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from numpy import nan as np_nan | |
from numpy import where as np_where | |
from numpy import random as np_random | |
from numpy import zeros as np_zeros | |
from numpy import array as np_array | |
from pandas import concat as pd_concat | |
from pandas import merge as pd_merge | |
from pandas import DataFrame | |
def DK_NBA_ROO_Build(projections_file, floor_var, ceiling_var, std_var, distribution_type): | |
total_sims = 1000 | |
projects_raw = projections_file.copy() | |
projects_raw = projects_raw.replace("", np_nan) | |
dk_df = projects_raw.sort_values(by='Median', ascending=False) | |
basic_own_df = dk_df.copy() | |
basic_own_df['name_team'] = basic_own_df['Player'] + basic_own_df['Position'] | |
def calculate_ownership(df): | |
# Filter the dataframe based on the position | |
frame = df.copy() | |
# Calculate Small Field Own% | |
frame['Base Own%'] = np_where( | |
(frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean() >= 0), | |
frame['Own'] * (5 * (frame['Own'] - (frame['Own'].mean() / 1.5)) / 100) + frame['Own'].mean(), | |
frame['Own'] | |
) | |
frame['Base Own%'] = np_where( | |
frame['Base Own%'] > 85, | |
85, | |
frame['Base Own%'] | |
) | |
# Calculate Small Field Own% | |
frame['Small Field Own%'] = np_where( | |
(frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean() >= 0), | |
frame['Own'] * (6 * (frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean()) / 100) + frame['Own'].mean(), | |
frame['Own'] | |
) | |
frame['Small Field Own%'] = np_where( | |
frame['Small Field Own%'] > 85, | |
85, | |
frame['Small Field Own%'] | |
) | |
# Calculate Large Field Own% | |
frame['Large Field Own%'] = np_where( | |
(frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean() >= 0), | |
frame['Own'] * (2.5 * (frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean()) / 100) + frame['Own'].mean(), | |
frame['Own'] | |
) | |
frame['Large Field Own%'] = np_where( | |
frame['Large Field Own%'] > 85, | |
85, | |
frame['Large Field Own%'] | |
) | |
# Calculate Cash Own% | |
frame['Cash Own%'] = np_where( | |
(frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean() >= 0), | |
frame['Own'] * (8 * (frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean()) / 100) + frame['Own'].mean(), | |
frame['Own'] | |
) | |
frame['Cash Own%'] = np_where( | |
frame['Cash Own%'] > 85, | |
85, | |
frame['Cash Own%'] | |
) | |
return frame | |
# Apply the function to each dataframe | |
basic_own_df = calculate_ownership(basic_own_df) | |
own_norm_var_reg = 800 / basic_own_df['Own'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_small = 800 / basic_own_df['Small Field Own%'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_large = 800 / basic_own_df['Large Field Own%'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_cash = 800 / basic_own_df['Cash Own%'].sum() | |
basic_own_df['Own'] = basic_own_df['Own'] * own_norm_var_reg | |
basic_own_df['Small_Own'] = basic_own_df['Small Field Own%'] * own_norm_var_small | |
basic_own_df['Large_Own'] = basic_own_df['Large Field Own%'] * own_norm_var_large | |
basic_own_df['Cash_Own'] = basic_own_df['Cash Own%'] * own_norm_var_cash | |
basic_own_df['Own'] = np_where(basic_own_df['Own'] > 90, 90, basic_own_df['Own']) | |
# Apply the function to each dataframe | |
basic_own_df = calculate_ownership(basic_own_df) | |
own_norm_var_reg = 800 / basic_own_df['Own'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_small = 800 / basic_own_df['Small Field Own%'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_large = 800 / basic_own_df['Large Field Own%'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_cash = 800 / basic_own_df['Cash Own%'].sum() | |
