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At this point, most people are aware of the coming release of Windows Vista. Scheduled for deployment to corporate customers late this year and to retailers early next year, there has been a lot of discussion about the software's readiness, benefits, and tardiness.
The questions for many IT shops and businesses that rely on PCs will be what is the impact of Vista on their business? Should they upgrade? Must they upgrade? And so on. There's little use in wringing hands over how ready the latest beta or release candidate is. That only affects the timeline for when it will be released. Eventually, it will be released and when it is, Microsoft's market sway will ensure that you will quickly be unable to buy a PC or laptop without it. So, prepare for a mixed environment for some years.
Is it evil? Will it cause massive problems to have a mixed environment? It's unlikely. While the new operating system has much new code, Microsoft is too large and cautious to cause problems with the older XP base used throughout the world. So when it arrives, it will likely fit right in with your existing systems. When the new server code arrives, things may get more interesting.
Is there a great benefit? Probably not. Microsoft has learned that people are swayed by eye candy and interesting design so a lot of the interest in the new operating system is not in technical things like a new file system format or more complex underlying issues. Instead, the noise is about the new interface which is flashy if you have the graphics hardware and power to support it. If you do not, it will still work much like XP with older systems. Other interesting things include purported additional security through modern encryption suites and a hardware (motherboard chip) component that only new computers will have. But real added security will be something judged in hindsight.
In the end, Vista will be an evolution of the basic NT OS, just as XP was. It will have advanced with improvements and updates commensurate with the times. But it will not be revolutionary or a major advance. And it will require computer replacement to take full advantage of some of the new features.
Will Vista trigger big new sales of PCs or upgrades? No. People who buy new systems will get Vista because it will come with it. Technophiles will more likely buy new systems rather than upgrade their current systems and they make up a minority anyway. Corporate will not upgrade quickly because there is no compelling reason. The hyped additional security will not be significant and so large corporations will migrate when they are forced to as Microsoft cuts off support for XP as they eventually will.
Backwards compatibility and corporate support will ensure that nothing too radical happens anytime soon. After all, it's an operating system – it runs hard drives and CD players and applications and holds your files. Not that exciting. So if you are running a business and are concerned about Vista's impact, relax. The advent of Vista will likely be something of a yawn. | {
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package ru.ivanovpv.gorets.psm;
import android.app.Activity;
import android.app.AlertDialog;
import android.app.Dialog;
import android.app.ProgressDialog;
import android.content.Context;
import android.content.DialogInterface;
import android.content.Intent;
import android.content.SharedPreferences;
import android.database.Cursor;
import android.media.Ringtone;
import android.media.RingtoneManager;
import android.net.Uri;
import android.os.AsyncTask;
import android.os.Bundle;
import android.preference.*;
import android.util.Log;
import com.actionbarsherlock.app.SherlockPreferenceActivity;
import com.actionbarsherlock.view.MenuItem;
import ru.ivanovpv.gorets.psm.cipher.*;
import ru.ivanovpv.gorets.psm.db.MessageDAO;
import ru.ivanovpv.gorets.psm.persistent.Hash;
import ru.ivanovpv.gorets.psm.persistent.Message;
import ru.ivanovpv.gorets.psm.persistent.Purse;
public class SettingsActivity extends SherlockPreferenceActivity
implements SharedPreferences.OnSharedPreferenceChangeListener, DialogInterface.OnCancelListener, DialogInterface.OnDismissListener
{
private final static String TAG = SettingsActivity.class.getName();
public final static int LOGIN_ENABLED=1;
SharedPreferences sharedPreferences;
private static boolean acceptChange;
private Me me;
@SuppressWarnings("deprecation")
@Override
public void onCreate(Bundle savedInstanceState)
{
super.onCreate(savedInstanceState);
me=(Me )this.getApplication();
this.getSupportActionBar().setDisplayHomeAsUpEnabled(true);
getPreferenceManager().setSharedPreferencesName(Me.PREFERENCES_NAME);
addPreferencesFromResource(R.xml.settings);
sharedPreferences=getPreferenceScreen().getSharedPreferences();
sharedPreferences.registerOnSharedPreferenceChangeListener(this);
Preference aboutAppPref = findPreference("about");
aboutAppPref.setOnPreferenceClickListener(new Preference.OnPreferenceClickListener()
{
public boolean onPreferenceClick(Preference preference)
{
Dialog dialog=new AboutDialog(SettingsActivity.this);
dialog.show();
return false;
}
});
Preference rateAppPref = findPreference("rate");
if(Me.ENABLE_MARKET)
rateAppPref.setOnPreferenceClickListener(new Preference.OnPreferenceClickListener()
{
public boolean onPreferenceClick(Preference preference)
{
new RapeMe().launchMarket(SettingsActivity.this);
return false;
}
});
else
rateAppPref.setEnabled(false);
Preference readEULAPref = findPreference("eula");
readEULAPref.setOnPreferenceClickListener(new Preference.OnPreferenceClickListener() {
public boolean onPreferenceClick(Preference preference) {
Eula.show(SettingsActivity.this);
return false;
}
});
//****************************
//Ask PIN
//****************************
CheckBoxPreference askPIN=(CheckBoxPreference )findPreference("askPIN");
final Hash hash=me.getHashDAO().get();
askPIN.setChecked(hash.isEnabled());
askPIN.setOnPreferenceChangeListener(new Preference.OnPreferenceChangeListener() {
public boolean onPreferenceChange(Preference preference, Object newValue) {
if(((Boolean )newValue)) {
//password not set yet
if(me.psmSettings.passwordSalt().get()==null || me.psmSettings.passwordSalt().get().length()==0) {
Dialog dialog=new SetPINDialog(SettingsActivity.this);
dialog.setOnCancelListener(SettingsActivity.this);
dialog.setOnDismissListener(SettingsActivity.this);
dialog.show();
}
else {
//there's password, so either change it or use old one
new AlertDialog.Builder(SettingsActivity.this)
.setTitle(SettingsActivity.this.getString(R.string.pinExists))
.setMessage(SettingsActivity.this.getString(R.string.pinChange))
.setIcon(android.R.drawable.ic_dialog_alert)
.setPositiveButton(R.string.change, new DialogInterface.OnClickListener()
{
public void onClick(DialogInterface dialog, int whichButton) {
ChangePinDialog dlg=new ChangePinDialog(SettingsActivity.this);
dlg.setOnCancelListener(SettingsActivity.this);
dlg.setOnDismissListener(SettingsActivity.this);
dlg.show();
}
})
.setNegativeButton(R.string.useOld, new DialogInterface.OnClickListener()
{
public void onClick(DialogInterface dialogInterface, int whichButton) {
Dialog dialog=new CheckPINDialog(SettingsActivity.this, CheckPINDialog.MODE_SET_CHECK);
dialog.setOnCancelListener(SettingsActivity.this);
dialog.setOnDismissListener(SettingsActivity.this);
dialog.show();
}
})
.setNeutralButton(R.string.cancel, new DialogInterface.OnClickListener()
{
public void onClick(DialogInterface dialogInterface, int whichButton) {
CheckBoxPreference askPIN=(CheckBoxPreference )findPreference("askPIN");
askPIN.setChecked(false);
hash.disable();
me.getHashDAO().save(SettingsActivity.this, hash);
}
})
.setOnCancelListener(new DialogInterface.OnCancelListener()
{
public void onCancel(DialogInterface dialogInterface) {
CheckBoxPreference askPIN=(CheckBoxPreference )findPreference("askPIN");
askPIN.setChecked(false);
hash.disable();
me.getHashDAO().save(SettingsActivity.this, hash);
}
})
.show();
}
} else {
Dialog dialog=new CheckPINDialog(SettingsActivity.this, CheckPINDialog.MODE_CLEAR_CHECK);
dialog.setOnCancelListener(SettingsActivity.this);
dialog.setOnDismissListener(SettingsActivity.this);
dialog.show();
}
return true;
}
});
//****************************
//Comfort PIN
//****************************
final CheckBoxPreference comfortPIN=(CheckBoxPreference )findPreference("comfortPIN");
final Purse purse=Me.getMe().getMessagePurseDAO().get(this);
comfortPIN.setChecked(purse.isComfortPINEnabled());
comfortPIN.setOnPreferenceChangeListener(new Preference.OnPreferenceChangeListener() {
public boolean onPreferenceChange(Preference preference, Object newValue) {
if (newValue instanceof Boolean) {
comfortPIN.setChecked((Boolean) newValue);
purse.setComfortPINEnabled((Boolean) newValue);
Me.getMe().getMessagePurseDAO().save(SettingsActivity.this, purse);
}
return true;
}
});
//****************************
//Ringtone
//****************************
RingtonePreference smsRingTone = (RingtonePreference) findPreference("smsRingTone");
if(smsRingTone!=null) {
Uri ringtoneUri = Uri.parse(me.psmSettings.smsRingTone().get());
if(ringtoneUri==null || ringtoneUri.toString().length()==0)
ringtoneUri=RingtoneManager.getDefaultUri(RingtoneManager.TYPE_NOTIFICATION);
if(ringtoneUri!=null)
me.psmSettings.smsRingTone().put(ringtoneUri.toString());
else
me.psmSettings.smsRingTone().put(""); //silence
}
ListPreference protectionPrivacyLevel = (ListPreference) findPreference("protectionPrivacyLevel");
protectionPrivacyLevel.setSummary(protectionPrivacyLevel.getEntry());
ListPreference messagingPrivacyLevel = (ListPreference) findPreference("messagingPrivacyLevel");
/* messagingPrivacyLevel.setOnPreferenceClickListener(new Preference.OnPreferenceClickListener() {
public boolean onPreferenceClick(Preference preference) {
Spanned s=Html.fromHtml(SettingsActivity.this.getString(R.string.cryptoWarning));
SpannableString ss=new SpannableString(s);
Linkify.addLinks(ss, Linkify.WEB_URLS);
final AlertDialog ad=new AlertDialog.Builder(SettingsActivity.this)
.setMessage(ss)
.setPositiveButton(R.string.ok, null)
.setIcon(R.drawable.psm)
.create();
ad.show();
((TextView)ad.findViewById(android.R.id.message)).setMovementMethod(LinkMovementMethod.getInstance());
return true;
}
});*/
messagingPrivacyLevel.setSummary(messagingPrivacyLevel.getEntry());
{
Preference pref;
KeyExchange keyExchange;
byte[] key;
byte[] sKey=Me.getMe().getHashDAO().get().getKey();
pref= findPreference("fingerPrintBasic");
keyExchange=Hash.getDefaultKeyExchange(sKey);
key=keyExchange.getPublicKey();
pref.setSummary(new FingerPrint(key, Me.getDefaultKeyExchangeType()).toString());
/* if(me.getMessagingPrivacyLevel() > 0)
{
pref= findPreference("fingerPrintMedium");
if(pref!=null) {
keyExchange = new EllipticCurve256B(sKey);
key = keyExchange.getPublicKey();
pref.setSummary(new FingerPrint(key, KeyExchange.KEY_EXCHANGE_ELLIPTIC_CURVE_256B).toString());
}
pref= findPreference("fingerPrintHigh");
if(pref!=null) {
keyExchange = new EllipticCurve384B(sKey);
key = keyExchange.getPublicKey();
pref.setSummary(new FingerPrint(key, KeyExchange.KEY_EXCHANGE_ELLIPTIC_CURVE_384B).toString());
}
}
else {
pref= findPreference("fingerPrintMedium");
if(pref!=null)
pref.setSummary(R.string.notApplicable);
pref= findPreference("fingerPrintHigh");
if(pref!=null)
pref.setSummary(R.string.notApplicable);
}*/
}
Preference resetAppPref = findPreference("reset");
resetAppPref.setOnPreferenceClickListener(new Preference.OnPreferenceClickListener()
{
public boolean onPreferenceClick(Preference preference)
{
final AlertDialog.Builder builder_reset = new AlertDialog.Builder(SettingsActivity.this)
.setTitle(R.string.reset)
.setMessage(R.string.resetWarning)
.setPositiveButton(R.string.yes, new DialogInterface.OnClickListener() {
public void onClick(DialogInterface dialogInterface, int i) {
if(me.psmSettings.askPIN().get()) {
final CheckPINDialog checkPINDialog=new CheckPINDialog(SettingsActivity.this, CheckPINDialog.MODE_DOESNT_MATTER);
checkPINDialog.setOnCancelListener(new DialogInterface.OnCancelListener() {
@Override
public void onCancel(DialogInterface dialog) {
return;
}
});
checkPINDialog.setOnDismissListener(new DialogInterface.OnDismissListener() {
@Override
public void onDismiss(DialogInterface dialog) {
if(!checkPINDialog.isCanceled())
new ResetTask().execute();
}
});
checkPINDialog.show();
}
else {
new ResetTask().execute();
}
}
}).setNegativeButton(R.string.no, null);
builder_reset.create().show();
return true;
}
});
}
@Override
public boolean onOptionsItemSelected(MenuItem item) {
switch (item.getItemId()) {
case android.R.id.home:
this.onBackPressed();
return true;
}
return super.onOptionsItemSelected(item);
}
@SuppressWarnings("deprecation")
@Override
protected void onDestroy() {
super.onDestroy();
getPreferenceScreen().getSharedPreferences().unregisterOnSharedPreferenceChangeListener(this);
}
@SuppressWarnings("deprecation")
@Override
public void onSharedPreferenceChanged(SharedPreferences sharedPreferences, String key) {
if(key.compareTo("protectionPrivacyLevel")==0) {
ListPreference privacyLevel = (ListPreference) findPreference("protectionPrivacyLevel");
privacyLevel.setSummary(privacyLevel.getEntry());
}
if(key.compareTo("messagingPrivacyLevel")==0) {
ListPreference privacyLevel = (ListPreference) findPreference("messagingPrivacyLevel");
//privacyLevel.setValueIndex(0);//always should be zero!
privacyLevel.setSummary(privacyLevel.getEntry());
}
else if(key.compareTo("smsRingTone")==0) {
RingtonePreference smsRingTone = (RingtonePreference) findPreference("smsRingTone");
if(smsRingTone==null)
return;
Uri ringtoneUri = Uri.parse(me.psmSettings.smsRingTone().get());
Ringtone ringTone = RingtoneManager.getRingtone(this, ringtoneUri);
smsRingTone.setSummary(ringTone==null ? "" : ringTone.getTitle(this));
}
}
@Override
@SuppressWarnings("deprecation")
public void onCancel(DialogInterface dialog) {
CheckBoxPreference askPIN=(CheckBoxPreference )findPreference("askPIN");
Hash hash=me.getHashDAO().get();
if(dialog instanceof SetPINDialog) {
hash.disable();
me.getHashDAO().save(this, hash);
askPIN.setChecked(false);
}
else if(dialog instanceof CheckPINDialog) {
CheckPINDialog checkPINDialog=(CheckPINDialog )dialog;
if(checkPINDialog.getMode()==CheckPINDialog.MODE_CLEAR_CHECK) {
askPIN.setChecked(true);
hash.enable();
}
else {
askPIN.setChecked(false);
hash.disable();
}
me.getHashDAO().save(this, hash);
}
else if(dialog instanceof ChangePinDialog) {
askPIN.setChecked(false);
hash.disable();
me.getHashDAO().save(this, hash);
}
SharedPreferences.Editor edit = sharedPreferences.edit();
edit.putBoolean("askPIN", askPIN.isChecked());
edit.commit();
}
@Override
@SuppressWarnings("deprecation")
public void onDismiss(DialogInterface dialog) {
CheckBoxPreference askPIN=(CheckBoxPreference )findPreference("askPIN");
Hash hash=me.getHashDAO().get();
if(dialog instanceof CheckPINDialog) {
CheckPINDialog checkPINDialog=(CheckPINDialog )dialog;
if(checkPINDialog.isCanceled())
return;
if(checkPINDialog.getMode()==CheckPINDialog.MODE_SET_CHECK) {
askPIN.setChecked(true);
hash.enable();
}
else {
askPIN.setChecked(false);
hash.disable();
}
me.getHashDAO().save(this, hash);
}
else if(dialog instanceof ChangePinDialog) {
if(((ChangePinDialog )dialog).isCanceled())
return;
askPIN.setChecked(true);
hash.enable();
me.getHashDAO().save(this, hash);
}
else if(dialog instanceof SetPINDialog) {
SetPINDialog setPINDialog=(SetPINDialog )dialog;
if(setPINDialog.isCanceled())
return;
askPIN.setChecked(true);
hash.enable();
me.getHashDAO().save(this, hash);
}
SharedPreferences.Editor edit = sharedPreferences.edit();
edit.putBoolean("askPIN", askPIN.isChecked());
edit.commit();
}
@Override
protected void onActivityResult(int requestCode, int resultCode, Intent data) {
super.onActivityResult(requestCode, resultCode, data);
}
private class ResetTask extends AsyncTask<Void, Integer, Boolean>
{
Context context;
ProgressDialog resetDialog;
protected ResetTask() {
super();
this.context=SettingsActivity.this;
resetDialog = new ProgressDialog(SettingsActivity.this);
resetDialog.setOwnerActivity(SettingsActivity.this);
resetDialog.setCancelable(false);
resetDialog.setCanceledOnTouchOutside(false);
resetDialog.setProgress(0);
resetDialog.setTitle(R.string.reset);
resetDialog.setProgressStyle(ProgressDialog.STYLE_HORIZONTAL);
int count=Me.getMe().getMessageDAO().countMessages(context)+2;
resetDialog.setMax(count);
}
@Override
protected void onPreExecute() {
super.onPreExecute();
resetDialog.show();
}
@Override
protected Boolean doInBackground(Void... arg) {
boolean allReset=true;
int progress=0;
Cursor cursor=null;
Message message;
MessageDAO messageDAO=Me.getMe().getMessageDAO();
try {
cursor=messageDAO.getMessagesCursor(context);
while(cursor!=null && cursor.moveToNext()) {
message=messageDAO.getSmsMessage(context, cursor);
if(message.isProtected()) {
if(!message.unprotectSilent(context))
allReset=false;
}
if(message.isCiphered()) {
if(!message.decipherSilent(context))
allReset=false;
}
if(Me.DEBUG)
Log.i(TAG, "Reset progress publish="+progress);
this.publishProgress(++progress);
}
SharedPreferences.Editor editor=SettingsActivity.this.sharedPreferences.edit();
editor.clear();
editor.commit();
this.publishProgress(++progress);
Me.getMe().getDbHelper().reset();
this.publishProgress(++progress);
}
catch(Exception ex) {
Log.w(TAG, "Error while resetting...", ex);
}
finally {
if(cursor!=null)
cursor.close();
}
return allReset;
}
@Override
protected void onProgressUpdate(Integer... values) {
super.onProgressUpdate(values);
if(Me.DEBUG)
Log.i(TAG, "Reset progress update="+values[0]);
resetDialog.setProgress(values[0]);
}
@Override
protected void onPostExecute(Boolean result) {
super.onPostExecute(result);
if(resetDialog!=null && resetDialog.isShowing())
resetDialog.dismiss();
if(!result) {
new AlertDialog.Builder(context)
.setTitle(R.string.reset)
.setMessage(R.string.resetError)
.setPositiveButton(R.string.ok, new DialogInterface.OnClickListener() {
public void onClick(DialogInterface dialogInterface, int i) {
Me.getMe().exit();
}}).show();
}
else
Me.getMe().exit();
}
}
}
| {
"redpajama_set_name": "RedPajamaGithub"
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"combat" is not in the list of possible values (Alliance, Horde, Neutral, Combat, Boss) for this property.
For her appearence in the Argent Pavilion, see Argent Confessor Paletress.
Argent Confessor Paletress is a boss of the Trial of the Champion in the Crusaders' Coliseum.
Either she or Eadric the Pure will be encountered after defeating the three grand champions of the opposite faction.
The priestess drops lightwells, casts Holy Smite and Shadow Word: Pain. On heroic, she will also try to Mind Contol someone unless interrupted.
The lightwielder melees and casts cleave.
The monk has Final Meditation (on heroic only) which encases him in bubble at 1 hp and slows attack and movement speed of nearby players.
[Holy Smite] 50 yd range—Smites an enemy, inflicting 4,500 to 5,500 (Heroic: 7,650 to 9,350) Holy damage.
[Holy Fire] 30 yd range—Consumes an enemy in flames, burning it and inflicing addtional fire damage every 2 sec. over 8 sec.
[Confess]—Forcing nearby players to confess their darkest memories. Argent Confessor Paletress is shielded for 100% damage reduce, throwing 25% of damage done back at the attacker.
Algalon the Observer, Archimonde, Chromaggus, Cyanigosa, Priestess Delrissa, Eck the Ferocious, Entropius, Gruul the Dragonkiller, Hakkar the Soulflayer, Heigan the Unclean, Herod, Hogger, Ignis the Furnace Master, Illidan Stormrage, Ingvar the Plunderer, Warlord Kalithresh, Lucifron, Prince Malchezaar, Mutanus the Devourer, Onyxia, Prince Thunderaan, Edwin VanCleef, Lady Vashj, Vek'nilash, General Vezax.
Paletress summons a random memory. While the ghost is alive, Paletress puts a 100% damage reduction shield on herself but doesn't (bug?) remain attacking the tank. Anyone who attacks Paletress while her shield is up will receive 25% of the damage dealt as damage to yourself. It should be noted, however, that she is still interruptable through the shield. Anybody with a kick-like interrupt can do this. This can be very helpful for interrupting the renew, even when she has summoned the memory.
Simply attack her until she summons the memory, take it down and finish her off afterward.
Her Renew is a magic effect, removing it can speed up the fight. If you have a Mage in the group the renew extremely powerful, is Spellstealable, and will greatly reduce said Mage's drain on the healer should he/she steal it.
The memory's Waking Nightmare is a typeless fear effect, and any ability that removes fear can be useful.
Prayer of Shadow Protection or Shadow Resistance Aura can help while the memory is alive.
Putting up a Fear Ward might help the healer from getting feared frequently and becoming unable to heal the tank.
Paletress will focus on you if you taunt her. Additionally, everything she and the memory cast can be Spell Reflected. The Improved Spell Reflection talent makes this fight a lot easier.
Highlord Tirion Fordring yells: Well fought! Your next challenge comes from the Crusade's own ranks. You will be tested against their considerable prowess.
Jaeren Sunsworn/Arelas Brightstar yells: The next combatant is second to none in her passion for upholding the Light. I give you Argent Confessor Paletress!
The Alliance spectators cheer for Argent Confessor Paletress.
The Horde spectators cheer for Argent Confessor Paletress.
Argent Confessor Paletress says: Thank you, good herald. Your words are too kind.
Argent Confessor Paletress says: May the Light give me strength to provide a worthy challenge.
Highlord Tirion Fordring yells: You may begin!
Well then, let us begin.
Take this time to consider your past deeds.
Even the darkest memory fades when confronted. | {
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Canon today announced the launch of the entry level Speedlite 270EX, an enhanced flash designed for EOS and PowerShot users. The Canon Speedlite 270EX includes a host of new features not available with a built-in flash that push the boundaries for the entry level flash market. These include the addition of a zoom head, ensuring efficient light distribution and bounce flash head, enabling light from the flash to bounce off a ceiling to produce pictures with more flattering lighting with softer tones and depth. Improved circuitry offers near silent recharging and enables similar recharging times as its predecessor, despite being powered by just 2 AA batteries.
Replacing the popular Speedlite 220EX, the Canon Speedlite 270EX is aimed at photographers wanting to expand their flash photography beyond the built in flash and those who want a small: pocketable flash unit to complement their EOS-1D or EOS 5D series. The compact Speedlite 270EX builds on the success of its predecessor, with more power than usual for its class and size. | {
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During the first years after the Institute had been set up its physical oceanologists focused their attention on experimental and theoretical studies of the systems of ocean currents and water mass mixing processes. The theoretical studies were headed by V.B.Shtockman and the experimental - by A.D.Dobrovolsky. V.B.Shtockman was the first in ocean science to explain the emergence of counter-currents and anisotropy of exchange processes in the ocean. The measurements from the "Vityaz" enabled A.D.Dobrovolsky and his school to construct reliable charts of ocean currents, the first charts of the kind in Russian oceanology.
The foundations laid down by P.P.Shirshov, A.D.Dobrovolsky and V.B.Shtockman favoured the emergence and successful development at the Institute of a strong school of physical oceanologists. together with the above-mentioned scientists, the fame of the school was created by the well-known scientists like L.M.Brekhovskikh, V.G.Kort, A.S.Monin, V.E.Zakharov, R.V.Ozmidov, A.S.Sarkisyan, V.N.Stepanov, K.N.Fedorov, V.M.Kamenkovich, M.N.Koshlyakov, S.S.Voit, Yu.A.lvanov, G.I.Barenblatt, B.A.Tareev, V.A.Burkov.
Traditional physical oceanology engaged in the studies of ocean temperature, salinity, density, currents etc. was enriched by other fields of research, such as acoustics and optics of the ocean, sea turbulence, large-scale circulation, fine structure of oceanic waters, the interaction between the ocean and the atmosphere, sea waves, geophysical hydro-dynamics, sattelite oceanology and so on. Studies of physical processes in the World Ocean made it possible to discover many new, formerly unknown scientific facts (for example, the Tareev Sub-surface Current) and phenomena (synoptic eddies), to explain a number of formerly unclear anomalies (in particular, El-Nino), to develop new theoretical concepts as a contribution to the world's science, as well as to collect unique hydrological databases. Complex measurements with the aid of an array of long-term moored stations ("Polygon-78") organized for the first time in the world's practice and the measurements at the Polygon stations ("Polygon-70", "POLYMODE", "Mesopolygon", "Megapolygon") revealed the existence in the ocean of synoptic-scale eddies which later weic proved to be the most important element in the general circulation of the World Ocean. Important results were obtained in the studies of the intratermocline eddies, including the mediterranean origin eddies. Notable progress was made in the studies of fine structure of the ocean hydrophysical fields. The major parameters of the fine structure were determined, mechanisms responsible for its generation and transformation and its role in heat and salt transport in the ocean were investigated.
Much was achieved in the studies of sea turbulence and matter diffusion in the ocean. Models were constructed of matter transport, intermittent turbulence, the near-bottom turbulent layer and turbulent tail off seamounts. The experiments with fluorescent dyes made it possible to formulate laws of admixture diffusion in the ocean. The Institute's oceanologists have made an essential contribution to the study of waves. Mechanisms responsible for the formation of the spatial spectrum of the surface waves and the behaviour of waves, including internal ones, in variable and nonhomogeneous currents weic studied.
The optics of the ocean embraces studies of the laws governing the distribution of light radiation in the water medium, the development of remote optical methods for exploring the ocean.
In the ocean acoustics, new regularities were revealed in sound propagation in the ocean water and experiments on acoustic tomography were undertaken. Noise fields in the ocean were studied and the processes of sound propagation, scattering and attenuation were found to depend on the hydrophysical parameters of water and bottom relief. Satellite oceanology has been progressing at the Institute. In particular, satellite data of the visible and infrared bands were found to be interrelated with biological productivity of the ocean. | {
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Sanjeev Agarwal Named to 2019 'Global Leaders in Consulting' List
Technology, Strategy and Operations
Consulting magazine recognises Protiviti leader of Middle East and India regions with Excellence in Influence award
MENLO PARK, Calif., November 7, 2019 – Sanjeev Agarwal, the Protiviti Country Market Leader for member firms in the Middle East and India, has been named to Consulting magazine's 2019 'Global Leaders in Consulting' list. The award recognises leaders who are making an impact in the profession that can be felt worldwide. Agarwal, who has played a critical role in the expansion of global consulting firm Protiviti's presence in the Middle East and India, is recognised with an Excellence in Influence award.
Agarwal was a core member of the team that was instrumental in establishing Protiviti's presence in Kuwait in 2007. During the following six years, consulting operations expanded to another five countries in the Middle East (Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and UAE), which resulted in increased revenue, client base and consulting staff in the region. In 2014, Agarwal became head of operations in India where, under his leadership, services were expanded into six major cities. He has also established intelligent automation capabilities in India, focusing on the delivery of robotic process automation (RPA), data analytics and management and artificial intelligence solutions for Protiviti's clients around the globe. With further expansion into Cairo, Egypt, Agarwal now oversees the growth, innovation and client service in eight countries from his home base in Kuwait City, Kuwait.
"Sanjeev has created a unique culture across operations in the Middle East and India, which emphasises the values of integrity, inclusion and innovation that are core to Protiviti," said Joseph Tarantino, Protiviti president and CEO. "This culture ensures that his teams deliver exceptional client service, experience and value to our global clients. Consulting magazine's recognition for his outstanding efforts is very well-deserved."
The 2019 Global Leaders in Consulting honorees will be celebrated at an awards dinner on December 5 in London, U.K. Profiles of the winners will be published in the January 2020 edition of Consulting magazine.
Previous Protiviti recipients of the Global Leaders in Consulting award are Executive Vice President Andrew Clinton (2018) and Managing Director Philip Fretwell (2017). Protiviti was also recognised recently as one of Consulting magazine's 2019 Best Firms to Work For.
About Protiviti Inc.
Protiviti (www.protiviti.com) is a global consulting firm that delivers deep expertise, objective insights, a tailored approach and unparalleled collaboration to help leaders confidently face the future. Through our network of more than 85 offices in over 25 countries, Protiviti and its independent and locally owned Member Firms provide clients with consulting solutions in finance, technology, operations, data, analytics, governance, risk and internal audit.
Named to the 2019 Fortune 100 Best Companies to Work For® list, Protiviti has served more than 60 percent of Fortune 1000® and 35 percent of Fortune Global 500® companies. The firm also works with smaller, growing companies, including those looking to go public, as well as with government agencies. Protiviti is a wholly owned subsidiary of Robert Half (NYSE: RHI). Founded in 1948, Robert Half is a member of the S&P 500 index.
Protiviti Egypt Member Private Limited is the Egypt Member Firm of the global network of Protiviti firms, a group of independent consulting firms helping companies solve problems in finance, technology, operations, governance, risk and internal audit. Protiviti Member Firms are separate and independent legal entities, are not agents of other firms in the Protiviti network, and have no authority to obligate or bind other firms in the Protiviti network. | {
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If this alternate login page is displayed, click the link for "Use your company's sign in" to open the Vanderbilt Single Sign-On page.
This entry was posted on Sunday, June 17th, 2018 at 5:17 PM and is filed under . You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed. | {
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Opportunity!!! Modern townhouse, 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with sea view.
This nice house for sale, is a duplex in a residence with community pool, located to few meters of the sea.
This community is perfect to live with family, with its tranquility and proximity to shops, restaurants and the beautiful beach of Cala de Bou.
The ground floor consists of a one double bedroom with fitted wardrobes, a full bathroom with shower, a equipped kitchen with access to the garden and the dining room.
The living room with its modern furniture and sliding glass doors is very bright and takes you directly to the large corner garden. The exterior is decorated with wooden floors, chill out area and sun loungers, perfect to relax at the end of the day having a drink with friends. The other side of the garden is quite spacious to put a private pool.
Up the stairs, on the top floor, we find two double rooms; the main one has its bathroom with bath en suite, double wardrobes and a small terrace . The second double bedroom has a large window and a balcony with a great sea view. In the middle of the two bedrooms there is an other modern bathroom with shower for the comfort of all the guests.
In front of the house there is a private parking, covered with a wooden pergola and a few meters in a quiet area you can find the community pool. The townhouse has been totally renovated and is sold furnished.
Contact me now to schedule a visit. | {
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<?php
// This file is part of Moodle - http://moodle.org/
//
// Moodle is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
// it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
// the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
// (at your option) any later version.
//
// Moodle is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
// but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
// MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
// GNU General Public License for more details.
//
// You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
// along with Moodle. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
/**
* Holds the core settings that affect how Moodle works. Some of its fields
* are set in config.php, and the rest are loaded from the config table.
*
* Some typical settings in the $CFG global:
* - $CFG->wwwroot - Path to moodle index directory in url format.
* - $CFG->dataroot - Path to moodle data files directory on server's filesystem.
* - $CFG->dirroot - Path to moodle's library folder on server's filesystem.
* - $CFG->libdir - Path to moodle's library folder on server's filesystem.
* - $CFG->tempdir - Path to moodle's temp file directory on server's filesystem.
* - $CFG->cachedir - Path to moodle's cache directory on server's filesystem (shared by cluster nodes).
* - $CFG->localcachedir - Path to moodle's local cache directory (not shared by cluster nodes).
*
* @global object $CFG
* @name $CFG
*/
global $CFG; // this should be done much earlier in config.php before creating new $CFG instance
if (!isset($CFG)) {
if (defined('PHPUNIT_TEST') and PHPUNIT_TEST) {
echo('There is a missing "global $CFG;" at the beginning of the config.php file.'."\n");
exit(1);
} else {
// this should never happen, maybe somebody is accessing this file directly...
exit(1);
}
}
// We can detect real dirroot path reliably since PHP 4.0.2,
// it can not be anything else, there is no point in having this in config.php
$CFG->dirroot = dirname(dirname(__FILE__));
// File permissions on created directories in the $CFG->dataroot
if (!isset($CFG->directorypermissions)) {
$CFG->directorypermissions = 02777; // Must be octal (that's why it's here)
}
if (!isset($CFG->filepermissions)) {
$CFG->filepermissions = ($CFG->directorypermissions & 0666); // strip execute flags
}
// Better also set default umask because developers often forget to include directory
// permissions in mkdir() and chmod() after creating new files.
if (!isset($CFG->umaskpermissions)) {
$CFG->umaskpermissions = (($CFG->directorypermissions & 0777) ^ 0777);
}
umask($CFG->umaskpermissions);
if (defined('BEHAT_SITE_RUNNING')) {
// We already switched to behat test site previously.
} else if (!empty($CFG->behat_wwwroot) or !empty($CFG->behat_dataroot) or !empty($CFG->behat_prefix)) {
// The behat is configured on this server, we need to find out if this is the behat test
// site based on the URL used for access.
require_once(__DIR__ . '/../lib/behat/lib.php');
// Update config variables for parallel behat runs.
behat_update_vars_for_process();
if (behat_is_test_site()) {
clearstatcache();
// Checking the integrity of the provided $CFG->behat_* vars and the
// selected wwwroot to prevent conflicts with production and phpunit environments.
behat_check_config_vars();
// Check that the directory does not contains other things.
if (!file_exists("$CFG->behat_dataroot/behattestdir.txt")) {
if ($dh = opendir($CFG->behat_dataroot)) {
while (($file = readdir($dh)) !== false) {
if ($file === 'behat' or $file === '.' or $file === '..' or $file === '.DS_Store' or is_numeric($file)) {
continue;
}
behat_error(BEHAT_EXITCODE_CONFIG, "$CFG->behat_dataroot directory is not empty, ensure this is the " .
"directory where you want to install behat test dataroot");
}
closedir($dh);
unset($dh);
unset($file);
}
if (defined('BEHAT_UTIL')) {
// Now we create dataroot directory structure for behat tests.
testing_initdataroot($CFG->behat_dataroot, 'behat');
} else {
behat_error(BEHAT_EXITCODE_INSTALL);
}
}
if (!defined('BEHAT_UTIL') and !defined('BEHAT_TEST')) {
// Somebody tries to access test site directly, tell them if not enabled.
if (!file_exists($CFG->behat_dataroot . '/behat/test_environment_enabled.txt')) {
behat_error(BEHAT_EXITCODE_CONFIG, 'Behat is configured but not enabled on this test site.');
}
}
// Constant used to inform that the behat test site is being used,
// this includes all the processes executed by the behat CLI command like
// the site reset, the steps executed by the browser drivers when simulating
// a user session and a real session when browsing manually to $CFG->behat_wwwroot
// like the browser driver does automatically.
// Different from BEHAT_TEST as only this last one can perform CLI
// actions like reset the site or use data generators.
define('BEHAT_SITE_RUNNING', true);
// Clean extra config.php settings.
behat_clean_init_config();
// Now we can begin switching $CFG->X for $CFG->behat_X.
$CFG->wwwroot = $CFG->behat_wwwroot;
$CFG->prefix = $CFG->behat_prefix;
$CFG->dataroot = $CFG->behat_dataroot;
}
}
// Normalise dataroot - we do not want any symbolic links, trailing / or any other weirdness there
if (!isset($CFG->dataroot)) {
if (isset($_SERVER['REMOTE_ADDR'])) {
header($_SERVER['SERVER_PROTOCOL'] . ' 503 Service Unavailable');
}
echo('Fatal error: $CFG->dataroot is not specified in config.php! Exiting.'."\n");
exit(1);
}
$CFG->dataroot = realpath($CFG->dataroot);
if ($CFG->dataroot === false) {
if (isset($_SERVER['REMOTE_ADDR'])) {
header($_SERVER['SERVER_PROTOCOL'] . ' 503 Service Unavailable');
}
echo('Fatal error: $CFG->dataroot is not configured properly, directory does not exist or is not accessible! Exiting.'."\n");
exit(1);
} else if (!is_writable($CFG->dataroot)) {
if (isset($_SERVER['REMOTE_ADDR'])) {
header($_SERVER['SERVER_PROTOCOL'] . ' 503 Service Unavailable');
}
echo('Fatal error: $CFG->dataroot is not writable, admin has to fix directory permissions! Exiting.'."\n");
exit(1);
}
// wwwroot is mandatory
if (!isset($CFG->wwwroot) or $CFG->wwwroot === 'http://example.com/moodle') {
if (isset($_SERVER['REMOTE_ADDR'])) {
header($_SERVER['SERVER_PROTOCOL'] . ' 503 Service Unavailable');
}
echo('Fatal error: $CFG->wwwroot is not configured! Exiting.'."\n");
exit(1);
}
// Make sure there is some database table prefix.
if (!isset($CFG->prefix)) {
$CFG->prefix = '';
}
// Define admin directory
if (!isset($CFG->admin)) { // Just in case it isn't defined in config.php
$CFG->admin = 'admin'; // This is relative to the wwwroot and dirroot
}
// Set up some paths.
$CFG->libdir = $CFG->dirroot .'/lib';
// Allow overriding of tempdir but be backwards compatible
if (!isset($CFG->tempdir)) {
$CFG->tempdir = "$CFG->dataroot/temp";
}
// Allow overriding of cachedir but be backwards compatible
if (!isset($CFG->cachedir)) {
$CFG->cachedir = "$CFG->dataroot/cache";
}
// Allow overriding of localcachedir.
if (!isset($CFG->localcachedir)) {
$CFG->localcachedir = "$CFG->dataroot/localcache";
}
// Location of all languages except core English pack.
if (!isset($CFG->langotherroot)) {
$CFG->langotherroot = $CFG->dataroot.'/lang';
}
// Location of local lang pack customisations (dirs with _local suffix).
if (!isset($CFG->langlocalroot)) {
$CFG->langlocalroot = $CFG->dataroot.'/lang';
}
// The current directory in PHP version 4.3.0 and above isn't necessarily the
// directory of the script when run from the command line. The require_once()
// would fail, so we'll have to chdir()
if (!isset($_SERVER['REMOTE_ADDR']) && isset($_SERVER['argv'][0])) {
// do it only once - skip the second time when continuing after prevous abort
if (!defined('ABORT_AFTER_CONFIG') and !defined('ABORT_AFTER_CONFIG_CANCEL')) {
chdir(dirname($_SERVER['argv'][0]));
}
}
// sometimes default PHP settings are borked on shared hosting servers, I wonder why they have to do that??
ini_set('precision', 14); // needed for upgrades and gradebook
ini_set('serialize_precision', 17); // Make float serialization consistent on all systems.
// Scripts may request no debug and error messages in output
// please note it must be defined before including the config.php script
// and in some cases you also need to set custom default exception handler
if (!defined('NO_DEBUG_DISPLAY')) {
if (defined('AJAX_SCRIPT') and AJAX_SCRIPT) {
// Moodle AJAX scripts are expected to return json data, any PHP notices or errors break it badly,
// developers simply must learn to watch error log.
define('NO_DEBUG_DISPLAY', true);
} else {
define('NO_DEBUG_DISPLAY', false);
}
}
// Some scripts such as upgrade may want to prevent output buffering
if (!defined('NO_OUTPUT_BUFFERING')) {
define('NO_OUTPUT_BUFFERING', false);
}
// PHPUnit tests need custom init
if (!defined('PHPUNIT_TEST')) {
define('PHPUNIT_TEST', false);
}
// Performance tests needs to always display performance info, even in redirections.
if (!defined('MDL_PERF_TEST')) {
define('MDL_PERF_TEST', false);
} else {
// We force the ones we need.
if (!defined('MDL_PERF')) {
define('MDL_PERF', true);
}
if (!defined('MDL_PERFDB')) {
define('MDL_PERFDB', true);
}
if (!defined('MDL_PERFTOFOOT')) {
define('MDL_PERFTOFOOT', true);
}
}
// When set to true MUC (Moodle caching) will be disabled as much as possible.
// A special cache factory will be used to handle this situation and will use special "disabled" equivalents objects.
// This ensure we don't attempt to read or create the config file, don't use stores, don't provide persistence or
// storage of any kind.
if (!defined('CACHE_DISABLE_ALL')) {
define('CACHE_DISABLE_ALL', false);
}
// When set to true MUC (Moodle caching) will not use any of the defined or default stores.
// The Cache API will continue to function however this will force the use of the cachestore_dummy so all requests
// will be interacting with a static property and will never go to the proper cache stores.
// Useful if you need to avoid the stores for one reason or another.
if (!defined('CACHE_DISABLE_STORES')) {
define('CACHE_DISABLE_STORES', false);
}
// Servers should define a default timezone in php.ini, but if they don't then make sure no errors are shown.
date_default_timezone_set(@date_default_timezone_get());
// Detect CLI scripts - CLI scripts are executed from command line, do not have session and we do not want HTML in output
// In your new CLI scripts just add "define('CLI_SCRIPT', true);" before requiring config.php.
// Please note that one script can not be accessed from both CLI and web interface.
if (!defined('CLI_SCRIPT')) {
define('CLI_SCRIPT', false);
}
if (defined('WEB_CRON_EMULATED_CLI')) {
if (!isset($_SERVER['REMOTE_ADDR'])) {
echo('Web cron can not be executed as CLI script any more, please use admin/cli/cron.php instead'."\n");
exit(1);
}
} else if (isset($_SERVER['REMOTE_ADDR'])) {
if (CLI_SCRIPT) {
echo('Command line scripts can not be executed from the web interface');
exit(1);
}
} else {
if (!CLI_SCRIPT) {
echo('Command line scripts must define CLI_SCRIPT before requiring config.php'."\n");
exit(1);
}
}
// All web service requests have WS_SERVER == true.
if (!defined('WS_SERVER')) {
define('WS_SERVER', false);
}
// Detect CLI maintenance mode - this is useful when you need to mess with database, such as during upgrades
if (file_exists("$CFG->dataroot/climaintenance.html")) {
if (!CLI_SCRIPT) {
header('Content-type: text/html; charset=utf-8');
header('X-UA-Compatible: IE=edge');
/// Headers to make it not cacheable and json
header('Cache-Control: no-store, no-cache, must-revalidate');
header('Cache-Control: post-check=0, pre-check=0', false);
header('Pragma: no-cache');
header('Expires: Mon, 20 Aug 1969 09:23:00 GMT');
header('Last-Modified: ' . gmdate('D, d M Y H:i:s') . ' GMT');
header('Accept-Ranges: none');
readfile("$CFG->dataroot/climaintenance.html");
die;
} else {
if (!defined('CLI_MAINTENANCE')) {
define('CLI_MAINTENANCE', true);
}
}
} else {
if (!defined('CLI_MAINTENANCE')) {
define('CLI_MAINTENANCE', false);
}
}
if (CLI_SCRIPT) {
// sometimes people use different PHP binary for web and CLI, make 100% sure they have the supported PHP version
if (version_compare(phpversion(), '5.4.4') < 0) {
$phpversion = phpversion();
// do NOT localise - lang strings would not work here and we CAN NOT move it to later place
echo "Moodle 2.7 or later requires at least PHP 5.4.4 (currently using version $phpversion).\n";
echo "Some servers may have multiple PHP versions installed, are you using the correct executable?\n";
exit(1);
}
}
// Detect ajax scripts - they are similar to CLI because we can not redirect, output html, etc.
if (!defined('AJAX_SCRIPT')) {
define('AJAX_SCRIPT', false);
}
// Exact version of currently used yui2 and 3 library.
$CFG->yui2version = '2.9.0';
$CFG->yui3version = '3.17.2';
// Patching the upstream YUI release.
// For important information on patching YUI modules, please see http://docs.moodle.org/dev/YUI/Patching.
// If we need to patch a YUI modules between official YUI releases, the yuipatchlevel will need to be manually
// incremented here. The module will also need to be listed in the yuipatchedmodules.
// When upgrading to a subsequent version of YUI, these should be reset back to 0 and an empty array.
$CFG->yuipatchlevel = 0;
$CFG->yuipatchedmodules = array(
);
if (!empty($CFG->disableonclickaddoninstall)) {
// This config.php flag has been merged into another one.
$CFG->disableupdateautodeploy = true;
}
// Store settings from config.php in array in $CFG - we can use it later to detect problems and overrides.
if (!isset($CFG->config_php_settings)) {
$CFG->config_php_settings = (array)$CFG;
// Forced plugin settings override values from config_plugins table.
unset($CFG->config_php_settings['forced_plugin_settings']);
if (!isset($CFG->forced_plugin_settings)) {
$CFG->forced_plugin_settings = array();
}
}
if (isset($CFG->debug)) {
$CFG->debug = (int)$CFG->debug;
} else {
$CFG->debug = 0;
}
$CFG->debugdeveloper = (($CFG->debug & (E_ALL | E_STRICT)) === (E_ALL | E_STRICT)); // DEBUG_DEVELOPER is not available yet.
if (!defined('MOODLE_INTERNAL')) { // Necessary because cli installer has to define it earlier.
/** Used by library scripts to check they are being called by Moodle. */
define('MOODLE_INTERNAL', true);
}
// core_component can be used in any scripts, it does not need anything else.
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/classes/component.php');
// special support for highly optimised scripts that do not need libraries and DB connection
if (defined('ABORT_AFTER_CONFIG')) {
if (!defined('ABORT_AFTER_CONFIG_CANCEL')) {
// hide debugging if not enabled in config.php - we do not want to disclose sensitive info
error_reporting($CFG->debug);
if (NO_DEBUG_DISPLAY) {
// Some parts of Moodle cannot display errors and debug at all.
ini_set('display_errors', '0');
ini_set('log_errors', '1');
} else if (empty($CFG->debugdisplay)) {
ini_set('display_errors', '0');
ini_set('log_errors', '1');
} else {
ini_set('display_errors', '1');
}
require_once("$CFG->dirroot/lib/configonlylib.php");
return;
}
}
// Early profiling start, based exclusively on config.php $CFG settings
if (!empty($CFG->earlyprofilingenabled)) {
require_once($CFG->libdir . '/xhprof/xhprof_moodle.php');
profiling_start();
}
/**
* Database connection. Used for all access to the database.
* @global moodle_database $DB
* @name $DB
*/
global $DB;
/**
* Moodle's wrapper round PHP's $_SESSION.
*
* @global object $SESSION
* @name $SESSION
*/
global $SESSION;
/**
* Holds the user table record for the current user. Will be the 'guest'
* user record for people who are not logged in.
*
* $USER is stored in the session.
*
* Items found in the user record:
* - $USER->email - The user's email address.
* - $USER->id - The unique integer identified of this user in the 'user' table.
* - $USER->email - The user's email address.
* - $USER->firstname - The user's first name.
* - $USER->lastname - The user's last name.
* - $USER->username - The user's login username.
* - $USER->secret - The user's ?.
* - $USER->lang - The user's language choice.
*
* @global object $USER
* @name $USER
*/
global $USER;
/**
* Frontpage course record
*/
global $SITE;
/**
* A central store of information about the current page we are
* generating in response to the user's request.
*
* @global moodle_page $PAGE
* @name $PAGE
*/
global $PAGE;
/**
* The current course. An alias for $PAGE->course.
* @global object $COURSE
* @name $COURSE
*/
global $COURSE;
/**
* $OUTPUT is an instance of core_renderer or one of its subclasses. Use
* it to generate HTML for output.
*
* $OUTPUT is initialised the first time it is used. See {@link bootstrap_renderer}
* for the magic that does that. After $OUTPUT has been initialised, any attempt
* to change something that affects the current theme ($PAGE->course, logged in use,
* httpsrequried ... will result in an exception.)
*
* Please note the $OUTPUT is replacing the old global $THEME object.
*
* @global object $OUTPUT
* @name $OUTPUT
*/
global $OUTPUT;
/**
* Full script path including all params, slash arguments, scheme and host.
*
* Note: Do NOT use for getting of current page URL or detection of https,
* instead use $PAGE->url or is_https().
*
* @global string $FULLME
* @name $FULLME
*/
global $FULLME;
/**
* Script path including query string and slash arguments without host.
* @global string $ME
* @name $ME
*/
global $ME;
/**
* $FULLME without slasharguments and query string.
* @global string $FULLSCRIPT
* @name $FULLSCRIPT
*/
global $FULLSCRIPT;
/**
* Relative moodle script path '/course/view.php'
* @global string $SCRIPT
* @name $SCRIPT
*/
global $SCRIPT;
// Set httpswwwroot default value (this variable will replace $CFG->wwwroot
// inside some URLs used in HTTPSPAGEREQUIRED pages.
$CFG->httpswwwroot = $CFG->wwwroot;
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/setuplib.php'); // Functions that MUST be loaded first
if (NO_OUTPUT_BUFFERING) {
// we have to call this always before starting session because it discards headers!
disable_output_buffering();
}
// Increase memory limits if possible
raise_memory_limit(MEMORY_STANDARD);
// Time to start counting
init_performance_info();
// Put $OUTPUT in place, so errors can be displayed.
$OUTPUT = new bootstrap_renderer();
// set handler for uncaught exceptions - equivalent to print_error() call
if (!PHPUNIT_TEST or PHPUNIT_UTIL) {
set_exception_handler('default_exception_handler');
set_error_handler('default_error_handler', E_ALL | E_STRICT);
}
// Acceptance tests needs special output to capture the errors,
// but not necessary for behat CLI command and init script.
if (defined('BEHAT_SITE_RUNNING') && !defined('BEHAT_TEST') && !defined('BEHAT_UTIL')) {
require_once(__DIR__ . '/behat/lib.php');
set_error_handler('behat_error_handler', E_ALL | E_STRICT);
}
// If there are any errors in the standard libraries we want to know!
error_reporting(E_ALL | E_STRICT);
// Just say no to link prefetching (Moz prefetching, Google Web Accelerator, others)
// http://www.google.com/webmasters/faq.html#prefetchblock
if (!empty($_SERVER['HTTP_X_moz']) && $_SERVER['HTTP_X_moz'] === 'prefetch'){
header($_SERVER['SERVER_PROTOCOL'] . ' 404 Prefetch Forbidden');
echo('Prefetch request forbidden.');
exit(1);
}
//point pear include path to moodles lib/pear so that includes and requires will search there for files before anywhere else
//the problem is that we need specific version of quickforms and hacked excel files :-(
ini_set('include_path', $CFG->libdir.'/pear' . PATH_SEPARATOR . ini_get('include_path'));
// Register our classloader, in theory somebody might want to replace it to load other hacked core classes.
if (defined('COMPONENT_CLASSLOADER')) {
spl_autoload_register(COMPONENT_CLASSLOADER);
} else {
spl_autoload_register('core_component::classloader');
}
// Remember the default PHP timezone, we will need it later.
core_date::store_default_php_timezone();
// Load up standard libraries
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/filterlib.php'); // Functions for filtering test as it is output
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/ajax/ajaxlib.php'); // Functions for managing our use of JavaScript and YUI
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/weblib.php'); // Functions relating to HTTP and content
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/outputlib.php'); // Functions for generating output
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/navigationlib.php'); // Class for generating Navigation structure
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/dmllib.php'); // Database access
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/datalib.php'); // Legacy lib with a big-mix of functions.
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/accesslib.php'); // Access control functions
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/deprecatedlib.php'); // Deprecated functions included for backward compatibility
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/moodlelib.php'); // Other general-purpose functions
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/enrollib.php'); // Enrolment related functions
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/pagelib.php'); // Library that defines the moodle_page class, used for $PAGE
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/blocklib.php'); // Library for controlling blocks
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/eventslib.php'); // Events functions
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/grouplib.php'); // Groups functions
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/sessionlib.php'); // All session and cookie related stuff
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/editorlib.php'); // All text editor related functions and classes
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/messagelib.php'); // Messagelib functions
require_once($CFG->libdir .'/modinfolib.php'); // Cached information on course-module instances
require_once($CFG->dirroot.'/cache/lib.php'); // Cache API
// make sure PHP is not severly misconfigured
setup_validate_php_configuration();
// Connect to the database
setup_DB();
if (PHPUNIT_TEST and !PHPUNIT_UTIL) {
// make sure tests do not run in parallel
test_lock::acquire('phpunit');
$dbhash = null;
try {
if ($dbhash = $DB->get_field('config', 'value', array('name'=>'phpunittest'))) {
// reset DB tables
phpunit_util::reset_database();
}
} catch (Exception $e) {
if ($dbhash) {
// we ned to reinit if reset fails
$DB->set_field('config', 'value', 'na', array('name'=>'phpunittest'));
}
}
unset($dbhash);
}
// Load up any configuration from the config table or MUC cache.
if (PHPUNIT_TEST) {
phpunit_util::initialise_cfg();
} else {
initialise_cfg();
}
if (isset($CFG->debug)) {
$CFG->debug = (int)$CFG->debug;
error_reporting($CFG->debug);
} else {
$CFG->debug = 0;
}
$CFG->debugdeveloper = (($CFG->debug & DEBUG_DEVELOPER) === DEBUG_DEVELOPER);
// Find out if PHP configured to display warnings,
// this is a security problem because some moodle scripts may
// disclose sensitive information.
if (ini_get_bool('display_errors')) {
define('WARN_DISPLAY_ERRORS_ENABLED', true);
}
// If we want to display Moodle errors, then try and set PHP errors to match.
if (!isset($CFG->debugdisplay)) {
// Keep it "as is" during installation.
} else if (NO_DEBUG_DISPLAY) {
// Some parts of Moodle cannot display errors and debug at all.
ini_set('display_errors', '0');
ini_set('log_errors', '1');
} else if (empty($CFG->debugdisplay)) {
ini_set('display_errors', '0');
ini_set('log_errors', '1');
} else {
// This is very problematic in XHTML strict mode!
ini_set('display_errors', '1');
}
// Register our shutdown manager, do NOT use register_shutdown_function().
core_shutdown_manager::initialize();
// Verify upgrade is not running unless we are in a script that needs to execute in any case
if (!defined('NO_UPGRADE_CHECK') and isset($CFG->upgraderunning)) {
if ($CFG->upgraderunning < time()) {
unset_config('upgraderunning');
} else {
print_error('upgraderunning');
}
}
// enable circular reference collector in PHP 5.3,
// it helps a lot when using large complex OOP structures such as in amos or gradebook
if (function_exists('gc_enable')) {
gc_enable();
}
// detect unsupported upgrade jump as soon as possible - do not change anything, do not use system functions
if (!empty($CFG->version) and $CFG->version < 2007101509) {
print_error('upgraderequires19', 'error');
die;
}
// Calculate and set $CFG->ostype to be used everywhere. Possible values are:
// - WINDOWS: for any Windows flavour.
// - UNIX: for the rest
// Also, $CFG->os can continue being used if more specialization is required
if (stristr(PHP_OS, 'win') && !stristr(PHP_OS, 'darwin')) {
$CFG->ostype = 'WINDOWS';
} else {
$CFG->ostype = 'UNIX';
}
$CFG->os = PHP_OS;
// Configure ampersands in URLs
ini_set('arg_separator.output', '&');
// Work around for a PHP bug see MDL-11237
ini_set('pcre.backtrack_limit', 20971520); // 20 MB
// Work around for PHP7 bug #70110. See MDL-52475 .
if (ini_get('pcre.jit')) {
ini_set('pcre.jit', 0);
}
// Set PHP default timezone to server timezone.
core_date::set_default_server_timezone();
// Location of standard files
$CFG->wordlist = $CFG->libdir .'/wordlist.txt';
$CFG->moddata = 'moddata';
// neutralise nasty chars in PHP_SELF
if (isset($_SERVER['PHP_SELF'])) {
$phppos = strpos($_SERVER['PHP_SELF'], '.php');
if ($phppos !== false) {
$_SERVER['PHP_SELF'] = substr($_SERVER['PHP_SELF'], 0, $phppos+4);
}
unset($phppos);
}
// initialise ME's - this must be done BEFORE starting of session!
initialise_fullme();
// define SYSCONTEXTID in config.php if you want to save some queries,
// after install it must match the system context record id.
if (!defined('SYSCONTEXTID')) {
context_system::instance();
}
// Defining the site - aka frontpage course
try {
$SITE = get_site();
} catch (moodle_exception $e) {
$SITE = null;
if (empty($CFG->version)) {
$SITE = new stdClass();
$SITE->id = 1;
$SITE->shortname = null;
} else {
throw $e;
}
}
// And the 'default' course - this will usually get reset later in require_login() etc.
$COURSE = clone($SITE);
// Id of the frontpage course.
define('SITEID', $SITE->id);
// init session prevention flag - this is defined on pages that do not want session
if (CLI_SCRIPT) {
// no sessions in CLI scripts possible
define('NO_MOODLE_COOKIES', true);
} else if (WS_SERVER) {
// No sessions possible in web services.
define('NO_MOODLE_COOKIES', true);
} else if (!defined('NO_MOODLE_COOKIES')) {
if (empty($CFG->version) or $CFG->version < 2009011900) {
// no session before sessions table gets created
define('NO_MOODLE_COOKIES', true);
} else if (CLI_SCRIPT) {
// CLI scripts can not have session
define('NO_MOODLE_COOKIES', true);
} else {
define('NO_MOODLE_COOKIES', false);
}
}
// Start session and prepare global $SESSION, $USER.
if (empty($CFG->sessiontimeout)) {
$CFG->sessiontimeout = 7200;
}
\core\session\manager::start();
// Set default content type and encoding, developers are still required to use
// echo $OUTPUT->header() everywhere, anything that gets set later should override these headers.
// This is intended to mitigate some security problems.
if (AJAX_SCRIPT) {
if (!core_useragent::supports_json_contenttype()) {
// Some bloody old IE.
@header('Content-type: text/plain; charset=utf-8');
@header('X-Content-Type-Options: nosniff');
} else if (!empty($_FILES)) {
// Some ajax code may have problems with json and file uploads.
@header('Content-type: text/plain; charset=utf-8');
} else {
@header('Content-type: application/json; charset=utf-8');
}
} else if (!CLI_SCRIPT) {
@header('Content-type: text/html; charset=utf-8');
}
// Initialise some variables that are supposed to be set in config.php only.
if (!isset($CFG->filelifetime)) {
$CFG->filelifetime = 60*60*6;
}
// Late profiling, only happening if early one wasn't started
if (!empty($CFG->profilingenabled)) {
require_once($CFG->libdir . '/xhprof/xhprof_moodle.php');
profiling_start();
}
// Hack to get around max_input_vars restrictions,
// we need to do this after session init to have some basic DDoS protection.
workaround_max_input_vars();
// Process theme change in the URL.
if (!empty($CFG->allowthemechangeonurl) and !empty($_GET['theme'])) {
// we have to use _GET directly because we do not want this to interfere with _POST
$urlthemename = optional_param('theme', '', PARAM_PLUGIN);
try {
$themeconfig = theme_config::load($urlthemename);
// Makes sure the theme can be loaded without errors.
if ($themeconfig->name === $urlthemename) {
$SESSION->theme = $urlthemename;
} else {
unset($SESSION->theme);
}
unset($themeconfig);
unset($urlthemename);
} catch (Exception $e) {
debugging('Failed to set the theme from the URL.', DEBUG_DEVELOPER, $e->getTrace());
}
}
unset($urlthemename);
// Ensure a valid theme is set.
if (!isset($CFG->theme)) {
$CFG->theme = 'clean';
}
// Set language/locale of printed times. If user has chosen a language that
// that is different from the site language, then use the locale specified
// in the language file. Otherwise, if the admin hasn't specified a locale
// then use the one from the default language. Otherwise (and this is the
// majority of cases), use the stored locale specified by admin.
// note: do not accept lang parameter from POST
if (isset($_GET['lang']) and ($lang = optional_param('lang', '', PARAM_SAFEDIR))) {
if (get_string_manager()->translation_exists($lang, false)) {
$SESSION->lang = $lang;
}
}
unset($lang);
// PARAM_SAFEDIR used instead of PARAM_LANG because using PARAM_LANG results
// in an empty string being returned when a non-existant language is specified,
// which would make it necessary to log out to undo the forcelang setting.
// With PARAM_SAFEDIR, it's possible to specify ?forcelang=none to drop the forcelang effect.
if ($forcelang = optional_param('forcelang', '', PARAM_SAFEDIR)) {
if (isloggedin()
&& get_string_manager()->translation_exists($forcelang, false)
&& has_capability('moodle/site:forcelanguage', context_system::instance())) {
$SESSION->forcelang = $forcelang;
} else if (isset($SESSION->forcelang)) {
unset($SESSION->forcelang);
}
}
unset($forcelang);
setup_lang_from_browser();
if (empty($CFG->lang)) {
if (empty($SESSION->lang)) {
$CFG->lang = 'en';
} else {
$CFG->lang = $SESSION->lang;
}
}
// Set the default site locale, a lot of the stuff may depend on this
// it is definitely too late to call this first in require_login()!
moodle_setlocale();
// Create the $PAGE global - this marks the PAGE and OUTPUT fully initialised, this MUST be done at the end of setup!
if (!empty($CFG->moodlepageclass)) {
if (!empty($CFG->moodlepageclassfile)) {
require_once($CFG->moodlepageclassfile);
}
$classname = $CFG->moodlepageclass;
} else {
$classname = 'moodle_page';
}
$PAGE = new $classname();
unset($classname);
if (!empty($CFG->debugvalidators) and !empty($CFG->guestloginbutton)) {
if ($CFG->theme == 'standard') { // Temporary measure to help with XHTML validation
if (isset($_SERVER['HTTP_USER_AGENT']) and empty($USER->id)) { // Allow W3CValidator in as user called w3cvalidator (or guest)
if ((strpos($_SERVER['HTTP_USER_AGENT'], 'W3C_Validator') !== false) or
(strpos($_SERVER['HTTP_USER_AGENT'], 'Cynthia') !== false )) {
if ($user = get_complete_user_data("username", "w3cvalidator")) {
$user->ignoresesskey = true;
} else {
$user = guest_user();
}
\core\session\manager::set_user($user);
}
}
}
}
// Apache log integration. In apache conf file one can use ${MOODULEUSER}n in
// LogFormat to get the current logged in username in moodle.
if ($USER && function_exists('apache_note')
&& !empty($CFG->apacheloguser) && isset($USER->username)) {
$apachelog_userid = $USER->id;
$apachelog_username = clean_filename($USER->username);
$apachelog_name = '';
if (isset($USER->firstname)) {
// We can assume both will be set
// - even if to empty.
$apachelog_name = clean_filename($USER->firstname . " " .
$USER->lastname);
}
if (\core\session\manager::is_loggedinas()) {
$realuser = \core\session\manager::get_realuser();
$apachelog_username = clean_filename($realuser->username." as ".$apachelog_username);
$apachelog_name = clean_filename($realuser->firstname." ".$realuser->lastname ." as ".$apachelog_name);
$apachelog_userid = clean_filename($realuser->id." as ".$apachelog_userid);
}
switch ($CFG->apacheloguser) {
case 3:
$logname = $apachelog_username;
break;
case 2:
$logname = $apachelog_name;
break;
case 1:
default:
$logname = $apachelog_userid;
break;
}
apache_note('MOODLEUSER', $logname);
}
// Ensure the urlrewriteclass is setup correctly (to avoid crippling site).
if (isset($CFG->urlrewriteclass)) {
if (!class_exists($CFG->urlrewriteclass)) {
debugging("urlrewriteclass {$CFG->urlrewriteclass} was not found, disabling.");
unset($CFG->urlrewriteclass);
} else if (!in_array('core\output\url_rewriter', class_implements($CFG->urlrewriteclass))) {
debugging("{$CFG->urlrewriteclass} does not implement core\output\url_rewriter, disabling.", DEBUG_DEVELOPER);
unset($CFG->urlrewriteclass);
}
}
// Use a custom script replacement if one exists
if (!empty($CFG->customscripts)) {
if (($customscript = custom_script_path()) !== false) {
require ($customscript);
}
}
if (PHPUNIT_TEST) {
// no ip blocking, these are CLI only
} else if (CLI_SCRIPT and !defined('WEB_CRON_EMULATED_CLI')) {
// no ip blocking
} else if (!empty($CFG->allowbeforeblock)) { // allowed list processed before blocked list?
// in this case, ip in allowed list will be performed first
// for example, client IP is 192.168.1.1
// 192.168 subnet is an entry in allowed list
// 192.168.1.1 is banned in blocked list
// This ip will be banned finally
if (!empty($CFG->allowedip)) {
if (!remoteip_in_list($CFG->allowedip)) {
die(get_string('ipblocked', 'admin'));
}
}
// need further check, client ip may a part of
// allowed subnet, but a IP address are listed
// in blocked list.
if (!empty($CFG->blockedip)) {
if (remoteip_in_list($CFG->blockedip)) {
die(get_string('ipblocked', 'admin'));
}
}
} else {
// in this case, IPs in blocked list will be performed first
// for example, client IP is 192.168.1.1
// 192.168 subnet is an entry in blocked list
// 192.168.1.1 is allowed in allowed list
// This ip will be allowed finally
if (!empty($CFG->blockedip)) {
if (remoteip_in_list($CFG->blockedip)) {
// if the allowed ip list is not empty
// IPs are not included in the allowed list will be
// blocked too
if (!empty($CFG->allowedip)) {
if (!remoteip_in_list($CFG->allowedip)) {
die(get_string('ipblocked', 'admin'));
}
} else {
die(get_string('ipblocked', 'admin'));
}
}
}
// if blocked list is null
// allowed list should be tested
if(!empty($CFG->allowedip)) {
if (!remoteip_in_list($CFG->allowedip)) {
die(get_string('ipblocked', 'admin'));
}
}
}
// // try to detect IE6 and prevent gzip because it is extremely buggy browser
if (!empty($_SERVER['HTTP_USER_AGENT']) and strpos($_SERVER['HTTP_USER_AGENT'], 'MSIE 6') !== false) {
ini_set('zlib.output_compression', 'Off');
if (function_exists('apache_setenv')) {
apache_setenv('no-gzip', 1);
}
}
// Switch to CLI maintenance mode if required, we need to do it here after all the settings are initialised.
if (isset($CFG->maintenance_later) and $CFG->maintenance_later <= time()) {
if (!file_exists("$CFG->dataroot/climaintenance.html")) {
require_once("$CFG->libdir/adminlib.php");
enable_cli_maintenance_mode();
}
unset_config('maintenance_later');
if (AJAX_SCRIPT) {
die;
} else if (!CLI_SCRIPT) {
redirect(new moodle_url('/'));
}
}
// Add behat_shutdown_function to shutdown manager, so we can capture php errors,
// but not necessary for behat CLI command as it's being captured by behat process.
if (defined('BEHAT_SITE_RUNNING') && !defined('BEHAT_TEST')) {
core_shutdown_manager::register_function('behat_shutdown_function');
}
// note: we can not block non utf-8 installations here, because empty mysql database
// might be converted to utf-8 in admin/index.php during installation
// this is a funny trick to make Eclipse believe that $OUTPUT and other globals
// contains an instance of core_renderer, etc. which in turn fixes autocompletion ;-)
if (false) {
$DB = new moodle_database();
$OUTPUT = new core_renderer(null, null);
$PAGE = new moodle_page();
}
| {
"redpajama_set_name": "RedPajamaGithub"
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Joey Bada$$ Drops Three-Track 'The Light Pack' EP
Joey Bada$$ drops a fresh EP with a guest appearance from Pusha T.
As the clock struck midnight on Friday, Joey Bada$$ gifted his fans a three-track EP titled The Light Pack. The project has just one feature–Pusha T on "No Explanation." Joey announced the project with lyrics from the project's intro, "The Light."
"This is mumble rap extermination," he wrote. "This is godly interpolation." According to hints left on his social media page, the three tracks symbolize the mind, body, and soul.
Joey recently spoke with Complex about his upcoming LP. The project will serve as his debut album at Columbia Records. "We're trying to come soon," he said. "It's almost ready. On Instagram, my fans were pressing me and I told them, 'Listen, it's not going to be a longer wait than six months.' That's the best I can say. We're really right there."
The Brooklyn MC has explored other ventures in recent years. In 2016, he modeled for Calvin Klein. That same year, he joined the cast of USA's Mr. Robot. The following year, he'd release his last album, All-Amerikkkan Badass.
Back in February, Joey Bada$$ shared a tribute to Pop Smoke on Instagram. "A lil something I wrote in light of all the fucked up shit going on," he wrote. "I need hip hop to have a hug."
Additionally, he's fresh off the first season of Hulu's Wu-Tang: An American Saga. Joey is playing the role of Inspectah Deck. This past May, Joey donated $25,000 to support homeless students in New York City during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Stream Joey Badass$$ – The Light Pack on all major digital streaming platforms.
KOTA the Friend, Joey Bada$$, and Bas Drop New Track "B.Q.E."
CJ Fly of Pro Era Drops Debut Album 'RUDEBWOY' Featuring Joey Bada$$, Conway the Machine
← New Video: Blu, Exile "Roots Of Blue"
T.I. – Top Back (Remix) Official Music Video (Dirty) [[HD]] w/ LYRICS → | {
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Young Life is not a program. Young Life starts when adults are concerned enough about kids to go to them, on their turf and in their world. When they get there, authentic friendships are formed. These relationships don't happen overnight — they take time, patience, trust and consistency.
So, Young Life leaders log many hours with kids around the world. Leaders attend football practices in the Minneapolis suburbs, mingle with teenagers at a mall in Stockholm and play pick-up soccer with former child-soldiers in Liberia. Leaders listen and learn what's important to kids - joys, triumphs, heartaches and setbacks.
Young Life hinges on the power of presence. Kids' lives are dramatically impacted when caring adults come alongside them, sharing God's love with them. Because their leader believes in them, they begin to see that their lives have great worth, meaning and purpose.
Newer PostGEORGIA TREJO LOCHER, P.S. | {
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I bought LW 9 for Mac a while back, which had a faulty dongle. I had this dongle replaced with a correctly functioning dongle ages ago. Chris Pitts from Newtek was my contact person at the time. He asked that i return the faulty dongle, which for various reasons I never did. At any rate, we moved recently and I discovered the old faulty dongle, and I would like to know if Newtek still need me to return it. If so, please provide me with all the necessary details, and I'll sort it out asap. Apologies for this.
Also, the Lock ID and Licence Key in my Newtek account reflect the old faulty dongle. How can I correct this ?
We take these things very seriously, but it looks like our assassins went to the wrong house. Are you missing a neighbor?
(slightly more seriously...) In cases like this, we're much more interested in getting our users up and running ASAP than whether or not we've received the faulty dongle back. Chris isn't at NewTek anymore, but if you contact our tech support guys tomorrow, I suspect they'll get you fixed up with a quickness, and get you shipping info for returning the faulty dongle.
what are the contact details for the tech support guys ? Email only please, as I'm in Australia.
PS : all neighbors present and accounted for.
never, NEVER cut corners when hiring assasins. It will always come back to bite you.
Sure, they can wrap Phillipinos in those black robes and tell you they are Ninjas...don't fall for it.
Yep, it appears our outsourced ninjas are in fact still at the call center. I called earlier and spoke to 'Tim' who assured me they would be sent in 4-6 weeks, and that I should try restarting Windows to see if that helps.
Anyone else still have one of those faulty dongles? | {
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This report is the third and final report in the Ecological Regeneration Options (ERO) project series. Its purpose is to assist in developing integrated assessment methodologies for evaluating ecological regeneration options in the Avon-Ōtākaro Red Zone (AORZ). This is an important topic to ensure that their potential benefits are recognised alongside those of alternative land uses. This report complements the previous two reports in the ERO series. These provide information on floodplain restoration principles (Orchard, 2017) and an assessment of restoration opportunities in the AORZ using a local knowledge approach (Orchard et al., 2017).
The focus of this report is on facilitating robust assessments of the ecological regeneration options presented by the AORZ. A specific objective was to develop an integrated assessment framework to support comparison of those options against each other and against alternative land uses. First, the topics of river corridor evaluation and integrated assessment are briefly introduced and examples of integrated assessment in relevant planning contexts identified. A framework for the integrated assessment of ecological regeneration options is then presented. | {
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Enormous asteroid bigger than any building on Earth to soar past us tomorrow
Brits now necking up to 25 pints a week as Covid lockdown turns people to booze
Deafening silence as Rishi Sunak FAILS to back embattled Boris – PM left fighting for job
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cure-ed-info
Home » World News » Russian invasion of Ukraine could be on scale not seen in Europe since WWII, UK armed forces head warns
Russian invasion of Ukraine could be on scale not seen in Europe since WWII, UK armed forces head warns
December 8, 2021 World News
The worst-case scenario of a full Russian invasion of Ukraine would be on a scale "not seen in Europe since World War Two", the new head of the armed forces has warned.
Admiral Sir Tony Radakin described as "deeply worrying" an escalating crisis over Ukraine – where a build-up of tens of thousands of Russian troops has raised Western fears of a new armed incursion, almost eight years on from Russia's annexation of Crimea.
The comments came as Ukraine's foreign minister told Sky News, "there would be a lot of dead Russian soldiers" if President Vladimir Putin decided to invade.
Dmytro Kuleba said he was working with allies like the United States and the UK on ways to deter the Kremlin but signalled that the Ukrainian military was ready to defend the country.
