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191,105 | The ROI of investing in commute | The ROI of investing in commute
“Transportation as a benefit” pilots have made it easier for employees to get to work in South Bend, enabling 83% to work more hours and reducing absences and tardiness by 8%. Learn about the ROI of investing in commute. Voy Nov 20, 2018·6 min read
Investing in commute is proving to increase productive work hours, timeliness, and employee happiness
Investing in commute is a growing trend
For years now, there has been a growing trend to invest in solving commute. According to Sequoia Consulting Group, a leading service partner that provides people-first companies strategic benefits, HR, retirement, and insurance services, 36% of companies offer a commuter stipend, up from 33% in 2017.
In surveying more than 750 U.S.-based companies, Sequoia found that:
7% offered a corporate shuttle in 2017 with an additional 4% planning to offer one in the next 12 months (57% growth rate)
11% offered internal rideshare or carpool options with an additional 4% planning to offer one in the next 12 months (36% growth rate)
26% offered a biking program with an additional 4% planning to offer one in the next 12 months (15% growth rate)
Genesis of commute benefits
This trend originated in legislation introducing employer-provided voluntary benefits that allow employees to reduce their commuting expenses for transit, vanpooling, bicycling, and work-related parking costs by setting aside pre-tax dollars.
Meanwhile, progressive companies have taken their support much further. With the increase in congestion and air pollution, competition for talent, and long commutes impacting employees’ health and productivity, companies are investing into commuting: financially and logistically supporting their employees’ travel to and from work.
The ROI of commute benefits has historically been difficult to measure
Measuring the efficacy of these programs has always been a challenge. After all, how is one supposed to assess if offering a last mile shuttle is just a large monthly expense or a true necessity that allows you to attract and retain employees? How can you determine if the positive feedback you are getting from your ridehail program is just a, “well, duh, of course people would want free/subsidized rides to and from work,” or a differentiated benefit that enables your people to actually get to the office and work longer?
For many employers, the argument had been simple — it’s just the right thing to do and a low cost way to keep employees happy. However, other companies have asked for more data in order to warrant investment — data that hasn’t been readily accessible until recently.
Commute is no longer a company-specific problem, but a community problem
Luckily, the team at Voy recently met Santiago Garces, the Chief Innovation Officer for the City of South Bend, Indiana. He has been pioneering “Transportation as a Benefit” with local employers. With a grant from Bloomberg Philanthropies, South Bend’s Innovation and Technology office set out to tackle the barriers to stable employment for low income individuals and shift workers in the region.
In the past, efforts were aimed at providing skills and training to tackle stable employment. This time around, they sourced ideas from the community. The responses were consistent — transportation and childcare were what people needed. Armed with a new perspective, they got to work, rapidly prototyping what transportation as a benefit could look like.
Piloting ridehailing as a benefit with employers in South Bend
After interviewing and holding focus groups with more than 60 shift workers, 300 residents, and 50 applicants at job fairs, South Bend partnered with four large employers to offer transportation assistance via ridehailing to over 500 shift workers in food service, hotel service, housekeeping, maintenance, and elderly home care.
South Bend was able to approach exploring this new service in a manner that no employer would ever have the opportunity to do — as randomized controlled trials and iterative pilots. Can you imagine introducing a benefit at your company that is only given to a portion of your employees, with the expectation that it will iteratively change over time?
As a city tackling a gnarly challenge, South Bend had other priorities. In order to create a sustainable solution, an employer-funded “Transportation as a Benefit”, the team knew they would need to prove the business case of this benefit as a win-win for both employers and employees.
Garces explains, “our first pilots offered rideshare transportation to eight hospital employees using Uber gift cards. We later enrolled 188 participants in the Uber for Business platform, allowing us to view real-time data for 800+ rides[…]. We offered unlimited rides in our initial pilots to understand baseline behavior while experimenting with different monthly ride caps in other pilots. We tested a ‘skin-in-the-game’ model requiring employees to cover part of the ride cost and a vanpool model for vocational students going to and from the same training location.”
The pilots proved commuting benefits have impact
After 12 weeks of testing, 9 pilots, working with 500+ employees who took over 800 rides, the results were staggering:
100% of participants reported the program made it easier to get to work and were 8% less likely to be absent or late
83% were able to work more hours, with an average of one additional hour per shift
All were interested in participating again, and 92% would participate even if they paid $2 per ride
Employers reported increased scheduling flexibility, decreased overtime costs and increased client satisfaction
All four employer partners committed to providing support moving forward
Going beyond numbers that point to improved business performance and employee satisfaction, the pilots also led to success stories of true human impact. According to Garces, “one participant at risk of termination kept her job due to improved attendance and was promoted.”
Furthermore, to one of their partners, a senior in-home care provider, the benefits of this mobility offering resonated throughout the organization. Before the pilot, supervisors had found themselves stressed as caregivers regularly called in reporting they couldn’t fill a shift or be in a particular location. In these situations, supervisors would scramble to give rides to these caregivers or elect to fill the shift themselves. Armed with their new transportation benefits, employees were able to reliably take on additional shifts and the company was able to take on new, otherwise inaccessible clients.
South Bend’s pilots going forward
Commuter benefits are a quickly evolving space and South Bend already has plans for more extensive pilots. Garces shared, “our initial idea focused on a single solution of ridesharing to address the problem of unreliable transportation. As we spoke with our target population, we discovered a range of transportation needs and preferences that require a more nuanced solution. We pivoted away from the idea of ridesharing as a one-size-fits-all solution to a model that integrates services from additional transportation providers to optimize cost and ridership.”
Naturally, as technology and new modes of transportation merge with a growing involvement from employers to solve commute, commute benefits are going to evolve, standardize, and empower a more productive and happier workforce. It’s exciting to see how South Bend plans to continue to evolve their offering.
Food for thought as you reflect on your commute program
Key takeaways from South Bend’s transportation as a benefit pilots:
Commute benefits in South Bend have proven to reduce absenteeism, which can reduce overtime costs and the stress of trying to fill shifts.
Geographic context and employee demographics affect transportation needs. A solution that optimizes for cost and utilization needs to entail more than ridehail services.
The cost of commuting doesn’t have to belong strictly to employers or employees. Co-investment is viewed favorably by a majority of employees.
Innovation within the commuting space is happening rapidly and best practices are still being worked out.
To learn more on South Bend’s “Transportation as a Benefit” program check out their Bloomberg Mayors Challenge profile or this article in the South Bend Tribune announcing the pilot.
In the coming weeks, we’ll continue to dive into innovation in the commute space and how to holistically design commute benefits to best support your talent and business strategy. Stay tuned and join our mailing list to be the first to learn about what you can do to solve commuting.
Want to learn more about how we can help? Say hello. | https://medium.com/@getvoy/the-roi-of-investing-in-commute-3df7254bb716 | [] | 2019-02-26 23:59:00.425000+00:00 | ['Transportation', 'HR', 'Employee Benefits', 'Uber', 'Innovation'] | Title ROI investing commuteContent ROI investing commute “Transportation benefit” pilot made easier employee get work South Bend enabling 83 work hour reducing absence tardiness 8 Learn ROI investing commute Voy Nov 20 2018·6 min read Investing commute proving increase productive work hour timeliness employee happiness Investing commute growing trend year growing trend invest solving commute According Sequoia Consulting Group leading service partner provides peoplefirst company strategic benefit HR retirement insurance service 36 company offer commuter stipend 33 2017 surveying 750 USbased company Sequoia found 7 offered corporate shuttle 2017 additional 4 planning offer one next 12 month 57 growth rate 11 offered internal rideshare carpool option additional 4 planning offer one next 12 month 36 growth rate 26 offered biking program additional 4 planning offer one next 12 month 15 growth rate Genesis commute benefit trend originated legislation introducing employerprovided voluntary benefit allow employee reduce commuting expense transit vanpooling bicycling workrelated parking cost setting aside pretax dollar Meanwhile progressive company taken support much increase congestion air pollution competition talent long commute impacting employees’ health productivity company investing commuting financially logistically supporting employees’ travel work ROI commute benefit historically difficult measure Measuring efficacy program always challenge one supposed ass offering last mile shuttle large monthly expense true necessity allows attract retain employee determine positive feedback getting ridehail program “well duh course people would want freesubsidized ride work” differentiated benefit enables people actually get office work longer many employer argument simple — it’s right thing low cost way keep employee happy However company asked data order warrant investment — data hasn’t readily accessible recently Commute longer companyspecific problem community problem Luckily team Voy recently met Santiago Garces Chief Innovation Officer City South Bend Indiana pioneering “Transportation Benefit” local employer grant Bloomberg Philanthropies South Bend’s Innovation Technology office set tackle barrier stable employment low income individual shift worker region past effort aimed providing skill training tackle stable employment time around sourced idea community response consistent — transportation childcare people needed Armed new perspective got work rapidly prototyping transportation benefit could look like Piloting ridehailing benefit employer South Bend interviewing holding focus group 60 shift worker 300 resident 50 applicant job fair South Bend partnered four large employer offer transportation assistance via ridehailing 500 shift worker food service hotel service housekeeping maintenance elderly home care South Bend able approach exploring new service manner employer would ever opportunity — randomized controlled trial iterative pilot imagine introducing benefit company given portion employee expectation iteratively change time city tackling gnarly challenge South Bend priority order create sustainable solution employerfunded “Transportation Benefit” team knew would need prove business case benefit winwin employer employee Garces explains “our first pilot offered rideshare transportation eight hospital employee using Uber gift card later enrolled 188 participant Uber Business platform allowing u view realtime data 800 rides… offered unlimited ride initial pilot understand baseline behavior experimenting different monthly ride cap pilot tested ‘skininthegame’ model requiring employee cover part ride cost vanpool model vocational student going training location” pilot proved commuting benefit impact 12 week testing 9 pilot working 500 employee took 800 ride result staggering 100 participant reported program made easier get work 8 le likely absent late 83 able work hour average one additional hour per shift interested participating 92 would participate even paid 2 per ride Employers reported increased scheduling flexibility decreased overtime cost increased client satisfaction four employer partner committed providing support moving forward Going beyond number point improved business performance employee satisfaction pilot also led success story true human impact According Garces “one participant risk termination kept job due improved attendance promoted” Furthermore one partner senior inhome care provider benefit mobility offering resonated throughout organization pilot supervisor found stressed caregiver regularly called reporting couldn’t fill shift particular location situation supervisor would scramble give ride caregiver elect fill shift Armed new transportation benefit employee able reliably take additional shift company able take new otherwise inaccessible clients South Bend’s pilot going forward Commuter benefit quickly evolving space South Bend already plan extensive pilot Garces shared “our initial idea focused single solution ridesharing address problem unreliable transportation spoke target population discovered range transportation need preference require nuanced solution pivoted away idea ridesharing onesizefitsall solution model integrates service additional transportation provider optimize cost ridership” Naturally technology new mode transportation merge growing involvement employer solve commute commute benefit going evolve standardize empower productive happier workforce It’s exciting see South Bend plan continue evolve offering Food thought reflect commute program Key takeaway South Bend’s transportation benefit pilot Commute benefit South Bend proven reduce absenteeism reduce overtime cost stress trying fill shift Geographic context employee demographic affect transportation need solution optimizes cost utilization need entail ridehail service cost commuting doesn’t belong strictly employer employee Coinvestment viewed favorably majority employee Innovation within commuting space happening rapidly best practice still worked learn South Bend’s “Transportation Benefit” program check Bloomberg Mayors Challenge profile article South Bend Tribune announcing pilot coming week we’ll continue dive innovation commute space holistically design commute benefit best support talent business strategy Stay tuned join mailing list first learn solve commuting Want learn help Say helloTags Transportation HR Employee Benefits Uber Innovation |
191,106 | <your brand here> Rewards and Commoditization | <your brand here> Rewards and Commoditization
Uber’s announcement of its new Uber Rewards program was more than a disappointment; it was downright lame, even more so as the company is one of the original “unicorns” and a pillar of the “sharing economy”.
Uber Rewards stands in stark contrast to the company’s disruptive, innovative launch and expansion, which has attracted billions of investment dollars even without disclosing details of its business performance until recently. Uber leveraged a compelling value proposition to quickly claim market leadership, largely building its business without traditional marketing and advertising. It is, in fact, a tribute to the company’s remarkable innovation that significant reputation missteps have been costly but not fatal.
So, does the Uber program live up to its innovative and disruptive brand? Ah, no, not even close. Uber Rewards is a free-to-join, spend-and-get program that awards points to customers for Uber rides and Uber Eats purchases. Rewards include $5 credits, complimentary upgrades, a flexible cancellation policy and priority airport pickups.
This approach is all but innovative, and its attempt to offer value is not only convoluted but easily replicated. According to TechCrunch, the program wasn’t rushed to market, and it wasn’t shortchanged in investment. So how did an innovative company launch such a pedestrian program? Maybe they are panicking in response to slower growth and hopes of an IPO next year?
A loyalty program is a means to an end. It’s the mechanism to get customer permission — opt-up even more than opt-in — that allows a company to better pay attention to customers and treat them accordingly (this is the rDialogue definition of loyalty marketing). rDialogue has always held steadfast the conviction that every loyalty strategy needs to be unique to the company and brand. It should be recognizable without a logo or any other form of identity. As we’ve seen more and more commoditization of loyalty “programs,” this belief has only strengthened.
By virtue of its mobile-app and operating model, Uber has customer addressability and trackability, and the company has multiple paths to communicate with customers (all traditional reasons to launch a loyalty program). Uber doesn’t need a “program,” especially in the traditional sense of a rewardsprogram.
And, that leads to one last thing… Rewards is the worst, most off-brand name for any company’s loyalty program. Sorry Starbucks, but Nike+ and Adidas Creators Club are exponentially more on-brand. As is Delta SkyMiles, Amazon Prime and Nordstrom’s new Nordy Club. Your program should be representative of your brand. It should be able to live on its own. Rewards is anti-climactic. And only one potential aspect of a loyalty “program”.
Lyft is reportedly launching its “program” later this year. (We’re here if you need us.) | https://medium.com/@Phil_Rubin/your-brand-here-rewards-and-commoditization-fd4eef8372da | ['Phil Rubin'] | 2018-11-16 19:52:38.047000+00:00 | ['Loyalty', 'Uber', 'Lyft', 'Lyft Vs Uber', 'Customer Experience'] | Title brand Rewards CommoditizationContent brand Rewards Commoditization Uber’s announcement new Uber Rewards program disappointment downright lame even company one original “unicorns” pillar “sharing economy” Uber Rewards stand stark contrast company’s disruptive innovative launch expansion attracted billion investment dollar even without disclosing detail business performance recently Uber leveraged compelling value proposition quickly claim market leadership largely building business without traditional marketing advertising fact tribute company’s remarkable innovation significant reputation misstep costly fatal Uber program live innovative disruptive brand Ah even close Uber Rewards freetojoin spendandget program award point customer Uber ride Uber Eats purchase Rewards include 5 credit complimentary upgrade flexible cancellation policy priority airport pickup approach innovative attempt offer value convoluted easily replicated According TechCrunch program wasn’t rushed market wasn’t shortchanged investment innovative company launch pedestrian program Maybe panicking response slower growth hope IPO next year loyalty program mean end It’s mechanism get customer permission — optup even optin — allows company better pay attention customer treat accordingly rDialogue definition loyalty marketing rDialogue always held steadfast conviction every loyalty strategy need unique company brand recognizable without logo form identity we’ve seen commoditization loyalty “programs” belief strengthened virtue mobileapp operating model Uber customer addressability trackability company multiple path communicate customer traditional reason launch loyalty program Uber doesn’t need “program” especially traditional sense rewardsprogram lead one last thing… Rewards worst offbrand name company’s loyalty program Sorry Starbucks Nike Adidas Creators Club exponentially onbrand Delta SkyMiles Amazon Prime Nordstrom’s new Nordy Club program representative brand able live Rewards anticlimactic one potential aspect loyalty “program” Lyft reportedly launching “program” later year We’re need usTags Loyalty Uber Lyft Lyft Vs Uber Customer Experience |
191,107 | Bigger, more flexible carpools are here! | Bigger, more flexible carpools are here!
Carpoolers — we’ve got an exciting update!
Drivers can now pick up multiple riders at different stops along their route with little-to-no detour. Get ready to fill those empty seats, save even more on gas, and make your carpool more fun.
Riders: Easily join an existing carpool. Whenever you see a driver’s profile with a green “Available seats” badge, simply request to join and wait for confirmation.
#ProTip: Confirmed a carpool? Share the details with your friends and invite them to fill the extra seats. Just tap the share button at the top right corner of your screen.
Drivers: Once a carpool is set, additional riders can ask to join. You can accept or decline — and in the future, you’ll be able to offer rides as well. Stay tuned for that update!
#ProTip: Now when you send multiple offers, you may end up getting more riders in your carpool if they share the same route. So don’t be shy — offer those rides!
More improvements
Thank you to all our Waze Carpool veterans who took the time to share their feedback. Your insights helped us improve the overall experience. We’ve redesigned the Waze Carpool screen you see during a live ride. Now, drivers can easily see their full drive itinerary, contact their riders, and start their carpool with one tap.
Plus, more stops won’t make for a more complicated drive experience. Waze seamlessly guides drivers to every pickup and drop-off spot, and lets them mark their progress so riders stay in the loop.
Maximum savings
With more riders on board, you can save even more. Drivers can fill up to 4 seats in a carpool, and earn a bit extra with each rider — keeping in mind that prices are adjusted, so they don’t exceed the total sum of gas and wear & tear.
For riders, prices may be adjusted with each person who joins. The amount will depend on distance, but riders can get a great deal on their ride to work or school.
Ready to rev up your commute and meet a few more Wazers? Be sure to use the latest version of Waze and Waze Carpool to try a group-pool.
Happy carpooling! | https://medium.com/@waze/bigger-more-flexible-carpools-are-here-6236d54c54e6 | [] | 2018-11-16 18:50:56.127000+00:00 | ['Waze', 'Ridesharing', 'Uber', 'Lyft'] | Title Bigger flexible carpools hereContent Bigger flexible carpools Carpoolers — we’ve got exciting update Drivers pick multiple rider different stop along route littletono detour Get ready fill empty seat save even gas make carpool fun Riders Easily join existing carpool Whenever see driver’s profile green “Available seats” badge simply request join wait confirmation ProTip Confirmed carpool Share detail friend invite fill extra seat tap share button top right corner screen Drivers carpool set additional rider ask join accept decline — future you’ll able offer ride well Stay tuned update ProTip send multiple offer may end getting rider carpool share route don’t shy — offer ride improvement Thank Waze Carpool veteran took time share feedback insight helped u improve overall experience We’ve redesigned Waze Carpool screen see live ride driver easily see full drive itinerary contact rider start carpool one tap Plus stop won’t make complicated drive experience Waze seamlessly guide driver every pickup dropoff spot let mark progress rider stay loop Maximum saving rider board save even Drivers fill 4 seat carpool earn bit extra rider — keeping mind price adjusted don’t exceed total sum gas wear tear rider price may adjusted person join amount depend distance rider get great deal ride work school Ready rev commute meet Wazers sure use latest version Waze Waze Carpool try grouppool Happy carpoolingTags Waze Ridesharing Uber Lyft |
191,108 | Sharing our data, Improving our cities | Sharing our data, Improving our cities
Via cnet.com
“Code is the new concrete for 21st century cities and we need a digital infrastructure to share data and create safer and more sustainable streets.” -Janette Sadik-Khan, former commissioner of the New York City Department of Transportation and an advisor on transportation and urban issues.
Ever since the advent of rideshare services, I’ve felt that it’s improved my life. I don’t have to feel awkward getting wave-rejected as an occupied taxi whizzes past me and I can avoid shady taxi drivers from taking me on the longest route possible. Ridesharing services have done me a great service and I think it’s fair to say that they’re doing very well for themselves too. But are companies doing any good for the world? Just last year, Uber, Ford and Lyft have partnered up with a company called SharedStreets to give city mayors across the world “unparalleled access to their road traffic data” in order to help cities rethink transportation.
Cities are trying to improve urban mobility but are unable to because their street maps are inadequate to deal with the super surge of cars taking up limited space. One very valuable space is the curb. People get dropped off there, bicyclists use it, cars park on it, and trucks unload there. It’s a crucial pain point not only for pedestrians and drivers who deal with constant delays from people blocking traffic but also for many businesses because freight and logistics companies are using the curb more and more and they have no way to collaborate well with the city. Many cities don’t have their infrastructures mapped out well and even more of a problem is that they don’t have enough data to make any actionable changes.
Ridesharing companies have a huge amount of data that cities could use to make traffic efficient and safer. For this cities-companies collaboration, Uber and Lyft provided a substantial amount of trip information including fare amount, vehicle speed data, pick up, and drop off data. However, even if these companies provided data to the cities, their street level data sets are still not compatible. Not only are city mapping systems different each other (the city of Detroit has cities within that all have their own way of managing their infrastructure), they’re also different from ridesharing companies.
SharedStreets makes it possible by creating an open-source, universal map language in a simple machine readable format that everyone — the city, companies and citizens — all have access to. And because SharedStreets is a third party, non-political, and non profit, Uber and Lyft do not need to fear risking proprietary secrets such as routing algorithms and SharedStreets removes thecompany name from the trips. Regarding our privacy, SharedStreets uses data in a way that is completely unrelated to the privacy of people. This allows all data to work in everyone’s favor without jeopardizing anyone’s interest.
via SharedStreets
Both cities and companies have been using a Geometric Information System(GIS) to map street level data. However, when data is merged together, the sets do not match. SharedStreets is able to link the two sets of data together by breaking down a street into short form IDs that can be referred back to in a database.
via SharedStreets
This is important because when it links up different maps’ data sets, the SharedStreets IDs provide a common reference. The grey lines represent different data sets of the same spot and the blue line represents the SharedStreet ID reference that allow a common ground.
via SharedStreets
via SharedStreets
The millions of GPS points are clustered together and allows analysis of traffic congestion, curb usage, how long cars stay in a spot, how often vehicles are picking up and dropping. With a common map and a huge amount of data, cities now have the resources to create a roadmap for urban mobility.
My thoughts
This has been one of the largest collaborations with private companies and the government in what seems very much like an active attempt from all sides to do good. I hope that these companies involved have set an example as a way of providing social good with data, especially for the ones that have been emerging as abusers of our trust and privacy.
Sources:
https://nacto.org/2018/02/22/nacto-and-otp-launch-sharedstreets/ | https://medium.com/@chrispfchung/sharing-our-data-improving-our-cities-2760ad353d05 | ['Chris Chung'] | 2018-11-24 06:09:31.479000+00:00 | ['Uber', 'Data Science'] | Title Sharing data Improving citiesContent Sharing data Improving city Via cnetcom “Code new concrete 21st century city need digital infrastructure share data create safer sustainable streets” Janette SadikKhan former commissioner New York City Department Transportation advisor transportation urban issue Ever since advent rideshare service I’ve felt it’s improved life don’t feel awkward getting waverejected occupied taxi whizz past avoid shady taxi driver taking longest route possible Ridesharing service done great service think it’s fair say they’re well company good world last year Uber Ford Lyft partnered company called SharedStreets give city mayor across world “unparalleled access road traffic data” order help city rethink transportation Cities trying improve urban mobility unable street map inadequate deal super surge car taking limited space One valuable space curb People get dropped bicyclist use car park truck unload It’s crucial pain point pedestrian driver deal constant delay people blocking traffic also many business freight logistics company using curb way collaborate well city Many city don’t infrastructure mapped well even problem don’t enough data make actionable change Ridesharing company huge amount data city could use make traffic efficient safer citiescompanies collaboration Uber Lyft provided substantial amount trip information including fare amount vehicle speed data pick drop data However even company provided data city street level data set still compatible city mapping system different city Detroit city within way managing infrastructure they’re also different ridesharing company SharedStreets make possible creating opensource universal map language simple machine readable format everyone — city company citizen — access SharedStreets third party nonpolitical non profit Uber Lyft need fear risking proprietary secret routing algorithm SharedStreets remove thecompany name trip Regarding privacy SharedStreets us data way completely unrelated privacy people allows data work everyone’s favor without jeopardizing anyone’s interest via SharedStreets city company using Geometric Information SystemGIS map street level data However data merged together set match SharedStreets able link two set data together breaking street short form IDs referred back database via SharedStreets important link different maps’ data set SharedStreets IDs provide common reference grey line represent different data set spot blue line represents SharedStreet ID reference allow common ground via SharedStreets via SharedStreets million GPS point clustered together allows analysis traffic congestion curb usage long car stay spot often vehicle picking dropping common map huge amount data city resource create roadmap urban mobility thought one largest collaboration private company government seems much like active attempt side good hope company involved set example way providing social good data especially one emerging abuser trust privacy Sources httpsnactoorg20180222nactoandotplaunchsharedstreetsTags Uber Data Science |
191,109 | My new adventure at Uber Freight. Disclaimer: The views in this post are… | My new adventure at Uber Freight
Disclaimer: The views in this post are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Uber or Uber Freight.
Your Uber Freight has arrived…
This post isn’t ground breaking. It isn’t creating a new genre of posts. But it’s not going to be a self validating, the grass is actually greener post about taking a new job. Well at least I don’t think it is, but it probably will be.
I started recently at Uber, and within my first few weeks have already switched roles once from leading our product marketing team, to leading the shipper marketing team here at Uber Freight. In short, Uber is surprisingly a great place to work, and I’m excited for the opportunity ahead. But my biggest hesitation when joining Uber was what the culture of the company was going to be like. I’ve been fortunate to join a team of self selecting individuals who are willing to roll up their sleeves and dive into solving the challenges inherent with moving 80,000 pounds of freight, one truckload at a time.
Leadership
Leading Uber is a thankless job. I’ve been more attuned to it since I joined how every time Dara posts anything on Twitter, he is immediately vilified in the comments — ain’t no ratio like an official Uber tweet ratio. But from my limited experience of seeing him speak at one of our events in my first week on team, and at weekly all hands, he is the type of leader that Uber needs. He is humble, but not to the extent that he undermines the success of the team — he celebrates achievements and generously casts the spotlight on the initiatives and teams that make Uber an inspiring place to work. He is thoughtful and empathetic, and ultimately he understands that we have to win on product. Lastly, he and his leadership team believe in encouraging and enabling a workforce that is free of self-defeating cynicism.
Challenges
The brand and the business are not immune from competition. The growth rate at the company is slowing, and new forms of mobility are in early stages of explorations while these bets are formed. Brand perception is still suffering from years of aggressive, Silicon Valley bro-culture actions that have come to define the company, and unfortunately its employees.
However, I have come to see that this is a company filled with hard working, fundamentally decent and caring people who do truly believe that they are working on something that will outlive them. Painting all Uber employees with the same brush — perhaps as rabid capitalists hell bent on ignoring anything that stood between them and the next dollar (which definitely wasn’t something I ever did…) — does not reflect the diversity of experiences and backgrounds of those working here. And with regards to that diversity, it is refreshing to see leadership at all levels acknowledge that yes, we can do better, and we will do better, and here’s how.
Future
The answer to what does the future of Uber hold, I think, also answers the question: Why did I come to Uber?
In an era when companies are innovating by reconfiguring algorithms, and finding new ways to sell your data, I do believe that Uber is one of the few companies that is willing to make large bets in areas that will affect every single person on this planet — and ideally prevent us from completely destroying what’s left of our planet. You’re welcome to disagree with this, to believe only the TC articles and worst possible stories that come out from a company that has 15 million interactions with consumers every single day. And while all those stories, criticisms, and in some cases, failings, are valid representations, they do not define the culture of the company at which I currently work.
The Uber that I work at is one that is taking its mission of igniting opportunity by setting the world in motion to categories that very few traditional Silicon Valley companies would dare. Fundamentally, my job is helping create opportunities for truck drivers. Are Google, Amazon, Facebook or Apple doing that as directly as building an app with the defined purpose of helping owner-operators build sustainable, small businesses? And it’s not 100% altruistic, I get that, globally, it’s a $4 trillion industry…trillion with a T. But with that massive scale, there is an opportunity to reduce the 200 million tons of emission that the Environmental Defense Fund estimates are generated each year by underutilized trucks just in the United States.
The Uber I work at is building flying cars. No joke. Flying cars. And where everyone expects that team to deliver on their goals of building an entire infrastructure from scratch to support their goal.
Every leader at Uber believes in the mission of igniting opportunity by setting the world in motion, because our constituents aren’t shareholders, or employees, or customers. Our constituents are every single one of us — present and future — on this planet.
And if that means I just wrote a self-validating-grass-is-always-greener-I-just-drank-a-gallon-of-kool-aid™ post, then so be it. | https://medium.com/@nbalaraman/a-new-adventure-at-uber-freight-6dd7dcab86f | ['Nikhil Balaraman'] | 2018-11-16 20:30:31.992000+00:00 | ['Startup', 'Uber', 'Freight'] | Title new adventure Uber Freight Disclaimer view post are…Content new adventure Uber Freight Disclaimer view post necessarily reflect view Uber Uber Freight Uber Freight arrived… post isn’t ground breaking isn’t creating new genre post it’s going self validating grass actually greener post taking new job Well least don’t think probably started recently Uber within first week already switched role leading product marketing team leading shipper marketing team Uber Freight short Uber surprisingly great place work I’m excited opportunity ahead biggest hesitation joining Uber culture company going like I’ve fortunate join team self selecting individual willing roll sleeve dive solving challenge inherent moving 80000 pound freight one truckload time Leadership Leading Uber thankless job I’ve attuned since joined every time Dara post anything Twitter immediately vilified comment — ain’t ratio like official Uber tweet ratio limited experience seeing speak one event first week team weekly hand type leader Uber need humble extent undermines success team — celebrates achievement generously cast spotlight initiative team make Uber inspiring place work thoughtful empathetic ultimately understands win product Lastly leadership team believe encouraging enabling workforce free selfdefeating cynicism Challenges brand business immune competition growth rate company slowing new form mobility early stage exploration bet formed Brand perception still suffering year aggressive Silicon Valley broculture action come define company unfortunately employee However come see company filled hard working fundamentally decent caring people truly believe working something outlive Painting Uber employee brush — perhaps rabid capitalist hell bent ignoring anything stood next dollar definitely wasn’t something ever did… — reflect diversity experience background working regard diversity refreshing see leadership level acknowledge yes better better here’s Future answer future Uber hold think also answer question come Uber era company innovating reconfiguring algorithm finding new way sell data believe Uber one company willing make large bet area affect every single person planet — ideally prevent u completely destroying what’s left planet You’re welcome disagree believe TC article worst possible story come company 15 million interaction consumer every single day story criticism case failing valid representation define culture company currently work Uber work one taking mission igniting opportunity setting world motion category traditional Silicon Valley company would dare Fundamentally job helping create opportunity truck driver Google Amazon Facebook Apple directly building app defined purpose helping owneroperators build sustainable small business it’s 100 altruistic get globally it’s 4 trillion industry…trillion massive scale opportunity reduce 200 million ton emission Environmental Defense Fund estimate generated year underutilized truck United States Uber work building flying car joke Flying car everyone expects team deliver goal building entire infrastructure scratch support goal Every leader Uber belief mission igniting opportunity setting world motion constituent aren’t shareholder employee customer constituent every single one u — present future — planet mean wrote selfvalidatinggrassisalwaysgreenerIjustdrankagallonofkoolaid™ post itTags Startup Uber Freight |
191,110 | Coworking Case Studies: A Breeding Ground for Tech Giants | Coworking Case Studies: A Breeding Ground for Tech Giants
Coworking spaces offer smaller business flexibility, the opportunity to collaborate, cheaper overheads and access to top locations. They are a vital option in today’s economy for tech startups developing their products.
But are companies actually using them to become successful household names?
The short answer is a resounding yes.
Given the turbulent nature of life as a tech startup, many of the most successful products launched in recent years were born in coworking spaces such as Primalbase, WeWork, Regus or Spaces. From ridesharing to blockchain to social media, coworking spaces have incubated some of today’s biggest names — proving they are more than a last resort for cash-strapped new companies.
We took a look at the most notorious examples.
Uber
It’s almost impossible to talk about the success of co-working spaces without mentioning one of the most infamous companies in the world: Uber.
The ‘ride sharing’ giant has made headlines in their eventful nine-year history, both good and bad, and have been one of the key players in ushering in the controversial gig economy.
Although it’s almost impossible to believe now given its size, Uber began life in a coworking space.
When the team consisted of just eight people, Uber operated out of a coworking space in San Francisco, California. The space gave them the flexibility and cheaper overheads to keep going — before the likes of Google Ventures and Fidelity Ventures invested heavily, enabling the company to expand into over 250 cities.
Hootsuite
Software as a Service (SaaS) is a crowded space, with only the best ideas making it from development to market, let alone mass adoption. This takes time, and piling valuable resources into a permanent, private office space is too risky for companies starting out in a competitive space.
Hootsuite is one SaaS provider that became a resounding success. Their software allows users to manage different social media accounts in one place, a particularly useful tool for marketers.
Now valued at over $1 billion, Hootsuite started life in a coworking space in Vancouver, Canada, where it was able to hone its product, make connections and secure the funding necessary to take it to the next level.
Waves
Waves is an open-source blockchain platform building known for being ‘the world’s fastest blockchain’. In 2017, Waves partnered with Deloitte to launch the development of a legal framework for wider adoption of blockchain technologies — proof that the platform is thinking ahead to real-world adoption alongside developing the core technology itself.
Not only did Waves begin life in Primalbase’s coworking spaces, it uses them today. Waves was attracted to coworking for the same reason so many others have been in the past: flexibility and affordability. These are both due to Primalbase’s unique tokenised business model and leasing system.
Waves CEO Sasha Ivanov explained that the community spirit fostered through Primalbase’s unique business model is also a major attraction. “It facilitates collaboration a lot because you exchange ideas and meet people and share contacts,” he said. “Everyone is really enthusiastic and welcoming because of the startup nature of the different companies, and they’re real tech people so they love what they do.”
Instagram
The idea behind Instagram was simple — Facebook with only the pictures. It was an idea that led to a whopping 1 million users signing up within two months of launching, and it has gone from strength to strength ever since.
Two years later after it was founded, with only 13 employees at the company, Instagram was acquired by Facebook. Today, it may be housed in Facebook’s mega-complex in Silicon Valley, but it began life in a coworking space. The coworking space reduced the expensive risk of moving into a permanent office too early in the company’s development and can be credited with inflicting a million inane pictures into the world. And some nice ones too.
d+b !ntersection
Design company d+b !ntersection is an interesting case because its founder, Alexandra Rodriguez, initially ran the business from her own Barcelona flat. Naturally, a lot of companies start this way, unable to afford office space until the project gets off of the ground, or simply without the workforce to necessitate a shared space.
For Rodriguez, though, the decision to move into a coworking space was made because she believed they are naturally inspiring spaces. She felt that it would give her a place to meet like-minded creatives and share project ideas. The influence that being around other thriving companies can have on a business shouldn’t be underestimated, with opportunities for collaboration and inspiration abundant, and d+b !ntersection have gone from strength to strength since making the decision to move into a shared space.
Are you interested in finding out more about being in a coworking site can do for you? Send us an email at [email protected] to ask any questions you might have or to set up a tour so you can see for yourself! | https://medium.com/primalbase/coworking-spaces-offer-smaller-business-flexibility-and-collaboration-at-a-price-they-can-afford-a93b3d8fc97 | ['Charlie Sammonds'] | 2018-11-15 17:00:38.650000+00:00 | ['Coworking', 'Uber', 'Startup', 'Technology'] | Title Coworking Case Studies Breeding Ground Tech GiantsContent Coworking Case Studies Breeding Ground Tech Giants Coworking space offer smaller business flexibility opportunity collaborate cheaper overhead access top location vital option today’s economy tech startup developing product company actually using become successful household name short answer resounding yes Given turbulent nature life tech startup many successful product launched recent year born coworking space Primalbase WeWork Regus Spaces ridesharing blockchain social medium coworking space incubated today’s biggest name — proving last resort cashstrapped new company took look notorious example Uber It’s almost impossible talk success coworking space without mentioning one infamous company world Uber ‘ride sharing’ giant made headline eventful nineyear history good bad one key player ushering controversial gig economy Although it’s almost impossible believe given size Uber began life coworking space team consisted eight people Uber operated coworking space San Francisco California space gave flexibility cheaper overhead keep going — like Google Ventures Fidelity Ventures invested heavily enabling company expand 250 city Hootsuite Software Service SaaS crowded space best idea making development market let alone mass adoption take time piling valuable resource permanent private office space risky company starting competitive space Hootsuite one SaaS provider became resounding success software allows user manage different social medium account one place particularly useful tool marketer valued 1 billion Hootsuite started life coworking space Vancouver Canada able hone product make connection secure funding necessary take next level Waves Waves opensource blockchain platform building known ‘the world’s fastest blockchain’ 2017 Waves partnered Deloitte launch development legal framework wider adoption blockchain technology — proof platform thinking ahead realworld adoption alongside developing core technology Waves begin life Primalbase’s coworking space us today Waves attracted coworking reason many others past flexibility affordability due Primalbase’s unique tokenised business model leasing system Waves CEO Sasha Ivanov explained community spirit fostered Primalbase’s unique business model also major attraction “It facilitates collaboration lot exchange idea meet people share contacts” said “Everyone really enthusiastic welcoming startup nature different company they’re real tech people love do” Instagram idea behind Instagram simple — Facebook picture idea led whopping 1 million user signing within two month launching gone strength strength ever since Two year later founded 13 employee company Instagram acquired Facebook Today may housed Facebook’s megacomplex Silicon Valley began life coworking space coworking space reduced expensive risk moving permanent office early company’s development credited inflicting million inane picture world nice one db ntersection Design company db ntersection interesting case founder Alexandra Rodriguez initially ran business Barcelona flat Naturally lot company start way unable afford office space project get ground simply without workforce necessitate shared space Rodriguez though decision move coworking space made believed naturally inspiring space felt would give place meet likeminded creatives share project idea influence around thriving company business shouldn’t underestimated opportunity collaboration inspiration abundant db ntersection gone strength strength since making decision move shared space interested finding coworking site Send u email primalprimalbasecom ask question might set tour see yourselfTags Coworking Uber Startup Technology |
191,111 | Why Traveling through Taxis Is Better Than Other Transport Mediums? Choose Wisely Save More | Why Traveling through Taxis Is Better Than Other Transport Mediums? Choose Wisely Save More
People who can’t afford to purchase a personal vehicle often rely on taxis or local public transport mediums. For going from a place to another by taxi, people may consider several facts but somehow these facts could also leave them thinking more before hiring a taxi, such as why to hire a taxi, where to get one and the most important concern ‘which taxi service would be best for them’. In this blog, I’ve discussed the answers to all such questions which come in your mind while you decide on which taxi service would be best for you.
In most cases, people hire a taxi because either they don’t own a personal vehicle or they don’t know how to drive. Such people have no other option than to get taxis to reach their destinations. On the other hand, there are those who enjoy the ride. By appointing a Tunbridge Wells to Stansted taxi service in UK, you get the privilege to sit back, relax, and enjoy the ride without any responsibility of driving, keeping your head straight and your eyes on the road. You can simply enjoy your journey by taking glances at the outer world and the driver will safely drop you at your destination.
Some people have difficulties in remembering certain long routes resulting they might get confused in the streets. Such people can get the benefits of hiring a taxi as mostly all the taxi services generally employ highly experienced and good drivers who know most of all the routs. In some cases, for instance, if you are getting late for your office, during such situations, you can ask them to drop you to the office through the shortest route available and the driver would do his best to drop you safely on time.
The best benefit anyone can get from any reputable taxi service is the reasonable fare. Most of the taxi services which you can appoint in advance generally cost you cheaper than any other standard or private taxis. You won’t need to worry about additional expenses such as toll and parking fee; any reputed company would not cost you more than the calculated fare according to the length of travel. This way you can enjoy the ride without any worry about extra charges. However, if you hire a Tunbridge Wells to Stansted airport taxi and back to Tunbridge, the driver may ask you to pay airport parking fee and nothing more than that.
It can also give you a major benefit if you book a taxi in advance. This way, you can save a big amount of time that you might have wasted by roaming around the streets and waiting for local taxis to pick you up. While the driver would be on his way to you, you can complete your packing and get ready as generally, these taxi services take not more than 20 minutes to reach the riders.
The facts mentioned above are a few of many other benefits of hiring a taxi. You can go online and check for different taxi service providers in your area, also ask for referrals from your friends or family to find a reliable taxi service for you. | https://medium.com/@twblackcar/why-traveling-through-taxis-is-better-than-other-transport-mediums-choose-wisely-save-more-94bcbac00388 | ['Tw Black Cars Ltd'] | 2018-11-16 10:37:20.787000+00:00 | ['Uber'] | Title Traveling Taxis Better Transport Mediums Choose Wisely Save MoreContent Traveling Taxis Better Transport Mediums Choose Wisely Save People can’t afford purchase personal vehicle often rely taxi local public transport medium going place another taxi people may consider several fact somehow fact could also leave thinking hiring taxi hire taxi get one important concern ‘which taxi service would best them’ blog I’ve discussed answer question come mind decide taxi service would best case people hire taxi either don’t personal vehicle don’t know drive people option get taxi reach destination hand enjoy ride appointing Tunbridge Wells Stansted taxi service UK get privilege sit back relax enjoy ride without responsibility driving keeping head straight eye road simply enjoy journey taking glance outer world driver safely drop destination people difficulty remembering certain long route resulting might get confused street people get benefit hiring taxi mostly taxi service generally employ highly experienced good driver know rout case instance getting late office situation ask drop office shortest route available driver would best drop safely time best benefit anyone get reputable taxi service reasonable fare taxi service appoint advance generally cost cheaper standard private taxi won’t need worry additional expense toll parking fee reputed company would cost calculated fare according length travel way enjoy ride without worry extra charge However hire Tunbridge Wells Stansted airport taxi back Tunbridge driver may ask pay airport parking fee nothing also give major benefit book taxi advance way save big amount time might wasted roaming around street waiting local taxi pick driver would way complete packing get ready generally taxi service take 20 minute reach rider fact mentioned many benefit hiring taxi go online check different taxi service provider area also ask referral friend family find reliable taxi service youTags Uber |
191,112 | The Algorithmic Anarchy of Uberland | The Algorithmic Anarchy of Uberland
A quick review of Alex Rosenblat’s new publication — Uberland
I was lingering on Amazon to pick up my next read, when I came across, fresh off the press — “Uberland: How Algorithms are Rewriting the Rules of Work” by Alex Rosenblat, a technology ethnographer.
Image Source: Here
Being an anti-trust lawyer, I have observed Uber largely through its pricing practices, and have been trying to dig into whether algorithms can violate antitrust laws. (I have a love-hate professional relationship with claims of “platform neutrality” and “algorithmic neutrality” — transitioning only more recently to the inevitable admission that algorithms can at best only be built upon existing societal biases)
I was tempted to pick up this book for two reasons. First, I recently read a lot of literature surrounding the nuances of the term “sharing economy”. However, I was unable to reconcile the concept with the actual business models of the most quoted examples of the sharing economy — Uber and AirBnB. Second, I wanted to feed my newfound curiosity on the impact of the new economy model on labour markets. Having recently read Temp by Louis Hyman, and discovering a revealing quote from Uber’s ex-CEO Travis Kalanick in this podcast at Recode, while explaining Uber’s motivations for investing in (or allegedly stealing IP from Google for) driverless cars, I was curious to dig deeper into the Uber way of viewing labour.
“Well, you know what the problem with my business is, is the guy in the front seat. He costs a lot of money, and if I can get rid of him, that would be a business.” - Travis Kalanick
Rosenblat cuts to the chase in the initial few pages of the book, calling Uber’s bluff — of crafty positioning and doublespeak — and confusing their position on drivers as entrepreneurs, workers or merely consumers of Uber’s technology solution. The rest of the book provides a detailed on-ground account of Uber’s story in North America from 2014 till date, in an attempt to discover how precisely Uber might just be a red-herring for a larger shift in societal perceptions about work, through this problematic proposition of viewing workers as consumers.
Through the pages, Rosenblat takes the effort of developing thoroughly detailed driver experience canvasses to amplify and provide context to the continued global press coverage surrounding the waves of controversy at Uber. All this, to get a fuller picture of the “algorithmic boss” Uber has set loose, to nudge its “employees”, while sternly maintaining that its drivers are merely “customers” of its technology.
While the book does make a point about how Uber’s example gives us insights into the future of work, and enables us to look beyond the over simplified and deterministic panaceas offered by Silicon Valley in the form of ideas like Universal Basic Income — the book serves in equal parts as a harsh critique of the “move fast and break things” philosophy that has come to dominate most of what Silicon Valley seems to view as the norm in high innovation. And that is what I liked most about the narrative — it doesn’t hold back — and reads as an overtly political account of Uber’s overtures at gaining regulatory arbitrage through its narrative of technology exceptionalism.
In the process, she covers the chaotic public affairs spins that have spread Uber in all directions, and touches upon the various reasons why Uber wins. For example, by touching upon the backdrop against which the “gig economy” idea gained mileage, and the clever leveraging of the typical “millenial way of working” image by Uber and other similar platforms, to give weight to the idea of Uber drivers being essentially entrepreneurs in line with the new norm.
Along the way she delivers some shockers, some of which gained wide media coverage, and others which even to me, were eye-openers, and would certainly give readers a lot of food for thought about the failings of extant institutions, and the ways in which even newer decentralised models could fail us in similar ways. For instance, I was indeed blind to the fact that sometimes, Google Maps’ algorithm may not send me on a route because it’s the fastest, but because it’s a route about which it doesn’t have any data. And she does have a point here. Do that to me for a free service — yes sure there are still some ethical questions. But do that in a context where you use an algorithm to provide behavioural nudges to drivers who depend on the algorithm for their livelihood, backed by potential sanctions of deactivation from the platform, all while trying to disavow yourself of the true nature of the relationship between the platform and the drivers, algorithm based decisions can have wide ramifications.
In fact the book made me validate my newfound admission that algorithms may at best reflect extant societal biases, by pointing out that in certain states in the US, if one types in a name that is statistically such that it indicates an African-American ethnicity, then Google is likely to throw up Ads for criminal justice background checks, amplifying extant racial biases.
No wonder therefore, the book had me going “wow” out loud and smirking on public transport, several times, as bystanders stared at me disapprovingly. And even though, the book didn't go as far as to convince me that Uber template is indeed the future of work, it did give me some well put together material to ponder over the ways in which technology is often pitched against existing legal frameworks, and whether jurisdictions necessarily have to serve up a “law of the horse”, just because the buggy industry says it is needed.
All in all, it’s not just a useful resource for those trying to develop an answer to the questions the book raises, it’s a must read for pretty much everyone, to get a fuller view of the way in which the new economy business model continues to evolve, in ways both ugly and innovative.
(Written as a part of the requirements for the course — History of Technology Revolution offered at Sciences Po, Paris) | https://medium.com/@indrajeetsircar/the-algorithmic-anarchy-of-uberland-d7498e9e75a6 | ['Indrajeet Sircar'] | 2018-12-10 18:04:49.247000+00:00 | ['Uber', 'Sharing Economy', 'Book Review'] | Title Algorithmic Anarchy UberlandContent Algorithmic Anarchy Uberland quick review Alex Rosenblat’s new publication — Uberland lingering Amazon pick next read came across fresh press — “Uberland Algorithms Rewriting Rules Work” Alex Rosenblat technology ethnographer Image Source antitrust lawyer observed Uber largely pricing practice trying dig whether algorithm violate antitrust law lovehate professional relationship claim “platform neutrality” “algorithmic neutrality” — transitioning recently inevitable admission algorithm best built upon existing societal bias tempted pick book two reason First recently read lot literature surrounding nuance term “sharing economy” However unable reconcile concept actual business model quoted example sharing economy — Uber AirBnB Second wanted feed newfound curiosity impact new economy model labour market recently read Temp Louis Hyman discovering revealing quote Uber’s exCEO Travis Kalanick podcast Recode explaining Uber’s motivation investing allegedly stealing IP Google driverless car curious dig deeper Uber way viewing labour “Well know problem business guy front seat cost lot money get rid would business” Travis Kalanick Rosenblat cut chase initial page book calling Uber’s bluff — crafty positioning doublespeak — confusing position driver entrepreneur worker merely consumer Uber’s technology solution rest book provides detailed onground account Uber’s story North America 2014 till date attempt discover precisely Uber might redherring larger shift societal perception work problematic proposition viewing worker consumer page Rosenblat take effort developing thoroughly detailed driver experience canvass amplify provide context continued global press coverage surrounding wave controversy Uber get fuller picture “algorithmic boss” Uber set loose nudge “employees” sternly maintaining driver merely “customers” technology book make point Uber’s example give u insight future work enables u look beyond simplified deterministic panacea offered Silicon Valley form idea like Universal Basic Income — book serf equal part harsh critique “move fast break things” philosophy come dominate Silicon Valley seems view norm high innovation liked narrative — doesn’t hold back — read overtly political account Uber’s overture gaining regulatory arbitrage narrative technology exceptionalism process cover chaotic public affair spin spread Uber direction touch upon various reason Uber win example touching upon backdrop “gig economy” idea gained mileage clever leveraging typical “millenial way working” image Uber similar platform give weight idea Uber driver essentially entrepreneur line new norm Along way delivers shocker gained wide medium coverage others even eyeopeners would certainly give reader lot food thought failing extant institution way even newer decentralised model could fail u similar way instance indeed blind fact sometimes Google Maps’ algorithm may send route it’s fastest it’s route doesn’t data point free service — yes sure still ethical question context use algorithm provide behavioural nudge driver depend algorithm livelihood backed potential sanction deactivation platform trying disavow true nature relationship platform driver algorithm based decision wide ramification fact book made validate newfound admission algorithm may best reflect extant societal bias pointing certain state US one type name statistically indicates AfricanAmerican ethnicity Google likely throw Ads criminal justice background check amplifying extant racial bias wonder therefore book going “wow” loud smirking public transport several time bystander stared disapprovingly even though book didnt go far convince Uber template indeed future work give well put together material ponder way technology often pitched existing legal framework whether jurisdiction necessarily serve “law horse” buggy industry say needed it’s useful resource trying develop answer question book raise it’s must read pretty much everyone get fuller view way new economy business model continues evolve way ugly innovative Written part requirement course — History Technology Revolution offered Sciences Po ParisTags Uber Sharing Economy Book Review |
191,113 | Should the creation of low income jobs be considered as Social Entrepreneurship? | Should the creation of low income jobs be considered as Social Entrepreneurship?
Research on entrepreneurship has undergone a transition from a traditional to a modern approach on entrepreneurship, which introduces more liberating ideas, other than the conventional views that classify entrepreneurial activities as a financial emancipation. Early research defined entrepreneurship as a strong-willed activity to initiate a profit-oriented business. As theory developed, researchers recognized the importance of social and societal aspects involved in entrepreneuring and started to bring entrepreneurship more in line with social and societal considerations.
However, theory on social entrepreneurship limits change potential of entrepreneurship given that it intends a particular approach of social change. Through their literature, scholars argue that social entrepreneurs and social businesses have limited change potential. When researchers or practitioners talk about social entrepreneurship, they usually talk about improving the lives of minorities or people in developing countries or green energy solutions that tackle environmental issues.
However, not only social entrepreneurs contribute to tackling social needs. A new wave of researchers argue that all entrepreneurial initiatives generate socio-economic value, and should be studied and understood accordingly. As the discussion on the change potential of entrepreneurship continues, I would like to suggest an expansion of the general understanding of social entrepreneurship.
As an illustrative case I would like to argue whether or not the creation of low jobs should be considered as social entrepreneurship, given the concern that technology could produce a social disruption by creating scarcity for this particular class within the workforce.
The emerge of technology has precipitated a similar scenario to the industrial revolution as it initiated a social disruption by increasing severely the gap between low and high income class.
Given that workers at the bottom of the labor force structure or low-wage jobs will be most immediately affected by technological displacement, researchers urge for the need to start thinking about compensating them for this social disruption caused by automation.
There is far-reaching concern that new technology will fundamentally alter the future of work by displacing traditional jobs. While some argue that technological development will generate more jobs than it destroys, others claim that that technology is destroying jobs faster than it is creating them. According to the World Economic Forum, 7 out of the 10 emerging roles by 2022 are jobs that require a high technological affiliation. These include Data analyst and Data Scientists, AI and Machine learning specialists or Big Data specialists. Among others, roles that are declining until 2022 include jobs such as Accounting and bookkeeping, Assembly and factory workers and postal service workers.
As stated by Andrew McAfee, a principal research scientist at MIT, emerging technologies have made their way from science fiction movies into the mainstream economy and will encounter millions of truck drivers and call center agents around the world. In the United States, while GDP has risen in the last years, median income has not, while inequality has grown. As a result of great productivity, although technology companies offer disruptive solutions, they do not create jobs. Whatsapp only employs approximately 50 people, although it counts over one billion active monthly users.
Although controversial, Uber is a factual example of a high-tech company that has been producing low income jobs in the recent years. Uber is used in this case as it is a hot topic and up-to-date. Various other cases from the sharing economy and beyond could be used upon further research in order to illustrate the above mentioned ideas. According to Uber, in 2017, the company “contracted” around 2.7 million drivers in the world, which are low to middle income jobs depending on whether drivers choose Uber as their main source of income or as a supplementary income source. Research further suggests that total employment expanded in cities where the Uber platform was adopted and that there are no evidence of adverse employment impacts on traditional taxi drivers, as their number also increased by 10%, according to the research.
Uber is not classified as a social enterprise if we stick to definitions on social entrepreneurship suggested by researchers. To be classified as a social enterprise, theory suggests that a company needs to prioritize meeting social needs. Generally, this definition is too limiting, given the change potential of business entrepreneurs in general. Uber illustrates a case of a company that is expected to prioritize profit. The company is sensitive to economic matrices as revenues, net income or the trend of monthly active users, that it needs to monitor, to satisfy investors. Being backed by numerous investors makes Uber an economic driven company that yet has an socio-economic impact in the cities where it deploys its platform by offering a solution to the scarcity of low income jobs. The case of Uber illustrates how a company that not necessarily falls within the current definition of social entrepreneurship can have an impact where it is operating.
Given the scarcity of low income jobs in the future, as suggested by research, precipitated by emerging technologies, and the precarious definition on social entrepreneurship, the case of Uber should initiate a discussion, peculiarly among scholars, in order to expand their definition on social entrepreneurship as it limits change potential of entrepreneurs. | https://medium.com/@dillon.berjani/should-the-creation-of-low-income-jobs-be-considered-as-social-entrepreneurship-463785478831 | ['Dillon Berjani'] | 2018-11-26 13:15:53.959000+00:00 | ['Social Enterprise', 'Social Entrepreneurship', 'Uber', 'Entrepreneurship', 'Technology'] | Title creation low income job considered Social EntrepreneurshipContent creation low income job considered Social Entrepreneurship Research entrepreneurship undergone transition traditional modern approach entrepreneurship introduces liberating idea conventional view classify entrepreneurial activity financial emancipation Early research defined entrepreneurship strongwilled activity initiate profitoriented business theory developed researcher recognized importance social societal aspect involved entrepreneuring started bring entrepreneurship line social societal consideration However theory social entrepreneurship limit change potential entrepreneurship given intends particular approach social change literature scholar argue social entrepreneur social business limited change potential researcher practitioner talk social entrepreneurship usually talk improving life minority people developing country green energy solution tackle environmental issue However social entrepreneur contribute tackling social need new wave researcher argue entrepreneurial initiative generate socioeconomic value studied understood accordingly discussion change potential entrepreneurship continues would like suggest expansion general understanding social entrepreneurship illustrative case would like argue whether creation low job considered social entrepreneurship given concern technology could produce social disruption creating scarcity particular class within workforce emerge technology precipitated similar scenario industrial revolution initiated social disruption increasing severely gap low high income class Given worker bottom labor force structure lowwage job immediately affected technological displacement researcher urge need start thinking compensating social disruption caused automation farreaching concern new technology fundamentally alter future work displacing traditional job argue technological development generate job destroys others claim technology destroying job faster creating According World Economic Forum 7 10 emerging role 2022 job require high technological affiliation include Data analyst Data Scientists AI Machine learning specialist Big Data specialist Among others role declining 2022 include job Accounting bookkeeping Assembly factory worker postal service worker stated Andrew McAfee principal research scientist MIT emerging technology made way science fiction movie mainstream economy encounter million truck driver call center agent around world United States GDP risen last year median income inequality grown result great productivity although technology company offer disruptive solution create job Whatsapp employ approximately 50 people although count one billion active monthly user Although controversial Uber factual example hightech company producing low income job recent year Uber used case hot topic uptodate Various case sharing economy beyond could used upon research order illustrate mentioned idea According Uber 2017 company “contracted” around 27 million driver world low middle income job depending whether driver choose Uber main source income supplementary income source Research suggests total employment expanded city Uber platform adopted evidence adverse employment impact traditional taxi driver number also increased 10 according research Uber classified social enterprise stick definition social entrepreneurship suggested researcher classified social enterprise theory suggests company need prioritize meeting social need Generally definition limiting given change potential business entrepreneur general Uber illustrates case company expected prioritize profit company sensitive economic matrix revenue net income trend monthly active user need monitor satisfy investor backed numerous investor make Uber economic driven company yet socioeconomic impact city deploys platform offering solution scarcity low income job case Uber illustrates company necessarily fall within current definition social entrepreneurship impact operating Given scarcity low income job future suggested research precipitated emerging technology precarious definition social entrepreneurship case Uber initiate discussion peculiarly among scholar order expand definition social entrepreneurship limit change potential entrepreneursTags Social Enterprise Social Entrepreneurship Uber Entrepreneurship Technology |
191,114 | Skip’s Unique Approach to Last-Mile Transit and Why I Joined as Head of Product | Skip’s Unique Approach to Last-Mile Transit and Why I Joined as Head of Product
I am excited to announce that I’m joining Skip Scooters as its head of product.
The need for micro-mobility.
I came to Uber nearly five years ago when Black cars were still half of its trips (before carpooling, food delivery, and self-driving cars), the service was operating in 50 cities (seven percent of today’s number), and drivers had to navigate themselves to pickups and dropoffs (and riders had to verbally tell drivers where they wanted to go… crazy, right?).
Uber has truly revolutionized how we get around. But this success has an underbelly: Cities are more congested than ever, most people still need to travel in cars, which is both expensive and dangerous, and last-mile transit is still an unsolved problem. For example, there’s simply no great way to go from the Caltrain to the Mission.
Enter shared electric vehicles, like kick scooters.
Since scooters launched in SF a few weeks ago, I haven’t taken a single Uber within the city. Scooters have been fun, fast, and inexpensive compared with my alternatives — walking or ridepooling. In fact, my wife and I ran an experiment in which she took an UberPOOL Express and I took a Skip scooter from one of Uber’s offices to home. In that 2.5-mile commute, I arrived home five minutes faster and my commute was 25 percent cheaper! My wife, a self-proclaimed ridehailing fangirl, was impressed.
My commuter use case isn’t the only one for scooters… But it certainly opened my eyes to the magnitude of the opportunity. In many U.S. cities, a substantial portion of all ridehailing trips are less than three miles in distance with an average speed slower than a fast run. The available market for scooters isn’t niche, e.g. just for tourists or teenagers, it is much much larger: A substitute for walking and even taking an Uber when you shouldn’t be.
Why I Skip.
Many companies have launched shared scooter networks to capitalize on this opportunity. Why do I believe Skip has a shot to win?
Partnership with cities
Skip believes in working together with transportation departments, community groups, and neighborhoods — not in spite of them. This is important because scooters will get regulated and, in many cities, permit capped. And that’s ok: No one wants scooters littering city streets, blocking pathways, and populating metallic graveyards (for a glimpse into such a dystopia, check out China). Skip’s city-friendly approach enabled it to receive the first permitted system of its kind in the U.S. in Washington D.C. It’s also the basis behind its entry in San Francisco, a flagship regulatory market that inevitably others will follow.
Full-stack product innovation
Designing EVs for the rugged conditions of city streets is in Skip’s DNA. In 2011, CEO Sanjay Dastoor and co-founder Matt Tran built Boosted Boards, the most popular electric skateboards on the market and helped design the first portable electric vehicle to use modern EV motor and battery systems. I’m excited to partner with Sanjay and the rest of the Skip team to infuse scooter hardware with software-driven intelligence. Whether it’s safe riding tracking and parking enforcement with deep learning, mobile experiences for riders to find and navigate to their destinations, seamless task platforms for crowdsourced labor (we call them “rangers”) to charge, reposition, and repair scooters, and tools for cities to better track and optimize traffic… The scope of the products to be built here is massive.
Focus on unit economics
Finally, Skip is focused on building a real business. The demise of Jawbone earlier this year should serve as an important reminder to anyone playing in consumer products: Unit economics matter. Product innovation around automation, anti-theft, and anti-fraud is needed to bend the curve.
Let’s go!
It’s very early days for Skip (it just hit its one-year anniversary!). The team is small and scrappy, and there are major challenges to overcome in every aspect of the business. But it’s this David vs. Goliath challenge, and the opportunity to make our cities more livable and streets safer through shared EVs, that make me superpumped about this next step.
Even my wife Neha has joined the bandwagon. Date night has taken on a whole new meaning!
Our team is growing. If you’re interested in learning more, please get in touch! You can find me at shalin <at> skipscooters.com. | https://medium.com/@shamantri/skips-unique-approach-to-last-mile-transit-and-why-i-joined-as-head-of-product-1f0b9b7245c1 | ['Shalin Mantri'] | 2018-11-20 19:21:08.425000+00:00 | ['Transportation', 'Electric Scooters', 'Scooters', 'Uber', 'Mobility'] | Title Skip’s Unique Approach LastMile Transit Joined Head ProductContent Skip’s Unique Approach LastMile Transit Joined Head Product excited announce I’m joining Skip Scooters head product need micromobility came Uber nearly five year ago Black car still half trip carpooling food delivery selfdriving car service operating 50 city seven percent today’s number driver navigate pickup dropoffs rider verbally tell driver wanted go… crazy right Uber truly revolutionized get around success underbelly Cities congested ever people still need travel car expensive dangerous lastmile transit still unsolved problem example there’s simply great way go Caltrain Mission Enter shared electric vehicle like kick scooter Since scooter launched SF week ago haven’t taken single Uber within city Scooters fun fast inexpensive compared alternative — walking ridepooling fact wife ran experiment took UberPOOL Express took Skip scooter one Uber’s office home 25mile commute arrived home five minute faster commute 25 percent cheaper wife selfproclaimed ridehailing fangirl impressed commuter use case isn’t one scooters… certainly opened eye magnitude opportunity many US city substantial portion ridehailing trip le three mile distance average speed slower fast run available market scooter isn’t niche eg tourist teenager much much larger substitute walking even taking Uber shouldn’t Skip Many company launched shared scooter network capitalize opportunity believe Skip shot win Partnership city Skip belief working together transportation department community group neighborhood — spite important scooter get regulated many city permit capped that’s ok one want scooter littering city street blocking pathway populating metallic graveyard glimpse dystopia check China Skip’s cityfriendly approach enabled receive first permitted system kind US Washington DC It’s also basis behind entry San Francisco flagship regulatory market inevitably others follow Fullstack product innovation Designing EVs rugged condition city street Skip’s DNA 2011 CEO Sanjay Dastoor cofounder Matt Tran built Boosted Boards popular electric skateboard market helped design first portable electric vehicle use modern EV motor battery system I’m excited partner Sanjay rest Skip team infuse scooter hardware softwaredriven intelligence Whether it’s safe riding tracking parking enforcement deep learning mobile experience rider find navigate destination seamless task platform crowdsourced labor call “rangers” charge reposition repair scooter tool city better track optimize traffic… scope product built massive Focus unit economics Finally Skip focused building real business demise Jawbone earlier year serve important reminder anyone playing consumer product Unit economics matter Product innovation around automation antitheft antifraud needed bend curve Let’s go It’s early day Skip hit oneyear anniversary team small scrappy major challenge overcome every aspect business it’s David v Goliath challenge opportunity make city livable street safer shared EVs make superpumped next step Even wife Neha joined bandwagon Date night taken whole new meaning team growing you’re interested learning please get touch find shalin skipscooterscomTags Transportation Electric Scooters Scooters Uber Mobility |
191,115 | This is how I got 250+ free Uber rides | This is how I got 250+ free Uber rides
Screenshot part of my trip history
Marketing is on my mind 24/7. By staying on top of all the newest developments I have learned how to use the internet not only to benefit my customers but also for my own personal gain.
Whenever someone asks me about how I got my free Uber rides and I give them a quick answer I see their eyes opening up wide. To me it’s just another everyday life hack. After realising that this is one of the stories that my friends keep telling to other people when talking about me I decided to let everyone in on the “secret”.
Trying to analyse and understand others behaviours
Like everything in life, approaching everyday things and details more analytical than others will eventually make you understand things faster and helps you rationally solving problems. I often find myself estimating weights of bags that others carry or the amounts of pixels on any screen I sit in front. I love guessing whether people will end up picking the fruits they’re staring at in the supermarket or judge if people are planning to cross the street any second based on their walking and gestures.
Same goes for understanding app mechanics or any other services we use on a daily basis and marketing in general.
Growth Hacker vs. Online Marketer
I believe there is a not very obvious but huge difference between doing Online Marketing as in creating and placing banners, picking advertising networks, coordinating agencies & crunching numbers and feeling this everlasting excitement about influencing and guiding people, understanding what’s developing their decisions and eventually finding the right tools to achieve the desired goals. Whenever I decide to market a new product or project and I don’t have my predefined set of tools that I’m going to use. Instead I want to know where the target audience is spending their time, what language they speak, how they see the world, what motivates them and what kind of emotions they’ll expect from the product we want them to buy.
Placing my Invite Code on Quora and Adwords
“Hey use this code to get a free ride!” — No, not really. You certainly thought about that or have seen others trying that. As always people want some value in return for value. Weird uh?
I started my free ride hunt by helping others on eg. Quora with their questions regarding Uber and in some cases, informed them that my code will help them making their first ride free. Other methods have been showing my invite code to people via Adwords which are actively looking for free rides on google. They end up getting what they want and use my code which makes their and my next ride free.
Here’s 2 examples 2 of my Quora answers:
https://www.quora.com/Can-you-schedule-an-Uber-ahead-of-time-How-do-you-do-this-Can-I-set-the-pickup-time-in-advance/answer/Martin-Welzl (69.8k Views)
https://www.quora.com/How-can-I-reach-Uber-customer-service-Do-they-have-a-phone-number/answer/Martin-Welzl (49.7k Views)
Here’s Ubers help section regarding referring friends:
https://help.uber.com/h/720a2186-f6ee-4cfc-8645-968e08371228
Wait, is this legal?
Yes, Uber probably intended this as pure friend to friend thing, which yes, I overstepped to some degree. However, whenever you’re trying to reach new highs in online marketing I believe it’s necessary to take some calculated risks. The market is developing so fast that not all paths are perfectly pathed yet. In this case I’m actually totally playing along Ubers planned goals of getting more people to use their service and I’ve been in good contact with Uber since.
“Free”
Never forget that there is no free lunch. I invested some time into getting the machine going and honestly, I don’t know if I wouldn’t have made more money working on something else and paying for Uber the traditional way.
Do you like posts like this? Should I post more of my life hacks as a growth hacker?
P.S. My promo code to make your first ride free is “martinw45”. In case you were wondering… ;) | https://medium.com/@martinwelzl/this-is-how-i-got-250-free-uber-rides-644a926a7f09 | ['Martin Welzl'] | 2018-11-23 11:15:29.445000+00:00 | ['Uber', 'Transportation', 'Life Hacking', 'Lifehacks', 'Ridesharing'] | Title got 250 free Uber ridesContent got 250 free Uber ride Screenshot part trip history Marketing mind 247 staying top newest development learned use internet benefit customer also personal gain Whenever someone asks got free Uber ride give quick answer see eye opening wide it’s another everyday life hack realising one story friend keep telling people talking decided let everyone “secret” Trying analyse understand others behaviour Like everything life approaching everyday thing detail analytical others eventually make understand thing faster help rationally solving problem often find estimating weight bag others carry amount pixel screen sit front love guessing whether people end picking fruit they’re staring supermarket judge people planning cross street second based walking gesture go understanding app mechanic service use daily basis marketing general Growth Hacker v Online Marketer believe obvious huge difference Online Marketing creating placing banner picking advertising network coordinating agency crunching number feeling everlasting excitement influencing guiding people understanding what’s developing decision eventually finding right tool achieve desired goal Whenever decide market new product project don’t predefined set tool I’m going use Instead want know target audience spending time language speak see world motivates kind emotion they’ll expect product want buy Placing Invite Code Quora Adwords “Hey use code get free ride” — really certainly thought seen others trying always people want value return value Weird uh started free ride hunt helping others eg Quora question regarding Uber case informed code help making first ride free method showing invite code people via Adwords actively looking free ride google end getting want use code make next ride free Here’s 2 example 2 Quora answer httpswwwquoracomCanyouscheduleanUberaheadoftimeHowdoyoudothisCanIsetthepickuptimeinadvanceanswerMartinWelzl 698k Views httpswwwquoracomHowcanIreachUbercustomerserviceDotheyhaveaphonenumberanswerMartinWelzl 497k Views Here’s Ubers help section regarding referring friend httpshelpubercomh720a2186f6ee4cfc8645968e08371228 Wait legal Yes Uber probably intended pure friend friend thing yes overstepped degree However whenever you’re trying reach new high online marketing believe it’s necessary take calculated risk market developing fast path perfectly pathed yet case I’m actually totally playing along Ubers planned goal getting people use service I’ve good contact Uber since “Free” Never forget free lunch invested time getting machine going honestly don’t know wouldn’t made money working something else paying Uber traditional way like post like post life hack growth hacker PS promo code make first ride free “martinw45” case wondering… Tags Uber Transportation Life Hacking Lifehacks Ridesharing |
191,116 | The Crash of the Autonomous Vehicle Industry | In the past few weeks several major players in the driverless industry said they now think it will be decades before a real self-driving vehicle is on the road. Among them was Waymo and GM. The leader of that pack is Aurora’s Chris Urmson. He not only had the same realization over 6 months ago he also said disengagements and miles mean little. With scenarios learned being what matters. (Uber has recently stated that as well. I wrote the same thing over a year ago.) There has also been a massive amount of partnerships announced recently. Something I predicted months ago. Why would companies risk sharing IP? They need to spread what they now know will be massive costs. In that very same article I also stated the bankruptcies are coming. That will occur because there is a critical reality those involved in creating these systems still do not see in spite of their incremental epiphanies. That 20–30-year time period isn’t remotely close. The real answer is that they will never get remotely close to finishing. Not much farther than the first base they are on now. The root cause of this is the approach the vast majority of the industry uses to create these systems.
· Use of Public Shadow Driving vs the use of proper simulation 99% of the time — It is a myth that you can drive and redrive, stumble and restumble on enough scenarios, enough times, to get close to building a legitimate autonomous vehicle. RAND says 500B miles at 10x a human. Toyota said a trillion miles. (To do that in 10 years would cost over $300B.) Then there are the safety issues. Those regarding handover and running accident scenarios. Handover cannot be made safe no matter what monitoring and notification system is used. That is because enough time cannot be provided to regain proper situational awareness in critical scenarios. The other issue being thousands of accident scenarios will have to be run thousands of times over to train the AI on those scenarios. That will cause thousands of needless casualties. (Waymo, Ford, Volvo and Aurora have stated handover is dangerous and should not be used. However, each still relies on it because they do not understand how to do this properly.)
· The Simulation being used in the industry has significant shortfalls — Among them being real-time and latency issues. As well as imprecise vehicle, tire and road models. These will lead to significant false confidence. Which will not be found until analogous real-world tragedies occur. (Another related issue is not using full motion simulators. Motion cues are crucial. Be that the presence or lack of them. Without them you cannot train or test properly.)
· Using a bottoms up Agile approach — Agile does not work when systems are large and complex. Not adding a top down systems integrated approach will cost a massive waste of time and money. The hardest scenarios should be worked on at the same time as the bottoms up effort. Usually when the most difficult scenarios work everything below them does as well. And often design and execution flaws are found that translate to rework at the lower end. Too much rework and you will be crippled as well. Aerospace and DoD systems engineering practices should be leveraged here.
· Not creating and using an End -State Scenario Matrix — The validators as well as the builders need to see what done and the most difficult scenarios look like now. Test cases or scenarios , especially those related to operating domains, should also be made public and/or covered by a proper third party. FAA practices should be the guide for this.
Getting back to these epiphanies. How is the investment community going to take these? Spending hundreds of million or billions of $ per year for a couple years is one thing. Now they are supposed to do that for 30 years or more? (Usually people decrease the estimation time with experience not increase them by an order of magnitude.) What happens when they learn those decades actually equals never? Or that the lives lost and the many more that will be lost were unnecessary? Including the unavoidable loss of children and families that will occur thousands of times as these systems train and test their AI on thousands of accident scenarios run thousands of times over? Will the investors, public, insurers, governments and the press think these developers and OEMs were inexperienced, withheld the truth or both? What happens then? Do they plow more money in or bail? With ~200B invested in autonomous vehicles the Nasdaq could take a huge hit when the post-realization tidal wave begins. How far will pride, ego and fear keep these folks from seeing and admitting they have been doing this wrong and have to flip the development paradigm?
(One other comment John Krafcik, Waymo’s CEO said recently, is that there are weather condition that these systems will never operate in. I believe this was said to lower the bar to help make the massive increase in funds needed look less onerous. While empirically true I believe that if the process I mentioned above were used you could get to a point where these systems can function better than a human in any condition the vehicle itself can handle. The vehicle should be the weak link not the AV systems. DoD aircraft fly in some pretty bad conditions. How has that been possible for over 40 years? The right engineering approach and sensors)
More info here
SAE Autonomous Vehicle Engineering Magazine-End Public Shadow Driving https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/sae/ave_201901/index.php
Common Misconceptions about Aerospace/DoD/FAA Simulation for Autonomous Vehicles https://medium.com/@imispgh/common-misconceptions-about-aerospace-dod-faa-simulation-for-autonomous-vehicles-2b3ad84b0aa1
Using the Real World is better than Proper Simulation for Autonomous Vehicle Development — NONSENSE https://medium.com/@imispgh/using-the-real-world-is-better-than-proper-simulation-for-autonomous-vehicle-development-nonsense-90cde4ccc0ce
The Hype of Geofencing for Autonomous Vehicles https://medium.com/@imispgh/the-hype-of-geofencing-for-autonomous-vehicles-bd964cb14d16
My name is Michael DeKort — I am a former system engineer, engineering and program manager for Lockheed Martin. I worked in aircraft simulation, the software engineering manager for all of NORAD, the Aegis Weapon System, and on C4ISR for DHS.
I am a member of the SAE On-Road Autonomous Driving Validation & Verification Task Force and was recently asked by SAE to lead an effort to establish a new Modeling and Simulation group.
I am a stakeholder for UL4600 — Creating AV Safety Guidelines.