basic_own_df['Own'] = basic_own_df['Own'] * own_norm_var_reg | |
basic_own_df['Small_Own'] = basic_own_df['Small Field Own%'] * own_norm_var_small | |
basic_own_df['Large_Own'] = basic_own_df['Large Field Own%'] * own_norm_var_large | |
basic_own_df['Cash_Own'] = basic_own_df['Cash Own%'] * own_norm_var_cash | |
own_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df.Own)) | |
small_own_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df['Small Field Own%'])) | |
large_own_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df['Large Field Own%'])) | |
cash_own_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df['Cash Own%'])) | |
team_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.name_team, basic_own_df.Team)) | |
opp_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df.Opp)) | |
min_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df.Minutes)) | |
flex_file = basic_own_df[['Player', 'Position', 'Salary', 'Median', 'Minutes']] | |
flex_file = flex_file.rename(columns={"Agg": "Median"}) | |
flex_file['Floor'] = (flex_file['Median'] * floor_var) + (flex_file['Minutes'] * .25) | |
flex_file['Ceiling'] = flex_file['Median'] + (5 * ceiling_var) + (flex_file['Minutes'] * .25) | |
flex_file['STD'] = (flex_file['Median'] / std_var) | |
flex_file = flex_file[['Player', 'Position', 'Salary', 'Floor', 'Median', 'Ceiling', 'STD']] | |
flex_file = flex_file.reset_index(drop=True) | |
hold_file = flex_file.copy() | |
overall_file = flex_file.copy() | |
salary_file = flex_file.copy() | |
try: | |
overall_floor_gpu = np_array(overall_file['Floor']) | |
overall_ceiling_gpu = np_array(overall_file['Ceiling']) | |
overall_median_gpu = np_array(overall_file['Median']) | |
overall_std_gpu = np_array(overall_file['STD']) | |
overall_salary_gpu = np_array(overall_file['Salary']) | |
data_shape = (len(overall_file['Player']), total_sims) # Example: 1000 rows | |
salary_array = np_zeros(data_shape) | |
sim_array = np_zeros(data_shape) | |
for x in range(0, total_sims): | |
result_gpu = overall_salary_gpu | |
salary_array[:, x] = result_gpu | |
cupy_array = salary_array | |
salary_file = salary_file.reset_index(drop=True) | |
salary_cupy = DataFrame(cupy_array, columns=list(range(0, total_sims))) | |
salary_check_file = pd_concat([salary_file, salary_cupy], axis=1) | |
except: | |
for x in range(0,total_sims): | |
salary_file[x] = salary_file['Salary'] | |
salary_check_file = salary_file.copy() | |
salary_file=salary_check_file.drop(['Player', 'Position', 'Salary', 'Floor', 'Median', 'Ceiling', 'STD'], axis=1) | |
salary_file = salary_file.div(1000) | |
try: | |
for x in range(0, total_sims): | |
if distribution_type == 'normal': | |
# Normal distribution (existing logic) | |
result_gpu = np_random.normal(overall_median_gpu, overall_std_gpu) | |
elif distribution_type == 'poisson': | |
# Poisson distribution - using median as lambda | |
result_gpu = np_random.poisson(overall_median_gpu) | |
elif distribution_type == 'bimodal': | |
# Bimodal distribution - mixture of two normal distributions | |
# First peak centered at 80% of median, second at 120% of median | |
if np_random.random() < 0.5: | |
result_gpu = np_random.normal(overall_floor_gpu, overall_std_gpu) | |
else: | |
result_gpu = np_random.normal(overall_ceiling_gpu, overall_std_gpu) | |
else: | |
raise ValueError("Invalid distribution type. Must be 'normal', 'poisson', or 'bimodal'") | |
sim_array[:, x] = result_gpu | |
