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The following is a conversation with Regina Barsley. |
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She's a professor at MIT and a world class researcher |
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in natural language processing and applications |
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of deep learning to chemistry and oncology, |
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or the use of deep learning for early diagnosis, prevention, |
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and treatment of cancer. |
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She has also been recognized for a teaching |
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of several successful AI related courses at MIT, |
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including the popular introduction to machine |
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learning course. |
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This is the Artificial Intelligence Podcast. |
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If you enjoy it, subscribe on YouTube, |
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give it 5,000 iTunes, support it on Patreon, |
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or simply connect with me on Twitter |
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at Lex Freedman, spelled F R I D M A N. |
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And now here's my conversation with Regina Barsley. |
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In an interview you've mentioned |
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that if there's one course you would take, |
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it would be a literature course with a friend of yours |
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that a friend of yours teaches just out of curiosity |
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because I couldn't find anything on it. |
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Are there books or ideas that had profound impact |
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on your life journey, books and ideas perhaps outside |
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of computer science and the technical fields? |
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I think because I'm spending a lot of my time at MIT |
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and previously in other institutions where I was a student, |
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I have a limited ability to interact with people. |
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So a lot of what I know about the world |
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actually comes from books. |
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And there were quite a number of books |
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that had profound impact on me and how I view the world. |
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Let me just give you one example of such a book. |
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I've maybe a year ago read a book |
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called The Emperor of All Melodies. |
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It's a book about, it's kind of a history of science book |
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on how the treatments and drugs for cancer were developed. |
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And that book, despite the fact that I am |
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in the business of science, really opened my eyes |
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on how imprecise and imperfect the discovery process is |
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and how imperfect our current solutions. |
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And what makes science succeed and be implemented |
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and sometimes it's actually not the strengths of the idea |
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but devotion of the person who wants to see it implemented. |
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So this is one of the books that, you know, |
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at least for the last year quite changed the way |
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I'm thinking about scientific process |
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just from the historical perspective. |
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And what do I need to do to make my ideas really implemented? |
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Let me give you an example of a book |
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which is not kind of, which is a fiction book. |
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It's a book called Americana. |
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And this is a book about a young female student |
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who comes from Africa to study in the United States. |
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And it describes her past, you know, within her studies |
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and her life transformation that, you know, |
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in a new country and kind of adaptation to a new culture. |
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And when I read this book, |
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I saw myself in many different points of it. |
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But it also kind of gave me the lens on different events |
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and some events that I never actually paid attention |
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to one of the funny stories in this book |
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is how she arrives to her new college |
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and she starts speaking in English |
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and she had this beautiful British accent |
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because that's how she was educated in her country. |
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This is not my case. |
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And then she notices that the person who talks to her, |
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you know, talks to her in a very funny way, |
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in a very slow way. |
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And she's thinking that this woman is disabled |
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and she's also trying to kind of to accommodate her. |
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And then after a while, |
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when she finishes her discussion with this officer |
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from her college, she sees how she interacts |
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with the other students, with American students |
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and she discovers that actually she talked to her this way |
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because she saw that she doesn't understand English. |
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And he thought, wow, this is a funny experience. |
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And literally within few weeks, |
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I went to LA to a conference |
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and they asked somebody in an airport, you know, |
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how to find like a cab or something. |
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And then I noticed that this person is talking |
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in a very strange way. |
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And my first thought was that this person |
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have some, you know, pronunciation issues or something. |
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And I'm trying to talk very slowly to him |
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and I was with another professor, Ernst Frankel. |
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And he's like laughing because it's funny |
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that I don't get that the guy is talking in this way |
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because he thinks that I cannot speak. |
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So it was really kind of mirroring experience |
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and it led me think a lot about my own experiences |
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moving, you know, from different countries. |
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So I think that books play a big role |
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in my understanding of the world. |
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On the science question, you mentioned that |
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it made you discover that personalities |
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of human beings are more important than perhaps ideas. |
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Is that what I heard? |
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It's not necessarily that they are more important |
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than ideas, but I think that ideas on their own |
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are not sufficient. |
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And many times at least at the local horizon |
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is the personalities and their devotion to their ideas |
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is really that locally changes the landscape. |
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Now, if you're looking at AI, like let's say 30 years ago, |
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you know, dark ages of AI or whatever, |
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what the symbolic times you can use any word, |
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you know, there were some people, |
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now we are looking at a lot of that work |
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and we are kind of thinking this was not really |
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maybe a relevant work. |
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But you can see that some people managed to take it |
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and to make it so shiny and dominate the, you know, |
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the academic world and make it to be the standard. |
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If you look at the area of natural language processing, |
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it is well known fact that the reason the statistics |
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in NLP took such a long time to become mainstream |
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because there were quite a number of personalities |
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which didn't believe in this idea |
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and then stop research progress in this area. |
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So I do not think that, you know, kind of asymptotically |
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maybe personalities matters, |
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but I think locally it does make quite a bit of impact |
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and it's generally, you know, speed up, |
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speeds up the rate of adoption of the new ideas. |
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Yeah, and the other interesting question is in the early days |
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of particular discipline, I think you mentioned in that book |
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was, is ultimately a book of cancer? |
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It's called The Emperor of All Melodies. |
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Yeah, and those melodies included the trying to, |
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the medicine, was it centered around? |
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So it was actually centered on, you know, |
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how people thought of curing cancer. |
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Like for me, it was really a discovery how people, |
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what was the science of chemistry behind drug development |
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that it actually grew up out of dyeing, |
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like coloring industry that people who develop chemistry |
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in 19th century in Germany and Britain to do, |
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you know, the really new dyes, |
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they looked at the molecules and identified |
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that they do certain things to cells. |
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And from there, the process started and, you know, |
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like historians think, yeah, this is fascinating |
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that they managed to make the connection |
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and look under the microscope and do all this discovery. |
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But as you continue reading about it |
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and you read about how chemotherapy drugs |
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were actually developed in Boston |
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and some of them were developed |
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and Dr. Farber from Dana Farber, |
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you know, how the experiments were done, |
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that, you know, there was some miscalculation. |
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Let's put it this way. |
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And they tried it on the patients |
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and they just, and those were children with leukemia |
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and they died and they tried another modification. |
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You look at the process, how imperfect is this process? |
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And, you know, like, if we're again looking back |
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like 60 years ago, 70 years ago, |
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you can kind of understand it. |
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But some of the stories in this book, |
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which were really shocking to me, |
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were really happening, you know, maybe decades ago. |
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And we still don't have a vehicle |
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to do it much more fast and effective and, you know, |
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scientific the way I'm thinking, |
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computer science scientific. |
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So from the perspective of computer science, |
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you've got a chance to work the application to cancer |
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and to medicine in general. |
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From a perspective of an engineer and a computer scientist, |
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how far along are we from understanding the human body, |
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biology, of being able to manipulate it in a way |
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we can cure some of the maladies, some of the diseases? |
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So this is a very interesting question. |
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And if you're thinking as a computer scientist |
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about this problem, I think one of the reasons |
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that we succeeded in the areas |
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we as a computer scientist succeeded |
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is because we don't have, |
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we are not trying to understand in some ways. |
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Like if you're thinking about like eCommerce, Amazon, |
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Amazon doesn't really understand you. |
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And that's why it recommends you certain books |
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or certain products, correct? |
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And in, you know, traditionally, |
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when people were thinking about marketing, you know, |
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they divided the population |
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to different kind of subgroups, |
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identify the features of the subgroup |
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and come up with a strategy |
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which is specific to that subgroup. |
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If you're looking about recommendations, |
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they're not claiming that they're understanding somebody, |
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they're just managing from the patterns of your behavior |
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to recommend you a product. |
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Now, if you look at the traditional biology, |
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obviously I wouldn't say that I am at any way, |
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you know, educated in this field. |
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But, you know, what I see, |
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there is really a lot of emphasis |
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on mechanistic understanding. |
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And it was very surprising to me coming from computer science |
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how much emphasis is on this understanding. |
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And given the complexity of the system, |
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maybe the deterministic full understanding |
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of this process is, you know, beyond our capacity. |
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And the same way as in computer science, |
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when we're doing recognition, |
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when we're doing recommendation in many other areas, |
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it's just probabilistic matching process. |
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And in some way, maybe in certain cases, |
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10:40.080 --> 10:42.960 |
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we shouldn't even attempt to understand |
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10:42.960 --> 10:45.760 |
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or we can attempt to understand, but in parallel, |
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10:45.760 --> 10:48.040 |
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we can actually do this kind of matching |
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10:48.040 --> 10:52.600 |
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that would help us to find Qo to do early diagnostics |
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10:52.600 --> 10:54.120 |
|
and so on. |
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10:54.120 --> 10:55.840 |
|
And I know that in these communities, |
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10:55.840 --> 10:59.040 |
|
it's really important to understand, |
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10:59.040 --> 11:00.680 |
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but I am sometimes wondering, |
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11:00.680 --> 11:02.920 |
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what exactly does it mean to understand here? |
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11:02.920 --> 11:04.440 |
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Well, there's stuff that works, |
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11:04.440 --> 11:07.600 |
|
and, but that can be, like you said, |
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11:07.600 --> 11:10.320 |
|
separate from this deep human desire |
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11:10.320 --> 11:12.720 |
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to uncover the mysteries of the universe, |
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11:12.720 --> 11:16.160 |
|
of science, of the way the body works, |
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11:16.160 --> 11:17.600 |
|
the way the mind works. |
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11:17.600 --> 11:19.560 |
|
It's the dream of symbolic AI, |
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11:19.560 --> 11:24.560 |
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of being able to reduce human knowledge into logic |
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11:25.200 --> 11:26.880 |
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and be able to play with that logic |
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11:26.880 --> 11:28.680 |
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in a way that's very explainable |
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11:28.680 --> 11:30.280 |
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and understandable for us humans. |
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11:30.280 --> 11:31.760 |
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I mean, that's a beautiful dream. |
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11:31.760 --> 11:34.840 |
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So I understand it, but it seems that |
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11:34.840 --> 11:37.880 |
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what seems to work today, and we'll talk about it more, |
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11:37.880 --> 11:40.760 |
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is as much as possible, reduce stuff into data, |
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11:40.760 --> 11:43.880 |
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reduce whatever problem you're interested in to data |
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11:43.880 --> 11:47.040 |
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and try to apply statistical methods, |
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11:47.040 --> 11:49.080 |
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apply machine learning to that. |
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|
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11:49.080 --> 11:51.120 |
|
On a personal note, |
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11:51.120 --> 11:54.160 |
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you were diagnosed with breast cancer in 2014. |
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11:55.400 --> 11:58.400 |
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Would it facing your mortality make you think about |
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11:58.400 --> 12:00.200 |
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how did it change you? |
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12:00.200 --> 12:01.800 |
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You know, this is a great question. |
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12:01.800 --> 12:03.800 |
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And I think that I was interviewed many times |
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12:03.800 --> 12:05.680 |
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and nobody actually asked me this question. |
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12:05.680 --> 12:09.640 |
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I think I was 43 at a time. |
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12:09.640 --> 12:12.800 |
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And the first time I realized in my life that I may die. |
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12:12.800 --> 12:14.400 |
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And I never thought about it before. |
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12:14.400 --> 12:16.200 |
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And yeah, and there was a long time |
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12:16.200 --> 12:17.920 |
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since you diagnosed until you actually know |
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12:17.920 --> 12:20.120 |
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what you have and how severe is your disease. |
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12:20.120 --> 12:23.480 |
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For me, it was like maybe two and a half months. |
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12:23.480 --> 12:28.280 |
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And I didn't know where I am during this time |
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12:28.280 --> 12:30.640 |
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because I was getting different tests. |
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12:30.640 --> 12:32.200 |
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And one would say, it's bad. |
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12:32.200 --> 12:33.360 |
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And I would say, no, it is not. |
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12:33.360 --> 12:34.840 |
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So until I knew where I am, |
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12:34.840 --> 12:36.280 |
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I really was thinking about |
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12:36.280 --> 12:38.200 |
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all these different possible outcomes. |
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12:38.200 --> 12:39.680 |
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Were you imagining the worst? |