I have also been presented the IEEE Barus Ethics Award and am on the IEEE Artificial Intelligence & Autonomous Systems Policy Committee (AI&ASPC) | https://medium.com/predict/the-crash-of-the-autonomous-vehicle-industry-f71fd26c1ed0 | ['Michael Dekort'] | 2019-06-11 17:53:06.518000+00:00 | ['Self Driving Cars', 'Waymo', 'Tesla', 'Uber', 'Autonomous Cars'] | Title Crash Autonomous Vehicle IndustryContent past week several major player driverless industry said think decade real selfdriving vehicle road Among Waymo GM leader pack Aurora’s Chris Urmson realization 6 month ago also said disengagement mile mean little scenario learned matter Uber recently stated well wrote thing year ago also massive amount partnership announced recently Something predicted month ago would company risk sharing IP need spread know massive cost article also stated bankruptcy coming occur critical reality involved creating system still see spite incremental epiphany 20–30year time period isn’t remotely close real answer never get remotely close finishing much farther first base root cause approach vast majority industry us create system · Use Public Shadow Driving v use proper simulation 99 time — myth drive redrive stumble restumble enough scenario enough time get close building legitimate autonomous vehicle RAND say 500B mile 10x human Toyota said trillion mile 10 year would cost 300B safety issue regarding handover running accident scenario Handover cannot made safe matter monitoring notification system used enough time cannot provided regain proper situational awareness critical scenario issue thousand accident scenario run thousand time train AI scenario cause thousand needle casualty Waymo Ford Volvo Aurora stated handover dangerous used However still relies understand properly · Simulation used industry significant shortfall — Among realtime latency issue well imprecise vehicle tire road model lead significant false confidence found analogous realworld tragedy occur Another related issue using full motion simulator Motion cue crucial presence lack Without cannot train test properly · Using bottom Agile approach — Agile work system large complex adding top system integrated approach cost massive waste time money hardest scenario worked time bottom effort Usually difficult scenario work everything well often design execution flaw found translate rework lower end much rework crippled well Aerospace DoD system engineering practice leveraged · creating using End State Scenario Matrix — validators well builder need see done difficult scenario look like Test case scenario especially related operating domain also made public andor covered proper third party FAA practice guide Getting back epiphany investment community going take Spending hundred million billion per year couple year one thing supposed 30 year Usually people decrease estimation time experience increase order magnitude happens learn decade actually equal never life lost many lost unnecessary Including unavoidable loss child family occur thousand time system train test AI thousand accident scenario run thousand time investor public insurer government press think developer OEMs inexperienced withheld truth happens plow money bail 200B invested autonomous vehicle Nasdaq could take huge hit postrealization tidal wave begin far pride ego fear keep folk seeing admitting wrong flip development paradigm One comment John Krafcik Waymo’s CEO said recently weather condition system never operate believe said lower bar help make massive increase fund needed look le onerous empirically true believe process mentioned used could get point system function better human condition vehicle handle vehicle weak link AV system DoD aircraft fly pretty bad condition possible 40 year right engineering approach sensor info SAE Autonomous Vehicle Engineering MagazineEnd Public Shadow Driving httpswwwnxtbookcomnxtbookssaeave201901indexphp Common Misconceptions AerospaceDoDFAA Simulation Autonomous Vehicles httpsmediumcomimispghcommonmisconceptionsaboutaerospacedodfaasimulationforautonomousvehicles2b3ad84b0aa1 Using Real World better Proper Simulation Autonomous Vehicle Development — NONSENSE httpsmediumcomimispghusingtherealworldisbetterthanpropersimulationforautonomousvehicledevelopmentnonsense90cde4ccc0ce Hype Geofencing Autonomous Vehicles httpsmediumcomimispghthehypeofgeofencingforautonomousvehiclesbd964cb14d16 name Michael DeKort — former system engineer engineering program manager Lockheed Martin worked aircraft simulation software engineering manager NORAD Aegis Weapon System C4ISR DHS member SAE OnRoad Autonomous Driving Validation Verification Task Force recently asked SAE lead effort establish new Modeling Simulation group stakeholder UL4600 — Creating AV Safety Guidelines also presented IEEE Barus Ethics Award IEEE Artificial Intelligence Autonomous Systems Policy Committee AIASPCTags Self Driving Cars Waymo Tesla Uber Autonomous Cars |
191,117 | My experience at the MLconf San Francisco 2018 | I was very excited to attend the MLconf in San Francisco in November 2018. The conference has drawn a very enthusiastic crowd of machine learning practitioners and experts from companies such as Google Brain, Uber, Facebook, Baidu, Tesla, etc. The talks centered around the wide application of the machine learning techniques and various algorithms. I am very thankful to the Women in Machine Learning and Data Science (WiMLDS) for giving me an opportunity to attend!
There were 16 excellent talks lined up plus several companies had set up the booths & deligated their Data Scientists to share their experience, in-house practices & to hire.
Since there was an online voting for the best presentation, I would like to share my thoughts and notes on the talks that were highly ranked by the audience.
1st place
Ilke Demir, a Postdoc Researcher at Facebook, had a talk titled “The Geospatial Machine Learning for Urban Development”. Ilke described how the open datasets, computer vision & machine learning can be used in a collaborative environment to gain an understanding of the urban safety, socioeconomic conditions & voting patterns, and to improve the poverty & disaster mapping.
Ilke talked in details about the DeepGlobe Satellite Image Understanding Challenge, which includes public competitions for segmentation, detection, and classification tasks on satellite images. DeepGlobe aims to use the satellite imagery to extract tracks and roads, to detect buildings, and to classify land cover. In her paper, Ilke emphasizes: “Bridging modern computer vision with remote sensing data analysis could have a critical impact to the way we understand our environment and lead to major breakthroughs in global urban planning or climate change research”.
Ilke also mentioned another challenge she has been involved in: millions of people are disconnected from basic services due to lack of adequate addressing. Her research proposes an automatic generative algorithm to create street addresses from satellite imagery.
2nd place
Mike Tamir, Head of Data Science at UBER ATG talked about “How to use Deep Learning to solve the “Fake News Problem”.
Mike had explored the root problem of the fake news, they use emotional content to impact the cognitive function by engaging people emotionally. However, how we decide what is the fact and the truth and how, in the battle with the fake news, not to get into the deep censorship? He used deep-learning, neural networks, and NLP to train his algorithm to rate the article on several scales (sensational, opinion, journalism, agenda driven, etc) and providing the reader with the reasoning behind it.
You can actually try checking any news on Mike’s website by inserting the URL of the article. FakerFact is an Artificial Intelligence tool built to help understand more about what we read. It was trained on millions of documents including journalism and scientific journal articles, satire articles, narrative fiction, opinion pieces, blogs, politically leaning news and even hate speech examples.
3rd place
Franziska Bell, Data Science Director on the Platform Team at Uber talked about Natural Language (NL) use cases at Uber (Youtube video). She portrayed the Uber as a customer-centered company which uses NLP & Machine Learning in the strive for improving the Uber customer care. Her team has developed COTA, Customer Obsession Ticket Assistant, which enables quick and efficient issue resolution for more than 90% of the inbound support tickets.
Another way that Uber leverages ML and NLP techniques is by improving driver communication through One-Click Chat, Uber’s smart reply system. The system anticipates responses to common rider messages to make it easier for driver-partners to reply to in-app messages.
It was a great conference and I am very thankful to all organizers, sponsors, and experts who made the MLConf possible! | https://medium.com/@larushkalmy/my-experience-at-the-mlconf-san-francisco-2018-a670e971162b | [] | 2019-08-08 23:09:56.624000+00:00 | ['Machine Learning', 'Data Science', 'Uber', 'Facebook'] | Title experience MLconf San Francisco 2018Content excited attend MLconf San Francisco November 2018 conference drawn enthusiastic crowd machine learning practitioner expert company Google Brain Uber Facebook Baidu Tesla etc talk centered around wide application machine learning technique various algorithm thankful Women Machine Learning Data Science WiMLDS giving opportunity attend 16 excellent talk lined plus several company set booth deligated Data Scientists share experience inhouse practice hire Since online voting best presentation would like share thought note talk highly ranked audience 1st place Ilke Demir Postdoc Researcher Facebook talk titled “The Geospatial Machine Learning Urban Development” Ilke described open datasets computer vision machine learning used collaborative environment gain understanding urban safety socioeconomic condition voting pattern improve poverty disaster mapping Ilke talked detail DeepGlobe Satellite Image Understanding Challenge includes public competition segmentation detection classification task satellite image DeepGlobe aim use satellite imagery extract track road detect building classify land cover paper Ilke emphasizes “Bridging modern computer vision remote sensing data analysis could critical impact way understand environment lead major breakthrough global urban planning climate change research” Ilke also mentioned another challenge involved million people disconnected basic service due lack adequate addressing research proposes automatic generative algorithm create street address satellite imagery 2nd place Mike Tamir Head Data Science UBER ATG talked “How use Deep Learning solve “Fake News Problem” Mike explored root problem fake news use emotional content impact cognitive function engaging people emotionally However decide fact truth battle fake news get deep censorship used deeplearning neural network NLP train algorithm rate article several scale sensational opinion journalism agenda driven etc providing reader reasoning behind actually try checking news Mike’s website inserting URL article FakerFact Artificial Intelligence tool built help understand read trained million document including journalism scientific journal article satire article narrative fiction opinion piece blog politically leaning news even hate speech example 3rd place Franziska Bell Data Science Director Platform Team Uber talked Natural Language NL use case Uber Youtube video portrayed Uber customercentered company us NLP Machine Learning strive improving Uber customer care team developed COTA Customer Obsession Ticket Assistant enables quick efficient issue resolution 90 inbound support ticket Another way Uber leverage ML NLP technique improving driver communication OneClick Chat Uber’s smart reply system system anticipates response common rider message make easier driverpartners reply inapp message great conference thankful organizer sponsor expert made MLConf possibleTags Machine Learning Data Science Uber Facebook |
191,118 | The Uber and Lyft question Parksen solves | Just recently, Uber and Lyft both started on news because of the traffic and parking issues that they created in downtown Plymouth in the USA. It has raised safety concerns as well as cost and future transportation optimization. When the businesses are going well with Uber and Lyft, the downside of it shows.
Moreover, Uber and Lyft drivers can be seen stopped on a street and looking at their GPS to figure out where they are supposed to pick up their customers. This causes traffic jams on the street, and might endanger drivers and passengers lives.
Another issue that caused indirectly by the Uber and Lyft services, is that some motorists would use city’s parking decks or surface-level parking spaces, then leave their vehicles overnight by catching an Uber or Lyft ride home.
Uber, Lift and other similar providers need a solution like Parksen
PARKSEN’S SOLUTION HELP TO DROP PARKING ISSUES
Parksen’s solution could solve these parking issues for both Uber, Lyft and other competitors. First of all, with our platform solution, we could help to find out parking spaces that are not being used yet, and inform the ride-hailing services businesses to utilize it. So, instead of being stuck in the downtown areas, the professional drivers could easily find space to park and have appointments with their clients.
Second, Parksen could also help the motorcyclists to find better parking spaces for themselves. The reason they park their vehicles in the parking spaces overnight, is because they don’t want to drive under the influence or tiered after a long day. It’s better to do so. On the other hand drivers have to find parking spaces around the restaurant and bar area. Moreover local governments have to learn it and provide extended solutions, that we at Parksen help design and solve.
Some of the cities prohibits vehicles in the city parking spaces from 3 to 5 a.m., but if the drivers notify the police department in advance, there is still possibility to park overnight. What a smart parking app like Parksen could do to solve this issue is to creatively think for the government how to manage the overnight parking.
With the smart app and our backend platform, Parksen will be able to bridge the needs of municipalities with the business owners, Uber and Lyft drivers as well as all other drivers. This way we make our parking smarter, our cities better and fully connecting all services in a bundle that benefits everyone. | https://medium.com/@parksen/the-uber-and-lyft-question-parksen-solves-3549e22ae9c6 | [] | 2018-12-06 10:17:42.105000+00:00 | ['Uber', 'Smart', 'Smart Parking', 'Smart Cities', 'Shared Economy'] | Title Uber Lyft question Parksen solvesContent recently Uber Lyft started news traffic parking issue created downtown Plymouth USA raised safety concern well cost future transportation optimization business going well Uber Lyft downside show Moreover Uber Lyft driver seen stopped street looking GPS figure supposed pick customer cause traffic jam street might endanger driver passenger life Another issue caused indirectly Uber Lyft service motorist would use city’s parking deck surfacelevel parking space leave vehicle overnight catching Uber Lyft ride home Uber Lift similar provider need solution like Parksen PARKSEN’S SOLUTION HELP DROP PARKING ISSUES Parksen’s solution could solve parking issue Uber Lyft competitor First platform solution could help find parking space used yet inform ridehailing service business utilize instead stuck downtown area professional driver could easily find space park appointment client Second Parksen could also help motorcyclist find better parking space reason park vehicle parking space overnight don’t want drive influence tiered long day It’s better hand driver find parking space around restaurant bar area Moreover local government learn provide extended solution Parksen help design solve city prohibits vehicle city parking space 3 5 driver notify police department advance still possibility park overnight smart parking app like Parksen could solve issue creatively think government manage overnight parking smart app backend platform Parksen able bridge need municipality business owner Uber Lyft driver well driver way make parking smarter city better fully connecting service bundle benefit everyoneTags Uber Smart Smart Parking Smart Cities Shared Economy |
191,119 | TFL Check Spots, Get Prepare Yourself | TFL Check Spots, Get Prepare Yourself
Complete the legal requirements
It is necessary for every person who is on the road to complete all the legal requirements required by the higher authorities. it’s not only make your face but also provides the great facilitation for your needs. we are well aware about the teams that are specially organised to Inspect vehicles about the private hire drivers to complete the legal requirements. It’s time to be organized by the people that deals with the private cars or having the services for PCO Vehicle Hire London.
Private hire regulations
Private higher inspectors complete the legislation and the regulations requirements in that can be helpful and make sure the people have legalized their vehicles in the proper way. because every person that is on the road needs to fulfil their requirements through the proper documentation process. Because after making hard earned shift is to be fined or have your car’s private hire licence revoked. You must have the complete car documentation, like this certificate of insurance, schedule of insurance including the permissions. drivers need to complete the documentation regarding the driving licence and PCO badge.
Daily checks
Complete the daily requirements mostly included tyre checks, lights, cleanliness of your vehicles and the other minute work that can save lot of your time. because A stitch in time saves nine. All these factors make the great contribution for yourself and you will experience the best results in your profession. Because completing all the legal requirements will make your more responsible citizen as compared to those who don’t actually complete their requirements. Daily checks have many benefits that can save yourself form the chaos. It makes yourself enough handy to do the things in the best way in which you complete the legal requirements and all the other things as well.
Timely maintenance and fitness certificate
Timely maintenance is the important part of your life through which you can have the multiple benefits. Because in this way, you can increase the life of your vehicles. As you get the fitness certificate for your vehicle then you find it more comfortable for you to handle the things in the best way. Make all these things beneficial because you will certainly get the appreciations form the organizations for which you work.
These are instructions are valuable for the drivers through which you can make the things flawless for you. It’s our duty to complete all the legal requirements and to educate the others to follow the footsteps that can have the advantages for us. | https://medium.com/@pacehireuk/tfl-check-spots-get-prepare-yourself-91cb5613903 | ['Jackie James'] | 2018-11-15 09:05:12.384000+00:00 | ['Uber'] | Title TFL Check Spots Get Prepare YourselfContent TFL Check Spots Get Prepare Complete legal requirement necessary every person road complete legal requirement required higher authority it’s make face also provides great facilitation need well aware team specially organised Inspect vehicle private hire driver complete legal requirement It’s time organized people deal private car service PCO Vehicle Hire London Private hire regulation Private higher inspector complete legislation regulation requirement helpful make sure people legalized vehicle proper way every person road need fulfil requirement proper documentation process making hard earned shift fined car’s private hire licence revoked must complete car documentation like certificate insurance schedule insurance including permission driver need complete documentation regarding driving licence PCO badge Daily check Complete daily requirement mostly included tyre check light cleanliness vehicle minute work save lot time stitch time save nine factor make great contribution experience best result profession completing legal requirement make responsible citizen compared don’t actually complete requirement Daily check many benefit save form chaos make enough handy thing best way complete legal requirement thing well Timely maintenance fitness certificate Timely maintenance important part life multiple benefit way increase life vehicle get fitness certificate vehicle find comfortable handle thing best way Make thing beneficial certainly get appreciation form organization work instruction valuable driver make thing flawless It’s duty complete legal requirement educate others follow footstep advantage usTags Uber |
191,120 | Uber: How A $120-billion Valuation Affects Incentives, Habits and Even Your Mood? | Uber: How A $120-billion Valuation Affects Incentives, Habits and Even Your Mood?
Has your Uber driver missed a turn? Surprisingly, what might seem to be a simple mistake could be related to your autumn depression, economic growth, capital markets, and the job of product managers. LATOKEN Follow Nov 16, 2018 · 5 min read
by Dil on Unsplash
[Written by Valentin Preobrazhenskiy, Founder and CEO of LATOKEN]
Missing a turn… sure, it can happen to everyone. Just a simple accident. But was it an accident when taxi drivers took longer routes to steal your money in the absence of Uber’s fixed fares? What about the insanely high prices of the “airport taxi mafia” in the days when no app was able to connect you with drivers from outside the airport territory?
Maybe the Uber driver’s mistakes are not a mere accident. Maybe there’s a systematic reason why local taxi apps poach qualified drivers and clients from global players.
In the last few weeks, US banks have told Uber — the world renowned peer-to-peer ridesharing company — that it could become a $120 billion enterprise if it goes public. Some venture capitalists agree with this estimation; some do not. The disagreement comes down to a single factor: the role of local ride-hailing companies, currently a huge threat to Uber’s global expansion.
Once traded at the stock exchange, Uber’s stock price could weigh in investors’ fears regarding the company’s ability to fight local competitors. Following this line of thought, if bears would push the stock price lower, Uber’s management might be forced to cut down expenses. The money that Uber would not get due to a negative sentiment in the market could pass to companies offering a brighter future. If small/mid-sized companies get access to investment in the capital market, they would get enough resources to put up fights with big players in terms of product development and labor force.
Transmission of Incentives
This is how the transmission of incentives work, reallocating resources from the capital market to the product, labor, religion, and even the marriage market. A transmission that pushes over 7.2 billion people to do something beneficial for humanity, ultimately increasing chances of survival.
The transmission of incentives has played a major role in the development of the world economy, taking the economic growth rate from 0.01% up to 3.00% in the past century.
The development of the capital market is easily comparable to the human mind and it is unique ability to predict the future, and send stimuli to our muscles to prevent us from dying.
Scottish economist Adam Smith referred to the transmission of incentives as the “invisible hand”. Two centuries later, Nobel Prize laureate Douglass North started to connect incentive structures with neurobiology.
Depression and emotional downshifting are related to our neural circuits, which are constantly adapting to the structure of incentives. Investors have the power to accelerate changes in that structure by reallocating money, time, and energy to guarantee better future uses.
By backing Uber as a project years ago, investors were also killing thousands of cab companies, changing values, and breaking the time-tested habits of taxi drivers. Many taxi drivers might have experienced a state of depression — in other words, the destruction of no longer useful neural connections in favor of a new incentive structure. However, many of them were able to put themselves together and adapt to a new market.
Old bad habits, such as grabbing you by the arm to offer you a ride, driving you in circles, or trying to cheat you on price were eliminated by simply implementing programmed fares.
This article is also a result of the transmission of incentives. The capital market gave me resources to create a product — an exchange that enhances capital market efficiency.
Let The People Decide
So perhaps Uber is burning people’s money, time, and energy while offering less benefit for the future, whereas Grab or Gett are providing more for the world.
We can find out — perhaps with your help — by placing Uber on our exchange. Then investors, who anticipate such an outcome of events, will play to lower Uber’s share price and boost Grab and Gett.
Assets traded in stock exchanges account for only a fifth of a total of $500 trillion of assets. Prices, allocation of resources, and incentives are less accurate for illiquid assets.
But there is a way to increase liquidity for private companies like Uber, real estate projects, and other traditional assets worth nearly $200 trillions. New technologies offer a unique chance to automate bureaucratic procedures behind the figures you see in your online banking.
Those same technologies can provide access to 3.5 billion people to the financial system without banks involvement.
Nowadays, everyone with an Internet connection can easily access global payment systems. This is exactly why the number of participants in the financial system will jump from about 4 to 5 billion people faster than expected only a few decades ago.
We and the financial system face the challenge of expanding the liquid asset market from $100 to $300 trillion, while increasing the number of traders and participants in the financial system by 1 billion.
Despite not being an easy challenge, it is one possible to win. Coinbase, one of the companies already contributing with solutions, has been recently valued at $8 billion. Nasdaq is starting to master blockchain technology, but don’t expect them to learn how to work with end users in the short term.
For more information about LATOKEN, contact us: | https://blog.latoken.com/uber-how-a-120-billion-valuation-affects-incentives-habits-and-even-your-mood-8666e2df570e | [] | 2018-11-23 15:18:56.752000+00:00 | ['Uber', 'Psychology', 'Technology', 'Apps', 'Blockchain'] | Title Uber 120billion Valuation Affects Incentives Habits Even MoodContent Uber 120billion Valuation Affects Incentives Habits Even Mood Uber driver missed turn Surprisingly might seem simple mistake could related autumn depression economic growth capital market job product manager LATOKEN Follow Nov 16 2018 · 5 min read Dil Unsplash Written Valentin Preobrazhenskiy Founder CEO LATOKEN Missing turn… sure happen everyone simple accident accident taxi driver took longer route steal money absence Uber’s fixed fare insanely high price “airport taxi mafia” day app able connect driver outside airport territory Maybe Uber driver’s mistake mere accident Maybe there’s systematic reason local taxi apps poach qualified driver client global player last week US bank told Uber — world renowned peertopeer ridesharing company — could become 120 billion enterprise go public venture capitalist agree estimation disagreement come single factor role local ridehailing company currently huge threat Uber’s global expansion traded stock exchange Uber’s stock price could weigh investors’ fear regarding company’s ability fight local competitor Following line thought bear would push stock price lower Uber’s management might forced cut expense money Uber would get due negative sentiment market could pas company offering brighter future smallmidsized company get access investment capital market would get enough resource put fight big player term product development labor force Transmission Incentives transmission incentive work reallocating resource capital market product labor religion even marriage market transmission push 72 billion people something beneficial humanity ultimately increasing chance survival transmission incentive played major role development world economy taking economic growth rate 001 300 past century development capital market easily comparable human mind unique ability predict future send stimulus muscle prevent u dying Scottish economist Adam Smith referred transmission incentive “invisible hand” Two century later Nobel Prize laureate Douglass North started connect incentive structure neurobiology Depression emotional downshifting related neural circuit constantly adapting structure incentive Investors power accelerate change structure reallocating money time energy guarantee better future us backing Uber project year ago investor also killing thousand cab company changing value breaking timetested habit taxi driver Many taxi driver might experienced state depression — word destruction longer useful neural connection favor new incentive structure However many able put together adapt new market Old bad habit grabbing arm offer ride driving circle trying cheat price eliminated simply implementing programmed fare article also result transmission incentive capital market gave resource create product — exchange enhances capital market efficiency Let People Decide perhaps Uber burning people’s money time energy offering le benefit future whereas Grab Gett providing world find — perhaps help — placing Uber exchange investor anticipate outcome event play lower Uber’s share price boost Grab Gett Assets traded stock exchange account fifth total 500 trillion asset Prices allocation resource incentive le accurate illiquid asset way increase liquidity private company like Uber real estate project traditional asset worth nearly 200 trillion New technology offer unique chance automate bureaucratic procedure behind figure see online banking technology provide access 35 billion people financial system without bank involvement Nowadays everyone Internet connection easily access global payment system exactly number participant financial system jump 4 5 billion people faster expected decade ago financial system face challenge expanding liquid asset market 100 300 trillion increasing number trader participant financial system 1 billion Despite easy challenge one possible win Coinbase one company already contributing solution recently valued 8 billion Nasdaq starting master blockchain technology don’t expect learn work end user short term information LATOKEN contact usTags Uber Psychology Technology Apps Blockchain |
191,121 | The Complete Guide to Bonus Bets | What Are Bonus Bets?
Today, foreign operators and even startups have flooded the bookmarking industry by storm. The bonus bethas become part of the punting landscape. You get the bonus bet for signing up, signing in, having a bet, not having a bet, and also contacting the customer service.
You also get a bonus bet for when your horse runs second or when your team loses by a kick. You also get one when your multi bombs out. For the bookies, this is a simple business because the chances of you to stake with them is higher than with other dozen options.
Whether they have to give you the bonus, you will still be back to use nonetheless, whether they flog you with more offers or not. Even when your bonus beta actually wins, they have turnover requirements on the winnings that restrict you getting the cash and being done with.
In some cases, you even have to stake the winnings more times before you can withdraw the money. They are also always ahead of you when it comes to the betting slots by putting minimum prices for the turnover bets.
Bonus bets seem to look like free money. However, that’s not always the case because the odds of your average mug turning into real cash in your pocket is very low. However, the beauty of bonus bets is the fact that you won’t risk any of your capital.
With bonus bets, instead of hoping that the bet comes in, you can use your edge to cover both a bet and still guarantee yourself of a positive result.
How Do Bonus Bets Work?
Compared to free but stakes bonus stakes are returned. When a free bet you placed wins, you may receive he winnings, but you won’t acquire the free bet stake. With a bonus bet, the bonus stake is returned along with your winnings when you place a bet on something, and it wins.
However good that sounds, there is a catch! Before you can withdraw the bonuses, they have to be rolled over a number of times. This is referred to as the wagering or rollover requirement. Only after you meet the wagering or rollover requirement or when you lose all your bookmarker funds into the exchange account will the rollover be complete.
Bookmakers use the bonus bet money to attract customers and always to offer promotions when you join or when conditions like losing money are met. The bonus bets are meant to encourage betting. However, the ultimate goal here is to turn the bonus money into real cash.
So the real question is, how you can make most of your bonus bet which is the bookmarker welcome bonus. When you sign in you, receive a free bet or a deposit bonus. On most betting sites, you can’t withdraw the bonus until you bet the entire amount of the bonus at a set minimum odds and a number of times.
How to Use the Bonus Bets Effectively
How Can You Convert Your Bonus into Real Money
Most people will tell you that creating a sure bet from the bookmaker bonus is one of the surest ways to win the bet. So how can you convert the bonus bet?
Have an Account with a Betting Exchange
Opening an account with a betting exchange (e.g. Betfair) will allow you to act in the role as that of your bookmarker. You will not only be able to place the bets yourself, but you will also lay bets. Choose a betting exchange you prefer.
Once you select your betting exchange consider the amount of commission you will have to be paying on the exchange bets. To be on a safer time, go for the lowest commission rates.
Place a Surebet with Your Bookmaker
In theory, the sport you choose doesn’t really matter, however, place a bet with your bookmarker on a major football league like the Premier League.
Make the Opposite Bet with Your Betting Exchange
Once you place the bet with your bookmaker, put the opposite of the bet using your betting exchange. For example, if you bet on Liverpool to win in an upcoming Premier League game with a bookmaker, bet against Liverpool with your betting exchange account.
Just as a bookmaker does, you will be able to lay a bet with another customer. The advantage of placing a bet with a major league or a major sporting event is because you can be assured the ability to lay your bet on the betting exchange of your preference.
You may not find someone willing to take your lay bet on your betting exchange if you choose an obscure tournament or league. Even worse, the particular tournament or league may not even any listed markets on the exchange.
You may also need to offer slightly higher odd on your betting exchange that the odds you get with your bookmarker for the bet. The closer your betting exchange odds are to the bookmarker’s betting odds, the better for your winning odds.
Bonus Bet Example: Arsenal vs. Liverpool
Let’s assume that you have opened an account your preferred sporting account and you have deposited a certain amount of money like $100. This means that you are expected to get a 100% bonus, an extra $100. You are paying $100 in, but now you have $200 to play with.
Bonus Small Print
As we said, you can’t cash out the bonus immediately. The number of times you must bet your bonus before withdrawing it as cash is different from bookmaker to a bookmaker. There are those that demand a single bet. This means that you need to bet the total of your bonus only once. There are also those that require you to bet your bonus a number of times.
The fewer times you bet your bonus, the better. If you bet your bonus upwards more than five times, it will have a massive impact on the total amount you will withdraw as cash after you bonus bet is complete. Whether or not you are betting conservatively, every round of betting you are risking your bonus, and you will also allow the bookmarker commission to eat into your bonus.
This is the reason why most bookmakers set 1.50 odds as the minimum.
So, if your betting exchange demands that you need to bet the total of your bonus three times, it means that you require a total bet of $600. Since you can bet below 1.50 odds, the risk of losing all the bonus will be much higher in the traditional way.
If you need help with staking be sure to check out our staking guide in our blogs section
Select Your Bet
Using our prior example, betting on Arsenal home win against Liverpool.
Say the odds of Arsenal are winning the match are at 1.75. Should Arsenal win, you may have a profit of $150 if you bet all your deposit plus bonus on those odds, the total return will be $350? Remember, bet the opposite on your betting exchange.
Betting the opposite would mean that you lay bet against Arsenal. Remember, you want your liability to be the same as the amount that you can profit from the bookmarker’s Arsenal bet. So in this case, $150($350 return — $200 bet stake).
The best way to enter the amount you want as your ‘Backer’s Stake’ is to enter the amount until the liability equals the same amount you stand to win or profit from your bookmaker bet. In this case, if you lay Arsenal at 1.776 odds, the maximum liability is $150. This means that it’s the amount you might lose with the bookmarker if Arsenal wins.
What if Arsenal Draws or Loses?
Bookmaker
Balance
Net Profit
Points
Account A
$100 + ($100 bonus)
$0
-$100
Account B
$150
$343.52
$193.52
Total
$250 + ($100 bonus)
$343.52
$93.52
In this case, you have no cash left in Account A. Instead, you now have more money in your Account B, so efficiently you have transferred most of your Account A bonus ($100) to your Account B ($93.52). And you can cash out the money anytime.
What if Arsenal Wins?
Bookmaker
Balance
Net Profit
Points
Account A
$100 + ($100 bonus)
$250 + ($100 bonus)
$150
Account B
$150
$0
-$150
Total
$250 + ($100 bonus)
$250 + ($100 bonus)
$0
Even if this is the least desirable outcome, it’s not a disaster. Even though you lost your $200 with Account B, you made a $200 profit on your Account A so essentially you broke even, and there was no harm done.
If you are up for it, you can repeat the 3 step process with another bonus bet until the bonus finally ends up in your Account B account, or you meet the wagering requirement for Account A and can withdraw your bonus from there.
Stick to The Same Pattern
You can always repeat the routine with every bonus bet as long as you keep in mind that the lay bet with your betting exchange needs to be pretty close to your bookmaker’s odds. Anything other than that is a waste of money.
You also need to make sure your maximum possible loss with your betting exchange needs to match the amount you may profit from the bet you place with the bookmaker.
Low Odds or High Odds?
There is never really a right or wrong answer in this case because the two options have their own pros and cons.
When the odds are low, the advantage is that it may not eat into your bonus bet as much as the high odds. However, the disadvantage that there is an increased chance of a complete rollover because of a winning streak.
When the odds are high, there is a high chance of losing your bonus straight into your exchange account. The downside is it may eat into your bonus bet more than the low odds would and if your bet wins you’ll have more funds tied up at your bookmaker.
This means that it’s only a matter of your personal preference. It’s incredible when you place a bonus bet at high odds, and it loses because your lay bets will win and you’ll have managed to transfer your bonus straight into your exchange account in a single bet.
It may be less unlikely to get a losing bet at very low odds. However, some cases could happen. The best preference would be to see a bet with tight odds that you think will not come in.
Standard Lay Method
There is a reason people are comfortable using the standard lay method, it’s a more natural method for beginners, and it’s also the same method most qualifying bets use. You can use the ‘Free Bet- Stake returned’ setting or a ‘Qualifying Bet’ setting. Even though the display the results differently, they have the same for both sets.
Use the qualifying bet when placing back and laying your bets to qualify for a free bet. If you are looking to extract profit from a bonus, use a free bet. The risk-free bet allows you to calculate the lay stake for a bonus bet.
Underlay Method
When it comes to laying the bonus rollover bets, the underlying method could be the best option. The charm of this technique is that if your bonus bet does win, you will retain the entire value of your bonus. So without sacrificing your $100 bonus, you will be $200 of the way through the rollover condition
If your bonus bet does lose, you will have lost slightly more of the bonus. However, the good news is that your profit will move straight into your exchange account and you don’t need to rollover any more funds.
In this case, if Arsenal wins, you’ll have retained your full bonus plus profit. However, you will need to place another $1000 worth of bets before you can withdraw your bonus. This means if Arsenal doesn’t win, you will have successfully transferred the remaining amount of your bonus straight into your exchange account.
If the match results in a draw 0–0, placing your initial bonus rollover bet on Arsenal would have worked out very successfully indeed. That’s all there is to it, as long as you always read the terms thoroughly and you’ll crack it.
Utilize the Free Bet Strategy
There is a reason people place free bets at very high odds. This is because when you receive a free bet, your primary goal should be to extract your profit. Most of the free bets mean that you only receive the winnings back but not the free bet stake
For example, if you have a $10 free bet that wins at 3.00 odds, then you will win $20 cash and the $10 free bet stake won’t be returned.
However, you can maximize your extracted profit by placing your free bets at high odds, which will account for the fact that the free bet stake isn’t returned.
What You Have To Keep In Mind
The good thing about this bonus bets trick is that you will be able to save a considerable portion of the bonus with minimal or almost no risk. It is wise to keep in mind that there could be instances where things could go wrong.
For instance, there is a chance of making an error when you are entering your bonus bets. This means that you should triple check to make sure the entries are all right. For example, you could accidentally bet on Arsenal win with both accounts. You could also place a bet of more money than you wanted even with a risk-free bonus transfer.
Some bookmakers have different rules for repayments in the instances where the games are canceled. Betting on football leagues is much better because cancellations are rare and therefore the rules tend to be very consistent.
However, in tennis, things are different. This is why you need to be very familiar with the specific rules of the bookmakers before placing your bonus bets to avoid any surprises.
Conclusion
It is always crucial to always note the exchange liability figures. The exchange liability is the amount you stand to lose from your betting account in the event that your lay bet loses. It is clear that the higher the odds, the more cash you need in your betting account to place the lay bet.
There may be occasions where you won’t quite have enough exchange funds to go for the highest and most profitable option. There is no mistake in placing the bets on outcomes that have smaller exchange liability; you will still make a more modest profit.
Laying your outcomes on your betting platforms is the key to successfully getting and cashing out your bonus bet. When you lay, you are betting on something that’s not to happen. For instance, if you were to lay on Manchester United in the 2017/18 Premier League, you are not betting on it not to win, you will only lose your stake if Manchester United did win.
In the bookmaking world, you can effectively lay across other bookies if you don’t want to be restricted to one account. For example, in a Win-Draw-Win game, you can use your bonus bet on a single option and then cover the other two on different platforms.
You can read the full article via BetterBets | https://medium.com/@support_16046/the-complete-guide-to-bonus-bets-e6e973658a4e | ['Virgil Townsend'] | 2017-12-23 01:56:57.626000+00:00 | ['Football', 'Betting', 'Betting Tips', 'Csgo', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Complete Guide Bonus BetsContent Bonus Bets Today foreign operator even startup flooded bookmarking industry storm bonus bethas become part punting landscape get bonus bet signing signing bet bet also contacting customer service also get bonus bet horse run second team loses kick also get one multi bomb bookie simple business chance stake higher dozen option Whether give bonus still back use nonetheless whether flog offer Even bonus beta actually win turnover requirement winning restrict getting cash done case even stake winning time withdraw money also always ahead come betting slot putting minimum price turnover bet Bonus bet seem look like free money However that’s always case odds average mug turning real cash pocket low However beauty bonus bet fact won’t risk capital bonus bet instead hoping bet come use edge cover bet still guarantee positive result Bonus Bets Work Compared free stake bonus stake returned free bet placed win may receive winning won’t acquire free bet stake bonus bet bonus stake returned along winning place bet something win However good sound catch withdraw bonus rolled number time referred wagering rollover requirement meet wagering rollover requirement lose bookmarker fund exchange account rollover complete Bookmakers use bonus bet money attract customer always offer promotion join condition like losing money met bonus bet meant encourage betting However ultimate goal turn bonus money real cash real question make bonus bet bookmarker welcome bonus sign receive free bet deposit bonus betting site can’t withdraw bonus bet entire amount bonus set minimum odds number time Use Bonus Bets Effectively Convert Bonus Real Money people tell creating sure bet bookmaker bonus one surest way win bet convert bonus bet Account Betting Exchange Opening account betting exchange eg Betfair allow act role bookmarker able place bet also lay bet Choose betting exchange prefer select betting exchange consider amount commission paying exchange bet safer time go lowest commission rate Place Surebet Bookmaker theory sport choose doesn’t really matter however place bet bookmarker major football league like Premier League Make Opposite Bet Betting Exchange place bet bookmaker put opposite bet using betting exchange example bet Liverpool win upcoming Premier League game bookmaker bet Liverpool betting exchange account bookmaker able lay bet another customer advantage placing bet major league major sporting event assured ability lay bet betting exchange preference may find someone willing take lay bet betting exchange choose obscure tournament league Even worse particular tournament league may even listed market exchange may also need offer slightly higher odd betting exchange odds get bookmarker bet closer betting exchange odds bookmarker’s betting odds better winning odds Bonus Bet Example Arsenal v Liverpool Let’s assume opened account preferred sporting account deposited certain amount money like 100 mean expected get 100 bonus extra 100 paying 100 200 play Bonus Small Print said can’t cash bonus immediately number time must bet bonus withdrawing cash different bookmaker bookmaker demand single bet mean need bet total bonus also require bet bonus number time fewer time bet bonus better bet bonus upwards five time massive impact total amount withdraw cash bonus bet complete Whether betting conservatively every round betting risking bonus also allow bookmarker commission eat bonus reason bookmaker set 150 odds minimum betting exchange demand need bet total bonus three time mean require total bet 600 Since bet 150 odds risk losing bonus much higher traditional way need help staking sure check staking guide blog section Select Bet Using prior example betting Arsenal home win Liverpool Say odds Arsenal winning match 175 Arsenal win may profit 150 bet deposit plus bonus odds total return 350 Remember bet opposite betting exchange Betting opposite would mean lay bet Arsenal Remember want liability amount profit bookmarker’s Arsenal bet case 150350 return — 200 bet stake best way enter amount want ‘Backer’s Stake’ enter amount liability equal amount stand win profit bookmaker bet case lay Arsenal 1776 odds maximum liability 150 mean it’s amount might lose bookmarker Arsenal win Arsenal Draws Loses Bookmaker Balance Net Profit Points Account 100 100 bonus 0 100 Account B 150 34352 19352 Total 250 100 bonus 34352 9352 case cash left Account Instead money Account B efficiently transferred Account bonus 100 Account B 9352 cash money anytime Arsenal Wins Bookmaker Balance Net Profit Points Account 100 100 bonus 250 100 bonus 150 Account B 150 0 150 Total 250 100 bonus 250 100 bonus 0 Even least desirable outcome it’s disaster Even though lost 200 Account B made 200 profit Account essentially broke even harm done repeat 3 step process another bonus bet bonus finally end Account B account meet wagering requirement Account withdraw bonus Stick Pattern always repeat routine every bonus bet long keep mind lay bet betting exchange need pretty close bookmaker’s odds Anything waste money also need make sure maximum possible loss betting exchange need match amount may profit bet place bookmaker Low Odds High Odds never really right wrong answer case two option pro con odds low advantage may eat bonus bet much high odds However disadvantage increased chance complete rollover winning streak odds high high chance losing bonus straight exchange account downside may eat bonus bet low odds would bet win you’ll fund tied bookmaker mean it’s matter personal preference It’s incredible place bonus bet high odds loses lay bet win you’ll managed transfer bonus straight exchange account single bet may le unlikely get losing bet low odds However case could happen best preference would see bet tight odds think come Standard Lay Method reason people comfortable using standard lay method it’s natural method beginner it’s also method qualifying bet use use ‘Free Bet Stake returned’ setting ‘Qualifying Bet’ setting Even though display result differently set Use qualifying bet placing back laying bet qualify free bet looking extract profit bonus use free bet riskfree bet allows calculate lay stake bonus bet Underlay Method come laying bonus rollover bet underlying method could best option charm technique bonus bet win retain entire value bonus without sacrificing 100 bonus 200 way rollover condition bonus bet lose lost slightly bonus However good news profit move straight exchange account don’t need rollover fund case Arsenal win you’ll retained full bonus plus profit However need place another 1000 worth bet withdraw bonus mean Arsenal doesn’t win successfully transferred remaining amount bonus straight exchange account match result draw 0–0 placing initial bonus rollover bet Arsenal would worked successfully indeed That’s long always read term thoroughly you’ll crack Utilize Free Bet Strategy reason people place free bet high odds receive free bet primary goal extract profit free bet mean receive winning back free bet stake example 10 free bet win 300 odds win 20 cash 10 free bet stake won’t returned However maximize extracted profit placing free bet high odds account fact free bet stake isn’t returned Keep Mind good thing bonus bet trick able save considerable portion bonus minimal almost risk wise keep mind could instance thing could go wrong instance chance making error entering bonus bet mean triple check make sure entry right example could accidentally bet Arsenal win account could also place bet money wanted even riskfree bonus transfer bookmaker different rule repayment instance game canceled Betting football league much better cancellation rare therefore rule tend consistent However tennis thing different need familiar specific rule bookmaker placing bonus bet avoid surprise Conclusion always crucial always note exchange liability figure exchange liability amount stand lose betting account event lay bet loses clear higher odds cash need betting account place lay bet may occasion won’t quite enough exchange fund go highest profitable option mistake placing bet outcome smaller exchange liability still make modest profit Laying outcome betting platform key successfully getting cashing bonus bet lay betting something that’s happen instance lay Manchester United 201718 Premier League betting win lose stake Manchester United win bookmaking world effectively lay across bookie don’t want restricted one account example WinDrawWin game use bonus bet single option cover two different platform read full article via BetterBetsTags Football Betting Betting Tips Csgo Sports Betting |
191,122 | Raycom Media Camellia Bowl | The final bowl this Saturday night is the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl in Alabama. It features two teams from not too far away, in Middle Tennessee and Arkansas St.
The line on this game opened Arkansas St -3.5 and 62.5 (most widely available lines). And really, they haven’t moved much. The hook is gone and Ark St -3 is widely available, while the total has come down a touch as 60.5 is the current total.
In previous previews, like this one for the New Mexico Bowl, its worked best to start the handicapping process by looking at what kind of points the teams should be expected to score and allow based on the opponents they have played through out the year. The comparison for these two teams looks like this:
This chart explains that there is value on the Arkansas St line despite where the line is moving. The line should be Arkansas St -9.5. Much like the injury concerns that were described in the Oregon-Boise bowl matchup, here, injury concerns mar this line. MTST has a dynamic quarterback (at least for the Group of 5 conferences), Brent Stockstill, who has spent much of the season injured. If you isolate just the last four games on MTST’s schedule though, you’ll see a 3–1 record where they scored over 30 points each time. Those kind of numbers don’t work with the projections above.
What about yards per play? Well, that metric is going to suffer from the same kind of mis-leading results.
Even despite the injury concerns for MTST’s qb, this measurement still shows value on MTST. Confused yet?
These efficiency stats don’t show a huge disparity either, especially considering the quarterback issue. If anything that should point even more in MTST’s favour.
Ark. St definitely has the advantage in defensive stats. Can Stockstill over come that?
This total has been coming down and the bet here is that Ark St is going to get their 30 points and MTST is going to outperform their metrics with Stockstill under centre. First total of the bowl season….
ArkSt/MTST o60.5,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/raycom-media-camellia-bowl-a59b9cc82013 | [] | 2017-12-16 21:26:34.421000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Raycom Media Camellia BowlContent final bowl Saturday night Raycom Media Camellia Bowl Alabama feature two team far away Middle Tennessee Arkansas St line game opened Arkansas St 35 625 widely available line really haven’t moved much hook gone Ark St 3 widely available total come touch 605 current total previous preview like one New Mexico Bowl worked best start handicapping process looking kind point team expected score allow based opponent played year comparison two team look like chart explains value Arkansas St line despite line moving line Arkansas St 95 Much like injury concern described OregonBoise bowl matchup injury concern mar line MTST dynamic quarterback least Group 5 conference Brent Stockstill spent much season injured isolate last four game MTST’s schedule though you’ll see 3–1 record scored 30 point time kind number don’t work projection yard per play Well metric going suffer kind misleading result Even despite injury concern MTST’s qb measurement still show value MTST Confused yet efficiency stats don’t show huge disparity either especially considering quarterback issue anything point even MTST’s favour Ark St definitely advantage defensive stats Stockstill come total coming bet Ark St going get 30 point MTST going outperform metric Stockstill centre First total bowl season… ArkStMTST o605 Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,123 | Patriots vs Dolphins Free Monday Night Football Pick, 12–11–2017 | Free NFL Spread Pick by Chris Coleman of ATS Experts
New England Patriots (10–2) vs Miami Dolphins (5–7)
Date: December 11th, 2017
Game Time: 8:30 pm
NFL Odds: Dolphins +11, 48
A pair of AFC East teams squares off on Monday Night Football in South Beath when the New England Patriots travel south to take on the Miami Dolphins. The Patriots are (8–4 ATS) and (6–0 SU) on the road while the Dolphins are (4–6–2 ATS) and (3–3 SU) at home.
The Patriots are looking to wrap up their 9th straight AFC East title but they will have to do it without Rob Gronkowski. Gronk was suspended for a late hit on Buffalo rookie cornerback Tre’Davious White last week but the Patriots won the game 23–3. The Patriots defense was the story in this game, holding the Bills to just 85 passing yards.
On the season, New England is averaging 413.2 yards per game (1st), 292.6 passing yards (1st) and 120.6 rushing yards (9th). They are allowing 375.7 yards per game (28th), 254.9 passing yards (29th) and 120.8 rushing yards (26th) with just 18.6 points per game allowed (9th).
Tom Brady has 11 touchdown passes and one interception in his last four games versus Miami.
On the other side of this matchup is the Miami Dolphins who have had a disappointing season, but finally got back onto the winning track in their last game. The offense got clicking, and the defense stepped up against a very bad Broncos offense and that led to a 35–9 victory. Prior to their win vs Denver, they had lost five games in a row, mostly because of the defensive struggles.
Miami has struggled under the bright lights this season, losing all three prime-time matchups and getting outscored 112–45.
Once again, the question is whether or not any team can beat New England? Sure, this is a division game and the Patriots will be without Gronk but it’s next man up for this team. I just don’t see how Miami can cover even this large of a spread at home? Brady didn’t have a good performance last week in Buffalo so I fully expect him to bounce back. I’ll lay the -11 points and back the Patriots en route to another AFC East division title.
Patriots vs Dolphins Pick: Patriots -11 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/patriots-vs-dolphins-free-monday-night-football-pick-12-11-2017-b9e2b8700a0c | ['Ats Experts', 'Sports Professionals Network'] | 2017-12-11 14:02:37.348000+00:00 | ['NFL', 'New England Patriots', 'Miami Dolphins', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling'] | Title Patriots v Dolphins Free Monday Night Football Pick 12–11–2017Content Free NFL Spread Pick Chris Coleman ATS Experts New England Patriots 10–2 v Miami Dolphins 5–7 Date December 11th 2017 Game Time 830 pm NFL Odds Dolphins 11 48 pair AFC East team square Monday Night Football South Beath New England Patriots travel south take Miami Dolphins Patriots 8–4 ATS 6–0 SU road Dolphins 4–6–2 ATS 3–3 SU home Patriots looking wrap 9th straight AFC East title without Rob Gronkowski Gronk suspended late hit Buffalo rookie cornerback Tre’Davious White last week Patriots game 23–3 Patriots defense story game holding Bills 85 passing yard season New England averaging 4132 yard per game 1st 2926 passing yard 1st 1206 rushing yard 9th allowing 3757 yard per game 28th 2549 passing yard 29th 1208 rushing yard 26th 186 point per game allowed 9th Tom Brady 11 touchdown pass one interception last four game versus Miami side matchup Miami Dolphins disappointing season finally got back onto winning track last game offense got clicking defense stepped bad Broncos offense led 35–9 victory Prior win v Denver lost five game row mostly defensive struggle Miami struggled bright light season losing three primetime matchup getting outscored 112–45 question whether team beat New England Sure division game Patriots without Gronk it’s next man team don’t see Miami cover even large spread home Brady didn’t good performance last week Buffalo fully expect bounce back I’ll lay 11 point back Patriots en route another AFC East division title Patriots v Dolphins Pick Patriots 11Tags NFL New England Patriots Miami Dolphins Sports Betting Gambling |
191,124 | How to Bet Away Your Christmas Money | How to Bet Away Your Christmas Money
Addendum — Soccer ELO: The Rebuild, Part 3.5
Let’s say I received $100 in Christmas money from my family. What better way to say thanks than to throw it all away at the betting house on Boxing Day?!?!
Okay, invest it all away at the betting house.
Investments, in a way, are just like bets. They each have a certain expected level of return and within them hold an expected level of risk. The only difference, of course, is that betting houses are notoriously (or at least explicitly) more volatile.
DISCLAIMER: I AM NEITHER AN INVESTING NOR A BETTING PROFESSIONAL. I DON’T KNOW IF THERE’S A LICENCE TO GIVE OUT THIS ADVICE AND IF THERE IS, I DON’T HAVE IT. YOU ARE BETTING ON YOUR OWN VOLITION AND I TAKE NO RESPONSIBILITY FOR YOUR FINANCIAL DECISIONS.
If we assume Boxing Day ELO and Bovada Odds (from part 3) are independently distributed, we can develop the following model based on the expected level of risk (standard deviation) and expected return (expected value):
Expected Return is the weighted average return from the market given all the results (i.e., an odds-inflated win and the loss of your bet, weighted by the ELO probability). Standard Deviation on Returns measures the fluctuation of each outcome from the expected return, weighted by its ELO probability. Here’s the Investopedia article I used as a refresher. It’s good.
Obviously, we want to maximize return and minimize risk. By mapping it out on the graph above, one can clearly see that the results make the shape of a wave on the chart. The border of this wave is called the efficient frontier, the maximum point for returns at a given level of risk and for risk at a given level of returns. Investors can decide which level of return fits their risk appetite.
This also cancels out some of the dumber value bets I wrote about in the last part. Hey, I never said I was perfect.
Betting on the Border
So if we’re betting on this efficient frontier, trying to minimize the most risk on this quadrant, and eschewing the over-complicated matrix algebra associated with finding optimal asset allocations of 30 values (my finance class stopped at two assets), we have the following bets upon which I’m willing to throw down my hard-begged-for $100:
$30: Watford Win
$30: Burnley Win
$20: Chelsea Win
$10: Draw Manchester United/Sunderland
$10: Liverpool Win
It seems the odds have changed slightly, per the betting slip:
Draw between MUFC and Sunderland.
But as I’ve decided to stay on the convex crest of the efficient frontier, aka the betting tsunami, and aside from rooting for David Moyes to make it out of the Nissan factory, I’ll keep to a risk-timid appetite. Just for starters.
Full Table below if you’d like to try and make your own decisions (this is off of the 22 December odds, however). Merry Christmas and Happy Hunting!
EDIT: Assessing Results
Let’s just casually ignore that these matches happened months ago for now.
My five bets performed as follows:
```Watford 1–1 Palace: Bet Watford, $30 LOSS
MUFC 3–1 Sunderland: Bet Draw, $10 LOSS
Chelsea 3–0 Bournemouth: Bet Chelsea, $27.27 WIN
Burnley 1–0 Middlesbrough: Bet Burnley, $87 WIN
Liverpool 4–1 Stoke City: Bet Liverpool, $12.67 WIN
Total Win: $87 + 27.27 + 12.67 = $121.94
Total Loss: -$30 -$10 = -$40
Total Value = $81.94```
While the expected portfolio value is down from the $100 I started, the volatile standard deviation allowed me to realize a 20%+ return on investment.
^ This sentence, on its own merits, should explain why no one should ever treat sports betting like an investment. But a win is a win! | https://medium.com/@mattbarger/how-to-bet-away-your-christmas-money-c5f8f2a8c6ed | ['Matt Barger'] | 2018-07-12 13:59:14.411000+00:00 | ['Soccer', 'Football', 'Premier League', 'Sports Betting', 'Analytics'] | Title Bet Away Christmas MoneyContent Bet Away Christmas Money Addendum — Soccer ELO Rebuild Part 35 Let’s say received 100 Christmas money family better way say thanks throw away betting house Boxing Day Okay invest away betting house Investments way like bet certain expected level return within hold expected level risk difference course betting house notoriously least explicitly volatile DISCLAIMER NEITHER INVESTING BETTING PROFESSIONAL DON’T KNOW THERE’S LICENCE GIVE ADVICE DON’T BETTING VOLITION TAKE RESPONSIBILITY FINANCIAL DECISIONS assume Boxing Day ELO Bovada Odds part 3 independently distributed develop following model based expected level risk standard deviation expected return expected value Expected Return weighted average return market given result ie oddsinflated win loss bet weighted ELO probability Standard Deviation Returns measure fluctuation outcome expected return weighted ELO probability Here’s Investopedia article used refresher It’s good Obviously want maximize return minimize risk mapping graph one clearly see result make shape wave chart border wave called efficient frontier maximum point return given level risk risk given level return Investors decide level return fit risk appetite also cancel dumber value bet wrote last part Hey never said perfect Betting Border we’re betting efficient frontier trying minimize risk quadrant eschewing overcomplicated matrix algebra associated finding optimal asset allocation 30 value finance class stopped two asset following bet upon I’m willing throw hardbeggedfor 100 30 Watford Win 30 Burnley Win 20 Chelsea Win 10 Draw Manchester UnitedSunderland 10 Liverpool Win seems odds changed slightly per betting slip Draw MUFC Sunderland I’ve decided stay convex crest efficient frontier aka betting tsunami aside rooting David Moyes make Nissan factory I’ll keep risktimid appetite starter Full Table you’d like try make decision 22 December odds however Merry Christmas Happy Hunting EDIT Assessing Results Let’s casually ignore match happened month ago five bet performed follows Watford 1–1 Palace Bet Watford 30 LOSS MUFC 3–1 Sunderland Bet Draw 10 LOSS Chelsea 3–0 Bournemouth Bet Chelsea 2727 WIN Burnley 1–0 Middlesbrough Bet Burnley 87 WIN Liverpool 4–1 Stoke City Bet Liverpool 1267 WIN Total Win 87 2727 1267 12194 Total Loss 30 10 40 Total Value 8194 expected portfolio value 100 started volatile standard deviation allowed realize 20 return investment sentence merit explain one ever treat sport betting like investment win winTags Soccer Football Premier League Sports Betting Analytics |
191,125 | Sun Bowl (post fact) | Sun Bowl (post fact)
The second bowl on Friday is the Sun Bowl between North Carolina St and Arizona St.
The line on this game opened NCST -5 and it has entered the biggest key number and landed on NCST -7.
What to make of these two teams? NCST was supposed to be a really good team pre-season but, they of course disappointed as usual. ASU has fired their coach and hired…. Herm Edwards? Yet, the fired head coach is staying on to coach this game. Figure that out.
As far as comparing stats, there is not a whole lot to separate the teams. Starting with expected points scored and expected points allowed, you’ll see that NCST should be favored but, probably not by 7 points.
The margin on yards per play is not large. It looks like the line is about right, and much like expected points, there is probably a tiny bit of value on ASU.
Both spread projections look like there is a little ASU value, what about efficiency stats? Well, the teams are largely the same.
On third down these teams are essentially the same. In the red zone, they are polar opposites. On defense, while NCST stops teams more frequently Texas AM looks like they get to the qb a little bit more.
There is not a lot to choose from here. Most people in this case would take the 7 points with the dog. But, with ASU’s weird coaching situation how can you do that? Wait and see if NCST shows up to play and maybe grab them live if they get below a td. Or watch the hockey game.
No play,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/sun-bowl-post-fact-e07b4c042637 | [] | 2017-12-29 20:51:11.926000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Sun Bowl post factContent Sun Bowl post fact second bowl Friday Sun Bowl North Carolina St Arizona St line game opened NCST 5 entered biggest key number landed NCST 7 make two team NCST supposed really good team preseason course disappointed usual ASU fired coach hired… Herm Edwards Yet fired head coach staying coach game Figure far comparing stats whole lot separate team Starting expected point scored expected point allowed you’ll see NCST favored probably 7 point margin yard per play large look like line right much like expected point probably tiny bit value ASU spread projection look like little ASU value efficiency stats Well team largely third team essentially red zone polar opposite defense NCST stop team frequently Texas look like get qb little bit lot choose people case would take 7 point dog ASU’s weird coaching situation Wait see NCST show play maybe grab live get td watch hockey game play Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,126 | Christmas Day NBA Fantasy Preview | One of the best days of basketball returns, Christmas Day! 5 ripping games, lets get into it.
Best plays
Eric Bledsoe ($5.6K on DK)- Love an underpriced bledsoe here. Miami, despite being a strong defensive team, often leak points to guards, plus Bledsoe looked great in his first Pelicans game. Love him here.
Projected points- 31
Bam Adebayo ($7.8k on DK)- The 7 TOs in game 1 keep Bams price down here, but what I love about the turnovers is it shows how much they’re running things through him. Butler is questionable too, so if he’s out, give Bam another bump up.
Projected score- 45
Maxi Kleber ($3.5K on DK)- At close to the minimum, Kleber is always a great play with Porzingis out. Should play 25+ minutes again and at this low salary is a must have for me.
Projected score- 21
My player pool
Paul Millsap ($4.9K on DK)- Was very nearly in the must plays for me. Looks like he still has his 30 minute a night role and can easily return value at this low buying point. Projected score- 28
Jaylen Brown ($7K on DK)- Another guy in most of my line ups. Should be a very up tempo game V the nets, which always bodes well for fantasy output. Projected score- 38
Goran Dragic ($5.3K on DK)- This is a great matchup for fantasy V the pelicans, in what should be a high scoring affair. Like Bam, give him a bump if Jimmy is out too. Projected score- 29
Luka Doncic ($10.7K on DK)- Like on Thursday, my two big dollar guys will be Luka and Giannis. Despite being a strong team, Luka tends to put up huge numbers V the lakers and I look for him to do that again here.
Projected score- 60
Tyler Herro ($5.6K on DK)- Continuing with this Heat Pels matchup. Another guys who benefits from this high tempo game.
Projected score- 30
Dorian Finney Smith ($4.8K on DK)- Should get plenty of minutes as usual at at this price point is worth a play for me.
Projected score- 24
Donte Divencenzo ($4.7K on DK)- Loved him coming into the season and was really impressed with his first game and role on the team.
Projected score- 24
Giannis ($10.9K on DK)- As mentioned before, Giannis and Doncic are where I’m spending my money tonight. Think one of the two will be the top scoring player on the slate.
Projected score- 60
Jeff Teague ($4.2K on DK)- Has a nice role with Kemba out and whilst I will only have him in a few lineups, he’s a decent value play.
Projected score- 22
Khris Middleton and Jimmy Butler- Butler as mentioned comes in questionable, but I think both of these guys can be worth it, both in good matchups.
Good luck and enjoy the fantastic games the NBA has put on for Christmas Day! | https://medium.com/fantasy-basketball-daily/christmas-day-nba-fantasy-preview-eac58ed8c259 | ['Jayden Desmond'] | 2020-12-25 10:05:52.251000+00:00 | ['NBA', 'DraftKings', 'Fantasy Sports', 'Basketball', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Christmas Day NBA Fantasy PreviewContent One best day basketball return Christmas Day 5 ripping game let get Best play Eric Bledsoe 56K DK Love underpriced bledsoe Miami despite strong defensive team often leak point guard plus Bledsoe looked great first Pelicans game Love Projected point 31 Bam Adebayo 78k DK 7 TOs game 1 keep Bams price love turnover show much they’re running thing Butler questionable he’s give Bam another bump Projected score 45 Maxi Kleber 35K DK close minimum Kleber always great play Porzingis play 25 minute low salary must Projected score 21 player pool Paul Millsap 49K DK nearly must play Looks like still 30 minute night role easily return value low buying point Projected score 28 Jaylen Brown 7K DK Another guy line ups tempo game V net always bodes well fantasy output Projected score 38 Goran Dragic 53K DK great matchup fantasy V pelican high scoring affair Like Bam give bump Jimmy Projected score 29 Luka Doncic 107K DK Like Thursday two big dollar guy Luka Giannis Despite strong team Luka tends put huge number V lakers look Projected score 60 Tyler Herro 56K DK Continuing Heat Pels matchup Another guy benefit high tempo game Projected score 30 Dorian Finney Smith 48K DK get plenty minute usual price point worth play Projected score 24 Donte Divencenzo 47K DK Loved coming season really impressed first game role team Projected score 24 Giannis 109K DK mentioned Giannis Doncic I’m spending money tonight Think one two top scoring player slate Projected score 60 Jeff Teague 42K DK nice role Kemba whilst lineup he’s decent value play Projected score 22 Khris Middleton Jimmy Butler Butler mentioned come questionable think guy worth good matchup Good luck enjoy fantastic game NBA put Christmas DayTags NBA DraftKings Fantasy Sports Basketball Sports Betting |
191,127 | Independence Bowl | Independence Bowl
The first bowl on a busy Wednesday for bowl season is the Independence Bowl in Shreveport, La. The combatants are Southern Mississippi and Florida St.
The line for this game opened FSU -14.5 and has ticked up to -15 and back down this morning to -14.5. The total has dropped from 50.5 to 49.
FSU has been a hard team to read this year as they lost their star qb and basically their season in the opening game of the year against Alabama. It sure seems like they never recovered, going 3–6, until reeling off 3 straight wins to end the year (including a hastily scheduled make-up game with ULM to qualify for the post-season). So, their stats, at last offensively, have to be taken with a grain of salt as they were never playing with what they envisioned.
The first comparison, as always to set the line, is the expected points scored and expected points allowed.
This shows that both teams struggle to score based on what their opponents usually give up, S.Miss 1 point less and FSU almost 3 points less. FSU however, does a great job of limiting their opponents, giving up 6.5 points less than they could be expected to. The bottom line though, is that this line, based on these numbers, should be a pick’em.
Yards per play also shows massive value on S.Mississippi. 17 points of value is the highest yet during the bowl season (this metric was great through the first 10 or 12 bowls but, as anyone who was reading yesterday knows, it was not helpful at all. All three favorites gave up massive value in yards per play and all covered pretty handidly).
Defensive and efficiency stats have been put together into one graphic here because none of them show any real difference between the teams except red zone defense. S.Miss has a decent 7% advantage at stopping teams in the red zone — the rest of the stats are almost identical.
There is huge disparity in strength of schedule, in fact, the biggest one that will be seen in bowl season, #11 vs #116. So, that makes it really hard to discern anything from these stats. As far as how motivated these teams will be to attend this bowl, you would have to imagine S.Mississippi is excited. True, its their third straight season being invited to a mid-tier bowl but, they won three straight games to end the season and while they went 0–2 against Power 5 schools this year they kept both games close (losing 24–17 to Kentucky and 24–10 to Tennessee on the road). Additionally, they beat Kentucky last year, in Kentucky. They should be pumped for the task of beating a Power 5 school in a bowl game. C-USA schools are 4–4 in bowl season but, this is only shot anyone has had a Power 5 school.
Florida St on the other hand underwent a rough season, as previously mentioned losing their star qb in the opener. They went 6–6 and had to run the table on the last three games to do so. Those last three games might be what some FSU backers today will point to as to why they are taking FSU. But, those wins included a DII school, a Florida Gators team that had obviously quit on the season and a make-up game against a 4–7 Sun Belt team that you can guess didn’t want to be there. Will their players be motivated to win this for their interim coach? Will they be motivated for new in-coming coach Willie Taggart? Will they care about playing in the Independence Bowl in Shreveport, something they could not have expected in August? All super hard questions to answer. A hot take might be, that they won’t care. Look at this injury report….
Look at all those injuries. And look at how many of them have just “left” the team. They include star defensive end Josh Sweat and star defensive back Derwin James. A full one third of the yards FSU created tackling for a loss is sitting this game out due to injury or draft preparation.
The hope here is S.Miss cares more and remembers they don’t have to win, they just can’t lose by more than two td’s. Not faking punts from inside their own 20 like the Huskies last night will be a big head-start. Also, freshman replacement qb James Blackman throws interceptions like candy canes a Christmas parade so, he should help keep S.Mississippi in it.
S.Miss +14.5,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/independence-bowl-cc8a06e52a8c | [] | 2017-12-27 16:15:38.523000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Independence BowlContent Independence Bowl first bowl busy Wednesday bowl season Independence Bowl Shreveport La combatant Southern Mississippi Florida St line game opened FSU 145 ticked 15 back morning 145 total dropped 505 49 FSU hard team read year lost star qb basically season opening game year Alabama sure seems like never recovered going 3–6 reeling 3 straight win end year including hastily scheduled makeup game ULM qualify postseason stats last offensively taken grain salt never playing envisioned first comparison always set line expected point scored expected point allowed show team struggle score based opponent usually give SMiss 1 point le FSU almost 3 point le FSU however great job limiting opponent giving 65 point le could expected bottom line though line based number pick’em Yards per play also show massive value SMississippi 17 point value highest yet bowl season metric great first 10 12 bowl anyone reading yesterday know helpful three favorite gave massive value yard per play covered pretty handidly Defensive efficiency stats put together one graphic none show real difference team except red zone defense SMiss decent 7 advantage stopping team red zone — rest stats almost identical huge disparity strength schedule fact biggest one seen bowl season 11 v 116 make really hard discern anything stats far motivated team attend bowl would imagine SMississippi excited True third straight season invited midtier bowl three straight game end season went 0–2 Power 5 school year kept game close losing 24–17 Kentucky 24–10 Tennessee road Additionally beat Kentucky last year Kentucky pumped task beating Power 5 school bowl game CUSA school 4–4 bowl season shot anyone Power 5 school Florida St hand underwent rough season previously mentioned losing star qb opener went 6–6 run table last three game last three game might FSU backer today point taking FSU win included DII school Florida Gators team obviously quit season makeup game 4–7 Sun Belt team guess didn’t want player motivated win interim coach motivated new incoming coach Willie Taggart care playing Independence Bowl Shreveport something could expected August super hard question answer hot take might won’t care Look injury report… Look injury look many “left” team include star defensive end Josh Sweat star defensive back Derwin James full one third yard FSU created tackling loss sitting game due injury draft preparation hope SMiss care remembers don’t win can’t lose two td’s faking punt inside 20 like Huskies last night big headstart Also freshman replacement qb James Blackman throw interception like candy cane Christmas parade help keep SMississippi SMiss 145 Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,128 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Texas A&M Aggies: Free Belk Bowl Pick, 12–29–2017 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons (7–5) vs Texas A&M Aggies (7–5)
Date: December 29th, 2017
Game Time: 1:00 pm
NCAAF Odds: Texas A&M +3, 65.5
Free Bowl Pick by ATS Expert Carmine Luzetti
The ACC and SEC will clash Friday in the 2017 Belk Bowl in Charlotte, NC as the Wake Forest Demon Deacons take on the Texas A&M Aggies. Both teams were 7–5 on the season but they both were good against the number: WF (8–3–1 ATS) / A&M (7–4–1 ATS). Oddsmakers have the Demon Deacons as -3 point favorites with the Total set at 65.5 at the time of this writing.
The Demon Deacons won their first four games but then lost their next three against quality ACC teams in Florida State, Clemson and Georgia Tech. The final five games got the fan base excited for next year posting a 3–2 record with wins over Louisville, Syracuse, and NC State. A big reason for the Demon Deacons success this season was their senior signal-caller, John Wolford. Wolford earned second-team All-ACC recognition after leading the conference in passer rating (157.5), tying for first in touchdown passes (25) while throwing just six interceptions. Wolford and company should be able to make some things happen through the air against a Texas A&M defense that ranks near the bottom of the SEC (10th) against the pass.
The Texas A&M Aggies will be coached Jeff Banks for their Bowl with Kevin Sumlin gone and Jimbo Fisher set to take over the program after the game. The Aggies grew impatient with Sumlin as they have not surpassed 8 wins since the 2013–14 season, which was the last time they won a bowl game. A&M has a history of starting off the season winning football games but losing traction when they enter the heart of the SEC schedule down the stretch.
Thanks to injuries, Texas A&M has used three different quarterbacks this season. The Aggies are 65th in the FBS in passing offense with 230.6 yards per game and stand 74th in rushing with 159 yards per contest. Texas A&M is 43rd in the FBS in scoring offense with 31.1 points per contest and 81st in scoring defense as they allow 28.7 points per game.
As with any bowl game, the biggest question is which team wants it more? A&M may be playing for Jimbo Fisher and the future but the same can be said for Wake as a dark horse ACC team in 2018. The edge at quarterback goes to John Wolford at Wake and the Demon Deacons are 4–0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. I just don’t know which team we will see from the Aggies and it’s typically tough for teams and players to play in a bowl game after their head coach is fired. I think Wake Forest has more motivation to win this game and they are playing closer to home in Charlotte which should equate to more fan support.
Free Belk Bowl Pick: Wake Forest -3 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/wake-forest-demon-deacons-vs-texas-a-m-aggies-free-belk-bowl-pick-12-29-2017-e7c069083d88 | ['Ats Experts', 'Sports Professionals Network'] | 2017-12-29 13:00:49.783000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'College Football', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling', 'NCAAF'] | Title Wake Forest Demon Deacons v Texas Aggies Free Belk Bowl Pick 12–29–2017Content Wake Forest Demon Deacons 7–5 v Texas Aggies 7–5 Date December 29th 2017 Game Time 100 pm NCAAF Odds Texas 3 655 Free Bowl Pick ATS Expert Carmine Luzetti ACC SEC clash Friday 2017 Belk Bowl Charlotte NC Wake Forest Demon Deacons take Texas Aggies team 7–5 season good number WF 8–3–1 ATS 7–4–1 ATS Oddsmakers Demon Deacons 3 point favorite Total set 655 time writing Demon Deacons first four game lost next three quality ACC team Florida State Clemson Georgia Tech final five game got fan base excited next year posting 3–2 record win Louisville Syracuse NC State big reason Demon Deacons success season senior signalcaller John Wolford Wolford earned secondteam AllACC recognition leading conference passer rating 1575 tying first touchdown pass 25 throwing six interception Wolford company able make thing happen air Texas defense rank near bottom SEC 10th pas Texas Aggies coached Jeff Banks Bowl Kevin Sumlin gone Jimbo Fisher set take program game Aggies grew impatient Sumlin surpassed 8 win since 2013–14 season last time bowl game history starting season winning football game losing traction enter heart SEC schedule stretch Thanks injury Texas used three different quarterback season Aggies 65th FBS passing offense 2306 yard per game stand 74th rushing 159 yard per contest Texas 43rd FBS scoring offense 311 point per contest 81st scoring defense allow 287 point per game bowl game biggest question team want may playing Jimbo Fisher future said Wake dark horse ACC team 2018 edge quarterback go John Wolford Wake Demon Deacons 4–0 ATS last 4 bowl game don’t know team see Aggies it’s typically tough team player play bowl game head coach fired think Wake Forest motivation win game playing closer home Charlotte equate fan support Free Belk Bowl Pick Wake Forest 3Tags Sports College Football Sports Betting Gambling NCAAF |
191,129 | Pin Stripe Bowl | Let’s first start with an apology and explanation. The last write up, for the Independence Bowl taking place right now, showed and discussed a line of +14.5 for S.Miss that was already +13.5 by the time the article was published. This is the first time that has happened and it is obviously not the intent to give out advice based on stale lines. These write ups take about 30–45 minutes to turn the stats and notes into a polished presentation. The number dropped in that 30 minutes. Lesson learned, will double check before publishing moving forward.
The next bowl today is the Pin Stripe Bowl. This year features a return participant in Boston College Eagles. They are facing their third straight Big Ten bowl opponent in the Iowa Hawkeyes.
The lines for this game have not really moved. They opened Iowa -3 with a total of 46.5. That 3 is still available while the total has dropped to 45.
These teams are a fairly close match and run very similar styles. The stats bear this out.
The expected points scored and allowed show that both teams do a great job of allowing far less than could be expected but, Iowa has the advantage in scoring more than expected. These numbers produce an expected spread of Iowa -6.
Looking at yards per play shows that the teams are almost even and that doesn’t bode well for BC as usually this metric leans heavily to the underdog.
According to this Iowa should be a -2.5 favorite, meaning there is only a half point of value on BC; just not that much for a three point dog.
The efficiency and defensive metrics don’t leave any room between the two teams either. No metric has more than a 5 point difference. Its hard to imagine either team pulling away here. Both teams also have a great ability to stop the explosive play on defense, ranking inside the top 40. Additionally, both have top 20 rated schedules furthering the similarities.
As far as motivation, Boston College should be pretty psyched to be here. They had their 4th winning season in Coach Addazio’s 5 seasons. This is the their 4th bowl and despite losing their first two under Addazio (one in OT to Penn St), they beat Maryland last year and should be pumped to defeat another Big Ten foe. BC won 5 of their last 6 games this season and scored more than 35 points in all five wins.
Iowa meanwhile has been to five straight bowls… and been blown out in all five. Its pretty hard to back a team as a favorite that has lost five straight bowl games AND lost to Purdue at home a month ago. Did Iowa peak after authoring one of the college football season’s biggest upsets vs Ohio St? The bet here is yes.
BC +3, -115,
Good Luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/pin-stripe-bowl-f2ba51d7a3ae | [] | 2017-12-27 19:41:41.818000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Pin Stripe BowlContent Let’s first start apology explanation last write Independence Bowl taking place right showed discussed line 145 SMiss already 135 time article published first time happened obviously intent give advice based stale line write ups take 30–45 minute turn stats note polished presentation number dropped 30 minute Lesson learned double check publishing moving forward next bowl today Pin Stripe Bowl year feature return participant Boston College Eagles facing third straight Big Ten bowl opponent Iowa Hawkeyes line game really moved opened Iowa 3 total 465 3 still available total dropped 45 team fairly close match run similar style stats bear expected point scored allowed show team great job allowing far le could expected Iowa advantage scoring expected number produce expected spread Iowa 6 Looking yard per play show team almost even doesn’t bode well BC usually metric lean heavily underdog According Iowa 25 favorite meaning half point value BC much three point dog efficiency defensive metric don’t leave room two team either metric 5 point difference hard imagine either team pulling away team also great ability stop explosive play defense ranking inside top 40 Additionally top 20 rated schedule furthering similarity far motivation Boston College pretty psyched 4th winning season Coach Addazio’s 5 season 4th bowl despite losing first two Addazio one OT Penn St beat Maryland last year pumped defeat another Big Ten foe BC 5 last 6 game season scored 35 point five win Iowa meanwhile five straight bowls… blown five pretty hard back team favorite lost five straight bowl game lost Purdue home month ago Iowa peak authoring one college football season’s biggest upset v Ohio St bet yes BC 3 115 Good LuckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,130 | Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl | Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl
The bowl with everyone’s favorite name. Originally this bowl in St. Pete’s was the magicJack Bowl. While that name seems awesome it was certainly superseded by the Beef O’Brady’s Bowl. And that name was honestly good enough. Unbelievably that sponsorship has been upstaged again, this time by the Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla moniker. This one may be impossible to beat as Gasparilla was really, truly a pirate. And how can you top that?
The line for this bowl opened Temple -7 with a total of 56. The line has stayed steady at Temple -7 but, the total has shifted up a bit to 57.5. While these teams have never faced, the CUSA and AAC conferences have some bowl history, even this year. The AAC is now 0–5, after Wednesday nights win by La Tech, versus CUSA teams in bowl games. Maybe a function of style? Or maybe a function of the AAC sending its lesser teams to these bowls and CUSA sending their best?
Let’s start, as always by looking at the expected points to be scored versus the expected points to be allowed for these two teams:
This chart explains that Temple is scoring a lot less than they should be expected to versus their schedule and FIU is giving up a lot more points than they should be expected to versus their schedule. As a whole these numbers show that these two teams are essentially equal. This comparison method suggests a fair spread would actually be FIU -1, pointing to huge value on the Golden Panthers.
The yards per play metric doesn’t do Temple any favours either.
This metric again shows that there is not much between the two teams and that the spread should be closer to Temple -1.5. That means there is about 5.5 points of value on FIU. As pointed out yesterday in the Frisco Bowl preview teams with that kind of YPP value have, not only all covered as dogs but, have all actually won outright; La Tech continued that trend with a smoke show last night (although the game never went over the total despite FIFTY TWO [52] points at the half!!!!!!!!!!, so apologies there to anyone who bet that).
Digger a little deeper and looking at the red zone and 3rd down numbers doesn’t really change the picture for the Temple Owls.
These teams have super close 3rd down numbers on both offense and defense, in fact they are almost exactly the same. Where these is a huge disparity is in red zone offense. When FIU gets inside the 20 yard line… they score (2nd best percentage in the country). FIU also has a small advantage in holding their opponents off the board as well, 77% to 81%.
The last set of numbers these previews have generally looked at are kind of messy in this match-up. There is no discernible line of thinking.
Temple sacks the qb at a much better rate yet FIU is much more proficient at getting in to the backfield and tackling for a loss. This is probably caused by Temple having two star defensive lineman who sack the qb a ton but, a defense as a whole who can’t get into the backfield — Temple is one of only three teams in the country to have multiple players in the top 30 in sacks (USC and TCU would be the others). If FIU can slow down those two monsters they may be able to win the field possession battle.