"We – together with partners – we have to make this price unbearable for Putin," the foreign minister, on a trip to London, told Sky's Dermot Murnaghan in an exclusive UK broadcast interview.
"They [the US and other allies] can strike economically. We will be fighting on the ground. I am sorry to say that, but there will be a lot of dead Russian soldiers, and we hope President Putin does not want that to happen."
He described a three-pronged approach to trying to dissuade renewed Russian aggression – through political messaging, sanctions and closer military cooperation with partners.
Mr Kuleba said he did not expect NATO forces to fight Russia alongside Ukrainian troops should deterrence fail, but he expected their support.
He said: "What we are asking is to help us to avoid the war or if we are left with no alternative because of Russia's willingness to launch a war, then help us to strengthen our army."
The crisis is being watched closely by Admiral Radakin, who took over as chief of the defence staff at the end of last month.
"It is deeply worrying," he told a small group of journalists on Tuesday evening after delivering his first speech in his new post, referring to the Russian troop movements.
Russia denies it is mobilising for military action
British and US officials have repeatedly said they do not know what President Vladimir Putin intends to do in Ukraine, but they believe one option is the potential for a multi-front offensive as soon as early in the New Year, involving up to 175,000 military personnel.
Around half of that number is already thought to be close to the Ukrainian border.
"The significance of the worst scenarios in terms of a full invasion of Ukraine would be on a scale not seen in Europe since World War Two," Admiral Radakin said.
Troop movements have been coupled, Western officials say, with a spike in anti-Ukraine, pro-Russia disinformation to try to influence opinion on the ground – as happened during the annexation of Crimea and a Russia-backed conflict by separatists in the east of the country.
Russia has repeatedly denied allegations that its forces are being mobilised for military action, accusing Ukraine of being the aggressors.
Russia-Ukraine border: What is happening and will tensions lead to war?
US threatens economic sanctions
Seeking to de-escalate tensions after days of increasingly hostile rhetoric, US President Joe Biden held a video conference on Tuesday with Mr Putin.
The two sides said they will keep speaking at a lower level, with another discussion between the two leaders also on the cards.
Washington and Moscow offered their own interpretation of the top-level discussion, which lasted about two hours.
Mr Biden's team said he warned his Russian counterpart that the US and its allies were preparing "strong economic and other measures" to punish Moscow should Russian forces invade Ukraine.
This could include the scrapping of a gas pipeline from Russia to Germany called Nord Stream 2.
Putin wants guarantees NATO won't expand eastwards
Ukraine is not a member of NATO, so does not benefit from a pledge of collective defence enjoyed by all allies.
But the US has signalled it is ready to deploy more troops to eastern NATO member states – the Baltics and Poland – to shore up their defences.
At the same time, a senior Russian official said Mr Putin had conveyed how the Kremlin was "concerned by the growing military activities of Ukraine and NATO in the direct vicinity of Russia's borders".
The Russian leader repeated a request for guarantees that the Western alliance would halt its expansion eastwards – Ukraine has said it would like to become a member state – and not deploy missiles to Ukraine.
NATO leaders have previously rejected such demands.
Mr Biden spoke with European allies, including Boris Johnson, before his dialogue with Mr Putin – in a bid to present a united front.
The chiefs of the defence staff of NATO's 30 member states also held an extraordinary session on Monday to discuss the Ukraine crisis.
The convening of such a meeting – which took place virtually – is a sign of the gravity of the situation.
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Australia weighs central bank digital currency, crypto rules | {
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Published in The MIDAS Journal - Cardiac MR Left Ventricle Segmentation Challenge.
Submitted by Yingli Lu on 07-26-2009.
This study investigates a fully automatic left ventricle segmentation method from cine short axis MR images. Advantages of this method include that it: 1) is image-driven and does not require manually drawn initial contours. 2) provides not only endocardial and epicardial contours, but also papillary muscles and trabeculations' contours; 3) introduces a roundness measure that is fast and automatically locates the left ventricle; 4) simplifies the epicardial contour segmentation by mapping the pixels from Cartesian to approximately polar coordinates; and 5) applies a fast Fourier transform to smooth the endocardial and epicardial contours. Quantitative evaluation was performed on the 15 subjects of the MICCAI 2009 Cardiac MR Left Ventricle Segmentation hallenge. The average perpendicular distance between manually drawn and automatically selected contours over all slices, all studies, and two phases (end-diastole and end-systole) was 2.07 0.61 mm for endocardial and 1.91 0.63 mm for epicardial contours. These results indicate a promising method for automatic segmentation of left ventricle for clinical use.
by Wijnhout J., Hendriksen D., Van Assen H., Van der Geest R.
by O'Brien S., Ghita O., Whelan P.F. | {
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Real Estate News • July 4, 2020
Foreign Home Buying Dries Up, Easing the Way for Domestic Buyers
By Nicole Friedman | Jul 3, 2020
RHONA WISE/AFP via Getty Images)
Foreign buying of U.S. homes was a driving factor in markets from California to Florida, helping prices reach new highs. Now, the pandemic, reduced travel and immigration restrictions are further undermining already weakening international demand.
Overseas residential real-estate purchases climbed steadily between 2011 and 2017, peaking at $153 billion in the year ended March 2017, according to the National Association of Realtors. About 60% of foreign buyers are recent immigrants or foreigners who live in the U.S., while others buy U.S. homes as investment properties or vacation homes, according to NAR.
Foreigners represent a tiny percentage of overall buyers. But because they have tended to cluster in coastal cities like New York, Miami and the Los Angeles area, they sometimes have had an exaggerated influence in these markets, especially at the higher-price end. Foreigners also were more likely to pay cash, making their offers more attractive to sellers.
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Foreign appetite fell sharply in 2018 and 2019, according to NAR. Much of the buying came from China. It slowed in 2019 after the Chinese government implemented new controls over foreign currency purchases and as the country's trade dispute with the U.S. heated up. A stronger dollar, which makes U.S. homes more expensive in foreign currencies, and concerns about global economic growth slowed overseas buying more broadly.
This year, demand looks likely to be even weaker, real-estate agents say.
Limited travel between the U.S. and other countries, worries about virus transmission and new restrictions on immigration could weigh on international investment in U.S. housing this year.
In the latest setback for foreign homeownership in the U.S., President Trump signed an order June 22 temporarily barring new immigrants on certain employment-based visas through the end of the year.
While the lack of overseas demand may disappoint homeowners in major coastal cities that attracted much of the foreign demand, local buyers who have lost out in bidding wars to deep-pocketed foreigners might be relieved.
"Some decline in international buying activity I don't think necessarily harms the U.S. housing market," said Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist. "If anything, it doesn't put any additional upward pressure on home prices, which have been a major concern for buyers on the affordability front."
Home prices have continued to rise during the pandemic, even as the rate of home sales has dropped. The supply of homes for sale remains limited in many markets, and demand from buyers has increased in recent weeks as business activity has opened up in many states and mortgage rates have stayed low.
Foreign investment in U.S. housing can push up local home prices in select markets, according to a working paper released last monthby Caitlin Gorback and Benjamin Keys of the University of Pennsylvania.
The paper found that in ZIP Codes with a high proportion of foreign-born Chinese, house prices between 2012 and 2018 grew by 8 percentage points more than in comparable ZIP Codes. These areas, which in many cases also attracted strong local demand, could be vulnerable to price erosion as both domestic and foreign buying pulls back.
"The neighborhoods that are highly exposed to foreign investment on the upside are also exposed on the downside," Mr. Keys said.
Many foreign investors buy homes for their children to live in while attending school in the U.S., and those purchases are on hold while families wait to see whether schools will be open in the fall, said Vicky Silvano, broker at Baird & Warner in Chicago.
"Because of the pandemic, the people that I work with are just on a 'wait and see' right now," Ms. Silvano said. For foreign investors who own homes in the U.S., "I think there's going to be more selling if the kids don't come back to school" this year, she said.
Indiana University has drawn many foreign buyers to Bloomington, Ind., in the past decade, said Tracee Lutes, broker owner at Re/Max Acclaimed Properties.
"I think we will have a lot fewer foreign investment buyers here this year…with the uncertainty in the university plans and the uncertainty in the Covid situation," she said.
Indiana University said in May that it plans to open in the fall for a mix of in-person and online classes.
Housing demand is strong in Bloomington, and a decline in foreign investment could be a boon to local shoppers, Ms. Lutes said: "I think you would see more in-state people, local people, that would take advantage of the ability to buy."
Still, some see foreign buying picking up once normal travel resumes. In New Jersey and New York, Grace Tan of Prominent Properties Sotheby's International Realty said her international clients in countries like China are already planning to shop for homes in the U.S. once international travel picks up.
"These clients are still not comfortable buying virtually," she said. "They will come back. I already get the phone calls."
Real Estate News 10 Tips for Selling Your Home Posted in Selling by Sandy Dodge Image source: Shutterstock Navigating everything involved with selling your home can seem intimidating. Breaking the process down step by step will keep you organized and ready to work with your agent toward a successful home sale. 1. Choose an agent A lot goes into choosing the right […]
Real Estate News What 's My Home Worth? The Downside to Home Valuation Tools Posted in Selling by Sandy Dodge What's your home worth? It is a seemingly simple question. However, discovering the worth of your home is more complicated than it might seem. Sites like Zillow, Redfin, Eppraisal, and others have built-in home valuation tools that make it seem easy, but how accurate are they? And if […] | {
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Tag C. S. Lewis
The Voyage of the Dawn Treader: Leaving Narnia
26th Oct 2016 26th Oct 2016 Graham Heslop Leave a comment
When Caspian tells Edmund and Lucy of his task aboard the Dawn Treader, he speaks of Reepicheep's "higher hope" for their voyage: to find Aslan's country (p433). As the Dryad verse goes: "Doubt not Reepicheep,/ To find all you seek,/ There is the utter east." Though C. S. Lewis deliberately wrote flawed characters – allowing for the majesty of Aslan to shine incomparably, as well as conveying fallen human nature – many exhibit redemptive traits. Reepicheep, who we met in Prince Caspian, is one such character: imperfect but increasingly drawn to and transformed by his hope of being with Aslan.
In one of the more peculiar prefaces to an academic commentary (The Prophecy of Isaiah), Alec Motyer notes Reepicheep's "endearing bumptiousness." If you were about to look up the word bumptiousness, it means presumptuous and annoying confidence, even pride. We need only cast our minds back to the end of Prince Caspian where Aslan searchingly says to Reepicheep, "I have sometimes wondered, friend, whether you do not think too much about your honour" (p412). This, at times, insufferable decorum is well portrayed in the recent film adaption. Reading The Voyage of the Dawn Treader we learn that Reepicheep's "mind was full of forlorn hopes, death-or-glory charges, and last stands" (p455). Later, approaching the Dark Island, against the uncertainty of the experienced sailors he boldly asserts, "So far as I know we did not set sail to look for things useful but to seek honour and adventure" (p507). Prodigious in courage despite his unimpressive stature, Reepicheep is both proud and presumptuous; he is not the hero of Lewis' narrative. Yet, for all his shortcomings, Reepicheep demonstrates a remarkable devotion to his promised homecoming and an unending future with Aslan.
Upon discovering the remaining three lords, murmurs grow amongst the volunteer sailors. They see their task as completed and think they should set sail for Cair Paravel, back in the west, rather than continuing east. Lucy asks Reepicheep what he will do and his answer never fails to move me: "While I can, I sail east in the Dawn Treader. When she fails me I paddle east in my coracle. When she sinks, I shall swim east with my four paws. And when I can swim no longer, if I have not reached Aslan's country, or shot over the edge of the world in some vast cataract, I shall sink with my nose to the sunrise" (p524). Though decorated with "undying glory" for his exploits in the second battle of Beruna (p430), Reepicheep longs for another world. Caspian and his crew would return from their journey as heroes, immortalised in the history of Narnia, but Reepicheep longed for immortality, beyond Narnia.
When Reepicheep says goodbye he attempts sadness, for the sake of the children, "but he was quivering with happiness" (p539). Reepicheep leaves Narnia overwhelmed by joy, at the fruition of his hope and imminent realisation of all he had ever desired. Elsewhere, in Mere Christianity, Lewis wrote this: "Creatures are not born with desires unless satisfaction for these desires exists. A baby feels hunger; well, there is such a thing as food. A duckling wants to swim; well, there is such a thing as water. Men feel sexual desire; well, there is such a thing as sex. If I find in myself a desire which no experience in this world can satisfy, the most probable explanation is that I was made for another world." Reepicheep was made for another world, and so are we.
Anyone who has read Narnia would have undoubtedly felt the pull of Lewis' glorious world, brimming with colour, and replete with immense characters. But nothing there outshines Aslan. So Reepicheep points us past Narnia, to Aslan; and this was – as I argued earlier in this series – the hope Lewis wrote into his masterpiece. Narnia is not the world we desire, for there is another beyond it. And merely glimpsing that world, Lucy said, "It would break your heart," not because it was sad but because it was all she had ever desired (p539). Once Reepicheep disappears over the crest we learn that the children will never return to Narnia. Lucy despairs for Narnia is the only place they have ever encountered Aslan. But he promises they will see him again: "This was the very reason why you were brought to Narnia, that by knowing me here for a little, you may know me better there" (p541).
Prince Caspian: Conflicting Stories
3rd Mar 2015 3rd Mar 2015 Graham Heslop 3 Comments
Similarly to The Horse and His Boy, in Prince Caspian we see the uncertain tension of life between Aslan's victorious death and his decisive defeat of evil in the future, The Last Battle. For those with ears to hear, Lewis is using narrative to evoke in his readers what it feels like to inhabit the Christian story and encounter the Christian God. However, all is not well when we enter Narnia with the Pevensies: the alluring enchantments of Narnia, talking Beasts, and even Aslan have been forgotten as the Telmarines' reign strangles the once magical lands. Early on in the novel we see conflicting stories being told about the past, as the Telmarines attempt to change Narnia forever, creating it in their own image. "The sort of History that was taught in Narnia under Miraz's rule was duller than the truest History you have ever read and less true than the most exciting adventure story" (p408).
When Miraz broaches the topic of Caspian succeeding him on the throne of Narnia, the latter wistfully mentions the Old Days of Narnia, "When everything was quite different. When all the animals could talk, and there were nice people who lived in the streams and the trees" (p335). Miraz is quick to dismiss these "fairy stories", claiming they are for children and not kings. When Caspian reveals that he has heard much about the Old Days and Aslan, from his nurse, she is promptly sent away (though not from the story entirely, see p409-410). Doctor Cornelius replaces her, becoming Caspian's tutor. And following a far from insignificant astronomy lesson, Cornelius confirms the stories Caspian heard from his nurse but was kept from believing (p338). We also discover that the Telmarines "silenced the beasts and trees and the fountains…killed and drove away the Dwarfs and Fauns, and are now trying to cover up even the memory of them. The King does not allow them to be spoken of." The stories of old carry great power, and the Telmarines know this.
More than being weary of the old stories, the Telmarines create new ones and distort others to keep people from knowing the truth. When Caspian is told that he must flee the castle through the Black Woods he baulks for fear of what lives there. Cornelius assures him, "Your Highness speaks as you have been taught. But it is all lies. There are no ghosts there. That is a story invented by the Telmarines. Your Kings are in deadly fear of the sea because they can never quite forget that in all stories Aslan comes from over the sea" (p340). We might draw a parallel with the Tarkaans, in The Horse and His Boy, who speak about Narnia as, "Chiefly inhabited by demons in the shape of beasts that talk like men, and monsters that are half man and half beast [and] a demon of hideous aspect and irresistible maleficence who appears in the shape of a lion" (p258). Young Caspian has grown up hearing conflicting stories, as we all have. These stories are fashioned to counter and discredit others, functioning as powerful vehicles of persuasion. But which stories should we believe, which contain the truth?
I have answered that question elsewhere, discussing philosophy, but in the Narnian narrative Lewis' characters are wrought with uncertainty, embodying a variety of positions. Some abandon hope and selfishly favour evil power instead, such as Nikabrik (see p392-4); others, like Trumpkin, dutifully follow orders though full of disbelief (p360); and still others remember the stories of old rooted in their past and full of effective promise, like Trufflehunter (p352, 359). As readers we are drawn into this milieu of conflicting stories. But we are invited to do much more than merely observe the characters' struggles to make sense of their own world, for Lewis wants us to consider our own world and the stories we believe.
As approach the end of Prince Caspian we are meant to hear a note of tragedy amidst the mirth at everything being put right, as a son of Adam is enthroned as the king of Narnia in submission to the High King of Narnia (p411, 416). The poignant note is Aslan permitting the Telmarines to return to their own world (p415-7). They had inhabited Narnia, encountered Aslan, and experienced the old story's triumph but in the end choose to leave it all behind, suffering the consequences of deeply ingrained stories that kept them from believing another. It is true that some of the younger Telmarines entrust themselves to Aslan and pledge allegiance to Caspian, the new king of Narnia, but the Telmarines that return to our world reveal the dangerous power of stories to keep us from knowing the true story. Listen to Aslan, earlier in the series, full of regret and deep sadness, "Oh, Adam's sons, how cleverly you defend yourselves against all that might do you good" (p98).
Some Dangers of Theological Study
11th Dec 2014 3rd Feb 2015 Graham Heslop Leave a comment
I applied myself more than usual, and had an article posted at IX Marks challenging pastors who have a low evaluation of theological study and highlighting the importance of systematic theology for Bible teaching and local church ministry. In this post I want to briefly touch on some dangers inherent to theological study, both at college and in local church. My reason for doing this is balance: I may not undervalue theology, but could find myself at the other pole, where theology is self-indulgent and fails to serve God's people. Another reason for writing this post is because, as Helmut Thielicke notes in A Little Exercise for Young Theologians, love and truth are seldom combined when it comes to academic learning. And this cannot be the case for those who are called to speak the truth in love (Ephesians 4:15).
In an old post reviewing my recent reads, I joked that I could be accused of loving books more than people, and I fear the same could sometimes be said about my enjoyment of theological inquiry. Though I do not share his sentiments, Dr Manhattan, from The Watchmen, unwittingly expresses the dangerous lure of theology, "I am tired of Earth, these people. I'm tired of being caught in the tangle of their lives," only instead of an ivory tower he retreats to Mars. Theology is an enriching pursuit, which should be undertaken by every Christian, but we must be aware of the ease with which it can become an escape. I cannot deny the pleasure of sitting down with a cup of freshly brewed tea and Herman Bavink's Reformed Dogmatics, but I can work hard at directing my studies to equip me to better teach and train other Christians. As former Archbishop Michael Ramsey wrote, in The Christian Priest Today, the church's hold on the faith is dependant on its ministers' ability to develop their own theology. Christian theology should never be disconnected from life, for it is the means of understanding it.
Theology cannot become a pursuit in itself. In his essay Learning in War-time, C. S. Lewis quotes from the Theologica Germanica, where the anonymous author warns against becoming lovers of knowledge – or our knowing – above the thing (we might add person) known. There are two problems with this; both are incongruent with Christian theology. Firstly, developed and deep studies can puff up, causing pride. There is a tendency amongst the learned to become condescending. This is a travesty, since true theology cannot but create humility as we reflect on our creatureliness, God's glorious holiness, and gospel of unmerited grace. Secondly, theology can become idolatry if we love our knowing more than what is known, our Lord and God. As Lewis says, the intellectual life is not the only pathway to God, it is a treacherous path beset with dangers to carefully consider. What does it profit a theologian if she authors numerous works, earns a tenured professorship, and is awarded more PhDs than he can fit on her office walls, if she loses her soul?
Above, I mentioned Thielicke's unassuming but profound book. One of my lecturers at college encouraged us to read and reflect on it annually, and I am grateful for his counsel. In fact, I am tempted to say the book is worth owning for Martin Marty's introduction alone. In it, he makes a few painfully incisive points about studying theology. He challenges the alienating piety of those who claim to know more than any reasonable finitude allows, and calls out the abstraction and aloofness that characterises many theologians and their relationship with the local church. But, in my opinion, his best point is on the odium theologicum, "The pettiness of little men who care much about big issues." As I conclude, let us remember that theological study is when little creatures claim to understand an infinite God, let alone big issues. We can barely afford pettiness, must learn humility, and are failing if our knowledge does not move us to worship God and serve his people.
Doodle: "No One is Told Any Story but Their Own"
11th Nov 2014 3rd Feb 2015 Graham Heslop Leave a comment
I concluded my previous post on Narnia by briefly touching on Aslan's refusal to tell people any story but their own. The characters in The Horse and His Boy need to learn this important truth: Aslan is at the back of all stories (p302), yet he will only tell people their story and not someone else's. Only Aslan can reveal to us what we really are – both glorious and tragically fallen creatures – but he will tell us no more than this. To borrow Aslan's words from Prince Caspian: "You come of the Lord Adam and the Lady Eve. And that is both honour enough to erect the head of the poorest beggar, and shame enough to bow the shoulders of the greatest emperor on earth" (p416). In The Horse and His Boy, it is Aravis who struggles most in seeing her true self by hearing her own story. But before we get to her let us set the scene, as C. S. Lewis did.
When Shasta finally meets Aslan it is a wonderful revelation for he learns that behind his entire life, and even its most painful events, sat an author who longed to meet him. As Shasta learns that there was only ever one lion pursuing them throughout their journey he realises that it was Aslan who inflicted the terrible wounds on Aravis' back, during their flight to the Southern March (p281). Asking after the reason he is told, "Child, I am telling you your story, not hers, I tell no one any story but his own." A little later, when Shasta pleads with Edmund and insists he is not a traitor, despite overhearing their council in Tashbaan, the King of Narnia alludes to this truth that everyone must learn: "Try not to hear what's meant for other ears" (p288). Now we can get to Aravis' story and Lewis' point.
Rowan Williams believes that this repeated idea reveals every human's desire to be distracted from their own story, the parts we ignore and find unbearable. He writes, "We need to know what we have done, in all its dimensions." We need to fully grasp the reality about ourselves, the dark truths we find it easier to forget. When the Hermit explains Aravis' wounds he says: "Though they smart they are no more serious than if they had been the cuts of a whip. It must have been a very strange lion; for instead of catching you out of the saddle and getting his teeth into you, he has only drawn his claws across your back" (p273). Aravis considers it luck, but the Hermit says that in all his years he has never met any such thing as luck, adding, "There is something about all this that I do not understand: but if ever we need to know it, you may be sure that we shall" (p274). At this point in the narrative, Aravis is yet to meet Aslan and hear her story. And when she does, her wounds help her accept the harm she caused; along with the depths of herself she refused to plumb.
Enter Aslan, whose words are more smarting than Aravis' wounds: "The scratches on your back, tear for tear, throb for throb, blood for blood, were equal to the stripes laid on the back of your stepmother's slave because of the drugged sleep you cast upon her. You needed to know what it felt like" (p299). Little mention is made of her stepmother's servant, but on first meeting Bree and Shasta, Aravis recalls her escape and coolly dismisses the beating that it would result in for the drugged slave, stating that she deserved it (p224). Shasta is sympathetic for the slave, claiming that her suffering was unfair, and Aravis snaps at him, for she does not do anything to please him. However, as we approach the end of Lewis' narrative it is clear that Aravis has been changed. Not only has her pride softened and her temper waned, but also through her wounds she becomes aware that her actions reach far beyond her own desires. Anxiously, she asks if any more harm will come to the slave and Aslan responds, "I am telling you your story, not hers. No one is told any story but their own."
The Horse and His Boy: Having Faith when it is Hard
21st Oct 2014 2nd Jul 2019 Graham Heslop 8 Comments
The Horse and his Boy is my favourite of the series, but also many people's least. This is due to a few reasons, of which I will highlight just two: most seriously the charge of racism; and, from a literary point of view, its marginal overlap with the rest of the series. But we must remember the metanarrative of Narnia, which Alister McGrath says is set between two great "advents", the past redemption (The Lion, the Witch and the Wardobe) and future restoration (The Last Battle). Recalling our point from The Magician's Nephew, that C. S. Lewis invites readers to inhabit and experience the Christian story, The Horse and his Boy explores the tension of living between Aslan's first and last coming in a world beset by evil and characters burdened by doubt.
The first character we will explore is the Horse, Breehy-hinny-brinny-hoohy-hah, better known as Bree. Bree grew up in Calormen and lived as an enslaved warhorse. Though he longs for the North and freedom, he has much to learn. His strength, military success, and self-assured confidence make him the natural leader in the journey northward, but also cause him to be full of hubris. Towards the end of the narrative, his pride threatens to keep him from Narnia; Hwin realises Bree is apprehensive about venturing beyond the Southern March because his tail is damaged (p298). After their flight, Bree grieved his cowardice in the pursuit that saw him abandon the party for safety (p275). He concludes that he is disgraced and unfit for Narnia, but the Hermit incisively addresses Bree's problem, "You've lost nothing but your self-conceit…You're not quite the great Horse you had come to think…as long as you know you're nobody special, you'll be a very decent sort of Horse". Aslan punctures our self-confidence; Bree had to learn that we are all unfit to approach Aslan, and abandon acceptability on his own terms. He needed to hear Aslan's comforting invitation, full of tenderness, "You poor, proud frightened Horse, draw near. Nearer still, my son. Do not dare not to dare" (p299).
The second character I will unpack is the Boy, Shasta. One might call him the unlikely hero for, unlike Bree, he is unimpressive and by far the least imposing of the travelling party. However, there is a lesson to be learnt from this observation. As Shasta plods along the misty and frigid mountain pass, Aslan walks alongside and speaks with him. Shasta is miserable and lost, "Being very tired and having nothing inside him, he felt so sorry for himself that the tears rolled down his cheeks" (p280). But Aslan tells Shasta that he was the one behind all of his misfortune and terrible luck (p281). When Shasta returns across the treacherous path, with the Archenlanders, he reflects on his conversation with Aslan, "I was quite safe. That is why the Lion kept on my left. He was between me and the edge all the time" (p290). This realisation, I think, is indicative of Shasta's entire life, for Aslan was always with him in the confusing cloud, guiding the events in order to bring him back to Narnia, and himself. Reflecting on this brought another of C. S. Lewis' works to mind, in Perelandra we read, "God can make good use of all that happens. But the loss is real." Shasta's life is full of unfortunate happenings, yet he is the unlikely hero, for unknown to him Aslan is mightily at work in his world to make all things right.
A repeated motif in Lewis' narrative is Aslan's insistence on telling the characters their story and no one else's. In To the One who Conquers, Sam Storms reflects on how the biblical story has a remarkable capacity to challenge and overcome our misconceptions about who we are. Bree revealed the common combination of pride and guilt; he needed to learn that belonging to Aslan he could neither earn his place in Narnia nor jeopordise his security. Shasta, on the other hand, could not believe that the many misfortunes of his life would end in anything but tragedy, because he was unaware of the sovereign and loving presence of Aslan who worked through all things to bring him closer to himself. Aslan is the person in whom all stories connect, but everyone needs to approach him as they are, alone.
Other posts in the Chronicles of Narnia series:
Magician's Nephew: A Strange but Familiar God
The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe: From Death to Life
Doodle: "He's not safe, but he's good"
Doodle: 'He's not Safe, but He's Good'
23rd Sep 2014 3rd Feb 2015 Graham Heslop 9 Comments
The number of times I have heard that line from C.S. Lewis' The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe in the pulpit defies reason. I say this namely because I cannot remember a single sermon where the respective preacher used it to shed any light. It has been, in my own experience, tantamount to invoking the term "social construct" in debates, as if that settled anything. But if that is not reason enough, then its sheer abuse should convince us that it might be time to lay Mr Beaver's epithet to rest (see Sammy Rhodes' article on retiring sermon clichés). Lewis' dangerous but good Aslan is somewhat opaque and seriously overused. Every time I hear it I struggle not to conclude that the only time the preacher reads is when he is trying to put his children to sleep.
This is obviously a theme in Lewis' magisterial Narnia; when the children first meet Aslan we are told, "People who have not been in Narnia sometimes think that a thing cannot be good and terrible at the same time. If the children had ever thought so, they were cured of it now" (p168). Later, when Mr Beaver is warning the children against pressing Aslan or tying him to their kingdom he says, "He's wild you know. Not like a tame lion" (p194). They are moving words for those familiar with Aslan, and inadvertently the God of Scripture, but used alone and apart from the context of Lewis' work such sentiments are little more than mere sentimentalism. The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe is rich narrative that boasts compelling truth, evokes genuine feeling, and draws the reader into another world in a way few novels achieve. But we are fooling ourselves if we think a few quotes about Aslan's indomitable but inviting nature do any justice to Lewis' intention, or assist our own.
There is so much more to the novel (and all of Narnia) than these almost common quotes convey. Let me offer an example, which I would love to unpack further in a sermon or writing, touching on John's Gospel. While the Witch gloats in Aslan's death, to redeem Edmund and restore Narnia, some of Jesus' last words before the cross come to mind, "Now is the judgment of this world; now will the ruler of this world be cast out" (John 12:31). A little later the Lord says, "The ruler of this world is coming. He has no claim on me, but I do as the Father has commanded me" (John 14:30-31). Before Susan and Lucy the supposed King of Narnia is shamefully shorn and cruelly slain on the Stone Table, and before Jesus' disciples their supposed Messiah is mocked and executed; both events suggest the triumph of evil and the defeat of good. But hear Aslan's words when the astonished sisters ask Aslan what (can only be described as) his resurrection means, "Though the Witch knew Deep Magic, there is a magic deeper still which she did not know. Her knowledge goes back only to the dawn of time. But if she could have looked a little further back, into the stillness and darkness before Time dawned…She would have known that when a willing victim who had committed no treachery was killed in a traitor's stead, the Table would crack and Death itself would start working backwards" (p185). In his surrender to the evil powers of the world, he overcomes them.
Finally, if that brief and slightly shoddy unpacking has not excited you to revisit Narnia then, please, for the sake of your congregation, drop Lewis' overdone words; I will even provide you with a sacrificial substitute, from The Lord of the Rings. After Gandalf retells how he saw, and was indeed spotted by Treebeard, in the forest, Gimli remarks, 'You speak of him as if he was a friend. I thought Fangorn was dangerous.' 'Dangerous!' cried Gandalf. 'And so am I, very dangerous: more dangerous than anything you will ever meet, unless you are brought alive before the seat of the Dark Lord. And Aragorn is dangerous, and Legolas is dangerous. You are beset with dangers, Gimli son of Glóin; for you are dangerous yourself, in your own fashion. Certainly the forest of Fangorn is perilous – not least to those that are too ready with their axes; and Fangorn himself, he is perilous too; yet he is wise and kindly nonetheless'. | {
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With each employee taking an average of 6.9 days absence a year, the cost for organisations is significant. As a result, it is crucial that businesses effectively manage the attendance of their team members and have robust processes in place to do so. This absence management programme looks at how to manage absence effectively, offering the right support to individual team members, and following the correct procedures. Your organisation's absence policies and procedures can be incorporated into this workshop. | {
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Kategori bazında arşiv "Custom Paper Writers"
Time administration: imagine if i actually do n't have time and energy to compose a diploma work?
Composing a thesis work is perhaps maybe perhaps maybe not probably the most pleasant and never the many easy task, and it is frequently postponed in the final minute. There may be reasons that are many. So when this moment comes, the pupil understands that it's impractical to compose a work individually. How to proceed such situations?
Just just just exactly What choices does a learning pupil have actually? Web into the rescue!
You are able to, needless to say, install an ongoing work from the web. Here is the easiest and least resource-consuming technique. But at exactly the same time this can be a huge danger. There clearly was very little possiblity to obtain a diploma for this type of diploma paper. Why?
Firstly, such work will certainly perhaps not pass the plagiarism test, while the demands for the individuality of diplomas in degree organizations are actually extremely strict.
Secondly, the instructor instantly acknowledges the job that has been copied through the community, based on the specifics of the design and, of course, the information. In works being easily available on the net, you will find usually a complete great deal of numerous mistakes and shortcomings, along with outdated information. | {
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Shaveworks The Cool Fix Rollerball works to soothe and calm the skin after epilation. Made up of glycolic acid, mediacalm complex, phytic acid and salicyl acid, the formula exfoliates, soothes, dissolves dead skin cells and reduces the occurrence of breakouts. Helping to minimise the signs of inflammation and redness, the lip and brow formula can be used immediately after waxing, tweezing and threading helping your skin to heal. A.B.
After epilation, apply directly onto the affected areas.
Glide the rollerball directly onto clean, dry skin. | {
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At SevenLog, we can unreservedly say that our employees are, without a doubt, the key to our success. We hire the best people we can find, train them to perform to SevenLog's standards and expect more out of them than even they knew they were capable of. We reward successes and promote from within whenever possible.
We believe in the power of people and it is through our happy, empowered and hardworking team that we are able to delight our clients and exceed their expectations in every way. | {
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Karl Weissmann foi um psicanalista austríaco radicado no Brasil, notório por suas contribuições relativas à criminologia psicanalítica. Weissmann trabalhou em presídios, e acreditava que os atos infracionais eram decorrência de determinados problemas no desenvolvimento da libido. Também foi o introdutor do hipnotismo científico no Brasil e responsável pela popularização dessa ciência.
Seus livros, de agradável leitura, alcançaram reconhecimento. O Dinheiro na Vida Erótica (1937) foi recebido pelo próprio Sigmund Freud, o qual lhe escreveu uma carta. Foi um dos três livros de maior êxito naquele ano. Outras obras incluem A Conquista da Maturidade, Masoquismo e Comunismo, uma Vida de Schopenhauer (que recebeu elogios de Monteiro Lobato e foi lido avidamente por ele e sua família), e um livro de divulgação do hipnotismo intitulado O Hipnotismo: Psicologia, Técnica, Aplicação.
O psicanalista, porém, é pouco lembrado:
Psicanalistas da Áustria
Psicanalistas do Brasil
Hipnose | {
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One year ago, Hurricane Harvey hovered over the Houston area, dumping more than 40 inches of rain in a four-day period and leaving thousands of homes, businesses and critical infrastructure underwater. When the floodwaters receded, Harvey had caused an estimated $125 billion in damages, making it one of the costliest natural disasters in U.S. history.
The team at Frito-Lay's plant in Rosenberg, Texas, about 30 miles southwest of Houston, sat square in the path of destruction.
Production wouldn't restart for an entire week. Miraculously, the Frito-Lay facility itself was unscathed, but the surrounding area was devastated. Major roads were impassable for days, preventing most people from getting to work. More than 90 employees suffered severe damage to their homes and/or vehicles, and those who had cars had trouble finding fuel. Throughout the ordeal, the company provided hotel rooms to displaced employees and their families.
When it was time to bring the plant back online, resuming production after the abrupt shutdown wasn't as easy as flipping a switch. The entire facility and all equipment had to be cleaned and sanitized. Plant managers asked who was able to come in, and the response was incredible.
They worked tirelessly for three days straight. Volunteers grilled burgers and hot dogs for lunch. The company trucked in gasoline to ensure workers could make it home. And finally, a full seven days after shutting down, the Cheetos snack line whirred back to life, with other product lines to follow the next week.
It was that motto of selfless determination that saw them through those difficult months. It was the same vision that, despite the enormous setback, led the Rosenberg plant to turn in its best production numbers in years. And the vision still stands strong as the team is on track to deliver an even stronger performance in 2018. | {
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Q: Change date string format with datetime I'm trying to use datetime to normalize the 'Date' column of a dataframe. The column has multiple dates in the follwing format
31-Dec-2019:07:30:03
I'm trying to change it to be
12-31-2019 07:30:03
I tried to do this
access_log['date1'] = [datetime.strptime(x, '%m-%d-%Y %H:%M:%S') for x in access_log['Date'] ]
but I keep getting an error saying time data '31-Dec-2019:07:30:03' does not match format '%m-%d-%Y %H:%M:%S'. Is there something I'm doing wrong. How can I fix this?
A: Give a try to dateutil library.
https://pypi.org/project/python-dateutil/
from dateutil import parser
parser.parse("datestr")
Just be aware that if you have a large data amount this might by not the most optimal way to approach the problem tho.
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You are here: Home / The Complete List Of How-To Tutorials For Internet Dummies / The Interactive Glossary: Defining the Net / T3 Line Definition | The Interactive Glossary
T3 Line Definition | The Interactive Glossary
1 T3 Line
2.1 Why does the cost of a T3 line vary so much from one geographic area to another?
2.2 Why are T3 lines so expensive?
T3 Line
A T3 line is a point-to-point Internet connection capable of transmitting up to 44.736 Mbps.
A T3 line is composed of 28 bundled T1-level circuits. Each T1 circuit operates at 1.544 megabits per second (Mbps), for a total connection speed of 44.736 Mbps. A T3 line is also often referred to as a Digital Signal 3 (DS3) connection.
T3 lines are a popular choice for businesses that require the most dependable Internet connection possible. Both T1 and T3 lines establish a physical point-to-point connection between an Internet Service Provider (ISP) and the organization purchasing the connection. As a result, outages that affect normal customers often don't affect customers connected by a point-to-point line. In addition, in the event of a major outage, such as following a natural disaster, ISPs are required by law to repair point-to-point connections before moving on to general Internet connections. As a result, a typical T1 or T3 connection experiences only 15 minutes of downtime annually.
T3 circuits are typically limited to connections within a single building due to the need to have a repeaters to boost the signal no more than 600 feet apart, and possibly as little as 225 feet apart, depending on the type of cable used to establish the connection.
Due to the short distances which can be spanned by a T3 line, when a customer orders a T3 line the loop between the customer and ISP is typically made on a SONET circuit – a modern protocol for transferring data over fiber optic cable which overcomes the technical limitations of the T3 line, and maintains the direct point-to-point nature of a T3 line.
Also See: T1, Bandwidth, Broadband, ISP
Why does the cost of a T3 line vary so much from one geographic area to another?
When a T3 connection is established, a physical connection must be made between the customer's network and the ISP's nearest point of direct connection. As a result, T3 lines often encompass several hundred, or even thousands of, feet of buried lines dedicated to a single customer. The cost of the connection will vary depending on the distance between the customer and the nearest point of connection, and the amount of competition between ISPs in a given market area.
Why are T3 lines so expensive?
A T3 line is capable of transmitting data at approximately 45 Mbps at a cost that may range from $1,000 to $5,000 per month. However, the speed of a T3 line is not incomparable to a broadband Internet connection which can be had for significantly less than $100 per month in most markets. Why would anyone consider a T3 line when the same sort of connection speed is available at much lower price?
The difference is that T3 connections are private and backed by a Service Level Agreement (SLA). General broadband connections, including DSL and Cable, makes use public networks and shared bandwidth, both of which will be affected by other customers. In addition, due to the public nature of general-use broadband connections, frequent and extended outages are not unusual.
While a T3 line may not be any faster than a broadband Internet connection made over a fast network with low traffic, the difference is that the T3 line is a dedicated connection that does not carry the traffic of any other customers. In addition, the SLA that backs up the T3 line stipulates the maximum downtime that is acceptable before the ISP is hit with financial penalties, and the customer is due financial remuneration.
In short, when an organizations pays for a T3 line they aren't paying for speed as much as for the utmost in reliability and uptime. | {
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Sex Nasal cavity - Wikipedia Pictures
The nasal cavity is a large, air-filled space above and behind the nose in the middle Shrmale Hd the face. The nasal septum divides the cavity into two cavities, [1] also known as fossae. The paranasal sinuses surround and drain into the Cuckold Hypno cavity.
The term "nasal cavity" can refer to each of the two cavities of the nose, or to the two sides combined. The lateral wall of each nasal cavity mainly consists of the maxilla. However, there is a deficiency that is compensated for by the perpendicular plate of the palatine bonethe medial pterygoid platethe labyrinth of ethmoid and the inferior concha.
The paranasal sinuses are connected to the nasal cavity through small orifices called ostia. The hiatus is bound laterally by a projection known as the uncinate process. This region is called the ostiomeatal complex. Connective tissue and skin cover the bony and cartilaginous components of the nasal dorsum. The floor of the nasal cavities, which also form the roof of the mouth, is made up by the bones of the hard palate: the horizontal plate of the palatine bone posteriorly and the palatine process of the maxilla anteriorly.
Within the vestibule this changes into the typical respiratory epithelium that lines the rest of the nasal cavity and respiratory tract. Inside the nostrils of the vestibule are the nasal hairwhich filter Neasal and other matter that are breathed in.
The back of the cavity blends, via the choanaeinto the Swedish Porn Emma. The nasal cavity is divided in two by the vertical nasal septum.
On the side Neasal each nasal cavity are three horizontal outgrowths called nasal conchae singular "concha" or turbinates. These turbinates disrupt the airflow, directing air toward the olfactory epithelium on the surface of the turbinates Neasal the septum. The vomeronasal organ is located at the back of the septum and has a role in pheromone detection. The nasal Dolly Little is divided into two segments: the respiratory segment and the olfactory segment.
There Neasal a rich blood supply to the nasal cavity. In some animals, such as dogsthe capillary beds flowing through the nasal cavity help cool the blood flow to the brain. Blood supply comes from branches of both the internal and external carotid arteryincluding Neasal of the facial artery and maxillary artery. The named arteries of the nose are:.
Innervation of the nasal cavity responsible for the sense of smell Pornhup Com via the olfactory nervewhich sends microscopic fibers from the olfactory bulb through the cribriform Neasal to reach the top of the nasal cavity.
The nasal cavity is innervated by autonomic fibers. Sympathetic innervation to the blood vessels of the mucosa causes them to constrictwhile the control of secretion by the mucous glands is carried on postganglionic parasympathetic nerve fibers originating from the facial nerve.
The two nasal cavities condition the air to be received by the other areas of the respiratory tract. Owing to the large surface area provided by the nasal conchae also known as turbinatesthe air passing through the nasal cavity is warmed or cooled to within 1 degree of body temperature. In addition, the air is humidified, and dust and other particulate matter is removed by nasal hair in the nostrils.
The entire mucosa of the nasal cavity is covered by a blanket of mucus, which lies superficial to the microscopic cilia and also filters inspired air. The cilia of the respiratory epithelium move the secreted mucus and particulate matter posteriorly towards the pharynx where it passes into the esophagus and is digested in the stomach.
The nasal cavity also houses the sense of smell and contributes greatly to taste sensation through its posterior communication with the mouth via the choanae. Many problems can affect the nose, including:. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Large, air-filled space above and behind the nose in the middle of the face.
See also: Nasal cycle. This section needs expansion. You can help by adding to it. February Gray's anatomy : the anatomical basis of clinical practice Forty-first ed.
ISBN Trad; Hudgins, Patricia A. Clinical Radiation Oncology. The nasal vestibules are the two entry points into the nasal cavity. Each Czech Casting Lucka a Neasal space situated in front of the limen nasi and defined laterally by the lateral crus and alar fibrofatty tissue, medially by the medial crus of the alar cartilage and the nasal septum and the distal end of the cartilaginous septum, and columella.
Clinically Oriented Anatomy. Handbook of Clinical Neurology. PMC PMID Anatomy of the human nose. Nasal vestibule Nostril Choana. Nasal conchae : Supreme nasal concha Superior nasal concha Middle nasal concha Inferior nasal concha Nasal meatus : Supreme superior middle inferior Sphenoethmoidal recess Ethmoid bulla Agger nasi Ethmoidal infundibulum Semilunar hiatus Maxillary hiatus.
Nasal septum Vomeronasal organ. Olfactory mucosa. Maxillary sinus Sphenoidal sinuses Frontal sinus Neasal sinus. Pharyngeal opening of auditory tube Salpingopharyngeal fold Salpingopalatine fold Torus tubarius Pharyngeal tonsil Pharyngeal recess. Authority control. Integrated Authority File Germany. France data United States.
Terminologia Anatomica. Neasal Fran Petersen Nude 2 3. Categories : Nose Olfactory system Respiratory system Sensory organs. Namespaces Article Talk. Views Read Edit View history. Help Milla Jovovich Nude to edit Community portal Recent changes Upload file. Download as PDF Printable version. Wikimedia Commons. Head and Neasal. Conducting passages.
Anatomical terminology [ edit on Wikidata ]. Look up nasal cavity in Wiktionary, the free dictionary. Openings Magnus Hedman Wife vestibule Nostril Choana.
The nasal cavity is a large, air-filled space above and behind the nose in the middle of the face. The nasal septum divides the cavity into two cavities, [1] also known as fossae. The paranasal sinuses surround and drain into the nasal cavity.
Nasal definition is - the nosepiece of a helmet. How to use nasal in a sentence.
1. of or pertaining to the nose. 2. (of a speech sound) pronounced with the soft palate lowered and the voice issuing through the nose, either partly, as in French nasal vowels, or entirely, as in the sounds (m), (n), or the (ng) of song. 3. characterized by or resembling such sounds: a nasal voice.
Improve your vocabulary with English Vocabulary in Use from Cambridge. Learn the words you need to communicate with confidence. Pained and sheepish: Facial expressions, part 2. She spoke in nasal tones. Relating to particular parts of the body. You can also find related words, phrases, and synonyms in the topics: Describing qualities of the human voice.
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Face Down Ass Up Fuck | {
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Police Officer Shoots Himself 24 Hours After Colleague Committed Suicide
Posted by Samuel on Thu 15th Aug, 2019 - tori.ng
A police officer has reportedly shot himself just about 24 hours after a colleague committed suicide.
Police investigators outside the home of the officer involved in Wednesday's
"attempted suicide" in Jamaica Queens, New York. Photo: New York Daily News
Barely 24 hours after an officer of the New York Police Department committed suicide, another allegedly shot himself in the head on Wednesday evening, New York Daily News reports.
Local media quoted unnamed sources as saying the latest incident involves an off-duty 56-year-old officer, who had not been identified at the time of filing this report.
Police were said to have rushed to his home in Queens, New York after his wife called 911 to say he had shot himself.
The officer, whose condition was unknown, is currently on admission at the Long Island hospital, also in Queens, sources said.
Following the incident, NYPD launched an appeal for officers to donate blood at the hospital where the officer is admitted.
Eight NYPD officers have committed suicide so far this year, prompting the department to declare a mental health crisis among its ranks.
The New York Commissioner of Police, James O'Neill, had issued a statement urging distressed officers to seek help.
"There is no shame in seeking assistance from the many resources available, both inside and outside the department.
"Accepting help is never a sign of weakness; in fact, it is a sign of great strength", O'Neill said.
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See How Foreigners Without Face Masks Were Punished With Push-Ups In Indonesia (Photo) | {
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Owning a home is a big part of the American dream, but homeownership also means long term payments and continual home maintenance. Maintaining a home can take a lot of effort, but a well-maintained home not only looks great but can increase in value over time. In contrast, neglecting home maintenance has just the opposite effect. A poorly maintained home can end up looking downright scary, both externally as well as below the surface. And, nothing is scarier than potential foundation issues that may be lurking below your home's surface.
Often, due to anything from lack of funds to lack of time, people tend to postpone serious house maintenance. This is fine when it comes to maintenance such as landscaping or window cleaning. However foundation repairs cannot and should not be delayed. The wrong un-repaired small crack can grow into a monstrous repair. Over time, foundation problems on a home or any other building can have disastrous long term repercussions.
Let's say you want to sell your home. Before you put up the for sale sign, you might make a few general home repairs such as painting and minor patching of holes. However, damages to a home's foundation can impede a home's sale. Un-repaired cracks in foundation walls can scare potential home buyers away, and depending on the type of repairs needed, the costs can be quite high.
Un-repaired foundations can also mean a drop in a home's value. This in turn can lead to a lower sale price. Buyers who want your home may not offer up as much money for it as the asking price. By performing foundation repairs, you can increase the chances of a quick home and potentially increase your sale price.
Foundation cracks might start out as small hairline fractures. While they may seem like nothing, they can grow to be quite serious. Cracks can grow from earthquakes, bad weather, unsupportive soil, and just wear and tear. If left alone long enough, a small foundation crack can grow quite large and destabilize the home. While a home may not crumble from a large crack, it can become more expensive to fix.
Many people do not have the finances to make improvements to their homes including foundation repairs. So, they think about taking out home improvement loans, but unfortunately, existing foundation problems can block you from obtaining a loan. Banks and other financial institutions are reluctant to offer loans when foundation repairs are needed on a home, which is another reason why it's important to get timely repairs.
The next time you see a crack in a wall or in the floor, don't just ignore it and hope it goes away. Contact a professional to assess the damage to determine whether a repair is necessary. A little repair now can save hundreds if not thousands of dollars in the long run. Your home will thank you and your wallet will thank you. To set up a free assessment or a repair for your residential foundation, contact us today. At Atlas Piers, we have been supporting Atlanta's foundations for years. | {
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Antarctica (Moderator: oren) »
Possible Novel Applications of Antarctic Natural Gas Hydrocarbon Hydrates
Author Topic: Possible Novel Applications of Antarctic Natural Gas Hydrocarbon Hydrates (Read 21417 times)
In April, 2013, the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said a team aboard the scientific drilling ship Chikyu had started a trial extraction of gas from a layer of methane hydrates about 300 meters, or 1,000 feet, below the seabed. The ship has been drilling since January in an area of the Pacific about 1,000 meters deep and 80 kilometers, or 50 miles, south of the Atsumi Peninsula in central Japan. With specialized equipment, the team drilled into and then lowered the pressure in the undersea methane hydrate reserve, causing the methane and ice to separate. It then piped the natural gas to the surface. Other teams are pioneering other means of extracting methane from hydrates with the soil, both in the seafloor and in terrestial areas of the Arctic region.
This raises the question to me about what beneficial uses could be developed for methane recovered from Antarctic methane hydrates, primarily from beneath the ice sheets, but also possibly from the seafloor (see the Antarctic Methane Concentration thread).
For some basics, the first attached figure gives the pressure-temperature stability curves for methane, ethane, propane and iso-butane; while the second image shows the stability curves for various mixtures of methane and propane. The first graph shows that methane hydrates are stable at basal meltwater temperatures in water depths deeper than about 350 m.
Therefore, as my first example, if one could locate methane hydrates in the gateway of the Thwaites Glacier, then one could drill down and reduce the pressure until the hydrates in the sediment decompose and fill the drill pipe (like the Japanese), then the methane gas could be gradually introduced into solution into the basal meltwater beneath the Thwaites Glacier gateway (which is all below 350m). This would stabilize the basal meltwater in this area and would increase basal friction and could possible stop the advective formation of subglacial cavities (if deployed correctly). If one had a few high priority areas, then one could import propane to be mixed with the methane gas, to result in methane-propane hydrates that are stable at much shallower water depths.
Methane, Ethane, Propane, Iso-butane Hydrate Stability.JPG (29.19 kB, 683x573 - viewed 1688 times.)
Methane - Propane Mix Hydrate Stability.JPG (30.81 kB, 683x489 - viewed 2364 times.)
« Last Edit: December 04, 2017, 05:04:44 PM by AbruptSLR »
Re: Possible Novel Applications of Antarctic Methane Hydrates
Obviously, if commerial quantities of methane hydrates can be located in sediment near any of the major research centers in the Antarctic, then one could drill down, depressurize the hydrates and use the methane as a fuel supply for the research center, rather than import very expensive fuel from the outside world. Also, if the large research marine vessels were converted to using LNG then the recovered methane could be liquefied and used to supply the research vessels.
As a side note, in my earlier posts when I mention that methane decomposed from natural Antarctic hydrates could be used to stabilize basal meltwater, I ment that such meltwater should include any key active subglacial lakes that could contribute to ice mass loss.
However, the main purpose of this post is to acknowledge that what I and others have called methane hydrates are actually "Natural Gas Hydrates" (or NGH), as in addition to methane they include other gases such as propane, ethane, butane, carbon dioxide, nitrogen, and hydrogen sulfide; which depending on the mix composition changes the temperature - pressure phase stability conditions as indicated in the first attached figure from Sloan 1990 which shows a pressure-temperature stability diagram for water-hydrate-gas mixes of various compositions where the gas gravity is equal to the molecular weight the gas divided by the molecular weight of air. While the second attached figure shows the stability for NGH for various Russian gas fields Makogon 1981. The third figure (also from Sloan, 1990) shows the envelope of NGH stability in permafrost, showing the balance of geothermal gradient, depth in the soils, and the phase boundraies for methane and propane.
This indicates that any gas recovered from Antarctic hydrates will have "helper gases" (such as propane, ethane, butane, hydrogen sulfide, etc) that when included in the gas composition make the hydrate stability at higher temperatures and/or lower pressures.
Gas Gravity Chart for Stability of Natural Gas Hydrates.JPG (32.29 kB, 683x512 - viewed 2241 times.)
Hydrate formation Conditions for Soviet Gas Fields.JPG (41.68 kB, 706x406 - viewed 1098 times.)
Insitu Natural Gas Hydrate Stability Envelope.JPG (33.95 kB, 683x551 - viewed 2227 times.)
« Last Edit: May 08, 2013, 04:26:31 PM by AbruptSLR »
I would like to note here that currently the Antarctic resources are excluded (by treaty) from commercial development (which is why I have only discussed non-commerical applications, including supporting research facilities so far). However, I would like to note here that potential "methane" (or NGH) resources in the Antarctic are estimated to be very large and if proven to be of commercial value could be leveraged by an enlightened international body (such as the UN) to help control GHG emissions, and to supply water to needy areas of the world, sometime after 2050 by exporting the natural gas from the Antarctic in hydrate form in ocean going ships. Potential this could help climate change by: (a) using the profits to pay for sustainable technology (particularly in the third world), which currently first world countries are finding it difficult to provide adequate funding); (b) the hydrate natural gas could be used to replace dirty fossil fuels such as coal; and (c) the water from the hydrate decomposition from the vessel delivered NGH (natural gas hydrates) could be used in an increasingly water scarce areas.
Their have been many previous proposals to transport natural gas in hydrate form, as indicated by the first attached image (from British Gas, BG), which shows BG's plan to form hydrates at high pressure (in a reaction chamber) and then cool the resulting NGH to -40 C for transport. But others have proposed more efficient plans such as proposed by Mitsubishi several years ago to not only compress they NGH into pellets (see the second attached figure), but also to transport the NGH pellets at about -5 to -10 C (at atmospheric pressure) due a metastability effect for short-term transport (for weeks). As NGH weighs more than LNG, such schemes work best for short-term transport routes such as from Antarctica to South Africa and Australia (for of which currently have water shortage problems, which should become much worse with global warming).
Thus if natural gas (methane) could be recovered from the insitu Antarctic NGH, and the treaty could be modified in a way that would benefit the world by fighting climate change, then the transport of the natural gas from the Antarctic in either NGH, or LNG, form could be worth investigating from now to 2050 when the consequences of climate change may be so significant as to merit the use of such a policy tool.
Possible Transport of Natural Gas as a Hydrate.JPG (38.26 kB, 756x504 - viewed 960 times.)
Compacted Natural Gas Hydrates.JPG (40.74 kB, 900x440 - viewed 981 times.)
As I noted previously, all of the concepts cited in this thread needs to implemented within the framework of the Antarctic Treaty System, ATS, I have cobbled together the following summary (from various sources):
The Antarctic Treaty was signed in Washington on 1 December 1959 by the twelve nations that had been active during the IGY (Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Chile, France, Japan, New Zealand, Norway, South Africa, United Kingdom, United States and USSR). The Treaty, which applies to the area south of 60° South latitude, is surprisingly short, but remarkably effective. Through this agreement, the countries active in Antarctica consult on the uses of a whole continent, with a commitment that it should not become the scene or object of international discord. In its fourteen articles the Treaty:
• stipulates that Antarctica should be used exclusively for peaceful purposes. Military activities, such as the establishment of military bases or weapons testing, are specifically prohibited;
• guarantees continued freedom to conduct scientific research, as enjoyed during the IGY;
• promotes international scientific cooperation including the exchange of research plans and personnel, and requires that results of research be made freely available;
• sets aside the potential for sovereignty disputes between Treaty parties by providing that no activities will enhance or diminish previously asserted positions with respect to territorial claims, provides that no new or enlarged claims can be made, and makes rules relating to jurisdiction (see the first attached image of the territorial claims under the ATS);
• prohibits nuclear explosions and the disposal of radioactive waste;
• provides for inspection by observers, designated by any party, of ships, stations and equipment in Antarctica to ensure the observance of, and compliance with, the Treaty;
• requires parties to give advance notice of their expeditions;
• provides for the parties to meet periodically to discuss measures to further the objectives of the Treaty; and
• puts in place a dispute settlement procedure and a mechanism by which the Treaty can be modified.
The Treaty also provides that any member of the United Nations can accede to it. The Treaty now has 48 signatories, 28 of whom are Consultative Parties on the basis of being original signatories or by conducting substantial research there (see the second image). Membership continues to grow.
The Madrid Protocol is part of the Antarctic Treaty System (continuing process), ATS. Article 7 of the Madrid Protocol (effective 1998) prohibits mineral resource development, other than relating to scientific research. The ban is of indefinite duration and strict rules for modifying the ban are provided. In brief, the prohibition can be modified at any time if all parties agree. If requested, after 50 years (2048) a review conference may decide to modify the mining prohibition, provided that at least three quarters of the current Consultative Parties agree, a legal regime for controlling mining is in force, and the sovereign interests of parties are safeguarded. Consistent with the Antarctic Treaty, a party may choose to withdraw from the Protocol if a modification so agreed does not subsequently enter into force.
For the second decade of the twenty-first century, the vital question is whether the ATS is capable of responding effectively to the challenges posed by illegal fishing and whaling, climate change, commercial tourism, energy, and human security. The litigation in the Japanese Whaling case, brought by the Humane Society International in the Australian Federal Court, provides a salutary warning of the risks to the ATS of unilateral assertions of national jurisdiction over activities in the Antarctic region. The Consultative Parties are now on notice to justify the legitimacy of their mandate and to demonstrate the capacity of the ATS to respond to contemporary Antarctic issues. The 50-year historical evolution of the ATS and its demonstrated capacity for dynamic growth suggest that the regime and its members have the flexibility and political will to maintain its success in the future.
I will post about some of the specific implications of this ATS framework on proposals cited in this thread later.
Antarctic Territorial Claims per the CIA factbook.JPG (59.58 kB, 683x587 - viewed 1591 times.)
ATS Signatories Map jpeg.JPG (32.57 kB, 683x428 - viewed 1599 times.)
ARTICLE 7 of the Madrid Protocol states:
"PROHIBITION OF MINERAL RESOURCE ACTIVITIES
Any activity relating to mineral resources, other than scientific research, shall be
prohibited."
Furthermore regarding enforcement: according to the Antarctic Treaty, AT, individual governments enforce treaty terms on their citizens who are on the continent; while according to Article XI of the AT:
"1. If any dispute arises between two or more of the Contracting Parties concerning the interpretation or application of the present Treaty, those Contracting Parties shall consult among themselves with a view to having the dispute resolved by negotiation, inquiry, mediation, conciliation, arbitration, judicial settlement or other peaceful means of their own choice.
2. Any dispute of this character not so resolved shall, with the consent, in each case, of all parties to the dispute, be referred to the International Court of Justice for settlement, but failure to reach agreement on reference to the International Court shall not absolve parties to the dispute from the responsibility of continuing to seek to resolve it by any of the various peaceful means referred to in paragraph 1 of this Article."
Thus it is clear that:
(1) Currently any individual (Elon Musk, Bill Gates, etc), company (ExxonMobil, Chevron, etc.), organization (particularly NGOs), agency, or country (Maldives, etc.) in the world is entitled by the ATS to engage in mineral resource activity for scientific research including for: (a) research on extracting natural gas from Antarctic Natural Gas Hydrates (say by drilling then hydrofracking then reducing the down-hole pressure) ; (b) research on stabilizing ice sheets by use of natural gas introduced in the subglacial hydrological systems in order to form natural gas hydrates; (c) research to export natural gas from the Antarctic in hydrate form; etc. Certainly Japan's claim to be whaling in the Southern Ocean for scientific research, supports this stated position.
(2) As indicated in the previous post, and highlighted in the attached image, Marie Byrd Land, MBL, is currently unclaimed territory and thus not subject to any national laws, but only to the terms of the ATS (and then only for Contracting Parties). Thus if a company incorporated in any signatory, or non-signatory (e.g.: Maldives, Kiribati or Tuvalu), country with lacks legal requirements then they could start drilling in MBL immediately provided they meet the environmental requirements of their parent country and the ATS. Certainly, the growing tourism trade in Antarctica supports this stated position. Note that the USA has reserved the right to assert their claim to MBL in the future; but if they do so would they be liable for damage done by SLR contribution from VAF (volume above floatation) ice mass loss from MBL (which includes PIG and TG)?
Furthermore, the Madrid Protocol prohibition on commercial mineral resource development can be modified at any time if all parties agree; or if requested, after 2048, a review conference may decide to modify the mineral development prohibition, provided that at least three quarters of the current Consultative Parties agree, a legal regime for controlling mineral development is in force, and the sovereign interests of parties are safeguarded (note that in MBL there is no sovereign interest). Thus in 2048 if the signatory parties are desperate enough to try geoengineering then the concepts in this thread could by allowed by three quarters of the Consultative Parties; particularly because such geoengineering methods as introducing sulphates into the atmosphere for the next few thousand years, would not only turn the sky pink but would not stop the SLR contributions from the heat content already introduced into the oceans (which is of particular concern to the WAIS).
Antarctic Territorial Map with MBL JPEG.JPG (42.93 kB, 683x549 - viewed 12879 times.)
The attached image shows the CO2 and H2O phase boundaries, in which the abbreviations are as follows: L - liquid, V - vapor, S - solid, I - water ice, H - hydrate.
This figure indicates that if CO2 could be economically captured, it sequestered in Antarctic subglacial lakes; which would also serve to slow ice mass loss from the AIS.
CO2 Phase Diagram include hydrate phase.JPG (31.68 kB, 683x412 - viewed 3339 times.)
I am not saying that this is anything but fanciful thinking, but sometimes necessity is the mother of invention, and by 2048 Tuvalu may need just such thinking, as at its highest, Tuvalu is only 4.6 m (15 ft) above sea level, and is just 26 square kilometres (10 sq mi) in area, consisting of three reef islands and six true atolls. Therefore I present the following: if the Tuvalu government were to drill down about 1,000m at one of their atolls, and use hydrofracking to crack the rock all around the cross-section of the atoll, and then were to pump down CO2 (in either gas or hydrate form), then it may be possible to jack-up such a small atoll (or the small islands), as the phase diagram in the previous post and the ocean thermocline diagram in the attached image; demonstrate that the CO2 hydrates at this pressure (depth) and temperature would be stable (or other "helper" gases [such as natural gas from the Antarctic] could be used in the hydrate formation process). Note that the density of the carbon dioxide hydrate is approximately 1.1 g/cm³ - slightly larger than seawater, so any CO2 hydrate at the perimeter would not float away.
Ocean Thermocline.JPG (24.98 kB, 683x590 - viewed 1403 times.)
If Tuvalu (or any other island/atoll) gets desperate enough to try to jack-up an island, they may be concerned that the fracture plane with hydrates inserted, could weaken a small atoll; so another fanciful solutions to such a concern would be to build-up a thick CO2 hydrate shoulder around the perimeter of the fracture plane at about minus 1,000 m (or the bottom of the local thermocline). By 2048 sequestering CO2 captured by the hydrate process cited below (from a July 2009 version of the Los Alamos National Laboratory newsletter "Currents", which cites research that proof tested commerical scale production of CO2 hydrates at Los Alamos National Laboratory and was acknowledge when winning the 2010 R&D 100 award, be the most promising carbon capture system of that year; unfortunately there was/is no market for carbon capture so the method was not implemented commerically ).
"Fossil fuels likely will supply much of the world's energy needs for decades to come, though the associated carbon dioxide produced continues to pollute our air and cause climate-change concerns. Laboratory researchers have developed a low-temperature way of controlling greenhouse gas emissions from power plants that traps 65 to 90 percent of the CO2 in tiny molecular cages made of water. Called the SIMTECHE CO2 Capture Process, the method pulls CO2 out of a flowing mixture of gases and captures it in an ice-like compound called CO2
hydrate. Once separated from the gas stream, the CO2 hydrate can be decomposed to regenerate CO2 gas at elevated pressures for sequestration or sale on the emerging CO2 market.
"In addition, the 3 to 5 percent of hydrogen sulfide typical in shifted synthesis gas can be separated simultaneously with the CO2," explained Robert Currier of Physical Chemistry and Applied Spectroscopy (C-PCS). The innovative work is a collaborative effort with industrial partners SIMTECHE, Bechtel National, and Nexant Inc., a Bechtel spinoff company. Currier, the Laboratory principal investigator, was initially approached by SIMTECHE to develop and test the concept. "As the project focus shifted from basic thermodynamics and kinetics associated with proof-of-concept to engineering-scale demonstration of an integrated process, the Lab team evolved," Currier said. The team includes Currier, Dali Yang of Polymers and Coatings (MST-7),
Ron Martinez and Loan Le of C-PCS, and Steve Obrey of Inorganic Isotope and Actinide Chemistry, with contributions from Graydon Anderson and Gary Baca of C-PCS, Jennifer Young of Navy II, Bob Barbero of Actinide Process Chemistry, David Devlin of MST-7, and former employee Michael Sedillo.
Now proven, the SIMTECHE CO2 Capture Process is poised to reduce CO2 emissions at industrial scales. To date, 13 patents on the process have been granted and another is pending, and the technology was recently submitted for an R&D 100 award. "The SIMTECHE CO2 Capture Process is an example of essential technology to address greenhouse gases and represents the role of LANL's basic science effectively teaming with industry to deliver solutions to the nation's challenges," said Terry Wallace, principal associate director for Science, Technology, and
Engineering."
Whether, or not CO2 hydrates are used to jack-up island nations are risk of inundation, this technology may be used for carbon capture and sequestration in the ocean in the future.
While natural gas from the Antarctic could be used as a helper gas to promote CO2 hydrates, this application is at the outer edge of the main topic for this thread; while the following provides another illustration of the main idea of this thread to use natural gas, NG (or methane), recovered from Antarctic hydrates to help minimize/slow the loss of Antarctic ice mass loss:
Some may point out that stabilizing the subglacial/basal melt water only addresses part of the problem of ice mass loss (or loss of ice Volume Above Floatation, VAF), while advection of warm CDW is more of a concern. Therefore, I present the following concepts to either block the troughs across the Antarctic continental shelf, and/or to infill the subglacial cavities created by advection that are leading to grounding line retreat in Amundsen Sea Embayment, ASE, glaciers and ice streams:
- Bottom dump dredging vessels could dump multiple layers of hydraulically dredged sand (possibly coming from Argentina, or from Antarctic continental shelf deposits) in the troughs leading into subglacial cavities such as that for the PIG. If erosion calculations warrent it then natural gas could be injected slowing into the dumped same in order to cement the sand together with natural gas hydrates, NGH, (as is common in marine sediments), and then possibly more NGH, or CO2/methane hydrates (possibly produced by a process similar to that developed by SIMTECHE for CO2 hydrates as cited in the previous post) could be injected behind this submarine sand berm into the subglacial cavity in order to further stabilize the glaciers.
Furthermore, a similar approach could be applied to block the Filchner Trough which channels warm CDW beneath the FRIS (Filchner Ronne Ice Shelf) or the channel that I identified in another thread leading to the Byrd Glacier in the RIS (Ross Ice Shelf). Furthermore, (all though off topic) this approach could be used to build a submarine sand berm (infused with natural gas hydrates) across the Bering Straits if research proves that Rolf Schuttenhelm's 2008 proposal to build a dam across the Bering Straits has merit with regard to stopping saline seawater from entering the Arctic Ocean from the Pacific thus allowing the rivers feeding the Arctic Ocean to decrease the salinity of the Arctic Ocean sufficiently to promote sea ice formation so as to slow/stop the albedo flip that we are about to experience.
Again, while these ideas may seem farfetched now, they would be much safer than other geoengineering concepts (such as putting sulfur aerosols into the atmosphere for the next thousands of years), and would be of particular value if the world controls CO2 emissions by 2050, but then must try to slow SLR resulting from heat content already stored in the ocean by 2050.
As another "civil" type of geoengineering for the Antarctic ice sheets (both the WAIS and the EAIS), I will note that with time (say years) hydrate forming free gases such as natural gas recovered from Antarctic hydrates will infuse into soil ice and transform it into hydrate form. Thus, if geoengineers wanted to make zones of Antarctic glacial ice resistant to melting when exposed to warm temperatures (such as along the bottom of the glacier from geothermal heat or along a grounding line ice face subject to advection) then they could drill into the ice zone (using horizontal drill technology) and then hydrofrack the ice zone and inject free natural gas and hold it there for some time (a year or more). While such local hydrate zones with the glacial ice mass could be subject to calving due to gravity ice flow; nevertheless, for some time they should help to stabilize the glacial ice flow, and this process could be repeated as necessary.
I previously noted that Marie Byrd Land (MBL) is presently unclaimed by any nation, but that the USA has reserved the right to claim this area in the future (based on past explorations). Here I note that while under the current situation research on the possible applications of methane (or natural gas) to stabilize the ASE glaciers is unrestricted; but I suspect that before any sizeable geoengineering is performed to stabilize say PIG or Thwaites Glacier that it would be better to the USA to exercise its legal claim to sovereignty over the MBL as this would give drilling companies, contractors and facilities operators a better sense of legal certainty. It is also possible that the US Congress might be willing to finance such geoengineering ideas by 2050 in exchange for the UN and the ATS parties recognition of US sovereignty over the largest unclaimed land area in the world.
Possibly no one has posted in this thread recently, because no one took the risk of abrupt ice mass loss from Antarctica seriously before DeConto & Pollard (2016), and also since scientists like Eric Rignot have stated that there is little that can be done to prevent the collapse of the WAIS in the coming 200 years. However, now that Bakker et al. (2017) have verified the plausibility of the collapse of the WAIS this century (see the first image), and as other geoengineering concepts cost hundreds of billions of dollars per year to implement, and as the Mardid Protocol part of the Antarctic Treaty System will require renegotiation before 2048, I think that it is time to start posting here again.
In this regards, the second attached image [from Pollard, DeConto & Alley (2015)] shows the importance of hydrofracturing to destabilize both buttressing from ice shelves and to destabilize ice plugs, before cliff failures can begin; I note that per the third and fourth images, that water solutions with isobutene (R-600a refrigerant), propane, or isobutene-methane mixtures can form stable hydrates all the way from the top of crevasses down to the basal meltwater subglacial drainage system. Thus if some one (government or entrepreneur) where to drill holes in key glaciers like PIG and Thwaites they could plug any void that could either cause hydrofraturing or lubrication of the bottom slip surface of such glaciers.
Both isobutene and propane have short lives (of a few weeks) in the atmosphere, have low GWP (from 3 to 4), and can be delivered by commercially available refrigerated tanker ships to the gateway of any Antarctic marine glacier.
As I like this idea, I am replacing the word 'Methane' with 'Natural Gas Hydrocarbon' in the title of this thread.
Edit: See also Reply #1 for some other hydrate phase diagrams
deep uncern.jpg (41.61 kB, 675x660 - viewed 718 times.)
Pollard DeConto Alley 2015 WAIS SLR Contribution Projection.jpg (18.54 kB, 355x256 - viewed 1339 times.)
Hydrate Phase Diagram for Natural Gas Hydrocarbons per Sloan.PNG (20.83 kB, 463x705 - viewed 276 times.)
Hydrate Phase Diagram for Methane - Isobutane Mixes per Sloan.PNG (29.13 kB, 492x595 - viewed 1550 times.)
Re: Possible Novel Applications of Antarctic Natural Gas Hydrocarbon Hydrates
If anyone is having difficulty imagining how solutions of isobutene and water could be used to stabilize key marine glaciers, I note that:
(1) The first image shows extensive fields of crevasses in the ice plug in the Thwaites Glacier gateway into which it would be easy to pump in a solution of isobutene and water (which forms stable hydrates at atmospheric pressure near 0C) that would effectively heal these crevasses.
(2) I believe that lateral pressure from the Southwest Tributary Glacier is promoting major calving events in the PIIS (see the second image), and thus if one were to drill down to the bottom of the SW Tributary Glacier and inject a suitable solution of water and hydrocarbon (say propane or isobutane) this would slow the ice flow velocity of this glacier as hydrates provide 'stickier' bottom conditions than does natural ice.
(3) The third image shows a cross-sectional analysis by Yu et al (2017) of the Thwaites ice plug (near the base of the Thwaites Ice Tongue) and local ice shelf with cracks in the lower portion of the ice shelf. Thus, if one where to drill how and inject a solution of either propane or isobutane and water into these bottom cracks/crevasses then one would help stabilize the buttressing action of this local ice shelf on the critical Thwaites ice plug.
The fourth image is from:
Modelling Amery Ice Shelf/Ocean Interaction
by:Ben Galton-Fenzi
[email protected]
Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems CRC, Hobart, Australia
Simon Marsland(CSIRO), John Hunter (ACE CRC),
Richard Coleman (UTas)
WAIS/FRISP meeting: 27 Sept 2009, Pack Forest
The fourth image shows the ice shelf - ocean interaction including tidal action, advection, ice shelf water (ISW), frazil ice production, marine ice accretion and the influence of frazil ice on turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) which affect current mixing/stratification/circulation. Thus if one were to drill down just upstream of the grounding line and were to inject a solution of either propane or isobutane and water, then not only would the grounding line be stabilized but so would the marine ice adhering to the underside of the ice shelf. This is applicable for the stabilization of any key ice shelf.
4a Thwaites Surface crevasses.PNG (551.07 kB, 539x639 - viewed 658 times.)
3a Thwaites - PIG ice shelf retreat & interaction.PNG (449.36 kB, 597x627 - viewed 680 times.)
Crevasse propagation at bottom of local Thwaites ice plug ice shelf.PNG (29.22 kB, 422x448 - viewed 1367 times.)
Ice Shelf - Ocean -Frazil Ice Interaction.PNG (90.96 kB, 422x417 - viewed 1407 times.)
The linked reference(s) by Bassis & Ma (2015) shows that basal crevasses for ice shelves with cold water pools can heal themselves by infilling with marine ice; while with warm water pools the crevasses can 'burn' through the shelf thickness by melting (see images). I note that injection of such basal crevasses with isobutane hydrates would allow such crevasses to heal with ice shelves with warm pools.
