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, n) is the probability of the random variable X taking the value xi i e , P(X = xi) = pi © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 561 �Note If xi is one of the possible values of a random variable X, the statement X = xi is true only at some point (s) of the sample space Hence, the probability that X takes value xi is always nonzero, i
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7319-7322
e , P(X = xi) = pi © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 561 �Note If xi is one of the possible values of a random variable X, the statement X = xi is true only at some point (s) of the sample space Hence, the probability that X takes value xi is always nonzero, i e
1
7320-7323
, P(X = xi) = pi © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 561 �Note If xi is one of the possible values of a random variable X, the statement X = xi is true only at some point (s) of the sample space Hence, the probability that X takes value xi is always nonzero, i e P(X = xi) ≠ 0
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7321-7324
Hence, the probability that X takes value xi is always nonzero, i e P(X = xi) ≠ 0 Also for all possible values of the random variable X, all elements of the sample space are covered
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7322-7325
e P(X = xi) ≠ 0 Also for all possible values of the random variable X, all elements of the sample space are covered Hence, the sum of all the probabilities in a probability distribution must be one
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7323-7326
P(X = xi) ≠ 0 Also for all possible values of the random variable X, all elements of the sample space are covered Hence, the sum of all the probabilities in a probability distribution must be one Example 24 Two cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards
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7324-7327
Also for all possible values of the random variable X, all elements of the sample space are covered Hence, the sum of all the probabilities in a probability distribution must be one Example 24 Two cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards Find the probability distribution of the number of aces
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7325-7328
Hence, the sum of all the probabilities in a probability distribution must be one Example 24 Two cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards Find the probability distribution of the number of aces Solution The number of aces is a random variable
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7326-7329
Example 24 Two cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards Find the probability distribution of the number of aces Solution The number of aces is a random variable Let it be denoted by X
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7327-7330
Find the probability distribution of the number of aces Solution The number of aces is a random variable Let it be denoted by X Clearly, X can take the values 0, 1, or 2
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7328-7331
Solution The number of aces is a random variable Let it be denoted by X Clearly, X can take the values 0, 1, or 2 Now, since the draws are done with replacement, therefore, the two draws form independent experiments
1
7329-7332
Let it be denoted by X Clearly, X can take the values 0, 1, or 2 Now, since the draws are done with replacement, therefore, the two draws form independent experiments Therefore, P(X = 0) = P(non-ace and non-ace) = P(non-ace) × P(non-ace) = 48 48 144 52 52 169 × = P(X = 1) = P(ace and non-ace or non-ace and ace) = P(ace and non-ace) + P(non-ace and ace) = P(ace)
1
7330-7333
Clearly, X can take the values 0, 1, or 2 Now, since the draws are done with replacement, therefore, the two draws form independent experiments Therefore, P(X = 0) = P(non-ace and non-ace) = P(non-ace) × P(non-ace) = 48 48 144 52 52 169 × = P(X = 1) = P(ace and non-ace or non-ace and ace) = P(ace and non-ace) + P(non-ace and ace) = P(ace) P(non-ace) + P (non-ace)
1
7331-7334
Now, since the draws are done with replacement, therefore, the two draws form independent experiments Therefore, P(X = 0) = P(non-ace and non-ace) = P(non-ace) × P(non-ace) = 48 48 144 52 52 169 × = P(X = 1) = P(ace and non-ace or non-ace and ace) = P(ace and non-ace) + P(non-ace and ace) = P(ace) P(non-ace) + P (non-ace) P(ace) = 4 48 48 4 24 52 52 52 52 169 × + × = and P(X = 2) = P (ace and ace) = 4 4 1 52 52 169 Thus, the required probability distribution is X 0 1 2 P(X) 144 169 24 169 1 169 Example 25 Find the probability distribution of number of doublets in three throws of a pair of dice
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7332-7335
Therefore, P(X = 0) = P(non-ace and non-ace) = P(non-ace) × P(non-ace) = 48 48 144 52 52 169 × = P(X = 1) = P(ace and non-ace or non-ace and ace) = P(ace and non-ace) + P(non-ace and ace) = P(ace) P(non-ace) + P (non-ace) P(ace) = 4 48 48 4 24 52 52 52 52 169 × + × = and P(X = 2) = P (ace and ace) = 4 4 1 52 52 169 Thus, the required probability distribution is X 0 1 2 P(X) 144 169 24 169 1 169 Example 25 Find the probability distribution of number of doublets in three throws of a pair of dice © NCERT not to be republished 562 MATHEMATICS Solution Let X denote the number of doublets
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7333-7336
P(non-ace) + P (non-ace) P(ace) = 4 48 48 4 24 52 52 52 52 169 × + × = and P(X = 2) = P (ace and ace) = 4 4 1 52 52 169 Thus, the required probability distribution is X 0 1 2 P(X) 144 169 24 169 1 169 Example 25 Find the probability distribution of number of doublets in three throws of a pair of dice © NCERT not to be republished 562 MATHEMATICS Solution Let X denote the number of doublets Possible doublets are (1,1) , (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), (6,6) Clearly, X can take the value 0, 1, 2, or 3