While the numbers game sure points heavily to FIU there are some intangibles to consider. One is injury concerns. FIU will probably be without WR Thomas Owens and he could be the best player (to his team) to miss a bowl so far this year. He was their leading receiver by a mile (887 yards receiving and 6 TDs, the next best player on their roster had 294 and 3) and it is hard to not want to downgrade their amazing red zone stats in his absence. Another point to consider against FIU is that they played one of the worst schedules in the nation and this match-up actually gives us the biggest strength of schedule disparity of the bowl season so far, 77 to 118.
As far as motivation goes, neither coaching staff is going anywhere as they are both in their first season. Both teams should be fairly excited to be here: despite this being Temple’s fourth minor bowl in a row, they did have to go 3–1 down the stretch and under-go a qb change to qualify for the post-season, while FIU, although they were already qualified at 6–4, won their last two games in a smashingly decisive way scoring 41 and 63 points on their way to an 8–4 record. Butch Davis should have these kids riled right up as they are in position to set the school record for wins and this will be the schools first bowl since 2011.
A lot of things are pointing at FIU and while they may not win, they should keep it close despite the massive difference in schedule strength.
FIU +7,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/bad-boy-mowers-gasparilla-bowl-7e2dead3a56a | [] | 2017-12-21 15:14:07.014000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla BowlContent Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl bowl everyone’s favorite name Originally bowl St Pete’s magicJack Bowl name seems awesome certainly superseded Beef O’Brady’s Bowl name honestly good enough Unbelievably sponsorship upstaged time Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla moniker one may impossible beat Gasparilla really truly pirate top line bowl opened Temple 7 total 56 line stayed steady Temple 7 total shifted bit 575 team never faced CUSA AAC conference bowl history even year AAC 0–5 Wednesday night win La Tech versus CUSA team bowl game Maybe function style maybe function AAC sending lesser team bowl CUSA sending best Let’s start always looking expected point scored versus expected point allowed two team chart explains Temple scoring lot le expected versus schedule FIU giving lot point expected versus schedule whole number show two team essentially equal comparison method suggests fair spread would actually FIU 1 pointing huge value Golden Panthers yard per play metric doesn’t Temple favour either metric show much two team spread closer Temple 15 mean 55 point value FIU pointed yesterday Frisco Bowl preview team kind YPP value covered dog actually outright La Tech continued trend smoke show last night although game never went total despite FIFTY TWO 52 point half apology anyone bet Digger little deeper looking red zone 3rd number doesn’t really change picture Temple Owls team super close 3rd number offense defense fact almost exactly huge disparity red zone offense FIU get inside 20 yard line… score 2nd best percentage country FIU also small advantage holding opponent board well 77 81 last set number preview generally looked kind messy matchup discernible line thinking Temple sack qb much better rate yet FIU much proficient getting backfield tackling loss probably caused Temple two star defensive lineman sack qb ton defense whole can’t get backfield — Temple one three team country multiple player top 30 sack USC TCU would others FIU slow two monster may able win field possession battle number game sure point heavily FIU intangible consider One injury concern FIU probably without WR Thomas Owens could best player team miss bowl far year leading receiver mile 887 yard receiving 6 TDs next best player roster 294 3 hard want downgrade amazing red zone stats absence Another point consider FIU played one worst schedule nation matchup actually give u biggest strength schedule disparity bowl season far 77 118 far motivation go neither coaching staff going anywhere first season team fairly excited despite Temple’s fourth minor bowl row go 3–1 stretch undergo qb change qualify postseason FIU although already qualified 6–4 last two game smashingly decisive way scoring 41 63 point way 8–4 record Butch Davis kid riled right position set school record win school first bowl since 2011 lot thing pointing FIU may win keep close despite massive difference schedule strength FIU 7 Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,131 | Dollar General Bowl | Dollar General Bowl
The Dollar General Bowl is the last of three bowls on Saturday. It features Toledo and Appalachian State.
The line for this game opened Toledo -8 with a line of 62.5. The total hasn’t really moved, its ticked down to 61.5. The spread has dropped through a pretty key number and now sits at -6.5.
The stats for this game show two pretty similar teams.
Both teams are going to score but, the spread should be closer to Toledo -4. This is in line with the market being driven down to -6.5.
Yards per play show 3.5 points of value on App St. This is the kind of number to be looking for if the bet is going to be on the dog. Teams with that kind of value have been undefeated in this bowl season (other than FIU, who suffered a qb injury on the third play of the game).
When it comes to some of the deeper stats, these teams continue to look almost identical.
Looking at the defensive stats adds to the value on App St that showed up in the yards per play.
App St has pretty healthy advantage in sack rate and tackling for a loss.
This bowl game is truly an oddity. It is a re-match of a bowl game last year! These two teams played in the Camellia Bowl where App St prevailed 31–28. This is the third straight year for App St in a bowl and it’s hard to say how pumped they will be for this match-up. Toledo on the other should be motivated to avenge last years bowl loss. Additionally, Toledo is coming off a pretty good season where they went 11–2 and won the MAC title.
Too hard to pick a winner here. The motivation should push Toledo but, the stats kind of point to App St. The total looks appealing though. Toledo scored over 30 points ten times this season, while App St went over 30 points 6 times. Here’s hopping these teams light it up like Manchester City and the DeSilva Magician did today.
App St/Toledo o61.5,
Good Luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/dollar-general-bowl-7208c5dfd7c4 | [] | 2017-12-23 23:57:00.645000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Dollar General BowlContent Dollar General Bowl Dollar General Bowl last three bowl Saturday feature Toledo Appalachian State line game opened Toledo 8 line 625 total hasn’t really moved ticked 615 spread dropped pretty key number sits 65 stats game show two pretty similar team team going score spread closer Toledo 4 line market driven 65 Yards per play show 35 point value App St kind number looking bet going dog Teams kind value undefeated bowl season FIU suffered qb injury third play game come deeper stats team continue look almost identical Looking defensive stats add value App St showed yard per play App St pretty healthy advantage sack rate tackling loss bowl game truly oddity rematch bowl game last year two team played Camellia Bowl App St prevailed 31–28 third straight year App St bowl it’s hard say pumped matchup Toledo motivated avenge last year bowl loss Additionally Toledo coming pretty good season went 11–2 MAC title hard pick winner motivation push Toledo stats kind point App St total look appealing though Toledo scored 30 point ten time season App St went 30 point 6 time Here’s hopping team light like Manchester City DeSilva Magician today App StToledo o615 Good LuckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,132 | Seattle Seahawks vs Dallas Cowboys Free NFL Spread Pick, 12–24–2017 | Seattle Seahawks vs Dallas Cowboys Free NFL Spread Pick, 12–24–2017
Free NFL Pick by Frank Moone of King Sports Picks
Seattle Seahawks (8–6) vs Dallas Cowboys (8–6)
NFL: Sunday, December 24, 4:25 PM EST
Line: Cowboys -5, O/U 47
Last Meeting: 11/1/15 SEA 13 DAL 12
Trends:
Seahawks are 9–3–1 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss
Cowboys are 1–5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
Underdog is 4–0 ATS in their last 4 meetings
At the beginning of the season, this matchup would have been circled as one of the top NFL games to watch in 2017. Circumstances have shifted a bit and while we’re not watching this game to see which team gets the #1 seed in the NFC, but these teams are fighting for a playoff spot. The Seattle Seahawks travel to AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys. Both teams enter this contest with an 8–6 record and both teams are in dire need of a win.
After beating Philadelphia three weeks ago in an impressive, dominant win over the top team in the NFC the Seahawks have tapered off the last two weeks. Seattle has lost two straight games to the Jaguars and Rams, two very good playoff bound teams but they were run out of their building last week vs the Rams.
Dallas will get a shot in the arm as they welcome back All-Pro running back, Ezekiel Elliott fresh off his six-game suspension. If Dallas can seize control on the ground in the first couple of offensive series than it figures to be a nice first game back for Elliott and another long afternoon for Seattle’s defense. Dak Prescott has had his ups and downs since ‘Zeke’s departure but the pressure will be lessened if the Cowboys can establish the run game. Dallas has won three straight games vs three non-playoff contenders, however, two of the three wins were convincing enough to prove they could win out and clinch a wild card.
Offensive line play figures to be a significant factor in this one, as the Seahawks need to keep Russell Wilson upright and find some way to run the ball. Meanwhile, the Cowboys may be without their All-Pro left tackle, Tyron Smith. Considering the Cowboys are getting Elliott back with fresh legs and not off an injury will be a big boost for this offense. This team was built around the run and you can bet they will give Elliott as many reps as he can handle. I expect this to be a close game with both teams fighting for their playoff lives. Take the Seahawks and points.
Seahawks vs Cowboys FREE Pick: Seahawks +5 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/seattle-seahawks-vs-dallas-cowboys-free-nfl-spread-pick-12-24-2017-f8dc096c6b69 | ['Vc Sports Monitor'] | 2017-12-24 12:01:52.474000+00:00 | ['NFL', 'Dallas Cowboys', 'Seattle Seahawks', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling'] | Title Seattle Seahawks v Dallas Cowboys Free NFL Spread Pick 12–24–2017Content Seattle Seahawks v Dallas Cowboys Free NFL Spread Pick 12–24–2017 Free NFL Pick Frank Moone King Sports Picks Seattle Seahawks 8–6 v Dallas Cowboys 8–6 NFL Sunday December 24 425 PM EST Line Cowboys 5 OU 47 Last Meeting 11115 SEA 13 DAL 12 Trends Seahawks 9–3–1 ATS last 13 game following SU loss Cowboys 1–5 ATS v team winning record Underdog 4–0 ATS last 4 meeting beginning season matchup would circled one top NFL game watch 2017 Circumstances shifted bit we’re watching game see team get 1 seed NFC team fighting playoff spot Seattle Seahawks travel ATT Stadium take Dallas Cowboys team enter contest 8–6 record team dire need win beating Philadelphia three week ago impressive dominant win top team NFC Seahawks tapered last two week Seattle lost two straight game Jaguars Rams two good playoff bound team run building last week v Rams Dallas get shot arm welcome back AllPro running back Ezekiel Elliott fresh sixgame suspension Dallas seize control ground first couple offensive series figure nice first game back Elliott another long afternoon Seattle’s defense Dak Prescott ups down since ‘Zeke’s departure pressure lessened Cowboys establish run game Dallas three straight game v three nonplayoff contender however two three win convincing enough prove could win clinch wild card Offensive line play figure significant factor one Seahawks need keep Russell Wilson upright find way run ball Meanwhile Cowboys may without AllPro left tackle Tyron Smith Considering Cowboys getting Elliott back fresh leg injury big boost offense team built around run bet give Elliott many rep handle expect close game team fighting playoff life Take Seahawks point Seahawks v Cowboys FREE Pick Seahawks 5Tags NFL Dallas Cowboys Seattle Seahawks Sports Betting Gambling |
191,133 | Birmingham Bowl | Birmingham Bowl
Saturday marks a day of less than remarkable bowl match-ups. The first one is the Birmingham Bowl pitting the USF Bulls against the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
The line on this bowl opened USF -2, moved up to -3 and trending back down on game day. -2 is widely available and some -1.5 is starting to appear. The total is also moving on game day; it opened 67 and moved down to 65.5 but, has bounced back to 66 this morning.
The expected points scored and expected points allowed is usually the best place to start as it gives an idea of how the teams performed against such different competition, giving us a base line to start comparing them.
This shows a lot of love for USF. This is by far the biggest spread this method has produced in the bowls so far. It is also the biggest discrepancy in comparison to the bookmakers lines in the bowl season to this point.
The yards per play comparison also backs up the love for USF.
This is the first time there’s been a favorite with a yards per play advantage big enough to show value on them. And 4 points is no small amount of value.
Digging a little deeper shows that the offensive and defensive numbers don’t help the case for Texas Tech that much at all either.
USF has a decent advantage when it comes to stopping teams on 3rd down. And USF scores a ton more in the red zone.
The defensive metrics also weigh heavily in USF’s favour. These are massive differences. Everything is pointing USF’s way.
The Bahamas Bowl preview had a very similar feel. A lot of things favored Ohio but, the motivation felt like it would be heavily in UAB’s corner. That turned out to be spectacularly wrong. The situation with the strength of schedule is kind of similar though — UAB had the worst schedule in the nation and in this case USF is coming in with the 90th ranked schedule while TTU has the 30th ranked schedule. That is just such a huge difference that it throws a lot of the statistical advantages into question. And while USF had a disappointing end to the season and maybe didn’t see this bowl in their future, Texas Tech had to come back in the 4th quarter of their last game to get to 6 wins and earn this invite. Whatever the opinion is of Texas Tech’s coach in the media, it would seem the players want him there are willing to play for him.
There are a ton of bowl games and this time of year every Johnny, Jimmy and Joe wants to bet on every single one of them. But, if you’re a Jimmy in Florida today, its probably best to sit this one out and go to the dogtrack instead.
No play,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/birmingham-bowl-d2508d4e5897 | [] | 2017-12-23 16:26:40.621000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Birmingham BowlContent Birmingham Bowl Saturday mark day le remarkable bowl matchup first one Birmingham Bowl pitting USF Bulls Texas Tech Red Raiders line bowl opened USF 2 moved 3 trending back game day 2 widely available 15 starting appear total also moving game day opened 67 moved 655 bounced back 66 morning expected point scored expected point allowed usually best place start give idea team performed different competition giving u base line start comparing show lot love USF far biggest spread method produced bowl far also biggest discrepancy comparison bookmaker line bowl season point yard per play comparison also back love USF first time there’s favorite yard per play advantage big enough show value 4 point small amount value Digging little deeper show offensive defensive number don’t help case Texas Tech much either USF decent advantage come stopping team 3rd USF score ton red zone defensive metric also weigh heavily USF’s favour massive difference Everything pointing USF’s way Bahamas Bowl preview similar feel lot thing favored Ohio motivation felt like would heavily UAB’s corner turned spectacularly wrong situation strength schedule kind similar though — UAB worst schedule nation case USF coming 90th ranked schedule TTU 30th ranked schedule huge difference throw lot statistical advantage question USF disappointing end season maybe didn’t see bowl future Texas Tech come back 4th quarter last game get 6 win earn invite Whatever opinion Texas Tech’s coach medium would seem player want willing play ton bowl game time year every Johnny Jimmy Joe want bet every single one you’re Jimmy Florida today probably best sit one go dogtrack instead play Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,134 | Basic Tips on Making Great Profits by Sports Bet | Sports having a bet or sports gambling whichever way you want to call it, has been round probable seeing that the start of organized expert sports activities. And there is a purpose why people are so keen approximately betting on sports. That’s as it can pay.
Do you need to earn a few first-rate earnings whilst getting concerned in something you’re very captivated with? Whatever your recreation is, be it soccer, basketball or baseball; making a bet on sports can deliver to your cash you never concept you could earn just by means of following your favorite team!
But I must remind you that it isn’t always easy. It isn’t always an easy walk in the park as they frequently say. Betting on sports calls for extra than instinct or intestine sense (and consider, maximum bettors depend on these every time they vicinity their bets!). Perhaps chiefly, you actually need to be passionate about it, especially on the sports of your desire. You will, must sincerely study the sport, analyze the inner stuff, recognize each cog that makes your specific game run nicely. Only by having such bold information can you gain real gain over the alternative bettors.
Now I even have prepared a short but powerful listing of tips that I constantly hand out to anyone who wants to get started on betting on sports. These are really pretty primary hints and recommendations however will prove to be sufficient for any novice.
1. Bet only on groups and sports which you love. Whether you need to wager on shall we embrace the NFL or NCAA, anything your league of preference can be, the crucial component is you select a crew and sports activities you are very passionate of. Passion is the key right here, and I don’t suppose I can overemphasize it sufficient. When you’re obsessed on a crew, you will be keen and greater creative on getting to know more about them, their stats and cutting-edge situations. Knowledge about your team and sports is vital on each wager that you may make.
2. Stick to what works for you. Every guess and each sport has some of making a bet structures or routines. Even each bettor has his personal device on every occasion he bets. Through time, you’ll examine and perhaps create your own system. When you in the end have a prevailing way, stick to it. You can deviate from it every occasionally however the essential element is that with major bets, you need to always follow your own attempted and tested approaches.
3. You should make your self a professional to your game. Not just with data, you need to study the fine details, the regulations and guidelines, the entirety that makes your game tick. You ought to know a fantastic cope with each participant of your team. Is the celebrity player presently in perfect playing condition? What is the general morale of the group? Is the teach on the verge of having fired? These are bits and pieces of information which might be vital in helping you to make the proper decisions each time you are betting on sports. | https://medium.com/@t20iplindia2/basic-tips-on-making-great-profits-by-sports-bet-a08f5ad5c75c | [] | 2020-12-31 07:26:29.473000+00:00 | ['Sportsbetting'] | Title Basic Tips Making Great Profits Sports BetContent Sports bet sport gambling whichever way want call round probable seeing start organized expert sport activity purpose people keen approximately betting sport That’s pay need earn firstrate earnings whilst getting concerned something you’re captivated Whatever recreation soccer basketball baseball making bet sport deliver cash never concept could earn mean following favorite team must remind isn’t always easy isn’t always easy walk park frequently say Betting sport call extra instinct intestine sense consider maximum bettor depend every time vicinity bet Perhaps chiefly actually need passionate especially sport desire must sincerely study sport analyze inner stuff recognize cog make specific game run nicely bold information gain real gain alternative bettor even prepared short powerful listing tip constantly hand anyone want get started betting sport really pretty primary hint recommendation however prove sufficient novice 1 Bet group sport love Whether need wager shall embrace NFL NCAA anything league preference crucial component select crew sport activity passionate Passion key right don’t suppose overemphasize sufficient you’re obsessed crew keen greater creative getting know stats cuttingedge situation Knowledge team sport vital wager may make 2 Stick work Every guess sport making bet structure routine Even bettor personal device every occasion bet time you’ll examine perhaps create system end prevailing way stick deviate every occasionally however essential element major bet need always follow attempted tested approach 3 make self professional game data need study fine detail regulation guideline entirety make game tick ought know fantastic cope participant team celebrity player presently perfect playing condition general morale group teach verge fired bit piece information might vital helping make proper decision time betting sportsTags Sportsbetting |
191,135 | Artificial intelligence in iGaming & Betting industry | Why is this important?
Hi,
My name is Aleksandar Aleksandrov and I am the founder of Football Chat AI. It’s a mobile app for predicting football scores using machine learning.
I am the sole developer of the scores betting predicting algorithm and have overseen the full project growth and acquisition of new users.
My work consists mostly analyzing the history data and see how that impacts the future prediction of a game score. To do this I use charting, drawing learning curves or sometimes simple just trying and measuring how things are.
Couple of weeks ago I attended a panel discussion in Sofia about how much AI will impact on gaming technology, and what can we possibly do using AI. Here is what I have managed to record on this panel discussion and what I wanted to share with you:
Why is artificial intelligence important for iGaming?
AI is very important for iGaming. Any industry where you have lots of history data that is relevant to a future outcome and can be used to predict the future outcome using Machine Learning and AI.
We are currently already seeing lots of startups and companies that are working hard to give the betting companies this tools at their disposal. Using this tools they can give better odds in their favor and earn more money. On the other hand there are none that give this information to the users. That is why we have created Football Chat AI, the first app that will give the users the prediction power at their disposal, which is now free for a limited time only and can be downloaded from:
Play Store: FootballchatAI
App Store: FootballchatAI
The Artificial Intelligence will have an impact on the risk management systems? it will be positive or negative?
It will be different. I can’t say will it be positive or negative, but I am certain things will change. AI is something that is coming and the early adopters will reap the most benefits. So at first I think we will see a trend of improved risk management systems which would bring even more stable systems and more money to the betting shops.
But after that people will start using their own AI systems which in the end will come down to a place of balance, something similar to what we have now.
Artificial Intelligence would attract more players?
Definitively. Imagine a sport betting app that tells the betting users:
“Our AI thinks that this team might play a poor game today based on rainy weather, place your bet now and reap the benefits.”
That will surely drive more bets. On the other hand a lot of people currently are not betting because they think they have to be football experts to bet. But if they have an AI friend who suggests what to bet on that would certainly help them. In the end the bet will still be theirs but they will have a lot more info on what to bet on.
Can an Artificial Intelligence improve the betting chances of a user?
Yes it can. The interesting thing about the Ai is that it can get a user to really close to making a winning bet even if he doesn’t know anything about that league. Like past games, shots on target, and so on. We have found that using the AI a user can almost always get to a point where he can win the bet or get really close and lose by only one game. That kind of quality is something that would make the users play even more and eventually win.
Artificial Intelligence in gambling will be accepted on the future?
I think it will become standard in 5 years from now. But it will not be in the form we all imagine it. It will mostly be as it is now, a lot of little Machine Learning tools are showing all over the industry. Currently there are lots of companies and they are investing and improving the Risk Management, Betting Odds.
In 5 years from now I believe we will have a gambling chat assistant friend who will suggest what to bet on, similar to Siri. This is something we have envisioned for Football Chat AI as well. Right now we give predictions on who will be the winner of a particular game, and make a user selection of the games. But soon the AI will pick the full ticket for the users.
Prior to Football Chat, I have worked for several companies on developing their web and mobile solutions. My specialities are in mobile development using Ionic and Cordova. Before that I was the founder of ilovethismusic.com a website for searching music based on keywords.
I hold a Bachelor's degree on Internet and Mobile technologies from Univerzitet ‘Sv. Kiril i Metodij’ from Skopje. | https://medium.com/@scorechat/what-is-football-chat-ai-and-who-we-are-65e3ee84ebf8 | ['Football Score Chat'] | 2018-03-22 14:42:37.605000+00:00 | ['Artificial Intelligence', 'Football', 'Apps', 'Betting Tips', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Artificial intelligence iGaming Betting industryContent important Hi name Aleksandar Aleksandrov founder Football Chat AI It’s mobile app predicting football score using machine learning sole developer score betting predicting algorithm overseen full project growth acquisition new user work consists mostly analyzing history data see impact future prediction game score use charting drawing learning curve sometimes simple trying measuring thing Couple week ago attended panel discussion Sofia much AI impact gaming technology possibly using AI managed record panel discussion wanted share artificial intelligence important iGaming AI important iGaming industry lot history data relevant future outcome used predict future outcome using Machine Learning AI currently already seeing lot startup company working hard give betting company tool disposal Using tool give better odds favor earn money hand none give information user created Football Chat AI first app give user prediction power disposal free limited time downloaded Play Store FootballchatAI App Store FootballchatAI Artificial Intelligence impact risk management system positive negative different can’t say positive negative certain thing change AI something coming early adopter reap benefit first think see trend improved risk management system would bring even stable system money betting shop people start using AI system end come place balance something similar Artificial Intelligence would attract player Definitively Imagine sport betting app tell betting user “Our AI think team might play poor game today based rainy weather place bet reap benefits” surely drive bet hand lot people currently betting think football expert bet AI friend suggests bet would certainly help end bet still lot info bet Artificial Intelligence improve betting chance user Yes interesting thing Ai get user really close making winning bet even doesn’t know anything league Like past game shot target found using AI user almost always get point win bet get really close lose one game kind quality something would make user play even eventually win Artificial Intelligence gambling accepted future think become standard 5 year form imagine mostly lot little Machine Learning tool showing industry Currently lot company investing improving Risk Management Betting Odds 5 year believe gambling chat assistant friend suggest bet similar Siri something envisioned Football Chat AI well Right give prediction winner particular game make user selection game soon AI pick full ticket user Prior Football Chat worked several company developing web mobile solution speciality mobile development using Ionic Cordova founder ilovethismusiccom website searching music based keywords hold Bachelors degree Internet Mobile technology Univerzitet ‘Sv Kiril Metodij’ SkopjeTags Artificial Intelligence Football Apps Betting Tips Sports Betting |
191,136 | Forget Bitcoin. Stop Gambling and Start Trading Today! | Forget Bitcoin. Stop Gambling and Start Trading Today!
Bitcoin is a hot topic these days. The cryptocurrency that previously held almost no value whatsoever is now the most valuable digital commodity on Earth. With 1 bitcoin priced at nearly £13,000, it’s quite understandable why people want to invest in it. And as we speak, bitcoin value just keeps rising.
But Bitcoin is also very volatile.
What this means is you never know if the price is going up or down. It’s impossible to tell with certainty what would happen to bitcoin’s value in the next few minutes, hours, or days.
Yes, you do have the potential to make a windfall profit, or in simple words a lot of money in a short time. But then again, you equally have the potential to lose all you invested. The Bitcoin bubble is due to burst any time soon, and if that happens, every Bitcoin investor will go home with a huge frown.
Now you may be thinking, “is there an alternative?” Good news for you is yes, there is one.
Trading in greyhound racing does not carry as much risk as Bitcoin does.
It’s actually a technical matter, just like any other sport. There are stats to watch out for in each greyhound, for example. Each race’s outcome is affected by current weather conditions, track conditions, and others. Knowing how all these stats affect each race will allow you to make better choices. In turn, you’ll win more of your bets.
Once you master these winning strategies, you can win consistently in any race.
This will give you a lot more earning potential than investing in Bitcoin. Moreover, it carries much less risk. So if you’re concerned about where you put your money into, greyhound racing is certainly a good alternative.
And with a proven, well-researched system to help you, the more you shouldn’t worry. The Two Trap Greyhound System will equip you to win in the races each time, every time. With these consistent wins, your dream of making money from greyhound racing will finally come true. | https://medium.com/@peterbrighttheone/forget-bitcoin-stop-gambling-and-start-trading-today-541e18d194fb | ['Peter Bright Mybiztips'] | 2017-12-17 05:34:57.703000+00:00 | ['Bitcoin', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Forget Bitcoin Stop Gambling Start Trading TodayContent Forget Bitcoin Stop Gambling Start Trading Today Bitcoin hot topic day cryptocurrency previously held almost value whatsoever valuable digital commodity Earth 1 bitcoin priced nearly £13000 it’s quite understandable people want invest speak bitcoin value keep rising Bitcoin also volatile mean never know price going It’s impossible tell certainty would happen bitcoin’s value next minute hour day Yes potential make windfall profit simple word lot money short time equally potential lose invested Bitcoin bubble due burst time soon happens every Bitcoin investor go home huge frown may thinking “is alternative” Good news yes one Trading greyhound racing carry much risk Bitcoin It’s actually technical matter like sport stats watch greyhound example race’s outcome affected current weather condition track condition others Knowing stats affect race allow make better choice turn you’ll win bet master winning strategy win consistently race give lot earning potential investing Bitcoin Moreover carry much le risk you’re concerned put money greyhound racing certainly good alternative proven wellresearched system help shouldn’t worry Two Trap Greyhound System equip win race time every time consistent win dream making money greyhound racing finally come trueTags Bitcoin Sports Betting |
191,137 | Sports Betting from Your Phone — Mobile Bookmakers | Sports Betting from Your Phone — Mobile Bookmakers
To place a bet from a portable gadget, you can use one of three main methods.
Log in from a mobile device to the regular desktop version of the bookmaker’s website. On the one hand, this is the easiest way to get into the bookmaker’s office. However, not all devices support the correct operation of all sports betting and online casino functions and services.
Go to the mobile version of the site. Most bookmakers have a mini-version of the site designed specifically for tablets and smartphones. Such sites work much faster than the desktop version, consume fewer resources, and at the same time allow you to use most of the functions of the main resource of the bookmaker’s office.
Install the mobile application. Many bookmakers develop applications for popular mobile operating systems. Please note that each system may require a separate program: an Android application will not run on iOS and vice versa.
Some bookmakers develop applications for all popular systems: Windows Mobile, Android, iOS. Others are limited to Apple or Android products, offering other users to use the mobile version of the portal.
Working with a mobile application
You can download the mobile sports APP (먹튀검증) on the official website of the bookmaker. Before installing any application, you must complete a number of procedures:
Go to the browser settings and go to the “Security. Open the “Administration” tab and check the box next to the “Unknown sources” group. After that, it becomes possible to install programs that are downloaded from the sites of bookmakers. The changes made must be confirmed by clicking the “Yes” button in the dialog box.
After that, you can install the application.
After installation, registration is performed, if it was not done earlier. When registering, you must fill out a standard questionnaire — indicate your last name, first name, contact information, select the game currency.
On the main page, you can select the tabs “Line”, “Live”, “Toto”, “Cyber football”, etc. If you would like to place your bet before the start of the match, see the offers in line. If you plan to bet in real-time, the “Live” section is at your service. Further — the standard procedure: the choice of sports discipline, tournament, match. A suitable outcome is chosen in the painting. Next, you need to enter the amount and complete the placement of the bet.
Benefits of Phone Betting
The main advantage of sports betting from a mobile phone is the ability to place bets anytime and anywhere: in a traffic jam, on a bus, in a canteen during lunch. Mobile sites and applications are especially popular among fans of real-time betting: you can sit in the stadium, watch the match, draw conclusions and place bets.
With the help of a mobile application or website, you can register at a bookmaker’s office, analyze a line, and place bets. Some bookmakers provide their customers with the ability to replenish their accounts from a mobile phone. Others are developing applications focused not only on mobile betting but also on other entertainment: virtual casinos, financial trading, etc.
The functionality of mobile applications and websites is slightly inferior to the desktop versions. At the same time, mini-sites surpass stationary versions in terms of speed, convenience, etc. And their content is quite enough for the vast majority of beginners and experienced players who rarely use all possible functions. | https://medium.com/@ibuzzing/sports-betting-from-your-phone-mobile-bookmakers-d9e700fa5a41 | ['Deepak Gupta'] | 2020-12-25 15:46:53.075000+00:00 | ['Sports Betting'] | Title Sports Betting Phone — Mobile BookmakersContent Sports Betting Phone — Mobile Bookmakers place bet portable gadget use one three main method Log mobile device regular desktop version bookmaker’s website one hand easiest way get bookmaker’s office However device support correct operation sport betting online casino function service Go mobile version site bookmaker miniversion site designed specifically tablet smartphones site work much faster desktop version consume fewer resource time allow use function main resource bookmaker’s office Install mobile application Many bookmaker develop application popular mobile operating system Please note system may require separate program Android application run iOS vice versa bookmaker develop application popular system Windows Mobile Android iOS Others limited Apple Android product offering user use mobile version portal Working mobile application download mobile sport APP 먹튀검증 official website bookmaker installing application must complete number procedure Go browser setting go “Security Open “Administration” tab check box next “Unknown sources” group becomes possible install program downloaded site bookmaker change made must confirmed clicking “Yes” button dialog box install application installation registration performed done earlier registering must fill standard questionnaire — indicate last name first name contact information select game currency main page select tab “Line” “Live” “Toto” “Cyber football” etc would like place bet start match see offer line plan bet realtime “Live” section service — standard procedure choice sport discipline tournament match suitable outcome chosen painting Next need enter amount complete placement bet Benefits Phone Betting main advantage sport betting mobile phone ability place bet anytime anywhere traffic jam bus canteen lunch Mobile site application especially popular among fan realtime betting sit stadium watch match draw conclusion place bet help mobile application website register bookmaker’s office analyze line place bet bookmaker provide customer ability replenish account mobile phone Others developing application focused mobile betting also entertainment virtual casino financial trading etc functionality mobile application website slightly inferior desktop version time minisites surpass stationary version term speed convenience etc content quite enough vast majority beginner experienced player rarely use possible functionsTags Sports Betting |
191,138 | Side-Hustle exploration: $18.8k bet on greyhounds | If your anything like me, you’re always looking for a side hustle and you always have been! In this particular post I want to explore ‘wagering’ as a side hustle idea with the reader.
‘Gambling’ is something that’s always had a big influence on me and been pretty ingrained in my life. My late Dad’s passion was Harness Racing. He always owned a couple of race-horses at a time which meant I was around the ‘trots’ a decent amount in my childhood and we always lived on large properties in Mundijong and Serpentine (Western Australia) to accommodate them! As a side note I feel very fortunate to have grown up on these big properties where there was always plenty of space to run around and animals to interact with.
In terms of my introduction to gambling I’m not sure exactly how old I was (my guess would be ~8) but some of my fondest childhood memories are spending Friday nights at home with Dad where we would fire up Channel Access 31 and watch the Friday Night Glocuster Park trots in front of the fireplace. Dad would draw us both up a hypothetical $10k on a piece of paper and we would place paper bets on each race taking the odds given on the screen, recording results, and seeing who would end up richer (or broke) by the end of the night.
This was a lot of fun as we were both competitive, there often had to be a ludicrous bet placed on the last race for the person behind to try and win, and of course I remember taking Dad to the cleaners every week (maybe this is just selective memory).
As another side memory whenever we actually physically went to Glocuster Park Dad had taught me how to fill out the bet slips and would hand me cash before certain races, verbalise what bet he wanted placed and send me across the park to the TAB to get the action on while he continued drinking beers by the track with his mates. I think this was a bit of a party trick to show off to his friends as in no world should an 8 year old be able to get a bet on (definitely wouldn’t work nowadays!) but it worked at almost a 100% frequency and I loved it :)
Anyway before I side-track too much the point I wanted to make is my Dad never directly taught me how to be a ‘winning’ punter but I think these lessons in participation growing up were massively influential for me in terms of having a creative, sensible and analytical mind when it came to money. Even just very little and simple lessons like not putting the full 10k paper bankroll on race 1, and that there’s a reason a horse might be paying something lucrative like 60 to 1 etc.
Anyone who knows me well knows that I’m big on poker and have been for a number of years and while that activity is something I’ve put a decent amount of time and effort into over those years I don’t really bet on sports/greyhounds/horses and it isn’t something I’ve studied, so this might be an interesting look into someone who has had a ‘dabble’ only (a mere mortal!) in this arena. I think it could be interesting as most of this kind of ‘content’ I imagine would come from full blown horse betting professionals so it could be a more relatable perspective.
The story and the stats
I explored Greyhounds/Horse Race betting as serious side hustle from 13/06/2019 until 24/07/2019.
I made a total of 126 wagers during this time for a total $18,818.25 in bets placed and returned $24,079 for a net profit of $5260.75 throughout the period (see stats and graphs below). I should note that there is about ~$1300 of subscription costs not included in the below stats which means true profit is closer to about $4,000 over the 6 weeks.
How’s it done?
In terms of ‘complexity’ it’s somewhat simple when it comes to a side hustle. My strategy was to sign up for tipping services and simply just follow their advice to a tee. The services will tell you how much to put on (usually discussed in units of bankroll), what price you need to obtain the action on, and maybe even suggest which bookmaker to place the bet with.
I probably shouldn’t downplay the ‘complexity’ too much as there are a few important points -
You need to research the services and go through the results before you ultimately choose which ones to sign up to… all service providers are pretty transparent with their results (or at least should be/seem to be) and have all the data neatly available on how their specific tips are doing. For example something that I think to look out for is, I’ve come across services which may be in sustained downswings (consistently losing) over a long period of time but still might be receiving public sign ups as the service is correctly referred to as a ‘lifetime winner’. There’s nothing cloak and dagger about this, the results and data is there to openly and transparently read, you just have to take a deep look and make your own interpretations of it. You need to be in a position to act swiftly when the tips are sent to you… It’s actually quite fascinating to see but when the tips get sent out you can watch the market move and the prices drop almost straight away (within a minute). Therefore, you need to be able to act on the tips almost immediately when they are sent. Having the ‘right’ tip isn’t enough. The best service I was signed up to would alert customers at what time tips would be coming through which was great as you could get yourself prepared. You need to keep emotions in check. For this side hustle to work you need to trust and follow the services suggestions to a tee. Most relevant — the amount of units to risk and what price you need to obtain. Your emotions may influence you to ignore these suggestions in a number of ways but might include wanting to risk a bigger amount of units for a bigger return, or still wanting to get action on even if you’ve missed the required price etc. Simply ‘following instructions’ might seem like the simplest thing noted here but maintaining rationality to do so can be more challenging than it sounds. You need to be signed up at multiple bookmakers and have multiple accounts funded. Getting the right price as has been mentioned is one of the most important aspects for these services to be profitable over the long term. Naturally, prices on any specific market will be different across the bookmakers and you need to be able to get on at the bookmaker which has the best price available. When this is combined with point 2 mentioned above, not only is it important to have the account open where you can get the best price but for it to be funded to allow for the required swift action. You need to separate punting roll. While your suggested ‘start bank’ will be flexible and person/situation dependent it’s important that this roll is completely separate to any other of your life bankrolls and that you only have the suggested % or units of bankroll on per bet. Tipsters don’t win every bet they win over large sample sizes, therefore your bankroll needs to be both isolated and in good enough health to not only sustain the inevitable downswing or bad run but still be around to be able to participate and experience the inevitable upswing/good run. I will touch on this more below, but bookmakers will ban or restrict winning accounts (disgusting I know). Therefore, to do this ‘successfully’ and over a longer period of time you need to have some sort of strategy in place to delay detection. For eg if the tipping service is suggesting you ‘load up’ on a certain tip you are best to spread this bet across a few accounts as putting all of the big bet in 1 slip will no doubt increase likelihood of raising some sort of ‘flag’ on your account. Also if you’re only placing bets in some sort of ‘specialist’ or niche domain this will increase likelihood of swifter detection by the bookmaker so might be worthwhile to throw in a couple of small random ‘dummy’ bets on something random here and there. Bookmakers will keep you open if they think they’ll get their money back, they’ll close you down if they think they won’t (or lose more to you).
Why did I stop after July 24?
There are a few reasons why I stopped with this ‘dabble’ after 24/07/19.
Firstly, I was in a downswing. My betting tracker has my peak profit during the period at $7333.75 so with a final profit of $5260.75 this indicates a ~$2.1k downswing. If you factor in the flow of subscription costs too the true downswing might actually be somewhere in the region of ~$2.6k. Having played poker for almost a decade I’m accustomed to the ‘swings’ but regardless of how stoic you might become a losing period still never feels good no matter how significant or insignificant the amounts. I guess you don’t usually step away during an upswing…
Secondly, I didn’t like the feelings it was giving me. When it comes to playing poker I very rarely if ever feel like I’m behaving in a ‘compulsive’ way. During this 6 week period there are definitely times when I felt this way as I’d be ‘sweating’ the results of races, or feeling some sort of adrenaline dump when I no longer had the action on etc. I’m not 100% sure why this is the case, my best guess would maybe be because the study and decision-making aspect is ‘outsourced’ which can’t be done in a poker game… And maybe lacking this understanding of the tipster’s process increases the feeling of ‘chance’ taking away the grasp you might have of things such as odds/percentages/frequencies etc when playing poker. Nonetheless they weren’t the most pleasant feeling to recognise.
To further add to these odd feelings as mentioned above bookmakers will ban or restrict you once you’re identified as a winning or strategic punter. This is an interesting experience in itself. Part of it makes me feel pretty chuffed that a bookmaker no longer wants my action, part of it makes me feel a little daft as you realise you didn’t have successful strategy implementation of point 6 above, but a small aspect of it also makes you feel a bit like public number 1 and that you’ve done something wrong. I guess the bookmakers maybe have a clever psychological way of wording the emails making you feel like you’ve been scolded by your year 4 primary school teacher and that you now have to serve the recess and lunch detention.
Lastly there’s no value add — Participating in this activity has no societal value add therefore difficult to feel some sort of ‘fulfilment’ or ‘meaning’ through participation.
Conclusion — Would I suggest this as a side hustle?
I would score this 4/10 as a side hustle. It doesn’t score higher than this as it’s not a positive sum endeavour. Sure, the argument can be made that profits from the activity can then be distributed in some sort of valuable way but for me it doesn’t change the fact that the activity in itself isn’t positive sum.
You’re now probably shouting at me saying ‘but poker isn’t positive sum’, and I agree it most certainly isn’t but I think poker has massive benefits to the individual as a competitive domain and I go through some of those positives in my 3rd post. I’m hesitant to make the comparison as it gets a pretty polarised response from the poker community, but I think poker can almost be thought of as similar to playing a sport. (a mental one at that)
Poker for me would score higher than 4 for these reasons but not as high as a profitable positive sum endeavour would.
I still score wagering at 4 as if you can get your head around the intricacies mentioned above there is profit to be made, and although it’s zero sum I’ll never feel any sort of ill feelings whatsoever taking money from a bookmaker!
In closing I don’t promote ‘gambling’ and think the entrepreneur can find a better side hustle. Please don’t read this, lose money gambling and then blame me — I’m suggesting you find something else. ‘Wagering’ isn’t currently integrated into my time but it’s not something I’ve closed the door on either moving forward. It would be a tricky point to find but maybe I can find the right ‘balance’ in the activity where it takes a negligible amount of time (still keeping time free for more ‘fulfilling’ or ‘meaningful’ activities), being small enough to not elicit some of the feelings I’ve described above, and yet large enough for financial returns to be sufficiently lucrative to still participate. Maybe there can also be more thought placed into where and how profits are used/distributed to garner some sort of ‘meaning’ from participating. We’ll see. | https://medium.com/@patrickc0nn0lly/side-hustle-exploration-18-8k-bet-on-greyhounds-over-6-weeks-7e1efa1b3d74 | ['Patrick Connolly'] | 2020-12-20 00:06:02.444000+00:00 | ['Side Hustle', 'Gambling', 'Entrepreneurship', 'Sports Betting'] | Title SideHustle exploration 188k bet greyhoundsContent anything like you’re always looking side hustle always particular post want explore ‘wagering’ side hustle idea reader ‘Gambling’ something that’s always big influence pretty ingrained life late Dad’s passion Harness Racing always owned couple racehorse time meant around ‘trots’ decent amount childhood always lived large property Mundijong Serpentine Western Australia accommodate side note feel fortunate grown big property always plenty space run around animal interact term introduction gambling I’m sure exactly old guess would 8 fondest childhood memory spending Friday night home Dad would fire Channel Access 31 watch Friday Night Glocuster Park trot front fireplace Dad would draw u hypothetical 10k piece paper would place paper bet race taking odds given screen recording result seeing would end richer broke end night lot fun competitive often ludicrous bet placed last race person behind try win course remember taking Dad cleaner every week maybe selective memory another side memory whenever actually physically went Glocuster Park Dad taught fill bet slip would hand cash certain race verbalise bet wanted placed send across park TAB get action continued drinking beer track mate think bit party trick show friend world 8 year old able get bet definitely wouldn’t work nowadays worked almost 100 frequency loved Anyway sidetrack much point wanted make Dad never directly taught ‘winning’ punter think lesson participation growing massively influential term creative sensible analytical mind came money Even little simple lesson like putting full 10k paper bankroll race 1 there’s reason horse might paying something lucrative like 60 1 etc Anyone know well know I’m big poker number year activity something I’ve put decent amount time effort year don’t really bet sportsgreyhoundshorses isn’t something I’ve studied might interesting look someone ‘dabble’ mere mortal arena think could interesting kind ‘content’ imagine would come full blown horse betting professional could relatable perspective story stats explored GreyhoundsHorse Race betting serious side hustle 13062019 24072019 made total 126 wager time total 1881825 bet placed returned 24079 net profit 526075 throughout period see stats graph note 1300 subscription cost included stats mean true profit closer 4000 6 week How’s done term ‘complexity’ it’s somewhat simple come side hustle strategy sign tipping service simply follow advice tee service tell much put usually discussed unit bankroll price need obtain action maybe even suggest bookmaker place bet probably shouldn’t downplay ‘complexity’ much important point need research service go result ultimately choose one sign to… service provider pretty transparent result least beseem data neatly available specific tip example something think look I’ve come across service may sustained downswing consistently losing long period time still might receiving public sign ups service correctly referred ‘lifetime winner’ There’s nothing cloak dagger result data openly transparently read take deep look make interpretation need position act swiftly tip sent you… It’s actually quite fascinating see tip get sent watch market move price drop almost straight away within minute Therefore need able act tip almost immediately sent ‘right’ tip isn’t enough best service signed would alert customer time tip would coming great could get prepared need keep emotion check side hustle work need trust follow service suggestion tee relevant — amount unit risk price need obtain emotion may influence ignore suggestion number way might include wanting risk bigger amount unit bigger return still wanting get action even you’ve missed required price etc Simply ‘following instructions’ might seem like simplest thing noted maintaining rationality challenging sound need signed multiple bookmaker multiple account funded Getting right price mentioned one important aspect service profitable long term Naturally price specific market different across bookmaker need able get bookmaker best price available combined point 2 mentioned important account open get best price funded allow required swift action need separate punting roll suggested ‘start bank’ flexible personsituation dependent it’s important roll completely separate life bankroll suggested unit bankroll per bet Tipsters don’t win every bet win large sample size therefore bankroll need isolated good enough health sustain inevitable downswing bad run still around able participate experience inevitable upswinggood run touch bookmaker ban restrict winning account disgusting know Therefore ‘successfully’ longer period time need sort strategy place delay detection eg tipping service suggesting ‘load up’ certain tip best spread bet across account putting big bet 1 slip doubt increase likelihood raising sort ‘flag’ account Also you’re placing bet sort ‘specialist’ niche domain increase likelihood swifter detection bookmaker might worthwhile throw couple small random ‘dummy’ bet something random Bookmakers keep open think they’ll get money back they’ll close think won’t lose stop July 24 reason stopped ‘dabble’ 240719 Firstly downswing betting tracker peak profit period 733375 final profit 526075 indicates 21k downswing factor flow subscription cost true downswing might actually somewhere region 26k played poker almost decade I’m accustomed ‘swings’ regardless stoic might become losing period still never feel good matter significant insignificant amount guess don’t usually step away upswing… Secondly didn’t like feeling giving come playing poker rarely ever feel like I’m behaving ‘compulsive’ way 6 week period definitely time felt way I’d ‘sweating’ result race feeling sort adrenaline dump longer action etc I’m 100 sure case best guess would maybe study decisionmaking aspect ‘outsourced’ can’t done poker game… maybe lacking understanding tipster’s process increase feeling ‘chance’ taking away grasp might thing oddspercentagesfrequencies etc playing poker Nonetheless weren’t pleasant feeling recognise add odd feeling mentioned bookmaker ban restrict you’re identified winning strategic punter interesting experience Part make feel pretty chuffed bookmaker longer want action part make feel little daft realise didn’t successful strategy implementation point 6 small aspect also make feel bit like public number 1 you’ve done something wrong guess bookmaker maybe clever psychological way wording email making feel like you’ve scolded year 4 primary school teacher serve recess lunch detention Lastly there’s value add — Participating activity societal value add therefore difficult feel sort ‘fulfilment’ ‘meaning’ participation Conclusion — Would suggest side hustle would score 410 side hustle doesn’t score higher it’s positive sum endeavour Sure argument made profit activity distributed sort valuable way doesn’t change fact activity isn’t positive sum You’re probably shouting saying ‘but poker isn’t positive sum’ agree certainly isn’t think poker massive benefit individual competitive domain go positive 3rd post I’m hesitant make comparison get pretty polarised response poker community think poker almost thought similar playing sport mental one Poker would score higher 4 reason high profitable positive sum endeavour would still score wagering 4 get head around intricacy mentioned profit made although it’s zero sum I’ll never feel sort ill feeling whatsoever taking money bookmaker closing don’t promote ‘gambling’ think entrepreneur find better side hustle Please don’t read lose money gambling blame — I’m suggesting find something else ‘Wagering’ isn’t currently integrated time it’s something I’ve closed door either moving forward would tricky point find maybe find right ‘balance’ activity take negligible amount time still keeping time free ‘fulfilling’ ‘meaningful’ activity small enough elicit feeling I’ve described yet large enough financial return sufficiently lucrative still participate Maybe also thought placed profit useddistributed garner sort ‘meaning’ participating We’ll seeTags Side Hustle Gambling Entrepreneurship Sports Betting |
191,139 | Dollar General Bowl: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Toledo Rockets, 12–23–2017 | Dollar General Bowl: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Toledo Rockets, 12–23–2017
Free College Football Spread Pick by David Luang of King Sports Picks
Appalachian State Mountaineers (8–4 SU, 5–7 ATS) vs Toledo Rockets (11–2 SU, 7–6 ATS)
Dollar General Bowl: Saturday, December 23rd, 7:00 PM EST
Line: Toledo -6.5, 61
The 2017 Dollar General Bowl features the Appalachian State Mountaineers vs the Toledo Rockets. The Mountaineers finished their season with an overall record of 8–4 which included a share of the Sun Belt Title while the Rockets had a successful season after finishing with an overall record of 11–2, which included winning the MAC Championship. Appalachian State knocked off Toledo in Montgomery, Alabama, claiming a three-point victory in the Camellia Bowl last season. Is the revenge factor a play with Toledo laying -6.5 points?
Despite winning eight games this season, the Mountaineers suffered back-to-back losses to very bad teams, UMass and Louisiana-Monroe. They managed to win their final three games of the season. On the season, Appalachian State is averaging 33.4 ppg on 438.3 total yards per game led by senior QB Tyler Lamb (27 TD, 6 ints). Last season vs Toledo, Lamb rushed for 126 yards and passed for 119 yards while accounting for two touchdowns. If they win this season, it will be because of their defense. On the season, Appalachian State is holding their opponents to an average of 21.9 ppg on 358.8 total yards per game. They will be facing an explosive Toledo offense led by QB Logan Woodside.
Logan Woodside had another remarkable season, throwing for 3800 yards 28 TD’s to 5 interceptions. Woodside threw for 247 yards and two scores in his last meeting with the Mountaineers and this will be his last game under center for the Rockets. Woodside isn’t the only star on this Toledo team, Terry Swanson rushed for over 1300 yards to go along with 14 touchdowns and Diontae Johnson had over 1250 yards receiving with 13 touchdowns. Defensively, Toledo has been inconsistent. The team’s rushing defense struggled in several games this year, especially in double-digit losses to Miami (FL) and Ohio. But the defense also did a stellar job of shutting down the offenses of Western Michigan and Central Michigan.
The Mountaineers are 4–1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win but just 2–5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Appalachian State was not the same team on the road (3–3) as they were at home (5–1) and they averaged just 26 PPG on the road this season, a touchdown less. The Rockets are 4–1–1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Sun Belt but just 1–4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Toledo was (7–0) at home and (4–2) away and the Rockets averaged 38.5 PPG on the road this season, which included putting up 30 points on a solid Miami defense.
This should be another competitive ball game but I don’t see this Mountaineers offense keeping pace with Toledo. This could be tight leading into the 4th quarter but I expect Toledo to pull away with the win and cover the -6.5 point spread.
Dollar General Bowl Prediction: Toledo -6.5 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/dollar-general-bowl-appalachian-state-mountaineers-vs-toledo-rockets-12-23-2017-7ad11b239efe | ['Vc Sports Monitor'] | 2017-12-23 12:26:21.026000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'College Football', 'Toledo', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling'] | Title Dollar General Bowl Appalachian State Mountaineers v Toledo Rockets 12–23–2017Content Dollar General Bowl Appalachian State Mountaineers v Toledo Rockets 12–23–2017 Free College Football Spread Pick David Luang King Sports Picks Appalachian State Mountaineers 8–4 SU 5–7 ATS v Toledo Rockets 11–2 SU 7–6 ATS Dollar General Bowl Saturday December 23rd 700 PM EST Line Toledo 65 61 2017 Dollar General Bowl feature Appalachian State Mountaineers v Toledo Rockets Mountaineers finished season overall record 8–4 included share Sun Belt Title Rockets successful season finishing overall record 11–2 included winning MAC Championship Appalachian State knocked Toledo Montgomery Alabama claiming threepoint victory Camellia Bowl last season revenge factor play Toledo laying 65 point Despite winning eight game season Mountaineers suffered backtoback loss bad team UMass LouisianaMonroe managed win final three game season season Appalachian State averaging 334 ppg 4383 total yard per game led senior QB Tyler Lamb 27 TD 6 ints Last season v Toledo Lamb rushed 126 yard passed 119 yard accounting two touchdown win season defense season Appalachian State holding opponent average 219 ppg 3588 total yard per game facing explosive Toledo offense led QB Logan Woodside Logan Woodside another remarkable season throwing 3800 yard 28 TD’s 5 interception Woodside threw 247 yard two score last meeting Mountaineers last game center Rockets Woodside isn’t star Toledo team Terry Swanson rushed 1300 yard go along 14 touchdown Diontae Johnson 1250 yard receiving 13 touchdown Defensively Toledo inconsistent team’s rushing defense struggled several game year especially doubledigit loss Miami FL Ohio defense also stellar job shutting offense Western Michigan Central Michigan Mountaineers 4–1 ATS last 5 game following ATS win 2–5 ATS last 7 game scoring 40 point previous game Appalachian State team road 3–3 home 5–1 averaged 26 PPG road season touchdown le Rockets 4–1–1 ATS last 6 v Sun Belt 1–4 ATS last 5 nonconference game Toledo 7–0 home 4–2 away Rockets averaged 385 PPG road season included putting 30 point solid Miami defense another competitive ball game don’t see Mountaineers offense keeping pace Toledo could tight leading 4th quarter expect Toledo pull away win cover 65 point spread Dollar General Bowl Prediction Toledo 65Tags Sports College Football Toledo Sports Betting Gambling |
191,140 | NFL POINT MARGIN JACKPOTS | Leg 3
Green Bay Packers @ Carolina Panthers
Aaron Rodgers is back! The return of one of the NFL’s best ever couldn’t have come any sooner for a Packers team clinging to Playoff hopes by their fingertips. Stories out of Green Bay this week have suggested Rodgers is looking even better in practice than he looked before the broken collarbone he suffered in losing to the Vikings in week 6. Rodgers ability to shake of any rustiness coupled with a leaky defense makes this Packers team hard to predict. Talking of hard to predict, the Panthers are the most enigmatic team in the league due to their seemingly total reliance on star QB Cam Newton. This team lives and dies by Newton’s week to week performances, which remain up and down as they have done since being drafted number 1 overall. ‘The Captain’ expects Carolina’s game-plan to be based around short passes to rookie first-round pick Christian McCaffrey complimented by the combination of Jonathan Stewart and Newton on the ground. One of the toughest games of the season to pick, this is a ‘coin-toss’ game, which is why ‘El Capitan’ has covered marginal wins for both teams. | https://medium.com/el-capitan-tipsta/nfl-point-margin-jackpots-46d0fd181d9a | ['El Capitan Tipster'] | 2017-12-17 18:08:24.781000+00:00 | ['NFL', 'Betting', 'Betting Tips', 'Sports Betting', 'Predictions'] | Title NFL POINT MARGIN JACKPOTSContent Leg 3 Green Bay Packers Carolina Panthers Aaron Rodgers back return one NFL’s best ever couldn’t come sooner Packers team clinging Playoff hope fingertip Stories Green Bay week suggested Rodgers looking even better practice looked broken collarbone suffered losing Vikings week 6 Rodgers ability shake rustiness coupled leaky defense make Packers team hard predict Talking hard predict Panthers enigmatic team league due seemingly total reliance star QB Cam Newton team life dy Newton’s week week performance remain done since drafted number 1 overall ‘The Captain’ expects Carolina’s gameplan based around short pass rookie firstround pick Christian McCaffrey complimented combination Jonathan Stewart Newton ground One toughest game season pick ‘cointoss’ game ‘El Capitan’ covered marginal win teamsTags NFL Betting Betting Tips Sports Betting Predictions |
191,141 | Football Thoughts: Scramble the Jets! | Football Thoughts: Scramble the Jets!
The Jets’ season has been underwhelming to say the least. Todd Bowels, by all considerations is a good head coach that has the sad reality of being ladened with a bad QB. High quality in coaching can only do so much when presented with the QB play of a Ryan Fitzpatrick, a journeyman who had the season of his life last year, parlaying it into a huge contract this year. Much like the Cutler mistake, I think Fitzpatrick will demonstrate himself to be just as inept at the QB position, eventually leading to his demise. This leads the Jets to, for now, none other than Bryce Petty, a QB who played his college years at Baylor. Now many may say that Petty is not that good, and maybe even worse than Fitz. This is a fair statement if looking at some of the stats. But the fact that is that most of the stats are from preseason, when he would play clean-up, without any starting receivers. Given the chance to play with receivers who can actually catch the ball, he will shine. This skill and ability was on display last weekend as he mounted a comeback against the 49ers. Bryce Petty is obviously not Brady or Rodgers, but he IS good enough to win this game. The Jets team will rally around Petty, and they will show up on a Saturday night, on the main stage under the spotlight of national television. On the other side, there is Miami. This team is a winning football team, and their record reflects that quite obviously. However, if you had watched all of the games they had some lucky bounces and QB play by Tannehill. Now Tannehill is out and Moore is in. They will not be able to manufacture the same luck needed to pull out a victory on Saturday night. Yes, Miami has a good front 4 and they will disrupt Petty. This will be a low scoring game, but in the end the Jets will fly off with the victory. | https://medium.com/@jules.rafilovich/football-thoughts-scramble-the-jets-f2bdc168c631 | ['Jules Rafilovich'] | 2016-12-16 21:16:21.811000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'NFL', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling', 'New York Jets'] | Title Football Thoughts Scramble JetsContent Football Thoughts Scramble Jets Jets’ season underwhelming say least Todd Bowels consideration good head coach sad reality ladened bad QB High quality coaching much presented QB play Ryan Fitzpatrick journeyman season life last year parlaying huge contract year Much like Cutler mistake think Fitzpatrick demonstrate inept QB position eventually leading demise lead Jets none Bryce Petty QB played college year Baylor many may say Petty good maybe even worse Fitz fair statement looking stats fact stats preseason would play cleanup without starting receiver Given chance play receiver actually catch ball shine skill ability display last weekend mounted comeback 49ers Bryce Petty obviously Brady Rodgers good enough win game Jets team rally around Petty show Saturday night main stage spotlight national television side Miami team winning football team record reflects quite obviously However watched game lucky bounce QB play Tannehill Tannehill Moore able manufacture luck needed pull victory Saturday night Yes Miami good front 4 disrupt Petty low scoring game end Jets fly victoryTags Sports NFL Sports Betting Gambling New York Jets |
191,142 | Military Bowl Preview and Prediction: Virginia Cavaliers vs. Navy Midshipmen, 12–27–2017 | Free College Football Spread Prediction by Greg Michaels
Virginia Cavaliers vs Navy Midshipmen
Thursday, December 28th, 1:30 pm EST
NCAAF Odds: Navy -1.5, 52
Virginia Cavaliers
The Virginia Cavaliers will take on the Navy Midshipmen in the 2017 Military Bowl in Annapolis, MD. Virginia finished the season with a (6–6) record and (6–6) against the spread. UVA is trying to win it’s first bowl game since they beat Navy in the 2005 Military Bowl.
The Cavaliers have three potential NFL Draft targets and all three will be suiting up on Thursday. QB Kurt Benkert, safety Quin Blanding and LB Micah Kiser all are projected to get selected from the 3rd to 5th rounds.
Virginia got off to a great start to the season going 5–1 through the first 6 games which included a win over Boise State in Boise. However, the Cavaliers lost 5 of their last 6 games to finish the season which includes losing the last three straight games.
Virginia is a pass heavy offense, led by QB Kurt Benkert, which ranked 43rd in the nation averaging 257 passing yards per game. UVA also features one of the top rated passing defenses in the country which allowed only 179 YPG.
Virginia Betting Trends
2–7–1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 rushing yards in their previous game
2–8 ATS in their last 10 games after rushing for less than 100 yards in their previous game
Navy Midshipmen
Navy enters the 2017 Military Bowl losers in 6 of the last 7 ball games. Navy has played some good teams down the stretch which included losses to Army, Houston, Notre Dame, Temple, UCF and Memphis. All six teams have or will played in bowl games this season. It will be interesting to see how Navy responds coming off their tough one point loss to Army.
The Midshipmen’s unique offensive system is well known across the college football landscape, but most teams have trouble slowing down the Midshipmen’s productive triple-option attack. Through 12 games, Navy has averaged 426.8 yards per game, good for 42nd in the nation. Of course, its strength is running the football, which they rank 2nd in the nation averaging 343 yards per game.
Midshipmen Betting Trends
Midshipmen are 4–0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games
Midshipmen are 7–2–1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss
Military Bowl Betting Prediction
Neither team finished the season they way they anticipated after they both started the season (5–1). Two keys to this game will be Navy’s ability to defend the passing game and Virginia’s ability to stop the triple-option. Navy is playing a home game where they were 4–2 SU on the season while Virginia was 2–3 Away from Charlottesville. I can see Navy’s rushing attack wearing down this UVA defense over the course of a game and I expect this to be the difference with long, sustained drives that eat up the clock and wear down the defenders. Look for Navy to cover the spread in a tight game.
Virginia vs Navy Prediction: Navy -1.5 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/military-bowl-preview-and-prediction-virginia-cavaliers-vs-navy-midshipmen-12-27-2017-a4014a4602e | ['Greg Michaels'] | 2017-12-28 12:42:58+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Navy', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Military Bowl Preview Prediction Virginia Cavaliers v Navy Midshipmen 12–27–2017Content Free College Football Spread Prediction Greg Michaels Virginia Cavaliers v Navy Midshipmen Thursday December 28th 130 pm EST NCAAF Odds Navy 15 52 Virginia Cavaliers Virginia Cavaliers take Navy Midshipmen 2017 Military Bowl Annapolis MD Virginia finished season 6–6 record 6–6 spread UVA trying win it’s first bowl game since beat Navy 2005 Military Bowl Cavaliers three potential NFL Draft target three suiting Thursday QB Kurt Benkert safety Quin Blanding LB Micah Kiser projected get selected 3rd 5th round Virginia got great start season going 5–1 first 6 game included win Boise State Boise However Cavaliers lost 5 last 6 game finish season includes losing last three straight game Virginia pas heavy offense led QB Kurt Benkert ranked 43rd nation averaging 257 passing yard per game UVA also feature one top rated passing defense country allowed 179 YPG Virginia Betting Trends 2–7–1 ATS last 10 game allowing 200 rushing yard previous game 2–8 ATS last 10 game rushing le 100 yard previous game Navy Midshipmen Navy enters 2017 Military Bowl loser 6 last 7 ball game Navy played good team stretch included loss Army Houston Notre Dame Temple UCF Memphis six team played bowl game season interesting see Navy responds coming tough one point loss Army Midshipmen’s unique offensive system well known across college football landscape team trouble slowing Midshipmen’s productive tripleoption attack 12 game Navy averaged 4268 yard per game good 42nd nation course strength running football rank 2nd nation averaging 343 yard per game Midshipmen Betting Trends Midshipmen 4–0 ATS last 4 bowl game Midshipmen 7–2–1 ATS last 10 game following ATS loss Military Bowl Betting Prediction Neither team finished season way anticipated started season 5–1 Two key game Navy’s ability defend passing game Virginia’s ability stop tripleoption Navy playing home game 4–2 SU season Virginia 2–3 Away Charlottesville see Navy’s rushing attack wearing UVA defense course game expect difference long sustained drive eat clock wear defender Look Navy cover spread tight game Virginia v Navy Prediction Navy 15Tags Sports Navy Sports Betting |
191,143 | Boca Raton Bowl | Boca Raton Bowl
One of the best parts of Bowl season is that the spotlight gets shone on college football with stand-alone games on random Tuesday and Wednesday and Friday nights. This Tuesday night is one of the those nights, when the spot light will be shining on two college football teams that otherwise wouldn’t be noticed by the majority of football fans.
This years Boca Raton Bowl features the Akron Zips versus the Florida Atlantic Owls. The line for this game opened FAU -22 with a total of 61.5. The total has floated up to 64 as of Sunday night and the spread has tickled 22.5 before dropping back to 22. The natural instinct for most people, to be sure,is to have action on this game (because its a stand-alone) and the natural instinct is probably to hammer the Owls because they’ve been rolling and the spread is more than three touchdowns. This article is going to spend 1,000 words trying to temper that instinct.
The Boca Raton Bowl has been held three times. And none of them have been particularly close; all three were in fact blow outs. But, only the first one in 2014 would have seen a favorite cover three touchdowns. Furthermore, one of the participants this year is a MAC team. And everyone knows how bad MAC teams have been in bowls lately; they haven’t had a wining record in bowl games since 2011 and before 2011 you’d have to go back to 2003 to find another winning year. To put a finer point on it, MAC teams went 0–6 straight up last year in bowl games. But, no one’s here to bet moneyline’s with a 22 point favorite. We’re here to talk spreads and despite that gross 0–6 record last year, MAC teams went 4–2 against the spread. MAC teams went 4–4 against the spread in 2015 bowl games and 3–2 in 2015 bowl games. So, while the Boca Raton Bowl does have blowouts, they aren’t by 22 points and while MAC teams generally suck at winning bowl games they’re 11–8 ATS the last three years.
There are some stats to back up the idea of Akron being competitive in this game. In past previews this year, like this one about Army and Navy, or this one about WKU and Georgia State, the best way to start the breakdown has been to look at expected points scored and expected points allowed to try and generate a potential spread. It looks like this:
This explains that FAU is going to generally score 11 points more than their opponents generally give up and Akron generally scores 6 points less than their opponents generally give up. Defensively, both teams generally perform about how they are expected to, giving up slightly less than their opponents are expected to score. According to this, FAU is going to blow them out… but, by 18 or 19, not 22. Would it surprise anyone to see FAU win by 21; allowing Akron to cover but, still win going away?
A further way to check on the size of the disparity between these two teams is to look at their yards per play differential.
These numbers are even more in favour of Akron. This is the biggest yards per play advantage yet in the six bowl games that have been played. Army had a 3.5 advantage, they won outright as a dog. Georgia State had a 6 point advantage, they won outright as a dog. Boise had an 8 point advantage, they won outright as a dog. Marshall had a 6 point advantage, they won outright as a dog. Middle Tennessee had a 3.5 advantage, they won outright as a dog. Akron has a 9!! point advantage.
One place FAU does seem to have a distinct advantage is in the red zone.
These teams seem pretty similar when it comes to stopping teams and in moving the chains. However, once in the red zone, it looks like Akron can get turned away while FAU pounds it home like the best teams in college football — they are #11 in the nation at 92.31%.
Another place FAU may be able to enforce its will is in the field position battle. It appears that the Owls might be able to enjoy some good field position, their defense setting up their offense, if they can continue getting into the back field.
FAU has a big advantage in sacking the quarterback and a big advantage in getting to the ball carrier in the backfield. If that holds true here Akron could be punting from their own territory on the regular.
One last big advantage for FAU, and the one most Owls backers will point to, is their ability to score quick.
This is a big disparity. FAU is one of the most explosive teams in the country while Akron is one of the least explosive. If the Owls get out to a big lead early it could get ugly. Really ugly.
Now that the stats are out of the way, it’s time to circle back to the “intangible”. While Akron carries some MAC baggage into this match-up, they also carry some Conference Championship loser baggage as well. What’s worse than fighting tooth and nail, with a bunch of back-up quarterbacks, to get to a conference championship game (their third ever) and then get blown out? The final score of 45–28 in the loss to Toledo was even flattering — it was 38–7 heading into the 4th quarter when Toledo took their foot off the gas. Will Akron be up for this game? The counter to being flat from losing a Conference Championship game is that this is only Akron’s third ever bowl game appearance. And its in Florida. In December. That’s a hell of a lot better than being in Ohio. A final thing to throw a wrench into the outlook on Akron, is their qb situation. After having Kato Nelson come in and save their season, winning the last two games of the year, Akron fielded four different people throwing passes vs Toledo. Who starts the bowl game? If its Nelson, that could help in the explosiveness department, if its not, you can expect a slow start to the offense.
On the other side of the field is…. Lane Kiffin. Despite all the stats that may point to Akron, everyone knows this dude wants to light it up. That explosiveness advantage, matched with Kiffin’s desire to make a splash has to be helping keep this line above three touchdowns. Further to the Kiffin factor is that these players and this program as a whole should be pumped; this was FAU’s first winning season since 2007 (they went 6–6 in 2008 and needed a bowl win to get to seven), this was also FAU’s first C-USA Championship. This really was a good first season for Lane. Now the bad. Despite many trips to the post-season in a variety of roles, Kiffin is 0–2 as a head coach in bowl games. And while the players should be pumped to be in a bowl game for the first time… they don’t actually get to go anywhere. The Boca Raton Bowl is being held in FAU’s home stadium. Direct quote from Kiffin, “Competitively speaking, it’s a home-field advantage. The only downside is for the players, that they don’t get to go somewhere else.”
This is a lot of words to say… wait for an in-play option. There’s too much contrasting stuff going on here. This method worked in the Las Vegas Bowl, where there was concerns about how motivated Oregon would be and sure enough Oregon never showed up and staying way turned into the best option. There really wasn’t a great explanation in the Las Vegas Bowl write-up of what an in-play option would look like but, the overview is there just wasn’t a time to get in on Oregon. Oregon started with the ball and immediately went 3 and out. Boise responded with a 14 play touchdown scoring drive. Oregon came right back with 4 plays and a punt. There was just nothing in the first two drives to inspire any confidence in betting Oregon. Boise’s second drive ended with an interception in the Oregon endzone and maybe it looks like a live bet option for Oregon… but, three plays later they fumbled the ball and suddenly its 14–0 Boise. Nothing there makes someone want to bet Oregon. This time let’s try laying out some scenarios. For the Boca Raton Bowl, a live bettor would be looking for three scenarios if FAU is the pick. The first would be Akron starts with the ball; they have a sustained drive but, FAU doesn’t look like swiss cheese. As Akron is driving the live line should drop to -21 as they cross mid-field. If Akron scores the live line should drop through the key number and sit somewhere around another dead number like -18.5 or -19. As FAU responds the live line should start to climb back up as the Owls cross mid-field. If they’re moving the ball and look engaged (meaning no incomplete passes, the qb is not getting rushed in the pocket, the running back isn’t get hit in the backfield) then try and hit FAU under -21 because maybe they can run it up. The second scenario would be if FAU starts with the ball. If they punt or turn the ball over, Akron is probably going to start with the ball at about -21. And then its following the previous outline; as Akron drives the line should dip and settle at -18 if they take the lead, as more time is off the clock in this scenario. The third scenario would be if FAU starts with the ball and Kiffin has them rolling. The live line will climb as they drive and reach -24 as they dig into Akron territory If FAU is the side, hit them before they score first because the line will be -27 and maybe a hook afterwards. Conversely, if the stats and exposition above shine a light on Akron, then wait for the inevitable FAU score. As just mentioned, if Akron is available at 27.5 or higher and what they’ve shown early makes them look more motivated than FAU then hit that.
No play pre-game,
Good luck. | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/boca-raton-bowl-d503684e00d8 | [] | 2017-12-18 13:38:49.067000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Boca Raton BowlContent Boca Raton Bowl One best part Bowl season spotlight get shone college football standalone game random Tuesday Wednesday Friday night Tuesday night one night spot light shining two college football team otherwise wouldn’t noticed majority football fan year Boca Raton Bowl feature Akron Zips versus Florida Atlantic Owls line game opened FAU 22 total 615 total floated 64 Sunday night spread tickled 225 dropping back 22 natural instinct people sureis action game standalone natural instinct probably hammer Owls they’ve rolling spread three touchdown article going spend 1000 word trying temper instinct Boca Raton Bowl held three time none particularly close three fact blow out first one 2014 would seen favorite cover three touchdown Furthermore one participant year MAC team everyone know bad MAC team bowl lately haven’t wining record bowl game since 2011 2011 you’d go back 2003 find another winning year put finer point MAC team went 0–6 straight last year bowl game one’s bet moneyline’s 22 point favorite We’re talk spread despite gross 0–6 record last year MAC team went 4–2 spread MAC team went 4–4 spread 2015 bowl game 3–2 2015 bowl game Boca Raton Bowl blowout aren’t 22 point MAC team generally suck winning bowl game they’re 11–8 ATS last three year stats back idea Akron competitive game past preview year like one Army Navy one WKU Georgia State best way start breakdown look expected point scored expected point allowed try generate potential spread look like explains FAU going generally score 11 point opponent generally give Akron generally score 6 point le opponent generally give Defensively team generally perform expected giving slightly le opponent expected score According FAU going blow out… 18 19 22 Would surprise anyone see FAU win 21 allowing Akron cover still win going away way check size disparity two team look yard per play differential number even favour Akron biggest yard per play advantage yet six bowl game played Army 35 advantage outright dog Georgia State 6 point advantage outright dog Boise 8 point advantage outright dog Marshall 6 point advantage outright dog Middle Tennessee 35 advantage outright dog Akron 9 point advantage One place FAU seem distinct advantage red zone team seem pretty similar come stopping team moving chain However red zone look like Akron get turned away FAU pound home like best team college football — 11 nation 9231 Another place FAU may able enforce field position battle appears Owls might able enjoy good field position defense setting offense continue getting back field FAU big advantage sacking quarterback big advantage getting ball carrier backfield hold true Akron could punting territory regular One last big advantage FAU one Owls backer point ability score quick big disparity FAU one explosive team country Akron one least explosive Owls get big lead early could get ugly Really ugly stats way it’s time circle back “intangible” Akron carry MAC baggage matchup also carry Conference Championship loser baggage well What’s worse fighting tooth nail bunch backup quarterback get conference championship game third ever get blown final score 45–28 loss Toledo even flattering — 38–7 heading 4th quarter Toledo took foot gas Akron game counter flat losing Conference Championship game Akron’s third ever bowl game appearance Florida December That’s hell lot better Ohio final thing throw wrench outlook Akron qb situation Kato Nelson come save season winning last two game year Akron fielded four different people throwing pass v Toledo start bowl game Nelson could help explosiveness department expect slow start offense side field is… Lane Kiffin Despite stats may point Akron everyone know dude want light explosiveness advantage matched Kiffin’s desire make splash helping keep line three touchdown Kiffin factor player program whole pumped FAU’s first winning season since 2007 went 6–6 2008 needed bowl win get seven also FAU’s first CUSA Championship really good first season Lane bad Despite many trip postseason variety role Kiffin 0–2 head coach bowl game player pumped bowl game first time… don’t actually get go anywhere Boca Raton Bowl held FAU’s home stadium Direct quote Kiffin “Competitively speaking it’s homefield advantage downside player don’t get go somewhere else” lot word say… wait inplay option There’s much contrasting stuff going method worked Las Vegas Bowl concern motivated Oregon would sure enough Oregon never showed staying way turned best option really wasn’t great explanation Las Vegas Bowl writeup inplay option would look like overview wasn’t time get Oregon Oregon started ball immediately went 3 Boise responded 14 play touchdown scoring drive Oregon came right back 4 play punt nothing first two drive inspire confidence betting Oregon Boise’s second drive ended interception Oregon endzone maybe look like live bet option Oregon… three play later fumbled ball suddenly 14–0 Boise Nothing make someone want bet Oregon time let’s try laying scenario Boca Raton Bowl live bettor would looking three scenario FAU pick first would Akron start ball sustained drive FAU doesn’t look like swiss cheese Akron driving live line drop 21 cross midfield Akron score live line drop key number sit somewhere around another dead number like 185 19 FAU responds live line start climb back Owls cross midfield they’re moving ball look engaged meaning incomplete pass qb getting rushed pocket running back isn’t get hit backfield try hit FAU 21 maybe run second scenario would FAU start ball punt turn ball Akron probably going start ball 21 following previous outline Akron drive line dip settle 18 take lead time clock scenario third scenario would FAU start ball Kiffin rolling live line climb drive reach 24 dig Akron territory FAU side hit score first line 27 maybe hook afterwards Conversely stats exposition shine light Akron wait inevitable FAU score mentioned Akron available 275 higher they’ve shown early make look motivated FAU hit play pregame Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,144 | DXL Frisco Bowl | Welcome to the inaugural Frisco Bowl. The Miami Beach Bowl has moved this year to Frisco (Dallas) Texas. And in the very first addition the Frisco Bowl gets a quasi-home team. The combatants in this bowl are the SMU Mustangs and the La Tech Bulldogs. SMU is based in Dallas and it’s about a 30 minute drive from campus to Toyota Stadium in Frisco.
The line for this game opened SMU -5 with a total of 70. There has not been a lot of movement here as the line; it ticked down to 4.5 over the weekend and dropped further, to 4, on Tuesday night. 4 is a pretty key number so, it should take quite a bit of pressure to move it further. The total is widely available at 71 right now.
These teams are former WAC rivals, and La Tech has owned the “rivalry”, winning three and losing one. The one loss was a tight 3 point affair, the three wins for La Tech were all pretty serious smackdowns. The results probably aren’t that relevant considering they all took place prior to 2005. In fact, this year there is not a lot to separate these teams, including distance. Time to dive right into the stats:
This breakdown is an attempt to predict how many points each team will score and how many points each team will give up by trying to normalize the vastly different schedules each team plays. This is done by averaging out what their opponents score and give up and seeing how much La Tech and SMU outperform or underperform those averages. It appears La Tech can be expected to score and allow pretty much what they are expected to, 1.6 points either way. SMU has far more variance. Scoring 8 points more than they should be expected to but, also giving up 5 points more than they should be expected to. This produces an expected line of SMU -3.5, showing slight value on La Tech.
