global_func/predict_dupes.py

import streamlit as st
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import time
from fuzzywuzzy import process

def predict_dupes(portfolio, maps_dict, site_var, type_var, Contest_Size, strength_var):
    if strength_var == 'Weak':
        dupes_multiplier = .75
        percentile_multiplier = .90
    elif strength_var == 'Average':
        dupes_multiplier = 1.00
        percentile_multiplier = 1.00
    elif strength_var == 'Sharp':
        dupes_multiplier = 1.25
        percentile_multiplier = 1.10
    max_ownership = max(maps_dict['own_map'].values()) / 100
    average_ownership = np.mean(list(maps_dict['own_map'].values())) / 100
    if site_var == 'Fanduel':
        if type_var == 'Showdown':
            dup_count_columns = ['CPT_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX1_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX2_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX3_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX4_Own_percent_rank']
            own_columns = ['CPT_Own', 'FLEX1_Own', 'FLEX2_Own', 'FLEX3_Own', 'FLEX4_Own']
            calc_columns = ['own_product', 'own_average', 'own_sum', 'avg_own_rank', 'dupes_calc', 'low_own_count', 'own_ratio', 'Ref_Proj', 'Max_Proj', 'Min_Proj', 'Avg_Ref', 'own_ratio']
            flex_ownerships = pd.concat([
                portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
                portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
                portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
                portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map'])
            ])
            flex_rank = flex_ownerships.rank(pct=True)
            
            # Assign ranks back to individual columns using the same rank scale
            portfolio['CPT_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,0].map(maps_dict['cpt_own_map']).rank(pct=True)
            portfolio['FLEX1_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
            portfolio['FLEX2_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
            portfolio['FLEX3_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
            portfolio['FLEX4_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])

            portfolio['CPT_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,0].map(maps_dict['cpt_own_map']) / 100
            portfolio['FLEX1_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
            portfolio['FLEX2_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
            portfolio['FLEX3_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
            portfolio['FLEX4_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
            
            portfolio['own_product'] = (portfolio[own_columns].product(axis=1))
            portfolio['own_average'] = (portfolio['Own'].max() * .33) / 100
            portfolio['own_sum'] = portfolio[own_columns].sum(axis=1)
            portfolio['avg_own_rank'] = portfolio[dup_count_columns].mean(axis=1)
            
            # Calculate dupes formula
            portfolio['dupes_calc'] = (portfolio['own_product'] * portfolio['avg_own_rank']) * Contest_Size + ((portfolio['salary'] - (60000 - portfolio['Own'])) / 100) - ((60000 - portfolio['salary']) / 100)
            portfolio['dupes_calc'] = portfolio['dupes_calc'] * dupes_multiplier
            
            # Round and handle negative values
            portfolio['Dupes'] = np.where(
                np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) <= 0,
                0, 
                np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) - 1
            )
        if type_var == 'Classic':
            num_players = len([col for col in portfolio.columns if col not in ['salary', 'median', 'Own']])
            dup_count_columns = [f'player_{i}_percent_rank' for i in range(1, num_players + 1)]
            own_columns = [f'player_{i}_own' for i in range(1, num_players + 1)]
            calc_columns = ['own_product', 'own_average', 'own_sum', 'avg_own_rank', 'dupes_calc', 'low_own_count', 'own_ratio', 'Ref_Proj', 'Max_Proj', 'Min_Proj', 'Avg_Ref', 'own_ratio']
            for i in range(1, num_players + 1):
                portfolio[f'player_{i}_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,i-1].map(maps_dict['own_percent_rank'])
                portfolio[f'player_{i}_own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,i-1].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
            
            portfolio['own_product'] = (portfolio[own_columns].product(axis=1))
            portfolio['own_average'] = (portfolio['Own'].max() * .33) / 100
            portfolio['own_sum'] = portfolio[own_columns].sum(axis=1)
            portfolio['avg_own_rank'] = portfolio[dup_count_columns].mean(axis=1)
            
            portfolio['dupes_calc'] = (portfolio['own_product'] * portfolio['avg_own_rank']) * Contest_Size + ((portfolio['salary'] - (60000 - portfolio['Own'])) / 100) - ((60000 - portfolio['salary']) / 100)
            portfolio['dupes_calc'] = portfolio['dupes_calc'] * dupes_multiplier
            # Round and handle negative values
            portfolio['Dupes'] = np.where(
                np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) <= 0,
                0, 
                np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) - 1
            )

    elif site_var == 'Draftkings':
        if type_var == 'Showdown':
            dup_count_columns = ['CPT_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX1_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX2_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX3_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX4_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX5_Own_percent_rank']
            own_columns = ['CPT_Own', 'FLEX1_Own', 'FLEX2_Own', 'FLEX3_Own', 'FLEX4_Own', 'FLEX5_Own']
            calc_columns = ['own_product', 'own_average', 'own_sum', 'avg_own_rank', 'dupes_calc', 'low_own_count', 'Ref_Proj', 'Max_Proj', 'Min_Proj', 'Avg_Ref', 'own_ratio']
            flex_ownerships = pd.concat([
                portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
                portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
                portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
                portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
                portfolio.iloc[:,5].map(maps_dict['own_map'])
            ])
            flex_rank = flex_ownerships.rank(pct=True)
            
