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+[House Hearing, 112 Congress] +[From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] + + + + + THE PRESIDENT'S + FISCAL YEAR 2012 BUDGET + +======================================================================= + + + HEARING + + before the + + COMMITTEE ON THE BUDGET + HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES + + ONE HUNDRED TWELFTH CONGRESS + + FIRST SESSION + + __________ + + HEARING HELD IN WASHINGTON, DC, FEBRUARY 15, 2011 + + __________ + + Serial No. 112-4 + + __________ + + Printed for the use of the Committee on the Budget + + + Available on the Internet: + http://www.gpoaccess.gov/congress/house/budget/index.html + + + + U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE +64-728 WASHINGTON : 2011 +----------------------------------------------------------------------- +For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing +Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512-1800; DC +area (202) 512-1800 Fax: (202) 512-2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC +20402-0001 + + + + COMMITTEE ON THE BUDGET + + PAUL RYAN, Wisconsin, Chairman +SCOTT GARRETT, New Jersey CHRIS VAN HOLLEN, Maryland, +MICHAEL K. SIMPSON, Idaho Ranking Minority Member +JOHN CAMPBELL, California ALLYSON Y. SCHWARTZ, Pennsylvania +KEN CALVERT, California MARCY KAPTUR, Ohio +W. TODD AKIN, Missouri LLOYD DOGGETT, Texas +TOM COLE, Oklahoma EARL BLUMENAUER, Oregon +TOM PRICE, Georgia BETTY McCOLLUM, Minnesota +TOM McCLINTOCK, California JOHN A. YARMUTH, Kentucky +JASON CHAFFETZ, Utah BILL PASCRELL, Jr., New Jersey +MARLIN A. STUTZMAN, Indiana MICHAEL M. HONDA, California +JAMES LANKFORD, Oklahoma TIM RYAN, Ohio +DIANE BLACK, Tennessee DEBBIE WASSERMAN SCHULTZ, Florida +REID J. RIBBLE, Wisconsin GWEN MOORE, Wisconsin +BILL FLORES, Texas KATHY CASTOR, Florida +MICK MULVANEY, South Carolina HEATH SHULER, North Carolina +TIM HUELSKAMP, Kansas PAUL TONKO, New York +TODD C. YOUNG, Indiana KAREN BASS, California +JUSTIN AMASH, Michigan +TODD ROKITA, Indiana +FRANK C. GUINTA, New Hampshire +ROB WOODALL, Georgia + + Professional Staff + + Austin Smythe, Staff Director + Thomas S. Kahn, Minority Staff Director + + + C O N T E N T S + + Page +Hearing held in Washington, DC, February 15, 2011................ 1 + + Hon. Paul Ryan, Chairman, Committee on the Budget............ 1 + Prepared statement of.................................... 2 + Questions submitted for the record....................... 66 + Hon. Chris Van Hollen, ranking minority member, Committee on + the Budget................................................. 3 + Prepared statement of.................................... 4 + Hon. Jacob J. Lew, Director, Office of Management and Budget. 5 + Prepared statement of.................................... 8 + Responses to questions submitted for the record.......... 66 + Hon. John A. Yarmuth, a Representative in Congress from the + State of Kentucky, questions submitted for the record...... 81 + + + THE PRESIDENT'S FISCAL YEAR 2012 BUDGET + + ---------- + + + TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 15, 2011 + + House of Representatives, + Committee on the Budget, + Washington, DC. + The committee met, pursuant to call, at 10:00 a.m., in room +210, Cannon House Office Building, Hon. Paul Ryan, [Chairman of +the Committee] presiding. + Present: Representatives Ryan, Simpson, Campbell, Calvert, +Akin, Cole, Price, McClintock, Chaffetz, Stutzman, Lankford, +Black, Ribble, Flores, Mulvaney, Huelskamp, Young, Amash, +Rokita, Guinta, Woodall, Van Hollen, Schwartz, Kaptur, Doggett, +Blumenauer, McCollum, Pascrell, Ryan of Ohio, Wasserman +Schultz, Moore, Castor, Tonko, and Bass. + Chairman Ryan. Director Lew, welcome back, I understand +there is a traffic problem that tied you up, those things can +happen. The President is fortunate that you agreed to a return +assignment at Office of Management and Budget. This one is +going to be a little different than the last one, I think, +because the fiscal situation is so much worse. You have come +under a darkening fiscal outlook. We are aware of the +challenges that you face in putting this budget together, and +we thank you for your hard work and for coming here today. + Having said all of that, the budget of the United States is +more than just about arithmetic. It is a statement of national +priorities. It is a gauge of our national health. Because we +face a crippling burden of debt, this year's budget in +particular presented the President with a unique opportunity to +lead our country. + The President has disappointed us all by declining that +opportunity. He punted. Instead of confronting our debt head- +on, the President has presented us with a budget that spends +too much, borrows too much, and taxes too much, and that costs +jobs and opportunities. His budget would double the amount of +debt held by the public by the end of this term, and triple it +on the 10th anniversary of his inauguration. + To be sure, our country was already on an unsustainable +fiscal trajectory before he took office. Our debt is the +product of acts by many Presidents and many Congresses over +many years. Both of our political parties share the blame in +where we have come to. Nevertheless, the President's policies +have accelerated us down this disastrous path. He has made our +spending problems worse with policies such as the failed +stimulus and a brand-new open-ended health care entitlement. He +has argued for massive tax increases that would stifle economic +growth and job creation, and make our fiscal picture worse. His +budget alone contains $1.6 trillion in higher taxes on American +families, businesses, and entrepreneurs. In our nation's most +pressing fiscal challenges, the President has abdicated his +leadership role. + First, he punted to a bipartisan Fiscal Commission to +develop solutions to the problem. Then, when his own commission +put forward a set of fundamental entitlement and tax reforms, a +commission comprised of a majority of Democrats, he ignored +them. He even failed to take the commission's advice on less +sensitive subjects, such as discretionary spending. His budget +would increase discretionary spending by $353 billion, relative +to his commission's proposals. + Former Clinton Chief of Staff, and co-chair of the Fiscal +Commission, a man who I have great respect for, a Democrat, +Erskine Bowles said, quote, The budget goes nowhere near where +they will have to go to resolve our fiscal nightmare. The +President's budget disregards the drivers of our debt crisis +and the insolvency of our entitlement programs. Every day that +passes without leadership on this crucial challenge is another +day of uncertainty for job creators, and a darkening economic +prospect for millions of Americans living in the shadow of our +growing and unsustainable debt. + The politically safe response, I suppose, is to do nothing. +I wonder about that, though. Unfortunately, this is the path +the President has chosen. We feel that it is our responsibility +to do things differently, to lead where he has fallen short, +and that is exactly what we plan to do. + With that, I will yield to Ranking Member Van Hollen for an +opening statement. + [The statement of Chairman Ryan follows:] + +Prepared Statement of Hon. Paul Ryan, Chairman, Committee on the Budget + + Director Lew, welcome back. + The President is fortunate that you agreed to a return assignment +to OMB under a darkening fiscal outlook. We are aware of the challenges +you faced in putting this budget together, and we thank you for your +hard work. + The Budget of the United States is about much more than arithmetic. +It is a statement of national priorities--and a gauge of our nation's +health. + Because we face a crippling burden of debt, this year's budget in +particular presented the President with a unique opportunity to lead +our country. + The President has disappointed us all by declining that +opportunity. He punted. + Instead of confronting our debt head on, the President has +presented us with a budget that spends too much, borrows too much and +taxes too much. His budget would double the amount of debt held by the +public by the end of his term--and triple it by the tenth anniversary +of his inauguration. + To be sure, our country was already on an unsustainable trajectory +before he took office. Our debt is the product of acts by many +presidents and many Congresses over many years. Both parties share the +blame. + Nevertheless, this President's policies have accelerated us down +this disastrous path. He has made our spending problems worse with +policies such as the failed stimulus and the new health care +entitlement. + He has argued for massive tax increases that would stifle economic +growth and make our fiscal picture worse--this budget alone contains +$1.6 trillion in higher taxes on American families, businesses and +entrepreneurs. + And on our nation's most pressing fiscal challenges, the President +has abdicated his leadership role. First, he punted to a bipartisan +commission to develop solutions to the problem. + Then, when his own commission put forward a set of fundamental +entitlement and tax reforms, he ignored them. Erskine Bowles, the +Democratic chairman of the fiscal commission, said the White House +budget request goes ``nowhere near where they will have to go to +resolve our fiscal nightmare.'' + He even failed to take the commission's advice on less sensitive +subjects, such as discretionary spending: His budget would increase +discretionary spending by $353 billion relative to the commission's +proposals. + The President's budget disregards the drivers of our debt crisis +and the insolvency of our entitlement programs. + Every day that passes without leadership on this crucial challenge +is another day of uncertainty for job creators and darkening economic +prospects for millions of Americas living in the shadow of our growing +debt. + The politically safe response, I suppose, is to do nothing. +Unfortunately, this is the path the President has chosen. + We feel that it's our responsibility to do things differently--to +lead where he has fallen short. And that's exactly what we plan to do. + With that, I will yield to Ranking Member Van Hollen for an opening +statement. + + Mr. Van Hollen. Thank you, Chairman Ryan, welcome Director +Lew. I know that President Obama, like President Clinton, will +be well-served by having you at the helm of Office of +Management and Budget. And I thank you for being here to +discuss the President's budget. And while we are still +reviewing some of the details, I want to commend the President +for putting forth a budget that reduces our deficit while also +investing in our future. + This is a tough-love budget. It cuts non-security +discretionary spending by $400 billion, taking that category of +spending to the lowest share of GDP since the Eisenhower +Administration. And starting this year, it steadily decreases +the deficit, and brings the budget to primary balance by the +year 2017. But the President's budget cuts the deficit while +making critical investments in areas like education, clean +energy, infrastructure, and scientific innovation. + Last week, Chairman of the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke +testified before this committee about the importance of +targeted national investments to help grow the economy and keep +America competitive. He highlighted the need to pursue policies +to foster economic growth, quote, By encouraging investment in +the skills of our workforce as well as new machinery and +equipment, by promoting research and development, and by +providing necessary public infrastructure. This budget does +that. + As we debate the best way forward, our conversation must +include a comprehensive review of our national balance sheet. +It is simply short-sighted to think we can try to balance our +budget through cuts in domestic discretionary spending alone, a +category that represents only 12 percent of the overall budget. +We must look to other areas, including comprehensive tax +reform, and eliminating special interest breaks in the tax +code. The President's budget moves in the right direction by +putting an end to taxpayer dollars going to subsidies for big +oil companies at a time when gas is costing American families +more than $3 a gallon, and oil companies are making huge +profits; there is no reason to subsidize those companies and +short-change investments in education and Head Start, as some +of our colleagues are proposing to do today on the floor of the +House. + This budget extends tax cuts for middle class tax families, +but rejects tax breaks for those at the very top. It takes a +balanced approach, much like the budgets under President +Clinton. Under the Clinton Administration, the country enjoyed +real economic growth of 3.9 percent per year, and the economy +added 20.8 million private sector jobs. That balanced approach +allowed us to not only stop running deficits, but actually +achieve surpluses and begin to reduce our nation's debt. +Unfortunately, those surpluses disappeared under the previous +Bush Administration. They cut taxes for the wealthy and turned +a $5.6 trillion surplus into a sea of deficits, lost 653,000 +private sector jobs over that eight year period. + In January, 2009, when the President raised his hand and +was sworn in, he was handed an economy in free-fall that was +losing 700,000 jobs a month, and a record $1.3 trillion +deficit. Unfortunately, some of the first acts of the new +Congress were to eliminate the PAYGO rule, and add $230 billion +to that deficit in connection with health care reform. + Having spent the first two years working to rescue the +economy, working with Congress and the American people, the +President's budget is now focused on strengthening the economy +with a plan of targeted investments and deficit reduction. It +stands in stark contrast, I might say, to the approach that we +are seeing by our colleagues on the floor of the House, which +is to slash important programs immediately, disregarding the +impact on the fragile economy and workers. + It is critical that our nation's budget strike the right +balance with both spending and revenue, and I believe the +President's budget makes an important effort to hit the right +note. It is a starting point. I must say, it is interesting to +hear many of our colleagues on the Republican side criticize +the President for not putting more of the ideas of the +Bipartisan Deficit-Debt Reduction Commission on the table, when +in the House, the representatives to that commission voted +against it. + That being said, and I am going to conclude, Mr. Chairman, +in order to tackle our longer-term fiscal challenges beyond the +10-year period of this budget, it is important that the White +House and the Congress, Republicans and Democrats, come +together to seriously discuss and consider the ideas in the +Commission's proposal. Compromise is not a dirty word. Getting +things done requires give and take. We should begin that +conversation now. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + [The statement of Mr. Van Hollen follows:] + + Prepared Statement of Hon. Chris Van Hollen, Ranking Minority Member, + Committee on the Budget + + Thank you very much, Chairman Ryan. + Welcome, Director Lew. I know that President Obama, like President +Clinton, will be well-served by having you at the helm of the Office of +Management and Budget. + Thank you for being here today to discuss the President's budget. +While we are still reviewing some of the details, I want to commend the +President for submitting a budget that reduces our deficit, while also +investing in our future. This is a tough love budget. It cuts non- +security discretionary spending by $400 billion over the next decade-- +taking that category of spending to the lowest share of GDP since the +Eisenhower Administration. And, starting this year, it steadily +decreases the deficit and brings the budget to primary balance by 2017. + But the President's budget cuts the deficit while making critical +investments in areas like education, clean energy, infrastructure, and +scientific innovation. Last week Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke +testified before this committee about the importance of targeted +national investments to help grow the economy and keep America +competitive. He highlighted the need to pursue policies to foster +economic growth 'by encouraging investment in the skills of our +workforce as well as new machinery and equipment, by promoting research +and development, and by providing necessary public infrastructure.' +This budget does that. + As we debate the best way forward, our conversation must include a +comprehensive review of our national balance sheet. It is simply short- +sighted to think we can try to balance our budget through cuts in +domestic discretionary spending alone--a category that represents only +12 percent of the overall budget. We must also look to other areas, +including comprehensive tax reform and eliminating special interest +breaks in the tax code. The President's budget moves in the right +direction by putting an end to taxpayer dollars going to subsidies for +big oil companies. At a time when gas is costing American families more +than $3 a gallon and oil companies are making huge profits, there is no +reason to subsidize big oil companies and short-change funding for Head +Start and education, as our Republican colleagues are proposing to do +today on the House floor. President Obama's budget also extends tax +cuts for middle class families, but rejects tax cuts for the wealthiest +2 percent of Americans. At a time of huge deficits, we cannot afford to +ask our children to pay for tax breaks for the folks at the very top. + The President's budget takes a balanced approach, much like the +budgets under President Clinton. Under the Clinton Administration, the +country enjoyed real economic growth of 3.9 percent per year and the +economy added 20.8 million private-sector jobs. That balanced approach +allowed us to not only stop running deficits, but actually achieve +surpluses and begin to reduce our nation's debt. Unfortunately, those +surpluses were squandered under the Bush Administration. The Bush +Administration cut taxes for the wealthy and turned a $5.6 trillion +surplus into a sea of deficits and lost 653,000 private-sector jobs +over eight years. In January 2009 the Obama Administration was handed +an economy in free fall that was losing over 700,000 jobs a month and a +record $1.3 trillion deficit. + Having spent its first two years working to rescue the economy, the +President's budget is now focused on strengthening the economy with a +plan of targeted investments and deficit reduction. The President's +approach stands in stark contrast to the House Republicans' plan being +debated on the House floor today. That plan would recklessly slash +important programs immediately--disregarding the impact to American +workers and our fragile recovery. The President's Bipartisan Commission +charged with reducing our national debt and deficit stated that 'in +order to avoid shocking the fragile economy, the Commission recommends +waiting until 2012 to begin enacting programmatic spending cuts.' The +Rivlin-Domenici Commission rendered the same advice. Deep cuts now will +not create a single job; in fact, Mark Zandi and other economists have +warned against deep spending cuts that would put thousands of American +jobs at risk. President Obama, on the other hand, has laid out a long- +term, responsible path to fiscal sustainability. He has proposed +significant but targeted cuts that stand in contrast to the House +Republicans' hatchet job on the budget that will cost many Americans +their jobs. + It is critical that our nation's budget strikes the right balance +with both spending and revenue, and I believe the President's budget +makes an important effort to hit the right note. It is an important +starting point. That being said, in order to tackle our longer-term +fiscal challenges--beyond the 10 year period of this budget--it is +important that the White House and the Congress, Republicans and +Democrats, come together to seriously discuss and consider the ideas in +the Commission's proposal. Compromise is not a dirty word. Getting +things done requires give and take. We should begin that conversation +now. + + Chairman Ryan. Mr. Lew, the floor is yours. + + STATEMENT OF JACOB J. LEW, DIRECTOR, + OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET + + Mr. Lew. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Ranking Member Van +Hollen, members of the Committee, thanks for having me here +today to present the President's 2012 budget. It is a real +honor to be here again after 10 years, presenting the +President's budget, and I thank the Chairman and the Ranking +Member for the very kind personal words that they opened with. +I have a great deal of respect for each of them, and look +forward to working together in a bipartisan way as we move +through the long and difficult process. + After emerging from the worst recession in generations, we +face another historic challenge. We need to demonstrate to the +American people that we can live within our means and invest in +the future. We need to work our way out of the deficits that +are driving up our debt, and at the same time make the tough +choices to make sure that we are in a position to out-educate, +out-build, and out-innovate our competitors. That is what it is +going to take to return to robust economic health and to grow +jobs in the future. + This is the seventh budget that I have worked on at the +Office of Management and Budget, and the most difficult. It +includes more than $1 trillion in deficit reduction, two-thirds +of it from lower spending, and it puts the nation on a path +towards fiscal sustainability so that by the middle of the +decade, the government will no longer be adding to our national +debt as a share of the economy. By the middle of the decade, we +will be able to pay our current bills and remain in primary +balance for many years after that. + The President has called this budget a down-payment. +Because we still have work to do to pay down the debt and +address our long-term challenges. But we can't start to pay +down the debt until we stop adding to it. And that is what this +budget does. + The budget lays out a strategy for significant deficit +reduction, the most deficit reduction in a comparable period +since the end of World War II. It will bring our deficit down +to about three percent of the economy by the middle of the +decade, and stay there for the rest of this budget window. + Changing the trajectory of our fiscal path is a significant +accomplishment, but to do this it will take tough choices, and +I would like to highlight just a few of them. + Our budget includes a five-year, non-security discretionary +spending freeze that will reduce the deficit by over $400 +billion over the next decade, and bring spending in this +category of the budget to the lowest level since President +Eisenhower sat in the Oval Office. To achieve savings of this +magnitude, it is not enough to just deal with programs that are +outdated, or ineffective, or duplicative, though we do start +there. It is also necessary to make reductions in programs +that, absent the current fiscal situation, we wouldn't be +looking for reductions. Programs like low-income energy +assistance and Community Development Block Grants. + In national security, which we are not freezing, we are +also making real cuts. Defense spending over the past decade +has been growing faster than inflation, and we can no longer +afford that. The budget cuts $78 billion for the Pentagon's +spending plan over the next five years, which will bring +Defense spending down to zero real growth. It cuts weapon +programs that Secretary Gates and the military leadership says +we don't need, and we can't afford. We are also capturing +savings that come from bringing our troops home from Iraq, +which, when you add it in, brings defense spending down by more +than five percent, compared to the President's budget of last +year. + Of course, cutting discretionary spending alone can't solve +our fiscal problems. This budget also deals with mandatory +spending and with revenue, and it takes significant steps to +address our long-term fiscal challenges. For example, this +budget shows that we can pay for solutions to two problems that +we have been all too willing to kick down the road by putting +on the national credit card. One is preventing a nearly 30 +percent reduction in reimbursements to doctors in Medicare, to +keep doctors in the system and treating patients. Another is +preventing an increase in taxes on middle class families +through the Alternative Minimum Tax, commonly known as the AMT. + In December, there was bipartisan agreement to pay for a +one-year extension of the so-called Doc-Fix, which was not +required by budget rules, but it was the right thing to do. In +this budget, we build on that, and we have $62 billion of +savings to pay for the next two years of this fix. And those +three years of paying for the Doc-Fix establishes a clear +pattern and creates a window so we can work together, so that +we can address this in the future without adding to the +deficit. + With regard to the Alternative Minimum Tax, we have offsets +in the budget to pay for three years of what is called a patch. +And we could pay for it by limiting the amount that those in +the highest tax bracket can receive for itemized deductions. It +is a big step towards cutting back on spending in the tax code, +and it is consistent with the Fiscal Commission +recommendations. If we continue on this path of paying for the +AMT patch after 2014, it alone will reduce the deficit by one +percent of GDP by the end of the decade. These both are down- +payments on long-term reform to reduce the deficit further, and +the administration looks forward to working with Congress to +permanently cover these costs once and for all. + Similarly, as the President said in the State of the Union, +we are eager to work together on a deficit-neutral corporate +tax reform that will simplify the system, eliminating special +interest loopholes and level the playing field, and lower the +corporate tax rate for the first time in 25 years. And while it +does not contribute to our deficits in the short or medium +term, the President has laid out his principles to strengthen +Social Security, has called on Congress to work in a bipartisan +fashion, to keep this compact with future generations. + As we take these steps to live within our means, we also +invest in the areas critical to future economic growth and job +creation: education, innovation, clean energy, and +infrastructure. And even in these areas, the budget cuts +programs in order to fund high-priority investments. For +example, in education, we maintain the increased maximum Pell +Grant level, which is enabling nine million students to pay for +college education, and we pay for it with a $100 billion in +savings that primarily come from eliminating summer-school Pell +Grants and eliminating the graduate student in-school loan +subsidy. + In the area of innovation, we support $148 billion in +research and development investments, including $32 billion for +the National Institutes of Health. And we need visionary goals +to bring about a new clean energy economy to help pay for these +investments. Lower priority programs are cut, and we eliminate +12 tax breaks for oil, gas, and coal companies, that will raise +$46 billion over 10 years. + And to build the infrastructure we need to compete, the +budget includes a proposal for a $556 billion surface +transportation re-authorization bill. Not only does this plan +include the consolidation of 60 duplicative, often-earmarked +programs into five, and it demands more competition for funds, +but we insist that the bill be paid for, and we look forward to +working in a bipartisan manner to do that. + Mr. Chairman, I am under no illusions how difficult it is +to make the tough choices needed to put us on a sustainable +fiscal path. As we make these choices, I believe that it is +important that we not cut areas that are critical to helping +our economy to grow, and making a difference for families and +businesses. + Finally, cutting spending and cutting our deficits requires +us to put political differences aside, and working together. I +look forward to working with you and crafting a set of policies +that enable us to live within our means and invest in the +future. And I look forward to answering your questions. Thank +you very much. + [The statement of Mr. Lew follows:] + + Prepared Statement of Hon. Jacob J. Lew, Director, + Office of Management and Budget + + Chairman Ryan, Ranking Member Van Hollen, and Members of the +Committee, thank you for inviting me to testify this morning about the +President's Fiscal Year 2012 Budget. + As the President has said, now that the country is back from the +brink of a potential economic collapse, our goal is to win the future +by out-educating, out-building and out-innovating our competitors so +that we can return to robust economic and job growth. But to make room +for the investments we need to foster growth, we have to cut what we +cannot afford. We have to reduce the burden placed on our economy by +years of deficits and debt. + This is the seventh budget I