The other way these previews have tried to produce an expected spread is through YPP. This metric usually leans heavily to the dog and that needs to be taken into account when comparing these.
This shows that these two teams have exactly the same ratio, just at different levels. They both allow more yards per play than they are producing. When teams are this close together, the value shows on the underdog. Other than Akron on Tuesday night (man, was that bad), all the dogs in this bowl season that have shown at least 3.5 points of value in this metric have covered the spread (and won outright).
Furthering the idea that these two teams are pretty closely matched is their 3rd down and red zone numbers.
They are almost exactly the same on 3rd down’s, whether on offense or defense. One spot of possible advantage is La Tech being more successful at halting scoring drives in the red zone than SMU. Much like the YPP advantage, red zone defense can be a pretty big indicator of who is going to win. As pointed out in the Akron and FAU preview, and just mentioned above, teams with at least 3.5 points of value based on YPP are 5–1 so far in bowl games. When it comes to red zone defense teams with a double digit advantage are 4–0 this bowl season (Army/Navy, Troy/N.Texas, WKU/GeoSt, Marshall/CSU). La Tech’s advantage is almost 9 points.
Something that contradicts the red zone defense advantage is the sack rate and tackle for loss rate of SMU. The advantages for SMU are pretty significant. They are going to get into the backfield of La Tech at least a few times for sure.
A good take away from this graph though is the Points allowed per drive. These two teams are giving up over two points per drive. That is not good. And something else that points to these two teams not being good at keeping points off the board is the explosiveness metric.
Not only do these two teams give up over two points per drive on average… they have good offense explosiveness and terrible defense coverage of explosiveness. There could be some huge plays in this game.
Now that stats are out of the way, time to dive into some motivation angles. La Tech had to win out to even qualify for a bowl. They have to be pumped to be in a bowl, even if its their fourth one in a row. While their strength of schedule does not rank high, they played some tough teams relatively speaking. Their non-con schedule contained two SEC teams (and they played competitvely), while their conference schedule contained all the tough match-ups CUSA could offer — WKU, North Texas, FAU, and a surprising UAB team. And while this may be almost a home game for SMU, La Tech is only 4 hours away. There will be plenty of Bulldogs in attendance to be sure. As for SMU, this is their first bowl since 2012 so, we’re popping the cherry here for every guy on this team. Usually one would think teams want to travel to a unique destination for a bowl game but, Lane Kiffin and FAU may have put that theory to bed on Tuesday night. SMU also comes in with a new coach. New coaches usually don’t coach a bowl game right after being hired but, its seems like Sonny Dykes wants this one (he used to coach at La Tech!). SMU also has some wide receivers that you may have heard of. They should both want to put on a show for the plethora of NFL scouts who should be in attendance.
This match-up is really going to be a contrast of offense; La Tech is going to run the ball like crazy and SMU is going to air it out. There is ample opportunity for big plays and both teams have defenses that allow chain moving drives. As they say at the ball park, Let’s play two!
La Tech +4
LaTech/SMU o71
Good Luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/dxl-frisco-bowl-67084a017f2b | [] | 2017-12-20 14:46:01.691000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title DXL Frisco BowlContent Welcome inaugural Frisco Bowl Miami Beach Bowl moved year Frisco Dallas Texas first addition Frisco Bowl get quasihome team combatant bowl SMU Mustangs La Tech Bulldogs SMU based Dallas it’s 30 minute drive campus Toyota Stadium Frisco line game opened SMU 5 total 70 lot movement line ticked 45 weekend dropped 4 Tuesday night 4 pretty key number take quite bit pressure move total widely available 71 right team former WAC rival La Tech owned “rivalry” winning three losing one one loss tight 3 point affair three win La Tech pretty serious smackdowns result probably aren’t relevant considering took place prior 2005 fact year lot separate team including distance Time dive right stats breakdown attempt predict many point team score many point team give trying normalize vastly different schedule team play done averaging opponent score give seeing much La Tech SMU outperform underperform average appears La Tech expected score allow pretty much expected 16 point either way SMU far variance Scoring 8 point expected also giving 5 point expected produce expected line SMU 35 showing slight value La Tech way preview tried produce expected spread YPP metric usually lean heavily dog need taken account comparing show two team exactly ratio different level allow yard per play producing team close together value show underdog Akron Tuesday night man bad dog bowl season shown least 35 point value metric covered spread outright Furthering idea two team pretty closely matched 3rd red zone number almost exactly 3rd down’s whether offense defense One spot possible advantage La Tech successful halting scoring drive red zone SMU Much like YPP advantage red zone defense pretty big indicator going win pointed Akron FAU preview mentioned team least 35 point value based YPP 5–1 far bowl game come red zone defense team double digit advantage 4–0 bowl season ArmyNavy TroyNTexas WKUGeoSt MarshallCSU La Tech’s advantage almost 9 point Something contradicts red zone defense advantage sack rate tackle loss rate SMU advantage SMU pretty significant going get backfield La Tech least time sure good take away graph though Points allowed per drive two team giving two point per drive good something else point two team good keeping point board explosiveness metric two team give two point per drive average… good offense explosiveness terrible defense coverage explosiveness could huge play game stats way time dive motivation angle La Tech win even qualify bowl pumped bowl even fourth one row strength schedule rank high played tough team relatively speaking noncon schedule contained two SEC team played competitvely conference schedule contained tough matchup CUSA could offer — WKU North Texas FAU surprising UAB team may almost home game SMU La Tech 4 hour away plenty Bulldogs attendance sure SMU first bowl since 2012 we’re popping cherry every guy team Usually one would think team want travel unique destination bowl game Lane Kiffin FAU may put theory bed Tuesday night SMU also come new coach New coach usually don’t coach bowl game right hired seems like Sonny Dykes want one used coach La Tech SMU also wide receiver may heard want put show plethora NFL scout attendance matchup really going contrast offense La Tech going run ball like crazy SMU going air ample opportunity big play team defense allow chain moving drive say ball park Let’s play two La Tech 4 LaTechSMU o71 Good LuckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,145 | R & L Carrier New Orleans Bowl | R & L Carrier New Orleans Bowl
It’s Bowl Season!
This is hopefully every college football fan’s favorite time of year, our very own advent calendar; a present almost every day. The first bowl for the 2017 season is the R & L Carrier New Orleans Bowl featuring two former Sun Belt rivals, North Texas Mean Green and the Troy Trojans.
Handicapping bowls is one of the most intriguing parts of sports betting. As mentioned previously in the Army — Navy preview, link, you should be capping the underlying stats for each team plus the “spot” and now, add motivation. It’s always tricky as this means digging into coach movement, players coming back from injury, what kind of bowl the team has been awarded and as of last year, star players who are declaring for the draft deciding to just skip irrelevant bowls.
The lines for this bowl opened Troy -5.5 with a total of 61 (most widely available openers). These lines have since moved to Troy -7, total 62. Most people looking at this game might, at face value, think it’s going to be a shoot-out considering North Texas running attack and Troy’s fun offense. However, this total offers very little value based on each team’s expected points scored and expected points allowed. So, look to the spread for a bet on this game. One method of trying to normalize the statistics in college football while accounting for the different schedules is by averaging out each team’s opponents scoring results. This will hopefully help to determine how much each team scores, more or less than they should be expected to and how much each team gives up, more or less than they are expected to. This can be used to produce a theoretical spread and total. It looks like this:
It looks like Troy should be closer to a double-digit favourite and this is probably supported by the line movement from -5.5 to -7. It also looks like, as just mentioned above, the total is spot on. Something to avoid.
Another popular way to try and normalize the stats and produce a theoretical spread is through yards per play on offence and defence. This is how the game breaks down using that measurement:
As this metric usually leans heavily to the underdog, it’s generally best to look for a high variance to the available line (Army showed 3.5 of value in this metric on Saturday). Here it’s only 1.5 and also shows Troy with a decent sized advantage in yards allowed.
Another common way to compare teams is to look at how they perform in key situations during a game, such as on third down and in the red zone. While it is difficult to use these to create a theoretical spread, it can still be instructive. For these two teams the stats are as follows:
Here, it looks like North Texas might have a slightly better ability to move the chains down the field and stop Troy’s drives a little better. Also, it looks like once in the red zone North Texas has done a much better job converting than Troy. But, look at red zone defence. Troy has the best red zone defence in college football (in a vacuum that doesn’t adjust for opponent), whereas North Texas looks like they just concede in hopes of getting the ball back and scoring again (and if you watched North Texas-Army a few weeks ago you know this is true).
A little more in-depth way to compare teams is to delve into their defensive metrics, such as sack rate, tackle for loss success and drive stop rate. While these are all defensive stats, they do paint a picture as to what kind of field position teams may be able to generate and how successful they’ll be at keeping their opponent from sustaining scoring drives. The stats for this game are as follows:
All four of these stats, much like red zone defence, paint a picture of Troy as a defensive machine. They out rank North Texas by a significant margin in each category. This holds true in explosiveness as well. There’s probably enough numbers and charts in here already so, sufficed to say North Texas is pretty explosive on offence and Troy is pretty great at limiting explosive plays on defence.
A lot of these stats, except the first breakdown, are not considering strength of schedule. It is usually a great equalizer. It may be surprising to know to that Troy had the #100th ranked schedule in terms of difficulty and North Texas had the #99th. Basically identical.
It is bowl season so, what about the “intangible”? There is a bunch here to consider. First and foremost is the health of North Texas running back Jeffrey Wilson. North Texas’ running attack will be good without him but, great with him. He had 16 TD’s in 11 games and averages over 6 yards a carry. It has not been announced if he will play yet. Before the game against Rice, North Texas’ offence was rolling and they didn’t seem to miss Wilson in the first half against Rice, putting up 30. But, they scored 6 (two FG’s) in the second half and then were held scoreless till late in the 3rd quarter against FAU in the C-USA title game. Maybe they do miss Wilson more than expected?
What about a letdown for the Mean Green? (Fun, lengthy, aside — North Texas used to be the Eagles until 1966 when they adopted the name Mean Green. This apparently is purely coincidental to the fact that Hall of Fame NFLer “Mean” Joe Greene was playing for them at that time. The story goes, some North Texas basketball players started a chant about the team on the field being Mean Green and it stuck. Link. Believe what you will...) North Texas lost their first C-USA Championship game, two weeks ago, in very unconvincing fashion (they never got off the bus as the saying goes) and it’s hard to tell how excited they’ll be about this bowl. This will be their 3rd bowl in 4 seasons and I’m sure they were looking for a better berth.
From the Troy side, much like North Texas, it’s a program on the up-swing as young head coach Neal Brown has spiced things up. Troy went 6 years without a bowl bid or a Sun Belt title. Last year, in his first season, Troy took care of the bowl drought with an appearance in Dollar General Bowl and a win over Ohio. This year they took care of the title drought, splitting the Sun Belt crown with App. St. Brown has also reached 10 wins in each of his two seasons at the helm. I expect him to get this team motivated to continue the momentum into next season where they have once again scheduled Boise to lead things off and have also scheduled Power 5 mainstay Nebraska. After beating LSU this year its conceivable Brown will want to repeat a Power 5 victory. Brown’s been mentioned for some coaching openings but, he’s probably another good season or two away from leaving. Side note for prop bettors — Troy QB Brandon Silvers is two shy of the school record for career touchdowns. There’s no way Silvers and Brown don’t want that. If a prop bet of o2.5 TD’s thrown exists, hammer it.
There are 6.5 and 7’s widely available as of Monday December 11th. Troy should be able to score at their normal pace and their defence should be able to shut down North Texas’ attack. Watch for Wilson’s health and roll with the Trojans at 7 if he’s out and a lower number (6 or 6.5) if he plays.
Troy -7, -105
Good Luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/r-l-carrier-new-orleans-bowl-b20c620f0e7f | [] | 2017-12-12 00:04:48.223000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title R L Carrier New Orleans BowlContent R L Carrier New Orleans Bowl It’s Bowl Season hopefully every college football fan’s favorite time year advent calendar present almost every day first bowl 2017 season R L Carrier New Orleans Bowl featuring two former Sun Belt rival North Texas Mean Green Troy Trojans Handicapping bowl one intriguing part sport betting mentioned previously Army — Navy preview link capping underlying stats team plus “spot” add motivation It’s always tricky mean digging coach movement player coming back injury kind bowl team awarded last year star player declaring draft deciding skip irrelevant bowl line bowl opened Troy 55 total 61 widely available opener line since moved Troy 7 total 62 people looking game might face value think it’s going shootout considering North Texas running attack Troy’s fun offense However total offer little value based team’s expected point scored expected point allowed look spread bet game One method trying normalize statistic college football accounting different schedule averaging team’s opponent scoring result hopefully help determine much team score le expected much team give le expected used produce theoretical spread total look like look like Troy closer doubledigit favourite probably supported line movement 55 7 also look like mentioned total spot Something avoid Another popular way try normalize stats produce theoretical spread yard per play offence defence game break using measurement metric usually lean heavily underdog it’s generally best look high variance available line Army showed 35 value metric Saturday it’s 15 also show Troy decent sized advantage yard allowed Another common way compare team look perform key situation game third red zone difficult use create theoretical spread still instructive two team stats follows look like North Texas might slightly better ability move chain field stop Troy’s drive little better Also look like red zone North Texas done much better job converting Troy look red zone defence Troy best red zone defence college football vacuum doesn’t adjust opponent whereas North Texas look like concede hope getting ball back scoring watched North TexasArmy week ago know true little indepth way compare team delve defensive metric sack rate tackle loss success drive stop rate defensive stats paint picture kind field position team may able generate successful they’ll keeping opponent sustaining scoring drive stats game follows four stats much like red zone defence paint picture Troy defensive machine rank North Texas significant margin category hold true explosiveness well There’s probably enough number chart already sufficed say North Texas pretty explosive offence Troy pretty great limiting explosive play defence lot stats except first breakdown considering strength schedule usually great equalizer may surprising know Troy 100th ranked schedule term difficulty North Texas 99th Basically identical bowl season “intangible” bunch consider First foremost health North Texas running back Jeffrey Wilson North Texas’ running attack good without great 16 TD’s 11 game average 6 yard carry announced play yet game Rice North Texas’ offence rolling didn’t seem miss Wilson first half Rice putting 30 scored 6 two FG’s second half held scoreless till late 3rd quarter FAU CUSA title game Maybe miss Wilson expected letdown Mean Green Fun lengthy aside — North Texas used Eagles 1966 adopted name Mean Green apparently purely coincidental fact Hall Fame NFLer “Mean” Joe Greene playing time story go North Texas basketball player started chant team field Mean Green stuck Link Believe North Texas lost first CUSA Championship game two week ago unconvincing fashion never got bus saying go it’s hard tell excited they’ll bowl 3rd bowl 4 season I’m sure looking better berth Troy side much like North Texas it’s program upswing young head coach Neal Brown spiced thing Troy went 6 year without bowl bid Sun Belt title Last year first season Troy took care bowl drought appearance Dollar General Bowl win Ohio year took care title drought splitting Sun Belt crown App St Brown also reached 10 win two season helm expect get team motivated continue momentum next season scheduled Boise lead thing also scheduled Power 5 mainstay Nebraska beating LSU year conceivable Brown want repeat Power 5 victory Brown’s mentioned coaching opening he’s probably another good season two away leaving Side note prop bettor — Troy QB Brandon Silvers two shy school record career touchdown There’s way Silvers Brown don’t want prop bet o25 TD’s thrown exists hammer 65 7’s widely available Monday December 11th Troy able score normal pace defence able shut North Texas’ attack Watch Wilson’s health roll Trojans 7 he’s lower number 6 65 play Troy 7 105 Good LuckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,146 | Camping World Bowl | Camping World Bowl
The second bowl on tap Thursday is the Camping World Bowl between OKST and VaTech.
Both these teams come into this game with extreme bowl history. Va Tech, under various coaches, has been in a bowl every year since 1993. OKST meanwhile, has a shorter but, still impressive streak, attending a bowl every year since 2002.
The line for this game opened OKST -6.5 and has dropped as low as -5 before settling in this morning at -6. The total opened at 62.5 and has slowly dropped to 61.5.
The stats for this game closely resemble two of the match-ups from last night; strong offense against a strong defense, strength on strength.
Much like Arizona and Mizz, OKST scores a lot more than they could be expected given their schedule. While, like Texas and Purdue, Va Tech allows a lot less than could be expected. What it means, is that there is probably some value on Va Tech, as this spread should be closer to OKST -2.
When looking at yards per play, they actually favor OKST.
The guess here is that the value being shown on OKST is based on OKST’s offense being such an outlier (only Oklahoma and Louisville, with Baker Mayfield and Lamar Jackson at the helm have such offensive numbers in the Power 5), as this metric usually favors the underdog.
As could be expected, when looking at efficiency OKST looks better on offense and Va Tech looks better on defense.
The difference is that Va Tech’s margin of advantage is bigger in both categories. And, as has been mentioned in many bowl previews, big red zone defensive advantages have played out well. Teams with a 9% or greater advantage in red zone defense are 7–1 so far this post season.
Continuing to look at defensive stats only makes Va Tech’s advantage look bigger.
Va Tech dominates in every category, plain and simple. Lots of people will be on OKST just because they think this offense will overcome any kind of Va Tech defensive advantage but, look at OKST’s schedule. They played no team with a defense like this. Va Tech actually has the best stop rate in the country. The only teams OKST played who were even close were TCU and Texas. They lost to TCU and they scored only 13 points on Texas.
The bet here is on VaTech shutting OKST down and being able to keep up if the score gets into the high 30's.
Va Tech +6,
Good Luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/camping-world-bowl-82a4bc1b5ff2 | [] | 2017-12-28 19:08:56.904000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Camping World BowlContent Camping World Bowl second bowl tap Thursday Camping World Bowl OKST VaTech team come game extreme bowl history Va Tech various coach bowl every year since 1993 OKST meanwhile shorter still impressive streak attending bowl every year since 2002 line game opened OKST 65 dropped low 5 settling morning 6 total opened 625 slowly dropped 615 stats game closely resemble two matchup last night strong offense strong defense strength strength Much like Arizona Mizz OKST score lot could expected given schedule like Texas Purdue Va Tech allows lot le could expected mean probably value Va Tech spread closer OKST 2 looking yard per play actually favor OKST guess value shown OKST based OKST’s offense outlier Oklahoma Louisville Baker Mayfield Lamar Jackson helm offensive number Power 5 metric usually favor underdog could expected looking efficiency OKST look better offense Va Tech look better defense difference Va Tech’s margin advantage bigger category mentioned many bowl preview big red zone defensive advantage played well Teams 9 greater advantage red zone defense 7–1 far post season Continuing look defensive stats make Va Tech’s advantage look bigger Va Tech dominates every category plain simple Lots people OKST think offense overcome kind Va Tech defensive advantage look OKST’s schedule played team defense like Va Tech actually best stop rate country team OKST played even close TCU Texas lost TCU scored 13 point Texas bet VaTech shutting OKST able keep score get high 30 Va Tech 6 Good LuckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,147 | Armed Forces Bowl | Armed Forces Bowl
The second bowl of the day on Saturday is the Armed Forces bowl. The bowl is held in Fort Worth, Texas and this year it features Army and San Diego State.
The line for this game did not see much movement at all; in fact the least of all bowl games. It opened SDST -7 with a total of 46.5 and has only seen the spread drop a half point, down to -6.5.
These are two pretty similar teams in terms of what the game plan is, which is …. run the ball. Let’s see how the stats stack up.
It looks like both teams are scoring less than they should against their schedule. However, both are allowing less than they should be expected to. SDST in particular seem to be doing a better job of keeping their opponents under wraps. The spread could be expected to be -6. And it looks like a low scoring game, totalling 35 points.
When yards per play are used instead of expected points, there is a similar result.
There haven’t been any instances of a favorite having value based on yards per play other than USF in this morning’s other preview.
While these teams both operate run heavy offenses, it appears Army is a little better at completing 3rd downs (probably because they are usually trying to run on 3rd and really short) and SDST is a little better at stopping teams on 3rd. Considering Army’s lack of passing (about 5 attempts a game) 3rd down and short plays will probably decide this game. SDST’s 65% success rate at stopping the opposition will be under the spotlight this afternoon.
Digging into some deeper defensive stats makes SDST look like they might have a bit of an edge. Better tackle for loss rate, significantly better stop rate (let’s hope that ties in with that great 3rd down success rate), significantly better points allowed per drive.
Neither team really has an explosive offense, both ranking in the 70’s (about mid-point of the league). But, Army has a terrible success rate at stopping explosive plays. They rank 119th in the country, so maybe SDST will break some big plays.
The stats seem to point to a SDST win and possible cover. What about situationally? Well, Army is in a bowl for the second straight year and they won last year in overtime. But, how motivated will they be? Their big game was for Commander in Chiefs trophy (a game where a winner came through on Army). As for SDST, they should be pumped for this game. Rocky Long has had SDST in 6 straight bowls. But, other than one year in Louisiana, all five have been in places where they play during the regular season. Las Vegas, Hawaii and San Diego are nice but, if you play there every year, it can’t feel that special to be in a bowl there. Furthermore, its just going to be nice to not be playing at home in the Poinsettia Bowl, which SDST has done three times in the last six years. A trip to Texas should be welcome. As for the option attack that always has to be discussed when capping Army games, Rocky Long and SDST play an option team every year in Air Force. So, this shouldn’t be a surprise. And they have a month to prepare.
Much like Wyoming last night, take this puppy to the bank. And if you see a guy named Pete there, tell him not to hedge longer and get in big on SDST.
SDST -6.5,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/armed-forces-bowl-b88954c8aa0e | [] | 2017-12-23 23:07:24.040000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Armed Forces BowlContent Armed Forces Bowl second bowl day Saturday Armed Forces bowl bowl held Fort Worth Texas year feature Army San Diego State line game see much movement fact least bowl game opened SDST 7 total 465 seen spread drop half point 65 two pretty similar team term game plan … run ball Let’s see stats stack look like team scoring le schedule However allowing le expected SDST particular seem better job keeping opponent wrap spread could expected 6 look like low scoring game totalling 35 point yard per play used instead expected point similar result haven’t instance favorite value based yard per play USF morning’s preview team operate run heavy offense appears Army little better completing 3rd down probably usually trying run 3rd really short SDST little better stopping team 3rd Considering Army’s lack passing 5 attempt game 3rd short play probably decide game SDST’s 65 success rate stopping opposition spotlight afternoon Digging deeper defensive stats make SDST look like might bit edge Better tackle loss rate significantly better stop rate let’s hope tie great 3rd success rate significantly better point allowed per drive Neither team really explosive offense ranking 70’s midpoint league Army terrible success rate stopping explosive play rank 119th country maybe SDST break big play stats seem point SDST win possible cover situationally Well Army bowl second straight year last year overtime motivated big game Commander Chiefs trophy game winner came Army SDST pumped game Rocky Long SDST 6 straight bowl one year Louisiana five place play regular season Las Vegas Hawaii San Diego nice play every year can’t feel special bowl Furthermore going nice playing home Poinsettia Bowl SDST done three time last six year trip Texas welcome option attack always discussed capping Army game Rocky Long SDST play option team every year Air Force shouldn’t surprise month prepare Much like Wyoming last night take puppy bank see guy named Pete tell hedge longer get big SDST SDST 65 Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,148 | Texas Bowl | Texas Bowl
The last bowl of the night is the Texas Bowl in Houston, Tx. And there is a quasi home team suiting up.
The line for this game opened Missouri -1 with a total of 60.5. The line has crept up to Missouri -3 and the total has crept up to 61.5.
This game is shaping up a lot like the game that is going on concurrently with it, the Arizona-Purdue match up. One team with an up-tempo, out-score ’em kind of offense vs a team with a shut down defense.
The expected points scored and allowed look a lot like the Foster Farms bowl as well:
Just like Arizona, Missouri scores much more than they should be expected to against their schedule, while much like Purdue, Texas allows almost 8 oints less than they could be expected to. And much like the more defensive team in Purdue, Texas also looks like they should be a small favorite.
Again, just like in the previous bowl game, the favorite actually looks like they have value based on yards per play.
In this case, there is quite a bit of value on Missouri. 3.5 has been a key number for value in this metric.
Again, much like Arizona, Missouri has a nice advantage in 3rd down offense but, is severely lacking in every other department. A 9 point advantage in red zone defense (Texas) usually has led to success in these bowl games.
Once again, much like the Purdue/Arizona game we have one team with an atrocious stop rate but, who matches that with a very explosive offense.
This is the Longhorns first bowl in 3 years and while that is a bit of a stretch for a major program to be missing bowls, how excited can they be about travelling just down the road to Houston? Also, Texas is littered with injuries.
Missouri meanwhile experienced one of the great revivals in college football history. From 1–5 to 7–5 with a chance to join the 2008 Rutgers team as the only ones in history to end 8–5 after that start. Missouri also hasn’t been to a bowl game since 2014 and after that terrible start to the season they must be pumped to finish on a high note. Here’s hoping in this case high octane offense outscores the tight Texas defense.
Mizz -3,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/texas-bowl-71a0d3a949b1 | [] | 2017-12-28 01:42:54.630000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Texas BowlContent Texas Bowl last bowl night Texas Bowl Houston Tx quasi home team suiting line game opened Missouri 1 total 605 line crept Missouri 3 total crept 615 game shaping lot like game going concurrently ArizonaPurdue match One team uptempo outscore ’em kind offense v team shut defense expected point scored allowed look lot like Foster Farms bowl well like Arizona Missouri score much expected schedule much like Purdue Texas allows almost 8 oints le could expected much like defensive team Purdue Texas also look like small favorite like previous bowl game favorite actually look like value based yard per play case quite bit value Missouri 35 key number value metric much like Arizona Missouri nice advantage 3rd offense severely lacking every department 9 point advantage red zone defense Texas usually led success bowl game much like PurdueArizona game one team atrocious stop rate match explosive offense Longhorns first bowl 3 year bit stretch major program missing bowl excited travelling road Houston Also Texas littered injury Missouri meanwhile experienced one great revival college football history 1–5 7–5 chance join 2008 Rutgers team one history end 8–5 start Missouri also hasn’t bowl game since 2014 terrible start season must pumped finish high note Here’s hoping case high octane offense outscores tight Texas defense Mizz 3 Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,149 | Week 17 Spread Picks | Week 17 is always a tough week to pick. It’s hard to gauge how teams will respond when faced with “meaningless” games. But I did manage to find 5 games I like ATS and locked in my bets.
NYG +3 v. DAL (4 Units)
I highlighted this game here: https://sharpclarkenfl.medium.com/giants-cowboys-week-17-477e109f7ecc. Unfortunately the 3 point spread has dropped to 1.5. I still like the Giants but I’d wait to see if it goes back to 3, and I would put fewer units on if it remains under 3.
TEN -7.5 @ HOU (2 Units)
The Titans are a team that looks drastically better when it controls the offensive line of scrimmage and builds a lead. I expect them to score touchdowns on essentially every drive, putting a lot of pressure on the Texans to keep up. There’s always backdoor potential for a good QB getting over a touchdown, but I give the edge to the superior coach in a must-win game to put it out of reach.
GB -5.5 @ CHI (2 Units)
This spread is simply too low. The Packers are a far superior team and Rodgers typically does not take his foot off the gas, especially in divisional games. The Packers can lock up the bye and home field with a win, so they’ll be plenty motivated. The Pack will score with ease, and Trubisky is too inconsistent to keep up.
Friday update: David Bakhtiari tore his ACL in practice yesterday. This is a big deal, and very concerning for the Packers going against a decent defensive line. The line has dropped to -4.5 accordingly. My bet is locked in, and I’d still take the Packers there, but if nightmares of what happened against Tampa Bay with Bakhtiari injured scare you away, I get it.
LAR +3.5 v. ARI (2 Units) (Friday: make it 5 Units)
It feels ugly to put multiple units on a quarterback who has never played an NFL snap. I get it. But the Rams have been hiding Goff’s weaknesses all year. They win because they have a stifling defense and a coach that gets the most out of his offensive pieces. I don’t see a major downgrade. And this play is mostly a bet against the Cardinals, who have struggled against good defensive schemes all year and I don’t see that changing here. Add to that the chance that Murray gets re-injured, and we get incredible value with the home dog.
Friday update: I’m adding 3 units to this play to make it 5 units. All things equal, the Rams are a vastly superior team to the Cardinals. Their defense is one of the best in the league, and Kyler Murray simply isn’t good enough to combat the pressure the Rams can bring, particularly with Ramsey on Hopkins. The Cardinals will struggle to run successfully and Murray’s behind-the-line passing offense will not get it done. Meanwhile, John Wolford may bring mobility and a spark that Goff lacks and actually help this offense succeed. I think the Rams win outright.
JAC +14 @ IND (1 Unit)
The Colts have to be devastated after blowing a 17 point lead against the Steelers, putting them in a position where they no longer ensure a playoff spot with a win. I do think they will be ready for this game, and should win, but it’s going to be tough to bring the type of dominance it takes to cover such a big number. The Jaguars are fairly underrated, and I think if they don’t keep it within a score they have a good chance at a backdoor.
Bonus pick Saturday: BAL -12.5 @ CIN
I’ve been hesitant to pull the trigger on this one because it’s a 12.5 point road favorite and the Bengals are underrated, but I’m locking it in. This one is a simple style and matchup play. When the Ravens can run, they don’t stop scoring.
Good luck! | https://medium.com/@sharpclarkenfl/week-17-spread-picks-7f5c989208ed | [] | 2021-01-02 14:36:36.824000+00:00 | ['NFL', 'Nfl Betting', 'Sports Betting', 'NFL Picks'] | Title Week 17 Spread PicksContent Week 17 always tough week pick It’s hard gauge team respond faced “meaningless” game manage find 5 game like ATS locked bet NYG 3 v DAL 4 Units highlighted game httpssharpclarkenflmediumcomgiantscowboysweek17477e109f7ecc Unfortunately 3 point spread dropped 15 still like Giants I’d wait see go back 3 would put fewer unit remains 3 TEN 75 HOU 2 Units Titans team look drastically better control offensive line scrimmage build lead expect score touchdown essentially every drive putting lot pressure Texans keep There’s always backdoor potential good QB getting touchdown give edge superior coach mustwin game put reach GB 55 CHI 2 Units spread simply low Packers far superior team Rodgers typically take foot gas especially divisional game Packers lock bye home field win they’ll plenty motivated Pack score ease Trubisky inconsistent keep Friday update David Bakhtiari tore ACL practice yesterday big deal concerning Packers going decent defensive line line dropped 45 accordingly bet locked I’d still take Packers nightmare happened Tampa Bay Bakhtiari injured scare away get LAR 35 v ARI 2 Units Friday make 5 Units feel ugly put multiple unit quarterback never played NFL snap get Rams hiding Goff’s weakness year win stifling defense coach get offensive piece don’t see major downgrade play mostly bet Cardinals struggled good defensive scheme year don’t see changing Add chance Murray get reinjured get incredible value home dog Friday update I’m adding 3 unit play make 5 unit thing equal Rams vastly superior team Cardinals defense one best league Kyler Murray simply isn’t good enough combat pressure Rams bring particularly Ramsey Hopkins Cardinals struggle run successfully Murray’s behindtheline passing offense get done Meanwhile John Wolford may bring mobility spark Goff lack actually help offense succeed think Rams win outright JAC 14 IND 1 Unit Colts devastated blowing 17 point lead Steelers putting position longer ensure playoff spot win think ready game win it’s going tough bring type dominance take cover big number Jaguars fairly underrated think don’t keep within score good chance backdoor Bonus pick Saturday BAL 125 CIN I’ve hesitant pull trigger one it’s 125 point road favorite Bengals underrated I’m locking one simple style matchup play Ravens run don’t stop scoring Good luckTags NFL Nfl Betting Sports Betting NFL Picks |
191,150 | Boise State Broncos vs SMU Mustangs Free NCAAB Spread Pick, 12–18–2017 | Boise State Broncos vs SMU Mustangs Free NCAAB Spread Pick, 12–18–2017
Free College Basketball Pick by David Price of BetSheet.com
Boise State Broncos vs SMU Mustangs
Odds: SMU -7.5
Time: December 18, 9:00 PM EST
Boise State Broncos
(10–1)
The Boise State plays just their second road game of the season in its final nonconference tuneup for Mountain West Conference play when it travels to SMU on Monday night. Their first road game was on December 1st when they snapped Oregon’s NCAA-best 46-game homecourt win streak, 73–70, thanks to a buzzer-beating half-court shot by senior guard Lexus Williams.
Boise State is 6–4 ATS on the season but they are 5–1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference game.
The Broncos will now take aim at SMU’s 29 home game win streak at Moody Coliseum. The Broncos have four players who average at least 10.8 points per game led by sophomore guard Justinian Jessup (15.5) who also has made a team-leading 41 3-pointers. Chandler Hutchison, a 6–7 senior guard who was named the Mountain West’s Preseason Player of the Year, is second in scoring (15.3) and also leads the team in rebounding (8.8) and assists (4.2). Senior forward Christian Sengfelder (11.7), a graduate transfer from Fordham, and sophomore guard Alex Hobbs (10.8) also are averaging in double figures.
SMU Mustangs
(8–3)
The SMU Mustangs improved to 8–3 on the season after defeating the New Orleans Privateers, 79–66, this past Wednesday.
SMU is 3–3 ATS on the season but they are 22–7–1 ATS in their last 30 overall.
All five starters average in double-figures, led by junior guard Shake Milton (17.8 ppg) and followed by junior guard Jarrey Foster (15.0 ppg). Forward Ethan Chargois averages (13.0 ppg) and is one of 18 freshmen in the country averaging at least 13.0 points and 5.0 rebounds per game.
SMU has played some good competition this season but they have come up short vs the better teams in college basketball. They did beat Arizona but they have lost to Northern Iowa, Western Kentucky and TCU.
Boise State vs SMU Prediction
What is David Price Predicting?
These are two teams that will be competing for an NCAA Tournament invite down the stretch. Boise State has been impressive, despite playing against sub-par competition. However, SMU has struggled vs better competition so far this season. Moody Coliseum is a tough place to play but the Boise State defense should give SMU some troubles and if the Broncos shoot a decent percentage beyond the arc, they could be a live dog in this matchup. I think this spread is too much to lay with SMU and I like Boise State +7.5 in this game.
Free College Basketball Spread Pick: Boise State Broncos +7.5 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/boise-state-broncos-vs-smu-mustangs-free-ncaab-spread-pick-12-18-2017-2cc927df7cc6 | ["Puss Williamson'S Betsheet.Com"] | 2017-12-18 13:39:05.022000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'NCAA Basketball', 'College Basketball', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling'] | Title Boise State Broncos v SMU Mustangs Free NCAAB Spread Pick 12–18–2017Content Boise State Broncos v SMU Mustangs Free NCAAB Spread Pick 12–18–2017 Free College Basketball Pick David Price BetSheetcom Boise State Broncos v SMU Mustangs Odds SMU 75 Time December 18 900 PM EST Boise State Broncos 10–1 Boise State play second road game season final nonconference tuneup Mountain West Conference play travel SMU Monday night first road game December 1st snapped Oregon’s NCAAbest 46game homecourt win streak 73–70 thanks buzzerbeating halfcourt shot senior guard Lexus Williams Boise State 6–4 ATS season 5–1 ATS last 6 nonconference game Broncos take aim SMU’s 29 home game win streak Moody Coliseum Broncos four player average least 108 point per game led sophomore guard Justinian Jessup 155 also made teamleading 41 3pointers Chandler Hutchison 6–7 senior guard named Mountain West’s Preseason Player Year second scoring 153 also lead team rebounding 88 assist 42 Senior forward Christian Sengfelder 117 graduate transfer Fordham sophomore guard Alex Hobbs 108 also averaging double figure SMU Mustangs 8–3 SMU Mustangs improved 8–3 season defeating New Orleans Privateers 79–66 past Wednesday SMU 3–3 ATS season 22–7–1 ATS last 30 overall five starter average doublefigures led junior guard Shake Milton 178 ppg followed junior guard Jarrey Foster 150 ppg Forward Ethan Chargois average 130 ppg one 18 freshman country averaging least 130 point 50 rebound per game SMU played good competition season come short v better team college basketball beat Arizona lost Northern Iowa Western Kentucky TCU Boise State v SMU Prediction David Price Predicting two team competing NCAA Tournament invite stretch Boise State impressive despite playing subpar competition However SMU struggled v better competition far season Moody Coliseum tough place play Boise State defense give SMU trouble Broncos shoot decent percentage beyond arc could live dog matchup think spread much lay SMU like Boise State 75 game Free College Basketball Spread Pick Boise State Broncos 75Tags Sports NCAA Basketball College Basketball Sports Betting Gambling |
191,151 | The Compelling Race for NFL Coach of the Year | The Compelling Race for NFL Coach of the Year
There’s at least seven coaches this season that deserve legitimate consideration for the award.
The 2017 NFL season has been a remarkable year for coaching. No other year in recent memory has given us so many viable coach of the year candidates. There are multiple fantastic-turnaround-of-a-moribund-franchise coaching stories, as well as multiple Superbowl winning coaches having one of their best seasons. Let’s review the candidates, and go over the pros and cons of each one to see if we can determine which of these guys deserve to win coach of the year the most.
Sean McVay- Los Angeles Rams
Pros: In his first year as head coach, Sean McVay has exceeded even the most optimistic expectations about what he could accomplish this year with the Rams. Going by what everyone saw from Jared Goff last year, no one could have imagined that McVay could instantly turn the worst offense in the NFL into one of the best. He also has an aesthetic that belies his age, so in comparing him to other young coaches, he’s much more like John Gruden than he is Lane Kiffin. I didn’t think he would pass the test of being an NFL head coach so easily, but he did.
Cons: If the Rams lose to the Seahawks in Seattle this week, then they drop to 2nd in the NFC West. Considering all the outstanding candidates for coach of the year this season, can we really give it to someone who didn’t even win their division? So winning out will really help his cause. Also, if there is a slight blemish on the job McVay has done, it’s that he has basically delegated oversight of the defense to Wade Phillips. If we are talking about NFL Offensive Coordinator of the Year, then yeah, McVay would win hands down. However, one could argue that the Rams basically have a co-head coach, which somewhat diminishes the job he has done. Is that analysis a little harsh? Yeah it is, but in order to differentiate between the bumper crop of great candidates we have, there’s going to be some splitting of hairs here.
Verdict: Considering the dramatic turnaround from a first year head coach, I think McVay is the odds-on favorite to win the award. However, he’s not my first choice if I had a vote. (Good news for Sean McVay fans: I don’t.) But he’s still done a hell of a job, and it looks like Jared Goff is a legitimate NFL quarterback thanks to him.
Doug Pederson- Philadelphia Eagles
Pros: You can basically give the same superlatives to Pederson as we did to McVay, the only difference being that Pederson is doing it in year two vs. year one. In his second year, the Eagles became a juggernaut under Pederson, with Carson Wentz being the virtual shoe-in to be MVP (until he went down) thanks to his head coach. The Eagles lead the league in points per game, with Pederson as the playcaller and offensive architect. Carson Wentz being out for the year could actually strengthen Pederson’s case for winning coach of the year if the offense keeps humming along under Nick Foles.
Cons: The flip side to that coin is that if the offense struggles for the last few games, it could plant a seed in the minds of voters that the offensive success was do more to the extraordinary talents of Wentz rather than the offensive system itself. Also, since we split hairs for McVay, it’s only fair to point out that I don’t love Pederson’s game managing history. (It seems the offensive system wasn’t the only thing he learned from Andy Reid.) Can anyone forget the criticism against him when he was offensive coordinator for the Chiefs? Yes, he’s made some questionable decisions as Eagles coach too. Although he’s not the most egregious game manager on this list, (Keep reading to see who gets that honor) it’s tough to ignore such a crucial aspect to being head coach.
Verdict: Up in the air. I think if Pederson keeps the Eagles rolling with Nick Foles, and he gets the number one seed in the NFC, then the award should be his. If not, then considering the dearth of worthy candidates, I’d look to give the award elsewhere.
Mike Zimmer- Minnesota Vikings
Pros: How can you not be impressed with the job Zimmer has done with the Vikings? Zimmer is a defensive guru that brought his pressure defense to Minnesota with incredible success. The Vikings are the only team in the NFL to be top-5 in passing yards against, rushing yards against, and points against. However, the reason why the Vikings have been so successful this year is because the offense is finally holding their own, and Zimmer deftly handled what could have been a rift-inducing quarterback controversy with ease. Granted, Case Keenum’s play made his decision easy, but lesser coaches could have made a mess of that. Considering the Vikings are 10–3 with someone who is essentially their third choice as QB, you have to give plenty of consideration for Zimmer as coach of the year. Also, overcoming a eye injury as a compelling personal story can’t hurt his cause.
Cons: This is a little subjective, but it feels like the job Zimmer has done has been only very good when other candidates have been great. Perhaps in a year with weaker competition, Zimmer’s season would have been a lock, but in this year it feels like he’s going to end up coming in third. Last week’s game against the Panthers makes me worry that the Case Keenum experience is about to run out of gas. Considering how badly the Vikings faded last year, you can excuse me for thinking that- I hope for the Vikings’ sake that’s just perceptual bias.
Verdict: While I doubt Mike Zimmer actually wins the award, if it ends up happening I would be totally fine with it. The Vikings accomplishing what they have this year deserves accolades, and Zimmer has proven himself to be an excellent head coach than can handle and adjust to adversity.
Bill Belichick- New England Patriots
Pros: Let’s face it: If “Coach of the Year” were simply given to the best coach in a given season, then I would be hard pressed to think of a season since 2001 where Bill Belichick wouldn’t have won the award. It’s analogous to the NBA back in the 90's: Michael Jordan should’ve won MVP every year for about ten years, but didn’t because that would’ve been boring. So let’s not overthink this. Bill Belichick is the best coach in NFL today, probably of all time, and deserves to win coach of the year accordingly.
Cons: This year hasn’t been the greatest year for the Patriots, as they have had a handful of poor performances that have been uncharacteristic. Unfair or not, I think the standard for Belichick is higher than every other coach to win this award. Going 12–4 with a first round bye is routine, pedestrian stuff. For Belichick to be realistically be in the running for this award, the Pats need to have some sort of record-setting year, and its not really happening this year.
Verdict: The best coach in the NFL is not going to win coach of the year this season.
Mike Tomlin- Pittsburgh Steelers
Pros: Is this the year Mike Tomlin finally gets his due? If the Steelers can slay their dragon this week, beating the Patriots and securing home field advantage in the AFC, you certainly have to throw Tomlin’s hat into the ring. At first thought, I’m surprised that Tomlin hasn’t won this award already, but then again it seems like Tomlin is always being criticized more than praised, even while reaching the pinnacle of success and never having a losing season in 11 years as a head coach. When he won the Superbowl, critics said that it was still Bill Cowher’s team. Then critics said he is a “cheerleader” more than a coach. Honestly, this is BS. You don’t think Mike Tomlin could’ve run the defense for the Steelers if he wanted to? When he took over for Bill Cowher in 2007, Tomlin was highly regarded for the cover-2 system he helped develop in Tampa, which achieved incredible success by requiring pressure from a front four with minimal blitzing. However, he was jumping into a Steelers team that had an established and successful 3–4 defense with complex blitzing and pressure from all over the place- the virtual antithesis of the Tampa-2. So what did Tomlin do? He recognized that Dick Lebeau’s system wasn’t broke, so it shouldn’t be tampered with. Many other coaches would’ve forced his square-peg players to play in his round-hole system- we have seen that scenario many times with typically poor results. Tomlin never received the credit for this, and because of his astute leadership, the not-broke Steelers won a Superbowl in his third season.
The idea that a head coach should be involved in every x and o otherwise they aren’t an important part of the team is an ignorant point of view. Head coaches are like CEOs- and sometimes micromanaging overburdens the team more than anything. Think about coaches that struggle with juggling multiple roles. Usually in order to save their job they reluctantly delegate. (Just look at what Andy Reid had to do recently.) Doesn’t that make the case that they should’ve delegated that role in the first place? One of the secrets to Tomlin’s success is that he lets his coaches coach and his players play. He treats everyone like men, which has earned the respect of everyone around him. Add the fact that he’s passionate and inspiring, and I can’t think of another coach I’d rather play for or another organization I’d rather be in- and Mike Tomlin is a big part of that. If the Steelers go 14–2, Mike Tomlin deserves heavy consideration for a well-deserved coach of the year award.
Cons: Remember when I alluded to a coach that was worse at game management than Doug Pederson? Tomlin is it. Frankly, some of the game management decisions he makes are maddening. The end of last week’s game with the Ravens was a perfect example. Let me set the scenario for you:
1:02 to go in the 4th, 1st and 10 at the Ravens 30, the Steelers down two points. Baltimore has two timeouts left. The Steelers are in field goal range.
On first down, the Steelers ran up the middle for 2 yards, forcing Baltimore to take it’s second timeout. 56 seconds are left now. Considering that the average play runs about 5–6 seconds off the clock, if the Steelers just run again up the middle on second down, they force Baltimore into calling it’s last time out at probably around 50 seconds. Then they can run again on third down and Baltimore can’t stop the clock, so the clock would wind down to about 5 seconds left, just enough for Boswell to kick a field goal to end the game. This playcalling also gives the Steelers minimal risk of falling out of field goal range, and obviously the Ravens never get a chance to get the ball back to win.
So what did the Steelers actually do? Incomplete on second down, then incomplete again on third, with Ben pulling a miracle out of his butt not to take a sack and be knocked out of field goal range. Now I don’t know if Tomlin was involved in this playcalling, but the onus is on the head coach to be aware of game situations. This worked out for the Steelers in the end, but the fact of the matter is that they left more than enough time for the Ravens (who just happen to have the best kicker in the NFL) to kick a field goal, so you better believe Tomlin would have been excoriated if this blew up in his face.
Unfortunately, this example is more of the rule rather than the exception with Tomlin. Whether it’s inexplicable challenge decisions, incomprehensible 4th down decision making, or poor clock management, after eleven NFL seasons Tomlin is who he is, and game management is not his strength.
It also has hurt Tomlin that it seems like the Steelers have been outcoached in big games, specifically with the Patriots. It’s hard to argue that Tomlin deserves coach of the year when Belichick typically coaches circles around the Steelers. (To be fair though, Belichick usually coaches circles around everyone.)
Finally, Tomlin coached Steelers teams have had a long-term habit of playing down to worse teams. This season is no exception. One of the Steelers’ losses is to the Bears. Yes, the Bears. This leads people to believe that Tomlin is not doing a good enough job of getting his team ready to play every game, and it’s hard to argue that there isn’t some truth to that.
Verdict: If the Steelers put the Patriots in their rear view mirror and win 14 games, then you have to think Tomlin is going to get serious consideration. I would look for not only if they win but how they win against the Patriots. If Tomlin can be the coaching equal (or better) to Belichick in this game and the Steelers win, then give the man coach of the year. He deserves to finally be recognized.
Sean Payton- New Orleans Saints
Pros: As I stated earlier, the candidates for coach of the year are a mix of a Superbowl winning coaches having one of their best seasons and coaches pulling a cellar-dwelling team out of the gutter and into relevancy. With Sean Payton, you have both. Considering how difficult their division is, the Saints’ emergence this year is that much more impressive. I love the way Payton has transitioned the Saints into a running team- being able to adjust to accentuate your strengths is the sign of a great coach. He managed to get out of what was looking to be a toxic situation with Adrian Peterson with ease- you could make the case that trading Peterson was the NFL transaction of the year, considering that it led to the emergence of Alvin Kamara. Not only winning the toughest division in the NFL, but the way he did it, means Sean Payton deserves to be in the running for coach of the year.
Cons: I think Payton suffers from some of the same perception problems that Belichick suffers from, in that when he wins he should win because he has a great quarterback. He also has a little bit of a cantankerous personality, also like Bill. This could be the tiebreaker in the minds of the people who vote- fair or not, we all know there is human element to winning awards, and his infamous choke sign to the Falcons last week isn’t going to win him any goodwill. Lastly, he’s been around for so long that choosing him over more sexy choices like McVay seems unlikely.
Verdict: Despite a strong resume, showing coaching adaptability that led directly to his team’s success, and sporting quite possibly the most complete team of his tenure, I seriously doubt Sean Payton will be in the top three in voting. Even though it’s been his year, it’s just not his year.
Doug Marrone- Jacksonville Jaguars
Pros: The biggest out of nowhere candidate for coach of the year is Doug Marrone, simply because unlike Sean McVay, we’ve seen Marrone coach before this year and it wasn’t much to write home about. However, it turns out that Marrone was just what the Jaguars needed, and I love that he realized right away the strength and weaknesses of his team. Early in the year when Bortles was struggling immensely, Marrone answered the question as to how many times he’d like the Jags to throw the ball as zero. And in looking at the way he used Fornette early in the season, it seems that he was serious.
This is an example of a coach trying to change the culture of a losing team, and it worked. The Jaguars are the proverbial “team that nobody wants to play” going into the playoffs, due to their bruising style of offense and smothering defense. That strategy is a winning formula- there is a reason why “defense wins championships” is a thing. So a lot of credit should be given to Marrone for changing the ways of the losingest team in the NFL this decade. He was the right man for the job, and his philosophy was embraced by the team. He also had the most daunting challenge of any coach in the running, and the Jaguars seem to be getting better as the season concludes. In all, if the award were to be given right now, I would give the award to Marrone.
Cons: They don’t give out the coach of the year award now, and the reality is that by the end of the season, there are going to be coaches that will end up padding their resume a bit better than Marrone likely will.
There is also the perception that Marrone is just the extension of Tom Coughlin’s involvement with the team. While there is a little bit of truth to that, the whole truth is that Coughlin isn’t a coach. He isn’t involved in the day-to-day coaching of the team. It is not fair to consider Coughlin the de facto coach of the Jaguars, but I would not be surprised if that perception held weight. Finally, Jacksonville’s small market and still-mostly anonymous team will lead to Marrone to be overlooked. Fair or not, that’s the reality.
Verdict: Marrone deserves to win the award right now, but other coaches will likely clinch achievements that should outstrip Marrone of his accomplishments. However, if he can sneak the Jags into the top seed in the AFC, then there’s no way he can be ignored. Marrone would fully deserve the award.
So who is really going to win? I still say it’s McVay right now- but I’ve laid out a lot of different scenarios, so don’t be surprised if a coach you didn’t consider until now ends up winning instead. The one thing I am sure of is, whoever does end up winning will have earned it. This year’s race for coach of the year is perhaps the most competitive in the history of the NFL. | https://medium.com/@AlexPredicts/the-compelling-race-for-nfl-coach-of-the-year-c8af082aab05 | ['Alex Brigandi- The Stats Guy'] | 2017-12-17 07:22:50.997000+00:00 | ['NFL', 'Sports Journalists', 'Sports Betting', 'NFL Playoffs', 'Coaching'] | Title Compelling Race NFL Coach YearContent Compelling Race NFL Coach Year There’s least seven coach season deserve legitimate consideration award 2017 NFL season remarkable year coaching year recent memory given u many viable coach year candidate multiple fantasticturnaroundofamoribundfranchise coaching story well multiple Superbowl winning coach one best season Let’s review candidate go pro con one see determine guy deserve win coach year Sean McVay Los Angeles Rams Pros first year head coach Sean McVay exceeded even optimistic expectation could accomplish year Rams Going everyone saw Jared Goff last year one could imagined McVay could instantly turn worst offense NFL one best also aesthetic belies age comparing young coach he’s much like John Gruden Lane Kiffin didn’t think would pas test NFL head coach easily Cons Rams lose Seahawks Seattle week drop 2nd NFC West Considering outstanding candidate coach year season really give someone didn’t even win division winning really help cause Also slight blemish job McVay done it’s basically delegated oversight defense Wade Phillips talking NFL Offensive Coordinator Year yeah McVay would win hand However one could argue Rams basically cohead coach somewhat diminishes job done analysis little harsh Yeah order differentiate bumper crop great candidate there’s going splitting hair Verdict Considering dramatic turnaround first year head coach think McVay oddson favorite win award However he’s first choice vote Good news Sean McVay fan don’t he’s still done hell job look like Jared Goff legitimate NFL quarterback thanks Doug Pederson Philadelphia Eagles Pros basically give superlative Pederson McVay difference Pederson year two v year one second year Eagles became juggernaut Pederson Carson Wentz virtual shoein MVP went thanks head coach Eagles lead league point per game Pederson playcaller offensive architect Carson Wentz year could actually strengthen Pederson’s case winning coach year offense keep humming along Nick Foles Cons flip side coin offense struggle last game could plant seed mind voter offensive success extraordinary talent Wentz rather offensive system Also since split hair McVay it’s fair point don’t love Pederson’s game managing history seems offensive system wasn’t thing learned Andy Reid anyone forget criticism offensive coordinator Chiefs Yes he’s made questionable decision Eagles coach Although he’s egregious game manager list Keep reading see get honor it’s tough ignore crucial aspect head coach Verdict air think Pederson keep Eagles rolling Nick Foles get number one seed NFC award considering dearth worthy candidate I’d look give award elsewhere Mike Zimmer Minnesota Vikings Pros impressed job Zimmer done Vikings Zimmer defensive guru brought pressure defense Minnesota incredible success Vikings team NFL top5 passing yard rushing yard point However reason Vikings successful year offense finally holding Zimmer deftly handled could riftinducing quarterback controversy ease Granted Case Keenum’s play made decision easy lesser coach could made mess Considering Vikings 10–3 someone essentially third choice QB give plenty consideration Zimmer coach year Also overcoming eye injury compelling personal story can’t hurt cause Cons little subjective feel like job Zimmer done good candidate great Perhaps year weaker competition Zimmer’s season would lock year feel like he’s going end coming third Last week’s game Panthers make worry Case Keenum experience run gas Considering badly Vikings faded last year excuse thinking hope Vikings’ sake that’s perceptual bias Verdict doubt Mike Zimmer actually win award end happening would totally fine Vikings accomplishing year deserves accolade Zimmer proven excellent head coach handle adjust adversity Bill Belichick New England Patriots Pros Let’s face “Coach Year” simply given best coach given season would hard pressed think season since 2001 Bill Belichick wouldn’t award It’s analogous NBA back 90 Michael Jordan should’ve MVP every year ten year didn’t would’ve boring let’s overthink Bill Belichick best coach NFL today probably time deserves win coach year accordingly Cons year hasn’t greatest year Patriots handful poor performance uncharacteristic Unfair think standard Belichick higher every coach win award Going 12–4 first round bye routine pedestrian stuff Belichick realistically running award Pats need sort recordsetting year really happening year Verdict best coach NFL going win coach year season Mike Tomlin Pittsburgh Steelers Pros year Mike Tomlin finally get due Steelers slay dragon week beating Patriots securing home field advantage AFC certainly throw Tomlin’s hat ring first thought I’m surprised Tomlin hasn’t award already seems like Tomlin always criticized praised even reaching pinnacle success never losing season 11 year head coach Superbowl critic said still Bill Cowher’s team critic said “cheerleader” coach Honestly BS don’t think Mike Tomlin could’ve run defense Steelers wanted took Bill Cowher 2007 Tomlin highly regarded cover2 system helped develop Tampa achieved incredible success requiring pressure front four minimal blitzing However jumping Steelers team established successful 3–4 defense complex blitzing pressure place virtual antithesis Tampa2 Tomlin recognized Dick Lebeau’s system wasn’t broke shouldn’t tampered Many coach would’ve forced squarepeg player play roundhole system seen scenario many time typically poor result Tomlin never received credit astute leadership notbroke Steelers Superbowl third season idea head coach involved every x otherwise aren’t important part team ignorant point view Head coach like CEOs sometimes micromanaging overburden team anything Think coach struggle juggling multiple role Usually order save job reluctantly delegate look Andy Reid recently Doesn’t make case should’ve delegated role first place One secret Tomlin’s success let coach coach player play treat everyone like men earned respect everyone around Add fact he’s passionate inspiring can’t think another coach I’d rather play another organization I’d rather Mike Tomlin big part Steelers go 14–2 Mike Tomlin deserves heavy consideration welldeserved coach year award Cons Remember alluded coach worse game management Doug Pederson Tomlin Frankly game management decision make maddening end last week’s game Ravens perfect example Let set scenario 102 go 4th 1st 10 Ravens 30 Steelers two point Baltimore two timeouts left Steelers field goal range first Steelers ran middle 2 yard forcing Baltimore take it’s second timeout 56 second left Considering average play run 5–6 second clock Steelers run middle second force Baltimore calling it’s last time probably around 50 second run third Baltimore can’t stop clock clock would wind 5 second left enough Boswell kick field goal end game playcalling also give Steelers minimal risk falling field goal range obviously Ravens never get chance get ball back win Steelers actually Incomplete second incomplete third Ben pulling miracle butt take sack knocked field goal range don’t know Tomlin involved playcalling onus head coach aware game situation worked Steelers end fact matter left enough time Ravens happen best kicker NFL kick field goal better believe Tomlin would excoriated blew face Unfortunately example rule rather exception Tomlin Whether it’s inexplicable challenge decision incomprehensible 4th decision making poor clock management eleven NFL season Tomlin game management strength also hurt Tomlin seems like Steelers outcoached big game specifically Patriots It’s hard argue Tomlin deserves coach year Belichick typically coach circle around Steelers fair though Belichick usually coach circle around everyone Finally Tomlin coached Steelers team longterm habit playing worse team season exception One Steelers’ loss Bears Yes Bears lead people believe Tomlin good enough job getting team ready play every game it’s hard argue isn’t truth Verdict Steelers put Patriots rear view mirror win 14 game think Tomlin going get serious consideration would look win win Patriots Tomlin coaching equal better Belichick game Steelers win give man coach year deserves finally recognized Sean Payton New Orleans Saints Pros stated earlier candidate coach year mix Superbowl winning coach one best season coach pulling cellardwelling team gutter relevancy Sean Payton Considering difficult division Saints’ emergence year much impressive love way Payton transitioned Saints running team able adjust accentuate strength sign great coach managed get looking toxic situation Adrian Peterson ease could make case trading Peterson NFL transaction year considering led emergence Alvin Kamara winning toughest division NFL way mean Sean Payton deserves running coach year Cons think Payton suffers perception problem Belichick suffers win win great quarterback also little bit cantankerous personality also like Bill could tiebreaker mind people vote fair know human element winning award infamous choke sign Falcons last week isn’t going win goodwill Lastly he’s around long choosing sexy choice like McVay seems unlikely Verdict Despite strong resume showing coaching adaptability led directly team’s success sporting quite possibly complete team tenure seriously doubt Sean Payton top three voting Even though it’s year it’s year Doug Marrone Jacksonville Jaguars Pros biggest nowhere candidate coach year Doug Marrone simply unlike Sean McVay we’ve seen Marrone coach year wasn’t much write home However turn Marrone Jaguars needed love realized right away strength weakness team Early year Bortles struggling immensely Marrone answered question many time he’d like Jags throw ball zero looking way used Fornette early season seems serious example coach trying change culture losing team worked Jaguars proverbial “team nobody want play” going playoff due bruising style offense smothering defense strategy winning formula reason “defense win championships” thing lot credit given Marrone changing way losingest team NFL decade right man job philosophy embraced team also daunting challenge coach running Jaguars seem getting better season concludes award given right would give award Marrone Cons don’t give coach year award reality end season going coach end padding resume bit better Marrone likely also perception Marrone extension Tom Coughlin’s involvement team little bit truth whole truth Coughlin isn’t coach isn’t involved daytoday coaching team fair consider Coughlin de facto coach Jaguars would surprised perception held weight Finally Jacksonville’s small market stillmostly anonymous team lead Marrone overlooked Fair that’s reality Verdict Marrone deserves win award right coach likely clinch achievement outstrip Marrone accomplishment However sneak Jags top seed AFC there’s way ignored Marrone would fully deserve award really going win still say it’s McVay right I’ve laid lot different scenario don’t surprised coach didn’t consider end winning instead one thing sure whoever end winning earned year’s race coach year perhaps competitive history NFLTags NFL Sports Journalists Sports Betting NFL Playoffs Coaching |
191,152 | Las Vegas Bowl | Las Vegas Bowl
The third bowl of opening day is the Las Vegas Bowl featuring Boise State vs Oregon and containing a whole whack of college football history.
PAC-12 (or Pac -10 for you old-timers) and Mountain West teams have a long history of playing inter-conference games and bowls and the Pac -12 has eaten in those match-ups. With one exception. And that exception is Boise State. The Bronco’s have long been the darling of the Group of 5 conferences, creating huge upsets and coming oh-so-close to creating true chaos in the old BCS system. Boise previously played in this Las Vegas bowl three straight times from 2010–2012 and beat a PAC -12 team each time straight up.
These two teams also have some very specific and personal history thanks to a pair of college football’s better season kickoff games and LeGarrett Blount, the author of one of college footballs most infamous incidents. Boise won both of those games by the way; adding to their chaos-inducing mystique.
The lines for this bowl opened Oregon -5 with a total of 59.5 (most widely available openers). The spread has since moved to Oregon -7.5, with some -7’s popping back up on Wednesday. The total has held steady at 59.5.
These previews have thus far been fairly stat-heavy (Navy/Army, N.Texas/Troy, WKU/GeoSt) but, this is one bowl where the stats can be thrown out the window and driven over by an 18 wheeler.
Here they are in case anyone is keeping track of these:
As mentioned in previous bowl previews (and probably in every bowl preview ever written) motivation and circumstance can be every bit as important as the statistics put up during the season. In this case it’s all about motivation and injury recovery. These numbers don’t mean much because of two things; One, Oregon has a sophomore quarterback who is really good, and he missed a large portion of the season. Maybe Justin Herbert is not NFL good but, he’s really good for the collegiate level. With Herbert in the line-up Oregon went 6–1 and scored 77, 42,49,35 (loss), 45, 48, and 69 points. With Herbert on the sideline Oregon went 1–4 and scored 10,7,14,41 (win), and 3. It’s so different that it’s hard to lend any weight to the stats. As one can see from the charts above, taken at face value the stats point to a Boise outright win — it looks like Boise should be favored based on expected points; it looks like Boise has a significant Yards Per Play advantage; Boise has a better stop rate and allows less points per drive on defense. But, factor in Herbert’s absence and those stats might be very different.
Two, Oregon has experienced one of the most high profile and strange coaching changes of the early off-season. Willie Taggart was a pretty special hire from USF and in his first year, as just outlined, Oregon went 7–5 and really, with a healthy star qb, they went 6–1. A star qb who is only a sophomore and who is due back next season. Oregon is a fairly respected Power 5 school, so one would think Taggart was set-up nicely to go on a bit of a run starting in 2018. Instead, he has moved on after one year, back to the state of Florida. Mario Cristobal, Oregon’s O-line coach and Offensive Co-ordinator has been named his replacement. It’s always tricky to tell how these kinds of things are going to play out but, you can say this for Cristobal, he has been pretty successful everywhere he’s been in college football. He was an assistant coach under Greg Schiano at Rutgers, where Rutgers achieved the kind of success Rutgers is not used to. Cristobal was then the head coach at FIU and turned that sputtering program into a Sun Belt champion and coached them to two bowl games — upsetting Toledo and losing a close one to Marshall a year later. He was unceremoniously fired after one bad year and then picked up by Nick Saban to help out at Alabama. Cristobal was head recruiter and o-line coach at Alabama and was once again lauded for his work there. He left Alabama to join Oregon this year, with Taggart, to be the o-line and assistant coach. This seems like a great fit, if a steep step up in class. Hopefully Cristobal’s tenure at Alabama will serve him well with this Power 5 school. All that is to say, it’s hard to judge whether the kids will be bitter Taggart left or excited to show Cristobal what they can do.
If Herbert stays healthy and plays like he did in the last two games of the year (blowouts over Arizona and Oregon St) and Cristobal proves he’s ready for this bowl game than this should be no contest. But, coaching changes just make it so hard to tell, especially one this weird. The advice here is wait to play in-game and hope Boise scores first. Get Oregon at a cheaper number after seeing if Herbert and the boys want to play for Cristobal.
No official play pre-game,
Good Luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/las-vegas-bowl-cddf705000bc | [] | 2017-12-14 15:03:44.799000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Las Vegas BowlContent Las Vegas Bowl third bowl opening day Las Vegas Bowl featuring Boise State v Oregon containing whole whack college football history PAC12 Pac 10 oldtimer Mountain West team long history playing interconference game bowl Pac 12 eaten matchup one exception exception Boise State Bronco’s long darling Group 5 conference creating huge upset coming ohsoclose creating true chaos old BCS system Boise previously played Las Vegas bowl three straight time 2010–2012 beat PAC 12 team time straight two team also specific personal history thanks pair college football’s better season kickoff game LeGarrett Blount author one college football infamous incident Boise game way adding chaosinducing mystique line bowl opened Oregon 5 total 595 widely available opener spread since moved Oregon 75 7’s popping back Wednesday total held steady 595 preview thus far fairly statheavy NavyArmy NTexasTroy WKUGeoSt one bowl stats thrown window driven 18 wheeler case anyone keeping track mentioned previous bowl preview probably every bowl preview ever written motivation circumstance every bit important statistic put season case it’s motivation injury recovery number don’t mean much two thing One Oregon sophomore quarterback really good missed large portion season Maybe Justin Herbert NFL good he’s really good collegiate level Herbert lineup Oregon went 6–1 scored 77 424935 loss 45 48 69 point Herbert sideline Oregon went 1–4 scored 1071441 win 3 It’s different it’s hard lend weight stats one see chart taken face value stats point Boise outright win — look like Boise favored based expected point look like Boise significant Yards Per Play advantage Boise better stop rate allows le point per drive defense factor Herbert’s absence stats might different Two Oregon experienced one high profile strange coaching change early offseason Willie Taggart pretty special hire USF first year outlined Oregon went 7–5 really healthy star qb went 6–1 star qb sophomore due back next season Oregon fairly respected Power 5 school one would think Taggart setup nicely go bit run starting 2018 Instead moved one year back state Florida Mario Cristobal Oregon’s Oline coach Offensive Coordinator named replacement It’s always tricky tell kind thing going play say Cristobal pretty successful everywhere he’s college football assistant coach Greg Schiano Rutgers Rutgers achieved kind success Rutgers used Cristobal head coach FIU turned sputtering program Sun Belt champion coached two bowl game — upsetting Toledo losing close one Marshall year later unceremoniously fired one bad year picked Nick Saban help Alabama Cristobal head recruiter oline coach Alabama lauded work left Alabama join Oregon year Taggart oline assistant coach seems like great fit steep step class Hopefully Cristobal’s tenure Alabama serve well Power 5 school say it’s hard judge whether kid bitter Taggart left excited show Cristobal Herbert stay healthy play like last two game year blowout Arizona Oregon St Cristobal prof he’s ready bowl game contest coaching change make hard tell especially one weird advice wait play ingame hope Boise score first Get Oregon cheaper number seeing Herbert boy want play Cristobal official play pregame Good LuckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,153 | Quick Lane Bowl | The second game on Boxing Day is the Quick Lane Bowl in Detroit pitting Duke and Northern Illinois. Flat out, worst bowl game so far.
But, that doesn’t mean there isn’t a chance to win some money! The line for this game opened at Duke -4 with a total of 47.5. The line has drifted up to Duke -6.5 while the total has stayed steady. Is this money all because of the MAC fade? Must be, because the stats don’t show that Duke should be this big of a favorite.
The expected points scored and expected points allowed definitely make this line look false.
It appears as if N. Illinois should actually be favored. And not by a little either, by 9.5 points. This is by far the biggest discrepancy during the bowl season. And if you’ve been reading previous bowl previews you’ll know that the next metric usually favors the underdog, so a spread difference this big doesn’t bode well for Duke.
Sure enough, the yards per play metric favors N.Illinois. And again this is the biggest differential yet during bowl season.
The dominance for N. Illinois continues even when breaking down other, more specific, metrics.
The only real advantage shown in this chart is in third down defense and it favors N. Illinois by quite a bit. And this is a real harbinger of defensive dominance in comparing these two teams.
Their offenses are certainly nothing to write home about. But, in comparing two really good defenses, its N.Illinois that might have the better one. They are better than Duke in every category; we could see some 3rd and longs for Duke today as well as Duke’s qb hitting the turf quite a bit.
While the coaching and bowl history angles are pretty similar for these two programs one thing to consider is that N. Illinois’ stats could be even better. They were 2–2 on the season when freshman Marcus Childers took over under centre. He is a very dynamic Group of 5 qb and N. Illinois went 6–2 in MAC play with him calling the shots. Duke on the other hand has an under the radar absence on their roster today. Kicker Austin Parker will not be dressed for this game. He was 81% kicking fg’s this year. No one else on the roster has attempted a field goal this year. Everyone reading this loves college kickers, right? How about kickers in a bowl game who have never even had an attempt? That should be fun to watch.
You just can’t take Northern Illinois. It has to be with authority. Duane would want to chant Fook Duke. So, D$, the play is Huskies all the way. Fook Duke.
N. Illinois +6.5,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/quick-lane-bowl-e44a8ab3dd34 | [] | 2017-12-26 19:49:55.470000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Quick Lane BowlContent second game Boxing Day Quick Lane Bowl Detroit pitting Duke Northern Illinois Flat worst bowl game far doesn’t mean isn’t chance win money line game opened Duke 4 total 475 line drifted Duke 65 total stayed steady money MAC fade Must stats don’t show Duke big favorite expected point scored expected point allowed definitely make line look false appears N Illinois actually favored little either 95 point far biggest discrepancy bowl season you’ve reading previous bowl preview you’ll know next metric usually favor underdog spread difference big doesn’t bode well Duke Sure enough yard per play metric favor NIllinois biggest differential yet bowl season dominance N Illinois continues even breaking specific metric real advantage shown chart third defense favor N Illinois quite bit real harbinger defensive dominance comparing two team offense certainly nothing write home comparing two really good defense NIllinois might better one better Duke every category could see 3rd longs Duke today well Duke’s qb hitting turf quite bit coaching bowl history angle pretty similar two program one thing consider N Illinois’ stats could even better 2–2 season freshman Marcus Childers took centre dynamic Group 5 qb N Illinois went 6–2 MAC play calling shot Duke hand radar absence roster today Kicker Austin Parker dressed game 81 kicking fg’s year one else roster attempted field goal year Everyone reading love college kicker right kicker bowl game never even attempt fun watch can’t take Northern Illinois authority Duane would want chant Fook Duke play Huskies way Fook Duke N Illinois 65 Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,154 | TaxSlayer Bowl | Saturday opens with two bowls at noon (here is the other). The first one to tackle is the TaxSlayer Bowl between Louisville and Mississippi State.
The line opened Louisville -4.5 and it has climbed to -7 as of Saturday morning.
A lot of the stats are going to point to MSST. A relatively dominant SEC team who is 20–4 in their last few seasons of non-conference games. The expected points scored and points allowed live up to that, showing some value on the Bulldogs.
The yards per play metric however shows some value on Louisville. That’s based on Louisville’s absurd offensive metrics. The question is how well will that offense hold up against an SEC defense? Louisville got smoked by LSU in last years bowl and they lost to Auburn to kick off the 2015 season (beating up on Kentucky every other year doesn’t really count, does it?)
The efficiency and defensive stats don’t do anything to dissuade the notion that MSST is a more dominant defensive team.
The teams are very similar in offensive stats but, MSST holds a solid advantage in every defensive metric. The stop rate is particularly concerning for Louisville, as is the points allowed per drive.
Louisville got hammered last year in their bowl game vs LSU and Lamar Jackson took serious heat for it. Chances are he, and the team as a whole, will be looking for some kind of redemption. Add to that the fact that MSST is missing their star player and the Bulldogs could be in trouble. MSST qb Nick Fitzgerald was injured at the start of the Egg Bowl and will not be playing today. Where that leaves MSST’s is up in the air. Will a decent SEC defense be able to slow down Lamar Jackson for the second year in a row?
The bet here is no.
Louisville -7,
Good Luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/taxslayer-bowl-4584b275b586 | [] | 2017-12-30 15:11:39.060000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title TaxSlayer BowlContent Saturday open two bowl noon first one tackle TaxSlayer Bowl Louisville Mississippi State line opened Louisville 45 climbed 7 Saturday morning lot stats going point MSST relatively dominant SEC team 20–4 last season nonconference game expected point scored point allowed live showing value Bulldogs yard per play metric however show value Louisville That’s based Louisville’s absurd offensive metric question well offense hold SEC defense Louisville got smoked LSU last year bowl lost Auburn kick 2015 season beating Kentucky every year doesn’t really count efficiency defensive stats don’t anything dissuade notion MSST dominant defensive team team similar offensive stats MSST hold solid advantage every defensive metric stop rate particularly concerning Louisville point allowed per drive Louisville got hammered last year bowl game v LSU Lamar Jackson took serious heat Chances team whole looking kind redemption Add fact MSST missing star player Bulldogs could trouble MSST qb Nick Fitzgerald injured start Egg Bowl playing today leaf MSST’s air decent SEC defense able slow Lamar Jackson second year row bet Louisville 7 Good LuckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,155 | Bahamas Bowl | Who wouldn’t want to go to the Bahamas? The first bowl on Friday takes place in Nassau, Bahamas at a wonderful time of day for football fans. What’s better than some lunch time football on a lazy day at work? Or a Breakfast Bowl if you’re a west coast whale?
This years Bahamas Bowl features the UAB Blazers and the Ohio Bobcats. The line opened Ohio -7.5 (most widely available) with a total of 57. The total has inched up to 57.5 but, the spread has crossed downward through the key number and now sits at Ohio -6.5.
This line appears right from a strictly numbers based approach. If capping this game starts by looking at expected points scored and expected points allowed, the spread opened at exactly the right spot.
An additional way to look at this is by yards per play.
This metric always leans to the dog and usually to bet that dog the differential here would have to be a little higher. As pointed out here in the Frisco Bowl preview, dogs with a 4.5 point advantage have won outright all 5 times this post season.
Where UAB does look a little better is in the deeper stats. They have a marginally better offense on 3rd downs and in the red zone.
The one stat that really shines a light on UAB is red zone defense. Referencing again back to the Frisco Bowl (and other previews along the way) a big advantage in red zone defense has led to outright wins. UAB has a 15% advantage.
To swing the pendulum back to the fighting Frank Solich’s let’s look at explosiveness and strength of schedule. Ohio can score quick, #41 in the country, and they have one of the most electric mobile qb’s in the Group of 5. And while Ohio didn’t play a tough schedule, #96 in the country, UAB played the worst, #130.
In this case, the stats can be painted any which way. Expected points and yards per play and strength of schedule all kind of point to Ohio. Red zone defense, red zone offense and 3rd down offense all kind of point toward to UAB. Motivation should help throw all these stats out the window. UAB didn’t have a football program two years ago. In their first year back they have set school records for wins and been invited to a pretty sweet Group of 5 bowl. These kids should be jacked. Additionally, Frank Solich, the Ohio head coach, does not have a stellar record in bowl games. He was 2–3 in bowls as head coach at Nebraska and he is 2–6 in bowls as a head coach at Ohio. For ballsy bettors out there this might be the moneyline dog bet the bowl season has been waiting for!
UAB +6.5,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/bahamas-bowl-3e900e69a361 | [] | 2017-12-22 15:33:36.246000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Bahamas BowlContent wouldn’t want go Bahamas first bowl Friday take place Nassau Bahamas wonderful time day football fan What’s better lunch time football lazy day work Breakfast Bowl you’re west coast whale year Bahamas Bowl feature UAB Blazers Ohio Bobcats line opened Ohio 75 widely available total 57 total inched 575 spread crossed downward key number sits Ohio 65 line appears right strictly number based approach capping game start looking expected point scored expected point allowed spread opened exactly right spot additional way look yard per play metric always lean dog usually bet dog differential would little higher pointed Frisco Bowl preview dog 45 point advantage outright 5 time post season UAB look little better deeper stats marginally better offense 3rd down red zone one stat really shine light UAB red zone defense Referencing back Frisco Bowl preview along way big advantage red zone defense led outright win UAB 15 advantage swing pendulum back fighting Frank Solich’s let’s look explosiveness strength schedule Ohio score quick 41 country one electric mobile qb’s Group 5 Ohio didn’t play tough schedule 96 country UAB played worst 130 case stats painted way Expected point yard per play strength schedule kind point Ohio Red zone defense red zone offense 3rd offense kind point toward UAB Motivation help throw stats window UAB didn’t football program two year ago first year back set school record win invited pretty sweet Group 5 bowl kid jacked Additionally Frank Solich Ohio head coach stellar record bowl game 2–3 bowl head coach Nebraska 2–6 bowl head coach Ohio ballsy bettor might moneyline dog bet bowl season waiting UAB 65 Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,156 | Roles In The EtherSport Platform | EtherSport protocol contains certain roles, their rights and responsibilities within the system. In the original protocol design, the following roles exist:
EtherSport (The official lotter)
EtherSport platform offers its own lottery, rules, results and winning funds distribution. Our responsibility is to provide a list of all events and their results from the certain sport leagues. Moreover, EtherSport provides a simplified internal exchange of the ESC to Ethereum.
