diff --git "a/data/CHRG-116/CHRG-116hhrg35268.txt" "b/data/CHRG-116/CHRG-116hhrg35268.txt" new file mode 100644--- /dev/null +++ "b/data/CHRG-116/CHRG-116hhrg35268.txt" @@ -0,0 +1,6551 @@ + + - GRADUALLY RAISING THE MINIMUM WAGE TO $15: GOOD FOR WORKERS, GOOD FOR BUSINESSES, AND GOOD FOR THE ECONOMY +
+[House Hearing, 116 Congress]
+[From the U.S. Government Publishing Office]
+
+
+                    GRADUALLY RAISING THE MINIMUM
+                     WAGE TO $15: GOOD FOR WORKERS,
+                     GOOD FOR BUSINESSES, AND GOOD
+                            FOR THE ECONOMY
+
+=======================================================================
+
+                                HEARING
+
+                               BEFORE THE
+
+                         COMMITTEE ON EDUCATION
+                               AND LABOR
+                     U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
+
+                     ONE HUNDRED SIXTEENTH CONGRESS
+
+                             FIRST SESSION
+
+                               ----------                              
+
+            HEARING HELD IN WASHINGTON, DC, FEBRUARY 7, 2019
+
+                               ----------                              
+
+                            Serial No. 116-2
+
+                               ----------                              
+
+      Printed for the use of the Committee on Education and Labor
+      
+ [GRAPHIC NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]     
+
+
+           Available via the World Wide Web: www.govinfo.gov
+                                   or
+              Committee address: https://edlabor.house.gov
+
+
+                               __________
+                               
+
+                    U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE                    
+36-268 PDF                  WASHINGTON : 2019                     
+          
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
+For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office, 
+http://bookstore.gpo.gov. For more information, contact the GPO Customer Contact Center,
+U.S. Government Publishing Office. Phone 202-512-1800, or 866-512-1800 (toll-free).
+E-mail, [email protected].        
+
+
+
+                    COMMITTEE ON EDUCATION AND LABOR
+
+             ROBERT C. ``BOBBY'' SCOTT, Virginia, Chairman
+
+Susan A. Davis, California           Virginia Foxx, North Carolina,
+Raul M. Grijalva, Arizona            Ranking Member
+Joe Courtney, Connecticut            David P. Roe, Tennessee
+Marcia L. Fudge, Ohio                Glenn Thompson, Pennsylvania
+Gregorio Kilili Camacho Sablan,      Tim Walberg, Michigan
+  Northern Mariana Islands           Brett Guthrie, Kentucky
+Frederica S. Wilson, Florida         Bradley Byrne, Alabama
+Suzanne Bonamici, Oregon             Glenn Grothman, Wisconsin
+Mark Takano, California              Elise M. Stefanik, New York
+Alma S. Adams, North Carolina        Rick W. Allen, Georgia
+Mark DeSaulnier, California          Francis Rooney, Florida
+Donald Norcross, New Jersey          Lloyd Smucker, Pennsylvania
+Pramila Jayapal, Washington          Jim Banks, Indiana
+Joseph D. Morelle, New York          Mark Walker, North Carolina
+Susan Wild, Pennsylvania             James Comer, Kentucky
+Josh Harder, California              Ben Cline, Virginia
+Lucy McBath, Georgia                 Russ Fulcher, Idaho
+Kim Schrier, Washington              Van Taylor, Texas
+Lauren Underwood, Illinois           Steve Watkins, Kansas
+Jahana Hayes, Connecticut            Ron Wright, Texas
+Donna E. Shalala, Florida            Daniel Meuser, Pennsylvania
+Andy Levin, Michigan*                William R. Timmons, IV, South 
+Ilhan Omar, Minnesota                    Carolina
+David J. Trone, Maryland             Dusty Johnson, South Dakota
+Haley M. Stevens, Michigan
+Susie Lee, Nevada
+Lori Trahan, Massachusetts
+Joaquin Castro, Texas
+* Vice-Chair
+
+                   Veronique Pluviose, Staff Director
+                 Brandon Renz, Minority Staff Director
+                                 
+                                 
+                               ------                                
+                         
+                         
+                         C  O  N  T  E  N  T  S
+
+                              ----------                              
+                                                                   Page
+
+Hearing held on February 7, 2019.................................     1
+
+Statement of Members:
+    Scott, Hon. Robert C. ``Bobby'', Chairman, Committee on 
+      Education and Labor........................................     1
+        Prepared statement of....................................     4
+    Foxx, Hon. Virginia, Ranking Member, Committee on Education 
+      and Labor..................................................     6
+        Prepared statement of....................................     8
+
+Statement of Witnesses:
+    Barron, Ms. Simone, Seattle, WA..............................   148
+        Prepared statement of....................................   150
+    Brodeur, Dr. Paul A., ESQ., State Representative, 32nd 
+      Middlesex District, Commonwealth of Massachusetts House of 
+      Representatives............................................   202
+        Prepared statement of....................................   204
+    Gupta, Ms. Vanita, President and CEO, The Leadership 
+      Conference on Civil and Human Rights.......................   135
+        Prepared statement of....................................   138
+    Eckhouse, Ms. Kathy, Owner, La Quercia, Norwalk, IA..........   153
+        Prepared statement of....................................   155
+    Holtz-Eakin, Dr. Douglas, President, American Action Forum, 
+      Washington, DC.............................................    36
+        Prepared statement of....................................    38
+    Reich, Dr. Michael, PH.D., Professor, University of 
+      California, Berkley, CA....................................   169
+        Prepared statement of....................................   172
+    Spriggs, Dr. William E., Professor, Department of Economics, 
+      and Chief Economist, Howard University and AFL-CIO, 
+      Washington, DC.............................................     9
+        Prepared statement of....................................    12
+    Strain, Dr. Michael R., PH.D. Director of Economic Policy 
+      Studies,, and Resident John G. Searle Scholar, American 
+      Enterprise Institute, Washington, DC.......................   158
+        Prepared statement of....................................   160
+    Wise, Mr. Terrence, Shift Manager, McDonald's, Independence, 
+      MO.........................................................    31
+        Prepared statement of....................................    33
+    Zipperer, Dr. Ben, Economist Policy Institute, Washington, DC    48
+        Prepared statement of....................................    50
+
+Additional Submissions:
+    Adams, Hon. Alma S., a Representative in Congress from the 
+      State of North Carolina:
+        Letter dated February 5, 2019 from the Economic Policy 
+          Institute..............................................   210
+        Letter dated February 6, 2019 from the Economic Policy 
+          Institute..............................................   211
+        Article: House Health Bill Would Lead to Less Coverage, 
+          Higher Patient Costs...................................   263
+        Statement from Rowe-Finkbeiner, Kristin, Executive 
+          Director and CEO of MomsRising.org.....................   265
+        Statement from the National Disability Rights Network 
+          Opposes American Health Care Act.......................   267
+    Bonamici, Hon. Suzanne, a Representative in Congress from the 
+      State of Oregon:
+        Letter dated February 5, 2019 from the Women's Coalition.    81
+    Courtney, Hon. Joe, a Representative in Congress from the 
+      State of Connecticut:
+        Letter dated February 1, 2019 from OXFAM.................    72
+        Article: Hartford HealthCare to Raise Minimum Wage to $15 
+          Across Health Network..................................   269
+    Davis, Hon. Susan A., a Representative in Congress from the 
+      State of California:
+        Letter dated February 6, 2019 from AAUW..................   273
+    Mrs. Foxx:
+        Article: Seattle Small Businesswoman.....................   276
+        Letter dated February 5, 2019 from the National 
+          Restaurant Association.................................   278
+        Letter dated February 5, 2019 from NFIB..................   280
+        Replacing Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance with 
+          Government-Financed Coverage...........................   282
+    Grijalva, Hon. Raul M., a Representative in Congress from the 
+      State of Arizona:
+        Report: Minimum Wages and the Distribution of Family 
+          Incomes in the United States...........................    60
+    Jayapal, Hon. Pramila, a Representative in Congress from the 
+      State of Washington:
+        Prepared statement from Asian and Pacific Islander 
+          American Health Forum (APIAHF).........................   318
+    Lee, Hon. Susie, a Representative in Congress from the State 
+      of Nevada:
+        Letter date January 28, 2019 from First Focus Campaign 
+          for Children...........................................   114
+    Levin, Hon. Andy, a Representative in Congress from the State 
+      of Michigan:
+        Letter date January 31, 2019 from AFL-CIO................   102
+        Letter date January 15, 2019 from Disability Groups......   223
+    Morelle, Hon. Joseph D., a Representative in Congress from 
+      the State of New York:
+        Link: National Council on Disability.....................   229
+    Norcross, Hon. Donald, a Representative in Congress from the 
+      State of New Jersey:
+        Letter dated February 6, 2019 for Communications Workers 
+          of America.............................................   323
+    Chairman Scott:
+        Fact Sheet: National Employment Law Project..............   132
+        Business For A Fair Minimum Wage.........................   250
+        Link: (Economic Policy Institute)........................   249
+        Letter from The Episcopal Church.........................   324
+        Undersigned Organizations................................   325
+        Tipped Wage Effects on Earnings and Employment in Full-
+          Service Restaurants....................................   339
+        Faith-based Organizations Support The Raise the Wage Act 
+          of 2019................................................   365
+        Letter dated January 15, 2019, from the National 
+          Disability Rights Network..............................   367
+        Letter dated February 4, 2019 from the National Urban 
+          League.................................................   369
+        Article: Leaked Documents Show Strong Business Support 
+          for Raising the Minimum Wage...........................   371
+        Link: Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics (CWED)......   373
+        Link: NBER Working Paper Series..........................   373
+    Takano, Hon. Mark, a Representative in Congress from the 
+      State of California:
+        Statement from the Center for American Progress..........    88
+    Underwood, Hon. Lauren, a Representative in Congress from the 
+      State of Illinois:
+        Letter dated February 7, 2019 from Advocate Aurora Health   245
+    Questions submitted for the record by:
+        Davis, Hon. Susan A., a Representative in Congress from 
+          the State of California................................   379
+        Fudge, Hon. Marcia L., a Representative in Congress from 
+          the State of Ohio 
+
+
+
+        Hayes, Hon. Jahana, a Representative in Congress from the 
+          State of Connecticut...................................   379
+        Lee, Hon. Susie, a Representative in Congress from the 
+          State of Nevada........................................   383
+        Chairman Scott 
+
+
+
+
+        Trahan, Hon. Lori, a Representative in Congress from the 
+          State of Massachusetts.................................   375
+    Responses to questions submitted for the record:
+        .........................................................
+        Mr. Brodeur..............................................   384
+        Ms. Eckhouse.............................................   386
+        Dr. Reich................................................   387
+        Mr. Spriggs..............................................   393
+        Dr. Zipperer.............................................   396
+
+ 
+                   GRADUALLY RAISING THE MINIMUM WAGE
+                   TO $15: GOOD FOR WORKERS, GOOD FOR
+                  BUSINESSES, AND GOOD FOR THE ECONOMY
+
+                              ----------                              
+
+
+                       Thursday, February 7, 2019
+
+                       House of Representatives,
+
+                   Committee on Education and Labor,
+
+                            Washington, DC.
+
+                              ----------                              
+
+    The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:17 a.m., in 
+room 2175, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Robert C. 
+``Bobby'' Scott (chairman of the committee) presiding.
+    Present: Representatives Scott, Davis, Grijalva, Courtney, 
+Fudge, Sablan, Bonamici, Takano, Adams, DeSaulnier, Norcross, 
+Jayapal, Morelle, Wild, Harder, McBath, Schrier, Underwood, 
+Hayes, Shalala, Levin, Omar, Trone, Stevens, Lee, Trahan, 
+Castro, Foxx, Roe, Thompson, Walberg, Guthrie, Grothman, 
+Stefanik, Allen, Smucker, Banks, Walker, Comer, Cline, Fulcher, 
+Taylor, Watkins, Wright, Meuser, Timmons, and Johnson.
+    Staff present: Tylease Alli, Chief Clerk; Nekea Brown, 
+Deputy Clerk; Ilana Brunner, General Counsel; David Dailey, 
+Senior Counsel; Emma Eatman, Press Aide; Mishawn Freeman, Staff 
+Assistant; Carrie Hughes, Director of Health and Human 
+Services; Eli Hovland, Staff Assistant; Eunice Ikene, Labor 
+Policy Advisor; Ariel Jona, Staff Assistant; Kimberly 
+Knackstedt, Disability and Education Policy Advisor; Stephanie 
+Lalle, Deputy Communications Director; Bertram Lee, Policy 
+Counsel; Andre Lindsay, Staff Assistant; Richard Miller, 
+Director of Labor Policy; Max Moore, Office Aide; Udochi 
+Onwubiko, Labor Policy Counsel; Veronique Pluviose, Staff 
+Director; Carolyn Ronis, Civil Rights Counsel; Dianna 
+Ruskowsky, Finance and Personnel Advisor; Banyon Vassar, Deputy 
+Director of Information Technology; Cyrus Artz, Minority 
+Parliamentarian; Marty Boughton, Minority Press Secretary; 
+Courtney Butcher, Minority Coalitions and Members Services 
+Coordinator; Akash Chougule, Minority Professional Staff 
+Member; Rob Green, Minority Director of Workforce Policy; John 
+Martin, Minority Workforce Policy Counsel; Sarah Martin, 
+Minority Professional Staff Member; Hannah Matesic, Minority 
+Legislative Operations Manager; Kelley McNabb, Minority 
+Communications Director; Alexis Murray, Minority Professional 
+Staff Member; Brandon Renz, Minority Staff Director; Ben 
+Ridder, Minority Legislative Assistant; Meredith Schellin, 
+Minority Deputy Press Secretary and Digital Advisor; Heather 
+Wadyka, Minority Staff Assistant; and Lauren Williams, Minority 
+Professional Staff Member.
+    Chairman Scott. The Committee on Education and Labor will 
+come to order. I want to welcome everyone today and note that a 
+quorum is present. The committee meeting today is a legislative 
+hearing on testimony on ``Gradually Raising the Minimum Wage to 
+$15: Good for Workers, Good for Businesses, and Good for the 
+Economy.''
+    Pursuant to committee rule 7(c), opening statements are 
+limited to the chair and ranking member. This allows us more 
+time to hear from our witnesses and provides members more time 
+to ask questions. I recognize myself now for the purpose of 
+making an opening statement.
+    Today we are here for a legislative hearing on the Raise 
+the Wage Act, H.R. 582, a proposal to gradually raise the 
+minimum wage to $15 an hour. I want to welcome and thank our 
+distinguished witnesses for being with us today and for 
+agreeing to testify.
+    Raising the minimum wage is one of the most hotly contested 
+and intensely studied of all labor practices. All the time and 
+research dedicated to this topic has produced a clear 
+consensus: Gradually raising the minimum wage is good for 
+workers, who experience a better standard of living; good for 
+businesses, which benefit from having more customers and less 
+turnover; and good for the economy, which is strongest when we 
+lift working people out of poverty and build a thriving middle 
+class.
+    Before we discuss where we are going, it is important to 
+reflect on where we are today. After 10 years of no increase in 
+the Federal minimum wage, minimum wage workers have suffered a 
+17 percent pay cut due to inflation. Today's minimum wage 
+workers making $7.25 an hour have less buying power than the 
+minimum wage worker had in the 1960's.
+    The result is that the Federal minimum wage is no longer 
+serving its purpose. According to a recent study, there is no 
+place in America where a full-time worker who is paid the 
+current Federal minimum wage can afford a modest two-bedroom 
+apartment. One in nine American workers are paid wages that 
+leave them in poverty even if they worked full time year-round. 
+An individual earning the current minimum wage working full 
+time earns only about $15,080 a year, less than the Federal 
+poverty level for a family of two.
+    Do we have a chart?
+    This shows the poverty level and it shows the median wage 
+and where the minimum wage has been.
+    My Republican colleagues are eager to warn the so-called 
+consequences of raising the minimum wage to $15, but they 
+ignore the consequences of inaction over the last 10 years.
+    If Congress fails to raise the minimum wage by mid-June it 
+will be longest period of time without an increase since the 
+Federal minimum wage was created 80 years ago. During that 
+time, millions of workers working full time have been forced to 
+live in poverty. The only radical thing about the bill is it is 
+so long overdue.
+    By several standards, the proposal is a reasonable approach 
+in restoring the value of the minimum wage. First, the erosion 
+of the minimum wage after adjustments for inflation has meant 
+that over the last five decades workers at the low end of the 
+scale have drifted further away from the middle class.
+    As the chart on the screen indicates, in 1968--back to the 
+same chart--the inflation-adjusted minimum wage used to be a 
+little over 50 percent of the median hourly worker's wages for 
+an individual working full time. Now, at $7.25 an hour, it is 
+just a third of the median wage.
+    Had the 1968 minimum wage simply grown with the rate of 
+increases in average wages, it would be $12 and 6 million fewer 
+people would be living in poverty.
+    Second, the minimum wage has not kept up with increases in 
+productivity. Between 1973 and 2017, workers' productivity grew 
+by 77 percent while their wages grew by 12 percent. The 
+widening gap in how much workers produce and how much they are 
+paid is one major factor contributing to the historic income 
+inequality we experience today.
+    If the minimum wage had kept up with worker productivity, 
+it would be about $20 an hour today. Workers do not just 
+deserve higher pay, they have earned that higher pay.
+    Finally, by the time the minimum wage reaches $15 an hour 
+in 2024, an individual working full time with a family, 
+including two children, will finally be able to earn enough to 
+exceed the poverty threshold for a family of four.
+    We now have an opportunity--and a responsibility--to 
+restore the value of the minimum wage, lifting millions of 
+hardworking people out of poverty, and grow the economy in Main 
+Street America.
+    The Raise the Wage Act does three things. First, it 
+gradually increases the minimum wage in six steps to $15 by 
+2024. Second, it ensures every worker covered by the law is 
+paid at least the full minimum wage by creating one fair wage 
+for all workers. Third, by tying future increases to median 
+wages, the bill ensures that future increases in the Federal 
+minimum wage are determined by economics and not politics.
+    A report published this week by the Economic Policy 
+Institute details the sweeping benefits this bill will have for 
+workers across the country. For example, if we pass the Raise 
+the Wage Act, close to 40 million workers will receive a raise, 
+including two-thirds of America's working poor and parents of 
+over 14 million children.
+    This bill will stimulate the local economy across the 
+country. Whereas the Republican tax bill gave the largest 
+benefits to those who needed it the least, this puts money 
+directly in the hands of those who are most likely to spend it 
+in their communities. Over the 6-year phase-in period, the 
+increase in the minimum wage should generate about $120 billion 
+in additional wages, which will flow back into local 
+businesses.
+    Every time we propose raising the minimum wage, 
+unfortunately, opponents repeat a similar set of talking points 
+that have been repeated and contradicted by evidence and 
+research.
+    Today, I am confident that we will hear dire predictions 
+about job losses that will result from gradually raising the 
+minimum wage, but the overwhelming majority of research from 
+both left-and right-leaning labor economists find few, if any, 
+job loss when we gradually raise the minimum wage.
+    For example, a widely acclaimed study published by the 
+National Bureau of Economic Research and coauthored by one of 
+our witnesses examined 138 minimum wage increases between 1979 
+and 2016. This study found that the overall number of low wage 
+jobs remained essentially unchanged over 5 years following the 
+increase, and there was no evidence of disemployment when 
+considering higher levels of minimum wage.
+    The evidence clearly demonstrates that the Raise the Wage 
+Act is a reasonable proposal and will lift millions of workers 
+out of poverty.
+    We now hear calls for a regional minimum wage, but, 
+unfortunately, the reality is, by 2024, $15 an hour is the 
+least a person would need to afford the basic essentials 
+anyplace in America. According to the MIT Living Wage 
+Calculator, single working parents today, even in the poorest 
+counties in the country, need at least $20 an hour to cover 
+basic costs.
+    Workers should not be forced to work at poverty level wages 
+regardless of where they live. A low-cost region should not be 
+forced to continue to lag behind the rest of our economy.
+    H.R. 582 will begin to restore the original intent of the 
+Fair Labor Standards Act, to ensure that all workers have a 
+minimum living standard. And as President Roosevelt stated: 
+``Our Nation, so richly endowed with natural resources and with 
+a capable and industrious population, should be able to devise 
+ways and means of ensuring to all of our working men and women 
+a fair day's pay for a fair day's work.''
+    Today's hearing is an opportunity to examine facts and 
+evidence. Raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2024 in 
+all regions is good for workers, good for businesses, and good 
+for the economy. This hearing is a first step toward passing a 
+bill that reflects our shared belief that no one working full 
+time should be living in poverty.
+    And I thank you.
+    And does the Ranking Member want to speak now or in a 
+minute? I can introduce the witnesses.
+    [The statement of Chairman Scott follows:]
+
+    Prepared Statement of Hon. Robert C. ``Bobby'' Scott, Chairman, 
+                    Committee on Education and Labor
+
+    Today, we are here for a legislative hearing on the Raise the Wage 
+Act, H.R. 582, a proposal to gradually raise the minimum wage to $15. I 
+want to welcome and thank our distinguished witnesses for agreeing to 
+testify here today.
+    Raising the minimum wage is one of the most hotly debated and 
+intensely studied labor policies. All the time and research dedicated 
+to this topic has produced a clear consensus: Gradually raising the 
+minimum wage is good for workers who experience a better standard of 
+living; good for businesses which benefit from having more customers 
+and less turnover, and good for the economy which is strongest when we 
+lift working people out of poverty and build a thriving middle class.
+    But before we discuss where we are going, it's important to reflect 
+on where we are today. After 10 years with no increase in the Federal 
+minimum wage, minimum wage workers have suffered a 17 percent pay cut 
+due to inflation. Today's minimum wage worker making $7.25 an hour has 
+less buying power than a minimum wage worker had in the 1960's.
+    The result is that the Federal minimum wage is no longer serving 
+its purpose. There is no place in America where a full-time worker who 
+is paid the current Federal minimum wage can afford the basic 
+essentials. One in nine American workers are paid wages that leave them 
+in poverty, even if they worked full-time and year-round. An individual 
+earning the current Federal minimum wage of $7.25 an hour and working 
+full-time earns only $15,080 annually, less than the Federal poverty 
+level for a family of two.
+    My Republican colleagues are eager to warn of the so-called 
+consequences of gradually raising the minimum wage to $15, but they 
+ignore the consequences of inaction over the last 10 years. If Congress 
+fails to raise the Federal minimum wage by mid-June, it will be the 
+longest period of time without an increase since the Federal minimum 
+wage was created 80 years ago.
+    During that time, millions of people working full-time have been 
+forced to live in poverty. The only thing radical about this bill is 
+that it is so long overdue.
+    By several standards, this proposal is a reasonable approach to 
+restoring the value of the minimum wage.
+    First, the erosion of the value of the minimum wage after 
+adjustments for inflation has meant that, over the last five decades, 
+workers at the low-end of the wage scale have drifted farther away from 
+the middle class.
+    As the chart on the screen illustrates, in 1968, the inflation-
+adjusted minimum wage was a little over 50 percent of the median hourly 
+workers' wages for an individual working full time. Today, at $7.25 per 
+hour it is just a third of the median hourly wage of $22.36. Had the 
+1968 minimum wage simply grown with the rate of increases in average 
+wages, it would be nearly $12 today and 6 million fewer Americans would 
+be living in poverty.
+    Second, the minimum wage has not kept up with increases in 
+productivity. Between 1973 to 2017, workers' productivity grew by 77 
+percent, while their hourly wages grew by just 12 percent. The widening 
+gap between how much workers produce and how much they are paid is one 
+major factor contributing to the historic income inequality we 
+experience today. If the minimum wage had kept up with worker 
+productivity, it would be about $20 an hour today. Workers do not just 
+deserve higher pay, they have earned higher pay.
+    Finally, by the time the minimum wage reaches $15 in 2024, an 
+individual working full time with a family and two children will 
+finally be able to earn enough to exceed the poverty threshold for a 
+family of four.
+    We now have an opportunity and a responsibility to restore the 
+value of the minimum wage, lift millions of hardworking people out of 
+poverty and grow the economy in Main Street America.
+    The Raise the Wage Act achieve three key goals:
+    First, it gradually increases the minimum wage in six steps to $15 
+by 2024.
+    Second, it ensures that every worker covered under the law is paid 
+at least the full Federal minimum wage by creating one fair wage for 
+all workers.
+    And third, by tying future increases to median wages, this bill 
+ensures that future increases to the Federal minimum wage are 
+determined by economics, and not politics.
+    A report published this week by the Economic Policy Institute 
+details the sweeping benefits this bill would have for workers across 
+the country.
+    If we pass the Raise the Age Act, close to 40 million workers would 
+receive a raise. This includes:
+    * Twenty-three million women,
+    * Thirty-eight percent of Black workers and 33 percent of Hispanic 
+workers,
+    * Two-thirds of America's working poor, and
+    * The parents of over 14 million children.
+    This bill will also stimulate local economies across the country. 
+Whereas the Republican tax bill gave the largest benefits to those who 
+needed it the least, this bill puts money directly into the hands of 
+those who are most likely to spend it in their communities. Over the 6-
+year phase in period, the increase in the minimum wage would generate 
+$120 billion in additional wages, which will flow back into local 
+businesses.
+    Every time we propose raising the minimum wage, opponents repeat a 
+familiar set of taking points that have been repeatedly contradicted by 
+evidence and research.
+    Today, I am confident we will hear dire projections about job 
+losses that would result from gradually raising the minimum. But the 
+overwhelming majority of research from both left-and right-leaning 
+labor economists find few, if any jobs are lost when gradually raising 
+the minimum wage. For example, a widely acclaimed study published by 
+the National Bureau of Economic Research, and co-authored by one of our 
+witnesses, examined 138 minimum wage increases since 1979 and 2016. 
+This study found that the overall number of low-wage jobs remained 
+essentially unchanged over 5 years following the increase, and there 
+was no evidence of disemployment when considering higher levels of 
+minimum wages.
+    The evidence clearly demonstrates the Raise the Wage Act is a 
+reasonable proposal that would lift millions of workers out of poverty.
+    We will also hear calls today for a regional minimum wage.
+    But unfortunately, the reality is that by 2024 $15 an hour is the 
+least a person would need to afford the basic essentials in anyplace in 
+the country. According to the MIT living wage calculator, single 
+working parents today, even in the poorest counties in the country, 
+need at least $20 an hour to cover basic costs. Workers should not be 
+forced to work for poverty-level wages, regardless of where they live. 
+And lower-cost regions should not be forced to continue to lag behind 
+the rest of our economy.''
+    H.R. 582 will begin to restore the original intent of the Fair 
+Labor Standards Act: to ensure all workers have a minimum living 
+standard. As President Roosevelt Stated, ``Our nation so richly endowed 
+with natural resources and with a capable and industrious population 
+should be able to devise ways and means of insuring to all our working 
+men and women a fair day's pay for a fair day's work''
+    Today's hearing is an opportunity to examine the facts and 
+evidence. Raising the minimum wage to $15 by 2024 in all regions is 
+good for workers, good for businesses, and good for the economy. This 
+hearing is the first step toward passing a bill that reflects our 
+shared belief that no one working full-time should be living in 
+poverty.
+    Thank you and I now yield to the Ranking Member, Dr. Foxx.
+                                 ______
+                                 
+    Ms. Foxx. That would be wonderful, Mr. Chairman. Thank you.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    I will recognize the Ranking Member in just a second, but 
+first I will introduce our witnesses for the first panel.
+    The Honorable Dr. William Spriggs serves as chief economist 
+for the AFL-CIO and is a professor in and formerly chair of the 
+Department of Economics at Howard University. Formerly, he 
+served as Assistant Secretary for the Office of Policy at the 
+U.S. Department of Labor.
+    Mr. Terrence Wise is a father of three who works for 
+McDonald's. He has been fighting for $15 and a union for over 3 
+years and has become a voice for the movement, an inspiration 
+for other low-wage workers. Mr. Wise has worked in the fast 
+food industry since he was 16 years old and he hails from 
+Kansas City, Missouri.
+    Mr. Douglas Holtz-Eakin is the president of American Action 
+Forum. From 2003 to 2005, he was the sixth Director of the 
+Congressional Budget Office. He has conducted extensive 
+research in areas of applied economic policy, econometric 
+methods, and entrepreneurship.
+    Dr. Ben Zipperer is an economist with the nonpartisan 
+Economic Policy Institute. His areas of expertise include the 
+minimum wage, inequality, and low-wage labor markets. He has 
+published research in widely respected publications, including 
+the Industrial and Labor Relations Review and the National 
+Bureau of Economic Research.
+    I appreciate all of the witnesses for being here and look 
+forward to your testimony. Let me remind the witnesses that we 
+have read your testimony and they will appear in full in the 
+record.
+    Pursuant to committee rule 7(d) and the committee practice, 
+each of you is asked to limit your oral presentation to 5 
+minutes. Let me remind the witnesses that pursuant to Title 18 
+of U.S. Code Section 1001, it is illegal to knowingly and 
+willfully falsify any Statement, representation, writing, 
+document, or material fact presented to Congress or otherwise 
+conceal or cover up a material fact.
+    Before you begin your testimony, please remember to press 
+the button on your microphone in front of you so that the light 
+will turn on and the members can hear you. As you speak, the 
+light in front of you will turn green. After 4 minutes, it will 
+turn yellow, indicating that you have 1 minute remaining. When 
+it turns red, I would ask you to please wrap up your testimony.
+    We will let the entire panel make presentations before we 
+move to member questions. When answering a question, please 
+remember, once again, to turn your microphone on.
+    And before the witnesses, do you want to speak now?
+    Ms. Foxx. Yes.
+    Chairman Scott. Before the witnesses speak, I will 
+recognize the distinguished Ranking Member, Dr. Foxx.
+    Ms. Foxx. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I apologize for 
+being a little late. Many of us went to the National Prayer 
+Breakfast this morning, and it went a little longer than usual. 
+So we were a little slow in getting back. And I apologize. I 
+promise you, I would not be late for a less worthy cause.
+    Over the last several years, the far left has begun to call 
+for extreme social policies that were until recently considered 
+too radical for the mainstream. But as the far left has become 
+more frenetic, they have begun to demand headline-grabbing but 
+unworkable policies, like free college, universal health care, 
+and a more than doubling of the Federal minimum wage from $7.25 
+an hour to $15 an hour.
+    Liberal activists are trying to sell a radical minimum wage 
+hike as a benefit to working-class Americans. They claim it 
+will redistribute wealth and provide poor Americans with a, 
+quote, ``living wage,'' end quote. This is an empty promise, 
+the likes of which we have not heard since the famous health 
+care sales job of 2009: If you like the plan you have, you can 
+keep it.
+    Raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 will not help 
+anyone make ends meet. It will redistribute poverty, eliminate 
+jobs, and deeply harm American workers, businesses, and the 
+U.S. economy at large.
+    When the comparatively less extreme proposal of a Federal 
+minimum wage hike to $10.10 was on the table in 2014, the 
+nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated that the 
+difference, $2.85, would cost 500,000 jobs and could have 
+destroyed up to a million jobs.
+    The CBO has yet to determine what the $7.75 hike under 
+discussion today would do, but logic follows that the 
+consequences for workers and small businesses would be even 
+more severe.
+    Economists, including those who have graciously given us so 
+much of their time today, can provide the numbers and 
+projections and graphs we all need to see to have an informed 
+discussion.
+    But we must keep in mind that we are talking about people. 
+We are talking about the very people that Members of Congress 
+on both sides of the aisle claim they want to serve. Workers in 
+entry level jobs, workers without a GED or skill certificate, 
+and tipped employees would bear the brunt of job losses caused 
+by this mandate.
+    A recent study by the National Federation of Independent 
+Business found that raising the minimum wage to $15 would 
+destroy 1.6 million jobs and 615,000 able-bodied individuals 
+would be pushed out of the work force by the year 2029. This is 
+not the future Americans want, and they deserve to know the 
+truth behind the talking point.
+    More than half of the private sector work force goes to 
+work each day at a small business, and these are the workplaces 
+that would struggle the most under this mandate. Many job 
+creators would be forced to reduce workers' hours, let 
+employees go, or close their doors for good. It would also lead 
+to accelerated workplace automation, something many Democrats 
+oppose.
+    The NFIB study also found that raising the minimum wage to 
+$15 an hour would result in a $2 trillion reduction in real 
+economic output, a $980 billion reduction in real GDP, and a 
+$103 billion reduction in personal disposable income.
+    The title of this hearing aims to focus this discussion on 
+the impact this mandate would have on workers, businesses, and 
+the economy. It conveniently leaves out students--and with good 
+reason. Eighty-three percent of economists agree that raising 
+the minimum wage to $15 an hour would have a negative impact on 
+youth employment.
+    According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2.3 percent of 
+hourly workers are paid at or below minimum wage--2.3 percent 
+of hourly workers are paid at or below minimum wage. Almost 
+half of those workers are under the age of 25. These are 
+individuals at the start of their careers or filling part-time 
+or summer jobs.
+    With the Democrats' proposal, we run the risk of seeing 
+these types of jobs eliminated altogether. That means even 
+fewer young Americans will leave educational institutions or 
+join the work force with minimal work experience.
+    Not every kid is lucky enough to have a parent who pays for 
+his or her cell phone and other expenses. We need to give them 
+a chance to build their skills, build a life, and hope that 
+someday very soon they run for Congress.
+    Since January 2017, the number of job opportunities 
+available across the country has swelled from 5.6 million to 
+more than 7 million. And thanks to the Republican Tax Cuts and 
+Jobs Act, wages are up and experiencing sustainable, organic 
+growth.
+    We want that strong economic growth to continue. Mandating 
+a $15 minimum wage would have serious negative consequences for 
+students, workers, and small businesses.
+    I yield back, Mr. Chairman, and thank you again for your 
+patience.
+    [The statement of Mrs. Foxx follows:]
+
+Prepared Statement of Hon. Virginia Foxx, Ranking Member, Committee on 
+                          Education and Labor
+
+    Over the last several years, the far-left has begun to call for 
+extreme social policies that were, until recently, considered too 
+radical for the mainstream. But as the far-left has become more 
+frenetic, they have begun to demand headline-grabbing but unworkable 
+policies like free college, universal health care, and a more than 
+doubling of the Federal minimum wage from $7.25 an hour to $15 an hour.
+    Liberal activists are trying to sell a radical minimum wage hike as 
+a benefit to working class Americans. They claim that it will 
+redistribute wealth and provide poor Americans with a ``living wage.'' 
+This is an empty promise the likes of which we have not heard since the 
+famous healthcare sales job of 2009: ``if you like the plan you have, 
+you can keep it.'' Raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 will not 
+help anyone make ends meet. It will redistribute poverty, eliminate 
+jobs, and deeply harm American workers, businesses, and the U.S. 
+economy at large.
+    When the comparatively less-extreme proposal of a Federal minimum 
+wage hike to $10.10 was on the table in 2014, the nonpartisan 
+Congressional Budget Office estimated that the difference--$2.85--would 
+cost 500,000 jobs and could have destroyed up to 1 million jobs. The 
+CBO has yet to determine what the $7.75 hike under discussion today 
+would do, but logic follows that the consequences for workers and small 
+businesses would be even more severe.
+    Economists, including those who have graciously given us so much of 
+their time today, can provide the numbers and projections and graphs we 
+all need to see to have an informed discussion. But we must keep in 
+mind that we're talking about people. We're talking about the very 
+people that Members of Congress on both sides of the aisle claim they 
+want to serve. Workers in entry-level jobs, workers without a GED or 
+skills certificate, and tipped employees would bear the brunt of job 
+losses caused by this mandate.
+    A recent study by the National Federation of Independent Business 
+found that raising the minimum wage to $15 would destroy 1.6 million 
+jobs, and 615,000 able-bodied individuals would be pushed out of the 
+work force by the year 2029. This is not the future Americans want, and 
+they deserve to know the truth behind the talking point.
+    More than half of the private sector work force goes to work each 
+day at a small business, and these are the workplaces that would 
+struggle the most under this mandate. Many job creators would be forced 
+to reduce workers' hours, let employees go, or close their doors for 
+good. It would also lead to accelerated workplace automation, something 
+that many Democrats oppose.
+    The NFIB study also found that raising the minimum wage to $15 an 
+hour would result in a $2 trillion reduction in real economic output, a 
+$980 billion reduction in real GDP, and a $103 billion reduction in 
+personal disposable income.
+    The title of this hearing aims to focus this discussion on the 
+impact this mandate would have on workers, businesses, and the economy. 
+It conveniently leaves out students, and with good reason. Eighty-three 
+percent of economists agree that raising the minimum wage to $15 an 
+hour would have a negative impact on youth employment.
+    According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2.3 percent of hourly 
+workers are paid at or below minimum wage. Almost half of those workers 
+are under the age of 25. These are individuals at the start of their 
+careers or filling part-time or summer jobs. With the Democrats' 
+proposal, we run the risk of seeing these types of jobs eliminated 
+altogether. That means even fewer young Americans will leave 
+educational institutions or join the work force with minimal work 
+experience.
+    Not every kid is lucky enough to have a parent who pays for his or 
+her cell phone and other expenses. We need to give them the chance to 
+build their skills, build a life, and hope that someday very soon, they 
+run for Congress.
+    Since January 2017, the number of job opportunities available 
+across the country has swelled from 5.6 million to more than 7 million. 
+And thanks to the Republican Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, wages are up and 
+experiencing sustainable, organic growth.
+    We want that strong economic growth to continue. Mandating a $15 
+minimum wage would have serious negative consequences for students, 
+workers, and small businesses.
+                                 ______
+                                 
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you very much.
+    We will now hear from Dr. Spriggs.
+
+   STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SPRIGGS, PROFESSOR, 
+DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS, AND CHIEF ECONOMIST, HOWARD UNIVERSITY 
+                  AND AFL-CIO, WASHINGTON, DC
+
+
+    Dr. Spriggs. Thank you, Chair and Ranking Member Foxx and 
+members of the committee, for the opportunity to testify before 
+the committee today on gradually raising the Federal minimum 
+wage.