add_array = sim_array | |
overall_file = overall_file.reset_index(drop=True) | |
df2 = DataFrame(add_array, columns=list(range(0, total_sims))) | |
check_file = pd_concat([overall_file, df2], axis=1) | |
except: | |
for x in range(0,total_sims): | |
if distribution_type == 'normal': | |
overall_file[x] = np_random.normal(overall_file['Median'], overall_file['STD']) | |
elif distribution_type == 'poisson': | |
overall_file[x] = np_random.poisson(overall_file['Median']) | |
elif distribution_type == 'bimodal': | |
# Bimodal distribution fallback | |
if np_random.random() < 0.5: | |
overall_file[x] = np_random.normal(overall_file['Median'] * 0.8, overall_file['STD']) | |
else: | |
overall_file[x] = np_random.normal(overall_file['Median'] * 1.2, overall_file['STD']) | |
check_file = overall_file.copy() | |
overall_file=check_file.drop(['Player', 'Position', 'Salary', 'Floor', 'Median', 'Ceiling', 'STD'], axis=1) | |
players_only = hold_file[['Player']] | |
raw_lineups_file = players_only | |
for x in range(0,total_sims): | |
maps_dict = {'proj_map':dict(zip(hold_file.Player,overall_file[x]))} | |
raw_lineups_file[x] = sum([raw_lineups_file['Player'].map(maps_dict['proj_map'])]) | |
players_only[x] = raw_lineups_file[x].rank(ascending=False) | |
players_only=players_only.drop(['Player'], axis=1) | |
salary_4x_check = (overall_file - (salary_file*4)) | |
salary_5x_check = (overall_file - (salary_file*5)) | |
salary_6x_check = (overall_file - (salary_file*6)) | |
gpp_check = (overall_file - ((salary_file*5)+10)) | |
players_only['Average_Rank'] = players_only.mean(axis=1) | |
players_only['Top_finish'] = players_only[players_only == 1].count(axis=1)/total_sims | |
players_only['Top_5_finish'] = players_only[players_only <= 5].count(axis=1)/total_sims | |
players_only['Top_10_finish'] = players_only[players_only <= 10].count(axis=1)/total_sims | |
players_only['20+%'] = overall_file[overall_file >= 20].count(axis=1)/float(total_sims) | |
players_only['4x%'] = salary_4x_check[salary_4x_check >= 1].count(axis=1)/float(total_sims) | |
players_only['5x%'] = salary_5x_check[salary_5x_check >= 1].count(axis=1)/float(total_sims) | |
players_only['6x%'] = salary_6x_check[salary_6x_check >= 1].count(axis=1)/float(total_sims) | |
players_only['GPP%'] = gpp_check[gpp_check >= 1].count(axis=1)/float(total_sims) | |
players_only['Player'] = hold_file[['Player']] | |
final_outcomes = players_only[['Player', 'Top_finish', 'Top_5_finish', 'Top_10_finish', '20+%', '4x%', '5x%', '6x%', 'GPP%']] | |
final_Proj = pd_merge(hold_file, final_outcomes, on="Player") | |
final_Proj = final_Proj[['Player', 'Position', 'Salary', 'Floor', 'Median', 'Ceiling', 'Top_finish', 'Top_5_finish', 'Top_10_finish', '20+%', '4x%', '5x%', '6x%', 'GPP%']] | |
final_Proj['name_team'] = final_Proj['Player'] + final_Proj['Position'] | |
final_Proj['Own'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(own_dict) | |
final_Proj['Small_Own'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(small_own_dict) | |
final_Proj['Large_Own'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(large_own_dict) | |
final_Proj['Cash_Own'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(cash_own_dict) | |
final_Proj['Minutes Proj'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(min_dict) | |
final_Proj['Team'] = final_Proj['name_team'].map(team_dict) | |
final_Proj['Opp'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(opp_dict) | |
final_Proj = final_Proj[['Player', 'Minutes Proj', 'Position', 'Team', 'Opp', 'Salary', 'Floor', 'Median', 'Ceiling', 'Top_finish', 'Top_5_finish', 'Top_10_finish', '20+%', '4x%', '5x%', '6x%', 'GPP%', | |