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12:39.680 --> 12:41.920 |
|
Or were you trying to be optimistic? |
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12:41.920 --> 12:45.600 |
|
It would be really, I don't remember, you know, |
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12:45.600 --> 12:47.360 |
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what was my thinking? |
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12:47.360 --> 12:50.880 |
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It was really a mixture with many components at the time |
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12:50.880 --> 12:54.080 |
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at speaking, you know, in our terms. |
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12:54.080 --> 12:59.320 |
|
And one thing that I remember, |
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12:59.320 --> 13:01.480 |
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and you know, every test comes and then you think, |
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13:01.480 --> 13:03.280 |
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oh, it could be this or it may not be this. |
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13:03.280 --> 13:04.680 |
|
And you're hopeful and then you're desperate. |
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13:04.680 --> 13:06.600 |
|
So it's like, there is a whole, you know, |
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13:06.600 --> 13:09.800 |
|
slew of emotions that goes through you. |
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13:09.800 --> 13:15.120 |
|
But what I remember is that when I came back to MIT, |
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13:15.120 --> 13:17.160 |
|
I was kind of going the whole time |
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13:17.160 --> 13:18.280 |
|
through the treatment to MIT, |
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13:18.280 --> 13:19.760 |
|
but my brain was not really there. |
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13:19.760 --> 13:21.800 |
|
But when I came back really, finished my treatment |
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13:21.800 --> 13:24.560 |
|
and I was here teaching and everything. |
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13:24.560 --> 13:27.080 |
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You know, I look back at what my group was doing, |
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13:27.080 --> 13:28.840 |
|
what other groups was doing, |
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13:28.840 --> 13:30.840 |
|
and I saw these three realities. |
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13:30.840 --> 13:33.240 |
|
It's like people are building their careers |
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13:33.240 --> 13:35.520 |
|
on improving some parts around two or three percent |
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13:35.520 --> 13:36.880 |
|
or whatever. |
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13:36.880 --> 13:38.400 |
|
I was, it's like, seriously, |
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13:38.400 --> 13:40.760 |
|
I did a work on how to decipher eukaryotic, |
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13:40.760 --> 13:42.880 |
|
like a language that nobody speak and whatever, |
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13:42.880 --> 13:46.160 |
|
like what is significance? |
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13:46.160 --> 13:49.000 |
|
When I was sad, you know, I walked out of MIT, |
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13:49.000 --> 13:51.600 |
|
which is, you know, when people really do care, |
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13:51.600 --> 13:54.280 |
|
you know, what happened to your iClear paper, |
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13:54.280 --> 13:56.680 |
|
you know, what is your next publication, |
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13:56.680 --> 13:59.960 |
|
to ACL, to the world where people, you know, |
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13:59.960 --> 14:01.880 |
|
people, you see a lot of suffering |
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14:01.880 --> 14:04.920 |
|
that I'm kind of totally shielded on it on a daily basis. |
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14:04.920 --> 14:07.520 |
|
And it's like the first time I've seen like real life |
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14:07.520 --> 14:08.720 |
|
and real suffering. |
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14:09.760 --> 14:13.280 |
|
And I was thinking, why are we trying to improve the parser |
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14:13.280 --> 14:16.120 |
|
or deal with some trivialities |
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14:16.120 --> 14:20.760 |
|
when we have capacity to really make a change? |
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|
14:20.760 --> 14:23.520 |
|
And it was really challenging to me |
|
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14:23.520 --> 14:24.640 |
|
because on one hand, you know, |
|
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14:24.640 --> 14:26.720 |
|
I have my graduate students who really want to do |
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14:26.720 --> 14:28.760 |
|
their papers and their work |
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14:28.760 --> 14:30.880 |
|
and they want to continue to do what they were doing, |
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14:30.880 --> 14:31.960 |
|
which was great. |
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14:31.960 --> 14:36.360 |
|
And then it was me who really kind of reevaluated |
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14:36.360 --> 14:38.600 |
|
what is importance and also at that point |
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14:38.600 --> 14:40.280 |
|
because I had to take some break. |
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14:42.560 --> 14:47.560 |
|
I look back into like my years in science |
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14:47.760 --> 14:49.080 |
|
and I was thinking, you know, |
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14:49.080 --> 14:51.720 |
|
like 10 years ago, this was the biggest thing. |
|
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14:51.720 --> 14:53.000 |
|
I don't know, topic models. |
|
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14:53.000 --> 14:55.400 |
|
We have like millions of papers on topic models |
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14:55.400 --> 14:56.720 |
|
and variation of topics models now. |
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14:56.720 --> 14:58.640 |
|
It's totally like irrelevant. |
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14:58.640 --> 15:01.520 |
|
And you start looking at this, you know, |
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15:01.520 --> 15:03.280 |
|
what do you perceive as important |
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15:03.280 --> 15:04.560 |
|
at different point of time |
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15:04.560 --> 15:08.960 |
|
and how, you know, it fades over time. |
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15:08.960 --> 15:13.040 |
|
And since we have a limited time, |
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15:13.040 --> 15:14.960 |
|
all of us have limited time on us. |
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15:14.960 --> 15:18.440 |
|
It's really important to prioritize things |
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15:18.440 --> 15:19.760 |
|
that really matter to you, |
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|
15:19.760 --> 15:22.040 |
|
maybe matter to you at that particular point, |
|
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|
15:22.040 --> 15:24.400 |
|
but it's important to take some time |
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15:24.400 --> 15:26.960 |
|
and understand what matters to you, |
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15:26.960 --> 15:28.880 |
|
which may not necessarily be the same |
|
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|
15:28.880 --> 15:31.720 |
|
as what matters to the rest of your scientific community |
|
|
|
15:31.720 --> 15:34.600 |
|
and pursue that vision. |
|
|
|
15:34.600 --> 15:38.480 |
|
And so though that moment, did it make you cognizant? |
|
|
|
15:38.480 --> 15:42.520 |
|
You mentioned suffering of just the general amount |
|
|
|
15:42.520 --> 15:44.360 |
|
of suffering in the world. |
|
|
|
15:44.360 --> 15:45.640 |
|
Is that what you're referring to? |
|
|
|
15:45.640 --> 15:49.480 |
|
So as opposed to topic models and specific detail problems |
|
|
|
15:49.480 --> 15:54.480 |
|
in NLP, did you start to think about other people |
|
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|
15:54.480 --> 15:57.040 |
|
who have been diagnosed with cancer? |
|
|
|
15:57.040 --> 15:58.360 |
|
Is that the way you saw the, |
|
|
|
15:58.360 --> 16:00.040 |
|
started to see the world perhaps? |
|
|
|
16:00.040 --> 16:00.880 |
|
Oh, absolutely. |
|
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|
16:00.880 --> 16:04.480 |
|
And it actually creates because like, for instance, |
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16:04.480 --> 16:06.080 |
|
you know, there's parts of the treatment |
|
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|
16:06.080 --> 16:08.520 |
|
where you need to go to the hospital every day |
|
|
|
16:08.520 --> 16:11.640 |
|
and you see, you know, the community of people that you see |
|
|
|
16:11.640 --> 16:16.080 |
|
and many of them are much worse than I was at a time |
|
|
|
16:16.080 --> 16:20.480 |
|
and you're all of a sudden see it all. |
|
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|
16:20.480 --> 16:23.920 |
|
And people who are happier someday |
|
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|
16:23.920 --> 16:25.320 |
|
just because they feel better. |
|
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|
16:25.320 --> 16:28.480 |
|
And for people who are in our normal realm, |
|
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|
16:28.480 --> 16:30.800 |
|
you take it totally for granted that you feel well, |
|
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|
16:30.800 --> 16:32.920 |
|
that if you decide to go running, you can go running |
|
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|
16:32.920 --> 16:36.120 |
|
and you can, you know, you're pretty much free to do |
|
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|
16:36.120 --> 16:37.600 |
|
whatever you want with your body. |
|
|
|
16:37.600 --> 16:40.200 |
|
Like I saw like a community, |
|
|
|
16:40.200 --> 16:42.840 |
|
my community became those people. |
|
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|
16:42.840 --> 16:46.760 |
|
And I remember one of my friends, |
|
|
|
16:46.760 --> 16:48.920 |
|
Dina Katabi took me to Prudential |
|
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|
16:48.920 --> 16:50.480 |
|
to buy me a gift for my birthday. |
|
|
|
16:50.480 --> 16:52.360 |
|
And it was like the first time in months |
|
|
|
16:52.360 --> 16:55.000 |
|
that I went to kind of to see other people. |
|
|
|
16:55.000 --> 16:56.640 |
|
And I was like, wow. |
|
|
|
16:56.640 --> 16:58.200 |
|
First of all, these people, you know, |
|
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|
16:58.200 --> 16:59.880 |
|
they're happy and they're laughing |
|
|
|
16:59.880 --> 17:02.680 |
|
and they're very different from this other my people. |
|
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|
17:02.680 --> 17:04.680 |
|
And second of thing, are they totally crazy? |
|
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|
17:04.680 --> 17:06.400 |
|
They're like laughing and wasting their money |
|
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|
17:06.400 --> 17:08.480 |
|
on some stupid gifts. |
|
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|
17:08.480 --> 17:12.560 |
|
And, you know, they may die. |
|
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|
17:12.560 --> 17:14.280 |
|
They already may have cancer |
|
|
|
17:14.280 --> 17:16.000 |
|
and they don't understand it. |
|
|
|
17:16.000 --> 17:20.120 |
|
So you can really see how the mind changes |
|
|
|
17:20.120 --> 17:22.400 |
|
that you can see that, you know, |
|
|
|
17:22.400 --> 17:23.240 |
|
before that you can ask, |
|
|
|
17:23.240 --> 17:24.400 |
|
didn't you know that you're gonna die? |
|
|
|
17:24.400 --> 17:28.360 |
|
Of course I knew, but it was kind of a theoretical notion. |
|
|
|
17:28.360 --> 17:31.080 |
|
It wasn't something which was concrete. |
|
|
|
17:31.080 --> 17:33.920 |
|
And at that point when you really see it |
|
|
|
17:33.920 --> 17:37.680 |
|
and see how little means sometime the system |
|
|
|
17:37.680 --> 17:40.480 |
|
has to help them, you really feel |
|
|
|
17:40.480 --> 17:43.960 |
|
that we need to take a lot of our brilliance |
|
|
|
17:43.960 --> 17:45.480 |
|
that we have here at MIT |
|
|
|
17:45.480 --> 17:48.040 |
|
and translate it into something useful. |
|
|
|
17:48.040 --> 17:48.880 |
|
Yeah. |
|
|
|
17:48.880 --> 17:50.560 |
|
And you still couldn't have a lot of definitions, |
|
|
|
17:50.560 --> 17:53.640 |
|
but of course alleviating, suffering, alleviating, |
|
|
|
17:53.640 --> 17:57.480 |
|
trying to cure cancer is a beautiful mission. |
|
|
|
17:57.480 --> 18:01.320 |
|
So I, of course, know the theoretically the notion |
|
|
|
18:01.320 --> 18:04.200 |
|
of cancer, but just reading more and more |
|
|
|
18:04.200 --> 18:08.040 |
|
about it's the 1.7 million new cancer cases |
|
|
|
18:08.040 --> 18:09.880 |
|
in the United States every year, |
|
|
|
18:09.880 --> 18:13.520 |
|
600,000 cancer related deaths every year. |
|
|
|
18:13.520 --> 18:17.600 |
|
So this has a huge impact, United States globally. |
|
|
|
18:19.360 --> 18:24.360 |
|
When broadly, before we talk about how machine learning, |
|
|
|
18:24.400 --> 18:28.680 |
|
how MIT can help, when do you think |
|
|
|
18:28.680 --> 18:32.160 |
|
we as a civilization will cure cancer? |
|
|
|
18:32.160 --> 18:34.640 |
|
How hard of a problem is it from everything |
|
|
|
18:34.640 --> 18:36.240 |
|
you've learned from it recently? |
|
|
|
18:37.280 --> 18:39.320 |
|
I cannot really assess it. |
|
|
|
18:39.320 --> 18:42.120 |
|
What I do believe will happen with the advancement |
|
|
|
18:42.120 --> 18:45.960 |
|
in machine learning that a lot of types of cancer |
|
|
|
18:45.960 --> 18:48.480 |
|
we will be able to predict way early |
|
|
|
18:48.480 --> 18:53.400 |
|
and more effectively utilize existing treatments. |
|
|
|
18:53.400 --> 18:57.520 |
|
I think, I hope at least that with all the advancements |
|
|
|
18:57.520 --> 19:01.200 |
|
in AI and drug discovery, we would be able |
|
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|
19:01.200 --> 19:04.680 |
|
to much faster find relevant molecules. |
|
|
|
19:04.680 --> 19:08.240 |
|
What I'm not sure about is how long it will take |
|
|
|
19:08.240 --> 19:11.920 |
|
the medical establishment and regulatory bodies |
|
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|
19:11.920 --> 19:14.800 |
|
to kind of catch up and to implement it. |
|
|
|
19:14.800 --> 19:17.400 |
|
And I think this is a very big piece of puzzle |
|
|
|
19:17.400 --> 19:20.440 |
|
that is currently not addressed. |
|
|
|
19:20.440 --> 19:21.800 |
|
That's the really interesting question. |
|
|
|
19:21.800 --> 19:25.480 |
|
So first, a small detail that I think the answer is yes, |
|
|
|
19:25.480 --> 19:30.480 |
|
but is cancer one of the diseases |
|
|
|
19:30.480 --> 19:33.400 |
|
that when detected earlier, |
|
|
|
19:33.400 --> 19:36.800 |
|
that's a significantly improves the outcomes. |
|
|
|
19:38.320 --> 19:40.720 |
|
Cause we will talk about, there's the cure |
|
|
|
19:40.720 --> 19:42.720 |
|
and then there is detection. |
|
|
|
19:42.720 --> 19:44.880 |
|
And I think one machine learning can really help |
|
|
|
19:44.880 --> 19:46.360 |
|
is earlier detection. |
|
|
|
19:46.360 --> 19:48.280 |
|
So does detection help? |
|
|
|
19:48.280 --> 19:49.400 |
|
Detection is crucial. |
|
|
|
19:49.400 --> 19:53.640 |
|
For instance, the vast majority of pancreatic cancer patients |
|
|
|
19:53.640 --> 19:57.040 |
|
are detected at the stage that they are incurable. |
|
|
|
19:57.040 --> 20:02.040 |
|
That's why they have such a terrible survival rate. |
|
|
|
20:03.680 --> 20:07.200 |
|
It's like just a few percent over five years. |
|
|
|
20:07.200 --> 20:09.640 |
|
It's pretty much today a death sentence. |
|
|
|
20:09.640 --> 20:13.400 |
|
But if you can discover this disease early, |
|
|
|
20:14.320 --> 20:16.600 |
|
there are mechanisms to treat it. |
|
|
|
20:16.600 --> 20:20.560 |
|
And in fact, I know a number of people who were diagnosed |
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20:20.560 --> 20:23.440 |
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and saved just because they had food poisoning. |
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20:23.440 --> 20:24.840 |
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They had terrible food poisoning. |
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20:24.840 --> 20:28.480 |
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They went to ER, they got scan. |
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20:28.480 --> 20:30.560 |
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There were early signs on the scan |
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20:30.560 --> 20:33.440 |
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and that would save their lives. |
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20:33.440 --> 20:35.720 |
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But this wasn't really an accidental case. |
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20:35.720 --> 20:37.520 |
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So as we become better, |
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20:38.520 --> 20:42.720 |
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we would be able to help too many more people |
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20:42.720 --> 20:46.400 |
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that are likely to develop diseases. |
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20:46.400 --> 20:50.840 |
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And I just want to say that as I got more into this field, |
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20:50.840 --> 20:53.440 |
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I realized that cancer is of course a terrible disease |
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20:53.440 --> 20:55.600 |
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when there are really the whole slew |
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20:55.600 --> 20:58.240 |
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of terrible diseases out there, |
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20:58.240 --> 21:01.560 |
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like neurodegenerative diseases and others. |
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21:01.560 --> 21:04.480 |
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So we, of course, a lot of us are fixated on cancer |
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21:04.480 --> 21:06.440 |
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just because it's so prevalent in our society. |
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21:06.440 --> 21:08.560 |
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And you see these people when there are a lot of patients |
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21:08.560 --> 21:10.320 |
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with neurodegenerative diseases |
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21:10.320 --> 21:12.520 |
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and the kind of aging diseases |
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21:12.520 --> 21:17.120 |
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that we still don't have a good solution for. |
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21:17.120 --> 21:22.120 |
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And I felt as a computer scientist, |
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21:22.120 --> 21:24.920 |
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we kind of decided that it's other people's job |
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21:24.920 --> 21:26.360 |
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to treat these diseases |
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21:27.360 --> 21:29.760 |
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because it's like traditionally people in biology |
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21:29.760 --> 21:33.720 |
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or in chemistry or MDs are the ones who are thinking about it. |
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21:34.720 --> 21:36.720 |
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And after kind of start paying attention, |
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21:36.720 --> 21:39.720 |
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I think that it's really a wrong assumption |
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21:39.720 --> 21:42.280 |
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and we all need to join the battle. |
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21:42.280 --> 21:45.880 |
|
So how it seems like in cancer specifically |
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21:45.880 --> 21:48.480 |
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that there's a lot of ways that machine learning can help. |
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21:48.480 --> 21:51.240 |
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So what's the role of machine learning |
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21:51.240 --> 21:54.160 |
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and machine learning in the diagnosis of cancer? |
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21:55.320 --> 21:57.280 |
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So for many cancers today, |
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21:57.280 --> 22:02.280 |
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we really don't know what is your likelihood to get cancer. |
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22:03.520 --> 22:06.360 |
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And for the vast majority of patients, |
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22:06.360 --> 22:08.000 |
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especially on the younger patients, |
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22:08.000 --> 22:09.640 |
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it really comes as a surprise. |
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22:09.640 --> 22:11.200 |
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Like for instance, for breast cancer, |
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22:11.200 --> 22:13.920 |
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80% of the patients are first in their families, |
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22:13.920 --> 22:15.440 |
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it's like me. |
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22:15.440 --> 22:18.520 |
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And I never saw that I had any increased risk |
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22:18.520 --> 22:20.880 |
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because nobody had it in my family |
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22:20.880 --> 22:22.360 |
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and for some reason in my head, |
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22:22.360 --> 22:24.880 |
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it was kind of inherited disease. |
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22:26.640 --> 22:28.440 |
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But even if I would pay attention, |
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22:28.440 --> 22:30.280 |
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the models that currently, |
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22:30.280 --> 22:32.440 |
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there's very simplistic statistical models |
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22:32.440 --> 22:34.600 |
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that are currently used in clinical practice |
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22:34.600 --> 22:37.520 |
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that really don't give you an answer, so you don't know. |
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22:37.520 --> 22:40.440 |
|
And the same true for pancreatic cancer, |
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22:40.440 --> 22:45.440 |
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the same true for non smoking lung cancer and many others. |
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22:45.440 --> 22:47.400 |
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So what machine learning can do here |
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22:47.400 --> 22:51.680 |
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is utilize all this data to tell us Ellie, |
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22:51.680 --> 22:53.200 |
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who is likely to be susceptible |
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22:53.200 --> 22:56.040 |
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and using all the information that is already there, |
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22:56.040 --> 23:00.040 |
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be it imaging, be it your other tests |
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23:00.040 --> 23:04.880 |
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and eventually liquid biopsies and others, |
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23:04.880 --> 23:08.240 |
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where the signal itself is not sufficiently strong |
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23:08.240 --> 23:11.360 |
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for human eye to do good discrimination |
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23:11.360 --> 23:12.960 |
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because the signal may be weak, |
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23:12.960 --> 23:15.680 |
|
but by combining many sources, |
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23:15.680 --> 23:18.120 |
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machine which is trained on large volumes of data |
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23:18.120 --> 23:20.680 |
|
can really detect it Ellie |
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23:20.680 --> 23:22.480 |
|
and that's what we've seen with breast cancer |
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23:22.480 --> 23:25.920 |
|
and people are reporting it in other diseases as well. |
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23:25.920 --> 23:28.240 |
|
That really boils down to data, right? |
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23:28.240 --> 23:30.960 |
|
And in the different kinds of sources of data. |
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23:30.960 --> 23:33.720 |
|
And you mentioned regulatory challenges. |
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23:33.720 --> 23:35.160 |
|
So what are the challenges |
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23:35.160 --> 23:39.240 |
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in gathering large data sets in the space? |
