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James MacQuillan
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Browse files- healthcheck.txt +114 -0
healthcheck.txt
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Objective
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This file outlines a structured approach to evaluate the financial health of a company using a set of key financial ratios and metrics. The model will analyze these ratios, apply context-specific logic, and derive a health score on a scale from 1 to 10. This score—known as the QuantiNeuron Health Check Score—serves as a snapshot indicator of the company's current financial viability.
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Metrics and Ratios
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1. Liquidity Ratios
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Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities
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Interpretation: A ratio between 1.5 and 3.0 is generally considered healthy. Below 1 indicates potential liquidity issues, while above 3 could signal inefficient capital allocation.
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Quick Ratio = (Current Assets - Inventory) / Current Liabilities
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Interpretation: A ratio above 1 indicates that the company can cover short-term obligations without selling inventory, which implies robust liquidity.
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Logic:
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If Current Ratio < 1 or Quick Ratio < 0.8, mark as “Weak Liquidity.”
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If Current Ratio is between 1.5 and 3, and Quick Ratio > 1, mark as “Healthy Liquidity.”
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2. Profitability Ratios
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Gross Profit Margin = (Revenue - Cost of Goods Sold) / Revenue
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Interpretation: Indicates core profitability before operational expenses. Higher values signal cost efficiency.
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Net Profit Margin = Net Income / Revenue
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Interpretation: Represents final profitability after all expenses. Higher percentages generally indicate a profitable business.
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Return on Assets (ROA) = Net Income / Total Assets
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Interpretation: Shows how effectively assets generate profit, with values over 5% considered healthy.
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Logic:
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High margins and ROA (>5%) indicate strong profitability, labeled as “Strong Profitability.”
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If either margin is consistently low (<5%) over recent periods, flag as “Profitability Concern.”
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3. Leverage Ratios
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Debt-to-Equity Ratio = Total Debt / Total Equity
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Interpretation: A ratio below 2 is typically favorable, as it indicates less reliance on debt.
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Interest Coverage Ratio = Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) / Interest Expense
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Interpretation: Values above 3 suggest that the company can comfortably pay its interest expenses.
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Logic:
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If Debt-to-Equity < 2 and Interest Coverage > 3, label as “Low Financial Risk.”
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If Debt-to-Equity > 3 or Interest Coverage < 1.5, flag as “High Financial Risk.”
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4. Efficiency Ratios
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Asset Turnover Ratio = Revenue / Total Assets
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Interpretation: High values indicate efficient asset utilization.
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Inventory Turnover Ratio = Cost of Goods Sold / Average Inventory
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Interpretation: High turnover rates indicate efficient inventory management.
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Logic:
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If Asset Turnover is above industry average and Inventory Turnover shows strong movement, mark as “Efficient Operations.”
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Low turnover rates suggest operational inefficiencies, flagged as “Operational Concern.”
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5. Growth Ratios
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Revenue Growth Rate (year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter)
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Interpretation: Positive, sustainable growth indicates business expansion.
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Earnings Per Share (EPS) Growth = (EPS in current period - EPS in prior period) / EPS in prior period
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Interpretation: Consistent positive EPS growth implies profitability and investor confidence.
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Logic:
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Strong growth in Revenue and EPS indicates “Positive Growth,” while negative trends raise “Growth Concerns.”
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Scoring Logic: QuantiNeuron Health Check Score
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To derive a QuantiNeuron Health Check Score (1-10), assign weighted values to each category based on their contribution to financial health. This score is a weighted aggregate that emphasizes profitability and liquidity, followed by leverage, efficiency, and growth.
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Step 1: Assign Ratings (1-5) for Each Metric
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Based on each metric’s analysis, assign scores:
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5 = Very Strong
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4 = Strong
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3 = Average
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2 = Weak
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1 = Very Weak
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Step 2: Weighted Category Score Calculation
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Weight each category:
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Profitability: 25%
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Liquidity: 20%
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Leverage: 20%
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Efficiency: 15%
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Growth: 20%
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Calculate weighted scores for each category:
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Category Score
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=
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(Category Rating)
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×
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Weight
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Category Score=(Category Rating)×Weight
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Step 3: Aggregate for Final Score
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Sum up the weighted scores to derive a total score out of 10.
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Step 4: Determine Health Check Tier
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Score 9-10: “Excellent Health” (Low risk, high profitability)
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Score 7-8: “Good Health” (Generally strong but minor areas to improve)
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Score 5-6: “Moderate Health” (Mixed performance; moderate risk)
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Score 3-4: “Poor Health” (Significant concerns in multiple areas)
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Score 1-2: “Critical Health” (Severe financial distress)
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Example Walkthrough
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If the model processes a company and finds:
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Liquidity metrics in the healthy range,
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Profitability metrics above average,
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High leverage ratios,
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Efficient operations,
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Moderate growth,
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The model might assign:
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Liquidity = 4.5, Profitability = 4.8, Leverage = 2.0, Efficiency = 4.2, Growth = 3.5
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Calculating:
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Liquidity Score = 4.5 * 0.2 = 0.9
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Profitability Score = 4.8 * 0.25 = 1.2
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Leverage Score = 2.0 * 0.2 = 0.4
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Efficiency Score = 4.2 * 0.15 = 0.63
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Growth Score = 3.5 * 0.2 = 0.7
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Total Health Check Score = 0.9 + 1.2 + 0.4 + 0.63 + 0.7 = 3.83
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Output
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The model will return:
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A QuantiNeuron Health Check Score on a 1-10 scale.
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A Health Summary, outlining strengths and weaknesses based on metrics.
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A Recommendation statement, if necessary, for areas needing attention.
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