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including inflation, slower growth or recession, higher interest rates,
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high unemployment, and currency fluctuations can adversely affect
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consumer confidence in spending and materially adversely affect the
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demand for travel or similar experiences. Additionally, consumer
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confidence and spending can be materially adversely affected in response
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to financial market volatility, negative financial news, conditions in
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the real estate and mortgage markets, declines in income or asset
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values, energy shortages or cost increases, labor and healthcare costs,
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and other economic factors. These factors may affect demand for our
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offerings, and uncertainty about global or regional economic conditions
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can also have a negative adverse impact on the number of Hosts and
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guests who use our platform. Consumer preferences tend to shift to
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lower-cost alternatives during recessionary periods and other periods in
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which disposable income is adversely affected, which could lead to a
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decline in the bookings and prices for stays and experiences on our
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platform and an increase in cancellations, and thus result in lower
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revenue. Leisure travel in particular, which accounts for a substantial
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majority of our current business, is dependent on discretionary consumer
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spending levels. Downturns in worldwide or regional economic conditions
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have led to a general decrease in leisure travel and travel spending in
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the past, and similar downturns in the future may materially adversely
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impact demand for our platform and services. Such a shift in consumer
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behavior would materially adversely affect our business, results of
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operations, and financial condition.
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*The COVID-19 pandemic has materially adversely impacted, and may
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continue to adversely impact, our business, results of operations, and
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financial condition.*
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Since early 2020, the world has been and continues to be impacted by
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COVID-19 and its variants. Government regulations in response to the
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pandemic and changes in social behaviors have closed or limited certain
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government functions, businesses, or have otherwise limited social or
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public gatherings. Such mitigation measures that have impacted our
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business include travel restrictions or quarantine and shelter-in-place
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orders. These responses, which continue to shift as variants or
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outbreaks of COVID-19 continue to develop, have had and may continue to
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have a material adverse impact on our business and operations and on
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travel behavior and demand.
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Global economic conditions and consumer trends have shifted since early
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2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, and continue to persist and
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may have a long-lasting adverse impact on us and the travel industry
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independently of the progress of the pandemic.
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The extent of the continued impact of the COVID-19 pandemic or any
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future pandemic or epidemic on our business and financial results will
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depend largely on future developments globally and within the United
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States, the prevalence of local, national, and international travel
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restrictions (including new or reinstated restrictions as a result of
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COVID-19 variants or other highly infectious diseases), vaccination
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requirements in connection with travel, and impacts and fluctuations in
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demand for travel, including air travel or gas prices. To the extent the
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COVID-19 pandemic continues to impact our business, results of
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operations, and financial condition, it may also have the effect of
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heightening many of the other risks described in these "isk Factors"or
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elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Any of the foregoing
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factors, or other cascading effects of the COVID-19 pandemic or any
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future pandemic or epidemic and changes in macroeconomic conditions that
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are not currently foreseeable, may materially adversely impact our
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business, results of operations, and financial condition.
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*We have previously incurred net losses and our Adjusted EBITDA and Free
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Cash Flow have declined in prior periods. We may once again incur net
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losses and see a decline in Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow and we
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may not be able to sustain profitability.*
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Although we had net income of \$1.9 billion for the year ended December
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31, 2022, we incurred net losses of \$4.6 billion and \$352.0 million
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for the years ended December 1, 2020 and 2021, respectively. As of
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December 1, 2022, we had an accumulated deficit of \$6.0 billion. Any
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failure to increase our revenue or any failure to manage an increase in
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our operating expenses could prevent us from sustaining profitability as
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measured by net income, operating income, or Adjusted EBITDA.
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Additionally, stock-based compensation expense related to restricted
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stock units ("SUs" and other equity awards will continue to be a
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significant expense in future periods. In addition, in the first quarter
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of 2022, we began using corporate cash to make required tax payments
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associated with the vesting of employee RSUs and withhold a
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corresponding number of shares from employees. We anticipate that we
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will spend substantial funds to satisfy tax withholding and remittance
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obligations when we settle employee RSUs.
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Although we had positive Adjusted EBITDA of \$1.6 billion and \$2.9
|
billion for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2022, respectively, we
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had negative Adjusted EBITDA of \$(251.0) million for the year ended
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December 31, 2020. Our Free Cash Flow was \$(777.9) million, \$2.3
|
billion, and \$3.4 billion for the years ended December 31, 2020, 2021
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and 2022, respectively. While our Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow
|
increased in 2021 and 2022, we may experience declines in Adjusted
|
EBITDA and Free Cash Flow in the future. Adverse developments in our
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10
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business, including lower than anticipated revenue, higher than
|
anticipated operating expenses, impacts of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic
|
and net unfavorable changes in working capital, could result in a
|
negative trend in our Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow. If our future
|
Adjusted EBITDA or Free Cash Flow fail to meet investor or analyst
|
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