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7334-7337
P(ace) = 4 48 48 4 24 52 52 52 52 169 × + × = and P(X = 2) = P (ace and ace) = 4 4 1 52 52 169 Thus, the required probability distribution is X 0 1 2 P(X) 144 169 24 169 1 169 Example 25 Find the probability distribution of number of doublets in three throws of a pair of dice © NCERT not to be republished 562 MATHEMATICS Solution Let X denote the number of doublets Possible doublets are (1,1) , (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), (6,6) Clearly, X can take the value 0, 1, 2, or 3 Probability of getting a doublet 6 1 36 6 Probability of not getting a doublet 1 5 1 6 6 Now P(X = 0) = P (no doublet) = 5 5 5 125 6 6 6 216 P(X = 1) = P (one doublet and two non-doublets) = 1 5 5 5 1 5 5 5 1 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 = 2 2 1 5 75 3 6 216 6 P(X = 2) = P (two doublets and one non-doublet) = 2 1 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 1 1 5 15 3 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 216 6 and P(X = 3) = P (three doublets) = 1 1 1 1 6 6 6 216 Thus, the required probability distribution is X 0 1 2 3 P(X) 125 216 75 216 15 216 1 216 Verification Sum of the probabilities 1 n i i p =∑ = 125 75 15 1 216 216 216 216 = 125 75 15 1 216 1 216 216 © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 563 Example 26 Let X denote the number of hours you study during a randomly selected school day
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7335-7338
© NCERT not to be republished 562 MATHEMATICS Solution Let X denote the number of doublets Possible doublets are (1,1) , (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), (6,6) Clearly, X can take the value 0, 1, 2, or 3 Probability of getting a doublet 6 1 36 6 Probability of not getting a doublet 1 5 1 6 6 Now P(X = 0) = P (no doublet) = 5 5 5 125 6 6 6 216 P(X = 1) = P (one doublet and two non-doublets) = 1 5 5 5 1 5 5 5 1 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 = 2 2 1 5 75 3 6 216 6 P(X = 2) = P (two doublets and one non-doublet) = 2 1 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 1 1 5 15 3 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 216 6 and P(X = 3) = P (three doublets) = 1 1 1 1 6 6 6 216 Thus, the required probability distribution is X 0 1 2 3 P(X) 125 216 75 216 15 216 1 216 Verification Sum of the probabilities 1 n i i p =∑ = 125 75 15 1 216 216 216 216 = 125 75 15 1 216 1 216 216 © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 563 Example 26 Let X denote the number of hours you study during a randomly selected school day The probability that X can take the values x, has the following form, where k is some unknown constant
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7336-7339
Possible doublets are (1,1) , (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), (6,6) Clearly, X can take the value 0, 1, 2, or 3 Probability of getting a doublet 6 1 36 6 Probability of not getting a doublet 1 5 1 6 6 Now P(X = 0) = P (no doublet) = 5 5 5 125 6 6 6 216 P(X = 1) = P (one doublet and two non-doublets) = 1 5 5 5 1 5 5 5 1 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 = 2 2 1 5 75 3 6 216 6 P(X = 2) = P (two doublets and one non-doublet) = 2 1 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 1 1 5 15 3 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 216 6 and P(X = 3) = P (three doublets) = 1 1 1 1 6 6 6 216 Thus, the required probability distribution is X 0 1 2 3 P(X) 125 216 75 216 15 216 1 216 Verification Sum of the probabilities 1 n i i p =∑ = 125 75 15 1 216 216 216 216 = 125 75 15 1 216 1 216 216 © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 563 Example 26 Let X denote the number of hours you study during a randomly selected school day The probability that X can take the values x, has the following form, where k is some unknown constant P(X = x) = 0
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7337-7340
Probability of getting a doublet 6 1 36 6 Probability of not getting a doublet 1 5 1 6 6 Now P(X = 0) = P (no doublet) = 5 5 5 125 6 6 6 216 P(X = 1) = P (one doublet and two non-doublets) = 1 5 5 5 1 5 5 5 1 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 = 2 2 1 5 75 3 6 216 6 P(X = 2) = P (two doublets and one non-doublet) = 2 1 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 1 1 5 15 3 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 216 6 and P(X = 3) = P (three doublets) = 1 1 1 1 6 6 6 216 Thus, the required probability distribution is X 0 1 2 3 P(X) 125 216 75 216 15 216 1 216 Verification Sum of the probabilities 1 n i i p =∑ = 125 75 15 1 216 216 216 216 = 125 75 15 1 216 1 216 216 © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 563 Example 26 Let X denote the number of hours you study during a randomly selected school day The probability that X can take the values x, has the following form, where k is some unknown constant P(X = x) = 0 1, if 0 , if 1or2 (5 ), if 3or4 0, otherwise = ⎪⎧ = ⎪⎨ − = ⎪ ⎪⎩ x kx x k x x (a) Find the value of k
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7338-7341
The probability that X can take the values x, has the following form, where k is some unknown constant P(X = x) = 0 1, if 0 , if 1or2 (5 ), if 3or4 0, otherwise = ⎪⎧ = ⎪⎨ − = ⎪ ⎪⎩ x kx x k x x (a) Find the value of k (b) What is the probability that you study at least two hours
1
7339-7342
P(X = x) = 0 1, if 0 , if 1or2 (5 ), if 3or4 0, otherwise = ⎪⎧ = ⎪⎨ − = ⎪ ⎪⎩ x kx x k x x (a) Find the value of k (b) What is the probability that you study at least two hours Exactly two hours
