Contrary to the impression +left by popular culture, those are not men and women who wear exotic +cowboy boots and wear gold watches. Rather, they are Americans like you +and me, like the Ryders with real car payments, real mortgages, and +real families to feed. + what to do + Like the families of America's steelworkers or farmers, oil +families are suffering in ways that they have not felt before. And, +like we have to the steel and farming industries, we should reach out +and correct policies like Oil for Food that make bad times even worse. +For the sake of American families and schoolchildren, the oil-for-food +program should be revisited and restructured. To that end, I would urge +you to consider the following. + + First, Congress and the Administration might press the United + Nations to conduct a thorough investigation to determine + whether Iraq is using the designated amount of oil-for-food + funds to provide food and medicines for the Iraqi people. + According to U.S. National Security Adviser Sandy Burger, + ``Saddam is so indifferent to the suffering of his people that + he still refuses to make full use of this allowance.'' + Secondly, while the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people + might necessitate additional revenues, we should seek to insure + that any attempt to eliminate the crude oil production cap + takes into account and does not exacerbate the negative impact + that additional Iraqi production might have on domestic + producers. + Third, the United States should call on the United Nations to + revise the resolution so that oil-for-food funds are not used + to rebuild Iraq's oil infrastructure. Common sense says that it + is not in the United States' best interest to rebuild a + competitor's economic and industrial arsenal. + Fourth, we should urge the United Nations to restructure the + oil-for-food production formula. Currently, the cap allows for + $5.26 billion dollars of Iraqi oil production every six months + without regard to the number of barrels it would take to reach + that target. Nor does it take into account the impact Iraqi + production has on world oil prices. During every six-month + period the U.N. should designate the number of barrels of oil + Iraq would be allowed to produce to reach a designated revenue + target. We must urge that the target be placed at a level that + neither fosters price instability nor that is harmful to the + preservation of domestic production. + Fifth, members of Congress from producing and non-producing + states should band together--as they have recently for other + vital U.S. industries--to boycott the sale of Iraqi oil within + the United States, thereby mitigating the insult to our men and + women in uniform stationed in the Persian Gulf and working in + the oil patch. + It's a disgrace that hard-working Texans have been forced to bear +the brunt of a skewed foreign policy that does more harm than good. +Congress and the Clinton Administration should revisit and revise the +United State's support of the oil-for-food program as it stands--if not +for our oil producers, for the sake of the coming addition to the Ryder +family. + ______ + + Railroad Commission of Texas + Austin, Texas + March 22, 1999 +The Honorable Joe Barton +2264 Rayburn House Office Building +Washington, D.C. 20515 + Dear Mr. Barton, there's a clear and urgent need to evaluate our +nation's domestic energy policy. Texas Railroad Commissioner Michael +Williams will testify before the House Subcommittee on Energy and Power +on Friday, March 26th. He'll offer his insight into our nation's +domestic energy policy and the U.N.-sponsored ``Oil for Food'' program +with Iraq. I want you to know that as Chairman of the Railroad +Commission of Texas, I'm in complete support of Commissioner Williams' +testimony. + When the energy industry in Texas suffers, we all feel its effects +through decreased state revenues and fewer dollars for our state's +public schools. The Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts estimates that +with every dollar drop in the price of oil, approximately 10,000 Texas +jobs are lost. Lower prices and an increasing dependence on foreign oil +means many of those jobs are going abroad. These losses are +particularly staggering when you consider that the U.S. already imports +more than 50% of the oil we use, placing our nation more and more at +the mercy of foreign--and often unfriendly--governments. + In Texas, Governor George W. Bush recently signed emergency +legislation that gives certain oil and gas producers temporary +exemptions from severance taxes when prices fall below set levels. It's +not a silver bullet, but it's a step in the right direction and shows +that Texas is committed to helping one of our state's most important +industries. Now it's time for Washington to step up to the plate for +domestic producers. + The Independent Petroleum Association of America will hold Crude +Awakening rallies in Washington, D.C., Austin, Texas and across the +nation this week where members will sign the ``Oil Price Crisis Relief +Resolution.'' The IPAA and its members make it very clear: the federal +government needs to respond to this downturn in prices. The resolution +states that Washington should support the filling of the Strategic +Petroleum Reserve (SPR), get behind a reduction of taxes on marginal +wells, work to encourage domestic production, investigate improper +trade practices in the U.S. market by foreign suppliers, and offer much +needed regulatory reform for the industry. + Your actions in the coming weeks will show just how committed +Washington is to a strong domestic energy policy. It's more than simple +economics. It's an issue of critical importance for our national +security. With best wishes, I am, + Sincerely, + Tony Garza + Chairman + + Mr. Barton. We thank you, Mr. Williams. The Chair is going +to recognize himself for 5 minutes. We are going to be very +flexible. We have got four members here. We are going to use +the 5-minute rule, but we are going to give additional time and +probably do additional questions; and if people want to +interrupt, that is fine. + If the staff would put the first chart there, the EIA, the +Iraq crude oil production chart. Let's put that back up on the +easel. + I want to start off--this is off of the CNN news line that +we get on the Internet: March 4, the headline is ``British jets +attack Iraqis in the southern no-fly zone.'' March 6, ``U.S. +launches new attacks in Iraq no-fly zone.'' March 14, ``U.S. +jets strike at Iraqi northern no-fly zone.'' March 15, ``U.S. +war planes attack Iraq's northern no-fly zone.'' March 16, +``Iraq breaks sanctions by flying pilgrims to Saudi Arabia.'' +March 17, ``Sanctions-busting Iraqi pilgrims snub no-fly zone +rules again.'' + This chart shows that right before the Kuwaiti invasion by +Iraq, they were producing about 3.5 million barrels. Once the +invasion occurred and President Bush declared that would not +stand, their production fell to about 500,000 barrels per day. +And then when the oil-for-food program began in January or late +November 1996, it started ratcheting back up; and it is +currently up to 2.6 million barrels a day. + Mr. Wood, does the State Department dispute any of those +figures? + Mr. Wood. I don't believe we do. + Mr. Barton. Okay. If it is true that Mr. Hakes' statement +that they--I mean, at least before the invasion they were +producing for a short spike period up to 3.5 million. But I +believe, Mr. Hakes, you said you don't believe they could get +much higher than what they are doing right now? + Mr. Hakes. They would need a lot more spare parts and +capital development to repair the equipment to get back up to +that level. + Mr. Barton. So for all intents and purposes, is it fair to +say that we are allowing Iraq to produce as much oil as they +are capable of producing? Is that a fair statement? + Mr. Wood. It is certainly true at the moment, yes, sir. + Mr. Barton. I can only characterize the current policy, +after listening very intently and scanning the testimony, that +our Iraqi policy is designed to maximize Iraqi production at +the expense of the marginal producer in the United States, +which is a small independent oil and gas producer. And I don't, +quite frankly, think that makes a lot of sense. Do you disagree +that if it is not the intent, that is the effect of this +policy, Mr. Wood? + Mr. Wood. The intent of the policy, sir, is to maximize +international support for the continued isolation and +containment of Iraq. + Mr. Barton. And it seems to be working really well. +``Sanctions-busting Iraqi pilgrims snub no-fly zone rules +again.'' Now, that is not some political headline. That is the +CNN news line March 17, 1999. Could you explain to me how these +sanctions are working when Iraq can produce as much oil as they +are capable of, regardless of the price; they can fly pilgrims +to wherever they want to in the world; they have thrown our +inspectors out. So please explain to me and the American people +how effective these sanctions are. I think the sanctions are +driving constituents in the oil producing States with marginal +producers out of business. I think that is what the sanctions +are doing. + Mr. Wood. Mr. Chairman, there is no question that Iraq is, +as it always has, resisting sanctions implementation. At the +same time, first, the sanctions are being very effective in +controlling Iraqi exports and the revenues that come from those +exports. + Mr. Barton. But the only export they have, Mr. Wood, is +oil. Maybe some olives, I don't know. + Mr. Wood. I understand and we are controlling with a high +degree of confidence where the revenues from those exports go. + Mr. Barton. I see. + Mr. Wood. We are also--we are preventing, through this +regime, the use of those revenues for the purposes that Saddam +Hussein would most like to use them for. + Mr. Barton. Let me ask this question, because my first 5 +minutes is about out. Where did this determination that they +needed $5.2 billion every 6 months come from? Who made that +determination? + Mr. Wood. That was the result of an extensive United +Nations study that was completed in February 1998, I think. + Mr. Barton. And did the Iraqi government have any input +into that study? + Mr. Wood. The Iraqi government refused to cooperate with +that study in large part. It was conducted, for the most part, +by organizations like the World Food Program and others. + Mr. Barton. Okay. Now, do we have any confidence that the +food that is being purchased is actually getting to the Iraqi +people? + Mr. Wood. We do have, obviously, some problems. The papers +reported very recently that the Iraqis were--that the +government was not distributing medicines, for instance, that +were supposed to be distributed. But at the same time, we know +that Iraq has imported an average of 3.8 billion metric tons of +food a year, which is more than 50 percent higher than the +annual average for the 6 years prior to the program's +implementation. + We know that the malnutrition rate in the government- +controlled south has stabilized over the past year at about 15 +percent for infants and 25 percent for children between 1 and 4 +years of age; and that is an improvement over the previous +years. We know that UNICEF reports that malnutrition in the +north for the Kurds has dropped--for children under 5 has +dropped to 25 percent last year from 30 percent in 1997 and 37 +percent in 1994. + So we have got some clear indications that the goal of the +oil-for-food program, which is to take care of the Iraqi +population in spite of Saddam Hussein's intentions, is being +achieved. + Mr. Barton. Now, is it true--one of my briefing papers said +that Saddam Hussein has refused to let any of this money be +spent on food that is purchased or manufactured in the United +States. Is that true? + Mr. Wood. That is only true very recently, sir. + Mr. Barton. But it is true right now? + Mr. Wood. Right, it is true. We have under the oil-for-food +program roughly $240 million of U.S. products have been +purchased, of which---- + Mr. Barton. I want you all to listen to this. This program +has been in effect since what, November 1996? + Mr. Wood. Right. + Mr. Barton. And we allow up to $5 billion every 6 months, +so that is potentially $10 billion a year. So that is +potentially maybe $12, $13 billion since we are just into 1999; +but I am told that it has not been that much. We have spent how +many billions of dollars? Do you know the exact number? I am +going to guess it is $8 or $9 billion, but I don't know that. + Mr. Wood. Well, it is important to remember again that the +proceeds for the oil-for-food, a large part of it, a third of +it goes to the compensation commission to compensate Kuwaitis +for their losses--Kuwaitis, Americans, and others for their +losses during the Gulf War. So not all of that program goes for +the purchase of food. + Mr. Barton. Give me your best number for how much of the +billions of dollars that they have collected has been spent on +food that actually went into Iraq. + Mr. Wood. Our best understanding is that $902 million have +been approved for food. + Mr. Barton. Only $902 million? + Mr. Wood. Let me keep going. $172 million for health. + Mr. Barton. Let's just focus on food right now. A little +less than a billion dollars on food? Is that your best number? + Mr. Wood. That is right. + Mr. Barton. Less than a billion, and of that billion, $240 +million was purchased from the United States sources? + Mr. Wood. That is right. + Mr. Barton. Okay. Well, I think I could equate that to how +many jobs have been lost and how many millions of barrels of +production have been lost in the United States. But that would +be hitting a little bit below the belt. But I think you get my +drift. + Mr. Hall is recognized for 5 minutes. + Mr. Hall. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Williams, I will +start with you. You have--one of your cures for the dilemma is +that we get the U.N. to do some searching and see what is +happening with the food when it gets there, who it goes to. I +know you are highly educated, and I also know that you have got +an awful lot of street sense, street smarts. Doesn't your +street sense tell you that if they couldn't find the dang +nuclear plants, that they are going to have a hard time +catching those guys stealing that food? + Mr. Williams. It probably does and it should. The import of +that suggestion goes to the fact that we need to have--someone +needs to do the investigation and make the---- + Mr. Hall. You pointed out by your answer now the dilemma +that we are in. And my thrust probably is going to be to see +what we can do to kill the policy. I don't think it is a good +policy. I don't think it is a sensible policy. We used the +Space Station for foreign policy and wound up putting money +galore into Russia; and still apparently we are not saving the +Space Station. Here we are using food-for-oil as another-- +really a kind of a--I don't know why we would try to have a +good foreign policy with Iraq, but apparently somehow we are +trying to keep our foot in the door. + It seems to me--I am not saying cut all the trees and kill +all the whales and everything is bad and we ought to disconnect +everybody in the world. But I don't see any sense in dealing +with Iraq. I don't like to starve children, but war is war; and +we are in a state of war with those people. We are bombing them +probably today or tonight or tomorrow or whenever we are going +to. + Mr. Wood, what do you mean by saying you are controlling +where the revenue goes? That thought occurred to me--I heard +you say that a moment ago. Where does the revenue go? I will +come back to you, Mr. Williams. + Mr. Wood. As I indicated, the revenue goes into an escrow +account that is only released for authorized purposes. + Mr. Hall. Now, this is food for oil. + Mr. Barton. But it is really not food for oil. That is what +is so frustrating about this. They have collected somewhere +between $5 and $6 billion and they have spent a little less +than a billion on food. So it is called food for oil, but it is +really not food for oil. + Mr. Wood. Let me correct what I said earlier because I was +giving you the most recent statistics. Since the beginning of +the program, a total of $2.75 billion has been used to purchase +food. Over $500 million has been used to purchase medicine and +$400 million for supplies in areas of water, sanitation, +electricity, and education projects. + Mr. Barton. So that gets us up to about $3 billion, but a +little over $2.5 billion for food? + Mr. Wood. And, again, don't forget the oil-for-food program +has only been at the $5.2 billion level for a year or so. + Mr. Barton. Right. I am going to give Mr. Hall additional +time; and I don't want to dominate this, but that infuriates +me. This study that was done apparently was done with a great +degree of effort to find out what the true needs were, but you +have doubled the program; and the population of Iraq has not +doubled in the last year. I mean, I can draw no conclusion to +that, sir, but that that is just a pure political judgment on +behalf of the bureaucrats in the United Nations to appease +Saddam Hussein. I may be wrong, and the studies may show it +different; but if the first study was an accurate study, the +Iraqi population is not that fertile that they are expanding +the population so greatly that they need to double the amount +of flood and supplies that they need. But, Mr. Hall? + Mr. Hall. Go ahead and get your answer from him. + Mr. Wood. Mr. Chairman, I think that the easiest example I +can give you is that OPEC has just cut back its sale of oil. + Mr. Barton. Yes, they did. And Iraq did not and Iraq is a +member of OPEC. + Mr. Wood. This is following in December Baghdad's call for +the overthrow of the regime of Saudi Arabia and the leadership +in some of the other Persian Gulf OPEC members. + Mr. Barton. Which have the full faith and credit of the +United States of America to guarantee that this will not happen +by military means. + Mr. Wood. I understand. But the OPEC nations themselves +believed it was better for them to cut back their oil sales +than to seek a reduction in the oil-for-food program. And the +reason for that, we believe, is a combination of humanitarian +concern for people of Iraq and the recognition that taking care +of the humanitarian needs of the people of Iraq is an absolute +prerequisite to maintaining the integrity of sanctions +implementation and to returning, as we hope will occur soon, +the weapons-of-mass-destruction inspectors and the other +elements of the policy for containing Iraq. + Mr. Barton. Well, hopes are one thing, sir, but reality is +another. And I don't believe anybody on this subcommittee +opposes providing in some way food and medicine for the people +of Iraq. That is not the message we are sending. But it really +does not appear, so far as this hearing is going along, that +that is what is happening. And with all due respect, I don't +think appeasement works; and I don't think it works with Saddam +Hussein, and I would disagree with the collective wisdom of the +OPEC nations to think it is okay to appease Saddam Hussein and +let him produce as much oil as he wants. + Mr. Hall, I have used almost your entire 5 minutes, so I +will give you another 5 minutes. We will give you an additional +2 or 3 minutes. + Mr. Hall. You are the Chairman. It makes a difference. + Mr. Barton. I am just a little riled up about this. + Mr. Hall. To reclaim my 7 minutes--and you have covered +some of the ground I wanted to cover, and of course we have +talked about the economic advantages that the Iraqi government +and Saddam Hussein has taken. I think, Mr. Hakes, you can tell +us another advantage that he has taken. Our research and +development expert from Randall and Dewey, Dave Bole, is going +to be testifying in a little bit; but we have read his +testimony and he has indicated that not only do the Iraqis have +this advantage, the two advantages that the Chairman drew out +there, they have also made Iraq the swing oil producer, have +they not, in that whole part of the country? + Mr. Hakes. Not as I understand that term. + Mr. Hall. Well, let me tell you how I understand the term. +It may be wrong. They sell the last barrel into the market. And +doesn't that define the market price? + Mr. Hakes. Well, everybody that sells into the market is in +a sense selling the last barrel. + Mr. Hall. The last seller getting the most price for it. + Mr. Hakes. The swing producer, as I have normally seen it +used, is referred to Saudi Arabia who has the ability to raise +and lower production because they have more excess capacity +than they use. + Mr. Hall. They have a bigger hole in their well than +anybody else. + Mr. Hakes. Right. For instance, a year ago before they made +these cuts, they still had the capacity to almost immediately +increase production by 2 billion barrels; and they also have +been more willing to cut back. So they sort of have been the +only swing producer that is able to raise and lower. The Iraqis +don't have any ability right now to go above the 2.5. + Mr. Barton. But they do have the ability to go below 2.5. + Mr. Hakes. As does any producer. + Mr. Barton. I mean, there is no structural impediment to +the Iraqis reducing their oil production if they wanted to. + Mr. Hakes. Right. Particularly the state-owned companies +have that option if they are willing to. + Mr. Barton. And all the oil in Iraq is state owned. + Mr. Hakes. Right. I think the four or five largest +companies in the world right now are state-owned companies +including Iraq. + Mr. Hall. Mr. Hakes, to where we are on the same line, his +testimony will be--it says, ``Let me explain what allows Iraq +to become the swing producer.'' I guess that is why we ran +across that. ``Currently many industry analysts estimate that +worldwide oil productive capacity that is, production that +could quickly be added to the world market exceeds demand by +only about 4 percent.'' And says, ``This increase has allowed +Iraq to become the world's swing producer, the producer that +sells the last barrels into the market and thereby defines the +market for the entire market.'' Is that not your understanding +of what a swing producer is? + Mr. Hakes. No. + Mr. Hall. Okay. I am sorry that I hadn't set that out for +you. + Mr. Hakes. I have heard that discussed, but I am not sure +that is the way it works. + Mr. Hall. That is a good thing to allude to. Call it +whatever type producer you want to; he in the position of +selling the last and defining the market. + Mr. Hakes. The market is set by all producers and all +buyers. + Mr. Hall. In diamonds or whatever. + Mr. Barton. Mr. Hall, could you ask one more question and +then let us go to Mr. Shimkus. We will come back and give you +additional time after the other three. + Mr. Hall. I would like to just ask a quick yes-or-no from +Mr. Wood. Are we the only Nation supporting the oil-for-food +program? + Mr. Wood. By no means, sir. + Mr. Hall. A number of other nations? With Iraq? + Mr. Wood. Absolutely, sir. Both in the Security Council and +around the world. + Mr. Hall. You have answered. What would be the impact on +our foreign policy and our relations with our allies if the +U.S. were to successfully push for an end to the oil-for-food +program? + Mr. Wood. We believe that the sanctions, all of the +programs aimed at containment of Iraq, would be seriously +eroded. While we retain the ability within the Security Council +to veto any legal change in these programs, we believe that +their observance by other nations would erode quickly. We would +face growing international pressure to lift sanctions. We would +have less support for a hard line on maintaining inspections of +Iraq's weapons-of-mass-destruction programs. We believe that +this would seriously weaken our ability to take a tough line +with Iraq while we are pursuing the other track--the two other +tracks, which are the enforcement of the no-fly zones and our +efforts to replace the regime of Saddam Hussein. + Mr. Hall. Last question. Are you all talking to the oil +producers about the impact it has on them? + Mr. Wood. Absolutely, sir. And I might add---- + Mr. Hall. Are you listening to them? + Mr. Wood. We are, sir. Oman was one of the original +sponsors in the United Nations of the first oil-for-food +program proposal back in the early 1990's. + Mr. Barton. Could I just--Mr. Hakes and Mr. Wood, before we +go to Mr. Shimkus, are either one of you aware of any other +Nation in the world that is permanently shutting in production +that will never come back as a result of this program? You say +that the other nations support the program. I am not aware of +any other nation in the world that has the marginal-well +situation like we have in the United States that is being +permanently lost because of this. Are there other nations? + Mr. Hakes. I am not as familiar with--Canada might possibly +have some, but I would agree with the drift of your question +that the United States is in a rather unique position on this +issue. + Mr. Barton. I am told we have lost about 600,000 barrels a +day just within the last year. It is never going to come back. + Mr. Hakes. The December-to-December figures going to +December 1998, we had lost about 500,000 barrels a day; and it +is higher than that now, I am sure; and there is also a leg +effect because it discourages new investments, and sometimes +that doesn't show up in production losses that you otherwise +would have had. + Mr. Barton. So with the exception of Canada, when the +deputy under special assistant secretary talks about the rest +of the world supporting this program, it is really the domestic +small oil and gas producer in the United States that is +supporting it by losing their job and losing their resources. +There is no other---- + Mr. Hakes. The point, I think, is very valid that the small +producers have a very limited ability to come back once they +are shut down. In other words, when the price goes down like +this and then the price goes back up, that won't necessarily +bring those--a higher price won't necessarily bring all of +those producers back. + Mr. Barton. I want to correct the record. It is the +principal assistant deputy secretary. I am not trying to be +facetious about that, sir. + Mr. Shimkus. + Mr. Shimkus. Mr. Chairman, I yield my time to my colleague +from Oklahoma so he can catch his plane. + Mr. Largent. