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+[House Hearing, 116 Congress] +[From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] + + + GRADUALLY RAISING THE MINIMUM + WAGE TO $15: GOOD FOR WORKERS, + GOOD FOR BUSINESSES, AND GOOD + FOR THE ECONOMY + +======================================================================= + + HEARING + + BEFORE THE + + COMMITTEE ON EDUCATION + AND LABOR + U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES + + ONE HUNDRED SIXTEENTH CONGRESS + + FIRST SESSION + + ---------- + + HEARING HELD IN WASHINGTON, DC, FEBRUARY 7, 2019 + + ---------- + + Serial No. 116-2 + + ---------- + + Printed for the use of the Committee on Education and Labor + + [GRAPHIC NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + + Available via the World Wide Web: www.govinfo.gov + or + Committee address: https://edlabor.house.gov + + + __________ + + + U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE +36-268 PDF WASHINGTON : 2019 + +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- +For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office, +http://bookstore.gpo.gov. For more information, contact the GPO Customer Contact Center, +U.S. Government Publishing Office. Phone 202-512-1800, or 866-512-1800 (toll-free). +E-mail, [email protected]. + + + + COMMITTEE ON EDUCATION AND LABOR + + ROBERT C. ``BOBBY'' SCOTT, Virginia, Chairman + +Susan A. Davis, California Virginia Foxx, North Carolina, +Raul M. Grijalva, Arizona Ranking Member +Joe Courtney, Connecticut David P. Roe, Tennessee +Marcia L. Fudge, Ohio Glenn Thompson, Pennsylvania +Gregorio Kilili Camacho Sablan, Tim Walberg, Michigan + Northern Mariana Islands Brett Guthrie, Kentucky +Frederica S. Wilson, Florida Bradley Byrne, Alabama +Suzanne Bonamici, Oregon Glenn Grothman, Wisconsin +Mark Takano, California Elise M. Stefanik, New York +Alma S. Adams, North Carolina Rick W. Allen, Georgia +Mark DeSaulnier, California Francis Rooney, Florida +Donald Norcross, New Jersey Lloyd Smucker, Pennsylvania +Pramila Jayapal, Washington Jim Banks, Indiana +Joseph D. Morelle, New York Mark Walker, North Carolina +Susan Wild, Pennsylvania James Comer, Kentucky +Josh Harder, California Ben Cline, Virginia +Lucy McBath, Georgia Russ Fulcher, Idaho +Kim Schrier, Washington Van Taylor, Texas +Lauren Underwood, Illinois Steve Watkins, Kansas +Jahana Hayes, Connecticut Ron Wright, Texas +Donna E. Shalala, Florida Daniel Meuser, Pennsylvania +Andy Levin, Michigan* William R. Timmons, IV, South +Ilhan Omar, Minnesota Carolina +David J. Trone, Maryland Dusty Johnson, South Dakota +Haley M. Stevens, Michigan +Susie Lee, Nevada +Lori Trahan, Massachusetts +Joaquin Castro, Texas +* Vice-Chair + + Veronique Pluviose, Staff Director + Brandon Renz, Minority Staff Director + + + ------ + + + C O N T E N T S + + ---------- + Page + +Hearing held on February 7, 2019................................. 1 + +Statement of Members: + Scott, Hon. Robert C. ``Bobby'', Chairman, Committee on + Education and Labor........................................ 1 + Prepared statement of.................................... 4 + Foxx, Hon. Virginia, Ranking Member, Committee on Education + and Labor.................................................. 6 + Prepared statement of.................................... 8 + +Statement of Witnesses: + Barron, Ms. Simone, Seattle, WA.............................. 148 + Prepared statement of.................................... 150 + Brodeur, Dr. Paul A., ESQ., State Representative, 32nd + Middlesex District, Commonwealth of Massachusetts House of + Representatives............................................ 202 + Prepared statement of.................................... 204 + Gupta, Ms. Vanita, President and CEO, The Leadership + Conference on Civil and Human Rights....................... 135 + Prepared statement of.................................... 138 + Eckhouse, Ms. Kathy, Owner, La Quercia, Norwalk, IA.......... 153 + Prepared statement of.................................... 155 + Holtz-Eakin, Dr. Douglas, President, American Action Forum, + Washington, DC............................................. 36 + Prepared statement of.................................... 38 + Reich, Dr. Michael, PH.D., Professor, University of + California, Berkley, CA.................................... 169 + Prepared statement of.................................... 172 + Spriggs, Dr. William E., Professor, Department of Economics, + and Chief Economist, Howard University and AFL-CIO, + Washington, DC............................................. 9 + Prepared statement of.................................... 12 + Strain, Dr. Michael R., PH.D. Director of Economic Policy + Studies,, and Resident John G. Searle Scholar, American + Enterprise Institute, Washington, DC....................... 158 + Prepared statement of.................................... 160 + Wise, Mr. Terrence, Shift Manager, McDonald's, Independence, + MO......................................................... 31 + Prepared statement of.................................... 33 + Zipperer, Dr. Ben, Economist Policy Institute, Washington, DC 48 + Prepared statement of.................................... 50 + +Additional Submissions: + Adams, Hon. Alma S., a Representative in Congress from the + State of North Carolina: + Letter dated February 5, 2019 from the Economic Policy + Institute.............................................. 210 + Letter dated February 6, 2019 from the Economic Policy + Institute.............................................. 211 + Article: House Health Bill Would Lead to Less Coverage, + Higher Patient Costs................................... 263 + Statement from Rowe-Finkbeiner, Kristin, Executive + Director and CEO of MomsRising.org..................... 265 + Statement from the National Disability Rights Network + Opposes American Health Care Act....................... 267 + Bonamici, Hon. Suzanne, a Representative in Congress from the + State of Oregon: + Letter dated February 5, 2019 from the Women's Coalition. 81 + Courtney, Hon. Joe, a Representative in Congress from the + State of Connecticut: + Letter dated February 1, 2019 from OXFAM................. 72 + Article: Hartford HealthCare to Raise Minimum Wage to $15 + Across Health Network.................................. 269 + Davis, Hon. Susan A., a Representative in Congress from the + State of California: + Letter dated February 6, 2019 from AAUW.................. 273 + Mrs. Foxx: + Article: Seattle Small Businesswoman..................... 276 + Letter dated February 5, 2019 from the National + Restaurant Association................................. 278 + Letter dated February 5, 2019 from NFIB.................. 280 + Replacing Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance with + Government-Financed Coverage........................... 282 + Grijalva, Hon. Raul M., a Representative in Congress from the + State of Arizona: + Report: Minimum Wages and the Distribution of Family + Incomes in the United States........................... 60 + Jayapal, Hon. Pramila, a Representative in Congress from the + State of Washington: + Prepared statement from Asian and Pacific Islander + American Health Forum (APIAHF)......................... 318 + Lee, Hon. Susie, a Representative in Congress from the State + of Nevada: + Letter date January 28, 2019 from First Focus Campaign + for Children........................................... 114 + Levin, Hon. Andy, a Representative in Congress from the State + of Michigan: + Letter date January 31, 2019 from AFL-CIO................ 102 + Letter date January 15, 2019 from Disability Groups...... 223 + Morelle, Hon. Joseph D., a Representative in Congress from + the State of New York: + Link: National Council on Disability..................... 229 + Norcross, Hon. Donald, a Representative in Congress from the + State of New Jersey: + Letter dated February 6, 2019 for Communications Workers + of America............................................. 323 + Chairman Scott: + Fact Sheet: National Employment Law Project.............. 132 + Business For A Fair Minimum Wage......................... 250 + Link: (Economic Policy Institute)........................ 249 + Letter from The Episcopal Church......................... 324 + Undersigned Organizations................................ 325 + Tipped Wage Effects on Earnings and Employment in Full- + Service Restaurants.................................... 339 + Faith-based Organizations Support The Raise the Wage Act + of 2019................................................ 365 + Letter dated January 15, 2019, from the National + Disability Rights Network.............................. 367 + Letter dated February 4, 2019 from the National Urban + League................................................. 369 + Article: Leaked Documents Show Strong Business Support + for Raising the Minimum Wage........................... 371 + Link: Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics (CWED)...... 373 + Link: NBER Working Paper Series.......................... 373 + Takano, Hon. Mark, a Representative in Congress from the + State of California: + Statement from the Center for American Progress.......... 88 + Underwood, Hon. Lauren, a Representative in Congress from the + State of Illinois: + Letter dated February 7, 2019 from Advocate Aurora Health 245 + Questions submitted for the record by: + Davis, Hon. Susan A., a Representative in Congress from + the State of California................................ 379 + Fudge, Hon. Marcia L., a Representative in Congress from + the State of Ohio + + + + Hayes, Hon. Jahana, a Representative in Congress from the + State of Connecticut................................... 379 + Lee, Hon. Susie, a Representative in Congress from the + State of Nevada........................................ 383 + Chairman Scott + + + + + Trahan, Hon. Lori, a Representative in Congress from the + State of Massachusetts................................. 375 + Responses to questions submitted for the record: + ......................................................... + Mr. Brodeur.............................................. 384 + Ms. Eckhouse............................................. 386 + Dr. Reich................................................ 387 + Mr. Spriggs.............................................. 393 + Dr. Zipperer............................................. 396 + + + GRADUALLY RAISING THE MINIMUM WAGE + TO $15: GOOD FOR WORKERS, GOOD FOR + BUSINESSES, AND GOOD FOR THE ECONOMY + + ---------- + + + Thursday, February 7, 2019 + + House of Representatives, + + Committee on Education and Labor, + + Washington, DC. + + ---------- + + The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:17 a.m., in +room 2175, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Robert C. +``Bobby'' Scott (chairman of the committee) presiding. + Present: Representatives Scott, Davis, Grijalva, Courtney, +Fudge, Sablan, Bonamici, Takano, Adams, DeSaulnier, Norcross, +Jayapal, Morelle, Wild, Harder, McBath, Schrier, Underwood, +Hayes, Shalala, Levin, Omar, Trone, Stevens, Lee, Trahan, +Castro, Foxx, Roe, Thompson, Walberg, Guthrie, Grothman, +Stefanik, Allen, Smucker, Banks, Walker, Comer, Cline, Fulcher, +Taylor, Watkins, Wright, Meuser, Timmons, and Johnson. + Staff present: Tylease Alli, Chief Clerk; Nekea Brown, +Deputy Clerk; Ilana Brunner, General Counsel; David Dailey, +Senior Counsel; Emma Eatman, Press Aide; Mishawn Freeman, Staff +Assistant; Carrie Hughes, Director of Health and Human +Services; Eli Hovland, Staff Assistant; Eunice Ikene, Labor +Policy Advisor; Ariel Jona, Staff Assistant; Kimberly +Knackstedt, Disability and Education Policy Advisor; Stephanie +Lalle, Deputy Communications Director; Bertram Lee, Policy +Counsel; Andre Lindsay, Staff Assistant; Richard Miller, +Director of Labor Policy; Max Moore, Office Aide; Udochi +Onwubiko, Labor Policy Counsel; Veronique Pluviose, Staff +Director; Carolyn Ronis, Civil Rights Counsel; Dianna +Ruskowsky, Finance and Personnel Advisor; Banyon Vassar, Deputy +Director of Information Technology; Cyrus Artz, Minority +Parliamentarian; Marty Boughton, Minority Press Secretary; +Courtney Butcher, Minority Coalitions and Members Services +Coordinator; Akash Chougule, Minority Professional Staff +Member; Rob Green, Minority Director of Workforce Policy; John +Martin, Minority Workforce Policy Counsel; Sarah Martin, +Minority Professional Staff Member; Hannah Matesic, Minority +Legislative Operations Manager; Kelley McNabb, Minority +Communications Director; Alexis Murray, Minority Professional +Staff Member; Brandon Renz, Minority Staff Director; Ben +Ridder, Minority Legislative Assistant; Meredith Schellin, +Minority Deputy Press Secretary and Digital Advisor; Heather +Wadyka, Minority Staff Assistant; and Lauren Williams, Minority +Professional Staff Member. + Chairman Scott. The Committee on Education and Labor will +come to order. I want to welcome everyone today and note that a +quorum is present. The committee meeting today is a legislative +hearing on testimony on ``Gradually Raising the Minimum Wage to +$15: Good for Workers, Good for Businesses, and Good for the +Economy.'' + Pursuant to committee rule 7(c), opening statements are +limited to the chair and ranking member. This allows us more +time to hear from our witnesses and provides members more time +to ask questions. I recognize myself now for the purpose of +making an opening statement. + Today we are here for a legislative hearing on the Raise +the Wage Act, H.R. 582, a proposal to gradually raise the +minimum wage to $15 an hour. I want to welcome and thank our +distinguished witnesses for being with us today and for +agreeing to testify. + Raising the minimum wage is one of the most hotly contested +and intensely studied of all labor practices. All the time and +research dedicated to this topic has produced a clear +consensus: Gradually raising the minimum wage is good for +workers, who experience a better standard of living; good for +businesses, which benefit from having more customers and less +turnover; and good for the economy, which is strongest when we +lift working people out of poverty and build a thriving middle +class. + Before we discuss where we are going, it is important to +reflect on where we are today. After 10 years of no increase in +the Federal minimum wage, minimum wage workers have suffered a +17 percent pay cut due to inflation. Today's minimum wage +workers making $7.25 an hour have less buying power than the +minimum wage worker had in the 1960's. + The result is that the Federal minimum wage is no longer +serving its purpose. According to a recent study, there is no +place in America where a full-time worker who is paid the +current Federal minimum wage can afford a modest two-bedroom +apartment. One in nine American workers are paid wages that +leave them in poverty even if they worked full time year-round. +An individual earning the current minimum wage working full +time earns only about $15,080 a year, less than the Federal +poverty level for a family of two. + Do we have a chart? + This shows the poverty level and it shows the median wage +and where the minimum wage has been. + My Republican colleagues are eager to warn the so-called +consequences of raising the minimum wage to $15, but they +ignore the consequences of inaction over the last 10 years. + If Congress fails to raise the minimum wage by mid-June it +will be longest period of time without an increase since the +Federal minimum wage was created 80 years ago. During that +time, millions of workers working full time have been forced to +live in poverty. The only radical thing about the bill is it is +so long overdue. + By several standards, the proposal is a reasonable approach +in restoring the value of the minimum wage. First, the erosion +of the minimum wage after adjustments for inflation has meant +that over the last five decades workers at the low end of the +scale have drifted further away from the middle class. + As the chart on the screen indicates, in 1968--back to the +same chart--the inflation-adjusted minimum wage used to be a +little over 50 percent of the median hourly worker's wages for +an individual working full time. Now, at $7.25 an hour, it is +just a third of the median wage. + Had the 1968 minimum wage simply grown with the rate of +increases in average wages, it would be $12 and 6 million fewer +people would be living in poverty. + Second, the minimum wage has not kept up with increases in +productivity. Between 1973 and 2017, workers' productivity grew +by 77 percent while their wages grew by 12 percent. The +widening gap in how much workers produce and how much they are +paid is one major factor contributing to the historic income +inequality we experience today. + If the minimum wage had kept up with worker productivity, +it would be about $20 an hour today. Workers do not just +deserve higher pay, they have earned that higher pay. + Finally, by the time the minimum wage reaches $15 an hour +in 2024, an individual working full time with a family, +including two children, will finally be able to earn enough to +exceed the poverty threshold for a family of four. + We now have an opportunity--and a responsibility--to +restore the value of the minimum wage, lifting millions of +hardworking people out of poverty, and grow the economy in Main +Street America. + The Raise the Wage Act does three things. First, it +gradually increases the minimum wage in six steps to $15 by +2024. Second, it ensures every worker covered by the law is +paid at least the full minimum wage by creating one fair wage +for all workers. Third, by tying future increases to median +wages, the bill ensures that future increases in the Federal +minimum wage are determined by economics and not politics. + A report published this week by the Economic Policy +Institute details the sweeping benefits this bill will have for +workers across the country. For example, if we pass the Raise +the Wage Act, close to 40 million workers will receive a raise, +including two-thirds of America's working poor and parents of +over 14 million children. + This bill will stimulate the local economy across the +country. Whereas the Republican tax bill gave the largest +benefits to those who needed it the least, this puts money +directly in the hands of those who are most likely to spend it +in their communities. Over the 6-year phase-in period, the +increase in the minimum wage should generate about $120 billion +in additional wages, which will flow back into local +businesses. + Every time we propose raising the minimum wage, +unfortunately, opponents repeat a similar set of talking points +that have been repeated and contradicted by evidence and +research. + Today, I am confident that we will hear dire predictions +about job losses that will result from gradually raising the +minimum wage, but the overwhelming majority of research from +both left-and right-leaning labor economists find few, if any, +job loss when we gradually raise the minimum wage. + For example, a widely acclaimed study published by the +National Bureau of Economic Research and coauthored by one of +our witnesses examined 138 minimum wage increases between 1979 +and 2016. This study found that the overall number of low wage +jobs remained essentially unchanged over 5 years following the +increase, and there was no evidence of disemployment when +considering higher levels of minimum wage. + The evidence clearly demonstrates that the Raise the Wage +Act is a reasonable proposal and will lift millions of workers +out of poverty. + We now hear calls for a regional minimum wage, but, +unfortunately, the reality is, by 2024, $15 an hour is the +least a person would need to afford the basic essentials +anyplace in America. According to the MIT Living Wage +Calculator, single working parents today, even in the poorest +counties in the country, need at least $20 an hour to cover +basic costs. + Workers should not be forced to work at poverty level wages +regardless of where they live. A low-cost region should not be +forced to continue to lag behind the rest of our economy. + H.R. 582 will begin to restore the original intent of the +Fair Labor Standards Act, to ensure that all workers have a +minimum living standard. And as President Roosevelt stated: +``Our Nation, so richly endowed with natural resources and with +a capable and industrious population, should be able to devise +ways and means of ensuring to all of our working men and women +a fair day's pay for a fair day's work.'' + Today's hearing is an opportunity to examine facts and +evidence. Raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2024 in +all regions is good for workers, good for businesses, and good +for the economy. This hearing is a first step toward passing a +bill that reflects our shared belief that no one working full +time should be living in poverty. + And I thank you. + And does the Ranking Member want to speak now or in a +minute? I can introduce the witnesses. + [The statement of Chairman Scott follows:] + + Prepared Statement of Hon. Robert C. ``Bobby'' Scott, Chairman, + Committee on Education and Labor + + Today, we are here for a legislative hearing on the Raise the Wage +Act, H.R. 582, a proposal to gradually raise the minimum wage to $15. I +want to welcome and thank our distinguished witnesses for agreeing to +testify here today. + Raising the minimum wage is one of the most hotly debated and +intensely studied labor policies. All the time and research dedicated +to this topic has produced a clear consensus: Gradually raising the +minimum wage is good for workers who experience a better standard of +living; good for businesses which benefit from having more customers +and less turnover, and good for the economy which is strongest when we +lift working people out of poverty and build a thriving middle class. + But before we discuss where we are going, it's important to reflect +on where we are today. After 10 years with no increase in the Federal +minimum wage, minimum wage workers have suffered a 17 percent pay cut +due to inflation. Today's minimum wage worker making $7.25 an hour has +less buying power than a minimum wage worker had in the 1960's. + The result is that the Federal minimum wage is no longer serving +its purpose. There is no place in America where a full-time worker who +is paid the current Federal minimum wage can afford the basic +essentials. One in nine American workers are paid wages that leave them +in poverty, even if they worked full-time and year-round. An individual +earning the current Federal minimum wage of $7.25 an hour and working +full-time earns only $15,080 annually, less than the Federal poverty +level for a family of two. + My Republican colleagues are eager to warn of the so-called +consequences of gradually raising the minimum wage to $15, but they +ignore the consequences of inaction over the last 10 years. If Congress +fails to raise the Federal minimum wage by mid-June, it will be the +longest period of time without an increase since the Federal minimum +wage was created 80 years ago. + During that time, millions of people working full-time have been +forced to live in poverty. The only thing radical about this bill is +that it is so long overdue. + By several standards, this proposal is a reasonable approach to +restoring the value of the minimum wage. + First, the erosion of the value of the minimum wage after +adjustments for inflation has meant that, over the last five decades, +workers at the low-end of the wage scale have drifted farther away from +the middle class. + As the chart on the screen illustrates, in 1968, the inflation- +adjusted minimum wage was a little over 50 percent of the median hourly +workers' wages for an individual working full time. Today, at $7.25 per +hour it is just a third of the median hourly wage of $22.36. Had the +1968 minimum wage simply grown with the rate of increases in average +wages, it would be nearly $12 today and 6 million fewer Americans would +be living in poverty. + Second, the minimum wage has not kept up with increases in +productivity. Between 1973 to 2017, workers' productivity grew by 77 +percent, while their hourly wages grew by just 12 percent. The widening +gap between how much workers produce and how much they are paid is one +major factor contributing to the historic income inequality we +experience today. If the minimum wage had kept up with worker +productivity, it would be about $20 an hour today. Workers do not just +deserve higher pay, they have earned higher pay. + Finally, by the time the minimum wage reaches $15 in 2024, an +individual working full time with a family and two children will +finally be able to earn enough to exceed the poverty threshold for a +family of four. + We now have an opportunity and a responsibility to restore the +value of the minimum wage, lift millions of hardworking people out of +poverty and grow the economy in Main Street America. + The Raise the Wage Act achieve three key goals: + First, it gradually increases the minimum wage in six steps to $15 +by 2024. + Second, it ensures that every worker covered under the law is paid +at least the full Federal minimum wage by creating one fair wage for +all workers. + And third, by tying future increases to median wages, this bill +ensures that future increases to the Federal minimum wage are +determined by economics, and not politics. + A report published this week by the Economic Policy Institute +details the sweeping benefits this bill would have for workers across +the country. + If we pass the Raise the Age Act, close to 40 million workers would +receive a raise. This includes: + * Twenty-three million women, + * Thirty-eight percent of Black workers and 33 percent of Hispanic +workers, + * Two-thirds of America's working poor, and + * The parents of over 14 million children. + This bill will also stimulate local economies across the country. +Whereas the Republican tax bill gave the largest benefits to those who +needed it the least, this bill puts money directly into the hands of +those who are most likely to spend it in their communities. Over the 6- +year phase in period, the increase in the minimum wage would generate +$120 billion in additional wages, which will flow back into local +businesses. + Every time we propose raising the minimum wage, opponents repeat a +familiar set of taking points that have been repeatedly contradicted by +evidence and research. + Today, I am confident we will hear dire projections about job +losses that would result from gradually raising the minimum. But the +overwhelming majority of research from both left-and right-leaning +labor economists find few, if any jobs are lost when gradually raising +the minimum wage. For example, a widely acclaimed study published by +the National Bureau of Economic Research, and co-authored by one of our +witnesses, examined 138 minimum wage increases since 1979 and 2016. +This study found that the overall number of low-wage jobs remained +essentially unchanged over 5 years following the increase, and there +was no evidence of disemployment when considering higher levels of +minimum wages. + The evidence clearly demonstrates the Raise the Wage Act is a +reasonable proposal that would lift millions of workers out of poverty. + We will also hear calls today for a regional minimum wage. + But unfortunately, the reality is that by 2024 $15 an hour is the +least a person would need to afford the basic essentials in anyplace in +the country. According to the MIT living wage calculator, single +working parents today, even in the poorest counties in the country, +need at least $20 an hour to cover basic costs. Workers should not be +forced to work for poverty-level wages, regardless of where they live. +And lower-cost regions should not be forced to continue to lag behind +the rest of our economy.'' + H.R. 582 will begin to restore the original intent of the Fair +Labor Standards Act: to ensure all workers have a minimum living +standard. As President Roosevelt Stated, ``Our nation so richly endowed +with natural resources and with a capable and industrious population +should be able to devise ways and means of insuring to all our working +men and women a fair day's pay for a fair day's work'' + Today's hearing is an opportunity to examine the facts and +evidence. Raising the minimum wage to $15 by 2024 in all regions is +good for workers, good for businesses, and good for the economy. This +hearing is the first step toward passing a bill that reflects our +shared belief that no one working full-time should be living in +poverty. + Thank you and I now yield to the Ranking Member, Dr. Foxx. + ______ + + Ms. Foxx. That would be wonderful, Mr. Chairman. Thank you. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + I will recognize the Ranking Member in just a second, but +first I will introduce our witnesses for the first panel. + The Honorable Dr. William Spriggs serves as chief economist +for the AFL-CIO and is a professor in and formerly chair of the +Department of Economics at Howard University. Formerly, he +served as Assistant Secretary for the Office of Policy at the +U.S. Department of Labor. + Mr. Terrence Wise is a father of three who works for +McDonald's. He has been fighting for $15 and a union for over 3 +years and has become a voice for the movement, an inspiration +for other low-wage workers. Mr. Wise has worked in the fast +food industry since he was 16 years old and he hails from +Kansas City, Missouri. + Mr. Douglas Holtz-Eakin is the president of American Action +Forum. From 2003 to 2005, he was the sixth Director of the +Congressional Budget Office. He has conducted extensive +research in areas of applied economic policy, econometric +methods, and entrepreneurship. + Dr. Ben Zipperer is an economist with the nonpartisan +Economic Policy Institute. His areas of expertise include the +minimum wage, inequality, and low-wage labor markets. He has +published research in widely respected publications, including +the Industrial and Labor Relations Review and the National +Bureau of Economic Research. + I appreciate all of the witnesses for being here and look +forward to your testimony. Let me remind the witnesses that we +have read your testimony and they will appear in full in the +record. + Pursuant to committee rule 7(d) and the committee practice, +each of you is asked to limit your oral presentation to 5 +minutes. Let me remind the witnesses that pursuant to Title 18 +of U.S. Code Section 1001, it is illegal to knowingly and +willfully falsify any Statement, representation, writing, +document, or material fact presented to Congress or otherwise +conceal or cover up a material fact. + Before you begin your testimony, please remember to press +the button on your microphone in front of you so that the light +will turn on and the members can hear you. As you speak, the +light in front of you will turn green. After 4 minutes, it will +turn yellow, indicating that you have 1 minute remaining. When +it turns red, I would ask you to please wrap up your testimony. + We will let the entire panel make presentations before we +move to member questions. When answering a question, please +remember, once again, to turn your microphone on. + And before the witnesses, do you want to speak now? + Ms. Foxx. Yes. + Chairman Scott. Before the witnesses speak, I will +recognize the distinguished Ranking Member, Dr. Foxx. + Ms. Foxx. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I apologize for +being a little late. Many of us went to the National Prayer +Breakfast this morning, and it went a little longer than usual. +So we were a little slow in getting back. And I apologize. I +promise you, I would not be late for a less worthy cause. + Over the last several years, the far left has begun to call +for extreme social policies that were until recently considered +too radical for the mainstream. But as the far left has become +more frenetic, they have begun to demand headline-grabbing but +unworkable policies, like free college, universal health care, +and a more than doubling of the Federal minimum wage from $7.25 +an hour to $15 an hour. + Liberal activists are trying to sell a radical minimum wage +hike as a benefit to working-class Americans. They claim it +will redistribute wealth and provide poor Americans with a, +quote, ``living wage,'' end quote. This is an empty promise, +the likes of which we have not heard since the famous health +care sales job of 2009: If you like the plan you have, you can +keep it. + Raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 will not help +anyone make ends meet. It will redistribute poverty, eliminate +jobs, and deeply harm American workers, businesses, and the +U.S. economy at large. + When the comparatively less extreme proposal of a Federal +minimum wage hike to $10.10 was on the table in 2014, the +nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated that the +difference, $2.85, would cost 500,000 jobs and could have +destroyed up to a million jobs. + The CBO has yet to determine what the $7.75 hike under +discussion today would do, but logic follows that the +consequences for workers and small businesses would be even +more severe. + Economists, including those who have graciously given us so +much of their time today, can provide the numbers and +projections and graphs we all need to see to have an informed +discussion. + But we must keep in mind that we are talking about people. +We are talking about the very people that Members of Congress +on both sides of the aisle claim they want to serve. Workers in +entry level jobs, workers without a GED or skill certificate, +and tipped employees would bear the brunt of job losses caused +by this mandate. + A recent study by the National Federation of Independent +Business found that raising the minimum wage to $15 would +destroy 1.6 million jobs and 615,000 able-bodied individuals +would be pushed out of the work force by the year 2029. This is +not the future Americans want, and they deserve to know the +truth behind the talking point. + More than half of the private sector work force goes to +work each day at a small business, and these are the workplaces +that would struggle the most under this mandate. Many job +creators would be forced to reduce workers' hours, let +employees go, or close their doors for good. It would also lead +to accelerated workplace automation, something many Democrats +oppose. + The NFIB study also found that raising the minimum wage to +$15 an hour would result in a $2 trillion reduction in real +economic output, a $980 billion reduction in real GDP, and a +$103 billion reduction in personal disposable income. + The title of this hearing aims to focus this discussion on +the impact this mandate would have on workers, businesses, and +the economy. It conveniently leaves out students--and with good +reason. Eighty-three percent of economists agree that raising +the minimum wage to $15 an hour would have a negative impact on +youth employment. + According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2.3 percent of +hourly workers are paid at or below minimum wage--2.3 percent +of hourly workers are paid at or below minimum wage. Almost +half of those workers are under the age of 25. These are +individuals at the start of their careers or filling part-time +or summer jobs. + With the Democrats' proposal, we run the risk of seeing +these types of jobs eliminated altogether. That means even +fewer young Americans will leave educational institutions or +join the work force with minimal work experience. + Not every kid is lucky enough to have a parent who pays for +his or her cell phone and other expenses. We need to give them +a chance to build their skills, build a life, and hope that +someday very soon they run for Congress. + Since January 2017, the number of job opportunities +available across the country has swelled from 5.6 million to +more than 7 million. And thanks to the Republican Tax Cuts and +Jobs Act, wages are up and experiencing sustainable, organic +growth. + We want that strong economic growth to continue. Mandating +a $15 minimum wage would have serious negative consequences for +students, workers, and small businesses. + I yield back, Mr. Chairman, and thank you again for your +patience. + [The statement of Mrs. Foxx follows:] + +Prepared Statement of Hon. Virginia Foxx, Ranking Member, Committee on + Education and Labor + + Over the last several years, the far-left has begun to call for +extreme social policies that were, until recently, considered too +radical for the mainstream. But as the far-left has become more +frenetic, they have begun to demand headline-grabbing but unworkable +policies like free college, universal health care, and a more than +doubling of the Federal minimum wage from $7.25 an hour to $15 an hour. + Liberal activists are trying to sell a radical minimum wage hike as +a benefit to working class Americans. They claim that it will +redistribute wealth and provide poor Americans with a ``living wage.'' +This is an empty promise the likes of which we have not heard since the +famous healthcare sales job of 2009: ``if you like the plan you have, +you can keep it.'' Raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 will not +help anyone make ends meet. It will redistribute poverty, eliminate +jobs, and deeply harm American workers, businesses, and the U.S. +economy at large. + When the comparatively less-extreme proposal of a Federal minimum +wage hike to $10.10 was on the table in 2014, the nonpartisan +Congressional Budget Office estimated that the difference--$2.85--would +cost 500,000 jobs and could have destroyed up to 1 million jobs. The +CBO has yet to determine what the $7.75 hike under discussion today +would do, but logic follows that the consequences for workers and small +businesses would be even more severe. + Economists, including those who have graciously given us so much of +their time today, can provide the numbers and projections and graphs we +all need to see to have an informed discussion. But we must keep in +mind that we're talking about people. We're talking about the very +people that Members of Congress on both sides of the aisle claim they +want to serve. Workers in entry-level jobs, workers without a GED or +skills certificate, and tipped employees would bear the brunt of job +losses caused by this mandate. + A recent study by the National Federation of Independent Business +found that raising the minimum wage to $15 would destroy 1.6 million +jobs, and 615,000 able-bodied individuals would be pushed out of the +work force by the year 2029. This is not the future Americans want, and +they deserve to know the truth behind the talking point. + More than half of the private sector work force goes to work each +day at a small business, and these are the workplaces that would +struggle the most under this mandate. Many job creators would be forced +to reduce workers' hours, let employees go, or close their doors for +good. It would also lead to accelerated workplace automation, something +that many Democrats oppose. + The NFIB study also found that raising the minimum wage to $15 an +hour would result in a $2 trillion reduction in real economic output, a +$980 billion reduction in real GDP, and a $103 billion reduction in +personal disposable income. + The title of this hearing aims to focus this discussion on the +impact this mandate would have on workers, businesses, and the economy. +It conveniently leaves out students, and with good reason. Eighty-three +percent of economists agree that raising the minimum wage to $15 an +hour would have a negative impact on youth employment. + According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2.3 percent of hourly +workers are paid at or below minimum wage. Almost half of those workers +are under the age of 25. These are individuals at the start of their +careers or filling part-time or summer jobs. With the Democrats' +proposal, we run the risk of seeing these types of jobs eliminated +altogether. That means even fewer young Americans will leave +educational institutions or join the work force with minimal work +experience. + Not every kid is lucky enough to have a parent who pays for his or +her cell phone and other expenses. We need to give them the chance to +build their skills, build a life, and hope that someday very soon, they +run for Congress. + Since January 2017, the number of job opportunities available +across the country has swelled from 5.6 million to more than 7 million. +And thanks to the Republican Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, wages are up and +experiencing sustainable, organic growth. + We want that strong economic growth to continue. Mandating a $15 +minimum wage would have serious negative consequences for students, +workers, and small businesses. + ______ + + Chairman Scott. Thank you very much. + We will now hear from Dr. Spriggs. + + STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SPRIGGS, PROFESSOR, +DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS, AND CHIEF ECONOMIST, HOWARD UNIVERSITY + AND AFL-CIO, WASHINGTON, DC + + + Dr. Spriggs. Thank you, Chair and Ranking Member Foxx and +members of the committee, for the opportunity to testify before +the committee today on gradually raising the Federal minimum +wage. + I am pleased to offer this testimony on behalf of the AFL- +CIO, America's house of labor, representing the working people +of the United States, and based on my expertise as a professor +in Howard University's Department of Economics and as a former +Assistant Secretary for Policy in the Department of Labor. + I want to start by stating clearly that the AFL-CIO +endorses this legislation. + The response of American policymakers from the Great +Depression was more than stopping the economic slide. The +policy concern was that the Great Depression launched a +downward spiral in wages and prices, a deflation that stunted +economic recovery. + Many of the policies that were put in place back then +assured the Great Recession would not repeat the Great +Depression. Unemployment insurance and Social Security proved +essential stopgaps to the slide in household incomes in 2008 +and 2009. + Today, despite record job growth over a record period, the +response of wages has been stingy. Productivity continues to +grow, but wages have struggled to stay ahead of very modest +inflation. The result is labor's share of income continues to +slide. America needs a raise. + What Congress and President Roosevelt did in the face of +the Great Depression was to reforge and perfect our Union, just +as Abraham Lincoln and the Republican Party perfected the +American Union by ending slavery. A New Deal was struck to +ensure that a government of the people could be for the people. +Going forward, a new American value would be enshrined: Work +would have dignity and working hard would pay. + It is a little over 9 years since Congress has raised the +minimum wage, as the chair mentioned. It is time for a raise. + Since 1938, Congress expanded coverage and improved +standards of the original bill. It created a healthy and +expanding economy. Those original components in the 1938 bill +had exemptions that, however, were not benign. They have had +long-lasting effects in creating substantial racial and gender +inequalities. + The reason for those initial exclusions of agricultural +workers and domestics was so specific to the South in the +1930's and 1940's because 57 percent of America's farm +population lived in the South and 51 percent of its +agricultural workers were African American. + The reason the exclusion was so devastating to African +Americans is that from 1930 to 1940, 40 percent of Southern +Blacks were in agriculture. Because many Latino workers at the +time in the Southwest were agricultural workers, this also hurt +Latino workers. + This same Southern exceptionalism argument was raised in +the fight for the Fair Labor Standards Act, except in the guise +of a regional wage variation. + The Fair Labor Standards Act passed in 1938 under President +Roosevelt established a minimum wage of $0.25 an hour effective +October 24, 1938. The act called for minimum wage to increase +to $0.40 an hour October 1945. Raises since then have required +amendments to the act. + Early votes on raising the minimum wage showed the national +consensus on raising the wage and the importance of maintaining +a decent floor of