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/2023.01.23
/Stocks, euro gain amid divergent Fed, ECB rate hike outlooks.txt
*Graphic: Global asset performance http://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn*Graphic: World FX rates http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVhNEW YORK/LONDON, Jan 23 (Reuters) - Global equity | |
markets edged higher on Monday as hopes of a less aggressive | |
Federal Reserve buoyed investor sentiment, while the euro hit a | |
nine-month peak against the dollar on the rising likelihood of | |
more jumbo interest rate hikes in Europe.The start of another big week for U.S. corporate earnings is | |
expected to test a recent bounce in beaten-down technology and | |
growth stocks as speculation grows that the Fed on Feb. 1 will | |
only raise its key rate by 25 basis points.European shares edged up 0.41% as declining natural | |
gas prices have eased recession fears in the euro zone, despite | |
expectations the European Central Bank will hike rates by 50 | |
basis points on Feb. 2 and in March, a Reuters poll shows.The euro shot to $1.0927 as it climbs from a | |
two-decade low of $0.953 in September, but the single currency | |
later pared gains against the dollar to $1.0867."The combination of a risk-off mood in the stock market and | |
the divergence between the Fed and ECB allowed the euro to make | |
new highs above 109," said Marc Chandler, chief market | |
strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex in New York.Gains in chipmakers boosted the technology sector, which has | |
been hit by recession concerns amid high interest rates, leading | |
Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet | |
Inc to lay off thousands of employees.Investors are anxious to hear from corporate executives | |
about their economic outlook in a week in which Microsoft posts | |
results on Tuesday, Tesla Inc and IBM on | |
Wednesday and Intel on Thursday.Analysts expect year-over-year fourth-quarter earnings from | |
S&P 500 companies to decline 2.9%, according to IBES Refinitiv | |
data, compared with a 1.6% decline at the beginning of the year.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.72%, the S&P | |
500 gained 0.99% and the Nasdaq Composite added | |
1.55%, pushing ahead from gains last Friday, its best session | |
since late November.Trading was thin in Asia, as markets in China, Hong Kong, | |
Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea and Taiwan were closed for the | |
Lunar New Year holiday.MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe | |
gained 0.82%.Money markets are pricing in a 97.8% chance that the Fed | |
will raise rates by 25 basis points next month, and have lowered | |
the likely peak rate to 4.906% in June, below Fed projections of | |
its target rate staying above 5% into next year.."The market’s still quite buoyant at the moment," said Peter | |
Chatwell, head of global macro strategies trading at Mizuho, who | |
said markets were being driven by the idea that U.S. inflation | |
has peaked.Investors are waiting for euro zone and U.S. flash PMI data | |
on Tuesday, which are expected to show less severe economic | |
contractions than the previous month, according to analysts | |
polled by Reuters. The data is forecast to show more improvement | |
in Europe than in the United States.Sterling traded at $1.2368, down 0.20%, while the | |
Australian dollar, seen as a proxy for risk appetite, rose 0.56% | |
to $0.7005. The Japanese yen weakened 0.70% at 130.49 per | |
dollar.Treasury yields crept up to further erode a recent bond | |
rally that some investors say was overdone in reflecting fears | |
that the U.S. economy may soon enter a recession.The yield on 10-year Treasury notes rose 2.4 | |
basis points to 3.508%.Euro zone bonds were little changed, with the benchmark | |
10-year German yield at 2.191%.Crude prices rose to extend last week's gains on the back of | |
a stronger outlook thanks to an expected economic recovery in | |
top oil importer China this year.U.S. crude recently rose 0.34% to $81.92 per barrel | |
and Brent was at $88.43, up 0.91% on the day.(Reporting by Herbert Lash, additional reporting by Elizabeth | |
Howcroft in London, Editing by Christina Fincher, Chizu Nomiyama | |
and Sharon Singleton) |