euler314 commited on
Commit
65427ef
·
verified ·
1 Parent(s): e3bd69b

Update app.py

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Files changed (1) hide show
  1. app.py +18 -16
app.py CHANGED
@@ -976,22 +976,24 @@ def generate_genesis_prediction_monthly(month, oni_value, year=2025):
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  genesis_gpi = gpi_field[max_i, max_j]
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  # Determine probability of actual genesis
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- # Probability influenced by ONI to mimic El Niño/La Niña effects
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- genesis_prob = np.clip(0.3 + genesis_gpi / 4.0 + 0.2 * np.tanh(oni_value), 0, 0.9)
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-
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- if np.random.random() < genesis_prob:
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- event = {
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- 'day': day,
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- 'lat': genesis_lat,
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- 'lon': genesis_lon,
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- 'gpi': genesis_gpi,
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- 'probability': genesis_prob,
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- 'date': f"{year}-{month:02d}-{day:02d}"
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- }
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- logging.info(
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- f"Genesis on day {day}: lat={genesis_lat:.1f} lon={genesis_lon:.1f} GPI={genesis_gpi:.2f} prob={genesis_prob:.2f}"
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- )
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- genesis_events.append(event)
 
 
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  # Generate storm tracks for genesis events
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  storm_predictions = []
 
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  genesis_gpi = gpi_field[max_i, max_j]
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  # Determine probability of actual genesis
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+ # Probability influenced by ONI to mimic El Niño/La Niña effects
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+ genesis_prob = np.clip(
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+ 0.3 + genesis_gpi / 4.0 + 0.2 * np.tanh(oni_value), 0, 0.9
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+ )
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+
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+ if np.random.random() < genesis_prob:
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+ event = {
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+ 'day': day,
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+ 'lat': genesis_lat,
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+ 'lon': genesis_lon,
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+ 'gpi': genesis_gpi,
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+ 'probability': genesis_prob,
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+ 'date': f"{year}-{month:02d}-{day:02d}"
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+ }
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+ logging.info(
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+ f"Genesis on day {day}: lat={genesis_lat:.1f} lon={genesis_lon:.1f} GPI={genesis_gpi:.2f} prob={genesis_prob:.2f}"
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+ )
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+ genesis_events.append(event)
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  # Generate storm tracks for genesis events
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  storm_predictions = []