Bassis and Ma (2015), "Evolution of basal crevasses links ice shelf stability to ocean forcing", Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Volume 409, 1 January 2015, Pages 203-211, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2014.11.003
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012821X14006840
Extract: "Iceberg calving is one of the primary mechanisms responsible for transferring ice from the Antarctic ice shelves to the ocean, but remains poorly understood. Previous theories of calving have sought to explain the calving process as a brittle phenomenon that occurs rapidly when surface or basal crevasses penetrate the entire ice thickness. Here we show that the strain-rate-weakening nature of ice permits initially narrow basal crevasses to seed an instability that gives rise to locally enhanced ductile deformation and thinning over length scales that are large compared to the ice thickness. This ductile failure process, called necking, amplifies long wavelength features of bottom topography and allows basal crevasses to penetrate an increasing fraction of the ice thickness as they advect downstream. Application of the model to the four largest Antarctic ice shelves shows that necking occurs downstream of pinning points and sharp protrusions in the ice shelf embayment where stress is highly concentrated. However, model predictions are sensitive to assumptions about basal melting and refreezing within crevasses, suggesting that the combination of mechanical instability and ice–ocean interaction on the scale of an individual crevasse may play a leading role in controlling ice shelf stability".
https://www.waisworkshop.org/sites/waisworkshop.org/files/files/agendas/2013/presentations/session6/Bassis.pdf
Bassis & Ma 2015 Basal Ice Shelf Crevasse Healing in Cold Water and Melting in Warm Water.PNG (120.45 kB, 580x648 - viewed 678 times.)
Ice Shelf Basal Crevasse Refreeze vs Melting Bassis.PNG (10.81 kB, 320x429 - viewed 1302 times.)
The linked reference discusses how gas hydrates in the bed sediment beneath marine glaciers can cause 'sticky spots' that can regulate ice stream flow rates:
Winsborrow, M., K. Andreassen, A. Hubbard, A. Plaza-Faverola, E. Gudlaugsson and H. Patton (2016). "Regulation of ice stream flow through subglacial formation of gas hydrates." Nature Geosci 9(5): 370-374, DOI: 10.1038/NGEO2696
https://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo2696
http://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo2696.epdf?referrer_access_token=IHHHsNRUI3lD2eFpTMWvl9RgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0N6H6twa9eus1zouX_OVF0HHps81v4XTc0_11DCSpeGLDxz98tw1yul2mr16lbVJL4uOjHYggNVEvnorXQDpPb-4F8Dx03N10vp8xTpF1OSQUCQuGQbrx_agiKHwJMiE0Vb3p9RlZE1kgUDa_7CPZDbIHfa0-zC2RtwAc1-HEOzfwPw5ovCnEJWlCwr6K4nmQjxYGctlb4MLBBjUrGaOUBg&tracking_referrer=austhrutime.com
Abstract: "Variations in the flow of ice streams and outlet glaciers are a primary control on ice sheet stability, yet comprehensive understanding of the key processes operating at the ice–bed interface remains elusive. Basal resistance is critical, especially sticky spots—localized zones of high basal traction—for maintaining force balance in an otherwise well-lubricated/high-slip subglacial environment. Here we consider the influence of subglacial gas-hydrate formation on ice stream dynamics, and its potential to initiate and maintain sticky spots. Geophysical data document the geologic footprint of a major palaeo-ice-stream that drained the Barents Sea–Fennoscandian ice sheet approximately 20,000 years ago. Our results reveal a ∼250 km sticky spot that coincided with subsurface shallow gas accumulations, seafloor fluid expulsion and a fault complex associated with deep hydrocarbon reservoirs. We propose that gas migrating from these reservoirs formed hydrates under high-pressure, low-temperature subglacial conditions. The gas hydrate desiccated, stiffened and thereby strengthened the subglacial sediments, promoting high traction—a sticky spot— that regulated ice stream flow. Deep hydrocarbon reservoirs are common beneath past and contemporary glaciated areas, implying that gas-hydrate regulation of subglacial dynamics could be a widespread phenomenon."
Title: "Regulation of Ice Stream Flow Through Subglacial Formation of Gas Hydrates"
http://austhrutime.com/ice_stram_flow_regulation_subglacial_gas_hydrates.htm
Extract: "Based on the presence of extensive sedimentary basins and modelling studies (Wadham et al., 2012; Wallmann et al., 2012) it is proposed that abundant gas hydrate accumulations are present beneath the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica. Also, gas hydrates have been identified in ice core samples obtained from above the subglacial Lake Vostok in East Antarctica (Uchida et al., 1994). The role of potentially widespread gas hydrate reservoirs in the modification of the thermomechanical regime at the base of contemporary ice sheets, which makes them critically sensitive, as well as their impact on ice steam force balance and dynamics has, so far, not been recognised. This control that was previously unforeseen, given the current lack of knowledge with regard to the distribution of gas hydrate, represents a significant unknown in attempts to model the current and future discharge and evolution of contemporary ice sheets, as well as their contribution to rising global sea levels."
Marine Glacier Bed Methane Hydrates.PNG (104.52 kB, 374x381 - viewed 1540 times.)
For those who question whether hydrocarbon hydrates can be transported by pipelines in cold climates, the linked website discusses how Fluor (many other comparable entities have comparable technology) already has proven technology for pumping hydrocarbon slurries in cold (cryogenic) conditions (such as into Antarctic glacial crevasses):
Title: "Slurry Pipelines"
http://www.fluor.com/about-fluor/corporate-information/technologies/slurry-pipelines
Fluor is developing its expertise in cold flow technology as well as in the transport of hydrates in a slurry form.
Fluor has filed a provisional patent application on self-lubrication of hydrate based slurry pipelines.
It is estimated that there are very large reserves of hydrates in the Arctic and near Japan. Traditionally the technology has been to prevent hydrate formations in pipelines, but the emerging approach is to catch those hydrates and transport them in a slurry form to save on costs of anti-coagulants, expensive insulation etc.
Fluor understands the dynamic nature of the various technologies and demand for transporting hydrates. Fluor offers Clients expertise in moving solids in liquids to more efficiently capture this valuable source of energy. Fluor's extensive pipeline experience in a variety of climates and conditions provides Clients with the necessary know-how to successfully execute the transport of hydrates in slurry form."
I doubt very much that Black BAU advocates (Kleptocrats/Vulture Capitalists), nor Green BAU advocates (Globalists/4th Industrial Revolution Members, see the first linked article), will adopt my proposed use of hydrocarbon hydrate slurries to stabilize key ice shelves, and key ice plugs, in the WAIS before it is too late to save them. Indeed, such people on both the right and left will not admit that we are following the worst case scenario for the WAIS shown in the attached image until around 2035, when there will be no doubt that we are following the upper scenario shown in this image. Thus, in my next series of posts in this thread, I will cite some concepts that could be used during the main cliff failure events from 2040 thru 2090, to use hydrocarbon hydrates to help stabilize the armada of icebergs for towing, so that beneficial use can be made of this valuable resource, and also to reduce the impact of Hansen's ice-climate feedback mechanism.
Title: "Why remote Antarctica is so important in a warming world"
https://theconversation.com/why-remote-antarctica-is-so-important-in-a-warming-world-88197
Extract: "What was once thought to be a largely unchanging mass of snow and ice is anything but. Antarctica holds a staggering amount of water. The three ice sheets that cover the continent contain around 70% of our planet's fresh water, all of which we now know to be vulnerable to warming air and oceans. If all the ice sheets were to melt, Antarctica would raise global sea levels by at least 56m.
Where, when, and how quickly they might melt is a major focus of research. No one is suggesting all the ice sheets will melt over the next century but, given their size, even small losses could have global repercussions."
WAIS SLR Contribution Deep Uncertainty.PNG (67.41 kB, 371x501 - viewed 1250 times.)
As additional background to my concept to use hydrocarbon hydrates to facilitate the towing of large numbers of Antarctic icebergs from the Southern Ocean northward, from about 2040 to 2090 when the WAIS maybe be collapsing; I make the following comments:
1. Current solar radiation management, SRM, and negative emission, concepts are estimated to cost multiple hundreds of billions of dollars per year to implement. Thus, if towing large numbers of icebergs from the Southern Ocean to tropical oceans were to not only stop Hansen's positive ice-climate feedback mechanism, but also to reduce a possibly high ECS value (say 4 to 4.5C) down to a lower value (say 3C or less), by cooling selected surfaces of the ocean, that would be a valuable feature of the plan (see the first image).
2. Continued climate change is projected to result in shortages of freshwater, including in key groundwater storage basins (see the second image). Thus if the 2040-2090 iceberg towing concept were to help address this issue, that would also be a valuable feature.
3. Ocean thermal energy conversion, OTEC, is a valuable form of green sustainable energy (see the third image). So if the towing plan facilitated such operations that would also be a valuable feature.
4. Many green technologies are dependent on valuable (but with limited reserves) metals that might be supplied by deep sea mining in the coming decades (see the following two linked articles, and the fourth image). Thus if the 2040-2090 iceberg towing concept were to facilitate this issue, that would also be a valuable feature:
Title: "Is deep sea mining vital for a greener future – even if it destroys ecosystems?"
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/jun/04/is-deep-sea-mining-vital-for-greener-future-even-if-it-means-destroying-precious-ecosystems
Extract: "A new gold rush is targeting rich ores on the ocean floor containing valuable metals needed for smartphones and green technologies, but also hosting exotic ecosystems
Mining the deep ocean floor for valuable metals is both inevitable and vital, according to the scientists, engineers and industrialists exploring the world's newest mining frontier.
The special metals found in rich deposits there are critical for smart electronics and crucial green technologies, such as solar power and electric cars. But as the world's population rises, demand is now outstripping the production from mines on land for some important elements.
Those leading the global rush to place giant mining machines thousands of metres below the sea surface say the extraordinary richness of the underwater ores mean the environmental impacts will be far lower than on land. But critics say exotic and little-known ecosystems in the deep oceans could be destroyed and must be protected.
Dozens of exploration licences have already been granted for huge tracts of ocean floor and world leaders, including the G7 nations (pdf), have their eyes on the opportunities. But the rules to ensure the responsible exploitation of this global resource are still being written.
The acid test is set to be the start of commercial sea bed mining, due to begin within two years, 1,600m below waters off Papua New Guinea. There, Nautilus Minerals plans to release three giant crawling machines to grind up rocks rich in copper, zinc and gold and pump the slurry up to a custom-built surface ship at a rate of over 3,000 tonnes a day.
"The seafloor contains some of the largest known accumulations of metals essential for the green economy, in concentrations generally much higher than on land, so it is inevitable that we will eventually recover essential resources from the seafloor," he said.
Companies backed by Russia, Germany, France, Portugal, South Korea, Brazil and more are all pushing ahead on deep sea mining and almost all of the Atlantic ridge from the equator to the Arctic circle has been claimed in recent years. Now Norwegian researchers are exploring the seafloor deep into the Arctic circle and have found several new vent systems near Jan Meyen island.
"I think there is huge potential," says Filipa Marques, at Bergen University, adding that Norway's 40-year history of offshore oil and gas puts it in a strong position to exploit the resources.
Most of the people involved in deep sea mining expect large-scale commercial production in about a decade, with companies seeking to benefit from the experiences of Nautilus. "Everyone is racing to be second," says Fjellroth."
Showstack, R. (2017), "Deep-seabed mining may come soon, says head of governing group", Eos, 98, https://doi.org/10.1029/2017EO087489
https://eos.org/articles/deep-seabed-mining-may-come-soon-says-head-of-governing-group?utm_source=eos&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=EosBuzz112417
Extract: "New regulations could open the door for sustainable mining, says the head of the International Seabed Authority. However, he and others pointed to environmental, financial, and technical challenges.
Hannington cautioned that although the number of areas with evidence of some valuable minerals is "astounding," there is a big difference between a potential mineral resource and just a mineral occurrence. Global mining companies, he observed, currently are on the sidelines and don't necessarily view deep-seabed mining as something of immediate interest.
Once new regulations governing exploitation are approved, possibly within a few years, mining likely would start slowly at relatively small scales, according to Lodge and others. "I think it will start off with a few operators who are willing to take the risk and invest that capital," said Lodge. However, at least one expert attending the seafloor mining forum disagreed with that forecast. Larry Meinert, deputy associate director for energy and mineral resources at the U.S. Geological Survey, told Eos that he doesn't see "a viable way to develop deep-sea mining as an industry."
"No company could afford to put in a billion dollars of assessment to figure out whether this could be done," said Meinert, who spoke about minerals at an earlier session of the NASEM meeting. "There's no economic model that could pay for that."
Andrew Ringberg 2015.PNG (169.01 kB, 568x590 - viewed 1230 times.)
Trends in Groundwater Storage Basins.PNG (144.14 kB, 529x656 - viewed 574 times.)
OTEC 4.PNG (248.97 kB, 620x561 - viewed 574 times.)
Typical Massive Sulfide Deposit Mining Plan.PNG (118.44 kB, 470x651 - viewed 593 times.)
In subsequent posts, I will discuss how supplementing OTEC with icebergs from a WAIS collapse from 2040 to 2090 impacts the assessment in the linked reference:
Krishnakumar Rajagopalan & Gérard C. Nihous (2013), "Estimates of global Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) resources using an ocean general circulation model", Renewable Energy, Vol.5, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2012.07.014
Global Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) resources are assessed for the first time with an ocean general circulation model (OGCM). Large-scale OTEC operations are represented with fluid sources and sinks of prescribed strength in global (4° × 4°) MITgcm simulations. Preliminary steady-state (time-asymptotic) results show similarities, but also significant differences with earlier one-dimensional (1-D) studies. It is confirmed that global OTEC resources are likely limited by OTEC flow effects on the stability of the vertical oceanic thermal structure. Such a limit is several times greater in a full three-dimensional context, however, with an estimated maximum annual OTEC net power production of about 30 TW. The significant OTEC flow rates corresponding to maximum net power output would result in a strong boost of the oceanic thermohaline circulation (THC). In contrast to simple 1-D analyses, the present simulations of large-scale OTEC operations also show a persistent cooling of the tropical oceanic mixed-layer. This would be balanced by a warming trend in the higher latitudes, which may practically limit OTEC deployment to smaller flow rates than at maximum net power output. An annual OTEC net power production of about 7 TW, for example, could be achieved with little effect on the oceanic temperature field.
► OTEC resources assessed for the first time with an ocean general circulation model. ► OTEC resources are limited by the stability of the oceanic thermal stratification. ► A maximum OTEC net power production of about 30 TW was estimated. ► With large OTEC operations, cooling of the tropical oceanic mixed-layer persists. ► At maximum OTEC power output, the Atlantic THC doubles from 15 Sv.
In the most crude version of my concept to use wrangled icebergs from a collapsing WAIS for geoengineering, would be to use the equal of large ocean-going tugs to pull such icebergs out of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current and into one of the Peru/Humboldt Current, the Benguela Current and/or the West Australian Current (see the first image). These currents would slowly convey these icebergs to the warm equatorial waters shown in the second image, and due to wave mixing and salinity differences this cold meltwater would remain in the 0 to 150m water depths (see the third image of such meltwater in the Southern Ocean). Having this cold meltwater near the surface of the topical oceans would serve to accelerate the MOC (see Reply #19) and thus would prevent the projected short-term/pulsed increase in ECS projected by Hansen and Sato (2012) shown in the fourth image. To demonstrate that these icebergs would have sufficient energy to act as a geoengineering mechanism, I provide the following values:
- WAIS ice volume = 3,262,000 cubic km
- Antarctic Peninsula ice volume = 227,000 cubic km
- Ross Ice Shelf volume roughly = 473,000 sq km x 0.5 = 240,000 cubic km
- Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf volume roughly = 430,000 sq km x 0.5 = 220,000 cubic km
- Total ice volume assumed lost by 2100 = 4,000,000 cubic km
- Total ice mass assumed lost by 2100 = 3,670,000Gt = 3,670,000,000,000,000,000 kg
- Total latent heat of assumed ice lost by 2100 = 333.55 kJ/kg X 3.67 ^ 18 = 1.224 ^21 kJ
- Additionally, to heat one kilogram of water from 0 °C to 20 °C requires 83.6 kJ
- Thus to both melt all this ice (from 2040 to 2100), and to bring it to a tropical surface water temperature of 20C, would require about 1.5 ^21 kJ
Surface Ocean Currents.PNG (638.28 kB, 634x589 - viewed 511 times.)
OTEC 3.PNG (224.36 kB, 490x473 - viewed 1188 times.)
AntarcticSalinityTrend_Fig3a.png (144.28 kB, 550x353 - viewed 1156 times.)
Hansen and Sato 2012 Fast-feedback climate sensivity vs ESS.jpg (68.34 kB, 641x471 - viewed 450 times.)
As cited in my last post (Reply #20) the energy to both melt all ice ( from a WAIS collapse from 2040 to 2100), and to bring it to a tropical surface water temperature of 20C, would require about 1.5 ^21 kJ (1.5^24 J). While the tropics are only a small percentage of the total ocean surface, and while this meltwater would be limited to the top 150m of water depth (for the decades under consideration), I provide the two attached images of total ocean heat content (in joules) for the upper 700 m of water; which indicates that the WAIS ice contains a lot of energy:
OHC 2016.PNG (72.71 kB, 350x487 - viewed 1183 times.)
nodc 0-700 ohc differential 97 and 16.jpg (29.21 kB, 518x328 - viewed 1157 times.)
My last two posts present a crude concept for using icebergs from a WAIS collapse for geoengineering, which might be something that a desperate national leader could order his/her navy (or tugboat fleet) to do without much planning if the world were undergoing a climate change socio-economic collapse, and thus does not paint a pretty picture of human foresight. However, the linked reference(s) present one concept that could be used more make a more thoughtful use of an armada of icebergs in the Southern Ocean; which is the use of ice cooled ocean thermal energy conversion, OTEC, and freshwater capture. This article indicates that the use of ice for cool and improve the 3% conversion efficiency for a typical OTEC system of that era up to 5%, and also demands less parasitic pumping energy. While this reference considers a nearshore facility located in Saldanha Bay, South Africa (see the three attached images) and was never built despite viable economic projections (see the extracts); in my next series of posts I plan to outline a concept for grounded offshore ice OTEC/water facilities that could also be used in conjunction with deep sea mining operations; and which could be tested prior to 2040:
David J. DeMarle (1980), "Design Parameters for a South African Iceberg Power and Water Project", Annals of Glaciology, Vol 1, pp 129-133.
https://www.igsoc.org/annals/1/igs_annals_vol01_year1980_pg129-133.pdf
Abstract: "Construction of an iceberg processing plant at Saldanha Bay, Republic of South Africa, is proposed. A reservoir would be constructed at Rieibaai for ice storage. Tidal forces would be harnessed to pump the warm water of Saldanha Lagoon over heat exchangers (using ammonia or propane gas as a heat exchange medium), thus providing power for electrical generators and for melting ice. A functional analysis of operations is presented, together with proposed costs . It is suggested that the fresh water and electricity produced by this system will cost $0.06/m³ and $0.03/kwH, respectively."
Extract: "A small tideway dam ,could be constructed between Schapen Island and Langebaan which would be used to control the tidal flow of water between Saldanha Bay and Lagoon. As the ocean tide rises this darn would be opened and would allow cold water to enter the lagoon. On the ebb of the tide, this dam would be closed and would force the warm lagoon water to flow out of the lagoon through the channel between Schapen Island and Rieibaai.
Assuming that an iceberg 300 m by 900 m by 200 m thick remained after towing from an appropriate Antarctic location, this would yield 45,900,000 m3 of water worth $2,754,000 at a cost of $0.06/m3. With a latent heat of fusion of 3.332 x 105 Jkg- 1, the ice would have 1.532 x 106 J of cooling capacity. This represents a total power potential of 4.25 x 109 kWh. At $0.0 3/kW, this represents a value of $127 600 000. However, not all of this power would be available. If the power plant had an operating efficiency of 5%, the ice could be used to produce $6,380,000 worth of electricity."
David J. DeMarle (1979), "Ice cooled ocean thermal energy conversion plants", Desalination, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0011-9164(00)88421-0
Saldanha Bay South Africa.PNG (249.5 kB, 487x609 - viewed 426 times.)
Saldanha Bay Area.PNG (210.83 kB, 583x703 - viewed 206 times.)
Schematic of Saldanha Bay Ice OTEC Concept.PNG (373.34 kB, 542x655 - viewed 464 times.)
The DeMarle (1979/1980) references show that with proper financial incentive it is already practicable/reasonable to develop isolated nearshore ice cooled OTEC and freshwater projects for such Southern Hemisphere countries as South Africa, Australia, Chile, Argentina and New Zealand, all of which have gateway cities that already provide access to Antarctica. The first image shows that these cities are: Christchurch, New Zealand; Hobart, Australia; Ushuaia, Argentina; Punta Arenas, Chile; and Cape Town, South Africa. Furthermore, the following linked website gives regular updates on the location of existing icebergs in the Southern Ocean, several of which are already north of 60 degrees South; and which could already be captured for small pilot programs (costing hundreds of millions of dollars) for any entrepreneur/government wishing to progressively developed appropriate technology for possible ramp-up if/when the WAIS starts a main phase of collapse (herein assumed to begin ramping up circa 2040):
http://www.scp.byu.edu/current_icebergs.html
For such ramped-up programs, I propose to use any/all of the five gateway cities as staging areas to support marine operations to prepare hydrate enveloped iceberg assemblies comparable to that shown in the second image of a ~20km (long) by ~600m (wide) by ~350m (vertical) train, which the RAND Corp verified was feasible to tow long distances in the linked 1973 report on the feasibility of using Antarctic icebergs as a source of freshwater:
http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/reports/2008/R1255.pdf
The third image shows that near 0 degrees C, isobutane hydrates are stable below atmospheric pressure while methane hydrates are stable in about 260 meters of water depth. Therefore, icebergs coming from Antarctica with keel depths of 260 meters or more, could be enveloped in isobutane hydrates on the top and shallow sides, with natural gas hydrates (of various compositions ranging from pure propane to pure methane) at greater depths for the sides and keel; injected as slurries within high-strength fabric wrappers comparable to the geotextile skirt proposed by Georges Mougin in the fourth image (see the following two links)
http://www.3ds.com/icedream/
http://www.3ds.com/icedream/documentary/
Furthermore, I propose to:
1. Make the fabric wraps composite with the hydrate shells (once the slurries harden into solids) via strap attached to the wraps and extending into the hydrate shells;
2. Configure the wraps so as to improve the hydrodynamics of the iceberg assemblies for towing.
3. Extend the wraps around more than one iceberg so that the hardened hydrates between the icebergs bond these multiple icebergs into one effective monolith; with a suitable shape to be grounded at the deep-water receiving site. Here is assumed that for receiving sites with water depths between 300 to 600m that the monoliths would be ballasted to roll onto their sides; while for water depths deeper than about 600m the monoliths would be ballasted to flip on their ends and to be nested with other flipped monoliths for lateral stability once grounded.
4. Provide some ballast tanks that would be attached to the inside of the wraps and embedded within the hydrate shells, for stability during tow. Also, if needed, that during the tow cavities would be hydraulically hollowed out in select locations with the icebergs to facilitate any rolling or flipping operations required to ground the assembles at the receiving site.
The general idea is that the hydrate shells would reduce the melting of the icebergs during tow, and would contain what ice does melt; and that once grounded the assembles would support such operations as: ice cooled OTEC, freshwater transported to populated areas by tankers, and possibly: deep-water mining, aquiculture, and port facilities.
I will discuss more details in subsequent posts.
Five Gateway Cities to Antarctica.PNG (151.93 kB, 495x598 - viewed 1115 times.)
The RAND Iceberg Train.PNG (104.57 kB, 488x510 - viewed 1111 times.)
Selected Hydrocarbon Hydrate Phase Diagram.PNG (72.89 kB, 432x580 - viewed 1185 times.)
Submerged view of Iceberg Skirt.PNG (85.04 kB, 282x211 - viewed 1165 times.)
To provide a few more details of the hydrate enveloped iceberg assembly concept discussed in previous posts:
1. The first image shows how buoyancy tanks can be used to deploy and shape fabric wraps/curtains (here showing supporting netting for a tuna farm pen in Baja California.
2. The second image shows a double scissor mechanism that could be used to: (a) hold the shape of the fabric wrap until the annular hydrate shell sets-up; and (b) keep the hydrate shell in contact with the iceberg(s) as the annular ice melts.
3. The third images shows (as one example application) deep sea mining (of massive sulfide deposits, MSD) locations proposed to be developed within a few years in and near the Bismarck Sea in water depth on the order of 1,000 m. Here grounded hydrate-iceberg assemblies could support dry mine shafts into the MSD, and ice cooled OTEC, and freshwater supply by draining the melt water from within the hydrate shell into delivery tankers (if economical for delivery were needed) .
4. The fourth image shows that cool discharge water (seawater and/or freshwater depending on economics) from the ice cooled OTEC operation would follow surface currents to cool the West Pacific Warm Water Pool, which should reduce the number of El Nino events and thus reduce ECS.
I note that if substantial amounts of fresh melt water is conveyed to an pumped on to land (for beneficial uses), that this could reduce the amount of sea level rise caused by a potential collapse of the WAIS.
Northern-bluefin-tuna-farming-pens.jpg (60.83 kB, 650x432 - viewed 406 times.)
double-scissor-lift-it8613.jpg (31.24 kB, 600x600 - viewed 1393 times.)
Deep sea mining locations 2.PNG (227.29 kB, 461x518 - viewed 1090 times.)
Deep sea mining deep warm currents.PNG (129.19 kB, 366x556 - viewed 1127 times.)
Here are some more follow-up points:
1. The first image shows conceptually how a para sea anchor could potentially be deployed as a means to improve the economics of towing hydrate-iceberg assemblies long distances (either following currents or cutting across currents).
2. At water depth around 1,000 m ocean water temperatures are typically around 4C which could be pumped up (thru conduits located in the hydrate shell) to provide additional cooling for an ice cooled OTEC. Also, the second image indicates that at depths over about 800 m that CO₂ hydrates would be stable on the seafloor, so such a grounded hydrate-iceberg facility could support industrial operations (such as processing massive sulfide deposit material) with carbon capture and sequestering of CO₂ in hydrate form on the seafloor around the grounded assembly.
3. The third image shows that there are numerous kimberlitic diamond pipes located in water depths on the order of 1,000 meters in both the South and Tropical Atlantic. It might be feasible to drop dry mine shafts through a grounded hydrate-iceberg assembly, in order to access such diamond sources.
4. The fourth image shows that large portions of the Gulf of Mexico have water depth more than 375 meter (relatively close to shore) where hydrate-iceberg assemblies with ice-cooled OTEC facilities could operate and supply both electricity and freshwater while simultaneously cooling the surface water temperature of the Gulf Stream.
Edit: I noted that if properly engineered the grounded hydrate shells could be stable even after their melted iceberg cores have been drained away.
Para Sea Anchor for Iceberg Towing.PNG (242.5 kB, 520x500 - viewed 1137 times.)
CO2 Phase Diagram include hydrate phase.JPG (31.68 kB, 683x412 - viewed 496 times.)
Kimberlite pipes.jpg (38.35 kB, 396x263 - viewed 1063 times.)
gmex.png (42.66 kB, 299x229 - viewed 1182 times.)
« Last Edit: December 09, 2017, 12:13:03 AM by AbruptSLR »
Here are some more follow-on points:
1. The first image shows a representative profile of the oceans thermocline in the tropics; which can possibly be used to help support OTEC operations and CO₂ hydrate sequestering.
2. The second image shows that there are will be many areas in the tropics that are suited for ice cooled OTEC plants that will experience water shortages due to climate change and that could benefit from a freshwater supply.
3. The third image shows a typical OTEC plant that can provide air conditioning, and aquaculture in addition to both electricity and freshwater.
4. The fourth image shows an old concept to build a barrier across the Bering Strait in order to regulate the flow of warm ocean currents into the Arctic Ocean. While this may be acceptable now, it is conceivable that following a climate change driven socio-economic global collapse between 2050 and 2060, that it might be found accept to deploy grounded hydrate-iceberg (possibly from Greenland) assembles to form the backbone of such a temporary barrier (in order to help slow Arctic Amplification).
Representative Tropical Thermocline profile.PNG (60.88 kB, 319x475 - viewed 1153 times.)
Projected Global Water Stress Distribution for 2025.PNG (160.6 kB, 476x470 - viewed 1071 times.)
Soviet Proposed Dam at Bering Strait.PNG (126.96 kB, 412x199 - viewed 1044 times.)
As a follow-on to my last series of posts on hydrocarbon hydrate enveloped icebergs, I note that:
1. The first image shows that West Antarctica is comparable in area to Western Europe and thus there is plenty of iceberg area for making marine barriers beyond providing a barrage across the Bering Strait. Other temporary barriers could include: (a) Storm surge barriers to guard key cities like New York, London, Singapore, Shanghai, Tokyo, etc; (b) Barriers across key straits like: Gibralter, Hormuz, Bab-el-Mandab etc to protect against SLR; or (c) Barriers to shield the interior of island archipelagos possibly to protect floating cities located in the interior.
2. At the end of a temporary feature's (barrier, island, lagoons etc) life, the hydrate shells could be melted within the fabric/membrane wrap so the hydrocarbons could be captured and reused.
3. Industrial facilities from endangered coastal cities could be relocated to nearby grounded hydrate icebergs (possibly by floating in on barges thru a gated opening in the hydrate shell and then hydraulically lifted (like a lock) up to the top of the grounded iceberg. Furthermore, aerosol emitting industrial facilities could then be relocated to areas where aerosol could interaction could help lower climate sensitivity such as to the tropical oceans of the world (and possibly to an ice cooled OTEC facility located there).
4. The hydrate icebergs could be used as temporary scaffolding/forms for the construction of marine facilities (say mine shafts or barriers) that would be difficult to build otherwise, and then the hydrate iceberg could be melted away.
5. If methane hydrates are discovered beneath the WAIS, then hydrofacturing drilling technology could be used to recover natural gas that could be used to fabricate deep portions of the hydrate shells.
6. The second image shows that typical icebergs in the Amundsen Sea Embayment are larger than those assumed by the RAND Corporation concept, and thus it could be useful to develop the para anchor towing concept which might make it more practical to tow larger natural icebergs which might be impractical to envelop in hydrate shells until they have partially melted while being towed.
Comparison of the size of West Antarctica to Western Europe.PNG (150.68 kB, 425x608 - viewed 390 times.)
Large Antarctic icebergs can float in the Southern Ocean for decades before they fully melt away. Thus it is likely that a large fabric wrapped/hydrate encased Antarctic Iceberg assembly grounded on a subsea ridge in the Southern Ocean such as on the Agulhas Ridge off the coast of South Africa (see the first two images) it would certainly last for decades as well (note the third image shows that the Agulhas Ridge is south of the Subantarctic Front). The fourth image shows an ice cave in an Antarctic iceberg, and as icebergs do not flow (like glaciers do) one could rely on the stability of ice caves melted by humans within a grounded hydrate-iceberg assembly on the Agulhas Ridge to be able to serve as operational facilities for functions such as:
1. Mining for subsea diamond in kimberlitic pipes (see Reply #25)
2. Serving as a staging base (supported from Cape Town) for assembling more hydrate-iceberg assemblies to launch into the Benguela Current to move northward to the Tropical Atlantic and/or the Gulf of Mexico.
3. Serving as a refuge in the event of a nuclear war as few meters of ice is excellent protection from radiation.
Agulhas Ridge Bathymetry.PNG (496.52 kB, 350x614 - viewed 311 times.)
Agulhas Ridge Bathymetry 3D.PNG (267.38 kB, 463x622 - viewed 377 times.)
Ice Cave Inside an Antarctic Iceberg.PNG (428.63 kB, 579x684 - viewed 366 times.)
Southern Ocean Currents and Fronts.PNG (288.64 kB, 639x677 - viewed 377 times.)
As a follow on to my last post I note that:
1. As Antarctic Icebergs are 91 percent submerged, and as cliff failures can occur when over about 100m of ice extends above water (for a tabular iceberg), I do not consider grounding hydrate-iceberg assemblies in more than 1,000m of water depth.
2. As (at depth) carbon dioxide hydrates are denser than seawater, they are suitable for both preparing the seafloor for receiving a hydrate-iceberg assembly that is to be grounded, and to help fix the assembly to the seafloor once it is grounded.
3. As many (most) Antarctic icebergs that are about 1km wide (and thus suitable for rolling before grounding to expose the formed isobutane hydrate side to the surface) are more than 3km long, such assemblies (that are intend for providing a working base/island) would be long enough to construct a runway for large commercial and/or military aircraft.
4. Three, or more, on the order of 3km by 1km by 600m assemblies could be grounded together (and linked together by hydrate infilled fabric joint flaps) to form a working harbor to support large deep-draft vessels and/or icebergs waiting to be assembled.
5. The third image shows how the PRC has modified an island in the South China Sea to accommodate both military vessels and military aircraft in order to project power beyond its borders. Thus I note that a grounded base such as that cited in my last post on the Agulhas Ridge would also function as a military base to help guard navigation around the Cape of Good Hope during a period of collapsing global social order.
6. As the ocean conditions are relatively rough near the Agulhas Ridge, it might be advisable to assemble the multiple hydrate-iceberg units for a large combined airport, harbor, mine, military base, work base, refuge from nuclear blasts etc at the Agulhas Ridge at another assemble base near Campbell Island (NZ) as shown in the second & third images (note the water depths on the nav. chart are in fathoms). Campbell Island is located near 52 degrees South, and thus is close enough to the Subantarctic Front to serve as hydrate-iceberg assembly staging facility. Furthermore, Perseverance Harbour on the island is suitable as a working harbor for the assembly fleet, and the island is close enough to Christchurch, NZ for resupply. Furthermore, a base at Campbell Island would be well located for launching ice-cooled OTEC assemblies into the Peru/Humboldt Current for eventual transport to the West Pacific Warm Pool.
Wikipedia quote: "Campbell Island / Motu Ihupuku is an uninhabited subantarctic island of New Zealand, and the main island of the Campbell Island group. It covers 112.68 square kilometres (43.51 sq mi) of the group's 113.31 km2 (43.75 sq mi), and is surrounded by numerous stacks, rocks and islets like Dent Island, Folly Island (or Folly Islands), Isle de Jeanette-Marie, and Jacquemart Island, the latter being the southernmost extremity of New Zealand. The island is mountainous, rising to over 500 metres (1,640 ft) in the south. A long fjord, Perseverance Harbour, nearly bisects it, opening out to sea on the east coast."
7. Lastly, for this post, I provide the fourth attached image that shows a conceptual mobile offshore base, MOB, for military use, and I note that under war situations hydrate-iceberg assemblies could be used in a floating mode to project military power comparable to a much more expensive MOB.
PRC Militarized South China Sea Island Base.PNG (658.09 kB, 522x593 - viewed 933 times.)
Islands in the Tasman Sea.PNG (89.61 kB, 640x754 - viewed 207 times.)
Campbell Island Bathymetry 1.PNG (599.03 kB, 636x675 - viewed 336 times.)
Conceptual Mobile Offshore Base.PNG (487.36 kB, 496x623 - viewed 278 times.)
Just a quick post to note that by melting caverns/tunnels with the iceberg core of a hydrate-iceberg assembly (including initially for flipping, rolling and ballasting down) could potentially provide lots of well protected operational space, that could be made comfortable as illustrated by the first two images of ice hotels and could be colorful (the third image show an Antarctic ice cave with pink ice, and the fourth image shows ice caves in an Antarctic iceberg with blue ice).
Icehotel 2.PNG (442.98 kB, 558x645 - viewed 299 times.)
Hotel de Glace.PNG (411.03 kB, 379x699 - viewed 291 times.)
Antarctic Ice Cave 2.PNG (647.82 kB, 612x644 - viewed 313 times.)
Ice Caves in Antarctic Iceberg showing blue ice.PNG (389.2 kB, 514x657 - viewed 309 times.)
As I have previously noted possible staging areas at the Agulhas Ridge and at Campbell Island, for launching assemblies into the Benguela Current and the Peru/Humboldt Current, respectively; I here that the islands on the Amsterdam St Paul (ASP) Plateau in the Indian Ocean (see the first two images) would be close enough to the Subantarctic Front to launch ice-cooled OTEC assemblies into the West Australian Current for transport to the Tropical Indian Ocean.
Furthermore, for general reference, I prove the third image of general bathymetry in the Southern Ocean, and the fourth image of Territorial claims in Antarctica.
Amsterd & St Paul Islands Location.PNG (397.87 kB, 357x612 - viewed 289 times.)
Amsterdam St Paul Plateau.PNG (378.86 kB, 494x777 - viewed 202 times.)
Southern Ocean Bathymetry.PNG (687.26 kB, 558x692 - viewed 301 times.)
Antarctic Territorial Claims per the CIA factbook.JPG (59.58 kB, 683x587 - viewed 253 times.)
As an early application, if one wanted to use an Antarctic iceberg to facilitate the development of massive sulfide deposits, MSD (see the first two images), in the Bismarck Sea (which is already permitted (see the third image); then one could just inject a hydrate slurry into the interstitial annular space between the iceberg and the minimal skirt as shown in the fourth image, and then mine the deposit using the iceberg as a temporary form, after set-down. The iceberg would likely take some years to melt (without active circulation of warm water as in the case of an OTEC facility), and the freshwater melt-water could either be conveyed to shore or vented to the ocean.
MSD profile.PNG (149.29 kB, 439x453 - viewed 914 times.)
Formation of massive sulfide deposits.PNG (218.39 kB, 462x613 - viewed 243 times.)
Deep sea mining 3.PNG (122.03 kB, 582x592 - viewed 949 times.)
Tabular Iceberg with Geotextile Skirt.PNG (80.17 kB, 388x294 - viewed 900 times.)
Necessity is the mother of invention:
Title: "Icebergs could be towed from Antarctica to solve Cape Town drought, expert says"
https://news.sky.com/story/icebergs-could-be-towed-from-antarctica-to-solve-cape-town-drought-expert-says-11354852
Extract: "Plans have been unveiled to tow icebergs from Antarctica to South Africa to help solve Cape Town's crippling water shortage.
Mr Sloane, who led the re-floating of the Costa Concordia cruise liner in 2014, said his team could wrap passing icebergs in fabric skirts to protect them and reduce evaporation.
"We want to show that if there is no other source to solve the water crisis, we have another idea no one else has thought of yet," he said.
Large tankers would guide the blocks into the Benguela Current that flows along the west coast of southern Africa, before a milling machine would cut into the ice.
A single iceberg "could produce about 150 million litres per day for about a year," around 30% of Cape Town's needs, Mr Sloane said.
The director of the marine salvage firm Resolve Marine said he was planning to hold a conference later this month to try and sell the $130m (£95m) project to officials and investors."
Quote from: AbruptSLR on May 01, 2018, 09:11:24 PM
"Icebergs could be towed from Antarctica to solve Cape Town drought, expert says"
This seemed such as silly idea, I had to crunch numbers.
Roughly we are talking about a 50 million tonne iceberg being towed a little over 4000 km. Thats the equivalent of 200 250,000 tonne tankers or 700 large passenger liners. Assuming the Iceberg is 50 meters thick thats a one kilometre square iceberg.
To pull such a large object at any useful speed would require perhaps as many as 1000 tugs or one every 4 metres of the perimeter of the berg. They would have to be sufficiently large to sail into Antarctic waters and probably negotiate considerable sea ice to get near the iceberg.
To acheive this the tugs would have to be taken away from their normal duties for at least 30 days, which would be a collosal cost to world shipping. Far higher than then nominal cost of hiring that many tugs on a per day rate. One charge I found for a largish tug was $25K per day, and even that adds up to $750M over a 30 day hire for 1000 tugs.
Comparing this with the cost of desalination which could produce 50 million tonnes of water for less than $100 million it seems to make a lot more sense to get on with building a desalination plant. Cape Town's water problems wont evaporate in a year unlike their water.
Towing the icebergs is an old idea that been around for nearly 50 years.
In fact in 1978, an eccentric Australian business identity named Dick Smith set up an April fools prank by towing a bundle of styrofoam covered in a white canvas into Sydney Harbour, then held a press conference and told everybody it was an iceberg.
https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/sydney-april-fools-pranks-the-day-an-iceberg-floated-past-the-opera-house/news-story/592efb3e982c8cb43748fd2564dc524d
But the some faily simple calculations will prove that it is more efficient to use the energy to desalinate seawater than it is to burn diesel by towing icebergs.
The ice was here, the ice was there,
The ice was all around:
It crack'd and growl'd, and roar'd and howl'd,
Like noises in a swound!
Rime of the Ancient Mariner by Samuel Taylor Coleridge
What is fantastical to one man is plausible to another:
Title: "Could towing icebergs to hot places solve the world's water shortages?"
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/may/05/could-towing-icebergs-to-hot-places-solve-the-worlds-water-shortage
Extract: "The idea of towing an iceberg from Antarctica to the UAE sounds fantastical, but might not be entirely beyond the realms of plausibility"
Full speed ahead for Antarctic iceberg towing by 2020:
Title: "Will Antarctic icebergs solve fresh water crisis in UAE?"
https://www.khaleejtimes.com/nation/abu-dhabi/will-antarctic-icebergs-solve-fresh-water-crisis-in-uae-123
Extract: "Colossal icebergs floating off the coast of UAE is no more an insane stretch of imagination. By 2020, icebergs from Antarctica are going to be the UAE's biggest tourist attraction, according to The National Advisor Bureau Limited, an Abu Dhabi-based private company.
In a world-first, the company, on Sunday announced the launch of a trailblazing project to tow icebergs from Antarctica to Fujairah in the eastern coast of the UAE at an estimated cost of more than $50 million.
"The UAE Iceberg Project is an economically, technically and commercially feasible idea now. Once completed in 2020, this will mean an end to water scarcity in the region and UAE will become one of the biggest exporters of fresh water in the world," Abdulla Mohammed Sulaiman Al Shehi, managing director of the company, told Khaleej Times.
The company had made international headlines when it first announced the project in May 2017. But it was soon kept under wraps after the UAE government denied any involvement in the project.
"We were doing the feasibility study since last five years. Now we have developed a unique technology to tow the icebergs with minimum melting during transportation. We are good to go." said Al Shehi.
While the details of the technology will be announced later this year, Al Shehi said high-capacity tow-boats that can tow icebergs weighing up to 100 million tonnes or more will be used in the feat.
"The first step is to locate and select the icebergs using satellite imaging. The sea currents northwards will be the main force that will move the colossal icebergs. Tow boats will assist and guide the iceberg in their movement," added Al Shehi who is also the author of Filling the Empty Quarter, a book that offers out of the box ideas to harvest fresh water.
According to him, it will take anything up to nine months to complete the iceberg haul from Antarctica to Fujairah.
"The cost and time will vary hugely depending on the size and shape of the Iceberg. We are looking at a cost that will start at $50 million and can even go up to $120 million. It is not predictable now," said Al Shehi, adding that the project is completely funded by private parties.
Once the iceberg is offshore, Al Shehi said the company will start harvesting fresh water for consumers. Blocks of ice will be chipped off from the surface, crushed into water and then stored in large tanks.
The Antarctic ice sheet is the single largest block of ice on Earth, containing over 60 per cent of the world's fresh seawater.
"Global warming is causing the ice to melt causing the wastage of millions of gallons of water. This is when 1.2 billion people around the world are living without access to clean water. As per UN estimates, by 2030, more than 50 per cent of the world's population could be facing water shortage. The iceberg project aims to support the response to water calamities such as drought worldwide, and support other water projects aimed to promote the humanitarian work," said Al Shehi.
The first phase of the project is set to begin by the second half of 2019. "In the trial phase, we will tow an iceberg towards the coast of Perth in Australia or Cape Town in South Africa. We will study the wave and heat effect, the suitable weather conditions and also learn about charting the right route for towing," said Al Shehi.
Regarding the international laws and permissions required to implement the project, the official said: "The High Sea Code states that icebergs are a water resource and can be subjected to acquisition by private parties and moved to any part of the world."
He said governmental authorisation was also not required to bring the iceberg to the UAE as it will be resting in international waters off the country's coast. "What is also important is that we are not targeting icebergs in Antarctica. We will be towing icebergs that broke off and are floating in the high seas some 3,000 miles away from Antarctica."" | {
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Luigi Ferraris (* 18. November 1887 in Florenz; † 23. August 1915 am Monte Maggio) war ein italienischer Fußballspieler.
Werdegang
Als Jugendlicher kam der sportbegeisterte Ferraris nach Genua. Dort schloss er sich dem CFC Genua an, seinerzeit einer der bedeutendsten Fußballvereine Italiens. Mit dem Klub gewann er 1904 die Nachwuchsmeisterschaft, bei der im Endspiel Juventus Turin mit einem 4:0-Erfolg deutlich besiegt wurde. Bis 1911 spielte er anschließend in der Wettkampfmannschaft des Klubs die er zeitweilig als Mannschaftskapitän anführte. Anschließend ging er beruflich nach Mailand, wo er eine Anstellung bei Pirelli fand, und wurde mit einem Abschiedsspiel geehrt.
Mit Eintritt Italiens in den Ersten Weltkrieg im Mai 1915 wurde Ferraris als Leutnant zum 1. Artillerie-Regiment eingezogen. Im August des Jahres wurde er bei der Schlacht am Monte Maggio von einem Schrapnell getroffen und tödlich verwundet.
Anlässlich des 40. Gründungstages des CFC Genua wurde 1933 das Heimatstadion des Klubs in Stadio Luigi Ferraris umbenannt, während der Zeremonie wurde ihm postum die Tapferkeitsmedaille verliehen und unter der Nordtribüne begraben.
Weblinks
cimeetrincee.it: Luigi Ferraris 1887 - 1915 (italienisch)
viveregenova.comune.genova.it/:- La dedica a Luigi Ferraris - Primo genoano a cadere nella Grande Guerra (italienisch)
Italiener
Geboren 1887
Gestorben 1915
Mann
Fußballspieler (CFC Genua)
Träger der Tapferkeitsmedaille in Silber (Italien) | {
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A Zoom interview with John L Sayers - Engineer, Producer, Educator and Acoustician. Topics include recording of The Real Thing by Russell Morris, Studio Acoustics and Design, and Music Engineering. Gracious thanks to John Sayers.
This is mandatory viewing for musicians who want to build a home studio, or for those fans of great Australian Music from the sixties onwards.
Sayers is one of a number of producer-engineers who are associated with the Melbourne popular music scene of the 1960s and 1970s and in particular with the renowned Armstrong's Studios, the venue where many of the most successful Australian pop/rock recordings of the period were recorded. He created the leading studio acoustics Forum Recording Studio Design.
The role of the record producer: Howard Gable shares his experiences producing for Zoot, Masters Apprentices, Russell Morris, Spectrum, Allison Durbin, Johnny Farnham, Sherbert, La De Dahs and more. If you are a fan of Australian Music. Sit back and enjoy.
This is a zoom interview I did with Gil Matthews about the recording of the Australian Classic Hit "Most People I Know Think That I'm Crazy" by Billy Thorpe and the Aztecs. Gil played on this record and Produced it ......hope y'all enjoy it
Here's a blast from the past. David Briggs featured in the June 1979 issue of Guitar Player magazine, alongside Howard Roberts, preeminent Motown bassist James Jamerson, and pioneering ragtime guitarist Eric Schoenberg.
Produced and recorded by David Briggs at the Production Workshop.
Best World beat / Rock album for 2015
The Akademia Music Awards
Published in Past Work
Tim McGraw lists "Lonesome Loser" as one of his favourite songs
American based country music super star Tim McGraw recently revealed that the David Briggs penned classic "Lonesome Loser" was on his favouite hit list.
In an article on the BMLG website on Tim's favourite albums, he is quoted as saying "Little River Band Greatest Hits would be up there. I love the Little River Band, I mean, it reminds me of the beach, for some reason. That's one I would play for my kids when they were little. Every time I'd pull the boat into the beach I'd play 'Lonesome Loser' as loud as I could. So, that would be up there."
We here at the Production Workshop are happy to return to kudos, because we love Tim's music as well.
Skyhook - Hits 'n' Riffs
Re-mastered by David Briggs at the Production Workshop.
The Volcanics
On behalf of The Volcanics, I just wanted to say what a kickass job you did mastering our latest record. Not only do you have a keen ear for the black magic that is mastering but your consideration towards our suggestions and style of music was duly noted. A true professional and top bloke. Cheers!
Pete Acklin / The Volcanics
Vinyl and tape restoration
I use David for all my mastering jobs. His professional approach and attitude, plus a huge wealth of knowledge, make him so easy to work with. His years of experience…
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Q: IOS Swift CNContactViewController Navigation Bar Not Showing UINavigation Controller I have been working on this problem for a bit but can't get anything to work.
I have a view controller that effectively stands along in the main story board. Inside that view controller, when a specific action occurs that passes a contact type to the action.
The action opens a new contact view controller for the contact passed, and allows the user to interact with the contact per the CNContactViewController.
Once the user is done with the contact, it will close, because of the didCompleteWith method, but there is no way to exit the contact controller, without actually creating the contact.
//change to new contact screen
let con = CNMutableContact()
con.givenName = familyComponents[0]
con.familyName = familyComponents[1]
let newEmail = CNLabeledValue(label: "Personal", value: objectComponents[2]
as NSString)
con.emailAddresses.append(newEmail)
con.phoneNumbers.append(CNLabeledValue(
label: "Home", value: CNPhoneNumber(stringValue: objectComponents[3])))
let newScreen = CNContactViewController(forUnknownContact: con)
newScreen.message = "Made using app"
newScreen.contactStore = CNContactStore()
newScreen.delegate = self
newScreen.allowsActions = true
let navigationController = UINavigationController(rootViewController:
newScreen)
self.present(navigationController, animated: true, completion: nil)
I have tried everything from navigationItems to navigationItems, it seems to me that the navigation bar is there, because it is possible to change its translucency with this line of code:
navigationController.navigationBar.isTranslucent = true
Methods Below:
func contactViewController(_ viewController: CNContactViewController,
didCompleteWith contact: CNContact?) {
viewController.dismiss(animated: true, completion: nil)
inContact = false
}
func contactViewController(_ shouldPerformDefaultActionForviewController:
CNContactViewController, shouldPerformDefaultActionFor property:
CNContactProperty) -> Bool {
return false
}
Any suggestions would be greatly appreciated, I have been struggling with this problem for too long.
Thanks!
SOLVED:
Got it to work. Turns out that this is a bug in apples framework. To solve this problem I just switched it from Unknown Contact to New Contact, which apparently does not have this bug.
Part of new code:
let newScreen = CNContactViewController(forNewContact: con)
newScreen.delegate = self
let navigationController = UINavigationController(rootViewController: newScreen)
self.present(navigationController, animated: true, completion: nil)
Thanks
A: can you try with this code
let con = CNMutableContact()
con.givenName = familyComponents[0]
con.familyName = familyComponents[1]
let newEmail = CNLabeledValue(label: "Personal", value: objectComponents[2]
as NSString)
con.emailAddresses.append(newEmail)
con.phoneNumbers.append(CNLabeledValue(
label: "Home", value: CNPhoneNumber(stringValue: objectComponents[3])))
let unkvc = CNContactViewController(forUnknownContact: con)
unkvc.delegate = self
unkvc.allowsEditing = true
unkvc.allowsActions = true
unkvc.title = "Edit Contact"
self.navigationController?.isNavigationBarHidden = false
self.navigationController?.navigationItem.hidesBackButton = true
self.navigationController?.pushViewController(unkvc, animated: false)
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Епархия Банска-Быстрицы () — епархия Римско-католической церкви c центром в городе Банска-Быстрица, Словакия. Епархия Банска-Быстрицы входит в митрополию Братиславы. Кафедральным собором епархии Банска-Быстрицы является собор святого Франциска Ксаверия.
История
13 марта 1776 года Святой Престол учредил епархию Банска-Быстрицы, выделив её из архиепархии Эстергома (сегодня — Архиепархия Эстергома-Будапешта). В этот же день епархия Банска-Быстрицы вошла в митрополию Эстергома.
До образования Чехословакии в 1918 году епископами епархии Банска-Быстрицы в основном были венгры, которые проводили мадьяризацию церковной жизни в своих епархиях. Правительство Чехословакии в 1920 году начало демадьяризацию в Словакии, после чего епископ Вольфганг Раднай 16 декабря 1920 года подал в отставку и уехал в Венгрию, а на его место Святой Престол назначил словацкого епископа.
2 сентября 1937 года Римский папа Пий XI издал буллу Ad ecclesiastici, которой выделил епархию Банска-Быстрицы из митрополии Эстергома-Будапешта, подчинив её напрямую Святому Престолу.
30 декабря 1977 года епархия Банска-Быстрица вошла в митрополию Трнавы.
14 февраля 2008 года, после реорганизации церковных структур в Словакии, епархия Банска-Быстрицы вошла в митрополию Братиславы. В епархию Банска-Быстрицы вошла часть бывшей территории архиепархии Трнавы-Братиславы и в этот же день епархия Банска-Быстрицы передала часть своей территории для возведения новой епархии Жилины.
Ординарии епархии
епископ Франтишек Берхтольд (16.12.1776 — 14.08.1793);
епископ Габриэль Зердахейи (22.12.1800 — 5.10.1813);
епископ Антон Макаи (21.12.1818 — 24.11.1823) — назначен епископом Веспрема;
епископ Йозеф Беланский (24.11.1823 — 3.01.1843);
епископ Йозеф Руднянский (20.01.1845 — 1850);
епископ Штефан Мойзес (17.02.1851 — 5.07.1869);
епископ Зигмунд Зуппан (27.06.1870 — 1871);
епископ Арнольд Ипольи-Штуммер (22.12.1871 — 1886) — назначен епископом Орадя;
епископ Имрих Бенде (1886 — 19.01.1893) — назначен епископом Нитры;
епископ Кароль Римей (6.06.1893 — 13.01.1904);
епископ Вольфганг Раднаи (11.07.1904 — 16.12.1920);
епископ Мариан Блага (13.11.1920 — 21.08.1943);
епископ Андрей Скрабик (21.08.1943 — 8.01.1950);
епископ Йозеф Феранец (19.02.1973 — 14.02.1990);
епископ Рудольф Балаж (14.02.1990 — † 27.07.2011);
епископ Мариан Хованец (20.11.2012 — по настоящее время).
Источник
Annuario Pontificio, Libreria Editrice Vaticana, Città del Vaticano, 2003, ISBN 88-209-7422-3
Булла Ad ecclesiastici, AAS 29 (1937), стр. 366
Ссылки
Официальный сайт
Информация
Католические епархии Словакии | {
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Бе́ньямин Ра́уле (, , февраль 1634 года — 17 мая 1707 года) — предприниматель, первый и единственный генеральный директор бранденбургского военно-морского флота, фактический его основатель.
Биография
Происхождение
Беньямин Рауле родился в феврале 1634 года в нидерландском городке Флиссинген в семье гугенотов из Фландрии Беньямина Рауле и Марии Лесаж. Его брат Якоб стал морским инспектором и капитаном, сам Беньямин получил неплохое по тем временам торговое образование, владел французским и голландским языками, а также латынью.
Годы в Голландии
В 1658 году Рауле женился на Аполлонии ван ден Бранде (в браке с которой у него родилась одна дочь) и поселился вместе с нею в Мидделбурге, столице голландской провинции Зеландия, где стал одним из самых богатых торговцев, членом магистрата и судебным заседателем, имел в собственности городской дом и несколько земельных участков. Владея судоходной компанией и многими собственными судами, он особенно активно развивал торговлю с Францией, которая из-за начавшейся в 1672 году франко-голландской войны пришла в полное запустение и поставила Рауле на край финансовой катастрофы. В попытке поправить свои дела Рауле обратился к бранденбургскому курфюрсту Фридриху Вильгельму с предложением снарядить корабли и заняться каперством против Швеции, находившейся тогда с Бранденбургом в состоянии войны.
На службе у курфюрста Фридриха Вильгельма
Получив в начале 1675 года необходимые каперские свидетельства, которые курфюрст, не имевший собственного флота, выдал в надежде ослабить противника, Рауле в течение 4 недель захватил 21 шведское судно, а ещё через четыре недели Балтийское море было по сути полностью очищено от шведских кораблей. Чтобы защитить Рауле от реакции голландских купцов, зачастую ходивших под шведским флагом и напрямую пострадавших от таких захватов, бранденбургской стороной было решено задним числом подписать с ним фиктивный договор, по которому он на это время якобы сдал в аренду курфюрсту 10 своих судов. Однако ни Англия, ни Голландия, в порты которых были доставлены для продажи захваченные корабли, не признали их каперской добычей и начали возвращать их владельцам, с чем Фридрих Вильгельм, не желавший нажить себе новых врагов, вынужден был в итоге согласиться. От долговой тюрьмы Рауле, который по договору сам должен был нести все издержки и при этом не получил никакой выгоды, спас лишь курфюрст, покрывший его затраты и назначивший его своим советником.
Летом 1675 года Фридрих Вильгельм заключил новый, впоследствии много раз продлевавшийся, договор с Рауле о найме его судов для войны со Швецией, а в следующем году произвёл его в «корабельные директоры» (). Осенью 1676 года, опасаясь преследований своей страны, грозившей немалыми штрафами её подданным, замеченным в действиях против Швеции, Рауле отказался от прежнего гражданства и привилегий в Зеландии и окончательно переселился в Бранденбург вместе со своей семьёю, которая отныне стала получать жалование в 100 талеров ежемесячно. За связи с курфюрстом он стал самым ненавидимым человеком у себя на родине и признавался потом, что больше всего пострадал именно от преследований голландцев. А поскольку между «законным» каперством и «незаконным« пиратством чёткой границы не существовало, причислить Рауле к пиратам можно было лишь на основании открывшегося позднее факта, что получив подтверждение от бранденбургских посланников о согласии курфюрста на выдачу каперских свидетельств, легализующих захват чужих судов, он начал этот морской «промысел», не дожидаясь их формального вручения.
Рауле брался за любое дело, которое поручал ему курфюрст: будь то каперство против Гамбурга и Испании, под всякими предлогами не плативших свои долги Бранденбургу, осада и блокада крепостей, морские сражения, транспортировка бранденбургских сухопутных войск, конвой торговых судов или перевозка сложившего оружие шведского гарнизона Штеттина назад на родину. При этом Рауле порою сам отправлялся в море со своими судами (предпочитая, в остальном, руководить работой с суши) и даже участвовал в разработке диспозиции кораблей, нанятых им для Бранденбурга, при высадке морского десанта на Рюген. Всё это не осталось незамеченным и в конце 1677 года Р. был повышен до «старшего директора морских дел» (). Круг интересов Рауле можно проследить по представленным Фридриху Вильгельму предложениям, которые в той или иной степени были воплощены в действительность: по оживлению торговли в Пруссии и закладке сахароварни в Штеттине, повышению таможенных пошлин и реорганизации системы мер и весов, оптимизации использования лихтеров и морских заливов, консервации шлюзов и ограничениям для иностранцев по надзору за товарами, по введению морской пехоты и учреждению специального морского суда в Кольберге, чтобы поощряемое Бранденбургом каперство не выглядело пиратством в глазах других государств.
После нескольких лет, проведённых в Кольберге, Кёнигсберге и Пиллау, Рауле переселился в Берлин, где им было куплено заброшенное строение во Фридрихсвердере, перестроенное позднее под жилой дом. В 1682 году Рауле получил от Фридриха Вильгельма во владение пустующее имение Розенфельде () на восточной окраине Берлина и распорядился построить на нём небольшой двухэтажный дворец в голландском стиле (ныне — дворец Фридрихсфельде), который вместе с прилегавшим к нему парком служил для развлечений посещавшей его бранденбургской знати во главе с самим курфюрстом. В целом, к 1687 году с передачей ему практически неограниченной власти во всех вопросах, связанных с военно-морским и коммерческим флотом, положение Рауле достигло своего зенита.
Организация бранденбургского флота
Чтобы не зависеть от иностранных судостроителей, при непосредственном участии Рауле с 1676 года были организованы верфи в Кольберге, а затем в Хафельберге, Пиллау и Берлине, со стапелей которых начали сходить военные корабли собственного, бранденбургского, изготовления. При этом тяготевший больше к торговле, чем к морскому делу, Рауле видел выгоду военного флота в первую очередь в обеспечении безопасности коммерческого мореплавания и (гео)политические амбиции были ему совершенно чужды. Наконец, во главе организованной им в Пиллау коммерческой и адмиралтейской коллегии предпринимательский дух Рауле нашёл себе должное применение.
Очередной, заключённый в январе 1679 года, договор с курфюрстом, по которому Рауле, сдавал ему в наём 8 кораблей с экипажем в 400 офицеров и матросов, просуществовал недолго: согласившись с доводами самого Рауле о том, что собственные суда будут обходиться государственной казне намного дешевле, 1 октября 1684 года Фридрих выкупил у Рауле принадлежавшие тому 9 кораблей, а этот день с тех пор нередко называется днём рождения военно-морского флота Бранденбурга. Таким образом, организованный Рауле бранденбургский флот насчитывал в это время 28 кораблей, что позволяло решать поставленные перед ним задачи в прилегающих морях, хотя и не могло сравниться по численности с крупнейшими морскими державами того времени (так, в начавшейся несколько лет спустя войне Аугсбургской лиги участвовали 173 английских, 102 голландских и 221 французское судно). Сам Рауле в феврале следующего года был назначен «генеральным директором военно-морского флота» ( — должность, соответствующая морскому министру) с окладом в 400 талеров ежемесячно (для сравнения: в то время профессорам немецких университетов, чтобы заработать такие деньги, требовался целый год).
Бранденбургско-Африканская компания
Первый проект Рауле по организации торговли в африканской Гвинее возник уже в 1676 году, осуществлению которого тогда помешала шедшая война со Швецией. После того, как не получили поддержки его планы по коммерческому освоению Гренландии, Рауле вернулся к своим первоначальным идеям. В 1681 году он на собственные деньги снарядил и отправил на побережье Гвинеи два корабля, один из которых возвратился напрямую в Пиллау с грузом, принёсшим порядка 100 тысяч талеров. Курфюрст предоставил для экспедиции лишь 20 солдат и разрешение плыть под бранденбургским флагом. По предложению Рауле в марте 1682 года эдиктом Фридриха Вильгельма была организована компания по торговле на побережье Гвинеи, позднее названная «Бранденбургско-Африканской компанией» (), ставшая первым немецким акционерным обществом. Летом того же года к берегам Африки были отправлены ещё два бранденбургских корабля, причём из 44 тысяч талеров, которые были необходимы для экспедиции, 8 внёс курфюрст, 2 – кронпринц и 24 – сам Рауле. Поскольку и военно-морской флот Бранденбурга и «Бранденбургско-Африканская компания», формально независимые друг от друга, находились под управлением Рауле, то на практике зачастую происходило смешение их функций и финансов, что только подогревало слухи о систематических злоупотреблениях.
Груз, который находился на борту отправляемых судов, состоял в основном из тканей из Фландрии и Силезии, огнестрельного оружия и амуниции к нему, ножей, зеркал, металлической посуды, стеклянных бус и крепкого алкоголя, а среди товаров, которые намеревалось вывозить из Африки, в первую очередь упоминались рабы, золото и слоновая кость. Как писал сам Рауле: «Каждый знает, что работорговля — источник богатства». К рабам он относился — в духе своего времени — исключительно как к товару, который должен приносить прибыль, требуя в своих инструкциях от руководителя экспедиции закупать рабов как можно больше и при необходимости делать «запасы» из них, чтобы перепродать при следующем удобном случае, поскольку все расходы на их содержание ограничивались лишь небольшим количеством риса. За годы своего существования компания перевезла из Африки порядка 17 тысяч невольников, отправной точкой для чего служила колония Гросс-Фридрихсбург на берегу Гвинейского залива.
Поначалу коммерческие успехи были весьма скромными, а для снаряжения очередной экспедиции даже приходилось брать кредит. Жёсткая конкуренция с другими компаниями (в первую очередь, с Объединённой Ост-Индской), коррупция в собственной фирме, непрозрачное ведение финансов — вот только часть проблем, с которыми приходилось бороться её управляющему. Лишь спустя несколько лет доходы стали преобладать, и Рауле тут же начал задумываться о расширении компании, покупке островов в Карибском море, где можно было бы организовать рынок доставленных из Африки рабов, а на вырученные деньги закупать индиго, какао, кофе, сахар, имбирь или табак (в действительности пришлось ограничиться арендой у датчан части Сент-Томаса). Компания была переименована в «Бранденбургско-Африканско-Американскую», а управленческие здания, склады, казармы для задействованных солдат были перенесены из Пиллау в незамерзающий зимой Эмден.
На службе у курфюрста Фридриха III
Поначалу в отношении военно-морского и коммерческого флота новый курфюрст Фридрих III, пришедший к власти в 1688 году, полностью продолжил линию своего отца. Однако уже реорганизация адмиралтейства, в которое теперь одновременно назначалось три директора, показала, что для Рауле наступили новые времена. Очередная проверка счетов Африканской компании выявила, что её убытки достигли суммы в более чем 454 тысячи талеров, в то время как Рауле докладывал намного более оптимистичные цифры. Новые обвинения в его адрес, от которых его всячески защищал имевший к нему полное доверие Фридрих Вильгельм, не заставили себя ждать: единоличное управление, сокрытие информации, отдача противоречивших друг другу инструкций, нецелевой характер расходов, раздутый персонал, закупка слишком большого количества кораблей, плохо реализовавшиеся товары. Поскольку расследование против Рауле нашло его невиновным по всем пунктам обвинения, он получил от курфюрста в качестве компенсации за причинённый ущерб почти 10 тысяч талеров и был восстановлен в прежней должности. Своей реабилитацией Рауле не в последнюю очередь был обязан и заступничеству первого министра Данкельмана, с которым он был давно знаком. Чтобы как-то ограничить влияние Рауле, коммерческая коллегия была отделена от военно-морской и выведена из-под его контроля, однако дела в ней пошли настолько плохо, что ему пришлось вновь забрать их обе под своё крыло и управлять ещё в течение 4 лет. На какое-то время Рауле, казалось, вновь вернул себе потерянные было позиции, но положение его и возглавляемых им флота и торговой компании больше уже не было таким прочным.
Опала и последние годы жизни
Получившая влияние на Фридриха III группировка во главе с Кольбе поставила себе задачей убрать с дороги Данкельмана и всех, кто стоял рядом с ним или под его протекцией. Начатое в январе 1698 года новое расследование привело к тому, что 12 декабря того же года Рауле был доставлен в цитадель Шпандау (где уже находился под арестом Данкельман), а всё его имущество было конфисковано в пользу курфюрста.
Среди пунктов предъявленного обвинения значилось: нарушение государственной монополии на древесину (что было опровергнуто представленными документами), небрежность в ведении счетов, нанесение ущерба курфюрсту переводом акций компании, принадлежащих Рауле, в руки других собственников. Кроме того, ему вменялось в вину, что будучи вкладчиком коммандитного товарищества, владевшего монетным двором в Эммерихе, он знал о имевших место нарушениях (низкое качество монет, чеканка поддельных голландских шиллингов), но пытался их скрыть. Рауле не признал своей вины, но, возможно, из-за боязни, что в противном случае процесс — который для 66-летнего старика и без того был настоящим испытанием — затянется ещё дольше, просил курфюрста о помиловании, соглашаясь отказаться от своего имущества в обмен на пожизненную пенсию. Фридрих III — к тому времени уже король Пруссии — удовлетворил прошение о помиловании, и 12 мая 1702 года Рауле был отпущен из-под ареста, получил несколько часов на свидание со своей больной женой и был препровождён для проживания в Эмден. Косвенным доказательством невиновности Рауле может послужить и тот факт, что он — недавно обвиняемый в растрате и мошенничестве — был послан в Эмден с поручением в интересах бранденбургского государства поправить пришедшие в упадок дела Африканской компании.
У Рауле, бывшего некогда очень богатым (так писал о нём в своих «Странствиях по марке Бранденбург» Теодор Фонтане), не было денег, чтобы снять себе квартиру в городе, и ему пришлось поселиться на старом трёхмачтовом паруснике, на котором он — зимой и летом — прожил 40 месяцев, пока тот не дал течь. Лишь в конце 1705 года король разрешил Рауле, уже тогда ставшему вдовцом, перебраться в Гамбург, где тот и скончался 17 мая 1707 года. Всё его имущество, оказавшееся намного меньшим, чем предполагалось — 10 тысяч талеров наличными, ещё 26 тысяч в акциях, а также дом во Фридрихсвердере и множество непогашенных долгов — отошло в пользу короля.
Судьба Африканской компании и военно-морского флота Бранденбурга-Пруссии, некогда вызванных к жизни Рауле, оказалась такой же незавидной: без организаторского таланта энергичного голландца и необходимой поддержки короля они быстро пришли в полное запустение. В течение следующих десяти лет Пруссия потеряла все свои колонии, компания была распущена, а весь флот, уже к 1700 году сократившийся более чем на две трети, практически перестал существовать. Правители Пруссии хотели видеть её сугубо континентальной державой, и лишь к концу XIX века в Германии вновь возродился интерес к морским делам и колониальной политике — спустя два столетия после первой попытки, предпринятой когда-то Беньямином Рауле.
Память, мнения и оценки
Уже в 1675 году посланники в Гааге обвиняли Рауле в том, что при составлении смет расходов он вносил на треть завышенные цены, нанимал больше моряков, чем необходимо, а затем отпускал их и наживался на этом. Первая проверка его счетов состоялась по инициативе самого Рауле, который попросил сделать это адмирала Корнелиса Тромпа, и не выявила никаких нарушений. Кроме того, Рауле подозревался в присваивании себе большей доли приза, чем полагалось ему по договорам аренды его судов, заключавшимся с Фридрихом Вильгельмом, однако и здесь организованная для расследования комиссия не нашла ничего предосудительного. Показателен случай с захватом бранденбургской флотилией испанского корабля «Карл II», от продажи груза которого удалось выручить лишь 100 тысяч талеров, хотя на борту должно было находиться товаров на сумму в три раза больше; в утаивании остального был сразу обвинён Рауле, однако, по всей вероятности, здесь «постарался» сам экипаж флотилии.
Даже коммерческие предложения курфюрсту, вносимые Рауле (в том числе по организации торговли в Африке), его недоброжелатели объясняли лишь его страхом по окончании войны со Швецией перестать быть для Фридриха Вильгельма таким же незаменимым как и прежде. На заявления же, что военно-морской флот не принёс Бранденбургу ничего, кроме убытков во многие сотни тысяч талеров, Рауле отвечал, что нельзя сразу требовать фруктов от недавно посаженного дерева. Позднее была распространена оценка Рауле как авантюриста, которому было нечего терять и который использовал всякую возможность для получения прибыли, в чём и заключался секрет его необходимости для курфюрста, однако подобное мнение могло сложиться у авторов, не имевших доступа к необходимым историческим документам.
В наше время, кроме опубликованной в 1680 году книги «Дедукция О новой адмиралтейской и коммерческой коллегии» (), автором которой он являлся, уже мало что напоминает о жизни Рауле. Строения так называемого «Двора Рауле» во Фридрихсвердере, где он некогда жил, были снесены в 1930-е годы, уступив место зданию рейхсбанка (теперь там размещается министерство иностранных дел Германии). Один из кораблей сопровождения, названный в его честь, затонул во время второй мировой войны в Ла-Манше, второй — эскортный миноносец, переименованный в «Рауле» в 1959 году — прослужил девять лет в качестве тренировочного судна бундесмарине, после чего был распилен на металлолом. Не дошло до наших дней и ни одного изображения или описания внешности Рауле, а его бюст, выполненный в 1910 году по заказу германского императора Вильгельма II графом фон Гёрцем (), является лишь результатом художественного видения скульптора.
Литература
Примечания
Предприниматели Германии
Персоналии:Бранденбург | {
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This entry was posted in Bronx, bronx new york, fashion photography, Photography and tagged African American women, African-American, Bronx, clothing, color coordination, Harriet, Red, Tremont Avenue. Bookmark the permalink.
Great shot. That red door sets of the pic so well. | {
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The RMG self tensioning drums allow for the elimination of tensioning devices in the sheeting system such as shock cord, rubber band material, hat elastic, springs etc. The spring loaded return spool in these drums takes up any slack and maintains a positive tension in the sheeting system.
32 mm and 42 mm ST Drums are available in Left and Right hand versions. If the winch drum turns clockwise (viewed from top of drum) to sheet OUT, the Right hand ST drum should be used. When the winch turns anticlockwise to sheet OUT the Left hand ST drums is used.
The 45zs4st and 55zs4st are right hand only.
Above is an example layout for a right hand self tensioning drum. Note that the load bearing line (pink) comes from the bottom spool and the return line (light blue) goes back to the top spool. This is essential for any ST drum.
The 32stR/L and 42stR/L only have a small difference in travel between the fixed spool and the return spool so the majority of the spring travel can be used to generate tension. Ensure that there is always at least a small amount of travel left in the spring at any position from full in to full out.
For the 45zs4st there is a difference of about 3/4 of a turn and for the and 55zs4st there is about 1 turn difference between the travel of the spiral and the return spool. The point of maximum differential occurs about 100 mm travel distance out from the spiral fully loaded (close hauled) position. So when the drum is at close hauled or at full out, the return spool should have about one full turn left in the spring. If less than 3/4 for 45zs4st or 1 turn for 55zs4st is left in the spring, then the spring will bind and damage is possible.
• The fixed (bottom) spool must be used to pull the sails in.
• The return (top) spool must not be used to pull the sails in.
• The correct direction of travel must be used. If the sheeting layout requires that the drum should rotate clockwise when sheeting out then a right hand drum must be used. And vice versa. Note that spiral st drums are right hand only.
• The supplied retaining washer or a drum thumb screw (available from RMG Sailwinch) must be used to retain the drum on the winch shaft.
• Recommended maximum line size is 36kg (80lb) Spektra.
