James McCool
Refactor ownership calculations in predict_dupes.py: remove redundant ownership columns for CS2, streamlining the duplication prediction logic and enhancing performance in portfolio analysis.
2cde0be
raw
history blame
16.3 kB
import streamlit as st
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import time
from fuzzywuzzy import process
import math
def predict_dupes(portfolio, maps_dict, site_var, type_var, Contest_Size, strength_var, sport_var):
if strength_var == 'Weak':
dupes_multiplier = .75
percentile_multiplier = .90
elif strength_var == 'Average':
dupes_multiplier = 1.00
percentile_multiplier = 1.00
elif strength_var == 'Sharp':
dupes_multiplier = 1.25
percentile_multiplier = 1.10
max_ownership = max(maps_dict['own_map'].values()) / 100
average_ownership = np.mean(list(maps_dict['own_map'].values())) / 100
if site_var == 'Fanduel':
if type_var == 'Showdown':
dup_count_columns = ['CPT_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX1_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX2_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX3_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX4_Own_percent_rank']
own_columns = ['CPT_Own', 'FLEX1_Own', 'FLEX2_Own', 'FLEX3_Own', 'FLEX4_Own']
calc_columns = ['own_product', 'own_average', 'own_sum', 'avg_own_rank', 'dupes_calc', 'low_own_count', 'own_ratio', 'Ref_Proj', 'Max_Proj', 'Min_Proj', 'Avg_Ref', 'own_ratio']
flex_ownerships = pd.concat([
portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map'])
])
flex_rank = flex_ownerships.rank(pct=True)
# Assign ranks back to individual columns using the same rank scale
portfolio['CPT_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,0].map(maps_dict['cpt_own_map']).rank(pct=True)
portfolio['FLEX1_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['FLEX2_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['FLEX3_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['FLEX4_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['CPT_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,0].map(maps_dict['cpt_own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX1_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX2_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX3_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX4_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['own_product'] = (portfolio[own_columns].product(axis=1))
portfolio['own_average'] = (portfolio['Own'].max() * .33) / 100
portfolio['own_sum'] = portfolio[own_columns].sum(axis=1)
portfolio['avg_own_rank'] = portfolio[dup_count_columns].mean(axis=1)
# Calculate dupes formula
portfolio['dupes_calc'] = (portfolio['own_product'] * portfolio['avg_own_rank']) * Contest_Size + ((portfolio['salary'] - (60000 - portfolio['Own'])) / 100) - ((60000 - portfolio['salary']) / 100)
portfolio['dupes_calc'] = portfolio['dupes_calc'] * dupes_multiplier
# Round and handle negative values
portfolio['Dupes'] = np.where(
np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) <= 0,
0,
np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) - 1
)
if type_var == 'Classic':
num_players = len([col for col in portfolio.columns if col not in ['salary', 'median', 'Own']])
dup_count_columns = [f'player_{i}_percent_rank' for i in range(1, num_players + 1)]
own_columns = [f'player_{i}_own' for i in range(1, num_players + 1)]
calc_columns = ['own_product', 'own_average', 'own_sum', 'avg_own_rank', 'dupes_calc', 'low_own_count', 'own_ratio', 'Ref_Proj', 'Max_Proj', 'Min_Proj', 'Avg_Ref', 'own_ratio']
for i in range(1, num_players + 1):
portfolio[f'player_{i}_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,i-1].map(maps_dict['own_percent_rank'])
portfolio[f'player_{i}_own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,i-1].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['own_product'] = (portfolio[own_columns].product(axis=1))
portfolio['own_average'] = (portfolio['Own'].max() * .33) / 100
portfolio['own_sum'] = portfolio[own_columns].sum(axis=1)
portfolio['avg_own_rank'] = portfolio[dup_count_columns].mean(axis=1)
portfolio['dupes_calc'] = (portfolio['own_product'] * portfolio['avg_own_rank']) * Contest_Size + ((portfolio['salary'] - (60000 - portfolio['Own'])) / 100) - ((60000 - portfolio['salary']) / 100)
portfolio['dupes_calc'] = portfolio['dupes_calc'] * dupes_multiplier
# Round and handle negative values
portfolio['Dupes'] = np.where(
np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) <= 0,
0,
np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) - 1
