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Seems weird, like I remember in Somalia they would do it obscure helo and sats but it was all over the city. This just kinda signals, yes this is ZNPP
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2024-11-08
Exactly. They saw an opportunity to move the battlefield into Russia instead of Ukraine. Now Russia is forced to fight for every square meter of its own territory, while Ukrainians can choose the most advantageous defense lines. They can execute tactical retreats in future to deplete Russian forces without suffering a morale hit from ceding territory. Simultaneously, Russia must divert a lot of forces from Ukraine, weakening their position there and creating new opportunities for Ukraine.
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2024-11-08
My guess is that it is a deliberate distraction to stop people focusing too much on the incursion.
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2024-11-08
Very basic fortifications. Just a thin line on the Russian border. Russia was relying on Ukraine not invading Russia. They had barely any defenses along the border there.
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2024-11-08
I'm still waiting to see if this was just a successful raid or Ukraine will put big numbers there. This could be a big move to go towards Rylsk from another direction.
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2024-11-08
No one cares about Prigozhin. You can look this convo up again when Putin gets shanked and this whole war suddenly ends.
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2024-11-08
The "dragon teeth" made by Russia are reported to be extremely shit in quality. We probably wont know whats happening for a few weeks, Ukraine has a general gag order on social media apart from some trolling, and Russian troops are in total chaos right now. We can only watch vids from civilians and even those filming get punished by Russian forces for revealing troop movements.
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2024-11-08
Yeap just haven’t come across any visual confirmation yet.
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2024-11-08
What threat is so severe that it requires 600000 casualties, yet you don't have to defend the border? The west needs to look at this "riddle" and give our heads a shake. German lawmakers who hold back Taurus, US State Department officials who put rules on using HIMARS, etc., have to realize they are defending Putin. That's his strategy.
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2024-11-08
Partially true, but pukin is a glue to hold many broken parts together, this is literally his internal mediation role for decades. Without him and his jerk circle - this parts will break apart immediately, imho And anyone after pukin will not posses same resources as pukin now. Pukin already ruined alot of his own power with arguably bad decisions and military tops jailing. So such change will certainly have a lot of positive momentum in it
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2024-11-08
The offensive certainly nullified all the previous limits on the usage of US weapons. I am sure that Pentagon knew the plan all along.
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2024-11-08
Permanently capturing territory was likely not what the plan was. If you go over the trail of events it started as an ambitious raid, that kept succeeding and had more and more resources given to it. The idea is likely to cause as much destruction as far into the Russian homeland as possible and then leave, forcing Russia to waste a stupid amount of men and resources fortifying a border it had otherwise mostly left alone. Which is going to have a domino effect all along the rest of the lines. That's not to say Ukraine won't stay if Russia goes full stupid, but Ukraine digging in at all cost is likely not in the cards.
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2024-11-08
Barebones minefields are very easy to build. Even remotely with 155mm shells, which Ukraine has used extensively already. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volcano_mine_system https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Remote_Anti-Armor_Mine_System https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Area_denial_artillery_munition
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2024-11-08
Probably, but I'd wager if there's one place they'd make sure has functioning equipment, it's Moscow. Especially after being caught with their pants down by Prigo.
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2024-11-08
You make the same mistake most redditors make in thinking Russia just thinks and behaves like the caricature in our minds. Putin doesn't give a shit about civilian damage or lost lives and the people fleeing to Moscow can't really protest or they'd be hauled off to jail. Russia will eventually wear Ukraine down with wave after wave of canon fodder, and then steadily gain back the territory. There's an eventual cost to all this for Russian society but Putin's gambit is that he'll win before the bill comes due.
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2024-11-08
Russians cannot afford destroying it. Kursk NPP is one of the four biggest power plants in whole Russia. Losing it would be disastrous for several surrounding it regions.
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2024-11-08
The fire is in the zaporizhia power plant not Kursk.
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2024-11-08
> Russian occupational authorities says the cooling unit of Zaporizhzhia NPP was damaged > Meanwhile Russian Foreign Ministry is fast to false report that Zaporizhzhia NPP was attacked by a drone https://x.com/Liveuamap/status/1822717541824745660 > In a clear escalation step Russia is attempting to blackmail the world with nuclear disaster
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2024-11-08
Thats not really true. Strongmen create a cult of personality around themselves and when they leave - that collapses. He won't be 'replaced' if he suddenly exits and the power vacuum created would take time to fill.