Players
Can buy lottery tickets from lotters to participate in the “Lottery 11”, as well as play peer2peer on the proposed by other players’ terms and conditions.
Lotters
Can create and host “Lottery 11”. In fact, this is a player who has fulfilled some requirements and got the right to publish their version in the “Lottery 11”. Each lotter receives a percentage of the amount of bets collected from the line provided by him. Requirements to become a Lotter will be described in the rules published on the EtherSport system.
System developers
Interested in developing and improving the EtherSport infrastructure. After launching the core functions, the team of developers will continue improving the system, add new functions, and stay active participants of the EtherSport community. This will guarantee development of the product and growth in demand for tokens.
Token holders
The system’s users who will hold EtherSport tokens on their wallets. | https://medium.com/@ethersport/roles-in-the-ethersport-platform-5cdc6590209c | [] | 2017-12-17 16:47:36.060000+00:00 | ['Ethereum', 'ICO', 'Sports Betting', 'Lottery', 'Cryptocurrency'] | Title Roles EtherSport PlatformContent EtherSport protocol contains certain role right responsibility within system original protocol design following role exist EtherSport official lotter EtherSport platform offer lottery rule result winning fund distribution responsibility provide list event result certain sport league Moreover EtherSport provides simplified internal exchange ESC Ethereum Players buy lottery ticket lotters participate “Lottery 11” well play peer2peer proposed players’ term condition Lotters create host “Lottery 11” fact player fulfilled requirement got right publish version “Lottery 11” lotter receives percentage amount bet collected line provided Requirements become Lotter described rule published EtherSport system System developer Interested developing improving EtherSport infrastructure launching core function team developer continue improving system add new function stay active participant EtherSport community guarantee development product growth demand token Token holder system’s user hold EtherSport token walletsTags Ethereum ICO Sports Betting Lottery Cryptocurrency |
191,157 | NFL Week 15 Betting Preview | NFL Week 15 Betting Preview
*extremely Jim Nantz voice* Hello, friends. I am Blakey Locks and I will be your guide this Fall. Every weekend, I am going to lead you as we traverse through the trials and tribulations of betting your mortgage on a weekend of football. From the New England Patriots to the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, I will give you the knowledge necessary to conquer your bookie and feed your children. We will win together, lose together, and laugh together. Let’s ride.
This week I wrote up all my CFB bets on Twitter so there’s no need to do an article as well. If you want my CFB bets they are in the thread below:
This week I am going to write up my NFL bets instead, so without further ado, let’s get into the games.
NFL YTD Record: 73–56–4 (56.59%) +23.99u
Bills @ Broncos (+6) o/u 49
This is a major let down spot for the Bills. They have won back-to-back big primetime games and are on a short week for the second week in a row. They have to travel out to Denver and play in the elevation against a really tough defense in a game where they don’t have a ton of motivation and will be emotionally let down. Yes, they can lock up the division but the division is all but locked up and in terms of seeding they don’t have a ton to play for. I’m by no means a Drew Lock believer but he is playing pretty decent right now and so is the rest of his offense. In Lock’s last three starts, they beat Miami outright, covered against the Chiefs in KC, and beat the Panthers outright on the road. Jeudy, Patrick, and Hamler have been playing really well and the Broncos should be able to run the ball effectively. On the other hand, the Bills have been struggling to run the ball recently and that’s the Broncos' weakness on defense. They are great against the pass and should limit the hot Josh Allen.
Panthers +8.5 @ Packers o/u 51.5
Teddy as a road dog! We are back! Rodgers has historically been great as a home favorite but if you take away his last two games against inept offenses (Bears and Wentz-led Eagles), the Packers lost to the Vikings outright, almost lost to the Jags and did not cover the two home games before that so they are by no means invincible at home. Meanwhile, the Teddy trends remain strong:
Overall ATS: 33–13 (71.1%)
As a Dog: 23–6 (79.3%)
When an underdog over 3 points: 13–3 ATS (81.3%)
The Teddy trends have stayed true to form in Carolina. They are 0–3 ATS as a favorite this year but 6–3 ATS as an underdog. Despite CMC being out, Mike Davis should be able to run the ball effectively and the Panthers front-7 has some dudes who could make the big play needed to stay inside the number. I also like the motivation spot for Carolina despite being a team out of playoff contention.
They have a first-year head coach looking to prove himself and a first-year OC who is auditioning for NFL and CFB head coaching jobs. Plus, they have a ton of young guys looking to prove themselves for next year so they should keep playing hard and trying to win. Meanwhile, the Packers have to feel really good about securing the 1-seed so they could be a little slow.
49ers (-3) @ Cowboys o/u 45
I’m buying low on the Niners here and most definitely selling Andy Dalton high. Two weeks ago I told everyone and their mother that the 49ers would beat the Rams outright and they did just that. Then the next week everyone said “wow the 49ers are good let’s bet them this week” and I said “no, bet the Bills now” and the Bills dominated. Then the 49ers lost again last week to the WFT which honestly wasn’t a shocking upset to me and the Cowboys blew out the Bengals who I consider Jets-level at this point. The Cowboys don’t have enough on offense against this 49ers defense and the Cowboys are the dead last worst team in the NFL against the run which is exactly what San Fran wants to do. Mostert (if healthy) and Jeff Wilson should run all over them, control the game, and set up Mullens to succeed.
SEA/PIT/TEN ML Parlay (-108)
This is basically me just wanting to get the Seattle ML down to a good price. I’m selling high on Washington especially if Dwayne Haskins is playing QB. Alex Smith has made this WFT offense top-10 in the league the past few weeks doing what we saw him do in KC, which is being an elite game manager. Haskins has been one of the worst-rated QBs in the league by every metric when he has played and Antonio Gibson is looking like he’ll also miss the game Sunday. Even if Smith and Gibson play I love how the Seahawks defense is playing right now so I still like this spot. But without them, it should be a breeze. The WFT defense is really good but the Seahawks OL is playing well and Russell Wilson is still Russell Wilson. He should be able to get the ball to his playmakers and score enough points that WFT can’t keep up.
Derrick Henry is in beast mode right now and should run all over this Lions defense. Matt Stafford might not go and even if he does, he will be banged up and has played poorly this year when not 100% healthy. Lions are one of my dead teams as of this week. Meanwhile, the Steelers have lost two in a row so they should take advantage of this get-right spot against Cincy. I usually hate these large road favorite spots for Tomlin teams which is why I wouldn’t lay the points, but the Bengals are such an awful team, they have no life. The Steelers will win the game.
DISCLAIMER: I bet the Browns -4 earlier in the week but because of the Jones and Bradberry news the line has shifted to -6.5 and I would hold off betting it at that number. I also bet a Chargers/Bears teaser and if you missed that with the Chargers Thursday night then I would recommend a Browns -0.5/Bears +9 teaser to get in on those two teams.
Teasers
IND -1/NE +8.5- The Texans are dead. Deshaun Watson has publicly expressed his frustration and their offensive weapons have dwindled down to nothing. The Colts are playing really well on both sides of the ball and Jon Taylor just had a breakout game with the horrific Texans run defense on the horizon. Indy should control this game from the start.
Rookie QBs are 0–11 SU against Belichick in his last 11 times facing them. Belichick off a double-digit loss is 19–5 ATS. The Pats also have extra rest and if you see any New England ATS in Miami trends… throw those away. Brady famously hated playing in the humid Miami weather. It had nothing to do with the actual matchup. Cam Newton has spent most of his life in warm weather climates so it doesn’t bother him. The Patriots will be able to run the ball and their improving secondary with Belichick’s extra time could easily lead to an outright win. This is also a revenge spot after Miami beat the Pats in Week 17 last year to knock them out of a bye in the playoffs, so now the Pats could really hurt Miami’s playoff chances.
TB PK/ARI PK- The Bucs are playing pretty good football right now and they go to a Falcons team that is playing bad football. The Falcons have been pretty good defensively but without Julio Jones, this offense looks awful. Matt Ryan has played really poorly without Julio the last couple of weeks and has been significantly worse all season without him. That makes Ridley the top target for Ryan and he could have a tough week against Carlton Davis. Davis has been elite all season (except against Tyreek Hill) and even balled out last week against Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. Davis was only targeted four times and allowed five (5) total yards between the two receivers. The Bucs win this game.
The cap here is a sell-high on the Eagles, as well as the fact that the Eagles have no secondary right now. Everyone is high on Hurts after last week but I think that Eagles’ performance was similar to a post-HC getting fired game (a spot we’ve seen go 3–0 ATS this season) with Carson Wentz getting benched. The team was so happy to see him gone that everyone played better but as we’ve seen since with the Texans, Lions, and Falcons, those teams regress back to their norm.
I am still not a Hurts believer and now with tape, I think a really good DC like Vance Joseph will be able to game-plan for Hurts. As I said, the Eagles’ entire secondary is hurt and even if Darius Slay clears concussion protocol and plays, DeAndre Hopkins has been the outlier against elite shadow corners (and I don’t even consider Slay elite) so he should still dominate either way. Cards win a big one for them at home.
So to refresh, my card is:
CAR +8.5, SF -3, Browns -4, LAC +9/CHI +9, IND -1/NE +8.5, TB PK/ARI PK, and SEA/PIT/TEN ML parlay. And again, if you missed LAC and the Browns, make it a CLE/CHI teaser instead. If you have any other questions about any of the other games, or the games I did bet, you can always ask me on Twitter @BlakeyLocks! Let’s have a big weekend! | https://gothamsn.com/nfl-week-15-betting-preview-8451575ed32 | ['Blakey Locks'] | 2020-12-18 20:11:27.349000+00:00 | ['NFL', 'Gambling', 'Sports Betting', 'Sports'] | Title NFL Week 15 Betting PreviewContent NFL Week 15 Betting Preview extremely Jim Nantz voice Hello friend Blakey Locks guide Fall Every weekend going lead traverse trial tribulation betting mortgage weekend football New England Patriots Northern Arizona Lumberjacks give knowledge necessary conquer bookie feed child win together lose together laugh together Let’s ride week wrote CFB bet Twitter there’s need article well want CFB bet thread week going write NFL bet instead without ado let’s get game NFL YTD Record 73–56–4 5659 2399u Bills Broncos 6 ou 49 major let spot Bills backtoback big primetime game short week second week row travel Denver play elevation really tough defense game don’t ton motivation emotionally let Yes lock division division locked term seeding don’t ton play I’m mean Drew Lock believer playing pretty decent right rest offense Lock’s last three start beat Miami outright covered Chiefs KC beat Panthers outright road Jeudy Patrick Hamler playing really well Broncos able run ball effectively hand Bills struggling run ball recently that’s Broncos weakness defense great pas limit hot Josh Allen Panthers 85 Packers ou 515 Teddy road dog back Rodgers historically great home favorite take away last two game inept offense Bears Wentzled Eagles Packers lost Vikings outright almost lost Jags cover two home game mean invincible home Meanwhile Teddy trend remain strong Overall ATS 33–13 711 Dog 23–6 793 underdog 3 point 13–3 ATS 813 Teddy trend stayed true form Carolina 0–3 ATS favorite year 6–3 ATS underdog Despite CMC Mike Davis able run ball effectively Panthers front7 dude could make big play needed stay inside number also like motivation spot Carolina despite team playoff contention firstyear head coach looking prove firstyear OC auditioning NFL CFB head coaching job Plus ton young guy looking prove next year keep playing hard trying win Meanwhile Packers feel really good securing 1seed could little slow 49ers 3 Cowboys ou 45 I’m buying low Niners definitely selling Andy Dalton high Two week ago told everyone mother 49ers would beat Rams outright next week everyone said “wow 49ers good let’s bet week” said “no bet Bills now” Bills dominated 49ers lost last week WFT honestly wasn’t shocking upset Cowboys blew Bengals consider Jetslevel point Cowboys don’t enough offense 49ers defense Cowboys dead last worst team NFL run exactly San Fran want Mostert healthy Jeff Wilson run control game set Mullens succeed SEAPITTEN ML Parlay 108 basically wanting get Seattle ML good price I’m selling high Washington especially Dwayne Haskins playing QB Alex Smith made WFT offense top10 league past week saw KC elite game manager Haskins one worstrated QBs league every metric played Antonio Gibson looking like he’ll also miss game Sunday Even Smith Gibson play love Seahawks defense playing right still like spot without breeze WFT defense really good Seahawks OL playing well Russell Wilson still Russell Wilson able get ball playmaker score enough point WFT can’t keep Derrick Henry beast mode right run Lions defense Matt Stafford might go even banged played poorly year 100 healthy Lions one dead team week Meanwhile Steelers lost two row take advantage getright spot Cincy usually hate large road favorite spot Tomlin team wouldn’t lay point Bengals awful team life Steelers win game DISCLAIMER bet Browns 4 earlier week Jones Bradberry news line shifted 65 would hold betting number also bet ChargersBears teaser missed Chargers Thursday night would recommend Browns 05Bears 9 teaser get two team Teasers IND 1NE 85 Texans dead Deshaun Watson publicly expressed frustration offensive weapon dwindled nothing Colts playing really well side ball Jon Taylor breakout game horrific Texans run defense horizon Indy control game start Rookie QBs 0–11 SU Belichick last 11 time facing Belichick doubledigit loss 19–5 ATS Pats also extra rest see New England ATS Miami trends… throw away Brady famously hated playing humid Miami weather nothing actual matchup Cam Newton spent life warm weather climate doesn’t bother Patriots able run ball improving secondary Belichick’s extra time could easily lead outright win also revenge spot Miami beat Pats Week 17 last year knock bye playoff Pats could really hurt Miami’s playoff chance TB PKARI PK Bucs playing pretty good football right go Falcons team playing bad football Falcons pretty good defensively without Julio Jones offense look awful Matt Ryan played really poorly without Julio last couple week significantly worse season without make Ridley top target Ryan could tough week Carlton Davis Davis elite season except Tyreek Hill even balled last week Justin Jefferson Adam Thielen Davis targeted four time allowed five 5 total yard two receiver Bucs win game cap sellhigh Eagles well fact Eagles secondary right Everyone high Hurts last week think Eagles’ performance similar postHC getting fired game spot we’ve seen go 3–0 ATS season Carson Wentz getting benched team happy see gone everyone played better we’ve seen since Texans Lions Falcons team regress back norm still Hurts believer tape think really good DC like Vance Joseph able gameplan Hurts said Eagles’ entire secondary hurt even Darius Slay clear concussion protocol play DeAndre Hopkins outlier elite shadow corner don’t even consider Slay elite still dominate either way Cards win big one home refresh card CAR 85 SF 3 Browns 4 LAC 9CHI 9 IND 1NE 85 TB PKARI PK SEAPITTEN ML parlay missed LAC Browns make CLECHI teaser instead question game game bet always ask Twitter BlakeyLocks Let’s big weekendTags NFL Gambling Sports Betting Sports |
191,158 | New Years Eve 2020 | Yesterday the blind follow went 2–2. Breaking even isn’t terrible, but I made a small adjustment to my model to include pace into the projections so hopefully that gives me more accurate numbers, and therefore better picks.
I hope your 2021 is better than 2020. Be a better you, and who cares if you try those bullshit mottos, new year new you, leave that shit behind in 2020 and go into 2021 with a bang. Like I am trying to do tonight.
Now the picks.
Bulls +6.5
The Bulls looked terrible in the beginning of the year getting blown out by 20 and 19 points. But after a good effort against the Warriors, which they should’ve won, and then beating the Wizards, I think they are going back to back. Mainly cause the Wizards stink, even with Russel Westbrook putting up triple doubles every night. Zach LaVine will be able to score enough to keep this game close.
My mode has Wizards -2.5
Kings +5.5
Tyrese Haliburton looks like a steal right now. He is pulling up from the logo with the confidence of a 6 year vet. Plus the Rockets are missing 2 key role players, and it is the first game for John Wall, Demarcus Cousins, and Eric Gordon, so I expect a lot of rust coming from the Rockets supporting cast. De’Aaron Fox will take advantage of John Wall, and we will finally see how healed that left ankle is.
My model has Kings -5
OKC Thunder +5.5
Lug Dortz is a god damn machine. Last year in the bubble he almost single handled took out the Rockets because of his defence against James Harden, and improved in the offseason with developing a respectable 3 point shot. Lug Dortz is going to shut down Brandon Ingram, and therefore ruin the chances of the Pelicans doing anything here. Eric Bledsoe and Lonzo Ball aren’t really working together in the back court, yes it is early but I just don’t like that combination. Shai is showing why he is going to be a superstar in this league, and Zion needs to work on his defence because right now he is a massive liability.
My model has OKC -2.5
Good luck, happy new year and happy betting
James | https://medium.com/jamesbets/new-years-eve-2020-7115a40070e9 | ["James O'Dowda"] | 2020-12-31 17:22:15.274000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting', 'Betting', 'Betting Tips', 'Money'] | Title New Years Eve 2020Content Yesterday blind follow went 2–2 Breaking even isn’t terrible made small adjustment model include pace projection hopefully give accurate number therefore better pick hope 2021 better 2020 better care try bullshit motto new year new leave shit behind 2020 go 2021 bang Like trying tonight pick Bulls 65 Bulls looked terrible beginning year getting blown 20 19 point good effort Warriors should’ve beating Wizards think going back back Mainly cause Wizards stink even Russel Westbrook putting triple double every night Zach LaVine able score enough keep game close mode Wizards 25 Kings 55 Tyrese Haliburton look like steal right pulling logo confidence 6 year vet Plus Rockets missing 2 key role player first game John Wall Demarcus Cousins Eric Gordon expect lot rust coming Rockets supporting cast De’Aaron Fox take advantage John Wall finally see healed left ankle model Kings 5 OKC Thunder 55 Lug Dortz god damn machine Last year bubble almost single handled took Rockets defence James Harden improved offseason developing respectable 3 point shot Lug Dortz going shut Brandon Ingram therefore ruin chance Pelicans anything Eric Bledsoe Lonzo Ball aren’t really working together back court yes early don’t like combination Shai showing going superstar league Zion need work defence right massive liability model OKC 25 Good luck happy new year happy betting JamesTags Sports Sports Betting Betting Betting Tips Money |
191,159 | eSports betting — Nevada Signs Bill | eSports betting — Nevada Signs Bill
In Nevada, a new law will let pari-mutuel wagering on the World Series of Poker, esports competitions and other nontraditional sporting events.
The Nevada Gov. Brian Sandoval signed a bill, SB 240 into law on Saturday after being unanimously approved by the Nevada Senate and Assembly. The law will be in effect starting the day of July 1.
“By adding ‘other events’, we are able to capture events like esports and the World Series of Poker,” sponsoring Sen. Becky Harris of District 9 told ESPN. “This allows for Nevada operators to use a pari-mutuel system of wagering. This allows for operators to offer bets they might not otherwise make.”
The bill was projected to alter the 464th chapter of Nevada Statutes, covering pari-mutuel betting. Prior to its approval, traditional sportsbook-style betting had been allowed on other events. The law will currently open new lines for other competitions not classified under the traditional Nevada sporting events and dog racing law.
Legal Online Gambling in the US
In the US, the legal way to gamble online is only if you’re in New Jersey and accessing one of the ensuing sites Resorts Casino, Betfair Casino, Golden Nugget Online Casino, SugarHouse Casino, Borgata Casino, Tropicana Casino etc.. You need to be 21 years or above so as to signup to play online slots, blackjack, video poker, roulette, table games, and bingo for real money….Presently, CS:GO betting is technically permissible, though it is not true online gambling. In the year 2018, people in Pennsylvania will also be allowed to make use of permissible online gambling sites.
The two styles of betting is differentiated in the way that pari-mutuel wagering allows gamblers to wager against one another, rather than contrary to a bookmaker, consequently removing tax and the house take. The pari-mutuel matchmaker takes a percentage, using the remainder being divided amid the winning bettors.
The update comes after effective sportsbook-style betting in many other events. It was in 2011 when Sportsbooks first opened betting for the final hand of the World Series of Poker. The Nevada Gaming Control Board has also permitted sportsbook betting in 2016 for esports competitions Intel Extreme Masters Oakland and later DreamHack Masters Las Vegas in the year 2017. | https://medium.com/itemsseeker-gaming/esports-betting-nevada-signs-bill-92a59fceea77 | [] | 2017-12-19 20:35:18.338000+00:00 | ['Gambling', 'Nevada', 'Online Casino', 'Csgo', 'Sports Betting'] | Title eSports betting — Nevada Signs BillContent eSports betting — Nevada Signs Bill Nevada new law let parimutuel wagering World Series Poker esports competition nontraditional sporting event Nevada Gov Brian Sandoval signed bill SB 240 law Saturday unanimously approved Nevada Senate Assembly law effect starting day July 1 “By adding ‘other events’ able capture event like esports World Series Poker” sponsoring Sen Becky Harris District 9 told ESPN “This allows Nevada operator use parimutuel system wagering allows operator offer bet might otherwise make” bill projected alter 464th chapter Nevada Statutes covering parimutuel betting Prior approval traditional sportsbookstyle betting allowed event law currently open new line competition classified traditional Nevada sporting event dog racing law Legal Online Gambling US US legal way gamble online you’re New Jersey accessing one ensuing site Resorts Casino Betfair Casino Golden Nugget Online Casino SugarHouse Casino Borgata Casino Tropicana Casino etc need 21 year signup play online slot blackjack video poker roulette table game bingo real money…Presently CSGO betting technically permissible though true online gambling year 2018 people Pennsylvania also allowed make use permissible online gambling site two style betting differentiated way parimutuel wagering allows gambler wager one another rather contrary bookmaker consequently removing tax house take parimutuel matchmaker take percentage using remainder divided amid winning bettor update come effective sportsbookstyle betting many event 2011 Sportsbooks first opened betting final hand World Series Poker Nevada Gaming Control Board also permitted sportsbook betting 2016 esports competition Intel Extreme Masters Oakland later DreamHack Masters Las Vegas year 2017Tags Gambling Nevada Online Casino Csgo Sports Betting |
191,160 | Whitepaper draft | Whitepaper draft
COIN-BET
Whitepaper version 1.6 under review
Comprehensive betting site based on block chain
COIN-BET is the comprehensive betting site based on ERC20 Smart Contract.
COIN-BET is the outsourcing company that develops PC mobile game and webpages including SPORTS BET and CASINO.
We have made 20 sports-bet sites and 7 casino in the past 5 years.
It was exported to countries such as Korea, China, Japan, etc.
Now we need only UI / UX designers.
Please evaluate only the functions that have already been completed.
ABSTRACT
We were developing lottery-styled gambling system to match the Ethereum Block Number. Although the development of multiple ONESTOP Gambling is not difficult work and there is the easiest way to maximize ICO investor’s profit with users’ convenience, I have a question about why most ICOs that operate Gambling do not provide these services.
It is not understandable why they do not provide the service together while Sports BET and E-Sports BET are perfectly same system.
By just registering to COIN-BET, user will no longer need to register to any other sites.
We addressed various ways to maximize ICO investor’s profit with user’s enhanced convenience, and we are willing to launch the service for all kind of GAMBLES with initiation of SPORTS BET service which is most profitable platform we have developed and supplied.
Try our demo version.
You will experience something amazing.
The development of sports betting and e-sports are almost completed, and horse racing, stock market, and ghost lag are being applied.
A trustworthy game to match numbers is already available.
For example, to bet with predicting trustworthy data is available for the unpredictable matching game such as “What is the traffic accident number of New York on yesterday?”
We sincerely appreciate all the Bitcointalk members who provide valuable advices for our development, and many people who requested anonymity.
We promise that we will be the first and biggest one-stop GAMBLE platform in the world.
Future Gambling!!
Now, COIN-BET starts with you.
Please read this white-paper for details of COIN-BET.
THE OVERVIEW OF GAMBLING MARKET
I would like to ask one question at first.
Do you have GAMBLE experience? I will listen to your answer later.
According to one of the biggest statistic information provider statista.com, the gambling market size in billion dollars is shown below.
20.5 BILLION USD at 2009
37.9 BILLION USD at 2015
47.1 BILLION USD at 2017
59.7 BILLION USD at 2020
As high-speed internet is widely supplied, the number of company that provides online gamble is being dramatically increased. This also indicates the prediction of incremental number of users who use online gamble sites. If you do not use a smartphone or internet, I would appreciate it if you close the window of this white paper.
It is well known that a lot of people are interested in gambling. But, the size of gambling market is, in fact, unpredictable.
The actual data for how many people enjoy the gambling in the world is, as a matter of fact, not easily calculated, and it can be abstract data which has a certain leveled trustworthy.
All the casino operators will not provide all tax information, and the companies who have not yet obtained license will not, of course, provide tax information. In addition, an accurate data for how many people in a certain country enjoy gambling is more difficult to acquire because of the emergence of Cryptocurrencies, which is attracting our attentions and is ensured a certain level of anonymity.
Now, I have asked a question at the beginning of this page. Do you have GAMBLE experience? No?? Have you ever purchased a lottery ticket or played rock-paper-scissor game? Congratulations. You are the person who has strong possibility of becoming COIN-BET user.
In some countries, tax legislation is being developed for Cryptocurrencies.
However, most countries have not yet established related regulations. Since it is not subject to taxation, this is excellent condition for ICO investors. This benefit is also applied to users.
Suppose you win a jackpot at casino and get $1,000,000. You can get the full amount if you choose 10-year division, but will you receive it in 10-year division? Maybe not, and you will want to get lump sum. If you choose lump sum amount to get, more than 30% of your prize money was disappeared. Somethings are left. Tax… Tax… Tax… How much money indeed can you get? I leave it to your imagination.
In conclusion, it must be true that we are great lucky persons.
It is because that there is Cryptocurrencies for us. The online gambling market using Cryptocurrencies has unlimited growth potential. Most of the many problems that are brought in existing casinos can be solved. You can enjoy various fun games in everywhere if you have internet connection, of course, as well as perfect fair play. At COIN-BET.
There is one more point to go over.
“Anonymity”. Other companies say perfect anonymity; but, COIN-BET is not the same. If you are END-USER. Anonymity is a matter of course if you are not END-USER. Please keep in mind that this rule applies not only to our COIN-BET but also to any place using Cryptocurrencies. Our COIN-BET LOTC is also developed based on ERC20 SMARTCONTRACT. All transactions will be automatically recorded in BLOCKCHAIN and will be controlled by SMARTCONTRACT, which ensures complete transparency. This would not belong to any particular area, and it can be said an innovative service like a great unique culture, which anyone in the world can enjoy together….. and,
We are standing at the beginning.
You are reading this white-paper and you are already know.
Future Gamble
Now We Are COIN-BET
The OVERVIEW OF COIN-BET OPERATION
COIN_BET completed the test of some part of service with progress of the initial platform operation stage by stage, and ICO will be held before the final test and official service launch. After ICO, a beta test will be provided for anyone to participate before official service. The whole system operation of COIN-BET will be controlled by ERC20 SMARTCONTRACT, and it means that developer, server administration, etc. including anyone cannot be involved in the operations. All transactions will be recorded on BLOCKCHAIN, and anyone can read.
COIN-BET Revenue Sharing
It is simple.
All revenue of COIN-BET will be stored on BLOCKCHAIN.
The saved data can be read by anyone.
Up to 70% of the total revenue of COIN-BET will be distributed to LOTC holders on every quarter, depending on the amount of LOTC sold through ICO.
COIN-BET ICO
COIN-BET issues a total of 300,000,00 LOTC, and there is no additional issue.
The maximum open participating volume is 200,000,000 LOTC, and unsettled amount will be BURN.
HARDCAP is 100,000 ETH, and ICO will be closed when HARDCAP is reached during ICO held period.
The minimum purchase amount is 0.01 ETH, and there is no limit on the maximum purchase amount.
PRE-SALE will open for 7 days before ICO starts, and ICO will continue for 30 days after end of PRE-SALE.
ICO REVENUE USE OF COIN-BET
COIN-BET implements ICO to secure the funds needed to launch new service that did not exist in the conventional online gambling market.
The revenue from ICO will be used for platform upgrade and licensing fee for fair platform services which are complied with as many local regulations as possible.
COIN-BETTOKKEN ALLOTMENT
COIN-BET LOTC will be credited to all participated investors in ICO within 7 days after end of ICO.
COIN-BETSECURITY SYSTEM
The security of user information and possessed funds is a top priority for all websites, including COIN-BET.
Various options to enhance the security by users will be provided
Two-Factor Authentication (2FA)
Verification of email when attempt to login on new device. (mobile, PC, IP etc.)
Lock feature that can be withdrawn by users’ designated currency and currency address.
Additional security suggestions are welcome. (or We always accept additional security suggestions.)
.
CONCLUSION
COIN-BET expects to launch the official service on January 15, 2018 with SPORTS BET and E-SPORTS BET as the first service. These are the game services which have the highest user incremental rate continuously, among the gambling game industries which are expected to rise to more than USD 5.97 billion in 2020. And, we aim to serve all existing gambling, such as casino slot machine.
This is the fundamental principle of COIN-BET in order to provide a one-stop multi-platform service, and it drives ICO investors expect maximize revenue as well as enhancement of users’ convenience. It is COIN-BET that provides innovative and unique gambling services with no government interference, tax-free, and no barriers to cashing anywhere in the world.
Now, COIN-BET Begins.
Be With COIN-BET.
Future Gamble
We Are COIN-BET | https://medium.com/@coin_bet/whitepaper-draft-acd69aa18893 | [] | 2017-12-18 01:45:43.404000+00:00 | ['ICO', 'Cryptocurrency', 'Investors', 'Sports Betting', 'Esport'] | Title Whitepaper draftContent Whitepaper draft COINBET Whitepaper version 16 review Comprehensive betting site based block chain COINBET comprehensive betting site based ERC20 Smart Contract COINBET outsourcing company develops PC mobile game webpage including SPORTS BET CASINO made 20 sportsbet site 7 casino past 5 year exported country Korea China Japan etc need UI UX designer Please evaluate function already completed ABSTRACT developing lotterystyled gambling system match Ethereum Block Number Although development multiple ONESTOP Gambling difficult work easiest way maximize ICO investor’s profit users’ convenience question ICOs operate Gambling provide service understandable provide service together Sports BET ESports BET perfectly system registering COINBET user longer need register site addressed various way maximize ICO investor’s profit user’s enhanced convenience willing launch service kind GAMBLES initiation SPORTS BET service profitable platform developed supplied Try demo version experience something amazing development sport betting esports almost completed horse racing stock market ghost lag applied trustworthy game match number already available example bet predicting trustworthy data available unpredictable matching game “What traffic accident number New York yesterday” sincerely appreciate Bitcointalk member provide valuable advice development many people requested anonymity promise first biggest onestop GAMBLE platform world Future Gambling COINBET start Please read whitepaper detail COINBET OVERVIEW GAMBLING MARKET would like ask one question first GAMBLE experience listen answer later According one biggest statistic information provider statistacom gambling market size billion dollar shown 205 BILLION USD 2009 379 BILLION USD 2015 471 BILLION USD 2017 597 BILLION USD 2020 highspeed internet widely supplied number company provides online gamble dramatically increased also indicates prediction incremental number user use online gamble site use smartphone internet would appreciate close window white paper well known lot people interested gambling size gambling market fact unpredictable actual data many people enjoy gambling world matter fact easily calculated abstract data certain leveled trustworthy casino operator provide tax information company yet obtained license course provide tax information addition accurate data many people certain country enjoy gambling difficult acquire emergence Cryptocurrencies attracting attention ensured certain level anonymity asked question beginning page GAMBLE experience ever purchased lottery ticket played rockpaperscissor game Congratulations person strong possibility becoming COINBET user country tax legislation developed Cryptocurrencies However country yet established related regulation Since subject taxation excellent condition ICO investor benefit also applied user Suppose win jackpot casino get 1000000 get full amount choose 10year division receive 10year division Maybe want get lump sum choose lump sum amount get 30 prize money disappeared Somethings left Tax… Tax… Tax… much money indeed get leave imagination conclusion must true great lucky person Cryptocurrencies u online gambling market using Cryptocurrencies unlimited growth potential many problem brought existing casino solved enjoy various fun game everywhere internet connection course well perfect fair play COINBET one point go “Anonymity” company say perfect anonymity COINBET ENDUSER Anonymity matter course ENDUSER Please keep mind rule applies COINBET also place using Cryptocurrencies COINBET LOTC also developed based ERC20 SMARTCONTRACT transaction automatically recorded BLOCKCHAIN and controlled SMARTCONTRACT ensures complete transparency would belong particular area said innovative service like great unique culture anyone world enjoy together… standing beginning reading whitepaper already know Future Gamble COINBET OVERVIEW COINBET OPERATION COINBET completed test part service progress initial platform operation stage stage ICO held final test official service launch ICO beta test provided anyone participate official service whole system operation COINBET controlled ERC20 SMARTCONTRACT mean developer server administration etc including anyone cannot involved operation transaction recorded BLOCKCHAIN anyone read COINBET Revenue Sharing simple revenue COINBET stored BLOCKCHAIN saved data read anyone 70 total revenue COINBET distributed LOTC holder every quarter depending amount LOTC sold ICO COINBET ICO COINBET issue total 30000000 LOTC additional issue maximum open participating volume 200000000 LOTC unsettled amount BURN HARDCAP 100000 ETH ICO closed HARDCAP reached ICO held period minimum purchase amount 001 ETH limit maximum purchase amount PRESALE open 7 day ICO start ICO continue 30 day end PRESALE ICO REVENUE USE COINBET COINBET implement ICO secure fund needed launch new service exist conventional online gambling market revenue ICO used platform upgrade licensing fee fair platform service complied many local regulation possible COINBETTOKKEN ALLOTMENT COINBET LOTC credited participated investor ICO within 7 day end ICO COINBETSECURITY SYSTEM security user information possessed fund top priority website including COINBET Various option enhance security user provided TwoFactor Authentication 2FA Verification email attempt login new device mobile PC IP etc Lock feature withdrawn users’ designated currency currency address Additional security suggestion welcome always accept additional security suggestion CONCLUSION COINBET expects launch official service January 15 2018 SPORTS BET ESPORTS BET first service game service highest user incremental rate continuously among gambling game industry expected rise USD 597 billion 2020 aim serve existing gambling casino slot machine fundamental principle COINBET order provide onestop multiplatform service drive ICO investor expect maximize revenue well enhancement users’ convenience COINBET provides innovative unique gambling service government interference taxfree barrier cashing anywhere world COINBET Begins COINBET Future Gamble COINBETTags ICO Cryptocurrency Investors Sports Betting Esport |
191,161 | NBA Day 3 — Christmas Day. No games today (Christmas Eve), and… | No games today (Christmas Eve), and with a busy day tomorrow for myself I thought about writing this tonight to talk about a few things while I have the time. First, let’s set the record, I went 3/4 on the 23rd, 3/5 if you include the parlay, which brings my season total to 5/7. Not bad for someone who started taking this seriously only about a month ago.
Christmas Day Schedule
Now, for the betting lesson of the day, I am going to answer the question I get the most from my friends about betting. What in the world is the spread? For beginners that don’t know the terminology, that is the +/- number beside a teams name, and that number means, when you bet on a team how much you think they are going to win/lose by. For example, the opening game for the Raptors was against the Pelicans. The Raptors were 4.5 point favourites, which would look like Raptors -4.5 on most betting sites, and then the Pelicans would be 4.5 point underdogs, which would look like Pelicans +4.5 on most betting sites. Now for betting why does this matter? Well, it is because you are giving a team a handicap. If I bet the Raptors as favourites, that means I think the Raptors are going to win by at least 4.5 points, so imagine the Raptors are down 4.5 points to the Pelicans before the tipoff. So for me to win this bet I need the Raptors to win by at least 5 points, because there are no half points in basketball, and if they only win by 4 points, I lose because of those 4.5 points I gave the Pelicans before the tip. If I bet the Pelicans as underdogs, it is the opposite, I think the Pelicans are going to lose the game by less than 4.5 points, so the Pelicans start the game up 4.5–0. I win this bet if they lose by less than 4.5 or win the game outright. This is a quick and easy way to think about the spread, in the simplest way possible just imagine the team you are betting on starting with the points beside their name, +/-. Easy…. right?
Happy Holidays, enjoy my picks below
Clippers (+1)
I was lucky, I bet this game on the 23rd when the line had yet to move, it is now at Clippers -2.5, so I got a good number. I think the Clippers are going to walk all over the Nuggets, yes Jokic will give the interior of the Clippers defence some issues, but that was the case last year and they will want revenge on this team after blowing that 3–1 lead in the Conference Finals. MPJ is going to have a tough time scoring against arguably the best defender in the NBA, Kawhi Leonard, and Jamal Murray will be guarded by PG13 and Patrick Beverley all night, which doesn’t sound like a good time. Taking out 2 of the teams 3 best offensive threats, plus the line moving against them, and the Nuggets having to go into OT their first game of the season… ooof. Clippers have revenge game on their mind.
My model has the Clippers -5.7
Lakers (-6)
This is going to be the game to watch on Christmas. LeBron vs Luka. What more could you ask for this Christmas. However, without Kristaps Porzingis in the line up again, this will be too easy for the Lakers. AD will have his way on the interior of the Dallas defence, and with the additions of Dennis Schroder and Montrezl Harrell looking to settle in even more after an impressive first game in the purple and gold, Lakers take this easily. Also, my friend Vic in LA might have a heart attack if the Lakers start 0–2 so I gotta pick this game in hopes for his health.
My model has the Lakers -4.2
Bucks (-9.5)
Another game where I bet early and it paid off. The line opened at -7.5, I got it at -9.5 and it is currently at -10.5. The reason? Warriors stink without Klay Thompson. Steph Curry tried his hardest against the Nets, but with Wiggins shooting like the guy at the YMCA who was a “torn ACL away from the NBA” and Kelly Oubre blaming the double rim for his 2–14 performance in game one, I have no faith until proven other wise. James Wiseman was the one bright spot to this team but his minutes are limited since he missed all the preseason, and I doubt Steve Kerr is going to throw him to the wolves against Giannis and the new look Bucks. Speaking of Giannis, this is his revenge game for what happened at the end of the Celtics game. For those of you who missed it, he bricked a game tying FT and blew a chance to go to OT. He is pissed about that, and will take all of his anger out on the Warriors and the poor rim they choose to wheel out on the court tomorrow. I also didn’t mention how good Jrue looked on the Bucks and Middleton is one of the more consistent players in the NBA. Bucks by 100 if I could.
My model has the Bucks -16.6
Heat -5
The spread has moved against me in this game, and you can currently get it at Heat -3.5, which I love even more than what I got it at. I think there was a little bit of a finals hangover in the first game for the Heat against the Magic, and that rust will be worn off by now. Zion and Ingram will have a tough time scoring against Jimmy and Bam. The Pelicans will have to pick their poison with Tyler Herro and Gorgan Dragic, whichever one is being guarded by JJ Reddick will set the world on fire. Lonzo looks lost out on the court as well, since the addition of Eric Bledsoe has taken away his primary ball handling duties. The Heat burned me last time, I hope they don’t make it two for two.
My model has the Heat -7
Good luck, and happy betting.
James | https://medium.com/@james-odowda/nba-day-3-christmas-day-2aeac8f120cd | ["James O'Dowda"] | 2020-12-25 04:55:14.886000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting', 'Betting', 'Money', 'Win'] | Title NBA Day 3 — Christmas Day game today Christmas Eve and…Content game today Christmas Eve busy day tomorrow thought writing tonight talk thing time First let’s set record went 34 23rd 35 include parlay brings season total 57 bad someone started taking seriously month ago Christmas Day Schedule betting lesson day going answer question get friend betting world spread beginner don’t know terminology number beside team name number mean bet team much think going winlose example opening game Raptors Pelicans Raptors 45 point favourite would look like Raptors 45 betting site Pelicans would 45 point underdog would look like Pelicans 45 betting site betting matter Well giving team handicap bet Raptors favourite mean think Raptors going win least 45 point imagine Raptors 45 point Pelicans tipoff win bet need Raptors win least 5 point half point basketball win 4 point lose 45 point gave Pelicans tip bet Pelicans underdog opposite think Pelicans going lose game le 45 point Pelicans start game 45–0 win bet lose le 45 win game outright quick easy way think spread simplest way possible imagine team betting starting point beside name Easy… right Happy Holidays enjoy pick Clippers 1 lucky bet game 23rd line yet move Clippers 25 got good number think Clippers going walk Nuggets yes Jokic give interior Clippers defence issue case last year want revenge team blowing 3–1 lead Conference Finals MPJ going tough time scoring arguably best defender NBA Kawhi Leonard Jamal Murray guarded PG13 Patrick Beverley night doesn’t sound like good time Taking 2 team 3 best offensive threat plus line moving Nuggets go OT first game season… ooof Clippers revenge game mind model Clippers 57 Lakers 6 going game watch Christmas LeBron v Luka could ask Christmas However without Kristaps Porzingis line easy Lakers AD way interior Dallas defence addition Dennis Schroder Montrezl Harrell looking settle even impressive first game purple gold Lakers take easily Also friend Vic LA might heart attack Lakers start 0–2 gotta pick game hope health model Lakers 42 Bucks 95 Another game bet early paid line opened 75 got 95 currently 105 reason Warriors stink without Klay Thompson Steph Curry tried hardest Nets Wiggins shooting like guy YMCA “torn ACL away NBA” Kelly Oubre blaming double rim 2–14 performance game one faith proven wise James Wiseman one bright spot team minute limited since missed preseason doubt Steve Kerr going throw wolf Giannis new look Bucks Speaking Giannis revenge game happened end Celtics game missed bricked game tying FT blew chance go OT pissed take anger Warriors poor rim choose wheel court tomorrow also didn’t mention good Jrue looked Bucks Middleton one consistent player NBA Bucks 100 could model Bucks 166 Heat 5 spread moved game currently get Heat 35 love even got think little bit final hangover first game Heat Magic rust worn Zion Ingram tough time scoring Jimmy Bam Pelicans pick poison Tyler Herro Gorgan Dragic whichever one guarded JJ Reddick set world fire Lonzo look lost court well since addition Eric Bledsoe taken away primary ball handling duty Heat burned last time hope don’t make two two model Heat 7 Good luck happy betting JamesTags Sports Sports Betting Betting Money Win |
191,162 | Heart of Dallas Bowl | Christmas break is over, the Aloha Bowl ended up sucking, back to business. Boxing Day kicks off with the Heart of Dallas Bowl between the Utah Utes and the West Virginia Mountaineers.
The line for this game opened Utah -6.5 with a total of 57 and it essentially has not moved. The line briefly ticked up to Utah -7 but, is back down to -6.5 while the total sits at 56.5.
These teams are surprising close in a lot of statistical categories. Let’s start the comparison with the expected points.
This explains that West Virginia, typical of a Big 12 team, scored about 5 points more than could be expected against their schedule. While Utah allowed about 5 points less than could be expected against their schedule. According to this there is about 3 or 4 points of value on W. Va and maybe a little value on the over (although totals have been heart breaking this bowl season).
The expected points shows some value on West Virgina and the yards per play backs that up.
As mentioned in previous bowl previews team with more than 3.5 points of value in this metric perform extremely well in bowl season.
These two teams are remarkably similar in the rest of the stats usually presented here.
It looks like W. Virginia is going to be a little better at stopping Utah on 3rd down but, Utah is better at sacking the qb and is a little better at preventing explosive plays.
There is not a lot to choose from between these two teams on paper. But, the coaching match-up and some motivation could provide separation. While the Big 12 has kind of owned the PAC in bowl games recently, West Virginia is facing one of the best bowl coaches in history. Utah’s Kyle Whittingham is a whopping 10–1 in bowls as Utah’s head coach. He served under Urban Meyer on the Utah staff before being named head coach and every one should be well aware of Urban’s record with time to prepare. It would appear Whittingham learned well. The Utah players should also be fairly excited. Well it was an underwhelming year for the Utes, (they started out 4–0 and then had a brutal 3–6 record in conference play) they did have to win at home to finish the season and qualify for bowl season. Whittingham will have them ready for this game. On the other side of the field, West Virginia sports one the most under-whelming coaches in the Power 5. Other than last seasons surprising 10–3 finish, Dana Holgorsen has led the Mountaineers to a lot of 7–6 and 7–5 seasons in the Big 12, never really being a title threat. West Virginia comes into this game missing their starting qb (injury) and their starting rb (draft prep).
Have to side with Whittingham here; ignoring the yards per play advantage and taking the Utes.
Utah -6.5,
Good Luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/heart-of-dallas-bowl-536c0262936 | [] | 2017-12-26 15:37:18.425000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Heart Dallas BowlContent Christmas break Aloha Bowl ended sucking back business Boxing Day kick Heart Dallas Bowl Utah Utes West Virginia Mountaineers line game opened Utah 65 total 57 essentially moved line briefly ticked Utah 7 back 65 total sits 565 team surprising close lot statistical category Let’s start comparison expected point explains West Virginia typical Big 12 team scored 5 point could expected schedule Utah allowed 5 point le could expected schedule According 3 4 point value W Va maybe little value although total heart breaking bowl season expected point show value West Virgina yard per play back mentioned previous bowl preview team 35 point value metric perform extremely well bowl season two team remarkably similar rest stats usually presented look like W Virginia going little better stopping Utah 3rd Utah better sacking qb little better preventing explosive play lot choose two team paper coaching matchup motivation could provide separation Big 12 kind owned PAC bowl game recently West Virginia facing one best bowl coach history Utah’s Kyle Whittingham whopping 10–1 bowl Utah’s head coach served Urban Meyer Utah staff named head coach every one well aware Urban’s record time prepare would appear Whittingham learned well Utah player also fairly excited Well underwhelming year Utes started 4–0 brutal 3–6 record conference play win home finish season qualify bowl season Whittingham ready game side field West Virginia sport one underwhelming coach Power 5 last season surprising 10–3 finish Dana Holgorsen led Mountaineers lot 7–6 7–5 season Big 12 never really title threat West Virginia come game missing starting qb injury starting rb draft prep side Whittingham ignoring yard per play advantage taking Utes Utah 65 Good LuckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,163 | Arizona Bowl | The fourth bowl on Friday might be one of the worst match-ups of the post season. But, there is always a chance to make some money.
The game features the New Mexico St Aggies and the Utah St Aggies. A Battle of the Aggies!
The line opened NMST -3 but, has moved all the way to Utah St -5.5, the most extreme move the bowl season.
The expected points scored and expected points allowed point to a small advantage for Utah St.
The problem here for NMST lies in their inability to hold teams below what should be expected. They are allowing just about 6 points more per game than they should.
In yards per play though, we revert back to a situation similar to some of the earlier bowls. A huge advantage for the dog.
Digging into the efficiency stats shows New Mexico matches up pretty well and may back up that 8 point advantage in yards per play.
Utah St holds the advantage in both red zone categories while New Mexico St holds the advantage in both 3rd down metrics.
The defensive specific metrics are split and don’t show any decided advantage. This should be a tight game. And hopefully motivation swings it the way of New Mexico St. They haven’t played in a bowl game since, wait for it…. 1960. Its a four hour drive. The players and the fan base should be jacked. NMST should keep this close and hopefully eek one out.
NMST +5.5
Good Luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/arizona-bowl-a62adcdf86d1 | [] | 2017-12-29 22:42:36.078000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Arizona BowlContent fourth bowl Friday might one worst matchup post season always chance make money game feature New Mexico St Aggies Utah St Aggies Battle Aggies line opened NMST 3 moved way Utah St 55 extreme move bowl season expected point scored expected point allowed point small advantage Utah St problem NMST lie inability hold team expected allowing 6 point per game yard per play though revert back situation similar earlier bowl huge advantage dog Digging efficiency stats show New Mexico match pretty well may back 8 point advantage yard per play Utah St hold advantage red zone category New Mexico St hold advantage 3rd metric defensive specific metric split don’t show decided advantage tight game hopefully motivation swing way New Mexico St haven’t played bowl game since wait it… 1960 four hour drive player fan base jacked NMST keep close hopefully eek one NMST 55 Good LuckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,164 | Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos: Free NFL Spread Pick, 12–31–2017 | Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos: Free NFL Spread Pick, 12–31–2017
Free NFL Spread Pick by Vincent King
Kansas City Chiefs (9–6) vs Denver Broncos (5–10)
NFL: Sunday, December 31, 4:25 PM EST
Line: Broncos -4, 38
Last Meeting: 10/30/17 DEN 19 KC 29
Trends:
Chiefs are 9–1 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC West
Broncos are 3–7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
Broncos are 2–9 ATS in their last 11 games overall
Chiefs are 4–0 ATS in their last 4 meetings
The Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos will close out their regular season schedule on Sunday afternoon at Sports Authority Field. The Broncos will be glad the offseason is in their sights but the Chiefs have clinched their second straight AFC West title and will be moving on to the playoffs. Nevertheless, oddsmakers have the Broncos favored by -4 points at home. The Kansas City Chiefs listed seven players as questionable for Sunday’s game and also announced that Tyreek Hill will not play.
Rookie QB Patrick Mahomes will get the first start of his career as the Chiefs have decided to rest Alex Smith. Mahomes will want to rely heavily on fellow rookie RB Kareem Hunt. Hunt has 1292 yards with seven TDs to lead the KC rushers and has already broken the KC franchise record and is within striking distance of the league rushing title. It’s undetermined how long Andy Reid will leave Hunt in the game but we expect Hunt to get some touches early on. The Chiefs defense was outstanding again last week, holding the Dolphins to a 0 for 8 on third downs. They have been much better the last three weeks after a rough stretch defensively, and are now allowing an average of 21 points per game.
Paxton Lynch is expected to get the start at QB for the Broncos. Lynch has only appeared in one game this season and owns a 2:2 TD to INT ratio in four career games. The Broncos offense could not get into a rhythm all season due to their quarterback issues and are only averaging 17.7 points per game. The Broncos defense was not as effective as year’s past, however, they still feature the third-ranked rush defense. The question is how much do the Broncos have left in the tank? The Chiefs should have more motivation to play well even with their backups playing the majority of this game. Both teams will have inexperienced quarterbacks on the field but the motivation to end the regular season in the win column is still incentive enough for Kansas City to beat their rival. Take the points in this matchup with KC winning a close one.
Chiefs vs Broncos FREE Pick: Chiefs +4 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/kansas-city-chiefs-vs-denver-broncos-free-nfl-spread-pick-12-31-2017-c8f4ba633698 | ['Vc Sports Monitor'] | 2017-12-31 19:20:14.041000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'NFL', 'Denver Broncos', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Kansas City Chiefs v Denver Broncos Free NFL Spread Pick 12–31–2017Content Kansas City Chiefs v Denver Broncos Free NFL Spread Pick 12–31–2017 Free NFL Spread Pick Vincent King Kansas City Chiefs 9–6 v Denver Broncos 5–10 NFL Sunday December 31 425 PM EST Line Broncos 4 38 Last Meeting 103017 DEN 19 KC 29 Trends Chiefs 9–1 ATS last 10 v AFC West Broncos 3–7 ATS v team winning record Broncos 2–9 ATS last 11 game overall Chiefs 4–0 ATS last 4 meeting Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos close regular season schedule Sunday afternoon Sports Authority Field Broncos glad offseason sight Chiefs clinched second straight AFC West title moving playoff Nevertheless oddsmakers Broncos favored 4 point home Kansas City Chiefs listed seven player questionable Sunday’s game also announced Tyreek Hill play Rookie QB Patrick Mahomes get first start career Chiefs decided rest Alex Smith Mahomes want rely heavily fellow rookie RB Kareem Hunt Hunt 1292 yard seven TDs lead KC rusher already broken KC franchise record within striking distance league rushing title It’s undetermined long Andy Reid leave Hunt game expect Hunt get touch early Chiefs defense outstanding last week holding Dolphins 0 8 third down much better last three week rough stretch defensively allowing average 21 point per game Paxton Lynch expected get start QB Broncos Lynch appeared one game season owns 22 TD INT ratio four career game Broncos offense could get rhythm season due quarterback issue averaging 177 point per game Broncos defense effective year’s past however still feature thirdranked rush defense question much Broncos left tank Chiefs motivation play well even backup playing majority game team inexperienced quarterback field motivation end regular season win column still incentive enough Kansas City beat rival Take point matchup KC winning close one Chiefs v Broncos FREE Pick Chiefs 4Tags Sports NFL Denver Broncos Sports Betting |
191,165 | Potato Bowl Preview and Prediction: Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Wyoming Cowboys, 12–22–2017 | Free College Football Spread Pick by Precision Picks.com
Central Michigan Chippewas vs Wyoming Cowboys
FREE CFB Bowl Prediction
Line: Wyoming -3, 45.5
Game Time: Friday, December 22nd, 4:00 PM EST
The Central Michigan Chippewas and Wyoming Cowboys will square off on the famous blue turf in Boise for the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. Kick off is at 4:00 pm and oddsmakers have the Cowboys pegged as -3 point favorites. Central Michigan is making a fourth straight trip to a bowl game while Wyoming is in back-to-back bowl games for the first time since 1988.
Central Michigan comes into this one with an 8–4 record on the year. The Chippewas won their last five games against Ball State, Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Kent State and Northern Illinois. The Chippewas were 6–2 in MAC play, finishing a game behind Toledo in the West Division. The Chippewas average 29.7 points while their defense allows 26.8 PPG.
The Chippewas are led by QB Shane Morris who threw for 2908 yards with 26 TDs and 13 INTs this season, and Central Michigan’s top rusher is Jonathan Ward with 988 rushing yards.
Wyoming is fairly confident that QB Josh Allen will suit up on Fridayafter missing the last two games with a sprained AC joint. The Cowboys had a three-game win streak going but dropped their final pair against Fresno State and San Jose State. Josh Allen leads the Cowboys passing game with 1658 yards, 13 TDs, and six picks, and Trey Woods is the leading rusher on 133 carries, 474 yards, and two TDs.
Josh Allen is an NFL quarterback prospect and was regarded as one of the top quarterbacks in college football entering this season. The talent surrounding Allen is not great and his numbers suffered this season. The star of this team has been their defense. Wyoming currently stands 13th in scoring defense as they allow an average of 17.8 points per contest.
Even if Josh Allen plays, Wyoming figures to have a tough time matching the offensive output of the Chippewas. CMU has rattled off five straight wins and averaged 41 PPG over this time. Wyoming simply doesn’t have the athletes on offense to support Josh Allen. Take the Chippewas +3 as live dogs.
Central Michigan vs Wyoming: CMU +3 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/potato-bowl-preview-and-prediction-central-michigan-chippewas-vs-wyoming-cowboys-12-22-2017-2ffdf98ea7 | ['Precision Picks'] | 2017-12-21 12:49:25.792000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'College Football', 'NCAAF', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling'] | Title Potato Bowl Preview Prediction Central Michigan Chippewas v Wyoming Cowboys 12–22–2017Content Free College Football Spread Pick Precision Pickscom Central Michigan Chippewas v Wyoming Cowboys FREE CFB Bowl Prediction Line Wyoming 3 455 Game Time Friday December 22nd 400 PM EST Central Michigan Chippewas Wyoming Cowboys square famous blue turf Boise Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Kick 400 pm oddsmakers Cowboys pegged 3 point favorite Central Michigan making fourth straight trip bowl game Wyoming backtoback bowl game first time since 1988 Central Michigan come one 8–4 record year Chippewas last five game Ball State Western Michigan Eastern Michigan Kent State Northern Illinois Chippewas 6–2 MAC play finishing game behind Toledo West Division Chippewas average 297 point defense allows 268 PPG Chippewas led QB Shane Morris threw 2908 yard 26 TDs 13 INTs season Central Michigan’s top rusher Jonathan Ward 988 rushing yard Wyoming fairly confident QB Josh Allen suit Fridayafter missing last two game sprained AC joint Cowboys threegame win streak going dropped final pair Fresno State San Jose State Josh Allen lead Cowboys passing game 1658 yard 13 TDs six pick Trey Woods leading rusher 133 carry 474 yard two TDs Josh Allen NFL quarterback prospect regarded one top quarterback college football entering season talent surrounding Allen great number suffered season star team defense Wyoming currently stand 13th scoring defense allow average 178 point per contest Even Josh Allen play Wyoming figure tough time matching offensive output Chippewas CMU rattled five straight win averaged 41 PPG time Wyoming simply doesn’t athlete offense support Josh Allen Take Chippewas 3 live dog Central Michigan v Wyoming CMU 3Tags Sports College Football NCAAF Sports Betting Gambling |
191,166 | Gildan New Mexico Bowl | Gildan New Mexico Bowl
The fourth bowl of opening day is the New Mexico Bowl between Marshall and Colorado State (The previous bowl is previewed here).This should be a fun bowl to watch as its a fresh match-up -these two teams have never played and in fact Marshall has pretty much zero experience playing Mountain West teams — they played BYU in 1999 and BYU isn’t even in the Mountain West anymore.
The line for this game opened Colorado St -5.5 with a total of 58…. and it just sat there all week. This game had the least amount of line movement of any bowl game. And then this morning, bam, someone with some cash smacked Marshall and they are down to +3.5 across the board. Its true that 5.5 is a pretty dead number. And that’s true right down to 4.5. But, 4 means something. So, if Marshall was the play… the best number is gone.
Lets first see what this spread should be based on expected points scored and expected points allowed. The breakdown looks like this:
This chart explains that not only was Colorado St -5.5 probably a bad line, Colorado St -3.5 is still a bad line. It appears Marshall should be favoured by 3.5.
A second way to try and generate a theoretical spread is to look not at expected points scored and allowed but, at yards per play and yards per play allowed. That comparison is as follows:
Again, it looks like Marshall should be favoured or at least a pick’em. This was obviously created when the spread was 5.5 but, the same premise holds true. There is just 4 points of value in the spread now, not 6.
Some stats to look at that, while not really creating a spread, can help identify what a team’s chances of finishing drives are and what a teams chances of maintaining drives are, would be red zone efficiency and 3rd down efficiency. They look this:
It appears that Colorado St may have a slightly better chance to score once they reach the end zone and a slightly better chance to maintain drives and reach the red zone. However, Marshall has a much bigger advantage on the defensive side of the ball which should manifest itself in better success at stopping Colorado St from scoring once in the red zone and stopping Colorado St from continuing their drives.
This defensive advantage is made even more clear when the teams are compared using the following stats:
Marshall is going to sack the quarterback more (albeit not by much), they’re going to tackle Colorado St behind the line of scrimmage more, and they’re going to do a much better job holding Colorado St scoreless on drives (these last two stats, stop rate and points allowed per drive aren’t even that close). This points to Marshall winning the field position battle and probably wearing Colorado State down as the game progresses.
There is some concern when it comes to how explosive Colorado St’s offence can be.
They have one of the most explosive offence’s in college football. But, Marshall is fairly good at stopping explosive plays on defence. This should be the pivotal point of the match-up. Can Marshall’s stop rate hold up against this explosive offence?
One more thing to consider is strength of schedule. This should always be observed in bowl games. And while, relatively speaking, they both played terrible schedules, Colorado St did play a slightly tougher one -87 vs 102.
As far as the “spot” goes, Marshall should be a tad more motivated. They missed out an bowl last year and in the 13 bowls the university of Marshall has played none have been even close to this far west; in fact, they’ve only crossed the Mississippi once to play a bowl and it was in Fort Worth. So, the players should be pumped. Additionally, Marshall has no coaching turnover to worry about. There is stability there. Doc Holliday isn’t going anywhere. Furthermore, Doc Holliday has a fantastic record in bowls. He is 4–0 straight up, winning bowl games in 2011, 2013, 2014 and 2015. Conversely, Colorado St actually plays in New Mexico almost every other year. In fact, they played here this year. And Colorado St has played in a bowl for four straight years, this is not necessarily going to be an “experience” for them.
Is Marshall more motivated and can they shut down/slow down the Rams offence? The bet here is yes. Take Marshall. Definitely should have gotten this preview out Thursday or Friday but, life…. If the line move, and “chasing steam” is bothersome, wait for a live line. Hope CSU scores first, then grab Marshall at +6 or higher. Or, be bold, ride Doc Holliday and take Marshall outright.
Marshall +3.5,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/gildan-new-mexico-bowl-b0b95a159413 | [] | 2017-12-16 14:41:13.752000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Gildan New Mexico BowlContent Gildan New Mexico Bowl fourth bowl opening day New Mexico Bowl Marshall Colorado State previous bowl previewed hereThis fun bowl watch fresh matchup two team never played fact Marshall pretty much zero experience playing Mountain West team — played BYU 1999 BYU isn’t even Mountain West anymore line game opened Colorado St 55 total 58… sat week game least amount line movement bowl game morning bam someone cash smacked Marshall 35 across board true 55 pretty dead number that’s true right 45 4 mean something Marshall play… best number gone Lets first see spread based expected point scored expected point allowed breakdown look like chart explains Colorado St 55 probably bad line Colorado St 35 still bad line appears Marshall favoured 35 second way try generate theoretical spread look expected point scored allowed yard per play yard per play allowed comparison follows look like Marshall favoured least pick’em obviously created spread 55 premise hold true 4 point value spread 6 stats look really creating spread help identify team’s chance finishing drive team chance maintaining drive would red zone efficiency 3rd efficiency look appears Colorado St may slightly better chance score reach end zone slightly better chance maintain drive reach red zone However Marshall much bigger advantage defensive side ball manifest better success stopping Colorado St scoring red zone stopping Colorado St continuing drive defensive advantage made even clear team compared using following stats Marshall going sack quarterback albeit much they’re going tackle Colorado St behind line scrimmage they’re going much better job holding Colorado St scoreless drive last two stats stop rate point allowed per drive aren’t even close point Marshall winning field position battle probably wearing Colorado State game progress concern come explosive Colorado St’s offence one explosive offence’s college football Marshall fairly good stopping explosive play defence pivotal point matchup Marshall’s stop rate hold explosive offence One thing consider strength schedule always observed bowl game relatively speaking played terrible schedule Colorado St play slightly tougher one 87 v 102 far “spot” go Marshall tad motivated missed bowl last year 13 bowl university Marshall played none even close far west fact they’ve crossed Mississippi play bowl Fort Worth player pumped Additionally Marshall coaching turnover worry stability Doc Holliday isn’t going anywhere Furthermore Doc Holliday fantastic record bowl 4–0 straight winning bowl game 2011 2013 2014 2015 Conversely Colorado St actually play New Mexico almost every year fact played year Colorado St played bowl four straight year necessarily going “experience” Marshall motivated shut downslow Rams offence bet yes Take Marshall Definitely gotten preview Thursday Friday life… line move “chasing steam” bothersome wait live line Hope CSU score first grab Marshall 6 higher bold ride Doc Holliday take Marshall outright Marshall 35 Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,167 | College Football 2017 Bowl Picks Against The Spread | College Football 2017 Bowl Picks Against The Spread
Bowl season is here. Here are my picks against the spread, excluding playoff games. Here is a post on bowl betting trends for The All-American.
Bowl games, semi-random exhibitions a month-plus after the season, can be hard to predict. General advice: Fade consensus. Fade bigger name G5 teams where the performance adds up. Pay attention to which team wants to be there. Take the points.
My best bets have an *.
New Orleans: North Texas (-6.5) vs. Troy
Cure: Georgia State (-6.5) vs. Western Kentucky
Las Vegas: Oregon (-7.5) vs. Boise State
Oregon is a much, much better team with Justin Herbert healthy at quarterback. The 2018 Heisman buzz starts here.
New Mexico: Marshall (+5.5) vs. Colorado State
Camellia: Middle Tennessee (+3.5) vs. Arkansas State
Boca Raton: Florida Atlantic (-22.5) vs. Akron
This is not a de facto home game for FAU. It’s a true home game. FAU ranks 12th in S&P+. Akron ranks 110th.
Frisco: Louisiana Tech (+5) vs. SMU
SMU lost Chad Morris. Louisiana Tech had four one-score losses. Too many points.
Gaspirilla: Temple (-7) vs. Florida International
Bahamas: Ohio (-7.5) vs. UAB
Potato: Central Michigan (+1) vs. Wyoming
Birmingham: Texas Tech (+2.5) vs. South Florida
The best team USF beat was Temple, 86th in S&P+.
Armed Forces: Army (+7) vs. San Diego State
Dollar General: Toledo (-7.5) vs. Appalachian State
Hawaii: Houston (+2.5) vs. Fresno State
Fresno State has lost its last six bowl games outright and ATS. The last four weren’t even close.
Heart of Dallas: Utah (-7)* vs. West Virginia
Trust Kyle Whittingham in bowl games. He’s 10–1 straight up and 8–3 ATS at Utah. Holgo is 0–4 ATS since dropping 70 on Dabo after 2011.
Quick Lane: Northern Illinois (+5.5) vs. Duke
Nothing inspires a P5 team like spending Christmas in Detroit to play a MAC team. One of the nation’s top efficiency defenses against a Duke team head to 17 points or fewer five times in ACC play.
Cactus: UCLA (+2) vs. Kansas State
Snyder is the anti-Willingham when it comes to bowl play. The Wildcats are 3–7 overall in his last 10 bowl games, 2–8 ATS.
Independence: Southern Miss (+15.5) vs. Florida State
High efficiency Southern Miss defense vs. low efficiency Florida State offense. FSU in a crappy bowl after a disappointing season and having their coach fired. Statistically, it’s not clear why Southern Miss isn’t favored.
Pinstripe: Boston College (+2.5) vs. Iowa
Iowa in bowl games is the opposite of Iowa at home in late autumn. The Hawkeyes have lost their last five, going 1–4 ATS. Roll with the dudes.
Foster Farms: Purdue (+4)* vs. Arizona
Arizona lost by two touchdowns or more to every team not Oregon State in November. Purdue has a top 10 run efficiency defense. Rich Rodriguez is 3–7 ATS in 10 bowl games at West Virginia, Michigan, and Arizona.
Texas: Missouri (-3) vs. Texas
Missouri won six-straight to close the season, scoring 45-plus points in each game. Not sure Texas has the offense to stay in this one. Don’t trust the Longhorns to keep the lid on Mizzou’s explosive passing game.
Military: Navy (-1) vs. Virginia
The best unit is Navy’s offense.
Camping World: Virginia Tech (+4.5)* vs. Oklahoma State
VT has far and away the best defense Oklahoma State has faced in 2017.
Alamo: Stanford (+2.5) vs. TCU
Stanford tends to be quite solid ATS in bowl games.
Holiday: Washington State (-2.5) vs. Michigan State
Michigan State is great at stopping the run and limiting explosive plays. Washington State throws it all the time and relies on efficiency.
Belk: Wake Forest (-3) vs. Texas A&M
The Aggies’ last convincing performance against a P5 team came in September.
Sun: Arizona State (+6.5) vs. N.C. State
ASU beat three top 40 S&P+ teams. This feels like too many points.
Music City: Kentucky (+7) vs. Northwestern
Trust one of the nation’s least explosive offenses to build up or hang onto a multiple score lead? Nope.
Cotton: Ohio State (-7.5)* vs. USC
USC played one Top 25 SRS team, Notre Dame, and lost by 35. Ohio State is better than the Trojans at pretty much everything, except passing their way out of long downs (which they won’t be in because USC can’t stop their run game).
Arizona: New Mexico State (-4) vs. Utah State
Taxslayer: Mississippi State (+6.5) vs. Louisville
Mississippi State can give Louisville problems in the trenches and make them one-dimensional. Too many points.
Liberty: Memphis (-3.5) vs. Iowa State
Memphis’ passing game should overwhelm the Cyclones.
Fiesta: Washington (+2)* vs. Penn State
Penn State lost Joe Moorhead. Washington has Chris Petersen with time to prepare and is the nation’s best defense at stopping explosive plays.
Orange: Miami (+6.5) vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin is playing a consolation game. Miami is playing a home game and its first major bowl game since 2004.
Outback Bowl: Michigan (-7.5)* vs. South Carolina
Michigan has a point to prove and a healthy quarterback. South Carolina fired its offensive coordinator ahead of facing Michigan’s defense.
Peach Bowl: UCF (+9.5) vs. Auburn
Scott Frost is staying to send UCF off with an undefeated season. Auburn has nothing to play for.
Citrus: LSU (-3) vs. Notre Dame
LSU trended upward toward the season’s end. Notre Dame trended downward on both sides of the ball and got smoked by two comparable teams in Miami and Stanford. | https://medium.com/@tyduffy/college-football-2017-bowl-picks-against-the-spread-d7618a19e149 | ['Tyler Duffy'] | 2017-12-15 15:40:33.794000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'College Football', 'Gambling', 'Sports Betting'] | Title College Football 2017 Bowl Picks SpreadContent College Football 2017 Bowl Picks Spread Bowl season pick spread excluding playoff game post bowl betting trend AllAmerican Bowl game semirandom exhibition monthplus season hard predict General advice Fade consensus Fade bigger name G5 team performance add Pay attention team want Take point best bet New Orleans North Texas 65 v Troy Cure Georgia State 65 v Western Kentucky Las Vegas Oregon 75 v Boise State Oregon much much better team Justin Herbert healthy quarterback 2018 Heisman buzz start New Mexico Marshall 55 v Colorado State Camellia Middle Tennessee 35 v Arkansas State Boca Raton Florida Atlantic 225 v Akron de facto home game FAU It’s true home game FAU rank 12th SP Akron rank 110th Frisco Louisiana Tech 5 v SMU SMU lost Chad Morris Louisiana Tech four onescore loss many point Gaspirilla Temple 7 v Florida International Bahamas Ohio 75 v UAB Potato Central Michigan 1 v Wyoming Birmingham Texas Tech 25 v South Florida best team USF beat Temple 86th SP Armed Forces Army 7 v San Diego State Dollar General Toledo 75 v Appalachian State Hawaii Houston 25 v Fresno State Fresno State lost last six bowl game outright ATS last four weren’t even close Heart Dallas Utah 7 v West Virginia Trust Kyle Whittingham bowl game He’s 10–1 straight 8–3 ATS Utah Holgo 0–4 ATS since dropping 70 Dabo 2011 Quick Lane Northern Illinois 55 v Duke Nothing inspires P5 team like spending Christmas Detroit play MAC team One nation’s top efficiency defense Duke team head 17 point fewer five time ACC play Cactus UCLA 2 v Kansas State Snyder antiWillingham come bowl play Wildcats 3–7 overall last 10 bowl game 2–8 ATS Independence Southern Miss 155 v Florida State High efficiency Southern Miss defense v low efficiency Florida State offense FSU crappy bowl disappointing season coach fired Statistically it’s clear Southern Miss isn’t favored Pinstripe Boston College 25 v Iowa Iowa bowl game opposite Iowa home late autumn Hawkeyes lost last five going 1–4 ATS Roll dude Foster Farms Purdue 4 v Arizona Arizona lost two touchdown every team Oregon State November Purdue top 10 run efficiency defense Rich Rodriguez 3–7 ATS 10 bowl game West Virginia Michigan Arizona Texas Missouri 3 v Texas Missouri sixstraight close season scoring 45plus point game sure Texas offense stay one Don’t trust Longhorns keep lid Mizzou’s explosive passing game Military Navy 1 v Virginia best unit Navy’s offense Camping World Virginia Tech 45 v Oklahoma State VT far away best defense Oklahoma State faced 2017 Alamo Stanford 25 v TCU Stanford tends quite solid ATS bowl game Holiday Washington State 25 v Michigan State Michigan State great stopping run limiting explosive play Washington State throw time relies efficiency Belk Wake Forest 3 v Texas Aggies’ last convincing performance P5 team came September Sun Arizona State 65 v NC State ASU beat three top 40 SP team feel like many point Music City Kentucky 7 v Northwestern Trust one nation’s least explosive offense build hang onto multiple score lead Nope Cotton Ohio State 75 v USC USC played one Top 25 SRS team Notre Dame lost 35 Ohio State better Trojans pretty much everything except passing way long down won’t USC can’t stop run game Arizona New Mexico State 4 v Utah State Taxslayer Mississippi State 65 v Louisville Mississippi State give Louisville problem trench make onedimensional many point Liberty Memphis 35 v Iowa State Memphis’ passing game overwhelm Cyclones Fiesta Washington 2 v Penn State Penn State lost Joe Moorhead Washington Chris Petersen time prepare nation’s best defense stopping explosive play Orange Miami 65 v Wisconsin Wisconsin playing consolation game Miami playing home game first major bowl game since 2004 Outback Bowl Michigan 75 v South Carolina Michigan point prove healthy quarterback South Carolina fired offensive coordinator ahead facing Michigan’s defense Peach Bowl UCF 95 v Auburn Scott Frost staying send UCF undefeated season Auburn nothing play Citrus LSU 3 v Notre Dame LSU trended upward toward season’s end Notre Dame trended downward side ball got smoked two comparable team Miami StanfordTags Sports College Football Gambling Sports Betting |
191,168 | Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks Free NBA Spread Prediction, 12–12–2017 | Free NBA Pick by Samar Baht of Sports Picks Forum
Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks Free NBA Prediction
NBA: Tuesday, December 12th 7:00 PM EST
Odds: Knicks -3.5, 213
An inter-conference clash between the Los Angles Lakers and the New York Knicks take the court in our Tuesday night featured matchup. The New York Knicks (13–13) will be 3.5-point favorites at home in Madison Square Garden and the Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212 points. Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Knicks defeated the Atlanta Hawks 111–107, while the Lakers beat the Charlotte Hornets 110–99.
Los Angeles won the first two games of this four-game Eastern road swing by downing Philadelphia and Charlotte. The Lakers are 14th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 106 points per game and they are 4th in rebounding. The Lakers stand 24th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 108.7 points per night. Brandon Ingram averages a team-high 16.2 points per game while Jordan Clarkson chips in 15.2 points a night. Lonzo Ball adds 8.6 points, 6.8 rebounds and 7.1 assists per game.
The Knicks have played much better on their home court (12–5) which is one of the better home court records in the NBA. Kristaps Porzingis leads this Knicks team with 25.5 PPG and presents a mismatch playing the power forward position at 7'3". Enes Kanter has been a nice addition to this team, Kanter came from the Thunder in the Carmelo Trade. Kanter is leading the Knicks in rebounds with 10.3 per game. The Knicks are averaging 104 points per game and giving up 103.8 to their opponents.
The Lakers score the most points in the paint in the league this season, scoring 54.5 points in there per game. The Knicks, though, have been the second-best team at defending inside, allowing just 39.5 points per game. The Lakers also concede the most points in the paint in the NBA, and the Knicks will be hoping to capitalize on that given they are a top ten team in this category. The battle of the paint is always important in Lakers games, and the stats suggest they will be up against it in this one.
The Knicks are a much better team at home this season and they are 10–3 ATS in their last 13 home games, 6–1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference and they are 7–2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. I am backing the Knicks (-3.5) at home in this matchup vs the Lakers.