+    I am pleased to offer this testimony on behalf of the AFL-
+CIO, America's house of labor, representing the working people 
+of the United States, and based on my expertise as a professor 
+in Howard University's Department of Economics and as a former 
+Assistant Secretary for Policy in the Department of Labor.
+    I want to start by stating clearly that the AFL-CIO 
+endorses this legislation.
+    The response of American policymakers from the Great 
+Depression was more than stopping the economic slide. The 
+policy concern was that the Great Depression launched a 
+downward spiral in wages and prices, a deflation that stunted 
+economic recovery.
+    Many of the policies that were put in place back then 
+assured the Great Recession would not repeat the Great 
+Depression. Unemployment insurance and Social Security proved 
+essential stopgaps to the slide in household incomes in 2008 
+and 2009.
+    Today, despite record job growth over a record period, the 
+response of wages has been stingy. Productivity continues to 
+grow, but wages have struggled to stay ahead of very modest 
+inflation. The result is labor's share of income continues to 
+slide. America needs a raise.
+    What Congress and President Roosevelt did in the face of 
+the Great Depression was to reforge and perfect our Union, just 
+as Abraham Lincoln and the Republican Party perfected the 
+American Union by ending slavery. A New Deal was struck to 
+ensure that a government of the people could be for the people. 
+Going forward, a new American value would be enshrined: Work 
+would have dignity and working hard would pay.
+    It is a little over 9 years since Congress has raised the 
+minimum wage, as the chair mentioned. It is time for a raise.
+    Since 1938, Congress expanded coverage and improved 
+standards of the original bill. It created a healthy and 
+expanding economy. Those original components in the 1938 bill 
+had exemptions that, however, were not benign. They have had 
+long-lasting effects in creating substantial racial and gender 
+inequalities.
+    The reason for those initial exclusions of agricultural 
+workers and domestics was so specific to the South in the 
+1930's and 1940's because 57 percent of America's farm 
+population lived in the South and 51 percent of its 
+agricultural workers were African American.
+    The reason the exclusion was so devastating to African 
+Americans is that from 1930 to 1940, 40 percent of Southern 
+Blacks were in agriculture. Because many Latino workers at the 
+time in the Southwest were agricultural workers, this also hurt 
+Latino workers.
+    This same Southern exceptionalism argument was raised in 
+the fight for the Fair Labor Standards Act, except in the guise 
+of a regional wage variation.
+    The Fair Labor Standards Act passed in 1938 under President 
+Roosevelt established a minimum wage of $0.25 an hour effective 
+October 24, 1938. The act called for minimum wage to increase 
+to $0.40 an hour October 1945. Raises since then have required 
+amendments to the act.
+    Early votes on raising the minimum wage showed the national 
+consensus on raising the wage and the importance of maintaining 
+a decent floor of wages. That first increase, the biggest 
+increase in the raise of the minimum wage of 87 percent, was 
+approved by 90 percent--90 percent--of House Republicans.
+    To fix the gap that was caused by excluding agricultural 
+workers and domestic workers, in 1966 House Republicans voted 
+60 percent to close that gap and raise the wage. That was the 
+biggest raise when you look at the workers who have been 
+excluded, agricultural workers who predominantly lived in the 
+rural South.
+    Congress' purpose was to prevent competition based on 
+lowering wage cost. It was to ensure that we would do this 
+based on competition, on rising productivity.
+    You have a chance here to live up to the legacy of 
+Congresswoman Mary Norton, the first Democrat woman in Congress 
+who chaired this committee, the first woman to chair this 
+committee, who forged ahead on this legislation, to make sure 
+that all workers would rise, there would not be a regional 
+differentiation.
+    You have the chance to live up to the legacy of Adam 
+Clayton Powell, the first African American to chair this 
+committee, to extend the coverage to agricultural and domestic 
+workers.
+    You have the opportunity to live up to the legacy of 
+Congresswoman Shirley Chisholm, the first African American 
+woman to serve in Congress, who made sure that domestic workers 
+would see coverage.
+    You have a chance to return the minimum wage to a decent 
+wage that enshrines American values that work will pay, that 
+all workers will have dignity. This act gives you that 
+opportunity to fulfill that legacy.
+    [The statement of Dr. Spriggs follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    Mr. Wise.
+
+  STATEMENT OF MR. TERRENCE WISE, SHIFT MANAGER, MCDONALD'S, 
+                        INDEPENDENCE, MO
+
+    Mr. Wise. Thank you, Chairman Scott and Ranking Member Foxx 
+and members of the committee. Thank you for the opportunity to 
+testify today.
+    My name is Terrence Wise, and I am a 39-year-old second-
+generation fast food worker from Kansas City, Missouri, and I 
+am honored to speak with you today about the Raise the Wage 
+Act.
+    I began fighting for $15 an hour and a union 6 years ago, 
+because I knew just asking my boss for a raise and benefits 
+wouldn't do. I felt the struggle of raising a family on low 
+wages my whole life.
+    It began in South Carolina. I grew up in government housing 
+with my two brothers and sister. My mother worked full time at 
+Hardee's for 30 years, and my dad served as a cook in the 
+military. My mom would wake me up at 4 a.m. early before she 
+left for Hardee's, and it was my job to get my siblings up and 
+ready to go to school. It was also my job to be home when the 
+mailman arrived to sign for the food stamps.
+    Even with two full-time incomes and food stamps, my family 
+still had to skip meals. One winter, I didn't even have a coat 
+until my guidance counselor at school gave me one from the lost 
+and found. Hardworking people with two full-time incomes 
+shouldn't live like this in the richest Nation on earth.
+    I was a great student, and by the eighth grade I was in all 
+advanced placement classes. My teachers were saying things 
+like, ``Terrence, you are going to be great. You are going to 
+do good things.'' I wanted to be a Gamecock at the University 
+of South Carolina. I was going to be a writer. But I went to 
+work at the age of 16 to try to help my family survive.
+    One day I came home from school, there were no lights, no 
+food in the fridge. So I got my first job at Taco Bell, making 
+$4.25 an hour, but I knew my family needed the money 
+desperately. My first paycheck was 150 bucks, and it all went 
+on the light bill. One job wasn't enough, so I got a second job 
+at Wendy's.
+    I tried to balance both work and school. I had all A's in 
+my classes. But I started falling asleep in classes. And now 
+teachers were asking me, ``Terrence, what is wrong?'' I told 
+them I was working two jobs, had to survive. I didn't need AP 
+Calculus to run the numbers at home. It wasn't enough to 
+survive. It wasn't even enough for basic necessities.
+    I had left school and my dream of college, and at 17 I 
+dropped out and became a full-time worker, and I have been 
+working in fast food ever since.
+    Now I have a family of my own. I have three daughters, ages 
+17, 15, and 13, and my fiancee is a home healthcare provider. 
+Neither one of us make enough money to make ends meet, and I 
+have worked two jobs most of my life. I would leave for Burger 
+King at 2 o'clock, then leave from there and arrive at 
+McDonald's and work the overnight shift, 10 p.m. to 6 a.m. I 
+couldn't get my jobs to line up with my off days, so sometimes 
+I would work weeks without a day off.
+    My family has been homeless, despite my two incomes and my 
+fiancee's. We have endured cold winters in Kansas City, 
+homeless in our purple minivan. I would see my daughters in the 
+back tossing and turning.
+    Try waking up in the morning and getting ready for school 
+and work in the parking lot. That is a memory I can never take 
+away from my children and something a parent should never have 
+to go through. You should not have multiple jobs in the United 
+States and nowhere to sleep.
+    I work for McDonald's, the second largest employer in 
+America, and I still rely on food stamps and Medicaid. Like 
+other working people in America fighting for $15 and a union, I 
+want to stand on my own. I want to provide my girls with three 
+meals a day and give them the opportunities I didn't have.
+    This movement has changed our entire country. Many people 
+didn't believe $15 an hour was possible, but it has become a 
+reality for 22 million workers across the country.
+    Seventy-five percent of voters in Kansas City voted for a 
+$15 minimum wage in 2017. Workers won that victory by taking 
+big, bold action, like going on strike. We even slept on the 
+steps of city hall for a week in our Fast for $15.
+    It was a huge victory for us until the State legislature 
+preempted the minimum wage, returning it to $7.65. Missouri 
+voters increased the minimum wage in 2018, but we are still not 
+achieving $15 an hour, the minimum we need to support our 
+families. That is why we need Congress to take action to raise 
+the Federal minimum wage.
+    I often imagine what $15 an hour would mean for me and my 
+family. It would mean I could keep food on the table, we 
+wouldn't have to worry about doing homework in the dark, and I 
+could get the girls school supplies whenever they needed them.
+    But what would $15 an hour really mean? It means that my 
+daughters could meet their grandmother for the first time. She 
+lives in South Carolina and we just have never been able to 
+afford to travel to meet her.
+    Low-wage workers like me will continue to organize and 
+fight for economic justice. My coworkers and I have lifted our 
+voices from the steps of city hall in Kansas City, at the White 
+House, and now here today on Capitol Hill.
+    Everyone who works in this country deserves access to the 
+promise that America made to each and every one of us--life, 
+liberty, and the pursuit of happiness--and $15 an hour brings 
+us closer to living out our values as a Nation. The Raise the 
+Wage Act will do just that, and I urge members of this 
+committee to raise the wage, you know. Act quickly to pass this 
+bill.
+    Thank you, and I look forward to answering any questions.
+    [The statement of Mr. Wise follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    Dr. Holtz-Eakin, good to see you.
+
+   STATEMENT OF DR. DOUGLAS HOLTZ-EAKIN, PRESIDENT, AMERICAN 
+                  ACTION FORUM, WASHINGTON, DC
+
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Good to see you, Chairman Scott, Ranking 
+Member Foxx, members of the Committee. It is a privilege to be 
+here today. I am going to make three very simple points and 
+then I look forward to your questions.
+    The first point is that the labor market is working very 
+well right now, with increased work, especially for those with 
+low skills and marginal attachment to the labor force, and 
+rising real wages.
+    The second is that increasing the minimum wage to $15 would 
+damage these employment prospects, and the preponderance of the 
+research evidence comes down on that side.
+    Then the third point is that, for those who deservedly 
+would like to help those in poverty while working, the minimum 
+wage is very poorly targeted to solve that problem.
+    Let me go through those.
+    The U.S. labor market is working very well right now. There 
+were 304,000 jobs created in January. There have been over 13 
+million jobs created in the past 5 years. The unemployment rate 
+is down to 4 percent and has been even lower recently. At the 
+moment, there are more job openings, 6.9 million, than there 
+are unemployed people, 6 million, and that has been true since 
+March 2018.
+    The U.S. labor market has been able to create that many 
+jobs by the miracle of pulling into the labor market and into 
+productive work people who had not been participating. The 
+overall labor force participation rate has jumped from its low 
+of 62.4 percent to 63.2. For prime age workers, it has 
+rebounded by two full percentage points and is up to 82.6 
+percent.
+    I think most importantly, the number of discouraged 
+workers, those who have just given up looking, has dropped in 
+half over the past 5 years, from nearly 900,000 to 420,000.
+    At the same time, we are seeing real wages grow. There is a 
+flood of people into the labor market. Real wages are now 
+growing at 3 percent a year. That is a very successful story 
+and one that I think that members of the committee should be 
+proud of.
+    Going forward, if we are to raise the minimum wage to $15, 
+the preponderance of the research evidence that I go through in 
+my written testimony, and I will be happy to elaborate in the 
+Q&A, it would indicate that it would hurt the employment 
+prospects, especially of those people you care about the most, 
+those with little skills, little experience, least attachment 
+to the labor market. This is often not taking the form of the 
+caricature of throwing someone out of their job, but simply 
+denying the employment growth that would give people an 
+opportunity in the future.
+    I think it is important to note that the nonpartisan 
+Congressional Budget Office reaches the conclusion that raising 
+the minimum wage hurts employment prospects. It is their job to 
+present to you, as the Members of Congress, the consensus of 
+the research literature, and that is exactly the consensus that 
+they find.
+    I think it is important as well to note that more than 
+doubling the minimum wage is an enormous change, and previous 
+research will probably give us little guidance as to the 
+magnitude of the impact. That is outside of the range of 
+historical experience. Its damage is likely to be much, much 
+greater than previous studies have shown.
+    And the combination of the large increase and then indexing 
+the minimum wage to the median wage sends a strong signal to 
+employers that these jobs, the ones for those with low skills, 
+marginal attachment to the labor force, little education, are 
+jobs that they are going to be unable to have going forward. 
+They are going to replace them with automation and other means. 
+So, the employment prospects are probably even more damaging 
+than previous indications.
+    The last point is that, if you care about those in poverty 
+who are working, as you should, the minimum wage is a poor 
+instrument to address that problem. Eighty percent of minimum 
+wage workers are not in poverty, and one-third of the young who 
+earn the minimum wage are living with their parents and are in 
+households that make more than $100,000.
+    Knowing the wage a person makes does not tell you about the 
+characteristics of their household, and as a result, only 6.7 
+percent of the benefits of a $15 minimum wage would go to those 
+who are in poverty. This is not a good instrument for solving 
+that problem.
+    And the key economic fact that it is important for the 
+Committee to remember when they discuss this is that passing a 
+law to make the minimum wage $15 doesn't mean there is any more 
+money. You have to go get that money from somebody else.
+    So, to get the money for someone who has a job, you are 
+going to have to deny someone else a job and effectively take 
+money from people who are looking for work and give it to 
+people who have work. That seems like an incredibly perverse 
+redistribution, one I would encourage the Committee not to 
+take.
+    Thank you.
+    [The statement of Mr. Holtz-Eakin follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    Dr. Zipperer.
+
+   STATEMENT OF DR. BEN ZIPPERER, ECONOMIST, ECONOMIC POLICY 
+                   INSTITUTE, WASHINGTON, DC
+
+    Mr. Zipperer. Chairman Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and 
+members of the committee, thank you for the opportunity to 
+testify on the importance and necessity of increasing the 
+minimum wage to $15 per hour.
+    Raising the national minimum wage is well overdue. Workers 
+paid today's Federal minimum wage are, after adjusting for 
+inflation, paid 29 percent less than their counterparts 50 
+years ago. This is despite the fact that, as the figure on the 
+monitor shows, the Nation's productivity has doubled over that 
+time period. Had the minimum wage kept pace with labor 
+productivity over that time period, the minimum wage today 
+would be worth more than $20 per hour instead of the $7.25 it 
+is today.
+    Gradually increasing the national minimum wage to $15 by 
+2024, as proposed by the Raise the Wage Act of 2019, is an 
+important corrective to our failure to raise the minimum wage. 
+The proposal automatically indexes future minimum wage 
+increases to median wage growth, so that low-wage workers will 
+share a common trajectory of wage growth with a broader labor 
+market.
+    Finally, gradually phasing out the separate lower wage for 
+tipped workers will help to eliminate disparities in labor 
+protections between tipped workers and the rest of the labor 
+force.
+    My colleague David Cooper at the Economic Policy Institute 
+has estimated that raising the minimum wage to $15 by 2024 
+would lift the pay of about 40 million workers. Affected 
+workers who work year-round would receive a raise on the order 
+of about $3,000 per year. This is enough to make a tremendous 
+difference in the life of a preschool teacher, a bank teller, a 
+fast food worker, more than half of whom earn less than $15 per 
+hour today.
+    Minimum wages are one of the most well-studied topics in 
+economics. Although there sometimes appears to be much 
+controversy over the size of the employment effects of the 
+minimum wage, the weight of recent evidence shows that minimum 
+wages have worked exactly as intended, by raising wages without 
+substantial negative consequences on employment.
+    In a review of all research published in the 15 years since 
+2001, the economists Paul Wolfson and Dale Belman found that 
+the average estimated employment effect was very small.
+    In addition, in research I coauthored with Sylvia 
+Allegretto, Arindrajit Dube, and Michael Reich, we found that 
+studies using the most high-quality, credible research designs 
+also found small to no employment effects.
+    These findings, taken together, suggest that both the 
+average study, as well as the best research, show that there 
+has been little downside to raising minimum wages.
+    Current research also suggests that even the highest 
+minimum wages our country has experienced have helped raise 
+wages without reductions in employment. In new research on 138 
+State-level minimum wage increases I coauthored with Doruk 
+Cengiz, Arindrajit Dube, and Attila Lindner, we found that the 
+highest minimum wages we studied did not adversely affect 
+employment.
+    Important new scholarship by Ellora Derenoncourt and Claire 
+Montialoux also demonstrates that the highest national minimum 
+wages the United States has experienced significantly raised 
+wages without reducing the employment of low-wage workers.
+    Because the evidence shows that there has been little 
+downside to both minimum wages in general and also even to 
+minimum wages at their highest points in U.S. history, larger 
+increases in the minimum wage are economically justified.
+    Larger increases are also necessary because workers in 
+every region of the country will soon need at least $15 per 
+hour in wage income in order to pay for basic necessities. My 
+colleagues at the EPI have developed a concept of family 
+budgets to delineate how much a family will need to earn every 
+year in order to pay for basic necessities.
+    By 2024, in all areas across the United States, even a 
+single adult with no children will need to be earning more than 
+$15 per hour in order to achieve a modest but adequate standard 
+of living, according to their family budget.
+    As a result, anything less than a $15 minimum wage by 2024 
+will not adequately carry out this key purpose of the Fair 
+Labor Standards Act, which is to, and I quote, ``to protect the 
+Nation from the evils and dangers resulting from wages too low 
+to buy the bare necessities of life.''
+    Minimum wages have long been an effective tool for 
+maintaining adequate pay, but the failure to adequately raise 
+the Federal minimum wage has denied American workers 
+significant improvements in their standard of living.
+    By raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 by 2024, we will 
+finally deliver a much-needed boost in wage income and increase 
+the value of the minimum wage to a level that ensures the 
+lowest wages we pay workers are not poverty wages.
+    [The statement of Mr. Zipperer follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    We will now recognize members for questions, and they are 
+subject to the 5-minute rule, beginning with the gentleman from 
+Arizona, Mr. Grijalva.
+    Mr. Grijalva. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman.
+    And if there is no objection, Mr. Chairman, I would like to 
+enter this report into the committee record. And that is from 
+the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, entitled ``Minimum 
+Wages and the Distribution of Family Incomes in the United 
+States.'' In essence, this report States that if the minimum 
+wage had been $12 in 2016, over 6 million fewer people would be 
+living in poverty today.
+    If there is no objection, Mr. Chairman?
+    Chairman Scott. Without objection.
+    [The information follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Mr. Grijalva. Thank you, sir.
+    In strong support of the $15 minimum wage. And I do want to 
+thank Mr. Wise and Dr. Spriggs for your testimony. It was 
+excellent and kind of left me without too many questions, to be 
+honest with you.
+    And with the chair's indulgence, I think that it is way 
+past time that we move forward to raise the minimum wage. And 
+as we do that, Mr. Chairman, I think it is important that the 
+members understand that it is important to tackle other 
+inequities that are in our basic minimum wage protections.
+    It is long past time for Congress to end discrimination 
+against agricultural workers in the Fair Labor Standards Act, 
+period. So today, I introduced the Fairness for Farm Workers 
+Act; and in doing so, simultaneously, Senator Harris has 
+introduced the identical piece of legislation in the Senate. 
+And this act, basically, the Fairness for Farm Workers Act 
+would extend overtime protections to farm workers and eliminate 
+some remaining exclusions for farm workers from minimum wage 
+protections.
+    These protections were first enacted, as Dr. Spriggs so 
+eloquently gave us the history of it, and surmised at the end, 
+I believe very accurately, that those exceptions were made out 
+of political expediency and racism, and that needs to be 
+addressed.
+    That inequity that exists, Mr. Chairman, as you well know, 
+it is a discrimination issue. We have to end this 
+discrimination against farm workers. The treatment of farm 
+workers in this country has been and continues to be unjust, 
+unreasonable, and unsustainable.
+    My legislation, the Fairness for Farm Workers, would 
+eliminate the minimum wage and overtime discrimination farm 
+workers face in the act.
+    So I know I will be working with you on that. Your 
+leadership on this is not only welcome but, as you have offered 
+your support, thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I look forward 
+to working this out. And I think it is important that we deal 
+with raising the minimum wage, but also have an opportunity to 
+reform the whole package as we move along.
+    With that, Mr. Chairman, like I said to the two witnesses, 
+you left me with no questions, and I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentlelady from New York, Ms. Stefanik.
+    Ms. Stefanik. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    And thank you to our witnesses for being here today.
+    We agree on this committee of the importance of economic 
+opportunity for American workers and American families. We 
+agree that we need to focus on real wage growth. We agree on 
+the pathway out of poverty. What we don't agree with is how to 
+get there. We have different solutions about how to achieve 
+those goals.
+    We are living in a dynamic, growing economy today, and we 
+must start talking about the future of work. What do I mean by 
+that? As we have seen over the last decade, the composition of 
+our work force is rapidly changing, as is the type of work 
+Americans, especially young Americans, are engaging in. We are 
+increasingly seeing a rejection of traditional employee-
+employer relationships for nontraditional, dynamic career 
+paths, like the gig economy or side hustles or self-employment.
+    In my district, I represent 40 percent of the geography of 
+New York State. It is a very rural region, and we are very 
+familiar with this discussion. Our economy in UpState New York 
+is very distinct from the economy in Manhattan and DownState 
+New York.
+    My question to Mr. Holtz-Eakin is, on the future of work, 
+how does this proposal not embrace opportunities in the gig 
+economy in the 21st century? And how does this proposal also 
+not take into account the differences between rural parts of 
+this country and urban parts of this country, in terms of cost 
+of living, other issues, challenges small businesses are 
+facing?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Congresswoman, you have heard a lot of 
+discussion about the history, but the only real question facing 
+the committee is, do you want to raise the minimum wage going 
+forward, and to do it nationally and for all workers, tipped 
+and nontipped?
+    That is a very different proposal than even some of the 
+things we have evidence from in the research. This would hit 
+all labor markets, rural labor markets and urban identically. 
+It would hit tight labor markets and loose labor markets.
+    One of the striking characteristics of the recovery has 
+been a very unevenness across the geography of the United 
+States, and it would not recognize that. It would not recognize 
+the need for businesses in those areas to have a cost structure 
+they can afford. It would hurt the entrepreneurship in places 
+that are struggling. It is a very blunt instrument, and, as I 
+said, that blunt instrument does not land on those who need it 
+the most, working poor.
+    And so I think that is one of the things that jumps out of 
+the literature. And I worry a lot about a proposal that is not 
+tailored to the circumstances of the labor market and doesn't 
+target those who need the help the most, especially at a time 
+when the labor market is actually, on the whole, doing 
+remarkably well.
+    And I think the thing I would emphasize is we are seeing 
+people entering work who we just did not think would come back. 
+No one thought we could continue to create 200,000 jobs a year 
+in 2018, and the economy has. That is a remarkable 
+accomplishment. Those families will forever be better from 
+having that opportunity.
+    Ms. Stefanik. My next question is, one problematic aspect 
+of this legislation, one of the many problematic aspects is the 
+elimination of the tip wage and tip credit.
+    I have a local assemblyman who is a Democrat who represents 
+Plattsburgh, which is in my district, and he recently 
+highlighted why this is problematic. He included a local 
+restaurant employee on his website who would have been greatly 
+harmed by the elimination of the wage tip credit.
+    I quote: ``Generally has relied on tips to supplement her 
+wages. She makes $7.50 an hour, but often with tips this salary 
+is doubled or even tripled because of tipping. This not only 
+provides her with money in her pocket each day, but it helps to 
+stabilize and even augment her income to provide food, formula, 
+and diapers for her children. Each of her fellow servers has 
+different life situations, but what they all seem to agree on 
+is that they definitely make more money as a server than if 
+they had taken a more restrictive set wage position.''
+    Can you talk about why the elimination of the wage tip 
+credit is problematic and does not allow this dynamism that we 
+are seeing in the current economy?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Certainly. As you know, those who are 
+tipped workers are guaranteed to get the minimum wage. If they 
+don't receive tips that are sufficient to do that, the owner of 
+their establishment will pay them the minimum wage.
+    So forcing them to do that anyway raises the cost in the 
+business, there is no way around it, and once again you have 
+the problem, where does that money come from? As I said in my 
+opening statement, they have to go take it from someone else, 
+and that might be someone they choose not to hire.
+    And that is the definition of lack of dynamism. I am not 
+going to take advantage of opportunities to expand my 
+employment base, offer new services, grow as a business. This 
+has exactly that characteristic.
+    And I would point out that in D.C., which we watched 
+carefully, there was a ballot referendum that said we are going 
+to raise this minimum wage for tipped workers. It was 
+overturned by the D.C. Council because the tipped workers 
+themselves said, no, this is bad for us.
+    Ms. Stefanik. And that was a similar experience in New 
+York. Tipped workers were vehemently opposed to this policy and 
+organized very effectively.
+    Thank you. I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentleman from Connecticut, Mr. Courtney.
+    Mr. Courtney. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    And, again, I applaud the fact that week No. 1 of this 
+committee we are taking up an issue which, again, I think 
+restores the legacy of this committee in the past, as Dr. 
+Spriggs so powerfully described.
+    You and I and a couple of us were around in 2007, the last 
+time the Federal minimum wage was increased, from $5.15 to 
+$7.25. Again, it was done gradually over a period of about 3 or 
+4 years. I remember the Republican votes that reported that 
+bill out of the committee, and I remember it was in May 2007, 
+after the new Congress or the 110th Congress, that President 
+Bush signed that into law.
+    And, again, Dr. Spriggs, thank you again for sort of 
+reminding us of the forensics of the minimum wage, that it 
+really historically has been really a very strong bipartisan 
+issue, and it is far too long that Congress has not revisited 
+that standard.
+    And, again, Mr. Wise, I want to thank you for your 
+incredibly powerful testimony here today, bringing this down to 
+real life and also talking about sort of the grassroots organic 
+support that is out there, and we have seen that in 
+referendums. And the $15 benchmark has really started to 
+happen, again, without Congress necessarily doing it yet, but 
+certainly showing that it is not going to wreck the U.S. 
+economy for employers to do the right thing.
+    I would like, Mr. Chairman, to just enter a statement that 
+Hartford HealthCare, which is one of the largest employers in 
+the State of Connecticut, just announced about a few weeks ago, 
+that they are going to raise the minimum wage for their work 
+force, which is about 2,500 strong, to $15 an hour this spring. 
+They are not waiting until 2024. And, again, they have entry 
+level staff folks that are there. That is a really important 
+decision that the employer made to do that.
+    And, again, I think it is because of the work that folks 
+like Mr. Wise and some of the others out in the audience here 
+with red shirts, tee shirts here today, have really raised this 
+issue, so that it is making its way into the corporate 
+boardrooms that this is something important to do.
+    So, again, I would like to ask Dr. Zipperer just a question 
+about what has been happening to wage rates since the Great 
+Recession and the fact that, again, we finally are starting to 
+see an uptick in terms of wage, but this is 10 years after the 
+Great Recession. As you point out, this job market has been in 
+a trajectory that certainly precedes this administration, 
+although it is continuing to move forward, and I think we all, 
+as Americans, support that.
+    But, I mean, how would you explain, again, the fact that we 
+have not seen the wage growth concurrent with the economic 
+growth? And the recent uptick in wages, I mean, this is 
+happening at the State level in terms of minimum wage 
+increases. Is that a part of the story about why we are finally 
+starting to see some wage growth?
+    Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for the question.
+    We are starting to see wage growth, as you noted and as Dr. 
+Holtz-Eakin noted in his testimony, which, thankfully, is a 
+good thing. At the same time, I think we are seeing that wage 
+growth because the labor market is becoming tighter and 
+employers are competing more for workers.
+    At the same time, that wage growth is not actually 
+sufficient or adequate enough for many workers, in the sense 
+that the lowest wage workers in particular, what we are 
+discussing at this hearing, need a much more substantial boost 
+in wage income than they are going to see from tight labor 
+markets alone.
+    Mr. Courtney. Well, thank you.
+    And to drive that point home, Mr. Chairman, I have 
+correspondence from Oxfam America, which, again, shows an 
+economic analysis that, again, we need that sort of push from 
+the bottom, which a minimum wage increase has been bipartisanly 
+supported in the past, and I would ask that be admitted into 
+the record.
+    Chairman Scott. Without objection.
+    [The information follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Mr. Courtney. And I also just would like one last comment. 
+You know some of us who serve on committees like Armed 
+Services, as my friend from New York, you know we get a chance 
+to interact with other countries, with codels and overseas. I 
+am co-chairman of the Friends of Australia Caucus, which is a 
+developed economy somewhat on par with the U.S. They have 
+actually a minimum wage commission which raises the minimum 
+wage outside of politics, on a yearly basis. It is $17.70, 
+Australian dollars. If you convert that into U.S. dollars 
+today, it is about $14.
+    That is the one economy in the sort of developed world that 
+actually did not take a hit during the Great Recession. Again, 
+their banking system, frankly, was more regulated and I think 
+withstood what was going on internationally there.
+    But nonetheless, I mean, they are a growing economy. Their 
+minimum wage, which has been automatically increased because of 
+a nonpartisan commission, has shown that, in fact, it doesn't 
+hurt economic growth. It actually stabilizes a family's income 
+and increases their purchasing power.
+    I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you very much.
+    The gentleman from Kentucky, Mr. Comer.
+    Mr. Comer. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    And I appreciate everyone being here.
+    I think it is interesting that the panel will admit that we 
+are finally having wage growth, which is something that I think 
+both parties agree is needed in America. One reason, and the 
+main reason we are having wage growth, is because there is a 
+shortage of workers in America. It is basic supply and demand.
+    In my district in Kentucky, I have Paducah, which is a 
+headquarters for the regional office for U.S. Bank. They just 
+recently raised their minimum wage to $15 per hour for all of 
+their employees. They did that without legislation, without 
+government intervention. Basically, it is the supply and demand 
+as a result of having a strong economy.
+    So my question is--and I want to make this Statement. While 
+proponents of a $15 minimum wage foresee consumers absorbing 
+the effects of this proposal through increased end cost, many 
+smaller businesses in my district in Kentucky wouldn't be able 
+to sustain charging such radically increased prices.
+    Dr. Holtz-Eakin, do you agree that raising prices is not 
+always an option for many businesses in rural or low-income 
+areas? And can you elaborate on the effects of such a bloated 
+minimum wage would have on these entrepreneurs who are the 
+backbone of our economy?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. As I said, if you pass a legislated 
+increase in the minimum wage, not a voluntary one as U.S. Bank 
+had, there is no more money at the moment that becomes law. So 
+you have to go figure out where you are going to find it.
+    One possibility is charge your customers more to get the 
+money. If you are unable to do that, and a lot of people are 
+not going to be able to do that, another possibility is you 
+take the thinner nonexistent profit margins of an 
+entrepreneurial business, a startup, and squeeze it down even 
+further. They will likely fail, and thus those jobs would go 
+away. Or you can take it out of your labor cost somehow by not 
+hiring additional workers when you otherwise might.
+    And this is just like ``Casablanca'': You round up the 
+usual suspects and figure out where you can do it, if at all.
+    Mr. Comer. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, you make it clear that a 
+minimum wage increase would not affect all areas the same. A 
+recent study by the University of Kentucky suggests that for 
+many families below the poverty line in Kentucky a lack of 
+hours worked rather than a low wage or minimum wage is the 
+primary challenge.
+    Right now, the average worker in poor families in Kentucky 
+are out of the work force more than 4 months out of the year. 
+Won't a higher minimum wage set up additional barriers to 
+employment and risk more workers being out of the work force 
+for longer periods of time?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. It is certainly a concern that I have 
+tried to emphasize in my testimony.
+    We do have some, for example, recent evidence out of the 
+Seattle increase in the minimum wage which shows 10,000 jobs 
+lost, but also diminished hours worked by those affected by the 
+increase. That is another channel by which you squeeze down 
+your costs, but that means less income for those individuals.
+    And, again, my concern is that is something Seattle did. 
+That is very different than doing it to the entire United 
+States, including your district in Kentucky.
+    Mr. Comer. Absolutely.
+    Let me ask one last question. You also stated that 5.1 
+million jobs have been added over the past 2 years. How would 
+this dramatic increase affect the progress created by recently 
+enacted legislation, such as our tax reform bill of the last 
+Congress? How would this impact that if we passed this proposed 
+minimum wage increase?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So, as I noted in my testimony, my 
+colleague Ben Gitis and I used a published estimate of the 
+impact of increases in the minimum wage on the growth in 
+employment going forward, and it would more than offset those 
+5.2 million jobs. So, we would set back the progress we have 
+made, the dramatic progress in getting Americans back to work, 
+including those who previously didn't work. I think that is a 
+concern.
+    Mr. Comer. I think we have seen last month, with record job 
+growth, over 300,000 new jobs added to the economy, I believe 
+as a direct result of, first of, the new administration and the 
+last Congress focusing on reducing regulations; second, on 
+reducing taxes. We have got the economy growing for the first 
+time in a long time. We are starting to see wage growth.
+    So I believe that we finally have America on the right 
+track economically, and I think we need to think long and hard 
+before we go back to a Congress of passing lots and lots of 
+legislation, increasing regulations, more government, bigger 
+government, because what we see now from an economic 
+standpoint, in my opinion, is working.
+    Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentleman from the Northern Mariana Islands, Mr. 
+Sablan.
+    Mr. Sablan. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, for having 
+this hearing.
+    Thank you, everyone, for coming and testifying.
+    I wasn't going to speak, but, Mr. Wise, please keep telling 
+your story. You are sharing your life story. And I am sure you 
+have heard it before, but if you haven't, let me tell you, sir, 
+that you are a good father.
+    My only regret is that one of you sitting there as a 
+witness probably couldn't hear what you were saying. And you 
+are telling a real life story, and someone is saying, no, 
+according to the literature on economics and all of these 
+things.
+    We are not creating big government here. We are trying to 
+create increased wages for those like you, and I am very proud 
+to do so.
+    Mr. Chairman, I would like to yield my time to the 
+gentleman from Virginia, Mr. Bobby Scott.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you, and I appreciate the time.
+    Dr. Spriggs and Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I talked about the 
+reasonableness of the tipped minimum wage because a tipped 
+worker would be made whole if the tips don't amount to the 
+minimum wage. That sounds reasonable, but how often is the 
+deficiency actually in practice made up?
+    Dr. Spriggs. My experience at the Department of Labor was 
+this is one of the more troubling areas for us to figure out 
+the proper regulation of what to do with tips, and for those 
+who think that it is clear cut, that is because they haven't 
+tried to solve this problem.
+    We know this is the major portion of wage theft that takes 
+place. It puts the women, and there are disproportionately 
+women who rely on tip wages, at a huge disadvantage because 
+they are, by necessity, having to deal with ugly customers, and 
+they need the tip, and it opens up a huge window for misconduct 
+and sexual harassment that is hard to close.
+    If you set the minimum wage higher and you don't move the 
+tip, then you create a bigger regulatory issue of how do we 
+collect the information to know whether the workers got the tip 
+money? Many restaurants want to pool the tips and then dole it 
+out so that the workers sometimes don't even get the tips. It 
+is all well and good if you are in a high, fancy restaurant, 
+and it is mostly men who work there do well, but for the 
+overwhelming majority of women who have this job, it is not the 
+historical record. This is the biggest area of wage theft to 
+try and get the owners of the restaurant to actually pay the 
+tipped workers the gap. And as that gap gets bigger, the 
+vulnerability of those workers is going to increase.
+    Chairman Scott. Dr. Zipperer, do you know how often the 
+tipped workers are actually made whole? Have you done studies 
+on that?
+    Mr. Zipperer. There is research about the preponderance of 
+wage theft, and that especially falls on tipped workers 
+because, like the other witness pointed out, regulation and 
+oversight of this issue is really difficult. In addition, the 
+Department of Labor, under a recent set of investigations, 
+found that of the restaurants they investigated, about 84 
+percent of investigations resulted in wage and hour violations, 
+and a substantial fraction of those were due to failures in 
+enforcing the tips standard that we are talking about. Workers 
+in the food, and drink, and restaurant industry are much more 
+likely to experience wage violations than in other industries.
+    Chairman Scott. So although it may be reasonable in theory, 
+the workers never get the deficiency made up. Is that right?
+    Mr. Zipperer. I think it is very difficult to enforce in 
+practice which is one reason why you see those kind of 
+disparities. You also see that in states that have adopted a 
+single minimum wage for tipped workers and non-tipped workers 
+alike that wages inclusive of tips are about 14 percent higher 
+in those states, and poverty rates for tipped workers are 
+significantly lower in those States with a single minimum wage.
+    Chairman Scott. Does the gentleman yield back? Do you yield 
+back?
+    Thank you. The gentleman from Kansas, Mr. Watkins.
+    Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you all very 
+much for being here. I especially want to say thank you to Mr. 
+Wise. Your testimony was very moving. It is not easy putting 
+yourself and your struggles out there, and doing so is very 
+impactful, and it touches on why we do what we do to try and 
+make the country a better place.
+    Now, that being said, I am right down the road on I-70. I 
+live in Topeka, and so if you need to join a support group for 
+the Chiefs AFC championship loss, then hit me up.
+    But sir, we disagree. I think this is a classic example of 
+legislation that feels good but doesn't do good. It feels good 
+when you pit up employer versus employee. But I have helped 
+create hundreds of jobs, respectfully, before this, and I would 
+move heaven and earth to find and keep good employees. And that 
+comes at a cost, a cost I am more than willing to pay when I 
+find good employees.
+    So listen. The CBO published in a 2014 study that a 10 
+percent or a $10 minimum wage would cost a half a million jobs. 
