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import pandas as pd
import gradio as gr
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as sns
from seaborn import FacetGrid
import plotly.express as px
from datetime import datetime, UTC, date
from typing import Tuple
def get_based_tokens_distribution(market_id: str, all_markets: pd.DataFrame):
"""Function to paint the evolution of the probability of the outcomes based on the tokens distributions over time"""
sns.set_style("darkgrid")
plt.rcParams["figure.figsize"] = (10, 5)
selected_market = all_markets.loc[all_markets["id"] == market_id]
ax = selected_market.plot.barh(
x="sample_datetime", y=["first_token_perc", "second_token_perc"], stacked=True
)
# add overall title
# plt.title(
# "Outcomes probability over time based on tokens distributions", fontsize=8
# )
# add axis titles
plt.xlabel("Probability percentage(%)")
plt.ylabel("Sample date")
plt.yticks(fontsize=8)
first_outcome = selected_market.iloc[0].first_outcome
second_outcome = selected_market.iloc[0].second_outcome
ax.legend(
loc="upper left",
labels=[first_outcome, second_outcome],
)
return gr.Plot(value=ax.figure)
def get_based_votes_distribution(market_id: str, all_markets: pd.DataFrame):
"""Function to paint the evolution of the probability of the outcomes based on the votes distributions over time"""
sns.set_style("darkgrid")
plt.rcParams["figure.figsize"] = (10, 5)
selected_market = all_markets.loc[all_markets["id"] == market_id]
ax = selected_market.plot.barh(
x="sample_datetime",
y=["votes_first_outcome_perc", "votes_second_outcome_perc"],
stacked=True,
)
# add overall title
# plt.title("Outcomes probability over time based on votes distributions", fontsize=8)
# add axis titles
plt.xlabel("Probability percentage(%)")
plt.ylabel("Sample date")
plt.yticks(fontsize=8)
first_outcome = selected_market.iloc[0].first_outcome
second_outcome = selected_market.iloc[0].second_outcome
ax.legend(
loc="upper left",
labels=[first_outcome, second_outcome],
)
return gr.Plot(value=ax.figure)
def get_extreme_cases(live_fpmms: pd.DataFrame) -> Tuple:
"""Function to return the id of the best and worst case according to the dist gap metric"""
# select markets with some trades
selected_markets = live_fpmms.loc[(live_fpmms["total_trades"] > 0)]
print(selected_markets.head())
selected_markets.sort_values(by="dist_gap_perc", ascending=False, inplace=True)
return (
selected_markets.iloc[-1].id,
selected_markets.iloc[-1].dist_gap_perc,
selected_markets.iloc[0].id,
selected_markets.iloc[0].dist_gap_perc,
)
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