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+[House Hearing, 111 Congress] +[From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] + + + + GAZA AFTER THE WAR: WHAT CAN BE BUILT ON THE WRECKAGE? + +======================================================================= + + HEARING + + BEFORE THE + + SUBCOMMITTEE ON + THE MIDDLE EAST AND SOUTH ASIA + + OF THE + + COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS + HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES + + ONE HUNDRED ELEVENTH CONGRESS + + FIRST SESSION + + __________ + + FEBRUARY 12, 2009 + + __________ + + Serial No. 111-1 + + __________ + + Printed for the use of the Committee on Foreign Affairs + + + Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.foreignaffairs.house.gov/ + + ______ + + U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE +47-420 WASHINGTON : 2009 +----------------------------------------------------------------------- +For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, +http://bookstore.gpo.gov. For more information, contact the GPO Customer Contact Center, U.S. Government Printing Office. Phone 202�09512�091800, or 866�09512�091800 (toll-free). E-mail, [email protected]. + + + COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS + + HOWARD L. BERMAN, California, Chairman +GARY L. ACKERMAN, New York ILEANA ROS-LEHTINEN, Florida +ENI F.H. FALEOMAVAEGA, American CHRISTOPHER H. SMITH, New Jersey + Samoa DAN BURTON, Indiana +DONALD M. PAYNE, New Jersey ELTON GALLEGLY, California +BRAD SHERMAN, California DANA ROHRABACHER, California +ROBERT WEXLER, Florida DONALD A. MANZULLO, Illinois +ELIOT L. ENGEL, New York EDWARD R. ROYCE, California +BILL DELAHUNT, Massachusetts RON PAUL, Texas +GREGORY W. MEEKS, New York JEFF FLAKE, Arizona +DIANE E. WATSON, MIKE PENCE, Indiana + CaliforniaJOE WILSON, South Carolina +ADAM SMITH, JOHN BOOZMAN, Arkansas + Washington deg. Until J. GRESHAM BARRETT, South Carolina + 2/9/09 deg. CONNIE MACK, Florida +RUSS CARNAHAN, Missouri JEFF FORTENBERRY, Nebraska +ALBIO SIRES, New Jersey MICHAEL T. McCAUL, Texas +GERALD E. CONNOLLY, Virginia TED POE, Texas +MICHAEL E. McMAHON, New York BOB INGLIS, South Carolina +JOHN S. TANNER, Tennessee GUS BILIRAKIS, Florida +GENE GREEN, Texas +SHEILA JACKSON LEE, Texas +BARBARA LEE, California +SHELLEY BERKLEY, Nevada +JOSEPH CROWLEY, New York +MIKE ROSS, Arkansas +BRAD MILLER, North Carolina +DAVID SCOTT, Georgia +JIM COSTA, California +KEITH ELLISON, Minnesota +GABRIELLE GIFFORDS, Arizona +RON KLEIN, Florida +VACANT As of 2/10/09 deg. + Richard J. Kessler, Staff Director + Yleem Poblete, Republican Staff Director + ------ + + Subcommittee on the Middle East and South Asia + + GARY L. ACKERMAN, New York, Chairman +RUSS CARNAHAN, Missouri DAN BURTON, Indiana +MICHAEL E. McMAHON, New York MIKE PENCE, Indiana +SHEILA JACKSON LEE, Texas JOE WILSON, South Carolina +SHELLEY BERKLEY, Nevada J. GRESHAM BARRETT, South Carolina +JOSEPH CROWLEY, New York JEFF FORTENBERRY, Nebraska +MIKE ROSS, Arkansas MICHAEL T. McCAUL, Texas +JIM COSTA, California BOB INGLIS, South Carolina +KEITH ELLISON, Minnesota GUS BILIRAKIS, Florida +RON KLEIN, Florida DANA ROHRABACHER, California +BRAD SHERMAN, California EDWARD R. ROYCE, California +ROBERT WEXLER, Florida +ELIOT L. ENGEL, New York +ADAM SMITH, + Washington deg. Until + 2/9/09 deg. +GERALD E. CONNOLLY, Virginia +GENE GREEN, Texas +VACANT As of 2/10/09 deg. + David Adams, Subcommittee Staff Director + Howard Diamond, Subcommittee Professional Staff Member + Mark Walker, Republican Professional Staff Member + Dalis Blumenfeld, Staff Associate + + + C O N T E N T S + + ---------- + Page + + WITNESSES + +Mr. David Makovsky, Director, Project on the Middle East Peace + Process, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy......... 15 +Ziad J. Asali, M.D., President & Founder, The American Task Force + on Palestine................................................... 23 +Michele Dunne, Ph.D., Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for + International Peace............................................ 76 +Ms. Danielle Pletka, Vice President, Foreign and Defense Policy + Studies, American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy + Research....................................................... 82 + + LETTERS, STATEMENTS, ETC., SUBMITTED FOR THE HEARING + +The Honorable Gary L. Ackerman, a Representative in Congress from + the State of New York, and Chairman, Subcommittee on the Middle + East and South Asia: Prepared statement........................ 4 +The Honorable Dan Burton, a Representative in Congress from the + State of Indiana: Prepared statement........................... 9 +Mr. David Makovsky: Prepared statement........................... 18 +Ziad J. Asali, M.D.: Prepared statement.......................... 25 +Michele Dunne, Ph.D.: Prepared statement......................... 79 +Ms. Danielle Pletka: Prepared statement.......................... 85 + + APPENDIX + +Hearing notice................................................... 110 +Minutes of hearing............................................... 111 +Statement from the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee... 112 + + + GAZA AFTER THE WAR: WHAT CAN BE BUILT ON THE WRECKAGE? + + ---------- + + + THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 12, 2009 + + House of Representatives, + Subcommittee on the Middle East + and South Asia, + Committee on Foreign Affairs, + Washington, DC. + The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 9:43 a.m. in room +2172, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Gary L. Ackerman +(chairman of the subcommittee) presiding. + Mr. Ackerman. The subcommittee will come to order. + I want to begin by welcoming our new ranking member, the +gentleman from Indiana, Dan Burton------ + Mr. Burton. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Mr. Ackerman [continuing]. Whom I have had the pleasure of +working with before. I especially welcome his dedication and +enthusiasm and the verve that he brings to all of his work. + Mr. Burton. Thank you, sir. + Mr. Ackerman. Pleasure working with you again. + On our side I would like to acknowledge one of our new +members who is with us today, Gerald E. Connolly from Virginia, +and welcome him to the subcommittee. + I would like to start with a quote, as follows: + + ``Today the subcommittee had hoped to examine those + realistic and productive measures that the parties + directly and indirectly involved with the Palestinian- + Israeli conflict might have taken to restore a sense of + hope, and maybe even make some material progress toward + peace. But in the light of,'' I will insert here the + words what has occurred, ``I am not sure what is left + to discuss.'' + + The quote continues: + + ``Over the past 6 years there have been many plans + and many envoys. And contrary to popular opinion, there + has not been a deficit of attention, merely a deficit + in performance. Commitments made to the United States + or between the parties have often been honored only in + the breach. The timing was never right. What was + promised was never delivered. It was always a + provocation, an incident, an upcoming election, a + crisis, an attack. And so it is again today.'' + +That was a quote. + If we strike the words that I inserted, what occurred, and +insert the words Gaza conflict, these sentences which I read at +this subcommittee's first hearing in 2007 are, to my dismay, +equally applicable today. + It only looks like we are going in circles. In fact, we are +spiraling downward. I don't know where the bottom is, but I +know it is there, and I know we are getting closer every day. +It will hit with shattering force when, through malice and +terror, through shallow calculation and venal self-interest, +through short-sightedness and through political cowardice, the +two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is +finally rendered impossible. + The downward pressure comes from terrorism in the march of +settlements. It comes from the firing of rockets and the +perpetration of settler pogroms. It comes in daily images of +destruction and the constant reiteration that they only +understand the language of force. + It comes in the form of a political party that is always +just a few months away from reform, and in the form of +government coalitions whose chief purpose it is to avoid new +elections. It comes in the form of promises that bloodshed is +what God desires, and declarations that dirt and stones mean +more than human life. It comes from tunnels in Gaza, and yes, +from diggings in Jerusalem, as well. + Let me not be misunderstood. There is no moral equivalence +between these acts, but they are all part of the same +destructive dynamic. + Since the end of the Clinton administration, the basic +outlines of the peace agreement have been clear. And in fact, +in its waning days, the government of Ehud Olmert, like other +departing Israeli governments, further closed the gaps, and +added even more detail. Except now there are three sides, and +one of those sides is looking for a very different outcome than +the other two. + Hamas is the odd man out. I don't know what to do about +that. I don't know how you make peace with half of a wannabe +country. I don't know how you sign an agreement with an entity +who's legal, political, and administrative bona fides are all +in question. + Which brings us to Gaza, where so many of the +contradictions of this conflict come into focus. Start with +Hamas, a terrorist organization, an entity beyond the pale. +They are the enemy, and no one can talk to them until they +accept the quartet's conditions of recognizing Israel, +repudiating violence, and accepting the PLO's agreements with +Israel. + Except for years Israel has been talking to Hamas through +Egypt, and directly to Hamas through prisoners in Israeli +jails. And when the IDF was in Gaza in force, with reserves +building up outside, the Israelis announced that the +destruction of Hamas was absolutely not their goal. Hamas is a +deadly, vicious, implacable enemy, but somehow one that they +left in place. + For their part, the Fatah-led PA blasted Israel for +violence, while quietly hoping that the IDF would cripple Hamas +and pave the way for the Palestinian Authority's return to +Gaza. Likewise, the PA has continuously denounced Hamas for the +2007 coup in Gaza, and then intermittently engaged in direct +talks to form a unity government with it. + And Hamas itself, the great paragon of ideological purity, +insists in Arabic that its goal is the complete liberation of +Palestine, which is to say the elimination of the State of +Israel; while in English it declares that Israeli withdrawal to +the 1967 borders would be sufficient for long-term, but not +permanent, peace. + One real bright spot in all the chaos is the work of the +U.S. Security Coordinator, Lt. Gen. Keith Dayton, who, without +fanfare and very little money, has helped stand up a force of +several hundred competent and disciplined Palestinian security +forces, trained in Jordan and deployed successfully to major +cities in the West Bank. These mostly young Palestinians have +restored law and order in Jenin, in Nablus, and are finally +starting to put some authority back into the Palestinian +Authority, which for years has been leaking the stuff like a +bucket with no bottom. + I think we have learned from our own awful experience in +Iraq that between politics and security, security has to come +first. So what can be made of the new and growing security +dynamic in the West Bank remains to be seen. A lot will depend +on whether Israel, in a break from years of habit, can +recognize its own self-interest in the success of this +Palestinian enterprise. + And even if that happens, and I think we really must try +hard to help that process along, how developments in the West +Bank can be used to reestablish a connection with Gaza is far +from clear. And it is in Gaza that the United States, Israel, +the PA, and Arab states have to start coming up with answers. + There are pressing humanitarian needs and a reconstruction +vacuum that will surely be filled by someone, either for good +or ill. Hamas is still in charge there. And depending on what +polls you read and which people you talk to, is either badly +damaged or fully in command. The war has either alienated them +from the public, or powerfully reinforced their leadership. +Hamas has either suffered a severe blow, or has benefitted +immensely from merely surviving the Israeli onslaught. + The fact that so basic a question can still be in doubt +should make all of us a little more circumspect in our +assertions, and a little less confident in our understanding of +this conflict. + Fortunately, we have with us today a panel with real +expertise in the politics of Israel, the Palestinian Authority, +and Egypt, to help us understand where the interests of the +parties lie, and what equities they most need to protect in +coming to grips with the future of Gaza. + It is our job to start answering these same questions for +ourselves. What is it that we want? How can we achieve it? What +has worked, and what has to be done differently? What +assumptions have we made that haven't been borne out in fact? +We can start today by learning from our distinguished +witnesses. + I turn now to my friend, partner, Dan Burton. + [The prepared statement of Mr. Ackerman +follows:] Ackerman deg. + + + +
+ +