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23:40.840 --> 23:42.640 |
|
Again, another great question. |
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23:42.640 --> 23:44.320 |
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So it took me after I decided |
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23:44.320 --> 23:48.720 |
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that I want to work on it two years to get access to data. |
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23:48.720 --> 23:51.360 |
|
And you did, like any significant amount. |
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23:51.360 --> 23:53.560 |
|
Like right now in this country, |
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23:53.560 --> 23:58.040 |
|
there is no publicly available data set of modern mammograms |
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23:58.040 --> 23:59.560 |
|
that you can just go on your computer, |
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23:59.560 --> 24:01.840 |
|
sign a document and get it. |
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24:01.840 --> 24:03.320 |
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It just doesn't exist. |
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24:03.320 --> 24:06.880 |
|
I mean, obviously every hospital has its own collection |
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24:06.880 --> 24:10.160 |
|
of mammograms, there are data that came out |
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24:10.160 --> 24:11.320 |
|
of clinical trials. |
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24:11.320 --> 24:13.200 |
|
What we're talking about here is a computer scientist |
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24:13.200 --> 24:17.120 |
|
who just want to run his or her model |
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24:17.120 --> 24:19.040 |
|
and see how it works. |
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24:19.040 --> 24:22.880 |
|
This data, like ImageNet, doesn't exist. |
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24:22.880 --> 24:27.880 |
|
And there is an set which is called like Florid data set |
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24:28.640 --> 24:30.880 |
|
which is a film mammogram from 90s |
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24:30.880 --> 24:32.440 |
|
which is totally not representative |
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24:32.440 --> 24:33.880 |
|
of the current developments, |
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24:33.880 --> 24:35.800 |
|
whatever you're learning on them doesn't scale up. |
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24:35.800 --> 24:39.320 |
|
This is the only resource that is available. |
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24:39.320 --> 24:44.320 |
|
And today there are many agencies that govern access to data, |
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24:44.440 --> 24:46.280 |
|
like the hospital holds your data |
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24:46.280 --> 24:49.240 |
|
and the hospital decides whether they would give it |
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24:49.240 --> 24:52.320 |
|
to the researcher to work with this data or not. |
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24:52.320 --> 24:54.160 |
|
In the individual hospital? |
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24:54.160 --> 24:57.160 |
|
Yeah, I mean, the hospital may, you know, |
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24:57.160 --> 24:59.200 |
|
assuming that you're doing research collaboration, |
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24:59.200 --> 25:01.960 |
|
you can submit, you know, |
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25:01.960 --> 25:05.040 |
|
there is a proper approval process guided by IRB |
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25:05.040 --> 25:07.800 |
|
and if you go through all the processes, |
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25:07.800 --> 25:10.120 |
|
you can eventually get access to the data. |
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25:10.120 --> 25:13.520 |
|
But if you yourself know our AI community, |
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25:13.520 --> 25:14.680 |
|
there are not that many people |
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25:14.680 --> 25:16.560 |
|
who actually ever got access to data |
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25:16.560 --> 25:20.200 |
|
because it's very challenging process. |
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25:20.200 --> 25:22.720 |
|
And sorry, just in a quick comment, |
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25:22.720 --> 25:25.760 |
|
MGH or any kind of hospital, |
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25:25.760 --> 25:28.280 |
|
are they scanning the data? |
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25:28.280 --> 25:29.680 |
|
Are they digitally storing it? |
|
|
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25:29.680 --> 25:31.560 |
|
Oh, it is already digitally stored. |
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25:31.560 --> 25:34.120 |
|
You don't need to do any extra processing steps. |
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25:34.120 --> 25:36.320 |
|
It's already there in the right format. |
|
|
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25:36.320 --> 25:39.800 |
|
Is that right now there are a lot of issues |
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25:39.800 --> 25:41.200 |
|
that govern access to the data |
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25:41.200 --> 25:46.200 |
|
because the hospital is legally responsible for the data. |
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25:46.280 --> 25:51.120 |
|
And, you know, they have a lot to lose |
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25:51.120 --> 25:53.200 |
|
if they give the data to the wrong person, |
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25:53.200 --> 25:55.360 |
|
but they may not have a lot to gain |
|
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|
25:55.360 --> 25:58.680 |
|
if they give it as a hospital, as a legal entity |
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25:59.920 --> 26:00.760 |
|
as given it to you. |
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26:00.760 --> 26:02.800 |
|
And the way, you know, what I would mention |
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26:02.800 --> 26:04.840 |
|
happening in the future is the same thing |
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26:04.840 --> 26:06.840 |
|
that happens when you're getting your driving license. |
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26:06.840 --> 26:09.880 |
|
You can decide whether you want to donate your organs. |
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26:09.880 --> 26:11.600 |
|
So you can imagine that whenever a person |
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26:11.600 --> 26:13.080 |
|
goes to the hospital, |
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26:14.280 --> 26:18.080 |
|
it should be easy for them to donate their data for research |
|
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|
26:18.080 --> 26:19.480 |
|
and it can be different kind of, |
|
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|
26:19.480 --> 26:21.320 |
|
do they only give you a test results |
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|
26:21.320 --> 26:25.880 |
|
or only imaging data or the whole medical record? |
|
|
|
26:27.080 --> 26:29.000 |
|
Because at the end, |
|
|
|
26:30.560 --> 26:33.880 |
|
we all will benefit from all this insights. |
|
|
|
26:33.880 --> 26:36.080 |
|
And it's only gonna say, I want to keep my data private, |
|
|
|
26:36.080 --> 26:38.800 |
|
but I would really love to get it from other people |
|
|
|
26:38.800 --> 26:40.760 |
|
because other people are thinking the same way. |
|
|
|
26:40.760 --> 26:45.760 |
|
So if there is a mechanism to do this donation |
|
|
|
26:45.760 --> 26:48.040 |
|
and the patient has an ability to say |
|
|
|
26:48.040 --> 26:50.840 |
|
how they want to use their data for research, |
|
|
|
26:50.840 --> 26:54.120 |
|
it would be really a game changer. |
|
|
|
26:54.120 --> 26:56.480 |
|
People, when they think about this problem, |
|
|
|
26:56.480 --> 26:58.480 |
|
there's a depends on the population, |
|
|
|
26:58.480 --> 27:00.160 |
|
depends on the demographics, |
|
|
|
27:00.160 --> 27:02.400 |
|
but there's some privacy concerns. |
|
|
|
27:02.400 --> 27:04.440 |
|
Generally, not just medical data, |
|
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|
27:04.440 --> 27:05.880 |
|
just any kind of data. |
|
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|
27:05.880 --> 27:07.840 |
|
It's what you said, my data, |
|
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|
27:07.840 --> 27:09.600 |
|
it should belong kinda to me, |
|
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|
27:09.600 --> 27:11.520 |
|
I'm worried how it's gonna be misused. |
|
|
|
27:12.520 --> 27:15.640 |
|
How do we alleviate those concerns? |
|
|
|
27:17.080 --> 27:19.440 |
|
Because that seems like a problem that needs to be, |
|
|
|
27:19.440 --> 27:23.000 |
|
that problem of trust, of transparency needs to be solved |
|
|
|
27:23.000 --> 27:27.240 |
|
before we build large data sets that help detect cancer, |
|
|
|
27:27.240 --> 27:30.160 |
|
help save those very people in the future. |
|
|
|
27:30.160 --> 27:31.920 |
|
So seeing that two things that could be done, |
|
|
|
27:31.920 --> 27:34.480 |
|
there is a technical solutions |
|
|
|
27:34.480 --> 27:38.240 |
|
and there are societal solutions. |
|
|
|
27:38.240 --> 27:40.200 |
|
So on the technical end, |
|
|
|
27:41.440 --> 27:46.440 |
|
we today have ability to improve disambiguation, |
|
|
|
27:48.120 --> 27:49.720 |
|
like for instance, for imaging, |
|
|
|
27:49.720 --> 27:54.720 |
|
it's, you know, for imaging, you can do it pretty well. |
|
|
|
27:55.600 --> 27:56.760 |
|
What's disambiguation? |
|
|
|
27:56.760 --> 27:58.520 |
|
And disambiguation, sorry, disambiguation, |
|
|
|
27:58.520 --> 27:59.840 |
|
removing the identification, |
|
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|
27:59.840 --> 28:02.200 |
|
removing the names of the people. |
|
|
|
28:02.200 --> 28:04.840 |
|
There are other data, like if it is a raw text, |
|
|
|
28:04.840 --> 28:08.200 |
|
you cannot really achieve 99.9% |
|
|
|
28:08.200 --> 28:10.080 |
|
but there are all these techniques |
|
|
|
28:10.080 --> 28:12.480 |
|
that actually some of them are developed at MIT, |
|
|
|
28:12.480 --> 28:15.440 |
|
how you can do learning on the encoded data |
|
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|
28:15.440 --> 28:17.400 |
|
where you locally encode the image, |
|
|
|
28:17.400 --> 28:19.040 |
|
you train on network, |
|
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|
28:19.040 --> 28:22.440 |
|
which only works on the encoded images |
|
|
|
28:22.440 --> 28:24.960 |
|
and then you send the outcome back to the hospital |
|
|
|
28:24.960 --> 28:26.600 |
|
and you can open it up. |
|
|
|
28:26.600 --> 28:28.040 |
|
So those are the technical solutions. |
|
|
|
28:28.040 --> 28:30.720 |
|
There are a lot of people who are working in this space |
|
|
|
28:30.720 --> 28:33.320 |
|
where the learning happens in the encoded form. |
|
|
|
28:33.320 --> 28:36.160 |
|
We are still early, |
|
|
|
28:36.160 --> 28:39.240 |
|
but this is an interesting research area |
|
|
|
28:39.240 --> 28:41.880 |
|
where I think we'll make more progress. |
|
|
|
28:43.360 --> 28:45.640 |
|
There is a lot of work in natural language processing |
|
|
|
28:45.640 --> 28:48.600 |
|
community, how to do the identification better. |
|
|
|
28:50.400 --> 28:54.040 |
|
But even today, there are already a lot of data |
|
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|
28:54.040 --> 28:55.920 |
|
which can be identified perfectly, |
|
|
|
28:55.920 --> 28:58.760 |
|
like your test data, for instance, correct, |
|
|
|
28:58.760 --> 29:00.040 |
|
where you can just, you know, |
|
|
|
29:00.040 --> 29:01.000 |
|
the name of the patient, |
|
|
|
29:01.000 --> 29:04.320 |
|
you just want to extract the part with the numbers. |
|
|
|
29:04.320 --> 29:07.480 |
|
The big problem here is again, |
|
|
|
29:08.440 --> 29:10.440 |
|
hospitals don't see much incentive |
|
|
|
29:10.440 --> 29:12.640 |
|
to give this data away on one hand |
|
|
|
29:12.640 --> 29:14.200 |
|
and then there is general concern. |
|
|
|
29:14.200 --> 29:17.720 |
|
Now, when I'm talking about societal benefits |
|
|
|
29:17.720 --> 29:19.640 |
|
and about the education, |
|
|
|
29:19.640 --> 29:23.640 |
|
the public needs to understand |
|
|
|
29:23.640 --> 29:27.800 |
|
and I think that there are situations |
|
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|
29:27.800 --> 29:29.360 |
|
that I still remember myself |
|
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|
29:29.360 --> 29:31.520 |
|
when I really needed an answer. |
|
|
|
29:31.520 --> 29:33.280 |
|
I had to make a choice |
|
|
|
29:33.280 --> 29:35.200 |
|
and there was no information to make a choice. |
|
|
|
29:35.200 --> 29:36.640 |
|
You're just guessing. |
|
|
|
29:36.640 --> 29:38.760 |
|
And at that moment, |
|
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|
29:38.760 --> 29:41.040 |
|
you feel that your life is at the stake, |
|
|
|
29:41.040 --> 29:44.760 |
|
but you just don't have information to make the choice. |
|
|
|
29:44.760 --> 29:48.680 |
|
And many times when I give talks, |
|
|
|
29:48.680 --> 29:51.240 |
|
I get emails from women who say, |
|
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|
29:51.240 --> 29:52.760 |
|
you know, I'm in this situation, |
|
|
|
29:52.760 --> 29:54.160 |
|
can you please run statistic |
|
|
|
29:54.160 --> 29:55.920 |
|
and see what are the outcomes? |
|
|
|
29:57.040 --> 30:00.000 |
|
We get almost every week a mammogram |
|
|
|
30:00.000 --> 30:02.520 |
|
that comes by mail to my office at MIT. |
|
|
|
30:02.520 --> 30:06.200 |
|
I'm serious that people ask to run |
|
|
|
30:06.200 --> 30:07.840 |
|
because they need to make, you know, |
|
|
|
30:07.840 --> 30:10.000 |
|
life changing decisions. |
|
|
|
30:10.000 --> 30:11.320 |
|
And of course, you know, |
|
|
|
30:11.320 --> 30:12.920 |
|
I'm not planning to open a clinic here, |
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30:12.920 --> 30:16.600 |
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but we do run and give them the results for their doctors. |
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30:16.600 --> 30:20.040 |
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But the point that I'm trying to make |
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that we all at some point or our loved ones |
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30:23.760 --> 30:26.600 |
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will be in the situation where you need information |
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30:26.600 --> 30:28.840 |
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to make the best choice. |
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30:28.840 --> 30:31.840 |
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And if this information is not available, |
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you would feel vulnerable and unprotected. |
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30:35.080 --> 30:36.880 |
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And then the question is, you know, |
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30:36.880 --> 30:37.840 |
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what do I care more? |
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30:37.840 --> 30:40.320 |
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Because at the end everything is a trade off, correct? |
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30:40.320 --> 30:41.640 |
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Yeah, exactly. |
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30:41.640 --> 30:43.080 |
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Just out of curiosity, |
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30:43.080 --> 30:45.560 |
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what it seems like one possible solution, |
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30:45.560 --> 30:47.160 |
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I'd like to see what you think of it |
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30:47.160 --> 30:50.680 |
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based on what you just said, |
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30:50.680 --> 30:52.480 |
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based on wanting to know answers |
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30:52.480 --> 30:55.040 |
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for when you're yourself in that situation. |
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30:55.040 --> 30:58.400 |
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Is it possible for patients to own their data |
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30:58.400 --> 31:01.040 |
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as opposed to hospitals owning their data? |
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31:01.040 --> 31:02.280 |
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Of course, theoretically, |
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31:02.280 --> 31:04.120 |
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I guess patients own their data, |
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31:04.120 --> 31:06.640 |
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but can you walk out there with a USB stick |
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31:07.600 --> 31:10.600 |
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containing everything or upload it to the cloud |
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31:10.600 --> 31:13.400 |
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where a company, you know, |
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31:13.400 --> 31:15.680 |
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I remember Microsoft had a service, |
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31:15.680 --> 31:17.760 |
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like I try, I was really excited about |
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31:17.760 --> 31:19.240 |
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and Google Health was there. |
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31:19.240 --> 31:21.880 |
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I tried to give, I was excited about it. |
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31:21.880 --> 31:24.760 |
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Basically companies helping you upload your data |
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31:24.760 --> 31:27.920 |
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to the cloud so that you can move from hospital to hospital |
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31:27.920 --> 31:29.200 |
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from doctor to doctor. |
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31:29.200 --> 31:32.680 |
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Do you see a promise of that kind of possibility? |
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31:32.680 --> 31:34.640 |
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I absolutely think this is, you know, |
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31:34.640 --> 31:38.160 |
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the right way to exchange the data. |
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31:38.160 --> 31:41.680 |
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I don't know now who's the biggest player in this field, |
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31:41.680 --> 31:46.280 |
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but I can clearly see that even for totally selfish health |
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31:46.280 --> 31:49.280 |
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reasons, when you are going to a new facility |
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31:49.280 --> 31:52.600 |
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and many of us are sent to some specialized treatment, |
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31:52.600 --> 31:55.720 |
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they don't easily have access to your data. |
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31:55.720 --> 31:58.960 |
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And today, you know, we would want to send us |
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31:58.960 --> 32:00.680 |
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Mammogram need to go to their hospital, |
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32:00.680 --> 32:01.760 |
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find some small office, |
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32:01.760 --> 32:04.760 |
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which gives them the CD and they ship as a CD. |
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32:04.760 --> 32:08.280 |
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So you can imagine we're looking at kind of decades old |
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32:08.280 --> 32:10.080 |
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mechanism of data exchange. |
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32:10.080 --> 32:15.080 |
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So I definitely think this is an area where hopefully |
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32:15.600 --> 32:20.360 |
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all the right regulatory and technical forces will align |
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32:20.360 --> 32:23.200 |
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and we will see it actually implemented. |
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32:23.200 --> 32:25.720 |
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It's sad because unfortunately, |
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32:25.720 --> 32:28.400 |
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and I have, I need to research why that happened, |
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32:28.400 --> 32:32.080 |
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but I'm pretty sure Google Health and Microsoft Health Vault |
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32:32.080 --> 32:34.640 |
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or whatever it's called, both closed down, |
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32:34.640 --> 32:37.560 |
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which means that there was either regulatory pressure |
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32:37.560 --> 32:39.080 |
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or there's not a business case |
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32:39.080 --> 32:41.760 |
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or there's challenges from hospitals, |
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32:41.760 --> 32:43.240 |
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which is very disappointing. |
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32:43.240 --> 32:46.480 |
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So when you say, you don't know what the biggest players are, |
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32:46.480 --> 32:50.520 |
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the two biggest that I was aware of closed their doors. |
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32:50.520 --> 32:53.120 |
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So I'm hoping I'd love to see why |
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32:53.120 --> 32:54.760 |
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and I'd love to see who else can come up. |
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32:54.760 --> 32:59.600 |
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It seems like one of those Elon Musk style problems |
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32:59.600 --> 33:01.280 |
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that are obvious needs to be solved |
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33:01.280 --> 33:02.360 |
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and somebody needs to step up |
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33:02.360 --> 33:07.360 |
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and actually do this large scale data collection. |
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33:07.360 --> 33:09.600 |
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So I know there is an initiative in Massachusetts, |
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33:09.600 --> 33:11.720 |
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a thing actually led by the governor |
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33:11.720 --> 33:15.440 |
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to try to create this kind of health exchange system |
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33:15.440 --> 33:17.840 |
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where at least to help people who are kind of when you show up |
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33:17.840 --> 33:20.160 |
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in emergency room and there is no information |
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33:20.160 --> 33:22.520 |
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about what are your allergies and other things. |
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33:23.480 --> 33:26.080 |
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So I don't know how far it will go, |
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33:26.080 --> 33:30.280 |
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but another thing that you said and I find it very interesting |
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33:30.280 --> 33:33.760 |
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is actually who are the successful players in this space |
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33:33.760 --> 33:36.080 |
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and the whole implementation. |
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33:36.080 --> 33:37.240 |
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How does it go? |
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33:37.240 --> 33:40.280 |
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To me, it is from the anthropological perspective, |
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33:40.280 --> 33:44.640 |
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it's more fascinating that AI that today goes in health care. |
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33:44.640 --> 33:49.640 |
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We've seen so many attempts and so very little successes |
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33:50.360 --> 33:54.200 |
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and it's interesting to understand that I by no means |
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33:54.200 --> 33:58.280 |
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have knowledge to assess why we are in the position |
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33:58.280 --> 33:59.600 |
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where we are. |
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33:59.600 --> 34:02.920 |
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Yeah, it's interesting because data is really fuel |
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34:02.920 --> 34:04.960 |
