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to making the region’s infrastructure more resilient to climate change. |
POPULATION TRENDS |
Continued Growth |
South Florida had a population of 4.7 million in 2020. According to the |
Florida Office of Economic and Demographic Research, the region is |
projected to add about 717,000 new residents in the tri-county area |
through 2045 to reach an estimated population of 5.4 million. The |
regional economy and number of residents who call South Florida |
home has consistently increased over time. Between 2010 and 2020 the |
population of Broward County grew by 11.7% and Miami-Dade |
County by 8%, outpacing the growth of the nation. |
32 | Page |
Meanwhile, Monroe County’s population remained relatively |
unchanged. Despite significant population growth from 2010 – 2020, |
the most recent Census data update for the period of July 2020 – July |
2021 shows Resident Live Births declined for Miami-Dade and |
Broward counties. |
The Resident Live Births Rate (RLBR) per 1,000 total population has |
declined from a high of 13.5 in Broward in 2001 to 10.2 in 2020. |
Likewise, the Miami-Dade RLBR has declined from 14.2 in 2001 to 9.7 |
in 2020. Monroe County had a RLBR 8.9 in 2001. Monroe County’s |
RLBR peaked to 10.8 in 2007 and then declined to 8.9 in 2020; the same |
rate as in 200116. This compares to a Florida RLBR of 12.6 in 2001 and |
9.7 in 2020 with the U.S. RLBR dropping from 15.83 in 2001 to 11.71 in |
2020. |
Even as Florida’s population increased from April 2020 to July 2021, |
the population of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Monroe counties |
decreased during the same time period. |
Population Estimates |
Miami-Dade Broward Monroe Florida |
July 1, 2021 2,662,777 1,930,983 82,170 21,781,128 |
April 1, 2020 2,701,767 1,944,375 82,874 21,538,187 |
April 1, 2010 2,496,435 1,748,066 73,090 18,801,310 |
Source: U.S. Census Quick Facts |
This recent population decline, masked partially by international |
migration, is attributable to lower birth rates and a trend of outmigration from Miami-Dade and Broward counties. It appears that this |
out-migration may be in response to soaring housing and cost of living |
costs. According to annual reports from United Van Lines, U-Haul, |
0.0 |
5.0 |
10.0 |
15.0 |
20.0 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
Rate Per 1,000 Total Population |
Data Years |
Resident Live Births, Rate Per 1,000 Total |
Population, Single Year (2001-2020) |
Broward Birth Rate Miami-Dade Birth Rate |
Monroe Birth Rate Florida Birth Rate |
U.S. Birth Rate |
33 | Page |
and Allied Van Lines, Florida, with its beaches and natural |
environment, no income tax, and cultural and recreational |
opportunities is consistently once again in the top 5 of inbound states |
with 39.29% of respondents choosing Florida as a top state to retire in |
2020.17 For those who can work remotely, the broad adoption of remote |
work policies has made it possible to live in one state and work in |
another. |
The major van lines report that the pandemic continues to influence |
American’s decisions to move as they relocate to lower-density |
communities and to be closer to family. Florida is particularly attractive |
to high-income earners seeking to exit high cost, high tax states who |
find Florida relatively affordable despite rising housing and living |
prices. Florida was a top inbound state in 2021 although it appears that |
growth is concentrating outside of South Florida. South Florida is a |
popular destination for residents from California and New York and is |
expected to benefit from high-earning professionals relocating from |
high-cost, higher-density cities in the Northeast and West Coast who |
still seek to enjoy an urban lifestyle. |
Age & Diversity |
The age distribution of the population in Broward, Miami-Dade, and |
Monroe shows significant increases in the 45 – 64 year-old age cohort |
over the past 30 years. All the counties also show a decline in the |
percent of the population in the 18 – 44 year-old category. Miami-Dade |
and Broward counties also show decreases in the percent of the |
population in the 0 – 17 cohort as well as increases in the percent of the |
population in the 65 plus cohort signaling a potential workforce |
shortage in the future. The population age trends of Miami-Dade and |
Monroe counties mirrors that of the state of Florida. Only Broward |
County shows an increase in the percent of the population in the 0 – 17 |
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