+ + Mr. Burton. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. It is nice to be your +partner. We have had our differences over the years on the +floor and in the committee. But one thing on which we have +always agreed has been the Middle Eastern problems; and in +particular, the survivability of our good friend, Israel. + I have a statement I would like to submit for the record, +but I would like to make a few comments, if I may. + When Ariel Sharon decided to give Gaza away and they +started destroying the settlements that were in Gaza, I, for +one, was very concerned about that, because I thought there +were no guarantees of Israel's right to exist from the parties +involved. And I was concerned that Hezbollah would take +advantage, or Hamas would take advantage of the situation in +Gaza as soon as things took place. + And as I watched those people being removed from their +homes and their homes being bulldozed, it was a very +disheartening situation. But I had great confidence in Ariel +Sharon, and I felt like his decisions were very well thought +out, and that this was probably a step toward a lasting peace. + Unfortunately, that was not the case. The minute Gaza +became independent, Hamas started moving very rapidly by +getting weapons in from Iran through Syria, all kinds of +rockets and other equipment, and started their attacks on +Israel. + My concern today, and what I would like to get from the +panelists, Mr. Chairman, is what they believe the long-term +view is from their perspective on the situation in Gaza, what +the long-term view is from their perspective on Iran. Will Iran +start reducing or working with the rest of the world in trying +to stop the weapons from getting into Gaza and into Lebanon and +Hezbollah up there? And can we expect any real movement toward +a lasting peace? + We have been talking about this for as long as I have been +in Congress. I think you and I have been in Congress 26 years, +and we come back to the same position year after year after +year, where there is a determination by Iran, by Syria, by +Hamas and Hezbollah to destroy Israel and deny their right to +exist. + So I would like to ask the panelists today if they see any +light at the end of the tunnel, if they think the ending of the +hostilities that have taken place will lead to a lasting peace +in Gaza, and what their prognostication is about as far as Iran +is concerned. + The administration has indicated they want to try to open +up a dialogue with Iran to try to find out if there is a +pathway to peace. But unless there is a guarantee of Israel's +right to exist, I don't think there is going to be any +solutions to the problems over there. + And so if there are administration people here today, Mr. +Chairman, I would say I hope they will be very careful when +they discuss these issues with the Iranians, to make sure that +the number one question at every meeting is will you finally +agree to Israel's right to exist, and try to work out a +peaceful solution to these problems over there. + So there is an awful lot of things that are going on that +we would like to talk about today. I know I have covered quite +a bit of the waterfront with my opening remarks. But these are +all inter-related, so I would like to hear what your +perspective is on all of these issues. + And in particular, in closing, I would like to thank Danni +Pletka for being here. We worked together when she worked for +Jesse Helms on a number of issues. She is a very bright lady, +and we are really happy to have you here today. You are now +with the American Enterprise Institute, a very fine group. And +I look forward to working with you in the future. + Mr. Chairman, I look forward to working with you and your +colleagues on your side of the aisle, and finding, hopefully, a +solution to some of these problems in the Middle East. + I yield back my time. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you very much. And without objection, +your full statement will be put in the record, as it will for +all other members. + [The prepared statement of Mr. Burton +follows:]
Burton deg. + + + +
+ + Mr. Ackerman. I sent out a notice to each of the members +yesterday--I hope everybody saw it--that we would allow opening +statements, but we want to keep them to an opening comment, +maybe for 1 minute apiece. And we will do that as we usually do +on the subcommittee, in order of the member's appearance at the +committee. + Mr. Wexler, if you would like. + Mr. Wexler. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I just want +to commend you for assembling an extraordinary group today. Mr. +Makovsky is someone I have relied upon and continue to rely +upon, and I don't think there is any more knowledgeable voice +in this country in terms of the Middle East and the Israeli- +Palestinian conflict. + Dr. Asali, as well, I think is a uniquely powerful and +constructive both advocate and resource for the United States +Congress. And we all--many of us--rely upon him greatly. And +despite Mr. Burton's wonderful comments, Ms. Pletka, we too +welcome you and Dr. Dunne, as well. + Mr. Ackerman. Mr. Royce. + Mr. Royce. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. As one of our witnesses +points out here today, many believe that there is a magical +solution to the Israel-Palestine problem. + If only we can arrange the diplomatic talks a certain way, +there is this feeling that it will be solved. And we have a new +special envoy, Sen. Mitchell, who is going to spend +considerable energy working this region. He will be working and +reaching for peace. + But the idea that some type of grand bargain might be +celebrated in the Rose Garden is very far off. Sen. Mitchell +must contend with the fact that there are those in the region, +Hamas and others, who do not even recognize Israel's existence. +Israel must be replaced with an Islamic state, according to +Hamas. + So this is a region of the world plagued with a growing +extremism that will frustrate peace initiatives, and won't be +easily or quickly reversed. + This hearing asks what can be built on the wreckage. I have +yet to see the firm foundation upon which structures must be +built, but that does not mean we don't try. + Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for this hearing. + Mr. Ackerman. The chair would like to recognize the +presence of the chair of the full committee, Howard Berman, and +ask the chairman if he would like to use his prerogative to-- +the chairman has waived. + We go next to Mr. Connolly. + Mr. Connolly. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for +convening this hearing today. + I think that it is imperative we understand the lessons +learned from the recent Gaza conflict. Only with a more durable +cease-fire and a commitment from Hamas to forswear violence can +we address the long-term humanitarian needs of the people of +the Gaza Strip. + I, for one, look to this week's Israeli election as +actually an encouraging sign in the effort for renewing the +peace process. While the closeness of the vote may present some +challenges, the edge appears to lie with those who vigorously +want to pursue the peace process. + When taken together, the election results, the current +cease-fire, no matter how tenuous, and the commitment of +President Obama to invest U.S. capital by engaging personally +in the peace process, as well as his appointment of Special +Envoy George Mitchell, are encouraging signs that we can broker +a long-term solution in the interest of all parties. + I welcome today's witnesses and look forward to hearing +from them about their recommendations for moving forward in a +positive direction. + Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you very much. Mr. Ellison. + Mr. Ellison. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for your indulgence +here. I have got an abundance of paper in front of me. + Mr. Chairman, first of all I would like to thank you for +hosting the subcommittee hearing today. It is a privilege and +an honor to be here, and to be a member of this very important +subcommittee. + As we all know, this is a very critical time to be hearing +about the critical topic of Gaza. I am glad that we are here to +help move forward on the necessary rehabilitation and +reconstruction efforts in Gaza. + I take this opportunity to welcome all speakers and +witnesses to the House Committee on Foreign Affairs. And I look +forward to hearing your testimony, as well as the discussion +and exchange of views on conflicts in Gaza, the reconstruction +and Middle East peace. + And also, Mr. Chairman, I would ask unanimous consent. I +was approached by an organization called the American Arab +Anti-Discrimination Committee who would like to submit a +statement, and was not able to do so. And so I ask unanimous +consent that their statement be allowed to be put into the +record. + Mr. Ackerman. Without objection.
+ [The information referred to was inserted into the +appendix]No material followed in original deg. + Mr. Ackerman. deg.Thank you very much. And Mr. +Ellison, we welcome you to the committee, as well. + Ms. Berkley, welcome to the subcommittee. + Ms. Berkley. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. It is a pleasure to +be back. And I also want to thank you for holding this hearing. + I was part of a Congressional delegation that was among the +last civilians to leave the Gaza when the Israelis left. As a +Jew, it was very difficult for me to watch other Jews being +forcibly removed from their homes, many of whom had lived in +the Gaza for three generations. But it was done by the Israelis +in the interest of peace, and with the hope that the +Palestinians would be able to demonstrate to the world that +they were capable of self-governance. + We were hopeful, I was certainly hopeful, that schools +would be built, infrastructure would be created, and that the +Palestinians would take control of their own lives. + Unfortunately, the result has been quite different. Hamas +has taken over, a terrorist organization that continues not +only to terrorize Israel by raining rockets on innocent Israeli +civilians from the Gaza, but raining terror on their own +people. + It would be my hope, especially in the aftermath of the +last action by the Israelis, precipitated by the continuous +launching of rockets into Israel, that the Palestinian people +would see that Hamas is not their future; and making a just and +lasting peace with Israel, and recognizing Israel's right to +exist, and securing the borders would be in the best interest +of both people. And that would be my hope. + But I have become, I must say, Mr. Chairman, very cynical +over the last few years, and hopeful that we will see a new +day. But I am very doubtful that that will happen. And I am +anxious to hear our witnesses talk about this issue. + Thank you. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. Mr. Klein. + Mr. Klein. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you, Mr. +Burton, for calling this meeting today. And thank you to the +guests who will present to us. + The Gaza Strip has obviously been a problem for many, many +years, both when Egypt was much more involved, when Israel has +been involved, and obviously in its own sense right now. And of +course, the movement of weapons and missiles and rockets into +the Gaza Strip from a number of, a number of means of getting +through there has been a problem which has continued to present +more difficulties. + Now that the general fighting has stopped at the level it +was a couple weeks ago, obviously there are still rockets being +fired, and this is a very fragile situation. + I think we acknowledge that Egypt, who has been helpful, is +in a position where they can continue to help limit the amount +of weapons that come in through that area. Egypt does not want +an unstable or destabilized Hamas or region to flow into its +areas, as well. The presenters today can comment on the role +that Egypt continues to play, and of course, we encourage their +continued cooperation as we go forward. + Thank you. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. Mr. Carnahan. + Mr. Carnahan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and Ranking Member +Burton. It is great to be back in this new session on this +committee. I look forward to working with you on the timely and +substantive work of this committee, and really getting it right +in Gaza is central to really making progress in the Middle +East. And so I thank the panel for being here, and look forward +to hearing from you. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. We also want to welcome Mr. +McMahon, a new Member to the Congress, new member to the +committee and subcommittee. Would you like a minute, if you +want to take that now? You are recognized. + Mr. McMahon. Thank you, Chairman Ackerman. And I thank the +subcommittee for allowing me to speak today, my first hearing +here, first time in. + I would like to thank our witnesses for sharing their +knowledge with us here today, and I hope to share the +conclusions with my constituents back home. + Clearly, the humanitarian situation in Gaza is very grave, +yet Hamas still continues to exacerbate the humanitarian +situation by using innocent civilians to leverage power over +this broken region to advance their political agenda. + I think that most of my colleagues in this room would agree +that as the premiere nation allocating assistance to Gaza, the +U.S. is currently in quite a predicament. If Hamas increases +influence through circumventing the assistance and manipulating +civilians, what is to be expected for the future of our sister +nation, Israel, and for the region as a whole? + Mr. Chairman, my constituents, both Arab and Jewish alike, +are concerned for their families in the region, and cannot bear +for their relatives to be treated as worthless pawns. + Despite the severity of the situation, I remain hopeful +that a secure peace agreement that embraces the two-state +solution can be reached through the leadership of President +Barack Obama and Sen. Mitchell. And I hope through efforts here +today, we can bring humanitarian relief to all those who suffer +in the region. + I hope that we reaffirm our commitment that the only future +for Israel and Palestine is a path to peace. + Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield the remainder of my time. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you very much. We will now turn to our +witnesses. + We are joined today by a truly first-rate group, each of +whom brings years of hands-on expertise and analytical +experience to this hearing. + David Makovsky is a senior fellow and director of the +Washington Institute's Project on the Middle East Peace +Process. He is also an adjunct lecturer in Middle Eastern +Studies at Johns Hopkins University in the Paul H. Nitze School +of Advanced International Studies. + Before joining the Washington Institute, Mr. Makovsky +covered the peace process from 1989 to 2000 as executive editor +of the Jerusalem Post and as diplomatic correspondent for +Haaretz. Now a contributing editor to the deg.U.S. +News and World Report, he served 11 years as the magazine's +special Jerusalem correspondent. + Dr. Ziad Asali is president and founder of the American +Task Force on Palestine, a nonprofit, non-partisan organization +established in 2003, and based in Washington, DC. Dr. Asali was +born in Jerusalem, and received his M.D. from the American +University of Beirut Medical School in 1967. He completed his +residency in Salt Lake City, Utah, and then practiced medicine +in Jerusalem before returning to the U.S. in 1973. + Dr. Asali is also founder and chairman of the American +Charities for Palestine. + Michele Dunne is a senior associate at the Carnegie +Endowment for International Peace. She also edits the Arab +Reform Bulletin, a monthly online journal exploring political, +economic, and human rights developments in Arab countries. A +specialist in the Middle East at the U.S. Department of State +from 1986 to 2003, Dr. Dunne holds a Ph.D. in Arabic language +from Georgetown University. + Danielle Pletka is vice president of foreign and defense +policy at the American Enterprise Institute. Before joining +AEI, she served for 10 years as a senior professional staff +member for the Near East and South Asia on the U.S. Senate +Committee on Foreign Relations. + In addition to her work at AEI, she was also a member of +the congressionally-mandated U.S. Institute of Peace Task Force +on the United Nations. + We will begin with Dr. Makovsky. + + STATEMENT OF MR. DAVID MAKOVSKY, DIRECTOR, PROJECT ON THE + MIDDLE EAST PEACE PROCESS, THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE FOR NEAR + EAST POLICY + + Mr. Makovsky. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, Mr. Ranking Member, +distinguished members of the committee. It is an honor to be +with you today. + Until post-conflict arrangements are settled, it is +premature to reach a definitive conclusion on the recent war in +Gaza. However, it is possible to make a preliminary assessment. + Israel set forward one major objective for itself at the +start of this war; specifically, to avert Hamas rocket fire +aimed at its southern cities. The objective of this war was not +the toppling of Hamas. + Israel has also sought to restore the deterrents that it +felt that it lost in the inconclusive 2006 war against +Hezbollah and Lebanon. As a result, in contrast to the 2006 +war, Israel's objectives were defined more carefully. + One of Israel's main tactics for ensuring that its cities +are not the targets of Hamas rockets is to target the myriad of +smuggling tunnels along the Egypt-Gaza border that Hamas uses +to rearm itself. As such, Israel's success in shutting down or +destroying these tunnels will also be part of the post-war +evaluation. + First, some background to this Gaza conflict. As was noted +here, Israel removed all of its settlers and left Gaza in 2005. +Yet, Hamas rocket fire has been relentless, especially after +Hamas ascended to power in 2006. + By mid-2008, Israel and Hamas have been observing a cease- +fire for 6 months, which expired on December 19. Israel made +clear that it wanted to extend the cease-fire, yet Hamas fired +200 rockets at Israeli cities. + There are those who argue that Hamas wanted to use rocket +fire as a means of changing the terms of the cease-fire. +However, Israel felt it had no choice but military action. + Hamas believed that by taking up positions in densely +populated parts of the Gaza Strip in order to fire +indiscriminately at Israeli cities, it would be immune to +retaliation. This was not the case. + Israel embarked on what is called Operation Cast Lead, a +campaign that went on for less than a month, first by air and +then by ground, primarily in northern Gaza. While Hamas has +sought to claim victory in the aftermath of the fighting, these +claims are largely hollow. Its leadership was in hiding +throughout the fighting. + Hamas did not offer serious opposition on the ground, a +fact that will make it difficult for the organization to +credibly claim that it defended Gaza, let alone scored a +victory. + In contrast, Hezbollah, in 2006, offered substantial +resistance and determined opposition to Israeli ground forces, +employing the full range of its capabilities. + According to the Palestinian-run Jerusalem media +communications center polling unit, only 35% of Palestinians in +Gaza believe Hamas' assertion of victory. + Israel succeeded in degrading Hamas' ability to fire +rockets at Israeli cities. Military analysts widely believe +that the Israeli army was much better prepared for this +conflict on nearly every level--planning, training, equipment, +and force readiness--than it was in 2006. + Israel sustained far fewer casualties and injuries than it +did in 2006. Arab casualties were lower in Gaza than Lebanon; +but as I will point to later in my remarks, they were still +considerable. + Although many thoughts Israel's deterrence was eroded in +the 2006 war, Israeli officials state that it was restored +after the current fighting with Hamas. Hamas is responsible for +the Gaza population and manner that is not true for Hezbollah +and Lebanon; therefore, there is hope that this deterrence will +be sustained over time. + It is noteworthy that Hezbollah, Syria, and Iran were +either unwilling or unable to assist Hamas during the conflict, +excluding rhetorical support. This should give Hamas pause +about the value of its alliances. Hezbollah did not open up a +second front, contrary to speculation that it might, and this +might be a sign that Israel did increase its deterrence during +the 2006 war, which would be significant. + While Iran interpreted the inconclusive outcome of 2006 as +a victory for its proxy, Hezbollah, and for Tehran's own +regional influence, Iran will have to view the Gaza conflict as +a setback. It could not believe that it gained any momentum +with this episode. + Moreover, divisions surfaced within the Arab world. Egypt +and Saudi Arabia boycotted an aborted Arab summit that they +viewed as supportive of Hamas, and, implicitly, Iran. Egyptian +leadership was willing to withstand demonstrations and +criticism, and still refused to support Hamas' demand that it +gain control of a key access point to Gaza. All these +developments were negative from Hamas' perspective. + The Gaza war brought fresh international focus to the +tunnel network between Egyptian Sinai and Gaza. The issue of +border security has become increasingly important for Israel, +particularly since the network is crucial to Hamas' ability to +rearm. + During the recent conflict, Hamas fired 122-millimeter +ground artillery rockets, a type of rocket that is designed by +Iran to fit through the tunnels by hitting Gadera, 20 miles +south of Tel Aviv. It fired many rockets, as well. One million +Israelis are now within this rocket's range, including the +largest city in southern Israel, Beersheba. If more +sophisticated, longer-range rockets are smuggled into Gaza, +Israel's international airport could come within range within +the very near future. + For Israel, this international focus on the tunnel network +is necessary, albeit not sufficient. International focus is not +synonymous with action. + For example, in 2006 the U.N. Security Council Resolution +1701 addressed the issue of arms smuggling for Hezbollah by +calling on an embargo on weapons to Hezbollah militias, +Lebanese militias. This provision, however, has never been +enforced. There are estimates that Hezbollah has in fact +tripled the number of its rockets since 2006. + Therefore, a more practical approach was being tried now. +Toward the end of this war, the United States and Israel signed +a memorandum of understanding, an MOU, that authorizes United +States assistance to Egypt to halt the flow of arms. This +international assistance could potentially involve the U.S. +Navy and NATO, elements to help police international waters, +since the grads are believed to come from transit points in +Iran, Somalia, Eritrea and Yemen. + Mr. Ackerman. I am going to have to ask you to start to sum +up. + Mr. Makovsky. Okay. The question will be: Will Egypt indeed +recognize that its national security is at stake? Because this +is not a favor to Israel, it clearly has an interest in the +Palestinian Authority being stronger, and also weakening its +own opposition at home, the Muslim brotherhood. And it clearly +does not want to see Iran gain, as President Mubarak made clear +in a speech the other day. + If Egypt acts, this will be the optimal situation. I fear +if Egypt does not act, Israel will go back into southern Gaza, +occupy the Philadelphi Corridor, as it is known, and on its +own, try to explode these tunnels. + To avoid this scenario, Egypt is critical, but so is the +MFO, the multi-national forces of the Sinai. It was put in +place to, as an early-warning system against possible Egyptian +attack against Israel, given the wars in the sixties and +seventies. But given the new threats, maybe we should think of +an enhanced role for the MFO, given the problem of tunnels. +Like monitoring some of the main roads that traverse the Sinai; +there are very few of them. + The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers has been helpful. + Mr. Ackerman. You are going to need to conclude. + Mr. Makovsky. Okay. I would just conclude here by saying +the question here of Gaza reconstruction is something that we +will discuss. I am happy in the Q and A to discuss this, as +well. + It is clear to me that the pivot point is the Palestinian +Authority being in Gaza, and making that difference. The Arab +world could provide assistance, but they could also provide +assistance by delegitimizing Hamas. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. + Mr. Makovsky. I promise to stay in these Israeli elections +and what next steps will be taken by Mitchell, but I will do +that in the Q and A. + Thank you very much. + [The prepared statement of Mr. Makovsky +follows:] Makovsky deg. + + + +
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+ + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. Dr. Asali. Push your button on. + + STATEMENT OF ZIAD J. ASALI, M.D., PRESIDENT & FOUNDER, THE + AMERICAN TASK FORCE ON PALESTINE + + Dr. Asali. As requested by your staff, allow me to state +for the record that the recently signed memorandum of +understanding mentioned in my bio between American Charities +for Palestine and USAID is only for the purposes of vetting +recipients of donations made by ACP. Neither I nor ACP has +received any further gain. + Now I will start my testimony. + Mr. Ackerman. We will restart your time. + Dr. Asali. Thank you very much, and I will not go beyond. + Mr. Ackerman. We will allow you the same latitude. + Dr. Asali. Thank you. Mr. Chairman, I wish to thank you and +the subcommittee's esteemed members for the privilege to +testify before you and summarize my 51-page written testimony. + Although Hamas launched reckless and provocative rocket +attacks against Israel, Gazans are not Hamas. They are not +combatants, and should not be punished. As a human being and as +a physician, I was horrified by the tragedy that has befallen +the people of Gaza by Israel's disproportionate use of force. + After an estimated 1,400 deaths and 5,400 injuries, 80% of +surviving Gazans now depend on food aid, and 51,000 need +shelter. Their suffering must come to an immediate stop. + Gaza lies in ruins, but Hamas still controls Gaza. + Mr. Ackerman. I am afraid we cannot have any approbation, +approval or disapproval from the audience. Everybody is welcome +to be here, so we want to just constrain our approval or +disapproval of any of the witnesses, or even any of the +members. You can criticize us someplace else, but not in this +room. Thank you. + Dr. Asali. Thank you. Restart the clock for me? [Laughter.] + Mr. Ackerman. We will not subtract our comments. + Dr. Asali. Gaza lies in ruins, but Hamas still controls +Gaza. And the responsible policies of the PA and other U.S.- +Arab allies have been undermined. + Mr. Chairman, the challenge now is providing essential aid +and reconstruction to the people of Gaza without bolstering +Hamas. Opening the crossings and implementing the Access and +Movement Agreement of 2005 is essential. + Immediate humanitarian assistance should proceed unimpeded +and without politicization, to deliver food, shelter, medical, +fuel, and educational supplies, as well as power and +sanitation. It should be provided and expanded through existing +agencies, including UNRWA and international NGOs. If Hamas +again attempts to interfere, it risks suspension of aid. + Reconstruction, however, takes time, and requires a new +international mechanism that can ensure entry of construction +materials into Gaza, secure from political interference. And +any party blocking the reconstruction process must publicly +bear the blame. + This mechanism should be structured to quickly grant +contracts, vet recipients, and have security and logistical +components. This must be coordinated by the new U.S. Special +Envoy to the Middle East and composed of the Quartet, the PA, +and the indispensable Egypt. + Private reconstruction should be managed through direct +bank transfers from the PA to beneficiaries, as proposed by +Prime Minister Fayyad, which will benefit 21,000 property +owners at a cost of $600 million to $800 million. + The Palestinian partner for reconstruction can only be the +PA under President Abbas. A non-partisan Palestinian national +accord government could help, but it must meet the Quartet +conditions, exert security control, and have the specific +mandate of overseeing reconstruction and preparing for +elections. + Mr. Chairman, there is no military solution to this +conflict. And until it is resolved through two states, a secure +Israel alongside a viable Palestine freed from occupation, +further violence is inevitable. + Unless progress is made on advancing Palestinian statehood +and quality of life through negotiations, and unless the PA and +Fatah implement serious and genuine reform, the PA will +continue to weaken. Without progress, anything rebuilt will be +destroyed. Our own actions can either foster hope or feed hate. + Permanent status negotiations must continue, but cannot be +sustained without expanding the space of freedom in Palestinian +cities, and in delivering tangible improvements in access, +mobility, and economic opportunities. + Settlements entrench the occupation, and are the most +pressing political and logistical impediment to peace. All +hopes for progress depend on an immediate settlement freeze, +and this is where U.S. leadership must be asserted to preserve +the credibility of the two-state solution. + U.S. assistance must be intensified to help the PA further +develop the new professional security system, which has proven +its effectiveness under very difficult circumstances. It also +has to develop the fledgling economy unimpeded by unreasonable +restrictions, and pursue good governance reform, transparency, +and the rule of law. + A devastated Gaza, a stagnant West Bank, and a moribund +peace process would benefit extremism. The losers then will be +Palestinians, Israel, and the cause of peace, and most +importantly, our own national interest. + Thank you very much. + [The prepared statement of Dr. Asali +follows:]
