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WEBVTT

00:00.000 --> 00:02.360
 The following is a conversation with Jeff Hawkins.

00:02.360 --> 00:04.140
 He's the founder of the Redwood Center

00:04.140 --> 00:06.560
 for Theoretical and Neuroscience in 2002

00:06.560 --> 00:08.980
 and New Menta in 2005.

00:08.980 --> 00:11.920
 In his 2004 book titled On Intelligence

00:11.920 --> 00:13.880
 and in the research before and after,

00:13.880 --> 00:16.200
 he and his team have worked to reverse engineer

00:16.200 --> 00:19.160
 the New York Cortex and propose artificial intelligence

00:19.160 --> 00:21.360
 architectures approaches and ideas

00:21.360 --> 00:23.640
 that are inspired by the human brain.

00:23.640 --> 00:25.960
 These ideas include hierarchical temporal memory,

00:25.960 --> 00:30.080
 HTM from 2004, and New Work, The Thousand's Brain's Theory

00:30.080 --> 00:33.800
 of Intelligence from 2017, 18, and 19.

00:33.800 --> 00:36.120
 Jeff's ideas have been an inspiration

00:36.120 --> 00:38.960
 to many who have looked for progress beyond the current

00:38.960 --> 00:41.760
 machine learning approaches, but they have also received

00:41.760 --> 00:44.680
 criticism for lacking a body of empirical evidence

00:44.680 --> 00:46.240
 supporting the models.

00:46.240 --> 00:49.040
 This is always a challenge when seeking more than small

00:49.040 --> 00:51.440
 incremental steps forward in AI.

00:51.440 --> 00:54.120
 Jeff is a brilliant mind and many of the ideas

00:54.120 --> 00:56.520
 he has developed and aggregated from neuroscience

00:56.520 --> 00:59.160
 are worth understanding and thinking about.

00:59.160 --> 01:00.960
 There are limits to deep learning

01:00.960 --> 01:02.960
 as it is currently defined.

01:02.960 --> 01:05.800
 Forward progress in AI is shrouded in mystery.

01:05.800 --> 01:07.800
 My hope is that conversations like this

01:07.800 --> 01:11.480
 can help provide an inspiring spark for new ideas.

01:11.480 --> 01:14.060
 This is the Artificial Intelligence Podcast.

01:14.060 --> 01:16.200
 If you enjoy it, subscribe on YouTube,

01:16.200 --> 01:18.680
 iTunes, or simply connect with me on Twitter

01:18.680 --> 01:21.560
 at Lex Freedman spelled F R I D.

01:21.560 --> 01:25.360
 And now here's my conversation with Jeff Hawkins.

01:26.800 --> 01:29.880
 Are you more interested in understanding the human brain

01:29.880 --> 01:32.040
 or in creating artificial systems

01:32.040 --> 01:34.680
 that have many of the same qualities,

01:34.680 --> 01:38.600
 but don't necessarily require that you actually understand

01:38.600 --> 01:41.520
 the underpinning workings of our mind?

01:41.520 --> 01:44.020
 So there's a clear answer to that question.

01:44.020 --> 01:46.800
 My primary interest is understanding the human brain.

01:46.800 --> 01:51.520
 No question about it, but I also firmly believe

01:51.520 --> 01:53.880
 that we will not be able to create

01:53.880 --> 01:55.040
 fully intelligent machines

01:55.040 --> 01:57.280
 until we understand how the human brain works.

01:57.280 --> 02:00.120
 So I don't see those as separate problems.

02:00.120 --> 02:01.720
 I think there's limits to what can be done

02:01.720 --> 02:02.640
 with machine intelligence

02:02.640 --> 02:04.040
 if you don't understand the principles

02:04.040 --> 02:05.680
 by which the brain works.

02:05.680 --> 02:07.880
 And so I actually believe that studying the brain

02:07.880 --> 02:11.960
 is actually the fastest way to get to machine intelligence.

02:11.960 --> 02:14.640
 And within that, let me ask the impossible question.

02:14.640 --> 02:17.160
 How do you not define, but at least think

02:17.160 --> 02:19.400
 about what it means to be intelligent?

02:19.400 --> 02:22.240
 So I didn't try to answer that question first.

02:22.240 --> 02:24.480
 We said, let's just talk about how the brain works.

02:24.480 --> 02:26.680
 And let's figure out how certain parts of the brain,

02:26.680 --> 02:29.880
 mostly the neocortex, but some other parts too,

02:29.880 --> 02:32.320
 the parts of the brain most associated with intelligence.

02:32.320 --> 02:35.800
 And let's discover the principles by how they work.

02:35.800 --> 02:39.320
 Because intelligence isn't just like some mechanism

02:39.320 --> 02:40.640
 and it's not just some capabilities.

02:40.640 --> 02:43.000
 It's like, okay, we don't even know where to begin

02:43.000 --> 02:44.000
 on this stuff.

02:44.000 --> 02:49.000
 And so now that we've made a lot of progress on this,

02:49.000 --> 02:50.480
 after we've made a lot of progress

02:50.480 --> 02:53.200
 on how the neocortex works, and we can talk about that,

02:53.200 --> 02:54.560
 I now have a very good idea

02:54.560 --> 02:57.200
 what's gonna be required to make intelligent machines.

02:57.200 --> 02:59.600
 I can tell you today, some of the things

02:59.600 --> 03:02.120
 are gonna be necessary, I believe,

03:02.120 --> 03:03.480
 to create intelligent machines.

03:03.480 --> 03:04.600
 Well, so we'll get there.

03:04.600 --> 03:07.440
 We'll get to the neocortex and some of the theories

03:07.440 --> 03:09.200
 of how the whole thing works.

03:09.200 --> 03:11.720
 And you're saying, as we understand more and more

03:12.720 --> 03:14.800
 about the neocortex, about our own human mind,

03:14.800 --> 03:17.720
 we'll be able to start to more specifically define

03:17.720 --> 03:18.680
 what it means to be intelligent.

03:18.680 --> 03:21.880
 It's not useful to really talk about that until...

03:21.880 --> 03:23.560
 I don't know if it's not useful.

03:23.560 --> 03:26.200
 Look, there's a long history of AI, as you know.

03:26.200 --> 03:28.920
 And there's been different approaches taken to it.

03:28.920 --> 03:30.160
 And who knows?

03:30.160 --> 03:32.280
 Maybe they're all useful.

03:32.280 --> 03:37.280
 So the good old fashioned AI, the expert systems,

03:37.360 --> 03:38.960
 the current convolutional neural networks,

03:38.960 --> 03:40.440
 they all have their utility.

03:41.280 --> 03:43.800
 They all have a value in the world.

03:43.800 --> 03:45.280
 But I would think almost everyone agreed

03:45.280 --> 03:46.640
 that none of them are really intelligent

03:46.640 --> 03:49.880
 in a sort of a deep way that humans are.

03:49.880 --> 03:53.600
 And so it's just the question of how do you get

03:53.600 --> 03:56.440
 from where those systems were or are today

03:56.440 --> 03:59.240
 to where a lot of people think we're gonna go.

03:59.240 --> 04:02.320
 And there's a big, big gap there, a huge gap.

04:02.320 --> 04:06.240
 And I think the quickest way of bridging that gap

04:06.240 --> 04:08.840
 is to figure out how the brain does that.

04:08.840 --> 04:10.160
 And then we can sit back and look and say,

04:10.160 --> 04:13.000
 oh, what are these principles that the brain works on

04:13.000 --> 04:15.160
 are necessary and which ones are not?

04:15.160 --> 04:16.640
 Clearly, we don't have to build this in,

04:16.640 --> 04:18.520
 and tellage machines aren't gonna be built

04:18.520 --> 04:22.760
 out of organic living cells.

04:22.760 --> 04:24.720
 But there's a lot of stuff that goes on the brain

04:24.720 --> 04:25.920
 that's gonna be necessary.

04:25.920 --> 04:30.320
 So let me ask maybe, before we get into the fun details,

04:30.320 --> 04:33.080
 let me ask maybe a depressing or a difficult question.

04:33.080 --> 04:36.240
 Do you think it's possible that we will never

04:36.240 --> 04:38.120
 be able to understand how our brain works,

04:38.120 --> 04:41.840
 that maybe there's aspects to the human mind

04:41.840 --> 04:46.160
 like we ourselves cannot introspectively get to the core,

04:46.160 --> 04:48.120
 that there's a wall you eventually hit?

04:48.120 --> 04:50.200
 Yeah, I don't believe that's the case.

04:52.040 --> 04:53.240
 I have never believed that's the case.

04:53.240 --> 04:55.760
 There's not been a single thing we've ever,

04:55.760 --> 04:57.760
 humans have ever put their minds to that we've said,

04:57.760 --> 05:00.320
 oh, we reached the wall, we can't go any further.

05:00.320 --> 05:01.680
 People keep saying that.

05:01.680 --> 05:03.400
 People used to believe that about life, you know,

05:03.400 --> 05:04.480
 Alain Vitao, right?

05:04.480 --> 05:06.360
 There's like, what's the difference in living matter

05:06.360 --> 05:07.280
 and nonliving matter?

05:07.280 --> 05:09.120
 Something special you never understand.

05:09.120 --> 05:10.640
 We no longer think that.

05:10.640 --> 05:14.720
 So there's no historical evidence that suggests this is the case

05:14.720 --> 05:17.600
 and I just never even consider that's a possibility.

05:17.600 --> 05:21.840
 I would also say today, we understand so much

05:21.840 --> 05:22.800
 about the neocortex.

05:22.800 --> 05:25.480
 We've made tremendous progress in the last few years

05:25.480 --> 05:29.160
 that I no longer think of as an open question.

05:30.000 --> 05:32.560
 The answers are very clear to me and the pieces

05:32.560 --> 05:34.800
 that we don't know are clear to me,

05:34.800 --> 05:37.440
 but the framework is all there and it's like, oh, okay,

05:37.440 --> 05:38.600
 we're gonna be able to do this.

05:38.600 --> 05:39.960
 This is not a problem anymore.

05:39.960 --> 05:42.680
 It just takes time and effort, but there's no mystery,

05:42.680 --> 05:44.040
 a big mystery anymore.

05:44.040 --> 05:47.800
 So then let's get into it for people like myself

05:47.800 --> 05:52.800
 who are not very well versed in the human brain,

05:52.960 --> 05:53.840
 except my own.

05:54.800 --> 05:57.320
 Can you describe to me at the highest level,

05:57.320 --> 05:59.120
 what are the different parts of the human brain

05:59.120 --> 06:02.080
 and then zooming in on the neocortex,

06:02.080 --> 06:05.480
 the parts of the neocortex and so on, a quick overview.

06:05.480 --> 06:06.640
 Yeah, sure.

06:06.640 --> 06:10.800
 The human brain, we can divide it roughly into two parts.

06:10.800 --> 06:14.200
 There's the old parts, lots of pieces,

06:14.200 --> 06:15.680
 and then there's the new part.

06:15.680 --> 06:18.040
 The new part is the neocortex.

06:18.040 --> 06:20.440
 It's new because it didn't exist before mammals.

06:20.440 --> 06:23.000
 The only mammals have a neocortex and in humans

06:23.000 --> 06:24.760
 and primates is very large.

06:24.760 --> 06:29.400
 In the human brain, the neocortex occupies about 70 to 75%

06:29.400 --> 06:30.640
 of the volume of the brain.

06:30.640 --> 06:32.080
 It's huge.

06:32.080 --> 06:34.840
 And the old parts of the brain are,

06:34.840 --> 06:36.000
 there's lots of pieces there.

06:36.000 --> 06:38.760
 There's a spinal cord and there's the brainstem

06:38.760 --> 06:40.240
 and the cerebellum and the different parts

06:40.240 --> 06:42.040
 of the basal ganglion and so on.

06:42.040 --> 06:42.960
 In the old parts of the brain,

06:42.960 --> 06:44.800
 you have the autonomic regulation,

06:44.800 --> 06:46.280
 like breathing and heart rate.

06:46.280 --> 06:48.240
 You have basic behaviors.

06:48.240 --> 06:49.960
 So like walking and running are controlled

06:49.960 --> 06:51.400
 by the old parts of the brain.

06:51.400 --> 06:53.080
 All the emotional centers of the brain

06:53.080 --> 06:53.920
 are in the old part of the brain.

06:53.920 --> 06:55.080
 So when you feel anger or hungry,

06:55.080 --> 06:56.080
 lust or things like that,

06:56.080 --> 06:57.880
 those are all in the old parts of the brain.

06:59.080 --> 07:02.160
 And we associate with the neocortex

07:02.160 --> 07:03.320
 all the things we think about

07:03.320 --> 07:05.760
 as sort of high level perception.

07:05.760 --> 07:10.760
 And cognitive functions, anything from seeing and hearing

07:10.920 --> 07:14.560
 and touching things to language, to mathematics

07:14.560 --> 07:16.920
 and engineering and science and so on.

07:16.920 --> 07:19.760
 Those are all associated with the neocortex.

07:19.760 --> 07:21.760
 And they're certainly correlated.

07:21.760 --> 07:24.000
 Our abilities in those regards are correlated

07:24.000 --> 07:25.800
 with the relative size of our neocortex

07:25.800 --> 07:27.960
 compared to other mammals.

07:27.960 --> 07:30.520
 So that's like the rough division.

07:30.520 --> 07:32.760
 And you obviously can't understand

07:32.760 --> 07:35.160
 the neocortex completely isolated,

07:35.160 --> 07:37.040
 but you can understand a lot of it

07:37.040 --> 07:38.720
 with just a few interfaces

07:38.720 --> 07:40.320
 to the old parts of the brain.

07:40.320 --> 07:44.960
 And so it gives you a system to study.

07:44.960 --> 07:48.040
 The other remarkable thing about the neocortex

07:48.040 --> 07:49.880
 compared to the old parts of the brain

07:49.880 --> 07:52.880
 is the neocortex is extremely uniform.

07:52.880 --> 07:55.720
 It's not visually or anatomically,

07:55.720 --> 07:58.800
 or it's very, it's like a,

07:58.800 --> 08:00.080
 I always like to say it's like the size

08:00.080 --> 08:03.720
 of a dinner napkin, about two and a half millimeters thick.

08:03.720 --> 08:06.000
 And it looks remarkably the same everywhere.

08:06.000 --> 08:07.920
 Everywhere you look in that two and a half millimeters

08:07.920 --> 08:10.080
 is this detailed architecture.

08:10.080 --> 08:11.560
 And it looks remarkably the same everywhere.

08:11.560 --> 08:12.600
 And that's a cross species,

08:12.600 --> 08:15.360
 a mouse versus a cat and a dog and a human.

08:15.360 --> 08:17.080
 Where if you look at the old parts of the brain,

08:17.080 --> 08:19.640
 there's lots of little pieces do specific things.

08:19.640 --> 08:22.040
 So it's like the old parts of a brain evolved,

08:22.040 --> 08:23.640
 like this is the part that controls heart rate

08:23.640 --> 08:24.840
 and this is the part that controls this

08:24.840 --> 08:25.800
 and this is this kind of thing.

08:25.800 --> 08:27.200
 And that's this kind of thing.

08:27.200 --> 08:30.080
 And these evolve for eons of a long, long time

08:30.080 --> 08:31.600
 and they have those specific functions.

08:31.600 --> 08:33.240
 And all of a sudden mammals come along

08:33.240 --> 08:35.200
 and they got this thing called the neocortex

08:35.200 --> 08:38.200
 and it got large by just replicating the same thing

08:38.200 --> 08:39.440
 over and over and over again.

08:39.440 --> 08:42.680
 This is like, wow, this is incredible.

08:42.680 --> 08:46.240
 So all the evidence we have,

08:46.240 --> 08:50.040
 and this is an idea that was first articulated

08:50.040 --> 08:52.080
 in a very cogent and beautiful argument

08:52.080 --> 08:55.720
 by a guy named Vernon Malkassel in 1978, I think it was,

08:56.880 --> 09:01.640
 that the neocortex all works on the same principle.

09:01.640 --> 09:05.320
 So language, hearing, touch, vision, engineering,

09:05.320 --> 09:07.040
 all these things are basically underlying

09:07.040 --> 09:10.400
 or all built in the same computational substrate.

09:10.400 --> 09:11.880
 They're really all the same problem.

09:11.880 --> 09:14.880
 So the low level of the building blocks all look similar.

09:14.880 --> 09:16.320
 Yeah, and they're not even that low level.

09:16.320 --> 09:17.920
 We're not talking about like neurons.

09:17.920 --> 09:19.960
 We're talking about this very complex circuit

09:19.960 --> 09:23.560
 that exists throughout the neocortex is remarkably similar.

09:23.560 --> 09:26.400
 It is, it's like, yes, you see variations of it here

09:26.400 --> 09:29.680
 and they're more of the cell, that's not old and so on.

09:29.680 --> 09:31.840
 But what Malkassel argued was,

09:31.840 --> 09:35.640
 it says, you know, if you take a section on neocortex,

09:35.640 --> 09:38.640
 why is one a visual area and one is a auditory area?

09:38.640 --> 09:41.240
 Or why is, and his answer was,

09:41.240 --> 09:43.240
 it's because one is connected to eyes

09:43.240 --> 09:45.440
 and one is connected to ears.

09:45.440 --> 09:47.840
 Literally, you mean just as most closest

09:47.840 --> 09:50.440
 in terms of the number of connections to the sensor?

09:50.440 --> 09:52.920
 Literally, if you took the optic nerve

09:52.920 --> 09:55.320
 and attached it to a different part of the neocortex,

09:55.320 --> 09:58.000
 that part would become a visual region.

09:58.000 --> 10:00.400
 This actually, this experiment was actually done

10:00.400 --> 10:05.000
 by Murgankasur in developing, I think it was lemurs,

10:05.000 --> 10:06.720
 I can't remember what it was, it's some animal.

10:06.720 --> 10:08.560
 And there's a lot of evidence to this.

10:08.560 --> 10:09.960
 You know, if you take a blind person,

10:09.960 --> 10:12.240
 a person is born blind at birth,

10:12.240 --> 10:15.480
 they're born with a visual neocortex.

10:15.480 --> 10:18.320
 It doesn't, may not get any input from the eyes

10:18.320 --> 10:21.280
 because of some congenital defect or something.

10:21.280 --> 10:24.720
 And that region becomes, does something else.

10:24.720 --> 10:27.000
 It picks up another task.

10:27.000 --> 10:32.000
 So, and it's, so it's this very complex thing.

10:32.280 --> 10:33.760
 It's not like, oh, they're all built on neurons.

10:33.760 --> 10:36.480
 No, they're all built in this very complex circuit.

10:36.480 --> 10:40.280
 And somehow that circuit underlies everything.

10:40.280 --> 10:44.760
 And so this is, it's called the common cortical algorithm,

10:44.760 --> 10:47.960
 if you will, some scientists just find it hard to believe.

10:47.960 --> 10:50.040
 And they just say, I can't believe that's true.

10:50.040 --> 10:52.080
 But the evidence is overwhelming in this case.

10:52.080 --> 10:54.320
 And so a large part of what it means

10:54.320 --> 10:56.440
 to figure out how the brain creates intelligence

10:56.440 --> 10:59.840
 and what is intelligence in the brain

10:59.840 --> 11:02.040
 is to understand what that circuit does.

11:02.040 --> 11:05.040
 If you can figure out what that circuit does,

11:05.040 --> 11:06.920
 as amazing as it is, then you can,

11:06.920 --> 11:10.480
 then you understand what all these other cognitive functions are.

11:10.480 --> 11:13.280
 So if you were to sort of put neocortex

11:13.280 --> 11:15.160
 outside of your book on intelligence,

11:15.160 --> 11:17.480
 you look, if you wrote a giant tome,

11:17.480 --> 11:19.800
 a textbook on the neocortex,

11:19.800 --> 11:23.760
 and you look maybe a couple of centuries from now,

11:23.760 --> 11:26.520
 how much of what we know now would still be accurate

11:26.520 --> 11:27.680
 two centuries from now.

11:27.680 --> 11:30.840
 So how close are we in terms of understanding?

11:30.840 --> 11:33.000
 I have to speak from my own particular experience here.

11:33.000 --> 11:36.440
 So I run a small research lab here.

11:36.440 --> 11:38.040
 It's like any other research lab.

11:38.040 --> 11:39.440
 I'm sort of the principal investigator.

11:39.440 --> 11:40.280
 There's actually two of us,

11:40.280 --> 11:42.560
 and there's a bunch of other people.

11:42.560 --> 11:43.840
 And this is what we do.

11:43.840 --> 11:44.960
 We started the neocortex,

11:44.960 --> 11:46.960
 and we publish our results and so on.

11:46.960 --> 11:48.520
 So about three years ago,

11:49.840 --> 11:52.480
 we had a real breakthrough in this field.

11:52.480 --> 11:53.320
 Just tremendous breakthrough.

11:53.320 --> 11:56.520
 We started, we now publish, I think, three papers on it.

11:56.520 --> 12:00.200
 And so I have a pretty good understanding

12:00.200 --> 12:02.320
 of all the pieces and what we're missing.

12:02.320 --> 12:06.280
 I would say that almost all the empirical data

12:06.280 --> 12:08.520
 we've collected about the brain, which is enormous.

12:08.520 --> 12:10.320
 If you don't know the neuroscience literature,

12:10.320 --> 12:13.960
 it's just incredibly big.

12:13.960 --> 12:16.840
 And it's, for the most part, all correct.

12:16.840 --> 12:20.240
 It's facts and experimental results

12:20.240 --> 12:22.960
 and measurements and all kinds of stuff.

12:22.960 --> 12:25.800
 But none of that has been really assimilated

12:25.800 --> 12:27.840
 into a theoretical framework.

12:27.840 --> 12:32.240
 It's data without, in the language of Thomas Kuhn,

12:32.240 --> 12:35.280
 the historian, it would be sort of a preparadigm science.

12:35.280 --> 12:38.160
 Lots of data, but no way to fit it in together.

12:38.160 --> 12:39.520
 I think almost all of that's correct.

12:39.520 --> 12:42.120
 There's gonna be some mistakes in there.

12:42.120 --> 12:43.240
 And for the most part,

12:43.240 --> 12:45.480
 there aren't really good cogent theories

12:45.480 --> 12:47.240
 about how to put it together.

12:47.240 --> 12:50.040
 It's not like we have two or three competing good theories,

12:50.040 --> 12:51.520
 which ones are right and which ones are wrong.

12:51.520 --> 12:53.720
 It's like, yeah, people just scratching their heads

12:53.720 --> 12:55.560
 throwing things, you know, some people giving up

12:55.560 --> 12:57.560
 on trying to figure out what the whole thing does.

12:57.560 --> 13:00.960
 In fact, there's very, very few labs that we do

13:00.960 --> 13:03.280
 that focus really on theory

13:03.280 --> 13:06.760
 and all this unassimilated data and trying to explain it.

13:06.760 --> 13:08.880
 So it's not like we've got it wrong.

13:08.880 --> 13:11.120
 It's just that we haven't got it at all.

13:11.120 --> 13:15.040
 So it's really, I would say, pretty early days

13:15.040 --> 13:18.360
 in terms of understanding the fundamental theories,

13:18.360 --> 13:20.240
 forces of the way our mind works.

13:20.240 --> 13:21.080
 I don't think so.

13:21.080 --> 13:23.760
 I would have said that's true five years ago.

13:25.360 --> 13:28.600
 So as I said, we had some really big breakthroughs

13:28.600 --> 13:30.800
 on this recently and we started publishing papers on this.

13:30.800 --> 13:34.240
 So you can get to that.

13:34.240 --> 13:36.760
 But so I don't think it's, you know, I'm an optimist

13:36.760 --> 13:38.280
 and from where I sit today,

13:38.280 --> 13:39.440
 most people would disagree with this,

13:39.440 --> 13:41.640
 but from where I sit today, from what I know,

13:43.240 --> 13:44.920
 it's not super early days anymore.

13:44.920 --> 13:46.840
 We are, you know, the way these things go

13:46.840 --> 13:48.200
 is it's not a linear path, right?

13:48.200 --> 13:49.840
 You don't just start accumulating

13:49.840 --> 13:50.800
 and get better and better and better.

13:50.800 --> 13:52.920
 No, you got all the stuff you've collected.

13:52.920 --> 13:53.760
 None of it makes sense.

13:53.760 --> 13:55.640
 All these different things are just sort of around.

13:55.640 --> 13:57.120
 And then you're going to have some breaking points

13:57.120 --> 13:59.400
 all of a sudden, oh my God, now we got it right.

13:59.400 --> 14:01.120
 That's how it goes in science.

14:01.120 --> 14:04.480
 And I personally feel like we passed that little thing

14:04.480 --> 14:06.320
 about a couple of years ago.

14:06.320 --> 14:07.560
 All that big thing a couple of years ago.

14:07.560 --> 14:09.600
 So we can talk about that.

14:09.600 --> 14:11.000
 Time will tell if I'm right,

14:11.000 --> 14:12.640
 but I feel very confident about it.

14:12.640 --> 14:15.120
 That's when we'll just say it on tape like this.

14:15.120 --> 14:18.040
 At least very optimistic.

14:18.040 --> 14:20.160
 So let's, before those few years ago,

14:20.160 --> 14:23.200
 let's take a step back to HTM,

14:23.200 --> 14:25.960
 the hierarchical temporal memory theory,

14:25.960 --> 14:27.480
 which you first proposed on intelligence

14:27.480 --> 14:29.280
 and went through a few different generations.

14:29.280 --> 14:31.200
 Can you describe what it is,

14:31.200 --> 14:33.560
 how it would evolve through the three generations

14:33.560 --> 14:35.360
 since you first put it on paper?

14:35.360 --> 14:39.240
 Yeah, so one of the things that neuroscientists

14:39.240 --> 14:42.920
 just sort of missed for many, many years.

14:42.920 --> 14:45.720
 And especially people were thinking about theory

14:45.720 --> 14:47.720
 was the nature of time in the brain.

14:47.720 --> 14:50.440
 Brain's process, information through time,

14:50.440 --> 14:53.280
 the information coming into the brain is constantly changing.

14:53.280 --> 14:56.160
 The patterns from my speech right now,

14:56.160 --> 14:58.520
 if you're listening to it at normal speed,

14:58.520 --> 15:00.080
 would be changing on your ears

15:00.080 --> 15:02.680
 about every 10 milliseconds or so, you'd have a change.

15:02.680 --> 15:05.320
 This constant flow, when you look at the world,

15:05.320 --> 15:06.800
 your eyes are moving constantly,

15:06.800 --> 15:08.240
 three to five times a second,

15:08.240 --> 15:09.920
 and the input's completely, completely.

15:09.920 --> 15:11.800
 If I were to touch something like a coffee cup

15:11.800 --> 15:13.880
 as I move my fingers, the input changes.

15:13.880 --> 15:16.840
 So this idea that the brain works on time

15:16.840 --> 15:19.640
 changing patterns is almost completely,

15:19.640 --> 15:21.080
 or was almost completely missing

15:21.080 --> 15:23.520
 from a lot of the basic theories like fears of vision

15:23.520 --> 15:24.360
 and so on.

15:24.360 --> 15:26.280
 It's like, oh no, we're gonna put this image in front of you

15:26.280 --> 15:28.360
 and flash it and say, what is it?

15:28.360 --> 15:31.120
 A convolutional neural network's worked that way today, right?

15:31.120 --> 15:33.280
 Classified this picture.

15:33.280 --> 15:35.120
 But that's not what vision is like.

15:35.120 --> 15:37.760
 Vision is this sort of crazy time based pattern

15:37.760 --> 15:39.080
 that's going all over the place,

15:39.080 --> 15:40.920
 and so is touch and so is hearing.

15:40.920 --> 15:42.880
 So the first part of a hierarchical temporal memory

15:42.880 --> 15:44.280
 was the temporal part.

15:44.280 --> 15:47.680
 It's to say, you won't understand the brain,

15:47.680 --> 15:49.360
 nor will you understand intelligent machines

15:49.360 --> 15:51.720
 unless you're dealing with time based patterns.