• Spool type st drums (32 & 42mm) should have about 1/4 turn free travel left in the return spool in all travel positions.
• Spiral type st drums (45 & 55mm) should have about 1 full turn of return spool travel left when at close hauled.
• At least 1 complete turn of line should remain on each spool at any time.
• When deck mounted and if sailing in salt water, rinse the drum out with fresh water at the end of the day to prevent salt crystallization. This is the best lubrication for these drums.
The spring must not become bound at any position in the normal travel of the system. There must always be some spring travel remaining.
The fixed (bottom) spool must be used to pull the sails in.
The return (top) spool must not be used to pull the sails in.
The correct direction of travel must be used (see Drum Direction above).
The supplied retaining washer or a drum thumb screw must be used to retain the drum on the winch shaft.
Recommended maximum line size is 36kg (80lb) Spektra.
Spool type st drums (32 & 42mm) should have about 1/4 turn free travel left in the return spool in all travel positions.
Spiral type st drums (45 & 55mm) should have about 1 full turn of return spool travel left when at close hauled.
At least 1 complete turn of line should remain on each spool at any time.
When deck mounted and if sailing in salt water, rinse the drum out with fresh water at the end of the day to prevent salt crystallization. This is the best lubrication for these drums.
RK2-R11 B Rig Kit IOM, Standard with SAILSetc Round 11mm Mast. | {
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Load up your Netflix list and get ready for a trip around the world with a cascade of visually lavish food-related movies guaranteed to stimulate your taste buds and warm your heart! For of course though each of these movies is centered around cooking, the food serves as a medium to tell the stories of families, relationships, and life experiences.
Here are my top faves!
A mixture of documentaries, comedies and dramas, for your viewing pleasure. Film is a glorious medium for food! And food is a magical, masterful medium for story.
1. Jiro Dreams of Sushi (2011) - A critically acclaimed documentary about the eldest son living up to his father's legacy. You're riveted to the screen! From director David Gelb, creator of the hit Netflix series "Chef's Table" (see below).
2. Big Night (1996) - I have watched this movie more than any other! It was released when I was transitioning back from my year's sabbatical in Italy and about to start culinary school, and it has stuck with me as a very special memory of that time.
The story features immigrant brothers, chef (Tony Shalhoub) and businessman (Stanley Tucci), who open their dream restaurant called Paradise in New Jersey. They struggle to attract local diners accustomed to spaghetti and meatballs to their authentic Italian menus, and put their all into cooking a feast for one big night likely to decide the fate of their restaurant.
The showstopper on the menu is a timpano ("drum" in Italian), a huge torte with layers and layers of pasta, cheeses, sauces, meats and all manner of things. It takes about a day and a half to make. My friend and I decided to do it for New Year's Eve that year. When we took it out of the oven it was so spectacularly perfect that neither of us wanted to cut it! We asked a surgeon who was at the party to do the honors.
The cast is stellar, btw, with Stanley Tucci not only starring, but writing and co-directing, and including Isabella Rossellini, Minnie Driver, Allison Janney, Marc Anthony, Ian Holm and Liev Schreiber.
I have to watch this again!
3. Babette's Feast (1987) - Based on the story by Isak Dinesen, Babette's Feast was the first Danish film to win the Oscar for Best Foreign Language. Starring the gorgeous French actress Stėphane Audran, it's one of my all-time favorites.
In the late 19th century, a strict religious community in a Danish village takes in Babette, a French refugee from the Franco-Prussian War as a servant to the late pastor's daughters. A truly accomplished chef, she cooks the bland food the daughters are accustomed to for 14 years, until one day she wins 10,000 francs in a lottery and offers to cook "a real French dinner," a lavish banquet, to tempt the family's austere, dwindling congregation to indulge in the fleshly pleasures of food and wines. Unbeknownst to her dinner guests, Babette spends every penny she won on the luxurious, once-in-a-lifetime feast. A delicious fable for culinary France.
4. Like Water for Chocolate (1992) - This Mexican film in the style of magical realism is based on the best-selling novel by Laura Esquivel. A fable of forbidden love, the movie is about the beautiful Tita, the youngest of three daughters, who's required to remain single and care for her mother until she dies. Pedro, her true love, marries her older sister Rosaura, so at least he can be near Tita. Tita is devastated and channels all her emotions into her exquisite cooking, in this seductive, mystical tale.
5. Mostly Martha (2001) - A German romantic comedy written and directed by Sandra Nettelbeck about a beautiful, workaholic head chef. Martha is forced to adjust to major changes in her personal and professional life when her 8-year old niece comes to live with her and a lively Italian chef joins the kitchen staff and intrudes on her monotonous routines. Ah! Maybe now life can happen to the talented but uptight Martha.
6. Eat Drink Man Woman (1994) - A Taiwanese film directed by Ang Lee, the first of his films to be a critical and box office success. Set in Taipei, the film features a widower who is a master Chinese chef with three, very modern, very challenging unmarried daughters. Elaborate, mandatory Sunday dinners become increasingly fraught, as the young women trying to make their way into futures of their own, while their father tries to keep them close.
7. Chef (2014) - An American comedy-drama written, produced, directed and starred in by Jon Favreau, Chef tells the story of a frustrated top chef who quits his job at a prestigious Los Angeles restaurant, buys and converts an old food truck, and drives it across the country to Miami, reconnecting to both his culinary creativity and his son. Food is the medium for this cinematic, witty, fun-filled road trip of a movie.
Don't pass go, don't collect $200… Watch immediately! Feel good fun.
8. Tortilla Soup (2001) - One of my husband's and my TOP food movie favorites! Starring the always magnetic Hėctor Elizondo, this American comedy-drama directed by Maria Ripoll is based on the Taiwanese Eat Drink Man Woman (see above); and though set in a Mexican-American family, the two films have many elements in common. The widower-chef fathers, who demand their three adult daughters be present for feasts every Sunday. The challenges of life, love, food and family. Tortilla Soup has an especially gorgeous cooking and music montage. A delight!
9. Spinning Plates (2012) - This move was a game-changer for me. Watching the intimate stories of people overcoming adversity through food and witnessing personal dramas that go well beyond the kitchen blew me away!
The website describes it as "...an award winning documentary about three extraordinary restaurants and the incredible people who bring them to life. A world-renowned chef competes for the ultimate restaurant prize in Chicago, while privately battling a life-threatening condition. A 150-year-old restaurant in Iowa is still standing only because of an unbreakable bond with the community. And a fledgling Mexican restaurant in Tucson struggles as its owners risk everything to survive and provide for their young daughter.
A riveting documentary about life, food and waste, Theater of Life tells the story of the Refettorio Ambrosiano, its chefs and the refugees and homeless it fed. A temporary soup kitchen conceived by renowned chef Massimo Bottura during the Milan 2015 World's Fair, Massimo invited 60 of the world's best chefs to join him to cook for refugees and the homeless of Milan. All meals were made from the waste food of the Expo.
Perfect if you're in the mood for a 40 minute bon bon.
1. Chef's Table - Meet culinary stars from around the world in the tintillating series. Season 4 coming April 13.
2. The Mind of a Chef - Producer and narrator Anthony Bourdain explores the creative processes of international celebrity chefs. 5 seasons.
What to eat while you watch?
Popcorn, of course! There's only 700 ways to season it, and we each tend to have our favorites.
I make mine with olive oil and season it with sea salt. A friend throws some rosemary in. Another uses Nori flakes. I love that! It adds a little salty/briney. Toast a sheet of nori really quickly just above the stove flame. Fold the toasted sheet into a fan, then cut it into little triangles. It's really pretty sprinkled on the popcorn! You may prefer a little cinnamon with butter or ghee, if you're a kettle corn type.
ALL THESE MOVIES ARE ABOUT FAMILY AND FOOD, THE GLUE THAT BRINGS PEOPLE TOGETHER. iT DOESN'T MATTER IF IT'S GERMAN, JAPANESE, DANISH, OR SPANISH BEING SPOKEN—FOOD IS THE UNIVERSAL LANGUAGE, AND WE'RE TRANSFIXED! | {
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The children of a deported Owensboro man must immigrate to Mexico or enter foster care
Jessie Higgins
OWENSBORO, Ky. – After their father was deported in late November, four Owensboro children must immigrate to Mexico or enter foster care.
"I want us to go to Mexico, to be with our dad," Cecily Cuahua, 10, said from her aunt's living room in early December. Cecily's three younger siblings quickly nodded in agreement.
But sending the children to Mexico is no easy feat. They are American citizens. Their father, Antonio Cuahua, 35, was their sole caregiver, and without him here to apply and pay for their immigration documents, the children's relatives are scrambling.
"It's a big mess," said Jacqueline Lynn Linares, who is the children's aunt and temporary legal guardian. "If we can't come up with the money, these kids are going to end up in foster care. We can't support them. Frankly, we aren't going to be able to carry on much longer."
More:Donations pour in to send deported man's children to Mexico
Update: Amid laughter and tears, the children of deported Owensboro man arrive in Mexico
Update:Children of deported Owensboro man experience new life in rural Mexico
Across the room, Cecily pulled her knees to her chest and tugged at her pigtails.
The children's ordeal began the morning of Sept. 29. Antonio was taking them to their babysitter when U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers stopped his car.
More:ICE arrest 5 in Owensboro
Antonio panicked.
"He was crying and saying 'They're going to send me back to Mexico,'" Antonio's son, Anthony Cuahua, 8, said.
As they watched an officer handcuff their father, the children sobbed and asked where they were taking him. An ICE officer told them their dad just had some paperwork to fill out – he would not be deported.
"They lied to us," Anthony said, clenching his fists.
Antonio hired an immigration lawyer who argued that because he was the sole provider for his children, he should be allowed to stay.
The argument went nowhere.
Antonio had seven misdemeanor criminal convictions in Kentucky, including driving under the influence and two domestic violence convictions, according to ICE. He was also asked to leave the country once before. In 2003, ICE officers caught him illegally entering the U.S. At that time, he was granted a voluntary return to Mexico, which he violated.
"They had the right to send me back," Antonio said recently in a phone interview with the Courier & Press from Mexico. "But they didn't have the right to separate my kids from me. I asked them to give me some time so I can take my kids with me. They told me, 'You should have thought about that before you came here.'"
Immigration lawyers say this situation is common.
Many immigrants who are staying in the U.S. illegally have children born in the U.S., giving the children automatic American citizenship.
"It happens all the time that kids are left behind when their parents are deported," said Megan Alvarez, an immigration lawyer in Evansville. "It's always really complicated."
Antonio came to the U.S. when he was 16, looking for work. As a teenager, he worked on tobacco farms in Kentucky, and then at restaurants, before finding more stable employment as a construction worker.
He was "a bit wild" when he was young, said Linares, who has known him since he was a teenager. But after his first daughter was born, he settled down, she said.
Cecily's mother left Cecily with Antonio when she was 2 months old and hasn't been a part of her life since, Linares said. Antonio had sole custody of his other three kids for five years, she said.
His life revolved around his children, Linares said. He braided his daughters' hair in the morning and cooked them dinner at night. On the weekends, he took them to the park to ride bikes.
"Our daddy buys us drinks when we go to the park," Marrissiah Cuahua, 6, said with a grin.
The children are having a hard time without Antonio, Linares said. The youngest two cry at night and ask for him. Anthony, the oldest son, acts out at school.
"They always just say, 'I want to go to my daddy. I want to go to my daddy,'" Linares said.
A judge recently granted Linares permission to send the children to Mexico, she said. But that is just the start of the immigration process. They need copies of the kids' birth certificates, then passports and documents that will enable them to apply for Mexican citizenship. Linares estimates she'll need $1,500 to pay for it all. The Mexican Consulate in Indianapolis will pay for plane tickets, she said.
Linares is a single mother raising three kids in a two bedroom house.
"We struggle on our own," she said. "And now having to come up with the money to take them to their father, it is a financial burden on us."
Linares plans to ask her church for help, and she's set up a Go Fund Me page.
Antonio is staying with relatives in Veracruz, Mexico. He already owns a house there, which he bought years ago in hopes of one day moving back. He plans to move his children into his house and enroll them in school.
The kids want to be with their father, but Linares said they don't fully understand what is happening.
None of them speak Spanish, and they know little about Mexican culture.
"You're taking kids who are American and sending them there," Linares said. "It's going to be a shocker for them."
When Linares said this, Anthony quickly sat up.
"No, I know what Mexico is like," he said. "I saw it in a movie, I saw it in 'Beverly Hills Chihuahua.'"
Linares smiled at Anthony, as the room fell silent.
Regardless of the culture shock, the family agrees, the children should be with their father.
"They're my kids, it's my job to take care of them," Antonio said, clearly crying. "I miss them; I miss them every day. I just want my kids with me."
Related:Evansville DACA recipient fears deportation
Related:Without DACA, Evansville immigrant family fears deportation | {
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Home/Biographies & Lives of the Saints/December & Appendices Butler's ORIGINAL Lives - Vol. 7
December & Appendices Butler's ORIGINAL Lives - Vol. 7
CODE: 6-Butler*
Butler's Original Lives - Vol. 7 - December & Appendices - HC - 632 pages
A great man once said that "History is the laboratory of Wisdom." And where do we find the best history? It is found in the lives of the saints, for it is through their lives on earth, lived within the union of Christ's mystical body, the Catholic Church, that we see the only history that truly matters for all eternity.
This spectacular history by Fr. Alban Butler, The Lives of the Saints, presents to the reader the life story of over 1600 saints and their times. In the original introduction we find this bold statement:
"It is on this account we have ventured to designate The Lives of the Saints an historical supplement to the
Old and New Testaments. We think this work deserves to be so considered, on account of the close resemblance it bears to the historical portions of holy writ. Let the divine economy, in this respect, be for a moment the subject of
the reader's consideration."
Loreto Publications has here reproduced the finest original edition of the text from the early 19th century with no modernization, alterations, deletions, or additions to the product of Father Butler.
Father Alban Butler was born in 1710, at Appletree, Northamptonshire, the second son of Simon Butler, Esq. Orphaned at the age of eight, he was sent to be educated at the English College, Douay, in France. In 1735, Butler was ordained a priest. At Douay, he was appointed professor of philosophy, and later professor of theology. It was at Douay, he began his principal work The Lives of the Fathers, Martyrs and Other Principal Saints. He also prepared material for Richard Challoner's Memoirs of Missionary Priests, a work on the martyrs of the reign of Elizabeth. He labored for some time as a missionary priest in Staffordshire, and was finally appointed president of the English seminary at Saint Omer in France, where he remained till his death in 1773.
St. Bibiana
St. Birinus
St. Sola
St. Lucius
St. Peter Chrysologus
St. Anno
St. Osmund
St. Maruthas
St. Siran
St. Clement of Alexandria
St. Sabas
St. Crispina
St. Nicetius
Sts. Dionysia, Datiya, Aemilianus, Boniface, Leontia, Tertius, and Majoricus
St. Peter Paschal
St. Theophilus
St. Fara
St. Romaric
St. Leocadia
The Seven Martyrs at Samosata
St. Wulfhilde
St. Melchiades
St. Eulalia
St. Damasus
Sts. Fuscian, Victorious, and Gentian
St. Daniel, the Stylite
Sts. Epimachus and Alexander, etc
St. Finian
St. Columba
St. Eadburge
St. Valery
St. Corentin
St. Jodoc
St. Kenelm
St. Aubert
Bishop John Marinoni
St. Othilia
St. Spiridon
Sts. Nicasius and His Companions
St. Eusebius
St. Ado
St. Alice
St. Olympias
St. Begga
Sts. Rufus and Zozimus
St. Gatian
St. Winebald
St. Nemesion and Others
St. Samthana
St. Philogonius
St. Paul of Latrus
St. Thomas, Apostle
St. Edburge
St. Ischyrion
Sts. Cyril and Methodius
St. Servulus
Ten Martyrs of Crete
St. Victoria
Sts. Thrasilla and Emiliana
St. Gregory of Spoleto
The Nativity of Christ
St. Anastasia
St. Eugenia
St. Stephen, Protomartyr
St. Dionysius
St. Jarlath
St. John the Evangelist
St. Theodorus Grapt
The Holy Innocents
St. Theodorus
St. Thomas à Becket
St. Marcellus
St. Evroul
St. Sabinus and His Companions
St. Anysia
St. Maximus
St. Sylvester
St. Melania the Younger
An Irish Calendar
Select Articles of Doctrine and Discipline
Index of Saints by Feast Day
Centenary Table of the Father, Martyrs, Saints, etc.
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future on the prevention of an arms race in outer space.
But hours after Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced the test in a public address, the ruling BJP framed the move as "preparedness" for "tomorrow's wars" — and a "deterrent".
"We should remember tomorrow's wars will not be the same as yesterday's wars. Conventional army, navy, cyber, space… we have to prepare for all these. We are in such a geopolitical situation in the world, where our preparedness is our deterrent and… our biggest security," Finance Minister Arun Jaitley told reporters at the party's headquarters.
"It's in the nation's interest that we are prepared for it," he said at a press conference that was also attended by Defence Minister Nirmala Sitharaman.
"India is a space power, now we have the power to destroy also. But India is a peaceful and peace-loving country, so it's not for attacking, it's for our security and a deterrent for our security," Jaitley said, while drawing a comparison with the "no-first-use-credible-nuclear-deterrence".
Sources, meanwhile, told The Indian Express that unlike India's nuclear programme, which was "shackled" by the NPT (Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons), it will be part of the global high table of space powers when it comes to framing a global regime.
"This shows that we have learnt from our past experience of not being part of the exclusive club," sources said. In the nuclear programme, all the countries that tested a nuclear device before January 1, 1967 — the US, Russia, the UK, France, and China — were at an advantage. India conducted its first nuclear tests in 1974.
Since the second round of its nuclear tests in 1998, India has been lobbying for inclusion in the elite nuclear club, but membership in the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) remains elusive with China blocking the move.
"India expects to play a role in the future in the drafting of international law on prevention of an arms race in outer space including… on the prevention of placement of weapons in outer space in its capacity as a major space faring-nation with proven space technology," the Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) said.
The MEA pointed out that the principal international treaty on space is the 1967 Outer Space Treaty, to which India is a signatory. It prohibits weapons of mass destruction in outer space. "India is not in violation of any international law or treaty to which it is a party or any national obligation," it said.
With the successful test, India has technically achieved the capability to attack enemy satellites — blinding them or disrupting communications — as well as a technology base for intercepting ballistic missiles.
China conducted such a test in January 2007 when its anti-satellite missile destroyed an old weather satellite. But that test triggered criticism for creating the largest orbital debris cloud in history.
Pakistan, which has several satellites in orbit that were launched using Chinese and Russian rockets, said it was against militarisation of outer space. "Space is the common heritage of mankind and every nation has the responsibility to avoid actions which can lead to the militarisation of this arena," Pakistan's foreign ministry spokesperson Mohammad Faisal said.
He said that Pakistan was a "strong proponent of the United Nations resolution on Prevention of Arms Race in Outer Space" and, taking a dig at India, said that "boasting of such capabilities is reminiscent of Don Quixote's tilting against windmills".
In Delhi, the MEA was clear that the "test is not directed against any country". "India's space capabilities do not threaten any country and nor are they directed against anyone. At the same time, the government is committed to ensuring the country's national security interests and is alert to threats from emerging technologies," it said. | {
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Do you need community service hours? Or maybe you are just a good person looking to give back to the community. Either way the Sephardic Community Center can always use a little extra help. Feel free to fill out the volunteer application and we will contact you as soon as possible about an opportunity.
Let us know which programs you'd be interested in volunteering with. Select as many as you'd like. | {
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Children with this condition have loose joints. Movement at their joints is excessive (beyond the normal range). Over 10% of children have this condition.
The ligaments that hold the joints together are loose or lax. Genetic differences in the elastic (collagen) tissue found in ligaments is the underlying cause. Loose-jointed findings commonly are present in other family members.
Usually there are no symptoms. Joint pains may follow vigorous activities, but the pain is usually mild and transient. Injuries during sports are slightly increased. They usually involve overstretching the loose ligaments around a joint (for example, a sprained ankle). With severe loose joints, recurrent dislocations can be a problem.
Usually no treatment is necessary. Pain medicines (Tylenol or ibuprofen) can be taken for occasional joint pains. There is no medical or surgical treatment that will tighten up the joints. Teenagers involved in competitive sports can stabilize their joints by strength training to increase the muscle mass that surrounds the joints. A physiotherapist can help design an conditioning program. Most importantly, your child should not be restricted from participation in any activities.
Overall this normal variation in the looseness of joints persists throughout life. After puberty, it tends to improve in many people. | {
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A carefully blended mix of RSPB seeds to benefit a wide range of beneficial insects and pollinators. They are easy to grow and will look beautiful in your garden, whilst creating a valuable resource and habitat. Includes 20g of seeds, which provides coverage of up to 10-20 square metres. Plant Class: Half Hardy Annual (HHA), Hardy Annual (HA), Hardy Perennial (HP). Mr Fothergill's have pledged to donate 10% of sales to RSPB.
The Mr Fothergill's RSPB Seed Mix - Flowers for Pollinators and Beneficial Insects product ethics are indicated below. To learn more about these product ethics and to see related products, follow the links below.
There are currently no questions to display about Mr Fothergill's RSPB Seed Mix - Flowers for Pollinators and Beneficial Insects. | {
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Audiovox new Universal mount system offers you docking and charging capabilities for your tablets. The Universal tablet holder has an adjustable clamp mechanism that safely and securely locks your tablet into position. The tablet holder then attaches to a universal low profile seat back docking station.
Nice and sturdy bracket. Works great!
So I actually got model IPDUNV, which is the same thing without the headphones. This unit is sturdy enough for the dirt road that I live on, not to mention all the other things it can do. Would recommend this docking station. | {
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Belle Heth Elementary School is a public school that offers education to students in grades four through six. Its academic curriculum includes reading, mathematics, science and social studies. The school also offers classes in arts, music and physical education. Additionally, it provides a variety of extracurricular programs that include book fairs, field trips and spelling competitions. The school has a parent-teacher association that organizes various fundraising programs. Its Web site provides information on school hours and food services. Belle Heth Elementary School has an enrollment of more than 300 students and is a part of Radford City Schools. The school is located in Radford, Va. | {
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I have an operational rule that I use in my own life. "Often wrong, but never in doubt." I don't mean that as a joke. In order to accomplish anything, you have to execute with confidence and certainty. On the other hand, you have to recognize that you will often be wrong. That means you must be willing to change. I know it is a paradox in theory, but it works in practice. | {
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https://www.ctpost.com/sports/article/Chris-Elsberry-Stags-coach-says-his-team-is-4244460.php
Chris Elsberry: Stags coach says his team is 'meant to help others'
Published 2:54 pm EST, Tuesday, February 5, 2013
Fairfield University's Derek Needham goes up for a shot in a men's basketball game against Drexel University played at the Webster Bank Arena, Bridgeport, CT on Sunday December 16th, 2012.
Photo: Mark Conrad
BRIDGEPORT -- Out on the basketball court at the Cardinal Shehan Center, Derek Needham was engaged in a little game of basketball keep-away with 12-year-old John Delgado, dribbling behind his back, through his legs, anywhere and everywhere as Delgado worked to try to take the ball away.
Just a few feet away, Desmond Wade was playing a pretty intense game of one-on-one with 9-year-old Ky'jahn Smith. Smith at one point forced Wade to take off his jacket, driving past Wade's less-than-stellar defensive effort for a layup.
"He's making me work," Wade said, smiling.
Downstairs, Maurice Barrow and Colin Nickerson were playing pool with a couple of young kids while the rest of the Fairfield Stags men's basketball team participated in a quickly put-together lay-up line drill with dozens of kids, both boys and girls.
Yes, a good time was had by all.
One thing that Stags coach Sydney Johnson has had planned since the day he arrived at Fairfield was to get his players more involved in the community. And while his first season was spent establishing routines and getting comfortable, Johnson felt it was now time to start planning trips to visit the various youth centers throughout the area.
First stop, the Shehan Center.
"I used to do this at Princeton," Johnson said. "It's a big part of how I want these guys to grow up and give back to the world. When we were at Princeton, we did it, when I was an assistant at Georgetown under John Thompson III, he was getting the guys out into the community. So doing these things was just something that was natural to me."
For a couple of hours, the Stags came to the Shehan Center and played with the 100 or so kids that are part of the Center's after-school program. Some played pick-up basketball, others simply hung out with the kids. And to hear the shouts of fun and see the smiles on the faces of the kids, it was evident that everyone was having a blast.
And for some of the Fairfield players, it brought back memories of when they were kids.
"I played at the Dolton (Ill.) Rec Center," said Needham, a senior guard. "I'd always go there after school to play basketball. All the older kids would come in, the high school and college kids. This is fun for me. This is like reliving my childhood."
"For me," Wade said, "it was the Linden (N.J.) Rec Center and also the Linden PAL. That's where I played my childhood basketball. I was 6, 7, the same age as these kids. I used to do these same things, take on the bigger kids, and it just inspired me to want to play basketball. I really wanted to come out and play with the kids in Bridgeport to show them that they can be just like us, get a scholarship to college, like us. All you have to do is stay in school, work hard and be positive."
Nickerson said he first starting honing his basketball skills at his local YMCA, outside of Waukegan, Ill.
"It was a Boys and Girls Club. It was a place where all the kids could come and play basketball and have fun," Nickerson said. "My parents were working, so it was great for me. I was young, probably fourth grade when I first started going there. It was a lot of fun."
And it undoubtedly helped mold Needham, Wade and Nickerson and keep them on the right path. That was another reason Johnson wants to start getting his team out into the community. He knows that there are kids out there who need additional guidance and mentorship, and he wants his team to "pay it forward," as it were, and pass along their experiences to the kids throughout the area.
"When I was little, I always came to these places and looked up at the college kids ... I knew they were going in the right direction and I wanted to pick their brains as much as possible to see what they were doing," Johnson said.
Now, it's time to pass those life lessons along.
"We have our fair share of kids (at Fairfield) that came from environments where they might have needed some help from the community around them, as much as their mom and dad," Johnson said. "It's something that I believe in and so does Fairfield University, it's a Jesuit university, and we understand that we're meant to help others. This fits perfectly in line with that."
[email protected]; http://Twitter@elsctpost | {
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The Library of Congress > Researchers > Search Finding Aids > Alexander Hamilton Stephens papers, 1784-1886
Alexander Hamilton Stephens papers, 1784-1886
ID No.
MSS41335
Stephens, Alexander Hamilton, 1812-1883
116 containers
29 linear feet
57 microfilm reels
Manuscript Division, Library of Congress, Washington, D.C.
Cite or bookmark this finding aid as: https://hdl.loc.gov/loc.mss/eadmss.ms010138
LC Catalog record: https://lccn.loc.gov/mm78041335
Lawyer, journalist, governor of Georgia, member of both houses of Congress, and vice president of the Confederate States of America. Correspondence, telegrams, memoranda, legal documents, clippings, and an autobiography and journal reflecting Stephens's career in government and politics.
The papers of Alexander Hamilton Stephens are available on the Library of Congress Web site at https://hdl.loc.gov/loc.mss/collmss.ms000028. | {
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Sometimes items on the floor are unable to be picked up.
Status message in lower left says that item is added to inventory but does not get picked up.
Unsure why it happens and cannot ascertain which items can or cannot be picked up not limited to any 1 particular type of item.
Sometimes this include items you have dropped. Other players sometimes can pick them up and sometimes they cannot either.
627 is my 1st post this has more info. cannot delete previous issue and I am tired and did not realise I had already reported this bug. | {
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It is our responsibility to meet your needs and efficiently serve you. Your satisfaction is our best reward. We are looking forward to your visit for joint growth for Hayfield Yarn , hayfield yarn , hayfield bonus dk yarn , please do not be reluctant to call us. All inquiries from you may be highly appreciated.
We now have a expert, performance staff to deliver high quality provider for our customer. We usually follow the tenet of customer-oriented, details-focused for Hayfield Yarn , hayfield yarn , hayfield bonus dk yarn , We'd like to invite customers from abroad to discuss business with us. We can offer our clients with high quality goods and excellent service. We are sure that we are going to have good cooperative relationships and make a brilliant future for both parties. | {
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Q: How to replace .click with auto function This function will replace parent .wmessage div css with .v-boxinner div css.
The problem now is that this function start on click. What I need is to replace click function with avto start.
$(".wmessage").parent().click(function(){
var array = ['width'];
var $this = $(this);
$.each( array , function(item, value) {
$(".v-boxinner").css(value, $this.css(value));
});
});
This is what I was looking for:
$(document).ready(function(){
var properties = ["width"];
var src = $(".wmessage").parent();
$.each( properties , function(item, value) {
$(".v-boxinner").css(value, src.css(value));
});
});
Thank you @BeNdErR
A: If you want to run the function automatically when the page loads you have to call it once the document is ready:
$(document).ready(function(){
//--- do what you need here
});
Here's an example, edit it to suit your needs
$(document).ready(function(){
var properties = ["background", "width"];
var src = $("#copyme");
$.each( properties , function(item, value) {
$("#target").css(value, src.css(value));
});
});
fiddle here: http://jsfiddle.net/s00kpL1b/
A: Not sure if autostart means when someone starts changing the message or when the page loads. If first option:
$(".wmessage").parent().change(function(){
var array = ['width'];
var $this = $(this);
$.each( array , function(item, value) {
$(".v-boxinner").css(value, $this.css(value));
});
});
A: maybe you need a self-executing function
(function YourFunctionName(){
//do something
})();
or anonymous
(function(){
//do something
})();
this function will run automatically
| {
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Here's a definite must-read: in its latest issue, Bright Lights Film Journal features André Bazin's essay "Fifteen Years of French Cinema," in its first-ever English translation (by Bert Cardullo). Originally delivered as a lecture in 1957, and later published in the 1983 book Le cinéma français de la liberation à la nouvelle vague, this is an all-encompassing, in-depth look at the major French filmmakers working between 1942 and 1957, the years during and after the occupation, and up through the "sea change" signaled by newcomers Godard, Truffaut, et al. Although the author himself modestly calls it a "rather incomplete survey," it is in fact packed with insights about auteurs as varied (and in some cases unheralded) as Jacques Becker, André Cayatte, Julien Duvivier, and Max Ophuls, while saving special regard for the "two most original and therefore unclassifiable talents of postwar French cinema," Jacques Tati and Robert Bresson. | {
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Neuroendocrine Tumours (NETs) are a complex group of tumours that develop predominantly in the digestive or respiratory tracts, but can occur in other areas of the body. Often, the disease grows slowly and quietly and by the time it is diagnosed, the patient is already at an advanced stage of the cancer.
However, many patients do show one or more vague symptoms which can be mistaken for common conditions such as Irritable Bowel Syndrome (IBS), Crohn's disease, peptic ulcer disease, gastritis, asthma, menopause, blood glucose and blood pressure problems. The most common symptoms are diarrhoea, flushing, cramps, wheezing, low blood sugar (hypoglycaemia), changes in blood pressure and heart problems. These symptoms can be collectively known as Syndromes and there are a few associated with NETs. The syndromes are mainly caused by the excess secretion of a number of hormones which will vary by location and type of NET involved.
Some NETs are non-functional (asymptomatic) which can often lead to discovery at an even more advanced stage. It's an uncommon and complex disease and can be a challenge to diagnose even for an experienced physician. This is one reason why awareness is really important – not just within the general population but perhaps even more importantly within the medical community. After diagnosis, many patients will end up with significant quality of life issues even after initial treatment due to the effects of the various syndromes and the side effects or consequences of treatments.
Like many other cancers, NETs has a day in the year where the community comes together and spreads as much publicity and awareness as possible – that day is November 10th or NET CANCER DAY. However, to me, it's not only special in the sense of spreading awareness but it also has very personal memories of the major surgery I had in 2010 shortly after my diagnosis.
As a NET Patient and a campaigner, clearly NET Cancer Day is special to me. Awareness of NETs is an extremely important issue to me given the diagnostic challenges outlined above. It's actually one of the main reasons I set up my own campaigns using my blog and then later with my Twitter accounts and Facebook page. However, I extend my awareness campaigns beyond diagnosis as living with the disease also has significant and perhaps greater challenges. Not a day goes by when I will not have blogged, posted or tweeted something about NETs and it's no surprise that November tends to be my busiest month.
November 10th also has a very personal significance for me. It was on that day in 2010 that I gradually woke up after a marathon 9 hour surgery, the first of what was to be several visits to an operating theatre. The last thing I remember before the anaesthetic took hold were the voices of the surgical staff. When I woke up, I remember it being dark and I appeared to be constrained by the dozen or so support systems which were connected to my body. I tried to lift my arms but it seemed impossible. I then realised my wife Chris was holding my hand and that gave me a great deal of much-needed comfort and security. At the time, I had no idea this day was the annual day for my cancer but I certainly knew it was the beginning of a new chapter of my life. In those days, I was focussed on two things: to get my treatment done, dusted and out of the way; and trying to maintain some normality in my family and work life.
Some 6 years on, my major treatment is hopefully complete, although I still have monthly injections of somatostatin analogues. I guess I'm watching and waiting via regular surveillance for any recurrences or growth in my remnant tumours. Considering my cancer is incurable, I still have a relatively normal family life. That said, I eventually took early retirement from work to find the correct balance. However, that has given me the opportunity to start new projects. I now have time to blog, campaign and help others. Although November is a special period for awareness, I'm doing this throughout the year on an international basis using my blog, my Facebook page and my 'Every day is NET Cancer Day' campaign. I just go up a gear in November adding to the significant campaigns of other organisations with the culmination being November 10th – NET Cancer Day.
For me, November 10th is an extra special day for more than one reason. On this day in 2010, I realised I might just actually survive this cancer. You could say I woke up on NET Cancer Day.
Ronny Allan is a six year survivor of metastatic Neuroendocrine Cancer. He resides in Hampshire UK with his wife. He has a son and daughter and four grandsons. He enjoys family life and travel. Ronny blogs about cancer and his survivorship experience at his website https://ronnyallan.com/ He is also a strong advocate for Neuroendocrine Cancer awareness and his associated Facebook site has attracted 3500 followers. His blog has been featured by several organizations and he has recently been selected as a finalist in the WEGO 2016 Health Activist Awards in 2 categories of 'Blog' and 'Community'. | {
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intro to literature write for me a response of 250 words for the two links below
Read: Nakamura Lin's "The Sole Keeper" and Sparks' "Death and the People"
Write: An analytical response that examines how we as readers construct the "reality" of a story in our mind. Use these questions as a guide: What do we prioritize in the stories we read? What do we focus on? How do we get invested in a story? How do we get invested (especially) in stories that could not happen, such as those in sci-fi or fantasy? Do we easily accept presentations of reality that are not part of our worldly understanding? Why? How do we decipher the capital-T Truth hiding behind fiction, especially fantastical texts? Your response should be around 250 words.
https://superbpapers.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/splogo2.png 0 0 peter https://superbpapers.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/splogo2.png peter2022-11-19 03:44:112022-11-19 03:44:11intro to literature write for me a response of 250 words for the two links below
please do this project below as the instruction in the word doc explore the differences between the official form of government and the actual... | {
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Lower costs help Chrysler move closer to profitability
By: Associated Press January 31, 2011
DETROIT — Chrysler avoided collapse two years ago with the help of a government bailout. Now, lower costs and a fleet of new cars and trucks are moving it closer to profitability.
On Monday, the company posted a fourth-quarter net loss of $199 million, a vast improvement over the $2.7 billion loss a year earlier. Revenue rose 14 percent to $10.8 billion.
It also forecast a profit for 2011.
Chrysler Group LLC's fortunes began to improve in June when its refurbished Jeep Grand Cherokee SUV went on sale. It also has four other completely new models: the 300 big sedan, the Dodge Durango SUV, the Fiat 500 minicar and the Dodge Charger muscle car.
"It can safely be said that what Chrysler delivered last year, on both the product and financial fronts, surpassed many expectations," CEO Sergio Marchionne said Monday.
Karl Brauer, senior analyst for the Edmunds.com automotive website, said Chrysler's new or revamped models, most of which hit showrooms toward the end of the year, have given it momentum to turn a profit.
"They certainly have more and more going for them all the time," he said.
That's a big change from 2009, when the company was struggling to survive after years of pilling up debt and building cars no one wanted. The U.S. government gave Chrysler $12.5 billion to stay in business and make it through bankruptcy. In exchange, it took a 10 percent stake in the company and arranged for the chief executive of Fiat SpA, Marchionne, to try to turn around the Detroit company.
So far, the plan is working.
Along with improved fourth-quarter results, Chrysler narrowed its 2010 loss to $652 million, down from a staggering $8 billion loss in 2009.
And for 2011, it predicted a net profit of $200 million to $500 million. Chrysler must be profitable before it can sell stock to the public, something it hopes to do at the end of the year.
That sale is important because it will allow the U.S. government to sell its ownership stake in the company.
Chrysler also owes the government $5.8 billion, which the company hopes to repay over time.
With predictions of U.S. auto sales rebounding this year, Chrysler should be able to turn profits and pull off the sale, said Joe Phillippi, a former Wall Street analyst who now is president of New Jersey-based AutoTrends Consulting LLC.
Also helping are years of cost cuts. Since 2007, Chrysler has closed five factories and shed more than 35,000 workers.
The initial public stock sale, however, depends a lot on new compact and midsize cars designed jointly by Chrysler and Fiat, said Phillippi.
The company also announced Monday that all of its 53,000 workers will be eligible for bonuses this year, although it didn't say how much workers will get. Rival Ford Motor Co. said last week that it will pay $5,000 each to its 40,600 U.S. factory workers this year.
automaker chrysler Economy ford gm growth profit rebound Retail sales toyota 7:08 pm Mon, January 31, 2011 Maryland Daily Record
Tagged with: automaker chrysler Economy ford gm growth profit rebound Retail sales toyota | {
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Our favourite cat, Pink Panther, has made his way to the reels. Known for his chilled out, aristocratic vibes, our furry friend has the starring role in this 5 reel 40 payline progressive jackpot slot from Playtech. To be accurate, there are actually 2 jackpots to this slot. The game features the characters from original cartoon, with Pink Panther himself, Inspector Closeau and Little Man. On top of jackpot payouts, Pink Panther also sports a myriad of bonus features that will keep you more than amused.
As usual, before you begin spinning, start by setting your bet. Coin size starts at just £0.01, and then you can choose your Bet per Line, which ranges from 1 to 10. After that, choose the number the Lines you want to bet on, which goes from 1 to 40. This means minimum bet per spin is just £0.01, but if you want to increase your chances of winnings and triggering some of Pink Panther's amazing bonus features, we do recommend that you bet on more lines.
Once your bet is set, you can hit spin, or adjust your Auto Spin settings to sit back a bit.
There are 2 progressive jackpots to the Pink Panther slot: Major Pink and Minor Pink. As you'd rightly guess, the Major Pink is the bigger jackpot and usually pays out in the tens of thousands. Minor Pink can still land you a few grand. Both are located inside a jackpot game and in theory, any spin can get you into the game – even a non-winning one. However, Playtech does say that a higher bet will increase your odds of getting into the game.
Once you're in the game, you're guaranteed a win. You'll see 12 doors and if you open 5 doors with Pink Panther, then congratulations, the Major Pink jackpot is yours! If you get 4 doors with Inspector Closeau, you'll take away the Minor Pink. 3 doors with Little Man will get you a consolation prize.
Other than the progressive jackpots, Pink Panther has a bunch of bonus features that will tickle you pink. All of them are randomly triggered.
Pink Pow: This feature that can happen at any time in your base game. Pink Panther appears on the reels and will start blowing up between 2 to 6 symbols. The exploded symbols turn into Wilds, which can help you make more winning paylines.
Crack the Pink Code Bonus: You'll enter a bonus game with 10 safes. Pink Panther will start opening them to reveal prizes which include free games, multipliers, or an expanding wild on reel 3. If a safe reveals a dynamite, this game will end, but before you go back to your base game, you'll be awarded with 2 extra free games. Jackpot and bonus games, and the Pink Pow are not included in the free games, but no complaints!
The Color Pink Bonus: Little Man will paint numbers in blue, while Pink Panther will paint numbers in pink. Keep your fingers crossed for Pink Panther, because the sum of his pink numbers will be multiplied by your total bet to deliver a cash prize! If you think the numbers could be better, you have the option to Re-paint up to a total of 3 times.
Wheel of Pink Bonus: There's a wheel within a wheel, and Pink Panther will spin for you. The external wheel is all about cash prizes with multipliers to your total bet, while the internal reel has Respin and Collect. Obviously, collect will give you your prize, and then you will go back to the base game.
Pink Trail Bonus: Inspector Closeau will follow a random number of footsteps to look for the stolen diamond, and each footstep will reveal a prize that's multiplied by your bet. At the end of the trail, the Inspector will either collect (which will give you all your prizes and bring you back to your base game) or continue. If you make it to the end of 4 rounds and find the diamond, your overall prize will see an extra 2x multiplier.
Gamble: Last but not least, you have the option to gamble every win. You'll see 5 Pink Panther cards. The dealer will start by revealing the card on the left. You have to choose a card that will be higher than the dealer's to win. Every time you gamble, you have the option to choose from "Double" (doubles your win), "Gamble Half" (gambling with just half your win so you won't lose everything), or "Collect" (you collect your money and return to the base game).
The Pink Panther slot features the original characters from the cartoon, and the game is cleanly designed. Except for the Pink Pow, all the special features will open new game screens that break away from the reels. It's definitely visually pleasing, although we were a bit surprised that the music in the slot is rather generic and made us a bit nostalgic for the beloved da-dum da-dum Pink Panther soundtrack.
The ever so suave Pink Panther has many fans, Playtech has done an excellent job in turning this all-time favourite cartoon into a slot game. Not only is it visually well done, but there's also a generous stash of bonus games and 2 progressive jackpots attached. Take Pink Panther out for a spin at one of these top slot sites. | {
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Washington, DC: Tel: +1 (202) 465-4814
Bethesda, MD: Tel: +1 (202) 465-4814
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» News About the Firm » Children of ISIL terrorists likely held in "secret detention facilities", UN human rights office warns
Children of ISIL terrorists likely held in "secret detention facilities", UN human rights office warns
The UN office cited information suggesting that Kurdish authorities are responsible for holding youngsters over 12 years old in al-Hassakeh governorate, in the far north-east of the country.
"Reportedly, they are neither allowed to communicate with their families nor have the families been informed about their whereabouts or status", OHCHR Spokesperson Marta Hurtado said.
Children must be treated primarily as victims, not perpetrators – UNICEF
In Syria alone – highlighting families of extremists who came to be part of the now militarily defeated so-called Caliphate – the UN Children's Fund (UNICEF) estimates that there are close to 29,000 foreign children, most of them under the age of 12. Some 20,000 children are from Iraq, while more than 9,000 are from around 60 other countries.
Addressing the fate of thousands of vulnerable children of foreign fighters who are living in camps, detention centers and orphanages in Syria, Iraq and other places in the world, UNICEF's Executive Director, Henrietta Fore said on Tuesday they were being forced to live in generally "appalling conditions".
Underlining the "constant threats to their health, safety and well-being", she said they were being "doubly rejected – stigmatized by their communities and shunned by their governments".
In the statement, Ms. Fore also said the children faced "massive legal, logistical and political challenges in accessing basic services or returning to their countries of origin".
With an additional 1,000 children of foreign fighters believed to be in Iraq, Ms. Fore said that "all of them are victims of deeply tragic circumstances and egregious violations of their rights" and reiterated the importance of "treating and caring for them as children."
Syria's crowded al-Hol camp still hosting 70,000
In a related development, OHCHR also expressed concern about the fate of people in Syria's al-Hol camp – also in al-Hassakeh Governorate – who fled the last ISIL-held areas in the country as they were being reclaimed by Kurdish-led forces. Today, the camp hosts more than 70,000 people who face dire living conditions.
This includes some 2,500 children under 12 years old who were born to ISIL-affiliated fathers and have been allowed to stay with their mothers.
While the temporary restrictions of movement imposed on civilians at al-Hol and in other camps for internally-displaced people (IDPs) run by the Kurdish authorities may be part of a screening and vetting process, Ms. Hurtado said that OHCHR was concerned about the "lack of clarity regarding how long these restrictions will last".
Ceasefire in Syria's north-west fails to halt attacks
In north-west Syria, meanwhile, the UN official said that airstrikes and ground-based attacks continue to pound Idlib and Hama governorates, despite the announcement of a 72-hour ceasefire.
Since this latest military escalation started at the end of April, at least 105 civilians have been killed, and at least 200,000 people have fled the hostilities in southern Idlib and northern Hama, according to the UN office.
Both pro-Government forces and non-State armed groups have failed to respect international humanitarian law, Ms. Hurtado insisted.
From 8 to 16 May, "multiple attacks" by pro-Government forces claimed the lives of at least 56 civilians – including many women and children.
The assaults also caused severe damage to five schools and one hospital, according to OHCHR, while in the same period, attacks by non-State armed groups were reported, causing at least 17 civilian deaths, mainly women and children.
"Military objects have been placed in close proximity to civilians and civilian objects, resulting in civilian deaths and injuries, and causing significant damage to civilian infrastructure, such as hospitals, mosques, schools and markets," the UN human rights office said in a statement.
Non-State armed groups have launched ground-based attacks on areas under the control of Government forces, hitting residential neighbourhoods and refugee settlements in Hama governorate and Aleppo city, it said.
'Targeted killings' rights violations in south-west
In Syria's south-west, meanwhile, OHCHR's Ms. Hurtado expressed concern for reported "targeted killings" of people who have returned to areas retaken by Government forces last year.
Citing rights violations by State and non-State actors, she told journalists in Geneva that the abuse also included "arbitrary detentions, enforced disappearances, looting and seizure of property".
The development comes 10 months after so-called "reconciliation agreements" in Dar'a Governorate between the Government of Syria and some armed non-State groups. Under the deal, the Government re-established its civilian authority across the whole province, but some of the armed groups continued to retain effective military control in some areas.
"We have received reports that between 26 July 2018 and 31 March 2019, a number of former members of the armed groups and civilians who took up positions in Government entities including in civilian local councils or military or security forces have been killed in what appears to have been targeted killings," Ms. Hurtado said. "We have been able to document 11 such incidents.
During the same period, OHCHR also received reports that at least 380 people were arrested or detained. "In many cases, the reasons for such arrests remain unclear, and little or no information is given to the families of the detainees about their whereabouts and status," Ms. Hurtado said.
While 150 detainees were released after a few days at least 230 "have been subjected to enforced disappearances," she noted, adding that in March this year, two detainees died in Government custody, only days after being arrested.
"Their families were only officially notified of their deaths, with no information on why or how they died," Ms. Hurtado explained. "Their families did not receive their corpses. Many families in Dar'a continue to have limited or no information about their missing or detained relatives."
Children of ISIL terrorists likely held in "secret detention facilities", UN human rights office warns was last modified: May 23rd, 2019 by Ignacio
The danger of being a defender of human rights in Guatemala
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package org.springframework.crypto.digest;
/**
* @author Rob Harrop
*/
public interface SaltProvider {
byte[] newSalt(int size);
}
| {
"redpajama_set_name": "RedPajamaGithub"
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'A gem': Hidden Cafe opens in West Berkeley
AURA BARRERA | STAFF
Clara Rodas
Staff Representative
Smooth music and the sounds of a chef working in the kitchen are the first things that can be heard when entering Hidden Cafe, which recently opened on the edge of Strawberry Creek Park, as first reported by Berkeleyside.
Celebrating its official opening this week, Hidden Cafe is one of 40 small businesses housed in the Strawberry Creek Design Center, a red brick building and historic landmark built in 1912. Andy Kellogg co-owns the café with his brother Luke Flaherty and head chef James O'Brien Makowski.
"We actually want to portray ourselves (as a) community gathering space and create more of a community-focused space rather than just providing coffee and pastries," Kellogg said. "I care about how people feel when coming into the space and how we treat them during their stay."
As an Albany resident and co-founder of Adelines Lab in South Berkeley, Kellogg said he has "deep roots" in Berkeley and is very excited to see the space become part of the Berkeley community. He added that the café space will host local musicians during the weekends as well as serve as an open event space for the community.
Kellogg said the trio decided to open the café near Strawberry Creek Park, because he knew the owner of the space. After speaking with the owner, they decided to settle Hidden Cafe in the location. He added that he was "lucky" to have the opportunity to open the café in such a "beautiful" location.
The café menu offers a wide variety of food and drink options that are locally bought from community farmers markets, and Kellogg said the menu will change seasonally. The café's main dish, however, is its seasonal tacos — the Original, the Caprese and the Three Sisters — which makes use of ingredients that are not typically used for tacos, such as Italian sausage, mozzarella and roasted summer squash.
Kellogg added that the café's name came from the owners' desire to "stick" with the theme of isolation from city life, as it is "hidden" from many of Berkeley's busier streets.
"(It's) a secluded and a special place — like a gem that you come across while walking through the city," Kellogg said.
Marianne Desassise, a Berkeley resident that lives "up the street" from the café, said she comes down to Strawberry Creek Park every day and just visited Hidden Cafe for the first time.
Desassise heard about the opening through the Poet's Corner in Berkeley and said it was "really exciting" to hear that the café will be hosting poetry readings as well as a space for other community artists.
"It's beautiful because it's kept the integrity of the building as well as the integrity of the people," Desassise said. "To know there's a café here and to sit here in nature is very special, and it enhances Strawberry Park."
Hidden Cafe is open Wednesday through Friday from 9 a.m. to 6 p.m. and Saturday and Sunday from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m.
Contact Clara Rodas at [email protected] and follow her on Twitter at @ClaraRodas10.
Adelines Lab
Andy Kellogg
Hidden Café
James O'Brien Makowski
Luke Flaherty
Marianne Desassise
Strawberry Creek Design Center
Strawberry Creek Park
Tartine Bakery opens in Berkeley
Tartine Bakery opened a long-awaited shop at the Graduate Hotel Monday morning, seeing a line extending outside the door.
Renowned North Berkeley restaurant Grégoire reopens after 5-week closure due to kitchen fire
Grégoire, an artisanal takeout restaurant in the heart of Berkeley's Gourmet Ghetto, reopened Monday. Known for its "cult status" potato puffs, the restaurant had been temporarily closed for more than a month after suffering a kitchen fire April 1.
Tesla opens West Berkeley service center 18 months after application to zoning board
On Monday, Tesla opened a 46,000-square-foot service center in northwest Berkeley, just 18 months after submitting an application to the Berkeley Zoning Adjustments Board, as first reported by Berkeleyside. | {
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Lord Whitty: The CAP reform agreement reached by EU Agriculture Ministers on 26 June requires, with some exemptions, that direct payments be decoupled from 1 January 2005. Member states have limited discretion to derogate from this requirement both in terms of implementation date and extent of decoupling. We announced in our consultation letter of 22 July (copies placed in Libraries of the House), that we will not be making use of these derogations in England.
However, the consultation letter seeks views on two possible exemptions to this principle: first, whether to retain coupled payments in the seeds sector and, second, whether decoupling of payments in the dairy sector (where the set date for implementation is 2007) should be brought forward to 1 January 2005. We hope to announce our decisions on these two points this autumn.
Lord Whitty: The inland waterways which are subject to a public right of navigation are generally managed by navigation authorities. Navigation authorities' powers vary but most have powers under the local legislation applying to their waterways to make by-laws controlling the use of craft such as jet-skis. On most waterways there are already by-laws regulating the speed of vessels. Certain bodies other than navigation authorities may be also able to make by-laws controlling jet-skis on waterways under powers in public general Acts. | {
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CohenTaylor is thrilled to announce Greater Twin Cities United Way's CEO, John Wilgers
by Amanda Dutcher | May 21, 2019 | What's Current | 0 comments
Greater Twin Cities United Way has announced that John Wilgers joined the organization as President and CEO on May 20.
Reporting to the board of directors, John will focus on advancing United Way's mission to build pathways toward prosperity and equity for all by increasing access for all to stable housing, healthy food, a strong education, jobs and economic opportunity.
"John has the tremendous ability to build strong, trust-based relationships, focused on listening, learning and leading," said Tim Welsh, chair of United Way's Board and Vice Chairman of Consumer Banking Sales and Support at U.S. Bank. "Over the past year, United Way has achieved great momentum aligned with its long-range plan, and it's an ideal time for John to lead the organization through the next phase of its transformation."
In his new role, John will oversee strategic innovation, community impact strategy, direct-service offerings, cross-sector partnerships, revenue diversification and fundraising initiatives. He joins United Way after 35 years at Ernst & Young where he most recently held the position of managing partner of the Minneapolis office, successfully leading teams through recessions, turnarounds and major wins and losses.
A passionate community advocate over the past nine years, Wilgers has served in several United Way roles including board chair, member of the executive committee of the board, volunteer, fundraiser and donor.
"I believe everyone has a responsibility to serve others and United Way is a great place for me to fulfill that responsibility in a community that I've grown to love," said John. "I'm excited to work with a great community of impact-focused partners, generous donors and United Way's strong leadership team."
Read more here at the Greater Twin Cities United Way's website.
What's Current
CohenTaylor Joins DeLaSalle High School in Welcoming Dr. Bryan Bass as its Next President
CohenTaylor is proud to present People Incorporated's new Chief Operating Officer, Wendy Waddell
CohenTaylor is excited to announce Jeremiah Program's new President and CEO, Chastity Lord
CohenTaylor welcomes Minnesota Public Radio's Planned Giving Director, Sonja Greenwaldt
CohenTaylor is pleased to present the Saint Paul & Minnesota Foundations AVP of Philanthropic Services, Mai-Anh Kapanke | {
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Net-Critical houses servers in multiple SoftLayer datacenters. Ranging from 22,000 to more than 78,000 square feet, these world-class datacenters contain industry-standard technology to ensure that all servers stay cool, secure, and on-line at all times. The datacenters feature redundant power, HVAC, and fire detection/suppression systems, and are monitored 24/7/365 by both Net-Critical and SoftLayer's Network Operation Centers.
In addition to a fully redundant network and top of the line data centers, Net-Critical works with system administrators and data center personal that monitor all servers 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. Servers are monitored and issues are acted upon before they become serious. Additionally, the network and data centers are monitored and managed by on-site technicians dedicated to ensuring maximum uptime and reliability.
Are you in need for a different location? Ask our support staff for a custom made solution. | {
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Q: How Cassandra make sure consistency when adding a new node I am little confused about how cassandra making sure consistency when add a new node to the cluster. I know cassandra will do the range movements and stream the data to new added node. Question is that does cassandra also stream the secondary replica's data to new added node.
For example, we have 4 nodes in the cluster with RF=3 (A,B,C,D)
A(x=1, y=2), B(x=1, y=3), C(x=1), D(y=2). Partition key "x" will hold by A,B,C, while partition key "y" will hold by D,A,B. If I add a new node A' between A and B. I think it will stream partition "x" from A. But does it also stream partition "y" from B or D?
If it does stream partition "y", which node will cassandra choose to streaming from? From the official document. It will stream from primary replica which is D. If that's the case, when D has stale data (it is ok before adding new node, as both A and B and latest data, which meets the quorum), after streaming, it is possible to query out stale data from D and A'. Am I right?
A: Cassandra will stream information from the node that is giving up ownership of the token
That is, in your example: RF=3 (A,B,C,D) A(x=1, y=2), B(x=1, y=3), C(x=1), D(y=2). If E is added between A, B and A will give up owning X to E and B will give up owning y. Then A will send its value of X to E and B will send its value of Y to E - so the end result will be A(y=2), E(X=1,y=3), B(x=1), C(x=1), D(y=2).
Please note that after adding the node A has a stale copy of X and B has a stale copy of Y and they should run 'nodetool cleanup' to get rid of that.
A: You are probably right. Running nodetool repair is recommended before adding a new node so that there is no inconsistency in the cluster.
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← What really made my day
Shadowloo Showdown thank yous →
Don't be a Scrub Podcast Episode 21: Ziggy
Posted on April 26, 2012 by muttonhead
Hi guys, Spider Muttons Productions © 2010 are back with a monster of an episode. Our guest is one of the founders of Ozhadou and OHN, and has been a pillar of the Sydney fighting game community for more than ten years. We're talking of course about Andrew Ziogas, otherwise known as Ziggy!
Igor and I have wanted to do this interview for a very long time, and we just missed out on snagging Ziggy at OHNX. (The TO's eternal curse: a severe shortage of free time.) We have wanted to pick his brain about his decade's experience as Sydney's primary tournament organiser for quite a while now. We talk about the history of the Sydney scene, the emergence of the OHN series, the founding of Ozhadou, the rise of the new Ozhadou, the OG players, York Street Battle, his tournament organisation article series Bracketed, BAM, Shadowloo Showdown, Daigo and Justin Wong, SFxTekken, esports and much, much more
So I made my way down to Geelong to Studio 69, otherwise known as Igor's house, and we did the interview over Skype. Ziggy didn't disappoint, providing a very comprehensive history and breakdown on the tournament scene in Sydney and Australia since the inception of Ozhadou with Final Atomic Buster. He was very open in our conversation, and it was clear to me that a lot of what drives Ziggy is the pain of seeing his mistakes repeated unnecessarily in the actions of others as they go down the same path he has.
I've personally learnt so much about the history of the Sydney and Australian fighting game community from this interview and we thank Ziggy very much for taking the time to sit down with us.
You can find Ziggy by PMing him on Ozhadou.
And be sure to check out his series of blog articles on tournament organisation:
Big thanks to Hebretto aka Yang for directing me to his marvelous archive of pictures, which I drew upon extensively for this article. If you click on any of the pictures you will be directed to his archive. It was quite amazing going through the annals of history and seeing shocking things like Young Johnny and Teenage Toxy!
As always, you can listen to the podcast below or read the transcript of the entire thing if you prefer. We hope you enjoy the interview guys, we certainly enjoyed doing it.
http://carnage.dargh.com/DontBeAScrubPodCast/DontBeAScrubPodCastEpisode21FeaturingZiggy192k.mp3
For Direct Download, right click this link and "save as"
Direct Download 96 kp/s version
Muttonhead: Do you wanna start?
1- Spidercarnage: What were we talking about…Yeah. The current [Australian tournament schedule].
Ziggy: Ah yeah yeah, so. I think it's much better this year than what it was last year by far, hands down. Everybody's not on top of each other. Everyone's talking, everyone's sort of planning. There's still a little bit of um, SS (Shadowloo Showdown) being the monster that it is, it kinda had to whack its flag into the ground and say; this is where we are. And everybody else could build around it. But there's nothing wrong with that I mean. That's a perfectly sensible way of doing things.
And it worked out well because the timing of EVO this year- if we had gone with our original plans to be post-SS, the EVO tie-ins would've fallen to pieces. So by having to pull back to the summer it actually worked out better for EVO tie-backs.
We don't really know what's happening in the later part of the year. We know roughly when BAM is gonna be.
M: Around the same time in October…
Z: We still don't know what Queensland's doing, we don't quite know what ACL is doing this year but they've got plans on the table. But it's way better this year.
If there are any concerns about certain people not turning up at SS, I wouldn't put it down to the timing. In terms of relative closeness of tournaments. It'd be other factors, like external things getting in the way and stuff like that? Stuff that's out of everybody's control, pretty much.
M: Well to clarify, because we left out the start of the question, I was asking Ziggy if he was coming down to SS, and he said that he's not coming down to SS and a bunch of other people aren't coming down. And I was asking whether that had anything to do with…even though we've kind of spread these events a bit more this year, but it kind of feels that even two or three months isn't enough time for people to kinda recover financially…
S: Mm.
M: And kind of from the work that they put into their events. But I guess you feel that isn't a factor.
Z: No, not especially.
Like I mean, myself I was pretty dead after OHN as you would expect. But now…it takes about a month for me to kind of get over it and feel like I wanna do stuff again. Having said that, I've got nothing on the cards at the moment so I'm kind of climbing the walls with not much to do, but that's alright.
The…I think the thing is more now; I don't know what the hype factor is towards even like EVO. I'm not feeling…a lot of hype at the moment. I think it's just a function of the games that are out at the moment. And where people are with relation to the games.
I mean, ultimately the scene is a function of the games. So if the games aren't popping, then the scene's not popping sort of thing.
I feel like SFxTekken has landed with a whimper rather than a crash. And with Street Fighter 4 kind of petering out and Marvel sort of sitting in the middle, in limbo at the moment. It's popped a bit but it's not, if you know what I mean?
M: Yes I do.
And over here in Victoria for our events, our xTekken registration for tournaments have kind of…dropped a cliff kind of, recently. So what's it like in Sydney for you guys?
Z: Well I think today, YSB, will be the first one they've done!
M: Ah okay!
Z: They took March off because it was the month after OHN. So they [said]; we'll do nothing in March and recover. So April was the first time they were going to do it. And they also sneakily used it as an opportunity to give people a month with xTekken to decide how they felt.
And today they'll be running a bracket and they wanna see what the interest is like.
Because I dunno if you've read on the forums but some of the guys, I think Jaunty and um, Mike- Goodpart are talking about putting together like a ranbat series through YSB now.
S: Mhmm.
Z: They're still sort of going through the game selection phase.
M: Yep I saw that- the points, and the seedings and all that stuff. The keeping of results and…
Z: Yeah, yeah. So those guys have come out of the OHN experience rather keen which is good to see.
So we'll see what happens. I think in their minds at the moment for what SFIV and Marvel are sort of must-haves to kick it off. But xTekken is kind of on the sidelines because they're waiting to see how people feel about it. I think when EVO came out with the pair player thing that kinda threw everybody for a loop that was sort of looking at EVO to sort of say: we think this game is legit.
And then when they did that, everyone sort of said; uhh.
S: See the other thing is, I think EVO is really only very America focused. For example other countries…don't really have the player base to do 2v2. Honestly.
Z: Absolutely. Yeah no, Australia will struggle to have a strong 2v2 scene I think, just because of the numbers. I mean if you go to a tournament with typically twenty odd people turning up at locals and you've only got like ten teams.
That's nothing incredible. I mean something like Wednesday Night Fights might be able to do it. Where they get like a hundred dudes randomly every week without any trouble.
Ziggy, Benson, Robsux and Kientan. EVO APAC.
S: Yeah I think they put up numbers like eighty, seventy to eighty. So that makes it okay. But even then it's only like what, maybe a 32 man bracket? A little bit more than that.
Z: Yeah, yeah. The other thing that I thought was interesting when I did the pair-player was…At first people were complaining on the SRK blog going, oh man I was gonna go. But now that I need a partner I'm not so keen anymore.
Some people responded well dude, just use the forums and find a partner. We've been doing that since team Third Strike and stuff.
S: Yeah but that's not the same.
Z: Exactly. You actually need to train with the person. You can't just rock up and ah- you play your matches and I play mine, it doesn't really matter if our dynamics as a team gel.
And you can practice online, but half the people playing have Xboxes, they can't necessarily do it.
M: Exactly.
Z: The other half…they're really training in lag mode. I don't know…how it's gonna play out. Because you can put Justin Wong and Alex Valle together on a team. But that doesn't mean they're gonna get their combos right. Because they have to train together and know what each other's tendencies are and when to come in and do their thing.
M: And it kinda reinforces the advantages that certain locations have. Like SoCal, where Wong lives with Floe. And you know, those guys that have situations like that really benefit from it.
S: You know what; this whole 2 v 2 thing just reminds me of tennis and its doubles. The reason why the Woodies were so bloody good in doubles was because they had synergy.
Z: Yep.
S: They could train together…they're basically like reading each others' minds.
Basically the same concept applies to xTekken because you have two people working together, trying to basically play as one.
Z: That's right. I mean, it's great that the game has that feature and it gives you something new to explore in the fighting game space. But the price you pay for that of course is the thing that makes fighting game tournaments the massive and exciting things that they are is that any dude can rock up from anywhere and potentially blow things up.
Now the pair-player mode doesn't really allow that opportunity as such.
M: Mm. I dunno, I have this feeling…I think we had this conversation Igor.
Because xTekken's kind of not really popping off right now, it's kind of…you know.
NCR, the finals were a bit anti-hype. So maybe this 2 v 2 is a way to kinda…create that hype?
S: Hmm… I dunno. To be honest with you, I don't think the 2 v 2's actually the problem. I think more of the problem in general is the timeouts and the way the game plays. The other emphasis was on gems.
Z: (Chuckles.)
S: It was such a controversial topic, but they basically become completely irrelevant besides the assist gems and the meter building gems. And! We can't use them in tournaments.
Z: And not because they're broken! It's because Capcom doesn't know how to build a menu.
S: Exactly.
Z: To put it bluntly. (Laughs.) I mean, it's really sad.
M: Oh my god. How can they do the button check system so perfect for HDR, and fuck it up…every single game afterwards.
Z: I'll tell you: it's called Capcom USA having one team and Capcom Japan having another. It's entirely a Japanese company thing. It's entirely down to that unfortunately.
M: (Sighs.) Yes.
Z: But coming back to EVO's decision to do pair-play. It's kind of funny because the last time they did a pair-play or the last times, by memory. I remember they did for Third Strike the last year they ran Third Strike. And I had a feeling they did it for Guilty Gear one year as well. You might correct me if I'm making it up.
But when they did it for Third Strike it was because Third Strike was kind of falling to pieces competitively. Because it was like six Chuns and two Yuns on console Third Strike. And it was boring everybody to death.
So they went; well if we do teams at least we might see…a Yang or something for crying out loud.
M: (Laughs.)
Z: So they did that, but the signal to the community, because they did it when there weren't any other games right, they were trying to keep Third Strike alive because they needed it. So now the signal that people get from that if they've been following the history is: oh, EVO have suspicions about the competitive viability of this game. Now I might be reading too much into it.
Now I might be reading too much into it, but as you said, the timeouts predominantly, are really not helping the situation! If the game was balanced right, these timeouts wouldn't happen as far as I'm concerned.
I know the community needs time to find the most damaging combos and that. But these aren't stupid people. They've been playing SFIV for three years or whatever. They're on the ball. If there was damage to be got. I think they'd be halfway there by now. But it still doesn't…like I watched a random online match between Poongko and some other dude. And I mean if Poongko's winning by timeout, something's wrong!
S & M: (Laughs.)
Z: There's something wrong with the game.
M: Pretty much.
S: That's a very good point.
M: That's a very good point, yeah.
So I guess today's York Street Battle will be very interesting to see how the scene develops in Sydney. To see if it mirrors the way it has in Melbourne. We had strong sign-ups at the start, and now it's kind of slowly petering off as people fall out of love with the game. And Skullgirls just came out, so.
Z: Have any of you guys checked out Skullgirls?
M: I have watched it, I have not had time to download or play it.
S: Yeah, I'm in the same boat.
M: Yeah. What about you Ziggy?
Z: Um, I've seen bits and pieces of it. It's probably not something I would get into, because it just doesn't gel with me aesthetically. But it'll be interesting to see how it goes. I think it's got a lot of cards stacked against it. Being in the niche that it is.
I mean we know in Australia especially niche fighters just are usually stillborn unfortunately.
M: That is very true.
Z: But who knows, I mean if a lot of people aren't picking up what should be the mainstream games like xTekken it might be its time to shine, I don't know.
2- S: So like speaking of like mainstream games, are you worried about oversaturation of new games coming out?
Z: Yes. Absolutely.
To me right now the arrival of xTekken plus a few other companies jumping on board, things like KOF 13, kind of finding legitimacy but not, Marvel being in a similar boat and a few other things. I feel like we're back in the late 90s.
S: I was just about to say that. Yeah it seems to me like we're getting the late 90s all over again.
Z: I mentioned that to Stef the other day and he said, yeah we're not quite at that level of viable games running in parallel. But we're heading there very rapidly. And it's good and it's bad. I love having the variety, like I like having Marvel there as a choice.
Because when it was just SFIV I kind of felt constrained. But at the same time, what I didn't like back when we were starting tournament with Ozhadou- we had the three streams. CVS2, MVC2 and Third Strike. It was the great divide. You struggled to get that bracket above 20 guys.
You'd go up to a Third Strike and say, c'mon, Yun's in CVS2! And [he'll be] like, I'm not touching that stupid game.
S: (Laughs.)
Z: And you get it in both directions. And Marvel especially was the one…because it was so different to everything else.
So it's awesome having the choice, but I still love the fact that SFIV did what I thought what was impossible in the late 90s. And that was it took everybody that had a range of choice and somehow managed to make them all happy simultaneously, for at least the twelve months, roughly.
S: But you know why that is? It's because there was nothing else besides Tekken.
Z: True. It existed in a vacuum, all the games before it were already dead or dying, which helped a lot. I mean people were so ready to drop Third Strike in my opinion. And it tried to tick all the right boxes. It tried to put in something to make SFII people happy. It tried to put something in for the CVS2 people. It tried to put in something for everybody at once. And I think by the time when you got to the end with AE I felt the game was just being made to pull in all those Third Strike guys that still hadn't given up on Third Strike yet.
That's a biased perspective…
S: Nono I probably agree with that. It's like…they needed something. The other thing is I think Ono sort of wanted to bring it back to sort of a Vanilla flavor where you have a few dominating characters and the rest of the cast are more like a fan favourite.
Z: I don't know about you guys, but because I come from a SFII background and when I saw Ryu and Sagat just throwing fireballs at each other, twenty in a row in SFIV, I had a big smile on my face.
M: Same here, exactly.
Z: I thought that was fantastic. Everyone around me was saying this is retarded, why don't they fight?
I'm thinking, what are you talking about? This is fighting! This is perfect!
S: Exactly!
Z: And then as we got along, it was kinda like…mmm. You know. They're trying to bring in the Third Strike hanger-ons with the Yun and the Yang.
M: Dive kick central.
Z: And nerfing the fireballs all to buggery. And it's kinda like…okay, now you've gone and turned me off because what I've came in for, you've kind of gone back the other way sort of thing.
M: Yes, I agree.
Z: I don't know how they strike the balance. They seem to have a lot of trouble with it.
S: That's actually a really interesting point that you brought up. Because when you sort of look at Australia's competitive fighting game scene and you being there pretty much from the beginnings.
A lot of the Australian fighting game scene from what I gather started of with more of a Third Strike generation rather than a Super Turbo generation.
Z: Very much so. In fact, I'll tell you one funny story. After OHN2, we went back to Joey's place and just had some casuals there. We had some Melbourne dudes there, Sydney dudes. And um, somebody brought a Dreamcast and had Super Turbo on it. So we powered it up and I was having a few games. And Jack, Third Strike Jack, which everyone would know from Sydney, walked in the room and went; oh my god! What is this game? This is so old! What is this.
Benson, Joey and Yang. OHN6.
I was, dude, this is Street Fighter II.
Jack: I've never seen this before!
You're kidding right? I thought all you people were OG like the rest of us, you played Street Fighter II…
Jack: No, Third Strike was my first game!
…Oh that explains a lot.
Z: Now I understand where you people are coming from. But I had no idea that people didn't come from a similar background to myself. I didn't realize a lot of them were Street Fighter virgins when they discovered Third Strike or CVS2 or things like that.
S: I think it's also because our community is a lot younger than the US community.
Z: Yes, very much so.
It's nice of you to call me OG but to be honest, I'm OG in a vacuum. Like I played SNES Street Fighter II. I very rarely went to arcades, I very rarely played other people. When Ozhadou came into being in 2001, I discovered there were still arcades in the world, I thought there were all dead.
And I was never part of that Street Fighter II tournament culture…if Australia even had a tournament culture for Street Fighter II, I'm not even aware that it did.
S: That's the thing. There were never officially tournaments in Australia. There could've been smaller arcades, but not really tournaments at least from where I lived. The areas that I lived in were Melbourne from '92 to like '93 and then in Sydney from about '93 to about '95. And then Geelong and Melbourne from about '95 to about '98.
And in that time I only ever really attended one tournament, official tournament. Which was actually run by Blockbuster. But that basically was pretty much it. There wasn't any really any sort of serious tournament scenes. And I really wish if someone does actually know that, would come forward and tell us all about it. Because as far as I was aware…I know there could've been tournaments, as in just small arcade ones. But they were never advertised anywhere, it was never really put up anywhere. Unlike the American community where they sort of started off with…
They had nothing until about Hyper Fighting. And that's when their tournament scene actually started happening.
Z: Right, yeah.
Speaking from the Australian scene, the one guy that was around back in the day that might be worth trying to chase down is Mike Abdow from Virtuafighter.com?
M: Oh you mean Iron Myke?
Z: Iron Myke. That's him.
M: Ah. Does he play ST?
Z: Yeah he was an SFII player, ST.
M: Ahh.
Z: Virtua Fighter is his passion now but back when Ozhadou started, he'd just come back from a stint working in Canada, playing some CVS over there. And he actually had a good relationship with the Playtime arcade in Sydney at that time. Because he was running Virtua On tournaments and things. So when we were trying to get tournaments up and running in Sydney he saw us posting, trying to get people in CVS.
And he said, oh yeah, I'm interested in CVS tournaments. I know some guys at Playtime so I can sort of talk to them and hook you guys up. So he has all this OG knowledge and experience from within the Sydney scene and if anybody knows whether there were tournaments or not back in the day, he'd be the man to talk to.
M: Even here in Melbourne, who knows about SFII days, if you look at Toxy as OG, he kind of started with X-men vs. Street Fighter right?
Z: Yeah, that's true.
M: Not Super Turbo.
S: But the thing is yeah, whenever I talk to Toxy, he said most of the tournaments usually started around 2000, 1999. There weren't really any official tournaments, it was just people going to arcades and playing and then…
At least for me I started following the US scene in about '96 through alt.binaries.SFII and so forth. Because I was one of the lucky ones to have you know, a 33k modem.
M: Wow.
Z: (Laughs.)
S: Yeah, I was hunting newsgroups!
But anyway, you are…let's just say an OG in a vacuum.
3- So how did Ozhadou and OHN start? Can you give us a brief history?
Z: Yeah I can, and if it's not brief just tell me to get on with it.
Z: With Ozhadou starting…it's a bit interesting. As I said, I live in Wollongong so I'd sort of given up on arcades. They'd all shut down here and I thought the game was sort of dead and buried. Then I started working in Sydney sort of in 2000, 2001. And I discovered that the arcades were still alive, and that people even went to them.
