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Florida Bay out of several algorithms considered by Pereira et al. |
(2019). This study utilized delineation instead of an algorithm |
derived from satellite data to map the sediment plume because |
the goal of this study was to map the extent of the plume, not SSC. |
Furthermore, the shallow waters and algal blooms within Florida |
Bay make isolating a sediment plume difficult and require an |
algorithm to be derived from extensive field sampling, which was |
not available for this study. Future work will focus on building |
upon the work done by Hajigholizadeh and Melesse (2017) to |
create an algorithm and threshold that maps the sediment plume |
within Florida Bay. |
Seagrass Cover |
Seagrass data was obtained from the Fish Habitat Assessment |
Program (FHAP), established through the Comprehensive |
Everglades Restoration Plan’s (CERP) Restoration, Coordination |
and Verification (RECOVER) program to “provide information |
for the spatial assessment and resolution of inter-annual |
variability in seagrass communities, and to establish a baseline |
to monitor responses of seagrass communities to water |
management alterations associated with CERP activities” (Hall |
et al., 2016; Hall and Durako, 2019). Monitoring for FHAP is |
conducted once a year in May–June (with the exception of 2015 |
when monitoring occurred after the die-off in November) at |
30 sites within 17 basins across Florida Bay. At each site, eight |
0.5 × 0.5 m quadrats are deployed and benthic macrophyte cover |
is quantified using the Braun-Blanquet (BB) method (Hall et al., |
2016). The BB method is a rapid and highly repeatable visual |
assessment technique that has been employed in Florida Bay for |
over two decades (Fourqurean et al., 2001; Furman et al., 2018). |
The scoring system is as follows: 0 = no presence, 0.1 = 1 shoot, |
0.5 = less than 5 shoots, 1 = many shoots but <5% cover, 2 = 5– |
25% cover, 3 = 25–50% cover, 4 = 50–75% cover, 5 = 75–100% |
cover. The BB score for total seagrass is then averaged for each |
site. Our study utilized 30 sites in Johnson Basin and 30 sites |
in Rankin Basin surveyed each year for a total of 720 seagrass |
measurements. To determine the relationship between seagrass |
cover and sediment plume extent, the total seagrass cover from |
the 30 sites within each basin was averaged to create one BB score |
per year for each basin. |
Data Analyses |
To determine the extent of the sediment plume and how it |
changed over time, the two classes were combined and the area |
of the plume was calculated for each time step (Figure 3C). |
A Generalized Additive Model (GAM) was used to model plume |
size across years using the R package “mgcv” (Wood, 2017). Two |
models were run in preliminary analyses: one with seasonality |
and one without seasonality to determine whether seasonality |
was a significant driver of plume size. A breakpoint analysis was |
run to determine years in which plume size significantly changed |
over the 12 years. |
In order to relate plume extent to changes in seagrass cover, |
plume expansion and contraction within Johnson and Rankin |
Basins were investigated. Shapefiles of Rankin and Johnson were |
used to determine the proportion of each basin the plume covered |
Frontiers in Marine Science | www.frontiersin.org 5 July 2021 | Volume 8 | Article 633240 |
Rodemann et al. Sediment Plume and Seagrass Resilience |
within each image. A breakpoint analysis was also run on the |
Rankin and Johnson Basin time series individually to identify the |
years in which the plume coverage within each basin significantly |
changed. For all of the breakpoint analyses, the optimal number |
of breakpoints in the data was determined by the minimum |
Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC; Bai and Perron, 2003). |
Breakpoint analyses were done with the R package “strucchange” |
(Zeileis et al., 2002, 2003). |
In order to examine the interaction of plume expansion and |
seagrass cover, an analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used to |
test for differences in the proportion of each basin covered |
by the sediment plume and seagrass cover before and after |
the breakpoints between each basin. A Tukey’s HSD was run |
to identify which time periods significantly differed. Pearson’s |
correlation tests were run to test the relationship between |
the proportion of each basin covered by the sediment plume |
and seagrass cover. Only spring images (n = 12, includes the |
November measurement after the seagrass die-off) were included |
in the seagrass ANOVA and correlation analyses since seagrass |
cover was only monitored once a year in May–June. ANOVA and |
correlation analyses were done in R v 4.0.3 (R Core Team, 2020). |
RESULTS |
Accuracy of Sediment Plume Delineation |
The areal extent of the sediment plume in western Florida Bay |
increased over the period of the study (2008–2020). At its largest, |
the sediment plume covered an area of 249.2 km2 |
, increasing |
108% from a minimum of 119.6 km2 during the period of |
observation (Supplementary Table 1). The overall accuracy of |
satellite imagery plume delineations tested with grab samples |
over 2017–2020 was 80.5% (Table 1). However, the majority |
(69.2%) of that error was due to lower turbidity measurements |
in the deeper, southern portion of our study area (around |
Rabbit Key Basin), where the bottom can be obscured by lighter |
sediment loads due to depth. The overall accuracy increased to |
93.1% when the deeper, southern area was excluded from the |
accuracy assessment. |
Sediment Plume Expansion Across the |
Study Area |
When considering the full spatial extent of the study, we |
observed a significant, non-linear increase of the plume over the |
period examined. The GAM results found that yearly variation |
TABLE 1 | Summary of accuracy assessment of images from 2017 until 2020 |
using grab sample data provided by ENP. |
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