15:51.720 --> 15:54.760
 The second thing was, the memory component of it was,

15:54.760 --> 15:59.760
 is to say that we aren't just processing input,

15:59.760 --> 16:02.000
 we learn a model of the world.

16:02.000 --> 16:04.000
 And the memory stands for that model.

16:04.000 --> 16:06.640
 The point of the brain, part of the neocortex,

16:06.640 --> 16:07.840
 it learns a model of the world.

16:07.840 --> 16:10.840
 We have to store things that are experiences

16:10.840 --> 16:13.520
 in a form that leads to a model of the world.

16:13.520 --> 16:15.080
 So we can move around the world,

16:15.080 --> 16:16.240
 we can pick things up and do things

16:16.240 --> 16:17.520
 and navigate and know how it's going on.

16:17.520 --> 16:19.320
 So that's what the memory referred to.

16:19.320 --> 16:22.320
 And many people just, they were thinking about like,

16:22.320 --> 16:24.480
 certain processes without memory at all.

16:24.480 --> 16:26.120
 They're just like processing things.

16:26.120 --> 16:28.320
 And then finally, the hierarchical component

16:28.320 --> 16:31.640
 was a reflection to that the neocortex,

16:31.640 --> 16:33.920
 although it's just a uniform sheet of cells,

16:33.920 --> 16:36.920
 different parts of it project to other parts,

16:36.920 --> 16:38.680
 which project to other parts.

16:38.680 --> 16:42.400
 And there is a sort of rough hierarchy in terms of that.

16:42.400 --> 16:46.000
 So the hierarchical temporal memory is just saying,

16:46.000 --> 16:47.720
 look, we should be thinking about the brain

16:47.720 --> 16:52.720
 as time based, model memory based and hierarchical processing.

16:54.760 --> 16:58.160
 And that was a placeholder for a bunch of components

16:58.160 --> 17:00.720
 that we would then plug into that.

17:00.720 --> 17:02.600
 We still believe all those things I just said,

17:02.600 --> 17:06.960
 but we now know so much more that I'm stopping to use

17:06.960 --> 17:08.200
 the word hierarchical temporal memory yet

17:08.200 --> 17:11.320
 because it's insufficient to capture the stuff we know.

17:11.320 --> 17:12.960
 So again, it's not incorrect,

17:12.960 --> 17:15.800
 but I now know more and I would rather describe it

17:15.800 --> 17:16.800
 more accurately.

17:16.800 --> 17:20.360
 Yeah, so you're basically, we could think of HTM

17:20.360 --> 17:24.800
 as emphasizing that there's three aspects of intelligence

17:24.800 --> 17:25.920
 that are important to think about

17:25.920 --> 17:28.880
 whatever the eventual theory converges to.

17:28.880 --> 17:32.480
 So in terms of time, how do you think of nature of time

17:32.480 --> 17:33.880
 across different time scales?

17:33.880 --> 17:36.800
 So you mentioned things changing,

17:36.800 --> 17:39.160
 sensory inputs changing every 10, 20 minutes.

17:39.160 --> 17:40.520
 What about every few minutes?

17:40.520 --> 17:42.120
 Every few months and years?

17:42.120 --> 17:44.840
 Well, if you think about a neuroscience problem,

17:44.840 --> 17:49.640
 the brain problem, neurons themselves can stay active

17:49.640 --> 17:51.560
 for certain periods of time.

17:51.560 --> 17:53.280
 They're parts of the brain where they stay active

17:53.280 --> 17:56.680
 for minutes, so you could hold a certain perception

17:56.680 --> 18:01.320
 or an activity for a certain period of time,

18:01.320 --> 18:04.480
 but not most of them don't last that long.

18:04.480 --> 18:07.160
 And so if you think about your thoughts

18:07.160 --> 18:09.080
 or the activity neurons,

18:09.080 --> 18:10.680
 if you're gonna wanna involve something

18:10.680 --> 18:11.920
 that happened a long time ago,

18:11.920 --> 18:14.400
 even just this morning, for example,

18:14.400 --> 18:16.360
 the neurons haven't been active throughout that time.

18:16.360 --> 18:17.800
 So you have to store that.

18:17.800 --> 18:20.720
 So by I ask you, what did you have for breakfast today?

18:20.720 --> 18:22.000
 That is memory.

18:22.000 --> 18:24.160
 That is, you've built it into your model of the world now.

18:24.160 --> 18:27.880
 You remember that and that memory is in the synapses,

18:27.880 --> 18:30.080
 it's basically in the formation of synapses.

18:30.080 --> 18:35.080
 And so you're sliding into what used to different time scales.

18:36.760 --> 18:38.280
 There's time scales of which we are

18:38.280 --> 18:40.440
 like understanding my language and moving about

18:40.440 --> 18:41.840
 and seeing things rapidly and over time.

18:41.840 --> 18:44.280
 That's the time scales of activities of neurons.

18:44.280 --> 18:46.200
 But if you wanna get in longer time scales,

18:46.200 --> 18:48.840
 then it's more memory and we have to invoke those memories

18:48.840 --> 18:50.960
 to say, oh, yes, well, now I can remember

18:50.960 --> 18:54.160
 what I had for breakfast because I stored that someplace.

18:54.160 --> 18:58.200
 I may forget it tomorrow, but I'd store it for now.

18:58.200 --> 19:01.600
 So does memory also need to have,

19:02.880 --> 19:06.240
 so the hierarchical aspect of reality

19:06.240 --> 19:07.720
 is not just about concepts,

19:07.720 --> 19:08.800
 it's also about time.

19:08.800 --> 19:10.280
 Do you think of it that way?

19:10.280 --> 19:12.840
 Yeah, time is infused in everything.

19:12.840 --> 19:15.560
 It's like, you really can't separate it out.

19:15.560 --> 19:19.560
 If I ask you, what is your, how's the brain

19:19.560 --> 19:21.360
 learn a model of this coffee cup here?

19:21.360 --> 19:23.200
 I have a coffee cup, then I met the coffee cup.

19:23.200 --> 19:26.000
 I said, well, time is not an inherent property

19:26.000 --> 19:28.520
 of the model I have of this cup,

19:28.520 --> 19:31.440
 whether it's a visual model or tactile model.

19:31.440 --> 19:32.600
 I can sense it through time,

19:32.600 --> 19:34.880
 but the model itself doesn't really have much time.

19:34.880 --> 19:36.560
 If I asked you, if I say, well,

19:36.560 --> 19:39.000
 what is the model of my cell phone?

19:39.000 --> 19:41.480
 My brain has learned a model of the cell phones.

19:41.480 --> 19:43.360
 If you have a smartphone like this,

19:43.360 --> 19:45.680
 and I said, well, this has time aspects to it.

19:45.680 --> 19:48.040
 I have expectations when I turn it on,

19:48.040 --> 19:49.480
 what's gonna happen, what water,

19:49.480 --> 19:51.960
 how long it's gonna take to do certain things,

19:51.960 --> 19:54.040
 if I bring up an app, what sequences,

19:54.040 --> 19:56.520
 and so I have instant, it's like melodies in the world,

19:56.520 --> 19:58.560
 you know, melody has a sense of time.

19:58.560 --> 20:01.200
 So many things in the world move and act,

20:01.200 --> 20:03.720
 and there's a sense of time related to them.

20:03.720 --> 20:08.280
 Some don't, but most things do actually.

20:08.280 --> 20:12.120
 So it's sort of infused throughout the models of the world.

20:12.120 --> 20:13.720
 You build a model of the world,

20:13.720 --> 20:16.400
 you're learning the structure of the objects in the world,

20:16.400 --> 20:17.840
 and you're also learning

20:17.840 --> 20:19.760
 how those things change through time.

20:20.760 --> 20:23.920
 Okay, so it really is just a fourth dimension

20:23.920 --> 20:25.280
 that's infused deeply,

20:25.280 --> 20:26.760
 and you have to make sure

20:26.760 --> 20:30.960
 that your models of intelligence incorporate it.

20:30.960 --> 20:34.840
 So, like you mentioned, the state of neuroscience

20:34.840 --> 20:36.000
 is deeply empirical.

20:36.000 --> 20:40.120
 A lot of data collection, it's, you know,

20:40.120 --> 20:43.120
 that's where it is, you mentioned Thomas Kuhn, right?

20:43.120 --> 20:44.560
 Yeah.

20:44.560 --> 20:48.040
 And then you're proposing a theory of intelligence,

20:48.040 --> 20:50.520
 and which is really the next step,

20:50.520 --> 20:52.920
 the really important step to take,

20:52.920 --> 20:57.920
 but why is HTM, or what we'll talk about soon,

20:57.920 --> 21:01.160
 the right theory?

21:01.160 --> 21:05.160
 So is it more in this, is it backed by intuition,

21:05.160 --> 21:09.160
 is it backed by evidence, is it backed by a mixture of both?

21:09.160 --> 21:12.800
 Is it kind of closer to where string theory is in physics,

21:12.800 --> 21:15.800
 where there's mathematical components

21:15.800 --> 21:18.160
 which show that, you know what,

21:18.160 --> 21:20.160
 it seems that this,

21:20.160 --> 21:23.560
 it fits together too well for it not to be true,

21:23.560 --> 21:25.360
 which is where string theory is.

21:25.360 --> 21:28.080
 Is that where you're kind of thinking?

21:28.080 --> 21:30.080
 It's a mixture of all those things,

21:30.080 --> 21:32.080
 although definitely where we are right now,

21:32.080 --> 21:34.080
 it's definitely much more on the empirical side

21:34.080 --> 21:36.080
 than, let's say, string theory.

21:36.080 --> 21:39.080
 The way this goes about, we're theorists, right?

21:39.080 --> 21:41.080
 So we look at all this data,

21:41.080 --> 21:43.080
 and we're trying to come up with some sort of model

21:43.080 --> 21:45.080
 that explains it, basically,

21:45.080 --> 21:47.080
 and there's, unlike string theory,

21:47.080 --> 21:50.080
 there's vast more amounts of empirical data here

21:50.080 --> 21:54.080
 than I think that most physicists deal with.

21:54.080 --> 21:57.080
 And so our challenge is to sort through that

21:57.080 --> 22:01.080
 and figure out what kind of constructs would explain this.

22:01.080 --> 22:04.080
 And when we have an idea,

22:04.080 --> 22:06.080
 you come up with a theory of some sort,

22:06.080 --> 22:08.080
 you have lots of ways of testing it.

22:08.080 --> 22:10.080
 First of all, I am, you know,

22:10.080 --> 22:14.080
 there are 100 years of assimilated,

22:14.080 --> 22:16.080
 und assimilated empirical data from neuroscience.

22:16.080 --> 22:18.080
 So we go back and repapers, and we say,

22:18.080 --> 22:20.080
 oh, did someone find this already?

22:20.080 --> 22:23.080
 We can predict X, Y, and Z,

22:23.080 --> 22:25.080
 and maybe no one's even talked about it

22:25.080 --> 22:27.080
 since 1972 or something,

22:27.080 --> 22:29.080
 but we go back and find that, and we say,

22:29.080 --> 22:31.080
 oh, either it can support the theory

22:31.080 --> 22:33.080
 or it can invalidate the theory.

22:33.080 --> 22:35.080
 And then we say, okay, we have to start over again.

22:35.080 --> 22:37.080
 Oh, no, it's support. Let's keep going with that one.

22:37.080 --> 22:40.080
 So the way I kind of view it,

22:40.080 --> 22:43.080
 when we do our work, we come up,

22:43.080 --> 22:45.080
 we look at all this empirical data,

22:45.080 --> 22:47.080
 and it's what I call it is a set of constraints.

22:47.080 --> 22:49.080
 We're not interested in something that's biologically inspired.

22:49.080 --> 22:52.080
 We're trying to figure out how the actual brain works.

22:52.080 --> 22:55.080
 So every piece of empirical data is a constraint on a theory.

22:55.080 --> 22:57.080
 If you have the correct theory,

22:57.080 --> 22:59.080
 it needs to explain every pin, right?

22:59.080 --> 23:02.080
 So we have this huge number of constraints on the problem,

23:02.080 --> 23:05.080
 which initially makes it very, very difficult.

23:05.080 --> 23:07.080
 If you don't have many constraints,

23:07.080 --> 23:09.080
 you can make up stuff all the day.

23:09.080 --> 23:11.080
 You can say, oh, here's an answer to how you can do this,

23:11.080 --> 23:13.080
 you can do that, you can do this.

23:13.080 --> 23:15.080
 But if you consider all biology as a set of constraints,

23:15.080 --> 23:17.080
 all neuroscience as a set of constraints,

23:17.080 --> 23:19.080
 and even if you're working in one little part of the Neocortex,

23:19.080 --> 23:21.080
 for example, there are hundreds and hundreds of constraints.

23:21.080 --> 23:23.080
 There are a lot of empirical constraints

23:23.080 --> 23:25.080
 that it's very, very difficult initially

23:25.080 --> 23:27.080
 to come up with a theoretical framework for that.

23:27.080 --> 23:31.080
 But when you do, and it solves all those constraints at once,

23:31.080 --> 23:33.080
 you have a high confidence

23:33.080 --> 23:36.080
 that you got something close to correct.

23:36.080 --> 23:39.080
 It's just mathematically almost impossible not to be.

23:39.080 --> 23:43.080
 So that's the curse and the advantage of what we have.

23:43.080 --> 23:47.080
 The curse is we have to meet all these constraints,

23:47.080 --> 23:49.080
 which is really hard.

23:49.080 --> 23:51.080
 But when you do meet them,

23:51.080 --> 23:53.080
 then you have a great confidence

23:53.080 --> 23:55.080
 that you've discovered something.

23:55.080 --> 23:58.080
 In addition, then we work with scientific labs.

23:58.080 --> 24:00.080
 So we'll say, oh, there's something we can't find,

24:00.080 --> 24:02.080
 we can predict something,

24:02.080 --> 24:04.080
 but we can't find it anywhere in the literature.

24:04.080 --> 24:07.080
 So we will then, we have people we collaborated with,

24:07.080 --> 24:09.080
 we'll say, sometimes they'll say, you know what,

24:09.080 --> 24:11.080
 I have some collected data, which I didn't publish,

24:11.080 --> 24:13.080
 but we can go back and look at it

24:13.080 --> 24:15.080
 and see if we can find that,

24:15.080 --> 24:17.080
 which is much easier than designing a new experiment.

24:17.080 --> 24:20.080
 You know, neuroscience experiments take a long time, years.

24:20.080 --> 24:23.080
 So although some people are doing that now too.

24:23.080 --> 24:27.080
 So, but between all of these things,

24:27.080 --> 24:29.080
 I think it's a reasonable,

24:29.080 --> 24:32.080
 it's actually a very, very good approach.

24:32.080 --> 24:35.080
 We are blessed with the fact that we can test our theories

24:35.080 --> 24:37.080
 out to yin and yang here,

24:37.080 --> 24:39.080
 because there's so much on a similar data,

24:39.080 --> 24:41.080
 and we can also falsify our theories very easily,

24:41.080 --> 24:43.080
 which we do often.

24:43.080 --> 24:46.080
 So it's kind of reminiscent to whenever that was with Copernicus,

24:46.080 --> 24:49.080
 you know, when you figure out that the sun is at the center,

24:49.080 --> 24:53.080
 the solar system as opposed to Earth,

24:53.080 --> 24:55.080
 the pieces just fall into place.

24:55.080 --> 24:59.080
 Yeah, I think that's the general nature of the Ha moments,

24:59.080 --> 25:02.080
 is in Copernicus, it could be,

25:02.080 --> 25:05.080
 you could say the same thing about Darwin,

25:05.080 --> 25:07.080
 you could say the same thing about, you know,

25:07.080 --> 25:09.080
 about the double helix,

25:09.080 --> 25:13.080
 that people have been working on a problem for so long,

25:13.080 --> 25:14.080
 and have all this data,

25:14.080 --> 25:15.080
 and they can't make sense of it, they can't make sense of it.

25:15.080 --> 25:17.080
 But when the answer comes to you,

25:17.080 --> 25:19.080
 and everything falls into place,

25:19.080 --> 25:21.080
 it's like, oh my gosh, that's it.

25:21.080 --> 25:23.080
 That's got to be right.

25:23.080 --> 25:28.080
 I asked both Jim Watson and Francis Crick about this.

25:28.080 --> 25:30.080
 I asked them, you know,

25:30.080 --> 25:33.080
 when you were working on trying to discover the structure

25:33.080 --> 25:35.080
 of the double helix,

25:35.080 --> 25:38.080
 and when you came up with the sort of,

25:38.080 --> 25:42.080
 the structure that ended up being correct,

25:42.080 --> 25:44.080
 but it was sort of a guess, you know,

25:44.080 --> 25:46.080
 it wasn't really verified yet.

25:46.080 --> 25:48.080
 I said, did you know that it was right?

25:48.080 --> 25:50.080
 And they both said, absolutely.

25:50.080 --> 25:52.080
 We absolutely knew it was right.

25:52.080 --> 25:55.080
 And it doesn't matter if other people didn't believe it or not,

25:55.080 --> 25:57.080
 we knew it was right, they'd get around to thinking it

25:57.080 --> 25:59.080
 and agree with it eventually anyway.

25:59.080 --> 26:01.080
 And that's the kind of thing you hear a lot with scientists

26:01.080 --> 26:04.080
 who really are studying a difficult problem,

26:04.080 --> 26:07.080
 and I feel that way too, about our work.

26:07.080 --> 26:10.080
 Have you talked to Crick or Watson about the problem

26:10.080 --> 26:15.080
 you're trying to solve, the, of finding the DNA of the brain?

26:15.080 --> 26:16.080
 Yeah.

26:16.080 --> 26:19.080
 In fact, Francis Crick was very interested in this,

26:19.080 --> 26:21.080
 in the latter part of his life.

26:21.080 --> 26:23.080
 And in fact, I got interested in brains

26:23.080 --> 26:26.080
 by reading an essay he wrote in 1979

26:26.080 --> 26:28.080
 called Thinking About the Brain.

26:28.080 --> 26:30.080
 And that was when I decided

26:30.080 --> 26:33.080
 I'm going to leave my profession of computers and engineering

26:33.080 --> 26:35.080
 and become a neuroscientist.

26:35.080 --> 26:37.080
 Just reading that one essay from Francis Crick.

26:37.080 --> 26:39.080
 I got to meet him later in life.

26:39.080 --> 26:43.080
 I got to, I spoke at the Salk Institute

26:43.080 --> 26:44.080
 and he was in the audience

26:44.080 --> 26:47.080
 and then I had a tea with him afterwards.

26:47.080 --> 26:50.080
 You know, he was interested in a different problem.

26:50.080 --> 26:52.080
 He was focused on consciousness.

26:52.080 --> 26:54.080
 The easy problem, right?

26:54.080 --> 26:58.080
 Well, I think it's the red herring

26:58.080 --> 27:01.080
 and so we weren't really overlapping a lot there.

27:01.080 --> 27:05.080
 Jim Watson, who's still alive,

27:05.080 --> 27:07.080
 is also interested in this problem

27:07.080 --> 27:11.080
 and when he was director of the Coltsman Harbor Laboratories,

27:11.080 --> 27:13.080
 he was really sort of behind

27:13.080 --> 27:16.080
 moving in the direction of neuroscience there.

27:16.080 --> 27:19.080
 And so he had a personal interest in this field

27:19.080 --> 27:23.080
 and I have met with him numerous times.

27:23.080 --> 27:25.080
 And in fact, the last time,

27:25.080 --> 27:27.080
 a little bit over a year ago,

27:27.080 --> 27:30.080
 I gave a talk at Coltsman Harbor Labs

27:30.080 --> 27:34.080
 about the progress we were making in our work.

27:34.080 --> 27:39.080
 And it was a lot of fun because he said,

27:39.080 --> 27:41.080
 well, you wouldn't be coming here

27:41.080 --> 27:42.080
 unless you had something important to say,

27:42.080 --> 27:44.080
 so I'm going to go attend your talk.

27:44.080 --> 27:46.080
 So he sat in the very front row.

27:46.080 --> 27:50.080
 Next to him was the director of the lab, Bruce Stillman.

27:50.080 --> 27:52.080
 So these guys were in the front row of this auditorium, right?

27:52.080 --> 27:54.080
 So nobody else in the auditorium wants to sit in the front row

27:54.080 --> 27:57.080
 because there's Jim Watson there as the director.

27:57.080 --> 28:03.080
 And I gave a talk and then I had dinner with Jim afterwards.

28:03.080 --> 28:06.080
 But there's a great picture of my colleague,

28:06.080 --> 28:08.080
 Subitai Amantik, where I'm up there

28:08.080 --> 28:11.080
 sort of expiring the basics of this new framework we have.

28:11.080 --> 28:13.080
 And Jim Watson's on the edge of his chair.

28:13.080 --> 28:15.080
 He's literally on the edge of his chair,

28:15.080 --> 28:17.080
 like, internally staring up at the screen.

28:17.080 --> 28:21.080
 And when he discovered the structure of DNA,

28:21.080 --> 28:25.080
 the first public talk he gave was at Coltsman Harbor Labs.

28:25.080 --> 28:27.080
 And there's a picture, there's a famous picture

28:27.080 --> 28:29.080
 of Jim Watson standing at the whiteboard

28:29.080 --> 28:31.080
 with an overhead thing pointing at something,

28:31.080 --> 28:33.080
 pointing at the double helix at this pointer.

28:33.080 --> 28:35.080
 And it actually looks a lot like the picture of me.

28:35.080 --> 28:37.080
 So there was a sort of funny, there's an area talking about the brain

28:37.080 --> 28:39.080
 and there's Jim Watson staring up at the tent.

28:39.080 --> 28:41.080
 And of course, there was, you know, whatever,

28:41.080 --> 28:44.080
 60 years earlier he was standing pointing at the double helix.

28:44.080 --> 28:47.080
 It's one of the great discoveries in all of, you know,

28:47.080 --> 28:50.080
 whatever, by all the science, all science and DNA.

28:50.080 --> 28:54.080
 So it's the funny that there's echoes of that in your presentation.

28:54.080 --> 28:58.080
 Do you think in terms of evolutionary timeline and history,

28:58.080 --> 29:01.080
 the development of the neocortex was a big leap?

29:01.080 --> 29:06.080
 Or is it just a small step?

29:06.080 --> 29:09.080
 So, like, if we ran the whole thing over again,

29:09.080 --> 29:12.080
 from the birth of life on Earth,

29:12.080 --> 29:15.080
 how likely would we develop the mechanism of the neocortex?

29:15.080 --> 29:17.080
 Okay, well, those are two separate questions.

29:17.080 --> 29:19.080
 One, was it a big leap?

29:19.080 --> 29:21.080
 And one was how likely it is, okay?

29:21.080 --> 29:23.080
 They're not necessarily related.

29:23.080 --> 29:25.080
 Maybe correlated.

29:25.080 --> 29:28.080
 And we don't really have enough data to make a judgment about that.

29:28.080 --> 29:30.080
 I would say definitely it was a big leap.

29:30.080 --> 29:31.080
 And I can tell you why.

29:31.080 --> 29:34.080
 I don't think it was just another incremental step.

29:34.080 --> 29:36.080
 I'll get that in a moment.

29:36.080 --> 29:38.080
 I don't really have any idea how likely it is.

29:38.080 --> 29:41.080
 If we look at evolution, we have one data point,

29:41.080 --> 29:43.080
 which is Earth, right?

29:43.080 --> 29:45.080
 Life formed on Earth billions of years ago,

29:45.080 --> 29:48.080
 whether it was introduced here or it created it here

29:48.080 --> 29:50.080
 or someone introduced it we don't really know,

29:50.080 --> 29:51.080
 but it was here early.

29:51.080 --> 29:55.080
 It took a long, long time to get to multicellular life.

29:55.080 --> 29:58.080
 And then from multicellular life,

29:58.080 --> 30:02.080
 it took a long, long time to get the neocortex.

30:02.080 --> 30:05.080
 And we've only had the neocortex for a few hundred thousand years.

30:05.080 --> 30:07.080
 So that's like nothing.

30:07.080 --> 30:09.080
 Okay, so is it likely?

30:09.080 --> 30:13.080
 Well, certainly it isn't something that happened right away on Earth.

30:13.080 --> 30:15.080
 And there were multiple steps to get there.

30:15.080 --> 30:17.080
 So I would say it's probably not going to something that would happen

30:17.080 --> 30:20.080
 instantaneously on other planets that might have life.

30:20.080 --> 30:23.080
 It might take several billion years on average.

30:23.080 --> 30:24.080
 Is it likely?

30:24.080 --> 30:25.080
 I don't know.

30:25.080 --> 30:28.080
 But you'd have to survive for several billion years to find out.

30:28.080 --> 30:29.080
 Probably.

30:29.080 --> 30:30.080
 Is it a big leap?

30:30.080 --> 30:35.080
 Yeah, I think it is a qualitative difference

30:35.080 --> 30:38.080
 in all other evolutionary steps.

30:38.080 --> 30:40.080
 I can try to describe that if you'd like.

30:40.080 --> 30:42.080
 Sure, in which way?

30:42.080 --> 30:44.080
 Yeah, I can tell you how.

30:44.080 --> 30:48.080
 Pretty much, let's start with a little preface.

30:48.080 --> 30:54.080
 Maybe the things that humans are able to do do not have obvious

30:54.080 --> 30:59.080
 survival advantages precedent.

30:59.080 --> 31:00.080
 We create music.

31:00.080 --> 31:03.080
 Is there a really survival advantage to that?

31:03.080 --> 31:04.080
 Maybe, maybe not.

31:04.080 --> 31:05.080
 What about mathematics?

31:05.080 --> 31:09.080
 Is there a real survival advantage to mathematics?

31:09.080 --> 31:10.080
 You can stretch it.

31:10.080 --> 31:13.080
 You can try to figure these things out, right?

31:13.080 --> 31:18.080
 But most of evolutionary history, everything had immediate survival

31:18.080 --> 31:19.080
 advantages to it.

31:19.080 --> 31:22.080
 I'll tell you a story, which I like.

31:22.080 --> 31:25.080
 It may not be true.

31:25.080 --> 31:29.080
 But the story goes as follows.

31:29.080 --> 31:34.080
 Organisms have been evolving since the beginning of life here on Earth.

31:34.080 --> 31:37.080
 Adding this sort of complexity onto that and this sort of complexity onto that.

31:37.080 --> 31:40.080
 And the brain itself is evolved this way.

31:40.080 --> 31:44.080
 There's an old part, an older part, an older, older part to the brain that kind of just

31:44.080 --> 31:47.080
 keeps calming on new things and we keep adding capabilities.

31:47.080 --> 31:52.080
 When we got to the neocortex, initially it had a very clear survival advantage

31:52.080 --> 31:56.080
 in that it produced better vision and better hearing and better touch and maybe

31:56.080 --> 31:58.080
 a new place and so on.

31:58.080 --> 32:04.080
 But what I think happens is that evolution took a mechanism, and this is in our

32:04.080 --> 32:08.080
 recent theory, but it took a mechanism that evolved a long time ago for

32:08.080 --> 32:10.080
 navigating in the world, for knowing where you are.

32:10.080 --> 32:14.080
 These are the so called grid cells and place cells of that old part of the brain.

32:14.080 --> 32:21.080
 And it took that mechanism for building maps of the world and knowing where you are

32:21.080 --> 32:26.080
 on those maps and how to navigate those maps and turns it into a sort of a slim

32:26.080 --> 32:29.080
 down idealized version of it.

32:29.080 --> 32:32.080
 And that idealized version could now apply to building maps of other things,

32:32.080 --> 32:36.080
 maps of coffee cups and maps of phones, maps of mathematics.

32:36.080 --> 32:40.080
 Concepts, yes, and not just almost, exactly.

32:40.080 --> 32:44.080
 And it just started replicating this stuff.

32:44.080 --> 32:46.080
 You just think more and more and more.