)
elif site_var == 'Draftkings':
if type_var == 'Showdown':
dup_count_columns = ['CPT_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX1_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX2_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX3_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX4_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX5_Own_percent_rank']
own_columns = ['CPT_Own', 'FLEX1_Own', 'FLEX2_Own', 'FLEX3_Own', 'FLEX4_Own', 'FLEX5_Own']
calc_columns = ['own_product', 'own_average', 'own_sum', 'avg_own_rank', 'dupes_calc', 'low_own_count', 'Ref_Proj', 'Max_Proj', 'Min_Proj', 'Avg_Ref', 'own_ratio']
flex_ownerships = pd.concat([
portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
portfolio.iloc[:,5].map(maps_dict['own_map'])
])
flex_rank = flex_ownerships.rank(pct=True)
# Assign ranks back to individual columns using the same rank scale
portfolio['CPT_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,0].map(maps_dict['cpt_own_map']).rank(pct=True)
portfolio['FLEX1_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['FLEX2_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['FLEX3_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['FLEX4_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['FLEX5_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,5].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['CPT_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,0].map(maps_dict['cpt_own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX1_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX2_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX3_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX4_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX5_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,5].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['own_product'] = (portfolio[own_columns].product(axis=1))
portfolio['own_average'] = (portfolio['Own'].max() * .33) / 100
portfolio['own_sum'] = portfolio[own_columns].sum(axis=1)
portfolio['avg_own_rank'] = portfolio[dup_count_columns].mean(axis=1)
# Calculate dupes formula
portfolio['dupes_calc'] = (portfolio['own_product'] * portfolio['avg_own_rank']) * Contest_Size + ((portfolio['salary'] - (50000 - portfolio['Own'])) / 100) - ((50000 - portfolio['salary']) / 100)
portfolio['dupes_calc'] = portfolio['dupes_calc'] * dupes_multiplier
# Round and handle negative values
portfolio['Dupes'] = np.where(
np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) <= 0,
0,
np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) - 1
)
if type_var == 'Classic':
if sport_var == 'CS2':
dup_count_columns = ['CPT_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX1_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX2_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX3_Own_percent_rank', 'FLEX4_Own_percent_rank']
own_columns = ['CPT_Own', 'FLEX1_Own', 'FLEX2_Own', 'FLEX3_Own', 'FLEX4_Own']
calc_columns = ['own_product', 'own_average', 'own_sum', 'avg_own_rank', 'dupes_calc', 'low_own_count', 'Ref_Proj', 'Max_Proj', 'Min_Proj', 'Avg_Ref', 'own_ratio']
flex_ownerships = pd.concat([
portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']),
portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map'])
])
flex_rank = flex_ownerships.rank(pct=True)
# Assign ranks back to individual columns using the same rank scale
portfolio['CPT_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,0].map(maps_dict['cpt_own_map']).rank(pct=True)
portfolio['FLEX1_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['FLEX2_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['FLEX3_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['FLEX4_Own_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']).map(lambda x: flex_rank[flex_ownerships == x].iloc[0])
portfolio['CPT_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,0].map(maps_dict['cpt_own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX1_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,1].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX2_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,2].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX3_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,3].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['FLEX4_Own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,4].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['own_product'] = (portfolio[own_columns].product(axis=1))