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for a lot of successful applications |
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34:04.960 --> 34:08.480 |
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and when that data requires regulatory approval |
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34:08.480 --> 34:12.400 |
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like the FDA or any kind of approval, |
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34:14.160 --> 34:16.920 |
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it seems that the computer scientists are not quite there yet |
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34:16.920 --> 34:18.840 |
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in being able to play the regulatory game, |
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34:18.840 --> 34:21.200 |
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understanding the fundamentals of it. |
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34:21.200 --> 34:26.200 |
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I think that in many cases when even people do have data, |
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34:26.480 --> 34:31.480 |
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we still don't know what exactly do you need to demonstrate |
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34:31.480 --> 34:35.040 |
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to change the standard of care. |
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34:35.040 --> 34:40.040 |
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Let me give you an example related to my breast cancer research. |
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34:41.000 --> 34:45.400 |
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So in traditional breast cancer risk assessment, |
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34:45.400 --> 34:47.040 |
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there is something called density |
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34:47.040 --> 34:50.400 |
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which determines the likelihood of a woman to get cancer |
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34:50.400 --> 34:52.680 |
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and this is pretty much says how much white |
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34:52.680 --> 34:54.120 |
|
do you see on the mammogram? |
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34:54.120 --> 34:58.840 |
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The whiter it is, the more likely the tissue is dense. |
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34:58.840 --> 35:02.640 |
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And the idea behind density, |
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35:02.640 --> 35:03.560 |
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it's not a bad idea, |
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35:03.560 --> 35:07.960 |
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in 1967 a radiologist called Wolf decided to look back |
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35:07.960 --> 35:09.680 |
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at women who were diagnosed |
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35:09.680 --> 35:12.320 |
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and see what is special in their images. |
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35:12.320 --> 35:14.600 |
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Can we look back and say that they're likely to develop? |
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35:14.600 --> 35:16.080 |
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So he come up with some patterns |
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35:16.080 --> 35:20.520 |
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and it was the best that his human eye can identify |
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35:20.520 --> 35:24.160 |
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then it was kind of formalized and coded into four categories |
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35:24.160 --> 35:26.840 |
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and that's what we are using today. |
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35:26.840 --> 35:31.840 |
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And today this density assessment is actually a federal law |
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35:32.240 --> 35:36.120 |
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from 2019 approved by President Trump |
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35:36.120 --> 35:38.640 |
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and for the previous FDA commissioner |
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35:40.040 --> 35:43.560 |
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where women are supposed to be advised by their providers |
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35:43.560 --> 35:45.040 |
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if they have high density, |
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35:45.040 --> 35:47.200 |
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putting them into higher risk category |
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35:47.200 --> 35:51.240 |
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and in some states you can actually get supplementary screening |
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35:51.240 --> 35:53.640 |
|
paid by your insurance because you are in this category. |
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35:53.640 --> 35:56.720 |
|
Now you can say how much science do we have behind it? |
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35:56.720 --> 36:00.800 |
|
Whatever biological science or epidemiological evidence. |
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36:00.800 --> 36:05.080 |
|
So it turns out that between 40 and 50% of women |
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36:05.080 --> 36:06.600 |
|
have dense breast. |
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36:06.600 --> 36:11.040 |
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So above 40% of patients are coming out of their screening |
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36:11.040 --> 36:14.960 |
|
and somebody tells them you are in high risk. |
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36:14.960 --> 36:16.800 |
|
Now what exactly does it mean |
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36:16.800 --> 36:19.520 |
|
if you as half of the population in high risk |
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36:19.520 --> 36:21.960 |
|
gets from saying maybe I'm not, |
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36:21.960 --> 36:23.600 |
|
or what do I really need to do with it? |
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36:23.600 --> 36:28.280 |
|
Because the system doesn't provide me a lot of the solutions |
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36:28.280 --> 36:30.080 |
|
because there are so many people like me, |
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36:30.080 --> 36:34.560 |
|
we cannot really provide very expensive solutions for them. |
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36:34.560 --> 36:38.680 |
|
And the reason this whole density became this big deal |
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36:38.680 --> 36:40.720 |
|
it's actually advocated by the patients |
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36:40.720 --> 36:43.560 |
|
who felt very unprotected because many women |
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36:43.560 --> 36:46.200 |
|
when did the mammograms which were normal |
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36:46.200 --> 36:49.400 |
|
and then it turns out that they already had cancer, |
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36:49.400 --> 36:50.520 |
|
quite developed cancer. |
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36:50.520 --> 36:54.320 |
|
So they didn't have a way to know who is really at risk |
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36:54.320 --> 36:56.240 |
|
and what is the likelihood that when the doctor tells you |
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36:56.240 --> 36:58.000 |
|
you're okay, you are not okay. |
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36:58.000 --> 37:02.080 |
|
So at the time and it was 15 years ago, |
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37:02.080 --> 37:06.760 |
|
this maybe was the best piece of science that we had |
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37:06.760 --> 37:12.120 |
|
and it took quite 15, 16 years to make it federal law. |
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37:12.120 --> 37:15.600 |
|
But now this is a standard. |
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37:15.600 --> 37:17.560 |
|
Now with a deep learning model |
|
|
|
37:17.560 --> 37:19.600 |
|
we can so much more accurately predict |
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|
37:19.600 --> 37:21.560 |
|
who is gonna develop breast cancer |
|
|
|
37:21.560 --> 37:23.680 |
|
just because you're trained on a logical thing. |
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37:23.680 --> 37:26.040 |
|
And instead of describing how much white |
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37:26.040 --> 37:27.360 |
|
and what kind of white machine |
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37:27.360 --> 37:30.120 |
|
can systematically identify the patterns |
|
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37:30.120 --> 37:32.760 |
|
which was the original idea behind the sort |
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37:32.760 --> 37:33.680 |
|
of the tradiologist, |
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37:33.680 --> 37:35.680 |
|
machines can do it much more systematically |
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37:35.680 --> 37:38.240 |
|
and predict the risk when you're training the machine |
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37:38.240 --> 37:42.080 |
|
to look at the image and to say the risk in one to five years. |
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37:42.080 --> 37:45.000 |
|
Now you can ask me how long it will take |
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37:45.000 --> 37:46.400 |
|
to substitute this density |
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37:46.400 --> 37:48.560 |
|
which is broadly used across the country |
|
|
|
37:48.560 --> 37:53.560 |
|
and really it's not helping to bring this new models. |
|
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37:54.320 --> 37:56.640 |
|
And I would say it's not a matter of the algorithm. |
|
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|
37:56.640 --> 37:58.720 |
|
Algorithm is already orders of magnitude better |
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|
37:58.720 --> 38:00.360 |
|
than what is currently in practice. |
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38:00.360 --> 38:02.440 |
|
I think it's really the question, |
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38:02.440 --> 38:04.320 |
|
who do you need to convince? |
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38:04.320 --> 38:07.400 |
|
How many hospitals do you need to run the experiment? |
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38:07.400 --> 38:11.560 |
|
What, you know, all this mechanism of adoption |
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38:11.560 --> 38:15.120 |
|
and how do you explain to patients |
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38:15.120 --> 38:17.520 |
|
and to women across the country |
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38:17.520 --> 38:20.400 |
|
that this is really a better measure? |
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|
38:20.400 --> 38:22.680 |
|
And again, I don't think it's an AI question. |
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38:22.680 --> 38:25.880 |
|
We can walk more and make the algorithm even better |
|
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|
38:25.880 --> 38:29.240 |
|
but I don't think that this is the current, you know, |
|
|
|
38:29.240 --> 38:32.000 |
|
the barrier, the barrier is really this other piece |
|
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|
38:32.000 --> 38:35.200 |
|
that for some reason is not really explored. |
|
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38:35.200 --> 38:36.800 |
|
It's like anthropological piece. |
|
|
|
38:36.800 --> 38:39.760 |
|
And coming back to your question about books, |
|
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|
38:39.760 --> 38:42.920 |
|
there is a book that I'm reading. |
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|
38:42.920 --> 38:47.920 |
|
It's called American Sickness by Elizabeth Rosenthal |
|
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|
38:48.240 --> 38:51.560 |
|
and I got this book from my clinical collaborator, |
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|
38:51.560 --> 38:53.080 |
|
Dr. Kony Lehman. |
|
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|
38:53.080 --> 38:54.800 |
|
And I said, I know everything that I need to know |
|
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|
38:54.800 --> 38:56.000 |
|
about American health system, |
|
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|
38:56.000 --> 38:59.200 |
|
but you know, every page doesn't fail to surprise me. |
|
|
|
38:59.200 --> 39:03.080 |
|
And I think that there is a lot of interesting |
|
|
|
39:03.080 --> 39:06.840 |
|
and really deep lessons for people like us |
|
|
|
39:06.840 --> 39:09.600 |
|
from computer science who are coming into this field |
|
|
|
39:09.600 --> 39:13.640 |
|
to really understand how complex is the system of incentives |
|
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|
39:13.640 --> 39:17.160 |
|
in the system to understand how you really need |
|
|
|
39:17.160 --> 39:18.760 |
|
to play to drive adoption. |
|
|
|
39:19.720 --> 39:21.120 |
|
You just said it's complex, |
|
|
|
39:21.120 --> 39:23.960 |
|
but if we're trying to simplify it, |
|
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|
39:23.960 --> 39:27.360 |
|
who do you think most likely would be successful |
|
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|
39:27.360 --> 39:29.480 |
|
if we push on this group of people? |
|
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|
39:29.480 --> 39:30.720 |
|
Is it the doctors? |
|
|
|
39:30.720 --> 39:31.760 |
|
Is it the hospitals? |
|
|
|
39:31.760 --> 39:34.240 |
|
Is it the governments or policy makers? |
|
|
|
39:34.240 --> 39:37.240 |
|
Is it the individual patients, consumers |
|
|
|
39:37.240 --> 39:42.240 |
|
who needs to be inspired to most likely lead to adoption? |
|
|
|
39:45.200 --> 39:47.120 |
|
Or is there no simple answer? |
|
|
|
39:47.120 --> 39:48.280 |
|
There's no simple answer, |
|
|
|
39:48.280 --> 39:52.000 |
|
but I think there is a lot of good people in medical system |
|
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|
39:52.000 --> 39:55.240 |
|
who do want to make a change. |
|
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|
39:56.520 --> 40:01.520 |
|
And I think a lot of power will come from us as a consumers |
|
|
|
40:01.600 --> 40:04.320 |
|
because we all are consumers or future consumers |
|
|
|
40:04.320 --> 40:06.560 |
|
of healthcare services. |
|
|
|
40:06.560 --> 40:11.560 |
|
And I think we can do so much more |
|
|
|
40:12.080 --> 40:15.560 |
|
in explaining the potential and not in the hype terms |
|
|
|
40:15.560 --> 40:17.920 |
|
and not saying that we're now cured or Alzheimer |
|
|
|
40:17.920 --> 40:20.560 |
|
and I'm really sick of reading this kind of articles |
|
|
|
40:20.560 --> 40:22.120 |
|
which make these claims. |
|
|
|
40:22.120 --> 40:24.800 |
|
But really to show with some examples |
|
|
|
40:24.800 --> 40:26.520 |
|
what this implementation does |
|
|
|
40:26.520 --> 40:29.080 |
|
and how it changes the care. |
|
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|
40:29.080 --> 40:30.040 |
|
Because I can't imagine, |
|
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|
40:30.040 --> 40:33.240 |
|
it doesn't matter what kind of politician it is, |
|
|
|
40:33.240 --> 40:35.240 |
|
we all are susceptible to these diseases. |
|
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40:35.240 --> 40:37.800 |
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There is no one who is free. |
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40:37.800 --> 40:41.080 |
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And eventually, we all are humans |
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40:41.080 --> 40:44.880 |
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and we are looking for a way to alleviate the suffering. |
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40:44.880 --> 40:47.320 |
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And this is one possible way |
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40:47.320 --> 40:49.360 |
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where we currently are underutilizing, |
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40:49.360 --> 40:50.960 |
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which I think can help. |
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40:51.880 --> 40:55.120 |
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So it sounds like the biggest problems are outside of AI |
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40:55.120 --> 40:58.000 |
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in terms of the biggest impact at this point. |
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40:58.000 --> 41:00.440 |
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But are there any open problems |
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41:00.440 --> 41:03.800 |
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in the application of ML to oncology in general? |
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41:03.800 --> 41:05.400 |
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So improving the detection |
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41:05.400 --> 41:07.600 |
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or any other creative methods, |
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41:07.600 --> 41:09.640 |
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whether it's on the detection segmentations |
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41:09.640 --> 41:11.800 |
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or the vision perception side |
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41:11.800 --> 41:16.320 |
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or some other clever of inference. |
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41:16.320 --> 41:18.560 |
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Yeah, what in general in your view |
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41:18.560 --> 41:20.320 |
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are the open problems in this space? |
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41:20.320 --> 41:22.480 |
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So I just want to mention that beside detection, |
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41:22.480 --> 41:24.880 |
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another area where I am kind of quite active |
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41:24.880 --> 41:28.640 |
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and I think it's really an increasingly important area |
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41:28.640 --> 41:30.980 |
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in healthcare is drug design. |
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41:30.980 --> 41:32.820 |
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Absolutely. |
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41:32.820 --> 41:36.940 |
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Because it's fine if you detect something early, |
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41:36.940 --> 41:41.140 |
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but you still need to get drugs |
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41:41.140 --> 41:43.900 |
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and new drugs for these conditions. |
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41:43.900 --> 41:48.300 |
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And today, all of the drug design, ML is non existent there. |
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41:48.300 --> 41:53.020 |
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We don't have any drug that was developed by the ML model |
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41:53.020 --> 41:54.940 |
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or even not developed, |
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41:54.940 --> 41:56.220 |
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but at least even you, |
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41:56.220 --> 41:59.300 |
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that ML model plays some significant role. |
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41:59.300 --> 42:03.300 |
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I think this area with all the new ability |
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42:03.300 --> 42:05.820 |
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to generate molecules with desired properties |
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42:05.820 --> 42:10.820 |
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to do in silica screening is really a big open area. |
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42:11.300 --> 42:12.660 |
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It to be totally honest with you, |
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42:12.660 --> 42:14.940 |
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when we are doing diagnostics and imaging, |
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42:14.940 --> 42:17.300 |
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primarily taking the ideas that were developed |
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42:17.300 --> 42:20.500 |
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for other areas and you're applying them with some adaptation. |
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42:20.500 --> 42:24.700 |
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The area of drug design |
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42:24.700 --> 42:27.980 |
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is really technically interesting and exciting area. |
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42:27.980 --> 42:30.380 |
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You need to work a lot with graphs |
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42:30.380 --> 42:34.620 |
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and capture various 3D properties. |
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42:34.620 --> 42:37.420 |
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There are lots and lots of opportunities |
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42:37.420 --> 42:39.820 |
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to be technically creative. |
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42:39.820 --> 42:44.820 |
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And I think there are a lot of open questions in this area. |
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42:46.780 --> 42:48.820 |
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We're already getting a lot of successes |
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42:48.820 --> 42:52.700 |
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even with the kind of the first generation of this models, |
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42:52.700 --> 42:56.540 |
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but there is much more new creative things that you can do. |
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42:56.540 --> 43:01.540 |
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And what's very nice to see is actually the more powerful, |
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43:03.060 --> 43:05.420 |
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the more interesting models actually do better. |
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43:05.420 --> 43:10.420 |
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So there is a place to innovate in machine learning |
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43:11.300 --> 43:12.500 |
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in this area. |
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43:13.900 --> 43:16.820 |
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And some of these techniques are really unique too, |
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43:16.820 --> 43:19.620 |
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let's say to graph generation and other things. |
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43:19.620 --> 43:20.820 |
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So... |
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43:20.820 --> 43:23.980 |
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What just to interrupt really quick, I'm sorry. |
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43:23.980 --> 43:28.980 |
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Graph generation or graphs, drug discovery in general. |
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43:30.660 --> 43:31.980 |
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How do you discover a drug? |
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43:31.980 --> 43:33.340 |
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Is this chemistry? |
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43:33.340 --> 43:37.500 |
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Is this trying to predict different chemical reactions? |
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43:37.500 --> 43:39.620 |
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Or is it some kind of... |
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43:39.620 --> 43:42.100 |
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What do graphs even represent in this space? |
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43:42.100 --> 43:43.940 |
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Oh, sorry. |
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43:43.940 --> 43:45.300 |
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And what's a drug? |
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43:45.300 --> 43:47.820 |
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Okay, so let's say you think that there are many different |
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43:47.820 --> 43:49.580 |
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types of drugs, but let's say you're going to talk |
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43:49.580 --> 43:51.900 |
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about small molecules because I think today, |
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43:51.900 --> 43:53.580 |
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the majority of drugs are small molecules. |
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43:53.580 --> 43:55.020 |
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So small molecule is a graph. |
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43:55.020 --> 44:00.020 |
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The molecule is just where the node in the graph is an atom |
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44:00.060 --> 44:01.460 |
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and then you have the bond. |