32:46.080 --> 32:51.080
 So we went from being sort of dedicated purpose neural hardware to solve certain

32:51.080 --> 32:56.080
 problems that are important to survival to a general purpose neural hardware

32:56.080 --> 33:02.080
 that could be applied to all problems and now it's escaped the orbit of survival.

33:02.080 --> 33:08.080
 It's, we are now able to apply it to things which we find enjoyment, you know,

33:08.080 --> 33:13.080
 but aren't really clearly survival characteristics.

33:13.080 --> 33:19.080
 And that it seems to only have happened in humans to the large extent.

33:19.080 --> 33:24.080
 And so that's what's going on where we sort of have, we've sort of escaped the

33:24.080 --> 33:28.080
 gravity of evolutionary pressure in some sense in the near cortex.

33:28.080 --> 33:32.080
 And it now does things which are not, that are really interesting,

33:32.080 --> 33:36.080
 discovering models of the universe, which may not really help us.

33:36.080 --> 33:37.080
 It doesn't matter.

33:37.080 --> 33:41.080
 How does it help us surviving knowing that there might be multiple verses or that

33:41.080 --> 33:44.080
 there might be, you know, the age of the universe or how do, you know,

33:44.080 --> 33:46.080
 various stellar things occur?

33:46.080 --> 33:47.080
 It doesn't really help us survive at all.

33:47.080 --> 33:50.080
 But we enjoy it and that's what happened.

33:50.080 --> 33:53.080
 Or at least not in the obvious way, perhaps.

33:53.080 --> 33:58.080
 It is required, if you look at the entire universe in an evolutionary way,

33:58.080 --> 34:03.080
 it's required for us to do interplanetary travel and therefore survive past our own fun.

34:03.080 --> 34:05.080
 But you know, let's not get too quick.

34:05.080 --> 34:07.080
 Yeah, but, you know, evolution works at one time frame.

34:07.080 --> 34:11.080
 It's survival, if you think of survival of the phenotype,

34:11.080 --> 34:13.080
 survival of the individual.

34:13.080 --> 34:16.080
 What you're talking about there is spans well beyond that.

34:16.080 --> 34:22.080
 So there's no genetic, I'm not transferring any genetic traits to my children.

34:22.080 --> 34:25.080
 That are going to help them survive better on Mars.

34:25.080 --> 34:27.080
 Totally different mechanism.

34:27.080 --> 34:32.080
 So let's get into the new, as you've mentioned, this idea,

34:32.080 --> 34:35.080
 I don't know if you have a nice name, thousand.

34:35.080 --> 34:37.080
 We call it the thousand brain theory of intelligence.

34:37.080 --> 34:38.080
 I like it.

34:38.080 --> 34:44.080
 So can you talk about this idea of spatial view of concepts and so on?

34:44.080 --> 34:45.080
 Yeah.

34:45.080 --> 34:49.080
 So can I just describe sort of the, there's an underlying core discovery,

34:49.080 --> 34:51.080
 which then everything comes from that.

34:51.080 --> 34:55.080
 That's a very simple, this is really what happened.

34:55.080 --> 35:00.080
 We were deep into problems about understanding how we build models of stuff in the world

35:00.080 --> 35:03.080
 and how we make predictions about things.

35:03.080 --> 35:07.080
 And I was holding a coffee cup just like this in my hand.

35:07.080 --> 35:10.080
 And I had my finger was touching the side, my index finger.

35:10.080 --> 35:15.080
 And then I moved it to the top and I was going to feel the rim at the top of the cup.

35:15.080 --> 35:18.080
 And I asked myself a very simple question.

35:18.080 --> 35:22.080
 I said, well, first of all, let's say I know that my brain predicts what it's going to feel

35:22.080 --> 35:23.080
 before it touches it.

35:23.080 --> 35:25.080
 You can just think about it and imagine it.

35:25.080 --> 35:28.080
 And so we know that the brain's making predictions all the time.

35:28.080 --> 35:31.080
 So the question is, what does it take to predict that?

35:31.080 --> 35:33.080
 And there's a very interesting answer.

35:33.080 --> 35:36.080
 First of all, it says the brain has to know it's touching a coffee cup.

35:36.080 --> 35:38.080
 It has to have a model of a coffee cup.

35:38.080 --> 35:43.080
 It needs to know where the finger currently is on the cup, relative to the cup.

35:43.080 --> 35:46.080
 Because when I make a movement, it needs to know where it's going to be on the cup

35:46.080 --> 35:50.080
 after the movement is completed, relative to the cup.

35:50.080 --> 35:53.080
 And then it can make a prediction about what it's going to sense.

35:53.080 --> 35:56.080
 So this told me that the neocortex, which is making this prediction,

35:56.080 --> 35:59.080
 needs to know that it's sensing it's touching a cup.

35:59.080 --> 36:02.080
 And it needs to know the location of my finger relative to that cup

36:02.080 --> 36:04.080
 in a reference frame of the cup.

36:04.080 --> 36:06.080
 It doesn't matter where the cup is relative to my body.

36:06.080 --> 36:08.080
 It doesn't matter its orientation.

36:08.080 --> 36:09.080
 None of that matters.

36:09.080 --> 36:13.080
 It's where my finger is relative to the cup, which tells me then that the neocortex

36:13.080 --> 36:17.080
 has a reference frame that's anchored to the cup.

36:17.080 --> 36:19.080
 Because otherwise, I wouldn't be able to say the location

36:19.080 --> 36:21.080
 and I wouldn't be able to predict my new location.

36:21.080 --> 36:24.080
 And then we quickly, very instantly, you can say,

36:24.080 --> 36:26.080
 well, every part of my skin could touch this cup

36:26.080 --> 36:28.080
 and therefore every part of my skin is making predictions

36:28.080 --> 36:30.080
 and every part of my skin must have a reference frame

36:30.080 --> 36:33.080
 that it's using to make predictions.

36:33.080 --> 36:39.080
 So the big idea is that throughout the neocortex,

36:39.080 --> 36:47.080
 there are, everything is being stored and referenced in reference frames.

36:47.080 --> 36:49.080
 You can think of them like XYZ reference frames,

36:49.080 --> 36:50.080
 but they're not like that.

36:50.080 --> 36:52.080
 We know a lot about the neural mechanisms for this.

36:52.080 --> 36:55.080
 But the brain thinks in reference frames.

36:55.080 --> 36:58.080
 And as an engineer, if you're an engineer, this is not surprising.

36:58.080 --> 37:01.080
 You'd say, if I were to build a CAD model of the coffee cup,

37:01.080 --> 37:03.080
 well, I would bring it up in some CAD software

37:03.080 --> 37:05.080
 and I would assign some reference frame and say,

37:05.080 --> 37:07.080
 this features at this location and so on.

37:07.080 --> 37:10.080
 But the fact that this, the idea that this is occurring

37:10.080 --> 37:14.080
 throughout the neocortex everywhere, it was a novel idea.

37:14.080 --> 37:20.080
 And then a zillion things fell into place after that, a zillion.

37:20.080 --> 37:23.080
 So now we think about the neocortex as processing information

37:23.080 --> 37:25.080
 quite differently than we used to do it.

37:25.080 --> 37:28.080
 We used to think about the neocortex as processing sensory data

37:28.080 --> 37:30.080
 and extracting features from that sensory data

37:30.080 --> 37:32.080
 and then extracting features from the features

37:32.080 --> 37:35.080
 very much like a deep learning network does today.

37:35.080 --> 37:36.080
 But that's not how the brain works at all.

37:36.080 --> 37:39.080
 The brain works by assigning everything,

37:39.080 --> 37:41.080
 every input, everything to reference frames,

37:41.080 --> 37:44.080
 and there are thousands, hundreds of thousands of them

37:44.080 --> 37:47.080
 active at once in your neocortex.

37:47.080 --> 37:49.080
 It's a surprising thing to think about,

37:49.080 --> 37:51.080
 but once you sort of internalize this,

37:51.080 --> 37:54.080
 you understand that it explains almost every,

37:54.080 --> 37:57.080
 almost all the mysteries we've had about this structure.

37:57.080 --> 38:00.080
 So one of the consequences of that is that

38:00.080 --> 38:04.080
 every small part of the neocortex, say a millimeter square,

38:04.080 --> 38:06.080
 and there's 150,000 of those.

38:06.080 --> 38:08.080
 So it's about 150,000 square millimeters.

38:08.080 --> 38:11.080
 If you take every little square millimeter of the cortex,

38:11.080 --> 38:13.080
 it's got some input coming into it,

38:13.080 --> 38:15.080
 and it's going to have reference frames

38:15.080 --> 38:17.080
 where it's assigning that input to.

38:17.080 --> 38:21.080
 And each square millimeter can learn complete models of objects.

38:21.080 --> 38:22.080
 So what do I mean by that?

38:22.080 --> 38:23.080
 If I'm touching the coffee cup,

38:23.080 --> 38:25.080
 well, if I just touch it in one place,

38:25.080 --> 38:27.080
 I can't learn what this coffee cup is

38:27.080 --> 38:29.080
 because I'm just feeling one part.

38:29.080 --> 38:32.080
 But if I move it around the cup and touch it in different areas,

38:32.080 --> 38:34.080
 I can build up a complete model of the cup

38:34.080 --> 38:36.080
 because I'm now filling in that three dimensional map,

38:36.080 --> 38:37.080
 which is the coffee cup.

38:37.080 --> 38:39.080
 I can say, oh, what am I feeling in all these different locations?

38:39.080 --> 38:40.080
 That's the basic idea.

38:40.080 --> 38:42.080
 It's more complicated than that.

38:42.080 --> 38:46.080
 But so through time, and we talked about time earlier,

38:46.080 --> 38:48.080
 through time, even a single column,

38:48.080 --> 38:50.080
 which is only looking at, or a single part of the cortex,

38:50.080 --> 38:52.080
 which is only looking at a small part of the world,

38:52.080 --> 38:54.080
 can build up a complete model of an object.

38:54.080 --> 38:57.080
 And so if you think about the part of the brain,

38:57.080 --> 38:59.080
 which is getting input from all my fingers,

38:59.080 --> 39:01.080
 so they're spread across the top of your head here.

39:01.080 --> 39:03.080
 This is the somatosensory cortex.

39:03.080 --> 39:07.080
 There's columns associated with all the different areas of my skin.

39:07.080 --> 39:10.080
 And what we believe is happening is that

39:10.080 --> 39:12.080
 all of them are building models of this cup,

39:12.080 --> 39:15.080
 every one of them, or things.

39:15.080 --> 39:18.080
 Not every column or every part of the cortex

39:18.080 --> 39:19.080
 builds models of everything,

39:19.080 --> 39:21.080
 but they're all building models of something.

39:21.080 --> 39:26.080
 And so when I touch this cup with my hand,

39:26.080 --> 39:29.080
 there are multiple models of the cup being invoked.

39:29.080 --> 39:30.080
 If I look at it with my eyes,

39:30.080 --> 39:32.080
 there are again many models of the cup being invoked,

39:32.080 --> 39:34.080
 because each part of the visual system,

39:34.080 --> 39:36.080
 the brain doesn't process an image.

39:36.080 --> 39:38.080
 That's a misleading idea.

39:38.080 --> 39:40.080
 It's just like your fingers touching the cup,

39:40.080 --> 39:43.080
 so different parts of my retina are looking at different parts of the cup.

39:43.080 --> 39:45.080
 And thousands and thousands of models of the cup

39:45.080 --> 39:47.080
 are being invoked at once.

39:47.080 --> 39:49.080
 And they're all voting with each other,

39:49.080 --> 39:50.080
 trying to figure out what's going on.

39:50.080 --> 39:52.080
 So that's why we call it the thousand brains theory of intelligence,

39:52.080 --> 39:54.080
 because there isn't one model of a cup.

39:54.080 --> 39:56.080
 There are thousands of models of this cup.

39:56.080 --> 39:58.080
 There are thousands of models of your cell phone,

39:58.080 --> 40:01.080
 and about cameras and microphones and so on.

40:01.080 --> 40:03.080
 It's a distributed modeling system,

40:03.080 --> 40:05.080
 which is very different than what people have thought about it.

40:05.080 --> 40:07.080
 So that's a really compelling and interesting idea.

40:07.080 --> 40:09.080
 I have two first questions.

40:09.080 --> 40:12.080
 So one, on the ensemble part of everything coming together,

40:12.080 --> 40:14.080
 you have these thousand brains.

40:14.080 --> 40:19.080
 How do you know which one has done the best job of forming the cup?

40:19.080 --> 40:20.080
 Great question. Let me try to explain.

40:20.080 --> 40:23.080
 There's a problem that's known in neuroscience

40:23.080 --> 40:25.080
 called the sensor fusion problem.

40:25.080 --> 40:26.080
 Yes.

40:26.080 --> 40:28.080
 And so the idea is something like,

40:28.080 --> 40:29.080
 oh, the image comes from the eye.

40:29.080 --> 40:30.080
 There's a picture on the retina.

40:30.080 --> 40:32.080
 And it gets projected to the neocortex.

40:32.080 --> 40:35.080
 Oh, by now it's all sped out all over the place,

40:35.080 --> 40:37.080
 and it's kind of squirrely and distorted,

40:37.080 --> 40:39.080
 and pieces are all over the, you know,

40:39.080 --> 40:41.080
 it doesn't look like a picture anymore.

40:41.080 --> 40:43.080
 When does it all come back together again?

40:43.080 --> 40:44.080
 Right?

40:44.080 --> 40:46.080
 Or you might say, well, yes, but I also,

40:46.080 --> 40:48.080
 I also have sounds or touches associated with the cup.

40:48.080 --> 40:50.080
 So I'm seeing the cup and touching the cup.

40:50.080 --> 40:52.080
 How do they get combined together again?

40:52.080 --> 40:54.080
 So this is called the sensor fusion problem.

40:54.080 --> 40:57.080
 As if all these disparate parts have to be brought together

40:57.080 --> 40:59.080
 into one model someplace.

40:59.080 --> 41:01.080
 That's the wrong idea.

41:01.080 --> 41:03.080
 The right idea is that you get all these guys voting.

41:03.080 --> 41:05.080
 There's auditory models of the cup,

41:05.080 --> 41:07.080
 there's visual models of the cup,

41:07.080 --> 41:09.080
 there's tactile models of the cup.

41:09.080 --> 41:11.080
 In the vision system, there might be ones

41:11.080 --> 41:13.080
 that are more focused on black and white,

41:13.080 --> 41:14.080
 ones versioned on color.

41:14.080 --> 41:15.080
 It doesn't really matter.

41:15.080 --> 41:17.080
 There's just thousands and thousands of models of this cup.

41:17.080 --> 41:18.080
 And they vote.

41:18.080 --> 41:20.080
 They don't actually come together in one spot.

41:20.080 --> 41:22.080
 Just literally think of it this way.

41:22.080 --> 41:25.080
 Imagine you have, each columns are like about the size

41:25.080 --> 41:26.080
 of a little piece of spaghetti.

41:26.080 --> 41:27.080
 Okay?

41:27.080 --> 41:28.080
 Like a two and a half millimeters tall

41:28.080 --> 41:30.080
 and about a millimeter in white.

41:30.080 --> 41:33.080
 They're not physical like, but you can think of them that way.

41:33.080 --> 41:36.080
 And each one's trying to guess what this thing is or touching.

41:36.080 --> 41:38.080
 Now they can, they can do a pretty good job

41:38.080 --> 41:40.080
 if they're allowed to move over time.

41:40.080 --> 41:42.080
 So I can reach my hand into a black box and move my finger

41:42.080 --> 41:44.080
 around an object and if I touch enough space,

41:44.080 --> 41:46.080
 it's like, okay, I know what it is.

41:46.080 --> 41:48.080
 But often we don't do that.

41:48.080 --> 41:50.080
 Often I can just reach and grab something with my hand

41:50.080 --> 41:51.080
 all at once and I get it.

41:51.080 --> 41:53.080
 Or if I had to look through the world through a straw,

41:53.080 --> 41:55.080
 so I'm only invoking one little column,

41:55.080 --> 41:57.080
 I can only see part of something because I have to move

41:57.080 --> 41:58.080
 the straw around.

41:58.080 --> 42:00.080
 But if I open my eyes to see the whole thing at once.

42:00.080 --> 42:02.080
 So what we think is going on is all these little pieces

42:02.080 --> 42:05.080
 of spaghetti, all these little columns in the cortex

42:05.080 --> 42:08.080
 are all trying to guess what it is that they're sensing.

42:08.080 --> 42:10.080
 They'll do a better guess if they have time

42:10.080 --> 42:11.080
 and can move over time.

42:11.080 --> 42:13.080
 So if I move my eyes and move my fingers.

42:13.080 --> 42:16.080
 But if they don't, they have a, they have a poor guess.

42:16.080 --> 42:19.080
 It's a, it's a probabilistic guess of what they might be touching.

42:19.080 --> 42:22.080
 Now imagine they can post their probability

42:22.080 --> 42:24.080
 at the top of little piece of spaghetti.

42:24.080 --> 42:25.080
 Each one of them says, I think,

42:25.080 --> 42:27.080
 and it's not really a probability distribution.

42:27.080 --> 42:29.080
 It's more like a set of possibilities in the brain.

42:29.080 --> 42:31.080
 It doesn't work as a probability distribution.

42:31.080 --> 42:33.080
 It works as more like what we call a union.

42:33.080 --> 42:35.080
 You could say, and one column says,

42:35.080 --> 42:39.080
 I think it could be a coffee cup, a soda can or a water bottle.

42:39.080 --> 42:42.080
 And another column says, I think it could be a coffee cup

42:42.080 --> 42:45.080
 or a, you know, telephone or camera or whatever.

42:45.080 --> 42:46.080
 Right.

42:46.080 --> 42:49.080
 And all these guys are saying what they think it might be.

42:49.080 --> 42:51.080
 And there's these long range connections

42:51.080 --> 42:53.080
 in certain layers in the cortex.

42:53.080 --> 42:57.080
 So there's some layers in some cell types in each column

42:57.080 --> 42:59.080
 send the projections across the brain.

42:59.080 --> 43:01.080
 And that's the voting occurs.

43:01.080 --> 43:04.080
 And so there's a simple associative memory mechanism.

43:04.080 --> 43:07.080
 We've described this in a recent paper and we've modeled this

43:07.080 --> 43:11.080
 that says they can all quickly settle on the only

43:11.080 --> 43:14.080
 or the one best answer for all of them.

43:14.080 --> 43:17.080
 If there is a single best answer, they all vote and say,

43:17.080 --> 43:19.080
 yep, it's got to be the coffee cup.

43:19.080 --> 43:21.080
 And at that point, they all know it's a coffee cup.

43:21.080 --> 43:23.080
 And at that point, everyone acts as if it's a coffee cup.

43:23.080 --> 43:24.080
 Yeah, we know it's a coffee.

43:24.080 --> 43:26.080
 Even though I've only seen one little piece of this world,

43:26.080 --> 43:28.080
 I know it's a coffee cup I'm touching or I'm seeing or whatever.

43:28.080 --> 43:31.080
 And so you can think of all these columns are looking

43:31.080 --> 43:33.080
 at different parts and different places,

43:33.080 --> 43:35.080
 different sensory input, different locations.

43:35.080 --> 43:36.080
 They're all different.

43:36.080 --> 43:40.080
 But this layer that's doing the voting, it solidifies.

43:40.080 --> 43:43.080
 It crystallizes and says, oh, we all know what we're doing.

43:43.080 --> 43:46.080
 And so you don't bring these models together in one model,

43:46.080 --> 43:49.080
 you just vote and there's a crystallization of the vote.

43:49.080 --> 43:50.080
 Great.

43:50.080 --> 43:56.080
 That's at least a compelling way to think about the way you

43:56.080 --> 43:58.080
 form a model of the world.

43:58.080 --> 44:00.080
 Now, you talk about a coffee cup.

44:00.080 --> 44:04.080
 Do you see this as far as I understand that you were proposing

44:04.080 --> 44:07.080
 this as well, that this extends to much more than coffee cups?

44:07.080 --> 44:09.080
 Yeah, it does.

44:09.080 --> 44:11.080
 Or at least the physical world.

44:11.080 --> 44:14.080
 It expands to the world of concepts.

44:14.080 --> 44:15.080
 Yeah, it does.

44:15.080 --> 44:18.080
 And well, the first, the primary phase of evidence for that

44:18.080 --> 44:21.080
 is that the regions of the neocortex that are associated

44:21.080 --> 44:24.080
 with language or high level thought or mathematics or things

44:24.080 --> 44:26.080
 like that, they look like the regions of the neocortex

44:26.080 --> 44:28.080
 that process vision and hearing and touch.

44:28.080 --> 44:31.080
 They don't look any different or they look only marginally

44:31.080 --> 44:32.080
 different.

44:32.080 --> 44:36.080
 And so one would say, well, if Vernon Mountcastle,

44:36.080 --> 44:39.080
 who proposed that all the parts of the neocortex

44:39.080 --> 44:42.080
 are the same thing, if he's right, then the parts

44:42.080 --> 44:44.080
 that are doing language or mathematics or physics

44:44.080 --> 44:46.080
 are working on the same principle.

44:46.080 --> 44:48.080
 They must be working on the principle of reference frames.

44:48.080 --> 44:51.080
 So that's a little odd thought.

44:51.080 --> 44:55.080
 But of course, we had no prior idea how these things happen.

44:55.080 --> 44:57.080
 So let's go with that.

44:57.080 --> 45:01.080
 And in our recent paper, we talked a little bit about that.

45:01.080 --> 45:03.080
 I've been working on it more since.

45:03.080 --> 45:05.080
 I have better ideas about it now.

45:05.080 --> 45:08.080
 I'm sitting here very confident that that's what's happening.

45:08.080 --> 45:11.080
 And I can give you some examples to help you think about that.

45:11.080 --> 45:13.080
 It's not that we understand it completely,

45:13.080 --> 45:15.080
 but I understand it better than I've described it in any paper

45:15.080 --> 45:16.080
 so far.

45:16.080 --> 45:18.080
 But we did put that idea out there.

45:18.080 --> 45:22.080
 It's a good place to start.

45:22.080 --> 45:25.080
 And the evidence would suggest it's how it's happening.

45:25.080 --> 45:27.080
 And then we can start tackling that problem one piece at a time.

45:27.080 --> 45:29.080
 What does it mean to do high level thought?

45:29.080 --> 45:30.080
 What does it mean to do language?

45:30.080 --> 45:34.080
 How would that fit into a reference framework?

45:34.080 --> 45:38.080
 I don't know if you could tell me if there's a connection,

45:38.080 --> 45:42.080
 but there's an app called Anki that helps you remember different concepts.

45:42.080 --> 45:46.080
 And they talk about like a memory palace that helps you remember

45:46.080 --> 45:50.080
 completely random concepts by trying to put them in a physical space

45:50.080 --> 45:52.080
 in your mind and putting them next to each other.

45:52.080 --> 45:54.080
 It's called the method of loci.

45:54.080 --> 45:57.080
 For some reason, that seems to work really well.

45:57.080 --> 46:00.080
 Now that's a very narrow kind of application of just remembering some facts.

46:00.080 --> 46:03.080
 But that's a very, very telling one.

46:03.080 --> 46:04.080
 Yes, exactly.

46:04.080 --> 46:09.080
 So this seems like you're describing a mechanism why this seems to work.

46:09.080 --> 46:13.080
 So basically the way what we think is going on is all things you know,

46:13.080 --> 46:17.080
 all concepts, all ideas, words, everything, you know,

46:17.080 --> 46:20.080
 are stored in reference frames.

46:20.080 --> 46:24.080
 And so if you want to remember something,

46:24.080 --> 46:27.080
 you have to basically navigate through a reference frame the same way

46:27.080 --> 46:28.080
 a rat navigates to a man.

46:28.080 --> 46:31.080
 Even the same way my finger rat navigates to this coffee cup.

46:31.080 --> 46:33.080
 You are moving through some space.

46:33.080 --> 46:37.080
 And so if you have a random list of things you would ask to remember

46:37.080 --> 46:39.080
 by assigning them to a reference frame,

46:39.080 --> 46:42.080
 you've already know very well to see your house, right?

46:42.080 --> 46:44.080
 And the idea of the method of loci is you can say,

46:44.080 --> 46:46.080
 okay, in my lobby, I'm going to put this thing.

46:46.080 --> 46:48.080
 And then the bedroom, I put this one.

46:48.080 --> 46:49.080
 I go down the hall, I put this thing.

46:49.080 --> 46:51.080
 And then you want to recall those facts.

46:51.080 --> 46:52.080
 So recall those things.

46:52.080 --> 46:53.080
 You just walk mentally.

46:53.080 --> 46:54.080
 You walk through your house.

46:54.080 --> 46:57.080
 You're mentally moving through a reference frame that you already had.

46:57.080 --> 47:00.080
 And that tells you there's two things that are really important about that.

47:00.080 --> 47:03.080
 It tells us the brain prefers to store things in reference frames.

47:03.080 --> 47:08.080
 And the method of recalling things or thinking, if you will,

47:08.080 --> 47:11.080
 is to move mentally through those reference frames.

47:11.080 --> 47:13.080
 You could move physically through some reference frames,

47:13.080 --> 47:16.080
 like I could physically move through the reference frame of this coffee cup.

47:16.080 --> 47:18.080
 I can also mentally move through the reference frame of the coffee cup,

47:18.080 --> 47:19.080
 imagining me touching it.

47:19.080 --> 47:22.080
 But I can also mentally move my house.

47:22.080 --> 47:26.080
 And so now we can ask ourselves, are all concepts stored this way?

47:26.080 --> 47:32.080
 There was some recent research using human subjects in fMRI.

47:32.080 --> 47:36.080
 And I'm going to apologize for not knowing the name of the scientists who did this.

47:36.080 --> 47:41.080
 But what they did is they put humans in this fMRI machine,

47:41.080 --> 47:42.080
 which was one of these imaging machines.

47:42.080 --> 47:46.080
 And they gave the humans tasks to think about birds.

47:46.080 --> 47:49.080
 So they had different types of birds, and birds that looked big and small

47:49.080 --> 47:51.080
 and long necks and long legs, things like that.

47:51.080 --> 47:56.080
 And what they could tell from the fMRI was a very clever experiment.

47:56.080 --> 48:00.080
 You get to tell when humans were thinking about the birds,

48:00.080 --> 48:05.080
 that the birds, the knowledge of birds was arranged in a reference frame

48:05.080 --> 48:08.080
 similar to the ones that are used when you navigate in a room.

48:08.080 --> 48:10.080
 These are called grid cells.

48:10.080 --> 48:14.080
 And there are grid cell like patterns of activity in the neocortex when they do this.

48:14.080 --> 48:18.080
 So that, it's a very clever experiment.

48:18.080 --> 48:22.080
 And what it basically says is that even when you're thinking about something abstract

48:22.080 --> 48:24.080
 and you're not really thinking about it as a reference frame,

48:24.080 --> 48:27.080
 it tells us the brain is actually using a reference frame.

48:27.080 --> 48:29.080
 And it's using the same neural mechanisms.

48:29.080 --> 48:32.080
 These grid cells are the basic same neural mechanisms that we propose

48:32.080 --> 48:36.080
 that grid cells, which exist in the old part of the brain, the entomonic cortex,

48:36.080 --> 48:40.080
 that that mechanism is now similar mechanism, is used throughout the neocortex.

48:40.080 --> 48:44.080
 It's the same nature to preserve this interesting way of creating reference frames.

48:44.080 --> 48:49.080
 And so now they have empirical evidence that when you think about concepts like birds

48:49.080 --> 48:53.080
 that you're using reference frames that are built on grid cells.

48:53.080 --> 48:55.080
 So that's similar to the method of loci.

48:55.080 --> 48:57.080
 But in this case, the birds are related so that makes,

48:57.080 --> 49:01.080
 they create their own reference frame, which is consistent with bird space.

49:01.080 --> 49:03.080
 And when you think about something, you go through that.