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7340-7343
1, if 0 , if 1or2 (5 ), if 3or4 0, otherwise = ⎪⎧ = ⎪⎨ − = ⎪ ⎪⎩ x kx x k x x (a) Find the value of k (b) What is the probability that you study at least two hours Exactly two hours At most two hours
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7341-7344
(b) What is the probability that you study at least two hours Exactly two hours At most two hours Solution The probability distribution of X is X 0 1 2 3 4 P(X) 0
1
7342-7345
Exactly two hours At most two hours Solution The probability distribution of X is X 0 1 2 3 4 P(X) 0 1 k 2k 2k k (a) We know that 1 n i i p =∑ = 1 Therefore 0
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7343-7346
At most two hours Solution The probability distribution of X is X 0 1 2 3 4 P(X) 0 1 k 2k 2k k (a) We know that 1 n i i p =∑ = 1 Therefore 0 1 + k + 2k + 2k + k = 1 i
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7344-7347
Solution The probability distribution of X is X 0 1 2 3 4 P(X) 0 1 k 2k 2k k (a) We know that 1 n i i p =∑ = 1 Therefore 0 1 + k + 2k + 2k + k = 1 i e
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7345-7348
1 k 2k 2k k (a) We know that 1 n i i p =∑ = 1 Therefore 0 1 + k + 2k + 2k + k = 1 i e k = 0
1
7346-7349
1 + k + 2k + 2k + k = 1 i e k = 0 15 (b) P(you study at least two hours) = P(X ≥ 2) = P(X = 2) + P (X = 3) + P (X = 4) = 2k + 2k + k = 5k = 5 × 0
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7347-7350
e k = 0 15 (b) P(you study at least two hours) = P(X ≥ 2) = P(X = 2) + P (X = 3) + P (X = 4) = 2k + 2k + k = 5k = 5 × 0 15 = 0
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7348-7351
k = 0 15 (b) P(you study at least two hours) = P(X ≥ 2) = P(X = 2) + P (X = 3) + P (X = 4) = 2k + 2k + k = 5k = 5 × 0 15 = 0 75 P(you study exactly two hours) = P(X = 2) = 2k = 2 × 0
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7349-7352
15 (b) P(you study at least two hours) = P(X ≥ 2) = P(X = 2) + P (X = 3) + P (X = 4) = 2k + 2k + k = 5k = 5 × 0 15 = 0 75 P(you study exactly two hours) = P(X = 2) = 2k = 2 × 0 15 = 0
1
7350-7353
15 = 0 75 P(you study exactly two hours) = P(X = 2) = 2k = 2 × 0 15 = 0 3 P(you study at most two hours) = P(X ≤ 2) = P (X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = 0
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7351-7354
75 P(you study exactly two hours) = P(X = 2) = 2k = 2 × 0 15 = 0 3 P(you study at most two hours) = P(X ≤ 2) = P (X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = 0 1 + k + 2k = 0
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7352-7355
15 = 0 3 P(you study at most two hours) = P(X ≤ 2) = P (X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = 0 1 + k + 2k = 0 1 + 3k = 0
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7353-7356
3 P(you study at most two hours) = P(X ≤ 2) = P (X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = 0 1 + k + 2k = 0 1 + 3k = 0 1 + 3 × 0
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7354-7357
1 + k + 2k = 0 1 + 3k = 0 1 + 3 × 0 15 = 0
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7355-7358
1 + 3k = 0 1 + 3 × 0 15 = 0 55 13
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7356-7359
1 + 3 × 0 15 = 0 55 13 6
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7357-7360
15 = 0 55 13 6 2 Mean of a random variable In many problems, it is desirable to describe some feature of the random variable by means of a single number that can be computed from its probability distribution
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7358-7361
55 13 6 2 Mean of a random variable In many problems, it is desirable to describe some feature of the random variable by means of a single number that can be computed from its probability distribution Few such numbers are mean, median and mode
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7359-7362
6 2 Mean of a random variable In many problems, it is desirable to describe some feature of the random variable by means of a single number that can be computed from its probability distribution Few such numbers are mean, median and mode In this section, we shall discuss mean only
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7360-7363
2 Mean of a random variable In many problems, it is desirable to describe some feature of the random variable by means of a single number that can be computed from its probability distribution Few such numbers are mean, median and mode In this section, we shall discuss mean only Mean is a measure of location or central tendency in the sense that it roughly locates a middle or average value of the random variable
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7361-7364
Few such numbers are mean, median and mode In this section, we shall discuss mean only Mean is a measure of location or central tendency in the sense that it roughly locates a middle or average value of the random variable © NCERT not to be republished 564 MATHEMATICS Definition 6 Let X be a random variable whose possible values x1, x2, x3,
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7362-7365
In this section, we shall discuss mean only Mean is a measure of location or central tendency in the sense that it roughly locates a middle or average value of the random variable © NCERT not to be republished 564 MATHEMATICS Definition 6 Let X be a random variable whose possible values x1, x2, x3, , xn occur with probabilities p1, p2, p3,
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7363-7366
Mean is a measure of location or central tendency in the sense that it roughly locates a middle or average value of the random variable © NCERT not to be republished 564 MATHEMATICS Definition 6 Let X be a random variable whose possible values x1, x2, x3, , xn occur with probabilities p1, p2, p3, , pn, respectively
