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elevations in coastal regions may be subject to more
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frequent flooding during spring tides and storm
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surges (Bloetscher et al., 2009).
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Interior regional hydrologic systems of Florida should
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not be significantly affected (Trimble et al., 1998).
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Municipal sewer systems will have to be tightened to
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significantly reduce groundwater seepage in order to
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protect wastewater treatment operations (Bloetscher
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et al., 2009).
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WHAT IS POSSIBLE:
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Eventually, as sea level continues to rise, coastal surficial aquifers throughout the state will be increasingly
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threatened (Murley et al., 2008).
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Water and wastewater treatment facilities that are located at low elevations in coastal regions will require
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enhanced flood protection (Bloetscher et al., 2009).
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II. Sea-Level Rise and Its Effects
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on Florida’s Ocean
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and Coastal Resources
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II
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14
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WHAT IS PROBABLE:
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With rising sea level and associated larger waves
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and greater magnitude of storm surges, erosion will
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increase, and beaches will require more frequent renourishment. The quantity of sand required to keep
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pace with erosion will increase.
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There will be increased reliance on sand sources
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from outside the U.S. or from inland sand mines in
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Broward, Miami-Dade, and other counties that can
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II. Sea-Level Rise and Its Effects
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on Florida’s Ocean
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and Coastal Resources
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EFFECT : Increases in Beach Erosion and Renourishment
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Florida’s beautiful beaches are a major tourist destination and thus have a high economic value to our state.
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They also provide critical habitat for marine animals: for example, nesting sites for sea turtles. Our beaches
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experience varying degrees of erosion, which is due not only to natural processes such as tropical storms
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but also to man-made situations, including inlets that enhance downshore sand loss. In areas where there is
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a net loss of sand, beaches are maintained by renourishment. Rising sea level may have a number of effects
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on the short- and long-term sustainability of our beaches and on how frequently the sand needs to be
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replenished.
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WHAT WE KNOW:
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During the 20th century, all 30 coastal states, including Florida, have experienced moderate to
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severe erosion of some of their shorelines and
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beaches. Much of the erosion can be attributed to
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man-made inlets and to storms, and it is difficult to
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ascertain the influence of coincident sea-level rise
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(Williams et al., 2009).
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There is a high degree of variability in shoreline
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erosion rates. Some areas along Florida’s coast
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display rapid erosion, whereas others experience
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a net gain in sand over time (Absalonsen and
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Dean, 2010).
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Beach nourishment and renourishment (adding
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sand that is dredged from offshore areas) has
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been necessary to maintain beaches in locations
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that were experiencing a net loss of sand in the
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early part of the 20th century (Absalonsen and
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Dean, 2010). By adding sand, it has been possible to keep pace with losses in areas of moderate
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erosion and high economic value.
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In some coastal Florida counties, there is a large
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deficit of nearshore, readily available sand. Local
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governments will increasingly be forced to look
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for “beach quality” sand in other regions of the
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state (therefore requiring a regional approach to
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sand-sharing) and from more expensive or nontraditional sources (such as sand from deeper waters, from inland sand mines, or imported from the
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Bahamas) to maintain beaches in upcoming
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years. Local expectations as to “beach quality”
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may have to be modified in this event. In Broward
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and Miami-Dade counties, there is estimated to
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be a net deficit of 34 million cubic yards of sand
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over the next 50 years (Bender et al., 2010).
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More than 90% of the loggerhead sea turtle nesting and almost all the green and leatherback nesting in the United States take place on Florida’s
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825 miles of sandy beaches. Florida’s midAtlantic beaches host one of the most important
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loggerhead turtle rookeries in the world.
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II
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15
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afford the considerably higher cost compared to traditional nearshore sand sources (Bender et al.,
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2010).
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There will be increasing pressure and need to
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harden shorelines with sea walls and implement
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other engineering strategies to protect upland structures and infrastructure.
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WHAT IS POSSIBLE:
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Shoreline protection projects, which are typically advocated as a solution to erosion, may not be effective against substantial rises in sea level because of
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escalating costs, dwindling sand reserves, cumulative
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impacts on natural resources, and the porous nature
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of Florida’s geology (Parkinson and Donahue,
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2010).
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If beaches are lost to erosion, there will be significant
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impacts on animals including sea turtles, which depend on the state’s beaches as major nesting habitat
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(National Research Council, 1990). Loss of nesting
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beaches could threaten the recovery and survival of
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marine turtle populations.
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Loss of beaches could result in substantive impacts on
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Florida’s tourist-based economy (Bell, 2005).
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Almost half of the state’s beaches are already experiencing critical erosion that could threaten adjacent
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development, and an increasing number of structures
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and amount of infrastructure could be at risk from the
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surf.
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