49:03.080 --> 49:04.080
 You can make the same example.

49:04.080 --> 49:06.080
 Let's take a math mathematics.

49:06.080 --> 49:08.080
 Let's say you want to prove a conjecture.

49:08.080 --> 49:09.080
 Okay.

49:09.080 --> 49:10.080
 What is a conjecture?

49:10.080 --> 49:13.080
 A conjecture is a statement you believe to be true,

49:13.080 --> 49:15.080
 but you haven't proven it.

49:15.080 --> 49:17.080
 And so it might be an equation.

49:17.080 --> 49:19.080
 I want to show that this is equal to that.

49:19.080 --> 49:21.080
 And you have some places you start with.

49:21.080 --> 49:23.080
 You say, well, I know this is true and I know this is true.

49:23.080 --> 49:26.080
 And I think that maybe to get to the final proof,

49:26.080 --> 49:28.080
 I need to go through some intermediate results.

49:28.080 --> 49:33.080
 What I believe is happening is literally these equations

49:33.080 --> 49:36.080
 or these points are assigned to a reference frame,

49:36.080 --> 49:38.080
 a mathematical reference frame.

49:38.080 --> 49:40.080
 And when you do mathematical operations,

49:40.080 --> 49:42.080
 a simple one might be multiply or divide,

49:42.080 --> 49:44.080
 maybe a little plus transform or something else.

49:44.080 --> 49:47.080
 That is like a movement in the reference frame of the math.

49:47.080 --> 49:50.080
 And so you're literally trying to discover a path

49:50.080 --> 49:56.080
 from one location to another location in a space of mathematics.

49:56.080 --> 49:58.080
 And if you can get to these intermediate results,

49:58.080 --> 50:00.080
 then you know your map is pretty good

50:00.080 --> 50:03.080
 and you know you're using the right operations.

50:03.080 --> 50:06.080
 Much of what we think about is solving hard problems

50:06.080 --> 50:09.080
 is designing the correct reference frame for that problem,

50:09.080 --> 50:12.080
 how to organize the information, and what behaviors

50:12.080 --> 50:15.080
 I want to use in that space to get me there.

50:15.080 --> 50:19.080
 Yeah, so if you dig in on an idea of this reference frame,

50:19.080 --> 50:21.080
 whether it's the math, you start a set of axioms

50:21.080 --> 50:24.080
 to try to get to proving the conjecture.

50:24.080 --> 50:27.080
 Can you try to describe, maybe take a step back,

50:27.080 --> 50:30.080
 how you think of the reference frame in that context?

50:30.080 --> 50:35.080
 Is it the reference frame that the axioms are happy in?

50:35.080 --> 50:38.080
 Is it the reference frame that might contain everything?

50:38.080 --> 50:41.080
 Is it a changing thing as you...

50:41.080 --> 50:43.080
 You have many, many reference frames.

50:43.080 --> 50:45.080
 In fact, the way the thousand brain theories of intelligence

50:45.080 --> 50:48.080
 says that every single thing in the world has its own reference frame.

50:48.080 --> 50:50.080
 So every word has its own reference frames.

50:50.080 --> 50:52.080
 And we can talk about this.

50:52.080 --> 50:55.080
 The mathematics work out this is no problem for neurons to do this.

50:55.080 --> 50:58.080
 But how many reference frames does the coffee cup have?

50:58.080 --> 51:03.080
 Well, let's say you ask how many reference frames

51:03.080 --> 51:07.080
 could the column in my finger that's touching the coffee cup have

51:07.080 --> 51:10.080
 because there are many, many models of the coffee cup.

51:10.080 --> 51:12.080
 So there is no model of the coffee cup.

51:12.080 --> 51:14.080
 There are many models of the coffee cup.

51:14.080 --> 51:17.080
 And you can say, well, how many different things can my finger learn?

51:17.080 --> 51:19.080
 Is this the question you want to ask?

51:19.080 --> 51:21.080
 Imagine I say every concept, every idea,

51:21.080 --> 51:23.080
 everything you've ever know about that you can say,

51:23.080 --> 51:28.080
 I know that thing has a reference frame associated with it.

51:28.080 --> 51:30.080
 And what we do when we build composite objects,

51:30.080 --> 51:34.080
 we assign reference frames to point another reference frame.

51:34.080 --> 51:37.080
 So my coffee cup has multiple components to it.

51:37.080 --> 51:38.080
 It's got a limb.

51:38.080 --> 51:39.080
 It's got a cylinder.

51:39.080 --> 51:40.080
 It's got a handle.

51:40.080 --> 51:43.080
 And those things have their own reference frames.

51:43.080 --> 51:45.080
 And they're assigned to a master reference frame,

51:45.080 --> 51:46.080
 which is called this cup.

51:46.080 --> 51:48.080
 And now I have this mental logo on it.

51:48.080 --> 51:50.080
 Well, that's something that exists elsewhere in the world.

51:50.080 --> 51:51.080
 It's its own thing.

51:51.080 --> 51:52.080
 So it has its own reference frame.

51:52.080 --> 51:56.080
 So we now have to say, how can I assign the mental logo reference frame

51:56.080 --> 51:59.080
 onto the cylinder or onto the coffee cup?

51:59.080 --> 52:04.080
 So we talked about this in the paper that came out in December

52:04.080 --> 52:06.080
 of this last year.

52:06.080 --> 52:09.080
 The idea of how you can assign reference frames to reference frames,

52:09.080 --> 52:10.080
 how neurons could do this.

52:10.080 --> 52:14.080
 So my question is, even though you mentioned reference frames a lot,

52:14.080 --> 52:18.080
 I almost feel it's really useful to dig into how you think

52:18.080 --> 52:20.080
 of what a reference frame is.

52:20.080 --> 52:22.080
 It was already helpful for me to understand that you think

52:22.080 --> 52:26.080
 of reference frames as something there is a lot of.

52:26.080 --> 52:29.080
 OK, so let's just say that we're going to have some neurons

52:29.080 --> 52:32.080
 in the brain, not many actually, 10,000, 20,000,

52:32.080 --> 52:34.080
 are going to create a whole bunch of reference frames.

52:34.080 --> 52:35.080
 What does it mean?

52:35.080 --> 52:37.080
 What is a reference frame?

52:37.080 --> 52:40.080
 First of all, these reference frames are different than the ones

52:40.080 --> 52:42.080
 you might be used to.

52:42.080 --> 52:43.080
 We know lots of reference frames.

52:43.080 --> 52:45.080
 For example, we know the Cartesian coordinates,

52:45.080 --> 52:47.080
 XYZ, that's a type of reference frame.

52:47.080 --> 52:50.080
 We know longitude and latitude.

52:50.080 --> 52:52.080
 That's a different type of reference frame.

52:52.080 --> 52:55.080
 If I look at a printed map, it might have columns,

52:55.080 --> 52:59.080
 A through M and rows, 1 through 20,

52:59.080 --> 53:01.080
 that's a different type of reference frame.

53:01.080 --> 53:04.080
 It's kind of a Cartesian reference frame.

53:04.080 --> 53:07.080
 The interesting thing about the reference frames in the brain,

53:07.080 --> 53:09.080
 and we know this because these have been established

53:09.080 --> 53:12.080
 through neuroscience studying the entorhinal cortex.

53:12.080 --> 53:13.080
 So I'm not speculating here.

53:13.080 --> 53:16.080
 This is known neuroscience in an old part of the brain.

53:16.080 --> 53:18.080
 The way these cells create reference frames,

53:18.080 --> 53:20.080
 they have no origin.

53:20.080 --> 53:24.080
 So what it's more like, you have a point,

53:24.080 --> 53:26.080
 a point in some space,

53:26.080 --> 53:29.080
 and you, given a particular movement,

53:29.080 --> 53:32.080
 you can then tell what the next point should be.

53:32.080 --> 53:34.080
 And you can then tell what the next point would be.

53:34.080 --> 53:35.080
 And so on.

53:35.080 --> 53:40.080
 You can use this to calculate how to get from one point to another.

53:40.080 --> 53:43.080
 So how do I get from my house to my home,

53:43.080 --> 53:45.080
 or how do I get my finger from the side of my cup

53:45.080 --> 53:46.080
 to the top of the cup?

53:46.080 --> 53:52.080
 How do I get from the axioms to the conjecture?

53:52.080 --> 53:54.080
 So it's a different type of reference frame.

53:54.080 --> 53:57.080
 And I can, if you want, I can describe in more detail.

53:57.080 --> 53:59.080
 I can paint a picture how you might want to think about that.

53:59.080 --> 54:00.080
 It's really helpful to think.

54:00.080 --> 54:02.080
 It's something you can move through.

54:02.080 --> 54:03.080
 Yeah.

54:03.080 --> 54:08.080
 But is it helpful to think of it as spatial in some sense,

54:08.080 --> 54:09.080
 or is there something?

54:09.080 --> 54:11.080
 No, it's definitely spatial.

54:11.080 --> 54:13.080
 It's spatial in a mathematical sense.

54:13.080 --> 54:14.080
 How many dimensions?

54:14.080 --> 54:16.080
 Can it be a crazy number of dimensions?

54:16.080 --> 54:17.080
 Well, that's an interesting question.

54:17.080 --> 54:20.080
 In the old part of the brain, the entorhinal cortex,

54:20.080 --> 54:22.080
 they studied rats.

54:22.080 --> 54:24.080
 And initially, it looks like, oh, this is just two dimensional.

54:24.080 --> 54:27.080
 It's like the rat is in some box in a maze or whatever,

54:27.080 --> 54:29.080
 and they know whether the rat is using these two dimensional

54:29.080 --> 54:32.080
 reference frames and know where it is in the maze.

54:32.080 --> 54:35.080
 We say, OK, well, what about bats?

54:35.080 --> 54:38.080
 That's a mammal, and they fly in three dimensional space.

54:38.080 --> 54:39.080
 How do they do that?

54:39.080 --> 54:41.080
 They seem to know where they are, right?

54:41.080 --> 54:44.080
 So this is a current area of active research,

54:44.080 --> 54:47.080
 and it seems like somehow the neurons in the entorhinal cortex

54:47.080 --> 54:50.080
 can learn three dimensional space.

54:50.080 --> 54:55.080
 We just, two members of our team, along with Ilefet from MIT,

54:55.080 --> 54:59.080
 just released a paper this literally last week,

54:59.080 --> 55:03.080
 it's on bioarchive, where they show that you can,

55:03.080 --> 55:06.080
 the way these things work, and unless you want to,

55:06.080 --> 55:10.080
 I won't get into the detail, but grid cells

55:10.080 --> 55:12.080
 can represent any n dimensional space.

55:12.080 --> 55:15.080
 It's not inherently limited.

55:15.080 --> 55:18.080
 You can think of it this way, if you had two dimensional,

55:18.080 --> 55:21.080
 the way it works is you had a bunch of two dimensional slices.

55:21.080 --> 55:22.080
 That's the way these things work.

55:22.080 --> 55:24.080
 There's a whole bunch of two dimensional models,

55:24.080 --> 55:27.080
 and you can slice up any n dimensional space

55:27.080 --> 55:29.080
 with two dimensional projections.

55:29.080 --> 55:31.080
 And you could have one dimensional models.

55:31.080 --> 55:34.080
 So there's nothing inherent about the mathematics

55:34.080 --> 55:36.080
 about the way the neurons do this,

55:36.080 --> 55:39.080
 which constrained the dimensionality of the space,

55:39.080 --> 55:41.080
 which I think was important.

55:41.080 --> 55:44.080
 So obviously, I have a three dimensional map of this cup.

55:44.080 --> 55:46.080
 Maybe it's even more than that, I don't know.

55:46.080 --> 55:48.080
 But it's a clearly three dimensional map of the cup.

55:48.080 --> 55:50.080
 I don't just have a projection of the cup.

55:50.080 --> 55:52.080
 But when I think about birds,

55:52.080 --> 55:53.080
 or when I think about mathematics,

55:53.080 --> 55:55.080
 perhaps it's more than three dimensions.

55:55.080 --> 55:56.080
 Who knows?

55:56.080 --> 56:00.080
 So in terms of each individual column

56:00.080 --> 56:04.080
 building up more and more information over time,

56:04.080 --> 56:06.080
 do you think that mechanism is well understood?

56:06.080 --> 56:10.080
 In your mind, you've proposed a lot of architectures there.

56:10.080 --> 56:14.080
 Is that a key piece, or is it, is the big piece,

56:14.080 --> 56:16.080
 the thousand brain theory of intelligence,

56:16.080 --> 56:18.080
 the ensemble of it all?

56:18.080 --> 56:19.080
 Well, I think they're both big.

56:19.080 --> 56:21.080
 I mean, clearly the concept, as a theorist,

56:21.080 --> 56:23.080
 the concept is most exciting, right?

56:23.080 --> 56:24.080
 A high level concept.

56:24.080 --> 56:25.080
 A high level concept.

56:25.080 --> 56:26.080
 This is a totally new way of thinking about

56:26.080 --> 56:27.080
 how the near characteristics work.

56:27.080 --> 56:29.080
 So that is appealing.

56:29.080 --> 56:31.080
 It has all these ramifications.

56:31.080 --> 56:34.080
 And with that, as a framework for how the brain works,

56:34.080 --> 56:35.080
 you can make all kinds of predictions

56:35.080 --> 56:36.080
 and solve all kinds of problems.

56:36.080 --> 56:38.080
 Now we're trying to work through many of these details right now.

56:38.080 --> 56:40.080
 Okay, how do the neurons actually do this?

56:40.080 --> 56:42.080
 Well, it turns out, if you think about grid cells

56:42.080 --> 56:44.080
 and place cells in the old parts of the brain,

56:44.080 --> 56:46.080
 there's a lot that's known about them,

56:46.080 --> 56:47.080
 but there's still some mysteries.

56:47.080 --> 56:49.080
 There's a lot of debate about exactly the details,

56:49.080 --> 56:50.080
 how these work, and what are the signs.

56:50.080 --> 56:52.080
 And we have that same level of detail,

56:52.080 --> 56:54.080
 that same level of concern.

56:54.080 --> 56:56.080
 What we spend here, most of our time doing,

56:56.080 --> 56:59.080
 is trying to make a very good list

56:59.080 --> 57:02.080
 of the things we don't understand yet.

57:02.080 --> 57:04.080
 That's the key part here.

57:04.080 --> 57:05.080
 What are the constraints?

57:05.080 --> 57:07.080
 It's not like, oh, this seems to work, we're done.

57:07.080 --> 57:09.080
 It's like, okay, it kind of works,

57:09.080 --> 57:11.080
 but these are other things we know it has to do,

57:11.080 --> 57:13.080
 and it's not doing those yet.

57:13.080 --> 57:15.080
 I would say we're well on the way here.

57:15.080 --> 57:17.080
 We're not done yet.

57:17.080 --> 57:20.080
 There's a lot of trickiness to this system,

57:20.080 --> 57:23.080
 but the basic principles about how different layers

57:23.080 --> 57:27.080
 in the neocortex are doing much of this, we understand.

57:27.080 --> 57:29.080
 But there's some fundamental parts

57:29.080 --> 57:30.080
 that we don't understand as well.

57:30.080 --> 57:34.080
 So what would you say is one of the harder open problems,

57:34.080 --> 57:37.080
 or one of the ones that have been bothering you,

57:37.080 --> 57:39.080
 keeping you up at night the most?

57:39.080 --> 57:41.080
 Well, right now, this is a detailed thing

57:41.080 --> 57:43.080
 that wouldn't apply to most people, okay?

57:43.080 --> 57:44.080
 Sure.

57:44.080 --> 57:45.080
 But you want me to answer that question?

57:45.080 --> 57:46.080
 Yeah, please.

57:46.080 --> 57:49.080
 We've talked about, as if, oh, to predict

57:49.080 --> 57:51.080
 what you're going to sense on this coffee cup,

57:51.080 --> 57:54.080
 I need to know where my finger's going to be on the coffee cup.

57:54.080 --> 57:56.080
 That is true, but it's insufficient.

57:56.080 --> 57:59.080
 Think about my finger touching the edge of the coffee cup.

57:59.080 --> 58:02.080
 My finger can touch it at different orientations.

58:02.080 --> 58:05.080
 I can touch it at my finger around here.

58:05.080 --> 58:06.080
 And that doesn't change.

58:06.080 --> 58:09.080
 I can make that prediction, and somehow,

58:09.080 --> 58:10.080
 so it's not just the location.

58:10.080 --> 58:13.080
 There's an orientation component of this as well.

58:13.080 --> 58:15.080
 This is known in the old part of the brain, too.

58:15.080 --> 58:17.080
 There's things called head direction cells,

58:17.080 --> 58:18.080
 which way the rat is facing.

58:18.080 --> 58:20.080
 It's the same kind of basic idea.

58:20.080 --> 58:23.080
 So if my finger were a rat, you know, in three dimensions,

58:23.080 --> 58:25.080
 I have a three dimensional orientation,

58:25.080 --> 58:27.080
 and I have a three dimensional location.

58:27.080 --> 58:29.080
 If I was a rat, I would have a,

58:29.080 --> 58:31.080
 I think it was a two dimensional location,

58:31.080 --> 58:33.080
 or one dimensional orientation, like this,

58:33.080 --> 58:35.080
 which way is it facing?

58:35.080 --> 58:38.080
 So how the two components work together,

58:38.080 --> 58:41.080
 how does it, I combine orientation,

58:41.080 --> 58:43.080
 the orientation of my sensor,

58:43.080 --> 58:47.080
 as well as the location,

58:47.080 --> 58:49.080
 is a tricky problem.

58:49.080 --> 58:52.080
 And I think I've made progress on it.

58:52.080 --> 58:55.080
 So at a bigger version of that,

58:55.080 --> 58:57.080
 the perspective is super interesting,

58:57.080 --> 58:58.080
 but super specific.

58:58.080 --> 58:59.080
 Yeah, I warned you.

58:59.080 --> 59:01.080
 No, no, no, it's really good,

59:01.080 --> 59:04.080
 but there's a more general version of that.

59:04.080 --> 59:06.080
 Do you think context matters?

59:06.080 --> 59:10.080
 The fact that we are in a building in North America,

59:10.080 --> 59:15.080
 that we, in the day and age where we have mugs,

59:15.080 --> 59:18.080
 I mean, there's all this extra information

59:18.080 --> 59:22.080
 that you bring to the table about everything else in the room

59:22.080 --> 59:24.080
 that's outside of just the coffee cup.

59:24.080 --> 59:25.080
 Of course it is.

59:25.080 --> 59:27.080
 How does it get connected, do you think?

59:27.080 --> 59:30.080
 Yeah, and that is another really interesting question.

59:30.080 --> 59:32.080
 I'm going to throw that under the rubric

59:32.080 --> 59:34.080
 or the name of attentional problems.

59:34.080 --> 59:36.080
 First of all, we have this model.

59:36.080 --> 59:37.080
 I have many, many models.

59:37.080 --> 59:39.080
 And also the question, does it matter?

59:39.080 --> 59:41.080
 Well, it matters for certain things.

59:41.080 --> 59:42.080
 Of course it does.

59:42.080 --> 59:44.080
 Maybe what we think about as a coffee cup

59:44.080 --> 59:47.080
 in another part of the world is viewed as something completely different.

59:47.080 --> 59:51.080
 Or maybe our logo, which is very benign in this part of the world,

59:51.080 --> 59:53.080
 it means something very different in another part of the world.

59:53.080 --> 59:56.080
 So those things do matter.

59:56.080 --> 1:00:00.080
 I think the way to think about it as the following,

1:00:00.080 --> 1:00:01.080
 one way to think about it,

1:00:01.080 --> 1:00:03.080
 is we have all these models of the world.

1:00:03.080 --> 1:00:06.080
 And we model everything.

1:00:06.080 --> 1:00:08.080
 And as I said earlier, I kind of snuck it in there.

1:00:08.080 --> 1:00:12.080
 Our models are actually, we build composite structures.

1:00:12.080 --> 1:00:15.080
 So every object is composed of other objects,

1:00:15.080 --> 1:00:16.080
 which are composed of other objects,

1:00:16.080 --> 1:00:18.080
 and they become members of other objects.

1:00:18.080 --> 1:00:21.080
 So this room is chairs and a table and a room and walls and so on.

1:00:21.080 --> 1:00:24.080
 Now we can just arrange these things in a certain way.

1:00:24.080 --> 1:00:27.080
 And you go, oh, that's in the Nementa conference room.

1:00:27.080 --> 1:00:32.080
 So, and what we do is when we go around the world,

1:00:32.080 --> 1:00:34.080
 when we experience the world,

1:00:34.080 --> 1:00:36.080
 by walking to a room, for example,

1:00:36.080 --> 1:00:38.080
 the first thing I do is like, oh, I'm in this room.

1:00:38.080 --> 1:00:39.080
 Do I recognize the room?

1:00:39.080 --> 1:00:42.080
 Then I can say, oh, look, there's a table here.

1:00:42.080 --> 1:00:44.080
 And by attending to the table,

1:00:44.080 --> 1:00:46.080
 I'm then assigning this table in a context of the room.

1:00:46.080 --> 1:00:48.080
 Then I say, oh, on the table, there's a coffee cup.

1:00:48.080 --> 1:00:50.080
 Oh, and on the table, there's a logo.

1:00:50.080 --> 1:00:52.080
 And in the logo, there's the word Nementa.

1:00:52.080 --> 1:00:54.080
 So if you look in the logo, there's the letter E.

1:00:54.080 --> 1:00:56.080
 And look, it has an unusual surf.

1:00:56.080 --> 1:00:59.080
 It doesn't actually, but I pretend it does.

1:00:59.080 --> 1:01:05.080
 So the point is your attention is kind of drilling deep in and out

1:01:05.080 --> 1:01:07.080
 of these nested structures.

1:01:07.080 --> 1:01:09.080
 And I can pop back up and I can pop back down.

1:01:09.080 --> 1:01:11.080
 I can pop back up and I can pop back down.

1:01:11.080 --> 1:01:13.080
 So when I attend to the coffee cup,

1:01:13.080 --> 1:01:15.080
 I haven't lost the context of everything else,

1:01:15.080 --> 1:01:19.080
 but it's sort of, there's this sort of nested structure.

1:01:19.080 --> 1:01:22.080
 The attention filters the reference frame formation

1:01:22.080 --> 1:01:24.080
 for that particular period of time.

1:01:24.080 --> 1:01:25.080
 Yes.

1:01:25.080 --> 1:01:28.080
 It basically, a moment to moment, you attend the subcomponents

1:01:28.080 --> 1:01:30.080
 and then you can attend the subcomponents to subcomponents.

1:01:30.080 --> 1:01:31.080
 You can move up and down.

1:01:31.080 --> 1:01:32.080
 You can move up and down.

1:01:32.080 --> 1:01:33.080
 We do that all the time.

1:01:33.080 --> 1:01:35.080
 You're not even, now that I'm aware of it,

1:01:35.080 --> 1:01:37.080
 I'm very conscious of it.

1:01:37.080 --> 1:01:40.080
 But most people don't even think about this.

1:01:40.080 --> 1:01:42.080
 You know, you just walk in a room and you don't say,

1:01:42.080 --> 1:01:43.080
 oh, I looked at the chair and I looked at the board

1:01:43.080 --> 1:01:44.080
 and looked at that word on the board

1:01:44.080 --> 1:01:45.080
 and I looked over here.

1:01:45.080 --> 1:01:46.080
 What's going on?

1:01:46.080 --> 1:01:47.080
 Right.

1:01:47.080 --> 1:01:50.080
 So what percentage of your day are you deeply aware of this?

1:01:50.080 --> 1:01:53.080
 In what part can you actually relax and just be Jeff?

1:01:53.080 --> 1:01:55.080
 Me personally, like my personal day.

1:01:55.080 --> 1:01:56.080
 Yeah.

1:01:56.080 --> 1:02:01.080
 Unfortunately, I'm afflicted with too much of the former.

1:02:01.080 --> 1:02:03.080
 Well, unfortunately or unfortunately.

1:02:03.080 --> 1:02:04.080
 Yeah.

1:02:04.080 --> 1:02:05.080
 You don't think it's useful?

1:02:05.080 --> 1:02:06.080
 Oh, it is useful.

1:02:06.080 --> 1:02:07.080
 Totally useful.

1:02:07.080 --> 1:02:09.080
 I think about this stuff almost all the time.

1:02:09.080 --> 1:02:13.080
 And one of my primary ways of thinking is

1:02:13.080 --> 1:02:14.080
 when I'm asleep at night,

1:02:14.080 --> 1:02:16.080
 I always wake up in the middle of the night

1:02:16.080 --> 1:02:19.080
 and I stay awake for at least an hour with my eyes shut

1:02:19.080 --> 1:02:21.080
 in sort of a half sleep state thinking about these things.

1:02:21.080 --> 1:02:23.080
 I come up with answers to problems very often

1:02:23.080 --> 1:02:25.080
 in that sort of half sleeping state.

1:02:25.080 --> 1:02:27.080
 I think about on my bike ride, I think about on walks.

1:02:27.080 --> 1:02:29.080
 I'm just constantly thinking about this.

1:02:29.080 --> 1:02:34.080
 I have to almost schedule time to not think about this stuff

1:02:34.080 --> 1:02:37.080
 because it's very, it's mentally taxing.

1:02:37.080 --> 1:02:39.080
 Are you, when you're thinking about this stuff,

1:02:39.080 --> 1:02:41.080
 are you thinking introspectively,

1:02:41.080 --> 1:02:43.080
 like almost taking a step outside of yourself

1:02:43.080 --> 1:02:45.080
 and trying to figure out what is your mind doing right now?

1:02:45.080 --> 1:02:48.080
 I do that all the time, but that's not all I do.

1:02:48.080 --> 1:02:50.080
 I'm constantly observing myself.

1:02:50.080 --> 1:02:52.080
 So as soon as I started thinking about grid cells,

1:02:52.080 --> 1:02:54.080
 for example, and getting into that,

1:02:54.080 --> 1:02:57.080
 I started saying, oh, well, grid cells can have my place of sense

1:02:57.080 --> 1:02:58.080
 in the world.

1:02:58.080 --> 1:02:59.080
 That's where you know where you are.

1:02:59.080 --> 1:03:01.080
 And it's interesting, we always have a sense of where we are

1:03:01.080 --> 1:03:02.080
 unless we're lost.

1:03:02.080 --> 1:03:05.080
 And so I started at night when I got up to go to the bathroom,

1:03:05.080 --> 1:03:07.080
 I would start trying to do it completely with my eyes closed

1:03:07.080 --> 1:03:09.080
 all the time and I would test my sense of grid cells.

1:03:09.080 --> 1:03:13.080
 I would walk five feet and say, okay, I think I'm here.

1:03:13.080 --> 1:03:14.080
 Am I really there?

1:03:14.080 --> 1:03:15.080
 What's my error?

1:03:15.080 --> 1:03:17.080
 And then I would calculate my error again and see how the errors

1:03:17.080 --> 1:03:18.080
 accumulate.

1:03:18.080 --> 1:03:20.080
 So even something as simple as getting up in the middle of the

1:03:20.080 --> 1:03:22.080
 night to go to the bathroom, I'm testing these theories out.

1:03:22.080 --> 1:03:23.080
 It's kind of fun.

1:03:23.080 --> 1:03:25.080
 I mean, the coffee cup is an example of that too.

1:03:25.080 --> 1:03:30.080
 So I think I find that these sort of everyday introspections

1:03:30.080 --> 1:03:32.080
 are actually quite helpful.

1:03:32.080 --> 1:03:34.080
 It doesn't mean you can ignore the science.

1:03:34.080 --> 1:03:38.080
 I mean, I spend hours every day reading ridiculously complex

1:03:38.080 --> 1:03:39.080
 papers.

1:03:39.080 --> 1:03:41.080
 That's not nearly as much fun,

1:03:41.080 --> 1:03:44.080
 but you have to sort of build up those constraints and the knowledge

1:03:44.080 --> 1:03:47.080
 about the field and who's doing what and what exactly they think

1:03:47.080 --> 1:03:48.080
 is happening here.