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+ + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you, Dr. Asali. + Dr. Dunne. + + STATEMENT OF MICHELE DUNNE, PH.D., SENIOR ASSOCIATE, CARNEGIE + ENDOWMENT FOR INTERNATIONAL PEACE + + Ms. Dunne. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and members of the +subcommittee for the privilege of testifying before you. I am +going to be discussing the role of Egypt in this crisis. And I +am sure the subcommittee members are aware of Egypt's mediation +effort, and the elements of a cease-fire proposal that Egypt +has been putting forward. + The basic elements are a mutually agreed-to cease-fire +between Israel and Hamas, as opposed to the unilateral cease- +fire that exists now; and the duration of that would probably +be something on the order of 18 months, renewable. The +reopening of crossings to Gaza, with some limitations as to +what could enter Gaza. A prisoner exchange that would involve +perhaps the release of Israeli hostage Gilad Shalit. And talks +between Fatah and Hamas. + And I would like to note that there are indications in the +press that those talks are already beginning in Cairo, between +Fatah and Hamas representatives. + So what are the Egyptian interests that inform Egypt's +actions here? I would say in the current crisis, Egypt has +demonstrated that it has two principal interests related to +Gaza. One of them is that Egypt wants to avoid taking on +responsibility for the 1.5 million Palestinians living in Gaza. +And second, Egypt is trying, through its mediation efforts, to +restore some role for the Palestinian Authority under the +leadership of President Mahmoud Abbas, to the extent that is +possible. + Now, regarding Egypt's taking on responsibility for the +Palestinians, there are at least two ways this could happen, +and President Hosni Mubarak is going to try to avoid either one +of them. + One possibility is that if there were a humanitarian crisis +in Gaza, tens or hundreds of thousands of Palestinians could +flood across the border into the Sinai, and stay on a semi- +permanent basis. And as I am sure the members of the +subcommittee are aware, this is not an idle fear; it actually +happened a year ago, in January 2008, that hundreds of +thousands of Palestinians crossed the border illegally, and it +took Egypt about 2 weeks to get them to leave and to +reestablish control over its international border. + Then there is this question of whether Egypt would take on +some sort of a role in Gaza itself, perhaps administering Gaza +the way Egypt did between 1948 and 1967. Now, this is not the +official policy of Israel or anyone else; no one is asking +Egypt to do this. But the suggestion that this might be a +possibility has caused a lot of concern in Egypt. + Now, President Mubarak will resist this for a couple of +reasons. First of all, he realizes that governing hundreds of +thousands of Palestinians, either in Sinai or in Gaza itself, +would be a thankless task for Egypt. + But he also has reason to be concerned about stability in +his own country, should one or other of these situations be +forced on Egypt. Sinai is already a troubled area, populated +largely by Bedouin with little loyalty to the Egyptian state, +and terrorists have carried out several large-scale attacks +there in recent years. + The introduction of hundreds of thousands of Palestinian +refugees there, perhaps including militants from Hamas, +Palestinian-Islamic Jihad, would undoubtedly increase tension +and the danger of terrorism there. + Inside Egypt itself, although many Egyptians have called on +their government to extend greater diplomatic and humanitarian +support to Gaza, actual Egyptian rule in Gaza, or rule of many +Palestinian refugees in Sinai, would very much enflame anti- +government sentiment in Egypt. And as I am sure the members of +the subcommittee are aware, there is significant anti- +government sentiment in Egypt today. Protests of one kind or +another, mostly about domestic, economic, and human rights +issues, have become a daily phenomenon in Egypt. + And the Muslim Brotherhood that is the primary opposition +movement in Egypt supports Hamas fervently, and has been +organizing protests against the government. There has developed +in Egypt a sort of tradition, since the outbreak of the second +Palestinian uprising in 2000, of protests that begin in support +of Palestinians and criticizing Israel, and often the United +States, and then those protests turn against Mubarak and call +for an end to his rule. + Now, the second goal that I mentioned for Egypt in this +Gaza crisis is the desire to restore the Palestinian Authority +to a role in Gaza to the extent that that is feasible. Egypt +takes a realist approach to Hamas. It would prefer that Hamas +not rule Gaza, but acknowledges that at this point, it is +impossible to ignore the group. + So one constant in Egyptian mediation efforts has been to +insist, for example, on enforcing the terms of the 2005 Rafah +Agreement, which treats the Palestinian Authority as the +responsible authority on the Gaza side of the border. And Egypt +would like to see the Palestinian Authority returned there, at +a minimum to the border with Egypt. + Egypt has also pressed Hamas to agree to resume +reconciliation talks with Fatah, which were going on under +Egyptian auspices for some time, were broken off in November +2008, and seem to be perhaps resuming now. + Regarding the arms smuggling issue through Rafah, Egyptian +officials are undoubtedly aware that there is a spotlight on +the issue now. David Makovsky mentioned that there has been +technical assistance from the United States through the U.S. +Army Corps of Engineers, a $23-million program that was funded +out of United States annual military assistance to Egypt. + This has now been implemented in only the last week, and +there is actual technical monitoring now by the Egyptians, with +this assistance from the United States, of tunneling and +underground movements through the Rafah area. And Egypt should +be able, with this tool, to significantly improve its +performance in preventing arms trafficking into Gaza. + There is a report, by the way, in the Jerusalem Post today +that talks about that, and says that there is significantly +stepped-up Egyptian enforcement. + Mr. Ackerman. You are going to have to start to summarize. + Ms. Dunne. Okay. The aftermath of the Gaza crisis does +afford some opportunities for the United States and Egypt to +strengthen their ties, which have been strained in recent +years. United States and Egyptian goals regarding Gaza are +largely consonant. + Over the longer term, however, I would like to note that it +will be necessary for Egypt and the United States to reach an +understanding on progress on human and civil rights inside +Egypt as well, in order for the partnership to really flourish. + Thank you. + [The prepared statement of Ms. Dunne +follows:]
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+ + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you, Dr. Dunne. + Ms. Pletka. + + STATEMENT OF MS. DANIELLE PLETKA, VICE PRESIDENT, FOREIGN AND + DEFENSE POLICY STUDIES, AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE FOR + PUBLIC POLICY RESEARCH + + Ms. Pletka. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and Mr. Burton, for +inviting me today. I am going to summarize my remarks, and you +will put my full statement in the record. + Mr. Royce was kind enough to quote my statement--I am glad +somebody read it--in advance. I suggested that part of the +problem historically has been that each time a new +administration comes to the Israeli-Palestinian problem, they +assume that there is some magical peace that has not been +fulfilled, some individual who will make it all work right; +some process that we have not embraced. + And the truth is, of course, there simply is no magic to +any of this, and we should stop thinking about the problem in +those ways. + I would also add that the measure that we have historically +used to discuss progress between the Israelis and the +Palestinians has almost entirely been self-referential. We +always talk about what we have done, and how we have made +progress, and how everybody is at the table. And we really +haven't measured the Palestinians' progress. + I would argue that perhaps we have paid more attention to +the Israelis, but no attention to Palestinian progress on the +ground. And when I say Palestinian progress on the ground, I do +not mean the shape of their government or the stability of +their government; I mean the progress of individual +Palestinians, the general welfare of the Palestinian people. +And in fact, the Palestinian people as a whole have made very +little appreciable progress. To the contrary, there has been a +great decline in standards of living, and a great flight by +Palestinians from the West Bank in Gaza, not just Gaza I would +underscore, but also from the West Bank. + Nor has the cause of peace made any great strides forward +in recent years, including when President Bush turned his +attention to it, when President Clinton put a great deal of +personal effort and attention toward it. + There are some who are going to suggest now, in the +aftermath of this Gaza war, that the fact that Egypt, Saudi +Arabia, and others have turned on Hamas is a real sign of +progress and hope for the future. And I think that we need to +be very careful in making that judgment. + I think that the main motivation there is that they see +Hamas very clearly for what Hamas is, the face of jihadism, +which represents a threat not just to Israel, not just to the +Palestinians, but, more specifically, to them. And I think that +is where a lot of that antipathy comes from. Whether we can +manipulate that or gain from it is another thing, but let us +understand it for what it is. + What should American goals really be in the West Bank and +Gaza specifically, between the Israelis and the Palestinians? +At the end of the day, what our ambition is is what our +ambition always has been: It is to build peace on a stable +edifice. That edifice may or may not include a Palestinian +state; personally, I think that it would be inevitable. But the +fact that we have always been willing to suggest that somehow +the fact that we want a Palestinian as progress toward peace is +really an illusion. It is not progress toward peace. It is the +stability of the edifice itself that is in question. + We cannot, I think, as we consider new ways of going +forward, embrace relationships, a relationship with Hamas. That +is a real danger. There are some who have suggested that the +United States should open up talks with Hamas, much as we are +thinking about opening up talks with the Iranian regime. That +is not a good way forward. It is a dangerous way forward. It +risks undermining not just the Israelis, of course, but the +Palestinian Authority and all moderate Palestinians that have +sought to diminish Hamas' role as it has come forward in Gaza. + Also in that regard, we need to be very, very careful of +temptations to tinker in Palestinian politics. We have seen in +recent reports talks about how we can reach out to particular +members of Hamas, and not talk to other members of Hamas; +thereby strengthening the moderates, and putting down the bad +guys. + We have historically been extraordinarily bad at tinkering +in politics. We are not that good at tinkering in our own +politics; we are really quite bad at tinkering in Arab +politics. And that is a dangerous path forward for us. + On the other side, Mr. Burton, you suggested that somehow +these rocket attacks from Gaza and the war should be a reason +to rethink the wisdom of the Israeli withdrawal from Gaza. And +I would only say that this is the Israelis' business. + You talked about Ariel Sharon and his decision, and I think +that is true. There were too many in the United States who +wanted to use U.S. influence to either push the Israelis to +withdraw, or to foresee Israelis not to withdraw. This is an +assessment that they must make, and in fact, they are now +living with the consequences of that decision. It was not our +decision to make. + Today, talking about Gaza, we have not talked enough about +one of the huge sources of the problem, which is Iran. Hamas +would not have rockets to lob anywhere if Iran did not +continually resupply them. Yes, it is true they use the tunnels +and sea routes and other routes, as well. But at the end of the +day, the source of the problem is one that needs to be +addressed by sitting down with the Iranians, as the Obama +administration has indicated it wishes to in the coming months. + I see very little likelihood that this is going to be on +the top of the agenda. On the contrary, what are we going to +talk about? They have said very clearly we are going to talk +about the nuclear weapons program. + So that is a troubling fact
, deg. and something +that I think Congress can play a strong role in pushing back to +the top of the agenda. + Just a quick note on the question of aid to the +Palestinians, because you asked me to talk a little bit about +this. And I think that we have to recognize that the heart of +the problem with aid to the Palestinians, but particularly to +Gaza, lies in UNRWA, the United Nations Relief Works Agency, +which has basically become a wholly-owned subsidiary of Hamas, +in my estimation. + It is propagandist for Hamas. They have 24,000-plus +employees. Compare that, by the way, to the U.N. High +Commissioner for Refugees, which is responsible for refugees +all around the world, which has less than a quarter of that +number of employees. + They are based in Gaza. They do not vet the NGOs with whom +they work. They do not vet their employees. They have allowed +Hamas in the past to manipulate aid. It does not go to the +purposes that we desire. And I think that it is important that +we revisit their role and United States assistance through +them. + One additional note on the role of international +organizations that might be of interest to the Congress and +this committee, which has spoken to this issue many times in +the past. + Mr. Ackerman. I have to ask you to wrap up. + Ms. Pletka. I will wrap up. At the end of January, the +Palestinian Authority granted jurisdiction to the International +Criminal Court for the West Bank and Gaza, and the ICC has now +opened up an investigation into Israeli war crimes in Gaza. I +do not see that as a very productive way for the international +community to go forward. + Last, in wrapping up, I think that we need to recognize +that while Hamas has been a major problem, no one can under- +estimate the problem that it represents. It should not force us +to look at Fatah through rose-colored glasses. This has been +our habit in the past. Oh, well, if Hamas is lousy, then--I am +sorry. If Hamas is lousy, Fatah is better. + It is a cop-out on the part of the United States that we +have failed to focus on governance for the Palestinians, that +we have failed to focus on accountability, that we have failed +to use our aid to try and deliver to the Palestinian people the +kind of things that we would wish to deliver to ourselves: A +responsible, accountable government that actually promises +something that is more important to the day-to-day lives of the +Palestinians than a Palestinian state. And that is just a +little bit of hope for their future, and the future of their +children. + Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + [The prepared statement of Ms. Pletka +follows:] Pletka deg. + + + +