have worked on at OMB and the most +difficult. It is a budget of shared sacrifice across the Federal +government. It is a budget that makes tough choices to begin to tackle +our major fiscal challenges. It is a budget that transitions from +rescuing the economy to investing in our future. It is a budget that +lives within our means in order to compete effectively in the world +economy. + then and now + The world has changed since I last served at OMB. When I left OMB +in January 2001, we had balanced the budget and projected a surplus of +$5.6 trillion over the next decade. In fact, we projected that the U.S. +would effectively be debt-free by 2013. Unprecedented economic growth +was certainly a key driver of budget surpluses. But in a virtuous +cycle, a commitment by the President and the Congress to maintain a +surplus reinforced expectation of Federal fiscal responsibility, which +had a positive impact on interest rates and further helped to spur +economic growth. This surplus was the result of year after year of +fiscal discipline including budget agreements in 1990, 1993 and 1997. +Presidents and congressional majorities from both parties reached +across the aisle to make tough policy choices. + When I returned as OMB Director last November to a projected +deficit of $10.4 trillion--a sixteen trillion dollar swing in just over +ten years--the fiscal picture could not have been more different. Large +deficits were driven by two main factors: first, the worst economic +downturn in a generation and policy response necessary to rescue the +economy, and second, the decision in prior years to give two large tax +cuts without offsetting them and to create a Medicare prescription drug +benefit without paying for it. ++ + Clearly, the challenges we face today are very different than those +we faced more than a decade ago, when many of us worked together to +balance the budget. + our record + Bringing the Economy Back from the Brink + It is useful to begin by reviewing the state of our economy, +because it shows how far we have come but also how far we need to go. + When the President took office the economy was in freefall. Real +gross domestic product (GDP) was dropping at an annual rate of 4.9 +percent after falling at an annual rate of 6.8 percent the previous +quarter. The economy was losing an average of 783,000 private sector +jobs per month. A steep decline in the stock market combined with +falling home prices led to a significant loss of household wealth. +Between the third quarter of 2007 and the first quarter of 2009, the +real net worth of American households declined by 28 percent--the +equivalent of one year's GDP. + In the last year, we have seen some encouraging signs that the +trajectory has changed and that a recovery is beginning to take hold. +An economy that had been shrinking for nearly a year is now growing +again--over the past six quarters, through the first quarter of FY +2011, real GDP has grown at an average rate of 3.2 percent. After +nearly two years of job losses, more than one million private sector +jobs were added to the economy in 2010. Capital and credit markets are +functioning and gaining strength. And after teetering on the brink of +liquidation just two years ago, America's auto industry is posting +healthy gains and returning money to the taxpayers who helped it +through a period of turmoil. + What changed? + Just 28 days after taking office, the President signed into law the +Recovery Act to create and save jobs and to invest in an economy able +to compete in the 21st century. Approximately one-third, or $288 +billion, of the Act's funds went to tax cuts for small businesses and +95 percent of working families. Another third, or $224 billion, was +used for emergency relief for individuals and state and local +governments. The final third was invested in projects to create jobs, +spur economic activity, and lay the foundation for future sustained +growth. + This investment had a powerful impact. The White House Council of +Economic Advisers (CEA) estimates that the Recovery Act raised the +level of GDP as of the third quarter of 2010 by 2.7 percentage points, +relative to what it would have been absent intervention, and raised +employment relative to what it otherwise would have been by between 2.7 +and 3.7 million jobs in the same time frame. + And we have acted together to build on this growth. In March 2010, +the President signed the Hiring Incentives to Restore Employment (HIRE) +Act that provided subsidies for firms that hired workers who were +unemployed for at least two months and other job creation incentives. +In August, he signed into law $10 billion in additional aid to States +to prevent the dismissal of 160,000 of teachers, police officers, and +firefighters nationwide. In September, the President signed the Small +Business Jobs Act. At the end of 2010, the President signed into law a +bipartisan agreement on taxes that prevented a tax increase for middle- +class families, extended unemployment insurance benefits for millions +of Americans hardest hit by the recession, provided powerful incentives +for business investment and job creation, and temporarily reduced the +payroll tax which also would help spur macroeconomic demand. Economists +from across the political spectrum agree that this bill will boost +economic growth in 2011 by 0.5 to 1.2 percentage points. + From the Recovery Act to our financial stabilization plan, the +President's tough choices over the past two years have helped to save +the economy from a second Great Depression. But we are keenly aware +that the recovery is not happening fast enough for the millions of +Americans who are still looking for jobs, and our immediate task is to +accelerate economic growth and job creation to get our fellow Americans +back to work. That is why the President has proposed an up-front +investment of $50 billion in building new roads, rails, and runways to +upgrade our infrastructure and create new jobs. It is why the President +is making key investments in innovation, clean energy, and education +that will create jobs and make our workforce more competitive. And that +is why the President laid out a commonsense approach to regulation that +is pragmatic and evidence-based, and that will protect our health and +safety and help lay the groundwork for economic growth and job +creation. + restoring a sound fiscal policy + While taking steps to rescue the economy, the President has also +worked to restore accountability and fiscal responsibility. In his +first Budget, the President confronted directly the fiscal situation we +inherited, eliminating trillions of dollars in budget gimmicks. He made +a commitment to restoring fiscal responsibility, while recognizing that +increasing the deficit in the short term was necessary to arrest the +economic freefall. The President pledged to cut the deficit he +inherited in half as a share of the economy by the end of his first +term, a commitment this Budget keeps. He signed into law pay-as-you-go +(PAYGO) legislation that returned the tough budget rules of the 1990s +to Washington. The principle behind PAYGO is simple: all new, non- +emergency entitlement spending and revenue losses must be offset by +savings or revenue increases, with no exception for new tax cuts. + In addition, the President signed into law the landmark Affordable +Care Act (ACA), enacting comprehensive health insurance reforms that +will hold insurance companies more accountable, lower health care +costs, guarantee more health care choices, and enhance the quality of +health care for all Americans while reducing the deficit. According to +CBO analysis, the Affordable Care Act will save more than $200 billion +over the next ten years and will reduce the deficit by more than $1 +trillion over the second decade. This is more deficit reduction than in +any legislation since the 1990s. At the same time, the ACA's savings +provisions tackle the single biggest contributor of our nation's long- +term deficits--rising health care costs. + While taking major steps to bring down our deficits, the President +also demanded that the Government spend every taxpayer dollar with as +much care as taxpayers spend their own dollars. The President proposed +legislation to create an expedited rescission authority so that +unnecessary spending can be struck swiftly and constitutionally. +Through his Accountable Government Initiative, the Administration has +launched a host of initiatives to streamline what works, cut what does +not, and eliminate wasteful spending. These initiatives include +focusing agencies on identifying and delivering on their top +priorities, a comprehensive strategy to reform Government contracting +that will save $40 billion by the end of 2011, an initiative to reduce +the amount of improper payments made by the Government by $50 billion, +a review and reform of information technology use and procurement, an +initiative to reduce administrative overhead by billions and improve +performance, and an effort to dispose of billions of dollars of +unneeded and under-utilized real property assets. + Each year since entering office, President has asked his +Administration to go line-by-line through the Budget to identify +programs that are outdated, ineffective, or duplicative. In his first +two Budgets, the President identified more than 120 terminations, +reductions, and savings, totaling approximately $20 billion in each +year. These terminations ranged from a radio navigation system for +ships made obsolete by GPS to new F-22 fighter jets. While recent +administrations have seen between 15 and 20 percent of their proposed +discretionary cuts approved by the Congress, the Administration saw 60 +percent of its proposed discretionary cuts become law for 2010. + Finally, in April 2010, the President created the bipartisan +National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, and charged +the Commission with identifying policies to improve the fiscal +situation in the medium term and to achieve long-term fiscal +sustainability. The Commission made an important contribution, +beginning the process of building a bi-partisan consensus on the nature +of the challenge we face and expanding the debate to include a broader +range of options. While the Administration doesn't agree with every +recommendation in the report, there are many areas of this budget that +reflect the work of the Commission. + living within our means and investing in the future + Now that the country is back from the brink of a potential economic +collapse, our goal is to win the future. But we cannot do so if we are +saddled with increasingly growing deficits. This Budget builds on +recent progress and lays out a comprehensive and responsible plan that +will put us on a path toward fiscal sustainability for the rest of the +decade--a down payment that will build a strong foundation to tackle +our long-term challenges. + The projected deficit this year is nearly 11 percent of GDP, the +highest level since World War II, reflecting the severity of the +recession and our temporary measures to generate jobs and growth. The +Budget lays out a path of rapid deficit reduction--the most deficit +reduction in a comparable period since World War II. In the second half +of the decade and beyond, debt is no longer growing as a share of GDP-- +a key indicator of fiscal sustainability. Redirecting our fiscal path +on this downward slope is a significant accomplishment, one which will +take tough choices and shared sacrifice--and is essential for the long- +term competitiveness of the American economy. +
+ + The first step to reducing our deficit is maintaining a strong +economy, which is a key priority for the Budget. As the baseline +projections show, with economic growth we begin to make substantial +progress at reducing the deficit even before we make additional policy +changes. However, even with a sustained recovery, simply continuing +current policies does not get the job done--it would leave us with +deficits of between 4 and 5 percent of GDP--with debt growing at an +unsustainable rate through the end of the decade and beyond. + To stay on a path towards sustainable deficits on the order of 3 +percent of GDP, we make tough choices across all areas of the Budget to +identify more than $1 trillion in savings--two thirds from spending +reductions. This requires decisions beyond just separating the good +programs from the bad. It means broadly sharing sacrifices in all areas +of the Budget in order to make critical investments in areas most +important to growth and competitiveness. And it means reducing spending +in areas where we continue believe there is still important work to do. +It cannot be achieved by simply looking at discretionary spending--we +need to look at mandatory and revenue policies as well. An overview of +key decisions in the FY 2012 Budget is as follows: +
Non-security discretionary. The Budget proposes to freeze +non-security discretionary spending for five years, which saves more +than $400 billion over the next decade and brings this category of +spending to its lowest level as a share of the economy since Dwight +Eisenhower was in office. + Security discretionary. The Budget reflects tough +decisions in areas outside of the non-security freeze--bringing Defense +spending down from a long period of significant real growth to zero +real growth, saving $78 billion over the next five years relative to +last year's plan. Reflecting the winding down of military operations in +Iraq, the Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO) budget for DOD in 2012 +will be about 26 percent lower than levels in the President's 2011 +request. As a result, the overall defense budget, including OCO, will +be down by 5.2 percent from last year's request. + Health care. The Budget fully pays for a two-year +extension of current Medicare physician payment rates with $62 billion +in health care savings, preventing a payment cut of over 25 percent. +The Budget also proposes incentives for States to implement medical +malpractice reforms to further reduce the growth of health care costs. + Revenues. The Budget pays for three years of AMT relief by +cutting the value of tax expenditures for high-income taxpayers by 30 +percent. The Budget also opposes any further extension of the +unaffordable upper-income tax cuts to two years. + Fiscal stewardship. The Budget includes several proposals +to reduce the risk of future liabilities. These include giving the +Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) the ability to adjust +premiums to reflect all risks facing the pension insurance system and +proposing reforms to encourage State responsibility and improve the +solvency of the Unemployment Insurance Trust Fund. + shared sacrifices, hard choices + To be competitive in the 21st Century, the United States cannot be +weighed down by crippling budget deficits, ineffective programs that +waste tax dollars, and a government that is not accountable to the +American people. + Five-year non-security freeze. It would be short-sighted to cut +spending across the board and shortchange critical areas for growth and +competitiveness--such as education, innovation, and infrastructure--or +carelessly slash programs that protect the most vulnerable. This means +that some cuts must be deeper to make room for key investments. In his +2011 Budget request, the President proposed a three-year, non-security +discretionary freeze. As the economic recovery takes hold, the +President believes that it is important to go further and is now +proposing a five-year, non-security discretionary freeze. This is an +extension of the freeze proposed last year, based on 2010 enacted +levels. This freeze would be the most aggressive effort to restrain +discretionary spending in 30 years and, by 2015, would lower non- +security discretionary funding as a share of the economy to the lowest +level since Dwight D. Eisenhower was president. Over the decade, the +five-year freeze saves more than $400 billion. + Program terminations, reductions, and savings. In part to meet this +freeze, the Budget includes over 200 terminations, reductions, and +savings totaling more than $33 billion in savings for 2012 alone. On +their own, these cuts will not solve our fiscal problems, but they are +a critical step to creating a more responsible and accountable +Government and a key component of a comprehensive deficit reduction +strategy. It is never easy to end or cut programs; they all have +advocates. Some programs are duplicative, outdated and ineffective. But +we also had to choose programs that, absent the fiscal situation, we +would not cut: + Low-Income Housing Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP). The +Budget cuts LIHEAP by more than $2 billion, returning LIHEAP funding to +2008 levels, prior to the energy price spikes. However, in this +difficult fiscal environment, we cannot afford to maintain the +expansion to the program. + Community Services Block Grant (CSBG). CSBG has helped to +support community action organizations in cities and towns across the +country. These are grassroots groups working in poor communities, +dedicated to empowering those living there and helping them with some +of life's basic necessities. These are the kinds of programs that +President Obama worked with when he was a community organizer, so this +cut is not easy for him. Yet for the past 30 years, these grants have +been allocated to virtually the same organizations, using a formula +that does not consider how good a job the recipients are doing. The +Budget proposes to cut financing for this grant program in half, saving +$350 million, and to reform the remaining half into a competitive grant +program, so that funds are spent to give communities the most effective +help. + Grants-in-Aid for Airports. The Budget lowers funding for +the airport grants program to $2.4 billion, a reduction of $1.1 +billion, by eliminating guaranteed funding for large and medium hub +airports. The Budget focuses the traditional Federal grants to support +smaller commercial and general aviation airports that do not have +access to additional revenue or other outside sources of capital. At +the same time, the Budget would allow larger airports greater +flexibility to generate revenue with increased non-Federal passenger +facility charges. + These cuts are not limited to a few agencies. Rather, these cuts +reflect shared sacrifice across the Federal government--even for +agencies that are central to out-competing, out-building, and out- +educating in the 21st century. For example, the Department of Education +has made difficult decisions in order to maintain historic increases +for Pell Grants, which are critical to creating future generations that +are well-educated and globally-competitive. The Administration would +put Pell Grants on firm financial footing through steps that include +eliminating the in-school interest subsidy for loans to graduate +students and ending the new year-round Pell Grant, which offers +students a second Pell Grant in one year, but has cost ten times more +than anticipated. The Budget also eliminates 13 discretionary programs +at the Department of Education and consolidates 38 K-12 programs into +11 new programs that emphasize using competition to allocate funds. + Federal civilian employee pay freeze. Federal workers are patriots +who work for the Nation often at great personal sacrifice. They deserve +our respect and gratitude. But just as families and businesses across +the country are tightening their belts, so too must the Federal +government. On his first day in office, the President froze salaries +for all senior political appointees at the White House. In his Budget +last year, the President proposed extending that freeze to other +political appointees, and he eliminated bonuses for all political +appointees across the Administration. Starting in 2011, the President +has proposed and Congress enacted a two-year pay freeze for all +civilian Federal workers. This will save $2 billion over the remainder +of 2011, $28 billion over the next five years, and more than $60 +billion over the next 10 years. + Savings in discretionary security programs. The President's Budget +also demands cuts and savings in security programs. DOD, in particular, +has seen an average increase to its base budget of 7.4 percent a year +over the past decade. Moving forward, DOD is pursuing a variety of +strategies to set the course for zero real growth in defense spending, +and saving $78 billion in its base budget (including $13 billion in FY +2012) relative to FY 2011's request for the next five years. Secretary +Gates will oversee a package of terminations, consolidations, and +efficiencies in operations to slow this growth, and these savings will +be used to fund programs and efforts critical to the armed forces and +the security of the Nation. Reflecting the winding down of military +operations in Iraq, the Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO) budget +for DOD in 2012 will be about 26 percent lower than levels in the +President's FY 2011's request. As a result, the overall defense budget, +including OCO, will be down by 5.2 percent from last year's request. + Administrative savings. Allowing waste is never right, and it is +especially intolerable in a time of tightening belts and tough +decisions. Continuing the President's Accountable Government +Initiative, the Budget cuts $2 billion in administrative overhead like +travel, printing, supplies, and advisory contract services; establishes +a process to quickly sell excess and under-utilized Federal real +estate; and embraces competitive grant programs based on the Race to +the Top model. This model is applied to programs from early childhood +education through college; to allocate grants for transportation; to +bring innovation to workforce training; and to encourage both +commercial building efficiency and electric vehicle deployment. + Reorganize government. We live and do business in a global economy, +but the organization of our government has not kept pace with the +private sector advancements of the 21st century. Many of our government +organizations have strayed from their original or core missions, +evolving out of inertia rather than in response to the changing needs +of the groups they serve. This has resulted in duplicative and +ineffective programs that persist and grow over time, and an +organization of functions that doesn't always make sense. For example, +as the President stated in his State of the Union address, there are +twelve different agencies that deal with exports. Americans deserve a +streamlined, efficient and well-functioning Federal government that is +responsive to the needs of its citizens and of the private sector. + The Budget reflects the President's commitment to reorganizing the +Federal government to ensure that our resources are being used +effectively and efficiently, with a particular focus on making the U.S. +more competitive. In the coming months we will be working to identify +where we can merge, consolidate and cut in order to better facilitate +the needs of all American companies, entrepreneurs, and innovators and +give these engines of economic growth a leg up in the global economy. +The President plans to submit a proposal to Congress to enact the +changes necessary to reorganize the Federal government in a way that +best serves the goal of a more competitive America. + investments in our future + The best antidote to a growing deficit is a growing economy, which +spurs expanded employment, higher revenue collection, and lower demand +for spending on safety net programs like unemployment insurance +nutrition assistance. Putting the Nation on a sustainable fiscal path +and getting our deficits under control are critical to making the +United States competitive in the global economy, and the Budget lays +out a strategy to do this. At the same time, it also recognizes that we +cannot cut back on investments that will fuel future economic growth +particularly since sustained and robust economic growth plays a very +significant, long-term role in reducing deficits. While the Budget +identifies cuts and savings and asks for shared sacrifices across the +government, it also invests in areas critical to helping America win +the race for the jobs and industry of the future. + We must target scarce Federal resources to the areas critical to +winning the future: education, innovation, clean energy, and +infrastructure. + Educate a competitive future workforce. In an era where most new +jobs will require some kind of higher education, we have to keep +investing in the skills of our workers and the education of our +children. This Budget continues to support the President's commitment +to once again have the highest proportion of college graduates in the +world by 2020, and continues the reform agenda not just by devoting +significant resources to where they are needed, but also by ensuring +that those funds are being invested in programs that deliver results +efficiently and effectively. This Budget calls for: + Maintaining the Pell Grant maximum award at $5,550. Since +2008, the Administration has increased the maximum Pell Grant by $819, +ensuring access to postsecondary education for over 9 million students +from low-income families. + Supporting reform of K-12 education with expanded Race to +the Top and other innovative, evidence-based programs that encourage +innovation and reward success, and expands the Race to the Top concept +to early childhood education with $350 million to establish a new, +competitive Early Learning Challenge Fund for States. + Establishing a Workforce Innovation Fund that will +encourage States and localities to break down barriers among programs, +test new ideas, and replicate proven strategies for delivering better +employment and education results at a lower cost per outcome. + Investment in R&D and transformational technologies. To compete in +the 21st century economy, we need to create an environment where +invention, innovation, and industry can flourish. That starts with +continuing investment in the basic science and engineering research and +technology development from which new products, new businesses, and +even new industries are formed. We must focus in areas that show the +greatest promise for job creation to position ourselves to get ahead of +our competitors and be a leader in emerging industries. This Budget +makes significant investments in clean energy technology and research +and development to nurture the United States as a world leader in +innovation. To meet these goals, the Budget calls for: + Providing $148 billion for research and development. This +level of funding continues the effort to double investments in basic +research at the National Science Foundation, Department of Energy +Office of Science, and the National Institute for Standards and +Technology (NIST); provides robust investment in biomedical research at +National Institutes of Health (NIH); and doubles energy efficiency +research and development. + Making the Research and Experimentation (R&E) tax credit +permanent to give businesses the certainty they need to make these +important investments. In addition, the Administration proposes to +expand the credit by about 20 percent, the largest increase in the +credit's history, and simplify it so that it is easier for firms to +take this credit and make the investments our economy needs to compete. + Bolstering economic rejuvenation in hard-hit areas of our +country with new Growth Zone program. Growth Zones will deliver +expanded tax incentives for investment and employment and a more +streamlined access to government assistance to 20 new areas facing +economic distress as well as growth potential. + Providing $8.7 billion for clean energy technology +research, development, demonstration, and deployment. This includes +more than doubling energy efficiency investments and increasing +renewable energy investments by over 70 percent. The Budget seeks to +reinforce new approaches to energy research by adding three new energy +innovation hubs and expanding investment in the Advanced Research +Projects Agency--Energy (ARPAE). In addition, the budget provides $5 +billion for Section 48C tax credits for renewable energy manufacturing +facilities. + Build a 21st century infrastructure. To compete in the 21st +century, we need an infrastructure that keeps pace with the times and +outpaces our rivals, and for too long we have neglected our Nation's +infrastructure, its roads, bridges, levees, waterways, communications +networks, and transit systems. In the Recovery Act, the Administration +made the largest one-time investment in our Nation's infrastructure +since President Eisenhower called for the creation of a national +highway system. We need to continue to build on those efforts--and to +do so responsibly by paying for what we build. We cannot strengthen our +economy with a modern infrastructure if at the same time it weakens our +fiscal standing. To give America the world-class infrastructure our +economy needs, the Budget: + Proposes a six-year surface transportation reauthorization +that increases average annual investment by $35 billion per year, in +real terms, over the previous six year authorization plus passenger +rail funding in those years; this represents a total inflation-adjusted +increase of sixty percent over the life of the bill. To bring the trust +fund under budget enforcement