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7364-7367
© NCERT not to be republished 564 MATHEMATICS Definition 6 Let X be a random variable whose possible values x1, x2, x3, , xn occur with probabilities p1, p2, p3, , pn, respectively The mean of X, denoted by μ, is the number 1 n i i i x p =∑ i
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7365-7368
, xn occur with probabilities p1, p2, p3, , pn, respectively The mean of X, denoted by μ, is the number 1 n i i i x p =∑ i e
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7366-7369
, pn, respectively The mean of X, denoted by μ, is the number 1 n i i i x p =∑ i e the mean of X is the weighted average of the possible values of X, each value being weighted by its probability with which it occurs
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7367-7370
The mean of X, denoted by μ, is the number 1 n i i i x p =∑ i e the mean of X is the weighted average of the possible values of X, each value being weighted by its probability with which it occurs The mean of a random variable X is also called the expectation of X, denoted by E(X)
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7368-7371
e the mean of X is the weighted average of the possible values of X, each value being weighted by its probability with which it occurs The mean of a random variable X is also called the expectation of X, denoted by E(X) Thus, E (X) = μ = 1 n i i i x p = x1 p1+ x2 p2 +
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7369-7372
the mean of X is the weighted average of the possible values of X, each value being weighted by its probability with which it occurs The mean of a random variable X is also called the expectation of X, denoted by E(X) Thus, E (X) = μ = 1 n i i i x p = x1 p1+ x2 p2 + + xn pn
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7370-7373
The mean of a random variable X is also called the expectation of X, denoted by E(X) Thus, E (X) = μ = 1 n i i i x p = x1 p1+ x2 p2 + + xn pn In other words, the mean or expectation of a random variable X is the sum of the products of all possible values of X by their respective probabilities
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7371-7374
Thus, E (X) = μ = 1 n i i i x p = x1 p1+ x2 p2 + + xn pn In other words, the mean or expectation of a random variable X is the sum of the products of all possible values of X by their respective probabilities Example 27 Let a pair of dice be thrown and the random variable X be the sum of the numbers that appear on the two dice
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7372-7375
+ xn pn In other words, the mean or expectation of a random variable X is the sum of the products of all possible values of X by their respective probabilities Example 27 Let a pair of dice be thrown and the random variable X be the sum of the numbers that appear on the two dice Find the mean or expectation of X
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7373-7376
In other words, the mean or expectation of a random variable X is the sum of the products of all possible values of X by their respective probabilities Example 27 Let a pair of dice be thrown and the random variable X be the sum of the numbers that appear on the two dice Find the mean or expectation of X Solution The sample space of the experiment consists of 36 elementary events in the form of ordered pairs (xi, yi), where xi = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and yi = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
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7374-7377
Example 27 Let a pair of dice be thrown and the random variable X be the sum of the numbers that appear on the two dice Find the mean or expectation of X Solution The sample space of the experiment consists of 36 elementary events in the form of ordered pairs (xi, yi), where xi = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and yi = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 The random variable X i
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7375-7378
Find the mean or expectation of X Solution The sample space of the experiment consists of 36 elementary events in the form of ordered pairs (xi, yi), where xi = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and yi = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 The random variable X i e
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7376-7379
Solution The sample space of the experiment consists of 36 elementary events in the form of ordered pairs (xi, yi), where xi = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and yi = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 The random variable X i e the sum of the numbers on the two dice takes the values 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 or 12
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7377-7380
The random variable X i e the sum of the numbers on the two dice takes the values 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 or 12 Now P(X = 2) = P({(1,1)}) 361 P(X = 3) = P({(1,2), (2,1)}) 362 P(X = 4) = P({(1,3), (2,2), (3,1)}) 363 P(X = 5) = P({(1,4), (2,3), (3,2), (4,1)}) 364 P(X = 6) = P({(1,5), (2,4), (3,3), (4,2), (5,1)}) 365 P(X = 7) = P({(1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1)}) 366 P(X = 8) = P({(2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2)}) 365 © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 565 P(X = 9) = P({(3,6), (4,5), (5,4), (6,3)}) 364 P(X = 10) = P({(4,6), (5,5), (6,4)}) 363 P(X = 11) = P({(5,6), (6,5)}) 362 P(X = 12) = P({(6,6)}) 361 The probability distribution of X is X or xi 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 P(X) or pi 1 36 2 36 3 36 4 36 5 36 6 36 5 36 4 36 3 36 2 36 1 36 Therefore, μ = E(X) = 1 1 2 3 4 2 3 4 5 36 36 36 36 n i i i x p = = × + × + × + × ∑ 5 6 5 6 7 8 36 36 36 4 3 2 1 9 10 11 12 36 36 36 36 = 2 6 12 20 30 42 40 36 30 22 12 36 = 7 Thus, the mean of the sum of the numbers that appear on throwing two fair dice is 7
