text
stringlengths 0
6.44k
|
---|
protected by reserving substantial biodiversity-wise sites. |
Land 2022, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW 8 of 25 |
Thus, the highly urbanized east coast generally receives the least spatial prioritization |
ranking from the Zonation analysis results. |
Figure 3. Zonation 4 prioritization result of study area. |
3.2. Zonation Performance Curve Result |
Regarding 59 focal species and their habitat distribution maps, the constraint performance curve (Figure 4) generated by Zonation 4 is the graphical representation of the |
mathematical relationship between the fraction of landscape lost and corresponding remaining biodiversity, meanwhile describing and visualizing conservation priority ranking [47]. Starting from the original intact state of the landscape, the performance curve |
retains its high-level occurrence of biodiversity features until roughly 40% of the landscape has been lost, which can surely relate to the amount of highly developed urban areas |
within South Florida. Following that, a slightly steeper shape can be seen on the curve |
until it reaches approximately 40% of the ranking, depicting the fact that, with small proportions of wildlife-distributed lands lost, almost 90% of species-based biodiversity features can still be preserved. The next noteworthy changing point is that, even after 80% of |
the landscape has been excluded, the region can keep about 60% of the biodiversity feature compared to the original distribution. Subsequently, the vulnerable ecosystem is estimated to experience dramatic biodiversity degradation once the priority ranking exceeds 80%. Therefore, the top 20% high-priority area and the lowest 40% low-priority area |
are selected as two thresholds for further analysis. Specifically, the top 20% threshold can |
be used for conducting conventional spatial conservation prioritization to identify areas |
Figure 3. Zonation 4 prioritization result of study area. |
Land 2022, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW 9 of 25 |
with the most ecological significance. The threshold of the lowest 40% is vital for upwards |
inverse prioritization, which would determine the least important sites in terms of biodiversity features, which humans can utilize for future development without disturbing the |
vulnerable local ecosystem in South Florida. To sum up, South Florida’s ecological features are scattered among this region unevenly and the resulting fragmented landscape |
can be effectively protected by reserving substantial biodiversity-wise sites. |
Figure 4. Zonation 4 performance curve. |
3.3. Assessing Florida 2070 Projections |
By combining the above Zonation results with Trend and Alternative land-use scenarios from the Florida 2070 project in the ArcGIS platform, we saw two marked turning |
pointsontheperformancecurveasappropriatethresholds,thendeterminedproportionsFigure 4. Zonation 4 performance curve. |
Land 2022, 11, 2182 9 of 23 |
3.3. Assessing Florida 2070 Projections |
By combining the above Zonation results with Trend and Alternative land-use scenarios from the Florida 2070 project in the ArcGIS platform, we saw two marked turning points |
on the performance curve as appropriate thresholds, then determined proportions of landscape with the given priority and modeled two sets of assessment maps (Figures 5 and 6) |
normally and inversely, comparing different conflicting areas of expected future development and ecosystem-wise top 20% priority landscapes, as well as the lowest 40%, which |
are highlighted in red. |
Land 2022, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW 10 of 25 |
Figure 5. Comparison between top 20% prioritization and Florida 2070 Alternative/Trend. (a) 2070 |
Alternative scenario overlapped with the top 20% priority; (b) 2070 Trend scenario overlapped with |
the top 20% priority. |
As shown in Figure 5a,b and Table 1, the top 20% priority areas (in green) highly |
coincided with ecological-substantial areas and are mainly located west of the study area. |
In the Trend scenario, the developed areas collided with the top 20% priority account for |
1169.916 km2, whereas that of the Alternative scenario merely takes up 891.113 km2, which |
means the alternative plan could prevent 23.8% of ecologically valuable land from being |
threatened. Spatially, aggressive urban sprawl is expected to consume space around Lake |
Okeechobee as well as the vast middle-west of the study area, where considerable |
amounts of spare greenfield sites would be lost. Even though the Alternative can spare |
22.3% of greenspace for future exploitation, it is upsetting to apprehend that those conflicting parcels (in red) with high ecological values in the Alternative scenario, which are |
scattered among south-eastern Florida’s highly-urbanized coastal areas, might be inevitable and constant. Acknowledging that reserving the top 20% of the priority area can retain |