mechanisms, the Budget proposes to +reclassify trust fund spending on surface transportation as mandatory, +subjecting it to PAYGO rules and closing score-keeping loopholes. + Provides $1.2 billion for the Next Generation Air +Transportation System, the Federal Aviation Administration's multi-year +effort to improve the efficiency, safety, and capacity of the aviation +system. + Invests in smart, energy-efficient, and reliable +electricity delivery infrastructure. The Budget continues to support +the modernization of the Nation's electrical grid by investing in +research, development, and demonstration of smart-grid technologies to +spur the transition to a smarter, more efficient, secure and reliable +electrical system. + Builds next-generation wireless broadband network to +provide access to 98 percent of the population, creates a Wireless +Innovation Fund, and establishes an interoperable broadband network for +public safety. These proposals will be fully paid for with proceeds +from proposed ``voluntary incentive auctions'' of underused spectrum +and other spectrum management measures, which will generate more than +$27 billion over the next decade. In addition to funding the programs +above, nearly $10 billion of these proceeds will be dedicated to +deficit reduction. + building on our progress + Now that the recovery is beginning to take hold, taking further +steps to ensure responsibility has to be a priority--not because fiscal +austerity in and of itself is virtuous, but because there is no way +that we can compete and win in the world economy if we are borrowing +without an end in sight. + The President's Budget is a down payment. It puts the government on +a path to reach sustainable deficits over the next ten years. This +means that for the first time in 10 years, the government will again be +fully paying for all of its programs and the debt will stabilize as a +share of GDP. This is an important milestone--but not the finish line-- +on the path to a balanced budget. + We cannot achieve sustainable levels with ever deeper cuts in non- +security discretionary spending, which is simply not a large enough +share of the picture either to cause or to solve the whole problem. The +President has been clear that we must work on a bipartisan basis to +find long-term solutions across all areas of the Budget, including +Medicare, Medicaid, and tax reform. + Continue efforts to restrain the growth of health costs. Health +care comprises one-quarter of non-interest Federal spending, and it is +the key driver of future deficit growth. According to CBO analysis, the +Affordable Care Act will save more than $200 billion over the next ten +years and will reduce the deficit by more than $1 trillion over the +second decade. This is a pivotal achievement, and the President is +resolutely committed to implementing the ACA fairly, efficiently, and +swiftly. But the job is not yet done. The Budget builds on the ACA with +additional proposals to contain health care cost growth: + The ACA made important advances in the area of program +integrity, but there are other important opportunities to reduce fraud, +waste, and abuse in Medicare and Medicaid. The Budget includes ideas +pulled from external sources, including recommendations from the +President's Fiscal Commission and from legislation that has received +bipartisan support. The $62 billion in health savings in the Budget +focus on increasing program integrity, efficiency, and accountability-- +not reducing beneficiary access or benefits. For example, the Budget +extends efficiencies from Medicare competitive bidding for durable +medical equipment to Medicaid, and prohibits brand and generic drug +companies from delaying the availability of new generic drugs (``pay- +for-delay ''). + At the same time, these health savings pay for two years +of relief from the Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR) formula--preventing a +decrease of nearly 30 percent in physician payments that would hurt +Medicare. This paid-for extension is on top of the three previous paid- +for extensions of the SGR fix, including the one-year extension enacted +in December, establishing a pattern of practice that we hope to +continue as we work with Congress to achieve a permanent fix. + Fully implementing the Affordable Care Act achieves cost +savings and promotes efficient care, including reimbursing doctors and +hospitals as Accountable Care Organizations, and adjusting payments to +hospitals with high readmissions or hospital-acquired conditions. +Implementing the Act also has the potential to fundamentally transform +our health system into one that delivers better care at lower cost--a +potential that is not fully captured in the ACA savings estimates. In +particular, the Act incorporates the most promising ideas from +economists and leaders from across the political spectrum to control +health care costs. + The President's Budget includes $250 million in grants to +States to reform their laws on medical malpractice through various +approaches such as health courts, safe harbors, early disclosure and +offer programs, or other legal reforms. These grants would be awarded +and administered by the Bureau of Justice Assistance (BJA) in +consultation with the Department of Health and Human Services. The goal +of any reform would be to fairly compensate patients who are harmed by +negligence, reduce providers' insurance premiums, weed out frivolous +lawsuits, improve the quality of health care, and reduce medical costs +associated with ``defensive medicine.'' This proposal is in line with +the Fiscal commission's recommendation for ``an aggressive set of +reforms to the tort system.'' + Make a Down Payment on Tax Reform. To foster a competitive economy, +we must have sensible and affordable tax policy that is consistent with +our overall objectives of deficit reduction and economic growth. Since +the last comprehensive overhaul nearly three decades ago, the tax code +has been weighed down with revenue-side spending in the form of special +deductions, credits, and other tax expenditures that do little for +middle income families, and burdened with generous upper income tax +cuts and more generous estate tax cuts for families making more than +$250,000 a year. To compete and win in the world economy, we cannot +sustain a tax code burdened with these unaffordable benefits. This is +why the President has called on the Congress to undertake a fundamental +reform of our tax system. As progress towards this goal, the Budget +calls for: + Allowing the 2001 and 2003 High-Income and Estate Tax Cuts +to Expire. The Administration remains opposed to the permanent +extension of these high-income tax cuts past 2012, as now scheduled, +and supports the return of estate tax to 2009 rates and exemption +levels. These policies save nearly a trillion dollars over the decade +including interest effects. We cannot afford these unpaid-for tax +breaks for the wealthiest Americans and we are committed to limiting +the current extension to two years. + Beginning the Process of Corporate Tax Reform. The United +States has the highest corporate tax rate in the world. Part of the +reason for this is the proliferation of tax breaks and loopholes +written to benefit a particular company or industry. The result is a +tax code that makes our businesses and our economy less competitive as +a whole. The President is calling on Congress to work with the +Administration on corporate tax reform that would simplify the system, +eliminate these special interest loopholes, level the playing field, +and use the savings to lower the corporate tax rate for the first time +in 25 years--and do so without adding a dime to our deficit. + Paying for the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). This Budget +provides for a three year extension of AMT relief, and is offset by an +across-the-board 30 percent reduction in itemized deductions for high- +income taxpayers. This is the first time an extension of AMT relief has +been fully paid for. While our base projections do not assume that we +continue to pay for AMT relief after 2014, the President is committed +to working with Congress to fully pay for AMT relief beyond this +window. Doing so reduces the deficit by an additional 1 percent of GDP +by the end of the decade relative to the deficit reduction in the +Budget. + Take Steps Now to Reduce Future Liabilities. Looming debts and +unfunded liabilities can put taxpayers on the line for bailing out +programs in the future. The Budget promotes fiscal stewardship by +restoring responsibility to key areas. First, the Budget proposes to +give the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) Board the ability +to adjust premiums and directs PBGC to take into account the risks that +different sponsors pose to their retirees and to PBGC. This will both +encourage companies to fully fund their pension benefits and give the +PBGC the tools to improve its financial soundness without over- +burdening the companies it ensures, saving $16 billion over next +decade. Second, the 2012 Budget provides short-term relief to States by +providing a two-year suspension of State interest payments on their +debt and automatic increases in Federal unemployment insurance (UI) +taxes. At the same time, the Budget proposes steps to encourage States +to put their UI systems on firmer financial footing and pay back what +they owe to the Federal government. Beginning in 2014, the Budget +increases the minimum wages states can subject to unemployment taxes to +$15,000. Finally, the Budget proposes to gradually reduce the loan +portfolios and eligible loan sizes of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and +end the conservatorship of these companies, scaling back government +support in a way that allows private capital to return without +undermining the housing market recovery. + Begin a Dialogue on Social Security Solvency. The President +considers Social Security to be one of our most successful programs, +and indispensable to workers, people with disabilities, seniors, and +survivors. The President has been clear that we need to strengthen +Social Security to make sure that Social Security is sound and reliable +for the American people, now and in the future. The Budget lays out the +President's principles: Reform should strengthen the program and its +protections for the most vulnerable, without putting at risk current +retirees and people with disabilities, without slashing benefits for +future generations, and without subjecting American's guaranteed +retirement income to the whims of the stock market. The President +believes that the best way forward is for leaders of both parties to +come together to discuss the way forward on a bipartisan basis. + Social Security is not contributing to our deficit any time soon. +Our goal is to make sure that current and future generations are +assured that the system will remain sound for the long term as well--to +provide the peace of mind that is one of the important benefits of +insurance. + a way forward + There has been a vibrant national conversation on fiscal +responsibility over the past several months. The President's Fiscal +Commission made important progress in launching a serious bipartisan +discussion last year, and I commend them for resetting the debate on +further deficit reduction. While the President has not embraced all of +their proposals, many of them are included in this year's Budget. +Federal employee pay freezes, medical malpractice reform, a call for +government reorganization, and the elimination of in-school subsidies +for graduate student loans are just a few examples. Our Terminations, +Reductions, and Savings volume includes numerous proposals that were +also recommended for termination or reduction by the Fiscal Commission. +And like the Commission, we make proposals to improve budget +discipline, including subjecting the Transportation Trust Fund to PAYGO +rules and providing for program integrity cap adjustments. We must take +serious steps to both cut spending and cut deficits. We must address +these issues in a bipartisan way. And we must do so in a way that is +consistent with our core values. + The Fiscal Commission was clear that that the only way to tackle +our deficit is to cut excessive spending wherever we find it--in +domestic spending, defense spending, health care spending, and spending +through tax breaks and loopholes. Now that the worst of the recession +is over, we have to confront the fact that our government spends more +than it takes in. That is not sustainable and we need a comprehensive +approach + The five year non-security freeze achieves significant savings with +a dramatic reduction in discretionary spending over the coming decade, +and it will require commitment from both the Administration and +Congress to live within that framework. But we have to remember that +this category of spending represents a little more than 12 percent of +our Budget. To make further progress, we cannot pretend that cutting +this kind of spending alone will be enough. Looking forward, we will +have to make hard decisions to further reduce health care costs, +including programs like Medicare and Medicaid, which are the single +biggest contributor to our long-term deficit. Health insurance reform +will slow these rising costs, which is part of why nonpartisan +economists have said that repealing the health care law would add a +quarter of a trillion dollars to our deficit. Still, we need to look at +other ideas to bring down costs, and the proposals in this year's +Budget are a first step. And we cannot afford a permanent extension of +the tax cuts for the wealthiest two percent of Americans if we are +committed to achieving a sustainable deficit. + This Budget builds on the work of the last two years, and makes a +down payment on a strong American future. Much work remains to be done. +We need to take steps to reduce our future liabilities. And we need to +work to shape our government into one that is more affordable, more +effective, and more efficient. + I look forward to working with both houses of Congress in the +coming months as we work to put our fiscal path back on a sustainable +course. + + Chairman Ryan. Thank you. Mr. Lew, before I get into this, +how long do we have you for? I understand you have to testify +over in the Senate later this afternoon. + Mr. Lew. I believe we have until 12:30. + Chairman Ryan. But a little bit longer than that, since you +were a little late, how does that sound? + Mr. Lew. I apologize for being late. I hadn't allowed for +the new security rules. + Chairman Ryan. No, don't apologize. I am just trying to +manage time so everybody gets a shot at their questions. + Mr. Lew. Actually, Mr. Chairman, the issue was, the +gentleman in front of me in line had to take his shoes off as +he went through the metal detector, and it took a few minutes. + Chairman Ryan. Okay. I am reading in the Washington Post +today, an editorial board which is, you know, more often +thought as favorable toward the administration's point of view, +quote, the title of the editorial is, President Obama's Budget +Kicks the Hard Choices Further Down the Road, quote, The +President punted. Having been given the chance, the cover and +the push by the Fiscal Commission he created to take bold steps +to raise revenue and curb entitlement spending, President +Obama, in his fiscal 2012 budget proposal, chose instead to +duck. To duck, and to mask some of the ducking with the sort of +budgetary gimmicks he once derided. + We just heard from the Congressional Budget Office director +and the chairman of the Federal Reserve, one of the best things +we can do for the economy today is put in place a plan that +gets this deficit and debt under control. Why did you duck? If +George Bush brought this budget to the House, I would say the +exact same thing. You know the drivers of our debt, you +understand the issues. I think the fact that the President even +gave us this Fiscal Commission to start with acknowledged, we +agree on the size and the scope and the nature of the problem. +Why did you duck, why are you not taking this opportunity to +lead? + Mr. Lew. Mr. Chairman, I think the President's budget, if +you look at the bottom line, addresses the fiscal challenges +that we face in the short and the medium-term, and he has +called it a down-payment, acknowledging that we need to work +together in the long-term. If you look at what the mandate of +the Fiscal Commission was, it was to bring the deficit down to +three percent of GDP by the middle of the decade. Our budget +does that. + Surely there are things in our budget that we will have +disagreements about. I know that we are going to have a serious +debate about priorities. But the President's budget +accomplishes the goal. And I think if you look at the budget, +it does it with some very, very tough decisions. The spending +reductions are very real, the revenue provisions are very real, +and the mandatory savings are very real. There certainly are +other things that we will need to work on together to address +the long-term challenges, but if our goal is to get to a +sustainable deficit by 2015, I think the President's budget +puts down a comprehensive deficit reduction path. + Chairman Ryan. Okay, using your own table S-4 on page 176 +of your budget, you don't get the primary balance in your own +numbers until 2017, and then immediately thereafter you have +more problems. + Mr. Lew. So, let us look at S-4. If you look at S-4, where +it starts, the deficit is 10.9 percent of GDP. It comes down to +3.2 percent of GDP in 2015. We then stay between 2.9 and 3.2, +3.3, in that area around three percent of GDP for the rest of +the decade, and if you had a series that went beyond, it would +go on for years beyond that. I think it is a mistake to think +of three percent of GDP as a bulls-eye. I think if you compare +10.9 percent to 3.2 or 3.1 or 3.0, it is a world of difference. +And I think we achieved primary balance in this budget. + Chairman Ryan. So let us get into what is behind that +primary balance, behind your claims of balance. And I can go +through the tables. Am I correct that the budget proposes +revenues that are $819 billion greater than your current policy +baseline, and that within your policy baseline, you have an +$807 billion, 10-year tax increase built into it, because it +assumes the expiration of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts for higher +income earners, and assumes the estate tax reverts back to 2009 +level? Am I correct that that is what your baseline assumes? + Mr. Lew. Mr. Chairman, our baseline assumes, consistent +with where there was bipartisan agreement in December, that we +would permanently extend the middle class tax cuts, and that we +would have estate tax relief. We did not have long term +agreement on the upper income rates, or on the richer estate +tax relief. + Chairman Ryan. I just wanted to make sure we have an equal +understanding. + Mr. Lew. Yeah. We tried to construct a baseline so that the +difference would be clear. + Chairman Ryan. So, adding the additions in the baseline +revenue increases, that is about $1.6 trillion in additional +revenues from where we are today, correct? + Mr. Lew. Well, the upper-income tax cut is $709 billion, +and the estate provision is $98, and then there is some debt +service on top of that. + Chairman Ryan. Right, so 1.6, okay. + Mr. Lew. It is 953, actually, I believe. + Chairman Ryan. What about debt service? + Mr. Lew. It is 709 for the upper-income, 98 for the estate, +and 147 in debt service. + Chairman Ryan. So, let me get to this because you have to +go, and I have a lot of questions, and I am going to send you +more. Your economic assumptions, which are how you achieve +primary balance, which is how you achieve the claims you are +making. I want to walk you through this and ask you why you +make these economic assumptions. + You are expecting very robust growth in the coming years. +Your forecast calls for real GDP growth well above four percent +in 2013 and 2014, much, much higher than the private sector +Blue Chip consensus or Congressional Budget Office, but I find +it interesting that 2013 also marks the year where you are +calling for a big rise in taxes across all segments of our +economy. You basically are raising taxes on successful small +businesses, on investment, as part of the expiration of the +2001-2003 tax cuts and the health care tax cuts. Specifically, +there is a new 3.8 tax increase on investment. As of 2013, the +top income tax rate will rise from its current level of 35 +percent all the way to 44.8 percent. The tax on dividends could +triple from its current level of 15 percent to 45.4 percent. +And the tax on capital gains will rise from 15 percent to 23.8 +percent. + But you are calling for robust economic growth in that very +year. Do you think that the tax increases that you are planning +on in 2013 on mostly successful small businesses in the +investment community in America, on job creators; you think it +is not going to impact the economy? You think that is the year +when the economy takes off? Because if it doesn't, then you +never reach primary balance, as you are claiming. + Mr. Lew. Mr. Chairman, there was, in December, an agreement +that we should extend certain tax provisions for two years. And +there are some provisions that do take effect, or go out of +effect, because of that. I think if you look at our economic +assumptions, the economic assumptions in the short-term are +actually a little bit more pessimistic than some of the outside +observers. In the long-term they are a little bit more +optimistic, and it is driven by one key difference, which is an +important conceptual difference. The question is will we +recover from this recession the way we have recovered from past +recessions? + If you look historically, financially-led recessions have +had slightly longer periods of recovery, but in the end we get +back to where the economy would have been. We assume that that +is the case. We are within the range of recoveries from past +financially-led recessions, and we think that they are very +prudent, reasonable assumptions. Undoubtedly, and I apologize I +am a lawyer not an economist, so I could get into a level of +detail here which is probably beyond my own training. But +economists can disagree about what year it would happen and +they can disagree about whether or not we will get back to what +was the potential GDP before. We think it is the right thing to +do, to get our economy back. That is one of the reasons we have +put forward a budget that invests in the things that it takes +to keep growing the economy; and we think that education, +innovation, and infrastructure are key to it. + Chairman Ryan. Here is what does not add up to me; you are +saying, in 2013, you are going to have economic growth 1.3 +percent higher than what the Congressional Budget Office +believes, 1.4 percentage points higher than what the Blue Chip +believes, and you are claiming this explosion of growth in a +year where you are raising taxes across the board on +entrepreneurs, small businesses, investors, investment. + History doesn't square with your comments. And if we are +right and you are wrong about this, then you will never reach +primary balance. The $1.7 trillion you are claiming in extra +revenue because of the higher economic growth, you are claiming +above and beyond what the Congressional Budget Office claims, +doesn't materialize then, and we are in a world of trouble. + And I will just finish with this. What is so frustrating +about this is, you know the drivers of our debt are the +entitlement programs. And yet, you are doing nothing to address +that. We are in different parties; that is fine. But when +people elect a President, they expect a President to lead, to +take on the country's biggest challenges before they become +actual crises. And we all know that this debt is becoming a +crisis. And you are not even touching these programs. You are +assuming the economy is going to take off in a year in which +you are raising taxes everywhere, all over the economy. And if +your math doesn't add up, then we are all in a world of hurt, +and this will cost us jobs. + Mr. Lew. Mr. Chairman, if you look at tax provisions, the +vast majority of the revenues that you are talking about are +associated with the tax rate at the top end; the tax rates for +people who earn $250,000 a year or more. I would just note +that, during the last administration I served, and during the +Clinton Administration, at those tax rates we had the longest +period of uninterrupted growth in American history. So they are +not tax rates that have been historically challenging to +growth. If you look inside our budget, where there are new +proposals, we have a lot of tax cut proposals that are designed +to promote the kinds of investment that we need in this +country. And we, net, have $360 billion of new revenue. So it +doesn't amount to a large amount in 2013. + Chairman Ryan. Yeah. I don't know where you are from, but +where I come from, most of our jobs come from successful small +businesses. In Wisconsin, you drive to any city, and there is +going to be an industrial park with a Sub-S, a LLC with 100, +maybe 200, 300 employees. They file taxes as individuals. Most +of the top tax rate is actually small businesses. And when we +are taxing our small businesses at rates above 50 percent in +most states, like Wisconsin, 44.8 percent in this country, +where most of our competitors are taxing their businesses at +rates lower than we are, how do we expect to win global +competition? How do we expect to create jobs when we are taxing +the engine of economic growth and job creation, small +businesses, at rates in excess of 50 percent in most states? + Mr. Lew. I think that if we look at who are the taxpayers +in that class, at $250,000 or above, and where the revenue +goes. I am from New York, a lot of it goes to finance and a lot +of it goes to law. And I think that it is not the case that the +top rate is something that is principally a small business +issue. I think that we have a lot of tax proposals that would +make taxes easier for small businesses. The right way to target +small business is to make sure that we do the things that are +targeted to investment, and not to the kinds of income that +drives people into that top bracket, in the most cases. + Chairman Ryan. All right. Mr. Van Hollen. + Mr. Van Hollen. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Director Lew, as I +indicated in my opening statement, I think it is an important +achievement that in this budget you reach primary balance by +the year 2017 and begin to stabilize the problem. But I also +indicated that I think we all need to work together, especially +to take actions, now, to deal with what are going to be +projected deficits in the next 20 years, and I think that +conversation should begin now. + But I do want to point out that this is not easy to do when +you have dug yourself as a country in a deep hole, digging +itself out, that there are other alternatives out there. And +the Chairman of the Committee has put forward an alternative +road map, in good faith, in a sincere effort to reduce the +deficit. So it is in that spirit that I just want to point out +that when the Congressional Budget Office, last January, scored +that budget proposal, that deficit proposal, that they +indicated that in the year 2020, the deficit would be 3.7 +percent of GDP. And that the budget would not be in primary +balance under that plan, as of that day. And that, in fact, if +you go out another 20 years, until 2040, the deficit in percent +of GDP is 4.5 percent, and the budget is just then getting into +primary balance. + And I point that out, Mr. Chairman, to show you how hard it +is. As some criticize the President's effort, just recognize +that other sincere efforts that were made actually brought the +deficit into primary balance later than the President's budget. +And there are going to be conversations about different +assumptions, but my point is, these deficit numbers were the +result of a good faith effort, and I think the President has +made a good faith effort. We do all need to get together. + Now I want to discuss the longer-term outlook. I want to +discuss what is happening today on the floor as it draws +contrast with the approach that the Obama Administration is +taken with respect to the deficit. As you indicated, you are +talking about significant cuts in domestic discretionary +spending. As you know from listening to many of my colleagues, +these are going to have a real impact, and a painful impact on +many people's lives. But you have decided that, in order to get +deficit under control, we are going to have to make these tough +decisions, and we agree. + At the same time, today on the floor, there are proposals +to cut immediately and deeply. I just want to read to you a +statement from the President's Bipartisan Deficit Commission, +that we are hearing lots of positive things about, from our +colleagues, about their recommendations and approach. Here is +what they said, and I quote, In order to avoid shocking the +fragile economy, the commission recommends waiting until 2012 +to begin enacting programmatic spending cuts. + Another bipartisan commission, the Rivlin-Domenici +Commission, rendered the same advice. Mark Zandi and other +economists have indicated that deep, immediate cuts, in +contrast to responsible and planned cuts over a period of time, +those deep, immediate cuts, could harm the fragile economy, and +hurt job growth. If you could please comment on the proposals +today, for very deep and very immediate cuts and the impact +they would have on the economy and job growth, in your opinion. + Mr. Lew. Mr. Van Hollen, I think we have a tough balance +that we have to strike. We agree that it would be a mistake to +do drastic deficit reduction in this year that we are in, +beginning in next year. We had bipartisan agreement in December +on the tax bill, largely because of the concern that we needed +to keep the economy moving, that we couldn't afford the drag +that a tax increase in January would have had. At the same +time, we need to focus on reducing spending, we need to focus +on making decisions that will turn the corner on the deficit, +and we can't really wait years to do that. + I think our budget has a frame that we think is the right +frame for making the tough trade-offs. And we are going to have +to work, as we go through the remainder of the legislation for +fiscal year 2011, and then as we work together on next year, to +come up with the right balance. I think it is important that we +have the right balance. You don't need to make the kinds of +cuts that you are describing in order to get on the right path, +but you do need to tighten the belt, which is what our budget +is saying. + And we are watching carefully as the House continues work. +We will be working with the House and the Senate, and then +ultimately together, to do the responsible thing and fund the +government. But I think it is a question of not mixing too many +things together. The long-term challenge is what we have got to +keep our eye on. When I say long-term, in this window of the +next 10 years, we have got to look to the middle of the decade. +And are we on a path towards getting down to a deficit where we +stop adding to the debt? That is what we have tried to do with +the budget. + Mr. Van Hollen. Some of our Republican colleagues have +indicated that, if they don't get their way, in terms of these +very deep and immediate cuts that could harm the economy, that +if they don't get their way on those cuts, that they would shut +down the government. Now, we have seen this movie before, I +know you have. If you could just make clear what some of the +impacts of that would be on things like the Social Security +Administration and other essential functions of government. + Mr. Lew. Well, I take the Congressional leadership at their +word, that we all want to avoid a situation like that. It is +not the right way to run the government, and I think we have a +broad agreement that we have to keep essential services going. +When the government shut down in the mid-1990s, it was very +unpleasant. It was unpleasant when people needed to apply for +passports because a relative was ill or passed away overseas, +and they couldn't get a passport. People started to appreciate +things that they just took for granted, but when the government +shut down, they stopped. + I hope we don't get to the point where we have to go +through that again. And I think if we all work together in a +bipartisan way to look for the things we can agree on, and take +some of the things that we can't agree on, and put them off to +the side, we can accomplish a great deal. + Chairman Ryan. Thank you, Mr. Van Hollen. I will just +simply say for the record, it is not our desire to see the +government shut down, but equally we don't want to rubber-stamp +these elevated spending levels. We want to see a beginning of a +down-payment on spending reductions. With that, Mr. Simpson. + Mr. Simpson. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and I would just +reiterate what you just said. It is nobody's desire to shut +down the government; what we want to do is reduce spending. And +that is what we are trying to do with the budget that we are +bringing to the floor. Everybody talks about draconian cuts. +You have got to remember, this is on top of enormous increases +that have occurred over the last couple of years, so it is not +as draconian as a lot of people would like. But I appreciate +your testimony; I appreciate your hard work on this budget. I +know it is hard to put together a budget, even if it is one +that most people, I want to say this respectfully, but most +people don't take seriously. + Most people don't think this is ever going to be enacted. +All the right words are used. I think the Ranking Member said, +this is a tough-love budget. If this was the tough-love that my +father had shown me when I was young, I would still be a +juvenile delinquent. Some people think I still am; I understand +that. + I have heard that we have to make tough choices; they are +going to be necessary. We have to live within our means. Let me +ask you, this budget, theoretically, goes to balance in, what, +16 years? + Mr. Lew. Well, it is going to take a long time to go to +balance, we first have to stabilize the debt. + Mr. Simpson. Is there ever a balance projected out there? + Mr. Lew. To get to balance will require a set of decisions +that are beyond what anyone is discussing right now. + Mr. Simpson. Why is no one discussing that? + Mr. Lew. Well, I will tell you the last time I testified +before this committee, I presented a balanced budget with a +surplus. I understand what it takes to get to a balanced +budget. We have gone through 10 years of a combination of +things that have driven the deficit up. We have had an economic +crisis, but we also had decisions to not pay for what we were +doing. We now have to deal with the results of that, and it is +not going to be a quick process. I know that I left things in +pretty good shape 10 years ago, and I look forward to leaving +things in better shape when I am done this time. + Mr. Simpson. I do not deny that you did. We have a tendency +in this committee to sit and look back at certain indicators +that prove our point of view. All of those don't really matter. +What matters is where we are today, and where we are going to +be in the future. And what the American people are saying is, +get your fiscal house in order. I don't see this getting our +fiscal house in order. I have noticed that everybody says, Well +we are going to have $400 billion in cuts and savings in this +budget, like that is some big deal. Four-hundred billion +dollars, yeah it is a lot of money, that is over 10 years, +right? + Mr. Lew. Yes. + Mr. Simpson. That is like $40 billion a year. The budget +this year's proposal is $3.73 trillion? Forty billion in +savings? Less than one percent, or around one percent in +savings? This is not tough-love. This is continuing the path we +are currently on with no future balanced budget ever, in this +proposal, and the American people are rejecting it, frankly. + Mr. Lew. Congressman, let me just say a couple things. +First, we have put what we believe to be a very serious +proposal, it is comprehensive, forward. We don't think we have +a monopoly on all knowledge and wisdom; we look forward to +seeing the ideas that are put forward. And when you put forward +a budget that reduces the deficit, I am sure there will be +things in it that we can agree on, there will be things that we +can't agree on. This is the first step in the process. I know +that it is easy for pundits on the outside to dismiss the +starting point, but the President's budget is the starting +point. It is a frame, it is a comprehensive frame. And I think +that it does achieve something very important, which is it +stabilizes the deficit at three percent of GDP by the middle of +the decade, and while I totally agree that we need to be on a +path that goes beyond that, and I wish we were on a path where +we could, together, talk about balance. Until we stop adding to +the national debt, we can't talk about getting to balance, and +this budget would get you there. + We won't agree on all the details. And I know that some of +the actions that have been taken in this House do cut spending. +I haven't seen the actions yet that reduce the deficit. And I +look forward to that. I know that it is the beginning of the +process, and we will work together when we see your proposals. + Mr. Simpson. Well we all understand that you are not going +to get to balance by simply cutting spending. The spending is a +portion of how you get there. You also have to look at the +entitlement programs which this budget totally left out, in +terms of reform of the entitlement programs. And everyone, I +think the American people understand, that we have to address +entitlement reform, and leadership has to come from the White +House to do that, quite frankly. + Mr. Lew. Congressman, we agree that we need to reduce +spending. I think if you look in this budget, this is possibly +the toughest budget that certainly a Democratic President has +ever put forward, cutting things that are very, very important +priorities, things that many of us have worked for decades to +grow. We have said we have got to tighten our belt; we have got +to do what every American family does and make the tough +choices. So I think there are real tough choices in this +budget. I don't think that it is fair to say that we haven't +dealt with entitlements. We certainly haven't dealt completely +with entitlements, but $62 billion of savings to pay for +Medicare in the next two years is something. It is real, it is +a first step, it is a down-payment. + I think that if we are going to work together on +entitlements, we also have to acknowledge that Social Security +is not driving the deficit between now and 2021. You know, I +worked on Social Security Reform. In 1983 I was working on the +reform bill. So I deeply, deeply believe that we have an +obligation to current workers, to future retirees, to current +retirees, to have a system that is sound and reliable for +decades and decades to come. But it is not contributing to the +short-term deficit. We should do it because it is the right +thing to do. + Mr. Simpson. Right. Appreciate it, thank you. + Chairman Ryan. Ms. Schwartz. + Ms. Schwartz. Thank you very much. Good to have you here +and thank you for your good work on this first budget that you +are presenting. And I appreciate, and it was more in your +written remarks than what you said here, but you reference, you +did reference how we got here. And I don't want to dwell on +this, but I appreciate the fact that you laid out very, very +clearly that the national debt and the economic crisis that the +President inherited. And the work that the President and the +Democratic Congress did in the last two years to bring us out +of what was obviously a really deep, really broad, and in many +cases, devastating recession for this country. But being clear +that the President inherited a $10 trillion debt; this didn't +all happen in the last two years. And of course, the recession +actually meant that there were few people paying taxes, too; so +this reduced our revenues. + The President's budget really does, I believe, make very +clear that we can't accept the status quo; that where we have +gotten to is a better place. We are beginning to see a growth +in the economy, beginning to see some growth in jobs, which is +good, and we just can't sit on our hands. Nor do I think that +we, and I think you have rejected this, the notion that we can +get to a place where we can balance the budget and grow the +economy simply by spending cuts. My Republican colleague did +acknowledge that, and I appreciate that, because that is their +proposal right now. The only thing we can do is spending cuts, +and actually tax cuts, but that alone is not going to get us +there. And that is what is being presented by the Republican +majority. + But I also will agree, those made by the Republican side, +that budgets are about priorities and values, and I think this +is something that the President has made very clear: that we +cannot only focus on deficit reduction. We need to reduce the +deficit, but if we are going to grow the economy, put people +back to work, then we have to invest in the future. And that is +what I wanted to ask you about. I wanted to acknowledge, of +course, that the budget does reduce the deficit by $1.1 +trillion, and that is real money for most of us. And it is not +easy to get there. And it brings fiscal stability to the nation +in 2017, primary balance, again none of this is easy. + But the budget also does make strategic investments in the +future. For many of us in our districts across the country, if +we are going to see growth in this economy, the focus on +energy, on innovation, on education, on infrastructure, is +important. And every business I talk to says to me, We need, we +look at, we locate, do we have incentives for innovation? Do we +have the kind of infrastructure that allows us to move our +products and our workforce? Is there an educated workforce? +They ask about taxes, too. But they want to know, and it starts +with, where is the infrastructure? Where are the advantages for +innovation? + And so, I think we need to talk about that. Because +otherwise we are really just looking at a slash-and-burn, +willy-nilly, let us just cut spending right now. And again, the +Budget Deficit Commission said, not a good idea in a fragile +economy. So I would like you to elaborate a bit on the tax +credits that are available to businesses to incentivize +research and development, key to our growth. Because it is the +private sector in this country that does create the new +discoveries, the new technologies, the new products. But they +often look to us for that helping hand. + Mr. Lew. Thank you. I think that, if you were to ask most +businesses that are in the high technology area, what is the +single thing we could do that would give them stability looking +forward, it would be to make permanent the R&D Tax Credit. The +uncertainty from year to year is a very difficult way to do +business. And while, in Washington, there is a kind of +conventional wisdom that we know it will be extended because it +has to be extended, if you are a business person trying to make +a decision, trying to go get financing, trying to get +investors, having that ambiguity out there can be life or death +as far as your business is concerned. So I think, putting in +our budget a permanent extension in the context of a fiscal +policy that pays for it, is very important. + I think it is also important to remember that there is a +role for government-funded programs and tax support in R&D. +Basic research in this country has really been very much +enhanced by what we do at the National Institutes of Health, +what we do in the National Science Foundation, what we do in +the Department of Energy, and what has made us the leaders in +innovation is that the technology that is discovered in places +where, frankly, the risk should be shared by all of us, it is +then handed off to a private sector that has the capacity to +implement it more effectively than any other in the world. And +we have tried to balance that. + Chairman Ryan. I hate to cut you off, but I just want to +make sure that every member gets a chance, and it is way over +the five minute limit. + Ms. Schwartz. I appreciate your comments; we will keep +working together on that. Thank you. + Chairman Ryan. Mr. Campbell. + Mr. Campbell. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and welcome, +Director Lew. + Mr. Lew. Thank you. + Mr. Campbell. In your budget, you propose to increase +federal civilian employment outside of the Department of +Defense by 22,400 people in the coming fiscal year, 2012. +Seriously, you want to increase the number of federal employees +now? + Mr. Lew. Well, we have an awful lot of agencies that are +going down. The increases are very much concentrated in areas +where there are new missions, and they are missions that, I +think, are shared concerns. If we put in place new screening +procedures at our airports, and we put in the machinery so that +we can make sure that no one gets on an airplane with an +explosive. We also need to have the inspectors there, who run +the machines, who know what is in them. I think if you go +through the increases, they are very heavily in areas where +there are new missions that we are undertaking, and I am happy +to get back to you after and go through some of them. + Mr. Campbell. Okay, so you do propose to increase by +22,000? + Mr. Lew. No, in general, if you look through the budget, +there are a lot of agencies that go down, so we don't have a +general approach. + Mr. Campbell. Twenty-two thousand, four-hundred is the net +increase outside of defense. Another question, Your +predecessor, Dr. Orszag, before this committee on several +occasions, said that the current fiscal trajectory of the +country was unsustainable. Do you share that view? + Mr. Lew. I think this budget stands for the principle that +we have to get our fiscal house in order, and that we have to +take seriously stopping the practice of treating deficits like +they don't matter. And we have put a plan forward that would +get us to primary balance by the middle of the decade. That was +the challenge that he was describing ahead of us at the time. + Mr. Campbell. Absent this budget, you agree that the +current trajectory is unsustainable? + Mr. Lew. If you look at what is driving the deficit down, +part of it is getting the economy moving again. + Mr. Campbell. Director Lew, I understand you are a lawyer, +but is it unsustainable? That word is used by a lot of people. + Mr. Lew. I was going to answer your question; I just need +to break it into the pieces in order to answer your question. +We need to keep the economy growing in order to not have an +unsustainable deficit, because the kind of financial crisis we +are in, the recession, creates enormous problems in our fiscal +policy. We have got policies in place to do that, but then we +can't stay at deficits that are five percent of GDP, which is +roughly where we would be if we didn't make policy. We need to +make policy to bring it down so we can get to primary balance. +We have done that, and I do think that that is what we have to +do to have a sustainable fiscal policy. + Mr. Campbell. So is this budget sustainable? Does it solve +the problem? + Mr. Lew. Those are two different issues. Sustainable is a +step along the way; I think the problem is bigger than that. I +think that, you know, I preferred sitting in this seat when I +could project surpluses in healthy economic times. We are a +long way from being able to do that on either side of the +aisle. We are going to need to work together to get to the +point where we stop adding to the problem, and then we are +going to need to work together to solve the rest of it. + Mr. Campbell. Earlier I believe you did use the word +sustainable with this budget. So do you believe that if we did +this budget, it was enacted for the next 10 years exactly as it +is on this paper, that we would move along fine, we don't have +a debt problem, we don't have a problem? + Mr. Lew. No, I think this budget produces a deficit that is +sustainable for a period of time so that we can then work +together. It is a down payment, and then we need to work +together. + Mr. Campbell. Afterwards the deficit goes up, after the 10 +years of this budget. + Mr. Lew. It starts to creep up, but as you get 20 years out +it starts to be a problem again. There is more work ahead of +us. I totally agree with the notion that we cannot just look at +the next five or ten years, but I am saying we have to start by +looking at the next five or 10 years. + Mr. Campbell. So we do have to deal with the entitlement +programs? + Mr. Lew. The President said in the State of the Union, and +in his budget, that we have to look to the short-term and the +long-term. We need to work together on that. + Mr. Campbell. Why not propose something now? + Mr. Lew. Well, this budget proposes a great deal to get us +to primary balance. It gets us to a place that is sustainable. +And it extends the offer, as the President did in the State of +the Union, to work together. We have tried to leave options on +the table, we have tried to create an environment where we will +be able to work on things that have historically been +challenging, and I think we need to do both. + Chairman Ryan. Mr. Doggett. + Mr. Doggett. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, and thank +you for your service. And I want to draw attention to the last +time you came before this committee, because it was an unusual +time in which you did not just talk about a balanced budget, +but as you made reference in an earlier comment, you, working +with President Clinton and this Congress, produced a balanced +budget, something that no Republican President, before or +after, has done in decades. And the unfortunate thing is, +having produced that balanced budget, our Republican colleagues +in the Bush-Cheney administration, when they took over, instead +of building on that success, squandered on that success. They +never met a tax break they didn't like, they believed in the +alchemy that every expert who came here, Republican and +Democrat alike, told them that those tax breaks wouldn't pay +for themselves, they abandoned pay-as-you-go government, they, +in addition to all the tax breaks that they advanced, they +advanced one increase in spending after another, increasing +government spending at an incredible rate, but not wanting to +pay for it. + And so after eight years of running our debt up and our +economy down, they are complaining today that you haven't +solved all the problems that they created in eight years fast +enough. And I think that is basically the circumstance in which +we find ourselves. With reference specifically to this question +you were just asked about the 22,000 increase in government +employees, isn't a large part of that related to the honesty +that this administration brings to federal employment, that you +can contract out and create the appearance that you are +reducing the size of the government, but many of these +contracting out experiments of the last eight years just ended +up costing tax payers more and producing less? + Mr. Lew. That is part of it. And the other kinds of +examples that I have used explain the other part of it. We also +have a very, very large work force, and this is a very small +percentage of the total. + Mr. Doggett. And then I want to ask you about one type of +entitlement spending that I am encouraged to see, and I want to +explore with you a minute about it, that the administration +again seems to be focusing on for the first time, something +prior administrations have not done; and that is the whole area +of tax expenditures, because they really do amount to +entitlements since they are entirely out of the budget process. +You have, for the first time since 1993, of any President, +revised that section of your budget, and it would appear that +tax expenditures, which now rival direct discretionary +expenditures, will receive some type of thorough evaluation by +the administration, and I just ask you first to comment +generally about what you see going forward, and whether perhaps +we will eventually have a tax expenditure budget to allow a +more thorough comparison of the tax expenditures and the direct +expenditures? + Mr. Lew. Congressman Doggett, the issue of tax expenditures +is a very important one. If you look at the work the Fiscal +Commission did, one of the places where I think they made a +real contribution was in having a conversation about spending +on both the revenue and direct spending side. If you look at +the President's budget, the proposal that I described as the +way we pay for the alternative minimum tax extension is a prime +example of how we begin to get that spending on the tax side. +It says that we have a host of provisions in the tax code that +are of more value as you get into a higher and higher tax +bracket, and that we should limit it so that someone who has a +family at 250,000 and above gets the same value as people at +250,000 and below. It doesn't take the deduction away, it +starts to trim the value of it. We think that is a measured way +to start getting at this issue of spending in the tax code. And +we think it is something that ought to be the basis for being +able to begin a serious conversation. + Mr. Doggett. Have you envisioned, during the coming year, a +thorough and careful evaluation of these tax expenditures, and +implementing what you say in your budget appendix? + Mr. Lew. The President has proposed in his State of the +Union and the budget that we begin to work together on +corporate tax reform and that we have a general bipartisan +consensus. + Mr. Doggett. Just on that point specifically, I am very +pleased that the President, in his State of the Union, and +Secretary Geithner indicated that must be revenue neutral. I +think it actually ought to be revenue increasing to help deal +with this problem, but that is a non-negotiable position in the +administration. We are not going to see us borrow from the +Chinese in order to give tax cuts to corporations, are we? + Mr. Lew. So the principle the President set forth was that +we should broaden the base, lower the rates, so we can be more +competitive, and it is really, principally, a way to drive our +international competitiveness. That is going to be challenging +because once we have all agreed on that broad principle, +broadening the base means that you take away special interest +tax provisions. + Chairman Ryan. Thanks. Mr. Calvert. + Mr. Calvert. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I just want make a +point; my friends on the other side of the aisle took over the +Congress in 2007, and that is when you see significant spending +increases, and as I understand it, Congress does have something +to do with spending around here. And that is certainly a big +part of it. I want to thank our guest for coming out today, I +understand the traffic was bad, I saw it out there, it was +pretty difficult. A couple of things you pointed out to drive +people to investment. I am a small businessman, was a small +businessman; how do you drive people to investment if you have +significant increases down the road in capital gains rate? + Mr. Lew. I think that the responsibility that we have, +first and foremost, is to keep a healthy, growing economy where +there is demand and there is business activity out there. So I +think that, going to our big frame, the most important thing we +can do to promote investment is to be responsible in the way we +conduct our fiscal policy. Within that, we have made the kinds +of choices that we think are where the government can really be +helpful in terms of driving the economy of the future. When you +talk to business leaders, in my job I fairly frequently talk to +business leaders, I hear over and over again where they have +problems right now is hiring people with the right skills, +engineering skills, technical skills. By producing the +workforce that our businesses need, we are helping to promote +business in this country. + Mr. Calvert. Reclaiming my time, I find it difficult to +believe that--the folks that I did business with--finding +capital gains rates going up significantly is going to make it +easier for them to do business. But I have another question I +want to ask. My other job--I am on the Defense Appropriation +Committee--and I wanted to understand this new account that you +have to cover the diplomatic and development costs of the U.S. +involvement in Iraq, and Afghanistan, and Pakistan. As you +know, in past years that was handled in the regular base- +budget. And I want to know what standards were used to +determine what costs were appropriate for inclusion in this +account, and can you send us a written guidance for the account +for the record? + Mr. Lew. I am happy to get back for the record, but I can +give you a brief answer if you would like. The funding for +military operations overseas are funded through what are called +overseas contingency operations funding. It has not +historically been an issue for the civilian side, but with +things like the withdrawal of troops in Iraq, and the build-up +of a civilian mission that is quite labor-intensive, security- +intensive, it creates the same challenges that the military +does. The simple rule that was used in putting it together was, +to the extent that we have activities that wouldn't carry on +once we normalize our diplomatic footprint, those should be +handled in the base. To the extent that we have activities that +are more like the military surge, they should be in the +overseas account. + Mr. Calvert. I would like to have that. Also, the budget +request, $117 plus billion for Department of Defense's account +for conduct of the war in Iraq and Afghanistan; and that is +obviously dependent on U.S. troop level in Iraq and +Afghanistan, and as you understand, under the SOFA agreement, +the Status of Forces Agreement, we are reducing the force in +Iraq at the end of this calendar year, and Afghanistan has +announced policy to a troop withdrawal in July, 2011, though +the size of that withdrawal is still yet to be determined. On +your assumption, what troop level are you assuming for +Afghanistan and Iraq in this funding request? + Mr. Lew. In Iraq we have a clearly stated policy to +withdraw our troops on schedule, and the funding levels reflect +that policy. In Afghanistan, our policy is that we will begin +to withdraw troops. We have not used the budget as the place to +project specific numbers. That will have to be worked through +by the national security team. + Mr. Calvert. Okay, yet to be determined. Last question, you +expect an additional war supplemental to be asked for here in +the short term? + Mr. Lew. We have requested funds that we know to be needed +for the coming fiscal year. We have not yet seen what the +appropriations are for fiscal year 2011, and we obviously don't +know what the appropriations will be for fiscal 2012, so I +can't give you a guarantee, not knowing what will be +appropriated, but I know we have estimated, to the best of our +ability, what the costs will be. + Mr. Calvert. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Ryan. Ms. McCollum. + Ms. McCollum. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Lew, thank you +for being here today. Now, we have three challenges facing us +and they need to be all addressed simultaneously. We need to +reduce the deficit, at the same time we need to grow the +economy, and create jobs that will keep America competitive. +Now, as far as I am concerned, the best way to reduce the +deficit is to get American back to work. But we have tough +choices to make. The big difference between making sound +investments and smart cuts, as President Obama has proposed, or +the path that our Tea Party Republican colleagues are taking on +the fiscal year 2011 budget with ideology, mean-spirited, or +just plain dumb, cuts. Now, Mr. Lew, over the past years, +Congress has provided tax breaks, tax cuts, tax loopholes, and +special tax perks, estimated to reduce revenues by more than $1 +trillion. In December's legislation to extend the Bush tax +cuts, some of the beneficiaries of these tax break earmarks +were NASCAR racetrack owners, Caribbean rum manufacturers, at +the cost of hundreds of millions of dollars in foregone +revenues. + The last point I would like to make before I ask you three +questions is: The discretionary defense spending over the next +five years will approach $3 trillion, not including the cost of +the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Yet this budget proposes only +a $78 billion reduction in defense spending, which is nothing +more than a rounding error. Now, I know Congress is part of the +problem. Despite the Pentagon's objections, I am aware the +Republicans have included an alternative engine for the F-35 +Joint Strike Fighter and the F-11 CR at the cost of $45 +million. Now, this is a total waste of taxpayer dollars, and an +example of Congressional pork, and it should be eliminated. + So, Mr. Lew my questions are; the defense discretionary +spending is dwarfing all other domestic investments, keeping +our community safe, and strong, and prospering. Where can +greater defense spending reductions take place over the next +decade? Can you also elaborate on the administration's plan to +close tax loopholes, and end special tax perks, and cut off the +special interest tax giveaways that are adding hundreds of +billions of dollars to the deficit. And then, if you have time, +could you explain more on some of the President's ideas on how +to grow this economy and create jobs? + Mr. Lew. Thank you, Congresswoman McCollum. Let me start on +Department of Defense. We, I think, share on a bipartisan basis +the belief that we have a core responsibility to provide for +national defense. Over the last 10 years, the spending on +defense has been considerably above inflation, and it wasn't +subject to the same kind of rigor that other things were, and +we were also going through extraordinary times. + This is not a judgment being made about the past, but as we +look to the future, this budget says that we have to start +pulling back, but not pulling back in a way that sacrifices our +national security. The policy in this budget says that the +Department of Defense will tamp down its increases so that it +will have no real growth in the five-year window. That is $78 +billion of savings compared to their five year plan for the +last year's budget. We think that is a very important step. + It is an important step which requires tough choices. It +means you can't afford the second engine that you don't need +for the Joint Strike Fighter, it means you can't afford the +Marine Expeditionary Vehicle. There are tough decisions that +have to be made, and I think we have a Secretary of Defense and +a leadership in our military, that is prepared to make the +tough choices, and we look forward to working with Congress. +But they are hard--it means that there are things that are made +now that won't be made in the future, and that is what it is +going to take to start getting our defense budget under +control. + On the question of closing loopholes, the President's +budget includes a number of specific proposals, I mentioned the +oil, gas, and coal provisions in my opening remarks, but we +also have provisions that would take away the tax benefits that +come to companies that export jobs, and we think that it is +important to have policies in our tax code be designed to +reflect what we need to do in our economy. So, in our economy, +for the future, we need to develop the new renewable energy +technology industry. That is going to create jobs in the +future. I am kind of getting to your third question by +answering the second within the five minutes. Ware going to +build the new economy in renewables and in clean energy, and +that is where we need to put our investment. So if you look at +the withdrawal of a special provision for oil, gas, and coal, +and the investment in new technologies, it kind of tells a +story about how we think you invest in the future. + Chairman Ryan. Mr. Akin. + Mr. Akin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Just a couple of +thoughts. Years ago, I was taught what was called the Harvard +Case Study Approach to solving problems, and it was taught in +business schools, and the idea was that you are given this +complicated situation, and you could see all sorts of things +that would be a good thing to do, and you got this-this-and- +this, you have all these good ideas, but part of the discipline +was, pick the number one thing. What is the very first and +essential element that you have got to deal with? And that was +frequently the situation then that would determine whether a +company was going to succeed or fail. + As I take a look at many of the things we have discussed +even here this morning, and that you are dealing with in the +budget, we are dealing with, to some degree, some peripheral +things, but it seems like there has been pretty good emphasis +that the elephant in the room is the tremendous growth of +entitlements. I just heard references to the fact that maybe +the defense budget is really the bugaboo here. + But if you take a look at defense as a percent of GDP, +going back to maybe 67 or so, you are looking at close to nine +percent of GDP being spent on defense, it is now dropped to +four-something. And one of the few people on this committee +sitting on armed services; we talk about, Well, we are going to +cut this Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle for the Marines. The +only problem is, if you really believe in Marines, you have got +to get them from the ocean to the shore. So, I am not so sure +that you have already cut the percent of GDP for defense not +quite in half, and in the meantime entitlements have gone from +about 2.5 percent, if you go beyond Medicare, Medicaid, Social +Security, to the other entitlements, you are well up at +whatever it is, 12 percent. And you put entitlement and debt +service together, and all of a sudden, voila, that is what our +revenue is. + So it seems to me that the elephant in the room is the +entitlements, and courageous leadership is going to acknowledge +that fact and say, Okay, now let us have the conversation, and +talk about what we are going to do with those. Because all of +us know we are talking about some heavy cuts in discretionary, +but that is just the tip of the iceberg. So I guess it is +disappointing not to say, Hey, let us at least make this the +main subject the main subject. The second thing that I don't +quite understand is the idea that we are somehow going to shock +the fragile recovery by cutting discretionary income. I guess +that is assuming that that discretionary income, by spending +all that money, it helps the economy. If you could enlighten me +on that line of reasoning, because I don't understand that. + Mr. Lew. Thank you, Congressman. I have a soft-spot for +those business school case studies; I paid my way through +college by working on producing those case studies, so they +have played an important part in my life. The first thing I +would do, looking at a university class on how do you solve the +problem, is say, Where do we need to be on the bottom line? And +bottom line is we need to have a three percent of GDP deficit +in order to say we are not adding to the debt. Then I would +ask, What are you doing to get there? And we have put forward a +plan that gets there. And then, I would say, you separate the +question of what do you need to do for the long term. And that +is exactly what we have done in this budget. + So, I think we are dealing with the short-term and the +medium-term, we are saying in a very direct way that we need to +work together on the long-term, and we are trying to leave as +much open for discussion so there is an environment where we +can actually reach agreement. The easiest thing to do is kind +of polarize the environment. We are deliberately leaving room +for that conversation. + Mr. Akin. Let me just jump in. In order to come up with the +numbers that you have come up with, some of the assumptions +strike me as being a little odd. For instance, some of my +Democrat colleagues have talked about how, when President Bush +took office, everything was rosy and perfect, but I recall +there was quite a recession going in 2000, 2001. I do remember +the numbers in May, 2003 we did three unpopular tax cuts, +capital gains, dividends, and death tax. They weren't popular +because we were tarred-and-feathered as sticking up for the +rich guy. But the trouble was it was those rich guys that owned +the businesses that hired people. And if you destroy the +businesses by overtaxing the owners of small business, then you +don't have any jobs. + So, I took a look at those numbers after capital gains, +dividends, and death tax, and what we saw was that first of all +the GDP jumped, and it had the kind of growth that you want to +make the budget numbers work, but we did it by cutting those +taxes on the small business and the investors. We also saw that +the employment turned right around. We went from un-employing a +lot of people to jobs being created. And last of all, according +to just what Laffer predicted, the government revenues actually +jumped up when we cut the taxes, because of the fact that the +economy got back going. So I don't understand how you make it +work with growth and still raising taxes. + Mr. Lew. I would love to respond but I suspect from the +tapping I don't have time. + Chairman Ryan. Mr. Pascrell. + Mr. Pascrell. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you for your +service. + Mr. Lew. Thank you, Congressman. + Mr. Pascrell. I find it remarkable, and I say this with +fondness, Mr. Chairman, I am glad you smiled. I say this with +fondness. You have become an existential party. You have +amnesia about how the past and how we got to this place, and +you don't want us to invest in the future. We are stuck with +the here and now. I don't think we are stuck. I think this is a +pretty credible blueprint. And it is not going to be like this +when we finish, but it is a credible blueprint to begin with. +There is a simple juxtaposition going on here. The President's +budget, correct me if I am wrong Mr. Lew, the President's +budget achieves substantial deficit reductions, and achieves a +sustainable debt of three percent of the GDP by 2015. Is that +correct, or incorrect? + Mr. Lew. I would only correct you that it is the deficit. + Mr. Pascrell. I am sorry. A sustainable deficit; that is +what I meant to say. Second question is, isn't it true that in +this President's budget, there is $5 billion in small business +tax cuts for 2012, and if you add up the 10 years there is $116 +billion in real tax cuts for small businesses. Is that correct? + Mr. Lew. There are substantial incentives for small +business. They do add up to a number like that. I don't have +the exact number in front of me. I assume you have the correct +number. + Mr. Pascrell. Okay. Here is my second question then, some +of my colleagues, who I admire, and respect, and that is +nothing to smile about, I mean it. I don't have to agree with +them, right? Some of my colleagues criticized the President's +budget that it does not cut entitlement programs like Medicare. +In fact, Mr. Chairman and I went outside for water, and the +President was providing us with his address at 11 a.m. about +the budget, and that was his first question. Why didn't you +show leadership,--I think those were your words yesterday--Why +didn't you show leadership in going after Medicare and Social +Security? + We know Social Security has very little to do with the +deficit. We would agree with that, correct? I personally +believe we can balance the deficit without cutting Medicare for +seniors. That is my own personal belief. You could do other +things. However, is it not true, Mr. Lew, that federal health +care reform adopted many recommendations from Congress own +independent advisory commission, the Medicare Payment Advisory +Commission, we established that, did we not? + Mr. Lew. Correct. + Mr. Pascrell. And that by having a Medicare Center for +Innovation, Medicare now can test and use new payment models. +We fought to have that in there for a very specific reason, to +not only improve patient care, but lower our national spending +on health care. Would you just respond to that, please? + Mr. Lew. Congressman, I think there are many, many things +that we have done in the last couple years that are very +important in health care. We have real savings in the 10 years, +bigger savings beyond that, and we have put in place mechanisms +like the ones you have described, which give us the ability to +get the best practices, which are the way we are going to +reduce spending overall going forward. A lot of those things +don't score easily, because there is a question about when they +will have results. We believe that they will have results, and +we have to stay on the course of implementing it that we make +sure we get the benefit. + Mr. Pascrell. And many of those were not even scored. + Mr. Lew. Correct. That doesn't mean they are not real. It +just means you first have to demonstrate it. + Mr. Pascrell. Why should we be paying for police to patrol +the streets of Kabul and Baghdad? Why is that exempt when we +say defense appropriations? Why is that exempt, but not cops on +the beat in Patterson, New Jersey, or Camden, New Jersey, or +anywhere? Why? + Mr. Lew. I want to start by saying that we provide funding +to make sure we can keep cops on the street in Camden, New +Jersey, as well. So we don't believe that the choice is you +either do one or the other. One of the things we have tried to +do is preserve funding for the cops program. I think he short +answer to the question of why we should be supporting the +training of the police in Afghanistan, is that in order for us +to get to the point where we can withdraw American troops, +Afghanistan is going to need to have the ability to protect +itself so that we are not put at risk, and that is part of our +plan. + Mr. Pascrell. I was talking about the security in our own +country. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Ryan. A lot of our problem here is we have +witnesses in high demand. I want to make sure every member gets +his chance, so I ask unanimous consent that we reduce our four +minutes each, so that we can make sure that we can accommodate +everybody and still allow Mr. Lew his chance to go over to the +Senate to testify. Without objection. Mr. Cole. + Mr. Cole. Well, I was going to object, because it was my +time. My friend Mr. Price and I think we either need to get +taller or you guys in the front row need to get a lot shorter, +it is very hard to see you there. + Mr. Lew. This has actually changed since the last time I +was here. I find myself leaning forward a lot more. + Mr. Cole. But since my time is short, I have got three +areas I would like to ask you about. The first is, just looking +at your budget; you basically keep 80 percent of the Bush tax +cuts for about 95 percent of the people that received them. +Does that suggest, one, that you don't think those went to the +rich particularly, and two, that you see them as having been, +and continuing to be, beneficial to the economy? + Mr. Lew. You know, we believe that the tax cuts for the +middle class are a good thing, and there was too high a tax +rate burden, and we should continue to do what we can to +minimize the tax burden on the middle class. One thing I would +just point out is that we don't take the benefits of those tax +breaks away from anyone; even if they are above 250,000, we +just say there shouldn't be additional tax breaks. + Mr. Cole. No, I understand that, and again, I applaud the +President for embracing, literally 80 percent of the Bush tax +cuts, something that seems to be forgotten around here +sometimes. We can disagree about 20 percent, but 80 percent we +actually do agree on. Second question, and this gets maybe to +your philosophy, the administration's philosophy, in your +deficit reduction plan over several years, you have some tax +increases, you have some spending restraints. Roughly, what is +the balance that you strike between tax increases and spending +cuts or restraints? + Mr. Lew. Well, I apologize that it is a little bit of a +complicated answer, just because baselines make how you measure +complicated, and I want to be clear. We start with a baseline +that assumes that the tax rate in the top bracket stays where +it will be when the provisions enacted last December expire. +From that baseline, we have net $360 billion of additional +revenue. But I say net because we have $392 billion of tax +cuts, so after you pay for the tax cuts, net $360 billion of +new revenues. + Mr. Cole. And how much in spending restraint? + Mr. Lew. We have $751 billion in mandatory and non-security +discretionary savings, and we do count debt service as spending +because we have to pay for debt service. + Mr. Cole. Obviously we would probably disagree over whether +letting those tax cuts run out amounts to a tax increase or +not, but let me put that aside. Let me get to the last point I +wanted to ask you about and this really does get down to, +actually, some questions my friend Mr. Akin raised. Look, we +all know entitlement spending is going to be a major focus. + As an appropriator I will be thrilled the day we finally +move to tax expenditures and entitlement expenditures, because +that is where the problem is. But since you have expressed a +lot of the President wants to do this, doesn't want to take +options off the table. I am like everybody else, I am really +disappointed we haven't seen more, at this point, but can you +tell me when that discussion would begin, is the President +going to propose a format in which it would take place, does he +think he should lead with a proposal of his own, or wait for +Congress to put one on? I am sort of mystified about how we get +to the elephant in the room that Mr. Akin was talking about. + Mr. Lew. The President has put quite a lot on the table in +the budget that we presented yesterday, and it is the first +step in the process. We have a lot of work to do together, both +in terms of finishing the work on 2011, getting to work on +2012. I have to tell you from my own personal experience, +having watched and been part of the deficit reduction efforts +in the late 70s, 80s, 90s, when we have had real success in a +bipartisan basis, it is come from people working together +behind the scenes and in an environment where there could be +the kinds of open conversations where there is trust. And I +think if we concentrate on developing that kind of a +conversation, we will again produce the best results for the +American people. + Mr. Cole. Thank you gentlemen. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Ryan. Ms. Castor. + Ms. Castor. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Welcome. I would like +to show you a chart, here. + + + I understand you were the head of Office of Management and +Budget in the last few years of the Clinton administration, +where there were burgeoning debts and growing deficits, but at +the end of the Clinton administration, is it true that you left +when we had a projected 10 year surplus of $5.6 trillion? + Mr. Lew. I would just correct that I was director of Office +of Management and Budget three years in a row when we had +surpluses. We didn't have deficits, we had surpluses. We were +paying down the debt, so that is what that chart says. + Ms. Castor. I stand corrected. And then when President +Obama took office, we were facing an $8 trillion, 10-year +deficit. It must be entirely frustrating to you, it must have +been frustrating, during that eight year period, to watch what +happened to the surpluses left at the end of the Clinton +administration. + Mr. Lew. I don't exaggerate when I say it breaks my heart. +I think that you look at what drove the deficit up, some of it +was beyond our control, in terms of the economy. When there is +a recession, there is a loss of revenue and there is certain +spending that you have. Some of it was because of wars, which +you don't necessarily choose, but if you go to war, that is an +extraordinary circumstance. Some of it was because we just +suspended the basic common sense of paying for what we did. And +we had tax cuts and spending increases that weren't paid for, +and that is what has created the long-term problem we are +dealing with now. These other things correct themselves; the +economy is recovering, and we are going to see revenues and +spending get back to their more normal levels. The wars will +come to an end; we are pulling our troops home from Iraq. The +other creates a problem that we have to deal with. + Ms. Castor. And that is why I am grateful that you have +taken on this new challenge. We all agree, the government has +got to live within its means. But we must remain mindful that +we are coming out of the most severe recession in our +lifetimes, and we have got to build on the economic foundation +for the future, and that is why I am particularly focused on +job creation, and jobs, and our workforce. My district is home +to one of the largest universities in the country, and a lot of +community colleges, and private universities, and I am 100 +percent behind you on what this budget does to maintain the +maximum Pell grant for students. It remains at $5,550 for +students. You all know that the Pell Grant helps over nine +million students across America afford college. + Now, over the last couple of days there is been a lot of +confusion in the press, however, over what is happening with +the Pell grant. It appears President Obama maintains the +maximum Pell grant, at $5,550 for 2012, for students, and you +pay for it by cutting the relatively new year-round Pell grant +that allowed some students to qualify for two Pell grants. I +wasn't aware that they could do that. + Are you also aware that in contrast to what the President's +budget is trying to do, right now on the floor of the House, +the Republican continuing resolution has proposed cuts in the +Pell grant by $845 per student for 2011? I think that is moving +in the wrong direction when we want to ensure that we have the +most competitive workforce across the globe. So could you +explain your budget and why you viewed this as a priority, and +your view of the Republican efforts to diminish support for +students, and how it will hurt our national goal of supporting +an educated workforce that can out-compete others? + Chairman Ryan. And I ask you to explain that in six +seconds, otherwise give the rest in writing, please. + Mr. Lew. We think Pell grants are an enormously important +program. We have taken the tough steps in this budget to pay +for it, and when you look at where some of the increases in +spending since 2008 and now are, Pell grants is one of the +biggest, and we think it is one of the best investments we can +make in our future. + Chairman Ryan. All members, if you ask your question at the +end of your time allotted, you are taking away from our fellow +colleague. So that is why I am being judicious with the gavel, +here, so everybody gets a chance. Mr. Price. + Mr. Price. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Director Lew, thanks so +much for joining us. Some of our friends on the other side of +the aisle, one of them said on our side there is an amnesia +about the past. So I want to visit a little bit of the amnesia +that goes around to the other side. You said that the last time +you were before this committee it was a good time because you +had produced a balanced budget. What party was in control of +the House of Representatives at that time? + Mr. Lew. I am proud to say we worked on a bipartisan, +balanced budget agreement. + Mr. Price. But the answer to that would be Democrat or +Republican? + Mr. Lew. We worked with Republican leadership. + Mr. Price. Republican leaders. Thank you very much. + Mr. Lew. The Republicans and Democrats in Congress. + Mr. Price. Can you tell me, Director Lew, what the debt was +in this country at the end of 2006? + Mr. Lew. I would have to look that number up. I have a lot +of numbers in my head, I don't have that number in my head. + Mr. Price. If I told you that the debt at the end of 2006 +when the Republicans ended their control of Congress--the House +of Representatives--was $8.4 trillion. Would you say that was +about right? + Mr. Lew. When we took office it was approaching $10 +trillion. + Mr. Price. When Speaker Pelosi began her reign would be +about right in 2007, correct? And the debt right now, Director +Lew? + Mr. Lew. The debt right now, I can look that up. + Mr. Price. About $14 trillion? + Mr. Lew. $14 trillion. + Mr. Price. Somewhere in that range. So about $6 trillion in +the last four years under Democrat leadership in the House, is +that correct? + Mr. Lew. You know, I think that one can go through these +numbers, and we can look it up in the book, and we can +establish what the numbers are. I think one has to understand +what was going on in these periods. + Mr. Price. Absolutely. + Mr. Lew. We were going through the worst economic +conditions since the Great Depression. + Mr. Price. I will reclaim my time Director, I am sorry. I +only get four minutes. And as the elephant in the room has been +discussed, it is a remarkable, remarkable display that we +believe has come out of the administration. When I was a kid we +used to play kickball in the street or in the backyard, and +when we turned around and headed to our house, we knew that the +house was going to be there. The house is burning down, Mr. +Director. + And the fact of the matter is that the administration is +playing kickball and not attending to the work that needs to be +done. To put a budget before the American people that doesn't +address the entitlement issues is reckless and irresponsible. +And you talk about, To get to balance, a set of decisions needs +to be discussed, that no one is discussing right now. But I +will tell you who is discussing them, Mr. Director, and that is +our constituents. They are scared to death. And they don't see +any leadership coming out of this administration as it relates +to the entitlements. When does that discussion begin? + Mr. Lew. You know, Congressman, if you look at what was +going on during the period. + Mr. Price. When, Mr. Director, when does that discussion +begin? + Mr. Lew. I am happy to answer that discussion if you give +me a moment. + Mr. Price. I have got four minutes and the fact of the +matter is that you are not answering the question, and you +haven't answered the question. + Mr. Lew. The President has put down a budget that we think +takes the first, and very important, step of showing how we get +to a sustainable deficit by the middle of the decade. That is +an important step. And the President has also said that we need +to work together on a bipartisan basis to do what we need to do +in the long term, and I think we can't confuse the two issues. + Mr. Price. Does this budget deal with the entitlements that +[inaudible]. + Mr. Lew. This budget begins to, but those entitlement +issues did not cause the increases that you have just +described. The worst economic recession since the Great +Depression drove those numbers. We need to get the economy +moving, and we need to take the steps that we have put forward +in this budget and then more, on a bipartisan basis, working +together. + Mr. Price. We look forward to that. As you well know, and +as you have stated here, this budget does not deal with the +entitlement issues. I want to turn my attention very quickly to +the tax issues. The assumptions under this budget assume that +the tax increases will occur for those making more than +$250,000 in