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7378-7381
e the sum of the numbers on the two dice takes the values 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 or 12 Now P(X = 2) = P({(1,1)}) 361 P(X = 3) = P({(1,2), (2,1)}) 362 P(X = 4) = P({(1,3), (2,2), (3,1)}) 363 P(X = 5) = P({(1,4), (2,3), (3,2), (4,1)}) 364 P(X = 6) = P({(1,5), (2,4), (3,3), (4,2), (5,1)}) 365 P(X = 7) = P({(1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1)}) 366 P(X = 8) = P({(2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2)}) 365 © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 565 P(X = 9) = P({(3,6), (4,5), (5,4), (6,3)}) 364 P(X = 10) = P({(4,6), (5,5), (6,4)}) 363 P(X = 11) = P({(5,6), (6,5)}) 362 P(X = 12) = P({(6,6)}) 361 The probability distribution of X is X or xi 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 P(X) or pi 1 36 2 36 3 36 4 36 5 36 6 36 5 36 4 36 3 36 2 36 1 36 Therefore, μ = E(X) = 1 1 2 3 4 2 3 4 5 36 36 36 36 n i i i x p = = × + × + × + × ∑ 5 6 5 6 7 8 36 36 36 4 3 2 1 9 10 11 12 36 36 36 36 = 2 6 12 20 30 42 40 36 30 22 12 36 = 7 Thus, the mean of the sum of the numbers that appear on throwing two fair dice is 7 13
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7379-7382
the sum of the numbers on the two dice takes the values 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 or 12 Now P(X = 2) = P({(1,1)}) 361 P(X = 3) = P({(1,2), (2,1)}) 362 P(X = 4) = P({(1,3), (2,2), (3,1)}) 363 P(X = 5) = P({(1,4), (2,3), (3,2), (4,1)}) 364 P(X = 6) = P({(1,5), (2,4), (3,3), (4,2), (5,1)}) 365 P(X = 7) = P({(1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1)}) 366 P(X = 8) = P({(2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2)}) 365 © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 565 P(X = 9) = P({(3,6), (4,5), (5,4), (6,3)}) 364 P(X = 10) = P({(4,6), (5,5), (6,4)}) 363 P(X = 11) = P({(5,6), (6,5)}) 362 P(X = 12) = P({(6,6)}) 361 The probability distribution of X is X or xi 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 P(X) or pi 1 36 2 36 3 36 4 36 5 36 6 36 5 36 4 36 3 36 2 36 1 36 Therefore, μ = E(X) = 1 1 2 3 4 2 3 4 5 36 36 36 36 n i i i x p = = × + × + × + × ∑ 5 6 5 6 7 8 36 36 36 4 3 2 1 9 10 11 12 36 36 36 36 = 2 6 12 20 30 42 40 36 30 22 12 36 = 7 Thus, the mean of the sum of the numbers that appear on throwing two fair dice is 7 13 6
1
7380-7383
Now P(X = 2) = P({(1,1)}) 361 P(X = 3) = P({(1,2), (2,1)}) 362 P(X = 4) = P({(1,3), (2,2), (3,1)}) 363 P(X = 5) = P({(1,4), (2,3), (3,2), (4,1)}) 364 P(X = 6) = P({(1,5), (2,4), (3,3), (4,2), (5,1)}) 365 P(X = 7) = P({(1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1)}) 366 P(X = 8) = P({(2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2)}) 365 © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 565 P(X = 9) = P({(3,6), (4,5), (5,4), (6,3)}) 364 P(X = 10) = P({(4,6), (5,5), (6,4)}) 363 P(X = 11) = P({(5,6), (6,5)}) 362 P(X = 12) = P({(6,6)}) 361 The probability distribution of X is X or xi 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 P(X) or pi 1 36 2 36 3 36 4 36 5 36 6 36 5 36 4 36 3 36 2 36 1 36 Therefore, μ = E(X) = 1 1 2 3 4 2 3 4 5 36 36 36 36 n i i i x p = = × + × + × + × ∑ 5 6 5 6 7 8 36 36 36 4 3 2 1 9 10 11 12 36 36 36 36 = 2 6 12 20 30 42 40 36 30 22 12 36 = 7 Thus, the mean of the sum of the numbers that appear on throwing two fair dice is 7 13 6 3 Variance of a random variable The mean of a random variable does not give us information about the variability in the values of the random variable
1
7381-7384
13 6 3 Variance of a random variable The mean of a random variable does not give us information about the variability in the values of the random variable In fact, if the variance is small, then the values of the random variable are close to the mean
1
7382-7385
6 3 Variance of a random variable The mean of a random variable does not give us information about the variability in the values of the random variable In fact, if the variance is small, then the values of the random variable are close to the mean Also random variables with different probability distributions can have equal means, as shown in the following distributions of X and Y
1
7383-7386
3 Variance of a random variable The mean of a random variable does not give us information about the variability in the values of the random variable In fact, if the variance is small, then the values of the random variable are close to the mean Also random variables with different probability distributions can have equal means, as shown in the following distributions of X and Y X 1 2 3 4 P(X) 1 8 2 8 3 8 2 8 © NCERT not to be republished 566 MATHEMATICS Y –1 0 4 5 6 P(Y) 1 8 2 8 3 8 1 8 1 8 Clearly E(X) = 1 2 3 2 22 1 2 3 4 2
1
7384-7387
In fact, if the variance is small, then the values of the random variable are close to the mean Also random variables with different probability distributions can have equal means, as shown in the following distributions of X and Y X 1 2 3 4 P(X) 1 8 2 8 3 8 2 8 © NCERT not to be republished 566 MATHEMATICS Y –1 0 4 5 6 P(Y) 1 8 2 8 3 8 1 8 1 8 Clearly E(X) = 1 2 3 2 22 1 2 3 4 2 75 8 8 8 8 8 × + × + × + × = = and E(Y) = 1 2 3 1 1 22 1 0 4 5 6 2
1
7385-7388
Also random variables with different probability distributions can have equal means, as shown in the following distributions of X and Y X 1 2 3 4 P(X) 1 8 2 8 3 8 2 8 © NCERT not to be republished 566 MATHEMATICS Y –1 0 4 5 6 P(Y) 1 8 2 8 3 8 1 8 1 8 Clearly E(X) = 1 2 3 2 22 1 2 3 4 2 75 8 8 8 8 8 × + × + × + × = = and E(Y) = 1 2 3 1 1 22 1 0 4 5 6 2 75 8 8 8 8 8 8 − × + × + × + × = × = = The variables X and Y are different, however their means are same