I was amazed.
So when I saw that there was Marvel and things like that I thought, oh that's interesting. And um, I'd stumbled across Shoryuken.com around that time. And I started reading up on their guide to how to run a double elimination bracket and all that sort of stuff. And I was looking around for Australian players. So I went on the forums and I saw some guys who'd been talking about playing Marvel in Sydney in the arcade right near where I was studying.
So I went, okay I'll post in here and see if I can hook up with some of these guys. I did that, I didn't get a response from anybody in Sydney but I got an email from a guy in Canberra. By the name of Justin Hogie.
M: Ah.
Z: Final Atomic Buster, as you would know.
FAB aka Justin Hogie. OHN8.
Z: And he said yeah, yeah. I've been to Sydney a couple of times, playing in the arcades. Let's meet up in the arcades and play some games. It'd be fun.
Okay. That's not what I was expected, but that's exciting, let's do that.
So we were talking online a bit before we met and um, I said to him; one thing that's always struck me as frustrating is that I found this Shoryuken.com site but it's really hard to find Australians on there. Because it's just an American site.
And I just said, I wonder if there's other Australian Street Fighter players out there. I wish there was a website which you could find them. Because I've like Googled for Australian Street Fighter and there's nothing there.
And he said, well I've got some web space. And I've always wanted to do like a Street Fighter centric website. But I just didn't have an idea of what I wanted it to be.
Justin said, why don't we make a hookup site where it's just Australians and they can just say, I play, this is where I am, get at me, I want to play some games. Because this is pre-online play of course.
S: Well technically no, we still had Kaillera. (Laughs.)
Z: Kaillera in…yeah that's a good point. Because I remember at the time, 2000ish, they were still cracking the encryption on CPS2.
S: Yes I believe CPS2 was cracked in either late '99 or very early 2000.
Z: Yeah because I remember I was so excited when I could play X-men vs. Street Fighter at home. I'd been wanting to do that for years.
S: Yeah, CPS2 shock. I used to trawl that site everyday just to see if new ROMs had come out.
Z: (Laughs.) Yeah I was the same! Exactly the same.
So anyway, that was sort of what inspired us to create the site. And then when we were meeting up in the arcades in Sydney we bumped into a few Sydney guys. One of them- Stefan Heap, XNDL on the forums. He'd actually been talking to Justin years ago via alt.games.sf2. So they all sort of knew of each other. So they had a chat and I said; do you guys know each other?
Slapper Joe (middle) and XNDL (right) OHN5
And they said; only from talking online.
And then Joey Nguyen was there as well and Hebretto-Yang.
And I just started talking, saying, oh we're thinking of putting this website together. We kind of need people to join up and moderators and things. Would you guys be interested?
They said, yeah it sounds cool. Kinda get involved.
At that time, I said I'd been reading these guides on SRK on how to run double elimination tournaments. Because I've got the old…I don't know if you had this book, but the Hyper Fight guide from Gamepro?
S: I actually have it. I actually had my mom send it to me from Croatia to here. Because I missed it.
Because I left it at home when I moved back to Australia myself.
Z: Nice, very nice.
M: And your mom said yes? And she didn't like…oh! I lost it somewhere.
S: No. No no. That shit was locked down in the basement with all my other stuff.
M: Nice.
Z: Yeah. So I used to get Gamepro and things like that back in the day. And I read about tournaments in the US and I always thought as a teenager, it'd be cool to play in a tournament just to see how good or most likely, bad, I am. Because I haven't played other people.
So when I read this article about how to run tournaments, it occurred to me, well hang on. It's not corporations or businesses that run tournaments. It's actually the community, it's the players.
S: Yeah it's the people.
Z: Well I can do that. I mean, it's not hard. Why don't we just try it and see. And the tournament I'd always wanted to play in I'd be running, but at least I'd get one.
So I said to Yang off the cuff when I was talking about the Ozhadou concept. Oh we might actually even run tournaments one day. Yang's like: no way. You'll never manage to run a tournament. It'll never happen.
And from there I went: I'm going to prove you wrong.
S & M; (Laughs.)
Z: I am gonna run a tournament, you sad sack. I'm gonna make it happen. So from there, by the end of 2001 in December we had our first tournaments happening in Playtime.
And it seemed that everybody that was there unless they were as OG as Mike, it was sort of like the first time they had played in a bracket that was community run, that was for sure.
S: Are you telling me that OHN got started because of spite?
M: Because of Yang? Heh.
Z: Oh no, the local tournament scene got started because of spite. OHN actually got started because of the desire to create an inter-city rivalry.
But I guess we're getting ahead of ourselves. Why don't you continue, and we'll get to OHN eventually.
Z: But yeah, that's pretty much the end of the story of where Ozhadou as a website came from. So there was a dude in Canberra and a dude in Wollongong. Having an encounter over SRK.com. And the next thing you know, there was a website and some local tournaments in Sydney happening.
S: Mmm.
M: So this was in the year '99 or 2000?
Z: It was end of 2001. December 2001 was when we ran our first ever tournament. The website came along I think in September of 2001.
M: So you guys have doing this for nearly…more than ten years at this point.
Z: More than 10 years, yeah.
S: Well this is the tenth year.
M: And how old were you guys when you started?
Z: I was twenty, twenty one at the time. Justin's like a year older than me. So pretty much the same age. Iron Myke on the other hand is like seventy or something…
Z: So he was an old man from the start. But the rest of the guys, it's quite interesting. When I ran into Stef and Joey, now those guys were only in high school. They were only in like their mid-teens at the time.
There were a few dudes from Uni like Benson and Yoguy who was sort of…they were more the early year Uni student kind of age, and then you had sort of more the teenager group.
Afterdeath (George, standing) and yoguy (Andrew Ost) OHN6
So it was quite a spread mix of people at the beginning.
We were sort of the older people of those days.
M: Very interesting.
So yeah, go on with your story until you guys get to OHN.
Z: So the OHN side of things…so we're doing the locals in Sydney, it was quite interesting because we'd recruited some…We'd always wanted it to be a national site. It was never meant to be a Sydney site because I mean, neither Justin or I are Sydney centric as such. It was just the closest city with arcades.
So we'd actually were using SRK to kind of trawl around and try to find people that were on there talking about Street Fighter that were from other regions. And we found some guys in Melbourne. At the time, the two that were most important were Kechu and Auriku. Aurik and Kevin were the first two people that we recruited as Melbourne moderators, having never met them I might add.
Humanbomb vs Kechu OHN1
We just said, you guys seem like sensible people. Would you like to be our mods?
S: (Chuckles.)
Z: Here are your powers. Go nuts!
So luckily it worked out well. But we did that and we sort of…they were kind of keen to get things happening in Melbourne. So they put on a CVS2 tournament in the January of 2002 just after we'd done our first ones in Sydney and December.
So Justin and myself and Mike, we were all sort of on a high after doing the local CVS2 tournaments. So like, let's go down to Melbourne and compete. See how we do.
So the three of us trekked down to Melbourne. Having never been down there before.
Mike had been there and actually had some friends in the VF community already. So for him it was already a bit of a normal thing. For Justin and I it was kind of a bizarre thing to do. But we went down there, we met up with the scene. Mike did quite well, I think he came second or third.
I went two and out and got the living snot beat out of me. And Justin didn't do much better. And that was a nice reality check.
But because Johnny had beaten Mike so convincingly in the CVS2 finals in Sydney…
M: Aha! So wait. So when did Jonny (Humanbomb) show up in Sydney.
Young Johnny!
Z: So Jonny turned up for the very first CVS2 tournament in 2001.
Z: So he was kinda there, and him and Mike and a few other guys like his brother Nin was there in Sydney as well at the time.
So they were kind of a clique. They kind of hung around together and practiced at home together. As well as going out to the arcades. So you had that group. And they were kind of the top tier group. Because naturally any group that is training with Jonny is naturally better than everybody else.
M: I see.
Z: We were kind of amazed how much better than everybody else Jonny was sort of right out off the blocks.
And then when we went to Melbourne, Mike who'd come second was struggling to stay in top 3 in Sydney, we'd thought: I wonder what would if the best in Sydney…
M: …If Jonny played…
Z: …and the best in Melbourne, we put them together and we see what happens. So we were kinda like; let's do it. Let's have a…I mean we called it a national tournament because as far as we were concerned we were the entire country at that point in time. Sydney and Melbourne, we were Australia, that was how it was going to be. But it was literally born out of the desire to have an interstate rivalry between Sydney and Melbourne in CVS2.
That was what drove the decision.
S: It's always that fighting game competitive edge I guess.
4- I was gonna ask, because OHN was sort of built on say, this rivalry. How has the rivalry changed over the years.
Z: It's been very interesting because…I know there's been a lot of talk certainly in the last twelve to eighteen months about the way Sydney and Melbourne get along with each other. Like, there's a lot of talk that it was a very close relationship and now it's become a very volatile relationship and it kind of swings back and forth between these extremes. To be honest, it wasn't any different back then really.
They were really happy that we went down there for that first tournament and played and they were quite enthusiastic about the idea of coming up and returning the favour. But it was always sort of seen from that perspective of it was really a tit for tat exercise or that was how people had expected in a Melbourne turnout.
So…it was awkward because…when Melbourne came up for OHN, it was very good competition, Kevin came second behind Jonny in CVS2 but he convincingly won Third Strike. And being the competitive man that he is, he wasn't happy about coming second in CVS2. So he walked away going; I am going to come back and I am going to destroy this man Jonny in the next one.
So we were all really excited. OHN2 came on hot on the heels of the first one because of all the hype. So it was only six months later which turned out to be a bad idea in hindsight. But anyway.
S: Heheh.
Z: We did it and Kevin got his revenge, and again won Third Strike convincingly. And that was all good. And then…there's already been some tension because of some people shooting their mouths off online. But the turning point came when…I kept trying to encourage the guys in Melbourne you know…
We need a major in Melbourne to offset the one in Sydney. Because if we're going to get some exchange here, some mutual flow, we need you guys to have an event that we can come to. So that you don't feel like you're always doing the work.
S: Yeah, you're always on enemy ground.
Z: Yeah that's right. And I mean obviously for them it's no small thing when they're Uni students or whatever to put down the money to go up for a weekend in Sydney, cover all their expenses so.
S: Not to mention flights back in those days weren't cheap. Jetstar wasn't around.
Z: That's right. It was a non-trivial exercise for a lot of gamers to do it. So…
It turned to rub people the wrong way that Sydney guys weren't going down to Melbourne. Especially when Melbourne was winning all the trophies. So Melbourne would come, they'd win. And they're like, why should we come up to challenge you? We are the champions. You should be coming to challenge us.
And the tournament we would challenge you at is??
And they're like; we have no venue, we have no suitable place. We don't have the resources, we can't do it.
And it's like, well that's not a good enough answer you know? You need to give these guys a battleground otherwise they have no reason to come.
And Sydney traditionally…it's changed since the SFIV generation's come along. But traditionally they were a very low-travel community. They didn't go anywhere. They were very local-centric. We've got the most people. We've got the venue where it happens. We've got Ozhadou doing stuff for us. We don't have to go anywhere. We're just going to sit here. And if you care, you're going to come to us kind of thing. Even if we're not the best.
And that was what kind of rubbed the Melbourne guys the wrong way. During the Third Strike period it kind of changed a bit. Some guys would actually make an effort to go down to Melbourne and say; we acknowledge Third Strike is the best, Melbourne has the best Third Strike players. So we're going to come down here and pay our dues…if we want you to then come back to OHN sort of thing.
And that kind of helped. But certainly the Kechu era was very much around the, we're better than you. Why do we have to travel up to where you are kind of thing.
M: That's really interesting.
Z: And that did make it…every OHN from 6 back, was a political nightmare. Trying to negotiate to get people from Melbourne who were our most important competitors to turn up. It was a real struggle.
M: That's really interesting. And that kind of makes me realize the disconnect between that generation in Melbourne and this generation.
S: You mean the current generation.
M: The current generation.
S: Which is also basically built with the older generation but with, now, a lot more young blood.
M: Yeah. But yeah, please go on.
Z: If I was to look at generations in Melbourne and the sort of attitude towards travelling to compete and coming to Sydney and compete and what have you.
There's the Kechu generation, and then I see the Toxy generation. They're the sort of two eras for me. Toxy has the attitude of: he just wants to play. He will go wherever there's a good chance to play and a good chance to compete. He just wants to test himself. He doesn't care if he's already better than the people there. He's happy to go up there and take the title again and again.
Because he just wants to play.
M: He just wants to compete.
Z: Whereas Kevin was more…I'm only going to go if I think if I think I'm gonna really be tested. And if I'm already the king of the hill then I got nothing more to prove. So I don't see why I should come back kind of thing.
That's not to say they didn't come back. But it meant that you were kind of dealing with that kind of attitude out of the gates when you were trying to encourage people to come.
S: It's more dethrone me and then…
M: And then I will fly out to get it back.
Z: That's right, exactly.
M: That was OHN6 right?
Z: Yeah. OHN6 was kind of…That was the first SFIV…no that was the last time before SFIV. Because that was the year Justin Wong came out.
M: Yeah! Do you wanna talk a bit about how that happened?
Z: Ah yeah that's very interesting actually. OHN5, I dunno how you much you know about OHN5 but Justin Wong was supposed to come to OHN5. That was the grand plan. I don't know if you guys know xxx (name removed on request), TSC at all?
M: Nope.
Z: He was actually…when Playtime closed down in Sydney, he was the guy who provided the cabinets at Mai Chan Hyong That kept the Third Strike scene in Sydney alive. So that was after OHN4 basically. So he kind of was heavily involved in organizing OHN5, because it was his cabinets. The Third Strike community wouldn't play on anything but arcade. But OHN4 would run it on console. And they just didn't turn up.
So he was willing to provide the cabinets to ensure that and do a lot of the organization. And part of what he was organizing was he was talking to Triforce of Empire Arcadia to try and get him to bring a bunch of guys primarily Justin Wong but other guys too to OHN5 to make some big international kind of thing happen.
Well his mistake was that he was talking to Triforce of course. Triforce promised him the world and delivered nothing, unsurprisingly.
Jwong and Tom. OHN6.
S: Yeah I heard something about like…a private jet?
Z: Yeah, yeah, yeah. Triforce was talking out of his backside. And none of what he said made any logistical sense whatsoever.
Z: But the good thing was the community was really forgiving. We told them, we advertised this would be Empire Arcadia invading Australia. And none of that happened.
And yet most people kind of sucked it up and said, yeah well. It would've been nice. But we still got the best players from Melbourne and Sydney for Third Strike here and it's still a kick-arse tournament, we're happy.
Then you had the other camp of people. And it was very small. Who felt legitimately like they'd been jibbed. There's only really one person that I felt really bad about. And that was Aurik from Melbourne. Who had moved to Japan already by that time. He had the choice to either go to EVO that year or come to OHN.
Having come to OHN every year from 1 to 3 when he was living in Melbourne, he chose to come to OHN5 because he thought the Empire was coming because he wanted to defend Australia's honour against the Americans sort of thing. And when that didn't happen, he was not a happy man. And rightly so.
Because he'd spent all his holidays and money on coming back to Sydney for the umpteenth time instead of going to EVO for the first time.
So he got really mad. And I totally felt horrible about it. And in the end he had a great time. And he really enjoyed catching up with the Melbourne players and being on their team and supporting them in the top 8 and everything.
And it all kind of went away in the end. But it was a pretty kind of ugly outcome of it. Anyhow, getting back to where that led to Justin Wong at OHN6.
Because that all kind of fell apart, we came into OHN6 and everything, to put it bluntly, going into OHN6 was dead. Tekken wasn't doing well, Third Strike was dying. Nothing was going well. Everything was kind of stuffed.
So we were looking at an OHN6 that nobody cares about so we went, well this isn't good.
S: So which year was OHN6, '07?
Z: Probably '07, yeah. That would've been 2007. So just before SFIV turned up in the arcades kind of thing. Like about six months, twelve months before that. So you literally had nothing…the thing was, Third Strike in Australia was killed by SBO, to put it politely.
Because we finally sent teams to SBO after sort of OHN5. They got the living snot beat out of them, more or less. And played a lot of casuals over there, had a great time. But 80% of the people who went, or 90% who were hardcore, quit afterwards because they just realized the…
S: Skill difference.
Z: The mountain was too high. They had no idea how high it was until they went there and realized,, okay, this is not gonna happen. So a lot of them just quit outright. Even though they went on maybe to play SFIV, they became a lot more casual. That hardcore tournament mindset was just kind of burned out of them.
So Third Strike…they were trying to send a team to SBO that year as well. But after things had kind of gone not quite right, it all kind of fell apart.
So we told them we were sending a team for Third Strike. We didn't. We got into a lot of…Australia got into a lot of trouble.
M: I heard quite a bit about that, do you want to talk about that?
Z: I won't talk about it in detail because I wasn't involved at all. All I know is that SBO doesn't take kindly to being told X months that you're not sending a team when they've already put out promo material. So the response…the Japanese are very sort of simple minded. This is the kind of you're in or you're out sort of thing. So once you're out, if you're out on bad terms, you're out. You're out of the circle of trust so to speak. We're not going to talk to you anymore.
Tekken fortunately has maintained a good relationship. But Third Strike…I don't think anything would get us back in Third Strike. I might be wrong, there might people who can work magic.
Other Street Fighter I don't know. But no one sort of tried or has had the passion or the interest to try. It might change…I don't know.
5- S: So would Ozhadou or OHN be interested in hosting another SBO qualifier?
Z: It would take the right people to sort of do the organizational side. I know that Bryce Saiyuk From the Tekken community, whenever he's organizing Tekken he does sort of politely say, look. Would you like Street Fighter on the cards? Would you like me to talk Street Fighter to them?
But on the condition that somebody takes responsibility and you guarantee him that you'll go sort of thing. The good thing is, the community hasn't made the same mistake twice. They haven't stepped up and said, yeah we'll do it. And then flaked again.
So they've actually done a bit of soul searching and gone , yes we're there. Yes there's a team that will go. Or no, honestly we can't win. We're better off just stepping back and waiting for our time to come. I mean they've taken a lot of maturity in response to what happened, which is good.
I think in time it might happen. And now that SBO is moving to console and it might be having a second wave into the future in terms of how it works, anything could happen.
M: Yeah that's really interesting actually. [SBO moving to] console.
S: Well the other thing that I heard was, I heard rumours that this might be the last SBO ever.
M: Yep.
S: So there's a few things interesting happening with SBO.
M: And I heard they're doing double elim in the top 8 of Street Fighter IV. Really, really un-SBO like things.
Z: That's very interesting, I hadn't heard about that one.
S: Yeah there seems to be lots of rumours. I mean, has Marvel 3 been confirmed for SBO?
M: It has.
Z: Yes it has. It has.
Marvel 3 and Soul Calibur V are the two console games, by memory.
S: So I mean, with Marvel 3, if they're going to run a one game single elim…
M: Whattt (Laughs.)
S: C'mon. Really?
Z: Like a coin tossing competition, that'd be just as exciting.
Z: Just as accurate in terms of the outcome.
M: Ahh man. Single elim Marvel. That would be the most ridiculous tournament of all time.
S: It would also be the most salting tournament of all time. I flew seventeen hours for one game? And got randomly X-factored by Dark Wesker.
M: It's like I said before: the happiest of birthdays! (Laughs.)
Z: It'd be interesting to see. The thing that makes it hard for SBO is because it's actually a corporate run event…
S: Exactly. It's Arcadia magazine I believe?
Z: Exactly. And then with all the various corporate companies using it as a vehicle to promote…historically it was a vehicle to promote your latest arcade fighting game. That's how the lineup was chosen. It's tried to keep a bit of O.G. roots and it's mixed it up over the years. But that's always been its primary purpose. But because it's run by corporates, that disconnect between the community's vibe of what's going on with it.
Because games aren't necessarily picked on the reasons that we would pick them. And the event itself isn't run for reasons that we would run it. So as a result, we're not in direct communication with the people doing it. They're not part of our clique so to speak.
So when I say our, I mean the entire global, competitive community scene. So they kind of do their own thing.
It's a bit the same with what Capcom's plans are sort of this year with the xTekken tournaments they're backing. There's a lot of whispers and talk and no one really knows what's going on there. But because they're corporate we probably won't know until they throw the cards on the table. It's just sort of…we're not used to being so far outside the loop of tournaments because for so long it's all been onus personally to make it happen.
OHN7
6- S: Now that we know a little bit more about how OHN and OZH happened. What's the actual mission statement of OHN? Or Ozhadou sorry?
M: But don't you want to know about the Street Fighter IV era? Right after Justin Wong…
S: I do, but the thing is, I think it's more important to get the mission statement first. Because the one thing that I kind of get confused a little bit about Ozhadou is…
It seems at least these days it seems very Sydney centric from a certain view. For example the IRC channel is mainly Sydney people.
S: Don't know why that is, but maybe it's a historical thing?
So what's actually like the Ozhadou mission statement? What do you guys…is it still as it was back in 2000 when you first came up with it or have things changed?
Z: I'm not…It's hard for me to answer that being the only man on the line because I've…for the most part divested a lot of control as to what its mission is now. I mean, when it was founded, Justin and I as I said it out, our intentions…it wasn't even tournaments at first. It was just at first a meeting point on the Web for Australian fighting game players but Street Fighter inclined because that was what we liked to play. Or Capcom inclined at least.
Then once it became about tournaments as well, it was more that tournaments were seen as a vehicle to bring people together, rather than being separate to that concept. As time went by, we always tried to involve other states, but it just seemed very hard to achieve a national team. No matter how hard you tried. Whether it's just the distance made it hard or…
I guess because it's a hobby and it's not a business. It's really hard to kind of bring people in and say look. We need you to commit to doing this much stuff to represent your area to this degree so that everybody feels involved. I mean ultimately it's a hobby, people put in how much time they feel obliged to put in.
And early on we were very…for our sort of fear that things might blow up on us, in a bad way. We were sort of very rigid in terms of who we would let have this amount of power and all this kind of stuff.
So it was kind of, we're at the top of the pyramid, and nothing happens unless we say so. And I mean that works if you're involved a lot. But because both of us were living far away from Sydney. And you're far away from the closest scene, then you're even further away from everybody else. So it kind of does end up naturally evolving to create that national focus that you've just sort of always had in mind.
So what happened was because Sydney was the closest to the people that we now knew directly. They kind of were trusted a bit more to do more within the site. So they became the Voice, more than anything else. Or the active component. And the others were always sort of seen like an SRK thing where they were using it as a vehicle to tell the world that they were out there, more so than directly contributing.
I mean OHN as the primary event that Ozhadou organizes…it's run by Sydney people because it's in Sydney. But a Sydney team evolved because people wanted to sit down and talk about what the plans were kind of thing. It wasn't natural to sort of plan it over long distances that sort of thing.
S: And to also be fair though, as far as I know, the Sydney community, as least from say an outsider's perspective, because I wasn't that involved in the fighting game community in general, but the Sydney scene always seemed to have the strongest or say the most competitive people and Melbourne was always second.
Z: Um…it's hard to like…
From my time from 2001 on, there was never any doubt in my mind that the best players in the country was in Melbourne. With the exception of Jonny, Melbourne had the best players.
And Jonny couldn't even stay ahead of them all the time. Like Kevin on his best day? Would defeat Jonny.
I mean, that's just straight up…and Aurik on his best day was able to defeat Jonny as well come OHN3. So it was…they had a different training mindset. Jonny works really well considering that he's basically working in a vacuum at his level.
Like he doesn't have anybody else at his level or didn't have in Sydney…he's gone now. (Humanbomb has moved back to Hong Kong.) But when he was there, he was kind of just beating down on everybody else. Because no one was challenging him. He had to challenge himself to become as good as he was. And big credit to him for doing what he's done.
S: Definitely.
Z: But Sydney always had the critical mass. Sydney has the volume of players. And it also had the nicer venues. Like you walk into Playtime or whatever, and you didn't have to worry about the guy…trying to sell you drugs behind you kind of thing.
S: Oh Whitehouse.
M: Hehehe.
Z: Yeah, it was like…when I went down to Melbourne arcades for the first time it was a bit of a culture shock. It was kind of like…I don't know if this is really where I want to be, to be honest!
Z: I want to play these games, I don't know if this is the atmosphere for me.
And that held them back in a lot of ways in terms of developing community…and well the SFIV era allowed them to sort of… The beautiful thing about Melbourne is that this belief, that "we cannot" attitude that permeated during the arcade days have gone away now. And it's a "we can" attitude of; we can get the people together. We can get our own venues. We can buy our own gear. We can do our own stuff. Has transformed the Melbourne scene in a fantastic way.
M: Yeah. A lot of the Shadowloo optimism that has really permeated this generation…
Z: Exactly. Exactly. Don't get me wrong it took the right people, the right place, the right time.
Like you needed the commitment and the time to do it, and the passion to do it. It's not just gonna…yes it can be done but the right people need to be there to make it happen.
But I still get the feeling that in Melbourne that there's a lot of constraints at the local level. Like Sydney…the YSB situation has turned out miraculously well. Because not only has York Street provided a large venue for OHN, it's provided a small venue for local events. At a reasonable price for both. Which is just a miracle, I mean it's very rare that you get that combination.
M: Yes. As we, as the Couchwarriors staff, very well know heh.
Z: Yeah absolutely!
M: Getting a venue price is a…pain in the arse.
Z: Really hard, yeah.
So the fact that that's panned out for them has just been golden. Whereas Melbourne sort of seems to have struggled to find…You don't need a one size fits all venue, but just a venue at the local level at least where it can be consistently at the right price for the size of the scene you have. And we can use it consistently. And it's convenient for everybody as well! Well that's the miracle of YSB, is that it happens in the city!
Well I mean, with Shadowloo Night Live, we have it at Crown Casino now.
Z: Oh right.
M: And I think the Shadowloo guys want to make that sort of like the centre, the weekly, the local level kind of everyone gets to go kind of thing. So.
S: And then we have the casuals once a fortnight which is Chris' Club House, or CCH.
M: Yeah. But I mean, I guess Ziggy does have a point. Our venues are kind of broken up and spread out. Whereas…
S: Yeah. Well Collingwood's not that far away from the city.
M: That is true, yes.
S: The only real distance one was Deakin, a while ago. Because that was…way out.
M: Or when Couchwarriors was in Box Hill. Or when SNL was in Brunswick.
S: Yeah. We've had a bit of an issue. But it seems that things have stabilized or calmed down a lot more. SNL seems to be every week at Crown. CCH is every fortnight. And those two seem to be the two main…
M: And in fact one issue…a very interesting issues that we have now is actually perhaps we have event oversaturation.
We currently have SNL every week, and we have Chris' Club House every fortnight, and we have Box Hill Beatdowns every fortnight, and we have South East Throwdown, and we have Impact over in Werribee…I think that's ten events a year. And we have…
Yeah! So…
M: I mean personally, I've noticed attendance has been dipping slightly, I think people might get burned out. So it's kind of a really…as you said, a big shift in the Melbourne um…
Z: Out of curiosity, what do you guys think is actually fuelling that large range of events spread out as far…is it a geographical thing? Or it is a…
M: It's partially that. For Impact and South East Throwdown it's people that…For Impact, the dudes that live in Werribee, it's really hard for them to come down to the city for the central events. So they decided to run their own events out in the West. And CouchWarriors has kind of…
Yeah a lot of it is geographical. And some of it is we just struggle to just find whatever venue we can get at a price which is reasonable, that kind of thing.
S: And I've had numerous amounts of people coming up to me, oh when's Deakin starting up again?
Because you know, it was on the other side of the city.
M: Yeah!
S: And we had a lot of people going basically around that area, it's like well Deakin is great, all I had to do was a five minute drive, and I'm there for the entire day!
M: Yeah! People are lazy. Like they want many events everywhere, like five minutes from them. And they'll just go to that one. And screw the other one over on the other side of the city.
S: Well I mean, it's also pretty hard. Because…Melbourne's public transport is semi-okay. But if you want to stay up late, or late anywhere, you have to drive.
M: Yes, that's true.
A car is needed to be a fighting game player.
S: Yeah but it's also a pain in the arse. Because for example if the event starts at six o'clock, well then you have peak hour traffic to deal with.
M: Ah yeah, that's true.
S: Which is basically even worse in Sydney for example. Because in Sydney, does peak hour traffic end?
Z: (Laughs.) I don't know…no.
It's horrible.
S: The Sydney traffic from the eighteen months that I lived in there, from 2007 to late 2008. It was…you had selective times where you would drive, otherwise you're stuck in gridlock.
Z: Yeah, that's one thing I've found. If I went to stay back in the city for an event or whatever, I would not want to leave there until eight o'clock at night where I knew there would be no cars anymore. So I could have the ninety minute run home instead of the two hour plus run home. So.
7- M: Yeah. But going back to York Street Battle, I think it's a good time to ask about kind of like the rise of the "new" OHN. The kind of like added responsibilities that guys like Gamogo and Spencer have taken up. And I guess FAB's (Final Atomic Buster) looking to step back a little bit?
Z: Yeah… It's been an interesting kind of transition. Because EVO APAC was kind of the kick to the groin so to speak. Because it caused people to start to change their minds about things.
EVO APAC was such a monster of a thing. Like it was only one game. And Daigo was the only real centerpiece around which everything had to revolve.
M: Daigo changed everything. Heh.
Z: He changed…at first it was just a local event with EVO slapped on it. And then we get a call from Seth Killian, and it's like, you know. This dude Daigo, just didn't qualify over here in France or whatever EVO [qualifier]. So he asked me if there's anywhere else. And I happen to know of your event!
It's like, ah good. Thank you Seth.
This is awesome, and yet painful at the same time.
Z: Because unfortunately I mean the reality is…people can hype all they want international dudes. But the reality is two sides of the coin.
There's the budget…and effort.
And there's the opportunity cost sort of thing so.
With Daigo…literally within the team of EVO APAC when the thing was put on the table you had two camps.
You had one camp going: it makes no sense to spend all that money on Daigo's plane ticket. And then you had the other camp saying: it makes no sense to give up the opportunity to have Daigo in Sydney.
And…it takes time to reconcile that and work out where you're going to meet sort of halfway. In the end where it gets met is usually you say, my budget can't cope with this. If you can externalize the funding we'll do it sort of thing.
So in the case of Daigo it came down to…community donations funded his trip. The tournament budget couldn't hold…we couldn't provide…
We were funding a ticket to EVO. When Daigo came on the cards we knew we had to fund a second ticket to EVO otherwise Australia was not going to EVO.
So we just suddenly picked up an extra cost before you look at Daigo flying to Australia. So you had to say to yourself, someone's got to find some money somewhere. So in the end between community donations and the guys who own the GGs cabinets, Josh and Kevin coming on board as sponsors to cover that cost, it just wouldn't have been possible.
For what it's worth, EVO APAC I think made a small loss in the end. Which was pretty amazing considering sending two people to the US. And trying to get Daigo on board.
Which is tiny compared to the budgets they have balance for Shadowloo Showdown.
M: And we'll get to that. But um…continue with…
Z: But yeah. So EVO APAC was a bit exhausting. The team for EVO APAC was built around existing friendships rather than who was the best man for the job. The consequence of that was: people came to the table with different expectations around what they would have to deliver. What I thought people would deliver was not they thought they would have to do etc.
So when it all kind of ended, it was probably one of the most successful events we've ever done in Sydney. But on the organizational side of it there was a lot of friction and frustration, for me anyway.
So um…I sat down with Justin afterwards and said, look, I know we promised everybody we'd do an EVO APAC and OHN in the same year. But I just can't do another one of these in the next six months, not after what just happened. I need away time.
And he said, yeah I'm feeling that. That sounds fine. So we decided that we'd long term wanted to get people more involved with running OHN rather than just us at the top of the pyramid. So we said okay. Let's identify a team of people who have vested interested in OHN succeeded. From a community or financial perspective. And we'll put them together and say; OHN9 is your baby. Make it happen kind of thing.
Low Blow, Yang, Ace, Skitze and Cactus. OHN9
We'll give you advise and that, but we want you to make it happen. So we put together a team. Of four people. And as you would've remember with OHN9 there was a lot of delays and rescheduling and um…
Eventually it happened…but it wasn't…
The plan…the people that were doing it weren't aiming for the same bar that FAB and I would've aimed for. If you know what I mean.
It was kind of… It worked out and a lot of people who went to the event felt that it quite well-run, but it was smaller than normal too, so it's often easier to succeed under those conditions.
So that was kind of the first part.
Your question was when did we start to pull back. And I'd say it was post EVO APAC. That was when we sort of started to try to find other people to take on the burden. Because with us being so far away…from like…
During that time, I wasn't playing Street Fighter IV anymore. Justin really wasn't playing SFIV anymore. We're not competitors anymore. We're not even really casual players anymore. To a large degree. And we're not involved with the forums on a daily basis so we're not in touch with the community either. And in my opinion that makes us the worst people for the job, because you need to be in touch with the community to do this stuff.
M: That's how I feel as well, but yeah.
So after EVO APAC you felt that you needed to restructure the system and…who stepped up?
Z: So we approached four people. We approached Eric, DK.
M: DK, yep.
Z: Because he'd been running his own events out in Western Sydney, he'd actually come to me beforehand and said he was interested in being involved in organizing OHN if there was ever a opportunity. So he obviously had the credentials and experience with his own stuff it made sense to sort of tap him on the shoulder. Plus, he had his own gear already.
We'd pick Jack as a community representative. Because he'd been running SFIV stuff at GGs. And helping out with OHNs anyway. It turned out to be bad timing for Jack, and then in the end Henry kind of stepped in to fill his shoes because he had to step back.
But we had a position for a community guy. And then we had Kevin, Josh, from GGs. Since it was their cabinets that was being used for OHN it made sense for them to sit on the committee and make the plans.
Now, the idea was that that team of four would run the event. But what actually happened was, Jack/Henry weren't really the right people to manage things at that level, or weren't in a position to do it. And Kevin/Josh were really not comfortable doing it at that level. They were more comfortable providing the cabinets as a business kind of arrangement. So you really only had Eric driving it. And it was…It was probably too much for one man to do. And…
His goal was really just to get it over the line sort of thing. And as a result…it kind of…
I feel like OHN when it ran head-in first into SS, it was always gonna to be a smaller event anyway. But like, I felt like it still could've realized a niche as being the first Australian nationals for Marvel. But no one seemed interested in really pushing that agenda. And as such it turned out to be low-key. And while people came on, Spencer in particular came on board to design the website. And then he started out helping out with more stuff. Just because he could see that there holes that needed to be filled. So he started filling these holes and doing what he could. He did a fantastic job in the end to keep things on track.
And when it was all done and dusted he said, look I'm interested in being involved in the future but I would like to assemble my own team. I want to build from the ground up.
I said well, that's cool. Because it doesn't seem that the guys who were on board for the first time are all that keen to come back. So go for it, see what you want to do.
So he and Shane had actually put their heads together, they had already started to take on board some of the Ozhadou website responsibility because Justin and I were looking for people in that space. And both of them sort of have web design skills. Shane in particular. And Spencer's on the ground on the community, he's the guy who's still playing sort of thing so he's in touch with everything.
So they were stepping up as admin. So it made perfect sense for them to become sort of the OHN drivers. And they sort of built a team to make OHN10 happen.
M: And they also became the primary drivers behind York Street battle right?
Z: Exactly. Yes.
In fact their first step when they stepped was to make YSB…
Spencer said to me very clearly when he took over in the activities post-OHN9. My primary goal is to fix the Sydney scene. Because GGs had closed.
M: Oh yeah there was a big GGs issue.
Z: Yes. We'd been kicked out of GGs. We had no venue. The scene was basically on the brink again, just like way back when Playtime had closed. So they said, look, we found rooms on York Street that we can do locals in. We want to bring the Sydney scene back from the brink. And save it.
So that was their job. So they spent the next three or four months just focused on Sydney and doing that. You ask why is it Sydney-centric.
I mean when you got the only two guys that are admin that are in the Sydney scene, of course that's going to be their primary focus. So that's what they were doing. And when it became clear that there was interest from the Tekken community to get the next OHN happening. And they were interested in sort of realizing it.
And they invited me to be involved and me and Justin. Once they got their heads straight on doing the YSB stuff, that was when they started to look at planning OHN10.
M: It was the training for OHN10 basically.
Z: Pretty much yeah. They were just sort of getting their sea legs in, so to speak.
And it was also an financial inventory thing too because they used the YSB money to fund the hardware that was needed to run OHN. Because we knew OHN9 didn't have enough gear. And it was not acceptable to rely on community to bring stuff. Because you can't at a serious major tournament rely on the community for all the gear.
So they used the YSB…because historically the way it was you went to GGs. You paid your money. GGs split that money with Kevin/Josh who had some consoles there and the cabinets there. And the money was all on that side of the fence. So the community paid their way to use the space.
Now with the YSB situation and also with our guys running it rather than external third parties. You've got guys who say, we'll charge you this much. It pays for the venue and anything we get extra we'll use to fund hardware. We'll use to fund stuff the community needs. To make these events bigger and better.
Spencer's goal was very clear. He said: I want to create a BYO stick local environment for Sydney. I don't want them to bring monitors, I don't want them to bring consoles. I want to provide all that for them. I just want them to walk in with a TE under their arm and be ready to play.
So he knew financially what he had to do to get that done. And he and Shane have worked very hard and done a fantastic job, and have enjoyed a lot of support from the Sydney scene.
Because numbers blew up once we started running YSB.
Z: The reason why GGs was always stagnant was that the physical room- couldn't cope. The one time we had sixty dudes turn up in summer for a SFIV tournament at the event, there was a huge fallout with GGs afterwards. Because they had Magic tournaments that night. They couldn't have sixty Street Fighter dudes in their room. It just doesn't suit their business model. So the events were always capped at GGs.
Not officially, but physically you went there and if there was more than so many people you felt uncomfortable. The staff weren't happy that you were there. The Magic players weren't happy that you were there. There was a bit of friction. It was a discouraging environment.
YSB is the opposite. We want to fill the room with Street Fighter players. That's all we're here to do. And if we ever have too many, we'll try a bigger room!
So it's kind of, it's a completely opposite…instead of being constrained it's now wide arms open for as much growth as we can take.
The Sydney community has wanted to grow for years; this is the first chance they've had and they've embraced it.
M: That's amazing.
Everyone should remember that this is a community. And this is based on the passion of people like…This is their hobby and no one pays them to do it. And it's amazing that things like this can happen because of the passion of dudes like Spencer and Shane.
Z: I guess as well to contrast that with the Melbourne situation where you've got tons of events but spread out a lot. And people feeling a bit oversaturated and things.
Shane and Spencer have been petitioned by the community to make the events more frequent.
M: Hmm interesting.
Z: Because at GGs we had weekly at one point or fortnightly, depending.
And there was always a sense of people thought the event was a little bit disposable. It's kind of ahh I can miss this one. There's always next week kind of attitude.
So they said, look. These rooms aren't cheap. And we're going to buy all these consoles and monitors we can't be going backwards on our events. You need to feel like if you miss this you miss out kind of thing.
Z: So people have said to them, I want fortnightly. And they've just said straight to their faces: no. You're not getting fortnightly.
People have said to them, we wanted a little more frequency. So they said, we won't wait four weeks, we'll run three weeks and then we'll run five weeks the next one and see how you respond. Well, numbers are usually down.
So they've gone, nope. Keep it four weeks apart. People are always keen…right up to the point that they have to turn up.
M: Heheheh.
Z: Then you know who's really keen. It's the OHN2 mistake. Everyone was so keen after OHN. So yeah, six months later, let's do it. Numbers were down. It's kinda of…people devalue it the more often it is.
M: Yes. Exactly. I agree 100%. But…um…there's two sides to the coin. You can definitely argue that the frequency devalues the event. But on the other hand, having a regular place to grind and level up is really good for the community as well.
S: It's not even that. It's also about consistency as well. If you have something that is on consistently, people will get it into their routine.
M: They'll fit their lives around it.
Z: Yep. I mean the one downside of YSB is that they haven't been to lock it into the X Saturday of the month. Like always the first, always the second. But they're kind of at the mercy of whatever's already booked into York Street. They book it months in advance actually, they actually make their reservations way in advance. So they'll know they have a room but unfortunately they just kinda have to move it around a little bit.
S: I was gonna say that this is one thing that I really loved about Couchwarriors while it was at, what was the marriage place?
M: The convent. The Abbotsford convent.
S: Yeah. See, that was the first Saturday of every month. You knew where you're going.
M: Yeah, God was looking down on you.
S: Exactly. And we get random drunk people walking in and going, what the hell are these people doing?
S: But that aside, it was really good! And in that sort of 2010 era? We had the four week schedule.
M: Yeah. And we had consistent attendance at Couchwarriors.
S: No we had consistent attendance at everywhere! We had consistent attendance at CCH. We had consistent attendance at Couchwarriors. We had consistent attendance at Deakin.
And actually Deakin grew a lot over that last one where we almost had…I was thinking about getting a second room, because we were just full. Especially during the summer.
But anyway. I think that consistency is one of the most important things in basically everything, in these sort of community based events. Because people will get it into their routine…
M: It's not just that. Probably Arcade Edition…the Yun and Yang version kinda killed interest for some people as well. So it's a lot of factors. It's not just…
S: Yeah but Marvel also was out and…Yeah it's really interesting.
M: But yeah, go on Ziggy.
8- S: So actually speaking of OHN, so why did OHN make a decision to go fully pre-reg and BYOC then.
Z: Well the…on the pre-reg side of things we actually did that for EVO APAC. So it wasn't like we hadn't done that before.
M: Ah yeah.
Z: In fact OHN9 wound back the clock again because it wasn't Justin and I calling the shots there so it was kind of wound back in that direction. When we came to OHN10 Spencer and Shane was on board with it in general, and I said, look if I'm pressing the registrations I want pre-reg. Because I can't do the brackets properly if I have to deal with it on the day. It's just not worth the hassle.
OHNX. Panda Photography.
M: I also agree. Pre-reg is the only thing…you need that for brackets, basically.
Z: To be honest if you want to ask us whether or not it hurt us in terms of people missing out…absolutely people missed out. And I'm sure some people were cheesed off and might not come back because of it. But at the end of the day, you really have to draw a line in the sand if you're serious about doing this as professionally as you can. I know it's just a hobby thing, it's just a community thing. But I mean, we've got the gaming presses' attention now. We've got corporate attention to some degree. We can't keep kind of…stuffing around with this. Now's the time to get it right.
Go back to OHN1. If I said pre-reg only I would've had nobody in the bracket. That was the time. But now, it's a different generation. It's a different attitude. Everyone's kind of hooked in through the websites and the online side of the community now. You're not dealing…back then you were running tournaments, your nationals were in the arcade where the casuals were played. You were relying on walk-in traffic to make the bracket look okay.
It's totally different [now]…If you're in a venue that's not an arcade. Foot traffic's not even part of the equation, I don't even understand why it's part of your business model anymore!
Z: It just doesn't make any sense. I mean, the thing is too, you gotta ask yourself when you're running a bracket, why are you running a bracket? Are you just…is it just for giggles or are you running a serious competition? Because if you're running a serious competition, with serious competitors with a serious title or prize on the line, do you really want the dude who just found out about this morning when he woke up and checked the forums and wandered in off the street saying, I play this game. I'll have a go.
Now you got another two matches at least in the bracket you've got to run for a guy who doesn't even really care if he's there or not.
Is that worth it for everybody else?
M: Yep. At a certain point, the integrity of the tournament is more important than the hanger-ons, basically.
Z: Yeah.
There was a guy by the name of Freddie Teo, Summer was his nickname. Melbourne guy. At one point I used to badger him sometimes when I was down in Melbourne. Why aren't you in the bracket? Why aren't you in the bracket?
He's like, I know you see it as getting the numbers up, and that's fine and everything. But if I'm not serious about this game- it's disrespectful for me to enter this bracket. And play against these people who have trained and worked hard, when I don't really…I'm not that interested in it. I'm not serious enough about it.
I used to think that was a negative. But over the years, as I started to realize that I was the annoying hanger-on in the brackets sometimes.
Z: You start to go, yeah I don't really care that much if I'm playing or not. And you know, anybody could fill that scrub slot. I mean, a bye or me, it doesn't almost matter at this point. So, it is kind of…
Don't get me wrong. I encourage people to have a go. I want people to try. But you do have to sit down and want to win. Even if you think you're going to go 2 and out. You really need to sit down and be serious.
S: So speaking about brackets, what were your motivations for the Bracketed series?
M: No I mean, can we go on with this a bit more?
S: Alright, sure.
M: I think York Street Battle has a lot to do with…you guys have created…To get pre-reg to work, you have get a culture of pre-reg and BYOC going. And you guys definitely have that going with YSB because I noticed at OHNX quite a few Melbourne players didn't even realize that it was BYOC. Even though it said there on the site…and I brought my stick because it says BYOC but…
Because they're not used to it. In Melbourne we don't really do BYOC. And you guys have trained your players to be used to that. And I think that is really good!
Z: Yeah, I mean, hats off to Spencer and Shane. They've been the ones who have done all the hard work on the ground to make that work. But yeah in terms of the decision to do it, I didn't make that call per se. I think it was Spencer who just kind of fronted up and said, look. If I can provide the monitors and consoles and they can provide the sticks we can meet halfway here. Because the problem with the old model of, or the classical model of, look, if enough people bring enough stuff, we can make enough setups to make this work.
You just never know what's going to come in the door. Whereas the attitude that sort of that EVO has taken that seems to work pretty well for them is…
We can provide you the monitors and the consoles and the games. All we ask is that when we call you up to play, you actually have a device upon which you can play. And I mean it just makes it clear who's bringing what to the party if you know what I mean?
There's no people to bring in two bowls of chips and no dip if you know what I mean?
M: Yeah. (Laughs.)
Z: So you actually get all the food you need for the banquet so to speak. And that way… The good thing about sticks too is that it's one of those things that you can kind of…you don't need one per player really. You say you want that, but you can get by with quite a few less. Because you're never going to have one console per player. Not like a Halo tournament or something. You can manage a bit less. You can make up the shortfall. You don't need everybody to be on board. You just need enough people and enough people who are generous and kind enough to be willing to share their gear with other people. And you can get it over the line.
But in terms of…if you look at all the stuff that you got to provide for console tournaments, the logical way to split the responsibility between the organizers and the players, is controllers on the players' side. Because that's the part they need to use, and that they might be personally touchy about. And the other side which they're insensitive to, you can mass collect on the collector's side.
S: The other thing with the BYOC is…why would you trust somebody else's stick? Because obviously, you're in a tournament. You want to use something which feels natural and which you've been practicing on.
Personally if I'm ever gonna be playing in a tournament, I want to be playing on something that I've either played on before. Or I feel comfortable with. Or something that is mine. Because, to use a stupid analogy is…I'm not going to borrow your pair of shoes to go play basketball.
Z: (Laughs.) Exactly.
M: Yeah. It's just a culture. We were discussing BYOC in our Couchwarriors and in our Illuminati Shadowloo meetings and like…some people are resistant to it because they're just used to it. We have to create the culture of BYOC in Melbourne and in Australia countrywide, because we're getting to the point to do it otherwise at majors anymore.
Z: Two things One side of it is definitely the um…I understand carrying a TE under your arm for a while, especially if you're on public transport is a pain in the neck. Don't get me wrong. I understand it's not fun. Imagine what it's like at EVO where you got to lug that sucker around for half a day.
S: I'm it. I lugged two!
Z: Exactly, you know exactly what I'm talking about.
I understand the resistance because it's a pain. Okay, if you can find friends to share the burden…let's face it. This is a social community, you are supposed to try to make hook ups here. Make friends, share the burden. Make it a bit easier for yourself. You know, three guys are sharing a stick over the course of the day. And only one has to babysit it from time to time. That's not so bad.
On the other side, definitely that arcade culture of…you come in and you play with the tools that you find. Is very much ingrained in a lot of the older players for sure. Give you an example, when I went up to the ACL finals in Brisbane last year, some guy has his own Hyper Fighting cabinet that he brought into the event. And those controls were wired up terribly. One side, the kicks and the punches were the wrong way around. The other side certain directions on the stick weren't working and certain buttons weren't working. And you know what, people played the hell out of that.
Because it was a challenge! People said they wanted to play, I don't care if it's wrong. I'll just work out how to cope with…
And so when it's casuals anyway, there's this attitude of…I hear the U.S. OGs say it all the time. If they walked in and they found a SFII cabinet and heavy punch wasn't working, they'd say okay. Who can I pick, that I can win with without heavy punch. It was a puzzle to be solved. That was the attitude they took.
Now…it's not the attitude that I ever take. I actually get really annoyed when I get on a cabinet and things don't work. But there's that a generation of people who say, if you give me a stick, and it's…a lemon I'll just make lemonade out of it. It's okay. I'll find a way to deal with it.
S: To be honest though, in the early arcade days…because I was an arcade rat. And I played in arcades literally all over the world. Including Spain, France, and so forth. And you know, I've played in some really dingy places. The thing is you just sort of walk in, you put your money in…and yeah it's basically like rolling the dice, honestly.
And you just do what you can. But we've gotten to the point that arcades are no longer around. And if you're going to be playing in a serious tournament…personally you want to bring your own stuff.
The other problem with the arcades in those days were…the owners. It'd cost them money to replace things every time. And basically you have to look at the bottom line. If people are still playing on half-broken things. And the money's coming in…well why fix something that's not broken. Even though the sticks are broken. Bad pun but still.
Z: The thing is too, when you walk into the arcade to play on that broken controller it was casual time right? You were just mucking around. Some practice was some practice no matter how silly it might've been.
To my mind, walking in and playing on a broken cabinet is the same as going online and getting nothing but lag matches. You would just make the most out of the situation. Walking into a tournament…if you walked into a tournament and there was bad lag, you'd probably walk out.
Walk into a tournament and the sticks weren't working. I remember this happened when we tried to run a KOF tournament at Playtime once. The stick weren't working, everybody just stepped back and waited two hours for the technician to come in. Because they refused to play on it.
That's a fine example of why arcade tournaments are and should be dead. Because the environment's just not conducive to getting the right quality at the right time. And that's why we need, for tournament play, there needs to be a mindset of, I know you always have the casual guys but you need a mindset of if you're a competitor, you need to have a certain gear of a certain quality. And you have to understand there's a certain amount of responsibility on you. I mean we emphasize that with the rules all the time like…if you didn't read a rule, and you accidently paused and your player decided to take the round, there's no point in complaining and crying. It's written down there, you had a chance to read it before.
M: Yeah 100%.
Z: But yeah, a lot of people really have trouble crossing the line. Going from a casual mindset, to "this is just a game" to I'm competing at this game here.
And it's funny, because often people on the casual side get really mad about losing and stuff. And they're not really in that competitive mindset either. They kind of live in this weird hybrid space where they think they're competitive but they're not. And they can be a bit frustrating to deal with at times. But it's…because they'll compete, but they're not really competing and they're the guys who will not turn up with a stick and then cry when you don't give them a stick, and all that sort of stuff.
M: To get off the topic of BYOC for a while, I'd like to go back to when you talked about Justin Wong and bringing Daigo over. It seems that you guys definitely have a history of bringing over international players before. But you guys…are you for it in this day and age?
9- What are your thoughts on organizers flying out big name players to their events?
Z: Well in terms of history…I mean you know…I mentioned why Daigo came out. I never quite finished probably saying why Justin Wong came out.
M: Mm.
Z: Ultimately we had spare money from the SBO fund that didn't get used because we didn't send a team.
M: Ahh. Okay.
Z: Between that and player donations and Joey calling up Justin directly instead of talking to Triforce…
S: Heh.
Z: And saying, are you free? Would you like to come?
He's like, yeah man I'll come. Just pay for the ticket. And so we did that. And then next thing you know, Justin Wong's in Sydney. It was just learning the right way to go about it basically.
And we only entertained the idea because we knew OHN6 was a dead event. It was dead in the water, there was no interest.
M: Ah, I see.
Z: No one was coming from Melbourne, no one cared. I say no one, but Toxy was always gonna to come right? Because he's just hardcore. But Kevin wasn't coming until he heard about Justin Wong. And a whole bunch of other people weren't really coming until they heard about Justin Wong.
Teenage Toxy! vs. Shaaa OHN5.
So he was the only meat in the sandwich that year. There was nothing else. There was no hype around any of the games. And I mean Justin won seven of the eight games, or whatever.
M: Heheh.
Z: It was free, pretty much. His match against Kevin in Third Strike was the only really epic final that he was in. And Kevin gave him a real run for his money. But you know, Ibuki and Chun Li in Third Strike, what can you do?
Z: And don't get me wrong, I don't know if you've watched those videos but damn, he fought about it and he put a damn good hard effort in. But still, it's Chun Li vs. Ibuki.
M:Yeah heh.
Z: But yeah, he was brought out really because the event had nothing else. And it was also making up for the failure of OHN5 in not getting him out. OHN was always intended as a national rivalry tournament. It was never meant to be a vehicle for international competition. Even EVO APAC wasn't meant to be a vehicle for national competition…It was really meant to…
Well actually…I told a lie there. We were trying to get people from South East Asia. We were talking to Singapore and Hong Kong. And we were talking to New Zealand. We got New Zealand out obviously, but for the others we just couldn't…strike a deal there, so to speak.
So we had had plans along that direction but we never put in the effort required to make it work. That's the most honest way to say it. It's not that we would be against the idea of having a bunch of big names in Sydney from all over the world going at it. It's just…the amount of money and time and investment needed…No one on the team then or now is prepared to do what's necessary. Or is invested in realizing it to make it kind of happen.
So…yeah you have to really want it to happen and then be prepared to put in the hours to do it.
M: And is there a conscious decision with the presence of Shadowloo Showdown now, it's like oh they got the guests. Let them do the guests and we'll focus on the national side of things. Is that…
Mago the 2D God, SS2010.
Z: I think that's a natural response to the situation at hand. I mean after EVO APAC there was kind of the sense that we weren't prepared for Daigo. And what Daigo…
Because Daigo was post-Justin Wong of course. And with Justin Wong, the fan factor wasn't the same.
People didn't line up for Justin Wong's autography. This was all pre-SFIV as well. So a) it's wasn't that generation and b) yeah it's Justin Wong. More people saw him as a villain than as a hero, so!
S: Ah yes.
Z: So it was a completely different mindset. And we just weren't prepared for the amount of people that came to spectate just because Daigo was there. The amount of people that signed up to play just cause Daigo was there. The amount of people that wanted to talk to him or get an autograph. The amount of Japanese people living in Sydney that turned just because Daigo…we've never seen those people ever again.
But you know, they came up just because of him.
M: Hell, I went down to Sydney for Daigo.
Z: See! Heh.
But yeah, there was a lot of that. But yeah you're in the community and you would've come for Street Fighter sort of regardless. But there were dudes we'd never seen before and have never seen since. And I think you probably had that at Shadowloo Showdown at well. Dudes that turned up that you'd never seen them before.
M: And never seen them again. Yeah.
Z: And never seen them again. Just because they want that, I've seen this dude on Cross Counter, or I've watched this dude's matches so many times…
M: Yeah pretty much. Heh.
Z: I wanna breathe his air, I wanna play against him, I wanna be in the same room as him…
M: I wanna steal his Coke…
Z: I want his name on my TE damnit!
Z: So they go for that. There's a drawcard to that. And that's a great thing. I don't know financially how to build a tournament around it, personally.
M: Is it sustainable here in Australia?
S: That's a very good question.
Z: If I were to do it the way I do things, no.
It totally can't be done the way I approach things. The way Shane and Spencer are approaching things right now as well, I don't think it would be.
I don't know how the Shadowloo Showdown guys do business. I'm pretty sure the Couchwarriors guys if they were left to their own devices, the way they do things, it wouldn't make sense.
But because Shadowloo's got this international perspective. And they've got their fingers in pies beyond Australia. And they're taking a business approach towards it and networking on a business level.
M: That is the biggest difference. Like Couchwarriors and Ozhadou we're kind of like…a non-profit organization with a hobby, community side on things. And Shadowloo is a business, straight up.
Z: Precisely, yeah. So props to those guys. People like xx (name removed by request). In that, in their time and even Eric to some degree, had a more business mindset. And sort of tried to push in that direction. But nobody's had the manpower or the powers or the resources that Shadowloo have brought to the table. And um…it takes the right combination of people that you're comfortable to work with, and the right dedication across all those people.
It's not hard for me to find friends to work with, within the community. But finding friends to work with who are prepared to put in the amount of effort I am or more…
Because it takes more than what I put in to do what Shadowloo does. Way more.
That just takes you know, the right place, the right time, the right people.
Because first of all, you've got no money to hire these dudes. You're relying on them just turning up and being keen. It's not easy.
M: It's not easy at all. It's a humongous task. And Shadowloo is not replicable, because they have Ali, who does it basically full-time. And you have the brothers who have the necessary skills and…they live in the same house and they…
Z: Well that's right. If you look at SRK.com you have to ask yourself, if the Cannon brothers weren't brothers and twins would SRK look like what it looks today? Who knows? Would EVO look like what it looks today? Who knows?
So sometimes it just takes the right combo of people, the right place, the right time, and you just don't know where it's going to happen.
M: Yep exactly.
Daigo vs Derrace. GGs, EVO APAC.
10- So yeah, before we move onto another topic, so what do you think of Daigo being in Sydney while…we were in Melbourne for Shadowloo Showdown! (Laughs.)
Z: That was a surreal time!
Because I got phone calls as I was getting off the plane for Shadowloo Showdown 1. And Joey's like, yeah I hear Daigo's in Sydney.
I'm like, you have got to be kidding me.
M: Yeah, what a troll!
Z: What is with this man!
But anyway we tried talking to him about SS. And we tried talking to him about coming to S3 which is like the weekend after. And he was like, nah, I'm just here to chill. And we're like, that's cool, that's cool.
But we've never talked to Daigo directly. There's a language barrier obviously. But it's always been going through like his agent, his representative. Who I think- she's with Capcom USA by memory.
Z: So he represents him when talking to, I guess, Western interests.
S: Even now, when he's sponsored by Mad Catz?
Z: No it might be different now. Well actually no, he was sponsored by Mad Catz at EVO APAC wasn't he?
S: Uhh..
M: Yes he was wearing the Mad Catz shirt, remember?
S: Yes. Yes. Actually I think that was the one of the first tournaments that he went to sponsored by Mad Catz, actually.
M: Yeah, pretty much.
Z: I remember people saying, oh you know, Mad Catz sponsored him to go to EVO APAC. And that used to rub me the wrong way. Because Mad Catz had…
S: Nothing to do…
Z: Nothing to do with anything. It was just Seth getting in touch with us, then putting us in touch with this woman who was managing him who I think was within Capcom USA who was like his liaison. We got no official assistance from Mad Catz, no money, no nothing.
I'm always a little bit cynical actually about sponsored players as a tournament organizer. Because it's kinda the "what's in it for me" attitude. It's sort of like, okay, yeah you're paying the player to do the thing and the stuff, but then I got to pay to get him here?
M: Yeah. I think there was this misconception of sponsored players at the start of this whole phenomenon. But now people are starting to realize the reality of it that I guess a lot of sponsors don't really do anything for…
S: No…it's not actually that. I think the majority of the sponsorships are…if to say the player's a U.S. sponsored player, they're only sponsored for U.S. tournaments. They're not sponsored for international tournaments.
Oh sorry, the scope of the contract is; we will sponsor you to go to U.S. tournaments. So if they say they wanna go to SBO or they wanna go to Australia or they wanna go to Singapore, or anywhere else, I believe you get there on your own dime. You're still representing us…but…
M: But what I mean is with this big rush of people to go and get sponsored at the start of this trend, and now you see people kind of leaving their contracts and people being unhappy with their situations.
S: Yeah because…just like with most other places most people don't really think about lawyering up and reading contracts.
M: Heh, lawyering up.
S: I'm serious.
S: It's the same as signing a contract on your phone. Do you know how people don't read their 24 month contract? And then they decide to back out. And they go well wait a minute, you owe us six hundred dollars.
M: Yep, pretty much.
S: It's the same deal. People don't sit down and you know, read contracts. I mean, it's a nice idea but…
The other thing is actually, what I really wanted to say, I think Gootecks and Mike Ross really…
I think their sponsorships is probably one of the most interesting things is because Gootecks is already orientated from a business perspective, has that sort of a mind. And when they announced they got sponsored, I actually really wanted to see that contract.
M: Ah. (Laughs.)
M: It would be interesting to read…but that's never gonna happen.
S: It's never gonna happen but I would really like to see that because I think that would sort of give the perspective of how a sponsorship should work, where I believe there is a give and take in that relationship rather than…not so much in from what I've noticed from all the other sponsorship.
Especially some of the Mad Catz ones which I find a little bit more…very interesting.
But anyway, let's not get sidetracked too much.
11- M: Yep! So next topic, are you guys gonna do a followup to S3?
Z: S3. Oh geez. S3 was the kind of the unofficial successor of the heatwave which I think was the unofficial successor to nothing.
I think it was just borne out of…not much happening at the time. By memory.
It was kind of a gap filler. At one point Justin and I talked about having bi-annual instead of annual in Sydney, like major wise. Where there would always be the national level focus one and another one that was lower key that people could come to.
It never really took off because probably you go through that phase and thinking, yeah we can do more of this. And after you do a major, it's like no, we can't do more of this!
Z: So you kind of…you have to be a little bit realistic about these sorts of things sometimes.
M: Yeah. You have to be slightly insane, I think. I think guys like Ali and Chris (GC) are slightly insane. Because they do one event and it was…oh man. That was so tough. Oh, let's do it next week!
(Laughs.)
Z: Yeah when I walked into the Capcom showcase in Sydney and saw Ali and Chris and that doing their thing there. My first reaction was oh, it's a shame that Sydney guys weren't invited to do this. And a few minutes later I looked at the condition and I went, glad I'm not doing this!
Z: Because you just think, you really have to want to do it.
Z: You have to be kind of in the space…so props to those guys for…it takes a lot to…
Z: They are willing to say, that's it. Antarctica tournament. Let's go tomorrow. Let's just do it! They'll do it out in the middle of the snow. They don't care.
M: I'm pretty sure he would. Unless he ran out of gas on the way.
But like yeah, I'm well and truly into this is a hobby and I'm an old man and I whinge about things. So I'd be there going oh man, why do I not have more sticks. Why can't I get these people out of my way. I don't have a megaphone, this is unacceptable, I'm going to have a bit of a fit!
But like Ali's, no, I will soldier. And that's just the way it is.
M: (Laughs). Yes.
Z: So like, I think one of the problems with wanting to do more majors is that there has to be the sort of reasonable amount of motivation. I think, looking nationally, I think what the scene needs now is more, more stuff in the other regions that have critical mass. Like I feel like…I don't think that Perth and Adelaide are there yet. But they're on the path. And I think…I don't know if Canberra will ever get there just due to the population but you never know. But Brisbane I feel is kind of living in sort of a limbo space at the moment. Like, good stuff happens in Brisbane. But it just hasn't quite cemented itself to sort of…The fusion of events to create a sustainable major quite hasn't happened. It feels like all the parts are there. But that one last catalyst doesn't seem to be coming on. Maybe it'll happen this year, maybe next year, I dunno. But I'd be more interested in helping create something that fills a gap like that. Whereas I feel another major in Sydney wouldn't really be plugging a gap at the moment. I think that between YSB and OHN they're well and truly sorted out.
S: To be honest with you, I think the only…from talking to Tom from Queensland, I think they're just missing a Gamogo or a Shane or an Ali to just take all those little bits and go, look this is what we're doing, come out.
M: Mm. Somebody with the right mixture of free time and passion.
S: Yeah. Just the leader, to basically unite the Queenslanders.
M: Well there was one guy that they mentioned that was one guy for a while…was it Val…sorry
S: I'm not sure, I can't remember.
M: I can't remember either.
S: But I think that's the one thing Queensland's missing, just basically one motivational guy to go, look, this is where stuff's gonna be happen. Be here, and let's get things going.
Z: Yeah. Because between Slapper on the Ozhadou/Lansmash side and JB on the Lansmash side, I mean, they've got some of the best streaming gear in the country. Bar maybe Bugsimus. They're got plenty of gaming gear and hookups. And they've got venue access and they've got players there. As you say they just seem to lack one dude who's like, I'm going to make sure this is going to happen, sort of thing.
Toxy and Heavy Weapons. OHN8.
12- M: Mm. And speaking about streaming, why don't we get more match videos and streams out of Sydney. Why aren't there YSB streams? I've always wondered about this.
Z: Okay. The reality of Sydney is that everybody is lazy by default. But I imagine that's the same in every scene, right? So you're waiting for that one magic man to emerge from amongst the masses and say, I am your superhero. I will save the world. I will do this job. And no man has put up his hand, and come in to be the hero for the stream for Sydney. It just hasn't materialized.
I mean, Benson has done some stuff on and off. As has TheMuso. But TheMuso doesn't seem to available when YSB's happening consistently to be the go-to guy. And Benson's sort of in a similar boat. So the end result is that no one individual has said, I feel like being the streamer. Everyone's still kind of happy being the player or the bracket guy or whatever.
And um, and you guys would know, probably from talking to Bugsimus, it's not a cheap endeavor. Once you decide to stream man, you've really got to have some capital behind you, and be committed. And hours. I mean it's not a…
M: Not an easy job.
Z: …small undertaking. So again, it's just waiting for that guy to turn up. At the moment, we're cheating at OHN and using the talents of JB and Slapper to get it done with Lansmash resources. But I mean if you don't have it, you just outsource, that's just the way the world works. But you can't do that at a local level so.
S: So what about more media content in general.
How about just getting like matches from YSB recorded and then put up on Ozhadou.
M: Youtube.
S: Because this is the thing, for example I didn't even know that YSB is on today. And by the way, to be 100% honest, I don't really follow the Australian fighting game scene that much. My main interest…I mean I love the Australian fighting game community, don't get me wrong, but I don't follow it as much as I follow the US. Because there's just so much more media content coming out of the US. And I would really want to know what's happening in Sydney. Besides going to Ozhadou and reading the forums, there's no other way for me to really get any information on what's happening. And not just in Sydney, by the way. In any of the local scenes. And yeah, it's just a bit disappointing, because I'm actually really interested to know what's happening in Adelaide. Especially in WA. I only see Derrace once or twice a year. Mr Chowda, Guillotine Fist. I know they're out there doing stuff…but why don't…tell me something! I want to know!
Z: Yeah exactly. Because most of my knowledge from around the country comes from occasionally glancing at the forums. Which I don't read anywhere near as much as I did five years ago. In fact I barely look at it these days. So you know, aside from just scanning my eyes down the tournament announcement threads, you've got no idea what's going on. And um, I mean, OH as a centre of information has fallen quite short of what it could've been and what it should be.
The front page blog has been a complete and utter debacle. Part of the problem is again, there's no guy who's gone and put his hand up and said I will be the blogger of Ozhadou. So the end result is I do my little thing every week, where I just have my little rant about tournament organization. And then you've got occasionally if Shane's got five minutes between his ridiculous work schedule to say something, he might.
Justin was head blogger but he's faded into the background. There were a few other guys that have been on there but they just don't commit, so.
M: Like myself.
Z: Okay, you're selling yourself short there, Mutton. Because to be honest, the one area that I don't usually have to worry about where the news is covered is Melbourne. Because I know if there's something serious in Melbourne, you'll usually jump on and you'll blog it. Like even with OHN I had to blog everything, except Melbourne. Because you would always jump on there and blog Melbourne. So thank you very much for doing that.
M: Well I could be doing a better job. But that's another discussion for another day.
M: And actually I have a little bit of an issue these days with everyone doing streams…I can't embed stream videos on the little window there…
Z: Oh yeah because that little text box doesn't really let you do much.
M: Yeah so it's not Youtube I can't put it there, and it's kind of annoying because…but okay that's another discussion [for another day]…
Z: Yeah, yeah. Exactly. But I mean, the front page has been due for a overhaul now for a long time now. Our weblord Gamogo has just been busy with other tasks and hasn't been able to get it done. There's prototypes and stuff, and things are moving along. And seriously six or twelve months ago I would've loved to see something go up. I can't tell you when it may or may not happen, it's a question that he needs to be asked, I guess. But that's definitely something I would like to…
Because my vision of the front page blog was really it should've have been a key events aggregator the way that Eventhubs is for the rest of the world. Just saying, this event is on. In this place, this weekend. Keep it in mind. Or, so and so, here's a quick rundown of the winners from last weekend. Or, Capcom's doing a thing in Sydney this weekend or this day, remember it.
Those kind of soundbites. Or even, hey guys. Street Fighter x Tekken is on the shelf now at JB. Or it's dropped today. There's heaps of Australian specific news you could blog.
S: Yeah definitely.
Z: It just that nobody seems to be willing to be the blog man. So again, there's a lot of potential. Like in a lot of parts of the scene, and Ozhadou as a site for a lot of that. But it just needs the men on the ground. It just needs the men on the ground. It needs people to want to commit to it and make it happen.
M: Yeah.
So yeah. You just mentioned Bracketed. Do you want to talk about your motivations for creating that?
13- S: Yeah, so what were your motivations for creating Bracketed?
Z: It was a bit of a…It was a two phase thing. Everybody knows that I gave rather vocal feedback after the second Shadowloo Showdown.
Z: I won't go into details into that.
S: Oh no, we got questions for that.
Z: Ah okay. Very good. (Laughs.)
It was kind of two pronged, okay maybe three pronged. On the one hand, I built this spreadsheet for doing all of my seeding at OHN. And I thought it was a good tool. But I knew it was horrifically user-unfriendly because I'm not a programmer. I'm a mathematician. So I can only program enough to get my algorithms to work. And then the rest is just good luck.
It's a tool that does what I need it to do. But you just can't hand it to someone and say, use it. It's like Challonge, it's not.
So I thought well, if I did a series of articles or whatever where I explain the functionality and give an example of how to use it, like a living training manual. Then at least people wouldn't have the excuse that they…even if I've said, look it's a better tool and they say well it's hard to use. [I can say] well I've tried to educate you even if you're not interested kind of thing. That was one side of it.
The other side of it was a certain degree of frustration of trying to give feedback to tournament organisers. And it not being taken on board or it taken too much to heart rather than seen as constructive criticism. And wanting to have a way to share that with the wider audience. Because it seemed that the target audience wasn't prepared to listen.
And I thought maybe if I started to talk to everybody instead of just the organisers, maybe the attendees would become start to become vocal about things that they either liked or didn't like. It's a two-way street as well, if they love something, by all means identify, understand why it works and then praise it. Rather than just blindly praising it.
Um, so there was some of the of two sides of it. And originally I thought I would only write about my spreadsheet and my theories about how I'd like to seed the bracket. And then that would be kind of the end of the road and I'd have nothing else to say. And then when I started thinking about it, there's kind of a ridiculous amount of little micro things I can talk about it when it comes to running a tournament. So then I just kind of kept kicking it along, and kicking it along and I don't think that it's gonna go forever. I can see an end in sight. Because I'm sure I'll start repeating myself. But um, it's been a bit of a catharsis for me just to get things off my chest. I hope it doesn't come across completely negative, it's meant to be encouraging and empowering, not talking down to people. I suppose I have a habit of that being my tone sometimes. But the lack of feedback makes it hard for me to tell if anyone's reading or if anyone cares. But um…
M: I read it. I enjoy it, finding out more about that stuff. And yeah, I think that the tone you have is fine. Because I'm dumb, I need to be educated!
S: It's not even that, you also almost have ten years experience in running tournaments!
M: Pretty much, yeah.
Z: I guess it's the other thing too is that it's awesome that people want do it their way. And I totally respect that. And I know we need people who want to do that. Because you're never going to get innovation without people saying no I've got an idea and I'm going to make it happen.
But it makes me bleed inside when I watch people make the same mistake I made five years ago.
M: I see, I see.
Z: It's like, you could have dodged that bullet. There was no reason to take that hit. And you've taken the hit and now everybody's going to have to wait another five years for you to learn the lesson. It's like no. We're further than that. And we're…running a tournament shouldn't really be a…It's competitive from the sense that we all want to one-up each other and offer a greater experience. But it doesn't have to be competitive from the sense of: we've all got to make the same mistake five times in a row before somebody learns anything. I'd rather stand on the shoulder of giants whether that be Shadowloo or Couchwarriors or whoever. Rather than just going, oh man. I've just paid no attention to what was happening over there. And now I'm starting from the ground floor again. It's like… but dude, there's all this stuff you could've based your ideas on. There's no need to start from the… The wheel is invented, don't reinvent the wheel.
M: Heheh. Yes.
S: It's basically just trying to mitigate certain pitfalls which you can actually do by…That actually makes sense. I mean. There is a lot of…this reminds me actually of any OHN…not OHN. Operational Health and Safety environment at any work. That's basically what they do. They tell you to sit up and straight. To have your monitor at 90 degrees. And you're basically doing the same thing except for it's just running a tournament.
Z: Exactly.
14- S: So why did you create the 2011 Shadowloo Showdown feedback thread?
Z: It was an interesting thing. Because while I was on the floor on Shadowloo Showdown, people would come up to me from Sydney mainly, but also on Queensland and say to me, oh I'm not happy this has been done with this bracket. I'm not happy with this thing.
And I said well…primarily it was often seeding. And you get that with every tournament. People whinge about seeding. It's inevitable. So um…I said to people. Well you know, okay. You're not happy about seeding. I mean you're in the heat of the moment, because you're about to play. If someone can kind of give me a look at the brackets so that I can take it away and think about it and actually quantify how the brackets have been done, let's see if you have a case or if you're being emotional.
And I knew I was never going to be able to get that data directly from the organisers. But it was published on the wall, public for anybody to write down if they had the time. So some guys snapped some shots for me and sent them across to me and I put together some stats. And I was surprised how good the regional spread was when I did that. I felt that a lot of the people from interstate were really unfair to Loki because considering the awful data…the way it came into him. He managed to apply…I don't know how he managed to do it but he managed to get a good pretty good spread…
M: By being superhuman. That's how he did it.