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44:01.460 --> 44:03.220 |
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So it's really a graph representation |
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44:03.220 --> 44:05.540 |
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if you look at it in 2D, correct? |
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44:05.540 --> 44:07.460 |
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You can do it 3D, but let's say, well, |
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44:07.460 --> 44:09.540 |
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let's keep it simple and stick in 2D. |
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44:11.500 --> 44:14.740 |
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So pretty much my understanding today, |
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44:14.740 --> 44:17.740 |
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how it is done at scale in the companies, |
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44:17.740 --> 44:20.220 |
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you're without machine learning, |
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44:20.220 --> 44:22.100 |
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you have high throughput screening. |
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44:22.100 --> 44:24.540 |
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So you know that you are interested to get certain |
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44:24.540 --> 44:26.580 |
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biological activity of the compounds. |
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44:26.580 --> 44:28.860 |
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So you scan a lot of compounds, |
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44:28.860 --> 44:30.700 |
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like maybe hundreds of thousands, |
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44:30.700 --> 44:32.980 |
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some really big number of compounds. |
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44:32.980 --> 44:36.100 |
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You identify some compounds which have the right activity |
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44:36.100 --> 44:39.260 |
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and then at this point, the chemists come |
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44:39.260 --> 44:44.260 |
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and they're trying to now to optimize this original heat |
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44:44.340 --> 44:46.340 |
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to different properties that you want it to be, |
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44:46.340 --> 44:49.100 |
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maybe soluble, you want to decrease toxicity, |
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44:49.100 --> 44:51.660 |
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you want to decrease the side effects. |
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44:51.660 --> 44:54.060 |
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Are those, sorry, again to the drop, |
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44:54.060 --> 44:55.540 |
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can that be done in simulation |
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44:55.540 --> 44:57.700 |
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or just by looking at the molecules |
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44:57.700 --> 44:59.860 |
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or do you need to actually run reactions |
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44:59.860 --> 45:02.180 |
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in real labs with lab posts and stuff? |
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45:02.180 --> 45:04.060 |
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So when you do high throughput screening, |
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45:04.060 --> 45:07.060 |
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you really do screening, it's in the lab. |
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45:07.060 --> 45:09.180 |
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It's really the lab screening, |
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45:09.180 --> 45:10.980 |
|
you screen the molecules, correct? |
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45:10.980 --> 45:12.540 |
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I don't know what screening is. |
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45:12.540 --> 45:15.100 |
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The screening, you just check them for certain property. |
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45:15.100 --> 45:17.340 |
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Like in the physical space, in the physical world, |
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45:17.340 --> 45:18.780 |
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like actually there's a machine probably |
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45:18.780 --> 45:21.460 |
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that's actually running the reaction. |
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45:21.460 --> 45:22.900 |
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Actually running the reactions, yeah. |
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45:22.900 --> 45:25.420 |
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So there is a process where you can run |
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45:25.420 --> 45:26.860 |
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and that's why it's called high throughput, |
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45:26.860 --> 45:29.580 |
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you know, it becomes cheaper and faster |
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45:29.580 --> 45:33.820 |
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to do it on very big number of molecules. |
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45:33.820 --> 45:38.340 |
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You run the screening, you identify potential, |
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45:38.340 --> 45:40.300 |
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you know, potential good starts |
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45:40.300 --> 45:42.340 |
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and then where the chemists come in |
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45:42.340 --> 45:44.060 |
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who, you know, have done it many times |
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45:44.060 --> 45:45.900 |
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and then they can try to look at it |
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45:45.900 --> 45:48.260 |
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and say, how can you change the molecule |
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45:48.260 --> 45:53.260 |
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to get the desired profile in terms of all other properties? |
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45:53.460 --> 45:56.500 |
|
So maybe how do I make it more bioactive and so on? |
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45:56.500 --> 45:59.460 |
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And there, you know, the creativity of the chemists |
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45:59.460 --> 46:03.980 |
|
really is the one that determines the success |
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46:03.980 --> 46:07.460 |
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of this design because again, |
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46:07.460 --> 46:10.180 |
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they have a lot of domain knowledge of, you know, |
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46:10.180 --> 46:12.900 |
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what works, how do you decrease the CCT and so on? |
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46:12.900 --> 46:15.020 |
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And that's what they do. |
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46:15.020 --> 46:17.860 |
|
So all the drugs that are currently, you know, |
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46:17.860 --> 46:20.820 |
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in the FDA approved drugs or even drugs |
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46:20.820 --> 46:22.140 |
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that are in clinical trials, |
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46:22.140 --> 46:27.140 |
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they are designed using these domain experts |
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46:27.140 --> 46:30.060 |
|
which goes through this combinatorial space |
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46:30.060 --> 46:31.980 |
|
of molecules or graphs or whatever |
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46:31.980 --> 46:35.180 |
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and find the right one or adjust it to be the right ones. |
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46:35.180 --> 46:39.260 |
|
Sounds like the breast density heuristic from 67, |
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46:39.260 --> 46:40.500 |
|
the same echoes. |
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46:40.500 --> 46:41.820 |
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It's not necessarily that. |
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46:41.820 --> 46:45.380 |
|
It's really, you know, it's really driven by deep understanding. |
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46:45.380 --> 46:46.820 |
|
It's not like they just observe it. |
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46:46.820 --> 46:48.540 |
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I mean, they do deeply understand chemistry |
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46:48.540 --> 46:50.460 |
|
and they do understand how different groups |
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46:50.460 --> 46:53.140 |
|
and how does it change the properties. |
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46:53.140 --> 46:56.660 |
|
So there is a lot of science that gets into it |
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46:56.660 --> 46:58.740 |
|
and a lot of kind of simulation, |
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46:58.740 --> 47:00.940 |
|
how do you want it to behave? |
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47:01.900 --> 47:03.900 |
|
It's very, very complex. |
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47:03.900 --> 47:06.140 |
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So they're quite effective at this design, obviously. |
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47:06.140 --> 47:08.420 |
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Now, effective, yeah, we have drugs. |
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47:08.420 --> 47:10.780 |
|
Like depending on how do you measure effective? |
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47:10.780 --> 47:13.940 |
|
If you measure, it's in terms of cost, it's prohibitive. |
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47:13.940 --> 47:15.820 |
|
If you measure it in terms of times, you know, |
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47:15.820 --> 47:18.420 |
|
we have lots of diseases for which we don't have any drugs |
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47:18.420 --> 47:20.100 |
|
and we don't even know how to approach. |
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47:20.100 --> 47:23.460 |
|
I don't need to mention few drugs |
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47:23.460 --> 47:26.980 |
|
or degenerative disease drugs that fail, you know. |
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47:26.980 --> 47:30.900 |
|
So there are lots of, you know, trials that fail, |
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47:30.900 --> 47:32.180 |
|
you know, in later stages, |
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47:32.180 --> 47:35.180 |
|
which is really catastrophic from the financial perspective. |
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47:35.180 --> 47:38.260 |
|
So, you know, is it the effective, |
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47:38.260 --> 47:39.540 |
|
the most effective mechanism? |
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47:39.540 --> 47:42.740 |
|
Absolutely no, but this is the only one that currently works. |
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47:42.740 --> 47:46.660 |
|
And I would, you know, I was closely interacting |
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47:46.660 --> 47:48.020 |
|
with people in pharmaceutical industry. |
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47:48.020 --> 47:50.020 |
|
I was really fascinating on how sharp |
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47:50.020 --> 47:53.860 |
|
and what a deep understanding of the domain do they have. |
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47:53.860 --> 47:55.500 |
|
It's not observation driven. |
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47:55.500 --> 47:58.660 |
|
There is really a lot of science behind what they do. |
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47:58.660 --> 48:00.940 |
|
But if you ask me, can machine learning change it? |
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48:00.940 --> 48:03.460 |
|
I firmly believe yes, |
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48:03.460 --> 48:07.020 |
|
because even the most experienced chemists cannot, you know, |
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48:07.020 --> 48:09.460 |
|
hold in their memory and understanding |
|
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48:09.460 --> 48:11.020 |
|
everything that you can learn, you know, |
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48:11.020 --> 48:14.140 |
|
from millions of molecules and reactions. |
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48:14.140 --> 48:18.380 |
|
And the space of graphs is a totally new space. |
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48:18.380 --> 48:20.460 |
|
I mean, it's a really interesting space |
|
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|
48:20.460 --> 48:22.540 |
|
for machine learning to explore, graph generation. |
|
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48:22.540 --> 48:24.740 |
|
Yeah, so there are a lot of things that you can do here. |
|
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48:24.740 --> 48:27.140 |
|
So we do a lot of work. |
|
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|
48:27.140 --> 48:29.940 |
|
So the first tool that we started with |
|
|
|
48:29.940 --> 48:34.940 |
|
was the tool that can predict properties of the molecules. |
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48:34.940 --> 48:37.820 |
|
So you can just give the molecule and the property. |
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|
48:37.820 --> 48:39.900 |
|
It can be bioactivity properties. |
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48:39.900 --> 48:42.700 |
|
Or it can be some other property. |
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48:42.700 --> 48:48.580 |
|
And you train the molecules and you can now take a new molecule |
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48:48.580 --> 48:50.620 |
|
and predict this property. |
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48:50.620 --> 48:53.420 |
|
Now, when people started working in this area, |
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48:53.420 --> 48:54.620 |
|
it is something very simple. |
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48:54.620 --> 48:57.220 |
|
They do kind of existing, you know, fingerprints, |
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48:57.220 --> 48:59.380 |
|
which is kind of handcrafted features of the molecule |
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|
48:59.380 --> 49:01.420 |
|
when you break the graph to substructures |
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49:01.420 --> 49:04.420 |
|
and then you run, I don't know, a feedforward neural network. |
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49:04.420 --> 49:07.100 |
|
And what was interesting to see that clearly, you know, |
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49:07.100 --> 49:09.980 |
|
this was not the most effective way to proceed. |
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49:09.980 --> 49:12.900 |
|
And you need to have much more complex models |
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49:12.900 --> 49:15.140 |
|
that can induce a representation |
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49:15.140 --> 49:18.220 |
|
which can translate this graph into the embeddings |
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49:18.220 --> 49:20.100 |
|
and do these predictions. |
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49:20.100 --> 49:22.020 |
|
So this is one direction. |
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49:22.020 --> 49:24.180 |
|
And another direction, which is kind of related, |
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|
49:24.180 --> 49:27.940 |
|
is not only to stop by looking at the embedding itself, |
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49:27.940 --> 49:31.580 |
|
but actually modify it to produce better molecules. |
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49:31.580 --> 49:34.780 |
|
So you can think about it as the machine translation |
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49:34.780 --> 49:37.220 |
|
that you can start with a molecule |
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49:37.220 --> 49:39.500 |
|
and then there is an improved version of molecule. |
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49:39.500 --> 49:41.380 |
|
And you can again, with encoder, |
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49:41.380 --> 49:42.820 |
|
translate it into the hidden space |
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49:42.820 --> 49:45.020 |
|
and then learn how to modify it to improve |
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49:45.020 --> 49:48.220 |
|
the in some ways version of the molecules. |
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|
49:48.220 --> 49:51.540 |
|
So that's, it's kind of really exciting. |
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|
49:51.540 --> 49:54.220 |
|
We already have seen that the property prediction works |
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49:54.220 --> 49:58.740 |
|
pretty well and now we are generating molecules |
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|
49:58.740 --> 50:00.780 |
|
and there is actually labs |
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|
50:00.780 --> 50:03.140 |
|
which are manufacturing this molecule. |
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50:03.140 --> 50:05.180 |
|
So we'll see why it will get to us. |
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50:05.180 --> 50:06.540 |
|
Okay, that's really exciting. |
|
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50:06.540 --> 50:07.980 |
|
There's a lot of problems. |
|
|
|
50:07.980 --> 50:10.740 |
|
Speaking of machine translation and embeddings, |
|
|
|
50:10.740 --> 50:15.180 |
|
you have done a lot of really great research in NLP, |
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|
50:15.180 --> 50:16.740 |
|
natural language processing. |
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|
50:18.020 --> 50:20.380 |
|
Can you tell me your journey through NLP, |
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|
50:20.380 --> 50:23.860 |
|
what ideas, problems, approaches were you working on |
|
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|
50:23.860 --> 50:26.820 |
|
were you fascinated with, did you explore |
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50:26.820 --> 50:31.820 |
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before this magic of deep learning reemerged and after? |
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50:31.820 --> 50:35.740 |
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So when I started my work in NLP, it was in 97. |
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50:35.740 --> 50:37.260 |
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This was a very interesting time. |
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50:37.260 --> 50:40.780 |
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It was exactly the time that I came to ACL |
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50:40.780 --> 50:43.540 |
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and the dynamic would barely understand English. |
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50:43.540 --> 50:46.140 |
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But it was exactly like the transition point |
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50:46.140 --> 50:51.140 |
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because half of the papers were really rule based approaches |
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50:51.140 --> 50:53.820 |
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where people took more kind of heavy linguistic approaches |
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50:53.820 --> 50:57.820 |
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for small domains and try to build up from there. |
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50:57.820 --> 50:59.980 |
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And then there were the first generation of papers |
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50:59.980 --> 51:01.980 |
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which were corpus based papers. |
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51:01.980 --> 51:03.900 |
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And they were very simple in our terms |
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51:03.900 --> 51:05.420 |
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when you collect some statistics |
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51:05.420 --> 51:07.300 |
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and do prediction based on them. |
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51:07.300 --> 51:10.700 |
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But I found it really fascinating that one community |
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51:10.700 --> 51:16.700 |
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can think so very differently about the problem. |
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51:16.700 --> 51:20.260 |
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And I remember my first papers that I wrote, |
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51:20.260 --> 51:21.940 |
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it didn't have a single formula, |
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51:21.940 --> 51:25.700 |
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it didn't have evaluation, it just had examples of outputs. |
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51:25.700 --> 51:29.500 |
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And this was a standard of the first generation |
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51:29.500 --> 51:32.020 |
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of the field at a time. |
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51:32.020 --> 51:35.820 |
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In some ways, I mean, people maybe just started emphasizing |
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51:35.820 --> 51:37.820 |
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the empirical evaluation, |
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51:37.820 --> 51:39.780 |
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but for many applications like summarization, |
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51:39.780 --> 51:42.780 |
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you just wrote some examples of outputs. |
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51:42.780 --> 51:44.460 |
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And then increasingly you can see |
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51:44.460 --> 51:48.300 |
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that how the statistical approach has dominated the field. |
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51:48.300 --> 51:52.060 |
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And we've seen increased performance |
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51:52.060 --> 51:56.020 |
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across many basic tasks. |
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51:56.020 --> 52:00.020 |
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The sad part of the story may be that if you look |
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52:00.020 --> 52:01.580 |
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again through this journey, |
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52:01.580 --> 52:05.060 |
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we see that the role of linguistics |
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52:05.060 --> 52:07.420 |
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in some ways greatly diminishes. |
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52:07.420 --> 52:11.580 |
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And I think that you really need to look |
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52:11.580 --> 52:14.540 |
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through the whole proceeding to find one or two papers |
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52:14.540 --> 52:17.260 |
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which make some interesting linguistic references. |
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52:17.260 --> 52:18.100 |
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It's really big. |
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52:18.100 --> 52:18.940 |
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You mean today? |
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52:18.940 --> 52:19.780 |
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Today. |
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52:19.780 --> 52:20.620 |
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Today. |
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52:20.620 --> 52:21.460 |
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This was definitely... |
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52:21.460 --> 52:22.300 |
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Things like syntactic trees, |
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52:22.300 --> 52:24.380 |
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just even basically against our conversation |
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52:24.380 --> 52:27.500 |
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about human understanding of language, |
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52:27.500 --> 52:30.260 |
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which I guess what linguistics would be, |
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52:30.260 --> 52:34.260 |
