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computational planning approach, Zonation, to process species-based data, then conducting (inverse) spatial conservation prioritization; (4) comparison between Trend/Alternative development plan with the Top/Lowest ranking maps and close-up analysis for synFigure 1. Study area. |
Even with large areas of agriculture and other types of greenfield sites, rapid urban |
development and population growth in recent years have collectively put unprecedented |
pressure on Florida, especially in the South region [34,36,40]. Historically, the population |
of our study area has increased speedily from 6,092,509 to 8,852,679 during the period of |
30 years between 1990 and 2020, with an incredible percentage increase of 45.3% [32,41]. |
Nearly 9 million (8,959,286) people currently live in this area of great wealth in 2021 [42] |
and it is credibly predicted that over 4 million people will be added by 2070 with a growth |
Land 2022, 11, 2182 4 of 23 |
rate of 50.12% as stated in the Population Projection of FDOT (Florida Department of |
Transportation) [32]. In line with the Florida 2070 report [34], this region is expected to see |
not just a population explosion but also intensive land resources exploitation that the former |
relies on. Aside from this, it is noteworthy that an extremely uneven population distribution |
pattern occurs in our study area, where highly urbanized areas such as Broward (2), MiamiDade (6), Lee (8) and Sarasota (9) rank among the top 10 most dense counties statewide |
whereas Glades (66) and Hendry (56) are occupied mainly by reserve areas and agricultural |
land reasonably supporting the least population per square mile [41]. |
In the Southern region, a high percentage of wildlife habitat reserves and agricultural land are deemed crucial to Florida’s ecosystem, which conflicts with the extensive |
metropolitan area, high population densities and future population rise [30]. Such a tug |
of war significantly influenced two projections of Florida 2070 and provoked our further conservation-wise assessment of current population-based simulations. Synthesizing |
the ecological importance of natural communities and social urban development needs, |
we want to focus on the dynamic relationship between conservation and development |
and thus find South Florida compelling in reassessing the legitimacy of Florida’s existing |
development and conservation trajectory, as well as explicating and disclosing severe |
human–wildlife conflicts within Florida and even worldwide. |
2.2. Framework of Reassessment Procedures |
With the goal of resolving conservation conflict in Florida, available data sets of the |
study area and advanced quantitative planning tools were preferred as our pieces of evidence and methods underpinning advanced studies. In order to clarify and confirm the |
following research procedures, we articulate a reassessment framework for our study in |
Figure 2, including five successive stages: (1) collection of land cover data and Florida |
2070 Project data as social science evidence; (2) acquisition of biodiversity distribution data |
from listed focal species in our study site as nature-side data; (3) using a quantitative computational planning approach, Zonation, to process species-based data, then conducting |
(inverse) spatial conservation prioritization; (4) comparison between Trend/Alternative development plan with the Top/Lowest ranking maps and close-up analysis for synthesizing |
two-sided plannings; (5) further discussion and justification of achieved work along with a |
future vision for future implementation. |
2.3. Zonation 4 Analysis for the Florida 2070 Project Scenarios |
In this paper, we implemented the spatial prioritization for the study area’s current |
conservation status using the Zonation 4 software [11], with Florida 2070 projection maps |
and focal species habitat map as input files. The features and strength of Zonation software |
are that it can generate complementarity-driven conservation ranking of the landscape by |
literately removing grid cells in various rules of conservation value aggregation and tries to |
maintain a balanced coverage of all input biodiversity components throughout the ranking |
to ensure the complementary balance between different species. |
Technically, Zonation 4 software provides four options for aggregating conservation |
value that determines the removal order of cells and how the balance between features is |
implemented, while conducting priority ranking: (1) core-area Zonation (CAZ), (2) additive |
benefit function (ABF), (3) target-based benefit function, and (4) the generalized benefit |
function. In our case, we employed the additive benefit function method of ranking because |
the ABF rule tends to produce a more balanced feature distribution map without bias for |