'Own', 'Small_Own', 'Large_Own', 'Cash_Own']] | |
final_Proj = final_Proj.sort_values(by='Median', ascending=False) | |
return final_Proj.copy() | |
def FD_NBA_ROO_Build(projections_file, floor_var, ceiling_var, std_var, distribution_type): | |
total_sims = 1000 | |
projects_raw = projections_file.copy() | |
fd_df = projects_raw.sort_values(by='Median', ascending=False) | |
basic_own_df = fd_df.copy() | |
basic_own_df['name_team'] = basic_own_df['Player'] + basic_own_df['Position'] | |
def calculate_ownership(df): | |
# Filter the dataframe based on the position | |
frame = df.copy() | |
# Calculate Small Field Own% | |
frame['Base Own%'] = np_where( | |
(frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean() >= 0), | |
frame['Own'] * (5 * (frame['Own'] - (frame['Own'].mean() / 1.5)) / 100) + frame['Own'].mean(), | |
frame['Own'] | |
) | |
frame['Base Own%'] = np_where( | |
frame['Base Own%'] > 85, | |
85, | |
frame['Base Own%'] | |
) | |
# Calculate Small Field Own% | |
frame['Small Field Own%'] = np_where( | |
(frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean() >= 0), | |
frame['Own'] * (6 * (frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean()) / 100) + frame['Own'].mean(), | |
frame['Own'] | |
) | |
frame['Small Field Own%'] = np_where( | |
frame['Small Field Own%'] > 85, | |
85, | |
frame['Small Field Own%'] | |
) | |
# Calculate Large Field Own% | |
frame['Large Field Own%'] = np_where( | |
(frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean() >= 0), | |
frame['Own'] * (2.5 * (frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean()) / 100) + frame['Own'].mean(), | |
frame['Own'] | |
) | |
frame['Large Field Own%'] = np_where( | |
frame['Large Field Own%'] > 85, | |
85, | |
frame['Large Field Own%'] | |
) | |
# Calculate Cash Own% | |
frame['Cash Own%'] = np_where( | |
(frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean() >= 0), | |
frame['Own'] * (8 * (frame['Own'] - frame['Own'].mean()) / 100) + frame['Own'].mean(), | |
frame['Own'] | |
) | |
frame['Cash Own%'] = np_where( | |
frame['Cash Own%'] > 85, | |
85, | |
frame['Cash Own%'] | |
) | |
return frame | |
# Apply the function to each dataframe | |
basic_own_df = calculate_ownership(basic_own_df) | |
own_norm_var_reg = 900 / basic_own_df['Own'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_small = 900 / basic_own_df['Small Field Own%'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_large = 900 / basic_own_df['Large Field Own%'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_cash = 900 / basic_own_df['Cash Own%'].sum() | |
basic_own_df['Own'] = basic_own_df['Own'] * own_norm_var_reg | |
basic_own_df['Small_Own'] = basic_own_df['Small Field Own%'] * own_norm_var_small | |
basic_own_df['Large_Own'] = basic_own_df['Large Field Own%'] * own_norm_var_large | |
basic_own_df['Cash_Own'] = basic_own_df['Cash Own%'] * own_norm_var_cash | |
basic_own_df['Own'] = np_where(basic_own_df['Own'] > 90, 90, basic_own_df['Own']) | |
# Apply the function to each dataframe | |
basic_own_df = calculate_ownership(basic_own_df) | |
own_norm_var_reg = 900 / basic_own_df['Own'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_small = 900 / basic_own_df['Small Field Own%'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_large = 900 / basic_own_df['Large Field Own%'].sum() | |
own_norm_var_cash = 900 / basic_own_df['Cash Own%'].sum() | |
basic_own_df['Own'] = basic_own_df['Own'] * own_norm_var_reg | |