+Harvard Business School said every dollar increase would result 
+in a 4 to 10 percent increased likelihood of a restaurant 
+closure. So my question is to you, Dr. Holtz-Eakin. So I 
+represent a lot of poor communities throughout southeast 
+Kansas. I am going to share with you some thoughts they shared 
+with me. I just want you to reflect on them, and some of them 
+will be things that were written up in your testimony, but bear 
+with me.
+    A $15 minimum wage will attract more qualified applicants, 
+and I won't hire entry level people. Another entrepreneur said 
+I would have to pay everybody more. If I have to pay the 
+dishwasher $15 an hour, then I have got to pay the cooks more 
+than that. I will just replace H.R. with automation. Prices for 
+everything go up.
+    So my question is simply to reflect on that so I know what 
+to tell my constituents.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I want to just echo your observation that 
+the issue here is not about the depth of compassion for people 
+who are working and poor. The issue is what are the outcomes of 
+the proposed legislation. And my concern is that the outcomes 
+include worsened conditions for exactly those people and the 
+possibility of reduced employment for them, reduced hours if 
+they are working, the loss of the establishments that have 
+traditionally employed them, and all of those things you are 
+seeing when you say well, I am going to have to pay other 
+people, you are going to get wage compression. And that is 
+going to say well, we will cutoff a certain category, whether 
+they are teens or folks who never finished community college. 
+We are just not going to look at those guys. We can get the 
+other ones. We will do that because we are paying everybody 
+more.
+    And those are just people who are running the numbers and 
+by necessity trying to keep their business going. It is not an 
+act of anything other than necessity, and I worry about those 
+acts being played out across the country.
+    Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Doctor. Thank you all, and Mr. 
+Chairman, I yield my time.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Oregon, Ms. 
+Bonamici.
+    Ms. Bonamici. Thank you very much, Chairman Scott, and 
+thank you for introducing the Raise the Wage Act which I am 
+proudly cosponsoring because this is a long overdue 
+conversation about gradually increasing the Federal minimum 
+wage to $15 an hour. And as you pointed out, Mr. Chairman, in 
+your opening remarks today, an individual working 40 hours a 
+week and earning the Federal minimum wage earns $15,080 
+annually. Annually. Putting a family of two below the Federal 
+poverty level, and that is unacceptable that someone working 
+full time is living below the Federal poverty level.
+    And as Mr. Wise's testimony so poignantly showed, when 
+workers are paid wages that leave them in poverty, they 
+struggle. They struggle to pay for rent, essentials like food, 
+transportation, skyrocketing child care costs. So the Federal 
+minimum wage has been stagnant for too long. It has contributed 
+to income inequality, and I am glad we are having this 
+conversation today.
+    So I am from Oregon, and I have to tell you that years ago, 
+I was kind of surprised to learn that there was actually such a 
+thing as the subminimum wage for tipped workers because we 
+don't have that in Oregon. We have a thriving restaurant 
+industry. People come to Oregon for restaurants. So I was 
+really actually shocked to learn that people could be paid less 
+than minimum wage. It was really surprising.
+    In Oregon, more than 100 years ago, even before the Fair 
+Labor Standards Act was enacted, Oregon became one of the first 
+States to enact a minimum wage. It was intended to address 
+gender disparities for workers, yet still today the majority of 
+workers earning minimum wage are women and people of color, 
+according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
+    So Dr. Spriggs, in your testimony you talked about the 
+history of the Fair Labor Standards Act and some of the 
+compromises that were made to pass the bill, and I know 
+Representative Grijalva mentioned this, but those compromises 
+later exacerbated racial and gender wage gaps. So how have 
+women and people of color been disproportionately affected by a 
+low Federal minimum wage, and how will the Raise the Wage Act 
+address these persistent wage gaps?
+    Dr. Spriggs. Thank you very much, Congresswoman, for the 
+question and thank you for your comments.
+    Yes. I think we need to look back at 1966 when 60 percent 
+of Republicans agreed to expand coverage and get rid of the 
+exemption for agriculture and many service sector workers which 
+included restaurant workers. Unfortunately, the restaurant 
+workers were subject to this creation of a subminimum for tip. 
+The tip wage itself has a very racist origin. It was originally 
+because the servants happened to be black, and it was the habit 
+not to think about you have to pay them, and the tip was meant 
+in lieu of wages.
+    When we closed the gap in 1966 in terms of coverage, we 
+have to remember that many of those workers, because they were 
+agriculture workers, lived in the south, in the rural south, 
+and they lived in States that did not have State minimum wages. 
+There was nothing below them. So the studies that have been 
+cited by Ellora Derenoncourt and by Claire Montialoux highlight 
+that when that was closed, first, these workers didn't get paid 
+a dollar an hour, so the initial expansion of coverage to 
+include these rural workers was to get them to $1 which was a 
+34 percent raise. In other words, they were getting close to 
+$0.80 an hour, and then because they were included, they went 
+to $1.60. We doubled their wages.
+    Ms. Bonamici. Thank you. And I want to get another question 
+in.
+    Dr. Spriggs. Yes. I want to tell you really quickly the 
+punch line. The punch line is that black child poverty in this 
+country went from nearly 70 percent to 40 percent in that 3 
+years simply by covering 30 percent of African Americans who 
+had been denied that coverage--
+    Ms. Bonamici. Right.
+    Dr. Spriggs [continuing]. and raising their wages. So that 
+was the biggest effect we have ever had in lowering poverty 
+from any program. It took us until 1990 to break that record, 
+to get black child poverty back below 39 percent.
+    Ms. Bonamici. Long past time to complete the work. I also 
+wanted to talk about or also point out that when low wage 
+workers--they spend their earnings. They go right back into the 
+economy.
+    In Washington County, Oregon, which is just west of 
+Portland, the Portland metro region, the minimum wage there is 
+$10.75 an hour currently. Someone making minimum wage would 
+have to work 73 hours a week to afford a one-bedroom apartment, 
+and that is what we are seeing in other areas as well. A full-
+time worker should be able to afford basic needs like housing. 
+And Dr. Zipperer, you mentioned a family budget calculator, and 
+I liked your quote about protecting the Nation from the evils 
+and dangers resulting from wages too low to buy the bare 
+necessities of life. So who benefits from this gradual increase 
+to $15 by 2024, and why is it important to establish that as a 
+Federal floor rather than leaving the issue up to States?
+    Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for your question. It is important 
+to establish a Federal floor because many States don't actually 
+increase their minimum wage or increase it adequately, and 
+Federal action is the only way that we are going to actually 
+achieve a national minimum wage that would provide a wage 
+standard high enough so that all people in all areas of the 
+country will be able to afford the basic necessities for their 
+families.
+    At the Economic Policy Institute, we have developed what we 
+call family budgets to delineate how much a given family type 
+in a given area of the country needs every year to pay for 
+housing, food, transportation, child care, and other 
+necessities. These are extremely conservative amounts. They 
+don't allow for any saving whatsoever, no saving for 
+retirement, no saving for buying a home, no saving for 
+emergencies. And even with these conservative amounts, we find 
+that in every city and in every county of the country, by 2024, 
+workers will need $15 per hour working full time in order to 
+meet their family budget. Two adults working 40 hours a week, 
+52 hours--52 weeks a year at $15 per hour each, will earn less 
+than their family budget in every area of the country.
+    Ms. Bonamici. Thank you very much. And Mr. Chairman, I 
+request unanimous consent to enter into the record a letter 
+from the Women's Coalition outlining the importance of passing 
+the Raise the Wage Act to help address wage gaps for women.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you without objection.
+    [The information follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Ms. Bonamici. And I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentleman from Texas, Mr. Taylor.
+    Mr. Taylor. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate the 
+opportunity to be here. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, just a question for 
+you. I was going over your testimony last night, and something 
+that really struck me was the study that you did in 2015, and 
+in that study you determined--and I will just read your 
+testimony back to you, but using the most recent academic 
+literature, the study found that a $15 per hour Federal minimum 
+wage resulted in the loss of 3.3 million to 16.8 million jobs 
+with a middle estimate of 6.6 million jobs lost, and I just 
+wanted to understand. So that is a range, and clearly it is all 
+bad. I don't think anybody here wants to lose a job, right? We 
+want to create jobs. I think everybody here agrees on that 
+basic premise. But can you explain why there is a range in 
+estimates and sort of--if you don't mind?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So there is a range from analyzing the 
+data, and the imprecision with which statistics delivers the 
+truth, right, it doesn't say literally this is exactly what 
+will happen.
+    Mr. Taylor. Sure.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. It says, you know, given the variation in 
+the data, it can go from here to here, and we want to 
+acknowledge that you can't know with great certainty.
+    Mr. Taylor. Ok.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. And I just want to emphasize that says if 
+we look historically at changes in the minimum wage, we have 
+limited ability to say precisely what will happen. That gives 
+you a range. We have even less ability to say what will happen 
+if we go forward in a fashion that is much more dramatic, more 
+than doubling and then indexing permanently the minimum wage. 
+This is an unprecedented experiment, and I think we know very 
+little about what will actually happen.
+    Mr. Taylor. And then just as a policymaker, where are these 
+losses? I mean, are these happening in high-income areas? Are 
+they happening in--you know, high cost of living areas like New 
+York City? Are they happening in low-cost areas like, say, 
+Kansas? Are they happening in suburban areas like where I 
+represent in Plano, Texas? Are they happening in urban areas, 
+rural areas? Where are we losing jobs? So you are estimating 
+millions of jobs being lost. Where are they lost?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So you can split the economy in a variety 
+of ways. I would say the most important way to split it is to 
+look in the labor force and say let's look at the whole labor 
+force. It is hard to discern an impact. Let's look more closely 
+at those people who have little education, little skill, little 
+experience, say, a teenager. They are going to be priced out of 
+the labor market. You are not going to find--I will speak from 
+experience. I never found $30,000 worth of productivity in my 
+kids. So they are just not going to get hired. And so, you 
+know, that will show up right away.
+    If you look further at the places they are most likely to 
+be employed, that is going to be retail. That is going to be 
+restaurants and bars, and that is where you are going to find 
+the employment losses. And then across geography, you can just 
+see places where you have concentration of low-wage workers as 
+the labor force base, and that is where you are going to see 
+the losses.
+    Mr. Taylor. Ok. And then just shifting over to another 
+piece of your testimony I was reading last night, and I will 
+just read this sentence to you. Seattle's minimum wage law, so 
+we are going to Seattle now, has caused low wage work hours to 
+decline by 9.4 percent. Consequently, even among low-wage 
+workers who were still employed and earned slightly higher 
+wages, their average monthly earnings on net declined $125 per 
+month.
+    So in addition to Seattle losing 10,000 jobs which is what 
+your testimony was, what your written testimony is, you watched 
+the people that still managed to keep their jobs, their hours 
+declined, and so their incomes also declined, right?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes.
+    Mr. Taylor. So you have lost jobs.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes.
+    Mr. Taylor. You have lost income. My question is what has 
+happened to those workers? Are those workers leaving the labor 
+force? Are they moving somewhere else where they can get a job? 
+Are they going into the welfare system? What happens to these 
+people that lose their jobs? What happens to the families that 
+lose income as a result of the policy, the $15 policy that was 
+implemented in Seattle?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So Seattle is of interest because No. 1, 
+it is the top line number, $15, that has focused a lot of 
+attention. No. 2, it came along with the city deciding to have 
+a policy violation built in and had the University of 
+Washington study this closely using a research design that is 
+the gold standard for those who think that minimum wage doesn't 
+hurt workers. And so these findings are troubling for that 
+reason.
+    The thing it doesn't include is a followup for where 
+everyone goes, but the logical conclusion is we have seen a 
+little bit of them moving outside the city to get work. That is 
+actual in the study. You can see people trying to work outside 
+the municipal limits, but also you would expect people to 
+simply leave Seattle. If there is not going to be a work 
+opportunity, they are going to try elsewhere.
+    Mr. Taylor. Ok. Thank you. Mr. Chairman. I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentleman from California, Mr. Takano.
+    Mr. Takano. Mr. Chairman, thank you. I would like to begin 
+my questioning by asking unanimous consent to submit a 
+Statement into the record from the Center for American Progress 
+dated January 16th, 2019 which praises the Raise the Wage Act.
+    Chairman Scott. Without objection.
+    [The information follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Mr. Takano. Mr. Zipperer, Mr. Holtz-Eakin cites, you know, 
+a Seattle study showing harm being done. I would like to know 
+what the impacts of the minimum wage increases in places like 
+Seattle, San Francisco, and New York have been?
+    Mr. Zipperer. All right. Thank you for the question. 
+Regarding Seattle and the study that Dr. Holtz-Eakin cited, 
+that study is based on a completely flawed comparison of 
+Seattle where wages are rising extremely fast during the study 
+period with other areas of Washington State that do not look 
+like Seattle or are not comparable to Seattle and not a good 
+point of comparison. And so that is why I don't think that 
+study coming from the University of Washington is informative 
+in any way about the consequences of the Seattle minimum wage 
+increase.
+    At the same time, there are also studies that use a variety 
+of case studies and not just focus on a single city but that 
+focus on six cities including Seattle, also Chicago and a 
+couple of cities in California like San Francisco, and they 
+studied the effects of the minimum wage increases there on 
+restaurant employment and workers' earnings in restaurants. 
+That study conducted by Sylvia Allegreto, Anna Godoy, Carl 
+Nadler, and Michael Reich and others at the University of 
+California Berkeley found that those minimum wage increases in 
+those cities, in all of those cities, raised the wages of 
+restaurant workers without any negative consequences for 
+employment.
+    Mr. Takano. Thank you. I appreciate that.
+    I appreciate my Republican colleagues inviting, you know, 
+Mr. Holtz-Eakin to give us, you know, the conservative point of 
+view. I imagine that my colleagues on the other side of the 
+aisle respect your hard headed analysis of our economy. And we 
+Democrats are advocating for the minimum wage at $2.15 or at 
+$15 an hour. Of course, we are interested in trying to raise 
+the incomes, and I am curious. I want to know, you know, in 
+some of your past writings, especially on immigration reform. 
+Do you still hold to your beliefs that immigration reform and 
+welcoming immigrants into our economy ultimately will raise the 
+wages of American workers?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Absolutely.
+    Mr. Takano. Can you expound on that a little bit more?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Sure. If you look at the research on the 
+impact of immigration on native born workers, you find that 
+immigrants are, on average, complements to those native born 
+workers meaning in economic terms when they arrive, they raise 
+the wages of the native born workers. Immigrants are 
+disproportionately entrepreneurial. They start businesses at a 
+higher rate. They bring capital at a higher--workers at a rate 
+above the native born. They work longer. They retire later. 
+They are a source of enormous vitality to the U.S. economy, and 
+no one should misunderstand that.
+    Mr. Takano. So you would counsel, you know, my Republican 
+colleagues to push for immigration reform and to welcome 
+immigrants into our economy?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I have for my entire career, and you have 
+seen my success.
+    Mr. Takano. And you maintain that immigrants do not depress 
+wages, but they actually have either no effect on wages but 
+actually ultimately increase those wages because our 
+productivity goes up as an Nation.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am convinced that the blanket statement 
+no one's wages ever go down is probably wrong. Blanket 
+statements are always wrong in economics. But I think the vast 
+amount of evidence is that they are beneficial to the wages of 
+native born workers.
+    Mr. Takano. Of course, I believe that we need a strong, you 
+know, baseline of a minimum wage. We need immigration reform to 
+reduce the effect of the shadow economy so that people, you 
+know, are not being exploited by employers who are taking 
+advantage of their undocumented status.
+    I mean, we can argue about where that minimum wage should 
+be set, but do you also believe that as well, that a shadow 
+economy is not good for us?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I think it is terrible if we have 
+circumstances that permit people to be exploited by the 
+workers, and that is a real issue, and it ought to be taken 
+seriously by everyone in this committee. The place where we 
+disagree is on the minimum wage, and what I would say to you is 
+it is not that you don't want to try to do something. This is 
+the wrong thing to do. We have a lot of evidence in the earned 
+income tax credit that it promotes work and helps these people. 
+Try the noncustodial tax credit. There are a variety of 
+alternatives. This is just the single worst way to try to help 
+these people.
+    Mr. Takano. Fair enough. Fair enough. We simply disagree on 
+the level of the minimum wage, but you know, we do agree on 
+immigration reform and the value of immigrants in our economy. 
+Thank you.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentleman from Georgia, Mr. Allen.
+    Mr. Allen. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for 
+holding this hearing and talking about, you know, the creation 
+of jobs and the opportunities available out there.
+    I am from the State of Georgia. We have a little fast food 
+company down there. Mr. Wise, your testimony was very 
+impressive, but I can tell you. If you had gone to work for 
+Chick-fil-A, you would probably own your own restaurant by now. 
+It is an amazing story. You need to check them out, you know. 
+Obviously you have a passion for that business, and you have 
+remained in it, and in fact, they will actually put you through 
+college. Amazing company.
+    And in fact, we have had enormous job creation in Georgia. 
+The wage situation is--I mean, for example, with truck drivers. 
+I mean, they are making in excess of $80,000 a year, full 
+benefits, full medical, and there are also companies working 
+with the drivers to make sure they are not out of town more 
+than maybe two nights a week. So we are trying to address this 
+booming economy. Georgia has created over 800,000 jobs in the 
+last four or 5 years, and frankly, everywhere I go, everybody 
+needs workers.
+    So Dr. Holtz-Eakin, how would increasing the minimum wage 
+to $15--I guess I have two questions. One, how in the world do 
+you live off $15 in Washington D.C.? I mean, I spend 36 weeks 
+up here. This is the most expensive place to live I have ever 
+lived in my life. I mean, you look at Georgia and the cost of 
+living in Georgia. I mean, it is maybe a third of Washington, 
+DC. based on my experience.
+    So how can you just blanket the country with, say, you 
+know, like in Washington, DC, maybe the minimum wage should be 
+$30 an hour. Who knows? I mean, why stop at 15? I mean, if you 
+are talking about a living wage based on, in my experience, the 
+cost of living up here. So No. 1, what do you think it will do 
+to a State like Georgia with an incredible economy, and No. 2, 
+how do you, like, divide up the country and say Ok, this is the 
+blanket policy? Can you answer those questions?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Well, first of all, I am not an expert on 
+Georgia, but I will say that your characterization matches the 
+data for the U.S. as a whole where we do have more openings 
+than unemployed as I mentioned in my opening Statement. That is 
+the market's way of raising wages, and wages are rising. Our 
+best measure of real wage growth is the employment cost index, 
+kind of a nerdy thing you don't need to know. But if you look 
+at that, it was growing about 1 and a half percent a couple 
+years ago. It is now up to three. It is doubled.
+    And so we are seeing real wage growth, wages above 
+inflation start to move, and that is a valuable thing. That 
+happens at different rates across the country because we have 
+different economic labor markets. There are hundreds of local 
+labor markets in the United States. Tailoring a policy to 
+Washington, DC. will destroy the State of Georgia, and we 
+shouldn't do it that way, and I think that is one of my biggest 
+concerns about this is it is a dramatic increase, and it is 
+nationwide.
+    Mr. Allen. It is like, you want do level the playing field 
+across the country and penalize a State like Georgia, you know, 
+like I said. And like I said, there is no way you can live off 
+$15 an hour, and my only experience is here in Washington. I 
+don't know what it would be like, say, in other large cities, 
+but--
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. You do want to level the playing field in 
+the sense of giving everyone the same opportunity.
+    Mr. Allen. Right.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The trouble is having the same minimum 
+wage makes sure that is not level, and that is what I am 
+concerned about.
+    Mr. Allen. Well, I ran a small business for 35 years, and 
+of course, right now we are looking for people. We have no one 
+on our payroll that is making less than $15 an hour. And of 
+course, we are recruiting the best and the brightest, and we 
+don't mind paying more for the best and brightest because they 
+are more productive and tend to be more passionate about their 
+work and that sort of thing, so--
+    Well, thank you again. You know, I don't think this one 
+size government program fits all is the answer. I think we have 
+got to look at it city by city, but again, we have got to keep 
+the economy growing. Thank you very much, and I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from North 
+Carolina, Dr. Adams.
+    Ms. Adams. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and to the Ranking 
+Member as well. Let me thank all of the witnesses for your 
+testimony today, and Mr. Wise, thank you for sharing your 
+story.
+    A couple of months ago we were scheduled to have a hearing 
+on how terrible it would be to have a $15 minimum wage. I sort 
+of agree with my colleague, Mr. Allen. I would go for the 30. 
+It was fortunate--it was unfortunate, though, that hearing was 
+canceled because we had hard-working folks from many of our 
+service industries in Washington that day, all fighting for $15 
+because they know that $15 is the bare minimum an individual 
+must earn to raise a family today.
+    And I was able to meet with many of them that day, and I 
+met many of them throughout my legislative career, and these 
+workers, as Mr. Wise has said, work two and three jobs to feed 
+their families and still, it is not enough. Working hard is not 
+enough if you don't make enough, and on 7.25, you can't 
+survive.
+    I remember in 2006 when I fought for the minimum wage to be 
+raised from $5.15 to $6.15 in the North Carolina General 
+Assembly. I fought 9 years to get that done, and it is pretty 
+shameful today that 12 years later, the Federal minimum wage 
+and the State minimum wage in North Carolina has only increased 
+a mere $1.10.
+    The question is not does it make sense to increase the 
+minimum wage to $15. The question is who in their right mind 
+would disagree? You know, Dr. Spriggs, I have a question for 
+you. I am interested in why generally wage increases no longer 
+seem to be tied to worker productivity, and if you can just 
+briefly describe how the key labor market institutions are 
+functioning today, I would appreciate that.
+    Dr. Spriggs. Thank you very much, Congresswoman. We have 
+tried this experiment over the last 40 years that you don't 
+need a minimum wage, you don't need unions, you don't need any 
+of the labor market safeguards and institutions we put in place 
+at the time of the Great Depression where we learned that real 
+wages can fall.
+    The problem today is we are now 10 years into the--almost 
+10 years into the recovery. It is been 9 years since the labor 
+market started this string of consecutive job growth, and yet 
+it is only now, only now that real wages are rising and really 
+only because inflation was negative at the end of the quarter. 
+So the lack of a floor affects workers because increasingly 
+economists have come to understand that competitive firms don't 
+really face a flat wage curve. The belief that employers can 
+hire as many workers as they wish at a flat wage is not true. 
+They face an upward sloping demand curve which means, and from 
+an economist perspective, they act like a term that you might 
+be familiar with, the monopsony which means that the market 
+wage should be higher in order to be closer to what the 
+clearing wage would be.
+    And those firms are, in fact, hiring fewer workers than we 
+would expect in a competitive environment. That is why when we 
+do experiment after experiment and we analyze this, we simply 
+don't see the negative wages. And workers who are unionized 
+simply run into a stonewall because firms know that the respect 
+is not there for bargaining for higher wages, and so we have 
+not been able to see wages rise that much even in the 
+bargaining sector.
+    Ms. Adams. Can you speak briefly to the importance of 
+indexing wage increases and elimination of subminimum wages in 
+addressing weakened labor market institutions?
+    Dr. Spriggs. In the past, when you look at the increases in 
+the minimum wage, it was one of the charts that was put up 
+before. You saw that even though Congress wasn't consciously 
+doing it, it was raising the minimum wage in line with 
+productivity and in line with the median wage and in line with 
+the poverty level. When that consensus broke in 1969, you saw 
+these things move in all sorts of different directions.
+    And so the purpose of indexing is because it has become 
+increasingly difficult now that everyone does not agree that 
+work pays and all work is dignity. It has become such a 
+political item that it is necessary to put in the indexing 
+because before this was not partisan. Republicans overwhelming 
+agreed with Democrats. The whole country agreed work has to 
+have dignity, and work must pay. That is an American value.
+    Ms. Adams. Absolutely. Dr. Zipperer, just quickly. If the 
+wage had kept pace with how productive workers are on the 
+whole, how much would it be today?
+    Mr. Zipperer. If the wage had kept pace with labor 
+productivity over the last 50 years? If the minimum wage had 
+kept pace with labor productivity over the last 50 years, the 
+minimum wage today would be closer to $20 an hour.
+    Ms. Adams. Thank you, sir.
+    I yield back, Mr. Chair.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Michigan, Mr. 
+Walberg.
+    Mr. Walberg. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thanks to the 
+panel for being here.
+    Recently my office received a letter from Daniel, a 
+constituent in my Michigan district, who has worked in the 
+restaurant industry as a bartender for over 20 years. He 
+described how he has the potential to make well above the 
+minimum wage with the tips and appreciates the freedom that the 
+restaurant industry provides to move to different restaurants 
+at significant increases and security that can best meet his 
+personal needs.
+    Dr. Holtz-Eakin, this Raise the Wage Act would eliminate 
+tip credit, as I read it, requiring all employers such as these 
+restaurants where Daniel works to pay cash wages equal to that 
+of the full minimum wage. What effect do you believe this 
+policy will have on the take-home wages of Americans like 
+Daniel who work in the restaurant industry?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So it is a good question. I think there 
+are two possibilities that jump out. The first would be by 
+forcing the equalized the minimum wage. You are raising the 
+cost of labor for that establishment, and the worst-case 
+scenario is that Daniel no longer gets to tend bar, and if he 
+can't find another job, that his take home pay is undeniably 
+diminished. He might have to take another job somewhere else 
+and hopefully be Ok. But that is one channel.
+    The second is that the tip--you know, if it becomes known 
+that he is being paid, people stop tipping, and to the extent 
+that happens, he may not come out ahead. He may come out 
+behind, but those are the two channels that would be in play.
+    Mr. Walberg. It takes away that flexibility and security to 
+a great degree of being able to know that if I go to another 
+restaurant that has a larger clientele or whatever else, it 
+could impact me at the tip credit as well.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. It is in a small way a little labor market 
+where, you know, there is a return to his skills, his service, 
+his productivity, and the better he is, the more tips he will 
+get, and this breaks that link as well.
+    Mr. Walberg. In looking at what has happened to restaurants 
+and other businesses in cities that have eliminated the tip 
+credit, what has been the outcome?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I will have to get back to you on the tip 
+credit, per se. I don't have that at my fingertips. I will just 
+note that I think the restaurant industry is the one that jumps 
+out as a concern in the Raise the Wage Act. You know, in my 
+testimony I showed some of the historical evidence from 2014 
+and 2015 where we looked at what happened to restaurant 
+employment in those municipalities that raised their minimum 
+wages versus those that did not, and it is right in the data.
+    The employment growth just slows down, and this is at a 
+time when we are starting to see the economy finally ramp up. 
+But I am afraid this act would repeat that in a much bigger way 
+for the Nation as a whole.
+    Mr. Walberg. Does any data show that the tip credit really 
+allows workers to earn less than the minimum wage?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The law says they can't earn less than the 
+minimum wage. I am sympathetic to Dr. Spriggs' observation that 
+compliance is an issue. I am not a compliance expert, but I 
+would take those comments seriously and make sure that we have 
+things that are--effective laws that can be monitored and 
+enforced.
+    Mr. Walberg. Ok. Thank you. I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from New Jersey, 
+Mr. Norcross.
+    Mr. Norcross. Thank you, Chairman, Ranking Member, and I am 
+here proud to cosponsor along with the chairman the Raise the 
+Wage Act, but I want to start out by thanking the witnesses, 
+but particularly those behind you who are the real faces of 
+minimum wage, and certainly that is the reality.
+    So let's talk about myth versus reality. 1950. Minimum wage 
+was increased by 88 percent. Unemployment decreased. The stock 
+market went up. Thirty years ago the CEO made 30 times the 
+average worker. Today, the CEO makes 347 times. That is the 
+reality of what is going on.
+    Mr. Chairman, this is America. You work hard, you play by 
+the rules, you are supposed to be able to make it. Right now, 
+that is not the case. It has been 11 years since we voted, 10 
+years since that raise went to the minimum wage. We do need to 
+raise the wage, and I reach across the aisle because what 
+happened last time, 348 votes in the house, that was 
+Republicans and Democrats.
+    Eighty votes in the Senate to raise the minimum wage. We 
+can do this because you know it is the right thing to do. It is 
+predictability. It is not $15 an hour tomorrow. This is over 
+years that this comes in. I worked for minimum wage. I was a 
+single dad trying to raise my kid. I know it was tough. Today, 
+it is impossible, but I will tell you that if the minimum wage 
+kept up with inflation and productivity, it would be $18 an 
+hour. That is the path that we follow that if you work hard, 
+you play by the rules, that the boss doesn't keep everything, 
+and that is what we have seen happen. But the real surprise is 
+not that you can't make it, but you don't even come close, do 
+you, Mr. Wise? You don't even come close.
+    But the remarkable thing, to my colleagues, raising the 
+minimum wage to $12 would reduce government spending on 
+entitlement programs by $17 billion. People want to work. They 
+want to be able to provide their family. They want the dignity 
+of going to work each day, but they need to be able to make it 
+in this country. I am so proud to say my Governor signed in the 
+$15 an hour wage predictability over the next 6 years. It is 
+not happening overnight. Let's think about it. If it has been 
+10 years and it is going to take us another 6 years, that is 16 
+years to raise the wage to $15 an hour. It is not this 
+overnight crisis that they are trying to build.
+    My friends here in Washington, please. It is time to wake 
+up. We took care of the CEOs for you who voted for that tax, 
+1.3 trillion to that top 1 percent. It is time to help these 
+people, the ones that vote in your districts, the ones who need 
+it.
+    Mr. Wise, why are you here today advocating on behalf of 
+the minimum wage? Why is this important to you?
+    Mr. Wise. Well, you know, it is like you said, and that is 
+what my mom told me. She told me work hard, be a good citizen, 
+and everything will be Ok. That is what Mom told me, and I 
+thought that would be the case. I worked hard, doubly hard, two 
+jobs to try to provide for my three girls. When I had to start 
+skipping meals, you know, substituting sanitary products for my 
+daughters, making them use tissue, just doing anything to 
+survive and get by even though I was doing everything right, 
+everything Mom said, but it was obviously something terribly 
+wrong.
+    And I know that my fight doesn't end today here in this 
+building. I have got to continue to fight in my city and all 
+across the country until every worker is earning a living wage, 
+and not only that, until we can work to get legislation to 
+create an easier environment for us to have a union and be able 
+to have collective bargaining, a seat at the table. So this 
+fight is something that I have been waiting on my whole life. 
+This is a way we have got to change this country. There is no 
+individual solution to social, economic, and political 
+problems.
+    So I have been able to come together with my coworkers from 
+not only Kansas City but across the country to change the 
+narrative in this country. Before we organized 6 years ago, no 
+one talked about wage inequality. Nobody talked about unions. I 
+wasn't taught this in school, but I have been able to learn 
+through the movement that this is what it is going to take, me 
+and my coworkers behind me continuing to stand together and 
+tell our stories because it is real, and this is how we live 
+every day.
+    Mr. Norcross. Thank you, Mr. Wise.
+    Please. Let's work together. Let's take care of all 
+Americans. Let's give them a chance to have the dignity of the 
+American dream, of being able to make it because you are doing 
+the right thing. I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Texas, Mr. 
+Wright.
+    Mr. Wright. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank all four of 
+you gentlemen for being here today. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, you made a 
+point earlier that is worth repeating, and that is that this is 
+not about compassion, and, indeed, it is not. In fact, what is 
+before us today is a very poor measure of compassion because we 
+have to be concerned about the unintended consequences of this 
+bill just like we should be with every bill that we discuss and 
+vote on.
+    Raising the minimum wage is great for people who get to 
+keep their jobs, and of course, that is the concern is the 
+effect it will have on jobs because we are not talking about 
+merely raising the minimum wage. We are talking about doubling 
+it. That is a shock to the system of any small business, any 
+small business owner, and they have to make that calculation. 
+They have to balance whether they can keep all the jobs they 
+have or eliminate jobs in order to accommodate a sudden, what, 
+100 percent spike in their wages they have to pay.
+    So we have to be concerned what effect this is going to 
+have, and we have already discussed--I had some questions about 
+rural versus urban, and you have already discussed that because 
+I have both in my district. What I am concerned about, though, 
+and is the studies that show, what impact doubling the minimum 
+wage would have in terms of business closings, not just 
+employee reduction. Do you have any information on that?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't have a specific estimate of that. 
+I think again, one of the concerns is that this is an 
+experiment that has never been run. We have never doubled the 
+Federal minimum wage. We are trying to learn from other things 
+that were far more modest. They happened in a locality or a 
+State, smaller at the national level, so but there is no 
+question that one of things you would expect to happen is for 
+those firms with thin profit margins, that they in the end may 
+just not be able to make it, you know, and they will close 
+their doors. And I don't--I have little question about the 
+direction. I don't know the magnitude.
+    I think the other thing to think about with that this is 
+different and important is that yes, it is over a number of 
+years, and it is laid out in the act. That means that right 
+now, those firms know, they can look forward with complete 
+certainty that these low-skill, low-experience workers are 
+really expensive, and they will stay expensive forever because 
+it will be indexed at the end, and they will find ways to stop 
+having counter service and automate things in ways that we have 
+seen in other parts of the economy. It will just accelerate 
+that. And so the jobs won't just be lost for a moment. They 
+will be gone.
+    Mr. Wright. Right. Well, I want to repeat what has been 
+said before, and that is that all of us up here share the same 
+goal in terms of wanting to increase the livelihood of 
+Americans, expand economic opportunity and progress for 
+Americans, but I don't believe doubling the minimum wage is the 
+right way to go.
+    Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you, Dr. Holtz-Eakin.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you. Did you want to 
+respond to that? Ok. Thank you.
+    The gentlelady from Pennsylvania, Ms. Wild.
+    Ms. Wild. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you all for being 
+here, and thank you to all of you who are here as witnesses to 
+this.
+    It is such an important issue, and it is one that I, as a 
+freshman legislator, campaigned on, to raise the minimum wage, 
+and I feel very deeply that we should. I am from Pennsylvania, 
+one of the 22 States that still has a minimum wage of $7.25 an 
+hour. So as I understand it, Mr. Wise, you are a little bit 
+ahead of us in Missouri. I guess you just raised it up to $8.60 
+an hour, is that correct, from $7.85 an hour last year? So 
+Missouri was still ahead of Pennsylvania with our $7.25 an hour 
+minimum wage.
+    Mr. Wise. That is correct.
+    Ms. Wild. Well, Mr. Wise, let me just say this, and I am 
+going to talk kind of quickly because I have a lot of things I 
+want to say or to ask and only a limited amount of time. I 
+really appreciate your courage and your willingness to be here 
+today and to talk so candidly about your own experience and 
+your family's experience. It is not an easy thing to do, and I 
+recognize that. I also admire your fortitude and your 
+commitment to your family. And I admire that you are engaging 
+your daughters in activism and helping them to understand what 
+it means to fight for social justice, so thank you for all of 
+that.
+    We just talked a minute ago about the minimum wage in 
+Missouri which I understand is $8.60 an hour now, and if I may, 
+how much are you now earning at McDonald's?
+    Mr. Wise. Well, after 20 years in the industry, I do make 
+$11 an hour at McDonald's.
+    Ms. Wild. Ok. Twenty years in the industry. And you know, 
+my colleague, Mr. Allen, made a reference to your passion for 
+the fast food industry. Would I be correct in assuming that it 
+is not so much a passion for the fast food industry as it is 
+the only job that you could get when you had to drop out of 
+school to help support your family?
+    Mr. Wise. Well, that was the opportunity I had at the 
+chance, you know. All labor has dignity. My mom worked for the 
+company Hardee's for 30 years. She enjoyed her work. I enjoy my 
+work.
+    Ms. Wild. Good. I am glad to hear that. Now, there was also 
+a reference made to tractor-trailer operators making $80,000 a 
+year and so forth. Have you ever explored other opportunities 
+such as driving a truck?
+    Mr. Wise. Well, you know, when I worked--and many Americans 
+work doubly hard. For example, I worked Monday 4 p.m. to 11 
+p.m. and had to be right back up Tuesday morning at 4 a.m. to 
+return to work, so there is no flexibility in scheduling. I 
+work very hard, and there is really not time, you know, to go 
+back to school, to search that extra education. And the last I 
+checked, it is really not free in this country.
+    Ms. Wild. Well, and that is where I was going with that 
+line of questioning, and it is as much a Statement as it is a 
+question. For you to pursue something like a tractor-trailer 
+position, aside from the fact that it would take you away from 
+your family, it would require additional training and time that 
+you don't have, correct?
+    I ask these questions not in any way intended to embarrass 
+you. Do you and your family rely on any form of public 
+assistance?
+    Mr. Wise. Well, currently, Medicaid. My daughters have and 
+my fiancee did while she was pregnant with my last child, but 
+she doesn't any more. And we were receiving stamps up until a 
+few years ago, but they said that we were making too much, and 
+those got cut. But we still do rely on Medicaid, food pantries, 
+any way to get by.
+    Ms. Wild. And how many hours a week are you working?
+    Mr. Wise. Me, right now, I work just at McDonald's but I 
+work over 50 hours a week, you know.
+    Ms. Wild. And what about your fiancee? How many hours a 
+week does she work?
+    Mr. Wise. Well, she is a home healthcare, and she works 
+four 12s, so 48 a week.
+    Ms. Wild. Ok. And you told us when was the last time you 
+got a raise?
+    Mr. Wise. Oh. Oh. Well, it has been a while.
+    Ms. Wild. Ok. You have told us you have been in the 
+business for 20 years. When is the last time you--ballpark it. 
+When is the last time you got a raise?
+    Mr. Wise. About 3 years ago.
+    Ms. Wild. And you are at $11 an hour now. Ok. So I am going 
+to turn the my attention to Dr. Holtz-Eakin in my last 30 
+seconds here. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, what would you propose to Mr. 
+Wise as to what he should do to lift his family out of 
+generational poverty?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't have specific career advice for an 
+individual. The decision in front of the committee is whether 
+to do the Raise the Wage Act, and I would simply argue that it 
+is more likely to damage his prospects and people like him than 
+to help on average, and that seems unwise. This is a compelling 
+story. It can be played out in even greater numbers if the 
+wrong policies are put in place. That seems unwise to me.