1
7386-7389
X 1 2 3 4 P(X) 1 8 2 8 3 8 2 8 © NCERT not to be republished 566 MATHEMATICS Y –1 0 4 5 6 P(Y) 1 8 2 8 3 8 1 8 1 8 Clearly E(X) = 1 2 3 2 22 1 2 3 4 2 75 8 8 8 8 8 × + × + × + × = = and E(Y) = 1 2 3 1 1 22 1 0 4 5 6 2 75 8 8 8 8 8 8 − × + × + × + × = × = = The variables X and Y are different, however their means are same It is also easily observable from the diagramatic representation of these distributions (Fig 13
1
7387-7390
75 8 8 8 8 8 × + × + × + × = = and E(Y) = 1 2 3 1 1 22 1 0 4 5 6 2 75 8 8 8 8 8 8 − × + × + × + × = × = = The variables X and Y are different, however their means are same It is also easily observable from the diagramatic representation of these distributions (Fig 13 5)
1
7388-7391
75 8 8 8 8 8 8 − × + × + × + × = × = = The variables X and Y are different, however their means are same It is also easily observable from the diagramatic representation of these distributions (Fig 13 5) Fig 13
1
7389-7392
It is also easily observable from the diagramatic representation of these distributions (Fig 13 5) Fig 13 5 To distinguish X from Y, we require a measure of the extent to which the values of the random variables spread out
1
7390-7393
5) Fig 13 5 To distinguish X from Y, we require a measure of the extent to which the values of the random variables spread out In Statistics, we have studied that the variance is a measure of the spread or scatter in data
1
7391-7394
Fig 13 5 To distinguish X from Y, we require a measure of the extent to which the values of the random variables spread out In Statistics, we have studied that the variance is a measure of the spread or scatter in data Likewise, the variability or spread in the values of a random variable may be measured by variance
1
7392-7395
5 To distinguish X from Y, we require a measure of the extent to which the values of the random variables spread out In Statistics, we have studied that the variance is a measure of the spread or scatter in data Likewise, the variability or spread in the values of a random variable may be measured by variance Definition 7 Let X be a random variable whose possible values x1, x2,
1
7393-7396
In Statistics, we have studied that the variance is a measure of the spread or scatter in data Likewise, the variability or spread in the values of a random variable may be measured by variance Definition 7 Let X be a random variable whose possible values x1, x2, ,xn occur with probabilities p(x1), p(x2),
1
7394-7397
Likewise, the variability or spread in the values of a random variable may be measured by variance Definition 7 Let X be a random variable whose possible values x1, x2, ,xn occur with probabilities p(x1), p(x2), , p(xn) respectively
1
7395-7398
Definition 7 Let X be a random variable whose possible values x1, x2, ,xn occur with probabilities p(x1), p(x2), , p(xn) respectively Let μ = E (X) be the mean of X
1
7396-7399
,xn occur with probabilities p(x1), p(x2), , p(xn) respectively Let μ = E (X) be the mean of X The variance of X, denoted by Var (X) or 2 x is defined as 2 σx = 2 1 Var(X)= ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ or equivalently 2 x = E(X – μ)2 O 1 8 2 8 3 8 P(Y) O 1 8 2 8 3 8 P(X) 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 –1 5 6 (i) (ii) © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 567 The non-negative number σx = 2 1 Var(X) = ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ is called the standard deviation of the random variable X
1
7397-7400
, p(xn) respectively Let μ = E (X) be the mean of X The variance of X, denoted by Var (X) or 2 x is defined as 2 σx = 2 1 Var(X)= ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ or equivalently 2 x = E(X – μ)2 O 1 8 2 8 3 8 P(Y) O 1 8 2 8 3 8 P(X) 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 –1 5 6 (i) (ii) © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 567 The non-negative number σx = 2 1 Var(X) = ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ is called the standard deviation of the random variable X Another formula to find the variance of a random variable
1
7398-7401
Let μ = E (X) be the mean of X The variance of X, denoted by Var (X) or 2 x is defined as 2 σx = 2 1 Var(X)= ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ or equivalently 2 x = E(X – μ)2 O 1 8 2 8 3 8 P(Y) O 1 8 2 8 3 8 P(X) 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 –1 5 6 (i) (ii) © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 567 The non-negative number σx = 2 1 Var(X) = ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ is called the standard deviation of the random variable X Another formula to find the variance of a random variable We know that, Var (X) = 2 1 ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ = 2 2 1 ( μ 2μ ) ( ) n i i i i x x p x = 2 2 1 1 1 ( ) μ ( ) 2μ ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = = + − ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 1 1 1 ( ) μ ( ) 2μ ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = = + − ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 2 1 =1 1 ( ) μ 2μ since ( )=1andμ= ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = ⎡ ⎤ + − ⎢ ⎥ ⎣ ⎦ ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 1 ( ) μ n i i i x p x = − ∑ or Var (X) = 2 2 1 1 ( ) ( ) n n i i i i i i x p x x p x = = ⎛ ⎞ −⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ ∑ ∑ or Var (X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2, where E(X2) = 2 1 ( ) n i i i x p x =∑ Example 28 Find the variance of the number obtained on a throw of an unbiased die
1
7399-7402