1:03:48.080 --> 1:03:51.080
 And then you can sit back and say, okay, let's try to have pieces

1:03:51.080 --> 1:03:52.080
 all together.

1:03:52.080 --> 1:03:56.080
 Let's come up with some, you know, I'm very in this group here

1:03:56.080 --> 1:03:58.080
 and people, they know they do this.

1:03:58.080 --> 1:03:59.080
 I do this all the time.

1:03:59.080 --> 1:04:01.080
 I come in with these introspective ideas and say, well,

1:04:01.080 --> 1:04:02.080
 there we ever thought about this.

1:04:02.080 --> 1:04:04.080
 Now watch, well, let's all do this together.

1:04:04.080 --> 1:04:06.080
 And it's helpful.

1:04:06.080 --> 1:04:10.080
 It's not, as long as you don't, if all you did was that,

1:04:10.080 --> 1:04:12.080
 then you're just making up stuff, right?

1:04:12.080 --> 1:04:15.080
 But if you're constraining it by the reality of the neuroscience,

1:04:15.080 --> 1:04:17.080
 then it's really helpful.

1:04:17.080 --> 1:04:22.080
 So let's talk a little bit about deep learning and the successes

1:04:22.080 --> 1:04:28.080
 in the applied space of neural networks, ideas of training model

1:04:28.080 --> 1:04:31.080
 on data and these simple computational units,

1:04:31.080 --> 1:04:37.080
 artificial neurons that with back propagation have statistical

1:04:37.080 --> 1:04:42.080
 ways of being able to generalize from the training set on to

1:04:42.080 --> 1:04:44.080
 data that similar to that training set.

1:04:44.080 --> 1:04:48.080
 So where do you think are the limitations of those approaches?

1:04:48.080 --> 1:04:52.080
 What do you think are strengths relative to your major efforts

1:04:52.080 --> 1:04:55.080
 of constructing a theory of human intelligence?

1:04:55.080 --> 1:04:56.080
 Yeah.

1:04:56.080 --> 1:04:58.080
 Well, I'm not an expert in this field.

1:04:58.080 --> 1:04:59.080
 I'm somewhat knowledgeable.

1:04:59.080 --> 1:05:00.080
 So, but I'm not.

1:05:00.080 --> 1:05:02.080
 A little bit in just your intuition.

1:05:02.080 --> 1:05:04.080
 Well, I have a little bit more than intuition,

1:05:04.080 --> 1:05:07.080
 but I just want to say like, you know, one of the things that you asked me,

1:05:07.080 --> 1:05:09.080
 do I spend all my time thinking about neuroscience?

1:05:09.080 --> 1:05:10.080
 I do.

1:05:10.080 --> 1:05:12.080
 That's to the exclusion of thinking about things like convolutional neural

1:05:12.080 --> 1:05:13.080
 networks.

1:05:13.080 --> 1:05:15.080
 But I try to stay current.

1:05:15.080 --> 1:05:18.080
 So look, I think it's great the progress they've made.

1:05:18.080 --> 1:05:19.080
 It's fantastic.

1:05:19.080 --> 1:05:23.080
 And as I mentioned earlier, it's very highly useful for many things.

1:05:23.080 --> 1:05:27.080
 The models that we have today are actually derived from a lot of

1:05:27.080 --> 1:05:28.080
 neuroscience principles.

1:05:28.080 --> 1:05:31.080
 They are distributed processing systems and distributed memory systems,

1:05:31.080 --> 1:05:33.080
 and that's how the brain works.

1:05:33.080 --> 1:05:36.080
 And they use things that we might call them neurons,

1:05:36.080 --> 1:05:37.080
 but they're really not neurons at all.

1:05:37.080 --> 1:05:39.080
 So we can just, they're not really neurons.

1:05:39.080 --> 1:05:42.080
 So they're distributed processing systems.

1:05:42.080 --> 1:05:47.080
 And nature of hierarchy that came also from neuroscience.

1:05:47.080 --> 1:05:50.080
 And so there's a lot of things, the learning rules, basically,

1:05:50.080 --> 1:05:52.080
 not backprop, but other, you know, sort of heavy entire learning.

1:05:52.080 --> 1:05:55.080
 I'll be curious to say they're not neurons at all.

1:05:55.080 --> 1:05:56.080
 Can you describe in which way?

1:05:56.080 --> 1:06:00.080
 I mean, some of it is obvious, but I'd be curious if you have specific

1:06:00.080 --> 1:06:02.080
 ways in which you think are the biggest differences.

1:06:02.080 --> 1:06:06.080
 Yeah, we had a paper in 2016 called Why Neurons of Thousands of Synapses.

1:06:06.080 --> 1:06:11.080
 And if you read that paper, you'll know what I'm talking about here.

1:06:11.080 --> 1:06:14.080
 A real neuron in the brain is a complex thing.

1:06:14.080 --> 1:06:18.080
 Let's just start with the synapses on it, which is a connection between neurons.

1:06:18.080 --> 1:06:24.080
 Real neurons can everywhere from five to 30,000 synapses on them.

1:06:24.080 --> 1:06:30.080
 The ones near the cell body, the ones that are close to the soma, the cell body,

1:06:30.080 --> 1:06:33.080
 those are like the ones that people model in artificial neurons.

1:06:33.080 --> 1:06:35.080
 There's a few hundred of those.

1:06:35.080 --> 1:06:37.080
 Maybe they can affect the cell.

1:06:37.080 --> 1:06:39.080
 They can make the cell become active.

1:06:39.080 --> 1:06:43.080
 95% of the synapses can't do that.

1:06:43.080 --> 1:06:44.080
 They're too far away.

1:06:44.080 --> 1:06:47.080
 So if you activate one of those synapses, it just doesn't affect the cell body

1:06:47.080 --> 1:06:49.080
 enough to make any difference.

1:06:49.080 --> 1:06:50.080
 Any one of them individually.

1:06:50.080 --> 1:06:53.080
 Any one of them individually, or even if you do a mass of them.

1:06:53.080 --> 1:06:57.080
 What real neurons do is the following.

1:06:57.080 --> 1:07:04.080
 If you activate, or you get 10 to 20 of them active at the same time,

1:07:04.080 --> 1:07:06.080
 meaning they're all receiving an input at the same time,

1:07:06.080 --> 1:07:10.080
 and those 10 to 20 synapses or 40 synapses are within a very short distance

1:07:10.080 --> 1:07:13.080
 on the dendrite, like 40 microns, a very small area.

1:07:13.080 --> 1:07:17.080
 So if you activate a bunch of these right next to each other at some distant place,

1:07:17.080 --> 1:07:21.080
 what happens is it creates what's called the dendritic spike.

1:07:21.080 --> 1:07:24.080
 And dendritic spike travels through the dendrites

1:07:24.080 --> 1:07:27.080
 and can reach the soma or the cell body.

1:07:27.080 --> 1:07:31.080
 Now, when it gets there, it changes the voltage,

1:07:31.080 --> 1:07:33.080
 which is sort of like going to make the cell fire,

1:07:33.080 --> 1:07:35.080
 but never enough to make the cell fire.

1:07:35.080 --> 1:07:38.080
 It's sort of what we call, it says we depolarize the cell.

1:07:38.080 --> 1:07:41.080
 You raise the voltage a little bit, but not enough to do anything.

1:07:41.080 --> 1:07:42.080
 It's like, well, what good is that?

1:07:42.080 --> 1:07:44.080
 And then it goes back down again.

1:07:44.080 --> 1:07:50.080
 So we proposed a theory, which I'm very confident in basics are,

1:07:50.080 --> 1:07:54.080
 is that what's happening there is those 95% of the synapses

1:07:54.080 --> 1:07:58.080
 are recognizing dozens to hundreds of unique patterns.

1:07:58.080 --> 1:08:01.080
 They can write, you know, about 10, 20 synapses at a time,

1:08:01.080 --> 1:08:04.080
 and they're acting like predictions.

1:08:04.080 --> 1:08:07.080
 So the neuron actually is a predictive engine on its own.

1:08:07.080 --> 1:08:11.080
 It can fire when it gets enough, what they call proximal input from those ones

1:08:11.080 --> 1:08:15.080
 near the cell fire, but it can get ready to fire from dozens to hundreds

1:08:15.080 --> 1:08:17.080
 of patterns that it recognizes from the other guys.

1:08:17.080 --> 1:08:22.080
 And the advantage of this to the neuron is that when it actually does produce

1:08:22.080 --> 1:08:27.080
 a spike in action potential, it does so slightly sooner than it would have otherwise.

1:08:27.080 --> 1:08:29.080
 And so what could just slightly sooner?

1:08:29.080 --> 1:08:33.080
 Well, the slightly sooner part is it, there's all the neurons in the,

1:08:33.080 --> 1:08:36.080
 the excited throwing neurons in the brain are surrounded by these inhibitory neurons,

1:08:36.080 --> 1:08:40.080
 and they're very fast, the inhibitory neurons, these baskets all.

1:08:40.080 --> 1:08:44.080
 And if I get my spike out a little bit sooner than someone else,

1:08:44.080 --> 1:08:46.080
 I inhibit all my neighbors around me, right?

1:08:46.080 --> 1:08:49.080
 And what you end up with is a different representation.

1:08:49.080 --> 1:08:52.080
 You end up with a representation that matches your prediction.

1:08:52.080 --> 1:08:55.080
 It's a sparser representation, meaning fewer neurons are active,

1:08:55.080 --> 1:08:57.080
 but it's much more specific.

1:08:57.080 --> 1:09:04.080
 And so we showed how networks of these neurons can do very sophisticated temporal prediction, basically.

1:09:04.080 --> 1:09:10.080
 So this summarizes real neurons in the brain are time based prediction engines,

1:09:10.080 --> 1:09:17.080
 and there's no concept of this at all in artificial, what we call point neurons.

1:09:17.080 --> 1:09:19.080
 I don't think you can mail the brain without them.

1:09:19.080 --> 1:09:25.080
 I don't think you can build intelligence without them because it's where a large part of the time comes from.

1:09:25.080 --> 1:09:31.080
 These are predictive models and the time is, there's a prior prediction and an action,

1:09:31.080 --> 1:09:34.080
 and it's inherent through every neuron in the neocortex.

1:09:34.080 --> 1:09:38.080
 So I would say that point neurons sort of model a piece of that,

1:09:38.080 --> 1:09:45.080
 and not very well at that either, but, you know, like, for example, synapses are very unreliable,

1:09:45.080 --> 1:09:49.080
 and you cannot assign any precision to them.

1:09:49.080 --> 1:09:52.080
 So even one digit of precision is not possible.

1:09:52.080 --> 1:09:57.080
 So the way real neurons work is they don't add these, they don't change these weights accurately,

1:09:57.080 --> 1:09:59.080
 like artificial neural networks do.

1:09:59.080 --> 1:10:03.080
 They basically form new synapses, and so what you're trying to always do is

1:10:03.080 --> 1:10:09.080
 detect the presence of some 10 to 20 active synapses at the same time as opposed,

1:10:09.080 --> 1:10:11.080
 and they're almost binary.

1:10:11.080 --> 1:10:14.080
 It's like, because you can't really represent anything much finer than that.

1:10:14.080 --> 1:10:18.080
 So these are the kind of, and I think that's actually another essential component

1:10:18.080 --> 1:10:24.080
 because the brain works on sparse patterns, and all that mechanism is based on sparse patterns,

1:10:24.080 --> 1:10:28.080
 and I don't actually think you could build real brains or machine intelligence

1:10:28.080 --> 1:10:30.080
 without incorporating some of those ideas.

1:10:30.080 --> 1:10:34.080
 It's hard to even think about the complexity that emerges from the fact that

1:10:34.080 --> 1:10:40.080
 the timing of the firing matters in the brain, the fact that you form new synapses,

1:10:40.080 --> 1:10:44.080
 and everything you just mentioned in the past couple minutes.

1:10:44.080 --> 1:10:47.080
 Trust me, if you spend time on it, you can get your mind around it.

1:10:47.080 --> 1:10:49.080
 It's not like it's no longer a mystery to me.

1:10:49.080 --> 1:10:53.080
 No, but sorry, as a function in a mathematical way,

1:10:53.080 --> 1:10:58.080
 can you start getting an intuition about what gets it excited, what not,

1:10:58.080 --> 1:11:00.080
 and what kind of representation?

1:11:00.080 --> 1:11:04.080
 Yeah, it's not as easy as there are many other types of neural networks

1:11:04.080 --> 1:11:10.080
 that are more amenable to pure analysis, especially very simple networks.

1:11:10.080 --> 1:11:12.080
 You know, oh, I have four neurons, and they're doing this.

1:11:12.080 --> 1:11:16.080
 Can we describe them mathematically what they're doing type of thing?

1:11:16.080 --> 1:11:19.080
 Even the complexity of convolutional neural networks today,

1:11:19.080 --> 1:11:23.080
 it's sort of a mystery. They can't really describe the whole system.

1:11:23.080 --> 1:11:25.080
 And so it's different.

1:11:25.080 --> 1:11:31.080
 My colleague, Subitain Ahmad, he did a nice paper on this.

1:11:31.080 --> 1:11:34.080
 You can get all the stuff on our website if you're interested.

1:11:34.080 --> 1:11:38.080
 Talking about sort of mathematical properties of sparse representations,

1:11:38.080 --> 1:11:42.080
 and so what we can do is we can show mathematically, for example,

1:11:42.080 --> 1:11:46.080
 why 10 to 20 synapses to recognize a pattern is the correct number,

1:11:46.080 --> 1:11:48.080
 is the right number you'd want to use.

1:11:48.080 --> 1:11:50.080
 And by the way, that matches biology.

1:11:50.080 --> 1:11:55.080
 We can show mathematically some of these concepts about the show

1:11:55.080 --> 1:12:01.080
 why the brain is so robust to noise and error and fallout and so on.

1:12:01.080 --> 1:12:05.080
 We can show that mathematically as well as empirically in simulations.

1:12:05.080 --> 1:12:08.080
 But the system can't be analyzed completely.

1:12:08.080 --> 1:12:12.080
 Any complex system can, and so that's out of the realm.

1:12:12.080 --> 1:12:19.080
 But there is mathematical benefits and intuitions that can be derived from mathematics.

1:12:19.080 --> 1:12:21.080
 And we try to do that as well.

1:12:21.080 --> 1:12:23.080
 Most of our papers have a section about that.

1:12:23.080 --> 1:12:28.080
 So I think it's refreshing and useful for me to be talking to you about deep neural networks,

1:12:28.080 --> 1:12:36.080
 because your intuition basically says that we can't achieve anything like intelligence with artificial neural networks.

1:12:36.080 --> 1:12:37.080
 Well, not in the current form.

1:12:37.080 --> 1:12:38.080
 Not in the current form.

1:12:38.080 --> 1:12:40.080
 I'm sure we can do it in the ultimate form, sure.

1:12:40.080 --> 1:12:43.080
 So let me dig into it and see what your thoughts are there a little bit.

1:12:43.080 --> 1:12:49.080
 So I'm not sure if you read this little blog post called Bitter Lesson by Rich Sutton recently.

1:12:49.080 --> 1:12:51.080
 He's a reinforcement learning pioneer.

1:12:51.080 --> 1:12:53.080
 I'm not sure if you're familiar with him.

1:12:53.080 --> 1:13:02.080
 His basic idea is that all the stuff we've done in AI in the past 70 years, he's one of the old school guys.

1:13:02.080 --> 1:13:10.080
 The biggest lesson learned is that all the tricky things we've done don't, you know, they benefit in the short term.

1:13:10.080 --> 1:13:20.080
 But in the long term, what wins out is a simple general method that just relies on Moore's law on computation getting faster and faster.

1:13:20.080 --> 1:13:21.080
 This is what he's saying.

1:13:21.080 --> 1:13:23.080
 This is what has worked up to now.

1:13:23.080 --> 1:13:25.080
 This is what has worked up to now.

1:13:25.080 --> 1:13:31.080
 If you're trying to build a system, if we're talking about, he's not concerned about intelligence.

1:13:31.080 --> 1:13:38.080
 He's concerned about a system that works in terms of making predictions on applied, narrow AI problems.

1:13:38.080 --> 1:13:41.080
 That's what the discussion is about.

1:13:41.080 --> 1:13:50.080
 That you just try to go as general as possible and wait years or decades for the computation to make it actually possible.

1:13:50.080 --> 1:13:54.080
 Is he saying that as a criticism or is he saying this is a prescription of what we ought to be doing?

1:13:54.080 --> 1:13:55.080
 Well, it's very difficult.

1:13:55.080 --> 1:13:57.080
 He's saying this is what has worked.

1:13:57.080 --> 1:14:03.080
 And yes, a prescription, but it's a difficult prescription because it says all the fun things you guys are trying to do.

1:14:03.080 --> 1:14:05.080
 We are trying to do.

1:14:05.080 --> 1:14:07.080
 He's part of the community.

1:14:07.080 --> 1:14:11.080
 He's saying it's only going to be short term gains.

1:14:11.080 --> 1:14:19.080
 This all leads up to a question, I guess, on artificial neural networks and maybe our own biological neural networks.

1:14:19.080 --> 1:14:24.080
 Do you think if we just scale things up significantly?

1:14:24.080 --> 1:14:28.080
 Take these dumb artificial neurons, the point neurons.

1:14:28.080 --> 1:14:30.080
 I like that term.

1:14:30.080 --> 1:14:36.080
 If we just have a lot more of them, do you think some of the elements that we see in the brain

1:14:36.080 --> 1:14:38.080
 may start emerging?

1:14:38.080 --> 1:14:39.080
 No, I don't think so.

1:14:39.080 --> 1:14:43.080
 We can do bigger problems of the same type.

1:14:43.080 --> 1:14:50.080
 I mean, it's been pointed out by many people that today's convolutional neural networks aren't really much different than the ones we had quite a while ago.

1:14:50.080 --> 1:14:56.080
 We just, they're bigger and train more and we have more labeled data and so on.

1:14:56.080 --> 1:15:03.080
 But I don't think you can get to the kind of things I know the brain can do and that we think about as intelligence by just scaling it up.

1:15:03.080 --> 1:15:12.080
 So that may be, it's a good description of what's happened in the past, what's happened recently with the reemergence of artificial neural networks.

1:15:12.080 --> 1:15:17.080
 It may be a good prescription for what's going to happen in the short term.

1:15:17.080 --> 1:15:19.080
 But I don't think that's the path.

1:15:19.080 --> 1:15:20.080
 I've said that earlier.

1:15:20.080 --> 1:15:21.080
 There's an alternate path.

1:15:21.080 --> 1:15:29.080
 I should mention to you, by the way, that we've made sufficient progress on our, the whole cortical theory in the last few years.

1:15:29.080 --> 1:15:40.080
 But last year, we decided to start actively pursuing how we get these ideas embedded into machine learning.

1:15:40.080 --> 1:15:45.080
 That's, again, being led by my colleague, and he's more of a machine learning guy.

1:15:45.080 --> 1:15:47.080
 I'm more of an neuroscience guy.

1:15:47.080 --> 1:15:58.080
 So this is now our, I wouldn't say our focus, but it is now an equal focus here because we need to proselytize what we've learned.

1:15:58.080 --> 1:16:03.080
 And we need to show how it's beneficial to the machine learning.

1:16:03.080 --> 1:16:05.080
 So we're putting, we have a plan in place right now.

1:16:05.080 --> 1:16:07.080
 In fact, we just did our first paper on this.

1:16:07.080 --> 1:16:09.080
 I can tell you about that.

1:16:09.080 --> 1:16:15.080
 But, you know, one of the reasons I want to talk to you is because I'm trying to get more people in the machine learning community to say,

1:16:15.080 --> 1:16:17.080
 I need to learn about this stuff.

1:16:17.080 --> 1:16:21.080
 And maybe we should just think about this a bit more about what we've learned about the brain.

1:16:21.080 --> 1:16:23.080
 And what are those team, what have they done?

1:16:23.080 --> 1:16:25.080
 Is that useful for us?

1:16:25.080 --> 1:16:32.080
 Yeah, so is there elements of all the, the cortical theory that things we've been talking about that may be useful in the short term?

1:16:32.080 --> 1:16:34.080
 Yes, in the short term, yes.

1:16:34.080 --> 1:16:41.080
 This is the, sorry to interrupt, but the, the open question is it, it certainly feels from my perspective that in the long term,

1:16:41.080 --> 1:16:44.080
 some of the ideas we've been talking about will be extremely useful.

1:16:44.080 --> 1:16:46.080
 The question is whether in the short term.

1:16:46.080 --> 1:16:51.080
 Well, this is a, always what we, I would call the entrepreneur's dilemma.

1:16:51.080 --> 1:16:59.080
 You have this long term vision, oh, we're going to all be driving electric cars or we're all going to have computers or we're all going to whatever.

1:16:59.080 --> 1:17:03.080
 And, and you're at some point in time and you say, I can see that long term vision.

1:17:03.080 --> 1:17:04.080
 I'm sure it's going to happen.

1:17:04.080 --> 1:17:07.080
 How do I get there without killing myself, you know, without going out of business?

1:17:07.080 --> 1:17:09.080
 That's the challenge.

1:17:09.080 --> 1:17:10.080
 That's the dilemma.

1:17:10.080 --> 1:17:11.080
 That's the really difficult thing to do.

1:17:11.080 --> 1:17:13.080
 So we're facing that right now.

1:17:13.080 --> 1:17:17.080
 So ideally what you'd want to do is find some steps along the way that you can get there incrementally.

1:17:17.080 --> 1:17:20.080
 You don't have to like throw it all out and start over again.

1:17:20.080 --> 1:17:25.080
 The first thing that we've done is we focus on these sparse representations.

1:17:25.080 --> 1:17:30.080
 So just in case you don't know what that means or some of the listeners don't know what that means.

1:17:30.080 --> 1:17:37.080
 In the brain, if I have like 10,000 neurons, what you would see is maybe 2% of them active at a time.

1:17:37.080 --> 1:17:41.080
 You don't see 50%, you don't see 30%, you might see 2%.

1:17:41.080 --> 1:17:42.080
 And it's always like that.

1:17:42.080 --> 1:17:44.080
 For any set of sensory inputs.

1:17:44.080 --> 1:17:45.080
 It doesn't matter anything.

1:17:45.080 --> 1:17:47.080
 It doesn't matter any part of the brain.

1:17:47.080 --> 1:17:51.080
 But which neurons differs?

1:17:51.080 --> 1:17:52.080
 Which neurons are active?

1:17:52.080 --> 1:17:53.080
 Yeah.

1:17:53.080 --> 1:17:54.080
 So let me put this.

1:17:54.080 --> 1:17:56.080
 Let's say I take 10,000 neurons that are representing something.

1:17:56.080 --> 1:17:58.080
 They're sitting there in a little block together.

1:17:58.080 --> 1:18:00.080
 It's a teeny little block of neurons, 10,000 neurons.

1:18:00.080 --> 1:18:01.080
 And they're representing a location.

1:18:01.080 --> 1:18:02.080
 They're representing a cop.

1:18:02.080 --> 1:18:04.080
 They're representing the input from my sensors.

1:18:04.080 --> 1:18:05.080
 I don't know.

1:18:05.080 --> 1:18:06.080
 It doesn't matter.

1:18:06.080 --> 1:18:07.080
 It's representing something.

1:18:07.080 --> 1:18:10.080
 The way the representations occur, it's always a sparse representation.

1:18:10.080 --> 1:18:12.080
 Meaning it's a population code.

1:18:12.080 --> 1:18:15.080
 So which 200 cells are active tells me what's going on.

1:18:15.080 --> 1:18:18.080
 It's not individual cells aren't that important at all.

1:18:18.080 --> 1:18:20.080
 It's the population code that matters.

1:18:20.080 --> 1:18:23.080
 And when you have sparse population codes,

1:18:23.080 --> 1:18:26.080
 then all kinds of beautiful properties come out of them.

1:18:26.080 --> 1:18:29.080
 So the brain uses sparse population codes that we've written

1:18:29.080 --> 1:18:32.080
 and described these benefits in some of our papers.

1:18:32.080 --> 1:18:37.080
 So they give this tremendous robustness to the systems.

1:18:37.080 --> 1:18:39.080
 You know, brains are incredibly robust.

1:18:39.080 --> 1:18:42.080
 Neurons are dying all the time and spasming and synapses falling apart.

1:18:42.080 --> 1:18:45.080
 And, you know, all the time and it keeps working.

1:18:45.080 --> 1:18:52.080
 So what Subitai and Louise, one of our other engineers here have done,

1:18:52.080 --> 1:18:56.080
 have shown that they're introducing sparseness into convolutional neural networks.

1:18:56.080 --> 1:18:58.080
 Now other people are thinking along these lines,

1:18:58.080 --> 1:19:00.080
 but we're going about it in a more principled way, I think.

1:19:00.080 --> 1:19:06.080
 And we're showing that if you enforce sparseness throughout these convolutional neural networks,

1:19:06.080 --> 1:19:13.080
 in both the sort of which neurons are active and the connections between them,

1:19:13.080 --> 1:19:15.080
 that you get some very desirable properties.

1:19:15.080 --> 1:19:20.080
 So one of the current hot topics in deep learning right now are these adversarial examples.

1:19:20.080 --> 1:19:23.080
 So, you know, you give me any deep learning network

1:19:23.080 --> 1:19:27.080
 and I can give you a picture that looks perfect and you're going to call it, you know,

1:19:27.080 --> 1:19:30.080
 you're going to say the monkey is, you know, an airplane.

1:19:30.080 --> 1:19:32.080
 So that's a problem.

1:19:32.080 --> 1:19:36.080
 And DARPA just announced some big thing and we're trying to, you know, have some contests for this.

1:19:36.080 --> 1:19:40.080
 But if you enforce sparse representations here,

1:19:40.080 --> 1:19:41.080
 many of these problems go away.

1:19:41.080 --> 1:19:45.080
 They're much more robust and they're not easy to fool.

1:19:45.080 --> 1:19:48.080
 So we've already shown some of those results,

1:19:48.080 --> 1:19:53.080
 just literally in January or February, just like last month we did that.

1:19:53.080 --> 1:19:59.080
 And you can, I think it's on bioarchive right now or on iCry, you can read about it.

1:19:59.080 --> 1:20:02.080
 But so that's like a baby step.

1:20:02.080 --> 1:20:04.080
 Okay. That's a take something from the brain.

1:20:04.080 --> 1:20:05.080
 We know, we know about sparseness.

1:20:05.080 --> 1:20:06.080
 We know why it's important.

1:20:06.080 --> 1:20:08.080
 We know what it gives the brain.

1:20:08.080 --> 1:20:09.080
 So let's try to enforce that onto this.

1:20:09.080 --> 1:20:12.080
 What's your intuition why sparsity leads to robustness?

1:20:12.080 --> 1:20:14.080
 Because it feels like it would be less robust.

1:20:14.080 --> 1:20:17.080
 Why would you feel the rest robust to you?

1:20:17.080 --> 1:20:24.080
 So it, it just feels like if the fewer neurons are involved,

1:20:24.080 --> 1:20:26.080
 the more fragile the representation.

1:20:26.080 --> 1:20:28.080
 Yeah, but I didn't say there was lots of few.

1:20:28.080 --> 1:20:30.080
 I said, let's say 200.

1:20:30.080 --> 1:20:31.080
 That's a lot.

1:20:31.080 --> 1:20:32.080
 There's still a lot.

1:20:32.080 --> 1:20:33.080
 Yeah.

1:20:33.080 --> 1:20:35.080
 So here's an intuition for it.

1:20:35.080 --> 1:20:37.080
 This is a bit technical.

1:20:37.080 --> 1:20:41.080
 So for, you know, for engineers, machine learning people this be easy,

1:20:41.080 --> 1:20:44.080
 but God's listeners, maybe not.

1:20:44.080 --> 1:20:46.080
 If you're trying to classify something,

1:20:46.080 --> 1:20:50.080
 you're trying to divide some very high dimensional space into different pieces, A and B.