basic_own_df['Small_Own'] = basic_own_df['Small Field Own%'] * own_norm_var_small | |
basic_own_df['Large_Own'] = basic_own_df['Large Field Own%'] * own_norm_var_large | |
basic_own_df['Cash_Own'] = basic_own_df['Cash Own%'] * own_norm_var_cash | |
own_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df.Own)) | |
small_own_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df['Small Field Own%'])) | |
large_own_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df['Large Field Own%'])) | |
cash_own_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df['Cash Own%'])) | |
team_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.name_team, basic_own_df.Team)) | |
opp_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df.Opp)) | |
min_dict = dict(zip(basic_own_df.Player, basic_own_df.Minutes)) | |
flex_file = basic_own_df[['Player', 'Position', 'Salary', 'Median', 'Minutes']] | |
flex_file = flex_file.rename(columns={"Agg": "Median"}) | |
flex_file['Floor'] = (flex_file['Median'] * floor_var) + (flex_file['Minutes'] * .25) | |
flex_file['Ceiling'] = flex_file['Median'] + (5 * ceiling_var) + (flex_file['Minutes'] * .25) | |
flex_file['STD'] = (flex_file['Median'] / std_var) | |
flex_file = flex_file[['Player', 'Position', 'Salary', 'Floor', 'Median', 'Ceiling', 'STD']] | |
flex_file = flex_file.reset_index(drop=True) | |
hold_file = flex_file.copy() | |
overall_file = flex_file.copy() | |
salary_file = flex_file.copy() | |
try: | |
overall_floor_gpu = np_array(overall_file['Floor']) | |
overall_ceiling_gpu = np_array(overall_file['Ceiling']) | |
overall_median_gpu = np_array(overall_file['Median']) | |
overall_std_gpu = np_array(overall_file['STD']) | |
overall_salary_gpu = np_array(overall_file['Salary']) | |
data_shape = (len(overall_file['Player']), total_sims) # Example: 1000 rows | |
salary_array = np_zeros(data_shape) | |
sim_array = np_zeros(data_shape) | |
for x in range(0, total_sims): | |
result_gpu = overall_salary_gpu | |
salary_array[:, x] = result_gpu | |
cupy_array = salary_array | |
salary_file = salary_file.reset_index(drop=True) | |
salary_cupy = DataFrame(cupy_array, columns=list(range(0, total_sims))) | |
salary_check_file = pd_concat([salary_file, salary_cupy], axis=1) | |
except: | |
for x in range(0,total_sims): | |
salary_file[x] = salary_file['Salary'] | |
salary_check_file = salary_file.copy() | |
salary_file=salary_check_file.drop(['Player', 'Position', 'Salary', 'Floor', 'Median', 'Ceiling', 'STD'], axis=1) | |
salary_file = salary_file.div(1000) | |
try: | |
for x in range(0, total_sims): | |
if distribution_type == 'normal': | |
# Normal distribution (existing logic) | |
result_gpu = np_random.normal(overall_median_gpu, overall_std_gpu) | |
elif distribution_type == 'poisson': | |
# Poisson distribution - using median as lambda | |
result_gpu = np_random.poisson(overall_median_gpu) | |
elif distribution_type == 'bimodal': | |
# Bimodal distribution - mixture of two normal distributions | |
# First peak centered at 80% of median, second at 120% of median | |
if np_random.random() < 0.5: | |
result_gpu = np_random.normal(overall_floor_gpu, overall_std_gpu) | |
else: | |
result_gpu = np_random.normal(overall_ceiling_gpu, overall_std_gpu) | |
else: | |
raise ValueError("Invalid distribution type. Must be 'normal', 'poisson', or 'bimodal'") | |
sim_array[:, x] = result_gpu | |
add_array = sim_array | |
overall_file = overall_file.reset_index(drop=True) | |
df2 = DataFrame(add_array, columns=list(range(0, total_sims))) | |
check_file = pd_concat([overall_file, df2], axis=1) | |
except: | |
for x in range(0,total_sims): | |