Lakers vs Knicks FREE Pick: Knicks -3.5 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/los-angeles-lakers-vs-new-york-knicks-free-nba-spread-prediction-12-12-2017-3d3990726a5c | ['Sports Picks Forum'] | 2017-12-12 13:18:31.385000+00:00 | ['NBA', 'Los Angeles Lakers', 'New York Knicks', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling'] | Title Los Angeles Lakers v New York Knicks Free NBA Spread Prediction 12–12–2017Content Free NBA Pick Samar Baht Sports Picks Forum Los Angeles Lakers v New York Knicks Free NBA Prediction NBA Tuesday December 12th 700 PM EST Odds Knicks 35 213 interconference clash Los Angles Lakers New York Knicks take court Tuesday night featured matchup New York Knicks 13–13 35point favorite home Madison Square Garden OverUnder OU opened 212 point team defeated last opponent Knicks defeated Atlanta Hawks 111–107 Lakers beat Charlotte Hornets 110–99 Los Angeles first two game fourgame Eastern road swing downing Philadelphia Charlotte Lakers 14th league scoring offense put 106 point per game 4th rebounding Lakers stand 24th league scoring defense allow 1087 point per night Brandon Ingram average teamhigh 162 point per game Jordan Clarkson chip 152 point night Lonzo Ball add 86 point 68 rebound 71 assist per game Knicks played much better home court 12–5 one better home court record NBA Kristaps Porzingis lead Knicks team 255 PPG present mismatch playing power forward position 73 Enes Kanter nice addition team Kanter came Thunder Carmelo Trade Kanter leading Knicks rebound 103 per game Knicks averaging 104 point per game giving 1038 opponent Lakers score point paint league season scoring 545 point per game Knicks though secondbest team defending inside allowing 395 point per game Lakers also concede point paint NBA Knicks hoping capitalize given top ten team category battle paint always important Lakers game stats suggest one Knicks much better team home season 10–3 ATS last 13 home game 6–1 ATS last 7 v Western Conference 7–2 ATS last 9 home game v team losing road record backing Knicks 35 home matchup v Lakers Lakers v Knicks FREE Pick Knicks 35Tags NBA Los Angeles Lakers New York Knicks Sports Betting Gambling |
191,169 | New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Free NFL O/U Pick, 12–17–2017 | Free NFL Pick by Vincent King of King Sports Picks
New England Patriots (10–3) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (11–2)
NFL: Sunday, December 17, 4:25 PM EST
Line: Steelers +2.5, O/U 54.5
Last Meeting: 1/22/17 PIT 17 NE 36
Trends:
Patriots are 4–1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh
Over is 5–2 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh
Steelers are 12–5 ATS in their last 17 games in December
Two of the top teams in the AFC collide on the gridiron Sunday afternoon when the New England Patriots travel to the steel city to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh holds the top spot in the AFC but New England would move ahead of Pittsburgh with a win. These teams last met in the AFC Championship last season with the Patriots winning 36–17.
New England may have been looking ahead to this matchup last weekend when they lost in Miami on Monday Night Football. The Patriots look to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time this season and regain the #1 seed in the AFC. The Patriots have won six of their last seven road games. The Patriots perennially have one of the top offenses in the league and this season is no different. However, it may be their defense that has stepped up their game this season. After conceding 32 PPG through Week 1 -4, they have come together as a unit and are allowing 19.2 points and 374.6 yards per game. New England’s defense will need to play their best game of the season facing Big Ben and the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Pittsburgh has rattled off eight straight wins and their last loss came on October 8th vs Jacksonville. This will be a playoff type atmosphere considering what is at stake. The Steelers surged into sole possession of first place in the AFC thanks to their 39–38 Sunday night win over Baltimore combined with New England’s unexpected loss to Miami. They can clinch home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win this weekend.
Pittsburgh has not fared well vs the Tom Brady and the Patriots. Pittsburgh is 4–12 ATS in the last 16 meetings and 1–4 ATS in their last five at home against New England. This may be their best chance to turn the tide in their favor. However, my focus has been on this Total. Both offenses have multiple weapons and while the defenses have played well, the play here is Over 54.5 The Over is 5–2 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburg and 9–4 in the last 13 meetings. The Over is 7–1 in Patriots last 8 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. I expect both offenses to battle Sunday afternoon and exceed the Total of 54.5.
Patriots vs Steelers FREE Pick: Over 54.5 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/new-england-patriots-vs-pittsburgh-steelers-free-nfl-o-u-pick-12-17-2017-42bcd879e73d | ['Vc Sports Monitor'] | 2017-12-17 12:45:51.739000+00:00 | ['NFL', 'New England Patriots', 'Pittsburgh Steelers', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling'] | Title New England Patriots v Pittsburgh Steelers Free NFL OU Pick 12–17–2017Content Free NFL Pick Vincent King King Sports Picks New England Patriots 10–3 v Pittsburgh Steelers 11–2 NFL Sunday December 17 425 PM EST Line Steelers 25 OU 545 Last Meeting 12217 PIT 17 NE 36 Trends Patriots 4–1 ATS last 5 meeting Pittsburgh 5–2 last 7 meeting Pittsburgh Steelers 12–5 ATS last 17 game December Two top team AFC collide gridiron Sunday afternoon New England Patriots travel steel city take Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh hold top spot AFC New England would move ahead Pittsburgh win team last met AFC Championship last season Patriots winning 36–17 New England may looking ahead matchup last weekend lost Miami Monday Night Football Patriots look avoid backtoback loss first time season regain 1 seed AFC Patriots six last seven road game Patriots perennially one top offense league season different However may defense stepped game season conceding 32 PPG Week 1 4 come together unit allowing 192 point 3746 yard per game New England’s defense need play best game season facing Big Ben Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh rattled eight straight win last loss came October 8th v Jacksonville playoff type atmosphere considering stake Steelers surged sole possession first place AFC thanks 39–38 Sunday night win Baltimore combined New England’s unexpected loss Miami clinch homefield advantage throughout playoff win weekend Pittsburgh fared well v Tom Brady Patriots Pittsburgh 4–12 ATS last 16 meeting 1–4 ATS last five home New England may best chance turn tide favor However focus Total offense multiple weapon defense played well play 545 5–2 last 7 meeting Pittsburg 9–4 last 13 meeting 7–1 Patriots last 8 game playing Sunday following Monday night game expect offense battle Sunday afternoon exceed Total 545 Patriots v Steelers FREE Pick 545Tags NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers Sports Betting Gambling |
191,170 | New Mexico Bowl Prediction: Marshall vs Colorado State, 12–16–2017 | New Mexico Bowl Prediction: Marshall vs Colorado State, 12–16–2017
Free College Football Bowl Prediction by Precision Picks
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Colorado St. Rams
Line: Colorado State -5.5, O/U 58
Game Time: Saturday, December 16th, 4:30 PM EST
The Colorado State Rams will collide with the Marshall Thundering Herd in the New Mexico Bowl on Saturday, December 16th from Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, NM. Both teams enter the New Mexico Bowl with (7–5) records and had promising starts to the season, only to fade off down the stretch. Oddsmakers have pegged the Rams as -5.5 point favorites with the Over/Under at 58.
Marshall had a great start to their season, starting the year off with a 6–1 record, however, struggled down the stretch losing 4 of their last 5 games. The Thundering Herd averaged 26.8 points per contest, including 237.8 passing and 132 rushing yards per game to add up to a grand total of 369.8 total yards. Quarterback Chase Litton led the Marshall offense, completing 60 percent of his passes for 23 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. The heart and soul of this team is their defense. Their rush defense is tremendous, and their pass defense was also very effective this season: 212 passing yards per game, 125 rushing yards per game and 19.2 PPG.
The Colorado State Rams will be playing in their fifth straight bowl game and will be aiming for their first bowl win since the 2013 season. Colorado State was mentioned as a Mountain West title contender in the preseason and appeared to be on track to play for the division title in November after the 6–2 start. But the Rams stumbled in late October with a loss to Air Force (45–28), followed by defeats to Wyoming (16–13) and Boise State (59–52 in overtime). CSU features a potent offensive attack led by QB Nick Stevens (27 TD/10 INT), WR Michael Gallup (1345 receiving yards, 7 TDs) and RB Dalyn Dawkins who has accumulated 1349 rushing yards on the season.
The biggest hole in this team’s armor has been their defense. On average, they allow 27.5 PPG, 184 rushing yards per game and 243 passing yards per game.
The Thundering Herd are 5–0 ATS in their last 5 bowl games while the Rams are 2–5 ATS in their last 7 bowl games. The biggest concern for Colorado State entering this game is the motivation factor. This is not the bowl game Colorado State envisioned entering the 2017 season. However, all three top offensive players in this Rams offense are seniors and will be playing their last game for CSU. This should provide enough motivation to end on a high note and lead their team to a victory. One concern for Marshall is the level of competition they played this season. When Marshall played NC State and WKU — arguably the top two passing offenses it faced this season — the defense gave up over 300 passing yards.
This Rams offense should be too much for Marshall and the Rams should cover by a touchdown.
Marshall vs Colorado St: Colorado State -5.5 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/new-mexico-bowl-prediction-marshall-vs-colorado-state-12-16-2017-ae66014d1cc9 | ['Precision Picks'] | 2017-12-14 12:07:46.585000+00:00 | ['College Football', 'NCAAF', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling'] | Title New Mexico Bowl Prediction Marshall v Colorado State 12–16–2017Content New Mexico Bowl Prediction Marshall v Colorado State 12–16–2017 Free College Football Bowl Prediction Precision Picks Marshall Thundering Herd v Colorado St Rams Line Colorado State 55 OU 58 Game Time Saturday December 16th 430 PM EST Colorado State Rams collide Marshall Thundering Herd New Mexico Bowl Saturday December 16th Dreamstyle Stadium Albuquerque NM team enter New Mexico Bowl 7–5 record promising start season fade stretch Oddsmakers pegged Rams 55 point favorite OverUnder 58 Marshall great start season starting year 6–1 record however struggled stretch losing 4 last 5 game Thundering Herd averaged 268 point per contest including 2378 passing 132 rushing yard per game add grand total 3698 total yard Quarterback Chase Litton led Marshall offense completing 60 percent pass 23 touchdown 12 interception heart soul team defense rush defense tremendous pas defense also effective season 212 passing yard per game 125 rushing yard per game 192 PPG Colorado State Rams playing fifth straight bowl game aiming first bowl win since 2013 season Colorado State mentioned Mountain West title contender preseason appeared track play division title November 6–2 start Rams stumbled late October loss Air Force 45–28 followed defeat Wyoming 16–13 Boise State 59–52 overtime CSU feature potent offensive attack led QB Nick Stevens 27 TD10 INT WR Michael Gallup 1345 receiving yard 7 TDs RB Dalyn Dawkins accumulated 1349 rushing yard season biggest hole team’s armor defense average allow 275 PPG 184 rushing yard per game 243 passing yard per game Thundering Herd 5–0 ATS last 5 bowl game Rams 2–5 ATS last 7 bowl game biggest concern Colorado State entering game motivation factor bowl game Colorado State envisioned entering 2017 season However three top offensive player Rams offense senior playing last game CSU provide enough motivation end high note lead team victory One concern Marshall level competition played season Marshall played NC State WKU — arguably top two passing offense faced season — defense gave 300 passing yard Rams offense much Marshall Rams cover touchdown Marshall v Colorado St Colorado State 55Tags College Football NCAAF Sports Betting Gambling |
191,171 | Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Free NFL Pick, 12–10–2017 | Free NFL Total Prediction by Kris Saint of King Sports Picks
Baltimore Ravens (7–5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (10–2)
NFL: Sunday, December 10, 8:25 PM EST
Line: Steelers -4.5, O/U 43.5
Last Meeting: 10/1/17 PIT 26 BAL 9
Trends:
Ravens are 0–3–1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win
Steelers are 5–1–1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss
Under is 4–1–1 in the last 6 meetings
A pair of NFC North rivals takes the field for Sunday Night Football when the Baltimore Ravens travel to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh holds a three-game lead over Baltimore with four to play, so a division title for the Ravens is unlikely. However, Baltimore leads the AFC Wildcard by 1 game over a host of teams so a win is imperative to keep their playoff hopes alive.
The Ravens defense struggled to stop the run earlier in the season, but over their last five games, they have not allowed more than 78 yards on the ground. Baltimore will need a complete defensive effort to stop one of the best backs in football. Le’Veon Bell is averaging 147 yards from scrimmage and leads the NFL in that category with 1,559 yards on the season. Another key to this matchup will be Baltimore’s ability to force turnovers. Ben Roethlisberger loves to air it out but he has been prone to throwing interceptions and has 13 on the year. The Ravens lead the NFL with 20 interceptions and 29 takeaways.
Pittsburgh will need to exploit the secondary that will be without CB Jimmy Smith. Who else will be able to do that better than Antonio Brown? Brown leads the NFL with 88 catches for 1,296 yards and nine touchdowns. Will the Ravens secondary be able to stop the best receiver in football? No one has yet.
This will be a hard-hitting, AFC North style football game. Sunday night’s total is set at 43.5 points. The UNDER is 4–1 in the last five games between these two teams and I expect this trend to consider.
Ravens vs Steelers FREE Pick: Under 43.5 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/baltimore-ravens-vs-pittsburgh-steelers-free-nfl-pick-12-10-2017-44064b41bc30 | ['Vc Sports Monitor'] | 2017-12-10 11:51:42.594000+00:00 | ['NFL', 'Baltimore Ravens', 'Pittsburgh Steelers', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling'] | Title Baltimore Ravens v Pittsburgh Steelers Free NFL Pick 12–10–2017Content Free NFL Total Prediction Kris Saint King Sports Picks Baltimore Ravens 7–5 v Pittsburgh Steelers 10–2 NFL Sunday December 10 825 PM EST Line Steelers 45 OU 435 Last Meeting 10117 PIT 26 BAL 9 Trends Ravens 0–3–1 ATS last 4 game following ATS win Steelers 5–1–1 ATS last 7 game following ATS loss 4–1–1 last 6 meeting pair NFC North rival take field Sunday Night Football Baltimore Ravens travel take Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh hold threegame lead Baltimore four play division title Ravens unlikely However Baltimore lead AFC Wildcard 1 game host team win imperative keep playoff hope alive Ravens defense struggled stop run earlier season last five game allowed 78 yard ground Baltimore need complete defensive effort stop one best back football Le’Veon Bell averaging 147 yard scrimmage lead NFL category 1559 yard season Another key matchup Baltimore’s ability force turnover Ben Roethlisberger love air prone throwing interception 13 year Ravens lead NFL 20 interception 29 takeaway Pittsburgh need exploit secondary without CB Jimmy Smith else able better Antonio Brown Brown lead NFL 88 catch 1296 yard nine touchdown Ravens secondary able stop best receiver football one yet hardhitting AFC North style football game Sunday night’s total set 435 point 4–1 last five game two team expect trend consider Ravens v Steelers FREE Pick 435Tags NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Sports Betting Gambling |
191,172 | Military Bowl | Military Bowl
The first game of the day on Thursday is the Military Bowl in Annapolis. Its pits returning participant Navy against the Virginia Cavaliers.
The line for this opened Navy -3.5 with a total of 56. Both those numbers have come down dramatically. The spread now sits at Navy -1 with a total of 51.5.
The expected points scored and expected points allowed point to some big value on the Midshipmen.
It looks like Navy’s great ability to hold opponents below their expected score by almost 5 points is helping produce an expected spread of -6.5.
The yards per play backs that value up on Navy. This metric shows that the spread is spot on.
Digging a little deeper into some efficiency stats shows some potential dominance for the Cavaliers.
Navy is definitely going to convert more 3rd downs and is looks like they have marginally more success in the red zone than Virginia. But, Virginia has some serious advantages on the defensive side of the ball. Their 3rd down defense will hopefully offset the 3rd down offense of Navy (same sized advantage). The red zone defense is where Virginia could shine. A 19 point advantage in shutting teams down in the red zone is substantial.
Looking into defensive specific stats only increases Virginia’s advantage on that side of the ball.
Virginia has significant advantages across the board. Putting Navy in bad field position and making them drive the whole field without throwing the all should pay off in the second half.
Virginia should also be super motivated to be here. While Navy plays a bowl game almost every year, to middling results (4–5 under Niumatalolo), and was actually in this home bowl 2 years ago, Virginia hasn’t been a bowl game since 2011. Not only that but, new coach Bronco Mendenhall has authored a decent start to the programs turn-around. Virginia went 2–10 and has a chance this year to win 7 games for the first time since that 2011 bowl season.
All of this is on top of that fact that Navy is coming off a crushing loss to Army for the Commander in-Chief trophy a few weeks ago.
Virginia ml +105,
Good Luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/military-bowl-83cbe7bfdb47 | [] | 2017-12-28 16:02:07.455000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Military BowlContent Military Bowl first game day Thursday Military Bowl Annapolis pit returning participant Navy Virginia Cavaliers line opened Navy 35 total 56 number come dramatically spread sits Navy 1 total 515 expected point scored expected point allowed point big value Midshipmen look like Navy’s great ability hold opponent expected score almost 5 point helping produce expected spread 65 yard per play back value Navy metric show spread spot Digging little deeper efficiency stats show potential dominance Cavaliers Navy definitely going convert 3rd down look like marginally success red zone Virginia Virginia serious advantage defensive side ball 3rd defense hopefully offset 3rd offense Navy sized advantage red zone defense Virginia could shine 19 point advantage shutting team red zone substantial Looking defensive specific stats increase Virginia’s advantage side ball Virginia significant advantage across board Putting Navy bad field position making drive whole field without throwing pay second half Virginia also super motivated Navy play bowl game almost every year middling result 4–5 Niumatalolo actually home bowl 2 year ago Virginia hasn’t bowl game since 2011 new coach Bronco Mendenhall authored decent start program turnaround Virginia went 2–10 chance year win 7 game first time since 2011 bowl season top fact Navy coming crushing loss Army Commander inChief trophy week ago Virginia ml 105 Good LuckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,173 | Sacramento Kings vs Philadelphia 76ers Free NBA Spread Pick, 12–19–2017 | Sacramento Kings vs Philadelphia 76ers Free NBA Spread Pick, 12–19–2017
Free NBA Pick by Simon Says of Sports Picks Forum
Sacramento Kings vs Philadelphia 76ers Free NBA Prediction
NCAAF: Tuesday, December 19th 7:00 PM EST
Odds: Sixers -8.5, 207
An East Coast vs West Coast matchup between the Sacramento Kings vs Philadelphia 76ers. Sacramento fell 108–93 on the road in Toronto Sunday afternoon to drop their second straight. Philadelphia was in action on Monday night, losing to Bulls 115–117.
Sacramento is in the middle of a four-game road trip and they have lost five of their last eight games. On average, the Kings score 96 PPG but it’s their defense that needs work, allowing 105 PPG. Zach Randolph is expected to return for this game after being given Sunday off, while rookie point guard De’Aaron Fox is questionable after sitting out the contest with a thigh bruise suffered early in Thursday’s loss at Minnesota.
The 76ers are playing the second game of a back to back here and they’ll likely have Joel Embiid back in action. Philadelphia squandered an eight-point lead in the final 3:49 of their 117–115 loss at Chicago on Monday night. The Sixers allowed the Bulls to hit seven straight shots in an 18–5 run over a 3:05 span and lost for the eighth time in 11 games.
It is no secret that the key to this Sixers team winning is Joel Embid. When Embid plays he changes how this offense operates and he provides a big presence down low for opposing offenses. The Sixers are 6th in the league in scoring offense with 108.9 points per game and 1st in rebounding with 48.8 boards a night.
Philadelphia is 16–6 against the spread in their last 22 versus Pacific Division opponents but are just 1–5 in their last six home games and 1–4–1 in their last six overall. The 76ers are also 0–3–1 against the spread the last four times they played on the back end of games on consecutive nights. The Kings are 1–5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia, 7–19 ATS in the last 26 meetings and the underdog is 7–0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
This is really a must win for the Sixers but it will be a difficult task for them coming off a game Monday night in Chicago. I think the -8.5 points are too many to lay in this situation and while the Sixers should win, I like the Kings to cover the number.
Kings vs Sixers FREE Pick: Kings +8.5 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/sacramento-kings-vs-philadelphia-76ers-free-nba-spread-pick-12-19-2017-2202690f3f56 | ['Sports Picks Forum'] | 2017-12-19 13:13:37.395000+00:00 | ['NBA', 'Philadelphia 76ers', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling'] | Title Sacramento Kings v Philadelphia 76ers Free NBA Spread Pick 12–19–2017Content Sacramento Kings v Philadelphia 76ers Free NBA Spread Pick 12–19–2017 Free NBA Pick Simon Says Sports Picks Forum Sacramento Kings v Philadelphia 76ers Free NBA Prediction NCAAF Tuesday December 19th 700 PM EST Odds Sixers 85 207 East Coast v West Coast matchup Sacramento Kings v Philadelphia 76ers Sacramento fell 108–93 road Toronto Sunday afternoon drop second straight Philadelphia action Monday night losing Bulls 115–117 Sacramento middle fourgame road trip lost five last eight game average Kings score 96 PPG it’s defense need work allowing 105 PPG Zach Randolph expected return game given Sunday rookie point guard De’Aaron Fox questionable sitting contest thigh bruise suffered early Thursday’s loss Minnesota 76ers playing second game back back they’ll likely Joel Embiid back action Philadelphia squandered eightpoint lead final 349 117–115 loss Chicago Monday night Sixers allowed Bulls hit seven straight shot 18–5 run 305 span lost eighth time 11 game secret key Sixers team winning Joel Embid Embid play change offense operates provides big presence low opposing offense Sixers 6th league scoring offense 1089 point per game 1st rebounding 488 board night Philadelphia 16–6 spread last 22 versus Pacific Division opponent 1–5 last six home game 1–4–1 last six overall 76ers also 0–3–1 spread last four time played back end game consecutive night Kings 1–5 ATS last 6 meeting Philadelphia 7–19 ATS last 26 meeting underdog 7–0 ATS last 7 meeting really must win Sixers difficult task coming game Monday night Chicago think 85 point many lay situation Sixers win like Kings cover number Kings v Sixers FREE Pick Kings 85Tags NBA Philadelphia 76ers Sports Betting Gambling |
191,174 | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | Time to bowl on the blue stuff! One of the most unique places in college football is Albertsons Stadium with their smurph_daddy turf. The Famous Idaho Potato Bowl features a regular visitor this year in the Wyoming Cowboys. Their opponent is the Central Michigan Chippawas.
The line for this game opened Wyoming -1 with a total of 45. The total has held steady for the most part and still sits at 45. The Wyoming line has jumped up with the announcement that star qb Josh Allen is healthy and is going to play. On Friday morning the line was bouncing back and forth between -3 and -3.5. Hop on now.
The projected points scored and points allowed for this game show that the line opened in about the right place.
Using this metric, the game should be basically a pick’em.
The yards per play though, which tend to always favour the dog, show the lowest support yet in bowl season for taking the points.
The only other dog during bowl season that has had this low of a yards per play metric advantage is North Texas. And, as described in that bowl preview, the play was to hammer the Troy Trojans.
The deeper stats are where Wyoming really shines though.
While 3rd down metrics are pretty similar, Wyoming should dominate the red zone on both sides of the smurf turf. It’s been pointed out many times that red zone defense is a decent predictor and Wyoming has a 13% advantage in that area. Additionally, Wyoming sacks the qb way more often, tackles for loss more often, has a much, much better stop rate and allows significantly less points per drive than C.Michigan.
So, the stats lean pretty heavily to Wyoming. What about the “spot”? Well, usually, a team playing a bowl game in a locale where they play all the time should mean a bit of a letdown. But, today, Wyoming is getting their star qb back in the line-up. Josh Allen is showcasing himself for the NFL draft. There is really no other reason for him to suit up for this game. He was injured to end the year and missed the last few games of the season. The only explanation for him to be in this game to assure every scout out there that he is healthy. And the betting line on every NFL team in the top 10 of the draft having a scout or two at this bowl game has been set at -1000. On the Central Michigan side, this is their 4th season in a row in a bowl game, and the third under head coach John Bonamego and they have lost both bowl games under Bonemego. A final, interesting, side note for Central Michigan, no player on the Chippawa roster has ever played a college football game west of Oklahoma.
As the Tennys crew has been made aware… take this puppy to the bank.
Wyoming -3,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/famous-idaho-potato-bowl-8cff4cd077f7 | [] | 2017-12-22 16:39:35.138000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Famous Idaho Potato BowlContent Time bowl blue stuff One unique place college football Albertsons Stadium smurphdaddy turf Famous Idaho Potato Bowl feature regular visitor year Wyoming Cowboys opponent Central Michigan Chippawas line game opened Wyoming 1 total 45 total held steady part still sits 45 Wyoming line jumped announcement star qb Josh Allen healthy going play Friday morning line bouncing back forth 3 35 Hop projected point scored point allowed game show line opened right place Using metric game basically pick’em yard per play though tend always favour dog show lowest support yet bowl season taking point dog bowl season low yard per play metric advantage North Texas described bowl preview play hammer Troy Trojans deeper stats Wyoming really shine though 3rd metric pretty similar Wyoming dominate red zone side smurf turf It’s pointed many time red zone defense decent predictor Wyoming 13 advantage area Additionally Wyoming sack qb way often tackle loss often much much better stop rate allows significantly le point per drive CMichigan stats lean pretty heavily Wyoming “spot” Well usually team playing bowl game locale play time mean bit letdown today Wyoming getting star qb back lineup Josh Allen showcasing NFL draft really reason suit game injured end year missed last game season explanation game assure every scout healthy betting line every NFL team top 10 draft scout two bowl game set 1000 Central Michigan side 4th season row bowl game third head coach John Bonamego lost bowl game Bonemego final interesting side note Central Michigan player Chippawa roster ever played college football game west Oklahoma Tennys crew made aware… take puppy bank Wyoming 3 Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,175 | Liberty Bowl | The second noon bowl on Saturday (here is the other)is the Liberty Bowl in Memphis, Tenn. It matches up the home team Memphis Tigers and the Iowa St Cyclones.
The line opened Memphis -3 and has been bouncing around Saturday morning between 3.5 and 4.
We’ve seen a few of these types of match-ups so far in bowl season, an offensively strong team facing off against a decent defensive team. The expected points scored and points allowed comparison backs up that overview.
Memphis scored 14.5 points more than they could have been expected to versus their schedule. While Iowa St allowed 9.5 points less than they could have been expected to versus their schedule. The end result is that Memphis should be favored by about 5 points.
The yards per play metric shows value on the favorite as well.
Favorites who have shown value in the yards per play metric have had middling results in bowl season — USF won and covered, as did OKST; while SDST, Arizona and Missouri all lost outright.
The efficiency stats don’t provide much separation for these two teams as they are almost identical in each category.
The one place Memphis does have a decided advantage is in 3rd down conversions. So, while the red zone conversion rate is basically the same, the guess here is that Memphis will have a few more chances than the Cyclones.
Not surprisingly, to go along with the defensive advantage pointed out in the expected points allowed, Iowa St has an advantage in the stop rate and points allowed per drive stats. But, Memphis holds their own in sacking the qb and tackling behind the line of scrimmage.
It’s not often that a team playing at home shouldn’t be marked down down bowl season. Not travelling is boring. Additionally, Memphis is coming off a terrible double OT loss in their conference championship game. Neither is a strong sign. Iowa st on the other hand, retained their star coach and is playing in their first bowl game in five years. These players should be relatively pumped. But, what about Memphis retaining their star head coach? There were plenty of rumors about Norvell leaving after the loss to UCF. Not only should the team and the program be pumped about keeping Norvell, the offense is steered by star qb Riley Ferguson. Ferguson should be uber motivated today. He is in a deep draft class of qb’s. And while Rosen and Falk no-showed and Darnold and Allen under-performed, Mayfield and Lamar have yet to have their showcases. This is a spot for Ferguson to shine. He and his star senior wide receiver Anthony Miller should be up for putting on a show for their home crowd today.
Going against the grain a bit here and cheering for the Tigers and a qb to get excited about.
Memphis -3.5,
Good luck | https://medium.com/@BigTenWatto/liberty-bowl-2b3fa8365082 | [] | 2017-12-30 15:09:34.979000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Liberty BowlContent second noon bowl Saturday otheris Liberty Bowl Memphis Tenn match home team Memphis Tigers Iowa St Cyclones line opened Memphis 3 bouncing around Saturday morning 35 4 We’ve seen type matchup far bowl season offensively strong team facing decent defensive team expected point scored point allowed comparison back overview Memphis scored 145 point could expected versus schedule Iowa St allowed 95 point le could expected versus schedule end result Memphis favored 5 point yard per play metric show value favorite well Favorites shown value yard per play metric middling result bowl season — USF covered OKST SDST Arizona Missouri lost outright efficiency stats don’t provide much separation two team almost identical category one place Memphis decided advantage 3rd conversion red zone conversion rate basically guess Memphis chance Cyclones surprisingly go along defensive advantage pointed expected point allowed Iowa St advantage stop rate point allowed per drive stats Memphis hold sacking qb tackling behind line scrimmage It’s often team playing home shouldn’t marked bowl season travelling boring Additionally Memphis coming terrible double OT loss conference championship game Neither strong sign Iowa st hand retained star coach playing first bowl game five year player relatively pumped Memphis retaining star head coach plenty rumor Norvell leaving loss UCF team program pumped keeping Norvell offense steered star qb Riley Ferguson Ferguson uber motivated today deep draft class qb’s Rosen Falk noshowed Darnold Allen underperformed Mayfield Lamar yet showcase spot Ferguson shine star senior wide receiver Anthony Miller putting show home crowd today Going grain bit cheering Tigers qb get excited Memphis 35 Good luckTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,176 | Tips And Tricks To Improve Your Sports Betting Success | No matter if you begin gambling on sports for fun or with strict goals of earning money, the question “how do I create longer” will pop into your head sooner or later. Can you actually boost the odds, figuratively, in your favor? Yes. Is it easy to do? Not really.
There are several steps you may follow and apply in order to make more cash, get better in gambling and enjoy it more.
The very first step is to begin. Register to an internet sports betting website. Vulkan bookmaker only needs basic info and the entire process takes under a minute. It’s linked because choosing a safe site is very valuable to your success, as getting scammed and having money stuck online is the worst kind of reduction you can have.
Educate Yourself
Reading sports publications and up to date articles may help a lot. Big transfers happen during the move period rather than understanding that one team got apparent weaker or stronger might cost you cash.
It’s surprising how many gambling options exist on the market. Win, draw or lose in the end aren’t the only few outcomes or elements you’ll be able to bet on. Daftar Poker88
All players and teams have powerful social networking presence so after them and studying their tweets and posts can make a huge impact. Also speak to other fans and bettors on forums or social media, since there’s always something new to learn. A piece of information from an older and more seasoned bettor is priceless.
Use a Strategy
Plans are mathematically calculated processes one takes in order to improve odds of winning. They were proven to work and even though experimenting is fun, it could cost you a great deal of money.
Some of the hottest gambling strategies are:
1. The Martingale system — Probably the most simple one, but quite effective. It educates to double the bet after every loss. It is extremely to apply to casino matches, but can be done with sports gambling too. Casino games have chances, just like bookmakers. Be certain that every double down leaves you rewarding in case you win.
2. Bettors describe it as a valid method of “abusing” the chances. If one bookie has a 2.10 peculiar on 0–2 goals whereas the other one provides 2.05 for 3+ targets, betting equal amounts of cash on both in those 2 bookies guarantees a triumph. That’s a really simple case, but the whole procedure is quite complex and takes time to study.
Applying a strategy turns fun betting into some sort of business but if you want to enhance the wins to losses ratio, it is essential.
Keep in mind that plans require higher budgets so as to execute and although the risk goes down, it is never a 100% guarantee that you are going to win. Also note that bookies are fighting against people who misuse the system, notably by using matched gambling and, even if not careful enough, it might lead to a prohibited account and you do not need that to happen with money inside their own system. Domino QQ
Invest Money Wisely
Though they say that it’s the best if you forget about the invested money, as it may never return, do not look at it as a cost but rather as an investment which may find no return. This way, even if everything goes wrong, you are not going bankrupt nor it’s impacting the way you live.
If your budget is $1,000 invest 1 or 2% at the moment, and increase the percentage just a tiny bit if you’re on a lower budget. That way you are able to create 20 to 100 well sized bets even if all of these go wrong, and they most likely won’t. It is also cutting down the strain and stress if the game isn’t going the way you expected.
Even if you discover an odd that seems too good to be true, resist the temptation and do not try to double the whole bankroll by going all in. The goal here is to build it up slowly by gambling low percentages and applying strategies. It’s much better to remain at neutral equilibrium for longer periods of time as opposed to going very negative fast. | https://medium.com/@dmncksh/tips-and-tricks-to-improve-your-sports-betting-success-a5498c835634 | [] | 2017-12-13 11:26:21.650000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Tips Tricks Improve Sports Betting SuccessContent matter begin gambling sport fun strict goal earning money question “how create longer” pop head sooner later actually boost odds figuratively favor Yes easy really several step may follow apply order make cash get better gambling enjoy first step begin Register internet sport betting website Vulkan bookmaker need basic info entire process take minute It’s linked choosing safe site valuable success getting scammed money stuck online worst kind reduction Educate Reading sport publication date article may help lot Big transfer happen move period rather understanding one team got apparent weaker stronger might cost cash It’s surprising many gambling option exist market Win draw lose end aren’t outcome element you’ll able bet Daftar Poker88 player team powerful social networking presence studying tweet post make huge impact Also speak fan bettor forum social medium since there’s always something new learn piece information older seasoned bettor priceless Use Strategy Plans mathematically calculated process one take order improve odds winning proven work even though experimenting fun could cost great deal money hottest gambling strategy 1 Martingale system — Probably simple one quite effective educates double bet every loss extremely apply casino match done sport gambling Casino game chance like bookmaker certain every double leaf rewarding case win 2 Bettors describe valid method “abusing” chance one bookie 210 peculiar 0–2 goal whereas one provides 205 3 target betting equal amount cash 2 bookie guarantee triumph That’s really simple case whole procedure quite complex take time study Applying strategy turn fun betting sort business want enhance win loss ratio essential Keep mind plan require higher budget execute although risk go never 100 guarantee going win Also note bookie fighting people misuse system notably using matched gambling even careful enough might lead prohibited account need happen money inside system Domino QQ Invest Money Wisely Though say it’s best forget invested money may never return look cost rather investment may find return way even everything go wrong going bankrupt it’s impacting way live budget 1000 invest 1 2 moment increase percentage tiny bit you’re lower budget way able create 20 100 well sized bet even go wrong likely won’t also cutting strain stress game isn’t going way expected Even discover odd seems good true resist temptation try double whole bankroll going goal build slowly gambling low percentage applying strategy It’s much better remain neutral equilibrium longer period time opposed going negative fastTags Sports Sports Betting |
191,177 | How to turn 5 mBTC into 8,000 mBTC — thanks to one lucky punter! | How to turn 5 mBTC into 8,000 mBTC — thanks to one lucky punter!
Sportsbet.io gives punters the chance to #betbigwinbig, but not many players will have had a win as big as one lucky user this week.
Putting 5 mBTC on an 11-fold bet on Wednesday’s English football, one user scooped a win of over 8,000 mBTC at odds of 1,573/1.
That’s an equivalent of a €4 bet, with a win of over €7,000 — not bad the week before Christmas!
Each of the 11 bets, on the Premier League and Championship, came in, meaning it will be a very happy festive period for the lucky winner.
What a bet!
None of the bets, which were a combination of matchbets, double chances and both teams to scores, had an individual price of over 2.35, with a bet on Nottingham Forest v Preston the longest odds.
However, combining the bets in an 11-way accumulator paid dividends for the user, who is now 8,101.48 mBTC better off!
With hundreds of markets each day across a wide range of sport, including an in-play offering, Sportsbet.io is the perfect place to bet with Bitcoin.
This win goes to show that knowing your stuff can really pay off, and that Sportsbet.io is the best place to #betbigwinbig! | https://medium.com/@WillAtkins/how-to-turn-5-mbtc-into-8-000-mbtc-thanks-to-one-lucky-punter-6291abb5c032 | [] | 2016-12-18 13:09:50.255000+00:00 | ['Bitcoin', 'Betting Tips', 'Betting', 'Sports Betting', 'Premier League'] | Title turn 5 mBTC 8000 mBTC — thanks one lucky punterContent turn 5 mBTC 8000 mBTC — thanks one lucky punter Sportsbetio give punter chance betbigwinbig many player win big one lucky user week Putting 5 mBTC 11fold bet Wednesday’s English football one user scooped win 8000 mBTC odds 15731 That’s equivalent €4 bet win €7000 — bad week Christmas 11 bet Premier League Championship came meaning happy festive period lucky winner bet None bet combination matchbets double chance team score individual price 235 bet Nottingham Forest v Preston longest odds However combining bet 11way accumulator paid dividend user 810148 mBTC better hundred market day across wide range sport including inplay offering Sportsbetio perfect place bet Bitcoin win go show knowing stuff really pay Sportsbetio best place betbigwinbigTags Bitcoin Betting Tips Betting Sports Betting Premier League |
191,178 | Patriots vs Steelers: Looking Ahead to the NFL Game of the Year | Patriots vs Steelers: Looking Ahead to the NFL Game of the Year
Winning home field advantage in the AFC could come down to more than just who wins their head-to-head match-up.
Could next week’s “game of the year” have the Pats and the Steelers overlooking a divisional rival this week?
The NFL season is a study in contradiction. On one hand, it has by far the shortest regular season of any of the professional sports leagues. Heck, even the 12-team WNBA’s regular season lasts a bit longer (131 days) than the NFL’s (115). On the other hand, no other sport demands so much physically or perhaps even mentally from their athletes, so the shorter season is almost merciful in that sense. The NFL’s potent, concentrated season means that each regular season game is so much more significant than regular season games in other sports. With so many games that matter going on at the same time each week, there really is no equivalent to “Football Sunday” in any other professional sport. (Perhaps the only thing that tops the spectator experience of Football Sundays are the early rounds of March Madness, where multiple single-elimination games are on simultaneously all throughout the day. For sheer drama it doesn’t get any better than that.)
So with only four more Football Sundays left, we should be able to have a grasp on how good each team is going into the last quarter of the season, and then focus in on their road ahead to figure out which team could have an advantage. The last four games has historically been a pivot point in the NFL- they call it “December football” for a reason. It’s where the NFL wheat gets separated from the chaff. Tom Brady’s career record in December? 55–10. The Steelers record in December since 2013? An NFL best 15–2. Something has to give, which means the race for the top seed in the AFC is going to be a barnburner. So let’s get into the weeds with the remaining schedule of the two teams, and see if we can learn anything about what to expect.
AFC TOP SEED: PATRIOTS vs STEELERS
New England Patriots remaining schedule:
at Miami, at Pittsburgh, home vs Buffalo, home vs Jets
It might come as a surprise to know that last year’s win snapped a three game losing streak for the Patriots in Miami. Over his long storied career, Miami is the one place that has given Brady trouble: He’s 7–8 lifetime there. Of course being the competitor he is, Brady knowing he’s under .500 there will only give him more motivation to play lights-out, and this Miami team is struggling to be consistent. Jay Cutler has to be better then he’s been all year for them to have a shot, but the Dolphins’ disastrous performances in their three previous prime-time games this year doesn’t install much confidence in that happening. Add the fact that the Pats are playing their best football right now, and even without Gronk an upset here is highly unlikely.
So is this a trap game for the Patriots or not? I have zero worries about a Belichick-coached team overlooking any opponent, as history shows that they put their foot on the throat of lesser opponents rather than play down to them. (Are you paying attention Mike Tomlin?) However, there could be one silver bullet: If the Bills lose to the Colts on Sunday, The Pats will clinch the AFC East before putting their pads on Monday. Maybe, just maybe that could sap their motivation a little. Again though, Belichick has been around the block more than a few times. He knows the game still matters, and I severely doubt Miami can play well enough to win regardless. That being said, +11 points for a home team is pretty enticing if the right factors (specifically a Bills loss) come into play.
Speaking of the Bills, if Brady has struggled (relatively speaking) in Miami, then there probably isn’t a more opposite way to describe how he’s performed in his career against Buffalo at home. Brady has simply owned the Bills in Foxborough, going 13–1 in his career. His only loss? The 2014 season finale where he was rested during the 2nd half. (I’m sure it burns him a little that Brady is credited with a “loss” there just because he started the game.) This Bills team is not playing well coming down the stretch, so it’s hard to see anything other than another Patriots win come week 16.
Conversely, the Jets are playing a lot better and right now are a much tougher out than the Bills. Could the Jets be playing for something when they match-up with the Patriots in the final game of the year? The Jets are on the road facing a reeling Broncos team this week, then go to the Saints, then play at home to the surging Chargers. That’s three of their final four on the road. Strike one. Then they need to win two of those first three games to realistically even have a sniff at the playoffs in week 17. Strike two. Then if the Patriots needed to beat the Jets in week 17, that only adds to the mismatch. Strike three. So it’s far more likely that the Jets won’t have much to play for when they play the Pats (beyond trying to save Todd Bowles’ job and knocking off their most bitter rival), which leads us to the conclusion that the Pats will run the table on their non-Steelers opponents. So how will the Steelers do?
Like last year, the Steelers can take the AFC North with a win at home against the Ravens.
Pittsburgh Steelers remaining schedule:
home vs Baltimore, home vs New England, at Houston, home vs Cleveland
Unfortunately, I don’t have the same confidence that Mike Tomlin’s team won’t play down to their opponent or fall into a trap game, because that’s just what the Steelers do. Yes, the Steelers are currently on a seven game winning streak, but that has included three pulled-the-win-out-of-my-butt games against teams that don’t have a winning record. Their saving grace? The Steelers play the Ravens, who are the only team that’s more of a bitter rival to them than the Patriots. There’s really no such thing as a “trap” game when the Ravens come to town. Unlike the Dolphins, the Ravens are playing well enough right now that their best effort could beat the Steelers, who will really miss Ryan Shazier. That being said, the Steelers will clinch the AFC North with a win, and the way the Steelers play so much better at home leads me to believe that the Steelers will take care of business against the Ravens in another AFC North slugfest. So I don’t see this week being the trap game for the Steelers, but even if they did lose, by beating the Patriots the next week, the Steelers would be tied at 11–3 with the Patriots but would go back into the top seed by virtue of the head-to-head tiebreak.
So in looking at the match-up against the Patriots, the scheduling gods have blessed the Steelers with two straight home games, while the Pats will be on the 3rd leg of a rare back-to-back-to-back road trip. If this game were played in Foxborough, I’d struggle to see any scenario where the Steelers would beat the Pats, given how each team is playing right now. The Pats are not the Bengals. They won’t totally, utterly fall apart in the second half if they take a big lead. A lot about this game hinges on something we haven’t really seen this year from the Steelers: Will they finally play a defense that can stop the Patriots’ short passing attack? Apparently Joe Haden is doing everything he can to be back for this game, and the Steelers need all the help they can get right now, as they have uncharacteristically given up tons of big plays in the past few weeks. (Brandin Cooks could play a huge factor in the game, especially if Chris Hogan can’t go.)
Brady has owned the Steelers almost as much as he has the Bills, going 7–2 in the regular season and 3–0 in the playoffs. I can’t help but think back to that last loss in 2011 as a possible template for a Steelers win here, because this was the last time the Steelers and the Patriots met in Hines field and Ben Roethlisberger actually played.
In this game, the Steelers threw their old defensive gameplans out the window and went almost exclusively with man-to-man coverage, which threw the Patriots for a little bit of a loop. It also helped immensely that the Steelers grinded the game out with long sustained drives, keeping Brady off the field by having the ball a whopping 39 minutes, virtually two-to-one edge in time of possession. (Interestingly enough, Antonio Brown caught his first career TD pass in this game. Watch the video and try not to crack up at Steve Mariucci’s reaction to the first-ever Antonio Brown celebration dance that we all know well by now.)
Losing the AFC Championship game the way they did stuck with the Steelers last year, and I have to believe they learned from their mistakes. All indications are that they deliberated how they will gameplan against the Patriots as far back as the offseason, even going so far as to make personnel decisions based on it. Therefore, I give the slight edge to a Steelers team that will likely be a 3 or 4 point home dog going into the game. To me, all the variables or intangibles are in place for an upset. If the Steelers don’t win, then the race for the top seed (and likely the AFC championship) is effectively over.
If the Steelers do win, here is where it can get interesting. Imagining the scenario where the Steelers avenge last year’s humiliating loss to the Pats, they then travel to Houston to play on Christmas day. Can you say letdown game? (SIDE NOTE: The NFL decided it was a good idea to schedule two games on Christmas this year. The three games on Thanksgiving is a hard enough sell, because at least you can play the “tradition” card. Now doubling the amount of games on Christmas from last year? Are they trying to cause divorce rates to go up?) Houston is a tricky team with a good home field advantage, and will likely be up for playing in a nationally televised game. Considering the propensity the Steelers have for playing down to their opponent, I can totally see the Steelers blowing this game if they were to beat the Patriots the week before.
That tells us that this week’s Steelers-Ravens tilt has more hidden implications than you realize, which will only add to the intrigue of what is still the NFL’s best rivalry. It’s not that much of a stretch to imagine the Steelers blowing the Ravens game, beating the Patriots, then blowing the Texans game, which would put them back at square one. That’s the most Steeler-y outcome I can think of to the end of the season.
This just goes to show you how hard it is to be the equal or better of the Patriots. If the Steelers want the top seed, they have virtually no room for error. That means that they have to go no less than 13–3 AND beat the Patriots in the regular season. As the saying goes, if you want to be the best, you have to beat the best. And then they likely have to beat the best all over again in the playoffs. No one ever said it was going to be easy. | https://medium.com/@AlexPredicts/patriots-vs-steelers-looking-ahead-to-the-nfl-game-of-the-year-613c6d61bff6 | ['Alex Brigandi- The Stats Guy'] | 2017-12-10 06:48:49.561000+00:00 | ['NFL', 'New England Patriots', 'Pittsburgh Steelers', 'NFL Playoffs', 'Sports Betting'] | Title Patriots v Steelers Looking Ahead NFL Game YearContent Patriots v Steelers Looking Ahead NFL Game Year Winning home field advantage AFC could come win headtohead matchup Could next week’s “game year” Pats Steelers overlooking divisional rival week NFL season study contradiction one hand far shortest regular season professional sport league Heck even 12team WNBA’s regular season last bit longer 131 day NFL’s 115 hand sport demand much physically perhaps even mentally athlete shorter season almost merciful sense NFL’s potent concentrated season mean regular season game much significant regular season game sport many game matter going time week really equivalent “Football Sunday” professional sport Perhaps thing top spectator experience Football Sundays early round March Madness multiple singleelimination game simultaneously throughout day sheer drama doesn’t get better four Football Sundays left able grasp good team going last quarter season focus road ahead figure team could advantage last four game historically pivot point NFL call “December football” reason It’s NFL wheat get separated chaff Tom Brady’s career record December 55–10 Steelers record December since 2013 NFL best 15–2 Something give mean race top seed AFC going barnburner let’s get weed remaining schedule two team see learn anything expect AFC TOP SEED PATRIOTS v STEELERS New England Patriots remaining schedule Miami Pittsburgh home v Buffalo home v Jets might come surprise know last year’s win snapped three game losing streak Patriots Miami long storied career Miami one place given Brady trouble He’s 7–8 lifetime course competitor Brady knowing he’s 500 give motivation play lightsout Miami team struggling consistent Jay Cutler better he’s year shot Dolphins’ disastrous performance three previous primetime game year doesn’t install much confidence happening Add fact Pats playing best football right even without Gronk upset highly unlikely trap game Patriots zero worry Belichickcoached team overlooking opponent history show put foot throat lesser opponent rather play paying attention Mike Tomlin However could one silver bullet Bills lose Colts Sunday Pats clinch AFC East putting pad Monday Maybe maybe could sap motivation little though Belichick around block time know game still matter severely doubt Miami play well enough win regardless said 11 point home team pretty enticing right factor specifically Bills loss come play Speaking Bills Brady struggled relatively speaking Miami probably isn’t opposite way describe he’s performed career Buffalo home Brady simply owned Bills Foxborough going 13–1 career loss 2014 season finale rested 2nd half I’m sure burn little Brady credited “loss” started game Bills team playing well coming stretch it’s hard see anything another Patriots win come week 16 Conversely Jets playing lot better right much tougher Bills Could Jets playing something matchup Patriots final game year Jets road facing reeling Broncos team week go Saints play home surging Chargers That’s three final four road Strike one need win two first three game realistically even sniff playoff week 17 Strike two Patriots needed beat Jets week 17 add mismatch Strike three it’s far likely Jets won’t much play play Pats beyond trying save Todd Bowles’ job knocking bitter rival lead u conclusion Pats run table nonSteelers opponent Steelers Like last year Steelers take AFC North win home Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers remaining schedule home v Baltimore home v New England Houston home v Cleveland Unfortunately don’t confidence Mike Tomlin’s team won’t play opponent fall trap game that’s Steelers Yes Steelers currently seven game winning streak included three pulledthewinoutofmybutt game team don’t winning record saving grace Steelers play Ravens team that’s bitter rival Patriots There’s really thing “trap” game Ravens come town Unlike Dolphins Ravens playing well enough right best effort could beat Steelers really miss Ryan Shazier said Steelers clinch AFC North win way Steelers play much better home lead believe Steelers take care business Ravens another AFC North slugfest don’t see week trap game Steelers even lose beating Patriots next week Steelers would tied 11–3 Patriots would go back top seed virtue headtohead tiebreak looking matchup Patriots scheduling god blessed Steelers two straight home game Pats 3rd leg rare backtobacktoback road trip game played Foxborough I’d struggle see scenario Steelers would beat Pats given team playing right Pats Bengals won’t totally utterly fall apart second half take big lead lot game hinge something haven’t really seen year Steelers finally play defense stop Patriots’ short passing attack Apparently Joe Haden everything back game Steelers need help get right uncharacteristically given ton big play past week Brandin Cooks could play huge factor game especially Chris Hogan can’t go Brady owned Steelers almost much Bills going 7–2 regular season 3–0 playoff can’t help think back last loss 2011 possible template Steelers win last time Steelers Patriots met Hines field Ben Roethlisberger actually played game Steelers threw old defensive gameplans window went almost exclusively mantoman coverage threw Patriots little bit loop also helped immensely Steelers grinded game long sustained drive keeping Brady field ball whopping 39 minute virtually twotoone edge time possession Interestingly enough Antonio Brown caught first career TD pas game Watch video try crack Steve Mariucci’s reaction firstever Antonio Brown celebration dance know well Losing AFC Championship game way stuck Steelers last year believe learned mistake indication deliberated gameplan Patriots far back offseason even going far make personnel decision based Therefore give slight edge Steelers team likely 3 4 point home dog going game variable intangible place upset Steelers don’t win race top seed likely AFC championship effectively Steelers win get interesting Imagining scenario Steelers avenge last year’s humiliating loss Pats travel Houston play Christmas day say letdown game SIDE NOTE NFL decided good idea schedule two game Christmas year three game Thanksgiving hard enough sell least play “tradition” card doubling amount game Christmas last year trying cause divorce rate go Houston tricky team good home field advantage likely playing nationally televised game Considering propensity Steelers playing opponent totally see Steelers blowing game beat Patriots week tell u week’s SteelersRavens tilt hidden implication realize add intrigue still NFL’s best rivalry It’s much stretch imagine Steelers blowing Ravens game beating Patriots blowing Texans game would put back square one That’s Steelery outcome think end season go show hard equal better Patriots Steelers want top seed virtually room error mean go le 13–3 beat Patriots regular season saying go want best beat best likely beat best playoff one ever said going easyTags NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Playoffs Sports Betting |
191,179 | New Era Pinstripe Bowl Prediction: Iowa Hawkeyes vs Boston College Eagles, 12–27–2017 | New Era Pinstripe Bowl Prediction: Iowa Hawkeyes vs Boston College Eagles, 12–27–2017
Iowa Hawkeyes (7–5) vs Boston College Eagles (7–5)
Time: December, 27th 5:15 PM EST
Current Odds: Boston College +2.5, 45.5
The New Era Pinstripe Bowl features two physical football teams as the Iowa Hawkeyes take on the Boston College Eagles. While you may see spread offenses permeate the rest of the country, these two don’t have any problems lining up with multiple tight ends or a fullback and grinding down opponents.
Iowa has had its ups and downs out of the Big Ten this season. The Hawkeyes lost three close games to Penn State, Michigan State andNorthwestern. Iowa did pull off a signature win over Ohio State, 55–24 in November. QB Nate Stanley is not asked to be a playmaker in a run-first offense, but the sophomore has thrown for 24 touchdowns to just five interceptions on the season. Stanley will keep the Eagles defense honest as they can’t just focus on the run, if they do, Stanley could make them pay with play action.
Iowa features some stand out defensive players including LB Josey Jewel, one of the top linebackers in the nation who averages 11.4 tackles per game. Another impact player is CB Josh Jackson who is projected to go in the 1st round of the NFL Draft if he foregoes his senior season.
Boston College plays a similar run-first style offense as they usher out ACC Rookie of the Year, running back AJ Dillon. Dillon rushed for over 1,400 and 13 touchdowns as a freshman this season and you can expect him to receive some Heisman hype in 2018. The Eagles found themselves in a difficult spot when starting quarterback Anthony Brown suffered a knee injury that kept him out of the last three games of the season. Darius Wade has been solid in Brown’s absence, as he has completed 46-of-75 passes for 528 yards, two touchdowns and an interception this season.
Boston College played a tough schedule this season and managed to go 8–3 ATS on the year and 5–1 SU on the road. Iowa also played a tough Big 10 schedule but they went just 5–6–1 ATS on the season and 2–3 SU on the road.
This should be a hard-hitting game that is won in the trenches. Both offenses will be chewing up the clock running the football which is a reason why this game should play to Under the total. This game could come down to a FG but expect this game to go Under 45.5.
Iowa vs Boston College FREE Pick: Under 45.5 | https://medium.com/verifiedcappers/new-era-pinstripe-bowl-prediction-iowa-hawkeyes-vs-boston-college-eagles-12-27-2017-3b0e29edbfc | ['Sports Investor Central'] | 2017-12-27 12:41:02.040000+00:00 | ['Sports', 'College Football', 'NCAAF', 'Sports Betting', 'Gambling'] | Title New Era Pinstripe Bowl Prediction Iowa Hawkeyes v Boston College Eagles 12–27–2017Content New Era Pinstripe Bowl Prediction Iowa Hawkeyes v Boston College Eagles 12–27–2017 Iowa Hawkeyes 7–5 v Boston College Eagles 7–5 Time December 27th 515 PM EST Current Odds Boston College 25 455 New Era Pinstripe Bowl feature two physical football team Iowa Hawkeyes take Boston College Eagles may see spread offense permeate rest country two don’t problem lining multiple tight end fullback grinding opponent Iowa ups down Big Ten season Hawkeyes lost three close game Penn State Michigan State andNorthwestern Iowa pull signature win Ohio State 55–24 November QB Nate Stanley asked playmaker runfirst offense sophomore thrown 24 touchdown five interception season Stanley keep Eagles defense honest can’t focus run Stanley could make pay play action Iowa feature stand defensive player including LB Josey Jewel one top linebacker nation average 114 tackle per game Another impact player CB Josh Jackson projected go 1st round NFL Draft foregoes senior season Boston College play similar runfirst style offense usher ACC Rookie Year running back AJ Dillon Dillon rushed 1400 13 touchdown freshman season expect receive Heisman hype 2018 Eagles found difficult spot starting quarterback Anthony Brown suffered knee injury kept last three game season Darius Wade solid Brown’s absence completed 46of75 pass 528 yard two touchdown interception season Boston College played tough schedule season managed go 8–3 ATS year 5–1 SU road Iowa also played tough Big 10 schedule went 5–6–1 ATS season 2–3 SU road hardhitting game trench offense chewing clock running football reason game play total game could come FG expect game go 455 Iowa v Boston College FREE Pick 455Tags Sports College Football NCAAF Sports Betting Gambling |
191,180 | Trading and the Sharing Economy | Photo courtesy of Uber
Trading and the Sharing Economy
Brokerages Distributed Model — Phase 1
You’ve probably heard of the sharing economy. If you haven’t, you’ve definitely heard of Uber (transportation), AirBnB (lodging) and a host of other companies, including Didi, which beat Uber at its own game in the Chinese market. Disruption is a term thrown around loosely whenever new technology arrives on the scene, but the rate at which these companies have flipped entire industries upside down is astounding. If you don’t believe me, ask your local taxi driver.
So what does renting out your flat, or hailing a ride from your mobile have to do with Banking, Finance, FinTech, whatever you want to call it? The answer, everything.
Let’s face it, banks and financial institutions don’t exactly have the trust of the people. Global financial meltdowns, bailouts, payouts, etc. have gone a long way to making the general population feel like the “have nots”. Like an exclusive party that they haven’t been invited to, and they won’t be expecting a call anytime soon (well, ever).
I’ve worked in the spot Forex and CFD brokerage industry for about 20 years working on the retail, institutional, management, and product sides in different capacities, and previously started another technology company, tradingwheels, that was focused on helping a trader work on their emotional intelligence in a real-time trading environment (which I was giving away for free).
It’s not an understatement to say that, for years, almost nothing truly innovative has happened in the industry. Sure, pricing is tighter, mobile apps are more prevalent, bandwidth is abundant in many areas, but the business models are largely the same. The ads are the same, the message is the same: Does “trade the largest market in the world, 24/5.5 days a week, and get tight spreads” sound familiar? Yawn!
Compare that to the transportation industry. According to Reuters, New York City cab drivers have seen their monthly leasing income drop as much as 60% in the past few years. Now that is disruption and it doesn’t even touch what is happening with energy, housing, online consumer goods, food, or even space travel!
During this time I have been fascinated in what is also happening in the cryptocurrency space. The openness of a distributed ledger and how it also leverages the assets (computational cycles) of others in the network to make it stronger. This type of model made complete sense for something similar to be brought into the OTC brokerage space not only as a tradable asset or technology with its own set of advantages (much has been written about this) but as a business philosophy as a whole. Treating traders and their volume (akin to computational cycles) as a valuable asset to make the network of traders, as a whole, stronger, and being as transparent as possible (a distributed ledger) without jeopardizing privacy issues could work and scale quite well for the benefit of everyone in brokerage.
So this is the basis for my new company, EQL-X, LLC (“eqlx”).
First, let’s get into transparency. There has been a fog of secrecy surrounding the OTC brokerage industry. From the outside (trader) looking in (broker), it feels like it’s done on purpose. I’m not saying that companies do this intentionally or that is it bad per se, but wouldn’t it be radically different to open the books so to speak? Just show how much we make, how much we spend, what our core costs are from our liquidity providers, if we outsource our risk to a third party, the list goes on. This is in the same vein as a distributed ledger of sorts and is a new way to think about true transparency- and something a lot of legacy brokers do not want to talk about.
The eqlx model is built on trust, transparency, and our unique 50/50 profit share.
Second, share the wealth (compliance hat time- “when or if there is wealth or profit, of course”). If my company, eqlx, can be transparent with the amount of funds coming in (and out), why not take it a step further and reward all of our awesome active traders (what we call “the collective”) their share of the 50% net profits we give back to the collective for as long as they continue to be an active trader? This, though with very apparent differences, is a similar concept to the mining reward in a proof of work (POW) model I saw in cryptocurrencies, and is the most direct and transparent way, I believe, that showcases the seriousness in how eqlx values our ecosystem (the collective) of traders.
There is much more to discuss about our model, and of what we will be introducing in the weeks to come, but I look forward to building this exciting new brokerage model right alongside you.
You + Us = Awesome,
This is eqlx.
Matthew Carstens
CEO & Co-Founder
eqlx
For details on how individual active traders are valued for their potential profit share please go to: http://eqlx.io/the-difference/ | https://medium.com/team-eqlx/trading-and-the-sharing-economy-6f6d8b87a68d | ['Matthew Carstens'] | 2016-10-13 14:34:37.616000+00:00 | ['Fintech', 'Forex', 'Forex Trading', 'Finance', 'Cryptocurrency'] | Title Trading Sharing EconomyContent Photo courtesy Uber Trading Sharing Economy Brokerages Distributed Model — Phase 1 You’ve probably heard sharing economy haven’t you’ve definitely heard Uber transportation AirBnB lodging host company including Didi beat Uber game Chinese market Disruption term thrown around loosely whenever new technology arrives scene rate company flipped entire industry upside astounding don’t believe ask local taxi driver renting flat hailing ride mobile Banking Finance FinTech whatever want call answer everything Let’s face bank financial institution don’t exactly trust people Global financial meltdown bailouts payouts etc gone long way making general population feel like “have nots” Like exclusive party haven’t invited won’t expecting call anytime soon well ever I’ve worked spot Forex CFD brokerage industry 20 year working retail institutional management product side different capacity previously started another technology company tradingwheels focused helping trader work emotional intelligence realtime trading environment giving away free It’s understatement say year almost nothing truly innovative happened industry Sure pricing tighter mobile apps prevalent bandwidth abundant many area business model largely ad message “trade largest market world 2455 day week get tight spreads” sound familiar Yawn Compare transportation industry According Reuters New York City cab driver seen monthly leasing income drop much 60 past year disruption doesn’t even touch happening energy housing online consumer good food even space travel time fascinated also happening cryptocurrency space openness distributed ledger also leverage asset computational cycle others network make stronger type model made complete sense something similar brought OTC brokerage space tradable asset technology set advantage much written business philosophy whole Treating trader volume akin computational cycle valuable asset make network trader whole stronger transparent possible distributed ledger without jeopardizing privacy issue could work scale quite well benefit everyone brokerage basis new company EQLX LLC “eqlx” First let’s get transparency fog secrecy surrounding OTC brokerage industry outside trader looking broker feel like it’s done purpose I’m saying company intentionally bad per se wouldn’t radically different open book speak show much make much spend core cost liquidity provider outsource risk third party list go vein distributed ledger sort new way think true transparency something lot legacy broker want talk eqlx model built trust transparency unique 5050 profit share Second share wealth compliance hat time “when wealth profit course” company eqlx transparent amount fund coming take step reward awesome active trader call “the collective” share 50 net profit give back collective long continue active trader though apparent difference similar concept mining reward proof work POW model saw cryptocurrencies direct transparent way believe showcase seriousness eqlx value ecosystem collective trader much discus model introducing week come look forward building exciting new brokerage model right alongside Us Awesome eqlx Matthew Carstens CEO CoFounder eqlx detail individual active trader valued potential profit share please go httpeqlxiothedifferenceTags Fintech Forex Forex Trading Finance Cryptocurrency |
191,181 | How To Start Trading On Forex, The Biggest Financial Market On The World | How To Start Trading On Forex, The Biggest Financial Market On The World
I am not a broker, or a banker, or a trade professional.
I recently started working in brokerage company that deals with financial markets, but with focus on Forex. I wasn’t bless with dominant left brain hemisphere, so as you could guess, like an average literature writer I had no knowledge about this complicated business world, full of numbers.
So, I began the process of learning.
Let’s start from the beginning! Once upon a time in 1973 …
Before World War II, the world’s dominant currency was the British pound. However, during World War II, the British pound lost its primacy as a result of the war with Germany.
In years before and after the crisis in 1929. year to the American economy during World War II until today is gaining strength and the United States is becoming an economic power, as the result of that and the American dollar takes dominance, as the most powerful currency.
Not interesting, I know, but in time all those events lead to this.
Forex market or FX stands for two simple English words, ‘foreign’ and ‘exchange’.
Volume of this market is 5.5 trillion dollars and that makes it the biggest and most transparent market on the world.
Where Is It?
Well, on your computer!
Forex market is not limited on one location and there is no center as is the case with the New York Stock Exchange. Forex market is the OTC or Over The Counter (OTC) or inter bank market. So, it makes it much easier to approach.
But do not get confused, the centers for processing orders on the Forex market are located in several geographic locations.
These centers are: London, New York, Tokyo, Singapore, Frankfurt, Zurich, Paris and Hong Kong.
You can monitor the market on a platform where are presented all financial instruments that are traded in real time.
What Can We Trade?
Fist thing, is the one that makes the world go around.
Yes, that’s right! MONEY!
But if you think that is the only thing that is being traded on this market, you would be terribly wrong.
Although known as a currency exchange, in addition to currency pairs on Forex it is possible to trade with oil, gold, silver and other precious metals, world stock indexes and many other financial instruments. So, dig in your grandma’s jewelry !
Just kidding! Do Not Steal from your grandma! But if you were wondering if you can trade anything else on Forex, the correct answer would be YES!
To Make The Long Story Short, Why Should We Trade On Forex:
It is possible to carry out large transactions with a small role.
You can invest in several markets at the same time.
You can go limitation loss of profit, and with setting Stop Loss and Limit Profit functions on your tasks. Other markets are limited-time while the Forex market is not.
You can trade 24 hours, 5 days a week. Trading starts on Sunday, an hour before midnight, local time, when the market opens in New Zealand, followed by Australia, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore and Dubai. Before closing these markets, open European market; . Then again open market in New Zealand and so on. Most of the data from the US have an impact on other markets, and then and has most market participants. For this reason, the opening of the US market at 14:30, then we have the greatest activity during the day.
Trading starts on Sunday, an hour before midnight, local time, when the market opens in New Zealand, followed by Australia, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore and Dubai. Before closing these markets, open European market; . Then again open market in New Zealand and so on. Most of the data from the US have an impact on other markets, and then and has most market participants. For this reason, the opening of the US market at 14:30, then we have the greatest activity during the day. On other markets, mainly earning when prices rise. On the Forex market, you can earn when courses and prices fall.
Markets with a small number of participants and the low trading volume can be easily manipulated. On the Forex market, due to the very high volume of daily trading, it is impossible to manipulate it.
No cost of trading, no commissions, no hidden costs, no costs for broker, in fact no costs at all.
Do not be fooled, you do not know everything now, but this is a start. In trade journey are many steps, and tools that can help you invest and earn the money you want. Because let’s be true, everybody would like to get checks, and not to have to go to work. For us to get there, the first step is to
START LEARNING HOW TO!
Thank you for reading.
If you found this article interesting, click on ❤ below so other people can appreciate it! And I will too! | https://medium.com/@sonjabalaban/forex-the-biggest-financial-market-dbedd9d8b52d | ['Sonja ت Balaban'] | 2016-10-14 12:38:45.081000+00:00 | ['Finance', 'Forex', 'Education', 'Trading', 'Buisness'] | Title Start Trading Forex Biggest Financial Market WorldContent Start Trading Forex Biggest Financial Market World broker banker trade professional recently started working brokerage company deal financial market focus Forex wasn’t bless dominant left brain hemisphere could guess like average literature writer knowledge complicated business world full number began process learning Let’s start beginning upon time 1973 … World War II world’s dominant currency British pound However World War II British pound lost primacy result war Germany year crisis 1929 year American economy World War II today gaining strength United States becoming economic power result American dollar take dominance powerful currency interesting know time event lead Forex market FX stand two simple English word ‘foreign’ ‘exchange’ Volume market 55 trillion dollar make biggest transparent market world Well computer Forex market limited one location center case New York Stock Exchange Forex market OTC Counter OTC inter bank market make much easier approach get confused center processing order Forex market located several geographic location center London New York Tokyo Singapore Frankfurt Zurich Paris Hong Kong monitor market platform presented financial instrument traded real time Trade Fist thing one make world go around Yes that’s right MONEY think thing traded market would terribly wrong Although known currency exchange addition currency pair Forex possible trade oil gold silver precious metal world stock index many financial instrument dig grandma’s jewelry kidding Steal grandma wondering trade anything else Forex correct answer would YES Make Long Story Short Trade Forex possible carry large transaction small role invest several market time go limitation loss profit setting Stop Loss Limit Profit function task market limitedtime Forex market trade 24 hour 5 day week Trading start Sunday hour midnight local time market open New Zealand followed Australia Tokyo Hong Kong Singapore Dubai closing market open European market open market New Zealand data US impact market market participant reason opening US market 1430 greatest activity day Trading start Sunday hour midnight local time market open New Zealand followed Australia Tokyo Hong Kong Singapore Dubai closing market open European market open market New Zealand data US impact market market participant reason opening US market 1430 greatest activity day market mainly earning price rise Forex market earn course price fall Markets small number participant low trading volume easily manipulated Forex market due high volume daily trading impossible manipulate cost trading commission hidden cost cost broker fact cost fooled know everything start trade journey many step tool help invest earn money want let’s true everybody would like get check go work u get first step START LEARNING Thank reading found article interesting click ❤ people appreciate tooTags Finance Forex Education Trading Buisness |
191,182 | Trading metals | Trading metals
Summary: When trading metals online, there are two markets to consider: the silver and gold markets. These two markets are offered by forex brokers as well on top of the classical currency pairs and offer tremendous opportunities to find profitable trades.
Because the brokerage industry is so competitive, forex brokers are trying hard to differentiate from one another. This is being done either through the overall products that are being offered (currency pairs, metals, CFD’s — contracts for difference, indexes, etc.,) or through breakthrough in execution, technology, spreads, or both.
There are not many things a broker like CornèrTrader can add to make a competitive offer as the overall products being offered are more or less the same. What makes a difference in these instances is the customer satisfaction and how clients in general are being handled.
Coming back to trading metals online, gold and silver are traded the most even though some brokers are offering some other options like palladium, copper, etc. The reason why gold and silver are so popular comes from the fact that they are liquid against the US dollar.
In other words, there is always a counterpart at the other side of the trade and no matter the size of your trading, these markets will take it with not a single issue. Moreover, the supply and demand chain is not that short-ended as in the case of other metals offered for trading and this let’s fundamental factors like economic news to be incorporated when trading them.
The symbols for trading gold and silver are XAUUSD in the case of gold and XAGUSD in the case of silver. They are being both denominated in US dollars and this is normal as the US dollar is the world’s reserve currency.
Traders should pay a lot of attention when trading the two metals online as there are many things to consider.
Firstly, the digits in the case of the XAUUSD are different than the ones to be found in the silver pair. Therefore, a classical quotation for the XAUUSD will show, for example, 1312.05, so two digits, while the one for the XAGUSD will always have four digits, like 18.9654.
This is important because the difference between the ask and bid price, or the swap, is different from the two metals and sometimes it may make sense to trade gold and other times silver is recommended.
Secondly, always look for the correlation degree between the two metals. Taking a long trade on gold on a US dollar news and a long trade on silver on the same US dollar news is like taking two trades in the same direction on gold. This is overtrading and the two metals are not supposed to be traded like that.
The idea is to find a trading platform that allows to plot charts on top of one another, chose a common time frame and simply plot the two metals to see if they are correlated or not. If the correlation degree is quite high (and it is), look to trade the two metals when they diverge on a common US dollar news. This is the only way they could be traded in different directions at the same time, as they will tend to strive to get back getting correlated again.
Thirdly, use oscillators to find divergences when trading the two metals online. It is most likely that divergences will be common on the two charts. However, from time to time, gold may diverge and silver not, or the other way around, using the same conditions for both of them.
What to do in such a situation? Simple look at the correlated charts and trade the pair that is not confirming the divergence in the direction of the divergence seen on the other pair.
Silver is being considered gold’s little sister pair and often the returns of the two metals are different. For example, if for some reason both metals are bullish and move to the upside, one may jump 1% and the other one 3%. They moved in the same direction alright, but the size of the moves was different.
Last but not least, the idea behind trading silver and gold is to try to avoid trading them at the same time. This means to avoid opening a position on both of them at the same time, not to avoid trading them in the same direction.
Let me give you an example. Assuming both gold and silver are bearish. It makes no sense to trade both of them on the short side at the same time as it is like taking two different trades, at the same time, in the same direction. This is overtrading and a trader should avoid this by all means.
What a trader needs to do is to take the trade on one of the two metals, either gold or silver, and then wait for market to reach the target. If this is not happening and market goes against the original trade, the thing to do is to short the other one with the idea that a better entry has been found.
Such an approach is extremely popular in the US where regulators are forcing brokers to use the FIFO (First In First Out Rule). Using the example from above, instead of taking two trades on the same metal and then being forced to respect the FIFO when it comes to closing them, one should take a trade on the gold market and another on the silver one to avoid such troubles.
From a technical point of view there is no difference when trading metals online or trading a currency pair, and this is one of the reasons why forex brokers are offering metals to be traded. Same indicators can be used, with the same interpretation, and it is just like trading a currency pair.
The main difference comes from a fundamental perspective as metals are influenced by other things that are not necessarily influencing the currency market, like supply and demand and safe haven status. | https://medium.com/@dwaynebuzzell/trading-metals-4c142c212717 | ['Dwayne Buzzell'] | 2016-10-14 14:28:31.655000+00:00 | ['Trading', 'Stock Market', 'Forex'] | Title Trading metalsContent Trading metal Summary trading metal online two market consider silver gold market two market offered forex broker well top classical currency pair offer tremendous opportunity find profitable trade brokerage industry competitive forex broker trying hard differentiate one another done either overall product offered currency pair metal CFD’s — contract difference index etc breakthrough execution technology spread many thing broker like CornèrTrader add make competitive offer overall product offered le make difference instance customer satisfaction client general handled Coming back trading metal online gold silver traded even though broker offering option like palladium copper etc reason gold silver popular come fact liquid US dollar word always counterpart side trade matter size trading market take single issue Moreover supply demand chain shortended case metal offered trading let’s fundamental factor like economic news incorporated trading symbol trading gold silver XAUUSD case gold XAGUSD case silver denominated US dollar normal US dollar world’s reserve currency Traders pay lot attention trading two metal online many thing consider Firstly digit case XAUUSD different one found silver pair Therefore classical quotation XAUUSD show example 131205 two digit one XAGUSD always four digit like 189654 important difference ask bid price swap different two metal sometimes may make sense trade gold time silver recommended Secondly always look correlation degree two metal Taking long trade gold US dollar news long trade silver US dollar news like taking two trade direction gold overtrading two metal supposed traded like idea find trading platform allows plot chart top one another chose common time frame simply plot two metal see correlated correlation degree quite high look trade two metal diverge common US dollar news way could traded different direction time tend strive get back getting correlated Thirdly use oscillator find divergence trading two metal online likely divergence common two chart However time time gold may diverge silver way around using condition situation Simple look correlated chart trade pair confirming divergence direction divergence seen pair Silver considered gold’s little sister pair often return two metal different example reason metal bullish move upside one may jump 1 one 3 moved direction alright size move different Last least idea behind trading silver gold try avoid trading time mean avoid opening position time avoid trading direction Let give example Assuming gold silver bearish make sense trade short side time like taking two different trade time direction overtrading trader avoid mean trader need take trade one two metal either gold silver wait market reach target happening market go original trade thing short one idea better entry found approach extremely popular US regulator forcing broker use FIFO First First Rule Using example instead taking two trade metal forced respect FIFO come closing one take trade gold market another silver one avoid trouble technical point view difference trading metal online trading currency pair one reason forex broker offering metal traded indicator used interpretation like trading currency pair main difference come fundamental perspective metal influenced thing necessarily influencing currency market like supply demand safe statusTags Trading Stock Market Forex |
191,183 | Administered FX Trading Funds Alternative Savings For High Returns | Many speculators are enticed by the currency exchange field owing to low initial expense, great liquidity, twenty four hour dealing, and numerous other alluring aspects. Nonetheless, lots of traders are unable to learn adequately or trade currency on account of a profession or various responsibilities. Plus, a great deal of individuals like to complement their existing portfolio without the necessity to learn to master an entirely new niche. It is at this point that a foreign currency exchange managed account comes in. A forex managed trading fund is a forex account financed and held by the speculator and dealt with by a business or specialist. It enables the individual a good gain and the opportunity to engage in the greatest monetary arena on the earth.
There will be hundreds of providers that make use of a person’s investment by implementing a managed foreign currency fund. A few of these organisations focus on managed currency exchange trading funds and use all of their energy totally in the fx world. This provides the investor belief that their foreign currency managed trading account is being transacted by an expert currency dealer and provides them with a more significant likelihood of a regular return on investment. The profit may be anywhere within 5% to 14% plus month to month and the performance fees are somewhere ranging from 25% to 40% of the profit per month to the firm. As well, a lot of firms can deduct administration fees.
You can find loads of benefits to a foreign exchange managed fund. The person has the ability to gain a regular increase rate without the need to expend all the crucial time and effort to trade themselves. The foreign currency exchange sector has massive liquidity likewise, offering the speculator a much more convenient method to extract finances what time they fancy. In addition, exchanging foreign money facilitates proceeds in both rising and diminishing conditions presenting the professional dealer more chances to grow a person’s balance.
Two of the major types of managed foreign currency funds are the ones exchanged by a trader, and those bought and sold mechanically. They are programs that automatically trade currency based on a fixed formula. A programmer will write the formula and fiscal administration set of rules into a series of programming languages to construct programs that possibly will offer a more stable gain for the foreign exchange managed trading account than the ones bought and sold by a person. This gives the business or specialist the potential to showcase performance results and achievable future production. Some of the more conventional people wish to have their resources dealt with by a person than the ones transacted by a trading robot, since the human aspect can occasionally result in better profits and minor draw downs.