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2024-11-08
> Only Ukrainian control over the Zaporizhzhia NPP can guarantee a return to normalcy and complete safety. even if ukraine takes the ZPP back would it be worth it? id imagine you would have to go over every square cm of that place with a fine tooth comb, before you even think of turning it on, and then probably get another agency to do it again.
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2024-11-08
Just so you know, all of the reactors at the Zaporizhzhia NPP have been in a completely cold shutdown state since April.
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2024-11-08
Why???? Why are they so stupid and evil? Hopefully this doesn’t cause damage.
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2024-11-08
To fake damage. They’ll say Ukraine is recklessly attacking the power plant in an attempt to manipulate international pressure against Ukraine.
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2024-11-08
yep. > Just to be clear: the only way there can be any disaster at the otherwise very secure (and offline) Zaporizhzhia NPP is if Russians, who currently control it, have planted a shit ton of explosives in its reactor core and will intentionally blow it up. https://x.com/krides/status/1822721957936107612
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2024-11-08
Setting car tires on fire in ZNPP is such a blatant false flag operation. The bots are all on it.
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2024-11-08
Fukushima was considerably hotter when the roof blew off. But yes, some cooling is necessary
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2024-11-08
Conscripts are already trying to hold back Ukraine. They are the ones stationed in Russia. The deal was supposed to be that they would not have to fight in this special operation. You can imagine that they are ill prepared and unhappy to be sent into battle. 
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2024-11-08
Holding the territory would fundamentally change the conflict in Ukraine's favor. Putin could no longer realistically play for a frozen conflict along existing lines. The whole Russian nonsense argument of negotiation that takes into account "realities on the ground" now goes out the window. Not to mention they have something to trade back for their own land.
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2024-11-08
Russians do not lack explosives, that's for sure. I also would not put it past them to actually blow it up as a way to disrupt the offensive into Russia.
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2024-11-08
He can simply appoint five his successors and let his people elect them on the most transparent and democratic elections ever in Belarus.
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2024-11-08
Yeah real life isn’t a puzzle game like that. There are more complex doctrines that prevent you from using such weapons
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2024-11-08
Of course it would be worth it.
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2024-11-08
Geneva is a luxury you can't afford when defending against genocide from a far larger enemy that uses the convention as toilet paper. But your source didn't even describe what I suggested. Infiltration as civilian, then sabotage in uniform is standard war practice.
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2024-11-08
Blowing it up wouldn't really disrupt the offensive. If anything they lose their blackmail chip and the gloves of NATO may come off.
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2024-11-08
Right now I see this as more of a blackmail threat to Ukraine due to the offensive in Kursk. 
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2024-11-08
Russians are about to gives us Chernobyl 2 before we get GTA 6
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2024-11-08
What did I miss????
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2024-11-08
New crowdfund #186 @ Euromaidan Press : https://euromaidanpress.com/lets-support-ukraine/ It's for 55th Artillery Brigade. Not sure if that is East or Kursk front. Regardless, check it out.
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2024-11-08
The frontline got close enough to them.
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2024-11-08
The plant has been shut down after russians took control of it and it's still inactive apparently. It's impossible for them to blow it up and blame Ukraine and risking dragging other countries into the war it's probably too stupid even for them... probably.
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2024-11-08
Don't need nuclear fear mongering. Go away.
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2024-11-08
It would if the NPP was actually running but it's in a shutdown state right now. Still needs *some* cooling but not multiple cooling towers worth of heat dissipation.
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2024-11-08
The rods have been cooled down since April, nothing to worry about
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2024-11-08
What air force? They can't get over the areas Ukraine operates in, because Ukraine has decent air defence including mobile stuff that can target anything Russia operates.
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2024-11-08
Only for a future settlement. Nobody in their right mind would want to govern Russians.
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2024-12-08
The amount of Russian people in r/askarussian who outright deny crystal clear evidence and the truth is both astounding and exactly par for the course.