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Wood, I am +reading in your testimony that we got at 9:30 this morning. The +second paragraph says that the administration's policy is to +contain Saddam Hussein until he can be removed from power. It +sounds to me that it is the administration's policy to sustain +Saddam Hussein until he can be removed from power, and I want +to make a statement and get you to respond to it. + As I have studied history throughout the world, the most +motivating thing--if you want to foment change in a country, +hunger is the most motivating factor to foment political change +that we are trying to see in Iraq. And yet we are moving in the +opposite direction. Would you like to comment on that? I mean, +I am striking at the very fundamental policy decision that is +being made. + And I want to say, too, just parenthetically here, that I +understand that if we can see this change take place and we get +a new regime in there and Iraq comes back on with their oil +production and begins increasing their oil production, that we +are in the same boat. So what I am really talking about is a +foreign policy decision that currently is affecting independent +producers; but if we are successful in our foreign policy, we +still have the same problem that we have to deal with, and I +understand that. So don't think that I am saying--or anybody up +here is saying that the problem that we are having in Oklahoma +is all because of our foreign policy. But this foreign policy +is important, and I am just thinking that we are doing the +exact opposite of what we need to be doing if our policy goal +is to remove Saddam Hussein from power. + Mr. Wood. We certainly agree with you that this is a very +important foreign policy, and, indeed, in fact there is no +issue on which the Secretary of State and our people in New +York and others spend more time. + It is not our assessment that withholding humanitarian +assistance under the oil-for-food program would be a better way +to drive out Saddam Hussein. And I might add that it is not his +assessment either. He has not cooperated with this program. In +spite of the program, he has tried to keep food from his +population. He has tried to keep medicine from his population. +That is why we received these press reports a month ago. He +finds it more useful to blame the world for the poverty and the +malnutrition and the unhappiness of his own people than to +allow them to be adequately nourished. + He has consistently failed to cooperate with the oil-for- +food program. He sees it as a threat. He does not see it as a +bolster for his regime, and in this assessment, frankly, we +agree with him. + Mr. Barton. If he really felt that, he wouldn't have to +sell any oil. If that were literally a true statement, he would +refuse to let his state-owned oil company sell any oil. So it +can't be true. + Mr. Wood. During the life of the program, Saddam Hussein +has interrupted the flow of oil on several occasions for +periods of more than a month at a time. And, again, it is +because his assessment is that--we believe that his assessment +is that the world will take responsibility for his population +even if he won't. And that may extend, as it has in some cases, +to proposals to lift sanctions. + Mr. Largent. So in this world, we literally cannot force +Saddam Hussein to do anything, including allow us to inspect +weapons sites. We cannot force him to not fly in the no-fly +zone. But what we can do, what we have been effective in doing +is forcing food on him. Is that what you are telling us? That +is the one thing that we have been effective in doing is +forcing food on him when he didn't want it? + Mr. Wood. I would have to say that I don't think that he is +happy with what is happening in the no-fly zones. + Mr. Largent. Who distributes the food under this program? + Mr. Wood. The Iraqi regime distributes it in the south +under U.N. monitoring, and the U.N. itself distributes it in +the north. + Mr. Largent. And where in the pecking order does the +Republican Guard fall in? Who gets fed first? + Mr. Wood. Again, I think that they are--they tend to be +less malnourished than anybody else to begin with. + Mr. Largent. I think so. We are making them fat. + Mr. Wood. I am not saying that it is the U.N. that is +feeding them. I am not saying that it is this program that is +feeding them. They have always been cared for better than the +population at large. + Mr. Largent. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Mr. Barton. We have been everywhere liberal in the use of +time. I have consumed probably three times my 5 minutes, so if +you have some additional questions. + Mr. Largent. It just seems to me that the administration's +policy or our foreign policy in this issue right now is that we +want to overthrow this evil empire, but we don't want to make +anybody mad doing it. I don't understand that. That just really +baffles me. We are going to kill them with kindness. + Mr. Hall. Will the gentleman yield? + Mr. Largent. Yes, sir. + Mr. Hall. Does it ever occur to you that we won't ask +ourselves the question of whatever happened to consorting with +the enemy? You know, they used to shoot you for that. I think +it is a sorry policy, and I think this is a sorry program. And +I think you are bringing it out very well. So give him 7 more +minutes. + Mr. Largent. I will yield back, Mr. Chairman. + Mr. Barton. Mr. Shimkus, do you want to reclaim original +order or do you want me to go to Mr. Burr? + Mr. Shimkus. I would rather go original order, unless Mr. +Burr has a pressing---- + Mr. Barton. Mr. Burr's plane is not until 4:15. + Mr. Shimkus. I imagine mine is too, or close to it. + Mr. Wood, I am sorry that I missed the initial fireworks, +so welcome. And we are learning a lot, and I appreciate you +being here, along with the other panelists. But it seems like +you are getting the brunt of the fire right now. + I am trying to follow up on a statement that you said that +our allies want this program and they are willing to curtail +their own production while allowing Saddam Hussein to produce +more, both on the food-to-oil program and through the black +market, thus undercutting their prices on the world market. Our +allies support this policy? + Mr. Wood. What I am saying is that we have not received +approaches from OPEC nations, and in particular the Gulf OPEC +nations, seeking to curtail the oil-for-food program. Just the +opposite. They have indicated strong support for the oil-for- +food program. + Mr. Barton. Would the gentleman yield on that? + Mr. Shimkus. I will. + Mr. Barton. Surely you have got people in the State +Department that understand if we drive the American marginal +producer out of production, it helps every producer in the +Middle East over time. And Iraq is part of OPEC. So they are +crying with crocodile tears when they support this because +every marginal well in Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Illinois, +West Virginia, California, Colorado, on and on and on that goes +out of production is never coming back. And their wells in the +Middle East are there just waiting to resume production. Surely +you all understand that. Do you? + Mr. Wood. Yes, I mean--I am certainly not an expert in our +domestic oil industry, but it is obvious from the testimony +here today, and from your own comments, sir, that marginal +wells once shut down stay shut down. + Mr. Shimkus. Maybe that message ought to get back to the +State Department. + Mr. Wood. It will. + Mr. Shimkus. Following up on a question I asked to my +colleague, Wes, from Oklahoma--and you have kind of +elaborated--but you said an escrow--how do we know that the +revenue from the oil-for-food program is going for food only? +Mr. Watkins said that it is going to an Iraqi bank account. You +mentioned an escrow. What bank or banks is this money flowing +to, and who controls the account? + Mr. Wood. I am not sure what--I am told that, I think, it +is Banque Nationale of Paris, one of the world's largest and +most reputable. Let me just say, though, that within the oil- +for-food program there are a series of checks and maybe it +would be useful if I went through those. + A U.N. contractor monitors outflow of Iraqi oil through +pipelines. This does not mean that there is not a smuggling +problem. I will get to that in a second because we are trying +to address that. + Then roughly 50 employees of another contractor, a Swiss +company, are stationed at the four points of entry for products +that are allowed. And they are responsible for verifying the +arrival of humanitarian goods. Within Iraq itself, the U.N. +Office of the Iraq Program has roughly 150 inspectors whose job +it is to ensure that the goods sent into Iraq under our oil for +food reach their proper destinations. There are 50 sector +observers and 50 geographic observers and 20 of sort of a +multidisciplinary unit. + That is how distribution within a particular southern part +is tracked. Every contract is approved--every contract is +approved by the sanctions committee, of which we are a member. +We review every contract. We approve every contract. + In addition, UNSCOM, the weapons-inspection agency, when it +is functioning--and I admit it is not functioning now--but when +it is functioning, they also receive reports of all imports +into Iraq and do their own analysis as to whether or not there +is any diversion away from the intended---- + Mr. Shimkus. But that is not being done now, so there could +be diversions? + Mr. Wood. And as a result, we on the sanctions committee +are being more scrupulous in the contracts that we are allowing +to go through. So there is an offset there. Maybe--that is the +general framework. + Mr. Shimkus. Okay. So you would take--so you would not +accept Congressman Watkins' premise that there is no control of +the money and that the money is going totally for the needs of +the food and the medicine? + Mr. Wood. Sir, I would never say totally. I would say with +a high degree of confidence, we are absolutely sure that the +vast, vast majority of this revenue is going for what it is---- + Mr. Shimkus. Does State Department believe that money is +fungible? + Mr. Wood. Yes, sir. + Mr. Shimkus. In other words, that if this money is being +used to feed the populous and the medicine needs, then that is +saving revenue for the Iraqi government to fully feed the Guard +and also the people in high places and authority? + Mr. Wood. That is true. However, Iraq is under the most +sweeping sanctions regime in the history of the world. And it +is not clear where they will develop new hard currency in order +to buy imports, in order to do that. + Now, we have talked about the smuggling program; and this +continues to be a problem. There has been smuggling of gas oil +products through the Gulf; and we estimate that that has been +reduced from roughly 55,000 barrels a day a year ago to +approximately 5,000 barrels per day now. And we have done this +through a combination of third-party pressure on Iran, which is +where the smuggling was destined; the bombing of the Basrah oil +refinery which was responsible for producing this oil; and +through the activities of the maritime interception force and +other activities there. So there is a dramatic decrease in that +smuggling. + Trade through Turkey we also believe has decreased +significantly by about 50 percent. We estimate that the current +trade is roughly 20,000 barrels per day compared to 45,000 +barrels a day a year ago. We are continuing to work hard with +Turkey on reducing this. + So much for the good news. The bad news is that there seems +to be a growing illicit trade through Syria, and we are looking +into that; but I assure you that we take the smuggling problem +seriously. We take--it is of particular concern because it is +the way of raising hard currency for use by the Iraqi regime, +which is not under our control. It is the principal way that +they can raise hard currency that is not under our control. And +what they can buy with hard currency are things that we don't +want them to buy. + Mr. Shimkus. I would love to follow this line of +questioning more, but I want to go to my last one. And this is +a little bit more touchy and generic. + How can we as a Nation continue to follow the line of the +U.N. position that gives us the authority to patrol the no-fly +zone, to do the oil-for-food program, when we are now engaged +in activities in Kosovo without any negotiation of the United +Nations, no U.N. Security Council. Do you not think that we are +now in a position of not legitimizing our presence in that +region under the U.N. when we have totally disregarded U.N. +negotiations in our current activities? + Mr. Wood. I think I would make a couple of quick points. +First, our policy is to pursue U.S. objectives. And to the +degree that the U.N. assists us to do that, it is a valuable +tool in the---- + Mr. Shimkus. It is a U.N. no-fly zone. It is not a U.S. no- +fly zone. + Mr. Wood. The no-fly zone is carried out within the +framework of U.N. resolutions. They are not explicitly +authorized by U.N. resolutions. + Mr. Shimkus. Is it a U.N. no-fly zone or a U.S. no-fly +zone? + Mr. Wood. Again, the no-fly zones were put in place +following the Gulf War after Saddam Hussein began to attack his +own people---- + Mr. Shimkus. Who authorized it? + Mr. Wood. It is not authorized explicitly in any U.N. +resolution, but it is within the framework of U.N. resolutions +that calls upon nations to assist--to help prevent Iraq from +brutalizing its own population. But there is nothing--but the +pilots of the no-fly zones don't wear blue helmets. They don't +fly U.N. planes. There is no U.N. chain of commands whatsoever. +That is a green-hatted operation. + Mr. Barton. What is a green hat? + Mr. Wood. It is under the national chain of command. + Mr. Shimkus. So go ahead and continue with the answer, +then. + Mr. Wood. Again, we utilize the United Nations, as every +nation does---- + Mr. Shimkus. No, we don't. We haven't in our recent +activities in Kosovo. We pick and choose when we need to use +the U.N. and when we do not. + Mr. Wood. We certainly believe that our actions in Kosovo +are entirely in keeping with international law. There is, in +fact, a vote taking place just about now, I hope, in the +Security Council on a resolution to be introduced by Russia +criticizing the NATO action. And we believe that it will fail +both for lack of votes and because it will have no fewer than +three vetoes on it. So we will have to see. + Mr. Barton. We will have to reclaim somewhat regular order +so that we can let Mr. Burr get a question in. Mr. Burr is +recognized for 5 minutes. + Mr. Burr. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Wood, just keep that +mike next to you. I want to ask you about your testimony. Did +you really mean it when you said you are pleased to be here +today? + Mr. Wood. Absolutely, sir. + Mr. Burr. Did you write this testimony? + Mr. Wood. No, sir. + Mr. Burr. When were you told that you were testifying in +front of this committee? + Mr. Wood. Wednesday, sir. + Mr. Burr. Who told you? + Mr. Wood. I was asked if I was available to do it. + Mr. Burr. Who asked you? + Mr. Wood. Our normal legislative---- + Mr. Burr. Name? + Mr. Wood. I don't think I have a name. + Mr. Burr. You don't know who asked you? + Mr. Wood. I can't recall, sir. + Mr. Burr. Who would have approved it? + Mr. Wood. My boss approved it. + Mr. Burr. Your boss is who? + Mr. Wood. Assistant Secretary Welch. + Mr. Burr. Did he write your testimony? + Mr. Wood. No. + Mr. Burr. Who wrote your testimony? + Mr. Wood. It was written in our office. + Mr. Burr. Who did that? + Mr. Wood. Some of the people behind me, but---- + Mr. Burr. When did you read it? + Mr. Wood [continuing]. I take full responsibility for it. + Mr. Burr. When did you read your testimony for the first +time? + Mr. Wood. Wednesday evening. + Mr. Burr. Did you have the ability to change your +testimony? + Mr. Wood. Yes, sir. + Mr. Burr. Did your boss sign off on your testimony? + Mr. Wood. He reviewed it. He didn't sign off on it. + Mr. Barton. Who is your direct supervisor? + Mr. Wood. Assistant Secretary Welch. + Mr. Burr. Is he the final sign-off on it, or did it have to +go somewhere else? + Mr. Wood. It had to be cleared fairly widely. + Mr. Burr. To what degree, as far as the hierarchy at State? + Mr. Wood. Well, because it reflected--because the principal +task in writing it was to update the testimony that I think has +been mentioned here earlier that Under Secretary Pickering gave +in the Senate, there was a wide, wide clearance. + Mr. Barton. Would the gentleman yield? + Mr. Burr. Let me make one statement, and I would be happy +to yield. Would you disagree with the statement that your +testimony was to support what the State Department's policy is? + Mr. Wood. Yes, sir, that is exactly what my testimony is +for. + Mr. Barton. I just want to follow up on this same line. We +had some concern, Mr. Wood--and we are not personally offended +that you are here. I think you are doing a good job in a +difficult situation, so I want to let you know that. But we had +a concern that we were not getting the appropriate level of +testifier that should have been here. + That was expressed to me early in the week, and did I want +to call the Secretary of State and demand that there be a +higher-level official than yourself; and I said no, that the +main thing was to get the meat of the issue before the +subcommittee. Of course, then when we didn't get testimony +until this morning, that kind of inflamed opinion about that. + How many people in the State Department have direct impact +on this policy that Mr. Burr and I and every other member of +the subcommittee is concerned about? Could you elaborate the +chain of command of the people who are directly involved in +this policy? + Mr. Wood. By ``this policy,'' you mean our policy toward +Iraq? + Mr. Barton. No, the great oil-for-food policy that you are +trying with some difficulty to defend. + Mr. Wood. Starting with the Secretary of State. There are +officials at the Under Secretary level--well, at the---- + Mr. Barton. I am with Mr. Burr on this one. We want names +of people. We want names and titles: Secretary Madeleine +Albright, the Secretary of State---- + Mr. Wood. Deputy Secretary of State Strobe Talbott, Under +Secretary for Political Affairs Thomas Pickering, Under +Secretary for Economic Affairs Stuart Eizenstat, Assistant +Secretary for Near East/Middle East Affairs, Martin Indyk, +Assistant Secretary for International Organization Affairs, +David Welch. + Mr. Barton. That is six so far. + Mr. Wood. There are also people in our intelligence---- + Mr. Barton. Give us the name of the person or at least the +title. I know the State Department is a massive bureaucracy, so +I may even get beyond your mental ability here. + Mr. Wood. Getting beyond my mental ability is not a high +threshold. + Mr. Barton. No, I think so you are an intelligent man. + Mr. Wood. But perhaps I can cut this--can help by saying +that it is routine State Department practice--and I can't speak +for other departments of the government--that officials at the +Deputy Assistant Secretary level, my level, are often the +testifiers on a variety of subjects. It is not our policy, +however, to fail to provide testimony on a timely basis. + Mr. Barton. Who is your direct report? I forgot. + Mr. Wood. David Welch, assistant secretary. + Mr. Barton. But you are the principal deputy assistant. + Mr. Wood. That is right. + Mr. Barton. Which would indicate that there is a deputy +probably below you. + Mr. Wood. That is right. + Mr. Barton. Is it safe to say that you are the lowest level +State Department official that they could comfortably get away +with sending before this subcommittee? + Mr. Wood. No, sir. + Mr. Barton. No, sir? There is somebody lower than you? + Mr. Wood. I hope so, sir. + Mr. Barton. Okay. If we want to pursue this, though--and I +think we will. I have heard nothing yet to indicate that this +is a policy that the Congress should support with any +enthusiasm. So if we want to continue this, we should ask up to +probably the Under Secretary and just have a State Department +panel so that we get every player in the State Department that +has put this policy together before this subcommittee. + Mr. Wood. Well, I---- + Mr. Barton. And probably the U.N. Ambassador. + Mr. Wood. We very much hope that everybody from the State +Department would speak with one voice on the policy. And I +believe that I can adequately represent that voice. + Mr. Barton. Oh, I think you are making the best of a bad +deal before this subcommittee. + Mr. Wood. And at the same time, my initial statement that +we were genuinely grateful for this opportunity to testify +before the subcommittee, a subcommittee that you yourself +pointed out we don't testify before very often---- + Mr. Barton. But you will. + Mr. Wood. And we look forward to it, sir. + Mr. Barton. There is a new beginning. We will recognize Mr. +Burr for another 5 minutes because I took 3 minutes and didn't +even let you get started. + Mr. Burr. Mr. Wood, how long will it take for Saddam to be +removed? + Mr. Wood. Difficult to say, sir. Sooner the better. + Mr. Burr. Who will remove him? + Mr. Wood. We are working--we, including our new Special +Coordinator for Transition in Iraq, Mr. Frank Ricciardone, is +working with regional groups, with dissident groups. + Mr. Burr. Outside Iraq? Inside Iraq? Who will actually +bring him down? + Mr. Wood. Don't know. + Mr. Burr. We don't know? + Mr. Wood. Don't know yet. + Mr. Burr. Will we? + Mr. Wood. Yes, although not necessarily much before it +actually happens. I just don't--this isn't the kind of thing +that lends itself to speculation or to, really, public +analysis. But it is certainly the case that there are dissident +groups outside of Iraq. There are groups inside of Iraq that +have been oppressed by Saddam Hussein. This includes the Kurds +in the north, the Shiites in the south, it includes numbers of +groups. And we believe that every day and every way Saddam +Hussein is alienating his own population. This is one of the +reasons that we do not wish to provide him the additional lever +of claiming that he is protecting his population. + Mr. Burr. So the State Department has determined that +hunger does not mobilize his people to be upset with him? Is +that what you are saying? + Mr. Wood. Yes, and he has made that statement. + Mr. Burr. If he gives them the food, they will be angrier +at him? + Mr. Wood. He has concluded that with his control of the +media and other things, it is easier for him to blame the +outside world if his---- + Mr. Burr. I am trying to determine what mobilizes his +people, because I think your whole policy is based on an +overthrow from within. And I guess I would ask you where have +we used this policy before and it worked? + Mr. Wood. I think that there are numbers of cases where we +have supported dissident groups, both inside and outside of +countries, and it has produced an overthrow. I wouldn't like to +go into specifics in this forum. + Mr. Barton. I think that it is working really well in Cuba. +I think Fidel Castro came into being in 1959. + Mr. Hall. Haiti. + Mr. Barton. Haiti. We have a number of sterling examples of +this policy. + Mr. Burr. Clearly, if we adopt the same definition for the +term ``removal'' being death by old age, then we have quite a +few years that we would live with this policy. + Let me just make one comment and then I will quit, Mr. +Chairman. Thomas Pickering testified in front of the Senate +Foreign Relations Committee on March 17, a little over a week +ago, I guess. I don't think there was anything real difficult +in preparation for you to testify. I think, in fact, there was +intent at the State Department to make sure that we were as ill +prepared for your testimony as we possibly could be. + I will push next time a State Department official is here +to refuse that they testify. When we find out that we can get +the same information from other sources, maybe we will take +that opportunity to grow a larger surplus by our reductions at +the State Department in personnel. + I am confident that this is not the last time somebody from +the State Department will be in front of this committee and +many other committees to try to defend this program, the +policies that we have got, and ultimately put all the policies +of this State Department under scrutiny. + Mr. Chairman, I thank you and the ranking member for your +willingness to hold it; and I feel confident that next time, if +we don't do it on the last day before a break, that we will +have a full subcommittee of members here to pursue this policy +further. And I yield back. + Mr. Barton. The Chair is going to recognize himself for 5 +minutes. + Mr. Williams, can you give me right now a verbal +approximation, and then within a week or so in writing, the +number of wells in Texas that have been shut in since the oil- +for-food program began in late 1996? + Mr. Williams. I will do that, Mr. Chairman. But since +February 1998 through about February 1999, we have shut in +about 2,200 wells in Texas; and I will provide that additional +information. + Mr. Barton. 2,200? + Mr. Williams. Right. And we have plugged about 9,500. + Mr. Barton. Plugged about 9,500. Mr. Smith, can you again +give me an approximation now and within a week or so the +numbers for that same question in Oklahoma. + Mr. Smith. Happy, to Mr. Chairman. Thank you. We have about +70,000 wells in Oklahoma that produce oil and some gas. As +Congressman Watkins mentioned, most of those are marginal. We +are plugging wells right and left. I don't know the number. I +can get it for you. Maybe Mr. Brown, who is a producer here +with me, will know. I am going to guess--and then I will +substantiate my number later--that we have plugged since this +oil-for-food program started probably about 10 to 15,000 wells. + Mr. Barton. 