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+ + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. And thank all of our witnesses. + The chair will reannounce that we are going to operate +under the 5-minute rule, and the chair will be less flexible +with the members of the committee than we were with the, with +the panel, in order to keep things moving. And try to keep me +to the 5-minute rule, too, whoever is running these clocks. + A peaceful solution, a two-state solution if you will, +seems difficult, if not impossible, with Hamas as an active +player and Fatah controlling the West Bank. And it seems that a +lot of energies have been spent with all the theories of how +you get them basically unelected. Whether you hobble them, as +the Israelis have attempted to do, or whether you show them +that there is a better alternative in the West Bank, it would +seem that a lot of hope is being placed on an election that +might take place in which they become delegitimized as far as a +part of the government, or the government. + I think that is putting too many of our eggs in one basket. +If Hamas is unelected, do they really go away? If they are a +terrorist organization, do terrorist organizations not exist or +function if they don't hold elective office? Because very few +do, and we seem to be going in that direction in different +places in the world. Or is there a different way to deal with +this? Or how do we deal with this specifically in this case? + And is the problem really, as was pointed out by our last +witness, Iranian-generated? And does that have to be solved +before the Israeli-Palestinian-Hamas problem is resolved? + Historically, everybody says well, all the problems in the +Middle East or the world or the universe, you know, would be +solved if the Israeli-Palestinian problem went away. Do we have +it backwards? Who would like to start? Dr. Asali. Press your +button. + Dr. Asali. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. There are many, many +comments that can be said about this. Fundamentally, I think, +the two-state solution is more or less like democracy; it is +the worst system except for all the others. If anybody gives us +an alternative, we would be very happy to listen to a workable +solution. Just to say that it is not working is not enough. You +have to have an end to the conflict; no conflict goes unended. + So the two-state solution has not been given enough +support, even at the present circumstances, to improve the +situation well enough in the West Bank, under the Palestinian +Authority, with knowing full well that Hamas has not supported +the two-state solution and is not inclined to go along with it. + The problem is------ + Mr. Ackerman. Are you saying deal Hamas out of the two- +state solution? + Dr. Asali. Yes. Hamas has been dealt out. And Hamas +continues to be dealt out, and is not expected not to be dealt +out. What is a problem------ + Mr. Ackerman. That is what you are advocating, as well? + Dr. Asali. I am advocating that, until they accept the +Quartet conditions. I think it makes sense, and I think the +Quartet conditions are simply an affirmation of the commitments +that the PLO, as the governing entity for the Palestinians, has +made, and that should be continued. + What was lacking, unfortunately, was real progress, +palpable progress by the Palestinian people on the ground, and +this has many, many causes. But it could not have happened, +other occupation, without the cooperation of the occupying +powers. And it could not have happened without an improvement +in the governing system in the PA. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. Mr. Makovsky, 30 seconds. + Mr. Makovsky. I agree with Ziad completely with the issue +of Hamas. They need to accept the conditions. + I think if your premise is that the only thing that Hamas +cares about is power, then I am sure accommodations can be +found. I just believe there are a lot of Islamist movements in +the Middle East, and they have a very heartfelt religious +ideology. And I don't think we do ourselves or them any favors +if we short-change--I don't think we do ourselves or them any +favors if we short-change their world view. + And they have been willing, I think we should listen to +what they are saying. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. Ms. Pletka, 30 seconds. + Ms. Pletka. I agree with David. I think it is very +important for us to listen to exactly what they say. This is +not just a political fight, this is an ideological fight. But +we also have a practical battle ahead of us. + You ask a very hard question. One, should we put Iran +first? And the answer to that is no, of course not. We can't +just walk on one path. We have to chew gum and walk. + We need to work toward an Israeli-Palestinian solution. But +we must prioritize the support for terrorism along with Iran's +nuclear weapons program, or we will end up------ + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. + Ms. Pletka [continuing]. Facing this in the rest of the +region. + Mr. Ackerman. Dr. Dunne, 30 seconds, because my time is +running. + Ms. Dunne. Regarding Hamas, I think that our problem as the +United States is we want Hamas to walk the road that the PLO +walked 20 years ago. And Hamas sees very well that the PLO +walked that road, and it failed. And so that is the difficulty +that we face now, is to give the Palestinians some hope in +order to------ + Mr. Ackerman. You are saying it failed because they have no +state? + Ms. Dunne. They failed for two reasons. Because they have +no state, and because also what Ms. Pletka pointed out, +disastrously bad governance and corruption. So they failed on +both of those scores, and that is why we see the popularity of +Hamas now. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. Thank you, my time has run. + Mr. Burton. + Mr. Burton. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. First of all, let me +just say that my view on whether or not Mr. Sharon should have +gone into, or should have given Gaza back to the Palestinians, +that was only my opinion. I certainly would not want to ever +try to interfere or dictate to a foreign government on the +policies that they have. But I did think it was probably an +error, and it did bother me a great deal. + You indicated that there was a disproportionate amount of +pressure put on by the Israeli military when they went in, and +I thought they showed a great deal of restraint. Because the +Hamas militants were using women and children, and hospitals +and mosques as shields against Israeli attacks, and the +Israelis did stop so that they could minimize the civilian +casualties. + There were those who said that they should have pressed on +further, to completely destroy Hamas. But I think they showed a +great deal of restraint, even though there were some +differences of opinion there. + Mr. Makovsky, the Washington Times reports this morning +that Bebe Netanyahu is a likely winner. What is your opinion of +that? And can you give me an answer on why that is the position +they have taken? + And Saul, are you a friend of Saul Singer's? + Mr. Makovsky. I know Saul very well. + Mr. Burton. He used to be my first foreign policy guy, so +would you tell him I said hi? + Mr. Makovsky. Will do. + Mr. Burton. Thanks. + Mr. Makovsky. I would just say on the, if I could say on +the humanitarian part of your question, I think by firing from +civilian areas, Hamas has shown its disregard for human life. +And that put Israel in a very difficult position. + I think one of the lessons Israel, though, has to take from +this is to set up an urban core, where you have designated safe +zones that would be manned by soldiers, so it could not be +exploited by terrorists. + But that is the nature of warfare in the Middle East now, +with these non-state actors, is using urban areas. And that +requires I think some reorganization in Israel. + Mr. Burton. Okay. + Mr. Makovsky. According to Mr. Netanyahu's policy, my +belief is that from what he said, and from the people around +him who I have talked to in the last 24 hours, he is going to +try to have a broad-based government with Ms. Livni of the +Kadima Party, who won the most------ + Mr. Burton. Do you anticipate that he will prevail? + Mr. Makovsky. If I was a Las Vegas odds maker, Congressman, +I would have to say that he will, he will be the next Prime +Minister. + Mr. Burton. Okay. Ms. Pletka, there are several high- +profile delegations going to Syria, Congressional delegations +going to Syria in the next couple of weeks. What do you think +about that? Do you think this is a wise thing to do? + Ms. Pletka. An open-ended question. I never think that it +is wrong
for, I never think it is wrong deg.for +Members of Congress to go on delegations to find out what +foreign leaders are thinking. + The only caution that I would give is not to, not to be +fooled by talk. We are really interested in what the Syrians +are willing to do. Are they continuing to funnel arms to +Hezbollah? Yes, they are. Are they continuing to interfere in +Lebanese politics? Yes, they are. Are they continuing to allow +killers into Iraq? Yes, they are. Have they got a burgeoning +relationship with al Qaeda? Yes, they do. + Mr. Burton. Well, of course. What about Secretary of State +Hillary Clinton has indicated that there is an opportunity for +the Iranian Government to demonstrate a willingness to unclench +their fists, and to begin serious and responsible discussion +about a range of matters. And she goes on to indicate that +there ought to be discussions. + What do you think about discussions with Iran from the +State Department? And do you think that Congressional +delegations ought to be involved in any way in discussing the +situation in the Middle East with any Iranian officials? + Ms. Pletka. I think that Members of Congress should be as +constrained as the State Department is in their discussions +with Iranians. The United States Government and Foreign Service +Officers and political appointees have been talking with the +Iranians for years. Ambassador Khalilzad, Ambassador to +Afghanistan and then to the U.N., had regular meetings with +Iranian counterparts. Ambassador Crocker in Baghdad has been +meeting with them. + I think we should not underestimate the imprimatur that the +United States gives in having meetings with countries, and the +seal of approval that it conveys. If it is, in fact, a change +in position on our part, it should be accompanied by an +expected change in position on the part of the Iranians. We +know what we are looking for; let us see their bona fide. + Mr. Burton. My time is running out. Would any of the others +of you like to make a comment on that? Mr. Asali. + Dr. Asali. If I might just say something in response to the +remarks about the Israeli, what I call disproportionate--two +things. + First off, a kill ratio of 100 to one or an injury ratio of +50 to one is a statistical evidence of something +disproportionate. But there is a humanitarian aspect that is +way too disproportionate. + And also, the first reaction to the attack on Gaza was +blamed by several Arab countries, including the head of the +Palestinian Authority, President Abbas. It is afterwards that +this relentless attack resulted in so much destruction, with TV +pictures all over the place showing it, that they lost support. + Mr. Burton. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. Mr. McMahon. + Mr. McMahon. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for +this fascinating hearing. + If you could speak to the most immediate needs of the +population of Gaza. And is there a humanitarian crisis, or is +the situation stable or just awful? Does the United States have +a bigger role to play in helping the humanitarian side of what +is going on on the ground there? And do we have to then look at +reconstruction and stabilizing the situation, as well? + But what is going on in the daily lives of the people +there, and how are the conditions? + Dr. Asali. First off, if I may, we need to take lessons +from what happened in Lebanon in 2006, where a promise of aid +was never delivered after the invasion. And Hezbollah took +charge of that process, and it changed that help that was +extended to incredible political benefit. + I think this should not be lost, neither on this Congress +nor anywhere else. + Secondly, the present humanitarian condition in Gaza is +just beyond terrible. You know, there are problems with water, +electricity, roads, housing. There are over 50,000 people +without shelter. There is no food; there is not enough food. +There is not enough of anything. And the convoys that are +supposed to carry aid are still restricted by access in every +direction in Gaza. And there is no manufacturing. + The life, the quality of life for the people at every +level--the health, the education--probably is worse than +anywhere in the world now. + This needs to be addressed, in and of itself, as a separate +issue from all the other reconstruction and other developments +that need to work be worked on apolitically. This cannot be +politicized. + UNRWA, I heard some criticism about UNRWA in this panel's +representation. UNRWA is what we have now as a main provider of +help to Gaza. Over 800,000 people depend on the food that, and +other help that is provided by UNRWA. + There are other sources, of course. But this cannot be now +a subject of serious political conversation. Let us get the +humanitarian situation out of hand and controlled. And here +again, we propose that we have the Special U.S. Envoy deal with +this issue promptly with the Quartet. + And we recommend the establishment of an international +community that adds to the Quartet Egypt, which is the +indispensable partner, and the one that can help in a +meaningful way, and whose role has been quite positive. Plus +the Palestinian Authority, which has to take the political +credit for this thing in order to carry this forward. + Mr. McMahon. Mr. Makovsky. + Mr. Makovsky. Yes. I just want to pick over that very last +point. + I think the key thing is that the Palestinian Authority +needs to get the