The variance of X, denoted by Var (X) or 2 x is defined as 2 σx = 2 1 Var(X)= ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ or equivalently 2 x = E(X – μ)2 O 1 8 2 8 3 8 P(Y) O 1 8 2 8 3 8 P(X) 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 –1 5 6 (i) (ii) © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 567 The non-negative number σx = 2 1 Var(X) = ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ is called the standard deviation of the random variable X Another formula to find the variance of a random variable We know that, Var (X) = 2 1 ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ = 2 2 1 ( μ 2μ ) ( ) n i i i i x x p x = 2 2 1 1 1 ( ) μ ( ) 2μ ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = = + − ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 1 1 1 ( ) μ ( ) 2μ ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = = + − ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 2 1 =1 1 ( ) μ 2μ since ( )=1andμ= ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = ⎡ ⎤ + − ⎢ ⎥ ⎣ ⎦ ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 1 ( ) μ n i i i x p x = − ∑ or Var (X) = 2 2 1 1 ( ) ( ) n n i i i i i i x p x x p x = = ⎛ ⎞ −⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ ∑ ∑ or Var (X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2, where E(X2) = 2 1 ( ) n i i i x p x =∑ Example 28 Find the variance of the number obtained on a throw of an unbiased die Solution The sample space of the experiment is S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}
1
7400-7403
Another formula to find the variance of a random variable We know that, Var (X) = 2 1 ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ = 2 2 1 ( μ 2μ ) ( ) n i i i i x x p x = 2 2 1 1 1 ( ) μ ( ) 2μ ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = = + − ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 1 1 1 ( ) μ ( ) 2μ ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = = + − ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 2 1 =1 1 ( ) μ 2μ since ( )=1andμ= ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = ⎡ ⎤ + − ⎢ ⎥ ⎣ ⎦ ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 1 ( ) μ n i i i x p x = − ∑ or Var (X) = 2 2 1 1 ( ) ( ) n n i i i i i i x p x x p x = = ⎛ ⎞ −⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ ∑ ∑ or Var (X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2, where E(X2) = 2 1 ( ) n i i i x p x =∑ Example 28 Find the variance of the number obtained on a throw of an unbiased die Solution The sample space of the experiment is S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} Let X denote the number obtained on the throw
1
7401-7404
We know that, Var (X) = 2 1 ( μ) ( ) n i i i x p x = − ∑ = 2 2 1 ( μ 2μ ) ( ) n i i i i x x p x = 2 2 1 1 1 ( ) μ ( ) 2μ ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = = + − ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 1 1 1 ( ) μ ( ) 2μ ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = = + − ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 2 1 =1 1 ( ) μ 2μ since ( )=1andμ= ( ) n n n i i i i i i i i x p x p x x p x = = ⎡ ⎤ + − ⎢ ⎥ ⎣ ⎦ ∑ ∑ ∑ = 2 2 1 ( ) μ n i i i x p x = − ∑ or Var (X) = 2 2 1 1 ( ) ( ) n n i i i i i i x p x x p x = = ⎛ ⎞ −⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ ∑ ∑ or Var (X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2, where E(X2) = 2 1 ( ) n i i i x p x =∑ Example 28 Find the variance of the number obtained on a throw of an unbiased die Solution The sample space of the experiment is S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} Let X denote the number obtained on the throw Then X is a random variable which can take values 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6
1
7402-7405
Solution The sample space of the experiment is S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} Let X denote the number obtained on the throw Then X is a random variable which can take values 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 © NCERT not to be republished 568 MATHEMATICS Also P(1) = P(2) = P(3) = P(4) = P(5) = P(6) = 1 6 Therefore, the Probability distribution of X is X 1 2 3 4 5 6 P(X) 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 Now E(X) = 1 ( ) n i i i x p x = 1 1 1 1 1 1 21 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 × + × + × + × + × + × = Also E(X2) = 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 91 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 × + × + × + × + × + × = Thus, Var (X) = E (X2) – (E(X))2 = 2 91 21 91 441 6 6 6 36 ⎛ ⎞ − = − ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ 35 12 Example 29 Two cards are drawn simultaneously (or successively without replacement) from a well shuffled pack of 52 cards
1
7403-7406
Let X denote the number obtained on the throw Then X is a random variable which can take values 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 © NCERT not to be republished 568 MATHEMATICS Also P(1) = P(2) = P(3) = P(4) = P(5) = P(6) = 1 6 Therefore, the Probability distribution of X is X 1 2 3 4 5 6 P(X) 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 Now E(X) = 1 ( ) n i i i x p x = 1 1 1 1 1 1 21 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 × + × + × + × + × + × = Also E(X2) = 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 91 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 × + × + × + × + × + × = Thus, Var (X) = E (X2) – (E(X))2 = 2 91 21 91 441 6 6 6 36 ⎛ ⎞ − = − ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ 35 12 Example 29 Two cards are drawn simultaneously (or successively without replacement) from a well shuffled pack of 52 cards Find the mean, variance and standard deviation of the number of kings
1
7404-7407