10 to 15,000 wells in Oklahoma? + Mr. Smith. Yes, sir. + Mr. Barton. So many more in Oklahoma than in Texas? + Mr. Smith. I think so. Again, that is off the top of my +head. I will verify that. + Mr. Barton. There are different terms for stopping +production. But the term ``plug'' means it is literally +cemented in and you cannot resume production from that well. + Mr. Smith. That is correct. + Mr. Barton. So it is gone. + Mr. Smith. That is correct. + Mr. Barton. Mr. Hakes, I asked those two gentlemen because +they represent States. You represent the United States. Could +you give us your best approximation for domestically--the +number of wells that have been plugged and again, as soon as we +can get the exact number, get it to us for the record since +this oil-for-food program began. + [The following was received for the record:] + + The EIA estimates that as many as 33,000 oil and gas wells +were plugged in 1998 in the United States. This estimate is +based on two pieces of information and certain assumptions. The +Interstate Off and Gas Compact Commission (IOGCC), in a recent +report entitled ``A Battle for Survival?: The Real Story Behind +Low Oil Prices'' (Updated Report--April 1999), reported the +results of a survey of States that showed that (excluding +Texas) at least 48,000 oil and gas wells were abandoned or +idled in 1998. It is unlikely that as many as 50 percent of +these wells were plugged. Plugging costs can be high and +operators generally try to avoid incurring them as long as +possible. On the other hand, it is noted that both Pennsylvania +and Colorado did report higher plugging percentages. Assuming, +for the purpose of determining a rough upper estimate, that 50 +percent of the abandoned or idled wells were plugged, the total +wells plugged outside of Texas would be 24,000. For Texas, a +precise number (8,951) of plugged wells was made available by +the Texas Railroad Commission. Combining the two estimates +yields the 33,000 wells for the total United States. While it +was not possible to determine the exact distribution of total +plugged wells between off wells and gas wells, it is clear that +the large majority of these were oil wells. + + Mr. Hakes. If you are using the term ``plug'' in the +literal sense, that would be data we would get from the States, +but we would be glad to assist in the preparation of that +number for you. + Mr. Barton. Well, give me an estimate. And I am not going +to hold you to a great degree of accuracy. I am just trying to +get a feel for how many wells we have lost forever since this +program began. And we have got 10 to 15,000 in Oklahoma and +around 2,000 in Texas. So can you give us--fill in the blank +for the rest of the country? + Mr. Hakes. Well, I think those are the two largest States +for those kinds of wells, so you could extrapolate from that +data and say all the other States maybe it is twice that or +something. + Mr. Barton. So kind of a back-of-the-envelope, you would +say 20 to 30,000 wells? + Mr. Hakes. I am extrapolating from their data. I would have +to go back and check. + Mr. Barton. You can get us--to the extent such data is +available, you can compile that and get it within the next 2 +weeks? + Mr. Hakes. Yes, we will certainly do that. + Mr. Barton. Mr. Smith? + Mr. Smith. Mr. Chairman, just a correction. I misread Mr. +Hakes' chart. I read it as January 1996 for the oil-for-food +program start date rather than 1997. I think I was probably +high, but I will get those for you. + Mr. Barton. Okay. We are going to make a good faith effort +to either terminate this program or substantially change it. +And in order to do that, we need to have factual data that we +can show our friends at the State Department these losses have +occurred. And while there are other factors, we are not going +to deny that the Asian situation and the Caspian Sea and all of +that, there is a fairly substantial good correlation between +this program starting and the problems in the other area. + Mr. Wood, do you know how many barrels a day the Iraq +Nation needs just for internal consumption? And Mr. Hakes may +know that number. + Mr. Hakes. The number we use is about 550,000 barrels a +day. + Mr. Barton. 550? + Mr. Hakes. So the exports are roughly 2 million. + Mr. Barton. I want to be sure. If they are producing 2.5 +million barrels or 2.6 million barrels a day, that is for +export; and then on top of that they are using half a million. + Mr. Hakes. I believe that is the production number. + Mr. Barton. That is the total production number and not the +export number? + Mr. Hakes. Yes, the exports are about 2 million, I believe. + Mr. Barton. Okay. So is it the Department of Energy's +energy information estimate that they are basically at maximum +production right now? + Mr. Hakes. Yes, because of their difficulty getting spare +parts and capital investment. You know, I think if they had +full access to parts and capital investment, they could quickly +get back to prewar levels; and I think just in terms of the +physical potential there, if you had full investment there, +they could probably get up to, maybe, 5, 6 million barrels. But +right now they have limited access to capital and parts. + Mr. Barton. But given the infrastructure in place, we can +assume that they are at maximum production and they are using +half a million barrels a day for internal consumption and then +they are exporting as much as they can? + Mr. Hakes. Right. Just to be a little bit more precise, we +are estimating that they may go up 50,000 to 100,000 barrels a +day over the next year or so, so that there would be some +addition. And I would say that there are a couple of respected +firms who think they might be able to increase a little bit +more than that. But somewhere in that range. + Mr. Barton. Now, Mr. Wood, as this program was put together +at the State Department, and I guess the White House and in the +United Nations, my understanding is that Iraq has financial +assets that have been frozen in western banks since the +invasion; is that correct or not correct? + Mr. Wood. That is correct, sir. + Mr. Barton. Do you know the amount of those assets in terms +of dollars? + Mr. Wood. I don't think I do. + Mr. Barton. Can you get that for us? + Mr. Wood. We can look for it for the number, sir. + Mr. Barton. Can you do more than look for it? Can you find +it? + Mr. Wood. We will get you a number, sir. My best +understanding is that there are--that there are substantial +claims by Americans and by others against those frozen assets +just for your---- + [The following was received for the record:] + + Question. Into which bank are the revenues from sales of +Iraqi oil under the Oil-for-Food program are deposited? + Answer. Revenues from sales of Iraqi oil under the Oil-for- +Food program are deposited into an account at the New York +branch of the Banque Nationale de Paris. Iraq does not have +access to the bank account, nor can Iraq change banks. + Question. What is the value of Iraqi frozen assets in the +United States? Please provide background on this matter as it +relates to the Oil-for-Food program. + Answer. Blocked Iraqi assets in the United States total +between $1.2 and 1.3 billion. The asserted value of prewar +claims against Iraq by U.S. citizens, corporations, and the +U.S. government totals approximately $5 billion. + In 1992, the U.N. Security Council adopted resolution 778 +which required states to transfer to the U.N. limited blocked +assets representing the proceeds from the sale of Iraqi oil +paid after sanctions were imposed on Iraq on August 6, 1990 to +fund UNSCOM and the UN Compensation Commission. The USG +transferred to the U.N. a total of $211 million. Few other +countries made such transfers. + The U.S. opposes making further transfers of blocked Iraqi +assets to the U.N. because of the potential damage to the +interests of U.S. claimants against Iraq. + + Mr. Barton. I understand. But here is my point. Instead of +letting the Iraqis export oil, if we have assets that are in +western banks, why couldn't we use those assets to buy the food +and to send it to the Iraqis and put a liability against future +oil production when we have a new government in Iraq so that +you still have a contingent claim by the current claimants, but +you don't decimate our domestic oil and gas industry in the +short-term? + Use the money in the bank, buy them the food and the +medical equipment, send it over there, put a voucher in there, +put a marker in place. Then when we get a new government, then +future oil revenues can go back into those funds, into those +accounts that we borrowed against or drawn against. I mean does +that seem to be a possible rational policy? + Mr. Wood. I believe that such an idea has been considered. +I think that the lawyers tell us---- + Mr. Barton. Well, God help me if I have suggested something +that the lawyers might have a problem with. + Mr. Wood. I think that the lawyers have some concerns about +substituting current claims against current assets for current +claims against future assets. But I will certainly ask the +questions, sir. + Mr. Barton. Lawyers have concerns about the sun rising in +the east every morning. It may not come up tomorrow, so. + The gentleman from Texas is recognized for 5 minutes. + Mr. Hall. I am entitled to the same amount of time to talk +about the engineers. Joe is an engineer, the engineer of the +year in Texas the year before last, I think. + You know, as I have been listening--and I thank you for +your testimony--and questions that have been asked, and I don't +want to ask any of you to comment on what I am about to say, +but it seems like we are aiding the enemy. I don't think there +is any question that we are aiding the enemy. It seems, while I +don't subscribe to anybody lying to a grand jury or anybody +else, the Senate committee, it seemed like this dwarfs Oliver +North's being charged with aiding the Contras when they were +our friends. And here we are aiding a country that is +absolutely our enemy, and we are feeding its children and we +are doctoring them. + And while that maybe makes a lot of us feel good, we are +putting off the time that those same people are going to rise +up and put him out. That is the goal. That is why we are +bombing Yugoslavia today, to encourage the people to rise up +and fight their own war. Just to get the scenario in Baghdad, +it is a sunny afternoon; and Saddam looks up and sees a truck +driving up and tells all of his buddies there, Let's tie our +camels over in front of the Long Branch. We have this truck +coming in. I hate this stuff but we are going to unload it. You +have told us, Mr. Wood, that he doesn't like the program. That +is the kind of scenario that could take place. And then get +back to this country and the oil hits here. All of us--all the +testimony I have heard is that this program is hurting our +domestic Nation's oil industry. But it hits over here, and they +say, Well, we don't like it. We don't like this program. I know +this committee doesn't like the program. But let us unload it +and put it in the pipeline. + Two of you got bad deals there. I always thought somebody +had the best of a contract. You know, marriage isn't anything +but a contract; and I didn't marry until I thought I had the +best of the contract. Here it looks like they both got the +worst of the contract. + Why are we putting up with this? Why are we continuing with +this? In February 1998 the U.N. secretary general criticized +this oil-for-food program basically for delays and +inefficiency. And it seems if this is hurting our Nation's oil +industry, at the same time being criticized by the General +Secretary of the U.N.; and Saddam says he doesn't want it, what +would it take to kill a program like this? Not to fund it? Let +me ask a more pointed question: How much money is in our budget +to support this program? + Mr. Wood. Mr. Hall, this program does not directly cost the +United States a nickel because it is using Iraq's money +exclusively. + Mr. Hall. The money that is in their banks over here? + Mr. Barton. Are we are paying the unemployment claims for +all the displaced workers out of this program? + Mr. Hall. I will take all the help I can get. Thank you, +Joe. + Mr. Wood. I understand the point, but the fact is this uses +the proceeds from Iraqi oil sales to fund humanitarian supplies +for Iraq to ensure that those revenues are not used for weapons +of mass destruction or other nefarious means; to fund, in fact, +inspections against weapons of mass destruction, which I admit +are temporarily suspended and we are working hard to get them +back into place. And roughly a third of it goes to the U.N. +compensation commission to pay the just claims of poor +Kuwaitis, poor Saudis, poor Americans, for losses that they +suffered during the Gulf War. + Saddam Hussein doesn't like this because he is only getting +a share of the total value of his oil revenues, because he is +not controlling the share that he gets; and the share that he +is not controlling is going to fund inspections of his weapons- +of-mass-destruction program; and it is going to feed his +population so that he cannot blame their unhappiness on the +outside world. + This in our view is--this program is absolutely fundamental +to maintaining the solidarity of the international community +behind a continued tough line on Iraq. And as you know, we have +been facing some problems in that regard. We think that oil for +food is absolutely fundamental to maintaining that tough line. + When he was interviewed by David Frost, George Bush said +that his most important accomplishment was not winning the Gulf +War; it was forming the coalition that won the Gulf War. We are +trying to maintain that kind of coalition. We are trying to +maintain that kind of international consensus, in spite of the +fact that a potentially very rich, potentially very powerful +country is doing everything it can to get out of the box. And +we are trying to keep them in the box. + Mr. Hall. Well, I must admit we don't have all the +information that you have at your disposal, and that is the +purpose of these hearings. And I want to reread the record +myself. + At best, it seems to me that we are helping to keep Saddam +in charge over there by feeding his children and doctoring his +people. And if you have another part of your body that hasn't +been beat on, if you will turn toward me, I will ask you some +more questions. But without that, I have had all the time I +need, Mr. Chairman. + Mr. Barton. I just have a few wrap-up questions for this +panel. + And I don't know if this would be Mr. Wood or Mr. Hakes, +but we understand that there are currently $380 million in +spare-parts contracts that have been signed with the Iraqi +government for additional infrastructure improvement, but only +$11 million worth of that equipment has arrived in the country. +If and when that equipment arrives, how much additional export +or production capacity does that give the Iraqi oil industry? + Mr. Wood. I could begin to answer that question. I am not +sure what the incremental effect on Iraqi exports will be. But +the delay--I mean, we are now in the second 6 months in which +up to $300 million in each phase has been made available for +the Iraqi infrastructure improvements. The delay is the result +of close scrutiny by the sanctions committee of the proposed +contracts, making sure that they go to the right things and +they don't go to the wrong things. + For instance, we continue to keep on hold contracts that +the Iraqis want to use to improve the Basrah refinery, which is +the one that we bombed which was heavily implicated in illegal +smuggling. And I am not sure what, frankly, this rash of +improvements in the Iraqi infrastructure, what the marginal +impact---- + Mr. Barton. Do you know, Mr. Hakes? + Mr. Hakes. Well, I think our analysts in arriving at their +projection have assumed a sort of moderate speed in the arrival +of these parts. And, I believe, in my written testimony we say +that there is some uncertainty that the parts will arrive very +quickly and fully. We might raise our estimates a little bit if +they increase more--are delivered more slowly we might lower a +little bit. But we have sort of assumed that they would arrive +at a moderate pace. + Mr. Barton. Okay. Well, you are going to get a letter next +week--the Secretary of State is going to get a letter. We are +going to ask that no contracts be signed. You are also going to +be asked to give all information that is not classified as to +the contents of those contracts. And I am going to sign that +letter as subcommittee chairman, and I am going to ask Mr. Hall +and every other member of the subcommittee to sign it. Whether +I can get them all to sign it, I don't know. I see absolutely +no sense in continuing to give the Iraqis the ability to +increase their production, even if it is marginal, while our +industry is being decimated in the United States. + The other thing we are going to ask you, Mr. Wood, is we +want a complete itemization of all revenues that have been +collected under this program. We want a complete record of all +disbursements that have been made under this program. We want +an estimate of the expected revenues for the fiscal year that +we are currently in and the fiscal year that will begin in +October and an expected disbursement from those same funds. And +we are going to want that in the next 2 weeks. And we have got +to get you the official request in writing for what I just +itemized. I understand you can't act on anything until we make +it official. But we are going to take a very, very serious look +at this program. And I am going to do everything I can--and I +mean everything--to either stop it or at least change it so +that we provide for the legitimate humanitarian needs of the +Iraqi people, but we do it in a way that is different than is +currently being done. And there are some things that can be +done differently through our food-for-peace program, using the +existing Iraqi assets that are in western banks. There are all +kinds of ways to help the humanitarian needs of the Iraqi +people that don't involve, basically, letting Iraq produce as +much oil as it can and export as much as it can. I mean, that, +to me is a flawed policy; and it is a failed policy, and it is +not in the national security interest of the United States of +America. + Does this panel wish any final comments before we go to the +third panel? Anybody? Well, gentlemen, we want to thank you for +your attendance. There will be additional questions for the +record in addition to the ones that I have itemized; but we do +appreciate it, and this is an important hearing of this +subcommittee; and your input has been very valuable, so you are +excused. + Mr. Hall. And you might tell them that their long tenure at +the table will shorten the tenure of the next panel. You have +done some good for somebody. + Mr. Barton. We would like to call forward our third and +final panel, but not the least important. Mr. Adam Sieminski, a +principal and senior oil analyst from Baltimore, Maryland; we +have Mr. Tom Taylor, who is the regional Vice President for the +Texas Independent Producers and Royalty Owners Association; we +have Mr. F.W. Pete Brown, co-owner of the Cimarron Production +Company in Oklahoma; and Mr. David Bole, who is in corporate +research and development, Randall and Dewey, Incorporated, in +Houston, Texas; and I believe we have Mr. Scott Anderson, who +is the executive director of TIPRO who wishes to appear at the +table with the TIPRO witness. + Mr. Anderson. I will just sit right behind him. + Mr. Barton. Gentlemen, your statements are in the record. +We want to thank you for getting your testimony in on time. It +is good to know the private sector pays more attention than +some of our public officials. We are going to start with Mr. +Sieminski. How close am I? + Mr. Sieminski. That was very good, Mr. Barton. Thank you +very much. + Mr. Barton. We will give each of you 5 minutes and then we +will have questions. Starting with you, sir. + + STATEMENTS OF ADAM E. SIEMINSKI, PRINCIPAL AND SENIOR OIL + ANALYST, BT ALEX BROWN; TOM TAYLOR, REGIONAL VICE PRESIDENT, + TEXAS INDEPENDENT PRODUCERS AND ROYALTY OWNERS ASSOCIATION; + F.W. ``PETE'' BROWN, CO-OWNER, CIMARRON PRODUCTION COMPANY; +DAVID L. BOLE, CORPORATE RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT, RANDALL AND + DEWEY, INC. + + Mr. Sieminski. Thank you, Mr. Barton. I appreciate the +opportunity to come in and provide a statement on some of the +factual aspects associated with the Iraqi exports. + Let me first try to answer a question that you just asked, +sir. What does $300 million worth of spare parts and equipment +do for production? Let me just take a quick crack at that. + U.N. personnel experts who were sent to Iraq said that +production would fall somewhere between 4 to 8 percent a year +if they did not get $300 million in spare parts. So if we just +said 5 percent or 6 percent, that would be somewhere between +125,000 barrels a day, up to 150,000 barrels a day that, +presumably, would be able to stay on line with those funds +coming in. + And so that would--if we are now up to $600 million, I +think we could be talking about this possibility of 250,000 +barrels a day of oil that would be available to the Iraqis to +export. + Let me, in light of, I think, that 7-minute rule, let me +make seven quick points. Again, putting the Iraqi oil exports +into perspective, they were the greatest source of OPEC's +difficulty in meeting their own compliance rule. Second point, +exports have gone up quite a bit. We went from about 1.5 +million barrels a day in 1998, and that number should hit 2.1 +to 2.2 in 1999. That is a little bit less than the growth that +occurred between 1997 and 1998. + The third point I had in my written statement said that +Iraq's exports were the second largest influence in 1998 in +driving oil prices lower. Listening to Mr. Hakes, I might want +to revise that. He said that, I believe, that the incremental +loss of demand in Asia was about a million barrels a day. And +Iraq's exports went up just a little under 900,000. Mr. Hakes +said that in his chart, he had the incremental amount in Asia +was about 850,000. If we took his number, then Iraq was No. 1 +in terms of its impact on the market in 1998. + Fourth point. Production capacity in Iraq looks like it is +stuck. Looks like it is stuck at 2.7 million barrels a day. +That means that imports would presumably be capped at somewhere +near 2.1. But the Iraqis have managed to somehow keep +production growing faster than the U.N. technical experts +thought they could. And it was only about a year ago that the +U.N. said that exports would be limited to about 1.6 or 1.7 +million barrels a day, and they have gotten well over that +level. So I don't know how that is being accomplished, and that +might be a question that you might want to ask somebody. + Fifth point---- + Mr. Barton. Our staff actually had that in the prepared +questions. So it will be asked for the record. + Mr. Sieminski. The fifth point is that while taking the +ceiling off of the $5.265 billion ceiling actually could become +more than just a technical kind of thing very soon. Oil prices +have already gone up quite a bit since the beginning of the +year. Iraq sold oil last week for $12 a barrel. All they need +is another $2 on top of that $12 number that they got last +year, and they will hit their cap. And they will not do this +during this fifth phase, but if you projected that $2 increment +into the next phase which starts May 25, they would actually +collect, if they exported 2.1 million barrels a day, $5.3 +billion. And if they can export more than 2.1, that cap could +actually come into effect at a price $2 above current WTI. + Sixth point is kind of, I think, an interesting one and +this is--you are going to have to ask somebody else because I +don't know the answer to this question, but I would love to +know the answer to it. The last two times that Iraq has gone to +war--in late 1979 just before their invasion of Iran and then +in 1990, in the first half of 1990, just before the invasion of +Kuwait--there was a sharp rise in production in Iraq. And we +have seen just recently another sharp rise in production. + And I heard the comment made earlier that oil or funds are +fungible. Even if the sources--with more revenue coming into +Iraq from these exports, that would give Saddam the ability to +use his own internal funds for possible mischief, and I am kind +of wondering what this big increase that we have seen in +production exports just in the past month or so really means. + Final point is one that I really wish that Deputy Secretary +Wood would have made and that is that if Iraq is allowed to +rebuild its facilities--and this would be a lot easier done if +the overall sanctions were moved or if the oil-for-food program +was changed in some way, as there have been recommendations on +the Security Council to allow companies to go in and invest to +help Iraq rebuild its--and repair its equipment and facilities, +I would think that Iraq would be quite capable of getting up to +3.5 million barrels a day of production pretty quickly, and all +of that increment would be available for export. + So I would conclude, Mr. Chairman, with sort of a kind of a +recommendation, which is that one of the key focuses of this +committee and the questions that I think you should pursue with +the State Department is how do we keep direct foreign +investment by other countries into the Iraqi oil industry +limited during the period that sanctions are on and Iraq is +still misbehaving. And I thank you for your time. + [The prepared statement of Adam E. Sieminski follows:] + Prepared Statement of Adam E. Sieminski, Principal and Senior Oil + Analyst, BT Alex. Brown Incorporated + iraq's