A managed fx fund appears like a really fruitful route to select in the currency trading field. Still, some individuals may yet be put off from it for one or two factors. Generally, lots of brokerages have a lowest specific sum to launch a fund. This minimum amount is usually in the region of $10,000 and could be a substantial commencing cost to the run of the mill individual. Additionally, a lot of these agencies set up a monthly admin fee to your managed foreign exchange fund. Should your per month roi be not as much as than the set per month management charge, your currency exchange managed account will be down even ahead of the fees being taken off. A great deal of caution you will need to be exercised in deciding upon your currency trading supplier as to reduce your losses because of bad cycles.
FX managed funds can be a tremendous means to produce a large gain or bestow a dependable rate of increase over a long period, with no difficulties and mental swings of dealing currency exchange independently. If the person has equally the wealth and a respected company, a currency exchange managed trading fund could show to be a fantastic financial investment. | https://medium.com/@lancelots/administered-fx-trading-funds-alternative-savings-for-high-returns-8e750be41659 | ['Lance Lewsey'] | 2016-10-24 16:22:13.229000+00:00 | ['Forex'] | Title Administered FX Trading Funds Alternative Savings High ReturnsContent Many speculator enticed currency exchange field owing low initial expense great liquidity twenty four hour dealing numerous alluring aspect Nonetheless lot trader unable learn adequately trade currency account profession various responsibility Plus great deal individual like complement existing portfolio without necessity learn master entirely new niche point foreign currency exchange managed account come forex managed trading fund forex account financed held speculator dealt business specialist enables individual good gain opportunity engage greatest monetary arena earth hundred provider make use person’s investment implementing managed foreign currency fund organisation focus managed currency exchange trading fund use energy totally fx world provides investor belief foreign currency managed trading account transacted expert currency dealer provides significant likelihood regular return investment profit may anywhere within 5 14 plus month month performance fee somewhere ranging 25 40 profit per month firm well lot firm deduct administration fee find load benefit foreign exchange managed fund person ability gain regular increase rate without need expend crucial time effort trade foreign currency exchange sector massive liquidity likewise offering speculator much convenient method extract finance time fancy addition exchanging foreign money facilitates proceeds rising diminishing condition presenting professional dealer chance grow person’s balance Two major type managed foreign currency fund one exchanged trader bought sold mechanically program automatically trade currency based fixed formula programmer write formula fiscal administration set rule series programming language construct program possibly offer stable gain foreign exchange managed trading account one bought sold person give business specialist potential showcase performance result achievable future production conventional people wish resource dealt person one transacted trading robot since human aspect occasionally result better profit minor draw down managed fx fund appears like really fruitful route select currency trading field Still individual may yet put one two factor Generally lot brokerage lowest specific sum launch fund minimum amount usually region 10000 could substantial commencing cost run mill individual Additionally lot agency set monthly admin fee managed foreign exchange fund per month roi much set per month management charge currency exchange managed account even ahead fee taken great deal caution need exercised deciding upon currency trading supplier reduce loss bad cycle FX managed fund tremendous mean produce large gain bestow dependable rate increase long period difficulty mental swing dealing currency exchange independently person equally wealth respected company currency exchange managed trading fund could show fantastic financial investmentTags Forex |
191,184 | Wine Paper | Adrian Pinto is the founder of the Mumbai-based Green Paper Works. It is a unique company that specialises in converting waste from wine-making into beautiful paper. He tells Grin why turning wine waste to paper is one more powerful step to saving our planet.
Adrian Pinto and his paper made from grape waste at wineries.
How did you think of starting this venture?
I have spent the last 15 years working in the hospitality, wine and spirits industries. As I spent more time in these industries I came to realise that the profession I love was at odds with my intrinsic beliefs about sustainability and the future of our planet. Since I was a little boy I was taught to care about nature and as I began to share these values with my young children I realised that I couldn’t do this with a clean conscience.
India’s booming wine industry has escalated its wine production from 100,000 cases to 3 million cases of wine in less than 15 years and I could no longer ignore the millions of tonnes of waste created by our wineries and wineries around the world. The global wine industry is creating 33 million tons of waste — called pomace — each year. In an ideal world this pomace should be used in loads of products — cold pressed oil, natural cosmetics, food products such as flour. But what are we using it for? Almost nothing! Except for a few wineries that use it for compost, most of the pomace goes into landfills. What was my industry doing to the planet? What kind of a world am I leaving behind for my children? How can I make a difference? It was these questions that led me down the path to founding Green Paper Works. Five years ago we embarked upon a journey to make beautiful paper without killing a single tree. There is no disputing the fact that ours is a paper loving world and Green Paper Works was determined to innovate a solution that will not destroy the planet. A few paper facts …
93% of the paper we use on Earth comes from trees
Packaging makes up 1/3 or more of our trash.
To print a Sunday edition of the New York Times requires 75,000 trees!
Every tree produces enough oxygen for 3 people to breathe.
The growth of paper consumption is directly related to GDP 1:1.
Availability of raw materials is an increasingly difficult challenge.
And as I type this email more than 199 tons of paper has already been produced. Every statistic I know says that demand for paper is expected to double before 2030. The desperate need to change the status quo led me to a lucky kitchen experiment. That’s where I discovered that the pomace also has another amazing use that nobody else had chanced upon. Green Paper Works is proud to be the first company in the world to patent the process that turns grape waste into 100% natural, chemical- and tree-free paper. Grape Paper! What’s revolutionary about this grape paper is that raw material costs are way lower than wood. Also:
100% tree-free — no more cutting trees for paper.
100% chemical free.
100% waste utilised.
Lower cost of raw material vs. traditional fibres (wood, thread, biomass, cotton waste etc.)
Sustainable & environmentally friendly
Multiple applications: packaging, office stationery, gifting, cellar door, etc.
We are the first and only producers of Grape Paper in India and have now also received an international patent for our production process.
Wine paper diaries.
2. What has been the biggest challenge?
Grape Paper is economically viable, sustainable, tree- and chemical-free and eco-friendly. Its production can potentially enhance the sustainability of wine industry, transforming it from a red zone to a green zone. However, India is only just coming up to speed with the sustainability conversation and therefore the challenge is for us to convince existing manufacturers and customers to switch to our planet-friendly Grape Paper, albeit at a higher cost.
While we have had a lot of interest in the product and everyone we have met have bought into our story and agree that it is important for everyone, including businesses, to make choices that will safeguard the interest of our future, converting the interest into sales, notwithstanding the environmental benefits, has been extremely difficult. Making Grape Paper a part of a business’s Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) programme has several striking advantages. Environmental economists say that a circular economy is not only sustainable but also a life support system. Materials and resources are recycled endlessly; there is no waste. A circular economy using grape paper would not only save the environment but could also result in nearly 10–20% of savings for corporations. We are so proud to offer a solution to paper that is not only 100% tree-free but the industry creating such incredible waste can also turn waste discharge into a profitable solution.
3. What is your long term goal?
Going forward our plan is three-fold:
Make grape paper more visible with the existing paper suppliers and distributors as well as end users. Our first port of call will be existing suppliers of paper and packaging to the wine industry. Once we have established relationships with them we will seek to make grape paper products available directly to the end users. These include wine companies (for packaging like canisters, gift boxes, etc), cellar doors, wine spars and wine shops (bags and packaging), hotels and wineries with accommodation (brochures, packaging, etc), cosmetic companies that use grape is some form, perfumeries, etc.
Once we generate sufficient interest, especially for the high volume products such as wine bags, we will then offer licenses to manufacturers to license our technology, both in India and internationally.
Invest in R&D to develop “formed packaging” to replace Styrofoam in the wine and packaging industries. The power of this idea is in markets that produce large quantities of wine and where consumers are aware of the impact of manufacturing and environmentally unfriendly products on the planet. We know that this market is primarily outside India at the moment but going forward we would like to see the CSR opportunity, environmental and other green benefits become a serious conversation in India too.
~ | https://grin.news/wine-paper-49dbfc138b1a | [] | 2016-12-30 08:52:05.744000+00:00 | ['Sustainability', 'Environment', 'Entrepreneurship', 'Business', 'Wine'] | Title Wine PaperContent Adrian Pinto founder Mumbaibased Green Paper Works unique company specialises converting waste winemaking beautiful paper tell Grin turning wine waste paper one powerful step saving planet Adrian Pinto paper made grape waste winery think starting venture spent last 15 year working hospitality wine spirit industry spent time industry came realise profession love odds intrinsic belief sustainability future planet Since little boy taught care nature began share value young child realised couldn’t clean conscience India’s booming wine industry escalated wine production 100000 case 3 million case wine le 15 year could longer ignore million tonne waste created winery winery around world global wine industry creating 33 million ton waste — called pomace — year ideal world pomace used load product — cold pressed oil natural cosmetic food product flour using Almost nothing Except winery use compost pomace go landfill industry planet kind world leaving behind child make difference question led path founding Green Paper Works Five year ago embarked upon journey make beautiful paper without killing single tree disputing fact paper loving world Green Paper Works determined innovate solution destroy planet paper fact … 93 paper use Earth come tree Packaging make 13 trash print Sunday edition New York Times requires 75000 tree Every tree produce enough oxygen 3 people breathe growth paper consumption directly related GDP 11 Availability raw material increasingly difficult challenge type email 199 ton paper already produced Every statistic know say demand paper expected double 2030 desperate need change status quo led lucky kitchen experiment That’s discovered pomace also another amazing use nobody else chanced upon Green Paper Works proud first company world patent process turn grape waste 100 natural chemical treefree paper Grape Paper What’s revolutionary grape paper raw material cost way lower wood Also 100 treefree — cutting tree paper 100 chemical free 100 waste utilised Lower cost raw material v traditional fibre wood thread biomass cotton waste etc Sustainable environmentally friendly Multiple application packaging office stationery gifting cellar door etc first producer Grape Paper India also received international patent production process Wine paper diary 2 biggest challenge Grape Paper economically viable sustainable tree chemicalfree ecofriendly production potentially enhance sustainability wine industry transforming red zone green zone However India coming speed sustainability conversation therefore challenge u convince existing manufacturer customer switch planetfriendly Grape Paper albeit higher cost lot interest product everyone met bought story agree important everyone including business make choice safeguard interest future converting interest sale notwithstanding environmental benefit extremely difficult Making Grape Paper part business’s Corporate Social Responsibility CSR programme several striking advantage Environmental economist say circular economy sustainable also life support system Materials resource recycled endlessly waste circular economy using grape paper would save environment could also result nearly 10–20 saving corporation proud offer solution paper 100 treefree industry creating incredible waste also turn waste discharge profitable solution 3 long term goal Going forward plan threefold Make grape paper visible existing paper supplier distributor well end user first port call existing supplier paper packaging wine industry established relationship seek make grape paper product available directly end user include wine company packaging like canister gift box etc cellar door wine spar wine shop bag packaging hotel winery accommodation brochure packaging etc cosmetic company use grape form perfumery etc generate sufficient interest especially high volume product wine bag offer license manufacturer license technology India internationally Invest RD develop “formed packaging” replace Styrofoam wine packaging industry power idea market produce large quantity wine consumer aware impact manufacturing environmentally unfriendly product planet know market primarily outside India moment going forward would like see CSR opportunity environmental green benefit become serious conversation India Tags Sustainability Environment Entrepreneurship Business Wine |
191,185 | Why Dirty Fasting Works For Me | Why Dirty Fasting Works For Me
The premise behind intermittent fasting is simple: eat within a limited window of a 24-hour period to help improve your overall health.
Intermittent fasting (IF) has been shown to boost energy and mental clarity, to lower insulin levels, to assist in cellular repair, and to increase levels of human growth hormone, which can lead to weight loss and increase in muscle.
For some, doing IF for sixteen hours and eating within an eight-hour window works well (16:8). And after a month or so of 16:8, an adjustment to a 20:4 fasting schedule might work even better for others. (That’s how it worked for me.)
My point is that IF is more of a change in lifestyle, as opposed to a (probably) restrictive diet.
However, the biggest question about IF is, “What happens if I eat or drink something during my fasting window?”
There are plenty of IF advocates who would say, “It’s not a big deal. If your snack or drink was more than 50 calories, just re-start your fast.”
However, I have found that my emotional reliance on food makes it too challenging to *always* stick to water and tea during my fasting window.
Navigating My “Food is Reward” Mentality
Like pretty much everyone else in the whole wide world, I consider my job to be stressful. I teach in a rough urban area and strive every day to be positive and compassionate with my high school students, many of whom are struggling with generational poverty and PTSD.
Being strong and unflappable while I’m at work is a must. But it is also very emotionally depleting as well.
Right or wrong, food is my reward for successfully getting through another day. I like to cook meals that are healthy-ish, however, that comes with its own stressors of planning a weekly meal list, purchasing groceries, and finding the time to cook or prep the crock-pot.
So when I’m finally sitting down to eat with my family, I want to stretch out that reward. I feel like I earned it.
Why do we reward animals in restricted environments with food? Because it works. Image credit: Jooinn
And this leads to the “dessert versus wine” dilemma.
My Dessert Might Look Different From Yours
My eating window is usually 20:4, but when I’m finished with dinner, I’m torn between the desire to have “just a little something else,” or to convince myself that I’ll be fine with drinking water the rest of the evening.
In other words, if I break my fast with a small lunch at 2:30 p.m. and then finish dinner at 6:30 p.m., my fast should begin at 6:30 p.m. And then I would drink water or decaf tea for the rest of the evening.
However, as part of my (probably unhealthy) food-is-reward mentality, I often want to cheat on my fast — known as dirty fasting — and have something else in the evening while my husband and I are watching tv.
Subconsciously, I know that I want to extend that reward mentality a bit longer.
When I cheat with a real dessert, like one or two salted caramels, I feel terrible. My body loves sugar, but I react badly to it. My stomach gets bloated, my hip joints ache, and I get brain fog. I even react badly to fresh-cut pineapple sometimes.
However, when I dirty fast by having a kind-of-large 6 oz glass of red wine, I feel completely fine and consider my fast to still be legit.
Source: Pixabay
(Now before folks start dropping comments like, “Needing a glass of wine every night is a sign of alcoholism,” I’m going to politely let you know that your I’m-just-trying-to-help-er-okay-maybe-judge-you-because-I-KNOW-about-alcoholism perspective is probably well-intentioned, but I’m just not interested. I was married to an alcoholic for twenty years. Attended Al-Anon for ages. More on all that another day, okay?)
Let’s get back to the wine.
White or Red?
As I’ve aged, sadly, my overall sensitivity to sugar has increased. I used to like a nice sweet glass of white zinfandel, moscato or Riesling, but they started to backfire on my body. Even with a small glass, I would wake up feeling bloated and headachy. I soon discovered that these wines’ sugar content ranged from 5–14 grams of sugar — or even more. Yep, that’s a big ten-four no for me.
On the other hand, I found that dry reds like cabernet sauvignon or pinot noir usually contained less than a full gram of sugar.
Check this out:
Source: Wine Folly at https://winefolly.com/review/sugar-in-wine-chart/
Thus, I realized that, with a dry red, I could satisfy my food-as-reward mentality by drinking something adulty and low sugar during my fasting window….and that I would not suffer the consequences of bloating and joint inflammation.
And, even more importantly, that I would still lose weight.
Perfectionism vs. Reality
I’m fully expecting a bunch of other IF advocates to jump all over this article.
“Don’t you realize how many calories are in wine regardless of the sugar content?”
“Don’t you want to lose weight more quickly? You need to ditch the wine and stop rationalizing dirty fasts.”
“Why are you telling folks who want to lose weight to drink alcohol at night? That’s irresponsible.”
Well, I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again: Deprivation does not work for me. It is not sustainable. I already have a gluten sensitivity and I’m not up for adding any more restrictions to my diet. If that makes me a bad intermittent faster, then so be it. I just know that my weight is dropping and I don’t feel anxious or resentful anymore.
And if you’re nodding and saying, “Yes, girl, yes!” to embracing reality — rather than perfection — then please come sit with me.
We can have a glass of dry red and talk it over. | https://medium.com/@lorichappellmann/why-dirty-fasting-works-for-me-8899eced3543 | ['Dr. Miss'] | 2020-11-02 21:51:02.970000+00:00 | ['Health', 'Weight Loss Tips', 'Intermittent Fasting', 'Wine', 'Emotional Eating'] | Title Dirty Fasting Works MeContent Dirty Fasting Works premise behind intermittent fasting simple eat within limited window 24hour period help improve overall health Intermittent fasting shown boost energy mental clarity lower insulin level assist cellular repair increase level human growth hormone lead weight loss increase muscle sixteen hour eating within eighthour window work well 168 month 168 adjustment 204 fasting schedule might work even better others That’s worked point change lifestyle opposed probably restrictive diet However biggest question “What happens eat drink something fasting window” plenty advocate would say “It’s big deal snack drink 50 calorie restart fast” However found emotional reliance food make challenging always stick water tea fasting window Navigating “Food Reward” Mentality Like pretty much everyone else whole wide world consider job stressful teach rough urban area strive every day positive compassionate high school student many struggling generational poverty PTSD strong unflappable I’m work must also emotionally depleting well Right wrong food reward successfully getting another day like cook meal healthyish however come stressor planning weekly meal list purchasing grocery finding time cook prep crockpot I’m finally sitting eat family want stretch reward feel like earned reward animal restricted environment food work Image credit Jooinn lead “dessert versus wine” dilemma Dessert Might Look Different eating window usually 204 I’m finished dinner I’m torn desire “just little something else” convince I’ll fine drinking water rest evening word break fast small lunch 230 pm finish dinner 630 pm fast begin 630 pm would drink water decaf tea rest evening However part probably unhealthy foodisreward mentality often want cheat fast — known dirty fasting — something else evening husband watching tv Subconsciously know want extend reward mentality bit longer cheat real dessert like one two salted caramel feel terrible body love sugar react badly stomach get bloated hip joint ache get brain fog even react badly freshcut pineapple sometimes However dirty fast kindoflarge 6 oz glass red wine feel completely fine consider fast still legit Source Pixabay folk start dropping comment like “Needing glass wine every night sign alcoholism” I’m going politely let know I’mjusttryingtohelperokaymaybejudgeyoubecauseIKNOWaboutalcoholism perspective probably wellintentioned I’m interested married alcoholic twenty year Attended AlAnon age another day okay Let’s get back wine White Red I’ve aged sadly overall sensitivity sugar increased used like nice sweet glass white zinfandel moscato Riesling started backfire body Even small glass would wake feeling bloated headachy soon discovered wines’ sugar content ranged 5–14 gram sugar — even Yep that’s big tenfour hand found dry red like cabernet sauvignon pinot noir usually contained le full gram sugar Check Source Wine Folly httpswinefollycomreviewsugarinwinechart Thus realized dry red could satisfy foodasreward mentality drinking something adulty low sugar fasting window…and would suffer consequence bloating joint inflammation even importantly would still lose weight Perfectionism v Reality I’m fully expecting bunch advocate jump article “Don’t realize many calorie wine regardless sugar content” “Don’t want lose weight quickly need ditch wine stop rationalizing dirty fasts” “Why telling folk want lose weight drink alcohol night That’s irresponsible” Well I’ve said I’ll say Deprivation work sustainable already gluten sensitivity I’m adding restriction diet make bad intermittent faster know weight dropping don’t feel anxious resentful anymore you’re nodding saying “Yes girl yes” embracing reality — rather perfection — please come sit glass dry red talk overTags Health Weight Loss Tips Intermittent Fasting Wine Emotional Eating |
191,186 | 2016 in review | Well, 2016 has been quite a year! You may have noticed that I haven’t posted a great deal in December this year and that’s because I’ve been busy planning an exciting, packed 2017 but I did want to take the time to round up the year, and highlight some of the great things I’ve experienced. Whilst the Western world has been somewhat turbulent politically and economically this year, the wine industry has remained steady, sane and really very interesting, with lots of new discoveries, classifications and new wine styles emerging throughout the year. My own experience of 2016 has been on the whole pretty positive, only marred by the aforementioned global issues and I have an awful lot to be thankful for. Here are some of my personal highlights from the year past.
Maestrazgo Wine Club: At the beginning of 2016 whilst on holiday in Argentina, I had to give up a project I’d been working on for almost a year and start from scratch with the goal of building a group of winelovers living in Barcelona. I remember building the group on Meet-up.com, opening a tasting for the week after I arrived back and crossing my fingers. I needn’t have worried because it booked up within the day, and I opened a second one which also filled up remarkably quickly. Since then we’ve done 35 tastings over the year, with a different topic every single week, exploring the world of wine with a wonderful group of people. It remains the highlight of my week and I consider myself incredibly lucky to have such an active, interesting group of people attending my tastings. 2017 is set to continue in the same vein with some new events and ideas planned for the year ahead. Stay tuned!
Wine education: If you’d told me 18 months ago that I’d currently be halfway through my WSET Diploma with Distinction and Merit grades for all exams I’d have laughed at you, as at that point I was just getting started with my education and this looked like a distant dream. It’s been pretty tough going financially travelling to London and back on top of the course costs but I couldn’t have spent the money any better; my understanding of the world of wine has come on leaps and bounds over the past year, largely due to the excellent teaching of the WSET and the format of the course. 2017 will see the end of the WSET Diploma and an opportunity to regather and prepare myself for the arduous, 3–5 year battle for the Masters of Wine title. I couldn’t be more excited!
Wine Cuentista: This year I’ve had the pleasure of organising several exclusive, private tastings for both people living within Barcelona and also those visiting. The private tastings are flexible allowing people to choose their topics very specifically and I’ve had a great time organising tastings from a general coverage of Spain, to deep-diving into individual appellations and wine styles. I’ve also enjoyed starting my blog and generally rambling away over the course of the year and whilst Spain might be the worst place to be self-employed in Europe at the moment, the reward of being able to define your own professional philosophy and goals is well worth the effort. I intend to devote a lot more time to my blog in 2017 and Wine Cuentista will also be coming to Youtube to explore wine more visually. Exciting stuff.
Devour Spain: 2016 has seen me working alongside Devour Spain a great deal, an excellent company focusing on food, culture, wine and history tours around the major cities of Spain. I work with them specifically as part of their Wine and Tapas tour in Barcelona, a great experience that allows me to meet people from all over the world and introduce them to the wonders of Spanish wine. There’s something enormously gratifying about knowing that hundreds of people are going back to their home countries, going into wine shops and having conversations like “We had the most amazing wine in Barcelona, do you have it?”
New Years Resolution: The first time I’ve ever completed one! My resolution this year was to share 50 different bottles of wine with 50 different people and I managed to honour it and have a great deal of fun in the process. Unfortunately in 2017 I won’t be able to afford a resolution quite like it (The bill crept a little over 4000 euros in the end!) but I fully intend to take the time to sit down and share a bottle as often as I can, get to know someone or catch up with an old friend. My New Years Resolution will be dreadfully boring by comparison and will be focused on wine education but now that I’ve managed to finish one, it would be a shame not to make a habit of it.
New friends: It seems that this year I’ve met more incredible people than ever before, from all across the world and in a few different fields. From getting to know the French wine industry through Le Petit Ballon, to being visited by winelovers from around the world to share a bottle or two, to getting to know the local community of Barcelona and of course, meeting incredible professionals through my Diploma course, it’s been a very social year indeed! Wine famously brings people closer together and my 2016 has certainly been proof of that.
Old friends: None of it would of course be worth it without the support, friendship and love from my friends and family. I’m surrounded by a lot of people that I care about and who care about me, and that makes all the difference in the end. In 2017 I’m going to become a father for the first time, which will bring a whole new dimension to proceedings and life in general, and I couldn’t be happier. Regardless of what 2017 brings, I know I’ll be able to spend some time with the people that mean the most to me and that’s a very comforting thought.
I hope you’ve all had a similarly interesting and exciting 2016, and I wish you all a wonderful start to 2017! It’s going to be a great year and I’m looking forward to seeing you all for a glass of wine or two over the coming months.
Happy New Year!
Fintan
For more ramblings about the world of wine, come say hello at winecuentista.com! | https://medium.com/@Wine_Cuentista/2016-in-review-1509a7047823 | ['Fintan Kerr'] | 2016-12-30 12:53:48.566000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Travel', 'Life', 'Life Lessons', 'Wine Industry'] | Title 2016 reviewContent Well 2016 quite year may noticed haven’t posted great deal December year that’s I’ve busy planning exciting packed 2017 want take time round year highlight great thing I’ve experienced Whilst Western world somewhat turbulent politically economically year wine industry remained steady sane really interesting lot new discovery classification new wine style emerging throughout year experience 2016 whole pretty positive marred aforementioned global issue awful lot thankful personal highlight year past Maestrazgo Wine Club beginning 2016 whilst holiday Argentina give project I’d working almost year start scratch goal building group winelovers living Barcelona remember building group Meetupcom opening tasting week arrived back crossing finger needn’t worried booked within day opened second one also filled remarkably quickly Since we’ve done 35 tasting year different topic every single week exploring world wine wonderful group people remains highlight week consider incredibly lucky active interesting group people attending tasting 2017 set continue vein new event idea planned year ahead Stay tuned Wine education you’d told 18 month ago I’d currently halfway WSET Diploma Distinction Merit grade exam I’d laughed point getting started education looked like distant dream It’s pretty tough going financially travelling London back top course cost couldn’t spent money better understanding world wine come leap bound past year largely due excellent teaching WSET format course 2017 see end WSET Diploma opportunity regather prepare arduous 3–5 year battle Masters Wine title couldn’t excited Wine Cuentista year I’ve pleasure organising several exclusive private tasting people living within Barcelona also visiting private tasting flexible allowing people choose topic specifically I’ve great time organising tasting general coverage Spain deepdiving individual appellation wine style I’ve also enjoyed starting blog generally rambling away course year whilst Spain might worst place selfemployed Europe moment reward able define professional philosophy goal well worth effort intend devote lot time blog 2017 Wine Cuentista also coming Youtube explore wine visually Exciting stuff Devour Spain 2016 seen working alongside Devour Spain great deal excellent company focusing food culture wine history tour around major city Spain work specifically part Wine Tapas tour Barcelona great experience allows meet people world introduce wonder Spanish wine There’s something enormously gratifying knowing hundred people going back home country going wine shop conversation like “We amazing wine Barcelona it” New Years Resolution first time I’ve ever completed one resolution year share 50 different bottle wine 50 different people managed honour great deal fun process Unfortunately 2017 won’t able afford resolution quite like bill crept little 4000 euro end fully intend take time sit share bottle often get know someone catch old friend New Years Resolution dreadfully boring comparison focused wine education I’ve managed finish one would shame make habit New friend seems year I’ve met incredible people ever across world different field getting know French wine industry Le Petit Ballon visited winelovers around world share bottle two getting know local community Barcelona course meeting incredible professional Diploma course it’s social year indeed Wine famously brings people closer together 2016 certainly proof Old friend None would course worth without support friendship love friend family I’m surrounded lot people care care make difference end 2017 I’m going become father first time bring whole new dimension proceeding life general couldn’t happier Regardless 2017 brings know I’ll able spend time people mean that’s comforting thought hope you’ve similarly interesting exciting 2016 wish wonderful start 2017 It’s going great year I’m looking forward seeing glass wine two coming month Happy New Year Fintan ramblings world wine come say hello winecuentistacomTags Wine Travel Life Life Lessons Wine Industry |
191,187 | How do we make wine fun again? | How do we make wine fun again?
In our discussions to bring on a new COO we waxed lyrical about the state of the wine industry and the beverage industry as a whole. He mentioned that the drinks industry was like a big party, beer and spirits are the life of the party. They get everybody dancing, talking, having fun, or chilling out. Wine was in the corner, dressed all nice, talking to each other about tasting notes. They did not seem to know what was going on in the rest of the room.
He’s not wrong.
Wine, for better or worse, went from this drink that brought us together, to a drink of the luxury life. When most wine that gets drunk sits around the $20 marker, its not really a premium thing in 2016 is it? Wine got unnecessarily pretentious as well. No we are not talking about stuff like Petrus (the best wine in Bordeaux) or your $50+ wines that clearly are finer than the rest, but the stuff that we kind of want to drink day to day. The stuff we want to drink at regular occasions, like BBQs, tailgating, picnics, house parties, or watching Netflix with your bae.
Wine is starting to get a little bit better at that, with companies like Wine Riot, or VinoMofo pairing wines off with occasions like “Netflix and Chill” and thats awesome! It just scratches the surface though. Like anything in the world, when you get told what to do, or get told what to drink, get told when to drink it, people feel uncomfortable. They don’t enjoy it as much, because they aren’t really sure if they are, or how they are supposed to enjoy that wine. The problem for the wine industry is much, much deeper.
People enjoy things more when they discover things for themselves. This has been an under appreciated success key to marketing to millennials by the way, who are the largest consumer segments of wine in the United States. Why? It makes them feel special, it makes them feel unique, and it makes them feel like they have something that they can share with their friends. It makes it fun, and it makes it social again! Why has wine not gotten there yet? Well, we have to shift the perception of wine from that of telling you that this bottle is for this occasion, to “hey have you ever tried this wine? what do you think about it?”
Easy right? Not really. It takes a concerted effort, which is what we are building out at Vynl. Not from a single winery, but from a place that wants to see a great wineries who care about wine, but also care about people really enjoying their wine. What we will do, is help them connect with their consumers, engage them, create and strengthen their relationships. in doing so, we make wine fun again! Because thats what drinking should be all about. | https://medium.com/@VynlRocks/how-do-we-make-wine-fun-again-1d19680a74e1 | ['Vynl', 'The Scratch'] | 2016-12-16 18:12:41.475000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Marketing', 'Entrepreneurship'] | Title make wine fun againContent make wine fun discussion bring new COO waxed lyrical state wine industry beverage industry whole mentioned drink industry like big party beer spirit life party get everybody dancing talking fun chilling Wine corner dressed nice talking tasting note seem know going rest room He’s wrong Wine better worse went drink brought u together drink luxury life wine get drunk sits around 20 marker really premium thing 2016 Wine got unnecessarily pretentious well talking stuff like Petrus best wine Bordeaux 50 wine clearly finer rest stuff kind want drink day day stuff want drink regular occasion like BBQs tailgating picnic house party watching Netflix bae Wine starting get little bit better company like Wine Riot VinoMofo pairing wine occasion like “Netflix Chill” thats awesome scratch surface though Like anything world get told get told drink get told drink people feel uncomfortable don’t enjoy much aren’t really sure supposed enjoy wine problem wine industry much much deeper People enjoy thing discover thing appreciated success key marketing millennials way largest consumer segment wine United States make feel special make feel unique make feel like something share friend make fun make social wine gotten yet Well shift perception wine telling bottle occasion “hey ever tried wine think it” Easy right really take concerted effort building Vynl single winery place want see great winery care wine also care people really enjoying wine help connect consumer engage create strengthen relationship make wine fun thats drinking aboutTags Wine Marketing Entrepreneurship |
191,188 | Bucatini And Red Sauce | Bucatini And Red Sauce Welcome to Qorkz Kitchen! Today we are doing one of our own recipes and making fresh semolina Bucatini pasta from scratch. We are then finishing the pasta in our homemade red sauce. This dish is hearty with just a little kick of spice and is perfect for a cold fall day. We hope you enjoy it! Ingredients For The Pasta 115 grams of Semolina flour
225 grams of durum flour
1 tablespoon olive oil
2 tablespoons water
1/2 teaspoon salt
1/2 teaspoon fine ground black pepper
3 eggs Flour measurements are by weight. We like this kitchen scale for our measurements because of its weight zeroing function allowing us to weigh everything in one bowl. Directions Mix the semolina, durum, salt, and pepper in the bowl of a stand mixer to incorporate them together. Then slowly add one egg at a time, then the oil, and let the dough start to come together. Depending on the humidity in the kitchen you’re working in, the dough may be finished at this point or still may need some water to help smooth it out. Add the water one tablespoon at a time until the dough forms a ball and comes away cleanly from the sides of the mixing bowl. Because this dough is destined for a pasta extruder, it can’t be too dry or the pasta will crack and fall apart as it’s being extruded. The dough coming away from the sides of the bowl cleanly. Once the dough comes away cleanly, form it in a ball on the counter and then wrap it in saran wrap to rest for 30–40 minutes. For this next part, we use a Kitchen Aid pasta extruder to create our Bucatini pasta. Available Here. If you don’t have a pasta extruder, this dough could be rolled out into sheets and hand cut into the noodles of your choosing.
Forming The Pasta Take 1/4 cup of the semolina flour and coat the counter of your workspace. Then roll the dough out gently until you have a disk about twelve inches in diameter. Next, cut the dough into smaller sections roughly equal in size. Once you have your pieces cut, roll each one into its own smaller dough ball to go into the pasta extruder. To form the noodles, attach the extruder to your Kitchen Aid with the Bucatini plate inserted. Turn the power on to full. Take the dough balls one at a time and insert them into the top of the extruder. They will work their way down the screw inside slowly, so be cautious of that and don’t overload the machine. The pasta will come out the bottom fully formed and you cut it off at your desired length. Air dry the noodles on a pasta drying rack for 30 minutes prior to cooking. This step makes a big difference in the integrity of the noodles as wet noodles are more likely to stick and clump together during cooking. We like this pasta drying rack for its easy storage. Boil the pasta in salted water for 9 minutes or until mostly cooked through. The noodles will cook for additional time in the red sauce prior to serving so you don’t want to overcook the noodles, but because there was raw egg used in the dough, be certain to cook the noodles thoroughly. We did not add any oil to our water as that would coat the outside of the noodles and make it harder for our red sauce to stick.
Meatless Red Sauce This red sauce is our go-to for hearty pasta dishes when we don’t want to have a big meaty sauce. It is rich and fragrant with just a touch of spice.
Ingredients 28 oz can whole peeled Roma tomatoes
1 bunch basil
8 cloves of garlic sliced
1 tube/can tomato paste
1/4 cup olive oil
1/4 cup balsamic vinegar
1 cup red wine
1 tablespoon red chili flake
1 tablespoon dried basil
1 table spoon garlic powder
1 tablespoon dried oregano
1 tablespoon salt
1 teaspoon black pepper
5 bay leaves. Using a heavy bottomed pot, add the olive oil, garlic, and 10 fresh basil leaves and cook over medium low for ten minutes to bring out the garlic and basil flavor to the oil. Once the garlic and basil have cooked through, remove the basil from the oil leaving the garlic behind. increase the heat to medium and add the tomato paste. Cook the tomato paste for five minutes or until it starts to brown on the bottom of the pan. Add the balsamic vinegar and stir for another two minutes. Move the paste to the sides of the dish and add the red wine directly to the center of the pan to deglaze any parts of the tomato paste that have stuck to the bottom and then stir the whole mixture together and cook for another 1 -2 minutes. Pour the tomatoes into a blender or food processor and pulse 4–5 times until the tomatoes are chunky but not smooth. Add the tomato mixture into the pot slowly so as not to splatter the hot tomato paste. Next add all the spices along with ten fresh basil leaves and give the whole sauce a stir. Reduce the heat to medium low and simmer for one hour stirring occasionally. If the sauce reduces too much, add another 1/4 cup of wine or 1/4 cup of water to thin it back out. Remove bay leaves prior to serving.
Bring The Dish Together Remove the pasta from the pasta water but do not rinse. Bucatini is a pasta that is hollow inside so it is going to retain some of the pasta water inside of the noodles, which will help add some salt and starch to the sauce. Pour the Bucatini directly into the sauce and stir to coat. Simmer the pasta on low for about five minutes to bring the dish together. To serve, use thongs to twist the pasta into a bowl and grate some Parmigiano Reggiano over the top and ad one basil leaf for presentation. “Pasta and red sauce and Merlot. Is there anything more perfect? This Merlot has big cherry flavor with hints of leather and tobacco with soft tannins. Grab a glass and taste why this partnership will always be timeless. ” — Jill Hoffman — Qorkz Try: Chateau Lane Merlot “I love a good Rhone GSM blend anytime but especially with spicy pasta. The spice of the Grenache, lavender fragrance and perfumed berries of the Mourvedre and the dense, tannic fruit of the Syrah lend themselves perfectly to this flavorful and hearty bowl of pasta. ” — David Toomey — Qorkz Try: Oak Cliff Rogues Blend | https://medium.com/@qorkzwine/bucatini-and-red-sauce-8ab270ec2429 | [] | 2015-10-15 06:36:51.312000+00:00 | ['Food', 'Recipe', 'Wine'] | Title Bucatini Red SauceContent Bucatini Red Sauce Welcome Qorkz Kitchen Today one recipe making fresh semolina Bucatini pasta scratch finishing pasta homemade red sauce dish hearty little kick spice perfect cold fall day hope enjoy Ingredients Pasta 115 gram Semolina flour 225 gram durum flour 1 tablespoon olive oil 2 tablespoon water 12 teaspoon salt 12 teaspoon fine ground black pepper 3 egg Flour measurement weight like kitchen scale measurement weight zeroing function allowing u weigh everything one bowl Directions Mix semolina durum salt pepper bowl stand mixer incorporate together slowly add one egg time oil let dough start come together Depending humidity kitchen you’re working dough may finished point still may need water help smooth Add water one tablespoon time dough form ball come away cleanly side mixing bowl dough destined pasta extruder can’t dry pasta crack fall apart it’s extruded dough coming away side bowl cleanly dough come away cleanly form ball counter wrap saran wrap rest 30–40 minute next part use Kitchen Aid pasta extruder create Bucatini pasta Available don’t pasta extruder dough could rolled sheet hand cut noodle choosing Forming Pasta Take 14 cup semolina flour coat counter workspace roll dough gently disk twelve inch diameter Next cut dough smaller section roughly equal size piece cut roll one smaller dough ball go pasta extruder form noodle attach extruder Kitchen Aid Bucatini plate inserted Turn power full Take dough ball one time insert top extruder work way screw inside slowly cautious don’t overload machine pasta come bottom fully formed cut desired length Air dry noodle pasta drying rack 30 minute prior cooking step make big difference integrity noodle wet noodle likely stick clump together cooking like pasta drying rack easy storage Boil pasta salted water 9 minute mostly cooked noodle cook additional time red sauce prior serving don’t want overcook noodle raw egg used dough certain cook noodle thoroughly add oil water would coat outside noodle make harder red sauce stick Meatless Red Sauce red sauce goto hearty pasta dish don’t want big meaty sauce rich fragrant touch spice Ingredients 28 oz whole peeled Roma tomato 1 bunch basil 8 clove garlic sliced 1 tubecan tomato paste 14 cup olive oil 14 cup balsamic vinegar 1 cup red wine 1 tablespoon red chili flake 1 tablespoon dried basil 1 table spoon garlic powder 1 tablespoon dried oregano 1 tablespoon salt 1 teaspoon black pepper 5 bay leaf Using heavy bottomed pot add olive oil garlic 10 fresh basil leaf cook medium low ten minute bring garlic basil flavor oil garlic basil cooked remove basil oil leaving garlic behind increase heat medium add tomato paste Cook tomato paste five minute start brown bottom pan Add balsamic vinegar stir another two minute Move paste side dish add red wine directly center pan deglaze part tomato paste stuck bottom stir whole mixture together cook another 1 2 minute Pour tomato blender food processor pulse 4–5 time tomato chunky smooth Add tomato mixture pot slowly splatter hot tomato paste Next add spice along ten fresh basil leaf give whole sauce stir Reduce heat medium low simmer one hour stirring occasionally sauce reduces much add another 14 cup wine 14 cup water thin back Remove bay leaf prior serving Bring Dish Together Remove pasta pasta water rinse Bucatini pasta hollow inside going retain pasta water inside noodle help add salt starch sauce Pour Bucatini directly sauce stir coat Simmer pasta low five minute bring dish together serve use thong twist pasta bowl grate Parmigiano Reggiano top ad one basil leaf presentation “Pasta red sauce Merlot anything perfect Merlot big cherry flavor hint leather tobacco soft tannin Grab glass taste partnership always timeless ” — Jill Hoffman — Qorkz Try Chateau Lane Merlot “I love good Rhone GSM blend anytime especially spicy pasta spice Grenache lavender fragrance perfumed berry Mourvedre dense tannic fruit Syrah lend perfectly flavorful hearty bowl pasta ” — David Toomey — Qorkz Try Oak Cliff Rogues BlendTags Food Recipe Wine |
191,189 | Grape Notes: Pinot Noir | Photo Credit: Left Coast Cellars
My first memory of pinot noir was over a creamy chicken dinner in an underground, hole-in-the-wall restaurant in Beaune, France more than six years ago. Sure, I’ve probably tasted pinot noir before this time, but I didn’t really know about it. Not like this. My husband, Michael, and I were spending our fourth year together as a married couple, and we decided to visit Burgundy — ride bikes through vineyards and taste some amazing wines. It was here, in this idyllic French wine region, that I got to know pinot noir as an earthy, smooth, comforting wine that has become my go-to Thanksgiving red-wine pairing. Since then, I’ve enjoyed this fickle grape in its many wine forms. The most common introduction to pinot noir is it’s classic presentation as a light-bodied red wine. Pinot noir can also be part of a sparkling trio, being one of three key varietals found in Champagne, or a rebellious white wine.
Dinner Party Trivia: Pinot noir is a varietal has been used to create new grape varietals when crossed with another varietal. For example, the South African pinotage resulted from crossing pinot noir and cinsault (known as hermitage in South Africa). Similarly, the Bulgarian bouquet is a cross of pinot noir and mavrud (an indigenous Bulgarian varietal).
Color:
Pinot noir is a black grape variety that typically presents itself as a red wine with light to medium ruby hues depending on where it’s grown. As a white wine, it tends to have a light golden color. | https://medium.com/winelife/grape-notes-pinot-noir-6f048c1f094c | ['Michelle Lim Warner'] | 2015-11-01 16:19:12.915000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Pinot Noir', 'Sip'] | Title Grape Notes Pinot NoirContent Photo Credit Left Coast Cellars first memory pinot noir creamy chicken dinner underground holeinthewall restaurant Beaune France six year ago Sure I’ve probably tasted pinot noir time didn’t really know like husband Michael spending fourth year together married couple decided visit Burgundy — ride bike vineyard taste amazing wine idyllic French wine region got know pinot noir earthy smooth comforting wine become goto Thanksgiving redwine pairing Since I’ve enjoyed fickle grape many wine form common introduction pinot noir it’s classic presentation lightbodied red wine Pinot noir also part sparkling trio one three key varietal found Champagne rebellious white wine Dinner Party Trivia Pinot noir varietal used create new grape varietal crossed another varietal example South African pinotage resulted crossing pinot noir cinsault known hermitage South Africa Similarly Bulgarian bouquet cross pinot noir mavrud indigenous Bulgarian varietal Color Pinot noir black grape variety typically present red wine light medium ruby hue depending it’s grown white wine tends light golden colorTags Wine Pinot Noir Sip |
191,190 | Wine Cellar Secrets: A Day In The Life Of Quintessentially Wine | Wine Cellar Secrets: A Day In The Life Of Quintessentially Wine
Chapter Eight: A Suspect
“Do come in, Inspector. I always make it a point of principle to make myself available to the constabulary whenever they come calling.”
Tinnion’s eyebrows raised, and he couldn’t entirely hide the brief smile that passed across his face. “You have a lot of experience with the police, do you, Ms Wellington?”
Amanda Wellington chuckled, and she motioned for the detective to sit down opposite her, across the desk in her office.
“Not much,” she said, “but as Collections Manager, I occasionally get approached by your brothers in blue to be asked questions about particular wines. It’s usually to give valuations if there has been a theft. I’m considered something of an expert.”
Tinnion hid his exasperation well; they had so far met a grand total of two times, and Wellington had mentioned that she was Collections Manager on both occasions. The detective was never a great one for ego and titles — indeed, he hardly ever bothered introducing himself as an inspector, and much preferred to be judged on his own personal merits — but he was intrigued by Wellington’s strange desire to be known as the main Collections Manager. It was like she was keen to remind him that she managed the overwhelming majority of Quintessentially’s wine and resources.
“So, how long have you been here?” he asked, choosing his words with care.
“Just over a year,” she replied promptly. “I was recruited by the CEO himself.”
More status, Tinnion thought disparagingly. A dislike of this woman was growing in the pit of his stomach even before he had managed to steer this conversation down whatever path it was going to take. He knew that he needed to take that emotion firmly under control, however, as he didn’t want to start making assumptions about anything that could end up skewing the investigation.
“Did you know before taking the job that another Collections Manager was already in place?” he asked. He wasn’t surprised to see a scowl fly across her face before quickly vanishing again. She clearly wasn’t as good as hiding her emotions as she would have liked.
“No,” she said smoothly, as if the irritation hadn’t happened. “I found out on my first day when Adam introduced himself.”
“How did that make you feel, knowing that had been kept from you?”
Wellington hesitated for a moment, seeming to think about it before speaking. “Well, I was surprised, certainly. I -” She blinked and then frowned as a thought seemed to occur to her. “I’m a suspect,” she said slowly. “My word, you actually suspect me, don’t you?”
“Where were you between 1am and 1.30am this morning, Ms Wellington?”
“At home, in bed … asleep.”
“Can anyone verify that claim?”
“I live alone, Detective.”
“That’s not what I asked.”
Wellington’s jaw set in an angry line. “No,” she snapped abruptly. “I was in bed by myself.”
“Well, those are the pleasantries,” Tinnion said in an altogether more cheerful tone, flashing his most charming smile. “Now that they’re out the way, let’s move on. Everyone is a suspect, irrespective of where they were at the time of the theft.”
“I see your point,” Wellington said, “except for one fatal flaw in your logic, Inspector. I still don’t have the foggiest idea what the theft entails. To this day, I don’t know what Adam is curating down in that dungeon of his.”
“You make a good point,” Tinnion noted. “Thank you explaining your ignorance about the collection so cogently.”
Wellington suddenly smiled, the anger of a moment ago seemingly forgotten; she had obviously decided to tune out his sarcasm.
“You remind me of Columbo,” she said quietly. “I’m expecting you to say ‘One more thing …’ any minute now.”
“The day I hit that stereotype,” Tinnion said, continuing to return the smile, “is the day I need to hang up my badge for good.”
There was a silence between the two of them for a moment that was surprisingly companionable, and Tinnion was intrigued to know what Wellington would say next. He had found silence to be a very useful trick from time to time, as most people were uncomfortable with a lack of sound and rushed to fill it. A lot of time, what they filled it with was the verbal equivalent of white noise; generalised babble, small talk and chatter, just to keep the noise level going, but occasionally — just occasionally — they would give something away. It might just be a Freudian slip or a thoughtless, throw-away remark, but that could be incredibly telling.
Sadly, Wellington wasn’t one of them; people who were comfortable with silence between themselves and a stranger were rare, but she was one of them and Tinnion was impressed. He mentally cursed; he had been hoping for something more. The old adage of being innocent until proven guilty wasn’t something he believed in, but he was making assumptions here without any proof — and trying to tease out information that might not even exist.
Wellington shifted her weight to lean her right arm on one of the chair arms, and smiled serenely at him. Tinnion decided to drop the act; it clearly wasn’t working, and he could well have been overanalysing the situation anyway — there were situations when suspecting everyone simply wasn’t the right course of action. Now, he needed to focus on questioning everyone else; in particular, Mr Collins, the security guard. He was someone that could well know more; he had spent so much time just outside the vault door that he must had picked some useful snippets of information up.
“Well,” he said in as polite and calm a tone as he possibly could, pretending that the last two minutes of carefully gauged silence hadn’t happened, “thank you for talking to me, Ms Wellington. It’s been a pleasure.”
“I’m sure it has,” she said with a self-deprecating smile. “I hope I’ve been of some help.”
Tinnion nodded. “It’s always useful to be able to rule people out,” he said.
…stayed tuned, Chapter Nine: ‘Down To The Station’ is only a day away. If you are enjoying this series then please follow Quintessentially Wine. | https://medium.com/@QuintessentiallyWine/wine-cellar-secrets-a-day-in-the-life-of-quintessentially-wine-e98ad00d30 | ['Quintessentially Wine'] | 2015-10-15 17:58:53.516000+00:00 | ['Fiction', 'Short Story', 'Wine'] | Title Wine Cellar Secrets Day Life Quintessentially WineContent Wine Cellar Secrets Day Life Quintessentially Wine Chapter Eight Suspect “Do come Inspector always make point principle make available constabulary whenever come calling” Tinnion’s eyebrow raised couldn’t entirely hide brief smile passed across face “You lot experience police Ms Wellington” Amanda Wellington chuckled motioned detective sit opposite across desk office “Not much” said “but Collections Manager occasionally get approached brother blue asked question particular wine It’s usually give valuation theft I’m considered something expert” Tinnion hid exasperation well far met grand total two time Wellington mentioned Collections Manager occasion detective never great one ego title — indeed hardly ever bothered introducing inspector much preferred judged personal merit — intrigued Wellington’s strange desire known main Collections Manager like keen remind managed overwhelming majority Quintessentially’s wine resource “So long here” asked choosing word care “Just year” replied promptly “I recruited CEO himself” status Tinnion thought disparagingly dislike woman growing pit stomach even managed steer conversation whatever path going take knew needed take emotion firmly control however didn’t want start making assumption anything could end skewing investigation “Did know taking job another Collections Manager already place” asked wasn’t surprised see scowl fly across face quickly vanishing clearly wasn’t good hiding emotion would liked “No” said smoothly irritation hadn’t happened “I found first day Adam introduced himself” “How make feel knowing kept you” Wellington hesitated moment seeming think speaking “Well surprised certainly ” blinked frowned thought seemed occur “I’m suspect” said slowly “My word actually suspect don’t you” “Where 1am 130am morning Ms Wellington” “At home bed … asleep” “Can anyone verify claim” “I live alone Detective” “That’s asked” Wellington’s jaw set angry line “No” snapped abruptly “I bed myself” “Well pleasantries” Tinnion said altogether cheerful tone flashing charming smile “Now they’re way let’s move Everyone suspect irrespective time theft” “I see point” Wellington said “except one fatal flaw logic Inspector still don’t foggiest idea theft entail day don’t know Adam curating dungeon his” “You make good point” Tinnion noted “Thank explaining ignorance collection cogently” Wellington suddenly smiled anger moment ago seemingly forgotten obviously decided tune sarcasm “You remind Columbo” said quietly “I’m expecting say ‘One thing …’ minute now” “The day hit stereotype” Tinnion said continuing return smile “is day need hang badge good” silence two moment surprisingly companionable Tinnion intrigued know Wellington would say next found silence useful trick time time people uncomfortable lack sound rushed fill lot time filled verbal equivalent white noise generalised babble small talk chatter keep noise level going occasionally — occasionally — would give something away might Freudian slip thoughtless throwaway remark could incredibly telling Sadly Wellington wasn’t one people comfortable silence stranger rare one Tinnion impressed mentally cursed hoping something old adage innocent proven guilty wasn’t something believed making assumption without proof — trying tease information might even exist Wellington shifted weight lean right arm one chair arm smiled serenely Tinnion decided drop act clearly wasn’t working could well overanalysing situation anyway — situation suspecting everyone simply wasn’t right course action needed focus questioning everyone else particular Mr Collins security guard someone could well know spent much time outside vault door must picked useful snippet information “Well” said polite calm tone possibly could pretending last two minute carefully gauged silence hadn’t happened “thank talking Ms Wellington It’s pleasure” “I’m sure has” said selfdeprecating smile “I hope I’ve help” Tinnion nodded “It’s always useful able rule people out” said …stayed tuned Chapter Nine ‘Down Station’ day away enjoying series please follow Quintessentially WineTags Fiction Short Story Wine |
191,191 | Best Place to Buy Cheap Alcohol Online! | Best Place to Buy Cheap Alcohol Online!
In this highly technological world, life has become really fast and people are used to doing convenient things. Partying every weekend is a culture and especially in the month of December when Christmas is just round the corner. Every family would be having a party at their place with the best of food and best of drinks — alcoholic or non alcoholic. To fulfil your needs of a nice and cheap alcohol online you just have to do wine online shopping.
The best place in Austin which offers online wine delivery is Travis Heights Beverage World store. Their online supply and delivery of alcohol had a whopping increase as the people are in love with these services. It has become the best online wine store with thousands of people connected to it. It has some of the best Austin beverages with exotic tastes and flavours. The people living in and around South Austin can buy beverages online from this store without any inconvenience.
The store has become famous not just because of the online wine delivery which it has started but also because of the free evening tasting sessions which it offers. The store is known to add new drinks in its collection quite often. To make people aware of those new flavours, free tasting sessions are organised every Thursday through to Saturday evenings. It offers the best alcohol delivery both in store and online. The various reasons which cannot be overshadowed for selection of this supplier are lightening fast 30 minutes delivery, easy availability, and superb collection of beverages.
The person who is stuck somewhere or is just in a mood to relax, the one who is throwing a party at his place or just being a guest at a party, can all order great wines, beers, champagnes and other drinks from here without any hassle. The deliveries are closed on Sundays however the order can be placed online for the same. The dedicated team ensures that you can have the best of services at the best of price online. | https://medium.com/@travisheights4/best-place-to-buy-cheap-alcohol-online-71e92a01c3cc | ['James Travis'] | 2016-12-19 08:15:27.300000+00:00 | ['Wine'] | Title Best Place Buy Cheap Alcohol OnlineContent Best Place Buy Cheap Alcohol Online highly technological world life become really fast people used convenient thing Partying every weekend culture especially month December Christmas round corner Every family would party place best food best drink — alcoholic non alcoholic fulfil need nice cheap alcohol online wine online shopping best place Austin offer online wine delivery Travis Heights Beverage World store online supply delivery alcohol whopping increase people love service become best online wine store thousand people connected best Austin beverage exotic taste flavour people living around South Austin buy beverage online store without inconvenience store become famous online wine delivery started also free evening tasting session offer store known add new drink collection quite often make people aware new flavour free tasting session organised every Thursday Saturday evening offer best alcohol delivery store online various reason cannot overshadowed selection supplier lightening fast 30 minute delivery easy availability superb collection beverage person stuck somewhere mood relax one throwing party place guest party order great wine beer champagne drink without hassle delivery closed Sundays however order placed online dedicated team ensures best service best price onlineTags Wine |
191,192 | Aglianico del Vulture | Aglianico del Vulture
Aglianico del Vulture is an excellent wine from Basilicata, produced specifically in one area of Mount Vulture, which is located in the northern part of the Potenza’s province. This mountain is actually a dormant volcano off for a long time, on whose slopes are lands from the unique soil and climatic characteristics.
The land is rich in minerals, especially potassium, a fundamental element for the plants growth and, of course, also for the vine. In the vine, in fact, potassium plays an important role in metabolism and in the sugars translocation.
In this area there are also several natural springs of mineral water, which makes this part of Basilicata the ideal place for quality farming and wine. Aglianico del Vulture is a wine made with grapes of a vine native of this land grown in hilly areas at altitudes between 200 and 700 meters above sea level.
History
History
Quinto Orazio Flacco, known as Horace, described in his writings the unequivocally love for this red wine and its intense flavor.
The etymology of the term “Aglianico” is still the subject of debate among scholars, but it could comes from the expression Vitis Hellenic used by the Romans.
Another hypothesis rather credited traces the name of this grape in Elea, an ancient town of Lucania overlooking the Tyrrhenian coast. The term “Aglianico” then, born from a linguistic distortion introduced by the Aragonese that in the fifteenth century were the Lucania’s rulers. In Castilian, in fact, the double “l” is pronounced with the sound “gl” from “Hellenic”, so Aglianico.
Grape harvest
The fifteen municipalities involved by the production of Aglianico del Vulture DOC are Rionero in Vulture, Venosa, Melfi, Genzano di Lucania, Barile, Rampolla, Acerenza, Atella, Forenza, Lavello, Banzi, Ripacandida, Ginestra, Maschito andPalazzo San Gervasio.
The grape harvest is traditionally made in the second half of October until the middle of November for 3–4 weeks. The maximum yield per hectare is set at 100 quintals, while the yield of grapes in the wine must not exceed 70%. The entire production process, including fermentation and subsequent aging required, must be carried out entirely within the production area specified.
Thanks to its excellent organoleptic characteristics, and the resemblance to a well-known grape variety of Piedmont, this wine has been proudly surnamed the “Barolo of the South”. Aglianico del Vulture is one of the most popular Italian red wines both nationally and internationally and to demonstrate this we just mention the eleven “Great Mentions” and the “Gold Medal” awarded in 2010 during the popular event Vinitaly in Verona.
The excellent quality of this wine with its long history of production, have lead the D.O.C. (Denominazione di Origine Controllata e Garantita) happen in the 1971. An additional recognition was the most recent assignment of D.O.C.G. (Controlled and Guaranteed Origin Denomination) to the “Superior” type of Aglianico del Vulture.
Characteristics
Aglianico del Vulture DOC has a beautiful ruby red color in which appear, with the progress of aging, garnet or orange tones. The aroma is intense and balanced, and also is accentuated with age. On the palate this wine has a warm flavor, savory and dry, overall very harmonic and balanced that with age it becomes more and more velvety. The content of tannins is ideal. The alcohol content is included between 11.5 ° and 14 ° depending on the type.
This wine is ideal to aging and it is also marketed in the types “Vecchio” (aged at least 3 years, including two in wooden barrels) and “Riserva” (minimum 5 years, even in this case at least two in wooden barrels).
Aglianico del Vulture unaged can not be sold before one year after the harvest, and in any event not before 1 November of the following year. There is also a “Spumante” version and an interesting dessert wine called “Aglianico dolce”.
How to serve
Due to its intense flavor and full-bodied, Aglianico del Vulture D.O.C. is particularly well with meat (white, but mainly red) cooked on a spit or in the oven. This wine is ideal for braised meats, roasts and rich dishes with wild game and fowl. It is also a great combination with the mature cheeses such as Caciocavallo Lucano or Canestrato di Moliterno IGP produced with sheep and goats milk.
The recommended serving temperature is 18–20 ° C.
In his sparkling version, Aglianico del Vulture is the perfect accompaniment to sweets and desserts such as fruit tarts, pastries and traditional desserts. In this case the wine should be served colder, around 8–12 ° C.
Drinking it will give you a feeling of antiquity, wisdom, body and texture. Aglianico is one of the best expressions of the land where it was born. | https://calia.me/aglianico-del-vulture-4161d8f69f8d | ['Giovanni Calia'] | 2017-08-27 09:57:36.153000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Italy', 'Travel'] | Title Aglianico del VultureContent Aglianico del Vulture Aglianico del Vulture excellent wine Basilicata produced specifically one area Mount Vulture located northern part Potenza’s province mountain actually dormant volcano long time whose slope land unique soil climatic characteristic land rich mineral especially potassium fundamental element plant growth course also vine vine fact potassium play important role metabolism sugar translocation area also several natural spring mineral water make part Basilicata ideal place quality farming wine Aglianico del Vulture wine made grape vine native land grown hilly area altitude 200 700 meter sea level History History Quinto Orazio Flacco known Horace described writing unequivocally love red wine intense flavor etymology term “Aglianico” still subject debate among scholar could come expression Vitis Hellenic used Romans Another hypothesis rather credited trace name grape Elea ancient town Lucania overlooking Tyrrhenian coast term “Aglianico” born linguistic distortion introduced Aragonese fifteenth century Lucania’s ruler Castilian fact double “l” pronounced sound “gl” “Hellenic” Aglianico Grape harvest fifteen municipality involved production Aglianico del Vulture DOC Rionero Vulture Venosa Melfi Genzano di Lucania Barile Rampolla Acerenza Atella Forenza Lavello Banzi Ripacandida Ginestra Maschito andPalazzo San Gervasio grape harvest traditionally made second half October middle November 3–4 week maximum yield per hectare set 100 quintal yield grape wine must exceed 70 entire production process including fermentation subsequent aging required must carried entirely within production area specified Thanks excellent organoleptic characteristic resemblance wellknown grape variety Piedmont wine proudly surnamed “Barolo South” Aglianico del Vulture one popular Italian red wine nationally internationally demonstrate mention eleven “Great Mentions” “Gold Medal” awarded 2010 popular event Vinitaly Verona excellent quality wine long history production lead DOC Denominazione di Origine Controllata e Garantita happen 1971 additional recognition recent assignment DOCG Controlled Guaranteed Origin Denomination “Superior” type Aglianico del Vulture Characteristics Aglianico del Vulture DOC beautiful ruby red color appear progress aging garnet orange tone aroma intense balanced also accentuated age palate wine warm flavor savory dry overall harmonic balanced age becomes velvety content tannin ideal alcohol content included 115 ° 14 ° depending type wine ideal aging also marketed type “Vecchio” aged least 3 year including two wooden barrel “Riserva” minimum 5 year even case least two wooden barrel Aglianico del Vulture unaged sold one year harvest event 1 November following year also “Spumante” version interesting dessert wine called “Aglianico dolce” serve Due intense flavor fullbodied Aglianico del Vulture DOC particularly well meat white mainly red cooked spit oven wine ideal braised meat roast rich dish wild game fowl also great combination mature cheese Caciocavallo Lucano Canestrato di Moliterno IGP produced sheep goat milk recommended serving temperature 18–20 ° C sparkling version Aglianico del Vulture perfect accompaniment sweet dessert fruit tart pastry traditional dessert case wine served colder around 8–12 ° C Drinking give feeling antiquity wisdom body texture Aglianico one best expression land bornTags Wine Italy Travel |
191,193 | The Wine Rule | I take a lot of meetings, both personally and professionally as the founder of the watch company Martenero. There’s no set format — meetings can be in an office, cafe, bar, or just walking through the city. Anywhere really. They can be highly structured or off the cuff, goal-oriented or purely exploratory. As a whole, there’s very little consistency, which works so well because every person and every situation is unique. But there’s one not so little thing that is alarmingly consistent — people are always late, and they don’t think that it’s a big deal. They arrive 10, 15, even 30 minutes late, say that they are ‘sorry’ and ‘so busy’ and then look to me for empathy. They think that a disingenuous sorry makes everything okay. Well, it doesn’t. You disrespected me and my time, and you owe me more than a sorry. You owe me wine.
THE RULES
For these offenders I have created The Wine Rule. It’s quite simple and effective. Full set of rules below:
1) If you agree to meet me at a certain time, I will make every effort to be on time and I expect you to do the same.
2) There is a five minute grace period. I’m happy to consider a few minutes late as being ‘on time’.
3) If either party is more than five minutes late, that party owes the other a bottle of wine (nothing fancy; a drinkable $12 bottle will do).
4) Wine must be delivered within one week, or there are additional penalties.
5) I will enforce the rule with no exceptions.
WHY I DO THIS
I see two major reasons why chronic lateness is a big deal:
It’s Disrespectful
All of us have limited time on our hands, and I don’t think there’s a single person that doesn’t have better things to do than simply wait for someone else who can’t follow their own schedule.
You’re forcing someone to adapt to your own schedule rather than respecting both of your schedules. Whether you realize it or not, you’re sending the message that your time is more valuable than the other person’s. It’s not, and this is narcissism. Stop it.
It Likely Encourages Sloppiness In Other Parts of One’s Life
I don’t believe that actions exist in a vacuum. If you don’t do something as simple and fundamental as abiding by your own schedule, think about what else you could be mismanaging in your life:
What person close to you have you neglected contacting?
What project at work or on the side do you keep putting off?
What hobby do you always think about pursuing but (realistically, at the current pace) never will?
Begin by respecting both your own and other peoples’ schedules, and I would bet that that would carry over positively to other areas of your life.
THE REACTION
When I first tell people about the wine rule, I tend to get universal buy-in. They love the idea, agree that ‘everyone else’ is chronically late, and tell me how they have the same problem.
But when that person is late and I actually enforce the rule (see rule #5), people freak out. They are inevitably surprised that I enforce the rule, genuinely believe that they should be an exception to the rule, and that this one lateness was ‘different’ because they have ‘so much going on’. More than one person has begged not to have to pay up.
I’m constantly amazed at this reaction. You see, I don’t buy your excuses and I don’t care anyway. No, this time isn’t different, you’re not special, and you’re going to give me that bottle of wine because that’s what we agreed to.
THE AFTERMATH
Usually people get so annoyed after buying a bottle of wine or two that they are never late afterwards. There’s just something about this little gesture that people find so irritating, and avoiding these negative feelings becomes the prime motivator. This is a little piece of fascinating human psychology I’ve stumbled upon — how people can be so motivated not by any sense of enjoyment or fulfillment but rather by avoiding negative feelings or shame. Perhaps something worth exploring more deeply in the future.
After I created The Wine Rule everyone’s punctuality improved remarkably, and an aura of fun even developed around the whole thing. It’s become a joke, a friendly competition to see who can be on time the most. Not something I would have guessed was possible.
So the next time someone is late to meet you, and they offer you a dismissive ‘sorry’ which they clearly don’t mean, my advice is this: Smile, and utter those beautiful words: You owe me a bottle of wine.
Special thanks to Zeba Khan (accountability) and Matt O’Dowd (inspiration). Additional thanks to John Reineck and Greg Spielberg. And apologies to Alanna Gregory for that one time when I was one hour late. | https://medium.com/@johntarantino/the-wine-rule-ff0d3b4cda1e | ['John Tarantino'] | 2015-10-29 20:42:32.629000+00:00 | ['Wine'] | Title Wine RuleContent take lot meeting personally professionally founder watch company Martenero There’s set format — meeting office cafe bar walking city Anywhere really highly structured cuff goaloriented purely exploratory whole there’s little consistency work well every person every situation unique there’s one little thing alarmingly consistent — people always late don’t think it’s big deal arrive 10 15 even 30 minute late say ‘sorry’ ‘so busy’ look empathy think disingenuous sorry make everything okay Well doesn’t disrespected time owe sorry owe wine RULES offender created Wine Rule It’s quite simple effective Full set rule 1 agree meet certain time make every effort time expect 2 five minute grace period I’m happy consider minute late ‘on time’ 3 either party five minute late party owes bottle wine nothing fancy drinkable 12 bottle 4 Wine must delivered within one week additional penalty 5 enforce rule exception see two major reason chronic lateness big deal It’s Disrespectful u limited time hand don’t think there’s single person doesn’t better thing simply wait someone else can’t follow schedule You’re forcing someone adapt schedule rather respecting schedule Whether realize you’re sending message time valuable person’s It’s narcissism Stop Likely Encourages Sloppiness Parts One’s Life don’t believe action exist vacuum don’t something simple fundamental abiding schedule think else could mismanaging life person close neglected contacting project work side keep putting hobby always think pursuing realistically current pace never Begin respecting peoples’ schedule would bet would carry positively area life REACTION first tell people wine rule tend get universal buyin love idea agree ‘everyone else’ chronically late tell problem person late actually enforce rule see rule 5 people freak inevitably surprised enforce rule genuinely believe exception rule one lateness ‘different’ ‘so much going on’ one person begged pay I’m constantly amazed reaction see don’t buy excuse don’t care anyway time isn’t different you’re special you’re going give bottle wine that’s agreed AFTERMATH Usually people get annoyed buying bottle wine two never late afterwards There’s something little gesture people find irritating avoiding negative feeling becomes prime motivator little piece fascinating human psychology I’ve stumbled upon — people motivated sense enjoyment fulfillment rather avoiding negative feeling shame Perhaps something worth exploring deeply future created Wine Rule everyone’s punctuality improved remarkably aura fun even developed around whole thing It’s become joke friendly competition see time something would guessed possible next time someone late meet offer dismissive ‘sorry’ clearly don’t mean advice Smile utter beautiful word owe bottle wine Special thanks Zeba Khan accountability Matt O’Dowd inspiration Additional thanks John Reineck Greg Spielberg apology Alanna Gregory one time one hour lateTags Wine |
191,194 | Nothing is Accidental: Two Girls, One Wine | Nothing is Accidental: Two Girls, One Wine
Ashley is an intro level sommelier. You probably don’t know what that is. You’re forgiven— I didn’t know the details or the the intricacy of the job until she started on her journey to ultimate alcoholism. Sommeliers study wine and all that is involved in the exquisite process that give us the liquid of my people (social drunks). Variations of grapes are regional in countries all over the world, making each a unique and specific fruit. The dirt grapes are grown in affects the taste — I mean, who knew?
Now, I like wine. White preferably, or a light red. Why do I like wine? Mostly because I don’t love people, and wine doesn’t throw shade, or piss me off, or tell me to do things for it. Wine just lets me get a little drunk and relax. Wine is good to me. I don’t care where its been, or where it’s going, as long as we’re together at the end of a long day.
Ashley is very concerned with where her wine has been. She has to know the “why” and “how” her wine came to be. The make up, the essence of wine. She immerses herself in it, sipping slowly as I knock half a bottle back.
Our view from A Voce, overlooking a snow dusted Columbus Circle.
Ashley and I have gone to wine tastings before. Last February, we walked into A Voce in Columbus Circle — her as a potential buyer for the liquor store where she works, me as a social alcoholic — and stumbled out like fools. The other buyers were spitting their wine into communal buckets, which I considered wasteful (and disgusting). Ashley and I tasted 75 wines that day, which ended with us as the youngest, most under-dressed, drunkest people in the room. We asked for the wine list at dinner and waiter denied us. It was 4:30pm. Moral of the story, we know how to taste wine but Ashley has been practicing “blind” tastings, an integral part of the sommelier certification test. I thought it would be interesting to see how Ashley, well on her way to being an expert, understood wine as opposed to an uncultured swine like myself.
I walk into her house without knocking. I can hear her sitting in the kitchen with her mother, shouting at the Yankees as they lose to the Houston Astro’s. She’s clapping at the television, nods in my direction like a brute. I lay on the floor with her dogs.
This is our friendship.
Eventually, fed up with a Jeter-less squad, Ashley sets up her dining room table for our tasting. Two bottles of wine, two sheets of printer paper, four glasses and a glass pitcher. This already seems like too much for me.
“We’re going to be testing a theory”, she explains, placing the various items in perfect photo-op position. “We’re going to determine if decanting makes a difference.”
I stare at her blankly. She shakes her head and continues. “Decanting is the process of letting wine breathe. When the wine touches the air…” This went on. I am interested, but I just really, really would like a drink.
“Wine is starved of air, especially if it’s a Stelvin, or a screw cap. A cork lets a very small amount of air in, but air nonetheless. The second the air hits the wine, the wine is like “OH SHIT, HELLO!” and it’s characteristics usually end up changing. We’re here to determine the difference.”
Ashley pours the entire bottle of the deep crimson liquid into the pitcher. “This will allow the wine access to air a little quicker,” she adds, drawing columns for tasting notes on the sheets of paper she laid out. “Did you cleanse your palate?”
“Excuse me?” I know I have a foul mouth but now she was just being insulting.
“Rinse your mouth. You just ate dinner and drank raspberry ale. It’s gonna fuck with your tastebuds….I’m serious, Monica cleanse your damn palate!” I lethargically walk over to the kitchen sink. “How much longer do we have to wait for the wine to breathe?” I whine.
“Ten minutes.”
We wait. Ashley is taking pictures of wine glasses, I’m petting her dogs, and bantering with her mom. We are still waiting for this wine to catch it’s breath. I’m getting impatient. Finally, Ashley tells me its time and pours the wine into one of my glasses, which I instantly scoop up and dive into taking a sip, ready for it’s warm, boozy embrace on my lips.
“WAIT! We haven’t tested it yet! Stop holding it by the glass, you’re going to heat the wine and change the taste,” she scolds, grabbing the glass from my hand. “Jesus, your hands are hot as fuck.” I’m baffled.
“So you’re telling me I can’t drink yet…” What kind of cruelty did I subject myself to? This was my idea, wasn’t it…
“We’re going through the steps. First is sight.” She holds the glass up to the paper, attempting to look through the liquid. “This is a Shebang Ninth Cuvee, which is basically just a fancy way to say ‘a bunch of shit mixed into a barrel together.’ It doesn’t really make any sense to me. The middle is blood red — notice how you can’t see anything? There’s no opulence, but its lighter on the outside. The color hints whats in it, how old it is, the alcohol content. Makes me think that its blended Zinfandel, Petit Sirah maybe…we’ll check later.”
All I know is that I can’t see anything, its red, and kind of pink on the outside rim.
“Swirl it in your glass. Do you notice heavy drippage?” I laugh at the unnecessary sexual innuendo I created in an otherwise unsexy situation.
“Ew,” I giggle. “Drippage.”
“Thank you, Monica. Anyway, the streaks indicate that this has a really high alcohol content.” Good to know, because I need a solid buzz after all of this.
We moved on to the smelling part of the program. I stuck my honker into the glass and started rattling off scents. This is the part I like — early on in Ashley’s studies, we used to just name the things we smelled in wine, no matter how strange or absurd. Cat pee, maple syrup, grass, you name it. No smell was off limits even if it sounded like a strange ingredient for wine, because there was always a reason the wine smelled that way — the soil, or the region, or the grape, or the fermenting process.
“Swirl, smell, swirl, smell, swirl, sip.” Ashley instructs.
I swirl. A deep breath in floods my sense with raspberries and black berries and booze. Swirl again — straight vodka. I feel like my nose hairs are singed. I have a flashback to senior year high school, drinking raspberry Smirinoff in Jonathan’s basement. Mildew and rubbing alcohol and fruit. Lovely. I complete the process and finally, after 15 long minutes of waiting, take a hearty sip of this boozy fruity drink.
Salt walter. It tastes like vodka and salt water and it is disgusting. I swallow and almost gag, my mouth turning immediately into the Sahara Desert on it’s hottest day.
“Oh GOD, that’s fucking terrible,” I spatter, trying to bring moisture back to my cat tongue by guzzling water. “That tastes the salt water and death, and my mouth is SO dry, what is happening!”
“Tannins. It’s a dry wine, so there are a lot of tannins, making your mouth dry. Give it another sip. Let it sit in your mouth, suck some air through your teeth. I don’t think you tasted it right, so try again.”
“Again? Jesus.” I take a less generous sip this time, following Ashley’s specific instructions. The taste is infinitely worse.
“No. This…no, I’m pissed this wine is ass.”
“Yeah it’s not my favorite, but its important that we try the second bottle anyway, so we can determine if allowing the wine to decant actually makes a difference. I guarantee you’ll hate the second bottle more.” Very encouraging.
We now have to go through all of these steps a second time. The sight and smell were mostly the same, but the alcohol aroma was infinitely stronger this go-round. I was not thrilled to be drinking this sandy, boozy wine again, but it was my stupid idea to write about this stupid wine, so might as well complete the task at hand.
Swirl, smell, swirl, smell, sip. Salt water and booze, but less terrible this time. Less dry, more acidity, still intolerable.
We’ve completed the procedure. Twenty-five minutes, two bottles of Shebang, endless complaining on my end, all to conclude that decanting does in fact make a difference in the taste of wine. Ashley confirmed that the grapes she expected to be mixed together, were in fact part of the make up of this wine. The girl has skill. In the end, I preferred the undecanted wine; Ashley chose the opposite. If you’re thinking of giving this wine a taste, you should aim to drink the whole bottle in under 10 minutes. After that, too much air and you’ll be salty. Literally.
It is an amazing process honestly — the knowledge she has obtained and shared with me is so intricate and detailed and sultry and deep. I don’t have the patience for it — I drink wine to unwind. Ashley drinks wine to expand, explore regions of the world she’s never seen; understand a soil her feet have never touched. Her cultural acknowledgement is astounding. Her tastebuds are astute, picking up on flavors and textures my palate recognizes but cannot identify.
When we were cleaning up our mess, Ashley broke out a bottle of white that I could stomach. Pouring a glass, I quipped, “Honestly Ash…that wine was bad.”
“Just because you don’t like it doesn’t mean it’s bad,” she replied, evoking a raised eye brow from my corner of the table. “I don’t mean bad in regard to taste. I mean that your disgust doesn’t mean the wine is bad quality. This wine is intricate and bold and…honestly it smells like booze, but there’s a reason. Nothing is accidental.”
