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including inflation, slower growth or recession, higher interest rates, |
high unemployment, and currency fluctuations can adversely affect |
consumer confidence in spending and materially adversely affect the |
demand for travel or similar experiences. Additionally, consumer |
confidence and spending can be materially adversely affected in response |
to financial market volatility, negative financial news, conditions in |
the real estate and mortgage markets, declines in income or asset |
values, energy shortages or cost increases, labor and healthcare costs, |
and other economic factors. These factors may affect demand for our |
offerings, and uncertainty about global or regional economic conditions |
can also have a negative adverse impact on the number of Hosts and |
guests who use our platform. Consumer preferences tend to shift to |
lower-cost alternatives during recessionary periods and other periods in |
which disposable income is adversely affected, which could lead to a |
decline in the bookings and prices for stays and experiences on our |
platform and an increase in cancellations, and thus result in lower |
revenue. Leisure travel in particular, which accounts for a substantial |
majority of our current business, is dependent on discretionary consumer |
spending levels. Downturns in worldwide or regional economic conditions |
have led to a general decrease in leisure travel and travel spending in |
the past, and similar downturns in the future may materially adversely |
impact demand for our platform and services. Such a shift in consumer |
behavior would materially adversely affect our business, results of |
operations, and financial condition. |
*The COVID-19 pandemic has materially adversely impacted, and may |
continue to adversely impact, our business, results of operations, and |
financial condition.* |
Since early 2020, the world has been and continues to be impacted by |
COVID-19 and its variants. Government regulations in response to the |
pandemic and changes in social behaviors have closed or limited certain |
government functions, businesses, or have otherwise limited social or |
public gatherings. Such mitigation measures that have impacted our |
business include travel restrictions or quarantine and shelter-in-place |
orders. These responses, which continue to shift as variants or |
outbreaks of COVID-19 continue to develop, have had and may continue to |
have a material adverse impact on our business and operations and on |
travel behavior and demand. |
Global economic conditions and consumer trends have shifted since early |
2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, and continue to persist and |
may have a long-lasting adverse impact on us and the travel industry |
independently of the progress of the pandemic. |
The extent of the continued impact of the COVID-19 pandemic or any |
future pandemic or epidemic on our business and financial results will |
depend largely on future developments globally and within the United |
States, the prevalence of local, national, and international travel |
restrictions (including new or reinstated restrictions as a result of |
COVID-19 variants or other highly infectious diseases), vaccination |
requirements in connection with travel, and impacts and fluctuations in |
demand for travel, including air travel or gas prices. To the extent the |
COVID-19 pandemic continues to impact our business, results of |
operations, and financial condition, it may also have the effect of |
heightening many of the other risks described in these "isk Factors"or |
elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Any of the foregoing |
factors, or other cascading effects of the COVID-19 pandemic or any |
future pandemic or epidemic and changes in macroeconomic conditions that |
are not currently foreseeable, may materially adversely impact our |
business, results of operations, and financial condition. |
*We have previously incurred net losses and our Adjusted EBITDA and Free |
Cash Flow have declined in prior periods. We may once again incur net |
losses and see a decline in Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow and we |
may not be able to sustain profitability.* |
Although we had net income of \$1.9 billion for the year ended December |
31, 2022, we incurred net losses of \$4.6 billion and \$352.0 million |
for the years ended December 1, 2020 and 2021, respectively. As of |
December 1, 2022, we had an accumulated deficit of \$6.0 billion. Any |
failure to increase our revenue or any failure to manage an increase in |
our operating expenses could prevent us from sustaining profitability as |
measured by net income, operating income, or Adjusted EBITDA. |
Additionally, stock-based compensation expense related to restricted |
stock units ("SUs" and other equity awards will continue to be a |
significant expense in future periods. In addition, in the first quarter |
of 2022, we began using corporate cash to make required tax payments |
associated with the vesting of employee RSUs and withhold a |
corresponding number of shares from employees. We anticipate that we |
will spend substantial funds to satisfy tax withholding and remittance |
obligations when we settle employee RSUs. |
Although we had positive Adjusted EBITDA of \$1.6 billion and \$2.9 |
billion for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2022, respectively, we |
had negative Adjusted EBITDA of \$(251.0) million for the year ended |
December 31, 2020. Our Free Cash Flow was \$(777.9) million, \$2.3 |
billion, and \$3.4 billion for the years ended December 31, 2020, 2021 |
and 2022, respectively. While our Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow |
increased in 2021 and 2022, we may experience declines in Adjusted |
EBITDA and Free Cash Flow in the future. Adverse developments in our |
10 |
business, including lower than anticipated revenue, higher than |
anticipated operating expenses, impacts of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic |
and net unfavorable changes in working capital, could result in a |
negative trend in our Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow. If our future |
Adjusted EBITDA or Free Cash Flow fail to meet investor or analyst |
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