oil exports and world oil markets +Iraqi exports were a major reason for the drop in oil prices in 1998 + The rise in Iraqi production from an average of 1.15 mmb/d in 1997 +and 2.11 mmb/d in 1998, to about 2.5 mmb/d currently has been the +greatest source of OPEC's difficulty in meeting quota compliance under +agreements reached in March and June of 1998. Iraq's oil exports, which +rose along with production, were a major contributor to the oil price +weakness of 1998 and early 1999. Two key factors played a role in this +situation. First, the UN's Oil for Food Program sets a monetary (not +oil volume) target for humanitarian relief. If oil prices decline for +any reason, the amount of oil Iraq is allowed to sell under the program +can rise. Low oil prices allowed Iraq to sell more barrels under the +`old' $2 billion per six months plan. Second, in early 1998 the UN +raised the oil-for-food revenue ceiling to $5.265 billion every 180 +days. +Iraqi oil exports increased from 0.59 mmb/d in 1997 to 1.47 mmb/d in + 1998 + During the recent period of low oil prices, the level of exports +from Iraq was limited only by Iraq's wellhead production and pipeline/ +terminal capacities. A UN rule requiring at least 50% of exports to +transit via the 1.0 mmb/d capacity Ceyhan (Turkey) route is being +ignored, since all export amounts over that level are now exiting +mainly via the Gulf port of Mina al-Bakr. Exports are currently +averaging about 2.1 mmb/d and have exceeded 2.5 mmb/d for short periods +of time since January 1999. +How the rise in Iraqi exports influenced the oil markets in 1998 + There is little doubt that the rise in exports from Iraq, a 0.87 +mmb/d increment between 1998 and 1999, had a significant impact on the +oil markets. Of course there were other factors, but in our opinion, +Iraq's exports were the second largest influence pushing oil prices +lower in 1998. + + The crisis in Asia reduced oil demand by 1.0 mmb/d against + expectations + Warm weather dropped demand by 0.5 mmb/d compared to `normal' + Russian exports rose contra-seasonally by 0.2 mmb/d in 4Q 1998 + China curtailed oil imports (by about 0.3 mmb/d) in 2H 1998 + OPEC's efforts to trim production in 1998 were neither timely + nor sufficient + OECD inventories rose some 200-300 mb above industry norms +Production history + Iraq's oil production climbed from about 1.5 mmb/d in 1972 to an +annual peak of 3.5 mmb/d in 1979. In the last quarter of 1979, Iraq +managed to produce 3.7 mmb/d. The Iran-Iraq war, which started in +September 1980, lead to a significant decline in export capacity and +wellhead production. From a low of 1.0 mmb/d production in 1981-83, +Iraq's output climbed back to 3.5 mmb/d just before the invasion of +Kuwait in August 1990. In 1991-92 Iraq produced about 0.4 mmb/d (which +is probably a good estimate of actual internal consumption). More +recently, Iraq's internal use has appeared to be about 0.65 mmb/d, but +this includes UN-approved exports of 0.1 mmb/d of products to Jordan, +and probably reflects some level of smuggling. +The main physical constraint on exports is now wellhead capacity + Production capacity in Iraq appears to be limited to about 2.7 mmb/ +d. The UN has been slow to approve imports of the equipment, expertise +and capital required to boost Iraq much beyond this level. +Nevertheless, Iraqi engineers have surprised the UN inspectors with +their ability to keep output climbing. In March 1998 UN technical +experts estimated that Iraq's wellhead production capability was +unlikely to exceed 2.2 mmb/d (mid-1998) or 2.4 mmb/d (start 1999). In +fact, Iraq has managed to exceed these estimates by about 0.2 mmb/d. +Status of oil spare parts and equipment authorizations and repairs + In view of Iraq's inability to take full advantage of the $5.3 +billion oil-for-food allowance, in June 1998 the UN authorized Iraq to +purchase up to $300 million in spare parts and equipment to repair its +oil facilities. Later in 1998, an additional $300 million in purchase +authority was granted. To date, UN's Office for the Iraq Programme has +approved 395 contracts worth $237 million. Another $28 million in +contracts is on hold. UN Security Council members (including the US) +have argued that some of the requested equipment is either +inappropriate or has military use potential. Several members of the +Security Council are arguing for more active involvement of outside +companies in the needed repairs and expansion of Iraq's oil +infrastructure. +Near term production difficulties + The Iraqi oil Ministry, UN technical experts and outside +consultants all seem to agree that Iraq is experiencing production +difficulties. According to a UN report, production in the north has +been lost because of water encroachment problems. In the south, +production water problems are coupled with pressure maintenance +difficulties resulting from lack of water injection facilities. Some +experts believe that without a significant increase in investment, +Iraq's basic production capacity could fall by 4-8% per year. Many +believe that the recent rise in production is related to very +aggressive petroleum engineering practices--pushing output beyond +normal levels in order to maximize near-term production and exports. +There have been some reports that domestic use has been officially +constrained as part of this policy. +With higher oil prices, a new volumetric constraint could come into + force + During January and February, Iraq's oil sold for about $9 per +barrel, a $2 discount to Brent, and a $3+ discount to WTI. With Brent +prices now at $14 and WTI at $15, Iraq's exports are likely selling at +close to $12 per barrel. This raises an interesting policy question if +oil prices continue to rise. At a $14/bbl Iraqi sales price, Iraq would +hit the UN's $5.3b ceiling at an export level of 2.1 mmb/d. + This potential limit to oil exports is more of an issue for the +UN's Phase 6 program, which starts May 25, and not for the current +Phase 5, because low prices in December-February make it highly +unlikely that the $5.3b cumulative revenue ceiling would be achieved +during the current Phase. The Clinton administration has proposed +removing the ceiling on oil exports, but still opposes allowing direct +foreign investment in the Iraqi oil industry--which may be necessary to +significantly boost Iraq's production. Studies are underway now at the +UN (with reports due in mid-April) which are intended to review the +status of the oil-for-food program. +Could there be an Iraqi-instigated interruption? + Although the US and Iraq are still at odds over weapons +inspections, and Iraq has experienced some erosion of its support in +the UN Security Council, there have been several new proposals advanced +to alter the sanctions policy. Despite the US proposal to remove the +ceiling, the Iraqi regime does not appear to favor expansion or +indefinite continuation of the oil-for-food program. This suggests that +some interruption in the program could occur when the current Phase 5 +expires May 24. Such an interruption does have precedent--in July 1997 +and December 1997 the Iraqi regime temporarily halted exports. However, +in those two situations, Iraq's exports were constrained by the earlier +monetary limit (and thus Iraq was able to `make up' its lost production +by physically increasing the level of exports. At this time that option +does not appear to be available to Iraq. +What about longer-term production and export capability? + With investment in both production and pipeline/terminal +facilities, Iraq could probably continue to increase its output and +exports. Repairs to the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline could boost its capacity +from the current 1.0-1.1 mmb/d level to its 1.5 mmb/d pre-Gulf war +level. Iraq has had discussions with Syria about re-opening the 0.65 +mmb/d capacity Banias line that was closed in 1982 during the Iran-Iraq +war. The IPSA pipeline through Saudi Arabia to the Red Sea could be +opened if currently unfriendly relations between the two governments +were to improve. +Upstream production could rise significantly with access to outside + capital and expertise + Iraqi official have claimed that 3.0-3.5 mmb/d of production +capacity could be reached fairly quickly once sanctions are removed. +Iraq's NIOC believes that this can be accomplished by a development +effort that includes: re-working and upgrading existing upstream +facilities; attracting foreign investment for new fields; and +establishing an E&P effort in Iraq's Western desert region. In 1997, +former Iraqi oil minister al-Chalabi estimated that Iraq would require +a least $5 billion of foreign capital during the first two or three +years after sanctions to lift production capacity to 3.5 mmb/d. There +does not seem to be any shortage of potential investors as seen in the +material prepared by the Energy Intelligence Group (attached as an +exhibit), although the incremental 2.8 mmb/d of production is estimated +by EIG to cost about $18 billion. +What is the most likely near-term impact on the oil markets? + Downside risk to oil prices: The UN allows more upstream +investment, perhaps due to a change of regime in Iraq, or a further +softening in the US stance. Upside potential: Iraq carries out its +recurring threat to cease cooperation with oil-for-food when it expires +in May, or some form of conflict (with the US or internal) physically +interferes with exports. Most likely outcome: an extension of the +status quo with no monetary ceiling. This implies no interruption in +exports, a likely gradual rise in the overall level of production and +exports, but no large-scale near-term expansion of production. + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.008 + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.009 + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.010 + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.011 + + Mr. Barton. Mr. Taylor, we will put your statement in the +record and delighted to hear from you. My understanding is that +you actually are an independent producer. Is that correct? + Mr. Taylor. I am trying to be. + Mr. Barton. Trying to be. That is the right answer. Welcome +to the committee. + + STATEMENT OF TOM TAYLOR + + Mr. Taylor. I want to thank you for allowing me to be here +to testify, Mr. Chairman. + Yes, I am trying to be an oil producer in West Texas. I +also am the regional vice president for the Texas Independent +Producers and Royalty Owners Association, TIPRO, which I am +representing here today, consists of approximately 1,600 +members with petroleum interests in the State of Texas making +us the largest statewide group in our industry. + We are not here to advocate making life even more +unbearable for the Iraqi people. It would be unreasonable, as +well as unrealistic, for Americans whose jobs depend on the +American oil industry to expect our economic problems to be +solved through a ``beggar thy neighbor'' policy. We are having +a humanitarian crisis out in West Texas right now. We are +plugging wells. These wells are not shut in; they are plugging +wells. Because we don't have--we have 2 years in order to not +plug wells. But in all due respect there might have been an +attorney or two here in the room. Landowners who don't get +royalty checks to provide for their food are concerned. They +call their attorneys. They ask them why. The attorneys say +those wells are not producing. We have 90 days in most +situations to produce those wells. In the event we don't +produce those wells, our leases are expired. Then we have 2 +years to plug those wells. + By virtue of that, those wells become worthless; and the +school systems, as Commissioner Williams pointed out, are +losing a tremendous amount of money. Up to 40 percent of our +revenues to run our school systems in West Texas are being lost +because of this. + Our knowledge is limited about the Iraqi situation, but we +know that anyone who thinks the world oil market is a free +market is kidding themselves. War, threat of war, political +instability, sanctions, government fiats--these are not exactly +what one thinks of when one thinks of a willing buyer and +willing seller with each other in a properly functioning +marketplace. We know that Mr. Wood and the U.S. policymakers +like to tell themselves that our Iraq policy is neutral in +terms of effect on oil prices, but they are kidding themselves +once again. The sanctions policy, in particular the oil-for- +food program, represents significant government intervention +into the world oil market and, as presently structured, has a +depressing effect on prices. + Finally, we know that low oil prices are bad for any +program that depends on revenues for oil, whether the program +is a small drilling venture in West Texas, a major development +such as that down in the Caspian Sea, or the oil-for-food +program in Iraq. If policymakers want to increase the amount of +oil revenues available to each of the suffering people in Iraq, +the policy focus should be shifted from increasing production +to increasing price in order to reach whatever revenue target +they may be seeking. + I will elaborate briefly. As has been discussed here, +certainly world events other than the Iraq situation have an +impact on this. As we discussed, the Asian energy demand, +increasing oil production from OPEC, and recent warm winters +have all contributed to the current crisis. But increased Iraq +production must also be recognized as a material influence on +the price. As you have stated, in our records 1.3 million +barrels of exports is a direct reflection of this. You have +Saudi Arabia that is decreasing by 2 million barrels; and, +therefore, they are basically subsidizing the production from +Iraq. And as we discussed, there has been a 20 percent rise +just off of this speculation. + Now, before a reporter would take that and inflate that, +oil prices are back up. They have increased 20 percent from an +all-time low, which still causes an uneconomic situation as a +producer. The surplus capacity dictates that producers reduce +supply, yet our government is encouraging the United Nations to +allow Iraq, a distressed seller if there ever was one, to +increase supply. + Basically, we are going to be the next 2 million barrels is +what we are afraid of as independent producers. We have lost +almost 250,000 barrels in Texas alone. I think we have lost, as +we stated earlier, 600,000 barrels in the United States as +independent producers, and we don't have the luxury of turning +those wells back on like they do over there. + The effect of low oil prices in the U.S. has been +staggering, as we discussed. The charts prepared by the +Independent Petroleum Association is included as an appendices +to my testimony, and this will illustrate all too well. It +shows the workover rigs, not the drilling rigs, but the +workover rigs, which is a key indicator of the industry's +efforts to maintain production, has declined almost 50 percent. +So we are not even able to be able to work over these wells, +because their economics, it doesn't justify the expenditure. + Appendix 2 shows that oil and gas extraction employment has +fallen by over 50,000 jobs. In Texas I might also add +unemployment claims in my industry quadrupled in 1998 and in +1999 it is even worse. Low oil prices are troublesome for the +Oil-For-Food Program, and Appendix 3 outlines the difference in +price and pro- + +duction scenarios facing this program. At current prices, Iraq +will raise over $3 billion during phase 5. So far, it is far +short of the $5 billion target. The table also shows that at +current price average, Iraq will need to export 3 million +barrels at the current price to raise $5 billion. The +Department of Energy Secretary Bill Richardson testified last +week that Iraq appears unable to increase production to this +level. So it appears Iraq will not raise $5 billion--the $5.2 +billion target price for the foreseeable future. Put simply, +the Oil-For-Food Program simply does not work in a world of $10 +oil. + I will conclude with two suggestions for policymakers, and +it should be noted that it is important that these suggestions +be pursued in concert. First, we suggest that the U.S. press +the United Nations to restructure the Oil-For-Food Program so +that it no longer gives Iraq an incentive to depress world oil +prices. We submit that production increases measured in +hundreds of thousands of barrels per day would cause prices to +fall further, and the Oil-For-Food Program would still come up +short. Put simply, humanitarian needs in Iraq will not be met +in a world of $10 oil. + We believe that the way to restructure the Oil-For-Food +Program so that it no longer serves to depress oil prices is +for the United Nations to establish an oil quota for Iraq. The +quota would be equal to the number of barrels per day that can +be reasonably expected to yield the revenues that are believed +necessary. The production quota could be adjusted every 80 days +as revenue targets and oil price forecasts change. A potential +quota table is attached as Appendix 4. As you can see, a slight +increase in the dollar amount makes a significant difference. + This proposal may have some flaws and I present it only as +a potential option. However, by maintaining Iraq's production +at a level that bears some relation to market demand, we can +eliminate the downward pressure Iraq's increased production has +on price. + In summary, if the United Nations wants to increase the +amount of oil revenue available to ease the suffering of the +Iraq population, the policy focus should be shifted from +increasing production to increasing price. What we are saying +is give price a chance. + Our second suggestion is to couple the restructuring of the +Oil-For-Food Program with meaningful efforts to stabilize the +price of oil at levels that reflect its hidden environmental +and military cost. The United States can help achieve this +through variable import fees such as fees on tankers that move +oil in environmentally sensitive coastal waters, fees +designated to recoup some of our Nation's enormous military +cost devoted to protecting Middle East oil supplies and/or fees +that offset the advantage that imported oil currently enjoys +over domestic production due to minimal environmental +regulations of foreign production practices. + I close in saying that I would be honored to assist Mr. +Woods in explaining to the State Department the effect this has +on the small independent producer. I would like to take this +opportunity to thank you again, and we would be more than happy +to answer any questions. + [The prepared statement of Tom Taylor follows:] + Prepared Statement of Tom Taylor, Regional Vice President, Texas + Independent Producer and Royalty Owners Association + Mr. Chairman and Members, my name is Tom Taylor from Abilene, +Texas. I am an oil producer and serve as a Regional Vice President for +the Texas Independent Producers and Royalty Owners Association (TIPRO). +TIPRO, which I am representing here today, consists of 1600 members +with petroleum interests in the State of Texas, making us the largest +statewide group in our industry. + We come to you today with a sense of humility. My association has +no magic solution to the difficulties in Iraq, and I am not a foreign +policy expert. It is tempting to say that the experts don't have the +answers either, but we are not here to make a wholesale indictment of +Iraq policy. + Neither are we here to advocate making life even more unbearable +for the Iraqi people. It would be unreasonable, as well as unrealistic, +for Americans whose jobs depend on the domestic oil and gas industry to +expect our economic problems to be solved through a ``beggar thy +neighbor'' policy. In other words, and we want to be quite clear about +this, Texas oil producers are not here to ask for elimination of the +oil-for-food program or even to suggest that Iraqi oil production +levels should return to those that prevailed a year or two ago. + While our knowledge about Iraq is limited, we do know a few things: + + We know that anyone who thinks the world oil market is a free + market is kidding themselves. War and threat of war, political + instability and intrigue, sanctions and governmental fiats-- + these are not exactly what one thinks of when one thinks of + willing buyers and willing sellers dealing with each other in a + properly functioning marketplace. + We know that U.S. policymakers like to tell themselves that + our Iraq policy is neutral in terms of effects on oil prices, + but they are kidding themselves once again. The sanctions + policy, in particular the oil-for-food program, represents + significant government intervention in the world oil market + and, as presently structured, has a depressing effect on + prices. + Finally, we know that low oil prices are bad for any program + that depends on oil revenues, whether the program is a small + drilling venture in West Texas, a major development such as + that found in the Caspian Sea, or the oil-for-food program in + Iraq. If policymakers want to increase the amount of oil + revenue available to ease the suffering of the Iraqi people, + the policy focus should be shifted from increasing production + to increasing price in order to reach whatever the revenue + target may be. + I want to elaborate on the two latter points, that is, how the +present design of the oil-for-food program depresses prices and how +higher oil prices would further both the Iraq program and domestic +energy production. +(1) The oil-for-food program, as presently structured, depresses world + oil prices. + Certainly, world events other than what is taking place in Iraq +have had an impact on oil prices. Reduced Asian energy demand, +increased OPEC production and recent warm winters have all contributed +to the current price crisis. But, increased Iraqi production must also +be recognized as a material influence on prices. Iraq has added at +least 1.3 million barrels per day to the market since 1997--1.3 million +barrels of new supply compared to a global surplus of approximately one +to two million barrels per day. + What kind of impact has this had? A big impact. To put the impact +of 1.3 million barrels in perspective, note that oil prices in recent +weeks have risen over 20 percent merely upon OPEC's declaration that it +will reduce production by a total of about 2 million barrels. Surplus +capacity dictates that producers reduce supply. Yet our government is +encouraging the United Nations to allow Iraq, a distressed seller if +ever there was one, to increase supply. + The sanctions policy, if it is enforced as intended, gives Saddam +only one way to raise meaningful revenue--taking whatever is available +to him under the oil-for-food program. Since the program is structured +only in terms of revenue limits, with no limits on the amount of Iraqi +production, Saddam's incentive is to produce whatever it takes to +generate permitted revenue. And if the limits on the revenues were +simply removed, his incentive would be to produce even more, without +regard to the glut in the marketplace that motivates producers who are +under less duress to curtail production. +(2) Low oil prices are bad for both U.S. producers and the oil-for-food + program. + The effect of low oil prices in the U.S. has been staggering. Two +charts prepared by the Independent Petroleum Association of America +(IPAA), included as appendices to my testimony, illustrate this all too +well. Appendix One shows that the workover rig count, a key indicator +of the industry's efforts to maintain production, has declined +dramatically; from 1,459 in December 1997 to 766 in January 1999. +Appendix Two shows that oil and gas extraction employment has also +fallen from 339,000 employees in December 1997 to 288,000 in February +1999. In Texas, I might add, unemployment claims from my industry +quadrupled in 1998 and 1999 is even worse. + Low oil prices are also troublesome for the oil-for-food program. +Appendix Three outlines different price and production scenarios facing +the program. According to the United Nations, since the beginning of +Phase V (which runs from November 26, 1998 to May 24, 1999) Iraq has so +far exported an average of 1.9 million barrels per day at $9.31 a +barrel. At this price, Iraq will raise $3.18 billion during Phase V-- +far short of the $5.26 billion target. The table also shows that at the +current average price, Iraq will need to export 3.1 million barrels of +oil per day to raise $5.2 billion. Department of Energy Secretary Bill +Richardson testified last week that Iraq appears unable to increase +production to this level, so it appears Iraq will not raise the $5.26 +billion target for the foreseeable future. The oil-for-food program +simply does not work in a world of $10 oil. + recomnendations and conclusion + I will conclude with two suggestions for policymakers, and it +should be noted that it is important that these suggestions be pursued +in concert. +(1) Restructure the Oil-for-Food Program so it does not depress world + oil prices. + First, we suggest that the U.S. press the United Nations to +restructure the oil-for-food program so that it no longer gives Iraq an +incentive to depress world oil prices. TIPRO is concerned that to +simply lift the ceiling on oil sales, as the Administration has +recently proposed to the United Nations Security Council, would depress +oil prices further. In a world of $10 oil, Iraq would need to produce +almost 3 million barrels per day--which is almost half a million +barrels per day more than it produces currently--to generate $5.26 +billion every 180 days, as the current ceiling allows. Given that a +world oil surplus of perhaps 2 million barrels a day (half of which can +be attributed to increased production by Iraq) yields oil prices that +are only slightly above historic lows, what will happen if Iraq +increases production by a half million barrels per day in the next +year? + We submit that production increases measured in hundreds of +thousands of barrels per day would cause prices to fall further, and +the oil-for-food program would still come up short. Put simply, +humanitarian needs in Iraq will not be met in a world of $10 oil. + We believe that the way to restructure the oil-for-food program so +that it no longer serves to depress oil prices is for the United +Nations to establish an oil quota for Iraq. The quota would be equal to +the number of barrels per day that can be reasonably expected to yield +the revenues that are believed necessary. + The production quota could be adjusted every 180 days as revenue +targets and oil price forecasts change. A potential quota table is +attached as Appendix Four. For example, if the forecast is that Iraq +will receive an average of $12 per barrel during the next United +Nations reporting period, and $5.25 billion is the target revenue for +the period, the quota would only need to be 2.43 million barrels per +day. If the United Nations determines that more revenue is needed, $6 +billion for example, the quota for the period would be 2.78 million +barrels per day. If the price of Iraqi crude should rise to $16 per +barrel, a 2.43 million barrels per day quota would provide $7 billion +of revenue in 180 days, should the United Nations want to provide that +much revenue to the program. + This proposal may have some flaws, and I present it only as a +potential option. However, by maintaining Iraq's production at a level +that bears some relation to market demand, we can eliminate the +downward pressure Iraqi increased production has on price. + In summary, if the United Nations wants to increase the amount of +oil revenue available to ease the suffering of the Iraqi population, +the policy focus should be shifted from increasing production, to +increasing price, in order to reach the revenue target. +(2) Seek to stabilize oil prices at reasonable levels. + Our second suggestion is to couple the restructuring of the oil- +for-food program with meaningful efforts to stabilize the price of oil +at levels that reflect its hidden environmental and military costs. The +United States can help achieve this through variable import fees, such +as fees on tankers that move oil in environmentally sensitive coastal +waters, fees designed to recoup some of our nation's enormous military +costs devoted to protecting Middle Eastern oil supplies, and/or fees +that offset the advantage that imported oil currently enjoys over +domestic production due to minimal environmental regulation of foreign +production practices. + I appreciate the opportunity to be with you today and would be +happy to try to answer any questions. + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.012 + +[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5644.013 + + Appendix Three + + Price and Production Scenarios Under Oil-for-Food + Total Revenues Derived from Iraqi Oil Sales + (Billions of Dollars Every 180 Days) +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + Dollars per barrel + MMB/D ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + 9.31 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- +5.0..................................................... 