the highly-weighted features, compared to core-area Zonation [43]. The ABF cell removal |
method is appropriate for our study area of South Florida, which needs to be equally |
evaluated as a whole, as it takes into account all biodiversity feature proportions in a given |
cell rather than focusing on a single feature that has the highest, as core-area Zonation rule |
does [43]. |
Land Land 2022 2022,, 1111, x FOR PEER REVIEW , 2182 5 of 25 5 of 23 |
Figure 2. Reassessment Procedure. |
2.3. Zonation 4 Analysis for the Florida 2070 Project Scenarios |
In this paper, we implemented the spatial prioritization for the study area’s current |
conservation status using the Zonation 4 software [11], with Florida 2070 projection maps |
and focal species habitat map as input files. The features and strength of Zonation software are that it can generate complementarity-driven conservation ranking of the landscape by literately removing grid cells in various rules of conservation value aggregation |
and tries to maintain a balanced coverage of all input biodiversity components throughout the ranking to ensure the complementary balance between different species. |
Technically, Zonation 4 software provides four options for aggregating conservation |
value that determines the removal order of cells and how the balance between features is |
implemented, while conducting priority ranking: (1) core-area Zonation (CAZ), (2) additive benefit function (ABF), (3) target-based benefit function, and (4) the generalized benefit function. In our case, we employed the additive benefit function method of ranking |
because the ABF rule tends to produce a more balanced feature distribution map without |
bias for the highly-weighted features, compared to core-area Zonation [43]. The ABF cell |
removal method is appropriate for our study area of South Florida, which needs to be |
equally evaluated as a whole, as it takes into account all biodiversity feature proportions |
in a given cell rather than focusing on a single feature that has the highest, as core-area |
Zonation rule does [43]. |
To conduct a Zonation analysis, there are some compulsory input files needed for |
further software processing, including (a) a biodiversity feature distribution map (59 species’ distribution map in South Florida for this study) as a GIS raster file; (b) a run settings |
file that contains all basic Zonation settings; (c) a biodiversity feature list file that contains |
a list of selected species together with their parameters, including species weightings and |
Figure 2. Reassessment Procedure. |
To conduct a Zonation analysis, there are some compulsory input files needed for |
further software processing, including (a) a biodiversity feature distribution map (59 species’ |
distribution map in South Florida for this study) as a GIS raster file; (b) a run settings file |
that contains all basic Zonation settings; (c) a biodiversity feature list file that contains a |
list of selected species together with their parameters, including species weightings and |
α value of the biodiversity feature-specific scale of landscape use (dispersal capability |
or the home range sizes of species for this study). Precisely for this study, we acquire |
reliable species distribution maps from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) as |
the biodiversity feature map. Endangered species is one of the most influential factors |
considered in conservation planning analysis [44]. Therefore, this study’s 59 focal species of |
the South Florida region were selected based on (1) expert opinions from Southwest Florida |
Conservation Design [41], (2) FFWCC Technical Report (2009) [45] and (3) FFWCC Florida |
Endangered and Threatened Species List (2022) [46]. The chosen 59 endangered species |
are composed of 34 birds, 13 reptiles, 11 mammals and 1 amphibian. Distribution maps of |
these 59 species from USGS were included in the biodiversity feature list file and different |
weightings for involved species were referred to their global and state conservation status |
on NatureServe Explorer, as well as the Florida Natural Areas Inventory (FNAI) (see |
Table A1). The α value, which indicates dispersal capability, separation distance, or home |
range sizes of species, should always be specified. In our case, the α values were calculated |
based on each of the 59 species’ average dispersal capability, sourcing from convincing |
expert knowledge from NatureServe Explorer and FFWCC (see Table A2). There is a need |
to justify that separation distances are estimated by wildlife occurrences, while occurrences |
are of practical size for conservation purposes and do not necessarily represent discrete |
populations or metapopulations. The α value of certain species should be deemed as a |
Land 2022, 11, 2182 6 of 23 |
reasonably compromised parameter between the structural requirement for conservation |
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