Z: Oh yes. He's more machine than man.
M: Yes!
Z: He ended up creating something that worked pretty well. Obviously it had its gripes. Like Tom, Australian champion for Marvel in the middle of some random pool somewhere kind of thing. In the end of the day that was never going to be sorted [out] in that environment. But it was more so that I wanted to analyse how it had been done, and just identify… If it had been stacked. Like all of Sydney in Pool A or whatever. To say to people, yep that really did go down, you should be upset about it and people should be thinking of how that happened and how they can mitigate it. Or if it wasn't the case, it's like you people are just emotional because you're in a tournament and you're hyped up and you're psyched, cut some people some slack and just chill.
But I mean after the event, while people had their feedback and gripes, a lot of people had a lot of positive things to say and really had a good time. So um…
M: But why did you create that thread. When I read it, I thought it had a lot of fascinating discussion and I agreed with a lot of things that you said. But why did you not instead bring that to a private discussion with the Shadowloo organisers instead of putting it out there and perhaps giving kind of like an open target board for people to shoot things at them.
S: I guess what one is sort getting around is, do you think it would've been perhaps been better to give them the data in a private forum, rather than a public forum.
Z: Yeah, it definitely would've been better. Except that I'd already done that before, for Shadowloo Showdown 1. Where'd I talked directly to Ali and a few other people on how things went down at that event. And I'd kept my feedback private. And I'd also filled out their survey that they put out, which was a good idea, afterwards.
And I was quite vocal in that. Because I wanted them to know everything that was on my mind. I figured yeah, the more they know the better they can manage things. And when I turned up to Shadowloo Showdown 2 and saw that either solutions had been applied that were worse than the original, or things that I'd highlighted had been totally ignored…
And in the lead up to Shadowloo Showdown 2 I tried to sort of talk to the organisers and was pretty much not getting any engagement. So I felt that I had no line of direct communication. And especially when you consider that Shadowloo Showdown was over the top of OHN9 as well, there was a lot of tension around the degree to which people kind of cooperated on an organizational level. So I sort of felt that the door was closed at that point in time. Or I tried walking through it and there was no receptiveness being displayed.
M: Perhaps you were talking to the wrong guy. You should have talked to Loki directly, maybe.
Z: Yeah I think on the bracket side of things I could've talked to Loki directly. But I mean, it's difficult too. Because again, full props to Loki for all that he does, and he does a fantastic job. But I kind of put my hand up when I went to the first BAM and said can I help. Because I'm not a competitor. I'm more than happy to pitch in and lend a hand. Loki said, no that's cool, we want to run our own thing. And I respected that and I provided some assistance where I could with some gear and stuff. But otherwise it was their thing. And that was fine. But even when it was sort of talking to Loki I found that it was sort of, look it's my bracket, it's my thing, just give me my space. And that's cool. I respect that, that's fine.
But it kind of means…Loki's way more receptive to direct feedback, but I was seeing it as a Shadowloo event more than a Loki event. So I felt that the umbrella was really Shadowloo.
And really Couchwarriors advertised…It wasn't made clear from the advertisement whether that CouchWarriors was running the brackets and Shadowloo was running the promotional…It was never really delineated like that. It was kind of, this is a Shadowloo event, we might be outsourcing some small aspects of it but um…
M: I guess it is really unclear to the rest of the states what is Shadowloo and what is CouchWarriors.
Z: Yeah!
But the reality is that we're just basically all in Melbourne. And if it's a Melbourne major, it's very likely that all the Melbourne people will be helping out. So kind of…it's called Shadowloo Showdown because it is run by Shadowloo, but you have Couchwarriors staff and Couchwarriors gear and even Impact people running the brackets, and so on and so forth.
Z: Well yeah in terms of running things that's certainly how it works, like it's often a team effort with people pitching in. But what you find is at some point, you need a king. You need someone to sit in the CEO's chair and make the final call.
S: The go-to guy.
Z: Someone needs to have the final power to say this is how we're going to do it and this is not. Otherwise you end up with decision paralysis where ten people have a different opinion. So someone has to sit in that chair, and usually that person comes from one organization or another. So what ends up happening there's usually one group that says, look. At the end of the day it's our name up in lights. Or we're going to be the front man on this, we're going to take the final hits.
I always feel if I walk up to a BAM, Loki's the man. Like Couchwarriors guy will be making the final call to what happens. If I walk into Shadowloo Showdown I feel like Ali or one of his brothers will be the final decision point to making a call. The same as if I walk into a Lansmash, I'd imagine I would have to talk to JB, no else in the room is gonna be the final "this is how it's gonna be" kinda guy.
The first BAM.
Not to say that's a good or bad thing, that's just the reality of having…how these things end up working.
M: And I guess from a practical point of view, we did not expect to get five hundred people in the door for Shadowloo Showdown 2. And…
Z: No way.
M: And talking to Ali on that weekend was basically so hard with so much shit going on…that weekend!
Z: Well I mean you guys know, talking to me for five seconds at OHN…
M: Yeah it's already really difficult.
Z: And that event was less than half the size. So like, once you get into that zone and you got a job to do, that's it. You can't really deal with any external stuff.
That's why the pre-planning phase is so…
M: So important, yes I agree.
Z: Because you're gonna pretty much lay all the foundations and once they're laid down…
Things that broke down at OHN like the staffing roster and the way that happened…There was no capacity to fix it on the fly because everyone's just too locked into what they're trying to do. And I imagine Shadowloo Showdown was the same, but amplified by a factor of ten.
So like, if Loki was sitting there going, man I wish I had five more guys to run this bracket, well there aren't five more guys to run this bracket now. And the way they're gonna do it has been laid out in stone so they're just going to have to soldier and hope that they come out the other side. It's hard but that's unfortunately because we just don't have that amount of trustworthy people that you can call up at a drop of a hat. Often, if the scope of something blows up on you, you just sort of kind go, put your head down and hope for the best.
M: Especially with a major on the level of a OHN or Shadowloo Showdown you just can't call a random Joe and hey, hold this bracket for me.
Z: And what happened with the finals at OHNX is a beautiful example of how you set everything up and it's kind of got around to that, and kind of any fix is a catastrophic fix. And it's kind of…you don't want to go there but…you have to finish it somehow.
15- M: But yeah, you were very transparent in your own criticisms and judgments of what went wrong with OHN. And kind of after having all that discussion about Shadowloo Showdown 2K11, how do you feel OHNX worked from an organizational perspective. Do you think things could've been done better, what were you actually happy about, so on and so forth.
Z: Yeah I guess I probably covered it already in painful detail on the forums.
M: Yeah heh.
Z: But I think in terms of…overall it worked well. But my…the fact that we managed to get all the games' finals on the same day somehow and kind of bring that all together, give BYO games or DIY games a little bit of stage time… Get our first OHN stream and all the rest of it. We ticked a lot of boxes that we wanted to tick, and I'm very happy with that, the brackets, the way they ran and everything.
Biggest failures…nearly having a dude from Brisbane having to fly home on Friday because he was underage for being in the venue was a huge catastrophe.
S: Oh really?
M: I did not know that.
Z: Yeah. Baxter from Queensland was under 18. And we didn't realize that we weren't allowed to have under 18s in the venue because there was a bar kinda there.
Because we actually didn't realize that stipulation from the prior year. The staff had turned over at the venue and they were much more rigid on enforcing it.
M: Ah I see.
Z: In the end we negotiated no alcohol in the room. And he could stay but if there's any alcohol, him and the guy who brought the alcohol would have to leave immediately kind of thing. So we managed to negotiate terms. But at one point we were going to be paying to fly him home. That's how…
M: That's how bad it was.
Z: How bad it was getting. So that was a huge screw-up on our part. The other side of it was really the rostering and the scheduling in terms of how much we were doing. Because we hadn't done a multi-game tournament in…
OHN9 was kind of a pick up and run with it kind of thing. It wasn't really planned in detail, it wasn't very big so it didn't have to be. EVO Apac was a one game event really. So it's really easy to run a one game tournament, you just have everything dedicated to that.
So this was the first time going back to kind of the OHN8 space where you have half a dozen serious tournaments. We really only have three majors but because of the EVO thing and trying to prop up Soul Calibur and KOF. Even though they were DIYs it kind of turned into sort of a five game tournament.
And we just blew the schedule to pieces, on the finals day in particular. But it wasn't really that great, pools were running overtime as well on the Saturday. So really we underestimated…I'm usually very pessimistic about run times. So I usually allow way more time than necessary.
But during OHN9 I was criticized a lot for being too pessimistic about it, so this time I took a aggressive stance and it kind of bit us in the backside.
M: Oh! I see.
Z: It kind of turned around on us. It was embarrassing too because I'd just written that article about don't screw your schedule, and then I screwed up the whole schedule. So it's kind of, yeah, shoot yourself in the head Ziggy.
Z: But um, yeah. Sometimes you've just to stuff it up to learn. That's just how it goes. But it was great to deliver a EVO style finals where all the finals were on one day. But we learned a valuable lesson that you've got to bloc way more time if you want to do it properly. Like one hour's was just way too aggressive per game.
M: I'm sure this year's Shadowloo Showdown is going to be a nightmare. We have so many games, the finals on Sunday as well. Oh my god.
Z: See, it shouldn't be: it's a nightmare. It should be; right now, we're solving the nightmare. This is the planning phase. All the nightmare…It should only be a nightmare on the day. Like up until the day, it should be, we can do this. On the day, yeah, you can have it fall apart. But I hope everyone's sitting there in Melbourne going, we got this. We know what we're doing. We've spent weeks, months, planning how to make all this stuff actually fit together.
M: Well this year what we're doing is we're trying to allocate different…every game has its own bracket staff. So that way we want to an excess of staff. We want to have a staff rotation. And for example, I'm going to be running Marvel this year. And we're probably going to be doing four pools at a time? So we want to have at least six to eight staff members on hand to run Marvel. So that's the approach we're going to have this year, and hopefully that will be enough to take us over the line. Yeah.
16- So yeah, on that topic, you mentioned in Bracketed, about volunteers. And you also mentioned at OHN that that was one of the failings…training of volunteers. How do you think this can be better implemented?
Z: Yeah there were two mistake that we made there. One was that we thought that it would be cool…well I thought it would be cool to have like a rotation. Because one of the problems that I've had in the past with staff is that nobody kind of wants to be stuck watching a setup for eight hours or whatever. So I thought, if we mix it up, and they can do a bit of this and a bit of that, it'll kind of keep it fresh. And they'll feel like they're having more fun doing it. The downside of that was no one really learned their task on the fly at all. Because they just kept chopping and changing. And also roster wise once we started running late, the roster just didn't make any sense anymore.
So I think specialization is actually better. Even though it seems a bit boring, and no I don't want to be the gopher for the stream for eight hours kind of thing. Well if two guys run it you can each take breaks and things. That way you get in the zone with what you've been asked to do. And as it goes on you get better and better at doing it. Because I put myself in the zone of just running those brackets. It was a bit of a stutter start the first pool of Street Fighter. But as we went on it was becoming really really smooth and I was getting it down sort of thing.
M: Mm definitely. I agree, that's a good point
Z: So yeah, I feel specialization is actually important and finding people who are willing to specialize…I mean, most people when they volunteer are pretty easy going. It's when you conscript people then it's a problem. When you say, I need you to help me? Please help me. Please.
And they say begrudgingly, oh alright. I will help you. I need you to do this for eight hours! Yeah sure.
And they disappear after two because they didn't want to be there in the first place.
Z: But the people who put their hands up, like all the Perth guys and the Sydney guys who volunteered. Kudos to all of those guys. They did a great job under the circumstance. They're just, yeah, give me whatever. I'm just here to help.
They're the guys you should respect that they're willing to do that, and actually give them a task to specialize accordingly. The other side of it training wise…
Because we were a bit… Friday setup would've been the perfect time to do it. But we were a bit haphazard. Poor Spencer was stuck in work. Later than we would've liked. And he was kind of… our manager and master of equipment. So without him we were a bit haphazard with setup on Friday. So it kind of had to be done twice. Which is a bit rubbish.
We kind of set it up, he came in and said, you've done it wrong. And then we had to do it all again. And that was fair enough because it was a mess. But because of that time wasted, time that could've spent pulling all the volunteers aside and saying, this is the job, this is what is needed to done, it just kind of got lost in the Matrix.
So you definitely need to help people understand what they need to do. Having someone with experience and someone without experience pairing on a task, and keeping them on the task all day is probably helpful. Means less training is needed. But yeah, it was silly to think that we could train nearly a dozen people in half a dozen tasks when we're all too busy to so much as breathe, before we ticked everything off.
M: Well that's why for this year at least, we've been using SNL as kind of, Shadowloo Night Live sorry, as kind of a training ground for the potential volunteers that we'll have at Shadowloo Showdown. So…I think we're still be doing training on the day, or at the least we'll go through the rules or whatever. But I mean, I think there's been a concerted effort to train people in bracket running. Leading up to the event. Are you guys looking to do that in the future?
Z: Yeah well I'm hoping that YSB becomes the training ground for OHN in that respect as well.
Z: Like I said these exact words pretty much to Justin actually during OHN. I said, YSB ultimately…OHN…any major is usually built on the foundation of its locals. So if the local works and it works well and it has good people behind it. That will naturally flow onto the major in the same region, assuming the same people are behind it.
So I'm like…one of the things that YSB sort of struggles with at the moment is that it's a little bit haphazard. Because even though they happen every month, as you said, Igor's already said; I don't know that it's on, I don't know what's happening, I don't know if I'll even see anything from it.
It's never clear if there'll be a stream, it's never clear if there'll be a tournament, it's never clear what tournaments will be run, what games, what format. So there's kind of a little bit…yes it brings the community together consistently. That's great.
What happens after that is a little bit free for all, a little bit loose. I think the downside of that is when you try to build a major on top of that, it's kind of…the classic one is that we don't have stream talent, or we don't have a lot of committed bracket guys because they don't even know if when they turn up that they'll be running a bracket.
So you kind of need to establish the status quo locally. So that you can build on that when it comes to major time. And I think that it sounds like you're doing that in Melbourne which is excellent to hear. But Sydney probably needs to level up in that respect and make a commitment towards some kind of standard. And I think that the ranbat plan will get it there. Or start to get it there. But we'll see how it goes over the next six months.
FAB, OHN7
M: Yeah I mean, it's definitely good that we're doing this this year, but I kind of feel that we can never have enough. I want to have even more and more and more staff who can run brackets.
Z: Oh yeah!
So. I dunno, that's just me, I'm probably a little pessimistic or paranoid.
Z: No no, I'm probably like… I don't know how pessimistic you are Mutton, but I'm one of the most pessimistic…
Z: So like you speak to me whenever you're down or pessimistic or negative or…
Z: …Suspect people aren't going to follow through. But that's just my modus operandi.
M: Yes. (Laughs.)
S: Yes, that's the way I usually plan. I don't rely on anybody. I usually…if I plan anything in advance, it's usually I have 46 backup plans just in case something goes wrong..
Z: Oh yeah man. When I turned up to OHN , it's like I got the USB stick with the brackets, I've got the printouts of the brackets…
Z: I got the online brackets with my account…
M: That was really good actually. I really enjoyed having the online brackets available, that was good.
Z: Yeah…the feedback. We only got like two posts on the Shoryuken thread about live updates on OHN. And they were both positive about the stream and the bracket. So it was kinda like…well that's…if you're not going to get much feedback, that's probably the feedback you want, right.
So that was nice to hear. That people appreciated it. Because it's been my long term goal to make that process work better.
17- M: Well I guess we've talked a lot about Shadowloo Showdown and BAM and OHN. Do you feel that communication is better since that time of last year, or can we improve it further between the different states and communities here in Australia?
Z: Well I think it's going to depend upon what everybody wants to see long-term. And to be honest, unfortunately…well I say unfortunately, look, the organisers discern the agenda for the scene. Let's face it.
While people in the community say what they want or ask for things um, the only vote they have is really turning up, right. If they don't support something it goes. If they do support something it grows. It's that simple.
So the organisers determine what or will/won't happen because they're giving up their time and their resources to make all this stuff a reality. So if they don't enjoy it and they're not committed to it, it's not going to happen. So…in terms of communication, this year has been infinitely better than last year. There's no…it's gone from nothing to something so obviously it's better. (Laughs.)
Not for a lack of trying before. But there was just a sort of…I don't know everybody really understood that…
M: We need each other.
Z: Yeah! Are we on the same team here. There's still a little bit of uncertainty around that. I think it's better now because people are saying, look. We don't want to slash each other's wrists. We want to achieve nation wide majors where everybody can go because that's good for the scene. And there's an agreement in that space and people are working towards achieving that, which is good.
Is that all you could achieve? Of course not. I mean that's just one way of realizing a coordinated national scene. Because I've stepped back a lot, I don't feel that I have any right to say what it should be. It's not appropriate if I'm not doing things. But um…if we end up…
At the moment we're kind of imitating probably the SRK or the US model of the last decade or whatever where sort of everybody operates in their own isolation, feeding into one kind of larger scale event. Shadowloo Showdown is the one you'd have to name as the larger scale event just because it goes international and it's the biggest…if you want to rep Australia that's where you're gonna go, so. So it's kind of doing that but it's doing that independently, like people are using… talking to each other kind of spread themselves out. But in terms of coming together to become more than a sum of its parts if you know what I mean, I don't see that really yet.
People are talking about it from time to time, but there's no common agenda…whether that's because you need one leader or whether it's because no one's formed…
M: I think it's a bit of a logistical thing. For example let's say if we wanted interstate gear. Let's say people bringing down their consoles and people running brackets. But if you're not there in our face to face meetings like every week or every fortnight, it's hard to…it's hard to get that core staff together with interstate people if you get what I'm saying.
Z: Yeah, yeah. Like I mean, one thing that would be nice…and it's not easy to do, because getting it right is hard. But if somebody decided to aggregate…like once you identify what the Australian majors are, sans Showdown. And you go well these are the ranking points in our…
M: Oh yeah that would be so great.
Z: And it's hard to get to get the right numbers, but I think EVO's hit the sweet spot with the way they do it with their road to EVO. Where you just say, who cares about the size, it's just this place gets this many points and these places get these many points and then third points and beyond just get a piddling amount of points but at least we know you've tried. So we'll make you stand out.
Because back with the APEX system which some of you may be old enough to remember…that thing was just a complete mess. Good intentions by the Cannons but the execution was… well it just can't really be done easily. It's just that the community doesn't really allow for that to work.
So something where you say, look I recognize your achievements going into these tournaments and it'll feed back into this other big tournament which then might feed on into this other big tournament which then might feed on another big tournament in somewhere else in the world. The chain of events is healthy because it creates that sense of…it's valuable for me to go around, not just to play for the experience or as a spectator for the hype. But as a competitor building up my portfolio as a serious tournament competitor. Because you don't really get that sense at the moment. Like you go around to these things and if you win ACL finals you might get a couple hundred bucks and a handshake and nobody really cares after that. Does it really have to be that disconnected? I mean, we're playing the same game I mean, and often under the same rules too. So why is it we can't sort of establish a circuit. Why has that been so hard to do. I don't know the answer.
M: One reason is because results are inconsistent. For example when Spoony was doing the seeding for Marvel we had this problem where the dudes up in Queensland were like using different names when entering tournaments and that screwed us up so bad!
Z: Yeah, yeah! Man Brisbane people need a Nazi up there to say you can only sign up under this name. Or you can…
It was hilarious because when I was over at ACL finals Slapper was like…I was is that Tom there? Slapper: no that's Melvin. Tom's over here.
You've got to be kidding me. Why don't you just change…
He's like, I tell them to sign up properly, they just do whatever they want. I don't care anymore, I'm sick of these people. I'm just going to put it in as it is. And I was like, yeah okay. I can kind of see where you're coming from.
S: To be honest though I think there is a bit of ambiguity especially in the Melbourne scene as to what exactly Shadowloo is and what exactly Couchwarriors are, as also what exactly the rest of the community is. Because the problem is…
Some of these things overlap. Some don't and especially if you're viewing the Melbourne community from an outsider's perspective say from Queensland, Sydney and so forth. A lot of people think that Mutton and I are actually part of Team Shadowloo. But we're not.
We're basically just…I'm just a community guy.
M: We're basically just Muttons and Igor.
S: Yeah exactly. We help out Shadowloo as volunteers, but that's basically the end of it where our involvement comes into it. And same thing with Couchwarriors as well. Couchwarriors and Shadowloo, they have a working relationship but I believe it's quite clear where the pillars are. At least if you're in the Melbourne community you know there's quite a clear line in the pillar list. The difference between Shadowloo and Couchwarriors…
M: Well, my question is…well okay I kind of know the answer, but it is important for people to know? Does it really matter? So long as a tournament is on and…
S: I believe that it is. I think it's important because…it's also because to have credit going where credit is due. But then also when it comes to say giving feedback to events, you're giving feedback to the right people.
Do you think there is an easier way getting perhaps that sort of level of communication out to people so they know who they can talk to.
M: Do you mean like having a staff overview, let's say CouchWarriors. We have the treasurer, the secretary, the president. And then not just does Couchwarriors know that but the whole of Australia should know that kind of thing. And we have a gigantic board that this is Ozhadou and that is the president, and this is the web guy. Blah blah blah.
S: Well this could be good from a community perspective, but it could also be good from an external funding perspective.
M: Oh yeah, like sponsors and all that.
S: Exactly. So for example I know that I want to go talk to…Say I'm an external sponsor. Say I'm BenQ, right.
S: And I want to go and talk to CouchWarriors, I want to sponsor one of their events. Who do I talk to?
M: The PR guy.
S: I talk to Berzerk!
M: Yeah Berzerk.
S: But I know that. But BenQ doesn't know that, because they don't know where they can get that information.
M: That is true. What do you think Ziggy.
Z: Yeah it is a bit…um…It's quite disjointed and it's very slap-happy. And I think that's because a lot of people approach it from a hobby mindset. And they don't think about the fact that they're going to have to interface with third parties at some point. So they just go…yeah yeah I'm just running a club for my mates. So it doesn't really matter if they don't understand you know. They know me, I know them, it's all good.
But at some point as you go along you either bring in people that you're not familiar with, or you talk to other parties and…Yeah having no clear communication lines makes it very hard. Because a lot of these groups don't set up with a guy whose job is to kind of be the front man for dealing with these kinds of people. We certainly didn't have anything like that. Whereas for OHN because we knew we didn't have anybody like that, we talked to Berzerk and invited him to come in and be that guy. Because we knew he has the experience, we knew that he was sort of um…he could potentially be neutral even though he had involvements with Melbourne organizations. We didn't see that as a clash. And he sort of said…yeah I'm happy to do that. And in fact he was quite enthusiastic about that because he was already doing it with Queensland guys through Lansmash. He was already doing it with Couchwarriors and Shadowloo to a lesser extent. And kind of, Ozhadou was kind of the one that he'd never sort of been involved with before. And he said, now I actually have all my ducks in a row.
M: Heh.
Z: I can actually approach these guys as a package deal. And I can actually say to them, I want to talk to you about the Australian fighting game community, not this organization. Or that organization. Or whatever.
I can present you an annual circuit of events. For which you can be involved in as a sponsor or whatever. And the power of that…we don't really appreciate the power of that. I'm not a marketing guy so I don't understand it. But he sees and understands just how potentially useful that is.
Because we are a small niche community group. So it's hard to talk to a sponsor when you're just talking about a couple hundred dudes there. Fifty dudes there. Put it all together and talk about a national scene and you've got something very different to sell.
M: That is really true.
18- S: Which sort of brings me back to this question, where do you see the Australian fighting game community in the next five years?
Z: Uwerghh.
It's a tricky one. Because like…if you asked me this question back during the peak of SSFIV. The answer would be totally different to what it is now.
M: So give us both answers!
Z: Okay.
Let's go back to SSFIV. Let's pretend instead of releasing SFxTekken we got SFV in the last part of this year. And it was like a total revolution again. Like a genuine new game. New engine, new graphics, new everything.
I'd say that we'd be going from strength to strength and we'd be seeing continual growth, focused with a particular game that everyone was keen on. And um…we could continue to expand and the opportunities at the national level and also with Capcom coming on board now doing it's own corporate backing. The sky would've been the limit in some ways. The way we were talking back during EVO 2010 or whatever.
Now you look at it, and you look at the limp fish that is SFxTekken and you go…no we're actually in a downswing now. We're actually going…we're slacking off. You're seeing the people who weren't super keen, who came into SFIV going I haven't played Street Fighter in years. They're gone now. For the most part.
SFxTekken has not brought in any new people. It simply divided the hardcore players that were left. Um, I think we're heading towards fragmentation and I think we're headed towards a period where some games are going to struggle to survive. And there's going to be a lot of noise across a lot of games and a lot of people are going to fail to process it and just going to cherry pick or just switch off.
And we're in danger of kind of backsliding. I don't know where we'll backslide to. Because I've seen the lows of the lows if you know what I mean.
S: Ah yeah.
Z: As has you of course, you've probably seen everything. But how bad could it potentially get. I think…look if you've got a lot of smaller events in Melbourne and you're feeling that people are feeling overburdened at the moment. You'd have to say that given the way things are going, some of those events are going to shut.
Z: That'd be where the smart money would be right? Because there's a critical number they need to achieve to make costs. And if they fall under that, they've got to fall off the map, inevitably.
M: Well don't get me wrong. With the numbers, they've kind of like tapered a bit…but they are still meeting the costs. Like for example, we get like thirty, forty, fifty of people at SNL and…it's just that we don't get that one chunk of eighty people anymore for any event.
Z: And that's not necessarily a bad thing either. Because you can find that you can't really logistically handle that one whack of eighty, potentially. You might find that spreading it over multiple small events is optimal for your scene. And which case, then that's fine. I mean if they're all alive and healthy then that's okay. Where I think that becomes a little bit awkward is if they're all doing exactly the same thing within days of each other. Because you go, oh yeah I can go to the SFxTekken singles on Monday or the next Monday or the next Monday or the next Monday. And it's the same thing with slightly different people or the same people. Where it becomes…And the problem is if you've got people divided games now. And they've divided between events? Theoretically you've got a double division which is going to a shrinkage right?
That's not growth for me. It's hard to sell the scene as a growth platform when everybody's now in smaller chunks. With Street Fighter IV it was great because you could say, we have a massive game with massive support. Join us.
And people felt that they were a part of something big and special. If SFxTekken comes out and has a hundred dudes at EVO, I mean sure, it'll be more like five hundred. But even if it's only five hundred, it's a fraction of Street Fighter IV at its peak. How do you sell that? Obviously people are switching already because the numbers aren't there. It's…I dunno. Depends on what comes over the horizon. I mean Capcom right now seems to be taking a very step back attitude towards fighting games at the moment.
We know Darkstalkers is coming. I don't see Darkstalkers as the kind of game that can create a kind of SFIV like surge.
S: No.
Z: Marvel…
S: Marvel was their second best [chance] because the thing is…again this is sort of looking at it from a historical perspective but you had SFII which sort of started the whole fighting game genre. Completely revolutionized…and a lot of people have both nostalgic reasons and you know… it was something that started the whole thing.
And then Marvel sort of took it to eleven. For a bad pun. It was another revolution where people sort of stepped into it, and Marvel was the first sort of type of game they played. And then Marvel sort of lasted for ten years. And then we've with Street Fighter IV we came back to…oh I remember playing Street Fighter II. Or you have the new guys like Mutton here who started playing competitively Street Fighter IV. And these are the sorts of areas that people sort of tend to cling to. So Marvel 3 was sort of that whole cycle for…I used to play Marvel 2, now I'm going to play Marvel 3.
Or you had a whole bunch of people who didn't like Street Fighter IV, but fell in love with Marvel. So these are the two sort of big titles which sort of sparked the whole fighting game community in general.
Marvel kept it alive for ten years during the dark period. Street Fighter II sort of started the whole thing and lasted from '92 to about 2000. To me it seems that with Street Fighter x Tekken coming out people are like, why do I want to play this when I like playing Street Fighter IV. It's not Street Fighter IV mmmhrghh…
Z: The way I think of it; it's the crossover nobody asked for.
S: Yeah exactly.
Z: And um, it's because you took a franchise that no one would think to cross with Street Fighter right? Tekken and Street Fighter are diametrically opposed in styles.
Z: True Street Fighter is a game with projectiles in them. True Tekken is a game that doesn't have it, at the most basic level. The two…you put them together, you've got to pick one or the other. Either you screw over Tekken by making projectiles work or you screw over Street Fighter and turn into basically the second coming of Third Strike.
It has come up pretty much like the second coming of Third Strike. But I don't know whether the…The spit and polish just doesn't seem to be there in a lot of ways. Tekken players hate the game. Like I haven't heard any Tekken players say anything nice about the game in Sydney. They don't touch it, they don't go near it. So in terms of bringing in Tekken players who might be curious, it has failed catastrophically, at least in Sydney.
In terms of getting people…it fills the niche in the sense that there are people who feel Street Fighter IV is long in the tooth. And they're ready for something new. So it kind of fills that void.
But it hasn't done it in a way that naturally evolves the Street Fighter franchise? So the same way that CVS2 was never gonna win over Third Strike players, xTekken's not gonna win over SFIV players. And it has that extra thing against it. I dunno, I'm being an old man, I might have a different perspective.
But with CVS, I never played KOF games. But I knew of their characters and I always thought they were cool. And being able to play them in a Street Fighter engine…Because I didn't like the graphics or the engine in KOF games. But being able to play them in a Street Fighter style game was very appealing to me. I mostly played SNK characters in that game and I really enjoyed it. But you put the Tekken cast in front of me…I don't really care. I played Tekken 3 back in the day and Tekken 2 just casually on console. But I gave up on the series after that. And to be honest, to me, their characters don't have a lot of appeal. So it doesn't rope me in. It doesn't have that ah, this is Street Fighter but with a new twist that I felt with CVS. So it kind of alienates me in a lot of ways.
S: Can I ask you what you actually said…it's the crossover which nobody asked for.
That first day that Ono showed that video, I think it was at New York Comic-Con, one of the Comic-Cons, I just thought: why? Why do we need this?
And I got an instant message from one of my friends, Slorp, he's actually in Europe at the moment. Who I have been playing Street Fighter II with for a very long time. And he basically sent me the same thing going: why?
S: Why do we need this? Who asked for this, I don't understand.
Z: You almost feel like if you were the fly on the wall in the bar where Ono and Harada were having drinks when they made that decision…You wonder how drunk they were when they finally decided. But it's just kind of…Yeah it's like, as you said…with the recent announcements surrounding Dead or Alive 5 for example, inserting Virtua Fighter characters, that makes so much sense.
M: That makes sense, yeah.
Z: Like it's a natural fit. Because Dead or Alive was inspired by VF. It was made as a casual, just fun, muck around version of VF. And it made sense to kind of meld those worlds. Whereas with Tekken and Street Fighter, like you just look at it and go, to make this work, you've got to bastardize one side of the equation.
Z: You've got to pick one, and you've got to bastardize them. I don't know if you saw Ryan Hart's rant about how the Tekken characters have been handled.
S: No actually, I missed that.
Z: Yeah, I didn't read all of it. But basically he was saying; look, I've played both games. I enjoy Street Fighter x Tekken. But if I just put my Tekken hat on for a second. The only thing that's Tekken in these characters is the name on the lifebar and the skin on the model. The rest of it you might as well have…you could have any new character from the Street Fighter franchise and give them any name you like. They are Street Fighter characters, new Street Fighter characters with Tekken skins and names. They don't play anything like Tekken characters. And that sort of defeats the purpose. Because when you go in and you play CVS2 for example, and you pick Terry. He's Terry! He does Terry stuff. He has Terry's combos, he has Terry's inputs, he has Terry's stuff.
You pick Law in this game, and like he's got a combo in Tekken which is like left kick, right kick, left kick, or the other way around. And this is like quartercircle forward plus kick. That's not even the same game anymore! How do you come from Tekken and say, I know what's going on here. It just doesn't make any sense.
S: And King not having his chain grabs drives me crazy!
Z: Oh yeah. And the few times I saw videos and saw Nina trying to do chain- grab combos and they were just broken after the first bit every time. It's like, what is this…
S: Yeah, what am I looking at here?
Z: Yeah…It's just…
I don't know. It rubs me the wrong way on many, many levels. And I've had to hold myself back actually from going all soap opera on the game. On Ozhadou, getting up on my soapbox and whingeing and whining about it. Because you know, my whingeing and whining is not gonna fix anybody's problems. But just so much about the game disagrees with me.
S: See for me, I keep thinking that surely this is not the final version! There must be something new coming out because honestly…
I don't know, I thought, I'd give this game a chance. Honestly going in I didn't really look at too much hype or anything about that. I sat down. I tried playing it. And I keep thinking…it feels so unfinished.
It feels…so many things in the game don't make sense. For example, this is again, one of the characters that really appeal to me is King. And King for example can cancel his command grabs from normals. The stupid thing is, the command grab whiffs because there's too much hit stun when I hit them.
So it's like…why would you give him the ability to be able to his command grabs but then they whiff when I'm hitting him.
Z: What happens if you hit them and cancel on blockstun. Can you grab them or are they in blockstun too long to grab as well.
S: Well that's the thing. In certain cases they are in blockstun too long. If I use a light punch for example then it's fine. But if I use a medium punch I just walk right in front of them.
M: I might be misunderstanding all this. But what are you trying to get at? Isn't it like…
S: I'm saying that some of the mechanics of the game just do not make sense.
It just feels the game is not finalized.
M: Isn't it like some noob Zangief hits you with low forward and tries to cancel into SPD and it whiffs? Isn't it the same thing?
S: Not really…
M: Because I did not play King in Tekken, I do not know what you are talking about.
S: Yeah anyway. It's a really bizarre ability. They gave him this ability to cancel normal moves into command grabs. But then they whiff when you hit them.
Z: Yeah because in Tekken there's not cancel per se. The game is more about chains, you can chain one after the other. So you don't really have cancels in Tekken unless you've got things where you can like…well I don't even think in Tekken you can do it. Like in VF you can guard cancel animations of normals and things like that. So you do have that kind of aborting of an attack and then going into something else. But in Tekken there is no guard button. So once you press a button I think you're generally committed to the normal or the move or whatever.
Z: So cancelling a poke into a grab is not what you would do in Tekken. In Tekken you would sort of fake out to get them to whiff something so you can grab them or whatever. So to then apply Street Fighter's mechanics of normals cancelling into grabs.
And Mutton's a hundred percent right. If the Zangief did a crouch low forward into SPD it would fail because they're in block stun. You're not allowed to do that, fine.
But um, as a Tekken player, as a King player, you've never had that option anyway. Now you've got it and it's useless.
M: Ohhh.
Z: You ask yourself, who adds useless craps to my character. Why would you do that?
M: Okay I understand now, yep.
Z: It's a consequence of the engine. And it's consistent with Street Fighter's engine. But if you're asking yourself, you've taken my character and put them in this engine and half the stuff they can do because they're in this engine doesn't make any sense to me, it's kind of off-putting I suppose.
S: Exactly. I mean look, again it's still kind of early days for the game. I'm still in a way kind of hoping that somebody's gonna figure some magical thing that'll make the game better. And it stands of today, the 14th of the 4th, 2012. The game to me, actually to be honest, the next big step is gonna be the next US major. To see how many people enter and what the numbers are and where they actually put the game. Because if they put it at the end again and they have a tremendous amount of dropoff in numbers?
Yeah…it's going to be really interesting.
Z: What is…I haven't been following any US streams since like before OHN so what has viewership been like around Street Fighter x Tekken in some of the US majors?
M: Like for example the recent NCR, everything was really hype and then xTekken came on and basically they got a huge drop off in the stream.
Z: Wow.
S: Yeah. So the stream numbers were about 26k for Marvel. And then it dropped to about 17? For when xTekken came on.
M: I guess part of that was because it was Infiltration against ChrisG and Infiltration was playing jab jab run away.
S: No no no, for the entire top 8. You're just talking about the grand finals but I'm talking about the entire top eight.
The numbers just slid.
M: Alright, yeah.
S: And to be honest though, looking at the stream numbers from 2010, we have progressively…streams, especially Spooky and Iplaywinner. But even…all the major US streams have progressively been gaining numbers in viewership levels.
M: Mmhmm.
S: For example, I remember watching West Coast Warzone 3. It's peak was around 8000. Watching Seasons' Beatings in 2010 it peaked out about again 8-9000. Seasons Beatings last year was about 26,000. So every year, progressively the numbers have been going up for streams. But now the first thing that we've seen is the grand finals, xTekken comes on. And we get a huge slide in numbers.
So this is kind of an interesting perspective from what you've mentioned earlier Ziggy, we could be stagnating and this game could potentially actually hurt the scene. More from even a viewership perspective. Which is something that the majority of the sponsors are gonna be looking at when it comes to, you know. Funding our events.
Both US and here as well.
M: But yeah I guess that's in the future, and who knows what will happen. Maybe roll-cancelling will be discovered or some similar thing. And the game will be fantastic!
Z: You gotta be careful with those things though. Because things like roll cancel, yeah suddenly people discover like this hardcore competitive aspect of the game and it wasn't there and it makes it exciting. But then the accessibility of the game goes down. So what you end up getting…You end up getting more spectators than competitors. And more spectators is good, but it's the competitors which actually fill the pot right. So you kind of…you need a bit from both corners.
One of Marvel 2's biggest sins was that while it was a ten year surviving strong competitive game, that's only a handful of people who can actually really play it.
M: That is true.
S: Or play it at the highest level.
Z: Yeah, where it counted. So and CVS2 got that way very early on as well. I was not a roll cancel player. I gave up and just played K groove once roll cancel was discovered. Because I couldn't do it. It was just…I'm not a 2 frame cancel guy. I just can't do it. So you're always at that disadvantage, always having to fight against that awkward mechanic. And some people they're either in or out at that point.
S: See that's actually a really interesting point you brought up there. Talking about…something that I've wanted to ask about [for a while].
19- How do you feel about Kotaku, Brazzers and…
M: Esports!
S: And Esports.
Because something you've actually mentioned, you said that there is a certain level of people that you'll get more viewers rather than players. But traditionally the fighting game community in general has been all about players and pots the players bring in, rather than actual sort of specialists that we watch.
This also brings in a certain point of Esports where MLG for example, they don't really have open tournaments. For certain aspects of Starcraft they only have invitational tournaments and then people go and view [it.] What do you think of these sort of two different models, and where do you think the future of our current model is going?
Z: Well I think as long as they're cost effective, the Esports invitational model can, will and should exist. As long as someone can make a buck out of it, they're bound to try and do it. And make no mistake, Esports is a business.
It's about securing the sponsorship dollars and advertising the sponsors and having something that gets viewers in to watch the ads during the thing. I mean that's how it all works. And it's good because it raises the exposure.
The more that it happens, the more likely you are to pick up more mainstream attention. The nice thing about the video game space as opposed to the traditional sports space is that it's probably easier for people to go out there and buy an Xbox and pick up a controller and think that they can play this game. With pro-sports I mean if you're a five foot five midget, you know basketball's just not on the cards.
S: Sorry Mutton.
So, there's these natural physical barriers, I mean they exist in all video games as well. But they're not as obvious. They're not as in your face.
So the mystique of yes, I can be a player as well kind of lives a bit longer with these kinds of games. Now not to say that we want to con everybody into playing for a while or whatever, but people have to feel like they've got a chance. Or there's something that they can get out of it.
Even if it only ends up becoming casual for them, whereas a lot of people might even struggle to enjoy certain sports casually because physically it's just really hard for them to get into it. So it's nice in that respect. But to answer your question, I think the two really will always sort of co-exist. You're not going to have invitational Esports killing grassroots open-entry tournaments. Because you have to go somewhere to train up to get the skills to be good enough to be recognized to be invited so you need all this community run stuff, I mean it's a shame…As long as we can keep that cost effective as well, you keep that stuff going, that's the training grounds, the proving grounds, that's the same like in sport right?
You don't walk straight into the NRL Premier League. You actually come up through juniors and your local scene and that's run by community groups. And it's not big money tournaments and that kind of thing.
So it's all part of the same equation. People need to get that out of their heads that it's one or the other. It's not that at all.
S: No exactly.
Z: It's all one big collective thing and you only…for years we've said, what about us? It isn't fair kind of thing. Because all the other games like Starcraft were getting that and we weren't. Now we're getting it and some people are saying, oh hang on, do we really want this? No calm down, don't worry. It's fine. Just chill. Let it happen. Just because you didn't get the invite doesn't mean you don't count. Relax. If you're good enough your time will come. If you're not, just go and win EVO. That's open entry. Don't worry about it.
So EVO's not going to…people get it in their heads, oh EVO will die. Or EVO will turn into Esports or it has to be this or that. And um…no no no. I mean just walk past your local oval on a Saturday and see the kid playing cricket or football and remember, that's all we're really doing. Just in electronic form.
S: The other thing is actually, is starting off in that perspective. If you played these sorts of games and then later on you'll basically if you decide not to take it on professionally or you can't play at that level you still have a certain level of appreciation for the people and how they play.
This is where Starcraft for example…why's it's so big. It's because for ten years people have been watching Koreans dominate, and it's not just in Korea. I have friends who basically was sitting down and watching the Korean streams way before Starcraft 2 was even on the map. And we all played Starcraft 1, and we know…the other good thing about Starcraft 1 was that the computer was fairly brutal if you didn't know what you were doing.
They and my housemates for example, they have a level of understanding and appreciation of what the Starcraft professional players do. Because they played Starcraft in their younger days, and they understand what it is that these guys are doing that makes them top players. Even though they can't do it themselves.
Z: Yeah, yeah.
M: Any other thoughts on the topic?
Z: I mean you're obviously right, spectators will have their place, I mean let's face it, I'm as casual as it comes now. I spend way more time CPUing than anything when I'm playing fighting games. I'm content to do that. I'm not physically at the place where I can keep playing anyways due to a bit of RSI or what have you.
So I…and I don't get the hours and I don't get the time and I don't have the dedication to actually improve. And I'm lying to myself if I say anything else. So long ago I accepted that I wasn't prepared to do what was necessary to improve. But that doesn't mean I don't enjoy the engines of some of the games. Or I don't get a kick out them. I muck around with Marvel heaps.
I find that game a lot of fun just to get out. I love the setting, I love the characters, I'm a fan boy for Marvel stuff and for Capcom stuff. And I love the fact that I can just do lazy, silly, cheap combos and they work. And everything's fun.
I'd get scraped by anybody that knew what they doing. That's fine, I don't care. That's not why I'm playing. For me it's…I remember reading somewhere someone saying, you might play a fighting game not because you're in it for the competition or the challenge. You might just play it as sort of a zoning out, a Zen exercise where you're just forgetting about the rest of the world, you're going into this space, you're solving the puzzle of the fighting game in front of you. And you're just exploring that engine and just the routine of doing your favourite combos or whatever, is relaxing.
M: Yep I agree.
S: And actually exploring ideas where you might have a thought of something or how about I try this? Or could this character do this?
Z: Yes. Exactly.
S: Or I have a problem in front of me, how can I solve it with my, say, my character X vs. character Y. You might not necessarily be a competitive player.
And actually to be honest with you I'm in the same boat these days. The only game that I take semi-seriously is Super Turbo. But all the other games, I sort of just sit there, and I think about how things should go and how things play out. And you know, me and Mutton go on to like hour long discussions of Ryu versus character X.
S: And why I'm wrong and he's right. Most of the time because he plays the game more than I do. But yeah I've gotten to that point as well that I know I'm not going to be competitive, but I just like thinking about the games. In general.
Z: Oh yeah absolutely. I've got um…I talk regularly to a group of Ozhadou OGs in Sydney. And um, pretty much all of them if you press them, even though they go to YSBs and stuff, would say yeah I'm not competitive, I'm not hardcore, I'm not serious anymore. They still go to events, they still play, but they talk about the games, and they talk about this setup or what this guy did on that stream in that final. Why it's good and why it's bad and that kind of thing. And I mean, it's a language, it's a culture, it's a problem solving space. And I mean, a good problem solving space is inexhaustible right?
You can explore it to your heart's content. And for people who just like to think about stuff, then it's a lot of fun.
Alright we should probably start wrapping it up.
S: Yeah, I kind of want to ask this question.
20- So how did you get the name Ziggy?
Z: Oh dear. It has nothing to do with the Street Fighter community at all. It was purely, when I started off in high school in year seven, there were one too many Andrews in the year as there are everywhere you go.
So inevitably Andrew was never going to fly. Because I was the nerd so I couldn't be called Andrew. The Andrews were going to be called Andrew. So um, one look at my surname: Ziogas.
And it's right, you're Ziggy. And that was the end of that. And originally that was kind of like, it was a bit of a dig, it was sort of kids poking fun at and trying to come up with a nickname. And then I just embraced it and said, well fine I'll be Ziggy. That's cool.
M: Ah so, everybody…your friends call you Ziggy? Your mom calls you Ziggy?
Z: My parents don't call me Ziggy, no. My immediate family doesn't call me Ziggy. The funny part about that is my father was called Ziggy when he was in high school.
Z: His brothers were called Ziggy when they were in high school. I got a cousin, whose username on the forums used to be Trickster, who's the Marvel champion at OHN2. He used to be called Ziggy, and he was quite put out when he joined the community and I was already called Ziggy.
Z: He had to call himself something else.
M: Wow there's a clan!
Z: So there's a whole clan of Ziggy Ziogases. But yeah my school friends called me that, and when the internet came into my life, it's like well I need a handle. Well I'm lazy, Ziggy will do. And I just stuck with it, socially and that.
I don't get it at work, I don't get it in family, but socially I've always been known as Ziggy.
M: Ah. That's real interesting. Heh.
S: The Clan Ziggy. Heheheh.
M: So yeah.
21- S: You have also noted…sorry I've noticed and a few others in the community have noticed that you have a slight resemblance to Richard Nixon.
Do you consider this as a compliment or?
M: Is it warranted?
S: Yeah, is it warranted.
Z: That's the first time I've heard of it actually! (Laughs.)
So I've never been called Richard Nixon or a Richard Nixon lookalike by anybody in the Sydney community ever, or any friend ever.
So this is a first. This is a real first.
Z: Um, I can see where it comes from, because of the awesome receding hairline.
Z: The race for pure baldness is on.
Um, in fact I was kind of competing with Kechu at one point so…
M: Wow! (Laughs) Kechu's on blast!
S: Heheheh.
Z: So I can see that. I suppose when I furrow my brow I have the Nixon worry lines too I guess.
Z: I guess if they're ever going to make another Nixon biography I should put my hand up.
M: Yeah…a potential career.
Z: Nixon impersonator.
So yeah, gonna wrap with some more positive stuff…
S: I was gonna say OHN-gate.
M: (Laughs.) ONN-gate.
M: Heheheh nice.
24- So yeah, what are some of your favourite players to watch, favourite fighting game players. Do you have favourite commentators or community guy, do you like Ryan Hunter, or James Chen. Yeah.
Z: I guess on the American scene side of things, I've always been a fan of Viscant. Predominantly because I just love his analytic mind.
M: Me too.
Z: He's not the best player in the world. And that's fine, he's honest about his shortcomings.
S: Well he is in Marvel at the moment.
Z: Well, is he in Ultimate? He's champion in…
M: In Vanilla but.
S: Yeah, I'm just saying.
M: He's fallen off a little bit. Because of Phoenix I guess.
Z: He's the kind of man, who if he can find a big enough crutch, he can ride that crutch very far. But sometimes if that game doesn't have a nice enough crutch than life becomes hard for him. But you know, you need guys like that in the community anyway.
Who can abuse things so that people can properly work out how to defeat it. So that Japan doesn't blow you up and what have you. But I just love the way…he's a very good writer.
M: Mm hmm.
Z: And because most of my absorption of the community came at an age where I was just reading forums. So reading his threads on why this character is good and why this character is broken and why this game is good and why this game is rubbish. I always really enjoyed…and his sensibilities align with me. Like he thinks Super Turbo is an awesome game. He think it's like really a Marvel game and not a Street Fighter game and I find that fascinating. I love it when he talks about what's wrong with Third Strike because I totally agree with him; Third Strike is trash.
Z: Um, we seem to think alike all the time. But I can't come up with his ideas. I'm always in awe of his ability to break down the game because…I'm not a dumb guy, but I reckon you guys are both way more analytic in fighting games than me. I kind of just sit there and let it wash over me. I don't think about it anywhere near as much as I should.
M: Well I mean, I think people like to think about fighting games, but not everyone can be an original thinker like Viscant. And I don't think I can ever be like Viscant as well.
M: To have your own…come up with basically your own argument instead of being a sheep, I guess.
Z: Yeah. It's impressive the way he just puts his view out there. He doesn't care if it runs against the grain. But when challenged, he can completely articulate why. And there's not a lot of people who can do that. A lot of very good players can say, this is how it is. Why? Oh because I won last week.
Z: But how did you win? Why did you win?
I don't know. I just know it works, I can't describe it.
And Viscant will describe it in three thousand words or less sort of thing.
Z: And I find that really…Like my favourite Cross Counter video of all time was the Viscant Marvel 3 1.0 video.
M: Yes. That was the best one.
S: I went out and paid for that instantly.
S: Most definitely.
Z: Yeah. But in terms of other competitors and things…I have a soft spot for Alex Valle. The O.G. Man. Alex Valle and John Choi…I didn't see at the time that it happened, the Alpha 2 finals. It wasn't until many years I saw the B3 or whatever videos. But you hear the names thrown around enough. And you watch enough EVO ST finals with these guys doing their thing.
And let's face it. Everyone's got a Ryu inside of them somewhere.
Z: So you know. You see these gods of Ryu. And you just go…man these guys are just great.
They do their thing so well. Totally different styles. They're both pretty good guys, cool guys. And they give so much back to the community as well. So you kind of take your hat off to them. You can appreciate them on both sides of the coin.
Um. Big fan of the Cannon brothers. They've done so much for the scene and the community. And I mean, I look up to them whenever I'm thinking tournaments, inevitably. Because I just think that they've set the bar in terms of what's right, what's wrong and how to do things.
They're not always right, mind you. I've disagreed on many occasions. But it's just great that they…I can relate to them as well a lot of times because they go through the same kind of ruts. You see it when they're posting on forums and blogs and things.
The same things get under their skin. Or the same things frustrate them. So I appreciate that side of things.
M: Before you go on, can I interrupt and ask you something? I want to get your opinion me and Igor have been arguing for ages.
Which is the yellow card to Justin Wong for playing Phoenix on point.
Z: Oh yes.
M: What do you feel about that? I'm on the: it was warranted [side of things]. Because the organizer put on a tournament, and if you don't play your best you're…what is the point of even having the tournament up there.
And Igor is like; he's a playing/paying competitor, and he should be able to do whatever he wants. How do you feel about that?
Z: I'd have to say I have a foot in both camps. Which is not a very strong way of looking at it. But I mean, on the one hand I totally agree that it's not like he did anything illegal. And he certainly…there's certainly no proof that he match-fixed. You can't really prove it aside from the obvious picking Phoenix on point is logistically retarded.
There's no evidence that he's set it up to do that. And he…the tricky thing about match fixing is like anybody when confronted can find a way to justify why they did what they did. So you've kind of as an organizer, you've kind of gotta put yourself out there and just draw a line and say no, I'm going to take that as inappropriate, so just remember that I'm keeping an eye on it sort of thing.
So I think on the one hand, it's hard to prove. But on the hand, they had to make an example out of him. Because it was the best example they were probably ever gonna get.
M: Yep, that's true.
Z: So if you're gonna make a call. A) it was a huge name. B) It was really uncharacteristic play. C) It made no sense competitive wise even if he wasn't trying to match fix. So if they let it go, people who were match-fixing could have done the same thing and used him as an avatar.
Z: So unfortunately someone had to take a hit. Better that they're prepared to say that they'll do something than to be too hands off and let everything fly?
Z: But the good news is that they haven't had to come down since. So perhaps it has worked…
M: Perhaps it worked out for the better.
Z: And it didn't really hurt Justin Wong's chances that EVO year anyway. So…
M: Yeah, being Justin Wong.
Z: Yeah. So he took a hit, but I don't think he suffered as a competitor and I don't think the community suffered as a result. That's the thing you gotta remember, the Cannon brothers aren't stupid guys. They're very smart. They'll weigh up all the pros and cons and then they're not just going to fire like loose Cannons. Ha ha.
But they will actually pick their moments based on very rational and intelligent arguments. So I mean it's a miracle that the community in the US has these two geniuses heading up their most important tournament, community wise. Because it could easily be the Jason Wilsons of the world which have mixed reputations, also run massive tournaments, but haven't always come off as squeaky clean or as rational in their choices.
M: Do you have any more names you wanna throw out or?
25- S: We're gonna say, do you have any final shoutouts?
Z: Final shoutouts I guess…
Shoutouts to the Australian fighting game community. You've got to say that, I mean, if it wasn't for them, and their passion for the games, I wouldn't have had a hobby for the last ten or something years.
Props to all my colleagues at Ozhadou. Primarily Shane and Spencer. Doing all the good work that they're doing.
But yeah I hesitate to…it's actually hard because I don't want to play favourites.
M: Whoops.
Sorry I lost the headset there.
I don't want to name any scene over any other. Because there's heaps of cool people in all the scenes and I've made a lot of friends all over the place. Brisbane, Perth, Adelaide, Melbourne, Canberra. Maybe one day Tasmania will come on the map. But all you guys have just done wonderful stuff.
Shoutouts to you guys Igor and Mutton for doing what you do. Because we don't have anywhere near enough content generation in Australia. And it's criminal because we've got some great personalities and some great players and it's a shame that we don't kind of profile them more. So thank you for doing what you're doing, not just to interview the international talent when it comes out but to help raise the profile of our local talent too.
M: Yeah I mean, we find it really illuminating as well. Like I just learned so much about Sydney and Ozhadou too. So it's something we want to do as well.
S: The other thing is…I really wish that SRK would put up more of our stuff!
M: You're gonna have to edit that out.
S: No, I'm not editing shit. I mean, seriously.
We email them for every single interview we did. We pretty much email them and we only get a select few up there. I don't know understand why.
M: Well I mean, I still think this should be edited out, but I feel that it's quite important for the organizers like Loki's profile, and your profile to be out there just as much as the Xians and the Gootecks…
S: Yes of course.
M: And the Tokidos out there. People need to know more about the people that put in the work like yourself.
S: Mmm definitely.
Z: Well I think it's good to humanize us as well as organizers too. I mean it goes for the players as well. But often with organizers because people are thrice removed from us, if you're not one of our immediate friends in the community we probably don't talk to you as a player very much.
And it can often leave this impression that we're big evil illuminati people who sit in the background pushing our own agendas to the detriment of the little guy on the machine.
S: Wait. You mean we're not?
Z: Ah sorry. I didn't mean to shatter the illusion.
But yeah, we're um….at the end of the day we wouldn't be doing this if we weren't players at some point ourselves. And we only…people sit down to play for fun at the end of the day, most of them. I only go to run a tournament for fun, okay? I'm not there to be the DQ Nazi. I don't get a kick [out of it], Yang might, but I don't get a kick out of it.
Z: Sorry Yang!
The Yang tradition. Karaoke night, OHN6.
But I…I do it because there's an aspect of it that I find fascinating. I find the people fascinating and I find the games fascinating and so I'm doing it because it's fun and because I enjoy it. Most people don't find running brackets fun, and that's understandable but…
S: I love running brackets, honestly.
M: Because you're a control freak, that's why.
S: That's true, that's true.
Z: There is a certain power of knowing if that man hasn't turned up within the next three minutes you can ruin his two dollar entry fee.
S: Mmm…I can DQ his…
The power…the unadulterated POWER!
Z: But no, it's um…I appreciate that you guys are willing to talk to community stakeholders other than top players. And um…yeah, it's good. We are people too. Cut us and we bleed.
And hate on us in the forums and we do listen, so.
It's like we are…responding.
And we can't have fun unless you're having fun.
M: Mm. That is the biggest thing to take away from this.
Z: Yeah, always remember that.
M: Mm. Right, so I think…
S: Thank you very much Ziggy.
Z: Thank you.
M: Yep that's gonna wrap it up. Thank you very much sir.
Z: Cheers guys.
This entry was posted in Don't be a Scrub Podcast, Interviews and tagged Ali, Andrew Ziogas, Auriku, Berzerk, Bracketed, Couchwarriors, Final Atomic Buster, Gamogo, GGS, Hebretto, Humanbomb, Iron Myke, Joey, Justin Wong, Karaoke, Kechu, Loki, Melbourne, OHN, OHNX, Ozhadou, Playtime, Shadowloo, Slapper Joe, Spencer, Sydney, Tournament organisers, Toxy, Yang, York Street Battle, Ziggy. Bookmark the permalink.
11 Responses to Don't be a Scrub Podcast Episode 21: Ziggy
Matt (@TWxCPS2) says:
I'm about half way thru the episode but this is all really interesting stuff! I first heard about ozhadou and went to meetups right at the end of playtime, around OHN3, and through to OHN9, so I remember playtime, MCH, GGs, York St, and the OHN venues at UTS from OHN4. Always love hearing about what actually went on with OHN1, 2 and 3, and I think Ziggy tends to see a "big picture" image of the community that hardly anyone else is able to do.
muttonhead says:
Yeah I definitely agree, which is why we were so eager to do this interview.
It was really fascinating for FGC history buffs like us to hear about kind of the start of our entire competitive scene and how the Melb-Syd things were back in those days. I think we should do more of these OG interviews!
Definitely man. See if you can get Myke623 on haha 😀 Seriously I think that would be a good show.
Pingback: Don't Be a Scrub Podcast Episode 21 – Ziggy of OzHadou « Shoryuken
fluxcorenz says:
Another fantastic interview. This one hit so close to home in many ways!
OzHadou was an enormous influence on why and how I created New Zealand's NZism fighting game community, and seeing so many similar inspirations, opinions, problems and viewpoints on various fighting game scenes and happenings (both present-day and in the distant past) puts a few things in perspective. In my case it all fell apart, but at root that was mainly a geographical problem which compounded into many more problems.
Anyway, thanks to Ziggy and all the OzHadou crew for the years and years of effort!
We've heard a lot of stuff about the rise and fall of NZism…there's definitely a story/interview there to be had!
Yep big props to Ziggy and Ozhadou, if not for them we wouldn't have the scene we have today down here in Melbourne with Shadowloo and Couchwarriors.
NefeliousG says:
Epic interview. Read the whole thing straight, took me over an hour haha.
That OHN stick is now known as the ghetto stick in the qld scene now, the woodworking feel apart after years of use and it's roughly held together by electrical tape and raw power.
And I cringed at the cvs2 match, oh man so many drops haha
Yo Tom! Kudos for getting through it in one shot, this was the first time Igor and I were seriously considering breaking the audio and the transcript into two parts. In the end we just decided to put it out there. Hm I wonder if anyone got through the 2hr 40 minute podcast in one shot…
Haha that's cool to know. That stick is probably a good metaphor for our scene as well. Ghetto, worn down by time but still going strong, and held together by fragile things like friendships, passion and sense of responsibility.
Yeah heh sorry about that Tom. I was searching for Ziggy match footage for a while there…but the match I really wanted to put on was the SFII finals between Ziggy and Toxy at an OHN where they both hilariously held down back for the entire round? That would be epic to put up.
The crazy thing about that Ziggy vs Toxy match was that it was actually really hype haha. I remember there were some pretty epic Toxy vs Vlad matches as well.
BerzerkDC says:
Top Job on the interview Muttons and Igor! Ziggy was a great interviewee.
Thanks Berzerk! We'll get at Myke togther some day as well. | {
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Link to Original Article. By: Pete Kenworthy. CLEVELAND – When Ian Petrella played the role of Randy Parker in A Christmas Story in 1983, he never expected the movie to become a cult classic. Grover Dill is the secondary antagonist of A Christmas Story. Like his buddy, Scut Farkus, Grover takes pleasure in torturing and bullying Ralphie Parker, his brother Randy, and their friends. Peter Billingsley and Scott Schwartz in A Christmas Story (1983) Peter Billingsley in A Christmas Story (1983) Peter Billingsley and Jeff.
The Old Man Parker. Ian Petrella (Randy Parker) Then: Petrella's acting career had begun at age three but landing the role of Ralphie's younger brother, Randy, in 'A Christmas Story, ' was his big break. Interestingly, while Petrella was not recognized immediately for his strong performance, two years later he was nominated for a Young Artist Award for the role.
Dec 18, 2017. Like most family holiday movies, 1983's A Christmas Story teaches you many things, the most. Ralphie and Randy's kind and kooky mother was already a Tony-winning actress before. Darren McGavin (Old Man Parker). Ralphie's actual house from A Christmas Story with the Leg Lamp in the window. Now restored to its movie splendor and open year round for public tours that feature original props and costumes from the movie. Ralphie Parker is the main character from A Christmas Story.
He is a 9-year-old child who wishes to receive a Red Ryder Carbine-action 200-shot Range Model Air Rifle for Christmas. Ralphie Parker is the main character many Character Street video appearances from Character Street: Mike-palooza. Nov 18, 2013. Then: Peter Billingsley played wide-eyed Ralphie Parker, a kid who just. some time as a tour guide at the original 'Christmas Story' house in Ohio. Then: Melinda Dillon was cast as Ralphie and Randy's mom based on a.
A Christmas Story is a 1983 film, set in the 1940s, about a boy who has to convince his parents, teachers, and Santa that a Red Ryder BB gun really is the perfect Christmas gift. [After Mother breaks the Old Man's Major Award, and he is unsuccessful at repairing it] With as much dignity as he could. Randy Parker is Ralphie Parker's younger brother. Randy Parker is the main character all many Character Street video appearances from Character Street: Mike-palooza. " Sure did, Hmm. " Ian Petrella (Randy Parker) Then: Petrella's acting career had begun at age three but landing the role of Ralphie's younger brother, Randy, in 'A Christmas Story, ' was his big break.
Ralphie Parker is the main protagonist from A Christmas Story. Ian Petrella, Actor: A Christmas Story. Ian Petrella started his acting career at the age of three, a suggestion by an Aunt who worked at the Herb Tannen Talent Agency. As previously reported, Tyler Wladis of Fayetteville, N.
Y. has been cast as the lovable Randy Parker in a live TV performance of the holiday classic" A Christmas Story. " Who Plays Ralphie's Brother Randy In 'A Christmas Story Live! Tyler Wladis Has A Passion For Theater. Randy is as memorable as the rest of the Parker family, and Wladis will get to act. A Christmas Story (1983). The comic mishaps and adventures of a young boy named Ralph, trying to convince his parents, teachers, and Santa that a Red Ryder B.
B. gun really is the perfect Christmas gift for the 1940s. A Christmas Story is a 1983 American comedy film directed by Bob Clark. It is based on the book In God We Trust, All Others Pay Cash by Jean Shepherd. The film was distributed by Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer and was released on November 18, 1983. Maya Rudolph Joins Fox's 'A Christmas Story' The musical event will air on Sunday, December 17.
But now, TV Insider is pleased to announce that the role of little brother Randy Parker will be. Dec 22, 2010. CLEVELAND – When Ian Petrella played the role of Randy Parker in A Christmas Story in 1983, he never expected the movie to become a cult. Learn about A Christmas Story discover its cast ranked by popularity, see when it released, view trivia, and more. A Christmas Story is a 1983 American/Canadian comedy film based on the short stories and semi-fictional anecdotes of author and raconteur Jean Shepherd, including material from his books In God We Trust, All Others Pay Cash and Wanda Hickey's Night of Golden Memories.
Ralphie Parker is the main character from A Christmas Story. He is a 9-year-old child who wishes to receive a Red Ryder Carbine-action 200-shot Range Model Air Rifle for Christmas.
A Christmas Story Live! is a television special that was originally broadcast by Fox on December 17, 2017. It was a live, televised musical remake of the 1983 film A Christmas Story, and incorporated Randy parker christmas story 2012 stage musical version A Christmas Story: The Musical.
Randy Parker is Ralphie Parker's younger brother. Randy Parker is the main character all many Character Street video appearances from Character Street: Mike-palooza. " Sure did, Hmm. " Benj Pasek and Justin Paul ('A Christmas Story Live! ' songwriters) on the possibility of completing their Egot [Exclusive Video Interview] 22 August 2018 | Gold Derby 'Aladdin': Justin Paul and Benj Pasek Reveal Details of New Songs for Live-Action Reboot (Exclusive) A Christmas Story; Movie Poster.
Country United States Directed by Bob Clark Release Date 1983 Language. Randy Parker Ian Patrella Mrs. Parker Melinda Dillon Jean Shepherd narrated 'A Christmas Story, ' giving voice to the adult Ralphie Parker. He wrote the Christmas adventure based on semi-fictional stories from his own childhood in Hammond, Indiana. Randy Parker Ralphie's brother was played by Ian Petrella in the film, and Tyler Wladis seems ready to suffer the trials of being a younger sibling at Christmas.
Mother Parker SYRACUSE, N. Y. I can't put my arms down! " Tyler Wladis of Fayetteville, N. Y. has been cast as the lovable Randy Parker in a live TV performance of the holiday classic" A Christmas Story. " The. A Christmas Story is a 1983 American Christmas comedy film directed by Bob Clark and based.
The Old Man is overjoyed by the lamp, but Mrs. Parker does not like it and a feud. Shepherd, Brown and Clark all have cameo appearances Randy parker christmas story the film: Shepherd plays the man who directs Ralphie and Randy to the back of. A Christmas Story is a 1983 American Christmas comedy film directed by Bob Clark and based on Jean Shepherd's semi-fictional anecdotes in his 1966 book In God We Trust: All Others Pay Cash, with some elements from his 1971 book Wanda Hickey's Night of Golden Memories.
Dec 14, 2011. Then: Peter Billingsley played Ralphie Parker, 'A Christmas Story s Red Ryder BB. Then: Ian Petrella played Ralphie's little brother, Randy. A visit to Santa backfires on Ralphie. This feature is not available right now. Please try again later. A Christmas Story is a 1983 American Christmas comedy film directed by Bob Clark and based on Jean Shepherd's semi-fictional anecdotes in his 1966 book In God We Trust: All Others Pay Cash, with some elements from his 1971 book Wanda Hickey's Night of Golden Memories.
Today, it's a Christmas cult classic. When Ian Petrella was 8 years old he played the role of Randy Parker, Ralphie's little brother in "A Christmas Story, " never expecting 30 years later to be signing autographs or posing for pictures because of the film. But, after pondering it a bit. Dec 24, 2008 · This feature is not available right now.
Please try again later. Ralphie Parker and his quest for the Holy Grail of Christmas gifts. Local actors will perform "A Christmas Story — The Musical, " directed by Carol Burba. Then: Peter Billingsley played Ralphie Parker, 'A Christmas Story's Red Ryder BB gun-pining protagonist. Now: Although Billingsley, 40, still occasionally acts, he is best known for his behind-the-camera collaborations with his good buddies Vince Vaughn and Jon Favreau.
Directed by Bob Clark. This delightfully funny holiday gem tells the story of Ralphie Parker (Peter Billingsly) a 1940's nine-year-old who pulls out all the stops to obtain the ultimate Christmas present. Noah Baird as Randy Parker in "A Christmas Story, The Musical, " which will play at New York's Madison Square Garden next month. CREDIT: Carol Rosegg Cast members of "A Christmas Story: A Musical, " are seen in the scene, "Ralphie to the Rescue. ". Jackson Rott as Randy Parker, Katie Wegleitner as Mother and Courtney Rott as Jean.
A Christmas Story Live! is a television special that was originally broadcast by Fox on December 17, 2017. It was a live, televised musical remake of the 1983 film A Christmas Story, and incorporated the 2012 stage musical version A Christmas Story: The Musical. Ian Petrella, Actor: A Christmas Story. Ian Petrella started his acting career at the age of three, a suggestion by an Aunt who worked at the Herb Tannen Talent Randy parker christmas story.
Ian was presented a contract and a S. A. G. card after his very first audition. Through the years he appeared in numerous television commercials and T. V. shows. In 1983 Ian landed the part of Randy Parker in the now.
You'd think the round-the-clock TV marathons of Bob Clark's comedy, A Christmas Story, would be as overwhelming as Ralphie Parker's Pepto Bismol-colored bunny costume, but really, the nostalgia, hilarious absurdity, and the countless. | {
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Now in its sixth edition, this book is the definitive work on the small precision lathe, past and present. The bulk of de Carle's original text has been retained and covers basic construction, selection, care of and accessories for the lathe, as well as its uses. Likewise, the chapter 'Lathes of the World' is still included, since it represents an unparalleled source of detailed information on lathes and accessories, the manufacture of which ceased many years ago. However, this new edition is fully up to date. The current scene is dealt with at length in the final section, 'Lathes Today', and is the result of extensive world-wide research. The directory of lathe, tool and material stockists has also been completely revised.
The Watchmaker's and Model Engineer's Lathe is still, to quote one reviewer of a previous edition, 'The standard work on the subject'. | {
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If you want to work our Work Desk will connect you to labour hire organisations who specialise in placing casual workers for local vineyards, hospitality, construction and tourism industries.
Just ask the Manager Ben, who will happily share his local knowledge and assist you with the planning of your trip and advise you on nightly entertainment, events, restaurants, local tours plus walk and cycle trails. Ben is a keen local surfer who will help you on your way to find the right break on the right day.
We run a bus service to nearby beaches. | {
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State Fair of Virginia begins run on Friday
Updated: 4:23 AM EDT Sep 24, 2012
The State Fair of Virginia opens this week under new owners.The Farm Bureau Federation and Universal Fairs are teaming up to present the annual agricultural attraction, which runs from Sept. 28 through Oct. 7. They're sponsoring a media preview Monday and Tuesday at The Meadow Event Park in Caroline County to highlight some of the fair's new features.The Farm Bureau has touted the fair's return to its agricultural roots, with an emphasis on livestock exhibits and competitions.Universal purchased the Caroline County property in May for $5.67 million from the debt-ridden former operator of the 150-year-old fair. The Farm Bureau later decided to partner with the entertainment company.
DOSWELL, Va. —
The State Fair of Virginia opens this week under new owners.
The Farm Bureau Federation and Universal Fairs are teaming up to present the annual agricultural attraction, which runs from Sept. 28 through Oct. 7. They're sponsoring a media preview Monday and Tuesday at The Meadow Event Park in Caroline County to highlight some of the fair's new features.
The Farm Bureau has touted the fair's return to its agricultural roots, with an emphasis on livestock exhibits and competitions.
Universal purchased the Caroline County property in May for $5.67 million from the debt-ridden former operator of the 150-year-old fair. The Farm Bureau later decided to partner with the entertainment company. | {
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Heat the ghee in a medium saucepan; add the onions, ginger, cloves, cardamom seeds, bay leaves and salt. Fry the onions until they look translucent but not brown.
Add the rice stir until coated with the ghee mix and beginning to cook (2-3 minutes).
Add the water. Once water boils add the chick-peas, and cover with a tight fitting lid. If the lid isn't very tight, cover the pan with aluminium foil before putting the lid on. Turn the heat down to low and leave to cook for 10 minutes until the water is absorbed. Don't remove the lid. Turn off the heat and leave the rice to continue to cook in the pan for about 5 minutes. | {
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The Australian Maritime Safety Authority (ASMA) is inviting your feedback on the proposed Cocos (Keeling) Islands (CKI) Designation of Waters Ordinance 2018 which, once implemented, will designate the waters within the CKI lagoon as 'partially smooth waters' for the purposes of the Marine Safety (Domestic Commercial Vessel) National Law 2012.
Reclassifying the waters in the lagoon will have positive impacts on the community, including local tourism operators, by making it less onerous to meet vessel survey requirements and enabling smaller 'non-survey' vessels to access a number of AMSA's general exemptions.
Two community information sessions were conducted on this by AMSA on West Island in mid-August 2017.
In preparation for the anticipated reclassification, AMSA has already authorised the inclusion of the CKI lagoon under Exemption 38, Marine Safety (Low complexity duties) Exemption 2017. This came into effect from 1 September 2017.
The draft Ordinance PDF: 122 KB and a chart PDF: 906 KB depicting the boundary for the waters to be designated is attached. The Ordinance is expected to commence 1 July 2018.
If you would like to provide feedback on the proposed designation of waters, or require further information, please email your comments to Mr Chris Battel, AMSA Liaison Officer (Region West) at [email protected] by Friday, 1 June 2018. | {
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Automated speed cameras are one step closer to becoming reality, and your action is needed to stop this boondoggle from becoming law.
The Speed Camera bill blew through the legislature in Illinois' Fall Veto Session, and the Governor has until February 6 to either veto, or sign the measure into law. His decision could come at any time.
According to multiple media sources, Governor Quinn has been meeting a lot of resistance from constituents on this bill.
The cameras are supplied and maintained by Redflex–a private company that stands to increase their profits by untold millions if this bill becomes law.
And there is no independent oversight to ensure the accuracy of these cameras and sensors.
Call Governor Quinn today at 217-782-0244, and demand that he veto SB965, the Speed Camera Bill!
Previous White House press secretary Jay Carney said Monday that he didn't have any reaction to Paul's "police state" comments. | {
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Is this REALLY you, Dustin?
Every song sounds exactly the same. Same over produced trash over and over.
Guess they weren't country dirt roads, huh? Same song different title. Calling all non SJW, talented, COUNTRY singer/songwriters you are needed IMMEDIATELY in Nashville. | {
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The Voice of Croatia
HRENDEES
Author: Branko Lozančić
Goran Ivanišević inducted into Tennis Hall of Fame
Branko Lozančić
July 18, 2021, 6 months ago
Goran Ivanišević
Foto: Brian Snyder / REUTERS
"This is a dream come true," is the sentence with which Wimbledon winner Goran Ivanisevic concluded his speech at a ceremony in Newport, where the 49-year-old from Split became the first Croat to be inducted into the International Tennis Hall of Fame.
Goran Ivanišević was introduced into the company of tennis immortals by his childhood idol John McEnroe, and the medal for member of the International Hall of Fame was hung around his neck by the president of this organization Stan Smith, a member himself.
