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Section II) is that warming of the Earth’s climate |
system is unequivocally taking place, and that |
most of the temperature increase since the mid20th century is very likely caused by increased |
concentrations of greenhouse gases from |
human activities (see the sidebar) (1). |
Thus, the question for Floridians is not whether |
they will be affected, but how much—that is, |
to what degree warming will continue, how |
rapidly, what other climate changes will |
accompany the warming, and what the longterm effects of these changes will be. Some |
detrimental effects, such as ocean acidification, |
are already well documented. Others will begin |
in the coming years and decades, and the time |
is coming when the state is simultaneously and |
persistently challenged by all of these effects. |
W H AT A R E G R E E N H O U S E |
GA S E S ? |
Greenhouse gases, found in the Earth’s at |
mosphere, are produced by natural and in |
dustrial processes. They absorb and emit |
heat, or infrared radiation, from the planet’s |
surface, atmosphere, and clouds. While |
these gases are essential to maintaining the |
Earth’s temperature, excess quantities can |
raise temperatures by radiating heat toward |
the surface. The most important green |
house gases are water vapor (which |
causes 36 to 70 percent of the green |
house, or warming, effect on Earth); carbon |
dioxide (9 to 26 percent); methane (4 to 9 |
percent); and ozone (3 to 7 percent). |
Other greenhouse gases include nitrous |
oxide, sulfur hexafluoride, hydrofluorocar |
bons, perfluorocarbons, and chlorofluoro |
carbons (2). |
1 |
I |
2 |
I |
Florida is especially vulnerable to the effects of |
climate change. It has over 1,200 miles of |
coastline almost 4,500 square miles of estuaries |
and bays, and more than 6,700 square miles of |
other coastal waters (3). The entire state lies |
within the Atlantic Coastal Plain, with a maximum elevation less than 400 feet above sea |
level, and most of Florida’s 18 million residents |
live less than 60 miles from the Atlantic Ocean |
or the Gulf of Mexico (3, 4). |
In addition, Florida’s coastal and marine |
resources comprise some of the nation's most |
diverse and productive ecosystems, supporting |
vast numbers of aquatic and terrestrial animals |
and plants—some of which exist nowhere else |
on Earth. These ecosystems include the coastal |
ocean, barrier islands, bays, estuaries, lagoons, |
sounds, tidal salt marshes and creeks, mangrove swamps, shellfish beds, seagrass beds, |
coral reefs, and oyster bars. They are an |
important source of food and other products; |
perform valuable and irreplaceable ecological |
functions at no cost; and provide significant |
aesthetic and recreational opportunities. |
Florida’s lifesupport system, economy, and |
quality of life depend on preserving and sustaining these natural resources over the long term. |
WHAT I S CL I MAT E CHANGE ? |
Global climate comprises the atmosphere, land, |
snow and ice, the oceans and other bodies of |
water, and living organisms. The atmosphere is |
typically what we envision when talking about |
climate (which often is defined as the average |
weather) (5). However, the oceans are also a |
critical component of climate because of their |
ability to retain heat, their role in distributing heat |
globally, and their capacity as a reservoir for |
dissolved carbon dioxide. |
According to the United Nations’ Intergovern |
— |
|
mental Panel on Climate Change, climate |
change is “a change in the state of the climate |
that can be identified (e.g., using statistical tests) |
by changes in the mean and/or the variability |
of its properties, and that persists for an |
extended period, typically decades or longer. |
It refers to any change in climate over time, |
whether due to natural variability or as a result |
of human activity” (1). |
Currently, the composition of the Earth’s atmosphere is changing as a result of both natural |
and human activities—including the burning of |
fossil fuels (which have caused the atmospheric |
buildup of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases) and largescale deforestation. In |
recent decades, average air and ocean |
temperatures have increased; there is widespread melting of snow and ice at the poles; |
and average sea levels are rising. Because |
greenhouse gases remain in the atmosphere for |
a long time—from decades to hundreds of |
years—atmospheric levels of these gases will |
continue to increase during the 21st century (6). |
. . . The question for Floridians is not whether |
they will be affected, but how much that is, |
to what degree warming will continue, how |
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