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Infrastructure, Human Health, |
and Economy |
While all of the future impacts cannot be predicted, climate change has the potential to |
threaten every aspect of life in Florida, from essential infrastructure (such as buildings, roads, |
and fresh water supplies), to the health of residents and visitors, to the preservation of natural |
systems, to the state’s economic wellbeing and longterm sustainability. The exact costs of |
dealing with these effects are not known, but they will be significant. However, the costs |
of inaction will be far greater, and some costs simply cannot be measured in dollars. |
I N F R A S T R U C T U R E I M PAC T S |
Florida could experience changes such as |
extreme winds, continued sealevel rise, |
increased flooding and storm surge, extreme |
and daily rainfall, and relative humidity and |
temperature fluctuations. Much of the state’s |
infrastructure—water, power, telecommunications, transportation, and buildings — was |
constructed to last at least 75 years. Infrastructure |
longevity was thus based on past environmental design criteria and specifications, many of |
which may have been exceeded already by |
aspects of climate change (9, 10). |
Because current projections indicate that |
sea level may rise over six inches during the |
service life of a building, the risk for future |
catastrophic damage is high, not only near |
the coast (in large part due to Florida’s flat |
terrain) but also in most inland regions. |
H U M A N H E A LT H I M PAC T S |
Changes in climate patterns and extreme |
climatic events have had a wide range of negative effects on human health and wellbeing in |
Photo courtesy of Guy Weeks |
the United States and around the world. For |
example, severe heat waves, hurricanes, and |
floods have resulted in deaths and injuries (11, |
12). With over 1,200 miles of coastline, Florida |
residents are particularly vulnerable to the |
effects of hurricanes and tropical storms. |
In addition, stormwater discharges carry |
nutrients, toxins, and fecal contaminants from the |
land into coastal waterways. Pulses of fecal |
contaminants in stormwater runoff cause the closure of beaches and shellfish beds and affect |
humans through recreational exposure (13). |
Storminduced increases in fertilizer runoff from |
agricultural and residential areas could affect |
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the frequency, intensity, and duration of toxin E C O N O M I C I M PAC T S |
producing red tides or harmful algal blooms |
and promote the emergence of previously |
unknown toxic algae (14). |
In other parts of the world, increases in waterborne diseases, such as cholera, have been |
directly linked to warming and extreme weather |
events. In the future, the potential exists for the |
reintroduction of mosquitoborne diseases, such |
as malaria and dengue fever, into areas where |
they do not currently exist, such as warmer regions of the United States, including Florida (15). |
Threats to ecosystems rich in biodiversity, such |
as coral reefs, mangroves, and seagrasses, will |
result in the loss of marine algae and invertebrates, some of which are sources of chemicals |
with diseasefighting properties (16). |
Changes in climate patterns and extreme cli |
matic events have had a wide range of neg |
ative effects on human health and well being |
in the United States and around the world. |
By monitoring a range of environmental factors |
such as seasurface temperature and height, |
turbidity, chlorophyll concentration, and |
concentrations of the nutrients nitrogen and |
phosphorus, researchers can determine which |
factors are linked to disease outbreaks and |
harmful algal blooms (14). If outbreaks can be |
predicted, it may be possible to mitigate their |
harmful effects. Some of these measurements |
can be made using remote sensing data from |
satellites; other measurements can be taken by |
sensors placed in the oceans as part of the |
observing systems being established around the |
coast of the United States, including Florida. |
Climate change will affect Florida’s economy. |
The economic and financial costs associated |
with such change can be direct or indirect. |
Some costs are called “hidden” because they |
may be difficult to identify and quantify. Many |
environmental and human costs cannot be |
measured in dollars. These include the effects |
on human quality of life and the destruction of |
ecosystems that currently provide essential |
ecological functions at no cost. |
Some sectors of the economy may benefit from |
climate change and some of the costs may be |
offset by taking actions to mitigate its effects. |
However, the net costs of climate change are |
likely to exceed the benefits. |
A recent national study, sponsored by the Center |
for Health and the Global Environment at |
Harvard Medical School, indicates that the |
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