1:20:50.080 --> 1:20:55.080
 And you're trying to create some point where you say all these points in this high dimensional space are A

1:20:55.080 --> 1:20:57.080
 and all these points in this high dimensional space are B.

1:20:57.080 --> 1:21:03.080
 And if you have points that are close to that line, it's not very robust.

1:21:03.080 --> 1:21:07.080
 It works for all the points you know about, but it's, it's not very robust

1:21:07.080 --> 1:21:10.080
 because you can just move a little bit and you've crossed over the line.

1:21:10.080 --> 1:21:14.080
 When you have sparse representations, imagine I pick, I have,

1:21:14.080 --> 1:21:18.080
 I'm going to pick 200 cells active out of, out of 10,000.

1:21:18.080 --> 1:21:19.080
 Okay.

1:21:19.080 --> 1:21:20.080
 So I have 200 cells active.

1:21:20.080 --> 1:21:24.080
 Now let's say I pick randomly another, a different representation, 200.

1:21:24.080 --> 1:21:27.080
 The overlap between those is going to be very small, just a few.

1:21:27.080 --> 1:21:36.080
 I can pick millions of samples randomly of 200 neurons and not one of them will overlap more than just a few.

1:21:36.080 --> 1:21:43.080
 So one way to think about it is if I want to fool one of these representations to look like one of those other representations,

1:21:43.080 --> 1:21:46.080
 I can't move just one cell or two cells or three cells or four cells.

1:21:46.080 --> 1:21:48.080
 I have to move 100 cells.

1:21:48.080 --> 1:21:52.080
 And that makes them robust.

1:21:52.080 --> 1:21:56.080
 In terms of further, so you mentioned sparsity.

1:21:56.080 --> 1:21:57.080
 Will we be the next thing?

1:21:57.080 --> 1:21:58.080
 Yeah.

1:21:58.080 --> 1:21:59.080
 Okay.

1:21:59.080 --> 1:22:00.080
 So we have, we picked one.

1:22:00.080 --> 1:22:02.080
 We don't know if it's going to work well yet.

1:22:02.080 --> 1:22:08.080
 So again, we're trying to come up incremental ways of moving from brain theory to add pieces to machine learning,

1:22:08.080 --> 1:22:12.080
 current machine learning world in one step at a time.

1:22:12.080 --> 1:22:20.080
 So the next thing we're going to try to do is, is sort of incorporate some of the ideas of the, the thousand brains theory that you have many,

1:22:20.080 --> 1:22:22.080
 many models and that are voting.

1:22:22.080 --> 1:22:23.080
 Now that idea is not new.

1:22:23.080 --> 1:22:26.080
 There's a mixture of models that's been around for a long time.

1:22:26.080 --> 1:22:29.080
 But the way the brain does it is a little different.

1:22:29.080 --> 1:22:36.080
 And, and the way it votes is different and the kind of way it represents uncertainty is different.

1:22:36.080 --> 1:22:43.080
 So we're just starting this work, but we're going to try to see if we can sort of incorporate some of the principles of voting

1:22:43.080 --> 1:22:53.080
 or principles of a thousand brain theory, like lots of simple models that talk to each other in a, in a very certain way.

1:22:53.080 --> 1:23:07.080
 And can we build more machines and systems that learn faster and, and also, well, mostly are multimodal and robust to multimodal type of issues.

1:23:07.080 --> 1:23:15.080
 So one of the challenges there is, you know, the machine learning computer vision community has certain sets of benchmarks.

1:23:15.080 --> 1:23:18.080
 So it's a test based on which they compete.

1:23:18.080 --> 1:23:29.080
 And I would argue, especially from your perspective, that those benchmarks aren't that useful for testing the aspects that the brain is good at or intelligent.

1:23:29.080 --> 1:23:31.080
 They're not really testing intelligence.

1:23:31.080 --> 1:23:41.080
 They're very fine and has been extremely useful for developing specific mathematical models, but it's not useful in the long term for creating intelligence.

1:23:41.080 --> 1:23:46.080
 So do you think you also have a role in proposing better tests?

1:23:46.080 --> 1:23:50.080
 Yeah, this is a very, you've identified a very serious problem.

1:23:50.080 --> 1:23:57.080
 First of all, the tests that they have are the tests that they want, not the tests of the other things that we're trying to do.

1:23:57.080 --> 1:24:01.080
 Right. You know, what are the, so on.

1:24:01.080 --> 1:24:10.080
 The second thing is sometimes these to be competitive in these tests, you have to have huge data sets and huge computing power.

1:24:10.080 --> 1:24:13.080
 And so, you know, and we don't have that here.

1:24:13.080 --> 1:24:18.080
 We don't have it as well as other big teams that big companies do.

1:24:18.080 --> 1:24:20.080
 So there's numerous issues there.

1:24:20.080 --> 1:24:26.080
 You know, we come at it, you know, we're our approach to this is all based on, in some sense, you might argue elegance.

1:24:26.080 --> 1:24:30.080
 You know, we're coming at it from like a theoretical base that we think, oh my God, this is so clearly elegant.

1:24:30.080 --> 1:24:31.080
 This is how brains work.

1:24:31.080 --> 1:24:32.080
 This is what intelligence is.

1:24:32.080 --> 1:24:35.080
 But the machine learning world has gotten in this phase where they think it doesn't matter.

1:24:35.080 --> 1:24:39.080
 Doesn't matter what you think, as long as you do, you know, 0.1% better on this benchmark.

1:24:39.080 --> 1:24:41.080
 That's what that's all that matters.

1:24:41.080 --> 1:24:43.080
 And that's a problem.

1:24:43.080 --> 1:24:46.080
 You know, we have to figure out how to get around that.

1:24:46.080 --> 1:24:47.080
 That's a challenge for us.

1:24:47.080 --> 1:24:50.080
 That's one of the challenges we have to deal with.

1:24:50.080 --> 1:24:53.080
 So I agree you've identified a big issue.

1:24:53.080 --> 1:24:55.080
 It's difficult for those reasons.

1:24:55.080 --> 1:25:02.080
 But, you know, part of the reasons I'm talking to you here today is I hope I'm going to get some machine learning people to say,

1:25:02.080 --> 1:25:03.080
 I'm going to read those papers.

1:25:03.080 --> 1:25:04.080
 Those might be some interesting ideas.

1:25:04.080 --> 1:25:08.080
 I'm tired of doing this 0.1% improvement stuff, you know.

1:25:08.080 --> 1:25:21.080
 Well, that's why I'm here as well, because I think machine learning now as a community is at a place where the next step is needs to be orthogonal to what has received success in the past.

1:25:21.080 --> 1:25:27.080
 You see other leaders saying this, machine learning leaders, you know, Jeff Hinton with his capsules idea.

1:25:27.080 --> 1:25:33.080
 Many people have gotten up saying, you know, we're going to hit road, maybe we should look at the brain, you know, things like that.

1:25:33.080 --> 1:25:37.080
 So hopefully that thinking will occur organically.

1:25:37.080 --> 1:25:43.080
 And then we're in a nice position for people to come and look at our work and say, well, what can we learn from these guys?

1:25:43.080 --> 1:25:49.080
 Yeah, MIT is just launching a billion dollar computing college that's centered around this idea.

1:25:49.080 --> 1:25:51.080
 On this idea of what?

1:25:51.080 --> 1:25:59.080
 Well, the idea that, you know, the humanities, psychology, neuroscience have to work all together to get to build the S.

1:25:59.080 --> 1:26:02.080
 Yeah, I mean, Stanford just did this human center today, I think.

1:26:02.080 --> 1:26:10.080
 I'm a little disappointed in these initiatives because, you know, they're focusing on sort of the human side of it,

1:26:10.080 --> 1:26:17.080
 and it can very easily slip into how humans interact with intelligent machines, which is nothing wrong with that.

1:26:17.080 --> 1:26:20.080
 But that's not, that is orthogonal to what we're trying to do.

1:26:20.080 --> 1:26:22.080
 We're trying to say, like, what is the essence of intelligence?

1:26:22.080 --> 1:26:23.080
 I don't care.

1:26:23.080 --> 1:26:31.080
 In fact, I want to build intelligent machines that aren't emotional, that don't smile at you, that, you know, that aren't trying to tuck you in at night.

1:26:31.080 --> 1:26:38.080
 Yeah, there is that pattern that you, when you talk about understanding humans is important for understanding intelligence.

1:26:38.080 --> 1:26:47.080
 You start slipping into topics of ethics or, yeah, like you said, the interactive elements as opposed to, no, no, no, let's zoom in on the brain,

1:26:47.080 --> 1:26:51.080
 study what the human brain, the baby, the...

1:26:51.080 --> 1:26:53.080
 Let's study what a brain does.

1:26:53.080 --> 1:26:57.080
 And then we can decide which parts of that we want to recreate in some system.

1:26:57.080 --> 1:27:00.080
 But until you have that theory about what the brain does, what's the point?

1:27:00.080 --> 1:27:03.080
 You know, it's just, you're going to be wasting time, I think.

1:27:03.080 --> 1:27:09.080
 Just to break it down on the artificial neural network side, maybe you can speak to this on the, on the biologic neural network side,

1:27:09.080 --> 1:27:13.080
 the process of learning versus the process of inference.

1:27:13.080 --> 1:27:22.080
 Maybe you can explain to me, what, is there a difference between, you know, in artificial neural networks, there's a difference between the learning stage and the inference stage?

1:27:22.080 --> 1:27:23.080
 Yeah.

1:27:23.080 --> 1:27:25.080
 Do you see the brain as something different?

1:27:25.080 --> 1:27:33.080
 One of the big distinctions that people often say, I don't know how correct it is, is artificial neural networks need a lot of data.

1:27:33.080 --> 1:27:34.080
 They're very inefficient learning.

1:27:34.080 --> 1:27:35.080
 Yeah.

1:27:35.080 --> 1:27:42.080
 Do you see that as a correct distinction from the biology of the human brain, that the human brain is very efficient?

1:27:42.080 --> 1:27:44.080
 Or is that just something we deceive ourselves with?

1:27:44.080 --> 1:27:45.080
 No, it is efficient, obviously.

1:27:45.080 --> 1:27:47.080
 We can learn new things almost instantly.

1:27:47.080 --> 1:27:50.080
 And so what elements do you think...

1:27:50.080 --> 1:27:51.080
 Yeah, I can talk about that.

1:27:51.080 --> 1:27:52.080
 You brought up two issues there.

1:27:52.080 --> 1:28:00.080
 So remember I talked early about the constraints, we always feel, well, one of those constraints is the fact that brains are continually learning.

1:28:00.080 --> 1:28:03.080
 That's not something we said, oh, we can add that later.

1:28:03.080 --> 1:28:11.080
 That's something that was upfront, had to be there from the start, made our problems harder.

1:28:11.080 --> 1:28:19.080
 But we showed, going back to the 2016 paper on sequence memory, we showed how that happens, how the brains infer and learn at the same time.

1:28:19.080 --> 1:28:22.080
 And our models do that.

1:28:22.080 --> 1:28:26.080
 They're not two separate phases or two separate sets of time.

1:28:26.080 --> 1:28:33.080
 I think that's a big, big problem in AI, at least for many applications, not for all.

1:28:33.080 --> 1:28:34.080
 So I can talk about that.

1:28:34.080 --> 1:28:37.080
 It gets detailed.

1:28:37.080 --> 1:28:46.080
 There are some parts of the neocortex in the brain where actually what's going on, there's these cycles of activity in the brain.

1:28:46.080 --> 1:28:54.080
 And there's very strong evidence that you're doing more of inference on one part of the phase and more of learning on the other part of the phase.

1:28:54.080 --> 1:28:58.080
 So the brain can actually sort of separate different populations of cells that are going back and forth like this.

1:28:58.080 --> 1:29:01.080
 But in general, I would say that's an important problem.

1:29:01.080 --> 1:29:05.080
 We have all of our networks that we've come up with do both.

1:29:05.080 --> 1:29:08.080
 They're continuous learning networks.

1:29:08.080 --> 1:29:10.080
 And you mentioned benchmarks earlier.

1:29:10.080 --> 1:29:12.080
 Well, there are no benchmarks about that.

1:29:12.080 --> 1:29:13.080
 Exactly.

1:29:13.080 --> 1:29:19.080
 So we have to like, we get in our little soapbox and hey, by the way, this is important.

1:29:19.080 --> 1:29:21.080
 And here's the mechanism for doing that.

1:29:21.080 --> 1:29:26.080
 But until you can prove it to someone in some commercial system or something, it's a little harder.

1:29:26.080 --> 1:29:33.080
 So one of the things I had to linger on that is in some ways to learn the concept of a coffee cup.

1:29:33.080 --> 1:29:38.080
 You only need this one coffee cup and maybe some time alone in a room with it.

1:29:38.080 --> 1:29:43.080
 So the first thing is I imagine I reach my hand into a black box and I'm reaching, I'm trying to touch something.

1:29:43.080 --> 1:29:47.080
 I don't know up front if it's something I already know or if it's a new thing.

1:29:47.080 --> 1:29:50.080
 And I have to, I'm doing both at the same time.

1:29:50.080 --> 1:29:53.080
 I don't say, oh, let's see if it's a new thing.

1:29:53.080 --> 1:29:55.080
 Oh, let's see if it's an old thing.

1:29:55.080 --> 1:29:56.080
 I don't do that.

1:29:56.080 --> 1:29:59.080
 As I go, my brain says, oh, it's new or it's not new.

1:29:59.080 --> 1:30:02.080
 And if it's new, I start learning what it is.

1:30:02.080 --> 1:30:06.080
 And by the way, it starts learning from the get go, even if it's going to recognize it.

1:30:06.080 --> 1:30:09.080
 So they're not separate problems.

1:30:09.080 --> 1:30:10.080
 And so that's the thing there.

1:30:10.080 --> 1:30:13.080
 The other thing you mentioned was the fast learning.

1:30:13.080 --> 1:30:17.080
 So I was just talking about continuous learning, but there's also fast learning.

1:30:17.080 --> 1:30:20.080
 Literally, I can show you this coffee cup and I say, here's a new coffee cup.

1:30:20.080 --> 1:30:21.080
 It's got the logo on it.

1:30:21.080 --> 1:30:22.080
 Take a look at it.

1:30:22.080 --> 1:30:23.080
 Done.

1:30:23.080 --> 1:30:24.080
 You're done.

1:30:24.080 --> 1:30:27.080
 You can predict what it's going to look like, you know, in different positions.

1:30:27.080 --> 1:30:29.080
 So I can talk about that too.

1:30:29.080 --> 1:30:30.080
 Yes.

1:30:30.080 --> 1:30:34.080
 In the brain, the way learning occurs.

1:30:34.080 --> 1:30:36.080
 I mentioned this earlier, but I mentioned it again.

1:30:36.080 --> 1:30:40.080
 The way learning occurs, I imagine I have a section of a dendrite of a neuron.

1:30:40.080 --> 1:30:43.080
 And I want to learn, I'm going to learn something new.

1:30:43.080 --> 1:30:44.080
 It just doesn't matter what it is.

1:30:44.080 --> 1:30:46.080
 I'm just going to learn something new.

1:30:46.080 --> 1:30:48.080
 I need to recognize a new pattern.

1:30:48.080 --> 1:30:52.080
 So what I'm going to do is I'm going to form new synapses.

1:30:52.080 --> 1:30:57.080
 New synapses, we're going to rewire the brain onto that section of the dendrite.

1:30:57.080 --> 1:31:02.080
 Once I've done that, everything else that neuron has learned is not affected by it.

1:31:02.080 --> 1:31:06.080
 Now, it's because it's isolated to that small section of the dendrite.

1:31:06.080 --> 1:31:09.080
 They're not all being added together, like a point neuron.

1:31:09.080 --> 1:31:13.080
 So if I learn something new on this segment here, it doesn't change any of the learning

1:31:13.080 --> 1:31:15.080
 that occur anywhere else in that neuron.

1:31:15.080 --> 1:31:18.080
 So I can add something without affecting previous learning.

1:31:18.080 --> 1:31:20.080
 And I can do it quickly.

1:31:20.080 --> 1:31:24.080
 Now, let's talk, we can talk about the quickness, how it's done in real neurons.

1:31:24.080 --> 1:31:27.080
 You might say, well, doesn't it take time to form synapses?

1:31:27.080 --> 1:31:30.080
 Yes, it can take maybe an hour to form a new synapse.

1:31:30.080 --> 1:31:32.080
 We can form memories quicker than that.

1:31:32.080 --> 1:31:35.080
 And I can explain that happens too, if you want.

1:31:35.080 --> 1:31:38.080
 But it's getting a bit neurosciencey.

1:31:38.080 --> 1:31:40.080
 That's great.

1:31:40.080 --> 1:31:43.080
 But is there an understanding of these mechanisms at every level?

1:31:43.080 --> 1:31:48.080
 So from the short term memories and the forming new connections.

1:31:48.080 --> 1:31:51.080
 So this idea of synaptogenesis, the growth of new synapses,

1:31:51.080 --> 1:31:54.080
 that's well described, as well understood.

1:31:54.080 --> 1:31:56.080
 And that's an essential part of learning.

1:31:56.080 --> 1:31:57.080
 That is learning.

1:31:57.080 --> 1:31:58.080
 That is learning.

1:31:58.080 --> 1:32:00.080
 Okay.

1:32:00.080 --> 1:32:04.080
 You know, back, you know, going back many, many years, people, you know,

1:32:04.080 --> 1:32:08.080
 was, what's his name, the psychologist proposed,

1:32:08.080 --> 1:32:10.080
 Hebb, Donald Hebb.

1:32:10.080 --> 1:32:13.080
 He proposed that learning was the modification of the strength

1:32:13.080 --> 1:32:15.080
 of a connection between two neurons.

1:32:15.080 --> 1:32:19.080
 People interpreted that as the modification of the strength of a synapse.

1:32:19.080 --> 1:32:21.080
 He didn't say that.

1:32:21.080 --> 1:32:24.080
 He just said there's a modification between the effect of one neuron and another.

1:32:24.080 --> 1:32:28.080
 So synaptogenesis is totally consistent with Donald Hebb said.

1:32:28.080 --> 1:32:31.080
 But anyway, there's these mechanisms, the growth of new synapse.

1:32:31.080 --> 1:32:34.080
 You can go online, you can watch a video of a synapse growing in real time.

1:32:34.080 --> 1:32:36.080
 It's literally, you can see this little thing going.

1:32:36.080 --> 1:32:38.080
 It's pretty impressive.

1:32:38.080 --> 1:32:40.080
 So that those mechanisms are known.

1:32:40.080 --> 1:32:43.080
 Now, there's another thing that we've speculated and we've written about,

1:32:43.080 --> 1:32:48.080
 which is consistent with no neuroscience, but it's less proven.

1:32:48.080 --> 1:32:49.080
 And this is the idea.

1:32:49.080 --> 1:32:51.080
 How do I form a memory really, really quickly?

1:32:51.080 --> 1:32:53.080
 Like instantaneous.

1:32:53.080 --> 1:32:56.080
 If it takes an hour to grow a synapse, like that's not instantaneous.

1:32:56.080 --> 1:33:01.080
 So there are types of synapses called silent synapses.

1:33:01.080 --> 1:33:04.080
 They look like a synapse, but they don't do anything.

1:33:04.080 --> 1:33:05.080
 They're just sitting there.

1:33:05.080 --> 1:33:10.080
 It's like if an action potential comes in, it doesn't release any neurotransmitter.

1:33:10.080 --> 1:33:12.080
 Some parts of the brain have more of these than others.

1:33:12.080 --> 1:33:14.080
 For example, the hippocampus has a lot of them,

1:33:14.080 --> 1:33:18.080
 which is where we associate most short term memory with.

1:33:18.080 --> 1:33:22.080
 So what we speculated, again, in that 2016 paper,

1:33:22.080 --> 1:33:26.080
 we proposed that the way we form very quick memories,

1:33:26.080 --> 1:33:29.080
 very short term memories, or quick memories,

1:33:29.080 --> 1:33:34.080
 is that we convert silent synapses into active synapses.

1:33:34.080 --> 1:33:38.080
 It's like saying a synapse has a zero weight and a one weight.

1:33:38.080 --> 1:33:41.080
 But the long term memory has to be formed by synaptogenesis.

1:33:41.080 --> 1:33:43.080
 So you can remember something really quickly

1:33:43.080 --> 1:33:46.080
 by just flipping a bunch of these guys from silent to active.

1:33:46.080 --> 1:33:49.080
 It's not from 0.1 to 0.15.

1:33:49.080 --> 1:33:52.080
 It doesn't do anything until it releases transmitter.

1:33:52.080 --> 1:33:56.080
 If I do that over a bunch of these, I've got a very quick short term memory.

1:33:56.080 --> 1:34:01.080
 So I guess the lesson behind this is that most neural networks today are fully connected.

1:34:01.080 --> 1:34:04.080
 Every neuron connects every other neuron from layer to layer.

1:34:04.080 --> 1:34:06.080
 That's not correct in the brain.

1:34:06.080 --> 1:34:07.080
 We don't want that.

1:34:07.080 --> 1:34:08.080
 We actually don't want that.

1:34:08.080 --> 1:34:09.080
 It's bad.

1:34:09.080 --> 1:34:13.080
 You want a very sparse connectivity so that any neuron connects

1:34:13.080 --> 1:34:15.080
 to some subset of the neurons in the other layer,

1:34:15.080 --> 1:34:18.080
 and it does so on a dendrite by dendrite segment basis.

1:34:18.080 --> 1:34:21.080
 So it's a very parcelated out type of thing.

1:34:21.080 --> 1:34:25.080
 And that then learning is not adjusting all these weights,

1:34:25.080 --> 1:34:29.080
 but learning is just saying, OK, connect to these 10 cells here right now.

1:34:29.080 --> 1:34:32.080
 In that process, you know, with artificial neural networks,

1:34:32.080 --> 1:34:37.080
 it's a very simple process of back propagation that adjusts the weights.

1:34:37.080 --> 1:34:39.080
 The process of synaptogenesis.

1:34:39.080 --> 1:34:40.080
 Synaptogenesis.

1:34:40.080 --> 1:34:41.080
 Synaptogenesis.

1:34:41.080 --> 1:34:42.080
 It's even easier.

1:34:42.080 --> 1:34:43.080
 It's even easier.

1:34:43.080 --> 1:34:44.080
 It's even easier.

1:34:44.080 --> 1:34:49.080
 Back propagation requires something that really can't happen in brains.

1:34:49.080 --> 1:34:51.080
 This back propagation of this error signal.

1:34:51.080 --> 1:34:52.080
 They really can't happen.

1:34:52.080 --> 1:34:55.080
 People are trying to make it happen in brains, but it doesn't happen in brain.

1:34:55.080 --> 1:34:57.080
 This is pure Hebbian learning.

1:34:57.080 --> 1:34:59.080
 Well, synaptogenesis is pure Hebbian learning.

1:34:59.080 --> 1:35:03.080
 It's basically saying there's a population of cells over here that are active right now,

1:35:03.080 --> 1:35:05.080
 and there's a population of cells over here active right now.

1:35:05.080 --> 1:35:08.080
 How do I form connections between those active cells?

1:35:08.080 --> 1:35:11.080
 And it's literally saying this guy became active.

1:35:11.080 --> 1:35:15.080
 These 100 neurons here became active before this neuron became active.

1:35:15.080 --> 1:35:17.080
 So form connections to those ones.

1:35:17.080 --> 1:35:18.080
 That's it.

1:35:18.080 --> 1:35:20.080
 There's no propagation of error, nothing.

1:35:20.080 --> 1:35:26.080
 All the networks we do, all models we have work on almost completely on Hebbian learning,

1:35:26.080 --> 1:35:33.080
 but on dendritic segments and multiple synaptoses at the same time.

1:35:33.080 --> 1:35:36.080
 So now let's turn the question that you already answered,

1:35:36.080 --> 1:35:38.080
 and maybe you can answer it again.

1:35:38.080 --> 1:35:43.080
 If you look at the history of artificial intelligence, where do you think we stand?

1:35:43.080 --> 1:35:45.080
 How far are we from solving intelligence?

1:35:45.080 --> 1:35:47.080
 You said you were very optimistic.

1:35:47.080 --> 1:35:48.080
 Yeah.

1:35:48.080 --> 1:35:49.080
 Can you elaborate on that?

1:35:49.080 --> 1:35:55.080
 Yeah, it's always the crazy question to ask, because no one can predict the future.

1:35:55.080 --> 1:35:56.080
 Absolutely.

1:35:56.080 --> 1:35:58.080
 So I'll tell you a story.

1:35:58.080 --> 1:36:02.080
 I used to run a different neuroscience institute called the Redwood Neuroscience Institute,

1:36:02.080 --> 1:36:07.080
 and we would hold these symposiums, and we'd get like 35 scientists from around the world to come together.

1:36:07.080 --> 1:36:09.080
 And I used to ask them all the same question.

1:36:09.080 --> 1:36:13.080
 I would say, well, how long do you think it'll be before we understand how the New York Cortex works?

1:36:13.080 --> 1:36:17.080
 And everyone went around the room, and they had introduced the name, and they had to answer that question.

1:36:17.080 --> 1:36:22.080
 So I got, the typical answer was 50 to 100 years.

1:36:22.080 --> 1:36:24.080
 Some people would say 500 years.

1:36:24.080 --> 1:36:25.080
 Some people said never.

1:36:25.080 --> 1:36:27.080
 I said, why are you a neuroscience institute?

1:36:27.080 --> 1:36:28.080
 Never.

1:36:28.080 --> 1:36:30.080
 It's good pay.

1:36:30.080 --> 1:36:33.080
 It's interesting.

1:36:33.080 --> 1:36:37.080
 But it doesn't work like that.

1:36:37.080 --> 1:36:39.080
 As I mentioned earlier, these are step functions.

1:36:39.080 --> 1:36:41.080
 Things happen, and then bingo, they happen.

1:36:41.080 --> 1:36:43.080
 You can't predict that.

1:36:43.080 --> 1:36:45.080
 I feel I've already passed a step function.

1:36:45.080 --> 1:36:53.080
 So if I can do my job correctly over the next five years, then meaning I can proselytize these ideas.

1:36:53.080 --> 1:36:55.080
 I can convince other people they're right.

1:36:55.080 --> 1:37:01.080
 We can show that machine learning people should pay attention to these ideas.

1:37:01.080 --> 1:37:04.080
 Then we're definitely in an under 20 year time frame.

1:37:04.080 --> 1:37:09.080
 If I can do those things, if I'm not successful in that, and this is the last time anyone talks to me,

1:37:09.080 --> 1:37:15.080
 and no one reads our papers, and I'm wrong or something like that, then I don't know.

1:37:15.080 --> 1:37:17.080
 But it's not 50 years.

1:37:17.080 --> 1:37:22.080
 It's the same thing about electric cars.

1:37:22.080 --> 1:37:24.080
 How quickly are they going to populate the world?

1:37:24.080 --> 1:37:27.080
 It probably takes about a 20 year span.

1:37:27.080 --> 1:37:28.080
 It'll be something like that.

1:37:28.080 --> 1:37:31.080
 But I think if I can do what I said, we're starting it.

1:37:31.080 --> 1:37:35.080
 Of course, there could be other use of step functions.

1:37:35.080 --> 1:37:42.080
 It could be everybody gives up on your ideas for 20 years, and then all of a sudden somebody picks it up again.

1:37:42.080 --> 1:37:44.080
 Wait, that guy was onto something.

1:37:44.080 --> 1:37:46.080
 That would be a failure on my part.

1:37:46.080 --> 1:37:49.080
 Think about Charles Babbage.

1:37:49.080 --> 1:37:55.080
 Charles Babbage used to invented the computer back in the 1800s.

1:37:55.080 --> 1:37:59.080
 Everyone forgot about it until 100 years later.

1:37:59.080 --> 1:38:03.080
 This guy figured this stuff out a long time ago, but he was ahead of his time.