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structured hierarchical representing language |
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52:34.260 --> 52:35.700 |
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in a way that's human explainable, |
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52:35.700 --> 52:39.420 |
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understandable is missing today. |
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52:39.420 --> 52:41.100 |
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I don't know if it is, |
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52:41.100 --> 52:43.580 |
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what is explainable and understandable. |
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52:43.580 --> 52:45.900 |
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At the end, we perform functions |
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52:45.900 --> 52:50.100 |
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and it's okay to have machine which performs a function. |
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52:50.100 --> 52:53.180 |
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Like when you're thinking about your calculator, correct? |
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52:53.180 --> 52:55.420 |
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Your calculator can do calculation |
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52:55.420 --> 52:57.580 |
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very different from you would do the calculation, |
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52:57.580 --> 52:58.820 |
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but it's very effective in it. |
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52:58.820 --> 52:59.700 |
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And this is fine. |
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52:59.700 --> 53:04.420 |
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If we can achieve certain tasks with high accuracy, |
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53:04.420 --> 53:07.100 |
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it doesn't necessarily mean that it has to understand |
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53:07.100 --> 53:09.260 |
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in the same way as we understand. |
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53:09.260 --> 53:11.220 |
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In some ways, it's even naive to request |
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53:11.220 --> 53:14.900 |
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because you have so many other sources of information |
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53:14.900 --> 53:17.860 |
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that are absent when you are training your system. |
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53:17.860 --> 53:19.180 |
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So it's okay. |
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53:19.180 --> 53:20.020 |
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Is it delivered? |
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53:20.020 --> 53:21.460 |
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And I would tell you one application |
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53:21.460 --> 53:22.780 |
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that's just really fascinating. |
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53:22.780 --> 53:24.300 |
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In 97, when it came to ACL, |
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53:24.300 --> 53:25.900 |
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there were some papers on machine translation. |
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53:25.900 --> 53:27.460 |
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They were like primitive, |
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53:27.460 --> 53:31.100 |
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like people were trying really, really simple. |
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53:31.100 --> 53:34.300 |
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And the feeling, my feeling was that, |
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53:34.300 --> 53:36.300 |
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to make real machine translation system, |
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53:36.300 --> 53:39.580 |
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it's like to fly at the moon and build a house there |
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53:39.580 --> 53:41.620 |
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and the garden and live happily ever after. |
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53:41.620 --> 53:42.620 |
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I mean, it's like impossible. |
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53:42.620 --> 53:46.740 |
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I never could imagine that within 10 years, |
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53:46.740 --> 53:48.580 |
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we would already see the system working. |
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53:48.580 --> 53:51.620 |
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And now nobody is even surprised |
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53:51.620 --> 53:54.460 |
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to utilize the system on daily basis. |
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53:54.460 --> 53:56.260 |
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So this was like a huge, huge progress, |
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53:56.260 --> 53:57.900 |
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saying that people for very long time |
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53:57.900 --> 54:00.820 |
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tried to solve using other mechanisms |
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54:00.820 --> 54:03.220 |
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and they were unable to solve it. |
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54:03.220 --> 54:06.180 |
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That's why I'm coming back to a question about biology, |
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54:06.180 --> 54:10.820 |
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that in linguistics, people try to go this way |
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54:10.820 --> 54:13.540 |
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and try to write the syntactic trees |
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54:13.540 --> 54:14.860 |
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and try to obstruct it |
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54:14.860 --> 54:17.060 |
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and to find the right representation. |
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54:17.060 --> 54:22.060 |
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And, you know, they couldn't get very far |
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54:22.220 --> 54:25.940 |
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with this understanding while these models, |
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54:25.940 --> 54:29.620 |
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using, you know, other sources actually capable |
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54:29.620 --> 54:31.660 |
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to make a lot of progress. |
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54:31.660 --> 54:33.940 |
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Now, I'm not naive to think |
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54:33.940 --> 54:36.860 |
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that we are in this paradise space in NLP |
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54:36.860 --> 54:38.540 |
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and I'm sure as you know, |
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54:38.540 --> 54:40.860 |
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that when we slightly change the domain |
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54:40.860 --> 54:42.580 |
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and when we decrease the amount of training, |
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54:42.580 --> 54:44.740 |
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it can do like really bizarre and funny thing. |
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54:44.740 --> 54:47.140 |
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But I think it's just a matter of improving |
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54:47.140 --> 54:48.540 |
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generalization capacity, |
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54:48.540 --> 54:51.500 |
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which is just a technical question. |
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54:51.500 --> 54:54.300 |
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Well, so that's the question. |
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54:54.300 --> 54:57.020 |
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How much of language understanding |
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54:57.020 --> 54:59.180 |
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can be solved with deep neural networks? |
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54:59.180 --> 55:03.740 |
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In your intuition, I mean, it's unknown, I suppose. |
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55:03.740 --> 55:07.660 |
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But as we start to creep towards romantic notions |
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55:07.660 --> 55:10.620 |
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of the spirit of the Turing test |
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55:10.620 --> 55:14.220 |
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and conversation and dialogue |
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55:14.220 --> 55:18.300 |
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and something that may be to me or to us, |
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55:18.300 --> 55:21.620 |
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so the humans feels like it needs real understanding. |
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55:21.620 --> 55:23.500 |
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How much can I be achieved |
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55:23.500 --> 55:27.140 |
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with these neural networks or statistical methods? |
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55:28.060 --> 55:33.060 |
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So I guess I am very much driven by the outcomes. |
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55:33.340 --> 55:35.420 |
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Can we achieve the performance, |
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55:35.420 --> 55:40.420 |
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which would be satisfactory for us for different tasks. |
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55:40.700 --> 55:43.020 |
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Now, if you again look at machine translation system, |
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55:43.020 --> 55:46.060 |
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which are trained on large amounts of data, |
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55:46.060 --> 55:48.820 |
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they really can do a remarkable job |
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55:48.820 --> 55:51.380 |
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relatively to where they've been a few years ago. |
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55:51.380 --> 55:54.660 |
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And if you project into the future, |
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55:54.660 --> 55:57.020 |
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if it will be the same speed of improvement, |
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55:59.380 --> 56:00.220 |
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this is great. |
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56:00.220 --> 56:01.060 |
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Now, does it bother me |
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56:01.060 --> 56:04.900 |
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that it's not doing the same translation as we are doing? |
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56:04.900 --> 56:06.660 |
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Now, if you go to cognitive science, |
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56:06.660 --> 56:09.460 |
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we still don't really understand what we are doing. |
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56:10.460 --> 56:11.900 |
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I mean, there are a lot of theories |
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56:11.900 --> 56:13.860 |
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and there is obviously a lot of progress and studying, |
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56:13.860 --> 56:17.580 |
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but our understanding what exactly goes on in our brains |
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56:17.580 --> 56:21.060 |
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when we process language is still not crystal clear |
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56:21.060 --> 56:25.500 |
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and precise that we can translate it into machines. |
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56:25.500 --> 56:29.820 |
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What does bother me is that, again, |
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56:29.820 --> 56:31.740 |
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that machines can be extremely brittle |
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56:31.740 --> 56:34.540 |
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when you go out of your comfort zone of there, |
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56:34.540 --> 56:36.100 |
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when there is a distributional shift |
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56:36.100 --> 56:37.340 |
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between training and testing. |
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56:37.340 --> 56:39.060 |
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And it have been years and years, |
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56:39.060 --> 56:41.540 |
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every year when they teach a NLP class, |
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56:41.540 --> 56:43.580 |
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show them some examples of translation |
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56:43.580 --> 56:45.740 |
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from some newspaper in Hebrew, |
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56:45.740 --> 56:47.340 |
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whatever, it was perfect. |
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56:47.340 --> 56:48.860 |
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And then they have a recipe |
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56:48.860 --> 56:52.620 |
|
that Tomi Akala's system sent me a while ago |
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56:52.620 --> 56:55.740 |
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and it was written in Finnish of Carillian pies. |
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56:55.740 --> 56:59.340 |
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And it's just a terrible translation. |
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56:59.340 --> 57:01.500 |
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You cannot understand anything what it does. |
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57:01.500 --> 57:03.180 |
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It's not like some syntactic mistakes. |
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57:03.180 --> 57:04.340 |
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It's just terrible. |
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57:04.340 --> 57:07.140 |
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And year after year, I tried it and will translate it. |
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57:07.140 --> 57:09.020 |
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And year after year, it does this terrible work |
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57:09.020 --> 57:12.060 |
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because I guess the recipes are not big part |
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57:12.060 --> 57:14.620 |
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of their training repertoire. |
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57:15.500 --> 57:17.780 |
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So, but in terms of outcomes, |
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57:17.780 --> 57:20.260 |
|
that's a really clean, good way to look at it. |
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57:21.140 --> 57:23.180 |
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I guess the question I was asking is, |
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57:24.100 --> 57:27.740 |
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do you think, imagine a future, |
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57:27.740 --> 57:29.820 |
|
do you think the current approaches |
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57:29.820 --> 57:32.540 |
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can pass the Turing test in the way, |
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57:34.740 --> 57:37.060 |
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in the best possible formulation of the Turing test? |
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57:37.060 --> 57:39.500 |
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Which is, would you want to have a conversation |
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57:39.500 --> 57:42.380 |
|
with a neural network for an hour? |
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57:42.380 --> 57:45.860 |
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Oh God, no, no, there are not that many people |
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57:45.860 --> 57:48.140 |
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that I would want to talk for an hour. |
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57:48.140 --> 57:51.540 |
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But there are some people in this world, alive or not, |
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57:51.540 --> 57:53.300 |
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that you would like to talk to for an hour, |
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57:53.300 --> 57:56.740 |
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could a neural network achieve that outcome? |
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57:56.740 --> 57:58.220 |
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So I think it would be really hard |
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57:58.220 --> 58:01.180 |
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to create a successful training set, |
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58:01.180 --> 58:03.380 |
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which would enable it to have a conversation |
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58:03.380 --> 58:07.140 |
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for an intercontextual conversation for an hour. |
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58:07.140 --> 58:08.180 |
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So you think it's a problem of data, perhaps? |
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58:08.180 --> 58:09.980 |
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I think in some ways it's an important data. |
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58:09.980 --> 58:12.500 |
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It's a problem both of data and the problem |
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58:12.500 --> 58:15.780 |
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of the way we are training our systems, |
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58:15.780 --> 58:18.100 |
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their ability to truly to generalize, |
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58:18.100 --> 58:21.300 |
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to be very compositional, in some ways, it's limited, |
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58:21.300 --> 58:24.120 |
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in the current capacity, at least. |
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58:25.580 --> 58:28.020 |
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You know, we can translate well, |
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58:28.020 --> 58:32.540 |
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we can find information well, we can extract information. |
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58:32.540 --> 58:35.220 |
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So there are many capacities in which it's doing very well. |
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58:35.220 --> 58:38.020 |
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And you can ask me, would you trust the machine |
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58:38.020 --> 58:39.900 |
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to translate for you and use it as a source? |
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58:39.900 --> 58:41.900 |
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I would say absolutely, especially if we're talking |
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58:41.900 --> 58:44.180 |
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about newspaper data or other data, |
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58:44.180 --> 58:46.780 |
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which is in the realm of its own training set, |
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58:46.780 --> 58:47.940 |
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I would say yes. |
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58:48.940 --> 58:52.940 |
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But, you know, having conversations with the machine, |
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58:52.940 --> 58:56.500 |
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it's not something that I would choose to do. |
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58:56.500 --> 58:58.180 |
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But you know, I would tell you something, |
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58:58.180 --> 58:59.460 |
|
talking about Turing tests |
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58:59.460 --> 59:02.980 |
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and about all this kind of ELISA conversations. |
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59:02.980 --> 59:05.580 |
|
I remember visiting Tencent in China |
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59:05.580 --> 59:06.980 |
|
and they have this chat board. |
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59:06.980 --> 59:09.540 |
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And they claim that it is like really humongous amount |
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59:09.540 --> 59:10.820 |
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of the local population, |
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59:10.820 --> 59:12.980 |
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which like for hours talks to the chat board, |
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59:12.980 --> 59:15.380 |
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to me it was, I cannot believe it, |
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59:15.380 --> 59:17.140 |
|
but apparently it's like documented |
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59:17.140 --> 59:20.820 |
|
that there are some people who enjoy this conversation. |
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59:20.820 --> 59:24.580 |
|
And you know, it brought to me another MIT story |
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59:24.580 --> 59:26.940 |
|
about ELISA and Weizimbau. |
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59:26.940 --> 59:29.380 |
|
I don't know if you're familiar with the story. |
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59:29.380 --> 59:31.060 |
|
So Weizimbau was a professor at MIT |
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59:31.060 --> 59:32.620 |
|
and when he developed this ELISA, |
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59:32.620 --> 59:36.740 |
|
which was just doing string matching, very trivial, |
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59:36.740 --> 59:38.580 |
|
like restating of what you said, |
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59:38.580 --> 59:41.300 |
|
with very few rules, no syntax. |
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59:41.300 --> 59:43.780 |
|
Apparently there were secretaries at MIT |
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59:43.780 --> 59:48.220 |
|
that would sit for hours and converse with this trivial thing. |
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59:48.220 --> 59:50.220 |
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And at the time there was no beautiful interfaces. |
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59:50.220 --> 59:53.580 |
|
So you actually need to go through the pain of communicating. |
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|
59:53.580 --> 59:56.980 |
|
And Weizimbau himself was so horrified by this phenomenon |
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59:56.980 --> 59:59.300 |
|
that people can believe enough to the machine |
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|
59:59.300 --> 1:00:00.860 |
|
that you just need to give them the hint |
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|
1:00:00.860 --> 1:00:02.060 |
|
that machine understands you |
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1:00:02.060 --> 1:00:03.980 |
|
and you can complete the rest. |
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1:00:03.980 --> 1:00:05.460 |
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So he kind of stopped this research |
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1:00:05.460 --> 1:00:08.700 |
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and went into kind of trying to understand |
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1:00:08.700 --> 1:00:11.500 |
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what this artificial intelligence can do to our brains. |