What an astounding metaphor. Nothing is accidental. Nothing would be worth the wait, or the taste or the warmth if we took a liking to everything. Sometimes you wait and you get a mouth full of salt water, like an unexpected crashing wave, slamming you in the face. And sometimes, after you let the moment — or the person, or the wine — breathe, you are met with a mind opening, mouth watering something, worth every second. | https://medium.com/wine-stories/nothing-is-accidental-two-girls-one-wine-6f2cfa0e4253 | ['Monica O Connor'] | 2015-11-05 14:07:24.066000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Sommelier', 'Humor'] | Title Nothing Accidental Two Girls One WineContent Nothing Accidental Two Girls One Wine Ashley intro level sommelier probably don’t know You’re forgiven— didn’t know detail intricacy job started journey ultimate alcoholism Sommeliers study wine involved exquisite process give u liquid people social drunk Variations grape regional country world making unique specific fruit dirt grape grown affect taste — mean knew like wine White preferably light red like wine Mostly don’t love people wine doesn’t throw shade piss tell thing Wine let get little drunk relax Wine good don’t care it’s going long we’re together end long day Ashley concerned wine know “why” “how” wine came make essence wine immerses sipping slowly knock half bottle back view Voce overlooking snow dusted Columbus Circle Ashley gone wine tasting Last February walked Voce Columbus Circle — potential buyer liquor store work social alcoholic — stumbled like fool buyer spitting wine communal bucket considered wasteful disgusting Ashley tasted 75 wine day ended u youngest underdressed drunkest people room asked wine list dinner waiter denied u 430pm Moral story know taste wine Ashley practicing “blind” tasting integral part sommelier certification test thought would interesting see Ashley well way expert understood wine opposed uncultured swine like walk house without knocking hear sitting kitchen mother shouting Yankees lose Houston Astro’s She’s clapping television nod direction like brute lay floor dog friendship Eventually fed Jeterless squad Ashley set dining room table tasting Two bottle wine two sheet printer paper four glass glass pitcher already seems like much “We’re going testing theory” explains placing various item perfect photoop position “We’re going determine decanting make difference” stare blankly shake head continues “Decanting process letting wine breathe wine touch air…” went interested really really would like drink “Wine starved air especially it’s Stelvin screw cap cork let small amount air air nonetheless second air hit wine wine like “OH SHIT HELLO” it’s characteristic usually end changing We’re determine difference” Ashley pours entire bottle deep crimson liquid pitcher “This allow wine access air little quicker” add drawing column tasting note sheet paper laid “Did cleanse palate” “Excuse me” know foul mouth insulting “Rinse mouth ate dinner drank raspberry ale It’s gonna fuck tastebuds…I’m serious Monica cleanse damn palate” lethargically walk kitchen sink “How much longer wait wine breathe” whine “Ten minutes” wait Ashley taking picture wine glass I’m petting dog bantering mom still waiting wine catch it’s breath I’m getting impatient Finally Ashley tell time pours wine one glass instantly scoop dive taking sip ready it’s warm boozy embrace lip “WAIT haven’t tested yet Stop holding glass you’re going heat wine change taste” scold grabbing glass hand “Jesus hand hot fuck” I’m baffled “So you’re telling can’t drink yet…” kind cruelty subject idea wasn’t it… “We’re going step First sight” hold glass paper attempting look liquid “This Shebang Ninth Cuvee basically fancy way say ‘a bunch shit mixed barrel together’ doesn’t really make sense middle blood red — notice can’t see anything There’s opulence lighter outside color hint whats old alcohol content Makes think blended Zinfandel Petit Sirah maybe…we’ll check later” know can’t see anything red kind pink outside rim “Swirl glass notice heavy drippage” laugh unnecessary sexual innuendo created otherwise unsexy situation “Ew” giggle “Drippage” “Thank Monica Anyway streak indicate really high alcohol content” Good know need solid buzz moved smelling part program stuck honker glass started rattling scent part like — early Ashley’s study used name thing smelled wine matter strange absurd Cat pee maple syrup grass name smell limit even sounded like strange ingredient wine always reason wine smelled way — soil region grape fermenting process “Swirl smell swirl smell swirl sip” Ashley instructs swirl deep breath flood sense raspberry black berry booze Swirl — straight vodka feel like nose hair singed flashback senior year high school drinking raspberry Smirinoff Jonathan’s basement Mildew rubbing alcohol fruit Lovely complete process finally 15 long minute waiting take hearty sip boozy fruity drink Salt walter taste like vodka salt water disgusting swallow almost gag mouth turning immediately Sahara Desert it’s hottest day “Oh GOD that’s fucking terrible” spatter trying bring moisture back cat tongue guzzling water “That taste salt water death mouth dry happening” “Tannins It’s dry wine lot tannin making mouth dry Give another sip Let sit mouth suck air teeth don’t think tasted right try again” “Again Jesus” take le generous sip time following Ashley’s specific instruction taste infinitely worse “No This…no I’m pissed wine ass” “Yeah it’s favorite important try second bottle anyway determine allowing wine decant actually make difference guarantee you’ll hate second bottle more” encouraging go step second time sight smell mostly alcohol aroma infinitely stronger goround thrilled drinking sandy boozy wine stupid idea write stupid wine might well complete task hand Swirl smell swirl smell sip Salt water booze le terrible time Less dry acidity still intolerable We’ve completed procedure Twentyfive minute two bottle Shebang endless complaining end conclude decanting fact make difference taste wine Ashley confirmed grape expected mixed together fact part make wine girl skill end preferred undecanted wine Ashley chose opposite you’re thinking giving wine taste aim drink whole bottle 10 minute much air you’ll salty Literally amazing process honestly — knowledge obtained shared intricate detailed sultry deep don’t patience — drink wine unwind Ashley drink wine expand explore region world she’s never seen understand soil foot never touched cultural acknowledgement astounding tastebud astute picking flavor texture palate recognizes cannot identify cleaning mess Ashley broke bottle white could stomach Pouring glass quipped “Honestly Ash…that wine bad” “Just don’t like doesn’t mean it’s bad” replied evoking raised eye brow corner table “I don’t mean bad regard taste mean disgust doesn’t mean wine bad quality wine intricate bold and…honestly smell like booze there’s reason Nothing accidental” astounding metaphor Nothing accidental Nothing would worth wait taste warmth took liking everything Sometimes wait get mouth full salt water like unexpected crashing wave slamming face sometimes let moment — person wine — breathe met mind opening mouth watering something worth every secondTags Wine Sommelier Humor |
191,195 | An Approach To Relaxation | Two years ago I gave up my home, gave away my belongings on the street in Chinatown and left New York with only a suitcase, headed into the unknown. It’s been a whirlwind and the dust is only now beginning to settle.
Along the way there have been many lessons and some that rocked my very center and tugged at the strings of my heart until it’s lovely juices happily poured out. There were also many long nights of wrestling with my decision to leave my friends, my home, my job and my city to embark on this journey.
Through it all, one thing became crystal clear: that I am the luckiest girl on the planet.
I have a best friend, I have a creative partner and I have a lover — all in the same person: Richard Betts.
I mean, who knew it was possible, to have all of the best pieces in the chocolate box?
Together we’ve gone deep to find what we both believe in, what we both want to put our collective weight behind. It had to be something we had a crush on, something that we wanted to paw at and take down… It had to be something that included a challenge, with a point of view that we could add to, something that wasn’t already ‘figured out’.
If I’ve learned anything since I left New York two years ago, it’s that a project such as this is really the most valuable kind. Everything is thrown onto the table: suggestions you’re unsure of, ideas you feel strongly about, things you are embarrassed you don’t already know…
You realize it’s not about you or your great idea at all; it’s about this super-cool opportunity to take an idea, and along with your partner, spin it from a lovely momentary gossamer thread into a bad-ass web of strength and purpose.
So yeah, An Approach To Relaxation will make wine. But the end goal is far more rich; we want to give you our all. All of the good shit we’ve mined from traveling over 300 days a year, all the scrumptious stuff we’re making, a peek into our own little world of ideas/ questions/ dreams; but most of all, a fantastic sense of levity in an otherwise dangerously serious life.
So come on! Jump on in!
We may bite, but not too hard.
Carla Rzeszewski | https://medium.com/@AATR/an-approach-to-relaxation-799cb7ca7786 | ['An Approach To Relaxation'] | 2015-10-15 22:34:27.202000+00:00 | ['Travel', 'Wine', 'Australia'] | Title Approach RelaxationContent Two year ago gave home gave away belonging street Chinatown left New York suitcase headed unknown It’s whirlwind dust beginning settle Along way many lesson rocked center tugged string heart it’s lovely juice happily poured also many long night wrestling decision leave friend home job city embark journey one thing became crystal clear luckiest girl planet best friend creative partner lover — person Richard Betts mean knew possible best piece chocolate box Together we’ve gone deep find believe want put collective weight behind something crush something wanted paw take down… something included challenge point view could add something wasn’t already ‘figured out’ I’ve learned anything since left New York two year ago it’s project really valuable kind Everything thrown onto table suggestion you’re unsure idea feel strongly thing embarrassed don’t already know… realize it’s great idea it’s supercool opportunity take idea along partner spin lovely momentary gossamer thread badass web strength purpose yeah Approach Relaxation make wine end goal far rich want give good shit we’ve mined traveling 300 day year scrumptious stuff we’re making peek little world idea question dream fantastic sense levity otherwise dangerously serious life come Jump may bite hard Carla RzeszewskiTags Travel Wine Australia |
191,196 | A few things I learned from my sister on her vineyard | Les Arabesques is in the South of France, about 30km west of Perpignan, between The Corbières and The Pyrénées mountains.
In the past year I’ve had the chance to spend more time with my sister Saskia on her vineyard, Les Arabesques. She owns a small estate in the Roussillon region of the South of France. It’s about 30km west of Perpignan, between The Corbières and the Pyrénées mountains. She is committed to growing grapes and making wine in a traditional and natural fashion. It’s still very new, this year was her third harvest. I’ve had the chance to learn more about winemaking talking with her, and occasionally helping throughout the season — so I also got some practical experience of the process.
The first thing that keeps blowing my mind is the timeline she works to. All she does is dictated by nature and seasons. Every choice she makes has an influence over her potential livelihood for the following 12 to 18 months or so. She creates the best context and environment possible, maybe give things a nudge in the right direction, and lets nature do its work.
I know it’s always been that way, but I’ve never been particularly close to nature. I’ve been used to working in large cities and advertising agency offices where the briefs are due yesterday. Everything needs to happen faster and faster. Everyone is busy and power-walking around. As soon as I arrive in a city, I walk faster from the moment I get off the plane or train. I spend time with brand clients trying to understand and explain the evolution of consumer or purchase behaviours. Peering over new and popular technologies, networks or apps that may well be obsolete or irrelevant tomorrow. Obsolescence is a recurring theme, businesses even bake it in their products, or if not release new goodies on shorter and shorter cycles to always create news and needs.
My sister works with the seasons. The project cycle is a year or more and necessarily adaptive. While the general seasonal pattern is the same every year, and the tasks roughly take place in the same order, there are still a lot of variations depending on the weather. She has a direction in mind for her wines, though has to adapt to what nature throws at her.
Winter is pruning time. While the vines are sleeping it’s time for her to go through all her plots and snip off the unwanted branches. I spent a day with her last winter where I was “pre-pruning”. Basically just cutting off the major branches without going into the detail, which are important choices she makes herself. She told me pruning is the job where the most knowledge and experience is required. There are several techniques she learned while being trained in Burgundy and Provence. As I understood it, she visualises the path the sap will most probably take from the roots to the branches. This guides where she prunes to encourage the growth of branches that will bear the most and/or best fruits for the harvest. It is quite similar to pruning a bonsai actually. Now she is getting to know her vines better in the third year, she also has a better idea of the way they behaved in the last harvest, pruning also based on her experience. Most of that work is done by herself with her dog, in cold, windy yet often sunny weather. She says there’s something meditative about caring for her vines during that time of year that she really enjoys.
In parallel, winter is also time for several professional exhibits and shows. It takes a lot of time to make the wine, and it takes time to sell it too. This year she was invited to participate in what is often considered the best professional show for organic and natural winemakers, Renaissance des Appellations (Return to Terroir). The yearly event gathers many of the best natural winemakers, sommeliers, and wine importers from around the world.
And if that wasn’t enough work already, the wine from her previous harvest is slowly getting ready. She has to watch out for any sudden shifts in temperature that might upset the wine in the cellar, check and taste it on a regular basis. Christmas is luckily a quieter time where she can generally take a few days off, away from her cellar.
The fullrange of Les Arabesques for 2013.
Spring time is mostly about fertilising and treating the vines, caring for them so that they’ll be able to be healthy, and resist trouble from fungi, diseases, or insects. That means going out before dawn to sprinkle the vines, as well as removing rocks and weeds from the plots. I tried removing weeds. It’s hard work. Stooped over with a small pickaxe hacking at the rocky terrain. It was another opportunity for her to make fun of my city like habits and general uselessness when it comes to most manual labour. It’s also bottling and labelling time for the wines from the previous harvest that are ready to be sold and drank. That’s where I’m more comfortable, particularly the drinking part of it.
The spring time work carries over into the summer, and then there’s a quieter time before harvest when many of the local winemakers can take a holiday, around late July or so. The rest is about selling wine, watching out for the weather, checking the progress of the growing fruits, watching out for any trouble that might take place, and generally gearing up for the harvest. I helped on the harvest for the first time this year. It’s tough work for the back, but it’s also a good time. It’s fun to be outside in the beautiful countryside, bantering with other grape pickers under the watchful eye of my sister’s partner. He plays the role of mock tough supervisor, to the tone of “I don’t want to see a single leaf in those baskets! We’re not brewing tea here, monsieur!”
Everything at that moment is crucial, from the grapes picked or set aside, to the choices made in the cellar. Are these grapes ready to be harvested yet? How much sugar content do they have now and how does that compare with the alcohol level I’m aiming for? How many days should these grapes ferment before being pressed? With or without the stems? These are only a few of the questions she has on her mind at that time of year. There might be more bottling beforehand too, for the wine from the previous year that wasn’t ready for consumption yet, and to make space in the cellar for the new wine.
Grape juice fresh from the press.
I learned that grapes for rosé and white wine are pressed immediately after being harvested. Grapes for red wines can be pressed later, the when and how depends on the kind of wine being made. I tried the age old tradition of stomping on grapes, which is both harder work than it seems and pretty satisfying. It’s not just folklore, it serves an important purpose. Given the grapes have just been picked, the berries are still firm. The press works from the top down and is flat. Stomping the berries helps more grape juice to be extracted. If they aren’t stomped then a lot of berries can be stuck at the bottom without being pressed, and you can lose a lot of juice.
As soon as the excitement of the harvest is passed, it’s already autumn and time to keep in contact with her clients, as well as find new ones. Most wine cellars and restaurants start ordering and stocking up for the end of year holiday season. Meanwhile she also has to watch out for this year’s wine fermentation progress. Update Facebook with new photos from the harvest. Watch out for any press or worthwhile professional show opportunities. Then of course there’s the joys of year-end admin and finance.
And the cycle starts again.
As a strategist an important part of my job in advertising is to synthesise everything I learn from research for a particular brand in order to provide a direction for the creative team. While I might have the chance to do some research with people and try a product or service before a write a brief, I rarely have that much time to really experience it in the way I have with the vineyard in the past year, and even then I’ve probably only skimmed the surface. That said, I certainly have a new appreciation for working with nature that I hope I’ll be able to take into account for future work.
What I’d write in a brief is traditionally called a single-minded communication, or proposition. Most of the time it’s one sentence, as short and inspiring as possible. It encapsulates the main message to be communicated.
In this case It might be a shame to try and summarise something as complex as this process to a single short sentence. It would be near impossible to do it justice. Traditionally made wine like my sister’s should really be tasted (I recommend getting advice from a professional in a wine cellar or restaurant to try a good one). Each one is unique. You won’t necessarily like every one you try, but you’ll find one that you enjoy. If you get into it you might even have a hard time going back to mass produced wines.
Fortunately I don’t have to write a short sentence here. If you’ve read this far you may well be the kind of person that will remember and appreciate the amount of work that goes into these wines when you taste one.
Follow what’s going on with Les Arabesques on Facebook here.
This post was originally published on my blog, Ice Cream for Everyone. | https://medium.com/@willemvdh/a-few-things-i-learned-from-my-sister-on-her-vineyard-f6425fc7f798 | ['Willem Van Der Horst'] | 2015-10-15 08:20:46.115000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Winemaking', 'Learning'] | Title thing learned sister vineyardContent Les Arabesques South France 30km west Perpignan Corbières Pyrénées mountain past year I’ve chance spend time sister Saskia vineyard Les Arabesques owns small estate Roussillon region South France It’s 30km west Perpignan Corbières Pyrénées mountain committed growing grape making wine traditional natural fashion It’s still new year third harvest I’ve chance learn winemaking talking occasionally helping throughout season — also got practical experience process first thing keep blowing mind timeline work dictated nature season Every choice make influence potential livelihood following 12 18 month creates best context environment possible maybe give thing nudge right direction let nature work know it’s always way I’ve never particularly close nature I’ve used working large city advertising agency office brief due yesterday Everything need happen faster faster Everyone busy powerwalking around soon arrive city walk faster moment get plane train spend time brand client trying understand explain evolution consumer purchase behaviour Peering new popular technology network apps may well obsolete irrelevant tomorrow Obsolescence recurring theme business even bake product release new goody shorter shorter cycle always create news need sister work season project cycle year necessarily adaptive general seasonal pattern every year task roughly take place order still lot variation depending weather direction mind wine though adapt nature throw Winter pruning time vine sleeping it’s time go plot snip unwanted branch spent day last winter “prepruning” Basically cutting major branch without going detail important choice make told pruning job knowledge experience required several technique learned trained Burgundy Provence understood visualises path sap probably take root branch guide prune encourage growth branch bear andor best fruit harvest quite similar pruning bonsai actually getting know vine better third year also better idea way behaved last harvest pruning also based experience work done dog cold windy yet often sunny weather say there’s something meditative caring vine time year really enjoys parallel winter also time several professional exhibit show take lot time make wine take time sell year invited participate often considered best professional show organic natural winemaker Renaissance de Appellations Return Terroir yearly event gather many best natural winemaker sommelier wine importer around world wasn’t enough work already wine previous harvest slowly getting ready watch sudden shift temperature might upset wine cellar check taste regular basis Christmas luckily quieter time generally take day away cellar fullrange Les Arabesques 2013 Spring time mostly fertilising treating vine caring they’ll able healthy resist trouble fungi disease insect mean going dawn sprinkle vine well removing rock weed plot tried removing weed It’s hard work Stooped small pickaxe hacking rocky terrain another opportunity make fun city like habit general uselessness come manual labour It’s also bottling labelling time wine previous harvest ready sold drank That’s I’m comfortable particularly drinking part spring time work carry summer there’s quieter time harvest many local winemaker take holiday around late July rest selling wine watching weather checking progress growing fruit watching trouble might take place generally gearing harvest helped harvest first time year It’s tough work back it’s also good time It’s fun outside beautiful countryside bantering grape picker watchful eye sister’s partner play role mock tough supervisor tone “I don’t want see single leaf basket We’re brewing tea monsieur” Everything moment crucial grape picked set aside choice made cellar grape ready harvested yet much sugar content compare alcohol level I’m aiming many day grape ferment pressed without stem question mind time year might bottling beforehand wine previous year wasn’t ready consumption yet make space cellar new wine Grape juice fresh press learned grape rosé white wine pressed immediately harvested Grapes red wine pressed later depends kind wine made tried age old tradition stomping grape harder work seems pretty satisfying It’s folklore serf important purpose Given grape picked berry still firm press work top flat Stomping berry help grape juice extracted aren’t stomped lot berry stuck bottom without pressed lose lot juice soon excitement harvest passed it’s already autumn time keep contact client well find new one wine cellar restaurant start ordering stocking end year holiday season Meanwhile also watch year’s wine fermentation progress Update Facebook new photo harvest Watch press worthwhile professional show opportunity course there’s joy yearend admin finance cycle start strategist important part job advertising synthesise everything learn research particular brand order provide direction creative team might chance research people try product service write brief rarely much time really experience way vineyard past year even I’ve probably skimmed surface said certainly new appreciation working nature hope I’ll able take account future work I’d write brief traditionally called singleminded communication proposition time it’s one sentence short inspiring possible encapsulates main message communicated case might shame try summarise something complex process single short sentence would near impossible justice Traditionally made wine like sister’s really tasted recommend getting advice professional wine cellar restaurant try good one one unique won’t necessarily like every one try you’ll find one enjoy get might even hard time going back mass produced wine Fortunately don’t write short sentence you’ve read far may well kind person remember appreciate amount work go wine taste one Follow what’s going Les Arabesques Facebook post originally published blog Ice Cream EveryoneTags Wine Winemaking Learning |
191,197 | Saying Goodbye To Fear On The R-Train | Saying Goodbye To Fear On The R-Train
On the R-train, stopped for half an hour. Someone’s sick in the train in front of us. Tending to the ill means sitting for the rest of us. At least everyone has a seat. It is a Saturday, 12;15 when we left. Some are getting antsy and annoyed, namely the man sitting next to me. “Just take the sick person off of the train. Then we can go. Just take them away”, he pleads. Others are looking around, maybe searching for similar feelings in the faces of those sitting around them? Some are sleeping. I’m listening to a podcast that I’m thankful downloaded before we lost service.
I’ve been feeling anxious myself lately. Lost in the everyday tasks. Struggling with the voices in my head asking questions about the future. What do you want to do? Where/what are your passions? Should it be this hard?
I’ve tried to write. It’s feeling forced. This all started a few weeks ago. When I got back from California. I’ve been going in circles. Write more like this. Write more topics on “that” subject, whatever it may be.
But here I am, now on a moving train (thankfully) listening to a podcast from The Guild of Sommeliers — the Past and Future of the Sommelier. I start to wonder…why do I keep toying with the decision to deepen my understanding of the world of wine yet almost always move away from it? Brushing aside the innate interest and enjoyment that arises when I watch a documentary, talk to someone at a wine store who tells me about a particular wine that would pair perfectly with my spicy sausage pasta with red sauce, when listening to these podcasts, or the (good) anxiousness of waiting for Into The Bottle to come out and wishing I could go to the Napa film festival to see its premiere.
While stuck on the R, I think I’ve figured it out.
Fear.
The possibility of failing. Not having whatever “it” is to make it. The wine industry was somewhat foreign to me when it came to being a profession. Other than making almost everyone I know watch Somm with me (going on 9 times now) when I find the chance to bring it up in a conversation, I don’t think many people I know are aware of the opportunities either. The unknown can be scary. It’s not accounting, marketing, law, medicine, etc. It’s a somewhat non-traditional path.
So, as I sit here, an hour after I left my house with still 30 minutes till I reach my destination, I realize I need to stop letting fear stop me. I know what I enjoy. I know where my passions are growing.
Now, I just need to get to it. I can do this.
As the beginning of this post reads, I wrote this on a Saturday — a few weeks ago actually. It is now Wednesday night and I’m happy to say I have officially started my journey! This afternoon I signed up for the WSET Level 1 course. The first level will cover the main styles and types of wine, the characteristics of the primary wine grape varieties, wine service and tasting technique to name a few topics. The course doesn’t begin until December (unless I get off the waitlist for November!) but I cannot wait to begin.
Celebrating with that bottle pictured above, carving pumpkins, and listening to a halloween playlist (monster mash, anyone?).
Don’t let fear hold you back from taking that first step. You’ll never know what you can achieve unless you try. Because really, what’s the alternative — wondering if you could have done this or that? Going over the “what ifs”? Not pursuing something that makes you happy? Life is hard but it’s much harder if you settle and don’t go after pure happiness.
So, cheers to saying goodbye to fear and acknowledging my passion while stuck in train traffic, to late night writing, and to a lot more wine in the future!
Thanks for reading!
This post originally appeared on Pardon My French where I share bits of New York living, food, diy projects, and now more wine. Follow along and say hello on the blog, twitter, or instagram! | https://medium.com/@ashley_cooper/saying-goodbye-to-fear-on-the-r-train-7fa21524529c | ['Ashley Cooper'] | 2015-10-29 16:26:23.593000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Life Lessons', 'Passion'] | Title Saying Goodbye Fear RTrainContent Saying Goodbye Fear RTrain Rtrain stopped half hour Someone’s sick train front u Tending ill mean sitting rest u least everyone seat Saturday 1215 left getting antsy annoyed namely man sitting next “Just take sick person train go take away” pleads Others looking around maybe searching similar feeling face sitting around sleeping I’m listening podcast I’m thankful downloaded lost service I’ve feeling anxious lately Lost everyday task Struggling voice head asking question future want Wherewhat passion hard I’ve tried write It’s feeling forced started week ago got back California I’ve going circle Write like Write topic “that” subject whatever may moving train thankfully listening podcast Guild Sommeliers — Past Future Sommelier start wonder…why keep toying decision deepen understanding world wine yet almost always move away Brushing aside innate interest enjoyment arises watch documentary talk someone wine store tell particular wine would pair perfectly spicy sausage pasta red sauce listening podcasts good anxiousness waiting Bottle come wishing could go Napa film festival see premiere stuck R think I’ve figured Fear possibility failing whatever “it” make wine industry somewhat foreign came profession making almost everyone know watch Somm going 9 time find chance bring conversation don’t think many people know aware opportunity either unknown scary It’s accounting marketing law medicine etc It’s somewhat nontraditional path sit hour left house still 30 minute till reach destination realize need stop letting fear stop know enjoy know passion growing need get beginning post read wrote Saturday — week ago actually Wednesday night I’m happy say officially started journey afternoon signed WSET Level 1 course first level cover main style type wine characteristic primary wine grape variety wine service tasting technique name topic course doesn’t begin December unless get waitlist November cannot wait begin Celebrating bottle pictured carving pumpkin listening halloween playlist monster mash anyone Don’t let fear hold back taking first step You’ll never know achieve unless try really what’s alternative — wondering could done Going “what ifs” pursuing something make happy Life hard it’s much harder settle don’t go pure happiness cheer saying goodbye fear acknowledging passion stuck train traffic late night writing lot wine future Thanks reading post originally appeared Pardon French share bit New York living food diy project wine Follow along say hello blog twitter instagramTags Wine Life Lessons Passion |
191,198 | Interview with Schramsberg CEO Hugh Davies | Schramsberg is likely the greatest sparkling wine in the business.
This season, keep your eyes on the bubbles. Sparkling wine & the French version, Champagne, are synonymous with celebration. These fabulous concoctions deserve a place in our everyday life. Not reserved solely for celebration. Before you purchase that next bottle, sink your teeth into this: sparkling wines and champagne run about ten calories less per glass than a red or sweet wine. Every day should be a celebration!
Schramsberg has built a reputation out of quality, dedication and vision. Creating the best possible sparkling in the business is what they’re known for. They don’t stop there. Schramsberg also carries quality stills with their Davies, J. Davies and Jamie brands making exceptional quality Cabernet Sauvignon and Pinot Noir.
Interview with Senior Winemaker, Sean Thompson
https://youtu.be/pt-xV2lNzOQ?list=PL42a5ixs02TwXtGY-HT035pxgv5zaIGer
In 1965 the Davies family was captivated by the idea of building a wine company. Jack & Jamie Davies, along with their young brood, found a beautiful spot in Napa Valley. This winery, now 154 years old, is located on Diamond Mountain. Diamond Mountain is part of the extensive 52 mile Mayacamas Mountain range and is located between Calistoga and St. Helena. It had a house on it and vines that were more of a nature experiment than vines they might use, but they saw the same promise one Jacob Schram saw almost 100 years before their arrival and embraced the chance to put their drive in action. There were just 22 wineries operating in 1965, but the Davies had a vision, a dream, and a family to take care of and were focused on the goal.
“We’re going to carve our niche as the ultimate producer of sparkling wine in the United States”
With a Harvard MBA under his belt, Mr. Davies knew that focus on a unique offering could make this new business a success. He and Jamie determined a sparkling California wine was one they could embrace using old world methods to ferment. Méthode Traditionelle is a labor intensive and more expensive, involving a -secondary fermentation- and is also known as “The Champagne Method”. First, a base wine is fermented in steel or oak barrels and then it is moved to bottle for secondary fermentation. The devotion and focus Jack & Jamie Davies had on producing sparkling using this method paid off significantly. They set a precedent for others to follow.
“The one thing we don’t want to lose sight on is the initial vision we started out with.”
The thing about a start-up, then or now; it doesn’t matter how much money you have, you are always gambling. Prohibition left vineyards and the industry in an abominable state. With time the industry started to turn around. Jack and Jamie Davies had the vision, tenacity, and determination to make this work. The hard work would not go unnoticed. It was about the time the man landed on the moon that the Davies family got their first landmark recognition. It arrived at one of the most historic meetings the world would see.
Their Blanc de Blancs was the first American made wine served at an official U.S. State function, and it made an outstanding debut for the historic meeting of the minds with global leaders between the U.S. and China in 1972. Today, it continues to be a mainstay of the White House.
www.schramsberg.com
Thanks for reading
The Wine Siren | https://medium.com/@kellymitchell/interview-with-schramsberg-ceo-hugh-davies-75fe7f8e35c8 | ['Kelly Mitchell'] | 2016-12-30 02:23:38.927000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Sparkling Wine'] | Title Interview Schramsberg CEO Hugh DaviesContent Schramsberg likely greatest sparkling wine business season keep eye bubble Sparkling wine French version Champagne synonymous celebration fabulous concoction deserve place everyday life reserved solely celebration purchase next bottle sink teeth sparkling wine champagne run ten calorie le per glass red sweet wine Every day celebration Schramsberg built reputation quality dedication vision Creating best possible sparkling business they’re known don’t stop Schramsberg also carry quality still Davies J Davies Jamie brand making exceptional quality Cabernet Sauvignon Pinot Noir Interview Senior Winemaker Sean Thompson httpsyoutubeptxV2lNzOQlistPL42a5ixs02TwXtGYHT035pxgv5zaIGer 1965 Davies family captivated idea building wine company Jack Jamie Davies along young brood found beautiful spot Napa Valley winery 154 year old located Diamond Mountain Diamond Mountain part extensive 52 mile Mayacamas Mountain range located Calistoga St Helena house vine nature experiment vine might use saw promise one Jacob Schram saw almost 100 year arrival embraced chance put drive action 22 winery operating 1965 Davies vision dream family take care focused goal “We’re going carve niche ultimate producer sparkling wine United States” Harvard MBA belt Mr Davies knew focus unique offering could make new business success Jamie determined sparkling California wine one could embrace using old world method ferment Méthode Traditionelle labor intensive expensive involving secondary fermentation also known “The Champagne Method” First base wine fermented steel oak barrel moved bottle secondary fermentation devotion focus Jack Jamie Davies producing sparkling using method paid significantly set precedent others follow “The one thing don’t want lose sight initial vision started with” thing startup doesn’t matter much money always gambling Prohibition left vineyard industry abominable state time industry started turn around Jack Jamie Davies vision tenacity determination make work hard work would go unnoticed time man landed moon Davies family got first landmark recognition arrived one historic meeting world would see Blanc de Blancs first American made wine served official US State function made outstanding debut historic meeting mind global leader US China 1972 Today continues mainstay White House wwwschramsbergcom Thanks reading Wine SirenTags Wine Sparkling Wine |
191,199 | Gone Grapes | After enjoying (and attempting to translate) Nico Orengo’s Of Violets and Licorice (Di viole e liquirizia), a novel set in the Langhe wine region of Piedmont, Italy, I’m now slowly working my way through another of his novels, The Anchovy’s Leap (Il salto dell’acciuga). This one is set in the western part of Liguria (the “Riviera di Ponente”), and it’s a short, rambling novel about anchovy fishermen, smugglers, and the salt monopoly in the old Republic of Genoa.
In one scene, three anchovy fisherman talk about figs, fish, and grapes:
During the lowering of the nets, if the sea was calm, with Ernesto at the oars, Giga at the nets, and Rebissu standing on the seat to lay them in the water, they paraded between Grimaldi and Ventimiglia, the land of the far Ponente. Rebissu looked at the coast and launched into a litany: “ You still see some Pissalutto figs, a few Porcasso, not one Berorfo — and it’s a good thing because they suck — but the Arbicone, as well as the Turco, Merlenco, or Carabroncin, are worth keeping.” Giga shrugged, “It’s the same way with fish. All of a sudden some disappear and you can’t find them anymore. Take the Girella. One time this was a sea of Girella. And now? You can’t buy one.” “Like grapes,” Ernesto added, “it wasn’t just Rossese or Vermentino, it was Negron, Barbarossa, Tabacca, Marcionira, Isoarda, Triglia, Tetina, Coasseu, Alicante. Many grapes…” “And many wines,” Rebissu and Giga replied.
When it comes to wine, I am merely a curious amateur. The list of grapes aroused my curiosity, but this amateur only recognized (however vaguely) the two main varieties, Rossese and Vermentino. I checked Wine Grapes: A Complete Guide to 1,368 Vine Varieties, Including Their Origins and Flavours. Besides Rossese and Vermentino, only Barbarossa and Alicante were listed. I confess that I don’t own the book — I only checked a list of grapes that happened to be available in the Amazon preview. Perhaps they are mentioned elsewhere as alternative names, but the book is too expensive for a casually researched article like this, so instead I looked elsewhere.
In Wikipedia’s list of Italian grapes, of the lost grapes mentioned by Ernesto, only Barbarossa is included. The online Vitis International Variety Catalogue, which has 23000 varieties of cultivated grapes (cultivars is the term they use), included Negron and Tabacca, but none of the other lost grapes.
But then googling the grape names turned up a 20-page document, I vitigni liguri dall’inizio dell’800 a oggi (Ligurian grape varieties from the 800s until today). It references the diaries of Georges Gallesio, an Italian botanist who traveled through Liguria in 1829 and 1830 and made notes on the grape varieties he encountered. Below is my rough translation of a section about the grapes of western Liguria. All the grapes cited by Ernesto appear in this list, and I’ve put their names in bold. (How accurate are my translations? I’m certain they’re not 100% correct, 75% sure they’re 75% correct, and 100% sure they’re at least 50% correct. I hope that helps.)
On August 30th the Count traveled to Menton, passing through Ventimiglia. Here’s the entire list of the grapes in Ventimiglia in 1829, which includes some varieties that still exist and others that we’ve lost track of: 1) Rossese: deep-red color, early ripening, medium-size, bunches of irregular shapes, with grapes mostly uniform and medium sized, producing deep-reddish wine, sweet or tart depending on how you want it, and mostly alcoholic. 2) Negron: pyramid-shaped bunches, berries tightly packed with a glossy-black color, short stems; the wine is more alcoholic and bitter, but good, better for aging and for sea voyages. 3) Crovaireura: irregular bunches, oblong grapes, black, good wine, alcoholic. 4) Caglian: almost similar to Rossese in color, larger and rounder grapes, darker on the inside, good and alcoholic wine. 5) Bruna: black, small bunches, elongated, small grapes, mostly uniform, alcoholic wine 6) Aleatico: almost similar to Rosesse in its shape; excellent wine, similar to the Aleatico from Tuscany. 7) Alicante: black, medium-sized bunches, excellent wine, strong, similar to Alicante, improves with age. 8) Barbarossa: rose-colored, large bunches and grapes, makes a lot but the wine is low alcohol. 9) Moscatello nero: shiny black, with small bunches, medium-sized grapes, strong wine with the taste of moscato. 10) Tabacca: white grape, huge bunches, some are 8 to 10 pounds, large and elongated grapes, produces many grapes, the wine is powerful and spirited. 11) Vermentino: white, large bunches, as are the grapes, wine not too alcoholic but excellent, mixing with Moscatello removes the harshness and makes it pleasant. 12) Marcionira: white grapes, early ripening, produces a lot of wine, even more than Tabaca, sweet and low alcohol 13) Rossese bianco: white grape, it has but a dissimilar color 14) Caglian bianco: large bunches, grapes also, low alcohol wine and subject to spoiling 15) Isoardo: white, long bunches, medium grapes, tightly packed; excellent and alcoholic wine 16) Coasseu: white grape, long bunches, thin, round grapes, medium, gathered, excellent taste, consistent skin; not very suitable for wine, stays fresh a long time. 17) Tetina: white grape, large bunches, long grapes, arched, almost without granules, not suitable for making wine, delicious taste, consistent, they keep in brandy, it is an excellent invigoration during winter. 18) Moscatellon: white grape, large bunches and grapes, elongated, very good, with the taste of moscato, not suitable for making wine, which comes out weak; it also keeps well in brandy. 19) Triglia: black grape, large bunches, large oblong grapes, stays fresh in the winter and also in brandy. This remarkable list of grapes deserves some consideration. First of all, there is the presence of different red varieties, now disappeared, and the definitive citation of Rossese as a valid red wine varietal — one that still exists and is much sought after — instead of as an exclusively white varietal. It will later appear in an entry published in the Pomona Italiana, that Rossese, even according to the same Gallesio, was a varietal made exclusively from white berries well known and esteemed in the Cinque Terre, in the hills of Savona, Albisola and Finale in properties owned by the same family. Furthermore it takes into account some particular characteristics of some varietals such as the capacity to produce wines destined to be preserved a long time on boats (after all, we are in Liguria), to produce elevated levels of alcohol, to yield large quantities of grapes for wine and for the table, and for keeping a long time in brandy or dried out.
Some of the grapes listed are “table grapes” unsuited for making wine, and it’s possible that some of the “lost” grapes are well-known grapes given different names, but it’s still a lot of varieties for such a small and relatively obscure wine region. I can’t help thinking that the 1368 varieties in Wine Grapes are just the tip of the wine-grape iceberg. | https://medium.com/@tjoyner/gone-grapes-a63be2d4f0b | ['Tom Joyner'] | 2016-12-16 19:02:13.134000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Novels', 'Italy'] | Title Gone GrapesContent enjoying attempting translate Nico Orengo’s Violets Licorice Di viole e liquirizia novel set Langhe wine region Piedmont Italy I’m slowly working way another novel Anchovy’s Leap Il salto dell’acciuga one set western part Liguria “Riviera di Ponente” it’s short rambling novel anchovy fisherman smuggler salt monopoly old Republic Genoa one scene three anchovy fisherman talk fig fish grape lowering net sea calm Ernesto oar Giga net Rebissu standing seat lay water paraded Grimaldi Ventimiglia land far Ponente Rebissu looked coast launched litany “ still see Pissalutto fig Porcasso one Berorfo — it’s good thing suck — Arbicone well Turco Merlenco Carabroncin worth keeping” Giga shrugged “It’s way fish sudden disappear can’t find anymore Take Girella One time sea Girella can’t buy one” “Like grapes” Ernesto added “it wasn’t Rossese Vermentino Negron Barbarossa Tabacca Marcionira Isoarda Triglia Tetina Coasseu Alicante Many grapes…” “And many wines” Rebissu Giga replied come wine merely curious amateur list grape aroused curiosity amateur recognized however vaguely two main variety Rossese Vermentino checked Wine Grapes Complete Guide 1368 Vine Varieties Including Origins Flavours Besides Rossese Vermentino Barbarossa Alicante listed confess don’t book — checked list grape happened available Amazon preview Perhaps mentioned elsewhere alternative name book expensive casually researched article like instead looked elsewhere Wikipedia’s list Italian grape lost grape mentioned Ernesto Barbarossa included online Vitis International Variety Catalogue 23000 variety cultivated grape cultivar term use included Negron Tabacca none lost grape googling grape name turned 20page document vitigni liguri dall’inizio dell’800 oggi Ligurian grape variety 800s today reference diary Georges Gallesio Italian botanist traveled Liguria 1829 1830 made note grape variety encountered rough translation section grape western Liguria grape cited Ernesto appear list I’ve put name bold accurate translation I’m certain they’re 100 correct 75 sure they’re 75 correct 100 sure they’re least 50 correct hope help August 30th Count traveled Menton passing Ventimiglia Here’s entire list grape Ventimiglia 1829 includes variety still exist others we’ve lost track 1 Rossese deepred color early ripening mediumsize bunch irregular shape grape mostly uniform medium sized producing deepreddish wine sweet tart depending want mostly alcoholic 2 Negron pyramidshaped bunch berry tightly packed glossyblack color short stem wine alcoholic bitter good better aging sea voyage 3 Crovaireura irregular bunch oblong grape black good wine alcoholic 4 Caglian almost similar Rossese color larger rounder grape darker inside good alcoholic wine 5 Bruna black small bunch elongated small grape mostly uniform alcoholic wine 6 Aleatico almost similar Rosesse shape excellent wine similar Aleatico Tuscany 7 Alicante black mediumsized bunch excellent wine strong similar Alicante improves age 8 Barbarossa rosecolored large bunch grape make lot wine low alcohol 9 Moscatello nero shiny black small bunch mediumsized grape strong wine taste moscato 10 Tabacca white grape huge bunch 8 10 pound large elongated grape produce many grape wine powerful spirited 11 Vermentino white large bunch grape wine alcoholic excellent mixing Moscatello remove harshness make pleasant 12 Marcionira white grape early ripening produce lot wine even Tabaca sweet low alcohol 13 Rossese bianco white grape dissimilar color 14 Caglian bianco large bunch grape also low alcohol wine subject spoiling 15 Isoardo white long bunch medium grape tightly packed excellent alcoholic wine 16 Coasseu white grape long bunch thin round grape medium gathered excellent taste consistent skin suitable wine stay fresh long time 17 Tetina white grape large bunch long grape arched almost without granule suitable making wine delicious taste consistent keep brandy excellent invigoration winter 18 Moscatellon white grape large bunch grape elongated good taste moscato suitable making wine come weak also keep well brandy 19 Triglia black grape large bunch large oblong grape stay fresh winter also brandy remarkable list grape deserves consideration First presence different red variety disappeared definitive citation Rossese valid red wine varietal — one still exists much sought — instead exclusively white varietal later appear entry published Pomona Italiana Rossese even according Gallesio varietal made exclusively white berry well known esteemed Cinque Terre hill Savona Albisola Finale property owned family Furthermore take account particular characteristic varietal capacity produce wine destined preserved long time boat Liguria produce elevated level alcohol yield large quantity grape wine table keeping long time brandy dried grape listed “table grapes” unsuited making wine it’s possible “lost” grape wellknown grape given different name it’s still lot variety small relatively obscure wine region can’t help thinking 1368 variety Wine Grapes tip winegrape icebergTags Wine Novels Italy |
191,200 | Gifts Your Mom Wants, Seriously. | She’s the most important woman in your life, which also makes her the toughest person to shop for. And even though she says all she wants is a hug from her kids, a little something extra wouldn’t hurt to show your appreciation. Here are my top gift picks for moms.
1. The coziest fur throw
Because her toes are always cold. Buy it in tons of shades for $29.99
2. A Fire tablet.
For the mom who loves to read (or watch Netflix). Buy it on sale for $39.99
3. Glasses that celebrate her tiger-momness
Fierce. Starting at $14.99
4. A heated foot massager
Ahhhhhhh. Buy it for $43.99
5. An energy drink for her eyes
Because momming is hard. Buy 12 for $16.95
6. A fancy wine opener.
Because she deserves the best. Buy it for $19.99
7. A bag that says what she really wants.
And maybe a ticket out of town. Buy it for $54
8. Best-selling silicone baking mats.
So (hint, hint) she’ll bake her famous cookies. Buy two for $13.79.
9. Unlimited range walkie talkies.
Because you already call her four times per day. Buy them for $189.99.
10. A purifying face mask that magically bubbles
The funnest in-home spa experience. Buy it for $10.98 | https://medium.com/@Get_Margo/gifts-your-mom-wants-seriously-c04b830dabf8 | ['Renee Jaffe'] | 2016-12-16 20:42:40.253000+00:00 | ['Gifts', 'Moms', 'Beauty', 'Wine', 'Shopping'] | Title Gifts Mom Wants SeriouslyContent She’s important woman life also make toughest person shop even though say want hug kid little something extra wouldn’t hurt show appreciation top gift pick mom 1 coziest fur throw toe always cold Buy ton shade 2999 2 Fire tablet mom love read watch Netflix Buy sale 3999 3 Glasses celebrate tigermomness Fierce Starting 1499 4 heated foot massager Ahhhhhhh Buy 4399 5 energy drink eye momming hard Buy 12 1695 6 fancy wine opener deserves best Buy 1999 7 bag say really want maybe ticket town Buy 54 8 Bestselling silicone baking mat hint hint she’ll bake famous cooky Buy two 1379 9 Unlimited range walkie talkie already call four time per day Buy 18999 10 purifying face mask magically bubble funnest inhome spa experience Buy 1098Tags Gifts Moms Beauty Wine Shopping |
191,201 | Wine Cellar Secrets: A Day In The Life Of Quintessentially Wine | Wine Cellar Secrets: A Day In The Life Of Quintessentially Wine
Chapter Ten: The Oenophiles
“So, talk to me, Ken. Tell me about wine.”
Wilkes smiled. “Well, it’s made from grapes, sir, and you can get red, white or rose.”
Tinnion paused, half-way down in his chair, and fixed the sergeant with a steely glare that had a glint of humour in his eyes.
“When do you retire again?”
“Not until my family are free of childhood diseases. So at least another ten years.”
“Good.”
Tinnion sat down fully and stretched his legs out under the table. He suppressed a yawn — his body was reminding him that he had been up late the previous night — and crossed his arms across his chest.
“Why do people get so passionate about wines?” he asked. “I mean, why do people care about wine so much? You don’t get connoisseurs of lager — well, not that I’ve heard, anyway — so why do people become connoisseurs of wine?”
“Because of the variety and quality, I think,” Wilkes said. He frowned. “At least, that’s the impression I got from my research. People like the fact that there are so many different vines, types and qualities of wine to choose from, each with their own flavour, taste, smell … well, the list is endless, really. It becomes just as much a social occasion as something to drink.”
Tinnion nodded. He could see that; he always saw adverts for wine tasting around London, being advertised outside pubs, supermarkets, wine stores … well, anywhere there was a piece of advertising hoarding. A lot of people seemed to enjoy coming together to savour wine, and Wilkes’ explanation as to why made sense.
“Matthew Jukes, from Quintessentially Wine, is one of the best-known wine buyers and organisers of specialist wine events in the country,” Wilkes went on. “His reputation precedes him. It’s certainly no surprise that Adam reacted as he has done to the theft; wine wouldn’t just be a job to the staff there, it’s got to be a way of life. With someone like Matthew — and Stevie, the chief exec — leading them, their passion has got to embed itself into the rest of the staff.”
“So, wine lovers see their passion -”
Wilkes interrupted him; “Oenophiles, sir.”
Tinnion blinked. “Say again?”
“Oenophiles.”
“Well, I don’t think that’s any way to talk about them, Ken. I mean, just because it’s not necessarily our cup of tea -”
It was Wilkes’ turn to roll his eyes. “No, sir, an oenophile is the official name of someone who is passionate about wine.”
“Oh.” Tinnion squirmed in his chair. “I thought it was some kind of social disease. Thank god you corrected me before I made a fool of myself — well, more so than usual, anyway.”
Wilkes smiled genially, but didn’t say anything. Tinnion cleared his throat, returned the smile and went on; “So, oenophiles see their passion as more of a lifestyle than just a hobby, is that a fair assessment?”
“Yes, sir,” Wilkes confirmed as he nodded his head. “That’s why businesses like Quintessentially Wine exist in the first place; to help people with their love of wine. Oenophiles like to enjoy, appreciate and, perhaps more importantly, collect wines.”
“Ah yes, wine collectors. I remember reading stories every now and then about people having special rooms built for the collection — underground, or climate controlled, or whatever.”
“Yeah, for those that can afford to do that, that’s definitely a growing trade. Not everyone can afford it, of course, but that doesn’t stop them from building up a collection. People develop particular preferences to wines from certain regions, types, grapes or ways of creating the wine.”
Tinnion raised an eyebrow. “Don’t you just crush a load of grapes in a big vat and squeeze the juice out?”
“Oh dear,” Wilkes said wearily. “Absolutely not. It’s more than just crushing the grape. There’s different needs for white and red grapes, the chemicals needed for the process can vary according to what type of wine you’re trying to create and how much fizz needs to be brought out -”
He stopped as Tinnion raised a hand to forestall any more detailed explanation. “Alright, alright,” he said, “I get the picture. I stand corrected — it’s clearly more complex than I gave it credit for. I’m certainly beginning to appreciate why people enjoy wine so much, given the fact that so much work goes into it.”
“It’s not just that, sir,” Wilkes went on, thoughtfully. “It’s the ability to … well, I don’t know if I’m doing this justice, but it helps a lot of people to widen their palate, understand more about different cultures and how they value wine development, and mix with like-minded people.”
Tinnion was intrigued; Wilkes was waxing lyrical about the wines in a way that made the inspector wonder if he wasn’t a secret oenophile himself. Tinnion asked him the question outright, and Wilkes grinned, but shook his head.
“No, sir,” he replied, “but I know what I like, and the missus and I always share a bottle every Friday night I’m home.” He paused and seemed to think about it for a moment. “Every Saturday night as well, to be honest with you. But I’m not a connoisseur — like the people who belong to places like Quintessentially Wine, for example. We’re rank amateurs compared to people who join wine societies.”
“Yeah, I can appreciate that now,” Tinnion said, feeling thoughtful as he absorbed Wilkes’ briefing. It was a whole other world that he hadn’t fully appreciated before; like Wilkes, he enjoyed a bottle of wine, and knew what he liked, but it paled in comparison to people who knew what they were talking about — and knew what they were drinking.
He could imagine that many of these connoisseurs would only like one thing better than a bottle of wine lovingly poured, and that was a bottle from someone famous. The status and kudos of owning a bottle from Churchill, Shakespeare or even — perhaps whisper the name — Napoleon would be a huge cachet. Whether they ever actually drank it or not was probably irrelevant; it would be the act of owning it that was important.
…stay tuned, Chapter Eleven ‘You Can’t Keep A Secret’ is only a day away. | https://medium.com/@QuintessentiallyWine/wine-cellar-secrets-a-day-in-the-life-of-quintessentially-wine-e8f6d218887f | ['Quintessentially Wine'] | 2015-10-20 12:44:28.531000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Short Story', 'Ficton'] | Title Wine Cellar Secrets Day Life Quintessentially WineContent Wine Cellar Secrets Day Life Quintessentially Wine Chapter Ten Oenophiles “So talk Ken Tell wine” Wilkes smiled “Well it’s made grape sir get red white rose” Tinnion paused halfway chair fixed sergeant steely glare glint humour eye “When retire again” “Not family free childhood disease least another ten years” “Good” Tinnion sat fully stretched leg table suppressed yawn — body reminding late previous night — crossed arm across chest “Why people get passionate wines” asked “I mean people care wine much don’t get connoisseur lager — well I’ve heard anyway — people become connoisseur wine” “Because variety quality think” Wilkes said frowned “At least that’s impression got research People like fact many different vine type quality wine choose flavour taste smell … well list endless really becomes much social occasion something drink” Tinnion nodded could see always saw advert wine tasting around London advertised outside pub supermarket wine store … well anywhere piece advertising hoarding lot people seemed enjoy coming together savour wine Wilkes’ explanation made sense “Matthew Jukes Quintessentially Wine one bestknown wine buyer organiser specialist wine event country” Wilkes went “His reputation precedes It’s certainly surprise Adam reacted done theft wine wouldn’t job staff it’s got way life someone like Matthew — Stevie chief exec — leading passion got embed rest staff” “So wine lover see passion ” Wilkes interrupted “Oenophiles sir” Tinnion blinked “Say again” “Oenophiles” “Well don’t think that’s way talk Ken mean it’s necessarily cup tea ” Wilkes’ turn roll eye “No sir oenophile official name someone passionate wine” “Oh” Tinnion squirmed chair “I thought kind social disease Thank god corrected made fool — well usual anyway” Wilkes smiled genially didn’t say anything Tinnion cleared throat returned smile went “So oenophile see passion lifestyle hobby fair assessment” “Yes sir” Wilkes confirmed nodded head “That’s business like Quintessentially Wine exist first place help people love wine Oenophiles like enjoy appreciate perhaps importantly collect wines” “Ah yes wine collector remember reading story every people special room built collection — underground climate controlled whatever” “Yeah afford that’s definitely growing trade everyone afford course doesn’t stop building collection People develop particular preference wine certain region type grape way creating wine” Tinnion raised eyebrow “Don’t crush load grape big vat squeeze juice out” “Oh dear” Wilkes said wearily “Absolutely It’s crushing grape There’s different need white red grape chemical needed process vary according type wine you’re trying create much fizz need brought ” stopped Tinnion raised hand forestall detailed explanation “Alright alright” said “I get picture stand corrected — it’s clearly complex gave credit I’m certainly beginning appreciate people enjoy wine much given fact much work go it” “It’s sir” Wilkes went thoughtfully “It’s ability … well don’t know I’m justice help lot people widen palate understand different culture value wine development mix likeminded people” Tinnion intrigued Wilkes waxing lyrical wine way made inspector wonder wasn’t secret oenophile Tinnion asked question outright Wilkes grinned shook head “No sir” replied “but know like missus always share bottle every Friday night I’m home” paused seemed think moment “Every Saturday night well honest I’m connoisseur — like people belong place like Quintessentially Wine example We’re rank amateur compared people join wine societies” “Yeah appreciate now” Tinnion said feeling thoughtful absorbed Wilkes’ briefing whole world hadn’t fully appreciated like Wilkes enjoyed bottle wine knew liked paled comparison people knew talking — knew drinking could imagine many connoisseur would like one thing better bottle wine lovingly poured bottle someone famous status kudos owning bottle Churchill Shakespeare even — perhaps whisper name — Napoleon would huge cachet Whether ever actually drank probably irrelevant would act owning important …stay tuned Chapter Eleven ‘You Can’t Keep Secret’ day awayTags Wine Short Story Ficton |
191,202 | Surviving New Year’s Eve in One Piece | New Year’s Eve annually conspires to reduce many of us into blithering, alcohol-infused morons. And some of us will die. The irony is many of us use booze to survive New Year’s Eve — the social anxiety, the holiday emotional hangover, the fear that next year will be even worse than this one. But be forewarned, the elixir of life giveth and taketh…
Step one to surviving New Year’s Eve is assessing how drunk you already are. Fortunately, you can use this very blog to accurately test your level of sobriety.
Instructions: A.) Print this blog out; B.) Roll it up into a tube about the width of a cigarette; C.) Blow into the tube; D.) Repeat five times.
Now, if you followed any of the preceding instructions, you are obviously intoxicated. And possibly stupid (how are you even reading this?). You should head to bed immediately and await your first hangover of 2017. You’ve earned it.
Now, if you wake up and are not in a coma or dead, but are generally dissatisfied with how you feel due to over-consumption, here’s a fix: resume drinking until you are in a coma or dead. Though this will end your hangover, it will also take much of the joy out of the New Year for you.
There are, however, several ways to avoid death this New Year’s — paramount among them is to never, ever, under any circumstances, get behind the wheel of a car while intoxicated. Getting under the wheel of a car while intoxicated is another matter entirely, which will be addressed in a subsequent post.
Buckle in for a lecture
Among the surefire ways to avoid driving drunk is to NOT DRINK as well as NOT DRIVE. Or just pick one — it’s been scientifically proven that it works either way. “Driving while intoxicated” or, as we say in California (with echoes of Cassavetes), “driving under the influence,” is not only preventable, it’s the law in both the legal and cosmic sense.
Here in Wine Country, it’s been my observation that it’s not a question of “if” but “when” one will get a DUI. This is not a rite of passage I care to take and I heartily recommend the same to you dear reader(s). Statistically speaking, one of you will likely get picked up this weekend, either on the side of the road, or off the road with a shovel, thanks to a blood-alcohol level for which you alone are responsible.
Survive New Year’s Eve via Time Travel
I have no idea who you are but let’s pretend this blog is a time machine. Let’s say that you’ve decided to drink and drive (and, mind you, it IS a decision. The predictable legal, financial and medical fallout has already occurred. In those seconds after your life has been irreparably altered, you flashback to this blog. As you (re)read this line — you realize that there’s still time to change the course of events will lead to your tragic DUI…
This is that moment. Let’s make some arrangements, plan a rideshare, designate a driver, jot down some cabbie numbers… Uber for crissakes. Yes, it’s that easy. Though it’s no guarantee you will survive New Year’s Eve, your future self thanks you. | https://medium.com/winejourno/how-to-survive-new-years-eve-and-not-die-trying-6d9754c4bcf5 | ['Daedalus Howell'] | 2016-12-31 01:22:13.982000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Drunk Driving', 'Happy New Year'] | Title Surviving New Year’s Eve One PieceContent New Year’s Eve annually conspires reduce many u blithering alcoholinfused moron u die irony many u use booze survive New Year’s Eve — social anxiety holiday emotional hangover fear next year even worse one forewarned elixir life giveth taketh… Step one surviving New Year’s Eve assessing drunk already Fortunately use blog accurately test level sobriety Instructions Print blog B Roll tube width cigarette C Blow tube Repeat five time followed preceding instruction obviously intoxicated possibly stupid even reading head bed immediately await first hangover 2017 You’ve earned wake coma dead generally dissatisfied feel due overconsumption here’s fix resume drinking coma dead Though end hangover also take much joy New Year however several way avoid death New Year’s — paramount among never ever circumstance get behind wheel car intoxicated Getting wheel car intoxicated another matter entirely addressed subsequent post Buckle lecture Among surefire way avoid driving drunk DRINK well DRIVE pick one — it’s scientifically proven work either way “Driving intoxicated” say California echo Cassavetes “driving influence” preventable it’s law legal cosmic sense Wine Country it’s observation it’s question “if” “when” one get DUI rite passage care take heartily recommend dear reader Statistically speaking one likely get picked weekend either side road road shovel thanks bloodalcohol level alone responsible Survive New Year’s Eve via Time Travel idea let’s pretend blog time machine Let’s say you’ve decided drink drive mind decision predictable legal financial medical fallout already occurred second life irreparably altered flashback blog reread line — realize there’s still time change course event lead tragic DUI… moment Let’s make arrangement plan rideshare designate driver jot cabbie numbers… Uber crissakes Yes it’s easy Though it’s guarantee survive New Year’s Eve future self thanks youTags Wine Drunk Driving Happy New Year |
191,203 | Mosaic — reminiscence of a perfect lunch | Mosaic — reminiscence of a perfect lunch
More notes than a story.
Arrival
It was good to be received by sommelier Germain Léhody and hostess Mari Dartnall, who immediately create an air of confidence around the experience that awaits us. Very different from the the demure reception by docile staff you often encounter in other places.
There is strict entrance control at the gate by forthright attendants, and upon arrival you are escorted from your car through the entrance and up the stairs into the restaurants, in the welcoming warm embrace of aforementioned hostess and sommelier.
These little things set the tone for a fine afternoon (hopefully).
Overview
Mosaic Restaurant is part of the of The Orient boutique hotel, which is an architectural monstrosity in the sticks outside Pretoria, and which in my humble opinion serves no other purpose than harbouring Chantel Dartnall’s culinary brilliance. If she would no longer be there, the palace ought be flattened for reasons of it being an alien/invasive species of architecture.
Inside the restaurant, they have been able to create a more restraint balance between the gauche and the kitsch. Oversized Gustav Klimt reproductions and faux Belle Époque tile murals sum it all up. It feels like the luxury version of the Hansel and Gretel house. I kind of like that, especially retroactively, since it forms such an extreme juxtaposition with the epicurean delights. I want to believe that all the tackiness is there for a reason: to make sure that the overall experience is not too easily brilliant, and to force diners to cut through all the ornamental indiscretions and arrive at the only truth of this place — outstanding food and wine — so that only true gourmands will endure the decorative transgressions and keep coming back all the time. But that would be giving them too much credit. I think they really like to recreate the phantasy world of the Arabian Nights and the Brothers Grimm.
Enough of the negativity now. Based on this particular experience I feel that Chantel Dartnall is the best chef in in Gauteng, possibly in the country. I have not yet been to The Test Kitchen, but from a purely culinary point of view I rate this restaurant higher than for example Five Hundred (actually, by a mile) and The Tasting Room (but not THAT much).
The music is at the right level and supports the meal. Funny that they still seem to use CD players, since the music skips often.
My partner took me into the ladies bathroom, which is very ornate, and sports a mannequin dressed in a 1920’s jazz outfit. Where else do you find a bidet in a restaurant these days, and what are you supposed to do with it?
Table
The table is expertly set, with beautiful, delicately looking cutlery and decent glasses. The side table of equal hight is a nice detail, and turns out to be very useful in light of the wine service.
But beware, the booths are to be avoided if you are somewhat bigger (because of one’s culinary exploits) and/or have a bad back.
They use beautiful cutlery. It looks small, but in light of the size of the portions it actually works out well. As with every other tasting menu, tableware is very different across the dishes, but suits each individual dish well.
Upon arriving, standard restaurant range Schott Zwiesel glasses are on the table, which is better than in most top restaurants, but the rims are still too thick for my liking. After a bit of prodding they bring out proper Riedels (NOT the restaurant range) and at the end of the evening, if the wine warrants it, you can lay your hands on the Sommelier range. Moral of this story: you won’t find yourself drinking the once-in-your-lifetime-wine-find out of substandard glasses.
It seems we were there on the first day of the new tasting menu, so the actual menus look new and fresh.
Menu and wine
The menu, for a change, oozes Belle Époque elegance. Even the font is right. And the paper feels velvety. Chantel took the effort to write down in the greatest amount of detail what the ingredients of the dish are, and what her inspiration was. Germain then added a description of each accompanying wine (if you take the wine pairing, of which there are two levels: ‘Enthusiast’ with local wines and ‘Connoisseur’ with international ones; I recommend that everyone takes the latter since the pairing is perfect).
The clever thing about writing it down is that 1) the staff can read it as many times as they need to also know what is going on (but don’t worry, later it emerges that all of them are superb and DO know what is going on) and 2) the need to ask questions by patrons is vastly reduced. All you need to know is there in front you.
They offer three tasting menus: Petite, Discovery and Grande Dégustation. The first two consist of elements of the latter, and on the first page of the menu the three options are very clearly laid graphically. The number of dishes is 7, 9 and 12 respectively.
All the dishes make sense together and are inspired by the CONCEPT of Spring, and not so much by specific Spring ingredients. Fortunately no attempts are made to fuse different styles from around the world, but solidly European inspired cooking. I can see Escoffier having done this in this day and age — his elaborateness but with a much lighter twist.
The Spring 2014 Menu seems to be inspired by moods, memories, the surroundings and travel inspirations; at least that is what Chantel wants us to believe. Maybe misguided, but I seem to detect some Klimt influences — Sunflower Spring, First Kiss, anyone else? Anyway, to me it all seems authentic and refreshing, different from some other prized restaurants around Johannesburg that rest on their laurels and never really give you an idea of what they are trying to tell through their tasting menus.
The wine list and cellar our out of this world. The wine collections is so vast, so unique, and so NOT pretentious. The reason some wines are very expensive is not because they want to impress the wrong sort of patrons (the nouveau rich bling crowd) but simply because they have had them for so long, and world prices have gone up.
That said, at R3,200 the 2003 Château d’Yquem (375ml) is practically a steal given that realistically you would be paying between R2,000 and R2,500 in a wine store in Europe. Had it been on the wine list at R6,000, I would have found it normal, but NOT bought it. There is some intelligence in the pricing of the wines in that they do not apply a fixed percentage mark-up but rather a reasonable amount in Rands. This is very interesting for serious wine drinkers: for once you can have outstanding, rare-to-find wines, at ‘reasonable’ prices.
Also very clever is that they import their own wines for the international wine pairing menu, mostly directly from the producers. That way, they avoid the wholesale mark-ups, and serve very interesting wines (but not well known) at very attractive prices. Very well worth it.
The class of Germain shines through in how he takes you through the cellar and talks about the crown jewels without ever trying to sell them or giving the impression you are wasting his time. At R37,000 per bottle, we both know that the 1982 Mouton Rothschild will only ever be purchased by a Russian oligarch or BEE tenderpreneur, and in both instances it would be a waste of this 100/100 Parker wine. Real wine lovers actually talk more about wine than they drink it, and this superb sommelier knowingly lets his guests indulge, and partakes, in this utterly senseless passtime. Simply delightful.
Service: summary
We arrived on the second day of their new season opening. There were very few other diners for lunch on this Saturday.
The wait staff blew me away. They are courteous, professional and they know their stuff. When I argued with one of them that the pea puree with my rainbow trout had to be made with a PacoJet, she told me NO (she knew what a PacoJet is!), explaining me how it is done (first pureeing, then pushing through a sieve), proving me utterly wrong. Where else do you find such confident and knowledgeable waiters?
My partner felt rushed at first, but I had to remind her that starting a 12-course tasting menu at 14:00 is a surefire way of putting the kitchen (that has to prep for evening service) under pressures. I, on the contrary, felt the pace absolutely spot on.
Only once did there seem to be a hiccup. When the sommelier came to top up the wine for the lobster course, and apologise for the delay did we realise another course should have arrived by now. Well, an extra glass of wine was welcome given that no inconvenience was experienced. Some recovery there!
Nice details: waiters come with small trays to replace your cutlery. How stylishly outdated.
In short, service is excellent because of Germain’s presence. His hawkish surveying of the dining room betrays that his responsibilities extend beyond pouring wine. Trained at La Tour d’Argent in the 1970s (when it still had three Michelin stars), he brings a wealth of experience regarding the clock-work operations of a fine establishment.
Food
The dishes as described on the menu find their way onto the plate, but not in a way that you expect. And that is a consequence of you creating a picture in your mind beforehand as a result of Chantel’s evocative descriptions. The discrepancy between expectation and reality is therefore rather interesting.
The food was prepared to exacting technical specifications, all the more impressive given the ‘sparse’ kitchen equipments. No Thermomix, no water baths, no PacoJets. A very traditional kitchen with very traditional equipment (a big LaCanche stove) and lots of copper pots from Dehilleren in Paris. I only saw ISI syphons and a dehydrator as modern tools. Very impressive.
The layering in each dish is spectacular, and with almost every dish there is a gentle unfolding of flavours. Take for example the carrot jelly, puree and orange blossom yoghurt cream with rosettes of pickled carrots.
All the dishes together provide a true kaleidoscope of taste experiences. You feel like you are in one of those Samsung handset adverts, where the protagonist slowly walks and the surroundings constantly change, without seeming to upset the wanderer: now a city, then the beach, in the meadows, on the farm.
There is a sensual lightness to all the dishes and the menu overall.
The only thing that did not work for me was the foie gras with the butternut foam. The liver does not stand up to the foam (although we were spooning the foam out of the bowl later), but a sliver of toast added to the foie grass will ‘break’ the dish, and if they ever do it, I will claim credit for it. Please note, we are nitpicking now.
Summary
I’ll be back!
(Based on lunch experience in August 2014) | https://medium.com/@EpicSybarite/mosaic-reminiscence-of-a-perfect-lunch-77ee9486c37b | ['Epicurean Sybarite'] | 2015-10-29 06:48:56.184000+00:00 | ['Food', 'Wine'] | Title Mosaic — reminiscence perfect lunchContent Mosaic — reminiscence perfect lunch note story Arrival good received sommelier Germain Léhody hostess Mari Dartnall immediately create air confidence around experience awaits u different demure reception docile staff often encounter place strict entrance control gate forthright attendant upon arrival escorted car entrance stair restaurant welcoming warm embrace aforementioned hostess sommelier little thing set tone fine afternoon hopefully Overview Mosaic Restaurant part Orient boutique hotel architectural monstrosity stick outside Pretoria humble opinion serf purpose harbouring Chantel Dartnall’s culinary brilliance would longer palace ought flattened reason alieninvasive specie architecture Inside restaurant able create restraint balance gauche kitsch Oversized Gustav Klimt reproduction faux Belle Époque tile mural sum feel like luxury version Hansel Gretel house kind like especially retroactively since form extreme juxtaposition epicurean delight want believe tackiness reason make sure overall experience easily brilliant force diner cut ornamental indiscretion arrive truth place — outstanding food wine — true gourmand endure decorative transgression keep coming back time would giving much credit think really like recreate phantasy world Arabian Nights Brothers Grimm Enough negativity Based particular experience feel Chantel Dartnall best chef Gauteng possibly country yet Test Kitchen purely culinary point view rate restaurant higher example Five Hundred actually mile Tasting Room much music right level support meal Funny still seem use CD player since music skip often partner took lady bathroom ornate sport mannequin dressed 1920’s jazz outfit else find bidet restaurant day supposed Table table expertly set beautiful delicately looking cutlery decent glass side table equal hight nice detail turn useful light wine service beware booth avoided somewhat bigger one’s culinary exploit andor bad back use beautiful cutlery look small light size portion actually work well every tasting menu tableware different across dish suit individual dish well Upon arriving standard restaurant range Schott Zwiesel glass table better top restaurant rim still thick liking bit prodding bring proper Riedels restaurant range end evening wine warrant lay hand Sommelier range Moral story won’t find drinking onceinyourlifetimewinefind substandard glass seems first day new tasting menu actual menu look new fresh Menu wine menu change ooze Belle Époque elegance Even font right paper feel velvety Chantel took effort write greatest amount detail ingredient dish inspiration Germain added description accompanying wine take wine pairing two level ‘Enthusiast’ local wine ‘Connoisseur’ international one recommend everyone take latter since pairing perfect clever thing writing 1 staff read many time need also know going don’t worry later emerges superb know going 2 need ask question patron vastly reduced need know front offer three tasting menu Petite Discovery Grande Dégustation first two consist element latter first page menu three option clearly laid graphically number dish 7 9 12 respectively dish make sense together inspired CONCEPT Spring much specific Spring ingredient Fortunately attempt made fuse different style around world solidly European inspired cooking see Escoffier done day age — elaborateness much lighter twist Spring 2014 Menu seems inspired mood memory surroundings travel inspiration least Chantel want u believe Maybe misguided seem detect Klimt influence — Sunflower Spring First Kiss anyone else Anyway seems authentic refreshing different prized restaurant around Johannesburg rest laurel never really give idea trying tell tasting menu wine list cellar world wine collection vast unique pretentious reason wine expensive want impress wrong sort patron nouveau rich bling crowd simply long world price gone said R3200 2003 Château d’Yquem 375ml practically steal given realistically would paying R2000 R2500 wine store Europe wine list R6000 would found normal bought intelligence pricing wine apply fixed percentage markup rather reasonable amount Rands interesting serious wine drinker outstanding raretofind wine ‘reasonable’ price Also clever import wine international wine pairing menu mostly directly producer way avoid wholesale markup serve interesting wine well known attractive price well worth class Germain shine take cellar talk crown jewel without ever trying sell giving impression wasting time R37000 per bottle know 1982 Mouton Rothschild ever purchased Russian oligarch BEE tenderpreneur instance would waste 100100 Parker wine Real wine lover actually talk wine drink superb sommelier knowingly let guest indulge partakes utterly senseless passtime Simply delightful Service summary arrived second day new season opening diner lunch Saturday wait staff blew away courteous professional know stuff argued one pea puree rainbow trout made PacoJet told knew PacoJet explaining done first pureeing pushing sieve proving utterly wrong else find confident knowledgeable waiter partner felt rushed first remind starting 12course tasting menu 1400 surefire way putting kitchen prep evening service pressure contrary felt pace absolutely spot seem hiccup sommelier came top wine lobster course apologise delay realise another course arrived Well extra glass wine welcome given inconvenience experienced recovery Nice detail waiter come small tray replace cutlery stylishly outdated short service excellent Germain’s presence hawkish surveying dining room betrays responsibility extend beyond pouring wine Trained La Tour d’Argent 1970s still three Michelin star brings wealth experience regarding clockwork operation fine establishment Food dish described menu find way onto plate way expect consequence creating picture mind beforehand result Chantel’s evocative description discrepancy expectation reality therefore rather interesting food prepared exacting technical specification impressive given ‘sparse’ kitchen equipment Thermomix water bath PacoJets traditional kitchen traditional equipment big LaCanche stove lot copper pot Dehilleren Paris saw ISI syphon dehydrator modern tool impressive layering dish spectacular almost every dish gentle unfolding flavour Take example carrot jelly puree orange blossom yoghurt cream rosette pickled carrot dish together provide true kaleidoscope taste experience feel like one Samsung handset advert protagonist slowly walk surroundings constantly change without seeming upset wanderer city beach meadow farm sensual lightness dish menu overall thing work foie gras butternut foam liver stand foam although spooning foam bowl later sliver toast added foie grass ‘break’ dish ever claim credit Please note nitpicking Summary I’ll back Based lunch experience August 2014Tags Food Wine |
191,204 | Listening, Wine and Bach | My wife is out-of-town, visiting her sister. That means I can crank up the tunes. I was rockin’ out tonight during dinner. My Sonos was shaking the house with — Glenn Gould’s 1981 recording of Bach’s Goldberg Variations.
What’s fascinating about loud Bach is that you feel much the same as if you were listening to The Beatles or the Stones (yes, I’m old). The passion and beat makes you tap your toes. One of the compelling aspects of this recording (listened to loud!) is that you hear Gould’s humming and grunts as he plays Bach with the same emotional intensity that B.B. King plucked Lucille on The Thrill is Gone.
Said Gould, “I believe that the justification of art is the internal combustion it ignites in the hearts of men and not its shallow, externalized, public manifestations. The purpose of art is not the release of a momentary ejection of adrenalin but is, rather, the gradual, lifelong construction of a state of wonder and serenity.” Can you think of a better description of a great wine?
This is the why a point scale can never hope to define, or explain, much less quantify the experience of wine. It is too complicated to boil down this complex interaction of humans and nature over literally thousands of years to a decimal point.
Dinner tonight was pressure cooker wine-braised pork short-ribs (90 minutes) with a reduction made from the broth and for the wine 2010 Donkey & Goat “Five Thirteen” El Dorado, Red Wine Blend (47% grenache, 21% syrah, 16% mourvèdre, 10% counoise, 6% cinsault). Like Gould, this wine hummed and grunted in the background during its performance with a whiff of volatile acidity and a little funk, but like Gould it delivered. Exciting and fun it lifted the dinner to a new height. How many points? Don’t insult it.
As Bach proved and Gould restated, there is real power in refinement, elegance and discipline. Power itself is not something to be revered. Powerful wines get high points because, as Gould said, they deliver “a momentary ejection of adrenalin.” I think in winemaking a little reflection on Gould’s thoughts on the justification and purpose of art can be applied to our craft. All to often we pursue the external, not the internal, or nature’s purpose for wine.
To repurpose the Gould quote, the purpose of wine is not the release of a momentary ejection of adrenalin but is, rather, the gradual, lifelong construction of a state of wonder and serenity. Powerful wines may give that injection of adrenalin on the first sip, but they do not deliver a sense of wonder and serenity instead becoming trophies to hoard.
It takes courage to let your own personal vision and passion show through in your work. You’ll be hard pressed to find wine brands that roll off your tongue that have even a bit of courage.
When you first hear the humming on Glenn Gould’s recording of the Goldberg Variations (both the 1955 and 1981 versions) you think something is wrong with the recording. Then, with repeated listening and a little homework on your part you understand that you are hearing something personal and truly expressive. With compelling, memorable wines the experience and requirements are the same.
It’s not how loud it is, it’s how well you’re listening. | https://medium.com/@craigcamp/listening-wine-and-bach-7129631b2ffa | ['Craig Camp'] | 2016-12-19 03:48:26.672000+00:00 | ['Wine', 'Food', 'Bach'] | Title Listening Wine BachContent wife outoftown visiting sister mean crank tune rockin’ tonight dinner Sonos shaking house — Glenn Gould’s 1981 recording Bach’s Goldberg Variations What’s fascinating loud Bach feel much listening Beatles Stones yes I’m old passion beat make tap toe One compelling aspect recording listened loud hear Gould’s humming grunt play Bach emotional intensity BB King plucked Lucille Thrill Gone Said Gould “I believe justification art internal combustion ignites heart men shallow externalized public manifestation purpose art release momentary ejection adrenalin rather gradual lifelong construction state wonder serenity” think better description great wine point scale never hope define explain much le quantify experience wine complicated boil complex interaction human nature literally thousand year decimal point Dinner tonight pressure cooker winebraised pork shortribs 90 minute reduction made broth wine 2010 Donkey Goat “Five Thirteen” El Dorado Red Wine Blend 47 grenache 21 syrah 16 mourvèdre 10 counoise 6 cinsault Like Gould wine hummed grunted background performance whiff volatile acidity little funk like Gould delivered Exciting fun lifted dinner new height many point Don’t insult Bach proved Gould restated real power refinement elegance discipline Power something revered Powerful wine get high point Gould said deliver “a momentary ejection adrenalin” think winemaking little reflection Gould’s thought justification purpose art applied craft often pursue external internal nature’s purpose wine repurpose Gould quote purpose wine release momentary ejection adrenalin rather gradual lifelong construction state wonder serenity Powerful wine may give injection adrenalin first sip deliver sense wonder serenity instead becoming trophy hoard take courage let personal vision passion show work You’ll hard pressed find wine brand roll tongue even bit courage first hear humming Glenn Gould’s recording Goldberg Variations 1955 1981 version think something wrong recording repeated listening little homework part understand hearing something personal truly expressive compelling memorable wine experience requirement It’s loud it’s well you’re listeningTags Wine Food Bach |
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