+    There are other things that we have done, earned income tax 
+credit that I mentioned, that have both promoted work and 
+targeted effectively on those in poverty who are working, 
+clearly the case with Mr. Wise, and thus allowed people to 
+work, allowed them to be above the poverty line that were very 
+successful. Those would be the subject of attention, I would 
+think, not this.
+    Ms. Wild. But you would agree that Mr. Wise's story is just 
+one of hundreds of thousands across the country of people who 
+are working more than full-time hours and are living in 
+poverty?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Mr. Wise's story is one of millions of 
+labor market stories, and I guess it comes as a perception that 
+somehow I don't care about those stories when you look at the 
+data. The data give voice to all those stories simultaneously. 
+They tell us on average how things will work out. They will be 
+worse, not better. I don't want that.
+    Ms. Wild. I am sure Mr. Wise will advise his children about 
+that data.
+    I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. The chair recognizes the gentleman from 
+North Carolina, Mr. Walker.
+    Mr. Walker. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    Mr. Wise, I first want to say how much I respect the 
+willingness to be vulnerable like this in a National forum. I 
+also admire the fact of how intricately involved you are in 
+your daughter's life. The line that jumped out at me, I believe 
+that you said earlier, was all work has dignity, and I 
+certainly agree with that, and thank you for your courage and 
+being here today.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin, I have a couple questions for you if I 
+could get to that. I believe our colleagues have proposed--I 
+think the number comes down to about a 107 percent increase in 
+the minimum wage. What percentage was the minimum wage 
+increased by the last time in 2007? Would you have those 
+numbers?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't have them in front of me, but it 
+is much, much lower. I mean, it was about a $2 increase.
+    Mr. Walker. Ok. So percentage wise, it is about 40, 45 
+percent, somewhere in that range. Would you say there were some 
+disruptions in the labor market immediately following the 
+minimum wage increase, and could you take just a few seconds or 
+a minute to describe those for us?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So that minimum wage increase was 
+implemented during the depths of the Great Recession and the 
+early parts of the recovery. If you look in the data, teen 
+unemployment is markedly higher there. I think there is little 
+reason to doubt that is, in part, attributed to the minimum 
+wage increase, a weak economy, very, very few skills in that 
+population. They didn't get hired.
+    Mr. Walker. Back in my home area of Greensboro, I think of 
+my friend who has a yogurt shop there in Northern Greensboro. 
+It is not his primary source of income because they just kind 
+of break even, but he has about six to eight individuals who 
+make around $8 to $10 an hour. It is basically an after-school 
+for some younger people to be able to have some time. I think 
+he even has some of his family members just to cover some 
+shifts there. I know this , and I have talked with him about 
+this, if they were to go to $15 an hour, he would be defunct. 
+The place would no longer be in business. If we were to move 
+forward on such standards that are suggested, do you think that 
+there would be a drastic change to specifically the labor 
+market if this was to be adopted?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. This is, I think, a recipe for very few 
+opportunities for the younger, less skilled, less experienced 
+workers, and that first step on the job market ladder of 
+success is an incredibly important one, and I think that is 
+something to be deeply concerned about. As I mentioned in my 
+opening, I think it has been underappreciated what went on in 
+2018. The fact that the economy, having already reached low 
+levels of unemployment, could pull so many people into the 
+labor market and into employment, over 200,000 jobs a month, 
+means that we were taking people who had given up, who had no 
+attachment to work, and now they have one. Anything that does 
+that has great long-running success. This might do the reverse.
+    Mr. Walker. Well let's speak, then, on the younger people. 
+I remember my first job there in my small town in Milton, 
+Florida. I worked at the Piggly Wiggly grocery store for $3.35 
+an hour. I did get wise to who might tip me $0.50 for carrying 
+their bags out back when you could do that. To add or pad that 
+a little bit.
+    What kind of benefit is it to some of our younger people to 
+be able to develop these entry-level skilled positions or even 
+those skilled positions? Can you speak to the generalization of 
+that? I know that is not a hard data point, but do you have any 
+evidence supporting that?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. We know that work is good for people. 
+People want to work. They feel better when they work. There is 
+an enormous amount of on-the-job skills that are learned, 
+especially early, and those skills are general skills that 
+transfer from job to job. So getting people in, acquiring those 
+skills is a very important part of the labor market dynamics.
+    Mr. Walker. And one potential effect of more than doubling 
+the Federal minimum wage is that small businesses will simply 
+close the doors as I have mentioned. This is extremely 
+concerning to me as we have over 890 small businesses in North 
+Carolina alone employing about 1.6 million workers.
+    Any evidence showing that increasing the minimum wage to 
+$15 could possibly lead to some of these businesses closing 
+like the one that I mentioned. Do you have other evidence to 
+support that?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would be happy to get it back to you 
+with as to estimates. That is an important dynamic. I think it 
+is especially important right now. One of the characteristics 
+of the U.S. economy is that we have seen fewer business 
+startups than historically. Indeed, a couple years back, 
+business startups fell for the first time below business 
+closings. That lack of dynamism I think is troubling. We don't 
+want to get in the way of that.
+    Mr. Walker. And I think we all should be sensitive to some 
+of the families and with Mr. Wise's situation, people that 
+there is a gap that cut through here, and our heart goes to out 
+to them. The financial crisis, as a former pastor I can tell 
+you I have witnessed it firsthand. But I worry about this one-
+size-fits-all where even some of these proposed minimum wages 
+are even standard of living in places like New York and Boston 
+and other places.
+    And with that, I will yield back to you and I will close 
+out. Yield back to the chairman.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I guess the one thing I would note for 
+this committee, especially this Committee on Education and 
+Labor, the troubling data point in my mind is the fact that if 
+we look at our National Assessment of Education Progress, the 
+NAPE scores, we have got somewhere between a quarter and a 
+third of fourth and eighth graders who aren't reading at grade. 
+They are seriously deficient, and they can't do math at grade. 
+They are seriously deficient. If you want to have a recipe for 
+a big problem going future, let that continue. That is a 
+problem.
+    Chairman Scott. The gentleman from Michigan, Mr. Levin.
+    Mr. Levin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am glad to hear you are in favor of a 
+massive investment in public education. That would be great to 
+raise those scores.
+    Mr. Chairman, if it is all right, I would like to submit 
+for the record a letter from the AFL-CIO legislative director, 
+Bill Samuel, about our hearing topic today.
+    Thank you.
+    Chairman Scott. Without objection.
+    [The information follows:]
+    [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5268.089
+    
+    Mr. Levin. Thank you.
+    So I appreciate all four of you coming. I have learned a 
+lot listening to you.
+    Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I wanted to ask you, you have been a 
+professor and worked in government so many distinguished 
+contributions, have you ever written in favor of raising the 
+minimum wage at any level, written a paper, published a paper?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. No.
+    Mr. Levin. You have never supported raising the minimum 
+wage?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I have never written a paper on that, no.
+    Mr. Levin. Ok. What do you think the ideal minimum wage is, 
+or should there be one at all? Perhaps--it is a perfectly 
+legitimate position--just leave it to market forces, would that 
+be your position?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would prefer to have subnational minimum 
+wages which are tailored to the labor market conditions where 
+people are actually working. So I have lots of reservations 
+about any number for the Federal minimum wage. It doesn't match 
+any labor market.
+    Mr. Levin. Even $5 an hour, say, $2 an hour?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. We are already at 7, so 5 would be fine.
+    Mr. Levin. Were you opposed to going to 7?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I didn't have an opinion on that debate, 
+to be honest.
+    Mr. Levin. You didn't?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I was not at this table and was not asked.
+    Mr. Levin. I know you weren't at this table, but you are an 
+important thinker on these. I am being, in all seriousness, I 
+am just trying to understand.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I know. I am being serious too. I am not a 
+fan of minimum wage increases for the reasons I explained at 
+the outset.
+    Mr. Levin. Thank you. That is what I thought.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. And--no, it is this and this very 
+particular thing: If you do it, the best possible outcome is no 
+harm. The only debate we have is over how much harm. And the 
+nature of that harm is to take money from people who don't have 
+a job and give it to people who do have a job. I don't think 
+that is right.
+    Mr. Levin. I don't think the data support that, but I 
+appreciate your point of view. In fact, in 1949, according to 
+Dr. Spriggs' figures, we raised the minimum wage by 88 percent 
+and 91.4 percent of Republicans voted in favor of that. So we 
+have raised the minimum wage significantly before.
+    In this case, we are talking about raising it over a 5-year 
+period. So the notion that my friends, some of my friends on 
+the other side of the aisle talking about a shock, this 
+immediate thing of doubling the minimum wage, that is factually 
+completely inaccurate. That is not what we are proposing.
+    We are proposing raising it to get it back toward what it 
+was, not toward what it was as a percentage of productivity, 
+but at least toward what it was in dollar figures, close to 
+what it was in earlier times.
+    Mr. Wise, I really was interested in something you said a 
+couple of times about you are not just here advocating for a 
+living wage for your family, but also for the freedom to form a 
+union. Could you explain that a little further?
+    Mr. Wise. Well, yes. It is kind of like, you know, you get 
+more done together than you can alone, and that was evidenced 
+in my life. Like I said, I have asked the boss for a raise in 
+the nicest ways for years, tell him I need benefits for years, 
+and it just falls on deaf ears.
+    And not only that, but when you look back at American 
+history, when we join a movement we learn about history. We 
+know that for women to get voting rights, they had to come 
+together collectively. Any labor laws that we want or any 
+advances in the labor movement, we had to do it together. To 
+end slavery, it took a movement, civil rights movement, to 
+improve the lives of people in this country.
+    And that is what it is all about. And that is what I like 
+to instill in my daughters as well, that we get more done 
+together than we can alone, and we can go so much farther as 
+long as we stand together. And a union, you know, going to work 
+every day now is like going into a dictatorship, you know. I 
+have no voice, no opinion.
+    I can remember the first job at Taco Bell, we at least had 
+a comment box. Now those have all but been eliminated from the 
+workplace. So to be able to come together and have a seat at 
+the table with my employer where we can negotiate healthcare 
+and wages. That is the benefits of a union.
+    Mr. Levin. Thank you so much for coming today and for 
+speaking the truth for your leadership on this national stage. 
+The truth of the matter is that we need to raise our wages for 
+everybody to a basic level of dignity, but unless workers have 
+the power and the freedom to form unions in this country, which 
+they don't today, we are at 6 percent of the private sector 
+being unionized, we will never raise the standard of living for 
+the middle class in this country.
+    And I just want to point out that people have this idea of 
+a lot of workers in my area, auto workers, it is like, you 
+know, they represent the sort of middle class of working class 
+people getting a piece of the middle class. A hundred years 
+ago, when auto workers were in the same fight you are now, my 
+friend, they were poor workers in incredibly unsafe jobs, and 
+it was only by coming together to form a union that they got 
+their little piece of the middle class. So keep on speaking the 
+truth, and thank you so much for your testimony.
+    I yield back, Mr. Chairman.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentleman from Tennessee, Dr. Roe.
+    Mr. Roe. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank all the 
+witnesses for being here, and I appreciate that.
+    In our State of Tennessee, we recognize that we think the 
+way out of poverty are skills. In our State, we provide free 
+community college and free technical school. Anybody there. And 
+if you have lost your job and you want to get educated, we have 
+a Tennessee Reconnect, where you can go to community college or 
+you can go to a technical school. We have 27 of them in the 
+State for free.
+    So that is one of the ways we are attacking this low wage. 
+And what I have seen in my district is I think it is going 
+away, the minimum wage issue and debate. Right now we have a 
+lot more job openings than we do people filling those jobs even 
+where we are. And there is a help wanted sign literally 
+everywhere.
+    And I just looked the other day for H2 workers around the 
+country, H2A workers. The highest is $15.03. That is in 
+Washington State. The national average is almost $13 an hour. 
+And in my district, it is $11.74 an hour. That is now. Five 
+years from now, it is going to be $15 an hour. There are fast 
+food restaurants in my area that are paying $15 an hour today.
+    I can get you a manufacturing job in my hometown today if 
+you are willing to work and you can pass a drug test for $19 an 
+hour. And the skills gap that Dr. Holtz-Eakin is talking about 
+is where one of the biggest problems are, low-skill workers who 
+don't have those skills.
+    I looked up a couple things. I think the minimum wage $15 
+an hour may be very appropriate. It could be even more if you 
+lived in San Francisco. And I just did a few calculations while 
+we are having this. The median price of a home in San Francisco 
+is $1.4 million.
+    Let me run down where I live. I live in the wealthiest 
+county in my district, and the median price of a home is 
+$148,000. Seattle, $725. I have got a town I represent where 
+$90,000 is a median price of a home. Fifteen dollars an hour 
+there is totally different than $15 an hour in New York City or 
+San Francisco or in Bend, Oregon, where it is $433,000 for a 
+home, or Portland where it is $449,000 for a home.
+    So I just looked those numbers up just a moment ago. In 
+Kansas City, it is $147,000, a little cheaper place to live 
+than Washington or these other places.
+    And if my colleagues on the other side of the aisle are 
+willing to do this, I am more than willing to look at a minimum 
+wage if you will look at the Medicare Wage Index, where the 
+Federal Government says it is Ok to pay me and my hospital 
+where I live 73 cents on the dollar and pay people in 
+California $1.50 to do exactly the same thing.
+    The government is already making a difference in what they 
+pay, depending on where you live. So it makes sense to let 
+local communities decide those things, based on the economic 
+conditions in that community.
+    I would like to yield to Dr. Holtz-Eakin, if he could 
+comment on that.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would comment on two things: First, I 
+commend you for your discussion about the community colleges. 
+There is an enormous amount of evidence that is a relatively 
+low-cost, very valuable way to go in getting workers new skills 
+or skills to begin with. And I think that is something to think 
+about more broadly for the U.S.
+    And then I have said this many times today, I won't belabor 
+it, there are hundreds of local labor markets that are very, 
+very different, and to just jack up a national average to $15 
+is going to dramatically impact some of them, because it is 
+inappropriate.
+    Mr. Roe. And I agree with that. And I think where we are, a 
+wage, a minimum wage, there is no question, to hire qualified 
+people, you have to pay more than $7.25 unless it is a high 
+school student that is just entering the labor force.
+    And I think the other thing that I took a little bit of 
+offense at today is I have been an employer my entire life, and 
+I didn't keep everything. I provided health benefits and 
+retirement benefits because why? The most valuable person in my 
+business were my employees. They were the most valuable person 
+I had. I value them. Right here in this U.S. Congress where I 
+hire people, the most valuable people are my employees who work 
+with me every day.
+    So I certainly know if you have got a good employee, that 
+is the most valuable person in there and you are going to pay 
+them what you can afford to pay them to keep them in your 
+business. And with a growing labor market, they have more 
+options, and that is a good thing when a person can go from one 
+job to another and transport and make more money, and that is 
+what we are seeing right now and it is about time for middle 
+class working people--and I grew up in that kind of family, my 
+dad was a factory worker and my mother was a bank teller--to 
+see wages going up for middle class people.
+    I yield back.
+    The Chairman. Thank you. The gentlelady from Washington, 
+Ms. Jayapal.
+    Ms. Jayapal. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank you all for 
+being here.
+    I am from Seattle. I proudly represent the district that 
+passed the highest minimum wage in the country. I was on the 
+committee that wrote the legislation. I have heard testimony 
+for years similar to some of the testimony we have heard here. 
+And I want to start by saying none of that would be possible 
+without the work of people like Mr. Wise and all of the people 
+that are in the room that have been on the streets, that have 
+been in your employer's workplaces demanding a $15 minimum 
+wage. That is where the energy has come from.
+    I also want to say, Dr. Spriggs, that we are proud in 
+Washington State to have one of the highest minimum wages in 
+the country indexed to inflation, going all the way back to 
+1998. And from 2001 onwards, we have indexed our minimum wage. 
+And that was part of--that was really the product of a strong 
+labor movement.
+    So you articulated so beautifully why it is important to 
+have collective bargaining, to have organizing, in order to 
+really work with employers to make sure that workers who are 
+driving profits--because let's be clear about where profits 
+come from, they come from workers who drive those profits--are 
+rewarded for that.
+    So, Mr. Wise, I just wanted to give you a little bit more 
+of a chance to talk also about your colleagues. You have spoken 
+so beautifully about your own situation. Tell me if that 
+experience reflects what your colleagues are also feeling at 
+McDonald's?
+    Mr. Wise. It has. And I can tell you even before this 
+moment and before the movement, you know, I would work every 
+day with my colleagues and we would share the same stories of 
+how we struggle to pay bills, come to work depressed because 
+the gas is up, you know, skipping meals, the same thing. 
+Whether it was Suzy, my Hispanic coworker, Ellen, my white 
+coworker, me myself, we all were going through the same trials 
+and dilemmas. And we all did what? Woke up every day and went 
+to work. It is not like we weren't working hard.
+    And another thing I looked around, the myth of this being 
+jobs for teenagers. These are McDonald's workers with me here 
+today. We are hardworking adults raising families, you know 
+what I am saying? So it was no way, no individual way to fix 
+the problem by ourself. We would just soak in it and go to work 
+and take it. But we figured out quickly that when you can 
+organize, come together and amplify your voice, you know, act 
+like a union even before we win our union, we were able to get 
+things done. We were able to change the narrative in this 
+country.
+    Like I said, 6 years ago we started hearing about 15. That 
+number 15, Amazon and everyone else you hear, it just didn't 
+come out of thin air. These employers didn't wake up oneS day, 
+you know what, let's go 15. That is because of what workers in 
+this room and myself have been doing to change the narrative 
+around the country.
+    Ms. Jayapal. Thank you so much, Mr. Wise. And I would just 
+say that the argument around youth employment has been proven 
+false over and over again. When we have the debate in 
+Washington State, the reality is the majority of minimum wage 
+workers today are not teenagers, and I think it is exactly what 
+you said.
+    I wanted to just say to Dr. Holtz-Eakin that you quoted a 
+study on Seattle and the effects of the minimum wage increase. 
+Are you aware, Dr. Wise that study--I assume you are quoting 
+the study from 2017. Are you aware that the exact same 
+researchers put out a study a year later that countered 
+everything that they said, almost every everything that they 
+said in the 2017 study? And just a yes or no or is fine, 
+because I want to go to Dr. Zipperer.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would disagree they countered 
+everything. I know there is another study.
+    Ms. Jayapal. Ok. So there was another study done by the 
+same researchers that had substantially different results than 
+that first study. So, Dr. Zipperer, can you speak to what the 
+research shows around the effects of the Seattle increase in 
+the minimum wage?
+    Mr. Zipperer. I think there is a study that you are 
+referring to or a set of studies by the researchers at the 
+University of Washington. And, like I mentioned earlier, I find 
+both sets of those studies to be completely uninformative about 
+the consequences of the Seattle minimum wage. Those studies 
+find that there are large negative consequences to employment 
+of certain groups of workers and--
+    Ms. Jayapal. You are talking about the 2017 study?
+    Mr. Zipperer. About the 2017 study.
+    Ms. Jayapal. But can you speak about the most recent 
+research that actually counters that and shows that our minimum 
+wage in Seattle has actually increased wages for people that 
+were earning the minimum wage?
+    Mr. Zipperer. The second study that you referred to put out 
+by those researchers found that workers who had jobs prior to 
+the minimum wage increase benefited tremendously from the 
+minimum wage increase, and that they saw higher earnings 
+overall and did not see increased chances of disemployment.
+    Ms. Jayapal. Thank you. Let me just mention that we talked 
+about the tip penalty. That is what I call it, the tip penalty, 
+because part of what happens is that workers who are under a 
+tip, as Dr. Spriggs said, are subject to all kinds of issues; 
+but in addition to that, it is front-of-the-house workers 
+versus back-of-the-house workers when you talk about tips.
+    And so I think we are going to talk about this on the next 
+panel, and I have many more questions and things to say, but I 
+see that my time has expired, Mr. Chairman, so I will yield 
+back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    Mr. Meuser from Pennsylvania.
+    Mr. Meuser. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Dr. Foxx. 
+Thank you all for testifying. We appreciate it.
+    The former Governor of Indiana, Mitch Daniels, had a 
+saying, and it was: My job is to grow the disposable income of 
+Hoosiers. Governor Daniels had that quote put up actually on 
+the door of each of his Cabinet Secretaries' offices. When I 
+served as Revenue Secretary for the Commonwealth of 
+Pennsylvania, I truly shared this vision, and spoke to my 
+department and other Cabinet members about the importance of 
+that role.
+    Government does have a responsibility to help competitive 
+businesses and their families flourish by creating an 
+environment for opportunities for all Americans to achieve 
+economic prosperity and help improve family sustaining wages. 
+However, history shows and data that I review proves that when 
+government takes an overreaching posture, there are, 
+unfortunately, unintended consequences.
+    So I will start with Mr. Eakin. A $15 minimum wage would 
+have the largest impact on small businesses and on young people 
+entering the job market, 2.6 percent of employees at small 
+businesses earn the minimum wage. Large businesses, it is a 
+little bit less, 1.5 percent.
+    I represent a rural, hardworking district in Pennsylvania 
+with thousands of small family businesses. I fear that these 
+small businesses in my district would be negatively affected in 
+the event that a $15 minimum wage was implemented.
+    As someone who helped myself grow a small business into a 
+large business that has, well, a minimum wage much higher than 
+the minimum, I think as most companies do, an implementation of 
+a $15 minimum wage would put tremendous pressure on small 
+business owners. I would think that the business would first 
+attempt to raise prices, which is very difficult to do in 
+competitive markets, global markets.
+    Next, the company would be forced to cut staff, letting go 
+of workers who had done nothing wrong. And when that still 
+wouldn't be enough, business owners would be forced to take 
+away raises historically given to employees who had worked with 
+the business for a longer period of time. And then after that, 
+just be concerned with survival.
+    Can you outline, Mr. Eakin, how historically small 
+businesses have dealt with government-mandated minimum wage 
+increases?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. You have walked through the logic. It is 
+the same logic I discussed earlier. There aren't many places to 
+go. You raise prices, lay people off, don't hire new people, 
+don't give raises, squeeze your payrolls wherever you can 
+because you must. And small businesses have the least 
+capability to survive that, and so, you know, you worry about 
+the impact on them.
+    That is part of the cost of this policy. The emphasis has 
+been on the benefits, but what I wanted to emphasize was if you 
+have a job and you get this raise, that is the good news. The 
+bad news is only under 7% of those benefits go to people in 
+poverty.
+    And so the notion that this is an effective way to provide 
+the benefit of poverty alleviation is vastly overstated. It is 
+a poor instrument for that, and it has significant costs to 
+sectors of the economy like the small business and sectors of 
+the labor force who are young and unskilled or least educated. 
+And that is the unintended consequence that I think has to be 
+focused on.
+    Mr. Meuser. Regarding the Seattle study, and it is 
+certainly quoted often, but not only were there job losses but 
+even the workers who kept their jobs had their hours cut, 
+reduced, which more than offset any pay increase.
+    As a result, my information says the earnings went down 
+$125 per month for those workers who kept their jobs. Are these 
+the kind of tradeoffs Congress should keep in mind when 
+considering an increase in the minimum wage?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes, absolutely. I do want to say I admire 
+Seattle because they decided to check on the success of their 
+policy. I think they are to be lauded for that. And these are 
+very carefully done series of studies. There are other studies 
+which can test results. I mean, that is the way you learn. I 
+applaud that entire effort.
+    But there is a big difference between Seattle deciding to 
+do that, praying that I am wrong, those impacts happen to 
+Seattle and that is their decision. It is very different to do 
+it at the national level, and that is what is being proposed.
+    Mr. Meuser. And as well on a national level, the economies 
+of scale clearly are different from one area to the cost of 
+living in a city. So that in itself answers doing such a 
+mandate nationally.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I agree.
+    Mr. Meuser. Thank you.
+    I yield back my time, Mr. Chairman.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentlelady from Minnesota, Ms. Omar.
+    Ms. Omar. Thank you, Chair, and thank you, Ranking Member, 
+for this important conversation. Thank you to our expert 
+panelists for having this really important conversation.
+    As a union member, I fought to make sure that for dignified 
+work there was dignified pay. And so I wanted to have a little 
+conversation with you all about what that looks like here and 
+the moral imperative that we have to make sure that happens.
+    So, Mr. Wise, thank you so much for your brave testimony 
+and thank you for sharing your story. I wanted to get on the 
+record if you knew what the yearly pay for the CEO of 
+McDonald's was?
+    Mr. Wise. Yes. He makes over $30 million a year, the CEO.
+    Ms. Omar. So the CEO of McDonald's gets paid $21.8 million. 
+Can you share with us what someone in your position at 
+McDonald's gets paid annually?
+    Mr. Wise. Not that much. Not even a fraction of that. But I 
+make $11 an hour at my job currently.
+    Ms. Omar. So the median pay for a McDonald's worker was 
+$7,000 in 2017. And that is the pay gap between the CEO that is 
+making 21.8 to the 7,000 that a worker who has put in 40 hours 
+a day gets paid. And to me, that just morally does not sit 
+well.
+    Dr. Spriggs, I wanted to see if we can talk a little bit 
+about the type of work. I know my colleague earlier from New 
+York said something about different types of work and why it 
+wasn't valuable for everyone to be paid a minimum wage of $15.
+    Can you walk us through the different kinds of jobs and if 
+there have been places like Minnesota or Minneapolis, 
+Minnesota, that has increased the minimum wage or places like 
+Seattle, if there have been types of work that have shifted out 
+of that city or that State because of the increase of that 
+minimum wage.
+    Dr. Spriggs. Thank you, Congresswoman. I mean, one of the 
+interesting things about Seattle is that their wage 
+distribution totally shifted up. And one of the surprises for 
+the researchers was they anticipated that the way that the wage 
+would move that nothing would appear above $20 an hour, and 
+certainly those types of jobs mushroomed. And I think that is 
+the point. When we raise wages from the bottom, we really 
+change the way in which the labor market functions to really 
+allocate workers more fairly.
+    A large share of the minimum people who would be affected 
+by this wage have associate's degrees. It is very hard to 
+understand the pressures that keep those wages down. So this is 
+an important change in the labor market.
+    A lot of people have been saying that, well, you know, the 
+cost of living is different. They are looking as if you make 
+$174,000 a year and have health insurance. Yes, it is a 
+different cost of living and maybe you might want to address 
+someone like that. But if you are a low-wage worker in Alabama, 
+you don't have Medicaid. If you are a low-wage worker in rural 
+parts of Alabama, you have to have a means of transportation to 
+get to a job. If you are in a city like Washington, DC, you 
+have Medicaid and you have public transportation.
+    So you can't really look at the differences in the cost of 
+living in the way that people want to propose it here, because 
+of the barriers that face workers in these low-wage 
+communities. Their communities appear to be, quote/unquote, 
+``low cost,'' but they are very high cost. They get low wages. 
+And this was in the debate originally in 1937, where people 
+from low-wage areas wanted to argue about low cost. They just 
+haven't lived the life of a low-wage person.
+    Ms. Omar. Yes. And, Doctor, thank you so much for 
+mentioning that, because I want to draw attention to testimony 
+that we have here in written. I don't think the owners of La 
+Quercia are here from Norwalk, Iowa. They are in a city that 
+has 8,000 people and they have decided to pay minimum wage and 
+they are still able to operate.
+    So when we are talking about paying people a minimum wage, 
+we are talking about making sure that there is value in the 
+work that they are doing, and that uplifts workers. It makes 
+sure that they continue to do the hard work. It uplifts that 
+community. It uplifts that city. It uplifts that State because, 
+in return, you also get people who are paying more taxes and it 
+creates an economy that is thriving. So it is not only morally 
+just for us to raise the minimum wage; it is economically 
+feasible and necessary.
+    Thank you so much. I yield back my time.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentleman from Wisconsin, Mr. Grothman.
+    Mr. Grothman. Thank you. Mr. Holtz or Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am 
+going to give you some questions. As I understand it, this 
+bill, if you were going to increase the minimum wage from about 
+7 and a half to $15 an hour the amount you are paying somebody 
+for 1 week of full-time wages--and it is beyond just wages, 
+right, because you have social security, employer's social 
+security taxes and workers' comp. I get your increase, your 
+cost goes up from about 325 to 650 bucks a week per employee. 
+Is that true?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. That sounds right.
+    Mr. Grothman. Ok. Over time--we have kind of covered this 
+area before, but if your cost of anything in life goes up from 
+325 to 650 bucks per week, do you try to make adjustments if 
+you are writing that much bigger of a check?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Certainly. You will try to use less of 
+whatever is more expensive.
+    Mr. Grothman. Anywhere in life?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes.
+    Mr. Grothman. Ok. I am looking at something that was found, 
+a Brookings Institution study, Pathways to Higher Quality Jobs 
+for Young Adults. It points out even later in life people have 
+a tendency to make more money if they were working when they 
+were 16 or 18 years old. Is that true?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes.
+    Mr. Grothman. Is it important, therefore, in life that we 
+have young people get jobs?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I believe so, yes.
+    Mr. Grothman. Ok. And as you mentioned, if we increase the 
+cost of hiring somebody or if we double the cost, somehow you 
+are going to scramble to write less of those checks, whether 
+you put in--I am told from McDonald's, my local McDonald's 
+owners they can put in a lot of equipment that causes you to 
+hire less people. Maybe you could cut hours, Ok. Maybe some 
+marginal restaurants will close. Who is most likely to get laid 
+off when those things happen?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The people with the least skills, the 
+least education, the least experience, the least ability to 
+contribute to the enterprise.
+    Mr. Grothman. I will even ask Dr. Zipperer, is there any 
+doubt that if you double the check you are writing that you are 
+going to somehow try to scramble to write all those checks? Do 
+you believe that?
+    Mr. Zipperer. I think that we have heard these kinds of 
+scare stories about almost every--
+    Mr. Grothman. If you owned a restaurant--I will put it this 
+way: If you owned a restaurant, because we are talking about a 
+restaurant worker here, and you were told--and I think right 
+now the vast majority of people in our society, at least 
+restaurants in my area, judging from the signs out front, are 
+paying more than minimum wage.
+    But let's say you had to jump how much you were paying 
+somebody from $325 to $650 a week, you know, don't you think 
+you would try to hire less people or it would affect the way 
+you run the business? Just like anywhere else in life, if the 
+cost of something doubles, you maybe want to use less of it, 
+not use it at all. Do you think that is true?
+    Mr. Zipperer. I think what the research shows on 
+restaurants and their responses to minimum wage increases is 
+that restaurants don't employ fewer workers after a minimum 
+wage increase, but they do change how they operate. In 
+particular, the two channels by which they adjust to a minimum 
+wage increase are, one, it makes it easier for them to hire 
+workers and so worker turnover falls. That is actually a large 
+cost saving for low-wage businesses like restaurants and helps 
+them absorb the minimum wage increase.
+    Mr. Grothman. I will give you one more question, because 
+they only give us 5 minutes.
+    I will ask Mr. Wise a question, because I have only got a 
+minute left. Have you told us here you have been working for 
+your business or for where you work now for 20 years?
+    Mr. Wise. I have been in the fast food industry for 20 
+years and McDonald's for the last six.
+    Mr. Grothman. For 6 years, Ok, and you are making 11 bucks 
+an hour right now?
+    Mr. Wise. Oh, yes.
+    Mr. Grothman. Have you applied to work anywhere else?
+    Mr. Wise. Well, when you look across my city and across 
+many cities in the country, these are the fastest growing jobs, 
+service-based jobs.
+    Mr. Grothman. I know. I am just saying like in my area we 
+got manufacturing. Sometimes people shift from that sort of 
+thing to manufacturing. Maybe they look for fast food where you 
+have a chance to move up and become a shift manager, or 
+whatnot. I am just saying, have you done anything in the last 6 
+years to try to look for a job that pays more than 11 bucks an 
+hour?
+    Mr. Wise. Well, I am a manager. I have been to management 
+training classes. I have been to Safe Serve. I have been 
+certified.
+    Mr. Grothman. Have you looked for any other jobs anywhere 
+else that pay more than 11 bucks an hour?
+    Mr. Wise. Less than half of my city makes less than $15 an 
+hour. There aren't jobs readily available.
+    Mr. Grothman. Have you applied for any other jobs?
+    Mr. Wise. Oh, definitely. I have looked for jobs in my 
+city, you know. They are all low-wage jobs. They are paying 
+poverty wages.
+    Mr. Grothman. Somebody else talked about drive trucks. Have 
+you ever tried to do that sort of thing?
+    Mr. Wise. No, I never tried driving tractor-trailers or 
+anything like that.
+    Mr. Grothman. Not even tractor-trailer, just delivery 
+truck, that sort of thing.
+    Mr. Wise. No.
+    Mr. Grothman. Ok, thanks.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentlelady from Nevada, Ms. Lee.
+    Mrs. Lee. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    For much of my career, I have focused on helping young 
+children graduate from high school, some of the most at risk 
+students in Nevada. And poverty is the most significant barrier 
+to educational success. And I would like to say that a story 
+like Mr. Wise's is the exception, not the rule.
+    But when you think about the stress that you as a young man 
+and your family went under, having to work two and three jobs 
+to make ends meet, then you having to pitch in and, thus, 
+dropping out of high school, to me that depicts that not only 
+are we talking about minimum wage, but we are talking about a 
+lost opportunity cost.
+    And the Congressman Grothman who asked you about did you 
+apply for another job, well, a lot of jobs that are higher 
+paying require additional training. And if I recall, you 
+basically said there were weeks on end where you had days where 
+you did not have a day off. Is that correct?
+    Mr. Wise. Yes.
+    Mrs. Lee. So I think we need to take note of the lost 
+opportunity cost of not increasing a minimum wage here.
+    So I want to thank you for the courage that you had in 
+giving that testimony. I think it was incredibly important. 
+And, again, I wish it were one that isn't as common as it is.
+    And I now want to ask Dr. Zipperer a question with respect 
+to that. Looking at these barriers in youth, I am hoping that 
+you can inform us what the impact of increasing the minimum 
+wage will have on children in our country.
+    Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for the question. My colleague 
+David Cooper at the Economic Policy Institute has recently 
+conducted an analysis showing the benefits of raising the 
+minimum wage to $15 by 2024. And in particular, raising the 
+minimum wage to that level by 2024 would raise the wages of 
+parents of nearly 14 million children. That is nearly one-fifth 
+of all U.S. children would have a parent that experienced a 
+minimum wage increase.
+    Mrs. Lee. Thank you.
+    Mr. Chairman, I request unanimous consent to offer this 
+letter into the record from First Focus Campaign for Children, 
+explaining the economic impact of increasing the minimum wage 
+on children in our country.
+    Chairman Scott. Without objection.
+    [The information follows:]
+    [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5268.090
+    
+    Mrs. Lee. Mr. Zipperer or Dr. Zipperer, I have another 
+question. There is this fear-mongering about the notion of 
+workers losing their jobs because of an increase. Can you tell 
+us how or why this notion of job loss is misleading, and is it 
+possible that workers would be able to work fewer hours but 
+still earn a stronger income, thus having the time to pursue, 
+perhaps, education that would put them in a position to achieve 
+a higher-paying job?
+    Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for the question. Yes, I think 
+there are three ways in which this phrase ``job loss'' is 
+misleading when we are talking about the minimum wage. First is 
+that the vast body of research published in the last 15 years 
+or at least since 2001 establishes very clearly that the 
+employment effects of the minimum wage are small to zero. That 
+is the average study in that literature.
+    And I would argue, in my judgment, the best studies also 
+strengthen that conclusion, finding little negative employment 
+effects of the minimum wage. So that is the first way in which 
+job loss is misleadingly characterized as the consequences to 
+the minimum wage.
+    The second reason is that even studies that either find or 
+assume that there is going to be job loss, typically the 
+benefits to workers outweigh the job loss that those workers 
+experience. So just looking at it from terms of cost and 
+benefits, raising the minimum wage still has benefits that 
+outweigh the cost.
+    The third point and the reason why job loss is a misleading 
+phrase applied to the minimum wage, is that, just as you 
+indicated at the end of your question, if there is some 
+reduction in the number of hours worked by workers, which I 
+don't necessarily subscribe to, but if that is the case, 
+workers can still earn more over the course of the year because 
+they are earning a higher wage and, therefore, would be better 
+off.
+    Mrs. Lee. And perhaps spend time with their family as well.
+    One final thing. Oh, I am sorry, I think I am going to run 
+out of time, so I will yield the floor. Thanks.
+    Chairman Scott. The gentleman from Pennsylvania, Mr. 
+Thompson.
+    Mr. Thompson. Thank you, Chairman. Thanks for hosting this 
+hearing. It is a very important topic.
+    You know, I don't want anyone who is a primary earner in 
+their home, you know, responsible to provide for their family 
+to earn just minimum wage. You know, and I don't care what that 
+minimum wage level is, to tell you the truth. You know, it will 
+always be the minimum wage.
+    And some of the consequences that we have seen is that we 
+will see that raising minimum wage, you know, raises the cost 
+of many basic necessities. We also see that more times than not 
+minimum wage increases results in the Federal income threshold 
+for what qualifies as poverty to go up, sweeping more families 
+technically into poverty. And if it is done technically, it is 
+done for good reasons, because the value of that earned dollar 
+lessens.
+    But, again, I want to say I don't want to see anyone who is 
+supporting a family who is the primary earner earn minimum 
+wage. That is why I work so hard to support restoring ladders, 
+rungs on a ladder of opportunity. And this committee did great 
+work in that area with the Career and Technical Education bill 
+President Trump signed. I believe it was on July 31st we were 
+at the White House.
+    We put an additional billion dollars on top of what we 
+already invest in career and technical education training. And 
+we know there are 7 million jobs that are out there today, and 
+that number is climbing. It is compounded and getting larger 
+because of the retirement of the baby boomers, but it is also 
+growing because of the growth of the economy and the jobs that 
+are being created.