credit. You are all politicians; you +understand the importance of the nature of credit and public +support. And I think that this is crucial. + There is going to be a donors conference in Cairo coming +up, which I think will be key. I just want to say on the issue +of UNRWA, I would be happy to--and I hope you don't see this as +institutional self-promotion--James Lindsay, who was the legal +counsel of UNRWA, wrote a study for us at the Washington +Institute, a very serious, heavily, heavily footnoted study on +UNRWA. + We are not calling for the abolition of UNRWA at all. We +just think that it should focus much more on its humanitarian +mission. And with your permission, I would like to circulate it +to the members of the subcommittee. + Thank you. + Mr. McMahon. Mr. Makovsky, can you speak to the human +conditions in Gaza today? + Mr. Makovsky. Oh, I think that they are, you know, they are +terrible conditions, you know. And Hamas, they brought all this +on them because they cared more about their ideology than +helping their own people. But I don't think that means that we +should stand by. + What I would hope is that the Palestinian Authority could +be at the access point going into Gaza. After they had been +thrown out in 2007, there should be an international effort on +humanitarian assistance and reconstruction. And I think we +should all care about that. + Mr. McMahon. Ms. Pletka, do you wish------ + Ms. Pletka. I wanted to say something quickly. I couldn't +agree more with David. + The humanitarian situation, just to your specific question, +there should be no disagreement about the humanitarian +situation on the ground, nor about the urgency of getting +assistance to the Palestinians. + On the other hand, I do think there is an important role +for the Congress. And this committee and your Senate +counterpart can play a very strong role in ensuring that +American assistance is not manipulated or abused; that it does +not go to terrorist organizations, directly or indirectly. + There are rules right now that are under consideration for +AID that would significantly weaken the vetting process that +goes on to NGOs and their subcontractors. Money has gone to +terrorist groups in the past, and you can stand in the way of +that and ensure that assistance is used effectively, not just +for our interests, but also for the Palestinians. + Mr. McMahon. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Mr. Ackerman. Mr. Inglis. + Mr. Inglis. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I suppose this +question really involves something of a crystal ball for you to +maybe assess what you think the approach would be of the new +coalition that will be formed in Israel, and what their +approach to the peace process would be. Or how would they +approach Gaza. + Anybody want to take a stab at that? Shine up your crystal +ball? + Mr. Makovsky. Well, I think the most likely outcome, +whether Mr. Netanyahu or Ms. Livni is the next Prime Minister, +is a broader-based government led by Likud and Kadima, those +two parties. And you could say well, you need unity if you are +going to move forward. + The issue is, how much can be done? It seems to me that at +the outset earlier and what the chairman said in his remarks +about building a better alternative in the West Bank is part of +the answer. It is not the whole answer. Improving economic +institutions that Tony Blair and Dayton have been working on, +working on the security institutions that Three-Star General +Keith Dayton has been working on in training and equipping +Palestinian security forces, so Israel could pull back to the +September 28 lines, in the year 2000 at the start of the +Intafada. + You know, there will be I am sure some discussion with the +United States and Israel over a letter that was signed in 2004 +between Secretary of State Rice and Mr. Weisglass, who was an +aid of Mr. Sharon, about the binding settlement, you know, to +make sure there is no expansive settlement. It has been a +contentious issue. + I have a view--I don't claim it to be the view of my +institute or of anyone else--but I believe the actual +differences between the parties over land, despite what someone +like, respectfully, I say, former President Carter might think, +the differences are actually very narrow. And I think there is +actually more of a consensus in Israel on this. + The Israelis are just afraid of being blown up, given the +Qassam rockets coming out of Gaza. Because they didn't like the +book in Gaza, they don't want to see the movie in the West +Bank. + So the question is, can you construct the situation where +that you could demarcate the line, and basically end, once and +for all, the problem of settlements, that has been a friction +point since 1967. And say here, here, we now know where the +border is. This will be Palestine, this will be Israel. And it +may move those settlers, but maybe the IDF, the Israeli army, +will have to stand there until the Dayton mission over years +will be able to demonstrate that it could pick up the slack, +and a vacuum will not be filled by terrorists. + I think something to end this ambiguity that has been with +us for so long--sometimes ambiguity can be constructive, +sometimes it is destructive. And I think a focus on the +territorial dimension of this conflict--which everyone thinks +is at the core, and I don't--I think it has been the problem of +not rejecting that Israel's right to exist, for the most part. + But I think the territorial dimension, if you separated it +from the security dimension, in my view actually holds forth +some promise. And it is possible--I am not here making a grand +prediction with a crystal ball--but I think that might be an +area that the United States and Israel could actually engage +upon, because the differences have narrowed between Israelis +and Palestinians on the territory. + The key is security, security, security. + Dr. Asali. If I may, I think there are two election +contests that have just happened. One of them was one in this +country, where there is a clear commitment of the new President +and new administration to energetically get involved with the +Middle East and pursue a two-state solution. + What happened in Israel is still uncertain, of course, in +many ways. But the leader of Israel would have to accommodate +his policies to the policies of the United States in order to +continue the grand strategic relation. And it is hard for me to +imagine that the leader of Israel would oppose the policy of +the United States and stay in charge for very long. + Having said that, I think there are many things that can be +done regardless of what happens. One is improving the political +conversation that is taking place with the Palestinian +Authority, and improving the security and economic situation of +the West Bank. And part of this is to actually empower the +Palestinian Authority by moving forward and forcefully on the +Gaza reconstruction. + There is a proposal by the Prime Minister of Palestine, +Prime Minister Fayyad, to move $600 million to $800 million +through the banking system, a private enterprise solution to +the present crisis in Gaza. That bypasses the difficult and +thorny issues. + There is no question that the Israelis can be cooperative +with that by allowing the money to go in. This has been another +problem with Israel, not allowing actual money to go into Gaza. + So there are many things that can be done on the margins, +as long as the policy approach remains solid toward a two-state +solution. + Mr. Inglis. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Mr. Ackerman. Next, Ms. Berkley. Just so the members know +where they stand for the questioning under the 5 minutes, we +have switched to seniority order on the subcommittee, which is +not necessarily the order people are sitting in right now, to +add to the confusion. + Ms. Berkley, you are next. + Ms. Berkley. I thank you, Mr. Chairman. I have a lot of +questions that I would like to ask, but perhaps by way of +speaking, and then I will ask the questions. + When it comes to rushing aid into Gaza and thinking that we +are going to give credit to the Palestinian Authority, and that +the Palestinians in the Gaza are going to rise up and be, throw +Hamas away because they finally recognize who is helping them, +I think is nonsense. + If Hamas have a whit about the Palestinian people, there +would be peace, and there would have been a two-state solution +long ago. + The reality is that there are many, many trucks getting +through that provide aid, and have equipment and food and +medicine for the Palestinian people living in the Gaza. And we +already know that Hamas has been commandeering these trucks, +and stealing the content, instead of the content going where it +needs to be. + But this is nothing new, and nothing surprising. So more +trucks going in and more aid rushing in doesn't change the +situation on the ground. + Now, I agree with Ms. Pletka. Secretary Rice was sitting +right where you were when she was, when Hamas won the election, +and she stated that American policy was not to give any aid to +Hamas, so the Palestinian people would realize that Hamas was +not where their destiny lie. + But she said we were giving money to the NGOs. And I +remember Mr. Ackerman asking this question, well, how do we +track, how do we know that the money we are giving the NGOs is +actually going to the Palestinian people. Her response took my +breath away, because she said well, she says, we don't actually +know, because we don't have any people on the ground ourselves. +But we know people who know people that tell us that the money +we are giving the NGOs is actually going to the Palestinian +people. + I thought, for a Secretary of State of the only superpower +in the world to say that was absolutely astonishing to me. + And I also agree with you that there is a reason that Hamas +won this election. And it is because Fatah is corrupt and +riddled, riddled with fraud and abuse of the Palestinian +people. + And I would submit to you that the Palestinian people's +problem has nothing to do with money. Because the Quartet, +particularly Europe and the United States, has given billions, +billions of dollars over the last several decades to the +Palestinian people through their leaders. + And I also would submit if the Palestinian Authority wants +additional money, and they definitely need it because the +Palestinian people are suffering, they might track down +Arafat's widow. Because I believe she is living very, very well +on the hundreds of millions of dollars that we have donated to +the Palestinian people. While she is living high on the hog, +they are starving. And that is outrageous to me. + Now, I cannot understand why the Palestinian people are +held to such a low standard. If the Palestinians are ever going +to have a state of their own that is governable, that they can +take their children into a new direction and a new future for +the Palestinian people, they have to get control of their own +destiny. And it can't be constantly with their hat in hand, +asking for the rest of the world to keep bailing them out. + I submit to you that the Palestinian people have to stand +up for themselves, take control of their own destiny, and make +a determination of who their leaders are that are going to move +them into a new future. It is not Fatah. Abu Mazen is a very +weak leader that does not even command the respect of his own +people. That is not America's destiny, and we shouldn't be +hooking up with him. And Hamas is a terrorist organization. + Either way you go, the Palestinian people are the losers. +And until the Palestinian people empower themselves, I don't +see how we have a two-state solution, and I don't see how the +United States partners with either Fatah, and obviously not +Hamas, to help the Palestinian people. + And I am not sure if that is a question, but that certainly +is a statement precipitated by all of your comments. + There is one other question that I wanted, to Ms. Dunne. I +understand some of the measures that you suggested, and I think +they have been tried time and time again. But one in +particular------ + Mr. Ackerman. Your 5 minutes are run. + Ms. Berkley. Thank you very much. + Mr. Ackerman. Mr. Wexler. + Mr. Wexler. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. We all agree that the +United States policy vis-a-vis Hamas should be that we don't +acknowledge, or deal with in any way, until Hamas meets the +Quartet's principles. We agree with it; President Obama agrees +with it; Secretary Clinton agrees with it. + It seems to me, then, the question becomes: How does the +United States participate in a dynamic that either defeats +Hamas or marginalizes it? And that, to me, is the question. + Now, what I have heard from Arab leaders who have dealt +with Hamas over the last several years, and principally in the +last several months--what I hear from them--is that, very +consistent to what has been said here: Listen to what Hamas +says; they are genuine in their expression of their goals. And +the idea that there is a mechanism in which to co-opt Hamas +from a terrorist organization into some type of constructive +political entity is not realistic. + So if they are correct, and our policy remains the same, I +go back to the original question. How, then, do we defeat or +marginalize Hamas. + Before I get there, though, just a few points, if I could. +Respectfully, Ms. Pletka, you are obviously an incredibly +bright, informed, thoughtful person. And I agree with about 80% +of your written testimony. But there are parts of it that I +think undermine, in essence, the position that you take, or at +least I think the position you take. + You say American policy goals should be straightforward: An +end to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict built on a stable +edifice that may, but should not necessarily, include a state +of Palestine. + Well, if the United States is ambivalent in its support of +a two-state solution, we condemn the moderates to fail in that +arena, it would seem to me. + Also, statesmen such as Abu Mazen and Salam Fayyad +represent a new Palestine, supposedly; but rather, they are the +old Palestine that looks better only when compared to Hamas. + Prime Minister Fayyad: I mean, no one is perfect, but the +man has set up a transparent system of accountability that both +the United States, Israel, and others believe in deeply. He is +obviously handicapped in many different respects, but again, to +dismiss the efforts, the ideology, and the perspective of Prime +Minister Fayyad is quite unhelpful and undermines the goal of +what it is we are seeking to achieve. + Dr. Asali, I agree with 90% of