1:38:03.080 --> 1:38:09.080
 As I said, I recognize this is part of any entrepreneur's challenge.

1:38:09.080 --> 1:38:11.080
 I use entrepreneur broadly in this case.

1:38:11.080 --> 1:38:13.080
 I'm not meaning like I'm building a business trying to sell something.

1:38:13.080 --> 1:38:15.080
 I'm trying to sell ideas.

1:38:15.080 --> 1:38:20.080
 This is the challenge as to how you get people to pay attention to you.

1:38:20.080 --> 1:38:24.080
 How do you get them to give you positive or negative feedback?

1:38:24.080 --> 1:38:27.080
 How do you get the people to act differently based on your ideas?

1:38:27.080 --> 1:38:30.080
 We'll see how well we do on that.

1:38:30.080 --> 1:38:34.080
 There's a lot of hype behind artificial intelligence currently.

1:38:34.080 --> 1:38:43.080
 Do you, as you look to spread the ideas that are in your cortical theory, the things you're working on,

1:38:43.080 --> 1:38:47.080
 do you think there's some possibility we'll hit an AI winter once again?

1:38:47.080 --> 1:38:49.080
 It's certainly a possibility.

1:38:49.080 --> 1:38:51.080
 That's something you worry about?

1:38:51.080 --> 1:38:54.080
 I guess, do I worry about it?

1:38:54.080 --> 1:38:58.080
 I haven't decided yet if that's good or bad for my mission.

1:38:58.080 --> 1:38:59.080
 That's true.

1:38:59.080 --> 1:39:04.080
 That's very true because it's almost like you need the winter to refresh the pallet.

1:39:04.080 --> 1:39:08.080
 Here's what you want to have it.

1:39:08.080 --> 1:39:15.080
 To the extent that everyone is so thrilled about the current state of machine learning and AI,

1:39:15.080 --> 1:39:20.080
 and they don't imagine they need anything else, it makes my job harder.

1:39:20.080 --> 1:39:24.080
 If everything crashed completely and every student left the field,

1:39:24.080 --> 1:39:26.080
 and there was no money for anybody to do anything,

1:39:26.080 --> 1:39:29.080
 and it became an embarrassment to talk about machine intelligence and AI,

1:39:29.080 --> 1:39:31.080
 that wouldn't be good for us either.

1:39:31.080 --> 1:39:33.080
 You want the soft landing approach, right?

1:39:33.080 --> 1:39:37.080
 You want enough people, the senior people in AI and machine learning to say,

1:39:37.080 --> 1:39:39.080
 you know, we need other approaches.

1:39:39.080 --> 1:39:40.080
 We really need other approaches.

1:39:40.080 --> 1:39:42.080
 Damn, we need other approaches.

1:39:42.080 --> 1:39:43.080
 Maybe we should look to the brain.

1:39:43.080 --> 1:39:44.080
 Okay, let's look to the brain.

1:39:44.080 --> 1:39:45.080
 Who's got some brain ideas?

1:39:45.080 --> 1:39:49.080
 Okay, let's start a little project on the side here trying to do brain idea related stuff.

1:39:49.080 --> 1:39:51.080
 That's the ideal outcome we would want.

1:39:51.080 --> 1:39:53.080
 So I don't want a total winter,

1:39:53.080 --> 1:39:57.080
 and yet I don't want it to be sunny all the time either.

1:39:57.080 --> 1:40:02.080
 So what do you think it takes to build a system with human level intelligence

1:40:02.080 --> 1:40:06.080
 where once demonstrated, you would be very impressed?

1:40:06.080 --> 1:40:08.080
 So does it have to have a body?

1:40:08.080 --> 1:40:18.080
 Does it have to have the C word we used before consciousness as an entirety in a holistic sense?

1:40:18.080 --> 1:40:23.080
 First of all, I don't think the goal is to create a machine that is human level intelligence.

1:40:23.080 --> 1:40:24.080
 I think it's a false goal.

1:40:24.080 --> 1:40:26.080
 Back to Turing, I think it was a false statement.

1:40:26.080 --> 1:40:28.080
 We want to understand what intelligence is,

1:40:28.080 --> 1:40:31.080
 and then we can build intelligent machines of all different scales,

1:40:31.080 --> 1:40:33.080
 all different capabilities.

1:40:33.080 --> 1:40:35.080
 You know, a dog is intelligent.

1:40:35.080 --> 1:40:38.080
 You know, that would be pretty good to have a dog, you know,

1:40:38.080 --> 1:40:41.080
 but what about something that doesn't look like an animal at all in different spaces?

1:40:41.080 --> 1:40:45.080
 So my thinking about this is that we want to define what intelligence is,

1:40:45.080 --> 1:40:48.080
 agree upon what makes an intelligent system.

1:40:48.080 --> 1:40:52.080
 We can then say, okay, we're now going to build systems that work on those principles,

1:40:52.080 --> 1:40:57.080
 or some subset of them, and we can apply them to all different types of problems.

1:40:57.080 --> 1:41:00.080
 And the kind, the idea, it's not computing.

1:41:00.080 --> 1:41:05.080
 We don't ask, if I take a little, you know, little one chip computer,

1:41:05.080 --> 1:41:08.080
 I don't say, well, that's not a computer because it's not as powerful as this, you know,

1:41:08.080 --> 1:41:09.080
 big server over here.

1:41:09.080 --> 1:41:11.080
 No, no, because we know that what the principles are computing on,

1:41:11.080 --> 1:41:14.080
 and I can apply those principles to a small problem or into a big problem.

1:41:14.080 --> 1:41:16.080
 And same, intelligence needs to get there.

1:41:16.080 --> 1:41:17.080
 We have to say, these are the principles.

1:41:17.080 --> 1:41:19.080
 I can make a small one, a big one.

1:41:19.080 --> 1:41:20.080
 I can make them distributed.

1:41:20.080 --> 1:41:21.080
 I can put them on different sensors.

1:41:21.080 --> 1:41:23.080
 They don't have to be human like at all.

1:41:23.080 --> 1:41:25.080
 Now, you did bring up a very interesting question about embodiment.

1:41:25.080 --> 1:41:27.080
 Does it have to have a body?

1:41:27.080 --> 1:41:30.080
 It has to have some concept of movement.

1:41:30.080 --> 1:41:33.080
 It has to be able to move through these reference frames.

1:41:33.080 --> 1:41:35.080
 I talked about earlier, whether it's physically moving,

1:41:35.080 --> 1:41:38.080
 like I need, if I'm going to have an AI that understands coffee cups,

1:41:38.080 --> 1:41:42.080
 it's going to have to pick up the coffee cup and touch it and look at it with its eyes

1:41:42.080 --> 1:41:45.080
 and hands or something equivalent to that.

1:41:45.080 --> 1:41:51.080
 If I have a mathematical AI, maybe it needs to move through mathematical spaces.

1:41:51.080 --> 1:41:55.080
 I could have a virtual AI that lives in the Internet

1:41:55.080 --> 1:42:00.080
 and its movements are traversing links and digging into files,

1:42:00.080 --> 1:42:04.080
 but it's got a location that it's traveling through some space.

1:42:04.080 --> 1:42:08.080
 You can't have an AI that just takes some flash thing input,

1:42:08.080 --> 1:42:10.080
 you know, we call it flash inference.

1:42:10.080 --> 1:42:13.080
 Here's a pattern done.

1:42:13.080 --> 1:42:16.080
 No, it's movement pattern, movement pattern, movement pattern.

1:42:16.080 --> 1:42:18.080
 Attention, digging, building, building structure,

1:42:18.080 --> 1:42:20.080
 just trying to figure out the model of the world.

1:42:20.080 --> 1:42:25.080
 So some sort of embodiment, whether it's physical or not, has to be part of it.

1:42:25.080 --> 1:42:28.080
 So self awareness in the way to be able to answer where am I?

1:42:28.080 --> 1:42:31.080
 You bring up self awareness, it's a different topic, self awareness.

1:42:31.080 --> 1:42:37.080
 No, the very narrow definition, meaning knowing a sense of self enough to know

1:42:37.080 --> 1:42:40.080
 where am I in the space where essentially.

1:42:40.080 --> 1:42:43.080
 The system needs to know its location,

1:42:43.080 --> 1:42:48.080
 where each component of the system needs to know where it is in the world at that point in time.

1:42:48.080 --> 1:42:51.080
 So self awareness and consciousness.

1:42:51.080 --> 1:42:56.080
 Do you think, one, from the perspective of neuroscience and neurocortex,

1:42:56.080 --> 1:42:59.080
 these are interesting topics, solvable topics,

1:42:59.080 --> 1:43:04.080
 do you have any ideas of why the heck it is that we have a subjective experience at all?

1:43:04.080 --> 1:43:05.080
 Yeah, I have a lot of questions.

1:43:05.080 --> 1:43:08.080
 And is it useful, or is it just a side effect of us?

1:43:08.080 --> 1:43:10.080
 It's interesting to think about.

1:43:10.080 --> 1:43:16.080
 I don't think it's useful as a means to figure out how to build intelligent machines.

1:43:16.080 --> 1:43:21.080
 It's something that systems do, and we can talk about what it is,

1:43:21.080 --> 1:43:25.080
 that are like, well, if I build a system like this, then it would be self aware.

1:43:25.080 --> 1:43:28.080
 Or if I build it like this, it wouldn't be self aware.

1:43:28.080 --> 1:43:30.080
 So that's a choice I can have.

1:43:30.080 --> 1:43:32.080
 It's not like, oh my God, it's self aware.

1:43:32.080 --> 1:43:37.080
 I heard an interview recently with this philosopher from Yale.

1:43:37.080 --> 1:43:38.080
 I can't remember his name.

1:43:38.080 --> 1:43:39.080
 I apologize for that.

1:43:39.080 --> 1:43:41.080
 But he was talking about, well, if these computers were self aware,

1:43:41.080 --> 1:43:43.080
 then it would be a crime to unplug them.

1:43:43.080 --> 1:43:45.080
 And I'm like, oh, come on.

1:43:45.080 --> 1:43:46.080
 I unplug myself every night.

1:43:46.080 --> 1:43:47.080
 I go to sleep.

1:43:47.080 --> 1:43:49.080
 Is that a crime?

1:43:49.080 --> 1:43:51.080
 I plug myself in again in the morning.

1:43:51.080 --> 1:43:53.080
 There I am.

1:43:53.080 --> 1:43:56.080
 People get kind of bent out of shape about this.

1:43:56.080 --> 1:44:02.080
 I have very detailed understanding or opinions about what it means to be conscious

1:44:02.080 --> 1:44:04.080
 and what it means to be self aware.

1:44:04.080 --> 1:44:07.080
 I don't think it's that interesting a problem.

1:44:07.080 --> 1:44:08.080
 You talked about Christoph Koch.

1:44:08.080 --> 1:44:10.080
 He thinks that's the only problem.

1:44:10.080 --> 1:44:12.080
 I didn't actually listen to your interview with him.

1:44:12.080 --> 1:44:15.080
 But I know him, and I know that's the thing.

1:44:15.080 --> 1:44:18.080
 He also thinks intelligence and consciousness are disjoint.

1:44:18.080 --> 1:44:21.080
 So I mean, it's not, you don't have to have one or the other.

1:44:21.080 --> 1:44:23.080
 I just agree with that.

1:44:23.080 --> 1:44:24.080
 I just totally disagree with that.

1:44:24.080 --> 1:44:26.080
 So where's your thoughts and consciousness?

1:44:26.080 --> 1:44:28.080
 Where does it emerge from?

1:44:28.080 --> 1:44:30.080
 Then we have to break it down to the two parts.

1:44:30.080 --> 1:44:32.080
 Because consciousness isn't one thing.

1:44:32.080 --> 1:44:34.080
 That's part of the problem with that term.

1:44:34.080 --> 1:44:36.080
 It means different things to different people.

1:44:36.080 --> 1:44:38.080
 And there's different components of it.

1:44:38.080 --> 1:44:40.080
 There is a concept of self awareness.

1:44:40.080 --> 1:44:44.080
 That can be very easily explained.

1:44:44.080 --> 1:44:46.080
 You have a model of your own body.

1:44:46.080 --> 1:44:48.080
 The neocortex models things in the world.

1:44:48.080 --> 1:44:50.080
 And it also models your own body.

1:44:50.080 --> 1:44:53.080
 And then it has a memory.

1:44:53.080 --> 1:44:55.080
 It can remember what you've done.

1:44:55.080 --> 1:44:57.080
 So it can remember what you did this morning.

1:44:57.080 --> 1:44:59.080
 It can remember what you had for breakfast and so on.

1:44:59.080 --> 1:45:02.080
 And so I can say to you, okay, Lex,

1:45:02.080 --> 1:45:06.080
 were you conscious this morning when you had your bagel?

1:45:06.080 --> 1:45:08.080
 And you'd say, yes, I was conscious.

1:45:08.080 --> 1:45:11.080
 Now, what if I could take your brain and revert all the synapses

1:45:11.080 --> 1:45:13.080
 back to the state they were this morning?

1:45:13.080 --> 1:45:15.080
 And then I said to you, Lex,

1:45:15.080 --> 1:45:17.080
 were you conscious when you ate the bagel?

1:45:17.080 --> 1:45:18.080
 And he said, no, I wasn't conscious.

1:45:18.080 --> 1:45:20.080
 I said, here's a video of eating the bagel.

1:45:20.080 --> 1:45:22.080
 And he said, I wasn't there.

1:45:22.080 --> 1:45:25.080
 That's not possible because I must have been unconscious at that time.

1:45:25.080 --> 1:45:27.080
 So we can just make this one to one correlation

1:45:27.080 --> 1:45:30.080
 between memory of your body's trajectory through the world

1:45:30.080 --> 1:45:32.080
 over some period of time.

1:45:32.080 --> 1:45:34.080
 And the ability to recall that memory

1:45:34.080 --> 1:45:36.080
 is what you would call conscious.

1:45:36.080 --> 1:45:38.080
 I was conscious of that. It's self awareness.

1:45:38.080 --> 1:45:41.080
 And any system that can recall,

1:45:41.080 --> 1:45:43.080
 memorize what it's done recently

1:45:43.080 --> 1:45:46.080
 and bring that back and invoke it again

1:45:46.080 --> 1:45:48.080
 would say, yeah, I'm aware.

1:45:48.080 --> 1:45:51.080
 I remember what I did. All right, I got it.

1:45:51.080 --> 1:45:54.080
 That's an easy one. Although some people think that's a hard one.

1:45:54.080 --> 1:45:57.080
 The more challenging part of consciousness

1:45:57.080 --> 1:45:59.080
 is this is one that's sometimes used

1:45:59.080 --> 1:46:01.080
 by the word Aqualia,

1:46:01.080 --> 1:46:04.080
 which is, you know, why does an object seem red?

1:46:04.080 --> 1:46:06.080
 Or what is pain?

1:46:06.080 --> 1:46:08.080
 And why does pain feel like something?

1:46:08.080 --> 1:46:10.080
 Why do I feel redness?

1:46:10.080 --> 1:46:12.080
 So why do I feel a little painless in a way?

1:46:12.080 --> 1:46:14.080
 And then I could say, well, why does sight

1:46:14.080 --> 1:46:16.080
 seems different than hearing? You know, it's the same problem.

1:46:16.080 --> 1:46:18.080
 It's really, you know, these are all just neurons.

1:46:18.080 --> 1:46:21.080
 And so how is it that why does looking at you

1:46:21.080 --> 1:46:24.080
 feel different than, you know, hearing you?

1:46:24.080 --> 1:46:26.080
 It feels different, but there's just neurons in my head.

1:46:26.080 --> 1:46:28.080
 They're all doing the same thing.

1:46:28.080 --> 1:46:30.080
 So that's an interesting question.

1:46:30.080 --> 1:46:32.080
 The best treatise I've read about this

1:46:32.080 --> 1:46:34.080
 is by a guy named Oregon.

1:46:34.080 --> 1:46:38.080
 He wrote a book called Why Red Doesn't Sound Like a Bell.

1:46:38.080 --> 1:46:42.080
 It's a little, it's not a trade book, easy to read,

1:46:42.080 --> 1:46:45.080
 but it, and it's an interesting question.

1:46:45.080 --> 1:46:47.080
 Take something like color.

1:46:47.080 --> 1:46:49.080
 Color really doesn't exist in the world.

1:46:49.080 --> 1:46:51.080
 It's not a property of the world.

1:46:51.080 --> 1:46:54.080
 Property of the world that exists is light frequency,

1:46:54.080 --> 1:46:57.080
 and that gets turned into we have certain cells

1:46:57.080 --> 1:46:59.080
 in the retina that respond to different frequencies

1:46:59.080 --> 1:47:00.080
 different than others.

1:47:00.080 --> 1:47:02.080
 And so when they enter the brain, you just have a bunch

1:47:02.080 --> 1:47:04.080
 of axons that are firing at different rates,

1:47:04.080 --> 1:47:06.080
 and from that we perceive color.

1:47:06.080 --> 1:47:08.080
 But there is no color in the brain.

1:47:08.080 --> 1:47:11.080
 I mean, there's no color coming in on those synapses.

1:47:11.080 --> 1:47:14.080
 It's just a correlation between some axons

1:47:14.080 --> 1:47:17.080
 and some property of frequency.

1:47:17.080 --> 1:47:19.080
 And that isn't even color itself.

1:47:19.080 --> 1:47:21.080
 Frequency doesn't have a color.

1:47:21.080 --> 1:47:23.080
 It's just what it is.

1:47:23.080 --> 1:47:25.080
 So then the question is, well, why does it even

1:47:25.080 --> 1:47:27.080
 appear to have a color at all?

1:47:27.080 --> 1:47:30.080
 Just as you're describing it, there seems to be a connection

1:47:30.080 --> 1:47:32.080
 to those ideas of reference frames.

1:47:32.080 --> 1:47:38.080
 I mean, it just feels like consciousness having the subject,

1:47:38.080 --> 1:47:42.080
 assigning the feeling of red to the actual color

1:47:42.080 --> 1:47:47.080
 or to the wavelength is useful for intelligence.

1:47:47.080 --> 1:47:49.080
 Yeah, I think that's a good way of putting it.

1:47:49.080 --> 1:47:51.080
 It's useful as a predictive mechanism,

1:47:51.080 --> 1:47:53.080
 or useful as a generalization idea.

1:47:53.080 --> 1:47:55.080
 It's a way of grouping things together to say

1:47:55.080 --> 1:47:58.080
 it's useful to have a model like this.

1:47:58.080 --> 1:48:02.080
 Think about the well known syndrome that people

1:48:02.080 --> 1:48:06.080
 who've lost a limb experience called phantom limbs.

1:48:06.080 --> 1:48:11.080
 And what they claim is they can have their arms removed

1:48:11.080 --> 1:48:13.080
 but they feel the arm.

1:48:13.080 --> 1:48:15.080
 Not only feel it, they know it's there.

1:48:15.080 --> 1:48:16.080
 It's there.

1:48:16.080 --> 1:48:17.080
 I know it's there.

1:48:17.080 --> 1:48:19.080
 They'll swear to you that it's there.

1:48:19.080 --> 1:48:20.080
 And then they can feel pain in their arm.

1:48:20.080 --> 1:48:22.080
 And they'll feel pain in their finger.

1:48:22.080 --> 1:48:25.080
 And if they move their non existent arm behind their back,

1:48:25.080 --> 1:48:27.080
 then they feel the pain behind their back.

1:48:27.080 --> 1:48:30.080
 So this whole idea that your arm exists

1:48:30.080 --> 1:48:31.080
 is a model of your brain.

1:48:31.080 --> 1:48:34.080
 It may or may not really exist.

1:48:34.080 --> 1:48:38.080
 And just like, but it's useful to have a model of something

1:48:38.080 --> 1:48:40.080
 that sort of correlates to things in the world

1:48:40.080 --> 1:48:42.080
 so you can make predictions about what would happen

1:48:42.080 --> 1:48:43.080
 when those things occur.

1:48:43.080 --> 1:48:44.080
 It's a little bit of a fuzzy,

1:48:44.080 --> 1:48:46.080
 but I think you're getting quite towards the answer there.

1:48:46.080 --> 1:48:51.080
 It's useful for the model to express things certain ways

1:48:51.080 --> 1:48:53.080
 that we can then map them into these reference frames

1:48:53.080 --> 1:48:55.080
 and make predictions about them.

1:48:55.080 --> 1:48:57.080
 I need to spend more time on this topic.

1:48:57.080 --> 1:48:58.080
 It doesn't bother me.

1:48:58.080 --> 1:49:00.080
 Do you really need to spend more time on this?

1:49:00.080 --> 1:49:01.080
 Yeah.

1:49:01.080 --> 1:49:04.080
 It does feel special that we have subjective experience,

1:49:04.080 --> 1:49:07.080
 but I'm yet to know why.

1:49:07.080 --> 1:49:08.080
 I'm just personally curious.

1:49:08.080 --> 1:49:10.080
 It's not necessary for the work we're doing here.

1:49:10.080 --> 1:49:12.080
 I don't think I need to solve that problem

1:49:12.080 --> 1:49:14.080
 to build intelligent machines at all.

1:49:14.080 --> 1:49:15.080
 Not at all.

1:49:15.080 --> 1:49:19.080
 But there is sort of the silly notion that you described briefly

1:49:19.080 --> 1:49:22.080
 that doesn't seem so silly to us humans is,

1:49:22.080 --> 1:49:26.080
 you know, if you're successful building intelligent machines,

1:49:26.080 --> 1:49:29.080
 it feels wrong to then turn them off.

1:49:29.080 --> 1:49:32.080
 Because if you're able to build a lot of them,

1:49:32.080 --> 1:49:36.080
 it feels wrong to then be able to, you know,

1:49:36.080 --> 1:49:38.080
 to turn off the...

1:49:38.080 --> 1:49:39.080
 Well, why?

1:49:39.080 --> 1:49:41.080
 Let's break that down a bit.

1:49:41.080 --> 1:49:43.080
 As humans, why do we fear death?

1:49:43.080 --> 1:49:46.080
 There's two reasons we fear death.

1:49:46.080 --> 1:49:48.080
 Well, first of all, I'll say when you're dead, it doesn't matter.

1:49:48.080 --> 1:49:49.080
 Okay.

1:49:49.080 --> 1:49:50.080
 You're dead.

1:49:50.080 --> 1:49:51.080
 So why do we fear death?

1:49:51.080 --> 1:49:53.080
 We fear death for two reasons.

1:49:53.080 --> 1:49:57.080
 One is because we are programmed genetically to fear death.

1:49:57.080 --> 1:50:02.080
 That's a survival and propaganda in the genes thing.

1:50:02.080 --> 1:50:06.080
 And we also are programmed to feel sad when people we know die.

1:50:06.080 --> 1:50:08.080
 We don't feel sad for someone we don't know dies.

1:50:08.080 --> 1:50:09.080
 There's people dying right now.

1:50:09.080 --> 1:50:10.080
 They're only scared to say,

1:50:10.080 --> 1:50:11.080
 I don't feel bad about them because I don't know them.

1:50:11.080 --> 1:50:13.080
 But I knew they might feel really bad.

1:50:13.080 --> 1:50:18.080
 So again, these are old brain genetically embedded things

1:50:18.080 --> 1:50:20.080
 that we fear death.

1:50:20.080 --> 1:50:23.080
 Outside of those uncomfortable feelings,

1:50:23.080 --> 1:50:25.080
 there's nothing else to worry about.

1:50:25.080 --> 1:50:27.080
 Well, wait, hold on a second.

1:50:27.080 --> 1:50:30.080
 Do you know the denial of death by Beckard?

1:50:30.080 --> 1:50:36.080
 You know, there's a thought that death is, you know,

1:50:36.080 --> 1:50:43.080
 our whole conception of our world model kind of assumes immortality.

1:50:43.080 --> 1:50:47.080
 And then death is this terror that underlies it all.

1:50:47.080 --> 1:50:50.080
 So like, well, some people's world model, not mine.

1:50:50.080 --> 1:50:51.080
 But okay.

1:50:51.080 --> 1:50:54.080
 So what, what Becker would say is that you're just living in an illusion.

1:50:54.080 --> 1:50:58.080
 You've constructed illusion for yourself because it's such a terrible terror.

1:50:58.080 --> 1:51:02.080
 The fact that this illusion, the illusion that death doesn't matter.

1:51:02.080 --> 1:51:05.080
 You're still not coming to grips with the illusion of what?

1:51:05.080 --> 1:51:08.080
 That death is going to happen.

1:51:08.080 --> 1:51:10.080
 Oh, it's not going to happen.

1:51:10.080 --> 1:51:11.080
 You're, you're actually operating.

1:51:11.080 --> 1:51:13.080
 You haven't, even though you said you've accepted it,

1:51:13.080 --> 1:51:16.080
 you haven't really accepted the notion of death is what you say.

1:51:16.080 --> 1:51:21.080
 So it sounds like it sounds like you disagree with that notion.

1:51:21.080 --> 1:51:22.080
 I mean, totally.

1:51:22.080 --> 1:51:27.080
 Like, I literally every night, every night I go to bed, it's like dying.

1:51:27.080 --> 1:51:28.080
 Little deaths.

1:51:28.080 --> 1:51:29.080
 Little deaths.

1:51:29.080 --> 1:51:32.080
 And if I didn't wake up, it wouldn't matter to me.

1:51:32.080 --> 1:51:35.080
 Only if I knew that was going to happen would it be bothersome.

1:51:35.080 --> 1:51:37.080
 If I didn't know it was going to happen, how would I know?

1:51:37.080 --> 1:51:39.080
 Then I would worry about my wife.

1:51:39.080 --> 1:51:40.080
 Yeah.

1:51:40.080 --> 1:51:44.080
 So imagine, imagine I was a loner and I lived in Alaska and I lived them out there and there

1:51:44.080 --> 1:51:45.080
 was no animals.

1:51:45.080 --> 1:51:46.080
 Nobody knew I existed.

1:51:46.080 --> 1:51:48.080
 I was just eating these roots all the time.

1:51:48.080 --> 1:51:50.080
 And nobody knew I was there.

1:51:50.080 --> 1:51:53.080
 And one day I didn't wake up.

1:51:53.080 --> 1:51:56.080
 Where, what, what pain in the world would there exist?

1:51:56.080 --> 1:52:01.080
 Well, so most people that think about this problem would say that you're just deeply enlightened

1:52:01.080 --> 1:52:04.080
 or are completely delusional.

1:52:04.080 --> 1:52:05.080
 Wow.

1:52:05.080 --> 1:52:14.080
 But I would say, I would say that's a very enlightened way to see the world is that that's the rational one.

1:52:14.080 --> 1:52:15.080
 Well, I think it's rational.

1:52:15.080 --> 1:52:16.080
 That's right.

1:52:16.080 --> 1:52:22.080
 But the fact is we don't, I mean, we really don't have an understanding of why the heck

1:52:22.080 --> 1:52:26.080
 it is we're born and why we die and what happens after we die.

1:52:26.080 --> 1:52:27.080
 Well, maybe there isn't a reason.

1:52:27.080 --> 1:52:28.080
 Maybe there is.

1:52:28.080 --> 1:52:30.080
 So I'm interested in those big problems too, right?

1:52:30.080 --> 1:52:33.080
 You know, you, you interviewed Max Tagmark, you know, and there's people like that, right?

1:52:33.080 --> 1:52:35.080
 I'm interested in those big problems as well.

1:52:35.080 --> 1:52:41.080
 And in fact, when I was young, I made a list of the biggest problems I could think of.

1:52:41.080 --> 1:52:43.080
 First, why does anything exist?

1:52:43.080 --> 1:52:46.080
 Second, why did we have the laws of physics that we have?

1:52:46.080 --> 1:52:49.080
 Third, is life inevitable?

1:52:49.080 --> 1:52:50.080
 And why is it here?

1:52:50.080 --> 1:52:52.080
 Fourth, is intelligence inevitable?