+    So I am not saying those opportunities are equal. I mean, 
+sometimes communities and cities, places, for whatever, based 
+on whatever is going on there, perhaps they don't have as many 
+opportunities; but nationwide, that is the scenario that we are 
+seeing. And that is why I, when it comes to better wages, 
+especially for those who are primary providers for their 
+families, I want them on those ladders of opportunity. And I 
+think this committee did some really good work to restore that 
+with resources and reforms to that program.
+    I also get the point--and, unfortunately, she left. I 
+appreciated the passion of the gentlelady from Seattle. You 
+know, it is situational. It is geographical. And just to share 
+a couple numbers. I am from Pennsylvania. In Pennsylvania, the 
+average, the median home value in Pennsylvania is $172,000. In 
+our largest city--I tried to pick a big city that compared to 
+Seattle, you know--it is $158,500 right now, and that was after 
+a 12.7 percent increase in value this past year. Washington 
+State, it is $379,500. And in Seattle, the median home value is 
+over $725,000. I get it. But that is a geographical issue. That 
+is not a one-size-fits-all solution of a Federal minimum wage.
+    And so I appreciate her passion and I appreciate her local 
+leadership of serving the folks in Seattle who are incurring 
+such a--I mean, it is just a--what a terrible situation for 
+folks who are living paycheck to paycheck and struggling.
+    And so, Dr. Holtz-Eakin, great to see you again. A real 
+quick question here: Your testimony cites a 2014 study by 
+Jeffrey Clemens and Michael Wither that shows a hike in the 
+minimum wage is likely to increase the occurrence of unpaid 
+internships.
+    Would a 107 percent increase in the Federal minimum wage 
+hurt students and young adults who are trying to enter into 
+that work force and to get that basic experience, you know, to 
+be able to launch successful careers that hopefully eventually 
+will be with family sustaining wages?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I have an intern program. I don't know if 
+I would if you doubled the minimum wage. They are paid minimum 
+wage. And that is an issue. And that is the starting rung, and 
+everything I have said earlier today applies to the intern 
+programs across this country as well as the full-time 
+employees.
+    Mr. Thompson. Thank you.
+    I know we have another panel, so in the effort of 
+efficiency I will yield back, Mr. Chairman.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you.
+    The gentlelady from Georgia, Mrs. McBath.
+    Mrs. McBath. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I want to thank 
+you for holding this hearing today. And I would like to thank 
+the witnesses who are here to discuss the importance of raising 
+the Federal minimum wage for Americans.
+    It is time for us to raise the minimum wage and to have 
+these very, very important conversations. Too many in our 
+Nation are working hard, but are definitely not seeing their 
+wages budge. The Federal minimum wage has been stuck at $7.25 
+per hour since 2009. And in that time, costs have gone up 
+significantly.
+    In my home State of Georgia, the minimum wage workers make 
+only $7.25, and even for those who work 40 hours per week, it 
+is nearly impossible for them to make a living. Now, this 
+translates into lost value and lost purchasing power for the 
+American worker, not just for those that are earning the 
+minimum wage, but also for those that make more that have not 
+seen wage growth in a resurgent economy.
+    We need to raise the minimum wage to help families make 
+ends meet, but we also need to do it in a way that protects 
+jobs and small businesses in our communities. Our country is 
+made up of many different regional economies, but only one 
+Federal minimum wage across the board.
+    This is an old model that truly ignores the basic reality 
+of cost of living differences. The cost of everything from rent 
+to a carton of milk to a haircut is different from one part of 
+the United States to another, and our minimum wage should 
+account for those differences. $1 in Macon, Georgia, is 
+different than $1 in Roswell, Georgia. And $1 in Roswell is 
+different than a dollar in San Francisco and New York City. We 
+need a Federal minimum wage policy that works for rural, 
+suburban, as well as urban Americans. A $15 minimum wage might 
+be right for San Francisco, but what about Birmingham? What 
+about Cleveland? What about Houston and Raleigh?
+    Jared Bernstein, who served as a member of President 
+Obama's Economic team and he also held the post of Deputy Chief 
+Economist at the U.S. Department of Labor between 1995 and 
+1996, he discussed this very topic in an article that he wrote 
+for the New York Times, when the Obama Administration proposed 
+to raise the national minimum wage to $10.10. He wrote: When we 
+adjust the national minimum wage of $10.10 for regional 
+differences, these are the amounts you would need to have the 
+same buying power: $11.94 in Washington, DC. and $11.40 in 
+California, but only $8.90 in Alabama and $9.08 in Kansas.
+    My goal is truly to make sure that folks in rural 
+communities, communities of color, and distressed communities 
+are not adversely affected by well-intentioned minimum wage 
+policies that raise the minimum wage to a higher point or to a 
+point that is higher than the local economies can handle.
+    Now, we are all in agreement that the minimum wage needs to 
+be raised to help Americans, but I would like to learn more 
+about how this will be received in every part of the country.
+    So, Mr. Zipperer, my question is for you, would the $15 
+minimum wage under this bill be applied with any consideration 
+for differences in local cost of living or is it just one flat 
+rate across the country?
+    Mr. Zipperer. The $15 minimum wage bill of the Raise the 
+Wage Act of 2019 is $15 across the country, but States, cities 
+if they can, and localities could raise their minimum wage 
+above that if they desired.
+    Mrs. McBath. So my followup question is, does the $15 
+minimum wage have the same purchasing power in Washington, DC, 
+that it does in rural parts of the country?
+    Mr. Zipperer. No, it has different purchasing power in 
+different parts of the country. But in all parts of the 
+country, including the cities you mentioned, Houston, 
+Cleveland, Raleigh, and in rural parts of the country, rural 
+counties in every State of the United States, workers will need 
+at least $15 an hour in order to purchase basic necessities 
+that attain them a modest yet adequate standard of living.
+    Mrs. McBath. And, Dr. Zipperer, have you heard of the term 
+``regional price parity?''
+    Mr. Zipperer. Yes, I have.
+    Mrs. McBath. Can you explain its meaning and why it exists?
+    Mr. Zipperer. Regional price parities are a tool that we 
+can use to calculate the differences in the cost of living 
+across different areas of the country.
+    Mrs. McBath. Last word: I believe that workers in every 
+part of the country, they deserve a raise, most definitely. So 
+I thank you for answering my questions.
+    And I thank you, Mr. Chairman, for holding this hearing. I 
+hope this is the beginning of what I believe will be very 
+thoughtful and inclusive discussions about how we can raise the 
+minimum wage to a living wage for all communities. And I yield 
+back my time.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentlelady from Massachusetts, Mrs. Trahan.
+    Mrs. Trahan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for 
+holding these hearings. Thank you for hanging in with us today. 
+I know it is a long day to sit on this panel.
+    I grew up in a family that needed two incomes. My mother, 
+she juggled multiple part-time jobs while I was growing up, 
+working more than 40 hours a week and managing to raise us 
+children. So sometimes, you know, when you are removed from 
+that, it is easy to forget that it doesn't leave a lot of time 
+to look for another job. So, Mr. Wise, thank you. I appreciate 
+your testimony.
+    Dr. Zipperer, I want to talk about women and families and 
+the impact that the minimum wage has. Women are nearly two-
+thirds of workers paid the Federal minimum wage of $7.25 per 
+hour. Women are also two-thirds of tipped workers for whom the 
+Federal minimum cash wage is just $2.13 per hour.
+    Throughout my career, I have seen the pay gap in action 
+time and again. Women's overrepresentation in low-wage jobs is 
+one factor driving the persistent wage gap. Women working full 
+time year-round typically are paid just 80 cents for every 
+dollar paid to their male counterparts, and this gap is even 
+wider for women of color.
+    Congress has raised the minimum wage only four times in the 
+past 40 years and enacted the last increase a decade ago. A 
+woman working full time at minimum wage earns just $14,500 
+annually, nearly $5,000 below the poverty line for a mother 
+with two children. You know all this.
+    Dr. Zipperer, what do we know about how the minimum wage 
+would impact the gender pay gap, and what is the evidence from 
+States on how the minimum wage could impact the gender pay gap?
+    Mr. Zipperer. That is a great question. It is true that the 
+minimum wage disproportionately raises wages for women. It 
+benefits women more than men, and that is because, as you 
+outlined in your question, unfortunately, our country's economy 
+pays women excessively low wages. If we were to raise the 
+minimum wage to $15 by 2024, the majority of workers that would 
+benefit from that are women. Close to about 58 percent of the 
+workers who would benefit from a minimum wage increase of that 
+kind would be women.
+    The minimum wage has long been an important tool to reduce 
+gender wage gaps. In particular, the minimum wage has the 
+strongest effects on reducing inequality for women, in that it 
+brings up women at the bottom of the pay scale toward the 
+middle much more strongly for women than it does for men.
+    Mrs. Trahan. Terrific. Thank you. I appreciate that.
+    You know, I know my colleague from Michigan asked about 
+unions and the impact that the minimum wage will have on 
+unions, but if I could just ask one followup question on his 
+terrific inquiry. I do believe that unions have built the 
+middle class. And what should we consider here in Congress--and 
+if this is a better question for you, Dr. Spriggs, feel free to 
+jump in.
+    What should we consider here in Congress to better support 
+men and women in labor so that all workers see improved 
+conditions beyond increasing the minimum wage?
+    Dr. Spriggs. Just as we are having this discussion to 
+modernize the minimum wage, we need to have discussions to 
+modernize our labor laws to restore the ability of American 
+workers to organize. Today, the penalties for violating labor 
+law are de minimus. It is far cheaper for a firm to fire 
+workers, to intimidate them, then it is for them to let them 
+have a voice. It is unfair to have employers engaged in closed 
+conversations with employees to intimidate them out of their 
+democratic right to vote about whether they want to be in a 
+union.
+    There are a number of other changes we need to make to make 
+sure that workers will be at the table so that as productivity 
+continues to increase, workers get to say, where is my share of 
+the productivity increase, which hasn't happened in the last 40 
+years.
+    Mrs. Trahan. Thank you. Thanks so much for all your 
+testimony, and I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from New York, Mr. 
+Morelle.
+    Mr. Morelle. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for holding this 
+valuable hearing to discuss gradually raising the minimum wage. 
+And thank you to the panel and the witnesses for being here 
+today to share their expertise.
+    I do want to note, in my home State of New York we have one 
+of the highest minimum wages in the nation. And I was proud to 
+support gradually increasing the minimum wage to $15, which is 
+what it is in the city of New York and other parts of New York. 
+It is going to be $15 in just a few years, as we deal with some 
+regional differences. And that happened, I had the privilege of 
+being the majority leader in the assembly when we do that. And 
+I look forward to hopefully achieving that here in the Nation's 
+Capitol as well, to ensure that all Americans working full time 
+can live safely and sustainably above the poverty line.
+    If I might, Mr. Chair, I would like to ask Dr. Zipperer if 
+you would just talk about the studies evaluating minimum wage 
+increases. Is it your view that raising the minimum wage will 
+result in negative economic consequences for low-wage workers, 
+as some have suggested?
+    Mr. Zipperer. No, it is not my view. I think that the best 
+studies show that minimum wages have been very successful in 
+raising the wages of low-wage workers without those negative 
+employment effects, but you also don't have to take my word for 
+it. You can just look at the studies published over the last 15 
+years and that the average study and the typical study finds 
+very small to no employment effects.
+    Mr. Morelle. If I might just followup with you, Dr. 
+Zipperer, obviously, people have testified it is important that 
+the Raise the Wage Act have a gradual increase, the cost 
+adjustment over time, which obviously benefits so that, from a 
+public policy point of view, 10 years don't go by, 6 years go 
+by without an increase and you are essentially having to jump 
+up a considerable degree in a single year.
+    Have you calculated what the $15 minimum wage, if it were 
+enacted today, what it would translate to in 5 or 6 years, in 
+terms of what the adjustment would bring us to?
+    Mr. Zipperer. Right. So under the Raise the Wage Act of 
+2019, a $15 minimum wage would be fully phased in by 2024. And 
+if you account for projected increases in the cost of living 
+over that time period, that is equivalent to about a $13 
+minimum wage today.
+    Mr. Morelle. Got you. So there obviously would be some 
+erosion because of the impacts of inflation so $15, as we are 
+thinking about it in 2024, isn't the same as $15 today. It is 
+$13. Is that what I understand?
+    Mr. Zipperer. That is correct.
+    Mr. Morelle. Thank you. If I could just followup, relative 
+to that in the purchasing power, I have given some thought to 
+trying to understand what the historical high point was of the 
+minimum wage relative to the median wage of the American worker 
+and, in a sense, what is the $7.25 minimum wage compared now to 
+that median or typical worker's wages. Do you understand that 
+question? Could you comment on that?
+    Mr. Zipperer. Yes. Thanks for the question. So, at the 
+highest point, the minimum wage in 1968 was close to about 53 
+percent of the full-time, full-year workers' median wage at 
+that time period. Now, the national minimum wage of $7.25 is 
+about a third or about 32, 33 percent of the full-time, full-
+year median wage.
+    Mr. Morelle. Which is obviously a dramatic, dramatic 
+decline, more than half. In 1960--what year did you quote, the 
+first--
+    Mr. Zipperer. 1968 is the high point of the minimum wage. 
+The minimum wage has fallen since 1968 over the last 50 years. 
+It has fallen in real terms, terms adjusted for the increase of 
+cost of living, by about 28, 29 percent.
+    Mr. Morelle. Obviously, dramatic.
+    If I might, Mr. Wise, and thank you for your testimony 
+earlier today and for being a part of this. But could you just 
+describe the challenges that your family would face in your 
+situation during a family emergency when you had an unexpected 
+expenditure of an essential? How do you and your family and 
+others presumably in the same situation, how do you respond to 
+that? How do you deal with that?
+    Mr. Wise. Well, first and foremost, it is frightening, 
+because we are truly one missed paycheck away from being 
+homeless. So there is no such thing as being sick or having to 
+call in or a family emergency. Refrigerator breaking down, car 
+breaks, any of that going out is catastrophic, basically, for 
+me and my family. So it is just--it is all pure luck, you know, 
+hoping everything is Ok every day.
+    Mr. Morelle. And if I could also, Dr. Spriggs, what are, in 
+your view, the lasting impacts to wage and wealth levels to 
+regions of the country from the minimum wage coverage 
+exclusions in the Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938?
+    And just as a followup, would a regional minimum wage in 
+2019 lock in income and wealth disparities that were born of 
+that racially motivated exclusions to the FLSA?
+    Dr. Spriggs. Thank you for the question. The only example I 
+can give you of a proposal to do, quote/unquote, ``parity pay'' 
+is from the Third Way. And when you look at the chart of what 
+they think are the areas that have these wonderful lives at low 
+wages because of pay parity, it looks exactly like a 
+distribution of the Black population.
+    If you agree to those regional pay ideas, which Congress 
+debated extensively in 1937 and rejected, extensively in 1966 
+and rejected, you won't be accepting a new idea, you will be 
+cementing an old idea that got rejected twice and you will 
+create a racial pay disparity.
+    It will be, once again, America understands the problem, we 
+are going to pass a labor law that improves the lives of 
+American workers, and Black workers will be told, the bus is 
+full when it pulls out. If you do that, that is what you will 
+be doing.
+    Mr. Morelle. Thank you for the question.
+    Just in closing, Mr. Chair and colleagues, I just do note 
+that I represent a district in New York State, but many people 
+when they hear the words ``New York'' assume it is metro New 
+York and the city, where now the minimum wage is $15 an hour. 
+Despite that, and I live in a community of about a million 
+people in the Rochester, New York, metro area, Upstate New 
+York, there were concerns about how the increase in the minimum 
+wage would impact an economy that is the vestiges of a 
+manufacturing economy and transitioning.
+    And despite all the concerns that we heard from people 
+about raising the minimum wage, it has really been something 
+that has been greeted largely with support, certainly from the 
+labor community and from people who are working very, very hard 
+to make ends meet. And from what I can see, it has benefited 
+our community greatly, and I certainly hope we pass this 
+legislation in the Congress and make it the law of the land. So 
+thank you.
+    Thank you again, Mr. Chairman. I yield back my time.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    And next is the gentlelady from Washington, Dr. Schrier.
+    Ms. Schrier. Hi. Good afternoon. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    And I want to thank all of you. I have really enjoyed your 
+testimony today.
+    I really appreciate, first of all, Dr. Spriggs, your 
+comments in particular about tipping, because I was unaware of 
+that history, and I think that was very eye-opening.
+    I also wanted to thank you all, but I also appreciate the 
+clarification about Washington State. That is where I am from. 
+We are gradually increasing to a $15 minimum wage, and it has 
+worked well for the State.
+    The one study out of the University of Washington got a lot 
+of eyes when that first came out, but it has become clear that 
+is an outlier study and that for the most part we have done 
+very well with this. Businesses are thriving, and people are 
+thriving.
+    I would also, for people up here who think that $15 is too 
+much, I would just note that although my district starts in the 
+suburbs of Seattle, in Seattle proper you need to have a salary 
+of at least $70,000 a year to afford a one-bedroom apartment.
+    And so I want to just remind everybody that we are talking 
+about a minimum, and that $15, as we have heard many times, is 
+a minimum for the whole country, and there are parts, like 
+where I live, where you would need far more.
+    I did have a question to just drill down a little bit on 
+tips, because I want to make sure that we are taking care of 
+everybody.
+    The way that I am wrapping my head around this is I think 
+about all of the workers in a restaurant, for example, and that 
+if we have, for example, a $15 minimum wage for the wait staff, 
+and they get generous tips on top of that, but the chef in the 
+kitchen is not getting that added bonus and maybe isn't getting 
+tipped out enough from the wait staff or the host. And so I 
+want to think through whether there might be unintended 
+consequences in the social relationships at work.
+    I also wanted to talk about the difference between when you 
+have a subminimum wage, you know, $2 or whatever it is, and 
+then workers are reliant on tips, which to me seems very 
+tenuous, versus people who are guaranteed that if they don't 
+make at least 15 an hour that they will have that as a floor 
+and the tips would be over and the difference in poverty level 
+between those two groups.
+    Dr. Spriggs, maybe I will go to you.
+    Dr. Spriggs. I would like to speak to that first. And thank 
+you very much for the question because it gets to people who 
+think this is easy to regulate.
+    The way that many restaurants run, they either force 
+pooling of the tips, so that the host who might get a bigger 
+tip or the waiter who might get the bigger tip can then share 
+it with busboys.
+    Some restaurants violate the law because they consider some 
+back workers who should get a minimum wage. They think they are 
+supposed to get tipped. It is a nightmare. And when the wages 
+are pooled, now, at some high-end restaurants, perhaps they let 
+the staff control it, but many restaurants want to claim the 
+pool tips are theirs, and then we dole them out to make sure we 
+meet the minimum, it gets very complicated.
+    And, yes, the social relations are complicated because time 
+and again, unfortunately, there is a difference between the 
+race and gender of these different jobs, and inevitably that 
+causes a friction in and of itself in terms of who will get 
+what.
+    So it is going to be a more fraught problem if the real 
+minimum goes up and the tip minimum stays down, because the gap 
+that has to be made up is going to be bigger and bigger and 
+bigger. There is no assurance that will happen.
+    And people need to remember that it is not the fancy 
+restaurants that people in this room go to. The bulk of these 
+workers are at low wage restaurants. They don't work where the 
+tip is going to be $25. They work where the tip is going to be 
+$3.
+    So it is far more complicated to regulate than people 
+understand, and this is the true solution. It closes a gender 
+inequality bigger than anything else we could do to close the 
+gender inequality when it comes to wage theft sexual 
+harassment.
+    Ms. Schrier. Thank you.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentlelady from Ohio, Ms. Fudge.
+    Ms. Fudge. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman.
+    And thank you all so much for being here. Forgive me. I 
+have had three committee hearings today, so I have been in and 
+out. So if I ask you something that has already been asked, 
+please forgive me.
+    Dr. Holtz-Eakin, when I was in earlier I heard you talking 
+about ``these people.'' Who are ``these people'' that you--you 
+have used the word ``these people'' at least three times while 
+I was sitting in this room. Who would you describe as ``these 
+people''?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am not sure what the context was, 
+Congresswoman.
+    Ms. Fudge. You were talking about that $15 wouldn't help 
+``these people.'' So who are ``these people''?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The workers that I am most concerned about 
+are those with the least skills, education, and experience.
+    Ms. Fudge. So are they poor? Are they Black? Are they 
+White? Who are ``these people''? I am just saying that you 
+shouldn't use it if you don't know what you are talking about.
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I know who I am worried about in the labor 
+market, and those are the people.
+    Ms. Fudge. I think it is very insensitive. But neither here 
+nor there.
+    Dr. Spriggs, corporations are making more money today than 
+they have ever made. They are making even more money this year 
+as they have benefited from the Republican tax scam giveaway to 
+the richest people in this country. We have also reduced what 
+they would pay in estate taxes. So we have basically said to 
+them: Rich people, we want you to get richer.
+    It is ridiculous to me, knowing that the wage gap is 
+getting bigger, the wealth gap is getting bigger, that someone 
+would say to me that because someone makes $15 an hour, there 
+is no money to pay them. I just don't understand it.
+    Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am assuming you make more than $15. I 
+don't want to make an assumption, but do you make more than $15 
+an hour?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I assume so. I am not paid by the hour.
+    Ms. Fudge. If you give me your salary for last year, I will 
+tell you how much you make an hour. I am sure it is more than 
+$15. And the sky is not falling. The sky is not falling because 
+you make more than $15 an hour, and it will not fall if these 
+people sitting in this room make $15 an hour.
+    It is just not believable to me that you could say that if 
+we pay people $15 an hour, everything is going to collapse. You 
+know what I mean? You have to stop crying wolf. It is not true. 
+There is no evidence to prove it is true.
+    What we are doing today is saying that we have the ability 
+to pay people a decent wage, but we refuse. We have the 
+ability, but we have not the will. So it is Ok for rich people 
+to get richer and poor people to get poorer.
+    I just think it is ludicrous to say that the richest nation 
+in the world cannot pay people a decent wage. It is 
+unconscionable, it is mean, and it is cruel.
+    And with that, Mr. Chairman, if someone would like to claim 
+the balance of my time. Does someone need my time?
+    Chairman Scott. You can yield to the gentlelady from 
+Connecticut.
+    Ms. Fudge. I will.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Good afternoon, everyone. I am sorry. I have 
+been in and out as well, but I have been following the 
+testimony on the TV screen. I had a couple committee hearings 
+as well.
+    First of all, thank you all for being here. Thank you all 
+in the galley for coming out to support.
+    Mr. Wise, I am particularly moved by your testimony. And I 
+hope I can impress upon you that your work is not in vain, that 
+your work has value.
+    And what we hear people talk about is that minimum wage 
+being attributed to people who have the least skill, the least 
+education. But how about the least opportunity? One does not 
+impact the other.
+    I always excelled in school. I always did a good job. But 
+then life happened. So if you don't have access to those same 
+opportunities.
+    I heard one of my colleagues say that he could not imagine 
+living on $15 in a city like Washington where the cost of 
+living is so high. How about the reality of living on $7? And I 
+think that is the conversation that we should be having.
+    And people are always quick to pick out someone who has 
+done it as if this is the rule instead of the exception. And, 
+again, it is just that life happens, and maybe somebody got, 
+you know, a good opportunity or caught a break. But that is not 
+the rule.
+    And then the other thing. I am just listening to all of 
+you: Well, what have you done? My colleagues are always asking: 
+Well, what have you done to lift yourself out of poverty? What 
+have you done? You can go be a truck driver. What if you don't 
+want to be a truck driver?
+    Shouldn't you have the right to live out your best life, to 
+live the future that you want for yourself and not this by-
+default position that you are placed in because you are 
+attempting to survive?
+    Has your housing cost increased over the last 10 years?
+    Chairman Scott. The time of the gentlelady from Ohio has 
+expired. You will be recognized for your full 5 minutes 
+shortly.
+    The gentlelady from North Carolina, the Ranking Member.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Mr. Wise, I am still talking to you. Has your 
+housing cost--
+    Chairman Scott. You will be recognized after Dr. Foxx.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Oh, I am sorry.
+    Ms. Foxx. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am interested in the workers who would 
+be affected by a 107 percent increase in the Federal minimum 
+wage.
+    Individuals under 25 years old make up only one-fifth of 
+hourly workers, but they account for about half of hourly 
+workers making the minimum wage. Only 7 percent of workers 
+earning wages between $7.25 and $15 live in poor households.
+    In your view, is increasing the minimum wage to $15 an 
+anti-poverty policy?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't think it is an effective anti-
+poverty policy. As I mentioned at the outset, it is fairly 
+poorly targeted on poverty. And in those cases where it 
+actually does affect the poverty population, the impact may be 
+negative.
+    Ms. Foxx. Thank you very much.
+    Let me follow this train of questioning with you. We had 
+what many are calling a surge in job creation in January, 
+304,000 new jobs, nearly doubling expectations. Over the last 
+year, average hourly earnings rose by 3.2 percent, average 
+weekly earnings rose by 3.5 percent. And with last month's job 
+surge, the labor force participation rate ticked up to 63.2 
+percent.
+    There are more jobs than job openings, as you have said and 
+we have said, more jobs at higher wages, and now people who 
+have been the most discouraged and on the sidelines are 
+reentering the work force.
+    Based on your research and experience, are you concerned 
+that more than doubling the Federal minimum wage would reverse 
+these positive trends for workers and the economy?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am very concerned about that. The 
+research would indicate that is exactly the part of the labor 
+market that would be most deeply affected. And we are finally 
+making some progress. It would be a shame to go back the wrong 
+way.
+    Ms. Foxx. Great.
+    You know, I have always emphasized making sound policy 
+decisions based on evidence. But my husband told me a long time 
+ago that too many people in elective office make decisions 
+based on emotions and not on evidence. But as I told him, I am 
+going to start with evidence always. I can get emotional if I 
+have to, but evidence is the best way to go.
+    When it comes to the radical proposal before us to increase 
+the Federal minimum wage by 107 percent, however, it is hard to 
+find convincing evidence because the proposed policy change is 
+so extreme.
+    Would Congress be making a sound policy decision from an 
+evidence-based perspective if legislation were enacted to more 
+than double the Federal minimum wage, impacting businesses and 
+workers around the country?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. In my judgment, that would be a very 
+unwise thing for the Congress to do. It is not just the 107 
+percent nationwide, which is unprecedented, and as a result, 
+any of the research that we have that shows negative impacts 
+doesn't even come close to capturing the impact of that kind of 
+a change. You also do the indexing at the end of that to the 
+median wage. That is unprecedented and leads to permanent 
+incentives to restructure businesses away from having jobs for 
+that particular part of the labor market.
+    Ms. Foxx. In your testimony, you note the large job losses 
+in California and New York due to the recent increases in their 
+State minimum wages. These job losses may surprise some people 
+because these areas have a relatively high cost of living and 
+are high average income States.
+    What do these States' experiments tell us about what would 
+happen in other regions of the country if a mandate to impose a 
+$15 minimum wage around the country was enacted?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I think the lesson of these State-based 
+minimum wage increases is that there are people who will be 
+just fine. We do see that.
+    But the people who are affected are the ones who are 
+probably the least well-off in the labor market, for the 
+reasons that I have outlined before; that not all of these 
+changes come through the stereotype of someone getting kicked 
+off their job. It is the raise you don't get, the hours you 
+don't work, the person who doesn't get hired.
+    And a lot of this is not, you know, the bear at the door. 
+It is the termites in the woodwork taking out the vitality of 
+the economy.
+    Ms. Foxx. Thank you very much. I yield back.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Thank you, Mr. Chair.
+    Mr. Wise, back to you. Back to my previous question. Has 
+the cost of your housing increased?
+    Mr. Wise. Yes. Yes, it has.
+    Mrs. Hayes. I heard you talk about purchasing school 
+supplies for your daughter. Has the cost of those supplies 
+increased?
+    Mr. Wise. Yes, they have, over the years.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Has the cost of food increased?
+    Mr. Wise. Definitely.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Have you had to get a prescription for yourself 
+or your children?
+    Mr. Wise. Yes.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Have those costs increased?
+    Mr. Wise. Yes, they have.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Ok.
+    So to Dr.--I am sorry, I can't read your whole name, I am 
+so sorry, I don't mean to--when you talk about corporations and 
+the effect that this will have on the economy, have 
+corporations stalled their price increases to wait for people 
+who are living in poverty under minimum wage to catch up? If 
+everything else is increasing except for their wages, are 
+corporations held to the same standard where they are stalling 
+to wait for people's wages to catch up?
+    Mr. Zipperer. If I understand the question correctly, I 
+think it is the case that businesses in general in this 
+country, unfortunately, have not paid low wage workers well 
+without the help of a minimum wage increase.
+    Mrs. Hayes. So if only 7 percent of minimum wage workers 
+live in poverty, how could raising those workers to $15 have 
+the catastrophic effects that we are hearing about? If it is 
+such a small number, if it is such a small number in the 
+overall economy and the overall number of workers, I just heard 
+only 7 percent of minimum wage workers live in poverty, so how 
+could that small number disproportionately impact the overall 
+economy if that group is lifted up?
+    Mr. Zipperer. I don't think that there will be disastrous 
+effects of a $15 minimum wage. But you might be interested in 
+hearing from Dr. Holtz-Eakin.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Yes. I am interested to hear your response.
+    Dr. Spriggs. I want to help out here. In 1966, when we 
+expanded coverage for the minimum wage, suddenly 20 percent, 20 
+percent of the American work force suddenly had coverage and 
+protection, which means this is a bigger experiment than what 
+you are talking about right now and when you think about what 
+we did. Twenty percent of the entire American work force had 
+not been protected. We raised their wages from $0.80, because 
+on average that is what they made, to $1.60.
+    Mrs. Hayes. I was here for that.
+    Dr. Spriggs. We doubled it.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Yep.
+    Dr. Spriggs. And yet, employment did not fall. And in those 
+states that had no State minimum wage employment did not fall 
+because those States would have been the ones most impacted.
+    So the evidence, the experience, the real experience, not 
+some theoretical experience, the actual experience of the 
+American people in the work force was when we doubled the 
+minimum wage, which 61 percent of Republicans voted for, and 
+gave 20 percent of these workers access to protection, poverty 
+went down. Their employment did not go down. It was helpful. 
+And it got the Black poverty rate for children down to 39 
+percent, the lowest it was until 1994.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Thank you. I guess, Dr. Spriggs, you would do 
+well to answer the next question.
+    When we talk about the improvement in the economy and the 
+jobs numbers goes up, every month we hear about all of the 
+people who have entered the work force, does this include 
+minimum wage workers around the country?
+    Dr. Spriggs. Yes, it does.
+    Mrs. Hayes. So that number, although we are talking about 
+more people are employed, does not accurately reflect an 
+increase in living conditions, our communities improving, 
+because although people are employed, it does not sound like 
+they are at a livable wage.
+    Dr. Spriggs. That is correct. And increasingly, it has been 
+difficult for us to deliver lower poverty levels simply from 
+higher levels of employment and from economic growth. When we 
+disconnected the minimum wage from a living wage and you look 
+at the poverty, this is why it took from 1969 to the 1990's to 
+get Black child poverty back down below the level it was in 
+1969.
+    Mrs. Hayes. Thank you. Thank you so much.
+    And I guess the last thing I would say is, with all due 
+respect, the fact that you don't know how much you make or what 
+that translates to over a specific amount of time is more 
+telling than anything else you could ever say, because I bet 
+you every single person in this galley knows exactly how much 
+they make. They know exactly how much they will lose if they 
+are late, if they don't show up, if they call out, if it is a 
+holiday. They know exactly to the penny what that means for 
+them and their family.
+    I have been them. I know what that feels like, and that 
+should be all you need to know.
+    Mr. Chair, I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentleman from Indiana, Mr. Banks.
+    Mr. Banks. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    There has been a lot of focus today on how this proposal 
+will destroy jobs, and rightfully so. You have already heard a 
+lot about the NFIB study, but another recent study using the 
+methodology of the Congressional Budget Office found that this 
+proposal would cost my home state, the State of Indiana, 64,130 
+jobs in 2020 alone.
+    This isn't just a number. That is nearly 65,000 Hoosiers 
+losing the dignity that comes from having a job and being able 
+to provide for themselves and their families. At a time when we 
+have nearly 7 million jobs that cannot be filled, it is 
+incredibly reckless to rob people of their livelihoods in order 
+to live up to a campaign talking point.
+    I have heard from local business owners in my district who 
+believe this legislation would have a disastrous effect on 
+their ability to grow and hire Hoosiers. One business owner who 
+runs a number of local franchises conveyed to me that 
+approximately 25 percent of his staff would need to be cut to 
+account for this proposal. He would also be forced to raise 
+prices in his restaurants by 2 to 4 percent just to stay in 
+business.
+    Another constituent of mine who owns a number of 
+restaurants as well and employs nearly 250 people told me that 
+the tipped wage provisions of this bill would force him to cut 
+half of his staff just to stay afloat, along with across-the-
+board menu prices as well. Think about that. Anywhere from one 
+in four to one in two workers unemployed who are then forced to 
+pay higher prices after losing their jobs.
+    And as if that wasn't bad enough, there is evidence that 
+this will actually reduce income for low wage workers. By 
+making labor more expensive, fewer workers will be hired, and 
+the ones that do keep their jobs will work fewer hours, which 
+translates into lost income.
+    And, in fact, that is exactly what we saw in Seattle. The 
+city of Seattle recently, as you know, increased the minimum 
+wage to $15 an hour. And a study from the University of 
+Washington found that this reduced the number of hours worked 
+in low wage jobs by nearly 7 percent and lower take home pay 
+for low wage workers by $74 a month. That is right, the minimum 
+wage increase actually resulted in lower overall wages.
+    Now, I take personal offense to this conversation as well 
+because in high school and college, my folks didn't have enough 
+money to pay for my college degree. So I worked low-wage, 
+minimum wage jobs to be able to save up for college and make 
+ends meet. So this conversation reminds me of just how 
+important jobs like these are to those Americans who are 
+hopeful to 1 day pursue the same American dream that I have 
+been able to live in my life.
+    So, Dr. Holtz-Eakin, can you expand on the insights of 
+these studies from the University of Washington, the NFIB 
+study, the Congressional Budget Office statistics, specifically 
+how minimum wage laws actually can reduce the income of low 
+wage workers?
+    Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am happy to, Congressman.
+    First, in the interest of clarity, none of these studies 
+indicate that overall employment in the economy is at a 
+decline. The economy will continue to grow. There will be fewer 
+jobs created than otherwise would have been. That is the nature 
+of the loss. Those jobs are going to be concentrated in a 
+particular part of the labor market, which is the low wage, low 
+skill, little experience part of the labor market that you 
+started out in.
+    And the adjustments that businesses of all sizes will be 
+forced to make will be either to charge higher prices or cut 
+their labor bill somehow, and that means cutting back on 
+raises, cutting back on hiring, cutting back on hours of work. 
+And if you are one of those people who is lucky enough to 
+maintain their job, but is not getting a raise and getting 
+their hours cut, you could end up with less income.
+    Mr. Banks. Another study suggests that 2.3 percent of the 
+American workers actually receive minimum wage or work in 
+minimum wage jobs. And of those 2.3 percent, most of them are 
+under the age of 25, which reflects upon the story that I have 
+lived as well. They work those jobs to pursue something better, 
+the proverbial American Dream.
+    I am struck at the outset of this hearing, Dr. Zipperer 
+admitted--he conceded over and over again, although not on 
+the--we can debate the scale, but he conceded over and over 
+again the negative impact that proposals like this would have 
+on low-wage workers all over the United States of America.
+    This conversation is concerning to me. It is concerning to 
+not just business owners in my district but those who work in 
+jobs like these. It would have a disastrous effect.
+    And with that I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    I yield to myself for 5 minutes.
+    Dr. Spriggs, do you know if the poverty rate is connected 
+to the minimum wage at all?
+    Dr. Spriggs. It no longer is connected to the minimum wage, 
+though when Congress formulated the minimum wage they clearly 
+had the intent that workers would not have to say: ``I hope to 
+1 day get to be poor. I hope that 1 day I will get a raise so I 
+can get up to the poverty level.'' That is what Congress was 
+trying to avoid. They wanted work to have dignity. And everyone 
+agreed, Republican and Democrat, that should be an American 
+principle. So no longer--
+    Chairman Scott. So increasing the minimum wage will not 
+affect the poverty rate?
+    Dr. Spriggs. It would not affect the poverty rate because 
+there is little evidence that it would create a sufficient 
+inflationary force that the poverty level would go up. As the 
+Congresswoman said, it is not enough workers, and it is not a 
+big enough part of cost. And as the Congresswoman was 
+suggesting, if CEO pay goes up and that doesn't affect cost, if 
+profits go up and that doesn't affect price, as she was saying, 
+prices went up without wages going up, so why should we think 
+that if wages go up that would happen?
+    Chairman Scott. I just wanted to correct that for the 
+record, because there was a suggestion that if we increase the 
+minimum wage, we would be affecting the poverty rate. We would 
+just be affecting how many fewer people would actually be poor.
+    You say on the uniform Federal minimum wage, why that is 
+important. If you had a subminimum wage for some States that 
+didn't apply or a region minimum wage that was lower, would 
+some States be able to attract businesses by bragging about the 
+fact that you could underpay your workers?
+    Dr. Spriggs. There will be an attempt, I am sure, for some 
+States to brag about it as they do brag that they are not 
+union, that they do brag about other weak investments. So I am 
+sure that some States may wish to brag that, yes, we pay our 
+workers less.
+    Chairman Scott. You had a chart that showed the support for 
+increasing the minimum wage amongst Republicans. Are there any 
+Republican States or States that are considered Republican 
+States that have recently voted to increase its minimum wage by 
+referendum?
+    Dr. Spriggs. Yes. Several of the states are states headed 
+by Republican Governors who through public referendum have 
+shown that this is something that the American people agree 
+with, and they think it is part of their standard.