"I love Goran Ivanišević and I am extremely excited to be able to introduce someone to the Hall of Fame who can be said to have been crazier on the field than I was. I played against Goran a lot of times, I watched and commented on his matches a lot of times and I have to say he always kept me on the edge of my chair because I never knew what would happen next, and I'm not sure he knew either. His unpredictability is one of the reasons why we loved him and why it was so hard to play against him. What he did on the field, Goran did in his own way and it would certainly be good to have such players in tournaments ... I am proud to present my friend and new member of the International Hall of Fame," said John McEnroe, introducing Goran to the Hall of Fame.
"I don't think I'm crazier than you, but I'm very close. I love you, I love your tennis, you are the reason why I started playing tennis and - yes, I beat you many times," sad Ivanišević making everyone present laugh at the foggy Newport dinner.
A special space in gratitude was given to those who sacrificed the most for the career of the new resident of the Hall of Fame - father Srđan and mother Gorana.
"The two most important people in my career - mom and dad. Two people who sacrificed their health, their careers, and their time and gave me unconditional love to succeed. Mom and Dad, there are no words to express my thanks, nor can I do anything to thank you for all you have done for me. If I had to go through this trip again, I would choose you for mom and dad again and we would go together again. I love you and thank you for everything," said Ivanišević.
Goran also thanked his children: Oliver, who is "too young to know who his father is, but loves him", and Emanuel and Amber, who are big enough and "feel proud of what their father has achieved".
Then Goran's wife Nives had her turn.
"When I started to be good, she was still a girl. She didn't know about me, nor did she know anything about tennis. Twenty-something years later she stands here extremely proud and beautiful. Thank you for your support and love," said Ivanišević.
Goran did not forget the people who are "responsible" for his historical success, which made him a tennis legend.
"I thank the Wimbledon committee for awarding me an invitation. I don't know if they did a good job and if they regret it, but thank you guys - if it weren't for you, I wouldn't be standing here now. It was a good decision."
In the end, Goran expressed thanks to "one city and one country".
"My hometown of Split - a city that has produced so many wonderful people and wonderful athletes. The city that gave me the most beautiful and safest childhood, where I could become a tennis player as I am today and as I was. Everything I built through my career I brought from that city and became the man I am today. To my country. You know, we are a small country with a big heart. We never stop believing. I've had a lot of ups and downs, but I've never stopped believing. For the first time in my life I can say that I am proud of myself," said Ivanišević.
"This is the end. This is a dream come true," said the hall of Fame's newest member.
Source: HRT
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Grlić Radman calls on Bosnian politicians to reach an agreement on election law reform
Chile elects new president with Croatian roots | {
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Wounded Tongue is a literary thriller from writer Garrett Dennert.
The world went dark months ago.
Most chased the light as it went out. Those that stayed now live in fear – of the depletion of resources; of the blackout's effects on the environment; of the masked tribes warring over pockets of the new world.
It's only in the aftermath of sudden events that Vitri, a middle-aged scavenger from Waco, Texas, finds himself thrust in motion, eastward, towards family with whom he has no intention of resuming life.
Circumstances force Vitri to cross paths with Reyn, a hearing-impaired orphan also journeying alone. Head and heart tell each to ally, to navigate the obstacles before them and travel east together. But what they discover lies between them soon becomes the largest obstacle of all.
"... unabashedly stark and animalistic and grim... "
"...made me sit up and pay attention while reading. Made me think."
In 2012, Garrett Dennert obtained his B.A. in Creative Writing from Grand Valley State University, emphasizing in Fiction and Creative Nonfiction. There, he contributed to the school's literary journal, fishladder, and soon after served as founding member and Nonfiction Editor of Squalorly.
Dennert has since been fortunate enough to place stories and essays at Barely South Review, Midwestern Gothic, Monkeybicycle, and Whiskeypaper.
Wounded Tongue is his first novel. | {
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Savonlinna je město na jihovýchodě Finska, sídlo stejnojmenné obce v provincii Jižní Savo. Rozkládá se na ostrovech jezerního systému Saimaa 335 km severovýchodně od Helsinek. Město má obyvatel a patří tak do čtvrté desítky pořadí největších finských měst.
Historie
V roce 1475 založil na strategickém místě Erik Axelsson pevnost Olavinlinna, pojmenovanou po svatém Olafovi. Osada v podhradí dostala roku 1639 městská práva a název Savonlinna (finsky Pevnost v kraji Savo), švédsky Nyslott (Nová pevnost). Roku 1743 město zabrali Rusové, v roce 1812 je jako součást území zvaného Staré Finsko připojili k Finskému velkoknížectví. Součástí nezávislého Finska se Savonlinna stala roku 1918, za zimní války silně utrpěla sovětským bombardováním. V roce 1973 k ní bylo jako nová městská část připojeno městečko Sääminki, roku 2009 Savonranta a roku 2013 Kerimäki a Punkaharju.
Současnost
Město je obklopeno převážně lesy, s tím souvisí i jeho ekonomika: firmy UPM-Kymmene a Andritz se zabývají zpracováním dřeva a výrobou papíru. Savonlinna je také vyhledávaná turisty díky množství parků i stavebních památek, jako je hrad, novogotická luteránská katedrála, největší dřevěný kostel na světě v Kerimäki, muzeum lodní dopravy nebo muzeum ikon. Na hradě se každoročně od roku 1967 koná významný mezinárodní Savonlinnský operní festival. Město hostí každoročně mistrovství světa v hodu mobilním telefonem. Sídlí zde hokejový klub SaPKo (Savonlinnan Pallokerho), který hraje druhou nejvyšší finskou ligu Mestis, mezi jeho odchovanci je např. Tuukka Rask. Savonlinna je jedním ze tří sídel Univerzity Východního Finska. Nedaleko se nachází národní park Linnansaari, kde žije vzácný endemický poddruh tuleně kroužkovaného.
Partnerská města
Partnerství mezi radnicemi
Detmold, Německo
Kalmar, Švédsko
Toržok, Rusko
Partnerství na úrovni nevládních organizací
Árborg, Island
Arendal, Norsko
Silkeborg, Dánsko
Reference
Externí odkazy
Oficiální web
(cs) Světadíly.cz
(en) DiscoveringFinland.com
Města ve Finsku
Jižní Savo
Vzniklo 1639 | {
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Free play is our focus for this episode of the Education Futures Podcast. Adults often assume that it is their job to keep children busy all the time, but evidence suggests that children learn best when afforded great amounts of free time and opportunities for free play: activities that are freely chosen and directed by participants for their own sake. This can involve exploring, making new friends, playing games, being bored, and rescuing one's self from boredom.
We wanted to learn more. And so we interviewed Dr. Peter Gray, author of Free to Learn: Why Unleashing the Instinct to Play Will Make Our Children Happier, More Self-Reliant, and Better Students for Life. In his book, Peter Gray argues it's time to stop asking what's wrong with our children, and start asking what's wrong with the system. Is schooling the most responsible thing we can provide? | {
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Finally cool weather is here and we're feeling festive, guys.
Stocking the shop with lots of gifts is a lot of fun and we enjoy hunting for unique finds for you to gift the ones you love. Especially our Fair Trade selection. We're always proud of that.
Wanna see what we've found for you?
Palm sized Quartz points from Madagascar. Lovely clarity!
Larger pieces of beautiful Carnelian can be hard to find. . . love the shape and color on this one. It would make a great charger for tumbles that could use a little "oomph".
Sparkling tips of Apophyllite. Delicate formations of Faden Quartz. Raw hunks of Amber. Tumbles of Lepidolite. Hunks of Apatite.
Smoky Quartz and Citrine together. Nice, translucent pieces. Really lovely energy.
Rose Quartz hearts. Snakeskin Agate. Sparkling Blue Topaz - very icy.
lovely formations of raw Rainbow Fluorite. The picture doesn't do them justice. They're just so lovely to be with.
Raw copper formation. Just so striking and sculptural. It's amazing what nature does. We love this piece!
A beautiful, deep deep purple amethyst geode from Uruguay. Hand carved wood herb cabinet from India. Brass Buddha statue.
We're looking forward to getting more gift items as we get closer to the holidays. Is there anything in particular you'd like us to keep an eye out for?
particularly lush and translucent Jade from China. | {
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ON Semiconductor's AX5043 is a true single chip, narrow-band, ultra-low-power ASK and FSK RF transceiver for the 27 MHz to 1050 MHz frequency bands. It offers the unique combination of ultra-low power consumption for transmit and receive operation combined with highest sensitivity and high selectivity. A link budget of 143 dB at 1 kbps is achieved, if the built-in forward error correction (FEC) is used this can be extended to 146 dB without extra external components. The AX5043 works perfectly down to 1 kbps in a 6.25 kHz channel.
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3 from thirty years old and upward even until fifty years old, all who enter upon the service, to do the work in the tent of meeting.
5 When the camp sets forward, Aaron shall go in, and his sons, and they shall take down the veil of the screen, and cover the ark of the testimony with it.
6 And shall put on it a covering of sea-skin, and shall spread over it a cloth all of blue, and shall put in the staves of it.
7 And upon the table of showbread they shall spread a cloth of blue, and put on it the dishes, and the spoons, and the bowls and the cups with which to pour out. And the continual bread shall be on it.
8 And they shall spread upon them a cloth of scarlet, and cover the same with a covering of sea-skin, and shall put in the staves of it.
9 And they shall take a cloth of blue, and cover the candlestick of the light, and its lamps, and its snuffers, and its snuff dishes, and all the oil vessels of it, with which they minister to it.
10 And they shall put it and all the vessels of it within a covering of sea-skin, and shall put it upon the frame.
11 And upon the golden altar they shall spread a cloth of blue, and cover it with a covering of sea-skin, and shall put in the staves of it.
12 And they shall take all the vessels of ministry, with which they minister in the sanctuary, and put them in a cloth of blue, and cover them with a covering of sea-skin, and shall put them on the frame.
13 And they shall take away the ashes from the altar, and spread a purple cloth on it.
23 from thirty years old and upward until fifty years old thou shall number them, all who enter in to wait upon the service, to do the work in the tent of meeting.
27 At the commandment of Aaron and his sons shall be all the service of the sons of the Gershonites, in all their burden, and in all their service. And ye shall appoint to those in charge all their burden.
28 This is the service of the families of the sons of the Gershonites in the tent of meeting. And their charge shall be under the hand of Ithamar the son of Aaron the priest.
29 As for the sons of Merari, thou shall number them by their families, by their fathers' houses.
30 From thirty years old and upward even to fifty years old thou shall number them, each man who enters upon the service, to do the work of the tent of meeting.
32 and the pillars of the court round about, and their sockets, and their pins, and their cords, with all their instruments, and with all their service. And ye shall appoint the instruments of the charge of their burden by name.
35 from thirty years old and upward even to fifty years old, each man who entered upon the service, for work in the tent of meeting.
36 And those who were numbered of them by their families were two thousand seven hundred and fifty.
37 These are those who were numbered of the families of the Kohathites, all who served in the tent of meeting, whom Moses and Aaron numbered according to the commandment of LORD by Moses.
40 even those who were numbered of them, by their families, by their fathers' houses, were two thousand and six hundred and thirty.
41 These are those who were numbered of the families of the sons of Gershon, all who served in the tent of meeting, whom Moses and Aaron numbered according to the commandment of LORD.
44 even those who were numbered of them by their families, were three thousand and two hundred.
45 These are those who were numbered of the families of the sons of Merari, whom Moses and Aaron numbered according to the commandment of LORD by Moses.
48 even those who were numbered of them, were eight thousand and five hundred and eighty.
49 According to the commandment of LORD they were numbered by Moses, each man according to his service, and according to his burden. Thus they were numbered by him, as LORD commanded Moses. | {
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1. Determine Goals – As with other types of business strategy, goals must be specific and measurable. You must decide precisely what you want out of your advertising. This can be more sales, market expansion, a desired CPA, more precise persona targeting, more effective lead nourishment and a myriad of other things. Your goals, whatever they may be, should centered around overall ROI and Year-over-Year growth.
2. Identify Keywords—Identify keywords that adequately describe your business. These should include the services you perform, products you sell, and phrases customers would use in connection to your business. Understanding your target persona will help you develop a list of high performing keywords.
3. Expand Keywords—Expand your list of keywords to see if there are any important words and phrases that you are missing out on. Some effective ways to do this are to analyze your competitors, get a better understanding of your target audience's search behavior to uncover more keywords, and use various tools such as Google's keywords tool. Yes, this all takes a good amount of work and requires a certain level of experience to properly execute. Hiring an experienced digital marketing agency that understands how to utilize these aspects can help generate bottom line results for your company.
4. Prioritize Keywords—As your campaign progresses, you will be able to get a better idea about which keywords are top performers. However, to launch the campaign without professional assistance, you must rely on your knowledge of your business and the persona and search behavior of your target audience.
5. Categorize Keywords—Put your keywords into different categories based on the type of advertisements they create. The eventual goal is to establish and track different types of ads based on the type of keywords. In other words, your ads should directly relate to the search being made.
6. Set up Ads—Keep your ads short, catchy, and relevant.
7. Plan Content Keyword Targeting—Plan your ads based on the content of the sites where they will appear.
8. Determine the Desired Action for Conversion—Conversions are measured by tracking the number of people that perform a measurable task once they reach the landing page. Plan the action you want your potential customers to perform and MAKE IT EASY for them to perform.
9. Design Landing Pages—Good ads get people to your landing pages. However, you must have effective landing pages in order to turn clicks into sales.
10. Set up Means of Tracking—Establishing a new SEM campaign is only the beginning. You must also have a means to track and adjust your initial plan in order to achieve an optimal ROI.
The steps you take in launching a new PPC campaign are critical to getting the highest possible ROI. For the best results, seek assistance from an experienced digital marketing agency. They can help you launch new campaigns and monitor existing ones. Contact HawkSEM for more information on how to get the results you need.
This entry was posted in Blog, PPC Management on August 7, 2014 by Greg. | {
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There was a time when I would wait for all of my crops to be spent, till the garden and call it a season. Now it's more of a piecemeal proposition.
With my garden's size, I never have enough compost to fertilize the whole caboodle. Even starting with three bins full of waste materials, it cooks down by half or more.
I had enough compost to generously cover 4 1/2 beds, which are now a uniform 21′ x 3′. I tilled in the compost and then planted a winter cover crop mix in those beds. The rest of the beds will each get 7 to 8 gallons of fresh chicken manure before winter (I clean off the pop board every morning and store it in a covered 5 gallon bucket). Then they'll be covered with shredded leaves.
In the piecemeal spirit, I've also started improving paths. It's an uncomfortably big job to gather and spread wood chips on all of the paths at once, so I pick them off one at a time.
…and done. Not a permanent solution, but good for a couple of years. | {
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Wedding favors are small, thoughtful gifts given to the guests in appreciation for attending the wedding. They can be artfully arranged on a central table or incorporated into each place setting. Ideally, your wedding favors will be appropriate to your wedding theme, a reflection of your unique style, and a treasured keepsake for your guests. All that, without breaking the bank as well! When you're shopping for wedding favors, make sure you ask the following six questions.
Can it be personalized? Personalized wedding favors make better reminders of your wedding. Metallic, crystal, glass, or wooden favors can all be engraved with the names of bride and groom, the date of the wedding, and a personal message to the guests. If your wedding favors aren't suited for engraving, include a personalized tag. A good wedding favor vendor will personalize tags for you at a nominal cost.
Is it practical? The best favors have a practical use. Candles are a popular choice, but they'll only last until the wick is burned out. For a wedding favor your guests are likely to keep and use for some time to come, choose a bottle stopper, ice-cream scoop, picture frame, luggage tag, or anything else that will come in handy day-to-day.
Is it unique? Will your wedding favors astonish and delight your guests? Unique wedding favors make your wedding more memorable. Choose not just any candle--but one that looks like a part of your bouquet. Not just any place holder--but one that looks like an ornate miniature chair, or doubles as a picture frame or luggage tag. Get the idea?
Does it go with my theme? Themed wedding favors are a stylish and appropriate choice for any wedding. Specific themes such as beach, Asian, and destination weddings are easy to match with themed wedding favors.
However, if you don't have a theme-style wedding, there are other ways to match your favors to the occasion. If your wedding will occur near a major holiday, use that for unique wedding favor ideas--an inscribed Christmas ornament for December weddings, sparklers for a 4th-of-July wedding, or trick-or-treat goodie bags for Halloween. Or tailor your wedding favors to the season--snowflake candles for winter, flower-themed wedding favors for spring, foliage or pumpkins for fall.
Is it "us"? Will your favors make your guests smile and talk about how very "you" the favors are? The best wedding favors should relate to something personal about the bride and groom. If you love playing golf together, what better favor than a "his and hers" tee set? If you're both java fans, an inscribed coffee scoop would be ideal. If you're wine aficionados, there are a lot of options, including wine stoppers, bottle openers, and wine-themed charms.
What's the price? This is important, because you'll be buying your favors in bulk. The best wedding favor vendors will offer high-quality favors at low prices. Look for extras like free personalization, money-back guarantees, and bulk discounts. Some of the best vendors offer price-matching--they'll match a lower price offered by a different store.
It's tough to find a wedding favor that answers "yes" to all of the above. Don't worry about checking off every box on the list--just use these questions as ideas to narrow down your search. With luck and a little patience, you're sure to find wedding favors your guests will love as much as you do. | {
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Investment Themes/
Investment Themes - Japan
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Found 184 results in Japan
Gundlach Sees 'Rough Waters' for Market as Fed Pursues Taper
This article from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Gundlach, 62, said the reason why Fed Chair Jerome Powell characterizes the economy as strong, but not strong enough to allow for a rate hike at this point, is that the underlying condition is in fact weak -- artificially propped up by an unprecedented degree of stimulus.
Here are some other takeaways from Gundlach's remarks:
He focused heavily on inflation, saying the annual pace of gains in the consumer price index could hit 7% in the next month or two. He ran through numerous inflation measures and pointed out that shelter costs have climbed significantly. He also said it's possible that the CPI inflation gauge won't drop below 4% throughout 2022.
Markets could face more volatility now that the Fed has said it might quicken its tapering program.
Gundlach reiterated that he bought European stocks for the first time in 12 years, which he disclosed a few months ago. He still owns some of those and they've done just OK until recently. He didn't own emerging-markets equities, though he envisioned a scenario when they might outperform U.S. firms. "We're looking for major opportunities" and emerging markets could be one over the next few years, he said.
The dollar has been in structural decline since 1985, he said, reiterating that the twin-deficit problem (that's the current-account gap and the federal budget deficit) will cause the greenback to fall over time, which bodes well for emerging markets.
Eoin Treacy's view -
I've been saying for most of this year that the Dollar is the lynchpin for a migration away from US Dollar assets. Wall Street has outperformed by a wide margin from the perspective of international investors since 2008.
This section continues in the Subscriber's Area. Back to top
Secular Themes Review December 3rd 2021
A year ago, I began a series of reviews of longer-term themes which will be updated going forward on the first Monday every month. The last was on October 1st. These reviews can be found via the search bar using the term "Secular Themes Review".
One of the most basic truisms in the financial markets is it is easier to make money in a bull market. The bull market that began in late 2008 and early 2009 has been liquidity fuelled. That was not obvious to everyone a decade ago but now everyone gets the message. Money printing inflates asset prices. As long as central banks are printing, we will have bull markets and the most speculative assets will perform best.
This Company is Reinventing the Wheel and Ditching the Rubber Tire
This press release may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
While GACW is initially targeting the OTR sector, which includes mining, the global tire market is much bigger, and the company has plans to enter that too. That said, the initial focus on mining could raise in excess of $20 million in revenue per mine site given the significant numbers of vehicles involved in each mining project.
And while the company may have competitors in the mid-sized market, it does not have any competitors in the global OTR sector.
In addition to this market, the ASW technology can be applied to all vehicles currently using traditional rubber tires, a $322 billion estimated value in 2022.
So far, the company has raised $3 million and has 4 patents with 13 others pending. It is also currently testing its ASW products with mining partners with an evaluation period of between 6 and 12 months. From 2022, it intends to ramp up its production of the ASW product with full commercialization expected in 2023.
"At this point, our plan is to expand our distribution network and really start taking the tire industry by storm," the company said.
Mining costs are heavily dependent on energy and transportation prices and the cost of complying with increasingly stringent environmental regulations. As those costs rise, the incentive for companies to find alternatives where possible becomes progressively more urgent. Finding a cheaper alternative for a major cost centre, while also mitigating environmental liability represents an attractive sales pitch; if it works. Here is a link to Global Air Cylinder Wheels' website.
Soaring Costs Squeeze Japan Inc. as Firms Hold Their Prices Flat
Costs that Japanese businesses pay for supplies surged last month at the fastest pace in 13 years.
Meanwhile, the prices that consumers pay are basically flat, a recipe for pinched profit margins and corporate pain.
A Bank of Japan report on Tuesday showed the country's producer prices rose in September 6.3% from a year earlier, with the gap between those costs and the prices consumers pay at its widest since 1980.
Even as profit margins fall, Japanese businesses have been reluctant to pass their costs on to the country's shoppers, who are known for being extremely sensitive to price increases after years of deflation and stagnant wages.
Forecasts from the BOJ, showing consumer price gains rising no higher than 1% next year, suggest businesses aren't likely to get very aggressive in pricing even if they get stressed by
added cost pressure.
That bind shows one reason why Japan's new Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is so keen to get businesses to raise pay, a mostly unmet goal held by the two premiers before him including Shinzo Abe, who also made it a major policy plank.
Japan's Kishida Vows Progress Where Abenomics Fell Short:
On Pay
Without bigger paychecks in consumers' pockets, Japan's policy makers have found it difficult to stoke inflation, which is not forecast to reach the BOJ's 2% target for years. The bank is seen keeping its easing program for the foreseeable future, even as global peers unwind stimulus.
Japan's economy has been locked in deflation for so long that businesses are unaccustomed to raising rates and have tended instead to try and be more efficient. The promise of automation has been one of the primary avenues Japan has taken to become more efficient but that's not helping with supply bottlenecks and rising commodity prices. Ultimately, prices will have to rise. That will force wages higher.
Secular Themes Review October 2021
On November 24th I began a series of reviews of longer-term themes which will be updated on the first Friday of every month going forward. The last was on May 7th. These reviews can be found via the search bar using the term "Secular Themes Review"
Supply Inelasticity Meets Rising Demand was the phrase David coined to explain the last commodity-led bull market. After decades of underinvestment in commodity supply infrastructure, the market was not prepared for the massive swell of new demand from China; as it leaped from economic obscurity into one of the largest economies in the world. A decade of investment in new production was needed to supply China and that crested ahead of the credit crisis in 2008.
Today, we also have extreme example of supply inelasticity, and demand is breaking records for all manner of goods and services. The factors contributing to these trends are quite different from a decade though. Some will be resolved relatively quickly. Others will take years.
Amazon and Walmart are Winning the Labor Market Wars
That's putting manufacturers in an unexpected competition with service employers for workers. Amazon likes to quote its average starting wage of $17 an hour at fulfillment centers in Michigan that comes with a host of benefits, a package that's likely better than a lot of entry-level or lower-tier manufacturing jobs for similar work. Thursday, Amazon upped the ante again, announcing that it will pay for some U.S. employees to get four-year college degrees.
A whole host of retailers pay $15 an hour or more — Walgreens announced it would do just that last month — and offer working conditions that are likely more comfortable and less hazardous than being on a factory floor. Would you rather make $15 an hour working at a sawmill or inside a Home Depot?
This is one reason manufacturers will end up embracing automation: They just can't find a way to make jobs good enough to attract the workers they need relative to their ever-escalating service economy competition.
Service employers have spent the past several years improving the nature of their jobs, doing everything from increasing pay and benefits packages to relaxing dress codes and offering more flexible schedules. Manufacturing employers are realizing that they now have to do the same. They've got arguably an even heavier lift in front of them, given the riskier, more physically demanding nature of many of the jobs — and if they can't manage to pull it off with humans, they might have to do it with robots.
Higher wages and the rising cost of compliance encourage automation. Low interest rates and abundant credit enable automation. Technology companies respond to both these trends by profiting from innovation.
Japan's Leadership Rivals Diverge on Economic Paths After Covid
The three declared candidates vying to become Japan's next leader offer an economic choice between a renewed drive to stoke inflation, a bid to rebuild the middle class, or an acceleration of digital reform that puts growth before price targets.
Not surprisingly, with an election looming, Sanae Takaichi, Fumio Kishida and Taro Kono have each promised to put together stimulus packages to help regain recovery momentum in an economy hit by the delta wave.
One of the biggest takeaways from the pandemic is no party is willing to run on a fiscal austerity platform. Voters might disagree on priorities like growth or social services but no one wants to pay for additional spending or endure a loss of services. That change of priorities suggests politicians have learned from past failures and are determined to give the people what they want. The implication is we are going to see continued outsized government spending remain a priority relative to revenue raising on a global basis for the foreseeable future.
Secular Themes Review September 2021
On November 24th I began a series of reviews of longer-term themes which will be updated on the first Friday of every month going forward. The last was on May 7th. These reviews can be found via the search bar using the term "Secular Themes Review".
If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it must be a duck. Wall Street is behaving like it is in a bubble. The most important thing is the bubble is still inflating.
Predicting Equity Returns with Inflation
This article from Research Affiliates may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
In this article, we document that two derived US inflation variables—inflation cycles and inflation surprises—have been robust predictors of US equity returns. We demonstrate that this predictability translates into new sources of alpha that investors can seek to harvest. In particular, we highlight the signals' ability to perform during the worst times in the stock market without missing upside opportunities.
The tail-hedging properties derived from inflation signals are particularly desirable. Hedging positive inflation shocks can be costly when inflation is low.9 For example, strategic allocations to alternative assets, such as commodities, or absolute return strategies as a way to protect against inflation have not all fared well in recent years, with commodity indices down more than 30% versus their 2011 levels. As a result, many asset owners may not be able to stay the course if inflation fails to materialize in the medium term. We find that inflation signals can provide a new tool for investors who wish to hedge their portfolios against inflationary and deflationary risks.
"The tail-hedging properties derived from inflation signals are particularly desirable."
For forty years inflation is the dog that refused to bite. There have been several occasions when it looked inevitable profligate spending, overly generous social programs, supply disruptions, commodity and property booms and busts would break the trend of disinflation but they never did.
Secular Themes Review August 6th 2021
We are 17 months on from the panic low in 2020. At this stage it is quite normal to marvel at the speed of the advance and worry that the pace can't possibly be sustained. The abiding sentiment is something like "surely, the world is not nearly as good as it was before the pandemic and therefore how on earth can prices be so high?".
The world is not as good as it was before, millions of people have been deeply inconvenienced and many are traumatized by the events of the last 17 months. The counter argument is the quantity of money in circulation has only been matched during wartime and that has helped to inflate the price of everything. That's the key to the argument. Having spent so much to achieve this recovery does anyone really believe central banks are going to endanger it? So where do we go from here?
Investors in Japan Stocks Expect Turning Point After Olympics
This article by Gearoid Reidy and Shoko Oda for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
The Olympics and the success of the vaccine rollout are set to define Suga's premiership. Suga must face two polls in quick succession after the emergency ends, with his term as leader of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party expiring and a general election set to take place in October or November.
"If the vaccines continue and clear away the uncertainties surrounding the pandemic, that's advantageous for the government" in the election, Invesco's Kinoshita said.
John Vail, chief global strategist at Nikko Asset Management Co., said when the Olympics are over and vaccination rates pick up, investors will turn positive as rebounds in industrial production and exports become evident.
"When Japan comes out of this, it's going to surge," Vail says of the economy. "A lot of people don't believe it until they see it. Especially in Japan, people tend to worry first and think about the future later."
Japan is considered a cheap market with the implicit view that it is cheap for a reason. One of the primary reasons Japan ranged for so long is because company culture changed and prioritised resilience. That's not just about maintaining higher inventories, it means less leverage and higher cash balances.
Email of the day on construction work, supply bottlenecks and Japan
Heard the construction work yesterday, hope you and the family will soon be peacefully settled in!!
A minor update on Japan.
Last year my Japanese portfolio performed well when the Nikkei was up , but this year, having tweaked my portfolio it performs in line with the Topix. Today was typical, percentage wise the Topix was up over double the Nikkei and my portfolio performed very well. Plus I think the Topix index will be the 1st to break it's psychological level of 2,000 before the Nikkei breaks the 30,000 level!! Take a look at the 10-year Topix chart, this year it has formed a perfect pennant, ready to pierce the 2,000 level. I believe the Topix is closer to following the 2nd section than the Nikkei.
Thank you for your well wishes and this topical email. Our contractor is back again today so I apologise if there is any banging in the background while I record this aternoon.
We bought a newbuild home foreclosure that had been sitting on the market for eighteen months. The builder had gone bust so the final touches on the home were rushed and the kitchen was left unfinished. As far as we can make out the reason the house sat unwanted for so long was the starting price was too high back in late 2019 and the absence of a kitchen was a deterrent. There was also a leak in the dishwasher that led to significant mould growth in the kitchen island so that probably also limited demand.
Secular Themes Review July 2nd 2021
News today that Johnson & Johnson's vaccine is effective against the delta variant should help to allay fears that the world is about to experience a round of upheaval similar to early 2020.
There is no question that the pandemic has acted as an accelerant. It forced migration and adaption to new conditions in a manner that might otherwise never have happened. Some of those changes will stick, others will fade away.
Everyone seems to think that the pandemic has to mean something and that we will never again get back to normal life. I don't believe it. The surges back into social activity whenever restrictions are lifted is confirmation that humans are social beings. We crave physical contact and fellow feeling. That's not going to change, even if we have a better appreciation for it today than since the demise of organised religion.
As with every other crisis, the liquidity created to deal with the shock will remain in the system for much longer than it is strictly required. Central banks cannot afford to jeopardise the recovery they worked so hard to create. Meanwhile, populations everywhere are impatient for better conditions.
Private Equity Gears Up for the Siege of Japan Inc.
This article by Jacky Wong for the Wall Street Journal may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Private-equity funds have a growing interest in Japan—and are making surprisingly good money there. The scandal at venerable Japanese electronics maker Toshiba could shape up as a test case for just how big the industry can grow in the world's third-largest economy.
There are no offers publicly on the table for Toshiba, but there is no doubt the company is an attractive target for private equity—especially with management on the back foot after shareholders ousted former Chairman Osamu Nagayama last week. Toshiba had previously dismissed a bid from CVC Capital Partners valuing the company at more than $20 billion, which would have made it the biggest private equity-led buyout in Japan. Activist investors are demanding that management now welcome and encourage interest from potential suitors.
Unlike in the U.S., private equity doesn't have a big presence in Japan. According to consulting firm Bain, 8% of Japan's mergers and acquisitions involve private equity, compared with 15% in the U.S. And M&A activities, relative to the size of the economy, are much lower in Japan than in the U.S. or Europe.
But private-equity funds are gearing up to look for opportunities in the country now. Total assets under management in Japan-focused private equity amounted to $35 billion as of September last year, more than double the sum at the end of 2015, according to data provider Preqin. They are now sitting on $14.9 billion of cash. Moreover, a record 80 private-equity and venture-capital funds focused on Japan closed last year, raising $10 billion, says Preqin. Carlyle, for example, raised $2.3 billion for a Japanese buyout fund last year.
$35 billion for acquisitions is a pittance in the market of Japan's size. The attraction of the market is obvious. Valuations are attractive, corporate leverage is low and cashflows are strong. The added incentive for private equity is the demographic transition.
'Value' Label Haunting Japanese Shares Again: Taking Stock
This article from Bloomberg may be of interest may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
As a key "value" market, Japan's shares have gotten rolled up in the reversal of the reflation trade sparked by the Fed's hawkish turn last week. The market capitalization of traditional value sectors financials, industrials, energy and materials is about 36% of the MSCI Japan Index, versus around 24% for the U.S. equivalent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
With stocks trading higher Tuesday, after a value share rally in the U.S. overnight, it would seem the path for Japanese shares -- at least in the short-term -- is linked to the fate of global reflation bets.
Back at home, the slow vaccination rollout is still a risk especially with the Olympics looming. Only about 6% of Japan's population have been fully vaccinated, a sharp contrast to other Asian markets like Singapore and Hong Kong, where 35% and 17% of the population have received two doses, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
"The vaccine rollout is picking up, but risks of a resurgence will increase as Japan lifts the state of emergency and welcomes thousands of Olympic athletes and officials," wrote Barclays Plc's Tetsufumi Yamakawa and Kazuma Maeda in a note Friday.
It would be nice to think that Japan's growing success in vaccinating the population and fighting the pandemic is behind renewed demand in the stock market. Instead, the more likely scenario is there is a swarm of hot money lurching from one asset class to another as perceptions about growth and inflation ebb and flow.
China's tech workers pushed to limits by surveillance software
This article from Nikkei may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
In China, technology adoption promises its swelling middle classes an easier, more productive life. But as companies bring productivity-enhancing tools into everyday office life, their efficiency is being channeled, not into leisure time, but into squeezing ever more value from employees.
Just as algorithms have come to govern the workdays of blue-collar warehouse workers at Alibaba Group Holding and food delivery riders for Meituan, elsewhere, white-collar workers are becoming affected by the creep of software-driven management and monitoring into their professional lives.
This is particularly the case in China's tech industry, where rapid technological development, paired with poor labor regulations, has created a potential for labor abuse. The big tech companies themselves, locked in cutthroat competition for new business opportunities, are pioneering these technologies and tools in their own operations. From hiring and goal-setting to appraisal and layoff, productivity-enhancing technologies look to quantify workers' behavior by collecting and analyzing extensive amounts of personal data.
Some scholars warn that some practices can be unethical, invading employees' privacy and burdening them with greater workload and mental stress. Others draw parallels to the fatigue faced by factory laborers during industrial revolutions, where workers chased the pace of machines.
"I felt that I was getting busier and having less time for myself," said the engineer Wang, looking back on his five years at Chinese internet companies.
Asian work culture is not something many in the West are familiar with. Long hours, arriving before the boss and leaving after him are normal work practices. Not taking holiday, an expectation to do whatever is asked and the assumption of absolute loyalty are common characteristics of working in Japan, China, South Korea and elsewhere. When a Japanese newspaper talks about potentially overworking individuals it is worth paying attention. Afterall Japan has a word for being worked to death. (karoshi - death by overwork).
Email of the day on Japanese indices
Is it possible to add the Topix First Section Index to the Chart Library?
The Topix Index is the short name of the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The ticker is TPX in the Chart Library.
Warner-Discovery, French Deal 'Dramatically' Push M&A Up European TV Agenda
This article from the Hollywood Reporter may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
While European broadcasters are still profitable, "and some very much so," Godard highlighted, "savvy investors believe this is looking suspiciously like the high earnings of printed newspapers circa 2007, or a Wile E. Coyote run over the edge of the cliff. Broadcasters are capturing a declining share of total video audiences and their capacity to finance attractive content is shrinking as talent is bid up by SVOD operators."
The analyst then outlined two consolidation options that have emerged in Europe.
"The first path — heralded by Bertelsmann RTL Group — would aim at creating national broadcasters with the content scale to operate compelling online platforms" via domestic acquisitions, Godard said, calling this the "possibly more defensive but also more realistic" option.
The second path is "more ambitious but lacking a credible backer," he argued. It targets "the never achieved idea of pan-European synergies, leveraging increased international appetite for non-English language content" by merging assets across borders, something that the likes of Italy's Mediaset and Vivendi have talked about. "But its champion, Italy's Mediaset, lacks capacity to deliver," Godard concluded.
"The group is already the biggest broadcaster in Italy and Spain and has built a 24 percent stake in Germany's ProSieben, with the remaining shareholding fragmented," he explained. "The problem is, if the cross-border strategy is sound, Mediaset may be its worst possible proponent. Besides bringing in strong leadership to its Spanish division, Mediaset never extracted significant synergies from its two Mediterranean units, despite their cultural affinity."
National broadcasters survive because they have state backing and a captive audience. The value proposition they represent is tied to continued support from governments because they provide domestic language content. That does not transfer well internationally. This map of the 12 most spoken languages in the world suggest the biggest opportunities are in the Chinese, English, Spanish, Hindu-Urdu and Arabic speaking parts of the world.
Secular Themes Review June 4th 2021
The pandemic panic is now one year in the rear-view mirror. It seems to have lost its ability to scare us so that begs the question what happens next? That's the big conundrum
Some still believe that technology will solve all our problems and that the largest companies in the world will continue get even larger. Others believe that the inflation genie has been releases so it is inevitable that bonds will collapse in value. Others believe that we are in for a long grind of subpar growth because the debt is so large, it will sap the will to live out of every speculative asset. Others believe we are in a stock, commodity and property market bubble that could pop at any moment. Still other believe that cryptocurrencies are the solution, though no one is exactly sure what the problem is. So how do we make sense of these divergent views?
Personally, I have a strong feeling of déjà vu. In late 1999 and early 2000 I was selling Optus cable connections door to door in Melbourne. When I tired of backpacking, I went to London and within three weeks had started at Bloomberg. I was amazed at the speed of the Royal Mail. I saw an ad in The Times on a Wednesday for European sales people. I posted my CV that afternoon and had a reply back from Bloomberg delivered the next day. I had an interview on Monday and started on Tuesday. To say they were desperate for sales people is a gross understatement. I was in Belgium, visiting private banks, 10 days later. That was the top of the market and it was evidence of a true mania in the TMT (Telecoms, Media and Technology) sectors.
By the end of the Nasdaq bear market in 2003 the number of Bloomberg terminals being sold to mortgage bankers was surging. I was even offered a job by one. The Dollar was pulling back, there were fears about financial repression, China's demand for commodities was only beginning, emerging markets were breaking out and gold was completing its base formation. A year later oil broke out.
Tokyo Traders See Faster Vaccine Pace Driving Markets Higher
"Looking at Europe, expectations for business sentiment increased when the inoculation rate reaches about 20-30%," said Masashi Samizo, a senior market analyst at SMBC Trust Bank Ltd. in Tokyo. "Japan is still in single digits, but the trend is clearly accelerating."
To be sure, vaccinations for professionals in Tokyo still seem far off, with little indication when they might get shots. While Japan has administered just 7 million first and second doses in a country of more than 126 million, compared with almost 60 million in the U.K., the pace has begun to increase as more local authorities in charge of vaccinations start to spin up their programs.
Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga surprised many earlier this month when he gave a formidable target for the country to achieve 1 million inoculations a day, seeking to finish administering doses to the country's 36 million over-65s by the end of July. While around 86% of municipalities have said they expect to finish by that date, it's unclear if the pace, which per capita would match some of the best days in the U.S., is realistic.
But the stock market's mood has definitely changed for investors like Naoki Fujiwara, the chief fund manager at of Shinkin Asset Management in Tokyo. "It's starting to feel real, whereas just a few days ago I was wondering when it would begin," said Fujiwara, who expects the Moderna approval to support the market. "Should vaccination expand in the next month or so, Japanese stocks could rebound strongly again."
Most of the island nations that successfully limited exposure to COVID-19 by cutting themselves off from the world have lagged in accessing vaccines. That has delayed economic recovery and the reopening of borders. For Japan the question of open borders is particularly pressing since they had hoped for a tourist influx with the Olympics. That missed opportunity is probably the motive force behind vaccination enthusiasm today.
Secular Themes Review May 7th 2021
On November 24th I began a series of reviews of longer-term themes which will be updated on the first Friday of every month going forward. The last was on March 5th. These reviews can be found via the search bar using the term "Secular Themes Review".
After a crash everyone is wary. We all seek to learn lessons from our most recent experience because it is the only way to help us emotionally move past the trauma. Coming out of the pandemic most investors wished they had sold everything at the first sight of virus news in early 2020 and bought everything back again following the crash. Today they are worried that there is another big shock waiting around the corner that will cause a repeat of pandemic panic.
The challenge for investors is less to learn from the most recent mistake but rather to know when to deploy the lessons learned. The best time to be wary about a massive decline is when no one is worried about it. The time to take precautionary action is when it seems like a waste of time and when you are most afraid of giving up on the potential for even better gains. That's the best time to remember the experience of the crash but the interval of time and the positive reinforcement of experience in an uptrend make it difficult.
JAPAN VALUE An Island of Potential in a Sea of Expensive Assets
Thanks to a subscriber for this report from GMO which may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Successful cost cutting, rising profits and free cash flows, and a corporate culture of risk aversion stemming from the bursting of the Japanese bubble led to an ironic side effect: over-capitalized balance sheets. As Exhibit 4 indicates, over 50% of listed nonfinancial companies are "net cash" today.3 In the U.S., that figure is less than 15%.
Carrying large amounts of cash, especially in a negative interest rate environment like today, is troublesome for shareholders. Equity investors expect companies either to reinvest surplus capital in projects that generate returns above the cost of capital or return it to shareholders so they can reallocate to value-creating investments.
These "lazy" balance sheets have drawn the attention of Japanese regulators and government, two groups that are trying desperately to spark economic growth to help address the pension burden in a country with a declining population and negative yield on government bonds. Furthermore, the Japanese equity market is filled with inefficiencies that offer upside opportunities for patient investors. The number of analysts and investors covering the Japanese market has declined following decades of disappointing returns after the bursting of the 1980s Japanese bubble. Cultural and language differences also have diminished foreign investor interest in Japanese equities.
A couple of years ago Mrs. Treacy was looking for a factory to can Akoya pearl oysters in Japan. There are a small number of companies in the prefecture around Kobe that perform the service but we ran into a recurring problem. They did not have available capacity and would not consider taking on additional customers. The feedback we received was universal, they did not want new customers.
Secular Themes Review April 1st 2021
The pandemic has been an accelerant. The full ramifications of what that means are becoming increasingly clear.
The pandemic took trends that have been in evidence for a while and exaggerated them. At the same time, it introduced new challenges which require new solutions.
Corporations operating without the safety net of cash on the balance sheet has been a feature of the markets for decades too. They continue to be bailed out when they get into trouble. There is no evidence that the trend of using all available means to buy back shares has ended. In fact, buybacks are back at pre-pandemic levels. Companies were touting "resiliency" last summer. It appears to have been just talk. Buybacks represent a powerful tailwind for stock markets that were absent for much of 2020 but are now back in force.
PBOC, BOJ May Be Driving Some of the Stock Rout Infecting Asia
This article by Wes Goodman for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
China hasn't been this frugal in its cash offerings to banks in almost a year.
The People's Bank of China has avoided net injections of short-term liquidity into the financial system since late last month, increasing concern that access to funds is becoming more difficult. The CSI 300 is headed for its steepest monthly loss in more than two years.
Japan's Nikkei is falling for a fourth straight day after the BOJ said last Friday that it's scrapping its annual target for stock purchases.
Stocks in both China and Japan had gotten used to these forms from the central banks. Now this backing, while not going away, is ebbing, and that could mean less central bank handholding for equities.
The PBoC has been quite vocal in stating they do not want a bubble to form. They have very different priorities from the Federal Reserve. China's administration wishes to preserve social harmony at all costs. In their view that is the only way to ensure the continued survival of single party rule. That means they will prioritise stability over asset price growth in the property or stock markets.
If that means restricting liquidity to the banking sector and curtailing the reach of the tech sector, those are deemed acceptable measures for China. The ChiNext Index is full of smaller companies that purportedly represent high growth. The Index has experienced it largest pullback since the lows and will need to find support soon if the benefit of the doubt is to be given to the recovery.
Yields, ETF Buying BOJ Set to Add Flexibility
This article by Yuki Masujima for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
The basic elements of yield-curve control will probably remain unchanged, with the short-term rate anchored at -0.1% and the BOJ aiming to keep the 10-year JGB yield around 0% -- while allowing fluctuations depending on economic and price developments.
We expect Kuroda to renew the commitment to the 10-year yield range of +/-0.2 ppt around 0%, but -- importantly -- also indicate that temporary moves beyond the range would be acceptable, as long as the effects of monetary easing aren't disrupted and the yield curve is consistent with economic activity, prices, and financial conditions.
In operational terms, this may mean the BOJ will conduct its JGB purchases with more flexibility -- changing the frequency of the operations and the menu of its purchases, depending on market conditions.
This would help improve the functioning of the Japanese government bond market in terms of price discovery and liquidity -- increasing policy sustainability.
The question investors are likely asking is if the Bank of Japan is willing to loosen its yield curve control bands, do they believe inflation is in fact returning with sufficient vigour to initiate a trend?
One of the primary reasons for the Yen's strength is because deflation was a surety. The supply might increase but there was no chance of inflation eroding the holding overnight. Meanwhile, the positive current account balance acted as a counterweight to the increasing money supply. If the BoJ is willing to change their perception of inflationary pressures that's toxic for the Yen.
Secular Bull Market Investment Candidates Review March 2021
On November 24th I began a series of reviews of longer-term themes which will be updated on the first Friday of every month going forward. The last was on January 8th. These reviews can be found via the search bar using the term "Secular Themes Review".
The rollout of vaccines to COVID-19 continues to accelerate and that will continue through the balance of the year and 2022. There is encouraging news about the number of different vaccines which have been approved and their success against variants. By the end of the year, the world will be inundated with doses which will provide at least some protection from the virus for anyone who wants it. That's all the rationale any government needs for reopening the economy.
On Valentine's Day 2020 Mrs Treacy and I went out for dinner with another couple. We talked about the news of a virus threat from China and how it could potentially cause ructions further afield. We told them we had stocked up on rice, meat, protein bars and batteries just in case. They thought we were crazy crackpots jumping at shadows.
It was hard to imagine then just how disruptive the decision to lockdown was going to be. A similar condition exists today. After a year of being confined to our immediate vicinity it is tempting to think this is how it will always be. The reality, however, is we are going to see a surge back to normalcy much quicker than most believe possible.
Humans are social animals and we yearn for social contact. We've been starved of that basic need for a year and we'll overdose on it when we are able. That suggests we are looking at a boom in consumer activity over the coming couple of years.
Japan's Topix Surges to Highest in 30 Years as SoftBank Gains
This article by Shoko Oda and Komaki Ito for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
With more than half of the results out in the latest reporting season, more than 68% of companies in the Topix have beaten expectations, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The Topix forward price-to-earnings ratio is now at 18 times, significantly higher than its five-year average of about 14 times.
Results from the current earnings cycle are pointing toward a major recovery next fiscal year, according to Frank Benzimra, Societe Generale's head of Asia equity strategy. "Our thesis in Japan is that the market has been quite under-owned for some time, because there was not so much interest on earnings," Benzimra told Bloomberg Television.
Veteran investors will remember about fifteen years ago there was an argument that Japanese equities would always trade at a higher P/E because of idiosyncrasies with the market. That proved incorrect and valuations have contracted considerably. The market is now a lot more attractive for international investors in search of earnings growth.
Secular Bull Market Investment Candidates Review February 2021
Highlighting secular themes has been a hallmark of this service for as long as I have been a part of it. I first met David Fuller in Amsterdam in 2003. He was giving a talk to Bloomberg's clients and we went out for dinner that evening. His way of looking at markets, with a focus on suspending ego to see what the market tapestry is telling us, answered all of the questions I had about how to interpret
markets. I felt honoured when he asked me to come work with him a few months later.
The easy way to find secular themes to is to look at long-term ranges. Prices can so sideways for a long time, sometimes decades, and the whole asset class can be forgotten by investors. These kinds of markets need a catalyst to reignite demand. Once that new theme gathers enough pace, prices break on the upside because the supply side is not capable to responding in a timely manner to the new phenomenon. Sometimes that's because they don't believe in the new trend, or it may be because they simply do not have the financial wherewithal to expand. As the power of the new catalyst gathers, it takes time for supply to respond and the market will proceed higher until there is a robust supply response. That can take a long time because demand continues to grow as the new theme increases its dominance of investor attention.
Deflation Threatens to Push Yen Higher on Japan Real Yield Gain
This article by Chikako Mogi for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
"Japan's real yields are high and are rising with deflation underway," said Tohru Sasaki, head of Japan markets research at JPMorgan Chase & Co. "The real yield gap widening in the negative is very significant. It may eventually drag the yen higher."
Consumer price growth in Japan excluding fresh food -- a measure closely watched by the country's central bank -- has been negative or zero since April. Expectations for future inflation -- derived from 5-year breakeven rates -- sit at minus 0.12%. Equivalent U.S. breakevens are at 2.16%, up over 60 basis points and rising since November, as investors bet further stimulus under new President Joe Biden will help reflate the American economy.
Yen at 100
The result is a higher real yield in Japan, where 5-year inflation-protected notes trade around zero versus minus 1.73% in the U.S., increasing the relative attractiveness of the country's bonds and its currency.
You know you live in a funny reality when a zero or negative interest rate produces a positive real yield. Japan's deflationary environment has been an abiding characteristic of the market for decades and the vast quantity of debt accrued in that time is a headwind to risk taking, speculation and economic activity going forward. Attempts to reinvigorate the domestic demand story with immigration were beginning to bear fruit ahead of the pandemic. Japan has weathered the storm better than most so it will face less of a challenge in recovering as the world heads towards reflation.
Email of the day - on the early stages of a secular bull market.
Until the beginning of last year you often spoke on the theme of the early stages of a secular bull market. David had begun speaking about it as long as 4 years ago. But with the onset of the pandemic, you have been largely silent about it. Has it stalled or, in your view, already peaked?
Thank you for this important question. In October 2008, I remember sitting at my desk and looking at the calculation that the S&P500 was sitting on the widest overextension relative to the 200-day ever. Acceleration is always a trend ending and the crash signalled the beginning of the bottoming process. By the time Wall Street reached its nadir in March 2009 many instruments were well off their lows and by the end of the year the leaders were making new highs.
Gold, commodities, ASEAN and technology took off. Of these, technology is the only one which had uninterrupted staying power all the way through the bull market to date.
I started writing Crowd Money in 2011. At the time a host of big international companies, with global franchises, that dominate their niches were breaking out of long-term ranges. It was a clear signal that a new secular bull market was underway. By the time the book was published in 2013, it was still a minority view that a new bull market was underway.
Carry Trades
There is nothing in the financial markets that can't be made better with leverage. That's the foundation most trading operations are based on. One of the most common trade patterns is to source cheap funding in a currency which is depreciating in value. That way when it comes to paying back the loan, you get to keep the profit on the currency trade as well as any gain from the assets you invested in.
Japan's zero interest rates made it an ideal candidate for carry trades but the propensity for the Yen to strengthen meant that short yen carry trades tended to be rather volatile. It was common in the decade up to the introduction of Abenomics in early 2012 for unwinding of carry trades to contribute to profit taking across global markets.
As interest rates have trended towards zero across the world the opportunity to access cheap funding in a wide array of currencies has never been greater. The challenge today is to find the currency most likely to decline versus assets with high growth and yield potential.
How Chinese Chip Giant SMIC Can Evade Trump's Newest Crackdown
This article from Bloomberg news may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Within the company, engineers are scrambling to assess the fallout and figure out workarounds to secure the equipment it needs, much like Huawei did two years prior, another person familiar with the matter said. At issue is the administration's focus on drawing a line at 10-nanometer technology, banning the sale of equipment intended for use in more advanced processes. SMIC could conceivably repurpose 80% of older-generation gear to crank out more advanced chips, but that tactic won't sustain production for the longer term and much depends on how far President-elect Joe Biden decides to take the rules, a third person close to the situation said, asking not to be identified discussing sensitive matters.
"The company has already got critical equipment and materials needed to continue production," said Xiang Ligang, Beijing-based director-general of the Information Consumption Alliance. "In the past, China wasn't too sensitive about the technological bottlenecks it has. But now, Beijing is fully aware of the potential damage and is determined to solve these issues."
Chinese government-backed SMIC, a manufacturer of chips for global names from Qualcomm Inc. to Broadcom Inc., relies on U.S. gear for its longer-term technology road map. While its engineers may be able to sustain research and output in the short run, the latest sanctions basically freeze its capabilities while the industry advances. If a Biden White House takes it to the max, SMIC could be blocked from 7nm or more advanced technology while overseas rivals like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. dominate the market. The heightened scrutiny may also discourage clients leery of dealing with the uncertainty.
Self sufficiency in semi-conductors is a central policy objective for China. It is the basis on which the country seeks to compete with the USA in future. China may be able to do without Australian coal or wine but it has no hope of competing effectively on the geopolitical front without securing the supply line for technology's basic ingredients.
Secular Bull Market Investment Candidates Review
On November 24th I posted a review of candidates I believe likely to prosper in the emerging post-pandemic market. It was well received by subscribers so I will post an update on my views on the first Friday of the month going forward. That way subscribers can have an expectation that long-term themes will be covered in a systematic manner and will have a point of reference to look back on.
Media hysteria about the 2nd or 3rd waves has not led to new highs in the number of deaths. The success of biotech companies in deploying vaccines means there is going to be a substantial recovery in the economic activity in 2021 and going forward.
The stay-at-home champions saw their sales growth surge in 2020. It will be impossible to sustain that growth rate in 2021. That's particularly true for mega-caps. One-way bets on the sector are likely to work less well in the FAANGs going forward.
Japan's Biggest Profit Beat in Years Seen Boosting Stock Appeal
This article by Kurt Schussler for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
"The number of positive surprises in first-half results has been greater than expected, so gains in earnings revision should accelerate and we expect more funds to flow in from overseas," strategists led by Masashi Akutsu said in a note this week.
Japan has come through the pandemic better than most other developed countries. That's a particularly admirable result considering the large numbers of elderly people in the population. The prospect of a return to growth for the export-oriented portion of the economy has helped to spur interest in the Nikkei-225 over other domestic indices.
Japan's Nikkei Hit 29-Year High as Buyers Look Past U.S. Vote
Despite the American election turmoil, both of Japan's major stock gauges posted their best weekly gains since May. "Since 1980s, if you look at U.S. Presidential election and stocks, you see that stocks will price in any risks before the election, like we saw in September and October when technology stocks corrected," said Norihiro Fujito, chief investment strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities Co. "Once the election is over, there's a trend for equities to rise with expectations for the next administration."
Fujito sees a chance for the Nikkei 225 to reach 25,000, as central banks globally eye additional easing measures to stimulate economies. The Federal Reserve left its rates in hold Thursday but opened the door to a possible shift in its bond purchases in coming months, saying that more fiscal and monetary support are needed amid rising Covid-19 infections.
The Nikkei-225 hit a new closing high today and was up in a dynamic manner over the balance of the week. It may be in the process of completing an almost three-year range. The move was led by the market's big industrials like Nippon Steel and Kobe Steel. The market is betting on infrastructure-led global reflation.
What to Watch in Commodities: Buffett, OPEC, Gold, Fed, La Nina
This article by Grant Smith, Anatoly Medetsky and Stephen Stapczynski for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Less than a month after making waves with news of a move into Barrick Gold Corp., Buffett is again rocking the world of commodities. This time, Berkshire Hathaway disclosed stakes in five Japanese trading companies that dominate the nation's energy and raw materials industries. The quintet are Itochu Corp., Marubeni Corp., Mitsubishi Corp., Mitsui & Co. and Sumitomo Corp.
Berkshire's stakes amount to a little more than 5%, but Buffett made clear that they could be increased. The trading houses are known as "sogo shosha" and have roots dating back hundreds of years. While they operate in areas like textiles and machinery, they derive much of their revenue from energy, metals and other commodities, supplying resource-poor Japan with essentials.
Following the commodity bust many investment banks closed trading desks. There were a number of leading commodity trading houses which went through very lean years and even today Noble Group is struggling to get out of bankruptcy. Many of the big commodity traders like Trafigura, Mercator, Cargill and Koch Industries are privately held. Picking up Japan's big trading houses is a tangential way of playing in commodities for Berkshire Hathaway. It also speaks to the company's familiarity with pricing the balance sheets of banks rather than commodity producers.
BOJ Is Said to See No Change in Policy Stance as Abe Quits
This article by Toru Fujioka for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
While the announcement of Abe's resignation caused the yen to gain as much as 1% in the evening in Tokyo, the BOJ will continue to closely watch market developments, according to the people. The bank maintains its pledge that it will act without hesitation if necessary, the people said.
With the economy still healing from the biggest contraction in the post war era in the second quarter, an excessively strong yen will put pressure on the central bank to act if sustained. Abe came to power in 2012 pledging aggressive monetary easing and handpicked Kuroda to deliver it. Kuroda soon launched the "shock and awe" monetary bazooka, which increased asset purchases, leading the BOJ's balance sheet to swell significantly larger than its global peers.
BOJ watchers will be closely monitoring who will replace Abe, because Kuroda is seen to have coordinated well with the government under the premier. The latest symbolic move was a joint statement between Kuroda and the government as the pandemic battered the economy.
Abe was driving force behind the global transition to simultaneous monetary and fiscal stimulus. His policies have been adopted at least in part by a host of countries as interest rates have trended towards zero.
Global Macro Outlook: Virus curve flattening, markets stabilizing, slow recovery
Thanks to a subscriber for this report from Deutsch Bank by Torsten Slok. It is loaded with thought provoking charts which may be of interest.
A link to the full report is posted in the Subscriber's Area.
I found the chart comparing the Swedish and US COVID-19 infection rate to be particularly interesting. It suggests that anything less than total adherence to social distancing, effective testing and contact tracing is ineffectual. That's a challenge because while some Asian countries have been able to implement these types of protocols swiftly, not least because of their prior experience with SARS, it seems beyond the ability of most countries to do. With cases in Hong Kong and Australia rising it is looking increasingly likely this is going to be a long hard slog until a vaccine is widely available.
Japan Inc.'s Cash Stash Grew to 89% of GDP Before Emergency
This article by Yoshiaki Nohara for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Corporate retained earnings rose to ¥484 trillion, roughly 89% of the nation's gross domestic product (GDP) in the three months to the end of March, according to finance ministry data published today.
The extent to which firms tap into this cash hoard will likely be in the spotlight again as the current crisis unfolds, especially for companies that lay off workers.
Policymakers have been doubling down on their support for the economy. Since Abe called a national emergency in early April, his government has put together record stimulus packages worth ¥234 trillion or about 43% of GDP. The Bank of Japan's special measures total ¥75 trillion.
With Covid-19 threatening jobs and businesses, economy minister Yasutoshi Nishimura in March urged companies to spend their cash savings to cope with the pandemic.
Japanese firms have taken a more cautious stance on spending their income since the global financial crisis with many of them looking to shore up their finances in case of future economic shocks. This conservative stance has drawn criticism from policymakers, namely finance minister Taro Aso, as not being aggressive enough to boost growth through higher wages and investment.
This record of retained earnings stands in sharp contrast to the kind of activity that has been prevalent on Wall Street over the last decade where companies have returned almost all of their net cashflow in the form of dividends and share buybacks. That has left them particularly exposed to the lockdown-induced recession. Generally speaking, Japanese companies are much more conservatively run. That means they don't take the kinds of big risks technology pioneers do but they do tend to have solid margins.
Email of the day on Japanese stocks and 6G:
I hope you and the family are handling the new normal? You certainly seem to, as there has been no decline in your daily's, in fact if anything they are like a good wine, getting better with age/experience.
I have recently checked all the Topix industrial indexes. Virtually all of them look like the majority of most world stock market indexes, except for two,
The Topix Telecommunication Index and the Topix Pharmaceutical Index.
They both compare more to the NASDAQ and one or two other stronger US indexes.
If you remember, late last year I sent you a list of Japanese 5G related companies, some of these are what my portfolio has consisted of most of this year. Many are performing in line with the NASDAQ, but when markets were selling off during March and April I added KDDI and DOCOMO to my list. I came across a DOCOMO white paper confirming their research into 6G!
Unfortunately, I do not have very much experience of the Pharma sector, except for the big names. So, if your collective could offer any ideas it would be much appreciated.
Thanking you in advance.
Thank you for your kind words and for highlighting the above sectors. This report from Sandvine highlights the fact 80% of all internet traffic is occupied by video streaming, gaming and social media. YouTube alone represents 15% while Netflix is 11%.
Japan Stocks Rise on Optimism Over Restart of Economic Activity
This article by Min Jeong Lee and Ayaka Maki for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
"We can't let our guards down, but the numbers of new infection cases are falling, allowing people to formulate some sort of outlook, which is being welcomed by the market," said Naoki Fujiwara, chief fund manager at Shinkin Asset Management Co. "The market is moving based on a scenario that the June quarter will be a bottom for the economy, followed by a recovery from the September quarter."
Optimism that economic stimulus measures will help cushion the blow from the virus also buoyed sentiment. The government and the ruling party aim to finalize plans for a second supplementary budget for fiscal 2020 during the current Diet session, the Yomiuri reported.
"The 2 trillion yen being touted is sizable and the government is taking action faster than expected," said Shoji Hirakawa, chief global strategist at Tokai Tokyo Research Institute.
The easing of lockdowns will allow the economies of the world to get off their knees and hopefully will allow some rationality to come back into public discourse. That's not a guarantee by any means considering the emotionality in how coverage of the coronavirus is being reported. The equivalent of $200 billion in government supports is not all that large relative to what has been provided by other countries but it is supportive for asset prices.
Bank of Japan Looks to Highlight Fiscal-Monetary Double Punch
This article by Toru Fujioka and Sumio Ito for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
"If you look at what we're doing from the size of our balance sheet against GDP to our measures compared to the size of the commercial paper and corporate bond markets, the scale of the Bank of Japan's easing is far larger than any other central bank," Kuroda said at the briefing.
"Impressions matter in this kind of crisis. While the BOJ's balance sheet is, of course, much bigger than its peers, the response to this kind of crisis is very important. If you look at that, the BOJ hasn't been as aggressive compared with the Fed," said Masamichi Adachi, chief Japan economist at UBS Securities and a former BOJ official.
The additional measures announced by Kuroda's board do show a greater degree of fiscal-monetary policy coordination, with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's administration finally submitting an extra budget Monday for its stimulus of more than $1 trillion.
"The government and the Bank of Japan are truly strengthening policy coordination," said Japan's economy minister, Yasutoshi Nishimura, following his attendance at the BOJ decision.
Japan was among the first countries to close schools but then did not move to close down the rest of the economy until quite recently. That has meant the number of cases has continued to rise. The benefit of lockdown early is the time to opening up again is shortened. That suggests Japan is going to have difficulty opening up swiftly.
Covid-19 and Global Dollar Funding
Thanks to a subscriber for this edition of Zoltan Pozsar and James Sweeney's report for Credit Suisse on the plumbing of the global financial sector. Here is a section:
The Credit Suisse team do an excellent job of highlighting where the risks are and provide a handy list of instruments to monitor to get an idea of how liquidity flows are functioning.
The repo market illiquidity in September was a signal to everyone that the tightening program had gone too far. There was nowhere near enough available capital in the system to allow the global money market to function. The Fed stepped in with a large swift injection of liquidity; inflating its balance sheet by $400 billion in four months.
Japan Limits Large Gatherings to Thwart Coronavirus
This article by Alastair Gale for the Wall Street Journal may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Masahiro Kami, an infectious diseases expert, said he was skeptical that the suspension of some public events would have a significant impact on the spread of the virus. "Commuting on a packed train, for instance, is way worse than taking part in the Tokyo marathon," he said.
Dr. Kami, who heads a nonprofit organization called the Medical Governance Research Institute, said a media focus on the few cases of serious illness from coronavirus infection in Japan had created a panic over the need to cancel events.
While Japan initially had a handful of cases involving people who had come from Wuhan, the center of the epidemic in China, or had direct contact with someone from Wuhan, a surge of cases in the past week included many whose path of infection wasn't clear. The cases span from Hokkaido in the north to Okinawa in the far south.
More than 1,000 people disembarked from the Diamond Princess cruise ship between Wednesday and Friday, and they entered Japan without restrictions on their movements. All of those passengers tested negative for the virus, but in some cases people have tested positive after a negative test—including two cases reported Friday in Australia, which sent a flight to Japan to repatriate citizens who had been on the ship.
The coronavirus popping up in unrelated areas in Japan is not exactly good news. Additionally, the lax quarantine imposed on the passengers of the Diamond Princess cruise liner greatly increases the potential for the virus to spread even further. At a minimum the potential is for much tighter measures to contain the spread across Japan and other countries. This is also going to create a headache for Abe's government.
China's Steadying Inflation Leaves Door Open for Monetary Easing
"The PBOC is likely to continue to use interest rate and liquidity tools to loosen monetary conditions in 2020, though the easing will probably be less pronounced than last year," David Qu, a China economist at Bloomberg Economics in Hong Kong, wrote in a note. "We expect the PBOC to stick to a stance of measured easing to counter the economic slowdown."
For the year, consumer inflation for 2019 stood at 2.9%, in line with the government-set target of 3%, while producer prices declined 0.3%. Core inflation, which removes the more volatile food and energy prices, stabilized at 1.4% in December, signaling ongoing weakness in the broader economy.
China's economy has shown signs of recovery in recent months as global demand steadies and trade tensions ease. As commodity prices rise and factories start restocking, PPI deflation is set to continue to moderate and some see it turning positive as soon as January.
The outlook for the Chinese economy represents the lynchpin for the global reflation trade and the prospects of steadying growth and continued stimulus are helping aid in the positivity surrounding the hiatus in the trade war.
U.S. Strike Ordered by Trump Kills Key Iranian Military Leader in Baghdad
This article from the Wall Street Journal may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi condemned the targeted killing as a violation of the terms underpinning the U.S. troop presence in the country.
Mr. Abdul-Mahdi said he had submitted a formal request for parliament to convene in order to adopt necessary measures "to protect Iraq's dignity and sovereignty." He didn't say what those measures would be.
The killing of the two men is likely to mark the beginning of a dangerous new chapter in the rivalry between the U.S. and Iran, which escalated after supporters of an Iran-backed Shiite militia attempted to storm the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad earlier this week. Mr. Mohandes was deputy leader of the Popular Mobilization Forces, an umbrella group that led the embassy attack.
Anyway we look at it, the geopolitical risk premium just racketed up. Iran's response to losing the commander of the Revolutionary Guard can be expected to be bloody and will probably splash around the entire region considering how broad Iran's terrorist network is.
Japan's Topix Advances, Set for Best Quarterly Gain Since 2016
This article by Min Jeong Lee and Shingo Kawamoto for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Japan's Topix index advanced, set for its best quarterly gain since 2016, after the latest economic data out of the U.S. indicated the labor market is solid.
Banks contributed most to the benchmark measure's Friday gains. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average slipped 0.4% to 23,837.72, as 30 of its components traded without rights to receive the next dividend, including Canon Inc. and Japan Tobacco Inc. Next Monday will be the last trading day of the year.
The Topix extended its gain for the quarter to 9.2%, the biggest such increase in three years. Japanese equities have rallied since September, bolstered by signs of easing tensions between the U.S. and China.
U.S. jobless claims fell to a three-week low of 222,000 in the week ended Dec. 21, in another sign of health in the U.S. economy. Major U.S. equity indexes climbed to fresh records Thursday in holiday-thinned trading.
The Yen tends to strengthen when investors are worried and seeking a safe haven. With worries about trade and geopolitics easing, demand for the Yen is moderating and that is helping to stoke demand for equities.
Japan Leans on Fiscal Stimulus to Keep Recession at Bay
This article by Toru Fujioka, Yoshiaki Nohara and Takashi Hirokawa for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
"In any country, the positive impact of extra monetary stimulus is limited, which is especially true in Japan and Europe where rates have turned negative. You have no effective choice but to execute fiscal measures to support growth," said Harumi Taguchi, Tokyo-based principal economist at IHS Markit.
Earlier in the day, Abe described the stimulus as a three-pillared package designed to aid disaster relief, protect against downside economic risks and prepare the country for longer-term growth after the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.
He said the stimulus would be funded by a supplementary budget for the current fiscal year ending in March, and special measures in the following year. The package outlines 4.3 trillion yen in funding for the measures in an extra budget this fiscal year.
This stimulus helps to unwind some of the negative impact from the sales tax hike earlier in the quarter and is a further iteration of the global surge in fiscal stimulus as the expected positive growth effects of quantitative easing failed to materialise.
Abe, Moon Break Ice After Worst Japan-South Korea Fight in Years
This article from Bloomberg may be of interest. Here is a section:
Moon and Abe shared the view that the relationship between South Korea and Japan is important and re-affirmed in principle that issues between the two nations should be resolved via dialogue, the presidential office said in a text message. Abe conveyed Japan's "basic stance" on bilateral issues in his exchange with Moon, the Tokyo-based Kyodo News agency said separately, citing the Japanese foreign ministry.
The brief, 11-minute meeting at the Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit in Bangkok came as a long-simmering feud escalated into a trade-and-security dispute, leading to boycotts of Japanese imports and the decision to scrap an intelligence-sharing pact. The encounter followed a break-through meeting last month between Abe and South Korean Prime Minister Lee Nak-yon.
Moon proposed high-level talks, if needed while Abe said every effort should be made to resolve the feud, Moon's office said. Abe last met Moon in September 2018 and passed up a chance to meet him for formal talks during Group of 20 events in Osaka in June.
The remarks were the most positive yet since South Korean courts issued a series of rulings last year backing the claims of Koreans forced to work for Japanese companies during the country's 1910-45 occupation of the Korean Peninsula.
Six weeks ago sentiment was skewing rather negatively towards the opinion that acrimonious disputes between neighbours like Japan and South Korea, the UK and EU and competitors like China and the USA were going to get worse, a lot worse. Today peace seems to be breaking out globally and that is removing a risk premium from markets.
Email of the day on Japanese growth stocks
Several weeks ago, I had the same feeling as you on Japan. For investment purposes I decided to concentrate on Japanese 5G related companies. Ignoring the major telecom co's, I then came up with the following list of companies involved in parts related to the 5G area:
Thank you for this insightful email. One of the factors I believe that is attracting investors to Japan is the fact it has a such a deep pool of companies that provide invaluable components for the growth of the wider global technology sector. The fact they have been underappreciated for so long is justification for investor interest, particularly if global growth is primed for recovery.
Japanese Stocks Post First Weekly Gain in Three on Trade Hopes
This article by Shoko Oda and Toshiro Hasegawa for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Seeing how the two countries split off back in July, markets may not have had high expectations for this round of talks," said Masahiro Ichikawa, a senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management. "But a partial agreement now seems probable, with topics like subsidies being shelved for next year."
Investors are breathing a sigh of relief as they anticipate a partial deal to come after 18 months of negotiations. An earlier report said the White House was looking to implement a currency pact as part of a preliminary deal that could see the scheduled tariff increase next week suspended. China has also said the country was open to a partial deal with the U.S., with plans to offer non-core concessions like purchases of commodities.
"There was a risk that negotiations would be cut short," said Nobuhiko Kuramochi, the head of investment information at Mizuho Securities Co. in Tokyo. "But with both sides continuing the talks, there's an expectation that some sort of a mini-deal will come out in the end."
In many respects Japan is a high beta play on the trade war. As a major exporter it obviously has an interest in a benign international trading environment which allows the free passage of goods. On the other hand, the Yen tends to rally during periods of uncertainty because of its safe have status. That acts as a headwind to the export sector and the nominal price of the stock market.
Japan's Topix Set to Beat S&P 500 for First Time in Two Years
This article by Keiko Ujikane for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
"Japanese stocks underperformed for a long time and their valuations were left as very cheap," Hiroshi Matsumoto, head of Japan investment at Pictet Asset Management Ltd. in Tokyo. "A correction in cheaper valuation stocks have occurred globally and Japanese stocks are the most prominent example for that."
September has been good to the Topix, which is set for its best month since October 2015. Up until late August, the gauge was one of this year's worst-performers among the 24 developed markets tracked by Bloomberg.
Norihiro Fujito, the chief investment strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities Co. in Tokyo, says Japan's market is enjoying a "a typical return reversal." Foreign investors may be taking profit on U.S. equities, while covering short positions on Japanese shares, he said.
Foreigners net bought 937 billion yen ($8.7 billion) of cash equities and futures in the week ended Sept. 13, according to Japan Exchange Group data. That was the fourth consecutive week of net buying.
The Topix Index (2.43%) currently yields more than the S&P500 (1.93%) which is both reflective of the compression in US yields but also the relatively high historical payout by Japanese firms.
Bank of Japan Hints at Possible Action in October
This article by Megumi Fujikawa for the Wall Street Journal may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
"If I am asked if I feel more favorably about additional easing compared with the previous meeting [in July], my answer is yes," Mr. Kuroda said at a news conference. "There is no sign of recovery in overseas economies."
He added, "Even if we consider additional easing, I don't think it's necessary to change the current framework" of monetary policy, which includes setting a target yield for 10-year government bonds—currently zero—and buying riskier assets such as stocks.
Inflation has been running below 1% recently, short of the BOJ's 2% target. The BOJ said in its policy statement that it needs to pay closer attention to "the possibility that momentum toward achieving the price stability target will be lost."
"It is sort of a notice that the bank is going to take additional easing action," said Hiroshi Ugai, an economist at JPMorgan in Tokyo and a former BOJ official.
Mr. Ugai said the BOJ would likely move next month, but might hold off if markets are calm or if it is having trouble assessing the impact of an Oct. 1 increase in the national sales tax to 10% from 8%.
The Yen has been weakening since hitting a new rally high in August but today's announcement and the subsequent market reaction suggests some disappointment at the tepid response of the Bank of Japan. Investors remain of the opinion that the Japanese economy needs a weaker currency to drive competitiveness and are unlikely to support a short Yen/long equity play until they have clear evidence of how large a central bank assistance program will be.
Factors or Fundamentals, Quant Tremor Is Field Day for the Geeks
This article by Sarah Ponczek and Vildana Hajric for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
You wouldn't know it from benchmarks, but beneath a tranquil surface violent swings are lashing traders along obscure fault lines. Companies like real-estate firms that rose the most in 2019 are plunging, and some that have trailed are being pushed out front. It's been a mild reckoning for hedge funds and others who have bet on the status quo persisting.
Amid all the churn has been a renewed focus on a quantitative concept known as factor investing, which groups companies not by industry but traits such as how fast their prices move or profits rise. A question gaining currency in the past few days is whether these categories are just handy descriptions of twists in the market -- or are at some level guiding them.