what you say. I respect you +enormously. I would respectfully disagree as to the conclusion +with respect to disproportionate force in the context of +Israel's actions. To me, it is a false misnomer. + No nation should act with proportionate force when it is +attacked in the manner in which Israel was attacked by Hamas +repeatedly. And Israel was totally justified in doing what it +did, as catastrophic as the consequences undoubtedly were. + But I do think you make one extremely important point. And +I think those of us, and I would like to think I am one of +them, who are deeply committed to the security, both +professionally, emotionally, and personally, to the state--the +security of the state of Israel--must say, and must say it in +an unequivocal fashion: It is incumbent upon Israel to freeze +settlement activity. While in and of itself that is not the +only part of this equation, the Palestinians have enormous +responsibilities; but the notion that Israel can continue to +expand settlements, whether it be through natural growth or +otherwise, without diminishing the capacity of a two-state +solution, is both unrealistic and, I would respectfully +suggest, hypocritical. + And it is incumbent, in my view, upon the new +administration, along with many other factors, to assist upon +that part of previous agreements. + So to the original question: How do we defeat Hamas? +Please. + Mr. Makovsky. Congressman Wexler, you raise a very +important point. And I would argue that we need a new paradigm +in our relations with our Arab allies, with our friends in the +Arab world; that we cannot let them off the hook. This is the +core. + Whatever we as Americans, or what they, the Israelis, say +about Hamas is one thing. In my view, the only people who could +delegitimize Hamas are Arabs, are Muslims. And we need to make +that point. + I would like to just quote one thing Hosni Mubarak said, a +rare statement--it was right after George Mitchell visited +Cairo, so maybe there is a relationship there. He was speaking +to the Police Academy, I believe, in Egypt. + He says: + + ``The resistance must take into account victories and + losses. It is responsible for the people, who in turn + should settle the score with resistance over the gains + it has achieved, but also the sacrifices, the pain, and + the destruction it has caused.'' + + Ideally, the Arab States should say it is immoral to say, +to engage in terrorism. At minimum, they should say it is +counter-productive. + In my view, until the leadership in these countries +delegitimize what Hamas is doing, we are going to have a very +marginal return on everything else. They are the missing piece +of this puzzle, and I would hope that Congress, with all its +relationships with our Arab friends in Arab capitals around the +world, that the leadership makes this point clear in Arabic, on +Arabic satellite television, together. + I feel that there is really no other alternative. This has +been an area which has not been pushed in the past. + Thank you. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. Mr. Connolly. + Mr. Connolly. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Let me ask the panel +this question first. + In the aftermath of the Israeli military operation in the +Gaza, is Hamas politically stronger today, or weaker? + Dr. Asali. Politically stronger in the West Bank, and +weaker in Gaza, if we are to believe the statistics and what we +hear. And it is significant in that sense. + There has been a war, a propaganda war, global propaganda +war about this issue, and a fight about ideas and about images, +et cetera, et cetera, that has been very effective. And it did +portray the destruction in Gaza as beyond, you know, endurance +in every way. And people were seeing that not just in the West +Bank, everywhere. And that has definitely accrued to the +benefit of Hamas, not just on the West Bank, also in the Arab +world. + On the other hand, you can say that what we hear from +Gaza--and this is supported by the recent surveys, there are +two surveys in fact--the people of Gaza live there. They have +lived what happened, and they have an understanding of how it +started, how it was triggered at least, and they still are +suffering the consequences. So Hamas cannot very readily +convince them by vote. + And I will go back to how we can defeat Hamas. Eventually +this has to be a democratic process. We have to believe in what +we preach. And it is doable. Eventually the Palestinians will +have to vote. The Palestinians must vote at some point in time +to give legitimacy to any kind of a government that comes. + And this is how you, if you want to defeat Hamas, you have +to convince them not that Hamas is offering a dead end, but +that there is another end that actually works. That is why I +cannot say enough about what Congressman Wexler said. You have +to empower the people who are trying to offer the alternative, +as you demand of them the accountability and transparency that +you need. You cannot just say all the Palestinians. + If you say Hamas is terrible and Fatah is terrible, you are +condemning the Palestinians and the Israelis, so there is my +future. + Mr. Connolly. Anyone else on the panel? Yes, Dr. Dunne. + Ms. Dunne. I would like to note that regarding the status +of Hamas in the Arab world, unfortunately it is in the opposite +direction from what Mr. Makovsky suggested it should be. In +other words, the status of Hamas has risen in the Arab world, +and the recognition of Hamas as somehow the legitimate +governing body at least in Gaza, and perhaps the legitimate +representative of the Palestinians. + This is a very unfortunate development. But we saw, for +example, Qatar invited the representative of Hamas to an Arab +summit, instead of the PLO. And this is the result of the +hopelessness about the two-state solution, the sense that it +isn't going anywhere, and it isn't going to go anywhere. + And also, the weakness of the secular nationalist +Palestinian leadership, the PLO and Fatah, which frankly has +not been able to pull itself together in the last few years and +represent, you know, a strong alternative to Hamas. + Mr. Connolly. Mr. Makovsky. + Mr. Makovsky. I will just say very briefly, I mentioned in +my remarks that only 35% of Gazans believe Hamas actually won +the war. + So I know people like to say that Hamas is 10 feet tall. I +don't believe it, given those results. + And Michele is right about that in the Arab satellite +television--which is a key form of communication--they did well +with the publics. But I think it should be pointed out that +President Mubarak, when he understood that national security +interests were at stake, he held the line and didn't call for +Hamas to take over the crossing points. + And that, to me, is the key. The key is leadership at the +top. The public is going to say what it is going to say. And we +should care about that, of course; but we should care no less +that the leadership, in my view, understand and act in concert +when vital issues are at stake. + Because Hamas there, and as, you know, as Danni pointed +out, with Iranian support, this is not in the interest of any +Arab country. They understand very well who Hamas is aligned +to, and I think we need to encourage them to be more clear in +public. They whisper wonderful things in private, to all of us. +But what is important is what is said in Arabic in public to +their own people. They could shape public opinion. + Mr. Connolly. Mr. Makovsky, I only have 30 seconds left. +Could you expand a little bit? You predicted that if you were +in Nevada, you would bet on Netanyahu putting together some +kind of coalition government. + What is that going to look like? And what does that mean +for the peace process moving forward, do you think? + Mr. Makovsky. I think a broader-based government, with +Livni, the Kadima Party, and making her Foreign Minister, maybe +giving one of her colleagues to be the defense minister; you +know, they will cobble together a government. I think there +will be elements more on the more left side of Israel that will +sit it out. But I think that clearly on economic issues--and +this shows that there has been progress. I realize that +everyone can be very disdainful that no progress has been made. + Everyone now thinks it is important to build economic +institutions in the West Bank. Well, let us see that +practically. What does that mean? We, in the United States, +should put forward ideas. + But economics is not enough. There has to be a movement on +the political process, too. The economics won't sustain it. + But I think under the able leadership of Mr. Fayyad, the +Prime Minister who has done fantastic work there, and with +Blair and Dayton and all the other who are on the ground, we +have some foundation to build on. And any new Israeli +Government is going to be receptive to it. + But again, it is not sufficient. I accept the point on the +settlements, and the broader process. But there is something to +build on. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. The chair believes Mr. Ellison +will be back in. In the meantime, we will entertain a second +round of questions for 2 minutes from each of the members, if +that is okay with the panel. + I will turn first to my ranking member. + Mr. Burton. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I just have one +question. + And Syria is the ``headquarters'' for Hamas. Is there any +hope or any indication that discussions between Members of +Congress or the administration with the leadership in Syria, +that we could bring about a change in their attitude toward +Israel and toward stability in the Middle East? And would that +be a worthwhile endeavor, as far as stopping them from being +conduit for weapons getting into Hezbollah and Hamas coming in +from Iran? + In other words, is there any chance that we could have some +reasonable status area if we had discussions with them on a +multi-level basis? + Mr. Makovsky. Sure, if I may very briefly--and Danni Pletka +and I might disagree on this one--but I think it is at least +worth a conversation of a new administration with the +authorities in Syria about peace. + They have to understand what this involves. It is a +realignment of their regional foreign policy. Are they going to +sever their military alliance with Iran? Are they going to stop +missile flow to Hezbollah? That would be a huge windfall, if +they are willing to do basically what Egypt did in the 1970s, +and expel the Hamas and Islamic Jihad offices. + I don't think we know the answer to that. And I am not here +to say that I know the answer, but my view is it doesn't hurt +to have a conversation with the Syrian authorities about that. + Ms. Pletka. David is right, we do disagree. I think that +the problem is not in talking. All of us have enjoyed the +election and talking about talking to our enemies, and we are +done with that now. But let us not fool ourselves. + The prospect that Bashar al-Assad is going to sever his +relationship with Iran and his support for Palestinian so- +called rejectionist groups, like Hamas and Palestinian Islamic +Jihad, cut off the weaponry and everything else to Hezbollah, +and disentangle his own government from interference in +Lebanon--and let us not forget, that is a priority for the +United States--means essentially that he would recast the +entire nature of the Baathist Alawite regime in Damascus. And +certainly I believe it is his estimation that it would be his +downfall. + So what we are really saying is come and lie to us a little +bit so we can move forward with you, and we can put in place +the elements of this great, great game, which all the dominoes +fall into place. And we talk to Iran, we isolate them. We +isolate the Palestinians, we cut off Syria. I am sorry, forgive +me, I have been doing this a little bit too long. It is not +credible. + We can go in with an open mind, but for goodness sakes, let +us not engage in fantasy. + Mr. Ackerman. Mr. Makovsky, in discussing reconstruction +you noted the enormous potential of the wealthy Gulf States, +and you urge the U.S. to seek their involvement in the process. + What price do you think we would have to pay them in order +to get their whole-hearted and open-handed support? And what do +they need to make contributions worthwhile politically? + Mr. Makovsky. I am not sure I know the answer. But I mean, +they who are the biggest advocates, in theory at least, of +Palestinian nationalism, should at least be supportive of their +brethren. That has not often been the case. + The things they could do are not just in Gaza. But if they +could just do large-scale housing construction projects in the +West Bank, I think they would help the Palestinian Authority +enormously. + And my view is we just shouldn't let them off the hook. +They are very happy to hold our coats and see us pressure the +parties. But I think we should just be more insistent than we +have been in the past on their participation. That means +economic participation; that means their political +persuasion , deg. and their use of the public bully +pulpit to make its views clear on which parties are bringing us +closer to a two-state solution, and which ones are bringing us +farther away. + And I think because of maybe other priorities we have had, +and maybe the price of oil and all sorts of issues, we have not +been energetic in dealing with the Gulf States. And I would +hope that would change with the Obama administration. + Mr. Ackerman. The interesting statistics that have been +cited as to who believes Hamas won the war, with that +indication saying that was a more popular notion in the West +Bank than in Gaza, I guess is because the people in Gaza have +to live with the reality, and the people in the West Bank can +live with the romance. + In a year from now, what does that poll show? + Dr. Asali. Well, we hope, and we hope this committee and +this administration in general, would contribute to answering +that question in the right direction. + I think a commitment to improving the situation in the West +Bank, and here I cannot but emphasize how positive the role of +General Dayton and his security forces buildup has been +important in order to bolster the safety and security of the +Palestinian people, which would in turn make it possible to +make economic improvements. And all this within the context of +a political horizon would be the way to point for the future +elections if it is held, let us say 1 year from now. + The Palestinian people cannot but see some kind of an +improvement on the ground if they are going to be voting the +way you want them to vote. We hope that they would vote. + Settlement freeze, unquestionably, because