+    So whether it is the efforts in Arkansas or the efforts in 
+some other States, Florida has raised its minimum wage, we have 
+had a number of victories in red States because of the people 
+you see with these red shirts and the efforts of organized 
+labor and the efforts of Americans of all stripes who 
+understand this is the right thing to do.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    And, Dr. Zipperer, a lot has been said about job loss, and 
+we found a couple of studies that have suggested that there 
+would, in fact, be job loss. Overall, of all the studies done, 
+what is the conclusion drawn?
+    Mr. Zipperer. Overall, the recent set of scholarship over 
+the last 15 years finds that on average the minimum wage does 
+not have negative effects on employment but, in fact, raises 
+wages for low wage workers.
+    Chairman Scott. What is the importance of making the 
+increase in the minimum wage gradual rather than all at once?
+    Mr. Zipperer. It is important to allow employers time to 
+adjust to the new higher wage standard. That is why past 
+Federal increases and other State and city level increases 
+include a gradual path to their ultimate minimum wage standard. 
+So raising the minimum wage gradually to $15 by 2024 as time 
+passes and the cost of living increases, that is equivalent to 
+raising the minimum wage to roughly about $13 today.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. And can you say a bit about the 
+demographics of who minimum wage workers are and their 
+likelihood of actually spending the increase?
+    Mr. Zipperer. Yes. So low wage workers are actually an 
+incredibly diverse population. They are mostly women. They are 
+more likely to be people of color, more likely to be Black or 
+Hispanic than White workers. They are likely to be low wage.
+    If you were to raise the minimum wage to $15 by 2024, the 
+average age of who would get a wage increase, the average age 
+would be about 35 years old. Most low wage workers are not very 
+young at all, primarily because so few teenagers work to begin 
+with.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    My time has expired. I would ask unanimous consent that a 
+letter led by the National Employment Law Project and co-signed 
+by 500 worker organizations be entered into the record. Without 
+objection.
+    [The information follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Chairman Scott. I remind my colleagues that pursuant to 
+committee practice, materials for submission to the hearing 
+must be submitted to the committee clerk within 14 days 
+following the last day of the hearing, preferably in Microsoft 
+Word format. Materials submitted must address the subject 
+matter of the hearing. Only a member of the committee or an 
+invited witness may submit materials for inclusion in the 
+hearing record.
+    Documents are limited to 50 pages each. Those longer than 
+50 pages will be incorporated in the record by way of an 
+internet link that you must provide to the committee clerk with 
+the required timeframe, but please recognize that years from 
+now that link may no longer work.
+    I want to thank our witnesses for your participation today. 
+What we have heard is very valuable. Members of the committee 
+may have additional questions, and we ask the witnesses to 
+please respond to those questions in writing. The hearing 
+record will be held open for 14 days to receive those 
+responses.
+    I remind our colleagues that pursuant to committee 
+practice, witness questions for the hearing must be submitted 
+to the majority staff or the committee clerk within 7 days to 
+allow ample time for witnesses to respond. Questions must 
+address the subject matter of the hearing.
+    Thank you.
+    And that concludes the first panel. We will have a 15-
+minute break before the next panel. We expect votes presently. 
+And as soon as the votes are over, we will return for the 
+second panel. Thank you. We are in recess.
+    [Recess.]
+    Chairman Scott. The committee will come back to order. We 
+will now introduce the second panel.
+    Ms. Vanita Gupta is president and CEO of the Leadership 
+Conference on Civil and Human Rights, the Nation's oldest and 
+largest civil rights organization. Ms. Gupta is an experienced 
+leader and litigator who has devoted her entire career to civil 
+rights work. Before joining The Leadership Conference, she 
+served as Acting Assistant Attorney General and the head of the 
+U.S. Department of Justice's Civil Rights Division.
+    Ms. Simone Barron has been a full service restaurant 
+employee for nearly 33 years. She has worked in several cities 
+across the country, including Indianapolis and Chicago, and has 
+lived and worked in Seattle for the past 17 years.
+    Ms. Kathy Eckhouse is founder and co-owner of La Quercia, a 
+producer of artisan cured meats made with nonconfinement, 
+antibiotic-free, sustainable raised pork from family farmers in 
+the Midwest. Based in Norwalk, Iowa, the company produces 
+products that are sold throughout the U.S. and Canada.
+    Michael Strain is the Director of Economic Policy studies 
+at the American Enterprise Institute, AEI. He oversees the 
+institute's work in economic policy, financial markets, poverty 
+studies, technology policy, energy, economics, healthcare 
+policy, and related areas.
+    Professor Michael Reich is Professor of Economics at the 
+University of California, Berkeley, where he is also the co-
+chair of the Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics. The 
+professor has published over a dozen books and over 120 papers 
+and in the past decade has authored numerous policy and 
+scholarly studies on living wages and minimum wages.
+    Representative Paul Brodeur is serving his fifth 2-year 
+term in the Massachusetts State House representing the 
+residents of the 32d District in Middlesex, just north of 
+Boston.
+    He was the House Chairman of the Joint Committee on Labor 
+and Workforce Development during the 2017-2018 legislative 
+session. He was successful in convening negotiations between 
+labor unions, religious organizations, community groups, 
+business trade groups, and employer advocacy organizations to 
+reach a landmark agreement which, among other provisions, 
+raises the state's minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2023.
+    We appreciate all of the witnesses for being here today and 
+look forward to your testimony. Let me remind the witnesses 
+that we have read your testimony and the testimony in full will 
+appear in the hearing record. Pursuant to committee rule 7(d) 
+and the committee practice, each of you is asked to limit your 
+oral testimony to a 5-minute summary of your written Statement.
+    Let me remind the witnesses that pursuant to Title 18 of 
+the U.S. Code, Section 1001, it is illegal to knowingly and 
+willfully falsify any Statement, representation, writing, 
+document, or material fact presented to Congress, or otherwise 
+conceal or cover up such a material fact.
+    Before you begin your testimony, please remember to press 
+the button on your microphone in front of you so it will turn 
+on and members can hear you. As you begin to speak, the light 
+in front of you will turn green. After 4 minutes, the light 
+will turn yellow to signal that you have 1 minute remaining. 
+When the light turns red, your 5 minutes have expired, and we 
+ask you to wrap up.
+    We will let the entire panel make their presentations 
+before you move to member questions. When answering a question, 
+please remember to once again turn on your microphone.
+    We will start with Ms. Gupta.
+
+     STATEMENT OF MS. VANITA GUPTA, PRESIDENT AND CEO, THE 
+        LEADERSHIP CONFERENCE ON CIVIL AND HUMAN RIGHTS
+
+
+    Ms. Gupta. Chairman Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and members 
+of the committee, my name is Vanita Gupta, and I am President 
+and CEO of The Leadership Conference on Civil and Human Rights, 
+a coalition of more than 200 national organizations working to 
+build an America as good as its ideals. Thank you for the 
+opportunity to testify here today about the minimum wage.
+    The Leadership Conference strongly supports H.R. 582, the 
+Raise the Wage Act of 2019. Gradually raising the Federal 
+minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2024, indexing it to median 
+Federal wages, and ensuring that all tipped workers, working 
+people with disabilities, and young people get paid at least a 
+full minimum wage is essential for working people to cover 
+basic expenses like housing, food, transportation, childcare, 
+healthcare, and other necessities.
+    Congress has not raised the Federal minimum wage of $7.25 
+hour since 2007, and the tipped minimum wage has been stuck at 
+$2.13 an hour since 1991.
+    First, the Raise the Wage Act of 2019 is a step in the 
+right direction toward closing the gender pay gap. In a 2018 
+report that we prepared with the Georgetown Center on Poverty, 
+we found that nearly half of working people in our country are 
+paid less than $15 per hour, 55 percent being women. The 
+National Women's Law Center and the National Employment Law 
+Project have noted that women of color are more likely than any 
+other group to be paid the lowest wages.
+    Second, on the tipped minimum wage, it is really important 
+to note its history. Before the Civil War, tipping was largely 
+frowned upon in the United States, but after the war the 
+practice of tipping proliferated, and at that time the 
+restaurant and hospitality industry hired newly freed slaves 
+without paying them base wages. The effect was to create a 
+permanent servant class for whom the responsibility of paying a 
+wage was shifted from employers to customers, and having to 
+depend on tipping put African-Americans in an economically and 
+socially subordinate position.
+    The Fair Labor Standards Act then established a bare 
+minimum floor for tipped wages only in 1966, and it increased 
+to $2.13 an hour in 1991, still leaving tipped workers earning 
+far below their basic needs.
+    Third, as with the tipped minimum wage, the subminimum wage 
+under Section 14(c) of the FLSA that allows people with 
+disabilities working in segregated settings to be paid less 
+than the minimum wage leaves this already vulnerable community 
+that much more vulnerable to poverty and exploitation.
+    I previously served as head of the Justice Department's 
+Civil Rights Division from 2014 to 2017, where I oversaw the 
+Disability Rights Section. In 1999, in Olmstead v. L.C., the 
+Supreme Court held that under the Americans with Disabilities 
+Act unjustified institutional isolation of persons with 
+disabilities constitutes discrimination. And, unfortunately, 20 
+years after Olmstead and almost 30 years after the passage of 
+the ADA, too many people with disabilities spend their time in 
+segregated workshops or day programs with some paid just 
+pennies per hour.
+    While in theory segregated settings provide job training 
+and experience to people with disabilities and help them find 
+regular employment in their community, the reality is that too 
+many remain stuck in segregated settings for years.
+    Cases that the Department of Justice investigated to 
+enforce Olmstead's community integration mandate illustrate the 
+deep concerns with 14(c) employment, and one of those cases 
+involved Oregonians with disabilities, people like Gabrielle 
+who dreamed of saving up money to buy a home, who assembled 
+nut-and-bolt kits and knee pads in a sheltered workshop for 
+$100 to $150 per month. And after the settlement, she began 
+working as a grooming assistant at a dog daycare earning more 
+than $9 an hour. And as she told a local media outlet, ``I feel 
+better about my life, and I ended up buying that house.''
+    Some states and localities have taken action to raise the 
+minimum wage, and while these States and localities should be 
+applauded, Federal action is needed to establish a higher 
+universal floor for wages. The Leadership Conference opposes 
+prevention laws that allow states to prevent cities and 
+counties from raising the minimum wage and proposals like a 
+regional minimum wage that could be misused by employers and 
+further calcify racial and gender inequities.
+    At the 1963 March on Washington for Jobs and Freedom, one 
+of the founders of The Leadership Conference, Black labor 
+leader A. Philip Randolph, noted, ``Nor is the goal of our 
+civil rights revolution merely the passage of civil rights 
+legislation. Yes, we want accommodations open to all citizens, 
+but those accommodations mean little to those who cannot afford 
+them.''
+    Working people should be allowed to live with dignity and 
+have the dignity of a fair paycheck, and that is what the Raise 
+the Wage Act of 2019 would do. And I want to thank you for the 
+opportunity to testify at today's hearing.
+    [The statement of Ms. Gupta follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    Ms. Barron.
+
+          STATEMENT OF MS. SIMONE BARRON, SEATTLE, WA
+
+
+    Ms. Barron. Good afternoon and thank you, Chairman Scott 
+and Ranking Member Foxx, for the opportunity to testify today.
+    My name is Simone Barron. I am the mom of a smarty-pants 
+teen boy. I am a semi-professional actor, and I have worked in 
+the full-service restaurant industry for nearly 33 years. I 
+have worked in several cities across the country, including 
+Indianapolis and Chicago, but I am coming to you today from 
+Seattle, Washington, where I have been a tipped worker there 
+for the past 17 years.
+    Today the minimum wage in Seattle is $15 an hour, and it is 
+supposed to be a paradise for employees like myself. Instead, I 
+am watching my income drop as the mandated wage rises. As I 
+have learned that Chairman Scott has proposed to raise the 
+Federal minimum wage to $15, I am here to tell you to, to warn 
+you, and to share with you my experience as a full-service 
+restaurant worker living in a city with a $15 an hour minimum 
+wage.
+    To understand my predicament, you first must need to 
+understand my industry a bit. Control over my earnings is one 
+of the biggest perks of working in the restaurant industry. The 
+harder I work to show hospitality to my guests, the better my 
+tip, and that is an average of 20 percent that I can garner on 
+about every bill.
+    The standard tipping model also has a cost of living 
+increase built into it, too. As the cost of goods go up, menu 
+prices go up, and so do my tips.
+    Contrary to the rhetoric of my industry's critics, I am not 
+forced to rely on tips. I have been able to thrive on tips. 
+Historically, in short four-to 6-hour shifts, I can earn $25 to 
+$50 an hour, and that is enough to make a life for myself and 
+my son.
+    In Seattle, the rapidly rising minimum wage has upset this 
+beneficial arrangement. Without getting into the nitty-gritty 
+details, you should know that Seattle is one of a handful of 
+locales in the country that doesn't count my tips toward my 
+hourly wage. What this means in practice is that the pressure 
+other businesses are feeling under the 15 is magnified in full 
+service restaurants.
+    Things have started to change in Seattle in our industry in 
+ways that have negatively affected workers like myself. At my 
+restaurant, it was the loss of tipping. As 15 went into effect, 
+some restaurants made the decision to change the tipping model 
+either in favor of a flat stagnant wage or replaced with 
+service charges to substitute for tipping.
+    The math on that is pretty simple. If you are forced to 
+give a raise to tipped employees who are already making 
+hundreds of dollars a night in tips, where does the money to 
+pay for it come from without a huge jump in prices. Well, my 
+employer, who is a leader in our restaurant community, took 
+away tip lines and went to a service charge model in order to 
+keep his restaurants sustainable for as long as possible.
+    Service charges are a mandatory charge to a guest that must 
+be filtered through the employer and in which the employee 
+receives a percentage instead of a customer tip. In my case, I 
+receive only 14 percent of my sales from a 20 percent service 
+charge on a bill. So from a $100 sale, I receive $14 on my 
+paycheck as a salary commission instead of the $20 or more in 
+cash tips that I could have received before. The other $6 is 
+then retained by the house to be paid out to support other team 
+employment costs and benefits like insurance and vacation.
+    The few dollars an hour increase in my minimum wage doesn't 
+cover the loss of income because of not receiving tips. Under a 
+service charge model, it is less about how I use my knowledge 
+and skills to maximize my income. I am no longer bothered to 
+give excellent service to receive that tip but must instead 
+sell you the most expensive item on the menu to make the sale. 
+The minimum wage increase has literally changed my job from the 
+art of service to a routine sales job.
+    I used to work four shifts a week and made enough money to 
+raise my son, pay my rent, go to school, and be part of a 
+vibrant arts community. With the cost of living skyrocketing 
+and the impact of the minimum wage increase on my income, I had 
+to get a second job and work 6 days a week.
+    I couldn't sustain that pace. Now I worry every month about 
+paying my rent, and this is a worry that I never had until the 
+minimum wage increase impacted my job. I have had to give up my 
+passion for acting, I no longer can take trips with my kid in 
+the summers, and my smaller income all goes to bills. All my 
+time goes to picking up just one more shift.
+    I have many friends who have lost their jobs because of the 
+rise in the wage. And these are not people of privilege. These 
+are working folks, people who have invested in their jobs, 
+moved up ladders through experience and education, worked hard 
+to grow their jobs, only to lose their jobs because of a policy 
+forced on their employers.
+    My friend, JW, is one of those. He worked his way up from a 
+busser to a sommelier over years of experience but lost his job 
+because the restaurant he worked closed in Seattle because of 
+the minimum wage increase.
+    My friend, Ritu was excited when she opened her pizza 
+place. As an Indian female business owner, she was proud that 
+all of her hard work and experience had led her to a place 
+where she could be an owner. After the increase, she closed 
+because she could not make the numbers work.
+    And these are just two of several dozen stories.
+    Now, I understand the typical arguments for legislating 
+higher wage rates, and I especially understand that in Seattle, 
+where the cost of living is incredibly high, but there is no 
+free lunch here. Under our minimum wage increase, tipped 
+workers are losing our incomes and moving backward to $15 an 
+hour. And I would happily trade my gig in Seattle for the 
+golden days in Indianapolis, a so-called low-wage market, where 
+I wouldn't be working more for less and watching my financial 
+stability whittle away as the minimum wage rises.
+    Unfortunately, if Chairman Scott's one-size-fits-all bill 
+is passed, I won't even have that option to consider.
+    Thank you, and I would be happy to answer questions.
+    [The statement of Ms. Barron follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    Ms. Eckhouse.
+
+STATEMENT OF MS. KATHY ECKHOUSE, OWNER, LA QUERCIA, NORWALK, IA
+
+
+    Ms. Eckhouse. My name is Kathy Eckhouse. I am the co-owner 
+with my husband of La Quercia in Norwalk, Iowa. We make award-
+winning cured meats, like prosciutto and pancetta. We source 
+exclusively from family farms in the United States, primarily 
+in Iowa and Missouri. I strongly support raising the Federal 
+minimum wage to $15 by 2024 as called for in H.R. 582 because 
+it will be good for businesses, workers, and our economy.
+    We founded our business in 2000 and by 2004 we were able to 
+build our own production facility. We started with just 
+ourselves and now have 60 employees. Our products are sold 
+across the United States and Canada in large grocery chains 
+like Hy-Vee and Whole Foods as well as independent shops.
+    We have always paid a livable wage, and that is an 
+important factor in our success. We are a meat processor, a 
+generally low-paying sector of the economy. We have been 
+committed from the start to true sustainability and livability 
+in our work chain from the farmers to our employees.
+    Our starting hourly wage for production staff is $12 to $14 
+an hour, depending on experience. The cleanup crew, which works 
+a later shift, gets a $2 an hour premium. Anyone with us for 2 
+years or more is currently making at least $16 to $17 per hour 
+plus a quarterly bonus equivalent to a week's wages. We also 
+provide paid time off, paid maternity leave, and other 
+benefits. All our employees work full-time year round.
+    The Raise the Wage Act does not call for a quick jump to 
+$15. It calls for gradually raising the minimum wage to $15 by 
+2024 which will give businesses time to adjust and experience 
+the benefits of higher wages.
+    Reduced turnover is one benefit. High employee turnover is 
+common in low wage industries. Turnover is costly for a 
+business in terms of both money and time, requiring advertising 
+open positions, screening applicants, training, and onboarding.
+    Employees new to our operation or any operation are less 
+productive. It takes at least 3 months for an employee to learn 
+our particular processes and be efficient, even those who 
+worked in meat processing plants before. It takes a year for 
+true proficiency. We see more waste, more downtime, and more 
+inefficiency on our production line with newer staff. That is 
+costly.
+    In addition, not spending time on a constant cycle of 
+rehiring and training frees us to look beyond the day to day to 
+innovate and grow our business. It encourages employees to be 
+part of that process, too, as they develop new skills and 
+techniques and familiarity with our work.
+    A minimum wage that covers the basics like rent, groceries, 
+and transportation reduces turnover, reduces employee stress, 
+and allows them to be more focused and productive at work.
+    It also has a broader societal impact. When businesses pay 
+wages that are not enough to live on, the costs of necessities 
+get partly shifted to the community at large, the taxpayer-
+funded government assistance programs and food banks, for 
+example. It also means that our business is subsidizing the 
+profits of low pay competitors.
+    This is not a fair or efficient way to run an economy. 
+Workers in one business are the consumers for another. Minimum 
+wage increases put money in the hands of people who will spend 
+it. Increased wages mean increased consumer spending.
+    My home, State of Iowa uses the Federal minimum wage floor 
+of $7.25, as do 20 other States. In 2017, Iowa enacted a law 
+that blocked cities or counties from setting higher minimum 
+wages, and it is unlikely that Iowa will raise our state 
+minimum wage ahead of the Federal. We need a Federal increase 
+to ensure that wherever people live and work in Iowa or around 
+the country and whoever they work for, they can at least meet 
+their basic needs.
+    For 80 years, the Federal minimum wage has set the national 
+wage floor. I do not support a regional approach to the Federal 
+minimum wage. Nobody should receive a geographical penalty on 
+their wages.
+    Raising the minimum wage is not a threat to business. 
+Inadequate wages are, weakening the consumer demand that 
+businesses depend on to survive and grow. The minimum wage is 
+the floor in working people's lives and should enable a minimum 
+standard of living that workers and businesses can build on, as 
+we have.
+    This is why I have joined with businesses across the 
+country to call for raising the Federal minimum wage. It is 
+time to get moving to $15 by 2024 to help businesses, workers, 
+communities, and the economy to thrive.
+    Thank you for having me today, and I am happy to answer 
+questions.
+    [The statement of Ms. Eckhouse follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. Dr. Strain.
+
+STATEMENT OF DR. MICHAEL R. STRAIN, PH.D, DIRECTOR OF ECONOMIC 
+ POLICY STUDIES, AND RESIDENT JOHN G. SEARLE SCHOLAR, AMERICAN 
+             ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE, WASHINGTON, D.C.
+
+    Mr. Strain. Chairman Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and 
+members of the Committee, thank you for the opportunity to be 
+here today to discuss raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 
+per hour. It is an honor. Congress should not increase the 
+minimum wage to $15 per hour. The benefits of doubling the 
+minimum wage would accrue to middle class households while the 
+cost would be borne by workers with relatively fewer skills and 
+less experience.
+    It is already difficult enough for workers without a 
+college education, workers trying to get their start in the 
+labor market, and more vulnerable workers, including the 
+formerly incarcerated, to find jobs. Congress should not erect 
+a barrier in their paths in order to legislate a raise for the 
+middle class.
+    Increasing the minimum wage to $15 per hour would very 
+likely result in significant reductions in employment. For 
+context, consider the Congressional Budget Office's analysis of 
+President Obama's proposed $10.10 minimum wage. CBO found that 
+would cost half a million jobs. Importantly, CBO also found 
+that the extra earnings generated by a $10.10 minimum wage 
+would accrue to households above the poverty line. Three 
+dollars out of every $10 of extra earnings would go to 
+households earning more than triple the property line, while 
+only $2 in every $10 would go to the working poor. Fully $8 in 
+$10 of extra earnings generated by the $10.10 minimum wage 
+would go to families in the working and middle classes and not 
+to the working poor.
+    CBO's analysis then highlights several important tradeoffs 
+for minimum wage increases. First, they reduce employment while 
+raising earnings. Second, most of the benefits of increases go 
+to families that aren't in poverty, while most of the costs are 
+borne by the least-skilled and least-experienced workers in the 
+labor market. These tradeoffs are only more severe for a $15 
+minimum wage, because $15 is such a high-wage floor.
+    It is hard to overstate how high this wage floor would be. 
+Over half of all workers in Mississippi and Arkansas make less 
+than $15 an hour. In 20 States, half of all workers earn less 
+than $17 an hour. Nationally, around one-third of workers, one-
+third earn less than $15 per hour.
+    Given how many workers earn at or just above $15 per hour, 
+a $15 wage floor would be extremely disruptive to the labor 
+market and would likely cause significant employment reductions 
+and other unintended consequences. It is hard to forecast with 
+confidence how severe employment reductions would be, because a 
+$15 minimum is so far outside our evidence base. But research I 
+have done studying previous minimum wage increases finds that 
+larger increases produce disproportionately larger employment 
+reductions. In other words, if employment fell by X percent 
+when we last increased the minimum wage, my expectation is that 
+employment will fall by more than X percent as the minimum wage 
+goes higher and higher.
+    The productivity of workers, the additional revenue they 
+are able to generate for their employer for each hour they 
+work, is the primary determinant of their wages. Why would a 
+firm pay a worker $15 per hour when that worker is only 
+generating, say, $9 in revenue for every hour he or she works? 
+If a firm paid this high minimum wage to that worker, it would 
+be losing money every hour he or she worked. Businesses can 
+absorb and have absorbed minimum wage increases through 
+channels other than reducing employment, but they can only cut 
+profit margins so much or raise the prices they charge for 
+goods and services so much higher.
+    Doubling the Federal minimum wage will leave many with no 
+choice other than to cut jobs. This is particularly true if 
+Congress indexes the minimum wage to median wage growth or to 
+any other measure of price or wage inflation. Research I have 
+done shows that preventing the value of the minimum wage from 
+eroding over time through indexing leads businesses to reduce 
+employment more than they otherwise would. My research finds 
+the magnitude of employment reductions is three times more 
+severe in the presence of indexing.
+    Raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour sends us into 
+unchartered waters. It is imprudent. It is a very risky gamble, 
+with the employment opportunities and livelihoods of the least 
+skilled, least experienced, and most vulnerable workers in the 
+United States bearing the risk. There are better ways to help 
+the working poor than a policy that risks putting so many of 
+them out of work. Thank you.
+    [The statement of Mr. Strain follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. Dr. Reich.
+
+STATEMENT OF DR. MICHAEL REICH, PH.D., PROFESSOR, UNIVERSITY OF 
+                    CALIFORNIA, BERKLEY, CA
+
+    Mr. Reich. Thank you, Chair Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and 
+the other members of the committee, for the opportunity to 
+testify today about the Raise the Wage Act of 2019.
+    I want to begin--and this is not planned--by talking about 
+Amazon. Amazon announced last October it was going to raise its 
+minimum wage for all its workers--temporary, seasonal regular, 
+250,000 workers in the United States--to $15 an hour. It was a 
+substantial increase, even in rural areas and in low-wage areas 
+of the South. These are for the big warehouse centers that they 
+maintain.
+    This was a good business decision by Amazon. It has not 
+disrupted those local labor markets, those rural labor markets. 
+In fact, Amazon, the only disruption I guess is that Amazon got 
+850,000 requests for a job at Amazon, quite a large number, 
+reducing their recruitment and retention costs.
+    I wanted to make five points or touch on five points. Well, 
+rather than say what they are I will just go through them, 
+because I don't have enough time to do the prelims. First of 
+all, the increase from $7.25 to $15 is over 6 years, is 
+surprisingly smaller than it might appear. First, $15 in 2024 
+is about $13 or $13.33 in 2019 dollars, depending on which 
+price series and forecast you use.
+    Second, entry-level wages in unskilled jobs in our low-wage 
+states, not just in high-wage states, in our low-wage states 
+are already near or above $9. We heard some testimony, some 
+comments earlier today to that effect in North Carolina. And 
+those wages are going to go up anyway, 3 percent per year has 
+been the forecast that was mentioned. That would bring you to 
+$10.50 anyway by 2024.
+    So an increase from $10.50 to $13 is about a 30, 35 percent 
+increase, 5 percent per year. That is well within the range of 
+previous experience. If you want to calculate it another way, 
+you could say that the increase from $9, the entry-level pay 
+today, to $13.33 is a 48 percent increase. That sounds high, 
+but it is over 6 years, so it is about 8 percent per year. By 
+comparison, most of the 140 or more State and Federal minimum 
+wage increases of the past 35 years have averaged between 6 and 
+9 percent. Some of the citywide minimum wage increases have 
+been as high as 28 percent in a given year.
+    Now, 5 years ago, many minimum wage experts, including 
+myself, told officials in Seattle and Los Angeles that a $15 
+minimum wage would be a bold experiment into unchartered 
+territory. In 2019, however, we have the early results from 
+many recent minimum wage experiments. These include States like 
+California and Massachusetts that are $12 an hour, New York 
+City that is at $15, San Francisco is at $15, Seattle is at $15 
+and so forth. So the increase in real wages from H.R. 582 
+actually does lie within our historical experience. That means 
+that the studies that researchers have done does provide a good 
+roadmap to what the likely effects are going to be.
+    Now, I want to emphasize that the studies that minimum wage 
+economists have done have really changed in their findings over 
+the last 30 years, especially in the last 10 years and even in 
+the last year. Increasingly, we find very small effects of 
+minimum wages on employment. It is really important to be up to 
+date when doing a review of this literature. And these new 
+studies are of better quality, they have better data than the 
+old ones, and they have been influential.
+    In 2015, a panel of prominent economists put together by 
+the University of Chicago Booth School of Business asked the 
+panel what would be the likely effects of a $15 minimum wage? 
+This was in 2015. An overwhelming majority did not think it 
+would have a substantial negative effect on employment. Since 
+then, we have had further improvements in our research methods 
+and the datasets that we can use to study the effects of 
+minimum wages.
+    These newer studies really supersede the estimates from the 
+old ones. It is just not Ok anymore to rely on these very old 
+studies. We now, for example, have excellent estimates of the 
+effects on all jobs. Our older studies used to look at teens 
+and restaurant workers, and we would then try to guess how many 
+workers would be affected throughout the labor force. CBO just 
+took a guess at that in 2014.
+    What do these studies tell us? Well, I review the 
+literature in detail in my submitted testimony. In one 
+sentence, I would say the new studies indicate that a $15 
+minimum wage by 2024 will work as it was intended to, that is 
+intended to, increase pay, will have minimal to no adverse 
+effects on employment.
+    I have to say, of course, that I have been a participant, 
+an active participant in doing these studies. My most recent 
+one looked at minimum wages in six cities that are the pioneers 
+in going above $10 all the way. By 2016, they were $13, which 
+is the equivalent of--well, it is higher than what $15 would be 
+in 2024. And those included some low-wage cities or low-cost 
+cities like Chicago as well as San Francisco and Seattle and so 
+on. And we found, a very careful study, that it did not have 
+any effect on restaurants' employment.
+    Why does the minimum wage have such small effects? We are 
+also making progress on that front. Labor demand might fall, 
+that is true, but automation is really overrated. A lot of it 
+has already happened. It is going to happen anyway, because 
+technology costs are falling. Don't blame the minimum wage for 
+the good effects of automation. Labor supply has not been 
+mentioned very much, but labor supply of low educated workers 
+is going to increase, especially those who have young children 
+and high child--
+    Chairman Scott. Summarize the rest of your testimony. You 
+are about a minute and a half over.
+    Mr. Reich. I am not following what you are saying. I still 
+have a minute and a half, right?
+    Chairman Scott. No, you are over a minute and a half.
+    Mr. Reich. Oh, my God. Ok. I will bring it to a close. All 
+right. I will bring it to a close.
+    I will just say very briefly that there are price 
+adjustments that will occur that are pretty small that could be 
+handled by most industries. Individual businesses can't 
+understand how much the prices are going to go up, because they 
+are just an individual business. But these costs are changing 
+for all businesses, and when you do the math, simple math, you 
+find very small price increases. The latitude to increase 
+prices is more limited in manufacturing, but we have already 
+lost all or most of our low-wage manufacturing.
+    And then we are going to have an economic stimulus, because 
+there will be more consumption demand. The effects will be 
+greater in the low-wage cities--low-wage states, I am sorry. 
+And the low-wage States will have a more educated, more 
+healthy, and a bigger work force. So I would say, contrary to 
+the fears that some people have said that you have to look only 
+at cost, in fact, the effects are going to be much better in 
+the low-wage States.
+    Thank you. And apologize for going over.
+    [The statement of Mr. Reich follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Chairman Scott. Representative Brodeur.
+
+    STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE PAUL A. BRODEUR, ESQ., STATE 
+   REPRESENTATIVE, 32ND MIDDLESEX DISTRICT, COMMONWEALTH OF 
+             MASSACHUSETTS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
+
+    Mr. Brodeur. Good afternoon, Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member 
+Foxx, and members of the committee.
+    My name is Paul Brodeur, and I have the honor of serving 
+the residents of Melrose, Wakefield, and Malden in the 
+Massachusetts State Legislature as their State Representative.
+    I wish to share my perspective on the success we have had 
+in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts confronting the problem of 
+wage stagnation while creating a stronger economy by increasing 
+our minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2023. Two years ago, under 
+the leadership of our Speaker, Robert DeLeo, I was appointed to 
+serve as the House chair of the Joint Committee on Labor and 
+Workforce Development.
+    The Commonwealth faced significant challenges. Despite 
+historically low unemployment rates, income inequality was 
+growing. New jobs were being created at a promising rate, but 
+overall wage growth remained stagnant. Like you, our committee 
+held extensive hearings and heard many hours of testimony. The 
+statistics and expert testimony were compelling, but I was 
+particularly struck by the stories we heard from Massachusetts 
+workers and their families. We heard from single moms and dads 
+that were working multiple jobs, teens who helped their 
+families make ends meet, and families who have been working 
+paycheck to paycheck for generations.
+    We also heard from employers who care deeply about their 
+workers, but were concerned about the impacts on their 
+businesses. In particular, middle-skilled jobs went unfilled, 
+which limited their business growth. And we heard from folks 
+who want to get ahead, who want the training and skills to move 
+out of low-wage jobs but cannot, because they do not have the 
+time, energy, or money to seize those new opportunities.
+    In response, our committee convened negotiations among a 
+broad coalition of community organizations, religious groups, 
+labor unions, and representatives of businesses, both large and 
+small. Ultimately, we were successful in passing into law a 
+bipartisan bill, which improved the financial stability of 
+working families in the Commonwealth within a robust Statewide 
+economy. Here is what shaped our efforts: We knew from our past 
+experience that previous increases to our minimum wage had 
+produced economic gains for workers while unemployment 
+decreased and business confidence increased.
+    Looking forward or projecting ahead, the Massachusetts 
+Budget and Policy Center testified that nearly one-quarter of 
+Massachusetts workers would benefit from an additional gradual 
+increase in our minimum wage, and that this would include 
+nearly one-fifth of all working parents in Massachusetts. We 
+also knew that these working families will spend their 
+additional income on our main streets and in our downtowns. 
+These observations of our past experience, coupled with 
+projections based on sound economic principle, led us to 
+raising our minimum wage.
+    During our deliberations, we considered a regional minimum 
+wage, but rejected implementing one. We found it is very 
+difficult to draw those lines, particularly when geography is 
+not a clear indicator of cost of living. Locking certain 
+regions of our State into lower wage status by using regional 
+wage boundaries would detract from our hard work in investing 
+in and revitalizing those cities, towns, and neighborhoods that 
+needed help the most.
+    Similarly, we rejected the creation of a training wage or 
+teen minimum wage. Now, we all agree on the importance of 
+getting that first job. It can be an incredible learning 
+experience and can be a foundation for lifetime success. 
+However, the testimony we heard and the statistics we reviewed 
+told a more complicated story about teen employment.
+    Teen workers are responsible in Massachusetts for nearly a 
+fifth of household income amongst our poorest families. These 
+teens are not merely working a summer job for extra spending 
+money, but they are functioning as breadwinners for their 
+families or earning money to further their education. Creating 
+a complicated training wage system that few would use or a teen 
+wage that would push other low-wage workers, including seniors, 
+out of the job market was inconsistent with our goal of helping 
+working families.
+    So, contrary to what you may think, Massachusetts isn't 
+populated exclusively with elitist, wealthy, Ivy Leaguers. We 
+are a diverse state of financiers and family farmers, laborers 
+and lawyers, researchers and entrepreneurs, blue bloods and 
+blue-collars. We have a proud history of tackling hard problems 
+by working together to solve them. Finding a balance between 
+these diverse and often conflicting interests was at the 
+forefront of our work in raising up the minimum wage.
+    I appreciate the opportunity to address you today. I thank 
+you for the opportunity, and I am available to answer any 
+questions you might have.
+    [The statement of Mr. Brodeur follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you.
+    We will now recognize members in the order of appearance 
+this morning, and the first one is Representative Adams of 
+North Carolina.
+    Ms. Adams. Thank you, Mr. Chair, and thank you, Ranking 
+Member. And thank you all for your testimony and for being here 
+today to our second panel of witnesses.
+    We have been here a while and we have had I think a lot of 
+testimony and certainly testimony to the fact that poverty 
+level wages don't instill dignity. That is the first thing I 
+want to say. Equality makes dignity, and dignity demands a job 
+and a paycheck that lasts throughout the week, and I am quoting 
+Dr. Martin Luther King on that.
+    I am glad that we split today's hearing into two parts, 
+because I don't think enough is said about the positive impact 
+that raising the minimum wage has on our economy as a whole. 
+Too often we view economic progress as a zero-sum game where if 
+workers win, employers lose. But our economy is built by 
+consumers. The more money Americans have in their pockets, the 
+more they can spend on the goods and services that American 
+businesses produce. So don't take my word for it, a consensus 
+of economists say the same thing.
+    And with that, Mr. Chair, I want to enter into the record 
+two letters, both from the Economic Policy Institute, one from 
+Senior Economist and Director of Policy Heidi Shierholz, and 
+the other signed by a collection of over 100 of our Nation's 
+leading economists.
+    Chairman Scott. Without objection.
+    [The information follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Ms. Adams. All of these individuals are in support of the 
+notion that a $15 minimum wage is beneficial to our economy and 
+is long overdue.
+    Ms. Eckhouse, you state in your testimony that when workers 
+have more money in their pockets, they spend it. Why is it 
+that--so why is it that it is so important for a business, 
+including a business like yours that does not sell directly to 
+consumers?
+    Ms. Eckhouse. Thank you for your question, Congresswoman.
+    One thing that is very important to us is, of course, what 
+we make is sold to be eaten, and people need to be able to buy 
+it so that they can enjoy it and we can continue as a business. 
+So that is the first element. People have to have money in 
+their pockets to buy food, and we make food. That is one thing 
+that we do.
+    The other thing that is important is that if people in our 
+employ or in other companies' employ have more money, they can 
+do things like purchase goods and services in their 
+communities, and that is really important.
+    Ms. Adams. Ok. Everybody has to eat, and we heard this 
+morning from laborers, workers who are in the fast food 
+business and other businesses who have a difficult time trying 
+to make the ends meet for their family.
+    Professor Reich, the research and the testimony of Ms. 
+Eckhouse clearly makes a compelling case that increasing the 
+minimum wage boosts consumer spending. What about savings?
+    Mr. Reich. First, I think her argument is borne out by a 
+number of studies from the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston that 
+show that the bigger the wage increase, minimum wage increase, 
+the more consumer spending goes up. I think people who are 
+making the minimum wage, most of them aren't saving, and 
+probably most of their income, most of their increased income 
+goes to items like food, to buying a used car.
+    The other effect that it has is on improving credit scores. 