8.38 9.00 9.90 10.80 11.70 12.60 13.50 14.40 15.30 16.20 17.10 18.00 +4.5..................................................... 7.54 8.10 8.91 9.72 10.53 11.34 12.15 12.96 13.77 14.58 15.39 16.20 +4.0..................................................... 6.70 7.20 7.92 8.64 9.36 10.08 10.80 11.52 12.24 12.96 13.68 14.40 +3.5..................................................... 5.87 6.30 6.93 7.56 8.19 8.82 9.45 10.08 10.71 11.34 11.97 12.60 +3.1..................................................... \1\ 5. 5.63 6.20 6.76 7.32 7.89 8.45 9.01 9.58 10.14 10.70 11.27 + 25 +2.5..................................................... 4.19 4.50 4.95 5.40 5.85 6.30 6.75 7.20 7.65 8.10 8.55 9.00 +2.0..................................................... 3.35 3.60 3.96 4.32 4.68 5.04 5.40 5.76 6.12 6.48 6.84 7.20 +1.9..................................................... \2\ 3. 3.42 3.76 4.10 4.45 4.79 5.13 5.47 5.81 6.16 6.50 6.84 + 18 +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- +\1\ According to the United Nations Office of the Iraq Programme Weekly Update for 13 to 19 March, since the beginning of Phase V, which runs from + November 26, 1998 to May 24, 1999, Iraq has exported an average of 1.9 mb/d at $9.31 a barrel. At this rate Iraq will raise $3.18 billion during Phase + V. +\2\ At the current average price, Iraq will need to export 3.13 million barrels of oil per day to raise 5.25 billion. + + Appendix Four + + Potential Iraq Production Quotas + (Million Barrels Per Day) +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + Dollars per barrel + Total Revenue ($billion per 180 days) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + 9.31 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- +3.25.................................................... 1.94 1.81 1.64 1.50 1.39 1.29 1.20 1.13 1.06 1.00 0.95 0.90 +3.50.................................................... 2.09 1.94 1.77 1.62 1.50 1.39 1.30 1.22 1.14 1.08 1.02 0.97 +3.75.................................................... 2.24 2.08 1.89 1.74 1.60 1.49 1.39 1.30 1.23 1.16 1.10 1.04 +4.00.................................................... 2.39 2.22 2.02 1.85 1.71 1.59 1.48 1.39 1.31 1.23 1.17 1.11 +4.25.................................................... 2.54 2.36 2.15 1.97 1.82 1.69 1.57 1.48 1.39 1.31 1.24 1.18 +4.50.................................................... 2.69 2.50 2.27 2.08 1.92 1.79 1.67 1.56 1.47 1.39 1.32 1.25 +4.75.................................................... 2.83 2.64 2.40 2.20 2.03 1.88 1.76 1.65 1.55 1.47 1.39 1.32 +5.00.................................................... 2.98 2.78 2.53 2.31 2.14 1.98 1.85 1.74 1.63 1.54 1.46 1.39 +5.25.................................................... 3.13 2.92 2.65 2.43 2.24 2.08 1.94 1.82 1.72 1.62 1.54 1.46 +5.50.................................................... 3.28 3.06 2.78 2.55 2.35 2.18 2.04 1.91 1.80 1.70 1.61 1.53 +5.75.................................................... 3.43 3.19 2.90 2.66 2.46 2.28 2.13 2.00 1.88 1.77 1.68 1.60 +6.00.................................................... 3.58 3.33 3.03 2.78 2.56 2.38 2.22 2.08 1.96 1.85 1.75 1.67 +6.25.................................................... 3.73 3.47 3.16 2.89 2.67 2.48 2.31 2.17 2.04 1.93 1.83 1.74 +6.50.................................................... 3.88 3.61 3.28 3.01 2.78 2.58 2.41 2.26 2.12 2.01 1.90 1.81 +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- +This chart reflects the number of barrels that Iraq would need to produce per day to reach a 180 day revenue target at a given price. As the price of + oil price or revenue target changes, the amount of oil Iraq would be allowed to produce in subsequent phases would change accordingly. + + + Mr. Barton. We want to thank you, Mr. Taylor, for your +testimony, and the appendices especially will be used as we +pursue this. Our friends in the State Department I don't think +have enough personnel to do some of the basic math that you +have done. + Mr. Taylor. Thank you, sir. + Mr. Barton. We appreciate that. + Mr. Brown, we appreciate you being here on behalf of +Congressman Largent. He recommended that you be asked to +testify and we appreciate you coming up. We will put your +statement in the record, and give you such time as you may +consume to elaborate on it. But try to do it within 5 to 7 +minutes. + + STATEMENT OF F.W. ``PETE'' BROWN + + Mr. Brown. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Chairman and +Representative Hall and members of the audience, I believe +myself to be a very typical independent oil and gas producer, +not only in Oklahoma, but throughout the entire Nation. + In 1998, 32 percent of the wells in which I own an interest +lost money due to low oil prices. In the month of December +alone, that same year, 57 percent of my wells were losing money +for the same reason. I accepted these losses in the hopes that +oil prices would rebound. + In the past 17 months, the price of oil has plummeted to +levels far below the lifting cost of independent producers +throughout the United States. To understand the reason for this +drop, we first must understand why exporting countries until +recently have not taken the initiative to curtail production. + First of all, it needs to be noted the world's so-called +oversupply of crude oil is based on the ability of a country to +produce oil versus worldwide consumption. In order to maintain +stability in the marketplace, those of us who import oil, like +the United States, should also want supply to exceed demand. +Excess production capacity is not actually produced. Aside from +above ground storage, there is very little ability to store +large quantities of oil once it is produced. Saudi Arabia, for +example, is estimated to have the capability of producing up to +10 million barrels of oil per day, and yet it actually produces +just a little over 8 million barrels of oil per day. This can +be misleading in that the ability to produce oil in the field +does not necessarily mean that it can be transported to +terminals and loaded into tankers at the same rate. + Actually, no one really knows how much surplus production +capacity exists in the world today. Some believe the world's +ability to produce oil exceeds demand by about 3.5 million +barrels a day, but that compares to estimates of 10 million +barrels a day of surplus capacity in 1981, the year in which +the price of oil reached $38 a barrel. Today we are actually +closer than ever before to a point where demand will exceed the +world's ability to produce. Part of the reason for this +reduction in surplus production capacity is increased demand, +but part of the reason is reduction of production. + Why, then, is the price of crude at such low levels? The +price of crude first started to drop when the Saudis began to +lose market share as a result of Venezuelan production. +Venezuela began increasing exports about the same time that +crude oil prices began their downward spiral. As production +increased in Venezuela, it began to capture market share from +Saudi Arabia. The Saudis had two choices. They could curtail +production even further, causing the price to rise, or they +could keep production levels the same, allowing the price to +drop below Venezuela's cost of production, which was +significantly higher than the Saudis. + This strategy discourages drilling in areas that have +associated high cost of drilling such as the North Sea, +Siberia, deep offshore drilling, the Caspian Sea, which is an +area estimated to contain reserves equivalent to the Persian +Gulf, and of course U.S. domestic onshore production. In +addition, it has had the side benefit to the Saudis, that is, +of shutting down much of the stripper production in the United +States. It is not the intention of the Saudis to maintain the +low prices; rather, they want to create market volatility, +which has the affect of discouraging high drilling in high-cost +regions. + Saudi Arabia, like many Middle Eastern countries, has +social costs associated with their crude production. Crude oil +funds social programs set up for the Saudi citizens such as +free medical care, no taxes, low-cost housing and many more +programs that once established cannot be easily discontinued. +In recent months, OPEC has dropped production levels that would +ordinarily be sufficient to bolster the price of crude oil to +1997 levels. This has failed to produce the desired results for +very important reasons. Iraq has been allowed to produce +additional volumes of oil to offset the drop in production, +even while men and women of our armed forces are in a shooting +war with Iraq. Allowing Iraq to produce this oil has had a +devastating effect on U.S. independent producers and threatens +to drop U.S. crude production as much as 1 to 2 million barrels +per day. The 4-week average of domestic crude oil production is +already down 416,000 barrels a day from 1 year ago, according +to figures published in the Oil and Gas Journal. + It is argued that it is necessary to allow the Iraqi +government to increase production so that they can have +sufficient revenue to feed their people. Yet, grain and food +purchased with these funds sits in warehouses undistributed. We +also might want to consider the fact that the Iraqi government +has never provided their citizens with free food, and probably +has no intention of doing so now. + By allowing the sale of crude oil for humanitarian reasons, +we have, in effect, taken the pressure off the Iraqi government +to provide for its own people. In doing so, we provide them the +means by which they can fund their continued production of +biological and chemical weapons. At the same time, we eliminate +a valuable natural resource in this country which will +ultimately give countries with surplus oil production such as +Iraq an enormous amount of power in the not too distant future. +If, in fact, we feel it necessary to reward Iraqi's +noncompliance for humanitarian reasons by allowing +overproduction of crude oil, steps should and must be taken to +protect our domestic producers. + The paramount tragedy here is allowing a viable, important +industry to be systematically dismantled, causing the loss of +thousands of jobs, as well as causing economic depression in +oil producing States. All the while, our government continues +to subsidize foreign governments and ignores its own domestic +oil and gas producers. By spending billions of dollars to +ensure the free flow of oil out of the Persian Gulf, my +government and yours, in effect, is subsidizing my foreign +competition. + Those of us in the oil and gas industry believe in a free +market economy. World crude oil production is far from a free +market. When foreign governments control the flow of oil, our +own government has not only the right, but the obligation to +protect its domestic industry. This can be accomplished by +allowing the defense equalization fee to be charged on crude +oil from the Middle East. Revenues from such a fee could be +used to offset the cost of subsidizing their production and +maintaining a military presence in the Persian Gulf. + Another disadvantage we face as domestic producers is our +environmental costs. The crude oil purchased from foreign +countries is subject to barely a fraction of our environmental +regulations protections and the associated environmental costs +in terms of dollars. Thus, an environmental equalization fee +would be appropriate to level the playing field for domestic +oil and gas producers. This fee should be put in place +regardless of price, as long as America continues to allow +foreign governments to have a competitive advantage. + At normal prices, the wells in which I own an interest that +are daily losing money still have thousands of barrels of +recoverable oil. But as anyone, I can only lose money for so +long. My wells that are losing money must now be plugged and +abandoned. I have no choice. Once these wells are plugged, they +will never be brought back on, as the remaining reserves would +not justify the additional substantial investment required to +do so. + If Congress fails to act, the United States of America +stands to lose a substantial portion of a precious national +asset, as well as turning over an even greater share of our +future energy requirements to foreign governments that don't +have America's best interests at heart. + Mr. Chairman, members of the subcommittee, we citizens of +the United States face a crisis that will have far-reaching +consequences if left unabated. I urge each of you on behalf of +our domestic oil and gas industry and our country to take +action to curb production from Iraq. The energy future of +America now and for generations to come is in your hands. It +has been my honor to address you and I thank you for the +opportunity to be heard on this issue, and I would be glad to +answer any questions. + [The prepared statement of F.W. ``Pete'' Brown follows:] + Prepared Statement of F.W. ``Pete'' Brown, Independent Oil and Gas + Producer + Mr. Chairman, members of the subcommittee and distinguished guests, +thank you for the opportunity to provide testimony on this vital issue. +I come before you, as a very typical and average independent oil & gas +producer, not only in Oklahoma but throughout the entire nation. In +1998 32% of the wells from which I receive production lost money due to +low crude oil prices. By the month of December in 1998, 57% of my wells +were losing money. I have continued to accept these losses in the hope +that crude oil prices would rebound. + In the past 17 months, the price of domestic crude oil has +plummeted to levels far below the average lifting cost for the majority +of independent producers in the United States. To understand the reason +for this drop, one must first understand why the oil exporting +countries have not taken the initiative to curtail production. + First of all it should be noted that the world's ``so-called +oversupply'' of crude oil is based on the ability of countries to +produce oil versus worldwide consumption. In order to maintain +stability in the market place, those of us who rely on imports should +always want supply to exceed demand. Excess production capacity is not +actually produced. Aside from above ground storage (782,955,000 bbls +crude and refined product or roughly a 42 day supply according to the +Oil & Gas Journal dated March 22, 1999), there is very little ability +to store large quantities of oil once it is produced. Saudi Arabia, for +example, is estimated to have the capability of producing up to 10 +million barrels of oil per day and yet they actually produce a little +over 8 million barrels per day. This can be misleading in that the +ability to produce oil in the field does not necessarily mean that it +can be transported to terminals and loaded into tankers at the same +rate. + Actually, no one really knows how much surplus production capacity +exists in the world today. Some believe the world's ability to produce +& market oil exceeds demand by about 3.5 million barrels per day +compared to estimates of 10 million barrels per day of surplus +production capability in 1981, a year in which crude oil prices reached +$38.00 per barrel. Today we are actually coming closer to the point +where demand will exceed the world's ability to produce. Part of the +reason for this reduction in surplus production capacity is increased +demand. + Why then is the price of crude at such low levels? The price of +crude first started to drop when the Saudis began to lose market share +as a result of an increase in Venezuelan production. Venezuela began +increasing exports about the time that crude oil prices began their +downward spiral. As production increased in Venezuela, it began to +capture market share from Saudi Arabia. The Saudis had two choices; +they could curtail production even further, causing the price to rise, +or they could keep production levels the same, allowing the price to +drop below Venezuela's cost of production, which was significantly +higher than the Saudi's. This strategy discourages drilling in areas +that have associated high costs such as the North Sea, Siberia, the +Caspian Sea (an area estimated to contain reserves equivalent to the +Persian Gulf), deep offshore and U.S. domestic onshore. In addition, it +has the side benefit (to the Saudis) of shutting down much of the +stripper production in the U.S. + It is not the intention of the Saudis to maintain such low prices, +rather they want to create market volatility, which has the effect of +discouraging drilling in high cost regions. Saudi Arabia, like many +Middle East countries, has ``social'' cost associated with their crude +oil production. Crude oil funds these social programs, set up for Saudi +citizens, such as free medical care, no taxes, low cost housing and +many more programs that, once established, can not be easily +discontinued. + In recent months, OPEC has dropped production to levels that would +ordinarily be sufficient to bolster the price of crude oil to 1997 +levels. This has failed to produce the desired results for one very +important reason. Iraq has been allowed to produce additional volumes +of oil to offset the drop in prices, even while men and women of our +Armed Forces are engaged in a shooting war with Iraq. Allowing Iraq to +produce this oil has had a devastating effect on U.S. independent +producers and threatens to drop U.S. crude production as much as 1 to 2 +million barrels per day. The four-week average of domestic crude oil +production is already down 416,000 barrels per day from one year ago +according to figures published in the Oil & Gas Journal dated March 22, +1999. It is argued that it is necessary to allow the Iraqi government +to increase production so that they can have sufficient revenue to feed +their people. Yet grain purchased with these funds sits in warehouses +undistributed. We might want to consider the fact that the Iraqi +government has never provided its citizens with free food, and probably +has no intention of doing so now. By allowing the sale of crude oil for +humanitarian reasons, we in effect have taken the pressure off the +Iraqi government to provide for its own people. In doing so we provide +them the means by which they can fund their continued production of +biological and chemical weapons. + At the same time we eliminate a valuable natural resource in this +country which will ultimately give countries with surplus oil +production, such as Iraq, an enormous amount of power in the not too +distant future. If in fact we feel it necessary to reward Iraqs non- +compliance, for humanitarian reasons, by allowing overproduction of +crude oil, steps should and must be taken to protect our own domestic +producers. + The paramount tragedy here is allowing a viable and important +industry to be systematically dismantled causing the loss of thousands +of jobs, as well as causing an economic depression in oil producing +states. All the while our Government continues to subsidize foreign +governments and ignores its own domestic oil and gas producers. By +spending billions of dollars to insure the free flow of oil from the +Persian Gulf my government and yours, in effect, is subsidizing my +foreign competition. Those of us in the oil and gas industry believe in +a free market economy. World crude oil production is far from a free +market. When foreign governments control the flow of oil, our own +government has not only the right, but also the obligation, to protect +its domestic industry. This can be accomplished by allowing a defense +equalization fee to be charged on crude oil from the Middle East. +Revenues from such a fee would be used to offset the cost of +subsidizing their production by maintaining a military presence in the +Persian Gulf. + Another disadvantage we face as domestic producers is our +environmental cost. The crude oil we purchase from foreign countries is +subject to barely a fraction of our environmental regulations and +protections, and the associated environmental cost in terms of dollars. +Thus an environmental equalization fee would be appropriate to level +the playing field for domestic producers. This fee should be put in +place, regardless of price, as long as America continues to allow +foreign governments have a competitive advantage. + At normal prices the wells in which I own an interest, and that are +losing money today, still have thousands of barrels of recoverable oil. +But I, as anyone, can only lose money for so long. My wells that are +losing money must now be plugged and abandoned. I have no choice. Once +these wells are plugged they can never be brought back on production, +as the remaining reserves would not justify the substantial investment +required to do so. If Congress fails to act, the United States of +America stands to lose a substantial portion of a precious national +asset as well as turning over an even greater share of our future +energy requirements to foreign governments that don't have America's +best interest at heart. + Mr. Chairman and members of the sub-committee, we, as citizens of +the United States, face a crisis that will have far reaching +consequences if left unabated. I urge each of you, on behalf of our +domestic oil and gas industry and your country, to take action to curb +excess production from Iraq. The Energy future of America, now and for +generations to come, is in your hands. + It has been my honor to address you and I thank you for the +opportunity to be heard on this issue. + + Mr. Barton. Thank you. We want to hear from Mr. Bole. Mr. +Hall has a plane at 1:45, so Ralph, do you want to ask a +question? + Mr. Hall. May I say something here? I am the loser by not +getting to stay here and talk to you for another hour, because +this is the group I would listen to more than all the others +put together, because you are my folks, and your testimony +means more to me than any that I have heard or will hear. I +think you can gather from the things that the chairman has said +and I have said--by the way, you are not just talking to the +two of us. This goes into the record and it is read by +certainly the committees and by the members. So I thank you for +your time. I will have some questions. I have questions built +around whether or not the State Department has consulted with +any of you or the domestic industry on this food program, and +you know, I am pretty sure they haven't listened to you, but I +would like to know if they have even made any effort, and that +will be part of my questions. But I do have to be on a plane in +34 minutes and I have to clear off my desk and put the fire out +and call the dogs and get out. + Mr. Barton. Actually, he is leaving a little early. I have +seen Ralph make it in less than 10 minutes. + Mr. Hall. Well, they close the door on you now. But I thank +you very much. And Joe, thank you for holding the hearing. + Mr. Barton. We appreciate you, Congressman Hall. +Congressman Hall has agreed to sign some of the letters that I +just talked to the Deputy Assistant Secretary of State about, +so we are going to be working on this in a bipartisan way. + Mr. Bole, we are delighted to have you up from Houston. We +will put your testimony in the record again in its entirety and +give you 5 to 7 minutes to elaborate on it. + + STATEMENT OF DAVID L. BOLE + + Mr. Bole. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and also my thanks to +Mr. Hall. My name is David Bole. I am Vice President of +Corporate Research and Development for Randall and Dewey, Inc., +a Houston-based company that facilitates transactions in the +upstream part of the petroleum industry for all segments of the +industry, major companies, large and small interests, both +public and private. In this business we have seen the +disruptive effects of the current price crisis not only on the +stability of this critical portion of the industry, but in the +direct loss of producers' equity value. Today, I am +representing the Independent Petroleum Association of America. +IPAA submits that the current problems facing domestic +producers are related in large part to the abuse of the U.N. +Oil-For-Food sanctions program by Saddam Hussein. + The industry has faced low oil prices for more than a year, +beginning with a combination of events: the collapse of Asian +economies, which we have heard a lot about this morning, a +warmer than normal winter in the Northern Hemisphere, and +OPEC's decision to increase production quotas. However, as 1998 +progressed, key OPEC countries and other significant non-OPEC +countries curtailed production to try to diminish surplus +inventories around the world and stabilize oil prices at levels +that permit profitable operation. As other countries cut +production, the U.N. sanctions program created an opportunity +for Iraq's leaders to influence the price of oil in ways that +no one would have expected. The U.N. sanctions structure was +changed in two significant ways in early 1998. First, the Oil- +For-Food Program has always been based on a dollar amount +rather than a volume allowance, and we have heard a lot about +that this morning. The dollar amount has increased to $5.3 +billion per 6 months, which we have talked about, an amount at +current prices that effectively allows Iraq to pump unlimited +volumes. + Second, the $400 million every 6 months allocated to +improve Iraq's oil production capacity allows them to increase +their production. Thus, as other countries were making economic +decisions to reduce production as prices fell, Iraq was given a +perverse incentive to increase production. + At the beginning of 1998, Iraq was exporting approximately +700,000 barrels of oil per day. By the beginning of 1999, it +was exporting as much as 2.5 million barrels per day. In 1998, +Iraq was the only country to increase its oil production. This +more than threefold increase, coupled with OPEC's decision to +curtail production, has allowed Iraq to become the world's +swing producer. That is, the producer that sells the last +barrels into the market and thereby defines the price for the +entire market. + Let me explain what allows Iraq to become the swing +producer. Currently, many industry analysts estimate that +worldwide oil productive capacity exceeds demand by only about +4 percent. As forecast demand increases at a rate of 1.5 to 2 +percent per year, this excess capacity will rapidly disappear. +Current low oil prices have decimated upstream capital +development budgets by an estimated 40 percent. My good friend +Pete here knows that. There is just not enough money out there +to continue drilling. + Simply put, without the expenditure of enormous development +funds, current capacity will not be expanded to keep pace with +increasing demand. This is the situation we now face. As a +result, any country with exports matching the excess productive +capacity, has the ability to be the world's swing producer. +Iraq now supplies about 3 percent of the world's demand, and +has the ability to dramatically influence prices by either +cutting or increasing its production. As demand increases and +excess capacity drops, the export volume needed to drive prices +will decrease. In the not too distant future, if not already, +Saddam Hussein will be in the position to drive prices upward +and punish consumer countries, perhaps when sanctions are +lifted and all the money from Iraqi oil sales goes to him. + We submit that Iraq is using this position for its leader's +own political purposes. Saddam's objectives differ from other +oil producers. We have heard a lot about that this morning. He +wanted higher oil prices when he invaded Kuwait, money he +needed to build his military forces. Now, he can't spend money +to buy arms. But, he can, by keeping oil prices low, punish his +enemies, first by reducing the income to Saudi Arabia, Kuwait +and all the exporting countries; and second, to increase market +share by driving down prices and causing critical U.S. +production to be shut down and plugged forever, and that hurts +the guys sitting right here. Thus, while condemning the U.N. +sanctions and thwarting efforts to deliver to his people the +humanitarian aid the sanctions purchase, Saddam is effectively +manipulating the world oil markets for his own political +purposes. This is where we stand today, and that is why we are +here. + At issue, then, is what will happen next. Last week, the +Secretary of Energy argued that Iraq's ability to increase its +production is limited and is not expected to go up measurably +this year. As a result, EIA believes that whatever effect Iraqi +production has had on prices has already occurred, because Iraq +cannot increase oil production much more over the next year or +two. + While we agree with the Secretary that Iraqi production has +impacted prices, the statement that Iraq cannot increase +production is a costly assumption that must be proven. Given +that the current sanctions program continues to fund additional +improvements to the oil export capabilities of Iraq, there is +no certainty that exports will not increase further. Clearly, +today's crude market is forcing other major oil exporting +nations to develop elaborate plans to limit their production. +The success of these efforts is limited by the ability of Iraq +to add more oil to the market. If the current Oil-For-Food +Program results in further Iraqi oil production increases, it +will allow Iraq to continue to hurt the other oil producing +countries and the strategically essential domestic production +of the United States. If it does, the U.N. sanctions will +continue to be fatally flawed at two levels. First, they will +have failed in its primary mission to provide humanitarian aid +to the Iraqi people. Second, they will have handed Saddam +Hussein the victory he lost in the Gulf War. + For the United States these options reflect policies we +must change. They make no sense. The world fought a war to +prevent Saddam Hussein from controlling world oil prices. Now, +we have, however inadvertently, handed him this ability without +a fight, and we are handing him control of the future of our +domestic resources, an unbelievable policy choice. Current +national policy on Iraq is flawed. Today, domestic production +is at risk, while tomorrow the U.S. consumer may soon feel the +shock of higher energy prices brought on by the actions of a +rogue nation, a policy that hurts producers and consumers +alike. + Our domestic oil production resource is the true national +strategic petroleum reserve. We must value that resource. With +respect to Iraq, we must recognize that its role in oil pricing +may not have been planned, but it is now significant and it is +not benign. If we fail to act in the short term, precious +domestic resources will be lost forever. As we have heard this +morning, in the last year we have lost nearly 600,000 barrels +per day of domestic production, which has reduced the U.S. +crude production to a level that has not been seen since 1950. +Since 1986, when the last price free-fall crippled the +industry, domestic oil production has dropped 2 million barrels +per day. We need to act now to prevent a similar consequence +from the current price crisis. + We thank you for your interest, we thank you for your time +today, and God bless you for being on the side of the +producers. + [The prepared statement of David L. Bole follows:] +Prepared Statement of David L. Bole, Vice President, Corporate Research + and Development, Randall & Dewey, Inc. + Mr. Chairman, my name is David Bole. I am Vice President of +Corporate Research and Development for Randall & Dewey, Inc., a +Houston-based company that facilitates transactions in the upstream +part of the petroleum industry for all segments of the industry--major +companies, large and small independents, both public and private. In +this business, we have seen the disruptive effects of the current price +crisis not only on the stability of this critical portion of the +industry but in the direct loss of producers' equity value. Today, I am +representing the Independent Petroleum Association of America. IPAA +submits that the current problems facing domestic producers, and +potentially significant future problems, are related in large part to +the abuse of the UN ``oil for food'' sanctions program by Saddam +Hussein. + The industry has faced a low oil price crisis for more than a year, +but today's problems are very different. Just over a year ago, the +price crisis was started by a combination of events--the collapse of +Asian economies, a warmer than normal winter in the Northern +Hemisphere, and OPEC's decision to increase production quotas. The +production most at risk was marginal oil wells in the United States-- +wells that produce about 20 percent of America's domestic production, +an amount equivalent to our imports from Saudi Arabia. + However, as 1998 progressed, key OPEC countries and other +significant non-OPEC countries curtailed production to try to diminish +surplus inventories around the world and stabilize oil prices at levels +that permit profitable operation. As other countries cut production, +the UN sanctions program created an opportunity for Iraq's leaders to +influence the price of oil in ways that no one would have expected. The +UN sanctions structure was changed in two significant ways in early +1998. First, the ``oil-for-food'' program has always been based on a +dollar amount rather than a volume allowance. The dollar amount was +increased to $5.265 billion per six months--an amount at current prices +that effectively allows Iraq to pump unlimited volumes. Second, $300 +million every six months was allocated to improve Iraq's oil production +capacity. Thus, as other countries were making the economic decisions +to reduce production as prices fell, Iraq was given a perverse +incentive to increase production. + And, increase it did. At the beginning of 1998 Iraq was exporting +approximately 700,000 barrels of oil per day. By the beginning of 1999 +it was exporting as much as 2.5 million barrels per day. In 1998 Iraq +was the only country to increase its production of oil. This increase +has allowed Iraq to become the world's swing producer--the producer +that sells the last barrels into the market and thereby defines the +price for the entire market. + Let me explain what allows Iraq to become the swing producer. +Currently, many industry analysts estimate that worldwide oil +productive capacity, that is production that could quickly be added to +the world market, exceeds demand by only about 4 percent. As demand +increases at a rate of 1.5 to 2 percent per year, this excess capacity +is rapidly disappearing. Current low oil prices have decimated upstream +capital development budgets by an estimated 40 percent. Simply put, +without the expenditure of enormous development funds current capacity +will not be expanded to keep pace with increasing demand. This is the +situation we now face. As a result any country with exports matching +the excess productive capacity, has the ability to be the world's swing +producer. Iraq now has about three percent of the world's demand and +has the ability to dramatically influence prices by either cutting or +increasing its production. As demand increases and excess capacity +drops, the export volume needed to drive prices will decrease. In the +not too distant future--if not already--Saddam Hussein will be in the +position to drive prices upward and punish consuming countries--perhaps +when sanctions are lifted and all the money from Iraqi oil sales goes +to him. + We submit that Iraq is using this position for its leader's own +political purposes. Saddam's objectives differ from other oil +producers. He wanted higher oil prices when he invaded Kuwait--money he +needed to build his military forces. Now, he can't spend money to buy +arms. But, he can--by keeping oil prices low--punish his enemies, first +by reducing the income to Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE, Iran, and all the +exporting countries; second, to increase market share by driving down +prices and causing critical U.S. production to be shutdown and plugged +forever. Thus, while condemning the UN sanctions and thwarting efforts +to deliver to his people the humanitarian aid the sanctions purchase, +Saddam is effectively manipulating the world oil markets for his own +political purposes. This is where we stand today. And that is why we +are here. + At issue then is what will happen next. Last week, the Secretary of +Energy argued that ``Iraq's ability to increase its production is +limited and is not expected to go up measurably this year. As a result, +EIA believes that whatever effect Iraqi production has had on prices +has already occurred, because Iraq cannot increase oil production much +more over the next year or two.'' While we agree Iraqi production has +impacted prices, the statement that Iraq cannot increase production is +a costly assumption that must be proven. Given that the current +sanctions program continues to fund additional improvements to the oil +export capabilities of Iraq, there is no certainty that exports will +not increase further. In the middle of 1998 most experts believed that +Iraq could not reach the export levels it is currently sustaining. +Clearly, today's crude market is forcing other major oil exporting +nations to develop elaborate plans to manage their production, the +success of these efforts is limited by the ability of Iraq to add more +oil to the market. If the current ``oil-for-food'' program results in +further Iraqi oil production increases, it will allow Iraq to continue +to hurt the other oil producing countries--Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, +Venezuela, Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, and the strategically essential +domestic production of the United States. If it does, the UN sanctions +will continue to be fatally flawed at two levels. First, they will have +failed in its primary mission to provide humanitarian aid to the Iraqi +people. Second, they will have handed Saddam Hussein the victory he +lost in the Gulf War. + For the United States these options reflect policies we must +change. They make no sense. The world fought a war to prevent Saddam +Hussein from controlling world oil prices. Now, we have--however +inadvertently--handed him this ability. And, we are handing him control +of the future of our domestic resources--an unbelievable policy choice. +Current national policy on Iraq is faulty. Today, domestic production +is at risk, while tomorrow the U.S. consumer may soon feel the shock of +higher energy prices brought on by the actions of a rogue nation--a +policy that hurts producers and consumers alike. + Our domestic oil production resource is our true national strategic +petroleum reserve. We must value that resource. IPAA has presented an +array of options for Congress to address in response to the current +price crisis. With respect to Iraq we must recognize that its role in +oil pricing may not have been planned, but it is now significant and it +is not benign. If we fail to act in the short term, precious domestic +resources will be lost forever. Then, in the longer term when Saddam +shuts in production, we will not have the production needed to respond. +In the past year we have lost nearly 600,000 barrels per day of +domestic production, which has reduced the U.S. crude production to a +level that has not been seen since 1950. Since 1986, when the last +price crisis crippled the industry, domestic oil production has dropped +by 2 million barrels per day. We need to act now to prevent a similar +consequence from the current price crisis. + + Mr. Barton. Thank you. Seeing no other member present, the +Chair is going to recognize himself for questions. And I am not +going to use the clock. + I am going to ask Mr. Hall's question since he had to +leave. Was anybody at TIPRO or IPAA or any other producer, +maybe the API, consulted before this Oil-For-Food Program was +put in place last year? Does anybody know? + Mr. Taylor. Not that I am aware of. + Mr. Brown. No. + Mr. Barton. Mr. Sieminski, do you remember? + Mr. Sieminski. Well, I do talk to people at the State +Department and elsewhere, but it seems to me that that program +was being driven mainly out of the United Nations and some of +the issues there I don't think that that domestic oil +consideration has gotten a lot of attention as part of that +program. + Mr. Barton. As far as anybody on this panel knows, there +was no formal attempt by the State Department or the Energy +Department or the United Nations directorate to contact the +production sector of the United States? + Mr. Bole. Not at all. + Mr. Barton. That is a fair statement. + Is there anybody on this panel that is opposed to providing +in some way food and medicine for the Iraqi people? + Mr. Bole. No. + Mr. Taylor. No. + Mr. Brown. No. + Mr. Sieminski. Not at all. + Mr. Barton. So we are not in opposition to at least the +publicized purpose of the program, which is to provide for +basic food, nutrition and medicine and humanitarian programs. + Is it in the national interest for us not only to allow +this production that is currently under way, but to give them +spare parts to increase production? Does anybody think that +makes sense from a national security standpoint, or even in the +interests of the United States standpoint? + Mr. Bole. Well, it makes absolutely no sense to allow Iraq +to increase production, while other OPEC nations are working in +concert to lower production so that we have a viable supply of +oil at a reasonable price to continue development. + Mr. Barton. Well, you all heard one of my final questions +to the gentleman from the State Department. Congressman Hall +and I are going to send a letter next week asking that they not +go forward with the spare parts program while we review it. I +would assume that you all would support that position that we, +at a minimum, while we review the larger program, we at least +stop the ability to increase production in Iraq. + Mr. Sieminski. Absolutely. + Mr. Taylor. Mr. Barton, I might even go a step further and +ask if you could somehow get through to them that a very +minuscule amount of that money would help restructure our own +industry here, and that they might consider the cost--it is bad +enough that Mr. Brown and I have to plug our wells. We lose the +production, and we have been taking a loss for quite a time on +these. When you decide to finally plug them on top of that, you +get a golden ring of about another $5,000 or $10,000 hit that +you have to pay to plug these wells in accordance with the +environmental regulations. So I would like for them to consider +our industry here that you know, maybe they would consider, +since they are encouraging them to dump all this oil on the +market over this, for the humanitarian reasons over there, that +they would consider the humanitarian reasons over here in the +United States and possibly give us some of that money for our +plugging costs. Maybe that will make them realize just how much +oil we are losing. + Mr. Barton. Interestingly enough, we didn't get--at least I +didn't understand the State Department's answer on how much +money had been collected, but I did understand that a large +portion that had been collected had not been spent for food. +Its label is oil for food, but in practical effect, they are +paying reparations to the Kuwaiti government and they are +paying for the cost of the U.N. bureaucracy, and they are +paying for the cost of the inspections which are not even going +on, and he upped his ante from $900 million I think to about +$2.5 billion for food, so I would guess about half the money so +far collected has gone for food. There are numerous ways to get +$2.5 billion worth of food to the Iraq people without allowing +the Iraqi government to produce oil. + Mr. Taylor. I have a tip from all the other oil producers. +We would like to get on that list of helping Kuwait and the +other oil countries that have gotten hurt. + Mr. Barton. We are going to give you an opportunity, I +think, to consult with the State Department, and if you want to +divert the spare parts to west Texas, that is fine with me. My +daughter is a teacher at South Elementary in Midland, Texas, +and she has seen the negative effects of what has happened, so +I don't think it would be a burden to reverse some of those +parts. + Yes, sir. + Mr. Sieminski. Mr. Barton, as bad as this Oil-For-Food +Program seems to you today, there are two ways that it could +get worse. The first one is if our policy of getting rid of +Saddam Hussein were to be successful and there were a new, +let's say, politically friendly regime in Iraq that somehow +changed the political course over there that would allow that +country to come out from under sanctions, and at that point +they would be like every other producer. They would produce +whatever they could economically want to do. + Mr. Barton. Well, they would be within the OPEC cartel. + Mr. Sieminski. Right. + Mr. Barton. Which although they are now, they are being +given a free ride apparently for political considerations +within the Arab world. The rest of the cartel is trying to +limit production, but they are not requesting even a +proportionate cut of Iraqi production. + Mr. Sieminski. I think the Iraqis are making the assumption +that their production was held down for so long that they have +a lot of catch-up to do before they are going to cooperate with +their other cartel members. + Mr. Barton. Well, they can assume whatever they want. That +doesn't mean the U.S. Congress---- + Mr. Sieminski. Has to give it to them. + The second way that I think that again is worth more +questioning, that where things could get worse is there are +proposals that have been advanced on the Security Council to +allow foreign investment in the Iraqi industry, even as the +full sanctions are still on. There are a number of companies +and countries that are eagerly awaiting the opportunity to go +in and develop fields in Iraq, and one way perhaps to get at +the head of that line would be to assist the Iraqis in +rebuilding current facilities. + I think that you might want to look into the issue of how +the Oil-For-Food Program could be structured in such a way as +to delay that kind of activity, which I think would be +detrimental to U.S. foreign policy, certainly as long as that +regime in Iraq is in place, that there is a very definite +danger that the level of Iraqi production exports could rise +fairly dramatically and fairly quickly if companies were +allowed to go in and make investments in Iraq, and then again, +you would be back to, there wouldn't be any way--I mean if the +Oil-For-Food Program were to be revamped to allow for that, it +would be a considerably worse situation for domestic production +here in the United States than we are looking at now. + Mr. Barton. I understand that, and I don't advocate this, +but I don't buy the argument that you have to allow this +program to continue in order to keep sanctions being enforced. +Because--and again I am not an advocate of this, so I don't +want this to be the headline coming out of the hearing, but in +a worst-case situation, the United States Air Force could bomb +the oil terminals. We can enforce the ability not to let Iraq +export oil very easily. Again, that is not the purpose of this, +but there are ways to prevent the oil from being shipped, and +we have the military ability to do that. We don't choose to act +unilaterally, and I am not advocating that we should, but I +don't buy the argument that we are somehow helpless in the U.N. +and the world community while our domestic industry is +decimated. Because it was pointed out in a question that I +asked, there is no other nation that is losing permanently +domestic production because of this program except the United +States and perhaps to a smaller extent Canada. + If we can get the State Department's attention and the +Energy Department's attention and the United Nations' attention +to review this program, I assume that your trade associations +would be willing to participate in a dialog about how to revamp +it, is that correct? + Mr. Bole. Yes, sir. + Mr. Barton. There is not anybody that is opposed to that. + Mr. Bole. Mr. Chairman, I just have one comment. Tom made a +good point here a minute ago about a little financial help to +the producers as our stripper and marginal production is made +irrelevant by the sales of Iraq crude. A point of comparison is +Wes Watkins' marginal well tax credit bill is estimated to cost +only $600 million over 10 years, compared to billions of +dollars that we are funneling into Iraq. And I think there are +other measures that could benefit the plight of the domestic +producers when compared in dollar amounts to others are +insignificant, but significant to the producer. + Mr. Barton. Right. We know that, as a Nation, we are +importing more oil than we ever have. We know what the Iraqi +oil production is, and we know the number of barrels that they +are exporting. We didn't ask the prior panel how much of that +Iraqi oil is imported into the