it undercuts the +credibility of the two-state solution. And this is a political, +as well as a practical, step that can be taken. + Secondly, withdrawal from cities, and you know, David has +already alluded to that one the 8th of September, and access +and mobility, improvement of these things. This is not just +talk; this is the way people live. + I understand pork in this country. I think we all +understand pork in this country. Well, pork is everywhere. If +you do not give pork to the people of Palestine, then how can +they possibly respond to the kind of politicians and add to +that the accusation------ + Mr. Ackerman. This is the Muslim explaining to a Jew why +pork is necessary? [Laughter.] + It works, doesn't it? I think it is the grease. + Mr. Makovsky. I would just add very briefly to Ziad's +answer of two specific programs that I think, and if Congress +would undertake to help out on the West Bank. + The United States Customs Service in different countries +has a container initiative program to seal containers for +export. In my view, if this was done in the West Bank, and +working with the Israeli authorities as well, that the Israelis +didn't have to worry that there are bombs and there are et +cetera, it could fast-track Palestinian exports. And exports +have been a huge problem. + The second element is biometrics at crossing points that +could ensure that movement and access is upgraded. + So my whole premise is, how do you improve Palestinian +institutions and better life, and not at the expense of Israeli +security? I don't believe it has to be a zero-sum game. + And Mr. Chairman, in mentioning your remarks, I think it is +interesting there were virtually no demonstrations in the West +Bank during the Gaza initiative. So I think that is an +interesting sidelight. + Mr. Ackerman. Were there no demonstrations? Or were they +tamped down? + Dr. Asali. There were demonstrations, but they were ruly +and orderly. + Mr. Ackerman. Anybody else want to answer the underlying +question? + Ms. Dunne. Mr. Chairman, I would like to add a point. I +think we need to be realistic about the need for a stronger and +more unified nationalist leadership on the Palestinian side. + All of these things that we are speaking of--improving +economic conditions, freezing settlement movement and so +forth--all of this can help, but none of it will be enough if +Fatah is not able to pull itself together in some way. Because +that was one of the reasons why they lost the 2006 elections, +in addition to the greater credibility that Hamas had in some +ways, also Fatah was extremely disorganized. And we have seen +that continue. + Despite good leadership of the Palestinian Authority on the +ground by Prime Minister Fayyad and President Abbas, we still +have seen a failure of political organization and unity. The +Fatah has been trying to organize a general conference to +renovate its leadership and so forth, and has failed to do so. + So this is a continuing problem that we have to be aware of +and be realistic about. + Mr. Ackerman. Thank you. Mr. Ellison. + Mr. Ellison. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Mr. Makovsky, could you identify for us which +organizations, which international aid organizations have the +experience, the infrastructure, the wherewithal to deliver aid +in Gaza? + Mr. Makovsky. I don't feel that I am qualified. I mean, a +lot of them, I think there was just $20 million that the United +States gave through the International Red Cross and some of the +other NGOs. I don't think people are questioning the ability of +these organizations so identified by the United States. + Mr. Ellison. I only ask you because the issue of UNRWA has +come up. And I just want to know, do you believe they are one +of the groups that are effective at delivering aid in Gaza? + Mr. Makovsky. Well, as I said before, and I will say it +again, I feel that UNRWA has an important humanitarian mission. +And my hope would be it would focus on its humanitarian +mission. + I think there are some other parts that it has evolved +into, that were not in its original mission when UNRWA was +formed. And I think it has strayed into those areas. And I +think the goal is not to abolish it, but to make it more +effective. And I think that should be the hope. + Mr. Ellison. Thank you. I am curious to know your views on +the Israeli election. Obviously things are so well settled, it +is pretty tough to know what is exactly going to happen. + But in my reading and research, I have run across documents +which seem to suggest that Mr. Netanyahu does not necessarily +support the two-state solution. Could you give me a better +reading of whether some of those documents that I read are +accurate, whether they are not accurate? And if he doesn't +support the two-state solution, what does that mean in terms of +the U.S. policy? + Mr. Makovsky. I think here it is going to be what sort of +government is configured. If there is a broad-based government, +I think there is hope. Ms. Livni is a very passionate advocate +for a two-state solution. + And to be fair to Mr. Netanyahu, who said, well, he +wouldn't talk to Yasser Arafat, I remember when he was in the +opposition in 1996. Well, when he won, he met with Arafat +within 100 days of taking office. And he is the one also, when +there was an issue of Hebron--Hebron is one of the most +religiously charged cities--and he was the one who reached an +agreement there. + So I don't think we should disqualify people. But I do +think the constellation of power is important, and there is no +doubt, I would have more confidence, in terms of his own rule +as part of a broader-based government. I think if he leads a +narrow government, frankly I am very concerned. I do not think +this will be a walk in the park in terms of United States- +Israel relations in the future. + But I don't think he wants to go that way. And he said +publicly it would be wrong for him to go that way, and this is +one of his biggest regrets when he was in power in the 1990s. + Mr. Ellison. So Mr. Asali, do you have any views on the +same question I just put to Mr. Makovsky? So let me just +tighten it up. + If Mr. Netanyahu is the Prime Minister, and given some of +the things he is reported to have said--and I can't say he said +them to me, so I don't know if he said them or not, I just know +what I read--how does the position that he hasn't affirmed the +two-state solution square with the U.S. policy embracing the +two-state solution? + Dr. Asali. Well, I think I discussed this earlier about +having two elections that matter. One of them was the election +in the United States where President Obama is clearly committed +to a two-state solution, and his administration is. And there +is no doubt in my mind that the agenda of the United States is, +should I say carries more weight than a local agenda anywhere +when it comes to discussions about international interests. + I imagine that Mr. Netanyahu would have to adjust his +thinking or his campaign rhetoric or his previous position to +come to some terms with the President of the United States if +he is going to have any relations that are meaningful. + Mr. Ellison. And Ms. Dunne, could you offer some views on +some of the comments that Mr. Netanyahu has said, reported in +the press? Again, I haven't talked to him, so I don't know if +he said this, but he reportedly said he wasn't in favor of +negotiating land for peace with Syria on the Golan. Are you +familiar with those comments? + Ms. Dunne. Actually, I am probably less an expert on +Netanyahu's statements than Mr. Makovsky. + Mr. Ellison. Well, let us go back to Mr. Makovsky, then. + Mr. Makovsky. Like, here is welcome to the Middle East, you +know. + Mr. Ellison. Right. + Mr. Makovsky. Because Mr. Netanyahu said that, and he went +up to the Golan Heights when he said it. + But the same Mr. Netanyahu, through a cosmetics executive +by the name of Ronald Water, in 1998 actually cut a back-door +deal. Well, it was awaiting a signature. And it was a fellow +named Ariel Sharon who was then his Foreign Minister who +squashed it. + I think there is speculation in Washington and a lot of +capitals that Mr. Netanyahu, if he is going to surprise us, +will surprise us on the Syria track because there the issues +are much more clear-cut. Given what was said before about Iran +and Hezbollah, the regional benefits, the biggest cheerleaders +in Israel for talks with Syria are the Israeli military. + And given his track record in 1998 and the fact that Mr. +Sharon tragically is not around to stop it, I don't think we +could rule out that what Mr. Netanyahu said on the campaign +trail and what he does in office may be two separate things. + Mr. Ellison. Am I all done, Mr. Chairman? Okay. + Now, we have now a three-state situation, not a two-state. +What position should the United States take regarding +Palestinian unity talks? + I mean, one of the interesting things that is going on here +is that if the United States or Israel's--I mean, if Mr. +Mahmoud Abbas said I will sign any document you put in front of +me, he still couldn't speak for all the Palestinian people. +What does that mean, going forward? Ms. Dunne, do you care to +offer a view on that? + Ms. Dunne. Thank you, Congressman. I think you have raised +an extremely important point, Congressman, that this lack of +Palestinian unity, lack of unified leadership is a serious +problem moving forward. + I am not an advocate of direct U.S. engagement with Hamas, +which we consider to be a terrorist organization. But I do +think the United States has become gradually more supportive of +efforts by Egypt, for example, to get Fatah and Hamas talking +to each other, and to try to work out some sort of unified +arrangement. + There is the possibility of some kind of a technocratic +type of Palestinian Government, or a government that would not +bring senior leaders of Hamas into major positions. + Probably some kind of arrangement like this needs to be +worked out so that there can be a restoration of some semblance +of connection or unity between the West Bank and Gaza once +again and so that the Palestinians eventually can move toward +elections, hopefully under a situation where there is a much +more hopeful prospect for realization of the two-state solution +and so forth. + But all of this is going to take some time. And the United +States, I also agree with what Ms. Pletka said in terms of the +United States not really being able or being very good at +getting in and trying to re-engineer Palestinian politics +directly. + Mr. Ellison. Mr. Asali, do you want to talk on this? + Dr. Asali. Yes, thank you. This and many other issues have +really been dealt with in our long document, and I recommend +for people who have time to read it. + I think the idea that a unity government that would repeat +the Mecca Agreement that would be rejected by the international +community is a non-starter. We do not want to have a +Palestinian Government again in a position where it is in its +entirety rejected by the international community. + What can be done, and what is being considered as far as I +know, is what is called a national accord government, whereby +you have individuals who are supported by Fatah or Hamas or +whatever, who would be on that, who would serve on that +government without direct participation, either Fatah or Hamas, +as partisans. Which would have two assignments. One is work on +the relief and reconstruction business; two is prepare for +elections. + I think this is not an entirely bad idea. I think it is +something that most people can live with. And I think this is +something that the Egyptians are working very hard to put +together. We will see how this jells in the next few days in +Cairo. And I think that the United States has to commit itself +to the idea that a two-state solution is appropriate; that +elections to validate whatever agreement that eventually are +subjected to the Palestinian people through negotiations, is +the way to go. + If that is acceptable, then we can make progress, I think. + Mr. Ellison. What progress can we make in terms of opening +up the crossings? As I understand from things I have read from +UNRWA, there is about 120 trucks going through the Karni +Crossing now, and they need about 700 a day. + Dr. Asali. Yes. + Mr. Ellison. What can be done to get that, the aid flowing +to the degree that it needs to be? Mr. Asali, do you want to +address it? + Dr. Asali. First off, I just want to, I want to say that +these are the statistics, the accurate statistics that all of +us have. And I think there is, you know, with all due respect, +there is a problem still with delivering these trucks. And it +is all tied into the security issues or the explanation that it +is a security issue. + We said there are two separate issues that have to be dealt +with immediately. One is the humanitarian relief. You cannot +have people not have enough to eat or drink, or have their +daily needs, day-to-day life, hospital, et cetera. You cannot +have that, and accept it, and accept any kind of political +explanation for that. Those kinds of things have to be dealt +with with these kinds of organizations that we talked about: +UNRWA, CHF, et cetera, et cetera. All of them have to have +enough. + And they have the statistics. They know how many trucks are +needed. And the materials that Israel would let go through. All +these things have to be done, and done quickly. + The other is reconstruction. + Mr. Ellison. Last one. Mr. Makovsky, if we, if Israel could +open up those Karni Crossings, and if they had the scanning +material that they needed to make sure there was no contraband +coming in, wouldn't that make the security issue on the border +easier? Because then you could assume that, you know, any non- +humanitarian goods-and-service-type stuff in those tunnels is +probably up to no good. + Mr. Makovsky. I think you raise a very good point. Once you +make the distinction between, that it be clear that anything +that goes through the tunnels is patently illegal, I think that +is a very good idea. + I just think the Palestinian Authority should be the one +manning those crossing points to get the credit. But I +certainly believe humanitarian assistance, which Israel says it +is doing, that whatever can be done is intensified. + Mr. Ackerman. Unless anybody has an immediate solution to +the problem in the Middle East and the funding, this committee +will be adjourned. + [Whereupon, at 11:43 a.m., the subcommittee hearing was +adjourned.] + + + + + A P P E N D I X + + ---------- + + + Material Submitted for the Hearing Record Hearing notice deg. + + + + ---------- + +
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