+And if you improve credit scores, you know, you have much lower 
+interest rates and you can borrow. So ultimately, maybe it will 
+get you to savings, but I don't think at $15 we are talking 
+about a lot of savings.
+    Ms. Adams. Ok. Can you make the argument that raising the 
+minimum wage allows individuals and families to make 
+investments that provide long-term sustainable returns?
+    Mr. Reich. Well, first of all, I think people who are 
+struggling to make ends meet every month--and that isn't just 
+people who are below the poverty line, it is many people who 
+are above the poverty line. The Federal Reserve just did a 
+survey showing about one-third of Americans couldn't meet a 
+sudden $400 financial requirement. One-third, that is a very 
+large number.
+    Anyway, people who are struggling on a day-to-day level 
+like that aren't--you know, they are having a hard time being 
+organized. They are having a hard time getting their kids to 
+school, getting their cars to work, dealing with all the 
+disruptions that everyday life has. And so I think if they want 
+to, you know, be able to invest in training and education, it 
+requires more income. Often it requires more time, you know, 
+being able to work.
+    Ms. Adams. Ok. Thank you very much.
+    Mr. Chair, I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. Ranking Member Foxx, do you want 
+to be recognized?
+    Ms. Foxx. Would you recognize Mr. Comer?
+    Chairman Scott. Ok.
+    The gentleman from Kentucky, Mr. Comer.
+    Mr. Comer. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    And, Ms. Barron, I really appreciated your testimony. The 
+minimum wage is often talked about as a policy to help low-wage 
+or lesser skilled workers, but you didn't seem to fit in either 
+of those categories. You are earning a good living--
+    Ms. Barron. I do, yes.
+    Mr. Comer [continuing]. in the restaurant business. But 
+that was because of your skills and your work ethic--
+    Ms. Barron. Yes.
+    Mr. Comer [continuing]. and your experience. Seattle's $15 
+minimum wage did not appear to help you. Would it have been 
+better for the city of Seattle to just not do that and not try 
+to help you?
+    Ms. Barron. I didn't ask for the help. I was doing just 
+fine. We don't have a tip credit in that city, and that is 
+another reason why it just is not working out.
+    Mr. Comer. That is my experience. I was a state legislator 
+for 11 years in Kentucky, and I look back from a historical 
+standpoint and there were a lot of bills that passed with good 
+intentions but had unintended consequences. And I want to say 
+it sounds like a policy that was supposed to help workers now 
+appears to be doing the opposite in Seattle.
+    As we are considering a legislative proposal to radically 
+increase the Federal minimum wage and eliminate the tip credit, 
+what would you want us to take into consideration, based on 
+your experience?
+    Ms. Barron. I would say take into consideration tip credit 
+for sure. I mean, that is one of the reasons why tipped workers 
+in Seattle are having a hard time now. The tip models are 
+changing, and we are losing money. And, you know, I lose money 
+on a daily basis under a service charge, which is something 
+that is going citywide now.
+    And so I would say you have to look at this whole 
+situation. It is a one-size-fits-all deal, and it doesn't fit 
+everything. So please, you know, look at it a little closer.
+    Mr. Comer. And I couldn't agree more that one size does not 
+fit all, because the economy in Washington State is 
+significantly different than the economy in rural Kentucky, 
+where I represent. So I appreciated that.
+    Dr. Strain, as you noted in your testimony, there are large 
+regional differences in cost of living and average income. 
+Obviously, the cost of living in Seattle is significantly 
+higher than it is in Monroe County, Kentucky, where I reside. 
+Can you elaborate on how a $15 minimum wage may result in 
+disproportionate job losses in regions that have lower cost of 
+living and lower average incomes?
+    Mr. Strain. Yes. In addition to those differences, there 
+are also differences in the existing minimum wages. Some States 
+follow the $7.25 Federal minimum. Other States have 
+significantly higher minimum wages. And, you know, the 
+important thing to consider is how big of a shock will this be 
+to the employers of low-wage workers?
+    There are many businesses who will see the cost of 
+employing minimum wage workers double. There are some 
+businesses who will see the cost of employing minimum wage 
+workers not double, but go up by 50 percent or something like 
+that. And it stands to reason, and the evidence bears out, that 
+the larger that shock and the larger the increase, the harder 
+it will be for businesses to deal with that without reducing 
+employment.
+    Mr. Comer. And I will say again what I said in the first 
+segment of testimony this morning. I believe that we are in a 
+position in America now where we are finally starting to see 
+wage growth. I think it is a result of policies over the last 2 
+years from a regulatory standpoint and from a lower taxation 
+standpoint. Hopefully, we won't do anything to deter the job 
+growth that is being created just from the market. There is a 
+shortage of workers. It is basic supply and demand.
+    So I appreciate you all's testimony. Thank you, Ranking 
+Member Foxx, for letting me ask questions.
+    And I yield back, Mr. Chairman.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Oregon, Ms. 
+Bonamici.
+    Ms. Bonamici. Thank you, Chairman Scott.
+    And to the witnesses, I apologize I was not here to hear 
+you present your testimony, but I certainly have reviewed it. I 
+think it is important to keep in mind as we have this 
+conversation about the Raise the Wage Act, which I am proud to 
+support, that the increase is phased in. It is not all of a 
+sudden. And also, low-wage workers spend their additional 
+earnings. They go right back into the local economies.
+    Ms. Gupta, in your testimony, you talk about how over 31 
+million children, two out of every five children live in 
+households with at least one working person earning less than 
+$15 an hour. Can you talk a little bit about how--because we 
+talked a lot about the wage earners, but can you talk a little 
+bit about the children and how these low incomes affect them, 
+their health, their education as they are growing up?
+    Ms. Gupta. Yes. Thank you, Congresswoman, for the question. 
+Everyone should be paid fairly, including young people. And 
+some young people working--some young working people I should 
+say currently being paid the lower youth subminimum wage, they 
+are also students. Some of them are the sole family wage 
+earner. We heard from Mr. Wise this morning, who talked about 
+his own experience being the main provider for his family and 
+being unable to do so on the existing minimum wage.
+    The National Employment Law Center notes that of the 18-and 
+19-year-olds that are enrolled in college, 70 percent are 
+working. And so that is why we have to be paying attention to 
+the role that young people play in their families. For many of 
+them, they really are, you know, mainstream supporters and 
+earners for their families and have a lot of other obligations.
+    Ms. Bonamici. So it is fair to say that the children who 
+are being raised by parents making less than minimum wage are 
+affected as well. It doesn't just affect the wage earner; it is 
+affecting their families and their children as they are growing 
+up, because they might not have the food and resources and 
+healthcare they need.
+    Ms. Gupta. Absolutely.
+    Ms. Bonamici. And also, Ms. Gupta, I want to get a couple 
+questions in. Oregon is one of those States that prohibits 
+employers from paying tipped workers a subminimum wage. I said 
+this morning I was surprised to find out that there were other 
+states that allowed a subminimum wage. Research demonstrates 
+that workers in the seven States that have eliminated 
+subminimum tipped wage continue to receive tips from customers. 
+Businesses have not suffered hardship.
+    In your testimony, you discuss the origins of the tip 
+minimum wage, which are intertwined with the history of slavery 
+in this country. Why do some states still continue to allow it 
+and who would benefit from gradually phasing it out, as 
+proposed in the Raise the Wage Act?
+    Ms. Gupta. Well, the civil rights history I think or the 
+history of the tip minimum wage is crucial to understanding why 
+States need to move away from it. The reality is that poverty 
+rates for people who work for tips are more than twice as high 
+as rates for working people overall. And the people most 
+affected are women of color, low-wage earners. The median 
+annual income for tipped workers of color is $14,300. For black 
+working people, it is even lower at about $12,900 per year.
+    And as we noted, tipped workers have not received a raise 
+in 28 years, but the actual racial impact and the gender impact 
+of the current policies in states that have frozen the tip 
+minimum wage for so long really disproportionately impacts 
+women of color in families.
+    Ms. Bonamici. Thank you.
+    And, Dr. Reich, thank you for your testimony. The most 
+recent increase to the Federal minimum wage a dozen years ago 
+did not address inflation rates, or in my State of Oregon, we 
+indexed to inflation, based on the CPI.
+    And I wonder if you could talk a little bit about how $15 
+in 2024 does not equal $15 in today's dollars. When you adjust 
+past increases to the Federal minimum wage for inflation, how 
+does the Raise the Wage Act compare? Based on your research, 
+can you address projected effects on employment?
+    Mr. Reich. On employment? Well, first, the question on 
+indexing, there are about ten states that index their minimum 
+wages, and I couldn't find any difference on the employment 
+effects in the states that do and the states that don't.
+    The States that do index and have for a long time, like 
+Washington and Oregon, are actually a very interesting research 
+topic, because in the rest of the country the real minimum wage 
+has fallen where there hasn't been indexing and it stayed at 
+$7.25. So you see an increase in the minimum wage, but then in 
+the subsequent years the real value decreases. So, you know, 
+are we really observing an increase in the minimum wage when we 
+look at those events? In the index states, we do see those 
+events. So I think that is--and in those states, we don't see 
+negative effects on employment from indexation.
+    Indexation means that there is a planful, you know, 
+approach to the minimum wage each year, which means a small 
+couple of percent increase rather than the kind of sawtooth 
+pattern that we have, we have big increases every 10 years or 
+so followed by long periods where we don't.
+    Ms. Bonamici. Thank you.
+    And I yield back. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentleman from Kansas, Mr. Watkins.
+    Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    Dr. Strain, you bring up the fact that there is a lack of 
+international evidence regarding the effects of doubling 
+minimum wage. In fact, you explained how States who increase 
+their minimum wage are taking on a gamble. Now, I asked for 
+international comps because I have lived outside the U.S. most 
+of my career. I have been to about 75 countries, and I have 
+never seen a country with more economic opportunity and more 
+freedom and a chance to advance as the United States.
+    So my question is, why is there a lack of international 
+evidence that might compare to what this committee is 
+considering today?
+    Mr. Strain. Well, I think it serves to highlight how major, 
+how big of a decision this would be for the Congress. There are 
+not countries that have gone up to a level like $15, because 
+$15 is a very high wage. There is a reason why in the United 
+States only until very recently no states had gone up to $15, 
+and there is a reason why the Federal minimum wage is less than 
+half of $15.
+    Mr. Watkins. Can you think of any other nations in 
+particular that might have come close?
+    Mr. Strain. I think Great Britain is around $12 or so.
+    Mr. Watkins. All right. That is all I have.
+    Thank you, and special thanks to Ms. Barron. I really 
+appreciate your willingness to come and speak with us today. 
+Your testimony was very moving and you are very selfless. Thank 
+you.
+    Ms. Barron. Thank you.
+    Chairman Scott. The gentleman yields back.
+    The gentlelady from Florida, Secretary Shalala.
+    Ms. Shalala. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman.
+    Just to begin, Florida's minimum wage as of January 1st is 
+$8.46. It does increase with the rate of inflation, but a 
+living wage in Miami-Dade, in my district in particular, would 
+have to be almost $13. So I very much support this gradual 
+increase.
+    If I could start with Mrs. Eckhouse, I am very excited to 
+see you, because I get your meat through Murray's.
+    Ms. Eckhouse. Wow, I am thrilled. Thank you.
+    Ms. Shalala. I have to disclose that. So I am a big fan.
+    Ms. Eckhouse. Wow, that is really exciting. Thank you so 
+much.
+    Ms. Shalala. I am interested because you are in the middle 
+of Iowa, obviously in a small--it looks like a small town in 
+Iowa. Tell us a little about the turnover rate, how long your 
+employees have worked for you, because I have always been 
+interested in when you raise wages what that actually does with 
+turnover and retention. You obviously have done this over a 
+long period of time.
+    Ms. Eckhouse. So we opened our plant--we built our plant in 
+2004 and we opened it in 2005, in February. Our longest term 
+employees have been with us since then, just a few. And we have 
+had periods of greater and lesser turnover, but we do have a 
+lot of loyalty among our employees. They appreciate that we pay 
+high wage to them, as high as we can manage, that we give them 
+regular increases in their wage. And we have a lot of other 
+elements that we offer to our employees in addition to their 
+hourly wage or their salary.
+    But we have--we really--given the industry that we are in, 
+which is the meat processing industry, we have a relatively low 
+rate of turnover among our employees; and that is, as I said in 
+my testimony, really critical to us, because, like all 
+businesses, what we do is unique, but ours is possibly more 
+unique than others, which I realize is not a grammatically 
+correct formulation. But really, what we do is unusual and we 
+need to train people very carefully to do a good job. And it 
+takes a long time to train them, and to have people walk out 
+the door because they can get more money somewhere else, that 
+is damaging to us as a business and discouraging to us as well.
+    Ms. Shalala. Thank you very much.
+    Dr. Reich, I have been very interested in your work for 
+some time, and I am particularly interested in the discussion, 
+and you are talking to us a little about the offset for minimum 
+wage, the SNAP program, for example. And that is, by raising 
+the minimum wage, I believe we would save money on the 
+Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, because there would 
+be less people using that program as the minimum wage went up.
+    Mr. Reich. That is right. I looked at not just the rules, 
+which say that there is a ceiling above which you are no longer 
+eligible for the SNAP program, and that it is not really--or to 
+mix my metaphors up, I guess, it is not a cliff. You don't fall 
+off it all of a sudden. It is a gradual decline in the food 
+stamps that you get. And when I compared that across states 
+with different minimum wages and try to make everything else 
+controlled so that it was a controlled experiment, we found 
+that, indeed, higher minimum wages led to lower food stamp 
+expenditures as well as food stamp enrollments.
+    Ms. Shalala. I appreciate that.
+    Mr. Chairman, just raising, increasing the minimum wage in 
+my State of Florida to $10.10 per hour would decrease SNAP 
+expenditures by $290 million. So when we talk about raising the 
+minimum wage, we have to look at how it would offset certain 
+Federal programs and actually create an offset that would be 
+significant for the Federal Government.
+    Thank you. I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Idaho, Mr. 
+Fulcher.
+    Mr. Fulcher. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    I think my question is best geared toward Dr. Strain. In 
+our State of Idaho, approximately 65 percent of our commerce in 
+the tax receipts come through what would be considered a small 
+business or ag-based economy. And I just try to look at this, 
+and I understand what my good colleague from Florida just 
+mentioned about the potential offsets with Federal programs, 
+but that is taxpayer money as well. If we take that minimum 
+wage to $15 in our State, where does that money come from?
+    Mr. Strain. Well, the money comes from smaller profit 
+margins for businesses that can continue to employ workers. The 
+money comes from employing fewer workers and finding more cost-
+effective ways for businesses to conduct their operations 
+without workers. So one obvious example of that is switching 
+from human cashiers to automated kiosks and things of that 
+nature.
+    You know, there is no kind of magic source of money for 
+these things. When Federal regulation says that you can't pay a 
+worker less than $15 an hour, businesses take that as a given 
+unless they break the law. And, of course, there is a 
+nontrivial rate of subminimum wage payments. The higher the 
+minimum wage goes, the more of a problem that will be.
+    But businesses take that as a given and then decide whether 
+or not it makes sense to hire the next worker. And the concern 
+is that businesses will decide it does not make sense to hire 
+the next worker.
+    Mr. Fulcher. Thank you. So in our situation potentially as 
+policymakers, we would need to go into this understanding that 
+part of the calculus, part of the result, part of the impact of 
+implementing this would be that we are knowingly redistributing 
+that revenue from one party to another, because what I am 
+hearing you say is that the prices would have to go up or they 
+would have to figure out how to put cost down in some other 
+area.
+    Mr. Strain. Yes. One way to think about it in those terms 
+is that you are taking money away from low-skilled, less 
+experienced workers and giving it to workers who get to 
+continue keeping their jobs, who will disproportionately be 
+higher skilled workers with more experience. And, you know, I 
+think the position that you are in is to decide whether that is 
+a good tradeoff.
+    Mr. Fulcher. Thank you, Dr. Strain.
+    Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Michigan, Mr. 
+Levin.
+    Mr. Levin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    With permission, I would like to submit for the record a 
+letter from I think 10 or 12--I didn't count them--
+organizations representing disability rights groups, just an 
+incredible range of groups, the Autism Society of America, 
+Disability Rights and Education Defense Fund, National Down 
+Syndrome Congress, supporting the bill.
+    Chairman Scott. Without objection.
+    [The information follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Mr. Levin. And, Ms. Gupta, I would like to ask you a 
+question about this very matter, their letter. The FLSA has a 
+provision, section 14(c), as you know, that allows individuals 
+with disabilities to be paid a subminimum wage. As your 
+testimony States, some are paid as little as pennies an hour. 
+Why is it important to phaseout 14(c) to ensure all people in 
+this country are paid a fair wage, as these groups are 
+requesting?
+    Ms. Gupta. Thank you, Congressman. Section 14(c) of the 
+FLSA was actually written at a time when individuals with 
+disabilities were predominantly housed in institutions and 
+endured long-term segregation. At that time, there were no 
+statutory requirements that would support individuals with 
+disabilities in the workplace, and individuals with 
+disabilities didn't actually have legal protections from 
+discrimination.
+    And when Congress passed the ADA in 1990, it ushered in a 
+new era, and then the Supreme Court issued their Olmstead vs. 
+L.C. opinion. And the reality is that people with disabilities 
+deserve to work alongside friends, peers, and neighbors without 
+disabilities. They deserve to earn fair wages, to access equal 
+opportunity for advancement. And the 14(c) of the FLSA has 
+really locked classes of people with disabilities, particularly 
+with intellectual and developmental disabilities, into really 
+degrading subminimum wage and sheltered workshops.
+    Mr. Levin. And I assume it almost assures their continued 
+dependence on family or Federal dollars of other kinds to be 
+able to live and have food and shelter and so forth.
+    Ms. Gupta. That is right. It has created an increased long-
+term dependency and, of course, this also can create deeply 
+kind of humiliating and personal experiences that make people 
+with disabilities feel like kind of subhuman.
+    Mr. Levin. Yes. I have to say, Mr. Chairman, for 4 years I 
+ran the work force system of the State of Michigan, and one of 
+the most delightful parts of my job was handling all the areas 
+that help people with disabilities live independently and gain 
+employment. And it was probably the area I learned the most in, 
+but also we really do a disservice to huge swathes of our 
+population if we say that they don't deserve to earn a basic 
+minimum wage. So thank you for that.
+    Dr. Reich, I would like to ask you a question I don't think 
+has come up that much. And I don't know if there is good 
+research on this or not, but I feel like these discussions 
+about the minimum wage lack imagination. And your profession is 
+famous for lacking all imagination, so maybe it is an unfair 
+question.
+    There are profound, profound effects on the economy of 
+having more money in working people's pockets. Is there 
+research to show the economic impacts to the restaurant, to, 
+you know, the local store, to the barber shop, to the auto 
+dealer when people are making more money in the community, and 
+what happens, where that money goes and what it does to Main 
+Street?
+    Mr. Reich. Thanks for the question. I know of two studies 
+on spending effects of the minimum wage. One is done at the 
+Federal Reserve Bank in Chicago, in the research department, 
+and the other more recently the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
+    Both found big spending effects, because people had more 
+money in their pockets. And the Boston one actually looked most 
+closely at food--restaurant spending, rather. And it found that 
+while restaurant prices went up, restaurant sales also went up. 
+So the prices did not deter people going to restaurants at all.
+    Mr. Levin. You know, I think that is such a profound point. 
+I know from my own experience that the restaurant industry is, 
+you know, is a big opponent of this. And I just think that the 
+experience in States and cities that have raised their minimum 
+wage, and when you visit them they have unbelievably thriving 
+restaurant scenes and high, high employment.
+    So I really hope that we will pass this bill and we will 
+allow workers to have more dignity and more self-sufficiency in 
+our country, and it will actually help grow our economy and 
+make it more fair. Thank you very much.
+    I yield back, Mr. Chair.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    The gentleman from Pennsylvania, Mr. Thompson.
+    Mr. Thompson. Chairman, once again, thank you for this 
+marathon hearing.
+    Thanks to all of our panelists that are here. I appreciate 
+that. I just want to make a comment, then I have got a couple 
+questions. My comment is, I don't know how many of you have 
+ever--I spent 28 years before I came to Congress serving 
+individuals facing life-changing disease and disability. I have 
+spent a lot of time in supported workshops, supported 
+employment sites. I spent a career trying to help adapt 
+equipment, help look at facilitating processes, you know, to be 
+able to help people achieve a competitive level of work.
+    And you can do all that, and there are still individuals 
+with some very severe complex disabilities who you throw by the 
+wayside by eliminating piecework or subminimum wage, you know, 
+folks who are just so complex in their disability. But I 
+challenge you if you have not, where these folks are still 
+working--and, unfortunately, a lot of them have lost their jobs 
+and are no longer able to have that sense of accomplishment, 
+that thing that defines them, the pride that they take.
+    The coolest place I have ever been is in one of those sites 
+on payday. And those checks, some of those checks aren't very 
+large, but you would think that the way they receive it was 
+like for a million dollars. The self-esteem, the work.
+    And so before you throw people with complex severe 
+disabilities under the bus with some type of flawed policy that 
+ignores the needs of the very, very disabled. We are not 
+talking about--you know, I worked to help facilitate people 
+back into life in a full and robust way. I encourage you to 
+check that out.
+    Dr. Strain, I want to just--the first question is about the 
+future of a lot of minimum wage jobs. As I travel around, I am 
+from a very rural district. You know, I go into grocery stores, 
+self-checkout counters now. Restaurants, there is no wait 
+staff, you order on electronically. Gas stations. I mean, all 
+just kind of a lot of places where--not everywhere, but a lot 
+of minimum wage jobs that I have heard referenced today, I 
+mean, they are low-skilled jobs and so technology is 
+eliminating a lot of those. It is not going to totally 
+eliminate them, but--and that is really why I look to a ladder 
+of opportunity. You want people to do better in life, help them 
+connect with the work that this body has already done, in terms 
+of career and technical education training, skills-based 
+education.
+    Dr. Strain, any thoughts on how the advancement of 
+technology in some of these settings where we have low-wage 
+jobs are impacting low-wage jobs?
+    Mr. Strain. Yes. I think that is an excellent point. The 
+cost of that technology has been going down over time. And low-
+skilled workers, minimum wage workers have to compete more 
+fiercely in order to have those jobs. A potential risk of 
+raising the minimum wage at all, much less to $15 an hour, is 
+that just tips the cost-benefit calculus in favor of those 
+kiosks and that technology and away from hiring a human worker.
+    But there is even a more important point than that. Low-
+skilled workers, even if they are no longer going to be 
+employed as cashiers as technology continues to get better and 
+cheaper, do constitute a pool of available resources for 
+businesses. And businesses are smart, and they are going to try 
+and figure out a way to use those workers.
+    So a $15-an-hour minimum wage not only makes it harder for 
+businesses to employ those workers today, it makes it much 
+harder for businesses to figure out how to employ those workers 
+in the future doing new kinds of jobs that don't currently 
+exist yet.
+    Mr. Thompson. Dr. Strain, you note in your testimony that 
+worker productivity is primarily a factor in wage levels. How 
+do education and skills development, the skills-based education 
+factor into productivity?
+    Mr. Strain. Well, they increase it. So if you are thinking 
+about productivity is roughly how much revenue can you generate 
+every hour you work for your firm? How much additional revenue 
+can you generate for the firm? The more skills you have, the 
+harder you work, the more education you have, which is a 
+primary way we transmit skills, the more revenue you are going 
+to generate, the more valuable you are going to be, the more 
+firms are going to compete over you and the more your wage is 
+going to go up in the market.
+    Mr. Thompson. And we have a skills gap today. And I would 
+just love, encourage folks to, you know, to check with the work 
+force investment boards, the different great agencies that are 
+out there, our community colleges, just the great places where 
+you can access this type of education.
+    The Federal Government is supporting that in a way more 
+than what we ever have in the past with this piece of 
+legislation that we enacted last year. And I really do think 
+that is the pathway to greater opportunity.
+    Thank you, Chairman.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from New York, Mr. 
+Morelle, is recognized for 5 minutes.
+    Mr. Morelle. Thank you, Mr. Chair. I will pay particular 
+attention to the shot clock. I apologize for exceeding my time 
+earlier today.
+    Thank you to the panelists for being here. Over the years 
+in the New York Assembly, I met regularly with the Center for 
+Disability Rights, a not-for-profit community-based advocacy 
+and service organization for people with all types of 
+disabilities. And during my many conversations with the CDR, a 
+recurring topic was the question of phasing out the subminimum 
+wage for individuals with disabilities and working toward a 
+Federal law, to allow those workers to earn the same wage and 
+not face discrimination on the basis of the discrimination.
+    Ms. Gupta, if I might ask you, section 14(c), the Fair 
+Labor Standards Act, allows for individuals with disabilities 
+to be paid a subminimum wage. It was written at a time when 
+individuals with disabilities were predominantly housed in 
+institutions, something that, gratefully, is no longer the case 
+in many places. There was no statutory requirement, as I 
+understand it, to support individuals with disabilities in the 
+workplace, and the individuals did not even have legal 
+protections from discrimination.
+    I am just curious, can you describe how our legal framework 
+has changed regarding those protections and supports for 
+individuals in all aspects of society and how this does impact 
+and necessitates the phasing out of 14(c)?
+    Ms. Gupta. Yes. As you said, Congressman, section 14(c) of 
+the FLSA was written at a very particular period of our 
+Nation's history when there really was no legal framework for 
+understanding discrimination against people with disabilities. 
+And then when Congress passed the Americans with Disabilities 
+Act in 1990, it really ushered in a very broad new wave of 
+protections, kind of a new era for people with disabilities in 
+our country.
+    And then the Supreme Court kind of further elucidated the 
+protections in 1999 in a case called Olmstead versus L.C. and 
+recognizing I think what was a crucial tenet of the ADA, the 
+community integration mandate. And it was there in that case 
+that the court said that the ADA bars unjustified institutional 
+isolation of persons with disabilities.
+    And when I was in the Justice Department, although my 
+predecessor started this, there was a real effort to ensure 
+that mandate had real meaning in the lives of people with 
+disabilities and to seek to make sure that where there were 
+sheltered workshops that were segregated facilities that really 
+excluded or primarily just focused on employment for people 
+with disabilities who had little to no contact with people who 
+did not have disabilities, there was a real effort to ensure 
+that people with disabilities could work alongside peers and 
+have equal opportunity to employment.
+    And that is why we have seen a number of states actually 
+now, both through litigation but happily through legislative 
+action, take the charge to end 14(c) and to have a phased-in 
+opportunity to raise the minimum wage for people with 
+disabilities.
+    Mr. Morelle. Thank you for your answer. And actually, you 
+answered my next question, which related to the conflict with 
+the 14(c) and the ADA, so I appreciate your comment on that.
+    Let me just in closing, six states, as you mentioned, have 
+completed or are in the process of phasing out 14(c). I think 
+Vermont and New Hampshire have completely phased out. Maryland, 
+Alaska, Oregon and Rhode Island are in the process of it, and I 
+understand Hawaii and Kentucky are at least considering it.
+    Can you just talk about the other benefits individuals with 
+disabilities experience other than financial benefits from the 
+phasing out of 14(c) and moving into a competitive integrated 
+employment setting?
+    Ms. Gupta. Yes. I mean, so much of what we are talking 
+about today is really about the dignity of work and people with 
+disabilities feeling the dignity of being human beings entitled 
+to the same protections as any other people in this country and 
+being able to participate in the mainstream economy with people 
+without disabilities, to have the opportunity, to have equal 
+opportunity for jobs and housing and the like.
+    And that this move from the ADA to Olmstead and beyond is 
+really about ensuring that people with disabilities have equal 
+opportunity and are not kind of considered, you know, folks to 
+be segregated out of the mainstream economy.
+    Mr. Morelle. Very good. Thank you again to all the 
+panelists for your great work.
+    Thank you, Mr. Chair. And with that, I ask unanimous 
+consent to submit into the record a 2018 report from the 
+National Council on Disability that renews its recommendations 
+for the phaseout of section 14(c) of the Fair Labor Standards 
+Act.
+    Chairman Scott. Without objection.
+    [The information follows:]Mr. Morelle
+    National Council On Disability: https://www.govinfo.gov/
+content/pkg/CPRT-115HPRT36713/pdf/CPRT-115HPRT36713.pdf
+    Mr. Morelle. Thank you, sir.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you.
+    The gentleman from Pennsylvania, Mr. Smucker.
+    Mr. Smucker. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
+    One of the opportunities I think we have here is to 
+implement policies that continue to lift more people out of 
+poverty. I know one of the goals of mine is to try to find ways 
+that we can give people the opportunity to connect with a good-
+paying job and to provide that dignity that Ms. Gupta was just 
+referring to.
+    Dr. Strain, I would like to talk about the doubling of the 
+Federal minimum wage in that context. Some people believe that 
+doubling the minimum wage is an effective antipoverty policy. 
+Is that the right way to view it?
+    Mr. Reich. It is certainly not the way I view it. The 
+benefits of increasing the minimum wage are that workers' 
+earnings go up. But if you look at who those earnings accrue 
+to, they are to households that are not below the poverty line, 
+on the whole. So it is certainly the case that the minimum wage 
+is a very poorly targeted antipoverty tool. In addition, the 
+costs of the minimum wage are borne by workers without a lot of 
+skills, workers without a lot of experience. Those workers are 
+much lower income, on average.
+    And so you have this policy where the benefits go to people 
+who are further up the income distribution. The costs are borne 
+by the least-skilled, least-experienced, most vulnerable 
+workers in society. If your goal is to help out, you know, 
+middle class households, maybe that is a reasonable tradeoff. 
+If your goal is to help the working poor, then it is certainly 
+not, in my view.
+    Mr. Smucker. Ms. Barron, just to followup to that, 
+according to the U.S. Census Bureau, about 60 percent of 
+working age Americans who live in poverty do not work at all 
+and, therefore, would potentially not benefit from a minimum 
+wage increase. But, that said, I firmly believe that the vast 
+majority of Americans desire the dignity of earning that 
+success and would work for a living if the opportunities 
+existed.
+    Based on your experience, do you think that more than 
+doubling the Federal minimum wage will make it easier or harder 
+for unemployed Americans to find work and begin to make a 
+living?
+    Ms. Barron. In my opinion, I would think it makes it 
+harder. I mean, we have seen support staff jobs, which are 
+typically jobs that people who are right out of school take or 
+people, you know, low-income workers I guess you could say or 
+just people starting out would take, and those jobs are going 
+away.
+    In Seattle, we have a chain called Red Robin, and they 
+employ a lot of people across the State and across the country, 
+I believe. And due to the $15-an-hour minimum wage increase, 
+they went ahead and wiped out all of their support staff. Now, 
+that is bussers and hosts and food runners and things of that 
+nature. And these are, again, jobs that, you know, when you are 
+first starting out of school, I started that way. I started as 
+a busser. And, you know, you work your way up through that 
+industry.
+    So, you know, I think people that are unemployed looking 
+for jobs to start out in any sort of industry probably are 
+going to have trouble, if something like Red Robin is an 
+indicator.
+    Mr. Smucker. There has been some discussion about teens, 
+teens entering the work force.
+    Ms. Barron. Yes.
+    Mr. Smucker. And my son is 16 years old, has several 
+different jobs, is, by the way, thrilled with that one job was 
+$9.50 per hour. But I was part of a presentation recently--I 
+would just like to get your reaction to this--measuring the 
+success of people who enter the work force.
+    And in the view of this presenter, he was showing 
+statistics that where he believed that having a job during high 
+school was one of the best indicators of whether someone would 
+be successful after that. Do you agree with that?
+    Ms. Barron. I do agree with that. And my son is going to be 
+turning 16 next week. And, you know, I have raised him since at 
+a very young age to start to work. You know, whether that is 
+doing dishes at home or now he currently has a job walking 
+dogs.
+    Mr. Smucker. I was speaking to an owner of a restaurant in 
+my area, a mixed bar and grill, saying that, you know, people 
+who have been there for some time were earning well over 
+$40,000 per year and more. And his view, as an owner of a 
+business who enjoyed providing jobs for teens, said that would 
+be much more difficult to do if they had to start at $15 an 
+hour. Do you see that as well?
+    Ms. Barron. Yes. At the restaurant where I work, we are 
+trying to hire people now that, you know, have way more 
+experience. So, again, we don't have those support staff jobs. 
+So now we have to hire--you know, if we are hiring bartenders 
+and such like that, we are looking at people that have had a 
+lot of, lot of experience. And, again, those are hard to find, 
+because now we are going to a service charge. And so people 
+with a lot of experience have actually moved out of the city. 
+So we are seeing people leaving the city, because the minimum 
+wage increase is impacting how they make their money.
+    I honestly--I mean, for young kids, I think of myself when 
+I was 17 coming out of high school. And my mom worked in a 
+restaurant. She got me a job bussing tables. And I think about 
+how I worked my way up through the industry, and it has allowed 
+me to survive and do some of the things that I wanted to do in 
+my life. And I think about myself at 17, 16 years old, and 
+wonder about the kids nowadays. Like my son, like I don't know 
+what he is going to be doing, you know, if he starts in the 
+restaurant industry. I am trying to tell him don't do that, 
+but--
+    Mr. Smucker. Thank you.
+    Chairman Scott. The gentlelady from Michigan, Ms. Stevens.
+    Ms. Stevens. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for 
+this wonderful day of hearings on a very important topic. And 
+thank you to our incredible panelists for being here today. 
+Your testimonies have mattered a great deal.
+    As someone who was managing a multimillion dollar federally 
+funded portfolio focused on the future of work in the digital 
+age of manufacturing in the age of automation before I was 
+running for Congress and was now in Congress, it is obvious 
+that the question around the future of work must be undergirded 
+within our present reality, that the question of our economic 
+orientation is, how do we choose to value human work and what 
+are we handing over to automation versus what are we giving to 
+people.
+    The question of has a hamburger--excuse me, has a machine 
+ever been able to buy a hamburger? No, that machine never has, 
+that we must live in a human-driven and oriented economy.
+    So I have got four quick questions for Dr. Strain, who I 
+believe you are, you know, capable of answering these. Could 
+you answer quickly, what is the yearly income of a person 
+living in poverty?
+    Mr. Strain. The yearly income of a person living in 
+poverty?
+    Ms. Stevens. Yes. What is our federally indexed rate for 
+somebody--
+    Mr. Strain. It varies, depending on how many children you 
+have in the household. Say $20,000 dollars.
+    Ms. Stevens. Ok. And what is the income of a person working 
+full time at the minimum wage?
+    Mr. Strain. A person working full time at the minimum wage 
+is $15,000, roughly.
+    Ms. Stevens. And do you know how much our Federal 
+Government spends on SNAP benefits a year?
+    Mr. Strain. Not precisely, no.
+    Ms. Stevens. Ok. And so I take it you don't know how many 
+are working full time who may happen to be utilizing SNAP 
+benefits?
+    Mr. Strain. Who are working full time who are utilizing 
+SNAP benefits? Not--
+    Ms. Stevens. Yes, the percentage of our work force. Ok. 
+Well, we can do that as a question for the record after the 
+hearing.
+    So, Ms. Gupta, quickly for me, can you describe for us what 
+this means to work full time in the U.S. at the poverty rate? 
+How does this impact a person's access to healthcare, to equal 
+opportunities? What does this mean for women, and particularly 
+what does this mean for women of color?
+    Ms. Gupta. Yes. I mean, this means that women and women of 
+color are harmed by--there is a pretty significant gender pay 
+gap, and it targets in particular women of color because they 
+can't access and won't have as much security around healthcare, 
+and transportation, and additional money to support their 
+families. And so there is a lot of--you want me to do this 
+quickly, so I will just say that women of color in particular 
+are deeply harmed by these kinds of policies and their ability 
+to actually enter the mainstream economy.
+    Ms. Stevens. Well, there is lots of narratives to share 
+around this important topic, and I appreciate your deep and 
+thorough testimony that covers this, and thank you for being 
+here with us today.
+    Mr. Brodeur, you gave a great testimony, and I come from 
+the great State of Michigan where increasing the minimum wage 
+is overwhelmingly popular in my home state. And as I talked 
+about the future of work in the digital age of everything, it 
+certainly means a great deal to you, someone who is 
+representing the largest robust automotive supply chain in the 
+country. But I would love for you to share a little bit more 
+about your experience and your work, particularly how did you 
+see increasing the minimum wage as stimulating or revitalizing 
+cities or towns across your state? What impacts did that on 
+your local economies?
+    Mr. Brodeur. You know, thank you for the question because 
+Massachusetts, I think, has had a little bit of a different 
+perspective because we have done what you all started to talk 
+about doing here in terms of gradually raising the minimum 
+wage. Starting in 2015, we did a round dollar year minimum wage 
+increases. We took a year off, and then with the most recent 
+legislation, over the next 5 years we will go up to $15.
+    So we do not have the problem that I think is built into 
+the system you currently have where if you don't raise it, then 
+it becomes harder to raise it, and then there is an 
+argumentative that is a shock to the system, so we better not 
+raise it, so folks get left behind.
+    What I think is really important for you people to 
+understand about Massachusetts and why I appreciate the 
+question is particularly from the morning session. I heard 
+Boston talked about maybe two or three or four times as, you 
+know, a wonderful place but a very high wage, high expense 
+place, and therefore, all of Massachusetts must be the same. 
+That is not at all the case. We have rural areas, particularly 
+in Western Mass, that struggle with some of the issues that I 
+have heard about here today.
+    In some places, median income is less than half of what is 
+in Boston. We also have gateway cities. My friend from Greater 
+Lowell can tell you about Lowell and Lawrence and some of those 
+surrounding communities that essentially were--were really 
+industrial dynamos but have struggled a little bit to make the 
+transition that Boston and Cambridge already have into the 
+digital economy, the service economy.
+    So when we thought about how to approach the minimum wage 
+and how to target things, we viewed it as an opportunity to 
+raise folks up, to put money into people's pockets so that 
+those parts of the economy that aren't entirely Boston-driven 
+will have an opportunity to participate in that success. And 
+that was part of--you know, we kind of did a lot, quite 
+frankly, in the last legislative session around raising people 
+up.