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1:00:12.780 --> 1:00:15.580 |
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So my point is, you know, how much, |
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1:00:15.580 --> 1:00:19.380 |
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it's not how good is the technology, |
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1:00:19.380 --> 1:00:22.660 |
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it's how ready we are to believe |
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1:00:22.660 --> 1:00:25.620 |
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that it delivers the good that we are trying to get. |
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1:00:25.620 --> 1:00:27.220 |
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That's a really beautiful way to put it. |
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1:00:27.220 --> 1:00:29.780 |
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I, by the way, I'm not horrified by that possibility |
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1:00:29.780 --> 1:00:34.780 |
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but inspired by it because, I mean, human connection, |
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1:00:35.940 --> 1:00:38.100 |
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whether it's through language or through love, |
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1:00:39.180 --> 1:00:44.180 |
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it seems like it's very amenable to machine learning |
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1:00:44.900 --> 1:00:49.340 |
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and the rest is just challenges of psychology. |
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1:00:49.340 --> 1:00:52.460 |
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Like you said, the secretaries who enjoy spending hours, |
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1:00:52.460 --> 1:00:55.020 |
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I would say I would describe most of our lives |
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1:00:55.020 --> 1:00:58.060 |
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as enjoying spending hours with those we love |
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1:00:58.060 --> 1:01:00.860 |
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for very silly reasons. |
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1:01:00.860 --> 1:01:02.820 |
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All we're doing is keyword matching as well. |
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1:01:02.820 --> 1:01:05.140 |
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So I'm not sure how much intelligence |
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1:01:05.140 --> 1:01:08.180 |
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we exhibit to each other with the people we love |
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1:01:08.180 --> 1:01:09.860 |
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that we're close with. |
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1:01:09.860 --> 1:01:12.700 |
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So it's a very interesting point |
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1:01:12.700 --> 1:01:16.060 |
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of what it means to pass the Turing test with language. |
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1:01:16.060 --> 1:01:16.900 |
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I think you're right. |
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1:01:16.900 --> 1:01:18.260 |
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In terms of conversation, |
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1:01:18.260 --> 1:01:23.140 |
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I think machine translation has very clear performance |
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1:01:23.140 --> 1:01:24.460 |
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and improvement, right? |
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1:01:24.460 --> 1:01:28.060 |
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What it means to have a fulfilling conversation |
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1:01:28.060 --> 1:01:31.060 |
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is very, very person dependent |
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1:01:31.060 --> 1:01:33.580 |
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and context dependent and so on. |
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1:01:33.580 --> 1:01:36.060 |
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That's, yeah, it's very well put. |
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1:01:36.060 --> 1:01:38.340 |
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So, but in your view, |
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1:01:38.340 --> 1:01:41.940 |
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what's a benchmark in natural language, a test, |
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1:01:41.940 --> 1:01:43.700 |
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that's just out of reach right now, |
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1:01:43.700 --> 1:01:46.060 |
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but we might be able to, that's exciting. |
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1:01:46.060 --> 1:01:49.140 |
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Is it in machine, isn't perfecting machine translation |
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1:01:49.140 --> 1:01:51.940 |
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or is there other, is it summarization? |
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1:01:51.940 --> 1:01:53.340 |
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What's out there just out of reach? |
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1:01:53.340 --> 1:01:55.860 |
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It goes across specific application. |
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1:01:55.860 --> 1:01:58.300 |
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It's more about the ability to learn |
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1:01:58.300 --> 1:02:00.100 |
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from few examples for real, |
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1:02:00.100 --> 1:02:03.340 |
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what we call future planning and all these cases. |
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1:02:03.340 --> 1:02:05.940 |
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Because, you know, the way we publish these papers today, |
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1:02:05.940 --> 1:02:09.940 |
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we say, if we have like naively, we get 55, |
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1:02:09.940 --> 1:02:12.500 |
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but now we had a few example and we can move to 65. |
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1:02:12.500 --> 1:02:14.020 |
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None of these methods actually |
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1:02:14.020 --> 1:02:15.980 |
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realistically doing anything useful. |
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1:02:15.980 --> 1:02:18.540 |
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You cannot use them today. |
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1:02:18.540 --> 1:02:23.540 |
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And the ability to be able to generalize and to move |
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1:02:25.460 --> 1:02:28.980 |
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or to be autonomous in finding the data |
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1:02:28.980 --> 1:02:30.300 |
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that you need to learn, |
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1:02:31.340 --> 1:02:34.260 |
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to be able to perfect new tasks or new language. |
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1:02:35.300 --> 1:02:38.100 |
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This is an area where I think we really need |
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1:02:39.220 --> 1:02:43.060 |
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to move forward to and we are not yet there. |
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1:02:43.060 --> 1:02:45.060 |
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Are you at all excited, |
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1:02:45.060 --> 1:02:48.540 |
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curious by the possibility of creating human level intelligence? |
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1:02:49.900 --> 1:02:52.540 |
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Is this, because you've been very in your discussion. |
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1:02:52.540 --> 1:02:54.340 |
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So if we look at oncology, |
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1:02:54.340 --> 1:02:58.100 |
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you're trying to use machine learning to help the world |
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1:02:58.100 --> 1:02:59.700 |
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in terms of alleviating suffering. |
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1:02:59.700 --> 1:03:02.340 |
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If you look at natural language processing, |
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1:03:02.340 --> 1:03:05.300 |
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you're focused on the outcomes of improving practical things |
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1:03:05.300 --> 1:03:06.820 |
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like machine translation. |
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1:03:06.820 --> 1:03:09.860 |
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But, you know, human level intelligence is a thing |
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1:03:09.860 --> 1:03:13.100 |
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that our civilizations dream about creating |
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1:03:13.100 --> 1:03:15.740 |
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super human level intelligence. |
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1:03:15.740 --> 1:03:16.940 |
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Do you think about this? |
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1:03:16.940 --> 1:03:19.140 |
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Do you think it's at all within our reach? |
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1:03:20.420 --> 1:03:22.660 |
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So as you said yourself earlier, |
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1:03:22.660 --> 1:03:26.660 |
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talking about, you know, how do you perceive, |
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1:03:26.660 --> 1:03:28.980 |
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you know, our communications with each other |
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1:03:28.980 --> 1:03:30.700 |
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that, you know, we're matching keywords |
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1:03:30.700 --> 1:03:33.020 |
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and certain behaviors and so on. |
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1:03:33.020 --> 1:03:36.860 |
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So at the end, whenever one assesses, |
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1:03:36.860 --> 1:03:38.660 |
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let's say relations with another person, |
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1:03:38.660 --> 1:03:41.460 |
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you have separate kind of measurements and outcomes |
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1:03:41.460 --> 1:03:43.620 |
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inside your head that determine, you know, |
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1:03:43.620 --> 1:03:45.860 |
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what is the status of the relation. |
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1:03:45.860 --> 1:03:48.580 |
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So one way, this is this classical level. |
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1:03:48.580 --> 1:03:49.580 |
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What is the intelligence? |
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1:03:49.580 --> 1:03:51.260 |
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Is it the fact that now we are going to do |
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1:03:51.260 --> 1:03:52.940 |
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the same way as human is doing |
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1:03:52.940 --> 1:03:55.500 |
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when we don't even understand what the human is doing? |
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1:03:55.500 --> 1:03:59.100 |
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Or we now have an ability to deliver these outcomes, |
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1:03:59.100 --> 1:04:01.300 |
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but not in one area, not in an LPL, |
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1:04:01.300 --> 1:04:03.940 |
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not just to translate or just to answer questions, |
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1:04:03.940 --> 1:04:06.900 |
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but across many, many areas that we can achieve |
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1:04:06.900 --> 1:04:09.740 |
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the functionalities that humans can achieve |
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1:04:09.740 --> 1:04:12.380 |
|
with their ability to learn and do other things. |
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1:04:12.380 --> 1:04:15.500 |
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I think this is, and this we can actually measure |
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1:04:15.500 --> 1:04:20.340 |
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how far we are, and that's what makes me excited |
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1:04:20.340 --> 1:04:22.420 |
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that we, you know, in my lifetime, |
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1:04:22.420 --> 1:04:23.780 |
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at least so far what we've seen, |
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1:04:23.780 --> 1:04:26.260 |
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it's like tremendous progress across |
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1:04:26.260 --> 1:04:28.700 |
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with these different functionalities. |
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1:04:28.700 --> 1:04:32.260 |
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And I think it will be really exciting |
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1:04:32.260 --> 1:04:35.540 |
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to see where we will be. |
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1:04:35.540 --> 1:04:40.020 |
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And again, one way to think about is there are machines |
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1:04:40.020 --> 1:04:41.820 |
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which are improving their functionality. |
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1:04:41.820 --> 1:04:44.900 |
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Another one is to think about us with our brains, |
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1:04:44.900 --> 1:04:49.020 |
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which are imperfect, how they can be accelerated |
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1:04:49.020 --> 1:04:54.020 |
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by this technology as it becomes stronger and stronger. |
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1:04:55.860 --> 1:04:58.580 |
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Coming back to another book that I love, |
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1:04:58.580 --> 1:05:02.060 |
|
Flowers for Algernon, have you read this book? |
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1:05:02.060 --> 1:05:02.900 |
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Yes. |
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1:05:02.900 --> 1:05:05.740 |
|
You know, there is this point that the patient gets |
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1:05:05.740 --> 1:05:08.020 |
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this miracle cure which changes his brain |
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1:05:08.020 --> 1:05:11.060 |
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and all of a sudden they see life in a different way |
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1:05:11.060 --> 1:05:13.340 |
|
and can do certain things better, |
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1:05:13.340 --> 1:05:14.900 |
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but certain things much worse. |
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1:05:16.540 --> 1:05:21.540 |
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So you can imagine this kind of computer augmented cognition |
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1:05:22.420 --> 1:05:24.820 |
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where it can bring you that now in the same way |
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1:05:24.820 --> 1:05:28.140 |
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as, you know, the cars enable us to get to places |
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1:05:28.140 --> 1:05:30.100 |
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where we've never been before. |
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1:05:30.100 --> 1:05:31.620 |
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Can we think differently? |
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1:05:31.620 --> 1:05:32.820 |
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Can we think faster? |
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1:05:32.820 --> 1:05:36.700 |
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So, and we already see a lot of it happening |
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1:05:36.700 --> 1:05:38.260 |
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in how it impacts us, |
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1:05:38.260 --> 1:05:42.180 |
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but I think we have a long way to go there. |
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1:05:42.180 --> 1:05:45.020 |
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So that's sort of artificial intelligence |
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1:05:45.020 --> 1:05:47.260 |
|
and technology affecting our, |
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1:05:47.260 --> 1:05:50.500 |
|
augmenting our intelligence as humans. |
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1:05:50.500 --> 1:05:55.500 |
|
Yesterday, a company called Neuralink announced |
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1:05:55.540 --> 1:05:56.820 |
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they did this whole demonstration. |
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1:05:56.820 --> 1:05:57.980 |
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I don't know if you saw it. |
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1:05:57.980 --> 1:06:00.980 |
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It's, they demonstrated brain, computer, |
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1:06:00.980 --> 1:06:05.260 |
|
brain machine interface where there's like a sewing machine |
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1:06:05.260 --> 1:06:06.340 |
|
for the brain. |
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1:06:06.340 --> 1:06:11.140 |
|
Do you, you know, a lot of that is quite out there |
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1:06:11.140 --> 1:06:15.300 |
|
in terms of things that some people would say are impossible, |
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1:06:15.300 --> 1:06:18.100 |
|
but they're dreamers and want to engineer systems like that. |
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1:06:18.100 --> 1:06:20.380 |
|
Do you see, based on what you just said, |
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1:06:20.380 --> 1:06:23.820 |
|
a hope for that more direct interaction with the brain? |
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1:06:25.140 --> 1:06:27.020 |
|
I think there are different ways. |
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1:06:27.020 --> 1:06:28.980 |
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One is a direct interaction with the brain. |
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1:06:28.980 --> 1:06:30.900 |
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And again, there are lots of companies |
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1:06:30.900 --> 1:06:32.220 |
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that work in this space. |
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1:06:32.220 --> 1:06:35.060 |
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And I think there will be a lot of developments. |
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1:06:35.060 --> 1:06:36.540 |
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When I'm just thinking that many times |
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1:06:36.540 --> 1:06:39.020 |
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we are not aware of our feelings |
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1:06:39.020 --> 1:06:41.420 |
|
of motivation, what drives us. |
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1:06:41.420 --> 1:06:44.100 |
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Like let me give you a trivial example, our attention. |
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1:06:45.500 --> 1:06:47.260 |
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There are a lot of studies that demonstrate |
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1:06:47.260 --> 1:06:49.220 |
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that it takes a while to a person to understand |
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1:06:49.220 --> 1:06:51.100 |
|
that they are not attentive anymore. |
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1:06:51.100 --> 1:06:52.180 |
|
And we know that there are people |
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1:06:52.180 --> 1:06:54.540 |
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who really have strong capacity to hold attention. |
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1:06:54.540 --> 1:06:55.980 |
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There are another end of the spectrum, |
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1:06:55.980 --> 1:06:57.980 |
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people with ADD and other issues |
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1:06:57.980 --> 1:07:00.740 |
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that they have problem to regulate their attention. |
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1:07:00.740 --> 1:07:03.540 |
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Imagine to yourself that you have like a cognitive aid |
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1:07:03.540 --> 1:07:06.260 |
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that just alerts you based on your gaze. |
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1:07:06.260 --> 1:07:09.300 |
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That your attention is now not on what you are doing. |
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1:07:09.300 --> 1:07:11.460 |
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And instead of writing a paper, you're now dreaming |
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1:07:11.460 --> 1:07:12.740 |
|
of what you're gonna do in the evening. |
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1:07:12.740 --> 1:07:16.340 |
|
So even this kind of simple measurement things, |
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1:07:16.340 --> 1:07:18.020 |
|
how they can change us. |
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1:07:18.020 --> 1:07:22.380 |
|
And I see it even in the simple ways with myself. |
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1:07:22.380 --> 1:07:26.460 |
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I have my zone up from that I got in MIT gym. |
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1:07:26.460 --> 1:07:28.780 |
|
It kind of records how much did you run |
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1:07:28.780 --> 1:07:31.940 |
|
and you have some points and you can get some status, |
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1:07:31.940 --> 1:07:32.900 |
|
whatever. |
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1:07:32.900 --> 1:07:35.860 |
|
Like I said, what is this ridiculous thing? |
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1:07:35.860 --> 1:07:38.820 |
|
Who would ever care about some status in some arm? |
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1:07:38.820 --> 1:07:39.660 |
|
Guess what? |
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1:07:39.660 --> 1:07:41.580 |
|
So to maintain the status, |
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1:07:41.580 --> 1:07:44.660 |
|
you have to set a number of points every month. |
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1:07:44.660 --> 1:07:48.060 |
|
And not only is that they do it every single month |
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1:07:48.060 --> 1:07:50.580 |
|
for the last 18 months, |
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1:07:50.580 --> 1:07:54.180 |
|
it went to the point that I was injured. |
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1:07:54.180 --> 1:07:56.180 |
|
And when I could run again, |
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1:07:56.180 --> 1:08:01.180 |
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I in two days, I did like some humongous amount |
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1:08:01.860 --> 1:08:04.020 |
|
of writing just to complete the points. |
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1:08:04.020 --> 1:08:05.820 |
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It was like really not safe. |
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1:08:05.820 --> 1:08:08.340 |
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It's like, I'm not gonna lose my status |
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1:08:08.340 --> 1:08:10.100 |
|
because I want to get there. |