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2024-12-08
Yes, sure, i am certain there is a good calculated reason why Ukraine did that, shifting the focus of Russian military planning, and cause slight panic was probably one of them. What i don't believe though, is that part of the plan was turning the civilians from Kurks region on Ukranian side or even anti-Putin side
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2024-12-08
It's even more than that because now Russia and Ukraine are forced to defend the same size area. Previously Ukraine had to keep forces all along the border because Russia could feasibly launch a new invasion axis from anywhere. Now Russia also has to respect that.
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2024-12-08
Yep. They'll hate them. Until they leave and the Russian military comes in. Then it's going to get really bad for them. Russian military is not going to take this land back without a similar level of shelling and destruction they do in Ukraine. It's the only way they know how to fight. The soldiers are going to treat these civilians just as bad when they take control back.
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2024-12-08
Different power plant.
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2024-12-08
"We have to go deeper!" [Loud Booming Noise]
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2024-12-08
It's because Reddit did what Reddit does and overdosed on the hopeium. Ask the analysts are saying that it's not realistic Ukraine takes large swaths of land. Russia as incompetent and idiotic as they are will respond and halt Ukraine's progress. Reddit thought this was going to continue for another week, but it seems to have slowed down or stopped. Reddit can't handle this and turned doomer. They did the same thing when the spring offensive didn't go as planned.
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2024-12-08
Is this comment about UA or RU? 
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2024-12-08
Not really, it's a couple thousand men.
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2024-12-08
They are still losing ground in the east
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2024-12-08
Russia.. 14.1 km2 of fields. Ukraine 100km2(500+ total) of Russian cities and towns. Grim isn't exactly the word I would use here.
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2024-12-08
New ISW just dropped
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2024-12-08
Russia should never be allowed back in the Olympics proper again. There's a ton of evidence of their state-sponsered doping programs. Apparently, this time there were about 15 Russians who competed as "neutrals" but they only won a single medal, a silver in women's tennis doubles.
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2024-12-08
Yeah, tests conducted showed it could barely pen a T-55 in a practical attack scenario. Against a T-72, T-80 or T-90 with ERA? Forget it. It's really good against soft targets and light armor and that's about it. But so are JDAMs and cluster.
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2024-12-08
Napoleon took Moscow and Russia still survived and ultimately won the war. In WW2 the Germans were close to capturing Moscow, but it's very likely that the USSR would have continued the fight anyway. And that's not exclusive to Russia. The Franco-Prussian war didn't end, when the Germans besieged and ultimately took Paris. But that isn't really my point. Why would Putin/Russia commit suicide by nuclear escalation, if they can just make a white peace with Ukraine instead? If Germany had that option in WW1, they would have gladly accepted. They literally begged for a peace that restored the pre war status throughout the last two years of the war. Russia is in a very comfortable position, that they can just end their war of conquest at any point, without unconditional surrender and their country getting crippled in retaliation.
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2024-12-08
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2024-11-08
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2024-11-08
At the peak [Russians were firing around 60,000 artillery rounds **a day**](https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-fires-7k-rounds-a-day-russia-fired-60k-early-in-2023-report-2023-9?amp). They are still estimated to be firing around [10,000 rounds](https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/03/10/politics/russia-artillery-shell-production-us-europe-ukraine) per day, so definitely dropped off, but still a shitload. Obviously that’s across the whole frontline. So it would seem that 700 glide bombs are definitely “nothing”. However, the difference in explosive impact is massive. Artillery rounds usually pack no more than 10kg (22 pounds) of explosive. Glide bombs, on the other hand, can pack anywhere from 200kg (440 pounds) to 1.5 **tons** of ordinance (more than 3,300 pounds). So when they hit, they make a **massive** dent. So destroying 700 of them definitely makes a difference for the Ukrainians.
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2024-11-08
If these are the old bombs they use to convert to glide bombs, the cost is nothing. But it's still bombs that can't be used to kill Ukrainians.
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2024-11-08
[All South Park kids laugh]
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2024-11-08
Unless they got on a plane to anywhere else, recently, or 3 years ago. Thailand, Philippines Vietnam and even Sri Lanka (where they just got tossed out for over staying tourist visas and trying to set up a white only area in the southern part of the island).