portfolio['own_average'] = (portfolio['Own'].max() * .33) / 100
portfolio['own_sum'] = portfolio[own_columns].sum(axis=1)
portfolio['avg_own_rank'] = portfolio[dup_count_columns].mean(axis=1)
# Calculate dupes formula
portfolio['dupes_calc'] = (portfolio['own_product'] * portfolio['avg_own_rank']) * Contest_Size + ((portfolio['salary'] - (50000 - portfolio['Own'])) / 100) - ((50000 - portfolio['salary']) / 100)
portfolio['dupes_calc'] = portfolio['dupes_calc'] * dupes_multiplier
# Round and handle negative values
portfolio['Dupes'] = np.where(
np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) <= 0,
0,
np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) - 1
)
elif sport_var != 'CS2':
num_players = len([col for col in portfolio.columns if col not in ['salary', 'median', 'Own']])
dup_count_columns = [f'player_{i}_percent_rank' for i in range(1, num_players + 1)]
own_columns = [f'player_{i}_own' for i in range(1, num_players + 1)]
calc_columns = ['own_product', 'own_average', 'own_sum', 'avg_own_rank', 'dupes_calc', 'low_own_count', 'Ref_Proj', 'Max_Proj', 'Min_Proj', 'Avg_Ref', 'own_ratio']
for i in range(1, num_players + 1):
portfolio[f'player_{i}_percent_rank'] = portfolio.iloc[:,i-1].map(maps_dict['own_percent_rank'])
portfolio[f'player_{i}_own'] = portfolio.iloc[:,i-1].map(maps_dict['own_map']) / 100
portfolio['own_product'] = (portfolio[own_columns].product(axis=1))
portfolio['own_average'] = (portfolio['Own'].max() * .33) / 100
portfolio['own_sum'] = portfolio[own_columns].sum(axis=1)
portfolio['avg_own_rank'] = portfolio[dup_count_columns].mean(axis=1)
portfolio['dupes_calc'] = (portfolio['own_product'] * portfolio['avg_own_rank']) * Contest_Size + ((portfolio['salary'] - (50000 - portfolio['Own'])) / 100) - ((50000 - portfolio['salary']) / 100)
portfolio['dupes_calc'] = portfolio['dupes_calc'] * dupes_multiplier
# Round and handle negative values
portfolio['Dupes'] = np.where(
np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) <= 0,
0,
np.round(portfolio['dupes_calc'], 0) - 1
)
portfolio['Dupes'] = np.round(portfolio['Dupes'], 0)
portfolio['own_ratio'] = np.where(
portfolio[own_columns].isin([max_ownership]).any(axis=1),
portfolio['own_sum'] / portfolio['own_average'],
(portfolio['own_sum'] - max_ownership) / portfolio['own_average']
)
percentile_cut_scalar = portfolio['median'].max() # Get scalar value
if type_var == 'Classic':
own_ratio_nerf = 2
elif type_var == 'Showdown':
own_ratio_nerf = 1.5
portfolio['Finish_percentile'] = portfolio.apply(
lambda row: .0005 if (row['own_ratio'] - own_ratio_nerf) / ((10 * (row['median'] / percentile_cut_scalar)) / 2) < .0005
else (row['own_ratio'] - own_ratio_nerf) / ((10 * (row['median'] / percentile_cut_scalar)) / 2),
axis=1
)
portfolio['Ref_Proj'] = portfolio['median'].max()
portfolio['Max_Proj'] = portfolio['Ref_Proj'] + 10
portfolio['Min_Proj'] = portfolio['Ref_Proj'] - 10
portfolio['Avg_Ref'] = (portfolio['Max_Proj'] + portfolio['Min_Proj']) / 2
portfolio['Win%'] = (((portfolio['median'] / portfolio['Avg_Ref']) - (0.1 + ((portfolio['Ref_Proj'] - portfolio['median'])/100))) / (Contest_Size / 1000)) / 10
max_allowed_win = (1 / Contest_Size) * 5
portfolio['Win%'] = portfolio['Win%'] / portfolio['Win%'].max() * max_allowed_win
portfolio['Finish_percentile'] = portfolio['Finish_percentile'] + .005 + (.005 * (Contest_Size / 10000))
portfolio['Finish_percentile'] = portfolio['Finish_percentile'] * percentile_multiplier
portfolio['Win%'] = portfolio['Win%'] * (1 - portfolio['Finish_percentile'])
portfolio['low_own_count'] = portfolio[own_columns].apply(lambda row: (row < 0.10).sum(), axis=1)
portfolio['Finish_percentile'] = portfolio.apply(lambda row: row['Finish_percentile'] if row['low_own_count'] <= 0 else row['Finish_percentile'] / row['low_own_count'], axis=1)
portfolio['Lineup Edge'] = portfolio['Win%'] * ((.5 - portfolio['Finish_percentile']) * (Contest_Size / 2.5))
portfolio['Lineup Edge'] = portfolio.apply(lambda row: row['Lineup Edge'] / (row['Dupes'] + 1) if row['Dupes'] > 0 else row['Lineup Edge'], axis=1)
portfolio['Lineup Edge'] = portfolio['Lineup Edge'] - portfolio['Lineup Edge'].mean()
portfolio['Weighted Own'] = (portfolio['Own'] * ((portfolio[own_columns].max(axis=1) - portfolio[own_columns].min(axis=1)) / 100)) * 200
portfolio['Geomean'] = np.power((portfolio[own_columns] * 100).product(axis=1), 1 / len(own_columns))
portfolio = portfolio.drop(columns=dup_count_columns)
portfolio = portfolio.drop(columns=own_columns)
portfolio = portfolio.drop(columns=calc_columns)
return portfolio