"It seems very mechanical right now," said John Swarr, investment specialist at Penn Mutual Asset Management, which has $27 billion under management. "If you look within some of these stocks that are being hit the hardest, some are in much better shape than others and yet they're all being affected similarly," he said. "It does feel like it's a rules-based rotation."
The total of negative yields bonds was at $17 trillion for a brief time at the end of August and has since contracted to $14.3 trillion. That's a big more in a little less than two weeks.
The failure of the German government to sell a full allocation of bonds and failed auctions at the US Treasury in August were probably the catalysts for sapping investor demand for bonds globally. The unwinding of leveraged long positions now has the scope for meaningfully move bond yields higher with clear upward dynamics evident across multiple markets.
Japan-South Korea Feud Boils Over Amid Trade Actions, Protests
This article by Isabel Reynolds and Sam Kim for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
South Korean President Moon Jae-in called Japan "reckless" in a national address Friday and his country planned to cross its neighbor off a preferred-trade list. The move came hours after Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's cabinet removed South Korea from its list of trusted export destinations.
U.S. Secretary of State Michael Pompeo met his counterparts from both countries Friday, but the dispute, which simmered for months as the Trump administration sat on the sidelines, looks set to worsen amid protests, boycotts and economic warnings. "By bringing economic sanctions, they've really escalated it to another level," said Robert Dujarric, director of the Institute of Contemporary Asian Studies, Temple University, Japan. "This isn't going to make South Korea cave in. If anything, it heightens South Korean nationalism. It makes it harder to de-escalate and harder to have a 'united front'
against China."
Japan and South Korea compete in many of the same export markets and their rivalry had previously been contained by the global trade network but the historical enmity between the two countries is never far from the surface. The advent of trade wars, mercantilist competition and shifting loyalties is introducing a degree of uncertainty in the region that hasn't been seen in decades.
Kuroda Says Stronger Yen Could Force BOJ's Hand on Stimulus
This article by Henry Hoenig for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here it is in full:
In a rare explicit coupling of policy and the yen, Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said the Bank of Japan would have to consider additional stimulus if the exchange rate affected Japan's inflation and economy.
He was responding to a lawmaker's question about the BOJ's options if the yen rose further. The yen fell afterward, trading at 110.70 versus the dollar at 1:29 p.m. in Tokyo.
Former BOJ officials have warned in recent weeks of more yen strength, saying there would be little the BOJ could do about it.
Speaking to parliament on Tuesday, Kuroda said the BOJ's options included lowering bond yields and increasing asset purchases. He told lawmakers that currency manipulation isn't a goal of BOJ policy, but Japan's trading partners might not be convinced if the BOJ does act to offset a stronger yen.
This is a very good example of the central bank talking the Yen down. It doesn't have to initiate a large sale of Yen to weaken it but it does sent a clear message to the market that the flash rally posted at the beginning of the year is not something they are going to sit idly by and tolerate.
Long-term themes review October 29th 2018
FullerTreacyMoney has a very varied group of people as subscribers. Some of you like to receive our views in written form, while others prefer the first-person experience of listening to the audio or watching daily videos.
The Big Picture Long-Term video, posted every Friday, is aimed squarely at anyone who does not have the time to read the daily commentary but wishes to gain some perspective on what we think the long-term outlook holds. However, I think it is also important to have a clear written record for where we lie in terms of the long-term themes we have identified, particularly as short-term market machinations influence perceptions.
Let me first set up the background; I believe we are in a secular bull market that will not peak for at least another decade and potentially twice that. However, it also worth considering that secular bull markets are occasionally punctuated by recessions and medium-term corrections which generally represent buying opportunities.
2018 has represented a loss of uptrend consistency for the S&P500 following a particularly impressive and persistent advance in 2016 and 2017. Many people are therefore asking whether this is a medium-term correction or a top. There is perhaps no more important question so let's just focus on that for the moment.
Japan's Inflation Stalls at 1% as Risks to Price Gains Gather
This article by Yuko Takeo for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Slow but steady improvement in Japan's core inflation gauge has come to a halt as a host of forces gather that could see price gains begin to slow.
Consumer prices excluding fresh food rose 1 percent in October from a year earlier, as expected by economists. That's just half way to the Bank of Japan's 2 percent target with the prospect of falling energy costs and lower charges from mobile-phone carriers pointing to weaker price growth ahead.
The decline in oil prices is a significant benefit for consuming nations like Japan, India and China. In that regard it is disinflationary rather than an outright drag on the economy. Nevertheless, Japan needs inflation so companies can regain pricing power and promote more dynamism in the economy.
Japan's Record Shorts Hint Stocks Have Finally Bottomed
This trading note from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here it is in full:
Japanese stocks may have finally bottomed after the ratio of short bets on shares trading on the Tokyo Stock Exchange climbed to a record high. Spikes in bearish bets indicate extreme pessimism and can lead to a short squeeze if stocks rebound, driving up prices further. When the ratio reached near current levels in March, it marked the start of a 9 percent rally over the next two months for the Topix index. The gauge has since lost all those gains and is trading near a one-year low amid growing concerns over upcoming corporate earnings and a slowdown in China's economy.
The Nikkei-225 broke below the trend mean in a dynamic manner this morning in sympathy with the wider corrective phase evident on major stock markets globally.
Long-term themes review October 4th 2018
Email of the day on Japan
Greetings from Japan. You have observed that this country seems to be opening up to foreign workers to offset its demographic decline. Indeed, most restaurants and convenience stores employ Asians nowadays. However, as you know, Japan is an insular, monocultural country and there is a great deal of resistance to immigration. Having lived here for over 30 years I'm convinced that the cultural shock of absorbing huge numbers of foreign workers will be too much for Japanese society. I'm therefore encouraged to hear that the government intends to be very selective over which countries' nationals it intends to accept. Those which refuse to take back their nationals if Japan wishes to expel them will not be considered, Iran being one example cited. Hopefully, this indicates that the government has taken the abject lessons of Europe on board and will be stringently selective, including cultural and religious factors in deciding their eligibility. You have also mentioned that immigrants will boost the economy through their spending. I doubt this, as many will be low-skill workers who will be intent on sending as much of their earnings as possible back home rather than on buying furnishings and goods for their small, rented accommodations.
Thank you for this insightful email and I agree it is going to be a massive culture shock for Japan to absorb large numbers of migrants but it is also true that those people have to live. The big question about projections for future spending will rest on the argument for family reunifications. Children are expensive and spur spending. Meanwhile Japan has a declining birth rate and needs young people. The insular nature of Japanese society may attempt to avoid that solution and instead adopt a similar policy to Dubai where it is impossible to retire in the emirate so when the work runs out you have to leave.
Long-term themes review August 15th 2018
Trump Is Looking for Quick Fix in Japan Talks, Abe Ally Says
This article by Connor Cislo and Emi Urabe for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Abe and Trump agreed to open limited bilateral trade talks. Japan had resisted U.S. efforts at a more comprehensive bilateral trade deal, saying it preferred that the U.S. return to the TPP.
The two leaders agreed to work to increase car production and auto-related jobs in the U.S., and that Japan wouldn't be pressed to offer better access to its agricultural markets than it did under the original TPP. Trump also agreed not to place tariffs on imports of Japanese cars while the talks are taking place. The talks, limited to trade in goods, are aimed at seeking to "produce early achievements," according to a joint statement released by the White House.
Amari also said Trump's focus on selling autos in Japan is misplaced, noting that Japan does not levy tariffs on auto imports, unlike the U.S. He said Japanese consumers simply don't want American cars, making talks on the subject "pointless."
As Trump takes on China's trade practices, it's still possible that he brings the U.S. back to the TPP, given that it addresses many of the U.S. concerns -- such intellectual property theft, forced technology transfers and state-owned enterprises, Amari said.
"But that's just my modest hope," he said. "I'd put the odds at less than 50 percent."
The Japanese market has been outperforming its developed market peers over the last couple of weeks as the Nikkei-225 broke upwards from its range between the trend mean and 23000 that persisted between May and September.
Best Week in Two Years Leaves Japan Stock Bulls Feeling Redeemed
This article by Min Jeong Lee and Keiko Ujikane for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
A deeply-rooted "misperception" that the Japanese economy will give way to deflation and lead to an eventual collapse of local equities has been a drag, keeping investors blind to positive developments, according to Musha. Most recently, belief that Japan will be crushed in the escalating trade conflict between the U.S. and China has propelled bearish views, he said.
Japan's economy grew at the fastest pace in more than two years during the second quarter, as companies cranked up capital spending to meet global demand and cope with a severe labor shortage. Growth is expected to slow during the second half but remain steady well into 2019, when a sales-tax increase slated for October will pose a challenge to consumers.
The better than expected 11 percent jump in July core machinery orders helped highlight that robust capital expenditure is Japan's driving growth, according to Jonathan Allum, a strategist at SMBC Nikko Capital Markets Ltd. In London. This is one factor that stock bears may have been missing and could prove to be a catalyst for a rebound, he said.
There are three points that are worth keeping mind with regard to the Japanese market. The first is the Bank of Japan is still engaged in quantitative easing and is actively buying stocks. The second is the economy is doing well with low unemployment and a high participation rate. The third is valuations are not demanding and compare favourably with both Wall Street and Europe.
See Food: Why Robots Are Producing More of What You Eat
This article by Natashe Khan for the Wall Street Journal may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Food manufacturers have been early adopters of new technologies from canning to bread slicers, and vision automation has been used for many years for tasks such as reading bar codes and sorting packaged products. Leaders now are finding the technology valuable because robot eyes outpace the human eye at certain tasks.
For years, Tyson Foods Inc. used sensors to map chicken fillets so they could be cut to the precise specifications required by restaurant customers that need them to cook uniformly. But exposure to the high pressure, high temperature water there kept causing equipment failures.
Now technical improvements, tougher materials and declining prices mean the company can integrate vision technology in facilities including the new $300 million chicken-processing plant in Humboldt, Tenn., said Doug Foreman, who works in technology development at the Springdale, Ark.-based food company. The technology could help optimize the use of each part of the bird, he added.
Robotics, artificial intelligence and computer vision all need to work seamlessly together in order for computers to fulfil the same tasks as humans. Creating systems that work together in such a manner is a time-consuming process but progress has been underway for decades and the breadth of what is now possible has improved considerably.
Shinzo Abe's quiet social revolution
Thanks to a subscriber for this article by Hiroshi Marutani for Nikkei may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
In his second stint as prime minister, Abe seems to have finally understood the secret to the LDP's longevity: an all-engulfing pragmatism. Reality over ideals. This has been clearest in Abe's decision to expand acceptance of foreign workers. Under Abe's administration, the number of foreign workers has almost doubled to 1.3 million. Laborers from China, Vietnam and the Philippines have poured into Japan to fill gaps in the health care, construction "With the economy performing so well, it is becoming apparent that hiring is tight," Abe told Nikkei. "Worker shortages are starting to hamper a variety of fields."
The ills of a shrinking population were hardly noticeable during the country's long deflationary spiral. But after growth returned in 2013, businesses began to shout their concerns about a smaller workforce.
"Nursing facilities, for instance, have a severe lack of hands," said Abe, whose recognition of the issue has been heavily shaped by Yoshihide Suga, his chief cabinet secretary since 2012.
Suga realized the need for more workers in nursing facilities last fall, when local caregivers raised the issue with him and requested foreign staffers. He gathered officials to look into the problem and was told that there was adequate manpower.
The number of foreigners we have encountered in Japan during two trips in the last 18 months was a surprise. The second surprise were the number of women doing jobs that require hard physical labour such as delivering beer kegs or porting luggage. These are just two anecdotal pieces of evidence that highlight how much Japan's society has changed over the last few years under Abe.
What is behind the Bank of Japan's ETF buying surprise?
This article by Leo Lewis for the financial Times may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
As well as its day-to-day predictability, the programme invited running assessments of how much the BoJ might spend month to month. Since its target for the year was clearly stated, it was possible to calculate how far ahead or behind the implied pace it was. In early July, for example, analysts noted that over the first 124 trading days of the 245-day trading year, the BoJ had bought ETFs that annualised at a pace of ¥7tn — or ¥1tn ahead of target.
Because of that, Travis Lundy, an analyst who publishes research on Smartkarma, said that given the extent to which the BoJ had adjusted its buying patterns over the past seven years, it was premature to arrive at the conclusion about stealth tapering after the results of just a few August sessions.
"While there is a little bit of stretch in what has often been deemed a trigger, for the moment the BoJ is still buying at a ¥5.7tn-yen-a-year pace, which is the stated policy aim," he said.
The size of the Bank of Japan's balance sheet continues to expand but the pace of the expansion has moderated over the last year. It is that slowing in the pace of balance sheet expansion which has given rise to the contention the central bank is engaged in a stealth taper.
Eoin's personal portfolio August 10th 2018
One of the requests subscribers have asked for most over the last few years has been to have an easy way to find what positions I have open at any given time. Therefore, I repost this section on a daily basis and the title will always include the date of my most recent trade.
Bonuses Push Up Pay for Japanese Workers Yet Spending Falls
This article by Connor Cislo for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Driven by the tightest labor market in decades, wages in Japan have grown steadily since mid-2017, and even real wages are starting to pick up. That's welcome news for the Bank Japan, which recently adjusted monetary policy in an effort to make its easing program more sustainable. If households become convinced that pay hikes will keep coming, they'll be more willing to increase spending, which will drive further price increases and economic growth. The problem is that employers favor pouring pay hikes into bonuses, which can be taken away, rather than permanent increases in wages.
Employers are paying higher bonuses but are so far demurring from committing to higher wages. However, continued tightness in the labour market, rising participation rates and the breakout in wage growth suggests the trajectory of higher wage growth is a medium-term consideration.
Corporate Japan's capital spending plans reach 38-year high
Thanks to a subscriber for this article by Jun Watanabe for Nikkei's Asian Review. Here is a section:
The latest survey shows manufacturers boosting capital expenditures by 27.2%. This is due in large part to investment and research and development outlays for electric vehicles, on top of redesigns. Extending ranges for electric autos requires development of better batteries and other onboard components. On that front, chemical and electric machinery makers are expected to step up their own investments.
For the nonmanufacturing sector, spending is forecast to rise 18.5%. In addition to urban construction projects, contractors are building massive logistics centers to handle a surge in online orders. Construction starts for hotels remain high ahead of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.
For the first time in its survey, the DBJ asked companies about the impact of labor shortages. About 60% of nonmanufacturers said a lack of workers is hindering business development. Furthermore, they see the situation growing worse three years down the road. The DBJ expects this to drive more labor-saving investments among retailers and wholesalers.
Japan is booming and labour-saving investments are not going to overcome the lack of available workers. There are now almost as many women in the work force as men. Meanwhile, the reality on the ground is that the country has opened the doors to foreign workers and that means more demand for just about everything since new arrivals have to start from scratch.
Japanese markets unsettled on reports that the Bank of Japan will discuss policy change
Thanks to Niru Devani for this report and commentary.
Here is an excerpt from the article posted on Bloomberg on reports that the Bank of Japan will discuss policy change at its meeting next week.
A dramatic day for Japan's debt market saw yields surge on media reports of possible changes to the nation's ultra-loose monetary policy, spurring the central bank to offer to buy an unlimited amount of bonds.
The yield on 10-year government securities soared as much as six basis points to 0.09 percent, its biggest increase in almost two years, pulling the yen higher and weighing on stocks. While the yield came down after the purchase offer by the Bank of Japan, it then bounced back to just one basis point below the day's high.
Any change to BOJ's stimulus would be the first since 2016 when it introduced control of the yield curve in a bid to manage the impact of its bond purchases and negative interest rates. Still, profits for banks and bond traders continue to be depressed, with reports from Reuters, Asahi and Bloomberg suggesting that officials are debating ways to further mitigate the side effects.
Niru Devani's view
In response to a spike in yields, the Bank of Japan said it would purchase an unlimited amount of 10-year Japanese government bonds if the yield hit 0.110 per cent, above the 0% to 10% range it set in 2016 to support economic growth and raise inflation. It is worth pointing out that it is rare for the Bank of Japan to use such a mechanism to stabilise the bond market and seems to be the latest sign that loose monetary policy globally could be coming to an end.
Long-term themes review July 17th 2018
One in ten Tokyoites in their 20s are now foreigners
Thanks to a subscriber for this article by Kanako Watabe for Nikkei Asian Review. Here is a section:
Among 20-somethings living in Japan's capital, one out of 10 are foreign-born, reflecting the rapidly shifting profile of the country's working population.
Throughout Japan, foreigners in their 20s numbered 748,000 at the beginning of the year, or 5.8% of the total, the government reported Wednesday. The figures exclude foreign nationals that are here for short stays, and typically include those with residency credentials staying for over three months.
In all, the country's population of non-Japanese residents grew 7.5% to a record 2,497,000 people. Many of them live in Tokyo, with the largest portion -- around 42,000 -- housed in the city's Shinjuku ward.
At 3 p.m. on weekdays, Shinjuku's government offices are jam-packed with people filling out moving notices and other forms. Over half of those waiting in line are young people of non-Japanese descent, and a mixture of English, Chinese and other languages fills the air. More than 40% of the foreigners are 20 years old.
While Shinjuku's native-born residents in their 20s shrank 7% over five years, the number of foreigners in the ward soared by 48%. One convenience store near JR Shinjuku Station has hired a 31-year-old Chinese woman. "The store wouldn't run if I'm away from my shift," she said.
One of the most widely repeated objections to Japan's ability to reform and growth is its reluctance to absorb young immigrants who have been engines for demand elsewhere.
Long-term themes review June 22nd 2018
I realise this summary at 4600 words is getting rather lengthy which is why I decided to right another book to more fully explore the issues represented by the rise of populism and what that means for markets and the global economic order. I've agreed an August/September deadline so hopefully it will be available this year.
Japan's Wage Jump Offers Fuel to Ignite Stalled Consumption
The figures come at a critical time for Japan's mission to generate stable inflation. Price growth has softened in recent months and household consumption continues to show signs of weakness. Separate data released Friday showed household spending slid 3.9 percent in May from a year earlier.
Atsushi Takeda, chief economist at Itochu Corp., says strong gains in wages will be needed for many more months before consumption is likely to show a response.
"There's no question that wages are improving," he said, commenting on the latest figures and citing the results of annual wage negotiations earlier this year. "But people need a substantial period of wage gains to be convinced that wages will keep rising."
The gain in overall wages was partly attributable to a 15 percent jump in bonus pay that reflects continued strength in Japanese corporate earnings.
Japan has a tight labour market, where more women are being encouraged into the workforce and the number of immigrants is rising as jobs go unfilled. Bonuses are not enough to stoke consumerism because they are by nature a one-off event so persistent wage gains will probably be required to stoke consumer demand.
Long-term themes review May 16th 2018
Here is a summary of my view at present:
Japan's coming Golden Age of Activism
Thanks to a subscriber for this report from Jeffries which may be of interest. Here is a section:
A link to the full report and a section from it are posted in the Subscriber's Area.
Long-term trends change the fundamentals of a market and Japan is one of the most relevant examples of that in the world today. The deflationary environment has prevailed for so long that that I am reminded of the quip from the commodity markets "those who know it best, love it least because they have been disappointed the most".
Email of the day on evidence of immigration in Japan:
I believe this does rather endorse your view. Also, my father in law a farmer in Shikoku has told me about many Chinese farmers on their Island!
Different subject, but I heard recently pearl exports this year are up in the region of 100%, your wife has obviously started a major new trend!
Thank you for this informative email and interesting article. My wife's pearl business, my children's love of anime and mange and my optimism about the recovering economy created a trifecta of reasons for our original trip and return visit in April.
The biggest takeaway for me is the number of foreign workers we have encountered. In one of the world's few remaining mono cultural societies that was a true surprise. Here is a section from the Nikkei Asian review article:
The demand for construction workers is intensifying before the 2020 Olympics, and Hoang is one of the 274,000 foreign workers in Japan on a government-backed trainee program that has become a back door for foreign unskilled workers who would otherwise not be allowed in. Started in 1993, the program has boomed in recent years -- and is one reason that the number of foreign workers in Japan has nearly quadrupled over the last decade.
Led by an influx of workers from China, Vietnam and the Philippines, Japan is in the midst of a quiet revolution when it comes to immigrant workers. Though the total number of foreign workers in Japan is small compared to the more than 3 million in the U.K. and Germany, it is catching up rapidly -- a remarkable shift for a nation famous for resistance to immigration.
Without fanfare, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has steadily loosened Japan's once tightly controlled visa policy, resulting in an almost doubling of the number of foreign workers in Japan to 1.28 million over the last five years. In its latest move, Abe's government is expected to create a new class of five-year work permits for unskilled workers in hopes of attracting more than 500,000 new overseas workers by 2025. The new guidelines, to be finalized in June, will ease language requirements for foreign workers in construction, agriculture, elderly care and other sectors that are suffering the most serious labor shortages. It will also be possible for trainees to extend their stay for up to 10 years.
Long-term themes review April 10th 2018
BOJ Board Members Stress Need for Prolonged Monetary Easing
One board member said the bank needs to make it clear that there is no change in its commitment to fulfill the objective as soon as possible, according to the summary, which don't identify who said what. Kuroda said the BOJ will continue easing "very persistently" at a press conference following the policy decision.
BOJ's updated price forecast for four years through fiscal 2020 was also released on April 27, showing no board members see inflation rising above 2 percent in a stable manner.
"In order to continue with powerful monetary easing, the bank needs to constantly consider enhancing its sustainability while aiming to gain consensus among the public on the necessity of the price stability target," one board member said.
One member said an early rate hike would result in multiple adverse effects, including falling bond and stock prices, while a stronger yen would cut into corporate profitability.
Real Estate prices are the primary drag on inflation from the latest BoJ report. That is perhaps not so surprising with a shrinking population. However, the other point that needs to be borne in mind is that job openings are rising, labour force participation is high and wages just broke out. Against this background the BoJ is not going to be removing stimulus any time soon and may even increase it.
Draghi Insists Outlook Is Solid as ECB Skirts QE Debate Again
This article by Alessandro Speciale for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
The central bank's quest to restore sustainable inflation of just under 2 percent has been complicated by data suggesting that the euro area's strongest growth in a decade may be faltering. As well as waning industrial output and deteriorating business confidence, the threat of a global trade war is hanging over Europe's export-oriented economy.
"Incoming information since our meeting in early March points towards some moderation, while remaining consistent with a solid and broad-based expansion of the euro-area economy," Draghi said. "The underlying strength of the euro area economy continues to support our confidence that inflation will converge towards our inflation aim of below, but close to, 2 percent over the medium term."
Mario Draghi's statement "An ample degree of stimulus remains necessary." Is what the market was expecting. The ECB and Bank of Japan remain the primary providers of liquidity to the global economy so when they eventually begin a process of quantitative tightening is likely to be an important catalyst for liquidity fueled uptrends.
Email of the day on Japanese Banks
Thank you for your kind concern and this educative email. I checked the data on Bloomberg and there is very little variation with what you quoted.
The Dollar has been on a downward trajectory for most of the last two years but is now in receipt of some respite not least because the interest rate differential has moved in its favour and yields are testing the psychological 3% level. Against the Yen it has now unwound its oversold condition relative to the trend mean so this is a level where investors will be asking whether the rebound has the legs to keep going.
Email of the day on the underperformance of the Topix 2nd Section Index
I have noticed re the Japanese charts that the Topix second section now seems to be leading on the downside having broken through the 7000 level. Should this be a concern?
The Topix 2nd Section was a topic of conversation at The Chart Seminar over the last few days.
It has been a reliable lead indicator for the market for as long as I can remember and it will need to bounce soon to confirm support in the region of the trend mean.
Japan Trip Report
My daughters love visiting Japan. They adore anime and manga, and no they are nor the same thing, I've been reminded more than once. They love the cutsie culture coupled with the storytelling and fact that a lot of the topics covered are more mature in nature than they would be conventionally exposed to at home.
In my 10-year old's class there are two things that every child, regardless of background, intelligence or wit loves; slime and squishes. Slime has turned every girl in the nation into a chemist and our house is full of the products my daughter has concocted from mixing varying quantities of Elmer's glue and borax and lotion. I'm really hoping that one is a phase, the stuff is gross to my eyes. The other thing they love are Squishies. These are what many of us might think of as stress balls. The most popular are Japanese because they are of higher quality and return to their shape slowly. If you can bare it simply plug Squishies into YouTube.
Squishies, anime and manga, robotics and a range of other genres highlight the fact that Japan is still capable of capturing the imagination of popular culture. Against that insight more than a few people told me that the country is managed for old people. It is a common sight to see nonagenarians being wheeled around by their sexagenarian offspring. Massage and pain treatment for backs, necks and knees are some of the most common store fronts. Something politicians and the general public are only beginning to get grips with in Europe and North America is that older people are reliable voters and are jealous of their pensions and senior perks.
The Bank of Japan Steps Up With Record Buys of Local Stocks
This article by Min Jeong Lee and Toshiro Hasegawa for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
"If it hadn't been for the BOJ's ETF buying, the Nikkei 225 would have breached 20,000," said Ayako Sera, a market strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank Ltd in Tokyo. "For investors, March was a month to reduce exposure to Japanese equities."
The BOJ bought 1.9 trillion in ETFs in the first quarter, which is 32 percent of its annual purchase goal. To be sure, Kuroda has said that the target isn't set in stone at exactly 6 trillion per year, and annual purchases don't necessarily have to be measured from January to December. On Tuesday, Kuroda said the central bank is discussing how to eventually exit from its massive monetary stimulus but that it's still too early to reveal details.
Not that long ago, many investors expected the BOJ to join the global trend toward stimulus tapering by reducing ETF buying this year. That came after the Topix and the Nikkei 225 soared to their highest levels in a quarter century. But then the market slumped, and the situation changed.
Foreigners have muddied the picture, dumping Japanese equities as the yen gained to a 16-month high against the dollar. They yanked almost 8 trillion yen from cash equities and futures in the first quarter alone, according to data through March 23. Suddenly, not many people are expecting a BOJ taper anytime soon.
Tatsuya Oguchi, chief executive officer and president of Franklin Templeton Investments in Japan, says the BOJ won't rush to alter its ETF purchases.
"Obviously, the BOJ has to stop buying at some point," Oguchi said. But "I think we have to wait until the Tokyo Olympics" in 2020, he said. "The BOJ won't change their policy at least for another two three years."
Kiyoshi Ishigane, chief strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Kokusai Asset Management Co. in Tokyo, agreed. "Of course, they won't cut back," Ishigane said. Like the others, he doesn't expect the bank to increase the target, either. "The BOJ would buy more if they could stop the market from falling, but it knows that it can't."
Bank of Japan buying of stocks represents a powerful tailwind for the market. Both the Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Bank have been actively buying shares, in addition to bonds, in an effort to promote inflation. This policy has the added benefit of the central bank gaining interests in tangible assets with no fixed maturity dates. Dividend growth potential then offers at least a partial inflation hedge to central banks they might not otherwise have had.
Hedge Funds Short Dollar-Yen Stare Down Fiscal Year Squeeze
This article by Michael G. Wilson and Chikako Mogi for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Just as hedge funds pile into wagers betting on dollar-yen weakness, signs are emerging that the pair is poised for a resurgence in Japan's new fiscal year.
The greenback's failure to break below 104.50, seen by major Japanese banks as a key barrier amid a congestion of buy orders, is pointing to a potential bottom for the widely traded cross. That's bad news for speculators that suddenly turned bearish for the first time in almost a year this month as an escalation in global trade tension and a domestic political scandal spurred demand for Japan's haven currency.
The culmination of the country's fiscal year this week -- which has historically capped dollar strength amid repatriation flows -- month-end fund rebalancing and easing trade tensions are creating the conditions for a dollar bounce against the yen, according to traders and strategists. The rebound looks to have already begun, with the pair climbing as high as 106.41 Wednesday as Japanese importers were seen selling the domestic currency.
"With Japan's new fiscal year starting shortly, I expect a certain degree of yen selling flows to emerge," said Tohru Sasaki, head of Japan markets research of JPMorgan Chase & Co. Flows related to the start of the fiscal year could push dollar- yen upward toward the 111 to 112 area, he added.
The Dollar has been among the weakest currencies in the world so far this year, amid widespread angst about the implications of fiscally profligate policy on the value of the currency. However, the USA is also raising interest rates and that interest rate differential is beginning to be meaningful, particularly as LIBOR rates for short-term paper advance.
Long-term themes review March 7th 2018
Here is a brief summary of my view at present.
Japan Scandal Gives Fresh Boost to Yen Bulls Eyeing 100 Mark
This article by Masaki Kondo and David Finnerty for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
Governor Haruhiko Kuroda made it clear last week the current stimulus program will remain in place for a while. There's concern that any move past 100 could prompt a policy response if it's deemed to hurt attempts to reflate the economy. However, his remarks on March 2 that the bank will start thinking about a stimulus exit in fiscal 2019 have at least increased market speculation over the timing of a possible normalization.
Kuroda's mention of an exit was meant to prime markets for an eventual withdrawal, says Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp. in Tokyo. "Given the reduction in bond purchases, the BOJ is already laying ground for an exit. It just isn't saying so."
The Bank of Japan will likely be the last of the major central banks to exit its quantitative easing program. With the ECB due to complete tapering by September that suggests Japan's program will end sometime in 2019. That is of course under the assumption exogenous factors do not required it to be extended even further.
Japan's executives paid less than Asian colleagues
This article from Bloomberg appeared in the Straits Times. Here is a section:
"The workforce is becoming more and more global, so to attract and retain the best people, you need to be prepared to pay competitive salaries," said Marc Burrage, managing director of Hays Japan. Seniority-based pay systems are among the reasons for Japan's low salaries, he said. "It's a concerning situation and if it's not addressed soon, it will start to bite in terms of productivity."
Mrs. Treacy is planning a trip to Japan in April to source Akoya pearls so the girls and I will be tagging along to Kobe and Osaka. I asked a long-time subscriber in Japan what his perception of rising inflationary pressures is. Here is his response:
Yen Bears Seen Getting Brief Relief From Kuroda Reappointment
The yen briefly weakened Friday when local media reported Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is set to nominate Kuroda for a second five-year term, strengthening speculation that has been in the market for weeks. Kuroda's record easing helped push the yen to almost 126 per dollar in mid-2015, the weakest in more than a decade. The currency was at 108.43 on Tuesday.
The Federal Reserve started to trim its balance sheet last year, while the European Central Bank is also looking to unwind stimulus. Few economists predict the BOJ will deepen its already unprecedented easing after Kuroda failed to achieve a 2 percent inflation target in his first term. Foreign investors think if the BOJ can't expand stimulus, its next step will be a move toward an exit. Domestic investors only see policy being tweaked.
The Bank of Japan is at a crucial juncture because right now Japan is the only country running both easy monetary and fiscal stimulus. The Eurozone is close because it is tapering its quantitative easing while the fiscal austerity strait jacket has been loosened. Concurrently, the USA is swapping monetary largesse for fiscal largesse and there is already talk of an additional infrastructure bill which is only likely to add greater fiscal stress to the budget.
Interesting charts February 6th 2018
S&P500 Consumer Staples has lost momentum over the last couple of years with larger pull backs that dip into the underlying range and somewhat less impressive rallies subsequently. Last week's downside weekly key reversal with follow through this week represents another in a series of failed upside breaks. It is back testing the region of the 200-day MA and will need to continue to hold the 550 area if top formation completion is to be avoided.
Email of the day on investing in a Japanese recovery
Re Japan, you discussed previously how one might get exposure to the Japanese financial sector. One obvious candidate would be the NYSE quoted ADRs in Nomura. In the past the Topix Securities Index has moved in line with the Japanese Banks Index. My question is do you think that times have changed so much that a stock like Nomura is no longer a good geared play on the Nikkei?
Thank you for this question which may be of interest to other subscribers. Japanese banks have been laboring under the low interest rate regime for what must feel like forever but the introduction of simultaneous monetary and fiscal stimulus during a period of synchronized global economic expansion has the potential to kick start inflation not least because of labour shortages.
Trump's Tax Cuts
This article by LohKC on the FTAlphaville blog represents an interesting interpretation of motivations behind focusing on GDP versus GNI and may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:
We can see immediately that more production means a larger GDP and that more production requires more workers, ceteris paribus (that is setting aside other considerations that can affect employment such as automation, productivity etc.). Most of the workers in any country would be its nationals. So usually a country's desire to raise its GDP has a lot to do with the wish to create more employment for its people. But I would argue that Japan's situation is quite different.
Japan's labour force is shrinking. It has been shrinking at the rate of 0.4% in the past decade and by all accounts the rate of decline will rise in the coming years. So unsurprisingly Japan's unemployment rate is very low. Unemployment rate has fallen below 3% recently, which makes Japan's unemployment rate among the lowest in the world. True, Japan still has a large source of untapped labour; women's participation in the job market is very low. And that is a pressing issue but it is not really relevant to this discussion. Perhaps I might write about women's participation in the job market one day but for now, regarding whether moving some manufacturing to the US isn't such a bad idea, suffice to say that Japanese manufacturers are facing difficulties filling job vacancies in Japan because of Japan's shrinking labour force and ultra low unemployment rate.
Japan's challenge today is not about reducing unemployment. Japan's challenges today are about coping with the social costs of and economic headwind from an aging population and a shrinking labour force.
So we see that the raison d'être for GDP is no longer that compelling for Japan. Japan should aim to maximise its gross national income (GNI) instead.
Japan is a case study for how other countries with substantial national assets, globally oriented manufacturing centres, aging populations and threatening deflation can cope and prosper.
Email of the day on Japanese banks and REITs
Just read your piece on Japanese financials
What is the issue with Tokyo listed stocks? There are no restrictions for non-Japanese investors to buy local stocks, at least from the perspective of a European investor.
Why do you mention only ADR and GDR? (btw. German listed GDR have often very poor liquidity)
Btw: Wisdom Tree used to have a hedged ETF on Financials: WisdomTree Japan Hedged Financials Fund (DXJF) but I don't know if it is still actively traded
Finally: Do Japanese REITs also belong to this category of possible beneficiaries from rising J-yields like banks in your opinion? The iShares Japan REIT ETF trades under ticker 1476 JP
Thank you for this email which others may find of interest. I've been writing about Japanese banks since the summer but certainly with more frequency over the last month and I posted a more detailed review of Japanese Banks and REITs on December 8th.
BOJ Maintains Stimulus as Inflation Lags Behind Growth
Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said at a press briefing that the central bank didn't need to reconsider its current policy framework.
His comments last month on the "reversal rate" theory stoked speculation about an earlier policy exit. The theory posits that monetary stimulus could end up hurting commercial banks' profitability, making them less likely to lend.
Kuroda said Thursday that financial intermediation hasn't been impaired in Japan and that talk about the theory doesn't indicate any need for policy change. The yen weakened following the comments and traded at 113.57 per dollar at 5:12 p.m. in Tokyo.
"Just because I brought up this academic analysis, reversal rate, doesn't mean at all that we need to review or change the yield curve control we've adopted since September last year,"
Japan is one of the only major economies running both easy fiscal and monetary policy right now and that is contributing to asset price inflation if not the kind of inflation the central bank measures. In fact, we have learned from QE programs elsewhere that asset price inflation is what to expect from monetary accommodation on the scale employed by central banks at present.
Nikkei Climbs to 26-Year High as Global Growth Optimism Returns
This article by Min Jeong Lee and Emi Urabe for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here it is in full:
Japanese shares rose with the Nikkei 225 Stock Average advancing to its highest since 1992 on a weaker yen, as upbeat jobs data from world's largest economy reignited optimism over global growth.
Japan's currency slid to a one-month low against the dollar after Labor Department figures Friday showed the U.S. added more jobs than expected in November and the unemployment rate held at an almost 17-year low. Both the Nikkei 225 and the broader Topix index advanced for a third day, with banks and machinery makers providing the biggest boost. Local equities are bouncing back to their highest levels in a quarter century following a pullback in late November on profit-taking.
"The global economic expansion isn't over yet," said Tatsushi Maeno, a senior strategist with Okasan Asset Management in Tokyo . As the yen heads lower "investors will anticipate upward revisions to corporate profits ahead of the earnings season in March."
Both main stock gauges retreated briefly on Monday as technology companies slid in the wake of the sector's recent global selloff. A measure of electronics makers finished 0.1 percent higher after slipping by as much as 0.6 percent.
"Performance for semiconductor stocks like Tokyo Electron is sluggish with investors torn over whether it's alright to take an optimal view on the sector again," said Hideyuki Suzuki, a general manager at SBI Securities Co.
The Nikkei-225 has been ranging above 22,000 since early November and closed at an incremental new high today. Upside follow through tomorrow and a sustained move above 23,000 would reassert medium-term demand dominance. The broad Topix Index has now also moved to a new 25-year closing high and importantly these indices are doing so on a much lower valuation than Wall Street.
Stronger for Longer
Thanks to a subscriber for this report from Morgan Stanley focusing on the outlook for 2018. Here is a section on Japan:
A section from the report is posted in the Subscriber's Area.
Japan has been fighting deflation for so long very few believe it will ever overcome the challenges it faces. However, Japan is now one of the only countries running both easy monetary and fiscal stimulus. The only thing we can definitely credit quantitative easing with in the USA is asset price inflation and that should be equally true of Japan.
On Target November 2017
Thanks to Martin Spring for this edition of his letter. Here is a section Japan:
"The MSCI Japan Index now trades on 15.1x 12-month forward earnings, or an 18 per cent discount to the MSCI USA Index's 18.4x," Wood reports. "It is also a major structural positive that earnings growth is increasingly coming from domestic-focused [rather than export-focused] corporates." That means shares generally are less dependent on favourable moves in the yen-dollar exchange rate.
The worsening labour shortage should lead sooner or later to accelerating wages, boosting consumption.
"This dynamic has already been evident for some time in the case of temporary workers. But to the longstanding frustration of both the Abe government and the Bank of Japan, wage rises for permanent employees have remained minimal, primarily because the trade unions have been more concerned about keeping their employees "permanent", since such permanent full-time staff, on average, still earn 1.8 [times] the hourly wage for part-time workers."
Companies have been keeping a tight grip on pay increases – one reason why listed firms are enjoying record profits and sitting on record amounts of cash, even allowing for the effect of increasing share buybacks.
There is a long-term trend for Japanese companies to be more generous with their dividend payouts to shareholders. Back in 2004 the payout ratio (dividends as a proportion of earnings) for the Topix index was only 17 per cent. Now it's up to 30 per cent.
Japan's economy is recovering momentum and the uptick in performance by domestic companies has been readily observable in the performance of the Topix 2nd Section Index. This revolution has been enabled both by the Bank of Japan's quantitative easing program and that government's willingness to run simultaneous fiscal stimulus.
Volatility Spikes as VIX Tops 2017 Average Amid Tax Uncertainty
This article by Sarah Ponczek for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here it is in full:
Volatility roared back into the U.S. equity market as fresh concern about the prospects for tax reform sent the Cboe VIX Index to its biggest surge since August.
"In terms of how we see the world and the impact to our strategy, to the extent this reform causes some uncertainty, that could lead to a pickup in volatility," said David Jilek, chief investment strategist for Gateway Investment Advisers. "But we don't have any keen insights as to how the politics is going to play out."
In a year that's been characterized by record calm, Thursday's two-point intraday jump in the VIX was enough to push it above the average level for 2017. The gauge, which uses options-trading data to measure implied volatility of S&P 500 stocks, still sits below the bull-market average of 18.3.
Major U.S. equity benchmarks slid from record levels, with losses widening after the Senate revealed that its tax plan would delay lowering the corporate rate until 2019.
Wall Street has been rallying on speculation the Trump tax cuts would benefit corporations and boost consumer sentiment. News yesterday that the Senate proposal would defer tax cuts until 2019 was not greeted with optimism and introduced doubt about exactly what, if anything, will eventually get passed.
Breakfast with Dave November 3rd 2017
Thanks to a subscriber for this report by David Rosenberg at Gluskin Sheff which may be of interest. Here is a section:
I would have to say that if there is a market that has broken out of a 25-year secular downtrend, and where the economic and political tailwinds are significant, it is in Japan. I get told all the time that Japan's population is declining, but we are buying companies, not bodies, and the bottom line is that even with this declining population, earnings momentum is on the rise and profit margins in Japan are on an impressive expansion phase, and not nearly priced in, In fact, Japan is one of the few markets globally that is not trading at premium multiples relative to its history and is an under-owned market both globally and locally.
Japan is one of the few major economies running both easy monetary and fiscal policy. That is contributing to asset price inflation which has resulted in the market breaking out of 25-year+ base formations.
General (18355 articles)
Energy (740 articles)
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India (206 articles) | {
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"Does he have a younger brother?"
Can you say this without "hólǫ́"? The last lesson gave "Bee" by itself to mean "he has", but it wasn't a question.
Hólǫ́ is what indicates possesion: "it exists". Bee indicates by him/it.
Thank you. Then just "he has" would be " bee hólǫ́". | {
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A: water, coffee, milk, tea, wine, iron, air, smoke, etc.
B: beauty, kindness, honesty, happiness, love, etc.
money, music, bread, chalk, cheese, hair, paper, rice, sugal, salt, etc.
①There is book on desk.
②There is a book on a desk.
③There is a book on the desk.
④There are books on a desk.
⑤There are books on the desk. | {
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Looking back to 1997: A return and a reconciliation
By Peter Rowan
Homepage»2017-01 Loving our Neighbours (Jan-Apr 2017)»Looking back to 1997: A return and a reconciliation
By Peter Rowan on January 5, 2017 / 1 Comment
At midnight on June 30-July 1, 1997 and after 156 years of British rule, the crown colony of Hong Kong was returned to China. The formal ceremony was full of pomp and pageantry, with dignitaries from all over the world in attendance to witness the hand-over ceremony.
Meanwhile, in complete contrast to what was happening on the political stage, a thousand Christians, both Chinese and expatriates, gathered in St. Andrew's Church, Kowloon, to participate in a foot-washing ceremony of reconciliation.
The OMF US edition of what was then East Asia's Millions carried a brief report on the astonishing event that saw the pastors of six evangelical churches in South Kowloon invite their congregations to an English/Chinese service of reconciliation…
'Rev. John Aldis, senior pastor of St. Andrew's Anglican Church – the largest English-speaking congregation in Hong Kong – wept as he read a statement of repentance to Chinese pastor Jonathan Chan. Speaking as a representative of Britain to the Hong Kong Chinese people, Aldis asked for forgiven
ess for "our injustice, our pride and our isolation."'
'He confessed, "The foundations of this colony were unjust, seized by war and violence… and we gave back your land and your people without asking you. As a race we have a sense of racial superiority which has been patronising and hurtful to you. We often lived in ghettos of exclusiveness and hid ourselves from your culture. We have not listened to you." Aldis wept as he said, '"Forgive us as a nation and a Church. Release us from this bondage of guilt."'
Mr. Jonathan Chan, in his capacity as the Chairman of the South Kowloon Pastors' Prayer Fellowship, made all Hong Kong Chinese in the church stand and say, "We forgive you." Chan confessed the sin of racial pride on the Chinese side, and Rev. Aldis asked the English-speaking members to return the forgiveness. Then he first washed the feet of the Rev. Sam Lai, senior pastor of the Shepherd Community Church, and Lai in turn washed his feet "as a symbol of thanksgiving for what your nation has done for the past 150 years to bring blessing to Hong Kong, especially full freedom of religion."' [East Asia's Millions, Sept/Oct/Nov 1997, p. 13]
The article went on to point out that 'the issues of repenting of past sins and atrocities became a political issue in the run-up to the handover, with Chinese officials pressuring British diplomats and ministers to apologise unequivocally for the Opium Wars.' However, Robin Cook, British Foreign Secretary at the time said, 'If I had to apologise for the actions of colonial Britain over a hundred years ago I would have no time to do anything else.'
Forgive us as a nation and a Church. Release us from this bondage of guilt
The Church's commitment to biblical peace-making raises important questions about the relationship between reconciliation, justice, and forgiveness, especially where the Church is seeking to build peace in a context of division and historical injustice. In a section entitled 'Building the Peace of Christ in our Divided and Broken World' The Cape Town Commitment says this:
'Reconciliation to God and to one another is also the foundation and motivation for seeking the justice that God requires, without which, God says, there can be no peace. True and lasting reconciliation requires acknowledgement of past and present sin, repentance before God, confession to the injured one, and the seeking and receiving of forgiveness. It also includes commitment by the Church to seeking justice or reparation, where appropriate, for those who have been harmed by violence and oppression.' [The Cape Town Commitment, p. 40].
My reason for including this anniversary piece in our current issue of Billions is to suggest that in many parts of the world prophetic acts of peacemaking, reconciliation and self-giving humble service may prove to be the critical factor in opening up channels for gospel witness.
In highly charged atmospheres of politics, community relations and inter-faith tensions, followers of Jesus are called to take courageous steps in living out the gospel, so that their actions may send ripples across the wider landscape, resulting in spiritual breakthrough.
Peacemaking may need to start within the Christian community itself: between individuals, churches, mission teams, mission agencies, expats and local believers. These may be the necessary first tasks in any pursuit of The Task Unfinished. 'Mission,' as the Latin American theologian Rene Padilla has said, 'begins with churches that embody the gospel of reconciliation.' [Rene Padilla, 'Mission at the Turn of the Century / Millennium,' Evangel 19:1 (2001): 11] | {
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Learn to stabilize your orchid plant in its pot in this free online guide for beginners on caring for an orchid.
Now to stabilize this plant, we are going to be using pot clips and I would normally put this across but it seems to do a better job by putting it on the angle here. I think I will even use a second one; maybe criss-cross it and maybe just put one over around this side and just try different angles and see what works the best with stabilizing. You might want to put one right through the plant, through the middle there and now because we have such a large cane here plus the flowers, I am going to put in this bamboo stick and try to stabilize that because everything is so new, it will stick itself; might not stay in there tightly. I think first I will tie it to the stick above one of the bamboo nodes so that the twisty tie doesn't slide down and then I will take it around the plant, fasten it not too tightly because you don't want to cut into the plant tissue. So now, since it is still top heavy I am going to stabilize it further by placing it into a larger clay pot.
Gayle Zubek has been collecting orchids for 10 years. Just like everyone else, she was hooked after buying just one. She owns 55 orchids and has won several first place awards. She also belongs to the National Orchid Society and has been tapped for chamber membership. | {
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Discussion in 'Purchasing DVC' started by RedGhost, Oct 21, 2018.
We really don't want apply credit card.even the sign up bonus is great .
We are planning to purchase DVC membership directly . It's best for our family with all the perks specially our kids are very young. My questions is is any one confirmed that the direct DVC purchase will qualify the 3* points for the Chase Sapphire Reserve ? I don't want make mistake because it is a lot of money . And 3* points are a lot. Thanks for helping !
Is a DVC purchase considered Travel?? The Chase Sapphire offers 3*/$ on Travel, and 1*/$ on all other, and doesn't that come with a steep annual fee??
I put mine on my Chase Disney Visa and got 2% in Disney Reward Dollars, plus free interest for 6 months, just as an FYI.
Good luck on your decision, RedGhost!
I just looked back at my DVC add-on back in 2017 and the way the DVC purchase came up on my statement was "DVC ESCROW PAYMENT" so I don't think it will code as travel to earn the points you want.
Both times we paid for our DVC points, we had money in the bank but wanted to earn some cash back so we used our Quicksilver card which earned us 1.5% cash back. We wanted to use a card that earned us cash versus reward dollars. We didn't consider the Disney Visa because that card (regular one) only earns 1% cash back and the rewards is locked in as Disney dollars. The 6 months interest free is nice for some people but I felt that I would not earn 1.5% from my bank even if I left my money sitting there for 6 months.
Consider buying Disney gift cards. You mentioned the Sapphire Reserve, but do you have any other cards that would give a bonus on buying DGCs? They're sold at office supply stored (Chase Ink cards), groceries (AMEX Blue/Gold cards) and warehouse clubs (Chase Freedom).
You can't pay for the membership with GCs. You can use them to pay your dues.
Buying DVC or paying dues will not code as travel. It is real estate.
Thanks for your suggestions. I do like other perks that direct purchase have. My kids are young . I want have the cruise option and events.
Not certain how many points you are considering but it's almost always better to rent out points and pay cash for the cruise. Not certain if you've looked at the charts about points required for cruises but it takes a lot of points to "pay" for the cruise. If you're buying a small, or smallish contract it won't be enough. Personally I'd pull that off the table as a reason to purchase direct. And David's now makes it easy to rent points and book a cruise if you want to remove a bit of the transaction.
APs are the other direct perk that can have some value but you need to go often enough or long enough to be a perk you would use.
For credit card purchase though it's going to be a card that offers cash back or points on general purchases. I've not had anything DVC code as travel.
RedGhost and bumbershoot like this.
OP payment of dues or a direct DVC purchase will ABSOLUTELY code as travel and earn 3x ultimate rewards on the Chase Sapphire Reserve. I recently just completed a CCV direct purchase and the down payment coded as travel and I earned the 3x. I anticipate the remaining payment to code the same.
OP payment of dues or a direct DVC purchase will ABSOLUTELY code as travel and earn 3x ultimate rewards on the Chase Sapphire Reserve. I recently just completed a CCV direct purchase and the down payment coded as travel and I earned the 3x. I anticipate the remaining payment to code the same.[/QI will definitely try!I planning buy it out right. Not finance.
Agreed it codes as travel. I did it in June.
@RedGhost come over to the Budget Board section on the "I love credit cards so much" thread. Super nice group over there where we can direct you how to go about maximizing the credit card bonuses you can get from the direct purchase. A bunch of us over there are DVC owners as well. Just jump in and state as you did in your above post.
Worth mentioning: the ability to exchange points for cruises can be discontinued at any time, for everyone. It is a contract, not a deeded right.
And, while I forget the exact amount, they value the exchange at only $7-8 per point. Not even enough to cover the purchase price for current direct purchasers, not even to mention the MFs.
My down payment cleared today on Csr. It coded at 3 points per.
We paid for our direct CCV purchase and dues using our CSR card and they both coded as travel with 3x the points.
I can't speak for DVC but paying dues for both Bluegreen and Marriott does code as travel with both AMEX and CSR. I suspect it will code for dues, less sure for the purchase. While the CSR costs $450, it gives a $300 travel credit, Priority Lounge access, pays for global entry/TSA recheck and covers rental car insurance as primary coverage. Each point is valued at over 2¢ so the return is still likely more than 2% using the Disney $49 card. CSR also returns 3X on dining, plus they cover roadside and many items often covered by travel insurance. I have the old Chase Disney card that's free and I don't intend to upgrade it because I feel the CSR gives me more even used for Disney.
Thanks, Dean - Great info!
I may have to consider the CSR, based on those benefits.
Can the travel credit be used anywhere/anytime? No Black-outs ??
The travel credit is cash back to the card. I prepaid Marriott fees with the AMEX and Bluegreen fees with the CSR to hit the spending requirements for the bonus and to kick start the credit. Both worked perfectly in that regard. I can't image Disney won't be credited as travel but it's not hard to spend $300 on travel if you're taking vacations.
I went through this thought process very recently so it's fresh in my mind. I queried a number of people who knew well some or all the the products I was looking at, did some extensive web review and looked at our situation. When I went in to this I wasn't even thinking the CSR card at all and became convinced this was the best single option for us.
I started this journey a year ago when I became Platinum elite lifetime with Marriott. Previous to that I generally met the criteria for Platinum elite based on the number of credited nights but also qualified based on our level with the Marriott Vacation Club. Marriott will only upgrade ONE owner to the status, the one that has their number listed on the MVC account. At that time I had CCs that I was using and paying off monthly including the Chase Disney (free one), Chase Marriott ($85/yr not the upgraded one at $95/yr) and the Delta AMEX for free checked bags mostly using the Marriott card except for Disney related items.. So a year ago we changed to Kim's number for MVC so she'd get the status, got her the Chase Marriott ($85) and canceled my Chase Marriott using her Marriott card as the primary. We had plans to get her to lifetime Platinum as well expecting it to take 5-7 yrs. There are reasons the lower Chase Marriott was better in that situation rather than the Premier card at $95 because you got extra nights based on spending.
With the changes in the Marriott Rewards program some of our plans went out the window so I started looking at options. We've since added the CSR AND the AMEX SPG Luxury card, both $450 but with relatively similar coverages and options that will make them essentially free to us. We'll use them for things we'd usually use cards for anyway to get the bonus (50K Chase reward its with CSR and 125K Marriott points with the AMEX). I'm about to cancel our Delta AMEX as I was waiting on our last Delta trip, it's $95 but includes free bags up to I think it's 8 people on the itinerary. I'll keep the Disney because it's free an we'll still likely keep Kim's old Marriott card since it has a free nights stay making it free and has options we might need in the future, it's no longer available to get as a new card. We're going to try both high end cards, get the bonuses and see how it goes. We may cancel the AMEX after that if the CSR and chase points work as well as people are saying.
So with both cards you get the credit, making them $150 each with no other allocations. IF you do TSA precheck or Global entry, that's another $85 pr $100 every 4 years per card. The rest of the benefits have variable and individual value but there are lots of articles out there comparing high end cards and valuations for the points you get where applicable. The primary rental car coverage for insurance was the one that caused me to go with CSR and to make it our main card though even without that it's likely our best option depending on how the chase points work out. The 1:1 air miles transfer and 50% air discount are also intriguing. I'm sure there are those out there who have CSR and DVC and can answer your question for certain on how fees work, maybe not on purchases. | {
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The Legal 500 EMEA 2020 Recognises Maples Lawyers and Practices
Maples and Calder, the Maples Group's law firm, is pleased to share that The Legal 500 EMEA 2020 has recognised its lawyers and practices across its Dublin, Luxembourg and Dubai offices.
The law firm received 20 practice group placements and remarkably, 40 of its lawyers received individual recognition in this year's edition. 11 partners received the 'Leading Individual' distinction within their practice area while six partners were listed as 'Next Generation Partners', an accolade which acknowledges newer partners who received exceptional client feedback and who had a prominent role in several significant matters. Three associates were also commended for their outstanding expertise in the fields of litigation, corporate and banking and were listed in the 'Rising Star' category.
Throughout this edition, clients endorsed the firm as a "responsive, progressive and commercially minded law firm". Clients also praised lawyers for their "commercial, superb and top-notch" legal advice.
Commenting on the rankings, Global Managing Partner, Jonathan Green, said, "This achievement is a testament to the expertise of our lawyers in the EMEA region and to their commitment to delivering excellent client service, no matter the circumstances. We are particularly pleased to see our Luxembourg colleagues recognised in the rankings this year, reflecting the significant impact that they have made in the marketplace over the last two years."
For over 30 years, The Legal 500 has been analysing the capabilities of law firms across the world, with a comprehensive research programme revised and updated every year to bring the most up-to-date vision of the global legal market. Their research is based on submissions from law firms, interviews with leading private practice lawyers and feedback from over 300,000 clients worldwide.
Advising on the laws of the BVI, the Cayman Islands, Ireland, Jersey and Luxembourg, our global corporate team provides expert legal advice to corporate clients on all corporate commercial matters. Our clients include major banks, multinationals and institutional investment firms, leading law and accountancy firms and a number of state / government entities across all industry sectors.
Advising on the laws of the BVI, the Cayman Islands and Ireland, our global Dispute Resolution & Insolvency team provides expert legal advice on cross-border litigation and contentious and non-contentious restructuring. We offer a broad range of dispute resolution and insolvency services, bringing an unrivalled depth of experience to each dispute and ensuring that you receive fast, accurate and pragmatic advice.
Advising on the laws of the BVI, the Cayman Islands, Ireland, Jersey and Luxembourg, our global Finance team provides expert legal advice on even the most complex financial transactions under intense time pressure. Clients repeatedly return to our qualified finance lawyers to handle a variety of complex matters relating to acquisition and leveraged financing, asset finance, banking, debt capital markets, derivatives, fund finance, insurance linked products, Islamic finance, repackaging and structured finance.
Advising on the laws of the BVI, the Cayman Islands, Ireland, Jersey and Luxembourg, our global Funds & Investment Management team provides expert legal advice on every aspect of the life cycle of an investment fund including set up, management and investment across a broad range of fund structures and management entities.
Advising on the laws of the Cayman Islands and Ireland, our global Projects & Construction team provides expert legal advice on all aspects of infrastructure and developments including tendering, finance and refinance, projects and construction contracts and regulation and disputes in both the public and private sectors. Our lawyers also have particular expertise in public private partnerships both in Ireland and internationally across a wide range of sectors.
Our market leading Tax team is at the forefront of innovation in developing new structures and strategies for international and Irish clients on cross-border tax matters.
Advising on Irish law, our Property team provides expert specialist legal advice on all aspects of real estate law across all commercial property transactions with experience in real estate finance, commercial leases, landlord and tenant, real estate funds, investment acquisitions and disposals and property development.
Filter by Location All Cayman Islands
Global Managing Partner Cayman Islands
Maples Advises the Chinese Property Developer Modern Land on its US$1.34 Billion Debt Restructuring
Maples Group Receives Most Tier 1 Rankings in 2023 Legal 500 Caribbean Guide
Nine Maples Group Partners Recognised in 12th Edition of Women in Business Law Expert Guide
Multi-Jurisdictional Maples Team Advise Rockpool Capital Limited on the Launch of its New Real Estate Fund
Maples Advises Baring Private Equity Asia on its Largest Fund to Date
Maples Group Seconds Caymanian Lawyer to Dubai | {
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Presentation Compressed Landscapes at the Van Gogh Museum in Amsterdam. Photo: Michael Floor.
AMSTERDAM.- As of today, the Van Gogh Museum presents Dutch artist Jan Robert Leegte's website series Compressed Landscapes. Fully accessible to the public, the series – comprising five works inspired by Vincent van Gogh – is the ideal form of 'lockdown art'. For now, Compressed Landscapes can be seen online, but as soon as museums are allowed to reopen their doors to the public, you will also be able to enjoy the series at the Van Gogh Museum.
Leegte x Van Gogh
Jan Robert Leegte (1973) has been making Internet art in the form of websites since the 1990s. In 2002, he began introducing digital materials in the physical exhibition space, to create a connection between the online art world and the world of museums and art galleries. The artist is represented by the Upstream Gallery in Amsterdam.
For Compressed Landscapes Leegte drew inspiration from the methods of 19th-century artists such as Vincent van Gogh and his contemporaries. With this series, Leegte attempts to breathe new life into 19th-century artists' plein air painting: where the latter went outdoors to paint landscapes using brushes, Leegte applies algorithms to the wilderness of the Internet.
These algorithms visit online photo databases such as Flickr, and randomly select images on the basis of search terms such as 'mountains', 'forests' or 'sunset'. Once such images have been found, the algorithm compresses them into tiny files. The result of this computer process are digital impressionistic landscapes.
As the algorithm is constantly searching for images, the result is five ever-changing and therefore always unique Internet artworks of forests, sunsets, mountain sceneries, lunar skies and general landscapes, which can be viewed via unchangeable URLs:
https://www.compressedforests.com
https://www.compressedsunsets.com/
https://www.compressedmountains.com/
https://www.compressedmoons.com/
https://www.compressedlandscapes.com/
The website series is perfectly suited to an online visit beyond the walls of the museum. In this video, Jan Robert Leegte explains why everyone should view his work either from home or at the museum: ''The Compressed Landscapes series is on display at the Van Gogh Museum so that people can view the works in a historical context, surrounded by paintings from a different era. Thus, visitors can take their time enjoying the works in the way they would contemporary paintings. But Internet art can also be seen in the wild from home. The fact that Compressed Landscapes can be visited in many different ways makes it really special, that's the strength of this work.'
At the Van Gogh Museum
As of today, all five artworks of the website series are accessible online. And as soon as museums in the Netherlands will reopen, they will also be on display at the end of the permanent collection on the third floor of the Van Gogh Museum. There, Leegte's modern landscapes create a special dialogue with landscape paintings such as Wheat Field with Partridge and Autumn Day, which are on display on the same floor.
Jan Robert Leegte's presentation is the latest in the series Van Gogh Inspires. In this series, the Van Gogh Museum puts work by modern and contemporary artists on display, showing how Van Gogh's work has inspired many generations of artists. Previously, the museum displayed work by artists including Jean-Luc Mylayne, Steven Aalders, Matthew Day Jackson, Zeng Fanzhi, John Chamberlain and Peter Doig. | {
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Imaging a different future for Indigenous Australia
Dr Maggie Walter will present, The then and now of social Darwinism for Indigenous Australians, at the upcoming Charles Darwin Symposium.
The bicentenary of Charles Darwin's birth, 2009, could also mark the end of social Darwinism in Australia.
But, according to a leading sociologist, an alternative story of country and race required a new mindset in which the evolutionary gaze was reversed from the Indigenous to the non-Indigenous.
A Senior Lecturer in Sociology at the University of Tasmania, Dr Maggie Walter, said she believed that such a shift would require a re-imagining of non-Indigenous self-concept and belongingness.
Dr Walter said her presentation at the upcoming Charles Darwin Symposium would develop this idea by contrasting certain eras of Darwinian influence: the 1830s and 1840s, and the 1990s and 2000s with a different vision for 2010 onwards.
"In February 1836, when Darwin visited what was known to the Europeans as Van Diemen's Land, he had no or little contact with Aboriginal people," Dr Walter said.
"By then the last traditional people were imprisoned and dying at Wybalenna on Flinders Island in the Bass Strait.
"If we fast forward to 2009 and imagine Darwin revisiting, again his Aboriginal contact would likely be sparse."
Dr Walter said that with the exception of dot paintings and anthropological curiosity, "the Indigenous" was absent from the nation's view of itself and Indigenous people remained locked in what she referred to as the domain of Aboriginality.
"Darwin's work rationalised the Tasmanian destruction post-event via the concepts of evolutionary inevitabilities and Social Darwinism and Darwin himself contributed by requesting Tasmanian skulls," she said.
But the question still remains of how could the post-2010 era be different?
"The shift in thinking I propose reverses the discourses of evolutionary inevitabilities with the pivotal re-imagining of the account of non-Indigenous evolvement of interaction and relating to country, perceptions of Australia's identity and conceptions of fit within the land and its heritage," Dr Walter said.
"Indigenous understandings and peoples are inevitably central to these imaginings."
Dr Walter will present her paper, "The then and now of Social Darwinism for Indigenous Australia: Imagining a different future", as a part of Charles Darwin Symposium, Charles Darwin: Shaping our Science, Society and Future.
The Symposium is a joint activity of Charles Darwin University and the Northern Territory Government.
The three-day symposium will run from 22-24 September at the Darwin Convention Centre. The symposium is free, but prior online registration is required for catering. To register and for more information visit W: www.cdu.edu.au/cdss2009/ | {
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➝ back
COVID-19 Casino Tracker
Check the current operating status and restrictions for commercial casino properties.
Download Map (PDF) Casino Vaccination Sites Map COVID-19 Resources
The COVID-19 pandemic closed all commercial and tribal casino properties in the United States. With casinos again being open for business, this map tracks state-mandated operating restrictions for commercial casino properties. Local governments in some areas impose additional restrictions and individual properties may choose to set still more stringent policies. Please contact an individual casino property for a complete understanding of their operating status.
State-by-State Key Operating Restrictions
Arkansas: No occupancy limit but casino capacity should not exceed the ability of attendees to maintain six feet physical distance between individuals or household groups. LINK
Colorado: Casinos can operate at fullcapacity with no additional restrictions, except for indoor mask requirements implemented by the State of Colorado or Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment (CDPHE). LINK
Delaware: Casinos can operate at full capacity after Delaware eliminated social distancing requirements and removed capacity restrictions on May 21. LINK
Florida: Commercial casinos can operate at full capacity with limited social distancing protocols.
Illinois: Casinos are allowed to operate at full capacity after the State of Illinois moved to Phase 5 of the Restore Illinois framework on June 11. LINK
Indiana: Each Indiana casino is required to work with its local health department on its health and safety plan. Currently, few or no casinos have capacity limitations in place. LINK
Iowa: Casinos are not mandated to operate with social distancing measures in place, but they are still strongly encouraged to take such reasonable measures. LINK
Kansas: Casinos can operate at full capacity.
Louisiana: Casinos can operate without capacity limits, though social distancing and the mask mandate remain in place along with any other additional measures that may be required by the State Fire Marshal. LINK
Maine: Casinos can operate at full capacity. LINK
Maryland: Casino capacity restrictions have been lifted at all six casinos, but some slot machine and table game seats cannot be occupied because casinos continue to comply with social-distancing guidelines. LINK
Massachusetts: Casinos can operate at full capacity. LINK
Michigan: Casinos can operate at full capacity after Michigan rescinded most COVID-19 restrictions on June 22. LINK
Mississippi: Casinos can operate at full capacity without state-mandated restriction, but are free to set their own COVID-19 safety guidelines. All casinos must continue to follow other state and local rules that aim to slow the spread of the coronavirus. LINK
Missouri: Casinos are permitted to operate without occupancy limitations, as long as physical-distancing practices are followed. Some counties and cities have such capacity restrictions in place.
Nevada: Casinos can operate without social distancing and occupancy limitations. LINK
New Jersey: Casinos can operate without capacity limits, but must ensure that all individuals or groups of people can remain six feet apart. LINK
New Mexico: Racinos can operate at full capacity. LINK
New York: Casinos can operate at full capacity, with capacity restrictions and social distancing rules being optional. LINK
Ohio: Commercial casinos can operate at full capacity after remaining coronavirus health orders expired on June 2. LINK
Oklahoma: There are no state-mandated restrictions on casino operations.
Pennsylvania: Casinos can operate at full capacity, while mask-wearing remains mandated for non-vaccinated persons. LINK
Rhode Island: Casinos can operate at full capacity. LINK
South Dakota: There are no mandated restrictions on casino operations in Deadwood.
West Virginia: Casinos are permitted to operate at 100% of capacity as long as proper social distancing measures are ensured. LINK
Last updated: July 19, 8 AM ET
See something that needs to be updated? Let us know.
Casinos & Communities: COVID-19 Response | {
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If they were to ask me what I love shopping the most in the States (besides my son's goodies), I would definitely say Coach Purses & Bath & Body Works Goodies. I ❤ hoarding lotions, shampoos & body sprays! :-) I can't seem to get enough of them. Of the 6 boxes (at 50 lbs./box) we took home from our last May 2010 USA Trip, 3 of them were filled with them! And the rest of my son's and my hubby's toys. ☺ Oh yes, we do have duty free shops here, wherein we can get imported stuff too, but a dollar or 2 savings I think was better than nothing. 1 Box was dedicated solely for my addiction to Bath & Body Works!
I'm addicted to their Anti-bacterial Handsoaps especially the Foaming and the Moisturizing variants.
But for my top picks (and my hubby's too)...I love to hoard these scents and variants.
I got mine for the Summer 2010 collection, I don't see it anymore in their online site.
The scent label is also very unique and more detailed than the current classic fragrance mist collection.
Great thing about Bath & Body Works is that they are not as common as the VS scents....and there's only US version, not HK or anywhere else. The price on ebay.ph are understandably based on the SRP cost, not the promoted cost (Buy 3, get 2 etc.)...sometimes, in my desperation to hoard them, I'm event crazily thinking of going to Guam just to get them there. The experience in going to the store and actually be able to smell most of them, then choose is really amazing. And of course, I ♥ in-store and online promotions (free GWP (gift with purchase), $10 off, get $100 value items for only $20 price etc.).
Friends, allow me to indulge in this moment of feeling and smelling great! Bath & Body Works Forever! Cheers!
The Orange Sapphire one sounds wonderful! | {
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XLIII. Nutriment of bones after breaking ; for the nostril, twice five ; for jaw, collar-bone and ribs, twice this ; for the fore-arm, thrice ; for the leg and upper-arm, four times ; for the thigh, five times ; there may be, however, in these a little more or less.
XLIV. Blood is liquid and blood is solid. Liquid blood is good, liquid blood is bad. Solid blood is good, solid blood is bad. All things are good or bad relatively.
XLV. The way up, down.
XLVI. Power of nutriment superior to mass ; mass of nutriment superior to power ; both in moist things and in dry.
XLVII. It takes away and adds not the same thing ; it takes away from one, and adds to another, the same thing.
XLVIII. Pulsations of veins and breathing of the lungs according to age, harmonious and unharmonious, signs of disease and of health, and of health more than of disease, and of disease more than of health. For breath too is nutriment.
XLIX. Liquid nutriment more easily changed than solid ; solid nutriment more easily changed than liquid. That which is hardly altered is hard of digestion, and that which is easily added is easy of digestion. | {
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National Bobblehead HOF Releases Limited Edition Hawkeye Rivalry Sets
By Madeleine McCormick
MILWAUKEE, Wisconsin -- The National Bobblehead Hall of Fame is releasing limited edition bobbleheads that acknowledge two Iowa Hawkeyes rivalries.
Just a few days before the Iowa v. Nebraska game this Friday, the National Bobblehead Hall of Fame and Museum announces one bobblehead for this rivalry, and another for the Iowa v. Iowa State rivalry.
The National Bobblehead Hall of Fame
Each bobblehead features Iowa's mascot, Herky the Hawk, facing off with the other teams' mascot.
In this case - Nebraska's Herbie the Husker and Iowa State's Cy the Cardinal.
In a news release this morning, Co-Founder and CEO Phil Skylar says each bobblehead-duo is individually numbered to 1,000, meaning there are only that many in existence.
The Iowa-Nebraska football game is traditionally held the Friday after Thanksgiving.
The Hawks will take on the Huskers at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, with kickoff is at noon.
A bobblehead is as close as Iowa and Iowa State fans will get to the annual game. It's been cancelled due to the Covid pandemic this year. | {
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The spending habits of Chinese tourists abroad is the subject of an Outbound Chinese Tourism and Consumption Trends survey by Alipay.
The survey, conducted by Nielsen, shows that 65% of Chinese tourists paid for travel expenses via mobile payment during their most recent trip, compared to 11% only of non-Chinese counterparts; and 77% of Chinese tourists spent more via mobile payments than they had on previous trips taken over the past two years.
Proportionally, mobile payments transacted by Chinese travelers at overseas destinations are catching up with cash payments, though bank cards still have the lead. Chinese travelers used cash to pay for 30% of transactions, used bank cards for 42% of transactions, and mobile payments for 28% of transactions. This differs dramatically from the transactional habits of non-Chinese tourists which break down into 44% cash, 52% bank card, and 5% mobile payment.
The largest mobile payment spend category is shopping. 63% of Chinese consumers surveyed said they have used mobile payments for shopping during their trip and 76% said that they hoped to do so during overseas travel in the future. Dining is a close second with 62% having already use mobile payments to pay for their meals. Tourist attractions are the third largest spend category with 58% of Chinese tourists saying they have used their mobiles to pay for those.
Importantly, Chinese consumers also expect to find that these venues accept mobile payments. 76% said they hope to find retail facilities that accept mobile payment, 46% said they expect to find mobile payments accepted at dining locations and 40% said they hope accommodations will accept mobile payments.
Merchant adoption is naturally helping to encourage the practice. 93% of Chinese tourists surveyed said they would consider using mobile payments overseas iff more merchants accepted them; 91% also said that they would spend and shop more if Chinese mobile payment brands were accepted.The average total annual spending of outbound Chinese tourists is rising. It is estimated to reach $5,715 in 2018 (a 3% increase over 2017).
On-location spending at the travel destination averages $3,064 per person, excluding tour group costs and transportation costs. But some regions encourage greater spending than others. Chinese Tourists are most likely to spend more while visiting the United States ($4,462 average per person), followed by Europe ($3,754 average per person), and Australia ($3,541 average per person).
A quarter of Chinese tourists' total travel expenses go to shopping; 19% to accommodation and 16% to dining.
There's a bit of good news for airlines and airports in this study. 61% of outbound Chinese tourists will spend their shopping budget at Duty-Free Shops—the top retail category—which makes accommodating mobile payments critical.
Some have already go the message. Finavia, which manages Helsinki Airport, introduced Alipay at a number of its concessionaires at the end of 2016 and also launched Alipay tax refunds through Global Blue last year.
Finnair also introduced Alipay payments for inflight purchases like duty-free items onboard its Helsinki-Shanghai route last year, and at the Finnair lounge in the non-Schengen area of Helsinki Airport. | {
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The QOL Labs Medical Advisory Board is a panel of licensed practitioners each of whom are recognized experts who specialize in various medical and healthcare fields. Our board members collaborate closely with our team and provide clinical guidance. This enables us to create products that are not only backed by human science, but are also practical and relevant. Their varied background and experiences offer a unique blend of knowledge that provides valuable insight into current and emerging research and strengthens QOL Labs commitment to be the world's premier supplement company for healthcare professionals.
Raphael Kellman, M.D., graduate of Albert Einstein College of Medicine, pioneered a groundbreaking new brand of medicine and healing, seamlessly integrating holistic and functional medicine with his visionary understanding of the world and nature, the root of who we are and its connection to health and healing. Dr. Kellman was the first doctor to speak about the profound importance of the microbiome; he speaks on the topic around the world and literally coined the term "Microbiome Medicine".
Dr. Stephen H. Atkins has 38 years of experience in holistic medicine. He is the owner and clinical director of Atkins Wellness Solutions, located in Huntington NY.
Dr. Gonzalez completed a two year residency position at the competitive Cancer Treatment Centers of America in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Here, he became proficient in Integrative Oncology through exposure to various disciplines and modalities.
Dr. Esposito is a naturopathic physician, acupuncturist and functional medicine practitioner specializing in integrative urology, men's health and hormonal health. His precise and personalized style utilizes a systems biology and precision medicine approach to medicine.
Dana Cohen, MD, is a nationally renowned internal and integrative medicine specialist whose multi-disciplinary approach has helped treat thousands of patients using a variety of conventional and complementary therapies. In practice for nearly two decades, Cohen trained under the late Dr. Robert Atkins, author of the iconic "Dr. Atkins' New Diet Revolution," and Dr. Ronald L. Hoffman, a pioneer of integrative medicine and founder of the Hoffman Center in New York City. | {
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