United States. Now, I have been +told that it is about 700,000 barrels a day of Iraqi oil into +the United States. Is that a number that anybody here is +familiar with, or if that is the wrong number, are any of you +gentlemen able to tell us approximately how much Iraqi oil is +coming into the United States? + Mr. Taylor. Maybe that is just a sheer coincidence of the 6 +to 700,000 barrels we have lost as independent producers. That +would be a good number. + Mr. Barton. I am not putting that on the record that that +is a valid number, but I have been told that. Mr. Sieminski, do +you know how much Iraqi oil we are importing? + Mr. Sieminski. I don't have that number available right +now, but I think you would get that really quick. + Mr. Barton. Mr. Bole, do you---- + Mr. Bole. Yes. Our staff says that that number has ranged +from 500, 600, 700,000 barrels and it varies on a month-to- +month basis. + Mr. Barton. So it is verifiable that not only are we +importing more oil than we ever have into this country, but +that between 500,000 and 700,000 barrels per day is coming from +Iraq. + Mr. Brown. Mr. Chairman, added to Mr. Smith's testimony are +some graphs indicating select imports to the United States +which indicates that in August Iraqi oil was in the range of +650,000 barrels, and that, from January, steadily increased +upward. If you will look at, I think it is this lower chart +here. It is in Mr. Smith's testimony. + Mr. Barton. I have it right here in front of me. + Mr. Brown. I will be glad to pass this up to you. + Mr. Barton. No. We have it. We appreciate your offer to +help the chairman do his job, but I think I have it right here +in front of me. + We are going to do a number of hearings on the domestic oil +and gas industry on this subcommittee this year. We are +obviously going to look at this issue very closely and very +skeptically based on what testimony we heard from the +administration representative today. + Are there any other items? Mr. Bole, you mentioned the +Watkins bill. Are there any other items that would be of +immediate benefit that we should address in our hearings that +you would like to put on the agenda today? + Mr. Bole. Yes, and it is not a specific item, it is more of +a question. In listening to the testimony today and the +interests of you and the committee members, I am impressed by +the agreement, the majority agreement here that we, as a +Nation, our oil and gas-producing States are in trouble, that +the Iraqi policies and other things are hurting us. But the +question that I would like to have answered, not today but +perhaps in the future, is if you are not from a producing oil +and gas State, why should you care? + Mr. Barton. Well, that is a dilemma that we have. If you +are from a producing State or a producing region, you see the +negative effect of low prices, and again, my daughter is a +sixth grade social studies teacher in Midland, Texas. She has +lived out there this year and she teaches in a lower-income +school, and she has firsthand knowledge of people who have lost +their jobs and who have been thrown out of work and children +who have had to go on food stamps because their parents do not +have a job. So it is a real problem. But the other side of +these low oil prices is gasoline, and in my part of Texas, just +south of Dallas, for 75 cents a gallon, and people get used to +that. + Mr. Bole. Yes, sir. + Mr. Barton. Gas prices have gone back up a little bit in +the last couple of weeks to about 89 cents a gallon or 85 +cents, and people are complaining of price gouging. They get +used to 75 cents, and of course up here it is a little bit +higher. So we do have to have a very good answer to that. + The question why should Congressman Markey from +Massachusetts or Congressman Pallone from New Jersey care as +members of the subcommittee what is happening, and the long- +term answer is national security and the best interests long +term of the people of the United States of America. But we are +going to have to do some research to make sure that we give a +good short-term answer. I agree with that. + We have had a good hearing today. Most of our members who +stayed for the hearing come from regions of the country that +see the negative side of this issue. But it is not going to be +easy to convince a majority of the Congress and the Senate and +the President to make some of these changes that I think need +to be made. + Mr. Bole. Would it be appropriate to suggest a partial +answer to why they should care? + Mr. Barton. You can--my plane doesn't leave until 4:15. I +am going to have to take a personal convenience break at some +time, but I will listen as long as you want to talk. + Mr. Bole. You have a great constituency, and I will be +uncharacteristically brief. + The oil and gas industry is no longer an oil and gas +industry, it is an energy industry. As you know, Congress is +deregulating electricity. + Mr. Barton. We are trying to. + Mr. Bole. We are trying to. + Mr. Barton. This same subcommittee. + Mr. Bole. Absolutely. And so what we are looking at is a +domestic energy industry which is made up of electricity, oil, +gas and all the other fuels. The utility business, and I have a +background of working for the utility companies, estimates that +it is going to take Pete and others to invest $180 billion over +the next 10 years in domestic drilling to allow us to grow from +a 21.5 TCF market to a 30 TCF market. There are 1,300 +independent power projects on the drawing boards; 1,150 are +supposed to be powered by natural gas, a 3-year backlog from +General Electric and General Electric's turbines to build the +cogen plants. + Mr. Barton. I am aware of them. + Mr. Bole. The utility industry only has to invest $40 +billion to reconfigure the pipe to get this gas to the markets +to fuel the power plants. They are making 15 to 17 percent +return on their investment. These guys are making no money on +their investment. As an industry, the Oil and Gas Journal 200 +gets 6 percent return on total capital. + Now, I don't think it is going to happen that our industry +is going to invest $180 billion for a 6 percent return to get +from 21 to 30 TCF. + The second thing that has happened in our business is we do +a lot of transactions. We sell to Mobil, Exxon, Amoco and BP. +We are seeing the major companies divest properties in the +United States. + Mr. Barton. Right. + Mr. Bole. We have seen the total amount of sales, property +sales in the 1990's go from an average of $7 billion a year, 2 +years ago, $23 billion, last year, $82 billion. These +properties are being sold to the independents. Where are the +independents going to get the money to develop these properties +and continue to drill them to keep our production up to satisfy +the total energy demands of the U.S. if the price of oil is at +$12 to $14, and gas is, you know, under $2. + Mr. Barton. What is a reasonable price that brings some +stability, yet protects consumers against price spikes, if we +could somehow come up with a policy that kept oil prices within +a certain range, what would that range be, so that we would +have reasonable prices at the pump for our motorists, and yet +enough revenue so that we could do some of the things that Mr. +Bole just talked about? + Mr. Bole. Well, I would stick my neck out and let the other +guys comment, but the number that seems to be most prevalent is +oil staying in the range of say $18 to $22 a barrel and gas +closer to $3 than $2. + Mr. Barton. In MCF. + Mr. Bole. In MCF, yes, sir. + Mr. Barton. Do you agree with that, Mr. Brown? + Mr. Brown. My company just did a study on that to find out +what would it take for us to go back out and drill for oil +again. I mean right now all we do is drill for gas. But to +drill for oil it would take $22 a barrel plus in a stable +market. The problem is the volatility in the market. And you +have to understand that when oil prices are low, gas prices are +competitive with oil; in other words, home heating oil versus +natural gas. So gas gets pushed down at the same time, and it +just takes revenue out of our ability to go out and drill for +more oil. I am like a grocery store owner. I mean I have to +restock my shelves. I am going out of business if I don't drill +for oil. + Mr. Barton. Right. Mr. Taylor. + Mr. Taylor. I don't know about Mr. Brown, but in our area, +and I am taking in quite a bit of Texas, our lifting costs are +anywhere from $12 to $15 a barrel, and that is not taking into +consideration if you have to pull a down hole pump or your rods +part, your maintenance and repairs. One of the big fields in +Texas, the Kelly Snyder field, that thing produces a tremendous +amount of oil and lifting costs are at $15 per barrel. + Mr. Barton. So we need kind of a floor at the $15 range and +it would be nice to go to the $25, so kind of a $10 range. + Mr. Taylor. Of course we get nervous when the price gets +over $20 a barrel, because this is what happens. I mean all of +a sudden we realize that we are basically the stepchildren of +this booming economy. Mr. Brown and I, I have four little kids +I am trying to raise, and I am trying to make a living, and if +I can get $18 to $20 a barrel, you know, I think I can do it. +But if I am making less than $15 I am losing money. + Mr. Barton. Do any of you know what the OPEC model is for, +what is their optimal target price that they shoot for in their +5-year program? + Mr. Brown. I asked Dr. Mankin, who is in charge of the +Oklahoma Geological Survey, that very question and he said that +OPEC would probably shoot for something around $17 a barrel. + Mr. Barton. Okay. + Mr. Taylor. It would equate to us to be $21. I think there +is maybe $3 between tanker charges, et cetera. + Mr. Barton. How many wells, Mr. Taylor, that you have had +an interest in have had to be plugged in the last year? That +you had personal financial interest? + Mr. Taylor. Personal interest, I would say probably 28 to +32 percent, and then of the remaining wells that I have +interest in, we continue to lose money or we shut them in. But +as far as wells that have been plugged, I live on a small ranch +south of Abilene, and we had 12 wells out there and they all +made a barrel or two a day. And the company that was operating +those wells turned them over to the pumper. Because he couldn't +make any money, the pumper just recently turned them over to a +salvage company. So they pulled the pumping units off of them. +They haven't plugged them yet. + Mr. Barton. Now, if we hadn't had the collapse in prices, +how many more years would those wells have produced? + Mr. Taylor. They have been out there for approximately 18 +years and they would produce for another 10 years. Once they +get down to a level of a barrel or 2 to 5 barrels a day, they +will maintain that level. You have a low-fluid entry, but when +you pump them for a few hours, you turn them off, you nurse +those wells, you can pump them for another 10 years. + Mr. Barton. There were substantial amounts of oil yet to be +obtained if, in fact, we could have kept the wells flowing and +the fact that, you know, at one time west Texas, the actual +price at the well had gotten down to about $6.50 a barrel. + Mr. Taylor. That is correct. + Mr. Barton. And nobody, I mean God couldn't keep those +wells going at $6.50 a barrel for very long. + Mr. Taylor. In the event you have a landowner such as +myself that was encouraging that operator to go ahead and +continue those wells, I gave them an extension on the lease, +they kept the wells shut in, but when you do that for an +extended amount of time, your down hole pumps start corroding, +your rods start corroding, so the equipment starts rotting and +you can't keep them shut in for so long. + Mr. Barton. Mr. Brown, you said you are principally looking +at gas now, but have you had to plug some oil wells that you +had an interest in in the last year? + Mr. Brown. In my testimony I talked about 57 percent of the +wells in December lost money, and one of my problems is getting +the operators to plug them. They don't want to give them up, +and they know they are losing money, but they just think well, +the price, it is just around the corner, it is going to go back +up and they are going to start making money again, but we keep +losing money every month. And as I say, you can only lose money +for so long. + So I think a lot of the wells that need to be plugged are +yet to be plugged. We have shut a lot of them in, but at some +point in time, like you said, your equipment starts to +deteriorate and when you try to start it back up, it means a +sizable investment, so you are better off plugging the well +than spending the money trying to put it back on production. + Mr. Barton. I am going to conclude the hearing. + I want to thank you all for coming. The issues that we are +going to look at, we are going to continue to look at the Iraqi +Oil-For-Food Program. We have a possibility to reauthorize the +Strategic Petroleum Reserve this year in this subcommittee, we +are going to look at that to use the petroleum stripper well +production. I have had one suggestion from an independent in +Texas that we might relax some of the antitrust rules that +would allow small producers to form co-ops in which they could +pool their oil for transportation at the refinery. That is not +allowed under current antitrust laws. If you have any other +suggestions, a number of the tax issues are not before this +subcommittee's jurisdiction. They go to the Ways and Means, but +Bill Archer of Texas and Wes Watkins of Oklahoma are very +interested. + Did you want to put something else in the record, Mr. +Chairman? + Mr. Smith. Thank you. Mike Smith again. One thing I forgot +to mention in my testimony---- + Mr. Barton. We don't normally have witnesses want to come +back. + Mr. Smith. I know of at least one that doesn't want to come +back that was on my panel. But there has been a lot of +conversation about the cost to produce a barrel of oil, and the +Oklahoma Marginal Well Commission, which is a State agency in +Oklahoma that is in my cabinet jurisdiction, in concert with +Oklahoma State University, spent about a year making an +exhaustive study in Oklahoma on the true cost of producing a +barrel of oil. And the average well in Oklahoma costs about $14 +a barrel simply in lifting costs. That is electric, pumper, +environmental costs. That does not include if you have rods +part, or you have a pump problem or any down hole problem. And +no rework. It is strictly day-to-day production. + Mr. Barton. Well, thank you. As I said at the top of the +hearing, this is the first, but it is not the last. We are +going to be working with the State Department on the specific +issue, but we are going to look at a wide range of issues in +the domestic oil and gas industry, and your input will be +appreciated as we continue these hearings. + This hearing is adjourned. + [Whereupon, at 1:50 p.m., the subcommittee was adjourned.] + [Additional material submitted for the record follows:] + + United States Department of State + Washington, D.C. 20520 + April 16, 1999 +The Honorable Joe Barton, Chairman, +Subcommittee on Energy and Power, +House of Representatives. + Dear Mr. Chairman, thank you for your letter of April 2 concerning +the recent testimony before the Subcommittee on Energy and Power by +William B. Wood of the Bureau of International Organization Affairs. + Your letter requested information on revenues and disbursements +under the UN Oil-for-Food program in Iraq, which is included in the +attachments to this letter. As the Oil-for-Food program runs in six +month phases, some of the information is presented by program phase. +The material attached includes information on: + + actual Oil-for-Food sale revenues by phase; + approved contracts from phases I-IV (12/96 to 11/98) and + projected allocations in phase V (11/98 to 5/99); and + purchases of spare parts and equipment for the Iraqi oil + infrastructure from Phase IV, when the special set-aside of + funds for this purpose began, to date. + With respect to these figures, it is worth noting that only two- +thirds of the Iraqi oil revenue is available for humanitarian +purchases. + Of the remaining funds, thirty percent goes to the United Nations +Compensation Commission, which compensates those who suffered economic +losses--including U.S. citizens and corporations--as a result of the +Iraqi invasion and occupation of Kuwait, and the remainder goes to fund +UNSCOM disarmament activities in Iraq and UN Oil-for-Food management +expenses. + I hope you find this information useful. We appreciate the +Subcommittee's interest in the Oil-for-Food program, which is a +critical element of our Iraq policy. The program is crucial to +maintaining Security Council and wider international support, including +the support of other oil-producing nations, for the UN sanctions which +contain Iraq's ability to threaten its neighbors while we continue our +efforts for regime change. The Oil-for-Food program helps meet the +genuine humanitarian needs of the Iraqi people and our support for it +reinforces the message that the United States is not against the people +of Iraq-only the regime that is responsible for their plight. + Sincerely, + Barbara Larkin + Assistant Secretary, Legislative Affairs +Attachments: +Tab 1: Oil-for-Food revenues +Tab 2: Oil-for-Food Contracts by phase +Tab 3: Contracts for oil spare parts and equipment + + Oil-for-Food Oil Sale Revenues By Phase +---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + Approved Ave Price + Phase Oil Barrels $ Revenue per + Contracts (million) (million) Barrel +---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- +I (12/96-6/97).................................................. 51 121 $2150 $17.99 +II (6/97-12/97)................................................. 34 127.3 $2125 $16.74 +III (12/97-5/98)................................................ 52 183.9 $2092 $11.49 +IV (5/98-11/98)................................................. 59 308.1 $3040 $9.36 +V (11/98-5/99).................................................. 82 274.9 $983* + TOTAL......................................................... 278 1015 $10390** +---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- +*Sales through mid-April +**One third of this total is used for UNCC and UN Oil-for-Food management operations. + + + Oil-for-Food Contracts by Phase + [in millions of US dollars] +------------------------------------------------------------------------ + Phases I- + IV Phase V + Sector Approved Projected + Contracts Allocations +------------------------------------------------------------------------ +Food........................................... 3797.12 1,026 +Medicine & Health.............................. 744 240 +Water & Sanitation............................. 152.25 150 +Electricity.................................... 351.54 409 +Agriculture.................................... 273.70 180 +Education...................................... 115.99 100 +Settlement Rehabilitation...................... 41.10 40 +Mines.......................................... 2.99 9 +Nutrition...................................... 23.92 16 +Infrastructure Support......................... * 126 +Oil............................................ 114.31 300 + Total........................................ 5616.92 2,596 +------------------------------------------------------------------------ +*The UN did not report funding for this category + + + United Nations Office of the Iraq Programme + All Oil Spare Parts Contracts Approved as at 16 April 1999 under the + terms of resolutions 1175 and 1210--funded under Phases IV and V of the + oil for food programme +------------------------------------------------------------------------ + Country Nature of Spares Contract Value +------------------------------------------------------------------------ +Denmark.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $1,043,090 + SPARES (OIL). +Spain............................ Pipeline Equip & $630,280 + Spares. +Germany.......................... Pipeline Equip & $189,349 + Spares. +Germany.......................... Pipeline Equip & $8,746,858 + Spares. +Belgium.......................... Pipeline Equip & $287,508 + Spares. +Denmark.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $2,270,804 + SPARES (OIL). +Denmark.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $100,580 + SPARES (OIL). +Denmark.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $20,139 + SPARES (OIL). +Russian Federation............... Pipeline Equip & $976,191 + Spares. +Turkey........................... Pipeline Equip & $8,600,426 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $1,140,000 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $1,283,966 + Spares. +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $5,000,000 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $177,793 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $287,622 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $158,930 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $148,240 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $98,478 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $260,328 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $276,606 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $23,520 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $72,176 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $82,030 + Spares. +China............................ Tug Boats........... $9,350,000 +Italy............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $2,885,039 + SPARES (OIL). +Italy............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $221,100 + SPARES (OIL). +Italy............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $1,036,000 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $4,338,000 + SPARES (OIL). +The Netherlands.................. Demulsifier......... $1,750,000 +Turkey........................... Pipeline Equip & $580,000 + Spares. +Turkey........................... N/A................. $226,500 +China............................ Pipeline Equip & $456,000 + Spares. +Jordan........................... Pipeline Equip & $914,924 + Spares. +Jordan........................... Pipeline Equip & $914,924 + Spares. +Russian Federation............... Pipeline Equip & $700,000 + Spares. +Denmark.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $92,298 +Denmark.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $84,370 +Denmark.......................... N/A................. $193,349 +Denmark.......................... N/A................. $374,115 +Turkey........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $555,606 +Turkey........................... N/A................. $919,260 +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $32,960 + Spares. +Belgium.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $45,323 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $16,692,147 + Spares. +France........................... Pipeline Equip & $132,288 + Spares. +Russian Federation............... Pipeline Equip & $383,758 + Spares. +Russian Federation............... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $454,800 + SPARES (OIL). +Russian Federation............... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $1,367,800 + SPARES (OIL). +Belgium.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $277,500 +Russian Federation............... STORAGE TANKS/SPARE $3,000,000 + PARTS. +France........................... VALVE/PARTS......... $86,472 +France........................... VALVE/PARTS......... $153,259 +France........................... VALVE/PARTS......... $65,507 +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $27,019 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $539,240 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $94,346 + SPARES (OIL). +Russian Federation............... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $41,603 + SPARES (OIL). +Russian Federation............... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $329,497 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ VALVE/PARTS......... $18,500 +China............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $80,000 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ VALVE/PARTS......... $27,853 +France........................... DEMULSIFIER......... $1,067,500 +Singapore........................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $3,270,000 + SPARES (OIL). +Turkey........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $91,280 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $185,693 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $28,982 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $165,000 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... FIRE FIGHTING TRUCKS/ $954,600 + SPARES. +France........................... VEHICLE............. $488,000 +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $95,000 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $62,910 + SPARES (OIL). +The Netherlands.................. PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $50,357 + SPARES (OIL). +Turkey........................... FIRE FIGHTING TRUCKS/ $218,000 + SPARES. +Spain............................ BATTERIES........... $949,980 +China............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $945,800 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $133,000 +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $322,839 + SPARES (OIL). +Belgium.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $23,000 + SPARES (OIL). +Belgium.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $118,500 + SPARES (OIL). +UAE.............................. DIESEL ENGINE MOTOR $7,496 + SPARE PARTS. +UAE.............................. CABLE............... $26,500 +UAE.............................. COMPRESSOR.......... $78,696 +UAE.............................. COMPRESSOR.......... $62,511 +Cyprus........................... BATTERY/ACCESSORIES. $191,440 +UAE.............................. OIL SPARE PARTS..... $173,969 +UAE.............................. OIL SPARE PARTS..... $119,670 +UAE.............................. OIL SPARE PARTS..... $203,500 +Belgium.