Then X is a random variable which can take values 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 © NCERT not to be republished 568 MATHEMATICS Also P(1) = P(2) = P(3) = P(4) = P(5) = P(6) = 1 6 Therefore, the Probability distribution of X is X 1 2 3 4 5 6 P(X) 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 Now E(X) = 1 ( ) n i i i x p x = 1 1 1 1 1 1 21 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 × + × + × + × + × + × = Also E(X2) = 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 91 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 × + × + × + × + × + × = Thus, Var (X) = E (X2) – (E(X))2 = 2 91 21 91 441 6 6 6 36 ⎛ ⎞ − = − ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ 35 12 Example 29 Two cards are drawn simultaneously (or successively without replacement) from a well shuffled pack of 52 cards Find the mean, variance and standard deviation of the number of kings Solution Let X denote the number of kings in a draw of two cards
1
7405-7408
© NCERT not to be republished 568 MATHEMATICS Also P(1) = P(2) = P(3) = P(4) = P(5) = P(6) = 1 6 Therefore, the Probability distribution of X is X 1 2 3 4 5 6 P(X) 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 Now E(X) = 1 ( ) n i i i x p x = 1 1 1 1 1 1 21 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 × + × + × + × + × + × = Also E(X2) = 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 91 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 × + × + × + × + × + × = Thus, Var (X) = E (X2) – (E(X))2 = 2 91 21 91 441 6 6 6 36 ⎛ ⎞ − = − ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ 35 12 Example 29 Two cards are drawn simultaneously (or successively without replacement) from a well shuffled pack of 52 cards Find the mean, variance and standard deviation of the number of kings Solution Let X denote the number of kings in a draw of two cards X is a random variable which can assume the values 0, 1 or 2
1
7406-7409
Find the mean, variance and standard deviation of the number of kings Solution Let X denote the number of kings in a draw of two cards X is a random variable which can assume the values 0, 1 or 2 Now P(X = 0) = P (no king) 48 2 52 2 48
1
7407-7410
Solution Let X denote the number of kings in a draw of two cards X is a random variable which can assume the values 0, 1 or 2 Now P(X = 0) = P (no king) 48 2 52 2 48 C 48 47 188 2
1
7408-7411
X is a random variable which can assume the values 0, 1 or 2 Now P(X = 0) = P (no king) 48 2 52 2 48 C 48 47 188 2 (48 52
1
7409-7412
Now P(X = 0) = P (no king) 48 2 52 2 48 C 48 47 188 2 (48 52 2)
1
7410-7413
C 48 47 188 2 (48 52 2) 52 51 221 C 2
1
7411-7414
(48 52 2) 52 51 221 C 2 (52 2)
1
7412-7415
2) 52 51 221 C 2 (52 2) P(X = 1) = P (one king and one non-king) 4 148 1 52 2 C CC = = 4 48 2 32 52 51 221 × × = × © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 569 and P(X = 2) = P (two kings) = 4 2 52 2 C 4 3 1 52 51 221 C × = = × Thus, the probability distribution of X is X 0 1 2 P(X) 188 221 32 221 1 221 Now Mean of X = E(X) = 1 ( ) n i i i x p x = 188 32 1 34 0 1 2 221 221 221 221 × + × + × = Also E(X2) = 2 1 ( ) n i i i x p x =∑ = 2 2 2 188 32 1 36 0 1 2 221 221 221 221 × + × + × = Now Var(X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2 = 2 2 36 34 6800 221– 221 (221) ⎛ ⎞ = ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ Therefore σx = 6800 Var(X) 0
1
7413-7416
52 51 221 C 2 (52 2) P(X = 1) = P (one king and one non-king) 4 148 1 52 2 C CC = = 4 48 2 32 52 51 221 × × = × © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 569 and P(X = 2) = P (two kings) = 4 2 52 2 C 4 3 1 52 51 221 C × = = × Thus, the probability distribution of X is X 0 1 2 P(X) 188 221 32 221 1 221 Now Mean of X = E(X) = 1 ( ) n i i i x p x = 188 32 1 34 0 1 2 221 221 221 221 × + × + × = Also E(X2) = 2 1 ( ) n i i i x p x =∑ = 2 2 2 188 32 1 36 0 1 2 221 221 221 221 × + × + × = Now Var(X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2 = 2 2 36 34 6800 221– 221 (221) ⎛ ⎞ = ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ Therefore σx = 6800 Var(X) 0 37 221 = = EXERCISE 13
1
7414-7417
(52 2) P(X = 1) = P (one king and one non-king) 4 148 1 52 2 C CC = = 4 48 2 32 52 51 221 × × = × © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 569 and P(X = 2) = P (two kings) = 4 2 52 2 C 4 3 1 52 51 221 C × = = × Thus, the probability distribution of X is X 0 1 2 P(X) 188 221 32 221 1 221 Now Mean of X = E(X) = 1 ( ) n i i i x p x = 188 32 1 34 0 1 2 221 221 221 221 × + × + × = Also E(X2) = 2 1 ( ) n i i i x p x =∑ = 2 2 2 188 32 1 36 0 1 2 221 221 221 221 × + × + × = Now Var(X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2 = 2 2 36 34 6800 221– 221 (221) ⎛ ⎞ = ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ Therefore σx = 6800 Var(X) 0 37 221 = = EXERCISE 13 4 1
1
7415-7418
P(X = 1) = P (one king and one non-king) 4 148 1 52 2 C CC = = 4 48 2 32 52 51 221 × × = × © NCERT not to be republished PROBABILITY 569 and P(X = 2) = P (two kings) = 4 2 52 2 C 4 3 1 52 51 221 C × = = × Thus, the probability distribution of X is X 0 1 2 P(X) 188 221 32 221 1 221 Now Mean of X = E(X) = 1 ( ) n i i i x p x = 188 32 1 34 0 1 2 221 221 221 221 × + × + × = Also E(X2) = 2 1 ( ) n i i i x p x =∑ = 2 2 2 188 32 1 36 0 1 2 221 221 221 221 × + × + × = Now Var(X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2 = 2 2 36 34 6800 221– 221 (221) ⎛ ⎞ = ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ Therefore σx = 6800 Var(X) 0 37 221 = = EXERCISE 13 4 1 State which of the following are not the probability distributions of a random variable
1
7416-7419
37 221 = = EXERCISE 13 4 1 State which of the following are not the probability distributions of a random variable Give reasons for your answer
1
7417-7420
4 1 State which of the following are not the probability distributions of a random variable Give reasons for your answer (i) X 0 1 2 P(X) 0