+    This was an important part of it, but again, we approved 
+that we needed to give folks the opportunity to invest in 
+themselves, and really, get off the ground floor, to get 
+education, to get into some of the middle skilled jobs that we 
+are desperate to fill in Massachusetts.
+    Ms. Stevens. Well, thank you for doing that work, and I 
+yield back the remainder of my time.
+    Chairman Scott. My distinguished colleague from Virginia, 
+Mr. Cline.
+    Mr. Cline. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate everyone's 
+time today, and I noted with interest the comments of my 
+colleague from Michigan talking about the industries that are 
+there. And it is a different economy than the economy of my 
+State, the Commonwealth of Virginia, and different than 
+Representative Brodeur's Commonwealth of Massachusetts, another 
+commonwealth. But we do share similarities in that there are 
+rural parts and suburban parts that have more robust economies, 
+more diversified economies.
+    And so I wanted to start by asking Dr. Strain. The effect 
+of an increase in the minimum wage on unemployment is fairly 
+straightforward. You have noted that in your testimony. Is 
+there an indirect inflationary pressure on the cost of goods 
+and services in an area, say, rent or other types of products 
+that an increase in the minimum wage may influence?
+    Mr. Strain. Yes. So when a business faces an increase in 
+the minimum wage, they have to absorb that cost somehow. One 
+way to absorb that cost is by having fewer workers work there. 
+Another way to absorb that cost is by raising prices. And you 
+see that when the minimum wage goes up, the prices that 
+businesses that employ minimum wage workers charges also go up.
+    This is, you know, kind of a double-edged sword for those 
+minimum wage workers in that sense because a lot of the 
+customers of businesses who employ minimum wage workers are low 
+wage workers themselves. So you give a worker a raise with your 
+right hand, and then you take it back or some of it back at the 
+cash register with your left hand.
+    Mr. Cline. And so those States that are pushing for a 
+higher minimum wage are adjusting to the cost of living in 
+their respective States, and I think what you are seeing are 
+different States facing different pressures.
+    Representative Brodeur, you may be able to answer this. In 
+Massachusetts, with regard to a Federal minimum wage, there is 
+a support for a floor in the wage versus a set dollar amount, 
+all States shall pay a minimum wage of X. But would there be 
+any kind of support for an increase in the minimum wage beyond 
+an adjusted amount that reflected the cost of living? I mean, 
+would you want to increase the minimum wage if the cost of 
+living mandated an increase to $15, and you all were given a 
+choice to increase it to $20? Would that be something that you 
+all would entertain in Massachusetts, or would you want to 
+target it more toward the cost of living?
+    Mr. Brodeur. We just got to the 15 thing, and that was a 
+big lift, so we would like to take a little bit of time off, I 
+think.
+    One thing we did not do is indexing, and I know that is 
+part of the chairman's bill. And I think one reasons it is part 
+of the chairman's bill is because what historically was a 
+bipartisan, well supported kind of regular process where the 
+minimum wage would go up has become something of a political 
+football. Quite frankly, that hasn't happened in Massachusetts.
+    One thing that is interesting about the commonwealth and 
+our legislature is any bill that is filed gets a hearing, and 
+every session folks file bills around minimum wage in many 
+flavors, quite frankly. So it is kind of always on our mind. It 
+is always a topic of discussion. It is not something we do and 
+then hope it goes away--
+    Mr. Cline. If in a state like Virginia or a state that is 
+more rural where you may not have the inflationary pressures or 
+the pressures on cost of living to increase to a full $15 
+minimum wage, should a state be able to adjust it to something 
+less where it maybe more accurately reflects the cost of living 
+for that state?
+    Mr. Brodeur. I don't think so, respectively. When I think 
+back to the original setting of the minimum wage toward the end 
+of the Great Depression, there was a national floor, and what 
+we have heard from people that are way smarter than me, both in 
+this panel and the panel before, is if we kept up with 
+inflation and productivity, where would that be on the national 
+level? It would be somewhere between 12 and 18 to 22, it 
+sounded like.
+    Mr. Cline. As a former fellow State Representative, I would 
+rather leave that to the states to make that decision as it 
+specifically applies to each state's cost of living.
+    But I appreciate it, and I yield back, Mr. Chairman.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from 
+Massachusetts, Mrs. Trahan.
+    Mrs. Trahan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thanks again for 
+bringing us together to hear this important panel. I am so 
+proud that Massachusetts--well, I am so proud to be from 
+Massachusetts for a number of reasons, and it is because of 
+Senator Brodeur's work not just on this issue but on 
+healthcare, education, on gun violence prevention. We are one 
+of the states leading on raising the wage, and for that I am 
+grateful.
+    There is no one more well suited to speak before us today 
+than you, and in terms of what it took, the collaboration and 
+thinking creatively to get this done. In your testimony, you 
+talked about the importance of coalition this to pass the grand 
+bargain that resulted in both paid leave and raising the wage. 
+I love that your approach was inclusive and truly people 
+powered, so my question. In your testimony, you mentioned that 
+it was a strategic decision to invest in the working families 
+of Massachusetts while also being a positive step forward for 
+our business community. During that same period, Massachusetts 
+businesses demonstrated relative stability and growth.
+    So I am wondering if you can talk about some of the 
+specific positive feedback that you heard from Massachusetts 
+businesses in terms of raising wages.
+    Mr. Brodeur. There was certainly not unanimity of opinion, 
+and that is why it was a grand bargain. There was give and take 
+across a range of issues, both within paid family medical leave 
+which was a more complicated, quite frankly, and challenging 
+piece to put together because there were so many moving parts 
+and the minimum wage piece and some other issues.
+    And we heard from--you know, we talked to folks, you know, 
+one or two-person operations, folks in my district to some of 
+the biggest employers in Massachusetts. One thing that everyone 
+recognized was that both programs were incredibly popular, that 
+there was tremendous support across the spectrum for the 
+general idea of both initiatives, maybe not particular details.
+    You know in terms of the minimum wage, Mass, Inc. which is 
+an organization that you are familiar that others might not be, 
+a nonpartisan kind of think tank and polling entity that tested 
+the waters on how popular or how supportive the public would be 
+of these things, and they were popular across the board. 
+Republicans, Democrats, IUndependents all supported it.
+    So what I think we needed to do, and why it was such a long 
+process, is we needed to start with paid family medical leave 
+and some fact-finding and some exploration, and we all needed 
+to kind of speak the same language and understand what kind of 
+benefits we were trying to provide, what would actually help 
+working families, what would be impediments.
+    And we tried to be respectful of that and listen to what 
+the business community in certain segments already provided in 
+terms of wages and benefits and made sure that we didn't 
+reinvent the wheel, that we didn't take away something that was 
+better than what might be complemented or implemented under any 
+particular plan.
+    And I think that went a long way toward building trust, for 
+lack of a better way to say it, and having constant 
+communication, having some significant disagreements for sure 
+along the way but recognizing that this was coming, and it is 
+important to working families, it is important to the economy 
+of Massachusetts, and you know, and then kind of putting the 
+pieces together.
+    And it was a humbling process to be a part of because you 
+don't see a lot of progress on big issues these days, and I 
+think that is unfortunate, and I don't think that needs to be 
+the case.
+    Mrs. Trahan. Yes, thank you. It was a testament not just to 
+your leadership but I know that the grand bargain was in 
+concert with our Republican Governor Baker as well as the many 
+groups that you mentioned. Can you just discuss the 
+implementation and the timetable for Massachusetts to 
+transition to the $15 minimum wage?
+    Mr. Brodeur. I can. So it will be over 5 years, and first--
+let me make sure I get this right. The first 3 years will be a 
+dollar increase, and then the final 2 years will be $0.75 
+increase, ultimately bringing it to 2023. On the tip wage, we 
+did not eliminate the tip credit, but we did expand. Compared 
+to some of our peers, we had a very low tip credit. Not as low 
+as the Federal tip credit for sure, but that will grow over the 
+same timeframe up to $6.75 when it is done in 2023.
+    Mrs. Trahan. Great. Thank you so much. Thanks so much for 
+all of your time. I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Georgia, Mr. 
+Allen.
+    Mr. Allen. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and I appreciate 
+everyone being here today. I come from the State of Georgia who 
+is the best state to locate your business 6 years in a row. I 
+was a small business owner in that state, and in Georgia, we 
+pay the wages according to our employee's skill set. It is a 
+free market environment, a growing economy that grows job which 
+grows opportunity which grows wages. We reward a good day's 
+work. My Democrat colleagues don't want to believe that we can 
+produce economic opportunity in concert with growing wages 
+without the government interfering.
+    Signing the front of the paycheck and providing folks with 
+a good job has been the greatest honor of my life. That is why 
+I oppose the Raise the Wage Act. This one size fits all, top 
+down government regulation will destroy millions of hard-earned 
+jobs and turn our growing economy and wage growth into decline. 
+Democrats have focused on economic growth and getting the 
+American people back to work. Free market initiatives that we 
+know grow wages and grow jobs.
+    Dr. Strain, millions of jobs were created by our strong 
+economy thanks to lower taxes and deregulation. How would 
+raising the minimum wage to $15 hurt all of these economic 
+gains we have been able to achieve?
+    Mr. Strain. Well, I think it is certainly the case that we 
+have seen the low wage labor market doing a lot better over the 
+last few years. A hot economy really has benefited that group 
+of workers. We have started to see wages grow at a more rapid 
+pace, for example. We have been seeing vulnerable workers, 
+workers with disabilities, workers who have been incarcerated 
+getting jobs at higher rates, and this is all wonderful news.
+    I am very concerned that doubling the Federal minimum wage 
+will put a halt to a lot of that progress and will really gum 
+up the works of job creation for workers without a lot of 
+skills and without a lot of experience.
+    Mr. Allen. Three hundred and four thousand jobs in January.
+    Mr. Strain. That is quite a few.
+    Mr. Allen. Yes. Do you agree that raising prices is not 
+always an option for many businesses?
+    Mr. Strain. Raising prices is not always an option for many 
+businesses, particularly businesses in more competitive product 
+markets. And again, you know, you have to raise prices quite a 
+bit to absorb a $15 an hour minimum wage. This is not a $9 an 
+hour increase we are talking about. This is doubling the 
+Federal minimum.
+    Mr. Allen. Right. So how would a business double its rate 
+of pay and not raise its prices?
+    Mr. Strain. Well, I think it would be hard for a lot of 
+them to do that.
+    Mr. Allen. Which then causes the cost of living to 
+increase--
+    Mr. Strain. Some of those businesses might invest in 
+technology instead of hiring workers.
+    Mr. Allen. Yes--
+    Mr. Strain. Some of those businesses will--
+    Mr. Allen. They are going to figure out a way. Yes.
+    Ms. Barron, how has the Seattle minimum wage hike affected 
+your working career?
+    Ms. Barron. Well, I lose money on a daily basis. It is as 
+easy as that.
+    Mr. Allen. Yes.
+    Ms. Barron. And it is due to my employer having to 
+navigate--
+    Mr. Allen. Yes.
+    Ms. Barron [continuing]. the higher wage. So he went to 
+taking away tip lines and going with a service charge. And 
+under that service charge, I don't make as much as I could. And 
+there is no way for me to maximize my income with my job, so it 
+has changed my job quite a bit. It has pretty much stagnated 
+what I could make.
+    Mr. Allen. So the government said we are going to raise 
+wages, and your wages went down?
+    Ms. Barron. Yes.
+    Mr. Allen. Ok. Your testimony talks about your friend who 
+started her own pizza place.
+    Ms. Barron. Uh-huh.
+    Mr. Allen. Tell us about that and what happened to your 
+friend?
+    Ms. Barron. So my friend Retu, she has been in the service 
+industry as long as I have. She decided she wanted to try her 
+hand at being an owner, and she started a pizza place called--I 
+think it is called Z pizza, And she employed I think about 10 
+people, and then the minimum wage came. So she had her business 
+for about 5 years, and she looked at the books and she said I 
+can't make the numbers work. And she even went to our city 
+council and said look. If you want to see, you know, try to 
+make them work for me because I don't understand. I can't make 
+it work, and so she just--instead of struggling, she just went 
+ahead and closed it because she couldn't do it.
+    Mr. Allen. Ok. Well, thank you so much for your testimony, 
+and I yield back, Mr. Chairman.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Maryland, Mr. 
+Trone.
+    Mr. Trone. First of all, I want to thank everybody for 
+their long day today, but it is a really important subject that 
+we are embarked on. Raising the minimum wage is, plain and 
+simple, the right thing to do for hard-working Americans. We 
+heard a lot today from many people that have never owned a 
+business, never been an employer, that raising the wage is bad 
+for business.
+    Well, I started a business 30 years ago as an entrepreneur. 
+I was the first employee. Guess what? I figured out how to make 
+it work, and now that business employs over 7,000 folks across 
+America in every region, every area of the country. We also 
+employ hundreds of returning citizens as they deserve a fair 
+wage too. But paying a fair wage was not just the right thing 
+to do. It is the key to our success. The key to our success was 
+paying a fair wage.
+    Higher wages lead, we spoke about earlier, lower employee 
+turnover, reduced recruiting and training costs. But at the end 
+of the day, happier customers. Ms. Eckhouse, in your testimony 
+you also connected, and Ms. Shalala was talking about it, 
+higher wages with lower turnover so the growth of your 
+business.
+    Could you talk a little bit about the piece that we don't 
+touch on enough here, and that is all the productivity gains, 
+the efficiency gains, the awesomeness of having team members 
+that know a business and care about the customers, and those 
+folks stay with you. They stay with you long times, long term, 
+because they make a good wage, and they have good benefits. So 
+could you talk about and give us some insights on how important 
+that is?
+    Ms. Eckhouse. Well, thank you for your question. It is 
+really critical to us to have people who work for us, whether 
+they are working out in the fields selling what we make or 
+whether they are working at home with us in the plant making 
+what we sell who really understand what we are making, how it 
+is sourced, how it is processed in our plant, how it is sent 
+out in the world for people to consume.
+    And if they don't understand that, they cannot do a good 
+job. And once they do a good job, they become invested in the 
+process. They learn about it. They come up with ideas. If they 
+have been with us for enough time, they can see improvements 
+and suggest them to us. So we end up having a business that is 
+not just a top-down business where we are telling people what 
+to do. People are able to buildup from the bottom and because 
+they fully understand the process, and they are invested in 
+working for us because they can make an income that allows them 
+to support their families.
+    Mr. Trone. I think you hit on what is such an important 
+point that nobody really talks about, and that is a business 
+isn't run from top down. A business is run on ideas, great 
+ideas, and that is what makes it success. And when the team 
+members are empowered, the team members feel like they are part 
+of the team because they are paid appropriately. They are paid 
+fairly. That is when they have those insights, those ideas to 
+make the business more efficient, more productive.
+    So I commend you on running that type of business. That is 
+just the right way to do things.
+    Ms. Eckhouse. Thank you. I really believe that the labor is 
+worthy of his or her hire, and we have to honor that.
+    Mr. Trone. Without question. Dr. Reich, you mentioned in 
+your testimony business can adjust to a minimal wage increase 
+in several ways. They go from a low wage, high turnover model 
+or what I chose, a higher wage, low turnover model. I shared 
+some of my experiences. What does research tell us about how we 
+quantify, quantify the actual cost of employee churn, employee 
+turnover?
+    Mr. Reich. Thanks for that question. I happen to have 
+published an article on that subject in the Journal of Labor 
+Economics a few years ago, so--and actually, way back when I 
+was a graduate student in the 1960's, I developed the idea of 
+duly labor markets, that labor markets do differ. Some are high 
+wage, low turnover, some are low wage, high turnover. And this 
+paper I just published a few years ago actually showed that 
+when the minimum wage went up that employee turnover went down 
+quite a bit.
+    There are other studies that had already shown a 
+correlation between the wage and turnover. This was really a 
+study where we felt we had a causal identification. And as to 
+the amount, well, it varies by industry depending on what the 
+costs of training are and where the vacancies are.
+    In low wage industries like restaurants or in certainly big 
+box retail, turnover each year is over 100 percent. These are 
+firms that are constantly looking for work. They have very high 
+vacancy rates. There is a cost of vacancy. This is even more 
+true when the unemployment rate is very low. And those are big 
+costs that we don't, you know, talk about in Econ 1, in the 
+simple supply and demand model. But when we add those costs in, 
+those are substantial. We think they don't totally--savings on 
+recruitment and retention costs don't totally offset increases 
+in the wage costs, but they might offset maybe 20, 25 percent 
+of it on average, obviously more in some industries than the 
+others.
+    We couldn't look at the kinds of points that you are making 
+about productivity or customer satisfaction so that might 
+possibly add to that effect as well.
+    Mr. Trone. Thank you very much. That is all, Mr. Chairman.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The Ranking Member, Dr. Foxx.
+    Ms. Foxx. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I want to add 
+my thanks to all the witnesses who have been here today. We 
+have been here practically all day, and we are going to be here 
+a little while longer. We have heard a lot of the same 
+arguments over and over again.
+    I do think some Democrats, and maybe one on this committee, 
+understands the free market, how it really works and the 
+opportunities it creates for Americans from every walk of life. 
+You know, I grew up in a house with no electricity, no running 
+water, and I have been working since I was 12 years old. And my 
+husband and I did run a business, so I know what it is like to 
+create jobs, to try to keep jobs going, and to meet a payroll. 
+And I think almost every member of our committee on this side 
+of the aisle understands that, so I know Mr. Trone isn't 
+talking about our folks not knowing how to run a business and 
+what it takes.
+    But it seems to me that there are people not always 
+understanding the opportunities that the American way of life 
+creates for Americans or maybe how smart business owners are in 
+this country. After all, we have gotten to be a great country 
+because of the capitalistic system.
+    But I think the reason we have been here all day and we 
+have been hearing these points made over and over and over 
+again is perhaps some of our colleagues are trying to convince 
+themselves and the rest of us that a socialist campaign talking 
+point could actually be good policy, but I am not sure it 
+worked.
+    So I want to thank our witnesses who have come here today. 
+I especially want to thank Ms. Barron for giving voice to those 
+Americans who aren't in lockstep with the labor interests 
+driving this misguided campaign to eliminate jobs, particularly 
+you, Ms. Barron, understanding you took time away from your 
+workplace to be with us here today.
+    We want to see wages go up for every working American, 
+every single one, and they do go up for Americans. We are 
+seeing more wage growth than we have in decades because of the 
+smart economic policy that has empowered workers. Pushing back 
+on heavy-handed regulations and giving Americans real tax 
+reform has opened up opportunity and wage growth that actually 
+helps American families.
+    And we know, one of our witnesses has already said, that 
+employers are already free to pay higher wages than minimum 
+wage, and it works. And guess what? Other employers understand 
+that too. The law already allows it. But why do our colleagues 
+want to force the government to run everybody's life in this 
+country? The growth we are experiencing right now makes a $15 
+Federal mandate look like the political stunt it really is. 
+Washington doesn't need to be making any more decisions for the 
+people of this country.
+    The dysfunction we have all experienced and all commented 
+upon the last couple of months is all the proof we need that 
+decisions about worker paychecks certainly shouldn't be up to 
+anybody in this city. We can spend our time trying to justify 
+socialist ideas as mainstream, or we can spend our time looking 
+for ways to put money in people's pockets by their earning that 
+money and not taking it from one person's pocket and putting it 
+in another one. We can sustain era of growth and opportunity. 
+On our side for the sake of American workers, we are going to 
+stay focused on the latter.
+    And with that, Mr. Chairman, I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Washington, 
+Ms. Jayapal.
+    Ms. Jayapal. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you all for 
+being here. I know it has been a long day, and we appreciate 
+it.
+    I want to just correct the record on a couple of things. I 
+was on the committee that raised the $15 minimum wage. I am 
+glad to see one of my constituents here, and I appreciate your 
+traveling here, although I imagine perhaps you don't support my 
+position on this issue based on your testimony. I certainly 
+appreciate hearing from you.
+    And I will tell you that we heard all of the arguments 
+through months of testimony about what this was going to do to 
+destroy the economy in Seattle, about all the restaurants that 
+were going to close. And we went back through recently all of 
+the restaurants that came to testify before us, and the 
+majority of them had actually opened new restaurants, new 
+restaurants.
+    And so I will just say that you just need to look at our 
+booming economy in Seattle to understand that the minimum wage 
+law has worked and, in fact, we even heard the same arguments 
+when we indexed minimum wage to inflation back in 2001, that 
+this was going to destroy our state's economy, that it was 
+going to create problems. People were going to flee to other 
+states. But people including, I think maybe Ms. Barron, moved 
+to Washington State in part because we have a booming economy 
+and jobs to take.
+    I also just want to respond to the comment about a 
+socialist campaign talking point. Let me just tell you that on 
+our committee was one of the wealthiest capitalists, proud 
+capitalists in our state, Nick Hanauer, who consistently has 
+said over and over again that when workers do better, companies 
+do better. When companies do better, the economy does better. 
+When the economy does better, workers do better. It is a cycle 
+that actually works over and over again.
+    We also had a small business owner, a tremendous number of 
+small business owners and restaurant owners who have been doing 
+the right thing for a long time. That included my friend and 
+local Seattle restaurant owner Makeney Howell. And she said it 
+best when she went to the White House Summit on Working 
+Families back in 2014, and she said the economy--this is her 
+quote. The economy is built from the bottom up, not the top 
+down. Every job should be an economy-boosting job.
+    Makeney for years, even before our law went into effect, 
+would pool her tips and distribute them equitably to all the 
+workers so that you take away that discrepancy between front of 
+the house workers who may earn a lot in tips, and there were 
+some workers who were earning a lot in tips who saw those tips 
+go down, but it was because it was being shared with people in 
+the back of the house.
+    And so these are really important--there has been a lot of 
+talk about Seattle today, and I am thrilled that is the case, 
+but let me tell you as somebody who actually helped craft that 
+law, who was on the front lines of making sure we heard the 
+testimony, that the testimony that we continue to hear is 
+simply not accurate.
+    Does it mean that Ms. Barron is not correct in her wages? 
+Of course I am not saying that, but I did want to ask you, Ms. 
+Barron, about the organization that you are affiliated with. It 
+is called the Full Service Workers Alliance of Seattle. Is that 
+correct.
+    Ms. Barron. Correct.
+    Ms. Jayapal. And are you aware that the FWSA is part of a 
+group called the Restaurant Workers of America?
+    Ms. Barron. It is not part of the Restaurant Workers of 
+America. That is not correct.
+    Ms. Jayapal. Well, I have the research showing that it is 
+part of a national network of server groups called the 
+Restaurant Workers of America.
+    Ms. Barron. It is not part of the Restaurant Workers of 
+America. The Full Service Workers alliance is a group that I 
+cofounded with a friend of mine. We are a loose group of about 
+1100 full service workers, and that includes front of the house 
+and back of the house.
+    Ms. Jayapal. Thank you. Are you aware since you.
+    Founded the organization, I assume you are, that a former 
+FSWA member so severely misrepresented his role in the group 
+and the details of the Seattle Secure Scheduling Law in a King 
+5 TV news interview that the station's news director was forced 
+to pull it down.
+    Ms. Barron. That is incorrect. That is incorrect. If you 
+watch--
+    Ms. Jayapal. Ok. Well, I would be happy to take that 
+information from you so that we understand because this is what 
+our research has shown and I wanted to make sure--
+    Ms. Barron. Well, your research is incorrect.
+    Ms. Jayapal [continuing]. that people know what the 
+organization is. So let me turn to Miss Gupta. The Fair Labor 
+Standards Act when it was passed excluded certain classes of 
+workers in a compromise to appease Southern States. Those 
+workers tended to be women and people of color, and the 
+vestiges of those policies still impact those communities 
+today.
+    Thank you for make the arguments in your opening Statements 
+that this is actually a women's issue. Can you speak about how 
+raising the minimum wage would help right some of those 
+economic wrongs?
+    Ms. Gupta. Yes. Thank you, Congresswoman.
+    African American and Latino working women in particular are 
+overrepresented in low pay jobs and women of color are more 
+likely than any other group to be paid the lowest wages. 
+Gradually raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 an hour by 
+2024 and indexing it to median Federal wages and ensuring that 
+working people are actually able to cover basic expenses like 
+housing, food, and transportation would be a huge, huge win for 
+working people.
+    Working mothers, especially, are likely to be paid low 
+wages, and that is why for the leadership conference, 
+representing a broad constituency of communities of color and 
+women, this particular bill would go a long way to closing the 
+gender pay gap but also addressing kind of structural 
+disparities that are created through racial difference.
+    Ms. Jayapal. Thank you very much. I see my time has 
+expired. I yield back.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Texas, Mr. 
+Castro.
+    Mr. Castro. Thank you. Perfect timing. So I guess I ask 
+this question. I just obviously came here from another meeting, 
+but who has been opposed to a minimum wage increase over the 
+last few years on the panel? Anybody else? And I guess what has 
+been your main opposition?
+    Ms. Barron. I am losing money. I am losing income because 
+of the $15 an hour minimum wage increase.
+    Mr. Castro. And do you think that it should be less? Do you 
+think it should be, like, $11 or just no minimum wage or $6 an 
+hour?
+    Ms. Barron. Well, I think I would leave that up to you 
+folks to determine that, but all I know from my experience is 
+that I am losing money because of loss of tips, because of the 
+rise in the minimum wage, and I don't feel that workers' voices 
+in the full service industry have been represented at all in 
+this talk.
+    Mr. Castro. So I guess your point is that you are not 
+against a minimum wage. You think that $15 is not the right 
+amount?
+    Ms. Barron. As everything is proposed at this point in 
+time, I am finding myself as days go on opposed to the rise in 
+minimum wage altogether.
+    Mr. Castro. You would freeze it.
+    Ms. Barron. Yes. I would like to have a tip credit in 
+Washington State, and we are not having that conversation. We 
+are, I guess, not allowed to have that conversation in 
+Washington State.
+    Mr. Castro. I guess let me ask you. The reason I ask is the 
+U.S. Chamber of Commerce for years would not support increasing 
+the minimum wage, even by a penny. I mean, at all. And I know 
+that obviously you are in the service industry. Are you a 
+waitress?
+    Ms. Barron. Yes.
+    Mr. Castro. That is different from somebody working at, 
+say, Whataburger in Texas or somewhere else?
+    Ms. Barron. Right.
+    Mr. Castro. So you have been opposed for a while to a 
+minimum wage increase, even one cent on minimum wage?
+    Mr. Strain. Yes. I would be opposed to raising the Federal 
+minimum wage at all.
+    Mr. Castro. And I guess why is that? So you don't think it 
+should ever be raised? I mean, 50 years from now it should 
+never be raised?
+    Mr. Strain. In my view the primary focus should be on 
+providing economic opportunity to the least skilled, least 
+experienced, most vulnerable workers in our society. Those 
+workers are the workers who will bear the cost of a minimum 
+wage increase. If you raise the minimum wage by one penny, how 
+many of them would be worse off? You know, I don't know. Not 
+nearly as many as if you--
+    Mr. Castro. No, but you would agree also that their 
+expenses go up, the cost of living goes up, people need a 
+higher wage, right?
+    Mr. Strain. Another reason to be opposed, another reason 
+why I am opposed is because there are better tools that 
+Congress has to help those workers. Expanding Federal earning 
+subsidies puts more money in the pockets of the working poor 
+and actually increases employment rather than reduces 
+employment.
+    So when thinking about how to help these workers, I think 
+Congress should look at the full range of options and not only 
+focus on the option that is going to put a lot of them out of 
+work.
+    Mr. Castro. Sir, I guess I disagree with you on your first 
+point about not increasing the minimum wage, but I mean, you 
+understand that other people that are opposed to increasing the 
+minimum wage are also opposed to the subsidies you are 
+describing.
+    Mr. Strain. I am only speaking for myself, Congressman.
+    Mr. Castro. Ok. I think part of the reason that we have 
+gotten here and part of the reason that there is such 
+frustration with the income inequality in this country is 
+because the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and major business 
+organizations have not taken the lead even though some 
+companies on their own, including members of the Chamber of 
+Commerce, have actually raised their own minimum wage on their 
+own. And it is interesting that is an instance where private 
+industry has actually been ahead of the main industry group 
+that is coming to Washington and in their name arguing against 
+raising the minimum wage by even one penny. I think that--
+    Mr. Strain. I don't know--
+    Mr. Castro. I am in my comment part here. Thank you for 
+your answers to my questions.
+    And I think that this could have been a very different 
+conversation over the years if different groups and 
+organizations had worked in earnest and in concert, not even 
+necessarily with the Federal Congress but with the states and 
+with their own workers in making an earnest attempt to raise 
+the minimum wage.
+    But that has not happened now for decade, longer than a 
+decade, that those conversations have happened. And so we find 
+ourselves in a country where income inequality has grown, where 
+workers have gotten very frustrated, where there is in American 
+society now, I think, a real resentment at the fact that 
+people--that you get more and more billionaires in our country, 
+and you have a lot of people that may have a job but feel as 
+though they have no future in their work. And that is where we 
+find ourselves today.
+    I yield back. Thank you, Chairman.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Illinois, 
+Ms. Underwood.
+    Ms. Underwood. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for calling this 
+hearing, and thank you to all the witnesses for appearing here 
+today.
+    I am going home to Illinois 14th tomorrow to hear what our 
+community has to say about this issue, and I am glad to have 
+the opportunity to hear from experts like you today.
+    Mr. Chairman, I would also like to ask for unanimous 
+consent to submit a letter from advocate Aurora Health in 
+Illinois for the record.
+    Chairman Scott. Without objection.
+    [The information follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    Ms. Underwood. Thank you. I think many people don't realize 
+if you're working full time to support your family right now at 
+the Federal minimum wage, you are making $15,080 a year. That 
+is not a livable salary anywhere in America today, and so I 
+would like to learn more about how gradually raising the 
+minimum wage can help workers and small businesses.
+    Ms. Eckhouse, you have been paying a livable wage since you 
+started your small business almost 20 years ago. In that time, 
+have you seen the livable wages you pay contribute to lower 
+levels of turnover, and would you say that this has been better 
+for your bottom line?
+    Ms. Eckhouse. Thank you for your question. Yes. We have 
+seen lower turnover than we might have as expected in our 
+business, and that has benefited our company. It benefits us in 
+a lot of ways. We have more knowledgeable employees, we have 
+more committed employees, and we are all able to work together 
+to improve what we make.
+    Ms. Underwood. That is great. And is it your experience 
+that because you pay a livable wage and therefore have less 
+turnover, you are able to dedicate more time to growing your 
+business instead of a cycle of hiring and training new 
+employees?
+    Ms. Eckhouse. Yes. That is correct. And our employees are 
+also able to contribute to better management of our business 
+because they have been there longer and are more familiar.
+    Ms. Underwood. And so you would say that paying a livable 
+wage is an importantly part of your small business's success. 
+Is that right?
+    Ms. Eckhouse. Yes, I would.
+    Ms. Underwood. I am really encouraged by research showing 
+that gradually raising the minimum wage can help reduce wage 
+inequality and have a positive effect on women's economic 
+security, so I really appreciate Miss Gupta's comments. I would 
+like to just pivot for a second.
+    Professor Reich, what does the current research say about 
+the impact on health outcomes? I am a nurse, and so often I 
+like to ask about the health impact as a result of the increase 
+in the minimum wage.
+    Mr. Reich. And thank you for that question. This is a very 
+new area in my minimum wage research is to look at the health 
+impacts, and there are about 20 studies, and they are not 
+unanimous. No economists never are unanimous, so that is not a 
+negative sign. But there are definitely good studies, high 
+quality studies that show that higher minimum wages reduce 
+smoking rates, they reduce obesity, they reduce prediabetic 
+conditions.
+    In a study that I have done but I have not yet published, 
+they reduce suicides. There would be, like, 700 fewer suicides 
+a year with every 10 percent increase in the minimum wage.
+    Ms. Underwood. Wow, those really powerful findings. Thank 
+you.
+    I appreciate your testimony this afternoon. I do also 
+recognize it has been a long day and know how important this 
+issue is for workers, for business owners, and for the future 
+growth of our economy in this country, so thank you for your 
+service, and I yield back my time.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you. And I recognize myself for 
+questions. And I would like to begin by responding to the idea 
+that this is a socialist talking point. I would point out that 
+Arkansas and Missouri recently by referendum passed increases 
+in the minimum wage or a similar track to what we are doing in 
+this bill by votes of well over 60 percent.
+    Representative Brodeur, who has been helped in 
+Massachusetts by the minimum wage increase?
+    Mr. Brodeur. Working families certainly have been. Again, 
+as I started in my opening remarks talking about we see teens 
+that are about 20 percent of our teens supplying 20 percent of 
+the household income, you know, for folks that are really at 
+poverty level. That is huge, and it leads to, you know, some of 
+the results that Dr. Reich was talking about in terms of those 
+dollars leading to better outcomes for families over the long 
+term.
+    It has also provided opportunities for folks to again to 
+advance themselves. Education, we all agree, is the pathway to 
+success both early ed and an environment where the family is 
+more stable. Kids have more success, and those young adults 
+that are trying to get higher ed or a certificate or whatever 
+the case may be to improve their opportunities in the job 
+market also benefit.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you.
+    Dr. Strain, in your testimony, you indicated there are 
+better ways to help the working poor. I think you mentioned the 
+earned income tax credit. Is that what I understand you are 
+referring to?
+    Mr. Strain. Yes, Mr. Chairman.
+    Chairman Scott. What are the other ways of helping the 
+working poor?
+    Mr. Strain. Well, another way is through the child tax 
+credit which has a refundable component that can go to support 
+low-income Americans. Another way is to expand education and 
+training programs. I think apprenticeships offer a particularly 
+promising path forward to building worker skills which will 
+allow them to be more productive and command higher wages. 
+There are many, Mr. Chairman. There are many.
+    Chairman Scott. If you could supply those for the record 
+after the hearing, I would appreciate it.
+    Mr. Strain. Of course.
+    Chairman Scott. Professor Reich, the 2014 Congressional 
+Budget Office study showed a significant job loss. I understand 
+there have been subsequent studies that come to different 
+conclusions. Can you say what the overall body of research 
+shows about whether or not low income workers are worse off as 
+a result of an increase in the minimum wage?
+    Mr. Reich. The CBI doesn't do its own research on this 
+topic. It just builds on and uses the research that other 
+people have done, and they looked at the studies as of 2014 
+some by me, some by other people, and they basically took an 
+average between those two as the effect on teens. That is not a 
+very good scientific method because some of the studies are 
+better than others.
+    And they had to extrapolate from what the effect is on 
+teens the effect on adults, and they arbitrarily came up with a 
+number, a ratio of one-third because adults on the whole are 
+better paid. That again is not a very good basis. More 
+recently, we have studies that look at not only teens and 
+restaurant workers but all workers, all jobs.
+    Dr. Zipperer, who was on the panel this morning, is the 
+author of one of those studies, and it is a study--I think that 
+it is stunning study. It has been described as the best minimum 
+wage paper since the 1990's, and I agree. It is going to be the 
+defining study. It is probably going to come out in the top 
+economics journal in the world. It shows no negative effects.
+    Chairman Scott. Does the research show how restaurants 
+react to an increase in the minimum wage as far as the way they 
+treat their workers?
+    Mr. Reich. Yes. Well, first of all, you know, not 
+everybody's paid at the minimum wage in a restaurant or any 
+other industry, so the actual increase is usually about half. 
+The actual increase in cost is usually about half. In labor 
+costs, it is usually about half what the minimum wage increase. 
+If the minimum wage goes up 10 percent and the labor cost 
+increases about 5 percent, and labor is only about a third of 
+operating costs.
+    So the actual increase in prices, full pass-through is 
+maybe 1 to 2 percent, especially when you take into account 
+turnover savings. So that is the main adjustment mechanism, not 
+reductions in employment. And by the way, it does increase 
+automation for those jobs that can be automated, but many jobs 
+in restaurants cannot be automated.
+    Food prep is very, very difficult to automate. You cannot 
+automate making a peanut butter and jelly sandwich, for 
+example. It has been tried. And so you know, automation isn't 
+just something that is free. It has to be actually--there has 
+to be a technology for it.
+    Chairman Scott. Thank you very much. My time has expired, 
+and I want to remind my colleagues of the process for 
+submitting additional materials, and I want to thank our 
+witnesses for their participation today. What we have heard has 
+been very valuable.
+    Members of the committee may have additional questions and 
+we ask the witnesses to please respond to those questions in 
+writing. The hearing record will be held open for 14 days to 
+receive those responses, and I would ask the colleagues to 
+submit those questions within 7 days so that the witnesses have 
+ample time to respond.
+    This hearing has demonstrated the benefits of increasing 
+the Federal minimum wage to $15 by 2024, the benefits for 
+workers, businesses, and the economy. No American working full 
+time should be living in poverty, and by gradually increasing 
+the minimum wage, you cannot only elevate the standard of 
+living for nearly 40 million American workers but also put 
+money back in their pockets to support local businesses.
+    And without objection, I ask that the letter and documents 
+from the business for a fair minimum wage and the Economic 
+Policy Institute be entered into the record and without 
+objection, so ordered.
+    [The information follows:]Mr. Scott
+    Economic Policy Institute: https://www.govinfo.gov/content/
+pkg/CPRT-116HPRT36711/pdf/CPRT-116HPRT36711.pdf
+[GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+
+    Chairman Scott. We look forward to continuing the 
+discussion as we advance the legislation.
+    Is there any other business to come before the committee? 
+If not, the meeting is adjourned.
+    [Additional submissions by Ms. Adams follow:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    [Additional submission by Mr. Courtney follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    [Additional submission by Ms. Davis follows:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+    
+    [Additional submissions by Mrs. Foxx follow:]
+    [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]
+
+    [Whereupon, at 5:36 p.m., the committee was adjourned.]
+
+                                 [all]
+