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $347,605 +Jordan........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $1,450,000 +Jordan........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $166,491 +Turkey........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $160,000 + SPARES (OIL). +Russian Federation............... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $117,765 + SPARES (OIL). +Jordan........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $271,585 + SPARES (OIL). +Turkey........................... ELECTRICAL SPARE $336,951 + PARTS FOR OIL + SECTOR. +Egypt............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $97,834 + SPARES (OIL). +Egypt............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $186,192 +The United Kingdom............... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $413,991 + SPARES (OIL). +Cyprus........................... BATTERY/ACCESSORIES. $270,686 +Turkey........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $650,100 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $158,243 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ DRILL EQUIPMENT/ $189,872 + SPARES. +Turkey........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $2,115,000 + SPARES (OIL). +Turkey........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $173,000 + SPARES (OIL). +Turkey........................... CESSPIT EQUIPMENT... $95,230 +Belgium.......................... ROTATING MACHINE $261,902 + SPARES. +Italy............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $890,000 + SPARES (OIL). +Jordan........................... AIR COMPRESSOR PARTS $180,000 +Russian Federation............... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $418,806 + SPARES (OIL). +Russian Federation............... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $105,190 + SPARES (OIL). +The United Kingdom............... AIR COMPRESSOR PARTS $176,940 +The United Kingdom............... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $597,593 + SPARES (OIL). +Jordan........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $58,148 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... OIL SPARES FOR WASTE $18,575 + WATER TREATMENT. +France........................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $41,385 +France........................... VALVES/PUMPS/PARTS $555,340 + FOR UNDERGROUND + STORAGE. +China............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $226,477 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $12,024 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $44,480 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $1,441,686 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ FERROCHROME $25,024 + LIGNOSULFONATE. +China............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $155,000 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $178,132 +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $1,200,000 + SPARES (OIL). +Denmark.......................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $676,000 +The Netherlands.................. OIL SPARE PARTS..... $209,032 +The Netherlands.................. PUMP/PARTS.......... $177,264 +The Netherlands.................. PUMP/PARTS.......... $137,847 +UAE.............................. OIL SPARE PARTS..... $73,752 +Jordan........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $10,147 + SPARES (OIL). +UAE.............................. WASTE WATER $74,952 + EQUIPMENT PARTS. +Jordan........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $120,000 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $273,176 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $360,473 +Turkey........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $75,558 + SPARES (OIL). +Switzerland...................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $230,192 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $195,093 +China............................ FORKLIFT............ $188,000 +China............................ CEMENT.............. $52,137 +Russian Federation............... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $24,308 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $123,625 +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $1,479,132 + SPARES (OIL). +UAE.............................. AIR CONDITIONER..... $44,250 +Russian Federation............... PASSENGER BOAT...... $2,650,000 +France........................... PUMPS AND SPARE $77,254 + PARTS. +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $85,758 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $119,760 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $135,468 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $50,159 +China............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $25,130 +China............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $80,779 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $23,272 +China............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $106,000 + SPARES (OIL). +China............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $68,000 + SPARES (OIL). +Bahrain.......................... ZINC SULPHATE....... $69,000 +UAE.............................. PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $145,161 + SPARES (OIL). +UAE.............................. PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $118,000 + SPARES (OIL). +UAE.............................. PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $304,510 + SPARES (OIL). +Jordan........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $103,765 +Turkey........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $212,700 + SPARES (OIL). +UAE.............................. PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $39,880 + SPARES (OIL). +Russian Federation............... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $162,723 +The United Kingdom............... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $41,987 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $620,000 +Italy............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $75,960 +Finland.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $123,643 +France........................... MOTOR............... $130,937 +Italy............................ MOTOR............... $376,100 +Italy............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $71,731 +Italy............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $61,436 +Germany.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $750,319 +Jordan........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $32,634 +Belgium.......................... FIRE FIGHTING $119,150 + CHEMICALS. +Russian Federation............... TRANSFORMERS........ $195,400 +UK............................... LABORATORY SUPPLIES. $18,658 +Korea............................ FORKLIFTS........... $206,176 +Finland.......................... INSTRUMENTATION $25,884 + SPARES. +UAE.............................. GENERATOR SPARE $100,083 + PARTS. +Cyprus........................... CABLE/SPARE PARTS... $110,000 +Belgium.......................... FIRE FIGHTING $313,976 + CHEMICALS. +Belgium.......................... SAFETY & FIRE $29,494 + FIGHTING EQUIPMENT. +Belgium.......................... SAFETY & FIRE $11,332 + FIGHTING EQUIPMENT. +Belgium.......................... SAFETY & FIRE $60,479 + FIGHTING EQUIPMENT. +Belgium.......................... SAFETY & FIRE $45,593 + FIGHTING EQUIPMENT. +Belgium.......................... SAFETY & FIRE $150,952 + FIGHTING EQUIPMENT. +Belgium.......................... SAFETY & FIRE $90,082 + FIGHTING EQUIPMENT. +Belgium.......................... FIRE EXTINGUISHER... $173,938 +France........................... Seals............... $54,506 +Sweden........................... GAS TURBINE SPARE $123,743 + PARTS. +Ireland.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $78,580 +Ireland.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $251,772 +Ireland.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $103,220 +Ireland.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $119,729 +Ireland.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $393,310 +UAE.............................. COMPRESSOR.......... $161,000 +UAE.............................. GENERATOR SPARE $50,142 + PARTS. +China............................ ELECTRIC MOTORS..... $1,650 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $319,719 +France........................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $343,640 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $71,115 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $1,150,382 +France........................... WATER PUMPING $386,795 + STATION PARTS. +France........................... PUMPS AND SPARE $412,079 + PARTS. +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $54,768 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $105,324 +France........................... INSTRUMENTATION $130,569 + SPARES. +France........................... VALVE/PARTS......... $325,096 +Jordan........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $526,649 +Jordan........................... AIR COMPRESSOR PARTS $655,563 +UAE.............................. VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS. $750,000 +UAE.............................. VEHICLE............. $1,404,000 +UAE.............................. AMBULANCE........... $54,000 +UAE.............................. OIL SPARE PARTS..... $619,788 +Jordan........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $91,855 +Jordan........................... INSTRUMENTATION $56,949 + SPARES. +Jordan........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $66,000 +Italy............................ PUMPS AND SPARE $53,524 + PARTS. +Italy............................ CENTRIFUGE/SPARE $115,989 + PARTS. +Italy............................ ROTATING MACHINES... $123,343 +Italy............................ INSTRUMENTATION $140,185 + SPARES. +Russian Federation............... SEALS............... $41,210 +Russian Federation............... GASKETS............. $281,129 +UAE.............................. OIL SPARE PARTS..... $163,000 +China............................ WORK VEHICLES....... $1,179,136 +France........................... VALVE/PARTS......... $42,713 +France........................... PUMPS AND SPARE $40,346 + PARTS. +France........................... AIR COMPRESSOR PARTS $24,908 +France........................... MOTOR............... $14,270 +Austria.......................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $221,459 +Italy............................ FIELD $163,242 + INSTRUMENTATION/ + SPARE PARTS. +China............................ FORKLIFT............ $140,250 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $31,206 +Germany.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $508,011 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $167,885 +UAE.............................. VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS. $1,180,000 +Belgium.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $1,361,475 +Cyprus........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $25,000 +Italy............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $214,230 +Belgium.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $330,000 +Belgium.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $427,000 +Egypt............................ BOILER TUBES........ $98,000 +Switzerland...................... MOTOR............... $18,300 +France*.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $331,320 + SPARES (OIL). +Turkey*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $7,260 +China*........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $43,716 + SPARES (OIL). +China*........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $25,115 + SPARES (OIL). +Jordan*.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $61,666 + SPARES (OIL). +France*.......................... FORKLIFT/SPARES..... $2,000,000 +Jordan*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $74,602 +France*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $53,462 +Jordan*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $664,213 +Jordan*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $68,000 +France*.......................... VALVE/PARTS......... $755,650 +France*.......................... CHEMICALS........... $78,810 +France*.......................... GENERATING SETS AND $79,000 + PARTS. +France*.......................... SPARE PARTS FOR $138,252 + COOLING TOWER. +Italy*........................... CHEMICALS........... $122,033 +France*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $112,227 +China............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $1,180,000 +Jordan*.......................... CONTROL $99,363 + INSTRUMENTATION. +UAE.............................. PUMP/PARTS.......... $41,152 +Italy............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $297,035 +UK............................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $93,642 +UK............................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $8,387 +UK............................... SPARE PARTS FOR $184,494 + GLYCOL PUMPS. +Malaysia......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $10,299,000 + SPARES (OIL. +Malaysia......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $5,406,000 +France........................... ELECTRIC MOTORS..... $65,190 +Russian Federation*.............. COMPRESSOR/PARTS.... $383,944 +France*.......................... OIL SPARES/PARTS FOR $191,104 + LPG FILLING PLANT. +Russian Federation*.............. OIL SPARE PARTS..... $298,000 +Russian Federation*.............. PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $596,000 + SPARES (OIL). +France*.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $245,911 + SPARES (OIL). +UAE*............................. PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $74,355 + SPARES (OIL). +France*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $626,742 +France*.......................... CENTRIFUGAL PUMPING $235,460 + SYSTEM. +France*.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $25,549 + SPARES (OIL). +Jordan*.......................... PUMPS AND SPARE $605,010 + PARTS. +Jordan*.......................... PUMPS AND SPARE $188,782 + PARTS. +Jordan*.......................... COMPRESSOR/ $253,516 + ACCESSORIES. +Egypt*........................... TRANSFORMERS........ $42,500 +Jordan*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $212,105 +Belgium*......................... BEARING UNITS....... $58,463 +Italy*........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $8,845 +France*.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $284,200 + SPARES (OIL). +France*.......................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $128,420 +Italy*........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $312,500 +Italy*........................... ROTATING MACHINES... $41,877 +Belgium*......................... BEARINGS............ $56,633 +France*.......................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $252,868 +France*.......................... COMPRESSOR/PARTS; $1,295,895 + TURBINE SPARE PARTS. +France*.......................... CENTRIFUGAL PUMPING $138,850 + SYSTEM. +France*.......................... EXCAVATORS & SPARE $408,160 + PARTS. +France*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $29,419 +Turkey*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $223,150 +Italy*........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $457,485 +France*.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $561,127 + SPARES (OIL). +Turkey*.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $110,640 + SPARES (OIL). +Turkey*.......................... VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS. $65,983 +UAE*............................. VALVE/PARTS......... $88,400 +France*.......................... ROTATING MACHINE $69,345 + SPARES. +France*.......................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $111,600 +France........................... ELECTRIC MOTORS..... $65,190 +Italy............................ PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $49,792 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $146,560 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $228,760 +France........................... ROTATING MACHINES... $109,431 +France........................... VALVES & PIPE $65,087 + FITTINGS. +France........................... VALVE/PARTS......... $357,138 +Italy............................ CHEMICALS........... $656,370 +France........................... FLOW CONTROL VALVES. $654,301 +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $350,065 +Italy............................ CHEMICALS........... $24,000 +Russian Federation............... GAS TURBINE SPARE $2,909,000 + PARTS. +France*.......................... CENTRIFUGAL PUMPING $1,454,600 + SYSTEM. +Italy*........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $2,492,260 +France*.......................... CABLE............... $18,000 +Italy*........................... GAS TURBINE SPARE $165,932 + PARTS. +Italy*........................... ROTATING MACHINES... $210,059 +UAE*............................. VALVE/PARTS......... $31,580 +Russian Federation*.............. OIL SPARE PARTS..... $1,368,712 +Italy*........................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $304,500 +Italy*........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $98,660 +Korea*........................... EXCAVATORS & SPARE $294,000 + PARTS. +France*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $568,578 +UAE*............................. DRILL EQUIPMENT/ $867,082 + SPARES. +France*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $284,372 +UAE*............................. VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS$ $880,112 +France*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $6,725,937 +Turkey*.......................... REHABILITATION SPARE $2118,000 + PARTS FOR IT. +China............................ CHEMICALS........... $16,618 +Austria.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $52,122 +Austria.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $53,510 +Austria.......................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $11,562 +Austria.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $14,499 +Jordan........................... BATTERY CHARGER..... $10,824 +Jordan........................... UPS................. $42,509 +Jordan........................... ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT $223,968 +Italy............................ ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT $166,682 +Lebanon.......................... TURBINE............. $1,353,767 +Italy*........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $253,000 +Italy*........................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $818,900 +Italy*........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $238,298 +Italy*........................... SWITCH GEAR......... $66,060 +Italy*........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $38,770 +Jordan*.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $139,425 + SPARES (OIL). +Turkey*.......................... REHABILITATION SPARE $5,880,656 + PARTS FOR IT2. +Italy*........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $122,400 +Italy*........................... SPARES FOR FUEL PUMP $21,155 + DISPENSERS. +France*.......................... VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS. $576,278 +France*.......................... VEHICLES/CREW-CAB... $257,244 +France*.......................... PICK-UP TRUCKS & $153,915 + PARTS. +France*.......................... PICK-UP TRUCKS & $407,518 + PARTS. +China*........................... TRANSFORMERS........ $25,000 +France*.......................... FORKLIFT/SPARES..... $227,748 +Korea*........................... STREET LIGHTING $364,400 + BULBS. +The Netherlands*................. PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $55,126 + SPARES (OIL). +The Netherlands*................. PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $46,300 + SPARES (OIL). +France*.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $303,361 + SPARES (OIL). +France........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $3,645,424 + SPARES (OIL). +Italy*........................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $3,800,999 + SPARES (OIL). +Greece*.......................... OIL SPARES/NOZZLES $16,446 + FOR FUEL DISPENSERS. +France*.......................... OIL SPARES/LIGHTING $12,315 + FIXTURES. +Turkey*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $50,050 +Italy*........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $694,300 +France........................... PIPE FITTINGS....... $514,115 +France........................... PARTS FOR LOADING $422,966 + ARMS. +Germany.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $309,393 +France........................... VEHICLE/SPARE PARTS. $839,183 +France........................... SAFETY RELIEF VALVES $58,761 +Ireland.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $362,981 +Jordan........................... MAINTENANCE......... $130,119 +France........................... CHEMICALS........... $437,210 +France........................... PIPE, CARBON STEEL.. $521,693 +Sweden........................... GAS TURBINE SPARE $25,163 + PARTS. +France........................... COMPLETE PUMPS WITH $198,748 + MOTORS. +Turkey*.......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $54,940 +Russian Federation*.............. PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $330,900 + SPARES (OIL). +Belgium*......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $38,000 + SPARES (OIL). +Jordan*.......................... SPARE PARTS FOR $737,671 + DRILLING EQUIPMENT. +Austria*......................... SAFETY & FIRE $118,779 + FIGHTING EQUIPMENT. +France*.......................... GAS TURBINE SPARE $15,083,472 + PARTS. +France*.......................... PUMP/PARTS......... 230,511.52 +UK............................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $38,613 +Germany.......................... GENERATING SETS AND $1,343,042 + PARTS. +France*.......................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $68,850 + SPARES (OIL). +France*.......................... WATER TREATMENT/ $68,952 + SPARE PARTS. +France........................... EQUIPMENT & $6,105,691 + MATERIALS-WET CRUDE + PRODUCTION. +UK............................... PIPELINE EQUIPMENT & $45,961 + SPARES (OIL). +UK............................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $90,323 +Italy............................ OIL SPARE PARTS..... $163,204 +India*........................... CHEMICALS........... $119,017 +Germany.......................... STEAM BOILER/PARTS.. $582,840 +Jordan........................... SPARE PARTS FOR $198,054 + ENGINES. +Italy............................ MEASURING & CONTROL $107,345 + INSTALLATION & + SPARE PARTS. +UK............................... PUMPS AND SPARE $359,616 + PARTS. +China*........................... PUMPS AND SPARE $83,678 + PARTS. +Finland*......................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $60,075 +France........................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $277,575 +Jordan........................... SPARE PARTS FOR AIR $22,422 + COMPRESSOR. +France........................... ELECTRIC MOTOR...... $57,621 +France........................... ELECTRIC MOTOR...... $33,508 +Portugal......................... DESLUDING EQIPMENT.. $329,664 +France........................... VALVE/PARTS......... $143,199 +Russian Federation............... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $23,005 +Jordan........................... CRANE............... $594,000 +Russian Federation............... PIPE FITTINGS....... $125,173 +Turkey*.......................... TRANSFORMERS........ $104,000 +Turkey........................... FIRE FIGHTING TRUCKS/ $356,705 + SPARES. +Belgium.......................... SOLAR GAS TURBINE... $926,852 +Russian Federation*.............. SPARE PARTS FOR $500,020 + EXCITER. +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $181,750 +Cyprus........................... BATTERY CHARGER..... $47,000 +Russian Federation............... INSTRUMENTATION..... $217,298 +Russian Federation............... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $432,000 +Jordan........................... PUMPS,COMPRESSORS $297,598 + AND ROTARY MACHINES. +Turkey........................... AIR COMPRESSORS..... $301,148 +China*........................... FILTERS............. $44,748 +Turkey........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $27,075 +France........................... COMPRESSOR/PARTS.... $559,386 +Russian Federation............... FIRE FIGHTING $66,500 + EQUIPMENT. +Italy............................ HEAT EXCHANGERS AND $2,270,780 + PARTS. +Turkey........................... CABLE TERMINATIONS.. $195,000 +Syria............................ CABLE............... $312,700 +France........................... ELECTRIC MOTORS..... $15,803 +Cyprus........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $383,825 +France........................... PUMP/PARTS.......... $92,065 +France........................... ELECTRICAL AND $62,821 + CONTROL INSTRUMENTS. +France........................... ROTORK ACTUATORS & $215,323 + SPARES. +France........................... OIL SPARE PARTS..... $293,280 +Jordan........................... PUMPS AND SPARE $889,681 + PARTS. +Cyprus........................... BATTERIES........... $302,475 +Portugal......................... OIL................. $223,750 +------------------------------------------------------------------------ +*Released from hold + + +