            # Assign ranks back to individual columns using the same rank scale
            portfolio['CPT_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,0].map(maps_dict['cpt_own_map']).rank(pct=True)
            portfolio['FLEX1_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
            portfolio['FLEX2_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
            portfolio['FLEX3_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
            portfolio['FLEX4_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
            portfolio['FLEX5_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,5].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])

            portfolio['CPT_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,0].map(maps_dict['cpt_own_map']) / 100
            portfolio['FLEX1_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
            portfolio['FLEX2_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
            portfolio['FLEX3_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
            portfolio['FLEX4_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
            portfolio['FLEX5_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,5].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100

            portfolio['own_product'] = (portfolio[own_columns].product(axis=1))
            portfolio['own_average'] = (portfolio['Own'].max() * .33) / 100
            portfolio['own_sum'] = portfolio[own_columns].sum(axis=1)
            portfolio['avg_own_rank'] = portfolio[dup_count_columns].mean(axis=1)
            
            # Calculate dupes formula
            portfolio['dupes_calc'] = (portfolio['own_product'] * portfolio['avg_own_rank']) * Contest_Size + ((portfolio['salary'] - (50000 - portfolio['Own'])) / 100) - ((50000 - portfolio['salary']) / 100)
            portfolio['dupes_calc'] = portfolio['dupes_calc'] * dupes_multiplier

            # Round and handle negative values
            portfolio['Dupes'] = np.where(
                np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) <= 0,
                0, 
                np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) - 1
            )
        if type_var == 'Classic':
            num_players = len([col for col in portfolio.columns if col not in ['salary', 'median', 'Own']])
            dup_count_columns = [f'player_{i}_percent_rank' for i in range(1, num_players + 1)]
            own_columns = [f'player_{i}_own' for i in range(1, num_players + 1)]
            calc_columns = ['own_product', 'own_average', 'own_sum', 'avg_own_rank', 'dupes_calc', 'low_own_count', 'Ref_Proj', 'Max_Proj', 'Min_Proj', 'Avg_Ref', 'own_ratio']
            for i in range(1, num_players + 1):
                portfolio[f'player_{i}_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,i-1].map(maps_dict['own_percent_rank'])
                portfolio[f'player_{i}_own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,i-1].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
            
            portfolio['own_product'] = (portfolio[own_columns].product(axis=1))
            portfolio['own_average'] = (portfolio['Own'].max() * .33) / 100
            portfolio['own_sum'] = portfolio[own_columns].sum(axis=1)
            portfolio['avg_own_rank'] = portfolio[dup_count_columns].mean(axis=1)
            
            portfolio['dupes_calc'] = (portfolio['own_product'] * portfolio['avg_own_rank']) * Contest_Size + ((portfolio['salary'] - (50000 - portfolio['Own'])) / 100) - ((50000 - portfolio['salary']) / 100)
            portfolio['dupes_calc'] = portfolio['dupes_calc'] * dupes_multiplier
            # Round and handle negative values
            portfolio['Dupes'] = np.where(
                np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) <= 0,
                0, 
                np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) - 1
            )

    portfolio['Dupes'] = np.round(portfolio['Dupes'], 0)
    portfolio['own_ratio'] = np.where(
        portfolio[own_columns].isin([max_ownership]).any(axis=1),
        portfolio['own_sum'] / portfolio['own_average'],
        (portfolio['own_sum'] - max_ownership) / portfolio['own_average']
    )
    percentile_cut_scalar = portfolio['median'].max()  # Get scalar value
    if type_var == 'Classic':
        own_ratio_nerf = 2
    elif type_var == 'Showdown':
        own_ratio_nerf = 1.5
    portfolio['Finish_percentile'] = portfolio.apply(
        lambda row: .0005 if (row['own_ratio'] - own_ratio_nerf) / ((10 * (row['median'] / percentile_cut_scalar)) / 2) < .0005 
        else (row['own_ratio'] - own_ratio_nerf) / ((10 * (row['median'] / percentile_cut_scalar)) / 2), 
        axis=1
    )
    
    portfolio['Ref_Proj'] = portfolio['median'].max()
    portfolio['Max_Proj'] = portfolio['Ref_Proj'] + 10
    portfolio['Min_Proj'] = portfolio['Ref_Proj'] - 10
    portfolio['Avg_Ref'] = (portfolio['Max_Proj'] + portfolio['Min_Proj']) / 2
    portfolio['Win%'] = (((portfolio['median'] / portfolio['Avg_Ref']) - (0.1 + ((portfolio['Ref_Proj'] - portfolio['median'])/100))) / (Contest_Size / 1000)) / 10
    max_allowed_win = (1 / Contest_Size) * 5
    portfolio['Win%'] = portfolio['Win%'] / portfolio['Win%'].max() * max_allowed_win
    
    portfolio['Finish_percentile'] = portfolio['Finish_percentile'] + .005 + (.005 * (Contest_Size / 10000))
    portfolio['Finish_percentile'] = portfolio['Finish_percentile'] * percentile_multiplier
    portfolio['Win%'] = portfolio['Win%'] * (1 - portfolio['Finish_percentile'])
    
    portfolio['low_own_count'] = portfolio[own_columns].apply(lambda row: (row < 0.10).sum(), axis=1)
    portfolio['Finish_percentile'] = portfolio.apply(lambda row: row['Finish_percentile'] if row['low_own_count'] <= 0 else row['Finish_percentile'] / row['low_own_count'], axis=1)
    portfolio['Lineup Edge'] = portfolio['Win%'] * ((.5 - portfolio['Finish_percentile']) * (Contest_Size / 2.5))
    portfolio['Lineup Edge'] = portfolio.apply(lambda row: row['Lineup Edge'] / (row['Dupes'] + 1) if row['Dupes'] > 0 else row['Lineup Edge'], axis=1)
    portfolio['Lineup Edge'] = portfolio['Lineup Edge'] - portfolio['Lineup Edge'].mean()
    portfolio = portfolio.drop(columns=dup_count_columns)
    portfolio = portfolio.drop(columns=own_columns)
    portfolio = portfolio.drop(columns=calc_columns)

    return portfolio