approximately 60% of biodiversity features, the Alternative could consist of only a few |
more ecologically significant wildlife habitats (+3.6%). |
Table 1. Related area changes assessed by the top 20% of the ranking. |
Top20%TrendAlternativeProportion of |
Figure 5. Comparison between top 20% prioritization and Florida 2070 Alternative/Trend. (a) 2070 |
Alternative scenario overlapped with the top 20% priority; (b) 2070 Trend scenario overlapped with |
the top 20% priority. |
As shown in Figure 5a,b and Table 1, the top 20% priority areas (in green) highly |
coincided with ecological-substantial areas and are mainly located west of the study area. |
In the Trend scenario, the developed areas collided with the top 20% priority account for |
1169.916 km2 |
, whereas that of the Alternative scenario merely takes up 891.113 km2 |
, which |
means the alternative plan could prevent 23.8% of ecologically valuable land from being |
threatened. Spatially, aggressive urban sprawl is expected to consume space around Lake |
Okeechobee as well as the vast middle-west of the study area, where considerable amounts |
of spare greenfield sites would be lost. Even though the Alternative can spare 22.3% of |
greenspace for future exploitation, it is upsetting to apprehend that those conflicting parcels |
(in red) with high ecological values in the Alternative scenario, which are scattered among |
south-eastern Florida’s highly-urbanized coastal areas, might be inevitable and constant. |
Acknowledging that reserving the top 20% of the priority area can retain approximately |
Land 2022, 11, 2182 10 of 23 |
60% of biodiversity features, the Alternative could consist of only a few more ecologically |
significant wildlife habitats (+3.6%). |
Land 2022, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW 11 of 25 |
Collided developed |
area (top 20%) 1169.9 km2 891.1 km2 −23.8% of Trend scenario |
High Priority Area |
(top 20%) 7763.8 km2 8042.6 km2 +3.6% of Trend scenario |
Figure 6. Comparison between lowest 40% prioritization and Florida 2070 Alternative/Trend. (a) |
2070 Alternative scenario overlapped with the lowest 40% priority; (b) 2070 Trend scenario overlapped with the lowest 40% priority. |
From another perspective of upcoming regional development, the assessment of |
land-use planning in South Florida should also look into potential areas of new construction by evaluating the relationship between biodiversity features and landscape inversely |
[35]. Based on the Zonation performance curve, the lowest 40% priority cells are of only |
9% of the overall ecological value, which are the safest and most suitable places to fulfill |
upcoming development needs [14]. A significant part of the low-biodiversity lands is naturally distributed within or around metropolitan areas due to anthropogenic influences. |
Besides, agricultural land is another primary land use type of low-biodiversity landscape |
[30]. Conflicting areas of inverse assessment maps (Figure 6a,b) imply fields with relatively high value, but which can nevertheless be occupied, and are distributed in a pattern |
similar to that of overlapped areas in the top 20% assessment (Figure 5a,b). As shown in |
Table 2, under the Trend scenario, 3209.1 km2 of unsuitable area (in red) are estimated to |
be taken and developed, while in the Alternative scenario, only 2262.9 km2 of lands would |
be developed improperly, assumably protecting nearly 30% of cells from misemployment |
and risk of degradation. Using the same compact land-use patterns, about 20% of lowrichness areas suitable for development and 14.2% of other potential greenspace are |
Figure 6. Comparison between lowest 40% prioritization and Florida 2070 Alternative/Trend. (a) 2070 |
Alternative scenario overlapped with the lowest 40% priority; (b) 2070 Trend scenario overlapped |
with the lowest 40% priority. |
Table 1. Related area changes assessed by the top 20% of the ranking. |
Top 20% Trend Alternative Proportion of Changes |
Developed area (below top 20%) 9318.3 km2 7143.8 km2 −22.3% of Trend scenario |
Collided developed area (top 20%) 1169.9 km2 891.1 km2 −23.8% of Trend scenario |
High Priority Area (top 20%) 7763.8 km2 8042.6 km2 +3.6% of Trend scenario |
From another perspective of upcoming regional development, the assessment of landuse planning in South Florida should also look into potential areas of new construction |
by evaluating the relationship between biodiversity features and landscape inversely [35]. |
Based on the Zonation performance curve, the lowest 40% priority cells are of only 9% of the |
overall ecological value, which are the safest and most suitable places to fulfill upcoming |
development needs [14]. A significant part of the low-biodiversity lands is naturally |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.