if distribution_type == 'normal': | |
overall_file[x] = np_random.normal(overall_file['Median'], overall_file['STD']) | |
elif distribution_type == 'poisson': | |
overall_file[x] = np_random.poisson(overall_file['Median']) | |
elif distribution_type == 'bimodal': | |
# Bimodal distribution fallback | |
if np_random.random() < 0.5: | |
overall_file[x] = np_random.normal(overall_file['Median'] * 0.8, overall_file['STD']) | |
else: | |
overall_file[x] = np_random.normal(overall_file['Median'] * 1.2, overall_file['STD']) | |
check_file = overall_file.copy() | |
overall_file=check_file.drop(['Player', 'Position', 'Salary', 'Floor', 'Median', 'Ceiling', 'STD'], axis=1) | |
players_only = hold_file[['Player']] | |
raw_lineups_file = players_only | |
for x in range(0,total_sims): | |
maps_dict = {'proj_map':dict(zip(hold_file.Player,overall_file[x]))} | |
raw_lineups_file[x] = sum([raw_lineups_file['Player'].map(maps_dict['proj_map'])]) | |
players_only[x] = raw_lineups_file[x].rank(ascending=False) | |
players_only=players_only.drop(['Player'], axis=1) | |
salary_4x_check = (overall_file - (salary_file*4)) | |
salary_5x_check = (overall_file - (salary_file*5)) | |
salary_6x_check = (overall_file - (salary_file*6)) | |
gpp_check = (overall_file - ((salary_file*5)+10)) | |
players_only['Average_Rank'] = players_only.mean(axis=1) | |
players_only['Top_finish'] = players_only[players_only == 1].count(axis=1)/total_sims | |
players_only['Top_5_finish'] = players_only[players_only <= 5].count(axis=1)/total_sims | |
players_only['Top_10_finish'] = players_only[players_only <= 10].count(axis=1)/total_sims | |
players_only['20+%'] = overall_file[overall_file >= 20].count(axis=1)/float(total_sims) | |
players_only['4x%'] = salary_4x_check[salary_4x_check >= 1].count(axis=1)/float(total_sims) | |
players_only['5x%'] = salary_5x_check[salary_5x_check >= 1].count(axis=1)/float(total_sims) | |
players_only['6x%'] = salary_6x_check[salary_6x_check >= 1].count(axis=1)/float(total_sims) | |
players_only['GPP%'] = gpp_check[gpp_check >= 1].count(axis=1)/float(total_sims) | |
players_only['Player'] = hold_file[['Player']] | |
final_outcomes = players_only[['Player', 'Top_finish', 'Top_5_finish', 'Top_10_finish', '20+%', '4x%', '5x%', '6x%', 'GPP%']] | |
final_Proj = pd_merge(hold_file, final_outcomes, on="Player") | |
final_Proj = final_Proj[['Player', 'Position', 'Salary', 'Floor', 'Median', 'Ceiling', 'Top_finish', 'Top_5_finish', 'Top_10_finish', '20+%', '4x%', '5x%', '6x%', 'GPP%']] | |
final_Proj['name_team'] = final_Proj['Player'] + final_Proj['Position'] | |
final_Proj['Own'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(own_dict) | |
final_Proj['Small_Own'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(small_own_dict) | |
final_Proj['Large_Own'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(large_own_dict) | |
final_Proj['Cash_Own'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(cash_own_dict) | |
final_Proj['Minutes Proj'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(min_dict) | |
final_Proj['Team'] = final_Proj['name_team'].map(team_dict) | |
final_Proj['Opp'] = final_Proj['Player'].map(opp_dict) | |
final_Proj = final_Proj[['Player', 'Minutes Proj', 'Position', 'Team', 'Opp', 'Salary', 'Floor', 'Median', 'Ceiling', 'Top_finish', 'Top_5_finish', 'Top_10_finish', '20+%', '4x%', '5x%', '6x%', 'GPP%', | |
'Own', 'Small_Own', 'Large_Own', 'Cash_Own']] | |
final_Proj['Salary'] = final_Proj['Salary'].astype(int) | |
final_Proj = final_Proj.sort_values(by='Median', ascending=False) | |
return final_Proj.copy() |