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1:08:10.100 --> 1:08:13.180 |
|
So you can already see that this direct measurement |
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1:08:13.180 --> 1:08:16.180 |
|
and the feedback, we're looking at video games |
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1:08:16.180 --> 1:08:18.540 |
|
and see why the addiction aspect of it, |
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1:08:18.540 --> 1:08:20.340 |
|
but you can imagine that the same idea |
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1:08:20.340 --> 1:08:23.500 |
|
can be expanded to many other areas of our life |
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1:08:23.500 --> 1:08:25.820 |
|
when we really can get feedback |
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1:08:25.820 --> 1:08:28.380 |
|
and imagine in your case in relations |
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1:08:29.740 --> 1:08:31.220 |
|
when we are doing keyword matching, |
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1:08:31.220 --> 1:08:36.100 |
|
imagine that the person who is generating the key ones, |
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1:08:36.100 --> 1:08:37.700 |
|
that person gets direct feedback |
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1:08:37.700 --> 1:08:39.540 |
|
before the whole thing explodes. |
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1:08:39.540 --> 1:08:41.940 |
|
Is it maybe at this happy point, |
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|
1:08:41.940 --> 1:08:43.980 |
|
we are going in the wrong direction? |
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|
1:08:43.980 --> 1:08:47.980 |
|
Maybe it will be really a behavior modifying moment. |
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|
1:08:47.980 --> 1:08:51.300 |
|
So yeah, it's a relationship management too. |
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|
1:08:51.300 --> 1:08:54.180 |
|
So yeah, that's a fascinating whole area |
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|
1:08:54.180 --> 1:08:56.100 |
|
of psychology actually as well, |
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1:08:56.100 --> 1:08:58.220 |
|
of seeing how our behavior has changed |
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1:08:58.220 --> 1:09:00.820 |
|
with basically all human relations |
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1:09:00.820 --> 1:09:05.820 |
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now have other non human entities helping us out. |
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1:09:06.180 --> 1:09:09.420 |
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So you've, you teach a large, |
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1:09:09.420 --> 1:09:12.600 |
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a huge machine learning course here at MIT. |
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1:09:13.620 --> 1:09:15.340 |
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I can ask you a million questions, |
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1:09:15.340 --> 1:09:17.580 |
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but you've seen a lot of students. |
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1:09:17.580 --> 1:09:20.900 |
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What ideas do students struggle with the most |
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1:09:20.900 --> 1:09:23.940 |
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as they first enter this world of machine learning? |
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1:09:25.700 --> 1:09:28.020 |
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Actually, this year was the first time |
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1:09:28.020 --> 1:09:30.060 |
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I started teaching a small machine learning class |
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and it came as a result of what I saw |
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in my big machine learning class that Tommy Ackle |
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1:09:35.620 --> 1:09:38.280 |
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and I built maybe six years ago. |
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What we've seen that as this area become more and more popular, |
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1:09:42.820 --> 1:09:46.940 |
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more and more people at MIT want to take this class. |
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1:09:46.940 --> 1:09:49.940 |
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And while we designed it for computer science majors, |
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there were a lot of people who really are interested |
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to learn it, but unfortunately, |
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their background was not enabling them |
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to do well in the class. |
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1:09:58.780 --> 1:10:01.000 |
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And many of them associated machine learning |
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with a world struggle and failure, |
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1:10:04.380 --> 1:10:06.380 |
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primarily for non majors. |
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1:10:06.380 --> 1:10:08.660 |
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And that's why we actually started a new class |
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which we call machine learning from algorithms to modeling, |
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which emphasizes more the modeling aspects of it |
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and focuses on, it has majors and non majors. |
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1:10:21.700 --> 1:10:25.300 |
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So we kind of try to extract the relevant parts |
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and make it more accessible |
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because the fact that we're teaching 20 classifiers |
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in standard machine learning class |
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is really a big question we really needed. |
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1:10:34.100 --> 1:10:36.380 |
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But it was interesting to see this |
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from first generation of students, |
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1:10:38.300 --> 1:10:40.900 |
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when they came back from their internships |
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and from their jobs, |
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what different and exciting things they can do |
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1:10:47.460 --> 1:10:48.380 |
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is that they would never think |
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1:10:48.380 --> 1:10:51.100 |
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that you can even apply machine learning to. |
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1:10:51.100 --> 1:10:53.740 |
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Some of them are like matching their relations |
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1:10:53.740 --> 1:10:56.020 |
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and other things like variety of different applications. |
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1:10:56.020 --> 1:10:58.060 |
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Everything is amenable to machine learning. |
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1:10:58.060 --> 1:11:00.260 |
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That actually brings up an interesting point |
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of computer science in general. |
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It almost seems, maybe I'm crazy, |
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1:11:05.420 --> 1:11:08.420 |
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but it almost seems like everybody needs to learn |
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1:11:08.420 --> 1:11:10.060 |
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how to program these days. |
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1:11:10.060 --> 1:11:13.340 |
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If you're 20 years old or if you're starting school, |
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1:11:13.340 --> 1:11:15.900 |
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even if you're an English major, |
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it seems like programming |
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1:11:18.980 --> 1:11:21.860 |
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unlocks so much possibility in this world. |
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1:11:21.860 --> 1:11:24.980 |
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So when you interact with those non majors, |
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is there skills that they were simply lacking at the time |
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that you wish they had |
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1:11:31.980 --> 1:11:34.620 |
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and that they learned in high school and so on? |
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1:11:34.620 --> 1:11:37.460 |
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Like how should education change |
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1:11:37.460 --> 1:11:41.260 |
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in this computerized world that we live in? |
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1:11:41.260 --> 1:11:43.500 |
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So seeing because they knew that there is a Python component |
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1:11:43.500 --> 1:11:44.820 |
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in the class, |
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1:11:44.820 --> 1:11:47.020 |
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their Python skills were okay |
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1:11:47.020 --> 1:11:49.140 |
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and the class is not really heavy on programming. |
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1:11:49.140 --> 1:11:52.420 |
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They primarily kind of add parts to the programs. |
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1:11:52.420 --> 1:11:55.420 |
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I think it was more of their mathematical barriers |
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and the class, again, with the design on the majors |
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was using the notation like big O for complexity |
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and others, people who come from different backgrounds |
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1:12:04.540 --> 1:12:05.820 |
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just don't have it in the lexical. |
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1:12:05.820 --> 1:12:09.140 |
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So necessarily very challenging notion, |
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1:12:09.140 --> 1:12:11.500 |
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but they were just not aware. |
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1:12:12.380 --> 1:12:15.340 |
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So I think that, you know, kind of linear algebra |
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1:12:15.340 --> 1:12:17.660 |
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and probability, the basics, the calculus, |
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1:12:17.660 --> 1:12:20.860 |
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want to vary the calculus, things that can help. |
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1:12:20.860 --> 1:12:23.580 |
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What advice would you give to students |
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1:12:23.580 --> 1:12:26.620 |
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interested in machine learning, interested, |
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1:12:26.620 --> 1:12:30.100 |
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if you've talked about detecting curing cancer, |
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1:12:30.100 --> 1:12:33.140 |
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drug design, if they want to get into that field, |
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1:12:33.140 --> 1:12:34.540 |
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what should they do? |
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1:12:36.380 --> 1:12:39.100 |
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Get into it and succeed as researchers |
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1:12:39.100 --> 1:12:42.100 |
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and entrepreneurs. |
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1:12:43.300 --> 1:12:45.260 |
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The first good piece of news is that right now |
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1:12:45.260 --> 1:12:47.420 |
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there are lots of resources |
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1:12:47.420 --> 1:12:50.180 |
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that are created at different levels |
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1:12:50.180 --> 1:12:51.860 |
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and you can find online |
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1:12:51.860 --> 1:12:54.820 |
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on your school classes, |
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which are more mathematical or more applied and so on. |
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1:12:57.580 --> 1:13:01.340 |
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So you can find a kind of a preacher |
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1:13:01.340 --> 1:13:02.780 |
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which preaches your own language |
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1:13:02.780 --> 1:13:04.580 |
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where you can enter the field |
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1:13:04.580 --> 1:13:06.740 |
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and you can make many different types of contribution |
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1:13:06.740 --> 1:13:09.620 |
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depending of what is your strengths. |
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1:13:10.740 --> 1:13:12.020 |
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And the second point, |
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1:13:12.020 --> 1:13:15.300 |
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I think it's really important to find some area |
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1:13:15.300 --> 1:13:18.140 |
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which you really care about |
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1:13:18.140 --> 1:13:20.220 |
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and it can motivate your learning |
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1:13:20.220 --> 1:13:22.620 |
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and it can be for somebody curing cancer |
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1:13:22.620 --> 1:13:25.380 |
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or doing cell driving cars or whatever, |
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1:13:25.380 --> 1:13:29.660 |
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but to find an area where there is data |
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1:13:29.660 --> 1:13:31.300 |
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where you believe there are strong patterns |
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1:13:31.300 --> 1:13:32.340 |
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and we should be doing it |
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1:13:32.340 --> 1:13:33.580 |
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and we're still not doing it |
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1:13:33.580 --> 1:13:35.260 |
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or you can do it better |
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1:13:35.260 --> 1:13:37.860 |
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and just start there |
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1:13:37.860 --> 1:13:39.700 |
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and see a way it can bring you. |
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1:13:40.780 --> 1:13:44.060 |
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So you've been very successful |
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1:13:44.060 --> 1:13:45.580 |
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in many directions in life, |
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1:13:46.460 --> 1:13:48.860 |
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but you also mentioned Flowers of Argonaut. |
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1:13:51.020 --> 1:13:53.820 |
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And I think I've read or listened to you mention somewhere |
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1:13:53.820 --> 1:13:55.340 |
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that researchers often get lost |
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1:13:55.340 --> 1:13:56.740 |
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in the details of their work. |
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1:13:56.740 --> 1:14:00.220 |
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This is per our original discussion with cancer and so on |
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1:14:00.220 --> 1:14:02.180 |
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and don't look at the bigger picture, |
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1:14:02.180 --> 1:14:05.340 |
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the bigger questions of meaning and so on. |
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1:14:05.340 --> 1:14:07.460 |
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So let me ask you the impossible question |
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1:14:09.900 --> 1:14:11.620 |
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of what's the meaning of this thing, |
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1:14:11.620 --> 1:14:16.740 |
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of life, of your life, of research. |
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1:14:16.740 --> 1:14:21.460 |
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Why do you think we descendant of great apes |
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1:14:21.460 --> 1:14:24.500 |
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are here on this spinning ball? |
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1:14:26.820 --> 1:14:30.300 |
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You know, I don't think that I have really a global answer |
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1:14:30.300 --> 1:14:32.900 |
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you know, maybe that's why I didn't go to humanities |
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1:14:33.780 --> 1:14:36.500 |
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and I didn't take humanities classes in my undergrad. |
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1:14:39.500 --> 1:14:43.580 |
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But the way I am thinking about it, |
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1:14:43.580 --> 1:14:48.220 |
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each one of us inside of them have their own set of, |
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1:14:48.220 --> 1:14:51.140 |
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you know, things that we believe are important. |
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1:14:51.140 --> 1:14:53.380 |
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And it just happens that we are busy |
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1:14:53.380 --> 1:14:54.820 |
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with achieving various goals, |
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1:14:54.820 --> 1:14:56.260 |
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busy listening to others |
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1:14:56.260 --> 1:14:58.100 |
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and to kind of try to conform |
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1:14:58.100 --> 1:15:03.100 |
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to be part of the crowd that we don't listen to that part. |
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1:15:04.580 --> 1:15:09.580 |
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And, you know, we all should find some time to understand |
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1:15:09.580 --> 1:15:11.820 |
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what is our own individual missions |
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1:15:11.820 --> 1:15:14.060 |
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and we may have very different missions |
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1:15:14.060 --> 1:15:18.180 |
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and to make sure that while we are running 10,000 things, |
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1:15:18.180 --> 1:15:21.900 |
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we are not, you know, missing out |
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1:15:21.900 --> 1:15:24.420 |
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and we're putting all the resources |
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1:15:24.420 --> 1:15:28.500 |
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to satisfy our own mission. |
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1:15:28.500 --> 1:15:31.500 |
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And if I look over my time, |
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1:15:31.500 --> 1:15:34.820 |
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when I was younger, most of these missions, |
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1:15:34.820 --> 1:15:38.620 |
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you know, I was primarily driven by the external stimulus, |
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1:15:38.620 --> 1:15:41.540 |
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you know, to achieve this or to be that. |
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1:15:41.540 --> 1:15:46.540 |
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And now a lot of what I do is driven by really thinking |
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1:15:47.660 --> 1:15:51.380 |
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what is important for me to achieve independently |
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1:15:51.380 --> 1:15:55.140 |
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of the external recognition. |
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1:15:55.140 --> 1:16:00.140 |
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And, you know, I don't mind to be viewed in certain ways. |
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1:16:01.380 --> 1:16:05.740 |
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The most important thing for me is to be true to myself, |
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1:16:05.740 --> 1:16:07.500 |
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to what I think is right. |
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1:16:07.500 --> 1:16:08.700 |
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How long did it take? |
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1:16:08.700 --> 1:16:13.220 |
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How hard was it to find the you that you have to be true to? |
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1:16:14.180 --> 1:16:17.740 |
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So it takes time and even now sometimes, you know, |
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1:16:17.740 --> 1:16:20.860 |
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the vanity and the triviality can take, you know. |
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1:16:20.860 --> 1:16:26.060 |
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Yeah, it can everywhere, you know, it's just the vanity. |
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1:16:26.060 --> 1:16:28.140 |
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The vanity is different, the vanity in different places, |
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1:16:28.140 --> 1:16:30.940 |
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but we all have our piece of vanity. |
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1:16:30.940 --> 1:16:34.700 |
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But I think actually for me, |
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1:16:34.700 --> 1:16:39.700 |
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the many times the place to get back to it is, you know, |
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1:16:41.700 --> 1:16:45.820 |
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when I'm alone and also when I read. |
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1:16:45.820 --> 1:16:47.740 |
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And I think by selecting the right books, |
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1:16:47.740 --> 1:16:52.740 |
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you can get the right questions and learn from what you read. |
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1:16:54.900 --> 1:16:58.060 |
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So, but again, it's not perfect, |
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1:16:58.060 --> 1:17:02.020 |
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like vanity sometimes dominates. |
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1:17:02.020 --> 1:17:04.780 |
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Well, that's a beautiful way to end. |
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1:17:04.780 --> 1:17:06.380 |
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Thank you so much for talking today. |
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1:17:06.380 --> 1:17:07.820 |
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Thank you. That was fun. |
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1:17:07.820 --> 1:17:17.820 |
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It was fun. |
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