wages. That first increase, the biggest +increase in the raise of the minimum wage of 87 percent, was +approved by 90 percent--90 percent--of House Republicans. + To fix the gap that was caused by excluding agricultural +workers and domestic workers, in 1966 House Republicans voted +60 percent to close that gap and raise the wage. That was the +biggest raise when you look at the workers who have been +excluded, agricultural workers who predominantly lived in the +rural South. + Congress' purpose was to prevent competition based on +lowering wage cost. It was to ensure that we would do this +based on competition, on rising productivity. + You have a chance here to live up to the legacy of +Congresswoman Mary Norton, the first Democrat woman in Congress +who chaired this committee, the first woman to chair this +committee, who forged ahead on this legislation, to make sure +that all workers would rise, there would not be a regional +differentiation. + You have the chance to live up to the legacy of Adam +Clayton Powell, the first African American to chair this +committee, to extend the coverage to agricultural and domestic +workers. + You have the opportunity to live up to the legacy of +Congresswoman Shirley Chisholm, the first African American +woman to serve in Congress, who made sure that domestic workers +would see coverage. + You have a chance to return the minimum wage to a decent +wage that enshrines American values that work will pay, that +all workers will have dignity. This act gives you that +opportunity to fulfill that legacy. + [The statement of Dr. Spriggs follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + Mr. Wise. + + STATEMENT OF MR. TERRENCE WISE, SHIFT MANAGER, MCDONALD'S, + INDEPENDENCE, MO + + Mr. Wise. Thank you, Chairman Scott and Ranking Member Foxx +and members of the committee. Thank you for the opportunity to +testify today. + My name is Terrence Wise, and I am a 39-year-old second- +generation fast food worker from Kansas City, Missouri, and I +am honored to speak with you today about the Raise the Wage +Act. + I began fighting for $15 an hour and a union 6 years ago, +because I knew just asking my boss for a raise and benefits +wouldn't do. I felt the struggle of raising a family on low +wages my whole life. + It began in South Carolina. I grew up in government housing +with my two brothers and sister. My mother worked full time at +Hardee's for 30 years, and my dad served as a cook in the +military. My mom would wake me up at 4 a.m. early before she +left for Hardee's, and it was my job to get my siblings up and +ready to go to school. It was also my job to be home when the +mailman arrived to sign for the food stamps. + Even with two full-time incomes and food stamps, my family +still had to skip meals. One winter, I didn't even have a coat +until my guidance counselor at school gave me one from the lost +and found. Hardworking people with two full-time incomes +shouldn't live like this in the richest Nation on earth. + I was a great student, and by the eighth grade I was in all +advanced placement classes. My teachers were saying things +like, ``Terrence, you are going to be great. You are going to +do good things.'' I wanted to be a Gamecock at the University +of South Carolina. I was going to be a writer. But I went to +work at the age of 16 to try to help my family survive. + One day I came home from school, there were no lights, no +food in the fridge. So I got my first job at Taco Bell, making +$4.25 an hour, but I knew my family needed the money +desperately. My first paycheck was 150 bucks, and it all went +on the light bill. One job wasn't enough, so I got a second job +at Wendy's. + I tried to balance both work and school. I had all A's in +my classes. But I started falling asleep in classes. And now +teachers were asking me, ``Terrence, what is wrong?'' I told +them I was working two jobs, had to survive. I didn't need AP +Calculus to run the numbers at home. It wasn't enough to +survive. It wasn't even enough for basic necessities. + I had left school and my dream of college, and at 17 I +dropped out and became a full-time worker, and I have been +working in fast food ever since. + Now I have a family of my own. I have three daughters, ages +17, 15, and 13, and my fiancee is a home healthcare provider. +Neither one of us make enough money to make ends meet, and I +have worked two jobs most of my life. I would leave for Burger +King at 2 o'clock, then leave from there and arrive at +McDonald's and work the overnight shift, 10 p.m. to 6 a.m. I +couldn't get my jobs to line up with my off days, so sometimes +I would work weeks without a day off. + My family has been homeless, despite my two incomes and my +fiancee's. We have endured cold winters in Kansas City, +homeless in our purple minivan. I would see my daughters in the +back tossing and turning. + Try waking up in the morning and getting ready for school +and work in the parking lot. That is a memory I can never take +away from my children and something a parent should never have +to go through. You should not have multiple jobs in the United +States and nowhere to sleep. + I work for McDonald's, the second largest employer in +America, and I still rely on food stamps and Medicaid. Like +other working people in America fighting for $15 and a union, I +want to stand on my own. I want to provide my girls with three +meals a day and give them the opportunities I didn't have. + This movement has changed our entire country. Many people +didn't believe $15 an hour was possible, but it has become a +reality for 22 million workers across the country. + Seventy-five percent of voters in Kansas City voted for a +$15 minimum wage in 2017. Workers won that victory by taking +big, bold action, like going on strike. We even slept on the +steps of city hall for a week in our Fast for $15. + It was a huge victory for us until the State legislature +preempted the minimum wage, returning it to $7.65. Missouri +voters increased the minimum wage in 2018, but we are still not +achieving $15 an hour, the minimum we need to support our +families. That is why we need Congress to take action to raise +the Federal minimum wage. + I often imagine what $15 an hour would mean for me and my +family. It would mean I could keep food on the table, we +wouldn't have to worry about doing homework in the dark, and I +could get the girls school supplies whenever they needed them. + But what would $15 an hour really mean? It means that my +daughters could meet their grandmother for the first time. She +lives in South Carolina and we just have never been able to +afford to travel to meet her. + Low-wage workers like me will continue to organize and +fight for economic justice. My coworkers and I have lifted our +voices from the steps of city hall in Kansas City, at the White +House, and now here today on Capitol Hill. + Everyone who works in this country deserves access to the +promise that America made to each and every one of us--life, +liberty, and the pursuit of happiness--and $15 an hour brings +us closer to living out our values as a Nation. The Raise the +Wage Act will do just that, and I urge members of this +committee to raise the wage, you know. Act quickly to pass this +bill. + Thank you, and I look forward to answering any questions. + [The statement of Mr. Wise follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + Dr. Holtz-Eakin, good to see you. + + STATEMENT OF DR. DOUGLAS HOLTZ-EAKIN, PRESIDENT, AMERICAN + ACTION FORUM, WASHINGTON, DC + + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Good to see you, Chairman Scott, Ranking +Member Foxx, members of the Committee. It is a privilege to be +here today. I am going to make three very simple points and +then I look forward to your questions. + The first point is that the labor market is working very +well right now, with increased work, especially for those with +low skills and marginal attachment to the labor force, and +rising real wages. + The second is that increasing the minimum wage to $15 would +damage these employment prospects, and the preponderance of the +research evidence comes down on that side. + Then the third point is that, for those who deservedly +would like to help those in poverty while working, the minimum +wage is very poorly targeted to solve that problem. + Let me go through those. + The U.S. labor market is working very well right now. There +were 304,000 jobs created in January. There have been over 13 +million jobs created in the past 5 years. The unemployment rate +is down to 4 percent and has been even lower recently. At the +moment, there are more job openings, 6.9 million, than there +are unemployed people, 6 million, and that has been true since +March 2018. + The U.S. labor market has been able to create that many +jobs by the miracle of pulling into the labor market and into +productive work people who had not been participating. The +overall labor force participation rate has jumped from its low +of 62.4 percent to 63.2. For prime age workers, it has +rebounded by two full percentage points and is up to 82.6 +percent. + I think most importantly, the number of discouraged +workers, those who have just given up looking, has dropped in +half over the past 5 years, from nearly 900,000 to 420,000. + At the same time, we are seeing real wages grow. There is a +flood of people into the labor market. Real wages are now +growing at 3 percent a year. That is a very successful story +and one that I think that members of the committee should be +proud of. + Going forward, if we are to raise the minimum wage to $15, +the preponderance of the research evidence that I go through in +my written testimony, and I will be happy to elaborate in the +Q&A, it would indicate that it would hurt the employment +prospects, especially of those people you care about the most, +those with little skills, little experience, least attachment +to the labor market. This is often not taking the form of the +caricature of throwing someone out of their job, but simply +denying the employment growth that would give people an +opportunity in the future. + I think it is important to note that the nonpartisan +Congressional Budget Office reaches the conclusion that raising +the minimum wage hurts employment prospects. It is their job to +present to you, as the Members of Congress, the consensus of +the research literature, and that is exactly the consensus that +they find. + I think it is important as well to note that more than +doubling the minimum wage is an enormous change, and previous +research will probably give us little guidance as to the +magnitude of the impact. That is outside of the range of +historical experience. Its damage is likely to be much, much +greater than previous studies have shown. + And the combination of the large increase and then indexing +the minimum wage to the median wage sends a strong signal to +employers that these jobs, the ones for those with low skills, +marginal attachment to the labor force, little education, are +jobs that they are going to be unable to have going forward. +They are going to replace them with automation and other means. +So, the employment prospects are probably even more damaging +than previous indications. + The last point is that, if you care about those in poverty +who are working, as you should, the minimum wage is a poor +instrument to address that problem. Eighty percent of minimum +wage workers are not in poverty, and one-third of the young who +earn the minimum wage are living with their parents and are in +households that make more than $100,000. + Knowing the wage a person makes does not tell you about the +characteristics of their household, and as a result, only 6.7 +percent of the benefits of a $15 minimum wage would go to those +who are in poverty. This is not a good instrument for solving +that problem. + And the key economic fact that it is important for the +Committee to remember when they discuss this is that passing a +law to make the minimum wage $15 doesn't mean there is any more +money. You have to go get that money from somebody else. + So, to get the money for someone who has a job, you are +going to have to deny someone else a job and effectively take +money from people who are looking for work and give it to +people who have work. That seems like an incredibly perverse +redistribution, one I would encourage the Committee not to +take. + Thank you. + [The statement of Mr. Holtz-Eakin follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + Dr. Zipperer. + + STATEMENT OF DR. BEN ZIPPERER, ECONOMIST, ECONOMIC POLICY + INSTITUTE, WASHINGTON, DC + + Mr. Zipperer. Chairman Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and +members of the committee, thank you for the opportunity to +testify on the importance and necessity of increasing the +minimum wage to $15 per hour. + Raising the national minimum wage is well overdue. Workers +paid today's Federal minimum wage are, after adjusting for +inflation, paid 29 percent less than their counterparts 50 +years ago. This is despite the fact that, as the figure on the +monitor shows, the Nation's productivity has doubled over that +time period. Had the minimum wage kept pace with labor +productivity over that time period, the minimum wage today +would be worth more than $20 per hour instead of the $7.25 it +is today. + Gradually increasing the national minimum wage to $15 by +2024, as proposed by the Raise the Wage Act of 2019, is an +important corrective to our failure to raise the minimum wage. +The proposal automatically indexes future minimum wage +increases to median wage growth, so that low-wage workers will +share a common trajectory of wage growth with a broader labor +market. + Finally, gradually phasing out the separate lower wage for +tipped workers will help to eliminate disparities in labor +protections between tipped workers and the rest of the labor +force. + My colleague David Cooper at the Economic Policy Institute +has estimated that raising the minimum wage to $15 by 2024 +would lift the pay of about 40 million workers. Affected +workers who work year-round would receive a raise on the order +of about $3,000 per year. This is enough to make a tremendous +difference in the life of a preschool teacher, a bank teller, a +fast food worker, more than half of whom earn less than $15 per +hour today. + Minimum wages are one of the most well-studied topics in +economics. Although there sometimes appears to be much +controversy over the size of the employment effects of the +minimum wage, the weight of recent evidence shows that minimum +wages have worked exactly as intended, by raising wages without +substantial negative consequences on employment. + In a review of all research published in the 15 years since +2001, the economists Paul Wolfson and Dale Belman found that +the average estimated employment effect was very small. + In addition, in research I coauthored with Sylvia +Allegretto, Arindrajit Dube, and Michael Reich, we found that +studies using the most high-quality, credible research designs +also found small to no employment effects. + These findings, taken together, suggest that both the +average study, as well as the best research, show that there +has been little downside to raising minimum wages. + Current research also suggests that even the highest +minimum wages our country has experienced have helped raise +wages without reductions in employment. In new research on 138 +State-level minimum wage increases I coauthored with Doruk +Cengiz, Arindrajit Dube, and Attila Lindner, we found that the +highest minimum wages we studied did not adversely affect +employment. + Important new scholarship by Ellora Derenoncourt and Claire +Montialoux also demonstrates that the highest national minimum +wages the United States has experienced significantly raised +wages without reducing the employment of low-wage workers. + Because the evidence shows that there has been little +downside to both minimum wages in general and also even to +minimum wages at their highest points in U.S. history, larger +increases in the minimum wage are economically justified. + Larger increases are also necessary because workers in +every region of the country will soon need at least $15 per +hour in wage income in order to pay for basic necessities. My +colleagues at the EPI have developed a concept of family +budgets to delineate how much a family will need to earn every +year in order to pay for basic necessities. + By 2024, in all areas across the United States, even a +single adult with no children will need to be earning more than +$15 per hour in order to achieve a modest but adequate standard +of living, according to their family budget. + As a result, anything less than a $15 minimum wage by 2024 +will not adequately carry out this key purpose of the Fair +Labor Standards Act, which is to, and I quote, ``to protect the +Nation from the evils and dangers resulting from wages too low +to buy the bare necessities of life.'' + Minimum wages have long been an effective tool for +maintaining adequate pay, but the failure to adequately raise +the Federal minimum wage has denied American workers +significant improvements in their standard of living. + By raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 by 2024, we will +finally deliver a much-needed boost in wage income and increase +the value of the minimum wage to a level that ensures the +lowest wages we pay workers are not poverty wages. + [The statement of Mr. Zipperer follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + We will now recognize members for questions, and they are +subject to the 5-minute rule, beginning with the gentleman from +Arizona, Mr. Grijalva. + Mr. Grijalva. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. + And if there is no objection, Mr. Chairman, I would like to +enter this report into the committee record. And that is from +the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, entitled ``Minimum +Wages and the Distribution of Family Incomes in the United +States.'' In essence, this report States that if the minimum +wage had been $12 in 2016, over 6 million fewer people would be +living in poverty today. + If there is no objection, Mr. Chairman? + Chairman Scott. Without objection. + [The information follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Mr. Grijalva. Thank you, sir. + In strong support of the $15 minimum wage. And I do want to +thank Mr. Wise and Dr. Spriggs for your testimony. It was +excellent and kind of left me without too many questions, to be +honest with you. + And with the chair's indulgence, I think that it is way +past time that we move forward to raise the minimum wage. And +as we do that, Mr. Chairman, I think it is important that the +members understand that it is important to tackle other +inequities that are in our basic minimum wage protections. + It is long past time for Congress to end discrimination +against agricultural workers in the Fair Labor Standards Act, +period. So today, I introduced the Fairness for Farm Workers +Act; and in doing so, simultaneously, Senator Harris has +introduced the identical piece of legislation in the Senate. +And this act, basically, the Fairness for Farm Workers Act +would extend overtime protections to farm workers and eliminate +some remaining exclusions for farm workers from minimum wage +protections. + These protections were first enacted, as Dr. Spriggs so +eloquently gave us the history of it, and surmised at the end, +I believe very accurately, that those exceptions were made out +of political expediency and racism, and that needs to be +addressed. + That inequity that exists, Mr. Chairman, as you well know, +it is a discrimination issue. We have to end this +discrimination against farm workers. The treatment of farm +workers in this country has been and continues to be unjust, +unreasonable, and unsustainable. + My legislation, the Fairness for Farm Workers, would +eliminate the minimum wage and overtime discrimination farm +workers face in the act. + So I know I will be working with you on that. Your +leadership on this is not only welcome but, as you have offered +your support, thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I look forward +to working this out. And I think it is important that we deal +with raising the minimum wage, but also have an opportunity to +reform the whole package as we move along. + With that, Mr. Chairman, like I said to the two witnesses, +you left me with no questions, and I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentlelady from New York, Ms. Stefanik. + Ms. Stefanik. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + And thank you to our witnesses for being here today. + We agree on this committee of the importance of economic +opportunity for American workers and American families. We +agree that we need to focus on real wage growth. We agree on +the pathway out of poverty. What we don't agree with is how to +get there. We have different solutions about how to achieve +those goals. + We are living in a dynamic, growing economy today, and we +must start talking about the future of work. What do I mean by +that? As we have seen over the last decade, the composition of +our work force is rapidly changing, as is the type of work +Americans, especially young Americans, are engaging in. We are +increasingly seeing a rejection of traditional employee- +employer relationships for nontraditional, dynamic career +paths, like the gig economy or side hustles or self-employment. + In my district, I represent 40 percent of the geography of +New York State. It is a very rural region, and we are very +familiar with this discussion. Our economy in UpState New York +is very distinct from the economy in Manhattan and DownState +New York. + My question to Mr. Holtz-Eakin is, on the future of work, +how does this proposal not embrace opportunities in the gig +economy in the 21st century? And how does this proposal also +not take into account the differences between rural parts of +this country and urban parts of this country, in terms of cost +of living, other issues, challenges small businesses are +facing? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Congresswoman, you have heard a lot of +discussion about the history, but the only real question facing +the committee is, do you want to raise the minimum wage going +forward, and to do it nationally and for all workers, tipped +and nontipped? + That is a very different proposal than even some of the +things we have evidence from in the research. This would hit +all labor markets, rural labor markets and urban identically. +It would hit tight labor markets and loose labor markets. + One of the striking characteristics of the recovery has +been a very unevenness across the geography of the United +States, and it would not recognize that. It would not recognize +the need for businesses in those areas to have a cost structure +they can afford. It would hurt the entrepreneurship in places +that are struggling. It is a very blunt instrument, and, as I +said, that blunt instrument does not land on those who need it +the most, working poor. + And so I think that is one of the things that jumps out of +the literature. And I worry a lot about a proposal that is not +tailored to the circumstances of the labor market and doesn't +target those who need the help the most, especially at a time +when the labor market is actually, on the whole, doing +remarkably well. + And I think the thing I would emphasize is we are seeing +people entering work who we just did not think would come back. +No one thought we could continue to create 200,000 jobs a year +in 2018, and the economy has. That is a remarkable +accomplishment. Those families will forever be better from +having that opportunity. + Ms. Stefanik. My next question is, one problematic aspect +of this legislation, one of the many problematic aspects is the +elimination of the tip wage and tip credit. + I have a local assemblyman who is a Democrat who represents +Plattsburgh, which is in my district, and he recently +highlighted why this is problematic. He included a local +restaurant employee on his website who would have been greatly +harmed by the elimination of the wage tip credit. + I quote: ``Generally has relied on tips to supplement her +wages. She makes $7.50 an hour, but often with tips this salary +is doubled or even tripled because of tipping. This not only +provides her with money in her pocket each day, but it helps to +stabilize and even augment her income to provide food, formula, +and diapers for her children. Each of her fellow servers has +different life situations, but what they all seem to agree on +is that they definitely make more money as a server than if +they had taken a more restrictive set wage position.'' + Can you talk about why the elimination of the wage tip +credit is problematic and does not allow this dynamism that we +are seeing in the current economy? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Certainly. As you know, those who are +tipped workers are guaranteed to get the minimum wage. If they +don't receive tips that are sufficient to do that, the owner of +their establishment will pay them the minimum wage. + So forcing them to do that anyway raises the cost in the +business, there is no way around it, and once again you have +the problem, where does that money come from? As I said in my +opening statement, they have to go take it from someone else, +and that might be someone they choose not to hire. + And that is the definition of lack of dynamism. I am not +going to take advantage of opportunities to expand my +employment base, offer new services, grow as a business. This +has exactly that characteristic. + And I would point out that in D.C., which we watched +carefully, there was a ballot referendum that said we are going +to raise this minimum wage for tipped workers. It was +overturned by the D.C. Council because the tipped workers +themselves said, no, this is bad for us. + Ms. Stefanik. And that was a similar experience in New +York. Tipped workers were vehemently opposed to this policy and +organized very effectively. + Thank you. I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentleman from Connecticut, Mr. Courtney. + Mr. Courtney. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + And, again, I applaud the fact that week No. 1 of this +committee we are taking up an issue which, again, I think +restores the legacy of this committee in the past, as Dr. +Spriggs so powerfully described. + You and I and a couple of us were around in 2007, the last +time the Federal minimum wage was increased, from $5.15 to +$7.25. Again, it was done gradually over a period of about 3 or +4 years. I remember the Republican votes that reported that +bill out of the committee, and I remember it was in May 2007, +after the new Congress or the 110th Congress, that President +Bush signed that into law. + And, again, Dr. Spriggs, thank you again for sort of +reminding us of the forensics of the minimum wage, that it +really historically has been really a very strong bipartisan +issue, and it is far too long that Congress has not revisited +that standard. + And, again, Mr. Wise, I want to thank you for your +incredibly powerful testimony here today, bringing this down to +real life and also talking about sort of the grassroots organic +support that is out there, and we have seen that in +referendums. And the $15 benchmark has really started to +happen, again, without Congress necessarily doing it yet, but +certainly showing that it is not going to wreck the U.S. +economy for employers to do the right thing. + I would like, Mr. Chairman, to just enter a statement that +Hartford HealthCare, which is one of the largest employers in +the State of Connecticut, just announced about a few weeks ago, +that they are going to raise the minimum wage for their work +force, which is about 2,500 strong, to $15 an hour this spring. +They are not waiting until 2024. And, again, they have entry +level staff folks that are there. That is a really important +decision that the employer made to do that. + And, again, I think it is because of the work that folks +like Mr. Wise and some of the others out in the audience here +with red shirts, tee shirts here today, have really raised this +issue, so that it is making its way into the corporate +boardrooms that this is something important to do. + So, again, I would like to ask Dr. Zipperer just a question +about what has been happening to wage rates since the Great +Recession and the fact that, again, we finally are starting to +see an uptick in terms of wage, but this is 10 years after the +Great Recession. As you point out, this job market has been in +a trajectory that certainly precedes this administration, +although it is continuing to move forward, and I think we all, +as Americans, support that. + But, I mean, how would you explain, again, the fact that we +have not seen the wage growth concurrent with the economic +growth? And the recent uptick in wages, I mean, this is +happening at the State level in terms of minimum wage +increases. Is that a part of the story about why we are finally +starting to see some wage growth? + Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for the question. + We are starting to see wage growth, as you noted and as Dr. +Holtz-Eakin noted in his testimony, which, thankfully, is a +good thing. At the same time, I think we are seeing that wage +growth because the labor market is becoming tighter and +employers are competing more for workers. + At the same time, that wage growth is not actually +sufficient or adequate enough for many workers, in the sense +that the lowest wage workers in particular, what we are +discussing at this hearing, need a much more substantial boost +in wage income than they are going to see from tight labor +markets alone. + Mr. Courtney. Well, thank you. + And to drive that point home, Mr. Chairman, I have +correspondence from Oxfam America, which, again, shows an +economic analysis that, again, we need that sort of push from +the bottom, which a minimum wage increase has been bipartisanly +supported in the past, and I would ask that be admitted into +the record. + Chairman Scott. Without objection. + [The information follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Mr. Courtney. And I also just would like one last comment. +You know some of us who serve on committees like Armed +Services, as my friend from New York, you know we get a chance +to interact with other countries, with codels and overseas. I +am co-chairman of the Friends of Australia Caucus, which is a +developed economy somewhat on par with the U.S. They have +actually a minimum wage commission which raises the minimum +wage outside of politics, on a yearly basis. It is $17.70, +Australian dollars. If you convert that into U.S. dollars +today, it is about $14. + That is the one economy in the sort of developed world that +actually did not take a hit during the Great Recession. Again, +their banking system, frankly, was more regulated and I think +withstood what was going on internationally there. + But nonetheless, I mean, they are a growing economy. Their +minimum wage, which has been automatically increased because of +a nonpartisan commission, has shown that, in fact, it doesn't +hurt economic growth. It actually stabilizes a family's income +and increases their purchasing power. + I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you very much. + The gentleman from Kentucky, Mr. Comer. + Mr. Comer. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + And I appreciate everyone being here. + I think it is interesting that the panel will admit that we +are finally having wage growth, which is something that I think +both parties agree is needed in America. One reason, and the +main reason we are having wage growth, is because there is a +shortage of workers in America. It is basic supply and demand. + In my district in Kentucky, I have Paducah, which is a +headquarters for the regional office for U.S. Bank. They just +recently raised their minimum wage to $15 per hour for all of +their employees. They did that without legislation, without +government intervention. Basically, it is the supply and demand +as a result of having a strong economy. + So my question is--and I want to make this Statement. While +proponents of a $15 minimum wage foresee consumers absorbing +the effects of this proposal through increased end cost, many +smaller businesses in my district in Kentucky wouldn't be able +to sustain charging such radically increased prices. + Dr. Holtz-Eakin, do you agree that raising prices is not +always an option for many businesses in rural or low-income +areas? And can you elaborate on the effects of such a bloated +minimum wage would have on these entrepreneurs who are the +backbone of our economy? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. As I said, if you pass a legislated +increase in the minimum wage, not a voluntary one as U.S. Bank +had, there is no more money at the moment that becomes law. So +you have to go figure out where you are going to find it. + One possibility is charge your customers more to get the +money. If you are unable to do that, and a lot of people are +not going to be able to do that, another possibility is you +take the thinner nonexistent profit margins of an +entrepreneurial business, a startup, and squeeze it down even +further. They will likely fail, and thus those jobs would go +away. Or you can take it out of your labor cost somehow by not +hiring additional workers when you otherwise might. + And this is just like ``Casablanca'': You round up the +usual suspects and figure out where you can do it, if at all. + Mr. Comer. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, you make it clear that a +minimum wage increase would not affect all areas the same. A +recent study by the University of Kentucky suggests that for +many families below the poverty line in Kentucky a lack of +hours worked rather than a low wage or minimum wage is the +primary challenge. + Right now, the average worker in poor families in Kentucky +are out of the work force more than 4 months out of the year. +Won't a higher minimum wage set up additional barriers to +employment and risk more workers being out of the work force +for longer periods of time? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. It is certainly a concern that I have +tried to emphasize in my testimony. + We do have some, for example, recent evidence out of the +Seattle increase in the minimum wage which shows 10,000 jobs +lost, but also diminished hours worked by those affected by the +increase. That is another channel by which you squeeze down +your costs, but that means less income for those individuals. + And, again, my concern is that is something Seattle did. +That is very different than doing it to the entire United +States, including your district in Kentucky. + Mr. Comer. Absolutely. + Let me ask one last question. You also stated that 5.1 +million jobs have been added over the past 2 years. How would +this dramatic increase affect the progress created by recently +enacted legislation, such as our tax reform bill of the last +Congress? How would this impact that if we passed this proposed +minimum wage increase? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So, as I noted in my testimony, my +colleague Ben Gitis and I used a published estimate of the +impact of increases in the minimum wage on the growth in +employment going forward, and it would more than offset those +5.2 million jobs. So, we would set back the progress we have +made, the dramatic progress in getting Americans back to work, +including those who previously didn't work. I think that is a +concern. + Mr. Comer. I think we have seen last month, with record job +growth, over 300,000 new jobs added to the economy, I believe +as a direct result of, first of, the new administration and the +last Congress focusing on reducing regulations; second, on +reducing taxes. We have got the economy growing for the first +time in a long time. We are starting to see wage growth. + So I believe that we finally have America on the right +track economically, and I think we need to think long and hard +before we go back to a Congress of passing lots and lots of +legislation, increasing regulations, more government, bigger +government, because what we see now from an economic +standpoint, in my opinion, is working. + Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentleman from the Northern Mariana Islands, Mr. +Sablan. + Mr. Sablan. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, for having +this hearing. + Thank you, everyone, for coming and testifying. + I wasn't going to speak, but, Mr. Wise, please keep telling +your story. You are sharing your life story. And I am sure you +have heard it before, but if you haven't, let me tell you, sir, +that you are a good father. + My only regret is that one of you sitting there as a +witness probably couldn't hear what you were saying. And you +are telling a real life story, and someone is saying, no, +according to the literature on economics and all of these +things. + We are not creating big government here. We are trying to +create increased wages for those like you, and I am very proud +to do so. + Mr. Chairman, I would like to yield my time to the +gentleman from Virginia, Mr. Bobby Scott. + Chairman Scott. Thank you, and I appreciate the time. + Dr. Spriggs and Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I talked about the +reasonableness of the tipped minimum wage because a tipped +worker would be made whole if the tips don't amount to the +minimum wage. That sounds reasonable, but how often is the +deficiency actually in practice made up? + Dr. Spriggs. My experience at the Department of Labor was +this is one of the more troubling areas for us to figure out +the proper regulation of what to do with tips, and for those +who think that it is clear cut, that is because they haven't +tried to solve this problem. + We know this is the major portion of wage theft that takes +place. It puts the women, and there are disproportionately +women who rely on tip wages, at a huge disadvantage because +they are, by necessity, having to deal with ugly customers, and +they need the tip, and it opens up a huge window for misconduct +and sexual harassment that is hard to close. + If you set the minimum wage higher and you don't move the +tip, then you create a bigger regulatory issue of how do we +collect the information to know whether the workers got the tip +money? Many restaurants want to pool the tips and then dole it +out so that the workers sometimes don't even get the tips. It +is all well and good if you are in a high, fancy restaurant, +and it is mostly men who work there do well, but for the +overwhelming majority of women who have this job, it is not the +historical record. This is the biggest area of wage theft to +try and get the owners of the restaurant to actually pay the +tipped workers the gap. And as that gap gets bigger, the +vulnerability of those workers is going to increase. + Chairman Scott. Dr. Zipperer, do you know how often the +tipped workers are actually made whole? Have you done studies +on that? + Mr. Zipperer. There is research about the preponderance of +wage theft, and that especially falls on tipped workers +because, like the other witness pointed out, regulation and +oversight of this issue is really difficult. In addition, the +Department of Labor, under a recent set of investigations, +found that of the restaurants they investigated, about 84 +percent of investigations resulted in wage and hour violations, +and a substantial fraction of those were due to failures in +enforcing the tips standard that we are talking about. Workers +in the food, and drink, and restaurant industry are much more +likely to experience wage violations than in other industries. + Chairman Scott. So although it may be reasonable in theory, +the workers never get the deficiency made up. Is that right? + Mr. Zipperer. I think it is very difficult to enforce in +practice which is one reason why you see those kind of +disparities. You also see that in states that have adopted a +single minimum wage for tipped workers and non-tipped workers +alike that wages inclusive of tips are about 14 percent higher +in those states, and poverty rates for tipped workers are +significantly lower in those States with a single minimum wage. + Chairman Scott. Does the gentleman yield back? Do you yield +back? + Thank you. The gentleman from Kansas, Mr. Watkins. + Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you all very +much for being here. I especially want to say thank you to Mr. +Wise. Your testimony was very moving. It is not easy putting +yourself and your struggles out there, and doing so is very +impactful, and it touches on why we do what we do to try and +make the country a better place. + Now, that being said, I am right down the road on I-70. I +live in Topeka, and so if you need to join a support group for +the Chiefs AFC championship loss, then hit me up. + But sir, we disagree. I think this is a classic example of +legislation that feels good but doesn't do good. It feels good +when you pit up employer versus employee. But I have helped +create hundreds of jobs, respectfully, before this, and I would +move heaven and earth to find and keep good employees. And that +comes at a cost, a cost I am more than willing to pay when I +find good employees. + So listen. The CBO published in a 2014 study that a 10 +percent or a $10 minimum wage would cost a half a million jobs. +Harvard Business School said every dollar increase would result +in a 4 to 10 percent increased likelihood of a restaurant +closure. So my question is to you, Dr. Holtz-Eakin. So I +represent a lot of poor communities throughout southeast +Kansas. I am going to share with you some thoughts they shared +with me. I just want you to reflect on them, and some of them +will be things that were written up in your testimony, but bear +with me. + A $15 minimum wage will attract more qualified applicants, +and I won't hire entry level people. Another entrepreneur said +I would have to pay everybody more. If I have to pay the +dishwasher $15 an hour, then I have got to pay the cooks more +than that. I will just replace H.R. with automation. Prices for +everything go up. + So my question is simply to reflect on that so I know what +to tell my constituents. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I want to just echo your observation that +the issue here is not about the depth of compassion for people +who are working and poor. The issue is what are the outcomes of +the proposed legislation. And my concern is that the outcomes +include worsened conditions for exactly those people and the +possibility of reduced employment for them, reduced hours if +they are working, the loss of the establishments that have +traditionally employed them, and all of those things you are +seeing when you say well, I am going to have to pay other +people, you are going to get wage compression. And that is +going to say well, we will cutoff a certain category, whether +they are teens or folks who never finished community college. +We are just not going to look at those guys. We can get the +other ones. We will do that because we are paying everybody +more. + And those are just people who are running the numbers and +by necessity trying to keep their business going. It is not an +act of anything other than necessity, and I worry about those +acts being played out across the country. + Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Doctor. Thank you all, and Mr. +Chairman, I yield my time. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Oregon, Ms. +Bonamici. + Ms. Bonamici. Thank you very much, Chairman Scott, and +thank you for introducing the Raise the Wage Act which I am +proudly cosponsoring because this is a long overdue +conversation about gradually increasing the Federal minimum +wage to $15 an hour. And as you pointed out, Mr. Chairman, in +your opening remarks today, an individual working 40 hours a +week and earning the Federal minimum wage earns $15,080 +annually. Annually. Putting a family of two below the Federal +poverty level, and that is unacceptable that someone working +full time is living below the Federal poverty level. + And as Mr. Wise's testimony so poignantly showed, when +workers are paid wages that leave them in poverty, they +struggle. They struggle to pay for rent, essentials like food, +transportation, skyrocketing child care costs. So the Federal +minimum wage has been stagnant for too long. It has contributed +to income inequality, and I am glad we are having this +conversation today. + So I am from Oregon, and I have to tell you that years ago, +I was kind of surprised to learn that there was actually such a +thing as the subminimum wage for tipped workers because we +don't have that in Oregon. We have a thriving restaurant +industry. People come to Oregon for restaurants. So I was +really actually shocked to learn that people could be paid less +than minimum wage. It was really surprising. + In Oregon, more than 100 years ago, even before the Fair +Labor Standards Act was enacted, Oregon became one of the first +States to enact a minimum wage. It was intended to address +gender disparities for workers, yet still today the majority of +workers earning minimum wage are women and people of color, +according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. + So Dr. Spriggs, in your testimony you talked about the +history of the Fair Labor Standards Act and some of the +compromises that were made to pass the bill, and I know +Representative Grijalva mentioned this, but those compromises +later exacerbated racial and gender wage gaps. So how have +women and people of color been disproportionately affected by a +low Federal minimum wage, and how will the Raise the Wage Act +address these persistent wage gaps? + Dr. Spriggs. Thank you very much, Congresswoman, for the +question and thank you for your comments. + Yes. I think we need to look back at 1966 when 60 percent +of Republicans agreed to expand coverage and get rid of the +exemption for agriculture and many service sector workers which +included restaurant workers. Unfortunately, the restaurant +workers were subject to this creation of a subminimum for tip. +The tip wage itself has a very racist origin. It was originally +because the servants happened to be black, and it was the habit +not to think about you have to pay them, and the tip was meant +in lieu of wages. + When we closed the gap in 1966 in terms of coverage, we +have to remember that many of those workers, because they were +agriculture workers, lived in the south, in the rural south, +and they lived in States that did not have State minimum wages. +There was nothing below them. So the studies that have been +cited by Ellora Derenoncourt and by Claire Montialoux highlight +that when that was closed, first, these workers didn't get paid +a dollar an hour, so the initial expansion of coverage to +include these rural workers was to get them to $1 which was a +34 percent raise. In other words, they were getting close to +$0.80 an hour, and then because they were included, they went +to $1.60. We doubled their wages. + Ms. Bonamici. Thank you. And I want to get another question +in. + Dr. Spriggs. Yes. I want to tell you really quickly the +punch line. The punch line is that black child poverty in this +country went from nearly 70 percent to 40 percent in that 3 +years simply by covering 30 percent of African Americans who +had been denied that coverage-- + Ms. Bonamici. Right. + Dr. Spriggs [continuing]. and raising their wages. So that +was the biggest effect we have ever had in lowering poverty +from any program. It took us until 1990 to break that record, +to get black child poverty back below 39 percent. + Ms. Bonamici. Long past time to complete the work. I also +wanted to talk about or also point out that when low wage +workers--they spend their earnings. They go right back into the +economy. + In Washington County, Oregon, which is just west of +Portland, the Portland metro region, the minimum wage there is +$10.75 an hour currently. Someone making minimum wage would +have to work 73 hours a week to afford a one-bedroom apartment, +and that is what we are seeing in other areas as well. A full- +time worker should be able to afford basic needs like housing. +And Dr. Zipperer, you mentioned a family budget calculator, and +I liked your quote about protecting the Nation from the evils +and dangers resulting from wages too low to buy the bare +necessities of life. So who benefits from this gradual increase +to $15 by 2024, and why is it important to establish that as a +Federal floor rather than leaving the issue up to States? + Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for your question. It is important +to establish a Federal floor because many States don't actually +increase their minimum wage or increase it adequately, and +Federal action is the only way that we are going to actually +achieve a national minimum wage that would provide a wage +standard high enough so that all people in all areas of the +country will be able to afford the basic necessities for their +families. + At the Economic Policy Institute, we have developed what we +call family budgets to delineate how much a given family type +in a given area of the country needs every year to pay for +housing, food, transportation, child care, and other +necessities. These are extremely conservative amounts. They +don't allow for any saving whatsoever, no saving for +retirement, no saving for buying a home, no saving for +emergencies. And even with these conservative amounts, we find +that in every city and in every county of the country, by 2024, +workers will need $15 per hour working full time in order to +meet their family budget. Two adults working 40 hours a week, +52 hours--52 weeks a year at $15 per hour each, will earn less +than their family budget in every area of the country. + Ms. Bonamici. Thank you very much. And Mr. Chairman, I +request unanimous consent to enter into the record a letter +from the Women's Coalition outlining the importance of passing +the Raise the Wage Act to help address wage gaps for women. + Chairman Scott. Thank you without objection. + [The information follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Ms. Bonamici. And I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentleman from Texas, Mr. Taylor. + Mr. Taylor. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate the +opportunity to be here. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, just a question for +you. I was going over your testimony last night, and something +that really struck me was the study that you did in 2015, and +in that study you determined--and I will just read your +testimony back to you, but using the most recent academic +literature, the study found that a $15 per hour Federal minimum +wage resulted in the loss of 3.3 million to 16.8 million jobs +with a middle estimate of 6.6 million jobs lost, and I just +wanted to understand. So that is a range, and clearly it is all +bad. I don't think anybody here wants to lose a job, right? We +want to create jobs. I think everybody here agrees on that +basic premise. But can you explain why there is a range in +estimates and sort of--if you don't mind? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So there is a range from analyzing the +data, and the imprecision with which statistics delivers the +truth, right, it doesn't say literally this is exactly what +will happen. + Mr. Taylor. Sure. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. It says, you know, given the variation in +the data, it can go from here to here, and we want to +acknowledge that you can't know with great certainty. + Mr. Taylor. Ok. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. And I just want to emphasize that says if +we look historically at changes in the minimum wage, we have +limited ability to say precisely what will happen. That gives +you a range. We have even less ability to say what will happen +if we go forward in a fashion that is much more dramatic, more +than doubling and then indexing permanently the minimum wage. +This is an unprecedented experiment, and I think we know very +little about what will actually happen. + Mr. Taylor. And then just as a policymaker, where are these +losses? I mean, are these happening in high-income areas? Are +they happening in--you know, high cost of living areas like New +York City? Are they happening in low-cost areas like, say, +Kansas? Are they happening in suburban areas like where I +represent in Plano, Texas? Are they happening in urban areas, +rural areas? Where are we losing jobs? So you are estimating +millions of jobs being lost. Where are they lost? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So you can split the economy in a variety +of ways. I would say the most important way to split it is to +look in the labor force and say let's look at the whole labor +force. It is hard to discern an impact. Let's look more closely +at those people who have little education, little skill, little +experience, say, a teenager. They are going to be priced out of +the labor market. You are not going to find--I will speak from +experience. I never found $30,000 worth of productivity in my +kids. So they are just not going to get hired. And so, you +know, that will show up right away. + If you look further at the places they are most likely to +be employed, that is going to be retail. That is going to be +restaurants and bars, and that is where you are going to find +the employment losses. And then across geography, you can just +see places where you have concentration of low-wage workers as +the labor force base, and that is where you are going to see +the losses. + Mr. Taylor. Ok. And then just shifting over to another +piece of your testimony I was reading last night, and I will +just read this sentence to you. Seattle's minimum wage law, so +we are going to Seattle now, has caused low wage work hours to +decline by 9.4 percent. Consequently, even among low-wage +workers who were still employed and earned slightly higher +wages, their average monthly earnings on net declined $125 per +month. + So in addition to Seattle losing 10,000 jobs which is what +your testimony was, what your written testimony is, you watched +the people that still managed to keep their jobs, their hours +declined, and so their incomes also declined, right? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes. + Mr. Taylor. So you have lost jobs. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes. + Mr. Taylor. You have lost income. My question is what has +happened to those workers? Are those workers leaving the labor +force? Are they moving somewhere else where they can get a job? +Are they going into the welfare system? What happens to these +people that lose their jobs? What happens to the families that +lose income as a result of the policy, the $15 policy that was +implemented in Seattle? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So Seattle is of interest because No. 1, +it is the top line number, $15, that has focused a lot of +attention. No. 2, it came along with the city deciding to have +a policy violation built in and had the University of +Washington study this closely using a research design that is +the gold standard for those who think that minimum wage doesn't +hurt workers. And so these findings are troubling for that +reason. + The thing it doesn't include is a followup for where +everyone goes, but the logical conclusion is we have seen a +little bit of them moving outside the city to get work. That is +actual in the study. You can see people trying to work outside +the municipal limits, but also you would expect people to +simply leave Seattle. If there is not going to be a work +opportunity, they are going to try elsewhere. + Mr. Taylor. Ok. Thank you. Mr. Chairman. I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentleman from California, Mr. Takano. + Mr. Takano. Mr. Chairman, thank you. I would like to begin +my questioning by asking unanimous consent to submit a +Statement into the record from the Center for American Progress +dated January 16th, 2019 which praises the Raise the Wage Act. + Chairman Scott. Without objection. + [The information follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Mr. Takano. Mr. Zipperer, Mr. Holtz-Eakin cites, you know, +a Seattle study showing harm being done. I would like to know +what the impacts of the minimum wage increases in places like +Seattle, San Francisco, and New York have been? + Mr. Zipperer. All right. Thank you for the question. +Regarding Seattle and the study that Dr. Holtz-Eakin cited, +that study is based on a completely flawed comparison of +Seattle where wages are rising extremely fast during the study +period with other areas of Washington State that do not look +like Seattle or are not comparable to Seattle and not a good +point of comparison. And so that is why I don't think that +study coming from the University of Washington is informative +in any way about the consequences of the Seattle minimum wage +increase. + At the same time, there are also studies that use a variety +of case studies and not just focus on a single city but that +focus on six cities including Seattle, also Chicago and a +couple of cities in California like San Francisco, and they +studied the effects of the minimum wage increases there on +restaurant employment and workers' earnings in restaurants. +That study conducted by Sylvia Allegreto, Anna Godoy, Carl +Nadler, and Michael Reich and others at the University of +California Berkeley found that those minimum wage increases in +those cities, in all of those cities, raised the wages of +restaurant workers without any negative consequences for +employment. + Mr. Takano. Thank you. I appreciate that. + I appreciate my Republican colleagues inviting, you know, +Mr. Holtz-Eakin to give us, you know, the conservative point of +view. I imagine that my colleagues on the other side of the +aisle respect your hard headed analysis of our economy. And we +Democrats are advocating for the minimum wage at $2.15 or at +$15 an hour. Of course, we are interested in trying to raise +the incomes, and I am curious. I want to know, you know, in +some of your past writings, especially on immigration reform. +Do you still hold to your beliefs that immigration reform and +welcoming immigrants into our economy ultimately will raise the +wages of American workers? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Absolutely. + Mr. Takano. Can you expound on that a little bit more? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Sure. If you look at the research on the +impact of immigration on native born workers, you find that +immigrants are, on average, complements to those native born +workers meaning in economic terms when they arrive, they raise +the wages of the native born workers. Immigrants are +disproportionately entrepreneurial. They start businesses at a +higher rate. They bring capital at a higher--workers at a rate +above the native born. They work longer. They retire later. +They are a source of enormous vitality to the U.S. economy, and +no one should misunderstand that. + Mr. Takano. So you would counsel, you know, my Republican +colleagues to push for immigration reform and to welcome +immigrants into our economy? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I have for my entire career, and you have +seen my success. + Mr. Takano. And you maintain that immigrants do not depress +wages, but they actually have either no effect on wages but +actually ultimately increase those wages because our +productivity goes up as an Nation. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am convinced that the blanket statement +no one's wages ever go down is probably wrong. Blanket +statements are always wrong in economics. But I think the vast +amount of evidence is that they are beneficial to the wages of +native born workers. + Mr. Takano. Of course, I believe that we need a strong, you +know, baseline of a minimum wage. We need immigration reform to +reduce the effect of the shadow economy so that people, you +know, are not being exploited by employers who are taking +advantage of their undocumented status. + I mean, we can argue about where that minimum wage should +be set, but do you also believe that as well, that a shadow +economy is not good for us? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I think it is terrible if we have +circumstances that permit people to be exploited by the +workers, and that is a real issue, and it ought to be taken +seriously by everyone in this committee. The place where we +disagree is on the minimum wage, and what I would say to you is +it is not that you don't want to try to do something. This is +the wrong thing to do. We have a lot of evidence in the earned +income tax credit that it promotes work and helps these people. +Try the noncustodial tax credit. There are a variety of +alternatives. This is just the single worst way to try to help +these people. + Mr. Takano. Fair enough. Fair enough. We simply disagree on +the level of the minimum wage, but you know, we do agree on +immigration reform and the value of immigrants in our economy. +Thank you. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentleman from Georgia, Mr. Allen. + Mr. Allen. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for +holding this hearing and talking about, you know, the creation +of jobs and the opportunities available out there. + I am from the State of Georgia. We have a little fast food +company down there. Mr. Wise, your testimony was very +impressive, but I can tell you. If you had gone to work for +Chick-fil-A, you would probably own your own restaurant by now. +It is an amazing story. You need to check them out, you know. +Obviously you have a passion for that business, and you have +remained in it, and in fact, they will actually put you through +college. Amazing company. + And in fact, we have had enormous job creation in Georgia. +The wage situation is--I mean, for example, with truck drivers. +I mean, they are making in excess of $80,000 a year, full +benefits, full medical, and there are also companies working +with the drivers to make sure they are not out of town more +than maybe two nights a week. So we are trying to address this +booming economy. Georgia has created over 800,000 jobs in the +last four or 5 years, and frankly, everywhere I go, everybody +needs workers. + So Dr. Holtz-Eakin, how would increasing the minimum wage +to $15--I guess I have two questions. One, how in the world do +you live off $15 in Washington D.C.? I mean, I spend 36 weeks +up here. This is the most expensive place to live I have ever +lived in my life. I mean, you look at Georgia and the cost of +living in Georgia. I mean, it is maybe a third of Washington, +DC. based on my experience. + So how can you just blanket the country with, say, you +know, like in Washington, DC, maybe the minimum wage should be +$30 an hour. Who knows? I mean, why stop at 15? I mean, if you +are talking about a living wage based on, in my experience, the +cost of living up here. So No. 1, what do you think it will do +to a State like Georgia with an incredible economy, and No. 2, +how do you, like, divide up the country and say Ok, this is the +blanket policy? Can you answer those questions? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Well, first of all, I am not an expert on +Georgia, but I will say that your characterization matches the +data for the U.S. as a whole where we do have more openings +than unemployed as I mentioned in my opening Statement. That is +the market's way of raising wages, and wages are rising. Our +best measure of real wage growth is the employment cost index, +kind of a nerdy thing you don't need to know. But if you look +at that, it was growing about 1 and a half percent a couple +years ago. It is now up to three. It is doubled. + And so we are seeing real wage growth, wages above +inflation start to move, and that is a valuable thing. That +happens at different rates across the country because we have +different economic labor markets. There are hundreds of local +labor markets in the United States. Tailoring a policy to +Washington, DC. will destroy the State of Georgia, and we +shouldn't do it that way, and I think that is one of my biggest +concerns about this is it is a dramatic increase, and it is +nationwide. + Mr. Allen. It is like, you want do level the playing field +across the country and penalize a State like Georgia, you know, +like I said. And like I said, there is no way you can live off +$15 an hour, and my only experience is here in Washington. I +don't know what it would be like, say, in other large cities, +but-- + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. You do want to level the playing field in +the sense of giving everyone the same opportunity. + Mr. Allen. Right. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The trouble is having the same minimum +wage makes sure that is not level, and that is what I am +concerned about. + Mr. Allen. Well, I ran a small business for 35 years, and +of course, right now we are looking for people. We have no one +on our payroll that is making less than $15 an hour. And of +course, we are recruiting the best and the brightest, and we +don't mind paying more for the best and brightest because they +are more productive and tend to be more passionate about their +work and that sort of thing, so-- + Well, thank you again. You know, I don't think this one +size government program fits all is the answer. I think we have +got to look at it city by city, but again, we have got to keep +the economy growing. Thank you very much, and I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from North +Carolina, Dr. Adams. + Ms. Adams. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and to the Ranking +Member as well. Let me thank all of the witnesses for your +testimony today, and Mr. Wise, thank you for sharing your +story. + A couple of months ago we were scheduled to have a hearing +on how terrible it would be to have a $15 minimum wage. I sort +of agree with my colleague, Mr. Allen. I would go for the 30. +It was fortunate--it was unfortunate, though, that hearing was +canceled because we had hard-working folks from many of our +service industries in Washington that day, all fighting for $15 +because they know that $15 is the bare minimum an individual +must earn to raise a family today. + And I was able to meet with many of them that day, and I +met many of them throughout my legislative career, and these +workers, as Mr. Wise has said, work two and three jobs to feed +their families and still, it is not enough. Working hard is not +enough if you don't make enough, and on 7.25, you can't +survive. + I remember in 2006 when I fought for the minimum wage to be +raised from $5.15 to $6.15 in the North Carolina General +Assembly. I fought 9 years to get that done, and it is pretty +shameful today that 12 years later, the Federal minimum wage +and the State minimum wage in North Carolina has only increased +a mere $1.10. + The question is not does it make sense to increase the +minimum wage to $15. The question is who in their right mind +would disagree? You know, Dr. Spriggs, I have a question for +you. I am interested in why generally wage increases no longer +seem to be tied to worker productivity, and if you can just +briefly describe how the key labor market institutions are +functioning today, I would appreciate that. + Dr. Spriggs. Thank you very much, Congresswoman. We have +tried this experiment over the last 40 years that you don't +need a minimum wage, you don't need unions, you don't need any +of the labor market safeguards and institutions we put in place +at the time of the Great Depression where we learned that real +wages can fall. + The problem today is we are now 10 years into the--almost +10 years into the recovery. It is been 9 years since the labor +market started this string of consecutive job growth, and yet +it is only now, only now that real wages are rising and really +only because inflation was negative at the end of the quarter. +So the lack of a floor affects workers because increasingly +economists have come to understand that competitive firms don't +really face a flat wage curve. The belief that employers can +hire as many workers as they wish at a flat wage is not true. +They face an upward sloping demand curve which means, and from +an economist perspective, they act like a term that you might +be familiar with, the monopsony which means that the market +wage should be higher in order to be closer to what the +clearing wage would be. + And those firms are, in fact, hiring fewer workers than we +would expect in a competitive environment. That is why when we +do experiment after experiment and we analyze this, we simply +don't see the negative wages. And workers who are unionized +simply run into a stonewall because firms know that the respect +is not there for bargaining for higher wages, and so we have +not been able to see wages rise that much even in the +bargaining sector. + Ms. Adams. Can you speak briefly to the importance of +indexing wage increases and elimination of subminimum wages in +addressing weakened labor market institutions? + Dr. Spriggs. In the past, when you look at the increases in +the minimum wage, it was one of the charts that was put up +before. You saw that even though Congress wasn't consciously +doing it, it was raising the minimum wage in line with +productivity and in line with the median wage and in line with +the poverty level. When that consensus broke in 1969, you saw +these things move in all sorts of different directions. + And so the purpose of indexing is because it has become +increasingly difficult now that everyone does not agree that +work pays and all work is dignity. It has become such a +political item that it is necessary to put in the indexing +because before this was not partisan. Republicans overwhelming +agreed with Democrats. The whole country agreed work has to +have dignity, and work must pay. That is an American value. + Ms. Adams. Absolutely. Dr. Zipperer, just quickly. If the +wage had kept pace with how productive workers are on the +whole, how much would it be today? + Mr. Zipperer. If the wage had kept pace with labor +productivity over the last 50 years? If the minimum wage had +kept pace with labor productivity over the last 50 years, the +minimum wage today would be closer to $20 an hour. + Ms. Adams. Thank you, sir. + I yield back, Mr. Chair. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Michigan, Mr. +Walberg. + Mr. Walberg. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thanks to the +panel for being here. + Recently my office received a letter from Daniel, a +constituent in my Michigan district, who has worked in the +restaurant industry as a bartender for over 20 years. He +described how he has the potential to make well above the +minimum wage with the tips and appreciates the freedom that the +restaurant industry provides to move to different restaurants +at significant increases and security that can best meet his +personal needs. + Dr. Holtz-Eakin, this Raise the Wage Act would eliminate +tip credit, as I read it, requiring all employers such as these +restaurants where Daniel works to pay cash wages equal to that +of the full minimum wage. What effect do you believe this +policy will have on the take-home wages of Americans like +Daniel who work in the restaurant industry? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So it is a good question. I think there +are two possibilities that jump out. The first would be by +forcing the equalized the minimum wage. You are raising the +cost of labor for that establishment, and the worst-case +scenario is that Daniel no longer gets to tend bar, and if he +can't find another job, that his take home pay is undeniably +diminished. He might have to take another job somewhere else +and hopefully be Ok. But that is one channel. + The second is that the tip--you know, if it becomes known +that he is being paid, people stop tipping, and to the extent +that happens, he may not come out ahead. He may come out +behind, but those are the two channels that would be in play. + Mr. Walberg. It takes away that flexibility and security to +a great degree of being able to know that if I go to another +restaurant that has a larger clientele or whatever else, it +could impact me at the tip credit as well. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. It is in a small way a little labor market +where, you know, there is a return to his skills, his service, +his productivity, and the better he is, the more tips he will +get, and this breaks that link as well. + Mr. Walberg. In looking at what has happened to restaurants +and other businesses in cities that have eliminated the tip +credit, what has been the outcome? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I will have to get back to you on the tip +credit, per se. I don't have that at my fingertips. I will just +note that I think the restaurant industry is the one that jumps +out as a concern in the Raise the Wage Act. You know, in my +testimony I showed some of the historical evidence from 2014 +and 2015 where we looked at what happened to restaurant +employment in those municipalities that raised their minimum +wages versus those that did not, and it is right in the data. + The employment growth just slows down, and this is at a +time when we are starting to see the economy finally ramp up. +But I am afraid this act would repeat that in a much bigger way +for the Nation as a whole. + Mr. Walberg. Does any data show that the tip credit really +allows workers to earn less than the minimum wage? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The law says they can't earn less than the +minimum wage. I am sympathetic to Dr. Spriggs' observation that +compliance is an issue. I am not a compliance expert, but I +would take those comments seriously and make sure that we have +things that are--effective laws that can be monitored and +enforced. + Mr. Walberg. Ok. Thank you. I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from New Jersey, +Mr. Norcross. + Mr. Norcross. Thank you, Chairman, Ranking Member, and I am +here proud to cosponsor along with the chairman the Raise the +Wage Act, but I want to start out by thanking the witnesses, +but particularly those behind you who are the real faces of +minimum wage, and certainly that is the reality. + So let's talk about myth versus reality. 1950. Minimum wage +was increased by 88 percent. Unemployment decreased. The stock +market went up. Thirty years ago the CEO made 30 times the +average worker. Today, the CEO makes 347 times. That is the +reality of what is going on. + Mr. Chairman, this is America. You work hard, you play by +the rules, you are supposed to be able to make it. Right now, +that is not the case. It has been 11 years since we voted, 10 +years since that raise went to the minimum wage. We do need to +raise the wage, and I reach across the aisle because what +happened last time, 348 votes in the house, that was +Republicans and Democrats. + Eighty votes in the Senate to raise the minimum wage. We +can do this because you know it is the right thing to do. It is +predictability. It is not $15 an hour tomorrow. This is over +years that this comes in. I worked for minimum wage. I was a +single dad trying to raise my kid. I know it was tough. Today, +it is impossible, but I will tell you that if the minimum wage +kept up with inflation and productivity, it would be $18 an +hour. That is the path that we follow that if you work hard, +you play by the rules, that the boss doesn't keep everything, +and that is what we have seen happen. But the real surprise is +not that you can't make it, but you don't even come close, do +you, Mr. Wise? You don't even come close. + But the remarkable thing, to my colleagues, raising the +minimum wage to $12 would reduce government spending on +entitlement programs by $17 billion. People want to work. They +want to be able to provide their family. They want the dignity +of going to work each day, but they need to be able to make it +in this country. I am so proud to say my Governor signed in the +$15 an hour wage predictability over the next 6 years. It is +not happening overnight. Let's think about it. If it has been +10 years and it is going to take us another 6 years, that is 16 +years to raise the wage to $15 an hour. It is not this +overnight crisis that they are trying to build. + My friends here in Washington, please. It is time to wake +up. We took care of the CEOs for you who voted for that tax, +1.3 trillion to that top 1 percent. It is time to help these +people, the ones that vote in your districts, the ones who need +it. + Mr. Wise, why are you here today advocating on behalf of +the minimum wage? Why is this important to you? + Mr. Wise. Well, you know, it is like you said, and that is +what my mom told me. She told me work hard, be a good citizen, +and everything will be Ok. That is what Mom told me, and I +thought that would be the case. I worked hard, doubly hard, two +jobs to try to provide for my three girls. When I had to start +skipping meals, you know, substituting sanitary products for my +daughters, making them use tissue, just doing anything to +survive and get by even though I was doing everything right, +everything Mom said, but it was obviously something terribly +wrong. + And I know that my fight doesn't end today here in this +building. I have got to continue to fight in my city and all +across the country until every worker is earning a living wage, +and not only that, until we can work to get legislation to +create an easier environment for us to have a union and be able +to have collective bargaining, a seat at the table. So this +fight is something that I have been waiting on my whole life. +This is a way we have got to change this country. There is no +individual solution to social, economic, and political +problems. + So I have been able to come together with my coworkers from +not only Kansas City but across the country to change the +narrative in this country. Before we organized 6 years ago, no +one talked about wage inequality. Nobody talked about unions. I +wasn't taught this in school, but I have been able to learn +through the movement that this is what it is going to take, me +and my coworkers behind me continuing to stand together and +tell our stories because it is real, and this is how we live +every day. + Mr. Norcross. Thank you, Mr. Wise. + Please. Let's work together. Let's take care of all +Americans. Let's give them a chance to have the dignity of the +American dream, of being able to make it because you are doing +the right thing. I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Texas, Mr. +Wright. + Mr. Wright. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank all four of +you gentlemen for being here today. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, you made a +point earlier that is worth repeating, and that is that this is +not about compassion, and, indeed, it is not. In fact, what is +before us today is a very poor measure of compassion because we +have to be concerned about the unintended consequences of this +bill just like we should be with every bill that we discuss and +vote on. + Raising the minimum wage is great for people who get to +keep their jobs, and of course, that is the concern is the +effect it will have on jobs because we are not talking about +merely raising the minimum wage. We are talking about doubling +it. That is a shock to the system of any small business, any +small business owner, and they have to make that calculation. +They have to balance whether they can keep all the jobs they +have or eliminate jobs in order to accommodate a sudden, what, +100 percent spike in their wages they have to pay. + So we have to be concerned what effect this is going to +have, and we have already discussed--I had some questions about +rural versus urban, and you have already discussed that because +I have both in my district. What I am concerned about, though, +and is the studies that show, what impact doubling the minimum +wage would have in terms of business closings, not just +employee reduction. Do you have any information on that? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't have a specific estimate of that. +I think again, one of the concerns is that this is an +experiment that has never been run. We have never doubled the +Federal minimum wage. We are trying to learn from other things +that were far more modest. They happened in a locality or a +State, smaller at the national level, so but there is no +question that one of things you would expect to happen is for +those firms with thin profit margins, that they in the end may +just not be able to make it, you know, and they will close +their doors. And I don't--I have little question about the +direction. I don't know the magnitude. + I think the other thing to think about with that this is +different and important is that yes, it is over a number of +years, and it is laid out in the act. That means that right +now, those firms know, they can look forward with complete +certainty that these low-skill, low-experience workers are +really expensive, and they will stay expensive forever because +it will be indexed at the end, and they will find ways to stop +having counter service and automate things in ways that we have +seen in other parts of the economy. It will just accelerate +that. And so the jobs won't just be lost for a moment. They +will be gone. + Mr. Wright. Right. Well, I want to repeat what has been +said before, and that is that all of us up here share the same +goal in terms of wanting to increase the livelihood of +Americans, expand economic opportunity and progress for +Americans, but I don't believe doubling the minimum wage is the +right way to go. + Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you, Dr. Holtz-Eakin. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you. Did you want to +respond to that? Ok. Thank you. + The gentlelady from Pennsylvania, Ms. Wild. + Ms. Wild. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you all for being +here, and thank you to all of you who are here as witnesses to +this. + It is such an important issue, and it is one that I, as a +freshman legislator, campaigned on, to raise the minimum wage, +and I feel very deeply that we should. I am from Pennsylvania, +one of the 22 States that still has a minimum wage of $7.25 an +hour. So as I understand it, Mr. Wise, you are a little bit +ahead of us in Missouri. I guess you just raised it up to $8.60 +an hour, is that correct, from $7.85 an hour last year? So +Missouri was still ahead of Pennsylvania with our $7.25 an hour +minimum wage. + Mr. Wise. That is correct. + Ms. Wild. Well, Mr. Wise, let me just say this, and I am +going to talk kind of quickly because I have a lot of things I +want to say or to ask and only a limited amount of time. I +really appreciate your courage and your willingness to be here +today and to talk so candidly about your own experience and +your family's experience. It is not an easy thing to do, and I +recognize that. I also admire your fortitude and your +commitment to your family. And I admire that you are engaging +your daughters in activism and helping them to understand what +it means to fight for social justice, so thank you for all of +that. + We just talked a minute ago about the minimum wage in +Missouri which I understand is $8.60 an hour now, and if I may, +how much are you now earning at McDonald's? + Mr. Wise. Well, after 20 years in the industry, I do make +$11 an hour at McDonald's. + Ms. Wild. Ok. Twenty years in the industry. And you know, +my colleague, Mr. Allen, made a reference to your passion for +the fast food industry. Would I be correct in assuming that it +is not so much a passion for the fast food industry as it is +the only job that you could get when you had to drop out of +school to help support your family? + Mr. Wise. Well, that was the opportunity I had at the +chance, you know. All labor has dignity. My mom worked for the +company Hardee's for 30 years. She enjoyed her work. I enjoy my +work. + Ms. Wild. Good. I am glad to hear that. Now, there was also +a reference made to tractor-trailer operators making $80,000 a +year and so forth. Have you ever explored other opportunities +such as driving a truck? + Mr. Wise. Well, you know, when I worked--and many Americans +work doubly hard. For example, I worked Monday 4 p.m. to 11 +p.m. and had to be right back up Tuesday morning at 4 a.m. to +return to work, so there is no flexibility in scheduling. I +work very hard, and there is really not time, you know, to go +back to school, to search that extra education. And the last I +checked, it is really not free in this country. + Ms. Wild. Well, and that is where I was going with that +line of questioning, and it is as much a Statement as it is a +question. For you to pursue something like a tractor-trailer +position, aside from the fact that it would take you away from +your family, it would require additional training and time that +you don't have, correct? + I ask these questions not in any way intended to embarrass +you. Do you and your family rely on any form of public +assistance? + Mr. Wise. Well, currently, Medicaid. My daughters have and +my fiancee did while she was pregnant with my last child, but +she doesn't any more. And we were receiving stamps up until a +few years ago, but they said that we were making too much, and +those got cut. But we still do rely on Medicaid, food pantries, +any way to get by. + Ms. Wild. And how many hours a week are you working? + Mr. Wise. Me, right now, I work just at McDonald's but I +work over 50 hours a week, you know. + Ms. Wild. And what about your fiancee? How many hours a +week does she work? + Mr. Wise. Well, she is a home healthcare, and she works +four 12s, so 48 a week. + Ms. Wild. Ok. And you told us when was the last time you +got a raise? + Mr. Wise. Oh. Oh. Well, it has been a while. + Ms. Wild. Ok. You have told us you have been in the +business for 20 years. When is the last time you--ballpark it. +When is the last time you got a raise? + Mr. Wise. About 3 years ago. + Ms. Wild. And you are at $11 an hour now. Ok. So I am going +to turn the my attention to Dr. Holtz-Eakin in my last 30 +seconds here. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, what would you propose to Mr. +Wise as to what he should do to lift his family out of +generational poverty? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't have specific career advice for an +individual. The decision in front of the committee is whether +to do the Raise the Wage Act, and I would simply argue that it +is more likely to damage his prospects and people like him than +to help on average, and that seems unwise. This is a compelling +story. It can be played out in even greater numbers if the +wrong policies are put in place. That seems unwise to me. + There are other things that we have done, earned income tax +credit that I mentioned, that have both promoted work and +targeted effectively on those in poverty who are working, +clearly the case with Mr. Wise, and thus allowed people to +work, allowed them to be above the poverty line that were very +successful. Those would be the subject of attention, I would +think, not this. + Ms. Wild. But you would agree that Mr. Wise's story is just +one of hundreds of thousands across the country of people who +are working more than full-time hours and are living in +poverty? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Mr. Wise's story is one of millions of +labor market stories, and I guess it comes as a perception that +somehow I don't care about those stories when you look at the +data. The data give voice to all those stories simultaneously. +They tell us on average how things will work out. They will be +worse, not better. I don't want that. + Ms. Wild. I am sure Mr. Wise will advise his children about +that data. + I yield back. + Chairman Scott. The chair recognizes the gentleman from +North Carolina, Mr. Walker. + Mr. Walker. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Mr. Wise, I first want to say how much I respect the +willingness to be vulnerable like this in a National forum. I +also admire the fact of how intricately involved you are in +your daughter's life. The line that jumped out at me, I believe +that you said earlier, was all work has dignity, and I +certainly agree with that, and thank you for your courage and +being here today. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin, I have a couple questions for you if I +could get to that. I believe our colleagues have proposed--I +think the number comes down to about a 107 percent increase in +the minimum wage. What percentage was the minimum wage +increased by the last time in 2007? Would you have those +numbers? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't have them in front of me, but it +is much, much lower. I mean, it was about a $2 increase. + Mr. Walker. Ok. So percentage wise, it is about 40, 45 +percent, somewhere in that range. Would you say there were some +disruptions in the labor market immediately following the +minimum wage increase, and could you take just a few seconds or +a minute to describe those for us? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So that minimum wage increase was +implemented during the depths of the Great Recession and the +early parts of the recovery. If you look in the data, teen +unemployment is markedly higher there. I think there is little +reason to doubt that is, in part, attributed to the minimum +wage increase, a weak economy, very, very few skills in that +population. They didn't get hired. + Mr. Walker. Back in my home area of Greensboro, I think of +my friend who has a yogurt shop there in Northern Greensboro. +It is not his primary source of income because they just kind +of break even, but he has about six to eight individuals who +make around $8 to $10 an hour. It is basically an after-school +for some younger people to be able to have some time. I think +he even has some of his family members just to cover some +shifts there. I know this , and I have talked with him about +this, if they were to go to $15 an hour, he would be defunct. +The place would no longer be in business. If we were to move +forward on such standards that are suggested, do you think that +there would be a drastic change to specifically the labor +market if this was to be adopted? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. This is, I think, a recipe for very few +opportunities for the younger, less skilled, less experienced +workers, and that first step on the job market ladder of +success is an incredibly important one, and I think that is +something to be deeply concerned about. As I mentioned in my +opening, I think it has been underappreciated what went on in +2018. The fact that the economy, having already reached low +levels of unemployment, could pull so many people into the +labor market and into employment, over 200,000 jobs a month, +means that we were taking people who had given up, who had no +attachment to work, and now they have one. Anything that does +that has great long-running success. This might do the reverse. + Mr. Walker. Well let's speak, then, on the younger people. +I remember my first job there in my small town in Milton, +Florida. I worked at the Piggly Wiggly grocery store for $3.35 +an hour. I did get wise to who might tip me $0.50 for carrying +their bags out back when you could do that. To add or pad that +a little bit. + What kind of benefit is it to some of our younger people to +be able to develop these entry-level skilled positions or even +those skilled positions? Can you speak to the generalization of +that? I know that is not a hard data point, but do you have any +evidence supporting that? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. We know that work is good for people. +People want to work. They feel better when they work. There is +an enormous amount of on-the-job skills that are learned, +especially early, and those skills are general skills that +transfer from job to job. So getting people in, acquiring those +skills is a very important part of the labor market dynamics. + Mr. Walker. And one potential effect of more than doubling +the Federal minimum wage is that small businesses will simply +close the doors as I have mentioned. This is extremely +concerning to me as we have over 890 small businesses in North +Carolina alone employing about 1.6 million workers. + Any evidence showing that increasing the minimum wage to +$15 could possibly lead to some of these businesses closing +like the one that I mentioned. Do you have other evidence to +support that? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would be happy to get it back to you +with as to estimates. That is an important dynamic. I think it +is especially important right now. One of the characteristics +of the U.S. economy is that we have seen fewer business +startups than historically. Indeed, a couple years back, +business startups fell for the first time below business +closings. That lack of dynamism I think is troubling. We don't +want to get in the way of that. + Mr. Walker. And I think we all should be sensitive to some +of the families and with Mr. Wise's situation, people that +there is a gap that cut through here, and our heart goes to out +to them. The financial crisis, as a former pastor I can tell +you I have witnessed it firsthand. But I worry about this one- +size-fits-all where even some of these proposed minimum wages +are even standard of living in places like New York and Boston +and other places. + And with that, I will yield back to you and I will close +out. Yield back to the chairman. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I guess the one thing I would note for +this committee, especially this Committee on Education and +Labor, the troubling data point in my mind is the fact that if +we look at our National Assessment of Education Progress, the +NAPE scores, we have got somewhere between a quarter and a +third of fourth and eighth graders who aren't reading at grade. +They are seriously deficient, and they can't do math at grade. +They are seriously deficient. If you want to have a recipe for +a big problem going future, let that continue. That is a +problem. + Chairman Scott. The gentleman from Michigan, Mr. Levin. + Mr. Levin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am glad to hear you are in favor of a +massive investment in public education. That would be great to +raise those scores. + Mr. Chairman, if it is all right, I would like to submit +for the record a letter from the AFL-CIO legislative director, +Bill Samuel, about our hearing topic today. + Thank you. + Chairman Scott. Without objection. + [The information follows:] + [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5268.089 + + Mr. Levin. Thank you. + So I appreciate all four of you coming. I have learned a +lot listening to you. + Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I wanted to ask you, you have been a +professor and worked in government so many distinguished +contributions, have you ever written in favor of raising the +minimum wage at any level, written a paper, published a paper? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. No. + Mr. Levin. You have never supported raising the minimum +wage? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I have never written a paper on that, no. + Mr. Levin. Ok. What do you think the ideal minimum wage is, +or should there be one at all? Perhaps--it is a perfectly +legitimate position--just leave it to market forces, would that +be your position? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would prefer to have subnational minimum +wages which are tailored to the labor market conditions where +people are actually working. So I have lots of reservations +about any number for the Federal minimum wage. It doesn't match +any labor market. + Mr. Levin. Even $5 an hour, say, $2 an hour? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. We are already at 7, so 5 would be fine. + Mr. Levin. Were you opposed to going to 7? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I didn't have an opinion on that debate, +to be honest. + Mr. Levin. You didn't? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I was not at this table and was not asked. + Mr. Levin. I know you weren't at this table, but you are an +important thinker on these. I am being, in all seriousness, I +am just trying to understand. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I know. I am being serious too. I am not a +fan of minimum wage increases for the reasons I explained at +the outset. + Mr. Levin. Thank you. That is what I thought. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. And--no, it is this and this very +particular thing: If you do it, the best possible outcome is no +harm. The only debate we have is over how much harm. And the +nature of that harm is to take money from people who don't have +a job and give it to people who do have a job. I don't think +that is right. + Mr. Levin. I don't think the data support that, but I +appreciate your point of view. In fact, in 1949, according to +Dr. Spriggs' figures, we raised the minimum wage by 88 percent +and 91.4 percent of Republicans voted in favor of that. So we +have raised the minimum wage significantly before. + In this case, we are talking about raising it over a 5-year +period. So the notion that my friends, some of my friends on +the other side of the aisle talking about a shock, this +immediate thing of doubling the minimum wage, that is factually +completely inaccurate. That is not what we are proposing. + We are proposing raising it to get it back toward what it +was, not toward what it was as a percentage of productivity, +but at least toward what it was in dollar figures, close to +what it was in earlier times. + Mr. Wise, I really was interested in something you said a +couple of times about you are not just here advocating for a +living wage for your family, but also for the freedom to form a +union. Could you explain that a little further? + Mr. Wise. Well, yes. It is kind of like, you know, you get +more done together than you can alone, and that was evidenced +in my life. Like I said, I have asked the boss for a raise in +the nicest ways for years, tell him I need benefits for years, +and it just falls on deaf ears. + And not only that, but when you look back at American +history, when we join a movement we learn about history. We +know that for women to get voting rights, they had to come +together collectively. Any labor laws that we want or any +advances in the labor movement, we had to do it together. To +end slavery, it took a movement, civil rights movement, to +improve the lives of people in this country. + And that is what it is all about. And that is what I like +to instill in my daughters as well, that we get more done +together than we can alone, and we can go so much farther as +long as we stand together. And a union, you know, going to work +every day now is like going into a dictatorship, you know. I +have no voice, no opinion. + I can remember the first job at Taco Bell, we at least had +a comment box. Now those have all but been eliminated from the +workplace. So to be able to come together and have a seat at +the table with my employer where we can negotiate healthcare +and wages. That is the benefits of a union. + Mr. Levin. Thank you so much for coming today and for +speaking the truth for your leadership on this national stage. +The truth of the matter is that we need to raise our wages for +everybody to a basic level of dignity, but unless workers have +the power and the freedom to form unions in this country, which +they don't today, we are at 6 percent of the private sector +being unionized, we will never raise the standard of living for +the middle class in this country. + And I just want to point out that people have this idea of +a lot of workers in my area, auto workers, it is like, you +know, they represent the sort of middle class of working class +people getting a piece of the middle class. A hundred years +ago, when auto workers were in the same fight you are now, my +friend, they were poor workers in incredibly unsafe jobs, and +it was only by coming together to form a union that they got +their little piece of the middle class. So keep on speaking the +truth, and thank you so much for your testimony. + I yield back, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentleman from Tennessee, Dr. Roe. + Mr. Roe. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank all the +witnesses for being here, and I appreciate that. + In our State of Tennessee, we recognize that we think the +way out of poverty are skills. In our State, we provide free +community college and free technical school. Anybody there. And +if you have lost your job and you want to get educated, we have +a Tennessee Reconnect, where you can go to community college or +you can go to a technical school. We have 27 of them in the +State for free. + So that is one of the ways we are attacking this low wage. +And what I have seen in my district is I think it is going +away, the minimum wage issue and debate. Right now we have a +lot more job openings than we do people filling those jobs even +where we are. And there is a help wanted sign literally +everywhere. + And I just looked the other day for H2 workers around the +country, H2A workers. The highest is $15.03. That is in +Washington State. The national average is almost $13 an hour. +And in my district, it is $11.74 an hour. That is now. Five +years from now, it is going to be $15 an hour. There are fast +food restaurants in my area that are paying $15 an hour today. + I can get you a manufacturing job in my hometown today if +you are willing to work and you can pass a drug test for $19 an +hour. And the skills gap that Dr. Holtz-Eakin is talking about +is where one of the biggest problems are, low-skill workers who +don't have those skills. + I looked up a couple things. I think the minimum wage $15 +an hour may be very appropriate. It could be even more if you +lived in San Francisco. And I just did a few calculations while +we are having this. The median price of a home in San Francisco +is $1.4 million. + Let me run down where I live. I live in the wealthiest +county in my district, and the median price of a home is +$148,000. Seattle, $725. I have got a town I represent where +$90,000 is a median price of a home. Fifteen dollars an hour +there is totally different than $15 an hour in New York City or +San Francisco or in Bend, Oregon, where it is $433,000 for a +home, or Portland where it is $449,000 for a home. + So I just looked those numbers up just a moment ago. In +Kansas City, it is $147,000, a little cheaper place to live +than Washington or these other places. + And if my colleagues on the other side of the aisle are +willing to do this, I am more than willing to look at a minimum +wage if you will look at the Medicare Wage Index, where the +Federal Government says it is Ok to pay me and my hospital +where I live 73 cents on the dollar and pay people in +California $1.50 to do exactly the same thing. + The government is already making a difference in what they +pay, depending on where you live. So it makes sense to let +local communities decide those things, based on the economic +conditions in that community. + I would like to yield to Dr. Holtz-Eakin, if he could +comment on that. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would comment on two things: First, I +commend you for your discussion about the community colleges. +There is an enormous amount of evidence that is a relatively +low-cost, very valuable way to go in getting workers new skills +or skills to begin with. And I think that is something to think +about more broadly for the U.S. + And then I have said this many times today, I won't belabor +it, there are hundreds of local labor markets that are very, +very different, and to just jack up a national average to $15 +is going to dramatically impact some of them, because it is +inappropriate. + Mr. Roe. And I agree with that. And I think where we are, a +wage, a minimum wage, there is no question, to hire qualified +people, you have to pay more than $7.25 unless it is a high +school student that is just entering the labor force. + And I think the other thing that I took a little bit of +offense at today is I have been an employer my entire life, and +I didn't keep everything. I provided health benefits and +retirement benefits because why? The most valuable person in my +business were my employees. They were the most valuable person +I had. I value them. Right here in this U.S. Congress where I +hire people, the most valuable people are my employees who work +with me every day. + So I certainly know if you have got a good employee, that +is the most valuable person in there and you are going to pay +them what you can afford to pay them to keep them in your +business. And with a growing labor market, they have more +options, and that is a good thing when a person can go from one +job to another and transport and make more money, and that is +what we are seeing right now and it is about time for middle +class working people--and I grew up in that kind of family, my +dad was a factory worker and my mother was a bank teller--to +see wages going up for middle class people. + I yield back. + The Chairman. Thank you. The gentlelady from Washington, +Ms. Jayapal. + Ms. Jayapal. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank you all for +being here. + I am from Seattle. I proudly represent the district that +passed the highest minimum wage in the country. I was on the +committee that wrote the legislation. I have heard testimony +for years similar to some of the testimony we have heard here. +And I want to start by saying none of that would be possible +without the work of people like Mr. Wise and all of the people +that are in the room that have been on the streets, that have +been in your employer's workplaces demanding a $15 minimum +wage. That is where the energy has come from. + I also want to say, Dr. Spriggs, that we are proud in +Washington State to have one of the highest minimum wages in +the country indexed to inflation, going all the way back to +1998. And from 2001 onwards, we have indexed our minimum wage. +And that was part of--that was really the product of a strong +labor movement. + So you articulated so beautifully why it is important to +have collective bargaining, to have organizing, in order to +really work with employers to make sure that workers who are +driving profits--because let's be clear about where profits +come from, they come from workers who drive those profits--are +rewarded for that. + So, Mr. Wise, I just wanted to give you a little bit more +of a chance to talk also about your colleagues. You have spoken +so beautifully about your own situation. Tell me if that +experience reflects what your colleagues are also feeling at +McDonald's? + Mr. Wise. It has. And I can tell you even before this +moment and before the movement, you know, I would work every +day with my colleagues and we would share the same stories of +how we struggle to pay bills, come to work depressed because +the gas is up, you know, skipping meals, the same thing. +Whether it was Suzy, my Hispanic coworker, Ellen, my white +coworker, me myself, we all were going through the same trials +and dilemmas. And we all did what? Woke up every day and went +to work. It is not like we weren't working hard. + And another thing I looked around, the myth of this being +jobs for teenagers. These are McDonald's workers with me here +today. We are hardworking adults raising families, you know +what I am saying? So it was no way, no individual way to fix +the problem by ourself. We would just soak in it and go to work +and take it. But we figured out quickly that when you can +organize, come together and amplify your voice, you know, act +like a union even before we win our union, we were able to get +things done. We were able to change the narrative in this +country. + Like I said, 6 years ago we started hearing about 15. That +number 15, Amazon and everyone else you hear, it just didn't +come out of thin air. These employers didn't wake up oneS day, +you know what, let's go 15. That is because of what workers in +this room and myself have been doing to change the narrative +around the country. + Ms. Jayapal. Thank you so much, Mr. Wise. And I would just +say that the argument around youth employment has been proven +false over and over again. When we have the debate in +Washington State, the reality is the majority of minimum wage +workers today are not teenagers, and I think it is exactly what +you said. + I wanted to just say to Dr. Holtz-Eakin that you quoted a +study on Seattle and the effects of the minimum wage increase. +Are you aware, Dr. Wise that study--I assume you are quoting +the study from 2017. Are you aware that the exact same +researchers put out a study a year later that countered +everything that they said, almost every everything that they +said in the 2017 study? And just a yes or no or is fine, +because I want to go to Dr. Zipperer. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would disagree they countered +everything. I know there is another study. + Ms. Jayapal. Ok. So there was another study done by the +same researchers that had substantially different results than +that first study. So, Dr. Zipperer, can you speak to what the +research shows around the effects of the Seattle increase in +the minimum wage? + Mr. Zipperer. I think there is a study that you are +referring to or a set of studies by the researchers at the +University of Washington. And, like I mentioned earlier, I find +both sets of those studies to be completely uninformative about +the consequences of the Seattle minimum wage. Those studies +find that there are large negative consequences to employment +of certain groups of workers and-- + Ms. Jayapal. You are talking about the 2017 study? + Mr. Zipperer. About the 2017 study. + Ms. Jayapal. But can you speak about the most recent +research that actually counters that and shows that our minimum +wage in Seattle has actually increased wages for people that +were earning the minimum wage? + Mr. Zipperer. The second study that you referred to put out +by those researchers found that workers who had jobs prior to +the minimum wage increase benefited tremendously from the +minimum wage increase, and that they saw higher earnings +overall and did not see increased chances of disemployment. + Ms. Jayapal. Thank you. Let me just mention that we talked +about the tip penalty. That is what I call it, the tip penalty, +because part of what happens is that workers who are under a +tip, as Dr. Spriggs said, are subject to all kinds of issues; +but in addition to that, it is front-of-the-house workers +versus back-of-the-house workers when you talk about tips. + And so I think we are going to talk about this on the next +panel, and I have many more questions and things to say, but I +see that my time has expired, Mr. Chairman, so I will yield +back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + Mr. Meuser from Pennsylvania. + Mr. Meuser. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Dr. Foxx. +Thank you all for testifying. We appreciate it. + The former Governor of Indiana, Mitch Daniels, had a +saying, and it was: My job is to grow the disposable income of +Hoosiers. Governor Daniels had that quote put up actually on +the door of each of his Cabinet Secretaries' offices. When I +served as Revenue Secretary for the Commonwealth of +Pennsylvania, I truly shared this vision, and spoke to my +department and other Cabinet members about the importance of +that role. + Government does have a responsibility to help competitive +businesses and their families flourish by creating an +environment for opportunities for all Americans to achieve +economic prosperity and help improve family sustaining wages. +However, history shows and data that I review proves that when +government takes an overreaching posture, there are, +unfortunately, unintended consequences. + So I will start with Mr. Eakin. A $15 minimum wage would +have the largest impact on small businesses and on young people +entering the job market, 2.6 percent of employees at small +businesses earn the minimum wage. Large businesses, it is a +little bit less, 1.5 percent. + I represent a rural, hardworking district in Pennsylvania +with thousands of small family businesses. I fear that these +small businesses in my district would be negatively affected in +the event that a $15 minimum wage was implemented. + As someone who helped myself grow a small business into a +large business that has, well, a minimum wage much higher than +the minimum, I think as most companies do, an implementation of +a $15 minimum wage would put tremendous pressure on small +business owners. I would think that the business would first +attempt to raise prices, which is very difficult to do in +competitive markets, global markets. + Next, the company would be forced to cut staff, letting go +of workers who had done nothing wrong. And when that still +wouldn't be enough, business owners would be forced to take +away raises historically given to employees who had worked with +the business for a longer period of time. And then after that, +just be concerned with survival. + Can you outline, Mr. Eakin, how historically small +businesses have dealt with government-mandated minimum wage +increases? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. You have walked through the logic. It is +the same logic I discussed earlier. There aren't many places to +go. You raise prices, lay people off, don't hire new people, +don't give raises, squeeze your payrolls wherever you can +because you must. And small businesses have the least +capability to survive that, and so, you know, you worry about +the impact on them. + That is part of the cost of this policy. The emphasis has +been on the benefits, but what I wanted to emphasize was if you +have a job and you get this raise, that is the good news. The +bad news is only under 7% of those benefits go to people in +poverty. + And so the notion that this is an effective way to provide +the benefit of poverty alleviation is vastly overstated. It is +a poor instrument for that, and it has significant costs to +sectors of the economy like the small business and sectors of +the labor force who are young and unskilled or least educated. +And that is the unintended consequence that I think has to be +focused on. + Mr. Meuser. Regarding the Seattle study, and it is +certainly quoted often, but not only were there job losses but +even the workers who kept their jobs had their hours cut, +reduced, which more than offset any pay increase. + As a result, my information says the earnings went down +$125 per month for those workers who kept their jobs. Are these +the kind of tradeoffs Congress should keep in mind when +considering an increase in the minimum wage? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes, absolutely. I do want to say I admire +Seattle because they decided to check on the success of their +policy. I think they are to be lauded for that. And these are +very carefully done series of studies. There are other studies +which can test results. I mean, that is the way you learn. I +applaud that entire effort. + But there is a big difference between Seattle deciding to +do that, praying that I am wrong, those impacts happen to +Seattle and that is their decision. It is very different to do +it at the national level, and that is what is being proposed. + Mr. Meuser. And as well on a national level, the economies +of scale clearly are different from one area to the cost of +living in a city. So that in itself answers doing such a +mandate nationally. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I agree. + Mr. Meuser. Thank you. + I yield back my time, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentlelady from Minnesota, Ms. Omar. + Ms. Omar. Thank you, Chair, and thank you, Ranking Member, +for this important conversation. Thank you to our expert +panelists for having this really important conversation. + As a union member, I fought to make sure that for dignified +work there was dignified pay. And so I wanted to have a little +conversation with you all about what that looks like here and +the moral imperative that we have to make sure that happens. + So, Mr. Wise, thank you so much for your brave testimony +and thank you for sharing your story. I wanted to get on the +record if you knew what the yearly pay for the CEO of +McDonald's was? + Mr. Wise. Yes. He makes over $30 million a year, the CEO. + Ms. Omar. So the CEO of McDonald's gets paid $21.8 million. +Can you share with us what someone in your position at +McDonald's gets paid annually? + Mr. Wise. Not that much. Not even a fraction of that. But I +make $11 an hour at my job currently. + Ms. Omar. So the median pay for a McDonald's worker was +$7,000 in 2017. And that is the pay gap between the CEO that is +making 21.8 to the 7,000 that a worker who has put in 40 hours +a day gets paid. And to me, that just morally does not sit +well. + Dr. Spriggs, I wanted to see if we can talk a little bit +about the type of work. I know my colleague earlier from New +York said something about different types of work and why it +wasn't valuable for everyone to be paid a minimum wage of $15. + Can you walk us through the different kinds of jobs and if +there have been places like Minnesota or Minneapolis, +Minnesota, that has increased the minimum wage or places like +Seattle, if there have been types of work that have shifted out +of that city or that State because of the increase of that +minimum wage. + Dr. Spriggs. Thank you, Congresswoman. I mean, one of the +interesting things about Seattle is that their wage +distribution totally shifted up. And one of the surprises for +the researchers was they anticipated that the way that the wage +would move that nothing would appear above $20 an hour, and +certainly those types of jobs mushroomed. And I think that is +the point. When we raise wages from the bottom, we really +change the way in which the labor market functions to really +allocate workers more fairly. + A large share of the minimum people who would be affected +by this wage have associate's degrees. It is very hard to +understand the pressures that keep those wages down. So this is +an important change in the labor market. + A lot of people have been saying that, well, you know, the +cost of living is different. They are looking as if you make +$174,000 a year and have health insurance. Yes, it is a +different cost of living and maybe you might want to address +someone like that. But if you are a low-wage worker in Alabama, +you don't have Medicaid. If you are a low-wage worker in rural +parts of Alabama, you have to have a means of transportation to +get to a job. If you are in a city like Washington, DC, you +have Medicaid and you have public transportation. + So you can't really look at the differences in the cost of +living in the way that people want to propose it here, because +of the barriers that face workers in these low-wage +communities. Their communities appear to be, quote/unquote, +``low cost,'' but they are very high cost. They get low wages. +And this was in the debate originally in 1937, where people +from low-wage areas wanted to argue about low cost. They just +haven't lived the life of a low-wage person. + Ms. Omar. Yes. And, Doctor, thank you so much for +mentioning that, because I want to draw attention to testimony +that we have here in written. I don't think the owners of La +Quercia are here from Norwalk, Iowa. They are in a city that +has 8,000 people and they have decided to pay minimum wage and +they are still able to operate. + So when we are talking about paying people a minimum wage, +we are talking about making sure that there is value in the +work that they are doing, and that uplifts workers. It makes +sure that they continue to do the hard work. It uplifts that +community. It uplifts that city. It uplifts that State because, +in return, you also get people who are paying more taxes and it +creates an economy that is thriving. So it is not only morally +just for us to raise the minimum wage; it is economically +feasible and necessary. + Thank you so much. I yield back my time. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentleman from Wisconsin, Mr. Grothman. + Mr. Grothman. Thank you. Mr. Holtz or Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am +going to give you some questions. As I understand it, this +bill, if you were going to increase the minimum wage from about +7 and a half to $15 an hour the amount you are paying somebody +for 1 week of full-time wages--and it is beyond just wages, +right, because you have social security, employer's social +security taxes and workers' comp. I get your increase, your +cost goes up from about 325 to 650 bucks a week per employee. +Is that true? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. That sounds right. + Mr. Grothman. Ok. Over time--we have kind of covered this +area before, but if your cost of anything in life goes up from +325 to 650 bucks per week, do you try to make adjustments if +you are writing that much bigger of a check? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Certainly. You will try to use less of +whatever is more expensive. + Mr. Grothman. Anywhere in life? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes. + Mr. Grothman. Ok. I am looking at something that was found, +a Brookings Institution study, Pathways to Higher Quality Jobs +for Young Adults. It points out even later in life people have +a tendency to make more money if they were working when they +were 16 or 18 years old. Is that true? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes. + Mr. Grothman. Is it important, therefore, in life that we +have young people get jobs? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I believe so, yes. + Mr. Grothman. Ok. And as you mentioned, if we increase the +cost of hiring somebody or if we double the cost, somehow you +are going to scramble to write less of those checks, whether +you put in--I am told from McDonald's, my local McDonald's +owners they can put in a lot of equipment that causes you to +hire less people. Maybe you could cut hours, Ok. Maybe some +marginal restaurants will close. Who is most likely to get laid +off when those things happen? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The people with the least skills, the +least education, the least experience, the least ability to +contribute to the enterprise. + Mr. Grothman. I will even ask Dr. Zipperer, is there any +doubt that if you double the check you are writing that you are +going to somehow try to scramble to write all those checks? Do +you believe that? + Mr. Zipperer. I think that we have heard these kinds of +scare stories about almost every-- + Mr. Grothman. If you owned a restaurant--I will put it this +way: If you owned a restaurant, because we are talking about a +restaurant worker here, and you were told--and I think right +now the vast majority of people in our society, at least +restaurants in my area, judging from the signs out front, are +paying more than minimum wage. + But let's say you had to jump how much you were paying +somebody from $325 to $650 a week, you know, don't you think +you would try to hire less people or it would affect the way +you run the business? Just like anywhere else in life, if the +cost of something doubles, you maybe want to use less of it, +not use it at all. Do you think that is true? + Mr. Zipperer. I think what the research shows on +restaurants and their responses to minimum wage increases is +that restaurants don't employ fewer workers after a minimum +wage increase, but they do change how they operate. In +particular, the two channels by which they adjust to a minimum +wage increase are, one, it makes it easier for them to hire +workers and so worker turnover falls. That is actually a large +cost saving for low-wage businesses like restaurants and helps +them absorb the minimum wage increase. + Mr. Grothman. I will give you one more question, because +they only give us 5 minutes. + I will ask Mr. Wise a question, because I have only got a +minute left. Have you told us here you have been working for +your business or for where you work now for 20 years? + Mr. Wise. I have been in the fast food industry for 20 +years and McDonald's for the last six. + Mr. Grothman. For 6 years, Ok, and you are making 11 bucks +an hour right now? + Mr. Wise. Oh, yes. + Mr. Grothman. Have you applied to work anywhere else? + Mr. Wise. Well, when you look across my city and across +many cities in the country, these are the fastest growing jobs, +service-based jobs. + Mr. Grothman. I know. I am just saying like in my area we +got manufacturing. Sometimes people shift from that sort of +thing to manufacturing. Maybe they look for fast food where you +have a chance to move up and become a shift manager, or +whatnot. I am just saying, have you done anything in the last 6 +years to try to look for a job that pays more than 11 bucks an +hour? + Mr. Wise. Well, I am a manager. I have been to management +training classes. I have been to Safe Serve. I have been +certified. + Mr. Grothman. Have you looked for any other jobs anywhere +else that pay more than 11 bucks an hour? + Mr. Wise. Less than half of my city makes less than $15 an +hour. There aren't jobs readily available. + Mr. Grothman. Have you applied for any other jobs? + Mr. Wise. Oh, definitely. I have looked for jobs in my +city, you know. They are all low-wage jobs. They are paying +poverty wages. + Mr. Grothman. Somebody else talked about drive trucks. Have +you ever tried to do that sort of thing? + Mr. Wise. No, I never tried driving tractor-trailers or +anything like that. + Mr. Grothman. Not even tractor-trailer, just delivery +truck, that sort of thing. + Mr. Wise. No. + Mr. Grothman. Ok, thanks. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentlelady from Nevada, Ms. Lee. + Mrs. Lee. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + For much of my career, I have focused on helping young +children graduate from high school, some of the most at risk +students in Nevada. And poverty is the most significant barrier +to educational success. And I would like to say that a story +like Mr. Wise's is the exception, not the rule. + But when you think about the stress that you as a young man +and your family went under, having to work two and three jobs +to make ends meet, then you having to pitch in and, thus, +dropping out of high school, to me that depicts that not only +are we talking about minimum wage, but we are talking about a +lost opportunity cost. + And the Congressman Grothman who asked you about did you +apply for another job, well, a lot of jobs that are higher +paying require additional training. And if I recall, you +basically said there were weeks on end where you had days where +you did not have a day off. Is that correct? + Mr. Wise. Yes. + Mrs. Lee. So I think we need to take note of the lost +opportunity cost of not increasing a minimum wage here. + So I want to thank you for the courage that you had in +giving that testimony. I think it was incredibly important. +And, again, I wish it were one that isn't as common as it is. + And I now want to ask Dr. Zipperer a question with respect +to that. Looking at these barriers in youth, I am hoping that +you can inform us what the impact of increasing the minimum +wage will have on children in our country. + Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for the question. My colleague +David Cooper at the Economic Policy Institute has recently +conducted an analysis showing the benefits of raising the +minimum wage to $15 by 2024. And in particular, raising the +minimum wage to that level by 2024 would raise the wages of +parents of nearly 14 million children. That is nearly one-fifth +of all U.S. children would have a parent that experienced a +minimum wage increase. + Mrs. Lee. Thank you. + Mr. Chairman, I request unanimous consent to offer this +letter into the record from First Focus Campaign for Children, +explaining the economic impact of increasing the minimum wage +on children in our country. + Chairman Scott. Without objection. + [The information follows:] + [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5268.090 + + Mrs. Lee. Mr. Zipperer or Dr. Zipperer, I have another +question. There is this fear-mongering about the notion of +workers losing their jobs because of an increase. Can you tell +us how or why this notion of job loss is misleading, and is it +possible that workers would be able to work fewer hours but +still earn a stronger income, thus having the time to pursue, +perhaps, education that would put them in a position to achieve +a higher-paying job? + Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for the question. Yes, I think +there are three ways in which this phrase ``job loss'' is +misleading when we are talking about the minimum wage. First is +that the vast body of research published in the last 15 years +or at least since 2001 establishes very clearly that the +employment effects of the minimum wage are small to zero. That +is the average study in that literature. + And I would argue, in my judgment, the best studies also +strengthen that conclusion, finding little negative employment +effects of the minimum wage. So that is the first way in which +job loss is misleadingly characterized as the consequences to +the minimum wage. + The second reason is that even studies that either find or +assume that there is going to be job loss, typically the +benefits to workers outweigh the job loss that those workers +experience. So just looking at it from terms of cost and +benefits, raising the minimum wage still has benefits that +outweigh the cost. + The third point and the reason why job loss is a misleading +phrase applied to the minimum wage, is that, just as you +indicated at the end of your question, if there is some +reduction in the number of hours worked by workers, which I +don't necessarily subscribe to, but if that is the case, +workers can still earn more over the course of the year because +they are earning a higher wage and, therefore, would be better +off. + Mrs. Lee. And perhaps spend time with their family as well. + One final thing. Oh, I am sorry, I think I am going to run +out of time, so I will yield the floor. Thanks. + Chairman Scott. The gentleman from Pennsylvania, Mr. +Thompson. + Mr. Thompson. Thank you, Chairman. Thanks for hosting this +hearing. It is a very important topic. + You know, I don't want anyone who is a primary earner in +their home, you know, responsible to provide for their family +to earn just minimum wage. You know, and I don't care what that +minimum wage level is, to tell you the truth. You know, it will +always be the minimum wage. + And some of the consequences that we have seen is that we +will see that raising minimum wage, you know, raises the cost +of many basic necessities. We also see that more times than not +minimum wage increases results in the Federal income threshold +for what qualifies as poverty to go up, sweeping more families +technically into poverty. And if it is done technically, it is +done for good reasons, because the value of that earned dollar +lessens. + But, again, I want to say I don't want to see anyone who is +supporting a family who is the primary earner earn minimum +wage. That is why I work so hard to support restoring ladders, +rungs on a ladder of opportunity. And this committee did great +work in that area with the Career and Technical Education bill +President Trump signed. I believe it was on July 31st we were +at the White House. + We put an additional billion dollars on top of what we +already invest in career and technical education training. And +we know there are 7 million jobs that are out there today, and +that number is climbing. It is compounded and getting larger +because of the retirement of the baby boomers, but it is also +growing because of the growth of the economy and the jobs that +are being created. + So I am not saying those opportunities are equal. I mean, +sometimes communities and cities, places, for whatever, based +on whatever is going on there, perhaps they don't have as many +opportunities; but nationwide, that is the scenario that we are +seeing. And that is why I, when it comes to better wages, +especially for those who are primary providers for their +families, I want them on those ladders of opportunity. And I +think this committee did some really good work to restore that +with resources and reforms to that program. + I also get the point--and, unfortunately, she left. I +appreciated the passion of the gentlelady from Seattle. You +know, it is situational. It is geographical. And just to share +a couple numbers. I am from Pennsylvania. In Pennsylvania, the +average, the median home value in Pennsylvania is $172,000. In +our largest city--I tried to pick a big city that compared to +Seattle, you know--it is $158,500 right now, and that was after +a 12.7 percent increase in value this past year. Washington +State, it is $379,500. And in Seattle, the median home value is +over $725,000. I get it. But that is a geographical issue. That +is not a one-size-fits-all solution of a Federal minimum wage. + And so I appreciate her passion and I appreciate her local +leadership of serving the folks in Seattle who are incurring +such a--I mean, it is just a--what a terrible situation for +folks who are living paycheck to paycheck and struggling. + And so, Dr. Holtz-Eakin, great to see you again. A real +quick question here: Your testimony cites a 2014 study by +Jeffrey Clemens and Michael Wither that shows a hike in the +minimum wage is likely to increase the occurrence of unpaid +internships. + Would a 107 percent increase in the Federal minimum wage +hurt students and young adults who are trying to enter into +that work force and to get that basic experience, you know, to +be able to launch successful careers that hopefully eventually +will be with family sustaining wages? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I have an intern program. I don't know if +I would if you doubled the minimum wage. They are paid minimum +wage. And that is an issue. And that is the starting rung, and +everything I have said earlier today applies to the intern +programs across this country as well as the full-time +employees. + Mr. Thompson. Thank you. + I know we have another panel, so in the effort of +efficiency I will yield back, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you. + The gentlelady from Georgia, Mrs. McBath. + Mrs. McBath. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I want to thank +you for holding this hearing today. And I would like to thank +the witnesses who are here to discuss the importance of raising +the Federal minimum wage for Americans. + It is time for us to raise the minimum wage and to have +these very, very important conversations. Too many in our +Nation are working hard, but are definitely not seeing their +wages budge. The Federal minimum wage has been stuck at $7.25 +per hour since 2009. And in that time, costs have gone up +significantly. + In my home State of Georgia, the minimum wage workers make +only $7.25, and even for those who work 40 hours per week, it +is nearly impossible for them to make a living. Now, this +translates into lost value and lost purchasing power for the +American worker, not just for those that are earning the +minimum wage, but also for those that make more that have not +seen wage growth in a resurgent economy. + We need to raise the minimum wage to help families make +ends meet, but we also need to do it in a way that protects +jobs and small businesses in our communities. Our country is +made up of many different regional economies, but only one +Federal minimum wage across the board. + This is an old model that truly ignores the basic reality +of cost of living differences. The cost of everything from rent +to a carton of milk to a haircut is different from one part of +the United States to another, and our minimum wage should +account for those differences. $1 in Macon, Georgia, is +different than $1 in Roswell, Georgia. And $1 in Roswell is +different than a dollar in San Francisco and New York City. We +need a Federal minimum wage policy that works for rural, +suburban, as well as urban Americans. A $15 minimum wage might +be right for San Francisco, but what about Birmingham? What +about Cleveland? What about Houston and Raleigh? + Jared Bernstein, who served as a member of President +Obama's Economic team and he also held the post of Deputy Chief +Economist at the U.S. Department of Labor between 1995 and +1996, he discussed this very topic in an article that he wrote +for the New York Times, when the Obama Administration proposed +to raise the national minimum wage to $10.10. He wrote: When we +adjust the national minimum wage of $10.10 for regional +differences, these are the amounts you would need to have the +same buying power: $11.94 in Washington, DC. and $11.40 in +California, but only $8.90 in Alabama and $9.08 in Kansas. + My goal is truly to make sure that folks in rural +communities, communities of color, and distressed communities +are not adversely affected by well-intentioned minimum wage +policies that raise the minimum wage to a higher point or to a +point that is higher than the local economies can handle. + Now, we are all in agreement that the minimum wage needs to +be raised to help Americans, but I would like to learn more +about how this will be received in every part of the country. + So, Mr. Zipperer, my question is for you, would the $15 +minimum wage under this bill be applied with any consideration +for differences in local cost of living or is it just one flat +rate across the country? + Mr. Zipperer. The $15 minimum wage bill of the Raise the +Wage Act of 2019 is $15 across the country, but States, cities +if they can, and localities could raise their minimum wage +above that if they desired. + Mrs. McBath. So my followup question is, does the $15 +minimum wage have the same purchasing power in Washington, DC, +that it does in rural parts of the country? + Mr. Zipperer. No, it has different purchasing power in +different parts of the country. But in all parts of the +country, including the cities you mentioned, Houston, +Cleveland, Raleigh, and in rural parts of the country, rural +counties in every State of the United States, workers will need +at least $15 an hour in order to purchase basic necessities +that attain them a modest yet adequate standard of living. + Mrs. McBath. And, Dr. Zipperer, have you heard of the term +``regional price parity?'' + Mr. Zipperer. Yes, I have. + Mrs. McBath. Can you explain its meaning and why it exists? + Mr. Zipperer. Regional price parities are a tool that we +can use to calculate the differences in the cost of living +across different areas of the country. + Mrs. McBath. Last word: I believe that workers in every +part of the country, they deserve a raise, most definitely. So +I thank you for answering my questions. + And I thank you, Mr. Chairman, for holding this hearing. I +hope this is the beginning of what I believe will be very +thoughtful and inclusive discussions about how we can raise the +minimum wage to a living wage for all communities. And I yield +back my time. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentlelady from Massachusetts, Mrs. Trahan. + Mrs. Trahan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for +holding these hearings. Thank you for hanging in with us today. +I know it is a long day to sit on this panel. + I grew up in a family that needed two incomes. My mother, +she juggled multiple part-time jobs while I was growing up, +working more than 40 hours a week and managing to raise us +children. So sometimes, you know, when you are removed from +that, it is easy to forget that it doesn't leave a lot of time +to look for another job. So, Mr. Wise, thank you. I appreciate +your testimony. + Dr. Zipperer, I want to talk about women and families and +the impact that the minimum wage has. Women are nearly two- +thirds of workers paid the Federal minimum wage of $7.25 per +hour. Women are also two-thirds of tipped workers for whom the +Federal minimum cash wage is just $2.13 per hour. + Throughout my career, I have seen the pay gap in action +time and again. Women's overrepresentation in low-wage jobs is +one factor driving the persistent wage gap. Women working full +time year-round typically are paid just 80 cents for every +dollar paid to their male counterparts, and this gap is even +wider for women of color. + Congress has raised the minimum wage only four times in the +past 40 years and enacted the last increase a decade ago. A +woman working full time at minimum wage earns just $14,500 +annually, nearly $5,000 below the poverty line for a mother +with two children. You know all this. + Dr. Zipperer, what do we know about how the minimum wage +would impact the gender pay gap, and what is the evidence from +States on how the minimum wage could impact the gender pay gap? + Mr. Zipperer. That is a great question. It is true that the +minimum wage disproportionately raises wages for women. It +benefits women more than men, and that is because, as you +outlined in your question, unfortunately, our country's economy +pays women excessively low wages. If we were to raise the +minimum wage to $15 by 2024, the majority of workers that would +benefit from that are women. Close to about 58 percent of the +workers who would benefit from a minimum wage increase of that +kind would be women. + The minimum wage has long been an important tool to reduce +gender wage gaps. In particular, the minimum wage has the +strongest effects on reducing inequality for women, in that it +brings up women at the bottom of the pay scale toward the +middle much more strongly for women than it does for men. + Mrs. Trahan. Terrific. Thank you. I appreciate that. + You know, I know my colleague from Michigan asked about +unions and the impact that the minimum wage will have on +unions, but if I could just ask one followup question on his +terrific inquiry. I do believe that unions have built the +middle class. And what should we consider here in Congress--and +if this is a better question for you, Dr. Spriggs, feel free to +jump in. + What should we consider here in Congress to better support +men and women in labor so that all workers see improved +conditions beyond increasing the minimum wage? + Dr. Spriggs. Just as we are having this discussion to +modernize the minimum wage, we need to have discussions to +modernize our labor laws to restore the ability of American +workers to organize. Today, the penalties for violating labor +law are de minimus. It is far cheaper for a firm to fire +workers, to intimidate them, then it is for them to let them +have a voice. It is unfair to have employers engaged in closed +conversations with employees to intimidate them out of their +democratic right to vote about whether they want to be in a +union. + There are a number of other changes we need to make to make +sure that workers will be at the table so that as productivity +continues to increase, workers get to say, where is my share of +the productivity increase, which hasn't happened in the last 40 +years. + Mrs. Trahan. Thank you. Thanks so much for all your +testimony, and I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from New York, Mr. +Morelle. + Mr. Morelle. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for holding this +valuable hearing to discuss gradually raising the minimum wage. +And thank you to the panel and the witnesses for being here +today to share their expertise. + I do want to note, in my home State of New York we have one +of the highest minimum wages in the nation. And I was proud to +support gradually increasing the minimum wage to $15, which is +what it is in the city of New York and other parts of New York. +It is going to be $15 in just a few years, as we deal with some +regional differences. And that happened, I had the privilege of +being the majority leader in the assembly when we do that. And +I look forward to hopefully achieving that here in the Nation's +Capitol as well, to ensure that all Americans working full time +can live safely and sustainably above the poverty line. + If I might, Mr. Chair, I would like to ask Dr. Zipperer if +you would just talk about the studies evaluating minimum wage +increases. Is it your view that raising the minimum wage will +result in negative economic consequences for low-wage workers, +as some have suggested? + Mr. Zipperer. No, it is not my view. I think that the best +studies show that minimum wages have been very successful in +raising the wages of low-wage workers without those negative +employment effects, but you also don't have to take my word for +it. You can just look at the studies published over the last 15 +years and that the average study and the typical study finds +very small to no employment effects. + Mr. Morelle. If I might just followup with you, Dr. +Zipperer, obviously, people have testified it is important that +the Raise the Wage Act have a gradual increase, the cost +adjustment over time, which obviously benefits so that, from a +public policy point of view, 10 years don't go by, 6 years go +by without an increase and you are essentially having to jump +up a considerable degree in a single year. + Have you calculated what the $15 minimum wage, if it were +enacted today, what it would translate to in 5 or 6 years, in +terms of what the adjustment would bring us to? + Mr. Zipperer. Right. So under the Raise the Wage Act of +2019, a $15 minimum wage would be fully phased in by 2024. And +if you account for projected increases in the cost of living +over that time period, that is equivalent to about a $13 +minimum wage today. + Mr. Morelle. Got you. So there obviously would be some +erosion because of the impacts of inflation so $15, as we are +thinking about it in 2024, isn't the same as $15 today. It is +$13. Is that what I understand? + Mr. Zipperer. That is correct. + Mr. Morelle. Thank you. If I could just followup, relative +to that in the purchasing power, I have given some thought to +trying to understand what the historical high point was of the +minimum wage relative to the median wage of the American worker +and, in a sense, what is the $7.25 minimum wage compared now to +that median or typical worker's wages. Do you understand that +question? Could you comment on that? + Mr. Zipperer. Yes. Thanks for the question. So, at the +highest point, the minimum wage in 1968 was close to about 53 +percent of the full-time, full-year workers' median wage at +that time period. Now, the national minimum wage of $7.25 is +about a third or about 32, 33 percent of the full-time, full- +year median wage. + Mr. Morelle. Which is obviously a dramatic, dramatic +decline, more than half. In 1960--what year did you quote, the +first-- + Mr. Zipperer. 1968 is the high point of the minimum wage. +The minimum wage has fallen since 1968 over the last 50 years. +It has fallen in real terms, terms adjusted for the increase of +cost of living, by about 28, 29 percent. + Mr. Morelle. Obviously, dramatic. + If I might, Mr. Wise, and thank you for your testimony +earlier today and for being a part of this. But could you just +describe the challenges that your family would face in your +situation during a family emergency when you had an unexpected +expenditure of an essential? How do you and your family and +others presumably in the same situation, how do you respond to +that? How do you deal with that? + Mr. Wise. Well, first and foremost, it is frightening, +because we are truly one missed paycheck away from being +homeless. So there is no such thing as being sick or having to +call in or a family emergency. Refrigerator breaking down, car +breaks, any of that going out is catastrophic, basically, for +me and my family. So it is just--it is all pure luck, you know, +hoping everything is Ok every day. + Mr. Morelle. And if I could also, Dr. Spriggs, what are, in +your view, the lasting impacts to wage and wealth levels to +regions of the country from the minimum wage coverage +exclusions in the Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938? + And just as a followup, would a regional minimum wage in +2019 lock in income and wealth disparities that were born of +that racially motivated exclusions to the FLSA? + Dr. Spriggs. Thank you for the question. The only example I +can give you of a proposal to do, quote/unquote, ``parity pay'' +is from the Third Way. And when you look at the chart of what +they think are the areas that have these wonderful lives at low +wages because of pay parity, it looks exactly like a +distribution of the Black population. + If you agree to those regional pay ideas, which Congress +debated extensively in 1937 and rejected, extensively in 1966 +and rejected, you won't be accepting a new idea, you will be +cementing an old idea that got rejected twice and you will +create a racial pay disparity. + It will be, once again, America understands the problem, we +are going to pass a labor law that improves the lives of +American workers, and Black workers will be told, the bus is +full when it pulls out. If you do that, that is what you will +be doing. + Mr. Morelle. Thank you for the question. + Just in closing, Mr. Chair and colleagues, I just do note +that I represent a district in New York State, but many people +when they hear the words ``New York'' assume it is metro New +York and the city, where now the minimum wage is $15 an hour. +Despite that, and I live in a community of about a million +people in the Rochester, New York, metro area, Upstate New +York, there were concerns about how the increase in the minimum +wage would impact an economy that is the vestiges of a +manufacturing economy and transitioning. + And despite all the concerns that we heard from people +about raising the minimum wage, it has really been something +that has been greeted largely with support, certainly from the +labor community and from people who are working very, very hard +to make ends meet. And from what I can see, it has benefited +our community greatly, and I certainly hope we pass this +legislation in the Congress and make it the law of the land. So +thank you. + Thank you again, Mr. Chairman. I yield back my time. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + And next is the gentlelady from Washington, Dr. Schrier. + Ms. Schrier. Hi. Good afternoon. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + And I want to thank all of you. I have really enjoyed your +testimony today. + I really appreciate, first of all, Dr. Spriggs, your +comments in particular about tipping, because I was unaware of +that history, and I think that was very eye-opening. + I also wanted to thank you all, but I also appreciate the +clarification about Washington State. That is where I am from. +We are gradually increasing to a $15 minimum wage, and it has +worked well for the State. + The one study out of the University of Washington got a lot +of eyes when that first came out, but it has become clear that +is an outlier study and that for the most part we have done +very well with this. Businesses are thriving, and people are +thriving. + I would also, for people up here who think that $15 is too +much, I would just note that although my district starts in the +suburbs of Seattle, in Seattle proper you need to have a salary +of at least $70,000 a year to afford a one-bedroom apartment. + And so I want to just remind everybody that we are talking +about a minimum, and that $15, as we have heard many times, is +a minimum for the whole country, and there are parts, like +where I live, where you would need far more. + I did have a question to just drill down a little bit on +tips, because I want to make sure that we are taking care of +everybody. + The way that I am wrapping my head around this is I think +about all of the workers in a restaurant, for example, and that +if we have, for example, a $15 minimum wage for the wait staff, +and they get generous tips on top of that, but the chef in the +kitchen is not getting that added bonus and maybe isn't getting +tipped out enough from the wait staff or the host. And so I +want to think through whether there might be unintended +consequences in the social relationships at work. + I also wanted to talk about the difference between when you +have a subminimum wage, you know, $2 or whatever it is, and +then workers are reliant on tips, which to me seems very +tenuous, versus people who are guaranteed that if they don't +make at least 15 an hour that they will have that as a floor +and the tips would be over and the difference in poverty level +between those two groups. + Dr. Spriggs, maybe I will go to you. + Dr. Spriggs. I would like to speak to that first. And thank +you very much for the question because it gets to people who +think this is easy to regulate. + The way that many restaurants run, they either force +pooling of the tips, so that the host who might get a bigger +tip or the waiter who might get the bigger tip can then share +it with busboys. + Some restaurants violate the law because they consider some +back workers who should get a minimum wage. They think they are +supposed to get tipped. It is a nightmare. And when the wages +are pooled, now, at some high-end restaurants, perhaps they let +the staff control it, but many restaurants want to claim the +pool tips are theirs, and then we dole them out to make sure we +meet the minimum, it gets very complicated. + And, yes, the social relations are complicated because time +and again, unfortunately, there is a difference between the +race and gender of these different jobs, and inevitably that +causes a friction in and of itself in terms of who will get +what. + So it is going to be a more fraught problem if the real +minimum goes up and the tip minimum stays down, because the gap +that has to be made up is going to be bigger and bigger and +bigger. There is no assurance that will happen. + And people need to remember that it is not the fancy +restaurants that people in this room go to. The bulk of these +workers are at low wage restaurants. They don't work where the +tip is going to be $25. They work where the tip is going to be +$3. + So it is far more complicated to regulate than people +understand, and this is the true solution. It closes a gender +inequality bigger than anything else we could do to close the +gender inequality when it comes to wage theft sexual +harassment. + Ms. Schrier. Thank you. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentlelady from Ohio, Ms. Fudge. + Ms. Fudge. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. + And thank you all so much for being here. Forgive me. I +have had three committee hearings today, so I have been in and +out. So if I ask you something that has already been asked, +please forgive me. + Dr. Holtz-Eakin, when I was in earlier I heard you talking +about ``these people.'' Who are ``these people'' that you--you +have used the word ``these people'' at least three times while +I was sitting in this room. Who would you describe as ``these +people''? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am not sure what the context was, +Congresswoman. + Ms. Fudge. You were talking about that $15 wouldn't help +``these people.'' So who are ``these people''? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The workers that I am most concerned about +are those with the least skills, education, and experience. + Ms. Fudge. So are they poor? Are they Black? Are they +White? Who are ``these people''? I am just saying that you +shouldn't use it if you don't know what you are talking about. + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I know who I am worried about in the labor +market, and those are the people. + Ms. Fudge. I think it is very insensitive. But neither here +nor there. + Dr. Spriggs, corporations are making more money today than +they have ever made. They are making even more money this year +as they have benefited from the Republican tax scam giveaway to +the richest people in this country. We have also reduced what +they would pay in estate taxes. So we have basically said to +them: Rich people, we want you to get richer. + It is ridiculous to me, knowing that the wage gap is +getting bigger, the wealth gap is getting bigger, that someone +would say to me that because someone makes $15 an hour, there +is no money to pay them. I just don't understand it. + Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am assuming you make more than $15. I +don't want to make an assumption, but do you make more than $15 +an hour? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I assume so. I am not paid by the hour. + Ms. Fudge. If you give me your salary for last year, I will +tell you how much you make an hour. I am sure it is more than +$15. And the sky is not falling. The sky is not falling because +you make more than $15 an hour, and it will not fall if these +people sitting in this room make $15 an hour. + It is just not believable to me that you could say that if +we pay people $15 an hour, everything is going to collapse. You +know what I mean? You have to stop crying wolf. It is not true. +There is no evidence to prove it is true. + What we are doing today is saying that we have the ability +to pay people a decent wage, but we refuse. We have the +ability, but we have not the will. So it is Ok for rich people +to get richer and poor people to get poorer. + I just think it is ludicrous to say that the richest nation +in the world cannot pay people a decent wage. It is +unconscionable, it is mean, and it is cruel. + And with that, Mr. Chairman, if someone would like to claim +the balance of my time. Does someone need my time? + Chairman Scott. You can yield to the gentlelady from +Connecticut. + Ms. Fudge. I will. + Mrs. Hayes. Good afternoon, everyone. I am sorry. I have +been in and out as well, but I have been following the +testimony on the TV screen. I had a couple committee hearings +as well. + First of all, thank you all for being here. Thank you all +in the galley for coming out to support. + Mr. Wise, I am particularly moved by your testimony. And I +hope I can impress upon you that your work is not in vain, that +your work has value. + And what we hear people talk about is that minimum wage +being attributed to people who have the least skill, the least +education. But how about the least opportunity? One does not +impact the other. + I always excelled in school. I always did a good job. But +then life happened. So if you don't have access to those same +opportunities. + I heard one of my colleagues say that he could not imagine +living on $15 in a city like Washington where the cost of +living is so high. How about the reality of living on $7? And I +think that is the conversation that we should be having. + And people are always quick to pick out someone who has +done it as if this is the rule instead of the exception. And, +again, it is just that life happens, and maybe somebody got, +you know, a good opportunity or caught a break. But that is not +the rule. + And then the other thing. I am just listening to all of +you: Well, what have you done? My colleagues are always asking: +Well, what have you done to lift yourself out of poverty? What +have you done? You can go be a truck driver. What if you don't +want to be a truck driver? + Shouldn't you have the right to live out your best life, to +live the future that you want for yourself and not this by- +default position that you are placed in because you are +attempting to survive? + Has your housing cost increased over the last 10 years? + Chairman Scott. The time of the gentlelady from Ohio has +expired. You will be recognized for your full 5 minutes +shortly. + The gentlelady from North Carolina, the Ranking Member. + Mrs. Hayes. Mr. Wise, I am still talking to you. Has your +housing cost-- + Chairman Scott. You will be recognized after Dr. Foxx. + Mrs. Hayes. Oh, I am sorry. + Ms. Foxx. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am interested in the workers who would +be affected by a 107 percent increase in the Federal minimum +wage. + Individuals under 25 years old make up only one-fifth of +hourly workers, but they account for about half of hourly +workers making the minimum wage. Only 7 percent of workers +earning wages between $7.25 and $15 live in poor households. + In your view, is increasing the minimum wage to $15 an +anti-poverty policy? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't think it is an effective anti- +poverty policy. As I mentioned at the outset, it is fairly +poorly targeted on poverty. And in those cases where it +actually does affect the poverty population, the impact may be +negative. + Ms. Foxx. Thank you very much. + Let me follow this train of questioning with you. We had +what many are calling a surge in job creation in January, +304,000 new jobs, nearly doubling expectations. Over the last +year, average hourly earnings rose by 3.2 percent, average +weekly earnings rose by 3.5 percent. And with last month's job +surge, the labor force participation rate ticked up to 63.2 +percent. + There are more jobs than job openings, as you have said and +we have said, more jobs at higher wages, and now people who +have been the most discouraged and on the sidelines are +reentering the work force. + Based on your research and experience, are you concerned +that more than doubling the Federal minimum wage would reverse +these positive trends for workers and the economy? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am very concerned about that. The +research would indicate that is exactly the part of the labor +market that would be most deeply affected. And we are finally +making some progress. It would be a shame to go back the wrong +way. + Ms. Foxx. Great. + You know, I have always emphasized making sound policy +decisions based on evidence. But my husband told me a long time +ago that too many people in elective office make decisions +based on emotions and not on evidence. But as I told him, I am +going to start with evidence always. I can get emotional if I +have to, but evidence is the best way to go. + When it comes to the radical proposal before us to increase +the Federal minimum wage by 107 percent, however, it is hard to +find convincing evidence because the proposed policy change is +so extreme. + Would Congress be making a sound policy decision from an +evidence-based perspective if legislation were enacted to more +than double the Federal minimum wage, impacting businesses and +workers around the country? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. In my judgment, that would be a very +unwise thing for the Congress to do. It is not just the 107 +percent nationwide, which is unprecedented, and as a result, +any of the research that we have that shows negative impacts +doesn't even come close to capturing the impact of that kind of +a change. You also do the indexing at the end of that to the +median wage. That is unprecedented and leads to permanent +incentives to restructure businesses away from having jobs for +that particular part of the labor market. + Ms. Foxx. In your testimony, you note the large job losses +in California and New York due to the recent increases in their +State minimum wages. These job losses may surprise some people +because these areas have a relatively high cost of living and +are high average income States. + What do these States' experiments tell us about what would +happen in other regions of the country if a mandate to impose a +$15 minimum wage around the country was enacted? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I think the lesson of these State-based +minimum wage increases is that there are people who will be +just fine. We do see that. + But the people who are affected are the ones who are +probably the least well-off in the labor market, for the +reasons that I have outlined before; that not all of these +changes come through the stereotype of someone getting kicked +off their job. It is the raise you don't get, the hours you +don't work, the person who doesn't get hired. + And a lot of this is not, you know, the bear at the door. +It is the termites in the woodwork taking out the vitality of +the economy. + Ms. Foxx. Thank you very much. I yield back. + Mrs. Hayes. Thank you, Mr. Chair. + Mr. Wise, back to you. Back to my previous question. Has +the cost of your housing increased? + Mr. Wise. Yes. Yes, it has. + Mrs. Hayes. I heard you talk about purchasing school +supplies for your daughter. Has the cost of those supplies +increased? + Mr. Wise. Yes, they have, over the years. + Mrs. Hayes. Has the cost of food increased? + Mr. Wise. Definitely. + Mrs. Hayes. Have you had to get a prescription for yourself +or your children? + Mr. Wise. Yes. + Mrs. Hayes. Have those costs increased? + Mr. Wise. Yes, they have. + Mrs. Hayes. Ok. + So to Dr.--I am sorry, I can't read your whole name, I am +so sorry, I don't mean to--when you talk about corporations and +the effect that this will have on the economy, have +corporations stalled their price increases to wait for people +who are living in poverty under minimum wage to catch up? If +everything else is increasing except for their wages, are +corporations held to the same standard where they are stalling +to wait for people's wages to catch up? + Mr. Zipperer. If I understand the question correctly, I +think it is the case that businesses in general in this +country, unfortunately, have not paid low wage workers well +without the help of a minimum wage increase. + Mrs. Hayes. So if only 7 percent of minimum wage workers +live in poverty, how could raising those workers to $15 have +the catastrophic effects that we are hearing about? If it is +such a small number, if it is such a small number in the +overall economy and the overall number of workers, I just heard +only 7 percent of minimum wage workers live in poverty, so how +could that small number disproportionately impact the overall +economy if that group is lifted up? + Mr. Zipperer. I don't think that there will be disastrous +effects of a $15 minimum wage. But you might be interested in +hearing from Dr. Holtz-Eakin. + Mrs. Hayes. Yes. I am interested to hear your response. + Dr. Spriggs. I want to help out here. In 1966, when we +expanded coverage for the minimum wage, suddenly 20 percent, 20 +percent of the American work force suddenly had coverage and +protection, which means this is a bigger experiment than what +you are talking about right now and when you think about what +we did. Twenty percent of the entire American work force had +not been protected. We raised their wages from $0.80, because +on average that is what they made, to $1.60. + Mrs. Hayes. I was here for that. + Dr. Spriggs. We doubled it. + Mrs. Hayes. Yep. + Dr. Spriggs. And yet, employment did not fall. And in those +states that had no State minimum wage employment did not fall +because those States would have been the ones most impacted. + So the evidence, the experience, the real experience, not +some theoretical experience, the actual experience of the +American people in the work force was when we doubled the +minimum wage, which 61 percent of Republicans voted for, and +gave 20 percent of these workers access to protection, poverty +went down. Their employment did not go down. It was helpful. +And it got the Black poverty rate for children down to 39 +percent, the lowest it was until 1994. + Mrs. Hayes. Thank you. I guess, Dr. Spriggs, you would do +well to answer the next question. + When we talk about the improvement in the economy and the +jobs numbers goes up, every month we hear about all of the +people who have entered the work force, does this include +minimum wage workers around the country? + Dr. Spriggs. Yes, it does. + Mrs. Hayes. So that number, although we are talking about +more people are employed, does not accurately reflect an +increase in living conditions, our communities improving, +because although people are employed, it does not sound like +they are at a livable wage. + Dr. Spriggs. That is correct. And increasingly, it has been +difficult for us to deliver lower poverty levels simply from +higher levels of employment and from economic growth. When we +disconnected the minimum wage from a living wage and you look +at the poverty, this is why it took from 1969 to the 1990's to +get Black child poverty back down below the level it was in +1969. + Mrs. Hayes. Thank you. Thank you so much. + And I guess the last thing I would say is, with all due +respect, the fact that you don't know how much you make or what +that translates to over a specific amount of time is more +telling than anything else you could ever say, because I bet +you every single person in this galley knows exactly how much +they make. They know exactly how much they will lose if they +are late, if they don't show up, if they call out, if it is a +holiday. They know exactly to the penny what that means for +them and their family. + I have been them. I know what that feels like, and that +should be all you need to know. + Mr. Chair, I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentleman from Indiana, Mr. Banks. + Mr. Banks. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + There has been a lot of focus today on how this proposal +will destroy jobs, and rightfully so. You have already heard a +lot about the NFIB study, but another recent study using the +methodology of the Congressional Budget Office found that this +proposal would cost my home state, the State of Indiana, 64,130 +jobs in 2020 alone. + This isn't just a number. That is nearly 65,000 Hoosiers +losing the dignity that comes from having a job and being able +to provide for themselves and their families. At a time when we +have nearly 7 million jobs that cannot be filled, it is +incredibly reckless to rob people of their livelihoods in order +to live up to a campaign talking point. + I have heard from local business owners in my district who +believe this legislation would have a disastrous effect on +their ability to grow and hire Hoosiers. One business owner who +runs a number of local franchises conveyed to me that +approximately 25 percent of his staff would need to be cut to +account for this proposal. He would also be forced to raise +prices in his restaurants by 2 to 4 percent just to stay in +business. + Another constituent of mine who owns a number of +restaurants as well and employs nearly 250 people told me that +the tipped wage provisions of this bill would force him to cut +half of his staff just to stay afloat, along with across-the- +board menu prices as well. Think about that. Anywhere from one +in four to one in two workers unemployed who are then forced to +pay higher prices after losing their jobs. + And as if that wasn't bad enough, there is evidence that +this will actually reduce income for low wage workers. By +making labor more expensive, fewer workers will be hired, and +the ones that do keep their jobs will work fewer hours, which +translates into lost income. + And, in fact, that is exactly what we saw in Seattle. The +city of Seattle recently, as you know, increased the minimum +wage to $15 an hour. And a study from the University of +Washington found that this reduced the number of hours worked +in low wage jobs by nearly 7 percent and lower take home pay +for low wage workers by $74 a month. That is right, the minimum +wage increase actually resulted in lower overall wages. + Now, I take personal offense to this conversation as well +because in high school and college, my folks didn't have enough +money to pay for my college degree. So I worked low-wage, +minimum wage jobs to be able to save up for college and make +ends meet. So this conversation reminds me of just how +important jobs like these are to those Americans who are +hopeful to 1 day pursue the same American dream that I have +been able to live in my life. + So, Dr. Holtz-Eakin, can you expand on the insights of +these studies from the University of Washington, the NFIB +study, the Congressional Budget Office statistics, specifically +how minimum wage laws actually can reduce the income of low +wage workers? + Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am happy to, Congressman. + First, in the interest of clarity, none of these studies +indicate that overall employment in the economy is at a +decline. The economy will continue to grow. There will be fewer +jobs created than otherwise would have been. That is the nature +of the loss. Those jobs are going to be concentrated in a +particular part of the labor market, which is the low wage, low +skill, little experience part of the labor market that you +started out in. + And the adjustments that businesses of all sizes will be +forced to make will be either to charge higher prices or cut +their labor bill somehow, and that means cutting back on +raises, cutting back on hiring, cutting back on hours of work. +And if you are one of those people who is lucky enough to +maintain their job, but is not getting a raise and getting +their hours cut, you could end up with less income. + Mr. Banks. Another study suggests that 2.3 percent of the +American workers actually receive minimum wage or work in +minimum wage jobs. And of those 2.3 percent, most of them are +under the age of 25, which reflects upon the story that I have +lived as well. They work those jobs to pursue something better, +the proverbial American Dream. + I am struck at the outset of this hearing, Dr. Zipperer +admitted--he conceded over and over again, although not on +the--we can debate the scale, but he conceded over and over +again the negative impact that proposals like this would have +on low-wage workers all over the United States of America. + This conversation is concerning to me. It is concerning to +not just business owners in my district but those who work in +jobs like these. It would have a disastrous effect. + And with that I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + I yield to myself for 5 minutes. + Dr. Spriggs, do you know if the poverty rate is connected +to the minimum wage at all? + Dr. Spriggs. It no longer is connected to the minimum wage, +though when Congress formulated the minimum wage they clearly +had the intent that workers would not have to say: ``I hope to +1 day get to be poor. I hope that 1 day I will get a raise so I +can get up to the poverty level.'' That is what Congress was +trying to avoid. They wanted work to have dignity. And everyone +agreed, Republican and Democrat, that should be an American +principle. So no longer-- + Chairman Scott. So increasing the minimum wage will not +affect the poverty rate? + Dr. Spriggs. It would not affect the poverty rate because +there is little evidence that it would create a sufficient +inflationary force that the poverty level would go up. As the +Congresswoman said, it is not enough workers, and it is not a +big enough part of cost. And as the Congresswoman was +suggesting, if CEO pay goes up and that doesn't affect cost, if +profits go up and that doesn't affect price, as she was saying, +prices went up without wages going up, so why should we think +that if wages go up that would happen? + Chairman Scott. I just wanted to correct that for the +record, because there was a suggestion that if we increase the +minimum wage, we would be affecting the poverty rate. We would +just be affecting how many fewer people would actually be poor. + You say on the uniform Federal minimum wage, why that is +important. If you had a subminimum wage for some States that +didn't apply or a region minimum wage that was lower, would +some States be able to attract businesses by bragging about the +fact that you could underpay your workers? + Dr. Spriggs. There will be an attempt, I am sure, for some +States to brag about it as they do brag that they are not +union, that they do brag about other weak investments. So I am +sure that some States may wish to brag that, yes, we pay our +workers less. + Chairman Scott. You had a chart that showed the support for +increasing the minimum wage amongst Republicans. Are there any +Republican States or States that are considered Republican +States that have recently voted to increase its minimum wage by +referendum? + Dr. Spriggs. Yes. Several of the states are states headed +by Republican Governors who through public referendum have +shown that this is something that the American people agree +with, and they think it is part of their standard. + So whether it is the efforts in Arkansas or the efforts in +some other States, Florida has raised its minimum wage, we have +had a number of victories in red States because of the people +you see with these red shirts and the efforts of organized +labor and the efforts of Americans of all stripes who +understand this is the right thing to do. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + And, Dr. Zipperer, a lot has been said about job loss, and +we found a couple of studies that have suggested that there +would, in fact, be job loss. Overall, of all the studies done, +what is the conclusion drawn? + Mr. Zipperer. Overall, the recent set of scholarship over +the last 15 years finds that on average the minimum wage does +not have negative effects on employment but, in fact, raises +wages for low wage workers. + Chairman Scott. What is the importance of making the +increase in the minimum wage gradual rather than all at once? + Mr. Zipperer. It is important to allow employers time to +adjust to the new higher wage standard. That is why past +Federal increases and other State and city level increases +include a gradual path to their ultimate minimum wage standard. +So raising the minimum wage gradually to $15 by 2024 as time +passes and the cost of living increases, that is equivalent to +raising the minimum wage to roughly about $13 today. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. And can you say a bit about the +demographics of who minimum wage workers are and their +likelihood of actually spending the increase? + Mr. Zipperer. Yes. So low wage workers are actually an +incredibly diverse population. They are mostly women. They are +more likely to be people of color, more likely to be Black or +Hispanic than White workers. They are likely to be low wage. + If you were to raise the minimum wage to $15 by 2024, the +average age of who would get a wage increase, the average age +would be about 35 years old. Most low wage workers are not very +young at all, primarily because so few teenagers work to begin +with. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + My time has expired. I would ask unanimous consent that a +letter led by the National Employment Law Project and co-signed +by 500 worker organizations be entered into the record. Without +objection. + [The information follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. I remind my colleagues that pursuant to +committee practice, materials for submission to the hearing +must be submitted to the committee clerk within 14 days +following the last day of the hearing, preferably in Microsoft +Word format. Materials submitted must address the subject +matter of the hearing. Only a member of the committee or an +invited witness may submit materials for inclusion in the +hearing record. + Documents are limited to 50 pages each. Those longer than +50 pages will be incorporated in the record by way of an +internet link that you must provide to the committee clerk with +the required timeframe, but please recognize that years from +now that link may no longer work. + I want to thank our witnesses for your participation today. +What we have heard is very valuable. Members of the committee +may have additional questions, and we ask the witnesses to +please respond to those questions in writing. The hearing +record will be held open for 14 days to receive those +responses. + I remind our colleagues that pursuant to committee +practice, witness questions for the hearing must be submitted +to the majority staff or the committee clerk within 7 days to +allow ample time for witnesses to respond. Questions must +address the subject matter of the hearing. + Thank you. + And that concludes the first panel. We will have a 15- +minute break before the next panel. We expect votes presently. +And as soon as the votes are over, we will return for the +second panel. Thank you. We are in recess. + [Recess.] + Chairman Scott. The committee will come back to order. We +will now introduce the second panel. + Ms. Vanita Gupta is president and CEO of the Leadership +Conference on Civil and Human Rights, the Nation's oldest and +largest civil rights organization. Ms. Gupta is an experienced +leader and litigator who has devoted her entire career to civil +rights work. Before joining The Leadership Conference, she +served as Acting Assistant Attorney General and the head of the +U.S. Department of Justice's Civil Rights Division. + Ms. Simone Barron has been a full service restaurant +employee for nearly 33 years. She has worked in several cities +across the country, including Indianapolis and Chicago, and has +lived and worked in Seattle for the past 17 years. + Ms. Kathy Eckhouse is founder and co-owner of La Quercia, a +producer of artisan cured meats made with nonconfinement, +antibiotic-free, sustainable raised pork from family farmers in +the Midwest. Based in Norwalk, Iowa, the company produces +products that are sold throughout the U.S. and Canada. + Michael Strain is the Director of Economic Policy studies +at the American Enterprise Institute, AEI. He oversees the +institute's work in economic policy, financial markets, poverty +studies, technology policy, energy, economics, healthcare +policy, and related areas. + Professor Michael Reich is Professor of Economics at the +University of California, Berkeley, where he is also the co- +chair of the Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics. The +professor has published over a dozen books and over 120 papers +and in the past decade has authored numerous policy and +scholarly studies on living wages and minimum wages. + Representative Paul Brodeur is serving his fifth 2-year +term in the Massachusetts State House representing the +residents of the 32d District in Middlesex, just north of +Boston. + He was the House Chairman of the Joint Committee on Labor +and Workforce Development during the 2017-2018 legislative +session. He was successful in convening negotiations between +labor unions, religious organizations, community groups, +business trade groups, and employer advocacy organizations to +reach a landmark agreement which, among other provisions, +raises the state's minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2023. + We appreciate all of the witnesses for being here today and +look forward to your testimony. Let me remind the witnesses +that we have read your testimony and the testimony in full will +appear in the hearing record. Pursuant to committee rule 7(d) +and the committee practice, each of you is asked to limit your +oral testimony to a 5-minute summary of your written Statement. + Let me remind the witnesses that pursuant to Title 18 of +the U.S. Code, Section 1001, it is illegal to knowingly and +willfully falsify any Statement, representation, writing, +document, or material fact presented to Congress, or otherwise +conceal or cover up such a material fact. + Before you begin your testimony, please remember to press +the button on your microphone in front of you so it will turn +on and members can hear you. As you begin to speak, the light +in front of you will turn green. After 4 minutes, the light +will turn yellow to signal that you have 1 minute remaining. +When the light turns red, your 5 minutes have expired, and we +ask you to wrap up. + We will let the entire panel make their presentations +before you move to member questions. When answering a question, +please remember to once again turn on your microphone. + We will start with Ms. Gupta. + + STATEMENT OF MS. VANITA GUPTA, PRESIDENT AND CEO, THE + LEADERSHIP CONFERENCE ON CIVIL AND HUMAN RIGHTS + + + Ms. Gupta. Chairman Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and members +of the committee, my name is Vanita Gupta, and I am President +and CEO of The Leadership Conference on Civil and Human Rights, +a coalition of more than 200 national organizations working to +build an America as good as its ideals. Thank you for the +opportunity to testify here today about the minimum wage. + The Leadership Conference strongly supports H.R. 582, the +Raise the Wage Act of 2019. Gradually raising the Federal +minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2024, indexing it to median +Federal wages, and ensuring that all tipped workers, working +people with disabilities, and young people get paid at least a +full minimum wage is essential for working people to cover +basic expenses like housing, food, transportation, childcare, +healthcare, and other necessities. + Congress has not raised the Federal minimum wage of $7.25 +hour since 2007, and the tipped minimum wage has been stuck at +$2.13 an hour since 1991. + First, the Raise the Wage Act of 2019 is a step in the +right direction toward closing the gender pay gap. In a 2018 +report that we prepared with the Georgetown Center on Poverty, +we found that nearly half of working people in our country are +paid less than $15 per hour, 55 percent being women. The +National Women's Law Center and the National Employment Law +Project have noted that women of color are more likely than any +other group to be paid the lowest wages. + Second, on the tipped minimum wage, it is really important +to note its history. Before the Civil War, tipping was largely +frowned upon in the United States, but after the war the +practice of tipping proliferated, and at that time the +restaurant and hospitality industry hired newly freed slaves +without paying them base wages. The effect was to create a +permanent servant class for whom the responsibility of paying a +wage was shifted from employers to customers, and having to +depend on tipping put African-Americans in an economically and +socially subordinate position. + The Fair Labor Standards Act then established a bare +minimum floor for tipped wages only in 1966, and it increased +to $2.13 an hour in 1991, still leaving tipped workers earning +far below their basic needs. + Third, as with the tipped minimum wage, the subminimum wage +under Section 14(c) of the FLSA that allows people with +disabilities working in segregated settings to be paid less +than the minimum wage leaves this already vulnerable community +that much more vulnerable to poverty and exploitation. + I previously served as head of the Justice Department's +Civil Rights Division from 2014 to 2017, where I oversaw the +Disability Rights Section. In 1999, in Olmstead v. L.C., the +Supreme Court held that under the Americans with Disabilities +Act unjustified institutional isolation of persons with +disabilities constitutes discrimination. And, unfortunately, 20 +years after Olmstead and almost 30 years after the passage of +the ADA, too many people with disabilities spend their time in +segregated workshops or day programs with some paid just +pennies per hour. + While in theory segregated settings provide job training +and experience to people with disabilities and help them find +regular employment in their community, the reality is that too +many remain stuck in segregated settings for years. + Cases that the Department of Justice investigated to +enforce Olmstead's community integration mandate illustrate the +deep concerns with 14(c) employment, and one of those cases +involved Oregonians with disabilities, people like Gabrielle +who dreamed of saving up money to buy a home, who assembled +nut-and-bolt kits and knee pads in a sheltered workshop for +$100 to $150 per month. And after the settlement, she began +working as a grooming assistant at a dog daycare earning more +than $9 an hour. And as she told a local media outlet, ``I feel +better about my life, and I ended up buying that house.'' + Some states and localities have taken action to raise the +minimum wage, and while these States and localities should be +applauded, Federal action is needed to establish a higher +universal floor for wages. The Leadership Conference opposes +prevention laws that allow states to prevent cities and +counties from raising the minimum wage and proposals like a +regional minimum wage that could be misused by employers and +further calcify racial and gender inequities. + At the 1963 March on Washington for Jobs and Freedom, one +of the founders of The Leadership Conference, Black labor +leader A. Philip Randolph, noted, ``Nor is the goal of our +civil rights revolution merely the passage of civil rights +legislation. Yes, we want accommodations open to all citizens, +but those accommodations mean little to those who cannot afford +them.'' + Working people should be allowed to live with dignity and +have the dignity of a fair paycheck, and that is what the Raise +the Wage Act of 2019 would do. And I want to thank you for the +opportunity to testify at today's hearing. + [The statement of Ms. Gupta follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + Ms. Barron. + + STATEMENT OF MS. SIMONE BARRON, SEATTLE, WA + + + Ms. Barron. Good afternoon and thank you, Chairman Scott +and Ranking Member Foxx, for the opportunity to testify today. + My name is Simone Barron. I am the mom of a smarty-pants +teen boy. I am a semi-professional actor, and I have worked in +the full-service restaurant industry for nearly 33 years. I +have worked in several cities across the country, including +Indianapolis and Chicago, but I am coming to you today from +Seattle, Washington, where I have been a tipped worker there +for the past 17 years. + Today the minimum wage in Seattle is $15 an hour, and it is +supposed to be a paradise for employees like myself. Instead, I +am watching my income drop as the mandated wage rises. As I +have learned that Chairman Scott has proposed to raise the +Federal minimum wage to $15, I am here to tell you to, to warn +you, and to share with you my experience as a full-service +restaurant worker living in a city with a $15 an hour minimum +wage. + To understand my predicament, you first must need to +understand my industry a bit. Control over my earnings is one +of the biggest perks of working in the restaurant industry. The +harder I work to show hospitality to my guests, the better my +tip, and that is an average of 20 percent that I can garner on +about every bill. + The standard tipping model also has a cost of living +increase built into it, too. As the cost of goods go up, menu +prices go up, and so do my tips. + Contrary to the rhetoric of my industry's critics, I am not +forced to rely on tips. I have been able to thrive on tips. +Historically, in short four-to 6-hour shifts, I can earn $25 to +$50 an hour, and that is enough to make a life for myself and +my son. + In Seattle, the rapidly rising minimum wage has upset this +beneficial arrangement. Without getting into the nitty-gritty +details, you should know that Seattle is one of a handful of +locales in the country that doesn't count my tips toward my +hourly wage. What this means in practice is that the pressure +other businesses are feeling under the 15 is magnified in full +service restaurants. + Things have started to change in Seattle in our industry in +ways that have negatively affected workers like myself. At my +restaurant, it was the loss of tipping. As 15 went into effect, +some restaurants made the decision to change the tipping model +either in favor of a flat stagnant wage or replaced with +service charges to substitute for tipping. + The math on that is pretty simple. If you are forced to +give a raise to tipped employees who are already making +hundreds of dollars a night in tips, where does the money to +pay for it come from without a huge jump in prices. Well, my +employer, who is a leader in our restaurant community, took +away tip lines and went to a service charge model in order to +keep his restaurants sustainable for as long as possible. + Service charges are a mandatory charge to a guest that must +be filtered through the employer and in which the employee +receives a percentage instead of a customer tip. In my case, I +receive only 14 percent of my sales from a 20 percent service +charge on a bill. So from a $100 sale, I receive $14 on my +paycheck as a salary commission instead of the $20 or more in +cash tips that I could have received before. The other $6 is +then retained by the house to be paid out to support other team +employment costs and benefits like insurance and vacation. + The few dollars an hour increase in my minimum wage doesn't +cover the loss of income because of not receiving tips. Under a +service charge model, it is less about how I use my knowledge +and skills to maximize my income. I am no longer bothered to +give excellent service to receive that tip but must instead +sell you the most expensive item on the menu to make the sale. +The minimum wage increase has literally changed my job from the +art of service to a routine sales job. + I used to work four shifts a week and made enough money to +raise my son, pay my rent, go to school, and be part of a +vibrant arts community. With the cost of living skyrocketing +and the impact of the minimum wage increase on my income, I had +to get a second job and work 6 days a week. + I couldn't sustain that pace. Now I worry every month about +paying my rent, and this is a worry that I never had until the +minimum wage increase impacted my job. I have had to give up my +passion for acting, I no longer can take trips with my kid in +the summers, and my smaller income all goes to bills. All my +time goes to picking up just one more shift. + I have many friends who have lost their jobs because of the +rise in the wage. And these are not people of privilege. These +are working folks, people who have invested in their jobs, +moved up ladders through experience and education, worked hard +to grow their jobs, only to lose their jobs because of a policy +forced on their employers. + My friend, JW, is one of those. He worked his way up from a +busser to a sommelier over years of experience but lost his job +because the restaurant he worked closed in Seattle because of +the minimum wage increase. + My friend, Ritu was excited when she opened her pizza +place. As an Indian female business owner, she was proud that +all of her hard work and experience had led her to a place +where she could be an owner. After the increase, she closed +because she could not make the numbers work. + And these are just two of several dozen stories. + Now, I understand the typical arguments for legislating +higher wage rates, and I especially understand that in Seattle, +where the cost of living is incredibly high, but there is no +free lunch here. Under our minimum wage increase, tipped +workers are losing our incomes and moving backward to $15 an +hour. And I would happily trade my gig in Seattle for the +golden days in Indianapolis, a so-called low-wage market, where +I wouldn't be working more for less and watching my financial +stability whittle away as the minimum wage rises. + Unfortunately, if Chairman Scott's one-size-fits-all bill +is passed, I won't even have that option to consider. + Thank you, and I would be happy to answer questions. + [The statement of Ms. Barron follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + Ms. Eckhouse. + +STATEMENT OF MS. KATHY ECKHOUSE, OWNER, LA QUERCIA, NORWALK, IA + + + Ms. Eckhouse. My name is Kathy Eckhouse. I am the co-owner +with my husband of La Quercia in Norwalk, Iowa. We make award- +winning cured meats, like prosciutto and pancetta. We source +exclusively from family farms in the United States, primarily +in Iowa and Missouri. I strongly support raising the Federal +minimum wage to $15 by 2024 as called for in H.R. 582 because +it will be good for businesses, workers, and our economy. + We founded our business in 2000 and by 2004 we were able to +build our own production facility. We started with just +ourselves and now have 60 employees. Our products are sold +across the United States and Canada in large grocery chains +like Hy-Vee and Whole Foods as well as independent shops. + We have always paid a livable wage, and that is an +important factor in our success. We are a meat processor, a +generally low-paying sector of the economy. We have been +committed from the start to true sustainability and livability +in our work chain from the farmers to our employees. + Our starting hourly wage for production staff is $12 to $14 +an hour, depending on experience. The cleanup crew, which works +a later shift, gets a $2 an hour premium. Anyone with us for 2 +years or more is currently making at least $16 to $17 per hour +plus a quarterly bonus equivalent to a week's wages. We also +provide paid time off, paid maternity leave, and other +benefits. All our employees work full-time year round. + The Raise the Wage Act does not call for a quick jump to +$15. It calls for gradually raising the minimum wage to $15 by +2024 which will give businesses time to adjust and experience +the benefits of higher wages. + Reduced turnover is one benefit. High employee turnover is +common in low wage industries. Turnover is costly for a +business in terms of both money and time, requiring advertising +open positions, screening applicants, training, and onboarding. + Employees new to our operation or any operation are less +productive. It takes at least 3 months for an employee to learn +our particular processes and be efficient, even those who +worked in meat processing plants before. It takes a year for +true proficiency. We see more waste, more downtime, and more +inefficiency on our production line with newer staff. That is +costly. + In addition, not spending time on a constant cycle of +rehiring and training frees us to look beyond the day to day to +innovate and grow our business. It encourages employees to be +part of that process, too, as they develop new skills and +techniques and familiarity with our work. + A minimum wage that covers the basics like rent, groceries, +and transportation reduces turnover, reduces employee stress, +and allows them to be more focused and productive at work. + It also has a broader societal impact. When businesses pay +wages that are not enough to live on, the costs of necessities +get partly shifted to the community at large, the taxpayer- +funded government assistance programs and food banks, for +example. It also means that our business is subsidizing the +profits of low pay competitors. + This is not a fair or efficient way to run an economy. +Workers in one business are the consumers for another. Minimum +wage increases put money in the hands of people who will spend +it. Increased wages mean increased consumer spending. + My home, State of Iowa uses the Federal minimum wage floor +of $7.25, as do 20 other States. In 2017, Iowa enacted a law +that blocked cities or counties from setting higher minimum +wages, and it is unlikely that Iowa will raise our state +minimum wage ahead of the Federal. We need a Federal increase +to ensure that wherever people live and work in Iowa or around +the country and whoever they work for, they can at least meet +their basic needs. + For 80 years, the Federal minimum wage has set the national +wage floor. I do not support a regional approach to the Federal +minimum wage. Nobody should receive a geographical penalty on +their wages. + Raising the minimum wage is not a threat to business. +Inadequate wages are, weakening the consumer demand that +businesses depend on to survive and grow. The minimum wage is +the floor in working people's lives and should enable a minimum +standard of living that workers and businesses can build on, as +we have. + This is why I have joined with businesses across the +country to call for raising the Federal minimum wage. It is +time to get moving to $15 by 2024 to help businesses, workers, +communities, and the economy to thrive. + Thank you for having me today, and I am happy to answer +questions. + [The statement of Ms. Eckhouse follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. Thank you. Dr. Strain. + +STATEMENT OF DR. MICHAEL R. STRAIN, PH.D, DIRECTOR OF ECONOMIC + POLICY STUDIES, AND RESIDENT JOHN G. SEARLE SCHOLAR, AMERICAN + ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE, WASHINGTON, D.C. + + Mr. Strain. Chairman Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and +members of the Committee, thank you for the opportunity to be +here today to discuss raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 +per hour. It is an honor. Congress should not increase the +minimum wage to $15 per hour. The benefits of doubling the +minimum wage would accrue to middle class households while the +cost would be borne by workers with relatively fewer skills and +less experience. + It is already difficult enough for workers without a +college education, workers trying to get their start in the +labor market, and more vulnerable workers, including the +formerly incarcerated, to find jobs. Congress should not erect +a barrier in their paths in order to legislate a raise for the +middle class. + Increasing the minimum wage to $15 per hour would very +likely result in significant reductions in employment. For +context, consider the Congressional Budget Office's analysis of +President Obama's proposed $10.10 minimum wage. CBO found that +would cost half a million jobs. Importantly, CBO also found +that the extra earnings generated by a $10.10 minimum wage +would accrue to households above the poverty line. Three +dollars out of every $10 of extra earnings would go to +households earning more than triple the property line, while +only $2 in every $10 would go to the working poor. Fully $8 in +$10 of extra earnings generated by the $10.10 minimum wage +would go to families in the working and middle classes and not +to the working poor. + CBO's analysis then highlights several important tradeoffs +for minimum wage increases. First, they reduce employment while +raising earnings. Second, most of the benefits of increases go +to families that aren't in poverty, while most of the costs are +borne by the least-skilled and least-experienced workers in the +labor market. These tradeoffs are only more severe for a $15 +minimum wage, because $15 is such a high-wage floor. + It is hard to overstate how high this wage floor would be. +Over half of all workers in Mississippi and Arkansas make less +than $15 an hour. In 20 States, half of all workers earn less +than $17 an hour. Nationally, around one-third of workers, one- +third earn less than $15 per hour. + Given how many workers earn at or just above $15 per hour, +a $15 wage floor would be extremely disruptive to the labor +market and would likely cause significant employment reductions +and other unintended consequences. It is hard to forecast with +confidence how severe employment reductions would be, because a +$15 minimum is so far outside our evidence base. But research I +have done studying previous minimum wage increases finds that +larger increases produce disproportionately larger employment +reductions. In other words, if employment fell by X percent +when we last increased the minimum wage, my expectation is that +employment will fall by more than X percent as the minimum wage +goes higher and higher. + The productivity of workers, the additional revenue they +are able to generate for their employer for each hour they +work, is the primary determinant of their wages. Why would a +firm pay a worker $15 per hour when that worker is only +generating, say, $9 in revenue for every hour he or she works? +If a firm paid this high minimum wage to that worker, it would +be losing money every hour he or she worked. Businesses can +absorb and have absorbed minimum wage increases through +channels other than reducing employment, but they can only cut +profit margins so much or raise the prices they charge for +goods and services so much higher. + Doubling the Federal minimum wage will leave many with no +choice other than to cut jobs. This is particularly true if +Congress indexes the minimum wage to median wage growth or to +any other measure of price or wage inflation. Research I have +done shows that preventing the value of the minimum wage from +eroding over time through indexing leads businesses to reduce +employment more than they otherwise would. My research finds +the magnitude of employment reductions is three times more +severe in the presence of indexing. + Raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour sends us into +unchartered waters. It is imprudent. It is a very risky gamble, +with the employment opportunities and livelihoods of the least +skilled, least experienced, and most vulnerable workers in the +United States bearing the risk. There are better ways to help +the working poor than a policy that risks putting so many of +them out of work. Thank you. + [The statement of Mr. Strain follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. Thank you. Dr. Reich. + +STATEMENT OF DR. MICHAEL REICH, PH.D., PROFESSOR, UNIVERSITY OF + CALIFORNIA, BERKLEY, CA + + Mr. Reich. Thank you, Chair Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and +the other members of the committee, for the opportunity to +testify today about the Raise the Wage Act of 2019. + I want to begin--and this is not planned--by talking about +Amazon. Amazon announced last October it was going to raise its +minimum wage for all its workers--temporary, seasonal regular, +250,000 workers in the United States--to $15 an hour. It was a +substantial increase, even in rural areas and in low-wage areas +of the South. These are for the big warehouse centers that they +maintain. + This was a good business decision by Amazon. It has not +disrupted those local labor markets, those rural labor markets. +In fact, Amazon, the only disruption I guess is that Amazon got +850,000 requests for a job at Amazon, quite a large number, +reducing their recruitment and retention costs. + I wanted to make five points or touch on five points. Well, +rather than say what they are I will just go through them, +because I don't have enough time to do the prelims. First of +all, the increase from $7.25 to $15 is over 6 years, is +surprisingly smaller than it might appear. First, $15 in 2024 +is about $13 or $13.33 in 2019 dollars, depending on which +price series and forecast you use. + Second, entry-level wages in unskilled jobs in our low-wage +states, not just in high-wage states, in our low-wage states +are already near or above $9. We heard some testimony, some +comments earlier today to that effect in North Carolina. And +those wages are going to go up anyway, 3 percent per year has +been the forecast that was mentioned. That would bring you to +$10.50 anyway by 2024. + So an increase from $10.50 to $13 is about a 30, 35 percent +increase, 5 percent per year. That is well within the range of +previous experience. If you want to calculate it another way, +you could say that the increase from $9, the entry-level pay +today, to $13.33 is a 48 percent increase. That sounds high, +but it is over 6 years, so it is about 8 percent per year. By +comparison, most of the 140 or more State and Federal minimum +wage increases of the past 35 years have averaged between 6 and +9 percent. Some of the citywide minimum wage increases have +been as high as 28 percent in a given year. + Now, 5 years ago, many minimum wage experts, including +myself, told officials in Seattle and Los Angeles that a $15 +minimum wage would be a bold experiment into unchartered +territory. In 2019, however, we have the early results from +many recent minimum wage experiments. These include States like +California and Massachusetts that are $12 an hour, New York +City that is at $15, San Francisco is at $15, Seattle is at $15 +and so forth. So the increase in real wages from H.R. 582 +actually does lie within our historical experience. That means +that the studies that researchers have done does provide a good +roadmap to what the likely effects are going to be. + Now, I want to emphasize that the studies that minimum wage +economists have done have really changed in their findings over +the last 30 years, especially in the last 10 years and even in +the last year. Increasingly, we find very small effects of +minimum wages on employment. It is really important to be up to +date when doing a review of this literature. And these new +studies are of better quality, they have better data than the +old ones, and they have been influential. + In 2015, a panel of prominent economists put together by +the University of Chicago Booth School of Business asked the +panel what would be the likely effects of a $15 minimum wage? +This was in 2015. An overwhelming majority did not think it +would have a substantial negative effect on employment. Since +then, we have had further improvements in our research methods +and the datasets that we can use to study the effects of +minimum wages. + These newer studies really supersede the estimates from the +old ones. It is just not Ok anymore to rely on these very old +studies. We now, for example, have excellent estimates of the +effects on all jobs. Our older studies used to look at teens +and restaurant workers, and we would then try to guess how many +workers would be affected throughout the labor force. CBO just +took a guess at that in 2014. + What do these studies tell us? Well, I review the +literature in detail in my submitted testimony. In one +sentence, I would say the new studies indicate that a $15 +minimum wage by 2024 will work as it was intended to, that is +intended to, increase pay, will have minimal to no adverse +effects on employment. + I have to say, of course, that I have been a participant, +an active participant in doing these studies. My most recent +one looked at minimum wages in six cities that are the pioneers +in going above $10 all the way. By 2016, they were $13, which +is the equivalent of--well, it is higher than what $15 would be +in 2024. And those included some low-wage cities or low-cost +cities like Chicago as well as San Francisco and Seattle and so +on. And we found, a very careful study, that it did not have +any effect on restaurants' employment. + Why does the minimum wage have such small effects? We are +also making progress on that front. Labor demand might fall, +that is true, but automation is really overrated. A lot of it +has already happened. It is going to happen anyway, because +technology costs are falling. Don't blame the minimum wage for +the good effects of automation. Labor supply has not been +mentioned very much, but labor supply of low educated workers +is going to increase, especially those who have young children +and high child-- + Chairman Scott. Summarize the rest of your testimony. You +are about a minute and a half over. + Mr. Reich. I am not following what you are saying. I still +have a minute and a half, right? + Chairman Scott. No, you are over a minute and a half. + Mr. Reich. Oh, my God. Ok. I will bring it to a close. All +right. I will bring it to a close. + I will just say very briefly that there are price +adjustments that will occur that are pretty small that could be +handled by most industries. Individual businesses can't +understand how much the prices are going to go up, because they +are just an individual business. But these costs are changing +for all businesses, and when you do the math, simple math, you +find very small price increases. The latitude to increase +prices is more limited in manufacturing, but we have already +lost all or most of our low-wage manufacturing. + And then we are going to have an economic stimulus, because +there will be more consumption demand. The effects will be +greater in the low-wage cities--low-wage states, I am sorry. +And the low-wage States will have a more educated, more +healthy, and a bigger work force. So I would say, contrary to +the fears that some people have said that you have to look only +at cost, in fact, the effects are going to be much better in +the low-wage States. + Thank you. And apologize for going over. + [The statement of Mr. Reich follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. Representative Brodeur. + + STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE PAUL A. BRODEUR, ESQ., STATE + REPRESENTATIVE, 32ND MIDDLESEX DISTRICT, COMMONWEALTH OF + MASSACHUSETTS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES + + Mr. Brodeur. Good afternoon, Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member +Foxx, and members of the committee. + My name is Paul Brodeur, and I have the honor of serving +the residents of Melrose, Wakefield, and Malden in the +Massachusetts State Legislature as their State Representative. + I wish to share my perspective on the success we have had +in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts confronting the problem of +wage stagnation while creating a stronger economy by increasing +our minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2023. Two years ago, under +the leadership of our Speaker, Robert DeLeo, I was appointed to +serve as the House chair of the Joint Committee on Labor and +Workforce Development. + The Commonwealth faced significant challenges. Despite +historically low unemployment rates, income inequality was +growing. New jobs were being created at a promising rate, but +overall wage growth remained stagnant. Like you, our committee +held extensive hearings and heard many hours of testimony. The +statistics and expert testimony were compelling, but I was +particularly struck by the stories we heard from Massachusetts +workers and their families. We heard from single moms and dads +that were working multiple jobs, teens who helped their +families make ends meet, and families who have been working +paycheck to paycheck for generations. + We also heard from employers who care deeply about their +workers, but were concerned about the impacts on their +businesses. In particular, middle-skilled jobs went unfilled, +which limited their business growth. And we heard from folks +who want to get ahead, who want the training and skills to move +out of low-wage jobs but cannot, because they do not have the +time, energy, or money to seize those new opportunities. + In response, our committee convened negotiations among a +broad coalition of community organizations, religious groups, +labor unions, and representatives of businesses, both large and +small. Ultimately, we were successful in passing into law a +bipartisan bill, which improved the financial stability of +working families in the Commonwealth within a robust Statewide +economy. Here is what shaped our efforts: We knew from our past +experience that previous increases to our minimum wage had +produced economic gains for workers while unemployment +decreased and business confidence increased. + Looking forward or projecting ahead, the Massachusetts +Budget and Policy Center testified that nearly one-quarter of +Massachusetts workers would benefit from an additional gradual +increase in our minimum wage, and that this would include +nearly one-fifth of all working parents in Massachusetts. We +also knew that these working families will spend their +additional income on our main streets and in our downtowns. +These observations of our past experience, coupled with +projections based on sound economic principle, led us to +raising our minimum wage. + During our deliberations, we considered a regional minimum +wage, but rejected implementing one. We found it is very +difficult to draw those lines, particularly when geography is +not a clear indicator of cost of living. Locking certain +regions of our State into lower wage status by using regional +wage boundaries would detract from our hard work in investing +in and revitalizing those cities, towns, and neighborhoods that +needed help the most. + Similarly, we rejected the creation of a training wage or +teen minimum wage. Now, we all agree on the importance of +getting that first job. It can be an incredible learning +experience and can be a foundation for lifetime success. +However, the testimony we heard and the statistics we reviewed +told a more complicated story about teen employment. + Teen workers are responsible in Massachusetts for nearly a +fifth of household income amongst our poorest families. These +teens are not merely working a summer job for extra spending +money, but they are functioning as breadwinners for their +families or earning money to further their education. Creating +a complicated training wage system that few would use or a teen +wage that would push other low-wage workers, including seniors, +out of the job market was inconsistent with our goal of helping +working families. + So, contrary to what you may think, Massachusetts isn't +populated exclusively with elitist, wealthy, Ivy Leaguers. We +are a diverse state of financiers and family farmers, laborers +and lawyers, researchers and entrepreneurs, blue bloods and +blue-collars. We have a proud history of tackling hard problems +by working together to solve them. Finding a balance between +these diverse and often conflicting interests was at the +forefront of our work in raising up the minimum wage. + I appreciate the opportunity to address you today. I thank +you for the opportunity, and I am available to answer any +questions you might have. + [The statement of Mr. Brodeur follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you. + We will now recognize members in the order of appearance +this morning, and the first one is Representative Adams of +North Carolina. + Ms. Adams. Thank you, Mr. Chair, and thank you, Ranking +Member. And thank you all for your testimony and for being here +today to our second panel of witnesses. + We have been here a while and we have had I think a lot of +testimony and certainly testimony to the fact that poverty +level wages don't instill dignity. That is the first thing I +want to say. Equality makes dignity, and dignity demands a job +and a paycheck that lasts throughout the week, and I am quoting +Dr. Martin Luther King on that. + I am glad that we split today's hearing into two parts, +because I don't think enough is said about the positive impact +that raising the minimum wage has on our economy as a whole. +Too often we view economic progress as a zero-sum game where if +workers win, employers lose. But our economy is built by +consumers. The more money Americans have in their pockets, the +more they can spend on the goods and services that American +businesses produce. So don't take my word for it, a consensus +of economists say the same thing. + And with that, Mr. Chair, I want to enter into the record +two letters, both from the Economic Policy Institute, one from +Senior Economist and Director of Policy Heidi Shierholz, and +the other signed by a collection of over 100 of our Nation's +leading economists. + Chairman Scott. Without objection. + [The information follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Ms. Adams. All of these individuals are in support of the +notion that a $15 minimum wage is beneficial to our economy and +is long overdue. + Ms. Eckhouse, you state in your testimony that when workers +have more money in their pockets, they spend it. Why is it +that--so why is it that it is so important for a business, +including a business like yours that does not sell directly to +consumers? + Ms. Eckhouse. Thank you for your question, Congresswoman. + One thing that is very important to us is, of course, what +we make is sold to be eaten, and people need to be able to buy +it so that they can enjoy it and we can continue as a business. +So that is the first element. People have to have money in +their pockets to buy food, and we make food. That is one thing +that we do. + The other thing that is important is that if people in our +employ or in other companies' employ have more money, they can +do things like purchase goods and services in their +communities, and that is really important. + Ms. Adams. Ok. Everybody has to eat, and we heard this +morning from laborers, workers who are in the fast food +business and other businesses who have a difficult time trying +to make the ends meet for their family. + Professor Reich, the research and the testimony of Ms. +Eckhouse clearly makes a compelling case that increasing the +minimum wage boosts consumer spending. What about savings? + Mr. Reich. First, I think her argument is borne out by a +number of studies from the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston that +show that the bigger the wage increase, minimum wage increase, +the more consumer spending goes up. I think people who are +making the minimum wage, most of them aren't saving, and +probably most of their income, most of their increased income +goes to items like food, to buying a used car. + The other effect that it has is on improving credit scores. +And if you improve credit scores, you know, you have much lower +interest rates and you can borrow. So ultimately, maybe it will +get you to savings, but I don't think at $15 we are talking +about a lot of savings. + Ms. Adams. Ok. Can you make the argument that raising the +minimum wage allows individuals and families to make +investments that provide long-term sustainable returns? + Mr. Reich. Well, first of all, I think people who are +struggling to make ends meet every month--and that isn't just +people who are below the poverty line, it is many people who +are above the poverty line. The Federal Reserve just did a +survey showing about one-third of Americans couldn't meet a +sudden $400 financial requirement. One-third, that is a very +large number. + Anyway, people who are struggling on a day-to-day level +like that aren't--you know, they are having a hard time being +organized. They are having a hard time getting their kids to +school, getting their cars to work, dealing with all the +disruptions that everyday life has. And so I think if they want +to, you know, be able to invest in training and education, it +requires more income. Often it requires more time, you know, +being able to work. + Ms. Adams. Ok. Thank you very much. + Mr. Chair, I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. Ranking Member Foxx, do you want +to be recognized? + Ms. Foxx. Would you recognize Mr. Comer? + Chairman Scott. Ok. + The gentleman from Kentucky, Mr. Comer. + Mr. Comer. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + And, Ms. Barron, I really appreciated your testimony. The +minimum wage is often talked about as a policy to help low-wage +or lesser skilled workers, but you didn't seem to fit in either +of those categories. You are earning a good living-- + Ms. Barron. I do, yes. + Mr. Comer [continuing]. in the restaurant business. But +that was because of your skills and your work ethic-- + Ms. Barron. Yes. + Mr. Comer [continuing]. and your experience. Seattle's $15 +minimum wage did not appear to help you. Would it have been +better for the city of Seattle to just not do that and not try +to help you? + Ms. Barron. I didn't ask for the help. I was doing just +fine. We don't have a tip credit in that city, and that is +another reason why it just is not working out. + Mr. Comer. That is my experience. I was a state legislator +for 11 years in Kentucky, and I look back from a historical +standpoint and there were a lot of bills that passed with good +intentions but had unintended consequences. And I want to say +it sounds like a policy that was supposed to help workers now +appears to be doing the opposite in Seattle. + As we are considering a legislative proposal to radically +increase the Federal minimum wage and eliminate the tip credit, +what would you want us to take into consideration, based on +your experience? + Ms. Barron. I would say take into consideration tip credit +for sure. I mean, that is one of the reasons why tipped workers +in Seattle are having a hard time now. The tip models are +changing, and we are losing money. And, you know, I lose money +on a daily basis under a service charge, which is something +that is going citywide now. + And so I would say you have to look at this whole +situation. It is a one-size-fits-all deal, and it doesn't fit +everything. So please, you know, look at it a little closer. + Mr. Comer. And I couldn't agree more that one size does not +fit all, because the economy in Washington State is +significantly different than the economy in rural Kentucky, +where I represent. So I appreciated that. + Dr. Strain, as you noted in your testimony, there are large +regional differences in cost of living and average income. +Obviously, the cost of living in Seattle is significantly +higher than it is in Monroe County, Kentucky, where I reside. +Can you elaborate on how a $15 minimum wage may result in +disproportionate job losses in regions that have lower cost of +living and lower average incomes? + Mr. Strain. Yes. In addition to those differences, there +are also differences in the existing minimum wages. Some States +follow the $7.25 Federal minimum. Other States have +significantly higher minimum wages. And, you know, the +important thing to consider is how big of a shock will this be +to the employers of low-wage workers? + There are many businesses who will see the cost of +employing minimum wage workers double. There are some +businesses who will see the cost of employing minimum wage +workers not double, but go up by 50 percent or something like +that. And it stands to reason, and the evidence bears out, that +the larger that shock and the larger the increase, the harder +it will be for businesses to deal with that without reducing +employment. + Mr. Comer. And I will say again what I said in the first +segment of testimony this morning. I believe that we are in a +position in America now where we are finally starting to see +wage growth. I think it is a result of policies over the last 2 +years from a regulatory standpoint and from a lower taxation +standpoint. Hopefully, we won't do anything to deter the job +growth that is being created just from the market. There is a +shortage of workers. It is basic supply and demand. + So I appreciate you all's testimony. Thank you, Ranking +Member Foxx, for letting me ask questions. + And I yield back, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Oregon, Ms. +Bonamici. + Ms. Bonamici. Thank you, Chairman Scott. + And to the witnesses, I apologize I was not here to hear +you present your testimony, but I certainly have reviewed it. I +think it is important to keep in mind as we have this +conversation about the Raise the Wage Act, which I am proud to +support, that the increase is phased in. It is not all of a +sudden. And also, low-wage workers spend their additional +earnings. They go right back into the local economies. + Ms. Gupta, in your testimony, you talk about how over 31 +million children, two out of every five children live in +households with at least one working person earning less than +$15 an hour. Can you talk a little bit about how--because we +talked a lot about the wage earners, but can you talk a little +bit about the children and how these low incomes affect them, +their health, their education as they are growing up? + Ms. Gupta. Yes. Thank you, Congresswoman, for the question. +Everyone should be paid fairly, including young people. And +some young people working--some young working people I should +say currently being paid the lower youth subminimum wage, they +are also students. Some of them are the sole family wage +earner. We heard from Mr. Wise this morning, who talked about +his own experience being the main provider for his family and +being unable to do so on the existing minimum wage. + The National Employment Law Center notes that of the 18-and +19-year-olds that are enrolled in college, 70 percent are +working. And so that is why we have to be paying attention to +the role that young people play in their families. For many of +them, they really are, you know, mainstream supporters and +earners for their families and have a lot of other obligations. + Ms. Bonamici. So it is fair to say that the children who +are being raised by parents making less than minimum wage are +affected as well. It doesn't just affect the wage earner; it is +affecting their families and their children as they are growing +up, because they might not have the food and resources and +healthcare they need. + Ms. Gupta. Absolutely. + Ms. Bonamici. And also, Ms. Gupta, I want to get a couple +questions in. Oregon is one of those States that prohibits +employers from paying tipped workers a subminimum wage. I said +this morning I was surprised to find out that there were other +states that allowed a subminimum wage. Research demonstrates +that workers in the seven States that have eliminated +subminimum tipped wage continue to receive tips from customers. +Businesses have not suffered hardship. + In your testimony, you discuss the origins of the tip +minimum wage, which are intertwined with the history of slavery +in this country. Why do some states still continue to allow it +and who would benefit from gradually phasing it out, as +proposed in the Raise the Wage Act? + Ms. Gupta. Well, the civil rights history I think or the +history of the tip minimum wage is crucial to understanding why +States need to move away from it. The reality is that poverty +rates for people who work for tips are more than twice as high +as rates for working people overall. And the people most +affected are women of color, low-wage earners. The median +annual income for tipped workers of color is $14,300. For black +working people, it is even lower at about $12,900 per year. + And as we noted, tipped workers have not received a raise +in 28 years, but the actual racial impact and the gender impact +of the current policies in states that have frozen the tip +minimum wage for so long really disproportionately impacts +women of color in families. + Ms. Bonamici. Thank you. + And, Dr. Reich, thank you for your testimony. The most +recent increase to the Federal minimum wage a dozen years ago +did not address inflation rates, or in my State of Oregon, we +indexed to inflation, based on the CPI. + And I wonder if you could talk a little bit about how $15 +in 2024 does not equal $15 in today's dollars. When you adjust +past increases to the Federal minimum wage for inflation, how +does the Raise the Wage Act compare? Based on your research, +can you address projected effects on employment? + Mr. Reich. On employment? Well, first, the question on +indexing, there are about ten states that index their minimum +wages, and I couldn't find any difference on the employment +effects in the states that do and the states that don't. + The States that do index and have for a long time, like +Washington and Oregon, are actually a very interesting research +topic, because in the rest of the country the real minimum wage +has fallen where there hasn't been indexing and it stayed at +$7.25. So you see an increase in the minimum wage, but then in +the subsequent years the real value decreases. So, you know, +are we really observing an increase in the minimum wage when we +look at those events? In the index states, we do see those +events. So I think that is--and in those states, we don't see +negative effects on employment from indexation. + Indexation means that there is a planful, you know, +approach to the minimum wage each year, which means a small +couple of percent increase rather than the kind of sawtooth +pattern that we have, we have big increases every 10 years or +so followed by long periods where we don't. + Ms. Bonamici. Thank you. + And I yield back. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentleman from Kansas, Mr. Watkins. + Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + Dr. Strain, you bring up the fact that there is a lack of +international evidence regarding the effects of doubling +minimum wage. In fact, you explained how States who increase +their minimum wage are taking on a gamble. Now, I asked for +international comps because I have lived outside the U.S. most +of my career. I have been to about 75 countries, and I have +never seen a country with more economic opportunity and more +freedom and a chance to advance as the United States. + So my question is, why is there a lack of international +evidence that might compare to what this committee is +considering today? + Mr. Strain. Well, I think it serves to highlight how major, +how big of a decision this would be for the Congress. There are +not countries that have gone up to a level like $15, because +$15 is a very high wage. There is a reason why in the United +States only until very recently no states had gone up to $15, +and there is a reason why the Federal minimum wage is less than +half of $15. + Mr. Watkins. Can you think of any other nations in +particular that might have come close? + Mr. Strain. I think Great Britain is around $12 or so. + Mr. Watkins. All right. That is all I have. + Thank you, and special thanks to Ms. Barron. I really +appreciate your willingness to come and speak with us today. +Your testimony was very moving and you are very selfless. Thank +you. + Ms. Barron. Thank you. + Chairman Scott. The gentleman yields back. + The gentlelady from Florida, Secretary Shalala. + Ms. Shalala. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. + Just to begin, Florida's minimum wage as of January 1st is +$8.46. It does increase with the rate of inflation, but a +living wage in Miami-Dade, in my district in particular, would +have to be almost $13. So I very much support this gradual +increase. + If I could start with Mrs. Eckhouse, I am very excited to +see you, because I get your meat through Murray's. + Ms. Eckhouse. Wow, I am thrilled. Thank you. + Ms. Shalala. I have to disclose that. So I am a big fan. + Ms. Eckhouse. Wow, that is really exciting. Thank you so +much. + Ms. Shalala. I am interested because you are in the middle +of Iowa, obviously in a small--it looks like a small town in +Iowa. Tell us a little about the turnover rate, how long your +employees have worked for you, because I have always been +interested in when you raise wages what that actually does with +turnover and retention. You obviously have done this over a +long period of time. + Ms. Eckhouse. So we opened our plant--we built our plant in +2004 and we opened it in 2005, in February. Our longest term +employees have been with us since then, just a few. And we have +had periods of greater and lesser turnover, but we do have a +lot of loyalty among our employees. They appreciate that we pay +high wage to them, as high as we can manage, that we give them +regular increases in their wage. And we have a lot of other +elements that we offer to our employees in addition to their +hourly wage or their salary. + But we have--we really--given the industry that we are in, +which is the meat processing industry, we have a relatively low +rate of turnover among our employees; and that is, as I said in +my testimony, really critical to us, because, like all +businesses, what we do is unique, but ours is possibly more +unique than others, which I realize is not a grammatically +correct formulation. But really, what we do is unusual and we +need to train people very carefully to do a good job. And it +takes a long time to train them, and to have people walk out +the door because they can get more money somewhere else, that +is damaging to us as a business and discouraging to us as well. + Ms. Shalala. Thank you very much. + Dr. Reich, I have been very interested in your work for +some time, and I am particularly interested in the discussion, +and you are talking to us a little about the offset for minimum +wage, the SNAP program, for example. And that is, by raising +the minimum wage, I believe we would save money on the +Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, because there would +be less people using that program as the minimum wage went up. + Mr. Reich. That is right. I looked at not just the rules, +which say that there is a ceiling above which you are no longer +eligible for the SNAP program, and that it is not really--or to +mix my metaphors up, I guess, it is not a cliff. You don't fall +off it all of a sudden. It is a gradual decline in the food +stamps that you get. And when I compared that across states +with different minimum wages and try to make everything else +controlled so that it was a controlled experiment, we found +that, indeed, higher minimum wages led to lower food stamp +expenditures as well as food stamp enrollments. + Ms. Shalala. I appreciate that. + Mr. Chairman, just raising, increasing the minimum wage in +my State of Florida to $10.10 per hour would decrease SNAP +expenditures by $290 million. So when we talk about raising the +minimum wage, we have to look at how it would offset certain +Federal programs and actually create an offset that would be +significant for the Federal Government. + Thank you. I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Idaho, Mr. +Fulcher. + Mr. Fulcher. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + I think my question is best geared toward Dr. Strain. In +our State of Idaho, approximately 65 percent of our commerce in +the tax receipts come through what would be considered a small +business or ag-based economy. And I just try to look at this, +and I understand what my good colleague from Florida just +mentioned about the potential offsets with Federal programs, +but that is taxpayer money as well. If we take that minimum +wage to $15 in our State, where does that money come from? + Mr. Strain. Well, the money comes from smaller profit +margins for businesses that can continue to employ workers. The +money comes from employing fewer workers and finding more cost- +effective ways for businesses to conduct their operations +without workers. So one obvious example of that is switching +from human cashiers to automated kiosks and things of that +nature. + You know, there is no kind of magic source of money for +these things. When Federal regulation says that you can't pay a +worker less than $15 an hour, businesses take that as a given +unless they break the law. And, of course, there is a +nontrivial rate of subminimum wage payments. The higher the +minimum wage goes, the more of a problem that will be. + But businesses take that as a given and then decide whether +or not it makes sense to hire the next worker. And the concern +is that businesses will decide it does not make sense to hire +the next worker. + Mr. Fulcher. Thank you. So in our situation potentially as +policymakers, we would need to go into this understanding that +part of the calculus, part of the result, part of the impact of +implementing this would be that we are knowingly redistributing +that revenue from one party to another, because what I am +hearing you say is that the prices would have to go up or they +would have to figure out how to put cost down in some other +area. + Mr. Strain. Yes. One way to think about it in those terms +is that you are taking money away from low-skilled, less +experienced workers and giving it to workers who get to +continue keeping their jobs, who will disproportionately be +higher skilled workers with more experience. And, you know, I +think the position that you are in is to decide whether that is +a good tradeoff. + Mr. Fulcher. Thank you, Dr. Strain. + Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Michigan, Mr. +Levin. + Mr. Levin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + With permission, I would like to submit for the record a +letter from I think 10 or 12--I didn't count them-- +organizations representing disability rights groups, just an +incredible range of groups, the Autism Society of America, +Disability Rights and Education Defense Fund, National Down +Syndrome Congress, supporting the bill. + Chairman Scott. Without objection. + [The information follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Mr. Levin. And, Ms. Gupta, I would like to ask you a +question about this very matter, their letter. The FLSA has a +provision, section 14(c), as you know, that allows individuals +with disabilities to be paid a subminimum wage. As your +testimony States, some are paid as little as pennies an hour. +Why is it important to phaseout 14(c) to ensure all people in +this country are paid a fair wage, as these groups are +requesting? + Ms. Gupta. Thank you, Congressman. Section 14(c) of the +FLSA was actually written at a time when individuals with +disabilities were predominantly housed in institutions and +endured long-term segregation. At that time, there were no +statutory requirements that would support individuals with +disabilities in the workplace, and individuals with +disabilities didn't actually have legal protections from +discrimination. + And when Congress passed the ADA in 1990, it ushered in a +new era, and then the Supreme Court issued their Olmstead vs. +L.C. opinion. And the reality is that people with disabilities +deserve to work alongside friends, peers, and neighbors without +disabilities. They deserve to earn fair wages, to access equal +opportunity for advancement. And the 14(c) of the FLSA has +really locked classes of people with disabilities, particularly +with intellectual and developmental disabilities, into really +degrading subminimum wage and sheltered workshops. + Mr. Levin. And I assume it almost assures their continued +dependence on family or Federal dollars of other kinds to be +able to live and have food and shelter and so forth. + Ms. Gupta. That is right. It has created an increased long- +term dependency and, of course, this also can create deeply +kind of humiliating and personal experiences that make people +with disabilities feel like kind of subhuman. + Mr. Levin. Yes. I have to say, Mr. Chairman, for 4 years I +ran the work force system of the State of Michigan, and one of +the most delightful parts of my job was handling all the areas +that help people with disabilities live independently and gain +employment. And it was probably the area I learned the most in, +but also we really do a disservice to huge swathes of our +population if we say that they don't deserve to earn a basic +minimum wage. So thank you for that. + Dr. Reich, I would like to ask you a question I don't think +has come up that much. And I don't know if there is good +research on this or not, but I feel like these discussions +about the minimum wage lack imagination. And your profession is +famous for lacking all imagination, so maybe it is an unfair +question. + There are profound, profound effects on the economy of +having more money in working people's pockets. Is there +research to show the economic impacts to the restaurant, to, +you know, the local store, to the barber shop, to the auto +dealer when people are making more money in the community, and +what happens, where that money goes and what it does to Main +Street? + Mr. Reich. Thanks for the question. I know of two studies +on spending effects of the minimum wage. One is done at the +Federal Reserve Bank in Chicago, in the research department, +and the other more recently the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. + Both found big spending effects, because people had more +money in their pockets. And the Boston one actually looked most +closely at food--restaurant spending, rather. And it found that +while restaurant prices went up, restaurant sales also went up. +So the prices did not deter people going to restaurants at all. + Mr. Levin. You know, I think that is such a profound point. +I know from my own experience that the restaurant industry is, +you know, is a big opponent of this. And I just think that the +experience in States and cities that have raised their minimum +wage, and when you visit them they have unbelievably thriving +restaurant scenes and high, high employment. + So I really hope that we will pass this bill and we will +allow workers to have more dignity and more self-sufficiency in +our country, and it will actually help grow our economy and +make it more fair. Thank you very much. + I yield back, Mr. Chair. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + The gentleman from Pennsylvania, Mr. Thompson. + Mr. Thompson. Chairman, once again, thank you for this +marathon hearing. + Thanks to all of our panelists that are here. I appreciate +that. I just want to make a comment, then I have got a couple +questions. My comment is, I don't know how many of you have +ever--I spent 28 years before I came to Congress serving +individuals facing life-changing disease and disability. I have +spent a lot of time in supported workshops, supported +employment sites. I spent a career trying to help adapt +equipment, help look at facilitating processes, you know, to be +able to help people achieve a competitive level of work. + And you can do all that, and there are still individuals +with some very severe complex disabilities who you throw by the +wayside by eliminating piecework or subminimum wage, you know, +folks who are just so complex in their disability. But I +challenge you if you have not, where these folks are still +working--and, unfortunately, a lot of them have lost their jobs +and are no longer able to have that sense of accomplishment, +that thing that defines them, the pride that they take. + The coolest place I have ever been is in one of those sites +on payday. And those checks, some of those checks aren't very +large, but you would think that the way they receive it was +like for a million dollars. The self-esteem, the work. + And so before you throw people with complex severe +disabilities under the bus with some type of flawed policy that +ignores the needs of the very, very disabled. We are not +talking about--you know, I worked to help facilitate people +back into life in a full and robust way. I encourage you to +check that out. + Dr. Strain, I want to just--the first question is about the +future of a lot of minimum wage jobs. As I travel around, I am +from a very rural district. You know, I go into grocery stores, +self-checkout counters now. Restaurants, there is no wait +staff, you order on electronically. Gas stations. I mean, all +just kind of a lot of places where--not everywhere, but a lot +of minimum wage jobs that I have heard referenced today, I +mean, they are low-skilled jobs and so technology is +eliminating a lot of those. It is not going to totally +eliminate them, but--and that is really why I look to a ladder +of opportunity. You want people to do better in life, help them +connect with the work that this body has already done, in terms +of career and technical education training, skills-based +education. + Dr. Strain, any thoughts on how the advancement of +technology in some of these settings where we have low-wage +jobs are impacting low-wage jobs? + Mr. Strain. Yes. I think that is an excellent point. The +cost of that technology has been going down over time. And low- +skilled workers, minimum wage workers have to compete more +fiercely in order to have those jobs. A potential risk of +raising the minimum wage at all, much less to $15 an hour, is +that just tips the cost-benefit calculus in favor of those +kiosks and that technology and away from hiring a human worker. + But there is even a more important point than that. Low- +skilled workers, even if they are no longer going to be +employed as cashiers as technology continues to get better and +cheaper, do constitute a pool of available resources for +businesses. And businesses are smart, and they are going to try +and figure out a way to use those workers. + So a $15-an-hour minimum wage not only makes it harder for +businesses to employ those workers today, it makes it much +harder for businesses to figure out how to employ those workers +in the future doing new kinds of jobs that don't currently +exist yet. + Mr. Thompson. Dr. Strain, you note in your testimony that +worker productivity is primarily a factor in wage levels. How +do education and skills development, the skills-based education +factor into productivity? + Mr. Strain. Well, they increase it. So if you are thinking +about productivity is roughly how much revenue can you generate +every hour you work for your firm? How much additional revenue +can you generate for the firm? The more skills you have, the +harder you work, the more education you have, which is a +primary way we transmit skills, the more revenue you are going +to generate, the more valuable you are going to be, the more +firms are going to compete over you and the more your wage is +going to go up in the market. + Mr. Thompson. And we have a skills gap today. And I would +just love, encourage folks to, you know, to check with the work +force investment boards, the different great agencies that are +out there, our community colleges, just the great places where +you can access this type of education. + The Federal Government is supporting that in a way more +than what we ever have in the past with this piece of +legislation that we enacted last year. And I really do think +that is the pathway to greater opportunity. + Thank you, Chairman. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from New York, Mr. +Morelle, is recognized for 5 minutes. + Mr. Morelle. Thank you, Mr. Chair. I will pay particular +attention to the shot clock. I apologize for exceeding my time +earlier today. + Thank you to the panelists for being here. Over the years +in the New York Assembly, I met regularly with the Center for +Disability Rights, a not-for-profit community-based advocacy +and service organization for people with all types of +disabilities. And during my many conversations with the CDR, a +recurring topic was the question of phasing out the subminimum +wage for individuals with disabilities and working toward a +Federal law, to allow those workers to earn the same wage and +not face discrimination on the basis of the discrimination. + Ms. Gupta, if I might ask you, section 14(c), the Fair +Labor Standards Act, allows for individuals with disabilities +to be paid a subminimum wage. It was written at a time when +individuals with disabilities were predominantly housed in +institutions, something that, gratefully, is no longer the case +in many places. There was no statutory requirement, as I +understand it, to support individuals with disabilities in the +workplace, and the individuals did not even have legal +protections from discrimination. + I am just curious, can you describe how our legal framework +has changed regarding those protections and supports for +individuals in all aspects of society and how this does impact +and necessitates the phasing out of 14(c)? + Ms. Gupta. Yes. As you said, Congressman, section 14(c) of +the FLSA was written at a very particular period of our +Nation's history when there really was no legal framework for +understanding discrimination against people with disabilities. +And then when Congress passed the Americans with Disabilities +Act in 1990, it really ushered in a very broad new wave of +protections, kind of a new era for people with disabilities in +our country. + And then the Supreme Court kind of further elucidated the +protections in 1999 in a case called Olmstead versus L.C. and +recognizing I think what was a crucial tenet of the ADA, the +community integration mandate. And it was there in that case +that the court said that the ADA bars unjustified institutional +isolation of persons with disabilities. + And when I was in the Justice Department, although my +predecessor started this, there was a real effort to ensure +that mandate had real meaning in the lives of people with +disabilities and to seek to make sure that where there were +sheltered workshops that were segregated facilities that really +excluded or primarily just focused on employment for people +with disabilities who had little to no contact with people who +did not have disabilities, there was a real effort to ensure +that people with disabilities could work alongside peers and +have equal opportunity to employment. + And that is why we have seen a number of states actually +now, both through litigation but happily through legislative +action, take the charge to end 14(c) and to have a phased-in +opportunity to raise the minimum wage for people with +disabilities. + Mr. Morelle. Thank you for your answer. And actually, you +answered my next question, which related to the conflict with +the 14(c) and the ADA, so I appreciate your comment on that. + Let me just in closing, six states, as you mentioned, have +completed or are in the process of phasing out 14(c). I think +Vermont and New Hampshire have completely phased out. Maryland, +Alaska, Oregon and Rhode Island are in the process of it, and I +understand Hawaii and Kentucky are at least considering it. + Can you just talk about the other benefits individuals with +disabilities experience other than financial benefits from the +phasing out of 14(c) and moving into a competitive integrated +employment setting? + Ms. Gupta. Yes. I mean, so much of what we are talking +about today is really about the dignity of work and people with +disabilities feeling the dignity of being human beings entitled +to the same protections as any other people in this country and +being able to participate in the mainstream economy with people +without disabilities, to have the opportunity, to have equal +opportunity for jobs and housing and the like. + And that this move from the ADA to Olmstead and beyond is +really about ensuring that people with disabilities have equal +opportunity and are not kind of considered, you know, folks to +be segregated out of the mainstream economy. + Mr. Morelle. Very good. Thank you again to all the +panelists for your great work. + Thank you, Mr. Chair. And with that, I ask unanimous +consent to submit into the record a 2018 report from the +National Council on Disability that renews its recommendations +for the phaseout of section 14(c) of the Fair Labor Standards +Act. + Chairman Scott. Without objection. + [The information follows:]Mr. Morelle + National Council On Disability: https://www.govinfo.gov/ +content/pkg/CPRT-115HPRT36713/pdf/CPRT-115HPRT36713.pdf + Mr. Morelle. Thank you, sir. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you. + The gentleman from Pennsylvania, Mr. Smucker. + Mr. Smucker. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. + One of the opportunities I think we have here is to +implement policies that continue to lift more people out of +poverty. I know one of the goals of mine is to try to find ways +that we can give people the opportunity to connect with a good- +paying job and to provide that dignity that Ms. Gupta was just +referring to. + Dr. Strain, I would like to talk about the doubling of the +Federal minimum wage in that context. Some people believe that +doubling the minimum wage is an effective antipoverty policy. +Is that the right way to view it? + Mr. Reich. It is certainly not the way I view it. The +benefits of increasing the minimum wage are that workers' +earnings go up. But if you look at who those earnings accrue +to, they are to households that are not below the poverty line, +on the whole. So it is certainly the case that the minimum wage +is a very poorly targeted antipoverty tool. In addition, the +costs of the minimum wage are borne by workers without a lot of +skills, workers without a lot of experience. Those workers are +much lower income, on average. + And so you have this policy where the benefits go to people +who are further up the income distribution. The costs are borne +by the least-skilled, least-experienced, most vulnerable +workers in society. If your goal is to help out, you know, +middle class households, maybe that is a reasonable tradeoff. +If your goal is to help the working poor, then it is certainly +not, in my view. + Mr. Smucker. Ms. Barron, just to followup to that, +according to the U.S. Census Bureau, about 60 percent of +working age Americans who live in poverty do not work at all +and, therefore, would potentially not benefit from a minimum +wage increase. But, that said, I firmly believe that the vast +majority of Americans desire the dignity of earning that +success and would work for a living if the opportunities +existed. + Based on your experience, do you think that more than +doubling the Federal minimum wage will make it easier or harder +for unemployed Americans to find work and begin to make a +living? + Ms. Barron. In my opinion, I would think it makes it +harder. I mean, we have seen support staff jobs, which are +typically jobs that people who are right out of school take or +people, you know, low-income workers I guess you could say or +just people starting out would take, and those jobs are going +away. + In Seattle, we have a chain called Red Robin, and they +employ a lot of people across the State and across the country, +I believe. And due to the $15-an-hour minimum wage increase, +they went ahead and wiped out all of their support staff. Now, +that is bussers and hosts and food runners and things of that +nature. And these are, again, jobs that, you know, when you are +first starting out of school, I started that way. I started as +a busser. And, you know, you work your way up through that +industry. + So, you know, I think people that are unemployed looking +for jobs to start out in any sort of industry probably are +going to have trouble, if something like Red Robin is an +indicator. + Mr. Smucker. There has been some discussion about teens, +teens entering the work force. + Ms. Barron. Yes. + Mr. Smucker. And my son is 16 years old, has several +different jobs, is, by the way, thrilled with that one job was +$9.50 per hour. But I was part of a presentation recently--I +would just like to get your reaction to this--measuring the +success of people who enter the work force. + And in the view of this presenter, he was showing +statistics that where he believed that having a job during high +school was one of the best indicators of whether someone would +be successful after that. Do you agree with that? + Ms. Barron. I do agree with that. And my son is going to be +turning 16 next week. And, you know, I have raised him since at +a very young age to start to work. You know, whether that is +doing dishes at home or now he currently has a job walking +dogs. + Mr. Smucker. I was speaking to an owner of a restaurant in +my area, a mixed bar and grill, saying that, you know, people +who have been there for some time were earning well over +$40,000 per year and more. And his view, as an owner of a +business who enjoyed providing jobs for teens, said that would +be much more difficult to do if they had to start at $15 an +hour. Do you see that as well? + Ms. Barron. Yes. At the restaurant where I work, we are +trying to hire people now that, you know, have way more +experience. So, again, we don't have those support staff jobs. +So now we have to hire--you know, if we are hiring bartenders +and such like that, we are looking at people that have had a +lot of, lot of experience. And, again, those are hard to find, +because now we are going to a service charge. And so people +with a lot of experience have actually moved out of the city. +So we are seeing people leaving the city, because the minimum +wage increase is impacting how they make their money. + I honestly--I mean, for young kids, I think of myself when +I was 17 coming out of high school. And my mom worked in a +restaurant. She got me a job bussing tables. And I think about +how I worked my way up through the industry, and it has allowed +me to survive and do some of the things that I wanted to do in +my life. And I think about myself at 17, 16 years old, and +wonder about the kids nowadays. Like my son, like I don't know +what he is going to be doing, you know, if he starts in the +restaurant industry. I am trying to tell him don't do that, +but-- + Mr. Smucker. Thank you. + Chairman Scott. The gentlelady from Michigan, Ms. Stevens. + Ms. Stevens. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for +this wonderful day of hearings on a very important topic. And +thank you to our incredible panelists for being here today. +Your testimonies have mattered a great deal. + As someone who was managing a multimillion dollar federally +funded portfolio focused on the future of work in the digital +age of manufacturing in the age of automation before I was +running for Congress and was now in Congress, it is obvious +that the question around the future of work must be undergirded +within our present reality, that the question of our economic +orientation is, how do we choose to value human work and what +are we handing over to automation versus what are we giving to +people. + The question of has a hamburger--excuse me, has a machine +ever been able to buy a hamburger? No, that machine never has, +that we must live in a human-driven and oriented economy. + So I have got four quick questions for Dr. Strain, who I +believe you are, you know, capable of answering these. Could +you answer quickly, what is the yearly income of a person +living in poverty? + Mr. Strain. The yearly income of a person living in +poverty? + Ms. Stevens. Yes. What is our federally indexed rate for +somebody-- + Mr. Strain. It varies, depending on how many children you +have in the household. Say $20,000 dollars. + Ms. Stevens. Ok. And what is the income of a person working +full time at the minimum wage? + Mr. Strain. A person working full time at the minimum wage +is $15,000, roughly. + Ms. Stevens. And do you know how much our Federal +Government spends on SNAP benefits a year? + Mr. Strain. Not precisely, no. + Ms. Stevens. Ok. And so I take it you don't know how many +are working full time who may happen to be utilizing SNAP +benefits? + Mr. Strain. Who are working full time who are utilizing +SNAP benefits? Not-- + Ms. Stevens. Yes, the percentage of our work force. Ok. +Well, we can do that as a question for the record after the +hearing. + So, Ms. Gupta, quickly for me, can you describe for us what +this means to work full time in the U.S. at the poverty rate? +How does this impact a person's access to healthcare, to equal +opportunities? What does this mean for women, and particularly +what does this mean for women of color? + Ms. Gupta. Yes. I mean, this means that women and women of +color are harmed by--there is a pretty significant gender pay +gap, and it targets in particular women of color because they +can't access and won't have as much security around healthcare, +and transportation, and additional money to support their +families. And so there is a lot of--you want me to do this +quickly, so I will just say that women of color in particular +are deeply harmed by these kinds of policies and their ability +to actually enter the mainstream economy. + Ms. Stevens. Well, there is lots of narratives to share +around this important topic, and I appreciate your deep and +thorough testimony that covers this, and thank you for being +here with us today. + Mr. Brodeur, you gave a great testimony, and I come from +the great State of Michigan where increasing the minimum wage +is overwhelmingly popular in my home state. And as I talked +about the future of work in the digital age of everything, it +certainly means a great deal to you, someone who is +representing the largest robust automotive supply chain in the +country. But I would love for you to share a little bit more +about your experience and your work, particularly how did you +see increasing the minimum wage as stimulating or revitalizing +cities or towns across your state? What impacts did that on +your local economies? + Mr. Brodeur. You know, thank you for the question because +Massachusetts, I think, has had a little bit of a different +perspective because we have done what you all started to talk +about doing here in terms of gradually raising the minimum +wage. Starting in 2015, we did a round dollar year minimum wage +increases. We took a year off, and then with the most recent +legislation, over the next 5 years we will go up to $15. + So we do not have the problem that I think is built into +the system you currently have where if you don't raise it, then +it becomes harder to raise it, and then there is an +argumentative that is a shock to the system, so we better not +raise it, so folks get left behind. + What I think is really important for you people to +understand about Massachusetts and why I appreciate the +question is particularly from the morning session. I heard +Boston talked about maybe two or three or four times as, you +know, a wonderful place but a very high wage, high expense +place, and therefore, all of Massachusetts must be the same. +That is not at all the case. We have rural areas, particularly +in Western Mass, that struggle with some of the issues that I +have heard about here today. + In some places, median income is less than half of what is +in Boston. We also have gateway cities. My friend from Greater +Lowell can tell you about Lowell and Lawrence and some of those +surrounding communities that essentially were--were really +industrial dynamos but have struggled a little bit to make the +transition that Boston and Cambridge already have into the +digital economy, the service economy. + So when we thought about how to approach the minimum wage +and how to target things, we viewed it as an opportunity to +raise folks up, to put money into people's pockets so that +those parts of the economy that aren't entirely Boston-driven +will have an opportunity to participate in that success. And +that was part of--you know, we kind of did a lot, quite +frankly, in the last legislative session around raising people +up. + This was an important part of it, but again, we approved +that we needed to give folks the opportunity to invest in +themselves, and really, get off the ground floor, to get +education, to get into some of the middle skilled jobs that we +are desperate to fill in Massachusetts. + Ms. Stevens. Well, thank you for doing that work, and I +yield back the remainder of my time. + Chairman Scott. My distinguished colleague from Virginia, +Mr. Cline. + Mr. Cline. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate everyone's +time today, and I noted with interest the comments of my +colleague from Michigan talking about the industries that are +there. And it is a different economy than the economy of my +State, the Commonwealth of Virginia, and different than +Representative Brodeur's Commonwealth of Massachusetts, another +commonwealth. But we do share similarities in that there are +rural parts and suburban parts that have more robust economies, +more diversified economies. + And so I wanted to start by asking Dr. Strain. The effect +of an increase in the minimum wage on unemployment is fairly +straightforward. You have noted that in your testimony. Is +there an indirect inflationary pressure on the cost of goods +and services in an area, say, rent or other types of products +that an increase in the minimum wage may influence? + Mr. Strain. Yes. So when a business faces an increase in +the minimum wage, they have to absorb that cost somehow. One +way to absorb that cost is by having fewer workers work there. +Another way to absorb that cost is by raising prices. And you +see that when the minimum wage goes up, the prices that +businesses that employ minimum wage workers charges also go up. + This is, you know, kind of a double-edged sword for those +minimum wage workers in that sense because a lot of the +customers of businesses who employ minimum wage workers are low +wage workers themselves. So you give a worker a raise with your +right hand, and then you take it back or some of it back at the +cash register with your left hand. + Mr. Cline. And so those States that are pushing for a +higher minimum wage are adjusting to the cost of living in +their respective States, and I think what you are seeing are +different States facing different pressures. + Representative Brodeur, you may be able to answer this. In +Massachusetts, with regard to a Federal minimum wage, there is +a support for a floor in the wage versus a set dollar amount, +all States shall pay a minimum wage of X. But would there be +any kind of support for an increase in the minimum wage beyond +an adjusted amount that reflected the cost of living? I mean, +would you want to increase the minimum wage if the cost of +living mandated an increase to $15, and you all were given a +choice to increase it to $20? Would that be something that you +all would entertain in Massachusetts, or would you want to +target it more toward the cost of living? + Mr. Brodeur. We just got to the 15 thing, and that was a +big lift, so we would like to take a little bit of time off, I +think. + One thing we did not do is indexing, and I know that is +part of the chairman's bill. And I think one reasons it is part +of the chairman's bill is because what historically was a +bipartisan, well supported kind of regular process where the +minimum wage would go up has become something of a political +football. Quite frankly, that hasn't happened in Massachusetts. + One thing that is interesting about the commonwealth and +our legislature is any bill that is filed gets a hearing, and +every session folks file bills around minimum wage in many +flavors, quite frankly. So it is kind of always on our mind. It +is always a topic of discussion. It is not something we do and +then hope it goes away-- + Mr. Cline. If in a state like Virginia or a state that is +more rural where you may not have the inflationary pressures or +the pressures on cost of living to increase to a full $15 +minimum wage, should a state be able to adjust it to something +less where it maybe more accurately reflects the cost of living +for that state? + Mr. Brodeur. I don't think so, respectively. When I think +back to the original setting of the minimum wage toward the end +of the Great Depression, there was a national floor, and what +we have heard from people that are way smarter than me, both in +this panel and the panel before, is if we kept up with +inflation and productivity, where would that be on the national +level? It would be somewhere between 12 and 18 to 22, it +sounded like. + Mr. Cline. As a former fellow State Representative, I would +rather leave that to the states to make that decision as it +specifically applies to each state's cost of living. + But I appreciate it, and I yield back, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from +Massachusetts, Mrs. Trahan. + Mrs. Trahan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thanks again for +bringing us together to hear this important panel. I am so +proud that Massachusetts--well, I am so proud to be from +Massachusetts for a number of reasons, and it is because of +Senator Brodeur's work not just on this issue but on +healthcare, education, on gun violence prevention. We are one +of the states leading on raising the wage, and for that I am +grateful. + There is no one more well suited to speak before us today +than you, and in terms of what it took, the collaboration and +thinking creatively to get this done. In your testimony, you +talked about the importance of coalition this to pass the grand +bargain that resulted in both paid leave and raising the wage. +I love that your approach was inclusive and truly people +powered, so my question. In your testimony, you mentioned that +it was a strategic decision to invest in the working families +of Massachusetts while also being a positive step forward for +our business community. During that same period, Massachusetts +businesses demonstrated relative stability and growth. + So I am wondering if you can talk about some of the +specific positive feedback that you heard from Massachusetts +businesses in terms of raising wages. + Mr. Brodeur. There was certainly not unanimity of opinion, +and that is why it was a grand bargain. There was give and take +across a range of issues, both within paid family medical leave +which was a more complicated, quite frankly, and challenging +piece to put together because there were so many moving parts +and the minimum wage piece and some other issues. + And we heard from--you know, we talked to folks, you know, +one or two-person operations, folks in my district to some of +the biggest employers in Massachusetts. One thing that everyone +recognized was that both programs were incredibly popular, that +there was tremendous support across the spectrum for the +general idea of both initiatives, maybe not particular details. + You know in terms of the minimum wage, Mass, Inc. which is +an organization that you are familiar that others might not be, +a nonpartisan kind of think tank and polling entity that tested +the waters on how popular or how supportive the public would be +of these things, and they were popular across the board. +Republicans, Democrats, IUndependents all supported it. + So what I think we needed to do, and why it was such a long +process, is we needed to start with paid family medical leave +and some fact-finding and some exploration, and we all needed +to kind of speak the same language and understand what kind of +benefits we were trying to provide, what would actually help +working families, what would be impediments. + And we tried to be respectful of that and listen to what +the business community in certain segments already provided in +terms of wages and benefits and made sure that we didn't +reinvent the wheel, that we didn't take away something that was +better than what might be complemented or implemented under any +particular plan. + And I think that went a long way toward building trust, for +lack of a better way to say it, and having constant +communication, having some significant disagreements for sure +along the way but recognizing that this was coming, and it is +important to working families, it is important to the economy +of Massachusetts, and you know, and then kind of putting the +pieces together. + And it was a humbling process to be a part of because you +don't see a lot of progress on big issues these days, and I +think that is unfortunate, and I don't think that needs to be +the case. + Mrs. Trahan. Yes, thank you. It was a testament not just to +your leadership but I know that the grand bargain was in +concert with our Republican Governor Baker as well as the many +groups that you mentioned. Can you just discuss the +implementation and the timetable for Massachusetts to +transition to the $15 minimum wage? + Mr. Brodeur. I can. So it will be over 5 years, and first-- +let me make sure I get this right. The first 3 years will be a +dollar increase, and then the final 2 years will be $0.75 +increase, ultimately bringing it to 2023. On the tip wage, we +did not eliminate the tip credit, but we did expand. Compared +to some of our peers, we had a very low tip credit. Not as low +as the Federal tip credit for sure, but that will grow over the +same timeframe up to $6.75 when it is done in 2023. + Mrs. Trahan. Great. Thank you so much. Thanks so much for +all of your time. I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Georgia, Mr. +Allen. + Mr. Allen. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and I appreciate +everyone being here today. I come from the State of Georgia who +is the best state to locate your business 6 years in a row. I +was a small business owner in that state, and in Georgia, we +pay the wages according to our employee's skill set. It is a +free market environment, a growing economy that grows job which +grows opportunity which grows wages. We reward a good day's +work. My Democrat colleagues don't want to believe that we can +produce economic opportunity in concert with growing wages +without the government interfering. + Signing the front of the paycheck and providing folks with +a good job has been the greatest honor of my life. That is why +I oppose the Raise the Wage Act. This one size fits all, top +down government regulation will destroy millions of hard-earned +jobs and turn our growing economy and wage growth into decline. +Democrats have focused on economic growth and getting the +American people back to work. Free market initiatives that we +know grow wages and grow jobs. + Dr. Strain, millions of jobs were created by our strong +economy thanks to lower taxes and deregulation. How would +raising the minimum wage to $15 hurt all of these economic +gains we have been able to achieve? + Mr. Strain. Well, I think it is certainly the case that we +have seen the low wage labor market doing a lot better over the +last few years. A hot economy really has benefited that group +of workers. We have started to see wages grow at a more rapid +pace, for example. We have been seeing vulnerable workers, +workers with disabilities, workers who have been incarcerated +getting jobs at higher rates, and this is all wonderful news. + I am very concerned that doubling the Federal minimum wage +will put a halt to a lot of that progress and will really gum +up the works of job creation for workers without a lot of +skills and without a lot of experience. + Mr. Allen. Three hundred and four thousand jobs in January. + Mr. Strain. That is quite a few. + Mr. Allen. Yes. Do you agree that raising prices is not +always an option for many businesses? + Mr. Strain. Raising prices is not always an option for many +businesses, particularly businesses in more competitive product +markets. And again, you know, you have to raise prices quite a +bit to absorb a $15 an hour minimum wage. This is not a $9 an +hour increase we are talking about. This is doubling the +Federal minimum. + Mr. Allen. Right. So how would a business double its rate +of pay and not raise its prices? + Mr. Strain. Well, I think it would be hard for a lot of +them to do that. + Mr. Allen. Which then causes the cost of living to +increase-- + Mr. Strain. Some of those businesses might invest in +technology instead of hiring workers. + Mr. Allen. Yes-- + Mr. Strain. Some of those businesses will-- + Mr. Allen. They are going to figure out a way. Yes. + Ms. Barron, how has the Seattle minimum wage hike affected +your working career? + Ms. Barron. Well, I lose money on a daily basis. It is as +easy as that. + Mr. Allen. Yes. + Ms. Barron. And it is due to my employer having to +navigate-- + Mr. Allen. Yes. + Ms. Barron [continuing]. the higher wage. So he went to +taking away tip lines and going with a service charge. And +under that service charge, I don't make as much as I could. And +there is no way for me to maximize my income with my job, so it +has changed my job quite a bit. It has pretty much stagnated +what I could make. + Mr. Allen. So the government said we are going to raise +wages, and your wages went down? + Ms. Barron. Yes. + Mr. Allen. Ok. Your testimony talks about your friend who +started her own pizza place. + Ms. Barron. Uh-huh. + Mr. Allen. Tell us about that and what happened to your +friend? + Ms. Barron. So my friend Retu, she has been in the service +industry as long as I have. She decided she wanted to try her +hand at being an owner, and she started a pizza place called--I +think it is called Z pizza, And she employed I think about 10 +people, and then the minimum wage came. So she had her business +for about 5 years, and she looked at the books and she said I +can't make the numbers work. And she even went to our city +council and said look. If you want to see, you know, try to +make them work for me because I don't understand. I can't make +it work, and so she just--instead of struggling, she just went +ahead and closed it because she couldn't do it. + Mr. Allen. Ok. Well, thank you so much for your testimony, +and I yield back, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Maryland, Mr. +Trone. + Mr. Trone. First of all, I want to thank everybody for +their long day today, but it is a really important subject that +we are embarked on. Raising the minimum wage is, plain and +simple, the right thing to do for hard-working Americans. We +heard a lot today from many people that have never owned a +business, never been an employer, that raising the wage is bad +for business. + Well, I started a business 30 years ago as an entrepreneur. +I was the first employee. Guess what? I figured out how to make +it work, and now that business employs over 7,000 folks across +America in every region, every area of the country. We also +employ hundreds of returning citizens as they deserve a fair +wage too. But paying a fair wage was not just the right thing +to do. It is the key to our success. The key to our success was +paying a fair wage. + Higher wages lead, we spoke about earlier, lower employee +turnover, reduced recruiting and training costs. But at the end +of the day, happier customers. Ms. Eckhouse, in your testimony +you also connected, and Ms. Shalala was talking about it, +higher wages with lower turnover so the growth of your +business. + Could you talk a little bit about the piece that we don't +touch on enough here, and that is all the productivity gains, +the efficiency gains, the awesomeness of having team members +that know a business and care about the customers, and those +folks stay with you. They stay with you long times, long term, +because they make a good wage, and they have good benefits. So +could you talk about and give us some insights on how important +that is? + Ms. Eckhouse. Well, thank you for your question. It is +really critical to us to have people who work for us, whether +they are working out in the fields selling what we make or +whether they are working at home with us in the plant making +what we sell who really understand what we are making, how it +is sourced, how it is processed in our plant, how it is sent +out in the world for people to consume. + And if they don't understand that, they cannot do a good +job. And once they do a good job, they become invested in the +process. They learn about it. They come up with ideas. If they +have been with us for enough time, they can see improvements +and suggest them to us. So we end up having a business that is +not just a top-down business where we are telling people what +to do. People are able to buildup from the bottom and because +they fully understand the process, and they are invested in +working for us because they can make an income that allows them +to support their families. + Mr. Trone. I think you hit on what is such an important +point that nobody really talks about, and that is a business +isn't run from top down. A business is run on ideas, great +ideas, and that is what makes it success. And when the team +members are empowered, the team members feel like they are part +of the team because they are paid appropriately. They are paid +fairly. That is when they have those insights, those ideas to +make the business more efficient, more productive. + So I commend you on running that type of business. That is +just the right way to do things. + Ms. Eckhouse. Thank you. I really believe that the labor is +worthy of his or her hire, and we have to honor that. + Mr. Trone. Without question. Dr. Reich, you mentioned in +your testimony business can adjust to a minimal wage increase +in several ways. They go from a low wage, high turnover model +or what I chose, a higher wage, low turnover model. I shared +some of my experiences. What does research tell us about how we +quantify, quantify the actual cost of employee churn, employee +turnover? + Mr. Reich. Thanks for that question. I happen to have +published an article on that subject in the Journal of Labor +Economics a few years ago, so--and actually, way back when I +was a graduate student in the 1960's, I developed the idea of +duly labor markets, that labor markets do differ. Some are high +wage, low turnover, some are low wage, high turnover. And this +paper I just published a few years ago actually showed that +when the minimum wage went up that employee turnover went down +quite a bit. + There are other studies that had already shown a +correlation between the wage and turnover. This was really a +study where we felt we had a causal identification. And as to +the amount, well, it varies by industry depending on what the +costs of training are and where the vacancies are. + In low wage industries like restaurants or in certainly big +box retail, turnover each year is over 100 percent. These are +firms that are constantly looking for work. They have very high +vacancy rates. There is a cost of vacancy. This is even more +true when the unemployment rate is very low. And those are big +costs that we don't, you know, talk about in Econ 1, in the +simple supply and demand model. But when we add those costs in, +those are substantial. We think they don't totally--savings on +recruitment and retention costs don't totally offset increases +in the wage costs, but they might offset maybe 20, 25 percent +of it on average, obviously more in some industries than the +others. + We couldn't look at the kinds of points that you are making +about productivity or customer satisfaction so that might +possibly add to that effect as well. + Mr. Trone. Thank you very much. That is all, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The Ranking Member, Dr. Foxx. + Ms. Foxx. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I want to add +my thanks to all the witnesses who have been here today. We +have been here practically all day, and we are going to be here +a little while longer. We have heard a lot of the same +arguments over and over again. + I do think some Democrats, and maybe one on this committee, +understands the free market, how it really works and the +opportunities it creates for Americans from every walk of life. +You know, I grew up in a house with no electricity, no running +water, and I have been working since I was 12 years old. And my +husband and I did run a business, so I know what it is like to +create jobs, to try to keep jobs going, and to meet a payroll. +And I think almost every member of our committee on this side +of the aisle understands that, so I know Mr. Trone isn't +talking about our folks not knowing how to run a business and +what it takes. + But it seems to me that there are people not always +understanding the opportunities that the American way of life +creates for Americans or maybe how smart business owners are in +this country. After all, we have gotten to be a great country +because of the capitalistic system. + But I think the reason we have been here all day and we +have been hearing these points made over and over and over +again is perhaps some of our colleagues are trying to convince +themselves and the rest of us that a socialist campaign talking +point could actually be good policy, but I am not sure it +worked. + So I want to thank our witnesses who have come here today. +I especially want to thank Ms. Barron for giving voice to those +Americans who aren't in lockstep with the labor interests +driving this misguided campaign to eliminate jobs, particularly +you, Ms. Barron, understanding you took time away from your +workplace to be with us here today. + We want to see wages go up for every working American, +every single one, and they do go up for Americans. We are +seeing more wage growth than we have in decades because of the +smart economic policy that has empowered workers. Pushing back +on heavy-handed regulations and giving Americans real tax +reform has opened up opportunity and wage growth that actually +helps American families. + And we know, one of our witnesses has already said, that +employers are already free to pay higher wages than minimum +wage, and it works. And guess what? Other employers understand +that too. The law already allows it. But why do our colleagues +want to force the government to run everybody's life in this +country? The growth we are experiencing right now makes a $15 +Federal mandate look like the political stunt it really is. +Washington doesn't need to be making any more decisions for the +people of this country. + The dysfunction we have all experienced and all commented +upon the last couple of months is all the proof we need that +decisions about worker paychecks certainly shouldn't be up to +anybody in this city. We can spend our time trying to justify +socialist ideas as mainstream, or we can spend our time looking +for ways to put money in people's pockets by their earning that +money and not taking it from one person's pocket and putting it +in another one. We can sustain era of growth and opportunity. +On our side for the sake of American workers, we are going to +stay focused on the latter. + And with that, Mr. Chairman, I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Washington, +Ms. Jayapal. + Ms. Jayapal. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you all for +being here. I know it has been a long day, and we appreciate +it. + I want to just correct the record on a couple of things. I +was on the committee that raised the $15 minimum wage. I am +glad to see one of my constituents here, and I appreciate your +traveling here, although I imagine perhaps you don't support my +position on this issue based on your testimony. I certainly +appreciate hearing from you. + And I will tell you that we heard all of the arguments +through months of testimony about what this was going to do to +destroy the economy in Seattle, about all the restaurants that +were going to close. And we went back through recently all of +the restaurants that came to testify before us, and the +majority of them had actually opened new restaurants, new +restaurants. + And so I will just say that you just need to look at our +booming economy in Seattle to understand that the minimum wage +law has worked and, in fact, we even heard the same arguments +when we indexed minimum wage to inflation back in 2001, that +this was going to destroy our state's economy, that it was +going to create problems. People were going to flee to other +states. But people including, I think maybe Ms. Barron, moved +to Washington State in part because we have a booming economy +and jobs to take. + I also just want to respond to the comment about a +socialist campaign talking point. Let me just tell you that on +our committee was one of the wealthiest capitalists, proud +capitalists in our state, Nick Hanauer, who consistently has +said over and over again that when workers do better, companies +do better. When companies do better, the economy does better. +When the economy does better, workers do better. It is a cycle +that actually works over and over again. + We also had a small business owner, a tremendous number of +small business owners and restaurant owners who have been doing +the right thing for a long time. That included my friend and +local Seattle restaurant owner Makeney Howell. And she said it +best when she went to the White House Summit on Working +Families back in 2014, and she said the economy--this is her +quote. The economy is built from the bottom up, not the top +down. Every job should be an economy-boosting job. + Makeney for years, even before our law went into effect, +would pool her tips and distribute them equitably to all the +workers so that you take away that discrepancy between front of +the house workers who may earn a lot in tips, and there were +some workers who were earning a lot in tips who saw those tips +go down, but it was because it was being shared with people in +the back of the house. + And so these are really important--there has been a lot of +talk about Seattle today, and I am thrilled that is the case, +but let me tell you as somebody who actually helped craft that +law, who was on the front lines of making sure we heard the +testimony, that the testimony that we continue to hear is +simply not accurate. + Does it mean that Ms. Barron is not correct in her wages? +Of course I am not saying that, but I did want to ask you, Ms. +Barron, about the organization that you are affiliated with. It +is called the Full Service Workers Alliance of Seattle. Is that +correct. + Ms. Barron. Correct. + Ms. Jayapal. And are you aware that the FWSA is part of a +group called the Restaurant Workers of America? + Ms. Barron. It is not part of the Restaurant Workers of +America. That is not correct. + Ms. Jayapal. Well, I have the research showing that it is +part of a national network of server groups called the +Restaurant Workers of America. + Ms. Barron. It is not part of the Restaurant Workers of +America. The Full Service Workers alliance is a group that I +cofounded with a friend of mine. We are a loose group of about +1100 full service workers, and that includes front of the house +and back of the house. + Ms. Jayapal. Thank you. Are you aware since you. + Founded the organization, I assume you are, that a former +FSWA member so severely misrepresented his role in the group +and the details of the Seattle Secure Scheduling Law in a King +5 TV news interview that the station's news director was forced +to pull it down. + Ms. Barron. That is incorrect. That is incorrect. If you +watch-- + Ms. Jayapal. Ok. Well, I would be happy to take that +information from you so that we understand because this is what +our research has shown and I wanted to make sure-- + Ms. Barron. Well, your research is incorrect. + Ms. Jayapal [continuing]. that people know what the +organization is. So let me turn to Miss Gupta. The Fair Labor +Standards Act when it was passed excluded certain classes of +workers in a compromise to appease Southern States. Those +workers tended to be women and people of color, and the +vestiges of those policies still impact those communities +today. + Thank you for make the arguments in your opening Statements +that this is actually a women's issue. Can you speak about how +raising the minimum wage would help right some of those +economic wrongs? + Ms. Gupta. Yes. Thank you, Congresswoman. + African American and Latino working women in particular are +overrepresented in low pay jobs and women of color are more +likely than any other group to be paid the lowest wages. +Gradually raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 an hour by +2024 and indexing it to median Federal wages and ensuring that +working people are actually able to cover basic expenses like +housing, food, and transportation would be a huge, huge win for +working people. + Working mothers, especially, are likely to be paid low +wages, and that is why for the leadership conference, +representing a broad constituency of communities of color and +women, this particular bill would go a long way to closing the +gender pay gap but also addressing kind of structural +disparities that are created through racial difference. + Ms. Jayapal. Thank you very much. I see my time has +expired. I yield back. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Texas, Mr. +Castro. + Mr. Castro. Thank you. Perfect timing. So I guess I ask +this question. I just obviously came here from another meeting, +but who has been opposed to a minimum wage increase over the +last few years on the panel? Anybody else? And I guess what has +been your main opposition? + Ms. Barron. I am losing money. I am losing income because +of the $15 an hour minimum wage increase. + Mr. Castro. And do you think that it should be less? Do you +think it should be, like, $11 or just no minimum wage or $6 an +hour? + Ms. Barron. Well, I think I would leave that up to you +folks to determine that, but all I know from my experience is +that I am losing money because of loss of tips, because of the +rise in the minimum wage, and I don't feel that workers' voices +in the full service industry have been represented at all in +this talk. + Mr. Castro. So I guess your point is that you are not +against a minimum wage. You think that $15 is not the right +amount? + Ms. Barron. As everything is proposed at this point in +time, I am finding myself as days go on opposed to the rise in +minimum wage altogether. + Mr. Castro. You would freeze it. + Ms. Barron. Yes. I would like to have a tip credit in +Washington State, and we are not having that conversation. We +are, I guess, not allowed to have that conversation in +Washington State. + Mr. Castro. I guess let me ask you. The reason I ask is the +U.S. Chamber of Commerce for years would not support increasing +the minimum wage, even by a penny. I mean, at all. And I know +that obviously you are in the service industry. Are you a +waitress? + Ms. Barron. Yes. + Mr. Castro. That is different from somebody working at, +say, Whataburger in Texas or somewhere else? + Ms. Barron. Right. + Mr. Castro. So you have been opposed for a while to a +minimum wage increase, even one cent on minimum wage? + Mr. Strain. Yes. I would be opposed to raising the Federal +minimum wage at all. + Mr. Castro. And I guess why is that? So you don't think it +should ever be raised? I mean, 50 years from now it should +never be raised? + Mr. Strain. In my view the primary focus should be on +providing economic opportunity to the least skilled, least +experienced, most vulnerable workers in our society. Those +workers are the workers who will bear the cost of a minimum +wage increase. If you raise the minimum wage by one penny, how +many of them would be worse off? You know, I don't know. Not +nearly as many as if you-- + Mr. Castro. No, but you would agree also that their +expenses go up, the cost of living goes up, people need a +higher wage, right? + Mr. Strain. Another reason to be opposed, another reason +why I am opposed is because there are better tools that +Congress has to help those workers. Expanding Federal earning +subsidies puts more money in the pockets of the working poor +and actually increases employment rather than reduces +employment. + So when thinking about how to help these workers, I think +Congress should look at the full range of options and not only +focus on the option that is going to put a lot of them out of +work. + Mr. Castro. Sir, I guess I disagree with you on your first +point about not increasing the minimum wage, but I mean, you +understand that other people that are opposed to increasing the +minimum wage are also opposed to the subsidies you are +describing. + Mr. Strain. I am only speaking for myself, Congressman. + Mr. Castro. Ok. I think part of the reason that we have +gotten here and part of the reason that there is such +frustration with the income inequality in this country is +because the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and major business +organizations have not taken the lead even though some +companies on their own, including members of the Chamber of +Commerce, have actually raised their own minimum wage on their +own. And it is interesting that is an instance where private +industry has actually been ahead of the main industry group +that is coming to Washington and in their name arguing against +raising the minimum wage by even one penny. I think that-- + Mr. Strain. I don't know-- + Mr. Castro. I am in my comment part here. Thank you for +your answers to my questions. + And I think that this could have been a very different +conversation over the years if different groups and +organizations had worked in earnest and in concert, not even +necessarily with the Federal Congress but with the states and +with their own workers in making an earnest attempt to raise +the minimum wage. + But that has not happened now for decade, longer than a +decade, that those conversations have happened. And so we find +ourselves in a country where income inequality has grown, where +workers have gotten very frustrated, where there is in American +society now, I think, a real resentment at the fact that +people--that you get more and more billionaires in our country, +and you have a lot of people that may have a job but feel as +though they have no future in their work. And that is where we +find ourselves today. + I yield back. Thank you, Chairman. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Illinois, +Ms. Underwood. + Ms. Underwood. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for calling this +hearing, and thank you to all the witnesses for appearing here +today. + I am going home to Illinois 14th tomorrow to hear what our +community has to say about this issue, and I am glad to have +the opportunity to hear from experts like you today. + Mr. Chairman, I would also like to ask for unanimous +consent to submit a letter from advocate Aurora Health in +Illinois for the record. + Chairman Scott. Without objection. + [The information follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Ms. Underwood. Thank you. I think many people don't realize +if you're working full time to support your family right now at +the Federal minimum wage, you are making $15,080 a year. That +is not a livable salary anywhere in America today, and so I +would like to learn more about how gradually raising the +minimum wage can help workers and small businesses. + Ms. Eckhouse, you have been paying a livable wage since you +started your small business almost 20 years ago. In that time, +have you seen the livable wages you pay contribute to lower +levels of turnover, and would you say that this has been better +for your bottom line? + Ms. Eckhouse. Thank you for your question. Yes. We have +seen lower turnover than we might have as expected in our +business, and that has benefited our company. It benefits us in +a lot of ways. We have more knowledgeable employees, we have +more committed employees, and we are all able to work together +to improve what we make. + Ms. Underwood. That is great. And is it your experience +that because you pay a livable wage and therefore have less +turnover, you are able to dedicate more time to growing your +business instead of a cycle of hiring and training new +employees? + Ms. Eckhouse. Yes. That is correct. And our employees are +also able to contribute to better management of our business +because they have been there longer and are more familiar. + Ms. Underwood. And so you would say that paying a livable +wage is an importantly part of your small business's success. +Is that right? + Ms. Eckhouse. Yes, I would. + Ms. Underwood. I am really encouraged by research showing +that gradually raising the minimum wage can help reduce wage +inequality and have a positive effect on women's economic +security, so I really appreciate Miss Gupta's comments. I would +like to just pivot for a second. + Professor Reich, what does the current research say about +the impact on health outcomes? I am a nurse, and so often I +like to ask about the health impact as a result of the increase +in the minimum wage. + Mr. Reich. And thank you for that question. This is a very +new area in my minimum wage research is to look at the health +impacts, and there are about 20 studies, and they are not +unanimous. No economists never are unanimous, so that is not a +negative sign. But there are definitely good studies, high +quality studies that show that higher minimum wages reduce +smoking rates, they reduce obesity, they reduce prediabetic +conditions. + In a study that I have done but I have not yet published, +they reduce suicides. There would be, like, 700 fewer suicides +a year with every 10 percent increase in the minimum wage. + Ms. Underwood. Wow, those really powerful findings. Thank +you. + I appreciate your testimony this afternoon. I do also +recognize it has been a long day and know how important this +issue is for workers, for business owners, and for the future +growth of our economy in this country, so thank you for your +service, and I yield back my time. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. And I recognize myself for +questions. And I would like to begin by responding to the idea +that this is a socialist talking point. I would point out that +Arkansas and Missouri recently by referendum passed increases +in the minimum wage or a similar track to what we are doing in +this bill by votes of well over 60 percent. + Representative Brodeur, who has been helped in +Massachusetts by the minimum wage increase? + Mr. Brodeur. Working families certainly have been. Again, +as I started in my opening remarks talking about we see teens +that are about 20 percent of our teens supplying 20 percent of +the household income, you know, for folks that are really at +poverty level. That is huge, and it leads to, you know, some of +the results that Dr. Reich was talking about in terms of those +dollars leading to better outcomes for families over the long +term. + It has also provided opportunities for folks to again to +advance themselves. Education, we all agree, is the pathway to +success both early ed and an environment where the family is +more stable. Kids have more success, and those young adults +that are trying to get higher ed or a certificate or whatever +the case may be to improve their opportunities in the job +market also benefit. + Chairman Scott. Thank you. + Dr. Strain, in your testimony, you indicated there are +better ways to help the working poor. I think you mentioned the +earned income tax credit. Is that what I understand you are +referring to? + Mr. Strain. Yes, Mr. Chairman. + Chairman Scott. What are the other ways of helping the +working poor? + Mr. Strain. Well, another way is through the child tax +credit which has a refundable component that can go to support +low-income Americans. Another way is to expand education and +training programs. I think apprenticeships offer a particularly +promising path forward to building worker skills which will +allow them to be more productive and command higher wages. +There are many, Mr. Chairman. There are many. + Chairman Scott. If you could supply those for the record +after the hearing, I would appreciate it. + Mr. Strain. Of course. + Chairman Scott. Professor Reich, the 2014 Congressional +Budget Office study showed a significant job loss. I understand +there have been subsequent studies that come to different +conclusions. Can you say what the overall body of research +shows about whether or not low income workers are worse off as +a result of an increase in the minimum wage? + Mr. Reich. The CBI doesn't do its own research on this +topic. It just builds on and uses the research that other +people have done, and they looked at the studies as of 2014 +some by me, some by other people, and they basically took an +average between those two as the effect on teens. That is not a +very good scientific method because some of the studies are +better than others. + And they had to extrapolate from what the effect is on +teens the effect on adults, and they arbitrarily came up with a +number, a ratio of one-third because adults on the whole are +better paid. That again is not a very good basis. More +recently, we have studies that look at not only teens and +restaurant workers but all workers, all jobs. + Dr. Zipperer, who was on the panel this morning, is the +author of one of those studies, and it is a study--I think that +it is stunning study. It has been described as the best minimum +wage paper since the 1990's, and I agree. It is going to be the +defining study. It is probably going to come out in the top +economics journal in the world. It shows no negative effects. + Chairman Scott. Does the research show how restaurants +react to an increase in the minimum wage as far as the way they +treat their workers? + Mr. Reich. Yes. Well, first of all, you know, not +everybody's paid at the minimum wage in a restaurant or any +other industry, so the actual increase is usually about half. +The actual increase in cost is usually about half. In labor +costs, it is usually about half what the minimum wage increase. +If the minimum wage goes up 10 percent and the labor cost +increases about 5 percent, and labor is only about a third of +operating costs. + So the actual increase in prices, full pass-through is +maybe 1 to 2 percent, especially when you take into account +turnover savings. So that is the main adjustment mechanism, not +reductions in employment. And by the way, it does increase +automation for those jobs that can be automated, but many jobs +in restaurants cannot be automated. + Food prep is very, very difficult to automate. You cannot +automate making a peanut butter and jelly sandwich, for +example. It has been tried. And so you know, automation isn't +just something that is free. It has to be actually--there has +to be a technology for it. + Chairman Scott. Thank you very much. My time has expired, +and I want to remind my colleagues of the process for +submitting additional materials, and I want to thank our +witnesses for their participation today. What we have heard has +been very valuable. + Members of the committee may have additional questions and +we ask the witnesses to please respond to those questions in +writing. The hearing record will be held open for 14 days to +receive those responses, and I would ask the colleagues to +submit those questions within 7 days so that the witnesses have +ample time to respond. + This hearing has demonstrated the benefits of increasing +the Federal minimum wage to $15 by 2024, the benefits for +workers, businesses, and the economy. No American working full +time should be living in poverty, and by gradually increasing +the minimum wage, you cannot only elevate the standard of +living for nearly 40 million American workers but also put +money back in their pockets to support local businesses. + And without objection, I ask that the letter and documents +from the business for a fair minimum wage and the Economic +Policy Institute be entered into the record and without +objection, so ordered. + [The information follows:]Mr. Scott + Economic Policy Institute: https://www.govinfo.gov/content/ +pkg/CPRT-116HPRT36711/pdf/CPRT-116HPRT36711.pdf +[GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + Chairman Scott. We look forward to continuing the +discussion as we advance the legislation. + Is there any other business to come before the committee? +If not, the meeting is adjourned. + [Additional submissions by Ms. Adams follow:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + [Additional submission by Mr. Courtney follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + [Additional submission by Ms. Davis follows:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + [Additional submissions by Mrs. Foxx follow:] + [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] + + [Whereupon, at 5:36 p.m., the committee was adjourned.] + + [all] +