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2024-11-08
Most of Russias planes are also probably near, at or beyond their intended lifespan as well. Some of these airframes are models that haven’t been built since the Soviet Union was a thing. Russia actively doesn’t want to use the new planes with so much American AA and radars all over the place.
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2024-11-08
linked edit
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2024-11-08
linked edit
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2024-11-08
wonder how many bots will be taken off the internet if they manage to take over the power plant
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2024-11-08
I wonder if any of them can connect the dots and realise they instigated everything, or whether they genuinely feel like victims.
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2024-11-08
One of the primary reasons why Putin has retained a lot of support over the years is because of his promise to the Russian people that international politics will not affect their daily lives.
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2024-11-08
Thanks. That's wild. Looking at the other 3 it's like Hitlers last days in the Bunker when they're getting told everyone is advancing on Germany.
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2024-11-08
Every minute the spin doctors spend on homeward propaganda is one they can't spend on outbound.
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2024-11-08
By themselves a small, but substantial factor, but if Ukraine can neutralize or force back the SAM net within Russia... ho boi.
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2024-11-08
It’s the turning point baby. Trump is already on the way to ruin and so is by association his Russian allies
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2024-11-08
Was that the F-16 handiwork?
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2024-11-08
Hopefully in Moscow.
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2024-11-08
Sure, but the mob will not be the ones to rectify this, if he fails the people.
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2024-11-08
This. 700 glide bombs lost is massive
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2024-11-08
Not with that attitude, anyway.
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2024-11-08
I simplified it, with "mob", I meant pretty much everyone in the country, especially those with power, yes.
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2024-11-08
Based on subsequent comments, I think you guys are confusing the two common uses of the word mob. One of you is talking about organized crime, and the other is talking about the populace.
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2024-11-08
They never ask why people in Dagestan or Chechnya are mad at them, I wouldn't expect much introspection this time.
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2024-11-08
where on reddit do the trolls conglomerate now? I used to have so much fun on askarussian and russia
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2024-11-08
They live in constant fear of being turned in by their neighbors for saying anything negative about the “special operation” so it’s hard for them to even discuss the topic.
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2024-11-08
If this is a dream I don't want to wake up
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2024-11-08
And the young St Petersburg guys that sign up for reserve service and police units to escape death on the front lines now must contend with the idea that they'll face combat —and death— anyway. They're no longer hiding behind the ethnics.
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2024-11-08
I wonder how many civilians have been killed with those 15000 JDAMs this year
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2024-11-08
Flames, flames, on the side of my face.
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2024-11-08
What about that time it was a... no wait, it was a Paul then too.
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2024-11-08
I know you mean Prigozin but auto correcting to pringles is hilarious. If he were still alive I think we should be referring to him that way.
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2024-11-08
“Second best military in Russia” is pretty great.
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2024-11-08
The jets fell out of a nearby window
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2024-11-08
Just like that, imagine if all the resources being used to create weapons and destroying them was put into curing homelessness.
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2024-11-08
Comparing dumb artillery round counts to glide bomb counts doesnt make any sense. Dumb bombs and artillery russia has a metric shitton of, though not as much as they did before. The glide bomb kits however is something they only really developed during the war, so it is all new production. Im not sure if we have good numbers of these production rates, but i remember reading somewhere on reddit that these 700 would be about 1/3 monthly production. Wipes out glide bomb availability on this part of the front for probably a few weeks or a month
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2024-11-08
I don't think dealing with homelessness is Ukraine's first priority.
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2024-11-08
Ukrainians are defending their cities and their troops are stationed in civilian buildings. They're fighting block-by-block. Have you seen pictures of Ukrainian cities after they switch hands? Everything is obliterated.
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2024-11-08
This actually means Russia's Special Denazification Operation might end up working out.  They invaded a democratic country led by a man of Jewish descent to depose a Nazi regime and people claim it couldn't be done, but look! If Ukrainians keep advancing, a Nazi regime might just end up getting deposed!
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2024-11-08
No. Russians are just one step above North Koreans in terms of brain wash.
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2024-11-08