two years; is that correct? + Mr. Lew. It assumes that the tax rates that are in current +law will remain in effect. + Mr. Price. So that a tax increase for small businesses +occurs within this budget window, is that correct? + Mr. Lew. It means that individuals, families that earn over +$250,000 a year will pay the same taxes that they did during +the end of the 1990s when the economy was growing at the +fastest rate. + Mr. Price. And the amount of tax increase in this budget is +about $1.6 trillion, is that correct? + Mr. Lew. Again, it gets to this question of measurement. I +have tried to be very clear that there is a portion that we are +not taking credit for because it is in the baseline, and I am +happy to work through those numbers. + Chairman Ryan. Thank you, we already established the 1.6 +number. Mr. Tonko. + Mr. Tonko. Thank you, Mr. Chair. Director Lew, thank you +for joining today. + Ms. Moore. Mr. Chair, excuse me. What happened to me? I +just want to know. + Chairman Ryan. Ms. Moore, as you know, the rule is in the +order in which you show up, so we have Tonko, Bass, Moore, +Wasserman Schultz, Ryan, and Blumenauer on your side of the +aisle. + Ms. Moore. Okay, I just wanted to make sure I hadn't +disappeared. + Chairman Ryan. No, you are still there, Gwen. + Ms. Moore. Okay, got you. + Mr. Tonko. Thank you for providing insight on the +President's proposed budget. Also, I am aware that you are a +fellow New Yorker. Last month, members of the New York +delegation in the House, myself included, wrote to you about +extending the Federal-State Health Reform Partnership. As you +know, this innovative partnership between New York and the +federal government has led to significant modernizations and +improvements for several hospitals and health systems. +Established by former Governor Pataki and Secretary Leavitt to +improve New York's outdated health care system, the funds have +been allocated already, but not all the projects that have been +authorized by the agreement have been finished. The New York +delegation also wrote to urge you and Secretary Sebelius to +extend the waiver for three years, and my concern is that be +agreed to here. It is a common-sense thing to do, and do you +know if the Office of Management and Budget extends the waiver +before it expires late this year? + Mr. Lew. Congressman, I know it is under review. There are +actually two waivers that are under review. I have been at the +Office of Management and Budget for eight weeks, it is one of +the things that I have actually looked at; it hasn't come to me +for a decision yet, we will continue to work with the state as +we review it. + Mr. Tonko. Great. We look forward to working with you on +that. And also, the President's budget, I am very concerned +about the investment in R&D and basic research, and happy to +note that the President's budget proposes to invest some $148 +billion in R&D, in energy efficiency, and key basic research, +contrasted with the Republican spending plan that would slash +R&D. The President's budget also proposes robust investments in +the National Institutes of Health, where doctors and scientists +work to cure cancer, heart disease, and diabetes. Alzheimer's +and other diseases that together claim the lives of millions of +Americans every year are also impacted by that budgeting. The +GOP spending plan on the floor today cuts the National +Institutes of Health budget by about a billion, and medical +research has proven to extend life expectancy, for instance, +from 50 years in 1911 to nearly 80 years now in 2011. Can you +explain the approach taken with R&D and research, basic +research in the President's plan? Some call it spending, others +reference it as investing. + Mr. Lew. I am happy to. We have taken a very close look at +the R&D budget and we have looked kind of beyond some of the +traditional boundaries. There has been a broad consensus that +biomedical research is important. We agree with that. We have +an increase in biomedical research. But we have looked at areas +like energy research, and we have put significant resources +into developing the technologies that will make us the most +competitive country with the technologies of the future. We +have put money into basic research. I think that we have to +have a comprehensive research agenda in order for us to be in a +place where, as the President says, we can out-innovate other +countries. + It has been an area, historically, of enormous strength in +the United States. Even today, we spend more as a country, +public and private combined, on research than any other country +in the world. There are certain aspects of it which don't +happen in the private sector alone, because there is too much +risk, too many experiments and things that aren't going to +become commercially viable, but you need to go through that +process in order to get the material, the knowledge, out there. +And I think we have had a history of very effective partnership +in this country of transferring research from government-funded +research to private-sector development, and we have tried to +put together a budget that will continue what we think is the +best of the American tradition. + Chairman Ryan. Thank you. Mr. McClintock. + Mr. McClintock. Mr. Lew, welcome. I want to join Ms. Castor +and others for complimenting you on the job you did under the +Clinton administration. You guys did an absolutely magnificent +job managing the nation's fiscal affairs. You cut spending by a +miraculous 4 percent of GDP during your years; historic reform +of entitlements ending welfare as we know it; what amounted to +the biggest capital-gains tax cut in American history; four +years of budget surpluses. It is true it was a Republican +Congress, but give credit where credit is due. You guys did a +great job. But I look at this budget, and it seems to be +exactly the opposite. + Mr. Lew. I wanted to just say thank you. + Mr. McClintock. No, with all sincerity, thank you. It was a +great job. But I look at this budget and it is exactly the +opposite: record increases in spending, biggest peacetime +deficit in American history, no effort to address entitlements, +which have grown significantly more challenging over the last +several years. Wouldn't you call this the anti-Clinton budget? + Mr. Lew. No, Congressman. I am very proud of the work I did +in the Clinton administration and I would point out that one of +the reasons that spending was falling as a percentage of GDP is +the economy was growing so fast because we had a good fiscal +policy that promoted confidence and economic growth. I think if +you look at the projections today, spending now and in the +future, we are projecting the retirement of the baby boom. We +are seeing more people become 65 and claiming their benefits. + Mr. McClintock. Actually, that is my very next question. I +want to get to your long-range projection. + Mr. Lew. And I think that it is part of the reality of +projections that even if we cut spending in the policies that +we are making, as we pay the benefits that people are due, +there will be areas of the budget where spending goes up. I +don't think any of us would want to be saying that people +shouldn't be able to collect their Social Security benefits +when they are 65, but that and Medicare for people retiring is +really driving those aggregate spending levels. On the +discretionary side, we are cutting spending. + Mr. McClintock. Exactly right, which is why we are all +baffled that you haven't tackled entitlements that are driving +our long-range projections right off a cliff. But speaking of +those long-range projections, I look at the claims that you are +reducing the deficit in the long-term. You know, we have enough +trouble projecting 10 quarters into the future without +projecting 10 years, but I look at what you are doing here and +you take the current year's war-funding level of $165 billion +this year, pay for operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, +including the surge, you then take this level and project it +out for 10 years and this represents your current policy +baseline. You then assume a policy or placeholder $50 billion +for the war from 2013 to 2021, and then you count the lower +funding in your budget relative to this current policy baseline +as a $1.1 trillion spending cut over 10 years. You take the +related debt service, that is another $1.3 trillion. Are you +guys really planning to stay in Iraq at current levels and to +continue the surge for the next 10 years? It has either a yes +or no question. Yes or no? + Mr. Lew. No, the budget reflects our withdrawal from Iraq. + Mr. McClintock. And you are claiming that as savings. You +take a baseline assuming of $165 billion a year, including the +surge, and then you count everything below that as savings. +Well we are planning to do that anyway. + Mr. Lew. I am happy to respond. We are almost out of time. +The overseas contingency operation account is something that +really solved a problem that the Obama administration +inherited, which was there was no orderly way to fund war +operations, and supplemental appropriations were very much in +disrepute as being a way of not having honest budgeting. + Mr. McClintock. In the five seconds I have got left, that +is an intellectually dishonest way of presenting the budget, +particularly when the other part is $819 billion of tax +increases. + Mr. Lew. That is an important issue, and I would love to be +able to respond in more detail on it. + Chairman Ryan. How about in writing, because I would love +to hear the answer to that one too. Ms. Bass. + Ms. Bass. Thank you. Director Lew, thank you for your +testimony. + Mr. Lew. Thank you. + Ms. Bass. You and the President should be commended for +crafting a $1.1 trillion deficit-cutting budget that strikes +the right balance, frankly, between spending reductions and +targeted investments in infrastructure, innovation, and +education. Prior to Congress, I served in the California +Legislature where we had to make tough choices, such as +eliminating Pell Grants for summer school to sustain the +maximum award for all eligible students. + Having said that, I do want to take a moment to draw +attention to the choices made in the continuing resolution that +will be debated this week. Not only does the spending plan make +devastating cuts to critical programs that families depend on +to get back on their feet, but the continuing resolution would +result in lost jobs of 1,300 police officers, 2,400 +firefighters, and 16,000 private-sector construction jobs from +cutting $1.7 billion from the federal building fund. + The most promising new source of economic growth and job +creation is in our public infrastructure system, from roads and +bridges to broadband and air-traffic control systems to a new +energy grid. I am pleased to see that the budget invests in +these key areas that will spur job creation, and based on this, +what do you believe are the potential numbers of jobs that +would be created by what you and the President are proposing? + Mr. Lew. Congressman, I thank you. I can't give you a +specific job forecast. I think we have all learned that there +is uncertainty in the projections when you get to a pinpoint +number. I think what we know is that when you build roads, when +you build ports, when you build the infrastructure we need to +be competitive in the future, it puts men and women to work on +those projects in real time. And in our Surface Transportation +Reauthorization Proposal, we do propose that $50 billion be +done at the beginning to get a head start and to get people to +work. I would be happy to get back to you with some notions of +what that means in terms of specific jobs, but it is clearly a +lot of jobs. + Ms. Bass. I would appreciate that, even if you could give +us a range. If you could get back to me, I would appreciate +that. Second question, with the cuts that are taken in the +defense part of the budget, I do believe that we can find +additional savings. I wanted to ask you, for example, as I +understand it, there is nearly 270 bases in Germany, 65 years +after World War II ended. And I wanted to know if the +administration has conducted a savings estimate on closing +these bases that probably no longer serve a strategic value, +and if some of them do, I would question whether over 200 do. + Mr. Lew. You know, I think that these are the kinds of +questions the Department of Defense needs to ask, not just +about Europe but about its operations everywhere. What do we +need for our current and future defense, what could we live +without? I don't want to prejudge the answers to any of those +questions, but I think that by putting in this budget the first +step to bringing the Department of Defense back into the normal +budget tradeoffs, where we are saying no real growth. That is a +cut, in terms of what you can buy; it means you have to start +doing less things. That is a step in the direction of asking a +lot of very hard questions. + Ms. Bass. Thank you, and then just finally I wanted to +thank you for your comments earlier, especially about the R&D +credit. Being in California and the Silicon Valley, we hear +that all the time from the tech community, the need for that to +be long-term so that they can do the planning. So thank you +very much for your time. + Mr. Lew. Thank you. + Chairman Ryan. Mr. Chaffetz. + Mr. Chaffetz. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Director, thank you +for being here and your good work. I do appreciate it, the work +you have done in the past. But what I have a problem with is +this budget. It was suggested earlier that budgets reflect the +priorities and values of those that present them, and I think +in this case it is true. I think it is very true, that this is +a case that is being made by the administration. They want big +government, more government, the bottom line is this doubles +the debt in 10 years, and that it is fiscally irresponsible. +You know, the decisions we make in Congress are all about what +kind of money we are going to pull out of people's pockets and +give to somebody else. I find it reprehensible that we continue +to talk about investments and other things when we are pulling +money from people's pockets to try to give it to somebody else. +The most important thing we can do is allow money to stay in +their own pockets. It is the American people's money, it is not +Congress money, it is not the White House's money. + I want to get very specific at some of the things you said. +This budget is a down payment was one of the things I heard, a +quote from you, I believe, yesterday. This is a down payment on +mortgaging our future, and it exacerbates the problem. It +doesn't actually solve it. + I want to talk about part of your testimony on page six. It +says, quote, To stay on a path towards sustainable deficits. +Sustainable deficits seems like an oxymoron to me. We are on a +trajectory where we can't afford anything. We are paying $600 +million a day just in interest. I would appreciate, at a future +date, to please try to define for us sustainable deficits, +because I think to the average American, to me, it does not +make sense. We have no sustainable deficits. + To further go on with that quote, you say, On the order of +three percent of GDP, we make tough choices across all areas of +the budget to identify more than $1 trillion in savings, two- +thirds from spending reductions. Where does that other third +come from? As I understand it, it is from tax increases, is it +not? + Mr. Lew. I am happy to answer all the questions you just +asked. + Mr. Chaffetz. Just this last one, please. I know our time +is short. + Mr. Lew. The net savings come from a number of provisions, +but a lot of it comes from the provision that would pay for the +alternative-minimum tax, which would reduce the value of tax +deductions for families with $250,000 and above. + Mr. Chaffetz. And a significant portion does come from tax +increases, correct? + Mr. Lew. Well, one-third. + Mr. Chaffetz. A third is coming from tax increases. You +have a statement in here about federal civilian employee pay +freeze. I find this to be terribly disingenuous. The reality +is, when Barack Obama took office to now, we have 145,000 +additional federal workers. To suggest that pay is being frozen +is not an accurate statement. Through step increases, through +bonuses, through others, we have dramatically increased the +federal payroll. The budget that is being proposed, when you +say pay freeze, does that mean that expenditures on payroll +will go up or stay the same? + Mr. Lew. It means that people are not going to get a cost- +of-living adjustment, a raise from the pay that they get right +now. + Mr. Chaffetz. So the total, the line-item going forward, +will our total expenditure from the U.S. Government, will that +go up or will that be the same? + Mr. Lew. Well if we have more people, we will obviously +have to pay the people who we are hiring, but for an individual +federal worker they are going to see their pay frozen. + Mr. Chaffetz. I guess what I am worried about for the +American taxpayer is their expense for federal employees is +going to go up, correct? + Mr. Lew. Well I think if we want people to work at the +airports and check to see that bombs aren't getting on planes, +we have to pay them. + Mr. Chaffetz. We already have 65,000 TSA agents. + Mr. Lew. But we have new technology, and the new technology +requires people to use it. + Mr. Chaffetz. How many is enough? How many more TSA agents +do you need? You have 65,000 TSA agents. + Mr. Lew. Congressman, I am happy to go into detailed +answers. + Mr. Chaffetz. How many more TSA agents do you need? + Mr. Lew. I think as we put new technology at the airports, +we needed to hire people to work that equipment. I can get you +an exact number. + Mr. Chaffetz. We have 65,000. I need to know how many more +people is it going to take? + Mr. Lew. I know that it is not worth buying equipment that +we don't have people to operate. + Mr. Chaffetz. I appreciate it. Thanks, Mr. Chairman. + Mr. Lew. And I would like to answer your other questions if +I have time. I don't know if I have time. + Chairman Ryan. If you could get to the gentleman in +writing, only because we want to watch your time and the rest +of the members time. + Mr. Lew. Sure, okay. + Chairman Ryan. It has now my pleasure to yield time to Ms. +Moore. + Ms. Moore. Thank you so much, Mr. Chairman, and thank you +Mr. Lew for appearing. Now as you can tell, members on both +sides of the aisle are very frustrated, because this is a very +difficult budget. And coming from a cold place like Wisconsin, +it is just chilling to see things cut like the low-income +housing energy assistance program, for example. But I do +appreciate the fact that the administration has attempted to +have somewhat of a balance in terms of revenue and spending +cuts and defense cuts, and entitlement cuts. I just want to ask +you a very simple question: If we cut every dime of +discretionary non-defense spending, would that put us on a +course toward ending our deficits? Every single dime. + Mr. Lew. It has not a big enough part of the budget for us +to solve the problem. + Ms. Moore. Thank you. That is what I want to know, because +there is an attempt to really describe the solution as simply +just cutting everything, not just low-income heating assistance +but everything. + Entitlements, my questions are generated from just +listening here today. I get a little bit nervous when my +colleagues talk about the White House not having dealt with +entitlements. Did you say earlier in your testimony that you +had found, what was it, $65 billion. + Mr. Lew. $62 billion. + Ms. Moore. In savings from Medicare? + Mr. Lew. It is Medicare, Medicaid, federal employees health +benefit programs; it is dozens of different provisions. + Ms. Moore. So thank you. So you did, in fact, deal with +entitlements. The reason I get nervous is entitlements is a +really big category. The Medicare prescription drug program, +can you remind me of how much that cost and was not paid for? + Mr. Lew. Well I can tell you none of it was paid for. The +exact estimate at the time was on the order of $500 billion. + Ms. Moore. $500 billion? + Mr. Lew. I wasn't working on this at the time, I might have +the number wrong. + Ms. Moore. And I wasn't here, and Democrats weren't in +control of Congress. That is an entitlement that needs +reforming. + Social Security, I get very nervous. Can you just clarify +for me who pays for Social Security? It comes out of our +paychecks and employers paychecks, and you said earlier it was +not driving the deficit. Why do they keep lumping Social +Security into this deficit situation that we are in, and saying +that it needs to be dealt with? + Mr. Lew. Well, Social Security is financed by payroll tax, +half by the employer, half by the employee. And if you look at +the Social Security trust fund, it is projected to remain in a +position to pay benefits until 2037, so we don't have any +immediate crisis in Social Security funding. I think that it is +also the case that we are spending more year to year on Social +Security because people are retiring. If you turn 65, you get +benefits. + Ms. Moore. Okay, so thank you. I hate to cut you off but I +keep hearing an awful lot about how the White House is harming +small businesses, the business creators. I am just wondering, +what are they talking about? If I have a hedge fund operating +from my living room with a computer, I am a small business and +I make, you know, several million dollars, am I considered a +small business? A job creator? Like you said, law firms. Who +are these small businesses that we are harming with the tax? + Mr. Lew. I think if you look at the budget proposals we +have, we have targeted assistance for small businesses that +meet the kind of definition that I think most of us would, in a +common-sense way, think of a small business. A small factory, a +small shop, and it wouldn't apply to services like law and +finance. So we have incentives that we propose that would make +the tax code more attractive. + Ms. Moore. You have differentiated here so that we are just +not the mom-pop shop. + Mr. Lew. We don't need to have the overall tax rate on the +wealthiest Americans go back down to the [inaudible] level. + Ms. Moore. Okay, let me ask one final question in my last +five seconds, or just to make a statement maybe. The Bush era +tax cuts, which I think we ought to have gotten rid of, period; +those earning over $250,000 a year still benefit six times as +much as everybody else. + Chairman Ryan. Thank you, Ms. Moore. Ms. Black. + Mrs. Black. Thank you, and thank you Mr. Lew. I want to go +back and continue in the vein of the question related to a +sustainable deficit. You started out by saying that this budget +is just a starting point. I am a little disappointed in that +because my understanding is that as the role of the President, +he is to set forth a plan, not a skeleton. I am disappointed +that there wasn't more of a plan here along the areas of the +entitlement programs, but that is really not the direction I +want to go. The direction that I want to go in is talking about +sustainable deficits. + Now, as has already been said here, we admire the work that +you did during the Clinton administration, and particularly +having a budget surplus, and that it broke your heart that we +are not in that situation. However, it seems as I read your +testimony and what I hear today, that the goal here was to have +a sustainable deficit. And I think our goal should be to be out +of debt, and that we shouldn't have a sustainable deficit but +we should have a balanced budget. Do you agree that we should +be in a situation where our goal should not be a sustainable +deficit, but should be that we would have a surplus and not +spend more money than what we bring in? + Mr. Lew. The reason we call this a down payment is because +we do agree that we need to get beyond stopping the building up +of the debt, and we then need to work on surplus so that we can +pay it down. The problem is you don't get there quickly. You +have to stop putting more onto the bill before you can pay it +down. It is going to take hard work to do that. The three +percent of GDP gets us only to the point where we are paying +our current bills with revenue, and we still have the deficit, +the long-term debt, out there. And then we are going to need to +work together on dealing with that. + Mrs. Black. And I want to go to that too, because if our +goal over the next 10 years is to just have sustainable +deficit, we will never pay down the debt. And frankly, one of +the reasons why I ran is because I look at my six +grandchildren, and I am really sad to think that my goal over +the next 10 years, or my goal of serving for however long I +serve, is just to sustain the deficit and not go toward the +debt. And I think that it is short-sighted for us to think +along those lines. I want to see a plan that gets rid of the +deficit and begins to start to pay on the debt. + Mr. Lew. I think that having presented budgets that had +surpluses and now working on a budget that is a tough budget, +that stops building the debt, I agree that we need to look +beyond getting to the point where we are not adding to the +debt, and we need to look to the point where during good +economic times, we are paying down the debt. It is not a simple +process. We are not going to get there quickly. It took a long +time to dig this hole; it took a lot of decisions to get us +where we are. It is going to take a lot of hard work to get +out. And I think that the notion that this is a starting point, +I don't mean to say it is not a serious starting point. It is a +comprehensive, responsible budget. The President doesn't get +the final word; he gets the first word. He has put his plan +forward. + Mrs. Black. But I want to go back, again, to words that you +used on one of the other comments that you made, and you talked +about all of the things that got us to where we are. But you +said the number-one thing was, we suspended common-sense +spending where we are spending more than what we bring in. And +this budget that we have gotten does the same thing, and I +don't think it gets us to where our goal really should be, and +that is to stop deficit spending and start paying down our +debt. + Mr. Lew. Well this budget actually adheres to the principle +that we need to pay for what we do, and with all respect I +would note that changing the rules of the House so that tax +cuts don't require offsets is not something that is going to +help get to the goal that you are looking for. We need to have +a clearheaded understanding that whether it is a tax cut or +spending increase, if we don't pay for it, it increases the +deficit. + Mrs. Black. Well the more that we take from the people that +are out there creating the jobs, the less jobs we will have, +the less taxes we will collect. Thank you. + Chairman Ryan. Ms. Wasserman Schultz. + Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Thank you Mr. Chairman. Welcome, it +is good to see you. + Mr. Lew. It has good to be here. + Ms. Wasserman Schultz. I think it is interesting that the +gentle lady from Tennessee laments the lack of a plan. Here it +is. This looks like a plan to me. + Mr. Lew. Felt like a plan putting it together. + Ms. Wasserman Schultz. I bet it did. This from the party +that still after six weeks in the 112th Congress, still has no +jobs agenda, still has not put forward a plan to create jobs, +not a single piece of legislation, nothing that has as many +pages as this, 207 pages like this plan does. I think that when +casting aspersions about the lack of a plan, they should look +inward first. But your testimony referred to $62 billion in +savings from increasing efficiency and accountability of health +spending. Now we really focused on cracking down on waste, +fraud, and abuse, and that was a huge priority in the 111th +Congress for Democrats, particularly when we passed the +Affordable Care Act. What are some of the significant policies +in the budget that will contribute to that kind of savings? + Mr. Lew. Congresswoman, there is kind of three baskets of +savings. There is one set, which is about 16 provisions, which +we would call program integrity. It is to make sure that if a +provider has been paid erroneously, we recoup payment. If a +provider submits bills for things that shouldn't be paid or +duplicate bills, we have a process to make sure we pay once and +we pay properly. That saves a little over $30 billion. + We then have a number of provisions that would give +Medicare and Medicaid the ability to take advantage of generic +drugs, particularly generic biologics. That saves a little over +$10 billion. Then we have a couple of changes in the Medicaid +program, one of which would make sure that when we have +expanded coverage and less uncompensated care, we calibrate +correctly the disproportionate share payments that are supposed +to pay providers who are providing uncompensated care. And then +there is another that just lines up the state payment rates so +that there is accuracy in what they are being matched for. + Ms. Wasserman Schultz. The $62 billion in savings to which +I just referred: Is that separate and distinct from the $125 +billion in savings included in the budget related to program +integrity? + Mr. Lew. It is only counted in the budget once, and it is +in the mandatory section, the $62 billion. We may have a +display that shows it somewhere else, but it is only in the +numbers once. + Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Thank you. I want to focus on the +cuts in Community Development Block Grants. In recent years, +Congress has typically provided more than the President +requests for Community Development Block Grants. And that is +obviously a program that helps local governments fund housing, +and sewers, and streets, and economic development, particularly +in low and moderate income neighborhoods. Let me just give you +a couple of examples of it for folks that really don't know +Congressional speak. You know, Community Development Block +Grants funds things like three grants in 2010 to the cities of +Janesville, Kenosha, and Racine, Wisconsin, totaling nearly $4 +million, and $2.4 million in two grants to Lima and Mansfield, +Ohio. So my question is, the President's 2012 budget cuts +Community Development Block Grants by about $646 million, and +that is compared to the CR, where the Republican cuts it $3.1 +billion, below, from the CR, $2.4 billion below the President. +Can you classify the distinction between the President's +approach to Community Development Block Grants cuts and the +cuts in the CR, from the Republicans? + Mr. Lew. The President's budget is a comprehensive budget +where we have made tough tradeoffs. Reducing community- +development block grants by 7.5 percent is a tough decision. We +have got a lot of cities and towns that do good work with this +money. But we didn't think it was necessary to make a deeper +cut than that to hit the target of the $400 billion savings. + Chairman Ryan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Thank you. + Chairman Ryan. The gentleman from Appleton, Wisconsin, Mr. +Ribble. + Mr. Ribble. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Director +Lew, for being here today. Just reading out of your testimony +on page five, you say, Now that the country is back from the +brink of potential economic collapse,--I would dare say that +there is about 10 million Americans who wouldn't agree with +that because they don't have a job today--Our goal is to win +the future. But we cannot do so if we are saddled with +increasingly growing deficits. Do you believe that statement, +or was it just put in there as hyperbole? + Mr. Lew. No, I believe it. I think that we were in a state +of free-fall in the economy. We are not content with +unemployment where it is now, or growth where it is now, but we +have gone from negative growth and losing jobs to positive +growth and creating jobs. And I believe that if we don't deal +with the deficit, it is going to become a real threat to our +economy. + Mr. Ribble. So we cannot win the future if we are saddled +with increasingly growing deficits. That is a statement that +you agree? + Mr. Lew. Yeah, no, I definitely agree with that. I wrote +it, and I agree with it. That's a good thing. + Mr. Ribble. Why would the President project a budget that, +for the last five years, whose deficits are $890 billion, $891 +billion, $960 billion, $1.05 trillion, and $1.16 trillion? All +growing deficits. + Mr. Lew. I think if you look at these last few years, there +have been extraordinary things going on because of the +recession. We have had a collapse in terms of revenues because +of lower economic activity, we have had increased expenditures, +some of them automatic stabilizers, some of them actions +Congress and we took together to get the economy moving again. +We have said that we are now at a pivot point. We cannot accept +that as business as usual. It was necessary during the +recession. We had to get out of this recession; if we were +seeing negative growth right now and rising unemployment, that +would be a terrible thing. So we are very proud of the work we +did. We inherited an economy that was not in good shape, and we +have gotten it on the path towards being in much better shape. +The job is not done. And we are now looking to the future, and +that is why we are putting together a budget that we think +invests in the future. + Mr. Ribble. Yeah, but the first five years, you project +decreasing deficits and the last five years, you project +increasing deficits, which will prevent us from winning the +future. + Mr. Lew. I think the deficit, as a percentage of the +economy, stays in that 3 percent range in the entire period of +this budget, and that is what we need to do to be able to pay +our bills and not to put our current expenses on the credit +card. We are going to have to do a lot more to pay down the +debt. We are, and we are not pretending that we can do that all +at once. We need to do that together, but we have got to get +started. + Mr. Ribble. On page seven, you use, It would be +shortsighted to cut spending across the board and short-change +critical areas for growth and competitiveness, such as +education, innovation, and infrastructure, or carelessly slash +programs that protect the most vulnerable. It is a little +incendiary to think that those are the only two choices, but +maybe it wasn't written with that intent. I will tell you what +I believe is careless; when all the adults in this room leave, +cameras are gone and the television announcers go home, I +believe there is going to be a five-year-old sitting here with +the bill. I think that is careless. Thank you sir. + Chairman Ryan. Thank you. Mr. Ryan. + Mr. Ryan of Ohio. Thank you, Chairman Ryan, thank you, Mr. +Lew. I think this is the best budget you could put together +given the circumstances, and I think it is important for us to +remember that it was the President and this administration that +said we need to have a Debt Commission, that made that happen +while a lot of Republicans on the other side were doing the +Potomac two-step, backpedalling away from it. And I think we +need to go back and read those press clippings. You were here +in 1993. Would you say that 1993 budget, when we had great +economic growth during the 90s, 20 plus million new jobs being +created, was it the 93 budget that really got the economy back +on track? + Mr. Lew. Congressman, I would say that what really made a +difference was that from 1990, under President Bush, to 1993 +under President Clinton, to 1997, when there was a bipartisan +budget agreement, we showed continued emphasis on reducing the +deficit, and paying for what we were doing, and getting our +economic house in order. 1990 and 1997 were bipartisan; 1993 +was not. I hope that we are now going back into a period where +we can work together, because I actually believe that people +draw a false distinction between, Is the economy causing us to +get out of the deficit or is it our policies? They are +connected. When we pursue policies that promote confidence in +the future, it is good for the economy. When the economy grows, +it is good for the deficit; a virtuous cycle. + Mr. Ryan of Ohio. I think it is important that we realize +that mature decisions were made in 1990; mature decisions were +made in 1993. In 1993, there wasn't one Republican that voted +for that budget. Vice President Gore had to break the tie in +1993, and then when we got into the 90s, we had some money to +invest in children's healthcare and R&D, and set the stage for +T-Com revolution and the Internet revolution and everything +else. + Two quick questions. One is, is a concern of yours, we have +got $100 billion in cuts that our friends in the House want to +make immediately in the next few months. We have got about $140 +to $150 billion in cuts being made by states across the +country, $2 billion is going to be pulled out from the federal +employees. Are you concerned that in the short-term, that we +are pulling too much money out of the economy and it is going +to hurt the growth that we have had and the success that you +have had over the last year or two? + Mr. Lew. We have put together a budget that tries to step +on the brakes at the right time, and to not jump too fast into +fiscal consolidation. I think we are going to have to look and +see how the debate develops here in Congress. I think there is +a concern in the states, as they are facing their fiscal +challenges. We were careful in this budget that overall, the +impact on the states, we don't think will create more of a +problem there, though there are some things we reduce, there +are other things we increase. + Mr. Ryan of Ohio. I am concerned. You guys have the veto +pen, and I just want to encourage you to not be afraid to take +a stand, because we have come a long way in the last two years +and we need the President to continue to lead us out of this. +We are doing the right things now, I disagree with what my +friends on the other side are saying. That leads me to my next +and final question, and you have got 35 seconds to try to sum +it up. How do these investments that you are making, R&D, +education, high-speed rail, infrastructure, how do these +investments compare as a percent of the GDP to what China is +doing, what Germany is doing, what some of these other +countries are pumping money into; how do our investments +compare to these other countries, as we try to be competitive +and compete? + Mr. Lew. Well overall, the United States as a private- +public combined, spends more money on research and development +than the next four largest countries put together, so we are +the leaders in R&D. I think in these areas, we frankly have not +kept up with some of our competitors. The infrastructure +investment needs to keep up in order to be able to ship goods +and buy and sell goods. + Chairman Ryan. Thank you. Mr. Flores. + Mr. Flores. Thank you Mr. Chairman, and thank you Director +Lew for joining us today. I want to continue the conversation +that Mr. Price started about amnesia regarding the past. Do you +recall what the unemployment rate was in December, 2006? It was +about 4.4 percent. The unemployment rate in December, 2010 was +in the mid-nines. I would submit that what you claim that you +inherited was due to a legislative process that occurred during +that four-year period, and that wasn't controlled on this side +of the aisle. + I am new to this job, I have been in it about six weeks. +Before I did this, I was a CPA and a CFO and a CEO for a number +of successful companies, and so I know what it is like to sign +the front side out of a paycheck, to make the decision to +commit to hire an employer, to make an investment. This so- +called plan doesn't put me in a position, if I were in that +chair today, to do that. + The other thing is that I know a little bit about +businesses and budgeting, and I have learned some new +terminology. Sustainable deficits is a new term, and then +primary balance, that is another interesting term. When +Chairman Bernanke was here last week, he said that the federal +deficit over the long term should not exceed the interest cost +that we pay on our debt. We have come up with this definition +of primary balance, that it is okay to run a deficit of 3 +percent of GDP. How many businesses and families do you know of +that can operate in primary balance and for how long? + Mr. Lew. We haven't set the goal of stopping at primary +balance. We have said you have to get to primary balance in +order to get beyond that, and I think it is an important +difference. + Mr. Flores. This doesn't get better than primary balance. + Mr. Lew. You are not going to get to balance if you don't +pass through primary balance. + Mr. Flores. Let me submit to you that most families and +most businesses that I know of cannot operate in primary +balance. I commend you for having balanced budgets during the +Clinton administration. That is what I call primary balance, is +where you have zero deficit or a surplus. + Mr. Lew. If I could just respond on the first point. You +know, I think most families have had some experience with +building up balances on their credit card that they really were +facing really hard decisions. + Mr. Flores. They don't do it over 10 years. They don't do +it over 40. + Mr. Lew. They start by cutting up the card, not putting +more on it, and that is what primary balance is. + Mr. Flores. And they start by cutting their net deficit to +zero, and this plan doesn't do that. My questions are this, you +have got average spending during, what was it? Let me rephrase +that. + Mr. Lew. I am going to have to bring historical statistics +with me the next time I testify. + Mr. Flores. I can answer it for you, but do you recall what +spending was as a percent of GDP during the Clinton +administration? + Mr. Lew. It was around 20 percent. + Mr. Flores. Correct. And what is the average spending as a +percent of GDP under this plan? + Mr. Lew. I think that when you look at spending as a +percentage of GDP over time, it does grow as the population +grows, because people become eligible for Social Security and +Medicare. So when one talks about those numbers, you have to +look at what is behind them. + Mr. Flores. It is almost 23 percent, and if we really +wanted to develop a plan to have sustainable deficits of zero +or a primary balance of zero, we should have spending down +around the same level as taxes and that is around 18.3 percent +of GDP over the long-term. + Mr. Lew. You don't get the balance if your revenue and your +spending don't cross. The question is, at what level they cross +providing what we need for the country. + Mr. Flores. I understand. I yield back. + Chairman Ryan. Ms. Kaptur. + Ms. Kaptur. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Welcome, Mr. Lew. Each +member of Congress arrives here from different life +experiences, and one truth in our family is going back nearly a +century, that when Republicans occupied the White House in +Congress, members of our family were thrown out of work. And +when Democrats regained those offices, our family members +started going back to work. It is one of the reasons I am a +Democrat. I know until all Americans who want to work are able +to become productive again, we won't be able to balance our +budget nor reduce the deficit. No American I know wants to +borrow more money from China or any other foreign country to +keep this economy afloat. The administration budget, in my +opinion, makes a responsible start and takes the deficit +seriously, and so do I. In fact, I have served in this Congress +long enough to have been a part of the solution during the +1990s that some of my Republican colleagues have referenced, to +balance the budget and grow jobs in this economy. Mr. Lew, you +were a part of that, I think the President has the right man in +your position. + Also this man, Mr. Panetta, who now has the CIA. We sat in +this room, I was a member of the Budget Committee back then. I +know what we did for America, and when we did it, Alan +Greenspan said he didn't think it was a good idea to balance +the budget. That is the most unbelievable statement I ever +heard in my life. Congress did it by making tough choices, by +cutting waste and also curbing special interests. I support the +administration's proposals to get rid of those oil subsidies. +Let them compete in the global economy. In the tough times we +are facing today due to the Wall Street abuses that caused the +recession we are in, the problem with the Republican budget is, +it hurts job creation and it goes after the people who can +least afford to hold their lives together in this economy. + In fact, their budget cuts off almost four million student +loans, it takes away five million meals to the homebound +elderly, it lays off meat and poultry inspectors, and it cuts +40,000 jobs in preschools and Head Start. I don't think that is +a very good set of proposals, so my questions, really Mr. Lew, +to you deal with jobs, which is where we should be focused in +two areas; one transportation, and the other one energy. For +where I come from, which is not a government platform like +capital cities like the one we are sitting in right now, and it +is not a trading virtual platform like New York or Chicago or +San Francisco, these places that deal in virtual stuff, we are +the real economy in northern Ohio, and for us transportation +and energy are destiny. + So let me ask you, the administration has put some focus in +its budget, despite tough times, on investing in +infrastructure, and also in new forms of energy. That is music +to our ears in our part of the country. We have to compete in +an unsubsidized, free-enterprise economy in northern Ohio. +Could you please tell us a little bit about the investments +that the administration is going to be making in transportation +and in renewable energy, and how this will contribute to job +creation, which we all desperately want? + Mr. Lew. Thank you, Ms. Kaptur. I am going to try in 50 +seconds to do justice to our program, but we have an approach +that is designed to make sure that we build the infrastructure +so that we can have goods come and go between American markets +and shipped internationally from our seaports and our airports. +We have taken a broad view of surface transportation, because +it also means having the kind of modern communications +technology so that northern Ohio becomes part of the virtual +economy because there is no part of the country that is left +behind. That is what it is going to take to win the future. In +R&D, in energy, you know we look at the new technologies in +renewable energy and where other countries are frankly putting +their money down, saying That is the future. If we don't do the +same, we are going to find ourselves left behind. America has +never been left behind before, and we shouldn't start now. + Ms. Kaptur. I wish you could say more. Thank you very much, +Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Lew. + Mr. Lew. Thank you. + Chairman Ryan. Mr. Mulvaney. + Mr. Mulvaney. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Lew, I am also +one of the folks who is new around here, but I am familiar with +budgets, I have written them, I have read them, and I can +assure you, sir, that if you let me play around with the +assumptions, I can make you a budget that looks as good or as +bad as I want it to. I am looking at your assumptions regarding +the revenues in the future, and you have assumed, essentially, +that revenues have become about 19 percent of GDP in the next +couple of years and then steadily increase over the course of +your budget, peaking out above 20 percent. These are the +historical numbers going back to the 1960s, and I suggest to +you sir, or I would ask you, are you making an assumption that +we have only seen once or twice in the last 40 years? + Mr. Lew. You know, the revenue projections are based on a +combination of current law and specific proposals, and it is +driven by what is happening in the economy overall. + Mr. Mulvaney. But the truth of the matter is that you are +assuming numbers that, you are assuming the numbers will be +average. Nineteen percent, 19 percent, 20 percent, and we have +only seen that sporadically once, maybe twice, in the last 40 +years. You take a look at the GDP, another one of your +assumptions, Mr. Ryan mentioned it earlier, the Washington Post +beat you up on it today; you are assuming rates of growth in +the economy that dramatically exceed even what the +Congressional Budget Office is assuming. Against that backdrop, +you are also assuming interest rates dramatically lower than +the Congressional Budget Office. I would suggest to you, sir, +that to assume growth rates that are higher but interest rates +that are lower is internally inconsistent, and I draw your +attention to the fact that you have assumed an interest rate on +the 10-year Treasury note of this year of 3 percent. Do you +know what the 10-year traded at last week? + Mr. Lew. I did not check the [inaudible] rates last week. + Mr. Mulvaney. Three point six five. And your assumption is +that it will be 3 percent this year. The Congressional Budget +Office, by the way, says it will be 3.4; they are already too +low. The Congressional Budget Office also testified that for +every percentage point that they assume the interest rate is +too low, it is $1.3 trillion of additional debt over the course +of the 10 years. You have assumed revenues that are way higher +than average, GDP that is higher than anybody else thinks, and +interest rates that are dramatically lower than anybody else +thinks. And I put it to you, sir, that that is the reason that +this is not a credible document. + And I go back and I look at the past couple of budgets that +the President has offered. Two years ago, he told us the +deficit this year would be $900 billion in his budget. Last +year, he told us the deficit this year would be $1.3 trillion. +Yesterday, he told us it was $1.6. Two years ago, he projected +that the budget deficit next year would be $557. Last year, he +told us that number was going to be $829. Now he is telling us +the number is going to be $1.1. I can't believe the numbers. I +can't do it. And until we can get numbers that we can agree on +are at least in the middle of the assumptions, it is going to +be very difficult for us to focus on policy. + Is it a question? No, sir, it is not. Am I beating up on +you? Perhaps unfairly so. But the point is this; we should be +here talking about policy. We should be here talking about what +the President wants to do to fix the country, and what we want +to do to fix the country. I happen to be one of those +Republicans who does not believe the President doesn't want the +country to succeed. I believe that he does, but we have to have +a discussion about policy, and when you give us numbers that +are simply not credible, it really prevents us from doing that. +I expect better. + Mr. Lew. Can I respond at least quickly? + Mr. Mulvaney. Very briefly. I expect better out of you, and +I have already spoken to the Chairman, I expect better from us. +When you see our budget, you are not going to see unreasonable +assumptions. But yes, sir, you may. + Mr. Lew. The economic assumptions in this budget reflect +what is the middle in terms of where the Federal Reserve Board +looks at what the likely patterns of recovery are. So, there +are mainstream assumptions. + Mr. Mulvaney. Well then you need to walk to the +Congressional Budget Office and tell them that their numbers +are whacked out. + Mr. Lew. And there is a conceptual difference between the +Congressional Budget Office numbers, where they believe the +economy never gets back to the level of strength that it had +before the recession. That hasn't been the experience of past +recessions, even financially-led recessions. It is taken +longer, but we have gotten back. So there may be year-to-year +disagreements, but we think we have very credible economic +assumptions, and I am happy when we have more time, to go +through them in some detail. Thank you. + Mr. Mulvaney. Thank you. + Chairman Ryan. Thank you Mr. Huelskamp. Mr. Huelskamp, will +you just yield for 10 seconds? + Mr. Huelskamp. Yes, sir. + Chairman Ryan. Here is what we think is wrong. You are +assuming 3.9 percent growth in the first five years, 3.2 +percent over 10 years. That is above trend, and only with those +rosy assumptions can you ever get close to the primary balance +you are claiming. That is why when we see blue chip +Congressional Budget Office far below where you are, it sort of +strains the credibility of these claims. That is the point we +are trying to make. + Mr. Lew. Mr. Chairman, I would just say that in the short +term, we actually are slightly less optimistic. In the long +term, we are slightly more optimistic, because of the +difference in approach I just described. + Chairman Ryan. And medium-term, where you hit your +objectives more often. + Mr. Lew. The idea behind the economic projections is, will +we or won't we track the recovery patterns from past +financially-led recessions? We believe we will. That is what +the projection is. So it is to that trend. + Chairman Ryan. Mr. Huelskamp. + Mr. Huelskamp. Thank you Mr. Chairman. Mr. Director, I +appreciate you being here, and back in February 23, 2009, the +Congressional Budget Office at that time outlines a $1.186 +trillion deficit. The very next day, the President made his +promise to pledge to cut the deficit in half by the end of my +first term in office. In your comments, and the President's +yesterday, he made a claim that he was going to meet that +pledge, at least projected. But the numbers show one-half of +the Congressional Budget Office figures are a $593 billion +deficit. What do you predict? + Mr. Lew. If you look at it as a percentage of GDP, we cut +it in half by the end of the first term. + Mr. Huelskamp. That was not the statement of the President. +That is what bothers me, how the President can stand up, and +you can stand here in this document, and claim that you are +cutting the deficit in half, when you did not. + Mr. Lew. We are cutting it in half as a percentage of GDP. + Mr. Huelskamp. That was not the claim the President made. +Would you agree with me? + Mr. Lew. I know what we have done in this budget. I know +what we have said in this budget. We have cut the deficit in +half as a percentage of GDP. + Mr. Huelskamp. I appreciate that. Again, I will just note, +that is not what the President said, and that is not accurate +of what is in your budget, and that is some of my difficulty. +Where I come from, if you are wrong, you are wrong, but to +stand up and again make that claim, I was very disappointed in +that particular claim. But I am also particularly disappointed, +Mr. Director, in another statement in your document where you +state, quote, We are going to stay on a path towards +sustainable deficits. How long are deficits sustainable? + Mr. Lew. We need to get to the place where we stop adding +to the national debt. This is a down payment. We need to work +together to go farther than that. But you have got to walk +before you run. You have got to get rid of the deficit before +you cut the debt. + Mr. Huelskamp. I understand, but this budget never does +that, does it? + Mr. Lew. It gets us on a path where we will able to do it, +yes. + Mr. Huelskamp. The path is unsustainable. Your path in this +budget is unsustainable. The deficit is not sustainable. + Mr. Lew. I look forward to seeing the plan. + Mr. Huelskamp. We are not talking about a proposed plan, +Mr. Lew. That is why I am dissatisfied. The language that is +coming out of this administration is telling the American +people that we can borrow for 10 years or longer, and are going +to call it sustainable. We are going to say 3 percent borrowing +is sustainable. It is not sustainable. There is no way we can +sustain the track that is being presented here, and that is +disappointing, because I know the American people. I know +people that work every day and try to balance their budgets and +they understand that sometimes you go under water awhile. But +to sit here today, and have the President claim, somehow, it +will be all okay, even if we are going to have a $768 billion +deficit in two years and we are going to sustain that forever, +and that is why I am very disappointed that the President +didn't stand. I am very disappointed in that. That is what I +wanted to convey. Because the President has the opportunity to +stand up and provide proposals to save and strengthen Medicare. +And you have said here that those are not contained in here. + But I just want to note, to the American people, the folks +that are listening here, and in the media, this is not +sustainable. You can call it whatever you want. Sustainable +deficits do not work. Primary balance is a figment of our +imagination. Only in Washington could you run a deficit and +claim it is balance, and somehow use the word balance. Mr. Lew, +you couldn't do that anywhere else. They would laugh you out of +the room. And I come at the state level. I served in the state +legislature. We had a requirement; balance. It wasn't a primary +balance. We couldn't run a deficit. This country is on a course +for un-sustainability and I would expect the President to stand +forward and say I am not going to keep my word, but to stand up +and tell the American people, I kept my pledge. He did not. + Mr. Lew. I disagree with you Congressman. + Mr. Huelskamp. He is $193 billion off of his promise. That +is a false claim and I am very disappointed in that. I yield +back the balance of my time, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Ryan. Do you want to take a second? + Mr. Lew. No, I would be delighted to, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Ryan. You know it is coming out of your time. + Mr. Lew. I understand. I have missed lunch a lot of days. I +think that if we want to use the kinds of common-sense language +that people understand, we should just do that. We should say, +Can you bring down the debt before you eliminate the deficit? +No. You can't start paying down the debt until you stop adding +to it. That is all we mean by primary balance. We are not +talking about it being okay. We are just saying that you can't +honestly tell people that we can pay down the debt, while you +are still adding to it. + Chairman Ryan. Mr. Young. + Mr. Young. Mr. Director thanks so much for being here +today. I know it has been a long morning and early afternoon +for you. My focus here in Congress is on sustainability, but it +is on sustainable job creation. And in the testimony we +received from Bernanke the other day, he indicated that the one +thing that really is missing from our policymakers in +Washington, the Executive Branch and Congress alike, is that +coherent plan, as he phrased it, and as Moody's recently +phrased it when they downgraded Japan's debt. A coherent plan +to deal with our entitlement programs. That is pointedly absent +from this budget, this roadmap, if you will. I think that is a +dereliction of duty on the part of the President. + Now you have indicated in today's Wall Street Journal, if +they quoted you correctly, that such proposals to deal with +these matters are better left in closed-door settings. Fair +enough. Perhaps that is the political judgment you make. I +actually think we owe it to the American people to own up to +them and to treat them like adults. That is what I intend to +do. What is our pathway into this meeting? How are we going to +begin this conversation? Will a letter be forthcoming? What +will the date of that meeting be? Please enlighten us. + Mr. Lew. Congressman, I don't believe that is exactly what +I said, but what I do believe and what I have said is, we have +put down a plan, which is the President's plan for how we are +going to get to the point where we stop adding to the debt. We +have also said that we need to have an environment where we can +work together on these long-term issues and have conversations +about things that it is frankly hard to have conversations +about. History shows that it is much harder to create an +environment where we can have trust and conversations to work +on a bipartisan basis, than just to take polarizing positions. +We have tried to strike a balance, putting a responsible plan +out there and creating an environment for that conversation. We +just took the first step yesterday. Congress is going to come +forward. You will write your budget and we will engage. It is a +long process. This is the first step. + Mr. Young. What is the next step? + Mr. Lew. Congress will write a budget. We look forward to +seeing what you do and your budget, and how you reach primary +surplus, how you reach deficit reduction, if you bring down the +debt. We really do think that you will have ideas that we want +to take advantage of and we look forward to working together. + Mr. Young. In this remaining minute and a half, let us +narrow down exactly what concerns the President has. People on +this panel here, at least on this side of the aisle, invite and +encourage the dialogue with the White House on this. Is it +people in his own party that are a barrier, and what might I do +as a freshman member of Congress to create the political space +where the President can step up and take a leadership role in +these matters? + Mr. Lew. I have worked on bipartisan negotiations from both +sides of the street, I was in the Speaker's office when the, +with a Democratic speaker when there was a Republican +President, and with a Democratic President and Republican +speaker. I can tell you the hardest part of the process is +developing the trust, where you can talk about the things that +you have to do. I think the attempts to characterize this +budget in the way that we have done it today are things that I +hope people take another look at, because this is a serious +proposal. I know you don't agree with it. I know there are +things that will be in your budget that we don't agree with. We +have to come from those positions, to find the middle where we +can agree. That is how you reach bipartisan agreement. + Mr. Young. Well I would encourage the President, I know he +is watching C-SPAN today, to move forward aggressively on this +matter. We are running out of time. We don't know what the +optimal debt to GDP ratio is, as Bernanke and others have +testified, and I think we need to very quickly embrace this +issue and solve it, as opposed to dancing around it and doing +the Potomac two-step. + Mr. Lew. We look forward to working together. We share the +same long-term goal. We may have different ideas about how to +get there and that is what we need to work through together. + Chairman Ryan. Mr. Rokita. + Mr. Rokita. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Lew. +Representative Young, Representative Stutzman, and I come from +a state that has a balanced budget. In fact we have a triple-A +bond rating, haven't raised taxes, and our secretary of state +for the last eight years has been running the office on a 1987 +budget, unadjusted for inflation, and by and large, no one +seems to have missed a beat, no one is complaining about lack +of services or anything else. Can you imagine if we could have +Washington work on 1987 dollars? Hold on, don't answer that. + Mr. Lew. I think there would be a lot of people who asked +where their Social Security check was. + Mr. Rokita. No, I don't think so. I don't think so. But we +have to get to that, because you are right. You have +acknowledged here a couple times that we have this pig in the +python, the baby boomers you described, getting older and need +their check, and that is, I think, the frustration here, is +yeah, we all see that. But where is the leadership? You +mentioned a few times that you are a lawyer, I am one too, I +feel your pain. + Mr. Lew. I haven't practiced in a long time. + Mr. Rokita. But, classic basic skills of negotiation +dictate that, when you are kicking off a process, which you +just did yesterday, leadership dictates even, that you kicked +off up here. And it seems that you are right here, and saying, +Okay, you guys fill in the blanks. + Mr. Lew. No, I don't agree with that. I think we kicked off +the process with a comprehensive plan that put an awful lot on +the table, that is, we think, the best way to deal with the +immediate challenges in front of us. And if that is not +something that you agree with, we look forward to seeing your +plan, and then we will work together to find where we can +resolve it. So I don't agree with the characterization. I do +agree that, as the President said, when he said this is a down- +payment, there will be issues that we have to deal with beyond +this, and those are totally consistent. + Mr. Rokita. Okay, so in that regard, let me ask you some +specific things. There has been a bipartisan agreement. Steny +Hoyer, if I am quoting him correctly, said, Democrats agree +that spending cuts are necessary to tackle our deep budget +deficit. So we have got bipartisan agreement that we have got +to start cutting spending. Given the reality that spending cuts +are coming, has Office of Management and Budget approved any +agency's spending in excess of fiscal year 2010 levels? + Mr. Lew. We are currently operating under a Continuing +Resolution. Under the Continuing Resolution, we neither can +begin or terminate activities. So we have been operating under +the terms of something that provides for funding, in most +cases, at fiscal year 2010 levels. It is an imperfect way to +run the government, we should have full-year spending bills, +and there undoubtedly will be complications as we move through +the year, adjusting these numbers as we go along. + Mr. Rokita. Have you advised agencies to prepare to start +lowering their budgets? + Mr. Lew. Well, we advised agencies that they should follow +the law. The law is that under continuing resolution, you do +not initiate or terminate programs. + Mr. Rokita. Well, for the future, are you starting to get +these agencies acclimated to a culture of spending cuts? + Mr. Lew. I think the budget exercise we went through to +produce this budget was a transition for many agencies, where +things that were sacred cows that only grew, were frozen or +reduced. There are tough decisions in this budget, really tough +decisions, and I think there isn't an agency of government that +hasn't made those trade-offs. + Mr. Rokita. You acknowledged that there is a net excess of +22,000 federal employees under your plan. + Mr. Lew. I am acknowledging that there is an increase, +which is a very small percentage of the federal workforce, to +address new activities in this period. + Mr. Rokita. In Indiana, 22,000 is a lot of people. + Mr. Lew. It is a lot of people, but it is a big country, +too, so when you put a few people at airports all over the +country, it starts to add up. + Mr. Rokita. Oh, don't start the airport business. + Mr. Lew. I could give other examples if I had more time. + Mr. Rokita. One more thing on Social Security. You +mentioned that Social Security wasn't much of an issue, I am +paraphrasing, obviously, but I want you to tell me whether or +not the trust fund has any money in it or not. + Mr. Lew. Trust fund has been running a surplus since 1983. + Mr. Rokita. That is been taken. + Mr. Lew. And it has bonds in it. + Mr. Rokita. Thank you. + Chairman Ryan. Mr. Stutzman. + Mr. Stutzman. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Lew, +for your time today. Does the administration have any concern +about the national debt? + Mr. Lew. Yes. + Mr. Stutzman. I mean, am I right in reading that, on page +202, that our debt is going to go from $13.5 trillion to $26.3 +trillion over the next 10 years? + Mr. Lew. Yeah, I think that we are very concerned about +controlling the deficit so we stop building the national debt. +We then have to start bringing down the debt so that the +interest payments can also be reduced. + Mr. Stutzman. There is no plan, or no idea, in here, that +even starts the curve back to some sort of solvency with +national debt. I mean, to me, as we waited for the President's +budget, I really felt that, you know, the President was going +to come back and he was going to, in this town as a freshman, I +am finding it is very political, I see great divides between +the party, and I thought maybe the President's going to try and +one-up the Republican party, and do something that, you know, +maybe we are going to try to jump out in front and do. + And it totally surprised me to see this type of a budget. +As a small business owner back in Indiana, to project deficit +spending, project doubling the debt; when are we going to start +to see some sort of action to show otherwise? + Mr. Lew. First, I mean, you are looking at, there are +different measures of the debt. The debt held by the public is +the part of the debt that has the impact on credit markets. And +I would just note there are different ways of looking at it, it +gets to a much lower number in 2021. + Mr. Stutzman. Where does it start to do, to go back down? +Am I looking at the wrong line? + Mr. Lew. No, I mean, until we start paying down the debt, +the interest payments on the debt will still be increasing that +number. I don't disagree that we need to ultimately turn the +corner and start paying down the debt. I just am arguing, and I +think it is common sense, that until we stop adding to the debt +through our spending policies, to pay down the old debt is +impossible. So we have got to do this in two steps. This down +payment has that first step, which is the critical and +necessary first step. + Mr. Stutzman. As I am going back through, there are a +couple of departments that get minimal increases. But it +appears the largest increase is to the Department of the +Treasury, specifically the IRS. Can you comment why? + Mr. Lew. Well, there are several reasons. First of all, we +are implementing financial regulatory reform, which is an +important area. We certainly don't want to be exposed to the +future risks of bail-out that we have seen in recent years. + Secondly, we have enforcement initiatives where, I think we +all agree, that if two people live next door and they are in +the same income tax status, they have the same income, they +should pay the same taxes. It shouldn't be that if you cheat +you pay a lower tax rate. And there are enforcement efforts in +there. + Mr. Stutzman. So how many of the 22,000 new federal +employees are anticipated to be hired by the IRS? + Mr. Lew. I would have to go back and check the specific +numbers. + Mr. Stutzman. I have got a couple of miscellaneous +questions. How many federal employees do we currently have? + Mr. Lew. I could give you an exact number, I am happy to +get back to you. + Mr. Stutzman. Okay, and then real quick, I think I heard +you say earlier, that employers' number one concern is that +they need an educated workforce, is that right? + Mr. Lew. I said, when I meet with CEOs, one of the big +concerns that I hear them express is that they are having +trouble hiring people with the skills they need in science, +engineering, and math. + Mr. Stutzman. Okay, all right. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, I +will yield back. + Chairman Ryan. Okay. Mr. Lankford. + Mr. Lankford. Thank you. You got to do this whole exercise +last year, and go through all the dance and all the hearings +and everything else, and then the budget was actually not +passed. + Mr. Lew. I have only been here eight weeks on the job. + Mr. Lankford. Congress just passed on it, and so getting a +chance to do this again, and that we can hopefully get a chance +to pick up and pass a budget this time, and get us through all +that. I am hearing a perpetual sense that the certain +apocalypse is coming if Republicans actually try to balance the +budget and move us from, out of just deficit spending, to +actually cutting down the debt. But I can tell you, I see the +other side of this, to say $26 trillion is a more frightening +thing to me that balancing the budget is a frightening thing to +me on that. + Let me just set a quick stage for you, just the emotions of +that, because you are walking to this, early on at this point, +returning back, as I am walking into it. Here is the sense that +I walk into it with. When I came on January 5, this year's +budget deficit was projected to be $1.4 trillion. By the State +of the Union, it was $1.5 trillion. As of yesterday, it is +$1.65 trillion. Now, what I am hearing is this sense of +consternation that we are talking about cutting $100 billion +out of this year's budget when actually our deficit has +increased $250 billion, just in the six weeks that we have been +in this session, at this point. + So there is a real sense among a lot of people that I have +talked with, to say we cannot just slow down the amount of debt +that we are adding each year. We have actually got to get back +to balance. And I know you are walking a fine line, and I know +you are fulfilling the President's mandate to say let us slow +down the curve somewhat on it. But you go out 10 years, and +there is no debt reduction. I know you said a bunch of times, +we have got to get back to this primary balance. But it seems +as if the next President and the next Congress is left with the +hard decisions, and this is just some simple decisions that get +into it. + Mr. Lew. In fairness, President Obama took office and +inherited a situation that was out of control, and we are +getting it under control and we are doing it as we emerge from +the recession. + Mr. Lankford. What I am hearing are terms like sustainable +deficits, that doesn't seem to be working towards getting it +under control. That seems to be working towards getting it to +some manageable balance that we only add a trillion or so a +year to our debt, and we are not really getting out of this. + The other side that really concerns me is this whole sense +of trying to split up the way that we are handling energy, that +there is a preferred energy and there is a non-preferred +energy. And we are going to try to sink a lot of money into +R&D, into new technologies and energy, while punishing people +that are in traditional. There has been a lot of conversation +about jobs and about small businesses. And my question, in +multi-fold in this; my concerns on it, number one is, is an +independent producer of traditional energy sources who has +three to five employees a small business? + Mr. Lew. If that was the entirety of the business, I +believe it would be a small business. + Mr. Lankford. For a lot of independent producers around the +country, they have three to five employees. And there is this +sense of, we are going to go hammer on the big oil companies, +when the majority of our energy companies aren't the big giant +companies. They are small independent producers that are +scattered all over the country. There are hundreds and +thousands of them, scattered all over, that are about to get +hammered, that are living in fear that the administration is +going to come hammer them to come do another type of energy, +very similar to what President Carter did when he said we are +going to have 20 percent of our electricity produced by solar +power by the year 2000. Yet here we are, in 2011, it is not +even one percent. + Mr. Lew. We are seeing that other countries are investing +in the technology now, and the technology has advanced, and we +are entering a different period of time. + Let me just respond to one point that you made. + Mr. Lankford. Let me just finish, I have no issue with all +forms of energy. I have an issue with going and punishing one +group that is actually fueling our vehicles and powering our +cars and getting our homes ready, so we can go try to do +something else that may work ten years from now. It feels like +the sustainable debt, you are saying, We will try to manage +this and hopefully that will work out at some point. That is +what I feel like we are doing to energy by trying to punish the +energy companies. + Mr. Lew. I know we are almost out of time, but I just want +to go back to one point you were making earlier, when you +described the increase in the projected deficits. I just want +to point out that in December, I know you weren't here in +December. In December, my first couple of weeks in this new +position, we had an important bipartisan agreement to do +something that I think most of us agree on, which is taxes +shouldn't have gone up January 1 of this year. We needed to +have economic activity, it was the wrong time to let a tax +increase take place. We also needed to do some things because +we were still in a recession. That is driving up the numbers, +but we knew when we passed it at the time, that it would have +that short-term impact. + Chairman Ryan. Thank you. Mr. Guinta. + Mr. Guinta. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Lew, +for being here. I have a couple of quick questions, and I will +try to not take up the full four minutes. First of all, I +understand earlier this morning we agreed on the $1.6 trillion +deficit number for fiscal year 2012, as proposed. Correct? + Mr. Lew. I am not sure I understand what you are referring +to. + Mr. Guinta. Did you agree that this budget proposal has a +$1.6 trillion deficit? + Mr. Lew. Our budget states in its four corners, what the +deficit is each year. + Mr. Guinta. 2012, it is $1.6 trillion, correct? + Mr. Lew. In 2012, it is 1.1. + Mr. Guinta. One point one trillion, okay. You had said that +we want to cut the deficit in half, as it relates to GDP. You +had also made statements about the deficit as a percentage of +GDP. You also said that we need to be talking more clearly to +the country about the challenges we have. I don't disagree with +that. My point would be, I don't think the country appreciates +the verbiage that we use. Municipalities, states, and homes do +not budget the way the federal government budgets. I agree with +you, and I think most people here agree, that we do have to +reform and reduce spending. We do have to get on a path to have +a greater fiscal soundness moving forward. + I don't see that path in this budget. You have conveyed +that this is a first step. You have also made the statement +that we need to put the, step on the brakes at the right time. +I believe that the country believes that this is the right +time. Our time is now, in order to change course, change +direction. And I am certainly willing to work with you, and +anybody, who recognizes that point. I don't see it in the +budget, and maybe I am missing it, but I will continue to look +through. + A couple of things that I would consider. First of all, I +would like to know, how many programs for this budget did the +administration audit? + Mr. Lew. How many did we audit, we reviewed every program +in the Federal Government. We have terminations, reductions, +and savings in over 200. + Mr. Guinta. In this budget proposal? Okay, do you know how +much money that saves? + Mr. Lew. $33 billion, those 200 plus terminations, +reductions, and savings, save over $33 billion in 2012. + Mr. Guinta. And where did you end up spending that savings +in this proposal? + Mr. Lew. We are living within the freeze. We are paying for +the extension of the Medicare Doc Fix, we are doing, there is a +whole host of things. In just a few seconds, it would be hard +to give you the complete, comprehensive answer. + Mr. Guinta. Is there a proposal for a reduction in force of +federal employees? + Mr. Lew. There is not a general policy. I believe there are +some agencies that may well have some reductions enforced. It +is not that it was a government-wide policy. + Mr. Guinta. But you could instruct the departments to +reduce their size and scope? + Mr. Lew. Right, we have a pay-freeze, which is a reduction +in compensation for federal workers. And we have budgets that +are very constrained, which mean that they are going to take on +new missions without new people. And I think these are very +tight budgets for federal agencies. + Mr. Guinta. Okay. And the final point I would like to make +is, in New Hampshire, my home state, 94 percent of our +employers are small business owners. I note on the Office of +Management and Budget Website that you project over 10 years, +500,000 new jobs will be created in New Hampshire. Our total +population is about 1.3 million. I fail to see how we are going +to create 500,000 new jobs in my state, particularly when we +have got the marginal rate lapsing at 45 percent with the +number of small business owners we have. + Mr. Lew. I am not familiar with the specific projection you +are referring to. I am happy to take a look at it and get back +to you. + Mr. Guinta. Okay. Thank you very much. + Chairman Ryan. That is it? + Mr. Lew. Thank you very much. + Chairman Ryan. I hope you get some time to eat lunch before +your next hearing. Thank you for coming by. We obviously have a +chasm that separates our opinions on these issues. I look +forward to further meetings with you in the future, this +hearing is adjourned. + Mr. Lew. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + [Questions submitted for the record and their responses +follow:] + + Questions Submitted for the Record and Their Responses + +Chairman Ryan: + Director Lew, in Table S-7, there is an adjustment to the BEA +baseline of $118 billion over ten years ($12 billion per year) to +``reflect the incremental cost of funding the existing Pell maximum +grant award.'' + Could you provide a more detailed justification for this adjustment +and tell us if it is mandatory or discretionary funding? + + A: The adjustment to the BEA baseline reflects the special +scorekeeping rule for Pell Grants that CBO, OMB, and the Congressional +budget committees have used since 2006. The scoring rule charges the +appropriations committees for the full cost of funding the Pell maximum +award for all eligible students, regardless of the amount of budget +authority specified in the appropriations bill. The proposed outyear +adjustment to the BEA baseline reflects the full cost of funding the +current discretionary maximum award level--$4,860--for the projected +number of students who would qualify in each fiscal year of the ten- +year budget window. Finally, the adjustment is discretionary and does +not suggest mandatory funding for the entire Pell Grant program. +Chairman Ryan: + Your predecessor's June 8, 2010 budget preparation guidance to +agencies ``requested that each non-security agency submit a budget +request five percent below the discretionary total provided for that +agency for FY 2012 in the FY 2011 Budget.'' Despite this guidance, many +agencies including Commerce, Education, Energy, HUD, Interior, +Treasury, EPA, GSA, NASA, NSF, SBA, and SSA saw increases over the +projected 2012 level or decreases smaller than 5%. + Why did the administration not reduce spending that the agencies +themselves decided were low priority? + Please provide for the record a list of the programs identified by +the agencies pursuant to this guidance. + + A: The agency submissions to OMB are part of the deliberative +process which informed the development of the 2012 Budget. Like in past +years, OMB provided guidance to agencies on their 2012 Budget request, +including the top-line funding level for each agency. This past year, +we also asked agencies to identify lower priority programs that are +less critical in advancing their missions. + The materials agencies submitted were critical to developing our FY +2012 Budget request, and directly informed decisions to terminate or +reduce funding for many low priority programs. Overall, the budget +proposed 200 terminations and reductions that save $30 billion in 2012. +In other cases, the Budget proposes to consolidate funding for low +priority programs and use the funding more effectively, or reform +programs so they can better accomplish their mission. + All of this contributed to the President's proposal to freeze non- +security discretionary spending for five years. +Chairman Ryan: + Please provide the Committee with a list of proposed terminations +and major reductions in the President's budget for FY 2002-FY 2010 and +the ultimate funding level provided by Congress for these programs. + + A: Attached is the list of discretionary programs that were +proposed in the President's Budget for termination or reduction from +2006 to 2010, compared with the funding levels enacted by the Congress. +The 2006 Budget was the first year that the President's Budget included +a supporting document detailing proposed terminations and reductions. +From 2006 to 2009, the supporting document was titled ``Major Savings +and Reforms.'' Since 2010, the supporting document was titled +``Terminations, Reductions, and Savings.'' +
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+ +Congressman Yarmuth: + Director Lew, for the past two years I have opposed the +Administration's proposal to repeal the Last In, First Out (LIFO) +accounting method for tax purposes. American companies have been +operating under the assumption that LIFO is a perfectly sound +accounting method since 1939, when Congress enacted tax code section +472, which expressly makes LIFO an acceptable method of tax accounting. +Repealing LIFO would have a devastating impact on a number of companies +in my district, particularly Brown-Forman, a wine and spirits company +that is one of the largest producers of Kentucky bourbon. Brown-Forman, +which employs about 1,300 people in Louisville, estimates repealing +LIFO would raise its taxes by hundreds of millions of dollars. The +company, and the spirits industry at-large, has long used LIFO as its +standard accounting method, which is, in part, attributable to the fact +that it produces whiskey, a product which necessitates aging over long +periods and which federal law specifically requires to be aged. + There is one aspect of the President's proposal that has me +particularly concerned for American companies, and that is the fact +that the proposal would not only repeal the LIFO method going forward; +it would also ``recapture the LIFO reserve'' of every LIFO taxpayer. +This proposal would retroactively repeal deductions that were clearly +authorized by the U.S. tax code and that in many cases were taken by +the taxpayer as far back as several decades ago. This would be the +equivalent of repealing the mortgage interest deduction and forcing +homeowners to repay all of the deductions they took. This, like the +current LIFO proposal, would be exceedingly unfair, as are most +retroactive tax changes. I, therefore, urge you to reconsider your +proposal--and respond to these concerns. + + A: The repeal of the LIFO (last in, first out) method of accounting +will eliminate a tax deferral opportunity available to taxpayers that +hold inventories, the cost of which increase over time. This tax +benefit does not accrue to taxpayers who use the FIFO (first in, first +out) method of accounting. In addition, LIFO repeal would simplify the +tax code by removing a complex and burdensome accounting method that +has been the source of controversy between taxpayers and the Internal +Revenue Service. International Financial Reporting Standards do not +permit the use of the LIFO method, and repealing LIFO would remove this +possible impediment to the implementation of these standards in the +United States. + Taxpayers that currently use the LIFO method would be required to +write up their beginning LIFO inventory to its FIFO value starting in +2013. Allowing LIFO taxpayers to exclude the amount of the inventory +write up from gross income would represent a substantial windfall for +those taxpayers relative to others who have been using FIFO for years +and potentially paying more tax as a result. Furthermore, the +Administration's proposal mitigates the burden of the retroactive +effect by allowing the one-time increase in gross income to be taxed +over 10 years, rather than all at once; in short, the Administration's +proposal provides appropriate transition relief. + + [Whereupon, at 12:55 p.m., the committee adjourned subject +to the call of the Chair] + +
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