1:52:52.080 --> 1:52:53.080
 And why is it here?

1:52:53.080 --> 1:52:58.080
 I stopped there because I figured if you can make a truly intelligent system, we'll be,

1:52:58.080 --> 1:53:03.080
 that'll be the quickest way to answer the first three questions.

1:53:03.080 --> 1:53:04.080
 I'm serious.

1:53:04.080 --> 1:53:05.080
 Yeah.

1:53:05.080 --> 1:53:09.080
 And so I said, my mission, you know, you asked me earlier, my first mission is to understand

1:53:09.080 --> 1:53:12.080
 the brain, but I felt that is the shortest way to get to true machine intelligence.

1:53:12.080 --> 1:53:16.080
 And I want to get to true machine intelligence because even if it doesn't occur in my lifetime,

1:53:16.080 --> 1:53:19.080
 other people will benefit from it because I think it'll occur in my lifetime.

1:53:19.080 --> 1:53:21.080
 But, you know, 20 years, you never know.

1:53:21.080 --> 1:53:27.080
 And, but that will be the quickest way for us to, you know, we can make super mathematicians.

1:53:27.080 --> 1:53:29.080
 We can make super space explorers.

1:53:29.080 --> 1:53:36.080
 We can make super physicists brains that do these things and that can run experiments

1:53:36.080 --> 1:53:37.080
 that we can't run.

1:53:37.080 --> 1:53:40.080
 We don't have the abilities to manipulate things and so on.

1:53:40.080 --> 1:53:42.080
 But we can build and tell the machines to do all those things.

1:53:42.080 --> 1:53:48.080
 And with the ultimate goal of finding out the answers to the other questions.

1:53:48.080 --> 1:53:56.080
 Let me ask, you know, the depressing and difficult question, which is once we achieve that goal,

1:53:56.080 --> 1:54:03.080
 do you, of creating, no, of understanding intelligence, do you think we would be happier,

1:54:03.080 --> 1:54:05.080
 more fulfilled as a species?

1:54:05.080 --> 1:54:08.080
 The understanding intelligence or understanding the answers to the big questions?

1:54:08.080 --> 1:54:09.080
 Understanding intelligence.

1:54:09.080 --> 1:54:11.080
 Oh, totally.

1:54:11.080 --> 1:54:12.080
 Totally.

1:54:12.080 --> 1:54:14.080
 It would be far more fun place to live.

1:54:14.080 --> 1:54:15.080
 You think so?

1:54:15.080 --> 1:54:16.080
 Oh, yeah.

1:54:16.080 --> 1:54:17.080
 Why not?

1:54:17.080 --> 1:54:22.080
 I just put aside this, you know, terminator nonsense and, and, and, and just think about,

1:54:22.080 --> 1:54:26.080
 you can think about the, we can talk about the risk of AI if you want.

1:54:26.080 --> 1:54:27.080
 I'd love to.

1:54:27.080 --> 1:54:28.080
 So let's talk about.

1:54:28.080 --> 1:54:30.080
 But I think the world is far better knowing things.

1:54:30.080 --> 1:54:32.080
 We're always better than no things.

1:54:32.080 --> 1:54:33.080
 Do you think it's better?

1:54:33.080 --> 1:54:38.080
 Is it a better place to live in that I know that our planet is one of many in the solar system

1:54:38.080 --> 1:54:40.080
 and the solar system is one of many in the galaxy?

1:54:40.080 --> 1:54:44.080
 I think it's a more, I dread, I used to, I sometimes think like, God, what would be like

1:54:44.080 --> 1:54:47.080
 the 300 years ago, I'd be looking up the sky, I can't understand anything.

1:54:47.080 --> 1:54:48.080
 Oh my God.

1:54:48.080 --> 1:54:50.080
 I'd be like going to bed every night going, what's going on here?

1:54:50.080 --> 1:54:54.080
 Well, I mean, in some sense, I agree with you, but I'm not exactly sure.

1:54:54.080 --> 1:54:55.080
 So I'm also a scientist.

1:54:55.080 --> 1:55:01.080
 So I have, I share your views, but I'm not, we're, we're like rolling down the hill together.

1:55:01.080 --> 1:55:03.080
 What's down the hill?

1:55:03.080 --> 1:55:05.080
 I feel for climbing a hill.

1:55:05.080 --> 1:55:07.080
 Whatever we're getting, we're getting closer to enlightenment.

1:55:07.080 --> 1:55:08.080
 Whatever.

1:55:08.080 --> 1:55:12.080
 We're climbing, we're getting pulled up a hill.

1:55:12.080 --> 1:55:14.080
 Pulled up by our curiosity.

1:55:14.080 --> 1:55:17.080
 We're pulling ourselves up the hill by our curiosity.

1:55:17.080 --> 1:55:19.080
 Yeah, sycophers are doing the same thing with the rock.

1:55:19.080 --> 1:55:21.080
 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

1:55:21.080 --> 1:55:29.080
 But okay, our happiness aside, do you have concerns about, you know, you talk about Sam Harris, Elon Musk,

1:55:29.080 --> 1:55:32.080
 of existential threats of intelligence systems?

1:55:32.080 --> 1:55:34.080
 No, I'm not worried about existential threats at all.

1:55:34.080 --> 1:55:36.080
 There are some things we really do need to worry about.

1:55:36.080 --> 1:55:38.080
 Even today's AI, we have things we have to worry about.

1:55:38.080 --> 1:55:43.080
 We have to worry about privacy and about how it impacts false beliefs in the world.

1:55:43.080 --> 1:55:48.080
 And we have real problems that, and things to worry about with today's AI.

1:55:48.080 --> 1:55:51.080
 And that will continue as we create more intelligent systems.

1:55:51.080 --> 1:55:59.080
 There's no question, you know, the whole issue about, you know, making intelligent armament and weapons is something that really we have to think about carefully.

1:55:59.080 --> 1:56:01.080
 I don't think of those as existential threats.

1:56:01.080 --> 1:56:09.080
 I think those are the kind of threats we always face and we'll have to face them here and we'll have to deal with them.

1:56:09.080 --> 1:56:17.080
 We can talk about what people think are the existential threats, but when I hear people talking about them, they all sound hollow to me.

1:56:17.080 --> 1:56:21.080
 They're based on ideas, they're based on people who really have no idea what intelligence is.

1:56:21.080 --> 1:56:26.080
 And if they knew what intelligence was, they wouldn't say those things.

1:56:26.080 --> 1:56:29.080
 So those are not experts in the field, you know.

1:56:29.080 --> 1:56:31.080
 So there's two, right?

1:56:31.080 --> 1:56:33.080
 So one is like superintelligence.

1:56:33.080 --> 1:56:42.080
 So a system that becomes far, far superior in reasoning ability than us humans.

1:56:42.080 --> 1:56:45.080
 And how is that an existential threat?

1:56:45.080 --> 1:56:49.080
 So there's a lot of ways in which it could be.

1:56:49.080 --> 1:57:00.080
 One way is us humans are actually irrational, inefficient and get in the way of not happiness,

1:57:00.080 --> 1:57:05.080
 but whatever the objective function is of maximizing that objective function and superintelligence.

1:57:05.080 --> 1:57:07.080
 The paperclip problem and things like that.

1:57:07.080 --> 1:57:09.080
 So the paperclip problem, but with the superintelligence.

1:57:09.080 --> 1:57:10.080
 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

1:57:10.080 --> 1:57:15.080
 So we already faced this threat in some sense.

1:57:15.080 --> 1:57:17.080
 They're called bacteria.

1:57:17.080 --> 1:57:21.080
 These are organisms in the world that would like to turn everything into bacteria.

1:57:21.080 --> 1:57:23.080
 And they're constantly morphing.

1:57:23.080 --> 1:57:26.080
 They're constantly changing to evade our protections.

1:57:26.080 --> 1:57:33.080
 And in the past, they have killed huge swaths of populations of humans on this planet.

1:57:33.080 --> 1:57:38.080
 So if you want to worry about something that's going to multiply endlessly, we have it.

1:57:38.080 --> 1:57:43.080
 And I'm far more worried in that regard, I'm far more worried that some scientists in the laboratory

1:57:43.080 --> 1:57:47.080
 will create a super virus or a super bacteria that we cannot control.

1:57:47.080 --> 1:57:49.080
 That is a more existential threat.

1:57:49.080 --> 1:57:54.080
 Putting an intelligence thing on top of it actually seems to make it less existential to me.

1:57:54.080 --> 1:57:56.080
 It's like, it limits its power.

1:57:56.080 --> 1:57:57.080
 It limits where it can go.

1:57:57.080 --> 1:57:59.080
 It limits the number of things it can do in many ways.

1:57:59.080 --> 1:58:02.080
 A bacteria is something you can't even see.

1:58:02.080 --> 1:58:04.080
 So that's only one of those problems.

1:58:04.080 --> 1:58:05.080
 Yes, exactly.

1:58:05.080 --> 1:58:09.080
 So the other one, just in your intuition about intelligence,

1:58:09.080 --> 1:58:12.080
 when you think about intelligence of us humans,

1:58:12.080 --> 1:58:14.080
 do you think of that as something,

1:58:14.080 --> 1:58:18.080
 if you look at intelligence on a spectrum from zero to us humans,

1:58:18.080 --> 1:58:24.080
 do you think you can scale that to something far superior to all the mechanisms we've been talking about?

1:58:24.080 --> 1:58:27.080
 I want to make another point here, Alex, before I get there.

1:58:27.080 --> 1:58:30.080
 Intelligence is the neocortex.

1:58:30.080 --> 1:58:32.080
 It is not the entire brain.

1:58:32.080 --> 1:58:36.080
 The goal is not to make a human.

1:58:36.080 --> 1:58:38.080
 The goal is not to make an emotional system.

1:58:38.080 --> 1:58:41.080
 The goal is not to make a system that wants to have sex and reproduce.

1:58:41.080 --> 1:58:42.080
 Why would I build that?

1:58:42.080 --> 1:58:44.080
 If I want to have a system that wants to reproduce and have sex,

1:58:44.080 --> 1:58:47.080
 make bacteria, make computer viruses.

1:58:47.080 --> 1:58:48.080
 Those are bad things.

1:58:48.080 --> 1:58:49.080
 Don't do that.

1:58:49.080 --> 1:58:50.080
 Those are really bad.

1:58:50.080 --> 1:58:51.080
 Don't do those things.

1:58:51.080 --> 1:58:53.080
 Regulate those.

1:58:53.080 --> 1:58:56.080
 But if I just say, I want an intelligent system,

1:58:56.080 --> 1:58:58.080
 why doesn't it have to have any human like emotions?

1:58:58.080 --> 1:59:00.080
 Why does it even care if it lives?

1:59:00.080 --> 1:59:02.080
 Why does it even care if it has food?

1:59:02.080 --> 1:59:04.080
 It doesn't care about those things.

1:59:04.080 --> 1:59:07.080
 It's just in a trance thinking about mathematics,

1:59:07.080 --> 1:59:12.080
 or it's out there just trying to build the space for it on Mars.

1:59:12.080 --> 1:59:15.080
 That's a choice we make.

1:59:15.080 --> 1:59:17.080
 Don't make human like things.

1:59:17.080 --> 1:59:18.080
 Don't make replicating things.

1:59:18.080 --> 1:59:19.080
 Don't make things that have emotions.

1:59:19.080 --> 1:59:21.080
 Just stick to the neocortex.

1:59:21.080 --> 1:59:24.080
 That's a view, actually, that I share, but not everybody shares,

1:59:24.080 --> 1:59:28.080
 in the sense that you have faith and optimism about us as engineers

1:59:28.080 --> 1:59:31.080
 and systems, humans as builders of systems,

1:59:31.080 --> 1:59:35.080
 to not put in different stupid things.

1:59:35.080 --> 1:59:37.080
 This is why I mentioned the bacteria one,

1:59:37.080 --> 1:59:40.080
 because you might say, well, some person's going to do that.

1:59:40.080 --> 1:59:42.080
 Well, some person today could create a bacteria

1:59:42.080 --> 1:59:46.080
 that's resistant to all the known antibacterial agents.

1:59:46.080 --> 1:59:49.080
 So we already have that threat.

1:59:49.080 --> 1:59:51.080
 We already know this is going on.

1:59:51.080 --> 1:59:52.080
 It's not a new threat.

1:59:52.080 --> 1:59:56.080
 So just accept that, and then we have to deal with it, right?

1:59:56.080 --> 1:59:59.080
 Yeah, so my point is nothing to do with intelligence.

1:59:59.080 --> 2:00:02.080
 Intelligence is a separate component that you might apply

2:00:02.080 --> 2:00:05.080
 to a system that wants to reproduce and do stupid things.

2:00:05.080 --> 2:00:07.080
 Let's not do that.

2:00:07.080 --> 2:00:10.080
 Yeah, in fact, it is a mystery why people haven't done that yet.

2:00:10.080 --> 2:00:14.080
 My dad as a physicist believes that the reason,

2:00:14.080 --> 2:00:19.080
 for example, nuclear weapons haven't proliferated amongst evil people.

2:00:19.080 --> 2:00:25.080
 So one belief that I share is that there's not that many evil people in the world

2:00:25.080 --> 2:00:32.080
 that would use whether it's bacteria or nuclear weapons,

2:00:32.080 --> 2:00:35.080
 or maybe the future AI systems to do bad.

2:00:35.080 --> 2:00:37.080
 So the fraction is small.

2:00:37.080 --> 2:00:40.080
 And the second is that it's actually really hard, technically.

2:00:40.080 --> 2:00:45.080
 So the intersection between evil and competent is small.

2:00:45.080 --> 2:00:47.080
 And by the way, to really annihilate humanity,

2:00:47.080 --> 2:00:51.080
 you'd have to have sort of the nuclear winter phenomenon,

2:00:51.080 --> 2:00:54.080
 which is not one person shooting or even 10 bombs.

2:00:54.080 --> 2:00:58.080
 You'd have to have some automated system that detonates a million bombs,

2:00:58.080 --> 2:01:00.080
 or whatever many thousands we have.

2:01:00.080 --> 2:01:03.080
 So it's extreme evil combined with extreme competence.

2:01:03.080 --> 2:01:06.080
 And despite building some stupid system that would automatically,

2:01:06.080 --> 2:01:10.080
 you know, Dr. Strangelup type of thing, you know,

2:01:10.080 --> 2:01:14.080
 I mean, look, we could have some nuclear bomb go off in some major city in the world.

2:01:14.080 --> 2:01:17.080
 I think that's actually quite likely, even in my lifetime.

2:01:17.080 --> 2:01:20.080
 I don't think that's an unlikely thing, and it would be a tragedy.

2:01:20.080 --> 2:01:23.080
 But it won't be an existential threat.

2:01:23.080 --> 2:01:27.080
 And it's the same as, you know, the virus of 1917 or whatever it was,

2:01:27.080 --> 2:01:29.080
 you know, the influenza.

2:01:29.080 --> 2:01:33.080
 These bad things can happen and the plague and so on.

2:01:33.080 --> 2:01:35.080
 We can't always prevent it.

2:01:35.080 --> 2:01:37.080
 We always try, but we can't.

2:01:37.080 --> 2:01:41.080
 But they're not existential threats until we combine all those crazy things together.

2:01:41.080 --> 2:01:45.080
 So on the spectrum of intelligence from zero to human,

2:01:45.080 --> 2:01:51.080
 do you have a sense of whether it's possible to create several orders of magnitude

2:01:51.080 --> 2:01:54.080
 or at least double that of human intelligence,

2:01:54.080 --> 2:01:56.080
 to talk about neural cortex?

2:01:56.080 --> 2:01:58.080
 I think it's the wrong thing to say, double the intelligence.

2:01:58.080 --> 2:02:01.080
 Break it down into different components.

2:02:01.080 --> 2:02:04.080
 Can I make something that's a million times faster than a human brain?

2:02:04.080 --> 2:02:06.080
 Yes, I can do that.

2:02:06.080 --> 2:02:10.080
 Could I make something that is, has a lot more storage than a human brain?

2:02:10.080 --> 2:02:13.080
 Yes, I can do that. More copies come.

2:02:13.080 --> 2:02:16.080
 Can I make something that attaches to different sensors than a human brain?

2:02:16.080 --> 2:02:17.080
 Yes, I can do that.

2:02:17.080 --> 2:02:19.080
 Could I make something that's distributed?

2:02:19.080 --> 2:02:23.080
 We talked earlier about the departure of neural cortex voting.

2:02:23.080 --> 2:02:25.080
 They don't have to be co located.

2:02:25.080 --> 2:02:29.080
 They can be all around the places. I could do that too.

2:02:29.080 --> 2:02:32.080
 Those are the levers I have, but is it more intelligent?

2:02:32.080 --> 2:02:35.080
 What depends what I train in on? What is it doing?

2:02:35.080 --> 2:02:37.080
 So here's the thing.

2:02:37.080 --> 2:02:46.080
 Let's say larger neural cortex and or whatever size that allows for higher and higher hierarchies

2:02:46.080 --> 2:02:49.080
 to form, we're talking about reference frames and concepts.

2:02:49.080 --> 2:02:53.080
 So I could, could I have something that's a super physicist or a super mathematician? Yes.

2:02:53.080 --> 2:02:59.080
 And the question is, once you have a super physicist, will they be able to understand something?

2:02:59.080 --> 2:03:03.080
 Do you have a sense that it will be orders, like us compared to ants?

2:03:03.080 --> 2:03:04.080
 Could we ever understand it?

2:03:04.080 --> 2:03:05.080
 Yeah.

2:03:05.080 --> 2:03:11.080
 Most people cannot understand general relativity.

2:03:11.080 --> 2:03:13.080
 It's a really hard thing to get.

2:03:13.080 --> 2:03:17.080
 I mean, you can paint it in a fuzzy picture, stretchy space, you know?

2:03:17.080 --> 2:03:18.080
 Yeah.

2:03:18.080 --> 2:03:23.080
 But the field equations to do that and the deep intuitions are really, really hard.

2:03:23.080 --> 2:03:26.080
 And I've tried, I'm unable to do it.

2:03:26.080 --> 2:03:32.080
 It's easy to get special relative, but general relative, man, that's too much.

2:03:32.080 --> 2:03:35.080
 And so we already live with this to some extent.

2:03:35.080 --> 2:03:40.080
 The vast majority of people can't understand actually what the vast majority of other people actually know.

2:03:40.080 --> 2:03:45.080
 We're just either we don't have the effort to or we can't or we don't have time or just not smart enough, whatever.

2:03:45.080 --> 2:03:48.080
 So, but we have ways of communicating.

2:03:48.080 --> 2:03:51.080
 Einstein has spoken in a way that I can understand.

2:03:51.080 --> 2:03:54.080
 He's given me analogies that are useful.

2:03:54.080 --> 2:04:00.080
 I can use those analogies for my own work and think about, you know, concepts that are similar.

2:04:00.080 --> 2:04:02.080
 It's not stupid.

2:04:02.080 --> 2:04:04.080
 It's not like he's existed in some other plane.

2:04:04.080 --> 2:04:06.080
 There's no connection to my plane in the world here.

2:04:06.080 --> 2:04:07.080
 So that will occur.

2:04:07.080 --> 2:04:09.080
 It already has occurred.

2:04:09.080 --> 2:04:12.080
 That's when my point at this story is it already has occurred.

2:04:12.080 --> 2:04:14.080
 We live it every day.

2:04:14.080 --> 2:04:21.080
 One could argue that with we create machine intelligence that think a million times faster than us that it'll be so far we can't make the connections.

2:04:21.080 --> 2:04:29.080
 But, you know, at the moment, everything that seems really, really hard to figure out in the world when you actually figure it out is not that hard.

2:04:29.080 --> 2:04:32.080
 You know, almost everyone can understand the multiverses.

2:04:32.080 --> 2:04:34.080
 Almost everyone can understand quantum physics.

2:04:34.080 --> 2:04:38.080
 Almost everyone can understand these basic things, even though hardly any people could figure those things out.

2:04:38.080 --> 2:04:40.080
 Yeah, but really understand.

2:04:40.080 --> 2:04:43.080
 But you don't need to really, only a few people really understand.

2:04:43.080 --> 2:04:49.080
 You need to only understand the projections, the sprinkles of the useful insights from that.

2:04:49.080 --> 2:04:51.080
 That was my example of Einstein, right?

2:04:51.080 --> 2:04:55.080
 His general theory of relativity is one thing that very, very, very few people can get.

2:04:55.080 --> 2:04:59.080
 And what if we just said those other few people are also artificial intelligences?

2:04:59.080 --> 2:05:01.080
 How bad is that?

2:05:01.080 --> 2:05:02.080
 In some sense they are, right?

2:05:02.080 --> 2:05:03.080
 Yeah, they say already.

2:05:03.080 --> 2:05:05.080
 I mean, Einstein wasn't a really normal person.

2:05:05.080 --> 2:05:07.080
 He had a lot of weird quirks.

2:05:07.080 --> 2:05:09.080
 And so the other people who work with him.

2:05:09.080 --> 2:05:15.080
 So, you know, maybe they already were sort of this actual plane of intelligence that we live with it already.

2:05:15.080 --> 2:05:17.080
 It's not a problem.

2:05:17.080 --> 2:05:20.080
 It's still useful and, you know.

2:05:20.080 --> 2:05:24.080
 So do you think we are the only intelligent life out there in the universe?

2:05:24.080 --> 2:05:29.080
 I would say that intelligent life has and will exist elsewhere in the universe.

2:05:29.080 --> 2:05:31.080
 I'll say that.

2:05:31.080 --> 2:05:39.080
 There is a question about contemporaneous intelligence life, which is hard to even answer when we think about relativity and the nature of space time.

2:05:39.080 --> 2:05:43.080
 We can't say what exactly is this time someplace else in the world.

2:05:43.080 --> 2:05:54.080
 But I think it's, you know, I do worry a lot about the filter idea, which is that perhaps intelligent species don't last very long.

2:05:54.080 --> 2:05:56.080
 And so we haven't been around very long.

2:05:56.080 --> 2:06:02.080
 As a technological species, we've been around for almost nothing, you know, what, 200 years or something like that.

2:06:02.080 --> 2:06:08.080
 And we don't have any data, a good data point on whether it's likely that we'll survive or not.

2:06:08.080 --> 2:06:12.080
 So do I think that there have been intelligent life elsewhere in the universe?

2:06:12.080 --> 2:06:14.080
 Almost certainly, of course.

2:06:14.080 --> 2:06:16.080
 In the past, in the future, yes.

2:06:16.080 --> 2:06:18.080
 Does it survive for a long time?

2:06:18.080 --> 2:06:19.080
 I don't know.

2:06:19.080 --> 2:06:25.080
 This is another reason I'm excited about our work, is our work meaning the general world of AI.

2:06:25.080 --> 2:06:31.080
 I think we can build intelligent machines that outlast us.

2:06:31.080 --> 2:06:34.080
 You know, they don't have to be tied to Earth.

2:06:34.080 --> 2:06:39.080
 They don't have to, you know, I'm not saying they're recreating, you know, you know, aliens.

2:06:39.080 --> 2:06:44.080
 I'm just saying, if I asked myself, and this might be a good point to end on here.

2:06:44.080 --> 2:06:47.080
 If I asked myself, you know, what's special about our species?

2:06:47.080 --> 2:06:49.080
 We're not particularly interesting physically.

2:06:49.080 --> 2:06:51.080
 We're not, we don't fly.

2:06:51.080 --> 2:06:52.080
 We're not good swimmers.

2:06:52.080 --> 2:06:53.080
 We're not very fast.

2:06:53.080 --> 2:06:54.080
 We're not very strong, you know.

2:06:54.080 --> 2:06:55.080
 It's our brain.

2:06:55.080 --> 2:06:56.080
 That's the only thing.

2:06:56.080 --> 2:07:01.080
 And we are the only species on this planet that's built the model of the world that extends beyond what we can actually sense.

2:07:01.080 --> 2:07:09.080
 We're the only people who know about the far side of the moon and other universes and other galaxies and other stars and what happens in the atom.

2:07:09.080 --> 2:07:12.080
 That knowledge doesn't exist anywhere else.

2:07:12.080 --> 2:07:13.080
 It's only in our heads.

2:07:13.080 --> 2:07:14.080
 Cats don't do it.

2:07:14.080 --> 2:07:15.080
 Dogs don't do it.

2:07:15.080 --> 2:07:16.080
 Monkeys don't do it.

2:07:16.080 --> 2:07:18.080
 That is what we've created that's unique.

2:07:18.080 --> 2:07:19.080
 Not our genes.

2:07:19.080 --> 2:07:20.080
 It's knowledge.

2:07:20.080 --> 2:07:24.080
 And if I ask me, what is the legacy of humanity?

2:07:24.080 --> 2:07:25.080
 What should our legacy be?

2:07:25.080 --> 2:07:26.080
 It should be knowledge.

2:07:26.080 --> 2:07:30.080
 We should preserve our knowledge in a way that it can exist beyond us.

2:07:30.080 --> 2:07:38.080
 And I think the best way of doing that, in fact, you have to do it, is to have to go along with intelligent machines to understand that knowledge.

2:07:38.080 --> 2:07:44.080
 It's a very broad idea, but we should be thinking, I call it a state planning for humanity.

2:07:44.080 --> 2:07:49.080
 We should be thinking about what we want to leave behind when as a species we're no longer here.

2:07:49.080 --> 2:07:51.080
 And that will happen sometime.

2:07:51.080 --> 2:07:52.080
 Sooner or later, it's going to happen.

2:07:52.080 --> 2:07:58.080
 And understanding intelligence and creating intelligence gives us a better chance to prolong.

2:07:58.080 --> 2:08:00.080
 It does give us a better chance to prolong life.

2:08:00.080 --> 2:08:01.080
 Yes.

2:08:01.080 --> 2:08:03.080
 It gives us a chance to live on other planets.

2:08:03.080 --> 2:08:07.080
 But even beyond that, I mean, our solar system will disappear one day.

2:08:07.080 --> 2:08:09.080
 It's given enough time.

2:08:09.080 --> 2:08:10.080
 So I don't know.

2:08:10.080 --> 2:08:14.080
 I doubt we will ever be able to travel to other things.

2:08:14.080 --> 2:08:18.080
 But we could tell the stars, but we could send intelligent machines to do that.

2:08:18.080 --> 2:08:29.080
 Do you have an optimistic, a hopeful view of our knowledge of the echoes of human civilization living through the intelligent systems we create?

2:08:29.080 --> 2:08:30.080
 Oh, totally.

2:08:30.080 --> 2:08:32.080
 Well, I think the intelligent systems are greater.

2:08:32.080 --> 2:08:39.080
 In some sense, the vessel for bringing them beyond Earth or making them last beyond humans themselves.

2:08:39.080 --> 2:08:41.080
 So how do you feel about that?

2:08:41.080 --> 2:08:44.080
 That they won't be human, quote unquote.

2:08:44.080 --> 2:08:48.080
 Human, what is human? Our species are changing all the time.

2:08:48.080 --> 2:08:52.080
 Human today is not the same as human just 50 years ago.

2:08:52.080 --> 2:08:54.080
 What is human? Do we care about our genetics?

2:08:54.080 --> 2:08:56.080
 Why is that important?

2:08:56.080 --> 2:08:59.080
 As I point out, our genetics are no more interesting than a bacterium's genetics.

2:08:59.080 --> 2:09:01.080
 It's no more interesting than a monkey's genetics.

2:09:01.080 --> 2:09:07.080
 What we have, what's unique and what's valuable is our knowledge, what we've learned about the world.

2:09:07.080 --> 2:09:09.080
 And that is the rare thing.

2:09:09.080 --> 2:09:11.080
 That's the thing we want to preserve.

2:09:11.080 --> 2:09:15.080
 Who cares about our genes?

2:09:15.080 --> 2:09:17.080
 It's the knowledge.

2:09:17.080 --> 2:09:19.080
 That's a really good place to end.

2:09:19.080 --> 2:09:42.080
 Thank you so much for talking to me.